Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1177 Scott Adams： Want Some Election Optimism？ I Have it. Come Get it.

00:00:00.920 All right, all you YouTubers, I'm coming to you early before I fire up Periscope.

00:00:07.060 I want to see if any of you have any questions before I get going on my normal program.

00:00:15.260 I see there are 68, 78 of you now.

00:00:20.980 Hey, who won?

00:00:24.180 Well, we'll talk about that.

00:00:26.640 You're here for the simultaneous sip?

00:00:28.280 Well, that'll happen in three seconds.

00:00:32.500 So I fired up YouTube early because I've been having some technical problems with it.

00:00:37.940 In about 15 seconds or 20, I'm going to fire up Periscope and then we'll get going, okay?

00:00:46.540 And I finally figured out my monitor setup so I could easily see all of the comments.

00:00:53.320 It was a little hard before.

00:00:54.260 Yeah, is Sam Harris saying things again?

00:01:02.980 All right, you ready?

00:01:04.920 Here we go.

00:01:05.640 Hey, everybody.

00:01:15.980 Come on in.

00:01:17.180 It's time.

00:01:18.320 It's time for Coffee with Scott Adams special optimism episode.

00:01:23.820 Yeah, have I been a little bit not as optimistic as you expected and wanted me to be?

00:01:32.240 Perhaps.

00:01:33.200 Perhaps I have.

00:01:34.580 It's been a tough week, hasn't it?

00:01:37.620 But we're recovering now.

00:01:40.140 Baseline happiness.

00:01:41.760 It's all coming back.

00:01:43.380 You ready?

00:01:44.620 We're a little bit exhausted after the election, but we're not done.

00:01:49.180 No, we're not done.

00:01:50.640 There's a lot more to go.

00:01:52.320 And it's going to be good.

00:01:53.840 I'm going to tell you about all the good news.

00:01:56.180 But first, the simultaneous sip.

00:01:58.900 And all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice or a stein, a canteen,

00:02:03.500 jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:02:05.920 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:02:08.620 I like coffee.

00:02:10.300 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of that dopamine hit of the day, the thing

00:02:13.920 that makes everything better, except for mail-in voting.

00:02:18.960 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

00:02:22.160 Go.

00:02:26.160 Oh, yeah.

00:02:28.480 Yep.

00:02:30.460 I don't think there's a dangling chad anywhere in the country after that sip.

00:02:35.920 It's all good now.

00:02:37.420 Well, let's talk about all the things.

00:02:40.440 Have you seen your stocks?

00:02:42.720 Now, I know you don't all own stocks, but you should be interested.

00:02:47.420 The stocks are, oh, my God, doing really well.

00:02:52.660 Now, are you confused as to why stocks are going up, since we don't even know who the president

00:03:00.380 will be?

00:03:02.500 Why does that happen?

00:03:04.800 Can you think of it?

00:03:05.920 Um, oh, yeah.

00:03:08.320 Somebody's reminding me to talk about the death predictions.

00:03:13.540 Make a note of that.

00:03:14.780 I do want to talk about that.

00:03:16.700 Um, so stocks are up.

00:03:19.880 Here's your economics lesson of the day.

00:03:24.720 Stocks like a divided government.

00:03:27.300 So the fact that the Republicans looks like, it looks like they're going to retain a slight

00:03:35.360 majority in the Senate.

00:03:37.500 And, of course, the courts are leaning conservative for a while.

00:03:43.960 Uh, so it kind of doesn't matter if Joe Biden gets elected or not.

00:03:48.560 We will have this divided government and, you know, sometimes our markets like that.

00:03:54.900 Now, the other possibility is that the markets think Joe Biden will be elected and they like it.

00:04:03.180 Do you think markets like higher taxes?

00:04:06.340 I don't.

00:04:08.640 I've got a feeling that if we knew Biden would get elected, stocks would be maybe not so happy.

00:04:16.380 But getting Biden elected and having a Senate which is likely to thwart his chances of, uh, of a tax increase, well, maybe that gives you cause for hope.

00:04:31.360 But I think there's something much bigger, way bigger than even taxes, as big as taxes are, right?

00:04:38.940 Interest rates and taxes and, and, uh, earnings.

00:04:42.420 Those are all the big things driving stock markets.

00:04:44.720 But sometimes there's this animal spirit thing.

00:04:48.620 Yeah, there's, there's just the thing you feel that you don't even know if you can put words on it.

00:04:54.200 It's, it's just the general zeitgeist, if you want to use the big word.

00:04:58.680 It's just how people feel.

00:05:00.320 Why do people feel optimistic right now?

00:05:06.380 What would cause that as we're fighting this out?

00:05:10.600 I have, I have a contrarian theory and it goes like this.

00:05:15.600 Didn't you expect the worst?

00:05:18.380 Some people did.

00:05:19.680 I didn't.

00:05:20.880 So, but a lot of people expected that we would have this election and then 10 minutes after the vote, the votes are counted.

00:05:29.280 We would be tearing each other's flesh off.

00:05:32.920 We would be devolved into the civil war.

00:05:36.320 Now, I've been telling you it's not going to happen.

00:05:40.520 It's not even close to happening.

00:05:42.640 It's nowhere near the universe of something that's going to happen.

00:05:46.240 We're not going to have a civil war.

00:05:48.240 Oh yeah, we'll have some street protesting.

00:05:50.660 We'll have some looting.

00:05:52.000 Something will get caught on fire.

00:05:54.460 But we're not going to have a civil war.

00:05:55.940 And here's why.

00:05:57.200 We don't want one.

00:05:59.220 That's it.

00:05:59.840 I used to have a hypnosis instructor who taught me everything I need to know about weight loss.

00:06:10.420 And it goes like this.

00:06:12.220 He was overweight himself.

00:06:14.040 My instructor was.

00:06:15.420 He said, you know why I overeat?

00:06:17.540 And we sat there and waited for the answer.

00:06:20.980 And he said, because I like to eat.

00:06:24.040 That's it.

00:06:25.240 That's the whole story.

00:06:26.760 I like to eat.

00:06:28.520 Everything else that you learn about weight loss won't be as important as that.

00:06:34.180 He just likes to eat.

00:06:35.500 I've often said that my ability to keep my weight under control isn't really willpower.

00:06:43.060 It's just that I don't like eating as much as other people like eating.

00:06:47.040 But if I liked eating as much as he did, I'd probably weigh what he weighs.

00:06:52.160 Likewise, this country has a tiny, tiny little sliver of people who would want something like a civil war.

00:07:01.620 Everybody else don't want it.

00:07:04.540 Don't want it even a little bit.

00:07:06.800 Don't want it slightly.

00:07:08.340 Don't want it in my private thoughts.

00:07:11.740 Don't want it subconsciously.

00:07:13.620 Don't want it consciously, subconsciously.

00:07:16.320 Don't want it.

00:07:17.600 Doesn't matter if I'm left or right.

00:07:19.800 Don't want it.

00:07:21.220 And so it wasn't until you have the election and you actually watch and observe how other people act

00:07:27.520 because your belief about a civil war, correct me if I'm wrong,

00:07:32.160 was your prediction about what other people would do.

00:07:35.840 It was never about yourself, was it?

00:07:38.320 Was there any point where you said, I think I might like grab my weapon and start some trouble?

00:07:45.020 Well, you probably never thought that about yourself.

00:07:48.480 You were just thinking, well, I'm watching the news.

00:07:51.980 I'm on social media.

00:07:53.380 It feels like other people are kind of fired up.

00:07:56.080 But it was never true.

00:07:59.560 Whatever it is that makes America America, nothing changed on that.

00:08:06.640 But the strongest forces in the world are the voluntary ones.

00:08:12.800 Meaning that people are trying to get into America because they like America the way it is.

00:08:22.880 It could be better, of course.

00:08:24.880 But people are not trying to come here illegally because they don't like it the way it is.

00:08:31.800 Of course, everything could be better.

00:08:35.060 So I think that whatever it is that's the central psychological force that keeps this country together

00:08:42.940 is as strong as ever and never really was even challenged by any of this.

00:08:49.040 If you have an historical view of the world and the country,

00:08:54.540 anybody who has the longest historical understanding,

00:08:57.780 say your Newt Gingrich's, even your Jake Tapper's,

00:09:01.640 somebody who's a student of history, as both of them are,

00:09:07.800 they know that if you go back to, say, Lincoln's time, it was really tense.

00:09:14.280 There are a lot of times in our history, the 60s, for example,

00:09:18.140 where it really did look like maybe the wheels were coming off.

00:09:22.140 If you compare 2020 to any of that stuff, it's nothing.

00:09:26.740 It's just nothing compared to a lot of our stuff in our history.

00:09:31.100 And we got past that other stuff pretty easily.

00:09:34.220 So our current times are really not a challenge for us.

00:09:37.960 We can handle this, and we are.

00:09:42.740 There's a LeBron James is asking for help

00:09:47.400 because apparently one of his best childhood friends had a sister who was murdered.

00:09:54.020 So he's trying to find out who the murderer is of some really good friend's sister.

00:10:00.560 And he's looking for help from the public.

00:10:02.940 And I can give him a little bit of help.

00:10:04.400 I don't know who the killer is, but I can narrow it down.

00:10:09.480 So LeBron, if you're looking for at least some initial help

00:10:13.280 in telling you who the killer is, I can narrow it down.

00:10:17.960 Well, it wasn't a Trump supporter.

00:10:24.300 That's all I know.

00:10:25.500 I don't know who it was, but I can tell you there are about 90 million people that you can rule out.

00:10:33.100 Probably not a Trump supporter.

00:10:35.100 I feel confident about that.

00:10:36.400 On Twitter, somebody was giving me a hard time because I was out of my lane.

00:10:43.840 I'm a mere cartoonist who has written some books.

00:10:46.800 And I do not have legitimacy in talking about politics and things which I know nothing about.

00:10:54.140 Now, I certainly would not be the one to tell you I'm some expert on politics or history or any of it

00:10:59.760 because I'm not even close.

00:11:01.400 But I would like to point out, as I often do, the loser philosophy that says you can't change fields.

00:11:10.920 The Wright brothers had very little experience building airplanes until they did.

00:11:17.060 Steve Jobs was a college dropout who built Apple Computer.

00:11:22.460 And, of course, Leonardo da Vinci had a few skills.

00:11:25.020 I'm not comparing myself to any of those people.

00:11:27.420 I'm simply pointing out that those people who say you can't be good in this area

00:11:34.700 because you have only experience in this other domain,

00:11:38.540 that is the most loser-ish philosophy or filter on life of any filter on life.

00:11:49.180 It's up there with be yourself.

00:11:52.200 The worst advice ever.

00:11:54.260 Don't be yourself.

00:11:55.180 Be better than that.

00:11:58.440 You know, if we all acted like, you know, how we just felt like acting,

00:12:01.900 just, oh, be yourself.

00:12:03.260 You would be a monster.

00:12:05.180 Don't be yourself.

00:12:07.060 Try to look at other people and maybe see if you can get a model of how to be better than whatever you are.

00:12:13.180 See, look around.

00:12:14.260 Maybe you can improve on that a little bit, huh?

00:12:16.580 I don't think you reached the pinnacle of human behavior.

00:12:20.420 Maybe you can take it up a notch.

00:12:24.000 All right.

00:12:25.880 So don't tell people to stay in their lanes.

00:12:28.560 It's the worst advice after be yourself.

00:12:31.780 Let us check our predictions, if we will.

00:12:35.640 Every now and then I tell you that since you can't determine what is true and what is not in our fake news world,

00:12:43.140 that at least you can do this.

00:12:45.100 It's the closest you can get to understanding what is real and what isn't.

00:12:48.660 It's prediction.

00:12:50.880 If your worldview or your filter on life allows you to predict accurately,

00:12:56.780 you probably are going to do pretty well on the next question, too,

00:13:01.160 if your history is good using the filter you're using.

00:13:04.260 So every now and then I say, all right, stop.

00:13:07.800 What did you predict would be happening today and how right are you?

00:13:12.140 Okay.

00:13:12.620 So now we have this election stuff and we can look at our predictions.

00:13:17.580 If Biden wins, my prediction of a Trump victory would be wrong.

00:13:23.600 Well, we can all agree on that.

00:13:26.360 And the way we score these, it's sort of binary.

00:13:29.240 Did you pick the winner or did you not pick the winner?

