Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 05, 2020


Episode 1082 Scott Adams: Beirut, Biden, Rapid Testing Option, Tik Tok Sale to Microsoft, Ranking Pandemic Leadership by Country


Episode Stats

Length

53 minutes

Words per Minute

149.63628

Word Count

7,940

Sentence Count

498

Misogynist Sentences

7

Hate Speech Sentences

22


Summary

In the wake of the deadly explosion in Beirut, what do we have to say about what could have been the biggest bomb blast in the history of the Middle East? And why was it left in a warehouse in the middle of the city?


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum.
00:00:05.080 You're probably thinking to yourself, hey, or is he? He's late.
00:00:10.240 Well, it's because I'm trying to solve the world's problems here, and sometimes that takes more than three minutes.
00:00:16.820 So if you don't mind, I'm going to print out my show notes.
00:00:22.460 While we get ready, and everybody's pouring in for the best part of the day.
00:00:27.980 Yeah.
00:00:29.340 Best part of the day.
00:00:30.560 It's coming up.
00:00:32.300 And it doesn't take much, does it?
00:00:35.740 It doesn't take much.
00:00:37.380 All you need is a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or chelter's tie,
00:00:41.620 and a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:46.140 Sorry I made you wait.
00:00:47.940 Were you worried?
00:00:49.860 So, I like coffee.
00:00:53.720 Okay, join me now for the dopamine hit of the day.
00:00:58.360 The thing that makes everything better, it's called the simultaneous sip.
00:01:01.580 And it happens now.
00:01:03.200 Go.
00:01:06.800 Ah.
00:01:08.460 So good.
00:01:09.560 Stay right there.
00:01:10.440 Hold on.
00:01:11.440 Hold on.
00:01:12.560 Don't go anywhere.
00:01:14.700 Here I am.
00:01:15.780 All right.
00:01:16.980 There we go.
00:01:17.780 So, the biggest news, I would have to think, is that explosion in Beirut.
00:01:24.540 You've all seen the video by now.
00:01:27.700 Holy whatever.
00:01:31.020 That is some scary stuff.
00:01:34.140 I've never seen anything quite like it.
00:01:36.820 And I'll bet all of you have the same feeling I did,
00:01:40.960 which is you're trying to decide if you're a good person
00:01:44.820 because you can't stop watching that explosion
00:01:48.420 because it's really quite a spectacle.
00:01:50.500 At the same time, you know that people are dying at that moment.
00:01:54.620 And you're thinking to yourself,
00:01:55.960 how many times can I watch this video for entertainment
00:01:59.460 before I'm actually the devil?
00:02:02.320 You know, it's a sensitive situation.
00:02:07.740 So, what are we going to learn about this?
00:02:10.920 The first thing I will tell you
00:02:12.300 is that whatever we eventually learn about this
00:02:15.460 is probably wrong.
00:02:17.580 It's probably just fake.
00:02:19.820 I feel as though this is in the class of stories
00:02:23.740 that you're just never going to know what happened.
00:02:26.820 There might be an official story.
00:02:29.080 There might be one that even all the governments agree.
00:02:33.080 But I feel like we're not really going to know the story here.
00:02:36.280 Sort of, ever.
00:02:38.120 But here are some things we do know.
00:02:41.320 It's almost certainly that this was the chemical,
00:02:45.540 what was it, ammonium nitrate,
00:02:47.860 which I believe is the same stuff that Tim McVeigh used.
00:02:53.660 And it's a known amateur bomb material.
00:02:58.000 Now, if an area that's Hezbollah,
00:03:03.800 is Hezbollah controlled or just Hezbollah heavy,
00:03:08.120 if they've got enough of this sitting in a warehouse
00:03:10.980 to destroy much of the city of Beirut,
00:03:17.240 and apparently one of the customs people was aware of it,
00:03:21.700 and a customs person, you may not have heard this yet,
00:03:24.260 but I just saw it a moment ago.
00:03:26.140 Apparently he had, in the past,
00:03:27.980 sent six different memos to the judiciary officials
00:03:31.140 warning that there was a dangerous substance
00:03:33.700 that could explode.
00:03:35.900 So the government had been warned
00:03:37.780 at least six times
00:03:39.680 by somebody who knew what he was talking about
00:03:42.020 and knew it was there,
00:03:43.080 and they decided not to act.
00:03:46.480 Does that tell you anything?
00:03:48.540 Not necessarily,
00:03:49.380 because it could be just a bureaucratic thing.
00:03:53.360 It could have been they didn't know what to do with it.
00:03:55.680 It could have been they had plans to do something with it later.
00:03:59.120 I think he was recommending that they export it.
00:04:02.500 In other words, basically sell it
00:04:04.160 because it probably had some value.
00:04:07.200 But you don't want to keep it that much in one place.
00:04:09.740 Now, in a related story,
00:04:13.980 the Jerusalem Post
00:04:15.440 is saying that Hezbollah kept it there.
00:04:20.060 So they're saying that it was Hezbollah
00:04:21.920 who was in charge of that ammonium nitrate.
00:04:25.620 But did you know
00:04:26.840 that in a storehouse in London,
00:04:31.400 until MI5 found it,
00:04:33.200 they also had a bunch of ammonium nitrate?
00:04:35.960 And did you know
00:04:37.460 that the Hezbollah also stored
00:04:41.240 hundreds of kilograms of it
00:04:42.960 in southern Germany
00:04:44.600 until that was uncovered?
00:04:47.360 Now, what does it mean to you
00:04:49.240 that massive amounts of this material,
00:04:53.100 which is, I think, in this context,
00:04:56.540 given the context was used for bombs,
00:04:59.340 is massively deployed all over the place?
00:05:03.220 Is there any doubt
00:05:04.880 that they were trying to blow up
00:05:06.600 a lot of stuff
00:05:07.380 that maybe you didn't want to get blown up?
00:05:10.320 So, I ask you this.
00:05:13.640 What are the odds
00:05:14.560 that that blew up on its own?
00:05:17.860 Do you think that Israel,
00:05:20.660 for example,
00:05:22.420 do you think that Israel was aware
00:05:24.120 that these chemicals were there?
00:05:27.800 Remember, MI5 found them in England.
00:05:32.140 Germany found them in Germany.
00:05:33.540 So, we know that, you know,
00:05:36.360 intelligence agencies can find this stuff.
00:05:39.940 And we know that
00:05:40.880 apparently it wasn't the biggest
00:05:43.660 kept secret in the world
00:05:44.820 because this customs guy in Lebanon
00:05:47.080 was asking them to get rid of it.
00:05:51.360 So, what are the odds
00:05:52.700 that Israel was aware
00:05:54.600 that there was a gigantic
00:05:56.180 facility of bomb-making material?
00:05:59.220 What were the odds
00:06:01.780 that they knew that?
00:06:03.640 Not zero, right?
00:06:06.280 We don't know,
00:06:07.140 but not zero.
00:06:09.320 There was certainly a good chance
00:06:10.780 they knew about it.
00:06:12.040 Now, what would be the chances
00:06:13.220 that Israel
00:06:14.580 would act on it
00:06:16.240 and, let's say,
00:06:17.420 do something to sabotage it
00:06:18.860 or blow it up
00:06:19.660 just to remove that future risk
00:06:23.740 from, you know,
00:06:25.740 ending up in Israel?
00:06:26.600 Because I don't know
00:06:27.840 how hard it would be
00:06:28.680 to ship this stuff
00:06:29.620 into Israel,
00:06:31.020 you know,
00:06:31.420 if they wanted to.
00:06:33.140 A little bit at a time,
00:06:35.480 but, you know,
00:06:36.620 where was it destined for?
00:06:38.540 And I ask you this,
00:06:41.640 would it be justified
00:06:42.940 for Israel to take it out
00:06:46.860 if they knew
00:06:47.920 that it was going to be
00:06:49.260 a big explosion
00:06:50.100 and the collateral damage
00:06:51.900 would be extensive?
00:06:53.360 Would it be justified?
00:06:56.000 It's a tough one, isn't it?
00:06:58.380 Kind of justified.
00:07:00.120 I'm not saying they did it
00:07:01.420 because there's some story
00:07:03.320 about somebody
00:07:04.000 welding a door shut
00:07:05.200 and, you know,
00:07:06.620 that seems at least
00:07:07.560 reasonably possible
00:07:09.160 that that was part
00:07:10.280 of the problem.
00:07:11.740 Yeah, I wouldn't rule that out.
00:07:13.240 I wouldn't rule out accident,
00:07:14.460 of course,
00:07:14.980 but would Israel
00:07:18.080 have a moral ability
00:07:20.480 to take that out?
00:07:22.340 Because here's my take on this.
00:07:25.080 This is way bigger
00:07:26.380 than just removing
00:07:28.060 some potential bomb material
00:07:29.600 from potential terrorist acts.
00:07:34.540 It's way bigger than that.
00:07:36.920 You're given the scope of it.
00:07:38.980 And I wonder what this does
00:07:41.660 to the psychology
00:07:42.620 of the Middle East.
00:07:43.540 If you wanted Hezbollah
00:07:46.060 to have a bloody nose forever
00:07:50.000 in its own backyard
00:07:51.480 so that it didn't look so good,
00:07:54.120 the best thing you could do
00:07:55.580 is have Hezbollah
00:07:56.640 responsible for destroying
00:07:58.120 the entire city of Beirut,
00:08:01.020 or much of it,
00:08:02.360 in the act of getting ready
00:08:03.920 to do a terrorist attack
00:08:05.160 on some other city.
00:08:07.280 Now, if this story
00:08:09.320 remains a Hezbollah error,
00:08:12.500 it doesn't matter
00:08:14.720 who blew it up
00:08:15.680 in a sense.
00:08:18.620 I'm not saying Israel
00:08:19.860 did or did not do anything.
00:08:21.880 I'm just saying
00:08:22.580 that we'll probably never know.
00:08:24.660 And it may actually change
00:08:27.820 how people feel
00:08:28.560 about Hezbollah.
00:08:29.760 So it might be
00:08:30.460 one of these events
00:08:32.040 that even though
00:08:33.220 it's an anecdote,
00:08:34.540 it's a one-off,
00:08:35.440 it's not really related
00:08:36.440 to any larger issue.
00:08:38.640 It seems like just
00:08:39.480 a tragedy in one place.
00:08:41.700 But the way we think
00:08:42.660 about this,
00:08:44.140 anecdotes and stories
00:08:45.840 are really persuasive.
00:08:48.300 And I've got a feeling
00:08:48.960 that the,
00:08:49.580 let's say,
00:08:51.380 support for Hezbollah
00:08:52.800 may take a permanent hit.
00:08:56.260 So we'll keep an eye on that.
00:08:58.520 The death toll,
00:08:59.540 they say,
00:08:59.860 is 100,
00:09:01.320 but lots of people missing.
00:09:03.540 And you probably have
