Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1121 Scott Adams： I Explain the ＂Losing Strategy＂ of BLM and the Palestinians, a New Black-Only Town, Kurds in the Way

00:00:00.000 Yes, that is the view out my window in California.

00:00:11.340 And I remind you, it is not foggy here.

00:00:15.800 That is smoke.

00:00:17.960 And that smoke has been there for, I don't know, a week or so.

00:00:21.720 Gets worse, gets better.

00:00:23.900 But everything beyond those trees that are close to my house,

00:00:27.820 I would normally be able to see for miles and miles.

00:00:30.980 And there's an old town and ridge and a valley there.

00:00:34.860 But I can't go outside.

00:00:37.960 I've got a little asthma issue.

00:00:42.240 We are at, we're on, what would you call it, house arrest?

00:00:47.500 I'm on house arrest.

00:00:49.500 But I hope the rest of you can get out and enjoy your day.

00:00:53.400 And what's a good way to start the day?

00:00:56.080 What would be the best way to get your day off to a great start?

00:01:01.300 Yeah, that's right.

00:01:02.720 It's a simultaneous sip.

00:01:04.000 You got it right on the first try.

00:01:05.800 And all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or chalice or stein,

00:01:08.960 a canteen, jerk or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:01:11.980 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:13.260 I like coffee.

00:01:15.140 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure,

00:01:17.320 the dopamine hit of the day,

00:01:19.280 the thing that makes everything better,

00:01:22.180 except apparently the smoke in California.

00:01:24.420 And it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens.

00:01:28.260 Now, go.

00:01:32.840 That's right, commenter.

00:01:34.320 My most favored possession, my e-bike, I cannot use.

00:01:42.700 I literally, you know, I barely can walk the dog.

00:01:46.240 You know, I take the dog out for 10 minutes to do her business and that's it. 0.99

00:01:52.100 I wake up in this house.

00:01:53.540 I go to sleep in this house.

00:01:57.200 And it's very much like being on house arrest.

00:02:01.360 But let's talk about some of the news, some of the things happening.

00:02:07.160 As Rush Limbaugh noted, the Bob Woodward book.

00:02:11.980 Do you remember the Bob Woodward book?

00:02:14.660 I know it seems like a long time ago, doesn't it?

00:02:16.920 Time, time is so wonky now because there's so much news.

00:02:23.120 Yeah, you try to think back.

00:02:25.740 There was this book by Bob Woodward.

00:02:27.440 I don't know.

00:02:27.880 Was it 10 years ago?

00:02:29.360 Oh, no, it was this week.

00:02:31.400 And as Rush Limbaugh pointed out,

00:02:35.640 he had, what, 18 interviews with the president.

00:02:39.200 He had all the time to write this book.

00:02:41.480 And the biggest bombshell he could make out of all that work,

00:02:48.620 and, of course, the point is to come up with bombshells so you can sell your book,

00:02:52.760 the best bombshell he could come up with

00:02:55.220 is something that the president had said publicly and often himself.

00:03:03.500 That's it.

00:03:04.520 The best bombshell revelation is something that you can go to the tape and say,

00:03:09.800 that's not really so much of a bombshell because here's a video of the president

00:03:16.820 saying it in public, exactly what he said privately,

00:03:21.660 saying it to the world at a press conference.

00:03:25.520 And here's the date on it.

00:03:27.700 You can look at it.

00:03:29.160 And if you wondered if he took it seriously,

00:03:31.820 even at the same time he was saying,

00:03:33.620 I'm being a cheerleader for the country.

00:03:36.600 I don't want to panic you.

00:03:37.640 And he was telling you that he was doing that directly,

00:03:40.880 fully transparent.

00:03:42.380 At the same time, he had closed travel,

00:03:46.160 or at least much of it from China,

00:03:48.160 to signal that he thought it was deadly serious.

00:03:51.540 So then the bombshell comes out

00:03:53.320 and tells you those two things,

00:03:55.820 which you knew were true.

00:03:58.760 You knew he took it seriously.

00:04:00.800 You knew he intentionally and transparently was playing it down,

00:04:04.880 admitted it in public at the time.

00:04:06.760 And that was it.

00:04:09.120 That was your best bombshell.

00:04:13.640 Honestly, if we were even a little bit objective about this president,

00:04:18.800 the first term of Trump,

00:04:21.320 you could make a case,

00:04:23.220 is the most successful term of any president.

00:04:26.020 I think you could make that case.

00:04:27.800 And here's the interesting part.

00:04:29.160 You could make the case that Trump's first term is the most successful of any president,

00:04:35.880 even acknowledging all the criticisms.

00:04:40.640 You could even say,

00:04:41.760 all right, let's just say,

00:04:43.140 just for argument's sake,

00:04:44.900 let's just say every single thing the Democrats said was true.

00:04:48.560 Every criticism,

00:04:50.500 just say it's all true.

00:04:51.440 He would still,

00:04:54.180 still,

00:04:55.500 his accomplishments are still so substantial.

00:04:59.260 It would still be the best presidency of all time.

00:05:02.300 And the criticisms are not all true.

00:05:05.260 They're not.

00:05:06.300 They're not even close to true.

00:05:08.080 They're mostly a series of hoaxes

00:05:10.100 and fake news.

00:05:11.820 So now we have the news that

00:05:15.060 Afghanistan and the Taliban, 0.97

00:05:18.120 the government of Afghanistan and Taliban

00:05:19.600 are having some talks.

00:05:22.260 Now, I don't think you can get

00:05:24.200 too optimistic about Afghanistan,

00:05:27.180 you know,

00:05:27.960 finding peace.

00:05:29.500 But

00:05:30.020 wouldn't you have said that a little while ago about

00:05:32.940 North Korea and South Korea shaking hands?

00:05:36.640 Didn't seem likely, did it?

00:05:39.240 How about

00:05:39.760 the Middle East breaking out in peace?

00:05:43.780 You might not have seen that

00:05:45.540 coming.

00:05:47.180 So,

00:05:48.040 in the age of Trump,

00:05:49.820 there is a magic,

00:05:51.620 there's a magic thing that happens.

00:05:54.340 And if you don't see it yet,

00:05:56.680 you'll start to see it as it takes form.

00:05:59.340 And it goes like this.

00:06:01.740 Have you heard the word zeitgeist?

00:06:03.720 It's a German word.

00:06:04.900 There's no equivalent in English.

00:06:06.920 It has something to do with

00:06:08.100 how our common opinions of things

00:06:12.700 can change all at the same time,

00:06:14.880 almost like we're connected.

00:06:16.920 Now, we're not,

00:06:18.140 at least as far as I know.

00:06:19.740 But there are some things that just become

00:06:21.440 sort of true in the ether,

00:06:25.520 just in the atmosphere.

00:06:27.320 And everybody just sort of wakes up

00:06:29.040 to the same feeling all at once.

00:06:30.700 And here's the thing that I think

00:06:32.780 Trump does.

00:06:34.720 And you're going to see this accelerate.

00:06:37.700 When Trump took office,

00:06:39.700 even people who didn't like him said,

00:06:42.120 hey,

00:06:42.960 well, at least he's a dealmaker.

00:06:45.160 Right?

00:06:46.100 So,

00:06:46.760 the first part of the zeitgeist was

00:06:48.680 seven billion people,

00:06:50.620 however many pay attention

00:06:52.220 to American politics,

00:06:53.940 some billions,

00:06:55.200 woke up to say,

00:06:56.100 hey,

00:06:56.280 the United States has somebody

00:06:58.280 who's famous

00:06:59.060 for being a dealmaker.

00:07:01.200 Now,

00:07:01.560 he's not made any deals

00:07:02.820 as president.

00:07:04.600 And some people will say,

00:07:06.380 you know,

00:07:06.640 they'll criticize his business past.

00:07:10.520 But we would all agree

00:07:11.860 that his brand,

00:07:13.560 and now it's sort of in our head,

00:07:15.380 is dealmaking.

00:07:16.420 Right?

00:07:16.620 The other thing he did

00:07:18.580 was he made the impossible

00:07:20.000 look possible.

00:07:22.600 You don't have to do that

00:07:24.300 too many times

00:07:25.480 before everybody starts looking

00:07:27.700 at the other pile of impossibles.

00:07:30.540 Think about it.

00:07:31.580 Just conceptually.

00:07:34.140 You believe in your mind

00:07:35.660 there are a hundred impossible things

00:07:38.220 about the world.

00:07:39.760 We're never going to get anywhere

00:07:41.340 with North Korea.

00:07:43.920 We'll never get a better deal

00:07:45.500 with China.

00:07:48.440 The Middle East

00:07:50.680 will never see any more peace.

00:07:52.980 You know,

00:07:53.160 you could make a whole list of things

00:07:54.560 which you know to be impossible.

00:07:57.200 You'll never get that stuff done.

00:07:59.820 And then you see the president

00:08:01.120 do one of them.

00:08:02.600 And you say to yourself,

00:08:03.920 whoa,

00:08:05.060 okay,

00:08:05.920 didn't see that coming.

00:08:07.000 There he is standing on the DMZ

00:08:08.660 shaking hands with Kim.

00:08:11.360 Yeah,

00:08:11.600 we don't have a deal.

00:08:12.720 Yeah,

00:08:12.880 he didn't give up his nukes.

00:08:14.140 But are you still worried

00:08:16.220 about Kim Jong-un

00:08:17.740 nuking the United States?

00:08:19.900 Nope.

00:08:21.200 Nope.

00:08:22.200 Your worry about that

00:08:23.640 went pretty close to zero

00:08:25.220 from,

00:08:26.100 I got to say,

00:08:26.660 I was kind of worried about it

00:08:27.760 to be honest.

00:08:29.080 I was legitimately worried

00:08:30.660 about North Korea for a while.

00:08:32.660 And Trump just

00:08:33.640 took that away.

00:08:36.280 And you say to yourself,

00:08:37.640 all right,

00:08:37.940 all right,

00:08:38.260 he got lucky.

00:08:39.260 He got lucky once.

00:08:40.380 Sure.

00:08:41.200 Anybody can get lucky.

00:08:43.760 Then he drove

00:08:44.520 the unemployment rate

00:08:45.820 before the coronavirus

00:08:46.720 down to levels

00:08:48.420 that nobody thought

00:08:49.460 was even possible.

00:08:50.920 It's one of the things

00:08:51.700 that Trump says

00:08:52.340 all the time.

00:08:53.540 My favorite little

00:08:54.580 throwaway phrase

00:08:55.460 that he throws

00:08:56.040 at the end

00:08:56.460 of almost every sentence,

00:08:58.260 nobody thought

00:08:58.800 it was possible.

00:09:00.100 Nobody thought

00:09:00.740 it could be done.

00:09:02.000 Now,

00:09:02.240 I've told you this before.

00:09:03.800 Each time he says that,

00:09:06.040 and you know

00:09:06.660 how often he says it,

00:09:07.580 right?

00:09:07.920 Nobody thought

00:09:08.480 it could be done.

00:09:08.980 Everybody said

00:09:09.920 it was impossible.

00:09:11.220 Each time he says it,

00:09:12.800 it doesn't mean much

00:09:13.580 of anything, right?

00:09:14.560 It's just sort of

00:09:15.240 a throwaway line.

00:09:17.000 But trust me,

00:09:18.200 if he says it

00:09:19.280 five times a day

00:09:20.420 for a year,

00:09:21.500 you've heard it

00:09:22.400 1,500 times.

00:09:24.660 And it starts to

00:09:26.540 just carve

00:09:27.740 a little home

00:09:28.400 in your head.

00:09:29.600 Oh,

00:09:30.900 Trump,

00:09:32.260 things that weren't

00:09:33.300 possible before.

00:09:35.520 Trump,

00:09:36.120 things that

00:09:37.940 nobody said

00:09:38.640 could be done.

00:09:39.920 Huh.

00:09:40.900 Trump,

00:09:42.220 a new record

00:09:43.120 nobody saw

00:09:44.340 coming.

00:09:45.280 Huh.

00:09:46.380 Trump,

00:09:47.540 nominated for

00:09:48.500 two Nobel Prizes.

00:09:50.940 You know,

00:09:51.460 two nominations

00:09:52.100 for the same prize,

00:09:53.280 but two separate

00:09:54.240 nominations.

00:09:55.680 Huh.

00:09:56.760 And here's what

00:09:57.660 happens to the

00:09:58.480 zeitgeist.

00:09:59.460 Once you've

00:10:00.360 changed the

00:10:01.020 thinking from

00:10:01.860 here's a hundred

00:10:02.900 impossible things

00:10:03.980 and it will

00:10:04.440 always be that

00:10:05.200 way.

00:10:06.040 And Trump

00:10:06.560 starts picking

00:10:07.260 him off.

00:10:08.440 The first one,

00:10:09.700 okay,

00:10:10.000 that was just

00:10:10.480 luck.

00:10:11.300 That was just

00:10:11.860 luck.

00:10:12.700 Yeah,

00:10:12.880 you got one.

00:10:13.620 All right,

00:10:13.980 maybe we were

00:10:14.580 wrong.

00:10:15.360 Maybe it wasn't

00:10:15.940 so impossible.

00:10:17.240 Okay,

00:10:17.480 we'll give you

00:10:17.900 that.

00:10:18.180 You got one.

00:10:19.960 Then he gets

00:10:20.460 another one.

00:10:22.200 You're like,

00:10:22.600 okay,

00:10:23.000 okay,

00:10:23.260 it's just two

00:10:23.800 things.

00:10:24.640 You know,

00:10:24.840 I get it.

00:10:25.460 Two things

00:10:26.080 could technically

00:10:26.900 form a line,

00:10:28.360 but it's just

00:10:29.000 two.

00:10:30.340 Coincidence,

00:10:30.940 confirmation,

00:10:31.600 bias probably is 0.97

00:10:33.220 a little bit

00:10:33.640 overstated.

00:10:34.580 Aren't you

00:10:34.900 exaggerating the

00:10:35.820 benefit a little

00:10:36.520 bit?

