Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 30, 2020


Episode 1108 Scott Adams： Portland Badness, the Total Collapse of Biden's Chances, Murdered Trump Supporter


Episode Stats

Length

50 minutes

Words per Minute

151.69797

Word Count

7,728

Sentence Count

531

Misogynist Sentences

3

Hate Speech Sentences

15


Summary


Transcript

00:00:00.120 Bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum.
00:00:09.040 Hey everybody, come on in. Yeah, I know it's Sunday and most of you should be in church, but there could be enough of you here to enjoy the simultaneous sip.
00:00:24.000 And enjoy it you will. It's the only thing that's almost as good as church.
00:00:30.200 I was going to say better, but I don't want to start a fight on a Sunday.
00:00:33.840 So I'll say almost as good.
00:00:36.820 And all you need to enjoy the simultaneous sip?
00:00:40.480 Well, you don't need much.
00:00:42.580 That's the beauty of it.
00:00:43.720 All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or chalice or stein,
00:00:46.800 a canteen jug or flask or a vessel of any kind.
00:00:50.120 Fill it with your favorite liquid I like, coffee.
00:00:53.640 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day,
00:00:57.440 the thing that makes everything better except the protests in Portland.
00:01:02.980 Apparently nothing helps those.
00:01:04.880 It's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now.
00:01:06.600 Go.
00:01:11.560 Mmm.
00:01:13.700 Good stuff.
00:01:17.260 Well, I just saw a tweet from Jake Novak who was saying it's 9.35 a.m. on Sunday
00:01:26.000 and Real Clear Politics still hasn't published the results of the blockbuster new D.I. poll.
00:01:34.920 I don't know what the D.I. poll is, showing Trump in the lead that came out at 10 p.m. last night.
00:01:40.920 So there is some suggestion that the polls have turned just dramatically for Trump.
00:01:47.640 Now, if they hadn't turned dramatically for Trump recently, I would be quite surprised.
00:01:58.200 But apparently there's some hesitation to even print the polls.
00:02:03.340 The polls are so big or so bad that they won't even print them.
00:02:09.060 So that's pretty bad.
00:02:10.040 And funny at the same time.
00:02:14.420 Now, there was a tragic shooting last night in Portland.
00:02:19.420 And I would like to do something that you rarely see.
00:02:25.800 And this will be so rare that some of you will remember when you saw it for the rest of your life.
00:02:32.100 You know, sometimes when there's some big event, you'll be like,
00:02:35.180 I always don't remember what I was doing when that happened.
00:02:38.920 And here's the rare and special thing I'm going to do.
00:02:41.980 I'm going to be consistent in public.
00:02:47.940 I know.
00:02:48.860 I know.
00:02:49.600 It's crazy.
00:02:50.560 You don't think I can do it.
00:02:52.660 Watch this.
00:02:54.060 Watch this consistency.
00:02:56.400 Yesterday I said that people who resist arrest, they're the problem.
00:03:03.520 And that the media has convinced us it's a police problem.
00:03:07.620 Police could do better.
00:03:09.000 Everybody could do better at anything they're doing.
00:03:11.180 So that's a general statement.
00:03:13.560 But it's mostly a resisting arrest problem, if you look at it that way.
00:03:18.680 And so I was showing not too much sympathy for the people resisting arrest
00:03:25.240 because they were clearly inviting the problems they got.
00:03:28.420 If you invite a problem and then the problem comes in because you invited the problem
00:03:34.900 and you knew you were inviting the problem
00:03:37.620 and the problem was exactly the problem you knew you were inviting
00:03:41.300 and now you have a problem,
00:03:44.280 I don't have any sympathy for you.
00:03:46.520 None.
00:03:47.400 I don't have a bit of sympathy for you.
00:03:50.400 Last night, apparently, there was somebody who knew he was going into a kill zone
00:03:54.800 dressed like somebody that is trying to get killed.
00:03:59.500 Do I have sympathy for the Trump, allegedly, we don't know the story yet,
00:04:04.760 but allegedly there's some Blue Lives Matter or Trump supporter
00:04:07.760 who went right into the middle of a violent crowd that was armed
00:04:12.360 and looking to kill people like him.
00:04:15.340 People like him.
00:04:16.200 Here's my consistency.
00:04:19.560 I'm not going to tell you that I don't care about those resisting arrest people,
00:04:23.840 regardless of color.
00:04:24.800 It has nothing to do with ethnicity.
00:04:27.480 White person, black person, it doesn't matter.
00:04:29.420 If they're resisting arrest, I just don't have sympathy for them.
00:04:33.080 Don't ask me to.
00:04:34.960 If somebody goes consciously and willingly into the most dangerous place they could possibly go
00:04:40.260 and a bad thing happens to them, don't ask me for sympathy.
00:04:44.120 Don't ask me for any sympathy.
00:04:46.200 Do you think I'm going to give empathy to this guy because he was a Trump supporter
00:04:51.700 or because he was anti-whatever he was, anti-protesters, I don't know, whatever he was.
00:05:00.440 I just can't go there.
00:05:02.080 I just can't give you any sympathy for somebody who knowingly brings a problem on themselves.
00:05:08.840 I've got enough problems of my own.
00:05:11.420 I don't have too many problems, actually.
00:05:13.740 That's sort of a lie.
00:05:14.740 I don't have a lot of big problems.
00:05:18.080 But there are certainly enough problems of people who are good people,
00:05:22.060 who are not trying to get in any trouble, who just need a little extra boost somehow.
00:05:28.220 I'm happy to help those people.
00:05:30.520 Those people deserve my empathy.
00:05:32.360 I'd rather use empathy than sympathy in this case.
00:05:37.180 And I'll see what I can do.
00:05:39.620 See how I can help.
00:05:41.180 But if you're bringing trouble on yourself, don't ask me to be unhappy about it.
00:05:46.660 Ever.
00:05:47.640 All right.
00:05:47.840 So that's what it looks like to be consistent in public.
00:05:52.780 You may never see it again.
00:05:54.580 So remember where you were.
00:05:55.840 You were watching my periscope when it happened.
00:05:57.760 So we don't know a lot about this person who was shot, we think, just for being a Trump supporter or a Blue Lives Matter supporter,
00:06:09.580 which means to the protesters they would have defined that as a white supremacist.
00:06:14.860 There's no evidence that he was or wasn't.
00:06:17.540 There's just no evidence on that.
00:06:20.280 So that's a we're still in the fog of war on that.
00:06:25.380 Governor Kate Brown.
00:06:28.160 Oh, so here's what else happened.
00:06:32.500 So apparently there were 150 people with gas masks and helmets.
00:06:37.120 I think those were the protesters, not the counter protesters.
00:06:40.840 Remember, I was saying that, why is it that we don't hear about the number of protesters?
00:06:47.400 Hasn't that been odd to you?
00:06:49.560 Why don't we ever hear the number of them?
00:06:51.880 Sometimes they say, well, it's in the small, it's, you know, just in a few blocks.
00:06:56.760 And they talk about the real estate, but they don't really talk about the number of them.
00:07:01.540 And you don't hear it on the media from the left.
00:07:04.320 You don't hear it on the media from the right.
