Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1155 Scott Adams： Hunter's Laptop and the Disappearing Story, and More

00:00:00.000 Bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum. 0.99

00:00:10.240 Hey, everybody. Come on in. Come on in. It's time. It's time for Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:17.840 Is it the best part of the day? Well, there's a little bit of debate on that.

00:00:22.620 But the people on the side that say it might not be, they're losing the debate.

00:00:28.180 Yeah, we're losing it hard.

00:00:29.660 Everybody says so.

00:00:31.140 That's because the simultaneous sip will get you going

00:00:34.020 like nothing else possibly could.

00:00:37.680 And all you need to participate,

00:00:39.420 well, you don't need much.

00:00:40.820 No, not much.

00:00:42.000 All you need is a cup or mug or glass of tank or chalice of thine,

00:00:45.460 a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:49.240 Fill it with your favorite liquid I'd like, coffee.

00:00:53.140 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure,

00:00:56.040 or the dopamine hit of the day,

00:00:57.420 the thing that makes everything better,

00:01:00.280 except for the photos on your laptop that you left at the shop.

00:01:04.760 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens right now.

00:01:13.880 Sublime.

00:01:15.980 Well, I guess the big story is about Hunter's laptop.

00:01:23.320 We'll talk about that in a moment.

00:01:24.720 We'll let a few more people stream on in here before we do that. 0.96

00:01:29.140 But first, I've been watching a documentary on HBO called The Vow.

00:01:37.440 Have you heard of it?

00:01:39.280 It's about the alleged cult, so-called cult.

00:01:44.300 I'm not sure what the definition is.

00:01:45.860 I think it fits, called NXIVM, but it's spelled weird, like N-X-I-V-M, NXIVM, with Keith Renier.

00:01:57.800 When I'm done with the whole thing, I'll probably do some kind of a tutorial on his technique,

00:02:07.760 because he's basically a hypnotist.

00:02:10.680 Basically, I think he probably studied hypnosis.

00:02:13.380 But the interesting thing is that he created a cult that is borrowed off of the techniques of Scientology.

00:02:23.200 And so it's basically a Scientology clone with his own flavor on it.

00:02:28.640 And it is mind-boggling.

00:02:32.320 If you want to learn how persuaded somebody could be, you have to watch this.

00:02:39.940 Remember yesterday we were having the conversation, or the nation was having the conversation,

00:02:45.740 about the vocabulary to use, to be non-offensive,

00:02:49.740 if you're talking about somebody's LGBTQ or other orientation.

00:02:56.720 So I believe the correct word is orientation.

00:03:00.140 But we live in a world where nothing is as clean as it could be, right?

00:03:06.300 There's nothing we all agree on.

00:03:08.880 So two developments on that.

00:03:11.820 As there was an online conversation about whether or not you could have a preference for your sexuality,

00:03:19.140 and, of course, all the experts says, you cannot.

00:03:22.480 You cannot.

00:03:23.200 It's not a preference.

00:03:24.740 It's what you're born with.

00:03:27.060 Well, if you watch the documentary The Vow,

00:03:32.320 you're going to see a cult in which one leader reprogrammed as many as 50 people's sexuality.

00:03:42.580 It's right there.

00:03:43.600 Now, as a hypnotist, I've been provocatively saying that that's a thing.

00:03:49.620 You're definitely born with an orientation.

00:03:52.580 In other words, you're born with a starter set.

00:03:56.000 But people don't quite realize, and I don't think I'll convince any of you that this is true, by the way.

00:04:01.940 I know I'm out there just singing alone.

00:04:04.960 But people's preferences of all types, not just in the sexual realm, but a lot of people can be programmed.

00:04:15.960 And if you watch The Vow, you'll see a number of people who were programmed out of a certain kind of sexuality

00:04:23.360 and into an entirely different one.

00:04:25.600 And it was just programming, just brainwashing.

00:04:30.880 And it worked.

00:04:31.760 And it worked with as many as 50 different people.

00:04:35.520 That's not everybody in the cult.

00:04:37.420 The cult was actually like 800 people, I think, at one point.

00:04:40.760 But you'll see that.

00:04:42.540 And then I'm looking at Twitter this morning,

00:04:45.060 and I'm seeing some people interacting on that question about whether you have preferences for sexuality

00:04:51.520 or whether you're born with your orientation.

00:04:55.460 Now, just to reiterate, my personal view is that you're definitely born with an orientation,

00:05:01.420 but only people who understand hypnosis and brainwashing at a fairly detailed level.

00:05:08.440 In other words, not just somebody who read a little bit about it,

00:05:10.920 but somebody who really knew this stuff.

00:05:13.200 And there aren't many of us.

00:05:15.900 But I would bet that 100% of the people who have my background would agree with me.

00:05:20.860 I don't know that, but I think so.

00:05:24.640 Now, that doesn't mean that all hypnotists would agree,

00:05:27.720 because I got into a back-and-forth with a hypnotist,

00:05:30.560 a trained hypnotherapist on Twitter,

00:05:33.620 and we did not have the same opinion.

00:05:36.080 But it was obvious from just the exchange that that hypnotherapist's,

00:05:42.200 let's say, understanding of the field was far less than my own.

00:05:48.360 One of the tells is that if they have NLP in their profile,

00:05:54.520 NLP for neurolinguistic programming,

00:05:57.880 let me just say that's the least credible element of the entire field.

00:06:04.020 So if you put that in there as, like, your bumper sticker, yeah, NLP.

00:06:09.340 That usually says that you're entry level in understanding the field.

00:06:14.740 So it's not something I would brag about,

00:06:17.420 because it's the least credible part of it.

00:06:20.780 So here's the other part.

00:06:22.220 So I'm interacting on Twitter on this question,

00:06:25.540 and a woman who shall remain nameless,

00:06:31.920 she's got a... 1.00

00:06:33.400 It's somebody I know who it is, just by coincidence,

00:06:36.280 because I live in the Bay Area.

00:06:37.880 So I happen to know who it is.

00:06:40.060 You don't need to know who it is.

00:06:41.300 But somebody notable came in and said,

00:06:44.900 Hey, what about me?

00:06:45.840 My sexuality is totally my preference.

00:06:50.540 Now, what do you do when somebody says about themselves?

00:06:54.960 So this is a woman who said,

00:06:56.180 Yeah, I'm, you know, depending on my situation, my age,

00:07:00.560 you know, what's going on in my life,

00:07:02.400 I might be into women, 1.00

00:07:04.340 and on another situation,

00:07:06.400 and another time in my life,

00:07:08.300 I might, you know, I might go the other way,

00:07:11.220 and pointed out that there are other people in that category.

00:07:14.480 So her point is that...

00:07:17.460 I think I might be extending her point a little bit,

00:07:20.300 but I think this is fair.

00:07:22.140 There are probably people who are just nailed at birth,

00:07:25.900 and this is just the only way I'm going to be.

00:07:29.140 There are probably other people who are far less nailed down

00:07:34.620 in terms of their orientation.

00:07:36.640 People who are more fluid, I think that's the word she used.

00:07:39.460 Now, I guess you could argue,

00:07:40.760 one argument would be that is her orientation. 0.97

00:07:44.620 Her orientation is fluid.

00:07:46.900 So sometimes she's more this way,

00:07:49.340 sometimes she's more that way.

00:07:51.240 And I would argue that anybody who is fluid

00:07:53.680 can be reprogrammed.

00:07:55.900 The people who are just, you know, nailed at the extreme?

00:07:58.680 Probably not, you know.

00:08:00.460 And indeed, with reprogramming and hypnosis and brainwashing,

00:08:05.540 there's a general rule that about 20% of the public

00:08:08.840 is highly hypnotizable.

00:08:11.800 And 80% can also be hypnotized,

00:08:14.680 but not in the same type and degree.

00:08:18.400 You know, they can learn to relax.

00:08:20.060 They can learn to imagine things better.

00:08:22.140 They can work on lots of stuff.

00:08:24.220 The 80% can.

00:08:25.180 But the 20%, 0.98

00:08:26.840 they can actually see something in the room that's not there.

00:08:30.500 You can just say, look at that elephant,

00:08:32.200 and they'll say, oh yeah, there's an elephant.

00:08:34.140 But it's only about 20%.

00:08:35.520 So, could you reprogram somebody's sexual identity permanently

00:08:41.340 if they were, number one, fluid?

00:08:44.680 Let's say they started out a little bit fluid.

00:08:46.520 And they were in the 20% that are highly hypnotizable.

00:08:51.440 And the answer is yes.

00:08:54.180 Yes.

00:08:55.160 Now, the other hypnotists will say,

00:08:57.960 and this is the conversation I got into yesterday on Twitter,

00:09:00.820 is that you can't hypnotize somebody to do something they don't want to do.

00:09:05.360 Something that's deeply against their moral, ethical,

00:09:08.820 or just who they are.

00:09:11.300 You can't get somebody to do something totally counter to their personality

00:09:15.940 that they would object to.

00:09:17.560 Something they would object to if they were not hypnotized.

00:09:20.480 You just can't get them to do it.

00:09:22.260 Right?

00:09:22.540 Now, that's true.

00:09:24.340 Completely true.

00:09:25.720 And then the hypnotist was using that argument.

00:09:28.820 Look, you can't hypnotize somebody to do something they don't want to do,

00:09:32.900 so therefore you can't hypnotize them

00:09:35.200 into a different kind of sexual preference in this context.

00:09:41.560 And here's what those hypnotists miss.

00:09:47.080 You can't make somebody do something they don't want to do.

00:09:50.700 True.

00:09:52.120 There's a part missing, though.

00:09:53.920 There's part of the context that's missing.

00:09:56.500 You can cause somebody to want something different.

00:10:01.020 Because people don't generally have a resistance

00:10:05.620 to changing their own mind

00:10:08.000 if they feel like they changed their own mind.

00:10:10.800 They might have a resistance to you changing their mind,

00:10:14.240 but do you know anybody who has a resistance

00:10:16.480 to themselves changing their mind?

00:10:20.440 Not really.

00:10:21.160 If you woke up tomorrow and said,

00:10:23.320 I think I want to be a different kind of person

00:10:26.500 and move to a different country,

00:10:28.860 you wouldn't say to yourself,

00:10:30.660 Scott, you can't change your mind.

00:10:34.200 You wouldn't say that.

00:10:35.260 You'd say, oh, I changed my mind.

00:10:36.440 I guess I want to go to another country.

00:10:38.300 You'd be fine changing your own mind

00:10:40.240 as long as you felt you changed it yourself, right?

00:10:44.500 So that's the back door.

00:10:47.000 That's the loophole.

00:10:48.460 You can persuade people to change their mind

00:10:51.700 without them necessarily knowing that it was you persuading them.

