Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1090 Scott Adams： Join me To Find out if Kamala Harrass is the Right Pick for Grabby Biden

00:00:00.000 Hey, did anything happen yesterday that would be of interest to me?

00:00:19.920 Oh, yes it did.

00:00:22.140 Well, you may have missed my celebratory little periscope that I did last night

00:00:27.600 after my prediction came in.

00:00:30.000 But this is the one that matters.

00:00:33.220 This is the periscope you want it to be at.

00:00:36.820 Yeah, because this one has something called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:39.960 It makes everything better.

00:00:41.720 And all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or chalice or stein,

00:00:45.480 a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:50.560 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:53.680 I like coffee.

00:00:54.940 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day,

00:00:58.520 the thing that makes everything better, including predictions.

00:01:03.980 Join me now.

00:01:05.840 Go.

00:01:06.080 So good.

00:01:14.180 So good.

00:01:15.600 Well, did you hear the news?

00:01:18.320 Joe Biden picked Kamala Harris.

00:01:21.340 Don't call her Kamala.

00:01:25.060 No, no, no.

00:01:26.480 She's not Kamala.

00:01:27.540 She's Kamala.

00:01:28.640 We must all learn to pronounce it properly.

00:01:33.100 It's not Kamala.

00:01:34.980 It's not Kamalot.

00:01:36.620 It's not Kamalot.

00:01:40.360 It's not Kamala.

00:01:43.000 It's Kamala.

00:01:45.440 And you should say that right.

00:01:47.120 Otherwise, it's disrespectful, as I guess Tucker found out last night,

00:01:52.200 which was pretty funny.

00:01:55.840 When Tucker was pronounced, was corrected on the pronunciation of her name by a guest,

00:02:03.900 Tucker said, who cares?

00:02:09.480 All right.

00:02:10.300 Let's talk about what's going on here.

00:02:13.380 Number one.

00:02:14.660 How many of you have read my book, Win Bigly,

00:02:17.980 in which I talked about the election in 2016 and predicting Trump would win?

00:02:25.080 Well, if you did, you would know that there is an odd little claim in that book.

00:02:30.240 A very odd little claim.

00:02:33.340 And it goes like this.

00:02:35.360 And once you hear this, it's hard to unhear it.

00:02:39.180 You can't tell the difference between a good prediction and something you caused.

00:02:45.360 Because sometimes you can cause your prediction to come true.

00:02:50.680 Now, I'll just put this out here.

00:02:53.980 I'm not saying that I caused Kamala to be selected as vice president.

00:02:59.400 I'll just put this out there.

00:03:02.660 If anybody read my book, Win Bigly, who happened to be a Democrat,

00:03:07.860 well, first of all, is it likely that any influential Democrats would have read my book, Win Bigly?

00:03:15.740 Any?

00:03:17.240 Probably.

00:03:18.040 It's a big country.

00:03:18.980 You'd expect some people to check out any kind of book

00:03:21.640 that talked about influence and persuasion in the context of an election.

00:03:27.620 If you were an election professional,

00:03:29.900 if you were an advisor to any candidate,

00:03:33.180 would you be tempted to look at a book

00:03:35.380 that taught you how to do it better?

00:03:37.520 Which, indirectly, Win Bigly does.

00:03:41.800 Probably.

00:03:43.620 If all you were doing is, you know,

00:03:45.780 even researching what the other side is thinking,

00:03:48.780 you'd probably come across that book.

00:03:51.140 And that's where I talk about prediction

00:03:52.600 and causing something looking the same.

00:03:56.500 And the question is,

00:03:59.660 when I said that Kamala would be the strongest choice,

00:04:05.060 did that make any difference?

00:04:07.600 Was there anybody on the Democrat side who said,

00:04:09.800 you know, we can't tell who the strongest choice is,

00:04:12.040 but that guy over there who got some things right before,

00:04:17.160 he thinks Kamala Harris is the strongest choice.

00:04:21.120 Could that influence their decision?

00:04:23.060 Don't know.

00:04:26.720 That's why I don't make the claim.

00:04:28.620 I'm just making the interesting claim

00:04:30.660 that they look the same,

00:04:32.740 and you can't sort them out.

00:04:34.240 So it's entirely possible

00:04:35.580 that I might have been inadvertently part of the process

00:04:39.540 of the decision-making where they said,

00:04:42.420 you know, we can't tell the difference,

00:04:44.500 they all look good to us,

00:04:46.180 but why are they so scared of Kamala Harris?

00:04:50.540 It's possible.

00:04:51.380 I don't make the claim.

00:04:53.300 I just put it out there.

00:04:55.920 So I think what you're seeing

00:04:57.280 is what I call the double puppet maneuver.

00:05:00.560 I don't know if we've ever seen

00:05:02.140 a double puppet maneuver before,

00:05:04.000 but the double puppet maneuver,

00:05:05.900 oh, you want to say it, don't you?

00:05:08.180 Let me give you a moment.

00:05:09.920 Once you hear something like double puppet maneuver,

00:05:12.680 you have to kind of say it out loud

00:05:15.040 because you saw how good it felt when I said it,

00:05:19.600 double puppet maneuver.

00:05:21.380 Yeah, take some time.

00:05:22.860 Say it at home.

00:05:23.440 It'll feel good.

00:05:24.800 And it works like this.

00:05:26.520 The first puppet, of course,

00:05:28.700 is that Hollow Joe will become the puppet

00:05:32.000 of a stronger vice president.

00:05:35.920 And it's very unusual to have a vice president

00:05:38.200 who's stronger than the top of the ticket.

00:05:40.700 In fact, is it the only time?

00:05:43.320 Has it ever happened before?

00:05:44.600 Have we ever had a vice presidential candidate

00:05:47.920 who basically everyone on both sides

00:05:51.400 looked and said,

00:05:52.080 okay, the vice president's a little stronger

00:05:53.880 than the top of the ticket.

00:05:55.720 Have we ever had that?

00:05:56.880 I think it's the first time.

00:06:00.060 So Biden is the first puppet,

00:06:03.820 and Kamala has her hand up his little puppet innards.

00:06:07.820 But here's the double puppet part.

00:06:12.400 Yeah, I said it, double puppet part.

00:06:15.080 And the question is,

00:06:17.100 who has their hand up Kamala Harris's back?

00:06:21.560 Is she her own candidate?

00:06:25.440 Or are there powerful people behind her

00:06:28.780 who are playing the long game

00:06:31.520 and expecting that she's going to be the power

00:06:33.880 and that backing her will pay off in the long run?

00:06:39.060 And who are those people behind the curtain?

00:06:43.060 Well, we do know that Harris apparently inherited

00:06:48.620 a lot of campaign people from the Hillary Clinton world.

00:06:54.660 And she's probably got some Obama people

00:06:56.780 who backed her as well.

00:06:58.980 So, do you know who the president would be

00:07:01.820 if Biden and Harris won?

00:07:05.720 Nope.

00:07:06.680 Oh, Dick Cheney.

00:07:07.520 Thank you.

00:07:07.980 Yes, you make a good point.

00:07:10.360 Dick Cheney was possibly the power behind Bush.

00:07:15.360 But I would still say that Bush was,

00:07:19.700 you know, even on his own,

00:07:21.140 he was a powerful character.

00:07:22.560 In fact, I tell this story.

00:07:25.480 Before Bush Jr. ran for office,

00:07:29.080 I was giving a speech in Texas.

00:07:31.820 And one of the other speakers,

00:07:34.620 I think the one before me,

00:07:37.340 was, or after me, I can't tell.

00:07:40.400 I can't remember.

00:07:41.100 But it was George Bush.

00:07:42.040 And he was, when he was governor,

00:07:43.320 and one minute after he started speaking,

00:07:48.480 you could feel the energy in the room.

00:07:50.860 And it was not the energy of a governor

00:07:53.900 talking to people in their state.

00:07:57.840 George Bush, the younger,

00:08:01.360 had that, he had the thing.

00:08:04.800 You know, if you were in the room

00:08:06.220 before he was running for president,

00:08:09.060 you knew he was going to be president.

00:08:11.780 All right, you could feel it.

00:08:13.340 You know, I just sat there and thought,

00:08:14.920 I'm seeing the next president here.

00:08:17.380 Now, I wasn't a big supporter.

00:08:19.540 I'm just saying that you could feel it

00:08:21.380 sitting in the room.

00:08:22.620 You knew he was going to be president.

00:08:24.580 It was almost, it was almost palpable.

00:08:27.660 You could just, you could almost see it

00:08:28.860 like the future.

00:08:29.600 It was just so obvious when he walked in the room.

00:08:33.380 And you either have that thing or you don't.

00:08:35.340 You know, Obama had it.

00:08:36.660 Bill Clinton had it.

00:08:37.600 So, although it is true that Cheney

00:08:40.080 may have been the power behind the throne,

00:08:43.800 it is nonetheless true that Bush, the younger,

00:08:48.080 he had the goods when it comes to

00:08:50.180 how the public sees him.

00:08:52.140 But anyway, let's talk about the double puppet.

00:08:56.680 I would say that Hillary Clinton

00:08:59.400 found a way to be president.

00:09:03.960 Yeah, you're seeing it in the comments.

00:09:05.840 You're ahead of me.

00:09:06.280 Yeah, it looks like the Clinton operation,

00:09:10.820 if you will call it.

00:09:11.920 You know, it doesn't have to be an organized thing,

00:09:13.960 but, you know, there is a connection of people

00:09:17.440 who have common interests and connections

00:09:19.400 to the Clintons, et cetera.

00:09:23.120 And so the Biden tendency looks a lot like

00:09:27.300 a double puppet maneuver with Hillary Clinton,

00:09:30.760 or at least that machine,

00:09:32.660 being more influential than you think

00:09:35.680 that they ought to be.

00:09:38.620 Now, let's talk about how

00:09:40.380 the Democrats,

00:09:43.280 and especially their pet press,

00:09:46.440 is dealing with this.

00:09:48.340 So now, this is sort of a challenge

00:09:49.920 for the anti-Trump,

00:09:52.160 you know, pro-Biden media.

00:09:55.460 How are they going to treat Kamala Harris?

00:09:59.140 Will they treat her harshly?

00:10:01.500 No.

00:10:03.660 No, they won't treat her harshly.

00:10:06.420 They will put a warm embrace around her.

00:10:10.100 Do you think

00:10:11.140 that they have all coordinated their messages?

00:10:15.580 Well, it would be a surprise if they hadn't.

00:10:18.960 If CNN's, you know, universe of punditry,

00:10:23.860 if they have not talked directly to the,

00:10:27.000 or even indirectly,

00:10:28.540 to the Harris-Biden team,

00:10:30.860 to figure out how they should cover the campaign

00:10:34.140 in the most friendly way,

00:10:36.280 I would be surprised.

00:10:38.700 I would be surprised,

00:10:40.060 because that wouldn't conform to anything

00:10:42.180 that we've observed for the last several years.

00:10:44.760 They do seem to be working together,

00:10:47.020 and I don't mean that in a conspiracy kind of a way.

00:10:49.780 I mean that as in,

00:10:51.140 well, just open your eyes.

00:10:52.180 It's obvious.

00:10:53.880 You just have to watch

00:10:55.100 to know that they're working together.

00:10:57.040 I don't think that's anything that is disputable.

00:11:01.380 And so I claim that if you were to look at the choice of words

00:11:05.400 that the pro-Kamala people are using,

00:11:10.320 you can start to see what they've agreed is the message.