00:13:32.020 So if it turns out to be Biden, and I don't think that that's certain at all,

00:13:36.900 then I would be wrong.

00:13:38.920 But we don't know that yet.

00:13:40.420 There's still a clear path for Trump, which I'll talk about in a minute.

00:13:44.220 But suppose it's a razor-thin margin and it goes to Biden

00:13:54.180 and it goes that way because of the oddities of how state populations are.

00:14:00.100 So in other words, let's say the vote is so close

00:14:03.000 that it's really not even about choice or democracy or even the vote.

00:14:09.020 All it's about is the coincidence of where people decided to live.

00:14:14.220 You get that, right?

00:14:15.360 Because of the electoral college, when the vote is that close,

00:14:20.220 and not even as close as it is now,

00:14:22.920 but if you're that close in the vote,

00:14:25.520 it's not really a vote of preference anymore.

00:14:29.140 All you're doing is you're doing a census of where people live, in effect.

00:14:35.960 Because where people decided to live,

00:14:38.960 and the coincidence of this demographic group

00:14:41.680 ended up more in this state than another state,

00:14:45.000 that's what picked your president.

00:14:47.540 You know, should we ever get a real result?

00:14:50.420 It wasn't people's choice at all.

00:14:52.960 So all of the close ones are really just a coin flip

00:14:55.940 that has to do with,

00:14:57.980 oh, a lot of people moved down of California

00:15:01.400 and moved to Arizona,

00:15:03.740 so it changed the electoral balance,

00:15:06.540 and therefore you get different people.

00:15:10.620 But here's my point.

00:15:12.280 The basis of my prediction for a Trump win

00:15:16.140 was all predicated on this following prediction.

00:15:20.580 In other words,

00:15:21.260 the Trump win was a sub-prediction of the larger prediction,

00:15:26.240 which was that the polls were fake.

00:15:34.300 Now, not all of them.

00:15:35.520 I believe that the Rasmussen poll

00:15:37.320 was probably in the neighborhood,

00:15:38.620 and it was.

00:15:40.860 Trafalgar, I think, was in the neighborhood.

00:15:42.820 Even if they get it wrong about Trump winning,

00:15:45.300 they were pretty close to what the vote would look like.

00:15:48.880 Right?

00:15:49.300 But all of those ones with double-digit leads of Biden,

00:15:53.480 they were all fake polls.

00:15:54.780 So now here's where you get to check yourself.

00:15:58.780 If you believed those polls were accurate

00:16:02.740 because, hey, they corrected from the last time,

00:16:07.040 you know, 2016, they had these known problems,

00:16:09.980 so they had all this time,

00:16:12.020 they knew what the problems were,

00:16:14.540 so they fixed them.

00:16:17.060 Right?

00:16:17.600 Did you predict that?

00:16:19.080 If you predicted that the polls would be accurate this time,

00:16:22.840 give yourself an X on that one.

00:16:26.080 You got that wrong.

00:16:27.600 Even if you got the right president.

00:16:30.060 So even if you said Biden will get elected,

00:16:32.360 if you thought it was because the polls said so,

00:16:35.480 so clearly,

00:16:36.720 you were more wrong than right.

00:16:39.840 So let me state this,

00:16:41.640 and I know this sounds like a weasel answer,

00:16:43.440 but I'm going to do it anyway.

00:16:44.360 Anyway, my wrongness,

00:16:47.680 if it turned out that Trump lost,

00:16:49.620 but by the narrowest margin

00:16:51.100 and the electoral college reasons,

00:16:53.740 my prediction would still be closer

00:16:56.480 than most of the country

00:16:58.680 because most of the country said,

00:17:00.300 I think those polls are about right,

00:17:02.400 and they weren't even close.

00:17:04.200 So I was right about that,

00:17:06.160 which was a bigger prediction.

00:17:08.340 Who gets to be president, really, like I say,

00:17:11.020 has to do with the oddities of where people live,

00:17:13.940 and I'm no expert on that.

00:17:15.840 But I am an expert on bullshit.

00:17:18.160 So I will make one claim of special talent,

00:17:23.500 and it's based on my stack of experiences.

00:17:28.000 I believe I can spot bullshit better than most people.

00:17:33.920 What I can't do is count populations

00:17:38.000 and estimate that this county will go red or blue.

00:17:42.080 I can't do any of that stuff.

00:17:43.880 But I can spot bullshit,

00:17:46.140 and the polls were such obvious bullshit,

00:17:48.740 and I think many of you were on the same page with that,

00:17:51.500 that that means something.

00:17:53.480 So if I say to myself,

00:17:55.360 what is my ability to pick an electoral college winner,

00:17:58.700 I'd say, ah, probably not any better than anybody else.

00:18:01.720 But ability to spot bullshit,

00:18:04.820 I'm going to give myself an A for that.

00:18:08.000 Does anybody argue with that?

00:18:10.800 Would anybody argue that I should get an A

00:18:13.380 for predicting that the polls were bullshit?

00:18:17.860 And I think the reason will be,

00:18:20.760 they may call it shy Trump supporters,

00:18:24.080 but I'm going to stick with my original characterization of it

00:18:27.560 as the world's greatest dad joke,

00:18:30.520 meaning that somebody says

00:18:34.660 they can't believe I'm digging this deep.

00:18:36.620 What do you think I'm digging deep on?

00:18:39.200 I don't even know what that comment means.

00:18:41.920 So, yeah, so I'd give myself an A for knowing the polls are wrong.

00:18:46.300 If I get the actual prediction wrong of Trump,

00:18:49.680 the way we score things,

00:18:51.060 that would be failure,

00:18:52.800 just because that's the way we score it.

00:18:55.140 But my worldview is certainly very, very close to reality,

00:18:58.960 as we're going to be able to measure it.

00:19:01.500 Might have missed it by, you know, 1% or something.

00:19:03.920 How about your prediction of whether there would be a revolution?

00:19:09.500 Well, there's still time, I suppose.

00:19:11.720 We could still have a civil war,

00:19:14.080 but I predicted no way.

00:19:17.480 So far?

00:19:19.080 So far, we don't really have a civil war, right?

00:19:23.120 Here's what else we predicted.

00:19:28.000 How about predicting deaths from coronavirus?

00:19:33.120 This was what somebody prompted me in the comments.

00:19:38.780 So back in the spring,

00:19:41.120 before we knew much about the coronavirus,

00:19:43.880 I had predicted that the shutdowns

00:19:46.720 would save so many lives

00:19:48.840 because we wouldn't have car accidents

00:19:50.680 and, you know, a lot of extreme sports

00:19:53.680 and stuff like that,

00:19:55.260 that we might save enough lives

00:19:57.020 from normal accidents

00:19:58.460 that it would be a very low net death rate

00:20:02.560 even with the coronavirus deaths thrown in.

00:20:05.140 Now, that prediction was one

00:20:06.320 we didn't know a whole lot about

00:20:07.480 the coronavirus itself.

00:20:11.080 So that was a case

00:20:12.640 where science didn't know enough

00:20:15.560 to tell us enough

00:20:16.920 so we could make good predictions on that.

00:20:19.000 So I would say that prediction

00:20:20.100 seems completely wrong.

00:20:23.280 Later, when we knew more about it,

00:20:27.060 I predicted that the death rate

00:20:28.880 would be over 200,000.

00:20:31.600 And I did that because

00:20:32.980 I had asked other people,

00:20:34.800 what is your opinion

00:20:35.680 of what would be not a problem in the end?

00:20:39.300 In other words,

00:20:39.920 if we got to the end of the coronavirus

00:20:41.440 and got past it,

00:20:43.260 and how many people died,

00:20:45.440 would you consider

00:20:47.200 that the effort we put

00:20:48.920 fighting it was worth it?

00:20:51.120 In other words,

00:20:51.720 what would tell you

00:20:52.400 that it really was not

00:20:53.620 a regular influenza,

00:20:55.580 that it wasn't just

00:20:56.620 an extra strong influenza,

00:20:58.440 that it really was a,

00:20:59.740 you know,

00:21:00.500 a gigantic problem

00:21:01.860 compared to other problems?

00:21:03.520 And most people

00:21:04.420 came in around 200,000 deaths.

00:21:06.980 They said,

00:21:07.620 200,000 deaths,

00:21:09.340 that would convince me

00:21:10.580 that I was wrong all the time

00:21:12.080 about it just being the flu.

00:21:13.360 And so,

00:21:16.400 sure enough.

00:21:19.220 Yes,

00:21:19.860 so I'm looking in the comments,

00:21:21.280 you're saying that

00:21:21.860 my initial prediction

00:21:23.220 was that we would net

00:21:25.280 5,000 deaths.

00:21:26.740 In other words,

00:21:27.680 we'd save enough people

00:21:29.000 with this shutdown

00:21:29.860 if it was short,

00:21:32.160 no car accidents,

00:21:33.940 et cetera,

00:21:34.400 that the net would be

00:21:35.520 very small,

00:21:36.500 5,000.

00:21:37.680 That was about

00:21:38.700 the wrongest prediction

00:21:40.880 anybody ever made.

00:21:41.840 Now,

00:21:42.960 you should go to

00:21:43.900 the next level,

00:21:44.700 which is,

00:21:45.120 why was it wrong?

00:21:46.660 If you were wrong

00:21:47.880 about a prediction

00:21:48.600 because the bulk of science

00:21:51.800 has not given you

00:21:52.760 good information,

00:21:54.040 I think you could be

00:21:55.600 okay with that,

00:21:56.680 right?

00:21:58.180 A bad scientific opinion

00:22:00.180 based on bad scientific data

00:22:02.340 is not really a flaw.

00:22:04.460 But I told you my,

00:22:07.460 I believe that my ability

00:22:09.100 to detect problems

00:22:10.480 is my,

00:22:13.980 or to detect bullshit

00:22:15.760 is my special talent.

00:22:18.740 I thought it was bullshit

00:22:20.220 when people were comparing

00:22:22.360 coronavirus to regular influenza.

00:22:25.660 So that was my bullshit call.

00:22:27.920 That part I was right about.

00:22:29.560 So on the bullshit

00:22:32.320 identification,

00:22:34.880 I nailed that.

00:22:36.360 This is a big problem.

00:22:37.840 It's not the regular flu.

00:22:42.360 And,

00:22:43.000 all right,

00:22:43.760 so that's my record

00:22:45.560 of predictions.

00:22:47.160 You should do your own.

00:22:48.700 So,

00:22:50.040 McEnany is saying

00:22:52.400 that Trump's path

00:22:53.320 to victory

00:22:54.400 requires him to win

00:22:56.320 Pennsylvania,

00:22:56.760 Arizona,

00:22:57.920 and Georgia,

00:22:58.840 which are

00:22:59.320 all razor thin.

00:23:02.140 Is that the most

00:23:03.240 perfect 2020 thing

00:23:05.060 to happen?

00:23:06.140 That it would come down

00:23:07.400 to just the smallest

00:23:09.420 margins

00:23:10.060 where actually

00:23:11.760 a recount

00:23:13.260 could actually

00:23:14.080 make a difference?

00:23:14.940 I don't think it would

00:23:15.640 make a difference,

00:23:16.540 but,

00:23:17.440 you could imagine

00:23:18.240 that the margin

00:23:19.180 would get so small

00:23:20.400 that a recount

00:23:22.240 actually could change it.

00:23:23.820 I don't think

00:23:24.360 we're there yet,

00:23:25.100 but maybe.

00:23:26.760 Twitter is blocking

00:23:29.280 some of Trump's tweets

00:23:30.780 because they

00:23:32.180 suggest he may

00:23:33.520 have won

00:23:34.000 or that the

00:23:36.300 vote is fixed

00:23:37.100 or something.

00:23:39.000 And this is really,

00:23:41.060 I gotta say,

00:23:42.320 at the moment,

00:23:43.040 it's not hurting him

00:23:44.020 because the Streisand

00:23:45.040 effect makes you

00:23:46.540 wonder what he was

00:23:47.420 saying and then

00:23:47.980 you go look,

00:23:48.660 so he probably has.

00:23:52.100 Who is saying

00:23:53.060 OMG,

00:23:54.020 stop?

00:23:55.380 Stop what?

00:23:56.760 I don't even know

00:23:59.340 what you're talking

00:23:59.760 about.

00:24:00.740 So,

00:24:02.020 what do you think?

