Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 13, 2020


Episode 1091 Scott Adams: My Antifa Neighbor Doesn't Like Me, Brain-Dead Biden, Lots of Curse Words Today


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 7 minutes

Words per Minute

150.52515

Word Count

10,147

Sentence Count

623

Misogynist Sentences

21

Hate Speech Sentences

37


Summary

Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are both in the news today, and it's not even close to being a complete waste of time, but it's still a good one, because it's about politics, and that's about it.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody. Come on in. This morning we're going to have extra cursing. So if you've got children, make sure they are well out of the way. There will be extra cursing.
00:00:30.000 Well, has anybody watched the news recently? There isn't any. There isn't any news. Every morning I wake up and I think, I'm going to look at the news. I'll look at CNN, I'll look at Fox, and I'll say, all right, I'll talk about the news.
00:00:48.800 But today there wasn't any. It's just purely political. Neither Fox nor CNN are even pretending to cover anything like news today. It's just all just pure politics.
00:01:02.920 It's fun, but there was no news, which makes you wonder, what's up with the news? Wait. We need something. We need the simultaneous sift, because today will not be complete without it.
00:01:17.240 And all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or chels or sign a canteen jug or flask or vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.
00:01:30.000 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better, including Joe Biden's rotting fucking brain.
00:01:39.800 Drink. Drink. Ah, this is a good one. Yes, so there will be extra cursing today. Oh, it's called for. It's very called for.
00:01:54.980 Have you noticed? We'll get to all the good stuff here. But have you noticed that if you encounter somebody on Twitter who just gives you a sarcastic comment without any reasons,
00:02:15.080 just stuff like, oh, Scott, I see you're, you're really looking into it today. Or, well, I guess that's all we need to know.
00:02:26.980 And I think to myself, who would put a sarcastic comment that doesn't even kind of work in the situation?
00:02:35.100 And then I checked the profile. What kind of profession? Writers, artists, writers, musicians.
00:02:45.080 Less musicians. It's usually visual artists and writers. What is wrong with those people?
00:02:52.140 They literally can't tell the difference between sarcasm and reasons.
00:02:58.460 Once you see it, you can't unsee it. The pattern is so clear.
00:03:04.380 When somebody who is, say, a lawyer or an engineer or an economist disagrees with me,
00:03:10.140 it takes about two seconds to find out where the disagreement is.
00:03:14.660 Usually some disagreement about a fact that's hard to research or, you know, a difference of priorities, for example.
00:03:23.380 But it never seems crazy. It just feels like people have a little different view of the world, perfectly fair, just different from mine.
00:03:31.360 But the artists, the artists are not even, I don't even know if they know that logic and rationality even exist.
00:03:42.360 It's like it's not even a thing in their world.
00:03:44.660 They don't, they go through these conversations, at least, as if it's nothing that needs to be addressed.
00:03:51.300 Just rationality? Why? I have sarcasm. I have all I need.
00:03:58.720 Look at my sarcasm. That should cover it. I mean...
00:04:03.300 So, anyway.
00:04:06.620 So, when Hillary Clinton was running against Trump, I have to admit that for me it felt personal.
00:04:14.800 Because I really didn't like Hillary Clinton.
00:04:19.280 And she was anti-male.
00:04:22.180 Now, if anybody ever had a good reason to be anti-male, it's Hillary Clinton.
00:04:29.120 You know, she comes by honestly.
00:04:31.360 You know, I think Hillary Clinton could be completely forgiven for being anti-male.
00:04:38.560 Right? If we're being fair.
00:04:40.280 She's got a reason.
00:04:41.400 All right? It's called Bill.
00:04:44.160 But, whatever her reason are, whatever her reason is, she is anti-male.
00:04:51.280 And I think that's pretty obvious.
00:04:53.260 And so, anybody who's anti-me for immutable purposes, doesn't matter why.
00:04:59.040 If they're anti-men, anti-white people, anti-black people.
00:05:04.500 If they're anti-anything about something you're not going to change,
00:05:08.900 or including, I guess, religion, even though you could technically change that if you wanted to.
00:05:14.640 You know, I hate everybody who's in that category, basically.
00:05:19.120 You know, if somebody hates me for any one of those reasons,
00:05:22.720 I just hate their fucking guts.
00:05:25.620 And, likewise, if they're hating some other group I'm not in for the same reason,
00:05:30.860 I'm not too happy with them either.
00:05:32.260 But it's a little more personal when it's me, of course.
00:05:36.300 So, 2016 honestly felt personal.
00:05:39.860 But I wasn't feeling that about Biden or Kamala Harris,
00:05:43.460 because I don't really have a strong feeling about them until today.
00:05:48.040 And here's the thing.
00:05:51.840 When Biden was originally, and when I say originally,
00:05:55.380 I mean not that long ago, in the last few months,
00:05:58.880 he brings up the Charlottesville fine people hoax every now and then.
00:06:04.340 And he believes, or he acts like he believes,
00:06:07.720 that the president called the neo-Nazis fine people.
00:06:11.200 All of you know it was a hoax.
00:06:14.020 You know that the president literally said the opposite.
00:06:16.180 You know that all the people who said,
00:06:18.340 I saw it with my own ears.
00:06:20.660 Because they talk like that.
00:06:22.000 They see things with their ears.
00:06:24.140 You know that they saw the edited version that reverses the meaning.
00:06:27.800 If you see the full thing, it completely flips it.
00:06:31.820 But I thought when he was saying it originally,
00:06:37.960 I said to myself, you know, he's not all there.
00:06:41.320 He probably doesn't know it's not real.
00:06:43.820 He probably thinks it's real.
00:06:45.260 Because a lot of people were fooled into thinking he was real,
00:06:48.500 so maybe he was fooled too.
00:06:51.800 But at this point, at this point,
00:06:55.380 he's basing his campaign on the Charlottesville fine people hoax.
00:07:00.500 He made that very clear again last night with Kamala Harris.
00:07:04.340 And here's what's different.
00:07:07.600 Do I understand that President Trump has failed the fact-checking 20,000 times?
00:07:13.920 Can we just get this off the table?
00:07:16.640 Yes, I fucking know it.
00:07:19.000 You don't have to come into my comments and say,
00:07:22.720 well, what are you saying?
00:07:23.860 If Biden said that and it's not true,
00:07:26.140 what about Trump's 20,000 fact-checking?
00:07:28.920 Yes, I fucking know it.
00:07:31.300 I fucking know it.
00:07:33.460 You don't have to tell me.
00:07:35.220 And you know what's different about the Trump supporters from the other people?
00:07:41.320 They know what they're getting.
00:07:43.720 And they chose it.
00:07:45.480 Right?
00:07:45.980 So we know that President Trump uses hyperbole.
00:07:50.080 You know, he influences, he sells.
00:07:53.100 And you don't take him exactly literally if you understand where he's going.
00:07:57.660 Do I care if he built 100 miles of wall or it's 65?
00:08:04.080 Don't fucking care in the big picture.
00:08:08.000 You might like 100, you know, 100 better than 65.
00:08:11.480 But it doesn't really matter.
00:08:13.080 You know what he's doing.
00:08:14.060 He's trying to show progress.
00:08:15.360 He's trying to, you know, keep people feeling good about the country,
00:08:19.000 moving forward, pushing all the time.
00:08:21.260 Now, that is very, very different from saying that the president is a flat-out racist
00:08:28.680 because of the fine people hoax.
00:08:32.060 Now, if the president had said that, well, yeah,
00:08:35.800 anybody who supported him would have a lot of explaining to do.
00:08:40.300 Would you not agree?
00:08:41.640 If the president really called the neo-Nazis fine people,
00:08:45.140 if that had actually happened in the real world,
00:08:48.760 do you think I would fucking support it?
00:08:51.260 No!
00:08:52.820 I hope most of you wouldn't either.
00:08:55.980 It wouldn't fucking happen.
00:08:58.860 So here's the thing.
00:09:01.020 The fine people hoax is not like other fact-checking.
00:09:04.460 It is the tentpole that allows the people who are the anti-Trumpers
00:09:09.220 to dehumanize his supporters to the point of fucking violence.
00:09:14.700 It is not safe to live in a country where your fucking candidate for president
00:09:21.340 is demonizing, what, 35% of the country, 40% of the country
00:09:26.020 as literal racists because of this fine people hoax.
00:09:30.860 Because, again, if that were true,
00:09:33.240 if this president had actually said those words,
00:09:36.400 I wouldn't fucking support him, but he didn't.
00:09:39.380 He didn't say those words.
00:09:41.000 He said the exact fucking opposite.
00:09:44.760 Now, what's different is,
00:09:46.980 if you push that hoax,
00:09:49.100 you are demonizing Trump supporters to the point of violence.
00:09:53.600 Real fucking violence.
00:09:54.940 Yesterday, I take my garbage out in front of my house.
00:09:58.640 Just taking the garbage out.
00:10:00.000 Ordinary night.
00:10:01.420 Car slows down in front of my house.
00:10:04.000 Pulls down, puts the window down,
00:10:06.240 and calls me a racist by name.
00:10:09.720 Right?
00:10:10.000 So somebody knew my name
00:10:11.160 and called me a racist from their car.
00:10:15.600 Now, of course,
00:10:16.980 fucking idiot doesn't know that in my neighborhood
00:10:19.160 we're kind of ready for this stuff,
00:10:21.020 so here's a good picture of the fucking idiot
00:10:23.960 driving past all the security cameras in the world.
00:10:27.320 It's not the best place to commit a crime, asshole.
00:10:30.460 Now, I don't know if it's technically a crime
00:10:32.740 to call somebody a racist from their car,
00:10:34.880 but we'll have a conversation later today.
00:10:37.620 Fucker.
00:10:38.560 Now, the interesting part about it is
00:10:40.380 when I heard the voice before I, you know,
00:10:42.920 looked at the video,
00:10:44.740 I couldn't tell if it was male or female.
00:10:47.820 It was somewhere in between.
00:10:49.120 And then I look at it,
00:10:51.300 it's like, oh, fuck, it's Antifa.
00:10:54.220 It's fucking Antifa.
00:10:55.940 Now, I don't know if it's, like, technically a member,
00:10:58.320 but, you know, they all have that little uniform.
00:11:01.240 And, you know,
00:11:03.740 the genders are always a little hard to determine.
00:11:07.440 It looks very Antifa.
00:11:10.140 I don't know if it is or not.
00:11:12.040 So I don't know what gender we're dealing with.
00:11:14.220 And if you're new to this,
00:11:19.180 I don't care.
00:11:20.660 I'm not one of those people who cares
00:11:22.220 about the labeling of the gender.
00:11:25.080 I want everybody to be happy
00:11:26.620 and do whatever they want
00:11:27.760 in their personal sexual preferences.
00:11:30.320 I have just no,
00:11:31.600 I have no biases about that at all.
00:11:34.260 But,
00:11:35.000 it is sort of an identifying feature of Antifa.
00:11:39.580 I don't think we can doubt that.
00:11:41.980 So here's the thing.
00:11:43.020 If my neighbor has the temerity
00:11:45.220 to roll past my house,
00:11:47.280 not trying to hide his or her identity
00:11:50.460 or whatever gender-fluid situation is going on here,
00:11:54.360 that's not a safe place to live.
00:11:57.900 It's not.
00:11:58.820 Because when you call somebody a racist,
00:12:00.960 you are giving yourself permission
00:12:02.520 to hurt them physically.
00:12:03.920 And so,
00:12:05.700 I ask this.
00:12:08.860 Why is it that Twitter allows this?
00:12:11.240 So I just tweeted before I got on,
00:12:13.180 tweeted at Jack Dorsey,
00:12:15.740 that if,
00:12:17.180 as I understand the Twitter rules
00:12:19.500 and,
00:12:21.620 let's say,
00:12:22.340 philosophical preferences,
00:12:23.820 if you will,
00:12:24.340 in addition to the rules,
00:12:25.820 my understanding is that Twitter
00:12:27.460 doesn't want to ban free speech.
00:12:30.640 So just saying something
00:12:32.480 that isn't true
00:12:33.420 would not be enough
00:12:34.900 to get you banned
00:12:36.100 or labeled
00:12:36.660 or have your tweet taken down
00:12:38.220 or anything like that.
00:12:39.340 So simply being not true
00:12:41.300 can't be that big of a problem
00:12:44.180 in the world
00:12:44.940 which you have free speech
00:12:46.160 because there's just going to be
00:12:47.120 too much of it, right?
00:12:48.100 You can't really police that.
00:12:50.020 But there is a different category
00:12:51.660 that Twitter cares about a lot,
00:12:53.940 which is it could get somebody hurt
00:12:55.720 physically,
00:12:57.600 a call to violence, for example.
00:12:59.740 Or it could change
00:13:01.500 the course of an election
00:13:02.500 because, let's say,
00:13:03.980 let's say it was a tweet
00:13:05.040 telling you the wrong day
00:13:06.180 for election day.
00:13:07.960 That could change
00:13:09.080 the actual election.
00:13:10.480 So I would want,
00:13:11.460 I would want social media
00:13:13.120 to flag that
00:13:14.700 because you do want everybody
00:13:16.340 to show up
00:13:16.880 on the right fucking day, right?
00:13:18.580 I mean,
00:13:19.040 I don't want to win
00:13:20.840 any election so much
00:13:22.020 that I want people
00:13:22.780 to show up on the wrong day
00:13:23.960 to win it.
00:13:25.580 That's not the way
00:13:26.520 to get there.
00:13:26.960 So,
00:13:29.640 here's the thing.
00:13:32.740 I think Twitter
00:13:33.720 has to recognize
00:13:34.580 that the fine people hoax
00:13:36.140 is not like other facts
00:13:37.880 because it is
00:13:39.440 a call to violence.
00:13:41.020 It is a pretty direct
00:13:42.700 call to violence
00:13:43.780 because once you've said
00:13:45.660 that the supporters
00:13:46.840 are on the side
00:13:47.600 of the neo-Nazis,
00:13:49.140 in the United States,
00:13:50.860 that's permission.
00:13:52.540 That's permission
00:13:53.540 for violence.
00:13:54.740 It's permission
00:13:55.300 for what my neighbor
00:13:56.320 did,
00:13:57.660 who will be hearing
00:13:58.380 about it a little bit later.
00:14:00.840 All right?
00:14:01.260 It's permission.
00:14:02.980 And Twitter,
00:14:04.340 I think you've got to
00:14:05.080 look at this
00:14:05.600 pretty carefully.
00:14:07.160 This is not like
00:14:08.240 other fact-checking.
00:14:09.480 When you say
00:14:10.160 somebody's with
00:14:10.920 the neo-Nazis
00:14:11.900 in the United States
00:14:13.560 in 2020,
00:14:14.780 you just painted
00:14:15.640 a fucking target
00:14:16.680 on their back.
00:14:18.260 All right?
00:14:18.860 So,
00:14:19.180 let me back up
00:14:21.080 to my point
00:14:21.740 about when Hillary
00:14:23.380 was running,
00:14:24.680 it felt personal to me.
00:14:26.520 With Biden
00:14:27.160 and Kamala Harris,
00:14:28.300 it did not
00:14:28.940 until yesterday.
00:14:31.140 Now it's fucking personal.
00:14:33.420 I've got a stake in this.
