Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1172 Scott Adams： Fake Polls, Election Day Unrest, Biden Chased Out of Texas, and More

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, come on in, gather around, it's time for Coffee with Scott Adams, the

00:00:15.240 best time ever.

00:00:18.100 Yeah, it's hard to imagine really a better way to spend the morning.

00:00:22.300 This is kind of as good as it gets.

00:00:25.580 Am I an hour early?

00:00:30.000 I am an hour early, delay savings time.

00:00:37.140 Well, interesting, because some of my clocks changed and some didn't, but guess what?

00:00:44.280 We're going to do this now, and it'll be here for the rest of you.

00:00:48.520 Those of you who are a little bit slow, you're going to get here.

00:00:52.900 But let me tell you, before I continue, I did know the time changed.

00:01:00.000 I did check the clocks, I did double check, and I triple checked to make sure I had the

00:01:08.140 right time.

00:01:09.460 And for reasons that are unclear to me, some of my digital clocks have not changed, but

00:01:15.680 some of them did.

00:01:16.300 Let me make sure that I'm not hallucinating.

00:01:19.480 Oh, damn it, they all changed.

00:01:25.620 Well, we're going to do this early.

00:01:28.700 Are you ready?

00:01:29.820 Yeah?

00:01:30.380 All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or chalice or a stein, a canteen jug or

00:01:34.980 a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:01:38.440 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:40.760 I like coffee.

00:01:41.440 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine to the day, the thing that

00:01:45.940 makes everything better.

00:01:48.140 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:01:50.660 And it happens now.

00:01:52.900 Go.

00:01:56.820 Oh, yeah.

00:01:58.200 It feels early, doesn't it?

00:02:01.320 Yeah.

00:02:01.680 It tastes a little bit early.

00:02:02.980 You can get that from the coffee.

00:02:07.920 All right.

00:02:08.540 Well, those of you lazy heads who are still in bed, I've been up since 3 a.m., as I often

00:02:13.860 am, because sleep is for the dead.

00:02:19.840 Every time I sleep, I say to myself, I don't like this sleep.

00:02:24.120 I don't like this at all.

00:02:25.680 So I like to pop out of bed as soon as I can.

00:02:28.600 Get on with the day.

00:02:30.120 And you should be like that, too.

00:02:32.980 And somebody says, you're robbing us of an hour.

00:02:35.960 It's not time.

00:02:39.820 I realize that I've done something terrible to many of you.

00:02:43.580 I've developed this habit of being here at a certain time because of the time change.

00:02:50.880 And by the way, I should tell you about this time change thing, because what you're seeing

00:02:56.140 is bigger than what it looks like.

00:02:59.460 What you think you just saw is that I just had a little brain fart and forgot it was the

00:03:07.600 time changed.

00:03:08.780 That's what you think, right?

00:03:11.100 But it's actually way bigger than that.

00:03:13.600 I recently had to just stop scheduling interviews because I couldn't show up on time.

00:03:22.180 And it wasn't that I would forget that I had something scheduled.

00:03:26.120 I have a very peculiar problem that I've literally never heard of anybody else have.

00:03:31.780 And it goes like this.

00:03:32.840 I have a calendar and time issue that's like a mental problem.

00:03:41.380 And I've always had it.

00:03:42.660 It's not related to smoking marijuana or anything like that.

00:03:45.920 It's a lifelong thing.

00:03:47.180 And it goes like this.

00:03:49.900 I can look at my calendar and somebody can say, we're going to meet at 8 p.m.

00:03:55.560 Put that on your calendar.

00:03:57.040 And I'll say, well, that's easy enough.

00:03:59.300 8 p.m.

00:04:00.740 On the 9th.

00:04:01.940 And I'll look at my calendar.

00:04:03.240 I'll go to the 9th.

00:04:04.780 I'll go to 8 p.m.

00:04:05.700 Make sure I got a p.m., not a.m.

00:04:08.160 Write it in there.

00:04:09.600 And then it's pretty easy, right?

00:04:11.040 Everybody in the world can do that.

00:04:12.880 You just write it down on your calendar exactly like it was given to you.

00:04:18.180 Except I can't.

00:04:20.520 About 4 out of 5 times I write it in the wrong place or the wrong time.

00:04:25.880 And so the way I had been correcting for that is whenever I was trying to schedule something,

00:04:32.000 I would send it to Christina, and she would schedule it on my calendar

00:04:35.720 because she's not defective in this way.

00:04:39.180 So this time change thing is part of that problem,

00:04:43.440 which is I can look at a calendar and see something that isn't there consistently.

00:04:49.980 It's not one of those things that happens once in a while.

00:04:53.000 It consistently, I can look at September 9th.

00:04:56.920 I can double-check it and triple-check it and go, okay, it's September.

00:05:00.960 It says the 9th.

00:05:02.320 That's the day I want.

00:05:04.200 And I'll turn away, and then I can turn back.

00:05:06.340 It'll be like October 6th or something, just a completely different day and time.

00:05:12.120 And this has happened all my life.

00:05:13.540 It's not some new thing.

00:05:15.840 And it seems limited to calendars and time.

00:05:20.620 I don't know what that's about.

00:05:22.020 Have you ever heard of that?

00:05:23.360 Has anybody ever heard of that?

00:05:25.220 Somebody says the same here.

00:05:27.440 If somebody else is having this problem, I'd love to hear about it.

00:05:31.560 Yeah, I am dyslexic, but I don't think that's exactly what's going on

00:05:36.420 because I actually hallucinate seeing different things.

00:05:40.140 So anyway, that's not why you signed up to watch this.

00:05:43.940 So there's a study out of Stanford University.

00:05:48.540 A bunch of economists.

00:05:50.160 I'm just guessing they might skew Democrat.

00:05:52.740 But a bunch of economists estimated that there have been at least 30,000 coronavirus infections

00:05:59.620 and 700 deaths as a result of Trump's 18 campaign rallies between June and September.

00:06:08.620 Do you believe that?

00:06:09.940 Do you believe that Trump killed 700 people by campaigning for president?

00:06:16.880 It's not impossible, is it?

00:06:19.920 I mean, it's not completely impossible.

00:06:21.540 But there's a little note on this article that you don't see in the headline

00:06:30.360 and you don't see it in the first description, so you might have missed it.

00:06:36.680 Here's the note you might have missed.

00:06:39.080 It hasn't been peer-reviewed.

00:06:42.880 Do you know how many peer-reviewed studies turn out later to be false?

00:06:50.380 About half.

00:06:51.540 About half.

00:06:53.120 So this has not reached the level of credibility of a peer review,

00:06:59.360 which is only right about half the time.

00:07:02.360 So it's below the credibility of something that's only right half the time.

00:07:06.680 Now, it does seem to be reasonable that if you have large gatherings, you would have more infections.

00:07:14.500 But 700 deaths?

00:07:17.500 It sounds a little political and maybe less scientific than it needs to be.

00:07:23.140 But I don't doubt that people died because of the activity.

00:07:28.300 But that's what everybody signed up for.

00:07:32.960 There's nobody who went to an outdoor rally with lots of people during a pandemic who said to themselves,

00:07:40.300 this is perfectly safe.

00:07:42.760 Nobody said that.

00:07:44.620 It's not like anybody was fooled by it.

00:07:46.920 Oh, it turns out, surprise, surprise, meeting in large groups during a pandemic spreads the disease.

00:07:53.640 They all knew that.

00:07:54.640 Everybody knew that.

00:07:55.560 And they made that choice.

00:07:57.300 They chose freedom in this particular context over risk.

00:08:03.980 Now, unfortunately, the nature of this virus is that when you take on risk, you're taking on risk for other people.

00:08:13.180 Which doesn't seem fair, right?

00:08:15.100 It's fair for you to take on a risk that's just for you.

00:08:19.160 But what happens when you take on risks for other people?

00:08:23.840 Is that what you signed up for?

00:08:25.860 Do you want a stranger deciding whether you live or die, or at least the odds of you living or dying?

00:08:31.480 Well, you don't want that, but it's not so very different than the rest of the world.

00:08:37.260 Meaning, if you get in your automobile and go somewhere, you're taking a risk for yourself, of course,

00:08:45.420 but you're taking a risk on behalf of all the other people driving, all the pedestrians, everybody else.

00:08:50.680 You are hoping that your activity does not kill anybody.

00:08:55.600 And there's lots of examples like that.

00:08:57.380 So, it's not that unusual that you take risks that are largely about yourself,

00:09:04.040 but they have some big impact on the rest of the world, too.

00:09:07.140 And I think you have to look at that not as a mistake, but as a choice.

00:09:13.880 Right?

00:09:14.760 The people who went to the Trump rallies,

00:09:17.880 there's no claim that there was something special about these rallies,

00:09:25.840 other than they were rallies, that there were a lot of people in one place.

00:09:30.480 So, I think these are people who said,

00:09:33.000 this is the risk and I choose to take it.

00:09:37.720 Is that the same as a mistake?

00:09:40.240 I don't think it is.

00:09:41.860 It's the opposite of a mistake.

00:09:43.900 It's what people chose.

00:09:45.200 It's a tragedy when anybody dies.

00:09:48.080 We're not going to, you know, gloss over that.

00:09:50.880 Death is death.

00:09:52.200 But these were choices, not mistakes.

00:09:55.320 And I think that's important.

00:09:57.560 All right.

00:09:59.500 Here's a funniest thing from this morning.

00:10:03.440 So, of course, I've tweeted that I think the polls are fake

00:10:07.120 and that the Iowa poll you saw went from Biden being up to Trump being up.

00:10:14.200 Oh, surprise, right before the election.

00:10:17.440 Oh, who saw this coming?

00:10:20.080 That right before the election, the polls would magically converge.

00:10:24.880 I did.

00:10:26.180 I've been saying it for a year,

00:10:27.900 that right before election day, the polls will magically converge.

00:10:32.120 And what will the pollsters be able to say?

00:10:35.860 Well, I guess Trump was campaigning pretty hard in those final days.

00:10:42.000 Really?

00:10:43.500 Really?

00:10:44.560 You think that's why the polls converge in the final days?

00:10:47.640 Because Trump is campaigning extra hard?

00:10:50.940 Now, I do think that campaigning makes a difference,

00:10:53.340 but it's not that.

00:10:54.840 It really isn't.

00:10:55.700 Because if he had campaigned just as hard in August,

00:11:01.240 do you think the polls would have closed?

00:11:03.780 No.

00:11:05.260 No, they would not have.

00:11:07.040 Now, what we assume about the polls,

00:11:10.380 there are a lot of people making assumptions.

00:11:13.300 Some of the smart people who were wrong in 2016,

00:11:16.900 and yet we still call them the smart people, I don't know why,

00:11:20.400 have said that, sure, sure, sure, they got it wrong in 2016,

00:11:23.900 but, you know, Scott, Scott, Scott,

00:11:28.120 they've learned from their mistakes.