00:09:04.560 the same reaction I did,
00:09:06.600 which is,
00:09:07.620 it's a lot more than 100.
00:09:09.340 I mean,
00:09:09.560 if you saw the damage,
00:09:12.620 I can't imagine
00:09:13.880 it's not in the thousands.
00:09:15.280 Can you?
00:09:16.480 I mean,
00:09:16.820 how could such an area
00:09:18.260 have so few people
00:09:19.740 who would die?
00:09:21.320 It's got to be
00:09:21.900 in the thousands.
00:09:25.040 Let's talk about
00:09:26.260 something else.
00:09:28.200 Did you all see
00:09:29.080 the video on Twitter
00:09:31.040 of the Portland protesters
00:09:33.680 trying to stop
00:09:34.720 a pickup truck
00:09:35.720 and it didn't go well?
00:09:38.760 So far,
00:09:39.760 of the genre
00:09:40.880 of protest things
00:09:43.160 that didn't go well
00:09:44.000 for protesters,
00:09:45.060 you know,
00:09:45.280 it's sort of a growing
00:09:46.200 body of work.
00:09:47.760 This might be my favorite.
00:09:49.880 Might be my favorite.
00:09:51.020 If you haven't seen it,
00:09:52.440 there's several angles to it
00:09:53.860 and only one of the angles
00:09:54.920 is fun.
00:09:56.340 The other angles
00:09:57.060 don't quite tell you
00:09:57.840 what's going on.
00:09:59.120 But essentially,
00:10:00.120 there's a pickup truck
00:10:01.200 that somehow
00:10:02.280 didn't look like
00:10:03.440 a good idea to me,
00:10:04.860 ended up in the middle
00:10:05.760 of the protest.
00:10:06.980 The protesters
00:10:07.940 tried to stop it
00:10:09.840 and one of the protesters
00:10:11.580 who was especially
00:10:12.760 bold,
00:10:14.380 shall we say bold?
00:10:16.020 We'll keep our insults
00:10:17.360 for later.
00:10:18.140 Let's call him bold.
00:10:19.760 He comes up
00:10:21.080 with some kind of
00:10:21.680 a motorcycle scooter
00:10:23.080 kind of a thing.
00:10:24.180 Was it a motorcycle?
00:10:24.920 And he pulls it
00:10:27.000 in front of the truck
00:10:27.780 and then he just,
00:10:29.440 like he's a badass,
00:10:31.240 he just pulls it
00:10:32.140 in front of the truck
00:10:32.700 and he drops it
00:10:33.540 on the ground
00:10:34.300 to block the truck.
00:10:36.300 And then he gets up
00:10:37.120 and he's going to
00:10:37.520 walk over to the driver.
00:10:38.980 He's like,
00:10:39.700 man,
00:10:40.400 I just pulled
00:10:41.200 a Batman move.
00:10:43.020 I mean,
00:10:43.820 I'm feeling like
00:10:44.680 some kind of
00:10:45.260 a superhero.
00:10:46.780 I mean,
00:10:47.200 I had my vehicle,
00:10:49.200 my Bat motorcycle,
00:10:51.140 cut him off,
00:10:51.920 cleverly put my vehicle
00:10:54.320 in front of his truck
00:10:55.340 to block his response
00:10:57.380 and then I'm going
00:10:58.600 to swagger over
00:10:59.520 to that,
00:11:00.640 there he goes,
00:11:01.940 dragging my motorcycle
00:11:04.380 under his truck.
00:11:05.800 One of the funniest
00:11:06.760 things you'll ever see.
00:11:08.320 So,
00:11:08.700 I don't know
00:11:09.460 who gets to talk
00:11:10.840 to the insurance company
00:11:12.260 for that motorcycle vehicle,
00:11:15.980 but he's got
00:11:17.200 some explaining to do.
00:11:19.100 Can you explain
00:11:19.880 the nature
00:11:20.800 of the accident,
00:11:21.920 sir?
00:11:23.680 Can you talk
00:11:24.460 to my mom?
00:11:26.640 Hands mom
00:11:27.340 the phone.
00:11:28.640 That's what I think
00:11:29.500 will happen.
00:11:30.960 All right.
00:11:32.320 Does anybody care
00:11:33.260 about Portland anymore?
00:11:36.060 My empathy
00:11:37.200 for Portland
00:11:38.380 is now
00:11:39.420 basically zero.
00:11:41.820 I'd say zero.
00:11:43.300 I can't care
00:11:44.580 about Portland.
00:11:45.840 It's interesting.
00:11:46.860 I like seeing the videos.
00:11:48.040 I like seeing
00:11:48.360 what's happening.
00:11:49.300 But don't ask me
00:11:50.000 to care.
00:11:50.420 Don't ask me
00:11:52.080 to help.
00:11:53.440 Don't ask me
00:11:54.280 to mourn
00:11:55.660 if something bad
00:11:56.480 happens to somebody
00:11:57.340 during the protests.
00:11:59.080 Don't care.
00:12:00.640 Now,
00:12:01.140 I do think
00:12:01.640 that the
00:12:02.280 Portlandiers,
00:12:03.520 is that a word,
00:12:05.240 who say,
00:12:06.900 well,
00:12:07.100 it's been limited
00:12:07.800 to these certain areas.
00:12:09.160 Well,
00:12:09.360 it's probably true.
00:12:10.780 So there may be a reason
00:12:11.920 that the Portland people
00:12:12.820 don't care too much.
00:12:13.860 Maybe it doesn't have
00:12:14.520 much effect on their lives.
00:12:16.260 And if they don't care,
00:12:17.120 I certainly don't care.
00:12:21.640 Speaking of stuff
00:12:22.600 like that,
00:12:23.620 Oprah came out
00:12:24.880 as a racist
00:12:25.660 yesterday.
00:12:26.980 Sort of surprised me
00:12:28.020 a little bit.
00:12:29.620 You can read about it.
00:12:30.780 I tweeted it.
00:12:31.960 But apparently
00:12:32.420 she's just
00:12:32.920 an open racist now.
00:12:35.980 I'm not even
00:12:36.660 going to give you
00:12:37.140 the details.
00:12:38.800 Right?
00:12:39.560 I was going to tell you
00:12:40.900 what she said
00:12:41.640 and why that's racist.
00:12:43.720 I don't even need to.
00:12:45.240 It was so racist.
00:12:47.720 Nah,
00:12:48.020 I'm going to do it anyway.
00:12:49.440 Their basic message
00:12:50.520 was that
00:12:51.380 having white skin
00:12:53.200 is a life advantage.
00:12:55.000 Just period.
00:12:56.000 That's all you need.
00:12:57.180 You got white skin,
00:12:58.540 it's a life advantage.
00:13:01.240 I feel like
00:13:02.140 that's a little
00:13:02.720 oversimplifying.
00:13:04.660 And racist.
00:13:06.780 It's just racist.
00:13:08.220 Because
00:13:08.580 it certainly isn't true
00:13:10.080 in employment.
00:13:12.440 Certainly isn't true
00:13:13.520 in education.
00:13:15.700 Certainly isn't true
00:13:16.820 in socially.
00:13:19.900 I can't think of
00:13:20.880 too many places
00:13:21.900 as true.
00:13:23.160 Now,
00:13:23.460 it would be true,
00:13:24.320 let me give you
00:13:25.240 some examples
00:13:25.920 where it would be true.
00:13:27.320 Would it be true
00:13:28.260 in
00:13:28.680 if you go to a store
00:13:30.800 and you're black
00:13:31.580 and you're just shopping
00:13:32.520 and maybe people
00:13:34.300 keep an eye on you
00:13:35.140 and it's like,
00:13:35.500 they think you're
00:13:36.460 a shoplifter
00:13:36.980 just because you're black.
00:13:38.560 Yeah,
00:13:38.940 I would say that's bad.
00:13:40.960 And I would say
00:13:41.380 that's real.
00:13:43.260 But it's not
00:13:44.500 high on the list
00:13:46.200 compared to getting
00:13:46.980 a job
00:13:47.800 or going to college
00:13:50.000 or, you know,
00:13:51.020 those things.
00:13:52.240 So as annoying
00:13:53.120 as that must be,
00:13:54.760 one has to ask
00:13:55.580 this question.
00:13:56.680 Is that because
00:13:57.480 of white people
00:13:58.260 or is it because
00:13:59.800 of the statistical
00:14:00.820 reality
00:14:01.620 which causes
00:14:02.920 everybody to be
00:14:03.860 a little bit
00:14:04.620 wary
00:14:05.200 because we're
00:14:06.220 not good
00:14:06.580 at pattern
00:14:06.980 recognition?
00:14:08.120 Well,
00:14:08.760 let me say this.
00:14:09.880 We use pattern
00:14:10.600 recognition
00:14:11.100 as our
00:14:11.960 primary mode
00:14:13.640 of understanding
00:14:14.320 our world
00:14:14.880 but we're not
00:14:15.400 good at it.
00:14:16.760 We get
00:14:17.400 false patterns
00:14:18.280 as easily
00:14:18.860 as correct
00:14:19.620 patterns.
00:14:21.000 So if there's
00:14:21.700 a high rate
00:14:22.480 of crime
00:14:23.020 in one community,
00:14:24.620 is it really
00:14:25.500 reasonable
00:14:26.060 to expect
00:14:27.680 that people
00:14:28.980 outside that
00:14:29.800 community
00:14:30.200 and even
00:14:30.680 within the community
00:14:31.460 probably doesn't
00:14:32.240 make any sense
00:14:32.880 if you're black
00:14:33.500 yourself?
00:14:34.380 If you're seeing
00:14:35.180 somebody come in
00:14:35.880 who's a member
00:14:36.600 of a community
00:14:38.060 with high crime,
00:14:39.640 are you expected
00:14:40.540 to act exactly
00:14:41.940 the same?
00:14:43.480 Well,
00:14:44.020 you should,
00:14:45.460 right?
00:14:45.880 If you're a good
00:14:46.700 person and you're
00:14:47.940 trying to overcome
00:14:49.800 your biases,
00:14:51.200 you should.
00:14:52.980 But we're also
00:14:53.880 human beings
00:14:54.760 who operate
00:14:55.560 on pattern
00:14:56.060 recognition
00:14:56.620 and that's
00:14:57.460 a big ask.
00:14:59.200 That's why I
00:14:59.880 always say
00:15:00.260 that Black Lives
00:15:01.260 Matter is
00:15:02.000 completely discredited
00:15:03.880 in terms of
00:15:05.020 their slogan
00:15:05.640 of thinking
00:15:06.460 that Black Lives
00:15:07.200 Matter
00:15:07.500 because obviously
00:15:08.180 they don't.
00:15:09.440 If they did,
00:15:09.940 they'd work on
00:15:10.400 the highest priority,
00:15:11.500 not the lowest
00:15:12.240 priority.
00:15:13.280 The lowest priority
00:15:14.300 is the number
00:15:15.220 of people
00:15:15.560 who get killed
00:15:16.160 by police.
00:15:17.880 It's a small
00:15:18.380 number.
00:15:19.480 Compare that
00:15:19.980 to the number
00:15:20.420 of people
00:15:20.760 who get a bad
00:15:21.380 education.
00:15:22.600 That's a big
00:15:23.100 number and it
00:15:23.880 affects everything
00:15:24.820 including the
00:15:26.740 odds of you
00:15:27.320 being stopped
00:15:27.980 by the police,
00:15:29.240 including the
00:15:31.000 odds of the
00:15:31.620 shopkeeper
00:15:32.200 giving you
00:15:32.700 a little
00:15:32.980 extra attention.
00:15:34.240 If you fix
00:15:35.060 education,
00:15:36.420 a lot of
00:15:37.120 things get
00:15:37.600 fixed.
00:15:38.880 And right
00:15:39.380 now it's
00:15:39.840 the racist
00:15:41.080 teachers union
00:15:43.520 that keeps
00:15:44.220 Black people
00:15:44.880 from getting
00:15:45.340 a good
00:15:45.700 education.
00:15:46.440 I mean,
00:15:46.600 I think that's
00:15:47.080 just a fact
00:15:47.800 because they
00:15:50.340 limit competition,
00:15:52.300 they limit
00:15:53.020 charter schools,
00:15:53.900 and basically
00:15:54.360 all the solutions
00:15:55.400 that would
00:15:55.960 make a difference
00:15:57.120 to Black
00:15:57.760 students