00:14:35.140 I'm actually physically
00:14:36.700 at risk
00:14:37.800 if this fucking lie
00:14:39.940 keeps going.
00:14:41.160 I've spent months
00:14:42.200 trying to kill
00:14:42.820 this fucking thing.
00:14:43.720 And the fake news,
00:14:45.720 who is now
00:14:46.180 completely illegitimate
00:14:47.620 to the point
00:14:48.320 of accepting
00:14:49.000 violence against
00:14:50.080 part of the citizenship
00:14:51.260 of this fucking country,
00:14:53.420 has a lot
00:14:54.260 to fucking explain.
00:14:56.040 Now,
00:14:56.600 I'll give Jake Tapper
00:14:57.780 credit.
00:14:58.260 He's the only person
00:14:59.080 I know,
00:14:59.840 as CNN,
00:15:00.940 who has clarified
00:15:02.280 at least
00:15:02.880 the fine people hoax
00:15:04.080 on camera
00:15:04.700 and said that
00:15:05.880 the president
00:15:06.360 went on to say
00:15:07.080 he wasn't talking
00:15:07.840 about that group.
00:15:09.520 So,
00:15:09.940 Jake's the only person
00:15:11.140 who's even given
00:15:13.260 a little fucking care
00:15:15.020 to whether it's
00:15:16.580 true or false.
00:15:17.460 and I feel like
00:15:19.260 he could step up
00:15:19.980 a little bit
00:15:20.500 better too.
00:15:21.880 You know,
00:15:22.060 ultimately,
00:15:22.760 I ended up
00:15:23.380 blocking Jake
00:15:24.560 and so he's
00:15:25.820 out of my life now.
00:15:26.920 You know,
00:15:27.100 we'd worked together
00:15:28.880 on some charities
00:15:29.800 and stuff
00:15:30.360 and I liked him
00:15:33.100 but here's my rule.
00:15:34.720 If somebody thinks
00:15:35.740 I'm a racist,
00:15:37.060 I'm not going to be
00:15:37.780 your fucking friend.
00:15:39.180 I'm not going to
00:15:39.800 do a favor for you.
00:15:41.620 I'm not going to
00:15:42.420 have you in my life
00:15:43.680 at one little
00:15:45.100 fucking bit.
00:15:46.560 All right?
00:15:47.080 Now,
00:15:47.520 you can have
00:15:47.920 all the opinions
00:15:48.660 you want
00:15:49.340 but if you think
00:15:50.500 I'm a racist
00:15:51.460 because,
00:15:52.820 you know,
00:15:53.440 I think the president
00:15:54.240 is not,
00:15:55.640 if that's what you think,
00:15:57.740 fuck you.
00:15:58.660 Just get out of my life
00:15:59.660 and stay out.
00:16:00.660 All right?
00:16:00.900 I don't want to have
00:16:01.440 anything to do with you.
00:16:03.000 All right?
00:16:03.320 If you're that fucking dumb
00:16:04.820 that you think
00:16:07.020 you believe
00:16:07.520 the fine people hoax
00:16:08.620 and that's coloring
00:16:10.420 your worldview,
00:16:12.120 in Jake's case,
00:16:13.740 I don't know
00:16:14.140 what the fuck's
00:16:14.820 going on there
00:16:15.400 because I think
00:16:16.800 he knows,
00:16:17.840 well,
00:16:18.260 I don't think
00:16:18.960 he wants,
00:16:19.560 I won't,
00:16:20.060 I won't,
00:16:20.620 I won't assume
00:16:22.620 I know what he's thinking
00:16:23.640 so forget that.
00:16:25.660 All right,
00:16:25.980 so here's the thing.
00:16:26.740 The gloves are off
00:16:27.700 and here's,
00:16:29.220 here's a specific thing
00:16:30.540 that I'll be doing
00:16:31.360 a little bit differently.
00:16:33.820 I had been saying
00:16:34.960 that I felt bad
00:16:35.920 about making fun
00:16:36.960 of Biden's
00:16:37.880 mental state
00:16:38.800 because he's not all there
00:16:40.340 and I think that,
00:16:42.640 you know,
00:16:42.760 I've been saying
00:16:43.320 that he needs
00:16:43.940 a more respectable
00:16:45.640 send-off.
00:16:47.040 You know,
00:16:47.300 he should be retired
00:16:49.500 with some dignity
00:16:50.940 for his years
00:16:52.220 of public service.
00:16:53.520 People say
00:16:54.180 he's a nice person,
00:16:55.560 you know,
00:16:56.080 he's nice in person.
00:16:57.520 I don't doubt it.
00:16:59.260 But,
00:17:00.080 now it's war
00:17:01.340 because Biden
00:17:03.440 is making it dangerous.
00:17:05.140 so let me,
00:17:06.820 let me put it
00:17:07.720 very clearly.
00:17:12.340 There's almost
00:17:13.240 nothing
00:17:14.020 that's off the table
00:17:15.620 anymore
00:17:16.180 because
00:17:17.320 it's a clear
00:17:18.680 and present danger
00:17:19.600 to me physically.
00:17:21.560 All right?
00:17:21.920 Once it becomes
00:17:22.740 a physical danger,
00:17:25.580 all the rules
00:17:26.820 are off.
00:17:27.980 All right?
00:17:28.300 I believe
00:17:30.280 there are two ways
00:17:31.060 to fight
00:17:31.640 in terms of
00:17:33.840 like getting into
00:17:34.520 a fight
00:17:34.880 with another person.
00:17:37.420 Method one
00:17:38.160 is run away,
00:17:39.180 which is always
00:17:39.820 my first choice.
00:17:41.740 If somebody
00:17:42.480 wants to fight me
00:17:43.340 and I think
00:17:43.920 I might get hurt,
00:17:46.540 you know,
00:17:46.700 even if I win the fight
00:17:47.680 I might get hurt.
00:17:48.620 I don't want to get hurt.
00:17:50.260 So my first instinct
00:17:51.340 is run away.
00:17:53.000 And I would
00:17:53.680 recommend this
00:17:54.320 to all of you
00:17:54.980 as a self-defense
00:17:56.300 mechanism.
00:17:57.520 Run away.
00:17:59.140 So that's
00:17:59.520 strategy number one,
00:18:01.300 run away.
00:18:03.380 Strategy number two
00:18:04.520 is to kill the person.
00:18:07.540 And anything in between
00:18:08.800 is just bullshit.
00:18:10.460 All right?
00:18:10.780 Anybody who gets
00:18:11.520 in a fight,
00:18:13.060 even if they think
00:18:13.820 they're going to win
00:18:14.340 the fight,
00:18:15.320 I don't quite understand it.
00:18:16.900 I mean,
00:18:17.180 there might be
00:18:17.580 some special cases
00:18:18.520 where you have to
00:18:19.180 because there's
00:18:19.580 something in media
00:18:20.220 happening.
00:18:21.260 But if you have
00:18:21.840 an option,
00:18:23.420 run away.
00:18:25.180 But if that person
00:18:26.280 still needs to be killed,
00:18:28.100 well, you know
00:18:28.580 where to find them.
00:18:29.580 Why would you
00:18:30.540 take a chance
00:18:31.160 of getting hurt yourself?
00:18:33.100 Find them,
00:18:33.720 hunt them down,
00:18:34.220 and kill them.
00:18:35.160 Now, fortunately,
00:18:36.840 that has never happened.
00:18:38.340 I've never had to
00:18:39.060 hunt somebody down
00:18:39.800 and kill them
00:18:40.320 because I've never
00:18:41.800 had such a reason.
00:18:43.740 I hope I never do.
00:18:45.420 But my point is,
00:18:47.040 I don't have
00:18:47.820 I don't have
00:18:48.940 an in-between speed.
00:18:51.140 So in the political sense,
00:18:53.040 Biden has to go down.
00:18:54.560 Not in the physical sense.
00:18:56.320 But in the political sense,
00:18:58.420 all the regulators
00:19:00.380 are off.
00:19:01.760 So his
00:19:02.740 rotted fucking brain
00:19:04.860 can't ruin the country
00:19:06.860 the way
00:19:07.720 it looks like
00:19:08.980 it's shaping up.
00:19:10.320 So Biden
00:19:11.020 is going to have
00:19:13.220 a little extra
00:19:13.920 pressure on him.
00:19:15.860 more to come
00:19:16.980 on that topic.
00:19:20.300 Yeah, it's a
00:19:21.040 strategic retreat
00:19:22.060 is what it is.
00:19:23.520 Yeah, here's
00:19:24.200 what I've never understood.
00:19:25.740 Why would you
00:19:26.220 hurt somebody
00:19:27.040 who knows
00:19:27.500 where you live?
00:19:29.140 Have you ever
00:19:29.840 thought that
00:19:30.280 that was weird?
00:19:32.000 It makes,
00:19:32.660 you know,
00:19:32.900 I can imagine
00:19:33.580 hurting somebody
00:19:34.320 if they didn't
00:19:34.840 know who you were
00:19:35.640 and they didn't
00:19:36.820 know where you lived.
00:19:38.160 But if they know
00:19:38.980 who you are
00:19:39.540 and where you live,
00:19:41.220 why would you
00:19:41.720 ever hurt somebody?
00:19:43.100 It feels like
00:19:43.660 a really bad
00:19:44.260 strategy for life.
00:19:45.300 because it's
00:19:46.400 going to come
00:19:46.760 back.
00:19:48.360 All right.
00:19:51.080 And it's kind
00:19:51.920 of amazing to me
00:19:52.780 that something
00:19:53.500 like the
00:19:54.200 find people hoax
00:19:55.500 and a lot
00:19:56.180 of the other
00:19:56.680 hoaxes,
00:19:59.060 they can
00:19:59.780 remain
00:20:00.700 completely intact
00:20:01.860 because the
00:20:03.340 fake news
00:20:04.200 has such a
00:20:05.440 good bubble
00:20:05.960 that the
00:20:07.640 people on the
00:20:08.240 left,
00:20:08.640 they really
00:20:09.160 won't touch
00:20:10.040 news that's
00:20:11.480 not in their
00:20:11.920 bubble.
00:20:12.520 I mean,
00:20:12.680 it's like
00:20:12.900 you could
00:20:14.980 send them
00:20:15.440 an article
00:20:16.500 from Breitbart.
00:20:17.860 Try this
00:20:18.580 with any
00:20:18.980 of your
00:20:19.360 friends.
00:20:20.500 Send an
00:20:21.020 article from
00:20:21.680 Breitbart
00:20:22.220 to one of
00:20:23.380 your trump
00:20:23.960 hating friends
00:20:24.540 and say,
00:20:24.960 hey,
00:20:25.420 here's something
00:20:26.180 that contradicts
00:20:27.220 what you thought
00:20:27.720 was true
00:20:28.160 and it shows
00:20:29.280 its sources.
00:20:30.200 You can check
00:20:30.660 for yourself
00:20:31.140 and you'd
00:20:31.520 see that it's
00:20:32.000 right.
00:20:32.780 You can't
00:20:33.460 even get
00:20:34.000 them to
00:20:34.360 read a
00:20:36.680 Breitbart
00:20:37.100 article.
00:20:37.680 They just
00:20:37.920 won't do it.
00:20:38.960 Won't even
00:20:39.500 read it.
00:20:39.900 So their
00:20:42.300 bubble is
00:20:42.780 complete.
00:20:43.840 Now I have
00:20:44.240 to admit,
00:20:44.960 there are
00:20:46.240 a few
00:20:46.720 sources that
00:20:47.740 I feel
00:20:48.160 the same.
00:20:49.380 If somebody
00:20:49.920 sends me
00:20:50.440 an article
00:20:50.800 from the
00:20:51.280 Huffington
00:20:51.680 Post to
00:20:52.620 make their
00:20:53.180 point,
00:20:54.140 well,
00:20:54.440 I'm not
00:20:54.700 going to
00:20:54.880 read that.
00:20:56.160 Come on.
00:20:57.040 Or the
00:20:57.360 Atlantic.
00:20:59.100 Has anybody
00:20:59.760 ever sent
00:21:00.200 you an
00:21:00.680 article from
00:21:01.240 the Atlantic
00:21:01.840 to make
00:21:03.040 their case
00:21:03.600 that Trump
00:21:04.840 is orange
00:21:05.700 man bad?
00:21:06.780 If I see
00:21:07.400 an article
00:21:07.740 from the
00:21:08.180 Atlantic,
00:21:08.640 I just
00:21:08.920 laugh.
00:21:09.900 And I
00:21:10.180 think you
00:21:10.560 poor,
00:21:11.240 poor bastard.
00:21:12.440 If you're
00:21:12.900 reading stuff
00:21:14.260 in the
00:21:14.520 Atlantic,
00:21:15.400 and you
00:21:15.780 think that
00:21:16.220 that view
00:21:16.620 of the
00:21:16.840 world is
00:21:17.420 anything
00:21:17.840 close to
00:21:19.340 accurate,
00:21:21.000 you poor,
00:21:21.940 poor fucking
00:21:22.660 bastard.
00:21:24.520 You know,
00:21:25.260 I ask this
00:21:26.020 question,
00:21:26.580 and this is
00:21:27.220 serious.
00:21:28.480 Objectively
00:21:29.040 speaking,
00:21:30.020 if you take
00:21:30.680 politics out
00:21:31.380 of it,
00:21:32.560 and you're
00:21:32.980 just scoring,
00:21:34.540 is Biden
00:21:35.280 the most
00:21:35.800 prolific liar
00:21:36.980 the Democrats
00:21:37.740 have ever
00:21:38.180 run for
00:21:39.280 president?
00:21:40.860 Do you
00:21:41.520 think that
00:21:41.820 that's true?
00:21:43.040 Do you
00:21:43.480 think that
00:21:43.980 there's never
00:21:44.780 been a
00:21:45.460 bigger,
00:21:45.840 more obvious
00:21:47.020 liar than
00:21:48.820 Biden?
00:21:49.740 Now,
00:21:50.000 of course,
00:21:50.320 you're going
00:21:50.520 to say,
00:21:50.900 hey,
00:21:51.260 but Bill
00:21:52.060 Clinton
00:21:52.420 lied,
00:21:53.060 and you're
00:21:53.360 going to
00:21:53.440 say,
00:21:54.040 hey,
00:21:54.280 Obama
00:21:54.700 lied,
00:21:55.780 and all
00:21:56.440 the politicians
00:21:57.560 lie.
00:21:58.900 Let us
00:22:00.060 stipulate that
00:22:01.620 we don't have
00:22:02.320 presidents who
00:22:03.160 have told no
00:22:03.860 lies according
00:22:04.720 to third
00:22:05.380 parties who rank
00:22:07.060 these things.
00:22:08.340 But I'm
00:22:09.440 just saying
00:22:09.980 that Biden
00:22:10.560 might be the
00:22:11.320 lyingest of
00:22:12.120 all the
00:22:12.440 liars.
00:22:13.600 Am I
00:22:13.920 wrong about
00:22:14.320 that?
00:22:14.860 Because the
00:22:15.600 types of
00:22:16.020 lies that
00:22:16.560 he's told
00:22:17.180 are ridiculous
00:22:19.100 ones,
00:22:19.720 like his
00:22:20.080 own
00:22:20.260 resume.
00:22:21.200 He's lied
00:22:21.740 about his
00:22:23.540 education.
