Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1150 Scott Adams： Biden and Kim Jong-Un and Hillary Email

00:00:00.000 Well, with any luck, we will have spectacular sound, both on Periscope and YouTube.

00:00:14.640 Can somebody tell me if they can hear me?

00:00:19.200 Hope you can. Well, it looks like you can. Good, good, good, good.

00:00:23.540 Let's see if this all works out.

00:00:25.220 Now, who texts me when they know that I'm about to go on Periscope?

00:00:33.820 All right. Let's talk about all the things.

00:00:38.920 It's a wonderful day.

00:00:41.980 It might be one of the best days ever.

00:00:44.040 At least it's starting that way, because you're here with me.

00:00:49.100 Let me turn off that phone.

00:00:50.640 All right.

00:00:52.040 All right. Everybody, are you ready for the best part of the day?

00:00:58.240 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

00:01:02.120 All you need is a cup of mugger.

00:01:06.680 Let me start. Hold on. Hold on.

00:01:10.040 I'm going to completely back up.

00:01:13.080 All right.

00:01:13.440 Don't text me when I'm starting to Periscope, please.

00:01:19.920 So if anybody's listening to me and you're thinking,

00:01:22.500 hey, you know what would be a good time to text Scott?

00:01:25.780 It would be exactly when he's starting the simultaneous sip,

00:01:28.840 because I'm way too dumb to turn off my phone, it turns out.

00:01:33.820 But I'm going to fix that problem. 0.88

00:01:35.680 All right.

00:01:37.300 We've got multiple devices here.

00:01:39.500 It's hard to coordinate.

00:01:40.380 All right. We're restarting.

00:01:45.300 Serenity now.

00:01:47.260 How would you like to have the simultaneous sip?

00:01:49.580 I know you would.

00:01:50.360 And all you need is a cup or mugger, a glass of tanker,

00:01:52.680 chalice, or sign, a canteen drink, a glass of vessel of any kind.

00:01:56.000 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:57.580 I like coffee.

00:01:58.700 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine

00:02:01.540 to the end of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:02:04.280 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:02:07.080 And watch how much better you feel after you drink this.

00:02:10.200 Go.

00:02:14.080 Yeah?

00:02:14.900 Yeah?

00:02:15.580 I was right, wasn't I?

00:02:17.520 As soon as you took that sip,

00:02:19.900 things started looking better, didn't they?

00:02:22.620 Quite remarkable, if you think about it.

00:02:25.020 Let's talk about what's going on in the world.

00:02:27.360 So yesterday I did a sound check just to see if I could get my microphone working.

00:02:35.820 And I got 48,000 views on a video that just said sound test only.

00:02:46.100 That's all it said.

00:02:47.500 And it was nothing but a test of my audio.

00:02:50.900 And I got 48,000 views.

00:02:53.480 So that tells you how worked up everybody is about the election.

00:03:00.280 Because in a normal time, that would have been some tiny fraction of that.

00:03:05.420 People were just curious.

00:03:07.500 But we've got a lot going on today.

00:03:11.680 So I tweeted a video by Russell Brand.

00:03:15.500 You all know Russell Brand, famous comedian slash actor.

00:03:20.240 And he does a take on Trump that is very similar to mine.

00:03:28.200 But it's interesting to hear it come from somebody else.

00:03:31.520 And it's interesting to hear it come from somebody in another country.

00:03:35.960 So Russell Brand is sitting over there in the UK.

00:03:38.540 And his take on Trump is so close to mine in terms of talking about his communication style and how he can simplify and cut right to the point and get to the heart of the matter.

00:03:52.260 So you ought to see that.

00:03:53.420 First of all, he's very entertaining.

00:03:55.420 And then second, the message will look familiar.

00:04:00.380 And I thought to myself, was it Dr. Fauci or Dr. Birx who taught him that if he needs to cough, he needs to pull his mask down and cough directly into his hand?

00:04:25.040 And I'm thinking, I don't know if that was the best example of following the expert advice.

00:04:32.800 But every time somebody coughs in today's world, you're automatically scared to death.

00:04:42.120 Do you remember when if somebody coughed around you, you'd say to yourself, huh, it looks like somebody's coughing.

00:04:49.860 There's a small chance that I might catch a cold, you might have said to yourself.

00:04:56.200 But now if somebody coughs anywhere within 100 yards of me, the first thing I think is, I might be dead now.

00:05:03.580 I might be dead.

00:05:05.400 Could be gone.

00:05:10.700 So just watching Biden cough is like wondering if you're seeing the future.

00:05:15.300 Because admit it, we don't want to see Biden or anybody else get coronavirus because we're good people.

00:05:23.620 So we don't want anything bad to happen to anybody.

00:05:26.780 That's just a general rule of my periscopes.

00:05:30.640 But that said, the simulation or whatever the heck this universe is, kind of wants things to be interesting this year.

00:05:40.140 So 2020 is the year that everything interesting is going to happen, apparently.

00:05:45.300 So under that condition, what are the odds that Joe Biden would catch coronavirus?

00:05:53.200 It would be completely transforming, wouldn't it?

00:05:58.200 Because the biggest complaint about Trump is that he can't even follow basic hygiene and recommendations.

00:06:06.880 And look what happened.

00:06:08.460 He got the coronavirus.

00:06:09.340 But what would happen if the day before Election Day, just putting that out there, what would happen if the day before Election Day, you heard that Joe Biden, who had apparently followed every recommendation, also got the coronavirus?

00:06:25.180 What would that do to do to the entire narrative?

00:06:30.140 It would kind of, you know, it wouldn't, because it's anecdotal and it's just one example of one person, it shouldn't mean anything.

00:06:37.760 Because we know the coronavirus can spread pretty easily.

00:06:41.060 It shouldn't mean anything.

00:06:42.980 But the way our brains are wired, it would completely change how you see it.

00:06:46.380 So if Joe Biden isn't doing absolutely everything he can to stay away from that coronavirus for the next few weeks, you ought to kick it up a notch.

00:06:58.840 The other possibility, imagine Joe Biden winning the election, immediately getting coronavirus and being, you know, less capable of recovering.

00:07:08.860 Then you've got President Kamala Harris.

00:07:13.160 So I recommended that President Trump offer to debate Kamala Harris.

00:07:21.780 Now, what's the first thing that you think when you hear that?

00:07:25.520 You think, oh, that's just sort of a funny suggestion.

00:07:28.720 You know, you would never have the presidential candidate debate a vice presidential candidate.

00:07:35.240 Doesn't make any sense at all, does it?

00:07:37.140 Except it does, because Biden has even said he's looking to be a transitional candidate, which means a one-term president, which means he'd be lucky if he serves one term.

00:07:49.940 So don't you want to see the difference between Trump and Kamala Harris?

00:07:55.300 Because that might be, you know, you could put odds on it, 20%, I don't know, 20% chance that she might actually be a sitting president in the next four years.

00:08:05.900 Something like that.

00:08:07.480 I think that that would be entirely legitimate for the public.

00:08:12.880 Now, as I've said before, Trump tends to do things that you think, well, you can't do that.

00:08:21.380 That's never been done before.

00:08:23.100 So obviously that will never be, oh, he just did it.

00:08:26.480 Well, it would be too provocative to do, okay, he just did it.

00:08:30.380 That's the story of Trump, right?

00:08:33.480 If it makes sense, but you're still not supposed to do it, for some reason it doesn't make a lot of sense, he'll do it.

00:08:41.480 Because if it makes sense to do it, why not do it?

00:08:45.660 That's one of the benefits he brings to the job.

00:08:48.520 It was a focus group out in Michigan, swing voters, and they said that Harris, one of them said Harris is why she was going to vote for Trump, because, quote, Biden's not going to make it four years, so Kamala Harris is going to be president, and I have zero trust she can be president.

00:09:06.200 So there are Democrats, because I guess some people agreed with this thought in the focus group, so there are at least some Democrats who would say, yeah, I prefer Joe Biden, but I don't prefer Kamala Harris.

00:09:21.840 And if you think about it, that should be obvious, because Kamala Harris didn't even make it very far in the primaries. 0.84

00:09:28.000 So we know Kamala Harris is not terribly popular with her own side.

00:09:32.180 And if they come to see her as the primary candidate, that might make a difference. 0.60

00:09:39.380 So, as I said before, if Joe Biden coughs in public maybe one more time, it's really going to look like a President Kamala Harris situation.