00:11:14.460 And it may come out,

00:11:15.740 it might slowly form,

00:11:17.380 or it might very quickly form,

00:11:19.640 but already I think we're seeing some hints.

00:11:22.900 Now the background to this is,

00:11:24.060 I told you that when I studied hypnosis,

00:11:26.700 I learned that people will reveal their hidden intentions

00:11:30.320 by their choice of words.

00:11:32.540 They don't know they're doing it.

00:11:34.200 They think they're saying X,

00:11:35.880 but if you look at the words they choose,

00:11:37.980 the words are telling you,

00:11:39.140 you're saying X,

00:11:40.860 but the words you chose

00:11:42.300 are making me think Y,

00:11:45.000 and I don't think it's an accident.

00:11:46.500 And the hypnotist learns

00:11:49.260 that it probably is not an accident.

00:11:52.600 Now obviously there could be false positives,

00:11:54.840 because people do just pick weird words sometimes.

00:11:58.120 But if you look at the entire body of work,

00:12:00.940 and there's a consistency to it,

00:12:03.580 then it means more.

00:12:05.100 So you look for the pattern,

00:12:06.700 not just any one person who said one thing.

00:12:09.960 And here's the first part of the pattern.

00:12:12.040 However, Obama made a statement,

00:12:16.120 and he was happy about the choice,

00:12:18.040 or so it seemed in his statement,

00:12:19.880 and he used this phrase.

00:12:21.800 He said that Joe Biden nailed the decision.

00:12:25.200 He nailed the decision.

00:12:28.700 Interesting choice of words.

00:12:30.440 Because there are a million ways

00:12:32.840 to say that it was a good decision,

00:12:35.220 and you support it.

00:12:36.640 But nailed the decision.

00:12:38.420 What's that make you think of?

00:12:40.960 Well, if you're having fun on Twitter,

00:12:43.280 you're going to say,

00:12:43.880 ha, ha, ha, nailed it.

00:12:45.960 Ha, ha, ha.

00:12:47.280 Kamala Harris has that interesting

00:12:49.180 personal life in her past

00:12:51.640 with a Willie Brown.

00:12:53.280 Ha, ha, ha, ha, nailed it.

00:12:54.920 Ha, ha, ha.

00:12:56.120 Well, that's one interpretation.

00:12:59.140 That, you know,

00:13:01.520 that, I don't know,

00:13:02.340 maybe Obama was thinking in those terms.

00:13:05.460 I don't think so.

00:13:06.200 Well, I don't think he was.

00:13:08.420 Here's what I think.

00:13:09.920 What is the other context

00:13:11.640 in which you hear nail a lot?

00:13:14.860 When you hear nail,

00:13:17.160 would you say there's a nail in the campaign?

00:13:22.100 No.

00:13:23.200 How about a nail in the house?

00:13:28.560 No.

00:13:30.020 How about a nail in the coffin?

00:13:32.240 How about a nail in the coffin?

00:13:37.900 Because Kamala Harris is the final nail

00:13:41.100 in Biden's coffin.

00:13:43.500 Meaning, I don't mean literally dying,

00:13:45.740 I mean his political death.

00:13:47.680 Because you need a Kamala Harris

00:13:49.800 to get rid of a Joe Biden.

00:13:52.500 He doesn't leave on his own.

00:13:54.960 Let me ask you this.

00:13:56.040 If you were the powers

00:13:57.580 behind the Democratic Party,

00:14:00.020 and you knew,

00:14:01.000 you knew that Joe Biden

00:14:02.420 couldn't, you know,

00:14:03.860 get to the starting line,

00:14:05.060 much less the finish line,

00:14:06.680 and you had to take him out.

00:14:09.240 You had to.

00:14:10.880 What kind of vice president

00:14:12.440 would you put in that position?

00:14:14.620 Because it's the vice president

00:14:16.160 who's going to have to do this.

00:14:18.640 Tap, tap, tap on the shoulder.

00:14:21.460 Joe, we need to have a talk.

00:14:23.060 Um, I don't want to be unkind.

00:14:26.720 I'm just being realistic.

00:14:28.320 I know you'd want me to tell you.

00:14:30.260 You're not ready for this job.

00:14:33.040 Who else could do that?

00:14:35.220 Could that be done by,

00:14:36.800 let's say, Val Demings,

00:14:38.480 somebody that Biden

00:14:39.500 maybe just met this year?

00:14:41.820 It'd be hard.

00:14:42.880 How about somebody

00:14:43.980 that he's known for a while,

00:14:45.260 but he's not too close to,

00:14:46.940 maybe Elizabeth Warren?

00:14:49.160 Eh, it'd be a hard conversation,

00:14:51.300 wouldn't it?

00:14:51.940 Elizabeth Warren.

00:14:53.480 Uh, Joe, I think you're,

00:14:55.560 I think you're not

00:14:56.400 quite ready for the job.

00:14:58.320 I don't think you'll come across.

00:15:00.260 How about somebody

00:15:01.200 who Joe Biden's son,

00:15:03.860 his beloved son,

00:15:05.040 who's sadly departed

00:15:06.840 from this world,

00:15:08.620 how about someone

00:15:09.320 who was close with his son

00:15:10.860 and with him,

00:15:12.060 and he felt

00:15:12.640 a real connection with him?

00:15:14.800 Could that person

00:15:15.960 tap him on the shoulder

00:15:17.840 and say,

00:15:19.000 Joe,

00:15:19.740 this is a tough conversation,

00:15:21.700 but it's time?

00:15:24.200 Yeah, she could.

00:15:25.700 Name one other person

00:15:26.820 who could do that.

00:15:28.660 Nobody.

00:15:29.840 Well, I mean,

00:15:30.680 nobody we know of.

00:15:32.020 Nobody who has

00:15:32.620 a national reputation,

00:15:34.200 ran for president,

00:15:35.200 is a legitimate contender.

00:15:36.500 for the presidency,

00:15:39.040 fits that weird

00:15:40.460 little,

00:15:41.080 little,

00:15:41.520 little niche

00:15:42.420 where they could be president,

00:15:44.520 you could see him that way,

00:15:46.000 but they could also

00:15:47.080 tap him on the shoulder

00:15:48.220 and not be a dick about it.

00:15:50.920 Because it's the being a dick

00:15:52.860 about it

00:15:53.360 that's the tough part

00:15:55.240 to pull off.

00:15:55.880 Anybody could tap him

00:15:56.760 on the shoulder,

00:15:58.040 but you've got to do it right.

00:16:00.080 All right?

00:16:00.420 First of all,

00:16:01.040 he deserves it.

00:16:03.180 You know,

00:16:03.380 Joe Biden deserves,

00:16:05.240 I think he deserves

00:16:06.360 a respectful

00:16:07.080 final chapter.

00:16:09.260 And he deserves

00:16:10.420 somebody who

00:16:11.240 cares about him,

00:16:12.300 and I believe she does,

00:16:14.320 to do the,

00:16:15.000 you know,

00:16:15.420 to do the final,

00:16:16.260 final move.

00:16:17.780 So,

00:16:18.780 she's the perfect one

00:16:19.980 for that.

00:16:22.960 All right,

00:16:23.600 so,

00:16:23.980 that's Obama

00:16:24.940 saying that he nailed

00:16:26.480 the decision,

00:16:27.220 which makes me think

00:16:28.060 of a nail in the coffin,

00:16:29.640 which makes me say,

00:16:31.040 huh,

00:16:31.740 is that just a coincidence

00:16:32.860 that he would use

00:16:33.840 that word,

00:16:34.520 that word nail

00:16:35.420 that immediately

00:16:36.560 made me think of coffin,

00:16:37.980 which immediately

00:16:38.540 made me think

00:16:39.760 of the end of Joe Biden?

00:16:41.560 Maybe.

00:16:42.040 Could be just a coincidence.

00:16:43.340 Easily could be a coincidence.

00:16:45.580 Let's see some other

00:16:46.600 wording here.

00:16:47.580 This is from

00:16:48.080 Chris Silliza,

00:16:49.980 pundit on CNN,

00:16:51.840 who you may know

00:16:53.200 as being

00:16:53.840 very Democrat-friendly.

00:16:56.120 Not too surprising

00:16:57.280 on CNN.

00:16:58.480 And here's his wording.

00:17:00.840 Listen carefully

00:17:01.920 to the last part

00:17:04.080 of this,

00:17:04.900 because it's the

00:17:05.840 exact choice of words

00:17:07.360 that matters.

00:17:09.340 Joe Biden made

00:17:10.100 the pick that

00:17:10.680 maximized his chances

00:17:12.640 of continuing

00:17:13.400 to make the race

00:17:14.320 a straight referendum

00:17:15.980 on Trump,

00:17:17.760 blah, blah,

00:17:18.400 while also selecting

00:17:19.520 someone whose resume

00:17:20.480 suggests being ready

00:17:22.180 to step in.

00:17:24.320 Hmm.

00:17:25.220 Someone whose resume

00:17:26.260 suggests being ready

00:17:27.520 to step in.

00:17:28.680 Do you say ready

00:17:29.680 to step in

00:17:30.540 when you're talking

00:17:32.140 about somebody

00:17:32.660 who is ready

00:17:34.100 for the presidency?

00:17:36.320 Because ready

00:17:37.380 for the presidency

00:17:38.340 is what we always say,

00:17:40.460 right?

00:17:40.860 Yeah,

00:17:41.100 have the vice president

00:17:41.980 pick,

00:17:43.000 that's a person

00:17:43.820 who could walk

00:17:44.440 into the job tomorrow.

00:17:45.920 That's the way

00:17:46.320 you normally say it,

00:17:47.160 right?

00:17:48.580 But when do you say

00:17:49.540 step in?

00:17:51.260 Step in

00:17:52.000 sounds like

00:17:53.800 you're the person

00:17:55.420 who's causing

00:17:56.040 something to happen.

00:17:58.000 Stepping in

00:17:58.700 is active.

00:18:00.700 It's not,

00:18:01.440 hey,

00:18:01.620 something happened,

00:18:02.400 I guess you're

00:18:03.640 the default

00:18:04.200 and now you're

00:18:04.880 the president.

00:18:06.340 No.

00:18:07.080 Step in

00:18:07.700 is an active word

00:18:09.040 or an active term.

00:18:11.680 So let me read

00:18:12.360 the whole sentence.

00:18:13.240 Suggest being ready

00:18:14.320 to step in

00:18:15.220 if and when

00:18:16.760 Biden decides

00:18:17.840 to step aside.

00:18:18.960 What?

00:18:20.440 If and when

00:18:21.600 Biden decides

00:18:23.260 to step aside?

00:18:25.000 It would be

00:18:25.500 one thing to say

00:18:26.460 if,

00:18:27.480 if Biden decides

00:18:29.080 to step aside,

00:18:30.100 it's another thing

00:18:31.220 to say when.

00:18:32.520 Now,

00:18:32.880 of course,

00:18:33.260 he can defend

00:18:33.900 this easily,

00:18:34.560 right?

00:18:35.200 Because Biden

00:18:35.800 has already said

00:18:36.520 he would be a

00:18:37.520 one-term president

00:18:39.440 so you could

00:18:41.060 easily interpret

00:18:42.180 this as,

00:18:42.860 oh,

00:18:43.260 you know,

00:18:43.540 when he decides

00:18:44.920 not to run

00:18:45.440 for a second term,

00:18:46.520 she'd be all

00:18:47.180 queued up.

00:18:49.160 But the word

00:18:50.660 is step in.