00:10:55.540 If you simply paired something with what you wanted them to like more,

00:11:01.760 they would eventually get that pairing,

00:11:04.080 and they would start liking that thing they didn't like so much before,

00:11:07.420 and they would think,

00:11:08.400 huh, I guess I've changed my mind about that thing.

00:11:11.240 Now I like it more than I used to like it.

00:11:13.100 Was that them changing their mind on their own?

00:11:17.340 It wasn't.

00:11:18.720 It was you setting up a situation

00:11:20.580 that would pair two things,

00:11:22.800 something you knew they liked,

00:11:24.580 with something they were maybe ambivalent about

00:11:26.620 until they liked both of them.

00:11:28.840 Now again, it's not going to work with every person,

00:11:31.260 and you would need more technique than just that pairing.

00:11:34.180 You might use lots of language, lots of other things.

00:11:37.300 But you could cause somebody to believe

00:11:40.680 they had changed their mind,

00:11:42.160 and then changed their behavior and activity

00:11:45.240 into a whole different person,

00:11:46.920 and they would never be aware

00:11:48.620 that they had been coerced.

00:11:51.500 They would simply think they made up their own mind.

00:11:54.080 And that's what a cult would feel like.

00:11:56.920 The people in the cult

00:11:58.040 don't necessarily feel like they were brainwashed.

00:12:01.500 Every one of them feels like they made up their own mind

00:12:03.860 to some extent.

00:12:05.700 Yeah, there would be a little of both,

00:12:07.260 I would think, within a cult.

00:12:08.640 But a lot of the people would think,

00:12:09.960 I wasn't brainwashed.

00:12:11.140 They just made up my own mind.

00:12:14.080 All right, let's talk about something else.

00:12:18.500 Ironically, the only people who dropped their masks this week

00:12:22.900 were the media industrial complex

00:12:25.980 trying to make this Hunter Biden story go away.

00:12:29.660 And, man, they're working hard on it.

00:12:32.480 So you probably know this story.

00:12:33.980 Allegedly, Hunter Biden, some time ago,

00:12:37.860 dropped off three broken laptops for repair.

00:12:42.400 Now, just so you know, we're living in a simulation.

00:12:45.380 The guy who was the repair guy for the Macintosh laptops,

00:12:54.760 his last name is Mac Isaac.

00:12:59.080 So they dropped the Macs off with Mac.

00:13:01.500 I don't know what to say about that.

00:13:06.640 It's just the simulation winking at us.

00:13:10.340 And allegedly, the guy is legally blind,

00:13:14.840 so he can't identify him.

00:13:16.660 And he's not quite clear on the story of how Rudy Giuliani got a copy.

00:13:21.260 And he thought the Bidens or somebody associated with them

00:13:25.500 might try to kill him if they knew he had the goods.

00:13:29.680 So he tried to give it away to the FBI.

00:13:31.960 And the story is all weird.

00:13:34.620 So I don't know what's going on.

00:13:37.680 I also don't know who drops off three laptops

00:13:40.700 and doesn't pick them up.

00:13:42.020 So to say that there are things wrong with this story

00:13:45.720 would be an understatement.

00:13:48.040 There's a lot wrong with this story.

00:13:50.620 Now, is the story confirmed?

00:13:54.180 I don't know.

00:13:56.520 It's somewhere in that gray area between...

00:14:00.120 Apparently, the Biden campaign has not denied...

00:14:05.520 The Biden campaign has not said

00:14:07.480 that the emails allegedly found on the laptops

00:14:11.300 are fake.

00:14:13.320 So wouldn't you expect that's the first thing

00:14:15.420 the Biden campaign would say?

00:14:17.400 First of all, those are all fake.

00:14:20.680 We talked to Hunter, asked him about it,

00:14:23.980 and he said,

00:14:24.720 I never dropped off any laptops,

00:14:27.180 and I certainly didn't write any emails of that nature.

00:14:31.240 Wouldn't that be the first thing you'd say

00:14:33.360 if it wasn't true,

00:14:35.160 if it wasn't really his laptop?

00:14:36.740 I think that's all that would matter, right?

00:14:38.840 You'd go to the Biden campaign and say,

00:14:40.540 look, this will take you five minutes.

00:14:43.540 Just call Hunter and say,

00:14:45.700 is this your stuff?

00:14:47.280 Is it real?

00:14:49.520 Has anybody done this story

00:14:51.400 about how that story doesn't exist?

00:14:53.960 Because wouldn't that be the biggest story today?

00:14:56.560 No, the biggest story

00:14:57.660 is that nobody asked the Biden campaign

00:15:01.120 if they were real.

00:15:03.240 At the same time that the entire country

00:15:05.460 is debating whether they're real,

00:15:08.660 nobody thought to ask the Biden campaign?

00:15:11.740 Or if they did ask him,

00:15:13.140 I guess they're not responding to

00:15:14.620 the reality of the laptops.

00:15:18.080 So in the comments,

00:15:23.100 somebody's saying that the story

00:15:25.040 is too fantastic to be fake.

00:15:28.020 It does have,

00:15:29.440 it has a little bit of both qualities.

00:15:32.080 It has two qualities

00:15:33.220 that point in opposite directions.

00:15:36.060 One of them is what the commenter just said,

00:15:38.900 that there's some things that are too weird

00:15:41.020 not to be true,

00:15:42.240 because if you were going to make up a story,

00:15:45.540 it'd be cleaner than this, right?

00:15:47.680 If you were going to make it up,

00:15:49.120 you'd say there's a store owner

00:15:50.940 who definitely recognized Hunter Biden,

00:15:54.720 you know,

00:15:54.940 and you'd just have a clean little story

00:15:56.780 of how it all happened.

00:15:57.900 You wouldn't have all these weird details,

00:15:59.820 et cetera.

00:16:01.740 And you wouldn't need a,

00:16:03.360 you know,

00:16:03.660 a blind computer repair guy

00:16:07.800 who can't remember things.

00:16:09.400 It's just weird.

00:16:10.340 So that part makes it seem real.

00:16:13.200 But there's another part

00:16:14.660 that's a little bit too on the nose,

00:16:17.540 which is that a few weeks before the election,

00:16:21.200 we find a laptop with email

00:16:24.540 that's embarrassing to a Democrat.

00:16:28.040 Isn't that a little bit,

00:16:30.140 you know,

00:16:30.760 you know what I'm saying?

00:16:32.260 And then there's a photograph on it

00:16:34.760 of Hunter Biden

00:16:35.780 with a crack pipe in his mouth,

00:16:39.380 allegedly.

00:16:40.340 A little bit,

00:16:43.260 you know,

00:16:43.640 a little bit too close,

00:16:45.200 right?

00:16:45.880 And then the nature of the emails

00:16:48.540 is so completely damning.

00:16:50.660 You say to yourself,

00:16:51.760 would you write an email like that?

00:16:54.440 Or would you figure out a way

00:16:55.980 to use a,

00:16:56.780 you know,

00:16:57.160 an encrypted app

00:16:58.380 or maybe make a phone call?

00:17:00.460 So at least it's not,

00:17:01.660 you know,

00:17:02.380 I guess if you made a phone call,

00:17:03.840 you can get intercepted too.

00:17:05.740 But there's a lot about this

00:17:08.000 that's a little too perfect.

00:17:10.000 Don't you think?

00:17:10.720 At the same time,

00:17:12.240 there's a whole bunch of it

00:17:13.340 that's so imperfect

00:17:14.360 it couldn't possibly be false

00:17:15.940 because you just wouldn't make up

00:17:17.400 a story so ridiculous.

00:17:19.440 Unless the store owner

00:17:21.200 is the one who's freestyling

00:17:23.140 the details

00:17:23.920 and nobody saw that coming.

00:17:25.880 So that would argue

00:17:27.480 to being fake as well.

00:17:29.640 But there's a bigger story,

00:17:31.520 which is how do we deal with

00:17:33.400 news that is not guaranteed

00:17:36.200 to be true?

00:17:38.280 What do you do with it?

00:17:39.280 And the country

00:17:41.120 is really trying to figure out

00:17:42.720 how to grapple with this

00:17:43.820 because we've never been

00:17:44.620 in this situation

00:17:45.460 where the news industry

00:17:47.800 can make a story disappear.

00:17:50.660 And by disappear,

00:17:51.960 I don't mean from every consumer,

00:17:54.580 but given the absolute silos of news

00:17:58.240 where people on the left

00:17:59.680 just will never see Fox News,

00:18:01.880 never once.

00:18:03.120 The people on the left

00:18:03.980 will never see Breitbart.

00:18:06.000 They're not going to read

00:18:06.820 the Drudge Report.

00:18:08.000 They're just not going to.

00:18:09.280 So it doesn't matter

00:18:10.840 what that part of the world

00:18:13.380 is reporting or thinks is true.

00:18:15.360 It just will never cross over.

00:18:17.520 So it's this unique situation

00:18:19.900 where they can make news disappear

00:18:22.680 for, I don't know,

00:18:25.280 50% of the country.

00:18:26.640 Just make it disappear.

00:18:28.320 And it looks like

00:18:29.840 some version of that

00:18:31.440 is going to happen.

00:18:32.240 They, of course,

00:18:32.780 need to mention stories

00:18:34.220 so they can at least say

00:18:35.120 they mentioned it.

00:18:36.560 But it looks like

00:18:37.480 they're going to run

00:18:38.660 for discrediting it.

00:18:40.220 And it looks like

00:18:41.380 the way they're going to discredit

00:18:43.000 is the Washington Post

00:18:44.380 was reporting today

00:18:45.500 that Biden did not,

00:18:48.220 Joe Biden,

00:18:49.840 did not get that prosecutor

00:18:52.620 in Ukraine fired

00:18:54.400 because they were worried

00:18:56.580 that he was going to

00:18:57.700 look into Burisma.

00:19:00.640 Apparently that story,

00:19:02.160 according to the Washington Post,

00:19:03.760 is the opposite,

00:19:04.620 meaning that Joe Biden

00:19:06.680 actually was working

00:19:08.160 with the international community

00:19:09.720 and everybody wanted

00:19:11.100 that prosecutor fired

00:19:12.880 because he wasn't going hard

00:19:15.940 at Burisma.

00:19:17.420 Opposite of the story.

00:19:18.900 He wasn't fired

00:19:19.620 because he was going hard

00:19:21.440 at them.

00:19:21.940 He was fired

00:19:22.480 because he was corrupt

00:19:23.500 and not going after them.

00:19:26.100 One of those two stories

00:19:27.600 is true.

