Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 03, 2020


Episode 1174 Scott Adams: Election Day in America and What to Expect


Episode Stats

Length

58 minutes

Words per Minute

145.66995

Word Count

8,476

Sentence Count

2

Misogynist Sentences

6

Hate Speech Sentences

11


Summary

The future of the country, the United States, and the world, is all on today. Join me for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better, including democracy.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 hey everybody come on in here having a little technical difficulty but I feel
00:00:16.080 like I solved it for some reason YouTube doesn't like to connect if I set it up
00:00:23.940 too early so I'll adjust on that good morning everybody good morning big day big day the
00:00:32.920 future of the country the United States future of the world it's all on today how do you feel
00:00:41.180 you feel good well I'll make sure that you feel better by the time you are done with this periscope
00:00:47.500 and one thing that will certainly make everything better you probably know what it is it's called
00:00:53.040 the simultaneous sip and all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass a tank or chalice or a stein a
00:00:58.520 canteen joke or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join
00:01:05.420 me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes everything
00:01:11.500 better including democracy it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now
00:01:17.640 ah I feel the integrity of the elections improving with one sip that's all it took well let's talk
00:01:32.080 about all the things there are many things today um one of them is that although our rate of
00:01:41.160 coronavirus infections in this country is zooming up there's a surge it seems that the rate of deaths
00:01:49.800 is not zooming up it's closer to flat and so I'm curious how could it be that although the infections
00:02:02.640 are zooming up the rate that the number of deaths stays roughly the same the only way I can understand
00:02:11.720 that is if our ability to you know treat those patients and their ability to hide the vulnerable
00:02:19.900 is exactly keeping up with the rate of increase what are the odds of that right because you would expect
00:02:29.400 that those two rates of change to not be in balance that being in balance would be the biggest coincidence
00:02:37.040 what you would expect is that infections are zooming up and deaths would zoom up even if we're better
00:02:45.180 at treating them right you'd expect it maybe not as fast but it would be kind of normal to be you know
00:02:53.520 half as fast or something or let's say we were getting so good at treating people that even though the rate of
00:03:01.280 infection was zooming up the number of people dying was zooming down or even trending down but that's not
00:03:08.280 happening the number that are dying is just this sort of a flat line while the number of getting infected is
00:03:15.220 going through the roof it could be a coincidence it could be that those two rates of change how well we
00:03:23.060 protect and how well we treat people who get it is exactly keeping up with the surge in infections
00:03:31.140 maybe or is it just that there's a several week lag between infections and deaths so you'd need
00:03:41.220 something like a one month lag for those numbers to start conforming and that's just about now so if we
00:03:49.720 don't see a big increase in in deaths in the united states we have another mystery which is why is it so
00:03:57.440 balanced
00:03:58.060 all right i did a walk around last night took a nice walk beautiful night last night and i was looking for
00:04:07.740 campaign signs and found in the end i found three biden houses three houses with biden signs on the lawn
00:04:18.760 number of houses with uh trump signs in my neighborhood now it's i live in blue california
00:04:26.800 so the number of trump signs in my neighborhood zero
00:04:31.240 no not a single trump sign but
00:04:37.280 but there were a suspicious number of american flags flying yesterday
00:04:44.920 never noticed them before they looked like they had just been put up
00:04:50.500 so how would you like to be the candidate let's say joe biden and you're running against a candidate
00:04:59.040 whose political logo is indistinguishable from the brand of the country
00:05:06.280 trump actually became synonymous with the american flag now republicans already had a bias in that
00:05:15.400 direction but because you feel a little uncomfortable putting up a trump sign but you might feel a little
00:05:23.800 bit more comfortable putting up an american flag the american flag just became a substitute for a trump
00:05:30.320 sign how would you like to run against that i mean really running against the guy
00:05:37.200 who is now synonymous with the american flag
00:05:40.640 that's a tough one that's a tough one and if i were
00:05:45.760 a democrat today there would be
00:05:49.600 some kind of a song or sound going through my head
00:05:53.680 what would it be
00:05:56.080 hmm
00:05:58.960 mice
00:06:00.400 might sound something like that
00:06:10.800 um
00:06:13.040 all right so rasmussen
00:06:15.840 uh did some research
00:06:18.480 and they were asking who people expected to win
00:06:22.380 you know sort of an optimist versus pessimist sort of a situation
00:06:26.460 and trump voters expect a winner today more than biden
00:06:32.620 voters do so trump voters are expecting that we'll know the winner today more so than
00:06:39.420 biden voters um
00:06:43.340 and uh let's see
00:06:46.300 yeah that's that's the big difference is that trump supporters expect some something today
00:06:51.020 um
00:06:53.900 now how would you like to have biden as your champion
00:06:58.220 and knowing that he's the guy
00:07:01.340 who would surrender
00:07:04.060 the fastest
00:07:05.820 because he would right
00:07:07.660 let's let's say the vote is ambiguous
00:07:11.100 and we get to a place where it's
00:07:13.500 could go either way you know there's an argument
00:07:15.900 and you're just not sure even who won
00:07:19.020 which one of those two players trump or biden
00:07:22.620 is more likely to say i think i'll
00:07:25.740 i'll concede
00:07:27.500 for the you know benefit of the country because i'm a