00:24:03.740 Do you think

00:24:04.180 Trump should be able

00:24:05.520 to have free speech

00:24:06.520 and say whatever

00:24:07.120 he wants about winning?

00:24:08.680 Or,

00:24:09.360 in his special case,

00:24:10.600 because he's the

00:24:11.260 president,

00:24:12.280 he could cause

00:24:13.280 something bad to

00:24:14.100 happen by his

00:24:15.080 choice of freedom

00:24:16.280 of speech?

00:24:17.760 Well,

00:24:18.900 let me say this.

00:24:20.380 oh,

00:24:22.220 I want to swear

00:24:22.940 again.

00:24:23.560 Does anybody

00:24:23.980 mind if I use

00:24:24.760 the F word?

00:24:26.540 Does anybody

00:24:27.160 have a problem

00:24:27.680 with that?

00:24:29.220 Because,

00:24:29.960 like I say

00:24:30.760 often,

00:24:31.580 there are just

00:24:32.060 some sentences

00:24:32.920 that just

00:24:33.520 require it.

00:24:35.160 It's like,

00:24:35.640 you can't get

00:24:36.700 past it,

00:24:37.240 it just requires

00:24:38.000 it.

00:24:38.580 So,

00:24:38.860 send the kids

00:24:39.460 out of the room.

00:24:42.240 Let me say it

00:24:43.080 again.

00:24:44.160 When you

00:24:44.960 restrict

00:24:46.160 President Trump

00:24:47.820 from speaking

00:24:49.040 the way he would

00:24:49.700 like to speak

00:24:50.340 on social media

00:24:51.200 by putting

00:24:52.040 warnings on it

00:24:53.100 and blocking it,

00:24:55.920 etc.,

00:24:56.660 on one hand,

00:24:58.280 we can certainly

00:24:59.020 all understand

00:25:00.100 the point of it.

00:25:01.980 The point of it

00:25:02.960 is they don't

00:25:04.020 want bad information

00:25:05.160 that would damage

00:25:06.060 the country

00:25:06.700 to get out

00:25:08.100 through the platform.

00:25:09.540 That's not a bad

00:25:10.340 instinct,

00:25:10.920 is it?

00:25:11.660 To want to

00:25:12.520 not have bad

00:25:13.340 information

00:25:13.840 get out

00:25:14.340 from the

00:25:14.760 President.

00:25:15.620 But here's

00:25:16.120 the counter

00:25:16.580 argument to

00:25:17.260 that.

00:25:18.420 And let me

00:25:18.860 say it as

00:25:19.280 clearly as I

00:25:20.020 can.

00:25:21.140 He's the

00:25:21.660 fucking

00:25:22.060 President of

00:25:22.860 the United

00:25:23.260 States.

00:25:25.320 The fucking

00:25:26.260 President of

00:25:26.960 the United

00:25:27.340 States.

00:25:28.360 When he

00:25:29.080 talks,

00:25:30.200 don't fucking

00:25:31.020 tell me I

00:25:31.740 can't hear it.

00:25:33.440 He's the

00:25:34.140 fucking

00:25:34.520 President of

00:25:35.280 the United

00:25:35.720 States.

00:25:36.800 If you

00:25:37.400 want to

00:25:37.680 block Joe

00:25:38.940 Lunchbail,

00:25:40.340 who's got a

00:25:40.880 dumb opinion,

00:25:41.800 and he's

00:25:42.180 promoting some

00:25:43.960 conspiracy,

00:25:44.880 I don't

00:25:45.500 care.

00:25:45.960 I didn't

00:25:46.280 want to

00:25:46.540 hear him

00:25:46.860 anyway.

00:25:48.100 But when

00:25:48.560 you meter

00:25:50.200 or filter

00:25:51.100 or block

00:25:52.520 the President

00:25:53.680 of the

00:25:54.000 United States

00:25:54.680 because you

00:25:55.660 think he's

00:25:56.280 saying something

00:25:56.920 that shouldn't

00:25:58.440 be said,

00:25:59.760 you are

00:26:00.420 becoming the

00:26:01.140 President of

00:26:01.720 the United

00:26:02.020 States,

00:26:02.860 Twitter.

00:26:04.000 I didn't

00:26:04.520 elect you.

00:26:05.880 I don't

00:26:06.300 remember voting

00:26:07.060 for Twitter

00:26:07.620 for President

00:26:08.320 of the United

00:26:08.900 States.

00:26:09.860 And do you

00:26:10.200 know what I

00:26:10.560 want to hear

00:26:11.060 about the

00:26:12.280 Twitter,

00:26:13.840 let's say,

00:26:14.580 quality control

00:26:15.520 people's

00:26:16.160 opinions?

00:26:17.260 Not a

00:26:18.100 fucking thing.

00:26:19.440 I don't

00:26:19.900 need to

00:26:20.280 hear the

00:26:21.040 opinions of

00:26:22.000 Twitter's

00:26:22.960 whatever quality

00:26:24.060 control or

00:26:24.920 censorship group

00:26:25.900 because in

00:26:27.300 effect that's

00:26:28.100 what we're

00:26:28.500 getting.

00:26:29.340 When they

00:26:29.940 put any

00:26:30.420 kind of a

00:26:30.920 warning on

00:26:31.440 the President's

00:26:32.200 speech,

00:26:32.960 you're seeing

00:26:33.580 Twitter's free

00:26:34.340 speech.

00:26:35.540 And Twitter

00:26:35.940 has decided

00:26:36.540 that you can

00:26:37.160 see their

00:26:37.660 free speech

00:26:38.320 speech, but

00:26:38.940 not the

00:26:39.500 may I say

00:26:41.020 it again,

00:26:42.160 but not the

00:26:42.760 President of

00:26:43.480 the fucking

00:26:43.960 United States.

00:26:45.480 Yeah, he

00:26:46.180 may say some

00:26:47.120 things that are

00:26:47.820 dangerous.

00:26:48.980 I think that's

00:26:49.940 just a fact.

00:26:51.340 And maybe you

00:26:52.140 don't want that

00:26:52.820 to hurt

00:26:53.680 anything.

00:26:54.280 I get that.

00:26:56.100 You know, the

00:26:56.580 base instinct

00:26:58.700 there isn't

00:26:59.360 wrong.

00:27:00.420 But in terms

00:27:01.180 of a system

00:27:01.960 that supports

00:27:03.840 the citizens

00:27:05.360 of the United

00:27:05.960 States, this

00:27:07.260 one's kind

00:27:07.800 of black

00:27:08.240 and white.

00:27:09.080 Not kinda.

00:27:10.100 Let me remove

00:27:10.880 kinda.

00:27:11.420 This one's

00:27:11.940 black and

00:27:12.460 white.

00:27:13.700 If you, if

00:27:15.080 Twitter decided

00:27:15.880 to put a

00:27:17.720 warning on

00:27:18.240 something I

00:27:19.000 say, you

00:27:20.280 know, I'm a

00:27:20.760 fairly prominent

00:27:21.880 political pundit

00:27:23.900 at this point,

00:27:24.940 but I don't

00:27:25.800 know that I

00:27:26.420 would think the

00:27:27.080 same thing

00:27:27.520 about that,

00:27:29.040 because I'm

00:27:29.920 not the, may

00:27:30.900 I say it

00:27:31.360 again, President

00:27:32.440 of the fucking

00:27:33.300 United States.

00:27:34.600 You don't

00:27:35.180 really have any

00:27:35.840 kind of, you

00:27:36.720 know, need

00:27:37.380 or right to

00:27:38.220 hear what I

00:27:38.740 say on every

00:27:39.420 single topic.

00:27:40.720 So if I

00:27:41.700 cross the

00:27:42.240 line and

00:27:42.980 accidentally

00:27:43.860 violate some

00:27:44.780 Twitter rule,

00:27:46.100 and Twitter

00:27:46.520 puts a little

00:27:47.040 warning on me

00:27:47.900 or bans a

00:27:48.640 tweet, I'd

00:27:49.660 say, okay,

00:27:51.820 it's negotiable.

00:27:53.340 That's a little

00:27:53.780 negotiable.

00:27:55.060 You know,

00:27:55.280 maybe I'll

00:27:56.280 appeal it,

00:27:57.620 maybe it's

00:27:58.240 reversed,

00:27:58.820 maybe it

00:27:59.160 doesn't.

00:27:59.820 But the

00:28:00.240 total importance

00:28:01.360 of that is

00:28:02.880 nothing.

00:28:04.400 You know,

00:28:04.640 if I do

00:28:06.100 something over

00:28:06.680 the line and

00:28:07.340 I get slapped

00:28:08.200 back by

00:28:08.960 Twitter, maybe

00:28:10.300 I learn

00:28:10.740 something, maybe

00:28:12.260 it gets

00:28:12.560 negotiated away,

00:28:13.380 but it's not

00:28:13.760 a big deal.

00:28:15.160 It's not a

00:28:15.920 big deal, as

00:28:16.640 long as it

00:28:17.060 doesn't, you

00:28:17.540 know, go

00:28:18.020 too far.

00:28:19.360 But when

00:28:19.780 you decide to

00:28:21.480 limit the

00:28:22.040 speech of the

00:28:22.680 President of

00:28:23.300 the United

00:28:23.620 States, Twitter,

00:28:25.400 we elected

00:28:25.900 that guy.

00:28:27.080 I know you

00:28:27.560 don't like it,

00:28:28.260 maybe, but we

00:28:29.620 elected that

00:28:30.280 fucking guy.

00:28:30.900 I want to

00:28:32.180 hear everything

00:28:33.420 he says, when

00:28:34.960 he says it, in

00:28:35.960 the most efficient

00:28:37.460 way you can get

00:28:38.460 it to my

00:28:38.880 brain.

00:28:39.780 I'll decide if

00:28:40.840 I don't like

00:28:41.440 it, and other

00:28:42.780 free speech will

00:28:43.700 tell, hopefully,

00:28:45.580 will inform people

00:28:47.480 whether it was the

00:28:48.160 right thing for him

00:28:48.900 to say.

00:28:50.180 But man, I

00:28:52.280 didn't elect

00:28:52.800 Twitter, so

00:28:54.140 don't be blocking

00:28:55.120 my fucking

00:28:56.040 president.

00:28:57.220 And I don't

00:28:57.660 care if it's,

00:28:58.360 you know, some

00:28:59.100 other president.

00:28:59.720 It's not about

00:29:00.500 Trump.

00:29:01.880 Twitter shouldn't

00:29:02.560 be blocking

00:29:03.080 fucking presidents.

00:29:05.140 That's just, I'm

00:29:08.520 sorry, there's no

00:29:09.800 argument there.

00:29:12.040 If you tell me

00:29:13.080 that you're going

00:29:13.580 to argue that

00:29:14.340 point, I'm sure

00:29:15.380 most of you

00:29:15.940 wouldn't, but if

00:29:17.240 there's anybody

00:29:17.900 who's going to

00:29:18.480 argue that point

00:29:19.280 that I can't

00:29:20.640 hear what my

00:29:21.360 fucking president

00:29:22.500 is saying because

00:29:24.120 you think it's

00:29:25.140 harmful, no.

00:29:27.940 No.

00:29:28.380 You could do

00:29:28.780 that shit with

00:29:29.400 other citizens

00:29:30.160 and I'll, you

00:29:31.660 know, I'll

00:29:31.980 look at that as

00:29:32.640 the normal

00:29:33.360 interplay of

00:29:34.400 what works and

00:29:35.600 what's good for

00:29:36.160 the country, but

00:29:36.760 don't block my

00:29:37.380 fucking president.

00:29:42.380 What else we

00:29:43.120 got going on?

00:29:43.740 Let's talk about

00:29:44.340 these, I know

00:29:46.420 the only thing

00:29:46.940 anybody cares

00:29:47.520 about is how

00:29:48.180 the state vote

00:29:49.260 counts go and

00:29:50.200 blah, blah, blah.

00:29:50.900 So let's talk

00:29:51.320 about that.

00:29:51.780 So what are

00:29:56.020 the odds that

00:29:57.440 as we look

00:29:58.040 into the vote

00:29:58.860 that you would

00:30:00.140 see things that

00:30:01.000 you are clearly

00:30:02.100 absolutely convinced

00:30:03.720 are voter

00:30:05.360 fraud?

00:30:07.160 What are the

00:30:07.880 odds that if

00:30:09.820 you look into

00:30:10.360 it, you'll find

00:30:10.920 that the voter

00:30:11.840 fraud that's

00:30:12.740 pretty, pretty

00:30:13.380 important in this

00:30:15.640 election?

