Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1161 Scott Adams： How Trump Wins the Next Debate, Stimulus Bill Solutions, Investing Advice, Hunter the Gatherer

00:00:00.000 Hum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum 0.99

00:00:02.160 Hum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum 0.99

00:00:05.860 Hum-bum-bum-bum-bum 0.98

00:00:07.920 Yes, I hope you're all done

00:00:11.860 tubing

00:00:12.940 and you're ready for Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:16.580 Best part of the day?

00:00:17.840 Well, okay, that first part was

00:00:19.880 pretty cool too, but

00:00:21.580 after that, after you're done

00:00:23.800 tubing, this is the best

00:00:25.780 part of the day.

00:00:27.400 And what do you need to

00:00:29.600 maximize the best part of the day?

00:00:32.300 Well, you might need a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or chalice or a stein, a canteen

00:00:35.660 jug or a flask or a vessel of any kind.

00:00:38.480 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:41.260 I like coffee.

00:00:42.820 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day, the thing

00:00:46.820 that makes everything better except my haircut.

00:00:51.400 It's called the Simultaneous Sip, and it happens right now.

00:00:54.500 Go.

00:00:54.740 Go.

00:00:59.060 Yup.

00:01:00.460 Just as good as I hoped.

00:01:02.740 Never disappoints.

00:01:04.820 Well, in my defense, I do look a little shaggy today, I have to admit.

00:01:11.100 But it's because Christina cuts my hair, just because it's way more fun than going to a barber.

00:01:18.220 And she is flying her, flying an airplane off to another state today as part of getting

00:01:27.340 her pilot's license.

00:01:28.660 So this will be her first solo cross-state flight.

00:01:34.020 And she's probably in the air right about now.

00:01:37.380 So wish her luck.

00:01:39.300 And if you see me with the haircut, it either means I tried to cut it myself or she came 0.97

00:01:43.380 back.

00:01:43.700 Let's talk about Biden's health.

00:01:48.620 You may have noticed, if you follow Ali Alexander, that he noticed that there were some tells that

00:01:57.440 Biden has that suggest maybe Parkinson's is a problem.

00:02:01.280 But I read Ali's text and I say to myself, hey, Ali Alexander, you're no medical doctor.

00:02:09.360 I'm not going to be repeating these slanderous potential medical claims from somebody who's

00:02:16.780 not a medical doctor.

00:02:17.740 But then, but then, in a twist I didn't see coming, an actual medical doctor, and not just

00:02:24.380 any medical doctor, Dr. Zev Zelenko tweeted essentially the same stuff.

00:02:31.760 Now, I don't know if you saw Ali's tweets.

00:02:34.800 I'm thinking he might have.

00:02:36.640 But this is what Dr. Zelenko, and by the way, if you recognize the name, he would be the

00:02:41.800 same doctor who was promoting hydroxychloroquine.

00:02:45.560 So you can put that in your box where you try to judge his credibility.

00:02:54.440 And here's what the doctor says.

00:02:55.820 And again, you all know that you should not be diagnosing people from a distance.

00:03:03.180 No doctor should be saying that somebody has a specific health problem if it's not their

00:03:08.140 patient.

00:03:08.560 So we all know the warnings, right?

00:03:11.480 I don't have to go over that.

00:03:13.400 And we all need to give it a grain of salt, all right?

00:03:17.500 But here's what Dr. Zev Zelenko tweeted.

00:03:19.940 He said, Biden has hand tremor, which I've seen on video.

00:03:24.820 It looks like a hand tremor to me.

00:03:26.720 I can't imagine.

00:03:28.500 There might be several reasons for that.

00:03:30.420 But anyway, so Biden has a hand tremor, reduced facial expression, Botox, handwriting

00:03:38.120 changes, he's old, slow shuffling gait, he's old, and cognitive changes.

00:03:46.460 We can all see those, but, you know, he's old.

00:03:48.880 So, and then Dr. Zelenko says he most likely has Parkinson's disease.

00:03:55.920 He is being used as an avatar.

00:03:58.260 Who is really running for president?

00:04:00.260 Elder abuse.

00:04:01.700 So this is coming from a doctor.

00:04:05.420 Now, I don't think we can conclude that just because one doctor tweeted about Biden that

00:04:13.780 he has Parkinson's.

00:04:15.660 So I'm not going to say that's true.

00:04:18.500 But here's my take on it.

00:04:20.900 He does disappear for long periods of time.

00:04:23.780 And it's really hard to explain that if the campaign thinks he's capable of performing.

00:04:30.880 So you have to assume that the campaign does not believe he's capable of performing on a

00:04:36.480 day-to-day basis.

00:04:37.720 Obviously.

00:04:38.240 If he were capable, he'd be out there.

00:04:41.140 I don't see any exception to that.

00:04:44.580 But I would have to say that Biden has impressed me so far in terms of at least looking healthy.

00:04:51.880 When he shows up for a debate or one of these stump speeches, he looks completely healthy,

00:04:58.880 doesn't he?

00:04:59.960 The only trouble is when he's trying to answer a question or go off the script a little bit.

00:05:05.760 And I even said that his stump speech looks kind of perfect.

00:05:13.160 You know, I was listening to his kind of standard thing he says about Trump now when he's giving

00:05:18.580 his speeches.

00:05:19.760 It's super visual.

00:05:21.940 He's got a really good, let's say, theatrical read to his own material.

00:05:28.900 So he shows emotion.

00:05:30.780 He shows empathy.

00:05:31.780 He shows, you know, I don't know, certainty, shows commitment.

00:05:37.940 You know, his voice is really good from an actor or political perspective.

00:05:44.360 And I don't think it was even a month ago.

00:05:46.920 I feel as if Biden's act, if you will, the one he's crafted into this neat little package

00:05:53.300 he always presents, because he always says the same things, right?

00:05:56.580 When he talks about the fine people hoax, you know, he says it's real, but he says, just

00:06:02.200 imagine them, folks.

00:06:03.200 Close your eyes.

00:06:04.440 The veins bulging from their neck.

00:06:07.100 Now, you've heard it a lot of times, but it's very visual.

00:06:11.300 And if you listen to his whole stump speech, just appreciate how well he has honed it and

00:06:19.960 crafted it, obviously, with lots of expert help, until it's really tight.

00:06:25.140 It's really tight.

00:06:25.920 He hits all the notes, very visual, good emotion.

00:06:30.140 But here's the problem.

00:06:32.300 And it might be at least part of why we don't see much of him.

00:06:37.400 I don't think he can do anything else.

00:06:41.000 Because when you see him nail that canned speech, he's reading it.

00:06:46.140 And when he does have to do something without reading it, it's usually a little memorized

00:06:51.200 segment from the canned speech.

00:06:53.720 What would happen if every single time you saw Biden, he said exactly the same thing?

00:07:00.100 Because that's what's happening.

00:07:02.360 It's exactly the same.

00:07:03.860 And that also suggests maybe some mental impairment or a little mental risk that we don't see

00:07:12.780 with Trump.

00:07:13.960 Trump goes out there, and he's got his written thing he can read from, and he does go to it.

00:07:19.020 But he's mostly doing stand-up comedy, live without a net, five days a week or something, or whatever he's doing.

00:07:29.620 Or how many is he doing?

00:07:31.280 Like five rallies a day or something crazy toward the end of the election cycle?

00:07:36.680 So I don't think there's any comparison to their mental acuity.

00:07:43.560 One can go out there and riff all day long, take the toughest questions from 60 Minutes.

00:07:49.080 We'll talk about that.

00:07:50.220 And everybody else.

00:07:51.700 And Biden can't.

00:07:53.620 And that's got to be pretty obvious to everybody.

00:07:56.000 By the way, I love Trump's strategy of going just nuts on rallies and public events the last several days before the election.

00:08:08.860 And here's why that's so brilliant.

00:08:11.040 Number one, it might work.

00:08:12.960 You know, that extra work could be the difference.

00:08:16.300 But suppose it isn't.

00:08:18.160 It's still a great idea.

00:08:19.720 Because one of two things will happen.

00:08:21.540 Either he will win, and if he wins, what will he be able to say about his win?

00:08:28.620 He'll be able to say he outworked Biden, right?

00:08:32.060 And everybody will agree.

00:08:33.940 Because they'll say, well, Biden's hiding.

00:08:36.520 Trump is not even just doing a normal schedule.

00:08:39.080 He ramped it up to schedule times five.

00:08:42.320 And he's really, really killing it in these last weeks.

00:08:45.320 You're going to see the energy, the commitment, the drive, the hard work.

00:08:49.960 A lot of stuff you like.

00:08:52.760 Now, if he wins, he'll always be able to say, that's why.

00:08:57.000 I outworked him.

00:08:58.180 That is the best.

00:08:59.880 If you win in any competition, if you have the ability afterwards to say, I outworked him, that's just the best.

00:09:10.680 Because that's everything good about people is in that one statement.

00:09:16.080 I outworked my competitor.

00:09:18.160 That's what you like to hear.

00:09:19.120 Now, suppose he loses.

00:09:21.560 Suppose Trump loses.

00:09:23.500 Still, exactly the right strategy.

00:09:26.560 Because he can leave the field saying, I left it all in the field.

00:09:30.200 And you would look at it and you'd say, yeah.

00:09:32.920 Yeah, I would say, certainly if you're looking at those closing weeks, he left it all in the field.

00:09:38.340 You know, and you have to respect that.

00:09:39.860 And he would leave with the best first term of any president, I think.

00:09:44.780 You know, I would agree with Geraldo who said that.

00:09:47.160 So he's got a good strategy of going hard and it's going to make that comparison to Biden even more stark.

00:09:55.160 And of course, the way your brain is organized, it only understands things in comparison.

00:10:00.960 So the more anemic Biden is and the more he hides, the more beneficial it is for Trump to ramp it up to 10 because then that distance between them is increased.

00:10:13.820 And we only understand our world by difference, by comparison.

00:10:20.160 So he's just ramping up that comparison like crazy.

00:10:23.140 Very good strategy.

00:10:24.900 All right.

00:10:25.220 Let me take a little detour here to give you some investment advice.

00:10:31.660 Most of you might not need this.

00:10:34.540 But some of you might be thinking, I wouldn't mind investing someday if I had a little extra money.

00:10:40.360 So here's some investment advice.

00:10:42.480 Now, I don't give a specific investment advice in terms of a company to buy.

00:10:48.520 So I'm going to give you generic advice.

00:10:50.580 But I'll mention some companies just as examples.

00:10:53.840 And some of them are ones that I've bought.

00:10:56.700 Actually, everything that I mention next will be a company that I own some stock in.

00:11:02.080 So that's full disclosure.

00:11:03.580 So I'm not a financial advisor.

00:11:06.740 And I'm not a good investor.

00:11:09.680 So did you hear that?

00:11:11.680 I'm not a good investor.

00:11:14.560 If you look at my lifetime track record.

00:11:18.360 But there are some things that are just generally true about investing.

00:11:22.640 That you need to get right.

00:11:25.140 And recently, I'd say I'm getting those things right.

00:11:29.020 So number one, you should diversify.

00:11:30.900 You should not buy one stock or just a few stocks.

00:11:34.680 Anybody who buys one stock or just a few is putting too much risk in a few companies.

00:11:40.800 And even if they're great companies, you don't know that they're going to be around forever.

00:11:44.140 So diversify is number one.

00:11:47.240 If you get that right, you're in good shape with stocks.

00:11:50.320 Number two, I learned this tip from a billionaire.

00:11:55.860 A billionaire said, I only invest in monopolies.

00:12:00.120 And I said, what?

00:12:02.120 Because there's no such thing as a monopoly, right?

00:12:04.580 If we had a monopoly, it would get broken up by the government.

00:12:08.580 Because it's not legal to be a monopoly.

00:12:11.000 So how can you say you only invest in monopolies when they don't even exist?

00:12:16.200 And then he said, but we don't call them monopolies.

00:12:20.100 We call it the network effect.

00:12:23.000 And what has the network effect?

00:12:24.400 If you're trying to guess what billionaire, you won't be able to do it.

00:12:29.540 So don't assume that you can guess who it was.

00:12:34.000 And here's what the network effect is.

00:12:36.280 It means that if a bunch of people are using something, you can't leave it because all of your friends are with the other thing.

00:12:43.480 Facebook is the perfect example.

00:12:45.360 I don't own stock in Facebook, by the way, except within funds.

00:12:48.900 And if you wanted to leave Facebook, you could.

00:12:54.200 I mean, you could go to some other Facebook competitor, but all your friends and family are on Facebook.

00:12:59.000 So you don't.

00:13:00.280 It's just too hard.

00:13:02.560 So the types of companies that I would say fit into the category where you could leave them, they do have competition,

00:13:11.700 but it would be so hard that you're not going to do it.

00:13:15.300 And here's the list of companies that fit that.

00:13:20.260 Amazon.

00:13:21.460 Is anybody really going to compete with Amazon?

00:13:24.360 Because once you've got your one-click going on, you're kind of stuck with Amazon, aren't you?

00:13:30.560 So it's not technically a monopoly, but for all practical purposes, it's not going anywhere.

00:13:38.000 Apple.

00:13:38.840 Apple has competition, the entire Android universe, right?

00:13:42.380 But once you're in that Apple ecosystem, it's almost impossible to leave.

00:13:49.140 And I've tried.

00:13:50.260 I've tried a few times to say, ah, in the past, I've said, I'm going to get rid of this Apple stuff because I was mad at some product or something.

