Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1130 Scott Adams： Supreme Court Gender Discrimination, How to Escape a BLM Mob, Beta Storms Aplenty, Schumer Threats

00:00:00.000 Pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum-pum!

00:00:13.100 Hey everybody. Come on in. Come on in. It's time. You came to the right place at the right time.

00:00:20.920 Yes, we're going to have a great start to the day.

00:00:25.960 Today is going to be incredible.

00:00:29.780 I mean, really, just incredible.

00:00:32.300 And all you need to get it off to the right start is a cup or a mug or a glass,

00:00:36.220 a tank or chalice or a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:40.600 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:42.720 I like coffee.

00:00:44.160 And join me now for the dopamine hit of the day,

00:00:48.100 the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:50.100 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens right now.

00:00:53.780 Go.

00:00:55.220 Christina taught me a brand-new beverage.

00:01:04.020 It's called coffee with about half of it filled with hot water.

00:01:09.600 So it's like a weak coffee that gives you the suggestion of coffee without all the jitters.

00:01:16.720 I need that today.

00:01:18.560 All right.

00:01:19.720 What do we got going on?

00:01:20.980 Are there crazy things happening in the world?

00:01:23.980 Yeah.

00:01:25.480 Yeah, there are.

00:01:27.240 At the top of my list is New Tropical Storm.

00:01:31.700 And the name of the tropical storm is Tropical Storm Beta.

00:01:36.960 That's right.

00:01:38.240 The simulation is serving up a beta storm.

00:01:41.760 At the same time, beta males are riding all over the country.

00:01:48.920 So what do I tell you about code reuse?

00:01:52.680 So I have this theory that one of the ways that you can tell if you are a simulation is if there's something happening somewhere in the world that would take a great deal of processing power,

00:02:09.300 that there might be other things that there might be other things that slow down, or they have to reuse code to compensate for the fact that all the energy is going into one part of the program.

00:02:19.980 And does it seem to you like there's a tremendous amount of activity and complexity going on just because of politics, but at the same time, we have these weird coincidences going on,

00:02:35.580 where it seems like the same names are getting reused for stuff, and we're seeing these familiar patterns.

00:02:44.120 It's like, haven't we seen this before?

00:02:46.680 It just seems like there's a lot of repeats going on.

00:02:49.500 I noticed this the other day.

00:02:52.820 I told you the story about it.

00:02:54.280 I went to the emergency room the other day, and what was really interesting about it is that it wasn't busy.

00:03:03.000 And I kept saying to them, is this weird?

00:03:06.040 I'm at the emergency room of a major emergency room, and there are only two other people here.

00:03:11.660 How weird is that?

00:03:12.820 And they said, yeah, it's really weird.

00:03:14.680 Normally, we could have people filling the hallways.

00:03:17.600 But today, no real reason, just nobody's here.

00:03:22.440 And I keep running into these situations where I see fewer and fewer people at the same time.

00:03:29.660 Have you noticed that?

00:03:30.760 It's called social distancing.

00:03:32.920 So suddenly, the complexity of my personal life has, like, shrunk way down.

00:03:39.160 It's way less complicated because I don't have a social life, as most of you are experiencing some version of that, too.

00:03:46.700 So the world is way more complicated in politics, but there is other areas of life that suddenly, coincidentally, became way less complicated.

00:04:00.140 Is that a coincidence?

00:04:01.340 Probably yes, but it's fun to talk about the simulation.

00:04:07.720 All right.

00:04:09.840 I have a suggestion for all of you who think you're clever, but maybe other people don't.

00:04:18.800 You know who you are.

00:04:19.840 If you have ever tweeted that actor Rob Reiner is a, quote, meathead, you may not be a creative person because you're the same people who tweet at me, or actually it's people on the other side tweeted me, saying that they've just discovered that I'm not actually the cartoonist, but I'm really the pointy-haired boss in my comic strip.

00:04:44.520 Please, if I can beg of you one thing, you can insult me all you want, that's cool, I'm used to that.

00:04:54.640 You can insult Rob Reiner all you want, I've done it myself, I enjoy it.

00:05:01.140 Honestly, insulting Rob Reiner is one of the things I enjoy.

00:05:04.920 And if other people enjoy insulting me, well, okay, good for you.

00:05:11.160 But can you be a little more creative, a little more creative than accusing them of being a character they played on TV?

00:05:20.840 You just need to raise your game a little bit.

00:05:24.020 I'm begging you.

00:05:25.600 Only because there's a certain level of lack of creativity that hurts my eyes, sort of in the back.

00:05:32.680 You know, when I read this, if I read one more tweet calling Rob Reiner a meathead, there's like this shooting pain behind my eyes and I go, ah, ah, ah, ah, it's so uncreative, ah, ah.

00:05:46.420 So, that's just a personal favor.

00:05:48.480 I'm just, I'm begging you.

00:05:50.020 Just stop being uncreative.

00:05:52.680 Call them something else.

00:05:54.680 Anything else.

00:05:56.420 All right.

00:05:58.680 Many of you saw the video.

00:06:01.160 It's a viral video.

00:06:03.080 Of a couple of guys who got stopped in their car by protesters.

00:06:07.620 I think it was Portland.

00:06:09.540 And they were surrounded by the protesters.

00:06:12.020 And the protesters, at least the ones in the video, looked mostly like white men.

00:06:16.720 And they were insisting that the men in the car, who may have been Hispanic, I don't know if it matters to the story.

00:06:24.640 You can decide.

00:06:25.320 But they were being forced to declare Black Lives Matter.

00:06:31.200 Now, one of the guys in the car was like a little iffy on it.

00:06:35.000 He's like, okay, I'll put the fist up a little bit.

00:06:38.680 And then they insisted that he wasn't enthusiastic enough.

00:06:42.700 Like, he wasn't really putting his fist up.

00:06:44.700 He was just sort of raising it a little bit.

00:06:47.160 So they were on him.

00:06:48.640 And it was pretty threatening.

00:06:50.340 It looked pretty dangerous, actually.

00:06:52.000 If they had resisted more than they did, it looked like their vehicle would be destroyed.

00:06:57.440 They might be hurt.

00:06:58.420 Could get dragged out.

00:06:59.500 Who knows?

