Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1094 Scott Adams： Witches and Video, Three Civil Wars Scheduled, Low Information Voters, Firenadoes, Homeschooling

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, come on in. It's time for a hot and sweaty version of Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:18.640 That's right, today will be hot. No, not in the content way, but rather in the way

00:00:27.280 that if you live in the third world country like I do, it's called California. Have you heard of it?

00:00:35.440 So California is one of those places that doesn't always have electricity. So that's the first thing

00:00:42.740 you need to know about it. The other thing is that if something breaks, you're not going to get it

00:00:48.180 fixed. My air conditioning just went out and I'm not going to be able to get that fixed.

00:00:54.900 So it's going to get really warm for me today, at least in my office. I think it's working in the

00:01:00.900 rest of the house. But to make everything better, as good as it could possibly be, possibly the best

00:01:06.100 thing that will happen to you today is this simultaneous sip. And all you need to make it

00:01:10.700 a reality in your life is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or chalice or stye, a canteen jug or flask,

00:01:16.060 a vessel of any kind. Fill that thing with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:01:23.340 And join me now for the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better except

00:01:28.720 apparently the temperature. It's called the simultaneous sip and have us now. Go.

00:01:37.040 Oh, I was wrong. It actually made me a little cooler. I guess there's nothing that coffee can't do.

00:01:42.920 The simultaneous sip, that is. So condolences to the Trump family. The president's brother passed

00:01:53.460 away, as you all know. And what a horrible thing. Made more horrible by the world we live in

00:02:01.220 because, of course, the trolls are saying just the most despicable things, as you can imagine.

00:02:08.480 Buy a portable AC, somebody says. I plan to look into it, but what are the odds that there are any

00:02:18.560 portable ACs left in California? I'm pretty sure those are in demand right now. Because as you know,

00:02:28.360 the only time that you ever need a repair person for your AC is when there's a hot streak. It's the

00:02:33.760 only time it ever breaks. So those are the times you can't get it fixed. When you need it. All right,

00:02:38.940 enough about me. So I tweeted this and it immediately got 10,000 retweets. It's probably

00:02:46.980 at 13,000 by now. And here's what I said. See if you agree with this. Democrats and the FBI,

00:02:53.860 or Democrats and the FBI and the media conspired to overthrow the government, got caught, and 70% of

00:03:04.040 the country will never hear about it. This is actually happening. And it's so mind-boggling.

00:03:11.020 The ability of the press to disappear a story of that size is really impressive, and not in a good

00:03:22.760 way. And I think that that's actually happening. I believe that there was a legitimate, honest-to-God

00:03:29.640 coup attempt. We know their names. At least this Clinesmith guy, it looks like he's in a lot of

00:03:35.500 trouble. We now have enough information that there's no real question that it happened. Nor is

00:03:42.900 there any question that the media was complicit in pushing this narrative without proper evidence.

00:03:51.800 And the fact that the media can just make this go away, like it didn't even happen, is incredible.

00:04:00.080 It makes anything you thought about Animal Farm or whatever weird thing you thought was possible

00:04:07.240 in the future, well, it's the future. And imagine now if the government got rid of, say, Fox News or

00:04:16.260 a few other blue-checked people on social media. At the moment, the only way you know what the news is,

00:04:23.600 is Twitter and social media. Think about what you wouldn't know about the protests that are

00:04:29.820 ongoing every night if you didn't have Twitter. It's not in the news. So, you know, certainly

00:04:37.360 you've got a few, you know, right-leaning entities. You've got your Breitbart's and you've got your

00:04:42.740 Fox News, etc. But what if you had a President Biden? Can you imagine a scenario where they'd find

00:04:51.660 some legal or other way to just make the entities on the right go away? And they could just disappear

00:04:59.260 than from social media, from search. I think they already did that to Breitbart, right? Didn't Breitbart

00:05:04.800 get disappeared if you do a search that doesn't even come up on the news? So the ability to make

00:05:13.840 history actually disappear, it's happening right now, right while you're watching it. History disappearing.