00:18:52.320 It's not a

00:18:53.280 continuity

00:18:53.800 of the policies

00:18:55.640 they're talking

00:18:56.180 about.

00:18:56.620 They're talking

00:18:57.160 about stepping

00:18:57.740 in to stop

00:18:58.460 something.

00:18:59.580 If and when

00:19:00.460 Biden decides

00:19:01.560 to step aside,

00:19:03.520 step aside.

00:19:04.400 All right.

00:19:06.840 There's no

00:19:07.760 doubt in my

00:19:08.800 mind that

00:19:09.780 this signals

00:19:10.500 as clearly

00:19:11.140 as possible

00:19:11.860 that the

00:19:13.340 vice president

00:19:14.300 is more

00:19:14.860 important in

00:19:15.460 this decision,

00:19:16.320 obviously.

00:19:17.320 So it looks

00:19:18.320 like a cat

00:19:19.820 is on the

00:19:20.300 roof situation.

00:19:21.840 It looks

00:19:22.580 like the

00:19:23.980 friendly press

00:19:26.460 is going to

00:19:27.640 start softening

00:19:28.600 the room

00:19:29.200 so that when

00:19:30.460 their own team

00:19:31.280 hears for the

00:19:32.200 first time,

00:19:32.960 because it

00:19:34.240 might be a

00:19:34.660 surprise to

00:19:35.240 Democrats but

00:19:35.940 not to

00:19:36.300 Republicans.

00:19:37.620 So when

00:19:38.200 their own

00:19:38.580 team hears

00:19:39.200 that maybe

00:19:40.380 the vice

00:19:41.060 president

00:19:41.600 just possibly

00:19:43.580 putting this

00:19:44.360 out there,

00:19:44.960 just spitballing,

00:19:46.120 I don't know

00:19:46.720 anything could

00:19:47.380 possibly happen,

00:19:48.500 we're just

00:19:49.120 considering all

00:19:50.380 possibilities if

00:19:51.940 she were to

00:19:52.960 say step in.

00:19:56.140 Now,

00:19:57.340 if you just

00:19:58.020 blurted this

00:19:59.040 out on day

00:19:59.700 one, it would

00:20:00.220 be pretty bad,

00:20:01.020 wouldn't it?

00:20:01.540 If you just

00:20:02.020 blurted it out

00:20:02.540 and say,

00:20:03.120 all right,

00:20:03.480 we got the

00:20:03.880 person who's

00:20:04.320 the top of

00:20:04.720 the ticket,

00:20:05.160 she'll be

00:20:05.460 getting rid

00:20:05.780 of Joe,

00:20:06.680 and just

00:20:07.300 think of her

00:20:08.260 as the top

00:20:08.700 of the ticket.

00:20:09.980 Well, you

00:20:10.240 can't do that

00:20:10.700 on day one.

00:20:12.160 That's not a

00:20:12.800 day one message.

00:20:14.740 You gotta creep

00:20:16.600 toward it.

00:20:17.740 You know,

00:20:17.920 that's the joke,

00:20:18.800 the cat's on

00:20:19.320 the roof.

00:20:20.380 You know,

00:20:20.640 if the cat

00:20:21.160 died,

00:20:22.200 you don't want

00:20:22.700 to tell your

00:20:23.320 friend or your

00:20:25.540 brother that his

00:20:26.520 cat died,

00:20:27.500 so you soften

00:20:28.240 a little bit.

00:20:28.700 Say, hey,

00:20:29.100 the cat's on

00:20:29.800 the roof,

00:20:30.140 we're trying to

00:20:30.540 get it down.

00:20:31.040 Or, the

00:20:32.000 next day,

00:20:32.500 say, oh,

00:20:33.180 we tried to

00:20:33.760 get it down,

00:20:34.180 but it jumped,

00:20:34.780 and it looks

00:20:35.320 like it's

00:20:35.680 injured, but

00:20:36.220 you know,

00:20:36.460 we took it

00:20:36.800 to the vets,

00:20:37.900 we'll see,

00:20:38.480 and then the

00:20:38.960 third day,

00:20:39.480 say, it succumbed

00:20:40.480 to its injuries.

00:20:41.040 So, when they

00:20:42.740 say, Kamala's

00:20:44.960 ready just in

00:20:46.200 case she needs

00:20:47.240 to step in,

00:20:48.420 you know,

00:20:48.700 if and when,

00:20:49.520 if and when,

00:20:50.480 Biden decided

00:20:51.380 to step aside.

00:20:53.440 I think that's

00:20:54.420 telling the

00:20:54.900 public, don't

00:20:56.520 be surprised.

00:20:58.500 I think it's

00:20:59.500 softening the

00:21:00.300 room, is what

00:21:01.260 you're seeing.

00:21:02.160 Now, watch for

00:21:02.780 this.

00:21:03.340 See how often

00:21:04.120 the Democrats

00:21:05.360 themselves, and

00:21:06.200 they might hold

00:21:06.720 off for a few

00:21:07.300 days, but see

00:21:08.420 how often they

00:21:09.180 talk in these

00:21:09.940 terms.

00:21:10.380 as her as

00:21:11.740 the replacement

00:21:12.720 until it's so,

00:21:14.780 it seems so

00:21:15.540 ordinary that

00:21:17.000 it doesn't even

00:21:17.680 seem unusual

00:21:18.540 that they

00:21:19.140 replace the

00:21:19.780 top of the

00:21:20.220 ticket before,

00:21:21.500 maybe before

00:21:22.160 the nomination,

00:21:23.240 would be my

00:21:23.840 guess.

00:21:24.340 I think they're

00:21:25.080 at least looking

00:21:25.720 at it for before

00:21:26.540 the nomination.

00:21:27.520 I feel that's,

00:21:28.340 I feel it's safe

00:21:29.240 to assume that

00:21:30.920 conversation has

00:21:31.920 happened.

00:21:33.320 All right.

00:21:34.980 How about

00:21:35.620 somebody else?

00:21:36.160 How about

00:21:36.460 Frida Gitas

00:21:37.800 writing on

00:21:38.740 CNN?

00:21:39.240 How would

00:21:40.740 this pundit

00:21:41.820 try to frame

00:21:43.020 Harris in the

00:21:43.920 most friendly

00:21:44.560 way?

00:21:45.880 And this

00:21:46.620 pundit called

00:21:47.220 her a

00:21:47.640 centrist.

00:21:48.640 A perfect

00:21:49.280 match for

00:21:50.220 Joe Biden,

00:21:51.320 because he's a

00:21:52.000 centrist, and

00:21:53.180 she's a

00:21:53.640 centrist.

00:21:55.080 And then,

00:21:55.700 let me check on

00:21:56.820 Fox News.

00:21:58.760 Let's see if

00:21:59.360 they're calling

00:22:00.020 Kamala Harris a

00:22:01.480 centrist.

00:22:02.700 Don't see that

00:22:03.580 word.

00:22:04.700 Nope.

00:22:05.520 Turns out that

00:22:06.200 Fox News, and

00:22:07.680 all the

00:22:07.940 Republicans,

00:22:09.000 will be

00:22:09.620 calling her a

00:22:10.380 wild, wild

00:22:11.180 progressive, who

00:22:12.700 is going to

00:22:13.220 change things so

00:22:14.140 radically you

00:22:14.900 won't recognize

00:22:15.600 this country, and

00:22:16.440 she'll be ruining

00:22:17.220 it in the

00:22:17.740 process.

00:22:19.220 So what do

00:22:19.840 they do to

00:22:20.620 combat Kamala

00:22:22.360 Harris being a

00:22:23.160 wild, socialist,

00:22:25.660 crazy person?

00:22:27.500 They say, oh,

00:22:28.780 she's a

00:22:29.140 centrist.

00:22:30.960 Centrist.

00:22:31.440 So watch

00:22:33.280 them try to

00:22:33.880 protect her in

00:22:34.660 the centrist

00:22:35.340 thing.

00:22:37.360 And how

00:22:37.960 about this?

00:22:38.980 So this is

00:22:39.500 also from

00:22:39.980 Frida

00:22:40.340 Kitas.

00:22:41.220 I think I'm

00:22:41.620 pronouncing that

00:22:42.160 right.

00:22:42.880 We're close.

00:22:44.100 Says of

00:22:44.800 Harris, she

00:22:45.580 would become

00:22:45.980 the first

00:22:46.320 woman vice

00:22:46.880 president, and

00:22:48.240 she also has a

00:22:49.000 very good shot at

00:22:49.760 becoming president,

00:22:50.960 not only because

00:22:52.520 of Biden's

00:22:53.380 age, but

00:22:55.200 because she is

00:22:56.000 now the

00:22:56.420 automatic choice

00:22:57.620 for his

00:22:58.300 successor.

00:22:59.040 not only

00:23:00.800 because of

00:23:01.440 his age.

00:23:02.520 So we're

00:23:03.500 already talking

00:23:04.280 about successor.

00:23:06.340 Did people

00:23:07.140 talk about

00:23:07.980 Mike Pence as

00:23:09.660 Trump's

00:23:10.260 successor?

00:23:12.340 Did you

00:23:12.980 ever hear

00:23:13.940 one time

00:23:14.840 somebody say,

00:23:16.160 oh, yeah,

00:23:16.600 Mike Pence,

00:23:17.940 he would be

00:23:18.740 Trump's

00:23:19.260 successor?

00:23:20.880 No, you

00:23:21.320 didn't.

00:23:22.720 So watch

00:23:23.560 all the

00:23:23.860 language about

00:23:24.440 that.

00:23:26.320 Assuming

00:23:26.840 that the

00:23:27.220 two tweets

00:23:27.740 I'm

00:23:31.040 getting lit

00:23:31.580 up here

00:23:31.960 on incoming

00:23:34.520 messages, so

00:23:36.120 I'm going to

00:23:36.280 have to turn

00:23:36.660 this off.

00:23:40.280 So Sean

00:23:41.200 King, you

00:23:41.760 all know

00:23:42.100 him.

00:23:43.540 He is a,

00:23:44.280 what would

00:23:44.620 you call

00:23:44.940 him, an

00:23:46.500 activist for

00:23:48.500 the black

00:23:49.000 community.

00:23:50.120 Would that

00:23:50.700 be fair?

00:23:51.260 An activist

00:23:51.840 for the black

00:23:53.220 community who,

00:23:56.780 for whatever

00:23:57.240 reason, doesn't

00:23:58.020 appear to be

00:23:58.520 a black

00:23:58.840 person, but

00:23:59.840 it's not

00:24:00.660 for me to

00:24:01.140 judge.

00:24:01.860 He self

00:24:02.300 identifies that

00:24:03.100 way, but

00:24:03.560 that's part of

00:24:04.700 the story.

00:24:05.900 So apparently

00:24:06.420 some time

00:24:07.820 ago before

00:24:08.700 Biden was

00:24:09.880 selected as

00:24:10.620 the presumptive

00:24:11.880 nominee, he

00:24:13.420 said there

00:24:13.940 are two

00:24:14.280 candidates you

00:24:15.000 should not

00:24:15.480 consider.

00:24:16.080 He tweeted

00:24:16.340 this.

00:24:17.020 One of them

00:24:17.420 is Biden

00:24:17.880 and the

00:24:18.240 other is

00:24:18.560 Harris.