00:10:37.400 Let's not make

00:10:38.220 too much of

00:10:38.740 this.

00:10:39.240 And by the

00:10:39.680 way,

00:10:40.200 that first

00:10:40.780 thing you did

00:10:41.300 that was so

00:10:41.720 special,

00:10:43.080 Kim Jong-un

00:10:43.700 still has his

00:10:44.500 nukes.

00:10:45.700 So was that

00:10:47.080 really a

00:10:47.780 special?

00:10:49.160 And then the

00:10:49.660 third impossible

00:10:50.420 thing happens.

00:10:51.760 Let's say a 0.62

00:10:53.280 peace deal

00:10:53.880 between Israel

00:10:55.660 and the UAE.

00:10:57.200 And then you

00:10:57.840 say,

00:10:58.540 all right,

00:10:58.840 that's three.

00:11:00.140 That's three.

00:11:01.320 I still think

00:11:02.380 this is luck.

00:11:03.640 But you

00:11:04.540 have my

00:11:05.100 attention.

00:11:06.560 You see

00:11:07.160 where it's

00:11:07.480 going?

00:11:09.120 The mental

00:11:11.540 structure that

00:11:14.240 President Trump

00:11:14.980 has designed

00:11:16.660 into all of

00:11:17.620 our brains

00:11:18.360 did not

00:11:19.740 exist before.

00:11:22.180 President Trump

00:11:23.320 has rewired,

00:11:25.800 rewired,

00:11:27.520 programmed,

00:11:28.140 several billion

00:11:31.100 human brains

00:11:32.340 right in front

00:11:33.660 of you.

00:11:34.680 That really

00:11:35.660 happened.

00:11:36.880 There's no

00:11:37.640 hyperbole in

00:11:38.440 this statement.

00:11:39.680 This is a

00:11:40.500 legitimate fact.

00:11:42.340 President Trump

00:11:43.200 intentionally and

00:11:45.980 right in front of

00:11:46.740 you, while you

00:11:47.240 watched every part

00:11:48.120 of it,

00:11:49.100 rewired billions

00:11:51.460 of brains right

00:11:52.540 in front of you.

00:11:53.040 And how did

00:11:54.660 he rewire them?

00:11:56.280 Well, there's a

00:11:57.080 whole bunch of

00:11:57.580 things that people

00:11:58.380 think about him,

00:11:59.220 much of it bad,

00:12:00.140 much of it good.

00:12:01.300 So certainly,

00:12:02.320 you know,

00:12:02.640 there's all kinds

00:12:03.200 of noise in the

00:12:04.080 data, right?

00:12:04.620 There's all kinds

00:12:05.300 of ways that

00:12:06.060 people feel.

00:12:07.080 It's this infinite

00:12:07.940 variety of strong

00:12:09.040 feelings in every

00:12:09.840 direction.

00:12:10.920 But one of the

00:12:11.740 things,

00:12:13.020 and the one that

00:12:13.700 mattered,

00:12:15.020 the one that sits

00:12:15.940 above all of that

00:12:17.460 noise,

00:12:18.640 the one that makes

00:12:21.000 all the others

00:12:21.580 unimportant,

00:12:23.020 is this.

00:12:25.140 He can do

00:12:26.320 what can't be

00:12:28.100 done.

00:12:29.740 He can

00:12:30.580 consistently,

00:12:31.740 apparently,

00:12:33.280 consistently do

00:12:35.360 something that

00:12:36.300 just can't be

00:12:37.100 done.

00:12:38.480 You remember

00:12:38.940 when he was,

00:12:40.120 at one point,

00:12:40.860 he was the

00:12:41.680 poorest man in

00:12:43.220 the world?

00:12:44.660 Because he was

00:12:45.500 so far in debt

00:12:46.440 years ago in his

00:12:47.920 businesses that he

00:12:49.540 had some, I

00:12:50.140 think he had a

00:12:50.600 record.

00:12:51.000 For being like,

00:12:51.980 you have the

00:12:52.640 greatest negative

00:12:53.580 net worth of

00:12:54.240 all time.

00:12:55.820 And came back.

00:12:57.320 Not only did he

00:12:58.020 come back to make

00:12:58.800 his money back,

00:13:00.280 but he's now

00:13:00.880 president of the

00:13:01.640 United States and

00:13:02.480 probably going to

00:13:03.140 get elected to a

00:13:03.920 second term.

00:13:05.280 So, how many

00:13:06.740 people thought that

00:13:07.420 was possible?

00:13:08.980 How many people

00:13:09.640 thought that after

00:13:10.560 the Access Hollywood

00:13:14.740 tape dropped,

00:13:16.760 that he could still

00:13:17.440 get elected?

00:13:17.940 How many people

00:13:20.460 thought he would

00:13:20.840 get elected at

00:13:21.420 all?

00:13:23.120 So, Trump has

00:13:24.060 created this

00:13:24.800 non-stop pattern

00:13:26.260 of, yeah, he does

00:13:27.700 things you don't

00:13:28.360 like.

00:13:29.060 I'm not discounting

00:13:30.280 the fact that he

00:13:30.900 does some things

00:13:31.460 you don't like.

00:13:32.340 That's true.

00:13:33.680 But he also does

00:13:34.760 things, if you're

00:13:35.940 going to be a little

00:13:36.640 bit objective at

00:13:37.420 all, you have to

00:13:38.760 give me this.

00:13:39.840 You have to give

00:13:40.600 me this.

00:13:41.720 He does things you

00:13:43.000 thought were

00:13:43.460 impossible.

00:13:43.960 And it's

00:13:45.660 starting to look

00:13:46.520 routine.

00:13:49.760 He, I think he's

00:13:51.020 going to get maybe

00:13:52.840 20% or more of

00:13:54.300 the black vote.

00:13:55.960 In 2016, when I

00:13:57.960 told people, as I

00:13:59.480 did publicly, I

00:14:01.100 said, you know, I

00:14:02.080 think he's going to

00:14:02.740 like set records for

00:14:03.780 the black vote.

00:14:05.800 Obviously not the

00:14:06.800 election that was

00:14:07.400 over, but, you

00:14:08.640 know, maybe the

00:14:09.060 next one.

00:14:10.560 And sure enough,

00:14:12.420 how many of you

00:14:13.040 thought that was

00:14:13.620 possible, that he

00:14:14.820 would set records

00:14:15.780 for black votes?

00:14:17.840 You didn't think

00:14:18.360 that was possible.

00:14:20.020 And so, by

00:14:21.540 creating a

00:14:22.940 programming change

00:14:25.540 in our minds,

00:14:26.880 which we've

00:14:27.580 changed that

00:14:28.180 hundred impossible

00:14:29.160 things into,

00:14:31.000 why do these

00:14:31.840 keep happening?

00:14:34.740 It looks like

00:14:35.840 all these

00:14:36.220 impossibles are

00:14:37.100 happening.

00:14:38.040 When Trump

00:14:38.640 signed the

00:14:39.400 most favored

00:14:41.780 nations thing

00:14:42.660 for

00:14:42.940 pharmaceuticals,

00:14:44.560 what was the

00:14:45.320 first thing you

00:14:46.060 thought when

00:14:47.320 you said, wait

00:14:48.080 a minute, he

00:14:48.760 just signed an

00:14:49.460 executive order,

00:14:50.300 that's all it

00:14:50.720 was, didn't

00:14:52.000 require a

00:14:52.640 Congress, didn't

00:14:54.120 require anything

00:14:54.880 except the

00:14:55.520 president and a

00:14:56.160 piece of paper

00:14:56.660 and a pen,

00:14:58.000 signing a

00:14:58.600 document that

00:15:00.040 lowered our

00:15:00.820 drug costs by

00:15:01.860 making it illegal

00:15:03.480 for them to

00:15:04.500 charge us more

00:15:05.140 than they charge

00:15:05.700 somebody else?

00:15:06.360 and I

00:15:07.440 thought, I

00:15:09.580 thought that

00:15:09.940 was impossible

00:15:10.620 because if it

00:15:13.200 wasn't impossible,

00:15:14.800 why didn't it

00:15:15.420 happen before?

00:15:16.320 Now, the

00:15:16.760 obvious reason is

00:15:17.620 that the

00:15:18.340 pharmaceutical

00:15:18.940 companies were

00:15:19.840 too powerful

00:15:20.500 compared to

00:15:21.920 past presidents.

00:15:24.180 Apparently,

00:15:25.700 apparently, the

00:15:27.320 pharmaceutical

00:15:27.780 companies are not

00:15:29.500 more powerful than

00:15:30.500 Trump because he

00:15:31.840 just, he just

00:15:33.040 waved his hand and

00:15:33.940 swept them off the

00:15:34.680 table.

00:15:35.740 I guess they're

00:15:36.540 complaining.

00:15:37.720 I haven't seen any

00:15:38.920 complaints.

00:15:40.080 I haven't seen any

00:15:41.060 blowback.

00:15:42.280 I haven't seen any

00:15:43.240 negative.

00:15:45.800 He'll never move

00:15:46.980 the embassy, the

00:15:49.220 American embassy, to

00:15:50.180 Jerusalem because that

00:15:51.940 would cause all kinds

00:15:52.940 of, oh, he did it.

00:15:54.200 Okay, I guess it

00:15:55.040 wasn't impossible.

00:15:56.640 Well, it wouldn't

00:15:57.120 make sense to

00:15:57.760 recognize the Golan

00:15:58.660 Heights because that,

00:16:00.440 oh, he did it?

00:16:01.260 He just did it.

00:16:02.760 That's done.

00:16:03.380 Okay, I guess that

00:16:04.800 worked out.

00:16:06.020 Well, it certainly

00:16:06.720 would be reckless and

00:16:07.840 crazy to send a drone

00:16:09.320 to kill General

00:16:10.680 Soleimani.

00:16:11.720 I mean, you do that

00:16:13.380 and you're going to

00:16:13.820 create a giant war in

00:16:14.980 the middle.

00:16:15.560 What?

00:16:16.440 He already did that?

00:16:18.420 Lindsey Graham told

00:16:19.600 him not to do that.

00:16:20.580 He said it was

00:16:21.020 reckless.

00:16:21.480 That's over the line.

00:16:23.060 He did it anyway.

00:16:24.960 And did it work out?

00:16:27.960 Yeah, it kind of did.

00:16:30.280 Well, but there's one

00:16:31.340 thing we know.

00:16:32.500 If you remove American 0.99

00:16:34.040 forces from Syria, that

00:16:35.640 certain part of Syria, it

00:16:37.460 was clear that near the

00:16:38.780 Turkish border, we would

00:16:40.540 be exposing all our

00:16:41.820 Kurdish allies and the

00:16:43.380 Kurds would just be 0.88

00:16:44.200 slaughtered, right?

00:16:45.700 So it was kind of

00:16:46.500 impossible.

00:16:48.000 It was literally just

00:16:49.440 impossible to remove our

00:16:51.360 troops because we cannot

00:16:53.200 be the kind of country

00:16:54.120 that would leave our

00:16:54.880 allies to be slaughtered.

00:16:56.200 So you've been seeing

00:16:57.980 all the news about

00:16:58.680 those Kurds being 0.99

00:16:59.920 slaughtered?

00:17:02.180 Nope.

00:17:03.660 Didn't happen.

00:17:05.040 It was impossible.

00:17:07.760 And then Trump just did

00:17:08.900 it right in front of you.

00:17:11.480 You can't, it can't be

00:17:12.360 done.

00:17:12.680 There's no way to do

00:17:13.400 this without these people

00:17:15.400 all getting killed.

00:17:16.780 Watch me do it.

00:17:18.080 And then he just did it.

00:17:19.060 And I think we've

00:17:21.140 waited long enough to

00:17:23.160 determine that it worked

00:17:24.200 out, right?

00:17:26.080 Now, how many times does

00:17:27.460 the president need to do

00:17:28.780 this?

00:17:30.040 And now there's some talk

00:17:31.340 that maybe Saudi Arabia

00:17:33.720 might be the next deal

00:17:35.060 with Israel, which would 0.81

00:17:36.520 be sort of the big one.

00:17:37.840 And that does make sense,

00:17:39.500 doesn't it?

00:17:40.260 Because you're seeing,

00:17:41.580 you see the smaller deals

00:17:43.260 being made because that

00:17:45.100 tests the system.

00:17:46.800 I don't think it's an

00:17:48.180 accident that some

00:17:49.640 smaller countries are

00:17:50.960 going first, you know,

00:17:52.760 to just see, okay,

00:17:54.260 Bahrain, all right,

00:17:55.600 Bahrain, how'd that go?

00:17:57.360 Everybody?

00:17:58.360 Everybody okay with this?

00:18:00.520 Objections?

00:18:01.160 Just the Palestinians? 1.00

00:18:03.860 Okay.

00:18:06.000 Now, if you think back

00:18:07.380 to 2018, when the

00:18:09.540 president, President

00:18:10.640 Trump, was being

00:18:12.200 clearly soft on

00:18:13.760 Saudi Arabia after the

00:18:15.580 murder of Khashoggi,

00:18:16.880 and pretty much the

00:18:19.220 entire world on the

00:18:20.440 left and the right

00:18:21.240 said, that's a mistake.

00:18:24.280 There is a big old

00:18:25.340 mistake, Trump.

00:18:27.480 You can't just let that

00:18:29.100 go.

00:18:30.020 You have to come down

00:18:31.480 hard on Saudi Arabia.

00:18:33.220 You just got to do it.

00:18:34.660 There's no option to

00:18:35.960 this.

00:18:37.500 And then he didn't do it.

00:18:39.860 And I said, wait a

00:18:41.980 minute, I think you're

00:18:42.540 missing something big.

00:18:43.560 I said to the

00:18:44.400 public, I said, Saudi

00:18:47.180 Arabia now owes the 1.00

00:18:49.740 United States something

00:18:51.780 big.