00:07:07.000 And you don't even hear it from all the independents, you know, like Andy Ngo.
00:07:10.840 Et cetera, who are showing up.
00:07:12.440 Now, maybe I'm missing it.
00:07:14.380 That's possible.
00:07:15.380 I mean, maybe it's being reported.
00:07:16.780 And just by coincidence, everywhere I look, I don't see it.
00:07:20.500 But you don't know, do you?
00:07:22.820 In the comments, tell me if you know how many people show up for any of these protests.
00:07:28.140 I have no idea.
00:07:29.440 Let me tell you why this is so important.
00:07:31.160 Let's say it's 150 people who were clearly identified as protesters.
00:07:40.140 Is that the right number?
00:07:41.760 I don't know.
00:07:42.900 But if there's 150, what does that tell you about the solution?
00:07:48.780 It tells you the solution is really easy.
00:07:50.960 Because 150 people is not many people for a protest.
00:07:56.500 You know, you could certainly round up enough law enforcement so you outnumbered them if you wanted to.
00:08:02.840 Could you not find 150 law enforcement people?
00:08:05.780 But here's the more dangerous thought.
00:08:09.240 Not a recommendation.
00:08:11.320 I'm not recommending this.
00:08:13.480 But it's easy to imagine where things are going to go on their own.
00:08:17.960 Whether I recommended it or discouraged it, it wouldn't matter.
00:08:21.560 It's going to happen on its own.
00:08:22.620 And that is, if it's only 150 protesters and they're actually destroying the entire city, you know, not the whole city at once, but they're sort of chewing away and breaking a new storefront every night and it's never going to stop.
00:08:38.820 At some point, the people who are not happy with this will organize and they will say, all right, how many of us does it take to get rid of them?
00:08:49.300 There are only 150 of them and they're not that big.
00:08:54.400 Could, you know, could the counter-protesters every single night of the year come up with more than 150 counter-protesters to shut them down?
00:09:06.340 Again, I'm not recommending this.
00:09:08.080 I'm just saying this is a likely outcome.
00:09:11.120 So if the reporting told us the number of people, we would also know what the solution looked like.
00:09:17.520 Or we would be able to predict what would happen.
00:09:20.960 You know, you wouldn't call it a solution if the counter-protesters come there to get into a fight.
00:09:25.340 That would just be a different problem.
00:09:27.680 But you can kind of predict where it's going if you knew how many there were.
00:09:31.320 And also if you knew if that number was growing or shrinking recently.
00:09:36.220 You know, what's it look like the last 10 nights of protests?
00:09:39.340 Exactly same number?
00:09:41.280 A little bigger?
00:09:42.480 Bigger on weekends?
00:09:43.940 What's it look like?
00:09:44.700 No reporting on that, of course.
00:09:49.200 But I guess there were a bunch of pro-police people that might have been pro-Trump at the same time who decided that going into the middle of this craziness was a good idea.
00:10:01.360 Now, if you didn't see the videos of the Trump supporters in big trucks with their flags, not all of them went through the middle of the protests, but some of them did.
00:10:13.000 I think most of the protesters decided to drive around Portland, but some decided to go right through the middle looking for trouble.
00:10:21.720 And you see these Trump supporters sitting in the back of trucks with, at least in one case, I don't know how many others, with a paint gun, paintball gun.
00:10:30.700 And you'd see the protesters throw an egg or something, and then you'd see the Trump guy in the truck who's literally just sport hunting with a paintball gun.
00:10:42.140 He's sport hunting.
00:10:44.160 You just look at him, and it's obvious he came there for the sport.
00:10:47.680 And he's got his paint gun, and he's just like, pop, pop, pop, pop, pop, pop, pop.
00:10:51.060 Nobody got hurt, I don't think.
00:10:53.100 You know, he probably stung.
00:10:55.240 Got some paint on him.
00:10:56.800 I don't think anybody got hurt.
00:10:58.280 I hope not.
00:10:58.840 But it's obvious, at least that small group of the protesters, that didn't represent all the counter-protesters, but that small group quite obviously came there for the fight club.
00:11:13.440 They came there for the entertainment.
00:11:16.640 And do I feel sorry for anybody they shot with a paint gun?
00:11:20.300 Nope.
00:11:21.480 Don't.
00:11:22.000 Everybody chose to be there under exactly the circumstances that they experienced.
00:11:27.720 They were all adult-conscious choices, mostly adult, I guess.
00:11:33.860 So that was predictable, that it would turn into a fight club, and it did.
00:11:39.220 The real question is, now do the counter-protesters enjoy it enough that they go back?
00:11:45.840 And I've got to tell you, for those of you who are watching this who are either women, I'm going to make a gross generality.
00:11:57.520 Are you ready for this?
00:11:58.880 You can tell me if this is sexist or not.
00:12:02.280 And I will accept your condemnation if you say, Scott, that's a little bit sexist.
00:12:08.820 I will accept that classification.
00:12:12.340 But here's what I'm going to say.
00:12:13.340 Men and women don't quite think the same.
00:12:17.540 And women don't really have any idea how dark men can be.
00:12:23.300 You don't know.
00:12:24.880 Because men are largely killers who have been socialized.
00:12:29.480 We're basically killers.
00:12:31.660 We're killers of animals in order to hunt and eat.
00:12:36.220 We're killers of the other tribe, the other country.
00:12:39.520 We're basically killers who sometimes do some procreating and protecting the people involved in procreation.
00:12:49.160 But we're kind of murderers at our base.
00:12:53.340 Now, are gross generalizations accurate?
00:12:57.000 No.
00:12:58.320 No.
00:12:59.220 That's why they're gross generalizations.
00:13:01.020 I don't mean to suggest that each of the men watching this are murderers or even trying to suppress it.
00:13:08.080 I'm just saying that compared to women, we're a little bit more willing to pull a trigger.
00:13:15.000 It's sort of baked into a lot of our DNA.
00:13:18.560 Not everybody.
00:13:19.520 Everybody's different.
00:13:21.420 And I even completely accept that there are more categories than men and women.
00:13:27.220 I know most of you don't.
00:13:28.700 But I'm completely open with people being whatever they want to be, if it doesn't bother me.
00:13:34.360 So, here's the thing.
00:13:39.340 When I watched those Trump supporters paintballing the crowd, and then also when I watched the crowd getting all excited about destroying stuff and burning things,
00:13:49.040 I said to myself, if you're a woman and you're watching this, this all looks bad.
00:13:54.860 Like it's nothing but bad from bottom to top.
00:13:58.280 There are no good people there.
00:14:00.000 It's just bad, bad, bad.
00:14:02.340 Again, gross generalization.
00:14:04.360 Plenty of women would disagree with this, and I understand.
00:14:09.080 But if you're a man, and I probably shouldn't even admit this, because this is not something anybody could be proud of.
00:14:19.620 It's just sort of a truth.
00:14:21.940 A lot of men could watch those videos of the paintballing and the egg throwing and the fires and say to themselves,
