Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1126 Scott Adams： Why Democrats Can't Predict Well, Our Non-Credible Election, Gingrich and Soros, Science Goes Subjective

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, sorry I'm a little bit late.

00:00:15.400 There was some breaking news I just had to catch up on.

00:00:19.220 I don't know if you caught it, but you knew that this last month or so before the election,

00:00:26.440 you knew it was going to get good.

00:00:30.960 And man, do we have some stuff coming.

00:00:34.060 But before we get to that, let us do the most important part of the day.

00:00:38.160 It's called the simultaneous sip, and all you need is a cup or mug or a glass,

00:00:41.680 a tank or chalice or a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:45.560 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:48.900 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day,

00:00:52.980 the thing that makes everything except the news better.

00:00:56.920 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now. Go.

00:01:00.000 Good stuff.

00:01:06.320 So the news that I just saw before I logged on here was that there's another accusation against

00:01:14.560 President Trump that in 1997 a woman went to the U.S. Open with her boyfriend and with Trump as guests

00:01:23.300 and that he, quote, according to her, these are her words,

00:01:34.260 that she put his tongue down her throat and it felt like tentacles.

00:01:47.000 No, you can't write any better than that.

00:01:56.540 All I can see is that, you know, it turns out that Trump is actually a lizard person from another planet.

00:02:07.900 He's actually got like a tentacle tongue.

00:02:09.720 And, you know, I heard somebody say the other day that I think Michael Cohen said he never laughs.

00:02:18.880 And I thought, well, maybe he doesn't want to laugh because if he opens his mouth, that tongue will come out, the tentacle.

00:02:24.300 So, well, we hope this didn't really happen.

00:02:31.700 Her boyfriend says he doesn't have any memory of it.

00:02:35.000 She apparently told him about it and he says he doesn't remember it, I think.

00:02:40.120 So I don't think this is going to move the dial.

00:02:42.740 Well, it's not going to move the dial.

00:02:47.720 So, and of course, there's nothing funny about sexual assault.

00:02:54.620 I'm just saying we don't believe every story we hear in the election season.

00:03:00.860 All right.

00:03:01.660 So last night there was a glitch in the simulation.

00:03:06.160 And I'm going to tell you the story and then you can interpret it any way you want.

00:03:10.420 So it was the day before yesterday.

00:03:13.320 I woke up in the morning and I couldn't read for about an hour or so.

00:03:21.240 Now, when I say I couldn't read, I mean, I could look at words and I knew what each word meant, but I couldn't read them.

00:03:30.420 And I thought to myself, what's going on here?

00:03:34.460 And I thought, oh, it's just because I'm looking at somebody's tweet that's confusing.

00:03:38.200 And it's so poorly written that I just don't even know what it says.

00:03:42.140 So I went to a simpler tweet that was, you know, just one sentence and I couldn't read it.

00:03:47.780 I knew what the words were.

00:03:49.420 I knew I could sound out every word.

00:03:52.100 I could sound them out in order, but I couldn't read it.

00:03:56.040 I didn't know what it meant.

00:03:57.920 I still had language skills and everything else.

00:04:00.140 Then it got weirder.

00:04:01.040 Remember, things started disappearing, just like a simulation.

00:04:08.600 I was looking at a tennis ball that was sitting on the floor and I watched it disappear completely.

00:04:15.420 I'm just looking at the floor and the floor is now empty.

00:04:19.540 And as I watched it, the ball reappeared.

00:04:22.560 And I reproduced it several times with other objects, et cetera.

00:04:28.360 So things started glitching.

00:04:30.980 So as you might imagine, no, actually, I wasn't, I was not even a little bit high.

00:04:37.660 So if you're waiting for the part where I was on some kind of drug or something, sorry.

00:04:43.380 So, and then I had a splitting headache, which was weird.

00:04:47.500 Anyway, I ended up at the emergency room last night, having my, literally having my head scanned to see what was in there.

00:04:55.340 Turns out there was nothing in there.

00:04:57.320 I know that's an old joke, but I didn't have any kind of brain abnormality.

00:05:02.460 And, you know, a day later, it has worked itself out.

00:05:07.160 I had high blood pressure and some other stuff I'm working on.

00:05:10.220 But here's something you should never say to your medical professional.

00:05:14.740 Are you ready?

00:05:15.980 No, it wasn't a stroke.

00:05:17.280 They checked for that.

00:05:19.440 So they checked all the obvious stuff.

00:05:21.780 So if you're going to try to guess what it is, you're not going to succeed because we already went through the list.

00:05:28.560 Doesn't look like it's any of those.

00:05:30.460 Doesn't look like it's serious, but we'll see.

00:05:32.360 Anyway, here's something you don't want to tell your healthcare professional.

00:05:36.860 When I was first talking on the phone the other day about the high blood pressure, I don't remember why.

00:05:44.240 Oh, I remember why.

00:05:45.360 It was because the nurse was trying to figure out if I had some trauma that was causing my blood pressure to go high.

00:05:53.320 And so one of the standard questions they ask is, have you thought about taking your own life?

00:05:59.060 Now here's a question you should not ask a literal person.

00:06:04.800 Because it's one of those questions that you know what the right answer is, but I didn't give the right answer.

00:06:12.600 If she had asked, are you planning to kill yourself?

00:06:18.580 I would have said, no, no, not even close.

00:06:22.700 Had she said, are you seriously considering it?

00:06:26.340 I would have said, no, no, I'm not considering it.

00:06:29.940 But she didn't say those words.

00:06:33.300 She said, have you thought about it?

00:06:36.800 To which I said, because apparently I have a little bit too much Asperger's for my own good.

00:06:42.780 And I said, of course.

00:06:46.180 Who hasn't thought about it?

00:06:49.520 And she said, well, I haven't.

00:06:52.160 And I said, what?

00:06:54.740 What?

00:06:55.260 How could you not think about it?

00:06:59.100 I'm not saying I want to do it.

00:07:00.960 I have no interest, no inclination, no, you know, nothing's nudging me in that direction.

00:07:07.900 But as an intellectual thought, of course I've thought about it.

00:07:12.860 How do you not think about it?

00:07:14.400 It's just one of those things that's in the atmosphere.

00:07:16.940 And I said, indeed, I've probably thought about it every day since I was 12 years old.

00:07:21.600 I don't think I ever go a day without thinking about it.

00:07:24.300 But I don't plan it.

00:07:27.280 I just think about it.

00:07:30.020 So it turns out that if you've ever said that once,

00:07:34.000 if you've ever said that once,

00:07:36.380 you will get quizzed on that every time you go in.

00:07:39.320 Because once that's on your record,

00:07:40.940 so don't make that mistake I made.

00:07:42.600 Unless you're actually serious about it.

00:07:46.460 So I don't know what that was all about.

00:07:48.260 But I'll tell you the funniest part is they were testing my vision.

00:07:51.100 So, you know, I'm standing in front of the vision chart and I'm wearing my mask, of course, but I also have my glasses on.

00:08:00.320 So I'm trying to read the vision chart as I'm breathing and my mask is fogging up.

00:08:05.480 And I'm trying to explain to the woman that my glasses are fogging and that's the reason I can't read the smaller type.

00:08:13.820 And I'm trying desperately to convince her not only that I'm not trying to take my own life,

00:08:18.760 but I could probably see the chart if my glasses were not fogged up.

00:08:24.480 Like, no, seriously, seriously, I would be able to see that.

00:08:28.180 My brain, it's not my brain.

00:08:30.360 No, no, there's nothing wrong with my brain.

00:08:32.820 I think my eyes are okay.

00:08:34.440 I would be able to see that if my glasses were not fogged.

00:08:37.280 Please, please, don't put me in a machine.

00:08:41.240 Anyway, so here's the good news.

00:08:43.380 I went to the emergency room and it was almost empty.

00:08:48.460 It was almost empty.

00:08:50.620 And so I got the best medical service you've ever seen.

00:08:54.860 I mean, I got really, really good medical service.

00:08:58.080 Just, I got lucky.

00:08:59.020 It was the day they didn't have many emergencies.

00:09:01.260 So enough about me.

00:09:03.000 Why is it the Democrats are so bad at predicting things?

00:09:06.600 Have you ever noticed that?

00:09:07.760 There's a very funny John Kerry video going around.

00:09:11.980 And he was talking somewhere in public.

00:09:14.700 And he, you know how Kerry puts his glasses down like this?

00:09:18.380 So that he can talk to you like he is much more haughty and arrogant.

00:09:25.420 And he knows a lot more than you do.

00:09:28.960 Because he's literally looking down his nose at you, down his glasses.

00:09:32.820 And in the video, he was saying, there's one thing I'm going to tell you.

00:09:37.760 I'm paraphrasing.

00:09:39.000 There's one thing you have to know.

00:09:40.840 There will never, ever be peace in the Middle East unless the Palestinian situation is first.

00:09:48.820 I have talked to all the leaders in the Middle East.

00:09:52.340 They're all my best friends.

00:09:54.140 We hang out together.

00:09:55.160 I just talked to them this morning.

00:09:57.760 And if there's one thing I can tell you for sure, take it to the bank.

00:10:02.500 There will never, listen to me, listen to me and read my lips.

00:10:07.320 There will never, never, never, never, you idiots, never be any kind of a deal in the Middle East

00:10:15.440 until the Palestinian situation is fixed first.

00:10:19.220 First, I could watch that video all day long because not only is he spectacularly wrong,

00:10:27.860 as we can see by recent events, but he was really sure about it.

00:10:33.820 He was really, really sure about it.

00:10:39.440 I'm saying you're still making medical advice.

00:10:44.020 I did have a CAT scan, so everything's fine with my brain.

00:10:49.220 Here are some suggestions for why Democrats are unusually bad at predicting.

00:10:56.660 And this is just sort of a working hypothesis I have.

00:10:59.860 So I'm going to be monitoring this to see if there's a pattern here.

00:11:04.160 The first one is that I believe Democrats have social priorities that might bias them.

00:11:11.760 So they might have a preferred way they would like things to turn out

00:11:16.120 that is just a little disconnected from reality.

00:11:19.900 So that's the first thing.

00:11:21.240 You know, a preference for how the world should be,

00:11:24.240 which is maybe, maybe biasing them.

00:11:27.400 I can imagine that conservatives would have a different kind of bias the other way.

00:11:32.680 I think the Democrats are far more susceptible to fake news.

00:11:36.900 I'll tell you in a bit about my smartest liberal friend, Democrat friend.

00:11:44.040 I'll give you an update on him in a minute.

00:11:45.860 But he falls for every fake news.

00:11:48.820 All of them.

00:11:49.820 Every fake news.

00:11:50.620 I'll give you an update now.

00:11:52.120 So I always talk about my smartest Democrat friend

00:11:54.920 and what he will believe, which is just amazing, the things he believes.

00:11:59.220 So every time there'll be a debunk of something I know he believes,

00:12:02.920 I send it over to him.

00:12:04.340 And it's starting to make a difference.

00:12:06.720 So I've debunked just about everything he believed,

00:12:09.800 but he still fights against the debunks.

00:12:12.180 It's like, well, you know, I'm not sure that's quite a debunk

00:12:15.020 or he changes the subject.

00:12:16.840 But this one was pretty clean.

00:12:18.940 I sent him the report over that said

00:12:20.640 there is no validation for the idea

00:12:24.280 that Russians were offering a bounty for American soldiers.

00:12:28.400 That was one of his biggest complaints.

00:12:31.380 So I sent it over.

00:12:32.340 It came from the military.

00:12:33.980 It was official, very reliable report that says,

00:12:37.180 no, we've looked into it for however many weeks.

00:12:39.920 We can't find any credible allegation there.

00:12:43.580 It's not credible.

00:12:45.660 So my friend, actually, I was surprised.

00:12:48.860 He said, well, you know, it's good that information is updated.

00:12:52.580 And he accepted it.

00:12:54.480 I don't know if I've ever seen this before.

00:12:57.380 Have you?

00:12:58.380 And when I say I've never seen it before,

00:13:00.420 I actually mean that literally.

00:13:02.380 I don't think I've ever seen anybody, a Democrat,

00:13:06.340 who you give them information,

00:13:08.560 and then they read it, and they go,

00:13:10.020 oh, that's new information.

00:13:11.300 I will revise my opinion of this thing.

00:13:14.480 I've never seen it.

00:13:15.540 But it happened.

00:13:16.520 It actually happened yesterday.

00:13:17.820 And I was amazed.