00:15:58.360 are stopped
00:16:00.980 by the
00:16:01.420 teachers unions.
00:16:02.560 So the
00:16:02.940 teachers unions
00:16:03.540 are clearly
00:16:04.140 racist in the
00:16:06.100 worst possible
00:16:06.700 way,
00:16:07.800 but that's
00:16:09.780 what I got
00:16:10.140 to say about
00:16:10.620 that.
00:16:10.860 I'm very
00:16:11.140 disappointed
00:16:11.620 in Oprah
00:16:12.460 coming out
00:16:13.060 as being a
00:16:13.680 racist.
00:16:14.820 All right.
00:16:16.660 CNN has
00:16:17.420 some fake
00:16:17.880 news about
00:16:18.420 marijuana.
00:16:19.640 Their headline
00:16:20.200 says,
00:16:20.880 weed can be
00:16:21.380 bad for your
00:16:21.920 heart,
00:16:22.560 but the
00:16:23.180 article doesn't.
00:16:23.980 the usual.
00:16:27.000 The headline
00:16:27.680 doesn't match
00:16:28.320 the article.
00:16:29.400 But in any
00:16:29.840 event,
00:16:30.460 here's the
00:16:30.880 question you
00:16:31.320 should ask
00:16:31.740 yourself every
00:16:33.020 time you see
00:16:34.080 any article,
00:16:34.840 it doesn't have
00:16:35.220 to be in CNN,
00:16:36.400 any article that
00:16:37.280 says marijuana
00:16:37.960 is bad for
00:16:40.240 you in a way
00:16:40.860 that will kill
00:16:41.340 you.
00:16:41.860 It obviously
00:16:42.580 is bad for
00:16:43.360 people in
00:16:44.700 terms of
00:16:45.180 lifestyle,
00:16:46.080 depending on
00:16:47.000 who you are
00:16:47.580 and how you're
00:16:48.040 using it.
00:16:49.040 And by the
00:16:49.500 way, I would
00:16:49.840 never argue
00:16:50.420 that point.
00:16:51.680 Marijuana is
00:16:52.180 one of those
00:16:52.560 weird drugs,
00:16:53.980 that, well,
00:16:55.300 I suppose any
00:16:55.880 drug has this
00:16:56.540 quality, that
00:16:57.820 it could be
00:16:58.300 good for some
00:16:58.880 people, harmless
00:17:00.600 for other
00:17:01.100 people, and
00:17:02.360 it could just
00:17:02.840 ruin other
00:17:03.520 people's lives.
00:17:04.520 That is the
00:17:05.200 nature of the
00:17:05.760 drug, and you
00:17:06.440 should not
00:17:06.860 downplay the
00:17:08.900 fact that it
00:17:09.440 could ruin
00:17:09.800 your life.
00:17:10.620 I've seen
00:17:11.240 that.
00:17:13.620 But here's
00:17:14.800 the question
00:17:15.200 you should
00:17:15.620 always ask.
00:17:16.740 What is the
00:17:17.500 total mortality
00:17:18.620 rate?
00:17:19.580 In other
00:17:20.000 words, how
00:17:21.100 soon are
00:17:21.620 people dying
00:17:22.300 if they are
00:17:23.780 chronic users
00:17:24.800 of marijuana
00:17:25.560 versus never
00:17:27.100 used it in
00:17:27.660 their life?
00:17:28.940 And it
00:17:29.200 turns out it's
00:17:29.900 basically the
00:17:30.900 same.
00:17:32.020 Somebody says,
00:17:32.960 pot saved my
00:17:33.760 life.
00:17:34.540 I would say
00:17:35.020 the same thing,
00:17:35.700 actually.
00:17:36.380 I would say
00:17:36.900 that marijuana
00:17:37.840 probably has
00:17:39.200 kept me alive.
00:17:41.220 That's a
00:17:41.860 longer story,
00:17:43.240 but that is
00:17:44.220 my sincere
00:17:45.020 belief, is
00:17:46.280 that it is a
00:17:46.900 life-saving
00:17:47.480 drug in my
00:17:48.580 particular case.
00:17:50.460 Literally and
00:17:51.500 specifically a
00:17:52.740 life-saving
00:17:53.200 drug.
00:17:54.120 Other people
00:17:54.580 have had that
00:17:54.980 experience,
00:17:55.660 but don't,
00:17:58.240 and if you're
00:17:58.960 wondering how I
00:17:59.520 can say it
00:17:59.940 can be bad
00:18:00.420 for some
00:18:00.780 people and
00:18:01.180 good for
00:18:01.480 others,
00:18:02.060 it's not
00:18:02.700 just that
00:18:03.480 there's a
00:18:03.820 different
00:18:04.060 chemical
00:18:04.620 response,
00:18:06.160 which I
00:18:06.500 just assume
00:18:07.240 for any
00:18:07.620 drug,
00:18:08.600 but also
00:18:09.300 the nature
00:18:10.780 of marijuana
00:18:11.680 is that it
00:18:13.020 tends to make
00:18:13.640 you more of
00:18:14.240 what you
00:18:14.480 already were.
00:18:16.480 So let me
00:18:17.140 just digress a
00:18:17.920 bit.
00:18:18.440 If you
00:18:18.940 haven't heard
00:18:19.280 this before,
00:18:20.040 it's a good
00:18:20.660 filter on
00:18:21.700 marijuana.
00:18:23.000 If you are
00:18:24.040 ambitious by
00:18:25.260 nature and
00:18:26.900 creative by
00:18:28.260 nature, you
00:18:28.980 already were
00:18:29.540 those things,
00:18:30.160 you are already
00:18:30.640 ambitious and
00:18:31.320 creative,
00:18:32.380 marijuana can
00:18:33.060 make you more
00:18:33.660 ambitious and
00:18:34.300 more creative.
00:18:35.520 That's my
00:18:36.240 experience.
00:18:37.440 But if you
00:18:38.700 are lazy and
00:18:39.500 unmotivated by
00:18:40.540 nature, it
00:18:41.920 might make you
00:18:42.600 lazier and
00:18:43.320 more unmotivated.
00:18:44.540 So when I say
00:18:45.100 it can kill you
00:18:45.800 or it can help
00:18:46.440 you, that's
00:18:48.120 a small part
00:18:49.480 of what I
00:18:49.840 mean by that.
00:18:50.560 And that's
00:18:51.140 independent of
00:18:52.760 the mental
00:18:53.260 health, independent
00:18:54.320 of the physical
00:18:55.840 health part of
00:18:56.540 it.
00:18:57.020 It just makes
00:18:57.840 you more of
00:18:58.440 what you're
00:18:58.780 inclined to
00:18:59.400 be naturally.
00:19:01.440 And for some
00:19:01.920 of you, you
00:19:02.520 might not want
00:19:03.120 that.
00:19:04.260 If you're having
00:19:05.000 trouble with
00:19:05.480 motivation, I
00:19:07.260 don't know that
00:19:07.720 I would recommend
00:19:08.340 marijuana.
00:19:09.720 But if you're
00:19:10.460 terribly motivated,
00:19:12.540 in my case, I
00:19:13.860 have a problem
00:19:15.020 with over
00:19:15.740 motivation sometimes.
00:19:18.120 So, you
00:19:18.840 know, I
00:19:19.380 can cut it
00:19:19.880 back a little
00:19:20.360 bit.
00:19:22.680 Anyway, enough
00:19:23.940 on that.
00:19:26.880 Andres
00:19:27.400 Backhaus was
00:19:29.480 tweeting some
00:19:30.200 German statistics
00:19:31.740 showing that
00:19:32.960 Germany's death
00:19:34.520 curve and stuff
00:19:35.260 seems to be
00:19:35.840 moving in the
00:19:36.700 right direction.
00:19:37.980 But as
00:19:39.520 Andres pointed
00:19:40.860 out in a
00:19:41.460 follow-up tweet
00:19:42.340 on the same
00:19:42.980 topic, he
00:19:44.180 said it was
00:19:44.620 quite fascinating
00:19:45.380 how many people
00:19:46.100 immediately seem
00:19:47.020 to know
00:19:47.580 whether the
00:19:48.800 German statistics
00:19:49.860 is good news
00:19:50.640 or bad news
00:19:51.400 and whether the
00:19:53.100 U.S. is
00:19:53.520 looking better
00:19:54.160 or worse
00:19:54.540 compared to
00:19:55.080 them.
00:19:56.060 None of that
00:19:56.740 can be said
00:19:57.240 with certainty.
00:19:58.800 So that's
00:19:59.280 your data
00:20:00.700 analysis lesson
00:20:01.820 for the day.
00:20:03.040 So the fact
00:20:03.580 that Germany
00:20:04.280 appears with
00:20:06.800 this data, it
00:20:08.200 appears to have
00:20:09.020 a better grip
00:20:09.840 on it than the
00:20:10.440 United States,
00:20:11.500 can you therefore
00:20:12.300 conclude that
00:20:13.180 that's true?
00:20:14.960 Nope.
00:20:15.360 And if you
00:20:16.540 think you
00:20:16.960 can, you
00:20:17.840 don't understand
00:20:18.760 enough about
00:20:19.940 how to compare
00:20:20.640 things, enough
00:20:22.020 about the
00:20:22.460 complexity of
00:20:23.300 it, you
00:20:24.000 don't understand
00:20:24.700 how many
00:20:25.200 variables are
00:20:25.940 different, we'll
00:20:26.960 talk about that
00:20:27.480 in a minute, and
00:20:28.520 you don't
00:20:28.840 understand how
00:20:29.500 unreliable data
00:20:30.580 is, and you
00:20:31.400 don't understand
00:20:32.060 that we're only
00:20:32.680 at halftime, and
00:20:34.600 that there's a lot
00:20:35.300 more to play.
00:20:36.340 And there's no
00:20:36.900 reason to think
00:20:37.540 that Germany or
00:20:38.640 any other country
00:20:39.520 that gets a
00:20:40.500 really good grip
00:20:41.300 on it will
00:20:42.500 keep it.
00:20:43.000 What would
00:20:44.420 keep it?
00:20:45.200 What would
00:20:45.820 keep your
00:20:46.300 country that
00:20:47.520 gets a really
00:20:48.060 good grip on
00:20:48.820 it, and
00:20:49.220 really drives
00:20:49.960 those, let's
00:20:50.840 say it drives
00:20:51.340 the death
00:20:51.780 stent of
00:20:52.280 zero.
00:20:53.820 Let's say
00:20:54.280 Germany drives
00:20:55.180 the death
00:20:55.640 stent of
00:20:56.080 zero, keeps
00:20:57.740 it there for
00:20:58.340 two weeks.
00:21:00.180 Impressive,
00:21:00.800 right?
00:21:01.180 I don't know
00:21:01.640 if that'll ever
00:21:02.120 happen, but
00:21:02.620 let's say they
00:21:03.120 do.
00:21:03.980 But the rest
00:21:04.600 of the world
00:21:05.080 is raging.
00:21:06.980 Did Germany
00:21:07.840 win?
00:21:09.700 No.
00:21:11.340 No.
00:21:11.780 Because, hey,
00:21:14.980 carpedunctum?
00:21:17.000 Carpedunctum
00:21:17.520 isn't back, is
00:21:18.220 he?
00:21:19.700 I need to
00:21:20.500 check into
00:21:20.880 that.
00:21:24.080 So, anyway,
00:21:25.200 don't trust any
00:21:26.120 data about
00:21:26.940 anything.
00:21:27.660 That's the
00:21:28.100 general thing
00:21:28.740 you should
00:21:29.020 learn in
00:21:29.500 2020.
00:21:31.060 My new
00:21:31.840 exciting topic,
00:21:33.300 which I'm
00:21:33.820 trying to
00:21:34.240 understand and
00:21:35.040 I'm having a
00:21:35.540 hard time of
00:21:36.080 it, is the
00:21:36.840 idea of the
00:21:38.440 rapid but less
00:21:40.000 sensitive testing.
00:21:41.780 So, carpedunctum
00:21:46.900 is back on
00:21:48.260 Periscope.
00:21:49.300 Can you be
00:21:49.880 banned on
00:21:50.500 Twitter but
00:21:51.020 not on
00:21:51.420 Periscope?
00:21:52.960 So, I don't
00:21:53.660 know what that
00:21:54.140 means.
00:21:55.140 All right, we'll
00:21:55.520 look into that.
00:21:56.840 So, anyway,
00:21:57.260 about the, so
00:21:58.700 there's a
00:21:59.460 concept out
00:22:00.160 there that I'm
00:22:00.740 trying to
00:22:01.100 understand its
00:22:01.880 practicality.
00:22:03.100 And the idea
00:22:03.500 is that for
00:22:04.840 a dollar,
00:22:05.640 maybe five
00:22:06.180 dollars, you
00:22:07.060 can make
00:22:07.380 these easy
00:22:07.980 spit tests