00:09:51.440 And then, you know, President Trump has every right, it would be completely reasonable, to offer to debate Kamala Harris.

00:10:01.060 I'm not even joking about that.

00:10:03.360 That is a completely legitimate request.

00:10:06.780 I don't think it will happen, but it would be legitimate.

00:10:10.920 So Trump was on the Rush Limbaugh show yesterday, and he dropped the F-bomb.

00:10:18.620 And one of the things I mentioned to you is that when I was on Prednizone, I mentioned it too often,

00:10:25.140 but it's a type of steroid.

00:10:28.560 As the President was on a type of steroid, he says he's off all meds now, but, you know, take that with a grain of salt.

00:10:36.740 I don't know what it means to be off all meds, because some of them linger in your body.

00:10:41.220 But one of the things I found is that I got real aggressive, and I couldn't stop swearing on Prednizone.

00:10:51.380 And some of you saw it in real time, right?

00:10:53.720 I was telling you how I was feeling, and then I was modeling it, and none of that was fake.

00:10:59.720 That was really, really who I became, and I was just telling you as it happened.

00:11:04.800 And hearing the President of the United States drop an F-bomb in front of the whole world on a Rush Limbaugh show,

00:11:14.940 that, again, was that little bit of a red flag that says,

00:11:19.580 would he do that under normal circumstances?

00:11:24.640 He might.

00:11:26.160 It's entirely possible, right?

00:11:28.280 So you can't say, okay, there's your smoking gun.

00:11:33.000 And he used that F-word.

00:11:34.740 He never would have done that if not for the meds he was on.

00:11:38.040 With Trump, you can't really say that, because he's unpredictable in exactly that way.

00:11:43.320 But it certainly raised this eyebrow.

00:11:45.840 When I heard it, it was like, sounds a little familiar.

00:11:50.040 I know what it's like to feel a little aggressive and maybe drop some F-bombs that you wouldn't under normal circumstances.

00:11:58.040 But I did like the way he did it.

00:12:00.120 You know, I've often said that there's a good way to swear and a bad way.

00:12:05.660 The bad way to swear is to just do it all the time in your normal language.

00:12:10.580 Then it looks uncreative, and you also get used to it, and then it doesn't mean anything.

00:12:15.940 It's just background bad noise.

00:12:19.860 But if you don't swear all the time, and you pick your spots, and people go, whoa, wasn't expecting that,

00:12:29.480 it serves to highlight a point if it's the only thing you want people to remember.

00:12:34.340 What is the other thing you remember from the Rush Limbaugh interview?

00:12:40.220 Name one thing you know about it.

00:12:42.160 Now, I didn't listen to it, so the only thing I know is what the coverage was.

00:12:46.440 So whatever the coverage was is all I've heard.

00:12:52.960 So I've heard exactly one thing about that entire event,

00:12:56.740 and it was that the president was talking about Iran and said about Iran,

00:13:02.740 quote, if you F around with us, you're going to be in a lot of trouble, basically.

00:13:08.660 So he was telling Iran, don't F with us.

00:13:13.860 And I think that was a perfect use of the F word. 0.93

00:13:19.280 That was presidential-level swearing.

00:13:23.000 Because if you're Iran, are you going to hear that message? 0.99

00:13:26.260 Well, you probably hear it just because the president said it.

00:13:29.080 But you're really going to hear it with the F word.

00:13:31.360 And, more importantly, the entire country heard it with the F word.

00:13:37.300 Now, what does that make you think about his threat?

00:13:41.660 Isn't it weird?

00:13:42.620 It doesn't make sense.

00:13:44.120 But it makes it more credible, doesn't it?

00:13:46.540 The fact that he used the F word makes the threat more credible. 0.87

00:13:51.340 Now, if he swore every minute of every day in public, it wouldn't mean anything.

00:13:57.260 But because he saved that curse for that moment and for that topic,

00:14:02.080 it really draws your mind to it, you really focus.

00:14:05.840 So that's sort of also what Russell Brand talks about in the video I mentioned.

00:14:10.620 He mentions how the president seems like if you don't know persuasion

00:14:15.720 and you don't know communication

00:14:17.540 and you don't know the ideal way to do this stuff,

00:14:21.340 in a public way.

00:14:23.200 If you don't know that field,

00:14:25.360 it does look like he's randomly thrashing around.

00:14:29.260 Because you wouldn't know why he says the things he does.

00:14:31.660 You would just say, that's provocative.

00:14:33.520 That's not done.

00:14:34.760 That's impolite.

00:14:35.980 That's the wrong word.

00:14:37.900 Don't swear in public.

00:14:38.980 You would have all these generic, low-level comments about it

00:14:44.360 because that's all you would see

00:14:45.980 if you didn't have more of a talent stack.

00:14:48.980 But Russell Brand has a far more complete talent stack

00:14:53.880 that includes acting and humor and communication.

00:14:57.740 He's got a vocabulary like nobody's business.

00:15:00.620 So he's got a whole bunch of skills

00:15:01.940 that are relevant to looking at Trump accurately.

00:15:05.680 And he calls it down pretty well.

00:15:11.940 Apparently, Durham has hinted that there will be no more indictments

00:15:17.040 about the whole Russia hoax stuff

00:15:21.960 and that there might be no more information forthcoming before Election Day.

00:15:27.820 Is that like the biggest letdown ever?

00:15:33.000 That's pretty deflating, isn't it?

00:15:36.480 Because it's starting to look as if,

00:15:39.280 and I guess it's looked like this for a while,

00:15:41.680 that there was a real coup attempt

00:15:43.720 against the legally elected president of the United States

00:15:47.680 and that all of the coup attempt

00:15:50.840 of people will completely get away with it.

00:15:54.600 As of today, it looks like an actual coup attempt

00:15:59.040 where we know the names of the players,

00:16:02.220 we have their own thoughts

00:16:04.400 and their own handwriting in some cases,

00:16:06.920 totally documented, as clear as can be,

00:16:10.540 and there will be no penalty

00:16:13.020 for the primary people involved.

00:16:17.900 Now, is there a defense?

00:16:20.540 If it went to trial, would they win?

00:16:24.420 Is there enough reasonable doubt

00:16:26.980 that there wouldn't be a conviction anyway?

00:16:29.700 I don't know.

00:16:31.520 I'm not really an expert on the law.

00:16:36.200 So I don't know.

00:16:38.480 But does the country deserve that?

00:16:40.540 Trial.

00:16:41.620 I think we do.

00:16:43.280 I feel like we deserve that.

00:16:45.880 Meaning that things were done

00:16:47.960 that created enough reasonable doubt,

00:16:51.260 at least reasonable doubt that the law was obeyed,

00:16:54.940 so I'm using it in a reverse way this way,

00:16:57.460 that we should know the answer to that.

00:17:00.280 I don't think that this is completely political.

00:17:03.380 It seems like a legal issue to me.

00:17:08.620 All right.

00:17:11.500 But that's going to be disappointing.

00:17:14.180 Apparently, there will be some Hillary emails

00:17:17.260 that will be revealed,

00:17:20.420 but the indication is

00:17:23.880 that they're not going to be interesting.

00:17:26.100 So there will be unredacted Hillary Clinton emails,

00:17:29.920 allegedly some ones that had been deleted before,

00:17:33.460 but are recovered.

00:17:34.600 I would wait to hear what's happening with that.

00:17:38.240 But I would warn you that the Hillary emails

00:17:41.560 will probably be a lot of nothing.

00:17:44.400 It might be something embarrassing in there,

00:17:46.400 and that might be politically useful,

00:17:49.460 but there won't be anything legal in there,

00:17:51.740 I'm pretty sure.

00:17:52.240 By the way, if you're a lawyer,

00:17:56.760 remember, Hillary Clinton is very skilled,

00:18:00.700 very smart, trained attorney,

00:18:03.660 lots of experience.

00:18:05.060 Do you think a trained attorney

00:18:07.020 puts evidence of a crime in an email?

00:18:12.040 It doesn't matter if you have your own server.

00:18:15.360 There's nobody who's a competent lawyer

00:18:18.060 who's going to put indications

00:18:20.060 of their own crime in an email.

00:18:22.600 It just isn't going to happen.

00:18:26.760 DOG is run by Hillary's sympathizers.

00:18:31.040 Somebody's saying,

00:18:32.420 yeah, I think that's at least partially true.