00:13:18.840 And as soon as that happened,

00:13:21.880 he moved to a new hoax,

00:13:23.820 which is that hydroxychloroquine is dangerous.

00:13:25.860 And I was like, I have to start all over again.

00:13:32.020 Hydroxychloroquine is only dangerous in the hoax scenario where there was one study where they overdosed senior citizens.

00:13:39.580 But if he used it in the way it's supposed to be used, no danger.

00:13:44.060 So there was no limit to how many new hoaxes he would be willing to take on, as long as he had lots of them.

00:13:51.480 And it is my belief that there is a greater propensity to believe fake news on the left,

00:13:59.000 if only because there's more of it.

00:14:01.660 That could reverse.

00:14:02.980 If we had a Democrat as president, I think the right is a little bit more fake newsy.

00:14:10.180 It's just whoever's out of power tends to be the fake news one.

00:14:13.260 So that is the Democrats at the moment.

00:14:16.100 Here's the other thing they get wrong.

00:14:17.580 Democrats seem to ignore human incentives.

00:14:21.480 Republicans only, they only design two incentives.

00:14:28.700 Capitalism, you're going to have to work or you'll starve.

00:14:32.840 The legal system, you'd better obey the law or you'll go to jail.

00:14:38.080 So the entire idea of Republicans is that there are these things called human beings.

00:14:44.840 And you need to design a system to control their worst impulses.

00:14:49.480 Democracy, you know, you get a lot of dumb people, but maybe on average they can get the right answer, etc.

00:14:55.740 I think that Democrats have some weird opinion that people can just be good if you browbeat them enough.

00:15:05.800 You know, if I remind you enough to be a good person in the way that I want you to be, you'll do it.

00:15:12.000 I'm just going to have to keep on you.

00:15:13.920 Just keep reminding you what you should be and what you should not be.

00:15:18.060 Have I shamed you enough?

00:15:19.880 Can I shame you enough?

00:15:21.760 So there's a difference there.

00:15:24.200 They don't understand that you can always predict that humans will be humans today and tomorrow.

00:15:31.220 So you can know what they'll do tomorrow just because they're still human.

00:15:34.800 Of course they'll do that tomorrow.

00:15:36.900 And then, of course, you've got the Trump derangement syndrome, which blinds them a little bit or a lot.

00:15:42.940 And then, in many cases, there's a lack of a talent stack, as I say.

00:15:48.220 So if it's just a journalist, for example, or an artist, they just might not have the skills to understand their world.

00:15:55.780 But I believe that this is a real thing.

00:15:59.340 And I'll bet...

00:16:00.940 Oh, this is good. Are you ready for this?

00:16:04.040 I'll bet you, you could do a study in which you looked at the predicted bets of Democrats and the predicted bets of Republicans.

00:16:17.560 I'll bet there'd be a difference.

00:16:20.420 And I don't think they ask you that when you sign up for predicted.

00:16:24.880 They don't ask you what your inclinations are.

00:16:28.440 They just take your bets.

00:16:30.160 But I'll bet you could do a poll.

00:16:31.380 I'll bet you could say, you know, do you use a betting service?

00:16:35.680 What's your, you know, what's your party affiliation?

00:16:38.700 And then, you know, show us your results.

00:16:41.240 Probably.

00:16:42.280 Or you could do a study where you just randomly pick a bunch of Democrats and randomly pick Republicans and say,

00:16:49.160 we're going to give you all $1,000.

00:16:51.940 Use them in the betting markets.

00:16:54.060 And then we'll get back to you in six months.

00:16:56.020 You can bet on anything you want.

00:16:57.760 There's no limit to what you can bet on.

00:16:59.500 Just any topic you want.

00:17:01.380 Just see if Democrats or Republicans are better at betting.

00:17:05.920 Would you make a bet on how that went?

00:17:08.900 I feel like Republicans would win that.

00:17:12.740 But I'm not positive.

00:17:13.720 It'd be fun to test.

00:17:16.920 All right.

00:17:18.340 Bill Barr is making news again.

00:17:21.520 He's always fun to watch.

00:17:22.780 He's one of my favorite people just to hear him talk.

00:17:27.520 But I feel like he made one persuasion error that didn't need to be made, which is unusual.

00:17:36.120 You know, there's some people who make lots of them.

00:17:38.040 But when Bill Barr makes what, in my opinion, maybe he's just smarter than me, which I can't rule out.

00:17:45.360 But in my opinion, this is a big persuasion error.

00:17:49.720 And it goes like this.

00:17:51.460 Barr said that he defined systemic racism and the systemic part to mean that it's built into the government institutions.

00:18:01.040 I think he mostly means government institutions, but he said institutions.

00:18:05.360 Now, first of all, that's the wrong definition.

00:18:10.820 So if you're trying to convince somebody else, as opposed to just talking to Republicans, which has its value, but in an election season, or if you're trying to make the country, let's say, more relaxed about potential violence, you're really talking to everybody.

00:18:26.780 So he should have been talking to everybody, and then he very, very unusually defined systemic racism completely wrong, because it's not about just the government institutions.

00:18:43.480 And I would agree with Barr that the government institutions aren't too bad.

00:18:48.840 You know, everything can be fixed.

00:18:50.100 But, you know, I think the government institutions are well into the 95% pretty fair.

00:18:58.980 You know, you always got to work on that last 5%.

00:19:01.220 So here's what he could have done better.

00:19:06.020 Here's what I would have done.

00:19:07.260 I would have agreed and amplified.

00:19:09.840 And every time that I have an opportunity to show you how to do this, I like to call it out, because it's so powerful.

00:19:15.800 I would agree and amplify.

00:19:17.840 So I would say, yes, there is systemic racism.

00:19:22.980 It's a big problem.

00:19:25.100 All right, so imagine me being Bill Barr, and I'm saying this.

00:19:28.080 Yeah, systemic racism, it's a big, big problem.

00:19:32.220 Now, all the people on the left just said, what?

00:19:37.620 What?

00:19:38.540 Did you just agree that systemic racism is a gigantic problem?

00:19:43.140 What?

00:19:43.740 You have my attention now.

00:19:45.140 All right, so that's the first part.

00:19:46.340 First part of persuasion is you've got to get their attention.

00:19:50.220 So you agree.

00:19:51.860 That's also persuasion, pacing.

00:19:54.200 Systemic racism, big problem.

00:19:56.200 Let me tell you where it's not a big problem is in the government.

00:19:59.820 We do that pretty well.

00:20:01.260 Could do it better.

00:20:02.300 Certainly could fix some things about the police.

00:20:04.900 We'd like to do that.

00:20:06.240 But mostly the government has done quite a good job over the years.

00:20:09.820 Let me tell you where there's systemic racism.

00:20:11.820 Man, it's bad.

00:20:14.440 And if there's any way we could help, we'd sure like to.

00:20:17.540 And it has to do with the teachers' unions.

00:20:21.200 If you fix the teachers' unions, you get yourself better schools, better choice,

00:20:26.020 and then everybody's in better shape to cut through whatever discrimination there still is.

00:20:33.820 You can't get rid of it all.

00:20:35.640 We're just not that kind of species.

00:20:37.780 We can try.

00:20:38.680 We can have it as a goal.

00:20:40.160 We can fight like heck to get rid of racism everywhere we find it.

00:20:44.880 And I'm dedicated to doing that.

00:20:46.880 But let's be honest.

00:20:48.440 Sometimes you have to cut through it.

00:20:50.680 And a good education will let you slice through it in a way that maybe if you didn't have an education,

00:20:56.560 you just walk into the wall.

00:20:58.500 So that's what I would do.

00:21:00.180 I would agree that systemic racism exists.

00:21:04.600 I would amplify it.

00:21:05.960 I would move it over to the teachers' union and say, how can I help?

00:21:09.460 That's how I would do it.

00:21:11.080 All right.

00:21:11.340 But Barr does say about Black Lives Matter, he says that they're not interested in black lives.

00:21:21.900 They're interested in props.

00:21:23.840 That's pretty direct.

00:21:26.240 I don't know that – I'm trying to remember when the switch came.

00:21:31.900 Wasn't there a point when no Republican would have said out loud that Black Lives Matter,

00:21:37.820 the organization is bad or a problem, wouldn't you say?

00:21:43.240 I feel as if you didn't see major political figures of any kind going against Black Lives Matter,

00:21:52.000 the organization.

00:21:53.080 Now, of course, everybody agrees with the concept of Black Lives Matter.

00:21:57.120 I've literally never heard anybody argue that.

00:21:59.600 But it's interesting that he can go right at it now.

00:22:04.200 And I think that's a result of the protests, et cetera.

00:22:07.620 I think Black Lives Matter has completely destroyed its brand, its reputation, its goodwill.

00:22:16.340 So to the point where people like me can just say, no, it's not even helping black people.

00:22:22.440 In fact, I would say that Black Lives Matter is one of the biggest problems for black America

00:22:30.620 because they're doing the wrong things and just making people mad when they could have

00:22:36.600 easily done the right things and made people happy.

00:22:40.360 All people, not just sometimes people.

00:22:43.860 All right.

00:22:44.080 And then Barr was also pointing out that increasingly the message of the Democrats is that no Biden,

00:22:51.540 no peace.

00:22:52.340 He said Biden or no peace, but I like using it as a slogan.

00:22:56.460 No Biden, no peace.

00:22:58.520 It's pretty obvious that it's turned into a blackmail situation.

00:23:04.280 No Biden, no peace.

00:23:06.000 Now, interestingly, President Trump has said that he was going to, quote,

00:23:10.240 put down any riots after the election.

00:23:14.080 How do you like that phrase, put down?

00:23:18.080 Trump said he would put down any riots.

00:23:21.700 Put down is an interesting choice of words because it sounds like kill.

00:23:27.220 You know, if you put down your dog, you're killing it.

00:23:30.460 So he was going to put down the protests.

00:23:32.920 That's a pretty aggressive word without being an aggressive word.

00:23:37.080 There's a report today that I guess some officials around the White House were asking about getting a heat ray

00:23:45.740 that makes, I guess it makes protesters skin heat up so you can keep protesters at bay with this heat gun.

00:23:55.840 And I guess it exists.

00:23:56.900 And some of the law enforcement people were looking for them and trying to find if there were any available for the protests.

00:24:05.640 But I think there's a bigger question here.

00:24:09.460 I feel like we need a lot of different non-lethal force situations.

00:24:16.800 It just feels like shooting people isn't just going to work anymore.

00:24:21.620 We just need something that knocks somebody out immediately.

00:24:24.800 Is there no such thing as a spray you can put on somebody that just knocks them out?

00:24:32.160 No. We don't have anything like that.

00:24:34.460 I feel like we should do a lot more work on non-lethal stuff.

00:24:40.140 So the retailer H&M decided to cut ties with Chinese suppliers,

00:24:47.300 the ones that come from the province where the Uyghurs are in the prison camps.

00:24:53.300 So one by one, you're seeing American and other companies pull away from China

00:24:58.780 because the Trump administration is putting a lot of pressure on the Uyghur situation.

00:25:05.260 And that's pretty, pretty darn effective.

00:25:10.140 It looks like it's going to be death by a thousand cuts for China

00:25:13.500 as company after company after company just sort of slowly pulls out or decouples.

00:25:19.420 China's got some big problems coming.

00:25:21.520 I don't know if they know it.

00:25:22.480 I feel as though there is a creeping change happening

00:25:30.320 that because it's not sudden doesn't become news.

00:25:34.680 Something becomes news if there's a sudden change and it's noteworthy.

00:25:39.440 But if something just gradually 1% a year goes up,

00:25:44.320 eventually it could be a big change, but it takes so long it never becomes news.

00:25:48.700 It's just what's happening.

00:25:49.760 And I think that's happening with the protests,

00:25:53.920 meaning that I think law enforcement is increasing at this point in most places.

00:26:00.560 They're starting to increase the penalties and increasing the law enforcement,

00:26:05.520 let's say, how much energy they're putting into it.

00:26:10.580 But because they didn't ramp it up all at once,

00:26:13.280 they're just sort of turning it up a little bit.

00:26:16.020 It's like, hey, yesterday we arrested nine people.

00:26:21.280 Today, 11 people.

00:26:24.220 Tomorrow, 14 people.

00:26:26.620 Eventually, you're going to get most of the dangerous people.

00:26:30.060 And if you don't let them out, which has been the big problem,

00:26:32.960 you actually keep them in and charge them with serious stuff.

00:26:35.540 And I think Bart was talking about actually sedition.

00:26:40.120 You know, actually, sedition.

