Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 02, 2020


Episode 1111 Scott Adams： Portland Mayhem, CDC Death Counts, Crazy Bernie's Bad Math, Worst Criticisms, Middle East Peace


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 7 minutes

Words per Minute

151.97162

Word Count

10,267

Sentence Count

1

Misogynist Sentences

8

Hate Speech Sentences

4


Summary


Transcript

00:00:00.000 hey everybody come on in come on in you know it's gonna be a tremendous coffee
00:00:19.320 with Scott Adams possibly the kickoff to an amazing day we'll see about that a
00:00:25.120 lot of that's on you but I'll do what I can and that's a lot which is to give you the
00:00:31.420 entertainment which is this following hour started by the simultaneous sip and
00:00:36.040 all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or chalice or stein a canteen
00:00:39.760 jug or flask of a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like
00:00:45.040 coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine hit of
00:00:49.480 the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip
00:00:55.060 and it's happening right now go
00:01:05.160 I would like to begin this wonderful hour by reading you this little story which I
00:01:10.420 just received from my secret source deeply embedded in rural America and it goes
00:01:19.840 like this somebody named Miller 36 of Tannersville this is the area that I grew
00:01:26.920 up in upstate New York was driving a UPS truck on August 21st when it struck two
00:01:34.060 parked cars in the city according to Hudson police but then apparently the truck
00:01:39.600 continued on two police vehicles and a bicycle patrol officer responded to a 9-11
00:01:45.940 report and located the truck at the corner of north blah blah blah following the
00:01:51.680 accident now here's the good part Hudson police officer Randy Stratman jumped on to
00:01:58.960 the moving UPS truck turned off the ignition to stop the vehicle and
00:02:04.120 administered two doses of Narcan to Miller the driver meaning that the driver of the
00:02:12.040 the the the UPS truck probably was suffering an overdose probably fentanyl and was asleep in
00:02:21.340 the truck while the truck was careening through traffic a police officer jumped on a moving UPS truck just
00:02:31.000 like Indiana frickin Jones turns it off controls the truck and administers a
00:02:38.660 life-saving Narcan to the driver now here's what I'd like to suggest I don't
00:02:45.340 know if a social worker could have pulled that off you know what I mean you know
00:02:50.580 that this is a this is a sort of stuff that's literally happening every single
00:02:55.040 day all over America where there are police officers running toward trouble
00:02:59.500 jumping on moving vehicles and saving lives every day don't hear about much
00:03:05.980 about this but I give you that as your little array of good news want some more
00:03:11.520 okay more good news okay here it comes
00:03:16.020 Saudi Saudi Arabia has apparently given the green light for Israel to UAE flights
00:03:25.380 the civil kind not not a military one of course now it happened just a few times because there
00:03:32.700 were a few specific flights that they exempted one of them had Jared Kushner on it but then
00:03:39.380 apparently they talked about it and move that into a more of a permanent situation but here's the fun
00:03:46.180 part this is from Netanyahu so he was talking about it and called it historic big breakthrough
00:03:53.620 you know you're probably thinking to yourself is that really a big breakthrough to be able to fly over a
00:04:01.060 country that's it you just have permission to fly a commercial flight over somebody's country yeah turns out that's a pretty big deal
00:04:11.500 because in this case it shortens the route to the point where it makes tourism much less expensive so it is so it
00:04:20.440 actually has a specific and immediate economic stimulus component but that's not the fun part
00:04:27.540 uh so Netanyahu said and I quote these are the fruits of peace he said predicting that quote
00:04:36.260 more good news would be coming now when you say more good news will be coming and your prime minister
00:04:44.440 you don't say that unless you know more good news is coming meaning that things are really starting to
00:04:52.200 shape up in the Middle East why is this not the biggest story in the world it's political season
00:04:58.420 and it's something that is not just good from Trump but one of the best things ever I think you could make
00:05:06.260 the argument already that Trump is the best president the United States has ever had for international
00:05:13.640 relations now the counter argument to that is but wait what about those countries that don't respect us as much
00:05:21.940 anymore um I don't know is that costing me money how did that affect me are they not taking our phone
00:05:32.720 calls because I think they're taking our phone calls are they not doing trade deals with us because they
00:05:38.940 think origin man bad no I haven't heard any reporting on that I think countries do whatever is in their best
00:05:46.640 interest in this case what's in the best interest of the Middle East was working with the United States
00:05:52.820 productively to get what looks like the beginning of something that could be lasting and good so uh you
00:06:02.180 know we're in a world where it's hard to know what is true and all of our information is bad but I feel as
00:06:09.380 though historians are gonna conclude that Trump was the best president just in the first four years
00:06:16.580 it wouldn't even matter what happens after this but just the first four years I think would be the
00:06:22.600 most successful presidency for international stuff for domestic stuff you could still make your arguments
00:06:30.320 here's something that only I would say in public that's why you have me there's some things that
00:06:39.580 only I will say in public you ready you know all those are retail businesses that are being driven out of
00:06:46.820 business by the the riots they were not good businesses and by that I don't mean that they all lost
00:06:54.680 money although most of them probably were operating close to break even but they were businesses that
00:07:00.700 were going to go on a business maybe this year maybe next year maybe five years but Amazon was going to
00:07:08.060 polish off all of those companies any retail store you know the exceptions would be maybe an Apple store but
00:07:16.060 that's that's such an exception that um most of these smaller retails smaller restaurants they were all
00:07:23.640 going to go on a business and here's the thing that I don't think we fully incorporated into our
00:07:30.180 economic estimates a lot of the small retail places especially the small independent restaurants
00:07:37.320 are basically criminal organizations
00:07:40.040 this is why I'm the only one who will say this small businesses like to do a thing I call not pay their taxes
00:07:49.660 now uh or they you know they'll hire a lot of illegal workers restaurants especially so what what
00:08:00.340 happened that just demolished all those downtown restaurants probably was just an acceleration of
00:08:07.680 something that was going to happen probably doesn't have nearly the economic impact that you think it
00:08:13.560 does except unemployment and uh and I think that the city is probably we're going to have less foot traffic
00:08:22.100 anyway because all the other things happening the rich people moving away so I feel like the stock market is