00:07:30.780 i want to be a good character kind of a person
00:07:34.060 it's kind of biden isn't it
00:07:36.460 biden is the guy
00:07:38.380 you'd expect to cave first
00:07:41.340 if you know if he thought there would be trouble or something
00:07:44.380 so i'd hate to have my champion be the guy that i'm pretty sure would surrender first
00:07:50.460 in a in a fight
00:07:54.540 so of course the big question is the shy trump supporters will they will they show up
00:07:59.340 and how many of them are actually shy
00:08:02.540 and i want to get this on the record in case it's right
00:08:07.580 because it would be great to be right about this
00:08:09.580 i feel like the larger group is the dad joke
00:08:13.820 people and by dad joke i mean the the republicans who
00:08:17.980 lie to pollsters not because they're necessarily shy
00:08:21.900 or not necessarily because they don't want to be in somebody's database
00:08:25.740 as a trump supporter but because they think it's hilarious
00:08:29.740 and because they don't trust any of the professionals or any of the experts
00:08:34.380 at anything anymore and so my belief is that enough people got the idea enough republicans
00:08:44.380 and conservatives got the idea of lying to pollsters that it just became a thing
00:08:50.780 now when i do my uh my unscientific queries on twitter and ask people how many have lied to pollsters
00:08:59.500 there's a lot of you as in hundreds of you responding just to my tweet now
00:09:08.460 let's say you were uh you're a democrat and you hear that one person's tweet now i've got 590 000
00:09:18.060 followers but on any given tweet they don't all see the tweet right some subset of that see the tweet and
00:09:25.660 uh if if you had heard this and you're a democrat what would you feel when you thought wait a minute
00:09:38.460 are you telling me that there are two reasons we might not be picking up trump supporters and polls
00:09:44.140 one is that they're shy but i wasn't worried about that one because i think the pollsters corrected
00:09:52.700 so they figured out how to how to correct for those shy trump supporters so that's not a problem
00:10:00.700 but what's this bigger group you're talking about scott this dad joke group who just think
00:10:07.820 it would be funny and subversive to lie to pollsters they don't really exist in big numbers do they
00:10:21.900 yeah they do yeah they do um now we don't know if it's enough to win do we i mean we don't know for
00:10:34.060 sure who's going to win but if you're telling me there are not a lot of dead joke republicans who
00:10:40.060 lied to pollsters that much i can tell you i'm very confident about i don't know if it's enough nobody
00:10:47.900 knows that but there are a lot of them there are a lot of them let me tell you something else that
00:10:53.820 you probably don't realize if you're a biden supporter and you're not good at math let's say
00:11:00.540 you believe that biden is up by pick a number let's say you think biden is up nationally by
00:11:09.260 four points whatever five points let's say you think that's that's the number he's he's up five points
00:11:15.820 nationally do you understand that it would only take a few percent of those people in other words
00:11:25.420 all it would take is that half of those people lied two and a half people two and a half percent
00:11:31.980 in order to erase the five percent because you understand that if people lied they said they were
00:11:37.740 biden supporters so that adds one to biden but it also subtracts one from trump so if you reverse that
00:11:44.860 it's a two per it's a two vote swing so that five percent margin you think you have that's not five
00:11:53.180 percent that's two and a half percent because if those people leave they're going somewhere and
00:11:59.820 they're not going home they're going to trump so it's not really a five percent gap or whatever you
00:12:06.860 think it was seven eight percent whatever number you decided to believe it's half that and then when
00:12:13.420 you half it you get really close to the margin of error for the polls themselves meaning that you're
00:12:22.140 already within striking distance if you just cut it in half so um i think it's it's going to be quite a
00:12:31.900 nervous making day for democrats again we don't know who's going to win but i'd be a lot more worried
00:12:37.900 if i were a democrat for sure and of course they also have the ptsd of 2016 hanging over them
00:12:46.860 so if you were on the winning side in 2016 and you wanted trump to win you just had a good day
00:12:52.860 maybe a really good day i know i did but if you were a democrat and it was just a crushing defeat
00:13:00.700 and it gave you ptsd and as andrew sullivan said he actually went into a clinical depression after
00:13:07.420 trump won he's not alone a lot of people went into clinical depression after trump won i think
00:13:13.900 that's definitely a thing um so you would have that in your mind like this gigantic weight because you're
00:13:21.820 like oh not again not again but trump supporters don't have that weight because well if you lose you're
00:13:29.980 going to be unhappy right everybody who loses is unhappy but you don't have that ptsd thing hanging
00:13:36.940 over you it's not it's not going to be twice as bad it'll it'll be new to you if if it happened
00:13:44.220 so it's much worse for democrats um
00:13:50.460 tucker carlson did an episode yesterday that i thought was one of his more brilliant
00:13:54.700 monologues in the beginning and he talked about why it is that voters don't just vote for trump but
00:14:02.460 in many cases they seem to love him actually be in love what's up with that right because you see a
00:14:11.580 lot of people who support joe biden but correct me if i'm wrong you don't really see voters who are in
00:14:20.300 love with him and i say in love like it's almost romantic because the affection for trump is really
00:14:27.420 really personal am i right the the trump affection is about the person as much as the politics there's
00:14:35.500 something they like about him now i get that half the country has a negative reaction and you know
00:14:41.260 they're violently opposed as much as people love him but he certainly stokes emotion