00:22:25.020 He's lied
00:22:25.760 about some
00:22:26.240 pretty big
00:22:26.940 stuff.
00:22:28.100 And now
00:22:28.380 he lied
00:22:29.940 about the
00:22:30.360 president being
00:22:30.980 soft on
00:22:31.600 terrorists?
00:22:33.120 What?
00:22:34.600 It's big
00:22:35.240 soft on
00:22:35.840 terrorists?
00:22:36.660 And so
00:22:36.860 he says,
00:22:37.280 or Vox,
00:22:37.900 yeah.
00:22:38.320 If somebody
00:22:38.720 sends me a
00:22:39.320 Vox article,
00:22:40.500 I usually
00:22:41.220 just laugh.
00:22:42.700 Because you
00:22:43.120 don't really
00:22:43.780 need to read
00:22:44.340 it to know
00:22:45.420 that it's
00:22:45.720 bullshit.
00:22:49.540 But if
00:22:50.100 somebody
00:22:50.340 sent me
00:22:50.760 something a
00:22:53.140 little bit
00:22:53.660 more mainstream,
00:22:55.040 I might
00:22:55.320 read it.
00:22:58.580 So that's
00:22:59.500 just a
00:22:59.780 question.
00:23:00.300 In my
00:23:00.800 opinion,
00:23:01.380 I think
00:23:01.760 that we
00:23:02.040 would find,
00:23:02.540 at least
00:23:02.740 in modern
00:23:03.240 times,
00:23:04.080 that Biden
00:23:04.600 is the
00:23:05.080 most lying
00:23:05.720 Democrat
00:23:06.980 who's ever
00:23:07.900 run.
00:23:08.700 On purely
00:23:09.260 objective
00:23:09.720 things,
00:23:10.320 I think
00:23:12.080 you could
00:23:12.340 just score
00:23:12.840 it and
00:23:13.140 see how
00:23:13.400 many times
00:23:13.820 he's lied
00:23:14.320 and what
00:23:15.080 kind of
00:23:15.400 lies they
00:23:15.820 are.
00:23:17.500 Which is
00:23:18.140 an interesting
00:23:18.620 strategy.
00:23:20.020 Because what
00:23:20.400 is the
00:23:20.780 biggest
00:23:21.160 complaint
00:23:21.740 about this
00:23:22.400 president?
00:23:24.180 You know,
00:23:24.540 before Trump
00:23:25.920 was in
00:23:26.460 office,
00:23:27.020 there were
00:23:27.200 all these
00:23:27.560 complaints
00:23:27.980 about the
00:23:28.400 bad things
00:23:28.880 he would
00:23:29.300 do,
00:23:29.980 right?
00:23:30.540 He will
00:23:31.260 blow up
00:23:31.760 the country.
00:23:32.400 He will
00:23:32.840 destroy the
00:23:33.620 economy.
00:23:34.700 He will
00:23:35.280 whatever.
00:23:37.260 And then
00:23:37.720 three years
00:23:38.900 of governing
00:23:39.420 and none
00:23:40.540 of that
00:23:40.820 stuff happens,
00:23:41.980 right?
00:23:42.460 He wasn't
00:23:43.140 a Russian
00:23:43.580 puppet.
00:23:45.160 You know,
00:23:45.360 the Russia
00:23:45.940 collusion
00:23:46.400 didn't happen.
00:23:48.100 So after
00:23:49.120 three years,
00:23:49.780 you talk to
00:23:50.400 your Democrat
00:23:51.160 friends who
00:23:51.880 hate Trump
00:23:52.560 and you say,
00:23:53.700 what is it
00:23:54.060 about him
00:23:54.600 that you
00:23:55.640 hate now
00:23:56.460 that you've
00:23:56.840 seen that
00:23:57.180 everything you
00:23:57.800 thought would
00:23:58.220 happen didn't
00:23:58.800 happen?
00:23:59.120 And what
00:24:00.300 is the
00:24:00.720 usual answer?
00:24:02.680 The usual
00:24:03.640 answer you'll
00:24:04.420 get from
00:24:05.940 an educated
00:24:06.980 Trump hater
00:24:08.240 who's watched
00:24:09.480 him for three
00:24:10.100 years and none
00:24:10.820 of the things
00:24:11.300 that he thought
00:24:11.720 would happen
00:24:12.140 happened.
00:24:13.220 And what
00:24:13.660 did they
00:24:13.900 say?
00:24:14.660 Well,
00:24:14.960 he's a
00:24:15.260 liar.
00:24:16.280 He's a
00:24:16.620 big liar.
00:24:18.820 Now,
00:24:19.480 fact check
00:24:20.080 me on this.
00:24:20.680 Have you had
00:24:21.420 this conversation
00:24:22.300 after, say,
00:24:23.560 three years
00:24:24.100 of governing
00:24:24.960 when you
00:24:25.700 don't have
00:24:26.060 to guess
00:24:26.500 what happened?
00:24:27.680 You just
00:24:28.040 look at it.
00:24:29.120 Don't they
00:24:29.780 say the
00:24:30.320 biggest problem
00:24:31.040 with the
00:24:31.480 president is
00:24:32.220 that he
00:24:32.580 lies?
00:24:33.820 That's it,
00:24:34.480 right?
00:24:34.700 It's the
00:24:35.040 number one
00:24:35.480 thing.
00:24:35.960 Because all
00:24:36.580 of the other
00:24:37.080 things just
00:24:37.620 sort of went
00:24:38.160 away.
00:24:39.060 Now, you
00:24:39.500 and I
00:24:39.900 probably think,
00:24:40.820 okay, you
00:24:41.320 call it
00:24:41.760 lying, I
00:24:42.940 call it
00:24:43.260 hyperbole,
00:24:44.820 yeah, he
00:24:45.360 maybe should
00:24:46.480 say less
00:24:46.980 about the
00:24:47.400 medical stuff.
00:24:49.140 Well, I
00:24:49.460 get it.
00:24:50.500 But have
00:24:51.080 we not
00:24:51.520 learned how
00:24:52.380 to filter
00:24:54.100 things?
00:24:55.180 Have we
00:24:55.620 not watched
00:24:56.300 enough of
00:24:56.780 this president
00:24:57.360 to say,
00:24:58.340 okay, there's
00:24:59.080 the claim.
00:25:00.240 Now let's
00:25:00.700 look at what
00:25:01.360 the experts
00:25:01.840 say, see if
00:25:02.880 it's a
00:25:03.240 hyperbole or
00:25:03.920 not.
00:25:04.620 Have we not
00:25:05.220 learned to
00:25:05.820 understand how
00:25:07.160 that works?
00:25:08.120 That he is
00:25:08.760 intentionally and
00:25:10.460 tells us
00:25:11.260 directly.
00:25:12.380 This is the
00:25:12.940 fun part.
00:25:14.020 The president
00:25:14.660 told us while
00:25:15.860 he was running,
00:25:16.700 before he was
00:25:17.380 elected, after
00:25:18.560 he was elected,
00:25:19.680 that he uses
00:25:20.360 optimism and
00:25:22.040 uses hyperbole.
00:25:23.140 and he tells
00:25:25.080 us.
00:25:26.020 He actually
00:25:26.600 tells us that
00:25:28.500 he's going to
00:25:28.960 do it.
00:25:30.580 And then he
00:25:31.300 doesn't.
00:25:32.320 That feels a
00:25:33.140 lot different
00:25:33.800 than just
00:25:34.640 making up a
00:25:35.400 lie that
00:25:35.820 would tear
00:25:36.220 the social
00:25:36.760 fabric of
00:25:37.360 the country
00:25:37.740 apart.
00:25:38.460 Those are
00:25:38.860 not the
00:25:39.280 same thing.
00:25:40.700 Biden's
00:25:41.220 lying is the
00:25:42.020 dangerous
00:25:42.460 kind.
00:25:43.440 The president's
00:25:44.300 lying, if you
00:25:45.280 want to call
00:25:45.700 it that, is
00:25:46.980 the salesman
00:25:47.760 kind.
00:25:48.720 Is the
00:25:49.200 salesman
00:25:49.680 destroying the
00:25:50.440 country?
00:25:52.100 No.
00:25:53.220 No.
00:25:53.800 Probably not.
00:25:54.540 Probably just
00:25:54.980 selling you a
00:25:55.500 car that you
00:25:55.920 might be happy
00:25:56.460 with if you
00:25:56.920 bought.
00:25:58.180 So, somebody
00:26:00.780 says, I lived
00:26:01.400 in Delaware
00:26:01.780 for 20 years
00:26:02.520 and he's
00:26:02.900 dirty, Biden
00:26:03.740 is.
00:26:04.780 Well, I
00:26:05.360 don't doubt
00:26:05.800 that.
00:26:06.580 But he's
00:26:07.200 been so
00:26:07.660 vetted that
00:26:08.460 I don't know
00:26:09.020 how any of
00:26:09.340 that's going
00:26:09.660 to stick to
00:26:10.200 him.
00:26:10.800 I know what
00:26:11.240 you're talking
00:26:11.580 about, though,
00:26:12.060 the credit
00:26:12.460 card companies
00:26:13.120 and all that
00:26:13.940 stuff.
00:26:15.140 Here's something
00:26:15.860 funny.
00:26:17.640 Have you seen
00:26:18.220 the way that
00:26:18.820 the media is
00:26:19.720 treating the
00:26:20.240 photography and
00:26:22.140 the graphic
00:26:22.760 images for
00:26:24.220 Harris and
00:26:25.580 Biden?
00:26:26.580 Have you
00:26:26.980 noticed that
00:26:27.480 they're putting
00:26:27.900 a big picture
00:26:29.960 of Kamala
00:26:30.860 Harris and
00:26:31.960 then they'll
00:26:32.360 put a little
00:26:32.820 picture of
00:26:33.300 Biden standing
00:26:34.020 behind her?
00:26:36.420 On what
00:26:37.240 planet in
00:26:38.260 what year have
00:26:39.420 you ever seen
00:26:39.920 the vice
00:26:40.360 president featured
00:26:42.040 and the top
00:26:43.780 of the ticket
00:26:44.300 standing way
00:26:45.040 back in the
00:26:45.560 corner like
00:26:46.080 he's disappearing?
00:26:47.820 Have you
00:26:48.480 seen that?
00:26:49.020 it is so
00:26:50.420 obvious that
00:26:51.940 they're
00:26:52.160 de-emphasizing
00:26:53.040 Biden, the
00:26:53.700 head of the
00:26:54.040 ticket, that
00:26:55.440 if this were
00:26:56.700 a comedy, I
00:26:58.140 mean, you
00:26:58.320 could play
00:26:58.660 this as a
00:26:59.160 comedy.
00:27:00.140 Imagine this
00:27:00.800 is a movie,
00:27:02.060 all right?
00:27:03.440 Literally, imagine
00:27:04.580 it's a movie and
00:27:05.920 you're seeing the
00:27:06.500 graphic artists and
00:27:07.600 they're, you know,
00:27:08.160 the graphic artist
00:27:08.860 comes to the
00:27:09.400 boss, let's say
00:27:10.620 they work at one
00:27:11.260 of these big
00:27:11.680 publications, they
00:27:12.900 say, all right,
00:27:13.280 here's my graphic
00:27:13.900 treatment and the
00:27:15.860 editor says, can
00:27:18.120 you make, you've
00:27:19.480 got the vice
00:27:20.400 president and the
00:27:21.060 president, Biden
00:27:21.940 and Harris, the
00:27:23.200 candidates, you've
00:27:24.420 got them the same
00:27:25.120 size, could you
00:27:27.340 go back and make,
00:27:28.540 just make the
00:27:29.120 Biden one a
00:27:29.920 little bit smaller
00:27:31.000 and make the
00:27:32.240 Harris one a
00:27:33.060 little bit bigger
00:27:33.600 and the graphic
00:27:34.740 artist goes back
00:27:35.620 and now the
00:27:37.320 Biden is half
00:27:38.140 the size of the
00:27:39.660 Harris and the
00:27:40.820 editor says,
00:27:41.980 ah, okay, we're
00:27:43.820 moving in the
00:27:44.400 right direction
00:27:45.000 but the Biden
00:27:47.020 is still a
00:27:48.260 little bit big,
00:27:49.740 could you, you
00:27:50.800 know, just a
00:27:51.380 little bit, just
00:27:52.920 take a little off
00:27:53.680 and give me
00:27:54.100 another look,
00:27:55.240 graphic artist
00:27:55.820 comes back and
00:27:56.640 now the Biden
00:27:57.220 is 30% the
00:27:58.900 size of the
00:27:59.660 big Harris
00:28:00.620 image and the
00:28:01.960 editor is like,
00:28:03.180 ah, could you
00:28:05.640 just give me
00:28:07.760 one more look,
00:28:09.480 I just want to
00:28:10.300 have something to
00:28:10.960 compare, you
00:28:12.220 know, one with
00:28:12.880 just a little bit
00:28:13.700 smaller, could you
00:28:14.380 make it, could you
00:28:16.020 make the Biden
00:28:16.680 10% the size and
00:28:19.160 could you hide
00:28:20.440 most of the
00:28:21.440 Biden, most of
00:28:22.760 the body part
00:28:23.680 behind the much
00:28:25.500 larger Kamala
00:28:27.080 Harris picture
00:28:28.720 and then the
00:28:29.940 graphic artist
00:28:30.660 looks at, looks
00:28:31.640 at the editor
00:28:32.240 and says,
00:28:33.940 ah, sure,
00:28:35.280 sure, sure, I'll
00:28:36.020 do that and
00:28:37.020 then as they're
00:28:37.600 walking down the
00:28:38.340 hallway you see
00:28:39.080 the graphic artist
00:28:40.400 muttering,
00:28:41.540 fucking idiot,
00:28:42.480 now, if that
00:28:46.340 were a movie
00:28:46.980 because you
00:28:48.200 know something
00:28:49.020 somewhat like
00:28:50.260 that actually
00:28:50.960 happened, you
00:28:52.480 know that those
00:28:54.000 pictures you saw
00:28:54.860 with tiny Biden
00:28:55.900 and gigantic
00:28:57.220 Kamala Harris,
00:28:58.760 it wasn't the
00:28:59.620 graphic artist who
00:29:00.720 came up with
00:29:01.400 that, all right,
00:29:03.000 no graphic artist
00:29:04.460 brought that image
00:29:06.200 to their boss,
00:29:07.920 nobody's that bad
00:29:09.340 at being a graphic
00:29:10.580 artist, I'll tell
00:29:12.200 you what happened,
00:29:12.940 they brought him
00:29:13.480 a picture where
00:29:14.120 they were balanced
00:29:14.920 and the editor
00:29:15.960 said, go back to
00:29:16.880 the drawing board,
00:29:18.000 that Biden, we
00:29:18.860 can still see it,
00:29:20.360 we can still see
00:29:21.320 a little Biden
00:29:21.960 in that picture,
00:29:23.200 a little less
00:29:23.840 Biden, all right,
00:29:25.320 you know that
00:29:26.020 happened, right,
00:29:27.060 you don't have to
00:29:27.600 be some mind
00:29:28.680 reader to know
00:29:29.720 it went down
00:29:30.360 just like that
00:29:31.600 because no
00:29:32.380 graphic artist
00:29:33.280 brings tiny
00:29:34.680 Biden, giant
00:29:35.580 Kamala to the
00:29:36.640 boss and says,
00:29:37.380 how about this,
00:29:38.280 that's not draft
00:29:39.340 number one,
00:29:40.540 you know it,
00:29:41.160 right, that's
00:29:42.120 not first draft,
00:29:44.820 all right,
00:29:46.400 the, I feel
00:29:50.000 like Republicans
00:29:51.120 are totally
00:29:51.960 falling into a
00:29:53.060 trap, I think
00:29:54.480 President Trump
00:29:55.380 has fallen into
00:29:56.260 this trap
00:29:56.860 already and
00:29:58.580 certainly all the
00:29:59.500 supporters and
00:30:00.360 here's the trap,
00:30:01.380 if you're attacking
00:30:02.620 Harris for her
00:30:03.960 presumed sexual
00:30:06.360 whatever past and
00:30:07.800 the Willie Brown
00:30:08.520 stuff and ha ha
00:30:10.200 ha, she slept
00:30:11.140 away at the
00:30:11.640 top, first of
00:30:12.980 all, you're not
00:30:13.480 a good person,
00:30:14.780 all right,
00:30:17.100 it's a subjective
00:30:19.680 thing, but in
00:30:22.460 my opinion,
00:30:24.720 you're not really
00:30:25.800 a good person
00:30:26.560 if you're going
00:30:27.380 to that argument
00:30:28.860 because there's
00:30:30.000 enough of an
00:30:30.720 argument without
00:30:31.460 that and you
00:30:32.980 wouldn't want it
00:30:33.580 to be about you,
00:30:34.580 right, I mean if
00:30:35.480 you reverse that,
00:30:36.900 would you want to
00:30:37.460 be running for
00:30:38.040 office and all
00:30:38.740 they want to
00:30:39.120 talk about is
00:30:39.620 your sexual past?
