Episode 1173 Scott Adams： Democrats Cover Their Tracks and Prepare for Coup 2.0 While Texans Reject the Biden Bus and Hoaxes Fall Like Rain
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Summary
In this episode of Coffee with Scott Adams: In the Single Sip, host Scott Adams talks about why he thinks Sam Harris and Andrew Sullivan are brilliant, and why you should listen to them talk about their opinions of President Trump.
Transcript
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All right. I think I might be live now on both YouTube and Periscope.
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Thanks for coming. Thanks for getting in here. I appreciate it every time you show up.
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Well, tomorrow's the big day. We've got a lot to talk about, don't we?
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I see some people helpfully suggesting Restream. See this $13,000 equipment behind me? Trust me
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when I say I have tested every live streaming option and I have settled on the only one that
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works and it only works 80% of the time. All of the other options are more like 30% of the time they
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work and this one's 80% so I'll keep that. All right. But first, what's the most important thing
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we have to do? Well, we need this simultaneous sip and all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of
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tank or chalice or a stein in a canteen jug or a flask of a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your
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favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit
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of the day. The thing makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now. Go.
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Oh yeah. I feel the poles begin to converge with one sip. That's all it took.
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So let me tell you why I think this periscope works. I think this periscope, meaning coffee with
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Scott Adams in the simultaneous sip, is that there's something that I do differently from other
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people who live stream. Do any of you know what that is? I'm just curious if it's obvious to you
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what I do differently. And I will tell you, I give you a moment to see if you can think of it on your
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own, but here's what I do differently. I don't treat you like an audience. I treat it like I'm talking to
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one person. Now, if you watch the news and turn on the television, your news presenters are always,
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they act like they're talking to a crowd. They're talking to an audience. And the way you present to
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an audience is really different than the way you would talk to one person. Now, it's not exactly
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like talking to one person. You know, it's a little modified. But I think that's what I brought to this.
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The live streaming world is talking to you one-on-one, even though I know there are more than
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more than one of you, I hope. All right. So how many of you have heard the podcast just came out
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with Sam Harris talking to Andrew Sullivan? You really have to watch this. You got to watch it
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or listen to it. And here's why it's so fascinating. So both Sam Harris and Andrew Sullivan
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are very flexible thinkers, meaning that they're not necessarily just going to agree with a side
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unless there are reasons. So they're two very rational people who are not stuck in some kind of dogma.
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So much so that neither of them are fans of President Trump, to say the least. They're big
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critics of President Trump. But because they're also smart, rational people, they say on the podcast
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that neither of them believed the fine people hoax. They didn't believe it. So that gives you an idea
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that they're capable of looking at data and facts and knowing that that matters.
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But despite that, despite that mental, let's say, flexibility, mental acuity that they both have,
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clearly both brilliant people. You can't take that away from them. But listening to them talk,
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and I want to make sure that I'm saying this not as an entertaining insult, because we're sort of in
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that mode where insulting each other over our politics is just sort of entertaining, right?
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A really good string of insults against your political nemesis is just sort of fun and entertaining.
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But that's not what I'm doing here. So this next thing I say, do not put your entertainment filter on it.
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This is actually, literally, I'm not putting any hyperbole on this. When I listen to them talk,
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it sounds like a festival of mental illness. Do you have that? And I have to wonder,
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when the left hears Trump supporters talk, do they have the same feeling? Now, I'm not talking about,
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you know, on the news, both sides like to do the trick where they'll find the
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least informed voter from the other side. And they'll interview the person who doesn't know
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anything. And they'll try to sell that as representing all Democrats or all Republicans.
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But, and of course, they don't represent them, they're just individuals. But when I watch,
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when I listen to that, it just sounds like they have some actual mental issues that they're working
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through. And I don't mean permanent ones. Andrew Sullivan admitted on the podcast, that after the
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2016 election, he had clinical depression. And he actually had to seek treatment for a mental condition
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that he attributes to the election, to Trump getting elected. That's pretty serious. You know,
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this whole mental illness thing over Trump is completely real. When Trump derangement syndrome
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was first bandied about, and I didn't invent it, but I was one of the, one of the earlier adopters
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of that phrase. And people would say, well, you know, that's just something you say. It's just something
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you say to, to sort of, you know, diminish your, your opponents. But it isn't. It's not that at all.
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And I don't think that I've heard, I've seen this kind of insanity since Obama was president.
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Now, when Obama was president, there were a lot of Republicans, and you know, this is true,
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who had a little bit of Obama derangement syndrome. It was a thing. But I've never seen it at this
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level. This is, this is a whole new level. But the reasons that, and the things that stand out to me
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as signaling mental distress, as opposed to good rational thinking, which both are very capable of
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doing, as I've said, is that, at least in Sam's case, and I think Andrew's too, they focus primarily
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on the internal thoughts of Trump. So instead of talking about, I don't like this policy or that
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policy, you know, there's some of that as well. But it seems to be primarily focused on him as a person.