00:07:00.300 Just about anything could happen.

00:07:01.500 So here's my suggestion of how to handle that situation if you find yourself in it.

00:07:08.660 Now, you're going to say to yourself, Scott, that won't work because they will immediately know you're joking.

00:07:15.180 No, they won't.

00:07:16.900 No, they won't.

00:07:18.320 They will not know you're joking if you say the following.

00:07:22.580 If they say, say it.

00:07:24.760 Say Black Lives Matter.

00:07:27.100 Here's what I would say.

00:07:28.320 And I would say it really loudly, and I would repeat it as many times as I needed to, to make sure everybody heard it.

00:07:35.600 And it would go like this.

00:07:37.440 Black Lives Matter more than white lives. 0.99

00:07:39.880 Heil BLM.

00:07:41.820 Heil Antifa. 1.00

00:07:43.200 Death to whitey. 1.00

00:07:46.340 So that's how you do it. 0.99

00:07:48.060 You want to agree with them, but amplify it.

00:07:52.080 Don't just say Black Lives Matter.

00:07:53.920 Because, you know, you don't want to be a tropical storm beta, if you know what I mean.

00:08:00.100 Just go for it.

00:08:01.540 And just say, Black Lives Matter more than white people. 0.87

00:08:05.640 Heil BLM.

00:08:06.820 Heil Antifa. 1.00

00:08:08.540 Death to whitey. 1.00

00:08:10.660 Now, again, you think to yourself, Scott, they're going to know you're joking. 0.99

00:08:16.820 No, they won't.

00:08:17.820 This is the only thing I promise you.

00:08:23.020 No, they won't.

00:08:24.640 They will not think you're joking.

00:08:26.860 In fact, they might nominate you to be the leader of their group.

00:08:31.100 You could end up, you know, they might give you snacks from the snack van.

00:08:35.420 If you wanted free snacks from the Antifa snack van, I think all you have to do is say that.

00:08:41.640 And they said, hey, would you like a snack?

00:08:43.880 We've got some bottled water here.

00:08:45.480 It's nice and frozen.

00:08:46.260 Would you like it?

00:08:48.300 So that's my recommendation.

00:08:50.600 By the way, if anybody gets killed using any of my recommendations, what the hell were you thinking?

00:08:56.280 I'm a cartoonist.

00:08:57.280 Don't take my advice on self-defense.

00:08:59.680 If you're getting self-defense tips from a cartoonist, well, you kind of deserve what you get.

00:09:07.180 So that's my warning there.

00:09:11.400 One of my methods for predicting the future, I've talked about this before,

00:09:16.280 but there's an actual theory behind it, and the technique is this.

00:09:22.380 If there's a situation in the world in which you can anticipate, well, things could go this way,

00:09:29.240 or they could go that way, or they could go that way, but it's fairly well-defined.

00:09:34.600 The things are either going to go one of these defined ways.

00:09:37.580 You can usually bet that the way it will go is whichever way makes the most interesting story.

00:09:47.900 Now, you say to me, there's no reason that would be true, right?

00:09:54.200 Why would it be that if there are three possibilities and you don't have any way to know which one is more likely,

00:10:00.480 why would it be that the one that's the best story ends up being more likely?

00:10:06.640 Not every time, right?

00:10:07.800 Just a biased or the good story.

00:10:11.720 Here's why.

00:10:12.460 I don't think it applies to natural disasters.

00:10:17.160 In other words, if there are no human beings making decisions,

00:10:20.820 well, then it's just news and it was going to happen.

00:10:23.140 You know, the cliff collapsed, the earthquake happened, whatever happened.

00:10:28.380 But when there's a situation in which human beings are involved,

00:10:33.940 humans are very affected by the fact that we live in a world of stories.

00:10:39.820 We learn by stories, we're entertained by stories, we tell stories, we listen to stories.

00:10:46.280 And stories have sort of a form that you recognize.

00:10:50.960 Movies in particular have a three-act form, books are a little different,

00:10:55.540 but we all recognize what a story is.

00:10:57.720 We would know if somebody told a bad story.

00:11:00.840 We would all recognize it.

00:11:02.040 It's like, oh, that was a bad story.

00:11:04.040 There was no conclusion, there was no third act.

00:11:08.040 It just was flat.

00:11:09.820 So, here's my hypothesis.

00:11:13.460 That people are drawn to the thing that they can conceive the most easily.

00:11:19.120 And you can conceive a story, one that looks like a story, more readily

00:11:24.360 than you can conceive of something that's random.

00:11:27.000 And that we're drawn toward the story to the point of making it happen.

00:11:34.240 This is the part of the hypothesis that has the most question to it, I would say.

00:11:42.500 People are drawn to what they think about.

00:11:45.760 If you think about an accident all the time, you're more likely to have one.

00:11:49.460 If you think about a particular bad thing happening, have you noticed it's more likely to happen?

00:11:55.880 It's almost like you bring it on yourself.

00:11:58.540 You could almost wish yourself to get sick.

00:12:02.220 Have you noticed that if one spouse dies, let's say the two people have been married for 60 years,

00:12:11.240 if one of them dies, the other one's usually going to be gone in a year.

00:12:15.700 And it's because that person is following the story.

00:12:20.160 Right?

00:12:20.480 Not intentionally.

00:12:21.320 But you know if your partner dies, you kind of want to follow them and you don't want to wait too long.

00:12:28.320 So the odds of you dying pretty quickly go way up.

00:12:32.400 And that's shown to be true.

00:12:35.200 So with this situation of, let's say, Trump running for president,

00:12:40.900 one of the filters I saw was that the most amazing story would be if he came from behind and won.

00:12:48.140 Right?

00:12:48.640 That was the best story.

00:12:50.180 If you were going to make a movie of 2016, it had to end that way, didn't it?

00:12:56.500 It had to end with Trump winning because that was just the best story.

00:13:01.840 You might not enjoy it if you're a Democrat, but you can't ignore the fact it's the best story.

00:13:08.940 Likewise, one year ago, when people were talking about Ruth Bader Ginsburg's health,

00:13:16.280 I said to myself, all right, what would be the best story?

00:13:21.480 The best story is not that she died a year before an election.

