Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 12, 2020


Episode 1121 Scott Adams: I Explain the "Losing Strategy" of BLM and the Palestinians, a New Black-Only Town, Kurds in the Way


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 3 minutes

Words per Minute

147.31128

Word Count

9,325

Sentence Count

621

Misogynist Sentences

4

Hate Speech Sentences

33


Summary

Trump's first term is coming to an end, and the media is covering it with all the usual hyperventilating and hyperventilation. Is this the end of the road for the Trump administration? Or is it the beginning of the next one?


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Yes, that is the view out my window in California.
00:00:11.340 And I remind you, it is not foggy here.
00:00:15.800 That is smoke.
00:00:17.960 And that smoke has been there for, I don't know, a week or so.
00:00:21.720 Gets worse, gets better.
00:00:23.900 But everything beyond those trees that are close to my house,
00:00:27.820 I would normally be able to see for miles and miles.
00:00:30.980 And there's an old town and ridge and a valley there.
00:00:34.860 But I can't go outside.
00:00:37.960 I've got a little asthma issue.
00:00:42.240 We are at, we're on, what would you call it, house arrest?
00:00:47.500 I'm on house arrest.
00:00:49.500 But I hope the rest of you can get out and enjoy your day.
00:00:53.400 And what's a good way to start the day?
00:00:56.080 What would be the best way to get your day off to a great start?
00:01:01.300 Yeah, that's right.
00:01:02.720 It's a simultaneous sip.
00:01:04.000 You got it right on the first try.
00:01:05.800 And all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or chalice or stein,
00:01:08.960 a canteen, jerk or flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:01:11.980 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:01:13.260 I like coffee.
00:01:15.140 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure,
00:01:17.320 the dopamine hit of the day,
00:01:19.280 the thing that makes everything better,
00:01:22.180 except apparently the smoke in California.
00:01:24.420 And it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens.
00:01:28.260 Now, go.
00:01:32.840 That's right, commenter.
00:01:34.320 My most favored possession, my e-bike, I cannot use.
00:01:42.700 I literally, you know, I barely can walk the dog.
00:01:46.240 You know, I take the dog out for 10 minutes to do her business and that's it.
00:01:52.100 I wake up in this house.
00:01:53.540 I go to sleep in this house.
00:01:57.200 And it's very much like being on house arrest.
00:02:01.360 But let's talk about some of the news, some of the things happening.
00:02:07.160 As Rush Limbaugh noted, the Bob Woodward book.
00:02:11.980 Do you remember the Bob Woodward book?
00:02:14.660 I know it seems like a long time ago, doesn't it?
00:02:16.920 Time, time is so wonky now because there's so much news.
00:02:23.120 Yeah, you try to think back.
00:02:25.740 There was this book by Bob Woodward.
00:02:27.440 I don't know.
00:02:27.880 Was it 10 years ago?
00:02:29.360 Oh, no, it was this week.
00:02:31.400 And as Rush Limbaugh pointed out,
00:02:35.640 he had, what, 18 interviews with the president.
00:02:39.200 He had all the time to write this book.
00:02:41.480 And the biggest bombshell he could make out of all that work,
00:02:48.620 and, of course, the point is to come up with bombshells so you can sell your book,
00:02:52.760 the best bombshell he could come up with
00:02:55.220 is something that the president had said publicly and often himself.
00:03:03.500 That's it.
00:03:04.520 The best bombshell revelation is something that you can go to the tape and say,
00:03:09.800 that's not really so much of a bombshell because here's a video of the president
00:03:16.820 saying it in public, exactly what he said privately,
00:03:21.660 saying it to the world at a press conference.
00:03:25.520 And here's the date on it.
00:03:27.700 You can look at it.
00:03:29.160 And if you wondered if he took it seriously,
00:03:31.820 even at the same time he was saying,
00:03:33.620 I'm being a cheerleader for the country.
00:03:36.600 I don't want to panic you.
00:03:37.640 And he was telling you that he was doing that directly,
00:03:40.880 fully transparent.
00:03:42.380 At the same time, he had closed travel,
00:03:46.160 or at least much of it from China,
00:03:48.160 to signal that he thought it was deadly serious.
00:03:51.540 So then the bombshell comes out
00:03:53.320 and tells you those two things,
00:03:55.820 which you knew were true.
00:03:58.760 You knew he took it seriously.
00:04:00.800 You knew he intentionally and transparently was playing it down,
00:04:04.880 admitted it in public at the time.
00:04:06.760 And that was it.
00:04:09.120 That was your best bombshell.
00:04:13.640 Honestly, if we were even a little bit objective about this president,
00:04:18.800 the first term of Trump,
00:04:21.320 you could make a case,
00:04:23.220 is the most successful term of any president.
00:04:26.020 I think you could make that case.
00:04:27.800 And here's the interesting part.
00:04:29.160 You could make the case that Trump's first term is the most successful of any president,
00:04:35.880 even acknowledging all the criticisms.
00:04:40.640 You could even say,
00:04:41.760 all right, let's just say,
00:04:43.140 just for argument's sake,
00:04:44.900 let's just say every single thing the Democrats said was true.
00:04:48.560 Every criticism,
00:04:50.500 just say it's all true.
00:04:51.440 He would still,
00:04:54.180 still,
00:04:55.500 his accomplishments are still so substantial.
00:04:59.260 It would still be the best presidency of all time.
00:05:02.300 And the criticisms are not all true.
00:05:05.260 They're not.
00:05:06.300 They're not even close to true.
00:05:08.080 They're mostly a series of hoaxes
00:05:10.100 and fake news.
00:05:11.820 So now we have the news that
00:05:15.060 Afghanistan and the Taliban,
00:05:18.120 the government of Afghanistan and Taliban
00:05:19.600 are having some talks.
00:05:22.260 Now, I don't think you can get
00:05:24.200 too optimistic about Afghanistan,
00:05:27.180 you know,
00:05:27.960 finding peace.
00:05:29.500 But
00:05:30.020 wouldn't you have said that a little while ago about
00:05:32.940 North Korea and South Korea shaking hands?
00:05:36.640 Didn't seem likely, did it?
00:05:39.240 How about
00:05:39.760 the Middle East breaking out in peace?
00:05:43.780 You might not have seen that
00:05:45.540 coming.
00:05:47.180 So,
00:05:48.040 in the age of Trump,
00:05:49.820 there is a magic,
00:05:51.620 there's a magic thing that happens.
00:05:54.340 And if you don't see it yet,
00:05:56.680 you'll start to see it as it takes form.
00:05:59.340 And it goes like this.
00:06:01.740 Have you heard the word zeitgeist?
00:06:03.720 It's a German word.
00:06:04.900 There's no equivalent in English.
00:06:06.920 It has something to do with
00:06:08.100 how our common opinions of things
00:06:12.700 can change all at the same time,
00:06:14.880 almost like we're connected.
00:06:16.920 Now, we're not,
00:06:18.140 at least as far as I know.
00:06:19.740 But there are some things that just become
00:06:21.440 sort of true in the ether,
00:06:25.520 just in the atmosphere.
00:06:27.320 And everybody just sort of wakes up
00:06:29.040 to the same feeling all at once.
00:06:30.700 And here's the thing that I think
00:06:32.780 Trump does.
00:06:34.720 And you're going to see this accelerate.
00:06:37.700 When Trump took office,
00:06:39.700 even people who didn't like him said,
00:06:42.120 hey,
00:06:42.960 well, at least he's a dealmaker.
00:06:45.160 Right?
00:06:46.100 So,
00:06:46.760 the first part of the zeitgeist was
00:06:48.680 seven billion people,
00:06:50.620 however many pay attention
00:06:52.220 to American politics,
00:06:53.940 some billions,
00:06:55.200 woke up to say,
00:06:56.100 hey,
00:06:56.280 the United States has somebody
00:06:58.280 who's famous
00:06:59.060 for being a dealmaker.
00:07:01.200 Now,
00:07:01.560 he's not made any deals
00:07:02.820 as president.
00:07:04.600 And some people will say,
00:07:06.380 you know,
00:07:06.640 they'll criticize his business past.
00:07:10.520 But we would all agree
00:07:11.860 that his brand,
00:07:13.560 and now it's sort of in our head,
00:07:15.380 is dealmaking.
00:07:16.420 Right?
00:07:16.620 The other thing he did
00:07:18.580 was he made the impossible
00:07:20.000 look possible.
00:07:22.600 You don't have to do that
00:07:24.300 too many times
00:07:25.480 before everybody starts looking
00:07:27.700 at the other pile of impossibles.
00:07:30.540 Think about it.
00:07:31.580 Just conceptually.
00:07:34.140 You believe in your mind
00:07:35.660 there are a hundred impossible things
00:07:38.220 about the world.
00:07:39.760 We're never going to get anywhere
00:07:41.340 with North Korea.
00:07:43.920 We'll never get a better deal
00:07:45.500 with China.
00:07:48.440 The Middle East
00:07:50.680 will never see any more peace.
00:07:52.980 You know,
00:07:53.160 you could make a whole list of things
00:07:54.560 which you know to be impossible.
00:07:57.200 You'll never get that stuff done.
00:07:59.820 And then you see the president
00:08:01.120 do one of them.
00:08:02.600 And you say to yourself,
00:08:03.920 whoa,
00:08:05.060 okay,
00:08:05.920 didn't see that coming.
00:08:07.000 There he is standing on the DMZ
00:08:08.660 shaking hands with Kim.
00:08:11.360 Yeah,
00:08:11.600 we don't have a deal.
00:08:12.720 Yeah,
00:08:12.880 he didn't give up his nukes.
00:08:14.140 But are you still worried
00:08:16.220 about Kim Jong-un
00:08:17.740 nuking the United States?
00:08:19.900 Nope.
00:08:21.200 Nope.
00:08:22.200 Your worry about that
00:08:23.640 went pretty close to zero
00:08:25.220 from,
00:08:26.100 I got to say,
00:08:26.660 I was kind of worried about it
00:08:27.760 to be honest.
00:08:29.080 I was legitimately worried
00:08:30.660 about North Korea for a while.
00:08:32.660 And Trump just
00:08:33.640 took that away.
00:08:36.280 And you say to yourself,
00:08:37.640 all right,
00:08:37.940 all right,
00:08:38.260 he got lucky.
00:08:39.260 He got lucky once.
00:08:40.380 Sure.
00:08:41.200 Anybody can get lucky.
00:08:43.760 Then he drove
00:08:44.520 the unemployment rate
00:08:45.820 before the coronavirus
00:08:46.720 down to levels
00:08:48.420 that nobody thought
00:08:49.460 was even possible.
00:08:50.920 It's one of the things
00:08:51.700 that Trump says
00:08:52.340 all the time.
00:08:53.540 My favorite little
00:08:54.580 throwaway phrase
00:08:55.460 that he throws
00:08:56.040 at the end
00:08:56.460 of almost every sentence,
00:08:58.260 nobody thought
00:08:58.800 it was possible.
00:09:00.100 Nobody thought
00:09:00.740 it could be done.
00:09:02.000 Now,
00:09:02.240 I've told you this before.
00:09:03.800 Each time he says that,
00:09:06.040 and you know
00:09:06.660 how often he says it,
00:09:07.580 right?
00:09:07.920 Nobody thought
00:09:08.480 it could be done.
00:09:08.980 Everybody said
00:09:09.920 it was impossible.
00:09:11.220 Each time he says it,
00:09:12.800 it doesn't mean much
00:09:13.580 of anything, right?
00:09:14.560 It's just sort of
00:09:15.240 a throwaway line.
00:09:17.000 But trust me,
00:09:18.200 if he says it
00:09:19.280 five times a day
00:09:20.420 for a year,
00:09:21.500 you've heard it
00:09:22.400 1,500 times.
00:09:24.660 And it starts to
00:09:26.540 just carve
00:09:27.740 a little home
00:09:28.400 in your head.
00:09:29.600 Oh,
00:09:30.900 Trump,
00:09:32.260 things that weren't
00:09:33.300 possible before.
00:09:35.520 Trump,
00:09:36.120 things that