00:11:30.860 They've made adjustments.

00:11:32.040 They know what they got wrong,

00:11:33.620 and it's been four years,

00:11:35.320 so they had plenty of time to adjust.

00:11:37.620 They're not going to make the same mistake again, Scott.

00:11:41.700 Well, what's wrong with that analysis?

00:11:44.600 What's wrong with the analysis

00:11:46.300 that says the pollsters learned from their mistakes,

00:11:50.760 and now they've corrected?

00:11:52.240 What's wrong with that?

00:11:53.900 It assumes they want it to correct, right?

00:11:57.680 And that's the assumption that we don't make,

00:12:00.480 because if they were wrong in 2016,

00:12:03.260 I don't think it's because they sampled wrong, necessarily.

00:12:08.520 I feel as though, because, you know, in 2016,

00:12:11.400 they were also, it was all Hillary's going to win

00:12:14.040 until the last days,

00:12:15.860 and then magically, magically, the polls converged.

00:12:19.180 It seems far more likely,

00:12:21.960 in my skeptical opinion,

00:12:25.320 it seems far more likely

00:12:26.980 that what happened was

00:12:29.240 that the pollsters wanted to show that,

00:12:33.600 when Hillary was running, 0.98

00:12:35.460 wanted to show that Clinton was way ahead,

00:12:37.280 because that helps fundraising, right?

00:12:40.700 If you have lots of fundraising,

00:12:43.380 or if you're trying to raise funds,

00:12:45.540 you want the people you're asking money of

00:12:48.340 to think it's money well spent.

00:12:51.340 Hey, this candidate can win.

00:12:52.820 So, I think the fake polls are all about

00:12:56.300 generating funds for the candidate.

00:13:01.840 And, of course, if you generate lots of funds

00:13:04.100 for the candidate,

00:13:05.060 where do those funds go?

00:13:07.360 Do they spend them?

00:13:09.040 Well, a lot of it is for travel-related stuff.

00:13:12.260 It takes a lot to move around.

00:13:14.320 But a lot of it is advertising.

00:13:15.760 So, it goes to the very media entities

00:13:18.780 that are doing the fake polls.

00:13:22.120 Do you see that?

00:13:24.160 The entities that survive on advertising dollars

00:13:28.980 would like more advertising dollars to be spent.

00:13:33.320 And what is the best way

00:13:34.420 to get more advertising dollars spent?

00:13:37.360 Well, do a fake poll.

00:13:39.460 Put your media's name on it.

00:13:43.180 So, it says New York Times plus something

00:13:46.000 or NBC plus something,

00:13:48.380 CNN plus something.

00:13:49.800 You know, they often pair up.

00:13:51.500 But you pair up

00:13:52.540 and put your credibility on it.

00:13:55.560 And then it says,

00:13:57.100 hey, Biden's looking good.

00:13:59.400 And then suddenly,

00:14:00.460 what happened to Biden's fundraising

00:14:02.400 when he looked like he was going to win?

00:14:05.580 Did you see?

00:14:06.440 He set records for fundraising

00:14:09.500 when his poll numbers looked good.

00:14:11.480 Where did that money go?

00:14:13.740 It went to the people who did the polls

00:14:15.940 in many cases.

00:14:18.220 And not all cases.

00:14:19.320 But in many cases,

00:14:20.640 the media companies,

00:14:21.700 the news business,

00:14:23.320 paired with a polling company.

00:14:25.140 So, it's kind of like

00:14:27.220 they made money for themselves

00:14:29.100 by giving you a poll result

00:14:31.420 that guaranteed the most fundraising,

00:14:34.360 which guarantees the most advertising spend

00:14:37.100 on those same outlets.

00:14:39.420 Do you see it now?

00:14:40.560 So, everybody who said,

00:14:43.440 I think they made a mistake in 2016,

00:14:46.140 but surely they have corrected their mistake,

00:14:48.720 is missing the most important part of the equation.

00:14:51.840 They don't want to correct that mistake.

00:14:54.320 It's not a mistake.

00:14:56.380 It's not a mistake.

00:14:58.300 It's a strategy.

00:14:59.520 And it's a good one.

00:15:00.380 And it works really well.

00:15:01.760 But the last part of the strategy is,

00:15:03.780 in order to keep their credibility for next time,

00:15:06.680 so that they can just do the same trick again,

00:15:08.700 they have to look for something in the news

00:15:11.340 and say,

00:15:12.420 oh, that thing in the news,

00:15:15.040 that's why the polls went from way apart

00:15:18.160 to suddenly they're very close at the end.

00:15:21.320 It's because the thing in the news.

00:15:24.120 2016, what was the thing in the news?

00:15:27.280 Comey doing his announcement about Hillary's emails.

00:15:30.340 In my opinion, that changed zero votes.

00:15:36.020 And yet, history records,

00:15:38.400 because the media gets to write history, right,

00:15:40.840 records that that changed the election.

00:15:43.380 Do you believe that?

00:15:44.880 It's been four years.

00:15:46.780 In four years, how many people have you met

00:15:49.240 who said to themselves,

00:15:51.180 you know, I was going to vote for Hillary Clinton,

00:15:53.800 but then Comey did that announcement 1.00

00:15:56.440 about the emails and changed my vote.

00:16:00.760 Have you met even one person who said that?

00:16:04.180 In four years?

00:16:05.480 Any of you?

00:16:06.920 You know, it would be not a big deal

00:16:08.380 if any one of us had never met somebody

00:16:11.580 who changed their vote because of that.

00:16:13.800 But look in the comments.

00:16:15.580 See if you can find anybody

00:16:17.260 in the thousands and thousands of people

00:16:19.320 in the comments

00:16:20.460 who have spent four years

00:16:23.240 probably interacting at least a little bit

00:16:25.580 with people who voted both ways.

00:16:28.900 Tell me one person

00:16:30.260 who said on that day that Comey came out,

00:16:33.660 well, I'm changing my vote because of this.

00:16:36.560 And yet we have been told to accept that

00:16:38.620 as the official explanation.

00:16:40.840 It's ridiculous, of course.

00:16:42.800 Nobody changed their vote because of that.

00:16:45.000 Not a single person.

00:16:46.140 And this time they're going to have to look

00:16:49.760 for something in the news,

00:16:51.160 something that's happening this week,

00:16:53.300 to say, oh, that's why it narrowed.

00:16:56.680 What do you think they're going to say?

00:16:59.520 Well, Trump has handed it to them.

00:17:01.940 What they're going to say is that

00:17:03.180 Trump did a lot more campaigning.

00:17:06.120 And they might even say that the,

00:17:08.580 what the media will call an illegitimate story,

00:17:12.660 which is the Biden,

00:17:14.080 and the Hunter Biden laptop stuff,

00:17:16.720 and whatever connections they have

00:17:18.340 with China and Ukraine.

00:17:21.140 And the media is going to say

00:17:22.480 those are the things.

00:17:23.840 Well, yeah, Trump did campaign more,

00:17:26.340 but also there was that dirty trick he did

00:17:29.020 by trying to tie Hunter to his father

00:17:32.040 as if they were connected.

00:17:34.320 They're connected.

00:17:36.320 And that'll be the official story.

00:17:38.960 And the public will,

00:17:40.240 at least half of the public,

00:17:41.620 will believe that's what happened.

00:17:44.120 They'll think the polls were correct.

00:17:46.860 Something happened that was a dirty trick.

00:17:49.540 Darn that Trump with his dirty tricks

00:17:51.800 and Hunter's laptop.

00:17:53.380 It changed the vote at the last minute,

00:17:55.640 plus his extra effort did make a difference.

00:17:59.220 And I guess it's because he didn't care

00:18:01.400 that people got killed.

00:18:03.560 Poor Joe Biden.

00:18:04.520 Again, he could never match what Trump was doing

00:18:07.540 because unlike Trump,

00:18:10.060 the uncaring monster that he is,

00:18:13.240 Joe Biden cares.

00:18:14.880 And he cares so much

00:18:15.980 that he's not going to campaign very hard

00:18:17.700 because if he did,

00:18:18.680 people might get infected.

00:18:20.500 So he cares.

00:18:22.220 He doesn't want to infect you.

00:18:23.680 So what could he do?

00:18:24.700 He couldn't match what Trump was doing

00:18:27.100 because he's not a monster.

00:18:28.840 He's not a monster.

00:18:30.460 What choice did he have?

00:18:32.140 Because Democrats love people.

00:18:34.300 They don't want to kill people.

00:18:36.160 They love you.

00:18:37.520 Not like these monsters

00:18:38.960 wearing their red hats

00:18:40.820 and driving their pickup trucks

00:18:42.300 all over Texas.

00:18:43.600 Not like them at all.

00:18:45.900 So that's the story you're going to get.

00:18:48.080 But here's the punchline of it all.

00:18:51.140 And if this doesn't make you laugh,

00:18:53.520 you're dead inside.

00:18:55.120 All right?

00:18:55.740 If you don't think this next part is funny,

00:18:58.320 you're in the wrong place.

00:19:02.700 You're watching the wrong Periscope.

00:19:05.480 So many of you know Jimmy Wales.

00:19:08.420 Jimmy Wales is one of the founders

00:19:10.440 or the founder,

00:19:11.820 I don't know how many there were,

00:19:13.380 of Wikipedia.

00:19:16.020 Now, I've communicated with Jimmy a few times

00:19:19.000 on various Wikipedia-related things

00:19:21.640 such as correcting the fine people hoax.

00:19:24.620 By the way, Wikipedia,

00:19:27.200 you know, there was a big battle

00:19:29.640 with the Trump supporters

00:19:31.980 and the Democrats

00:19:33.800 to get the Wikipedia page

00:19:35.840 on the fine people hoax

00:19:37.000 to correctly say that it's a hoax.

00:19:40.000 And for a while,

00:19:41.100 it looked like we were winning

00:19:43.120 to get the actual accurate story on there.

00:19:46.540 But I checked out it a little while ago,

00:19:48.380 and I think what they did was

00:19:49.660 they wrote it so confusingly

00:19:52.760 that you can't kind of tell what's going on.

00:19:55.120 So you're not really sure.

00:19:57.660 Did they call it out as a hoax?

00:19:59.580 Was it a hoax or not a hoax?

00:20:01.580 So the final refuge

00:20:04.180 of the people who are essentially

00:20:07.660 called out for spreading

00:20:09.780 the fine people hoax,

00:20:11.320 their last play,

00:20:12.680 and you saw this with,

00:20:14.160 was it PolitiFact,

00:20:15.720 the fact-checking group,

00:20:17.340 instead of just fact-checking it

00:20:18.940 as a hoax,

00:20:20.620 which it is and it's obvious

00:20:22.060 and you just have to read the transcript,

00:20:23.880 it's obviously a hoax,

00:20:25.380 instead of fact-checking it

00:20:26.720 like they fact-check everything else,

00:20:29.300 they just decided to

00:20:30.780 show you something long and confusing

00:20:32.780 so that they didn't have to fact-check it.