00:13:58.140 You can't.

00:13:59.420 It's almost impossible.

00:14:00.940 Because their products all work together so well that once you get in their universe, it's just easier to have all of their stuff and make it all work together.

00:14:09.300 Uh, Snapchat.

00:14:12.040 If you saw the news today, Snapchat is going nuts.

00:14:15.740 Uh, if you have young kids in your life, any teenagers you know, you know that Snapchat isn't going anywhere.

00:14:24.240 And in fact, it might pick up some of the TikTok business because they cloned some of that.

00:14:29.380 So Snapchat, again, how hard would it be for somebody to compete with Snapchat?

00:14:34.960 Easily.

00:14:35.840 There's nothing that they built.

00:14:37.060 It can't be built by somebody else.

00:14:39.220 But the kids are on Snapchat.

00:14:41.440 They're not going anywhere.

00:14:43.660 Talk to a 14-year-old and say, hey, do you use Snapchat?

00:14:50.480 The answer is yes.

00:14:52.200 If they're 14, they're using Snapchat.

00:14:53.980 And would you be willing to get off of Snapchat?

00:14:58.180 Nope.

00:14:59.420 All of their friends are on Snapchat.

00:15:01.600 They can't leave.

00:15:03.180 It's a monopoly for all practical purposes for a certain age group.

00:15:07.340 And that's the age group you want to capture.

00:15:09.540 Microsoft, same thing.

00:15:11.040 You can leave Microsoft, but they have such dominance in so many categories.

00:15:15.860 It's hard to imagine.

00:15:17.560 Twitter.

00:15:18.440 Twitter is another situation.

00:15:20.700 Yes, there are several other Twitter competitors.

00:15:24.120 Have you tried any?

00:15:26.380 It's like the most boring thing.

00:15:29.840 It's like eating a piece of bread with nothing on it.

00:15:33.720 Because there's not enough people there.

00:15:35.640 And all the people that you fight with and the excitement, the retweets, all of the energy is on Twitter.

00:15:42.700 You could leave, but you're not going to.

00:15:47.100 And then Tesla is the most interesting one on the list.

00:15:50.560 You could argue this one.

00:15:52.440 But I've heard Tesla described as a green energy play.

00:15:58.840 That it's not really a car company.

00:16:01.140 It's a company that knows how to store and manipulate energy.

00:16:06.780 So it's going to have its solar panels.

00:16:08.620 It's going to have batteries.

00:16:09.680 It's going to have automobiles.

00:16:11.860 At some point, it's really just an energy company.

00:16:15.700 And probably a dominant one.

00:16:17.380 And to the extent that their products work together, you'll be stuck.

00:16:21.040 All right.

00:16:21.320 So diversify.

00:16:22.740 But if you had to buy an individual company, make sure that it's a monopoly, meaning network effect.

00:16:28.760 And then here's the third tip.

00:16:30.820 All of those companies I mentioned, all overpriced.

00:16:35.140 Meaning it's too late.

00:16:37.320 You know, didn't you want to get into these companies?

00:16:39.360 But now they're sky-high prices.

00:16:42.060 They've already gone up twice.

00:16:44.000 It's too late.

00:16:45.640 So here's the third tip.

00:16:48.560 When there's a major downturn, that's when to get in.

00:16:52.440 So when we had the coronavirus hit, I took all of my cash that I had available,

00:16:57.380 and I dumped it into these companies that I mentioned, the ones I didn't already own.

00:17:03.900 And the play was that if the entire world fell apart, which is what coronavirus sort of threatened,

00:17:11.540 just everything's going to fall apart, it doesn't matter what stock you own.

00:17:15.800 It doesn't matter because the whole world fell apart.

00:17:18.760 If it doesn't fall apart, there are some stocks that are going to come back faster.

00:17:23.820 And digital ones were obvious.

00:17:25.460 Amazon was obvious because of the social distancing, et cetera. 0.96

00:17:29.460 So wait for a downturn, and don't buy only one of those companies.

00:17:35.060 If you're going to buy any of these network-effect companies, buy several of them

00:17:39.760 so you've got a little bit of a diversification.

00:17:42.720 All right, that's more than you wanted to hear.

00:17:45.460 I heard that Kaepernick wants to abolish police and prisons.

00:17:49.700 Does that sound crazy?

00:17:52.500 Kaepernick wants to actually get rid of the police and get rid of prisons.

00:17:56.400 How would you replace them?

00:17:57.800 Like, what kind of a system would you have?

00:18:00.920 Unlike most of you, I think it might be possible.

00:18:04.860 But you would really have to change things.

00:18:07.780 And I would like to suggest just a few ways that you could go about that.

00:18:13.740 Reason, you know, here's one way.

00:18:17.640 You could remove the reasons for crime.

00:18:21.380 Right?

00:18:22.320 Now, you couldn't do it in the inner city.

00:18:24.380 It's probably too hard to just turn the inner city into a no-police zone.

00:18:28.760 But suppose you were to start from scratch, just pick some place, and say,

00:18:33.020 all right, here's the place we're going to experiment.

00:18:34.980 It doesn't have too many problems, so, you know, it's like a blank field.

00:18:39.500 Could you create a situation where people just didn't have a reason to commit any crimes?

00:18:43.580 Because why do you commit a crime in the first place?

00:18:47.120 Well, you need food or you need resources or something.

00:18:51.340 What if you could get food or you could get resources and you didn't have to steal?

00:18:55.500 So, you might create a situation where the reason to have crime is much reduced.

00:19:02.860 It's hard to do, but you could imagine it.

00:19:05.740 At least you could get close to it.

00:19:08.500 Or you could have a surveillance state where you could do a crime,

00:19:13.240 but you would get caught 100% of the time.

00:19:15.280 So, imagine if you had a location that had that DNA technology that Othrum uses,

00:19:22.280 where if you did a crime and they got your DNA, they're going to catch you.

00:19:27.040 If you knew, you knew it with no doubt that if you did any kind of violent crime or sex crime,

00:19:34.760 you're going to leave some DNA and you're 100% going to get caught.

00:19:39.460 That would reduce crime if you knew you were going to get caught.

00:19:42.540 And let's say there was facial recognition and video everywhere.

00:19:47.540 Now, you might not want to live in that place.

00:19:50.280 I could see that.

00:19:51.760 But it is a system that would reduce crime.

00:19:55.860 And here is the ultimate move that Trump could make to own this category.

00:20:03.920 Here's what you don't want to do.

00:20:05.920 You don't want to just agree with Kaepernick because your base wouldn't like it.

00:20:11.180 So, Trump can't say, you know, that's a good idea.

00:20:14.880 I think we should get rid of cops and get rid of prisons.

00:20:19.100 You know that can't happen.

00:20:21.440 And if there are people who like this idea, and apparently there are.

00:20:26.080 A lot of people want some alternative to the police prison state.

00:20:31.160 Here's what Trump could do.

00:20:33.000 And I'm not suggesting he'll do it.

00:20:35.180 This is more along the lines of giving you a persuasion lesson.

00:20:39.560 Listen, here's what Trump could do.

00:20:42.260 It's called the high ground maneuver.

00:20:44.580 You've heard of it.

00:20:45.460 And it goes like this.

00:20:47.020 And before I say it, let's see if you can hit it on your own.

00:20:51.140 What could Trump say about the idea of getting rid of police and prisons that would be the high ground where he could sort of leapfrog it into a higher level of thinking that even the people who agree with Kaepernick would have to join him at the higher level?

00:21:07.400 That's the key to the high ground.

00:21:09.920 It's not a high ground maneuver unless the moment everybody sees it, they go, okay, we've got to go to that.

00:21:16.240 We've got to take that opinion because it's obviously a higher opinion than our own.

00:21:20.180 Here it is.

00:21:20.660 I don't know if that's a good idea to get rid of police and prisons, but we should test it somewhere.

00:21:29.560 Let's see what happens.

00:21:31.880 You see that?

00:21:32.940 That's the high ground.

00:21:34.300 Now, Trump is never going to suggest that.

00:21:37.440 I don't think there's any chance.

00:21:38.420 But if he did, it would completely remove the issue because he would be the one who had the most aggressive idea.

00:21:47.380 Because it's one thing to say, I'd like the world with no police and no prisons, but that's just sort of an idea.

00:21:54.560 Trump could actually go ahead of that and be more aggressive and say, you know, people have some ideas.

00:22:01.740 How do we know if they'll work?

00:22:03.640 Can't know until you test it.

00:22:05.420 Let's find a place, ideally not an inner city where they have too many problems.

00:22:10.140 They just need more police.

00:22:11.580 But if you could find a place that doesn't already have a lot of problems, let's see if you could build something.

00:22:16.800 Let's test it small, see what happens.

00:22:19.860 The moment he said that, he's more aggressive than the left is on their biggest issue.

00:22:27.160 And he wouldn't have to do a thing because it's not like he's the one who's promising to make the test.

00:22:32.440 He's just saying, let's test it.

00:22:34.200 Why are we arguing about it when we can just test it?

00:22:37.400 And we don't know which of these ideas will work.

00:22:40.360 Let's take a look.

00:22:42.960 Test this small.

00:22:44.560 All right, let me give you my wildest conspiracy theory.

00:22:47.480 Are you ready?

00:22:47.860 Now, if you're new to my periscopes, anytime I go full Alex Jones, I like to tell you that's what I'm doing so that you can put it in the proper context, as in, don't take it too seriously, but see if you can learn something from the topic, okay?

00:23:07.100 It goes like this.

00:23:09.420 Someday in our future, if it hasn't already happened, that's the conspiracy part, someday we are guaranteed to live in a future in which decisions will be made about society and politics and policies and all that.

00:23:25.180 And those decisions will be made by artificial intelligence.

00:23:29.440 How will you be able to identify a decision made by human beings versus a decision made by artificial intelligence?

00:23:38.560 As soon as the decision is made, and you hear that decision is made, how would you identify one that's, oh, that comes from machines?

00:23:48.260 And how would you know the one that came from humans?

00:23:51.740 Now, your first instinct might be, well, it's not artificial intelligence unless I can't tell the difference.

00:23:58.860 You know?

00:23:59.340 If I can't tell the difference, that's artificial intelligence.

00:24:02.680 But I would argue that there might be some ways to tell.

00:24:07.460 And I'm going to use as my example, you saw that Brennan and Clapper trotted out the repeat story about the Biden, Hunter Biden's laptop, maybe being Russian disinformation.

00:24:21.260 Now, they didn't say they have evidence it is.

00:24:23.820 They just said it has all the earmarks of a classic Russian disinformation plot.

00:24:29.900 Now, when you heard that, didn't you say to yourself, why are they using exactly the same discredited idea, the Russia collusion hoax, that these exact same people, including Schiff, who took the lie forward.

00:24:46.560 So you got Schiff, Brennan, and Clapper, the three least credible people on the entire planet Earth.

00:24:54.240 Their credibility has been destroyed by the whole Russia collusion hoax.

00:25:00.600 These are the most clownish, non-credible people in the world.

00:25:05.000 And on top of them being the most clownish and non-credible people in the world, they used the same lie, the very same lie that they had just used.

00:25:18.120 Now, what would a machine decision look like compared to a human decision in this very example?

00:25:25.420 If humans made the example, I'm sorry, if humans had decided on that Russia strategy with the laptops, do you think they would have?

00:25:36.420 Because it makes the main players look like idiots.

00:25:39.960 It makes Brennan, Clapper, and Schiff look like total morons and liars.

00:25:45.780 Would those three people have said, you know, I got an idea.

00:25:49.960 Let's just try the same play again.

00:25:52.060 Because that strategy doesn't take into account the egos of the humans.

00:26:00.720 That sounds like something a machine decided.

00:26:04.060 Because a machine doesn't care about your ego, but it does care about what works.

00:26:10.460 And is it possible that the machine could have determined something the humans wouldn't know,

00:26:16.120 which is, even though it's a repeat, and even though it's the same characters involved, that it would work.

00:26:22.880 That it might actually be the best play.

00:26:25.860 You know, your common sense from, let's say you're a Trump supporter, from your perspective as a Trump supporter,

00:26:32.000 it just looks batshit crazy.

00:26:34.920 It looks like literally the dumbest thing you could ever do.

00:26:38.460 Same bunch of liars with the same lie?

00:26:41.480 Are you kidding me?

00:26:42.940 You couldn't come up with a new lie?

00:26:44.840 So that's why it doesn't sound like a human decision.

00:26:48.800 It sounds like the AI said, if you do this, you're going to be able to move the news cycle the way you want to,

00:26:56.300 convince people the way you want to.

00:26:58.280 And I can imagine that the Brennan Clapper shifts, say, you know, I don't like this.

00:27:04.960 It's going to make me look stupid.

00:27:07.540 But if the AI says this is our best strategy, I still want to win.

00:27:11.580 So I'm going to do it.

00:27:12.720 So that would be the tell.

00:27:14.840 Now, can I tell you that a machine made that decision to trot out the Russia collusion thing?

00:27:21.140 I can't, right?

00:27:22.760 Because the other possibility is quite possible,

00:27:26.880 which is that the Democrats are so cynical and accurate, in other words, they're not wrong about this,

00:27:35.340 that enough of their base believes Russia collusion actually happened,

00:27:40.020 and they have such a stranglehold on the news that they can simply say the same thing happened as happened before,

00:27:48.400 and their base thinks it happened before, even though at least the Russia collusion part didn't.