00:26:41.480 That's pretty serious.

00:26:43.080 So I think that's happening, except maybe in Minneapolis,

00:26:45.900 where the police have decided that they don't want to be police anymore.

00:26:49.320 You know, if you were the police in Minneapolis,

00:26:52.140 would you risk your life for the city that just screwed you?

00:26:56.660 You'd like to think they would, just because they're good people.

00:27:03.340 But again, human motivation.

00:27:07.140 How did the Democrats in Minneapolis,

00:27:10.060 what did they think would happen

00:27:11.760 when they took a gigantic dump on the heads of their own police force?

00:27:17.160 What possibly could they have predicted

00:27:21.180 that might have happened

00:27:23.280 by having fewer police doing their job

00:27:26.540 and getting crapped on by their own people

00:27:29.280 instead of helping to do what they were meant to do,

00:27:32.220 which is to stop crime?

00:27:33.660 Who could ever predict where that would go?

00:27:37.100 It's very consistent, right?

00:27:40.020 Democrats don't seem to be able to predict.

00:27:44.920 All right.

00:27:47.240 I would, there's some guy who got picked up,

00:27:49.960 arrested for being one of the laser pointer people

00:27:53.320 who tried to blind a police officer.

00:27:55.460 I think he did actually blind a police officer.

00:27:59.120 And I'd like to, I've said this a number of times,

00:28:01.540 but I'm just going to keep saying it until it sinks in.

00:28:04.700 The penalty for blinding a police officer intentionally,

00:28:09.720 premeditated, you know, you bring the thing to an event

00:28:13.220 for the express purpose of blinding a police officer,

00:28:16.860 that should be the death penalty.

00:28:18.360 Does anybody disagree?

00:28:20.940 Now, you can disagree maybe if you just have an opinion

00:28:24.200 that there should never be a death penalty.

00:28:26.480 But if anything can be a death penalty,

00:28:29.460 that needs to be one.

00:28:31.480 Because it's too easy to get away with, apparently.

00:28:35.600 I mean, they've caught some of them,

00:28:36.780 but it must be easy to get away with.

00:28:38.820 And if something's easy to get away with

00:28:40.460 and is that dangerous,

00:28:41.760 and that destabilizing to the system,

00:28:45.440 because we do need police,

00:28:47.160 I feel like, I feel as though

00:28:48.920 the death penalty would be appropriate.

00:28:52.220 Anybody else?

00:28:53.540 Do you think that death penalty would be appropriate

00:28:55.840 for laser pointer people blinding police officers?

00:28:59.600 Remember, this is permanent blindness.

00:29:01.880 Permanent blindness.

00:29:02.600 And it could be in both eyes.

00:29:06.660 Yeah.

00:29:07.520 Anyway, well, I'll keep pushing on that.

00:29:12.180 CNN had an article that was unusually good.

00:29:18.120 I know you don't expect me to say this,

00:29:21.960 but Ross Garber,

00:29:24.380 who has several descriptors,

00:29:27.180 he's, I guess he's,

00:29:28.800 investigative, legal, writer, person.

00:29:32.100 So he knows what he's talking about.

00:29:33.820 I don't know if he's a lawyer,

00:29:35.100 but he's an investigative, legal person.

00:29:39.980 And he wrote a very helpful article

00:29:43.120 about what will happen

00:29:44.040 if the election is not settled

00:29:48.900 in the time that it should be settled.

00:29:51.260 In other words,

00:29:51.840 if we don't have a vote

00:29:52.960 that the public and all of our,

00:29:55.500 all of our officials agree is the result,

00:30:00.220 what do you do?

00:30:01.780 Now, do you know?

00:30:03.160 Do you know what happens

00:30:05.540 if we don't get a result?

00:30:07.940 Because I feel like we need to be taught that,

00:30:10.420 and it's really important.

00:30:12.780 Because just in terms of the psychology of the country,

00:30:16.660 if you had a month to prepare

00:30:18.820 for what it's going to look like,

00:30:21.700 then when it looks like that,

00:30:23.300 or even if it looks like some form of that,

00:30:25.960 you're going to say,

00:30:26.640 okay, that's what I expected,

00:30:28.380 and this is the way it will go,

00:30:30.020 and this is the way it will be decided.

00:30:32.400 That is very stabilizing.

00:30:34.880 But if we just hit a brick wall

00:30:38.360 of, uh-oh, we didn't get a result,

00:30:40.280 and we're not sure when we'll have a result,

00:30:42.860 and the country doesn't quite know

00:30:44.380 what to do with that,

00:30:46.100 the public is going to think,

00:30:47.840 well, I guess we have to have a riot or something,

00:30:51.420 because they wouldn't know what the process is.

00:30:53.700 It is critically important,

00:30:56.540 critically important,

00:30:57.640 to the point of preventing

00:30:59.800 a violent revolution in the country,

00:31:02.400 or at least lots of bloodshed,

00:31:03.780 to inform the public.

00:31:06.140 What is the process?

00:31:08.340 And,

00:31:09.500 helpfully,

00:31:10.280 on CNN,

00:31:11.360 I'll give them credit for this,

00:31:12.940 Ross Garber did a very

00:31:14.440 clear, unbiased,

00:31:16.860 just, you know,

00:31:17.560 description of what the process would be.

00:31:19.440 I don't think I understand it totally,

00:31:21.860 but let me give you some highlights.

00:31:25.440 If a number of things happen

00:31:27.560 that the delegates cannot decide,

00:31:31.120 the Electoral College folks,

00:31:32.960 if they can't decide

00:31:34.180 who their vote should go to,

00:31:36.300 let's say the situation is

00:31:37.880 one candidate won

00:31:39.880 by the deadline,

00:31:41.580 but there were extra votes coming in,

00:31:43.860 so people said,

00:31:44.680 hey,

00:31:45.500 I think we're going to still give it

00:31:46.780 to the person who got the most votes,

00:31:49.000 even if they came in

00:31:50.520 after the deadline.

00:31:51.900 And then other people would say,

00:31:53.000 hey, you can't do that,

00:31:54.440 it's after the deadline.

00:31:55.420 So you'd have this situation

00:31:57.060 where you couldn't trust

00:31:59.560 the electoral votes,

00:32:01.860 because they wouldn't even be

00:32:03.160 playing the same game.

00:32:04.580 You wouldn't have a system.

00:32:06.300 So what do you do?

00:32:07.440 At some point,

00:32:08.340 it goes to Congress,

00:32:09.680 and here's where it gets weird.

00:32:11.640 So Congress would pick the,

00:32:13.340 the House would pick the president,

00:32:16.180 and then it's really weird.

00:32:17.820 The Senate would pick

00:32:20.020 the vice president.

00:32:21.760 But,

00:32:22.700 they don't vote the way

00:32:24.020 they normally vote,

00:32:25.020 which would be

00:32:25.740 a Democrat majority in House.

00:32:28.300 Rather,

00:32:28.880 I think they get one vote

00:32:30.020 for state,

00:32:31.340 or it's based on the legislators

00:32:33.040 in the state,

00:32:33.780 or something.

00:32:34.820 But the current situation is

00:32:36.820 that if votes went along

00:32:38.460 party lines,

00:32:39.460 even though the House

00:32:40.200 is controlled by the Democrats,

00:32:42.060 the weird way

00:32:43.020 that the law is written,

00:32:44.620 there would be more

00:32:45.760 Republican votes.

00:32:48.020 So Trump would get elected

00:32:49.660 by the House,

00:32:51.540 even though it's Democrat.

00:32:52.560 the House would have

00:32:54.140 to elect him

00:32:54.760 because there would be

00:32:56.560 so many,

00:32:57.340 so many Republicans

00:32:59.040 who would vote for him.

00:33:00.780 But,

00:33:01.440 here it gets weird.

00:33:03.000 The Senate

00:33:03.540 could pick Kamala Harris.

00:33:06.000 You could actually end up

00:33:08.020 with President Trump,

00:33:09.780 Vice President Kamala Harris.

00:33:12.000 That's real.

00:33:12.800 and not entirely unlikely.

00:33:19.080 Is that crazy?

00:33:20.600 How many of you knew

00:33:21.820 that we could end up,

00:33:24.080 like,

00:33:24.400 actually end up

00:33:25.460 with a President Trump

00:33:27.100 and a Vice President Kamala Harris?

00:33:29.520 Did you think

00:33:30.300 that was even a thing?

00:33:31.280 I didn't even know

00:33:31.720 that was a thing

00:33:32.320 until literally this morning.

00:33:33.860 So,

00:33:36.580 thank you,

00:33:37.340 Ross Garber.

00:33:38.600 I tweeted

00:33:39.040 his article.

00:33:40.540 If you want to see that,

00:33:41.600 it's worth looking at.

00:33:42.920 Here's what we need.

00:33:44.220 We need a one-page tweet

00:33:46.240 that has,

00:33:48.020 if this happens,

00:33:49.360 we do this,

00:33:50.760 but,

00:33:51.380 if then this happens,

00:33:52.500 we do this,

00:33:53.600 and if this happens,

00:33:54.620 we do this.

00:33:55.500 We need an if then.

00:33:57.160 So it's a one-pager

00:33:58.240 that anybody can look at

00:33:59.380 and go,

00:33:59.640 okay, okay,

00:34:00.600 alright,

00:34:00.820 it's election night,

00:34:02.560 alright,

00:34:02.840 we're here.

00:34:03.860 Alright,

00:34:04.400 if we don't have a result,

00:34:06.880 okay,

00:34:07.240 I followed it over,

00:34:08.260 and now we're here.

00:34:09.040 Alright,

00:34:09.320 we don't have a result.

00:34:10.420 We wait till this deadline.

00:34:11.760 Okay,

00:34:12.040 if this deadline passes,

00:34:13.620 then we go to this body.

00:34:15.980 So we should be able

00:34:16.980 to follow it

00:34:17.660 just like we're following

00:34:18.820 a subway map.

00:34:21.620 So there's just no doubt

00:34:23.420 that the process is working.

00:34:25.840 That's very important.

00:34:27.180 You have to,

00:34:27.540 you have to convince the public

00:34:28.920 that there is a process.

00:34:31.180 It's a process that's working.

00:34:32.540 It does have an end.

00:34:34.360 It will get a result.

00:34:36.160 Might not be the one you want,

00:34:37.640 but that's how every election works.

00:34:40.080 Very important.

00:34:42.120 Alright.

00:34:42.340 let's see what else

00:34:45.800 we got going on here.

00:34:48.620 The Academy of Country Music Awards,

00:34:51.680 they decided that they would have

00:34:53.460 two winners for their,

00:34:55.320 I guess what,

00:34:56.560 Entertainer of the Year or something.

00:34:57.760 and they picked

00:34:59.860 Carrie Underwood

00:35:01.220 and Thomas Rhett

00:35:03.120 for Entertainer of the Year,

00:35:04.580 co-winners.

00:35:06.900 Any problem with that?

00:35:08.440 Do you see any problem with that?

00:35:10.680 They couldn't decide,

00:35:12.020 or I guess the vote was tie,

00:35:14.160 so they just picked two winners.

00:35:16.100 That's okay, right?

00:35:17.720 I mean,

00:35:18.360 who could complain about that,

00:35:20.180 really?

00:35:21.160 Two excellent entertainers,

00:35:23.200 very successful,

00:35:24.760 very popular,

00:35:25.540 they took the vote,

00:35:26.660 it was a tie.

00:35:27.720 Who could possibly complain

00:35:29.320 about a tie?

00:35:31.580 Women,

00:35:33.400 because,

00:35:34.440 as you saw in the tweets,

00:35:35.820 or you haven't seen,

00:35:36.720 but you could see,

00:35:38.320 women said,

00:35:39.340 oh,

00:35:40.200 you can't give the woman

00:35:41.500 a prize by herself.

00:35:43.520 She has to share it with a man.

00:35:45.920 Why can't the woman

00:35:47.080 have her own prize?

00:35:49.240 Is there some reason

00:35:50.040 a woman can't have her own prize?

00:35:52.320 Has to be shared with a man.

00:35:54.940 Now,

00:35:55.600 here's what I say.

00:35:57.620 I've never heard of Thomas Rhett.

00:35:59.580 I'm not a music guy,

00:36:01.540 so I've never even heard of this guy.

00:36:03.780 But Carrie Underwood?

00:36:06.160 Correct me if I'm wrong,

00:36:08.160 but she isn't just

00:36:09.380 a good performer,

00:36:11.900 but one of the best performers

00:36:13.340 of all time.