00:24:19.400 And the

00:24:19.580 reason that

00:24:20.100 those two

00:24:20.660 in particular

00:24:21.420 are ruled

00:24:22.080 out is

00:24:23.000 because they

00:24:23.560 are too

00:24:23.960 racist in

00:24:24.740 their past

00:24:25.260 decisions,

00:24:26.200 meaning police

00:24:27.340 actions and

00:24:28.260 the legal

00:24:29.860 system and

00:24:31.060 causing more

00:24:32.240 black people to

00:24:33.000 be put in

00:24:33.480 jail.

00:24:34.680 And so

00:24:34.900 Sean King

00:24:35.540 said those

00:24:36.160 are the only

00:24:36.600 two you

00:24:37.160 should not

00:24:38.020 consider.

00:24:39.180 Totally

00:24:39.800 racist policies.

00:24:41.860 Anybody else

00:24:42.580 is okay, but

00:24:44.160 those two,

00:24:45.220 off the table.

00:24:47.440 And he's

00:24:48.880 revised that

00:24:49.580 to 100%

00:24:50.400 support.

00:24:50.820 So, well,

00:24:55.560 a lot can

00:24:55.920 change in a

00:24:56.420 few months,

00:24:56.900 can't it?

00:24:57.680 We went

00:24:58.100 from there

00:24:58.780 are only

00:24:59.040 two that

00:24:59.580 you can't

00:25:00.060 consider to

00:25:01.300 100%

00:25:02.240 support.

00:25:02.800 What a

00:25:03.060 good choice.

00:25:03.800 Got the

00:25:04.100 strongest team

00:25:04.740 I've ever

00:25:05.140 seen.

00:25:06.680 All right.

00:25:08.440 Let's talk

00:25:09.120 about the

00:25:09.600 attacks coming

00:25:10.640 in on

00:25:11.340 Harris.

00:25:13.300 Does it

00:25:13.980 matter that

00:25:15.000 allegedly her

00:25:16.360 great-great

00:25:17.560 grandparents or

00:25:18.440 somebody owned

00:25:19.780 slaves in

00:25:20.980 Jamaica?

00:25:22.200 Do you

00:25:22.780 think that

00:25:23.160 that will

00:25:23.560 matter to

00:25:24.940 anybody?

00:25:27.740 The answer

00:25:28.460 is no,

00:25:29.200 it won't.

00:25:30.160 You know,

00:25:30.360 the Republicans

00:25:31.380 will make a

00:25:31.900 big deal about

00:25:32.560 it, but I

00:25:33.780 think it will

00:25:34.160 change zero

00:25:35.300 votes.

00:25:36.880 Because here's

00:25:38.000 the thing.

00:25:39.120 If you're

00:25:39.760 trying to get

00:25:40.340 reparations and

00:25:41.580 you're trying

00:25:41.920 to get

00:25:42.340 something or

00:25:43.060 you're trying

00:25:43.420 to influence,

00:25:44.480 et cetera,

00:25:45.440 yeah, you

00:25:46.180 make a big

00:25:46.680 deal about

00:25:47.340 maybe the

00:25:47.920 people you're

00:25:48.380 trying to

00:25:48.740 influence.

00:25:49.060 Hey, you

00:25:49.660 know, people

00:25:50.700 who look like

00:25:51.240 you own

00:25:51.640 slaves and

00:25:52.520 therefore maybe

00:25:54.460 we should get

00:25:55.060 what we want.

00:25:56.220 So it's a

00:25:56.820 good line of

00:25:57.440 attack, but

00:25:58.840 it's not one

00:25:59.340 anybody believes

00:26:00.160 in.

00:26:01.020 In other

00:26:01.360 words, even

00:26:01.740 the people

00:26:02.120 saying you

00:26:02.880 should pay

00:26:03.260 reparations,

00:26:04.320 it's more

00:26:05.160 of a

00:26:05.480 technique.

00:26:06.860 It's not

00:26:07.280 that I

00:26:07.720 don't think

00:26:08.080 too many

00:26:08.460 people think

00:26:09.120 that I

00:26:10.200 owe

00:26:10.520 anybody

00:26:10.960 reparations,

00:26:12.020 having no

00:26:12.780 connections to

00:26:13.500 any slavery

00:26:14.180 in my past

00:26:14.860 whatsoever,

00:26:15.860 and indeed

00:26:16.380 being closely

00:26:17.520 connected to

00:26:18.200 the abolitionists

00:26:19.160 in the

00:26:19.940 Northeast.

00:26:20.700 That's where

00:26:21.140 my family

00:26:21.760 comes to

00:26:22.180 that line.

00:26:23.340 So does

00:26:23.860 anybody really,

00:26:24.860 I mean really,

00:26:26.300 think that I

00:26:27.140 owe any

00:26:27.500 reparations?

00:26:28.460 Well, they'll

00:26:28.820 say it.

00:26:29.900 If I ask

00:26:30.500 people, they'll

00:26:30.920 say, yeah,

00:26:31.440 here's my

00:26:31.920 argument.

00:26:32.660 But nobody

00:26:33.160 really feels

00:26:33.960 it.

00:26:34.740 It's just

00:26:35.260 sort of an

00:26:35.680 argument you

00:26:36.380 can make,

00:26:37.360 and it

00:26:37.660 might work.

00:26:39.440 But in

00:26:39.860 order for

00:26:40.420 Kamala Harris

00:26:41.080 to suffer

00:26:41.800 from this

00:26:42.640 accident of

00:26:44.240 history that

00:26:44.840 some of her

00:26:45.900 relatives were

00:26:46.620 in that

00:26:47.040 line of

00:26:47.960 business,

00:26:48.360 allegedly,

00:26:49.400 you'd have

00:26:50.220 to care

00:26:50.640 about it.

00:26:52.160 And their

00:26:52.560 own team

00:26:52.920 doesn't care

00:26:53.440 about it.

00:26:54.100 It's just

00:26:54.540 a technique.

00:26:55.680 So I

00:26:56.160 don't think

00:26:56.440 that'll have

00:26:56.800 any impact.

00:26:58.560 You know,

00:26:58.880 it's a

00:27:00.320 kitchen sink

00:27:01.300 kind of an

00:27:01.960 attack where

00:27:02.560 you just throw

00:27:03.100 everything at

00:27:03.660 her and see

00:27:03.980 what sticks.

00:27:04.980 So that'll

00:27:05.560 be in the

00:27:05.960 mix, but

00:27:06.520 won't be

00:27:07.280 especially

00:27:08.000 important.

00:27:10.880 How about

00:27:11.660 this?

00:27:12.120 I think

00:27:13.860 it's

00:27:14.060 interesting

00:27:14.480 that the

00:27:15.460 pro-Kamala

00:27:16.860 Harris people

00:27:17.500 can't quite

00:27:18.720 decide how

00:27:19.680 to label

00:27:20.260 her.

00:27:21.360 I don't

00:27:21.700 know if

00:27:22.020 they'll ever

00:27:22.560 settle on

00:27:23.200 this, but

00:27:24.060 is she the

00:27:24.560 first black

00:27:25.540 woman on

00:27:27.980 a major

00:27:28.360 party's

00:27:28.880 presidential

00:27:29.380 ticket?

00:27:30.280 Or is she

00:27:31.380 also the

00:27:32.040 first Indian

00:27:32.900 American?

00:27:34.420 Or is she

00:27:35.600 the first

00:27:36.220 Indian

00:27:38.560 black

00:27:39.620 woman?

00:27:41.100 How do

00:27:41.500 they call

00:27:42.900 her?

00:27:43.720 Will the

00:27:44.120 black

00:27:44.360 community

00:27:44.820 say, oh

00:27:45.440 yeah, she's

00:27:46.340 one of us?

00:27:48.600 And if

00:27:49.640 they do, do

00:27:51.160 they just

00:27:51.540 ignore the

00:27:52.700 other half

00:27:53.860 of her?

00:27:54.420 I mean, it

00:27:54.740 worked with

00:27:55.180 Obama, right?

00:27:56.560 With Obama,

00:27:57.640 the black

00:27:58.640 part of his

00:27:59.160 heritage was

00:27:59.820 embraced, and

00:28:01.180 that sort of

00:28:01.960 became the

00:28:02.420 defining thing.

00:28:03.500 And I think

00:28:03.820 that worked to

00:28:04.340 his advantage.

00:28:05.380 Because much

00:28:05.980 of the country

00:28:06.480 was saying the

00:28:07.020 same thing.

00:28:07.760 I said this

00:28:08.380 too, which

00:28:08.920 is, can't

00:28:09.760 we just get a

00:28:10.380 black president

00:28:11.020 just, can

00:28:12.420 we just get

00:28:12.920 past this?

00:28:14.180 You know, as

00:28:14.540 long as he

00:28:14.940 can do the

00:28:15.400 job, you

00:28:16.500 know, I'm

00:28:16.900 not even too

00:28:17.420 particular if

00:28:18.180 it's my

00:28:18.500 first choice.

00:28:19.660 I'd like to

00:28:20.240 get a black

00:28:20.640 president.

00:28:21.660 So I'm

00:28:22.600 completely

00:28:23.080 guilty of

00:28:24.760 judging Obama

00:28:26.200 positively because

00:28:27.480 of his

00:28:27.800 ethnicity, because

00:28:29.040 I just thought

00:28:29.500 the country

00:28:29.880 needed to get

00:28:30.480 past it.

00:28:31.580 And I also

00:28:32.280 think we

00:28:32.660 need to get

00:28:33.140 past the

00:28:33.820 never having

00:28:34.900 a woman for

00:28:35.460 president.

00:28:36.540 Maybe not

00:28:37.280 this time.

00:28:37.860 I'm not

00:28:39.740 all caught

00:28:41.180 up on it

00:28:41.640 being this

00:28:42.420 election, but

00:28:44.120 yeah, America

00:28:45.300 needs to get

00:28:45.820 past this.

00:28:47.220 And I

00:28:47.660 would even

00:28:47.960 agree, you

00:28:49.440 know, in a

00:28:50.120 weird way, you

00:28:50.860 might not

00:28:51.180 expect this, but

00:28:52.380 I would agree

00:28:52.900 with how many

00:28:53.700 people signed

00:28:54.800 a letter in

00:28:55.840 the Democratic

00:28:56.680 Party saying,

00:28:58.080 you know, let's

00:28:58.440 put a black

00:28:59.280 woman into the

00:28:59.920 presidency, or

00:29:00.880 at least set

00:29:01.980 one up to

00:29:02.600 potentially be

00:29:03.360 there.

00:29:03.540 that's not

00:29:05.700 a wrong

00:29:06.100 impulse, as

00:29:07.880 long as it's

00:29:08.340 a good

00:29:08.620 candidate, right?

00:29:09.900 Because you

00:29:10.400 can get a

00:29:10.840 twofer.

00:29:11.980 You know, what

00:29:12.340 would be

00:29:13.020 better than

00:29:13.520 having a

00:29:14.000 perfectly good

00:29:14.780 candidate who

00:29:16.200 also makes the

00:29:17.220 rest of the

00:29:17.640 country feel,

00:29:18.600 yeah, okay,

00:29:19.280 anybody can be

00:29:19.920 president.

00:29:20.660 We've now

00:29:21.280 demonstrated that

00:29:22.880 anybody can be

00:29:23.740 president.

00:29:24.480 Well, I think

00:29:25.000 you'd have to

00:29:25.380 throw in the

00:29:25.980 LGBTQ

00:29:26.960 candidate someday

00:29:28.740 to really say

00:29:29.360 everybody, but

00:29:30.720 it'd be a

00:29:33.060 plus.