00:30:16.720 Odds are a

00:30:18.060 hundred percent,

00:30:18.660 right?

00:30:20.440 A hundred

00:30:20.840 percent.

00:30:21.480 But here's the

00:30:22.220 important part.

00:30:23.480 There's a hundred

00:30:24.340 percent chance you

00:30:25.480 would see voter

00:30:26.340 fraud even if it's

00:30:28.260 not there.

00:30:29.920 That's the point.

00:30:31.340 If there's one

00:30:32.240 thing you can learn

00:30:33.180 from this

00:30:33.680 Periscope, this

00:30:35.460 live stream today,

00:30:36.680 it's that you

00:30:38.460 would see a

00:30:40.120 hundred percent

00:30:40.700 chance, there's

00:30:41.600 no wiggle room

00:30:42.360 here, you will

00:30:43.660 see fraud even

00:30:45.900 if it doesn't

00:30:46.540 exist.

00:30:46.980 You have to

00:30:48.500 understand that.

00:30:49.780 You're going to

00:30:50.460 see it even if

00:30:51.460 it's not there.

00:30:52.200 That's how

00:30:52.500 confirmation bias

00:30:53.420 works.

00:30:54.240 And you will be

00:30:55.120 convinced that's

00:30:57.000 real fraud that

00:30:57.800 you just saw, even

00:30:59.740 if it isn't.

00:31:00.940 It will feel

00:31:01.620 exactly the same.

00:31:03.480 So, I don't

00:31:04.920 know whether

00:31:05.380 there's massive

00:31:06.080 fraud or whether

00:31:07.020 there isn't.

00:31:08.120 I can tell you I

00:31:09.200 agree with you.

00:31:10.620 Sure looks like

00:31:11.300 it.

00:31:12.080 Sure looks like

00:31:13.200 it.

00:31:13.880 But wouldn't it

00:31:15.480 look exactly like

00:31:16.780 this if there

00:31:17.840 were not massive

00:31:19.060 fraud?

00:31:19.800 Sure, sure, you're

00:31:20.700 going to find

00:31:21.080 individual small

00:31:22.160 things, but maybe

00:31:22.980 that's just always

00:31:23.780 the case.

00:31:24.680 Maybe not enough

00:31:25.400 to change anything.

00:31:28.200 But that said, we

00:31:30.820 do have a pretty

00:31:31.580 sketchy result here.

00:31:33.720 And would you say

00:31:34.820 that it would be

00:31:35.420 true that no

00:31:36.940 matter what the

00:31:37.800 final outcome is,

00:31:39.560 let's say we do

00:31:40.280 get to a point where

00:31:41.140 there's one

00:31:41.680 president, do you

00:31:45.240 think that the

00:31:45.820 other side will

00:31:46.560 accept the

00:31:47.160 result?

00:31:48.760 Not really.

00:31:50.680 There's pretty much

00:31:51.980 no chance of that.

00:31:53.680 So whoever is the

00:31:54.660 president will be

00:31:55.980 considered a fraud

00:31:57.500 or illegally or

00:31:59.320 illegitimately elected

00:32:00.740 by the other side.

00:32:02.920 I think that's now

00:32:03.740 baked in.

00:32:04.300 There's no way to

00:32:04.820 get past that at

00:32:05.560 this point.

00:32:06.240 So you have to

00:32:06.920 take that as a

00:32:07.620 given and say,

00:32:08.540 all right, what

00:32:08.940 do you do?

00:32:10.240 What do you do?

00:32:11.580 Well, there is one

00:32:12.940 very disturbing

00:32:14.020 possibility that

00:32:16.620 this opens up.

00:32:18.440 And you may have

00:32:18.960 seen some hint of

00:32:19.780 this on social

00:32:21.340 media.

00:32:22.500 And it goes like

00:32:23.360 this.

00:32:24.540 Because we have

00:32:25.420 this thing called

00:32:26.020 the Electoral

00:32:26.740 College, and the

00:32:27.960 way it works is

00:32:28.780 the state

00:32:29.520 legislators select

00:32:31.480 the electors.

00:32:33.160 So those are the

00:32:33.900 people who cast the

00:32:35.020 vote that matters

00:32:36.260 in the Electoral

00:32:36.920 College.

00:32:37.880 Now, they are not

00:32:39.960 legally bound to

00:32:41.500 go by the vote.

00:32:43.260 So your elector

00:32:44.200 could, it would

00:32:45.580 be kind of rare,

00:32:47.100 but they could

00:32:47.880 vote opposite of

00:32:50.400 what the actual

00:32:50.980 vote in the state

00:32:51.860 was.

00:32:52.180 They could.

00:32:53.220 Nothing would

00:32:53.780 stop them.

00:32:54.280 It's completely

00:32:54.900 legal.

00:32:55.740 And the reason

00:32:56.400 that they can

00:32:57.460 is this.

00:33:01.280 That's why they

00:33:02.140 can do it.

00:33:03.300 The reason the

00:33:04.320 legislators can

00:33:05.480 ignore the will

00:33:06.520 of the people

00:33:07.180 is if they

00:33:09.680 think,

00:33:10.200 it wasn't

00:33:12.140 a legitimate

00:33:12.940 vote.

00:33:14.960 That would be

00:33:15.680 one reason,

00:33:16.300 maybe the only

00:33:16.780 reason, but it's

00:33:17.400 the one I know

00:33:17.920 about.

00:33:18.820 So if the GOP

00:33:20.140 legislators in

00:33:22.260 a couple of

00:33:23.280 tight states,

00:33:24.920 and let's say it

00:33:25.500 comes down to,

00:33:26.440 and this is

00:33:26.960 entirely possible,

00:33:28.900 maybe at least

00:33:30.380 a 50% chance

00:33:31.740 of this,

00:33:32.640 this could

00:33:33.300 happen.

00:33:34.200 Suppose it

00:33:34.860 comes down to

00:33:35.700 Arizona.

00:33:37.940 That could

00:33:38.560 happen, right?

00:33:39.080 It just

00:33:40.600 comes down to

00:33:41.160 Arizona.

00:33:42.420 And suppose,

00:33:43.220 because Arizona

00:33:44.020 has a GOP

00:33:45.360 state legislature,

00:33:49.080 suppose there

00:33:49.960 are, I don't

00:33:50.580 know how many

00:33:50.980 people are in

00:33:51.860 the legislature,

00:33:52.980 but suppose a

00:33:54.380 handful of

00:33:55.380 influential ones

00:33:56.540 decide that the

00:33:58.200 vote was

00:33:59.260 rigged.

00:34:00.660 They might be

00:34:01.280 wrong, but they

00:34:02.840 could decide that,

00:34:03.980 and they could

00:34:04.460 even believe it.

00:34:05.580 And then they

00:34:06.260 decide to cast

00:34:07.980 their votes based

00:34:08.780 on what they

00:34:09.280 think is right

00:34:10.200 and their

00:34:11.220 opinion, versus

00:34:12.660 how the vote

00:34:14.220 count went that

00:34:15.160 they don't trust.

00:34:16.740 You could end

00:34:17.640 up with a

00:34:18.640 President Trump

00:34:19.660 who did not

00:34:21.620 win even the

00:34:22.700 electoral vote,

00:34:24.060 you know, in

00:34:24.500 terms of the

00:34:24.940 popular vote that

00:34:26.140 informs the

00:34:27.020 electoral vote,

00:34:28.080 but could win

00:34:29.180 in the actual

00:34:30.880 electoral vote.

00:34:32.340 Would there be a

00:34:33.320 little bit of

00:34:33.800 rioting if that

00:34:34.740 happens?

00:34:35.180 Yeah, there

00:34:36.580 would be some

00:34:39.180 serious rioting

00:34:40.120 if that happens.

00:34:41.360 But, if you

00:34:42.900 think the odds

00:34:43.600 of that are

00:34:44.120 zero, they're

00:34:46.880 not.

00:34:48.060 Now, I don't

00:34:48.520 know what the

00:34:48.860 odds are, but

00:34:50.540 it's definitely

00:34:50.960 not zero, because

00:34:53.040 serious people are

00:34:54.060 already talking

00:34:54.720 about it.

00:34:55.640 There's no

00:34:56.520 legal or

00:34:57.540 constitutional

00:34:58.340 barrier to

00:35:00.800 a happening.

00:35:01.320 happening, and

00:35:02.700 because the

00:35:03.720 setup, thanks

00:35:04.580 to the weird

00:35:05.940 way that this

00:35:07.100 year went, the

00:35:09.500 setup is that

00:35:11.260 we feel like

00:35:12.060 there are

00:35:12.540 extremes of

00:35:13.580 different outcomes.

00:35:14.620 In other words,

00:35:15.220 a President

00:35:15.820 Biden, you

00:35:17.180 think, is the

00:35:18.040 slippery slope

00:35:18.840 to the end of

00:35:19.660 the republic.

00:35:20.540 Many people

00:35:21.180 do.

00:35:21.980 Other people

00:35:22.600 would think

00:35:23.000 another four

00:35:23.740 years of

00:35:24.280 Trump would

00:35:24.800 end the

00:35:25.320 republic.

00:35:26.680 So, if it's

00:35:28.120 that important,

00:35:29.480 it's not like

00:35:30.140 Bush versus

00:35:32.620 Gore, where

00:35:33.960 the big thing

00:35:34.960 that all the

00:35:35.400 smart pundits

00:35:36.080 were saying

00:35:36.520 is, well, it

00:35:37.080 doesn't matter

00:35:37.500 which one.

00:35:38.180 They're all

00:35:38.700 basically the

00:35:39.380 same.

00:35:40.320 These two are

00:35:41.100 not the same.

00:35:42.720 A Biden

00:35:43.480 presidency and

00:35:44.320 a Trump

00:35:44.640 presidency, at

00:35:45.880 least in your

00:35:46.400 mind, you're

00:35:47.840 thinking AOC

00:35:49.400 when you think

00:35:50.160 Biden, a lot

00:35:51.100 of you are.

00:35:52.180 So, the

00:35:54.380 stakes are

00:35:55.140 through the

00:35:55.620 roof, meaning

00:35:57.440 that the GOP

00:35:58.680 legislators could

00:36:00.040 legitimately think

00:36:01.360 they were saving

00:36:02.180 the union.

00:36:03.560 Actually think

00:36:04.240 that.

00:36:04.940 Now, of course,

00:36:05.760 the way it

00:36:06.260 would be seen

00:36:06.980 is they're just

00:36:07.740 being illegitimate

00:36:08.680 and they're just

00:36:09.740 voting for their

00:36:10.400 team and that's

00:36:11.160 all it is.

00:36:11.980 So, that's the

00:36:12.460 way it would be

00:36:12.880 seen.

00:36:13.740 But it is

00:36:14.460 entirely possible

00:36:16.220 that those

00:36:17.040 legislators would

00:36:18.060 say, I'm not

00:36:20.580 going to let the

00:36:21.160 country be

00:36:21.740 destroyed by

00:36:22.540 socialism and

00:36:23.480 it looks like

00:36:23.980 that's exactly

00:36:24.640 what would

00:36:25.060 happen.

00:36:26.080 So, I'm

00:36:27.560 going to just

00:36:28.040 vote for

00:36:28.520 Trump.

00:36:29.800 Could happen.

00:36:31.160 Don't rule

00:36:31.760 that down if

00:36:32.360 you see it.

00:36:33.660 And of course,

00:36:34.380 because it's

00:36:34.880 2020, even the

00:36:36.020 Senate race is

00:36:37.000 locked at 47

00:36:38.100 apiece with

00:36:39.580 how long it's

00:36:40.600 going to take to

00:36:41.140 figure out who

00:36:41.700 actually owns the

00:36:42.480 Senate.

00:36:43.120 But I think the

00:36:43.880 smart people are

00:36:44.640 saying that's

00:36:45.140 leaning slightly

00:36:47.460 GOP.

00:36:48.600 And that would

00:36:49.600 be why the

00:36:50.120 stock market's

00:36:50.840 up if we have

00:36:52.240 a government

00:36:54.360 that can't

00:36:54.940 function.

00:36:55.300 the stock

00:36:56.140 market likes

00:36:56.720 that.