00:18:52.760 So what President

00:18:53.680 Trump did was he

00:18:54.700 created an asset out of

00:18:56.540 nothing, which is one of

00:18:58.620 his greatest tricks.

00:19:00.040 He created an asset out

00:19:02.560 of nothing.

00:19:03.380 The asset he created was

00:19:05.240 Saudi Arabia owes us a

00:19:07.820 big, big frickin'

00:19:09.960 favor.

00:19:10.340 because Trump did

00:19:12.340 cover for them.

00:19:13.800 He did it publicly.

00:19:15.240 He did it at the risk

00:19:16.620 and the cost of his own

00:19:17.960 reputation.

00:19:19.260 Tremendous expense.

00:19:21.440 Tremendous expense for

00:19:23.560 him personally.

00:19:24.840 Look at the amount of

00:19:26.160 just flack that Trump

00:19:28.760 took for that public

00:19:29.920 stand, which he was

00:19:30.840 quite consistent on,

00:19:33.720 not going hard on

00:19:34.700 Saudi.

00:19:34.960 Now, time passes.

00:19:37.760 What do we need from

00:19:38.700 Saudi Arabia?

00:19:41.100 Lots of things.

00:19:42.480 You know, there are lots

00:19:43.000 of cooperation in a

00:19:43.980 variety of different

00:19:44.600 ways.

00:19:45.680 But the one thing that

00:19:47.000 really, really could

00:19:48.360 just, I don't know,

00:19:50.460 just change everything

00:19:51.340 is if Saudi Arabia

00:19:53.460 says, you know, it's

00:19:54.720 time.

00:19:56.040 It's time to work

00:19:57.260 things out.

00:19:58.620 It's time to be the

00:20:00.020 adults in the room.

00:20:01.160 It's time to do

00:20:01.900 something with Israel 0.97

00:20:02.960 with Israel that's

00:20:04.220 permanent and lasting

00:20:05.240 and just sets up the

00:20:06.760 region for prosperity

00:20:08.480 in the future.

00:20:10.000 I feel like Saudi

00:20:11.440 Arabia is going to 1.00

00:20:12.340 come online really

00:20:14.120 soon.

00:20:14.560 Before the election,

00:20:15.380 it would make sense.

00:20:16.540 Because if you're

00:20:17.460 Saudi Arabia, here's

00:20:18.980 what you're not going

00:20:19.740 to do.

00:20:20.860 Remember, Saudi 1.00

00:20:22.160 Arabia owes Trump a 0.93

00:20:24.060 favor.

00:20:24.960 Here's what they're

00:20:25.580 not going to do.

00:20:26.540 If they have any

00:20:27.760 intention of jumping

00:20:29.440 on the peace deal

00:20:31.060 train, and it looks

00:20:32.200 like they do,

00:20:32.960 they're going to do

00:20:34.120 it before election.

00:20:36.380 You're going to see

00:20:37.120 one of the biggest

00:20:38.020 dynamite explosions

00:20:41.260 in brains that you'll

00:20:42.920 ever see if they pull

00:20:44.760 this in before election.

00:20:46.340 And I would guess

00:20:46.940 that's what they're

00:20:47.500 aiming for.

00:20:48.140 We'll see if they

00:20:48.700 pull it off.

00:20:51.560 So that's my big

00:20:53.960 takeaway, is that

00:20:55.140 Trump has changed

00:20:56.140 our brains and

00:20:57.580 changed what we

00:20:58.500 think about what is

00:21:00.180 possible from what is

00:21:01.440 not possible.

00:21:02.180 He has absolutely

00:21:03.920 rewired your brain

00:21:05.300 to good effect,

00:21:07.600 I would say.

00:21:08.940 Making us all more

00:21:10.220 entrepreneurial,

00:21:12.020 maybe a little bit

00:21:13.880 more adept at risk

00:21:16.180 management.

00:21:17.260 I mean, you get that

00:21:18.260 for free just by

00:21:19.420 observing.

00:21:20.600 Because how many

00:21:21.480 times have you now

00:21:22.440 seen something that

00:21:25.380 seemed impossible get

00:21:26.480 done?

00:21:27.840 Now, that's a lesson

00:21:29.240 that transfers into

00:21:30.200 your life.

00:21:31.080 How many hundred

00:21:32.080 things do you have

00:21:32.920 in your personal

00:21:33.700 life that you have

00:21:35.400 said to yourself,

00:21:36.080 well, that's

00:21:36.500 impossible.

00:21:37.600 I mean, you know,

00:21:38.940 I'll work on the

00:21:39.800 stuff that's doable.

00:21:41.200 I'm not going to

00:21:41.900 work on this big

00:21:42.560 pile of impossibles.

00:21:45.420 Maybe take a shot

00:21:46.360 at a few.

00:21:47.660 I can tell you that

00:21:48.660 in my life, there

00:21:50.100 have been quite a few

00:21:50.960 impossibles.

00:21:52.820 One of them, you all

00:21:54.760 know the story, I

00:21:55.440 lost my voice

00:21:56.480 permanently.

00:21:57.820 I had an incurable

00:21:59.000 voice problem.

00:22:01.320 There was no

00:22:02.140 solution.

00:22:03.080 The rest of my life,

00:22:04.000 I would not be able

00:22:04.640 to communicate in a

00:22:06.600 way that people could

00:22:07.320 understand.

00:22:09.100 But, here I am.

00:22:12.140 A hundred thousand

00:22:12.860 people will listen to

00:22:13.980 this periscope

00:22:15.160 eventually,

00:22:16.180 unrecorded as well

00:22:17.760 as live.

00:22:19.160 And how do I

00:22:20.260 sound?

00:22:20.600 But, right?

00:22:22.380 So, this is one of

00:22:23.860 the great, great

00:22:24.720 lessons.

00:22:25.700 And this is the

00:22:26.820 sort of thing that

00:22:27.420 Trump will never

00:22:28.900 get full credit

00:22:29.860 for.

00:22:31.080 And it's the, I

00:22:32.800 would argue, the

00:22:33.400 most important thing

00:22:34.280 he does, and yet

00:22:35.260 it will be the thing

00:22:35.900 he doesn't get

00:22:36.420 credit for, is that

00:22:37.680 he's changing what

00:22:39.760 you think is

00:22:40.420 possible.

00:22:41.780 He's changing

00:22:42.500 that.

00:22:43.280 Do you know who

00:22:43.660 else does that?

00:22:44.980 Elon Musk.

00:22:46.760 Elon Musk is

00:22:48.600 rewiring your brain.

00:22:50.600 Now, he's not

00:22:51.120 doing it as

00:22:51.900 intentionally, I

00:22:53.360 don't think.

00:22:54.480 It could be.

00:22:55.500 But I don't think he's

00:22:56.220 doing it as

00:22:56.760 intentionally as

00:22:57.560 Trump is doing it.

00:22:58.460 Trump is doing it

00:22:59.820 for effect.

00:23:02.420 But Elon Musk,

00:23:04.380 he's literally

00:23:05.780 rewired your brain

00:23:07.260 from thinking that

00:23:08.960 there were a set of

00:23:09.580 things that are just

00:23:10.220 too hard to do,

00:23:11.700 to when are we

00:23:12.660 going to the moon?

00:23:14.380 When can I have my

00:23:15.440 electric car?

00:23:16.780 He just made the

00:23:17.580 impossible set

00:23:18.320 impossible.

00:23:19.560 So you should keep

00:23:20.360 an eye on people

00:23:20.960 like that.

00:23:22.980 Let's talk about

00:23:23.720 winning strategies

00:23:24.580 versus losing

00:23:25.340 strategies.

00:23:26.160 And we'll get into

00:23:26.960 the news, but let me

00:23:27.900 work up to it this

00:23:29.560 way.

00:23:30.900 I may have told you

00:23:31.700 the story or not,

00:23:32.600 I don't know.

00:23:33.340 But years ago, many

00:23:34.640 years ago, I was in

00:23:35.500 a relationship in

00:23:37.060 which I would

00:23:38.580 sometimes buy

00:23:39.920 flowers for the

00:23:41.400 woman I was with.

00:23:43.180 I wasn't married at

00:23:44.220 the time, but it was

00:23:45.040 a long-term

00:23:45.460 relationship, and I

00:23:46.960 would give her just

00:23:48.160 flowers for no

00:23:49.260 reason.

00:23:50.260 Now, I knew from

00:23:51.720 prior conversations

00:23:52.760 that it was more

00:23:54.420 meaningful to her to

00:23:55.440 give flowers when it

00:23:57.060 wasn't, you know,

00:23:57.920 Valentine's Day or

00:23:58.740 something.

00:23:59.500 And so I would give

00:24:00.480 her flowers, and she

00:24:01.460 would say this.

00:24:03.580 Oh, what are you

00:24:04.560 guilty for?

00:24:06.280 And we would laugh

00:24:07.200 because, you know,

00:24:07.820 it's sort of a

00:24:08.280 standard joke.

00:24:09.520 Ha, ha, ha, you

00:24:10.260 must be guilty if

00:24:11.060 you're giving flowers.

00:24:12.140 Now, the first time I

00:24:13.220 heard that, I thought

00:24:14.000 to myself, huh, you

00:24:15.740 know, I get it's just

00:24:16.400 a joke, and I have a

00:24:17.300 sense of humor, but I

00:24:20.040 feel like I didn't

00:24:20.860 get anything in

00:24:22.360 return.

00:24:23.480 I feel like I got, in

00:24:25.400 a very small way, I

00:24:26.820 mean really trivial, but

00:24:28.440 in a small way, I feel

00:24:29.300 like I got punished for

00:24:31.560 doing the right thing.

00:24:33.500 Suddenly, I have to

00:24:34.440 explain what I'm

00:24:35.240 guilty for?

00:24:36.580 Like, that had nothing

00:24:37.680 to do with anything.

00:24:38.620 I was just literally

00:24:39.880 trying to do something

00:24:40.720 good.

00:24:41.780 So the next time I

00:24:42.880 brought her flowers,

00:24:43.540 she said the same

00:24:44.980 joke.

00:24:46.960 And somewhere around

00:24:48.680 the second or third

00:24:49.600 time it happened, I

00:24:50.760 said, look, I got to

00:24:51.620 talk to you.

00:24:53.180 Please, please don't

00:24:54.480 say that.

00:24:55.940 Please let me have

00:24:57.300 some benefit for

00:24:59.520 doing the thing you

00:25:00.320 want me to do.

00:25:01.760 Don't punish me for

00:25:02.900 what you want more

00:25:03.720 of, because you'll

00:25:04.860 end up with less of

00:25:06.040 it.

00:25:06.860 I'm just like a

00:25:07.840 dog.

00:25:08.880 Humans and dogs are

00:25:10.040 not that different.

00:25:11.380 If you give somebody a

00:25:12.440 treat for doing the

00:25:13.240 right thing, and you

00:25:14.460 do it enough, you'll

00:25:15.360 train them to do the

00:25:16.160 right thing.

00:25:16.880 If you penalize them

00:25:18.220 for doing the right

00:25:18.900 thing, even if it's

00:25:20.380 just a joke, over

00:25:22.160 time, it becomes a

00:25:24.380 penalty that they

00:25:25.160 don't want to do.

00:25:26.600 What happened?

00:25:28.180 Did she stop doing 0.93

00:25:29.720 that joke?

00:25:31.000 Nope.

00:25:31.980 Nope.

00:25:33.000 Didn't stop doing

00:25:33.780 the joke.

00:25:35.140 And eventually, it

00:25:36.480 just killed my

00:25:37.240 feelings.

00:25:38.660 Honestly.

00:25:39.780 It just killed my

00:25:40.940 feelings.

00:25:41.300 So, I'm not saying

00:25:43.040 that's the one

00:25:43.640 reason that, you

00:25:44.480 know, things

00:25:45.400 didn't last, but

00:25:46.940 watch this technique

00:25:49.420 in a lot of other

00:25:51.060 bigger issues, all

00:25:52.100 right?

00:25:52.260 Let me give you some

00:25:53.000 examples.

00:25:55.900 Bill Maher was

00:25:56.820 talking last night

00:25:57.640 about how it's

00:25:58.460 such a bad idea

00:25:59.360 for the Democrats

00:26:01.220 to be, let's say,

00:26:03.400 running cover for

00:26:05.660 looting.

00:26:06.480 So, a lot of people

00:26:07.280 on the left are

00:26:08.660 trying to make the

00:26:09.480 case that the

00:26:10.940 looting is just a

00:26:12.020 property crime and

00:26:13.380 it's appropriate

00:26:15.060 within the larger

00:26:16.120 context of how

00:26:17.740 important the issue

00:26:19.380 is and you can't

00:26:20.840 really get action

00:26:22.280 until you've caused

00:26:23.560 some, caused a

00:26:24.920 little distress on

00:26:26.360 the people who

00:26:26.860 need to act.

00:26:28.080 And so, nobody

00:26:29.160 loves looting, but

00:26:30.260 it has its place,

00:26:31.600 it fits within this

00:26:32.760 world.

00:26:33.180 It's okay.

00:26:34.260 Don't worry too

00:26:35.020 much about the

00:26:35.720 looting, is what

00:26:36.940 you're hearing from

00:26:37.800 the Democrats.

00:26:39.180 Now, given that

00:26:40.120 people only hear

00:26:41.100 from their own

00:26:41.720 side, like

00:26:42.660 Democrats listen

00:26:43.460 to Democrats,

00:26:44.440 Republicans hear

00:26:45.220 from Republicans

00:26:46.080 for the most

00:26:47.480 part, what

00:26:49.000 happens to

00:26:50.860 looting?

00:26:52.020 You get more

00:26:52.960 of it, right?

00:26:54.040 Wouldn't you

00:26:54.600 always get more

00:26:55.560 of the thing

00:26:56.980 you're getting

00:26:57.460 complimented for?