00:29:33.540 in my

00:29:34.300 opinion, if

00:29:35.560 she were the

00:29:35.960 right candidate,

00:29:36.820 and I'm not

00:29:37.240 sure that's the

00:29:37.760 case in this

00:29:38.440 case.

00:29:39.280 So we'll see

00:29:41.120 how she gets

00:29:41.980 labeled, and

00:29:43.580 it almost feels

00:29:44.460 like the

00:29:44.840 Democrats are

00:29:45.460 going to have

00:29:45.740 to test this.

00:29:47.200 Think about

00:29:47.720 how distasteful

00:29:48.880 this following

00:29:49.460 thought is.

00:29:50.780 The Democrats

00:29:51.540 probably are

00:29:52.920 polling and

00:29:53.860 doing focus

00:29:55.160 groups, which

00:29:55.820 would be normal

00:29:56.480 all the way

00:29:56.960 through the

00:29:57.280 process, but

00:29:58.400 one of those

00:29:58.960 focus groups

00:29:59.780 probably, or

00:30:01.600 polls, probably,

00:30:02.960 will be, what

00:30:04.560 do we call

00:30:05.200 her?

00:30:06.460 Do we just

00:30:06.980 go with

00:30:08.500 African-American

00:30:09.260 because that's

00:30:09.860 our strongest

00:30:10.420 play, or do

00:30:12.340 we go with

00:30:13.120 both and

00:30:14.420 say, yeah,

00:30:15.080 she's better

00:30:16.700 than just being

00:30:17.340 black.

00:30:17.780 She's also

00:30:18.420 got the first

00:30:20.040 Indian-American

00:30:20.780 thing going for

00:30:22.700 her, too.

00:30:23.020 And how do

00:30:25.380 you feel, and

00:30:26.020 this is the

00:30:26.400 part I have a

00:30:26.820 complete blind

00:30:27.880 spot for, I

00:30:29.340 have no sense

00:30:31.740 for how this

00:30:32.320 will be received

00:30:33.180 by Indian

00:30:34.400 Americans.

00:30:35.720 If you're, you

00:30:37.980 have Indian

00:30:38.720 heritage and

00:30:39.500 you're an

00:30:39.780 American citizen

00:30:40.520 and you're

00:30:41.020 going to vote,

00:30:42.260 do you care

00:30:42.760 about this at

00:30:43.280 all?

00:30:44.680 I don't know.

00:30:45.780 I don't know if

00:30:46.280 you care about

00:30:46.780 it one way or

00:30:47.300 the other.

00:30:47.600 And if you're

00:30:50.380 a black

00:30:51.540 citizen in

00:30:52.460 this country,

00:30:53.500 does it

00:30:54.520 bother you

00:30:55.200 that they

00:30:56.760 couldn't find

00:30:57.380 a proper

00:30:58.040 black person?

00:30:59.380 Here I'm

00:30:59.960 using proper

00:31:00.720 in the, you

00:31:01.820 know, not

00:31:02.480 a serious

00:31:02.920 sense.

00:31:03.920 Proper in

00:31:04.480 the sense

00:31:04.880 of, seriously,

00:31:06.100 you couldn't

00:31:06.480 find somebody

00:31:07.100 who was just

00:31:08.000 black.

00:31:09.540 You know,

00:31:10.420 all the other

00:31:11.840 candidates who

00:31:14.120 were being

00:31:14.460 considered, not

00:31:15.220 all of them,

00:31:15.760 but a number

00:31:16.240 of the other

00:31:16.640 candidates who

00:31:17.180 were being

00:31:17.400 considered, you

00:31:19.720 wouldn't have

00:31:20.060 to wonder

00:31:20.520 what was their

00:31:21.160 heritage.

00:31:21.680 You'd just

00:31:21.960 say, okay,

00:31:23.000 this person's

00:31:23.760 black.

00:31:24.840 Aren't we

00:31:25.420 glad we have

00:31:25.900 a black

00:31:26.240 vice president

00:31:26.840 on the

00:31:27.380 ticket?

00:31:29.160 So, I

00:31:30.360 don't know.

00:31:30.920 How is it?

00:31:32.380 Somebody who

00:31:33.820 is a member

00:31:35.060 of the black

00:31:35.820 community needs

00:31:37.480 to fill me

00:31:38.200 in.

00:31:39.740 Because I

00:31:40.820 don't have a

00:31:41.420 good sense of

00:31:42.120 whether that's

00:31:42.620 a positive or

00:31:43.400 a negative.

00:31:44.120 Oh, and

00:31:44.320 then there's

00:31:44.660 also the

00:31:45.980 Jamaica

00:31:47.800 connection.

00:31:49.240 How do

00:31:50.720 people see

00:31:51.240 that in the

00:31:51.960 United States?

00:31:53.420 So, I don't

00:31:53.780 know.

00:31:54.600 I'll leave that

00:31:55.220 as an open

00:31:55.640 question.

00:31:56.140 Somebody can

00:31:56.560 fill me in

00:31:57.120 later.

00:31:59.420 How about

00:31:59.760 the claims

00:32:00.460 that Kamala

00:32:02.780 Harris,

00:32:03.360 somebody said

00:32:04.300 this,

00:32:05.100 embodies

00:32:05.620 systemic racism

00:32:06.880 because she

00:32:08.600 had allegedly

00:32:09.360 put innocent

00:32:10.340 black men in

00:32:11.140 prison and

00:32:11.740 tried to keep

00:32:12.260 them there.

00:32:12.600 there.

00:32:13.420 What about

00:32:13.800 that?

00:32:14.980 Do you

00:32:15.220 think that

00:32:15.680 Democrats will

00:32:16.660 treat her

00:32:17.780 harshly, as

00:32:18.960 Republicans hope

00:32:19.920 will be the

00:32:20.400 case, because

00:32:21.680 she was tough

00:32:22.540 on crime and

00:32:23.620 maybe even

00:32:24.160 tough on

00:32:24.580 innocent people?

00:32:26.140 She was so

00:32:26.740 tough on crime

00:32:27.540 that, you

00:32:28.820 know, if she

00:32:29.560 got you in

00:32:30.020 jail, she

00:32:30.540 wanted to keep

00:32:31.040 you there even

00:32:31.500 if the

00:32:31.800 information

00:32:32.180 changed.

00:32:32.920 That's the

00:32:33.520 claim.

00:32:34.940 I don't know

00:32:35.860 that that

00:32:36.240 matters.

00:32:37.320 I actually

00:32:38.000 don't.

00:32:38.420 I just

00:32:39.780 don't know

00:32:40.700 if Democrats

00:32:43.260 are going to

00:32:43.860 respond to

00:32:44.620 this, because

00:32:45.900 I think

00:32:46.620 Harris will

00:32:47.140 do a

00:32:47.600 perfectly

00:32:47.980 good job

00:32:48.660 of reinventing

00:32:49.560 herself, so

00:32:51.020 that whatever

00:32:51.740 she used to

00:32:52.640 do as a

00:32:53.120 prosecutor, and

00:32:54.420 let me tell you

00:32:55.020 the easiest way

00:32:55.680 to do this.

00:32:56.220 If I were

00:32:56.660 her, I would

00:32:57.240 just say,

00:32:58.320 when I was a

00:32:58.980 prosecutor, I

00:32:59.760 did everything

00:33:00.480 in my power

00:33:01.220 to be a

00:33:02.600 prosecutor.

00:33:03.480 Did I ever

00:33:04.100 get one

00:33:04.480 wrong?

00:33:05.320 Probably.

00:33:06.640 Probably.

00:33:07.040 Unfortunately, you

00:33:08.340 can't really be

00:33:09.080 a prosecutor in

00:33:10.140 a major

00:33:10.520 metropolitan area

00:33:11.520 and get them

00:33:12.620 all right.

00:33:13.600 I wish it

00:33:14.120 were an

00:33:14.380 option, but

00:33:15.380 I don't know

00:33:15.840 that it is.

00:33:17.280 However, what

00:33:18.440 I can tell you

00:33:19.120 is that I

00:33:19.540 will take that

00:33:20.120 same intensity

00:33:21.300 that, you

00:33:22.980 know, I know

00:33:23.420 people saying

00:33:24.220 that maybe I

00:33:24.700 got some

00:33:25.080 wrong, but

00:33:25.540 I'm going to

00:33:25.780 take that

00:33:26.160 intensity to

00:33:27.480 the presidency

00:33:28.180 or vice

00:33:29.440 presidency, etc.

00:33:30.520 So I think

00:33:31.340 you could just

00:33:32.360 describe it as

00:33:33.480 being a

00:33:33.860 different job.

00:33:35.480 You know, the

00:33:36.000 prosecutor,

00:33:37.040 mindset is

00:33:38.180 different from

00:33:38.820 the Senate

00:33:39.920 mindset, and

00:33:40.900 I think she

00:33:41.600 could just

00:33:41.940 say she's

00:33:42.360 reinvented.

00:33:44.020 I don't even

00:33:44.660 know if she

00:33:45.000 needs to say

00:33:46.140 she did

00:33:46.480 anything wrong.

00:33:47.660 She could

00:33:48.000 just say,

00:33:48.640 you know, that

00:33:49.260 was when I

00:33:49.720 was a

00:33:49.980 prosecutor.

00:33:51.160 Let's talk

00:33:51.760 about, you

00:33:52.960 know, let's

00:33:53.620 talk about

00:33:54.020 modern times,

00:33:54.960 not ancient

00:33:55.500 times.

00:33:57.980 So that's a

00:33:59.060 reasonably good

00:33:59.920 attack, and I

00:34:00.660 can see that I

00:34:01.900 think some of

00:34:02.460 the black

00:34:02.780 community was

00:34:03.380 already primed

00:34:04.840 to be not

00:34:05.920 too happy about

00:34:06.640 that part of

00:34:07.160 her past, so

00:34:08.160 we'll see if

00:34:08.520 that makes a

00:34:08.960 difference.

00:34:09.280 It could.

00:34:10.220 The New York

00:34:10.700 Times hilariously

00:34:13.060 ran a full,

00:34:15.980 like, gigantic

00:34:16.780 photo of

00:34:18.440 Harris looking

00:34:19.180 pretty awesome.

00:34:20.540 You know, I

00:34:20.960 think she had a

00:34:21.480 leather jacket on,

00:34:22.780 arms are crossed,

00:34:24.160 and it was a

00:34:24.900 flattering angle.

00:34:25.960 It just made

00:34:26.340 her look powerful

00:34:27.140 and substantial.

00:34:28.080 And then somebody

00:34:29.820 went back and

00:34:31.040 saw, how did

00:34:32.000 the New York

00:34:32.400 Times cover the

00:34:34.300 selection of

00:34:35.060 Mike Pence?

00:34:36.400 And they

00:34:36.840 showed that the

00:34:37.640 day he was

00:34:38.260 selected by

00:34:39.140 Trump.

00:34:39.920 And it's this

00:34:40.260 little postage

00:34:41.000 stamp in the

00:34:41.560 corner.

00:34:42.440 So one of

00:34:42.960 them is this

00:34:43.480 full-page glamour

00:34:44.880 shot of Kamala,

00:34:46.880 but Mike Pence,

00:34:47.980 postage stamp,

00:34:49.240 bottom right-hand

00:34:49.980 corner where

00:34:50.500 nobody reads it.

00:34:52.120 So if you think

00:34:53.240 that your press

00:34:54.560 is independent,

00:34:56.540 ha, ha, ha.