00:14:29.520 I wouldn't mind having a little bit of that.
00:14:31.780 Now, not most men.
00:14:36.620 It's going to be less than half.
00:14:39.100 But I'll bet more than half said to themselves, I could see why that would be fun.
00:14:46.360 I wouldn't personally do it.
00:14:48.280 I'm not going to put myself in that amount of danger for no particular benefit that I can see.
00:14:53.000 But I can see that that guy sitting on the back of the pickup truck who was just shooting paintball at people he didn't like with complete impunity.
00:15:04.220 There was no law there.
00:15:06.560 No law.
00:15:07.960 It was a police-free zone in which anybody can go.
00:15:11.500 There's a scheduled event that's basically fight club.
00:15:16.180 People go there to fight.
00:15:18.520 And I think it attracts people who find this recreational.
00:15:22.280 And I don't mean that as hyperbole.
00:15:24.620 I mean literally all of the people there seem to be there recreationally.
00:15:30.640 I'm not for that or against it.
00:15:34.780 I'm simply noting it.
00:15:40.120 So if you assume that it was fun, and again, I realize how disgusting that word is in this context, especially when somebody got killed.
00:15:50.260 But it did look like these people are there for fun.
00:15:53.960 What would stop it?
00:15:55.660 Why wouldn't you have as many counter-protesters tomorrow?
00:16:00.040 Why wouldn't you have more Trump supporters there tomorrow than last night?
00:16:05.700 Well, you'd say, well, one of them got killed.
00:16:07.300 That's a reason not to go.
00:16:09.240 I don't think you understand.
00:16:11.960 If you think that's going to keep people from doing this, then you don't quite understand men.
00:16:18.640 That actually made it a little bit more attractive.
00:16:23.740 Not to everybody.
00:16:25.380 Everybody's different.
00:16:26.820 But there are a lot of men who looked at that and said, yeah, I think I'd like to get a little bit more of that.
00:16:33.220 So who knows where that's going?
00:16:35.380 Of course, the guy who got killed is already being branded as a white supremacist.
00:16:40.640 Who knows what he is?
00:16:42.200 I'm not going to say he is or is not any particular thing.
00:16:45.540 I'm just going to say I don't know, but I don't think there's evidence of that.
00:16:48.640 You know the story about Rand Paul getting jostled by the protesters when he left the RNC?
00:16:55.420 But apparently Alice Johnson got the same treatment.
00:17:00.120 Alice Johnson, African-American woman, pardoned by the president.
00:17:06.920 And even she was attacked by the Black Lives Matter protesters.
00:17:11.540 Think about that.
00:17:12.740 And apparently she was quite scared about that.
00:17:16.060 There's another part of that story that I need verification from.
00:17:20.140 But there's a more alarming part of the story, not in terms of danger.
00:17:25.140 But I'm going to wait for a confirmation before I mention that in public.
00:17:29.420 All right.
00:17:29.680 Could President Trump and the Trump campaign be any luckier?
00:17:38.020 And again, lucky is a hard word to use in this context because people are getting killed.
00:17:43.160 But luckier in the sense of if you were running for election and the biggest complaint against you,
00:17:49.580 let's say two of the biggest complaints against you are, number one, you're some kind of an authoritarian dictator.
00:17:58.000 So that's a big worry about Trump.
00:18:00.800 Number two, that he may not be competent just managing any kind of situation.
00:18:07.660 So those are two of, you know, they're not the only complaints about Trump.
00:18:12.740 But those are two of the biggest ones, I would think.
00:18:17.340 And among those two big complaints, Ted Wheeler and also the governor whose name is,
00:18:26.640 the governor whose name is, you know, whatever her name is.
00:18:32.620 By the way, Mayor Ted Wheeler of Portland, he wrote a letter, didn't have to put it in a letter.
00:18:39.460 This is where the Democrats are just completely playing into Trump's hands.
00:18:43.760 He didn't have to put it in a letter.
00:18:45.620 But now he has formally and publicly denounced Trump's offer to send in the National Guard.
00:18:53.300 And they say they got it into control.
00:18:55.960 Now, what could be more perfect for Trump?
00:18:59.420 Because every day that he doesn't overrule the local mayor, think about it.
00:19:05.620 Trump is the president of the United States.
00:19:08.080 He's the commander-in-chief of the most awesome military force in the entire universe.
00:19:13.940 That's how much power Trump has.
00:19:17.080 Ted Wheeler can't even walk outside in his own street without getting accosted by his own people
00:19:23.140 or protesters he's allowed in his town.
00:19:25.120 Ted Wheeler's own apartment is under attack by the protesters.
00:19:30.940 Ted Wheeler stops the president from bringing in any kind of force with a letter.
00:19:41.680 That's it. A letter.
00:19:42.500 This little mayor, who has no power over his own citizens or his own city,
00:19:49.180 stopped this giant dictator authoritarian with the most massive military on earth,
00:19:55.540 stopped him cold with a letter.
00:19:59.060 He wrote a letter.
00:20:00.300 That's it.
00:20:01.300 And did Trump say, that's just a letter.
00:20:04.800 I don't recognize your authority.
00:20:06.940 I'm going to make some excuse to send in the military anyway.
00:20:09.860 Anyway, nope.
00:20:12.480 Trump just tweeted, I keep offering, you keep saying no.
00:20:17.460 Anytime you want, I can clear this up.
00:20:20.060 It is so brilliant.
00:20:22.060 It's simple.
00:20:23.060 I mean, it's such a simple thing to do, to simply follow the rules
00:20:27.160 and not overrule the local mayor while offering to do it
00:20:31.120 in a way that other people think is fairly credible.
00:20:34.480 Because I think the public believes that Trump actually could stop this in an hour.
00:20:40.220 I mean, that's a little bit of an exaggeration.
00:20:41.920 But he could stop it quite quickly with enough military presence,
00:20:47.300 especially if there are only 150 people.
00:20:49.820 How hard would it take any military unit to stop 150 people?
00:20:55.860 I need some kind of a fact check on that number.
00:20:58.600 Because if it's really that few people, it's very misleading.
00:21:02.100 And it would be easier to stop than it looks.
00:21:06.140 All right.
00:21:09.460 Here's one of the reasons that you can't know who's doing a good job in the coronavirus thing.
00:21:15.440 You can't know because there are so many variables involved.
00:21:22.880 And it's, you know, it's apples and oranges.
00:21:24.280 But here's one of the biggest variables that you wouldn't even think of, typically.
00:21:29.640 If you were trying to decide, okay, which of these national leaders did the best job,
00:21:34.280 you wouldn't even think of this.
00:21:36.440 But you should, because if you leave it out, you haven't done the analysis right.
00:21:40.180 But notice that Trump used, I'll call it the excuse or opportunity of this virus to go hard at China.
00:21:49.520 You get, you know, he has a built-in reason to be mad at China because of the virus.
00:21:53.260 So that gives him some justified, and it's the justified part that matters.