00:20:36.000 I mean, it's outrageously bold

00:20:38.680 what they do.

00:20:39.780 So Wikipedia is now

00:20:40.960 just a confusing page on that.

00:20:42.700 So you can't really tell

00:20:44.320 was it a hoax or not a hoax.

00:20:45.700 Anyway, but Jimmy himself,

00:20:51.000 I've communicated a few times

00:20:52.720 on Twitter,

00:20:55.100 and he's a nice guy

00:20:57.980 and I like him,

00:21:00.100 but he's very anti-Trump.

00:21:04.060 So I'm very pro-Jimmy Wales

00:21:06.520 and pro-Wikipedia,

00:21:08.000 even if you're not.

00:21:09.020 I know some of you are going to be like,

00:21:10.340 Wikipedia,

00:21:11.780 all that news is left-leaning fakeness,

00:21:14.940 but I think Wikipedia is actually

00:21:16.340 a national treasure.

00:21:20.660 You know, even with its flaws,

00:21:23.240 everything is flawed,

00:21:24.320 but even with its flaws,

00:21:25.460 I think Wikipedia is a national treasure.

00:21:28.120 And I like Jimmy Wales.

00:21:31.020 But this story is funny.

00:21:34.080 Okay.

00:21:35.020 So Jimmy sees one of my tweets

00:21:36.720 about the polls being fake

00:21:39.900 and Trump going to win,

00:21:41.800 and he said that,

00:21:48.960 oh, where's his exact tweet?

00:21:51.200 So he tweeted back at me,

00:21:52.500 I'll give you his exact tweet,

00:21:53.720 because he said,

00:21:55.840 or,

00:21:56.560 so he's saying,

00:21:57.740 instead of my view

00:21:58.800 that the polls are fake,

00:22:00.440 he goes,

00:22:01.200 or,

00:22:01.840 what if,

00:22:02.840 as seems infinitely

00:22:03.980 more likely and plausible,

00:22:06.700 all right,

00:22:06.860 now Jimmy is going to tell us

00:22:08.460 what is infinitely

00:22:10.200 more likely and plausible

00:22:11.960 than my hypothesis

00:22:13.940 that the polls are fake

00:22:15.560 because people are lying

00:22:16.720 to the pollsters.

00:22:18.280 He goes,

00:22:20.180 isn't it infinitely

00:22:21.360 more likely and plausible

00:22:22.560 the polls are not fake

00:22:24.060 and Trump is about to lose?

00:22:27.700 Given that you have

00:22:28.840 zero evidence of fakery,

00:22:30.620 he says to me.

00:22:32.380 Now,

00:22:33.540 do I have

00:22:34.760 zero evidence

00:22:36.140 of fakery?

00:22:38.260 So,

00:22:38.980 here's the funny part.

00:22:40.560 So I pinned it

00:22:41.760 to my Twitter feed

00:22:42.720 with a retweet

00:22:44.280 in which I asked

00:22:45.760 my followers

00:22:46.460 to write into

00:22:48.520 the comments

00:22:49.160 whether or not

00:22:50.000 they personally

00:22:50.800 have lied to pollsters.

00:22:53.160 How do you think

00:22:53.680 that went?

00:22:55.860 So,

00:22:56.720 for your

00:22:57.500 entertainment pleasure,

00:22:59.520 you know,

00:22:59.820 after this Periscope,

00:23:00.880 check out my pinned tweet

00:23:02.700 to Jimmy Wales

00:23:04.300 in which he says

00:23:05.900 there's no evidence

00:23:06.960 that people are lying

00:23:08.300 to pollsters

00:23:08.920 and then read the comments

00:23:10.600 of just person

00:23:11.840 after person

00:23:12.540 who has lied

00:23:13.160 to pollsters.

00:23:15.140 And,

00:23:15.940 now,

00:23:17.020 I will grant you,

00:23:18.600 I will grant you

00:23:19.520 that my,

00:23:20.460 you know,

00:23:21.100 comments within a tweet

00:23:22.400 are certainly not

00:23:23.580 a statistical

00:23:24.680 fact of any kind.

00:23:27.460 I will grant you

00:23:28.340 that the people

00:23:28.900 who follow me

00:23:29.500 on Twitter

00:23:29.840 are far more likely

00:23:30.940 to answer that way.

00:23:32.720 I'll grant you

00:23:33.560 all of that.

00:23:34.720 But,

00:23:35.500 the funny part

00:23:36.780 is that

00:23:37.400 in Jimmy's world

00:23:38.500 and his bubble,

00:23:40.280 and we're all in bubbles,

00:23:41.300 right?

00:23:41.520 He's not the only person

00:23:42.460 in a bubble.

00:23:43.360 But,

00:23:43.660 in his bubble,

00:23:45.120 there is no evidence

00:23:46.340 for this.

00:23:48.800 There's no evidence

00:23:49.920 that people

00:23:50.480 are lying to pollsters.

00:23:51.640 and I'm going to tell you,

00:23:54.860 nobody knows for sure

00:23:56.660 how this election goes.

00:23:58.580 Could I be wrong?

00:23:59.720 Sure.

00:24:00.700 Sure,

00:24:01.060 I can be wrong.

00:24:02.100 I think Trump

00:24:02.800 has it locked down now.

00:24:04.260 But I can be wrong.

00:24:05.900 We could all be wrong.

00:24:07.980 But I'll tell you

00:24:08.860 one thing I'm sure of.

00:24:11.020 There's plenty of evidence

00:24:12.280 that people have lied

00:24:13.860 to pollsters.

00:24:15.100 Don't know how many,

00:24:16.240 but there's plenty

00:24:17.100 of evidence.

00:24:18.700 And certainly,

00:24:19.540 anecdotally,

00:24:20.880 just if you're looking

00:24:21.640 at the crowd sizes

00:24:22.880 and everything else,

00:24:24.540 it would seem that way.

00:24:26.020 All right.

00:24:28.380 Are you ready for the,

00:24:30.000 well,

00:24:30.260 I'm going to give you

00:24:30.700 the good news first.

00:24:32.340 So,

00:24:32.720 you saw the Arizona poll numbers

00:24:34.520 where Trump

00:24:35.300 just flipped it.

00:24:37.160 Trump just went from

00:24:38.240 way down to way up

00:24:39.400 in Arizona.

00:24:40.800 Now,

00:24:41.140 do you think that's because

00:24:42.480 people change their minds?

00:24:45.780 No.

00:24:46.300 It's not because

00:24:47.820 anybody changed

00:24:48.700 their minds

00:24:49.640 in the last week

00:24:51.380 in Arizona.

00:24:52.680 That didn't happen.

00:24:54.580 People either started

00:24:55.620 answering the polls

00:24:56.640 accurately,

00:24:57.900 which would be

00:24:58.720 hilarious in itself.

00:25:00.420 Imagine if the only time

00:25:01.800 you answered the poll

00:25:02.720 accurately was

00:25:03.640 a couple of days

00:25:05.100 before the vote,

00:25:06.320 the election.

00:25:07.160 That would be

00:25:07.960 almost as good

00:25:09.160 as waiting,

00:25:11.020 you know,

00:25:11.780 as the Democrats

00:25:12.940 finding out

00:25:13.660 after election day

00:25:14.720 that people had lied.

00:25:16.300 But doing it

00:25:17.140 like the day

00:25:17.680 before the vote

00:25:18.500 to make them

00:25:19.160 extra scared,

00:25:20.640 it's like,

00:25:21.020 yeah,

00:25:21.460 actually,

00:25:22.120 I am going to vote

00:25:23.020 for Trump.

00:25:23.980 So,

00:25:24.400 I don't know

00:25:24.700 if anybody did that.

00:25:26.060 I'm just saying

00:25:26.660 it would be funny

00:25:27.420 if people had decided

00:25:28.440 to answer honestly

00:25:29.520 only once

00:25:30.800 and only the week

00:25:32.160 before the actual election.

00:25:35.260 I have no evidence

00:25:36.880 that that happened

00:25:37.720 to Jimmy's point.

00:25:40.120 But it would be funny

00:25:40.860 if it did.

00:25:41.780 So,

00:25:42.220 you've got that going well.

00:25:43.300 You've got these

00:25:43.820 gigantic crowds.

00:25:46.040 Did you see

00:25:46.460 the crowd

00:25:47.180 in Pennsylvania

00:25:48.060 for Trump?

00:25:49.940 It was crazy.

00:25:51.780 It was crazy.

00:25:53.020 But here's the most

00:25:53.820 fun part.

00:25:56.200 Biden took his

00:25:57.240 little douchebag

00:25:58.100 bus

00:25:58.540 to Texas.

00:26:01.400 How do you think

00:26:02.280 Biden's little douchebag

00:26:03.660 tour bus

00:26:04.880 did in Texas?

00:26:06.700 Well,

00:26:07.340 it turns out

00:26:07.880 that it was surrounded

00:26:08.660 by pickup trucks

00:26:09.660 with American flags

00:26:11.620 and ran them

00:26:13.360 out of Texas.

00:26:16.120 Now,

00:26:16.760 I'm laughing about it

00:26:17.980 while not encouraging

00:26:19.660 this behavior.

00:26:21.180 I do not encourage

00:26:22.300 anybody to run

00:26:23.220 anybody out of

00:26:24.080 any state,

00:26:25.080 much less a

00:26:26.120 presidential candidate

00:26:27.440 out of Texas.

00:26:29.520 But I can't say

00:26:30.680 it's not funny.

00:26:32.860 And by the way,

00:26:34.140 I believe

00:26:34.680 the Biden campaign

00:26:35.940 is exaggerating

00:26:37.280 how much pressure

00:26:39.040 these trucks

00:26:40.400 that were following

00:26:41.120 the bus

00:26:41.820 through Texas,

00:26:43.160 I think they're

00:26:43.800 exaggerating

00:26:44.340 how much danger

00:26:45.100 that was.

00:26:46.900 I think they're

00:26:47.720 trying to say

00:26:48.400 that they tried

00:26:48.940 to crowd them

00:26:49.740 off the road

00:26:50.380 or something like that.

00:26:51.220 I don't believe

00:26:51.640 any of that stuff.

00:26:52.960 But

00:26:53.200 they did

00:26:54.500 turn

00:26:55.780 the little

00:26:56.760 douchebag

00:26:57.680 Biden bus

00:26:58.420 into a

00:26:59.540 Trump rally

00:27:00.260 because

00:27:01.160 there are little

00:27:02.180 buses in the middle

00:27:03.100 but it's surrounded

00:27:04.120 by this sea

00:27:05.200 of Trump

00:27:06.300 supporting

00:27:06.940 trucks with flags.