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And Sam says directly, that Trump's character is not just a quirky character that you like or you
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don't like, but rather, it's a, you know, an existential threat, kind of a bad character,
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somebody who's such a bad person that they could end the world without even meaning to do it.
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They're so bad. Now, that was the sort of conversation that made a little bit of sense
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in 2016. Because we had not yet seen what a President Trump would do. But after you've
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watched him for four years, don't you say you either want more of that, or you don't? You kind
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of know what you're getting at this point, don't you? You know, in my case, I got pretty much exactly
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what I expected with one exception. This might be true for you too. Everything that Trump did,
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and didn't do, was pretty much what I thought he would do, and what he wouldn't do. The wild card
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was COVID and coronavirus, because nobody really saw that coming. I mean, some of the experts predicted
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it, but you and I didn't see it coming. And so if you had asked me in 2016, hey, do you think Trump's
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going to be the best choice for handling this coronavirus? I probably would have said, I don't
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know. Peace me. I mean, I've never been in a coronavirus pandemic. I don't know who's the best
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choice for that. I have no idea. But I would say that he, maybe he wasn't. Maybe somebody else would
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have handled it better. I don't think that that's demonstrated yet. There are things that I would
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have done differently, things you would have done differently. But that's different from saying that
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we would have gotten a better outcome. Don't quite know that. We know we might have done things
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differently. But anyway, so both Andrew and Sam think that Trump's narcissism and his lack of empathy
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and he only acts for himself and all of those things, which are interestingly unprovable,
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meaning that everything you can measure looks a little bit better for Trump. And all the things
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that you suspiciously, you can't measure how much narcissism is in Trump and how much is too much
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for a leader. They need a little bit, but how much is too much? Can't measure anything like that.
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So anyway, you have to watch, you have to listen to that podcast. It is genuinely entertaining
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legitimately. Are you seeing the size of the Trump rally crowds? I'm kind of blown away by it,
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aren't you? I mean, I'm not going to list the crowds because I think he had five of them yesterday. He's
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got five more today. Somebody says in the comments, I meant to say this as well, that
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make America great again was a great slogan in 2016. But of course, the president was playing with
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turning it into keep America great again, which didn't really, or didn't really fit, right? Keep
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America great. I don't know. It's just not very inspiring. But now that the coronavirus hit,
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make America great again, now clearly means before coronavirus. It's harder to put that historical
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is it a secret racist dog whistle or something. Because we all want America to go back where it
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was, 2019. Pretty much everybody wants at least that much change, if not more. So I think make
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America great again turned into the greatest slogan of all time for the second time in a row,
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but for different reasons. The environment served up the perfect situation. Anyway, when you watch
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the Trump crowds, it's hard to imagine him losing, isn't it? Can your brain wrap its head around the
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fact that you look at the Biden crowds, and you look at the Kamala Harris crowds, and then you look at
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the Trump crowds? It's really hard to believe that he's going to lose with that much energy. Now, I know what
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the polls say, etc. Brett Baer was on, I guess, Tucker's show last night on Fox, and he was saying that
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the talk of a Biden blowout has calmed down a little bit. You know, a week ago, two weeks ago,
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people were talking about a Biden landslide, and it's just all Biden all the way. You don't hear as
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much of that today, do you? It seems as if, right on schedule, and exactly as I predicted publicly a
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number of times, others did as well, that the polls are fake, and that in order to maintain their
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credibility after the election, because they can't keep that big margin, you'd see some of the polls
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start to shrink and close because they don't want to look so wrong when the final vote comes out.
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Sure enough, you're seeing a number of polls shrink. Then we're also seeing, I went over to MSNBC,
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because I wanted to see how they were dealing with things lately, and over on MSNBC, they've got a
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interesting article that I just tweeted that talks about the nightmare scenario where, uh-oh,
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wait a minute, there's actually a path for Trump to win, and I don't know if they would have had the
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same nature of stories three weeks ago when they were trying to get, you know, donations, and they
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were trying to get everybody fired up, but now they can say it. So now they need to do a little bit of
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the cats on the roof situation. Yeah, somebody in the comments is saying 58,000 people in Butler,
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Pennsylvania. Whoever wins Pennsylvania will probably win the election. Trump got 58,000 people
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to show up in Pennsylvania. If you're Biden, and you know you need Pennsylvania to win,
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how does that make you feel? Do you feel like those poll results that used to show you in charge,
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do you feel like they're still good? What about that margin of error? Brett Baer was asked about,
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you know, why it could be that the polls are shrinking. Now, Brett, of course, is not an opinion guy.
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He's a news guy, which we appreciate about him, which is exactly why he's awesome, is that he does
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a really good job of keeping his opinion out of his public statements, you know, and just sticks to
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the news. And he was opining, and this is fair, that as people get closer to election day,
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they stop thinking of it being just about anti-Trump, and they see a stark choice.