00:09:37.940 nobody said
00:09:38.640 could be done.
00:09:39.920 Huh.
00:09:40.900 Trump,
00:09:42.220 a new record
00:09:43.120 nobody saw
00:09:44.340 coming.
00:09:45.280 Huh.
00:09:46.380 Trump,
00:09:47.540 nominated for
00:09:48.500 two Nobel Prizes.
00:09:50.940 You know,
00:09:51.460 two nominations
00:09:52.100 for the same prize,
00:09:53.280 but two separate
00:09:54.240 nominations.
00:09:55.680 Huh.
00:09:56.760 And here's what
00:09:57.660 happens to the
00:09:58.480 zeitgeist.
00:09:59.460 Once you've
00:10:00.360 changed the
00:10:01.020 thinking from
00:10:01.860 here's a hundred
00:10:02.900 impossible things
00:10:03.980 and it will
00:10:04.440 always be that
00:10:05.200 way.
00:10:06.040 And Trump
00:10:06.560 starts picking
00:10:07.260 him off.
00:10:08.440 The first one,
00:10:09.700 okay,
00:10:10.000 that was just
00:10:10.480 luck.
00:10:11.300 That was just
00:10:11.860 luck.
00:10:12.700 Yeah,
00:10:12.880 you got one.
00:10:13.620 All right,
00:10:13.980 maybe we were
00:10:14.580 wrong.
00:10:15.360 Maybe it wasn't
00:10:15.940 so impossible.
00:10:17.240 Okay,
00:10:17.480 we'll give you
00:10:17.900 that.
00:10:18.180 You got one.
00:10:19.960 Then he gets
00:10:20.460 another one.
00:10:22.200 You're like,
00:10:22.600 okay,
00:10:23.000 okay,
00:10:23.260 it's just two
00:10:23.800 things.
00:10:24.640 You know,
00:10:24.840 I get it.
00:10:25.460 Two things
00:10:26.080 could technically
00:10:26.900 form a line,
00:10:28.360 but it's just
00:10:29.000 two.
00:10:30.340 Coincidence,
00:10:30.940 confirmation,
00:10:31.600 bias probably is
00:10:33.220 a little bit
00:10:33.640 overstated.
00:10:34.580 Aren't you
00:10:34.900 exaggerating the
00:10:35.820 benefit a little
00:10:36.520 bit?
00:10:37.400 Let's not make
00:10:38.220 too much of
00:10:38.740 this.
00:10:39.240 And by the
00:10:39.680 way,
00:10:40.200 that first
00:10:40.780 thing you did
00:10:41.300 that was so
00:10:41.720 special,
00:10:43.080 Kim Jong-un
00:10:43.700 still has his
00:10:44.500 nukes.
00:10:45.700 So was that
00:10:47.080 really a
00:10:47.780 special?
00:10:49.160 And then the
00:10:49.660 third impossible
00:10:50.420 thing happens.
00:10:51.760 Let's say a
00:10:53.280 peace deal
00:10:53.880 between Israel
00:10:55.660 and the UAE.
00:10:57.200 And then you
00:10:57.840 say,
00:10:58.540 all right,
00:10:58.840 that's three.
00:11:00.140 That's three.
00:11:01.320 I still think
00:11:02.380 this is luck.
00:11:03.640 But you
00:11:04.540 have my
00:11:05.100 attention.
00:11:06.560 You see
00:11:07.160 where it's
00:11:07.480 going?
00:11:09.120 The mental
00:11:11.540 structure that
00:11:14.240 President Trump
00:11:14.980 has designed
00:11:16.660 into all of
00:11:17.620 our brains
00:11:18.360 did not
00:11:19.740 exist before.
00:11:22.180 President Trump
00:11:23.320 has rewired,
00:11:25.800 rewired,
00:11:27.520 programmed,
00:11:28.140 several billion
00:11:31.100 human brains
00:11:32.340 right in front
00:11:33.660 of you.
00:11:34.680 That really
00:11:35.660 happened.
00:11:36.880 There's no
00:11:37.640 hyperbole in
00:11:38.440 this statement.
00:11:39.680 This is a
00:11:40.500 legitimate fact.
00:11:42.340 President Trump
00:11:43.200 intentionally and
00:11:45.980 right in front of
00:11:46.740 you, while you
00:11:47.240 watched every part
00:11:48.120 of it,
00:11:49.100 rewired billions
00:11:51.460 of brains right
00:11:52.540 in front of you.
00:11:53.040 And how did
00:11:54.660 he rewire them?
00:11:56.280 Well, there's a
00:11:57.080 whole bunch of
00:11:57.580 things that people
00:11:58.380 think about him,
00:11:59.220 much of it bad,
00:12:00.140 much of it good.
00:12:01.300 So certainly,
00:12:02.320 you know,
00:12:02.640 there's all kinds
00:12:03.200 of noise in the
00:12:04.080 data, right?
00:12:04.620 There's all kinds
00:12:05.300 of ways that
00:12:06.060 people feel.
00:12:07.080 It's this infinite
00:12:07.940 variety of strong
00:12:09.040 feelings in every
00:12:09.840 direction.
00:12:10.920 But one of the
00:12:11.740 things,
00:12:13.020 and the one that
00:12:13.700 mattered,
00:12:15.020 the one that sits
00:12:15.940 above all of that
00:12:17.460 noise,
00:12:18.640 the one that makes
00:12:21.000 all the others
00:12:21.580 unimportant,
00:12:23.020 is this.
00:12:25.140 He can do
00:12:26.320 what can't be
00:12:28.100 done.
00:12:29.740 He can
00:12:30.580 consistently,
00:12:31.740 apparently,
00:12:33.280 consistently do
00:12:35.360 something that
00:12:36.300 just can't be
00:12:37.100 done.
00:12:38.480 You remember
00:12:38.940 when he was,
00:12:40.120 at one point,
00:12:40.860 he was the
00:12:41.680 poorest man in
00:12:43.220 the world?
00:12:44.660 Because he was
00:12:45.500 so far in debt
00:12:46.440 years ago in his
00:12:47.920 businesses that he
00:12:49.540 had some, I
00:12:50.140 think he had a
00:12:50.600 record.
00:12:51.000 For being like,
00:12:51.980 you have the
00:12:52.640 greatest negative
00:12:53.580 net worth of
00:12:54.240 all time.
00:12:55.820 And came back.
00:12:57.320 Not only did he
00:12:58.020 come back to make
00:12:58.800 his money back,
00:13:00.280 but he's now
00:13:00.880 president of the
00:13:01.640 United States and
00:13:02.480 probably going to
00:13:03.140 get elected to a
00:13:03.920 second term.
00:13:05.280 So, how many
00:13:06.740 people thought that
00:13:07.420 was possible?
00:13:08.980 How many people
00:13:09.640 thought that after
00:13:10.560 the Access Hollywood
00:13:14.740 tape dropped,
00:13:16.760 that he could still
00:13:17.440 get elected?
00:13:17.940 How many people
00:13:20.460 thought he would
00:13:20.840 get elected at
00:13:21.420 all?
00:13:23.120 So, Trump has
00:13:24.060 created this
00:13:24.800 non-stop pattern
00:13:26.260 of, yeah, he does
00:13:27.700 things you don't
00:13:28.360 like.
00:13:29.060 I'm not discounting
00:13:30.280 the fact that he
00:13:30.900 does some things
00:13:31.460 you don't like.
00:13:32.340 That's true.
00:13:33.680 But he also does
00:13:34.760 things, if you're
00:13:35.940 going to be a little
00:13:36.640 bit objective at
00:13:37.420 all, you have to
00:13:38.760 give me this.
00:13:39.840 You have to give
00:13:40.600 me this.
00:13:41.720 He does things you
00:13:43.000 thought were
00:13:43.460 impossible.
00:13:43.960 And it's
00:13:45.660 starting to look
00:13:46.520 routine.
00:13:49.760 He, I think he's
00:13:51.020 going to get maybe
00:13:52.840 20% or more of
00:13:54.300 the black vote.
00:13:55.960 In 2016, when I
00:13:57.960 told people, as I
00:13:59.480 did publicly, I
00:14:01.100 said, you know, I
00:14:02.080 think he's going to
00:14:02.740 like set records for
00:14:03.780 the black vote.
00:14:05.800 Obviously not the
00:14:06.800 election that was
00:14:07.400 over, but, you
00:14:08.640 know, maybe the
00:14:09.060 next one.
00:14:10.560 And sure enough,
00:14:12.420 how many of you
00:14:13.040 thought that was
00:14:13.620 possible, that he
00:14:14.820 would set records
00:14:15.780 for black votes?
00:14:17.840 You didn't think
00:14:18.360 that was possible.
00:14:20.020 And so, by
00:14:21.540 creating a
00:14:22.940 programming change
00:14:25.540 in our minds,
00:14:26.880 which we've
00:14:27.580 changed that
00:14:28.180 hundred impossible
00:14:29.160 things into,
00:14:31.000 why do these
00:14:31.840 keep happening?
00:14:34.740 It looks like
00:14:35.840 all these
00:14:36.220 impossibles are
00:14:37.100 happening.
00:14:38.040 When Trump
00:14:38.640 signed the
00:14:39.400 most favored
00:14:41.780 nations thing
00:14:42.660 for
00:14:42.940 pharmaceuticals,
00:14:44.560 what was the
00:14:45.320 first thing you
00:14:46.060 thought when
00:14:47.320 you said, wait
00:14:48.080 a minute, he
00:14:48.760 just signed an
00:14:49.460 executive order,
00:14:50.300 that's all it
00:14:50.720 was, didn't
00:14:52.000 require a
00:14:52.640 Congress, didn't
00:14:54.120 require anything
00:14:54.880 except the
00:14:55.520 president and a
00:14:56.160 piece of paper
00:14:56.660 and a pen,
00:14:58.000 signing a
00:14:58.600 document that
00:15:00.040 lowered our
00:15:00.820 drug costs by
00:15:01.860 making it illegal
00:15:03.480 for them to
00:15:04.500 charge us more
00:15:05.140 than they charge
00:15:05.700 somebody else?
00:15:06.360 and I
00:15:07.440 thought, I
00:15:09.580 thought that
00:15:09.940 was impossible
00:15:10.620 because if it
00:15:13.200 wasn't impossible,
00:15:14.800 why didn't it
00:15:15.420 happen before?
00:15:16.320 Now, the
00:15:16.760 obvious reason is
00:15:17.620 that the
00:15:18.340 pharmaceutical
00:15:18.940 companies were
00:15:19.840 too powerful
00:15:20.500 compared to
00:15:21.920 past presidents.
00:15:24.180 Apparently,
00:15:25.700 apparently, the
00:15:27.320 pharmaceutical
00:15:27.780 companies are not
00:15:29.500 more powerful than
00:15:30.500 Trump because he
00:15:31.840 just, he just
00:15:33.040 waved his hand and
00:15:33.940 swept them off the
00:15:34.680 table.
00:15:35.740 I guess they're
00:15:36.540 complaining.
00:15:37.720 I haven't seen any
00:15:38.920 complaints.
00:15:40.080 I haven't seen any
00:15:41.060 blowback.
00:15:42.280 I haven't seen any
00:15:43.240 negative.
00:15:45.800 He'll never move
00:15:46.980 the embassy, the
00:15:49.220 American embassy, to
00:15:50.180 Jerusalem because that
00:15:51.940 would cause all kinds
00:15:52.940 of, oh, he did it.
00:15:54.200 Okay, I guess it
00:15:55.040 wasn't impossible.
00:15:56.640 Well, it wouldn't
00:15:57.120 make sense to
00:15:57.760 recognize the Golan
00:15:58.660 Heights because that,
00:16:00.440 oh, he did it?
00:16:01.260 He just did it.
00:16:02.760 That's done.
00:16:03.380 Okay, I guess that
00:16:04.800 worked out.
00:16:06.020 Well, it certainly
00:16:06.720 would be reckless and
00:16:07.840 crazy to send a drone
00:16:09.320 to kill General
00:16:10.680 Soleimani.
00:16:11.720 I mean, you do that
00:16:13.380 and you're going to
00:16:13.820 create a giant war in
00:16:14.980 the middle.
00:16:15.560 What?
00:16:16.440 He already did that?
00:16:18.420 Lindsey Graham told
00:16:19.600 him not to do that.
00:16:20.580 He said it was
00:16:21.020 reckless.
00:16:21.480 That's over the line.
00:16:23.060 He did it anyway.
00:16:24.960 And did it work out?
00:16:27.960 Yeah, it kind of did.
00:16:30.280 Well, but there's one
00:16:31.340 thing we know.
00:16:32.500 If you remove American
00:16:34.040 forces from Syria, that
00:16:35.640 certain part of Syria, it
00:16:37.460 was clear that near the
00:16:38.780 Turkish border, we would
00:16:40.540 be exposing all our
00:16:41.820 Kurdish allies and the
00:16:43.380 Kurds would just be
00:16:44.200 slaughtered, right?
00:16:45.700 So it was kind of
00:16:46.500 impossible.
00:16:48.000 It was literally just
00:16:49.440 impossible to remove our
00:16:51.360 troops because we cannot
00:16:53.200 be the kind of country
00:16:54.120 that would leave our
00:16:54.880 allies to be slaughtered.
00:16:56.200 So you've been seeing
00:16:57.980 all the news about
00:16:58.680 those Kurds being
00:16:59.920 slaughtered?
00:17:02.180 Nope.
00:17:03.660 Didn't happen.
00:17:05.040 It was impossible.
00:17:07.760 And then Trump just did
00:17:08.900 it right in front of you.
00:17:11.480 You can't, it can't be
00:17:12.360 done.
00:17:12.680 There's no way to do
00:17:13.400 this without these people
00:17:15.400 all getting killed.
00:17:16.780 Watch me do it.
00:17:18.080 And then he just did it.
00:17:19.060 And I think we've
00:17:21.140 waited long enough to
00:17:23.160 determine that it worked
00:17:24.200 out, right?
00:17:26.080 Now, how many times does
00:17:27.460 the president need to do
00:17:28.780 this?
00:17:30.040 And now there's some talk