00:19:29.280 Now, if it hadn't,

00:19:30.400 if it had been any place

00:19:31.560 but Ukraine,

00:19:32.560 you might say to yourself,

00:19:33.880 well, I think maybe

00:19:35.900 he wasn't corrupt

00:19:36.840 but it's Ukraine

00:19:38.520 where corruption is rampant

00:19:40.880 and so I would think

00:19:43.060 your first assumption

00:19:44.840 would be,

00:19:45.820 yeah, there was probably

00:19:46.760 some corruption going on there

00:19:48.260 both in Burisma

00:19:49.460 and with the prosecutor.

00:19:52.020 You would just assume it

00:19:53.040 even if he didn't have

00:19:54.100 a lot of information.

00:19:56.540 So,

00:19:58.140 somebody's telling me

00:20:00.960 that Drudge is a leftist now.

00:20:02.560 Yeah, I hear that.

00:20:04.760 I don't have an opinion on that.

00:20:06.540 I don't read it.

00:20:10.060 Yes, check out Ground News

00:20:12.020 as somebody is prompting me there.

00:20:14.120 Ground News will show you

00:20:16.120 if there's a media blackout

00:20:17.640 on the left or the right

00:20:18.820 because it lines up

00:20:19.960 all the reporting

00:20:20.820 and you can see visually

00:20:22.820 who's talking about a story

00:20:25.540 and who's completely ignoring it

00:20:27.140 and it's really stark

00:20:28.440 when you see it.

00:20:29.420 It's called Ground News.

00:20:31.080 It was just Googling.

00:20:34.720 So,

00:20:35.500 do you think that

00:20:38.220 if you were a store owner

00:20:40.260 and you found

00:20:41.300 Hunter Biden's emails,

00:20:43.220 would you be afraid

00:20:44.020 of being murdered?

00:20:45.700 I'm just wondering,

00:20:46.980 how many of you

00:20:47.740 would be afraid

00:20:48.380 of being murdered

00:20:49.240 because you found

00:20:51.020 some embarrassing emails?

00:20:53.860 I feel like you'd feel,

00:20:57.500 I would feel less worried

00:20:59.660 about getting murdered

00:21:00.700 and more worried

00:21:02.820 about just being destroyed

00:21:04.500 economically or reputationally

00:21:07.000 because what would be

00:21:09.280 the point of murdering him

00:21:10.680 if the email is already

00:21:12.160 given to someone else?

00:21:14.780 Once you've given away

00:21:16.280 your material,

00:21:18.540 you're irrelevant to the story.

00:21:19.980 So,

00:21:20.840 who would kill

00:21:21.320 the shop owner

00:21:22.180 when he is no longer

00:21:24.060 relevant in any way

00:21:25.240 to the story?

00:21:26.160 Because the only part

00:21:27.080 he asks is,

00:21:28.040 you know,

00:21:28.280 hey,

00:21:28.580 did this laptop

00:21:30.720 really come to you

00:21:31.720 this way?

00:21:33.220 I'm not sure

00:21:33.980 that part's important anymore.

00:21:35.460 What's important

00:21:36.080 is the laptop real

00:21:38.280 and I don't know

00:21:39.080 if you need,

00:21:39.920 you don't really need

00:21:40.700 the store owner

00:21:41.320 to determine

00:21:42.460 if the laptop is real.

00:21:44.220 You know,

00:21:44.500 there's plenty of ways

00:21:45.160 to do that.

00:21:46.760 All right.

00:21:47.080 Let's see what else

00:21:49.880 we got going here.

00:21:52.060 I love the fact

00:21:53.240 that Trump

00:21:54.260 in an interview

00:21:55.740 with Newsmax,

00:21:57.280 he said the Bidens

00:21:58.580 are, quote,

00:21:59.200 grifters and crooks.

00:22:02.320 Now,

00:22:03.060 you know why

00:22:03.740 I love this.

00:22:05.920 The reason I love this

00:22:07.100 is that

00:22:07.900 whenever

00:22:08.880 Trump

00:22:09.840 takes

00:22:10.480 an argument

00:22:12.280 that's used

00:22:13.120 against him

00:22:13.740 and then flips it around,

00:22:16.540 you know,

00:22:16.960 it doesn't take

00:22:17.440 any magic technique

00:22:18.540 to flip around

00:22:19.340 an argument,

00:22:20.500 but I like

00:22:21.220 when he does it

00:22:21.920 when it fits

00:22:22.720 because

00:22:23.980 when you look

00:22:25.080 at this Hunter Biden

00:22:25.980 stuff

00:22:26.440 and then you think

00:22:27.400 of the word grifter,

00:22:29.060 it fits, right?

00:22:31.020 You know,

00:22:31.340 crook is

00:22:31.820 sort of a throwaway

00:22:33.680 because it's

00:22:34.540 just sort of generic,

00:22:36.080 but doesn't it feel

00:22:37.640 like the word grifter

00:22:38.600 just perfectly fits

00:22:40.940 Hunter Biden?

00:22:42.500 Now,

00:22:43.040 I've been called

00:22:43.660 a grifter

00:22:44.560 and everybody

00:22:46.000 who's tweeted

00:22:46.920 positively about

00:22:48.140 President Trump

00:22:48.940 has been called

00:22:49.440 a grifter probably 0.99

00:22:50.300 if you have more

00:22:51.340 than, you know,

00:22:52.180 a thousand followers

00:22:53.400 and

00:22:54.580 that word,

00:22:56.040 I've always

00:22:57.980 hated it

00:22:58.760 because the people

00:23:00.700 using it

00:23:01.360 are so proud

00:23:02.140 of it.

00:23:03.380 Does that make sense?

00:23:05.000 They're so happy

00:23:06.120 about their word,

00:23:07.680 grifter,

00:23:08.500 I gotcha,

00:23:09.340 I gotcha with that word,

00:23:10.400 grifter,

00:23:11.360 that it just bothers me

00:23:12.520 because they're so happy

00:23:13.400 about it.

00:23:13.780 It doesn't bother me

00:23:14.480 because of the word,

00:23:15.160 it just bothers me

00:23:15.900 that they're

00:23:16.760 becoming happy

00:23:17.940 at my expense.

00:23:20.100 So,

00:23:20.500 when I see

00:23:22.220 the president

00:23:22.680 turn it around

00:23:23.440 and use it

00:23:24.440 so perfectly

00:23:25.100 against the other side,

00:23:27.380 it makes me happy

00:23:28.320 a little bit,

00:23:28.980 I gotta admit.

00:23:33.120 The Joe Biden campaign

00:23:34.660 is claiming

00:23:36.300 that Joe Biden's

00:23:38.400 calendar

00:23:38.860 shows he did not

00:23:40.560 take a meeting

00:23:41.200 with the Ukrainian

00:23:42.600 official

00:23:44.280 from Burisma.

00:23:46.480 Now,

00:23:46.980 if he did take

00:23:47.700 that meeting,

00:23:48.380 it would complete

00:23:49.100 the circuit

00:23:49.640 from the emails

00:23:51.400 saying that,

00:23:52.600 you know,

00:23:52.940 Burisma wants 1.00

00:23:54.060 some access

00:23:55.260 and then Hunter Biden

00:23:57.020 being put on the board

00:23:58.120 to provide that access

00:23:59.780 and then the proof

00:24:01.180 that the circuit

00:24:03.000 had been completed

00:24:03.960 would be that

00:24:05.080 there was an actual

00:24:05.720 meeting with the

00:24:06.400 vice president

00:24:07.000 and the Ukrainian

00:24:07.940 because if that happened,

00:24:09.480 that's pretty

00:24:11.140 pretty conclusive

00:24:12.580 evidence of the

00:24:13.560 entire circuit

00:24:14.920 from,

00:24:15.980 you know,

00:24:16.940 swampy influence

00:24:19.000 to actual

00:24:20.420 meeting.

00:24:21.500 But,

00:24:22.240 the Biden campaign

00:24:22.980 says that meeting

00:24:23.720 never happened

00:24:24.360 because it's not

00:24:26.100 on the calendar.

00:24:27.700 How many meetings

00:24:28.960 does a senator have

00:24:30.320 that are not

00:24:31.520 on the calendar?

00:24:32.920 Well,

00:24:33.520 every time they have

00:24:34.200 an affair,

00:24:35.440 does a senator

00:24:36.380 ever have an affair?

00:24:37.560 I'm guessing yes.

00:24:40.320 I'm going to guess

00:24:41.140 that members of Congress

00:24:42.640 have had affairs.

00:24:45.060 Both male and female

00:24:46.280 probably had affairs.

00:24:48.060 How many of their

00:24:49.320 hookups with the

00:24:52.020 mistress or their 0.63

00:24:53.420 whatever is the

00:24:54.420 male word for that,

00:24:55.960 what's the male word

00:24:57.200 for a mistress?

00:24:59.300 Wait a minute,

00:25:00.220 why don't I know

00:25:00.780 that word?

00:25:02.120 Is there no word

00:25:03.000 for the male version

00:25:04.220 of a mistress?

00:25:05.180 Just a lover?

00:25:06.060 That doesn't sound right.

00:25:07.700 Anyway,

00:25:08.220 we need a new word

00:25:08.980 for that.

00:25:09.520 Let's talk to Webster.

00:25:10.540 I think they can

00:25:11.400 change language

00:25:12.240 in one day.

00:25:13.640 If we can get

00:25:14.440 Maisie Hirono

00:25:15.820 to say we need

00:25:18.120 that word,

00:25:18.580 it'll be in Webster's

00:25:19.420 by the end of the day.

00:25:23.140 Anyway,

00:25:23.820 what the hell

00:25:24.260 was I talking about?

00:25:25.260 I don't remember.

00:25:26.960 I have a confession.

00:25:28.840 If today's

00:25:29.720 live stream

00:25:30.620 seems

00:25:31.120 not up to

00:25:32.700 my usual standard,

00:25:33.700 which I think

00:25:37.240 is going to be

00:25:37.780 a safe statement

00:25:38.580 at the moment.

00:25:40.540 It's because

00:25:41.260 I was up late

00:25:42.500 last night.

00:25:43.920 I'll tell you

00:25:44.600 about that.

00:25:45.700 I'll tell you

00:25:46.360 about that later.

00:25:49.420 So,

00:25:50.080 yeah,

00:25:50.920 so I was talking

00:25:51.760 about how

00:25:52.380 if you were having

00:25:54.540 an affair

00:25:55.100 and you were in

00:25:55.760 Congress,

00:25:56.420 you're not going

00:25:57.000 to put it on

00:25:57.380 your calendar,

00:25:58.140 right?

00:25:58.360 So you have

00:25:59.860 to assume

00:26:00.400 that there's

00:26:01.020 entire categories

00:26:02.360 of things

00:26:03.140 that senators

00:26:04.340 do have

00:26:05.660 in terms of

00:26:06.280 meetings

00:26:06.700 that are not

00:26:08.020 on their calendars.