00:27:56.860 Now, the part that did happen before, of course, is that Russia is always, you know, meddling with stuff.

00:28:02.100 So that part's true.

00:28:02.940 But they could have just said, this will work because the voters are that stupid and uninformed.

00:28:10.640 But all I'm suggesting is that if you see a strategy that looks crazy to you,

00:28:17.380 and it doesn't take into account the human egos that wouldn't have made a decision like you're seeing,

00:28:24.360 someday, maybe not this example, this might have been just a human decision,

00:28:28.540 but someday, that's what it's going to look like.

00:28:32.140 It's going to look like decisions that no human would have made,

00:28:35.320 because you look at it and you say, I wouldn't have made that decision.

00:28:39.280 It would have been too embarrassing.

00:28:42.300 Computer doesn't care. 1.00

00:28:44.460 All right, let's talk about Hunter and his laptop.

00:28:49.680 As I tweeted, and I don't know if anybody thought of this first,

00:28:53.880 but I didn't see anybody else claim credit for it,

00:28:56.580 but I said Hunter was a gatherer.

00:28:59.480 And he was gathering a lot of stuff.

00:29:01.540 Not all of it good.

00:29:03.540 There's a report today that Rudy Giuliani turned over the laptop to the FBI

00:29:10.140 because he found some potentially, allegedly, child porn on there

00:29:16.540 and some inappropriate text messages.

00:29:20.740 Now, the part that they didn't report,

00:29:23.320 and this is a scoop,

00:29:25.060 you haven't heard this anywhere,

00:29:27.480 so this will be the first time you hear this,

00:29:30.060 and this is why you listen to Coffee with Scott Adams,

00:29:33.500 because I have the scoops, all right?

00:29:36.040 So those inappropriate text messages

00:29:38.560 that were on Hunter Biden's laptop,

00:29:41.920 what Hunter didn't know

00:29:43.300 is that the entire time

00:29:45.340 he was actually texting with Putin.

00:29:49.160 That's how good Putin is.

00:29:50.700 He was pretending to be an underage girl

00:29:53.280 and texting with Hunter Biden.

00:29:55.700 No, that didn't happen.

00:29:59.120 But if you were a Democrat, you might have believed it.

00:30:03.900 All right.

00:30:04.660 So what do you think?

00:30:06.740 Do you think it's true

00:30:07.820 that there is child porn on Hunter Biden's computer?

00:30:12.060 I would give you this caution.

00:30:15.860 You probably are not going to hear a confirmation

00:30:18.200 one way or the other

00:30:19.220 because I don't know that the IBM,

00:30:20.980 the IBM,

00:30:22.020 I don't know that the FBI

00:30:23.420 would tell the public

00:30:25.780 what's on the laptop

00:30:27.020 if it wasn't relevant to,

00:30:28.860 you know, some,

00:30:30.040 I don't know,

00:30:30.440 I don't know any situation

00:30:31.440 that they would tell you the details

00:30:32.780 of what's on the laptop

00:30:34.540 before Election Day.

00:30:35.660 So if you were going to make a claim

00:30:38.740 against a competitor

00:30:40.460 or a competitor's family,

00:30:43.040 this is a really good one

00:30:44.640 because it's the most,

00:30:46.200 it's the most toxic

00:30:47.940 allegation you could make.

00:30:50.500 You know, what would be more than that?

00:30:51.880 Murder, I suppose.

00:30:53.300 But it's the most toxic allegation.

00:30:55.100 And because of the timing,

00:30:57.120 I don't believe that the Biden camp

00:30:59.940 will have any ability to refute it.

00:31:02.500 So it's kind of diabolical

00:31:04.620 because if this is not true,

00:31:08.020 it's the dirtiest trick

00:31:10.300 of all dirty tricks, right?

00:31:12.960 And we don't know if it's true.

00:31:15.260 And I'm going to try to maintain

00:31:16.920 a little bit of,

00:31:19.720 let's see,

00:31:20.580 I don't know if it's credibility

00:31:21.660 or lack of bias

00:31:24.660 to the extent that that's possible.

00:31:27.360 If this had happened

00:31:28.660 in the other direction,

00:31:30.600 if some kind of a claim like this

00:31:32.920 had happened against your candidate,

00:31:36.580 would you believe it was true?

00:31:38.820 You know, if something like this

00:31:39.980 had happened to Trump

00:31:40.920 or Trump's family,

00:31:42.520 would you automatically think,

00:31:44.140 oh yeah, those pictures are on there?

00:31:46.480 No, you wouldn't.

00:31:48.120 No, you wouldn't.

00:31:49.380 The first thing you'd think is,

00:31:51.440 if I don't see them

00:31:52.700 with my own eyes,

00:31:54.520 I'm not going to believe they're there.

00:31:56.140 So, when I see this,

00:31:59.380 while, you know,

00:32:01.220 it's not my job

00:32:02.040 to defend the Bidens,

00:32:04.260 I feel like there's a standard

00:32:05.940 we should all appreciate.

00:32:08.200 And that standard is,

00:32:09.280 if somebody gets accused

00:32:10.400 of something this bad,

00:32:12.960 child porn,

00:32:14.480 if you get accused

00:32:15.320 of something that bad,

00:32:16.820 you better show the goods.

00:32:19.100 All right,

00:32:19.340 you'd better have

00:32:20.200 some pretty solid proof of that,

00:32:22.560 or I'm not just going to accept it.

00:32:26.940 Now, I think also,

00:32:29.120 to be fair,

00:32:29.740 the child is not the father,

00:32:31.900 so you wouldn't necessarily

00:32:33.960 say you wouldn't vote for Biden,

00:32:35.780 even if you believe this to be true.

00:32:37.840 And I think you've got to put

00:32:38.780 a really big question mark

00:32:40.300 on the truth of this one.

00:32:42.080 If I had to bet,

00:32:43.200 I'd bet against it, actually.

00:32:45.740 You know, slightly.

00:32:46.700 I'd say 60-40,

00:32:47.860 it's not true.

00:32:49.340 But it's devastating

00:32:53.580 because the problem is

00:32:55.500 you don't want a president's family

00:32:58.920 to be blackmailable.

00:33:01.680 And this is the ultimate

00:33:02.960 blackmailable kid.

00:33:04.620 Hunter Biden is the most

00:33:06.680 blackmailable human being 1.00

00:33:09.360 who has ever walked

00:33:10.280 the face of the earth.

00:33:11.720 Is there any vice

00:33:14.120 that Hunter has not been accused of?

00:33:17.160 At least,

00:33:19.280 I mean,

00:33:19.800 this is the only one

00:33:20.560 that I haven't seen evidence of.

00:33:22.320 But the other stuff,

00:33:23.420 there's evidence.

00:33:24.220 You know,

00:33:24.420 the cocaine use,

00:33:25.920 the shady behavior,

00:33:27.180 the, you know,

00:33:28.460 the whatever.

00:33:30.760 So,

00:33:31.400 how do you,

00:33:32.800 and I don't know

00:33:33.520 if Trump will go right at this

00:33:36.060 because it is

00:33:37.140 a blackmail risk.

00:33:39.800 Now,

00:33:40.080 compare that

00:33:40.620 to the Trump family.

00:33:42.640 Did you think

00:33:43.580 that we would get

00:33:44.300 to the end

00:33:44.980 of a four-year cycle

00:33:46.580 of the entire

00:33:48.000 Trump family

00:33:48.840 being examined

00:33:49.780 in every way

00:33:50.660 they can be examined,

00:33:52.160 every whistleblower,

00:33:53.620 every,

00:33:54.240 you know,

00:33:54.840 every rock turned over,

00:33:56.900 and that as of today,

00:33:58.780 here's,

00:33:59.140 here's,

00:33:59.620 here's the biggest complaint

00:34:01.420 they found

00:34:02.100 about the president

00:34:02.940 so far

00:34:03.580 that we didn't already know

00:34:05.380 before the election,

00:34:06.400 let's say,

00:34:06.760 is that he's got

00:34:09.200 some smallish

00:34:10.140 bank account

00:34:11.660 in China

00:34:12.280 and that he paid

00:34:13.920 some taxes

00:34:14.620 to China

00:34:15.300 several years ago

00:34:17.000 when he was looking

00:34:17.720 for some licensing

00:34:18.840 deals over there.

00:34:20.560 That's it.

00:34:22.740 Now,

00:34:23.280 nobody is suggesting

00:34:24.200 that there's anything

00:34:25.680 improper

00:34:26.240 about having

00:34:27.080 a Chinese bank account

00:34:28.320 if you're

00:34:29.200 an international company.

00:34:30.780 That's not unusual.

00:34:32.000 And nobody is suggesting

00:34:33.340 that paying taxes

00:34:34.400 in a company

00:34:35.740 that you're,

00:34:36.340 in a country

00:34:36.840 you're doing business

00:34:37.740 is inappropriate.

00:34:40.420 And it wasn't

00:34:41.300 very much money

00:34:42.020 in the first place.

00:34:43.580 And

00:34:44.100 that's it.

00:34:46.100 That's it.

00:34:47.300 After four years

00:34:48.320 of digging,

00:34:49.160 the best you can

00:34:50.160 come up with

00:34:50.860 is that the president

00:34:51.980 has a legal

00:34:53.060 bank account

00:34:54.240 and legally

00:34:55.020 paid taxes

00:34:55.780 in another country.

00:34:57.800 That's all you got.

00:34:59.580 And this Hunter Biden

00:35:00.640 thing is a

00:35:01.340 target-rich environment.

00:35:02.560 So I don't think

00:35:03.040 you can compare them

00:35:04.040 on blackmail risk.

00:35:05.760 It's pretty clear.

00:35:08.520 When Biden was,

00:35:10.260 I guess,

00:35:11.080 only once maybe,

00:35:12.300 reporters have got

00:35:13.080 close enough

00:35:13.580 to ask him

00:35:14.280 about the laptop stuff.

00:35:16.400 And he's answered

00:35:17.260 and says,

00:35:17.980 it's a smear campaign.

00:35:20.000 If anybody tells you,

00:35:21.820 if you,

00:35:22.540 if you accuse

00:35:23.860 somebody of something,

00:35:25.320 if you accuse

00:35:27.780 somebody of something

00:35:28.600 and

00:35:29.780 they say

00:35:31.900 it's a smear campaign,

00:35:33.140 what do you assume

00:35:34.400 about the allegation?

00:35:36.360 That it's true.

00:35:38.200 Because if somebody

00:35:39.400 says,

00:35:39.940 did you murder

00:35:40.640 somebody,

00:35:41.900 do you say,

00:35:43.000 no,

00:35:44.140 I didn't murder

00:35:44.800 anybody,

00:35:45.260 are you kidding?

00:35:47.200 Or do you say,

00:35:48.400 that's a smear campaign?

00:35:51.160 One of those

00:35:52.000 two things

00:35:52.720 sounds potentially

00:35:54.120 true,

00:35:54.620 at least,

00:35:55.300 and the other

00:35:55.840 one doesn't.

00:35:56.980 Because if you say,

00:35:57.880 no,

00:35:58.220 I didn't commit

00:35:59.100 that crime,

00:36:00.240 it could be true.

00:36:01.220 It might be a lie,

00:36:01.980 but it could be true.

00:36:03.040 But if you say

00:36:03.740 it's a smear campaign,

00:36:04.880 you just said it's true.

00:36:06.600 I mean,

00:36:06.900 you might as well

00:36:07.500 just say,

00:36:08.100 no,

00:36:08.300 it's true.

00:36:09.240 Totally true.

00:36:11.040 So,

00:36:11.840 Biden is not

00:36:12.680 handling that well,

00:36:13.900 and that's part

00:36:14.400 of the reason

00:36:14.740 they're hiding him

00:36:15.540 from the public

00:36:16.180 for days,

00:36:16.780 I think.

00:36:18.320 And,

00:36:18.880 so,

00:36:20.620 he's got a,

00:36:21.280 he's got a tough one

00:36:22.100 on that.

00:36:22.400 We'll talk about

00:36:22.860 the debate in a minute.

00:36:23.940 I'll give some

00:36:24.800 debate strategies.

00:36:25.780 All right.

00:36:30.440 What about

00:36:31.040 the stimulus bill?

00:36:32.860 So,

00:36:33.440 I guess the

00:36:34.140 Democrats and

00:36:34.860 the Republicans

00:36:35.340 can't agree.

00:36:36.400 The Democrats

00:36:36.940 want a big bill

00:36:38.540 that has some

00:36:39.260 extra goodies

00:36:40.160 for Democratic

00:36:41.020 things.

00:36:42.160 The Republicans

00:36:42.740 want a smaller bill

00:36:43.940 where people

00:36:44.520 just get,

00:36:45.340 get some money.

00:36:46.620 The President

00:36:47.380 has suggested

00:36:48.520 that he wants

00:36:49.140 the higher amount,

00:36:50.260 but he's not even

00:36:50.900 going to get

00:36:51.380 Republicans to sign

00:36:52.880 on.

00:36:53.600 So,

00:36:53.920 what do you do?

00:36:54.400 Here is my strategy

00:36:56.420 and what I would

00:36:57.360 do on the

00:36:58.480 stimulus bill.

00:36:59.900 If I were

00:37:00.520 President Trump,

00:37:01.620 I would pick

00:37:02.340 a bigger number

00:37:03.140 than the Democrats

00:37:04.360 and a bigger number

00:37:05.820 than the Republicans.