00:17:31.340 that maybe Saudi Arabia
00:17:33.720 might be the next deal
00:17:35.060 with Israel, which would
00:17:36.520 be sort of the big one.
00:17:37.840 And that does make sense,
00:17:39.500 doesn't it?
00:17:40.260 Because you're seeing,
00:17:41.580 you see the smaller deals
00:17:43.260 being made because that
00:17:45.100 tests the system.
00:17:46.800 I don't think it's an
00:17:48.180 accident that some
00:17:49.640 smaller countries are
00:17:50.960 going first, you know,
00:17:52.760 to just see, okay,
00:17:54.260 Bahrain, all right,
00:17:55.600 Bahrain, how'd that go?
00:17:57.360 Everybody?
00:17:58.360 Everybody okay with this?
00:18:00.520 Objections?
00:18:01.160 Just the Palestinians?
00:18:03.860 Okay.
00:18:06.000 Now, if you think back
00:18:07.380 to 2018, when the
00:18:09.540 president, President
00:18:10.640 Trump, was being
00:18:12.200 clearly soft on
00:18:13.760 Saudi Arabia after the
00:18:15.580 murder of Khashoggi,
00:18:16.880 and pretty much the
00:18:19.220 entire world on the
00:18:20.440 left and the right
00:18:21.240 said, that's a mistake.
00:18:24.280 There is a big old
00:18:25.340 mistake, Trump.
00:18:27.480 You can't just let that
00:18:29.100 go.
00:18:30.020 You have to come down
00:18:31.480 hard on Saudi Arabia.
00:18:33.220 You just got to do it.
00:18:34.660 There's no option to
00:18:35.960 this.
00:18:37.500 And then he didn't do it.
00:18:39.860 And I said, wait a
00:18:41.980 minute, I think you're
00:18:42.540 missing something big.
00:18:43.560 I said to the
00:18:44.400 public, I said, Saudi
00:18:47.180 Arabia now owes the
00:18:49.740 United States something
00:18:51.780 big.
00:18:52.760 So what President
00:18:53.680 Trump did was he
00:18:54.700 created an asset out of
00:18:56.540 nothing, which is one of
00:18:58.620 his greatest tricks.
00:19:00.040 He created an asset out
00:19:02.560 of nothing.
00:19:03.380 The asset he created was
00:19:05.240 Saudi Arabia owes us a
00:19:07.820 big, big frickin'
00:19:09.960 favor.
00:19:10.340 because Trump did
00:19:12.340 cover for them.
00:19:13.800 He did it publicly.
00:19:15.240 He did it at the risk
00:19:16.620 and the cost of his own
00:19:17.960 reputation.
00:19:19.260 Tremendous expense.
00:19:21.440 Tremendous expense for
00:19:23.560 him personally.
00:19:24.840 Look at the amount of
00:19:26.160 just flack that Trump
00:19:28.760 took for that public
00:19:29.920 stand, which he was
00:19:30.840 quite consistent on,
00:19:33.720 not going hard on
00:19:34.700 Saudi.
00:19:34.960 Now, time passes.
00:19:37.760 What do we need from
00:19:38.700 Saudi Arabia?
00:19:41.100 Lots of things.
00:19:42.480 You know, there are lots
00:19:43.000 of cooperation in a
00:19:43.980 variety of different
00:19:44.600 ways.
00:19:45.680 But the one thing that
00:19:47.000 really, really could
00:19:48.360 just, I don't know,
00:19:50.460 just change everything
00:19:51.340 is if Saudi Arabia
00:19:53.460 says, you know, it's
00:19:54.720 time.
00:19:56.040 It's time to work
00:19:57.260 things out.
00:19:58.620 It's time to be the
00:20:00.020 adults in the room.
00:20:01.160 It's time to do
00:20:01.900 something with Israel
00:20:02.960 with Israel that's
00:20:04.220 permanent and lasting
00:20:05.240 and just sets up the
00:20:06.760 region for prosperity
00:20:08.480 in the future.
00:20:10.000 I feel like Saudi
00:20:11.440 Arabia is going to
00:20:12.340 come online really
00:20:14.120 soon.
00:20:14.560 Before the election,
00:20:15.380 it would make sense.
00:20:16.540 Because if you're
00:20:17.460 Saudi Arabia, here's
00:20:18.980 what you're not going
00:20:19.740 to do.
00:20:20.860 Remember, Saudi
00:20:22.160 Arabia owes Trump a
00:20:24.060 favor.
00:20:24.960 Here's what they're
00:20:25.580 not going to do.
00:20:26.540 If they have any
00:20:27.760 intention of jumping
00:20:29.440 on the peace deal
00:20:31.060 train, and it looks
00:20:32.200 like they do,
00:20:32.960 they're going to do
00:20:34.120 it before election.
00:20:36.380 You're going to see
00:20:37.120 one of the biggest
00:20:38.020 dynamite explosions
00:20:41.260 in brains that you'll
00:20:42.920 ever see if they pull
00:20:44.760 this in before election.
00:20:46.340 And I would guess
00:20:46.940 that's what they're
00:20:47.500 aiming for.
00:20:48.140 We'll see if they
00:20:48.700 pull it off.
00:20:51.560 So that's my big
00:20:53.960 takeaway, is that
00:20:55.140 Trump has changed
00:20:56.140 our brains and
00:20:57.580 changed what we
00:20:58.500 think about what is
00:21:00.180 possible from what is
00:21:01.440 not possible.
00:21:02.180 He has absolutely
00:21:03.920 rewired your brain
00:21:05.300 to good effect,
00:21:07.600 I would say.
00:21:08.940 Making us all more
00:21:10.220 entrepreneurial,
00:21:12.020 maybe a little bit
00:21:13.880 more adept at risk
00:21:16.180 management.
00:21:17.260 I mean, you get that
00:21:18.260 for free just by
00:21:19.420 observing.
00:21:20.600 Because how many
00:21:21.480 times have you now
00:21:22.440 seen something that
00:21:25.380 seemed impossible get
00:21:26.480 done?
00:21:27.840 Now, that's a lesson
00:21:29.240 that transfers into
00:21:30.200 your life.
00:21:31.080 How many hundred
00:21:32.080 things do you have
00:21:32.920 in your personal
00:21:33.700 life that you have
00:21:35.400 said to yourself,
00:21:36.080 well, that's
00:21:36.500 impossible.
00:21:37.600 I mean, you know,
00:21:38.940 I'll work on the
00:21:39.800 stuff that's doable.
00:21:41.200 I'm not going to
00:21:41.900 work on this big
00:21:42.560 pile of impossibles.
00:21:45.420 Maybe take a shot
00:21:46.360 at a few.
00:21:47.660 I can tell you that
00:21:48.660 in my life, there
00:21:50.100 have been quite a few
00:21:50.960 impossibles.
00:21:52.820 One of them, you all
00:21:54.760 know the story, I
00:21:55.440 lost my voice
00:21:56.480 permanently.
00:21:57.820 I had an incurable
00:21:59.000 voice problem.
00:22:01.320 There was no
00:22:02.140 solution.
00:22:03.080 The rest of my life,
00:22:04.000 I would not be able
00:22:04.640 to communicate in a
00:22:06.600 way that people could
00:22:07.320 understand.
00:22:09.100 But, here I am.
00:22:12.140 A hundred thousand
00:22:12.860 people will listen to
00:22:13.980 this periscope
00:22:15.160 eventually,
00:22:16.180 unrecorded as well
00:22:17.760 as live.
00:22:19.160 And how do I
00:22:20.260 sound?
00:22:20.600 But, right?
00:22:22.380 So, this is one of
00:22:23.860 the great, great
00:22:24.720 lessons.
00:22:25.700 And this is the
00:22:26.820 sort of thing that
00:22:27.420 Trump will never
00:22:28.900 get full credit
00:22:29.860 for.
00:22:31.080 And it's the, I
00:22:32.800 would argue, the
00:22:33.400 most important thing
00:22:34.280 he does, and yet
00:22:35.260 it will be the thing
00:22:35.900 he doesn't get
00:22:36.420 credit for, is that
00:22:37.680 he's changing what
00:22:39.760 you think is
00:22:40.420 possible.
00:22:41.780 He's changing
00:22:42.500 that.
00:22:43.280 Do you know who
00:22:43.660 else does that?
00:22:44.980 Elon Musk.
00:22:46.760 Elon Musk is
00:22:48.600 rewiring your brain.
00:22:50.600 Now, he's not
00:22:51.120 doing it as
00:22:51.900 intentionally, I
00:22:53.360 don't think.
00:22:54.480 It could be.
00:22:55.500 But I don't think he's
00:22:56.220 doing it as
00:22:56.760 intentionally as
00:22:57.560 Trump is doing it.
00:22:58.460 Trump is doing it
00:22:59.820 for effect.
00:23:02.420 But Elon Musk,
00:23:04.380 he's literally
00:23:05.780 rewired your brain
00:23:07.260 from thinking that
00:23:08.960 there were a set of
00:23:09.580 things that are just
00:23:10.220 too hard to do,
00:23:11.700 to when are we
00:23:12.660 going to the moon?
00:23:14.380 When can I have my
00:23:15.440 electric car?
00:23:16.780 He just made the
00:23:17.580 impossible set
00:23:18.320 impossible.
00:23:19.560 So you should keep
00:23:20.360 an eye on people
00:23:20.960 like that.
00:23:22.980 Let's talk about
00:23:23.720 winning strategies
00:23:24.580 versus losing
00:23:25.340 strategies.
00:23:26.160 And we'll get into
00:23:26.960 the news, but let me
00:23:27.900 work up to it this
00:23:29.560 way.
00:23:30.900 I may have told you
00:23:31.700 the story or not,
00:23:32.600 I don't know.
00:23:33.340 But years ago, many
00:23:34.640 years ago, I was in
00:23:35.500 a relationship in
00:23:37.060 which I would
00:23:38.580 sometimes buy
00:23:39.920 flowers for the
00:23:41.400 woman I was with.
00:23:43.180 I wasn't married at
00:23:44.220 the time, but it was
00:23:45.040 a long-term
00:23:45.460 relationship, and I
00:23:46.960 would give her just
00:23:48.160 flowers for no
00:23:49.260 reason.
00:23:50.260 Now, I knew from
00:23:51.720 prior conversations
00:23:52.760 that it was more
00:23:54.420 meaningful to her to
00:23:55.440 give flowers when it
00:23:57.060 wasn't, you know,
00:23:57.920 Valentine's Day or
00:23:58.740 something.
00:23:59.500 And so I would give
00:24:00.480 her flowers, and she
00:24:01.460 would say this.
00:24:03.580 Oh, what are you
00:24:04.560 guilty for?
00:24:06.280 And we would laugh
00:24:07.200 because, you know,
00:24:07.820 it's sort of a
00:24:08.280 standard joke.
00:24:09.520 Ha, ha, ha, you
00:24:10.260 must be guilty if
00:24:11.060 you're giving flowers.
00:24:12.140 Now, the first time I
00:24:13.220 heard that, I thought
00:24:14.000 to myself, huh, you
00:24:15.740 know, I get it's just
00:24:16.400 a joke, and I have a
00:24:17.300 sense of humor, but I
00:24:20.040 feel like I didn't
00:24:20.860 get anything in
00:24:22.360 return.
00:24:23.480 I feel like I got, in
00:24:25.400 a very small way, I
00:24:26.820 mean really trivial, but
00:24:28.440 in a small way, I feel
00:24:29.300 like I got punished for
00:24:31.560 doing the right thing.
00:24:33.500 Suddenly, I have to
00:24:34.440 explain what I'm
00:24:35.240 guilty for?
00:24:36.580 Like, that had nothing
00:24:37.680 to do with anything.
00:24:38.620 I was just literally
00:24:39.880 trying to do something
00:24:40.720 good.
00:24:41.780 So the next time I
00:24:42.880 brought her flowers,
00:24:43.540 she said the same
00:24:44.980 joke.
00:24:46.960 And somewhere around
00:24:48.680 the second or third
00:24:49.600 time it happened, I
00:24:50.760 said, look, I got to
00:24:51.620 talk to you.
00:24:53.180 Please, please don't
00:24:54.480 say that.
00:24:55.940 Please let me have
00:24:57.300 some benefit for
00:24:59.520 doing the thing you
00:25:00.320 want me to do.
00:25:01.760 Don't punish me for
00:25:02.900 what you want more
00:25:03.720 of, because you'll
00:25:04.860 end up with less of
00:25:06.040 it.
00:25:06.860 I'm just like a
00:25:07.840 dog.
00:25:08.880 Humans and dogs are
00:25:10.040 not that different.
00:25:11.380 If you give somebody a
00:25:12.440 treat for doing the
00:25:13.240 right thing, and you
00:25:14.460 do it enough, you'll
00:25:15.360 train them to do the
00:25:16.160 right thing.
00:25:16.880 If you penalize them
00:25:18.220 for doing the right
00:25:18.900 thing, even if it's
00:25:20.380 just a joke, over
00:25:22.160 time, it becomes a
00:25:24.380 penalty that they
00:25:25.160 don't want to do.
00:25:26.600 What happened?
00:25:28.180 Did she stop doing
00:25:29.720 that joke?
00:25:31.000 Nope.
00:25:31.980 Nope.
00:25:33.000 Didn't stop doing
00:25:33.780 the joke.
00:25:35.140 And eventually, it
00:25:36.480 just killed my
00:25:37.240 feelings.
00:25:38.660 Honestly.
00:25:39.780 It just killed my
00:25:40.940 feelings.
00:25:41.300 So, I'm not saying
00:25:43.040 that's the one
00:25:43.640 reason that, you
00:25:44.480 know, things
00:25:45.400 didn't last, but
00:25:46.940 watch this technique
00:25:49.420 in a lot of other