00:08:29.620 not crazy to be so high lately despite what looks like you know trouble on the ground because I think the stock
00:08:37.680 market realizes that you know if Amazon and Apple are making money like crazy but that little restaurant on the
00:08:44.520 corner went from breakeven only by cheating on their taxes to non-existent
00:08:50.700 probably those people are going to find work as something that's maybe a better thing
00:08:57.380 you know the the short-term disruption is devastating so I don't want to minimize the impact on the
00:09:04.160 the impact on the humans who are involved with those businesses it's extreme and it's you know life
00:09:09.400 ruining in many cases but if you're looking at the the larger economy it's a brutal economy people go out of
00:09:17.480 business all the time it's just that it when it's distributed across the country you don't notice
00:09:23.420 when it's concentrated on one main street well then you notice but it's not worse than sort of the
00:09:30.580 the baseline of companies going out of business all over the place as a normal part of capitalism
00:09:36.200 so I don't want to act happy that anybody's going out of business I'm just saying it's
00:09:43.200 it's accelerating a trend that was going to happen
00:09:45.380 another I think well never mind
00:09:52.080 I'm noticing that Republicans are using a phrase I hadn't seen as much of before
00:09:59.940 they're saying that the Democrats have made a devil's bargain with the progressives a devil's bargain
00:10:07.220 watch how much satanic imagery comes out of the Biden Kamala Harris campaign again just sort of a fun
00:10:18.020 coincidence by the way I I tricked another a couple of publications into running a story about me
00:10:24.180 believing that Satan is behind the Biden campaign so every time they do a headpiece on me so there's
00:10:32.440 another one this morning a hip piece on me they don't quite know what's going on because first of all
00:10:39.060 I don't know if they know that they've changed the story from me saying explicitly I don't believe
00:10:45.320 that Satan exists they've changed it all the way to I'm promoting Satan being part of the Biden campaign
00:10:51.740 literally the opposite of what I said but I did it intentionally I allowed them to take me out of context
00:11:00.280 I created it so that they could do it easily not because they were fooled but because they're bad people
00:11:07.100 and they would take it out of context which they did so so now when I see a hip piece like that
00:11:14.040 that is falling into my trap I just retweet it you can't fall you can't fail harder at a hit piece
00:11:23.160 than to have the target of your hit piece just retweet it that's it just retweets it that's as hard as
00:11:30.440 you can fail all right 81 Nobel Prize winners endorsed Joe Biden for president in an open letter 81 Nobel Prize
00:11:43.260 winners wow smart capable people the best and 81 of them all Nobel Prize winners and they all think
00:11:53.060 that Biden is is better but let's see what are the reasons because if you've got 81 Nobel Prize winners
00:12:00.040 and they offer their reasons these are going to be good reasons I mean these are not we're not talking
00:12:06.960 about a bunch of idiots these are smart people the best best humanity has to offer so when I read
00:12:14.840 their reasons to you for supporting by it Biden I think you'll find them quite quite brilliant so sit
00:12:23.220 down because sometimes this level of brilliance can blind you momentarily so if you were operating
00:12:31.320 a motor vehicle just pull over to the side of the road because I'm going to give you some brilliance
00:12:37.320 that honestly I was thinking of wearing sunglasses just to read this but I think we can get away with
00:12:42.920 it just you know playing it straight all right uh the reasons that the 81 Nobel Prize winners give is
00:12:49.220 that uh Biden has a willingness to listen to experts okay that part's stupid because literally every
00:12:58.360 president listens to experts there's never been one that didn't listen to experts there never will be
00:13:04.220 one that doesn't listen to experts so the first part's kind of a throwaway um that's obviously not
00:13:11.300 the brilliant part because like I said these are 81 Nobel Prize winners so they're not going to rest on
00:13:18.940 you know unwilling to listen to experts when that's the stupidest thing you could ever say in public
00:13:23.560 so it's the second part where the brilliance comes out here it goes um and he has Joe Biden has a deep
00:13:30.340 appreciation for using science to find solutions okay let me look a little further in the paragraph
00:13:37.920 because I'm looking for the smart part um because I know they wouldn't just say he has a deep
00:13:44.320 appreciation for using science because again that would be literally every living human being
00:13:51.240 would fall under this description Trump Biden strangers people you've never met people with
00:14:00.360 severe brain damage people in other countries people have never been to school people have been to
00:14:06.040 school people who have PhDs people who will never have PhDs pretty much a hundred percent of all
00:14:13.360 humanity has a deep appreciation for using science to finding solutions so there must be something else
00:14:20.080 what's in this paragraph where they get to the smart part uh oh that's the end of the paragraph huh
00:14:26.240 huh i i i guess what they're telling us is that the nobel prize is no longer prestigious
00:14:34.680 uh i i actually wanted to get a nobel prize until i read this and now i see that there's not really
00:14:42.960 any point to it they've actually ruined the prestige of the nobel prize now by the way i had this same
00:14:50.800 experience um when i was younger i i always wished because i'm in sort of a writing business i wish that
00:14:58.960 i could win a pulitzer prize because imagine how cool that would be right i mean just for the bragging it's
00:15:04.880 like uh yeah i don't like to brag about it but i did win a pulitzer prize you know i always wanted
00:15:13.280 to be able to say that or have other people introduce me as pulitzer prize winning cartoonist
00:15:20.560 scott adams and i thought that would be pretty pretty cool and i felt that until i met somebody who
00:15:30.000 told me how the pulitzer prize committee works it's just people who read books and pick the one they
00:15:35.440 liked that's it it's just a small group of people who read some books that have been submitted it's
00:15:42.640 not all the books in the world just the people who fill down an application and said i think my work
00:15:48.320 is so good it should be considered and then a small group of people who read their stuff and say
00:15:53.200 which one do you like i kind of like this one that's it winning the pulitzer prize has no prestige
00:16:02.160 nothing there's just there's just nothing to recommend about that award except somehow we got
00:16:08.160 it in our heads that it's important it isn't it's just several people read some books and they decided
00:16:13.200 which one they like that's it likewise when i won uh the top award in cartooning it's called the rubin it's
00:16:22.640 like the academy award for cartoonists and one year and i'd you know lusted after it when i was a
00:16:29.040 new cartoonist i thought if only someday i could win the top award in cartooning my life would be
00:16:36.880 complete and one day i won the top two awards the top award for a cartoon strip but also the same year
00:16:45.440 i won the top award for all cartoonists of any kind the number one in the entire world and after