00:27:09.160 And it was

00:27:09.420 such a perfect

00:27:10.320 sort of

00:27:11.500 Texas thing

00:27:12.860 that they

00:27:13.800 literally

00:27:14.780 instead of

00:27:16.420 getting on

00:27:16.760 horses

00:27:17.220 and running

00:27:20.220 after the

00:27:21.440 bad guys,

00:27:23.080 it was like

00:27:23.380 they just got

00:27:23.920 in their pickup

00:27:24.500 trucks

00:27:24.960 and sort of

00:27:25.920 surrounded the

00:27:26.580 candidate

00:27:26.920 and gently

00:27:28.160 guided him

00:27:28.820 out of their

00:27:29.220 state.

00:27:31.520 So that was

00:27:32.160 funny.

00:27:33.100 All right,

00:27:33.500 here's the

00:27:34.000 scariest thing

00:27:34.900 you're going

00:27:35.940 to hear today.

00:27:38.160 I'm trying

00:27:38.860 to decide

00:27:39.380 if I'm going

00:27:39.860 to make

00:27:40.080 this an

00:27:40.480 actual

00:27:41.180 prediction

00:27:42.580 because I

00:27:43.380 feel like

00:27:43.960 I could

00:27:44.420 predict it

00:27:45.100 but I don't

00:27:46.100 want it

00:27:46.520 to happen.

00:27:47.820 And I

00:27:48.080 don't like

00:27:48.620 to predict

00:27:49.100 things that

00:27:49.880 I don't

00:27:50.300 want to

00:27:50.740 happen

00:27:51.020 because I

00:27:51.400 feel like

00:27:51.900 you can

00:27:52.980 sort of

00:27:53.660 help cause

00:27:54.520 them to

00:27:54.720 happen

00:27:54.960 by predicting

00:27:55.660 it.

00:27:57.660 But I

00:27:58.280 think there's

00:27:58.640 a really

00:27:58.920 high chance

00:27:59.820 that the

00:28:00.360 following will

00:28:00.880 happen.

00:28:01.680 And it

00:28:01.900 goes like

00:28:02.340 this.

00:28:03.100 You have

00:28:03.720 noticed that

00:28:04.520 the corporate

00:28:05.020 media can

00:28:05.800 make entire

00:28:06.820 national stories

00:28:08.100 disappear.

00:28:09.780 Have you

00:28:10.180 not watched

00:28:11.000 this?

00:28:11.720 You watch

00:28:12.220 them make

00:28:12.760 the fine

00:28:13.420 people hoax

00:28:14.120 a national

00:28:14.740 story that

00:28:16.060 didn't even

00:28:16.500 happen.

00:28:17.420 And you've

00:28:17.920 watched them

00:28:18.320 make lots

00:28:18.960 of hoax

00:28:19.560 related stories

00:28:20.500 about the

00:28:21.600 president

00:28:21.960 recommending

00:28:22.660 drinking bleach.

00:28:24.000 You know,

00:28:24.240 just crazy

00:28:25.000 stories that

00:28:26.180 you know they

00:28:26.560 just made

00:28:27.040 up and half

00:28:27.800 the country

00:28:28.580 believed.

00:28:29.020 But more

00:28:30.220 scary than

00:28:30.940 that is

00:28:32.280 that they

00:28:32.660 can make

00:28:33.640 up just

00:28:34.580 a story

00:28:34.980 on a

00:28:35.300 nothing,

00:28:36.340 such as

00:28:36.960 the Russia

00:28:37.460 collusion

00:28:38.080 hoax.

00:28:38.980 It was

00:28:39.400 made up

00:28:39.780 on a

00:28:40.040 nothing,

00:28:40.800 and half

00:28:41.340 of the

00:28:41.580 country

00:28:41.860 still believes

00:28:42.620 that Trump

00:28:44.440 did collude

00:28:45.940 with Russia,

00:28:47.180 which has

00:28:47.700 been shown

00:28:48.140 to have no

00:28:48.800 evidence

00:28:49.200 whatsoever.

00:28:50.360 So we

00:28:51.780 know that

00:28:52.260 the media

00:28:52.740 can just

00:28:53.720 change reality

00:28:55.240 for half

00:28:55.820 of the

00:28:56.060 country.

00:28:57.380 What happens

00:28:58.280 if the

00:28:59.360 media just

00:29:00.080 decides to

00:29:01.980 say Biden

00:29:02.900 won the

00:29:03.420 election when

00:29:05.020 he didn't?

00:29:07.460 Now the

00:29:08.060 first thing

00:29:08.480 you're going

00:29:08.740 to say to

00:29:09.080 me,

00:29:09.720 because this

00:29:10.200 would be

00:29:10.440 your first

00:29:10.820 reaction,

00:29:11.300 is,

00:29:11.900 well,

00:29:12.120 Scott,

00:29:12.660 there's a

00:29:13.320 vote.

00:29:15.620 We're going

00:29:16.200 to have a

00:29:16.640 vote count,

00:29:17.520 no matter how

00:29:18.460 long it takes,

00:29:19.140 we're going

00:29:19.460 to have a

00:29:19.880 final vote,

00:29:21.160 and one of

00:29:21.980 them is going

00:29:22.440 to have more

00:29:22.940 votes,

00:29:23.980 according to

00:29:24.860 the Electoral

00:29:25.380 College,

00:29:26.300 so this

00:29:27.720 isn't the

00:29:28.200 sort of

00:29:28.500 thing that

00:29:28.900 the media

00:29:29.500 could just

00:29:30.040 make disappear.

00:29:32.400 You can't

00:29:33.120 make an

00:29:33.400 election disappear,

00:29:34.760 right?

00:29:35.960 It's just

00:29:36.540 too big,

00:29:37.440 too much

00:29:38.420 objective

00:29:39.080 data,

00:29:39.880 everybody in

00:29:40.420 the world

00:29:40.720 is watching.

00:29:41.880 So under

00:29:42.280 those conditions,

00:29:43.840 the mainstream

00:29:45.060 media can't

00:29:45.760 just make up

00:29:46.420 a reality

00:29:46.980 and sell it

00:29:47.600 to you,

00:29:48.000 can they?

00:29:49.080 And the

00:29:49.560 answer is,

00:29:50.180 yes,

00:29:50.700 they can.

00:29:52.060 The media

00:29:52.680 has the

00:29:53.420 power,

00:29:54.480 as of

00:29:55.000 today,

00:29:55.980 to do

00:29:56.420 the following.

00:29:58.000 Trump

00:29:58.440 wins the

00:29:59.000 election,

00:30:00.020 and the

00:30:00.660 media can

00:30:01.420 say that

00:30:01.900 Biden won

00:30:02.740 and sell

00:30:04.020 it.

00:30:06.100 They can

00:30:06.920 do that.

00:30:08.020 They do

00:30:08.720 have the

00:30:09.200 power,

00:30:09.880 and they've

00:30:10.440 proved it

00:30:11.120 by testing

00:30:12.540 small.

00:30:13.820 They can

00:30:14.460 make you

00:30:14.840 believe the

00:30:15.660 Covington

00:30:16.980 kids were

00:30:17.500 bad for a

00:30:18.300 week.

00:30:18.680 They can

00:30:18.960 make you

00:30:19.300 believe any

00:30:20.240 hoax.

00:30:21.360 They can

00:30:21.760 make you

00:30:22.120 believe that

00:30:22.780 things happened

00:30:23.600 and half

00:30:25.700 of the

00:30:25.900 country

00:30:26.180 believes it.

00:30:27.600 So,

00:30:28.000 now you

00:30:28.360 say to

00:30:28.600 yourself,

00:30:29.020 but still,

00:30:29.520 Scott,

00:30:29.820 it's going

00:30:30.220 to be

00:30:30.480 objectively

00:30:31.280 true that

00:30:33.180 somebody won

00:30:33.780 or somebody

00:30:34.200 didn't.

00:30:35.160 The Supreme

00:30:35.780 Court is

00:30:36.360 going to

00:30:36.820 rule,

00:30:37.520 maybe,

00:30:38.020 they might

00:30:38.540 get involved,

00:30:39.500 and then

00:30:39.940 there'll be

00:30:40.240 a ruling,

00:30:41.300 and that's

00:30:41.820 going to

00:30:42.000 be black

00:30:43.460 and white.

00:30:44.940 This is

00:30:45.600 one case,

00:30:46.480 Scott,

00:30:46.980 Scott,

00:30:47.420 Scott,

00:30:48.080 where you're

00:30:48.760 not going

00:30:49.040 to have

00:30:49.200 these two

00:30:49.660 movies on

00:30:50.220 one screen.

00:30:50.860 you're

00:30:51.640 going to

00:30:51.780 have one

00:30:52.280 president

00:30:52.720 when it's

00:30:53.180 done,

00:30:54.060 everybody

00:30:54.440 will see

00:30:55.000 all the

00:30:56.180 data,

00:30:56.760 we'll all

00:30:57.120 have the

00:30:57.440 same

00:30:57.640 information,

00:30:59.080 that's when

00:30:59.840 reality will

00:31:00.720 converge into

00:31:01.480 one thing

00:31:02.120 we all

00:31:02.620 see.

00:31:04.880 Maybe.

00:31:06.480 That's one

00:31:07.240 way it

00:31:07.600 could go,

00:31:08.880 and certainly

00:31:09.480 I hope it

00:31:09.940 goes that

00:31:10.300 way.

00:31:11.120 But let me

00:31:11.680 suggest the

00:31:12.620 following.

00:31:13.740 We know

00:31:14.520 that this

00:31:14.960 vote is

00:31:15.780 going to

00:31:16.180 be contentious

00:31:18.020 and contended,

00:31:19.780 meaning that

00:31:20.840 no matter

00:31:21.260 who wins,

00:31:23.100 see if you

00:31:23.620 would agree

00:31:23.980 with this,

00:31:24.480 no matter

00:31:24.820 who wins,

00:31:25.920 the other

00:31:26.340 side is

00:31:26.760 going to

00:31:26.980 say it

00:31:27.300 was rigged.

00:31:28.840 Right?

00:31:29.840 Is there

00:31:30.340 any chance

00:31:30.940 that's not

00:31:31.560 going to

00:31:31.820 happen?

00:31:32.700 Do you

00:31:33.040 see any

00:31:33.680 possibility,

00:31:34.500 no matter

00:31:34.820 who wins,

00:31:36.100 do you

00:31:36.440 see any

00:31:37.080 possibility

00:31:37.640 that the

00:31:38.260 other team

00:31:38.840 won't have

00:31:39.360 an argument,

00:31:40.740 might be a

00:31:41.240 good argument,

00:31:42.160 might be a

00:31:42.680 bad argument,

00:31:43.440 you might

00:31:43.780 agree with

00:31:44.380 it,

00:31:44.560 you might

00:31:44.820 not,

00:31:45.480 but there

00:31:45.920 will be

00:31:46.300 an argument

00:31:46.820 that the

00:31:48.000 other side

00:31:48.480 actually won.