00:13:27.000 No, the best story would not be that she died a month after the election.

00:13:33.700 The best story to make it like a regular plot of a movie is that she dies 45 days before the election.

00:13:43.760 Why 45?

00:13:46.560 President is number 45.

00:13:49.240 Now, that's just a coincidence.

00:13:51.780 But the exact timing of her death feels entirely like a movie plot.

00:13:58.940 And I did, in fact, privately.

00:14:01.140 I don't think I said this publicly.

00:14:03.440 I don't like to publicly predict somebody's death.

00:14:07.260 But privately, I was saying, you know, it's going to happen a month before the election because that's the story.

00:14:13.440 So, watch for that pattern.

00:14:16.460 See how many times the best story wins.

00:14:20.280 And if you were to take that concept to, let's say, Durham.

00:14:24.720 So, the Durham investigation is happening now.

00:14:28.080 What would be the best story?

00:14:30.540 The best story would be Durham comes out before the election.

00:14:36.220 Again, it's like Ruth Bader Ginsburg, right?

00:14:39.160 Before the election is the better story.

00:14:41.760 After the election, I don't know.

00:14:44.260 Would it be as interesting no matter what it is?

00:14:46.940 But before the election, I've got a feeling you're going to see something about Brennan and Clapper.

00:14:54.520 At least Brennan.

00:14:56.080 So, there's going to be something, I think, interesting because that would be the best story.

00:15:01.060 The best story would be that Durham not only found something, but found something that just makes your whole head come off.

00:15:08.580 And I feel like we might be heading that way.

00:15:11.100 Only because it's the best story.

00:15:13.860 We'll see.

00:15:19.060 Let's see.

00:15:19.700 What else we got here?

00:15:20.580 I was talking yesterday about the strategy that Trump might want to look at.

00:15:27.240 One strategy would be what apparently he's going to do, which is try to get his nominee for the Supreme Court pushed through before Election Day.

00:15:35.840 I did say that it would be interesting and maybe clever as a strategy to not do that.

00:15:43.860 Imagine if he decided not to.

00:15:45.980 Just say, how about I'll wait?

00:15:47.120 We'll wait.

00:15:47.520 And then just use it as a means of getting your voters to show up.

00:15:54.820 Now, that would be risky.

00:15:58.100 But also, it wouldn't be Trump, would it?

00:16:00.960 Do you think that, you know, if you had heard that Trump said, you know, maybe you're right.

00:16:09.380 You're right.

00:16:09.920 Maybe we'll just wait.

00:16:11.420 Wait till after the election.

00:16:12.740 That sounds fair to me.

00:16:13.780 If he ever said that, you'd say to yourself, what happened to Trump?

00:16:19.040 You'd think, we elected the guy who doesn't know how to do anything but fight.

00:16:25.080 We intentionally elected the guy who doesn't quit.

00:16:29.540 We very specifically elected the guy who would be the pirate who, if he needs to kill somebody to get something done, he's going to kill somebody to get something done, legally, we hope.

00:16:43.260 Right?

00:16:43.780 So, if Trump did not do exactly what Trump did, which is say, oh, yeah, we're going to try to get this through before the election, if he hadn't done that, who is he, really?

00:16:56.840 I mean, who would he be?

00:16:58.520 He wouldn't be the guy you elected.

00:17:00.660 He'd be a different guy.

00:17:02.100 So, I think that, you know, politicians do have some responsibility for being the person that got elected and not baiting and switching.

00:17:12.100 So, independent of whether it was a good strategy or a bad strategy to push it through versus waiting, you still want Trump to be Trump, don't you?

00:17:22.820 Don't you still want him to be the fighter who never even, probably never even considered holding off?

00:17:29.700 You know, it's hard to know.

00:17:31.960 But if I had to guess, I'll bet there was never a time when Trump said, yeah, let's hold back.

00:17:38.660 I just don't think he, I don't think his brain works that way.

00:17:43.720 And that's exactly why he got elected.

00:17:46.400 He got elected because he won't hold back.

00:17:49.640 You know, he sees some potential money on the table.

00:17:53.160 We don't know if this is money on the table because there's going to be a fight.

00:17:57.100 But if there might be money on the table, you want your president to pick it up.

00:18:02.800 That's what he got elected to do.

00:18:04.860 He didn't get elected to leave money on the table.

00:18:07.720 All right.

00:18:08.020 Nobody wanted that guy.

00:18:09.100 So, um, I, I would say that I respect and I appreciate this, uh, this method.

00:18:20.720 I don't know if it'll succeed.

00:18:22.640 And also, because I don't know if it'll succeed, I don't know if it's the best strategy, but

00:18:28.560 it could be, it could be, um, here's, here's what's good about it.

00:18:34.060 Number one thing that's good about it is that by actually having the nomination, it forces

00:18:41.040 Kamala Harris to come back to Washington so he can take Kamala Harris off the, uh, off 1.00

00:18:47.880 the board.

00:18:49.040 That's pretty good, right?

00:18:50.820 Taking Harris off the board might help just because she'll be bogged down.

00:18:55.260 But at the same time, she'll also get a, a stage in front of the world to say her thing.

00:19:00.600 And, you know, that could be to her credit.

00:19:04.100 So it could work either way, a little dangerous there.

00:19:07.120 Um, the other thing it does is, did you look at the headlines today?

00:19:12.600 Everything else disappeared.

00:19:14.940 There's nothing else that anybody wants to talk about.

00:19:19.200 If Trump can keep this going, I would say that that's an advantage because he just took

00:19:25.100 everything else off the table.

00:19:26.760 And if the only question is Supreme Court, and let's say, let's say, let's say that, uh,

00:19:34.080 Trump actually got the nomination through and actually got it completed right before election

00:19:40.180 day, hypothetically.

00:19:42.500 Um, what would that do?

00:19:44.740 Well, if you're a Democrat, maybe you would be demoralized as in, uh, you know, we're so

00:19:52.560 far behind, uh, or do you decide that you have to have a revolution and do an armed revolution

00:19:58.900 of the country?

00:20:00.100 I don't know.

00:20:01.320 Could be dangerous.

00:20:02.580 But I do like the fact that Trump took everything else out of the headlines and it is going to

00:20:08.760 concentrate in an area that I think is stronger for him.