00:22:08.820 tests, where
00:22:09.920 you could
00:22:10.480 just test
00:22:10.980 yourself by
00:22:12.140 spitting in
00:22:12.800 something and
00:22:13.420 seeing if it
00:22:14.020 changes color
00:22:14.680 in a few
00:22:15.100 minutes.
00:22:16.080 Now, the
00:22:16.740 downside, and
00:22:18.000 here's a
00:22:18.480 correction to
00:22:19.200 what I told
00:22:19.640 you yesterday,
00:22:20.580 I think I
00:22:21.160 referred to
00:22:21.720 them as
00:22:22.280 being less
00:22:23.040 accurate.
00:22:24.440 That's not
00:22:25.040 the best way
00:22:25.600 to look at
00:22:26.100 it.
00:22:26.500 The best way
00:22:26.960 to look at
00:22:27.400 it is less
00:22:27.980 sensitive,
00:22:29.220 meaning that
00:22:29.980 it's not
00:22:30.520 going to get
00:22:30.900 somebody who
00:22:31.380 has a little
00:22:31.840 bit of virus
00:22:32.500 that they
00:22:33.240 just picked
00:22:33.800 up.
00:22:34.160 But if
00:22:34.960 you've got
00:22:36.020 a good
00:22:37.160 viral load,
00:22:39.360 it will
00:22:39.760 pick it
00:22:40.100 up fairly
00:22:41.300 reliably.
00:22:43.120 And the
00:22:44.400 thinking is
00:22:45.020 that even
00:22:45.460 if you
00:22:45.800 missed some
00:22:46.920 people who
00:22:47.420 just coincidentally
00:22:48.220 were in that
00:22:48.720 little zone of
00:22:49.700 not much
00:22:50.160 virus yet,
00:22:51.460 you could
00:22:52.040 miss all
00:22:53.300 of them.
00:22:54.380 And you
00:22:54.660 would still
00:22:54.940 have something
00:22:55.420 that would
00:22:55.740 be so
00:22:56.140 powerful if
00:22:57.360 it caught
00:22:57.720 the people
00:22:58.140 who were
00:22:58.400 really the
00:22:58.860 big shedders
00:22:59.820 who had
00:23:00.200 presumably
00:23:01.060 you would
00:23:01.500 shed more
00:23:01.900 if you had
00:23:02.200 more viral
00:23:02.680 load.
00:23:03.160 But I
00:23:03.660 think that
00:23:04.060 that's
00:23:05.380 subject to
00:23:06.400 verification.
00:23:08.760 And so
00:23:09.020 the question
00:23:09.480 is this.
00:23:10.540 What is
00:23:11.020 the regulatory
00:23:11.920 barrier to
00:23:13.560 that?
00:23:13.940 Because there's
00:23:14.340 some kind
00:23:14.700 of FDA
00:23:15.220 emergency
00:23:15.960 approval
00:23:16.740 that's hard
00:23:18.340 to get
00:23:18.840 or they
00:23:19.620 don't want
00:23:20.060 it or
00:23:20.400 something.
00:23:21.280 So there
00:23:21.720 are a bunch
00:23:22.300 of unknowns
00:23:22.860 I'm trying
00:23:23.300 to suss
00:23:24.260 out of
00:23:24.580 this.
00:23:25.700 But the
00:23:26.360 basic idea
00:23:27.160 of could
00:23:27.780 there be
00:23:28.160 a test
00:23:28.800 that is
00:23:30.620 accurate,
00:23:32.160 sensitive
00:23:32.980 enough,
00:23:33.520 I'll
00:23:34.180 stop using
00:23:34.720 the word
00:23:35.000 accurate.
00:23:35.580 So you
00:23:35.800 should do
00:23:36.120 that too.
00:23:37.080 If we're
00:23:38.240 talking about
00:23:38.620 these cheap
00:23:39.260 spit tests,
00:23:41.040 you should
00:23:41.560 talk to them
00:23:42.080 in terms
00:23:42.480 of sensitivity,
00:23:43.940 meaning they're
00:23:44.420 not going to
00:23:44.820 get the
00:23:45.160 small cases,
00:23:47.320 not accuracy
00:23:48.280 per se.
00:23:49.380 But of
00:23:49.920 course accuracy
00:23:50.440 is part of
00:23:50.860 the story.
00:23:52.420 So here's
00:23:52.800 my question.
00:23:53.780 Is it
00:23:54.100 possible for
00:23:55.040 a private
00:23:55.480 company in
00:23:56.120 the United
00:23:56.420 States to
00:23:58.180 produce this
00:23:59.140 test in
00:23:59.900 large quantities
00:24:01.060 and also
00:24:01.960 do their
00:24:02.460 own internal
00:24:03.400 testing to
00:24:05.340 find out that
00:24:06.120 it's sensitive
00:24:06.780 enough?
00:24:10.860 So,
00:24:11.700 somebody says
00:24:12.620 Carpe
00:24:12.980 Dunctum
00:24:13.440 has at
00:24:14.820 2 p.m.
00:24:15.340 Eastern time
00:24:15.980 has a
00:24:16.560 Greg
00:24:16.760 got filled
00:24:17.140 on.
00:24:17.820 So you
00:24:18.880 should watch
00:24:19.340 that.
00:24:21.320 So I'm
00:24:21.980 still looking
00:24:22.360 into this.
00:24:23.560 I know
00:24:23.920 that the
00:24:24.580 task force
00:24:27.000 has probably
00:24:27.500 looked into
00:24:28.020 this by
00:24:28.880 now, or at
00:24:29.640 least they're
00:24:29.940 looking into
00:24:30.400 it, but I
00:24:31.300 got some
00:24:31.600 real questions
00:24:32.320 because if
00:24:34.260 a private
00:24:34.680 company could
00:24:35.300 make this
00:24:35.760 thing, the
00:24:36.860 demand would
00:24:37.620 be off the
00:24:39.360 chart.
00:24:40.360 Let me ask
00:24:41.300 you this.
00:24:42.020 If you
00:24:42.460 could buy
00:24:43.080 a, say,
00:24:45.080 $1 to $5
00:24:45.880 test that
00:24:47.740 would be
00:24:48.380 sensitive enough
00:24:49.760 to know if
00:24:50.280 you had a
00:24:51.060 bad case, but
00:24:51.940 maybe not that
00:24:52.700 first day or
00:24:53.480 so, would
00:24:55.260 you buy it?
00:24:56.540 I would.
00:24:57.920 I'd buy a
00:24:58.580 whole bunch
00:24:58.940 of them.
00:24:59.220 I'd be
00:24:59.940 testing away
00:25:00.740 every few
00:25:01.860 days, just
00:25:02.400 in my own
00:25:02.840 house, if
00:25:03.680 I had them.
00:25:05.160 But here's
00:25:05.800 the money
00:25:06.700 shot.
00:25:07.140 Are you
00:25:07.320 ready?
00:25:08.880 When
00:25:09.440 masks first
00:25:10.920 became
00:25:11.380 recommended,
00:25:12.880 maybe you
00:25:13.600 didn't see
00:25:14.000 this, but
00:25:14.840 it's something
00:25:15.220 I saw, which
00:25:16.700 is that private
00:25:17.420 companies really
00:25:19.080 needed to get
00:25:19.800 masks, and
00:25:20.800 they were
00:25:21.060 scrambling to
00:25:21.780 get them for
00:25:22.280 their employees.
00:25:23.520 Because if
00:25:24.520 you're a
00:25:24.780 private company,
00:25:26.040 and there's
00:25:26.460 something out
00:25:26.980 there that
00:25:27.300 can protect
00:25:28.020 your employees,
00:25:29.220 let's say
00:25:30.220 masks, you
00:25:31.820 have to get
00:25:32.640 it.
00:25:33.860 If you think
00:25:34.800 it's optional
00:25:35.680 that a big
00:25:36.980 private, let's
00:25:38.240 say a Fortune
00:25:38.760 500 company,
00:25:40.060 if you think
00:25:40.640 it's optional
00:25:41.500 for them not
00:25:42.900 to make sure
00:25:43.500 that their
00:25:44.000 employees have
00:25:45.080 the right
00:25:45.400 safety equipment,
00:25:46.440 which in this
00:25:47.020 case would
00:25:47.480 include masks,
00:25:48.640 if you think
00:25:49.200 that's optional,
00:25:50.540 you've never
00:25:51.180 had any
00:25:51.680 experience with
00:25:52.360 corporate America.
00:25:53.160 the moment
00:25:54.520 something is
00:25:55.520 known to be
00:25:56.420 safer, in
00:25:58.820 other words,
00:25:59.360 will protect
00:26:00.820 the employees,
00:26:02.020 the moment
00:26:02.700 that's true,
00:26:04.080 or looks like
00:26:04.880 it's true,
00:26:05.680 they have to
00:26:06.700 get it.
00:26:07.720 They just
00:26:08.100 have to.
00:26:08.900 Because otherwise
00:26:09.360 you're explaining
00:26:10.240 later, you
00:26:11.120 know, why did
00:26:12.060 you let this
00:26:12.700 outbreak rage
00:26:14.400 through your
00:26:15.140 meatpacking
00:26:16.160 plant or your
00:26:17.260 call center
00:26:18.160 when this
00:26:19.300 cheap test
00:26:19.980 was available?
00:26:21.540 You know,
00:26:21.820 how can you,
00:26:23.120 this is a
00:26:24.060 hypothetical of
00:26:24.940 the future,
00:26:25.540 you can imagine
00:26:26.080 this conversation,
00:26:27.440 how could you
00:26:28.060 Facebook let
00:26:29.700 your employees
00:26:30.360 get this
00:26:31.320 infection,
00:26:32.120 X of them
00:26:32.640 died,
00:26:33.440 how could you
00:26:34.100 let that happen
00:26:34.700 when you knew
00:26:35.160 there was this
00:26:35.620 cheap test
00:26:36.280 that probably
00:26:37.680 would have
00:26:37.980 prevented it?
00:26:39.180 It's a big
00:26:39.860 liability,
00:26:40.800 it's something
00:26:41.560 they need to
00:26:42.080 explain,
00:26:42.980 and honestly,
00:26:45.000 you know,
00:26:45.380 corporations are
00:26:46.080 not the devil,
00:26:47.120 they're staffed
00:26:47.980 by human beings,
00:26:49.320 and the human
00:26:50.200 beings,
00:26:51.060 even in human
00:26:51.860 resources,
00:26:52.960 who are barely
00:26:53.720 human,
00:26:54.360 sorry,
00:26:55.040 I created a
00:26:56.480 character named
00:26:57.060 Catbert,
00:26:57.680 so I can say
00:26:58.420 that,
00:26:59.080 but it's not
00:26:59.540 personal.
00:27:00.880 There's probably
00:27:01.700 no human who
00:27:03.200 wouldn't want to
00:27:03.800 protect their
00:27:04.940 co-workers as
00:27:05.800 well.
00:27:06.460 So forget about
00:27:07.180 the corporate,
00:27:07.880 forget about the
00:27:08.460 liability,
00:27:09.260 forget about,
00:27:10.200 you know,
00:27:10.740 how it looks for
00:27:11.520 their brand.
00:27:13.100 Corporations are
00:27:13.820 people,
00:27:14.840 they're going to
00:27:15.360 protect each
00:27:15.920 other.
00:27:16.580 So the demand
00:27:17.600 for such a
00:27:18.560 test,
00:27:18.940 if it could
00:27:20.120 be created,
00:27:21.200 if it could
00:27:21.900 be sensitive
00:27:22.940 enough and
00:27:24.200 accurate enough
00:27:24.880 at the same
00:27:25.380 time,
00:27:26.660 the demand
00:27:27.800 would be
00:27:28.540 unbelievable.
00:27:30.340 There's no way
00:27:30.960 we could make
00:27:31.500 enough.
00:27:32.880 So you don't
00:27:34.440 even need the
00:27:36.020 government to
00:27:37.160 lay down any
00:27:38.120 rules.
00:27:38.720 If you simply
00:27:39.660 said,
00:27:40.300 let's open
00:27:41.360 up,
00:27:42.500 you know,
00:27:42.800 just open up
00:27:43.380 the businesses,
00:27:44.080 do what you
00:27:44.480 can,
00:27:45.240 but at the
00:27:45.860 same time,
00:27:46.860 tests were
00:27:47.340 widely available.
00:27:48.920 If you were
00:27:49.280 a bar,
00:27:50.660 would you
00:27:51.700 open up or
00:27:52.420 would you say,
00:27:52.960 look,
00:27:53.200 it's only five
00:27:53.880 minutes to get
00:27:54.520 into the bar.
00:27:55.680 You just stand
00:27:56.620 in the line
00:27:57.180 outside the
00:27:57.780 bar,
00:27:59.200 spit in the
00:27:59.880 thing,
00:28:00.760 it won't get
00:28:01.340 all of you,