00:14:46.220 he certainly gets your emotions going yeah he even had a there was a the amish actually had a trump
00:14:53.580 caravan with trump signs and their little uh horses and carriages
00:14:59.260 if you hear that the amish have gone for uh have gone for trump
00:15:04.940 yeah that's what you hear in your mind and so so what uh tucker surmised
00:15:20.620 his hypothesis is that the reason that uh trump voters are in love with him and not just supporting
00:15:27.420 him politically is that they feel he's the first politician that loved them and when i heard that
00:15:35.180 the first time i thought it does feel like that it does feel like that he's he is the the blue-collar
00:15:42.380 billionaire kind of guy and if you were in the midwest you'd lost your manufacturing job etc wouldn't
00:15:49.820 you feel that trump actually cared about you which is interesting because the biggest complaint about
00:15:56.700 trump trump is a lack of empathy right that's the biggest complaint but i would argue that there are
00:16:04.780 two ways to show empathy one is the things you say i sure do feel bad for you i will fight hard for you
00:16:16.780 words are part of how we detect empathy but trump is not that guy and never has been he's not the
00:16:23.820 empathy in words guy and when he does it he has to do it as part of his job but when he does it it's
00:16:31.660 it's not as you know doesn't touch you like some somebody else like a like a cuomo or somebody who's
00:16:38.300 real good with that emotional type of speech but the thing that trump does is he does what he said he
00:16:45.980 would do which is he would help a certain uh class of americans he's basically shoving a boot up china's
00:16:54.380 ass for the swing states if you think about it i mean he basically is just putting his whole damn boot
00:17:05.740 up to the brim in in president xi's ass to get some kind of relief for people who have manufacturing
00:17:15.740 jobs he's taking the manufacturing right out of there maybe put it in puerto rico he says i don't know
00:17:22.220 if that's the best idea frankly because of hurricane risk but uh in terms of having a an important
00:17:28.460 manufacturing asset there like pharmacies pharmaceuticals but let's say we could protect them from a hurricane
00:17:36.540 it feels like that's a pretty plausible explanation from uh tucker carlson that the people who vote for
00:17:46.300 him actually feel that he cares about them and it's based on what he does it's not based on it's not
00:17:53.260 based on his words which i think is very midwestern wouldn't you say um if you if you don't understand
00:18:01.260 sort of that part of the world let me explain it to you it's about what you do it's not about your
00:18:08.620 colorful words you know we're not too interested in your flowery explanations and your big vocabulary
00:18:17.900 words are good but what did you do you know what you actually do and trump wins on that another
00:18:25.980 hypothesis is from an article i tweeted around this morning that i thought was fascinating so you
00:18:31.740 have to know that the person who wrote it is a person of color i think i don't know middle eastern
00:18:38.860 maybe in terms of heritage uh so i don't know too much about the writer but was not a generic white guy
00:18:46.140 that's the only point i'm trying to make so not a generic white guy wrote the following hypotheses
00:18:53.180 and his article was which was very good um and he says the thing that people are missing
00:19:01.100 is that minorities don't like each other
00:19:05.740 now that's why i say it's important that this was not written by a generic white guy there are just
00:19:11.260 some messages that sound better coming from different people and so a person of color can write that and
00:19:18.060 you can say okay i'll take that seriously if if some generic white guy writes that you say ah racist
00:19:23.740 right so and his point was that for example i'll just give you one example that black men i don't know
00:19:32.780 if he said men or just black americans are pretty strong on border walls because illegal immigration
00:19:44.300 competes for jobs so if you're in the in the black american voter category you're saying to yourself wait a
00:19:52.700 minute trump is protecting me i i'm in the exact group of you know workers in america who are at risk
00:20:01.740 and trump is protecting me so maybe you feel a little bit racist yourself meaning that minorities often
00:20:12.460 have negative feelings about other minority groups and so you shouldn't expect that everybody is just
00:20:19.820 because they might might also be anti some other minority group that they think trump is against or at
00:20:27.420 least his policies seem to be you know not stacked in their favor so that's that's an interesting
00:20:34.460 wild card that i hadn't really thought of uh and getting back to my point about uh people falling falling
00:20:42.620 falling in love with trump there are little things that the trump's do that bond you to them and you could easily
00:20:51.980 miss them all right you could easily miss them i'm going to give you an example of something that don jr did this
00:20:58.940 morning that it's a very small thing it's just the smallest little thing but it's that x factor
00:21:08.380 that bonds you to somebody that makes you not just like them but just you're bonded to them and it goes like
00:21:15.180 this so you may know that uh mark schneider who's active on twitter and talks about uh nuclear power
00:21:25.180 he's nuclear power advocate and he got banned from twitter suspended i guess suspended for the following
00:21:33.660 tweet that i'm going to read and uh i think if you get banned from twitter you're still allowed to be on
00:21:39.500 periscope that's true right so mark if you're watching and you might be um i'm going to read
00:21:46.060 your tweet that they got you suspended on twitter and i don't know why and i'll get to the don jr part
00:21:52.380 of this story in a minute so here's what uh mark tweeted that got him suspended he said seems like biden
00:21:59.180 is trying to lose at this point lady gaga insulted americans with her redneck video and now she's going
00:22:06.940 to campaign with sleepy joe in fracking country pennsylvania will be called for trump at 9 pm eastern