00:30:41.440 No, no, it
00:30:43.120 wouldn't be fair,
00:30:43.940 you wouldn't want
00:30:44.420 it to happen to
00:30:44.960 your daughter, you
00:30:45.900 wouldn't want it
00:30:46.320 to happen to
00:30:46.600 your mother, you
00:30:47.780 wouldn't want it
00:30:48.260 to happen to
00:30:48.660 your wife, your
00:30:49.940 spouse, you
00:30:51.080 wouldn't want it
00:30:51.600 to fucking happen
00:30:52.240 to anybody, so
00:30:53.920 if you're doing
00:30:54.920 it, you know, if
00:30:56.120 you're part of
00:30:56.660 that, ha ha ha,
00:30:58.700 it's funny, okay,
00:31:00.420 I get it, you
00:31:01.360 know, it's funny
00:31:01.920 for about a minute,
00:31:03.300 but really, it
00:31:04.860 would be really
00:31:05.460 helpful to get
00:31:06.160 off of that
00:31:06.660 quickly, because
00:31:08.140 it just is too
00:31:08.900 easy for the
00:31:09.680 Democrats, and
00:31:12.500 they're already
00:31:12.980 doing it, to
00:31:13.600 say, well, it
00:31:14.700 looks like it's
00:31:15.220 misogyny all the
00:31:16.280 way around, all
00:31:17.060 the Republicans
00:31:17.580 are misogynists,
00:31:18.940 looks like that
00:31:19.560 president's being
00:31:20.320 misogynist, because
00:31:21.220 the way he talks
00:31:22.120 about Harris is
00:31:22.860 not the way he
00:31:23.500 talks about men,
00:31:24.760 which you could
00:31:25.960 argue, but the
00:31:27.260 president does like
00:31:28.200 to use this word
00:31:29.240 nasty, nasty.
00:31:32.680 nasty.
00:31:33.800 Now, here's
00:31:35.080 where he's
00:31:35.740 clever, but
00:31:37.840 maybe a little
00:31:38.680 too clever in
00:31:39.720 this case.
00:31:41.300 The president
00:31:42.240 is superb at
00:31:45.080 using imagery
00:31:46.320 and words and
00:31:47.300 stuff that set
00:31:49.140 your brain on
00:31:49.840 fire, but if
00:31:51.320 you looked at
00:31:51.920 it specifically,
00:31:52.760 there's nothing
00:31:53.160 wrong with it.
00:31:54.980 The word nasty
00:31:56.280 was not invented
00:31:57.920 as a gender
00:31:58.800 specific insult.
00:31:59.920 You know, there's
00:32:01.300 nobody who can't
00:32:02.180 be nasty.
00:32:03.020 You could be
00:32:03.540 male, female.
00:32:05.060 You know, there's
00:32:05.720 no gender
00:32:06.320 assumption in
00:32:07.480 nasty, but the
00:32:08.980 Democrats have
00:32:09.640 decided that there
00:32:10.500 is.
00:32:11.600 Now, it could be
00:32:12.460 that there's not,
00:32:13.980 there's no history
00:32:15.020 of Trump using
00:32:15.980 that word against
00:32:16.760 men.
00:32:17.300 I don't know.
00:32:18.240 Maybe yes, maybe
00:32:19.020 no, but it feels
00:32:20.720 like it's being
00:32:22.460 used because she's
00:32:23.420 a woman.
00:32:24.520 But it's a
00:32:25.320 really, it's a
00:32:26.440 really good word
00:32:27.220 because nasty is
00:32:28.980 one of those
00:32:29.420 words, like
00:32:30.200 dark, that you
00:32:32.180 can read into
00:32:32.900 it whatever you
00:32:33.520 wanted to put
00:32:34.140 into it.
00:32:35.220 You know, dark,
00:32:36.200 well, what's
00:32:36.660 dark?
00:32:37.100 Well, his
00:32:37.480 attitude, the
00:32:38.380 way he talks,
00:32:39.240 the policies,
00:32:40.120 everything fits
00:32:41.260 into dark, but
00:32:42.620 likewise, there's
00:32:43.380 a lot of stuff
00:32:44.120 that fits into
00:32:44.740 nasty.
00:32:45.940 So, in terms of
00:32:47.020 persuasion, it's a
00:32:48.040 really good word.
00:32:49.640 It's a really good
00:32:50.500 word, but the
00:32:52.260 counter to it is
00:32:53.580 a little bit
00:32:54.060 better, which is,
00:32:55.040 hey, you wouldn't
00:32:55.580 use that word with
00:32:56.360 a man, which is a
00:32:58.020 pretty good counter.
00:32:58.980 if you're already
00:33:00.340 primed to believe
00:33:01.500 there's some
00:33:01.880 misogyny going
00:33:02.600 on.
00:33:04.320 So, I would
00:33:05.160 advise all of
00:33:09.320 you to just
00:33:12.020 let that go.
00:33:13.480 First of all, to
00:33:14.460 be good people.
00:33:16.220 You don't want to
00:33:17.200 stump, you don't
00:33:18.960 want to lower
00:33:20.700 yourself to your
00:33:22.260 enemy's level.
00:33:23.420 That's, you know,
00:33:24.320 I can see sometimes
00:33:25.280 that might make
00:33:25.900 sense, but I
00:33:26.920 don't think you
00:33:27.360 buy, you're not
00:33:28.200 buying anything
00:33:28.840 by doing it.
00:33:29.840 If you had
00:33:30.360 something to
00:33:30.860 gain by doing
00:33:31.560 it, well, maybe,
00:33:32.900 but there's
00:33:34.140 just nothing to
00:33:34.840 gain on this.
00:33:37.700 The Democrats
00:33:38.940 are trying to
00:33:39.980 figure out how
00:33:40.940 best to protect
00:33:42.320 Harris and
00:33:43.480 Biden, and I
00:33:44.600 don't think they've
00:33:45.200 decided yet if
00:33:46.180 calling her a
00:33:47.020 pragmatic moderate,
00:33:48.860 I think that's the
00:33:50.160 way they're going
00:33:50.580 to go.
00:33:51.260 They're going to
00:33:51.620 try to sell
00:33:52.280 Harris as a
00:33:53.240 pragmatic moderate,
00:33:54.960 moderate, but
00:33:56.340 the right is
00:33:58.940 selling her as
00:33:59.980 a wild leftist
00:34:02.520 with the most
00:34:03.320 progressive ideas,
00:34:05.340 et cetera.
00:34:06.280 Which one of
00:34:07.180 those is true?
00:34:09.240 Is it true that
00:34:11.220 Harris is a
00:34:12.160 pragmatic moderate,
00:34:13.920 or is it true that
00:34:15.660 she is a wild
00:34:16.780 lefty?
00:34:18.380 What do you
00:34:18.980 think?
00:34:20.100 What is your
00:34:21.000 honest opinion?
00:34:21.740 If you were to
00:34:22.400 take the politics
00:34:23.980 out, forget which
00:34:25.140 team you're on for
00:34:26.020 a moment, and
00:34:27.080 you're just saying,
00:34:27.680 all right, all right,
00:34:28.220 I'll be as
00:34:28.580 objective as
00:34:29.200 possible, imagine
00:34:30.600 it from 30,000
00:34:31.580 feet, I'm an
00:34:32.900 alien, I just
00:34:33.720 came to Earth, I
00:34:34.580 don't have any
00:34:35.160 biases or
00:34:36.020 opinions, I'm
00:34:37.080 just going to
00:34:37.600 look at what
00:34:38.100 she says and
00:34:38.860 does.
00:34:40.300 Does Harris
00:34:40.860 look like a
00:34:41.480 pragmatic moderate,
00:34:43.080 or a wild
00:34:44.540 lefty?
00:34:47.500 Pragmatic moderate,
00:34:49.420 in my opinion.
00:34:50.140 And when I
00:34:51.360 mean pragmatic, I
00:34:52.420 mean she'll take
00:34:53.000 whatever position
00:34:53.940 she thinks will
00:34:55.140 get her elected.
00:34:56.580 So you can't get
00:34:57.700 more pragmatic
00:34:58.460 than that.
00:34:59.640 In my opinion, she
00:35:00.780 has no commitment
00:35:01.640 whatsoever to the
00:35:02.800 far left.
00:35:04.220 She has a
00:35:05.460 commitment to
00:35:06.400 ambition, she
00:35:08.480 has a commitment
00:35:09.060 to winning, she
00:35:10.700 has a commitment
00:35:11.260 to herself, she
00:35:13.520 may have some
00:35:14.240 good feelings
00:35:15.220 about the
00:35:15.600 country too, I
00:35:16.440 don't know, can't
00:35:17.680 read her mind.
00:35:18.260 But, you
00:35:21.880 know, the
00:35:22.180 attack that she
00:35:23.340 is a wild
00:35:24.400 lefty, it
00:35:25.420 probably works on
00:35:26.480 the right, in
00:35:27.220 other words,
00:35:27.700 Republicans are
00:35:28.500 certainly, they're
00:35:29.340 primed to believe
00:35:30.040 that, and
00:35:30.880 anything that she
00:35:31.620 wants to do that
00:35:32.460 Republicans don't
00:35:33.400 want to do will
00:35:34.840 feel like it's too
00:35:35.620 far left.
00:35:36.340 So I think that
00:35:37.360 framing works for
00:35:38.760 the Republicans,
00:35:39.820 and I think the,
00:35:41.620 but here's the
00:35:42.540 question, the
00:35:44.060 Democrats, the
00:35:46.540 Democrats are
00:35:47.160 trying to frame
00:35:47.820 her in a way
00:35:48.340 that can get
00:35:49.200 her elected.
00:35:50.780 If you are
00:35:51.680 part of the
00:35:52.280 Bernie Sanders
00:35:53.120 crowd, do you
00:35:54.680 want to hear
00:35:55.060 that she's a
00:35:55.660 pragmatic
00:35:56.200 moderate?
00:35:58.220 Because I've
00:35:58.920 got a feeling
00:35:59.700 that the
00:36:01.540 Bernie people
00:36:02.640 are just
00:36:03.240 going to
00:36:03.700 stay home.
00:36:06.200 I don't know
00:36:06.720 that they'll
00:36:07.000 vote for
00:36:07.440 Trump, but I
00:36:08.200 don't think
00:36:08.500 they're going
00:36:08.780 to come out
00:36:09.260 and vote for
00:36:10.220 the pragmatic
00:36:10.900 moderate, because
00:36:11.980 that's exactly
00:36:12.560 what they didn't
00:36:13.160 want.
00:36:14.000 That's as close
00:36:14.760 to what they
00:36:15.260 didn't want as
00:36:15.860 anything could be.
00:36:17.260 Now, will
00:36:17.660 they say,
00:36:18.820 yeah, but
00:36:19.520 it's better
00:36:20.700 than Trump?
00:36:22.620 They might,
00:36:24.520 but how
00:36:25.300 enthusiastic
00:36:26.280 are you for,
00:36:28.280 yeah, I
00:36:28.740 fought really
00:36:29.220 hard for
00:36:29.680 Bernie and
00:36:30.300 these really
00:36:31.320 leftist
00:36:31.880 policies, but
00:36:33.180 man, I'm
00:36:33.760 going to get
00:36:34.060 up early and
00:36:34.740 I'm going to
00:36:35.260 brave the
00:36:35.980 coronavirus or
00:36:37.200 I'm going to
00:36:37.640 fill out my
00:36:38.180 mail ballot or
00:36:38.880 whatever I'm
00:36:39.160 going to do
00:36:39.580 to get that
00:36:41.060 pragmatic
00:36:41.540 moderate in
00:36:42.520 there.
00:36:43.820 I don't
00:36:44.240 know.
00:36:44.420 it just
00:36:46.260 doesn't feel
00:36:47.060 inspiring to
00:36:47.800 me.
00:36:48.440 So I've
00:36:48.760 got a
00:36:49.000 feeling that's
00:36:49.500 going to
00:36:49.700 hurt them.
00:36:53.400 Here's a
00:36:54.400 wild card that
00:36:55.440 was suggested
00:36:56.240 to me.
00:36:57.300 I'm not
00:36:57.840 going to give
00:36:58.200 credit to
00:36:59.420 people who
00:37:00.100 send me
00:37:00.720 DMs and
00:37:01.580 don't.
00:37:02.540 If I use
00:37:03.560 your idea
00:37:04.060 that you
00:37:04.440 DMed to
00:37:05.060 me, just
00:37:06.400 take the
00:37:07.440 happiness that
00:37:08.360 the idea
00:37:08.860 made it
00:37:11.120 into the
00:37:11.660 periscope,
00:37:12.960 because if
00:37:13.560 I haven't
00:37:13.900 asked you
00:37:14.360 if I can
00:37:14.760 mention your
00:37:15.240 name, I
00:37:15.620 don't want
00:37:15.900 to do
00:37:16.100 it.
00:37:17.000 And I
00:37:18.200 usually forget
00:37:18.760 to ask
00:37:19.100 that question.
00:37:20.280 So here's
00:37:21.400 a thought
00:37:22.160 from, it's
00:37:22.920 not an
00:37:23.280 original
00:37:23.580 thought.
00:37:24.760 The idea
00:37:25.900 is that the
00:37:26.720 young women
00:37:27.540 who are
00:37:29.580 Democrats are
00:37:31.100 seeing Biden
00:37:31.920 as a creepy
00:37:32.700 old man with
00:37:33.460 a younger
00:37:33.820 woman.