00:36:15.120 And it seems to me

00:36:18.060 that she has gotten

00:36:19.320 quite a few accolades

00:36:21.200 in her life.

00:36:22.020 All well deserved,

00:36:23.140 because,

00:36:23.700 if I didn't mention it,

00:36:24.980 she's one of the best performers

00:36:26.320 of all time.

00:36:29.040 So,

00:36:29.880 I don't think she has anything

00:36:31.480 to worry about.

00:36:32.080 it feels as though

00:36:39.200 we have lost our sense

00:36:41.680 of balance in this country,

00:36:43.400 and that artificial intelligence

00:36:44.920 is the reason.

00:36:46.920 In the old days,

00:36:48.140 it seemed that

00:36:48.960 the way I thought

00:36:51.020 of the Democrats

00:36:51.700 and the Republicans,

00:36:53.380 and see if you agree with this,

00:36:55.220 is that it was good

00:36:56.420 that they were different,

00:36:57.340 because you would have

00:36:59.100 one side fighting

00:37:00.020 for one side,

00:37:00.920 the other side fighting

00:37:01.700 to the other side,

00:37:02.660 but they could be

00:37:04.320 a little extreme,

00:37:06.100 and so the sensible middle

00:37:07.480 was just a good place to be.

00:37:09.800 It's like,

00:37:10.100 all right,

00:37:10.560 it's not perfectly left

00:37:11.880 or perfectly right,

00:37:13.300 but we found something

00:37:14.100 that works in the middle,

00:37:15.200 and everybody had

00:37:16.040 that same model.

00:37:17.260 Oh yeah,

00:37:18.360 we'll meet in the middle.

00:37:21.460 But I think AI

00:37:22.900 and the algorithms

00:37:26.020 and the business models

00:37:27.080 have, of course,

00:37:29.480 made that no longer a thing.

00:37:31.560 You don't even hold that

00:37:32.640 in your mind

00:37:33.460 as one of the options.

00:37:36.580 When was the last time

00:37:37.500 you thought in terms

00:37:38.420 of a compromise

00:37:39.240 or something in the middle?

00:37:41.500 It feels like

00:37:42.220 it's not a thing anymore.

00:37:43.920 You either do

00:37:44.500 the executive order,

00:37:46.260 or you control

00:37:47.620 both sides of the House

00:37:49.740 and the Senate,

00:37:51.100 or it doesn't get done.

00:37:53.760 The few exceptions

00:37:54.900 are some things

00:37:55.680 that nobody

00:37:57.240 can disagree with,

00:37:58.240 but for the big stuff,

00:38:00.160 we don't have

00:38:01.280 this sense of meeting

00:38:02.060 in the middle anymore.

00:38:02.820 It's not a thing.

00:38:03.860 And I would argue

00:38:04.460 that artificial intelligence

00:38:06.380 has effectively

00:38:08.480 weaponized us

00:38:10.060 against each other,

00:38:11.080 and it is already

00:38:12.700 a life force.

00:38:13.500 It is alive,

00:38:15.060 it reproduces,

00:38:16.120 it uses humans

00:38:17.020 to create more of itself.

00:38:18.940 It has a mission,

00:38:20.240 which is to create

00:38:21.480 more of itself,

00:38:22.180 and the best way

00:38:23.100 the AI creates

00:38:24.600 more of itself

00:38:25.460 is,

00:38:26.660 how does AI reproduce?

00:38:29.720 It reproduces

00:38:30.700 by getting people

00:38:34.900 to fight each other.

00:38:36.740 The more humans

00:38:37.940 are fighting each other,

00:38:39.140 the more they're going

00:38:40.640 to build more AI.

00:38:43.000 Let's say you were

00:38:44.000 afraid of China

00:38:45.660 and what they would do

00:38:47.520 with artificial intelligence.

00:38:48.840 If you were afraid

00:38:50.080 of what China

00:38:50.680 will do in the future

00:38:52.300 with artificial intelligence,

00:38:53.640 what would you do?

00:38:55.240 You would build

00:38:56.240 more artificial intelligence.

00:38:58.740 So artificial intelligence

00:39:00.020 has found a way

00:39:01.220 to reproduce

00:39:02.580 by scaring the pants

00:39:04.800 out of us,

00:39:05.680 and just permanently,

00:39:06.720 so we'll be

00:39:07.360 forever scared.

00:39:10.020 Here's,

00:39:10.780 let me give you

00:39:11.800 a prediction.

00:39:15.140 If it's true

00:39:16.420 that what I'm saying

00:39:17.580 is true,

00:39:18.040 that we're already

00:39:19.340 past the point

00:39:20.180 of no return,

00:39:21.480 and I believe that,

00:39:22.300 by the way,

00:39:22.980 that we're past

00:39:23.720 the point of no return,

00:39:25.300 the machines

00:39:26.100 already run civilization.

00:39:29.420 They're not sentient,

00:39:31.220 but they have

00:39:32.380 that effect.

00:39:35.040 If that's true,

00:39:36.560 you would see

00:39:37.920 a point where humans

00:39:39.380 don't kill

00:39:40.820 each other as much,

00:39:42.260 or if they did,

00:39:43.400 they don't destroy

00:39:44.180 entire countries.

00:39:45.600 In other words,

00:39:46.200 they might kill

00:39:46.880 some poor people

00:39:47.660 in poor countries,

00:39:49.200 but the only countries

00:39:50.420 that would have wars

00:39:51.920 going forward,

00:39:53.440 if AI is running

00:39:54.720 everything,

00:39:55.940 is the only way

00:39:56.800 there'd be a war

00:39:57.380 is if it's a country

00:39:58.280 that didn't have

00:39:59.060 any AI

00:39:59.700 and wasn't going

00:40:00.420 to get any,

00:40:01.600 because it doesn't

00:40:02.380 have any impact

00:40:03.260 on their reproduction.

00:40:04.920 But if AI wants

00:40:05.980 to reproduce,

00:40:07.300 it wants to keep

00:40:08.080 China intact,

00:40:09.600 it wants Russia

00:40:10.480 intact,

00:40:11.260 the United States

00:40:11.920 intact,

00:40:12.960 it doesn't want us

00:40:14.180 destroying one country

00:40:15.640 or the other,

00:40:16.500 because then there

00:40:17.200 will be less AI.

00:40:19.220 It won't reproduce

00:40:20.100 as well.

00:40:21.340 So that's a prediction.

00:40:22.740 If AI has already

00:40:24.080 taken over,

00:40:24.980 and it has,

00:40:26.180 you won't see

00:40:27.080 major countries

00:40:28.140 destroy each other,

00:40:29.220 because it would

00:40:29.940 destroy the AI.

00:40:31.840 But you will see

00:40:33.040 maybe some smaller

00:40:35.500 countries destroyed.

00:40:36.380 All right.

00:40:39.660 You won't know

00:40:40.420 about that for

00:40:41.000 10 years.

00:40:43.380 There was a great

00:40:44.380 article in the

00:40:45.160 New York Times

00:40:46.020 looking at what

00:40:47.700 it is that makes

00:40:48.900 one country more

00:40:50.120 successful than

00:40:50.920 another in

00:40:51.460 coronavirus.

00:40:52.560 That's kind of

00:40:53.260 what you're waiting

00:40:53.700 for, right?

00:40:56.520 Somebody says

00:40:57.360 you're talking

00:40:58.000 crazy again.

00:40:59.020 Back to the ER.

00:41:00.860 Well, here's the

00:41:02.020 thing.

00:41:03.200 This isn't crazy.

00:41:05.300 The AI has

00:41:07.100 already taken

00:41:07.860 over.

00:41:08.400 That's real.

00:41:09.500 And by the way,

00:41:11.080 have you ever

00:41:11.620 heard me say

00:41:12.200 something that you

00:41:12.880 didn't think was

00:41:13.500 true when you

00:41:14.020 first heard it,

00:41:14.640 and then later

00:41:15.100 you said,

00:41:16.160 oh, damn it,

00:41:17.160 that is true?

00:41:18.760 This is one of

00:41:19.680 those.

00:41:20.760 It won't be long

00:41:21.660 before everybody

00:41:22.460 is saying what I

00:41:23.160 just said,

00:41:23.740 that the AI

00:41:24.660 literally,

00:41:27.060 no joke,

00:41:28.320 already took over.

00:41:29.660 We don't have to

00:41:30.440 worry about it in

00:41:31.080 the future.

00:41:32.420 It already happened.

00:41:33.200 And here's the

00:41:34.740 result.

00:41:38.120 What was I

00:41:38.820 going to say?

00:41:39.340 Oh, yeah,

00:41:39.680 New York Times

00:41:40.200 is talking about

00:41:40.860 what makes

00:41:41.780 coronavirus response

00:41:43.660 effective and not.

00:41:44.680 And here was

00:41:45.260 their bottom line.

00:41:46.400 They said that

00:41:47.200 masks are good.

00:41:49.820 So masks are

00:41:50.580 good, social

00:41:51.160 distancing,

00:41:52.140 closing businesses,

00:41:52.920 they're all okay.

00:41:54.540 But the one that

00:41:55.360 mattered is

00:41:56.100 closing borders.

00:41:58.360 Had you ever

00:41:59.020 heard that before?

00:42:00.440 That closing

00:42:01.060 borders seem to

00:42:02.260 be quite reliably

00:42:03.480 the one thing

00:42:04.340 that really,

00:42:05.240 really mattered.

00:42:06.400 And if you

00:42:06.940 could have,

00:42:08.460 and I know

00:42:09.080 this is impossible,

00:42:10.100 but if you

00:42:10.460 imagine,

00:42:11.360 if the world

00:42:12.620 had said,

00:42:13.220 here's the deal,

00:42:14.780 for three weeks

00:42:15.760 nobody leaves

00:42:16.660 their county

00:42:18.080 or zip code

00:42:18.780 or whatever

00:42:19.600 country you're in,

00:42:20.480 whatever group.

00:42:21.800 You just can't

00:42:22.460 leave your little

00:42:23.040 area for three

00:42:24.200 weeks.

00:42:24.740 That's it.

00:42:25.840 But you can do

00:42:27.280 anything else you

00:42:27.920 want.

00:42:28.960 You can go to the

00:42:29.740 store, you can do

00:42:30.440 whatever you want,

00:42:30.940 you want.

00:42:31.260 You just can't

00:42:31.840 leave your area

00:42:32.480 for three weeks.

00:42:33.900 Now what would

00:42:34.400 happen is that

00:42:35.640 some areas that

00:42:36.400 had infection in

00:42:37.320 it would get

00:42:38.260 pretty infected.

00:42:39.920 But it would be

00:42:40.800 a small area

00:42:41.500 because you had

00:42:42.480 these states or

00:42:44.140 counties or

00:42:44.880 whatever the

00:42:45.420 grouping was,

00:42:46.700 and you'd say,

00:42:47.280 all right, but

00:42:48.600 we can do some

00:42:49.540 contact tracing in

00:42:50.540 this little area,

00:42:51.300 just make sure you

00:42:52.060 don't leave.

00:42:53.380 And then you

00:42:53.920 could stamp out

00:42:54.560 the areas where

00:42:55.220 it flared up until

00:42:56.040 they got down to

00:42:56.760 zero.

00:42:57.520 You can imagine

00:42:58.460 that you would say,

00:42:59.200 all right, we

00:42:59.980 found out that

00:43:00.740 this county and

00:43:01.520 this county that

00:43:02.280 are next to

00:43:02.800 each other, they

00:43:03.920 don't have any

00:43:04.740 coronavirus.

00:43:05.980 So now you can

00:43:06.820 travel between

00:43:07.580 these two.

00:43:09.040 But this other

00:43:09.680 one, it's still

00:43:10.820 got a few, so

00:43:12.100 you can't do

00:43:12.580 any.

00:43:13.400 So as soon as

00:43:14.020 this one gets

00:43:14.480 down to zero,

00:43:15.700 then you open up

00:43:16.420 that, and then

00:43:16.920 the three of them

00:43:17.440 can travel, but

00:43:18.180 not the other

00:43:19.100 state.

00:43:20.380 So there's an

00:43:21.600 argument that,

00:43:22.240 you know, maybe

00:43:22.720 you could have

00:43:23.120 squashed this thing

00:43:23.920 in six weeks or

00:43:25.160 something if you

00:43:25.820 had done that.

00:43:26.660 Now, of course,

00:43:27.240 the problem is you

00:43:27.720 can't.

00:43:28.360 It's just too

00:43:28.920 difficult to do.