00:37:07.340 And I would say

00:37:08.020 this.

00:37:08.780 The part you all

00:37:09.700 agree on is,

00:37:10.860 you know,

00:37:11.140 this base part

00:37:12.100 of cash

00:37:13.040 to send out

00:37:14.280 for the stimulus.

00:37:15.420 So,

00:37:15.880 that'll be in there.

00:37:17.120 So,

00:37:17.320 Republicans are happy,

00:37:18.480 Democrats are happy

00:37:19.300 with just this

00:37:20.580 part of the bill

00:37:21.500 that people

00:37:22.760 seem to agree

00:37:23.620 will send out

00:37:24.280 some cash.

00:37:25.420 On top of that

00:37:26.340 is the Pelosi

00:37:27.520 requests that

00:37:28.400 are kind of

00:37:28.800 poison pills.

00:37:30.080 These are things

00:37:30.740 that they want

00:37:31.280 to do

00:37:31.640 that the Republicans

00:37:33.580 don't think

00:37:34.260 should be part

00:37:34.880 of this bill

00:37:35.380 because there's

00:37:36.260 sort of all

00:37:36.640 this extra stuff

00:37:37.660 and things

00:37:38.640 for illegal

00:37:39.940 immigrants,

00:37:40.640 etc.

00:37:41.480 What Trump

00:37:42.300 could do

00:37:42.800 is say,

00:37:43.620 I want not

00:37:44.240 only as much

00:37:45.140 as Nancy Pelosi

00:37:47.200 wants,

00:37:47.940 but I want

00:37:48.760 twice as much

00:37:50.120 as that extra

00:37:51.780 part she wants.

00:37:52.900 so I want

00:37:53.860 all of the

00:37:54.440 stuff everybody

00:37:55.060 agrees with

00:37:55.820 and I want

00:37:56.860 all of the

00:37:57.580 money that

00:37:58.220 Pelosi wants

00:37:59.120 and then I

00:37:59.920 want to

00:38:00.220 double that

00:38:00.820 part.

00:38:02.200 Here's why.

00:38:03.520 And then you

00:38:03.920 say to the

00:38:04.420 states,

00:38:05.420 spend it the

00:38:06.060 way you want

00:38:06.560 to.

00:38:07.580 That's it.

00:38:08.860 That's the idea.

00:38:10.240 You take the

00:38:10.860 biggest amount

00:38:11.660 because nobody

00:38:12.620 can argue

00:38:13.160 against the

00:38:13.840 biggest amount.

00:38:14.900 You need to

00:38:15.620 dwarf Nancy

00:38:17.320 Pelosi's number

00:38:18.220 and say,

00:38:19.240 look,

00:38:19.440 I don't

00:38:19.880 agree with

00:38:20.460 the way

00:38:20.740 you want

00:38:21.080 to spend

00:38:21.460 it,

00:38:22.080 but can

00:38:22.460 you agree

00:38:22.960 with this?

00:38:24.020 Let's give

00:38:24.500 it to the

00:38:24.880 states,

00:38:25.340 the whole

00:38:25.640 bunch,

00:38:26.500 just give

00:38:26.960 the whole

00:38:27.300 bunch to

00:38:27.780 the states

00:38:28.320 and let

00:38:29.180 them spend

00:38:29.660 it the way

00:38:30.080 they want

00:38:30.520 to because

00:38:31.420 there's no

00:38:31.900 such thing

00:38:32.520 as too

00:38:33.100 much.

00:38:33.960 Because we're

00:38:34.660 in this weird

00:38:35.200 situation where

00:38:36.780 the risk of

00:38:37.380 doing too

00:38:37.800 little is

00:38:38.540 catastrophic.

00:38:39.640 The risk of

00:38:40.380 doing too

00:38:40.800 much is just

00:38:41.640 uncomfortable.

00:38:42.900 There's no

00:38:43.320 competition between

00:38:44.280 which way to

00:38:44.820 go.

00:38:45.540 And only

00:38:46.040 Trump could

00:38:47.600 do that.

00:38:49.440 Now,

00:38:50.040 you say,

00:38:50.420 which states?

00:38:51.120 Here's another

00:38:51.940 modification.

00:38:53.400 Suppose one

00:38:54.440 of the

00:38:54.860 problems that

00:38:55.800 the Republicans

00:38:56.300 have is that

00:38:57.140 it's some

00:38:57.540 blue states

00:38:58.300 that were

00:38:59.020 going to

00:38:59.260 get most

00:38:59.700 of the

00:38:59.940 money,

00:39:00.600 which seems

00:39:01.060 likely,

00:39:01.640 right?

00:39:02.100 Probably it

00:39:02.700 was going

00:39:02.960 to go

00:39:03.160 mostly to

00:39:03.660 blue states.

00:39:04.940 So you

00:39:05.460 say this,

00:39:07.080 what were

00:39:07.600 you planning

00:39:08.040 to give

00:39:08.460 to those

00:39:08.840 blue states,

00:39:09.880 Nancy Pelosi,

00:39:11.020 and what

00:39:11.420 would that

00:39:11.760 work out

00:39:12.280 per person?

00:39:13.680 And then

00:39:14.020 you just

00:39:14.360 say,

00:39:14.660 let's figure

00:39:15.600 it out

00:39:15.920 per person,

00:39:17.220 and you

00:39:17.560 just figure

00:39:18.000 out each

00:39:18.580 state gets

00:39:19.240 a per

00:39:19.720 person

00:39:20.140 amount.

00:39:21.000 Not that

00:39:21.560 you give

00:39:21.840 a check

00:39:22.260 per person,

00:39:23.580 but that's

00:39:24.040 the amount

00:39:24.760 you give

00:39:25.200 to the

00:39:25.520 state,

00:39:26.040 and they

00:39:26.520 can decide

00:39:27.060 how much

00:39:27.460 actually goes

00:39:28.100 to people,

00:39:29.140 and how much

00:39:29.540 goes to

00:39:30.040 anything else

00:39:30.720 that they

00:39:31.020 want.

00:39:31.920 So that's

00:39:32.680 where I

00:39:32.960 would go.

00:39:33.320 I would

00:39:33.560 go bigger

00:39:34.020 than Pelosi,

00:39:35.060 and I

00:39:35.540 would say,

00:39:36.700 you work

00:39:37.700 it out

00:39:37.980 at the

00:39:38.360 state level.

00:39:39.300 Let's

00:39:39.500 just make

00:39:39.920 it fair

00:39:40.600 by state

00:39:41.740 population.

00:39:43.280 And then

00:39:43.880 you just

00:39:44.560 do it.

00:39:48.180 Somebody

00:39:48.620 says it

00:39:49.080 should be

00:39:49.360 by head

00:39:50.280 count,

00:39:50.780 and that's

00:39:51.520 what I'm

00:39:52.000 saying.

00:39:52.780 It should

00:39:53.260 be by head

00:39:53.880 count,

00:39:54.540 but the

00:39:55.020 way you

00:39:55.340 get the

00:39:55.720 dollar

00:39:56.000 amount

00:39:56.420 that you

00:39:56.860 divide by

00:39:57.500 the number

00:39:57.920 of head

00:39:58.220 counts is

00:39:59.120 you take

00:39:59.480 the biggest,

00:40:00.160 biggest number

00:40:00.680 and just

00:40:01.520 say,

00:40:01.980 we've got

00:40:02.240 to do

00:40:02.520 it.

00:40:03.320 Timing is

00:40:03.940 more important

00:40:04.500 than

00:40:04.740 perfection.

00:40:06.260 I've told

00:40:06.700 you before

00:40:07.220 that speed

00:40:07.960 is the

00:40:08.600 new

00:40:08.800 intelligence.

00:40:10.940 If you've

00:40:12.000 got a

00:40:12.280 programmer,

00:40:12.780 you want

00:40:13.640 one that

00:40:13.960 can build

00:40:14.340 something

00:40:14.680 quickly and

00:40:15.440 then reiterate

00:40:16.280 when it

00:40:16.760 isn't good,

00:40:17.540 it's like,

00:40:17.800 oh, that

00:40:18.060 wasn't good,

00:40:18.780 try another

00:40:19.200 one, try

00:40:19.540 another one.

00:40:20.380 So a

00:40:20.820 fast programmer

00:40:22.000 is better

00:40:22.640 than one

00:40:23.120 who is

00:40:23.460 really smart

00:40:24.200 but is

00:40:25.060 plodding

00:40:25.620 through to

00:40:26.100 make sure

00:40:26.440 it's just

00:40:27.200 right on

00:40:27.720 the first

00:40:28.040 try.

00:40:28.820 You don't

00:40:29.140 really want

00:40:29.620 that employee.

00:40:30.780 And likewise

00:40:31.200 with this

00:40:31.740 situation,

00:40:32.500 if you're

00:40:32.860 in a

00:40:33.260 pandemic

00:40:33.740 and an

00:40:34.340 emergency,

00:40:35.660 speed

00:40:36.060 is more

00:40:36.760 important

00:40:37.120 than

00:40:37.580 accuracy.

00:40:39.140 And

00:40:39.440 speed

00:40:40.180 is more

00:40:40.780 important

00:40:41.160 than the

00:40:41.800 actual

00:40:42.180 amount.

00:40:43.780 Speed.

00:40:44.820 If the

00:40:45.840 president

00:40:46.260 says,

00:40:46.940 hey,

00:40:47.720 speed is

00:40:48.340 more

00:40:48.520 important

00:40:48.880 than

00:40:49.080 accuracy

00:40:49.620 and it's

00:40:50.340 more

00:40:50.560 important

00:40:50.920 than

00:40:51.160 quantity,

00:40:52.060 I'm going

00:40:52.420 to give

00:40:52.680 you the

00:40:52.940 big number

00:40:53.460 divided by

00:40:54.700 headcount,

00:40:55.440 let's do

00:40:55.980 it tomorrow.

00:40:57.500 That's a

00:40:58.200 pretty strong

00:40:58.760 argument.

00:40:59.820 All right.

00:41:00.040 I saw a

00:41:03.440 news item,

00:41:04.560 I think

00:41:04.780 New York

00:41:05.320 Times maybe,

00:41:06.460 that says

00:41:06.820 a new

00:41:07.180 poll says

00:41:08.440 that 50% 0.75

00:41:10.640 of Republicans

00:41:12.800 or no,

00:41:13.500 50% of

00:41:14.380 Trump supporters,

00:41:15.300 let's say,

00:41:16.380 believe the

00:41:17.200 QAnon

00:41:17.880 theory that

00:41:20.740 Trump is

00:41:21.800 working to

00:41:22.380 shut down

00:41:23.060 a major

00:41:23.800 network of

00:41:25.380 Democrat-run

00:41:26.240 pedophilia.

00:41:27.380 so QAnon

00:41:29.980 believes there

00:41:30.440 is some

00:41:31.020 organized

00:41:31.860 Democrat

00:41:33.300 pedophilia ring

00:41:34.380 operating around

00:41:35.220 the country

00:41:35.600 and 50%

00:41:37.180 of Trump

00:41:37.760 supporters

00:41:38.240 believe that

00:41:39.040 too.

00:41:39.560 Now I

00:41:40.760 would say

00:41:41.260 it kind

00:41:41.700 of depends

00:41:42.080 how you

00:41:42.400 ask that

00:41:42.960 question

00:41:43.420 because I

00:41:44.480 do think

00:41:45.020 I would

00:41:45.720 not be

00:41:46.080 surprised

00:41:46.520 if 50%

00:41:47.520 of Trump

00:41:48.000 supporters

00:41:48.500 believe there

00:41:49.700 are way

00:41:50.020 too many

00:41:50.460 powerful

00:41:50.960 people

00:41:51.500 doing their

00:41:53.500 own

00:41:53.780 pedophile

00:41:54.480 thing

00:41:54.880 and that

00:41:55.840 the president

00:41:56.800 is the

00:41:58.160 most effective

00:41:58.800 person going

00:41:59.600 after those

00:42:00.300 trafficking

00:42:01.600 and other

00:42:03.100 rings.

00:42:04.200 So I

00:42:04.940 think that

00:42:05.360 is true 0.89

00:42:05.800 sort of

00:42:06.240 directionally

00:42:07.040 that there's

00:42:08.460 too much

00:42:09.000 of it

00:42:09.420 it's a

00:42:09.800 big issue

00:42:10.340 and they

00:42:11.180 think Trump

00:42:11.760 would be

00:42:12.120 the strongest

00:42:13.100 force for

00:42:14.640 it and has

00:42:15.220 proven to be

00:42:15.860 I think

00:42:16.300 actually the

00:42:16.920 evidence shows

00:42:17.720 that.

00:42:18.640 But here's

00:42:19.160 the context

00:42:19.780 that's missing

00:42:20.300 from this.

00:42:21.180 If you hear

00:42:21.840 this story

00:42:22.420 out of context

00:42:23.340 you say to

00:42:23.900 yourself

00:42:24.260 man all

00:42:25.380 those Trump

00:42:25.900 supporters

00:42:26.400 they'll believe

00:42:27.500 anything.

00:42:28.880 But here's

00:42:29.420 the context

00:42:29.980 I would like

00:42:30.460 to add.

00:42:31.460 If you did

00:42:31.900 a poll

00:42:32.400 of Democrats

00:42:33.780 how many

00:42:34.820 of them

00:42:35.100 believe that

00:42:35.640 Russia collusion

00:42:36.520 was proven

00:42:37.240 by the

00:42:37.700 Mueller report?