00:22:14.060 time now what part of that gets you suspended i i had to like read this 10 times and i still don't know
00:22:25.420 what is it about this that gets us suspended because let's just break it down um saying that biden is
00:22:34.780 trying to lose does that get you suspended lots of people have said that that's actually a fairly
00:22:39.500 common tweet uh lady gaga insulted americans with her redneck video redneck's not a banned word is it
00:22:48.620 i don't think so um lady gaga that's okay um she's going to campaign with sleepy joe that's okay in
00:22:56.940 fracking country it is and then the last sentence maybe this is what got him suspended
00:23:02.460 suspended i don't know yeah suspended from twitter um where he said pennsylvania will be called for
00:23:09.340 trump at 9 pm are you telling me that an ordinary citizen can't make a prediction about something
00:23:17.820 fairly ordinary what could be more ordinary than predicting a candidate will claim victory and that's
00:23:24.780 the most ordinary thing you could say so what about this got him banned or suspended is the right word i
00:23:32.060 guess i don't know and being you know and this is extra bad because wouldn't you like to be on twitter
00:23:39.580 today if you're if you're a real active twitter user as mark is being banned on election day for
00:23:47.420 something this lame is really it's cruel you know today's the day you want to be on twitter so i'd like
00:23:57.500 to see that you know certainly reversed today if it's possible mark schneider on twitter all right
00:24:04.700 here's the don jr connection so i i saw the tweet somebody else took a screenshot of the of the tweet
00:24:11.260 that got mark suspended we think it is maybe it's not that tweet but i think it is that one and i retweeted
00:24:17.900 that uh with my own comment which was uh what the f except i spelled out the f word so my only tweet was
00:24:26.860 what the f so here's the don jr connection he's he's the son of the sitting president of the united states
00:24:36.380 and he retweeted my tweet i'm going to use the full word because we need to use it in this context the
00:24:42.460 story isn't this good without the actual f word in use so hide the kids there's an f word coming
00:24:49.180 so don jr retweets me without comment just retweets my tweet that says what the fuck
00:24:56.380 and in that moment i felt bonded to him to don jr because he's not supposed to retweet that
00:25:06.780 because there's an f word there right he is the son of the president he's not supposed to take this
00:25:12.860 kind of risk but not only does it of course it agrees with his you know political opinions on
00:25:19.820 censorship against uh conservatives but it also seemed supportive of mark meaning that
00:25:27.980 he took a little personal reputational risk don jr did to retweet an f word
00:25:34.300 supporting mark schneider because he's just a you know ordinary american who seems to be getting
00:25:40.700 screwed by a social media platform at the moment so it's such a small thing right because he could
00:25:47.660 have easily ignored that tweet just easily would you have known if he had ignored it you wouldn't know
00:25:54.460 if he'd ever seen it so ignoring it would be the easiest thing he could have done no risk
00:25:59.340 you know doesn't get in trouble for for retweeting an f word doesn't make him look you know crude to
00:26:05.900 some people but he didn't he just said i'll retweet that it's so small but it's those little x factor
00:26:14.300 things that bind you to somebody because you see he took a risk for a stranger an american
00:26:22.300 um and i tweeted this provocatively i said uh you know when you go to vote do you want to vote for
00:26:35.740 the the candidate whose followers would stop to help you change a tire in a dangerous neighborhood
00:26:42.940 or would you rather vote for the candidate who um wouldn't do that you know basically you could
00:26:53.740 break it down you could make it simpler and just say how about the candidate who wouldn't do that
00:26:58.540 you know their followers not the candidate and when you watch the uh the rallies do you see any angry
00:27:07.580 people at a trump rally you really don't do you and there was a uh a trans um i never know the right
00:27:17.020 vocabulary so i'll i will i will couch this by saying i don't know the right vocabulary but i'm not
00:27:25.020 trying to be insensitive or anything else but a somebody who identified themselves as a trans person
00:27:32.380 said that i'm wrong and that um it would be more dangerous for this trans person to be in a
00:27:43.980 republican neighborhood than in a democrat neighborhood do you believe that do you believe
00:27:49.340 it would be more dangerous for a transsexual individual to be in a republican neighborhood
00:27:56.220 than in a democrat neighborhood you know we're just looking in general as a general average
00:28:03.340 i don't feel like that's even close to being true indeed um let me state something that might
00:28:09.660 surprise you a little bit but from the first moment that trump was running for president and maybe
00:28:18.540 or you can say from the time he got nominated let's say from the time he got sworn in have you heard
00:28:25.180 any republicans saying anti-gay stuff because i haven't it's like republicans just stopped caring
00:28:33.340 completely and why wouldn't they is there a republican that thinks they should be in your pants
00:28:39.820 no no there are no republicans who think that they should have a vote about your genitalia now they were
00:28:48.060 concerned about gay marriage at one point that seems to have passed but that was more about their
00:28:53.580 tradition you know their religious tradition it wasn't so much anti-gay i know you think it is and
00:29:00.540 certainly i'm in favor of gay marriage so i was never on that side but it was it was more about them
00:29:06.620 preserving something that they thought was their you know special cultural thing it wasn't anti anything
00:29:13.260 in my opinion that's just my take on it but i've not seen anything that would even suggest even
00:29:19.980 remotely the republicans are somehow anti-lgbtq i don't see it at all in real life
00:29:29.340 all right um if trump wins re-election and i think you will