00:21:58.580 He can get really mad at China in public.
00:22:01.540 And it's not sort of an insult to them personally, because they kind of know that this is real.
00:22:07.300 So because the coronavirus really did come from China, and nobody's doubting that, that's, you know, now a settled fact,
00:22:16.000 he can go hard at China, but he can also use the opportunity to claw back the manufacturing, which he's doing.
00:22:23.840 So he's using the crisis, if you will, the coronavirus.
00:22:28.280 He said, okay, here's an opportunity that doesn't come along all the time.
00:22:32.020 I can now say publicly and aggressively, we're going to pull back all the manufacturing, American manufacturing that we can,
00:22:39.540 in whatever schedule we can, from China.
00:22:42.860 How big a deal is that?
00:22:45.080 Well, if you're talking about the future of the United States, it's a really big deal.
00:22:50.240 It's one of the biggest things that's ever happened.
00:22:53.660 Let me say that again.
00:22:54.680 Again, Trump starting to bring back manufacturing from China isn't just a good idea.
00:23:01.220 It's one of the biggest things that will ever happen in this country.
00:23:05.800 It's that big.
00:23:07.180 It's gigantic.
00:23:08.440 It changes the whole nature of, you know, the world and the balance of power.
00:23:13.280 Would he have done that?
00:23:14.840 And would he have been able to get away with it as effortlessly as it's happening?
00:23:18.780 How do we not have this crisis?
00:23:22.080 And here's the key part.
00:23:24.120 Would another leader in the same situation put into Joe Biden, for example, and say he was president at this time?
00:23:31.000 Would Joe Biden have said, whoa, here's a chance to pull back all of our manufacturing?
00:23:36.440 You know, we'll do the easy ones first, like pharmaceuticals, because that's just obvious.
00:23:40.580 The pharmaceutical part's just a no-brainer.
00:23:42.920 There's nobody in the United States, I don't think.
00:23:45.700 I don't think there's anybody in the United States who's saying, yeah, let's leave that over there in China.
00:23:49.660 What could go wrong?
00:23:51.080 So you do the easy one first.
00:23:53.080 So Biden might have done that one, because that one's kind of a layup.
00:23:57.020 Of course you do that one.
00:23:58.500 But would he have gone beyond that and said, now I'm going to start paying other companies, giving them incentives to also come back?
00:24:05.800 I think not.
00:24:07.020 So if you're looking at Trump's performance during the coronavirus, you cannot take out of that the fact that he acted in an opportunity that I believe most presidents, if not all of them, you know, Democrat or Republican, most presidents I don't think would have seen that opening.
00:24:27.200 And I don't think that they would have as aggressively pursued it and gotten away with it so far.
00:24:33.700 It looks like it's going to be successful.
00:24:36.180 It's early.
00:24:37.720 So when you're saying, okay, the president messed up on the coronavirus, what you mean is that people died who didn't need to die.
00:24:46.760 I think we'd agree that that's what you mean.
00:24:48.940 How do you count the number of people who lived because something that important for the future of the economy got fixed and nobody else would have maybe seen that opening or at least pursued it?
00:25:04.100 You've got to count that.
00:25:06.160 What does 1% better GDP mean for how many people live or die in the future?
00:25:11.960 It means a lot because there's a very direct connection between your economic well-being and how many people die.
00:25:18.940 You saw it in the coronavirus, more suicides, crimes up.
00:25:23.820 So the worst people's situation is, the more death there is.
00:25:30.140 It just always follows that way.
00:25:33.400 And that's just one of probably dozens of things that you really can't sort out.
00:25:38.620 And I always say this, and it gets really quiet when I say this.
00:25:41.860 In order to say that Trump did a bad job, you would have to say that if you took a leader from some other country, just as a mental experiment, said, all right, let's take the leader of South Korea or New Zealand and imagine that they're the president of the United States at the time that Trump was.
00:26:00.460 And they're the leaders, and let's say that they knew everything about America the way Trump does.
00:26:06.460 But it's just that personality and that talent stack from these other leaders that you put in that position.
00:26:12.620 What ends up different?
00:26:14.040 Because I'm not aware of anything that Trump did that wasn't what the experts recommended.
00:26:21.420 Would one of those other great leaders who has such good control over things, would they have known in advance that the test kits that the CDC made at first were bad?
00:26:33.020 Would the leader of New Zealand, if they were our president, said, oh, wait a minute, I'm getting some ESP signals, I can see that the test kits that were made, that we had ready, they're defective, they don't work.
00:26:51.040 How would any of them, how would Trump have known that?
00:26:54.140 How would any of the leader known that?
00:26:55.520 Now, you could say to yourself, oh, wait, wait, wait, wait, Scott, you know, a good leader would have made sure that had been tested, would have been ready, would have made sure we had, you know, supplies.
00:27:06.340 Which leader did that?
00:27:08.320 Were there any leaders that did that?
00:27:14.780 I don't think there were any leaders who were smart enough to know if their test kits were the right kind.
00:27:22.360 That's not really a leader thing.
00:27:23.720 You can imagine that nobody would have gotten that right.
00:27:29.180 And as long as all of the leaders would have followed the advice of the experts.
00:27:34.960 And by the way, as a correction, Trump often says that he was the only one who wanted to close the travel from China.
00:27:44.380 And I think Fauci says that he was asked about it and agreed.
00:27:48.000 So fact check that on me.
00:27:50.480 But I think even the closing of the travel, although it seemed to be Trump's idea, it didn't come from the experts, rather it came from Trump.
00:28:00.200 But I think Fauci agreed.
00:28:02.260 I think he did.
00:28:03.100 So fact check that on me.
00:28:04.380 I might be wrong.
00:28:06.100 But let's see.
00:28:06.960 There's a bill in the House to decriminalize marijuana at the federal level and then put some kind of a tax on it, 5% tax on legal sales.
00:28:20.680 And here's the thing.
00:28:23.920 Many of us have been surprised that Trump didn't do this himself or advocate for decriminalizing marijuana at the federal level because he talks about it being a state problem.
00:28:34.900 And if he talks about it that way, why would you leave free money on the table?
00:28:39.360 And it could be that because Trump has such an anti-drug entire history, it just could be something he just can't go there, which I would understand.
00:28:53.600 I don't hate the fact, I do not hate the fact that we have a president who doesn't drink.
00:28:59.300 And I don't think that gets nearly enough attention.
00:29:04.860 Imagine that.
00:29:06.560 Is this our only president who doesn't drink?
00:29:10.320 Because people drink and they're still president.