00:25:51.060 bigger issues, all
00:25:52.100 right?
00:25:52.260 Let me give you some
00:25:53.000 examples.
00:25:55.900 Bill Maher was
00:25:56.820 talking last night
00:25:57.640 about how it's
00:25:58.460 such a bad idea
00:25:59.360 for the Democrats
00:26:01.220 to be, let's say,
00:26:03.400 running cover for
00:26:05.660 looting.
00:26:06.480 So, a lot of people
00:26:07.280 on the left are
00:26:08.660 trying to make the
00:26:09.480 case that the
00:26:10.940 looting is just a
00:26:12.020 property crime and
00:26:13.380 it's appropriate
00:26:15.060 within the larger
00:26:16.120 context of how
00:26:17.740 important the issue
00:26:19.380 is and you can't
00:26:20.840 really get action
00:26:22.280 until you've caused
00:26:23.560 some, caused a
00:26:24.920 little distress on
00:26:26.360 the people who
00:26:26.860 need to act.
00:26:28.080 And so, nobody
00:26:29.160 loves looting, but
00:26:30.260 it has its place,
00:26:31.600 it fits within this
00:26:32.760 world.
00:26:33.180 It's okay.
00:26:34.260 Don't worry too
00:26:35.020 much about the
00:26:35.720 looting, is what
00:26:36.940 you're hearing from
00:26:37.800 the Democrats.
00:26:39.180 Now, given that
00:26:40.120 people only hear
00:26:41.100 from their own
00:26:41.720 side, like
00:26:42.660 Democrats listen
00:26:43.460 to Democrats,
00:26:44.440 Republicans hear
00:26:45.220 from Republicans
00:26:46.080 for the most
00:26:47.480 part, what
00:26:49.000 happens to
00:26:50.860 looting?
00:26:52.020 You get more
00:26:52.960 of it, right?
00:26:54.040 Wouldn't you
00:26:54.600 always get more
00:26:55.560 of the thing
00:26:56.980 you're getting
00:26:57.460 complimented for?
00:26:58.920 So, the
00:26:59.560 protesters are
00:27:00.400 getting on TV,
00:27:02.400 they're getting
00:27:03.120 the fun of the
00:27:03.980 protest, it looks
00:27:04.760 like they have
00:27:05.420 some community
00:27:06.800 feeling, so they
00:27:08.340 get good feelings
00:27:09.260 from it, and
00:27:10.080 then their team,
00:27:11.380 the people who
00:27:11.880 are not protesting,
00:27:13.360 but rather the
00:27:14.380 support structure
00:27:15.180 for them, compliments
00:27:17.180 them, and basically
00:27:18.880 rewards them for
00:27:20.500 bad behavior.
00:27:21.820 Now, if you reward
00:27:22.720 people for bad
00:27:23.540 behavior, what
00:27:25.220 happens?
00:27:26.620 You will, of
00:27:27.680 course, get more
00:27:28.620 bad behavior.
00:27:30.060 Not sometimes,
00:27:31.940 not, well, there's
00:27:33.360 a risk of getting
00:27:34.200 more bad behavior.
00:27:35.260 No, I'm not
00:27:35.860 saying there's a
00:27:36.560 risk of it.
00:27:37.660 I'm saying that
00:27:38.440 100% of the
00:27:39.380 time, the thing
00:27:40.880 you reward, you'll
00:27:42.300 get more of.
00:27:43.740 Doesn't matter if
00:27:44.560 it's an animal,
00:27:45.720 doesn't matter if
00:27:46.520 it's a human,
00:27:47.580 doesn't matter if
00:27:48.360 it's a Democrat,
00:27:49.200 doesn't matter if
00:27:49.840 it's a Republican.
00:27:51.060 If you're alive,
00:27:53.300 like you can
00:27:53.940 breathe and see
00:27:55.100 the world, you
00:27:56.440 respond to
00:27:57.360 rewards and
00:27:59.240 penalties.
00:28:00.600 So, let's take
00:28:01.440 this to another
00:28:03.900 level.
00:28:05.240 The Palestinians
00:28:05.920 reacted with
00:28:09.220 unhappiness about
00:28:11.380 the peace that's
00:28:12.300 breaking out in
00:28:12.980 the Middle East.
00:28:14.180 All right?
00:28:14.660 So, take the
00:28:15.320 concept that you'll
00:28:16.360 get more of what
00:28:17.600 you reward and
00:28:19.120 less of what you
00:28:19.960 penalize.
00:28:21.100 So, now, Israel is
00:28:22.420 working out deals
00:28:24.160 for mutual benefit
00:28:25.620 with neighboring
00:28:27.140 Arab countries.
00:28:28.760 What should be
00:28:29.860 everybody's approach
00:28:32.120 to that?
00:28:33.860 Reward, right?
00:28:35.720 Should President
00:28:36.540 Trump not get a
00:28:37.680 Nobel Peace Prize
00:28:38.600 nomination?
00:28:39.360 He should.
00:28:40.380 He should.
00:28:41.300 Would that make
00:28:42.220 President Trump
00:28:42.960 more likely to try
00:28:44.120 even harder to
00:28:45.540 get more peace in
00:28:46.660 more places?
00:28:47.820 Yes.
00:28:48.980 Yes.
00:28:50.100 Of course.
00:28:51.200 If he had been
00:28:52.020 penalized, President
00:28:53.540 Trump, for working
00:28:55.180 hard to get peace in
00:28:56.180 the Middle East,
00:28:56.700 would he keep
00:28:58.000 going?
00:28:58.760 Would he put as
00:28:59.300 much resource and
00:29:00.420 time into it if he
00:29:01.620 just kept getting
00:29:02.240 penalized for it?
00:29:04.180 No.
00:29:05.400 Because he's a
00:29:06.480 human animal.
00:29:07.980 It has nothing to
00:29:08.740 do with his
00:29:09.180 personality or
00:29:09.940 character.
00:29:10.860 You do more of
00:29:11.900 what you're rewarded
00:29:13.080 for.
00:29:13.640 Period.
00:29:14.560 As soon as you
00:29:15.420 think that doesn't
00:29:16.280 apply, you're not
00:29:17.560 part of the
00:29:18.360 productive world
00:29:20.060 anymore.
00:29:20.900 You're off in
00:29:21.660 imaginary land.
00:29:23.260 Rewards and
00:29:24.180 penalties work.
00:29:25.260 So what did
00:29:26.400 the Palestinian
00:29:27.680 envoy to the
00:29:30.560 Arab League,
00:29:32.460 so what did he
00:29:33.160 say about this
00:29:34.640 deal with Israel
00:29:36.340 and the UAE?
00:29:38.060 He said,
00:29:39.060 with all pride,
00:29:42.100 Palestine wants
00:29:44.140 a decision from
00:29:44.880 the Arab foreign
00:29:45.860 ministers, blah,
00:29:46.580 blah, blah.
00:29:47.200 And then he goes
00:29:47.820 to this, quote,
00:29:49.360 but Palestine was
00:29:50.420 unable to impose
00:29:51.540 that, in other
00:29:52.280 words, the agreement
00:29:53.320 they wanted people
00:29:53.960 to agree to.
00:29:55.000 So the draft
00:29:55.740 resolution collapsed.
00:29:57.600 And here's the
00:29:58.520 key part.
00:29:59.840 This is everything
00:30:00.440 you need to know.
00:30:02.160 He says, and
00:30:03.100 remember, he's an
00:30:04.520 envoy, so he can
00:30:06.460 speak for the
00:30:07.300 government.
00:30:08.820 So he's not just
00:30:09.660 a guy.
00:30:10.420 He's speaking for
00:30:11.140 the government.
00:30:11.740 And he says,
00:30:13.300 we have dignity,
00:30:14.480 martyrs, prisoners,
00:30:16.240 and refugee camps
00:30:17.300 of glory, and this
00:30:18.940 is enough for us.
00:30:19.900 Oh my God.
00:30:23.360 This is an official
00:30:24.720 government person
00:30:25.640 from the Palestinian
00:30:27.340 people saying that
00:30:29.980 their goal, what
00:30:32.120 they want, in other
00:30:33.580 words, that it's
00:30:34.320 better to have these
00:30:35.280 things, better than
00:30:36.780 peace, better than
00:30:38.840 prosperity, better
00:30:39.980 than health, better
00:30:41.540 than life, is these
00:30:43.360 things.
00:30:44.140 Dignity, martyrs,
00:30:46.200 prisoners, prisoners,
00:30:48.080 prisoners, and
00:30:49.000 refugee camps of
00:30:50.120 glory, and this is
00:30:51.760 enough for us.
00:30:53.640 All right, if this
00:30:54.880 is your approach, can
00:30:58.420 you predict how it
00:30:59.400 will go?
00:31:00.940 Yes, you can.
00:31:02.180 There's a hundred
00:31:02.920 percent chance that
00:31:04.020 this approach leads
00:31:05.540 to misery.
00:31:07.360 There's no other
00:31:08.680 opportunity for, you
00:31:11.040 know, talk about
00:31:11.600 impossible.
00:31:12.820 It's one thing to
00:31:13.580 say something is,
00:31:14.460 you know, so
00:31:15.080 unlikely it seems
00:31:16.020 impossible.
00:31:16.520 It's another thing
00:31:17.800 to say you're
00:31:18.780 doing everything
00:31:19.420 you can to fail.
00:31:21.720 I mean, if you
00:31:22.220 made a list, I'd
00:31:23.040 say, all right, let's
00:31:24.300 make a list of all
00:31:26.020 the things you
00:31:26.740 shouldn't do if you
00:31:28.640 want a better world
00:31:29.460 for yourself and
00:31:30.280 your people.
00:31:31.040 What would be on
00:31:31.800 the list?
00:31:32.440 Well, how about
00:31:33.860 punishing people when
00:31:35.720 good things happen
00:31:36.980 and rewarding bad
00:31:39.920 behavior?
00:31:41.000 Let's say somebody
00:31:42.120 does a suicide
00:31:42.900 attack.
00:31:43.840 Yeah, we'll reward
00:31:44.680 them for that.
00:31:46.400 Yeah, their names
00:31:47.100 will be famous.
00:31:48.100 Their family will
00:31:48.780 be paid off.
00:31:50.700 The Palestinians
00:31:51.760 have literally
00:31:52.720 reversed the
00:31:54.820 lists.
00:31:56.040 They're penalizing
00:31:57.240 the good things
00:31:58.120 and they're
00:31:58.860 rewarding the bad
00:31:59.740 things and they're
00:32:00.920 getting exactly the
00:32:02.480 outcome that that
00:32:03.420 predicts.
00:32:04.760 Exactly the outcome
00:32:05.780 it predicts.
00:32:07.960 What would they do
00:32:09.420 if they wanted to
00:32:10.440 reverse that?
00:32:11.400 What would it look
00:32:11.960 like?
00:32:12.240 Here's what it
00:32:13.540 would look like.
00:32:14.960 Imagine the
00:32:15.680 Palestinians said,
00:32:16.700 you know, we like
00:32:18.300 the fact that peace
00:32:19.400 is breaking out in
00:32:20.300 some places.
00:32:21.640 We're not getting
00:32:22.340 what we want and
00:32:24.000 we're not releasing
00:32:25.260 on it.
00:32:25.780 We want some stuff
00:32:26.940 but we're happy that
00:32:28.700 things are happening.
00:32:29.800 Congratulations.
00:32:31.980 Just think about
00:32:32.840 that.
00:32:33.380 So that would be a
00:32:34.180 reward to Israel
00:32:35.640 and to the other
00:32:36.720 Arab countries.
00:32:38.040 Now, Palestinians
00:32:40.340 just hypothetically
00:32:41.400 say, you know,
00:32:43.300 we're among the
00:32:44.640 worst affected in
00:32:45.940 many ways and if
00:32:47.680 peace is breaking
00:32:48.420 out in all these
00:32:49.100 places, why don't
00:32:50.320 we just package
00:32:50.980 this up and we'll
00:32:53.340 be on board but
00:32:55.000 we also have a
00:32:55.860 bunch of things we
00:32:56.540 want but you guys
00:32:57.700 are doing a great
00:32:58.300 job and hey, if we
00:33:00.560 can help you out,
00:33:01.940 if we can help
00:33:02.540 your part of the
00:33:03.240 deal work, can you
00:33:04.480 let us know how?
00:33:05.160 We'll help your
00:33:05.960 deal work and
00:33:07.680 then what happens?
00:33:09.180 Then the entire
00:33:10.160 Middle East says,
00:33:11.320 well, we kind of
00:33:12.680 like you guys.
00:33:14.160 Thank you.
00:33:15.620 Thank you for
00:33:16.360 being positive.
00:33:17.260 We didn't expect
00:33:17.840 that but thank you
00:33:19.340 and then the
00:33:21.000 Palestinians say,
00:33:22.180 you know what
00:33:23.700 would make things
00:33:24.380 even?
00:33:24.880 I know we're
00:33:25.780 never going to
00:33:26.240 get the right of
00:33:26.920 return exactly but
00:33:29.140 wouldn't it be
00:33:30.200 okay if sometimes
00:33:31.140 we could buy our
00:33:32.000 way back in?
00:33:32.800 So perhaps people
00:33:34.700 who lost property
00:33:35.720 could be compensated
00:33:37.520 with reparations.
00:33:38.760 They don't have to
00:33:39.820 use that money to
00:33:40.760 let's say buy
00:33:41.460 property someday.
00:33:42.580 I don't even know
00:33:43.000 what's legal.
00:33:43.880 Can they do that?
00:33:44.980 Can they buy
00:33:45.500 property?
00:33:46.340 If you were a
00:33:46.860 Palestinian and you
00:33:47.620 had money, what
00:33:49.800 would it take to
00:33:50.500 buy property in
00:33:51.840 Israel?
00:33:52.540 And could you buy
00:33:53.440 back, maybe not
00:33:55.020 the same place you
00:33:55.820 were displaced