00:18:37.460 All right, according to Rasmussen,

00:18:39.720 Trump earned a 50% monthly job approval in September,

00:18:43.340 which would be up from August,

00:18:45.720 and would be the highest job approval of the year.

00:18:49.400 His previous high was 49% in February.

00:18:52.600 So what would it indicate,

00:18:55.680 if these were normal times,

00:18:58.100 what would it indicate to you

00:18:59.800 if you knew that Trump had a 50% approval level?

00:19:05.020 Under normal times,

00:19:06.600 that pretty much guarantees re-election.

00:19:10.060 All right, that is well into the

00:19:11.880 you're going to get re-elected territory.

00:19:14.180 But these are not normal times.

00:19:18.180 So we now have a situation

00:19:19.800 where we're supposed to listen to the experts,

00:19:22.600 believe the professionals in all ways.

00:19:26.360 But the polls are telling

00:19:28.060 two completely different stories.

00:19:30.580 This Rasmussen poll,

00:19:31.920 and I remind you Rasmussen was

00:19:33.620 one of the most accurate pollsters in 2016.

00:19:36.860 They're saying that this approval level,

00:19:41.440 if it's true,

00:19:42.780 if this holds to be accurate,

00:19:45.760 would pretty much guarantee

00:19:46.940 Trump is going to get re-elected.

00:19:49.280 But the other polls,

00:19:52.080 from the other pollsters,

00:19:53.980 and they do seem that,

00:19:55.660 you know,

00:19:56.100 a lot of smart people are saying

00:19:57.340 they look like suppression polls.

00:19:59.300 They look like polls

00:20:00.600 that are not meant to be accurate.

00:20:02.900 They're meant to cause you to stay home

00:20:05.200 and not vote for Trump.

00:20:07.000 And they're just wildly

00:20:08.760 in the other direction.

00:20:10.480 Now, if those other polls

00:20:12.300 were intentionally fake,

00:20:15.080 what would you expect to happen

00:20:16.820 in the coming weeks?

00:20:18.720 Here's what you would expect

00:20:20.120 if the polls saying

00:20:21.960 that Trump is going to lose

00:20:23.180 by a landslide.

00:20:24.520 If they start immediately tightening

00:20:27.100 and they continue tightening

00:20:28.620 all the way to election day,

00:20:30.480 that means they were never real.

00:20:32.480 That's how you know.

00:20:34.940 Now, I predicted that in 2016.

00:20:38.600 I predicted that the polls would close

00:20:40.560 because here's why.

00:20:43.060 If you're a professional polling company,

00:20:45.320 you don't want your final prediction,

00:20:47.540 the one that everybody will remember,

00:20:49.700 the one just before the election,

00:20:51.360 you don't want that prediction

00:20:52.900 to be way off

00:20:53.960 because that's the one

00:20:56.120 you'll be remembered for.

00:20:57.460 But all the ones before that,

00:20:59.560 you can be off as much as you want

00:21:01.420 and you can just say,

00:21:03.020 well, we were right before

00:21:04.140 and now we're right again.

00:21:08.880 It's just that things changed.

00:21:10.560 So we were never incorrect.

00:21:12.760 That's the story they could tell.

00:21:14.400 But they have to close the gap

00:21:16.220 and get it real close

00:21:18.020 right before the election.

00:21:20.060 In other words,

00:21:20.760 get it close to what it might actually be

00:21:22.460 before the election

00:21:23.320 so that they can say,

00:21:24.760 well, we only missed it by 2%.

00:21:26.440 Not too bad, right?

00:21:29.360 Only off 2%.

00:21:30.760 Now, is there a chance

00:21:34.280 that the actual voting preferences

00:21:37.600 will change by that much

00:21:39.880 between now and Election Day?

00:21:41.520 Is that possible?

00:21:43.320 Well, suppose there are

00:21:44.660 no more big surprises

00:21:45.920 because you would have to come up

00:21:48.940 with a really big surprise

00:21:50.620 to move the polls

00:21:52.380 five points, let's say,

00:21:56.060 before Election Day.

00:21:57.280 What would it take

00:21:58.760 in this country

00:21:59.800 where people have made up

00:22:00.760 their minds a year ahead of time,

00:22:02.620 what would it take

00:22:03.340 in this environment

00:22:04.280 to move the election

00:22:06.120 five points

00:22:07.460 between now and Election Day?

00:22:10.300 I would say

00:22:11.220 that's about as close

00:22:12.220 to impossible

00:22:12.980 as you can get.

00:22:14.460 But watch it happen,

00:22:16.240 which means

00:22:16.800 they were never real polls.

00:22:17.940 doesn't that mean

00:22:21.540 the polls are engineered?

00:22:23.340 And the answer is

00:22:24.440 it doesn't prove it

00:22:26.540 because it is within the realm

00:22:29.820 of physical possibility

00:22:31.440 that people's opinions

00:22:33.400 could change a lot

00:22:34.440 between now and Election Day.

00:22:36.260 But do you believe that?

00:22:38.460 Because the polls

00:22:39.400 are going to tighten,

00:22:40.840 but I don't believe

00:22:41.860 you'll meet too many people

00:22:43.140 who change their minds

00:22:44.120 between now and Election Day.

00:22:45.420 So it's going to be

00:22:47.480 kind of fishy,

00:22:48.160 that's what I predict.

00:22:52.000 Let's talk about

00:22:53.040 the coronavirus deaths.

00:22:55.320 So officially,

00:22:56.160 there are over 200,000 deaths

00:22:59.640 attributed to coronavirus

00:23:01.180 in this country so far.

00:23:03.580 But according to Ethical Skeptic,

00:23:06.440 who you should follow

00:23:07.640 on Twitter,

00:23:09.140 Ethical Skeptic,

00:23:11.060 the total CDC excess

00:23:13.180 all caused deaths,

00:23:14.620 so these are the extra deaths

00:23:16.820 over the baseline

00:23:17.820 of the normal amount

00:23:19.020 of people who die

00:23:19.820 in a normal year,

00:23:21.160 the baseline is

00:23:23.100 320,000

00:23:26.240 through September.

00:23:28.980 So why would

00:23:30.600 320,000 people extra

00:23:33.160 over what you would expect

00:23:34.820 be dead, 0.96

00:23:36.260 whereas only two-thirds

00:23:37.820 of them,

00:23:38.800 the 200,000 or so,

00:23:40.740 are from what we think

00:23:42.140 to be coronavirus?

00:23:42.880 coronavirus, right?

00:23:47.220 So what's going on there?

00:23:51.080 And here's the really scary part,

00:23:53.420 according to Ethical Skeptic,

00:23:55.620 that even though

00:23:56.740 there are over 100,000 deaths

00:23:59.100 that are excess,

00:24:00.900 that don't have a label on them,

00:24:02.520 they're not coronavirus-specific,

00:24:05.140 that category of the ones

00:24:07.420 that we don't have a reason for

00:24:09.080 is growing twice as fast

00:24:11.200 as COVID deaths.

00:24:13.060 That's right.

00:24:13.880 It's only half as big,

00:24:15.500 100,000,

00:24:16.360 that's a lot,

00:24:17.460 that's a lot of excess deaths,

00:24:19.800 200,000 coronavirus deaths

00:24:22.780 in the same time period,

00:24:24.280 but the 100,000

00:24:25.500 is growing twice as fast.

00:24:27.920 Is that not exactly

00:24:29.860 what most of you expected

00:24:31.660 if the lockdown continues?

00:24:33.580 It's because you're going to see

00:24:34.780 the suicides

00:24:35.640 and the overdoses,

00:24:38.000 and you're going to see

00:24:39.060 reckless behavior,

00:24:40.340 you're just going to see,

00:24:41.340 you're going to see people

00:24:42.140 who maybe didn't go in

00:24:43.780 for their cancer checkup.

00:24:46.200 So that's a pretty scary thing.

00:24:49.640 But I still have

00:24:50.900 a tremendous doubt

00:24:52.300 that we really know

00:24:53.320 the real coronavirus deaths.

00:24:56.160 Here's a,

00:24:57.580 the best hypothesis I have

00:25:00.360 for why these death rates

00:25:02.140 appear to be completely wrong,

00:25:05.060 but might be,

00:25:05.840 they might be right,

00:25:06.680 it's just they don't pass

00:25:07.860 the sniff test

00:25:08.600 even a little bit.

00:25:11.560 And here's why

00:25:12.800 they don't pass the sniff test.