00:42:39.000 Probably 50%.

00:42:41.040 Wouldn't you

00:42:41.460 think?

00:42:42.360 Maybe more?

00:42:43.540 Maybe 75%?

00:42:45.220 How about

00:42:45.820 this?

00:42:46.340 Do another

00:42:46.920 poll.

00:42:47.900 How many

00:42:48.260 Democrats

00:42:48.860 believe that

00:42:49.800 the fine

00:42:50.400 people hoax

00:42:51.200 was real?

00:42:52.020 A lot more

00:42:54.020 than 50%.

00:42:54.920 90%.

00:42:56.820 So if you

00:42:59.060 show only

00:42:59.720 one poll

00:43:01.020 and it's

00:43:01.520 about Trump

00:43:02.160 supporters

00:43:02.640 you can make

00:43:03.420 them look

00:43:03.880 foolish.

00:43:05.060 But if you

00:43:05.720 put it in

00:43:06.220 context and

00:43:06.980 say oh

00:43:07.600 it turns

00:43:08.480 out that

00:43:09.020 any group

00:43:10.120 of identifiable

00:43:11.060 people

00:43:11.560 you can

00:43:12.660 convince half

00:43:13.440 of them

00:43:13.800 of almost

00:43:14.720 anything.

00:43:16.080 It turns

00:43:16.400 out.

00:43:16.980 That's a

00:43:17.240 different

00:43:17.420 context.

00:43:18.460 New York

00:43:18.700 nine

00:43:19.080 nationally.

00:43:21.660 Is there

00:43:22.240 anything you

00:43:22.820 see,

00:43:24.280 smell,

00:43:25.020 or feel,

00:43:26.380 or sense

00:43:27.300 in any

00:43:27.800 way that

00:43:28.860 would suggest

00:43:29.440 that Biden

00:43:29.940 is up by

00:43:30.480 nine?

00:43:32.520 I don't

00:43:33.340 feel it.

00:43:34.740 Now we

00:43:35.420 could be

00:43:35.760 surprised.

00:43:36.440 anything

00:43:37.020 could

00:43:37.320 happen.

00:43:38.420 But I

00:43:38.960 feel as

00:43:39.420 though I

00:43:40.160 can remember

00:43:40.680 when the

00:43:41.140 fake news

00:43:41.700 at least

00:43:42.080 tried to

00:43:42.820 be real.

00:43:44.380 Because

00:43:44.580 publishing

00:43:45.960 Biden up

00:43:47.580 by nine,

00:43:48.700 that doesn't

00:43:49.520 even feel

00:43:50.020 like you

00:43:50.420 were trying

00:43:50.980 to tell

00:43:51.400 the truth,

00:43:52.060 does it?

00:43:53.040 Nor does

00:43:53.580 it feel

00:43:54.000 as though

00:43:54.480 they cared

00:43:58.560 if you

00:43:58.940 knew it

00:43:59.300 wasn't

00:43:59.600 true.

00:44:00.820 It's like

00:44:01.420 they didn't

00:44:01.760 even

00:44:01.960 care.

00:44:05.480 Yeah.

00:44:08.020 But it's

00:44:08.900 not the

00:44:09.180 only poll

00:44:09.620 out.

00:44:10.040 As you

00:44:10.300 know,

00:44:10.620 the

00:44:10.920 Trafalgar

00:44:11.580 poll

00:44:12.920 has

00:44:14.340 Trump

00:44:15.660 winning.

00:44:16.680 So now

00:44:17.420 we have

00:44:17.800 the most

00:44:18.400 credible

00:44:19.020 poll from

00:44:19.860 2016

00:44:20.560 has Trump

00:44:22.060 winning the

00:44:22.580 election,

00:44:23.200 because he's

00:44:23.640 ahead in

00:44:24.020 some of the

00:44:24.340 battleground

00:44:24.780 states.

00:44:25.140 And the

00:44:27.100 Trafalgar guys

00:44:28.520 do a much

00:44:29.580 more rigorous

00:44:30.920 attempt to

00:44:31.960 find what

00:44:32.580 they call

00:44:32.940 the hidden

00:44:33.400 Trump voters.

00:44:34.800 And as of

00:44:35.240 today,

00:44:35.640 they're saying,

00:44:36.560 oh yeah,

00:44:36.960 those hidden

00:44:37.380 Trump voters

00:44:38.000 are a big

00:44:38.480 deal,

00:44:38.860 there's lots

00:44:39.360 of them,

00:44:40.220 and Trump's

00:44:40.780 going to win

00:44:41.140 the election.

00:44:42.220 At the same

00:44:42.840 time,

00:44:43.160 the New York

00:44:43.500 Times says

00:44:44.020 Biden's up

00:44:44.600 by nine?

00:44:46.120 Those are

00:44:46.720 different planets.

00:44:48.460 So they

00:44:49.340 can't both

00:44:49.780 be true.

00:44:51.100 I'm going

00:44:51.640 to bet on

00:44:52.340 Trump already

00:44:54.100 being ahead.

00:44:55.140 And so

00:44:57.120 let's look

00:44:58.080 at how

00:44:58.480 things are

00:44:58.880 going to

00:44:59.060 look on

00:44:59.440 election

00:44:59.900 day.

00:45:01.220 And here's

00:45:01.960 some

00:45:02.220 persuasion

00:45:04.260 related concepts

00:45:05.400 to help

00:45:05.860 you out.

00:45:08.020 First of

00:45:08.660 all,

00:45:09.020 you can

00:45:09.440 see that

00:45:09.940 reality is

00:45:10.800 subjective

00:45:11.300 now in

00:45:12.120 a way that

00:45:12.560 maybe you

00:45:12.980 could never

00:45:13.360 have seen

00:45:13.720 it before.

00:45:14.640 Because as

00:45:15.160 we're watching

00:45:15.700 the mainstream

00:45:16.640 media disappear

00:45:17.740 the story

00:45:18.300 about the

00:45:19.680 Biden laptop,

00:45:21.320 you can

00:45:22.020 see that

00:45:22.580 the things

00:45:23.100 we imagine

00:45:23.700 are important

00:45:24.580 in our

00:45:25.100 world are

00:45:26.140 completely

00:45:26.700 assigned to

00:45:27.480 us.

00:45:28.320 I told you,

00:45:29.100 I've been

00:45:29.320 saying this

00:45:29.720 for maybe

00:45:30.340 over a

00:45:30.800 year,

00:45:31.580 that your

00:45:32.040 opinions are

00:45:32.740 assigned to

00:45:33.440 you by the

00:45:33.980 media that

00:45:34.480 you consume.

00:45:35.500 You think

00:45:36.020 you make up

00:45:36.520 your own

00:45:36.820 mind, but

00:45:37.280 it's just

00:45:37.580 not true.

00:45:38.660 And it's

00:45:38.940 observable,

00:45:40.580 measurable,

00:45:41.380 it's obvious.

00:45:42.440 We just get

00:45:43.160 our opinions

00:45:43.620 from the

00:45:44.080 media and

00:45:44.600 then we

00:45:44.900 adopt the

00:45:45.380 one that

00:45:45.760 feels right

00:45:46.680 for our

00:45:47.020 team.

00:45:48.240 And once

00:45:48.880 you realize

00:45:49.420 that,

00:45:49.880 then you

00:45:50.380 start to

00:45:50.860 really understand

00:45:51.540 the subjective

00:45:52.260 nature of

00:45:52.960 reality,

00:45:53.920 that somebody

00:45:54.400 else can

00:45:54.920 change your

00:45:55.400 reality just

00:45:56.240 by telling you

00:45:56.780 what to

00:45:57.080 believe and

00:45:57.500 then you

00:45:57.780 go do

00:45:58.380 it.

00:45:59.800 And so

00:46:01.400 in this

00:46:01.880 subjective

00:46:02.340 reality,

00:46:02.840 it can

00:46:03.280 change really

00:46:04.000 quickly and

00:46:05.140 it can

00:46:05.400 change based

00:46:06.040 on what's

00:46:06.460 in the

00:46:06.680 headlines.

00:46:07.540 Because if

00:46:08.240 something leaves

00:46:09.080 the headlines

00:46:09.620 for a while,

00:46:10.740 it's like it

00:46:11.320 doesn't matter.

00:46:12.680 It's like it

00:46:13.220 isn't important

00:46:13.820 anymore,

00:46:14.320 even if it

00:46:14.920 is.

00:46:15.640 And the

00:46:15.980 other part is

00:46:16.520 that you

00:46:16.780 can get used

00:46:17.480 to anything

00:46:18.060 if you live

00:46:19.900 it long

00:46:20.340 enough.

00:46:20.620 So for

00:46:21.740 example,

00:46:22.320 I would

00:46:22.540 say one

00:46:22.920 of the

00:46:23.100 reasons that

00:46:23.740 all the

00:46:24.800 violence and

00:46:25.600 the murders

00:46:26.580 in Chicago

00:46:27.380 are not

00:46:28.160 being solved

00:46:28.920 is because

00:46:29.840 it's gone

00:46:30.280 on too

00:46:30.760 long.

00:46:31.860 And we're

00:46:32.180 just used

00:46:32.600 to it.

00:46:33.700 You wake

00:46:34.640 up every

00:46:35.040 morning and

00:46:35.600 if you see

00:46:36.100 a story that

00:46:37.480 says 50

00:46:38.120 people were

00:46:38.740 shot in

00:46:39.240 Chicago,

00:46:40.140 it doesn't

00:46:41.040 even shock

00:46:41.780 you.

00:46:42.540 You just

00:46:43.060 got used

00:46:43.600 to it.

00:46:44.740 And do

00:46:45.360 you work

00:46:45.760 on the

00:46:46.040 things that

00:46:46.480 you got

00:46:46.820 used to?

00:46:47.900 Or do

00:46:48.320 you work

00:46:48.640 on the

00:46:48.900 things that

00:46:49.280 are new

00:46:49.660 and novel

00:46:50.260 and they're

00:46:51.900 setting your

00:46:52.440 hair on

00:46:52.860 fire?

00:46:53.500 You always

00:46:53.880 work on the

00:46:54.360 new stuff

00:46:54.920 because it

00:46:55.780 seems more

00:46:56.240 important.

00:46:57.060 Hey, it's

00:46:57.320 new.

00:46:58.060 People are

00:46:58.440 talking about

00:46:58.960 it.

00:46:59.620 People are

00:47:00.040 arguing about

00:47:00.580 it.

00:47:00.740 I guess this

00:47:01.260 is important.

00:47:02.260 It doesn't

00:47:02.820 mean it's

00:47:03.200 important.

00:47:03.820 It just

00:47:04.140 means it's

00:47:04.560 new and

00:47:05.000 novel.

00:47:05.800 So as

00:47:06.340 long as

00:47:06.640 you understand

00:47:07.060 your brain

00:47:07.580 is going

00:47:07.880 to concentrate

00:47:08.420 on what's

00:47:08.960 new and

00:47:09.500 novel,

00:47:10.060 and it's

00:47:10.580 not going

00:47:10.960 to care

00:47:11.260 about what's

00:47:11.700 important because

00:47:12.960 we don't

00:47:13.320 know what's

00:47:13.740 important.

00:47:14.440 We only

00:47:14.720 know what's

00:47:15.140 in front of

00:47:15.620 us and

00:47:15.940 what's exciting

00:47:17.020 us at the

00:47:17.560 moment.

00:47:20.260 check the

00:47:22.080 front page

00:47:23.160 of all of

00:47:24.260 your news

00:47:24.780 sources.

00:47:26.080 Do this

00:47:26.580 today.

00:47:27.900 Check all

00:47:28.960 the headlines

00:47:29.560 on CNN,

00:47:30.740 all the

00:47:30.960 headlines on

00:47:31.440 Fox,

00:47:32.100 MSNBC,

00:47:32.920 any news

00:47:33.380 source.

00:47:34.180 Check all

00:47:34.540 the headlines

00:47:35.000 and see if

00:47:35.660 you can find

00:47:36.480 the coronavirus

00:47:38.420 death count

00:47:39.760 for the

00:47:40.740 United States

00:47:41.640 for today.

00:47:43.940 It's not

00:47:44.740 there.

00:47:45.840 We got

00:47:46.200 used to it.

00:47:47.560 The biggest

00:47:48.360 problem in

00:47:49.020 the country,

00:47:49.520 coronavirus,

00:47:51.120 by far,

00:47:51.900 right?

00:47:52.340 I mean,

00:47:52.660 by far,

00:47:53.200 it's the

00:47:53.480 biggest problem.

00:47:54.560 It's not

00:47:55.420 even in

00:47:56.340 the news

00:47:57.180 because we

00:47:58.600 got used

00:47:59.060 to it.

00:47:59.980 Now,

00:48:00.440 is a

00:48:00.740 thousand

00:48:01.060 people a

00:48:01.600 day,

00:48:02.120 I think

00:48:02.560 it's a

00:48:02.820 little under

00:48:03.180 that now,

00:48:04.040 dying?

00:48:04.800 How big

00:48:05.360 of a

00:48:05.660 problem is

00:48:06.200 that?

00:48:07.120 That's a

00:48:07.680 really big

00:48:08.220 problem.

00:48:09.520 It's

00:48:09.820 gigantic.