00:16:52.800 i won it i realized oh it's just because i had a good year financially basically i made a lot of noise
00:17:00.720 i was in the press the award committee said you know what would be good if we nominate somebody who's
00:17:07.200 already getting a lot of attention and then we'll have more attendance at our event that was it it had
00:17:13.760 nothing to do with the quality of my work it had everything to do with the fact that it was
00:17:18.560 unusually commercially valuable that year that was sort of a peak period for commercial success of
00:17:25.840 dilbert i thought okay well that's off the list so now i have no respect whatsoever for the top award
00:17:33.120 in cartooning because i won it took all took all the value out of it uh i have no respect for the
00:17:39.920 pulitzer prize because it's just some people saying what book they like that's it and now 81 nobel prize
00:17:46.480 winners just came out with the dumbest open letter in all the world and i just looked at it and said
00:17:53.920 if that's all it takes to be a nobel prize winner is to be this dumb i'm not sure i want one of those
00:18:00.800 either so didn't expect that to happen here i made a list um to help you identify all the dumb people
00:18:09.200 so you don't have to interact with them so these are these are the complaints about trump that if
00:18:14.880 you see any of these you can just stop listening to whoever is talking or tweeting all right if
00:18:21.600 somebody says that trump doesn't believe in science just stop listening just walk away nothing that
00:18:29.280 somebody says after that sentence is worth listening to likewise doesn't listen to experts basically the
00:18:36.560 same thing don't listen to anything anybody says after they say that how about this one trump is
00:18:42.480 unwilling to do his job what unwilling to do his job if you hear somebody say that just walk away
00:18:52.400 you don't need to hear anything else they say after that moreover you should actively try to forget
00:18:59.840 anything they said before that just in case you inadvertently believe in any of it because somebody who is
00:19:06.080 so dumb that they would say and it doesn't matter if you talk about trump or any other human if you
00:19:12.000 say they're unwilling to do their job once they're president because a lot of people are watching right
00:19:19.200 they're doing their job trump obama it doesn't matter who you're talking about by the time you become
00:19:25.520 president you're willing to do the job you didn't get there by being lazy or not caring how about this one
00:19:32.480 he only cares about himself that's one that you can just say ah i'm out anybody who could say something
00:19:42.320 that monumentally stupid that he only cares about himself there's no such thing as a president whose
00:19:50.400 personal fate is disconnected from the fate of the country he is running or she is running you can't
00:19:58.240 disconnect those things it's the most transparent job in the entire world there's no job more transparent
00:20:05.440 we're looking at everything trump is doing everything we see it all and how in the world would anybody be
00:20:14.480 in that job and think you know i think i'll do some stuff that's just good for me bad for the country
00:20:21.440 good for me i don't think anybody will notice that's not a thing the president knows with dead
00:20:30.080 certainty i don't have to be a mind reader i just have to know that the president has an iq over 20
00:20:36.800 because anybody with an iq over 20 i might be exaggerating a little bit knows that they have to
00:20:43.360 do a good job for the country the entire world is watching every minute of every day we're all watching
00:20:50.240 he doesn't have that option of i think i'll just do something that's good for me that's not a thing
00:20:55.760 even when the president goes golfing again i don't care if it's clinton or obama or trump
00:21:02.400 do you want your leader to have some time you know with his own head get outdoors to clear his mind
00:21:11.280 maybe meet a few people that he wouldn't have time to talk to otherwise yeah you should want that
00:21:17.600 and you should want him to do it a copious amount because it's good for him does he still work hard
00:21:24.400 enough yes yes he works hard enough he works really hard it's obvious all right the other ones that are
00:21:32.720 crazy is he's a dictator when a hundred percent of what we observe uh violates that assumption or that
00:21:40.080 he's a racist when again everything we observe shows that he cares about people who are citizens
00:21:47.600 more than those who are not but beyond that that's it that's it that's his whole preference and he
00:21:55.200 prefers people who obey the law of course but if you do those two things you're a citizen and you obey the
00:22:01.680 law he likes you and not just a little bit ask herschel walker does he like herschel walker yeah
00:22:11.120 yeah for years and years and years now am i saying that because trump has a black friend no trump has a
00:22:18.880 lot of black friends people he's worked with people who've given him awards you know he has a very deep
00:22:26.080 relationship with a lot of different people uh all right and here's here's my favorite one
00:22:32.240 and i tweeted this if your main criticism of your opponent is chaos that that's what's wrong with your
00:22:39.120 opponent they're bringing chaos you don't really have a complaint what you have there is a perception
00:22:45.760 problem if you're saying somebody else is all about the chaos that's not really a statement about the
00:22:53.040 other person that's sort of a public confession that you don't understand things well enough to
00:22:59.840 go to know what's going on it's more about the limits of your own ability to understand the world
00:23:06.240 and here's why chaos isn't something that one person brings to the situation chaos is the situation
00:23:14.480 the world is chaos all the time if you knew what was going to happen would you need the news
00:23:25.440 why would there be a news industry if we already knew what was going to happen
00:23:30.240 the whole reason that we're having this conversation and a lot of you are finding out things you know this
00:23:35.840 morning in the news and maybe some of you hearing it from me for the first time it's because you didn't
00:23:41.200 know it was going to happen that's what the news is stuff you didn't know was going to happen for the
00:23:47.120 most part and if you don't know it's going to happen it's chaos so just putting a clever word on
00:23:55.840 it and labeling it doesn't change the fact that the world is unpredictable all the time do you think you
00:24:03.360 could hire or elect a president who would make the chaos go away i hope not because if the chaos goes
00:24:12.720 away we're all dead the only way you could have no chaos is to literally be dead because the world
00:24:19.280 serves up a lot of chaos you hope that you have a president who knows how to deal with it
00:24:24.240 and one way not to deal with all the chaos is to really dig into all the details i i have much less
00:24:34.800 respect for the presidents who try to master all the details of the topics i know that sounds
00:24:41.120 counterintuitive you think well scott that's exactly what you need isn't it don't you want the president
00:24:46.800 who really gets into the the nuts and bolts really digs in a little bit deeper no no
00:24:54.080 you want that kind of person who has like if somebody works in a cubicle you want somebody