00:25:14.940 If we were not looking

00:25:16.280 at other countries

00:25:17.400 and what's happening

00:25:18.260 in the other countries,

00:25:19.640 I wouldn't see anything wrong

00:25:21.120 with our numbers.

00:25:22.860 You know,

00:25:23.180 our numbers would just be

00:25:24.320 whatever they are.

00:25:25.540 Okay, that's what happened,

00:25:26.940 that's our numbers.

00:25:28.080 So I wouldn't be doubting

00:25:29.220 the American death rate

00:25:30.380 from coronavirus

00:25:31.080 if not that other countries

00:25:33.280 that are not that non-comparable

00:25:36.000 have tiny little death rates

00:25:38.600 that don't make sense.

00:25:40.860 Because even if they did

00:25:42.080 everything right,

00:25:43.760 and even if we did

00:25:44.840 a lot of things wrong,

00:25:46.540 the total number

00:25:47.540 in the death rates

00:25:48.380 still wouldn't make sense.

00:25:50.040 The difference between them

00:25:51.340 and us just can't be explained

00:25:52.880 by us doing things differently

00:25:55.400 or having more obesity.

00:25:57.400 None of it comes close

00:25:58.320 to explaining

00:25:58.920 the gigantic differences.

00:26:00.940 So there's something

00:26:01.640 unexplained.

00:26:02.420 If I had to guess,

00:26:03.500 it would go like this.

00:26:07.580 And somebody speculated this,

00:26:10.420 so I'm not making this up.

00:26:12.360 The speculation is this.

00:26:13.580 If you're in some foreign hospital, 0.96

00:26:16.880 let's say not in the United States,

00:26:18.780 and you have stage 4, 5,

00:26:22.780 whatever the number is,

00:26:23.640 cancer,

00:26:24.560 it's terminal cancer,

00:26:25.520 but you also have coronavirus,

00:26:28.200 what would they call that?

00:26:30.480 If two things were required 0.99

00:26:33.240 to kill you, 0.98

00:26:34.280 which one is the cause 1.00

00:26:35.560 of your death?

00:26:37.200 Right?

00:26:37.620 Because you needed both the cancer

00:26:39.360 and the coronavirus 0.94

00:26:40.920 to kill you. 0.99

00:26:42.040 If you had just the coronavirus, 1.00

00:26:44.120 maybe you would have lived.

00:26:45.280 If you had just the cancer,

00:26:47.840 oh, actually,

00:26:48.480 the cancer,

00:26:49.120 you still would have lived today.

00:26:52.180 It's just that it would have

00:26:54.020 finished you off

00:26:54.880 within a year, perhaps.

00:26:57.000 So which one's the cause of death?

00:26:58.500 If you were not going to be a doctor,

00:27:00.840 if you were not going to be

00:27:01.680 the government,

00:27:02.780 if you were just going to be you,

00:27:05.320 and somebody said,

00:27:06.340 what killed this patient?

00:27:08.200 Here are the conditions.

00:27:09.300 Terminal cancer

00:27:10.060 and coronavirus,

00:27:12.020 but they died

00:27:13.120 the week they got the coronavirus.

00:27:14.960 In the United States,

00:27:16.280 we say,

00:27:16.840 well,

00:27:17.360 it can't be a coincidence

00:27:19.100 that they died

00:27:19.960 when they got the coronavirus.

00:27:21.820 That's not a coincidence.

00:27:23.380 And they died specifically

00:27:24.740 in a way that looks like

00:27:26.480 the coronavirus.

00:27:27.700 It's the coronavirus.

00:27:30.200 If you're in another country,

00:27:32.360 would you say to yourself,

00:27:33.680 this person would have lived

00:27:35.460 if they didn't have cancer?

00:27:38.340 So it's the cancer that killed them.

00:27:41.020 If I had to guess

00:27:42.480 for what is the big

00:27:44.360 unexplained variable

00:27:45.640 that's the difference

00:27:46.720 between other countries and us,

00:27:48.220 I don't think it's leadership.

00:27:50.020 I don't think it's

00:27:50.700 when we did or did not

00:27:52.340 close travel.

00:27:53.320 I don't think it's masks.

00:27:54.580 I don't think it's social distancing.

00:27:57.140 Although I do think

00:27:58.080 all those things matter.

00:27:59.640 I think every one of those

00:28:00.920 contributed to us

00:28:02.580 not getting the result

00:28:03.800 we wanted.

00:28:04.820 But if you added them

00:28:06.280 all together,

00:28:07.000 they wouldn't come close

00:28:08.040 to explaining the difference

00:28:09.280 between our result

00:28:10.680 and some other countries.

00:28:11.800 It has to be the way

00:28:12.540 we count them,

00:28:13.740 I would think.

00:28:15.240 But I could be wrong

00:28:16.280 about that.

00:28:16.740 So I'm still open

00:28:18.220 to another explanation

00:28:19.740 that's better.

00:28:24.280 Let's see.

00:28:25.000 What else we got going on here?

00:28:26.960 You know,

00:28:27.660 we're actually going to have

00:28:28.780 a way to maybe test

00:28:29.980 the hypothesis

00:28:31.520 that the masks

00:28:33.700 and the social distances

00:28:34.900 don't make that much difference.

00:28:37.000 So you know

00:28:37.540 there are notable skeptics

00:28:39.220 who are making the claim

00:28:41.680 that it doesn't really matter

00:28:44.680 if you wear a mask

00:28:45.500 or socially distance.

00:28:46.900 There's just not enough difference

00:28:48.320 to make that worth doing.

00:28:50.240 And then there are

00:28:51.100 lots of experts,

00:28:52.060 in fact,

00:28:52.480 the majority I believe,

00:28:54.000 who say yes,

00:28:54.800 masks definitely work,

00:28:56.160 social distancing

00:28:56.900 definitely works.

00:28:58.160 And it works a lot.

00:29:00.220 It's not just

00:29:00.840 some minor effect.

00:29:01.880 It works a lot.

00:29:03.360 Now,

00:29:03.780 it turns out that Florida

00:29:04.900 is going to go from

00:29:06.760 a lockdown state

00:29:08.720 in which the infections

00:29:10.440 were, you know,

00:29:11.480 relatively under control.

00:29:13.480 They're going to open everything.

00:29:16.140 And it's going to happen fast.

00:29:18.080 Now,

00:29:18.520 I just read one expert

00:29:20.000 who said

00:29:20.560 that that predicts

00:29:23.020 if you believe

00:29:24.260 that masks do work

00:29:26.080 and you believe

00:29:26.680 that social distancing

00:29:27.820 does make a big difference,

00:29:29.700 you should see

00:29:30.460 a massive spike

00:29:31.600 in infections in Florida

00:29:33.100 in, what,

00:29:34.660 10 to 12 weeks,

00:29:35.900 I think somebody said.

00:29:36.700 So here,

00:29:38.960 here's this one expert,

00:29:41.460 Michael Osterholm,

00:29:43.340 director of the

00:29:44.060 Center of Infectious Disease Research

00:29:45.800 in Minnesota,

00:29:47.840 University of Minnesota.

00:29:49.220 So somebody who actually

00:29:50.160 knows infectious diseases

00:29:51.680 said that

00:29:53.540 that because

00:29:55.480 Florida is

00:29:57.040 is reopening,

00:30:01.360 said that

00:30:02.060 that cleared the way

00:30:04.180 for bars and restaurants

00:30:05.240 to fully reopen

00:30:06.000 and

00:30:07.320 that in 10

00:30:09.500 weeks or so

00:30:10.460 we should see

00:30:11.160 them turn into

00:30:12.400 a hot spot.

00:30:13.760 So,

00:30:14.340 place your bets.

00:30:15.860 Ladies and gentlemen,

00:30:17.540 many of you here

00:30:18.460 have said

00:30:19.040 that masks

00:30:19.860 do not work.

00:30:21.480 Raise your hand

00:30:22.300 if you said that

00:30:23.060 masks do not work,

00:30:24.500 not me,

00:30:25.260 because I say they work.

00:30:26.820 Or,

00:30:27.400 specifically,

00:30:28.260 what I say is

00:30:29.000 if you don't know

00:30:30.260 for sure

00:30:30.820 if they work

00:30:32.060 or how well

00:30:32.600 they work,

00:30:33.200 the risk management

00:30:35.040 leads you to say

00:30:36.160 let's wear them

00:30:36.880 just in case.