00:29:35.820 the pundits who got everything wrong again how are they going to explain how they were wrong the first
00:29:42.940 time they used russia collusion i suppose they could use you know voter suppression again that would be an
00:29:49.820 obvious one but i feel like they're going to fall back to well there are more more racists than we
00:29:55.740 thought well it turns out turns out i underestimated how many racists there are in the country i think
00:30:02.780 that would be their fallback excuse kind of kind of derivative of last year um here's another thought
00:30:12.540 fast forward to the future it's uh one month from today and so close your eyes go one month into the
00:30:20.060 future and let's say trump won all the democrats
00:30:27.340 who thought it was a good idea to run joe biden against trump are they going to look back at that
00:30:33.820 decision as possibly a little bit flawed because they chose someone who's decaying right in front of
00:30:42.860 us to run against the most energetic force of nature the country has ever seen you know in retrospect
00:30:52.860 once you get past you know the the noise of it all as soon as it slows down a little bit and you can
00:30:59.180 start to think a little more calmly and objectively about what we've experienced for the past year
00:31:04.780 if you're a democrat are you going to say to yourself i think we picked the right person
00:31:11.660 i don't feel like it i feel like they're going to feel really embarrassed about the fact that they
00:31:17.980 picked biden because uh you know i've told you this story when i when i met the president in the oval
00:31:23.660 office in 2018 he asked me who i thought way back in 2018 who i thought would be the candidate
00:31:30.460 i said i thought it would be kamala harris he said the president said he thought it would be joe biden
00:31:37.020 i said it won't be joe biden because he doesn't stand a chance against you he would be the weakest
00:31:44.220 candidate and my my thought at the time goes like this if you if you took president trump
00:31:50.220 and then you started selectively removing all the things you like about him it's like all right
00:31:56.620 he's you know he's going to be tough with china i like that but let's let's remove that from him
00:32:01.740 uh he's going to be a real fighter he's going to be tough on immigration he's going to all the
00:32:05.500 things you like about him just take them out of there he's got high energy he's you know he can
00:32:10.220 really persuade he can get things done he can kick some butt you take all that away from him and what
00:32:16.220 would you have left joe biden you would have joe biden if you took everything that's good away
00:32:23.580 from trump that's what would be left now so in my mind he was the worst matchup the best matchup
00:32:31.820 would have been somebody different like a hillary clinton because hillary clinton doesn't look like a
00:32:37.020 weak version of trump the hillary clinton looked like hillary clinton she was her own person if uh if
00:32:44.540 trump had run against let's say elizabeth warren just to pick one example i think she would have
00:32:49.660 lost but nobody would have said huh elizabeth warren looks like just a weak version of trump
00:32:56.700 nobody would have said that they would have said she's just elizabeth warren uh likewise kamala harris
00:33:02.460 they would have just said she's kamala harris but joe biden looks like the version of trump
00:33:08.220 after it's been beaten to death you know that's just a bad matchup so that's why i thought he
00:33:15.580 wouldn't get as far as he's gotten so i was wrong about how close he would get and if he wins i'll be
00:33:20.220 really wrong um i'll be i'll be happy to admit that by the way by the way let me say this as clearly as
00:33:27.500 possible if i'm wrong i'm not planning to be wrong but if i'm wrong about who wins the presidency
00:33:34.460 i'm not going to be embarrassed about that um and i'm and i'm certainly going to be completely
00:33:41.340 public about it because you shouldn't be concerned about being wrong about something you couldn't
00:33:47.020 possibly know you know we're all just predicting if the stock market is up today and i think it is
00:33:56.140 last i checked uh it's not because all the smart people are expecting their taxes to go up
00:34:03.580 now you see where i'm going with this why would it be that the polls all say biden's going to win
00:34:09.740 easily but the stock market doesn't usually vote for tax increases which is what higher stocks would
00:34:18.780 be telling you they'd be telling you that they're if the stock market thought biden was going to win
00:34:23.980 then the stocks would be going up on a tax increase that doesn't happen stocks go down if you think
00:34:32.700 taxes are going up so i think the stock market has voted for trump or voted that other people will vote
00:34:39.660 for trump so if i knew that the stock market was up and my candidate was the one pushing for higher taxes
00:34:48.140 for those very people who buy stocks what would i start to think
00:34:52.540 yeah
00:35:04.700 here's another good point from
00:35:06.540 uh gunletch what's his first name is it martin or something a big money manager guy ceo and chief
00:35:15.340 investment offices of double line capital and he's saying uh why is it that uh biden is so worried
00:35:21.900 about trump claiming victory and i thought to myself well why wouldn't he be you know why wouldn't
00:35:29.180 biden be worried that trump will claim victory why wouldn't you be worried about that and gun lack
00:35:35.500 makes a good point if the polls are correct and biden also believes the polls there's not really any
00:35:43.580 chance that trump is going to be able to claim success right if the national polls are even close to be
00:35:51.580 incredible the vote will be just so obviously biden that trump doesn't really have any path to claim
00:35:58.780 that he won so it must be and this is a pretty good pretty good thinking i would say it doesn't
00:36:06.460 have to be right but i think it is that biden's internal polling doesn't show him being that much
00:36:13.740 ahead right because why would biden even care what trump does if he's going to win by nine he doesn't