00:24:59.600 who can really dig into the details because that's your job if you work in a cubicle i'm not disparaging
00:25:06.240 people working in cubicles i spent much of my career there i'm just saying that that's a different job
00:25:13.040 some people's job it is to get into the details other people are sitting on top of this giant ball of
00:25:20.240 you know chaos let's call it and they're trying to nudge the chaos in intelligent ways whenever
00:25:28.720 there's an opportunity and understanding all the details of all the chaos would be the least
00:25:35.200 predictive productive thing you could do it's not what a leader does it's what the cubicle does the
00:25:41.920 cubicle can dig in but they only dig into their topic the cubicle that's one cubicle over they also dig
00:25:48.880 again but only to their topic because the level of complexity soon would overwhelm anybody if you
00:25:54.400 don't chunk it down to its smallest part so the last thing you want is a leader who's obsessing over
00:26:00.960 the details you just can't lead that way you you know you wish that were possible but that's wishful
00:26:07.440 thinking uh instead you have leaders who are dealing with do i trust this person does the general thrust of
00:26:15.600 this fit with my philosophy is this something i could fix if i break it is this something that
00:26:22.080 will cause maybe a predictable problem uh if i go this way versus that it's a risk management situation
00:26:29.360 a lot of it is guessing a lot of its intuition so anybody who is operating at the child level
00:26:36.880 that says that a candidate is bringing chaos when in fact chaos is the canvas uh they're not really a
00:26:46.640 good observer uh i've noticed this this correlation anecdotally and i want to see if you can notice it
00:26:55.840 as i've famously called out the democrats who come out come after me on twitter uh if they say completely
00:27:03.360 irrational things and i check their profile they're usually artists of some kind and you can tell
00:27:09.840 they're an artist because their comments depart from rational thought so so uh grotesquely but there's
00:27:18.000 another category because not all democrats and not all critics of the trump are are artists some of them
00:27:25.520 have jobs where they've learned critical thinking what do the people who have actually learned critical
00:27:31.600 thinking let's say your economists your lawyers your your business people um there are lots of other
00:27:37.840 jobs but ones who actually have skill and experience in critical thinking and risk management what do they
00:27:45.040 say when they come after me i will give you an example sure dilbert or well that's from the cartoonist
00:27:55.840 that's it they give the they just do sarcasm as if that says everything that needs to be said well there's
00:28:05.600 the cartoonist nothing else needs to be said and i want you to see if you find that correlation so check
00:28:14.160 profiles when somebody comes at you with nothing but sarcasm and see if this pattern holds i don't know
00:28:20.400 if it will but it might just see if the critical thinkers use sarcasm and the artists try to use logic
00:28:29.520 but it's not working for them all right there's a i guess ran paul has called for uh the subpoena of
00:28:39.280 antifa's plane records and hotel records and travel and stuff to find out who's funding antifa
00:28:45.600 and i think that's everything you know it feels to me it's too early to know but it feels to me that
00:28:56.400 if we find out who's funding at least the primary agitators that you know get everybody else going
00:29:03.120 it only takes a small number of people to get the rest of the crowd you know going in some direction
00:29:09.280 so just for clarification nobody believes that all of antifa are being paid to be there there are no
00:29:18.400 there are no conservatives who believe that no republicans nobody on twitter nobody's ever suggested
00:29:26.000 that all the blm or all of the antifa or even most are being paid to be there clearly not the case
00:29:34.160 the the assertion is the allegation if you will that there's a high likelihood based on
00:29:42.720 evidence a high likelihood there's some number of them some colonel of them small colonel are paid
00:29:50.560 professional agitators and it would be good to know who's paying them because they might be the
00:29:54.960 ones who are driving the animal spirits of the rest
00:29:57.440 so ran paul continues to be one of the most productive members of congress seemingly being
00:30:05.760 the only person who's willing to do useful things on a regular basis
00:30:11.360 i don't know what to say about this like how many times have i told you there was a good thing
00:30:17.120 happening and then the name attached to it was ran paul it's a fairly common event and and i say to
00:30:25.360 myself aren't there a lot of other people in congress like why is it all the smart stuff comes
00:30:30.320 from just a handful of people it's pretty consistent so nancy pelosi's got some political trouble she was
00:30:40.880 caught on security camera indoors getting her hair blown out some kind of a wash and a blow for her hair
00:30:49.280 now i guess the shop was closed to other people but she was in the shop and she had her mask off
00:30:57.200 and so she got a lot of pushback from that i guess her response was that she didn't know it was wrong
00:31:04.560 now here's my opinion about that don't care at all i don't care even a little bit that nancy pelosi
00:31:13.360 was indoors when other people are not allowed indoors you know because it's against the rules
00:31:20.240 and i don't mind that she didn't have her mask off when she was getting this particular treatment
00:31:25.760 by the way a lot of personal services such as massages it's not that uncommon for the
00:31:32.320 the provider to have a mask as in nancy's case but the person receiving the service to not have a mask
00:31:39.360 depending on what the service is uh for example um but in most cases when you can wear a mask it's
00:31:48.000 recommended now i i and the reason the reason i'm not going to climb all over pelosi for what is
00:31:56.400 being called massive hypocrisy is not because it isn't it is it's massive hypocrisy but it's also not
00:32:04.160 important and i would like to establish the belief that the leaders of our country should not be treated
00:32:15.040 like the rest of us i don't think that's wrong i believe that nancy pelosi should be able to get
00:32:23.360 her hair done indoors because she's the speaker of the house and you know there are things that you
00:32:32.480 can't do on the sidewalk if you're the speaker of the house now if everybody else was on the sidewalk
00:32:38.560 they're anonymous people walk by that's fine it's safe it's good enough but if you're the president
00:32:43.920 of the united states or you're the you know you're the speaker of the house or you're rand paul yeah
00:32:50.800 that's okay with me if they take you you alone because being indoors the problem is not just indoors
00:32:57.840 the problem is indoors with lots of people if you take nancy indoors with one person who's wearing
00:33:03.360 a mask and let's say that nancy has been tested she probably has been recently it's not the biggest
00:33:11.120 risk in the world and she is safer indoors than she would be outdoors you know i i get that other people
00:33:20.320 say hey other people we did our own hair we worked it out but she's also in her 80s i don't know can
00:33:27.200 she do her own hair being in her 80s is a bigger problem to me than the fact she got her hair blown