00:30:38.360 So my take

00:30:39.220 on masks is

00:30:40.180 I think they work.

00:30:42.480 My common sense,

00:30:44.000 my reasoning,

00:30:45.840 the data I've seen

00:30:46.940 tell me they work.

00:30:49.160 But even if I'm wrong,

00:30:50.920 the risk management

00:30:51.700 says

00:30:52.140 go ahead

00:30:53.480 and wear them.

00:30:54.360 Now,

00:30:56.040 so how many of you

00:30:57.880 who believe masks

00:30:59.040 don't make a difference

00:31:00.060 are you willing to bet

00:31:01.700 that Florida

00:31:02.980 will stay

00:31:03.620 relatively under control?

00:31:05.920 Because if the masks

00:31:07.380 and the distancing

00:31:08.200 really,

00:31:09.060 really were the key,

00:31:10.880 wouldn't you agree

00:31:11.800 that Florida

00:31:12.340 is going to be

00:31:12.840 a hot spot

00:31:13.380 in a few weeks?

00:31:15.100 So,

00:31:15.740 put your bet down.

00:31:17.200 You no longer,

00:31:18.740 you know,

00:31:19.000 of course,

00:31:19.400 this isn't a scientific

00:31:20.740 or controlled study

00:31:22.160 as you'd want it to be,

00:31:23.040 so it can never be

00:31:24.060 full confirmation.

00:31:26.340 But,

00:31:26.700 don't you think

00:31:27.700 there's a probability

00:31:29.060 that's pretty high

00:31:30.140 that if masks

00:31:32.920 are the key,

00:31:34.060 Florida's going to be 0.98

00:31:34.780 a hot spot?

00:31:35.620 If it isn't,

00:31:37.240 there's something else

00:31:38.380 going on

00:31:39.080 that we don't

00:31:40.240 quite understand.

00:31:42.140 All right.

00:31:42.940 Chris Christie

00:31:43.540 was released

00:31:44.460 from the hospital

00:31:45.160 after a week.

00:31:45.880 I guess he got

00:31:46.400 remdesivir.

00:31:47.640 Now,

00:31:48.180 is that the best news

00:31:50.100 you've ever heard

00:31:50.740 in your life?

00:31:51.340 I suppose

00:31:53.040 it's been

00:31:53.420 so much

00:31:53.820 you like

00:31:54.140 Chris Christie,

00:31:55.200 but I'm not

00:31:55.880 talking about him

00:31:56.660 in particular.

00:31:59.400 So,

00:32:00.000 this comment

00:32:00.580 is not about

00:32:01.360 him as a person

00:32:02.380 or a politician.

00:32:03.780 This is a comment

00:32:04.800 about him

00:32:05.460 as a patient.

00:32:07.580 If you have

00:32:08.420 a patient

00:32:08.880 who looks like

00:32:09.980 Chris Christie,

00:32:11.040 and I don't do

00:32:11.920 fat shaming

00:32:12.520 because I just

00:32:13.880 don't believe in it,

00:32:15.040 I don't believe

00:32:15.720 in free will,

00:32:17.080 therefore,

00:32:17.680 I don't do

00:32:18.080 fat shaming,

00:32:18.620 but objectively

00:32:21.320 speaking,

00:32:22.420 he is exactly

00:32:23.360 the guy you think

00:32:24.280 is going to die

00:32:24.900 from coronavirus.

00:32:26.120 Am I right?

00:32:27.380 Wouldn't you say,

00:32:28.300 when you saw

00:32:28.760 Chris Christie

00:32:29.460 went into the

00:32:30.040 hospital with

00:32:30.640 coronavirus,

00:32:31.880 did you not

00:32:32.740 say to yourself,

00:32:34.180 uh-oh,

00:32:35.640 that's one you've

00:32:36.400 got to keep an eye

00:32:37.000 on?

00:32:38.240 And then he

00:32:39.360 walks out of the

00:32:40.020 hospital a week

00:32:40.780 later,

00:32:41.920 being treated

00:32:42.600 with a drug

00:32:43.800 that was made

00:32:44.700 to do exactly

00:32:45.460 what it did,

00:32:46.120 apparently it

00:32:46.620 worked,

00:32:46.920 in the comments

00:32:52.900 somebody's saying,

00:32:53.720 why worry about

00:32:54.360 a cold with

00:32:55.340 such a low

00:32:55.940 death rate?

00:32:57.340 How could you

00:32:58.200 get this far,

00:32:59.620 how could you

00:33:00.760 get this far

00:33:01.380 into the

00:33:01.780 pandemic and

00:33:03.220 still think that

00:33:04.040 the coronavirus

00:33:04.580 isn't that

00:33:05.420 dangerous?

00:33:07.620 How can you

00:33:08.580 still have that

00:33:09.420 opinion?

00:33:10.860 Because I'm

00:33:11.900 pretty sure a

00:33:12.440 few hundred

00:33:12.780 thousand people

00:33:13.440 have died from

00:33:14.120 it just in this

00:33:15.040 country,

00:33:15.400 and the

00:33:16.600 number of

00:33:16.960 people who

00:33:17.300 died from

00:33:17.960 the regular

00:33:18.760 flu?

00:33:20.020 That is a

00:33:20.880 lie.

00:33:21.560 If you think

00:33:22.060 it was ever

00:33:22.500 50 to 100

00:33:23.340 thousand people

00:33:24.020 were dying

00:33:24.500 from the

00:33:24.940 regular flu,

00:33:26.480 find one.

00:33:28.160 Go find me

00:33:29.120 somebody who

00:33:29.560 died from

00:33:29.940 the regular

00:33:30.380 flu.

00:33:31.260 It's not

00:33:31.960 real.

00:33:33.120 We never

00:33:33.720 had 50 to

00:33:34.620 100 thousand

00:33:35.200 people dying

00:33:35.860 from the

00:33:36.320 regular flu.

00:33:37.880 That was the

00:33:38.820 number that

00:33:40.080 was wrong.

00:33:41.200 We were

00:33:41.780 misdirected like

00:33:42.660 a magic trick.

00:33:43.420 The magic trick

00:33:44.780 is to make

00:33:45.220 you look at

00:33:45.640 the wrong

00:33:46.000 hand.

00:33:47.560 We kept

00:33:48.020 looking at

00:33:48.540 the deaths

00:33:49.120 from coronavirus

00:33:49.800 and saying,

00:33:51.020 hey, I'm not

00:33:51.540 sure those

00:33:51.940 are real.

00:33:52.920 Hey, those

00:33:54.180 coronavirus deaths

00:33:55.160 don't look

00:33:55.660 entirely

00:33:56.100 believable in

00:33:57.200 some cases.

00:33:58.240 But that was

00:33:58.960 the distraction.

00:34:00.480 The real

00:34:01.260 number you

00:34:01.760 should have

00:34:02.100 looked at is

00:34:02.780 that the

00:34:03.140 regular flu

00:34:03.880 numbers were

00:34:04.600 never real.

00:34:06.400 And nobody

00:34:07.600 claims they

00:34:08.340 were.

00:34:08.900 You can't

00:34:09.560 find the

00:34:09.960 other argument.

00:34:11.160 You can find

00:34:11.780 an argument that

00:34:12.460 says, oh,

00:34:12.960 these seem to

00:34:14.060 be exaggerated.

00:34:15.040 It doesn't

00:34:15.340 seem that

00:34:15.820 anything like

00:34:16.760 this is really

00:34:17.360 happening.

00:34:18.260 50 to 100

00:34:19.080 thousand people

00:34:19.740 dying of a

00:34:20.400 regular flu.

00:34:21.900 No evidence

00:34:22.580 of that.

00:34:23.360 Have you ever

00:34:23.900 met anybody

00:34:24.460 who died of

00:34:25.460 the regular

00:34:25.900 flu?

00:34:26.500 Probably not.

00:34:28.240 So, if

00:34:30.040 you're not

00:34:30.860 a skeptic on

00:34:32.260 data before

00:34:33.860 the pandemic,

00:34:34.640 you should be

00:34:35.100 one after.

00:34:37.260 You know, I

00:34:38.100 don't think we

00:34:38.620 can underestimate.

00:34:40.300 No, I don't

00:34:40.760 think we can

00:34:41.480 overestimate.

00:34:42.960 I don't think

00:34:43.740 we could

00:34:44.020 underestimate.