00:26:58.920 So, the

00:26:59.560 protesters are

00:27:00.400 getting on TV,

00:27:02.400 they're getting

00:27:03.120 the fun of the

00:27:03.980 protest, it looks

00:27:04.760 like they have

00:27:05.420 some community

00:27:06.800 feeling, so they

00:27:08.340 get good feelings

00:27:09.260 from it, and

00:27:10.080 then their team,

00:27:11.380 the people who

00:27:11.880 are not protesting,

00:27:13.360 but rather the

00:27:14.380 support structure

00:27:15.180 for them, compliments

00:27:17.180 them, and basically

00:27:18.880 rewards them for

00:27:20.500 bad behavior.

00:27:21.820 Now, if you reward

00:27:22.720 people for bad

00:27:23.540 behavior, what

00:27:25.220 happens?

00:27:26.620 You will, of

00:27:27.680 course, get more

00:27:28.620 bad behavior.

00:27:30.060 Not sometimes,

00:27:31.940 not, well, there's

00:27:33.360 a risk of getting

00:27:34.200 more bad behavior.

00:27:35.260 No, I'm not

00:27:35.860 saying there's a

00:27:36.560 risk of it.

00:27:37.660 I'm saying that

00:27:38.440 100% of the

00:27:39.380 time, the thing

00:27:40.880 you reward, you'll

00:27:42.300 get more of.

00:27:43.740 Doesn't matter if

00:27:44.560 it's an animal,

00:27:45.720 doesn't matter if

00:27:46.520 it's a human,

00:27:47.580 doesn't matter if

00:27:48.360 it's a Democrat,

00:27:49.200 doesn't matter if

00:27:49.840 it's a Republican.

00:27:51.060 If you're alive,

00:27:53.300 like you can

00:27:53.940 breathe and see

00:27:55.100 the world, you

00:27:56.440 respond to

00:27:57.360 rewards and

00:27:59.240 penalties.

00:28:00.600 So, let's take

00:28:01.440 this to another

00:28:03.900 level.

00:28:05.240 The Palestinians 0.99

00:28:05.920 reacted with

00:28:09.220 unhappiness about

00:28:11.380 the peace that's

00:28:12.300 breaking out in

00:28:12.980 the Middle East.

00:28:14.180 All right?

00:28:14.660 So, take the

00:28:15.320 concept that you'll

00:28:16.360 get more of what

00:28:17.600 you reward and

00:28:19.120 less of what you

00:28:19.960 penalize. 0.90

00:28:21.100 So, now, Israel is 0.92

00:28:22.420 working out deals

00:28:24.160 for mutual benefit

00:28:25.620 with neighboring

00:28:27.140 Arab countries.

00:28:28.760 What should be

00:28:29.860 everybody's approach

00:28:32.120 to that?

00:28:33.860 Reward, right?

00:28:35.720 Should President

00:28:36.540 Trump not get a

00:28:37.680 Nobel Peace Prize

00:28:38.600 nomination?

00:28:39.360 He should.

00:28:40.380 He should.

00:28:41.300 Would that make

00:28:42.220 President Trump

00:28:42.960 more likely to try

00:28:44.120 even harder to

00:28:45.540 get more peace in

00:28:46.660 more places?

00:28:47.820 Yes.

00:28:48.980 Yes.

00:28:50.100 Of course.

00:28:51.200 If he had been

00:28:52.020 penalized, President

00:28:53.540 Trump, for working

00:28:55.180 hard to get peace in

00:28:56.180 the Middle East,

00:28:56.700 would he keep

00:28:58.000 going?

00:28:58.760 Would he put as

00:28:59.300 much resource and

00:29:00.420 time into it if he

00:29:01.620 just kept getting

00:29:02.240 penalized for it?

00:29:04.180 No.

00:29:05.400 Because he's a

00:29:06.480 human animal.

00:29:07.980 It has nothing to

00:29:08.740 do with his

00:29:09.180 personality or

00:29:09.940 character.

00:29:10.860 You do more of

00:29:11.900 what you're rewarded

00:29:13.080 for.

00:29:13.640 Period.

00:29:14.560 As soon as you

00:29:15.420 think that doesn't

00:29:16.280 apply, you're not

00:29:17.560 part of the

00:29:18.360 productive world

00:29:20.060 anymore.

00:29:20.900 You're off in

00:29:21.660 imaginary land.

00:29:23.260 Rewards and

00:29:24.180 penalties work.

00:29:25.260 So what did

00:29:26.400 the Palestinian

00:29:27.680 envoy to the

00:29:30.560 Arab League,

00:29:32.460 so what did he

00:29:33.160 say about this

00:29:34.640 deal with Israel 0.98

00:29:36.340 and the UAE?

00:29:38.060 He said,

00:29:39.060 with all pride,

00:29:42.100 Palestine wants 0.99

00:29:44.140 a decision from

00:29:44.880 the Arab foreign

00:29:45.860 ministers, blah,

00:29:46.580 blah, blah.

00:29:47.200 And then he goes

00:29:47.820 to this, quote,

00:29:49.360 but Palestine was

00:29:50.420 unable to impose

00:29:51.540 that, in other

00:29:52.280 words, the agreement

00:29:53.320 they wanted people

00:29:53.960 to agree to.

00:29:55.000 So the draft

00:29:55.740 resolution collapsed.

00:29:57.600 And here's the

00:29:58.520 key part.

00:29:59.840 This is everything

00:30:00.440 you need to know.

00:30:02.160 He says, and

00:30:03.100 remember, he's an

00:30:04.520 envoy, so he can

00:30:06.460 speak for the

00:30:07.300 government.

00:30:08.820 So he's not just

00:30:09.660 a guy.

00:30:10.420 He's speaking for

00:30:11.140 the government.

00:30:11.740 And he says,

00:30:13.300 we have dignity,

00:30:14.480 martyrs, prisoners,

00:30:16.240 and refugee camps

00:30:17.300 of glory, and this

00:30:18.940 is enough for us.

00:30:19.900 Oh my God.

00:30:23.360 This is an official

00:30:24.720 government person

00:30:25.640 from the Palestinian

00:30:27.340 people saying that

00:30:29.980 their goal, what

00:30:32.120 they want, in other

00:30:33.580 words, that it's

00:30:34.320 better to have these

00:30:35.280 things, better than

00:30:36.780 peace, better than

00:30:38.840 prosperity, better

00:30:39.980 than health, better

00:30:41.540 than life, is these

00:30:43.360 things.

00:30:44.140 Dignity, martyrs,

00:30:46.200 prisoners, prisoners,

00:30:48.080 prisoners, and

00:30:49.000 refugee camps of

00:30:50.120 glory, and this is

00:30:51.760 enough for us.

00:30:53.640 All right, if this

00:30:54.880 is your approach, can

00:30:58.420 you predict how it

00:30:59.400 will go?

00:31:00.940 Yes, you can.

00:31:02.180 There's a hundred

00:31:02.920 percent chance that

00:31:04.020 this approach leads

00:31:05.540 to misery.

00:31:07.360 There's no other

00:31:08.680 opportunity for, you

00:31:11.040 know, talk about

00:31:11.600 impossible.

00:31:12.820 It's one thing to

00:31:13.580 say something is,

00:31:14.460 you know, so

00:31:15.080 unlikely it seems

00:31:16.020 impossible.

00:31:16.520 It's another thing

00:31:17.800 to say you're

00:31:18.780 doing everything

00:31:19.420 you can to fail.

00:31:21.720 I mean, if you

00:31:22.220 made a list, I'd

00:31:23.040 say, all right, let's

00:31:24.300 make a list of all

00:31:26.020 the things you

00:31:26.740 shouldn't do if you

00:31:28.640 want a better world

00:31:29.460 for yourself and

00:31:30.280 your people.

00:31:31.040 What would be on

00:31:31.800 the list?

00:31:32.440 Well, how about

00:31:33.860 punishing people when

00:31:35.720 good things happen

00:31:36.980 and rewarding bad

00:31:39.920 behavior?

00:31:41.000 Let's say somebody

00:31:42.120 does a suicide

00:31:42.900 attack.

00:31:43.840 Yeah, we'll reward

00:31:44.680 them for that.

00:31:46.400 Yeah, their names

00:31:47.100 will be famous.

00:31:48.100 Their family will

00:31:48.780 be paid off.

00:31:50.700 The Palestinians 0.99

00:31:51.760 have literally

00:31:52.720 reversed the

00:31:54.820 lists.

00:31:56.040 They're penalizing

00:31:57.240 the good things

00:31:58.120 and they're

00:31:58.860 rewarding the bad

00:31:59.740 things and they're

00:32:00.920 getting exactly the

00:32:02.480 outcome that that

00:32:03.420 predicts.

00:32:04.760 Exactly the outcome

00:32:05.780 it predicts.

00:32:07.960 What would they do

00:32:09.420 if they wanted to

00:32:10.440 reverse that?

00:32:11.400 What would it look

00:32:11.960 like?

00:32:12.240 Here's what it

00:32:13.540 would look like.

00:32:14.960 Imagine the

00:32:15.680 Palestinians said,

00:32:16.700 you know, we like

00:32:18.300 the fact that peace

00:32:19.400 is breaking out in

00:32:20.300 some places.

00:32:21.640 We're not getting

00:32:22.340 what we want and

00:32:24.000 we're not releasing

00:32:25.260 on it.

00:32:25.780 We want some stuff

00:32:26.940 but we're happy that

00:32:28.700 things are happening.

00:32:29.800 Congratulations.

00:32:31.980 Just think about

00:32:32.840 that.

00:32:33.380 So that would be a

00:32:34.180 reward to Israel 0.86

00:32:35.640 and to the other

00:32:36.720 Arab countries.

00:32:38.040 Now, Palestinians 1.00

00:32:40.340 just hypothetically

00:32:41.400 say, you know,

00:32:43.300 we're among the

00:32:44.640 worst affected in

00:32:45.940 many ways and if

00:32:47.680 peace is breaking

00:32:48.420 out in all these

00:32:49.100 places, why don't

00:32:50.320 we just package

00:32:50.980 this up and we'll

00:32:53.340 be on board but

00:32:55.000 we also have a

00:32:55.860 bunch of things we

00:32:56.540 want but you guys

00:32:57.700 are doing a great

00:32:58.300 job and hey, if we

00:33:00.560 can help you out,

00:33:01.940 if we can help

00:33:02.540 your part of the

00:33:03.240 deal work, can you

00:33:04.480 let us know how?

00:33:05.160 We'll help your

00:33:05.960 deal work and

00:33:07.680 then what happens?

00:33:09.180 Then the entire

00:33:10.160 Middle East says,

00:33:11.320 well, we kind of

00:33:12.680 like you guys.

00:33:14.160 Thank you.

00:33:15.620 Thank you for

00:33:16.360 being positive.

00:33:17.260 We didn't expect

00:33:17.840 that but thank you

00:33:19.340 and then the

00:33:21.000 Palestinians say,

00:33:22.180 you know what

00:33:23.700 would make things

00:33:24.380 even?

00:33:24.880 I know we're

00:33:25.780 never going to

00:33:26.240 get the right of

00:33:26.920 return exactly but

00:33:29.140 wouldn't it be

00:33:30.200 okay if sometimes

00:33:31.140 we could buy our

00:33:32.000 way back in?

00:33:32.800 So perhaps people

00:33:34.700 who lost property

00:33:35.720 could be compensated

00:33:37.520 with reparations.

00:33:38.760 They don't have to

00:33:39.820 use that money to

00:33:40.760 let's say buy

00:33:41.460 property someday.

00:33:42.580 I don't even know

00:33:43.000 what's legal.

00:33:43.880 Can they do that?

00:33:44.980 Can they buy

00:33:45.500 property?

00:33:46.340 If you were a

00:33:46.860 Palestinian and you

00:33:47.620 had money, what

00:33:49.800 would it take to

00:33:50.500 buy property in

00:33:51.840 Israel? 0.53

00:33:52.540 And could you buy

00:33:53.440 back, maybe not

00:33:55.020 the same place you

00:33:55.820 were displaced

00:33:57.220 from, but could

00:33:58.520 you buy back

00:33:59.080 property in Israel

00:34:00.500 if you wanted to,

00:34:01.460 if you had the

00:34:02.080 money?

00:34:02.900 So suppose the

00:34:04.280 Palestinians said,

00:34:05.040 look, we're going

00:34:05.540 to be as positive

00:34:06.760 and helpful as we

00:34:07.700 can be, but you

00:34:09.400 know what would

00:34:09.940 really make

00:34:10.440 everything work?

00:34:11.880 Would be a

00:34:12.680 gigantic pot of

00:34:13.940 money that's

00:34:15.300 partly reparations

00:34:16.320 and partly

00:34:16.880 development that

00:34:18.580 would make the

00:34:19.340 Palestinian areas

00:34:20.800 just super good.

00:34:23.200 And it's a big

00:34:24.140 number.

00:34:24.740 I mean, I'm

00:34:25.720 embarrassed to say

00:34:26.440 how big the

00:34:26.920 number is, but

00:34:28.320 did I mention

00:34:29.120 that we're being

00:34:29.860 really helpful on

00:34:30.900 all this other

00:34:31.460 stuff?

00:34:32.080 We're going to

00:34:32.740 be helpful in

00:34:34.020 every other

00:34:34.500 way.

00:34:36.140 We just want

00:34:37.420 this big pile

00:34:38.400 of money.

00:34:38.940 It's kind of

00:34:39.500 gigantic, but it

00:34:40.860 would really solve

00:34:41.540 this problem once

00:34:42.580 and for all.

00:34:43.680 Now, would any

00:34:44.140 of that work?

00:34:44.760 Probably not,

00:34:45.400 because it's the

00:34:45.880 Middle East.

00:34:46.620 But my point is

00:34:47.460 this.

00:34:48.280 You don't have

00:34:49.240 any chance if

00:34:50.420 you're rewarding

00:34:51.080 bad behavior and

00:34:53.040 punishing good

00:34:53.680 behavior.

00:34:54.640 So in the long

00:34:55.840 run, if that

00:34:56.700 doesn't ever

00:34:57.300 reverse, they'll

00:34:58.900 always have the

00:34:59.400 same outcome.