00:33:33.600 out so i would like to be consistent because there's no way in the world there won't be
00:33:38.960 you know republicans and other people who get caught without masks etc you know maybe it'll happen to me
00:33:46.320 you know maybe i'll get caught on some video without a mask or something and it's just i can't get i can't
00:33:52.720 get interested in it all right but i understand it's a fun story in a political season um chicago
00:34:01.200 police released surveillance video of suspects looting the store and they're asking for help
00:34:07.840 identifying them now the people that they're showing are uh don't have masks on some do but most of them
00:34:15.440 don't now what do you tell yourself when you see that chicago is asking the public to help them
00:34:23.760 identify the pictures that they're publishing presumably online i don't know if it's in any
00:34:28.800 newspapers too what does that tell you think think through what do you know is true if chicago is
00:34:38.400 printing photos of people and saying public can you identify them here's what you know is true chicago
00:34:49.120 are really really incompetent do you know how hard it would be to identify every person in that photo
00:34:57.120 here's how hard it would be all right i'm going to demonstrate this this will be the entire effort
00:35:03.680 to identify every single one within two seconds so the entire time to identify every picture
00:35:13.520 my claim is sub two seconds and it looks let me demonstrate it looks like this
00:35:20.160 let's say this is the picture now this is my phone and i look at the picture and i push this button
00:35:28.320 and then their face comes up and i've identified them you can do that with an app it's an app that
00:35:36.240 law enforcement uses routinely in other places what this tells me is that chicago for whatever reason
00:35:46.240 is the only place that's not buying an easily purchasable app that every law enforcement person knows
00:35:53.520 about knows how to get knows how to use literally it's this easy point your phone at the picture you
00:36:00.240 don't even have to paint point it at the person point it at a photo press one button done the name of
00:36:08.560 the person appears on your phone almost every time close to 100 now what's wrong with chicago
00:36:17.200 that they can't buy this little app well obviously there's somebody who told them that
00:36:25.200 here here i'm speculating a little bit so i feel like i'm speculating responsibly but it's speculation
00:36:31.680 so i don't want to i don't want to sell this as fact they have to not be using these apps
00:36:38.320 clearview is the the leader in that field they're obviously not using clearview why not
00:36:44.160 why not what is the difference between using that app and getting their answer in two seconds
00:36:51.760 versus publishing these in public and asking the public to identify them which probably will work
00:36:58.240 it's just really really hard it's crazy yeah facial recognition would have them in two seconds
00:37:05.520 and when i say two seconds that's not an exaggeration the app doesn't even have to sit there and process
00:37:11.840 it's actually two seconds now and some of the apps are better than others at recognizing african
00:37:19.280 american faces i think clearviews might be the leader in getting that right but of course you
00:37:25.120 still have to verify you don't want to you don't want to trust the app for the final final uh
00:37:30.720 identification but it tells you where to look all right uh there's a report that the number of people
00:37:38.400 looking for divorces was 34 higher from march to june ouch and the data shows that 31 of the
00:37:47.680 couples admitted lockdown has caused irreparable damage to their relationships 31 of couples believe
00:37:58.560 they have irreparable damage to their relationship irreparable this is going to tear apart the
00:38:06.480 you know the nature of uh society now i always had a theory that part of a successful relationship
00:38:14.800 is distance in other words the fact that uh let's say one of the adults goes off and works all day
00:38:22.160 uh or maybe both of the adults go off and work all day is probably a really healthy thing because if
00:38:28.160 you're in each other's business all the time that can cause some tension and it looks like we've
00:38:35.040 proved proven that i've said before that the um the nuclear family needs to be not eliminated that's
00:38:43.600 black lives matters ideas sort of get rid of the nuclear family i think if i have that right i hope
00:38:48.800 i have that right um i've said something compatible with that but different which is that it shouldn't be
00:38:55.440 the only model because so many people won't be able to achieve it not everybody can have a nuclear
00:39:01.680 family sometimes it requires a certain amount of money sometimes you've got to be lucky you know to
00:39:07.520 get the right person there there's a lot that can go wrong with the nuclear family but if it works for
00:39:12.720 you i would agree that for those families where it works it's tremendous it'd be hard to beat as a
00:39:21.200 organizing principle but we do need something for the people who can't make that work
00:39:25.600 um and i think that shows it joy reed uh i don't think she'll get cancelled because she's on the side
00:39:33.440 that doesn't try to cancel itself as much as it cancels other people but she's being accused of being uh
00:39:41.280 islamophobic i guess uh who who accused her that oh uh ilan omar representative omar
00:39:49.360 actually said she said of joy reed honestly this kind of casual islamophobia is hurtful and dangerous
00:39:58.800 we deserve better need an apology etc so what is it that joy reed said that would cause her own side
00:40:06.720 to try to cancel her how bad was it well let me read it she said leaders let's say in the muslim world
00:40:15.840 talk uh talk uh talk a lot of violent talk and encourage their supporters to be willing to
00:40:20.800 commit violence including on their own bodies in order to win against whoever they decide is the enemy
00:40:26.480 and she said other things uh so she got in trouble for comparing muslims to republicans
00:40:35.600 i think because the next part of this was she was saying about uh radicalizing supporters
00:40:41.520 so so joy reed might get cancelled or at least she's getting in trouble for comparing muslims to
00:40:51.840 republicans is could that be any better is there anything more entertaining than watching joy reed
00:41:00.400 get cancelled by ilan omar for comparing muslims to republicans that's just everything
00:41:06.400 the the the the whole the whole year 2020 was just put into that one little package
00:41:14.080 if you only needed to know that one thing you'd know how the rest of the year went
00:41:18.880 all right here's my problem with intersectionality and critical race theory
00:41:25.920 two categories of things which i am no expert on but i'll just ask this question
00:41:31.680 isn't the guaranteed end result of those things that we keep carving each other into smaller and
00:41:40.080 smaller categories until everybody has a reason to hate everybody how else can it go because i would
00:41:48.480 love to hear the thinking that says how this brings us to a better place it certainly brings us to
00:41:56.080 um it's certainly good to talk about you know racism and sexism and all those things and try to deal
00:42:03.120 with them as practically as we can but if the moment you've dealt with it and you said okay okay we're