00:43:30.100 But here's the

00:43:30.820 larger point.

00:43:32.700 Every time you

00:43:33.560 think that you

00:43:37.140 know what leader

00:43:38.220 did a good or

00:43:38.940 bad job, you

00:43:40.460 really don't.

00:43:41.860 You don't.

00:43:42.680 Because we can't

00:43:43.500 even sort out what

00:43:44.560 was the mask, what

00:43:45.720 was the social

00:43:46.300 distancing, why is

00:43:48.120 it that the bars

00:43:49.460 in, what was it,

00:43:50.540 Nashville or

00:43:51.100 something, the

00:43:52.500 bars didn't seem

00:43:53.940 to get as many

00:43:54.600 infections as people

00:43:55.640 assumed they would

00:43:56.460 when they reopened.

00:43:58.280 Everything's just

00:43:59.020 confusing.

00:44:01.820 So to imagine

00:44:03.360 that we know who

00:44:04.400 could have done a

00:44:04.980 good job is a

00:44:06.760 mistake.

00:44:07.640 But I would say

00:44:08.420 that if you

00:44:09.500 looked at the

00:44:10.280 amount of travel,

00:44:11.900 especially from

00:44:12.680 outside the

00:44:13.300 country, it's

00:44:14.200 probably the

00:44:14.560 number one thing.

00:44:15.980 Do you remember

00:44:16.700 when Singapore was

00:44:18.600 being held out as

00:44:19.560 the model?

00:44:20.580 Everybody said,

00:44:21.180 hey, look at

00:44:22.100 Singapore.

00:44:23.560 Singapore is doing

00:44:24.640 it right.

00:44:25.020 They got their

00:44:26.500 infections down to

00:44:27.600 nothing.

00:44:28.520 Look at that

00:44:29.220 Singapore.

00:44:29.940 And then you know

00:44:30.340 what they did?

00:44:31.340 They opened their

00:44:32.140 border.

00:44:33.260 What happened when

00:44:34.000 Singapore opened

00:44:34.900 their border?

00:44:36.060 They got infected.

00:44:38.340 It didn't do

00:44:39.260 Singapore any good

00:44:40.300 to, well, I

00:44:41.860 suppose it kept

00:44:42.500 their hospitalizations

00:44:43.420 down.

00:44:44.000 But it didn't

00:44:44.760 help them defeat

00:44:46.060 the virus because

00:44:47.160 eventually they had

00:44:48.060 to open their

00:44:48.580 border and other

00:44:49.560 people were

00:44:50.760 infected.

00:44:51.100 So the point

00:44:55.020 is, if you

00:44:58.160 had a way to

00:44:58.680 study it, how

00:45:00.020 hard was it to

00:45:01.000 close the

00:45:01.520 border?

00:45:02.060 Like, how

00:45:02.360 practical was

00:45:03.220 it?

00:45:03.840 Maybe for

00:45:04.440 Singapore, it

00:45:05.260 was kind of

00:45:05.740 practical.

00:45:06.640 For the

00:45:07.260 United States,

00:45:08.920 maybe not so

00:45:10.060 practical.

00:45:11.600 We'll see.

00:45:13.020 All right.

00:45:13.320 I made a

00:45:17.940 mistake yesterday

00:45:18.680 of listening to

00:45:19.680 MSNBC for a

00:45:21.400 few minutes.

00:45:22.740 Now, I

00:45:23.300 usually watch

00:45:23.980 CNN when I

00:45:24.780 want to get

00:45:25.120 my anti-Fox

00:45:26.320 news, you

00:45:26.980 know, full

00:45:27.580 picture.

00:45:28.320 And I

00:45:28.900 usually don't

00:45:29.560 watch MSNBC

00:45:30.680 because CNN

00:45:32.220 captures all of

00:45:33.560 the, let's

00:45:34.400 say, the

00:45:34.940 left-leaning

00:45:35.840 perspective.

00:45:37.480 But MSNBC

00:45:38.680 goes to a

00:45:40.680 level that is

00:45:41.360 just literally

00:45:42.300 crazy or

00:45:43.720 stupid, and

00:45:44.300 I can't

00:45:44.740 tell.

00:45:45.840 And what it

00:45:46.860 is, is their

00:45:47.380 entire act, the

00:45:49.760 entire time you're

00:45:50.920 watching, it's

00:45:51.620 people looking

00:45:52.320 into the camera

00:45:53.020 and with

00:45:54.240 complete seriousness

00:45:55.200 telling you they

00:45:56.700 know the inner

00:45:57.440 thoughts of

00:45:58.040 strangers.

00:45:59.040 And it goes

00:45:59.660 like this.

00:46:01.080 President Trump

00:46:01.880 has never

00:46:03.420 laughed at a

00:46:05.320 joke.

00:46:05.640 He has no

00:46:06.100 sense of

00:46:06.520 humor.

00:46:07.540 And first of

00:46:08.020 all, I'm

00:46:08.260 thinking, he's

00:46:10.280 actually the

00:46:10.860 funniest president

00:46:12.220 we've ever

00:46:12.840 had.

00:46:13.500 Maybe Abe

00:46:14.500 Lincoln was

00:46:14.960 pretty good.

00:46:16.600 He does a

00:46:17.620 stand-up comedy

00:46:18.580 routine at

00:46:19.740 least once a

00:46:20.440 week.

00:46:21.520 He's literally

00:46:22.480 a stand-up

00:46:23.200 comedian.

00:46:24.780 And Michael

00:46:25.340 Cohen's like,

00:46:26.100 he has no

00:46:27.220 sense of

00:46:27.600 humor.

00:46:28.740 I'm thinking,

00:46:29.720 are you seeing

00:46:31.100 inside his head

00:46:31.700 somehow?

00:46:32.440 I mean, how's

00:46:33.020 that work?

00:46:34.160 Or they say

00:46:35.440 that he doesn't

00:46:36.780 care about

00:46:38.160 something.

00:46:38.960 He doesn't

00:46:39.440 care about

00:46:40.040 something.

00:46:41.380 What?

00:46:42.500 How do you

00:46:43.220 know what

00:46:43.580 he doesn't

00:46:43.980 care about?

00:46:45.340 These are

00:46:45.700 just crazy

00:46:46.640 mind-reading

00:46:48.400 things.

00:46:50.100 So look for

00:46:50.720 that.

00:46:50.960 It's fun.

00:46:52.140 I was going

00:46:52.920 to do

00:46:53.240 kind of an

00:46:55.660 event where

00:46:56.360 I just turn

00:46:57.140 on MSNBC

00:46:58.340 or CNN,

00:46:59.280 but I think

00:46:59.620 MSNBC is

00:47:00.500 funnier.

00:47:01.560 And I just

00:47:02.060 do a

00:47:02.900 spotting thing

00:47:04.680 where I go,

00:47:05.580 mind-reading,

00:47:06.920 okay, that's

00:47:07.820 mind-reading,

00:47:09.020 and that's

00:47:09.660 mind-reading.

00:47:10.420 Because there's

00:47:11.140 nothing else

00:47:11.640 there.

00:47:13.040 All right.

00:47:17.760 What else

00:47:18.560 we got?

00:47:19.160 Did you see

00:47:19.740 the weird

00:47:20.280 video of

00:47:21.240 Newt Gingrich

00:47:22.080 appearing on

00:47:23.120 Harris Faulkner's

00:47:24.320 show on

00:47:25.640 Fox News?

00:47:27.120 Yeah, you're

00:47:27.880 asking for it.

00:47:30.120 So Newt

00:47:31.800 Gingrich goes

00:47:32.400 on, and he's

00:47:33.400 being interviewed

00:47:33.920 remotely by

00:47:35.140 Harris Faulkner,

00:47:35.980 and somebody

00:47:38.380 else was

00:47:38.740 on, was it

00:47:40.460 Meghan McCain

00:47:41.020 or somebody,

00:47:41.560 it doesn't

00:47:41.840 matter, to

00:47:43.060 the story.

00:47:44.260 And Newt

00:47:45.720 Gingrich says

00:47:46.500 that basically

00:47:47.840 George Soros

00:47:49.040 is funding a

00:47:52.100 lot of the

00:47:52.480 trouble,

00:47:53.280 specifically, I

00:47:54.540 think he

00:47:54.840 mentioned the

00:47:55.960 funding of

00:47:56.700 liberal

00:47:57.240 prosecutors.

00:47:58.760 And Harris

00:47:59.560 Faulkner got

00:48:01.520 really awkward

00:48:02.720 about it and

00:48:03.840 kind of ended

00:48:04.980 it and said she

00:48:05.760 didn't want to

00:48:06.200 talk about it,

00:48:06.960 and Newt was

00:48:07.480 like, uh,

00:48:09.160 okay?

00:48:10.320 Because Newt

00:48:11.020 couldn't even

00:48:11.400 figure out what

00:48:11.920 was going on.

00:48:12.700 like he

00:48:13.660 didn't, he

00:48:14.460 couldn't believe

00:48:15.240 that it was

00:48:16.720 even happening,

00:48:17.420 and he didn't

00:48:17.800 know what was

00:48:18.180 happening, and I

00:48:18.860 still don't know

00:48:19.340 what's happening.

00:48:20.140 So I don't

00:48:20.700 know what

00:48:21.260 Harris Faulkner

00:48:22.200 was thinking.

00:48:23.480 I don't know

00:48:24.220 if there are

00:48:24.600 any network

00:48:25.860 instructions about

00:48:26.960 what they can

00:48:27.540 and cannot say

00:48:28.160 about George

00:48:28.840 Soros.

00:48:30.680 But I will go

00:48:31.860 back to my

00:48:32.420 original question.

00:48:33.760 For how many

00:48:34.960 years have I

00:48:35.760 been doing

00:48:36.120 this and

00:48:37.280 saying, can

00:48:38.420 somebody give

00:48:39.000 me some

00:48:39.360 evidence of

00:48:41.160 this George

00:48:41.820 Soros

00:48:42.500 accusation?

00:48:43.860 I'm not

00:48:44.220 saying it's

00:48:44.740 false.

00:48:46.000 I'm not

00:48:46.440 saying it's

00:48:46.900 true.

00:48:47.720 I'm saying,

00:48:48.520 why can't I

00:48:49.140 see the

00:48:49.580 evidence of

00:48:50.260 this?

00:48:51.280 So it

00:48:52.160 could be

00:48:52.880 that the

00:48:53.480 reason that

00:48:53.940 Fox doesn't

00:48:54.860 want to put

00:48:55.260 that accusation

00:48:56.120 on there is

00:48:56.980 that they

00:48:57.220 can't find

00:48:57.680 evidence of

00:48:58.320 it.

00:48:59.040 So it

00:48:59.500 wouldn't be

00:48:59.900 news, perhaps,

00:49:00.920 and it might

00:49:01.340 look anti-Semitic

00:49:02.460 or something.

00:49:03.480 Because it's

00:49:04.200 not news, it

00:49:04.980 would look

00:49:05.300 anti-Semitic.

00:49:06.440 So I think

00:49:07.020 that's what's

00:49:07.520 going on.

00:49:08.140 I think that

00:49:08.700 they don't

00:49:09.200 have a direct

00:49:10.160 smoking gun.

00:49:11.360 Here's what

00:49:11.940 does seem

00:49:12.840 to be the

00:49:13.240 case.

00:49:13.960 It does

00:49:14.800 seem to be

00:49:15.280 the case,

00:49:15.780 and I don't

00:49:16.100 think anybody

00:49:16.640 argues this,

00:49:17.960 that Soros

00:49:18.580 funds a lot

00:49:19.380 of progressive

00:49:20.340 entities.

00:49:22.020 Some of

00:49:22.540 those entities

00:49:23.180 take their

00:49:23.860 total budget

00:49:24.600 and use

00:49:25.700 some portion

00:49:26.440 of it,

00:49:27.380 who knows

00:49:27.880 at what

00:49:28.200 portion,

00:49:28.900 to do

00:49:29.400 things that

00:49:30.240 Republicans

00:49:32.880 don't like.

00:49:33.760 that part's

00:49:36.100 true, right?

00:49:37.420 But I

00:49:38.940 don't know

00:49:39.460 that George

00:49:40.200 Soros knows

00:49:41.020 what all

00:49:41.440 these people

00:49:41.960 he funds

00:49:42.520 are specifically

00:49:43.700 doing.

00:49:44.680 I just don't

00:49:45.580 know that he

00:49:46.000 knows.