00:36:59.920 Here's a

00:37:00.500 question I

00:37:01.000 asked that I've

00:37:01.780 not gotten a

00:37:02.820 good answer

00:37:03.980 to.

00:37:05.360 When Arizona,

00:37:08.220 whoever it is

00:37:09.560 in charge of

00:37:10.160 the elections,

00:37:11.060 went to the

00:37:11.640 state legislature

00:37:12.440 and said, can

00:37:13.260 we start

00:37:13.720 counting the

00:37:14.400 mail-in votes

00:37:15.160 before election

00:37:16.540 day, as

00:37:17.380 other states

00:37:18.200 do, the

00:37:19.820 GOP-led

00:37:20.980 legislature in

00:37:22.160 Arizona said

00:37:22.940 no.

00:37:23.280 And so

00:37:24.920 Arizona has

00:37:25.720 to take

00:37:27.040 several more

00:37:27.620 days because

00:37:28.740 they couldn't

00:37:29.360 start early,

00:37:30.740 even though

00:37:31.320 other states

00:37:32.540 are doing

00:37:32.920 exactly that,

00:37:33.860 and that's

00:37:34.140 why you have,

00:37:35.120 for example,

00:37:35.680 Florida, you

00:37:36.720 get a result

00:37:37.360 on election

00:37:38.160 day because

00:37:38.760 they counted

00:37:39.480 the mail-in

00:37:40.200 votes ahead of

00:37:40.740 time, the

00:37:41.300 ones that

00:37:41.620 were ahead of

00:37:42.080 time.

00:37:42.960 Now, why

00:37:44.520 do you think

00:37:45.240 a Republican-led

00:37:47.320 legislature would

00:37:49.240 say no to

00:37:50.240 something that

00:37:51.000 other Republican

00:37:51.940 states are

00:37:52.540 doing, so

00:37:53.200 it's not a

00:37:55.260 Republican-Democrat

00:37:56.680 thing.

00:37:57.160 It makes

00:37:57.800 perfect sense.

00:37:59.680 Can you

00:38:00.040 think of any

00:38:00.740 reason that

00:38:02.240 Republicans would

00:38:03.200 say no to

00:38:05.840 counting early

00:38:06.760 when you have

00:38:07.460 the ballots and

00:38:08.320 you have the

00:38:08.760 mechanisms to

00:38:09.560 count?

00:38:10.280 Can you think

00:38:10.840 of any reason

00:38:11.460 for that?

00:38:12.280 The reason

00:38:13.080 that I was

00:38:13.980 offered, which

00:38:15.300 I'm not buying,

00:38:16.520 is that it

00:38:17.020 was always a

00:38:17.780 setup to

00:38:19.320 overthrow the

00:38:21.040 election result.

00:38:22.600 in other

00:38:23.380 words, that

00:38:23.920 the accusation

00:38:25.920 is that the

00:38:26.680 Republican state

00:38:28.140 legislature in

00:38:29.260 Arizona intentionally

00:38:30.960 did the wrong

00:38:32.020 thing of not

00:38:33.740 allowing the

00:38:34.340 votes to be

00:38:34.920 counted early

00:38:36.180 to have an

00:38:37.780 unclear outcome

00:38:39.760 because that

00:38:41.080 would give you

00:38:41.620 more, let's

00:38:43.120 say, more

00:38:43.460 flexibility to,

00:38:45.660 let's say,

00:38:46.820 have the

00:38:47.940 electors be

00:38:48.820 selected by the

00:38:50.420 GOP, to

00:38:51.760 have some

00:38:52.100 kind of a

00:38:52.820 sketchy

00:38:53.520 outcome.

00:38:54.640 Do you

00:38:54.920 believe that?

00:38:56.200 Do you

00:38:56.860 believe that

00:38:57.400 the Republican

00:38:58.140 legislature in

00:38:59.360 Arizona, as

00:39:00.580 accused, were

00:39:02.300 so clever that

00:39:04.080 they decided to

00:39:04.920 do what makes

00:39:05.600 no sense, which

00:39:06.560 is not count

00:39:07.700 the votes

00:39:08.100 early, just

00:39:09.600 so they'd

00:39:10.040 have a bad

00:39:10.640 outcome that

00:39:11.240 wasn't trusted

00:39:12.020 because then

00:39:13.320 they could do

00:39:13.940 some mischief

00:39:14.680 and play games

00:39:16.520 and get Trump

00:39:17.520 elected?

00:39:17.860 Do you

00:39:18.280 believe that?

00:39:19.160 Because that's

00:39:19.680 what's offered

00:39:20.360 as a reason,

00:39:21.420 and it feels

00:39:22.020 a little too

00:39:22.720 clever to me.

00:39:24.600 And it feels

00:39:25.220 as if that

00:39:25.940 had ever been

00:39:26.660 a plan that

00:39:28.100 all of the

00:39:28.980 Republican

00:39:29.600 states that

00:39:30.380 could be

00:39:30.900 close, which

00:39:31.580 would include

00:39:32.080 Florida, at

00:39:33.080 least we

00:39:33.400 thought it

00:39:33.780 could be

00:39:34.040 close, they

00:39:35.240 would have

00:39:35.500 all done

00:39:35.860 it.

00:39:36.380 If there

00:39:36.740 was some

00:39:37.080 obvious

00:39:37.660 Republican

00:39:38.860 advantage,

00:39:40.780 wouldn't

00:39:41.100 they all

00:39:41.420 do it?

00:39:43.000 Why just

00:39:43.800 some

00:39:44.140 Republicans

00:39:44.600 did it?

00:39:45.840 I don't

00:39:46.100 know.

00:39:46.300 But that

00:39:47.300 could be,

00:39:47.880 I don't

00:39:48.080 know, I

00:39:48.900 don't know

00:39:49.140 what the

00:39:49.380 composition

00:39:49.820 of Florida's

00:39:50.980 state legislature

00:39:51.880 is, that

00:39:52.300 could be a

00:39:52.780 factor.

00:39:53.940 All right,

00:39:54.600 you're

00:39:56.620 watching

00:39:56.940 Sharpiegate,

00:39:58.540 the idea

00:39:59.180 that Republicans

00:40:00.620 were given

00:40:01.240 Sharpies to

00:40:02.200 fill out

00:40:02.760 ballots, and

00:40:04.400 the rumor

00:40:05.280 is that the

00:40:05.980 Sharpies will

00:40:06.620 be declined

00:40:08.120 by the

00:40:08.980 computer or

00:40:10.360 something,

00:40:11.240 but apparently

00:40:12.520 Sharpies are

00:40:13.460 recommended and

00:40:14.640 they don't.

00:40:15.200 so I

00:40:16.600 think the

00:40:17.000 Sharpiegate

00:40:17.700 thing is

00:40:18.280 just

00:40:18.560 confirmation

00:40:19.080 bias and

00:40:20.360 BS.

00:40:21.400 Does

00:40:21.800 everybody agree

00:40:22.420 with that

00:40:22.780 yet?

00:40:24.320 The

00:40:24.880 Sharpiegate

00:40:25.480 thing doesn't

00:40:25.960 look real

00:40:26.420 to me.

00:40:27.060 I would

00:40:27.640 toss that

00:40:28.660 one out as

00:40:29.260 being important.

00:40:31.160 It could

00:40:31.720 be.

00:40:32.580 You never

00:40:33.040 know.

00:40:34.500 You never

00:40:35.060 know.

00:40:36.260 All right,

00:40:36.760 some questions

00:40:37.700 being asked

00:40:38.280 about the

00:40:38.780 Wisconsin

00:40:39.420 count.

00:40:40.220 Now, this

00:40:41.100 is a

00:40:41.400 perfect example

00:40:42.280 of something

00:40:42.920 that later

00:40:44.260 we could find

00:40:44.920 out there was

00:40:45.420 a good reason

00:40:46.060 for it.

00:40:47.340 Now, one

00:40:48.940 of the most

00:40:49.340 important things

00:40:50.180 you'll ever

00:40:50.600 learn in your

00:40:51.220 life about

00:40:52.040 how to

00:40:52.380 understand your

00:40:53.180 reality goes

00:40:54.520 like this.

00:40:55.700 If you look

00:40:57.000 at a situation

00:40:57.780 and you say

00:40:58.900 to yourself,

00:40:59.500 there's only

00:40:59.880 one explanation

00:41:00.820 for this set

00:41:01.580 of facts,

00:41:02.900 you're not

00:41:04.180 smart.

00:41:06.300 Okay?

00:41:06.820 Let me say

00:41:07.280 it again.

00:41:07.900 It doesn't

00:41:08.260 matter what the

00:41:08.780 situation is.

00:41:10.000 If you look

00:41:10.780 at a situation

00:41:11.480 and you say

00:41:11.960 to yourself,

00:41:12.420 there is

00:41:12.760 exactly one

00:41:13.880 thing that

00:41:14.400 could explain

00:41:15.100 this set

00:41:16.120 of facts,

00:41:17.160 only one

00:41:17.700 explanation,

00:41:18.760 you're not

00:41:19.240 smart.

00:41:20.700 Because one

00:41:22.200 of the most

00:41:22.660 common situations

00:41:24.100 in our

00:41:24.680 experience is

00:41:26.000 that you think

00:41:26.620 there's only

00:41:27.040 one way to

00:41:27.620 explain something,

00:41:29.080 and then the

00:41:29.600 moment somebody

00:41:30.280 tells you the

00:41:30.900 other explanation,

00:41:31.980 you go,

00:41:32.580 okay, that

00:41:33.140 makes sense

00:41:33.580 too.

00:41:34.440 We're not

00:41:34.980 really good at

00:41:35.720 knowing if we

00:41:36.620 have thought of

00:41:37.160 all the

00:41:37.460 possibilities.

00:41:38.780 So that's

00:41:39.420 how confirmation

00:41:40.020 happens,

00:41:40.940 confirmation bias.

00:41:42.160 So I'm going

00:41:42.600 to give you

00:41:42.940 an example

00:41:43.380 in which I

00:41:44.140 can't think

00:41:44.780 of any way

00:41:45.820 that this

00:41:46.240 could be

00:41:46.580 legitimate.

00:41:48.000 But does

00:41:48.600 that mean

00:41:48.960 it's

00:41:49.180 illegitimate?

00:41:50.520 Nope.

00:41:51.400 It just

00:41:51.780 means that

00:41:52.640 there may

00:41:53.020 be some

00:41:53.380 argument we

00:41:54.000 haven't heard.

00:41:54.960 But again,

00:41:55.840 I can't

00:41:57.040 think of

00:41:57.380 any explanation

00:41:58.480 for what

00:41:59.660 I'm going

00:41:59.960 to tell

00:42:00.520 you that

00:42:01.020 is a

00:42:01.820 mischief.

00:42:03.060 Okay?

00:42:03.860 So Harlan

00:42:04.660 Hill mentioned

00:42:05.460 this first in

00:42:06.160 a tweet,

00:42:06.580 that's where I

00:42:06.940 saw it,

00:42:07.260 Wisconsin,

00:42:08.760 if you

00:42:09.080 look at

00:42:09.380 the number

00:42:09.740 of registered

00:42:10.380 voters,

00:42:11.640 and then

00:42:12.000 you look

00:42:12.480 at the

00:42:12.740 number of

00:42:13.240 votes,

00:42:14.620 it would

00:42:15.060 suggest that

00:42:15.820 they had

00:42:16.400 an 89%

00:42:18.340 turnout.

00:42:20.000 Now,

00:42:20.540 do you

00:42:20.940 believe there's

00:42:21.540 any chance

00:42:22.360 that Wisconsin

00:42:24.580 had an 89%

00:42:26.320 voter turnout?

00:42:27.740 Because that's

00:42:28.520 never happened

00:42:29.120 anywhere.

00:42:29.580 and is there

00:42:31.260 something special

00:42:32.080 happening in

00:42:32.680 Wisconsin that

00:42:34.180 would make

00:42:34.740 people's brains

00:42:36.400 on fire and

00:42:37.400 they would

00:42:37.720 vote,

00:42:38.440 nearly 90%

00:42:39.580 of them would

00:42:40.080 vote?

00:42:41.940 I can't think

00:42:42.960 of a reason

00:42:43.460 other than

00:42:44.420 the vote is

00:42:45.080 fake.

00:42:47.000 Now,

00:42:47.900 harken back

00:42:48.740 to my last

00:42:49.800 conversation.