00:34:44.820 It's one of

00:34:45.240 those.

00:34:45.680 I always get

00:34:46.220 those backwards. 0.60

00:34:47.700 But the

00:34:48.280 effect of this

00:34:48.980 pandemic on

00:34:49.980 our thinking

00:34:51.020 about climate

00:34:52.440 change is

00:34:53.540 gigantic.

00:34:55.180 Because the

00:34:55.860 thing with

00:34:56.220 climate change

00:34:56.900 is there are

00:34:57.300 a bunch of

00:34:57.720 experts making

00:34:58.580 a bunch of

00:34:59.180 claims.

00:35:00.340 And the

00:35:00.540 people who

00:35:00.940 are not

00:35:01.240 experts are

00:35:02.060 trying their

00:35:02.540 best to

00:35:03.780 understand if

00:35:04.700 the experts

00:35:05.260 are conning

00:35:06.720 them.

00:35:07.960 Now, what

00:35:08.600 happens if you

00:35:09.280 go through the

00:35:09.860 pandemic and

00:35:10.760 your conclusion

00:35:11.580 is that the

00:35:12.760 experts were

00:35:13.560 wrong more

00:35:14.960 than you think

00:35:15.480 any expert

00:35:16.040 should ever be

00:35:16.640 wrong, and

00:35:17.960 that they might

00:35:18.480 have been

00:35:18.740 conning you?

00:35:20.380 What's that

00:35:20.980 going to make

00:35:21.340 you think about

00:35:21.960 climate change?

00:35:23.260 Because even

00:35:23.920 though they're

00:35:24.320 completely different

00:35:25.400 situations, you

00:35:26.960 should not be

00:35:27.640 taking what you

00:35:28.300 learned in one

00:35:29.040 and transferring

00:35:30.040 it over to the

00:35:30.740 other.

00:35:31.040 They're just too

00:35:31.520 different.

00:35:32.540 But you will.

00:35:33.560 Well, you

00:35:34.700 don't have a

00:35:35.780 choice.

00:35:36.780 Your brain is

00:35:37.540 wired to put

00:35:39.060 things in

00:35:39.580 buckets where

00:35:40.940 those things

00:35:42.020 that end up

00:35:42.560 in the bucket

00:35:42.980 look similar

00:35:44.580 in some ways.

00:35:46.300 Your brain is

00:35:47.160 a compartmentalizer.

00:35:49.460 It puts things

00:35:50.040 in categories.

00:35:51.120 It wants to

00:35:51.620 say this is

00:35:52.260 like that other

00:35:52.940 thing.

00:35:53.720 It makes

00:35:54.140 analogies.

00:35:54.840 It does it

00:35:55.220 automatically.

00:35:56.220 You can't

00:35:56.660 turn it off.

00:35:58.040 So the

00:35:58.400 analogies and

00:35:59.600 the feelings

00:36:00.620 and the

00:36:01.400 patterns that

00:36:02.880 you take away

00:36:03.480 from the

00:36:03.980 pandemic

00:36:04.400 situation,

00:36:05.740 you will

00:36:06.340 apply them

00:36:07.980 to climate

00:36:09.000 change even

00:36:09.620 if you didn't

00:36:10.120 want to.

00:36:11.080 Even if your

00:36:11.720 conscious brain

00:36:12.480 is saying,

00:36:13.040 no, that

00:36:13.360 doesn't make

00:36:13.760 sense.

00:36:14.080 They're too

00:36:14.360 different.

00:36:15.340 You will

00:36:15.860 apply them.

00:36:16.720 And it will

00:36:17.160 change how

00:36:17.620 you think

00:36:17.920 about climate

00:36:18.640 change.

00:36:21.340 All right.

00:36:23.420 Kim Jong-un

00:36:24.220 allegedly was

00:36:28.140 on video.

00:36:30.180 He appeared

00:36:30.600 in public for

00:36:31.300 a big North

00:36:32.540 Korea celebration

00:36:33.440 I guess they

00:36:34.360 held it at

00:36:34.900 midnight.

00:36:36.120 So at

00:36:36.720 12 a.m.

00:36:37.900 they have a

00:36:38.380 giant parade

00:36:39.180 and celebration

00:36:39.840 which is way

00:36:40.580 past my

00:36:41.020 bedtime.

00:36:42.300 But I guess

00:36:42.680 it worked

00:36:43.020 over there.

00:36:44.200 And here

00:36:45.040 are the

00:36:45.700 here's the

00:36:46.880 interesting

00:36:47.280 thing about

00:36:47.980 it.

00:36:49.300 Now I

00:36:50.300 believe I'm

00:36:50.840 the only

00:36:51.240 person who

00:36:52.000 is talking

00:36:53.080 about this

00:36:53.680 conspiracy

00:36:54.280 theory.

00:36:55.420 And I

00:36:55.760 think if

00:36:56.460 you label

00:36:57.100 your own

00:36:57.580 opinion a

00:36:58.160 conspiracy

00:36:58.640 theory that

00:37:00.060 that should

00:37:00.420 be signal

00:37:01.060 enough how

00:37:02.260 seriously to

00:37:03.020 take this.

00:37:03.940 Okay.

00:37:04.480 So if I'm

00:37:05.500 calling it a

00:37:06.120 conspiracy

00:37:06.520 theory you

00:37:08.160 should not

00:37:08.700 put more

00:37:09.240 credibility in

00:37:10.160 it than I

00:37:10.660 just put it

00:37:11.160 in it myself.

00:37:12.640 But it's

00:37:13.340 fun.

00:37:14.520 And it's one

00:37:15.100 of those things

00:37:15.600 to look for

00:37:16.200 and maybe you

00:37:16.800 can learn

00:37:17.420 something by

00:37:19.020 observing this.

00:37:20.020 And it goes

00:37:20.760 like this.

00:37:21.400 If Kim

00:37:22.640 Jong-un were 0.99

00:37:23.660 alive and

00:37:24.680 healthy, what

00:37:26.340 would you

00:37:26.700 expect to

00:37:27.400 see from

00:37:29.080 a living

00:37:29.960 healthy leader

00:37:31.100 of North

00:37:31.640 Korea? 0.70

00:37:32.460 Well you

00:37:33.120 would expect

00:37:33.600 him to

00:37:34.040 appear on

00:37:34.640 video, which

00:37:36.720 he did, and

00:37:37.880 you would

00:37:38.160 expect to

00:37:38.680 hear him

00:37:39.100 speak, which

00:37:41.140 we have.

00:37:42.020 Apparently he

00:37:42.980 spoke in

00:37:43.460 public so we

00:37:44.280 must have

00:37:44.680 recordings of

00:37:45.300 that somewhere.

00:37:46.500 So therefore

00:37:47.200 he's alive,

00:37:47.960 right?

00:37:48.660 We saw a

00:37:49.480 new video

00:37:50.180 that does

00:37:51.240 look reliably

00:37:52.080 like it's

00:37:52.620 a new

00:37:52.840 video, and

00:37:54.040 we heard

00:37:54.500 that he

00:37:55.300 gave a

00:37:55.620 speech, so

00:37:56.820 now you've

00:37:57.280 heard him,

00:37:58.320 you've seen

00:37:58.900 him, and

00:38:00.320 there's enough

00:38:01.940 evidence that

00:38:02.600 both of them

00:38:03.240 happened recently.

00:38:05.460 So he's

00:38:06.200 alive.

00:38:07.640 It's a done

00:38:08.400 deal, right?

00:38:09.420 And anybody

00:38:10.300 who thinks

00:38:10.840 that maybe he

00:38:11.400 was incapacitated

00:38:12.440 or already

00:38:13.120 dead, well

00:38:14.400 they're wrong

00:38:15.000 because he

00:38:16.440 just proved

00:38:17.020 it, showed

00:38:17.920 up on video,

00:38:19.160 plenty of

00:38:19.680 video, gave

00:38:21.080 a speech.

00:38:22.440 Oh, oh, oh,

00:38:23.300 wait, there's

00:38:24.600 one thing I

00:38:25.080 forgot to

00:38:25.540 tell you.

00:38:27.520 The video

00:38:28.660 shows him

00:38:29.920 walking and

00:38:31.500 interacting with

00:38:32.300 people.

00:38:34.000 The audio

00:38:35.160 is disconnected

00:38:37.980 from the

00:38:39.320 video, meaning

00:38:40.640 that we don't

00:38:41.480 have video that

00:38:42.720 includes audio

00:38:43.740 of him talking.