00:34:58.060 All right, so

00:34:58.620 one of the things

00:34:59.120 that people are

00:34:59.620 saying about

00:35:00.360 Kamala, and I

00:35:01.420 think you've got

00:35:01.860 to watch this,

00:35:03.260 is they're saying

00:35:03.780 that she causes

00:35:07.520 a strong negative

00:35:09.580 reaction in

00:35:10.700 people.

00:35:11.480 That's true,

00:35:12.420 wouldn't you say?

00:35:13.640 Would you not

00:35:14.500 say that Kamala

00:35:16.100 Harris does create

00:35:17.220 a strong negative

00:35:18.580 reaction in a lot

00:35:20.160 of people?

00:35:20.780 I feel that's

00:35:21.740 true, both on

00:35:23.480 her own team and

00:35:24.520 obviously the

00:35:25.200 other team.

00:35:26.420 And so the

00:35:27.500 question is, is

00:35:28.340 that a negative?

00:35:29.920 And I would say

00:35:30.820 watch out for

00:35:31.760 that.

00:35:32.800 Watch out for

00:35:33.460 that.

00:35:34.080 Because the

00:35:34.760 thing that makes

00:35:35.380 you really care

00:35:37.320 about anything is

00:35:39.280 also an indicator

00:35:40.200 of influence.

00:35:41.740 I would suggest

00:35:43.340 that it's possible

00:35:44.800 that the reason

00:35:45.600 Republicans are

00:35:47.120 so anti-Harris is

00:35:50.060 exactly because

00:35:51.060 she's scary.

00:35:52.480 Scary in terms

00:35:53.600 of, she might

00:35:55.000 have the goods.

00:35:56.620 She might be

00:35:57.200 able to crank

00:35:58.080 this up.

00:36:01.980 Whoever said

00:36:02.840 next topic, we're

00:36:03.920 going to ban

00:36:04.380 you forever.

00:36:07.060 I just don't

00:36:07.860 like the

00:36:08.160 negativity.

00:36:08.580 so here's what I

00:36:12.420 would caution

00:36:12.900 you.

00:36:13.140 Think of some

00:36:13.860 people who

00:36:14.520 generate really

00:36:16.520 intense negatives.

00:36:18.700 AOC and

00:36:20.560 President Trump.

00:36:22.280 Those two

00:36:23.040 characters generate

00:36:24.540 more negativity

00:36:25.660 than maybe anybody

00:36:27.800 you've seen

00:36:28.200 lately.

00:36:29.220 But they're

00:36:30.480 also two of the

00:36:31.400 most successful

00:36:32.200 people.

00:36:33.200 Is that a

00:36:33.720 coincidence?

00:36:34.100 I would suggest

00:36:35.880 it's not.

00:36:37.160 That that strong

00:36:38.180 negative feeling

00:36:39.060 you feel about

00:36:39.740 any candidate

00:36:40.580 is you being

00:36:42.180 afraid of them

00:36:42.940 in many cases.

00:36:44.980 And if you're

00:36:45.440 afraid of them,

00:36:46.340 it suggests they

00:36:47.020 have power.

00:36:48.400 It suggests that

00:36:49.380 you know they

00:36:49.960 have power.

00:36:51.020 So the reason

00:36:51.660 that you even

00:36:52.240 care is that

00:36:53.880 you think they

00:36:54.360 can actually get

00:36:54.980 something done

00:36:55.640 and it's not

00:36:56.180 what you want

00:36:56.680 done.

00:36:57.620 If you thought

00:36:58.600 they were

00:36:58.940 completely weak

00:36:59.800 and ineffective,

00:37:01.020 you would still

00:37:01.580 make your jokes

00:37:02.460 and you'd still

00:37:03.360 take your sides.

00:37:04.680 But you wouldn't

00:37:05.160 care that much.

00:37:06.420 You wouldn't

00:37:06.840 feel it.

00:37:08.240 Harris does

00:37:09.080 have the

00:37:09.740 X factor.

00:37:12.160 Sorry.

00:37:13.800 From day one,

00:37:15.040 and part of the

00:37:15.520 reason that I

00:37:16.060 predicted her

00:37:16.860 in early 2018

00:37:19.220 is when I

00:37:20.520 selected her

00:37:21.120 from all the

00:37:21.900 people that were

00:37:22.540 at least in the

00:37:23.740 conversation for

00:37:24.540 running for

00:37:25.040 president.

00:37:25.620 The reason I

00:37:26.220 picked her out

00:37:26.740 of the crowd

00:37:27.300 is the same

00:37:28.000 reason I picked

00:37:28.780 Trump out of

00:37:29.840 the crowd

00:37:30.260 in 2015.

00:37:32.500 Same reason I

00:37:33.360 picked AOC out

00:37:34.400 of the crowd

00:37:34.920 when everybody

00:37:35.780 said she's a

00:37:36.540 flash in the

00:37:37.100 pan.

00:37:37.840 And I said,

00:37:38.540 oh no,

00:37:40.320 whatever you're

00:37:41.240 seeing there is

00:37:41.780 no flash in

00:37:42.540 the pan.

00:37:43.140 That's real.

00:37:44.960 And there's

00:37:45.340 going to be

00:37:45.680 more of that,

00:37:46.320 not less of it.

00:37:47.180 And here we

00:37:47.620 are.

00:37:48.400 AOC is an

00:37:49.540 important national

00:37:50.500 figure in no

00:37:51.960 time at all.

00:37:53.300 So Harris has

00:37:54.700 the same thing.

00:37:56.100 Maybe a lighter

00:37:56.900 form.

00:37:57.660 I'm not sure

00:37:58.120 she has the

00:37:58.620 full wattage of

00:38:00.240 either of the

00:38:00.680 two I

00:38:00.980 mentioned.

00:38:02.200 But she

00:38:03.240 causes you to

00:38:04.580 remember her.

00:38:05.980 And she

00:38:06.360 causes you to

00:38:07.180 look at the

00:38:07.640 TV when she's

00:38:08.480 on.

00:38:09.200 And she

00:38:09.560 causes you to

00:38:10.320 feel something.

00:38:11.460 If you've got

00:38:12.120 that stuff going

00:38:13.060 for you, you

00:38:14.600 can channel it

00:38:16.280 eventually.

00:38:17.520 Now the way

00:38:18.000 that AOC

00:38:18.980 channeled her

00:38:19.820 power, if you

00:38:20.840 can call it

00:38:21.440 that, is we

00:38:22.460 assume she had

00:38:23.080 a great advisor.

00:38:24.340 Have you not

00:38:24.820 heard that?

00:38:25.760 That she was

00:38:26.300 actually selected

00:38:27.160 by really skilled

00:38:28.340 operators.

00:38:28.860 She was

00:38:29.800 trained, and

00:38:30.620 then she

00:38:30.860 was guided

00:38:31.380 through her

00:38:31.940 tweets and

00:38:32.480 her initial

00:38:33.000 stuff.

00:38:34.260 She may be

00:38:34.720 operating on

00:38:35.320 her own

00:38:35.560 now, but

00:38:36.800 we think that

00:38:37.460 having expert

00:38:38.300 guidance on

00:38:39.640 top of that

00:38:40.200 raw, whatever

00:38:41.360 that is she

00:38:42.000 has, is what

00:38:43.260 made her what

00:38:44.020 she is.

00:38:45.000 Likewise, Trump

00:38:46.340 has this raw

00:38:47.880 power, but in

00:38:49.280 his case, he's

00:38:50.200 had decades of

00:38:51.480 practice honing

00:38:52.500 it and using

00:38:53.180 it, influencing

00:38:54.420 talking in

00:38:55.160 public, so he

00:38:56.200 was basically

00:38:56.840 his own

00:38:57.340 advisor, in

00:38:58.440 a sense.

00:38:59.440 Trump just

00:39:00.100 figured out how

00:39:01.000 to control his

00:39:01.800 power over

00:39:03.140 his experience.

00:39:06.400 And here's

00:39:07.280 what to watch

00:39:07.900 with Harris.

00:39:10.400 Watch what the

00:39:11.340 world-class

00:39:12.200 advisors on the

00:39:13.480 Democrat side do

00:39:14.860 with her.

00:39:16.340 She is not

00:39:17.340 going to be the

00:39:18.020 same candidate

00:39:18.780 she was in the

00:39:19.980 primaries.

00:39:21.180 And by the way,

00:39:21.760 I predicted this

00:39:22.580 when she dropped

00:39:23.260 down to the

00:39:23.660 primaries, I

00:39:24.820 said that she's

00:39:25.680 going to come

00:39:26.120 back upgraded.

00:39:29.820 That what you

00:39:30.380 saw was version

00:39:31.160 1.0, and

00:39:32.840 version 2.0 is

00:39:34.640 going to look

00:39:35.380 different, sound

00:39:37.140 different, and

00:39:38.520 act differently.

00:39:40.340 Is it different or

00:39:41.060 differently in that

00:39:41.800 context?

00:39:42.340 I always get those

00:39:42.940 wrong.

00:39:43.980 But, and I

00:39:46.040 think you already

00:39:46.520 saw it.

00:39:47.440 So the

00:39:48.060 criticisms that I

00:39:48.940 used to make is

00:39:49.700 that she used to

00:39:50.360 laugh too much at

00:39:51.160 her own jokes,

00:39:51.820 which makes her

00:39:52.500 seem, uh,

00:39:53.660 less confident

00:39:54.720 and less of a

00:39:55.640 leader.

00:39:56.600 So watch for her

00:39:57.440 to be less of a

00:39:59.540 giggly about

00:40:00.540 stupid things

00:40:01.840 happening in her

00:40:02.500 environment.

00:40:03.200 Like, uh, uh, uh,

00:40:04.080 uh, uh, uh, uh, uh,

00:40:04.880 because that just

00:40:05.780 takes away from the

00:40:06.520 whole presidential

00:40:07.120 vibe.

00:40:08.300 100% chance that

00:40:10.840 when she got to the

00:40:11.780 level that she was

00:40:12.640 being considered for

00:40:13.540 vice president, that

00:40:15.060 there were serious

00:40:16.140 advisors that got

00:40:17.140 involved for the

00:40:17.840 first time.

00:40:18.420 like the, the

00:40:19.260 really high-end

00:40:20.080 ones that tell you

00:40:21.300 to do something

00:40:21.960 and you say to

00:40:22.520 yourself, I

00:40:23.400 think that's

00:40:23.900 totally wrong, but

00:40:25.460 because you told

00:40:26.200 me to do it, and

00:40:27.200 I know you know

00:40:27.860 what you're talking

00:40:28.320 about, I'm going

00:40:29.400 to give it a try.

00:40:30.760 You know, you

00:40:31.120 need somebody that

00:40:31.860 strong of an

00:40:32.800 advisor to cause

00:40:34.340 somebody with that

00:40:35.080 strong of a

00:40:35.860 personality to

00:40:36.720 actually behave

00:40:37.800 differently.

00:40:38.620 It would be hard

00:40:39.460 to do.

00:40:40.320 So I think that she

00:40:41.600 has now the top

00:40:43.000 advisors, and you

00:40:44.580 also see this.

00:40:45.900 Do you know how

00:40:46.300 she used to move

00:40:47.380 when she talked?

00:40:48.520 She would move

00:40:49.080 her shoulders, and

00:40:50.320 it made her look

00:40:50.740 unconfident.

00:40:51.460 She'd say, well,

00:40:52.340 you know, I think

00:40:53.220 the president is a

00:40:55.440 big old baddie,

00:40:56.600 whatever, and as

00:40:57.940 long as her shoulders

00:40:59.100 were jumping around,

00:41:00.460 she didn't look

00:41:01.080 confident.