00:42:51.040 The fact that

00:42:51.680 you and I

00:42:52.460 can't think of

00:42:54.080 any explanation

00:42:55.360 for how

00:42:56.880 Wisconsin

00:42:57.580 could have

00:42:58.060 an 89%

00:42:58.920 turnout,

00:42:59.840 because you

00:43:00.460 know that

00:43:01.000 can't happen,

00:43:02.500 right?

00:43:03.280 I mean,

00:43:03.700 that's so

00:43:04.360 far out of

00:43:05.260 the ordinary

00:43:06.300 that you

00:43:06.820 just,

00:43:07.560 your brain

00:43:08.000 can't process

00:43:08.940 that as

00:43:09.460 actually having

00:43:10.080 happened.

00:43:10.900 So,

00:43:11.320 if the only

00:43:11.940 explanation is

00:43:12.880 fraud,

00:43:14.840 is it fraud?

00:43:17.120 Because it's

00:43:17.680 the only

00:43:17.960 explanation,

00:43:18.720 right?

00:43:19.640 Let me give

00:43:20.420 you another

00:43:20.780 explanation.

00:43:22.700 The numbers

00:43:23.360 are wrong.

00:43:25.360 Somebody did

00:43:26.000 the math

00:43:26.440 wrong,

00:43:27.140 or the

00:43:28.440 numbers that

00:43:29.240 are reported

00:43:29.780 as voting,

00:43:30.720 they just

00:43:31.200 reported it

00:43:31.880 wrong,

00:43:32.420 or the

00:43:33.080 number of

00:43:33.480 people who

00:43:34.000 are,

00:43:34.500 who are,

00:43:36.400 who have

00:43:37.900 signed up to

00:43:38.480 vote,

00:43:38.820 who are

00:43:39.000 registered to

00:43:39.660 vote,

00:43:40.160 maybe just

00:43:40.660 one of those

00:43:41.060 numbers is

00:43:41.540 wrong.

00:43:42.600 So,

00:43:43.140 I'm not saying

00:43:43.920 that's what's

00:43:44.400 going on.

00:43:45.020 I just want

00:43:46.020 you to have

00:43:46.840 less confidence

00:43:47.940 in your

00:43:49.320 certainty that

00:43:50.580 there's only

00:43:51.060 one explanation

00:43:51.940 for anything.

00:43:53.100 It could be

00:43:53.720 this,

00:43:54.420 it could be

00:43:54.800 an entirely

00:43:55.280 different

00:43:55.640 situation.

00:43:57.400 There's

00:43:57.700 almost always

00:43:59.260 more than

00:44:00.560 one explanation

00:44:01.360 for things.

00:44:02.000 Just keep

00:44:03.020 that little

00:44:03.620 loop playing

00:44:05.260 in your

00:44:05.540 head.

00:44:06.560 I can't

00:44:07.100 think of

00:44:07.460 any other

00:44:07.940 explanation,

00:44:09.340 but quite

00:44:09.900 often there

00:44:10.520 is.

00:44:11.840 This is one

00:44:12.680 where even

00:44:13.240 I am

00:44:13.660 stumped.

00:44:14.240 Usually I

00:44:14.820 can come

00:44:15.260 up with

00:44:15.820 at least

00:44:16.940 some kind

00:44:17.360 of a

00:44:17.600 reasonable

00:44:18.000 guess of

00:44:19.640 how something

00:44:20.540 could be

00:44:21.020 different than

00:44:21.640 the way it

00:44:22.240 looks,

00:44:23.000 but I don't

00:44:23.460 even have a

00:44:24.160 good guess

00:44:24.880 on this

00:44:25.460 because

00:44:26.260 people are

00:44:28.700 tweeting this

00:44:29.260 publicly

00:44:29.700 and somebody

00:44:31.180 would have

00:44:31.520 called them

00:44:31.920 out for

00:44:32.260 having the

00:44:32.680 wrong numbers.

00:44:34.300 So there's

00:44:34.640 something to

00:44:35.060 look into

00:44:35.500 there.

00:44:36.160 All right.

00:44:38.520 Remember when

00:44:39.340 I predicted

00:44:39.940 that both

00:44:40.460 Biden and

00:44:41.140 Trump would

00:44:41.860 be declared

00:44:42.900 president at

00:44:43.800 one point?

00:44:44.340 I think

00:44:46.560 we're heading

00:44:47.000 for that

00:44:47.600 because what

00:44:49.200 if we get

00:44:49.720 to the

00:44:50.040 point,

00:44:51.180 and this

00:44:51.820 is just

00:44:52.140 one way

00:44:52.600 it could

00:44:52.840 happen,

00:44:53.200 it could

00:44:53.360 happen some

00:44:53.800 other way

00:44:54.160 too.

00:44:54.760 Suppose we

00:44:55.400 get to the

00:44:55.720 point where

00:44:56.140 Biden has

00:44:56.860 won the

00:44:57.460 electoral

00:44:58.000 college vote

00:44:58.880 according to

00:45:00.020 the votes,

00:45:01.180 but there's a

00:45:02.140 faithless,

00:45:02.860 as they call

00:45:03.400 them,

00:45:03.720 faithless

00:45:04.280 elector who

00:45:06.040 decides to

00:45:06.720 vote for

00:45:07.080 Trump anyway

00:45:07.720 because they

00:45:08.980 don't trust

00:45:10.060 the vote

00:45:10.440 count or

00:45:10.900 whatever.

00:45:11.120 You could

00:45:12.480 have a

00:45:12.760 situation

00:45:13.220 where CNN

00:45:14.180 would declare

00:45:15.120 Biden the

00:45:15.800 president because

00:45:17.260 he won the

00:45:17.880 electoral college

00:45:18.860 vote,

00:45:20.000 and Fox

00:45:21.440 News would

00:45:21.980 declare Trump

00:45:22.740 the president

00:45:23.320 because the

00:45:24.440 actual electors

00:45:25.580 selected Trump.

00:45:27.680 Now, do you

00:45:28.980 think that that

00:45:30.040 could get worked

00:45:30.800 out?

00:45:31.660 Maybe the

00:45:32.160 Supreme Court

00:45:32.800 makes a decision

00:45:33.680 and works it

00:45:35.120 out.

00:45:35.920 Maybe, but

00:45:37.580 we're at a

00:45:38.160 point, and

00:45:38.860 you've seen it

00:45:39.760 clearly, where

00:45:41.000 the mainstream

00:45:41.580 media can

00:45:42.780 simply convince

00:45:43.800 half of the

00:45:44.380 country that

00:45:44.920 Biden became

00:45:45.740 president.

00:45:47.240 They can do

00:45:48.020 that, and I

00:45:50.540 predict that it

00:45:51.280 will happen,

00:45:52.440 that there will

00:45:53.140 be a point

00:45:53.820 where CNN is

00:45:55.880 telling the

00:45:56.400 country that

00:45:57.440 they have a

00:45:57.900 different

00:45:58.220 president, a

00:46:00.960 different

00:46:01.280 legitimate

00:46:02.020 president than

00:46:03.600 you're hearing

00:46:04.120 on, let's

00:46:04.920 say, a

00:46:05.200 right-leaning

00:46:05.660 network.

00:46:07.760 So the

00:46:08.620 Trump-supporting

00:46:09.280 crowds have

00:46:09.800 descended on

00:46:10.500 Philadelphia to

00:46:13.040 try to keep

00:46:14.080 them honest in

00:46:14.920 their vote

00:46:15.720 counting.

00:46:16.840 Representative

00:46:17.360 Gosar is

00:46:18.160 there, Mike

00:46:18.760 Cernovich is

00:46:19.460 there, so

00:46:20.500 they're bringing

00:46:20.920 the heat.

00:46:23.700 People are

00:46:24.620 voting with

00:46:25.800 their feet and

00:46:26.820 their signs and

00:46:27.740 their protests,

00:46:29.340 so we'll keep

00:46:29.880 an eye on

00:46:30.260 that.

00:46:30.980 It's probably

00:46:31.860 super important

00:46:33.300 that Trump

00:46:34.260 supporters are

00:46:35.020 on the streets

00:46:35.800 if you want to

00:46:36.980 get the result

00:46:37.900 you want.

00:46:38.360 let me give

00:46:40.220 you a full

00:46:40.880 report on

00:46:41.560 all the

00:46:41.920 rioting

00:46:42.580 because of

00:46:44.200 the Trump

00:46:44.760 supporting

00:46:45.280 people.

00:46:48.220 So here's

00:46:49.180 a full list

00:46:50.000 of all the

00:46:50.740 looting and

00:46:52.320 fires that

00:46:53.020 were set by

00:46:53.600 Trump supporters

00:46:54.400 in Philadelphia.

00:46:56.280 Okay, still

00:46:57.120 zero.

00:46:57.960 Still zero.

00:47:00.700 All right.

00:47:01.140 now that

00:47:05.760 the odds

00:47:07.080 of the

00:47:07.720 country

00:47:08.220 trusting the

00:47:09.040 vote result

00:47:09.760 is zero,

00:47:10.760 would you

00:47:11.240 accept that

00:47:11.860 assumption?

00:47:13.040 Would you

00:47:13.460 accept the

00:47:14.000 assumption

00:47:14.380 that half

00:47:16.400 of the

00:47:16.660 country will

00:47:17.320 not trust

00:47:18.140 the vote

00:47:18.800 outcome,

00:47:19.340 no matter

00:47:19.620 what it

00:47:19.980 is?

00:47:20.820 Doesn't

00:47:21.160 matter if

00:47:21.520 it's Biden

00:47:21.900 or Trump,

00:47:22.480 half the

00:47:22.940 country isn't

00:47:23.480 going to

00:47:23.680 think it

00:47:23.980 was valid.

00:47:25.520 So that

00:47:26.300 turns it

00:47:26.740 into sort

00:47:27.220 of a

00:47:27.480 persuasion

00:47:28.080 election,

00:47:28.860 doesn't it?

00:47:29.460 suddenly the

00:47:31.900 president is

00:47:32.660 going to be

00:47:32.980 kind of

00:47:33.360 based on

00:47:34.920 who the

00:47:35.560 media on

00:47:37.000 the left

00:47:37.400 or the

00:47:37.760 right does

00:47:38.240 the best

00:47:38.600 job of

00:47:39.180 persuading.

00:47:40.760 So it's a

00:47:41.680 persuasion

00:47:42.320 election now.

00:47:43.580 Either Trump

00:47:44.580 or Biden

00:47:45.220 could become

00:47:46.100 president based

00:47:47.640 on the same

00:47:48.280 set of facts

00:47:49.180 that we have

00:47:50.500 now.

00:47:51.820 Either of

00:47:52.380 them could

00:47:52.720 become,

00:47:53.300 and it could

00:47:53.740 be persuasion

00:47:54.500 that makes

00:47:54.880 the difference.

00:47:55.980 Persuasion

00:47:56.540 in the sense

00:47:57.240 of you

00:47:58.360 should ignore

00:47:58.920 this vote

00:47:59.580 count or

00:48:00.200 persuasion in

00:48:01.080 the sense

00:48:01.480 of believing

00:48:02.580 that some

00:48:03.060 state was

00:48:03.700 illegitimate in

00:48:04.700 their vote

00:48:05.100 count,

00:48:05.520 et cetera.

00:48:05.880 That kind

00:48:06.280 of persuasion.

00:48:08.040 One good

00:48:08.800 thing that

00:48:09.200 might come

00:48:09.740 out of

00:48:10.020 this bad

00:48:11.660 2020

00:48:12.180 situation is

00:48:14.080 a whole new

00:48:14.960 voting system.

00:48:16.120 And here's

00:48:16.440 what I think

00:48:17.060 it would look

00:48:17.520 like.

00:48:18.220 If I were

00:48:18.760 going to

00:48:19.060 design a

00:48:19.880 new voting

00:48:20.520 system,

00:48:21.300 it would

00:48:21.620 go like

00:48:22.060 this.

00:48:23.000 Number

00:48:23.280 one,

00:48:24.300 it would

00:48:24.620 cause you

00:48:25.060 to do it

00:48:25.900 on a

00:48:26.320 device.

00:48:27.200 So if

00:48:27.520 grandma is

00:48:28.220 voting,

00:48:28.720 she might

00:48:29.000 need a

00:48:29.280 little help

00:48:29.780 or maybe

00:48:30.680 grandma could

00:48:31.380 still do a

00:48:32.060 paper ballot.