00:35:01.660 Let's talk

00:35:02.280 about Black

00:35:02.720 Lives Matter

00:35:03.180 doing basically

00:35:03.940 the same thing.

00:35:04.940 I said with

00:35:05.680 the riots and

00:35:07.200 the looting,

00:35:07.800 that's more.

00:35:08.980 But let me

00:35:10.820 give you a

00:35:11.960 mental experiment,

00:35:14.100 sort of a

00:35:14.700 thought experiment

00:35:15.360 of what it

00:35:15.960 would look like

00:35:16.580 for Black

00:35:17.680 Lives Matter,

00:35:18.340 the group,

00:35:19.180 the organization.

00:35:19.940 We're not

00:35:20.560 talking about

00:35:21.060 the philosophy

00:35:22.100 of it, just

00:35:22.680 the organization.

00:35:24.340 What would it

00:35:25.080 take for them

00:35:25.540 to be more

00:35:26.060 effective?

00:35:27.280 What would it

00:35:27.820 take for them

00:35:28.320 to reward good

00:35:30.220 behavior and

00:35:31.460 punish bad

00:35:32.080 behavior?

00:35:33.180 Well, what are

00:35:33.960 they doing right

00:35:34.500 now?

00:35:34.920 Right now, they're

00:35:35.520 taking somebody

00:35:36.200 who's accused

00:35:36.880 of a sex crime,

00:35:38.300 who resisted

00:35:39.340 arrest, got

00:35:40.760 shot, nobody's

00:35:42.440 in favor of

00:35:42.920 that, but now

00:35:45.460 that person will

00:35:46.240 be a hero with

00:35:48.260 their name on

00:35:48.980 NFL helmets,

00:35:50.040 apparently.

00:35:51.420 Now, if you're

00:35:51.980 Black Lives Matter,

00:35:52.800 have you

00:35:53.860 punished bad

00:35:54.940 behavior, or

00:35:56.560 have you

00:35:57.000 rewarded bad

00:35:58.060 behavior?

00:35:59.340 You know the

00:35:59.920 answer.

00:36:01.180 Black Lives Matter,

00:36:02.320 right in front of

00:36:03.120 you, and as

00:36:03.680 publicly as they

00:36:04.580 possibly could,

00:36:05.820 are rewarding

00:36:06.620 bad behavior.

00:36:08.320 They're actually

00:36:08.960 making a hero,

00:36:10.680 and as somebody

00:36:11.360 who certainly

00:36:13.400 was at least

00:36:14.320 half responsible

00:36:16.020 for the outcome,

00:36:17.240 the tragic

00:36:17.760 outcome.

00:36:18.580 You could argue

00:36:19.360 that the police

00:36:20.120 officers should

00:36:21.040 have been

00:36:22.120 smarter,

00:36:22.560 better,

00:36:23.060 better trained,

00:36:23.960 should have

00:36:24.200 handled it

00:36:24.640 differently.

00:36:25.060 Maybe.

00:36:25.680 I'm no expert.

00:36:28.340 I wouldn't say

00:36:29.220 that's true for

00:36:29.960 sure, because if

00:36:31.920 the guy was going

00:36:32.620 for a knife,

00:36:33.460 what can you do?

00:36:34.920 But maybe.

00:36:35.620 I'm open to the

00:36:36.300 argument.

00:36:37.240 Now, let's say

00:36:38.220 if they'd

00:36:38.580 reversed it.

00:36:40.100 Imagine if you

00:36:40.840 will, and this is

00:36:41.640 impossible to

00:36:42.760 imagine, but

00:36:43.660 just go with it

00:36:45.180 for imagination.

00:36:46.660 Imagine if when

00:36:47.980 the news came

00:36:48.720 out that the

00:36:49.860 guy who got

00:36:52.300 shot seven

00:36:52.780 times had

00:36:54.000 been resisting

00:36:54.660 arrest, and

00:36:56.160 had been

00:36:56.620 reaching for

00:36:57.480 a weapon, and

00:36:59.660 had been

00:37:00.060 incredibly accused

00:37:01.100 of some bad

00:37:01.940 stuff.

00:37:02.960 Suppose Black 0.57

00:37:03.700 Lives Matter

00:37:05.200 said, hold on,

00:37:06.980 our first reaction

00:37:08.180 was an overreaction.

00:37:09.940 If we're being

00:37:10.500 honest, we have

00:37:13.280 a problem to

00:37:13.920 fix, but let's

00:37:15.040 be honest about

00:37:15.700 it, he brought

00:37:16.300 it on himself

00:37:17.060 to some extent.

00:37:19.460 100%, maybe

00:37:20.660 not.

00:37:21.680 Maybe the police

00:37:22.680 have a part in

00:37:23.880 this, right?

00:37:25.200 Reasonable people

00:37:26.100 could say,

00:37:26.640 maybe there's two

00:37:27.660 problems here, and

00:37:28.980 you needed both

00:37:29.720 of those problems

00:37:30.440 to get the

00:37:30.980 tragedy.

00:37:32.580 If Black Lives 1.00

00:37:33.660 Matter said some

00:37:34.860 version of this,

00:37:36.840 you know, it

00:37:38.840 looks like we've

00:37:39.460 got to work on

00:37:40.320 training the

00:37:42.300 people that we

00:37:43.700 care about the

00:37:44.300 most to be the

00:37:45.460 safest, and act

00:37:46.640 the safest in

00:37:47.420 these situations,

00:37:48.540 what would that

00:37:49.220 look like?

00:37:51.100 That would be a

00:37:51.980 reward.

00:37:53.220 When the George

00:37:54.140 Floyd thing

00:37:54.720 happened, just

00:37:56.760 about every white

00:37:57.660 person in the

00:37:58.300 world was already

00:37:59.620 sold.

00:38:00.780 When you saw the

00:38:01.860 George Floyd

00:38:02.620 video for the

00:38:03.520 first time, no

00:38:04.680 matter what you

00:38:05.320 ever thought

00:38:05.880 before, when you

00:38:07.700 saw that thing,

00:38:08.580 you said to

00:38:08.980 yourself, ah,

00:38:10.020 okay, I get it

00:38:10.740 now.

00:38:11.280 That looks like

00:38:12.140 bad police

00:38:12.660 behavior.

00:38:13.060 I don't

00:38:14.220 believe this

00:38:14.740 necessarily would

00:38:15.720 have happened to

00:38:16.260 a white guy.

00:38:17.000 I don't know, but

00:38:18.680 I haven't seen it,

00:38:19.700 so I got

00:38:20.340 questions.

00:38:22.320 If at that

00:38:23.100 moment, Black 0.63

00:38:24.020 America had said,

00:38:25.420 do you see what

00:38:26.160 we mean?

00:38:27.120 Look at the

00:38:27.700 video.

00:38:28.400 Do you see what

00:38:29.060 we mean now?

00:38:30.220 Can you help?

00:38:31.740 You know, can we

00:38:32.280 talk about some

00:38:33.000 solutions?

00:38:34.320 White America 0.85

00:38:35.080 would have said,

00:38:36.080 hell yes.

00:38:37.400 Hell yes.

00:38:38.680 Let's talk about

00:38:39.380 some solutions.

00:38:40.180 We don't want

00:38:40.620 that.

00:38:41.400 We don't want

00:38:41.920 it to happen

00:38:42.260 to you.

00:38:43.380 We don't want

00:38:43.800 to add up

00:38:45.040 to anybody.

00:38:46.100 How do we

00:38:46.520 have less of

00:38:47.040 that?

00:38:48.040 So that should

00:38:48.760 have been the

00:38:49.140 first reaction,

00:38:50.380 and it would

00:38:51.080 have been very

00:38:51.500 productive.

00:38:52.580 Here's what

00:38:53.020 the reaction

00:38:55.320 should have

00:38:56.040 turned into

00:38:56.680 when we learned

00:38:58.240 that he died

00:38:59.380 of a fentanyl

00:39:00.200 overdose, or

00:39:00.980 probably it was

00:39:01.680 an opioid

00:39:02.100 overdose.

00:39:03.060 It could be

00:39:03.760 that the police

00:39:04.540 action exacerbated

00:39:06.400 it.

00:39:06.680 But it

00:39:09.180 turns out that

00:39:09.820 he may have

00:39:10.380 been lying to

00:39:11.140 them about

00:39:11.880 whether he

00:39:12.560 had anything.

00:39:13.200 If he had

00:39:13.540 told the truth,

00:39:14.740 in other words,

00:39:15.300 if he'd done

00:39:15.760 his part, he

00:39:17.400 probably would

00:39:17.860 have been

00:39:18.080 treated more

00:39:18.520 like a medical

00:39:19.140 problem and

00:39:19.800 maybe even

00:39:20.240 saved.

00:39:21.100 But he did

00:39:21.900 everything wrong,

00:39:23.420 and the police

00:39:24.640 may have done

00:39:25.200 things wrong as

00:39:25.920 well, and the

00:39:27.100 combination was

00:39:28.060 a bad thing.

00:39:29.000 Here's what

00:39:29.440 Black Lives Matter

00:39:30.800 should have done

00:39:31.840 if they wanted

00:39:32.680 improvement.

00:39:34.280 If they wanted

00:39:34.860 it, they should

00:39:35.760 have rewarded

00:39:36.460 the right thing.

00:39:37.400 And the moment

00:39:37.900 they heard that

00:39:39.260 he was drugged

00:39:40.060 up, and that

00:39:40.600 may have been

00:39:41.000 a complicated

00:39:41.540 issue, they

00:39:42.800 should have

00:39:43.060 pulled back.

00:39:45.140 They should have

00:39:45.820 pulled back, and

00:39:46.980 they should have

00:39:47.400 said to the

00:39:48.060 police, I think

00:39:49.920 we owe you an

00:39:50.560 apology.

00:39:51.580 You still might

00:39:52.480 need to do

00:39:53.040 something differently,

00:39:53.960 and we're not

00:39:54.360 happy with you, but

00:39:55.880 it doesn't look like

00:39:56.660 you murdered 0.63

00:39:57.060 somebody.

00:39:58.120 It doesn't look

00:39:58.780 like a race

00:40:00.000 murder.

00:40:00.980 We don't know

00:40:01.460 what this is, and

00:40:02.120 we better get to

00:40:02.660 the bottom of

00:40:03.080 this, and we're

00:40:03.460 not happy, but

00:40:05.000 it wasn't what

00:40:05.540 we first thought

00:40:06.180 it was.

00:40:07.620 If Black 0.95

00:40:08.360 Lives Matter

00:40:08.900 had said that,

00:40:10.440 how would

00:40:10.840 you, let's

00:40:11.480 say you're

00:40:11.840 not in the

00:40:13.340 organization, how

00:40:14.460 would you feel

00:40:14.900 about that?

00:40:16.200 That would

00:40:16.840 completely change

00:40:17.860 how I feel.

00:40:19.060 Completely.

00:40:20.080 I would say,

00:40:21.160 oh, I get

00:40:22.220 it, you're

00:40:23.120 getting really

00:40:23.600 worked up over

00:40:24.260 things that look

00:40:24.940 real, but as

00:40:26.180 soon as you

00:40:26.840 find out that

00:40:28.020 maybe the story

00:40:28.700 was different than

00:40:29.360 you thought,

00:40:30.120 you've now

00:40:30.720 modified your

00:40:31.480 opinion, just

00:40:32.820 as you should.

00:40:33.520 you rewarded

00:40:35.480 people for

00:40:36.480 doing right, you

00:40:37.520 punished people for

00:40:38.460 doing wrong, yeah, I

00:40:39.780 could work with

00:40:40.300 that.

00:40:40.920 I could work

00:40:41.420 with that.

00:40:42.620 But that's not

00:40:43.420 what you're saying.

00:40:44.420 There's some kind

00:40:44.960 of need for

00:40:46.280 self-destruction

00:40:47.400 that's built into

00:40:48.260 the Black Lives

00:40:49.660 Matter movement,

00:40:51.020 it's built into

00:40:51.800 the Antifa, of

00:40:52.580 course, maybe

00:40:53.620 Antifa is half

00:40:54.340 the problem

00:40:54.760 there.

00:40:55.460 It's built into

00:40:56.180 the Palestinian

00:40:56.880 technique, their

00:40:59.360 way forward,

00:41:00.400 is a reward

00:41:01.900 of things that

00:41:03.120 are in the

00:41:04.180 wrong direction.

00:41:05.480 All right, I'm

00:41:07.380 still shaking my

00:41:08.120 head over this

00:41:08.580 story about

00:41:09.020 Robert Mueller's

00:41:10.580 dozens of

00:41:12.040 people on the

00:41:14.020 Russia collusion

00:41:14.780 project, they

00:41:16.900 claimed that

00:41:17.600 their phones

00:41:18.020 had been wiped

00:41:18.640 and that they

00:41:19.480 can't turn them

00:41:20.360 in to be looked

00:41:21.040 at, dozens.

00:41:22.900 Now, you don't

00:41:23.980 have to be a

00:41:24.540 genius, and I

00:41:25.460 don't think

00:41:25.780 there's any

00:41:26.180 disagreement on

00:41:27.040 this, that they

00:41:28.060 did it

00:41:28.460 intentionally.

00:41:30.400 to hide

00:41:31.660 evidence.

00:41:32.780 Now, it could

00:41:33.340 be that the

00:41:33.860 evidence they

00:41:34.400 were hiding is

00:41:35.040 just any

00:41:35.660 personal conversations

00:41:36.860 because nobody

00:41:37.940 wants anybody to

00:41:38.720 look at their

00:41:39.240 entire, you

00:41:40.800 know, phone

00:41:41.320 history.

00:41:41.940 That'd be

00:41:42.400 pretty risky.

00:41:45.160 But I

00:41:47.160 think that

00:41:48.780 they're going

00:41:49.120 to get

00:41:49.380 completely away

00:41:50.140 with this.