00:20:11.800 I do believe that Trump has an advantage if this is the option, if this is the topic everybody's

00:20:18.680 talking about.

00:20:19.220 I think he has an advantage.

00:20:20.680 Now, about some more about this, uh, if you're watching the news, you know that Senator Lindsey

00:20:26.620 Graham was in a ticklish situation because he's on record in two different times on camera

00:20:33.880 saying that, uh, in this exact situation that he would delay the, delay the nomination, that

00:20:42.940 would be his choice.

00:20:44.640 And then he came out and said, oh, I'm totally not going to delay the nomination.

00:20:50.680 Now, if any of you thought that he was going to rely on principle or that he would, you know,

00:20:58.200 keep his word and, you know, I said I'd do it.

00:21:01.100 So I guess I'm bound by my word.

00:21:04.180 I, I, I got to throw you an LOL because we're not in a world where people keep their promises

00:21:11.500 on stuff like that.

00:21:13.440 That, that was just so obvious that he was going to, uh, he was going to find a workaround,

00:21:18.360 you know, a lawyer workaround, which he did. 0.53

00:21:20.880 And he gave his reasons that were so ridiculous that I forgot them already.

00:21:25.520 So I read his reasons about why he's changing his mind, but does it matter? 0.69

00:21:31.960 No, it doesn't matter what his reason is.

00:21:34.640 If he didn't have those reasons, he would have made up another reason because one thing

00:21:38.920 he's not going to do is go against the president while he's running for his own reelection.

00:21:44.400 And it's a razor thin.

00:21:45.780 Lindsey Graham wants to get elected. 1.00

00:21:49.860 Our system allows him to do that, right?

00:21:52.900 It is not, uh, this is just my personal opinion, but to me, it is not unethical to do legal things

00:22:01.200 that get you elected, even if it means changing your mind.

00:22:04.860 And he's allowed to do that.

00:22:07.260 If that's what it takes to get him elected and he's doing it transparently, there's not

00:22:12.080 really any secrets to it.

00:22:13.900 You know, you know what he said before, you know what he says now, you know, it's the opposite.

00:22:19.020 He puts it right out there.

00:22:20.560 You know, you can do what you want with that.

00:22:22.040 And, uh, at least it's transparent.

00:22:25.440 Um, so the Democrats, the leadership has decided to threaten the public.

00:22:32.220 That's the way I take it.

00:22:33.840 So, uh, Schumer said that, quote, uh, everything's, uh, nothing is off the table.

00:22:39.400 If, if the president pushes through this nomination, nothing is off the table.

00:22:44.380 What's that mean?

00:22:45.320 Nothing's off the table.

00:22:48.420 And Richard Blumenthal, Democrat Senator said, similarly, he tweeted, if Republicans recklessly

00:22:56.860 and reprehensibly force a, a SCOTUS vote before the election, nothing is off the table.

00:23:04.880 Now, if this were normal times and a politician said nothing is off the table, what would you

00:23:11.580 think that meant?

00:23:12.480 You would think it meant, oh, parliamentary procedures.

00:23:17.540 It might meant, might mean that they're trying hard to raise money.

00:23:21.900 They're going to, they're going to push all the envelopes.

00:23:25.120 You'd probably think it was something peaceful and clever and strategic.

00:23:31.180 But it doesn't feel like that today, does it?

00:23:34.280 As you're watching the riots and you're watching people say in public, you've seen the number of,

00:23:40.600 um, you know, blue check people say in public that if they don't get their way, it's going

00:23:46.440 to be revolution and violence.

00:23:48.640 They say it directly.

00:23:50.160 Now, given that violence and revolution are literally on the table, um, these Democrat senators

00:23:59.340 saying that nothing is off the table basically have threatened violence against, here's the

00:24:06.580 key part, against you and me.

00:24:09.840 Our politicians have actually threatened the public.

00:24:14.460 They haven't threatened just Trump.

00:24:17.540 And I'm not saying it's because you're a Trump supporter necessarily.

00:24:21.500 I'm saying that they've threatened the public, the public, because this is not exactly a limited

00:24:28.120 threat.

00:24:28.640 It's not a, uh, we'll do anything to stop president Trump.

00:24:33.000 They literally said nothing is off the table in the context of violence and, and people making

00:24:40.560 death threats right and left.

00:24:42.420 So, um, I think that this is a tremendous advantage for Republicans because they're creating a situation

00:24:56.960 where Democrats feel like they want to win, you know, and they, they have their concerns

00:25:03.280 and they're quite worked up, but they've, they've, they framed it as Republicans are really in

00:25:10.740 trouble, like, like, like physically in trouble.

00:25:14.740 If that doesn't get you to the voting booth or to mail in your vote, I don't know what will,

00:25:20.180 but it feels like a gigantic error on the part of the Democrats.

00:25:26.100 Um, here, listen to the sort of things that people are saying.

00:25:33.080 Um, this is, uh, Ray Sonny.

00:25:36.380 It's a, I think she's, uh, I don't want to judge people's ethnicity from their profile

00:25:42.660 picture, but, uh, not a white woman, let's say, uh, I, I won't say what she is, but probably 1.00

00:25:50.220 does not identify as a white woman would be fair to say.

00:25:54.180 And she tweeted this respectfully, white men got us into this.

00:25:58.180 I don't know what this is, and it frustrates me, uh, uh, endlessly that white men voted

00:26:04.520 Trump in and somehow get away scot-free as if because the racism and selfishness is a

00:26:10.660 given, we don't, we don't have to drag them, drag the 53% and the 62%.

00:26:16.340 What does drag them mean?

00:26:18.900 Mean actually like tie them to the back of the car and drag them?

00:26:22.600 Does it mean hurt them?

00:26:24.240 What does drag them mean?

00:26:25.560 If you could tweet in public specifically against an entire ethnicity and gender, white 0.56

00:26:33.140 men, and your, your tweet doesn't get taken down, you don't lose your job.

00:26:37.640 I don't know.

00:26:37.980 I think she's a comedian or something.

00:26:40.960 Um, that's, that's a pretty dangerous situation.

00:26:47.360 There was a Marshall university professor who said on video the other day, yesterday or something, 0.56

00:26:54.000 that she wishes every Trump supporter would die before the election.