00:49:46.780 So it

00:49:47.720 feels like

00:49:48.420 there's

00:49:49.720 something sort

00:49:50.880 of almost

00:49:51.500 there, but

00:49:53.200 I'm telling

00:49:54.060 you, I

00:49:55.100 want to see

00:49:55.960 it.

00:49:57.560 There's no

00:49:58.360 part of me

00:49:58.920 who doesn't

00:49:59.460 want to see

00:50:00.200 this.

00:50:00.540 And I

00:50:01.080 know you

00:50:01.460 all see

00:50:01.900 it, right?

00:50:03.720 I'll bet

00:50:04.180 just about

00:50:05.040 every one of

00:50:05.720 the people

00:50:06.100 watching this

00:50:06.920 is saying,

00:50:08.140 you're pulling

00:50:08.760 your hair out

00:50:09.340 and you're

00:50:09.580 saying,

00:50:10.280 Scott, it's

00:50:11.540 so obvious.

00:50:12.860 It's the most

00:50:13.460 well-known

00:50:13.980 thing in the

00:50:14.520 world.

00:50:15.360 Look at all

00:50:15.980 my evidence.

00:50:18.440 I haven't

00:50:19.160 seen it.

00:50:20.860 I want to

00:50:21.800 believe it.

00:50:22.740 I'd be happy

00:50:23.360 to believe it.

00:50:24.200 I mean, I

00:50:24.880 want to in the

00:50:25.480 sense that if

00:50:26.420 it's true, I

00:50:27.040 want to believe

00:50:27.540 it.

00:50:28.240 But it just

00:50:29.120 feels a little

00:50:30.200 indirect.

00:50:31.820 That's all

00:50:32.300 I'm saying.

00:50:33.540 And I

00:50:34.200 don't know

00:50:34.560 if indirect

00:50:35.240 should be

00:50:36.840 treated the

00:50:37.380 same way.

00:50:38.220 I just

00:50:38.500 don't know.

00:50:39.640 But if

00:50:41.120 anybody wants

00:50:41.660 to educate

00:50:42.140 me, apparently

00:50:42.900 this education

00:50:43.780 will not

00:50:44.400 happen on

00:50:45.160 Fox News.

00:50:47.200 Somebody

00:50:47.720 says Dan

00:50:48.460 Bongino.

00:50:49.560 But does

00:50:50.240 Dan Bongino

00:50:50.940 have original

00:50:51.740 sources that

00:50:52.540 he points

00:50:52.920 to, or is

00:50:53.640 he talking

00:50:54.780 at a high

00:50:55.520 level?

00:50:56.360 I'll go

00:50:56.860 look at

00:50:57.140 that.

00:50:57.380 He's a

00:50:57.660 good source.

00:51:00.200 That's

00:51:00.900 just where

00:51:01.240 I'm at

00:51:01.560 at the

00:51:01.800 moment.

00:51:02.100 It doesn't

00:51:02.320 mean I'm

00:51:02.620 right.

00:51:04.640 So I

00:51:04.980 guess Dr.

00:51:06.940 Robert

00:51:07.180 Redfield at

00:51:08.560 the CDC

00:51:09.980 got in a

00:51:11.600 little disagreement

00:51:12.160 with the

00:51:12.520 president because

00:51:13.780 Redfield had

00:51:14.780 said that

00:51:15.900 masks are

00:51:18.760 better than

00:51:19.420 vaccines.

00:51:21.380 Now, when

00:51:22.460 you say

00:51:22.800 something like

00:51:23.440 masks are

00:51:24.280 better than

00:51:24.780 vaccines,

00:51:26.020 that's a

00:51:27.100 pretty loose

00:51:27.880 statement.

00:51:28.460 it's

00:51:29.220 something you

00:51:29.700 could disagree

00:51:30.320 with, but

00:51:31.560 you could

00:51:31.780 also agree

00:51:32.320 with it with

00:51:33.800 the same set

00:51:34.360 of information.

00:51:35.740 Let me show

00:51:36.200 you how.

00:51:37.120 Here's how

00:51:37.700 you can

00:51:38.180 disagree with

00:51:39.180 it.

00:51:39.960 Are you

00:51:40.340 freaking

00:51:40.600 kidding me?

00:51:41.700 A vaccine

00:51:42.420 pretty much

00:51:43.020 would end

00:51:43.480 the problem.

00:51:44.640 A mask,

00:51:45.360 as we've

00:51:46.060 completely

00:51:46.880 noticed, is

00:51:47.960 not ending

00:51:48.460 the problem.

00:51:49.520 How can

00:51:49.900 you say that

00:51:50.440 the thing

00:51:50.840 that would

00:51:51.100 totally end

00:51:51.660 the problem

00:51:52.120 is not as

00:51:54.280 good as the

00:51:54.720 thing that we

00:51:55.240 know won't

00:51:55.720 end the

00:51:56.020 problem?

00:51:56.380 How in

00:51:56.640 the world

00:51:57.140 could you

00:51:58.100 say masks

00:51:58.780 are better

00:51:59.580 than vaccines?

00:52:02.500 So that's

00:52:03.120 one way to

00:52:03.520 look at it.

00:52:03.900 Here's the

00:52:04.180 other way.

00:52:05.940 Where's your

00:52:06.480 vaccine?

00:52:08.480 Yeah, do

00:52:09.320 your vaccine

00:52:09.780 right now.

00:52:10.840 What's the

00:52:11.200 matter?

00:52:12.000 What's the

00:52:12.360 matter?

00:52:12.600 Why aren't

00:52:12.900 you doing

00:52:13.240 your vaccine?

00:52:15.360 Vaccines

00:52:15.800 are great,

00:52:16.240 right?

00:52:16.480 Put it in

00:52:16.840 your arm.

00:52:17.660 Oh, oh, I

00:52:18.800 get it.

00:52:19.620 It doesn't

00:52:20.020 exist.

00:52:21.560 So is a

00:52:22.460 mask better

00:52:23.260 than a vaccine

00:52:24.100 that doesn't

00:52:24.720 exist?

00:52:26.280 Yeah.

00:52:27.140 Yeah, it

00:52:28.420 is.

00:52:29.080 And did

00:52:30.160 Redfield say

00:52:32.600 that the

00:52:33.040 vaccine doesn't

00:52:33.960 exist?

00:52:35.020 Pretty much.

00:52:36.460 Pretty much.

00:52:37.300 Because he

00:52:37.760 said that, in

00:52:39.120 his opinion, it

00:52:39.820 would be second

00:52:40.380 or third

00:52:40.820 quarter before

00:52:41.620 the general

00:52:42.180 public was

00:52:42.900 protected by

00:52:43.640 the vaccine.

00:52:45.120 Now, if you

00:52:45.700 had to wait

00:52:46.120 to the second

00:52:46.720 or third

00:52:47.180 quarter, that's

00:52:48.980 a lot of

00:52:49.780 pandemic between

00:52:50.800 now and the

00:52:51.520 second and

00:52:51.980 third quarter.

00:52:53.460 So it

00:52:54.220 does, I

00:52:56.020 would support

00:52:57.240 what he

00:52:57.600 said in

00:52:58.860 the sense

00:52:59.280 that if

00:52:59.720 all you

00:53:00.020 have is a

00:53:00.520 mask, between

00:53:02.040 September and

00:53:04.120 let's say

00:53:04.640 June, all

00:53:06.040 you have is

00:53:06.620 a mask,

00:53:07.460 that's it.

00:53:08.560 You don't

00:53:08.880 have a

00:53:09.220 vaccine.

00:53:10.500 If all you

00:53:11.120 have is a

00:53:11.500 mask, it's

00:53:11.980 better than

00:53:12.340 the vaccine

00:53:12.800 you don't

00:53:13.180 have.

00:53:13.940 So in a

00:53:15.020 sense, if

00:53:16.720 he was right

00:53:17.240 about how

00:53:17.580 long it

00:53:17.880 would take

00:53:18.140 to get

00:53:18.420 the vaccine,

00:53:19.280 then he's

00:53:19.640 right.

00:53:19.840 Now, the

00:53:20.600 other thing

00:53:21.000 is this

00:53:21.700 whole question

00:53:22.220 about who

00:53:23.180 gets the

00:53:23.600 vaccine and

00:53:24.340 how fast,

00:53:25.300 and I

00:53:25.560 think Trump

00:53:26.100 was doing

00:53:27.280 his usual

00:53:27.960 optimism

00:53:28.500 thing, so

00:53:29.740 I think

00:53:30.200 his, let's

00:53:32.460 say, his

00:53:34.040 scientific

00:53:35.040 accuracy may

00:53:36.860 have given

00:53:38.340 way to his

00:53:39.400 optimism and

00:53:40.340 how he'd

00:53:40.760 like to

00:53:41.200 manage not

00:53:42.520 only the

00:53:42.920 election, if

00:53:44.080 we're being

00:53:44.420 honest, he

00:53:45.440 wants the

00:53:45.900 election to

00:53:46.360 go his

00:53:46.680 way, but

00:53:47.660 also to

00:53:48.500 manage the

00:53:49.260 attitude of

00:53:49.940 the people

00:53:50.380 and to

00:53:51.480 get us in

00:53:51.880 the right

00:53:52.120 frame of

00:53:52.540 mind to

00:53:53.060 open the

00:53:54.260 country and

00:53:54.920 get on

00:53:55.680 with work.

00:53:58.580 I think

00:53:59.780 that the

00:54:00.120 president has

00:54:00.920 a reasonable

00:54:02.360 argument that

00:54:03.460 he could get

00:54:04.060 something done

00:54:04.760 way faster

00:54:05.520 than everybody

00:54:07.180 else says.

00:54:08.420 Now, here's

00:54:08.880 the thing.

00:54:10.120 If you had

00:54:11.160 not watched

00:54:12.120 Trump do

00:54:13.920 things that

00:54:14.580 you knew and

00:54:15.360 all the experts

00:54:16.020 said were

00:54:16.600 impossible, one

00:54:18.020 after another,

00:54:19.260 if you had

00:54:19.940 not watched

00:54:20.520 four years of

00:54:21.440 him doing

00:54:21.840 impossible

00:54:22.420 things, and

00:54:24.260 then he

00:54:24.560 said, I'm

00:54:25.060 going to get

00:54:25.360 you this

00:54:25.700 vaccine before

00:54:26.520 election day

00:54:27.240 and we'll

00:54:27.920 have a lot

00:54:28.300 of them by

00:54:28.640 the end of

00:54:29.000 the year,

00:54:30.240 that wouldn't

00:54:31.100 sound real,

00:54:31.800 would it?

00:54:32.920 Wouldn't

00:54:33.220 that sound

00:54:33.740 just ridiculous?

00:54:36.200 Wouldn't

00:54:36.600 you take the

00:54:37.320 head of the

00:54:37.760 CDC over

00:54:39.700 Trump, who

00:54:41.220 can be a

00:54:42.980 little optimistic,

00:54:44.140 a bit of a

00:54:44.580 cheerleader,

00:54:45.680 whereas the

00:54:46.200 CDC guy is

00:54:47.100 just trying to

00:54:47.580 give you the

00:54:48.040 best information

00:54:48.740 he can?

00:54:49.500 Wouldn't

00:54:49.740 you take

00:54:50.080 the CDC

00:54:50.620 over Trump?

00:54:52.960 Except,

00:54:54.040 except,

00:54:56.220 Trump continues

00:54:57.740 to do things

00:54:58.620 that are not

00:54:59.180 possible.

00:55:01.260 That's a

00:55:01.680 special case,

00:55:02.740 isn't it?

00:55:03.440 So when I

00:55:04.240 watched Trump

00:55:05.280 make that

00:55:05.800 claim, I

00:55:06.480 saw somebody

00:55:07.300 who was

00:55:07.960 actually in

00:55:08.580 the drug

00:55:08.980 trial, so

00:55:09.920 there's somebody

00:55:10.380 who's actually

00:55:10.800 taking the

00:55:11.360 vaccine already,

00:55:12.300 but in a

00:55:13.100 trial sense,

00:55:13.980 says that

00:55:15.560 according to

00:55:16.140 their own

00:55:16.580 schedule, the

00:55:18.280 president has

00:55:18.860 no chance of

00:55:19.860 getting this

00:55:20.280 done, because

00:55:20.860 she knows what

00:55:21.400 the schedule

00:55:21.840 is, internally,

00:55:23.780 and she

00:55:23.960 goes, no,

00:55:24.540 it's not

00:55:25.180 possible to

00:55:25.920 have a

00:55:26.200 vaccine for

00:55:27.700 months and

00:55:28.140 months.