00:36:22.860 care what trump does trump would be irrelevant forever if the polls are correct so
00:36:32.380 somebody in the comments said i'm bald and so i'm not credible that might be true dr bandy lee do you
00:36:39.260 remember dr bandy lee was the one who was going on television saying that president trump had mental
00:36:45.500 problems uh how long ago a couple years ago and she got in trouble for a tweet now if you ever believed
00:36:55.500 that dr bandy lee was credible and smart because she has credentials and she was saying the president
00:37:02.700 is mentally incompetent uh just consider what she tweeted uh and i guess she had to delete this tweet
00:37:09.740 she got in some trouble she tweeted donald trump is not adolf hitler lee began quote at least hitler
00:37:17.020 improved the daily life of his followers what had discipline and required more of himself to gain the
00:37:23.340 respect of his followers and she goes on but it doesn't matter so dr bandy lee famous trump critic
00:37:35.260 decided decided to go uh with a comparison of trump to hitler and and praise hitler's qualities of uh
00:37:44.300 improving the daily life of his followers his discipline and requiring more of himself
00:37:52.380 how dumb do you have to be to praise hitler on twitter and think that's going to go okay for you
00:37:57.820 so whatever you thought of dr bandy lee when she was criticizing trump
00:38:05.900 just keep in mind that she also uh praised hitler so that's part of the context
00:38:13.340 the the biggest trick that the media has ever sold to the public is the following trick and it's a
00:38:21.660 really good one this is the best trick in terms of brainwashing that i've i've ever seen it's just
00:38:29.740 it's monumental and it goes like this that trump is the one responsible for the uh the country being
00:38:37.500 divided now because he's the most um interesting provocative person because he's the president he gets
00:38:48.060 the credit and the blame for lots of things that aren't exactly all his fault so any president who
00:38:54.220 has a good economy gets the credit even if they didn't do anything any president during a bad economy
00:39:00.300 gets blamed even if it wasn't their fault every president during a pandemic presumably is going to get
00:39:07.100 the credit or the blame based on how the the pandemic goes and it might not all be in their control
00:39:12.380 so it's perfectly natural for the president to be imbued with our feelings of causation i don't know
00:39:22.460 if that sentence made any sense i was winging it there but we think he's the cause of things because
00:39:28.940 he is in our minds and he's the president and he's on tv and he says things and then people do things
00:39:35.580 so you think he causes everything he's the cause but that's the trick because the cause of the division
00:39:42.700 in this country has been for a number of years fake news far and away it's the fake news that causes the
00:39:50.860 division there's a mental mental uh experiment that i ask democrats to do which is that imagine the news
00:39:59.740 had been reported just straight news with no fake news how would they report each of the things that
00:40:06.380 you think is a scandal with trump well the charlottesville fine people hoax would never have
00:40:14.300 happened because if they'd reported what he said he said he disavowed the racist there on the same day
00:40:21.180 they said he was praising him just didn't happen it was fake news so suppose that never been reported
00:40:27.740 right that's very different the country would feel very different without that fake news what about
00:40:35.180 the uh the fake news that he he suggested drinking bleach for coronavirus or the fake news about
00:40:42.540 whole countries or the fake news about any of it you know you can just go right down the list
00:40:49.500 russia collusion how about the fake news about russia collusion if you removed all of the fake news
00:40:55.900 news it would just be trump making claims they'd report on his claims they'd report on what the other
00:41:03.100 people said too but they wouldn't be brainwashing you they'd just be telling you what's happening if we
00:41:09.580 lived in the world with real news trump would not be that divisive he'd be a little divisive but it would
00:41:17.100 be on scale of one to ten if ten is where we're at take away the fake news trump would be a three
00:41:26.620 maybe a four tops the fake news causes the division and they have the power not only to cause the division
00:41:35.740 but they have the power to blame somebody else for it it's like your boss right your boss has the power to
00:41:42.860 give you an assignment and then make sure you fail at it by not having the right resources or information
00:41:49.980 or whatever and then your boss can give you a bad performance review for the problem that your boss
00:41:56.620 created and then your boss can fire you for the problem that your boss created a hundred percent of it
00:42:05.500 that's the situation the fake news has put the country in they can create the problem they can assign it
00:42:11.740 to somebody and then they can make them lose the election just like just like a boss uh so that's
00:42:19.740 the world we're in all right so we're going to see today and unless unless there's a trump blowout
00:42:29.340 that's so overwhelming that it can't be denied and i don't think i don't think that's probably going to
00:42:34.380 happen i think it'll be at least a little bit close uh in the total vote if not the electoral college
00:42:40.460 electoral college might be more of a more of a gap but you're going to see the mainstream media and
00:42:47.020 the democrats running a brainwashing uh psychological operation on the country and it goes like this and
00:42:54.940 they're already signaling it pretty clearly biden has already said that he would um he would take the
00:43:01.980 job of president if the fake news declares him the president think about that biden actually said that
00:43:09.580 without the words fake news so biden has said that if the news organizations declare him the winner
00:43:16.300 that he'll give a victory sort of acceptance speech and declare himself the president prior to being
00:43:22.940 sworn in but the president-elect tonight or tomorrow or whenever whenever there's a result now