00:29:13.040 And the odds of you, you know, at let's say 11 o'clock on some Saturday night, the odds that you have a drunk president are pretty good.
00:29:24.160 Do you think Hillary would never have been drunk during, you know, on her time off?
00:29:29.760 Well, presidents are not really ever completely off duty, right, if something comes up.
00:29:34.940 So I think that's a way bigger deal than people give him credit for.
00:29:38.560 But he's so anti-drug, anti-drinking that maybe he just couldn't be the guy who initiated it.
00:29:44.640 And I could understand that.
00:29:46.020 At a human level, at a human level and a role model level, I doubt he would do it for the role model reason, but you can understand it.
00:29:55.680 But it leaves this big opening for the Democrats to be the ones who initiated it so they can get most of the credit.
00:30:03.740 But I ask you this.
00:30:05.600 Will it pass in the Senate?
00:30:07.820 There could be some, you know, problems with the details of it that makes it unsignable.
00:30:12.200 But what if the Senate passes it and the House passes it?
00:30:16.460 What is Trump going to do?
00:30:20.060 I think Trump probably signs it because I think 66% of the public is in favor of it.
00:30:27.700 I don't think it'll hurt him.
00:30:29.780 Might help him a little bit.
00:30:31.300 People are going to ask why he didn't do it before.
00:30:33.100 But again, he's the only president we've ever had who was this clearly against mind-altering substances.
00:30:42.360 And I don't think we should lose that.
00:30:44.600 That's just such a big deal.
00:30:46.540 You know, you always talk about the bad role model things he does with his mean tweets.
00:30:51.600 And, you know, there's something to that.
00:30:53.020 I'm not going to say that there's nothing to that.
00:30:55.220 There's something to it.
00:30:56.200 But there's also a lot to the role model part of not being a drinker and not being a drug guy.
00:31:05.720 All right.
00:31:07.680 So let's hope that Trump does sign that if it happens.
00:31:12.760 Here's a...
00:31:14.520 We keep learning more about Kyle Rittenhouse.
00:31:17.780 And how close are we to the point where he will be unambiguously just treated as a hero?
00:31:26.200 Because that's not a safe place to be.
00:31:29.820 Because that would really inflame tensions.
00:31:32.060 Because, you know, some portion of the public thinks he's a white supremacist.
00:31:37.300 As far as I know, all the evidence suggests he's not.
00:31:41.120 The evidence that we have strongly suggests he does not have any kind of association like that.
00:31:47.720 That he was actually just a good citizen.
00:31:50.620 Pro-police.
00:31:52.800 Trying to help.
00:31:53.780 It just seems like all the right incentives and actually even a good person who got in a really bad situation.
00:32:01.780 Now, you could argue that he should not have tried to step up and be useful in the way he did it.
00:32:07.780 You know, bringing a weapon to a place where it was dangerous in the first place.
00:32:12.700 So I'm not going to support the fact that he showed up at all with a weapon.
00:32:16.060 But I don't think that he had bad intentions.
00:32:20.180 And once more comes out about what he did or didn't do, and it seems clear that it was either obvious self-defense or arguably self-defense,
00:32:30.620 which should be good enough to not get him convicted on any murder charges.
00:32:35.360 But I worry that he's actually going to become a hero.
00:32:41.340 And it would be easy to happen.
00:32:44.920 And that would be so divisive.
00:32:47.240 But I think that's where we're heading.
00:32:49.600 Because it's just such a divisive time.
00:32:52.160 All right.
00:32:53.000 Here is a question for you.
00:32:54.280 If the fake news did not exist, would these protests and all the violence that comes with it, the looting, etc.,
00:33:01.420 would any of that happen without fake news?
00:33:05.300 I would say with complete certainty that these riots slash protests slash looting would not happen without fake news ginning people up.
00:33:19.180 Now, by fake news, I'll include social media, which is built on an outrage model.
00:33:23.280 So now you have the formal news, the television news, let's say, mostly television,
00:33:30.480 that is designed to take a side and make you hate the other team.
00:33:36.480 That's their business model.
00:33:38.060 The business model of both Fox News and CNN, MSNBC especially,
00:33:45.060 those three, their business model is tribal,
00:33:49.240 to make you love your team and hate that other team.
00:33:54.480 On top of that is social media, which works on clicks.
00:33:59.720 The more clicks, the better.
00:34:00.980 And what gives you more clicks than violence and getting people to have their hair set on fire?
00:34:07.220 So under these conditions of the fake news plus social media's business model, this had to happen.
00:34:14.340 It wasn't even a case of these things are supportive of those things happening.
00:34:19.760 No, it's way worse than that.
00:34:22.480 This or some version of what you're seeing had to happen
00:34:26.360 once social media and the news had enough cumulative impact on people's brains.
00:34:33.160 So our brains have literally been, literally, this is not hyperbole,
00:34:38.140 actually physically rewired.
00:34:40.340 I guess that's not technically literally.
00:34:42.380 But your brain has changed.
00:34:44.540 Your actual structure of your brain, the chemistry of your brain,
00:34:48.060 has been programmed by these two kinds of business models,
00:34:52.680 the news and social media, to be different than it was.
00:34:57.220 And it was programmed to be more confrontational.
00:35:02.620 And as long as that continued and it was cumulative
00:35:05.440 and you were more and more confrontational,
00:35:07.760 it was very predictable that the people who would,
00:35:10.960 let's say the ones who would go first, the most gullible,
00:35:14.040 and I hate to say it, but it is the most gullible.
00:35:17.620 All right.
00:35:17.880 The people believing the news,
00:35:20.060 the people who believe that the president called white supremacists
00:35:23.320 in Charlottesville fine people,
00:35:25.280 if you believe that, how would you act?
00:35:29.680 Imagine you lived in a country, I'll take myself,
00:35:33.380 imagine if I believed that the president had actually said that.
00:35:37.980 Would I be in favor of him being removed by any means whatsoever?
00:35:44.380 Well, I might not say it in public,
00:35:47.260 but if we actually had a white supremacist president,
00:35:50.960 and I believe that that were true,
00:35:52.520 I might not say out loud
00:35:55.680 that some kind of non-election removal
00:36:00.480 was at least okay with me.
00:36:03.740 I might say in public,
00:36:05.460 no, got to follow the Constitution.
00:36:08.500 But privately, just as a human,
00:36:11.560 I might be thinking, you know,
00:36:13.180 I don't care what it takes.
00:36:14.980 You know, if somehow we accidentally got a Hitler in charge,
00:36:20.680 I'm not that concerned about the legal process.
00:36:24.240 Whatever it takes to get rid of a Hitler,
00:36:26.960 you know,
00:36:28.880 sometimes you got to do what you got to do.
00:36:31.280 Right?
00:36:31.580 So, I could easily see that if I were as gullible as,
00:36:36.940 I don't know,