00:05:22.560 It's the most amazing thing. And there's not much to say about it, because it's not like a complicated

00:05:30.060 topic. They're just not talking about it. So it makes it disappear. And I thought, well, at least it'll

00:05:35.700 be in the history books when the students learn about it. No, it won't. It actually won't be in the

00:05:42.480 history books. Think about that. Students learning history about this period of time will never learn

00:05:50.740 that there was an actual, honest to God, almost successful coup attempt. It won't even be in the

00:05:59.920 school books. Now it will be in, you know, individuals writing books. But how many students are going to

00:06:05.100 go out and buy a history book that they don't have to read? Not too many. All right. And so this makes me

00:06:13.920 wonder if what we need is a, what I'll call a low information voter quiz. We need a test that I can

00:06:22.240 just forward to people who disagree with me to find out what their base of understanding about the news

00:06:28.780 in general is. Now, the tough part is a lot of our disagreements are on opinion. So it's an opinion

00:06:35.060 that this will be better than that. It's an opinion that we can find a way to pay for something,

00:06:39.280 etc. But there are other things that are no longer opinion. And one of them is, one of the questions

00:06:45.640 would be, do you believe the president colluded with Putin to rig the election in 2016? That should

00:06:52.720 be on the test. Because if somebody says yes, they're a low information voter because neither the left nor

00:06:58.780 the right report that to be true. How about if you said the FBI colluded to overthrow the government?

00:07:10.220 Now, that's just a fact, right? Wouldn't you say that that qualifies as a fact at this point? I mean,

00:07:17.040 maybe you wait for Durham, but with the Clinesmith plea deal, I think it moves into fact.

00:07:23.180 And you can imagine quite a few other facts. For example, you would ask, do you believe it's been

00:07:31.160 proven that hydroxychloroquine doesn't work for coronavirus and that it might be dangerous?

00:07:38.480 If you said yes, you're a low information voter because that has not been proven. It hasn't been

00:07:44.920 proven for sure that it works in a gold standard way, but there are lots of tests that suggest that it

00:07:51.380 does with lower credibility. All right. And you can imagine a number of other, and I actually do

00:07:59.520 want to make this test, like actual, honest to God, a real test. And here's the thing. If you think the

00:08:07.000 only people who are going to fail this test are on the left, you would be wrong because I have lots of

00:08:13.620 conversations every day with people who basically agree with me on, you know, Trump related stuff and

00:08:21.500 still don't have current information, still have just basic facts about stuff wrong. So we should

00:08:28.700 have a low information voter quiz, and then you could just stop arguing with anybody who's low

00:08:33.620 information. Say, look, I'll debate you, but you've got to get at least an 80% on this test. If you

00:08:40.580 don't get an 80% or higher, maybe you're not the person I need to debate with. So I got into it

00:08:47.740 today with, I made, I don't know why I keep making the same mistake over and over. Some critic on

00:08:53.900 Twitter will say some dumb ass thing, and I'll say, well, that looks really dumb. Let me, let me set 1.00

00:09:00.200 you straight. And I'll send my little smart little comment to often, I think I've straightened things

00:09:05.560 out. And then that person will get back to me with something that's even dumber than the first 0.95

00:09:10.360 thing. And I'll think, how did you get dumber from that first tweet? I just straightened you out. 0.99

00:09:15.480 And I'll look, well, one more time, let me clarify. And they'll be, all right, I've done good work.

00:09:21.600 You know, it was confused. I clarified, had a follow-up question. I clarified, we're done here.

00:09:27.300 Third message, crazier than the first two. And then I say, oh, click on the profile, look at the

00:09:36.900 career. It's a fricking writer, an artist, and then we're done here. You just can't have a conversation

00:09:46.660 with somebody in the arts about politics. They believe that they know enough to have the conversation,

00:09:52.380 conversation. And they are so not even close. They're not even in the general universe of

00:10:00.100 rational discussion. And I will go further and say that the number of my critics who come after me

00:10:06.680 with, you know, any kind of harsh criticism have become almost entirely artists. The people who are

00:10:16.480 rational people who have at least spent some time looking at my opinions,

00:10:22.380 they will sometimes make a clarifying or, you know, a mildly critical comment. But usually it

00:10:31.020 takes one set of interactions to end up on the same page. Somebody will say, well, you're not

00:10:36.300 considering X. And then I'll say, good point. That's it, right? Good point. Yeah, I should consider

00:10:43.600 X. Or they'll say, you didn't consider X. And I'll say, well, that's because I'm looking at it through

00:10:48.760 this lens. You know, and that's a different question. And the first person will say, oh,

00:10:53.260 that's a good point. That's it. When you deal with people who know how to make decisions,

00:10:58.940 know how to compare things, know how to set priorities, you can usually reach agreement,

00:11:05.240 or at least find the factual part that you might disagree on, in seconds. It just takes no time at

00:11:11.740 all. And those people have largely disappeared from my criticism tree, I guess. Well, we've got

00:11:20.660 three revolutions planned that I know of. Now, before I scare you by saying that we have three

00:11:28.120 civil wars, I guess civil wars would be the better way to put it. We have three civil wars planned in