00:28:02.660 but at least
00:28:03.440 we're doing
00:28:03.820 what we can
00:28:04.440 do.
00:28:05.560 All right?
00:28:06.120 I think even
00:28:06.780 a bar uses
00:28:07.520 it because,
00:28:08.860 you know,
00:28:09.040 a dollar per
00:28:09.760 customer might
00:28:11.260 be worth it
00:28:11.780 if you could
00:28:12.080 get it down
00:28:12.460 to that.
00:28:12.760 Anyway,
00:28:13.740 David Boxenhorn
00:28:15.080 has been
00:28:16.920 helpful in
00:28:17.860 collecting a
00:28:19.200 lot of these
00:28:19.720 tweets and
00:28:20.800 ideas and
00:28:21.560 talking about
00:28:23.120 this.
00:28:23.720 So if you
00:28:24.080 want to
00:28:24.300 follow him,
00:28:24.800 you'll see
00:28:25.100 him in
00:28:25.460 some of
00:28:27.020 my tweets
00:28:27.460 at
00:28:27.880 David Boxenhorn.
00:28:30.440 B-O-X-E-N-H-O-R-N.
00:28:34.200 I should say
00:28:35.260 that Adam
00:28:37.620 Townsend on
00:28:38.660 Twitter,
00:28:39.500 if you
00:28:40.040 follow him,
00:28:41.360 you know that
00:28:41.780 he probably
00:28:43.420 has the
00:28:43.840 widest
00:28:44.440 talent stack
00:28:45.580 you'll ever
00:28:45.960 see in your
00:28:46.340 life.
00:28:47.980 It's like
00:28:48.600 ridiculous,
00:28:49.340 the number
00:28:49.680 of things
00:28:50.020 he knows
00:28:50.540 in different
00:28:51.260 areas.
00:28:52.100 He speaks
00:28:53.120 fluent Mandarin
00:28:54.100 apparently.
00:28:55.980 And he
00:28:56.620 is not
00:28:57.040 sold on
00:28:57.640 this idea
00:28:58.100 of the
00:28:58.360 cheap
00:28:58.560 tests.
00:28:59.480 But his
00:29:00.560 explanation
00:29:01.340 for why
00:29:01.860 he's not
00:29:02.200 sold on
00:29:02.680 it,
00:29:03.140 I don't
00:29:03.620 understand.
00:29:04.860 So that's
00:29:05.260 where I am
00:29:05.680 at the
00:29:05.960 moment.
00:29:06.600 So there
00:29:07.000 is an
00:29:07.360 argument
00:29:07.660 by somebody
00:29:08.320 who knows
00:29:08.740 a lot
00:29:09.000 more than
00:29:09.320 I do,
00:29:10.280 but I
00:29:10.700 don't
00:29:10.960 understand
00:29:11.400 the
00:29:11.560 argument.
00:29:12.240 That's
00:29:12.420 where
00:29:12.560 that's
00:29:12.860 at.
00:29:13.040 Just be
00:29:13.620 aware that
00:29:14.020 there's a
00:29:14.380 counter
00:29:14.600 argument.
00:29:16.780 George
00:29:17.320 Takai,
00:29:18.140 you may
00:29:18.600 know him
00:29:19.160 from playing
00:29:20.620 Sulu in
00:29:21.440 the original
00:29:22.220 Star Trek
00:29:23.760 series,
00:29:25.260 but also
00:29:25.960 at the
00:29:26.660 moment he's
00:29:27.260 a big
00:29:27.940 anti-Trumper
00:29:28.700 and he's
00:29:29.480 very funny
00:29:30.060 on Twitter.
00:29:31.480 He's come
00:29:32.120 after me at
00:29:32.740 least once
00:29:33.360 on Twitter,
00:29:34.500 but I like
00:29:35.160 him.
00:29:35.780 I can't
00:29:36.560 not like
00:29:37.020 him because
00:29:37.580 he's so
00:29:37.940 damn
00:29:38.160 entertaining.
00:29:38.620 And I
00:29:39.680 think it's
00:29:41.440 hard for me
00:29:41.960 to dislike
00:29:42.660 anybody who
00:29:44.340 clearly has
00:29:45.040 good intentions.
00:29:46.500 You could
00:29:47.140 disagree with
00:29:48.020 him on
00:29:48.400 everything,
00:29:49.420 but I
00:29:49.900 can't dislike
00:29:50.560 him.
00:29:51.620 First of all,
00:29:52.320 I liked him
00:29:53.080 as an actor.
00:29:54.360 I like him
00:29:54.880 even better
00:29:55.320 on Twitter
00:29:55.720 because he's
00:29:56.200 hilarious.
00:29:57.380 And he has
00:29:58.000 good intentions,
00:29:58.920 I believe.
00:29:59.840 It's what I
00:30:00.900 see from him.
00:30:02.200 So somehow
00:30:02.960 he doesn't
00:30:03.740 bother me at
00:30:04.320 all,
00:30:05.340 whereas other
00:30:05.940 people might,
00:30:06.520 because I
00:30:06.900 feel like
00:30:07.340 their intentions
00:30:07.980 are not
00:30:08.500 pure.
00:30:09.300 They just
00:30:09.700 want to
00:30:10.000 win or
00:30:10.500 something.
00:30:11.100 I don't
00:30:11.440 think that's
00:30:11.820 the case
00:30:12.200 with George
00:30:12.660 Takai.
00:30:13.120 I think
00:30:13.340 he's a
00:30:13.620 good guy.
00:30:14.760 He just
00:30:15.060 has a
00:30:15.320 different view
00:30:15.840 of what
00:30:16.580 a better
00:30:17.300 world looks
00:30:17.840 like.
00:30:19.420 But he
00:30:20.700 tweeted
00:30:21.500 this,
00:30:22.700 and I'm
00:30:23.080 paraphrasing
00:30:23.580 because I
00:30:23.900 don't have
00:30:24.160 it in front
00:30:24.480 of me,
00:30:24.720 but basically
00:30:25.160 he asked,
00:30:26.380 he was
00:30:26.860 trying to
00:30:27.220 imagine how
00:30:27.920 hard it
00:30:28.300 would be
00:30:28.740 to be the
00:30:29.760 White House
00:30:30.180 staffer who
00:30:30.900 is asked
00:30:31.440 to make a
00:30:32.540 chart showing
00:30:33.200 that Trump
00:30:33.640 had done a
00:30:34.160 good job
00:30:34.760 on the
00:30:35.680 coronavirus.
00:30:36.060 In other
00:30:36.700 words,
00:30:36.980 compared to
00:30:37.420 other
00:30:37.620 countries or
00:30:38.360 anything else.
00:30:39.740 And I
00:30:40.800 saw that and
00:30:41.300 I thought,
00:30:42.000 if I were
00:30:43.040 that staffer,
00:30:44.120 I could do
00:30:45.040 that.
00:30:45.680 It wouldn't
00:30:45.920 even be
00:30:46.180 hard.
00:30:46.920 How hard
00:30:47.520 would it
00:30:47.820 be to
00:30:49.240 come up
00:30:49.620 with some
00:30:50.040 graphs that
00:30:50.740 show that
00:30:51.100 the United
00:30:51.560 States is
00:30:52.180 doing a
00:30:52.640 good job
00:30:53.160 on the
00:30:53.480 coronavirus
00:30:53.940 compared to
00:30:55.020 other
00:30:55.220 countries?
00:30:56.260 It wouldn't
00:30:56.760 even be a
00:30:57.200 little bit
00:30:57.520 hard.
00:30:58.340 Now,
00:30:58.640 if you
00:30:58.980 think it
00:30:59.360 would be
00:30:59.620 hard,
00:31:00.380 you've
00:31:00.680 never done
00:31:01.100 this for
00:31:01.480 a living.
00:31:02.560 I've
00:31:02.960 done this
00:31:03.320 for a
00:31:03.620 living.
00:31:04.280 So in
00:31:04.640 my corporate
00:31:05.120 days,
00:31:06.060 this is
00:31:06.400 exactly what
00:31:07.060 I do.
00:31:07.580 I would
00:31:07.900 present
00:31:08.260 information
00:31:09.060 to management
00:31:11.040 and I
00:31:12.380 would have
00:31:12.780 control of
00:31:13.760 what I
00:31:14.080 showed them
00:31:14.520 and what
00:31:14.860 I didn't.
00:31:15.880 Do you
00:31:16.080 know how
00:31:16.400 easy it
00:31:17.040 was for
00:31:17.780 me to
00:31:18.080 make
00:31:18.260 something
00:31:18.540 to look
00:31:18.960 good or
00:31:19.860 to look
00:31:20.200 bad with
00:31:20.700 the same
00:31:21.020 data?
00:31:21.700 It's easy.
00:31:22.560 You
00:31:23.260 make some
00:31:24.340 assumptions,
00:31:25.020 slap
00:31:25.260 together and
00:31:25.860 suddenly good
00:31:26.560 becomes bad
00:31:27.320 or bad
00:31:27.680 becomes good.
00:31:29.040 So regardless
00:31:30.000 of how the
00:31:30.800 president is
00:31:31.420 actually doing,
00:31:33.580 so there's two
00:31:34.320 parts here,
00:31:34.820 is he actually
00:31:35.340 doing well?
00:31:36.420 But independent
00:31:37.240 of whether he's
00:31:37.880 doing well or
00:31:38.540 not, I could
00:31:40.200 totally put those
00:31:41.040 charts together.
00:31:42.300 Are you kidding
00:31:42.740 me?
00:31:43.480 Lying with data
00:31:44.400 is the easiest
00:31:44.940 thing in the
00:31:45.400 world.
00:31:45.980 Wouldn't even
00:31:46.400 be a challenge.
00:31:47.000 I was going
00:31:48.020 to tweet back
00:31:48.660 at him, but
00:31:49.180 I got bored
00:31:51.100 with my own
00:31:51.720 tweet because
00:31:52.700 it was going
00:31:53.020 to be too
00:31:53.360 long.
00:31:54.180 But here's
00:31:54.640 what I was
00:31:55.000 going to
00:31:55.220 say.
00:31:56.220 Let me show
00:31:57.000 you my
00:31:57.460 no Cuomo
00:31:58.180 slide.
00:31:59.260 The slide
00:32:00.000 where we
00:32:00.340 show how
00:32:00.680 the president
00:32:01.200 did if
00:32:03.800 he had
00:32:04.120 no Cuomo.
00:32:06.120 So I'd
00:32:06.840 call that
00:32:07.180 the no
00:32:07.640 Cuomo
00:32:08.020 slide.
00:32:09.180 The United
00:32:09.560 States
00:32:09.980 death rate
00:32:10.660 without
00:32:12.300 Cuomo.
00:32:13.960 Now,
00:32:14.580 again,
00:32:15.460 none of
00:32:16.160 these
00:32:16.340 individually.
00:32:17.000 are going
00:32:17.320 to tell
00:32:17.560 the case.
00:32:18.680 How about
00:32:19.120 comparing the
00:32:20.200 president only
00:32:21.000 to the other
00:32:21.880 countries that
00:32:22.560 have similar
00:32:23.300 strong states
00:32:24.580 rights with
00:32:25.420 governors?
00:32:26.180 How would
00:32:26.640 that look?
00:32:27.800 I don't even
00:32:28.260 know who
00:32:28.520 that is.
00:32:29.500 Can anybody
00:32:29.900 tell me who
00:32:31.220 would be our
00:32:31.780 comparables in
00:32:33.320 terms of having
00:32:34.040 50 or a lot
00:32:36.320 of states that
00:32:37.400 have individual
00:32:38.100 power?
00:32:40.080 Is there any
00:32:40.760 comparable?
00:32:41.860 Because if you're
00:32:42.400 not comparing us
00:32:43.260 to countries that
00:32:44.920 have that same
00:32:45.540 state situation,
00:32:47.000 is that an
00:32:49.320 accurate comparison?
00:32:50.340 I would think
00:32:50.740 not.
00:32:52.200 How about
00:32:52.780 comparing us to
00:32:53.620 countries with
00:32:54.340 the same
00:32:54.960 average age?
00:32:56.680 Who's doing
00:32:57.420 that?
00:32:58.640 Let me ask
00:32:59.380 you this.
00:33:00.900 You know,
00:33:01.320 you keep
00:33:01.620 hearing that
00:33:02.220 Africa doesn't
00:33:03.320 seem to be
00:33:03.820 having the
00:33:04.320 calamity that
00:33:05.620 you thought it
00:33:06.160 would, because
00:33:07.220 they have less
00:33:07.960 health care, we
00:33:08.820 assume.
00:33:09.140 here's a reason
00:33:12.340 why, maybe.
00:33:14.600 The average age
00:33:15.920 in the United
00:33:17.760 States, not
00:33:18.320 average, the
00:33:18.900 median, so
00:33:19.900 half of the
00:33:20.420 people are below
00:33:21.060 it, half of the
00:33:21.680 people are above
00:33:22.240 it.
00:33:22.840 In the United
00:33:23.320 States, the
00:33:23.820 median age for
00:33:25.040 all of our
00:33:25.540 residents is
00:33:26.220 39.
00:33:27.820 I didn't know
00:33:28.560 what it was
00:33:28.900 until I looked
00:33:29.400 it up.