00:33:57.220 from, but could
00:33:58.520 you buy back
00:33:59.080 property in Israel
00:34:00.500 if you wanted to,
00:34:01.460 if you had the
00:34:02.080 money?
00:34:02.900 So suppose the
00:34:04.280 Palestinians said,
00:34:05.040 look, we're going
00:34:05.540 to be as positive
00:34:06.760 and helpful as we
00:34:07.700 can be, but you
00:34:09.400 know what would
00:34:09.940 really make
00:34:10.440 everything work?
00:34:11.880 Would be a
00:34:12.680 gigantic pot of
00:34:13.940 money that's
00:34:15.300 partly reparations
00:34:16.320 and partly
00:34:16.880 development that
00:34:18.580 would make the
00:34:19.340 Palestinian areas
00:34:20.800 just super good.
00:34:23.200 And it's a big
00:34:24.140 number.
00:34:24.740 I mean, I'm
00:34:25.720 embarrassed to say
00:34:26.440 how big the
00:34:26.920 number is, but
00:34:28.320 did I mention
00:34:29.120 that we're being
00:34:29.860 really helpful on
00:34:30.900 all this other
00:34:31.460 stuff?
00:34:32.080 We're going to
00:34:32.740 be helpful in
00:34:34.020 every other
00:34:34.500 way.
00:34:36.140 We just want
00:34:37.420 this big pile
00:34:38.400 of money.
00:34:38.940 It's kind of
00:34:39.500 gigantic, but it
00:34:40.860 would really solve
00:34:41.540 this problem once
00:34:42.580 and for all.
00:34:43.680 Now, would any
00:34:44.140 of that work?
00:34:44.760 Probably not,
00:34:45.400 because it's the
00:34:45.880 Middle East.
00:34:46.620 But my point is
00:34:47.460 this.
00:34:48.280 You don't have
00:34:49.240 any chance if
00:34:50.420 you're rewarding
00:34:51.080 bad behavior and
00:34:53.040 punishing good
00:34:53.680 behavior.
00:34:54.640 So in the long
00:34:55.840 run, if that
00:34:56.700 doesn't ever
00:34:57.300 reverse, they'll
00:34:58.900 always have the
00:34:59.400 same outcome.
00:35:01.660 Let's talk
00:35:02.280 about Black
00:35:02.720 Lives Matter
00:35:03.180 doing basically
00:35:03.940 the same thing.
00:35:04.940 I said with
00:35:05.680 the riots and
00:35:07.200 the looting,
00:35:07.800 that's more.
00:35:08.980 But let me
00:35:10.820 give you a
00:35:11.960 mental experiment,
00:35:14.100 sort of a
00:35:14.700 thought experiment
00:35:15.360 of what it
00:35:15.960 would look like
00:35:16.580 for Black
00:35:17.680 Lives Matter,
00:35:18.340 the group,
00:35:19.180 the organization.
00:35:19.940 We're not
00:35:20.560 talking about
00:35:21.060 the philosophy
00:35:22.100 of it, just
00:35:22.680 the organization.
00:35:24.340 What would it
00:35:25.080 take for them
00:35:25.540 to be more
00:35:26.060 effective?
00:35:27.280 What would it
00:35:27.820 take for them
00:35:28.320 to reward good
00:35:30.220 behavior and
00:35:31.460 punish bad
00:35:32.080 behavior?
00:35:33.180 Well, what are
00:35:33.960 they doing right
00:35:34.500 now?
00:35:34.920 Right now, they're
00:35:35.520 taking somebody
00:35:36.200 who's accused
00:35:36.880 of a sex crime,
00:35:38.300 who resisted
00:35:39.340 arrest, got
00:35:40.760 shot, nobody's
00:35:42.440 in favor of
00:35:42.920 that, but now
00:35:45.460 that person will
00:35:46.240 be a hero with
00:35:48.260 their name on
00:35:48.980 NFL helmets,
00:35:50.040 apparently.
00:35:51.420 Now, if you're
00:35:51.980 Black Lives Matter,
00:35:52.800 have you
00:35:53.860 punished bad
00:35:54.940 behavior, or
00:35:56.560 have you
00:35:57.000 rewarded bad
00:35:58.060 behavior?
00:35:59.340 You know the
00:35:59.920 answer.
00:36:01.180 Black Lives Matter,
00:36:02.320 right in front of
00:36:03.120 you, and as
00:36:03.680 publicly as they
00:36:04.580 possibly could,
00:36:05.820 are rewarding
00:36:06.620 bad behavior.
00:36:08.320 They're actually
00:36:08.960 making a hero,
00:36:10.680 and as somebody
00:36:11.360 who certainly
00:36:13.400 was at least
00:36:14.320 half responsible
00:36:16.020 for the outcome,
00:36:17.240 the tragic
00:36:17.760 outcome.
00:36:18.580 You could argue
00:36:19.360 that the police
00:36:20.120 officers should
00:36:21.040 have been
00:36:22.120 smarter,
00:36:22.560 better,
00:36:23.060 better trained,
00:36:23.960 should have
00:36:24.200 handled it
00:36:24.640 differently.
00:36:25.060 Maybe.
00:36:25.680 I'm no expert.
00:36:28.340 I wouldn't say
00:36:29.220 that's true for
00:36:29.960 sure, because if
00:36:31.920 the guy was going
00:36:32.620 for a knife,
00:36:33.460 what can you do?
00:36:34.920 But maybe.
00:36:35.620 I'm open to the
00:36:36.300 argument.
00:36:37.240 Now, let's say
00:36:38.220 if they'd
00:36:38.580 reversed it.
00:36:40.100 Imagine if you
00:36:40.840 will, and this is
00:36:41.640 impossible to
00:36:42.760 imagine, but
00:36:43.660 just go with it
00:36:45.180 for imagination.
00:36:46.660 Imagine if when
00:36:47.980 the news came
00:36:48.720 out that the
00:36:49.860 guy who got
00:36:52.300 shot seven
00:36:52.780 times had
00:36:54.000 been resisting
00:36:54.660 arrest, and
00:36:56.160 had been
00:36:56.620 reaching for
00:36:57.480 a weapon, and
00:36:59.660 had been
00:37:00.060 incredibly accused
00:37:01.100 of some bad
00:37:01.940 stuff.
00:37:02.960 Suppose Black
00:37:03.700 Lives Matter
00:37:05.200 said, hold on,
00:37:06.980 our first reaction
00:37:08.180 was an overreaction.
00:37:09.940 If we're being
00:37:10.500 honest, we have
00:37:13.280 a problem to
00:37:13.920 fix, but let's
00:37:15.040 be honest about
00:37:15.700 it, he brought
00:37:16.300 it on himself
00:37:17.060 to some extent.
00:37:19.460 100%, maybe
00:37:20.660 not.
00:37:21.680 Maybe the police
00:37:22.680 have a part in
00:37:23.880 this, right?
00:37:25.200 Reasonable people
00:37:26.100 could say,
00:37:26.640 maybe there's two
00:37:27.660 problems here, and
00:37:28.980 you needed both
00:37:29.720 of those problems
00:37:30.440 to get the
00:37:30.980 tragedy.
00:37:32.580 If Black Lives
00:37:33.660 Matter said some
00:37:34.860 version of this,
00:37:36.840 you know, it
00:37:38.840 looks like we've
00:37:39.460 got to work on
00:37:40.320 training the
00:37:42.300 people that we
00:37:43.700 care about the
00:37:44.300 most to be the
00:37:45.460 safest, and act
00:37:46.640 the safest in
00:37:47.420 these situations,
00:37:48.540 what would that
00:37:49.220 look like?
00:37:51.100 That would be a
00:37:51.980 reward.
00:37:53.220 When the George
00:37:54.140 Floyd thing
00:37:54.720 happened, just
00:37:56.760 about every white
00:37:57.660 person in the
00:37:58.300 world was already
00:37:59.620 sold.
00:38:00.780 When you saw the
00:38:01.860 George Floyd
00:38:02.620 video for the
00:38:03.520 first time, no
00:38:04.680 matter what you
00:38:05.320 ever thought
00:38:05.880 before, when you
00:38:07.700 saw that thing,
00:38:08.580 you said to
00:38:08.980 yourself, ah,
00:38:10.020 okay, I get it
00:38:10.740 now.
00:38:11.280 That looks like
00:38:12.140 bad police
00:38:12.660 behavior.
00:38:13.060 I don't
00:38:14.220 believe this
00:38:14.740 necessarily would
00:38:15.720 have happened to
00:38:16.260 a white guy.
00:38:17.000 I don't know, but
00:38:18.680 I haven't seen it,
00:38:19.700 so I got
00:38:20.340 questions.
00:38:22.320 If at that
00:38:23.100 moment, Black
00:38:24.020 America had said,
00:38:25.420 do you see what
00:38:26.160 we mean?
00:38:27.120 Look at the
00:38:27.700 video.
00:38:28.400 Do you see what
00:38:29.060 we mean now?
00:38:30.220 Can you help?
00:38:31.740 You know, can we
00:38:32.280 talk about some
00:38:33.000 solutions?
00:38:34.320 White America
00:38:35.080 would have said,
00:38:36.080 hell yes.
00:38:37.400 Hell yes.
00:38:38.680 Let's talk about
00:38:39.380 some solutions.
00:38:40.180 We don't want
00:38:40.620 that.
00:38:41.400 We don't want
00:38:41.920 it to happen
00:38:42.260 to you.
00:38:43.380 We don't want
00:38:43.800 to add up
00:38:45.040 to anybody.
00:38:46.100 How do we
00:38:46.520 have less of
00:38:47.040 that?
00:38:48.040 So that should
00:38:48.760 have been the
00:38:49.140 first reaction,
00:38:50.380 and it would
00:38:51.080 have been very
00:38:51.500 productive.
00:38:52.580 Here's what
00:38:53.020 the reaction
00:38:55.320 should have
00:38:56.040 turned into
00:38:56.680 when we learned
00:38:58.240 that he died
00:38:59.380 of a fentanyl
00:39:00.200 overdose, or
00:39:00.980 probably it was
00:39:01.680 an opioid
00:39:02.100 overdose.
00:39:03.060 It could be
00:39:03.760 that the police
00:39:04.540 action exacerbated
00:39:06.400 it.
00:39:06.680 But it
00:39:09.180 turns out that
00:39:09.820 he may have
00:39:10.380 been lying to
00:39:11.140 them about
00:39:11.880 whether he
00:39:12.560 had anything.
00:39:13.200 If he had
00:39:13.540 told the truth,
00:39:14.740 in other words,
00:39:15.300 if he'd done
00:39:15.760 his part, he
00:39:17.400 probably would
00:39:17.860 have been
00:39:18.080 treated more
00:39:18.520 like a medical
00:39:19.140 problem and
00:39:19.800 maybe even
00:39:20.240 saved.
00:39:21.100 But he did
00:39:21.900 everything wrong,
00:39:23.420 and the police
00:39:24.640 may have done
00:39:25.200 things wrong as
00:39:25.920 well, and the
00:39:27.100 combination was
00:39:28.060 a bad thing.
00:39:29.000 Here's what
00:39:29.440 Black Lives Matter
00:39:30.800 should have done
00:39:31.840 if they wanted
00:39:32.680 improvement.
00:39:34.280 If they wanted
00:39:34.860 it, they should
00:39:35.760 have rewarded
00:39:36.460 the right thing.
00:39:37.400 And the moment
00:39:37.900 they heard that
00:39:39.260 he was drugged
00:39:40.060 up, and that
00:39:40.600 may have been
00:39:41.000 a complicated
00:39:41.540 issue, they
00:39:42.800 should have
00:39:43.060 pulled back.
00:39:45.140 They should have
00:39:45.820 pulled back, and
00:39:46.980 they should have
00:39:47.400 said to the
00:39:48.060 police, I think
00:39:49.920 we owe you an
00:39:50.560 apology.
00:39:51.580 You still might
00:39:52.480 need to do
00:39:53.040 something differently,
00:39:53.960 and we're not
00:39:54.360 happy with you, but
00:39:55.880 it doesn't look like
00:39:56.660 you murdered
00:39:57.060 somebody.
00:39:58.120 It doesn't look
00:39:58.780 like a race
00:40:00.000 murder.
00:40:00.980 We don't know
00:40:01.460 what this is, and
00:40:02.120 we better get to
00:40:02.660 the bottom of
00:40:03.080 this, and we're
00:40:03.460 not happy, but
00:40:05.000 it wasn't what
00:40:05.540 we first thought
00:40:06.180 it was.
00:40:07.620 If Black
00:40:08.360 Lives Matter
00:40:08.900 had said that,
00:40:10.440 how would
00:40:10.840 you, let's
00:40:11.480 say you're
00:40:11.840 not in the
00:40:13.340 organization, how
00:40:14.460 would you feel
00:40:14.900 about that?
00:40:16.200 That would
00:40:16.840 completely change
00:40:17.860 how I feel.
00:40:19.060 Completely.
00:40:20.080 I would say,
00:40:21.160 oh, I get
00:40:22.220 it, you're
00:40:23.120 getting really
00:40:23.600 worked up over
00:40:24.260 things that look
00:40:24.940 real, but as
00:40:26.180 soon as you
00:40:26.840 find out that
00:40:28.020 maybe the story
00:40:28.700 was different than
00:40:29.360 you thought,
00:40:30.120 you've now
00:40:30.720 modified your
00:40:31.480 opinion, just
00:40:32.820 as you should.
00:40:33.520 you rewarded
00:40:35.480 people for
00:40:36.480 doing right, you
00:40:37.520 punished people for
00:40:38.460 doing wrong, yeah, I
00:40:39.780 could work with
00:40:40.300 that.
00:40:40.920 I could work
00:40:41.420 with that.
00:40:42.620 But that's not
00:40:43.420 what you're saying.
00:40:44.420 There's some kind
00:40:44.960 of need for
00:40:46.280 self-destruction
00:40:47.400 that's built into
00:40:48.260 the Black Lives
00:40:49.660 Matter movement,
00:40:51.020 it's built into
00:40:51.800 the Antifa, of
00:40:52.580 course, maybe
00:40:53.620 Antifa is half