00:11:34.120 this country. They're on the calendar. And I don't know if they can be avoided because we don't have

00:11:42.040 much time. But here are the competing factors. I've told you that there's something called the

00:11:49.840 Adams Law of Slow-Moving Disasters. If you can see something coming from a long ways away, you can

00:11:57.300 usually adapt and be ready for it. Like the year 2000 stuff, such as running out of oil, we didn't

00:12:04.360 running out of food, because of population anyway, we didn't. And climate change will be similar to

00:12:11.740 that. We've got so much time to remediate, we'll be fine. But do we have enough time to make sure that

00:12:20.840 our election is fair? Not really. We don't. Because it looks like the post office will be some part of

00:12:29.560 the process, if not everywhere, maybe some states. And if that's true, there's nothing that has lower

00:12:38.200 credibility than the post office, is there? Think of something that you would just automatically say,

00:12:44.760 well, that's even less credible than the post office. There's kind of nothing. Congress?

00:12:53.720 Well, you know, who is less credible than the post office? Now, I'm not saying that we all know

00:12:59.780 everything about the post office. I might know a little bit more than you do. My father worked for

00:13:05.720 the post office for 30 years. So just about every night, I heard a post office efficiency story,

00:13:12.480 and it didn't go well. Let's put it that way. So unless the post office got a lot better,

00:13:19.200 let's hope they did. But here's what we can know for sure. If nothing changes, you know,

00:13:25.840 if things just go the way they're heading, we'll have an election that absolutely nobody believes

00:13:31.280 is credible. What happens? What happens if Trump wins narrowly? Well, if Trump wins narrowly,

00:13:40.120 it's a civil war, it has to be, because people will say it's rigged. Suppose Trump loses narrowly,

00:13:49.360 maybe a civil war, but the people on the right might be a little less inclined to do that.

00:13:54.640 But if they really think it got stolen? What if they think it's not just a gray area? What if they

00:14:01.600 say, my God, it's just like this, you know, FBI, Clinesmith guy, we thought this couldn't possibly

00:14:09.000 happen? But there it is. What if the people on the right just say, there's not really any question

00:14:16.780 that the that this was rigged? What do they do then? I don't know. How about? How about when

00:14:24.180 the officers that arrested George Floyd and tragically he died during that encounter?

00:14:31.360 What happens when the jury says it looks like he died from fentanyl overdose? And the police

00:14:40.040 officers might not get off completely free, but certainly they're not going to be charged with,

00:14:46.000 or they're not going to be convicted of murder. I think we can say that with a fair degree of

00:14:50.900 certainty at this point. What happens when that verdict comes down? Civil war, right?

00:14:57.420 What happens when, let's say, Trump wins by a solid majority? Will there be a second coup attempt

00:15:06.900 like the first one? Of course there will. Of course there will. Because the coup attempt almost worked.

00:15:14.380 It almost worked. Of course there'll be another one. You know, if people took those ridiculous chances

00:15:20.820 before, nothing says they won't take more ridiculous chances again. So I would think we've got at least 0.94

00:15:28.500 three civil wars coming. A coup attempt, a George Floyd, you know, riot situation, and certainly the

00:15:35.360 election has no credibility at this point. We can just stop pretending it'll be credible. We should just

00:15:41.180 prepare for it not to be. Would you agree? It doesn't look like our government has the capability

00:15:48.200 of producing a credible outcome during the pandemic with short notice. Certainly we could get it right

00:15:55.880 if we had enough time, but we don't. So here's the thing. What do you do? What do you do if you know

00:16:04.440 there are three civil wars coming and they're all, they're basically on the calendar. There's nothing

00:16:12.380 you can do to change any one of these, is there? Is there? I don't think there's anything you can do to

00:16:17.560 change any one of them. So we'll have to deal with that. Looks like three, three civil wars. But as I

00:16:26.860 say, when you can see something coming, you can, you can adjust. Certainly every conservative has,

00:16:33.100 uh, has, has put in some ammo. Yeah, I see in the comments, buy ammo. You know, that used to be a joke.

00:16:42.100 You know, there was a time when I would have said, well, you know, hypothetically, the citizens might

00:16:50.440 need to be armed because you never know your government might try to do this or that. And

00:16:57.000 usually I was thinking of it in terms of the government itself, but I think you'd have to

00:17:01.640 worry at this point about Antifa and, uh, people who actually want to overthrow the government.