00:37:35.840 And as
00:37:36.500 soon as I
00:37:36.900 heard that,
00:37:37.580 I thought
00:37:37.880 to myself,
00:37:39.120 oh,
00:37:39.900 snap.
00:37:41.120 think about
00:37:43.240 it.
00:37:43.940 Creepy
00:37:44.360 old man
00:37:45.020 with a
00:37:45.580 younger
00:37:45.840 woman.
00:37:46.960 Now, I
00:37:48.500 know what
00:37:48.780 you're thinking.
00:37:49.800 I know what
00:37:50.540 you're thinking.
00:37:50.980 You're saying,
00:37:51.720 Scott, that
00:37:52.840 might be a
00:37:53.280 topic you
00:37:53.720 know just
00:37:54.120 a little
00:37:54.400 bit about.
00:37:55.720 Okay, I
00:37:56.700 get it.
00:37:57.640 Yes, I
00:37:58.180 do have a
00:37:58.960 much younger
00:37:59.640 wife.
00:38:01.060 And I
00:38:01.740 can tell
00:38:02.140 you that
00:38:03.280 my experience,
00:38:04.920 no surprise,
00:38:06.160 is that there's
00:38:06.760 a segment of
00:38:07.380 the population
00:38:08.040 who really,
00:38:09.740 really hates
00:38:10.420 that.
00:38:11.120 I don't
00:38:11.880 know exactly
00:38:12.440 why.
00:38:13.320 You know,
00:38:13.520 you'd have
00:38:13.840 to open
00:38:14.720 up their
00:38:15.040 brains and
00:38:15.560 do a
00:38:15.780 brain scan
00:38:16.300 and figure
00:38:16.660 out what's
00:38:17.020 going on
00:38:17.400 there.
00:38:18.140 But there
00:38:18.880 is something
00:38:19.580 incredibly
00:38:20.400 triggering in
00:38:21.460 a bad way
00:38:22.160 when an
00:38:23.420 older man
00:38:24.180 and a
00:38:24.660 younger
00:38:24.920 woman are,
00:38:26.780 certainly if
00:38:27.440 they're married
00:38:28.160 or they're
00:38:28.840 together,
00:38:30.460 but even
00:38:31.360 though a
00:38:32.100 vice president
00:38:32.800 and a
00:38:33.320 president are
00:38:33.940 not in
00:38:34.380 any kind
00:38:34.840 of a
00:38:35.240 personal
00:38:36.280 relationship
00:38:37.000 of that
00:38:37.480 sort,
00:38:38.500 does it
00:38:39.400 feel like
00:38:39.900 it?
00:38:41.220 Kind of
00:38:41.820 feels like
00:38:42.360 it.
00:38:43.360 There's my
00:38:43.880 cat's tail
00:38:44.520 going by.
00:38:45.860 Oh,
00:38:46.120 perfect.
00:38:46.840 Yeah,
00:38:47.040 just leave it
00:38:47.540 right there.
00:38:48.480 Oh,
00:38:48.620 that works,
00:38:49.140 yeah.
00:38:51.660 If you're
00:38:52.320 listening to
00:38:52.740 this on
00:38:53.140 the audio
00:38:54.520 only,
00:38:55.400 my face
00:38:56.160 was temporarily
00:38:57.240 replaced by
00:38:58.080 a giant
00:38:58.480 cat tail.
00:39:00.200 All right,
00:39:00.880 so I've
00:39:01.780 got a feeling
00:39:02.320 that this
00:39:02.920 whole old
00:39:03.640 man,
00:39:04.160 creepy old
00:39:04.680 man with
00:39:05.320 younger
00:39:05.720 woman thing
00:39:07.180 is kind
00:39:07.800 of a
00:39:08.040 turn-off
00:39:08.500 for a
00:39:09.600 certain
00:39:09.860 number
00:39:10.360 of
00:39:10.740 Democrats.
00:39:14.400 And we'll
00:39:15.120 see if that
00:39:15.540 makes a
00:39:15.880 difference.
00:39:16.420 I think
00:39:16.840 it might.
00:39:18.420 All right.
00:39:20.020 Have you
00:39:20.700 noticed that
00:39:21.300 President Trump,
00:39:22.820 when he gives
00:39:23.800 his briefings
00:39:24.460 about the
00:39:24.920 coronavirus,
00:39:26.020 have you
00:39:26.260 noticed that
00:39:26.760 he started
00:39:27.720 to put the
00:39:28.900 United States
00:39:29.620 progress in
00:39:30.480 the context
00:39:31.120 of how
00:39:32.540 we're doing
00:39:32.980 compared to
00:39:33.620 Europe?
00:39:34.560 Have you
00:39:35.180 heard that?
00:39:35.620 Now,
00:39:36.680 I'm assuming
00:39:37.400 that the
00:39:37.900 numbers he's
00:39:38.580 talking about
00:39:39.240 in terms of
00:39:39.880 Europe's
00:39:40.380 experience
00:39:41.060 versus the
00:39:41.660 United States
00:39:42.240 are in
00:39:44.380 the ballpark,
00:39:45.220 meaning that
00:39:45.920 if you compare
00:39:47.000 Europe as a
00:39:47.900 whole,
00:39:48.540 not country
00:39:49.260 to country,
00:39:49.880 but compare
00:39:50.500 them as a
00:39:51.000 whole,
00:39:51.940 the President
00:39:52.540 is making
00:39:53.000 the point
00:39:53.400 that they're
00:39:53.820 having a
00:39:54.820 renewed
00:39:55.300 problem,
00:39:56.160 there's some
00:39:57.200 kind of
00:39:57.560 second wave
00:39:58.160 situation
00:39:58.700 happening,
00:39:59.560 and that
00:40:00.240 we're actually
00:40:00.780 doing well
00:40:01.500 compared to
00:40:02.500 Europe.
00:40:04.040 I haven't
00:40:04.940 seen the
00:40:05.320 fact-checkers
00:40:06.020 disagree with
00:40:07.180 that,
00:40:08.380 and I
00:40:08.680 imagine they
00:40:09.140 would,
00:40:09.520 right?
00:40:09.800 That would
00:40:10.120 be at the
00:40:10.760 top of the
00:40:11.240 things they
00:40:11.580 would disagree
00:40:12.060 with if it
00:40:12.600 were not
00:40:12.920 true,
00:40:13.480 and I've
00:40:14.620 given up on
00:40:15.240 trying to
00:40:15.620 look at
00:40:15.940 data.
00:40:16.980 Anytime you
00:40:17.660 try to
00:40:18.160 Google,
00:40:19.040 well,
00:40:19.320 is that
00:40:19.580 true?
00:40:20.060 Let me
00:40:20.300 Google whether
00:40:21.720 Europe is
00:40:22.280 doing better
00:40:22.720 or worse
00:40:23.120 than the
00:40:23.300 United States.
00:40:24.220 You can
00:40:24.680 find information,
00:40:26.140 but you
00:40:26.480 can't find
00:40:26.940 anything you
00:40:27.460 trust,
00:40:28.500 at least if
00:40:29.220 you're me.
00:40:30.020 So you'll
00:40:30.440 find competing
00:40:31.180 information,
00:40:32.220 you'll find
00:40:32.840 stuff that's a
00:40:33.460 month old,
00:40:34.400 you'll find
00:40:34.820 stuff about
00:40:35.400 one country,
00:40:36.520 you'll find
00:40:37.100 stuff that
00:40:37.600 measures things
00:40:38.400 a different
00:40:38.800 way in the
00:40:39.320 United States,
00:40:40.560 but it's not
00:40:41.220 really, I
00:40:43.820 won't say it's
00:40:44.400 impossible, but
00:40:45.360 it's nearly
00:40:45.820 impossible to
00:40:47.120 go research
00:40:48.040 anything yourself
00:40:48.940 because there's
00:40:50.020 just too much
00:40:50.440 noise out there
00:40:51.400 in the data.
00:40:52.800 So, anyway,
00:40:55.240 I think it's
00:40:57.560 smart of the
00:40:58.380 president to
00:40:59.000 compare himself
00:40:59.800 to these other
00:41:00.420 countries because
00:41:01.500 as I predicted
00:41:03.600 a while ago,
00:41:04.460 they were doing
00:41:05.000 well compared to
00:41:05.900 the United States
00:41:06.460 for a while,
00:41:07.720 but what
00:41:08.700 changed?
00:41:09.800 You knew it
00:41:10.620 was going to
00:41:10.980 change.
00:41:12.240 All right,
00:41:13.360 here's a
00:41:14.120 criticism of
00:41:15.940 the administration
00:41:16.780 for those of
00:41:18.920 you who say,
00:41:19.720 Scott,
00:41:20.020 Scott,
00:41:20.180 why do you
00:41:21.100 only say good
00:41:21.880 things about
00:41:22.480 the Trump
00:41:23.480 administration?
00:41:24.780 A, I don't.
00:41:26.780 I don't.
00:41:28.260 I have plenty
00:41:29.460 of criticisms.
00:41:30.900 I do talk
00:41:31.500 more about
00:41:31.940 what they do
00:41:33.020 right, and I
00:41:33.760 do defend them
00:41:34.440 more than I
00:41:35.100 criticize, but
00:41:36.620 that's because
00:41:37.140 the criticism
00:41:37.780 part is so
00:41:38.500 well taken care
00:41:39.380 of.
00:41:40.180 You don't need
00:41:40.880 another person
00:41:41.900 to point out
00:41:42.800 the same thing
00:41:44.120 that's all the
00:41:45.060 headlines.
00:41:45.880 You don't need
00:41:46.360 that from me.
00:41:47.780 So I like to
00:41:48.520 show you the
00:41:49.120 view that's,
00:41:49.780 you know,
00:41:50.200 less expressed.
00:41:51.820 And here's
00:41:52.260 my criticism.
00:41:53.920 There's,
00:41:54.740 I've talked
00:41:55.700 about this
00:41:56.120 before,
00:41:56.540 there's the
00:41:56.860 idea that we
00:41:57.680 already have
00:41:58.180 the technology
00:41:58.860 and it would
00:41:59.780 be easy to
00:42:00.360 ramp up for
00:42:01.520 these cheap
00:42:02.200 over-the-counter
00:42:03.080 paper strip
00:42:04.800 tests for
00:42:06.640 coronavirus.
00:42:07.820 Now,
00:42:08.200 apparently,
00:42:08.820 these are a
00:42:09.540 good test which
00:42:10.460 will tell you
00:42:10.980 if you currently
00:42:11.680 have the virus
00:42:12.540 versus used
00:42:14.180 to have the
00:42:14.600 virus and
00:42:15.160 only have
00:42:15.580 antibodies.
00:42:16.660 So that's
00:42:17.000 the first thing
00:42:17.540 you have to
00:42:17.860 understand,
00:42:18.740 that these
00:42:19.200 cheap could
00:42:20.220 be even
00:42:20.560 one dollar.
00:42:21.780 Cheap
00:42:22.000 little tests
00:42:22.660 will tell
00:42:25.080 you if you
00:42:25.460 have it as
00:42:26.720 opposed to
00:42:27.380 will tell
00:42:27.860 you if you
00:42:28.440 used to
00:42:28.820 have it.
00:42:29.660 So that's
00:42:30.000 the first
00:42:30.360 advantage.
00:42:31.140 Second
00:42:31.480 advantage is
00:42:32.100 you get
00:42:32.400 your answer
00:42:32.860 in a few
00:42:33.440 minutes,
00:42:34.380 meaning that
00:42:34.940 you could do
00:42:35.500 it every day.
00:42:36.680 You could
00:42:37.040 test yourself
00:42:37.600 before you
00:42:38.040 left the
00:42:38.380 house.
00:42:38.760 You could
00:42:39.000 test yourself
00:42:39.640 in the
00:42:40.740 lobby of
00:42:41.340 your employer.
00:42:43.340 You could
00:42:43.740 test yourself
00:42:44.380 before you
00:42:44.880 go to the
00:42:45.200 sporting event.
00:42:45.840 So if it
00:42:46.560 only costs
00:42:46.960 a dollar
00:42:47.400 and you
00:42:48.280 get your
00:42:48.720 answer really
00:42:49.960 quickly,
00:42:51.400 that's pretty
00:42:52.000 darn good,
00:42:52.620 right?
00:42:52.960 I mean,
00:42:53.240 you could
00:42:53.580 imagine that
00:42:54.160 that would
00:42:54.460 lower the
00:42:55.060 R0 or
00:42:59.260 whatever they
00:42:59.600 call it.
00:43:00.340 It would
00:43:00.780 lower the
00:43:01.560 transmission
00:43:02.080 rate enough
00:43:03.300 that we'd
00:43:03.800 really get
00:43:04.160 on top of
00:43:04.640 this thing.
00:43:05.020 It wouldn't
00:43:05.260 make it go
00:43:05.720 away,
00:43:06.240 but we could
00:43:07.160 really get
00:43:07.540 on top of
00:43:08.060 it.
00:43:08.740 Now,
00:43:09.220 the critics
00:43:09.840 say,
00:43:10.720 but,
00:43:10.940 but,
00:43:11.180 but,
00:43:11.320 it doesn't
00:43:13.080 this type
00:43:14.040 of test
00:43:14.520 won't pick
00:43:15.280 up the
00:43:15.620 virus when
00:43:16.860 you're
00:43:17.100 asymptomatic
00:43:17.920 for like
00:43:18.380 a day,
00:43:19.140 that first
00:43:19.640 day,
00:43:20.420 to which I
00:43:21.280 say,
00:43:21.780 that's right.
00:43:22.780 It gets
00:43:23.500 all the
00:43:23.920 other times
00:43:24.640 when you're
00:43:25.680 the most
00:43:26.220 spready,
00:43:27.180 but it
00:43:27.660 will miss,
00:43:28.780 you know,
00:43:29.280 we know
00:43:29.640 this,
00:43:29.980 it doesn't
00:43:30.360 get that
00:43:30.780 first day
00:43:31.560 because you
00:43:32.220 don't have
00:43:32.520 enough,
00:43:32.880 I guess,
00:43:33.520 whatever,
00:43:34.520 to detect
00:43:35.580 it.
00:43:36.820 But,
00:43:37.320 it doesn't
00:43:37.740 matter.
00:43:38.160 If you
00:43:38.420 got 80%
00:43:39.500 of the,
00:43:40.740 if 80%
00:43:41.320 of the
00:43:41.960 time you
00:43:42.300 were right,
00:43:43.540 that would
00:43:43.940 be the
00:43:44.200 best thing
00:43:44.640 ever.
00:43:45.520 So if
00:43:45.760 you're
00:43:45.920 saying,
00:43:46.500 so the
00:43:46.900 first thing
00:43:47.360 you,
00:43:47.760 yeah,
00:43:48.100 R-naught,
00:43:48.700 sorry,
00:43:49.080 that's what
00:43:49.400 it's called,
00:43:49.800 the R,
00:43:50.660 instead of
00:43:51.140 R-zero,
00:43:51.860 R-naught,
00:43:52.520 let's be,
00:43:52.940 let's be
00:43:53.300 scientific
00:43:53.700 about it.
00:43:54.860 So the
00:43:55.500 first thing
00:43:55.860 you need
00:43:56.100 to know
00:43:56.420 is that
00:43:56.780 these paper
00:43:57.360 strips
00:43:57.800 could be
00:43:58.920 only 80%
00:44:00.420 getting it
00:44:02.540 right,
00:44:03.520 the 20%
00:44:04.340 is wrong
00:44:05.000 is because
00:44:05.680 it's just
00:44:06.560 too early.