00:43:31.500 that tells me that the fake news guessed to decide who's president and if you didn't think that was
00:43:42.060 true consider that they sold the consider all the things they've sold they sold to find people hoax
00:43:49.020 half the country bought it they sold russia collusion all kinds of things drinking clorox just just an
00:43:56.860 enormous amount of fake news has been sold to the public and they have proved the concept works they
00:44:04.380 have proven they can disappear the hunter biden laptop story they could just make it go away
00:44:10.700 successfully they made the biggest story in the country just just go away they have that kind of
00:44:17.100 power now the fake news industry if you will so it seems to me that if trump wins they have plenty of
00:44:25.660 cause to say the there was voter suppression wouldn't you say there's no doubt that there will be
00:44:32.220 enough anecdotal bad things happening in local places that both sides will be able to claim the
00:44:38.620 the the election was rigged even if it's not even if all of those things put together didn't add up to
00:44:45.820 anything both sides will have all the fodder they need to claim it was an illegitimate election you all
00:44:51.820 know that right nobody's going to be surprised when the losing side claims the vote was illegitimate we
00:44:59.740 all expect that given that and given that the mainstream media can create a reality that isn't
00:45:08.780 real but people will accept as real they can simply say biden won and half the country will believe it
00:45:15.900 it and then it's just a question of how many people act that way right suppose just take it down to
00:45:25.340 an employee level at the white house you're just an employee and let's say you work i don't know security
00:45:34.380 or maybe you're one of a facilities people well i'll make it really basic i imagine that there's somebody
00:45:41.020 whose job it is it's fair to say is a facilities um director or manager for the white house there's
00:45:49.340 somebody whose job it is that when there's a transition of government that they get the moving
00:45:54.540 trucks and they they move out the old stuff from the you know the people who were in charge and they
00:45:59.900 move in the new people and there's you know they assign who gets what office and all that so there's
00:46:05.100 somebody whose job it is to make sure that the right people have the right stuff in the white house
00:46:12.460 what if that person is a democrat right what if the facilities person looks at the mainstream news
00:46:20.700 and says well you know the mainstream news it says biden is my president so i'm going to order my
00:46:28.380 employees to move the files and personal effects of the last administration out on inauguration day
00:46:37.820 and i'm going to tell my people to move in joe biden's staff what happens then would the security
00:46:47.260 people say wait wait wait you can't do that because i don't think joe biden won what if that happens
00:46:54.540 what if the facilities person is lining up the trucks to move biden into the white house and the
00:47:01.260 security people are saying he didn't win what then right what then you know somebody is saying in the
00:47:10.860 comments that the most guns win but i don't know that it would come to that because it feels more like
00:47:17.020 a bureaucratic problem it feels more like people with no guns standing in the white house saying
00:47:24.060 but i think biden's the president look at cnn they just declared he's the president
00:47:30.700 and then the other one would say but i'm watching fox news and they're not so sure
00:47:35.980 so what do i do i feel like that's what's coming what we don't know is how individual citizens
00:47:44.540 will act if they're told there are two different presidents i don't think here's what i don't think i don't
00:47:51.900 think it'll be a civil war i think it will be frustrating sometimes hilarious very interesting
00:48:02.460 fascinating from beginning to end a study of human behavior and brainwashing and and everything else
00:48:09.660 but it's not going to be a shooting war i'm not going to say that nobody will get hurt in the next week
00:48:17.580 because it's a big country with lots of crazy people but we're not going to have a civil war
00:48:22.620 it's just not going to happen we will have this bureaucratic supreme court fake news mess
00:48:31.660 probably the only way to avoid it is a is a blowout in one direction or the other but it looks like we're
00:48:37.980 heading toward the fake news running what i call coup two coup two involves the biden people simply
00:48:46.380 acting like they won and the news simply supporting them and then seeing if everybody else will just go
00:48:52.860 along and see if they'll act like biden won too so that would be coup two um
00:48:59.100 and that is mostly what i wanted to talk about checking my notes um i think we're good all right
00:49:12.220 do you have any questions that you would like to ask me i'll tell you there are a lot of things that
00:49:18.380 don't matter in this election and the number of things that don't matter is pretty large for example
00:49:26.620 you heard a lot about the candidates making their their quote closing arguments their closing
00:49:33.340 arguments i don't think their closing arguments mattered at all do you know anybody who even
00:49:39.260 knows what their closing arguments were i don't i saw in the comments i've been asked about this thing
00:49:47.180 hammer and scorecard have you heard those words hammer these are projects project hammer project
00:49:56.300 scorecard have you heard of those so uh on steve bannon's show the war room he had general mckearney
00:50:06.700 retired general who claims to have close personal knowledge to a software program that can change
00:50:14.540 votes after they've been made he claims if i have this right that the our our intelligence services
00:50:22.620 created the software to use on other countries to influence their elections and and the claim is
00:50:29.980 that we've used it and that some election unstated don't know which ones were actually influenced
00:50:36.940 by a software program that i guess could be inserted in somebody's database and and move move votes