00:17:07.260 Now here's something that hasn't happened yet. I wonder if I could get kicked off of Twitter for

00:17:11.940 saying this. Let me try to find a way to say this without getting kicked off of Twitter. So I think

00:17:18.680 I have to, so, so I'll start by saying I'm not promoting this idea. Okay. I'm not predicting it. So I'm

00:17:29.040 neither promoting this nor predicting it, nor do I wish it to happen. I'm just wondering why,

00:17:37.140 it hasn't yet. Because you know, there's going to be a massive gun event, right? Like, you know,

00:17:45.020 that's sort of brewing. And the massive gun event may not be Antifa or the protesters doing the

00:17:53.120 shooting. Sooner or later, there's going to be a crazy person on the right who has a lot of firepower

00:18:01.180 and is going to take matters into their own hands. Feeling that they're patriots, not that anybody

00:18:07.700 would ask them to do that and not that anybody would be happy about it. But I'm a little bit

00:18:13.440 amazed at the restraint that has been shown so far. Now, I would guess that that restraint has

00:18:19.420 everything to do with the fact that there's still a big police presence, even though the police are

00:18:24.860 being, you know, relatively generous in how they go rough on the protesters. But don't you think

00:18:33.380 that if those protests start slopping into places where there is not police, somebody's going to take

00:18:40.340 out not just one of them? You know, we're not heading toward a place where there's one tragedy that

00:18:47.620 happened and one person got hurt. We're sort of heading toward the part where you're looking like

00:18:54.520 a mass casualty event. And I think that might be whatever is the turning point. In other words,

00:19:03.360 right now, it's very safe to go out and protest. All right, well, screw it. I'm going to get kicked 0.75

00:19:11.980 off of Twitter. I might as well go down in glory. If you're going to get kicked off of Twitter,

00:19:16.000 you might as well do it right, right? Or kicked off a periscope, whatever happens.

00:19:22.080 It might be that that's the only thing that would change the direction of things. I don't want it to

00:19:27.740 happen. I want to be really clear about that. But you have to predict that it will, because that's

00:19:33.780 sort of the obvious thing that would happen eventually. Sooner or later, somebody's going to

00:19:39.220 say, well, there's a mob in my streets. It's my town. They just broke some windows. The police aren't

00:19:45.720 doing anything. I'm armed to the teeth. It's time to stop it. I can imagine somebody going into the

00:19:53.140 street and just taking out the whole crowd, like just all at once. Just literally just clearing the

00:19:59.400 street, if you know what I mean, before anybody has a chance to respond. Now again, not recommending

00:20:05.800 this. Not promoting it. Don't want anybody to get killed. But how does it not happen? Really? Because it's

00:20:15.860 only a matter of how far people get pushed, right? I would say, I feel like giving a standing ovation

00:20:22.340 to the armed conservatives in this country. Because my god, the level of restraint that they're showing

00:20:30.920 is pretty impressive. Now some of it is because they live in different areas, you know, than the

00:20:37.900 protests. And like I said, as long as there's a big police presence, you could you could argue that the

00:20:43.420 the force part is taken care of. You don't need to get into that. But the moment the moment there's a

00:20:49.920 mob, and there aren't enough police, and this extends into some less urban area,

00:20:56.740 I think it ends one way, eventually. And I think we would get to the point where the protesters say,

00:21:04.960 well, there's a one in 10 chance that if I go out and protest, I could get slaughtered.

00:21:11.200 At what point is that risk too high? You know, would the protesters who are protesting,

00:21:17.160 if it was a 1% chance that they would get hurt, probably, probably they'd keep protesting.

00:21:23.520 If there's a 10% chance they'd go to jail, yeah, maybe they'd keep protesting. But suppose

00:21:30.740 there were, suppose they thought there was a 10% chance of all of them and all their friends

00:21:35.400 being slaughtered. And even if they had the odds wrong, maybe just because they saw a news

00:21:42.380 event, in their mind the odds of it happening again would be much harder. That's what happens

00:21:47.540 with terrorism, right? If there's one terrorist act, it's all you can think about. So in your

00:21:53.240 mind, it's like it's happening every day, even if it just happened once. So if you're worried about

00:21:59.780 where the protests go, and you're worried about the fact that law enforcement appears to have

00:22:04.020 not the power or the support from above to stop it, you'd have to ask yourself, where does it stop?

00:22:11.040 And the obvious answer is if the government doesn't stop it, the citizens will. Would you agree that

00:22:19.560 that statement is just a hard fact? If the government is unwilling or unable to stop the protests from,

00:22:27.800 you know, growing out of their contained areas there, wouldn't it be fair to say that the citizens

00:22:33.360 will? I don't see that there's any other way that goes. I would also like to state for the record

00:22:42.360 that should I ever be chosen for jury duty, I don't have any intention of seeking justice.