00:26:58.980 What?

00:27:00.000 How do you, how do you go on video?

00:27:01.820 You have, you have, you're a semi-public person because you teach at a college and you say

00:27:08.020 in public with no, with no reservations at all, because apparently you've been only dealing

00:27:16.020 with people who agree with you for a long time and didn't realize that it wasn't okay

00:27:21.720 to say in public that you hope half of the country dies and actually mean it.

00:27:27.560 Um, cause she wasn't joking.

00:27:29.680 She sort of, I mean, she wasn't being literal, but she was certainly being, um, it looked like

00:27:37.520 she was being accurate to her own, her own feeling about Trump supporters.

00:27:42.140 Like she wouldn't mind if some of them died.

00:27:44.420 Certainly not all of them.

00:27:45.780 Um, so it's just crazy that these things can be said out loud.

00:27:54.360 This is the sort of stuff that should predict a Trump landslide because I think Republicans

00:28:01.280 are staying quiet and doing two things.

00:28:06.240 Uh, they're ordering their ballots if they don't have them and they're stocking up on ammo

00:28:12.640 just in case, just in case.

00:28:16.400 So, um, this is, this is a pretty dangerous situation.

00:28:21.880 Um, I continue to believe that the Republic can handle this quite easily.

00:28:28.680 So, uh, every now and then I feel it's, it's my role to, uh, to put things in context to

00:28:35.900 make you feel better.

00:28:36.680 All right.

00:28:37.740 If it's so easy to get caught up on these, you know, each topic is the end of the world.

00:28:43.260 Oh, the replacement of the Supreme Court seat.

00:28:46.000 It's the end of the world.

00:28:47.220 We'll all kill each other if we don't get our way.

00:28:50.320 The coronavirus is the end of the world.

00:28:52.340 The economy is crashing.

00:28:54.420 It feels like every story is going to be the end of the world.

00:28:57.880 But how many of them have been the end of the world?

00:29:02.060 So far, none.

00:29:04.380 This won't be the end of the world either.

00:29:06.020 As problems go, if you were to look at the history of the United States, it's easy to

00:29:12.580 forget how many things this country has survived.

00:29:16.240 We've survived some really big stuff.

00:29:21.680 Way bigger than this.

00:29:23.220 So if you were to rank where the Supreme Court thing is in terms of ripping the country apart,

00:29:29.360 it's a two.

00:29:30.860 Two out of ten.

00:29:31.820 If you're trying to say, how worried should I be about the future because of this Supreme

00:29:37.040 Court stuff, two out of ten.

00:29:40.580 That's about it.

00:29:41.760 But it will be treated like it's a ten out of ten because that's what we do now.

00:29:46.080 We're all going to treat it like it's ten out of ten.

00:29:48.240 But no matter how it goes, we'll still be the United States.

00:29:53.180 Our economy will still be improving.

00:29:55.380 We'll still be inventing things.

00:29:57.000 We'll still be fixing things and solving things.

00:30:00.260 And we will be fine.

00:30:01.840 And we're a lot closer to solving our more recent big problems than we are to not solving them.

00:30:09.500 Speaking of which, I forgot to mention this.

00:30:11.460 I thought it was politically brilliant for Trump to, what did he, he approved $90 billion

00:30:19.880 for Puerto Rico.

00:30:24.140 Now, the people who are critics of the president will say, and I think it's a completely fair 0.56

00:30:30.060 statement, they'll say, why did it take so long?

00:30:33.300 Now, remember, I always kid, I always mock people for saying that if somebody did something

00:30:39.500 good, then you mock them for taking so long.

00:30:43.360 Because that's just the easy, cheap thing to say, well, why did you take so long?

00:30:47.120 I will criticize you for doing the wrong thing, but I'll also criticize you for doing the right

00:30:52.340 thing because you could have done it sooner.

00:30:55.360 Now, of course, you can do anything sooner.

00:30:57.560 So it's the universal, you know, non-thing.

00:31:01.120 But with the Puerto Rico thing, I think there's a better argument for why not sooner?

00:31:06.120 If you ask me the reason why not sooner is, you know, number one, it was probably helpful

00:31:12.980 for the election.

00:31:14.840 But there are a couple of reasons why maybe not sooner made sense.

00:31:19.360 One is there's a tremendous corruption problem there.

00:31:22.820 It might have taken them a while to figure out how to pump money into Puerto Rico and not

00:31:28.580 have it all stolen or wasted.

00:31:29.960 Because stolen or wasted is exactly what would have happened if you had put $90 billion into

00:31:36.380 there, you know, a month after the hurricane.

00:31:39.240 Do we all agree that if you just said, let's throw money at this place a month after the

00:31:44.800 hurricane, it would just all be wasted?

00:31:46.960 Because they're just, they don't have the systems, the controls.

00:31:51.140 They just didn't have a way to watch that money and keep track of it and get it to the right

00:31:55.880 places.

00:31:56.660 It could be, it could be, I don't know this, that it probably takes a while to get some

00:32:02.660 confidence that you've got a structure in place that you can now put money into it and

00:32:06.960 it'll go someplace useful.

00:32:08.800 Probably takes a while.

00:32:10.120 Probably a whole lot of planning, a whole lot of figuring out what really needs to be

00:32:13.660 done.

00:32:14.380 So maybe it just took two years.

00:32:16.960 But I don't think that's the full answer.

00:32:18.620 Obviously the, you know, it's not a coincidence that there's an election coming up and it's

00:32:24.080 not a coincidence that the president would like to shore up, you know, his, his Hispanic 0.79

00:32:29.020 support and do everything he could.

00:32:31.760 That's counterfactual to whatever the claims are about him. 0.99

00:32:35.020 So the claims about Trump are, Hey, he's a big old racist. 0.96

00:32:39.100 So what's one thing you can do if people are accusing you of being a racist? 0.92

00:32:43.200 How about putting a world record amount of money into Puerto Rico?

00:32:50.120 It's a pretty good idea because it's hard to, it's hard to argue that that's some big

00:32:55.360 racist thing, even though it's obviously a politically motivated.

00:33:01.700 So that was good.