00:26:09.440 But if you're

00:26:10.280 an unsophisticated

00:26:11.880 viewer of news

00:26:13.820 and the Biden

00:26:15.020 campaign comes out

00:26:15.940 and says,

00:26:16.480 it's not on the

00:26:17.300 calendar.

00:26:18.480 Look at this

00:26:19.060 calendar.

00:26:19.960 We've got

00:26:20.420 documentation.

00:26:21.300 That meeting

00:26:21.820 never happened.

00:26:24.300 If you're

00:26:25.100 unsophisticated,

00:26:26.120 you might say,

00:26:26.620 well,

00:26:26.880 okay,

00:26:27.280 that's good

00:26:28.080 documentation.

00:26:29.320 It never

00:26:29.740 happened.

00:26:30.840 Then you forget

00:26:32.180 to ask the

00:26:32.720 question,

00:26:33.620 are there any

00:26:34.380 other things

00:26:35.060 that don't

00:26:35.580 go on calendars?

00:26:37.720 Is 100%

00:26:39.000 of what a

00:26:39.960 senator does,

00:26:41.220 does that end

00:26:41.840 up on a

00:26:42.320 calendar?

00:26:43.160 If something

00:26:43.920 had once been

00:26:44.620 on a calendar

00:26:45.260 and then

00:26:45.880 deleted,

00:26:47.200 would we know

00:26:47.880 the difference?

00:26:49.180 Has anybody

00:26:49.660 looked at the

00:26:50.500 logs of the

00:26:53.060 computer system

00:26:53.880 that had the

00:26:54.380 calendar?

00:26:55.540 Or have they

00:26:56.340 just looked at

00:26:57.020 the entry?

00:26:58.080 To see that

00:26:58.680 it doesn't

00:26:59.100 exist?

00:26:59.960 Because I

00:27:00.320 kind of want

00:27:00.820 to know when

00:27:01.280 that entry

00:27:01.760 went away,

00:27:02.320 if it went

00:27:02.780 away.

00:27:05.380 But anyway,

00:27:06.160 so at this

00:27:06.580 point,

00:27:06.920 it looks like

00:27:07.520 the swampy

00:27:08.780 nature,

00:27:09.460 the emails

00:27:10.340 that I heard

00:27:11.280 on Tucker

00:27:12.720 Carlson's show

00:27:13.580 last night,

00:27:14.600 if those emails

00:27:15.680 are real,

00:27:17.380 and I'm

00:27:17.860 leaning toward

00:27:18.840 yes,

00:27:20.280 by the way,

00:27:22.080 check your

00:27:22.700 intuition on

00:27:24.340 this.

00:27:25.080 I'd be very

00:27:25.740 curious in

00:27:26.600 the comments,

00:27:28.400 tell me if

00:27:29.520 you believe

00:27:30.080 the emails

00:27:30.820 are real.

00:27:32.540 So this will

00:27:33.280 be a good

00:27:34.460 way for all

00:27:35.000 of us to

00:27:35.440 test our

00:27:36.580 ability to

00:27:37.480 consume news

00:27:38.520 and be

00:27:39.280 sophisticated

00:27:41.320 consumers of

00:27:42.380 news.

00:27:43.660 I'm going to

00:27:44.500 say I'm

00:27:45.240 leaning toward

00:27:46.080 real.

00:27:47.700 So I'm going

00:27:48.340 to say more

00:27:49.040 real than not.

00:27:50.060 I'm not

00:27:51.120 100% on

00:27:52.060 those being

00:27:52.480 real,

00:27:53.000 but I'm a

00:27:54.180 solid 65%.

00:27:56.380 Let's say

00:27:57.420 two-thirds.

00:27:58.200 Two to one

00:27:58.640 chance they're

00:27:59.240 real.

00:28:00.260 I gave a

00:28:01.180 little lag

00:28:01.940 so that I

00:28:02.460 can see.

00:28:03.340 So I'll

00:28:03.720 check your

00:28:04.200 comments and

00:28:04.820 see how many

00:28:05.240 of you think

00:28:05.780 they're real

00:28:06.500 versus fake.

00:28:08.900 All right.

00:28:10.980 Is it my

00:28:11.780 imagination or

00:28:12.820 is everything

00:28:13.480 that Rudy

00:28:14.120 Giuliani is

00:28:15.260 involved with,

00:28:16.420 it just has a

00:28:17.260 little extra

00:28:17.880 flavor to it,

00:28:18.780 doesn't it?

00:28:20.060 Have you

00:28:20.740 noticed that?

00:28:21.940 Whenever there's

00:28:22.920 a story and

00:28:23.900 Rudy Giuliani is

00:28:25.000 any part of

00:28:25.580 the story, the

00:28:27.080 story is just

00:28:28.060 so non-standard.

00:28:30.940 There's just

00:28:31.420 something about

00:28:32.140 putting Rudy

00:28:33.460 Giuliani into

00:28:34.340 the story that

00:28:35.060 just blows it

00:28:35.760 up into this

00:28:36.500 whole different

00:28:37.700 creature.

00:28:40.280 So that's part

00:28:41.280 of the fun,

00:28:41.840 too.

00:28:42.040 We don't

00:28:42.380 exactly know

00:28:43.380 how that

00:28:43.800 worked out.

00:28:45.360 So it looks

00:28:46.020 like the story

00:28:46.920 that the

00:28:47.380 Democrats are

00:28:48.000 going to go

00:28:48.360 with is that

00:28:49.520 the dad,

00:28:51.760 Joe Biden,

00:28:52.360 was not aware

00:28:53.100 of what the

00:28:53.700 son was

00:28:54.120 doing and

00:28:55.100 therefore don't

00:28:55.960 blame the

00:28:56.420 dad because

00:28:57.560 the son was

00:28:58.140 doing that.

00:28:59.520 All right,

00:28:59.780 I'm looking at

00:29:00.220 your comments

00:29:01.020 and almost

00:29:02.460 universally,

00:29:04.420 there's a few

00:29:05.320 undecideds but

00:29:06.260 mostly very

00:29:08.580 dominant toward

00:29:09.740 people thinking

00:29:10.440 they're real.

00:29:11.960 Yeah, the

00:29:12.280 people who say

00:29:12.840 100%, I would

00:29:15.300 dial that down

00:29:15.960 a little bit.

00:29:16.720 you know, I

00:29:17.480 would dial

00:29:17.920 your 100%

00:29:19.680 down to,

00:29:21.140 I'd dial that

00:29:22.100 down under

00:29:22.680 90% if I

00:29:23.960 were you.

00:29:24.740 You could be

00:29:25.420 right, but I

00:29:26.700 don't think you

00:29:27.180 could say you're

00:29:27.680 100% likely to

00:29:29.280 be right.

00:29:30.220 It's close to

00:29:30.860 that, it might

00:29:31.380 be.

00:29:33.100 But we'll see,

00:29:34.020 we'll see how

00:29:34.580 our collective

00:29:35.760 intuitions are.

00:29:37.320 And I always

00:29:37.800 tell you that,

00:29:38.420 that it's useful,

00:29:39.620 it's useful to

00:29:40.760 commit in public

00:29:41.660 to what you

00:29:42.480 believe will

00:29:43.040 happen and

00:29:44.020 then track it

00:29:44.800 later and say,

00:29:45.920 okay, I was

00:29:46.760 sure it was

00:29:47.180 true, it

00:29:48.220 wasn't true,

00:29:49.580 and now you

00:29:50.060 can adjust

00:29:50.620 your credulity

00:29:52.520 a little bit.

00:29:55.640 All right.

00:29:57.620 And who is

00:29:58.660 asking the

00:29:59.940 Ukrainian?

00:30:01.620 How hard is

00:30:02.400 it?

00:30:03.660 This should

00:30:04.380 be shockingly

00:30:07.300 obvious when I

00:30:08.280 say it.

00:30:08.820 You ready to

00:30:09.580 hear something

00:30:10.240 that will make

00:30:11.720 you angry?

00:30:13.220 angry?

00:30:14.320 All right.

00:30:16.940 Now maybe some

00:30:17.600 of you thought

00:30:18.080 of it, but this

00:30:19.200 will be a good

00:30:19.680 test of media

00:30:20.880 manipulation.

00:30:22.420 There's something

00:30:23.080 missing in the

00:30:23.940 story about

00:30:24.840 Hunter's laptop

00:30:26.460 and the alleged

00:30:27.560 meeting between

00:30:28.400 the, I guess,

00:30:29.800 number three

00:30:30.380 person from

00:30:31.060 Burisma and

00:30:32.360 Joe Biden,

00:30:33.200 that Joe Biden

00:30:33.860 says didn't

00:30:34.560 happen, but the

00:30:35.740 emails indicate

00:30:36.640 were at least

00:30:37.500 planned.

00:30:38.560 So what is

00:30:39.580 missing from

00:30:40.380 the story?

00:30:40.980 What is the

00:30:42.080 most obvious

00:30:42.920 thing that a

00:30:44.700 legitimate news

00:30:45.980 entity should be

00:30:47.960 able to do in

00:30:49.500 probably less

00:30:50.520 than an hour?

00:30:51.700 Less than an

00:30:52.500 hour and

00:30:52.900 wouldn't even

00:30:53.300 have to leave

00:30:53.860 the house.

00:30:54.880 Something you

00:30:55.560 could do with

00:30:56.080 just a telephone

00:30:56.980 that would be a

00:30:58.620 big part of the

00:30:59.340 story that is

00:31:00.820 missing from the

00:31:01.680 story.

00:31:02.700 Anybody?

00:31:03.440 What is the

00:31:04.080 big gigantic

00:31:05.220 thing that's

00:31:06.640 missing from the

00:31:07.440 story?

00:31:07.720 When you hear

00:31:09.960 it, it's going

00:31:10.380 to make you

00:31:10.740 mad.

00:31:12.160 Here's what's

00:31:12.780 the gigantic

00:31:13.620 thing missing

00:31:14.360 from the

00:31:14.920 laptop story.

00:31:16.640 Who called

00:31:17.460 the Ukrainian

00:31:18.200 guy and asked

00:31:19.320 him if he met

00:31:20.160 with Joe

00:31:20.600 Biden?

00:31:22.280 Right?

00:31:23.140 Do you think

00:31:23.860 that you can't

00:31:24.440 get that guy 0.98

00:31:24.920 on the phone?

00:31:26.020 It's 2020.

00:31:27.840 I could probably

00:31:28.840 get that guy 0.98

00:31:29.420 on the phone.

00:31:31.200 Like,

00:31:31.780 literally.

00:31:33.000 Literally.