00:22:52.140 Not even a slight intention. Because if I find that there's a, you know, some Antifa person who

00:22:58.900 shined a light into a police officer's eyes and blinded him, well, if that police officer killed

00:23:06.240 that guy with the laser, not guilty. I don't even need to hear the evidence. If a police officer

00:23:13.540 takes out an Antifa person, put me on the jury. I don't even need to hear the details.

00:23:20.920 All right. So that's where I stand on that. In your two worlds, two movies on one screen,

00:23:30.720 do you notice that CNN and the Trump-hating media, they only report which states are getting worse?

00:23:38.520 But if you go over to, you know, some conservative media, they're more likely to tell you that most

00:23:45.320 of the states are improving, which is what Trump will say. So it's something like, well, 40-some

00:23:51.740 states are getting better, but several states are getting worse. So they can give you whichever view

00:23:58.240 of reality you want. Things are getting worse, or they're getting better. There's another one.

00:24:03.080 Rasmussen did a poll of likely voters supporting President Trump, and if you ask likely voters,

00:24:09.360 you get a ridiculously, or at least impressively, high number of black voters who support the 0.96

00:24:18.180 president, support him in terms of doing a good job. Now, that's likely voters. So what does ABC poll do?

00:24:26.660 Do they poll likely voters to see if they can get a number similar to Rasmussen? No. They poll all

00:24:33.960 citizens. So they talk to people whether they vote or not. And so you get a completely different 0.97

00:24:41.180 idea of, you know, what the public thinks of the vice president pick. So we don't have anything like

00:24:50.740 news anymore. And I was thinking, I would think that the best news channel, if you could say that,

00:24:56.960 would be if there's a Twitter feed, and maybe somebody could start this, one Twitter account

00:25:03.180 that would do nothing but take other Twitter journalists and combine them so that you had

00:25:10.440 something like a coherent news source. Now, right now, that's all over Twitter. And if you're

00:25:15.940 clever, you found most of them. And, you know, you're following Andy No and, you know, stuff like

00:25:21.520 that. But what if you didn't know where to find all that stuff? Wouldn't it be nice if somebody

00:25:27.520 just had a Twitter feed that takes only the news from independence and puts it together?

00:25:35.720 That might be the only way we can get past the fake news on TV, the CNN types.

00:25:44.280 So one of the things that I'm finding really interesting is this schooling situation. And

00:25:50.900 the coronavirus is obviously making a huge impact on homeschooling. So apparently the number

00:25:57.320 of homeschool applications that people have asked to have permission to homeschool. And

00:26:03.300 let's just stop right there. Permission? Permission to teach your own kids? What? Why do you need

00:26:13.180 permission to educate your own children with your own resources better than the government can

00:26:20.000 do it? You need permission for that? We live in a free country and you need permission

00:26:26.400 to teach your own kids? There's something deeply wrong with that. Now, I get the fact that we should

00:26:33.060 have universal education. But that has more to do with the fact that, you know, we're forcing kids to

00:26:40.200 have some kind of school. But if somebody can do it better and you won't let them. So the school

00:26:45.940 unions, the teachers unions, I mean, the teachers unions are the ones who are behind the limits on

00:26:52.400 how many homeschoolers can be in a school district. And they're keeping that cap. During a pandemic,

00:27:00.040 during a pandemic, an emergency when the kids' health and mental well-being are completely on the line.

00:27:09.040 I mean, we're talking about kids dying if they don't have, you know, better structure. And the

00:27:14.300 teachers unions, pure evil, and the source of all systemic racism, or at least all that matters in

00:27:21.380 the current era. Now, I won't say all that matters. They're the biggest source of systemic racism.

00:27:28.340 Let's say 90%. And they're stopping the only thing that can make things better for some people.

00:27:35.340 And the reason is that other people don't have those advantages. Now, do you want to live in a world

00:27:41.920 where you can't do what's good for your kids because somebody else that you don't know can't do

00:27:48.560 something good for their kids? Is that a reason not to protect your own kids? Well, I think we're

00:27:54.320 talking about Civil War IV. Here's what I think is going to happen. I think there are enough people 0.98

00:28:02.100 who want to homeschool that they can't all be arrested. So I think that there's going to be a school

00:28:09.180 revolution, meaning that there will be enough conservatives and people who just want to get

00:28:14.520 out of the school system. I think there will be enough that they'll just do it. Because you can't

00:28:19.720 be stopped from just doing it if there are enough of you. If there's a small number of you, then the

00:28:25.100 police can arrest you for not sending your kid to a proper school, I suppose. But if there's enough

00:28:31.480 of you, it's a non-issue. You just have to have enough people to say, um, let me explain this to

00:28:38.220 you. It's a pandemic. I'm not sending my kids to the pandemic. I am going to educate them at home.