00:33:04.740 And then of course the TikTok looks like the sale is going to go through to Oracle and Walmart.

00:33:09.840 If you, if you ever, if you told me two companies that I thought should never be in a business

00:33:16.940 deal, it would probably be Oracle and Walmart.

00:33:19.500 What do they have in common other than, I guess they had the cash and the willingness to

00:33:23.860 do it.

00:33:25.300 But there's some, there's some word that what, uh, what China might do is, is keep the algorithm,

00:33:34.040 but sell the company to which I say, how hard would it be for the United States to build

00:33:39.820 its own algorithm?

00:33:41.280 What if we took everything from TikTok, you know, the assets, the customer base, but the

00:33:47.460 only thing we got rid of was the algorithm.

00:33:50.420 We just delete it and replace one that just says something simple, such as you'll see more

00:33:57.440 things from your friends, the people you follow, and maybe you'll see more things from, you

00:34:03.780 know, just some easy algorithm.

00:34:05.500 But couldn't you put, given that it's mostly for children, it's young people who use it

00:34:10.720 mostly, don't you think we should have an open algorithm that we can all see?

00:34:16.700 I feel as if, I feel as if the, uh, uh, the oracles of the world and the Walmarts too, they should

00:34:26.080 guarantee the government that the algorithm will be public so everybody can see what it does.

00:34:32.540 Is that, is that wrong?

00:34:35.540 No, I don't know.

00:34:36.060 Maybe they can't make money that way, but given that it's directed at children, well, how about

00:34:40.960 this for a law?

00:34:42.260 How about a law that says if children use your platform, you have to reveal your algorithm?

00:34:48.680 Oh, that's pretty good.

00:34:50.340 I'm so happy.

00:34:51.100 I just thought of that.

00:34:52.240 Has anybody ever come up with that idea?

00:34:53.900 You know, the big, the big platforms from your Facebooks to your Snapchats to your Instagrams,

00:35:01.500 et cetera, Twitter's a little different because the kids don't follow politics and stuff.

00:35:07.220 Um, so I'm not sure how many kids use Twitter compared to other platforms, but less, I guess.

00:35:14.740 Wouldn't it be reasonable that given that we want to protect children more than we might

00:35:19.840 want to protect adults who know what they're getting into?

00:35:23.140 Shouldn't we require that any platform that has children on it has to reveal their algorithm

00:35:31.060 has to be public?

00:35:32.840 Anybody, anybody can see it.

00:35:34.400 So parents can see it.

00:35:35.740 Now it would be hard to understand it, but at least be public for people who do know how

00:35:40.540 to read, read the code and look at the algorithm.

00:35:43.780 That would be my idea.

00:35:44.980 All right, um, here's a little, uh, mind effort for you.

00:35:52.720 You ready for this one?

00:35:54.340 So there's increasingly news and of Europe that they're having another wave and that, uh,

00:36:01.620 infections are spiking coronavirus.

00:36:04.200 And here was a statistic I saw that was useful because, because it's simplified things.

00:36:10.840 All right.

00:36:11.480 So, so hold on to just a few numbers here.

00:36:14.460 I'll keep it really simple.

00:36:15.740 Just hold these in your head that, uh, the Europe has 750 million people.

00:36:22.600 Let's say the U S has 330 million.

00:36:25.900 So we've got a little less than half as many people in the United States as there is in all

00:36:32.160 of Europe.

00:36:33.280 But although Europe has more than twice as many people, they have almost the same amount of

00:36:39.300 deaths, 217,000, ours is about 200,000.

00:36:43.920 So about the same amount of deaths, but Europe has a little bit more than twice as many people.

00:36:50.920 So that that's pretty clean, right?

00:36:53.060 That's one of those things where you can say, oh, okay, now I see how the United States is

00:36:58.000 really doing poorly because we've got twice as many deaths, you know, that they do are relative to

00:37:06.000 population.

00:37:07.220 But I asked myself this, are they the same?

00:37:11.740 Is there something about the United States that's different from Europe on average?

00:37:17.840 And here's one thing that's different.

00:37:19.200 Um, how many, what's the black population of the United States? 0.86

00:37:26.340 Because as we know, the black population has something like four to five times the problem 1.00

00:37:33.160 with coronavirus. 0.91

00:37:34.400 It's a gigantic difference, right?

00:37:36.320 It's a, it's something like four or five times worse.

00:37:40.720 If you're African American, let's say black, because we're talking about Europe, it's about 0.99

00:37:45.980 four or five times worse. 0.95

00:37:47.620 So wouldn't you expect that the country that has the biggest population of black residents 0.88

00:37:53.540 should, all things being equal, would have way more deaths?

00:37:58.560 Because unfortunately it does not, the coronavirus is not an equal opportunity virus. 0.99

00:38:04.500 It's just slamming the black populations, just slamming them, right? 1.00

00:38:09.140 So I said to myself, well, if it were true that the black, uh, the percentage of black population 0.99

00:38:16.540 is skewing our coronavirus death count, you would be able to see that easily.

00:38:22.500 For example, you'd go to Europe and you'd say, well, if there's anything to this hypothesis,

00:38:27.460 if you looked at Europe, you shouldn't, you see that whatever country in Europe has the

00:38:33.600 most black population would have the highest, you know, death rate.

00:38:39.440 And sure enough, that would be France. 0.84

00:38:42.680 So France not only has a close to 9%, I think, uh, black population, but it is not too far behind

00:38:53.020 the United States at 13%.

00:38:55.060 So this is just one data point.

00:38:57.980 So don't, don't make too much out of one data point, right?

00:39:01.020 So the United States is doing poorly and also has a 13% black population who are doing far 1.00

00:39:08.480 worse. 0.91

00:39:09.680 France, within Europe, France is one of the bad ones, right? 0.99

00:39:14.700 It's one of the worst countries in Europe and also has the highest percentage of black 1.00

00:39:20.360 population, about 9%.

00:39:21.460 Now, is there any other country that you could look at that would be maybe confirming or disconfirming

00:39:29.980 this hypothesis?

00:39:31.340 So I took a look at Brazil.

00:39:34.140 Now, Brazil's a tough one because, uh, Brazil is like super racially mixed. 1.00

00:39:40.800 So they've got a whole bunch of, you know, wonderful stuff all mixed up.