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Now it's Biden or Trump. It's not just no Trump or Trump. Biden or Trump. And that doesn't look so
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good, maybe. So that's, you know, Brett had that hypothesis. There might be some of that. You know,
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I made the same prediction a year ago, that when you're talking about a generic Democrat running
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against Trump, that generic Democrat always looks great. But wait till you get an actual Democrat,
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Democrat, and wait till Trump sinks his pit bull teeth into that Democrat and starts reframing them
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and turning them into his chew toy, which is what he did with Biden. So at this point,
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it's a real choice against a real person, and that real person is Biden, and it's not quite the
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blowout scenario, perhaps. But I think most of the, correct me if I'm wrong, but are not all of the
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swing states within the margin of error? Can somebody do me a fact check on that?
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I just made a claim. I think it's close to true, but that might not be true, that all of the swing
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states are within the margin of polling error. Somebody do a fact check on that. Or it might
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be true that at least there are enough of them within the margin of error that Trump has a path
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if he got all of those. Now, let's talk about that. I would like to suggest that the idea that
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shy Trump supporters don't exist, or that they've been accounted for, is wrong for a really good reason.
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And I'll say this clearer than I've said it in the past, because I want to get on record before the
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election, just in case I'm right. And it goes like this. The shy Trump supporter is the one who doesn't
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want their name associated with Trump, because, you know, it might be a reputational problem.
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And I've seen some Democrats argue against it like this. Hey, look at those rallies. It looks to me
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like Trump supporters are proud to put on their MAGA hat and shout their support for the president.
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So why do you think there are shy ones? This is somebody who's never met a Republican or a
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conservative, and it's just so in their bubble that that comment made sense. Let me explain it to you.
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If you put 58,000 Trump supporters in the same place, it's safe to put your hat on.
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There are 58,000 Trump supporters where you are. You're surrounded by them. You can put your MAGA hat
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on. Nobody's going to punch you. Totally safe. Nobody's going to dox you. Nobody's going to take
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your picture with the intention of ruining your life. Of course, of course the rallies are going to be lit,
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and they're going to be extra lit because it's all the people who couldn't show their support
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outside of the safe space of 58,000 or some number of Trump supporters. Now, the other argument I heard,
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which was pure stupid, there are very few things that you can say, all right, you know, this is
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actually just stupid. Most of the time you say, well, I have a different opinion, or I have different
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data, or I've considered more context than you have. Rarely can you look at somebody's public
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opinion and say, um, that one's just stupid. And it goes like this. I don't know. I don't know the
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name of the person who said it was on MSNBC, I think. And, uh, no, it was a CNN, I think. And it
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was some expert who said the following expert, meaning pundit, not really expert, but said the
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following, that there probably is no shy Trump supporter because the automated polls get about
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the same response as the human being poll. And his thinking was that if a human calls you,
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you might lie because you don't want that human to think poorly of you if, you know, if they're not
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a Trump supporter, and you are. So he's saying, well, but, you know, you're not going to lie if a
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computer calls you because there's no person. Is that the dumbest analysis you've ever heard in
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your life? Has anybody ever heard of databases? Does anybody, is this a pundit, is he the only
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pundit in the world who doesn't understand that if a computer calls you at home, it knows who you are,
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right? And it knows who you are, and it's going to attach your opinion to your identity. And somewhere
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that's going to be stored in a database. Now, Trump supporters know that because we know what a
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computer is. And if a computer calls you and asks you a question, do you think that you're saying
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something to the computer, and then the computer is just flushing it, and it stops existing the moment
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you tell the computer your opinion? No, nobody thinks that. They think it gets stored. So if you really
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were worried about your reputation or getting on record as being a Trump supporter, and you should,
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because Democrats are directly, directly, no hinting going on, they're directly saying,
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maybe we should round up Trump supporters after the election, they think Biden will win,
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and they should be re-educated or punished. So if you're in the class of people who half of the
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country, at least people within that half, are talking about finding your name on lists,
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seeking you out, and punishing you and or re-educating you like a Chinese Uyghur, yeah,
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you might lie to the computer. I think you might lie to that computer a little bit. All right,
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but here's what the shy Trump support people are missing. The biggest part of the polling error
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is not shy Trump supporters, okay? And if you thought that I had been saying that, let me modify
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that now. It's not the people, they exist, I'm sure they exist, people who don't want to say the truth,
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but there's a much bigger group of polling liars, and it's what I'm going to call the world's greatest
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dad joke. You've heard me say this before. Think about it. Do you think that the, and of course,
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Republicans are lying to pollsters like crazy this year, like they've never lied before, it's obvious.
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Anecdotally, literally thousands of people, thousands, really thousands of people have tweeted
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at me saying that they've lied to pollsters. Now that's just people who tweet at me. You know,
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it's not like I did a poll and I scoured the country looking for anybody who lied to a pollster.
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Thousands of people have just told me on Twitter, yeah, I lied to him yesterday. Here's a text where
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I lied to the computer. And so I think the much bigger category is the dad joke people. The ones who
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aren't necessarily afraid of being on a Trump supporting list, but they think it would be
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hilarious, hilarious to see more pictures of that Hillary Clinton supporters screaming at the sky
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after the result is known. You know, we want to see that. We do want to see that. That's a thing.