00:36:37.960 I think the ratio Rasmussen found that
00:36:41.140 something like half of Democrats
00:36:44.520 actually believed that to be true,
00:36:46.620 if I believed it,
00:36:48.340 I think I'd be fairly sympathetic with the protesters.
00:36:52.880 You know, I wouldn't be sympathetic
00:36:54.240 with the damage and the violence,
00:36:56.100 but I'd be sympathetic with the movement
00:36:58.840 more than I am.
00:37:01.720 So, yeah, it's definitely fake news
00:37:03.620 and social media's business model
00:37:05.060 that's causing this,
00:37:06.040 but I think you also have to have,
00:37:08.540 on top of that,
00:37:09.380 a complete lack of competence
00:37:11.560 in local management,
00:37:13.540 meaning the mayors and the governors
00:37:15.900 of some states,
00:37:17.640 not all of them,
00:37:18.960 because it's not a coincidence
00:37:20.640 that there are certain places
00:37:22.120 that these protests are thriving,
00:37:24.460 and there are other places where,
00:37:26.820 let's say, they wouldn't last as long.
00:37:28.840 You know what I mean?
00:37:29.940 There are more red cities, if you will,
00:37:34.460 that this just wouldn't happen,
00:37:36.020 and if it did,
00:37:36.720 it wouldn't happen as long.
00:37:39.400 So you need incompetence locally,
00:37:41.720 and you need a lot of incompetence.
00:37:43.740 You need probably foreign funding.
00:37:47.380 If it turns out that someday in the future
00:37:50.200 we have never learned
00:37:52.200 that these protests were funded
00:37:54.160 by non-Americans,
00:37:56.220 I would be kind of amazed.
00:37:58.800 Now, I don't have evidence,
00:38:01.000 you know, no direct kind of evidence
00:38:02.320 that there's some foreign influence,
00:38:05.040 China, Russia, Soros,
00:38:07.840 you know, pick your boogeyman,
00:38:09.480 whoever you want.
00:38:10.920 Just pick whoever you want.
00:38:12.940 And, oh, yeah,
00:38:14.480 somebody said 59% of Democrats
00:38:16.820 actually believe the fine people hoax.
00:38:19.300 But they also believe
00:38:21.820 the Green New Deal is a good deal.
00:38:23.960 They believe that the president
00:38:25.320 once suggested drinking bleach
00:38:28.720 to cure coronavirus.
00:38:30.460 They believed a lot of things.
00:38:33.720 And if you're that gullible,
00:38:35.720 you don't want to live in a world
00:38:37.240 where all the news is fake.
00:38:39.740 That's a bad combination.
00:38:41.880 All right, so,
00:38:42.440 but I think the other coincidence
00:38:43.660 that had to happen
00:38:44.560 was the coronavirus.
00:38:45.320 I don't think that
00:38:47.180 without the coronavirus,
00:38:48.920 well, if the coronavirus
00:38:50.420 was not part of the picture,
00:38:52.360 I think the demonstrations
00:38:53.520 would happen
00:38:54.240 but would be smaller
00:38:55.280 and wouldn't last.
00:38:56.780 There's something about
00:38:57.900 being able to wear a mask
00:38:59.460 without being a masked person.
00:39:03.120 In other words,
00:39:03.680 I'm just wearing a mask
00:39:04.680 because it's a pandemic.
00:39:06.540 I'm protesting during a pandemic.
00:39:08.260 Of course I'd wear a mask.
00:39:09.820 I believe that wearing a mask
00:39:11.480 emboldens you.
00:39:12.420 And that although the so-called
00:39:15.620 black block part of Antifa
00:39:17.480 was wearing masks to begin with,
00:39:20.580 they were the ones
00:39:21.620 doing all the bad stuff.
00:39:23.320 But what happens if you say,
00:39:24.700 all right,
00:39:25.100 now everybody wears a mask
00:39:26.540 because it's a pandemic.
00:39:28.420 Well, suddenly,
00:39:29.400 anybody with a mask
00:39:30.540 is going to be bolder
00:39:31.760 because there's one less risk.
00:39:34.180 All these cameras around
00:39:35.660 and you're saying to yourself,
00:39:37.060 well, I don't know
00:39:38.280 if I would throw this brick
00:39:39.580 with all these cameras around
00:39:40.960 if I had my face visible.
00:39:44.600 But if I've got
00:39:45.760 a coronavirus mask on,
00:39:47.820 I've got a brick in my hand,
00:39:49.900 maybe I throw it.
00:39:52.280 So I think you had to have
00:39:53.260 the coronavirus.
00:39:54.080 You had to have
00:39:54.460 terrible local leadership.
00:39:57.180 You had to have
00:39:57.960 complete fake news.
00:39:59.560 You had to have
00:40:00.560 gullible people,
00:40:02.340 but of course that's a given.
00:40:03.960 And you had to have
00:40:05.220 the right weather.
00:40:07.140 You had to have
00:40:07.800 warm enough weather.
00:40:08.660 It had to be the summer.
00:40:09.420 It had to be an election year.
00:40:12.500 It's basically
00:40:13.180 every possible thing
00:40:14.960 that could line up
00:40:16.000 to create this situation
00:40:17.400 has lined up.
00:40:20.360 Which is why
00:40:21.260 Trump will win
00:40:22.320 handily,
00:40:24.720 it looks like.
00:40:26.620 All right.
00:40:26.960 that is,
00:40:32.060 oh,
00:40:32.880 every once in a while
00:40:33.680 because I'm a cartoonist
00:40:35.660 and part of what makes
00:40:37.360 things funny
00:40:38.180 is oversimplifying them.
00:40:40.540 So you take a situation
00:40:41.580 that everybody understands
00:40:42.860 and they're mad about it,
00:40:43.820 but it's a complicated situation
00:40:45.380 and you find the way
00:40:46.920 to summarize
00:40:47.620 that big complicated thing
00:40:49.180 in just a few words
00:40:50.380 that is often funny
00:40:52.120 because you shouldn't
00:40:53.960 be taking
00:40:54.800 a complicated situation
00:40:56.260 and dismissing it
00:40:57.340 with just a few words.
00:40:58.920 And if you do,
00:41:00.060 and if those few words
00:41:01.240 actually sound like
00:41:02.360 you hit the heart
00:41:02.980 of the problem,
00:41:04.100 even if it's wrong,
00:41:05.520 just, you know,
00:41:06.040 your bias says,
00:41:06.800 oh yeah,
00:41:07.160 that's what's happening
00:41:07.840 with that complicated situation,
00:41:09.960 you've got something funny.
00:41:11.400 And I read on Twitter,
00:41:12.360 I didn't write down
00:41:13.080 who said it,
00:41:14.100 but that Black Lives Matter
00:41:15.840 is now just
00:41:16.820 teachers and felons.
00:41:19.280 Teachers and felons.
00:41:20.700 And I thought to myself,
00:41:22.440 first of all,
00:41:22.940 that's not anywhere
00:41:23.660 close to being true.
00:41:25.640 You know,
00:41:25.860 if you took all the protesters,
00:41:28.040 most of them
00:41:29.080 are not teachers.
00:41:30.840 Most of them
00:41:31.500 are not felons.
00:41:33.000 They might become felons
00:41:34.340 during the protest,
00:41:36.040 but that's,
00:41:36.860 you know,
00:41:37.040 they didn't show up that way.
00:41:38.220 Most of them.
00:41:39.440 But as a simplification
00:41:41.240 that just captures
00:41:42.820 that whole vibe,
00:41:44.360 when you say
00:41:44.900 that Black Lives Matter
00:41:45.860 is nothing but teachers
00:41:47.000 and felons,
00:41:48.380 and again,
00:41:48.980 the felons part
00:41:49.700 is not a racial thing.
00:41:50.700 because there are,
00:41:51.940 I think there are
00:41:52.960 more white people
00:41:53.720 in Black Lives Matter
00:41:55.140 than there are black people.
00:41:56.660 So saying there are felons
00:41:57.620 doesn't,
00:41:58.500 you know,
00:41:58.700 that doesn't have
00:41:59.220 a racial component.
00:42:00.180 If you imagine there is,