00:40:54.340 the problem
00:40:54.760 there.
00:40:55.460 It's built into
00:40:56.180 the Palestinian
00:40:56.880 technique, their
00:40:59.360 way forward,
00:41:00.400 is a reward
00:41:01.900 of things that
00:41:03.120 are in the
00:41:04.180 wrong direction.
00:41:05.480 All right, I'm
00:41:07.380 still shaking my
00:41:08.120 head over this
00:41:08.580 story about
00:41:09.020 Robert Mueller's
00:41:10.580 dozens of
00:41:12.040 people on the
00:41:14.020 Russia collusion
00:41:14.780 project, they
00:41:16.900 claimed that
00:41:17.600 their phones
00:41:18.020 had been wiped
00:41:18.640 and that they
00:41:19.480 can't turn them
00:41:20.360 in to be looked
00:41:21.040 at, dozens.
00:41:22.900 Now, you don't
00:41:23.980 have to be a
00:41:24.540 genius, and I
00:41:25.460 don't think
00:41:25.780 there's any
00:41:26.180 disagreement on
00:41:27.040 this, that they
00:41:28.060 did it
00:41:28.460 intentionally.
00:41:30.400 to hide
00:41:31.660 evidence.
00:41:32.780 Now, it could
00:41:33.340 be that the
00:41:33.860 evidence they
00:41:34.400 were hiding is
00:41:35.040 just any
00:41:35.660 personal conversations
00:41:36.860 because nobody
00:41:37.940 wants anybody to
00:41:38.720 look at their
00:41:39.240 entire, you
00:41:40.800 know, phone
00:41:41.320 history.
00:41:41.940 That'd be
00:41:42.400 pretty risky.
00:41:45.160 But I
00:41:47.160 think that
00:41:48.780 they're going
00:41:49.120 to get
00:41:49.380 completely away
00:41:50.140 with this.
00:41:51.880 It looks
00:41:52.980 like, it
00:41:54.080 looks like
00:41:54.480 the most
00:41:54.920 amazing,
00:41:56.180 obvious,
00:41:57.180 mass-coordinated
00:41:58.480 crime, because
00:41:59.980 first of all,
00:42:00.480 it's probably
00:42:00.800 coordinated.
00:42:02.020 You know, there
00:42:02.240 must have been
00:42:02.640 at least one
00:42:03.140 person who
00:42:03.600 said, hey, I'm
00:42:04.760 going to wipe
00:42:05.100 my phone, you
00:42:05.960 might want to
00:42:06.420 think about
00:42:06.800 this.
00:42:07.580 I doubt they
00:42:08.360 all just had
00:42:09.040 the same idea
00:42:09.880 at once.
00:42:11.640 So first of
00:42:12.260 all, there's
00:42:12.500 some coordination
00:42:13.320 to hide
00:42:15.240 evidence.
00:42:17.240 And they
00:42:18.040 should be the
00:42:18.580 people that we
00:42:19.380 most trust to
00:42:21.500 keep us on the
00:42:23.400 legal path.
00:42:24.960 This is, it's
00:42:26.760 hard to put a
00:42:27.360 number on
00:42:27.800 how bad
00:42:28.240 this is.
00:42:29.700 This is a
00:42:30.400 10 out of
00:42:31.000 10 in
00:42:31.740 badness, but
00:42:33.000 because many
00:42:33.840 of them are
00:42:34.260 lawyers, they
00:42:35.620 know how to
00:42:36.100 do things
00:42:36.540 without getting
00:42:37.160 tactically in
00:42:38.060 trouble.
00:42:38.900 So as long
00:42:39.540 as there's
00:42:39.960 reasonable doubt
00:42:41.020 about how
00:42:41.880 their phone
00:42:42.340 got wiped,
00:42:43.760 as long as
00:42:44.320 there's a
00:42:44.600 little bit of
00:42:45.040 reasonable doubt,
00:42:46.560 I guess they
00:42:47.300 get away with
00:42:47.880 it.
00:42:48.680 But wow,
00:42:49.600 does this
00:42:50.040 reduce your
00:42:51.560 trust in the
00:42:52.200 system?
00:42:54.100 All right,
00:42:54.360 here's a
00:42:54.640 question I
00:42:55.100 have.
00:42:55.360 You know
00:42:57.500 these, the
00:42:58.200 Antifa, or
00:42:59.220 the protesters,
00:43:00.100 I don't know
00:43:00.360 if it's
00:43:00.600 Antifa or
00:43:01.120 just the
00:43:01.420 protesters,
00:43:02.160 they have
00:43:02.700 these snack
00:43:03.640 vans, so
00:43:05.580 literally, like
00:43:06.880 a big panel
00:43:07.560 van, usually
00:43:08.980 has lots of
00:43:09.580 graffiti on
00:43:10.280 it, that
00:43:11.280 they park
00:43:12.340 near the
00:43:12.740 protests to
00:43:14.020 feed the
00:43:14.520 protesters, I
00:43:15.200 guess, they
00:43:15.640 have snacks.
00:43:17.200 And I
00:43:17.520 thought to
00:43:17.840 myself, at
00:43:19.300 least the
00:43:19.620 one I saw
00:43:20.080 was in
00:43:20.580 Rochester or
00:43:21.220 something, I
00:43:22.140 thought, New
00:43:23.160 Yorkers are
00:43:23.740 getting really
00:43:24.280 soft.
00:43:25.360 Because if
00:43:27.780 you're ripping
00:43:29.440 up my
00:43:30.000 town, I
00:43:31.580 mean, I
00:43:31.840 feel like
00:43:32.640 it, if I
00:43:33.060 were in
00:43:33.400 upstate New
00:43:33.940 York, and
00:43:34.800 I saw
00:43:35.080 protesters
00:43:35.720 destroying
00:43:36.540 the homes
00:43:38.080 and, well,
00:43:38.780 mostly
00:43:39.020 businesses, the
00:43:40.280 people I
00:43:40.700 knew, or
00:43:41.680 people I
00:43:42.100 cared about
00:43:42.520 in my
00:43:42.800 town, and
00:43:43.980 I knew
00:43:44.300 that they
00:43:45.040 owned exactly
00:43:45.820 one asset,
00:43:47.240 they don't
00:43:48.020 own much
00:43:48.500 except what's
00:43:49.040 on their
00:43:49.320 bodies.
00:43:49.680 if I
00:43:50.660 knew they
00:43:50.940 had one
00:43:51.380 asset, these
00:43:52.940 snack vans,
00:43:54.760 and I'm
00:43:55.240 watching all
00:43:55.740 these same
00:43:56.140 people destroy
00:43:56.940 my town, and
00:43:58.420 then go back
00:43:58.960 to their
00:43:59.340 snack van to
00:44:00.200 get a
00:44:00.460 snack, and
00:44:02.340 I'm saying
00:44:02.880 to myself,
00:44:03.400 well, obviously
00:44:04.060 the snack van
00:44:06.340 will be on
00:44:06.880 fire in a few
00:44:07.560 minutes, and
00:44:08.080 I'm like, okay,
00:44:09.360 it shouldn't
00:44:09.800 take more than
00:44:10.340 60 seconds
00:44:11.260 for that, and
00:44:12.660 I'm like, wait,
00:44:14.020 that's the same
00:44:15.360 snack van.
00:44:15.840 I'm confused.
00:44:18.740 The snack van
00:44:19.820 is not on
00:44:20.780 fire?
00:44:21.980 What kind of
00:44:22.940 pussies are
00:44:23.580 you?
00:44:24.300 What kind of
00:44:24.940 town do you
00:44:25.560 have that
00:44:26.680 you're not
00:44:27.060 going to go
00:44:27.480 after their
00:44:28.040 one asset if
00:44:29.260 they park it
00:44:29.800 right on the
00:44:30.240 street?
00:44:31.660 I'm not
00:44:32.140 saying that,
00:44:32.920 you know, I
00:44:33.660 never promote
00:44:34.760 violence, by the
00:44:35.580 way, so this
00:44:36.460 is just a
00:44:37.340 question.
00:44:39.120 Why are the
00:44:40.280 locals rolling
00:44:41.960 over so
00:44:42.560 easily?
00:44:43.680 I mean, that
00:44:44.100 snack van,
00:44:44.840 sort of is
00:44:46.700 an obvious
00:44:47.260 target, if
00:44:47.920 you know what
00:44:48.280 I mean,
00:44:48.740 strategically
00:44:49.360 speaking.
00:44:51.060 I don't
00:44:51.700 recommend
00:44:52.140 anybody destroy
00:44:53.640 any private
00:44:54.240 property or
00:44:55.020 violence, it
00:44:56.160 is just
00:44:56.700 confusing to
00:44:58.600 me why that
00:44:59.780 hasn't happened.
00:45:02.680 The Atlantic,
00:45:06.660 which is now
00:45:07.820 officially a
00:45:08.680 laughingstock,
00:45:11.200 decided to
00:45:13.560 write an
00:45:13.900 article called
00:45:14.840 calling for
00:45:15.260 the abolition
00:45:15.880 of the
00:45:16.260 Nobel Peace
00:45:16.840 Prize.
00:45:19.240 So, it
00:45:20.540 wasn't when
00:45:21.060 Arafat got
00:45:22.400 it, they
00:45:23.040 were cool
00:45:23.600 with that.
00:45:24.540 It wasn't
00:45:25.040 when Obama
00:45:26.940 got it for
00:45:27.740 doing nothing,
00:45:29.480 they were cool
00:45:30.700 with that, but
00:45:32.020 boy, you have
00:45:32.520 two nominations
00:45:33.280 for President
00:45:34.380 Trump, and
00:45:35.240 well, it's
00:45:36.160 time to cancel
00:45:36.740 the prize.
00:45:37.340 So, if you
00:45:39.600 can imagine
00:45:40.120 anything that
00:45:41.000 the Atlantic
00:45:42.640 could have
00:45:43.320 done to
00:45:43.820 make themselves
00:45:44.460 look more
00:45:45.100 ridiculous, it's
00:45:46.620 hard to
00:45:47.280 imagine.
00:45:48.600 All right,
00:45:48.800 here's an
00:45:49.340 interesting
00:45:50.160 development.
00:45:52.040 Nineteen
00:45:52.800 black families
00:45:53.640 in August,
00:45:55.740 just recently,
00:45:56.440 they purchased
00:45:57.540 97 acres in
00:45:59.540 which they
00:45:59.940 want to build
00:46:00.460 basically a
00:46:01.460 black town.
00:46:02.000 So, 19
00:46:03.860 black families
00:46:04.640 decided it's
00:46:05.820 either dangerous
00:46:07.540 or, I think
00:46:08.740 they thought it
00:46:09.220 was dangerous
00:46:09.700 to live among
00:46:10.460 white people,
00:46:11.740 because, I
00:46:12.880 guess they
00:46:13.220 believe that
00:46:13.660 they will be
00:46:14.040 killed by
00:46:14.720 cops or
00:46:15.920 white people
00:46:17.100 or something.
00:46:19.620 Now,
00:46:20.300 independent of
00:46:21.120 whether that
00:46:21.640 is an
00:46:21.980 overreaction,
00:46:23.560 I kind of
00:46:24.300 love the
00:46:25.300 experiment part
00:46:26.440 of it.
00:46:27.660 I say this
00:46:28.500 all the time.
00:46:29.780 You know,
00:46:30.120 there's nothing
00:46:30.820 more useful
00:46:31.600 than
00:46:32.120 experiments,
00:46:33.020 even if they
00:46:33.560 don't work.
00:46:34.160 At least it
00:46:34.580 tells you what
00:46:35.060 doesn't work.
00:46:36.220 And the
00:46:36.500 fact that
00:46:36.920 they're thinking
00:46:37.360 of sort of
00:46:38.720 building a
00:46:39.340 town from
00:46:39.920 scratch, I
00:46:41.600 love that.
00:46:42.620 And they're
00:46:43.080 also trying
00:46:43.860 something that
00:46:44.420 hasn't been
00:46:44.800 tried before,
00:46:45.540 which is,
00:46:46.320 hey, it's
00:46:46.980 2020.
00:46:47.900 I mean, there
00:46:48.440 have been
00:46:48.780 segregated places
00:46:50.520 before, but
00:46:51.780 they haven't
00:46:52.400 done it this
00:46:53.140 way.
00:46:53.660 You know, not
00:46:54.080 in 2020, not
00:46:55.880 with all the
00:46:56.380 advantages of
00:46:57.160 technology, not
00:46:58.220 with not doing
00:46:59.520 it voluntarily.
00:47:02.440 And independent
00:47:04.640 of whether you
00:47:05.560 think this would
00:47:06.220 be a great
00:47:06.740 idea or a
00:47:07.500 bad idea, could
00:47:08.920 you at least
00:47:09.500 join me in
00:47:10.740 agreeing that
00:47:11.740 experiments are
00:47:13.020 good?
00:47:14.280 You know, I
00:47:14.880 hope it works.
00:47:16.140 Maybe they
00:47:16.600 learned something.
00:47:18.700 You may see a
00:47:19.860 greater trend
00:47:20.520 toward segregated
00:47:21.780 groups, but I
00:47:23.900 feel like we
00:47:24.460 could see it
00:47:25.100 differently now.
00:47:25.940 You know, if
00:47:27.520 you go back a
00:47:28.600 few decades, the
00:47:30.200 idea of
00:47:30.960 segregated towns
00:47:32.220 or segregated
00:47:33.120 businesses or
00:47:34.080 segregated
00:47:34.720 organizations is
00:47:36.360 just pure racism
00:47:37.420 and had to
00:47:38.280 end, usually
00:47:39.620 because it was
00:47:40.300 the white
00:47:41.620 organizations keeping
00:47:43.480 other people
00:47:44.680 out.
00:47:45.980 But now it's
00:47:47.200 2020.
00:47:48.880 And we've
00:47:49.560 sort of, for
00:47:51.140 the most part,
00:47:51.980 I would say,
00:47:53.100 I can't think of
00:47:53.660 an exception.
00:47:54.600 For the most
00:47:55.160 part, anybody
00:47:55.820 who wants to
00:47:56.580 be in any
00:47:57.060 organization can
00:47:58.060 do it fine.
00:47:59.260 I don't think
00:47:59.760 there are any
00:48:00.160 clubs you can't
00:48:00.940 join or teams
00:48:02.400 you can't be on
00:48:03.140 because you're
00:48:03.780 color, right?
00:48:05.940 So given that
00:48:07.200 we've sort of
00:48:08.260 overcome, you
00:48:09.380 know, for the
00:48:10.320 most part, the
00:48:11.040 biggest part of