00:41:02.360 Watch this.

00:41:03.920 You take her

00:41:05.660 persona, and you

00:41:07.380 just give her

00:41:08.200 enough lessons to

00:41:09.400 bring it down to

00:41:10.220 a confident

00:41:11.600 smile, confident

00:41:13.520 smile, and just a

00:41:15.880 clear, clean

00:41:16.900 presentation, and

00:41:19.280 you've got a

00:41:19.920 whole different

00:41:20.320 candidate, and

00:41:21.460 she's dangerous.

00:41:22.620 If you think that

00:41:24.000 she can't take out

00:41:25.140 President Trump,

00:41:26.780 you might be

00:41:28.540 underestimating her.

00:41:29.760 Now, we haven't

00:41:30.500 seen her in full

00:41:32.060 action in this

00:41:33.480 context.

00:41:34.680 It could be the

00:41:35.560 first two or three

00:41:36.720 times we see her,

00:41:37.580 it's so bad that

00:41:38.280 we just go, okay,

00:41:39.300 I guess she couldn't

00:41:40.760 take instructions.

00:41:42.880 I guess she didn't

00:41:43.580 learn anything.

00:41:44.180 I don't know that

00:41:45.860 that's going to

00:41:46.360 happen.

00:41:47.240 I think you're

00:41:47.900 going to see a

00:41:48.520 different candidate.

00:41:50.160 I think she'll be

00:41:50.900 more serious, more

00:41:52.820 focused, she'll have

00:41:53.940 better energy, and I

00:41:55.420 think she'll even

00:41:55.960 dress differently.

00:41:57.540 I'll bet you'll see

00:41:58.260 differences in

00:41:58.980 everything from her

00:41:59.760 makeup to her

00:42:00.620 jewelry to her

00:42:01.860 hairstyle, and that

00:42:03.120 it will be the

00:42:03.660 changes that are not

00:42:04.660 just cosmetic, but

00:42:06.620 let's say targeted

00:42:08.780 for the look and

00:42:10.520 the time and the

00:42:11.280 purpose and the

00:42:12.180 effect.

00:42:14.360 All right, there's

00:42:16.220 a photo of Joe

00:42:17.220 Biden talking to

00:42:18.700 Kamala on his

00:42:19.680 computer and telling

00:42:23.400 her that she's

00:42:24.120 selected as if she

00:42:25.280 didn't already know

00:42:25.960 that.

00:42:26.660 The funny thing

00:42:27.560 about this to me is

00:42:28.580 that you see Joe

00:42:29.480 Biden's desk, so it

00:42:31.480 looks like it's his

00:42:32.160 personal desk, and he

00:42:33.840 has on his desk a

00:42:35.420 Hagar the Horrible

00:42:36.400 comic strip framed.

00:42:38.320 Now, if you didn't

00:42:41.520 already have enough

00:42:42.500 reason to vote

00:42:44.160 against Joe Biden,

00:42:45.640 let me say it

00:42:46.320 again, he has a

00:42:47.640 Hagar the Horrible

00:42:48.560 comic strip on his

00:42:49.600 desk.

00:42:50.680 No Dilbert comic

00:42:51.740 anywhere.

00:42:53.300 If you look on that

00:42:54.380 whole desk, there's

00:42:55.840 not a single Dilbert

00:42:57.460 comic, and if that's

00:42:59.400 not disqualifying, I

00:43:01.820 don't know what is.

00:43:04.640 Meanwhile, the Black

00:43:05.660 Lives Matter co-

00:43:06.660 founder, I don't

00:43:07.800 know how many

00:43:08.180 founders or co-

00:43:09.060 founders there were.

00:43:10.400 Three?

00:43:11.500 Can anybody tell me?

00:43:12.440 How many co-founders

00:43:13.420 does Black Lives

00:43:14.220 Matter have?

00:43:15.100 But one of them, and

00:43:16.060 I don't know their

00:43:16.800 names, which is a

00:43:18.020 clever thing they do,

00:43:18.980 they don't make the

00:43:19.660 leaders famous.

00:43:22.340 Quick, tell me the

00:43:23.400 name of one of the

00:43:24.340 leaders of Black

00:43:25.160 Lives Matter.

00:43:27.780 I think there was a

00:43:28.920 woman, right?

00:43:30.540 You don't even know

00:43:32.340 who it is.

00:43:33.300 And I think that's

00:43:34.020 intentional.

00:43:34.500 But one of the

00:43:35.900 Black Lives Matter

00:43:36.600 co-founders said that

00:43:38.440 the looting that's

00:43:39.580 been happening lately

00:43:40.460 is reparations.

00:43:43.180 And you should see,

00:43:45.800 somebody thought that

00:43:49.340 telling me that I suck

00:43:50.280 at cartoons would be a

00:43:52.980 good thing to do here.

00:43:54.920 Goodbye.

00:43:56.860 People who don't know

00:43:57.920 that art is subjective.

00:44:01.720 So what do you think?

00:44:03.040 Is the looting reparations?

00:44:05.300 Would you agree with

00:44:06.300 Black Lives Matter that

00:44:08.400 the looting is reparations?

00:44:11.660 I say yes.

00:44:13.960 Yeah.

00:44:14.440 I would say the looting,

00:44:15.540 it was reparations.

00:44:17.560 And now we're done with

00:44:20.120 the reparations.

00:44:21.260 Because the reparations

00:44:22.500 died with the looting.

00:44:24.760 So in a way, but for

00:44:26.620 different reasons, I

00:44:27.880 completely agree with the

00:44:29.160 Black Lives Matter

00:44:29.900 co-founder.

00:44:30.460 the looting was your

00:44:32.220 reparations.

00:44:33.560 So if there was anybody

00:44:34.880 who wasn't looting, but

00:44:37.440 they also wanted some

00:44:38.640 reparations, it didn't

00:44:40.860 work out for you this

00:44:41.720 time.

00:44:42.460 And probably never.

00:44:44.200 Because the looting, I

00:44:45.380 think, in the minds of

00:44:47.060 people who would have to

00:44:48.100 decide that reparations was

00:44:49.900 a good idea, i.e.

00:44:51.100 white people, and people

00:44:53.200 who are, well, white people

00:44:55.180 and anybody who is not

00:44:56.040 Black, would be the ones

00:44:57.680 would have to be

00:44:58.340 convinced.

00:44:59.540 Because one assumes that

00:45:00.620 the black community might

00:45:01.600 be on board with this if

00:45:02.920 it ever became serious, the

00:45:04.620 reparations part.

00:45:05.980 But other people would

00:45:07.000 have to be convinced.

00:45:08.600 And what has happened in

00:45:11.120 the past month or two?

00:45:12.400 Well, Black Lives Matter

00:45:13.940 went from a really good

00:45:15.980 idea, you know, the idea

00:45:17.720 that we should treat each

00:45:18.820 other with the same

00:45:19.980 respect.

00:45:21.200 I thought we already were.

00:45:22.680 Frankly, I didn't know it

00:45:23.620 was a problem.

00:45:24.100 But if somebody says it

00:45:25.100 was a problem, I'm totally

00:45:27.400 on board with the

00:45:28.180 philosophy.

00:45:30.680 But the organization

00:45:32.360 itself, well, doesn't look

00:45:35.040 so good.

00:45:35.960 The Black Lives Matter

00:45:36.840 organization, by focusing on

00:45:38.840 the lowest priority, which

00:45:40.980 turned out to be based on

00:45:42.420 the fake premise, because

00:45:43.520 now we know the Michael

00:45:44.940 Brown thing was a justified

00:45:47.040 shooting, according to two

00:45:48.580 separate investigations, state

00:45:50.680 and federal.

00:45:52.060 And believe me, they were

00:45:53.000 looking for a problem.

00:45:54.720 They were not looking to

00:45:55.700 get this guy off.

00:45:57.220 Nobody was looking for

00:45:58.420 that.

00:45:59.500 But that's how it turned

00:46:00.280 out.

00:46:00.780 Turns out it was a justified

00:46:01.920 shooting.

00:46:03.360 And now we know, of course,

00:46:05.260 even the George Floyd

00:46:06.380 thing, he was so full of

00:46:07.800 fentanyl that, unfortunately,

00:46:09.840 he was going to die no

00:46:10.640 matter what.

00:46:11.520 Which doesn't absolve the

00:46:12.700 cops, but it clearly wasn't

00:46:14.140 any kind of race-related

00:46:15.300 murder situation.

00:46:18.520 So now that Black Lives

00:46:19.660 Matter is completely

00:46:20.420 discredited, in my opinion,

00:46:22.160 by becoming associated with

00:46:25.060 looting, saying things like

00:46:27.480 looting is reparations, which

00:46:30.340 I agree with, because now

00:46:31.860 we're done with reparations

00:46:32.940 forever.

00:46:33.640 It's off the table.

00:46:35.260 And I think also that by

00:46:39.580 focusing on their smallest

00:46:41.060 and a problem that's not even

00:46:43.260 real, which is, you know, the

00:46:46.200 police killing of Black people,

00:46:48.280 it's not real in the sense

00:46:49.440 that it's not worse than any

00:46:50.960 other group.

00:46:52.420 And even if it were exactly

00:46:54.160 what you thought it was, and

00:46:55.780 it was more of a problem than

00:46:57.040 it was for other groups, even

00:46:58.480 if that were true, which it

00:46:59.660 isn't, I think the part about

00:47:01.700 stopping more often and

00:47:03.340 harassing is definitely true.

00:47:06.220 But, you know, we don't know

00:47:07.080 what's that.

00:47:07.600 Is that because of the

00:47:08.660 neighborhoods you're in?

00:47:10.280 You know, does a Black police

00:47:11.320 officer harass a Black suspect

00:47:13.220 more than a white one would?

00:47:15.400 I don't even know if there's

00:47:16.240 any difference.

00:47:16.740 But anyway, even if you

00:47:18.700 assume the worst about the

00:47:20.020 whole policing situation, it's

00:47:22.220 still the smallest priority.

00:47:24.020 The biggest priority by far, the

00:47:27.800 one that changes everything if

00:47:29.320 you get it right, is education.

00:47:31.380 And that means the teachers'

00:47:32.820 unions are the source of

00:47:34.320 ongoing systemic racism.

00:47:37.640 So if the Black community ever

00:47:38.900 wanted to march against the

00:47:40.420 teachers' union and actually

00:47:42.100 guess something good, you know,

00:47:44.360 the ability to compete in

00:47:45.840 schools and therefore

00:47:47.000 improve, if they ever wanted

00:47:49.020 to do that, the Republicans

00:47:50.320 would line up and outnumber

00:47:52.160 them, right?

00:47:53.340 If the Black community wanted

00:47:54.500 to work on their biggest

00:47:55.500 problem, education, because if

00:47:57.960 you get that right, you got

00:47:59.880 your job, you got, you know,

00:48:02.320 basically everything is better

00:48:03.940 if you're making money, you're

00:48:05.940 educated, you got a job, things

00:48:07.940 are working out for you.

00:48:08.820 So you can't make racism go

00:48:11.380 away, but you can certainly

00:48:12.720 make yourself relatively immune

00:48:15.280 to it, as Oprah has, for

00:48:17.700 example.

00:48:20.540 Anyway, Black Lives Matter

00:48:22.980 completely discredited, even

00:48:26.620 though the idea is good.

00:48:28.820 All right.

00:48:29.060 Let's talk about herd

00:48:32.600 immunity, because I know you

00:48:33.900 want to.