00:31:33.860 If I picked

00:31:34.660 up my phone

00:31:35.320 and spent the

00:31:36.020 next hour

00:31:36.700 trying to

00:31:37.800 contact

00:31:38.320 Burisma,

00:31:39.680 and then,

00:31:40.300 yeah, I

00:31:40.560 could probably

00:31:40.960 contact Burisma,

00:31:42.160 right?

00:31:42.640 How hard would

00:31:43.220 that be?

00:31:43.760 It's a gigantic

00:31:44.360 company.

00:31:45.300 Now, there

00:31:45.600 might be a

00:31:45.960 language issue

00:31:46.680 or whatever,

00:31:47.340 but I'm sure

00:31:48.560 I could find

00:31:49.080 an English

00:31:49.620 speaker at

00:31:50.360 Burisma. 0.97

00:31:51.440 And I would

00:31:52.080 say, hey,

00:31:52.740 this number

00:31:53.200 three guy,

00:31:53.840 I'm trying to

00:31:54.240 get a hold

00:31:54.620 of him,

00:31:55.360 I'd like to

00:31:55.720 ask him a

00:31:56.140 question about

00:31:56.700 the biggest

00:31:57.080 story in the

00:31:57.660 United States.

00:31:59.180 Can you get

00:32:00.600 my message to

00:32:01.300 him, have

00:32:01.660 him call me

00:32:02.080 back?

00:32:02.660 Because we'd

00:32:03.140 like to get

00:32:03.540 him on record

00:32:04.200 to tell us

00:32:06.200 if he actually

00:32:07.280 had a meeting

00:32:07.780 with Joe

00:32:08.180 Biden.

00:32:09.420 Where's that

00:32:10.180 story?

00:32:13.060 Do you feel

00:32:13.880 it yet?

00:32:14.920 Do you feel

00:32:15.540 how obviously

00:32:16.240 missing that is

00:32:17.160 in the story?

00:32:18.580 Because it

00:32:19.280 would be one

00:32:19.820 thing, it

00:32:21.440 would be one

00:32:21.940 thing if your

00:32:23.260 news organization

00:32:24.200 said, we've

00:32:25.380 been trying to

00:32:26.020 get a quote

00:32:26.620 from this

00:32:27.200 Ukrainian

00:32:27.720 executive, he's

00:32:29.220 not returning

00:32:29.780 our phone

00:32:30.180 calls, you

00:32:30.940 know, we've

00:32:31.620 tried him

00:32:32.000 twice yesterday,

00:32:32.880 we're still

00:32:34.140 trying to

00:32:34.540 get a hold

00:32:34.960 of him.

00:32:35.860 That's kind

00:32:36.540 of what you'd

00:32:37.120 expect, wouldn't

00:32:38.180 you?

00:32:38.840 Oh, and then

00:32:39.620 in the comments

00:32:40.240 somebody else

00:32:41.020 is saying that

00:32:42.140 you could

00:32:42.520 identify the

00:32:43.180 travel.

00:32:43.960 If that guy

00:32:44.860 traveled, there'd

00:32:46.700 be a record of

00:32:47.320 it.

00:32:47.840 But I think

00:32:48.520 you'd probably

00:32:48.960 need warrants

00:32:49.820 and law

00:32:50.220 enforcement to

00:32:51.220 know whether

00:32:51.640 he traveled,

00:32:52.340 right?

00:32:52.720 I don't think

00:32:53.440 there's a way

00:32:53.920 for the news

00:32:55.460 industry to

00:32:56.120 find that out

00:32:56.720 by themselves.

00:32:58.000 Correct me if

00:32:58.480 I'm wrong, but

00:32:59.400 I don't think a

00:33:00.020 news entity can

00:33:01.800 find out if

00:33:02.460 somebody traveled

00:33:03.300 anywhere in the

00:33:03.980 world.

00:33:04.740 Is that public?

00:33:06.320 I hope not.

00:33:09.060 So I don't

00:33:09.800 know that the

00:33:10.300 press could get

00:33:11.000 the travel

00:33:11.600 information, given

00:33:13.000 that there's no

00:33:13.820 legal process

00:33:16.560 going on there

00:33:17.180 that would

00:33:17.640 uncover that.

00:33:18.760 But they could

00:33:19.400 certainly call

00:33:20.060 the guy.

00:33:21.460 If we know

00:33:22.240 his actual

00:33:22.800 name, we know

00:33:24.180 where he works,

00:33:25.280 how in the

00:33:25.820 world hard would

00:33:26.800 it be to just

00:33:27.640 get him on the

00:33:28.220 phone and say,

00:33:29.420 hey, did you

00:33:30.720 meet with Joe

00:33:31.200 Biden?

00:33:31.980 Now, it's

00:33:33.420 entirely possible

00:33:34.440 that the guy

00:33:35.860 would say

00:33:36.260 something like

00:33:36.940 no comment,

00:33:38.280 right?

00:33:39.240 And if he

00:33:39.840 said no

00:33:40.300 comment, what

00:33:41.400 would you

00:33:41.840 conclude?

00:33:43.420 Do people

00:33:44.160 who don't

00:33:44.960 have meetings

00:33:45.820 say no

00:33:46.920 comment?

00:33:48.820 No.

00:33:49.880 You would

00:33:50.620 never say

00:33:51.220 no comment.

00:33:53.100 You would

00:33:53.460 never say

00:33:53.940 no comment.

00:33:55.620 You know,

00:33:56.080 if, if,

00:33:57.540 well, you

00:33:58.820 would only say

00:33:59.260 no comment if

00:34:00.040 you'd had the

00:34:00.540 meeting and

00:34:00.980 you didn't

00:34:01.280 want somebody

00:34:01.840 to have it

00:34:02.900 confirmed.

00:34:03.840 That's it.

00:34:07.280 I'm seeing

00:34:07.960 somebody say

00:34:08.460 the Hunter

00:34:09.000 Biden story

00:34:09.560 is fake.

00:34:10.600 It's fake.

00:34:11.900 It might be.

00:34:13.440 Yeah, you

00:34:13.900 know, if it

00:34:14.780 turned out that

00:34:15.400 the whole thing,

00:34:16.460 that the whole

00:34:18.220 thing was fake,

00:34:19.600 it could turn

00:34:20.520 out that way,

00:34:21.520 right?

00:34:22.480 And by the

00:34:23.080 way, I

00:34:25.700 wonder how

00:34:26.220 many news

00:34:27.640 professionals are

00:34:28.660 watching this

00:34:29.400 right now and

00:34:31.120 just got on the

00:34:31.780 phone to

00:34:32.360 Burisma. 0.97

00:34:33.340 Because if

00:34:34.000 you didn't,

00:34:35.900 what else are

00:34:37.000 you doing

00:34:37.300 today?

00:34:37.980 Was there

00:34:38.420 some bigger

00:34:38.880 story today?

00:34:40.240 Why don't you

00:34:40.720 call Burisma,

00:34:41.520 see if you can

00:34:41.960 find this guy?

00:34:43.940 Get a comment

00:34:44.800 on the record.

00:34:47.420 And I think

00:34:48.720 that he would

00:34:49.380 have trouble,

00:34:50.400 the executive

00:34:51.400 would have

00:34:51.900 trouble lying

00:34:52.820 because it's

00:34:54.480 not impossible

00:34:55.340 that at some

00:34:56.200 point somebody

00:34:57.420 else could

00:34:58.040 confirm whether

00:34:59.220 he traveled.

00:35:00.440 You know, it

00:35:00.680 might be either

00:35:01.440 we find his

00:35:02.380 travel records or

00:35:03.320 there's just

00:35:03.700 somebody else who

00:35:04.300 was a witness

00:35:04.820 who knows he

00:35:05.840 traveled.

00:35:06.920 So I don't

00:35:08.760 know if he'd

00:35:09.120 want to lie in 0.90

00:35:09.820 public, so

00:35:10.860 notably, when

00:35:12.740 the truth could

00:35:14.020 be found.

00:35:16.300 All right,

00:35:16.880 here's a

00:35:17.680 follow-up for

00:35:19.860 you on masks.

00:35:21.720 Every time I

00:35:22.400 bring up the

00:35:22.960 question of

00:35:23.880 masks, and

00:35:25.140 we don't know

00:35:25.660 for sure how

00:35:26.720 well they work

00:35:27.540 or in what

00:35:28.120 cases they

00:35:28.700 work, but

00:35:29.820 I've stated

00:35:30.480 that as a

00:35:31.680 risk management

00:35:32.640 proposition, it

00:35:34.460 probably is worth

00:35:35.340 wearing them

00:35:36.000 because to me,

00:35:38.360 my common

00:35:38.840 sense, to the

00:35:40.600 extent that that

00:35:41.300 exists, tells

00:35:42.700 me that they

00:35:43.180 probably work.

00:35:44.620 Not every

00:35:45.340 time, you

00:35:46.420 know, not

00:35:46.760 perfectly, but

00:35:47.820 probably make a

00:35:48.520 difference.

00:35:49.600 Now, people

00:35:50.420 say to me,

00:35:51.120 Scott, Scott,

00:35:51.620 Scott, Scott,

00:35:54.940 Scott, Scott,

00:35:55.840 Scotty, don't

00:35:57.620 you know that

00:35:59.080 if you fart,

00:36:00.520 that fart will

00:36:01.560 go right through

00:36:02.320 your pants?

00:36:03.720 So if a

00:36:04.760 fart will go

00:36:05.320 through your

00:36:05.800 pants like it

00:36:06.700 doesn't even

00:36:07.200 exist, how

00:36:08.700 could you expect

00:36:09.400 these tiny

00:36:10.020 viruses that

00:36:11.660 can't be much

00:36:12.380 bigger than a

00:36:13.280 fart particle,

00:36:14.920 how could you

00:36:16.080 expect that a

00:36:16.660 mask is going

00:36:17.220 to stop them?

00:36:18.640 So it's the

00:36:20.300 fart defense.

00:36:21.560 I've seen it

00:36:22.100 quite a bit.

00:36:23.360 Here is my

00:36:24.180 counter to the

00:36:25.880 fart defense, and

00:36:26.960 it goes like

00:36:27.520 this.

00:36:28.480 Put on your

00:36:29.120 mask, hold a

00:36:31.080 lighted candle in

00:36:32.020 front of you.

00:36:33.220 Now blow out

00:36:34.160 the candle without

00:36:35.460 taking off your

00:36:36.480 mask.

00:36:37.460 If you can do

00:36:38.500 it, if you can

00:36:39.920 blow out the

00:36:40.560 candle without

00:36:41.760 taking off your

00:36:42.620 mask, then I'm

00:36:44.180 going to say,

00:36:44.920 huh, you got

00:36:46.540 me.