00:41:51.880 It looks

00:41:52.980 like, it

00:41:54.080 looks like

00:41:54.480 the most

00:41:54.920 amazing,

00:41:56.180 obvious,

00:41:57.180 mass-coordinated

00:41:58.480 crime, because

00:41:59.980 first of all,

00:42:00.480 it's probably

00:42:00.800 coordinated.

00:42:02.020 You know, there

00:42:02.240 must have been

00:42:02.640 at least one

00:42:03.140 person who

00:42:03.600 said, hey, I'm

00:42:04.760 going to wipe

00:42:05.100 my phone, you

00:42:05.960 might want to

00:42:06.420 think about

00:42:06.800 this.

00:42:07.580 I doubt they

00:42:08.360 all just had

00:42:09.040 the same idea

00:42:09.880 at once.

00:42:11.640 So first of

00:42:12.260 all, there's

00:42:12.500 some coordination

00:42:13.320 to hide

00:42:15.240 evidence.

00:42:17.240 And they

00:42:18.040 should be the

00:42:18.580 people that we

00:42:19.380 most trust to

00:42:21.500 keep us on the

00:42:23.400 legal path.

00:42:24.960 This is, it's

00:42:26.760 hard to put a

00:42:27.360 number on

00:42:27.800 how bad

00:42:28.240 this is.

00:42:29.700 This is a

00:42:30.400 10 out of

00:42:31.000 10 in

00:42:31.740 badness, but

00:42:33.000 because many

00:42:33.840 of them are

00:42:34.260 lawyers, they

00:42:35.620 know how to

00:42:36.100 do things

00:42:36.540 without getting

00:42:37.160 tactically in

00:42:38.060 trouble.

00:42:38.900 So as long

00:42:39.540 as there's

00:42:39.960 reasonable doubt

00:42:41.020 about how

00:42:41.880 their phone

00:42:42.340 got wiped,

00:42:43.760 as long as

00:42:44.320 there's a

00:42:44.600 little bit of

00:42:45.040 reasonable doubt,

00:42:46.560 I guess they

00:42:47.300 get away with

00:42:47.880 it.

00:42:48.680 But wow,

00:42:49.600 does this

00:42:50.040 reduce your

00:42:51.560 trust in the

00:42:52.200 system?

00:42:54.100 All right,

00:42:54.360 here's a

00:42:54.640 question I

00:42:55.100 have.

00:42:55.360 You know

00:42:57.500 these, the

00:42:58.200 Antifa, or

00:42:59.220 the protesters,

00:43:00.100 I don't know

00:43:00.360 if it's

00:43:00.600 Antifa or

00:43:01.120 just the

00:43:01.420 protesters,

00:43:02.160 they have

00:43:02.700 these snack

00:43:03.640 vans, so

00:43:05.580 literally, like

00:43:06.880 a big panel

00:43:07.560 van, usually

00:43:08.980 has lots of

00:43:09.580 graffiti on

00:43:10.280 it, that

00:43:11.280 they park

00:43:12.340 near the

00:43:12.740 protests to

00:43:14.020 feed the

00:43:14.520 protesters, I

00:43:15.200 guess, they

00:43:15.640 have snacks.

00:43:17.200 And I

00:43:17.520 thought to

00:43:17.840 myself, at

00:43:19.300 least the

00:43:19.620 one I saw

00:43:20.080 was in

00:43:20.580 Rochester or

00:43:21.220 something, I

00:43:22.140 thought, New

00:43:23.160 Yorkers are 1.00

00:43:23.740 getting really

00:43:24.280 soft.

00:43:25.360 Because if

00:43:27.780 you're ripping

00:43:29.440 up my

00:43:30.000 town, I

00:43:31.580 mean, I

00:43:31.840 feel like

00:43:32.640 it, if I

00:43:33.060 were in

00:43:33.400 upstate New

00:43:33.940 York, and

00:43:34.800 I saw

00:43:35.080 protesters

00:43:35.720 destroying

00:43:36.540 the homes

00:43:38.080 and, well,

00:43:38.780 mostly

00:43:39.020 businesses, the

00:43:40.280 people I

00:43:40.700 knew, or

00:43:41.680 people I

00:43:42.100 cared about

00:43:42.520 in my

00:43:42.800 town, and

00:43:43.980 I knew

00:43:44.300 that they

00:43:45.040 owned exactly

00:43:45.820 one asset,

00:43:47.240 they don't

00:43:48.020 own much

00:43:48.500 except what's

00:43:49.040 on their

00:43:49.320 bodies.

00:43:49.680 if I

00:43:50.660 knew they

00:43:50.940 had one

00:43:51.380 asset, these

00:43:52.940 snack vans,

00:43:54.760 and I'm

00:43:55.240 watching all

00:43:55.740 these same

00:43:56.140 people destroy

00:43:56.940 my town, and

00:43:58.420 then go back

00:43:58.960 to their

00:43:59.340 snack van to

00:44:00.200 get a

00:44:00.460 snack, and

00:44:02.340 I'm saying

00:44:02.880 to myself,

00:44:03.400 well, obviously

00:44:04.060 the snack van

00:44:06.340 will be on

00:44:06.880 fire in a few

00:44:07.560 minutes, and

00:44:08.080 I'm like, okay,

00:44:09.360 it shouldn't

00:44:09.800 take more than

00:44:10.340 60 seconds

00:44:11.260 for that, and

00:44:12.660 I'm like, wait,

00:44:14.020 that's the same

00:44:15.360 snack van.

00:44:15.840 I'm confused.

00:44:18.740 The snack van

00:44:19.820 is not on

00:44:20.780 fire?

00:44:21.980 What kind of

00:44:22.940 pussies are 0.97

00:44:23.580 you?

00:44:24.300 What kind of

00:44:24.940 town do you

00:44:25.560 have that

00:44:26.680 you're not

00:44:27.060 going to go

00:44:27.480 after their

00:44:28.040 one asset if

00:44:29.260 they park it

00:44:29.800 right on the

00:44:30.240 street?

00:44:31.660 I'm not

00:44:32.140 saying that,

00:44:32.920 you know, I

00:44:33.660 never promote

00:44:34.760 violence, by the

00:44:35.580 way, so this

00:44:36.460 is just a

00:44:37.340 question.

00:44:39.120 Why are the

00:44:40.280 locals rolling

00:44:41.960 over so

00:44:42.560 easily?

00:44:43.680 I mean, that

00:44:44.100 snack van,

00:44:44.840 sort of is

00:44:46.700 an obvious

00:44:47.260 target, if

00:44:47.920 you know what

00:44:48.280 I mean,

00:44:48.740 strategically

00:44:49.360 speaking.

00:44:51.060 I don't

00:44:51.700 recommend

00:44:52.140 anybody destroy

00:44:53.640 any private

00:44:54.240 property or

00:44:55.020 violence, it

00:44:56.160 is just

00:44:56.700 confusing to

00:44:58.600 me why that

00:44:59.780 hasn't happened.

00:45:02.680 The Atlantic,

00:45:06.660 which is now

00:45:07.820 officially a

00:45:08.680 laughingstock,

00:45:11.200 decided to

00:45:13.560 write an

00:45:13.900 article called

00:45:14.840 calling for

00:45:15.260 the abolition

00:45:15.880 of the

00:45:16.260 Nobel Peace

00:45:16.840 Prize.

00:45:19.240 So, it

00:45:20.540 wasn't when

00:45:21.060 Arafat got

00:45:22.400 it, they

00:45:23.040 were cool

00:45:23.600 with that.

00:45:24.540 It wasn't

00:45:25.040 when Obama

00:45:26.940 got it for

00:45:27.740 doing nothing,

00:45:29.480 they were cool

00:45:30.700 with that, but

00:45:32.020 boy, you have

00:45:32.520 two nominations

00:45:33.280 for President

00:45:34.380 Trump, and

00:45:35.240 well, it's

00:45:36.160 time to cancel

00:45:36.740 the prize.

00:45:37.340 So, if you

00:45:39.600 can imagine

00:45:40.120 anything that

00:45:41.000 the Atlantic

00:45:42.640 could have

00:45:43.320 done to

00:45:43.820 make themselves

00:45:44.460 look more

00:45:45.100 ridiculous, it's

00:45:46.620 hard to

00:45:47.280 imagine.

00:45:48.600 All right,

00:45:48.800 here's an

00:45:49.340 interesting

00:45:50.160 development.

00:45:52.040 Nineteen

00:45:52.800 black families

00:45:53.640 in August,

00:45:55.740 just recently,

00:45:56.440 they purchased

00:45:57.540 97 acres in

00:45:59.540 which they

00:45:59.940 want to build

00:46:00.460 basically a

00:46:01.460 black town.

00:46:02.000 So, 19

00:46:03.860 black families

00:46:04.640 decided it's

00:46:05.820 either dangerous

00:46:07.540 or, I think

00:46:08.740 they thought it

00:46:09.220 was dangerous

00:46:09.700 to live among

00:46:10.460 white people,

00:46:11.740 because, I

00:46:12.880 guess they

00:46:13.220 believe that

00:46:13.660 they will be

00:46:14.040 killed by

00:46:14.720 cops or

00:46:15.920 white people

00:46:17.100 or something.

00:46:19.620 Now,

00:46:20.300 independent of

00:46:21.120 whether that

00:46:21.640 is an

00:46:21.980 overreaction,

00:46:23.560 I kind of

00:46:24.300 love the

00:46:25.300 experiment part

00:46:26.440 of it.

00:46:27.660 I say this

00:46:28.500 all the time.

00:46:29.780 You know,

00:46:30.120 there's nothing

00:46:30.820 more useful

00:46:31.600 than

00:46:32.120 experiments,

00:46:33.020 even if they

00:46:33.560 don't work.

00:46:34.160 At least it

00:46:34.580 tells you what

00:46:35.060 doesn't work.

00:46:36.220 And the

00:46:36.500 fact that

00:46:36.920 they're thinking

00:46:37.360 of sort of

00:46:38.720 building a

00:46:39.340 town from

00:46:39.920 scratch, I

00:46:41.600 love that.

00:46:42.620 And they're

00:46:43.080 also trying

00:46:43.860 something that

00:46:44.420 hasn't been

00:46:44.800 tried before,

00:46:45.540 which is,

00:46:46.320 hey, it's

00:46:46.980 2020.

00:46:47.900 I mean, there

00:46:48.440 have been

00:46:48.780 segregated places

00:46:50.520 before, but

00:46:51.780 they haven't

00:46:52.400 done it this

00:46:53.140 way.

00:46:53.660 You know, not

00:46:54.080 in 2020, not

00:46:55.880 with all the

00:46:56.380 advantages of

00:46:57.160 technology, not

00:46:58.220 with not doing

00:46:59.520 it voluntarily.

00:47:02.440 And independent

00:47:04.640 of whether you

00:47:05.560 think this would

00:47:06.220 be a great

00:47:06.740 idea or a

00:47:07.500 bad idea, could

00:47:08.920 you at least

00:47:09.500 join me in

00:47:10.740 agreeing that

00:47:11.740 experiments are

00:47:13.020 good?

00:47:14.280 You know, I

00:47:14.880 hope it works.

00:47:16.140 Maybe they

00:47:16.600 learned something.

00:47:18.700 You may see a

00:47:19.860 greater trend

00:47:20.520 toward segregated

00:47:21.780 groups, but I

00:47:23.900 feel like we

00:47:24.460 could see it

00:47:25.100 differently now.

00:47:25.940 You know, if

00:47:27.520 you go back a

00:47:28.600 few decades, the

00:47:30.200 idea of

00:47:30.960 segregated towns

00:47:32.220 or segregated

00:47:33.120 businesses or

00:47:34.080 segregated

00:47:34.720 organizations is

00:47:36.360 just pure racism

00:47:37.420 and had to

00:47:38.280 end, usually

00:47:39.620 because it was

00:47:40.300 the white

00:47:41.620 organizations keeping

00:47:43.480 other people

00:47:44.680 out.

00:47:45.980 But now it's

00:47:47.200 2020.

00:47:48.880 And we've

00:47:49.560 sort of, for

00:47:51.140 the most part,

00:47:51.980 I would say,

00:47:53.100 I can't think of

00:47:53.660 an exception.

00:47:54.600 For the most

00:47:55.160 part, anybody

00:47:55.820 who wants to

00:47:56.580 be in any

00:47:57.060 organization can

00:47:58.060 do it fine.

00:47:59.260 I don't think

00:47:59.760 there are any

00:48:00.160 clubs you can't

00:48:00.940 join or teams

00:48:02.400 you can't be on

00:48:03.140 because you're

00:48:03.780 color, right?

00:48:05.940 So given that

00:48:07.200 we've sort of

00:48:08.260 overcome, you

00:48:09.380 know, for the

00:48:10.320 most part, the

00:48:11.040 biggest part of

00:48:11.660 the hurdle, if

00:48:12.800 you're doing it

00:48:13.320 voluntarily, if

00:48:15.440 you're voluntarily

00:48:16.100 saying, hey, you

00:48:17.820 know, we black

00:48:18.540 people want to

00:48:19.200 have our own

00:48:19.660 town and see if

00:48:21.060 we can make

00:48:21.500 this work, is

00:48:23.140 that bad?

00:48:23.660 I don't

00:48:25.280 know.

00:48:25.640 Your first

00:48:26.380 reflex might

00:48:27.280 be, ah, it's

00:48:27.920 a bad idea.

00:48:29.100 Segregation is 1.00

00:48:29.960 from the past.

00:48:31.020 But this isn't

00:48:31.720 the past.

00:48:33.260 Can people 0.52

00:48:33.940 choose to

00:48:35.500 associate with

00:48:36.420 whatever people

00:48:37.180 they want,

00:48:38.060 whether it's

00:48:38.680 by political

00:48:40.240 preference or

00:48:41.200 by age or

00:48:42.420 by gender or

00:48:43.920 by ethnicity,

00:48:45.340 if they all

00:48:46.200 want to?

00:48:47.820 Yeah.