00:38:46.200 Interesting.

00:38:46.840 because that's

00:38:48.000 exactly the

00:38:48.740 thing you'd

00:38:49.140 expect to

00:38:49.680 see if

00:38:50.660 somebody

00:38:51.060 existed, they

00:38:53.080 were alive, and

00:38:54.400 they were

00:38:54.680 well.

00:38:56.180 When was the

00:38:56.800 last time that

00:38:57.500 you saw a

00:38:58.140 picture of

00:38:58.720 President Trump

00:38:59.540 and then

00:39:00.060 separately you

00:39:01.520 heard the

00:39:01.940 audio of his

00:39:02.700 speech?

00:39:04.060 Well, I think

00:39:04.660 it's happened,

00:39:05.980 but far more

00:39:07.420 likely you would

00:39:08.520 see a video of

00:39:10.040 him speaking.

00:39:11.320 And if Kim

00:39:12.100 Jong-un appeared

00:39:13.300 on the balcony

00:39:14.380 in his nice

00:39:15.220 gray suit, which

00:39:16.200 apparently he did

00:39:17.260 because the video

00:39:17.940 shows that, and

00:39:19.260 he's in front of

00:39:19.940 his adoring crowds

00:39:21.060 and everything, and

00:39:22.280 there's a microphone

00:39:22.960 right in front of

00:39:23.720 him, do you think

00:39:25.500 we wouldn't see

00:39:26.460 at least a little

00:39:28.160 bit of him

00:39:29.920 speaking?

00:39:30.660 Now, we wouldn't

00:39:31.300 understand what he

00:39:32.060 was saying, but

00:39:33.060 still, it would be

00:39:34.120 normal to show

00:39:35.040 just a few

00:39:36.600 seconds of Kim

00:39:38.260 Jong-un speaking

00:39:39.140 to the crowd.

00:39:40.680 Because apparently

00:39:41.540 he did, they

00:39:43.040 say.

00:39:44.380 So, let me

00:39:45.960 say this.

00:39:47.260 The video of

00:39:48.200 Kim Jong-un, in

00:39:49.640 which he is not

00:39:50.400 heard speaking, but

00:39:51.500 he's interacting

00:39:52.180 with kids and

00:39:53.080 with his public,

00:39:55.220 he looks very

00:39:57.500 healthy.

00:39:59.420 In fact, he

00:40:00.520 looks healthier

00:40:01.280 than I have

00:40:02.420 ever seen

00:40:03.140 Kim Jong-un.

00:40:05.860 He looks a

00:40:06.940 little younger

00:40:07.420 even.

00:40:09.020 He looks

00:40:09.660 great.

00:40:10.660 And, I

00:40:11.920 remember Kim

00:40:12.620 Jong-un walking

00:40:13.440 with a bit

00:40:14.160 of a difficulty.

00:40:15.840 Am I

00:40:16.180 wrong?

00:40:17.040 Did he not

00:40:17.600 have, I

00:40:18.300 don't know,

00:40:18.600 gout or

00:40:19.280 something?

00:40:19.980 There was

00:40:20.300 something wrong

00:40:20.800 with his

00:40:21.140 walking?

00:40:22.060 Because this

00:40:22.860 Kim Jong-un,

00:40:24.040 yesterday, he's

00:40:26.340 walking great.

00:40:27.960 He looks

00:40:28.620 totally healthy.

00:40:30.420 He doesn't

00:40:30.660 look like he's

00:40:31.440 breathing hard

00:40:33.620 or anything.

00:40:33.980 So, we've

00:40:35.180 got a

00:40:35.600 suspiciously

00:40:36.820 healthy-looking

00:40:37.620 Kim Jong-un

00:40:38.580 in a country

00:40:40.620 known to

00:40:41.300 have body

00:40:41.900 doubles.

00:40:43.640 Those are

00:40:44.220 just facts.

00:40:45.260 He looks

00:40:45.700 healthier than

00:40:46.300 he's ever

00:40:46.700 looked.

00:40:47.720 He did

00:40:48.240 not speak.

00:40:50.040 And,

00:40:51.980 whatever the

00:40:53.660 other point

00:40:54.060 was.

00:40:54.960 You know,

00:40:55.300 the thing,

00:40:55.920 the thing.

00:40:56.620 I'm talking

00:40:57.140 like Joe

00:40:57.560 Biden now.

00:40:58.060 So, here's

00:41:02.040 the bottom

00:41:03.320 line.

00:41:05.600 Without a

00:41:07.260 video that

00:41:07.980 we know to

00:41:08.460 be current

00:41:09.000 of him

00:41:09.620 speaking, I

00:41:10.760 have to ask

00:41:11.380 this.

00:41:12.920 I've got to

00:41:13.440 ask you

00:41:13.860 this.

00:41:14.620 It might be

00:41:15.260 easy to find

00:41:15.960 somebody who

00:41:16.560 looks like

00:41:17.180 Kim Jong-un.

00:41:19.120 You know,

00:41:19.520 maybe with

00:41:19.920 some plastic

00:41:20.480 surgery, maybe

00:41:21.460 he's got to

00:41:21.840 eat a little

00:41:22.260 more, whatever

00:41:22.800 he needs to

00:41:23.340 do.

00:41:23.720 But you

00:41:24.120 could make

00:41:24.440 somebody look

00:41:25.040 like Kim

00:41:25.480 Jong-un.

00:41:26.280 It also

00:41:27.040 seems quite

00:41:27.680 possible, and

00:41:28.760 not really

00:41:29.260 that hard, to

00:41:30.680 find somebody

00:41:31.360 who could do

00:41:31.820 an impression

00:41:32.400 and sound

00:41:33.300 like Kim

00:41:34.040 Jong-un.

00:41:35.200 But how

00:41:35.880 hard would

00:41:36.440 it be to

00:41:37.600 find somebody

00:41:38.280 who could

00:41:38.920 nail the

00:41:39.620 physical look

00:41:40.520 of Kim

00:41:40.920 Jong-un to

00:41:41.480 the point

00:41:41.800 where you

00:41:42.120 couldn't tell

00:41:42.520 the difference,

00:41:43.460 and also be

00:41:45.700 so talented

00:41:46.480 that that

00:41:47.060 same person

00:41:47.720 could do

00:41:48.220 an impression

00:41:49.680 of his

00:41:50.300 voice.

00:41:51.660 That'd be

00:41:52.300 hard,

00:41:53.480 wouldn't it?

00:41:54.460 But it

00:41:54.820 wouldn't be

00:41:55.260 that hard,

00:41:56.180 or at least

00:41:56.620 it wouldn't

00:41:56.900 be impossible,

00:41:57.680 to find

00:41:58.360 one person

00:41:58.920 who could

00:41:59.200 do the

00:41:59.500 audio and

00:42:00.160 one person

00:42:00.640 who could

00:42:00.940 do the

00:42:01.260 look.

00:42:02.440 So, what

00:42:04.320 are the

00:42:04.540 odds that

00:42:05.120 he's not

00:42:05.940 really alive

00:42:06.720 and not

00:42:07.120 really that

00:42:07.600 guy on the

00:42:08.280 video?

00:42:09.140 I don't

00:42:09.540 know.

00:42:10.440 It's just

00:42:10.860 my own

00:42:11.240 conspiracy

00:42:11.720 theory, so

00:42:12.440 don't take

00:42:13.340 it any more

00:42:13.960 seriously than

00:42:14.620 I do.

00:42:15.920 But I

00:42:16.460 would wonder

00:42:16.880 about his

00:42:17.300 limp.

00:42:18.040 So the 0.99

00:42:18.400 craziest guy 0.86

00:42:19.040 in the 0.97

00:42:19.240 world,

00:42:19.540 Keith

00:42:19.780 Olbermann,

00:42:21.260 also one

00:42:22.080 of the 0.52

00:42:22.280 worst people

00:42:22.800 in the 0.84

00:42:23.040 world.

00:42:23.600 There

00:42:23.880 aren't too

00:42:24.240 many people

00:42:24.760 who I

00:42:25.360 would disagree

00:42:25.940 with that

00:42:26.740 then I

00:42:27.060 would go

00:42:27.360 further and

00:42:27.920 say, this

00:42:28.960 person's a

00:42:29.500 bad person.