00:28:46.480 If you come and try to stop it, I'm armed. Right? Because the homeschoolers are mostly armed.

00:28:56.720 Now, I don't think you should use your arms if the police come to your house. Of course, that would be

00:29:00.700 the worst idea that you ever had in your life. But it's certainly going to put a little friction

00:29:06.720 into the idea that there's any kind of law enforcement that can change that situation.

00:29:13.480 So I would say at this point, you should not obey the government on school requirements. Let me say

00:29:21.300 that as clearly as possible. If you're a conservative, you're worried about your kids, and you have the

00:29:26.580 ability to homeschool them in some way, you should not obey the government. Let me say that louder.

00:29:34.240 Do not obey the government on this homeschooling stuff if you can make it work. Do not obey the

00:29:42.000 government. If there's a law, break it. Break it. Now, typically, I would not encourage anybody to break

00:29:49.120 law. But there are laws that are unjust. And a law telling you you can't educate your kid because

00:29:57.320 a stranger can't educate his is an unjust law. You have a patriotic responsibility to disobey an unjust

00:30:07.860 law. It's not just an option. It's your responsibility to disobey laws that stop you from educating your own

00:30:18.040 child, period. You have a responsibility to disobey that law. Now, not all of you think it's a good

00:30:25.060 idea. I don't have the resources, etc. But if you're in that situation, boy, do you have, let me just say

00:30:33.620 you've got at least 30% of the country has your back. And when I say has your back, I mean has your back

00:30:39.180 with weapons. You know, I'm talking about something that's so important that armed America isn't going

00:30:47.260 to take isn't going to take it anymore. So I don't think we're at the point where this is a conversation

00:30:54.360 anymore. If you can homeschool your kids, do it. Please, please do it. If for only if if the only reason

00:31:03.300 is it, you know, takes power from these school, the teachers unions who are evil, by the way, not the

00:31:10.960 teachers. I'm still getting people who are saying, Scott, why are you saying teachers are bad? I've never

00:31:16.780 once said that. I've never once said anything bad about teachers, only the union. All right, it's a

00:31:24.380 whole different entity. It's not teachers. It's the union. So it's only the union that I target

00:31:30.840 for destruction. So homeschoolers, the revolution is on. You have my full backing, and I don't see

00:31:39.700 anything that can stop you. Certainly not the law. Because you're watching people looting freaking

00:31:45.240 stores and not getting in trouble. All right. If people are looting stores, getting caught, and then 0.96

00:31:53.000 basically released, you can homeschool your kid if you want to. All right. We no longer live in the

00:32:01.620 world where the government can stop you from doing that. There are too many of you. It's it's too

00:32:07.300 obviously the right thing to do. Just go ahead and do it. That's what I say. All right.

00:32:14.980 All right. You saw some stories that said the administration and the FDA have approved some

00:32:23.100 rapid testing technologies. Some people said to me, hey, maybe they're listening to you about this

00:32:30.600 test strip stuff. But that's a whole different thing. The thing that the FDA has approved is a

00:32:37.500 two-day test. You mail it away. There's some kind of device involved. It's faster and better and maybe

00:32:44.200 cheaper. But it's not anywhere close to the idea that is on the table, which could be called more

00:32:52.800 of a screening test. So rather than saying it's more or less sensitive or more or less accurate,

00:32:58.840 those words don't kind of tell the story. The one dollar or so paper strips that you just test at

00:33:07.060 home because you just use your saliva and it changes color in a few minutes. So that test exists,

00:33:12.720 right? There's nothing about the technology of creating these that's hard. And for rapid screening

00:33:18.440 of everybody all the time, it would work really well, even if it missed some people with infections.

00:33:25.600 It's okay. You can miss some people with infections if you're testing everybody every day. And it's so

00:33:31.740 cheap that you can do that. You can still get the virus under control with less than perfect

00:33:37.840 test specificity or test accuracy. Every one of those words is wrong, by the way, because they all

00:33:48.540 have their own little flavor. But you know what I'm talking about. So the administration has not

00:33:53.740 responded to or approved the one of the ideas that has the most promise to get the virus under

00:34:03.660 control. So if you're saying to yourself, is the administration doing a good job or a bad job?