00:31:50.060 We've never

00:31:50.780 quite had

00:31:51.480 that before,

00:31:52.800 except in

00:31:53.460 the Gore

00:31:54.740 versus Bush

00:31:55.440 days,

00:31:56.260 when we

00:31:56.920 were a

00:31:57.260 little less

00:31:57.620 divided and

00:31:58.340 the Supreme

00:31:58.820 Court could

00:31:59.300 just settle

00:31:59.760 it and we

00:32:00.280 would go

00:32:00.600 on with

00:32:00.980 life.

00:32:01.480 We're not

00:32:01.980 in that

00:32:02.300 place anymore.

00:32:04.280 It is

00:32:05.040 entirely

00:32:05.580 possible,

00:32:07.480 and at

00:32:08.060 the moment

00:32:08.500 slightly more

00:32:09.640 likely than

00:32:10.360 the other

00:32:10.800 alternatives,

00:32:11.680 that the

00:32:12.000 following will

00:32:12.640 happen.

00:32:14.020 Trump will

00:32:14.780 win according

00:32:16.200 to the things

00:32:16.860 we can

00:32:17.400 count.

00:32:17.900 the Democrats

00:32:19.280 will claim

00:32:20.240 that Biden

00:32:21.500 actually won

00:32:22.660 because of

00:32:23.660 this or that

00:32:24.340 irregularity or

00:32:25.560 something,

00:32:26.440 got counted

00:32:27.060 wrong or

00:32:27.720 there was

00:32:28.140 voter suppression

00:32:29.120 or the

00:32:30.400 wrong ballots

00:32:31.320 got not

00:32:32.860 counted in the

00:32:33.620 wrong state

00:32:34.200 or something.

00:32:35.220 So we're

00:32:35.820 going to have

00:32:36.460 two completely

00:32:39.220 different election

00:32:40.800 outcomes reported

00:32:42.240 by the two

00:32:43.500 different medias.

00:32:44.320 I feel like

00:32:46.100 that's going

00:32:46.520 to happen

00:32:46.980 more likely

00:32:48.460 than not.

00:32:49.160 Now the

00:32:49.380 alternative is

00:32:50.240 a landslide

00:32:52.000 by one or

00:32:52.820 the other

00:32:53.200 candidates.

00:32:54.700 I think

00:32:55.540 there's more

00:32:56.000 chance of a

00:32:56.680 Trump landslide,

00:32:58.420 but if you

00:33:00.140 had to go

00:33:00.640 with the odds,

00:33:01.320 you'd say it's

00:33:01.740 going to be

00:33:02.100 close no matter

00:33:02.860 what it is,

00:33:03.760 and votes

00:33:04.620 will be trickling

00:33:05.420 in that could

00:33:06.060 change the

00:33:06.620 outcome for

00:33:08.080 weeks.

00:33:08.660 I mean,

00:33:08.880 that's possible.

00:33:09.520 what happens

00:33:13.260 to the

00:33:14.200 United States

00:33:15.080 if the

00:33:16.340 media

00:33:16.800 presents us

00:33:17.820 with two

00:33:18.300 movies and

00:33:19.320 they won't

00:33:19.760 back off?

00:33:21.400 Could

00:33:22.100 Biden's

00:33:22.820 people actually

00:33:23.740 move into

00:33:24.460 the White

00:33:24.900 House having

00:33:26.300 lost the

00:33:27.040 election in

00:33:28.500 terms of

00:33:29.000 number of

00:33:29.480 votes,

00:33:30.300 according to

00:33:31.080 the Electoral

00:33:31.580 College?

00:33:32.820 Could Biden

00:33:33.660 and his

00:33:34.540 people actually

00:33:35.960 just pretend

00:33:37.180 they won

00:33:37.860 and have

00:33:39.380 half of

00:33:39.800 the country

00:33:40.260 so sure

00:33:41.000 it was

00:33:41.340 true that

00:33:42.760 they acted

00:33:43.460 as if

00:33:43.980 Biden won?

00:33:45.940 Yup.

00:33:47.780 Completely

00:33:48.340 feasible.

00:33:50.120 Now,

00:33:50.620 what happens

00:33:51.100 if Biden's

00:33:51.800 people show

00:33:52.560 up with

00:33:52.960 the moving

00:33:53.480 trucks and

00:33:54.760 they pull

00:33:55.100 up to the

00:33:55.520 White House

00:33:56.020 and Trump

00:33:57.080 is still

00:33:57.460 there because

00:33:58.000 he thinks

00:33:58.440 he won?

00:33:59.960 And the

00:34:00.300 people sitting

00:34:00.880 in the

00:34:01.140 moving truck

00:34:01.700 outside think

00:34:02.420 they won?

00:34:03.760 What happens?

00:34:05.380 Do you

00:34:05.780 call the

00:34:07.340 military?

00:34:09.080 If Trump

00:34:09.880 said,

00:34:10.460 okay,

00:34:11.240 military or

00:34:13.080 whatever security

00:34:14.140 for the

00:34:14.500 White House,

00:34:15.560 go throw

00:34:16.360 those movers

00:34:18.100 out.

00:34:18.660 They can't

00:34:19.200 be moving

00:34:19.620 stuff into

00:34:20.160 the White

00:34:20.660 House.

00:34:21.340 They lost

00:34:21.840 the election.

00:34:22.840 So tell

00:34:23.160 them they

00:34:23.500 can't come

00:34:23.960 in.

00:34:25.240 What if

00:34:25.620 they try?

00:34:27.400 Is there

00:34:28.020 anybody whose

00:34:28.760 job it is

00:34:29.660 to arrest

00:34:31.060 people who

00:34:31.620 believe they

00:34:32.220 won the

00:34:32.680 election from

00:34:34.060 moving into

00:34:34.660 the White

00:34:35.000 House,

00:34:35.300 which they

00:34:35.700 believe they

00:34:36.640 rightfully

00:34:37.700 won?

00:34:40.280 Think about

00:34:41.020 that.

00:34:41.840 You could

00:34:42.300 actually have

00:34:43.060 the moving

00:34:43.600 truck for

00:34:44.300 Biden,

00:34:44.960 figuratively

00:34:45.900 speaking,

00:34:46.520 a moving

00:34:46.840 truck,

00:34:47.960 pulling up

00:34:48.880 to the

00:34:49.100 White House

00:34:49.560 with Trump

00:34:50.860 sitting there

00:34:51.400 saying,

00:34:51.920 you didn't

00:34:52.180 win,

00:34:53.100 and the

00:34:54.180 entire

00:34:54.480 mainstream

00:34:54.980 media saying,

00:34:56.140 yeah,

00:34:56.340 Biden won.

00:34:57.920 Biden won.

00:34:58.660 When are you

00:34:59.060 moving out?

00:35:00.900 What do you

00:35:01.520 mean Trump

00:35:02.340 won?

00:35:02.540 That didn't

00:35:02.860 happen.

00:35:03.800 Biden won.

00:35:04.460 When are you

00:35:04.740 moving out?

00:35:05.880 And as

00:35:07.160 crazy as

00:35:08.020 this seems,

00:35:09.660 that's where

00:35:10.480 we're heading.

00:35:12.300 In other

00:35:12.900 words, I'm

00:35:14.100 not saying

00:35:14.540 that's where

00:35:15.080 it's going

00:35:15.740 to happen

00:35:16.300 because there

00:35:17.380 could be

00:35:17.620 lots of

00:35:17.980 twists and

00:35:18.420 turns.

00:35:19.120 There could

00:35:19.380 be that

00:35:20.500 landslide,

00:35:21.280 like I

00:35:21.560 said.

00:35:22.380 But I

00:35:22.980 feel like

00:35:23.420 it's a

00:35:23.840 60%

00:35:24.660 chance,

00:35:26.220 a 60%

00:35:27.280 chance that

00:35:28.780 Biden and

00:35:29.400 Trump will

00:35:29.920 both be

00:35:30.520 claiming victory

00:35:31.340 and the

00:35:32.520 respective

00:35:33.220 medias will

00:35:34.040 be backing

00:35:34.580 them.

00:35:35.460 And we

00:35:35.980 actually won't

00:35:37.160 have one

00:35:38.300 president.

00:35:39.440 We'll have

00:35:40.320 two.

00:35:41.640 And it

00:35:42.100 might be

00:35:42.440 like Venezuela

00:35:43.220 where Biden

00:35:44.840 becomes,

00:35:45.980 he thinks

00:35:46.820 he's president

00:35:47.420 and starts

00:35:48.800 acting like

00:35:49.580 president from

00:35:51.220 his house,

00:35:52.180 like Venezuela.

00:35:54.740 In Venezuela,

00:35:55.640 they had the,

00:35:56.220 you know,

00:35:56.520 the president

00:35:57.800 in exile or

00:35:59.760 whatever it

00:36:00.140 is,

00:36:00.840 and then

00:36:01.360 the acting

00:36:01.760 president.

00:36:03.120 But sort

00:36:03.600 of like,

00:36:04.260 depending who

00:36:04.780 you talk

00:36:05.180 to,

00:36:06.060 one of

00:36:06.520 them was

00:36:06.860 president or

00:36:07.500 the other.

00:36:08.740 We're kind

00:36:09.380 of heading

00:36:09.680 for that.

00:36:10.800 Now,

00:36:10.980 somebody said

00:36:11.480 the Supreme

00:36:12.080 Court will

00:36:12.660 settle it.

00:36:14.220 That was

00:36:15.140 before this

00:36:16.040 Supreme

00:36:16.520 Court.

00:36:17.940 Because this

00:36:19.340 Supreme Court

00:36:20.040 doesn't have

00:36:20.720 the credibility

00:36:21.520 of prior

00:36:22.520 Supreme

00:36:23.000 Courts,

00:36:23.860 because it's

00:36:24.420 so heavily

00:36:25.060 conservative at

00:36:27.400 this point.

00:36:27.900 so the

00:36:29.500 left part

00:36:30.080 of the

00:36:30.280 country is

00:36:31.600 not as

00:36:32.360 primed as

00:36:33.260 they ever

00:36:33.700 have been

00:36:34.260 to accept

00:36:35.540 a Supreme

00:36:36.140 Court decision,

00:36:37.680 even if,

00:36:39.100 even if they

00:36:40.420 used to.

00:36:42.180 This time

00:36:43.000 feels different.