00:50:44.860 without anybody knowing it the claim is that the democrats have access to this tool
00:50:51.020 and that they will use it to influence the votes after they've been cast so the votes will get
00:50:58.540 into the database the software will get into the database switch some votes and it'll be just enough
00:51:04.300 to win so they won't make it so obvious that you would know it happened to be you know cleverly
00:51:10.540 picking a person here or a person there spreading it around you know so it's not all in one state
00:51:15.500 or something that would be obvious now the source for this is a retired u.s general who has a
00:51:24.780 excellent resume do you believe it do you believe it i'm finding it difficult to believe not impossible
00:51:36.460 because it falls yeah macchinearney macchinearney is the general um it falls in the it falls into the
00:51:44.860 category of things that totally could be real totally could be but i don't know it also has the the sound and
00:51:58.220 feel of something that's not real but it could be could be so i would say that's a wait and see
00:52:05.900 but we'll be waiting and seeing forever because we would never use somebody somebody in comments
00:52:11.500 is saying they used it in canada i don't think there's any proof of any of that
00:52:16.460 um so let us not assume that just because it was on a podcast it's true
00:52:23.900 um i assume let let me give you a complete assumption my complete assumption is this
00:52:32.060 whenever there's a possibility to do something that has an enormous upside potential now you could gain
00:52:37.740 a lot if you did it not not always but you might gain a lot and the risk of getting caught is minuscule
00:52:45.900 it always happens always so if you have that condition and there are enough people involved so
00:52:51.580 you don't have one honest person who doesn't do it but if you have enough people involved
00:52:56.300 it's possible there's a big upside gain and the odds of getting caught are
00:53:02.300 minimal and i would imagine that they wouldn't make a software that could do this unless it could
00:53:07.580 also cover its tracks really really well because if we made a software that was intended to change
00:53:13.100 elections in other countries and why wouldn't we really i mean think about it do you think nobody at least
00:53:19.900 tried to make a software that would change the elections in other countries of course we did
00:53:25.420 of course if our intelligence agencies had never at least tried to do that i would think they were
00:53:31.420 not doing their job you should at least have the option if you know what i mean so i don't think they
00:53:37.100 would build such software if you because it would have to be quite sophisticated and if you could build
00:53:43.580 something that sophisticated couldn't you also cover your tracks couldn't you also pretty easily make it
00:53:51.900 hard to discover so i don't know that we would ever know we'll just know we'll have an election
00:53:58.140 there'll be a president and who knows all right so uh be smart today be brave and when the brainwashing
00:54:09.660 comes and it will it will come because they've signaled that pretty clearly be immune be immune
00:54:16.220 to the uh the brainwashing the slaughter meter is at a hundred percent and by the way i noticed that
00:54:23.340 fox news is running a uh a little area on their website where they have an actual digital meter like a
00:54:31.260 like a gas meter that's uh that will tell you the odds so on any given time they'll estimate the odds
00:54:39.100 of somebody winning and it's basically the slaughter meter except the fox news version of it
00:54:48.220 somebody says how would this software work given vastly different voting systems among the states
00:54:54.140 that is an excellent question as you know all the states um do their own thing but you would only need
00:55:03.500 to be able to you would only need to compromise the key states and then only a few counties in the key
00:55:10.140 states so you might only have to influence let's say three databases three states where the the election
00:55:19.900 information information is consolidated for the state before it's reported you know at a federal level
00:55:26.540 so you figure all the individual reporting machines etc are going to go into one database
00:55:32.700 in each state i assume right that isn't that a fair assumption every state has one database
00:55:38.780 that ultimately all of the different voting machines the the paper ballots and everything will go into
00:55:44.460 right if you have a database in each state and there are only a few states that are critical you
00:55:52.140 just have to compromise maybe three databases and though they would not be the voting machines
00:56:00.860 they would just be the database that has the data from the voting machines so maybe compromise
00:56:07.260 three of them and you could throw the election um that may be simplistic perhaps they have you know ways
00:56:15.500 to check against exactly that but i don't know um
00:56:23.500 all right uh oh senate predictions here's my senate prediction um i think the republicans will do
00:56:31.900 better than the polls suggest i don't know if they'll hold the senate but they'll do better than the
00:56:37.500 polls suggest because i think that lying about what senator you're going to vote for is sort of
00:56:45.420 so adjacent to lying about what presidential candidate you support that i would expect people to be
00:56:51.500 consistent in other words if they lied to a pollster about who they're voting for president
00:56:57.100 i think they would also take that lie to the senate and say oh yeah i'll be voting for that democratic
00:57:04.460 senator sure so if there's a shy trump supporter or a dad joke trump supporter group i would expect not
00:57:14.140 all of it but some percentage of it to be influencing the polls of this the senators so i think the senators
00:57:20.540 will do better republicans uh did i vote i did not i did not uh because i didn't want to vote until it
00:57:30.060 was the last minute because it's funnier all right that's all i got for now and i will talk to you
00:57:37.100 maybe tonight let's see how things go but i i might be joining you tonight and that's all for now
00:57:50.540 um
00:58:09.020 you