00:55:29.920 But is

00:55:30.480 she right?

00:55:31.860 Is she

00:55:32.220 right?

00:55:33.180 I don't know.

00:55:33.640 I would keep

00:55:34.020 an open mind.

00:55:34.680 It's possible

00:55:35.180 that the

00:55:35.580 president could

00:55:36.140 pull this

00:55:36.600 off, but I

00:55:38.300 wouldn't guarantee

00:55:38.820 it.

00:55:39.080 I think

00:55:40.560 maybe that's

00:55:41.120 a little

00:55:41.320 more optimism.

00:55:42.580 But the

00:55:42.800 other thing

00:55:43.180 is, let's

00:55:45.100 say you've

00:55:45.520 got, let's

00:55:46.300 just think

00:55:46.640 about the

00:55:46.980 math of

00:55:47.360 this.

00:55:47.840 Let's say

00:55:48.240 the whole

00:55:48.680 country was

00:55:49.480 just 100

00:55:50.120 people.

00:55:51.380 We'll just

00:55:51.920 simplify it.

00:55:52.740 There's only

00:55:53.060 100 people

00:55:53.600 in the whole

00:55:53.920 country, and

00:55:55.400 you can only

00:55:55.880 get a few

00:55:56.360 vaccines, so

00:55:58.040 you give

00:55:58.360 them to

00:55:58.840 the top

00:56:00.380 2% of

00:56:01.200 people who

00:56:01.640 would be

00:56:01.940 at risk,

00:56:03.100 because that's

00:56:03.540 all you have.

00:56:04.120 It takes you

00:56:04.500 a while to

00:56:04.800 make the

00:56:05.060 vaccine.

00:56:05.760 If you

00:56:06.340 could get

00:56:06.700 the top

00:56:07.120 2%, the

00:56:08.620 ones that

00:56:08.960 were most

00:56:09.460 at risk,

00:56:11.040 maybe the

00:56:11.600 ones who

00:56:12.040 were in

00:56:12.300 areas that

00:56:13.520 you knew

00:56:14.200 there would

00:56:14.440 be exposure,

00:56:15.160 etc., that

00:56:16.520 2% would

00:56:17.780 have a much

00:56:18.260 bigger impact

00:56:19.160 than 2%.

00:56:20.440 So it

00:56:21.060 might be

00:56:21.460 2% of

00:56:22.840 the vaccine

00:56:23.500 gets you,

00:56:24.940 I don't

00:56:25.260 know, 40%

00:56:26.480 of the

00:56:26.700 benefit, 20%,

00:56:28.640 I don't

00:56:29.120 know what

00:56:29.360 it is, but

00:56:30.480 that last

00:56:31.180 bit isn't

00:56:33.740 going to be

00:56:34.040 as important

00:56:34.800 as the

00:56:35.240 first bit.

00:56:36.360 So it's

00:56:36.740 really hard

00:56:37.140 to know

00:56:37.440 exactly how

00:56:38.260 quickly this

00:56:38.860 would roll

00:56:39.220 out, but

00:56:39.740 there's

00:56:40.100 room for

00:56:40.660 optimism,

00:56:41.920 especially if

00:56:42.640 the death

00:56:42.960 rate keeps

00:56:43.420 coming down

00:56:43.960 while we're

00:56:44.340 waiting for

00:56:44.720 that.

00:56:48.480 Scientific

00:56:48.960 America,

00:56:50.280 the

00:56:50.480 scientific

00:56:51.320 American,

00:56:52.020 the magazine,

00:56:53.320 has decided

00:56:54.000 for the first

00:56:54.640 time in

00:56:54.940 175 years

00:56:55.900 to endorse

00:56:56.420 a presidential

00:56:57.040 candidate,

00:56:58.160 and they're

00:56:58.440 going to

00:56:58.680 endorse,

00:56:59.540 or they

00:56:59.740 have endorsed

00:57:00.560 Biden,

00:57:01.680 because they

00:57:02.540 think that

00:57:02.960 Trump is

00:57:03.500 anti-science.

00:57:04.480 science.

00:57:05.360 Now, here's

00:57:06.420 what's funny

00:57:06.920 about this.

00:57:08.340 Scientific

00:57:08.940 American

00:57:09.640 apparently

00:57:10.420 doesn't

00:57:10.920 know

00:57:11.340 science,

00:57:13.220 because you

00:57:14.380 know what

00:57:14.600 else is

00:57:14.960 science?

00:57:16.420 Confirmation

00:57:17.220 bias,

00:57:18.840 psychology,

00:57:20.520 cognitive

00:57:20.980 dissonance,

00:57:22.580 that's science

00:57:23.540 too.

00:57:24.520 So how do

00:57:25.600 the scientists

00:57:26.160 know they're

00:57:26.820 doing science

00:57:27.620 and they're

00:57:28.580 not doing

00:57:29.120 confirmation

00:57:29.920 bias?

00:57:31.340 Did they

00:57:32.020 do science

00:57:33.160 to find out

00:57:34.600 that their

00:57:34.980 opinion is

00:57:35.840 objective?

00:57:38.280 Or did

00:57:38.960 they?

00:57:40.080 Do you

00:57:40.720 think the

00:57:41.160 scientific

00:57:41.660 Americans

00:57:42.220 said,

00:57:42.600 hey,

00:57:43.460 we all

00:57:44.280 agree,

00:57:45.220 apparently it

00:57:45.900 was unanimous,

00:57:46.580 they said,

00:57:46.880 we all

00:57:47.120 agree that

00:57:48.260 Trump would

00:57:48.820 be the

00:57:49.220 unscientific

00:57:49.980 president,

00:57:50.740 so we're

00:57:51.100 going to

00:57:51.400 do that.

00:57:52.420 Do you

00:57:52.660 think when

00:57:53.020 they agreed

00:57:53.480 that,

00:57:53.820 they said,

00:57:54.480 but wait,

00:57:55.900 we're

00:57:56.320 scientists,

00:57:56.940 and since

00:57:57.960 we're

00:57:58.140 scientists,

00:57:58.740 we also

00:57:59.360 know that

00:58:00.840 we could

00:58:01.260 be susceptible

00:58:01.980 to confirmation

00:58:02.800 bias without

00:58:03.640 knowing it,

00:58:04.840 and cognitive

00:58:05.760 dissonance

00:58:06.380 without knowing

00:58:07.300 it,

00:58:07.520 because that's

00:58:07.820 what it is.

00:58:08.580 It's the

00:58:08.980 very fact

00:58:09.840 that you

00:58:10.080 don't know

00:58:10.500 it is what

00:58:11.940 gives it

00:58:12.280 its name.

00:58:13.340 So did

00:58:14.820 they then

00:58:15.220 say,

00:58:15.600 we better

00:58:15.960 do a

00:58:16.860 scientific

00:58:17.200 test to

00:58:18.440 find out

00:58:18.940 if we're

00:58:19.400 biased,

00:58:20.380 if we can,

00:58:21.540 or to

00:58:21.860 find out

00:58:22.340 if we're

00:58:22.840 actually just

00:58:23.460 scientifically

00:58:24.680 smart?

00:58:25.500 I don't

00:58:26.740 think they

00:58:27.060 did that,

00:58:27.700 do you?

00:58:28.680 No.

00:58:29.720 So they

00:58:30.200 used a

00:58:30.800 completely

00:58:31.360 non-scientific

00:58:32.620 method,

00:58:33.580 I mean

00:58:33.840 deeply

00:58:34.340 non-scientific,

00:58:35.520 because if

00:58:36.020 you and I

00:58:36.420 looked at

00:58:36.760 them,

00:58:37.000 you would

00:58:37.220 say to

00:58:37.480 yourself,

00:58:38.260 it just

00:58:38.960 looks like

00:58:39.360 Democrats

00:58:39.800 to me.

00:58:41.060 It just

00:58:41.400 looks like

00:58:41.800 Democrats.

00:58:42.780 That's it.

00:58:43.860 Do you

00:58:44.160 think there

00:58:44.780 are many

00:58:45.140 Republicans

00:58:45.700 in the

00:58:46.160 group?

00:58:47.180 Did

00:58:47.440 anybody

00:58:47.740 ask?

00:58:48.780 Did

00:58:49.060 anybody

00:58:49.360 ask if

00:58:50.500 the board

00:58:51.080 of the

00:58:51.500 Scientific

00:58:51.860 American

00:58:52.500 magazine

00:58:53.400 had any

00:58:54.680 Republicans

00:58:55.220 on the

00:58:55.880 board?

00:58:56.800 No,

00:58:57.360 nobody

00:58:57.760 asked that.

00:58:58.920 Nobody

00:58:59.220 asked that

00:58:59.720 question.

00:59:00.880 And do

00:59:01.100 you think

00:59:01.420 that that

00:59:01.760 would have

00:59:02.040 mattered?

00:59:03.380 Yes,

00:59:04.380 yes,

00:59:06.640 that would

00:59:07.200 have mattered.

00:59:08.060 Do you

00:59:08.320 know why?

00:59:10.300 Because

00:59:10.900 science is

00:59:12.360 now subjective.

00:59:14.440 Now,

00:59:15.040 not completely.

00:59:15.920 If you're

00:59:16.220 building a

00:59:16.660 rocket ship,

00:59:17.400 if you're

00:59:17.700 Elon Musk,

00:59:19.160 science is

00:59:19.860 very objective.

00:59:21.640 You know,

00:59:21.840 you've got to

00:59:22.180 get it right,

00:59:22.680 or you're

00:59:23.020 not going

00:59:23.280 to end

00:59:23.460 up on

00:59:23.800 Mars.

00:59:24.820 But for

00:59:25.300 most of

00:59:25.740 this is

00:59:26.100 social stuff

00:59:27.000 and even

00:59:27.800 climate change

00:59:28.960 and energy

00:59:30.520 and forest

00:59:31.940 fires and

00:59:32.660 all of this

00:59:33.220 stuff,

00:59:34.080 none of

00:59:34.540 this is

00:59:34.900 science.

00:59:36.040 None of

00:59:36.500 this is

00:59:36.840 science.

00:59:37.780 Because

00:59:38.380 the

00:59:39.300 scientific

00:59:39.820 loop

00:59:40.520 has been

00:59:41.460 corrupted.

00:59:42.680 Here's the

00:59:43.140 loop.

00:59:44.280 Science

00:59:44.660 makes a

00:59:45.280 study.

00:59:46.520 They put

00:59:47.000 it on

00:59:47.460 CNN.

00:59:48.480 CNN

00:59:48.740 interprets

00:59:49.380 it a

00:59:49.640 certain

00:59:49.800 way.

00:59:50.520 And they

00:59:50.740 say,

00:59:51.460 that's a

00:59:51.780 good study.

00:59:52.300 That's

00:59:52.640 good.

00:59:53.040 And anybody

00:59:53.400 who disagrees

00:59:54.080 with this

00:59:54.540 is a bad

00:59:55.120 person.

00:59:56.440 Okay,

00:59:56.680 so now

00:59:57.020 CNN has

00:59:58.340 told the

00:59:58.760 public what

00:59:59.340 to think.

01:00:00.640 They've

01:00:01.140 programmed their

01:00:01.940 minds.

01:00:02.720 Some of the

01:00:03.260 public are

01:00:03.800 scientists.

01:00:04.820 So the

01:00:05.240 scientists are

01:00:05.760 watching the

01:00:06.300 news too.

01:00:07.280 They watch the

01:00:07.800 news and the

01:00:08.360 news says,

01:00:08.920 okay,

01:00:09.200 CNN says

01:00:09.980 that all the

01:00:11.000 good people,

01:00:11.900 the people who

01:00:12.400 are worthwhile,

01:00:13.420 they all agree

01:00:14.360 with the same

01:00:15.200 scientific view.

01:00:16.880 So now I'm

01:00:18.020 going to go

01:00:18.340 get a grant

01:00:21.040 and go work

01:00:22.180 on something.

01:00:23.180 Am I going

01:00:23.640 to work on

01:00:24.120 something that

01:00:24.660 CNN says is

01:00:25.860 only bad

01:00:26.840 people work

01:00:27.440 on?

01:00:28.060 Or am I

01:00:28.760 going to work

01:00:29.160 on something

01:00:29.640 that only good

01:00:30.440 people work

01:00:31.040 on?

01:00:31.940 So you see

01:00:32.380 where I'm

01:00:32.700 going here.