00:36:44.480 So anyway,

00:36:45.000 there's some

00:36:45.680 possibility that

00:36:46.580 we'll have two

00:36:47.240 presidents for a

00:36:48.100 while.

00:36:48.500 That'll be

00:36:48.960 weird.

00:36:50.480 Which one

00:36:51.140 are you going

00:36:51.460 to obey?

00:36:51.840 if you're

00:36:58.360 wondering how

00:36:58.820 that will

00:36:59.140 be resolved,

00:37:01.200 I don't

00:37:01.660 know.

00:37:02.780 How do you

00:37:03.480 resolve that?

00:37:04.840 That'll be

00:37:05.420 hard to

00:37:06.200 resolve.

00:37:08.760 Here's a

00:37:09.420 reason that

00:37:09.980 there might

00:37:10.440 not be

00:37:11.180 violence

00:37:12.800 after the

00:37:13.580 election.

00:37:14.560 Are you

00:37:14.760 ready?

00:37:15.620 One reason

00:37:16.440 there might

00:37:16.880 not be

00:37:17.400 violence is

00:37:18.620 that we

00:37:18.940 won't know

00:37:19.400 who won.

00:37:19.880 Because if,

00:37:22.980 let's say on

00:37:23.580 election day,

00:37:24.460 the election

00:37:25.080 was called

00:37:25.780 for Trump,

00:37:26.960 and let's

00:37:27.360 say the

00:37:27.700 whole country

00:37:28.220 agreed that

00:37:29.000 okay, he

00:37:29.660 won by so

00:37:30.240 much, he

00:37:30.620 really did

00:37:31.040 win.

00:37:31.940 In that

00:37:32.740 case, you

00:37:33.600 would certainly

00:37:34.060 see mass

00:37:35.320 unrest, because

00:37:36.440 that's the

00:37:36.860 trigger.

00:37:37.840 Everybody's

00:37:38.360 waiting for

00:37:38.780 the starting

00:37:39.640 gun.

00:37:40.100 All right,

00:37:40.880 wait till

00:37:41.600 Trump gets

00:37:42.460 named the

00:37:43.180 president,

00:37:43.960 go.

00:37:45.520 But what

00:37:46.040 if the

00:37:46.900 news is we

00:37:47.920 were not

00:37:48.640 sure who's

00:37:49.220 president?

00:37:50.640 Do you

00:37:51.200 still have

00:37:51.620 a riot?

00:37:52.980 Because you

00:37:53.540 don't even

00:37:53.920 know if you

00:37:54.360 won or you

00:37:54.820 lost.

00:37:55.660 You're like,

00:37:56.140 ah, tonight?

00:37:58.340 Do we

00:37:58.920 riot tonight?

00:38:00.600 Now, they

00:38:00.940 might do

00:38:01.420 sort of, you

00:38:02.380 know, a

00:38:03.060 kind of a

00:38:03.640 riot where

00:38:04.180 they're just

00:38:04.520 supporting their

00:38:05.120 candidate, and

00:38:06.560 that would be,

00:38:07.200 you know, there

00:38:07.520 would be enough

00:38:07.860 trouble from

00:38:08.400 that.

00:38:09.020 But it's not

00:38:09.500 going to be the

00:38:09.920 full energy

00:38:10.720 riot as if you

00:38:12.460 thought you

00:38:12.860 lost.

00:38:14.400 That would be a

00:38:15.180 different level of

00:38:15.900 energy.

00:38:16.520 So it's

00:38:16.860 possible that

00:38:18.340 drawing out

00:38:19.140 the result is

00:38:21.020 the very best

00:38:21.740 thing that could

00:38:22.320 happen accidentally.

00:38:24.180 Because if you

00:38:24.980 draw it out, you're

00:38:25.980 going to take all

00:38:26.420 that energy that

00:38:27.240 would have been

00:38:27.780 concentrated on the

00:38:29.360 day after the

00:38:30.020 election, or

00:38:30.720 election night

00:38:31.480 actually, you

00:38:32.380 take all that

00:38:32.960 energy and you

00:38:33.540 just sort of

00:38:34.180 spread it out

00:38:35.600 over a few

00:38:36.200 weeks.

00:38:36.540 It's like, ah,

00:38:37.360 we don't know

00:38:38.180 who won.

00:38:39.020 I'm really angry

00:38:40.280 unless I'm not.

00:38:42.160 I really hate

00:38:43.180 what happened

00:38:43.840 unless I don't.

00:38:45.380 I'm really

00:38:46.700 going to be

00:38:47.060 angry tomorrow

00:38:48.060 unless I get

00:38:48.960 some more

00:38:49.360 data.

00:38:52.380 It could be

00:38:53.440 the weirdest

00:38:54.080 self-canceling

00:38:55.880 problems, because

00:38:56.740 you've got two

00:38:57.140 problems, right?

00:38:58.200 One is you're

00:38:59.000 not going to be

00:38:59.520 sure who got

00:39:00.160 elected, and

00:39:01.300 then the second

00:39:01.820 problem is

00:39:02.500 unrest in the

00:39:03.720 streets.

00:39:04.780 What if the

00:39:05.680 fact that we

00:39:06.200 don't know who

00:39:06.780 got elected

00:39:07.400 takes all the

00:39:08.840 energy out of

00:39:09.440 the protest?

00:39:10.620 Now, it's not

00:39:11.320 going to take it

00:39:11.740 all out.

00:39:12.180 There will

00:39:12.400 definitely be

00:39:13.100 protests.

00:39:14.220 There will

00:39:14.460 definitely be

00:39:15.080 people in

00:39:15.480 the streets,

00:39:15.940 no matter

00:39:16.360 what.

00:39:17.040 It doesn't

00:39:17.320 matter which

00:39:17.720 way it goes.

00:39:18.280 There's going

00:39:18.540 to be people

00:39:18.960 in the streets.

00:39:20.380 But I feel

00:39:22.640 as if it's

00:39:23.760 not going to

00:39:24.160 be anything

00:39:24.760 like a civil

00:39:26.700 war.

00:39:28.140 And the

00:39:28.700 reason is that

00:39:29.400 the Republicans

00:39:30.520 don't want it

00:39:31.360 to be.

00:39:32.700 They don't

00:39:33.060 want it to

00:39:33.460 be.

00:39:33.940 You would

00:39:34.420 need two

00:39:34.980 sides that

00:39:35.520 want to

00:39:35.840 fight to

00:39:37.120 have a real

00:39:37.520 fight.

00:39:38.700 The Republicans

00:39:39.260 would rather

00:39:40.020 just follow the

00:39:41.700 rules and not

00:39:42.540 fight.

00:39:42.900 But suppose

00:39:45.780 it came to

00:39:46.840 it.

00:39:47.180 It came

00:39:47.520 down to

00:39:47.960 it.

00:39:49.100 If it came

00:39:49.820 down to

00:39:50.220 it, and I

00:39:50.660 don't want to

00:39:51.020 act as if

00:39:53.600 this is

00:39:54.340 something I

00:39:54.820 want to

00:39:55.300 happen.

00:39:56.420 So frame

00:39:57.500 this with the

00:39:58.180 idea that

00:39:58.740 nobody wants

00:39:59.500 the following

00:40:00.080 thing to

00:40:00.580 happen.

00:40:02.120 Probably

00:40:02.560 there's a

00:40:03.180 mass casualty

00:40:04.320 event in our

00:40:05.060 future.

00:40:06.040 Not right

00:40:06.760 away.

00:40:07.060 But if

00:40:08.400 you get

00:40:08.920 enough

00:40:09.560 people this

00:40:10.560 worked up,

00:40:11.760 sooner or

00:40:12.540 later you're

00:40:13.340 going to get

00:40:13.740 somebody who

00:40:14.560 has the

00:40:15.760 wherewithal and

00:40:16.600 the craziness to

00:40:17.640 do something

00:40:18.580 really, really

00:40:19.260 bad in a

00:40:20.080 large crowd of

00:40:20.760 people.

00:40:21.720 So that

00:40:22.560 might take

00:40:23.340 some of the

00:40:23.760 steam out of

00:40:24.220 the protests.

00:40:25.220 So one way

00:40:25.740 it could go is

00:40:26.540 a mass casualty

00:40:27.740 event that just

00:40:29.040 makes everybody

00:40:29.660 else stay

00:40:30.140 home.

00:40:31.640 We don't want

00:40:33.200 that to happen,

00:40:33.680 but I'd say

00:40:34.900 that's in the

00:40:35.460 top ten

00:40:36.060 possibilities,

00:40:38.600 a mass

00:40:38.980 casualty event.

00:40:39.820 It's probably

00:40:40.080 in the top

00:40:40.480 five, I

00:40:41.640 would guess.

00:40:42.580 And for

00:40:43.560 that to

00:40:43.960 happen, I

00:40:44.380 think the

00:40:44.820 left would

00:40:46.000 have to

00:40:46.800 kill more

00:40:48.280 people.

00:40:49.620 So if the

00:40:50.200 left get a

00:40:50.880 little bit more

00:40:51.460 deadly after

00:40:52.580 the election,

00:40:53.700 then the odds

00:40:54.540 of a mass

00:40:55.160 casualty event

00:40:56.120 which killed

00:40:56.900 mostly Antifa

00:40:58.220 and Black

00:40:58.700 Lives Matter

00:40:59.260 goes way

00:41:00.620 up.

00:41:02.020 But not

00:41:02.780 unless they

00:41:03.220 get pretty

00:41:04.580 bad, worse

00:41:05.740 than they

00:41:05.980 have been.

00:41:08.220 On the

00:41:08.780 good news,

00:41:11.500 oh, by

00:41:11.920 the way,

00:41:12.180 the Trafalgar

00:41:13.060 group,

00:41:14.140 Robert

00:41:14.640 Caheli, I

00:41:15.900 guess he's

00:41:16.240 the head of

00:41:16.620 that, and

00:41:17.760 he called

00:41:18.280 Trump as

00:41:19.460 the winner

00:41:19.860 in 2016,

00:41:21.080 and he was

00:41:21.380 correct, and

00:41:21.960 he is calling

00:41:22.700 Trump the

00:41:23.860 winner again

00:41:24.580 now.

00:41:26.060 So the

00:41:26.460 one guy

00:41:26.900 who got,

00:41:27.280 well, a few

00:41:27.820 people got it

00:41:28.360 right, but

00:41:29.180 one of the

00:41:29.700 few people

00:41:30.160 who got it

00:41:30.620 right is

00:41:33.200 calling it

00:41:33.760 for Trump

00:41:34.160 again.

00:41:35.400 So that

00:41:35.880 means something.

00:41:37.220 Here's a

00:41:37.660 little tidbit

00:41:38.200 of interest.

00:41:40.140 Did you

00:41:40.400 know that

00:41:40.780 Black and

00:41:41.240 Hispanic

00:41:41.500 young women

00:41:42.480 now attend

00:41:43.380 college at

00:41:44.120 higher rate

00:41:44.820 than white

00:41:45.540 young men?