00:34:09.480 I think you can look at this. And this would be a case where if they don't at least respond to the

00:34:16.420 public and say, yeah, we did look into this and it won't work. Here's our reasons. You might agree,

00:34:23.120 you might disagree. But I would say that would be responsible, you know, country management.

00:34:27.980 If you don't hear why the most promising technology that we have to really make a

00:34:34.640 difference, if you don't even hear why it's being blocked by the FDA, there's just no

00:34:40.420 communication, then that is your government just not doing its job. So those I've been arguing with

00:34:46.920 people that you can't tell if a leader is doing the right thing or the wrong thing, because everybody

00:34:52.380 was guessing, first of all. So if somebody guessed right, they're not the good leader. They're just

00:34:57.940 the ones who guessed right. Somebody was going to guess right. Somebody was going to get a better

00:35:02.700 result than somebody else. And then after the fact, you say, oh, they were the smart ones. No,

00:35:07.920 everybody was guessing. But that said, if you don't have good communication with your country,

00:35:17.900 your voters, then you can say, yeah, that's not good management. And this is a case where, in my

00:35:24.620 opinion, the administration is failing and pretty hard. Failing at maybe what could be, in fact, the top

00:35:32.820 priority. So if you're not hearing some communication about what could be the most important thing,

00:35:40.260 then you can't say that that's a good job. All right. So they may be still mulling it or researching it.

00:35:47.320 But if you don't hear something yes or no from your government, that's just not a good job. Sorry.

00:35:55.120 There's an anonymous report, Politico reported, and Business Insider picked it up as a story,

00:36:02.900 that allegedly Obama told another Democrat during the 2020 primary campaign,

00:36:08.720 quote, don't underestimate Joe's ability to F things up.

00:36:15.100 Now, if this anonymous report was about President Trump, and it had been whatever, he had said

00:36:23.220 something, wouldn't you think it was not true? Right? If you heard this about Trump, you'd say,

00:36:29.740 yeah, that didn't happen. Anonymous person, there's always an anonymous person, isn't there?

00:36:35.200 But because we have this gel man amnesia, we look at this Obama story, and we think, 0.96

00:36:42.020 oh, that probably happened. Yeah, that probably happened. I don't know if this happened or not,

00:36:48.300 but it plays a little bit into your bias, doesn't it? Doesn't it feel a little bit too on the nose,

00:36:55.640 if you know what I mean? Obama's a pretty cautious guy. Do you think he would have said to somebody

00:37:00.660 who could have blabbed it, that he thinks Joe would F things up? Do you think he would have said

00:37:06.920 that to anyone in the political sphere, knowing that everything gets blabbed? Do you think that

00:37:15.100 Obama wanted people to know that he said this about Biden? I'm going to say fake news on this one.

00:37:22.960 I'm going to say fake news on this. Doesn't mean it couldn't have happened. It is within the realm

00:37:29.620 of possibility. It is, however, not in the realm of credibility, meaning it could be true,

00:37:36.640 but by the nature of the way it's reported, you should assume not. You should assume not.

00:37:44.780 It's a fun story, but just put that filter on and say, if they were talking about your guy,

00:37:51.040 you know, somebody on your team, you wouldn't believe this was true. You probably wouldn't.

00:37:57.120 All right. All right. I need a ruling on this. There's a new form of discrimination that popped 0.97

00:38:04.880 up, which I believe is far worse than whatever we had before. So one of the unintended consequences

00:38:13.540 of the Black Lives Matter and the protesters is this. It is one thing to have a difference of

00:38:20.080 political opinion. And in the history of the United States, that hasn't made too much difference in

00:38:25.880 your hiring decisions. I don't, I've never heard of anybody in my whole life who made a hiring

00:38:32.080 decision, you know, plus or minus, uh, based on somebody's political leanings. Never heard it.

00:38:38.420 Not even one time in my whole life. I'm sure it's happened. You know, it's a big country. I'm sure

00:38:43.600 it's happened, but I've never heard of it. So it's, it's not like the most common thing,

00:38:47.260 but what about now? What about now? Suppose somebody came into your office and you're a

00:38:55.920 conservative and you're just hiring somebody and resume looks good and the person comes in

00:39:01.440 and somehow you learned that they were part of the protests or they're, they belong to Black Lives

00:39:08.200 Matter. And let's say you're a white conservative and let's say you're male just to make it extra 0.59

00:39:13.060 hard. Uh, what would you think about what the applicant thinks of you? Now I'm not talking

00:39:22.040 about what you think of the applicant. So you might say to yourself, you know, freedom of speech.