00:48:33.340 But for

00:48:33.740 most of us,

00:48:34.920 if you

00:48:35.400 can use a

00:48:36.060 smartphone,

00:48:37.200 you should

00:48:37.580 have an

00:48:37.960 app and

00:48:39.380 the app

00:48:39.860 should verify

00:48:40.620 your identity

00:48:41.380 with facial

00:48:42.140 recognition.

00:48:43.520 Now,

00:48:43.820 is facial

00:48:44.360 recognition

00:48:44.860 100%?

00:48:46.900 No,

00:48:47.440 but it's

00:48:47.740 pretty close.

00:48:48.680 It's getting

00:48:49.060 close.

00:48:49.920 So on top

00:48:50.500 of the facial

00:48:51.060 recognition,

00:48:52.160 you should

00:48:52.560 be forced

00:48:53.720 to record,

00:48:55.060 let's say,

00:48:55.620 three seconds

00:48:56.320 of video

00:48:56.940 of you

00:48:58.000 just saying

00:48:58.540 your name.

00:48:59.740 So I

00:49:00.140 turn on

00:49:00.500 my app

00:49:00.960 and I

00:49:01.260 say,

00:49:01.720 I'm Scott

00:49:02.200 Adams and

00:49:02.760 I'm voting.

00:49:03.840 And the

00:49:04.180 app registers

00:49:04.920 that I

00:49:05.440 said that

00:49:06.040 within a

00:49:07.180 few minutes

00:49:07.700 of actually

00:49:08.400 pushing the

00:49:09.820 buttons to

00:49:10.360 vote and

00:49:10.900 submit it.

00:49:12.000 So now I

00:49:12.620 have the

00:49:12.900 facial

00:49:13.160 recognition,

00:49:14.240 but if I

00:49:14.660 ever need

00:49:15.040 to go back

00:49:15.540 and check,

00:49:16.600 I also have

00:49:17.300 the video

00:49:17.900 taken,

00:49:18.620 just a

00:49:18.920 three second

00:49:19.380 video,

00:49:20.160 of right

00:49:20.560 before I

00:49:21.020 voted,

00:49:21.700 and you

00:49:22.020 can check

00:49:22.460 those

00:49:22.860 timers.

00:49:23.780 And then

00:49:24.660 the information

00:49:25.340 gets pushed

00:49:26.020 onto the

00:49:26.660 blockchain,

00:49:27.760 because the

00:49:28.240 blockchain

00:49:28.600 becomes a

00:49:29.380 permanent

00:49:29.800 public

00:49:31.460 record.

00:49:32.480 And then

00:49:32.880 you have a

00:49:33.420 separate app,

00:49:34.380 or maybe it's

00:49:35.020 the same app

00:49:35.740 with a different

00:49:36.660 function,

00:49:37.420 where you can

00:49:38.020 track your

00:49:38.660 vote.

00:49:39.620 You can see

00:49:40.200 how you

00:49:40.560 voted,

00:49:41.120 you can see

00:49:41.720 it being put

00:49:42.300 onto the

00:49:42.780 blockchain,

00:49:43.820 and you can

00:49:44.260 go check it.

00:49:45.300 Maybe other

00:49:45.920 people can't

00:49:46.660 check it,

00:49:47.400 but you can

00:49:47.840 check your

00:49:48.260 own vote,

00:49:48.860 for example.

00:49:49.640 Or maybe the

00:49:50.440 government can

00:49:51.040 check it,

00:49:51.560 you can check

00:49:52.160 it, but nobody

00:49:52.700 else can,

00:49:53.260 let's say.

00:49:54.440 For example,

00:49:55.060 I don't know

00:49:55.360 if that's a

00:49:55.780 thing, so

00:49:57.140 some technical

00:49:58.000 people can

00:49:58.600 fill me in

00:49:59.720 to see if

00:50:00.380 that's a

00:50:01.280 possible

00:50:01.800 situation.

00:50:03.800 So you

00:50:04.400 got your

00:50:04.700 blockchain,

00:50:06.600 you got your

00:50:07.120 facial recognition,

00:50:08.640 you got a

00:50:09.080 three seconds

00:50:09.740 of video,

00:50:10.660 in case it

00:50:11.100 ever needs

00:50:11.540 to be

00:50:11.820 checked,

00:50:12.440 and you

00:50:12.840 have a

00:50:13.140 way to

00:50:13.500 track your

00:50:14.400 own vote

00:50:14.980 all the

00:50:15.400 way and

00:50:15.900 get a

00:50:16.180 confirmation.

00:50:17.260 Is that

00:50:17.640 not better?

00:50:19.280 Somebody

00:50:19.640 says that

00:50:20.160 is voter

00:50:20.640 suppression.

00:50:21.920 It's not

00:50:22.740 voter suppression,

00:50:23.580 if you

00:50:24.160 can still

00:50:24.700 vote the

00:50:25.180 other way.

00:50:27.080 So if

00:50:27.400 grandma can

00:50:28.100 still just

00:50:28.560 fill out a

00:50:29.060 form, that's

00:50:31.100 good enough.

00:50:33.220 Somebody says

00:50:34.100 blockchain can

00:50:35.060 be hacked.

00:50:36.000 If

00:50:36.480 blockchain were

00:50:37.380 hacked, then

00:50:38.620 when I go to

00:50:39.280 check my

00:50:39.800 vote, I

00:50:41.680 would see that

00:50:42.240 it had been

00:50:42.560 hacked.

00:50:43.620 So I think

00:50:44.360 anything can

00:50:45.740 be hacked, but

00:50:47.240 I think

00:50:47.780 blockchain, you

00:50:48.880 could always see

00:50:49.520 the hack, and

00:50:50.860 that's where

00:50:51.240 I'll need

00:50:51.600 a technical

00:50:52.440 expert to

00:50:53.220 tell me if

00:50:54.680 I'm off on

00:50:55.300 that.

00:50:55.780 So let's

00:50:56.680 just put that

00:50:57.160 out there.

00:50:58.000 Now, what

00:50:58.600 do you think

00:50:58.940 about the

00:50:59.260 fact that

00:50:59.720 Trump gained

00:51:00.500 in every

00:51:01.160 category, every

00:51:02.640 demographic,

00:51:03.440 except white

00:51:04.080 men?

00:51:05.760 Who

00:51:06.120 predicted?

00:51:07.040 I didn't.

00:51:08.960 Well, I did

00:51:09.640 predict that he

00:51:10.900 would do

00:51:11.160 better with

00:51:11.880 black voters,

00:51:13.860 and I guess

00:51:14.360 he did.

00:51:15.360 But I

00:51:16.600 didn't see

00:51:17.320 Hispanic

00:51:18.040 voters pulling

00:51:21.900 for Trump as

00:51:22.660 hard, and I

00:51:23.800 should have.

00:51:24.680 I feel like

00:51:25.360 after the

00:51:25.900 fact, it's

00:51:27.220 sort of obvious

00:51:28.060 after the

00:51:29.480 fact, don't

00:51:30.220 you think?

00:51:30.900 Because the

00:51:31.540 one thing that

00:51:32.360 Black Lives

00:51:32.980 Matter did is

00:51:33.940 it marginalized

00:51:34.940 Latino,

00:51:37.320 Hispanic,

00:51:38.040 whatever is the

00:51:38.720 better word to

00:51:39.940 use, voters.

00:51:41.400 voters, if

00:51:42.840 you were, put

00:51:44.280 yourself in

00:51:44.820 their position,

00:51:45.660 right?

00:51:46.020 If you're not

00:51:46.780 in that

00:51:47.360 community, put

00:51:48.080 yourself in

00:51:48.580 there.

00:51:49.180 And imagine

00:51:49.720 that you just

00:51:50.420 watched a year

00:51:51.400 of Black Lives

00:51:52.320 Matter arguing

00:51:54.040 for their

00:51:54.780 whatever, relief,

00:51:58.200 special, special

00:51:59.660 consideration, more

00:52:01.620 justice, whatever

00:52:02.540 words you want to

00:52:03.280 put on it.

00:52:04.360 And you see

00:52:05.820 the Hispanic,

00:52:09.180 Latino, Latinx,

00:52:11.400 community, whatever

00:52:12.200 they want to

00:52:12.680 call themselves

00:52:13.160 today.

00:52:14.500 And you see

00:52:15.260 them just being

00:52:16.160 ignored, basically.

00:52:18.380 Just being

00:52:18.940 completely ignored.

00:52:20.000 They're not even

00:52:20.440 in the conversation.

00:52:22.020 How would that

00:52:22.500 make you feel?

00:52:24.460 Right?

00:52:25.140 And if you like

00:52:26.060 law and order,

00:52:26.840 and who doesn't,

00:52:28.080 except criminals,

00:52:29.780 why wouldn't you

00:52:30.860 favor Trump if he's

00:52:32.120 the law and order

00:52:32.840 guy?

00:52:33.180 So we should not

00:52:34.100 have been surprised,

00:52:35.840 and that's on us,

00:52:37.420 right?

00:52:37.740 If you were

00:52:38.180 surprised by that,

00:52:40.220 that's on you,

00:52:41.160 just the way it's

00:52:41.840 on me, because

00:52:42.440 I didn't see it

00:52:42.980 coming, and we

00:52:44.100 really should have.

00:52:47.460 But here's my

00:52:48.500 hypothesis for

00:52:51.020 why white men,

00:52:52.660 the group you

00:52:53.700 would most

00:52:54.240 imagine would

00:52:55.000 have increased

00:52:55.860 or stayed the

00:52:56.540 same for Trump,

00:52:57.800 why that was

00:52:58.480 the one conspicuous

00:52:59.640 category, why

00:53:00.640 there were fewer

00:53:01.620 supporters.

00:53:03.360 And it goes

00:53:03.840 like this.

00:53:05.720 Beta males.

00:53:06.520 Now, I know

00:53:09.100 that when you

00:53:09.640 use a term

00:53:10.300 like beta

00:53:11.120 male, you

00:53:12.720 automatically put

00:53:13.780 your brain in

00:53:14.580 a place where

00:53:15.100 you say, oh,

00:53:15.780 he's going to

00:53:16.600 say something

00:53:17.120 funny, or it's

00:53:18.760 going to be an

00:53:19.220 insult, or he's

00:53:20.680 really, he's

00:53:21.260 zinging that

00:53:21.760 group, zing, he

00:53:23.020 got him.

00:53:23.820 I'm not doing

00:53:24.380 that, right?

00:53:25.860 So take all

00:53:27.120 the humor and

00:53:28.480 sarcasm out of

00:53:29.680 this conversation,

00:53:30.800 none of it.

00:53:31.580 It is just

00:53:32.920 true that

00:53:34.100 there is this

00:53:34.680 tremendous range

00:53:36.220 of difference

00:53:37.500 even within

00:53:38.340 demographic groups,

00:53:40.060 as in one

00:53:41.240 black person is

00:53:42.220 not like the

00:53:42.900 next black

00:53:43.500 person, one

00:53:44.880 woman is not

00:53:45.720 like the next

00:53:46.480 woman.

00:53:47.780 Indeed, I've

00:53:48.760 said that if

00:53:50.380 you were to

00:53:50.600 take the Venn

00:53:51.340 diagram of men

00:53:52.520 and women,

00:53:53.560 there's this

00:53:54.080 gigantic overlap

00:53:55.540 in which there

00:53:57.580 are women who

00:53:58.400 are more like

00:53:59.120 men than some

00:54:00.860 men are like

00:54:01.660 men.

00:54:02.540 Does that make

00:54:02.900 sense?

00:54:03.320 And vice

00:54:03.720 versa?

00:54:04.860 Meaning that I

00:54:06.480 see this

00:54:06.980 continuum of

00:54:08.340 gender, and

00:54:10.700 one of the

00:54:11.060 reasons that I'm

00:54:12.020 pro-LGBTQ and

00:54:14.040 every kind of

00:54:15.280 variation, is

00:54:16.760 that I see it

00:54:17.900 as this infinite

00:54:18.880 difference that

00:54:21.700 is way bigger

00:54:22.560 than your

00:54:23.640 demographics.

00:54:25.320 The difference

00:54:26.300 between just two

00:54:27.400 white males can

00:54:28.920 be pretty

00:54:29.560 extreme.

00:54:30.860 pretty extreme.