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And anybody who, and the Democrats are completely blind to this. The Democrats still think that a
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shy Trump supporter means you don't want to admit that you're a supporter. And they believe that the
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polls have adjusted to find those people so that now the polls have made their corrections. Well,
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we're not going to make that mistake again. And maybe, maybe they won't make that mistake again.
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This is a new mistake. And this, if I'm right, and I feel very confident about this, by the way,
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I feel very confident that the people intentionally lying because they think it's funny,
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because they think it's funny is the biggest category. And if this dad joke lands, and I think it's
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going to, it's going to be epic. It will be the best practical joke of all time. It will be talked
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about for hundreds of years. For hundreds of years, people will look back in history and they'll say,
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you know, it was the greatest practical joke in history that all the Trump supporters lied to
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the pollsters. I think that's where it's going. And the thing that makes it a great dad joke,
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just in case you're not up on your dad joke humor, is because the left has made it so dangerous to tell
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your honest opinion, if you're a Republican, they've made it dangerous to have free speech.
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And so what would be funnier than screwing them with their own rule? You know, that would be fun,
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right? Because the rule is you can't say you're a Trump supporter. Did you make that rule? You didn't
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make that rule. That is not your rule. You're simply following the rules. You're just following
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the rules. And the rules say, you don't want to say you're a Trump supporter if anybody asks. I mean,
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we've been trained to do that, right? So that's what makes it extra super delicious, is that we would
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just be giving people what they asked for. Demanded, I would say. They demand that you not show any
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support for Trump. They demand it. Well, be careful what you ask for, because you might get exactly what
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you're asking for. And I think that's coming down the line. Now, let me say this. Somebody will be
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right and somebody will be wrong. Some buddies will be right and wrong after the election. You could be
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surprised. I could be surprised. The Democrats could be surprised. Surprise is a thing, right? You can all
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be surprised. Personally, my head isn't going to explode no matter what happens. And I hope that
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you're all at least mentally prepared that anything could happen. I mean, just anything. Let me tell you
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the coup two plan. Coup two is the second coup attempt, which I think is well underway. And of course,
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I'm speaking somewhat figuratively, or am I? Or am I? Is it a literal coup? Or is it just sort of a lot
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of people who know what to do? Was the Russia collusion plot, was that an actual, literally a coup
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attempt? Or was it just a whole bunch of people who kind of knew what to do? You know what I mean?
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Because the line between a conspiracy, an actual coup, and just a bunch of people doing what they think
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they ought to do, it's kind of a fine line. You know, how many phone calls and meetings do you have
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to have before your bunch of people knowing just what to do turns into an actual conspiracy to overthrow
00:26:09.640
the government of the United States? But here's what's shaping up. Number one, let me say,
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the big picture is, I think Democrats have two ways to win the presidency. One way would be to get more
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votes in the electoral college. So they could win it fair and square. That's one way. But there's a
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second way the Democrats could win the presidency that is the opposite of fair and square. And they
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have put all of those pieces into play. So the chessboard is set up right now for the Democrats for a
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second way to win the presidency after losing the electoral college vote. And it goes like this.
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Number one, make sure that your polls running up to the election are so fake that if the actual
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results are different from the polls, you could say, well, obviously, this election was rigged by the
00:27:06.000
Republicans, or there was voter suppression, or there was something illegitimate. Because it's obvious,
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look at what the polls said, and then look how the vote went. They're so different, it must be an
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illegitimate election for Trump. So that's the first thing. Make the polls look fake so you'll have an
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excuse later to say that the election was fake. The next thing you want to do is accuse Trump of
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voter suppression and accuse Republicans of voter suppression. So you want to get that story out
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there. You don't want the first time the public hears about it to be after election day. You want
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the public to expect Republicans to cheat, so that if they've got anything that looks like it happened,
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they're already primed. It's like, oh, I was expecting that to happen, and there's my evidence.
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So the burden of evidence can go way, way, way down if you've primed people to expect it to happen,
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because then confirmation bias is as good as evidence, as long as people are primed,
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and they have primed people for that. So let's say that Trump wins according to the vote as it's
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counted. They can claim it was rigged, and then let's say it goes to the Supreme Court. You'd expect
00:28:24.220
that to happen, right? So it goes to the Supreme Court, and let's say that the Supreme Court,
00:28:29.700
wanting to protect its own credibility, doesn't want Biden to get elected, because Biden will
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pack the court and make it basically a non-credible institution that was in the pocket of the
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presidency and the Senate, because they can just add people to get any result they want.