00:36:47.540 I will accept

00:36:48.780 the candle

00:36:49.800 blowing thing 0.75

00:36:50.680 as well as

00:36:51.740 the fart

00:36:52.160 defense, because

00:36:53.620 if the air just

00:36:55.380 goes right through

00:36:56.080 the mask and

00:36:57.300 blows out that

00:36:58.020 candle, even if

00:36:59.500 it just stops a

00:37:00.240 little bit of

00:37:00.800 it, that's not

00:37:01.560 enough.

00:37:01.940 I would admit

00:37:02.560 under that

00:37:03.960 situation that

00:37:05.420 probably these

00:37:06.360 masks are not

00:37:07.020 doing much good,

00:37:07.880 but if you were

00:37:09.420 unable to blow

00:37:10.340 out a candle

00:37:10.920 right in front of

00:37:11.620 your mouth when

00:37:13.080 your mask is on,

00:37:14.620 I would propose

00:37:16.040 that if you had

00:37:17.160 been talking to

00:37:17.900 a human being

00:37:18.820 that the amount

00:37:20.100 of air coming

00:37:20.780 out of your

00:37:21.340 mouth, which is

00:37:22.200 the carrier for

00:37:23.180 the water

00:37:23.700 particles, which

00:37:24.880 is the carrier

00:37:25.680 for the virus,

00:37:27.080 that there would

00:37:27.640 be a direct

00:37:29.080 flow of virus

00:37:30.700 from your mouth

00:37:31.840 into the facial

00:37:33.260 area of the

00:37:34.320 other person who

00:37:35.060 was not wearing

00:37:35.700 a mask, if

00:37:37.260 you're not

00:37:37.640 wearing one.

00:37:38.380 If you put on

00:37:39.220 the mask and

00:37:40.220 you cannot blow

00:37:41.020 out a candle

00:37:41.820 that's right in

00:37:42.640 front of you,

00:37:43.200 no matter how

00:37:43.940 hard you try,

00:37:44.780 it probably

00:37:46.080 means that

00:37:46.640 the air is

00:37:47.420 coming out

00:37:47.940 the sides

00:37:48.620 or other

00:37:49.180 places.

00:37:50.360 Now, is it

00:37:51.440 true that the

00:37:52.460 air doesn't go

00:37:53.400 somewhere and

00:37:54.220 just stay there,

00:37:55.140 but the moment

00:37:55.980 it reaches the

00:37:56.680 room, it

00:37:57.320 permeates and

00:37:58.140 fills the

00:37:58.660 entire room

00:37:59.420 with the same

00:38:00.460 amount of

00:38:00.900 virus in every

00:38:01.920 part of the

00:38:02.440 room?

00:38:04.100 Well, maybe.

00:38:05.080 I suppose if

00:38:06.100 you stayed in

00:38:06.700 a room long

00:38:07.380 enough with

00:38:08.280 one person and

00:38:09.060 it was a

00:38:09.420 small enough

00:38:09.960 room and you

00:38:10.940 talked long

00:38:11.700 enough, it

00:38:12.860 wouldn't matter

00:38:13.380 where the

00:38:13.820 air was

00:38:14.200 coming out

00:38:14.640 of the

00:38:14.820 mask or

00:38:15.420 what direction,

00:38:16.560 eventually you

00:38:17.420 would fill the

00:38:18.000 whole room

00:38:18.560 with your

00:38:19.420 aerosoled

00:38:20.400 virus.

00:38:22.000 But that's

00:38:22.760 not how most

00:38:23.680 interactions work.

00:38:25.560 Mostly our

00:38:26.180 interactions are

00:38:27.000 brief and then

00:38:28.680 away.

00:38:30.000 So if you

00:38:30.860 can stop all

00:38:32.240 of the air

00:38:32.760 that would blow 0.60

00:38:33.460 out a candle

00:38:34.240 from going

00:38:35.320 directly into

00:38:36.160 the face and

00:38:37.480 mouth and eyes

00:38:38.420 of the person

00:38:38.900 you're talking

00:38:39.420 to and go out

00:38:40.860 the side

00:38:41.320 instead, I

00:38:42.880 have to

00:38:43.320 feel that

00:38:44.820 the odds

00:38:45.440 are that's

00:38:47.140 buying you

00:38:47.700 something.

00:38:49.500 So if you

00:38:51.160 get the

00:38:52.080 fart mask

00:38:53.960 argument, that

00:38:55.740 would be the

00:38:56.180 counter.

00:38:56.720 The counter is

00:38:57.640 the blow

00:38:58.180 out the candle

00:38:58.700 argument.

00:38:59.660 And there you

00:39:00.020 go.

00:39:02.400 Somebody says

00:39:03.260 I know what

00:39:03.720 I'm trying

00:39:04.140 later.

00:39:05.200 You're going

00:39:05.540 to try to

00:39:06.200 fart a candle

00:39:07.120 out?

00:39:07.880 If you can do

00:39:08.700 that without

00:39:09.300 blowing up

00:39:09.880 your home,

00:39:12.000 give it a

00:39:12.440 try.

00:39:16.180 All right.

00:39:17.080 So I was

00:39:18.700 going to do a

00:39:19.320 little experiment

00:39:19.980 today in which

00:39:21.140 I open up

00:39:21.980 CNN on my

00:39:22.760 phone and

00:39:24.060 then I see

00:39:24.580 how many of

00:39:25.140 the stories are

00:39:25.880 fake in order.

00:39:28.340 And by the

00:39:28.800 way, I haven't

00:39:29.280 done this

00:39:29.840 experiment.

00:39:31.640 So I'm just

00:39:32.320 going to go to

00:39:32.980 CNN, going to

00:39:34.740 go to the

00:39:35.040 homepage, and

00:39:36.860 I'm going to

00:39:37.120 see how many

00:39:38.040 of these

00:39:38.340 stories appear

00:39:39.260 to be actually

00:39:41.420 real stories.

00:39:43.320 Oh, there's

00:39:43.660 breaking news.

00:39:45.200 Kamala Harris

00:39:45.900 travel halted

00:39:47.560 after two

00:39:48.300 associates with

00:39:49.240 campaign tests

00:39:50.260 positive for

00:39:51.880 COVID-19.

00:39:53.900 Huh.

00:39:55.540 But that, of

00:39:56.500 course, would

00:39:56.880 be people who

00:39:58.340 I wonder

00:39:59.980 Joe Biden's

00:40:01.660 campaign is

00:40:02.200 halting the

00:40:02.640 travel of his

00:40:03.240 running mate.

00:40:04.580 So probably

00:40:05.840 it's only the

00:40:06.780 running mate,

00:40:07.800 Kamala Harris.

00:40:10.300 Oh, my

00:40:10.700 goodness.

00:40:11.920 If 2020

00:40:13.340 serves up,

00:40:15.800 well, let me

00:40:16.320 put it this

00:40:16.980 way.

00:40:18.020 If Kamala 0.54

00:40:19.620 Harris's staff

00:40:21.120 is spreading

00:40:22.780 the coronavirus

00:40:23.460 around, and

00:40:25.060 they're all

00:40:25.560 wearing masks,

00:40:26.860 what does that

00:40:27.700 do to the

00:40:28.300 story?

00:40:29.480 Because the

00:40:30.280 biggest knock

00:40:31.400 on Trump is

00:40:32.960 that he is

00:40:33.540 careless with

00:40:34.520 his mask, and

00:40:35.480 then he got the

00:40:36.040 coronavirus.

00:40:36.380 coronavirus, what

00:40:37.520 happens if the

00:40:39.220 people wearing

00:40:39.920 the masks also

00:40:42.020 get the

00:40:42.440 coronavirus?

00:40:43.440 If you were

00:40:44.200 logical and

00:40:44.920 rational, it

00:40:45.680 should mean

00:40:46.040 nothing at all,

00:40:47.280 because there

00:40:47.820 are people with

00:40:48.520 masks who get

00:40:49.320 coronavirus, there

00:40:50.260 are people without 0.72

00:40:50.920 masks who get

00:40:51.640 it, because we

00:40:52.760 know that the

00:40:53.280 masks are not

00:40:54.360 100% protection.

00:40:56.080 So it shouldn't

00:40:56.800 mean anything.

00:40:57.360 If you were being

00:40:58.060 rational, you'd

00:40:58.760 say, no, this

00:40:59.380 isn't a controlled

00:41:00.620 study, this is just

00:41:02.160 some anecdotes of

00:41:03.120 people who got the

00:41:03.800 infection, just the

00:41:04.680 way you'd expect

00:41:05.320 it to happen.

00:41:06.460 But the way our

00:41:07.240 mind will process

00:41:08.160 this is that it

00:41:09.560 matters, even

00:41:10.620 though it shouldn't.

00:41:12.080 And you're going

00:41:12.580 to start feeling,

00:41:13.800 hey, people with 0.63

00:41:15.380 masks get the

00:41:16.460 virus, people

00:41:17.740 without masks get

00:41:18.820 the virus, maybe

00:41:20.380 Trump isn't so

00:41:21.300 wrong after all.

00:41:23.520 Maybe.

00:41:25.980 I think Trump's

00:41:27.400 play on this is

00:41:28.560 quite brilliant,

00:41:30.460 because I think

00:41:32.240 he can wear

00:41:32.920 people down on

00:41:34.580 the notion that

00:41:35.620 we're over

00:41:36.940 masked.

00:41:38.040 Now, that may

00:41:38.620 not be true, and

00:41:39.760 it may be dangerous

00:41:40.680 to have that

00:41:41.800 feeling, but I

00:41:42.700 feel like he can

00:41:43.440 actually persuade

00:41:44.240 that.

00:41:45.340 Because we, you

00:41:46.740 remember I was

00:41:47.160 talking earlier,

00:41:48.040 it's easier to

00:41:49.020 persuade somebody

00:41:50.020 into something they

00:41:50.880 want to believe.

00:41:52.580 Do you want to

00:41:53.720 believe that you

00:41:55.160 could take your

00:41:55.820 mask off and

00:41:57.040 you'd be okay?

00:41:58.540 You do.

00:41:59.840 You do.

00:42:00.460 This is a real,

00:42:01.980 real important

00:42:02.620 point, okay?

00:42:05.160 You know, if

00:42:06.040 somebody is primed

00:42:07.380 to want to

00:42:08.820 believe anything,

00:42:10.380 you can persuade

00:42:11.380 them pretty easily.

00:42:12.700 If somebody is

00:42:13.560 really primed

00:42:14.280 against it, you

00:42:15.200 can have to work

00:42:16.360 for a long time

00:42:17.560 to get any

00:42:18.780 movement on that

00:42:19.900 person.

00:42:20.820 But we all want

00:42:22.060 to be told there's

00:42:23.240 some fake because,

00:42:24.640 I call it, a 0.50

00:42:25.780 fake reason.