00:33:30.120 Very similar to
00:33:30.900 China.
00:33:31.740 So the median
00:33:32.400 age in China is
00:33:33.280 38.
00:33:34.520 Italy, older,
00:33:35.980 46, and sure
00:33:37.040 enough, they
00:33:37.420 had a bad
00:33:38.660 outcome, and
00:33:40.020 they have one
00:33:40.400 of the oldest
00:33:40.880 countries.
00:33:42.520 But what do
00:33:43.100 you think is
00:33:43.600 the average, not
00:33:44.900 average, the
00:33:45.700 median age in
00:33:47.740 Africa?
00:33:49.140 What would you
00:33:49.620 guess in the
00:33:50.960 comments, before
00:33:52.160 I tell you the
00:33:52.680 answer, guess the
00:33:54.060 median age in
00:33:55.440 Africa, the age
00:33:56.960 upon which half
00:33:57.880 of the country is
00:33:58.560 below it and half
00:33:59.500 of the country is
00:34:00.100 above it.
00:34:00.820 What would you
00:34:01.300 guess?
00:34:02.020 If the United
00:34:02.740 States is 39,
00:34:04.940 Italy is 46,
00:34:06.540 what do you
00:34:06.860 think Africa
00:34:07.400 is?
00:34:10.460 It's between
00:34:11.220 16 and
00:34:12.040 18.
00:34:13.920 That's right.
00:34:14.800 The median
00:34:15.400 age in
00:34:16.280 Africa is
00:34:18.060 between 16
00:34:19.280 and 18 for
00:34:20.720 a number of
00:34:21.180 the countries.
00:34:21.680 I didn't look
00:34:22.060 at every
00:34:22.360 country, but
00:34:23.300 a lot of
00:34:24.020 the countries
00:34:24.440 in Africa,
00:34:25.540 yeah, it's
00:34:26.360 teenage.
00:34:27.720 Teenage is
00:34:28.440 the median.
00:34:29.600 So is there
00:34:30.760 a reason that
00:34:31.540 Africa is
00:34:32.520 doing fairly
00:34:33.080 well?
00:34:34.020 Probably that.
00:34:35.400 I mean, it's
00:34:35.800 got to be some
00:34:36.760 of that.
00:34:38.100 So where
00:34:38.680 are the charts
00:34:39.200 that only
00:34:41.280 compare us to
00:34:42.140 countries that
00:34:42.800 have the same
00:34:43.380 median age?
00:34:45.080 I haven't seen
00:34:45.560 that yet.
00:34:46.600 Where is the
00:34:47.120 country that
00:34:47.740 shows the
00:34:48.460 vitamin D
00:34:49.160 levels in
00:34:49.920 each country?
00:34:51.360 Where is the
00:34:52.060 chart that shows
00:34:52.920 the quality of
00:34:53.980 the data?
00:34:54.840 So the only
00:34:55.420 countries we're
00:34:56.080 compared to are
00:34:56.920 the ones where
00:34:57.480 we trust the
00:34:58.440 data.
00:34:59.220 Do you trust
00:34:59.760 China's data?
00:35:01.160 I don't.
00:35:01.960 How about
00:35:02.320 Turkey?
00:35:03.600 Turkey's doing
00:35:04.240 a great job,
00:35:05.060 huh?
00:35:09.180 Don't know.
00:35:10.540 Do you believe
00:35:11.060 any data coming
00:35:11.880 out of Turkey?
00:35:12.840 So the first
00:35:13.460 thing I would do
00:35:14.020 is do a slide
00:35:14.840 of countries that
00:35:15.900 we could trust
00:35:16.500 the data or we
00:35:17.400 think we can.
00:35:18.640 How do we look?
00:35:19.640 If we're only
00:35:20.280 compared to the
00:35:20.920 countries that
00:35:23.080 have reasonably
00:35:24.080 good data, do we
00:35:24.980 still look bad?
00:35:26.220 I don't know.
00:35:27.040 I'd have to see.
00:35:28.500 How about
00:35:28.940 countries with
00:35:30.260 different quality
00:35:30.840 of health care?
00:35:31.560 That's got to be
00:35:32.040 a factor.
00:35:32.880 How about
00:35:33.180 different weather,
00:35:34.200 different styles
00:35:34.860 of outdoor living?
00:35:36.900 And then
00:35:37.540 hydroxychloroquine.
00:35:41.380 I hypothesized
00:35:42.860 that if it turns
00:35:44.360 out that
00:35:44.760 hydroxychloroquine
00:35:45.980 works, that we
00:35:47.840 should see a
00:35:48.720 CNN effect,
00:35:50.460 meaning that the
00:35:51.260 more penetration
00:35:52.200 CNN has on
00:35:53.520 the consciousness
00:35:54.840 of the country
00:35:55.640 in other
00:35:56.720 countries, the
00:35:58.120 less likely they
00:35:59.080 would use
00:35:59.480 hydroxychloroquine
00:36:00.520 because CNN has
00:36:01.480 been saying it's
00:36:02.020 poison.
00:36:03.360 So the hypothesis
00:36:05.240 is that if you
00:36:06.200 just took all
00:36:06.920 the CNN
00:36:07.980 countries and
00:36:09.360 compared them to
00:36:10.180 all the non-CNN
00:36:11.480 countries, that
00:36:12.980 the countries who
00:36:13.800 did not watch
00:36:14.720 CNN as much,
00:36:16.720 because I think
00:36:17.260 it has penetration
00:36:17.880 everywhere, but
00:36:18.840 the ones who
00:36:19.200 didn't watch it
00:36:19.880 as much, or
00:36:22.380 wait for it,
00:36:23.500 didn't watch it
00:36:25.040 in English.
00:36:27.040 Because if you
00:36:27.940 don't watch the
00:36:29.240 main, let's say,
00:36:30.680 American news
00:36:32.080 people in
00:36:33.040 English, I
00:36:34.460 don't know if
00:36:34.960 you're watching
00:36:35.520 them at all.
00:36:37.720 So at the
00:36:39.900 same time that I
00:36:40.620 asked this
00:36:41.000 question, and
00:36:42.240 I'm keeping my
00:36:43.680 estimate of
00:36:45.460 whether hydroxychloroquine
00:36:46.740 works at 50%,
00:36:48.100 so later, if it
00:36:49.880 turns out it
00:36:50.420 doesn't work, do
00:36:51.880 not come to me
00:36:52.840 and say, Scott,
00:36:54.200 you said it
00:36:54.640 would work.
00:36:55.440 No, never,
00:36:57.640 never said that.
00:37:00.200 I said, looks
00:37:01.520 like about a
00:37:02.020 50-50 chance to
00:37:03.180 me, based on
00:37:04.480 the unreliable
00:37:05.440 information we're
00:37:06.260 getting.
00:37:06.480 but, but, turns
00:37:09.840 out there's a
00:37:10.340 little kicker
00:37:10.800 today.
00:37:12.960 Not only did
00:37:13.880 the Swiss decide
00:37:14.980 that they're
00:37:15.500 going to use
00:37:15.860 hydroxychloroquine,
00:37:17.120 and can somebody
00:37:18.220 remind me, does
00:37:19.720 Switzerland also
00:37:20.580 have doctors and
00:37:22.520 scientists in
00:37:24.100 Switzerland?
00:37:25.180 Because I was
00:37:25.880 pretty sure that
00:37:26.640 doctors and
00:37:27.520 scientists and
00:37:28.300 experts don't
00:37:29.120 think hydroxychloroquine
00:37:30.320 works.
00:37:31.220 And yet, and
00:37:32.400 yet, suspiciously,
00:37:34.540 the Swiss, who I
00:37:36.100 think have
00:37:36.580 doctors, I
00:37:37.820 think they have
00:37:38.460 experts, they've
00:37:39.720 decided, they've
00:37:40.460 looked at all the
00:37:41.100 information, and
00:37:42.460 while the RPT,
00:37:43.980 gold standard kind
00:37:44.960 of test does not
00:37:46.000 exist for the
00:37:47.060 early use, they've
00:37:48.700 decided that it's
00:37:49.740 worth using.
00:37:51.560 Huh.
00:37:52.580 Oh, that's just
00:37:53.560 an appetizer.
00:37:54.880 Are you ready?
00:37:55.420 Are you ready for
00:37:55.940 the main course?
00:37:57.520 Here it comes.
00:37:58.960 The next thing I
00:38:00.040 tell you, I don't
00:38:00.980 know how much
00:38:02.040 credibility to put
00:38:04.040 on it.
00:38:04.560 I really don't.
00:38:05.460 But, I'll
00:38:07.020 report it.
00:38:07.880 I tweeted it, you
00:38:08.720 can see for
00:38:09.180 yourself.
00:38:10.500 So, Twitter
00:38:11.460 user Gummy
00:38:12.420 Bear, and if
00:38:15.080 you're not
00:38:15.400 following Gummy
00:38:16.100 Bear, just look
00:38:16.900 for my tweet, and
00:38:17.740 you should follow
00:38:18.700 Gummy Bear.
00:38:20.800 Is an alias,
00:38:22.000 obviously, of
00:38:22.460 somebody who knows
00:38:23.440 what they're talking
00:38:23.980 about, but does
00:38:24.880 not want to be
00:38:25.960 public.
00:38:27.380 And a point
00:38:28.460 alerted me to a
00:38:30.000 test, or an
00:38:31.540 analysis by
00:38:32.280 at COVID
00:38:33.140 analysis, another
00:38:34.260 one you should
00:38:34.700 follow.
00:38:36.000 And they're
00:38:37.080 talking about a
00:38:37.660 test, a trial,
00:38:39.180 a pretty big
00:38:39.980 trial.
00:38:41.060 Is it a trial or
00:38:42.480 a study?
00:38:43.540 I guess it would
00:38:44.180 be a study.
00:38:45.620 So, what they did
00:38:46.640 is they looked at
00:38:47.480 all the countries
00:38:48.660 where you were
00:38:49.440 pretty sure, you
00:38:51.020 know, they could
00:38:51.420 verify with experts
00:38:52.780 that hydroxychloroquine
00:38:54.340 was being used
00:38:55.340 early and often.
00:38:57.160 And then they
00:38:57.660 compared it to the
00:38:58.520 basket of countries
00:38:59.520 that were not
00:39:00.820 using it, or were
00:39:02.120 using it sparsely,
00:39:04.280 I guess.
00:39:05.280 What do you think
00:39:05.840 was the difference
00:39:06.660 between the
00:39:07.300 countries that used
00:39:08.340 hydroxychloroquine and
00:39:10.260 the ones that did
00:39:11.100 not?
00:39:11.640 Well, according to
00:39:12.440 this study, and
00:39:14.100 again, remember the
00:39:15.000 context.
00:39:15.920 This is 2020.
00:39:17.720 The most important
00:39:18.600 thing you should keep
00:39:19.400 in your mind whenever
00:39:20.260 you hear data is
00:39:22.040 that it's wrong.
00:39:24.260 Is that it's wrong.
00:39:25.300 All data is wrong.
00:39:27.800 In 2020, all data
00:39:30.260 is unreliable.
00:39:31.440 It's just, I'm
00:39:32.120 sorry, I want this
00:39:33.740 to be true, but
00:39:35.080 they say there was
00:39:35.700 a 79% lower death
00:39:37.440 rate in the
00:39:38.040 countries using
00:39:38.820 hydroxychloroquine
00:39:39.920 early.
00:39:43.400 79%.
00:39:43.920 Is that true?
00:39:45.880 Well, all data
00:39:47.720 is wrong.
00:39:48.600 So, I'm still
00:39:49.440 at 50-50.
00:39:50.960 Now, the fact that
00:39:51.920 they looked at all
00:39:52.720 those countries, it
00:39:53.940 feels like it's
00:39:54.580 something that
00:39:55.060 somebody else
00:39:55.640 could check,
00:39:56.620 right?
00:39:57.340 Doesn't it feel like
00:39:58.140 somebody could say,
00:39:58.900 all right, show me
00:39:59.420 your work, this
00:40:01.400 country you got
00:40:02.060 wrong, take that
00:40:02.920 one out or
00:40:03.420 something.
00:40:04.040 So, I feel as
00:40:04.800 though in the next
00:40:05.420 week or so, people
00:40:07.620 are going to pick it
00:40:08.260 apart and they
00:40:08.960 will either confirm
00:40:09.880 it or they will
00:40:12.080 exclude it.
00:40:12.980 And by the way,
00:40:13.620 this study also
00:40:14.700 made some
00:40:15.780 adjustments for
00:40:17.440 some of the