00:28:52.260
So will the Supreme Court vote to make themselves irrelevant? Because that's what backing a Biden
00:28:58.820
presidency would do. It would make the Supreme Court irrelevant, or it would risk it. We don't
00:29:04.640
know exactly what Biden will do. He says he's going to do a commission. But what if Kamala Harris is the
00:29:10.840
president? That could happen pretty quickly after a Biden win. So you would expect the Supreme Court,
00:29:18.220
not only because they're a conservative majority, but also because they don't want to make themselves
00:29:24.380
obsolete, that they would back President Trump. So whatever the question is, you know, does this vote
00:29:31.360
count, or can these votes be counted, or is the election done, or do we have to wait? Whatever the
00:29:37.140
questions are that go to the Supreme Court, let's say they go for Trump, which seems reasonable.
00:29:43.660
So now the Democrats would have set the table by the fake polls. They would tell people that
00:29:51.900
Trump's going to cheat. They would tell people that the Supreme Court is not legitimate, because it's
00:29:58.040
packed with conservatives. And now, what would they do? Well, that's not enough, right? You need a little
00:30:06.700
extra. That wouldn't be enough to pull off a coup. Because people would still say, well, you know,
00:30:11.820
the Supreme Court said it, so I don't like it, but I'm going to live with it. All right? Here's the
00:30:18.660
other part. If President Trump travels outside the White House, or he gets, let's say there's too much
00:30:28.380
of a threat, and he has to leave. Let's say 10,000 Antifa supporters surround the White House.
00:30:37.340
Could happen, right? Could you imagine 10,000, 20,000 angry protesters surrounding the White House?
00:30:46.160
Two scenarios. One scenario is that the president or the first family are in the White House.
00:30:53.880
The other scenario is that he's on the road, and he's traveling. If the angry crowd reaches the
00:31:00.960
defenses and starts, you know, taking a move on the White House to actually occupy it, if the president
00:31:08.440
or the first family are in the White House, you would expect that the security, which would be quite
00:31:14.360
extreme, I would imagine, could shoot to kill. Am I right? Now, test all of these assumptions,
00:31:22.540
because I may be wrong in my assumptions. I'd need somebody like a, you know, like a Dan Bongino,
00:31:27.620
somebody who actually knows what they're talking about, to tell me if my next assumption is correct.
00:31:32.240
And it goes like this. If the crowd of protesters outnumbers the security forces,
00:31:37.820
it doesn't matter how much the security forces, you know, fight them with batons. If they're
00:31:44.620
outnumbered, they're outnumbered. So if you get enough protesters without deadly weapons,
00:31:52.040
they can just sort of overwhelm the defense of the White House. Now, if the president is in the White
00:31:58.640
House, the security can start shooting. Am I wrong about that? Because that would be an actual risk
00:32:05.560
against the president. And I think that would be a real risk. They wouldn't have to shoot everybody,
00:32:11.100
but they'd probably shoot a few people. And that would probably be enough to stop the attack.
00:32:20.860
So am I right so far that if the president's there, they would use deadly force to keep the crowd away
00:32:26.720
from the president. Now, suppose the security says, we have to get you out of here, Mr. President,
00:32:36.660
and putting you in the underground bunker isn't good enough, because you don't want to be in the
00:32:41.700
bunker below the White House if the White House is occupied. That'd be the worst place to be. So we're
00:32:48.180
going to have to get you out of here. Get on this helicopter before the helicopter goes. Or let's say
00:32:53.180
the president was just on the road for business. If the White House is unoccupied by the first family,
00:33:00.800
and let's say the people who work there know enough to get out of there. So it's basically an empty
00:33:06.400
White House. Would the security forces protecting it be allowed to use deadly force to protect an empty
00:33:14.960
building? You see where I'm going here? I feel as though, if the building is ever empty during whatever,
00:33:25.660
you know, problems we have after the election, if it ever becomes empty of the first family,
00:33:32.540
that the crowd, if it's big enough, and it might take, you know, 10,000, 20,000 people or whatever,
00:33:39.020
if it's big enough, could they occupy the White House? Because I don't see American security services
00:33:46.440
slaying a bunch of people for property. Am I right? We don't see them killing people to protect
00:33:55.120
property. And as valuable as the White House is, if there's nobody in it, it's property.
00:34:03.260
So does Antifa know what I just said? Yeah, they do. Of course they do. They've been planning for a
00:34:10.700
while. Do you think that they're going to try to surround the White House if Trump wins? 100%.
00:34:16.040
100% they're going to do that. If the president's not there, let's say they occupy the White House.
00:34:23.160
Right? Now you can imagine that, can't you? All it would take is a big enough crowd and the first
00:34:30.120
family not being there. That's all it would take. Because I don't think we could ever put enough
00:34:35.140
security there to stop 10,000 or 20,000 people coming over the wall without shooting, without
00:34:43.220
deadly force. So what happens, and here's the punchline, what happens if the crowd gets control
00:34:51.560
of the White House? The Democrats get the Senate, they hold the House, and the trust of the Supreme
00:35:02.120
Court is diminished. What can they do then? All they have to do from that point on is get the mainstream
00:35:11.600
media to say Biden is the president. That's it. That's it. And it could be enough. Because
00:35:22.020
the mainstream media, we've seen that they can brainwash the public into any damn thing.