00:39:45.480 You know, I mean, the people are just, um, like almost every person in Brazil seems to

00:39:51.020 be some mixture of interesting stuff, but we can glean a few things.

00:39:56.040 I think they have 9% black population, but somewhere between 9% and 30%, at least partly black.

00:40:07.320 So Brazil has an enormous percentage of black population and is one of the worst in terms 1.00

00:40:15.720 of coronavirus deaths.

00:40:17.340 Now, what about those countries in Europe that have almost no black population, below 2%?

00:40:24.600 How are they doing?

00:40:26.200 Pretty well.

00:40:27.640 Pretty well, it turns out. 0.99

00:40:29.440 Turns out that having almost no black population really gets your death count down. 0.98

00:40:35.160 Surprise? 0.97

00:40:36.240 Shouldn't be, because this is, it's well known on the thing.

00:40:40.000 So, let's say that's one, one, uh, you know, normal, one calculation that needs to be done,

00:40:47.540 which is you have to, uh, normalize it for ethnic differences in terms of mortality.

00:40:53.760 And what about, um, what about differences in incentive for coding something, a coronavirus death?

00:41:02.360 Can you compare the United States where people get the, the hospitals anyway,

00:41:07.000 would get a large, large dollar amount profit if they code something coronavirus, whereas

00:41:16.380 in Europe, they don't.

00:41:19.380 Do you, do you think that you get the same count?

00:41:21.520 No.

00:41:22.300 In no world do you get the same count if somebody is, is monetized in one case and not monetized

00:41:28.940 in the other case.

00:41:29.620 You don't get the same result.

00:41:31.840 Never.

00:41:32.360 We don't live in a world where people are immune to monetary incentive.

00:41:37.560 It just isn't a thing.

00:41:38.900 Now, it might be a 5% difference, not a 100% difference, but still, that's something pretty

00:41:44.300 important you need to calculate.

00:41:47.220 And then, of course, you've got the, the number of, uh, obese Americans, which is greater than

00:41:52.680 others.

00:41:53.280 We're a bigger country.

00:41:54.600 And then, how about this?

00:41:57.220 Is it fair to treat the United States as one big ball, given that we have lots of states

00:42:03.060 with power?

00:42:04.060 You know, we have an unusual situation.

00:42:05.940 Our states have a lot of power.

00:42:07.840 Shouldn't we be comparing each state to Europe?

00:42:12.740 Wouldn't that be better?

00:42:14.160 How many of the individual states in the United States are doing as, as well or comparable to

00:42:20.560 Europe?

00:42:20.860 And I think the answer is a lot of them, right?

00:42:23.640 Out of our 50 states, 30 or 40 of them, maybe.

00:42:28.840 What would you say?

00:42:29.940 30, 40 are doing as well as Europe?

00:42:32.920 So, that's another way to look at it.

00:42:34.920 Anyway, there's a million ways to look at it, and I don't believe we've looked at it all

00:42:39.660 the best ways we can.

00:42:42.520 You are noticing that the, the Ruth Bader Ginsburg stuff has just kicked everything off the news.

00:42:49.120 It makes everything a little bit boring for a while, because there's just really one story,

00:42:54.880 and it's all we're going to talk about for a while.

00:42:58.920 All right.

00:43:01.500 I'm watching your comments.

00:43:03.480 A lot of people are agreeing.

00:43:04.640 There's a 15% plus payment differential for coding COVID on medical bills.

00:43:14.020 Yeah.

00:43:14.600 15% is certainly enough. 0.70

00:43:17.600 Too many variables to compare.

00:43:19.440 That is correct.

00:43:22.940 Oh, somebody's talking about putting, oh, let me, let me bring up this idea.

00:43:27.900 So, President Trump has said publicly that he's probably going to pick a woman, and I think

00:43:34.640 that's true.

00:43:35.220 He probably is.

00:43:36.780 Now, here's what's wrong with that.

00:43:40.160 And let me say, before I start, I am completely in favor of a diverse, you know, very diverse

00:43:49.100 Supreme Court.

00:43:50.500 I think we're all better off if we've got all the voices, you know, accounted for.

00:43:55.640 So long as everybody's capable to do the job, that's all great.

00:43:59.860 And, obviously, there are plenty of capable people.

00:44:03.760 I'm just saying, as long as you have capable people, it would also be good to have them diverse.

00:44:10.500 But, we have this thing called the Constitution.

00:44:14.620 And we have this thing called the Supreme Court, whose job it is to uphold it.

00:44:18.780 But, how is it constitutional for the President of the United States to say that he can't pick 0.99

00:44:25.680 me for the Supreme Court because of my cock? 0.99

00:44:29.820 Seriously. 1.00

00:44:31.240 I personally, this is, there's no exaggeration here.

00:44:34.380 I personally have been told by the President of the United States that I would not be eligible,

00:44:40.820 not that there was much risk I was going to get picked.

00:44:43.280 But, let's say, Ted Cruz, you know, somebody who actually would be in the top 20 or whatever,

00:44:50.480 he can't get the job.

00:44:52.380 Do you know why Ted Cruz can't get the job? 1.00

00:44:54.880 His cock. 0.99

00:44:56.840 Do you think that if somebody sued the President of the United States for job discrimination 0.99

00:45:01.660 and said, hey, you're saying right out loud that you're not going to even consider a man,

00:45:06.300 what's up with that?

00:45:08.560 And, what about, what about your genders that are not either male or female entirely?

00:45:16.320 What about all of your in-between genders?

00:45:19.240 You know, your shades and your, you know, various, what would be the best way to say it?

00:45:25.640 The rainbow of different, you know, genders.

00:45:29.800 What about all that?

00:45:32.880 You know, don't we care about that anymore?

00:45:35.580 What about transsexual?

00:45:39.280 If you're transsexual, can you be on the Supreme Court? 1.00

00:45:43.380 I don't know.

00:45:44.520 Maybe that's okay as long as you've transitioned in the right direction.

00:45:49.900 Maybe, so here's what I'd ask you.

00:45:53.440 If somebody sued the President of the United States, which I actually think would be a good idea,

00:45:58.560 if somebody sued the President of the United States and said that is job discrimination,

00:46:05.280 you're saying that men can't have this job, where is that in the Constitution?