00:41:48.160 Interesting.

00:41:49.360 This is more

00:41:50.140 to my

00:41:50.720 hypothesis that

00:41:54.200 the Republican

00:41:54.800 Party is

00:41:55.620 becoming a

00:41:56.340 male,

00:41:57.520 let's say,

00:41:59.340 male-focused

00:42:00.160 or oriented

00:42:01.040 or biased.

00:42:02.380 I guess

00:42:02.600 biased would

00:42:03.280 be the way.

00:42:04.060 The Republican

00:42:04.940 Party is more

00:42:05.660 male-biased,

00:42:07.040 and I think

00:42:07.720 will start to

00:42:08.440 absorb African

00:42:09.300 American men.

00:42:10.340 You're already

00:42:10.700 seeing that.

00:42:11.780 Whereas the

00:42:12.300 Democratic Party

00:42:13.060 is more of a

00:42:14.080 party of women, 0.89

00:42:15.440 which will

00:42:16.500 absorb women 0.95

00:42:18.280 and men who

00:42:19.980 think women 0.63

00:42:20.620 should be in

00:42:21.180 charge,

00:42:22.400 meaning that

00:42:25.140 they would

00:42:25.420 rather not be

00:42:25.980 in charge

00:42:26.320 themselves.

00:42:26.800 So I

00:42:29.500 think that's

00:42:29.840 where it's

00:42:30.060 going.

00:42:30.600 Long term,

00:42:32.680 the political

00:42:33.380 parties will be

00:42:34.300 separated by

00:42:34.940 gender more

00:42:36.460 than ethnicity.

00:42:38.420 That is my

00:42:39.140 prediction,

00:42:40.100 that the

00:42:40.820 black voters

00:42:42.580 will split,

00:42:44.420 and the males

00:42:45.620 will go

00:42:46.080 Republican,

00:42:47.300 the women 0.97

00:42:47.780 will stay

00:42:48.580 Democrat,

00:42:49.580 and that that

00:42:50.200 will be a

00:42:50.580 trend in the

00:42:51.060 future.

00:42:51.460 That's what I

00:42:51.880 predict.

00:42:53.180 All right.

00:42:53.460 All right.

00:42:56.800 There's another

00:42:57.800 theory about

00:42:59.460 why the

00:42:59.920 polls are so

00:43:00.900 off, and

00:43:02.420 that is the

00:43:03.260 revolution

00:43:04.160 theory.

00:43:05.760 And the

00:43:06.020 theory is that

00:43:06.740 the pollsters

00:43:07.560 are part of

00:43:08.200 a mass

00:43:09.120 effort to

00:43:10.760 make it look

00:43:11.480 as though

00:43:11.880 Trump stole

00:43:12.880 the election.

00:43:21.180 Somebody says

00:43:22.140 that I should

00:43:22.560 look no

00:43:22.980 further than

00:43:23.620 my own

00:43:24.140 chat as

00:43:25.800 to whether

00:43:26.300 Republicans

00:43:27.100 want to

00:43:27.720 follow the

00:43:28.200 rules.

00:43:29.100 Well, I

00:43:29.480 would say

00:43:29.840 if you

00:43:30.220 look at

00:43:30.680 what the

00:43:31.080 Republicans

00:43:31.500 have done

00:43:32.100 so far,

00:43:33.800 there's a

00:43:34.660 pretty strong

00:43:35.440 trend toward

00:43:37.120 them following

00:43:37.640 the rules.

00:43:39.360 I think

00:43:40.140 that's safe

00:43:40.600 to say.

00:43:41.500 So why

00:43:41.840 would that

00:43:42.140 change?

00:43:46.600 Such

00:43:47.040 speculation

00:43:47.700 about the

00:43:48.340 White House

00:43:48.820 moving in.

00:43:49.400 I'm just

00:43:49.640 looking at

00:43:50.000 your comments

00:43:50.720 here for a

00:43:51.140 moment.

00:43:51.600 Well, of

00:43:51.900 course it's

00:43:52.300 speculation.

00:43:53.060 That's what

00:43:53.380 we're doing

00:43:53.680 here.

00:43:54.600 All right.

00:43:55.800 there's

00:43:57.600 another

00:43:58.700 article in

00:43:59.560 the news

00:44:00.160 suggesting

00:44:00.820 that masks,

00:44:02.640 although a

00:44:03.720 mask of

00:44:04.200 course cannot

00:44:04.660 keep a

00:44:05.480 virus from

00:44:06.080 getting to

00:44:06.540 you completely,

00:44:08.180 but there's

00:44:09.140 mounting evidence

00:44:10.580 that the

00:44:11.020 amount of

00:44:11.700 virus you're

00:44:12.340 exposed to

00:44:13.020 can determine

00:44:14.040 how sick

00:44:14.700 you get

00:44:15.220 or even

00:44:15.640 if you

00:44:15.920 get sick. 0.82

00:44:17.100 So if

00:44:17.660 the masks

00:44:18.360 did nothing

00:44:19.040 but reduce

00:44:19.960 the viral

00:44:20.760 load,

00:44:21.980 even if

00:44:22.580 you got

00:44:23.060 the virus

00:44:23.680 every single

00:44:24.600 time,

00:44:25.780 let me

00:44:26.520 give you

00:44:26.880 an example.

00:44:27.460 Let's

00:44:27.600 say you

00:44:28.900 knew that

00:44:29.360 every time

00:44:29.980 you came

00:44:30.420 in contact

00:44:30.940 with another

00:44:31.780 masked

00:44:32.340 person and

00:44:33.600 you had

00:44:33.860 a conversation

00:44:34.780 that if

00:44:36.760 one of

00:44:37.120 you had

00:44:38.240 been

00:44:38.460 infected,

00:44:39.580 that the

00:44:39.920 odds of

00:44:40.380 your

00:44:40.560 coronavirus,

00:44:41.900 even if

00:44:42.380 both of

00:44:42.800 you have

00:44:43.120 masks,

00:44:44.160 if the

00:44:44.480 odds of

00:44:44.860 your

00:44:45.040 coronavirus

00:44:45.500 from

00:44:46.040 your

00:44:46.220 infected

00:44:46.680 body

00:44:47.440 getting

00:44:48.480 over to

00:44:48.940 the other

00:44:49.240 person,

00:44:49.900 let's

00:44:50.180 say it's

00:44:50.440 100%.

00:44:51.220 Let's

00:44:52.360 say if

00:44:52.680 you're

00:44:52.880 in a

00:44:53.120 room with

00:44:53.620 an

00:44:53.780 infected

00:44:54.180 person

00:44:54.640 who's

00:44:55.060 shedding

00:44:55.540 the virus,

00:44:56.980 your odds

00:44:57.520 of getting

00:44:57.920 it in

00:44:58.440 a five

00:44:58.920 minute

00:44:59.120 conversation,

00:45:00.100 even if

00:45:00.520 both of

00:45:00.920 you have

00:45:01.160 masks,

00:45:01.920 let's

00:45:02.180 say the

00:45:02.480 odds of

00:45:03.020 some

00:45:03.840 of that

00:45:04.140 virus

00:45:04.480 reaching

00:45:04.800 you

00:45:04.980 are

00:45:05.100 100%.

00:45:05.900 Because

00:45:06.820 that's

00:45:07.000 probably

00:45:07.280 true,

00:45:08.120 right?

00:45:08.660 Because

00:45:09.120 the virus

00:45:09.660 is aerosol,

00:45:11.920 it's coming

00:45:12.700 out of the

00:45:13.100 sides of

00:45:13.540 your mask,

00:45:14.240 because when

00:45:14.640 you exhale,

00:45:15.500 it's going

00:45:15.860 somewhere,

00:45:17.100 right?

00:45:17.360 It's got

00:45:17.680 to go

00:45:17.900 somewhere.

00:45:18.220 So the

00:45:19.540 room would

00:45:20.080 fill up

00:45:20.520 with virus,

00:45:21.420 the other

00:45:21.820 person would

00:45:22.340 be exposed

00:45:22.780 to it.

00:45:23.580 I feel

00:45:24.040 like you

00:45:24.380 could say

00:45:24.800 that the

00:45:25.160 odds of

00:45:25.700 the other

00:45:25.980 person being

00:45:26.620 exposed to

00:45:27.600 at least

00:45:28.600 one virus

00:45:29.520 particle,

00:45:30.220 if that's

00:45:30.760 what they're

00:45:31.080 called,

00:45:32.240 is 100%.

00:45:33.760 Probably,

00:45:35.760 right?

00:45:36.180 Because the

00:45:36.860 virus is sort

00:45:37.540 of floating

00:45:37.960 around wherever

00:45:38.820 you are if

00:45:40.000 you're infected.

00:45:41.120 But because

00:45:42.800 we know that

00:45:43.580 the amount

00:45:44.460 of the virus

00:45:45.220 is very

00:45:46.340 important to

00:45:47.000 whether you

00:45:47.460 get infected

00:45:48.160 in the

00:45:48.520 first place,

00:45:49.500 and if

00:45:50.040 you do

00:45:50.300 get infected, 0.77

00:45:51.480 it's a

00:45:52.100 really big

00:45:52.600 deal in

00:45:53.100 terms of

00:45:53.460 how bad

00:45:53.920 it becomes.

00:45:54.860 So if

00:45:55.160 you get a

00:45:55.520 big dose

00:45:56.180 in the

00:45:57.180 beginning,

00:45:57.720 you're going

00:45:58.020 to get

00:45:58.240 much sicker,

00:45:59.220 the scientists

00:45:59.660 say.

00:46:00.880 So here's

00:46:02.000 the question.

00:46:03.040 If the

00:46:03.540 mask does

00:46:04.500 not keep

00:46:05.080 you from

00:46:05.500 getting the

00:46:06.160 virus,

00:46:06.980 could it

00:46:07.580 keep you

00:46:08.000 from getting

00:46:08.500 it worse?

00:46:10.100 And the

00:46:10.500 scientists are

00:46:11.260 suggesting they

00:46:12.800 don't have a

00:46:13.560 controlled study

00:46:15.440 of this,

00:46:16.340 but they're

00:46:16.660 suggesting that

00:46:17.880 the common

00:46:18.440 sense of

00:46:19.060 it,

00:46:19.400 the logic,

00:46:20.740 the best

00:46:22.020 medical thinking

00:46:23.020 about it,

00:46:23.880 is that at

00:46:24.640 the very

00:46:24.980 least,

00:46:26.220 it would

00:46:26.620 reduce the

00:46:27.360 amount of

00:46:27.740 virus that

00:46:28.520 hits the

00:46:29.960 other person.

00:46:31.820 All right.