00:42:09.840 doing the best we can to let's say make the world just as good for black people and white people
00:42:18.000 of course we're not there but let's say we're doing a good job on that the next thing that happens is
00:42:23.200 well what about black people who are also muslims and then you say all right all right that's a new
00:42:31.600 category it feels like every time you slice the category well what about if you're black a muslim
00:42:41.200 and gay okay okay we better do something about that category i don't see how you ever take this
00:42:48.800 philosophy to a good end point it feels like it's a it's one direction to complete destruction and i
00:42:56.640 don't i can't even conceive of the exit path i don't see the exit path where where things get better and
00:43:05.120 better and then you reach a good place i i'd love to have somebody explain to me the thinking behind
00:43:11.760 that because i think like most left versus right differences it doesn't take into account human
00:43:18.720 motivation it doesn't take into account human psychology or the way an average person thinks or
00:43:25.520 acts this is the thing that the conservatives consistently get right and the left consistently
00:43:32.400 gets wrong which is forgetting the humans will always act like humans if you design a system that can't work
00:43:39.600 work for humans don't be surprised if it doesn't work i mean why would that be surprising
00:43:49.200 all right bernie sanders said one of the dumber things you'll ever hear
00:43:53.520 um he said this the mainstream media doesn't talk about it space space space congress doesn't talk about
00:44:01.520 it space space space trump doesn't talk about it space space space but three multi-billionaires now own more
00:44:11.040 wealth than the bottom half of our society and he goes he suggests that that would be very very bad
00:44:20.800 now here's what's wrong with that now i've i've described myself as being left to bernie
00:44:27.680 but with this special uh caveat that i'm also good at math i use good at math as a proxy for a good at
00:44:36.480 thinking good at logic and i'm not like the world's best at any of those things i'm just better than bernie
00:44:44.720 so i can see the obvious idiocy that he brings to the table and here's the problem
00:44:50.240 um suppose nobody knew how much money those billionaires had it's just here's a mental
00:44:57.920 experiment all right so bernie has said it's a real problem that three billionaires have as much as
00:45:03.440 the bottom half of the entire united states that's an amazing statistic it's like it's you know mind
00:45:10.400 numbingly jaw-droppingly amazing but imagine a world where you just didn't know they existed
00:45:20.080 exactly like they exist now the only difference is you didn't know how much money they had
00:45:27.120 would you be worse off it doesn't make any sense if the only reason we're complaining about it is that
00:45:33.680 we know about it but there's nothing underlying in terms of it won't hurt you if you didn't know about
00:45:39.600 it why is this his biggest problem why is he raising this in a time of you know great uncertainty in
00:45:48.160 this world and you know problems that are as big as any problems we've ever had why is he raising the
00:45:54.080 only problem i can think of where if you literally didn't know it existed you would never find out
00:46:00.560 because nothing would go wrong in fact you'd be hearing bill gates is you know giving away hundreds
00:46:07.440 of millions of dollars and uh curing malaria or polio or some damn thing in africa and you'd hear that
00:46:14.320 story and you say huh i wonder how he's paying for it but would you be unhappy that bill gates was you
00:46:22.640 know curing a disease in africa no no you'd be kind of happy about it you just wouldn't know how he paid
00:46:27.680 for it would you be unhappy if you found that elon musk had figured out not only a way to go to mars
00:46:35.040 but he had created an entire competitive space industry which makes the future of the earth
00:46:42.880 possibly far better than it would have been without our ability to someday you know effectively leave
00:46:50.480 our gravity force gravitational force what what would you think about that if you didn't know that
00:46:57.360 that elon musk was worth billions and all you knew is that he was a guy who opened up space
00:47:04.160 he was a guy who built a network of solar um shingles for your house that could work into your your battery
00:47:14.640 which someday might be part of a solution for green energy that would make the world a better place
00:47:21.200 suppose you didn't know he was a billionaire but you knew he did all of those things would you be less
00:47:27.360 happy what exactly is sanders talking about other than jealousy does sanders understand that the
00:47:36.720 money that the billionaires own is being used yeah jeff bezos ownership of amazon is still mostly in the
00:47:45.680 stock that's why he's so rich it's in the stock if if bezos pulled his money out of the stock
00:47:52.880 what would he do with it would he buy more food for himself no he probably eats all the food he needs
00:48:01.760 to stay fed there's a limit to how many things a rich guy can buy you know bezos got his got his yacht
00:48:09.760 which he probably hardly ever uses and he'll be tired of it and then he'll get rid of it but he got one
00:48:15.200 billionaires don't really have a way to consume
00:48:17.840 the wealth they have they have to put it into something that benefits the economy they have to
00:48:23.440 they don't really have an option so he has to put it in stock where it's bolstering you know the
00:48:28.320 market in different ways or you put it in the bank and then the bank can you know use that for lending
00:48:34.160 but money doesn't just sit in a mattress these billionaires aren't sitting on a gigantic pile of
00:48:40.560 dollar bills it's in their money is in the system working they're the ones who are funding
00:48:47.680 startups you know where where do all of your uh you know important startups come from they come from
00:48:55.120 some billionaire who who said well i can put a million dollars into this startup it might work
00:49:00.880 it might not but i got an extra million i don't care so for bernie not to understand the most basic
00:49:08.720 basic basic stuff about economics is really embarrassing all right uh and
00:49:19.040 bernie goes on to say that that level of inequality is immoral and unsustainable
00:49:25.520 but again if you didn't know they had the money it wouldn't make any difference at all
00:49:30.880 it would be completely sustainable if you just didn't know about it that's it
00:49:38.160 um now i could argue that maybe warren buffett is not adding as much to the world because he's more
00:49:44.080 of a financial manipulator uh but even he is making markets and companies more efficient because when he
00:49:51.280 buys a piece of a company he doesn't just buy it often he'll you know improve it um in small ways and
00:49:58.320 big the the people who are worthless are the hedge fund types who are just making just you know taking
00:50:04.640 money out of the system but they're not adding anything all right it seems to me that biden's
00:50:10.880 value proposition has devolved into some form of vote for biden or biden's followers will hunt you down
00:50:20.160 and kill you now that's hyperbole but it's starting to feel that way isn't it because the way you feel
00:50:28.560 isn't necessarily the exact way that things are but the way it feels as a trump supporter is that biden