00:48:11.480 But,

00:48:12.280 how much

00:48:13.040 of your

00:48:13.340 time did

00:48:13.880 you spend

00:48:14.320 today worrying

00:48:15.200 about traffic

00:48:16.080 accidents?

00:48:17.480 Also,

00:48:18.260 a very

00:48:18.640 large problem.

00:48:20.520 Fentanyl?

00:48:21.440 Did you do

00:48:21.920 something about

00:48:22.440 fentanyl today?

00:48:24.900 Lots of

00:48:25.540 people die

00:48:25.920 from fentanyl.

00:48:27.280 So,

00:48:27.680 if you get

00:48:28.280 used to

00:48:28.880 something,

00:48:29.480 it just

00:48:30.100 doesn't affect

00:48:30.740 you and

00:48:31.200 it falls

00:48:31.660 out of the

00:48:32.140 news because

00:48:33.080 the news can

00:48:33.800 only run

00:48:34.260 news that

00:48:35.220 you'll click

00:48:35.620 on.

00:48:36.540 And if you

00:48:36.920 think you've

00:48:37.380 seen that

00:48:37.800 news and

00:48:38.300 you're bored

00:48:38.760 with it and

00:48:39.240 it's just

00:48:40.000 an old story,

00:48:41.360 you don't

00:48:41.760 click on it.

00:48:42.920 So,

00:48:43.180 artificial

00:48:43.460 intelligence is

00:48:44.680 not going to

00:48:45.180 feed you up

00:48:45.900 more of the

00:48:46.880 old stories.

00:48:47.700 They're going to

00:48:48.020 give you the

00:48:48.420 new stuff.

00:48:49.520 And as

00:48:51.140 ridiculous as

00:48:52.620 this sounds,

00:48:54.040 the coronavirus

00:48:54.620 being, of

00:48:55.560 course, the

00:48:55.940 worst thing

00:48:56.420 that could 0.68

00:48:56.700 happen to

00:48:57.220 Trump,

00:48:58.020 it's sort

00:48:59.460 of becoming

00:48:59.900 not a story

00:49:00.600 because we

00:49:02.080 just got used

00:49:02.980 to a thousand

00:49:03.540 deaths a day

00:49:04.300 and most of

00:49:05.420 us don't even

00:49:05.920 know anybody

00:49:06.440 who died

00:49:06.900 from coronavirus.

00:49:08.020 And if we

00:49:10.220 do, they're

00:49:10.640 usually senior

00:49:11.340 citizens and

00:49:12.060 it impacts us

00:49:13.220 differently.

00:49:13.540 At the same

00:49:15.380 time, I

00:49:15.760 had predicted

00:49:16.300 over the

00:49:17.060 summer that

00:49:18.380 you should

00:49:19.260 not assume

00:49:19.940 that when it

00:49:20.480 comes to

00:49:20.860 election day

00:49:21.580 that the

00:49:22.400 United States

00:49:23.160 performance with

00:49:24.240 coronavirus will

00:49:25.120 look as bad

00:49:25.780 as it did

00:49:26.460 back in those

00:49:27.820 months.

00:49:28.160 And the

00:49:28.840 argument was

00:49:29.480 that the

00:49:29.800 other countries

00:49:30.500 that look like

00:49:31.080 they did a

00:49:31.520 good job

00:49:32.120 might look

00:49:33.240 like they're

00:49:33.660 doing a bad

00:49:34.240 job by

00:49:35.220 election day.

00:49:36.420 And sure

00:49:36.840 enough, the

00:49:38.100 European Union

00:49:39.460 has zoomed

00:49:40.520 past the

00:49:41.080 United States

00:49:41.860 on the

00:49:42.900 seven-day

00:49:43.400 rolling average

00:49:44.060 of confirmed

00:49:44.900 cases.

00:49:46.420 They just

00:49:47.100 zoomed past

00:49:48.020 us.

00:49:48.380 It's not even

00:49:49.380 close.

00:49:49.780 I think they

00:49:50.100 doubled.

00:49:51.340 So on

00:49:52.480 election day,

00:49:53.440 you're going

00:49:53.840 to say,

00:49:54.740 oh, the

00:49:56.100 United States

00:49:56.760 didn't do

00:49:57.440 or isn't

00:49:59.220 doing at the

00:49:59.760 moment.

00:50:00.480 It did worse

00:50:01.200 in the past.

00:50:02.340 But at the

00:50:03.160 moment, it's

00:50:04.100 not doing worse

00:50:04.820 than the

00:50:05.080 European Union.

00:50:06.500 How will that

00:50:07.120 affect you?

00:50:07.740 Remember,

00:50:08.220 everything is

00:50:08.860 contrast.

00:50:10.180 Everything is

00:50:10.760 compared to

00:50:11.440 something else.

00:50:12.740 So our

00:50:13.220 comparison was

00:50:14.160 we were down

00:50:14.700 here, everybody

00:50:15.800 else was up

00:50:16.420 here, but

00:50:17.300 everybody who

00:50:17.840 was up here

00:50:18.340 is coming

00:50:18.720 down to

00:50:19.120 here, or

00:50:19.940 at least

00:50:20.260 enough of

00:50:20.840 them are,

00:50:21.580 so that you

00:50:21.980 could make

00:50:22.280 the argument

00:50:22.780 of, well,

00:50:24.020 look what's

00:50:24.440 going on.

00:50:25.720 The other

00:50:26.240 thing that's

00:50:26.800 happening is

00:50:28.820 that we'll

00:50:29.500 have more

00:50:29.920 good economic

00:50:30.820 news, especially

00:50:31.820 close to the

00:50:32.600 election, because

00:50:33.640 we're coming

00:50:34.100 off such a

00:50:34.740 low base, it's

00:50:36.060 likely that any

00:50:36.920 economic news

00:50:37.700 will be positive.

00:50:39.080 Stock markets,

00:50:39.900 it's probably

00:50:40.440 good enough.

00:50:41.540 The Biden

00:50:42.140 laptop story is

00:50:43.480 in the news,

00:50:44.400 that's going

00:50:44.760 to be big.

00:50:46.860 And if the

00:50:47.800 biggest story is

00:50:49.300 a China bank

00:50:51.220 account owned

00:50:52.500 by the Trump

00:50:53.240 corporation,

00:50:54.460 they're sort of

00:50:55.740 running out of

00:50:56.340 weapons, aren't

00:50:57.620 they?

00:50:58.340 That's all they

00:50:59.100 could come up

00:50:59.660 with today, is

00:51:00.440 he has a legal

00:51:01.460 bank account in

00:51:02.360 another country.

00:51:02.960 Trump is doing

00:51:06.540 a good job of

00:51:07.520 sucking up the

00:51:08.620 news cycle.

00:51:09.840 I guess he may

00:51:10.940 or may not have

00:51:11.580 walked down of

00:51:12.340 his 60-minute

00:51:13.140 interview with

00:51:14.460 Leslie Stahl, and

00:51:16.260 that's just

00:51:17.180 perfect Trump

00:51:18.960 behavior.

00:51:21.160 Now, you might

00:51:21.600 say to yourself,

00:51:22.320 what a big baby,

00:51:23.300 he can't even

00:51:23.860 handle this tough

00:51:25.240 interview for 60

00:51:26.620 minutes.

00:51:27.700 That's not what's

00:51:28.700 happening.

00:51:29.660 What's happening

00:51:30.240 is that Trump

00:51:31.620 turned a story

00:51:34.400 of nothing,

00:51:35.080 which is he did

00:51:35.820 an interview, and

00:51:36.580 then the interview

00:51:37.100 itself would be

00:51:37.820 the story, he

00:51:38.840 turned it into a

00:51:39.680 story about how

00:51:40.340 the story was

00:51:41.000 made, which is

00:51:42.540 good for Trump,

00:51:43.500 because then that

00:51:44.080 changes the frame

00:51:44.980 to the fake news

00:51:46.780 is so unfair.

00:51:48.120 So he's sucking

00:51:49.360 up the news

00:51:50.560 cycles by walking

00:51:52.220 out of this

00:51:52.780 interview.

00:51:53.680 So now he's

00:51:54.680 got this whole

00:51:55.300 days and days of

00:51:56.520 talking about

00:51:57.760 Trump's behavior,

00:51:59.000 and how the

00:51:59.580 media was so

00:52:00.200 bad he couldn't

00:52:00.780 even sit there

00:52:01.400 to listen to

00:52:01.940 them anymore,

00:52:02.920 and that will

00:52:03.700 soften up whatever

00:52:04.580 happens in the

00:52:05.940 interview itself

00:52:06.620 when it airs.

00:52:07.800 So he's doing a

00:52:08.700 good job of

00:52:09.140 sucking up all

00:52:09.760 the energy there.

00:52:12.140 All right, here's

00:52:12.700 some debate

00:52:13.260 strategy.

00:52:14.960 I don't think

00:52:15.800 Trump takes

00:52:17.620 advice from the

00:52:20.680 public about what

00:52:21.780 he should do in

00:52:22.360 a debate, and

00:52:23.740 I'm going to

00:52:24.740 echo something

00:52:26.100 that I heard

00:52:27.220 Greg Gottfeld

00:52:27.980 say on the

00:52:29.760 five, which

00:52:31.120 is every time

00:52:31.900 you think you

00:52:32.540 know what

00:52:32.980 Trump should

00:52:33.600 do, you're

00:52:35.860 probably wrong.

00:52:37.380 And here's the

00:52:38.260 reasoning.

00:52:39.240 Did you become

00:52:39.960 president?

00:52:41.720 I mean, did

00:52:42.580 you?

00:52:43.360 You're so smart.

00:52:45.180 Are you

00:52:45.540 president?

00:52:46.520 Because he is.

00:52:48.260 And he got to

00:52:49.120 be president by

00:52:50.320 doing a whole

00:52:51.040 bunch of things

00:52:51.720 you were pretty

00:52:52.320 sure he shouldn't

00:52:52.960 be doing.

00:52:53.960 So if you've

00:52:54.680 got a guy who

00:52:55.260 continually does

00:52:56.220 things that you

00:52:57.380 would not have

00:52:57.980 done and you

00:52:58.740 would not advise

00:52:59.600 he do, and it

00:53:01.380 keeps working

00:53:01.980 because he's the

00:53:03.500 president of the

00:53:04.100 United States, can

00:53:06.040 you really be so

00:53:06.920 confident that your

00:53:08.060 genius advice he

00:53:09.800 should adopt versus

00:53:11.460 just being Trump?

00:53:13.100 Because just being

00:53:14.320 Trump absolutely,

00:53:17.960 unambiguously works.

00:53:20.260 that's the one

00:53:21.960 thing we can say

00:53:22.680 with complete

00:53:23.320 certainty, being

00:53:24.920 Trump works.

00:53:27.940 Now, that doesn't

00:53:29.320 mean it will work

00:53:30.140 exactly the same

00:53:31.120 for re-election, so

00:53:32.600 you can't

00:53:33.020 automatically say

00:53:33.840 it'll always work

00:53:34.900 or he couldn't

00:53:36.040 do it better, you're

00:53:37.380 not going to say

00:53:37.800 that.

00:53:38.500 But you should

00:53:39.360 tamp down your

00:53:40.260 certainty about your

00:53:41.840 own opinion of what

00:53:43.100 he should do.

00:53:45.100 You know, if you're

00:53:46.080 going to trust the

00:53:46.740 experts, I'd have to

00:53:48.620 say he's kind of an

00:53:49.680 expert on this

00:53:51.100 stuff, right?

00:53:52.920 Don't we listen to

00:53:53.800 the experts?

00:53:54.900 Are you an expert?

00:53:56.340 Did you become

00:53:57.040 president?

00:53:58.100 Did you beat

00:53:58.720 Hillary Clinton

00:53:59.480 spending a quarter

00:54:00.560 of what she spent?

00:54:01.420 No, you didn't.

00:54:02.440 You didn't do that.

00:54:03.900 But if you had

00:54:04.820 done that, if you

00:54:06.440 had beat Hillary

00:54:07.200 Clinton for president

00:54:08.320 spending a quarter

00:54:09.740 of the amount of

00:54:10.360 money she did, I 0.99

00:54:11.600 would call you an

00:54:12.360 expert because you're

00:54:14.020 pretty good.

00:54:15.700 So Trump is the

00:54:16.800 expert on this.

00:54:18.860 And I would say

00:54:19.620 that it's really

00:54:21.300 sketchy to judge

00:54:23.700 him or even

00:54:24.340 suggest things

00:54:25.200 because you know

00:54:25.680 he's not going to

00:54:26.180 use your suggestions.

00:54:27.580 But I'm going to

00:54:28.300 do it anyway because

00:54:29.740 sometimes there's a

00:54:30.900 persuasion lesson in

00:54:32.080 there.

00:54:32.500 But don't think this

00:54:33.400 is serious in terms

00:54:36.120 of Trump actually

00:54:36.900 using them.

00:54:37.820 Here are the things

00:54:39.040 I would say.

00:54:40.060 If, as we know,

00:54:42.360 Biden is going to

00:54:43.040 bring up coronavirus

00:54:43.800 because that's Trump's

00:54:45.420 biggest weakness.

00:54:46.120 But there is also a

00:54:48.460 time limit in this

00:54:50.160 venue so Trump can

00:54:52.300 make a response

00:54:54.080 that's his best

00:54:54.840 response and then

00:54:56.220 sort of run out the

00:54:57.060 clock.