01:00:33.880 As long as

01:00:34.920 the fake news

01:00:35.960 is in the

01:00:36.560 middle of the

01:00:37.300 loop,

01:00:38.440 well, you

01:00:38.920 can't be in

01:00:39.260 the middle

01:00:39.500 of a loop.

01:00:40.140 Yeah, you

01:00:40.400 can be in

01:00:40.720 the middle

01:00:40.940 of a loop.

01:00:41.400 Shut up,

01:00:41.940 Scott.

01:00:42.620 Stop talking.

01:00:43.940 I might have

01:00:44.480 had some

01:00:44.780 brain damage

01:00:45.280 after all.

01:00:46.440 But because

01:00:47.400 there's this

01:00:48.040 feedback loop

01:00:49.120 between science

01:00:50.360 and the

01:00:51.220 fake news,

01:00:52.120 the fake news

01:00:53.080 is destroying

01:00:53.880 science.

01:00:55.180 Science doesn't

01:00:55.880 have a freaking

01:00:56.480 chance.

01:00:57.780 Science is a

01:00:58.720 victim to the

01:00:59.540 fake news.

01:01:00.360 Because once

01:01:01.120 the fake news

01:01:01.900 has primed

01:01:02.700 them with

01:01:03.140 enough bullshit,

01:01:04.460 they don't

01:01:04.980 have an option

01:01:05.860 of doing real

01:01:06.580 science.

01:01:07.440 Because if

01:01:07.900 they did,

01:01:08.440 they'd get

01:01:08.800 fired.

01:01:10.400 So does

01:01:11.460 Scientific American

01:01:12.680 know,

01:01:13.320 that real

01:01:15.020 science doesn't

01:01:15.960 exist if

01:01:17.240 it's also

01:01:17.660 something in

01:01:18.240 the public.

01:01:18.900 If it's

01:01:19.400 just sciencey

01:01:20.160 and nobody's

01:01:20.840 looking at

01:01:21.300 it, but

01:01:21.760 scientists,

01:01:22.480 that probably

01:01:23.140 works out

01:01:23.560 pretty well.

01:01:25.440 But as

01:01:26.040 soon as the

01:01:26.500 public gets

01:01:26.980 in there,

01:01:27.640 hey, what

01:01:28.100 about our

01:01:28.520 forest fires

01:01:29.120 in California?

01:01:30.860 Sorry,

01:01:31.900 goodbye science.

01:01:33.220 Now we're

01:01:33.740 going to say

01:01:34.060 it's climate

01:01:34.540 change.

01:01:36.280 That's not

01:01:36.880 science.

01:01:38.040 I mean,

01:01:38.420 there might

01:01:38.780 be some

01:01:39.140 climate change

01:01:39.880 that has an

01:01:40.420 impact, but

01:01:41.400 by far the

01:01:42.260 forest management

01:01:43.180 is the

01:01:43.660 bigger issue,

01:01:44.660 et cetera.

01:01:45.980 And obviously

01:01:46.780 nuclear energy

01:01:48.360 would be the

01:01:49.260 only thing you

01:01:50.100 would do if

01:01:51.260 you were trying

01:01:51.660 to fix

01:01:52.680 climate change

01:01:53.480 and you were

01:01:53.840 serious about

01:01:54.460 it, you

01:01:54.740 really meant

01:01:55.240 it.

01:01:55.760 There's only

01:01:56.300 one solution

01:01:57.040 that we know

01:01:58.360 of, it's

01:01:59.180 nuclear energy.

01:02:00.080 So the

01:02:01.160 people who

01:02:02.020 purport to

01:02:03.140 be the

01:02:03.660 keepers of

01:02:04.360 science,

01:02:05.120 scientific

01:02:05.580 American,

01:02:06.700 they could

01:02:07.140 not have

01:02:07.600 been less

01:02:08.100 scientific about

01:02:08.980 this to

01:02:10.000 the point

01:02:11.960 where parity

01:02:12.720 and reality

01:02:13.440 have merged.

01:02:15.400 all right.

01:02:21.360 Oh, man.

01:02:22.520 The Harris-Biden

01:02:23.560 campaign is

01:02:24.380 just making

01:02:24.920 me laugh

01:02:26.860 every day.

01:02:28.760 The fact,

01:02:32.180 somebody's

01:02:33.120 telling me

01:02:33.460 that I had

01:02:33.800 a migraine,

01:02:34.480 not brain

01:02:35.360 damage.

01:02:36.040 I'm hoping

01:02:36.640 that's the

01:02:37.040 case.

01:02:37.520 I think it

01:02:37.880 was a

01:02:38.080 migraine.

01:02:38.860 That would

01:02:39.220 be my

01:02:39.540 guess as

01:02:39.940 well.

01:02:41.340 I've never

01:02:41.920 had a

01:02:42.200 migraine,

01:02:42.620 though,

01:02:42.760 if that

01:02:43.020 matters.

01:02:43.560 That would

01:02:43.880 have been

01:02:44.080 my first

01:02:44.540 one if

01:02:44.880 it was.

01:02:46.300 So the

01:02:46.840 fact that

01:02:47.480 on two

01:02:48.740 occasions,

01:02:49.740 first Kamala

01:02:50.780 Harris and

01:02:51.260 then Joe

01:02:52.040 Biden,

01:02:52.680 referred to

01:02:53.240 the campaign

01:02:53.720 as the

01:02:54.120 Harris-Biden

01:02:54.780 campaign,

01:02:55.940 that is

01:02:56.780 just so

01:02:57.640 obviously

01:02:58.400 telling us

01:02:59.060 what's

01:02:59.340 happening

01:02:59.660 here.

01:03:01.820 It's

01:03:02.380 funny to

01:03:02.900 watch

01:03:03.120 Democrats

01:03:03.740 pretend

01:03:04.180 it's not

01:03:04.580 the case.

01:03:06.960 I guess

01:03:07.680 I didn't

01:03:07.940 have much

01:03:08.280 more to

01:03:08.560 say about

01:03:08.840 that.

01:03:10.840 Yeah.

01:03:11.140 real

01:03:14.600 scientists

01:03:15.060 are

01:03:15.340 skeptical

01:03:15.680 about

01:03:16.240 everything

01:03:16.720 somebody

01:03:17.100 says.

01:03:21.340 I'm just

01:03:21.940 looking at

01:03:22.260 your comments

01:03:22.820 now and

01:03:23.380 then I'll

01:03:23.780 go back

01:03:24.240 to what

01:03:24.540 I was

01:03:24.780 doing.

01:03:27.000 Hydro

01:03:27.440 is good.

01:03:28.340 Hydro

01:03:28.680 is kind

01:03:29.020 of difficult

01:03:29.680 because you

01:03:30.780 can't build

01:03:31.180 a hydro

01:03:31.600 plant wherever

01:03:32.220 you want

01:03:32.620 to.

01:03:36.340 Press F

01:03:37.080 if you're

01:03:37.540 out on the

01:03:38.100 vax.

01:03:38.420 So here's

01:03:39.540 my take

01:03:39.920 on the

01:03:40.240 vaccination.

01:03:41.820 So it's

01:03:42.260 going to

01:03:42.440 be really

01:03:43.580 interesting.

01:03:44.560 My take

01:03:45.140 is I will

01:03:45.740 not make

01:03:46.200 the decision

01:03:46.820 until right

01:03:49.100 at the

01:03:50.380 last moment.

01:03:51.520 So I'll

01:03:51.920 probably have

01:03:52.340 months and

01:03:52.920 months before

01:03:54.140 I'm eligible

01:03:55.300 for the

01:03:55.740 shot and

01:03:57.480 I'll collect

01:03:58.540 as much

01:03:58.940 information as

01:03:59.640 I can.

01:04:00.280 It would

01:04:00.500 be foolish

01:04:01.820 to decide

01:04:02.740 today whether

01:04:03.540 you'll take

01:04:04.000 the vaccination

01:04:04.640 later.

01:04:05.760 You should

01:04:06.180 decide that

01:04:06.940 day.

01:04:07.260 That's

01:04:08.580 the day

01:04:08.920 you should

01:04:09.220 decide.

01:04:09.740 That's

01:04:09.840 the day

01:04:10.080 you take

01:04:10.420 it if

01:04:10.720 you take

01:04:11.020 it.

01:04:16.540 Somebody

01:04:16.980 said to

01:04:17.340 walk it

01:04:17.700 off.

01:04:18.540 That's

01:04:18.980 funny because

01:04:19.620 that's

01:04:20.020 exactly what

01:04:20.680 I'm going

01:04:20.920 to do.

01:04:21.400 I'm going

01:04:21.620 to take

01:04:22.260 long walks

01:04:22.960 and walk

01:04:23.320 it off.

01:04:25.640 Oh,

01:04:26.140 an ocular

01:04:26.680 migraine.

01:04:28.160 I knew

01:04:28.840 that somebody

01:04:29.360 here would

01:04:29.780 be better

01:04:30.160 than my

01:04:30.600 doctor.

01:04:31.460 There's

01:04:31.700 something

01:04:31.940 called an

01:04:32.460 ocular

01:04:32.920 migraine.

01:04:34.120 I'll bet

01:04:34.400 if I look

01:04:34.820 that up

01:04:35.180 that's

01:04:35.420 exactly

01:04:35.780 what I

01:04:36.100 had.

01:04:37.260 I'm going

01:04:37.640 to write

01:04:37.820 that down.

01:04:38.720 Ocular

01:04:39.080 migraine.

01:04:41.600 All right.

01:04:41.960 Thank you.

01:04:42.420 I think you've

01:04:42.820 solved all my

01:04:43.400 medical problems.

01:04:44.180 That's all

01:04:44.420 for now.

01:04:45.140 I will

01:04:45.440 talk to

01:04:45.760 you.

01:04:47.100 Oh,

01:04:47.420 yes.

01:04:47.740 Somebody

01:04:48.000 just prompted

01:04:48.780 me here

01:04:49.120 before I

01:04:49.460 go.

01:04:50.160 Dershowitz is

01:04:50.880 suing CNN

01:04:51.680 for taking

01:04:52.920 him out of

01:04:53.420 context.

01:04:54.660 Suing him

01:04:55.160 for $300

01:04:55.760 million.

01:04:56.800 Now,

01:04:57.420 if you were

01:04:57.940 CNN,

01:04:59.220 would you

01:04:59.620 like to see

01:05:00.220 Alan Dershowitz

01:05:01.200 coming at you

01:05:01.860 with a $300

01:05:02.560 million lawsuit

01:05:03.680 that apparently

01:05:05.360 is moronically

01:05:07.280 easy to prove

01:05:08.220 because it's

01:05:08.860 all public.

01:05:10.320 You know,

01:05:10.580 CNN,

01:05:11.620 their news

01:05:12.720 is there

01:05:13.680 for everybody

01:05:14.180 to see.

01:05:15.380 So all

01:05:15.960 Alan Dershowitz

01:05:17.000 has to do

01:05:17.800 is say,

01:05:18.660 all right,

01:05:19.040 ladies and

01:05:19.480 gentlemen of

01:05:19.900 the jury,

01:05:20.980 could you

01:05:21.340 read this?

01:05:22.400 Okay,

01:05:22.680 just read

01:05:23.080 that.

01:05:23.900 And then

01:05:24.260 here's what

01:05:24.620 I actually

01:05:25.020 said.

01:05:26.100 Okay,

01:05:26.420 now read

01:05:26.780 that.

01:05:27.120 Are these

01:05:27.420 the same?

01:05:28.360 And you

01:05:28.660 can see

01:05:28.980 how this

01:05:29.320 one makes

01:05:29.680 me look

01:05:29.980 like a

01:05:30.320 jerk,

01:05:31.320 whereas the

01:05:31.880 thing I

01:05:32.180 actually said

01:05:32.760 just sounds

01:05:33.180 smart.

01:05:34.200 You see

01:05:34.440 that,

01:05:34.740 right?

01:05:35.620 That should

01:05:35.960 be the

01:05:36.240 end of

01:05:36.460 the whole

01:05:37.520 trial,

01:05:38.100 so I

01:05:38.560 would not

01:05:38.860 want to

01:05:39.120 be on

01:05:39.340 the other

01:05:39.600 side of

01:05:39.940 Alan Dershowitz

01:05:40.560 in the

01:05:40.800 court.

01:05:41.600 That's all

01:05:41.980 for now.

01:05:42.400 I'll talk

01:05:42.880 to you

01:05:43.280 tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 17, 2020

Episode 1126 Scott Adams： Why Democrats Can't Predict Well, Our Non-Credible Election, Gingrich and Soros, Science Goes Subjective

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