00:42:26.660 I don't need a

00:42:27.580 real reason.

00:42:28.520 Just give me a

00:42:29.180 fake reason,

00:42:29.820 and I'll be

00:42:31.020 fine with a

00:42:31.580 fake reason

00:42:32.080 because I

00:42:32.520 already want

00:42:33.040 to do the

00:42:33.480 thing, I

00:42:34.500 just want you

00:42:35.120 to give me a

00:42:35.600 reason.

00:42:36.920 And Trump is

00:42:37.520 doing that,

00:42:38.520 you know, by

00:42:39.040 example.

00:42:40.600 So I would

00:42:41.600 not count out

00:42:42.800 his ability to

00:42:43.660 persuade, although

00:42:45.020 health professionals

00:42:45.940 might tell you

00:42:46.760 it's going to

00:42:47.240 get us all

00:42:47.640 killed.

00:42:47.960 So this

00:42:51.920 Kamala Harris

00:42:52.760 business, that's

00:42:54.860 going to be

00:42:55.180 interesting.

00:42:55.820 I don't know if

00:42:56.220 that's true or

00:42:56.820 not, but I

00:42:57.600 assume it's

00:42:58.000 true.

00:43:00.100 Then there's

00:43:00.760 something about

00:43:01.460 Chris Cuomo

00:43:03.000 responding.

00:43:05.800 There's an

00:43:06.480 analysis that

00:43:07.460 Trump argues that

00:43:08.400 the pandemic is

00:43:09.360 over to avoid

00:43:10.620 accountability.

00:43:12.340 That's a

00:43:12.920 headline.

00:43:13.860 Do you think

00:43:14.400 it's true that

00:43:15.800 Trump has argued

00:43:16.660 that the

00:43:17.120 pandemic is

00:43:17.900 over?

00:43:19.020 That's the

00:43:19.740 headline on

00:43:20.480 CNN.

00:43:21.480 Trump argues

00:43:22.160 pandemic is

00:43:23.000 over.

00:43:23.580 If I were to

00:43:24.200 click into

00:43:24.740 this story, do

00:43:26.120 you think I

00:43:26.560 would find a

00:43:27.180 quote from

00:43:28.000 Trump to

00:43:29.180 suggest the

00:43:29.900 pandemic is

00:43:30.620 over?

00:43:31.860 No.

00:43:33.340 That's not

00:43:34.140 the story.

00:43:35.300 I don't even

00:43:35.920 have to look

00:43:36.340 at it.

00:43:38.840 Obama CIA

00:43:39.920 director says

00:43:41.260 we wear

00:43:41.720 Trump's

00:43:42.200 criticism as

00:43:43.100 a badge of

00:43:43.740 honor.

00:43:44.280 Okay, that's

00:43:44.720 just propaganda.

00:43:45.460 here's an

00:43:46.700 opinion piece.

00:43:47.520 How paranoia

00:43:48.320 in presidential

00:43:49.060 politics went

00:43:50.040 mainstream.

00:43:51.880 What?

00:43:52.760 That's just a

00:43:53.520 weird opinion.

00:43:54.620 Then there's

00:43:55.080 Trump needs

00:43:56.280 this pivotal

00:43:56.880 county to

00:43:58.540 win Pennsylvania.

00:43:59.540 That's a

00:43:59.800 nothing.

00:44:02.160 Oh, this

00:44:02.780 analysis.

00:44:03.620 Another

00:44:03.920 massive, this

00:44:05.140 is in quotes

00:44:05.720 massive, Trump

00:44:07.180 conspiracy theory

00:44:08.420 totally fizzles 0.95

00:44:09.740 out.

00:44:10.700 And the story

00:44:11.680 is about the

00:44:12.400 unmasking.

00:44:13.080 So because

00:44:14.320 there will

00:44:14.940 be no

00:44:15.320 charges filed,

00:44:17.320 no charges

00:44:18.580 filed on

00:44:19.520 the unmasking

00:44:20.940 situation, then

00:44:22.600 that's being

00:44:23.080 called a

00:44:23.680 massive Trump

00:44:24.740 conspiracy theory

00:44:25.740 that totally

00:44:26.320 fizzled out.

00:44:27.420 Is that what

00:44:27.920 happened?

00:44:29.360 Do you think

00:44:30.060 that Trump's

00:44:30.860 theory, which

00:44:33.680 they would call

00:44:34.160 a conspiracy

00:44:34.760 theory, about

00:44:35.960 the unmasking

00:44:36.960 being directed

00:44:37.840 at the Trump

00:44:38.960 campaign, do

00:44:40.380 you think

00:44:40.780 that conspiracy

00:44:42.580 theory is

00:44:43.420 eliminated by

00:44:44.800 the fact that

00:44:45.440 no charges

00:44:46.020 are filed?

00:44:47.440 No, this is

00:44:48.520 fake news.

00:44:49.760 The fact that

00:44:50.440 no charges

00:44:51.060 were filed

00:44:51.700 means no

00:44:53.380 laws were

00:44:54.020 broken in a

00:44:54.880 way that

00:44:55.300 anybody could

00:44:56.060 get a

00:44:56.360 conviction.

00:44:57.480 That's

00:44:58.140 completely

00:44:58.640 different from

00:44:59.860 saying it

00:45:00.400 was okay.

00:45:01.920 These are

00:45:02.360 not related

00:45:03.060 concepts, except

00:45:04.440 by coincidence.

00:45:06.460 But you

00:45:06.740 could certainly

00:45:07.680 have all the

00:45:08.900 badness in the

00:45:09.640 world, but it

00:45:10.300 didn't technically

00:45:11.020 break a law.

00:45:12.120 I was talking

00:45:12.560 about that

00:45:12.980 yesterday.

00:45:13.880 Everybody

00:45:14.200 involved in

00:45:15.300 whatever this

00:45:16.160 coup attempt

00:45:17.420 was to get

00:45:18.460 rid of Trump,

00:45:19.820 the people are

00:45:20.720 all lawyers.

00:45:21.860 It's a whole

00:45:22.260 bunch of

00:45:22.680 lawyers, probably

00:45:24.500 knowing exactly

00:45:25.620 what they can

00:45:26.320 and cannot do,

00:45:27.740 and so they

00:45:28.220 just made

00:45:30.080 sure that they

00:45:30.740 did things that

00:45:31.520 weren't technically

00:45:32.420 illegal.

00:45:33.460 They were just

00:45:34.100 kind of swampy,

00:45:37.160 Hunter Biden-like.

00:45:38.780 There's something

00:45:39.180 about Pete

00:45:39.960 Buttigieg

00:45:40.600 appearing on

00:45:41.360 Fox.

00:45:41.940 I don't

00:45:42.120 know what

00:45:42.340 that story

00:45:42.780 is.

00:45:46.060 Twitter

00:45:46.620 suspends

00:45:47.240 fake accounts

00:45:48.100 of people

00:45:48.880 pretending to

00:45:49.560 be black

00:45:50.060 Trump supporters.

00:45:51.460 That's an

00:45:51.620 old story.

00:45:54.080 And then

00:45:54.920 more fact

00:45:56.040 checking on

00:45:56.520 the president

00:45:57.060 and something

00:45:59.140 about Q

00:45:59.860 because Q

00:46:04.820 embarrasses the

00:46:05.920 Republicans,

00:46:06.860 so they have

00:46:07.240 that story.

00:46:07.700 I feel like

00:46:09.460 all of our

00:46:09.960 stories are

00:46:10.500 conspiracy

00:46:11.020 theories or

00:46:12.180 who has

00:46:12.720 coronavirus.

00:46:14.140 The entire

00:46:14.940 news industry

00:46:15.840 has been

00:46:17.260 reduced to

00:46:18.180 two questions.

00:46:19.700 Who has

00:46:20.180 coronavirus

00:46:20.660 and conspiracy

00:46:23.720 theories.

00:46:24.480 That's it.

00:46:25.540 That's all

00:46:25.820 we got.

00:46:30.940 Yeah.

00:46:31.660 All right.

00:46:32.500 So that's what

00:46:33.120 we got for

00:46:33.560 today.

00:46:33.940 it looks like

00:46:34.720 the Trump

00:46:35.940 strategy of

00:46:37.820 dominating the

00:46:38.660 news with this

00:46:39.560 Hunter Biden

00:46:40.120 thing is working.

00:46:41.760 Now remember,

00:46:42.500 the president

00:46:43.000 doesn't need to

00:46:45.280 completely sell

00:46:46.580 the Hunter Biden

00:46:47.780 story to win.

00:46:49.200 He's got two

00:46:49.920 ways to win.

00:46:51.060 One way is if you

00:46:52.120 believe everything

00:46:52.880 about the Hunter

00:46:53.660 laptop story,

00:46:54.900 you believe that

00:46:55.560 the dad was

00:46:56.220 involved or could

00:46:57.160 have been or

00:46:57.800 should have

00:46:58.620 stopped it or

00:46:59.340 anything like

00:46:59.820 that, then Trump

00:47:01.060 wins.

00:47:01.440 If you buy

00:47:02.520 into the story

00:47:03.220 the way it's

00:47:03.640 presented.

00:47:04.540 But suppose

00:47:05.300 you don't.

00:47:06.620 Suppose you're

00:47:07.860 a diehard

00:47:08.640 Democrat and

00:47:09.440 you've decided

00:47:10.040 it either

00:47:10.500 doesn't matter

00:47:11.200 or it's

00:47:12.700 false.

00:47:14.100 Trump still

00:47:15.000 wins.

00:47:15.900 Because every

00:47:16.660 minute that

00:47:17.660 is spent

00:47:18.580 talking about

00:47:19.300 this story is

00:47:20.520 a minute that's

00:47:21.200 not being spent

00:47:22.160 talking about

00:47:22.860 something that

00:47:23.460 would be bad

00:47:23.960 for Trump.

00:47:25.100 So by

00:47:25.600 controlling our

00:47:26.360 focus, and

00:47:27.920 it looks like

00:47:28.640 there might be

00:47:29.380 a continual

00:47:30.640 drip of new

00:47:31.620 emails, I

00:47:33.340 don't think

00:47:33.920 it's an

00:47:34.300 accident that

00:47:35.620 on day one

00:47:36.300 we didn't get

00:47:36.880 everything that

00:47:38.280 could be gotten

00:47:39.020 out of the

00:47:39.840 emails.

00:47:41.080 I think you're

00:47:41.880 going to see

00:47:42.200 some more

00:47:42.600 emails, probably

00:47:43.940 some more

00:47:44.480 embarrassing

00:47:45.860 pictures come

00:47:47.880 out of that.

00:47:48.940 So it's going

00:47:49.700 to be pretty

00:47:50.200 ugly, and it's

00:47:52.060 totally working

00:47:52.820 for Trump.