00:44:08.200 If you
00:44:08.880 could create
00:44:09.420 a test
00:44:09.860 that could
00:44:10.240 do that
00:44:10.860 for one
00:44:11.460 dollar,
00:44:12.340 widely
00:44:12.860 available
00:44:13.340 and immediate
00:44:13.980 response,
00:44:15.060 it doesn't
00:44:15.900 matter that
00:44:17.360 you only
00:44:17.740 get 80%
00:44:18.500 of it.
00:44:19.380 It doesn't
00:44:19.920 matter.
00:44:20.700 That is so
00:44:21.500 good that
00:44:23.000 if you're doing
00:44:23.500 this much
00:44:24.000 testing,
00:44:24.640 you would just
00:44:25.280 stamp out the
00:44:25.940 virus probably
00:44:26.600 in a couple
00:44:26.980 weeks,
00:44:28.120 you know,
00:44:28.440 if it were
00:44:29.340 ubiquitous.
00:44:30.260 so here's
00:44:32.540 my question.
00:44:33.800 So this
00:44:34.260 idea,
00:44:35.540 I can tell
00:44:36.860 you from
00:44:37.280 personal
00:44:37.940 knowledge,
00:44:39.180 has been
00:44:39.940 promoted up
00:44:41.440 through the
00:44:42.400 administration.
00:44:43.460 So the
00:44:43.840 administration is
00:44:44.760 completely aware
00:44:45.820 of this
00:44:46.360 option.
00:44:47.680 There's some
00:44:48.260 kind of
00:44:48.640 FDA thing
00:44:50.580 that makes
00:44:51.180 it impractical
00:44:52.160 so private
00:44:53.240 industry can't
00:44:54.040 just go ahead
00:44:54.480 and do it.
00:44:55.640 So there are
00:44:56.160 private companies
00:44:56.940 who could just
00:44:57.980 ramp up and
00:44:58.540 do this.
00:44:59.160 They have the
00:44:59.560 technology,
00:45:00.620 ramping up
00:45:01.300 isn't that
00:45:01.720 hard,
00:45:02.080 it's paper
00:45:02.460 strips.
00:45:03.540 Oh,
00:45:03.780 and if you're
00:45:04.220 worried about
00:45:04.720 privacy,
00:45:05.960 this is a
00:45:06.500 test you give
00:45:07.020 yourself,
00:45:08.560 unless you're
00:45:09.440 trying to get
00:45:09.900 into an event,
00:45:11.340 and then of
00:45:11.800 course,
00:45:12.360 that would be
00:45:12.960 different.
00:45:13.740 But it's a
00:45:14.240 test you give
00:45:14.800 yourself,
00:45:15.420 so nobody
00:45:16.480 has to know
00:45:17.160 what your
00:45:17.580 result is unless
00:45:18.360 you tell them.
00:45:21.800 So the
00:45:22.420 administration
00:45:22.820 knows about
00:45:23.640 this option,
00:45:24.560 and we have
00:45:25.260 heard nothing
00:45:26.560 about whether
00:45:27.240 they like it,
00:45:28.580 and nothing
00:45:29.140 about whether
00:45:29.820 they don't,
00:45:31.160 and nothing
00:45:31.660 about what
00:45:32.200 they may or
00:45:32.760 may not do
00:45:33.360 about it.
00:45:34.520 Now, I'm
00:45:35.640 not going to
00:45:36.120 say that I
00:45:37.280 know this is
00:45:38.260 the great
00:45:38.900 answer, and
00:45:39.680 that I've
00:45:40.220 considered
00:45:40.980 everything, and
00:45:41.920 I know all
00:45:42.500 the context,
00:45:43.600 and I know
00:45:44.100 what's good or
00:45:44.700 bad about this.
00:45:45.340 I don't.
00:45:46.260 I'm just saying
00:45:47.120 that our
00:45:47.560 administration is
00:45:48.620 failing us at
00:45:49.680 the moment on
00:45:50.460 this question,
00:45:51.540 because we don't
00:45:52.180 have an answer.
00:45:53.240 At the very
00:45:54.080 least, I need
00:45:55.600 somebody like
00:45:56.840 the president,
00:45:57.920 or ideally
00:45:58.940 more like the
00:46:00.060 head of the
00:46:00.460 FDA.
00:46:01.220 I want somebody
00:46:02.000 who's probably
00:46:03.440 the head of
00:46:03.760 the FDA to
00:46:05.000 say this test
00:46:06.020 exists, or it
00:46:07.660 could exist, you
00:46:08.680 could ramp up,
00:46:09.800 and then tell us
00:46:10.560 why it's not
00:46:11.340 already a thing.
00:46:13.200 If you're working
00:46:14.120 on it, please
00:46:15.160 tell us.
00:46:16.240 If it's going to
00:46:16.920 happen in a week,
00:46:17.860 there's going to
00:46:18.400 be some change
00:46:19.060 to make this
00:46:19.540 possible, please
00:46:20.720 tell us.
00:46:21.160 That would be the
00:46:21.740 biggest fucking
00:46:22.440 thing you could
00:46:23.000 tell us.
00:46:23.460 If you're not
00:46:25.320 going to do
00:46:25.980 it, and there's
00:46:26.980 a reason, fucking
00:46:29.660 tell us.
00:46:30.840 I just want to
00:46:31.660 know the reason.
00:46:32.540 I don't need it
00:46:33.480 to be right.
00:46:34.820 I don't need it
00:46:35.680 to be the solution
00:46:36.500 if it's not.
00:46:37.880 I don't want you
00:46:38.540 to lie to me.
00:46:39.880 I just need to
00:46:40.540 know where we're
00:46:41.080 at.
00:46:41.840 And so there's
00:46:42.360 this big black
00:46:43.220 hole where this
00:46:44.520 is, according to
00:46:46.280 the people who
00:46:46.920 have looked at
00:46:47.480 it, the most
00:46:49.060 obvious, ramp-up-able,
00:46:51.580 practical, completely
00:46:54.280 doable solution
00:46:55.440 that would make
00:46:56.540 this whole fucking
00:46:57.640 pandemic go away
00:46:59.120 if it's real.
00:47:01.420 But what if it's
00:47:02.300 not real?
00:47:03.060 I need to fucking
00:47:04.120 know that, too.
00:47:05.580 We need to know
00:47:06.540 if it's not real.
00:47:08.580 Just tell us where
00:47:09.760 you're at, FDA.
00:47:11.720 All right?
00:47:12.220 Because without
00:47:14.580 that feedback,
00:47:16.220 again, the FDA
00:47:17.240 might be completely
00:47:18.080 right.
00:47:19.320 All right?
00:47:19.500 So I'm not
00:47:20.020 ruling out the
00:47:20.740 option that the
00:47:22.160 FDA has looked
00:47:23.040 at it and judged
00:47:24.460 that it's a bad
00:47:25.340 option.
00:47:25.960 They have their
00:47:26.760 reasons, and it
00:47:28.180 hasn't been
00:47:28.660 communicated.
00:47:30.260 Failure.
00:47:31.560 That is a failure
00:47:32.680 because you've got
00:47:33.860 to fucking
00:47:34.300 communicate it.
00:47:35.840 All right?
00:47:36.240 We're all in this.
00:47:37.520 Like, if you think
00:47:38.160 the public is not
00:47:39.800 fully engaged in
00:47:41.140 this fucking
00:47:41.660 pandemic, think
00:47:43.220 again.
00:47:44.160 All right?
00:47:44.560 FDA, you're not
00:47:45.440 like operating in
00:47:46.980 some little satellite
00:47:47.840 out there.
00:47:48.340 you're fucking
00:47:49.400 connected to the
00:47:50.220 public, and we
00:47:51.440 need just an
00:47:52.700 answer.
00:47:53.640 Just fucking
00:47:54.400 tell us.
00:47:54.940 Is this a thing
00:47:56.320 or is it not a
00:47:57.020 thing?
00:47:57.760 Just inform us.
00:48:00.120 All right.
00:48:04.480 I guess that's
00:48:07.760 just about what I
00:48:08.620 wanted to cover
00:48:09.220 today.
00:48:09.640 if the paper
00:48:15.720 test is...
00:48:16.920 Now, somebody's
00:48:17.980 saying reliable
00:48:18.920 for the paper
00:48:20.080 test.
00:48:20.820 I'd like to get
00:48:21.720 the language
00:48:22.940 correct because I've
00:48:24.180 been corrected on
00:48:25.140 it, and I think
00:48:25.680 it's helpful.
00:48:26.640 When you're talking
00:48:27.320 about the test,
00:48:28.280 don't think of it
00:48:29.440 in terms of
00:48:30.280 accurate or not
00:48:32.380 accurate, or
00:48:33.320 reliable or not
00:48:34.420 reliable.
00:48:35.240 It's very reliable
00:48:36.700 for the thing it
00:48:37.400 does.
00:48:37.800 So for the
00:48:39.380 thing it does,
00:48:40.020 it's really
00:48:40.380 good.
00:48:41.820 The thing it
00:48:42.400 does is pick up
00:48:43.200 a virus after
00:48:44.500 that first day
00:48:45.320 or so.
00:48:46.160 What it doesn't
00:48:47.140 do is it's not
00:48:48.060 designed that it
00:48:49.380 could pick up
00:48:49.880 that first day,
00:48:50.820 but you don't
00:48:51.800 need it to
00:48:53.300 solve the
00:48:53.700 problem.
00:48:54.300 You could miss
00:48:55.420 that first day
00:48:56.160 every time.
00:48:57.540 That's the
00:48:58.020 proposition.
00:48:58.740 You would miss
00:48:59.400 it every time,
00:49:00.560 but you would
00:49:01.380 get the other
00:49:01.860 stuff really,
00:49:03.340 really well,
00:49:04.240 and that would
00:49:04.720 be all you
00:49:05.340 need.
00:49:05.560 All right.
00:49:09.700 Yeah, we
00:49:10.280 talked about
00:49:10.760 my neighbor.
00:49:11.440 You missed
00:49:11.700 that part.
00:49:14.600 So here's
00:49:15.360 something amazing.
00:49:17.120 So every
00:49:17.700 time I see
00:49:18.380 Alex Berenson
00:49:19.980 tweet about
00:49:22.140 masks being
00:49:24.420 unproven,
00:49:25.380 it's making
00:49:26.220 me crazy
00:49:26.860 because I
00:49:28.380 think to
00:49:28.700 myself,
00:49:30.220 how do we
00:49:31.500 not know,
00:49:32.360 and I tweeted
00:49:32.920 this yesterday,
00:49:33.580 how do we
00:49:34.720 not know
00:49:35.420 now whether
00:49:37.280 masks help?
00:49:39.060 And I thought
00:49:39.680 to myself,
00:49:40.200 this is just
00:49:40.660 crazy.
00:49:41.600 This Berenson
00:49:42.700 guy keeps
00:49:43.300 tweeting to
00:49:43.900 the effect
00:49:45.580 that we
00:49:45.900 don't have
00:49:46.300 any information
00:49:46.920 that masks
00:49:47.540 work,
00:49:48.500 and I'm
00:49:49.080 thinking,
00:49:49.600 that can't
00:49:50.260 be possible.
00:49:52.080 I mean,
00:49:52.420 certainly it
00:49:52.940 was possible
00:49:53.440 in the
00:49:53.820 beginning,
00:49:54.740 but five
00:49:55.400 months in,
00:49:56.760 we don't
00:49:57.280 know for
00:49:57.960 sure,
00:49:58.520 and here's
00:49:58.940 what's going
00:49:59.400 on,
00:50:00.120 I think.
00:50:00.640 the first
00:50:02.160 thing that
00:50:02.460 I think
00:50:02.740 is going
00:50:03.100 on is
00:50:03.720 that people
00:50:04.220 are looking
00:50:04.600 at these
00:50:05.000 various lab
00:50:05.960 studies.
00:50:06.980 The lab
00:50:07.840 studies are
00:50:08.540 all fucking
00:50:09.360 bullshit.
00:50:10.700 All of
00:50:11.120 them.
00:50:11.880 100% of
00:50:12.680 them are
00:50:13.200 bullshit.
00:50:14.780 So if you
00:50:15.700 saw a study
00:50:16.340 that said
00:50:16.920 that these
00:50:18.000 masks stop
00:50:18.980 these water
00:50:20.960 particles or
00:50:21.720 whatever,
00:50:22.680 and so
00:50:23.020 therefore masks
00:50:23.860 are good,
00:50:24.880 that study
00:50:26.160 is bullshit.
00:50:27.580 If you saw
00:50:28.300 the opposite,
00:50:29.680 that there
00:50:30.020 was a study
00:50:30.600 that said
00:50:31.160 that the
00:50:32.120 particles get
00:50:32.980 through or
00:50:33.660 it makes it
00:50:34.120 even worse
00:50:34.660 or they're
00:50:35.020 getting out
00:50:35.380 through the
00:50:35.740 edges or
00:50:36.280 something,
00:50:36.940 and in the
00:50:37.520 lab they
00:50:38.000 showed that
00:50:38.380 that's true,
00:50:39.520 that study
00:50:40.300 is complete
00:50:41.640 bullshit.
00:50:43.020 So whether
00:50:43.920 or not the
00:50:44.700 lab study
00:50:45.860 showed it
00:50:46.960 works or
00:50:48.140 the lab
00:50:48.960 study showed
00:50:50.020 it doesn't
00:50:50.460 work,
00:50:51.280 they're all
00:50:51.980 bullshit.
00:50:52.920 None of
00:50:53.420 that should
00:50:53.800 be taken as
00:50:54.380 credible because
00:50:55.580 they don't
00:50:56.220 test it in
00:50:56.760 the real
00:50:57.040 world.
00:50:58.100 Basically,
00:50:58.700 they're just
00:50:58.980 saying some
00:51:00.140 droplets came
00:51:00.860 out or
00:51:01.220 some droplets
00:51:01.760 didn't or
00:51:02.400 we measured
00:51:02.880 this or
00:51:03.320 we measured
00:51:03.720 that.
00:51:04.660 But what
00:51:05.000 they don't
00:51:05.320 tell you is
00:51:06.680 that in
00:51:07.100 every case,
00:51:08.820 the covering
00:51:09.540 is going to
00:51:10.140 change at
00:51:10.640 least the
00:51:11.100 direction of
00:51:12.220 where stuff
00:51:12.680 is going.
00:51:13.580 At the
00:51:13.960 very least,
00:51:15.280 it's filtering
00:51:16.280 it to the
00:51:16.800 side or
00:51:17.420 whatever.
00:51:18.960 At the
00:51:19.460 very least,
00:51:20.200 it's changing
00:51:20.760 the viral
00:51:21.420 load.
00:51:22.500 I mean,
00:51:22.700 even if all
00:51:23.280 it did was
00:51:23.840 distribute it
00:51:25.780 as opposed to
00:51:26.560 send it
00:51:27.060 directly into
00:51:27.760 the mouth and
00:51:28.600 eyes of
00:51:29.020 the person
00:51:29.340 you're
00:51:29.560 talking to,
00:51:30.520 if that's
00:51:30.940 all it
00:51:31.240 did,
00:51:32.260 it probably
00:51:32.860 would distribute
00:51:33.900 the load.