00:35:28.360
They would believe anything. So if Antifa got control of the White House, the media declared that
00:35:35.580
Biden was the president, and he goes back in because Antifa controls the White House,
00:35:41.000
it could get really ugly. It could. So I would look for where is the president going to spend
00:35:49.140
election night? And I believe he said he might move it to the White House. And I would think it might be
00:35:55.880
because of that. Somebody's saying, Scott, nobody's smart. Listen to you, all in capital. Nobody's
00:36:05.700
smart listening to you. Somebody's commenting in all capital letters. Nobody's smart. Yeah, and if
00:36:15.140
anybody shoots a protester, that's a bad look, as you're saying. Somebody's saying tear gas? I don't
00:36:21.640
think so. I think that the tear gas wouldn't slow him down. Somebody says dogs? Again, not enough of
00:36:29.460
them. And dogs would be violent. Somebody says, we've been telling you about the mainstream media
00:36:40.660
for years. Well, I think we all knew what was going on there. Militia? No, I don't think there'll be any
00:36:46.800
militias around the White House. Anyway, let's talk about some other things. So, and then the last
00:36:52.760
part of that is the 25th Amendment. So you could imagine that the Senate and the House, if they were
00:37:01.320
all Democrats, if they had Democrat control, they pushed the 25th Amendment, control the White House,
00:37:08.680
do something to get rid of Pence, I suppose, and just pretend that Biden won. It could happen.
00:37:15.160
I don't think it's going to happen. I think Trump will win. I think there will be a legal battle,
00:37:21.040
and then Trump will just be president, and there'll be a lot of complaining.
00:37:27.140
Trump said he plans to claim victory. Actually, he didn't say this publicly, but there are reports
00:37:34.500
that he's telling confidants that he'll declare victory on Tuesday night if it looks like he's ahead.
00:37:39.960
Do you think that's a good idea? Do you think Trump should declare victory on Tuesday,
00:37:46.740
knowing that there are lots of votes to come in by mail? Do you think he should declare victory if
00:37:52.340
he's ahead? Now, of course, the criticism is that that would be a destabilizing thing,
00:37:59.840
and it would be like a dictator trying to take control when he knows that there are more votes
00:38:04.340
coming in, and it could change. Well, I'm going to have to back Trump on this one. Strategically,
00:38:11.120
he should claim that he won. If it changes, he can make a second decision. So you can always make
00:38:19.140
the second decision. I claimed I won. More votes came in. They look like they're credible. Darn it,
00:38:26.180
I guess I didn't win. So I, you know, I concede. So he could always change his mind. There's nothing
00:38:32.440
that stops that. But going first really matters. So if he claims victory, and the votes temporarily
00:38:41.780
indicate that, whoever goes first in claiming victory has like a little bit of an advantage.
00:38:47.040
Because it's harder to say no, you didn't, than it is to say I won. So if Trump goes first and says I
00:38:56.480
won, if the numbers support that temporarily, it wouldn't be the final number. I think it's just a
00:39:03.000
good strategy, psychologically, to sort of make, to be first and make the claim and let people argue
00:39:10.700
against it. The FBI is investigating the Texas incident where Biden's little bus, his Biden bus
00:39:22.800
was surrounded by Trump pickup trucks with flags. And in at least one case, one of the trucks made
00:39:30.220
contact with a car that might have been a Biden car or something. So we don't know whose fault that was.
00:39:35.540
I saw the video of it. It looked like the truck's fault, but you don't know the whole story.
00:39:39.620
The video can be misleading. So they're investigating that. But if you're a Trump supporter,
00:39:47.000
how much do you laugh or enjoy the fact that Texas pickup trucks ran Biden's bus out of Texas?
00:39:55.320
He had to cancel the rest of his stops in Texas. How much do you like the fact that it happened,
00:40:01.000
even though maybe you don't condone it? Right? So I would say I don't condone
00:40:06.580
any kind of dangerous vehicular activity if there was anything dangerous.
00:40:13.960
But I enjoy it. I kind of enjoy the fact that somebody did it. I just think it's funny that
00:40:20.440
I tweeted a new analysis of mask effectiveness. What do you think he said? So there was a new
00:40:30.520
meta-analysis, which means they looked at a number of existing studies. And what they did was they
00:40:36.680
said, we have this criteria for which studies we will look at. So they're not looking at anything
00:40:41.760
from 2020. They're looking at mask research and studies from before 2020. And they picked
00:40:48.900
only ones that they had decided there was a criteria that they had decided would be a good
00:40:55.760
enough study. Now, the reason you do a meta-analysis is that you don't trust any individual study.
00:41:01.660
So you're not going to trust any one study. You're going to look at a bunch of them and see if they,
00:41:06.340
if the bunch of them lean in the same direction or not. So that's what the meta-study does.