00:54:57.940 Here is how I would

00:54:58.980 handle it.

00:55:00.000 Joe Biden says you

00:55:01.520 did everything wrong

00:55:02.900 on the coronavirus and

00:55:04.040 look at our bad

00:55:04.700 results.

00:55:06.020 If I'm President

00:55:07.260 Trump, I say, well,

00:55:09.540 you know, even our

00:55:10.700 experts don't know why

00:55:12.120 some countries are

00:55:13.140 doing much better

00:55:13.980 than others.

00:55:16.300 That's it.

00:55:17.920 Our experts, who you

00:55:19.880 say we should listen

00:55:20.960 to, don't know why

00:55:22.980 Sweden is doing 0.50

00:55:23.780 better.

00:55:24.100 It's kind of a

00:55:24.640 mystery.

00:55:25.380 We don't know exactly

00:55:26.360 why Germany is doing 0.88

00:55:27.400 better and we don't

00:55:28.420 know why some of the

00:55:29.340 Asian countries are 0.97

00:55:31.060 doing better.

00:55:32.040 We do believe that

00:55:33.260 things like masks and

00:55:34.860 social distances matter,

00:55:36.620 but when you study it,

00:55:38.120 it's just not that

00:55:38.980 clear.

00:55:39.880 There seem to be a

00:55:40.900 lot of variables for

00:55:42.000 everything from travel

00:55:43.540 to cultural

00:55:44.600 differences, how

00:55:45.920 many black citizens

00:55:48.160 are in your country

00:55:49.000 because they get it

00:55:49.720 worse, what's your

00:55:50.820 obesity situation.

00:55:52.500 So we actually can't

00:55:53.800 tell how much of

00:55:55.200 that is leadership

00:55:56.000 because, frankly,

00:55:57.480 all of the leaders

00:55:58.260 were following expert

00:55:59.320 advice.

00:56:00.480 Nobody ignored

00:56:01.340 experts because,

00:56:02.700 you know, that

00:56:03.720 would be crazy.

00:56:04.860 So you can't really

00:56:06.260 tell.

00:56:07.020 Not only that,

00:56:08.280 but we're doing

00:56:09.840 way better than

00:56:10.540 other countries at

00:56:11.660 the moment,

00:56:12.700 and he could use

00:56:13.380 the EU example.

00:56:14.980 So here's the

00:56:16.800 mistake way to

00:56:18.160 respond to the

00:56:19.220 coronavirus charges.

00:56:21.080 The mistake way is

00:56:22.500 that Biden makes an

00:56:24.320 allegation and then

00:56:25.340 you defend yourself.

00:56:27.500 Being defensive

00:56:28.360 looks like losing.

00:56:30.380 If you've noticed,

00:56:31.820 Trump is really smart

00:56:33.080 about not defending

00:56:34.400 and it drives you

00:56:35.620 crazy because there'll

00:56:37.140 be some allegation

00:56:38.060 and you'll say to

00:56:38.740 yourself, okay,

00:56:39.340 if this were me,

00:56:40.140 if I were Trump,

00:56:41.800 I would say why

00:56:42.580 that allegation is

00:56:43.540 false.

00:56:44.220 Like I would give

00:56:44.780 the reason,

00:56:45.620 maybe I'd give my

00:56:46.360 source, and I

00:56:47.480 would destroy that

00:56:49.100 reason.

00:56:49.920 And he doesn't do

00:56:50.780 it.

00:56:51.400 He just leaves the

00:56:52.640 accusation there and

00:56:54.220 your hair is on fire

00:56:55.480 and you're like,

00:56:56.200 are you crazy?

00:56:57.560 You're just going to

00:56:58.180 leave that leg there? 0.78

00:56:59.680 And instead what he

00:57:00.800 does is he goes on

00:57:01.760 attack, which is not

00:57:03.980 crazy.

00:57:04.680 because if he makes

00:57:06.240 his attack more

00:57:07.700 sticky than the

00:57:09.260 allegation, he

00:57:10.480 didn't need to get

00:57:11.300 rid of it.

00:57:12.160 He just needs to

00:57:13.000 make more noise on

00:57:14.880 his point than

00:57:16.400 Biden made on his

00:57:17.380 point.

00:57:17.940 He needs to make

00:57:18.800 Biden look worse

00:57:19.760 than him.

00:57:20.800 He doesn't have to

00:57:22.000 rehabilitate his own

00:57:23.420 reputation on each

00:57:25.060 point.

00:57:26.280 Now, would you do

00:57:27.420 that?

00:57:28.280 If I put you in a

00:57:29.580 debate, would you

00:57:31.980 have the, let's

00:57:34.920 say, the brains

00:57:36.000 and the discipline

00:57:37.920 to not ever

00:57:39.960 answer a direct

00:57:41.200 allegation that

00:57:42.100 you know you

00:57:42.720 could debunk, you

00:57:44.140 could debunk it

00:57:44.800 with one sentence.

00:57:47.040 Could you not do

00:57:48.000 it?

00:57:48.840 I couldn't.

00:57:49.840 If you put me on

00:57:50.800 that stage, I

00:57:52.160 would fall into

00:57:52.900 that trap every

00:57:54.220 time.

00:57:54.740 I would just be

00:57:55.380 defending and

00:57:56.080 defending.

00:57:56.680 I didn't say

00:57:57.240 that.

00:57:57.940 That's not true.

00:57:59.220 I didn't do

00:57:59.780 that.

00:58:00.380 You're exaggerating.

00:58:01.980 That's what I

00:58:02.520 would do.

00:58:03.500 Bad.

00:58:04.400 Bad.

00:58:05.020 What Trump

00:58:05.520 does is he

00:58:06.520 lays down five

00:58:08.280 nuclear bombs of 0.71

00:58:10.420 persuasion and

00:58:11.660 attacks on Biden

00:58:13.660 until you can't

00:58:14.820 remember what

00:58:15.340 Biden said.

00:58:16.840 Like, what did

00:58:17.540 Biden say?

00:58:18.400 I don't know.

00:58:18.800 It wasn't as

00:58:19.240 interesting as

00:58:19.820 whatever this was

00:58:20.740 because Trump

00:58:22.080 just set a

00:58:23.520 jungle on fire.

00:58:25.680 I mean, that's

00:58:26.480 a lot more heat

00:58:27.340 coming from this

00:58:28.140 direction.

00:58:30.180 But if it were

00:58:31.280 me, I would

00:58:32.320 say your

00:58:33.360 experts who

00:58:34.040 you love can't

00:58:34.920 tell why some

00:58:35.500 countries are doing

00:58:36.220 better, and that's

00:58:36.960 part of the

00:58:37.320 challenge.

00:58:37.920 If everybody knew

00:58:39.080 what worked, we'd

00:58:40.700 all have a better

00:58:42.300 outcome, but we're

00:58:43.400 still trying to

00:58:43.940 figure it out.

00:58:44.960 And would the

00:58:45.480 public believe that?

00:58:46.660 Would the public

00:58:47.320 say, is that

00:58:48.480 true?

00:58:48.800 We can't tell why

00:58:49.900 some countries are

00:58:50.680 doing better than

00:58:51.240 others?

00:58:51.920 And it is true. 0.71

00:58:53.580 If they went and

00:58:54.560 they went and

00:58:55.620 looked into it, they

00:58:57.120 would find out that

00:58:57.920 was true.

00:58:58.420 All right.

00:59:01.000 Here's the other

00:59:01.720 thing that Trump

00:59:03.020 could do that

00:59:04.480 would work.

00:59:05.560 You all saw the

00:59:06.260 joke about 50

00:59:07.320 cent didn't like

00:59:08.500 Joe Biden's tax

00:59:09.580 plan, so he said

00:59:10.360 he's going to vote

00:59:10.860 for Trump.

00:59:11.720 And then the joke

00:59:12.740 that went around,

00:59:13.800 for a while I

00:59:14.660 thought I was the

00:59:15.320 first one to come

00:59:16.040 up with it, but I

00:59:17.140 tested this with my

00:59:18.160 locals audience over

00:59:20.240 on locals.com.

00:59:21.760 And I asked them if

00:59:22.560 anybody else had

00:59:24.020 done that joke

00:59:24.620 before me.

00:59:25.160 And I think the

00:59:26.660 answer is yes, but

00:59:28.060 also that it was

00:59:29.440 such an obvious

00:59:30.160 joke, I guess, that

00:59:31.900 there were lots of

00:59:32.560 people who came up

00:59:33.280 with it at the

00:59:33.800 same time and

00:59:34.460 probably thought they

00:59:35.200 were the first

00:59:35.620 ones, the same as

00:59:37.200 I was hoping I was

00:59:38.320 the first one, but

00:59:39.620 I've come to believe

00:59:40.740 that I was not.

00:59:42.220 But here's the

00:59:42.840 joke.

00:59:43.460 50 Cent said that

00:59:45.160 with the Biden

00:59:45.680 tax plan, he

00:59:46.520 doesn't want to

00:59:47.120 become 20

00:59:48.040 cent.

00:59:49.100 Now, if Trump

00:59:50.940 uses that joke,

00:59:52.680 even though it's

00:59:53.340 been on social

00:59:54.020 media, the people

00:59:55.860 watching it probably

00:59:57.100 haven't seen it.

00:59:58.440 In other words, a 0.69

00:59:59.240 lot of the

00:59:59.500 Democrats probably

01:00:00.260 have never seen

01:00:00.940 this joke.

01:00:01.620 If you're on

01:00:02.080 Twitter and you

01:00:02.820 follow the

01:00:03.220 president, you

01:00:04.180 probably have seen

01:00:04.880 it.

01:00:05.620 But they haven't.

01:00:06.880 And 50 Cent is

01:00:08.560 not only famous and

01:00:10.360 he's black, so that 1.00

01:00:11.460 helps, but it's

01:00:14.380 clever and you

01:00:15.740 would just have to

01:00:17.280 report on this the

01:00:18.300 next day.

01:00:19.600 You know, if

01:00:20.620 your memory,

01:00:22.160 here's a good

01:00:23.460 general rule from

01:00:24.460 Dr.

01:00:25.520 Carmen Simon, who

01:00:26.500 says this.

01:00:28.120 You'll remember

01:00:28.920 about 10% of what

01:00:30.780 is presented.

01:00:31.640 That's just a

01:00:32.200 general rule.

01:00:33.300 If it's a 0.59

01:00:33.820 PowerPoint

01:00:34.720 presentation, if

01:00:36.380 it's a debate,

01:00:37.260 whatever it is,

01:00:38.300 it's about 10%

01:00:39.180 is going to stick

01:00:40.260 in your memory and

01:00:41.140 be the part that

01:00:41.780 you care about

01:00:42.380 later when you

01:00:43.700 vote.

01:00:44.540 So the

01:00:45.060 president simply

01:00:45.960 has to manage to

01:00:47.360 the 10%.

01:00:48.220 He doesn't have

01:00:49.400 to manage to

01:00:50.880 have everything he

01:00:51.940 does better than

01:00:52.740 everything Biden

01:00:53.560 does.

01:00:54.260 He just has to

01:00:54.980 make sure that

01:00:55.460 his 10% is

01:00:57.420 bigger and

01:00:58.660 hotter and

01:00:59.520 more interesting

01:01:00.140 than whatever

01:01:00.840 Biden's 10% is

01:01:02.180 he leaves you

01:01:02.680 with.

01:01:03.660 And so I

01:01:04.860 would go with

01:01:05.420 the taxes.

01:01:09.240 Well, compared

01:01:10.360 to other

01:01:10.880 countries at the

01:01:12.280 moment.

01:01:13.360 Because even

01:01:14.480 if you don't

01:01:15.140 like what Trump

01:01:16.040 did with

01:01:16.480 coronavirus back

01:01:17.820 in March,

01:01:18.380 if he says

01:01:20.420 at the

01:01:20.860 moment we're

01:01:22.020 doing better

01:01:22.520 than other

01:01:22.920 countries,

01:01:23.860 your reason to

01:01:24.700 replace him

01:01:25.220 goes, well,

01:01:26.600 okay, at the

01:01:26.980 moment we're

01:01:27.400 doing better

01:01:27.780 than other

01:01:28.120 countries.

01:01:29.220 And here's

01:01:30.140 another thing

01:01:30.640 that Trump

01:01:31.240 would never

01:01:31.720 say, but I

01:01:33.800 would.

01:01:34.720 You know,

01:01:34.900 there's some

01:01:35.360 things his

01:01:35.760 personality doesn't

01:01:36.740 line up with,

01:01:37.480 so you shouldn't

01:01:38.320 even ask him to

01:01:39.480 try to do this

01:01:40.080 sort of thing.

01:01:41.000 But it would

01:01:41.540 work for my

01:01:42.100 personality.

01:01:43.060 And I would

01:01:43.500 say, you know,

01:01:44.460 we were all

01:01:45.100 guessing in the

01:01:45.720 beginning.

01:01:46.800 We were all

01:01:47.480 guessing, because

01:01:48.860 even our

01:01:49.320 experts didn't

01:01:50.740 quite know what

01:01:51.400 to do.

01:01:52.320 You know, we

01:01:52.760 saw with masks

01:01:54.020 there was some

01:01:54.580 uncertainty, and

01:01:56.140 there were other

01:01:56.580 uncertainties.