00:48:11.660 the hurdle, if
00:48:12.800 you're doing it
00:48:13.320 voluntarily, if
00:48:15.440 you're voluntarily
00:48:16.100 saying, hey, you
00:48:17.820 know, we black
00:48:18.540 people want to
00:48:19.200 have our own
00:48:19.660 town and see if
00:48:21.060 we can make
00:48:21.500 this work, is
00:48:23.140 that bad?
00:48:23.660 I don't
00:48:25.280 know.
00:48:25.640 Your first
00:48:26.380 reflex might
00:48:27.280 be, ah, it's
00:48:27.920 a bad idea.
00:48:29.100 Segregation is
00:48:29.960 from the past.
00:48:31.020 But this isn't
00:48:31.720 the past.
00:48:33.260 Can people
00:48:33.940 choose to
00:48:35.500 associate with
00:48:36.420 whatever people
00:48:37.180 they want,
00:48:38.060 whether it's
00:48:38.680 by political
00:48:40.240 preference or
00:48:41.200 by age or
00:48:42.420 by gender or
00:48:43.920 by ethnicity,
00:48:45.340 if they all
00:48:46.200 want to?
00:48:47.820 Yeah.
00:48:48.260 I mean,
00:48:48.620 somebody says
00:48:49.200 it's racist.
00:48:50.040 Is it racist
00:48:50.780 if anybody can
00:48:51.680 do it?
00:48:52.080 In other
00:48:54.000 words, if
00:48:54.480 white people
00:48:55.960 also could
00:48:57.060 create a little
00:48:57.640 white town
00:48:58.280 and it wasn't
00:48:59.600 racist, they
00:49:00.300 just, well, I
00:49:01.520 guess it would
00:49:01.880 seem racist no
00:49:02.760 matter what.
00:49:05.100 I guess I
00:49:05.960 will accept
00:49:06.640 the categorization
00:49:08.400 that it's racist
00:49:09.900 by definition.
00:49:12.020 But do you
00:49:12.820 think that they
00:49:13.360 should not have
00:49:14.380 the right to
00:49:16.140 associate any
00:49:17.020 way they want
00:49:17.700 given that it's
00:49:19.040 not a legal
00:49:19.880 requirement and
00:49:20.680 nobody is
00:49:21.120 forcing them
00:49:21.720 to do it?
00:49:22.220 There's no
00:49:22.540 force.
00:49:24.300 So, I don't
00:49:24.940 know.
00:49:25.540 It's a good
00:49:25.920 question.
00:49:26.440 I like
00:49:26.740 experimenting,
00:49:27.500 so we'll
00:49:27.680 see what
00:49:27.960 happens.
00:49:31.460 What else
00:49:32.120 we got here?
00:49:34.200 California has
00:49:35.000 gone fully
00:49:35.680 anti-science
00:49:36.620 now, which
00:49:37.740 is so
00:49:38.140 embarrassing.
00:49:40.040 So our
00:49:40.880 governor has
00:49:41.960 decided to
00:49:42.680 politicize the
00:49:43.620 fires and
00:49:44.960 says that
00:49:45.520 climate change
00:49:46.320 is the obvious
00:49:47.080 reason and
00:49:48.160 that now you
00:49:48.680 don't even need
00:49:49.220 to look at the
00:49:49.740 science anymore.
00:49:50.520 You can just
00:49:50.880 look out your
00:49:51.420 window and
00:49:52.460 there's smoke
00:49:53.060 and therefore
00:49:53.760 logically, if
00:49:56.840 there's smoke
00:49:57.400 outside, logically,
00:49:59.520 can you see all
00:50:00.080 the connecting
00:50:00.600 tissue?
00:50:01.900 Logically, there's
00:50:02.660 smoke outside and
00:50:03.580 therefore it's
00:50:04.100 caused by climate
00:50:04.860 change.
00:50:05.940 You saw all the
00:50:07.120 logical connection
00:50:08.000 to that, right?
00:50:09.660 There's a fire,
00:50:11.160 more fires, and
00:50:12.880 therefore climate
00:50:14.180 change is the
00:50:14.780 cause.
00:50:15.060 Did you miss
00:50:17.060 the part where
00:50:17.740 it's logically
00:50:18.500 connected?
00:50:19.840 No, you didn't
00:50:20.320 miss it.
00:50:20.720 It's not there.
00:50:22.240 Could it be
00:50:22.780 there?
00:50:23.620 Well, I suppose.
00:50:24.760 I suppose.
00:50:25.680 I'm not ruling
00:50:26.540 out that some
00:50:28.200 climate change
00:50:29.080 might have some
00:50:29.680 effect in some
00:50:30.380 way.
00:50:31.100 I don't know.
00:50:32.300 What I do know
00:50:33.100 is there's no
00:50:33.620 evidence of it.
00:50:35.320 So we usually
00:50:36.700 don't act on
00:50:37.560 things that have
00:50:38.460 zero evidence.
00:50:39.820 What evidence
00:50:40.760 do we have?
00:50:41.500 Well, if you
00:50:42.040 follow Michael
00:50:42.740 Schellenberger, as
00:50:44.200 you should, you
00:50:46.860 will know that
00:50:47.640 our forest
00:50:49.100 management has
00:50:50.060 been so poor
00:50:51.020 that the buildup
00:50:52.440 of underbrush was
00:50:54.060 guaranteed to
00:50:55.220 create exactly the
00:50:56.260 situation we have.
00:50:57.740 So we have one
00:50:58.660 explanation which
00:51:00.340 explains everything
00:51:01.580 you see and is
00:51:03.380 completely logical
00:51:04.400 from beginning to
00:51:05.260 end.
00:51:05.880 Oh, we used to
00:51:06.960 do good forest
00:51:08.160 management and we
00:51:09.100 didn't have these
00:51:09.680 problems.
00:51:10.120 we stopped doing
00:51:12.080 good forest
00:51:12.820 management, which
00:51:14.120 causes forest
00:51:15.280 fires, big ones.
00:51:17.620 Then the big
00:51:18.300 forest fires
00:51:18.980 happened after we
00:51:20.920 stopped forest
00:51:22.060 management, which
00:51:23.460 guarantees big
00:51:24.560 fires happen.
00:51:25.980 Then the big
00:51:26.820 fires happened
00:51:27.660 exactly as you
00:51:29.240 knew they would
00:51:29.760 have to because
00:51:30.820 you stopped
00:51:31.400 forest management,
00:51:32.660 which is the
00:51:33.600 whole point of
00:51:34.160 reducing the
00:51:34.720 fires.
00:51:34.960 and our
00:51:36.560 governor,
00:51:37.840 freaking idiot,
00:51:38.900 stood in front
00:51:39.480 of the world
00:51:40.060 with his
00:51:41.340 smoldering
00:51:41.860 background to
00:51:42.640 make it look
00:51:43.080 dramatic and
00:51:44.200 said, it's
00:51:44.820 obvious that
00:51:45.520 climate change
00:51:46.700 has caused
00:51:47.240 this.
00:51:48.060 No, here's
00:51:49.280 what's obvious.
00:51:50.280 It's obvious
00:51:50.880 that fools who
00:51:52.160 can't do math
00:51:53.240 have looked at
00:51:55.200 the climate change
00:51:56.080 problem and
00:51:57.540 closed down our
00:51:58.540 only chance in
00:51:59.480 California to
00:52:00.280 have electricity,
00:52:01.700 which is to
00:52:02.280 have natural
00:52:03.740 gas and
00:52:04.840 nuclear, until
00:52:07.440 something better
00:52:08.080 comes along.
00:52:09.540 But he's
00:52:10.860 anti-science about
00:52:12.020 nuclear, anti-science
00:52:13.560 about even just
00:52:14.580 doing the math
00:52:15.440 of what kinds of
00:52:16.940 technologies are
00:52:17.740 good for the
00:52:18.360 environment in the
00:52:20.160 long run, which
00:52:20.840 we're not.
00:52:22.340 He didn't
00:52:22.900 understand anything
00:52:23.740 about forest
00:52:24.440 management.
00:52:25.160 He's the guy in
00:52:25.880 charge.
00:52:27.100 He's the guy in
00:52:27.840 charge, and he
00:52:28.360 seems to be the
00:52:28.960 only person who
00:52:29.700 doesn't know that
00:52:30.900 poor forest
00:52:31.660 management is
00:52:33.540 a big part of
00:52:34.160 the problem.
00:52:35.040 On top of
00:52:35.660 that, what
00:52:36.340 about context?
00:52:37.820 If you were to
00:52:38.520 look at the
00:52:38.980 history of
00:52:39.580 California, and
00:52:40.400 we can reconstruct
00:52:41.560 it from whatever,
00:52:43.860 tree rings,
00:52:44.480 however we do
00:52:45.060 that, we can
00:52:46.760 know that the
00:52:48.480 forest fires we're
00:52:49.360 experiencing now,
00:52:50.300 as bad as they
00:52:50.980 are, aren't even
00:52:51.740 bad historically.
00:52:53.540 So if we didn't
00:52:54.700 have climate change
00:52:55.640 in the past, and
00:52:57.120 yet the forest
00:52:57.860 fires were far
00:52:58.960 bigger back then,
00:52:59.880 or at least more
00:53:00.420 destructive, he is
00:53:03.520 so non-science
00:53:05.440 based that it
00:53:08.160 is disturbing.
00:53:11.020 All right.
00:53:14.220 And I think
00:53:15.300 that's, so here's
00:53:18.140 an interesting
00:53:19.160 thing developing.
00:53:20.180 You probably all
00:53:20.920 know Jonah
00:53:21.560 Goldberg, right?
00:53:23.780 Conservative, but
00:53:24.760 not a big fan of
00:53:25.640 the president.
00:53:25.980 Well, and Jonah
00:53:29.000 Goldberg was
00:53:29.700 noting on Twitter
00:53:30.780 that, I think
00:53:34.700 it was a Mark
00:53:36.540 Levin tweet he
00:53:37.560 was responding
00:53:38.160 to, and Levin
00:53:39.620 was tweeting
00:53:41.020 somebody else's
00:53:41.740 article, noting
00:53:43.080 that it seems
00:53:44.040 that Democrats
00:53:45.260 are prepping the
00:53:47.800 country for a
00:53:50.020 violent coup, an
00:53:51.800 actual military
00:53:52.680 coup.
00:53:53.020 Now, Jonah
00:53:54.440 Goldberg thinks
00:53:55.820 that that is a
00:53:56.620 ridiculous worry,
00:53:58.280 it's sort of an
00:53:59.380 absurdity, it's
00:54:00.300 overblown risk,
00:54:02.440 and that the
00:54:03.700 Democrats are not
00:54:04.680 intentionally prepping
00:54:06.980 the country for a
00:54:08.020 military coup,
00:54:09.440 under the condition
00:54:10.280 that Trump, in
00:54:11.800 their view, under
00:54:12.900 the condition that
00:54:13.740 Trump loses, but
00:54:15.740 refuses to leave
00:54:16.800 office.
00:54:18.920 And Jonah
00:54:19.860 pointed out, when
00:54:20.800 I commented on it,
00:54:22.260 he said, this is
00:54:25.500 what Jonah says,
00:54:26.300 he says, easily
00:54:26.960 is much evidence,
00:54:27.940 if not more, that
00:54:29.600 Trump is setting
00:54:30.440 the table to
00:54:31.340 claim election is
00:54:32.580 illegitimate.
00:54:33.860 You guys, meaning
00:54:34.860 I guess me, you
00:54:36.420 guys and the
00:54:37.020 resistance crowd are
00:54:37.920 playing the exact
00:54:38.600 same game and
00:54:40.000 pretending only the
00:54:41.040 other side is being
00:54:41.860 irresponsible or
00:54:42.980 dangerous.
00:54:43.700 You all are.
00:54:45.420 And here's my
00:54:46.400 take on that.
00:54:47.060 I would agree with
00:54:49.980 Jonah's comment that
00:54:51.720 Trump is also
00:54:52.940 prepping the
00:54:54.640 country for the
00:54:56.640 outcome of the
00:54:57.340 election to be
00:54:58.080 illegitimate.
00:55:00.060 Right?
00:55:00.760 Well, you would
00:55:01.200 agree with that,
00:55:02.000 that Trump is
00:55:02.720 definitely warning us
00:55:03.800 and prepping us and
00:55:05.300 sort of getting you a
00:55:06.400 little bit hypnotized
00:55:07.440 into the idea that
00:55:09.260 the election outcome
00:55:10.020 might not be
00:55:10.660 dependable or
00:55:11.840 credible.
00:55:12.220 But here's the
00:55:13.480 thing, when he
00:55:15.180 talks about it, he
00:55:17.000 never talks about
00:55:18.000 the military getting
00:55:19.080 involved.
00:55:21.500 And so the
00:55:22.720 default assumption
00:55:24.120 is that if there's
00:55:25.780 some ambiguous
00:55:26.720 outcome, that the
00:55:29.180 Republicans would
00:55:30.040 look to the
00:55:30.760 Supreme Court,
00:55:32.580 probably, or
00:55:34.580 they'd suggest a
00:55:35.860 redo or a
00:55:36.960 recount or
00:55:38.220 something working
00:55:39.020 within the
00:55:39.620 system.
00:55:40.580 Now, is there a
00:55:41.420 risk that you
00:55:42.440 would get a
00:55:42.880 few more months
00:55:44.060 of President
00:55:44.680 Trump until the
00:55:46.220 system worked its
00:55:47.260 way out and we
00:55:48.340 had a real
00:55:49.040 outcome?
00:55:50.280 Yeah, I suppose
00:55:51.080 so.
00:55:51.680 Is the
00:55:52.080 president getting
00:55:52.880 us ready for a
00:55:54.620 murky, ambiguous
00:55:55.780 outcome that could
00:55:56.740 be messy?
00:55:58.100 Yes.
00:55:59.020 Has he ever
00:55:59.640 mentioned the
00:56:00.560 military?
00:56:02.300 No.
00:56:03.520 No.
00:56:04.960 Have you ever
00:56:06.260 talked to any
00:56:08.380 Republican who
00:56:10.120 talks about