00:50:36.240 is literally threatening us that if you know and other people have made this observation but i'm just
00:50:42.400 piling on it does feel like the left is threatening us but here's what they don't get
00:50:47.200 the left has not yet fully internalized that the protesters are not on their side
00:50:56.160 you get that right the left doesn't quite understand they're just starting to understand
00:51:01.440 that's why they're coming out against them that the the protesters are not on their side
00:51:06.880 the protesters are on their own side whatever that is but they're definitely not on the democrat side
00:51:11.840 and they're not on trump's side they're not on america's side you could argue
00:51:18.400 there's a big non-story two big non-stories in the
00:51:23.600 conservative world now for those of you who say scott why do you only say good things about trump
00:51:31.280 why don't you never say any bad things about the other side well i do all the time and i'm going to do
00:51:39.280 that now so there's this tape you heard it on uh talker show some of you chris cuomo talking to of
00:51:47.280 all people michael cohen uh the disgraced and jailed lawyer ex-lawyer for trump so apparently chris cuomo
00:51:55.920 and cohen knew each other pretty well who knew that that's sort of a weird little backstory but on this
00:52:03.760 uh on this audio recording chris cuomo is heard to say things which are completely exculpatory
00:52:13.440 and make chris cuomo look like he did not do the things he's accused of how did conservative
00:52:22.800 pundits treat an audio tape in which it's pretty clear that chris cuomo legitimately believes he was not
00:52:31.520 involved in the things that he was accused of doing the the me tooish accusations how does the
00:52:38.160 conservative world treat the fact that it really shows he doesn't think he did these things in
00:52:43.600 private he acts like he he believes that they didn't happen they treat it like it happened
00:52:49.680 like like he didn't say what he said and i watch this and i think we're seeing more and more of this
00:52:56.320 where somebody will say they'll they'll hand you an apple and they'll say uh what do you think of
00:53:01.600 this banana and you'll say what banana you just handed me an apple this is clearly an apple it's red
00:53:06.720 it's round i take a bite out of it it's an apple stop saying this is a banana because that's an apple and
00:53:13.600 then the person will look right at you like nothing had ever happened and they'll say
00:53:17.600 you'll say is the banana good and you'll say what's going on here this is no banana we're both looking
00:53:28.160 at this it's an apple and the other person will look right at it and say now that's a banana
00:53:36.480 i don't i've never seen this before so it happened with the cuomo story there's there's nothing on there
00:53:42.400 that should be embarrassing to chris cuomo and it's treated as a national story of something
00:53:47.760 that's embarrassing to chris cuomo it's literally the opposite it's completely exculpatory
00:53:55.200 i don't even know what to think about that all right is that the only time that's happened no
00:54:01.040 how about this one so dr scott atlas he's part of the trump uh team you know the coronavirus team i
00:54:10.320 guess and cnn was reporting that he was pushing for herd immunity so he came on i think it was fox
00:54:18.480 and they said uh were you doing that he was like no no i've never pushed for herd immunity nobody has
00:54:26.480 it's not even a thing it's never been brought up the president's never mentioned it it's never been in
00:54:31.360 the conversation it's never been floated as a possibility nobody thinks it's something we should
00:54:37.040 pursue there's zero times zero times zero to this story what will people say once the the person who
00:54:46.320 is the most closest to the story what will cnn say now that he has said no there's nothing to it
00:54:55.040 they'll just act like he didn't say it and they'll just keep reporting that it's happening like it didn't
00:55:00.960 even happen this is it's just a weird world how about uh there's another one how about
00:55:08.320 the the story that the cdc had uh modified their death count and it wasn't 180 000 or whatever it was
00:55:16.800 closer to 9 000 because there were only six percent of the people were dying without comorbidities
00:55:23.680 therefore it's all it's all a big fraud etc nothing like that happened it again it's like a big national
00:55:34.080 story but it didn't happen it literally didn't happen none of that happened all that happened is they just
00:55:42.160 sliced it a different way and as the experts say um pretty much everybody who dies of anything has
00:55:50.960 comorbidities it's very rare for a person to die unless it's you know say an accident or or some rare
00:55:58.800 genetic disease or something but it's actually really unusual for anybody to die without comorbidities
00:56:04.560 so the fact that 94 percent of people who die from coronavirus have comorbidities it's kind of like
00:56:12.240 everything else now what do conservatives say but they say but but but scott i know what you're saying
00:56:18.960 but still what that proves scott you're missing the whole point scott scotty people who disagree with
00:56:27.280 me like to call me scotty scotty you're missing the whole point the point is that those people who
00:56:33.680 don't have the comorbidities should not have been afraid because their their odds of dying are just
00:56:39.440 vanishingly small so let's send the kids back to school because why in the world would you not send
00:56:46.080 kids to school when a you know it's good for the kids you know that their risk is tiny there's no
00:56:53.120 reason there's no logic whatsoever for not sending the kids to school and i look at that and i go
00:56:59.360 what's wrong with you what's wrong with you that you would say that in public
00:57:04.880 the reason that they don't want to send the kids to school is not that the kids will die
00:57:09.520 it's that they'll be part of the transmission that will get to the 94 percent of people with
00:57:14.880 comorbidities and there's more spread could could put the teachers at risk in some cases we don't know
00:57:22.160 how much risk but could put them at risk well it would put them at risk we don't know how much
00:57:27.440 and i think to myself if you leave out the part where the kids bring it home or or help spread it
00:57:33.840 you're not part of the you you can't consider yourself part of the adult conversation right
00:57:40.720 the the minimum minimum requirement to be an adult in the conversation is you have to at least
00:57:47.600 acknowledge the big factors in the in the conversation one big factor is the kids themselves
00:57:55.040 and i think almost everybody agrees that they would be mostly fine and the risk would be so small
00:58:01.200 that the benefits to the kids themselves would be tremendous benefit to the parents tremendous
00:58:08.400 because the parents would now be freed up to you know do what they need to do but if you leave out
00:58:14.400 the part about this clearly would contribute to the spread if you leave that part out you're not in
00:58:20.800 the adult conversation you really aren't um now you could argue that it won't spread it but that
00:58:27.840 would be a scientific question uh i think the evidence is that it probably does but maybe we
00:58:32.880 don't know but still if you leave it out you're not part of the adult conversation uh the funniest
00:58:39.120 story is the uh portland's mayor has just reportedly i would look for confirmation on this but reportedly