00:51:34.960 And none
00:51:35.240 of these
00:51:35.580 things are
00:51:35.980 tested in
00:51:36.580 the lab
00:51:36.940 tests.
00:51:37.820 The lab
00:51:38.620 tests are
00:51:39.620 all just
00:51:40.200 looking in
00:51:41.280 one window
00:51:42.160 of the
00:51:42.820 Taj Mahal.
00:51:44.200 That's it.
00:51:45.000 Every one
00:51:45.500 of them
00:51:45.740 looks in
00:51:46.120 one window
00:51:46.720 and they
00:51:47.440 go,
00:51:47.740 all right,
00:51:48.420 I guess I
00:51:49.100 know what
00:51:49.300 the Taj Mahal
00:51:49.940 is.
00:51:50.240 I'm looking
00:51:50.520 in one
00:51:51.600 window and
00:51:52.140 it looks
00:51:52.380 like the
00:51:52.740 Taj Mahal
00:51:53.360 is a
00:51:54.560 men's room.
00:51:55.580 It looks
00:51:56.480 like that's
00:51:56.900 a bathroom
00:51:57.440 in there.
00:51:58.740 If you're
00:51:59.160 only looking
00:51:59.500 through one
00:51:59.920 window,
00:52:00.260 you don't
00:52:00.480 know anything.
00:52:01.040 That's what
00:52:01.380 all the
00:52:01.880 lab tests
00:52:02.380 are.
00:52:02.900 The only
00:52:03.460 thing that
00:52:03.860 would convince
00:52:04.360 me is
00:52:06.000 real world
00:52:06.940 usage where
00:52:08.340 somehow you
00:52:09.300 could say
00:52:09.820 this group
00:52:11.040 is exactly
00:52:11.680 like this
00:52:12.260 other group.
00:52:13.400 That's the
00:52:13.940 hard part,
00:52:14.460 right?
00:52:15.360 Getting any
00:52:16.040 two comparable
00:52:16.680 groups and
00:52:17.320 say, well,
00:52:17.660 they use
00:52:18.100 masks and
00:52:19.220 look how
00:52:19.580 well it
00:52:19.920 did.
00:52:20.660 They didn't
00:52:21.140 use masks
00:52:21.740 and look
00:52:22.280 how well it
00:52:22.740 did.
00:52:23.240 Now the
00:52:23.540 next thing
00:52:24.040 that people
00:52:24.420 do is they'll
00:52:25.020 send me this
00:52:25.580 one country
00:52:26.280 or one
00:52:27.420 state.
00:52:27.920 They'll
00:52:28.060 say, look
00:52:29.000 at this
00:52:29.300 one state.
00:52:30.340 Here's where
00:52:30.920 they put the
00:52:31.420 masks.
00:52:32.520 Here's where
00:52:33.140 it didn't
00:52:33.480 work.
00:52:35.160 Do you
00:52:35.440 know what
00:52:35.660 is also
00:52:36.140 useless?
00:52:37.320 Sending
00:52:37.800 me one
00:52:38.340 state.
00:52:39.220 Every time
00:52:40.000 you see a
00:52:40.520 graph of
00:52:41.120 one state
00:52:42.160 or two
00:52:42.960 or three,
00:52:44.060 anything in
00:52:44.900 the small
00:52:45.200 numbers,
00:52:46.040 and it
00:52:46.520 says, here's
00:52:47.220 the masks,
00:52:48.100 this day is
00:52:48.840 when they
00:52:49.100 were mandatory,
00:52:50.220 and look,
00:52:51.640 infections still
00:52:52.420 went up.
00:52:52.780 you don't
00:52:53.780 understand how
00:52:54.720 to look at
00:52:55.220 data, because
00:52:56.360 all you've
00:52:57.040 seen is that
00:52:58.080 things are
00:52:59.240 getting worse.
00:53:00.340 You don't
00:53:00.800 know what
00:53:01.200 the masks
00:53:01.700 did.
00:53:02.740 If you
00:53:03.340 didn't have
00:53:03.840 masks, would
00:53:04.600 that curve
00:53:05.180 be even
00:53:05.760 worse?
00:53:06.740 That's the
00:53:07.440 question.
00:53:08.120 If you don't
00:53:08.700 know if it
00:53:09.280 would be even
00:53:10.040 worse without
00:53:11.400 the mask, you
00:53:12.560 don't know
00:53:12.840 anything.
00:53:14.060 You don't
00:53:14.420 know anything.
00:53:15.420 Here's what I
00:53:16.460 would find
00:53:16.920 convincing.
00:53:18.420 All of the
00:53:19.240 countries that
00:53:20.160 did masks,
00:53:21.580 somehow putting
00:53:22.800 them in a
00:53:23.600 bucket.
00:53:24.580 All the
00:53:25.000 states, all
00:53:25.740 the countries,
00:53:26.860 the mask
00:53:27.600 people, put
00:53:28.180 them in one
00:53:28.600 bucket and
00:53:29.200 all together,
00:53:30.420 so you're not
00:53:31.000 seeing just
00:53:31.600 the weirdities
00:53:32.740 of any one
00:53:33.620 country or
00:53:34.340 the weirdities
00:53:35.080 of any one
00:53:35.740 state.
00:53:36.740 Compare that
00:53:37.440 to all the
00:53:38.220 places that
00:53:38.860 didn't do
00:53:39.260 masks, and
00:53:40.960 just show me
00:53:41.680 the two
00:53:42.040 curves.
00:53:43.460 If you can
00:53:44.120 adjust them
00:53:44.840 by time, I
00:53:45.540 guess you'd
00:53:45.860 have to do
00:53:46.180 that, because
00:53:46.880 everybody's sort
00:53:47.480 of on their
00:53:47.820 own schedule
00:53:48.320 there.
00:53:49.040 So if you
00:53:49.560 could do
00:53:49.880 that, would
00:53:51.000 that whole
00:53:51.700 entire giant
00:53:52.600 basket of
00:53:53.300 people using
00:53:53.980 masks have
00:53:55.300 a noticeably
00:53:56.220 different curve
00:53:57.380 collectively than
00:53:59.960 all the ones
00:54:00.800 that didn't
00:54:01.120 use masks?
00:54:02.600 Or, yeah, I
00:54:04.300 guess that
00:54:04.800 would be the
00:54:05.140 best way.
00:54:05.820 Now, if you
00:54:06.180 show me that,
00:54:08.000 and they don't
00:54:08.560 look that much
00:54:09.180 different, well,
00:54:11.800 I would say
00:54:13.520 that would be
00:54:13.960 pretty convincing.
00:54:15.460 If you showed
00:54:16.260 me that, and
00:54:16.820 there is a
00:54:17.180 big difference,
00:54:17.780 I'd say,
00:54:19.580 okay, well,
00:54:20.460 there it is.
00:54:21.940 That's not a
00:54:23.480 controlled clinical
00:54:24.520 trial, but for
00:54:27.140 the same reason
00:54:27.880 that hydroxychloroquine,
00:54:29.660 you don't know if
00:54:30.320 it works.
00:54:31.900 I don't know.
00:54:33.460 I put it at 30%
00:54:34.620 chance that it's a
00:54:35.480 big deal.
00:54:36.740 But it's still
00:54:37.360 worth taking it
00:54:38.120 because the risk
00:54:38.840 is so low.
00:54:39.500 So if you
00:54:40.960 have a low
00:54:41.400 risk, and
00:54:43.620 yes, yes, I
00:54:44.480 know there are
00:54:46.080 people who can
00:54:46.680 have problems
00:54:47.180 with the
00:54:47.540 masks, I
00:54:48.700 know the
00:54:49.680 dentist has
00:54:50.420 the foul mouth
00:54:51.380 smell problem,
00:54:52.660 I know it
00:54:53.260 keeps the
00:54:53.680 bacteria close
00:54:54.640 to your face,
00:54:55.340 I know the
00:54:55.800 mask can get
00:54:56.600 infected, I
00:54:57.180 know you might
00:54:57.700 touch your
00:54:58.140 face, blah,
00:54:59.540 blah, blah,
00:54:59.940 blah, blah.
00:55:00.680 But if it
00:55:01.880 shows overall
00:55:02.640 that the masks
00:55:03.360 are making a
00:55:03.900 difference in the
00:55:04.380 pandemic, I
00:55:05.140 would consider
00:55:05.800 that important.
00:55:07.380 And I
00:55:08.800 think it's
00:55:09.440 astonishing that
00:55:11.240 we're still
00:55:11.660 having this
00:55:12.180 conversation five
00:55:13.260 months in.
00:55:14.120 So here's my
00:55:14.840 take on it.
00:55:15.740 I don't know if
00:55:16.740 masks work.
00:55:18.240 It seems to me
00:55:19.180 obvious they do.
00:55:21.080 But being obvious
00:55:22.560 that something
00:55:23.180 works is different
00:55:24.720 than being
00:55:25.180 scientifically true
00:55:26.320 and proven.
00:55:27.000 We all agree that
00:55:28.160 you can be easily
00:55:28.960 fooled just by
00:55:30.860 looking at stuff.
00:55:32.080 That's not science.
00:55:33.500 Science is not
00:55:34.260 saying, well, it
00:55:34.940 looks like it
00:55:35.340 worked.
00:55:35.620 But your
00:55:38.580 reason should
00:55:39.980 tell you that
00:55:40.860 at the very
00:55:41.420 least it's
00:55:42.560 keeping your
00:55:43.680 exhalations a
00:55:45.140 little bit local
00:55:45.940 and if they're
00:55:47.160 floating in the
00:55:47.860 air afterwards
00:55:48.460 they're probably
00:55:49.100 dispersed and
00:55:49.960 probably a lower
00:55:50.760 viral load.
00:55:52.260 And if masks
00:55:52.940 don't work, well,
00:55:54.980 I'd be very
00:55:55.580 surprised.
00:55:56.580 Wouldn't be
00:55:56.940 impossible.
00:55:57.840 I don't rule
00:55:58.440 it out.
00:55:59.180 I don't rule
00:56:00.020 it out that
00:56:00.540 Sunday we'll
00:56:01.180 find that masks
00:56:02.620 made things
00:56:03.260 worse.
00:56:04.000 I just think
00:56:04.580 it's a small
00:56:05.220 chance.
00:56:06.460 If I had to
00:56:07.020 put the odds
00:56:07.540 on it, I
00:56:08.000 would say
00:56:08.320 95% chance
00:56:11.580 that masks
00:56:12.240 are helping
00:56:12.900 in an important
00:56:13.660 way, 5%
00:56:15.640 chance that we
00:56:16.440 got it all
00:56:16.960 wrong.
00:56:17.900 That's the
00:56:18.320 odds I'd put
00:56:18.860 on it.
00:56:19.860 We're just
00:56:20.360 observationally.
00:56:22.580 So I'm just
00:56:25.700 amazed that we
00:56:26.300 don't even know
00:56:26.840 that.
00:56:27.260 If there's one
00:56:27.800 thing we've
00:56:28.200 learned from
00:56:28.540 this whole
00:56:28.920 coronavirus thing
00:56:29.860 is that we
00:56:30.380 can't trust
00:56:31.060 any of the
00:56:31.760 studies, you
00:56:33.000 can't trust
00:56:33.580 any of the
00:56:34.200 experts, and
00:56:35.660 everything you
00:56:36.420 think is true
00:56:37.120 is going to
00:56:37.540 be untrue
00:56:38.360 tomorrow.
00:56:39.940 And take
00:56:40.920 that thinking
00:56:41.500 over to
00:56:41.980 climate change
00:56:42.740 because it's
00:56:44.040 the same
00:56:44.420 conversation.
00:56:45.660 Now, by
00:56:45.920 the way,
00:56:47.320 for however
00:56:48.860 many years
00:56:49.500 I've argued
00:56:50.140 that we
00:56:51.260 can't do
00:56:51.840 useful models
00:56:53.880 of the future,
00:56:54.900 80 years in
00:56:55.560 the future,
00:56:56.020 for climate
00:56:56.460 change.
00:56:56.820 most people
00:56:58.660 who have
00:56:59.160 not done
00:56:59.720 data analysis
00:57:00.720 for a living,
00:57:01.660 I would
00:57:02.060 think, or
00:57:02.540 have not
00:57:02.820 been close
00:57:03.400 to it
00:57:03.700 anyway,
00:57:04.720 would think
00:57:05.320 maybe I'm
00:57:05.860 wrong.
00:57:07.060 Maybe you
00:57:07.600 could do
00:57:07.980 an 80-year
00:57:08.620 projection
00:57:10.500 about temperature
00:57:11.580 and how that
00:57:12.160 will affect
00:57:12.560 the world.
00:57:13.460 Maybe you
00:57:13.940 could.
00:57:15.000 And you
00:57:15.440 would not
00:57:15.800 be an
00:57:16.180 idiot for
00:57:17.340 thinking maybe
00:57:18.020 that was
00:57:18.400 possible.
00:57:19.040 You would
00:57:19.360 just be
00:57:19.700 somebody who
00:57:20.160 had a
00:57:20.520 different
00:57:20.840 kind of
00:57:21.680 experience
00:57:22.240 in life.
00:57:23.280 I've done
00:57:23.920 projections,
00:57:25.280 anybody else
00:57:26.020 who's done
00:57:26.360 this kind
00:57:26.820 of work
00:57:27.260 knows it's
00:57:28.420 not a
00:57:28.800 thing.
00:57:29.220 It's not
00:57:29.480 even close
00:57:29.920 to a
00:57:30.200 thing.
00:57:30.640 It's not
00:57:31.080 in the
00:57:31.400 neighborhood
00:57:31.780 of being
00:57:32.400 a thing.
00:57:33.500 It's nowhere
00:57:34.340 near a
00:57:34.880 thing, but
00:57:36.380 it's presented
00:57:37.020 as a
00:57:37.460 thing.
00:57:38.300 Now, once
00:57:38.780 the coronavirus
00:57:39.360 has, I
00:57:40.960 think, ruined
00:57:42.060 all of us
00:57:42.720 in terms of
00:57:43.560 trusting data,
00:57:44.960 trusting
00:57:45.220 scientists,
00:57:46.620 trusting the
00:57:47.100 consensus,
00:57:48.440 trusting,
00:57:48.940 you know,
00:57:49.700 individuals or
00:57:50.760 organizations,
00:57:51.840 trusting the
00:57:52.340 government,
00:57:52.980 trusting
00:57:53.220 anything.
00:57:54.260 We've just
00:57:55.020 learned that
00:57:56.020 literally
00:57:56.560 nothing can
00:57:57.360 be trusted
00:57:57.900 in the
00:57:58.480 scientific or
00:57:59.280 political
00:57:59.680 realm.
00:58:00.280 Nothing.
00:58:02.280 But will
00:58:02.780 we take that
00:58:03.400 understanding
00:58:04.060 in the
00:58:05.160 gelman
00:58:05.780 amnesia way,
00:58:07.260 will we
00:58:07.680 take what
00:58:08.100 we learn
00:58:08.620 in this
00:58:09.580 coronavirus
00:58:10.000 situation
00:58:10.760 about the
00:58:11.340 undependability
00:58:12.460 of projections,
00:58:14.540 will we take
00:58:15.160 that to
00:58:15.480 climate change?