00:42:31.120 But with

00:42:31.900 Keith Olbermann,

00:42:32.660 there's something

00:42:33.120 really wrong

00:42:33.800 with this

00:42:34.160 guy.

00:42:35.080 So this

00:42:35.680 is what he

00:42:36.460 said out

00:42:37.120 loud in

00:42:37.720 public.

00:42:39.180 Remember,

00:42:39.900 this is out

00:42:40.580 loud,

00:42:41.680 intentional,

00:42:43.280 written in

00:42:43.980 advance,

00:42:45.260 meant to

00:42:45.800 say it.

00:42:46.440 So this

00:42:46.880 isn't a

00:42:47.360 slip of the

00:42:47.880 tongue.

00:42:48.860 He meant

00:42:49.400 to say

00:42:50.020 every word.

00:42:51.220 Quote,

00:42:51.540 talking about

00:42:52.920 Trump,

00:42:53.420 he says,

00:42:53.880 he and his

00:42:54.380 enablers and

00:42:55.100 his supporters,

00:42:56.220 wait a minute,

00:42:57.600 that's some

00:42:58.060 of us,

00:42:58.960 and his

00:42:59.300 collaborators,

00:43:00.360 collaborators,

00:43:02.060 who are we

00:43:02.560 calling collaborators?

00:43:04.280 And the

00:43:04.700 Mike Lees and

00:43:05.440 the William

00:43:05.860 Bars,

00:43:06.340 oh, okay,

00:43:06.920 I see.

00:43:07.260 He's talking

00:43:07.640 about people

00:43:08.220 who were in

00:43:08.740 the government

00:43:09.260 and worked

00:43:10.440 closely with

00:43:11.360 Trump,

00:43:11.800 okay.

00:43:12.520 And the

00:43:12.860 Mike Pences,

00:43:13.680 yeah,

00:43:14.100 worked closely

00:43:14.780 with Trump.

00:43:15.400 Rudy Giuliani,

00:43:16.220 well,

00:43:17.040 wasn't elected,

00:43:17.800 but he works

00:43:18.260 with Trump.

00:43:19.140 And the

00:43:19.780 Kyle Rittenhouses,

00:43:20.580 what?

00:43:22.660 He just

00:43:23.320 threw Kyle

00:43:24.060 Rittenhouse

00:43:24.620 in the

00:43:25.320 category with

00:43:26.040 Mike Pence,

00:43:26.740 William Barr,

00:43:27.680 and two

00:43:28.340 senators.

00:43:29.800 Kyle Rittenhouse?

00:43:32.000 What are

00:43:32.740 his politics?

00:43:34.380 We don't

00:43:34.900 even know.

00:43:36.920 Nobody knows

00:43:37.580 his politics,

00:43:38.880 do they?

00:43:40.320 But it's

00:43:40.960 not pro

00:43:41.820 or anti-Trump

00:43:42.700 as far as

00:43:43.200 I can tell

00:43:43.780 in any

00:43:45.060 outward way.

00:43:46.720 But then

00:43:46.960 after Kyle

00:43:47.540 Rittenhouse,

00:43:48.000 he says,

00:43:48.460 and the

00:43:48.720 Amy Coney

00:43:49.360 Barrett's,

00:43:50.580 must be

00:43:51.220 prosecuted

00:43:51.960 and convicted

00:43:52.660 and removed

00:43:53.360 from our

00:43:53.800 society.

00:43:54.940 That's right.

00:43:55.640 The woman 0.98

00:43:56.000 who is

00:43:56.520 so qualified

00:43:57.520 that she's

00:43:59.800 being probably

00:44:01.160 put on the

00:44:02.000 Supreme Court,

00:44:04.100 Keith Olbermann,

00:44:05.080 says she must

00:44:05.640 be prosecuted

00:44:06.580 and convicted

00:44:07.240 of,

00:44:09.060 of,

00:44:10.900 what exactly

00:44:11.800 are you going

00:44:12.260 to prosecute

00:44:13.040 and convict

00:44:13.660 Amy Coney

00:44:14.460 Barrett of

00:44:15.220 and put her 0.99

00:44:15.860 in jail?

00:44:16.360 what?

00:44:22.420 Lots of

00:44:23.160 Cicero-style

00:44:23.960 Trump enemies,

00:44:25.280 somebody says.

00:44:27.060 All right.

00:44:29.460 So,

00:44:30.060 and he says,

00:44:31.040 and they

00:44:31.580 almost be

00:44:32.080 destroyed 0.70

00:44:32.640 because Trump

00:44:34.800 turned over

00:44:35.320 the world

00:44:35.700 to a virus.

00:44:36.660 So that's

00:44:37.180 Keith Olbermann.

00:44:38.620 Keith Olbermann

00:44:39.360 is one of the 1.00

00:44:40.320 dumbest, 1.00

00:44:41.000 most evil 1.00

00:44:41.740 people in the

00:44:42.580 world.

00:44:43.780 Years ago,

00:44:44.580 I've told

00:44:44.960 this story

00:44:45.360 before,

00:44:45.880 he invited

00:44:46.420 me on his

00:44:47.100 show that

00:44:47.900 got cancelled

00:44:48.780 a long time

00:44:49.340 ago,

00:44:49.920 and he

00:44:51.140 wanted me

00:44:51.560 to be on

00:44:52.000 the show

00:44:52.560 to address

00:44:53.720 a critic

00:44:54.300 who was also

00:44:55.040 going to be

00:44:55.420 on the show,

00:44:56.260 and the

00:44:56.820 critic was

00:44:57.360 a critic

00:44:57.740 of me.

00:44:59.160 So I was

00:44:59.880 invited on

00:45:00.400 Keith Olbermann's

00:45:01.200 show to

00:45:02.880 get beaten 0.57

00:45:03.460 up by an

00:45:04.580 author who

00:45:05.180 wrote a

00:45:05.520 book who

00:45:05.940 said I'm

00:45:06.520 evil,

00:45:07.060 basically,

00:45:07.860 because I

00:45:08.600 write the

00:45:09.100 Dilbert cartoon

00:45:09.840 strip,

00:45:10.800 and the

00:45:11.520 theory was

00:45:12.480 that the

00:45:13.200 Dilbert cartoon

00:45:13.920 strip is

00:45:14.400 really a

00:45:14.820 tool of

00:45:15.440 the elites

00:45:16.060 to keep

00:45:17.040 the workers

00:45:17.900 pacified.

00:45:20.300 There was

00:45:20.960 an actual

00:45:21.420 book written

00:45:22.880 to say that

00:45:23.660 I'm part of

00:45:24.640 the elite

00:45:25.140 plan to

00:45:26.300 keep workers

00:45:27.000 pacified,

00:45:27.960 and the

00:45:28.180 Dilbert comic

00:45:29.200 strip does

00:45:29.720 that.

00:45:32.060 So Keith

00:45:32.580 Olbermann invited

00:45:33.500 me on to

00:45:34.920 address that.

00:45:37.500 Now, do you

00:45:38.440 think I'm going

00:45:38.880 to go on

00:45:39.340 television to

00:45:40.920 address that?

00:45:41.740 that was so

00:45:44.160 crazy that I

00:45:45.540 was like,

00:45:46.000 ah, how

00:45:46.960 about I don't

00:45:47.600 go on television

00:45:48.360 to enrich you

00:45:49.860 by going on

00:45:51.840 TV to be

00:45:52.500 insulted?

00:45:53.400 Why would I

00:45:54.200 enrich Keith

00:45:55.100 Olbermann by

00:45:56.500 becoming part of

00:45:57.340 his content,

00:45:58.240 unpaid, on a

00:45:59.740 show that was

00:46:00.380 dedicated to

00:46:01.620 insulting me?

00:46:03.340 So I skipped

00:46:04.260 it.

00:46:04.580 The critic

00:46:05.180 went on, he

00:46:05.780 insulted me, but

00:46:06.600 nobody watched,

00:46:07.640 and that was the

00:46:08.120 end of it.

00:46:08.460 All right,

00:46:10.520 yeah, Dilbert's

00:46:12.040 an enemy of

00:46:12.540 the revolution.

00:46:13.580 All right, that's

00:46:13.980 all I got for

00:46:14.440 now.

00:46:14.980 I will talk

00:46:15.520 to you tomorrow.

00:46:17.440 All right.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 10, 2020

Episode 1150 Scott Adams： Biden and Kim Jong-Un and Hillary Email

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