00:58:46.720 he's considered considering selling his home in portland uh because the protests so the guy who has been
00:58:54.880 most supportive of the protesters and literally joined in with them is learning that these protesters are
00:59:01.360 not on his side as he had hoped but rather are a malign force as they like to say on tv
00:59:09.200 here's another non-story reported as a big story the state department i guess in kiev something about
00:59:16.400 ukrainians you know the state department our state department was illegally monitoring conservatives on
00:59:23.120 twitter and social media jack posabic hannity laura ingram and others to which i say why is that a story
00:59:34.320 do you know who else is illegally monitoring jack posabic i am i am yeah i'm illegally uh reading his
00:59:44.560 twitter account and when he tweets i i break the law i break the law and i read it and if he tweets again
00:59:52.000 i don't like to broadcast this but i'm probably going to break the law again and read what he tweeted
00:59:59.680 now you might say to you say to me scott that's not what they're talking about they're not talking
01:00:04.240 about reading his tweets what are they talking about do are they talking about hacking twitter
01:00:12.720 no that's not in the story that all they're talking about
01:00:15.920 is asking some third party to keep an eye on various accounts that were of importance
01:00:23.680 and tell them what they saw so that they didn't have to do it themselves
01:00:27.440 is that is that a real story
01:00:32.480 now if there's more to it if there was some hacking an actual illegal act i would say yeah let's look at
01:00:39.200 that but the way it's reported and again could be more to the story i don't know but the way it's
01:00:46.640 reported is they asked somebody to read the tweets of people who are important to their
01:00:52.240 livelihoods and their jobs and i thought to myself i don't think that's illegal
01:00:59.440 if it is it shouldn't be trump is fighting against fighting back against the so-called fake news that he
01:01:05.760 had some kind of stroke or mini strokes or something the the best evidence against it is that he uh
01:01:12.000 his trip to walter reed was brief and he went home if you had if you had any of the things that he was
01:01:19.600 alleged to have had do you go in and then just go home and go back to your job the next day
01:01:25.280 is that a thing well i so i think this is debunked the president has debunked it in the
01:01:30.720 the clearest possible words but i know that you know the public isn't going to trust him on that
01:01:36.880 if i had to guess um i would guess his slurred speech and a few of his uh speeches could be
01:01:45.920 fatigue it could be dental work could be anything but my guess is that whatever they rushed him in for
01:01:53.840 was something embarrassing or something that wasn't really a problem and if it wasn't really
01:01:59.280 a problem did you need to do anything have any of you ever gone to the emergency room only to be
01:02:05.360 told oh that's no big deal you have right you know unless you're bleeding or you got a broken arm or
01:02:11.440 something how many of you have gone in and the emergency room just says oh that's that's nothing
01:02:17.680 take an aspirin it's a pretty common thing so i wouldn't be surprised if they did rush the president
01:02:24.960 in for you know some greater medical treatment than uh than they had available in the white house
01:02:32.400 and i guess there's a lot in the white house and then they checked it out and it was no big deal
01:02:36.320 or it was something easily treatable and he just wants it out of the news which i can understand
01:02:45.280 what was biden's exact quote when he did his speech and he said
01:02:48.960 um do i look like some kind of wild-eyed progressive what what were his exact words
01:02:56.240 do i look like some kind of wild-eyed progressive and i thought to myself how does that get him the
01:03:02.320 vote of the wild-eyed progressives because it feels like he's insulting how they look
01:03:10.160 isn't it because he's saying do i look do i look like like literally look he didn't say have
01:03:16.960 i acted like do i have a record of you know have i have i ever promised anything in that nature
01:03:23.520 he didn't say that he said look at me like literally with your eyes look at me do i look
01:03:28.960 like some wild-eyed progressive it feels like he was mocking the protesters their actual physical look
01:03:37.360 not that we haven't done that but it would be news if he did and i wondered how this completely
01:03:42.720 escaped the uh the pouncing i thought there'd be more pouncing on that
01:03:50.640 all right um apparently trump is down depending on what polls you want to believe they're all over
01:03:56.800 the place but uh i think it was nay silver who said trump is down four to five percent or he said if
01:04:03.760 it was more of an if it's based on where things are heading nay silver said that if trump ends up being
01:04:10.400 down four to five percent in the battleground states it's actually a close race here's what i say
01:04:17.520 what does it mean to be down four or five percent in a world where 12 of the gop says that they won't
01:04:26.160 tell pollsters their honest opinion so 12 of republicans would lie and trump's only down four to five
01:04:35.040 percent what does that tell you now i want you to correct me on the math of this but
01:04:42.480 sometimes there are things that seem really obvious that are your brain isn't quite processing the right
01:04:49.200 so this might be one of those but here's what people are missing if a republican voter simply refuses to talk
01:04:57.920 to a pollster they'll just call until they get another republican so refusing to answer probably
01:05:05.440 doesn't change the result that much because they'll just find somebody who's willing to answer until they
01:05:10.160 have enough answers but if the gop people who are being uh surveyed are lying it's a double impact
01:05:20.560 because not only are they are they taking a vote away from trump that they intend to cast but they're
01:05:27.600 giving it to biden doesn't that double the impact because it's not just a vote that's missing it's a vote
01:05:34.960 that the lie puts on the wrong tally so it's so it so that one person makes a difference of two
01:05:42.160 one away from trump and one for biden am i thinking of that right i feel like i'm confusing myself but
01:05:51.200 that's right right so this is a good example of why i'm never embarrassed to be stupid in public
01:05:58.960 it's a good skill you should learn it because sometimes i'll hit on something that's useful
01:06:03.600 and other times i'll say something that's like uh okay so people in the comments are agreeing with me
01:06:10.320 but so therefore that four or five percent is really nothing because if 12 are lying that's a gigantic
01:06:20.800 swing if their lie is that they're voting for biden and they're not all right um
01:06:30.240 do do do uh yeah i guess that's all i got for today and
01:06:36.960 um
01:06:41.760 it's like losing a stroke in golf is it no it's not like losing a stroke in golf
01:06:49.120 because that doesn't add a stroke to the person you're golfing against
01:06:56.240 uh
01:06:56.480 all right yes it's a double dipper
01:07:02.880 okay um that's all i've got for now and i will talk to you tomorrow
01:07:09.760 tomorrow
01:07:21.520 you
01:07:23.440 you
01:07:23.520 you
01:07:25.520 you
01:07:27.520 you
01:07:29.520 you
01:07:31.520 you