00:46:32.180 somebody says,

00:46:37.740 I'm very

00:46:38.040 happy today

00:46:38.680 because it's

00:46:39.180 only two

00:46:39.620 days until

00:46:40.160 the Trumpers

00:46:40.800 are silenced

00:46:41.540 and it's

00:46:42.460 game over.

00:46:44.760 You know,

00:46:45.520 this really

00:46:46.040 isn't the

00:46:46.540 election where

00:46:47.160 you want to

00:46:47.580 be overconfident.

00:46:50.200 Did you learn

00:46:51.420 nothing from

00:46:52.000 2016?

00:46:53.280 You know,

00:46:53.580 as a Trump

00:46:54.800 supporter,

00:46:55.920 even I learned

00:46:56.880 something from

00:46:57.480 2016,

00:46:58.120 which is,

00:46:59.680 you don't

00:47:00.060 really want

00:47:00.840 to be that

00:47:01.540 person who

00:47:02.900 the day before

00:47:03.620 the election

00:47:04.140 is a little

00:47:04.780 too confident.

00:47:06.620 Now,

00:47:07.100 I'm telling

00:47:07.740 you my

00:47:08.380 prediction,

00:47:09.860 but of course

00:47:10.520 we're human

00:47:11.180 beings,

00:47:12.360 right?

00:47:12.580 Anybody can

00:47:13.120 be wrong.

00:47:14.020 If it turns

00:47:14.560 out I'm

00:47:14.960 wrong,

00:47:15.400 I'll just

00:47:15.800 deal with

00:47:16.180 it.

00:47:16.580 It's not

00:47:16.900 going to

00:47:17.100 ruin my

00:47:17.500 day.

00:47:18.180 It won't

00:47:18.380 even ruin

00:47:18.740 my day,

00:47:19.960 much less

00:47:20.660 my life.

00:47:21.240 So I

00:47:22.100 hope that

00:47:22.800 most of

00:47:23.220 you can

00:47:23.960 be

00:47:25.980 similarly

00:47:26.900 relaxed

00:47:28.880 about this.

00:47:29.560 I don't

00:47:29.760 think there's

00:47:30.120 any chance

00:47:30.640 that Republicans

00:47:31.460 are going

00:47:31.880 to riot

00:47:32.720 if they

00:47:33.840 don't get

00:47:34.180 their way,

00:47:34.560 as long

00:47:34.800 as the

00:47:35.020 election

00:47:35.300 is fair.

00:47:38.600 So what

00:47:39.200 are you

00:47:39.360 going to

00:47:39.580 do after

00:47:40.220 election

00:47:40.600 day when

00:47:41.040 there is

00:47:41.420 unrest

00:47:41.940 everywhere?

00:47:42.780 What are

00:47:43.340 you going

00:47:44.220 to do?

00:47:45.320 How will

00:47:45.880 you stay

00:47:47.220 safe?

00:47:48.620 And here

00:47:49.280 is what I

00:47:49.800 suggest.

00:47:51.240 Number

00:47:51.680 one,

00:47:52.980 first of

00:47:53.680 all,

00:47:53.900 if Biden

00:47:54.400 wins in

00:47:55.540 a landslide,

00:47:57.020 there won't

00:47:57.520 be much

00:47:58.440 social unrest,

00:48:00.200 probably.

00:48:01.980 That's what

00:48:02.640 all the smart

00:48:03.160 people say.

00:48:04.160 I think it's

00:48:04.780 still possible

00:48:05.420 that the

00:48:06.400 looters and

00:48:07.240 protesters just

00:48:08.220 want to loot

00:48:08.740 and protest,

00:48:09.740 so there

00:48:10.100 might be

00:48:10.440 some of it

00:48:11.020 anyway.

00:48:11.720 But if

00:48:12.040 Biden gets

00:48:12.520 elected in

00:48:13.100 a landslide,

00:48:14.820 probably I

00:48:16.520 would agree

00:48:16.940 with most

00:48:17.460 of the smart

00:48:18.040 people who

00:48:18.620 say there

00:48:19.220 would be

00:48:19.440 less rioting.

00:48:21.240 But I

00:48:22.340 think Trump

00:48:23.080 is going

00:48:23.400 to win.

00:48:24.520 So, how

00:48:25.240 should you

00:48:25.620 prepare?

00:48:27.060 Well,

00:48:27.540 definitely you

00:48:28.240 should have

00:48:28.820 guns and

00:48:30.880 ammo, and

00:48:32.800 that's just a

00:48:33.740 good general

00:48:34.720 Second Amendment

00:48:36.620 advice.

00:48:38.200 So, it's

00:48:38.900 not even

00:48:39.320 advice specific

00:48:41.500 to this

00:48:42.880 situation.

00:48:43.800 Just in

00:48:44.340 general, you

00:48:45.680 should be

00:48:46.040 prepared for

00:48:46.860 whatever comes

00:48:47.980 your way.

00:48:49.280 But, keep

00:48:50.760 it in your

00:48:51.100 house, right?

00:48:52.780 I would

00:48:53.360 not go out

00:48:54.000 on the

00:48:54.320 porch with

00:48:55.700 your weapon.

00:48:57.460 I would

00:48:57.880 not display

00:48:59.500 my weapon,

00:49:00.900 unless your

00:49:01.900 house is under

00:49:02.500 attack, of

00:49:03.060 course, and

00:49:03.420 then all

00:49:04.000 bets are

00:49:04.780 off.

00:49:05.240 You have

00:49:05.580 to do what

00:49:05.960 you have

00:49:06.240 to do if

00:49:06.660 your house

00:49:07.540 is actually

00:49:08.100 under attack.

00:49:10.720 But, be

00:49:12.440 careful, right?

00:49:13.920 Just be

00:49:16.540 cool, and

00:49:17.920 try to get

00:49:18.600 through the

00:49:19.060 first couple

00:49:19.640 of weeks.

00:49:20.520 The first

00:49:20.920 couple of

00:49:21.280 weeks could

00:49:21.700 be rough.

00:49:22.800 But, just

00:49:23.160 try to be

00:49:24.560 a good

00:49:25.100 winner.

00:49:26.180 Try to be

00:49:26.880 a good

00:49:27.240 winner if

00:49:27.820 you win.

00:49:28.640 And, if

00:49:29.060 you lose,

00:49:29.600 try to be

00:49:29.940 a good

00:49:30.180 loser.

00:49:31.500 Because, that's

00:49:32.300 one thing we

00:49:33.060 can control,

00:49:33.880 right?

00:49:34.420 You can't

00:49:35.040 control

00:49:35.340 everything, but

00:49:36.480 you can

00:49:36.820 control if

00:49:37.660 you go

00:49:39.200 crazy.

00:49:40.200 You can

00:49:40.800 control if

00:49:41.520 you act

00:49:43.000 impulsively.

00:49:44.840 You can

00:49:45.360 control how

00:49:46.620 you influence

00:49:47.460 other people

00:49:48.060 by your

00:49:48.620 attitudes,

00:49:49.320 etc.

00:49:50.420 So, influence

00:49:51.420 what you can

00:49:52.020 influence, and

00:49:53.200 don't worry

00:49:54.220 about the

00:49:54.640 rest.

00:49:55.480 I don't

00:49:55.920 think there's

00:49:56.340 any chance

00:49:57.060 that the

00:49:57.400 United States

00:49:58.080 will be

00:49:58.560 dissolved in

00:49:59.460 the next

00:49:59.820 year because

00:50:00.860 of unrest.

00:50:02.160 I put the

00:50:02.980 odds of

00:50:03.460 that at

00:50:04.060 zero.

00:50:06.060 Zero.

00:50:07.500 You have

00:50:08.180 a very

00:50:09.460 biased

00:50:10.840 view, all

00:50:11.960 of us do,

00:50:12.820 a biased

00:50:13.420 view of

00:50:14.260 how many

00:50:14.800 people are

00:50:15.580 marching, and

00:50:16.740 how many

00:50:17.240 people want

00:50:17.920 to overthrow

00:50:18.620 the government.

00:50:19.920 It's a really

00:50:20.540 small number.

00:50:22.220 The rest of

00:50:22.820 us are just

00:50:23.360 not making

00:50:24.120 noise.

00:50:25.300 So, it

00:50:25.720 feels like

00:50:26.440 there's a

00:50:27.520 much bigger

00:50:28.120 movement than

00:50:28.840 there is.

00:50:29.340 It's small,

00:50:30.500 and we are

00:50:31.360 strong and

00:50:32.340 well-armed and

00:50:33.400 quite determined

00:50:34.160 to still be the

00:50:35.260 United States

00:50:36.140 by the end

00:50:37.420 of the year.

00:50:37.840 So, I

00:50:39.840 make this

00:50:40.320 commitment to

00:50:40.920 all of you.

00:50:42.480 We will be

00:50:43.220 the United

00:50:43.820 States

00:50:44.420 next year.

00:50:48.360 We will

00:50:49.060 not go

00:50:49.560 out of

00:50:49.820 business.

00:50:51.000 We will

00:50:51.620 not have a

00:50:52.220 civil war.

00:50:53.000 We will

00:50:53.320 not shoot

00:50:55.120 ourselves in

00:50:55.720 the foot.

00:50:56.900 Maybe a

00:50:57.380 little.

00:50:57.740 We might

00:50:58.080 wound

00:50:58.360 ourselves, but

00:50:58.980 we're not

00:50:59.280 going to kill

00:51:00.640 ourselves.

00:51:01.920 You will

00:51:02.440 be fine.

00:51:04.020 The

00:51:04.520 coronavirus

00:51:04.940 won't last

00:51:05.900 forever.

00:51:06.960 The economy

00:51:07.800 will survive.

00:51:10.240 Nobody will

00:51:10.840 starve.

00:51:13.080 It will be

00:51:14.040 uncomfortable,

00:51:15.560 and a lot of

00:51:16.120 people are

00:51:16.520 going to be

00:51:16.840 suffering, but

00:51:17.480 nobody's going

00:51:17.980 to starve in

00:51:18.620 this country,

00:51:19.760 and we're

00:51:21.460 going to be

00:51:21.780 okay.

00:51:23.460 So,

00:51:24.780 everybody,

00:51:25.720 be prepared,

00:51:26.580 but be

00:51:27.040 cool.

00:51:28.160 Be prepared,

00:51:29.400 but be

00:51:29.860 cool.

00:51:31.380 Emphasis on

00:51:32.160 be cool,

00:51:34.240 and I

00:51:34.800 will talk

00:51:35.160 to you

00:51:35.540 tomorrow,

00:51:37.560 if not

00:51:37.840 tonight.

00:51:40.600 See you

00:51:41.120 then.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 01, 2020

Episode 1172 Scott Adams： Fake Polls, Election Day Unrest, Biden Chased Out of Texas, and More

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Transcript