00:40:18.700 other factors.
00:40:20.020 Some of the
00:40:20.620 other factors such
00:40:21.440 as age, disease,
00:40:22.600 et cetera.
00:40:23.760 Now, I don't
00:40:24.380 think they
00:40:24.780 probably looked
00:40:26.420 at every factor
00:40:27.140 you could look
00:40:27.640 at, but they
00:40:28.500 did take out
00:40:29.100 some of the
00:40:29.700 major ones like
00:40:30.360 age and disease.
00:40:32.960 79% lower
00:40:34.300 death rate.
00:40:35.360 What if that's
00:40:36.080 true?
00:40:38.260 Seriously.
00:40:39.660 What if that's
00:40:40.540 true?
00:40:41.600 Do you know
00:40:42.060 how many people
00:40:42.660 CNN killed if
00:40:43.900 that's true?
00:40:45.180 And I mean
00:40:45.940 that.
00:40:46.640 I mean CNN
00:40:48.240 killed if this
00:40:50.400 is true.
00:40:51.220 Because I do
00:40:52.040 think there's a
00:40:52.700 CNN effect.
00:40:53.600 Now, I use
00:40:54.000 them as a
00:40:54.540 stand-in for
00:40:55.220 the anti-Trump
00:40:56.980 media, but
00:40:57.720 they might have
00:41:00.340 some explaining
00:41:00.900 to do, I
00:41:02.620 think.
00:41:06.680 I heard that
00:41:07.640 Turkey has a
00:41:09.000 good result
00:41:09.820 because partly
00:41:11.620 they're using
00:41:12.100 hydroxychloroquine
00:41:13.180 and partly they
00:41:14.920 say that they
00:41:15.500 have an extensive
00:41:16.340 testing and
00:41:17.420 tracing system.
00:41:18.160 That's right,
00:41:20.380 Turkey reports
00:41:21.460 that they have
00:41:21.880 an extensive
00:41:22.440 testing and
00:41:23.180 tracing system.
00:41:24.160 So you say
00:41:24.900 to yourself,
00:41:25.800 what?
00:41:26.920 If Turkey can
00:41:27.960 have an extensive
00:41:28.720 testing and
00:41:29.840 tracing system,
00:41:31.020 why can't we
00:41:31.840 have that in
00:41:32.320 the United
00:41:32.580 States?
00:41:33.480 The United
00:41:33.960 States has
00:41:34.440 mostly testing
00:41:35.380 for people who
00:41:36.100 have some
00:41:36.460 symptoms, which
00:41:37.840 is different
00:41:38.320 from testing
00:41:39.820 and tracing in
00:41:40.660 a way that you
00:41:41.180 can actually
00:41:41.640 tamp down the
00:41:43.020 virus.
00:41:43.860 Ours is more
00:41:44.640 a medical
00:41:45.640 diagnosis.
00:41:46.300 testing to
00:41:47.680 see if you
00:41:48.060 have it so
00:41:49.200 that they can
00:41:49.700 treat you and
00:41:50.480 by the way,
00:41:51.220 keep away from
00:41:51.780 other people for
00:41:52.420 a while.
00:41:53.180 But we don't
00:41:53.800 test in the
00:41:54.600 way that we're
00:41:55.060 trying to use
00:41:55.700 testing to
00:41:57.140 suppress the
00:41:58.380 virus.
00:41:58.860 We don't have
00:41:59.340 that.
00:41:59.880 That's what the
00:42:00.440 cheap tests
00:42:01.040 could do if
00:42:02.300 they work.
00:42:03.460 Now, do you
00:42:05.340 believe that
00:42:06.740 Turkey really
00:42:08.700 has an
00:42:09.200 extensive
00:42:09.600 testing and
00:42:10.820 tracing system?
00:42:12.860 Let me say
00:42:13.520 this, having
00:42:14.220 worked with
00:42:14.860 many large
00:42:15.500 organizations,
00:42:16.620 and in my
00:42:17.380 capacity, not
00:42:18.580 as mind
00:42:19.060 reader, but
00:42:20.600 as the
00:42:21.060 Dilbert
00:42:21.540 creator who
00:42:24.100 knows a
00:42:25.020 thing about
00:42:25.480 bureaucracy,
00:42:27.000 here's my
00:42:28.380 belief.
00:42:29.500 There is no
00:42:30.200 country that's
00:42:31.800 doing testing
00:42:32.600 and contact
00:42:33.320 tracing in
00:42:34.580 any real
00:42:35.460 useful way.
00:42:38.740 Oh, there
00:42:39.300 are countries
00:42:39.860 that say they
00:42:40.540 are.
00:42:41.340 Oh, yeah.
00:42:42.520 Yeah, there
00:42:43.080 are countries
00:42:43.480 that say they're
00:42:44.120 doing it, but
00:42:45.300 it is my
00:42:46.200 belief there
00:42:47.480 is no
00:42:47.900 country doing
00:42:48.560 it.
00:42:49.220 I don't
00:42:49.640 believe it
00:42:50.120 for a second.
00:42:52.040 And remember,
00:42:52.600 all data is
00:42:53.300 wrong.
00:42:54.700 Don't tell me
00:42:55.420 data is plural.
00:42:56.880 I'm not hearing
00:42:57.720 any of it.
00:42:58.700 Data is
00:42:59.340 wrong.
00:43:00.860 And I'm going
00:43:01.600 to make that
00:43:02.000 common usage
00:43:02.620 if it's the
00:43:03.220 last thing I
00:43:03.740 do.
00:43:05.680 Yeah.
00:43:06.480 So, don't
00:43:07.180 believe anything
00:43:07.780 about another
00:43:08.400 country doing
00:43:09.160 all this great
00:43:09.820 testing.
00:43:10.340 That's BS.
00:43:11.420 All right.
00:43:12.580 Have you
00:43:12.880 seen today's
00:43:13.880 latest Biden's
00:43:15.300 brain is not
00:43:16.020 working video?
00:43:18.300 I don't know
00:43:19.840 if they're
00:43:20.200 getting sadder
00:43:21.160 as we go,
00:43:22.760 but I want
00:43:25.380 to have fun
00:43:26.080 with politics
00:43:27.720 because I use
00:43:28.560 it as my
00:43:29.040 entertainment,
00:43:30.080 as many of
00:43:30.720 you do.
00:43:31.360 I want to
00:43:31.960 enjoy the
00:43:33.440 horse race of
00:43:34.480 it.
00:43:34.640 I want to
00:43:34.980 enjoy the
00:43:35.500 election, the
00:43:36.840 back and
00:43:37.340 forth, the
00:43:38.520 tweets.
00:43:39.020 I want to
00:43:39.500 enjoy it.
00:43:40.940 But when I
00:43:41.580 watch Biden
00:43:43.040 struggle to
00:43:44.460 form sentences,
00:43:45.940 I don't have
00:43:47.060 enjoyment from
00:43:47.780 that.
00:43:48.660 I really, that
00:43:49.640 kind of brings
00:43:50.340 me down because
00:43:51.780 whoever is
00:43:54.460 letting him do
00:43:55.200 this is just
00:43:56.120 unkind.
00:43:57.360 It's beyond
00:43:58.140 unkind.
00:43:59.200 It's just,
00:44:00.600 they're just
00:44:01.260 jerks at this
00:44:02.120 point.
00:44:02.640 I mean, the
00:44:03.280 Democrats are
00:44:03.800 just jerks for
00:44:04.920 letting this go
00:44:05.540 on.
00:44:06.460 Now, one
00:44:07.840 assumes they
00:44:08.620 have some
00:44:09.020 kind of
00:44:09.460 plan or
00:44:10.720 backup plan
00:44:11.460 they're working
00:44:11.940 on.
00:44:12.820 But at
00:44:13.980 this point,
00:44:14.600 if you
00:44:14.980 can't manage
00:44:15.900 this, if
00:44:18.420 you can't
00:44:18.840 manage this,
00:44:19.660 it's just
00:44:20.000 one guy who's
00:44:21.240 got a medical
00:44:21.800 problem.
00:44:23.200 Obvious
00:44:23.720 one.
00:44:24.560 If you
00:44:24.920 can't manage
00:44:25.480 this, oh,
00:44:28.280 don't give me
00:44:28.980 stutters.
00:44:30.240 Come on.
00:44:30.940 We're way
00:44:31.360 past that.
00:44:32.680 We're way
00:44:33.400 past it's a
00:44:34.160 stutter.
00:44:35.360 We're not
00:44:35.620 even close
00:44:36.060 to that.
00:44:36.440 But I
00:44:40.120 hear what
00:44:40.420 you're
00:44:40.560 saying.
00:44:44.880 My
00:44:45.480 personal
00:44:47.100 opinion is
00:44:47.800 there isn't
00:44:48.240 the slightest
00:44:48.800 chance that
00:44:49.560 Joe Biden
00:44:50.000 can win the
00:44:50.600 presidency.
00:44:51.640 I think all
00:44:52.600 the polls will
00:44:53.380 just continue
00:44:54.120 narrowing.
00:44:57.800 And they'll
00:44:58.500 just narrow
00:44:59.100 until the
00:44:59.700 president has
00:45:00.280 a solid lead
00:45:01.240 vote, or
00:45:02.760 at least
00:45:03.300 maybe they'll
00:45:03.740 get close.
00:45:04.620 Actually, some
00:45:05.680 of the polls
00:45:06.160 I assume
00:45:07.240 are fake.
00:45:08.420 So there
00:45:08.760 should be
00:45:09.260 some polls
00:45:09.800 that show
00:45:10.180 it's close
00:45:10.840 on election
00:45:11.380 day because
00:45:11.880 they'll be
00:45:12.100 trying to
00:45:12.440 get their
00:45:12.720 people out
00:45:13.140 to vote.
00:45:14.060 But I
00:45:14.420 think the
00:45:14.780 ones that
00:45:15.180 are accurate,
00:45:16.600 if I had
00:45:17.080 to guess,
00:45:18.200 I'll bet on
00:45:18.660 election day
00:45:19.260 Rasmussen is
00:45:20.180 going to say
00:45:20.600 that Trump
00:45:21.140 is ahead.
00:45:22.920 So that's
00:45:23.280 my prediction.
00:45:24.340 My prediction
00:45:24.900 is that on
00:45:25.520 election day
00:45:26.200 Rasmussen may
00:45:27.980 be standing
00:45:28.580 alone or
00:45:30.220 possibly with
00:45:31.020 a few
00:45:31.680 credible
00:45:32.280 polls
00:45:33.720 saying that
00:45:34.760 Trump is
00:45:35.120 going to
00:45:35.380 win, and
00:45:36.000 maybe the
00:45:36.500 others will
00:45:37.080 not, if
00:45:38.320 they're maybe
00:45:39.780 not as
00:45:40.340 accurate, or
00:45:42.420 not as
00:45:43.040 honest, if
00:45:44.280 you will.
00:45:45.460 So,
00:45:47.160 yeah, the
00:45:50.180 Biden
00:45:51.320 situation, I'd
00:45:53.120 love to tell
00:45:53.680 you that it's
00:45:54.460 stuttering,
00:45:55.640 because most
00:45:57.340 of you know I
00:45:57.860 had a voice
00:45:58.400 problem for
00:45:59.000 several years.
00:46:00.220 10 years
00:46:01.640 ago, and
00:46:02.820 I tried to
00:46:04.580 form sentences
00:46:05.360 that I could
00:46:06.120 say, like a
00:46:07.360 stutterer does,
00:46:08.320 as opposed to
00:46:09.200 sentences that
00:46:10.100 were the right
00:46:10.600 words.
00:46:11.540 So you end
00:46:12.360 up saying all
00:46:13.880 these weird,
00:46:14.560 awkward, stilted
00:46:16.280 sentences, because
00:46:17.300 it's what you
00:46:18.480 think you can
00:46:19.060 get out, as
00:46:20.000 opposed to what
00:46:20.540 you think would
00:46:20.980 be the best
00:46:21.440 choice of words.
00:46:22.600 So I get
00:46:23.320 that, but
00:46:24.700 that's not what
00:46:25.300 I'm seeing.
00:46:26.200 That's not what
00:46:26.760 I'm seeing at
00:46:27.200 all.
00:46:27.360 And, you
00:46:28.220 know, as
00:46:29.040 a fellow
00:46:29.620 sufferer of
00:46:30.940 exactly that,
00:46:32.100 not a
00:46:32.540 stutter, but a
00:46:33.680 voice problem
00:46:34.240 that caused me
00:46:34.920 to do work
00:46:35.600 arounds the
00:46:36.140 same way, I
00:46:37.860 think I'd
00:46:38.340 know what it
00:46:38.720 looked like.
00:46:41.160 Somebody's
00:46:41.640 asking about
00:46:42.200 Kamala.
00:46:42.960 Well, I
00:46:43.460 think she's
00:46:43.880 still top
00:46:44.600 choice.
00:46:46.540 I don't see
00:46:47.420 any of the
00:46:47.820 other candidates
00:46:48.760 that have been
00:46:49.700 mentioned as
00:46:50.580 even being in
00:46:51.240 the top tier.