00:48:35.300 Let's talk about that.

00:48:37.480 I've got a little more data

00:48:38.840 here, because the optimistic

00:48:41.300 hope is that the reason

00:48:43.240 Sweden has something close to

00:48:46.560 zero deaths now from

00:48:47.780 coronavirus, ongoing deaths, is

00:48:51.300 because we assume they reached

00:48:52.840 herd immunity.

00:48:54.120 But if they did, it would

00:48:55.420 suggest that it's easy to get

00:48:57.160 there, and that maybe herd

00:48:58.720 immunity is closer to 20% of

00:49:00.920 the population, not 60.

00:49:03.640 Now, if that's true, and maybe

00:49:05.780 it's because of this so-called

00:49:07.040 T-cell immunity, meaning that

00:49:09.520 if you had some exposure to

00:49:11.540 other types of coronaviruses, you

00:49:13.800 might have a little residual

00:49:15.100 immunity to this new one, because

00:49:16.920 it's got a lot in common, and it

00:49:19.140 might be enough for some people.

00:49:21.460 But I ask this question, well, are

00:49:23.500 there other situations in which

00:49:25.860 people pass that 20%?

00:49:28.960 And here are some examples and

00:49:30.880 counterexamples.

00:49:32.480 Now, before you jump to the

00:49:35.180 conclusion and say, Scott, you can't

00:49:37.740 make any decision based on that

00:49:39.420 thing you said, that's where I am

00:49:41.460 too.

00:49:42.380 So nothing I tell you next should

00:49:44.860 suggest that you could make a

00:49:46.560 decision based on it.

00:49:47.600 But I'll give you some context.

00:49:49.420 So the Diamond Princess, 19% of the

00:49:52.220 people tested had coronavirus.

00:49:53.980 And so you say to yourself, OK, that's

00:49:56.600 consistent with herd immunity being

00:49:59.600 20%-ish, because they were all on

00:50:02.560 this cruise ship together.

00:50:04.780 If it reached 19% and stopped, maybe

00:50:08.820 that's because we got it in time, but

00:50:10.780 maybe it's also because it was going to

00:50:12.820 stop there anyway.

00:50:13.520 But what about the Argentine cruise ship

00:50:17.520 in which 59% had it?

00:50:22.080 And so we've got one with 19%, but one

00:50:24.880 with 59%.

00:50:25.780 Pretty different.

00:50:27.020 Now, the 59% is coincidentally right where

00:50:29.640 we thought the top of herd immunity was.

00:50:32.640 But again, that doesn't mean anything.

00:50:35.040 It's one situation.

00:50:36.280 We don't know what happened after they

00:50:37.760 knew they had it, how they quarantined,

00:50:40.180 but what if, I'll just throw this out

00:50:43.020 there, what if people on cruise lines

00:50:46.200 don't travel alone?

00:50:48.260 What if they're always packed together

00:50:50.880 with their family?

00:50:52.200 And what if one of a family of four

00:50:54.500 got the coronavirus, but then they were

00:50:57.180 quarantined with the three other members

00:50:59.520 of their own family?

00:51:01.320 What happens to the three other members?

00:51:04.300 Probably going to get it, because they're

00:51:05.840 in this little room with whatever kind of

00:51:08.740 ventilation they've got on cruise ships.

00:51:10.960 And if one of you has it, I don't know,

00:51:14.020 your family's probably going to get it too.

00:51:16.000 So do we have a situation where you can't

00:51:18.300 really tell because of the unique way that

00:51:20.740 they handled quarantines?

00:51:23.100 I don't know.

00:51:23.980 So I would say you can't tell anything

00:51:25.280 about that.

00:51:25.880 But I would add to the conversation that

00:51:28.380 there is some notion that the higher your

00:51:31.920 viral load, the more likely you're going

00:51:34.300 to catch it.

00:51:34.880 So being around a lot of virus, more likely

00:51:38.700 to get it than being around a normal amount.

00:51:42.800 And I would say that how much you're packed

00:51:46.000 into a space and what kind of ventilation

00:51:48.860 you have probably changes completely what it

00:51:53.440 means to have herd levels.

00:51:55.720 So in other words, you might be able to reach

00:51:57.520 herd at 20% in Sweden because people are kind

00:52:00.980 of spaced out, you know, they have the option

00:52:03.840 of spacing out.

00:52:05.640 Whereas if they're all packed into a prison

00:52:08.040 or a cruise ship, maybe you don't get to herd

00:52:12.380 until you're at 60% because there's just so much

00:52:15.640 viral load.

00:52:16.440 It's just all packed in there.

00:52:18.360 There's nothing you can do.

00:52:21.120 Maybe.

00:52:22.160 So in other words, so here's the hypothesis

00:52:24.600 that is unproven.

00:52:26.400 That if we have these T cell immunities,

00:52:29.940 meaning we haven't been specifically exposed

00:52:32.140 to the virus, but we've been exposed

00:52:34.260 to other ones that gives us some immunity.

00:52:36.600 The thought is that there's some amount

00:52:39.840 of viral load that would overcome

00:52:42.640 whatever natural immunity you have.

00:52:46.280 So there's no such thing as just being,

00:52:48.660 having some immunity.

00:52:49.880 There is immunity at a certain level

00:52:52.380 and you could overwhelm that with enough virus.

00:52:54.740 That's the hypothesis.

00:52:57.160 How about inmates?

00:52:58.480 We've got one prison that had nearly 70%

00:53:03.080 were infected.

00:53:04.220 Again, maybe they're just all too close together,

00:53:08.200 not enough sanitation.

00:53:10.200 Do you make anything of that?

00:53:11.440 I don't think you can.

00:53:13.060 A homeless shelter, there was one at 24%,

00:53:15.680 another one at 36%.

00:53:17.400 Let me ask you this.

00:53:20.120 Do homeless people spend a lot of time

00:53:23.380 in close proximity to each other?

00:53:27.140 Not so much, right?

00:53:28.480 The homeless people I see are pretty much loners.

00:53:34.160 Obviously, they're homeless families.

00:53:36.620 But wouldn't you say that the homeless

00:53:38.280 are uniquely able to stay away from other people

00:53:42.560 in a weird way?

00:53:44.020 I mean, if you looked at the homeless people

00:53:45.500 in the street, they're not interacting

00:53:46.860 with each other so much, are they?

00:53:48.400 You know, I don't spend much time around that situation,

00:53:52.220 so I don't know.

00:53:53.260 But it wouldn't surprise me

00:53:54.580 if the homeless just have a natural distancing thing

00:53:58.280 built into their situation.

00:54:00.160 So they're down at that 24% and 36%

00:54:02.980 tested in two different shelters.

00:54:05.220 So we've got a French aircraft carrier, 60%.

00:54:09.140 It's pretty hard to get away from other people

00:54:11.480 on an aircraft carrier, right?

00:54:12.780 You're packed into these little bunking places.

00:54:15.520 But a U.S. aircraft carrier had 17%.

00:54:18.520 Again, probably has to do with when they caught it,

00:54:24.080 you know, how early they caught it.

00:54:25.420 Probably doesn't tell you anything.

00:54:27.880 All right, so those are some examples.

00:54:30.100 So what we know, the only thing we learned from that,

00:54:33.100 is that in these enclosed spaces,

00:54:35.400 be they a prison or a cruise ship,

00:54:38.800 you could have an infection anywhere from 20% to 70%.

00:54:42.640 So we know that.

00:54:46.320 But what we don't know is a big old country

00:54:48.840 where you've got the option of spreading out

00:54:50.700 if 20% or so could be the limit.

00:54:54.460 Now, if 20% herd immunity is not enough,

00:54:59.560 we don't know what's happening in Sweden, do we?

00:55:02.740 How do you explain Sweden

00:55:04.340 if, in fact, they didn't achieve herd immunity?

00:55:09.440 What is it if it's not that?

00:55:12.160 Could it be vitamin D?

00:55:15.260 Ah, ah, okay.

00:55:18.400 Suppose, because Sweden has the unique quality

00:55:21.600 that although they don't get enough sun

00:55:23.780 to get the right kind of vitamin D,

00:55:25.800 they know that, so it is normal to supplement.

00:55:29.480 So they have vitamin D like crazy in supplements,

00:55:32.820 fish oil supplements, I guess.

00:55:34.720 So could it be that 20% of their community

00:55:38.440 is weak enough for other reasons

00:55:41.480 comorbidities, age, whatever,

00:55:43.660 that they're weakened,

00:55:46.160 but as long as you're a normal, healthy person

00:55:48.440 with vitamin D,

00:55:50.140 maybe you just can't get it.

00:55:52.780 Maybe something like that.

00:55:54.400 So vitamin D could still be part of our answer.

00:55:56.920 It's not eliminated,

00:55:58.980 but it's not confirmed either.

00:56:02.400 And I wouldn't be surprised if it comes out that way.

00:56:05.840 Now, what did I tell you about

00:56:08.140 how President Trump's performance

00:56:09.860 on the coronavirus would be compared

00:56:11.940 by Election Day?

00:56:14.800 I made the following prediction,

00:56:16.980 that those countries that had gotten good control

00:56:19.600 of the coronavirus early,

00:56:22.280 say your Germanys and your New Zealands,

00:56:26.820 would have recurring infections

00:56:29.200 and a second wave.

00:56:30.860 And as long as we don't know what stops this thing,

00:56:33.560 as long as we don't know where herd immunity is,

00:56:36.580 and I'm not sure we're all going to be Sweden,

00:56:38.760 I predicted that those who did well

00:56:42.200 would have a second wave,

00:56:44.120 it would make the President's performance look better

00:56:46.420 because the other people would look worse,

00:56:48.540 and that all of those countries that people said,

00:56:51.120 hey, look at this country,

00:56:52.820 why can't we be more like them?

00:56:54.980 And the answer will be,

00:56:56.900 their time is coming.

00:56:58.900 And it might happen before Election Day.

00:57:05.500 Somebody says hydroxychloroquine.

00:57:07.860 Well, I don't know,

00:57:09.960 I'm still at a 30% chance

00:57:11.620 that hydroxychloroquine is a game changer.

00:57:14.400 And part of the reason is,

00:57:16.780 I just feel like I know by now.

00:57:21.080 I can't believe we could get to this point,

00:57:24.820 having so much talk about it,

00:57:26.500 so many studies,

00:57:28.000 that we wouldn't just know by now.

00:57:31.220 And the fact that it's still up in the air,

00:57:33.760 and in fact,

00:57:34.780 a lot of people leaning against it,

00:57:36.580 I don't know by what percentage,

00:57:39.320 just makes me think

00:57:40.320 it couldn't possibly be as effective

00:57:43.140 as the claims

00:57:44.800 because it would just be so obvious

00:57:46.640 by now.

00:57:49.520 But, who knows?

00:57:51.100 But we do live in a world

00:57:52.260 where the unusual can happen,

00:57:54.500 so I can't rule out anything.

00:57:56.180 Apparently, the word kamala

00:58:02.220 translates to horrible

00:58:04.500 in the Finnish language.

00:58:07.260 So, there's a lot of foreshadowing in there.

00:58:14.480 Alright, so that's all I've got for now.

00:58:16.620 And I will talk to you tomorrow.

00:58:22.940 Bye.

00:58:30.740 Bye.

00:58:39.680 Bye.

00:58:45.680 Bye.

00:58:47.760 Bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 12, 2020

Episode 1090 Scott Adams： Join me To Find out if Kamala Harrass is the Right Pick for Grabby Biden

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