00:41:12.220
And they did a meta-study, which means it did not include controlled, randomized studies. It was
00:41:21.160
a number of different things they looked at, different types of studies. And they came to this
00:41:25.300
conclusion that the use of masks by health care workers and non-health care workers can reduce the
00:41:33.200
risk of respiratory virus infection by 80%. 80%. So when they looked at the studies, they say masks work
00:41:43.900
and that not only do they work, they work a lot. 80%. It doesn't matter if you're a health care worker
00:41:50.300
or a non-health care worker, it works a lot. So that's what the studies say. Now, do you believe
00:41:57.020
that somebody else could do another meta-analysis of masks and that their meta-analysis would show
00:42:04.000
exactly the opposite, that masks do not work? Of course. I haven't seen one. But can we say with
00:42:14.060
complete confidence that probably there exists, doesn't mean it's right, but probably it exists,
00:42:21.460
somebody who did a meta-analysis and found out that if they look at all the good studies,
00:42:27.540
it shows they don't work. Don't you know that exists? Now, I'm on the pro-mask side of things in
00:42:35.440
terms of saying that they work. Whether you should wear them is a freedom question, which is different,
00:42:40.880
but in terms of whether they would work if you wore them, my common sense, my judgment says
00:42:48.400
almost certainly yes. Nothing's 100%, but it feels like certainly yes.
00:42:57.640
So we have one other experiment that gives you a little more information. South Carolina,
00:43:05.000
without trying to do an A-B test, did an A-B test. And I've been calling for this before. I kept saying,
00:43:11.640
where is my city that's just like another city, where one wears masks and one doesn't,
00:43:18.820
and they were in the same place with the virus at the same time, and everything looks demographically
00:43:24.000
similar. And then you can see, do the mask people get a good result and the non-masks don't? But you
00:43:30.520
got to, you could have to be careful about picking, you know, an apple and an apple. So that's always the
00:43:36.080
problem getting an apple and an apple. But South Carolina has sort of a natural version of this,
00:43:41.660
certainly far short of scientific standard, because you can't really control your comparisons that
00:43:48.280
well. But so South Carolina, there were some places where they had mask mandates, and some places they
00:43:55.600
did not. And here was their result so far, that the places without a mask mandate, so when they didn't
00:44:05.320
wear masks in South Carolina, in some parts, there was a over a 30% increase in the coronavirus
00:44:12.720
infections. So 30% more infections when, where they didn't wear masks, but where they did wear masks,
00:44:19.900
they saw an overall cases dropped 15%. Is that convincing? That's a pretty big effect, right?
00:44:28.400
Difference between 30% increase versus a 15% decrease. That's pretty big. So, but again,
00:44:38.620
is that a scientific comparison? No, you would need a lot more of these to be confident that you were
00:44:45.800
seeing something. All right, so I would say that while we cannot get to mask certainty, I would say that
00:44:54.280
the weight of evidence seems to be in favor of them working somewhat. All right, let's talk about
00:45:04.360
some hoaxes. There's a hoax picture, Richard Grinnell tweeted this, looks like a hoax of Biden wearing a
00:45:12.500
mask in public, but then he's on an airplane talking to somebody not wearing a mask. The hoax debunkers
00:45:18.540
tell us that the mask list picture is from 2019. So that's probably a hoax if you see the mask list
00:45:27.460
and then the mask to Biden. There's another hoax where Biden, there's a video of Biden forgetting
00:45:33.580
what state he's in, which he's really done a number of times, but this one was edited. So there's a new
00:45:40.100
one where it looks like he forgot the state, but he didn't. So those are two things. All right.
00:45:52.560
And here's the last thing I want to talk about. So somebody challenged me in comments because I had
00:46:00.920
said, you know, where's a James Comey to talk about the Biden allegations of Hunter Biden and China and
00:46:09.000
Ukraine and all that. And I had stated that if there had been, if the FBI or the news had been
00:46:15.460
more forthcoming instead of disappearing that story, that it might've changed the result. But
00:46:21.460
somebody pointed out, and this was a perfectly good question, that I'm also on the record as saying
00:46:27.460
that when Comey did his press conference in 2016 about Hillary's email, that I've said that didn't
00:46:34.520
change any votes. So how can I be consistent in saying that Comey talking about Hillary's emails
00:46:40.980
didn't change any votes, but I do think that if there had been a Comey talking about Hunter Biden
00:46:47.400
and Joe Biden's connection, that that might've changed the vote. And here's the difference.
00:46:53.020
Nobody cares about a technical infraction of email servers. That's sort of just something that people
00:47:00.500
talk about in the right wing. I've never met any Democrat who cared about Hillary's email server,
00:47:07.000
because even if it were true, I guess it's true that she had an email server that violated some
00:47:13.520
regulations or rules or laws or something. It just never rose to the point of being terribly important.