00:46:52.040 I can't even
00:46:52.520 imagine at this
00:46:53.260 point.
00:46:53.480 But, you
00:46:54.420 know, the
00:46:54.660 vice president
00:46:55.300 pick is the
00:46:56.220 hardest to
00:46:57.460 predict.
00:46:58.780 You know, all
00:46:59.160 of the smartest
00:47:00.400 political people
00:47:01.220 will tell you the
00:47:01.780 same thing.
00:47:02.660 That if there's
00:47:03.280 one thing hard
00:47:03.960 to predict, it's
00:47:05.280 who the vice
00:47:06.140 president pick
00:47:06.940 will be.
00:47:07.680 Because lots of
00:47:08.380 times they just
00:47:08.860 come out of
00:47:09.180 left field.
00:47:10.340 You know, Mike
00:47:10.800 Pence was not
00:47:11.580 on my radar.
00:47:13.060 You know, so
00:47:13.380 when I was
00:47:13.820 guessing who
00:47:14.500 Trump would
00:47:15.500 pick, I just
00:47:16.160 guessed from
00:47:17.000 that small pool
00:47:17.900 of people that
00:47:18.640 I heard of and
00:47:19.540 seemed like they
00:47:20.560 fit.
00:47:21.760 And, you
00:47:22.480 know, so I
00:47:23.000 missed that one
00:47:23.480 by a mile.
00:47:24.540 And I
00:47:25.080 wouldn't be
00:47:25.400 surprised if
00:47:25.980 I'm wrong
00:47:26.380 with the
00:47:26.960 Kamala
00:47:27.280 situation.
00:47:29.060 But let me
00:47:29.460 ask you this.
00:47:31.920 So, and I
00:47:33.300 like to remind
00:47:33.920 you of this,
00:47:34.480 because if I
00:47:34.980 get this right,
00:47:35.900 this will be
00:47:36.380 my greatest
00:47:36.920 prediction.
00:47:38.160 And the
00:47:38.500 prediction was
00:47:39.240 from 2018, I
00:47:40.500 said it was
00:47:40.860 Kamala Harris
00:47:41.480 would be the
00:47:41.900 head of the
00:47:42.300 ticket, you
00:47:43.360 know, the
00:47:43.660 nominee.
00:47:44.980 When she
00:47:45.660 dropped out, I
00:47:46.840 doubled down
00:47:47.660 and said she's
00:47:48.480 going to be
00:47:48.920 the nominee.
00:47:50.720 After she
00:47:51.420 dropped out,
00:47:52.240 can you
00:47:53.400 sit for a
00:47:54.640 moment and
00:47:55.120 register that
00:47:55.900 in your
00:47:56.140 mind, that
00:47:57.320 I predicted
00:47:58.060 in public that
00:47:59.580 she would be
00:48:00.060 the nominee
00:48:00.680 after she
00:48:02.400 dropped out?
00:48:04.220 Do you
00:48:04.760 realize how
00:48:05.280 big of a
00:48:09.460 reach that
00:48:10.880 was?
00:48:11.960 And here we
00:48:12.500 are.
00:48:13.220 If I had to
00:48:14.080 ask you, is
00:48:14.940 it more likely
00:48:15.620 that Biden
00:48:16.180 will continue
00:48:17.100 through the
00:48:18.020 nomination process,
00:48:19.560 become the
00:48:20.080 nominee and
00:48:21.200 go on to
00:48:21.920 finish as
00:48:23.680 the nominee
00:48:24.100 on election
00:48:24.700 day?
00:48:25.400 After you
00:48:26.080 saw this
00:48:26.600 video today,
00:48:28.260 if you
00:48:28.600 saw it,
00:48:29.500 watch this
00:48:30.080 video today
00:48:30.860 and tell me
00:48:31.940 you think
00:48:32.440 that the
00:48:32.900 Democrats are
00:48:33.580 going to go
00:48:33.960 ahead and
00:48:34.480 nominate him
00:48:35.140 for the
00:48:35.560 top of the
00:48:36.000 ticket.
00:48:36.860 And if he's
00:48:37.480 not at the
00:48:37.940 top of the
00:48:38.420 ticket, who
00:48:40.520 is?
00:48:42.200 Now, I
00:48:43.640 ask you
00:48:44.040 this, if
00:48:45.620 Kamala
00:48:46.400 Harris does
00:48:47.180 not get
00:48:48.080 selected as
00:48:49.020 the vice
00:48:49.540 president, is
00:48:52.100 it because
00:48:52.500 they're holding
00:48:53.020 out that she
00:48:53.960 might be the
00:48:54.440 top of the
00:48:54.860 ticket?
00:48:57.200 I'm just
00:48:57.760 putting it
00:48:58.100 out there.
00:48:59.120 We've, you
00:48:59.700 know, I
00:49:01.040 don't think you
00:49:01.480 can guarantee
00:49:02.000 at this point
00:49:02.920 that Kamala
00:49:03.620 will be the
00:49:04.040 choice, because
00:49:04.640 like I said,
00:49:05.180 the vice
00:49:05.440 president is
00:49:05.880 just too
00:49:06.180 hard to
00:49:06.460 pick.
00:49:07.220 No matter
00:49:07.880 how smart
00:49:08.360 you are,
00:49:08.740 no matter
00:49:09.080 how good
00:49:09.420 you are,
00:49:10.080 it's just
00:49:10.560 hard to
00:49:10.920 pick.
00:49:11.700 So I'd
00:49:12.920 probably bet
00:49:13.340 against myself
00:49:14.120 if I had to
00:49:14.680 place a bet.
00:49:15.620 But I'm
00:49:15.940 going to
00:49:16.120 stick with
00:49:16.520 it, I'm
00:49:17.340 going to
00:49:17.480 stick with
00:49:17.900 it, and
00:49:18.260 I'm going
00:49:18.480 to say,
00:49:19.240 we've never
00:49:19.820 been so
00:49:20.480 close to
00:49:22.640 Kamala
00:49:23.000 Harris being
00:49:23.700 the nominee.
00:49:25.640 We've never
00:49:26.060 been that
00:49:26.480 close.
00:49:27.740 So if it
00:49:28.600 doesn't happen,
00:49:29.100 it doesn't
00:49:29.420 happen, but
00:49:29.960 we're close.
00:49:32.080 All right.
00:49:36.220 Was I
00:49:36.860 using daily
00:49:37.480 affirmations for
00:49:38.460 that prediction?
00:49:39.180 I was not.
00:49:41.340 You know, I
00:49:42.180 was trying to
00:49:42.600 figure out what
00:49:43.260 it was that
00:49:45.200 made me
00:49:45.620 think Kamala
00:49:46.880 Harris was
00:49:47.780 the one.
00:49:49.220 And some
00:49:50.880 of it was,
00:49:51.620 you know,
00:49:51.980 she's a
00:49:53.020 senator, and
00:49:54.080 she was good
00:49:55.940 in at least
00:49:56.700 the committee
00:49:57.200 hearings.
00:49:57.680 She wasn't
00:49:57.980 so good as
00:49:58.500 a campaigner.
00:49:59.840 But, you
00:50:00.660 know, she's
00:50:01.600 a woman of
00:50:03.080 color.
00:50:03.900 I mean, all
00:50:04.300 of that seemed
00:50:04.800 good.
00:50:06.100 But I was
00:50:06.540 looking at it
00:50:07.000 the other day,
00:50:07.520 and she has
00:50:08.560 predator eyes.
00:50:11.300 And I
00:50:13.720 asked myself,
00:50:14.640 I wonder if
00:50:15.520 that's predictive.
00:50:18.140 Predator eyes.
00:50:19.960 Meaning that you
00:50:20.760 look at her and
00:50:21.380 you say, oh,
00:50:22.380 yeah, she could
00:50:22.900 kill somebody.
00:50:24.780 Right?
00:50:26.360 You want your
00:50:27.460 president to be
00:50:28.760 able to kill
00:50:29.280 somebody.
00:50:30.540 I want a
00:50:31.340 president that I
00:50:32.300 know if there
00:50:34.060 was a home
00:50:34.560 invasion, let's
00:50:35.340 say they weren't
00:50:35.920 actually the
00:50:36.480 president with
00:50:37.040 secret service,
00:50:37.720 because I
00:50:38.460 want to know
00:50:38.980 that if my
00:50:39.560 president, the
00:50:40.780 person whose
00:50:41.440 personality I'm
00:50:42.360 trusting to
00:50:42.920 defend the
00:50:43.440 country, I
00:50:44.540 want to know if
00:50:45.200 they were the
00:50:45.600 victim of a
00:50:46.160 home invasion and
00:50:47.740 they got the
00:50:48.240 upper hand on
00:50:48.920 the invader, that
00:50:50.040 they would finish
00:50:50.660 him off, that
00:50:52.160 they would actually
00:50:52.680 kill him, that
00:50:54.460 they could take a
00:50:55.220 life in person.
00:50:57.460 Could Kamala
00:50:58.140 Harris, just look
00:50:58.940 at her and ask
00:51:00.040 me this, does
00:51:01.060 she look like she
00:51:01.880 could take a
00:51:02.560 life in person?
00:51:05.440 I think yes.
00:51:06.620 Right?
00:51:08.500 Look at Hillary
00:51:09.320 Clinton.
00:51:10.120 Okay, I don't
00:51:10.620 even have to
00:51:11.020 finish the
00:51:11.480 question right.
00:51:12.180 You look at
00:51:12.600 Hillary and you
00:51:13.120 say, could she
00:51:14.160 take somebody's
00:51:15.020 life in person?
00:51:17.860 Probably so.
00:51:19.240 Probably so.
00:51:20.360 Could Trump take
00:51:21.860 somebody's life,
00:51:23.600 you know, if there
00:51:24.160 was a reason, in
00:51:25.640 person?
00:51:26.960 Yeah, yeah, I
00:51:27.780 think he could.
00:51:28.880 I think he
00:51:29.260 could.
00:51:30.440 So, and even
00:51:31.140 Obama, I would
00:51:32.680 say, was a
00:51:33.620 predator.
00:51:35.240 Right?
00:51:35.820 Meaning that you
00:51:36.600 look at him and
00:51:37.180 you say, does he
00:51:39.020 have what it
00:51:39.920 takes?
00:51:40.980 Like, if he
00:51:41.660 had to shoot
00:51:42.520 Bin Laden
00:51:43.280 himself, maybe
00:51:44.860 that's too easy,
00:51:45.620 everybody would
00:51:46.080 shoot him.
00:51:47.100 But, could
00:51:48.280 Obama kill
00:51:48.900 somebody in
00:51:49.600 person if he
00:51:50.540 had to?
00:51:51.600 I think so.
00:51:53.140 I think so.
00:51:54.480 So, it has
00:51:55.980 nothing to do
00:51:56.480 with being
00:51:58.720 white or black.
00:51:59.720 So, whoever
00:52:00.340 said that, you're
00:52:01.520 on the wrong
00:52:01.960 planet.
00:52:02.320 Um, I
00:52:03.500 think that we
00:52:04.120 may pick our
00:52:04.940 presidents based
00:52:06.740 on, uh, just
00:52:08.340 a feeling that
00:52:09.940 they look more
00:52:10.600 like predators
00:52:11.420 than prey.
00:52:13.340 Uh, let's
00:52:13.900 take Jimmy
00:52:14.400 Carter.
00:52:15.520 Did Jimmy
00:52:16.000 Carter strike
00:52:17.000 you as someone
00:52:17.780 who could kill
00:52:19.620 somebody if he
00:52:21.240 had to?
00:52:22.780 Nope.
00:52:24.160 He only served
00:52:25.380 one term.
00:52:26.900 How about
00:52:27.320 George Bush
00:52:28.180 Senior?
00:52:30.680 That's, that's
00:52:31.400 sort of a
00:52:31.760 harder one.
00:52:32.920 Um, but, but
00:52:34.700 does he seem
00:52:35.300 like he could
00:52:35.900 kill somebody
00:52:36.640 in person?
00:52:37.800 Well, he
00:52:38.200 could.
00:52:39.240 George Bush
00:52:39.820 Senior could.
00:52:40.860 I was going
00:52:41.160 to say he
00:52:41.480 was a one-term
00:52:42.660 president, but
00:52:43.380 yeah, both of
00:52:45.400 the Bushes
00:52:45.860 could kill
00:52:46.260 somebody in
00:52:46.780 person.
00:52:47.120 They both
00:52:47.420 look like
00:52:47.760 predators to
00:52:49.840 me.
00:52:51.960 All right.
00:52:53.140 Uh, that's
00:52:53.820 just a theory
00:52:54.360 that we want
00:52:55.720 predators as
00:52:56.740 presidents because
00:52:57.680 they, in
00:52:58.160 effect, they're
00:52:58.700 being a
00:52:59.060 predator on
00:52:59.840 our behalf.
00:53:00.700 That's all I
00:53:01.240 got for you
00:53:01.600 today, and I
00:53:02.260 will talk to
00:53:02.680 you tomorrow.