00:39:27.060 I'm completely happy that you protested. And in fact, I, I agree with your message. Black Lives Matter

00:39:33.900 totally need to make sure that police are doing their job. So you can be a conservative that even

00:39:39.840 completely agrees philosophically with, with the approach, but you know, maybe not the technique

00:39:46.140 and still wouldn't you have to worry a little bit that although you feel okay about the applicant

00:39:55.020 that the applicant probably hates your guts and would look for any excuse to take you down 0.93

00:40:02.160 because you're part of systemic racism. Wouldn't you feel that? Would you not feel that your applicant

00:40:10.680 hates you? Now that's never been the case before. I can't think of it like, is there any time in

00:40:18.380 history, let's say in my life, if I were to interview a black candidate for a job, which of course I have, 0.99

00:40:26.580 everybody has, if you've done a hiring. And not once have I ever thought that even though I know

00:40:35.200 we live in a, you know, a racially sensitive world, and even though I know, you know, black citizens on

00:40:41.220 average might have a little bit of a bad feeling about white citizens on average, I can't think of

00:40:47.140 any time in the past that would have mattered to me. Like, because it just, it would have been sort of

00:40:53.180 low-grade, you know, I just have these feelings, but everybody's got a little bias. You can't really

00:40:59.680 hire people who don't have a little bias. No big deal. You just deal with it, right? But today,

00:41:07.180 today, if you hired, given our hyper-partisan situation, if you hired somebody today, and you

00:41:16.000 were, let's say, a white male conservative, and you hired a young female black activist who was in

00:41:23.660 Black Lives Matter, what would you think that person thinks of you? And what would be your risk?

00:41:31.260 Would you be at greater risk of being attacked, meaning legally after, you know, if something goes

00:41:37.060 wrong, are you going to get sued? And I would think that in our current environment, we've

00:41:43.840 accidentally created a whole new kind of discrimination, which is weirdly legal, completely

00:41:52.200 legal. You could actually not hire somebody, not because they're black, like it wouldn't even be 1.00

00:41:58.460 racial, because you would say the same thing about, let's say, the white protesters. You just say, 0.89

00:42:03.560 I just can't hire anybody who was part of that complaining. You know, in other words, the complaint

00:42:11.720 is that they're complainers about something that you, maybe you don't think they should

00:42:16.780 be complaining about, hypothetically. I don't know. It's a dangerous situation. Political

00:42:25.540 discrimination is legal, I believe. It is completely legal to discriminate on political belief. I

00:42:33.180 believe. I think that's legal. I was told by somebody who knows more than I do that very

00:42:39.780 thing. You're probably already at risk of being sued if you don't hire the person. Well,

00:42:50.260 no, that's not true, because you could find somebody who, well, yeah, I suppose you're

00:42:57.000 always at risk. You're right. You're always at risk. Somebody says you'd be hiring a walking 1.00

00:43:02.800 lawsuit. That's what it feels like, even if that's not true. So that's what discrimination

00:43:09.280 is. All right. So everybody wants me to talk about Millie Weaver's film Shadowgate, which

00:43:18.400 is now available on YouTube, somebody says. Let me tell you that during the course of my

00:43:26.800 day, lots of people send me videos that they think I'm interested in. I don't watch most of

00:43:33.260 them. So sending me a link to a video without a summary of why I should watch it, that will

00:43:40.460 kind of never get me to watch it. But if you send me a link and say, this person made this

00:43:46.060 claim, I might think, oh, I'd like to see about that. But if you just send me a link

00:43:50.920 and say, what do you think about it? I'm not going to watch that. Because the context is

00:43:55.560 lots of people are doing that all day long. I'm just getting links all day long. Watch this

00:44:00.200 video. Watch this video. I'm not going to watch any of them. None of them. But if you

00:44:04.200 summarize it, you might get my attention. Then I might watch it. All right. Yeah. So here

00:44:12.720 in California, we've got lightning, rain, power outages, firenados, homelessness, drug overdoses,

00:44:22.100 crumbling economy. And somebody is floating the idea of a wealth tax for Californians. Now,

00:44:30.440 if you don't think a wealth tax will empty the state, you don't know this state. There's a lot

00:44:36.440 of people with wealth who have one foot out the door. And a wealth tax, that would just be the end

00:44:42.080 of it. That would be two feet out the door. All right. All right. I'm about done with everything

00:44:54.300 I have to say. And I will talk to you tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 16, 2020

Episode 1094 Scott Adams： Witches and Video, Three Civil Wars Scheduled, Low Information Voters, Firenadoes, Homeschooling

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