00:47:54.000 Now does it

00:47:54.520 work well enough

00:47:55.100 to get him

00:47:55.520 elected when

00:47:56.160 these polls are

00:47:57.760 absolutely saying

00:47:59.080 that he won't?

00:48:00.640 Scott, can

00:48:03.780 you predict

00:48:04.360 a late

00:48:04.860 October surprise?

00:48:06.620 Well, what

00:48:07.200 do we have?

00:48:07.680 A little less

00:48:08.140 than three

00:48:08.780 weeks before

00:48:09.400 election.

00:48:11.740 Three weeks

00:48:12.580 is a long

00:48:13.620 time.

00:48:15.280 The odds

00:48:15.960 of us not

00:48:16.800 having another

00:48:17.620 surprise, one

00:48:18.700 way or the

00:48:19.120 other, the

00:48:19.940 odds of that

00:48:20.480 not happening

00:48:21.180 seem vanishingly

00:48:22.760 small.

00:48:23.600 The only

00:48:24.080 question will

00:48:24.680 be whether

00:48:25.100 it will be

00:48:25.440 natural or

00:48:26.360 manufactured.

00:48:28.160 because what

00:48:30.060 we've learned

00:48:30.580 is that the

00:48:31.540 left can

00:48:32.060 manufacture a

00:48:33.240 rumor and

00:48:34.880 it will be

00:48:35.760 completely

00:48:36.260 covered by

00:48:37.000 the press.

00:48:37.920 But if the

00:48:38.640 right manufactures

00:48:40.100 a rumor, it

00:48:41.960 won't be

00:48:42.340 covered.

00:48:43.200 So there is

00:48:44.560 an advantage

00:48:45.100 for the left

00:48:45.780 to come up

00:48:46.460 with a good,

00:48:47.460 juicy, impossible

00:48:49.040 to verify

00:48:49.760 rumor about

00:48:51.140 Trump right

00:48:51.960 around two

00:48:52.940 weeks before

00:48:53.600 election, where

00:48:55.000 there might be a

00:48:55.680 few people left

00:48:56.520 who haven't

00:48:56.900 made up their

00:48:57.400 mind that

00:48:58.020 could be

00:48:58.420 could be

00:48:59.860 influenced.

00:49:00.940 So I would

00:49:01.500 say, yes,

00:49:03.260 something's

00:49:03.660 happening.

00:49:08.000 And that

00:49:08.980 is all I

00:49:10.100 have to talk

00:49:10.600 about today.

00:49:11.820 So I will

00:49:12.680 talk to you

00:49:13.340 tomorrow.

00:49:18.660 All right.

00:49:19.960 Periscope is

00:49:20.660 off.

00:49:21.220 Talking to

00:49:21.980 you YouTube

00:49:23.280 viewers only.

00:49:25.060 The Slaughter

00:49:25.560 Meter.

00:49:25.800 I'll tell you

00:49:26.420 that I was

00:49:27.920 ready to move

00:49:28.540 the Slaughter

00:49:29.060 Meter to

00:49:29.860 25% yesterday.

00:49:32.960 But this,

00:49:34.080 and I would

00:49:35.320 have done it

00:49:35.760 on the strength

00:49:36.600 of Trump

00:49:38.860 not performing

00:49:40.580 on health

00:49:41.240 care.

00:49:42.120 There is

00:49:42.780 still nothing

00:49:43.340 that you can

00:49:43.920 identify as

00:49:44.980 a Trump

00:49:45.500 health care

00:49:46.100 plan, or

00:49:46.900 Republican

00:49:47.400 plan, let's

00:49:48.080 say, that 0.63

00:49:49.160 would be the

00:49:49.980 immediate

00:49:50.760 replacement for

00:49:52.240 whatever is in

00:49:53.640 Obamacare that

00:49:54.540 they want to

00:49:54.940 get rid of if

00:49:55.700 the Supreme

00:49:56.200 Court goes

00:49:56.820 ahead and

00:49:57.220 gets rid of

00:49:57.640 it.

00:49:58.700 So I'm

00:50:00.160 going to say

00:50:00.460 this as

00:50:00.920 directly as

00:50:01.700 I can.

00:50:02.760 If Trump

00:50:03.760 loses the

00:50:04.560 election, and

00:50:05.840 it turns out

00:50:06.480 that health

00:50:07.220 care was the

00:50:08.220 big topic that

00:50:09.780 made the

00:50:10.680 difference, I'm

00:50:11.680 going to say

00:50:11.960 that was a

00:50:12.440 fair election.

00:50:14.060 I would not

00:50:14.880 argue one

00:50:16.340 minute against

00:50:17.980 the public

00:50:18.860 kicking Trump

00:50:19.920 out of office

00:50:20.640 for not

00:50:21.640 giving us a

00:50:22.560 health care

00:50:22.980 plan, that's

00:50:24.120 the obvious

00:50:24.640 replacement.

00:50:25.640 Now, I

00:50:26.000 don't believe

00:50:26.580 the Democrats'

00:50:27.840 criticism that

00:50:29.200 the Republicans

00:50:29.860 would get rid

00:50:30.620 of Obamacare,

00:50:31.860 and at the

00:50:32.560 same time, they

00:50:33.380 would just not

00:50:33.820 replace it with

00:50:34.460 anything, and

00:50:35.180 people would

00:50:35.580 just lose their

00:50:36.140 health care,

00:50:37.400 and they'd

00:50:38.780 have pre-

00:50:39.640 conditions,

00:50:42.520 which are

00:50:43.280 pre-existing

00:50:43.780 conditions, and

00:50:44.700 they can't get

00:50:45.180 health care.

00:50:45.860 I think the

00:50:46.340 odds of that

00:50:46.940 worst-case

00:50:47.520 scenario are

00:50:48.180 pretty close to

00:50:49.080 zero.

00:50:49.960 It's about as

00:50:50.680 close to zero

00:50:51.440 as anything is

00:50:52.300 in politics, but

00:50:54.300 if people are

00:50:54.760 afraid of it, it's

00:50:55.420 real.

00:50:56.320 The fear is

00:50:56.960 real, even if

00:50:57.780 the actuality is

00:50:59.440 not.

00:51:00.520 So, here's how

00:51:02.820 I'll feel.

00:51:04.420 Somebody was

00:51:05.060 asking me how

00:51:05.660 bad I would

00:51:06.160 feel if Trump

00:51:07.000 lost the

00:51:07.740 election, and

00:51:09.100 I'll tell you,

00:51:09.600 if he loses

00:51:10.180 the election

00:51:10.800 because of the

00:51:11.660 media, and

00:51:13.080 the only reason

00:51:14.060 is that the

00:51:14.720 fake news was

00:51:15.580 believed to be

00:51:16.220 real news, I

00:51:17.340 think I'd be

00:51:17.820 pretty upset

00:51:18.400 about that.

00:51:19.080 Because I'd

00:51:20.080 feel like I

00:51:20.840 lived in a

00:51:21.400 broken country,

00:51:23.040 and that lies

00:51:24.520 were the

00:51:24.960 determinant of

00:51:25.740 who was the

00:51:26.160 president.

00:51:27.140 But, if I

00:51:28.700 can be

00:51:29.080 convinced that

00:51:30.240 people voted

00:51:30.960 against Trump

00:51:32.280 and for

00:51:32.720 Biden, primarily

00:51:34.180 because of

00:51:34.940 concerns for

00:51:35.780 health care,

00:51:36.680 which would

00:51:37.100 include anything

00:51:38.000 coronavirus-related,

00:51:39.600 I would call

00:51:40.180 that a fair

00:51:40.800 result, and

00:51:42.080 also deserved.

00:51:43.700 In other

00:51:44.060 words, Trump

00:51:44.840 has created a

00:51:45.820 situation,

00:51:47.080 completely

00:51:47.680 knowingly,

00:51:48.700 that one

00:51:50.980 of the top

00:51:52.020 concerns in

00:51:54.200 the country,

00:51:54.780 health care,

00:51:55.920 he's just

00:51:56.420 sort of

00:51:56.740 letting it

00:51:57.560 dangle.

00:51:58.480 So that's

00:51:58.940 on him,

00:51:59.760 and there's

00:52:00.720 no forgiveness

00:52:01.420 for that.

00:52:02.640 I do

00:52:03.120 acknowledge that

00:52:03.800 he's done a

00:52:04.360 number of

00:52:04.700 things which

00:52:05.200 are good for

00:52:05.640 the competitive

00:52:06.280 situation with

00:52:07.160 health care,

00:52:07.920 very good

00:52:08.480 things, and I

00:52:09.660 won't take those

00:52:10.260 away from

00:52:10.660 them.

00:52:11.380 But on the

00:52:12.180 whole, he's

00:52:13.540 leaving the

00:52:14.040 country and the

00:52:15.260 seniors out there

00:52:16.180 just dangling.

00:52:18.560 If you're a 0.88

00:52:19.320 senior citizen

00:52:19.920 and maybe

00:52:22.620 you're not

00:52:22.940 worried about

00:52:23.340 losing your

00:52:23.800 health care,

00:52:24.880 but anybody

00:52:25.800 who's got

00:52:27.280 some risk of

00:52:28.100 losing health

00:52:28.680 care, you

00:52:30.640 should probably

00:52:31.020 vote for

00:52:31.400 Biden, honestly.

00:52:33.460 If I had

00:52:34.280 concern about

00:52:35.160 losing my

00:52:35.660 health care, I

00:52:37.200 probably would

00:52:37.900 vote for

00:52:38.320 Biden.

00:52:39.200 I probably

00:52:39.780 would, because

00:52:41.720 that would be a

00:52:42.240 big enough

00:52:42.580 topic.

00:52:43.500 All right, so

00:52:45.700 if the

00:52:46.080 president doesn't

00:52:46.920 fix that in

00:52:47.680 the next little

00:52:48.720 less than three

00:52:49.420 weeks, I would

00:52:50.860 say that he

00:52:51.380 deserves to

00:52:52.040 lose, because

00:52:53.300 that's such an

00:52:54.440 obvious high

00:52:56.780 priority topic

00:52:57.740 that just hasn't

00:52:58.960 been handled the

00:53:00.320 way it should be

00:53:00.980 handled.

00:53:01.600 So I would say

00:53:02.200 he deserves to

00:53:02.940 lose if it's

00:53:04.560 over health care.

00:53:05.660 That's my

00:53:06.320 opinion.

00:53:07.300 And I will

00:53:07.760 talk to you

00:53:08.420 tomorrow.

00:53:09.380 Thank you.

00:53:13.500 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 15, 2020

Episode 1155 Scott Adams： Hunter's Laptop and the Disappearing Story, and More

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Transcript