00:48:48.260 I mean,

00:48:48.620 somebody says

00:48:49.200 it's racist.

00:48:50.040 Is it racist

00:48:50.780 if anybody can

00:48:51.680 do it?

00:48:52.080 In other

00:48:54.000 words, if

00:48:54.480 white people

00:48:55.960 also could

00:48:57.060 create a little

00:48:57.640 white town

00:48:58.280 and it wasn't

00:48:59.600 racist, they

00:49:00.300 just, well, I

00:49:01.520 guess it would

00:49:01.880 seem racist no

00:49:02.760 matter what.

00:49:05.100 I guess I

00:49:05.960 will accept

00:49:06.640 the categorization

00:49:08.400 that it's racist

00:49:09.900 by definition.

00:49:12.020 But do you

00:49:12.820 think that they

00:49:13.360 should not have

00:49:14.380 the right to

00:49:16.140 associate any

00:49:17.020 way they want

00:49:17.700 given that it's

00:49:19.040 not a legal

00:49:19.880 requirement and

00:49:20.680 nobody is

00:49:21.120 forcing them

00:49:21.720 to do it?

00:49:22.220 There's no

00:49:22.540 force.

00:49:24.300 So, I don't

00:49:24.940 know.

00:49:25.540 It's a good

00:49:25.920 question.

00:49:26.440 I like

00:49:26.740 experimenting,

00:49:27.500 so we'll

00:49:27.680 see what

00:49:27.960 happens.

00:49:31.460 What else

00:49:32.120 we got here?

00:49:34.200 California has

00:49:35.000 gone fully

00:49:35.680 anti-science

00:49:36.620 now, which

00:49:37.740 is so

00:49:38.140 embarrassing.

00:49:40.040 So our

00:49:40.880 governor has

00:49:41.960 decided to

00:49:42.680 politicize the

00:49:43.620 fires and

00:49:44.960 says that

00:49:45.520 climate change

00:49:46.320 is the obvious

00:49:47.080 reason and

00:49:48.160 that now you

00:49:48.680 don't even need

00:49:49.220 to look at the

00:49:49.740 science anymore.

00:49:50.520 You can just

00:49:50.880 look out your

00:49:51.420 window and

00:49:52.460 there's smoke

00:49:53.060 and therefore

00:49:53.760 logically, if

00:49:56.840 there's smoke

00:49:57.400 outside, logically,

00:49:59.520 can you see all

00:50:00.080 the connecting

00:50:00.600 tissue?

00:50:01.900 Logically, there's

00:50:02.660 smoke outside and

00:50:03.580 therefore it's

00:50:04.100 caused by climate

00:50:04.860 change.

00:50:05.940 You saw all the

00:50:07.120 logical connection

00:50:08.000 to that, right?

00:50:09.660 There's a fire,

00:50:11.160 more fires, and

00:50:12.880 therefore climate

00:50:14.180 change is the

00:50:14.780 cause.

00:50:15.060 Did you miss

00:50:17.060 the part where

00:50:17.740 it's logically

00:50:18.500 connected?

00:50:19.840 No, you didn't

00:50:20.320 miss it.

00:50:20.720 It's not there.

00:50:22.240 Could it be

00:50:22.780 there?

00:50:23.620 Well, I suppose.

00:50:24.760 I suppose.

00:50:25.680 I'm not ruling

00:50:26.540 out that some

00:50:28.200 climate change

00:50:29.080 might have some

00:50:29.680 effect in some

00:50:30.380 way.

00:50:31.100 I don't know.

00:50:32.300 What I do know

00:50:33.100 is there's no

00:50:33.620 evidence of it.

00:50:35.320 So we usually

00:50:36.700 don't act on

00:50:37.560 things that have

00:50:38.460 zero evidence.

00:50:39.820 What evidence

00:50:40.760 do we have?

00:50:41.500 Well, if you

00:50:42.040 follow Michael

00:50:42.740 Schellenberger, as

00:50:44.200 you should, you

00:50:46.860 will know that

00:50:47.640 our forest

00:50:49.100 management has

00:50:50.060 been so poor

00:50:51.020 that the buildup

00:50:52.440 of underbrush was

00:50:54.060 guaranteed to

00:50:55.220 create exactly the

00:50:56.260 situation we have.

00:50:57.740 So we have one

00:50:58.660 explanation which

00:51:00.340 explains everything

00:51:01.580 you see and is

00:51:03.380 completely logical

00:51:04.400 from beginning to

00:51:05.260 end.

00:51:05.880 Oh, we used to

00:51:06.960 do good forest

00:51:08.160 management and we

00:51:09.100 didn't have these

00:51:09.680 problems.

00:51:10.120 we stopped doing

00:51:12.080 good forest

00:51:12.820 management, which

00:51:14.120 causes forest

00:51:15.280 fires, big ones.

00:51:17.620 Then the big

00:51:18.300 forest fires

00:51:18.980 happened after we

00:51:20.920 stopped forest

00:51:22.060 management, which

00:51:23.460 guarantees big

00:51:24.560 fires happen.

00:51:25.980 Then the big

00:51:26.820 fires happened

00:51:27.660 exactly as you

00:51:29.240 knew they would

00:51:29.760 have to because

00:51:30.820 you stopped

00:51:31.400 forest management,

00:51:32.660 which is the

00:51:33.600 whole point of

00:51:34.160 reducing the

00:51:34.720 fires.

00:51:34.960 and our

00:51:36.560 governor,

00:51:37.840 freaking idiot, 0.99

00:51:38.900 stood in front

00:51:39.480 of the world

00:51:40.060 with his

00:51:41.340 smoldering

00:51:41.860 background to

00:51:42.640 make it look

00:51:43.080 dramatic and

00:51:44.200 said, it's

00:51:44.820 obvious that

00:51:45.520 climate change

00:51:46.700 has caused

00:51:47.240 this.

00:51:48.060 No, here's

00:51:49.280 what's obvious.

00:51:50.280 It's obvious

00:51:50.880 that fools who

00:51:52.160 can't do math

00:51:53.240 have looked at

00:51:55.200 the climate change

00:51:56.080 problem and

00:51:57.540 closed down our

00:51:58.540 only chance in

00:51:59.480 California to

00:52:00.280 have electricity,

00:52:01.700 which is to

00:52:02.280 have natural

00:52:03.740 gas and

00:52:04.840 nuclear, until

00:52:07.440 something better

00:52:08.080 comes along.

00:52:09.540 But he's

00:52:10.860 anti-science about

00:52:12.020 nuclear, anti-science

00:52:13.560 about even just

00:52:14.580 doing the math

00:52:15.440 of what kinds of

00:52:16.940 technologies are

00:52:17.740 good for the

00:52:18.360 environment in the

00:52:20.160 long run, which

00:52:20.840 we're not.

00:52:22.340 He didn't

00:52:22.900 understand anything

00:52:23.740 about forest

00:52:24.440 management.

00:52:25.160 He's the guy in

00:52:25.880 charge.

00:52:27.100 He's the guy in

00:52:27.840 charge, and he

00:52:28.360 seems to be the

00:52:28.960 only person who

00:52:29.700 doesn't know that

00:52:30.900 poor forest

00:52:31.660 management is

00:52:33.540 a big part of

00:52:34.160 the problem.

00:52:35.040 On top of

00:52:35.660 that, what 0.78

00:52:36.340 about context?

00:52:37.820 If you were to

00:52:38.520 look at the

00:52:38.980 history of

00:52:39.580 California, and

00:52:40.400 we can reconstruct

00:52:41.560 it from whatever,

00:52:43.860 tree rings,

00:52:44.480 however we do

00:52:45.060 that, we can

00:52:46.760 know that the

00:52:48.480 forest fires we're

00:52:49.360 experiencing now,

00:52:50.300 as bad as they

00:52:50.980 are, aren't even

00:52:51.740 bad historically.

00:52:53.540 So if we didn't

00:52:54.700 have climate change

00:52:55.640 in the past, and

00:52:57.120 yet the forest

00:52:57.860 fires were far

00:52:58.960 bigger back then,

00:52:59.880 or at least more

00:53:00.420 destructive, he is

00:53:03.520 so non-science

00:53:05.440 based that it

00:53:08.160 is disturbing.

00:53:11.020 All right.

00:53:14.220 And I think

00:53:15.300 that's, so here's

00:53:18.140 an interesting

00:53:19.160 thing developing.

00:53:20.180 You probably all

00:53:20.920 know Jonah

00:53:21.560 Goldberg, right?

00:53:23.780 Conservative, but

00:53:24.760 not a big fan of

00:53:25.640 the president.

00:53:25.980 Well, and Jonah

00:53:29.000 Goldberg was

00:53:29.700 noting on Twitter

00:53:30.780 that, I think

00:53:34.700 it was a Mark

00:53:36.540 Levin tweet he

00:53:37.560 was responding

00:53:38.160 to, and Levin

00:53:39.620 was tweeting

00:53:41.020 somebody else's

00:53:41.740 article, noting

00:53:43.080 that it seems

00:53:44.040 that Democrats

00:53:45.260 are prepping the

00:53:47.800 country for a

00:53:50.020 violent coup, an

00:53:51.800 actual military

00:53:52.680 coup.

00:53:53.020 Now, Jonah

00:53:54.440 Goldberg thinks

00:53:55.820 that that is a

00:53:56.620 ridiculous worry,

00:53:58.280 it's sort of an

00:53:59.380 absurdity, it's

00:54:00.300 overblown risk,

00:54:02.440 and that the

00:54:03.700 Democrats are not

00:54:04.680 intentionally prepping

00:54:06.980 the country for a

00:54:08.020 military coup,

00:54:09.440 under the condition

00:54:10.280 that Trump, in

00:54:11.800 their view, under

00:54:12.900 the condition that

00:54:13.740 Trump loses, but

00:54:15.740 refuses to leave

00:54:16.800 office.

00:54:18.920 And Jonah

00:54:19.860 pointed out, when

00:54:20.800 I commented on it,

00:54:22.260 he said, this is

00:54:25.500 what Jonah says,

00:54:26.300 he says, easily

00:54:26.960 is much evidence,

00:54:27.940 if not more, that

00:54:29.600 Trump is setting

00:54:30.440 the table to

00:54:31.340 claim election is

00:54:32.580 illegitimate.

00:54:33.860 You guys, meaning

00:54:34.860 I guess me, you

00:54:36.420 guys and the

00:54:37.020 resistance crowd are

00:54:37.920 playing the exact

00:54:38.600 same game and

00:54:40.000 pretending only the

00:54:41.040 other side is being

00:54:41.860 irresponsible or

00:54:42.980 dangerous.

00:54:43.700 You all are.

00:54:45.420 And here's my

00:54:46.400 take on that.

00:54:47.060 I would agree with

00:54:49.980 Jonah's comment that

00:54:51.720 Trump is also

00:54:52.940 prepping the

00:54:54.640 country for the

00:54:56.640 outcome of the

00:54:57.340 election to be

00:54:58.080 illegitimate.

00:55:00.060 Right?

00:55:00.760 Well, you would

00:55:01.200 agree with that,

00:55:02.000 that Trump is

00:55:02.720 definitely warning us

00:55:03.800 and prepping us and

00:55:05.300 sort of getting you a

00:55:06.400 little bit hypnotized

00:55:07.440 into the idea that

00:55:09.260 the election outcome

00:55:10.020 might not be

00:55:10.660 dependable or

00:55:11.840 credible.

00:55:12.220 But here's the

00:55:13.480 thing, when he

00:55:15.180 talks about it, he

00:55:17.000 never talks about

00:55:18.000 the military getting

00:55:19.080 involved.

00:55:21.500 And so the

00:55:22.720 default assumption

00:55:24.120 is that if there's

00:55:25.780 some ambiguous

00:55:26.720 outcome, that the

00:55:29.180 Republicans would

00:55:30.040 look to the

00:55:30.760 Supreme Court,

00:55:32.580 probably, or

00:55:34.580 they'd suggest a

00:55:35.860 redo or a

00:55:36.960 recount or

00:55:38.220 something working

00:55:39.020 within the

00:55:39.620 system.

00:55:40.580 Now, is there a

00:55:41.420 risk that you

00:55:42.440 would get a

00:55:42.880 few more months

00:55:44.060 of President

00:55:44.680 Trump until the

00:55:46.220 system worked its

00:55:47.260 way out and we

00:55:48.340 had a real

00:55:49.040 outcome?

00:55:50.280 Yeah, I suppose

00:55:51.080 so.

00:55:51.680 Is the

00:55:52.080 president getting

00:55:52.880 us ready for a

00:55:54.620 murky, ambiguous

00:55:55.780 outcome that could

00:55:56.740 be messy?

00:55:58.100 Yes.

00:55:59.020 Has he ever

00:55:59.640 mentioned the

00:56:00.560 military?

00:56:02.300 No.

00:56:03.520 No.

00:56:04.960 Have you ever

00:56:06.260 talked to any

00:56:08.380 Republican who

00:56:10.120 talks about

00:56:10.960 using the

00:56:11.700 military to

00:56:12.740 keep Trump in

00:56:13.640 office if he

00:56:15.080 lost the

00:56:15.680 election?

00:56:17.020 Have you heard

00:56:17.600 any legitimate

00:56:19.480 person say,

00:56:20.900 you know, even

00:56:22.120 if Trump loses

00:56:23.200 the election, I

00:56:24.500 think he should

00:56:25.000 just use his

00:56:26.460 military and

00:56:27.120 stay in office?

00:56:28.980 No.

00:56:30.220 No.

00:56:30.820 I've never heard

00:56:31.460 anybody think that

00:56:32.620 would be a good

00:56:33.120 idea.

00:56:33.980 But have you

00:56:34.860 heard Democrats

00:56:35.840 say out loud,

00:56:37.080 vote, in

00:56:38.100 public, that if

00:56:39.960 the president

00:56:40.560 doesn't leave and

00:56:42.140 they think the

00:56:42.740 result is that he

00:56:43.700 should, that the

00:56:44.940 military should

00:56:45.740 step up and

00:56:46.580 remove him?