00:42:01.520 you're imagining it.
00:42:02.920 But teachers and felons.
00:42:05.580 And I thought,
00:42:06.940 yeah,
00:42:07.480 it feels right,
00:42:08.680 even though I know
00:42:09.260 it's, you know,
00:42:10.160 not close to true.
00:42:11.320 All right.
00:42:16.340 Those are the things
00:42:17.440 that are happening.
00:42:19.180 It looks like
00:42:19.720 there's not much else
00:42:20.860 in the way of news.
00:42:25.400 Brendan Straka
00:42:26.440 and his walkaway rally
00:42:27.760 is in SF,
00:42:29.200 Golden Gate,
00:42:30.280 on the Golden Gate Bridge
00:42:31.380 this morning.
00:42:32.700 Somebody is saying.
00:42:33.580 somebody says
00:42:38.020 that they appreciate
00:42:39.340 that I do this.
00:42:40.500 I don't know
00:42:40.960 what this is exactly.
00:42:42.700 You might be talking
00:42:43.720 about a specific opinion
00:42:44.920 or you talk about
00:42:45.740 the periscopes in general.
00:42:48.200 Yeah,
00:42:48.500 now,
00:42:48.760 how have you been enjoying
00:42:50.040 how often
00:42:51.000 I have been tweeting
00:42:52.340 hashtag artist
00:42:54.180 when somebody comes
00:42:55.780 after me on Twitter
00:42:56.700 and they're completely
00:42:57.820 irrational
00:42:58.440 and they demonstrate
00:42:59.660 that they don't
00:43:00.320 understand anything
00:43:01.820 about the situation
00:43:03.780 that they're mad about.
00:43:05.420 I always check
00:43:05.980 their profile.
00:43:06.800 It's usually a musician
00:43:07.720 or a writer
00:43:08.340 or some kind
00:43:10.020 of visual artist
00:43:10.700 and I just say
00:43:11.900 hashtag artist.
00:43:13.420 Now,
00:43:13.740 you should adopt
00:43:14.520 this method.
00:43:16.040 If you're attacked online,
00:43:18.600 don't argue
00:43:19.560 with artists
00:43:20.480 if there are artists
00:43:22.600 who demonstrate
00:43:23.740 that they don't have
00:43:24.860 critical thinking.
00:43:26.140 There are plenty
00:43:26.840 of artists
00:43:27.440 who are artists
00:43:28.800 in addition
00:43:29.460 to doing things
00:43:31.300 that gave them
00:43:31.800 some critical thinking.
00:43:33.360 Some people
00:43:33.820 are just born
00:43:34.400 able to do it.
00:43:35.680 There are some people
00:43:36.160 who are just born
00:43:36.900 able to do
00:43:38.240 critical thinking.
00:43:39.300 It's just somehow
00:43:40.060 they have it.
00:43:41.340 They could also be artists
00:43:42.420 so there are no
00:43:43.520 100% generalizations
00:43:45.660 at work
00:43:46.140 but
00:43:47.440 once you see
00:43:49.860 that you're not
00:43:51.000 the problem
00:43:51.980 is not
00:43:52.820 what they understand
00:43:54.840 or their priorities
00:43:55.940 or anything
00:43:56.640 it's literally
00:43:57.720 a lack
00:43:58.420 of their talent stack.
00:44:00.860 Their talent stack
00:44:01.800 simply doesn't have
00:44:02.960 the skills
00:44:03.660 that would allow
00:44:05.020 them to have
00:44:05.520 the same opinion
00:44:06.280 as someone
00:44:06.880 who has skills
00:44:07.520 and they don't know it.
00:44:11.060 So as long as
00:44:11.720 the people
00:44:12.060 who don't have
00:44:13.020 talent
00:44:13.780 and I'll say
00:44:14.560 talent in decision making
00:44:16.180 you know
00:44:17.240 say economics,
00:44:18.280 business,
00:44:19.260 risk management,
00:44:20.360 you know
00:44:20.480 real world
00:44:21.320 mathematical
00:44:22.320 risk-taking
00:44:23.880 understanding
00:44:24.760 if they don't
00:44:26.180 have that
00:44:26.560 they also
00:44:26.980 don't know
00:44:27.460 they don't
00:44:27.860 have it
00:44:28.420 which is
00:44:29.800 the problem.
00:44:31.420 If they knew
00:44:31.980 they didn't have
00:44:32.740 those skills
00:44:33.360 they probably
00:44:34.440 wouldn't weigh in
00:44:35.240 so angrily
00:44:36.060 imagining that
00:44:37.120 they did.
00:44:38.600 So that's
00:44:39.640 actually what's
00:44:40.240 happening.
00:44:40.980 Between the fake
00:44:41.720 news and the
00:44:42.580 social media
00:44:43.220 the people
00:44:44.900 they're riling up
00:44:45.860 is what I'll
00:44:46.300 call the artist
00:44:47.020 class
00:44:47.800 because the
00:44:48.880 rational people
00:44:49.700 the people
00:44:50.080 who have
00:44:50.300 bigger talent
00:44:51.020 stacks
00:44:51.460 they've seen
00:44:52.040 more
00:44:52.360 they have
00:44:53.120 a better
00:44:53.380 understanding
00:44:53.920 of how the
00:44:54.300 world works
00:44:54.940 are just
00:44:55.980 not falling
00:44:56.580 for all
00:44:57.380 of the gullible
00:44:57.940 stuff
00:44:58.360 as much.
00:45:00.920 All right.
00:45:05.420 Looking at
00:45:06.320 your comments
00:45:07.680 somebody says
00:45:10.300 you're the only
00:45:10.880 artist I argue
00:45:11.880 with.
00:45:13.940 Well you know
00:45:14.900 I've never called
00:45:15.480 myself an artist.
00:45:17.800 So even though
00:45:18.580 the thing I do
00:45:19.460 cartooning
00:45:20.480 and writing
00:45:21.820 certainly fall
00:45:22.940 into the
00:45:23.300 category that I
00:45:24.160 would call
00:45:24.840 art
00:45:25.320 the way I do
00:45:26.820 it doesn't
00:45:27.320 really fall
00:45:27.820 into that
00:45:28.240 category.
00:45:29.460 The way I
00:45:30.560 draw
00:45:30.980 the quality
00:45:32.560 of my
00:45:33.100 artistic talents
00:45:34.100 if you will
00:45:34.640 is so modest
00:45:36.420 that calling
00:45:37.520 myself an
00:45:38.240 artist
00:45:38.720 it doesn't
00:45:39.820 even sound
00:45:40.240 right to me.
00:45:41.400 I've always
00:45:41.880 called myself
00:45:42.500 an entrepreneur
00:45:43.200 who tries
00:45:44.680 lots of
00:45:45.140 things.
00:45:46.620 Cartooning
00:45:47.060 is one of
00:45:47.480 the ones
00:45:47.740 that worked.
00:45:48.900 So other
00:45:49.340 things have
00:45:49.800 worked.
00:45:50.660 I was also
00:45:51.360 a highly
00:45:52.600 paid corporate
00:45:53.680 public speaker
00:45:54.780 for a long
00:45:56.100 time.
00:45:57.100 Now was
00:45:57.700 that art?
00:45:58.760 I don't
00:45:59.340 know.
00:45:59.800 Is giving
00:46:00.680 a public
00:46:01.240 speech an
00:46:01.920 art?
00:46:02.600 Sort of.
00:46:03.920 A skill
00:46:04.440 maybe.
00:46:05.160 I don't
00:46:05.360 know.
00:46:05.880 Somewhere
00:46:06.220 in there.
00:46:07.220 But
00:46:07.400 I'm just
00:46:11.760 looking at
00:46:12.200 some comments
00:46:12.820 going by.
00:46:13.340 small
00:46:15.080 restaurants
00:46:15.640 going
00:46:15.960 bankrupt.
00:46:16.760 Half
00:46:17.080 of them
00:46:17.420 somebody
00:46:18.180 is saying.
00:46:19.360 You know
00:46:19.580 let me
00:46:19.880 tell you
00:46:20.180 something
00:46:20.440 about
00:46:20.820 small
00:46:21.500 restaurants
00:46:22.120 that you
00:46:23.620 probably
00:46:24.000 didn't
00:46:24.300 know.
00:46:26.440 Half
00:46:26.940 of them
00:46:27.240 are always
00:46:27.620 going
00:46:27.860 bankrupt.
00:46:29.580 And
00:46:29.900 90%
00:46:30.500 of them
00:46:30.980 are going
00:46:32.240 to go
00:46:32.460 bankrupt
00:46:32.840 if they're
00:46:33.300 not going
00:46:33.720 bankrupt
00:46:34.080 at the
00:46:34.480 moment.
00:46:35.520 There's
00:46:36.040 something
00:46:36.360 going on
00:46:36.900 that nobody
00:46:37.340 wants to
00:46:37.820 say out
00:46:38.200 loud.
00:46:38.580 A large
00:46:42.700 number of
00:46:43.320 the businesses
00:46:44.280 that failed
00:46:45.240 or are
00:46:45.980 failing or