00:47:21.580
I mean, in my mind, it was very similar to software packaging, taking off the thing and agreeing to all
00:47:32.040
the software restrictions, but you didn't really. It's sort of a technical thing. I don't think it
00:47:38.360
would have moved anybody. And none of that turned into anything. In other words, there was nothing on
00:47:43.040
the emails that later turned into something of substance. So even at the time, you know, even
00:47:49.540
when the story first came out, I said, that's not going to change anything. People don't care. But a
00:47:56.200
story about somebody being influenced by China, I feel like that would change votes. Whereas an email
00:48:03.360
technical problem, you know, even though there's a real thing to worry about, we never discovered the
00:48:10.860
thing to worry about. All right, somebody's telling me masks get filled with fungus and bacteria and
00:48:22.140
all that. Yeah, you know, I'm not discounting the fact that there are some downsides to masks and
00:48:27.920
downsides to shutdowns and downsides to all that. I'm just saying that by and large, if you want to get
00:48:37.900
rid of the pandemic, masks are probably a big part of it. Let me tell you what I think is the
00:48:43.260
school of the future and what it looks like. Now that we're doing these terrible Zoom classrooms,
00:48:50.880
you can get a much better idea of what school should look like. Because once everything breaks,
00:48:58.120
you can start thinking about from scratch. Here is what school of the future would look like.
00:49:03.480
Number one, instead of having your teacher, the same one that you would have walked to school and
00:49:09.080
had in a classroom, teaching you over Zoom, you would have the best teacher in the world
00:49:15.200
teaching everybody. So there would be one best teacher for geometry, and everybody would have
00:49:22.980
that teacher. Now, it could be one or it could be any best-selling teachers who have created content
00:49:29.960
that might be recorded. So it doesn't have to be a live teacher. It could be the best
00:49:34.720
recorded lesson of a geometry lesson of all time. And maybe you still need some teacher's assistance
00:49:41.160
to answer questions and stuff. But imagine it's the best of the best teacher. How different is that
00:49:48.400
from your average teacher? And more importantly, how different is that from the bad teacher that they
00:49:54.980
get in the inner city because they don't have a good tax base, can't pay people as much? It's a big
00:50:00.660
difference. We are on the cusp of an enormous improvement in education. But right now, we're
00:50:11.640
captive to the teacher's unions. So as things stand right now, after the pandemic, we'll go back to the
00:50:18.340
same bad system that has been failing for years of kids being bored and going to class. So instead,
00:50:24.760
here's what I see as the future. You will have theaters instead of classrooms. So it'll be like
00:50:31.040
a little theater with a big screen that everybody watches the same screen instead of having their own
00:50:35.860
little laptops. They might have their laptops too, but they'd be watching the big screen at the same
00:50:40.980
time. And you would go there with kids your age who are taking the same class. So the number one big
00:50:47.400
problem with Zoom school is that the kid doesn't get to leave the house, doesn't get to see their
00:50:53.560
friends, doesn't get any social life. Now, we can't do that with the coronavirus, but as soon as that's
00:50:58.880
over, it would make more sense to get rid of regular schools, have a place that the fifth graders
00:51:05.920
can go to where there's some adult supervision, not necessarily teachers, and they can watch the best
00:51:11.920
education in the world, talk among themselves, form groups, do their homework, etc. And I think that
00:51:19.700
something like Amazon will be the source for that. I think Amazon will be selling the world's best,
00:51:26.020
you know, best-selling lessons for $3. So for $3, the entire class can get the best lesson
00:51:35.280
ever created on this topic. It's going to be a big deal. And then the last part of this is I think
00:51:43.740
we have to get rid of the antiquated degree situation, where you can get a degree in Russian
00:51:52.080
literature, a degree in this or that. I think that needs to be replaced with something like a talent stack
00:51:58.620
model, where you might not have something that would technically be a degree, but you've, you've
00:52:06.020
accumulated a bunch of learnings that fit really well together. And so you've created like a superpower
00:52:12.700
with your talent stack. So there's got to be some way to, to get credit for having developed a talent
00:52:20.620
stack, whether or not there's a degree that's associated with that. All right. Somebody said that's
00:52:27.140
called a resume. Not really, because your resume is a little wordy. And if you say, I have this
00:52:33.940
skill, but on top of it, I have this skill, you still have to work a little bit to understand that
00:52:39.380
they work together. But if you said, here's my talent stack. Here are the things that I think work
00:52:46.260
well together. That would be a pretty strong package. All right. So that's where I think we're going
00:52:52.640
with this unless the teachers unions screw us again. And, um, I'm going to try to join you tonight.
00:53:00.800
I don't know for sure, but I'll try to join you tonight. I understand that some of you can't sleep
00:53:05.920
unless you hear my calming words on these, uh, these dangerous times. Um, I do have, by the way, one
00:53:13.780
a threat against my house, uh, for election day. So there's some, uh, online indication that there
00:53:23.620
might be some trouble at my house. Um, I would like to suggest that if anybody was planning to
00:53:30.860
create any trouble at my house, that you should really rethink that because it would be a really
00:53:36.060
bad, bad idea. All right. That's all for now. And I will talk to you later.