00:58:18.080 Evidence
00:58:18.600 suggests that
00:58:19.920 most people
00:58:20.460 won't,
00:58:21.260 that they
00:58:21.600 won't make
00:58:21.980 the leap,
00:58:23.040 that they
00:58:23.560 won't have
00:58:24.440 the
00:58:24.680 sophistication
00:58:25.560 to say,
00:58:26.540 you know,
00:58:27.600 everything was
00:58:28.520 wrong about
00:58:28.980 the coronavirus,
00:58:30.300 just everything,
00:58:31.880 every person,
00:58:32.900 every organization,
00:58:34.520 every model,
00:58:36.360 every everything,
00:58:37.480 it was all
00:58:37.980 wrong.
00:58:39.040 Oh, but this
00:58:39.640 climate change
00:58:40.400 stuff, we got
00:58:40.920 that nailed,
00:58:42.420 got that nailed.
00:58:43.500 Lucky we got
00:58:44.160 this stuff right,
00:58:45.400 but the one
00:58:46.560 time you can
00:58:47.240 really see if
00:58:48.320 it's right or
00:58:48.820 wrong,
00:58:49.540 it's all wrong,
00:58:51.080 really?
00:58:51.820 That's just a
00:58:52.520 coincidence,
00:58:53.060 right?
00:58:53.580 The one
00:58:54.080 time you can
00:58:54.820 clearly know
00:58:55.980 if the experts
00:58:57.520 were right or
00:58:58.160 wrong,
00:58:58.520 they were wrong
00:58:59.120 as much as
00:59:00.260 they were
00:59:00.500 right.
00:59:02.580 Coincidence?
00:59:03.480 Well, it could
00:59:03.960 be the fog of
00:59:04.720 war, but I
00:59:06.220 don't think that
00:59:06.700 explains it
00:59:07.280 totally.
00:59:09.960 You know,
00:59:10.800 I'm not on
00:59:12.700 the anti-Fauci
00:59:14.280 trade,
00:59:15.480 because there's
00:59:16.520 a mind-reading
00:59:17.260 element to that
00:59:18.140 that I'm not
00:59:18.880 comfortable with.
00:59:19.580 anything against
00:59:21.580 Fauci, in my
00:59:23.380 opinion, rests
00:59:24.840 on the assumption
00:59:25.560 that he had
00:59:27.040 bad intentions,
00:59:28.280 some financial
00:59:29.300 connection or
00:59:30.840 bad intentions.
00:59:31.980 I just don't
00:59:32.680 feel that's an
00:59:33.340 evidence, and
00:59:34.140 assuming that
00:59:34.800 he's feeling
00:59:35.360 that way or
00:59:36.060 secretly thinking
00:59:37.020 that way is
00:59:38.240 not a standard
00:59:38.900 I would put on
00:59:39.800 anybody else.
00:59:41.040 I wouldn't put
00:59:41.440 it on him.
00:59:42.740 And the fact
00:59:43.460 that he was
00:59:45.080 wrong about
00:59:45.780 some stuff, I
00:59:47.580 told you from
00:59:48.120 the beginning,
00:59:48.640 on day one
00:59:49.780 of the, you
00:59:50.880 know, when we
00:59:51.280 knew this
00:59:51.620 coronavirus thing
00:59:52.440 was going to
00:59:52.840 be a big
00:59:53.240 deal, very
00:59:54.480 early on, I
00:59:55.280 made a really
00:59:55.880 big deal of
00:59:56.600 saying, I
00:59:57.460 want to tell
00:59:57.940 you now that
00:59:59.520 our leaders are
01:00:00.400 going to make
01:00:00.720 a lot of
01:00:01.120 mistakes, and
01:00:02.660 you shouldn't
01:00:03.300 blame them
01:00:03.920 because nobody
01:00:05.080 knows the
01:00:05.620 right thing to
01:00:06.140 do.
01:00:07.080 Later we'll
01:00:07.740 know what was
01:00:08.280 the right thing
01:00:08.720 to do, and
01:00:09.560 then we'll
01:00:09.800 think we're
01:00:10.140 all fucking
01:00:10.580 geniuses because
01:00:11.320 we looked in
01:00:11.800 the past and
01:00:12.320 say, well,
01:00:13.080 why didn't he
01:00:13.600 know?
01:00:14.800 Why didn't he
01:00:15.500 know?
01:00:16.480 And of course
01:00:16.920 nobody knew.
01:00:17.520 There was
01:00:18.620 always going to
01:00:19.360 be somebody who
01:00:20.300 guessed right.
01:00:21.660 If you take a
01:00:22.860 bunch of marbles
01:00:23.620 and you've got a
01:00:25.580 circle drawn on
01:00:26.820 the ground, you
01:00:27.760 just drop your
01:00:28.460 marbles, some
01:00:29.600 will land in the
01:00:30.380 circle, some
01:00:31.500 will land outside
01:00:32.500 the circle because
01:00:33.380 they'll roll.
01:00:34.640 If it turned out
01:00:35.560 later that being
01:00:36.520 inside the circle
01:00:37.440 was better than
01:00:38.240 outside the circle,
01:00:39.740 were the marbles
01:00:40.500 that were inside
01:00:41.280 the circle the
01:00:42.040 smart marbles?
01:00:42.740 No, marbles are
01:00:44.780 not smart, they
01:00:46.320 just ended up
01:00:47.000 where they ended
01:00:47.520 up.
01:00:48.540 And likewise,
01:00:49.720 leaders around
01:00:50.340 the country took
01:00:51.860 their best guess.
01:00:53.400 They took their
01:00:54.080 best guess.
01:00:55.320 Some of them
01:00:56.140 were going to
01:00:56.720 be right, or
01:00:58.580 right-er, and
01:00:59.900 some of them
01:01:00.460 were going to
01:01:00.880 be wrong, or
01:01:02.440 wrong-er, just
01:01:04.540 like the marbles.
01:01:06.000 And at the end,
01:01:07.260 because we're
01:01:08.100 humans, we will
01:01:09.420 attribute genius to
01:01:10.700 the marbles that
01:01:12.440 landed inside the
01:01:13.380 circle, will say,
01:01:14.720 hey, look, it's
01:01:16.400 pretty obvious.
01:01:17.560 The marbles that
01:01:18.440 were inside the
01:01:19.200 circle are the
01:01:20.240 good leaders.
01:01:21.840 Those are the
01:01:22.520 good leaders,
01:01:23.100 because they
01:01:23.400 picked the right
01:01:23.960 place to be.
01:01:24.780 No, they didn't.
01:01:25.820 It was random.
01:01:27.000 People were
01:01:27.500 guessing some of
01:01:28.880 them got it
01:01:29.400 right.
01:01:30.060 They're not the
01:01:30.700 smart ones.
01:01:31.800 The ones who
01:01:32.480 corrected are the
01:01:34.340 good leaders.
01:01:36.000 So if you're
01:01:36.820 looking for a
01:01:37.740 skill, look for
01:01:39.760 the people who
01:01:40.260 got it wrong and
01:01:41.260 then correct it.
01:01:42.520 And I'm going to
01:01:42.960 surprise you.
01:01:45.080 Boris Johnson, it
01:01:47.340 looks like, you
01:01:48.380 know, this might
01:01:49.180 change in time, so
01:01:50.580 just current
01:01:51.480 snapshot.
01:01:52.580 It looks like
01:01:53.380 Boris Johnson got
01:01:54.540 it completely wrong,
01:01:56.460 meaning that, you
01:01:57.520 know, he was going
01:01:57.960 to go for herd like
01:01:59.740 Sweden, but then
01:02:01.500 they reversed
01:02:02.160 course quite
01:02:04.680 dramatically.
01:02:05.940 They reversed
01:02:06.420 course.
01:02:07.120 It looks like the
01:02:08.080 reversing of the
01:02:08.840 course was
01:02:10.080 better.
01:02:11.420 Don't know yet.
01:02:12.580 We could find out
01:02:14.400 that maybe they
01:02:14.940 should have just
01:02:15.360 gone for herd.
01:02:16.620 But at the
01:02:17.080 moment, it looks
01:02:17.760 like they made a
01:02:19.100 bad decision at
01:02:19.880 first and that
01:02:21.160 they corrected it.
01:02:22.180 So who's the
01:02:23.180 good leader?
01:02:24.780 Is the good
01:02:25.560 leader who made
01:02:26.340 the right decision
01:02:27.240 first or the
01:02:29.860 one who corrected?
01:02:32.160 I kind of like the
01:02:33.280 one who corrects.
01:02:35.160 Right?
01:02:35.500 You don't want to
01:02:36.180 be on the team that
01:02:37.100 got it wrong and
01:02:37.960 then had to
01:02:38.480 correct.
01:02:39.000 Wouldn't you
01:02:39.320 rather be in the
01:02:39.920 team that got it
01:02:40.500 right?
01:02:41.180 But you have to
01:02:41.940 realize nobody knew
01:02:43.060 what to do.
01:02:44.680 So the Boris Johnson
01:02:46.080 approach, if indeed
01:02:48.380 history proves that it
01:02:49.820 was very wrong in the
01:02:50.920 beginning, but they
01:02:52.420 did adjust, I would
01:02:54.280 look at the
01:02:54.660 adjustment to look
01:02:56.080 for the leadership.
01:02:56.960 That's where I would
01:02:57.520 look for the
01:02:58.060 leadership.
01:02:59.140 So I'm not willing
01:03:00.160 to throw Boris Johnson
01:03:01.080 under the bus or any
01:03:03.600 of the other leaders.
01:03:04.820 Let's wait to see how
01:03:05.780 this turns out and
01:03:07.180 let's be a little
01:03:08.080 bit forgiving about
01:03:10.620 the leaders who got
01:03:11.660 it wrong.
01:03:12.540 But the correcting?
01:03:13.820 Oh yeah, you want
01:03:14.500 to look at the
01:03:14.960 correcting.
01:03:15.840 You want to make
01:03:16.540 sure they got that
01:03:17.200 right.
01:03:18.120 All right.
01:03:19.880 It's amazing that the
01:03:21.000 Russians were first
01:03:21.980 to get the vaccination.
01:03:23.400 Well, that's not
01:03:24.200 amazing if you
01:03:24.960 imagine that they
01:03:25.800 cut corners.
01:03:29.880 So I'm being prompted
01:03:33.020 in the comments to
01:03:36.100 mention Cannon Hinnant.
01:03:39.600 I guess the story is
01:03:40.840 the little five-year-old
01:03:43.440 or something who got
01:03:44.460 murdered by the
01:03:46.220 neighbor.
01:03:47.460 Now, I think the
01:03:48.840 story, the reason that
01:03:51.220 conservatives or pro-Trumpers
01:03:53.960 are pushing that story is
01:03:56.840 because they say, hey, how
01:03:58.660 come this is not a
01:03:59.600 national story?
01:04:00.760 Because it was a
01:04:01.800 black man, neighbor
01:04:02.960 who assassinated it,
01:04:05.180 basically, just walked
01:04:06.460 up to a little kid with
01:04:07.440 a gun and just killed
01:04:08.280 him.
01:04:09.340 That's the story,
01:04:10.360 allegedly.
01:04:12.300 And then the
01:04:13.960 complaint is, why is
01:04:15.980 the national media not
01:04:18.440 covering it?
01:04:20.060 And I would argue, why
01:04:21.600 should they?
01:04:24.240 It's a, I don't agree
01:04:26.160 with the argument.
01:04:26.920 I mean, it's a good
01:04:27.440 political argument.
01:04:29.300 If you want to push the
01:04:30.380 argument for political
01:04:31.240 reasons, you know, it's a
01:04:33.100 political season.
01:04:35.800 But, in my opinion, it is
01:04:38.400 not national news.
01:04:40.380 It is a tragedy that
01:04:41.920 doesn't have a political
01:04:43.300 element to it that I can
01:04:45.160 see.
01:04:45.840 If somebody gets
01:04:47.100 murdered wearing a
01:04:48.260 MAGA hat, well, then
01:04:50.340 that's also, that's a
01:04:51.700 tragedy.
01:04:52.900 But it's also a national
01:04:54.360 story because it connects
01:04:55.940 to politics.
01:04:57.400 But one child
01:04:59.400 tragically murdered by a
01:05:01.100 neighbor, does it matter
01:05:02.960 that the neighbor is a
01:05:04.800 different ethnicity?
01:05:06.520 I don't know.
01:05:07.460 Why should it?
01:05:08.580 I mean, we don't know what
01:05:09.940 was going on there, but it
01:05:10.940 looks like a mental health
01:05:11.880 problem, right?
01:05:12.780 So, to me, it just looks
01:05:13.880 like a mental health problem
01:05:14.920 that doesn't connect to any
01:05:16.160 larger issue.
01:05:18.480 So, we can be horrified by it.
01:05:20.380 We can be informed by it, but
01:05:22.820 you shouldn't take it as a, as
01:05:25.240 some larger political thing.
01:05:28.360 That's what I think.
01:05:29.440 All right.
01:05:30.280 Somebody says a peace deal is
01:05:31.960 going on.
01:05:33.720 A peace deal between Israel and
01:05:35.560 the UAE.
01:05:37.520 Interesting.
01:05:38.760 Interesting.
01:05:41.340 Okay.
01:05:41.760 I'll check up on that.
01:05:47.780 It does seem like that Israel
01:05:50.120 may be taking advantage of the
01:05:52.120 coronavirus to get some stuff
01:05:54.680 done.
01:05:55.800 But when I say take advantage,
01:05:57.320 I mean in a good way.
01:05:58.920 It looks like a lot of Iranian
01:06:00.960 military assets are catching on
01:06:03.880 fire.
01:06:04.160 A lot of Hezbollah's assets seem
01:06:08.460 to be blowing up.
01:06:09.420 So, I think Israel is mopping up
01:06:12.040 things and doing a good job of
01:06:14.140 it.
01:06:14.960 All right.
01:06:16.060 Oh, at the moment, the
01:06:16.900 slaughter meter is 100%.
01:06:18.240 100%.
01:06:19.320 I can't see from this perspective
01:06:23.340 Trump losing or even coming
01:06:26.580 close to losing.
01:06:27.780 I just don't see it.
01:06:30.040 But it's still a long time
01:06:31.900 until November.
01:06:32.440 So, you know, the slaughter meter
01:06:35.220 specifically excludes surprises.
01:06:40.080 Right?
01:06:40.660 And there will be surprises.
01:06:42.520 So, you can't use it as a
01:06:43.700 prediction.
01:06:44.760 But it's fun.
01:06:50.000 Yeah, the George Floyd thing was
01:06:51.700 political because of the issue of
01:06:53.920 police, blah, blah, blah.
01:07:00.420 And somebody says, if you
01:07:01.880 reversed the ethnicities, would it
01:07:04.480 then be a national story?
01:07:06.400 Not in my opinion.
01:07:07.700 No.
01:07:08.280 Because in both cases, it would be a
01:07:09.980 mental health story.
01:07:11.360 It's not a political story.
01:07:14.680 All right.
01:07:15.260 That's all I got for now.
01:07:16.220 And I will talk to you later.
01:07:18.100 Well, let's go.
01:07:23.660 And I will talk to you later.
01:07:24.000 Let's go.