01:01:57.540 So yeah, we

01:01:58.140 made some

01:01:58.560 mistakes, but we

01:02:00.380 have learned

01:02:00.780 from them, just

01:02:01.640 as all the

01:02:02.300 leaders of all

01:02:02.900 the countries

01:02:03.320 have learned,

01:02:04.160 and at the

01:02:04.660 moment we're

01:02:05.160 on the right

01:02:05.560 track.

01:02:06.740 How would you

01:02:07.440 feel about it

01:02:08.140 if your leader

01:02:09.280 said, yeah, we

01:02:10.500 didn't have a

01:02:10.980 choice, we had

01:02:12.220 to make some

01:02:12.680 guesses, everybody

01:02:13.800 made some

01:02:14.300 guesses, we

01:02:15.880 didn't do a

01:02:17.040 great job in

01:02:17.680 the beginning,

01:02:18.520 but we

01:02:18.800 learned from

01:02:19.300 that, and

01:02:19.640 now we've

01:02:19.960 corrected, and

01:02:20.540 we're looking

01:02:20.940 good.

01:02:21.420 That would

01:02:21.780 change everything,

01:02:22.520 wouldn't it?

01:02:23.520 Because we

01:02:24.560 actually are a

01:02:25.480 quite forgiving

01:02:26.320 species.

01:02:27.900 But you have to

01:02:28.680 ask for forgiveness

01:02:29.840 before it's

01:02:31.360 offered.

01:02:32.500 And although

01:02:34.060 that's not a

01:02:34.780 direct ask for

01:02:36.100 forgiveness, it

01:02:37.340 does lay out

01:02:38.120 the case that

01:02:39.540 let's cut

01:02:40.040 everybody a

01:02:40.640 break.

01:02:41.360 We didn't

01:02:41.880 know what we

01:02:42.420 were doing in

01:02:42.960 the beginning, we

01:02:43.840 just didn't

01:02:44.280 know.

01:02:44.560 But we're

01:02:45.700 getting smarter,

01:02:46.820 and we think

01:02:48.380 we have this

01:02:49.000 thing now.

01:02:49.760 That would be a

01:02:50.520 strong argument, and

01:02:51.480 it's the 10% you

01:02:52.540 would remember.

01:02:54.360 In other news,

01:02:55.580 Trump administration

01:02:56.460 is suing Google.

01:02:59.580 And I guess that's

01:03:00.300 been filed, or

01:03:01.340 it's official.

01:03:03.000 And it's the

01:03:03.980 largest antitrust

01:03:05.020 case against a

01:03:06.260 tech company in

01:03:07.020 more than two

01:03:07.540 decades.

01:03:08.380 So it's going to

01:03:09.200 be a big deal.

01:03:10.300 And here's the

01:03:11.340 essence of the

01:03:12.060 case.

01:03:12.420 There was a

01:03:14.440 secretive deal

01:03:15.100 under which

01:03:15.500 Google allegedly

01:03:16.520 paid billions of

01:03:17.560 dollars, or

01:03:18.100 allegedly does

01:03:19.060 right now, to

01:03:20.480 Apple to ensure

01:03:22.060 that its search

01:03:22.800 product is a

01:03:24.300 default on an

01:03:25.140 iPhone.

01:03:25.620 So in other

01:03:25.940 words, Apple

01:03:26.760 will make sure

01:03:28.080 that your search

01:03:29.160 is a Google

01:03:29.840 search, and

01:03:31.800 they have a

01:03:32.240 deal that they

01:03:32.780 get paid by

01:03:33.600 Google.

01:03:34.720 Now, given

01:03:35.680 how big of a

01:03:37.300 monopoly slash

01:03:38.520 network effect

01:03:39.500 Apple is, and

01:03:40.940 given that the

01:03:41.900 complexity of

01:03:43.040 your phone, and

01:03:43.920 not everybody

01:03:44.520 knows how to

01:03:45.120 use all their

01:03:45.620 technology, even

01:03:47.740 though you could

01:03:48.900 change that

01:03:50.220 default, how

01:03:51.680 many people

01:03:52.160 will?

01:03:53.380 We're creatures

01:03:54.720 of habit.

01:03:56.160 You're not

01:03:56.560 going to have a

01:03:56.960 reason to change

01:03:57.760 it.

01:03:58.300 You might be

01:03:58.980 happy with the

01:03:59.560 Google results.

01:04:01.240 So it's going

01:04:02.580 to be a

01:04:02.940 fascinating case.

01:04:04.020 I don't know

01:04:04.360 which way this

01:04:04.880 will go, but

01:04:06.080 the issues will

01:04:08.120 be friction.

01:04:09.020 Do you have

01:04:11.720 a barrier if

01:04:13.260 the barrier is

01:04:14.140 just friction?

01:04:15.800 Because friction

01:04:16.400 does change

01:04:17.060 behavior, and

01:04:18.060 if there's

01:04:18.440 friction to

01:04:19.200 changing that

01:04:19.940 default away

01:04:21.160 from the

01:04:21.560 Google search

01:04:22.180 engine, is

01:04:23.260 that enough

01:04:23.720 of a legal

01:04:24.340 case?

01:04:25.220 Can you say

01:04:25.780 you've created

01:04:26.540 enough friction

01:04:27.420 or taken

01:04:27.940 advantage of

01:04:28.600 friction to

01:04:29.720 create a

01:04:30.400 monopoly-like

01:04:31.540 situation because

01:04:33.560 you've taken

01:04:34.320 advantage of

01:04:34.940 people's lack

01:04:35.600 of knowledge

01:04:36.160 of how to

01:04:36.520 change their

01:04:36.980 default or their

01:04:38.240 laziness?

01:04:39.100 I don't feel

01:04:39.980 like that's

01:04:40.420 going to be

01:04:40.700 strong enough.

01:04:42.060 But how about

01:04:42.520 a free will

01:04:43.760 argument where

01:04:45.600 people don't

01:04:46.600 really have a

01:04:47.120 choice because

01:04:48.800 they're so busy

01:04:49.980 and they don't

01:04:50.620 know how to

01:04:51.020 do it and

01:04:51.640 it's not that

01:04:52.180 important to

01:04:52.720 them?

01:04:53.540 In essence,

01:04:54.860 your free will,

01:04:55.760 if you believe

01:04:56.280 that that's a

01:04:56.780 thing, has been

01:04:57.680 hijacked by

01:04:59.200 these companies

01:04:59.960 colluding to

01:05:01.700 do exactly

01:05:02.260 that, to

01:05:02.800 hijack your 0.67

01:05:03.460 free will.

01:05:04.320 Is that an

01:05:05.020 argument?

01:05:05.780 I don't know.

01:05:06.820 I think there

01:05:07.380 are going to be

01:05:07.700 some ground

01:05:08.180 breaking arguments

01:05:08.940 coming out of

01:05:09.440 this.

01:05:10.220 Could be

01:05:10.560 interesting.

01:05:12.400 All right, we

01:05:13.120 already talked

01:05:13.660 about Hunter

01:05:14.640 Biden's laptop,

01:05:15.820 if you're

01:05:16.320 joining us

01:05:17.360 late.

01:05:22.120 I'm just going

01:05:22.880 to look at

01:05:23.140 your comments

01:05:23.800 for a moment,

01:05:24.480 see if I

01:05:24.880 missed anything.

01:05:27.000 Oh, New

01:05:27.520 York Post is

01:05:28.320 doing a cover

01:05:28.960 on the 50

01:05:29.960 cent doesn't

01:05:30.680 want to become

01:05:31.120 20 cent.

01:05:32.600 Yeah, if the

01:05:33.400 New York Post

01:05:33.940 did a cover on

01:05:34.840 it, I think

01:05:35.380 that increases

01:05:36.060 the odds

01:05:36.760 that Trump

01:05:38.540 might pull

01:05:39.120 that out

01:05:39.520 during a

01:05:40.080 debate.

01:05:40.960 Because remember,

01:05:41.680 the whole thing

01:05:42.220 you're trying to

01:05:42.780 do is to

01:05:43.980 simplify and

01:05:45.240 leave somebody

01:05:45.800 with a

01:05:46.140 takeaway, the

01:05:46.760 thing they

01:05:47.060 remember.

01:05:48.520 If Trump

01:05:49.020 does his

01:05:49.480 usual thing,

01:05:50.680 where he

01:05:50.980 says, Biden's

01:05:52.100 going to raise

01:05:52.580 your taxes,

01:05:53.800 it's sort of

01:05:54.240 conceptual, there's

01:05:55.280 no picture

01:05:55.840 involved, and

01:05:56.980 then Biden

01:05:57.420 says, well, I'm

01:05:58.160 not going to

01:05:58.640 do that if

01:05:59.200 you're under

01:05:59.540 400,000, but

01:06:00.960 you're not sure

01:06:01.540 if it's

01:06:01.920 true, you

01:06:02.900 think Trump

01:06:03.600 might be

01:06:04.100 true, that

01:06:05.140 he's going

01:06:05.460 to raise

01:06:05.740 all of your

01:06:06.200 taxes, but

01:06:07.220 maybe not, so

01:06:08.940 it doesn't

01:06:09.220 really stick.

01:06:10.380 You're just

01:06:10.760 going to

01:06:11.020 default to

01:06:11.640 the side

01:06:12.020 that you

01:06:12.460 agreed on.

01:06:13.400 But as

01:06:13.720 soon as

01:06:14.040 you hear

01:06:14.360 the 50

01:06:14.920 cent became

01:06:15.520 20 cent, or

01:06:16.800 could become

01:06:17.360 20 cent, you

01:06:18.940 see him, and

01:06:20.820 you see the

01:06:21.300 50 become a 0.90

01:06:22.020 20.

01:06:22.800 The 50 and 0.89

01:06:23.680 the 20 almost

01:06:24.340 become a

01:06:24.980 visual at that

01:06:25.880 point.

01:06:27.120 That's sticky,

01:06:28.800 and could make

01:06:30.020 a difference.

01:06:32.180 All right.

01:06:35.520 Have I flown

01:06:36.620 with Christina?

01:06:37.740 Yeah, I was

01:06:38.080 saying at the

01:06:38.580 beginning that

01:06:39.920 Christina, my

01:06:41.320 wife, she's 1.00

01:06:43.440 taking flying

01:06:44.220 lessons, and

01:06:44.940 today's her

01:06:45.420 first solo

01:06:46.400 flight across

01:06:48.680 state lines.

01:06:49.500 She's doing her

01:06:50.200 first long

01:06:50.700 flight.

01:06:51.940 I have not

01:06:52.720 flown with

01:06:53.220 her, and 0.66

01:06:54.280 I'll tell you

01:06:55.020 why.

01:06:55.420 Most of her

01:06:56.020 early flying is

01:06:57.240 in what's

01:06:58.080 called, what

01:07:00.080 do they call

01:07:00.460 it?

01:07:01.540 tailwheel

01:07:02.440 airplanes.

01:07:04.300 A tailwheel

01:07:05.120 has a little

01:07:06.140 wheel toward

01:07:06.720 the tail, as

01:07:07.880 opposed to a

01:07:08.600 tripod, tricycle

01:07:10.080 kind of

01:07:10.580 situation.

01:07:11.960 A Cessna, for

01:07:12.720 example, has

01:07:13.460 like three

01:07:14.900 wheels that

01:07:15.760 are placed, so

01:07:16.760 it's easy to

01:07:17.380 land.

01:07:18.300 The plane

01:07:18.760 practically lands

01:07:19.620 itself.

01:07:20.560 But the

01:07:21.020 tailwheels are

01:07:21.840 meant for

01:07:22.460 aerial

01:07:23.720 acrobatics, so

01:07:24.980 they're the ones

01:07:25.500 doing the

01:07:26.060 barrel rolls, and

01:07:27.560 the stalls, and

01:07:28.560 the twists, and

01:07:29.160 stuff.

01:07:29.920 And those

01:07:30.360 planes are

01:07:30.920 hard to

01:07:32.080 land.

01:07:32.680 Yeah, the

01:07:33.160 pits, for

01:07:33.860 example, is

01:07:34.660 one of the

01:07:35.340 brands.

01:07:36.180 So those are

01:07:36.720 hard to

01:07:37.080 land, and

01:07:38.320 I'm going to

01:07:40.380 wait until

01:07:41.640 maybe she 0.99

01:07:42.460 invites me to

01:07:43.140 get into

01:07:43.440 Cessna.

01:07:45.780 I'm a little

01:07:46.600 freaked out

01:07:47.260 about the

01:07:47.820 barrel rolls, and

01:07:49.480 the hardest

01:07:50.260 plane in the

01:07:51.000 world to

01:07:51.460 land.

01:07:52.540 So I'm

01:07:53.700 going to

01:07:53.840 wait for the

01:07:54.320 Cessna

01:07:54.620 situation, I

01:07:55.360 think, on

01:07:55.720 that.

01:07:56.380 But we'll

01:07:56.820 do that later.

01:07:57.480 All right,

01:07:58.180 that's all

01:07:58.700 for now, and

01:07:59.400 I will talk

01:07:59.860 to you all

01:08:00.300 later.

01:08:04.120 How awkward

01:08:04.900 when I try to

01:08:05.540 sign off and

01:08:06.440 the interface

01:08:07.340 doesn't work.

01:08:09.520 All right, let's

01:08:10.080 see if I can

01:08:10.560 sign off of

01:08:11.320 YouTube.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 21, 2020

Episode 1161 Scott Adams： How Trump Wins the Next Debate, Stimulus Bill Solutions, Investing Advice, Hunter the Gatherer

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