00:56:10.960 using the
00:56:11.700 military to
00:56:12.740 keep Trump in
00:56:13.640 office if he
00:56:15.080 lost the
00:56:15.680 election?
00:56:17.020 Have you heard
00:56:17.600 any legitimate
00:56:19.480 person say,
00:56:20.900 you know, even
00:56:22.120 if Trump loses
00:56:23.200 the election, I
00:56:24.500 think he should
00:56:25.000 just use his
00:56:26.460 military and
00:56:27.120 stay in office?
00:56:28.980 No.
00:56:30.220 No.
00:56:30.820 I've never heard
00:56:31.460 anybody think that
00:56:32.620 would be a good
00:56:33.120 idea.
00:56:33.980 But have you
00:56:34.860 heard Democrats
00:56:35.840 say out loud,
00:56:37.080 vote, in
00:56:38.100 public, that if
00:56:39.960 the president
00:56:40.560 doesn't leave and
00:56:42.140 they think the
00:56:42.740 result is that he
00:56:43.700 should, that the
00:56:44.940 military should
00:56:45.740 step up and
00:56:46.580 remove him?
00:56:48.100 Yes.
00:56:48.960 They're saying it
00:56:49.900 directly.
00:56:50.960 They're writing
00:56:51.760 articles about it.
00:56:52.820 They're talking
00:56:53.260 about it.
00:56:53.860 And they are
00:56:54.480 prepping the
00:56:55.100 country for a
00:56:56.440 military coup.
00:56:58.280 I agree that
00:56:59.320 President Trump is
00:57:00.220 prepping us for
00:57:01.500 not trusting the
00:57:02.600 outcome.
00:57:03.600 But is he wrong
00:57:04.720 about that?
00:57:05.820 Is it wrong to
00:57:06.880 prep people for
00:57:08.100 something that's
00:57:08.800 true?
00:57:09.920 I'll tell you
00:57:10.640 what's true.
00:57:11.900 No matter whether
00:57:12.760 the outcome is
00:57:13.900 accurate or not,
00:57:15.760 the country is
00:57:16.620 going to be a
00:57:17.180 little iffy on
00:57:17.820 it.
00:57:18.900 It doesn't matter
00:57:19.680 what the outcome
00:57:20.260 is, we're still
00:57:20.920 going to say,
00:57:21.480 I'm not so sure.
00:57:24.700 And that had
00:57:25.460 nothing to do
00:57:26.040 with Trump.
00:57:26.620 Well, he
00:57:27.080 exacerbates it.
00:57:28.300 But it was
00:57:28.620 going to be that
00:57:29.820 way anyway.
00:57:30.660 Here's what I
00:57:33.560 think.
00:57:33.880 I think that
00:57:34.440 Trump could
00:57:35.320 make the
00:57:35.800 situation better
00:57:36.780 by saying,
00:57:38.640 look, here's
00:57:39.780 the deal,
00:57:40.240 people.
00:57:40.820 If the
00:57:41.900 election outcome
00:57:42.600 is not good,
00:57:44.340 the Republican
00:57:45.220 approach is to
00:57:46.500 go to the,
00:57:47.500 I don't know
00:57:47.980 how this works
00:57:48.520 actually, but
00:57:49.900 whatever the
00:57:50.380 process is,
00:57:51.080 you go to the
00:57:51.560 Supreme Court,
00:57:53.020 you redo the
00:57:54.020 election, I
00:57:55.540 don't know,
00:57:56.020 you do some
00:57:56.520 analysis, whatever
00:57:57.320 you do, some
00:57:58.380 kind of audit of
00:57:59.280 the system.
00:57:59.780 But I think
00:58:00.880 the president
00:58:01.340 should tell us
00:58:01.960 what it looks
00:58:02.720 like.
00:58:04.200 Because the
00:58:04.740 Democrats have
00:58:05.360 told us what
00:58:05.860 it looks like
00:58:06.380 if they don't
00:58:06.900 get their way.
00:58:08.260 It looks like
00:58:08.760 they're going to
00:58:09.100 be pushing the
00:58:09.700 military to
00:58:10.300 make a move.
00:58:11.620 I don't think
00:58:12.100 the military
00:58:12.540 will, but it
00:58:13.160 looks like they
00:58:13.580 might try to
00:58:14.120 get that done.
00:58:15.700 So while I
00:58:16.440 don't believe
00:58:17.060 that there will
00:58:17.660 be any kind
00:58:20.880 of a major
00:58:21.400 coup in this
00:58:22.160 country, it's
00:58:23.520 definitely an
00:58:24.140 option.
00:58:25.060 And I think
00:58:25.500 that the
00:58:25.820 Democrats are
00:58:26.500 putting the
00:58:27.580 option on the
00:58:28.320 table.
00:58:28.660 that doesn't
00:58:29.780 mean that they
00:58:30.280 want it to
00:58:30.980 happen, but
00:58:32.020 they're definitely
00:58:32.580 opening the
00:58:33.720 option.
00:58:36.320 And I don't
00:58:37.180 think it's the
00:58:37.740 same in both
00:58:38.540 directions.
00:58:40.320 All right.
00:58:42.000 That's what I
00:58:42.620 had to do.
00:58:43.340 That's what I
00:58:43.860 had to tell you
00:58:44.340 today.
00:58:48.060 Somebody says,
00:58:48.880 no way, it
00:58:49.560 will be a
00:58:50.020 landslide.
00:58:50.920 One of the
00:58:51.300 things I heard
00:58:51.840 about, was it
00:58:53.260 Michigan and
00:58:54.160 maybe Wisconsin?
00:58:55.540 I forget which.
00:58:56.580 There were two
00:58:56.980 states that
00:58:58.300 somebody who
00:58:58.880 knows more
00:58:59.400 than I do.
00:59:00.260 I wish I
00:59:00.780 could credit
00:59:02.420 them.
00:59:02.800 But on
00:59:03.080 Twitter, I
00:59:03.460 saw somebody
00:59:04.540 noted that
00:59:05.360 some of those
00:59:06.640 states have a
00:59:07.220 lot of rural
00:59:08.120 voters.
00:59:09.560 And by rural,
00:59:10.760 I mean, don't
00:59:11.540 have the
00:59:11.940 internet.
00:59:13.680 So there
00:59:15.200 may be a lot
00:59:15.760 of people who
00:59:16.300 are not being
00:59:16.920 polled because
00:59:18.060 they're just
00:59:18.420 practically off
00:59:19.600 the grid.
00:59:20.100 And it might
00:59:20.840 be the number
00:59:21.720 of people who
00:59:22.260 are Trump
00:59:22.600 supporters.
00:59:23.000 Dems are
00:59:28.500 cheaters.
00:59:29.220 Obama spied
00:59:30.060 on Trump,
00:59:30.660 somebody says.
00:59:32.460 All right,
00:59:32.880 just looking at
00:59:33.440 your comments
00:59:33.960 before I sign
00:59:34.640 off today.
00:59:36.560 How did you
00:59:37.040 like today's
00:59:37.760 Periscope, by
00:59:39.000 the way?
00:59:43.320 Completely
00:59:43.840 uncharted
00:59:44.400 territory?
00:59:45.780 Yeah, we
00:59:46.180 do have
00:59:47.160 constitutional
00:59:48.080 deadlines, but
00:59:49.340 suppose we
00:59:49.840 don't meet
00:59:50.220 them.
00:59:50.720 What do you
00:59:51.060 do?
00:59:51.720 I'd like to
00:59:52.300 hear,
00:59:53.000 I'd like to
00:59:54.060 hear the
00:59:54.400 what do
00:59:54.640 you do
00:59:54.900 part.
00:59:59.860 Remember
01:00:00.340 Alinsky.
01:00:01.900 You know,
01:00:02.740 I have
01:00:03.540 great questions
01:00:04.420 about the
01:00:05.020 Alinsky
01:00:05.460 stuff.
01:00:06.420 A lot of
01:00:07.080 people get
01:00:07.500 accused of
01:00:08.480 using the
01:00:09.040 Alinsky
01:00:09.460 rules for
01:00:10.540 radicals
01:00:11.240 stuff, and
01:00:12.400 you can see
01:00:12.900 it.
01:00:13.440 I mean, you
01:00:14.000 can certainly
01:00:14.420 see that he
01:00:15.020 recommended this
01:00:15.920 stuff, and
01:00:16.860 you see people
01:00:17.440 doing that
01:00:17.940 stuff, but I
01:00:18.940 don't know if
01:00:19.320 it's because
01:00:19.700 they read
01:00:20.160 that.
01:00:21.240 I just
01:00:21.560 don't know
01:00:22.040 that I
01:00:22.880 think maybe
01:00:23.240 just some
01:00:23.680 things are
01:00:24.020 obvious.
01:00:25.240 Attacking
01:00:25.640 the other
01:00:26.060 side, whoever
01:00:27.820 the other
01:00:28.240 side is, in
01:00:28.960 every way you
01:00:29.640 can attack
01:00:30.160 them, you
01:00:30.980 know, mocking
01:00:31.520 them, etc.
01:00:33.380 That just
01:00:34.180 seems common
01:00:34.880 sense to
01:00:35.400 me.
01:00:35.640 I don't
01:00:35.820 know if
01:00:36.080 you need
01:00:36.380 Alinsky to
01:00:37.140 do any
01:00:37.460 of that.
01:00:38.620 Maybe.
01:00:38.920 How about
01:00:43.800 Bill Maher's
01:00:44.980 comments on
01:00:45.660 Trump more
01:00:46.300 likely to
01:00:46.960 win?
01:00:47.540 Well, I
01:00:47.820 didn't see
01:00:48.200 the show.
01:00:48.900 I only saw
01:00:49.400 reporting about
01:00:50.540 the show.
01:00:51.540 But if
01:00:52.040 Bill Maher
01:00:52.700 thinks that
01:00:53.860 Trump is on
01:00:54.640 the way to
01:00:54.980 win, I
01:00:57.820 would look
01:00:58.220 at him, and
01:00:58.800 I'd look at
01:00:59.480 Roger, Michael
01:01:03.420 Moore, and I
01:01:04.960 would say,
01:01:06.320 they are two
01:01:07.100 people who
01:01:07.680 represent more
01:01:08.900 of the left
01:01:09.600 who are a
01:01:10.720 little bit
01:01:11.240 clearer-eyed.
01:01:13.140 So if both
01:01:13.880 of them think
01:01:17.180 Trump might
01:01:17.980 win, that
01:01:19.520 means something.
01:01:23.900 Well, thank
01:01:24.660 you.
01:01:25.120 You're all
01:01:25.800 too kind to
01:01:26.420 me.
01:01:28.060 And, yeah,
01:01:30.920 just looking at
01:01:31.460 your comments.
01:01:32.120 All right,
01:01:32.660 that's all for
01:01:33.340 now.
01:01:34.320 Maybe I
01:01:34.900 should let
01:01:35.220 this go just
01:01:35.780 because you're
01:01:36.140 complimenting me.
01:01:37.100 Remember I
01:01:38.620 told you in
01:01:39.080 the beginning
01:01:39.500 that people
01:01:40.320 will do more
01:01:41.140 of whatever
01:01:41.700 they're rewarded
01:01:42.340 for?
01:01:43.680 You've watched
01:01:44.440 me doing
01:01:45.000 these periscopes
01:01:45.860 and you see
01:01:47.100 how much energy
01:01:47.840 I put into
01:01:48.380 it?
01:01:49.560 Why?
01:01:50.860 Why do I
01:01:51.540 put so much
01:01:52.120 energy into
01:01:53.040 doing this?
01:01:54.700 It's completely
01:01:55.520 outside my
01:01:56.220 field, etc.
01:01:57.080 And the answer
01:01:57.840 is I got
01:01:58.260 rewarded for it.
01:02:00.100 So when I
01:02:00.780 was doing
01:02:01.160 periscopes in
01:02:01.920 which, you
01:02:02.940 know, the
01:02:03.120 first periscopes
01:02:03.860 I would have
01:02:04.260 25 people.
01:02:05.220 But those
01:02:06.600 25 people
01:02:07.540 would say,
01:02:08.160 hey, I
01:02:08.400 like this.
01:02:09.720 Do it
01:02:10.060 again.
01:02:11.080 And I'd
01:02:11.400 say, huh,
01:02:12.100 okay.
01:02:13.000 25 people
01:02:13.860 saw it.
01:02:15.040 Three of
01:02:15.540 them said,
01:02:16.060 I liked it.
01:02:16.560 Do it
01:02:16.760 again.
01:02:17.560 Oh, do it
01:02:18.040 again.
01:02:18.960 And then,
01:02:19.400 you know,
01:02:19.740 35 people
01:02:20.680 see it.
01:02:21.600 Four of
01:02:22.120 them said
01:02:22.420 they like
01:02:22.820 it.
01:02:23.000 I'm like,
01:02:23.420 huh, I'll
01:02:24.400 give this
01:02:24.720 another shot.
01:02:25.940 It's very
01:02:26.640 powerful.
01:02:27.960 Reward what
01:02:28.560 you want
01:02:28.900 more of and
01:02:29.660 you will have
01:02:30.040 a good life.
01:02:31.140 That's all.
01:02:31.540 Yeah, not
01:02:33.300 Roger Moore.
01:02:33.920 Michael Moore.
01:02:34.520 Sorry.
01:02:35.620 Oh, let me
01:02:36.160 answer this.
01:02:36.800 Was your
01:02:37.200 sinus surgery
01:02:38.460 worth it?
01:02:39.820 It was
01:02:40.240 life-changing.
01:02:42.200 Life-changing.
01:02:43.680 Yeah, just a
01:02:44.400 complete transformation
01:02:45.380 of life.
01:02:46.420 I can breathe
01:02:46.940 through my nose.
01:02:48.140 My allergies
01:02:48.800 basically don't
01:02:49.780 exist.
01:02:52.780 You know,
01:02:53.480 my voice is
01:02:54.200 different.
01:02:55.060 My smell came
01:02:56.140 back.
01:02:56.660 My sense of
01:02:57.220 taste.
01:02:58.180 My hearing is
01:02:58.940 no longer
01:02:59.540 affected.
01:03:00.160 Yeah, I
01:03:04.420 would say
01:03:04.720 on a scale
01:03:05.140 of 1 to
01:03:05.580 10, it
01:03:06.740 was a
01:03:07.040 10.
01:03:07.840 Very
01:03:08.220 unpleasant.
01:03:09.420 You know, the
01:03:09.680 process of
01:03:10.240 going through
01:03:10.600 it's kind of
01:03:11.080 unpleasant, but
01:03:12.420 not as bad as
01:03:12.980 I thought,
01:03:13.360 actually.
01:03:14.200 So, that's
01:03:15.500 all for now,
01:03:16.020 and I will
01:03:16.460 talk to you
01:03:17.120 later.