00:46:11.120 I would like a constitutional ruling from the Supreme Court about whether the President can limit his choices to one gender.

00:46:19.700 I don't think that's going to pass constitutional muster.

00:46:22.940 Am I wrong about this?

00:46:24.040 Can somebody who's smarter than I am about the law tell me, am I just off in outer space here?

00:46:32.240 Or is it completely obvious that what the President is doing by limiting his choice to a woman,

00:46:39.920 or even just saying it, you know, we don't have the actual choice yet,

00:46:44.180 but even just saying it in public and saying this is what I'm looking for,

00:46:48.060 is there anybody who could argue that that is constitutional?

00:46:53.940 Because it looks to me like grossly illegal.

00:46:58.840 It looks to me as illegal as anything could ever be.

00:47:03.320 Now, I do not have this feeling about somebody running for office.

00:47:08.140 Different situation.

00:47:09.120 If somebody says, hey, I'm running to be a senator or a president,

00:47:14.440 and I think we need more women in this job, you know, give us more representation or whatever, 1.00

00:47:21.520 that doesn't seem illegal to me, because that's a case of the public gets to vote.

00:47:26.880 And that's just one of the variables.

00:47:28.380 It's like, oh, I care about that variable or I don't, but I get to vote.

00:47:32.420 It's not like a job.

00:47:34.580 But the Supreme Court is picked like a job interview.

00:47:40.420 It's, you know, I don't get to vote on the Supreme Court.

00:47:43.120 If I did, I'd be fine with that.

00:47:45.320 If I got to vote on the Supreme Court, along with all of you,

00:47:48.960 you know, if all the voters got to vote on the Supreme Court,

00:47:52.140 and somebody was saying, yeah, we should have a woman replace RGB, no problem at all. 1.00

00:47:57.680 I would have no problem with that at all.

00:48:01.180 So, somebody says, I think you're off, but what would be the reason?

00:48:12.560 Somebody is laughing, white privileged?

00:48:15.120 I don't even know.

00:48:16.320 See, you can't tell a parody from reality anymore.

00:48:19.240 So, people are making comments with little laughy faces,

00:48:22.220 and I don't even know if you're agreeing with me or disagreeing with me.

00:48:25.400 That's how weird things are.

00:48:26.780 Somebody says, this is playing the lefty's game.

00:48:32.280 Well, saying in advance that you're going to pick a woman is definitely playing the lefty's game. 0.94

00:48:37.520 Maybe he was speaking of someone specific.

00:48:43.340 I don't think that helps.

00:48:46.280 I mean, maybe that would be a defense, but I don't think that's what's happening necessarily.

00:48:51.380 Because there are, apparently there are two women who have risen to the top of the likely list. 0.96

00:48:57.220 So, it's not just one woman.

00:49:01.340 It's his choice, man or woman.

00:49:03.600 Well, it is his choice, but if you say to the public that you're limiting it by gender, is it still legal?

00:49:13.020 I don't know.

00:49:13.780 It could be.

00:49:14.280 You know, I would be willing to believe that it's not, it wouldn't be treated like regular employment.

00:49:21.200 And if the president has complete power to do what the president wants, well, maybe it doesn't matter.

00:49:27.220 Maybe he can be, maybe he could be completely discriminatory and, and sexist.

00:49:37.480 President picks and he disclosed and you vote for the president.

00:49:41.620 Hmm.

00:49:44.280 Read my comments and you will see the reason, somebody says, although I don't see where your comment is.

00:49:53.200 As long as he gives the opportunity to all, he can say anything.

00:49:56.820 He's not giving the opportunity to all.

00:49:59.120 That's the opposite of what he's doing.

00:50:03.580 All right.

00:50:06.460 He's not discriminating.

00:50:08.240 How is he not discriminating?

00:50:09.540 Who breaks a tie?

00:50:15.440 That's a good question.

00:50:16.660 What happens if the Supreme Court has a tie?

00:50:19.160 You know, one of the reasons you don't want to elect me for president is that I would, I would lock up the Supreme Court if I could.

00:50:28.620 I would try to make it a tie.

00:50:32.260 So if there were more conservatives than liberals, I would add a liberal.

00:50:36.900 If it was the other way, I'd add a conservative.

00:50:39.360 And if I were president, I would make the Supreme Court eight people, four and four.

00:50:45.400 I wouldn't even replace, I wouldn't even replace a ninth, ninth person.

00:50:49.600 Do you know why?

00:50:51.640 The reason is this.

00:50:53.260 If the Supreme Court can't make a decision that breaks out of the liberal and or conservative silos, hell with it.

00:51:04.500 I don't want them to do anything.

00:51:06.560 If the only reason that a decision goes one way is you have more liberal or you have more conservative judges,

00:51:13.660 if that's the reason the decision went the way it went, that's not legitimate.

00:51:19.980 I mean, it's the law.

00:51:22.260 It's legitimate in terms of that is the system that we've all bought into.

00:51:26.420 But it doesn't seem to me like a good idea.

00:51:29.220 I only want things that somebody is willing to...

00:51:33.340 Here, we'll take care of this for you.

00:51:37.240 Whoever said boring and stayed on here, you're blocked.

00:51:42.060 It's okay to be bored and then leave.

00:51:44.900 But don't be bored and then tell me you're bored.

00:51:48.460 Just leave.

00:51:49.980 You got a choice.

00:51:51.260 All right.

00:51:53.720 Somebody says tie goes to the lower court decision.

00:51:56.980 Oh, that makes sense.

00:51:57.820 Right.

00:51:58.200 So it doesn't get to the Supreme Court until the lower court is ruled.

00:52:01.980 If the Supreme Court is tie, somebody is saying, and it sounds right,

00:52:06.240 that that means there's no decision at the Supreme Court,

00:52:08.740 so the lower court ruling would stand.

00:52:11.860 Seems reasonable.

00:52:14.060 All right.

00:52:16.480 That's all for now, and I will talk to you later.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 20, 2020

Episode 1130 Scott Adams： Supreme Court Gender Discrimination, How to Escape a BLM Mob, Beta Storms Aplenty, Schumer Threats

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