00:56:48.100 Yes.

00:56:48.960 They're saying it

00:56:49.900 directly.

00:56:50.960 They're writing

00:56:51.760 articles about it.

00:56:52.820 They're talking

00:56:53.260 about it.

00:56:53.860 And they are

00:56:54.480 prepping the

00:56:55.100 country for a

00:56:56.440 military coup.

00:56:58.280 I agree that

00:56:59.320 President Trump is

00:57:00.220 prepping us for

00:57:01.500 not trusting the

00:57:02.600 outcome.

00:57:03.600 But is he wrong

00:57:04.720 about that?

00:57:05.820 Is it wrong to

00:57:06.880 prep people for

00:57:08.100 something that's

00:57:08.800 true?

00:57:09.920 I'll tell you

00:57:10.640 what's true.

00:57:11.900 No matter whether

00:57:12.760 the outcome is

00:57:13.900 accurate or not,

00:57:15.760 the country is

00:57:16.620 going to be a

00:57:17.180 little iffy on

00:57:17.820 it.

00:57:18.900 It doesn't matter

00:57:19.680 what the outcome

00:57:20.260 is, we're still

00:57:20.920 going to say,

00:57:21.480 I'm not so sure.

00:57:24.700 And that had

00:57:25.460 nothing to do

00:57:26.040 with Trump.

00:57:26.620 Well, he

00:57:27.080 exacerbates it.

00:57:28.300 But it was

00:57:28.620 going to be that

00:57:29.820 way anyway.

00:57:30.660 Here's what I

00:57:33.560 think.

00:57:33.880 I think that

00:57:34.440 Trump could

00:57:35.320 make the

00:57:35.800 situation better

00:57:36.780 by saying,

00:57:38.640 look, here's

00:57:39.780 the deal,

00:57:40.240 people.

00:57:40.820 If the

00:57:41.900 election outcome

00:57:42.600 is not good,

00:57:44.340 the Republican

00:57:45.220 approach is to

00:57:46.500 go to the,

00:57:47.500 I don't know

00:57:47.980 how this works

00:57:48.520 actually, but

00:57:49.900 whatever the

00:57:50.380 process is,

00:57:51.080 you go to the

00:57:51.560 Supreme Court,

00:57:53.020 you redo the

00:57:54.020 election, I

00:57:55.540 don't know,

00:57:56.020 you do some

00:57:56.520 analysis, whatever

00:57:57.320 you do, some

00:57:58.380 kind of audit of

00:57:59.280 the system.

00:57:59.780 But I think

00:58:00.880 the president

00:58:01.340 should tell us

00:58:01.960 what it looks

00:58:02.720 like.

00:58:04.200 Because the

00:58:04.740 Democrats have

00:58:05.360 told us what

00:58:05.860 it looks like

00:58:06.380 if they don't

00:58:06.900 get their way.

00:58:08.260 It looks like

00:58:08.760 they're going to

00:58:09.100 be pushing the

00:58:09.700 military to

00:58:10.300 make a move.

00:58:11.620 I don't think

00:58:12.100 the military

00:58:12.540 will, but it

00:58:13.160 looks like they

00:58:13.580 might try to

00:58:14.120 get that done.

00:58:15.700 So while I

00:58:16.440 don't believe

00:58:17.060 that there will

00:58:17.660 be any kind

00:58:20.880 of a major

00:58:21.400 coup in this

00:58:22.160 country, it's

00:58:23.520 definitely an

00:58:24.140 option.

00:58:25.060 And I think

00:58:25.500 that the

00:58:25.820 Democrats are

00:58:26.500 putting the

00:58:27.580 option on the

00:58:28.320 table.

00:58:28.660 that doesn't

00:58:29.780 mean that they

00:58:30.280 want it to

00:58:30.980 happen, but

00:58:32.020 they're definitely

00:58:32.580 opening the

00:58:33.720 option.

00:58:36.320 And I don't

00:58:37.180 think it's the

00:58:37.740 same in both

00:58:38.540 directions.

00:58:40.320 All right.

00:58:42.000 That's what I

00:58:42.620 had to do.

00:58:43.340 That's what I

00:58:43.860 had to tell you

00:58:44.340 today.

00:58:48.060 Somebody says,

00:58:48.880 no way, it

00:58:49.560 will be a

00:58:50.020 landslide.

00:58:50.920 One of the

00:58:51.300 things I heard

00:58:51.840 about, was it

00:58:53.260 Michigan and

00:58:54.160 maybe Wisconsin?

00:58:55.540 I forget which.

00:58:56.580 There were two

00:58:56.980 states that

00:58:58.300 somebody who

00:58:58.880 knows more

00:58:59.400 than I do.

00:59:00.260 I wish I

00:59:00.780 could credit

00:59:02.420 them.

00:59:02.800 But on

00:59:03.080 Twitter, I

00:59:03.460 saw somebody

00:59:04.540 noted that

00:59:05.360 some of those

00:59:06.640 states have a

00:59:07.220 lot of rural

00:59:08.120 voters.

00:59:09.560 And by rural,

00:59:10.760 I mean, don't

00:59:11.540 have the

00:59:11.940 internet.

00:59:13.680 So there

00:59:15.200 may be a lot

00:59:15.760 of people who

00:59:16.300 are not being

00:59:16.920 polled because

00:59:18.060 they're just

00:59:18.420 practically off

00:59:19.600 the grid.

00:59:20.100 And it might

00:59:20.840 be the number

00:59:21.720 of people who

00:59:22.260 are Trump

00:59:22.600 supporters.

00:59:23.000 Dems are

00:59:28.500 cheaters.

00:59:29.220 Obama spied

00:59:30.060 on Trump,

00:59:30.660 somebody says.

00:59:32.460 All right,

00:59:32.880 just looking at

00:59:33.440 your comments

00:59:33.960 before I sign

00:59:34.640 off today.

00:59:36.560 How did you

00:59:37.040 like today's

00:59:37.760 Periscope, by

00:59:39.000 the way?

00:59:43.320 Completely

00:59:43.840 uncharted

00:59:44.400 territory?

00:59:45.780 Yeah, we

00:59:46.180 do have

00:59:47.160 constitutional

00:59:48.080 deadlines, but

00:59:49.340 suppose we

00:59:49.840 don't meet

00:59:50.220 them.

00:59:50.720 What do you

00:59:51.060 do?

00:59:51.720 I'd like to

00:59:52.300 hear,

00:59:53.000 I'd like to

00:59:54.060 hear the

00:59:54.400 what do

00:59:54.640 you do

00:59:54.900 part.

00:59:59.860 Remember

01:00:00.340 Alinsky.

01:00:01.900 You know,

01:00:02.740 I have

01:00:03.540 great questions

01:00:04.420 about the

01:00:05.020 Alinsky

01:00:05.460 stuff.

01:00:06.420 A lot of

01:00:07.080 people get

01:00:07.500 accused of

01:00:08.480 using the

01:00:09.040 Alinsky

01:00:09.460 rules for

01:00:10.540 radicals

01:00:11.240 stuff, and

01:00:12.400 you can see

01:00:12.900 it.

01:00:13.440 I mean, you

01:00:14.000 can certainly

01:00:14.420 see that he

01:00:15.020 recommended this

01:00:15.920 stuff, and

01:00:16.860 you see people

01:00:17.440 doing that

01:00:17.940 stuff, but I

01:00:18.940 don't know if

01:00:19.320 it's because

01:00:19.700 they read

01:00:20.160 that.

01:00:21.240 I just

01:00:21.560 don't know

01:00:22.040 that I

01:00:22.880 think maybe

01:00:23.240 just some

01:00:23.680 things are

01:00:24.020 obvious.

01:00:25.240 Attacking

01:00:25.640 the other

01:00:26.060 side, whoever

01:00:27.820 the other

01:00:28.240 side is, in

01:00:28.960 every way you

01:00:29.640 can attack

01:00:30.160 them, you 0.56

01:00:30.980 know, mocking

01:00:31.520 them, etc.

01:00:33.380 That just

01:00:34.180 seems common

01:00:34.880 sense to

01:00:35.400 me.

01:00:35.640 I don't

01:00:35.820 know if

01:00:36.080 you need

01:00:36.380 Alinsky to

01:00:37.140 do any

01:00:37.460 of that.

01:00:38.620 Maybe.

01:00:38.920 How about

01:00:43.800 Bill Maher's

01:00:44.980 comments on

01:00:45.660 Trump more

01:00:46.300 likely to

01:00:46.960 win?

01:00:47.540 Well, I

01:00:47.820 didn't see

01:00:48.200 the show.

01:00:48.900 I only saw

01:00:49.400 reporting about

01:00:50.540 the show.

01:00:51.540 But if

01:00:52.040 Bill Maher

01:00:52.700 thinks that

01:00:53.860 Trump is on

01:00:54.640 the way to

01:00:54.980 win, I

01:00:57.820 would look

01:00:58.220 at him, and

01:00:58.800 I'd look at

01:00:59.480 Roger, Michael

01:01:03.420 Moore, and I

01:01:04.960 would say,

01:01:06.320 they are two

01:01:07.100 people who

01:01:07.680 represent more

01:01:08.900 of the left

01:01:09.600 who are a

01:01:10.720 little bit

01:01:11.240 clearer-eyed.

01:01:13.140 So if both

01:01:13.880 of them think

01:01:17.180 Trump might

01:01:17.980 win, that

01:01:19.520 means something.

01:01:23.900 Well, thank

01:01:24.660 you.

01:01:25.120 You're all

01:01:25.800 too kind to

01:01:26.420 me.

01:01:28.060 And, yeah,

01:01:30.920 just looking at

01:01:31.460 your comments.

01:01:32.120 All right,

01:01:32.660 that's all for

01:01:33.340 now.

01:01:34.320 Maybe I

01:01:34.900 should let

01:01:35.220 this go just

01:01:35.780 because you're

01:01:36.140 complimenting me.

01:01:37.100 Remember I

01:01:38.620 told you in

01:01:39.080 the beginning

01:01:39.500 that people

01:01:40.320 will do more

01:01:41.140 of whatever

01:01:41.700 they're rewarded

01:01:42.340 for?

01:01:43.680 You've watched

01:01:44.440 me doing

01:01:45.000 these periscopes

01:01:45.860 and you see

01:01:47.100 how much energy

01:01:47.840 I put into

01:01:48.380 it?

01:01:49.560 Why?

01:01:50.860 Why do I

01:01:51.540 put so much

01:01:52.120 energy into

01:01:53.040 doing this?

01:01:54.700 It's completely

01:01:55.520 outside my

01:01:56.220 field, etc.

01:01:57.080 And the answer

01:01:57.840 is I got

01:01:58.260 rewarded for it.

01:02:00.100 So when I

01:02:00.780 was doing

01:02:01.160 periscopes in

01:02:01.920 which, you

01:02:02.940 know, the

01:02:03.120 first periscopes

01:02:03.860 I would have

01:02:04.260 25 people.

01:02:05.220 But those

01:02:06.600 25 people

01:02:07.540 would say,

01:02:08.160 hey, I

01:02:08.400 like this.

01:02:09.720 Do it

01:02:10.060 again.

01:02:11.080 And I'd

01:02:11.400 say, huh,

01:02:12.100 okay.

01:02:13.000 25 people

01:02:13.860 saw it.

01:02:15.040 Three of

01:02:15.540 them said,

01:02:16.060 I liked it.

01:02:16.560 Do it

01:02:16.760 again.

01:02:17.560 Oh, do it

01:02:18.040 again.

01:02:18.960 And then,

01:02:19.400 you know,

01:02:19.740 35 people

01:02:20.680 see it.

01:02:21.600 Four of

01:02:22.120 them said

01:02:22.420 they like

01:02:22.820 it.

01:02:23.000 I'm like,

01:02:23.420 huh, I'll

01:02:24.400 give this

01:02:24.720 another shot.

01:02:25.940 It's very

01:02:26.640 powerful.

01:02:27.960 Reward what

01:02:28.560 you want

01:02:28.900 more of and

01:02:29.660 you will have

01:02:30.040 a good life.

01:02:31.140 That's all.

01:02:31.540 Yeah, not

01:02:33.300 Roger Moore.

01:02:33.920 Michael Moore.

01:02:34.520 Sorry.

01:02:35.620 Oh, let me

01:02:36.160 answer this.

01:02:36.800 Was your

01:02:37.200 sinus surgery

01:02:38.460 worth it?

01:02:39.820 It was

01:02:40.240 life-changing.

01:02:42.200 Life-changing.

01:02:43.680 Yeah, just a

01:02:44.400 complete transformation

01:02:45.380 of life.

01:02:46.420 I can breathe

01:02:46.940 through my nose.

01:02:48.140 My allergies

01:02:48.800 basically don't

01:02:49.780 exist.

01:02:52.780 You know,

01:02:53.480 my voice is

01:02:54.200 different.

01:02:55.060 My smell came

01:02:56.140 back.

01:02:56.660 My sense of

01:02:57.220 taste.

01:02:58.180 My hearing is

01:02:58.940 no longer

01:02:59.540 affected.

01:03:00.160 Yeah, I

01:03:04.420 would say

01:03:04.720 on a scale

01:03:05.140 of 1 to

01:03:05.580 10, it

01:03:06.740 was a

01:03:07.040 10.

01:03:07.840 Very

01:03:08.220 unpleasant.

01:03:09.420 You know, the

01:03:09.680 process of

01:03:10.240 going through

01:03:10.600 it's kind of

01:03:11.080 unpleasant, but

01:03:12.420 not as bad as

01:03:12.980 I thought,

01:03:13.360 actually.

01:03:14.200 So, that's

01:03:15.500 all for now,

01:03:16.020 and I will

01:03:16.460 talk to you

01:03:17.120 later.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 12, 2020

Episode 1121 Scott Adams： I Explain the ＂Losing Strategy＂ of BLM and the Palestinians, a New Black-Only Town, Kurds in the Way

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