00:46:46.480 will fail
00:46:46.860 because of
00:46:47.240 the coronavirus
00:46:47.780 were going
00:46:49.060 to fail
00:46:49.620 anyway.
00:46:50.780 It did
00:46:51.220 speed it
00:46:51.720 up.
00:46:52.980 But
00:46:53.160 as other
00:46:55.240 smart people
00:46:55.880 have said
00:46:56.300 all of our
00:46:57.060 trends got
00:46:57.760 accelerated.
00:46:59.260 It looks
00:46:59.800 like if you
00:47:00.520 look at it
00:47:00.900 quickly you
00:47:01.380 say oh
00:47:01.680 these things
00:47:02.140 broke.
00:47:03.380 Well
00:47:03.900 yes a
00:47:05.200 whole bunch
00:47:05.640 of things
00:47:05.980 broke and
00:47:06.840 people went
00:47:07.760 broke and
00:47:08.300 bankrupt.
00:47:09.400 That's
00:47:09.780 true.
00:47:10.660 But what
00:47:11.020 really
00:47:11.360 happened was
00:47:11.980 a trend
00:47:12.520 that had
00:47:13.140 to happen
00:47:13.640 just happened
00:47:14.680 a little
00:47:14.940 quicker such
00:47:15.880 as telecommuting.
00:47:17.220 I don't
00:47:17.700 think there
00:47:18.120 was any
00:47:18.700 chance that
00:47:20.300 telecommuting
00:47:20.980 wasn't going
00:47:21.540 to be a
00:47:21.880 bigger deal
00:47:22.460 because traffic
00:47:23.260 got worse
00:47:23.940 and rents
00:47:25.220 and living
00:47:26.160 in the city
00:47:26.640 was bad
00:47:27.200 etc.
00:47:27.780 But it
00:47:28.280 got accelerated
00:47:28.940 and most
00:47:31.780 of those
00:47:32.200 restaurants
00:47:32.660 would have
00:47:33.000 gone out
00:47:33.360 of business.
00:47:34.140 Now here's
00:47:34.480 why.
00:47:34.960 I have
00:47:35.500 unfortunately
00:47:36.520 restaurant
00:47:37.100 experience.
00:47:38.300 If you
00:47:38.620 have an
00:47:38.960 independent
00:47:39.360 restaurant
00:47:39.880 and you've
00:47:41.080 got let's
00:47:41.780 say so
00:47:42.200 much market
00:47:42.880 demand and
00:47:43.540 you get
00:47:43.840 your share
00:47:44.340 you're doing
00:47:45.180 okay.
00:47:45.920 You're not
00:47:46.460 getting rich.
00:47:48.360 If you've
00:47:49.080 got a
00:47:49.320 restaurant an
00:47:50.120 independent
00:47:50.560 restaurant with
00:47:51.840 a few
00:47:52.200 exceptions if
00:47:53.080 you have a
00:47:53.400 celebrity chef I
00:47:54.260 suppose but
00:47:55.080 they're not
00:47:55.420 getting rich.
00:47:56.820 All right.
00:47:57.400 Just sort
00:47:58.140 of getting
00:47:58.580 by.
00:47:58.900 as soon
00:48:01.000 as a
00:48:01.320 cheesecake
00:48:01.700 factory
00:48:02.360 shows up
00:48:03.680 within
00:48:04.040 driving
00:48:04.440 distance
00:48:05.000 you lose
00:48:06.200 10%
00:48:06.680 of your
00:48:06.940 customers
00:48:07.420 because the
00:48:08.420 cheesecake
00:48:08.780 factory
00:48:09.300 just absorbs
00:48:10.720 from all
00:48:11.900 the restaurants
00:48:12.620 the day it
00:48:13.120 goes in.
00:48:13.700 It's bigger
00:48:14.460 has more
00:48:15.020 seats and
00:48:16.100 it serves
00:48:16.500 so many
00:48:16.840 types of
00:48:17.340 food and
00:48:17.760 it does
00:48:18.000 a really
00:48:18.220 good job.
00:48:18.960 The food
00:48:19.180 is excellent.
00:48:20.220 I would
00:48:20.420 say the
00:48:20.760 service,
00:48:21.360 food,
00:48:22.060 ambiance.
00:48:23.100 Cheesecake
00:48:23.460 factory does
00:48:24.000 a really
00:48:24.220 good job.
00:48:25.840 Now if
00:48:27.020 they don't
00:48:27.600 go bankrupt
00:48:28.300 maybe they
00:48:30.060 are I don't
00:48:30.460 know but
00:48:31.260 if they
00:48:31.660 don't they
00:48:32.880 were always
00:48:33.460 going to be
00:48:34.060 the Walmart
00:48:34.620 or the
00:48:35.260 Amazon that
00:48:35.900 put that
00:48:36.360 small restaurant
00:48:37.260 and a
00:48:37.620 business.
00:48:38.440 When I
00:48:38.720 closed my
00:48:39.680 two restaurants
00:48:41.200 a number of
00:48:42.020 years ago it
00:48:43.060 was right
00:48:43.420 after the
00:48:43.860 cheesecake
00:48:44.160 factory moved
00:48:44.980 in and
00:48:45.840 also P.F.
00:48:47.420 Chang's.
00:48:49.380 If you
00:48:50.020 want to hear
00:48:50.280 the worst
00:48:50.840 luck that a
00:48:51.900 restaurant owner
00:48:52.620 ever had this
00:48:54.260 happened to
00:48:54.720 me so I
00:48:55.180 had two
00:48:55.720 restaurants at
00:48:56.520 one point
00:48:57.000 I was a
00:48:57.640 co-owner
00:48:58.040 and one
00:49:00.360 of the
00:49:00.600 restaurants
00:49:01.100 right across
00:49:02.120 the street
00:49:02.760 they opened
00:49:03.860 a mall
00:49:04.720 of restaurants
00:49:06.720 it was a
00:49:08.860 mall of
00:49:10.140 nothing but
00:49:10.680 restaurants
00:49:11.300 an entire
00:49:12.460 complex of
00:49:14.200 nothing but
00:49:14.980 competitors
00:49:15.560 to me across
00:49:17.280 the street
00:49:17.800 who had no
00:49:18.760 competitors until
00:49:19.620 then not
00:49:20.640 within walking
00:49:21.220 distance.
00:49:22.140 So I had a
00:49:22.480 restaurant that
00:49:23.080 was in a
00:49:23.440 busy area
00:49:24.180 but you
00:49:25.020 couldn't even
00:49:25.520 walk from
00:49:26.980 that restaurant
00:49:27.680 I don't
00:49:28.020 think
00:49:28.420 yeah you
00:49:29.620 couldn't even
00:49:29.980 walk to
00:49:30.500 another
00:49:30.760 restaurant it
00:49:31.320 was that
00:49:31.560 far away from
00:49:32.200 another one
00:49:32.600 and directly
00:49:33.280 across the
00:49:33.880 street not
00:49:35.000 just a good
00:49:35.580 restaurant not
00:49:37.100 just a couple
00:49:37.780 of competitors
00:49:38.480 which of course
00:49:39.240 I would have
00:49:39.680 expected but a
00:49:41.120 mall of
00:49:42.300 restaurants I
00:49:43.920 didn't even
00:49:44.320 know that was a
00:49:44.940 thing have you
00:49:45.620 ever heard of a
00:49:46.280 mall of
00:49:47.200 restaurants who
00:49:49.600 has that
00:49:50.320 happened to
00:49:50.780 anyway the
00:49:52.320 point is that
00:49:53.260 the small
00:49:53.640 restaurants were
00:49:54.360 doomed anyway
00:49:55.660 it was a
00:49:56.080 matter of
00:49:56.420 time so
00:49:58.100 the long
00:49:59.040 term economic
00:50:00.380 fallout from
00:50:01.780 this is going
00:50:02.920 to be less
00:50:03.520 than you think
00:50:04.180 not more
00:50:04.860 because the
00:50:06.180 things that
00:50:06.680 failed were
00:50:07.320 going to fail
00:50:07.920 and they
00:50:08.200 weren't making
00:50:08.620 much money
00:50:09.100 anyway so
00:50:10.940 maybe some
00:50:11.620 of those
00:50:11.940 people got
00:50:12.600 were free to
00:50:14.480 work on
00:50:14.860 something more
00:50:15.420 productive
00:50:15.860 something that
00:50:16.940 had more
00:50:17.240 lasting
00:50:17.700 ability
00:50:18.560 all right
00:50:21.500 cheesecake
00:50:23.540 factory next
00:50:24.520 to malls is
00:50:25.460 bankrupt yeah
00:50:26.160 if you put a
00:50:27.200 cheesecake factory
00:50:28.120 in a mall and
00:50:29.160 the mall itself
00:50:29.920 died you do
00:50:32.280 have some big
00:50:32.960 problems
00:50:33.420 all right
00:50:38.400 you got lots
00:50:39.940 of comments
00:50:40.380 today but I
00:50:42.540 don't have much
00:50:43.000 else to say
00:50:43.640 it's sort of a
00:50:44.740 weirdly slow
00:50:45.700 news day
00:50:46.320 has anybody
00:50:47.180 seen Joe
00:50:47.800 Biden lately
00:50:48.460 no
00:50:49.760 all right
00:50:54.120 that's all for
00:50:54.640 now and I
00:50:55.180 will talk to
00:50:55.640 you later