00:54:32.460 So to say

00:54:32.940 that your

00:54:33.860 300-pound

00:54:35.440 alpha

00:54:36.440 testosterone-filled

00:54:38.600 male is sort

00:54:40.260 of in the same

00:54:40.900 demographic with

00:54:42.560 your 120-pound

00:54:44.280 antifa male who

00:54:46.960 doesn't have any

00:54:47.860 testosterone in

00:54:48.920 his body, to

00:54:50.200 say they're in

00:54:50.700 the same demographic

00:54:51.620 group is just

00:54:53.240 sort of bad

00:54:53.960 thinking.

00:54:55.580 They're very

00:54:56.300 different.

00:54:56.700 And I would

00:54:57.780 argue that

00:54:58.420 hypothetical male

00:55:01.080 who has low

00:55:02.260 testosterone

00:55:02.940 probably is

00:55:05.260 closer to

00:55:06.180 female, not

00:55:08.040 biologically, but

00:55:09.680 in the ways that

00:55:11.060 matter to life.

00:55:12.580 Right?

00:55:13.380 And I also

00:55:15.640 wonder if there's

00:55:17.280 not a gullibility

00:55:18.160 factor.

00:55:19.440 And it goes

00:55:20.700 like this.

00:55:21.320 somebody did

00:55:22.980 a little

00:55:26.100 survey where

00:55:27.760 they asked, I

00:55:28.480 forget who it

00:55:29.020 was, I'd give

00:55:29.580 credit if I

00:55:30.300 could remember,

00:55:31.160 in which they

00:55:31.740 asked minority

00:55:32.860 members if they

00:55:34.200 recognized the

00:55:35.340 racist dog

00:55:36.320 whistles as

00:55:37.140 racist dog

00:55:38.040 whistles.

00:55:38.780 So they would

00:55:39.680 say something

00:55:40.200 that Trump had

00:55:41.140 said, and

00:55:42.640 they'd say,

00:55:43.160 what do you

00:55:43.400 think?

00:55:43.960 Does it sound

00:55:44.480 like a racist

00:55:45.120 dog whistle?

00:55:46.200 If you ask

00:55:46.900 white men,

00:55:48.380 they will often,

00:55:49.100 if they're

00:55:49.340 Democrats, they'll

00:55:50.200 say, oh, yeah, I

00:55:52.320 can hear that.

00:55:53.620 Anybody can hear

00:55:54.340 that.

00:55:55.480 That statement,

00:55:56.980 that's a racist

00:55:58.380 dog whistle, and

00:55:59.320 I can hear it

00:56:00.000 clearly.

00:56:01.140 And then you

00:56:01.640 ask a black

00:56:03.160 voter, do you

00:56:04.320 hear it?

00:56:05.100 And the black

00:56:05.840 voter will say,

00:56:06.860 what racist

00:56:08.140 dog whistle?

00:56:09.420 I just heard

00:56:10.340 somebody say they

00:56:11.060 like law and

00:56:11.660 order.

00:56:12.460 I like law and

00:56:13.560 order.

00:56:14.420 Why would you

00:56:14.940 think I wouldn't?

00:56:17.300 So it turns out

00:56:18.460 that this racist

00:56:19.780 dog whistle

00:56:20.460 thing that the

00:56:21.940 Democrats have

00:56:23.180 been trying to

00:56:23.720 sell, it

00:56:25.060 sells much

00:56:26.160 more easily

00:56:26.900 to white

00:56:28.320 men, or

00:56:30.240 maybe white

00:56:30.760 people in

00:56:31.180 general, but

00:56:31.640 the white

00:56:32.240 men were the

00:56:32.900 ones who, I

00:56:33.960 think, were

00:56:35.440 sold on this

00:56:36.200 idea.

00:56:37.520 And I think

00:56:37.960 that minorities,

00:56:39.280 and this is just

00:56:39.980 a hypothesis,

00:56:41.440 that if you

00:56:42.040 live and breathe

00:56:43.060 racism, it's

00:56:44.880 the fabric of

00:56:46.540 your reality.

00:56:47.540 Let's say you're

00:56:47.980 just average

00:56:49.120 black American.

00:56:50.660 You walk out

00:56:51.280 the door, you

00:56:52.140 don't even have

00:56:52.580 to walk out

00:56:53.040 the door.

00:56:53.800 You're just

00:56:54.180 surrounded, this

00:56:56.060 is your impression

00:56:57.620 of the world,

00:56:58.540 you're surrounded

00:56:59.180 by subtle

00:57:01.380 racism, systemic

00:57:03.640 racism, direct

00:57:04.880 racism.

00:57:06.120 Don't you think

00:57:06.920 that a black

00:57:07.660 person is good

00:57:08.460 at spotting

00:57:09.380 racism?

00:57:11.520 Right?

00:57:11.860 In the same

00:57:12.280 way that I

00:57:13.660 think most of

00:57:14.260 you would accept

00:57:14.860 this generality,

00:57:16.320 that gay people

00:57:17.180 are better at

00:57:18.080 spotting other

00:57:18.920 gay people?

00:57:20.440 Would you all

00:57:21.140 accept that

00:57:21.640 that's true?

00:57:23.060 Now, of course,

00:57:23.920 it's a gross

00:57:24.520 generality, so I

00:57:26.260 hope it's true,

00:57:26.980 but I think it's

00:57:27.500 true.

00:57:28.180 Anything that you

00:57:28.960 focus on and

00:57:29.940 is important to

00:57:30.680 you, you're

00:57:31.220 going to be

00:57:31.780 more, your

00:57:33.140 filters will be

00:57:34.020 set, that you

00:57:35.320 can spot it,

00:57:36.260 because you care

00:57:36.980 about it, you

00:57:37.500 think about it,

00:57:38.700 it's your world,

00:57:40.000 you can spot

00:57:40.760 your world

00:57:41.360 easier than you

00:57:42.120 can spot

00:57:42.540 something you're

00:57:43.100 unfamiliar with.

00:57:43.760 So in the

00:57:44.760 same way that

00:57:45.280 gay people

00:57:45.820 probably, I

00:57:47.340 think it's

00:57:47.840 true, I'll

00:57:48.960 bet you could

00:57:49.440 actually prove

00:57:50.060 this if you

00:57:50.580 did a test,

00:57:52.260 gay people

00:57:52.700 probably can

00:57:53.580 spot other

00:57:54.120 gay people

00:57:54.660 better than

00:57:55.300 people who

00:57:57.000 are not

00:57:57.220 gay.

00:57:58.660 Don't you

00:57:59.340 think it's

00:57:59.680 also true

00:58:00.320 that your

00:58:02.540 average black

00:58:03.600 American can

00:58:04.880 spot real

00:58:05.700 racism faster

00:58:07.660 than somebody

00:58:08.620 else?

00:58:10.080 Just that

00:58:10.840 they're better

00:58:11.460 tuned to it.

00:58:12.440 And they

00:58:13.540 can't hear

00:58:14.020 this dog

00:58:14.580 whistle, because

00:58:16.300 it was bullshit

00:58:17.100 all along.

00:58:18.540 But the white

00:58:19.460 people, who

00:58:20.440 don't have any

00:58:21.120 special tuning,

00:58:22.700 we're mostly

00:58:23.820 oblivious to a

00:58:24.960 lot of racism.

00:58:26.100 We can pick up

00:58:26.820 the obvious

00:58:27.340 stuff, but if

00:58:29.720 anybody's been

00:58:30.660 paying attention,

00:58:31.920 it's quite clear

00:58:33.040 that white people

00:58:34.060 have to be

00:58:34.700 trained to

00:58:36.260 spot racism.

00:58:37.800 Am I right?

00:58:38.560 We can see the

00:58:39.320 obvious stuff, but

00:58:40.860 all the subtle

00:58:41.740 stuff, we have

00:58:42.460 to be trained.

00:58:43.440 That's what

00:58:43.920 every black

00:58:46.500 brown person is

00:58:47.340 telling us.

00:58:48.040 You don't see

00:58:48.820 it, you've

00:58:49.720 got to be

00:58:50.100 trained.

00:58:51.640 But white

00:58:52.580 people were

00:58:53.080 trained to

00:58:53.800 see this dog

00:58:55.060 whistle thing

00:58:55.600 that wasn't

00:58:56.040 there.

00:58:57.240 And black

00:58:57.840 people, being

00:58:59.640 immune to the

00:59:00.680 training, because

00:59:01.720 they have real

00:59:02.460 life experience,

00:59:03.360 they don't need

00:59:03.780 CNN to tell

00:59:05.200 them what's

00:59:05.620 racist, do

00:59:06.400 they?

00:59:07.480 Do you think

00:59:07.940 a black person

00:59:08.600 needs CNN to

00:59:09.520 tell them what

00:59:10.100 is racist?

00:59:10.680 I don't think

00:59:11.080 so.

00:59:11.840 I think they

00:59:12.500 got that

00:59:12.860 worked out.

00:59:14.200 So I think

00:59:15.360 white people

00:59:15.940 are just more

00:59:17.160 gullible on

00:59:18.340 this story.

00:59:19.360 I'm not saying

00:59:19.880 in general,

00:59:20.640 right?

00:59:20.980 It's not a

00:59:21.600 general gullibility

00:59:22.940 problem.

00:59:23.480 But on this

00:59:24.040 topic, I think

00:59:25.920 white people

00:59:26.440 don't have

00:59:26.920 their own

00:59:27.680 anchor.

00:59:29.260 So they

00:59:29.920 can't disprove

00:59:30.960 it with their

00:59:32.740 own experience.

00:59:33.600 They can't

00:59:34.000 say, no,

00:59:34.520 that's not a

00:59:35.180 racist dog

00:59:35.960 whistle.

00:59:36.160 Well, they

00:59:37.720 take other

00:59:38.660 people's word

00:59:39.240 for it.

00:59:41.020 And so

00:59:41.700 therefore,

00:59:42.200 more gullible.

00:59:42.980 All right.

00:59:45.660 And I've

00:59:46.540 said this

00:59:46.880 before, but

00:59:47.400 I'll say it

00:59:47.760 again.

00:59:47.940 I believe that

00:59:49.000 Democrats,

00:59:49.880 because they're

00:59:50.440 so concerned

00:59:51.700 with demographic

00:59:52.840 groups, as

00:59:54.020 opposed to the

00:59:55.040 Republicans who

00:59:55.980 are more

00:59:56.940 concerned with

00:59:57.640 the Constitution.

00:59:58.880 Now, everybody

00:59:59.460 sees race,

01:00:00.320 everybody sees

01:00:00.960 gender.

01:00:01.300 there's nobody

01:00:02.300 so woke that

01:00:03.580 they don't see

01:00:04.100 that all the

01:00:04.640 time.

01:00:05.460 But there is a

01:00:06.540 difference.

01:00:07.960 And the

01:00:08.600 Republicans do

01:00:09.440 try pretty hard,

01:00:10.360 the conservatives,

01:00:11.500 try really hard

01:00:12.560 to ignore the

01:00:14.580 racial, gender

01:00:15.400 stuff and focus

01:00:16.540 on, you know,

01:00:17.440 constitutional rights

01:00:18.480 as just being

01:00:19.080 more practical.

01:00:20.160 But the

01:00:20.520 Democrats, I

01:00:21.160 would say they

01:00:21.640 have developed

01:00:22.580 a hierarchy

01:00:23.940 of value.

01:00:25.540 And it goes

01:00:25.940 like this.

01:00:26.480 If you're a

01:00:26.940 Democrat, at the

01:00:28.220 top of your

01:00:28.860 value would be

01:00:30.060 black women.

01:00:31.300 You see that

01:00:32.160 in the street

01:00:32.720 protests.

01:00:33.920 You see that

01:00:34.400 black women

01:00:35.100 seem to have

01:00:36.120 just sort of

01:00:37.240 automatic authority

01:00:38.460 in Black Lives

01:00:39.580 Matter and

01:00:40.320 Antifa and

01:00:41.000 all the

01:00:41.340 protesters on

01:00:42.940 the left.

01:00:43.820 Directly below

01:00:44.520 them would be

01:00:45.060 black men

01:00:45.780 for similar

01:00:47.400 reasons.

01:00:48.500 And then

01:00:48.920 next, in

01:00:50.240 terms of how

01:00:50.920 the Democrats

01:00:51.580 rank people,

01:00:52.380 would be white

01:00:52.880 women.

01:00:54.120 Then below

01:00:54.700 that would be

01:00:55.580 white men.

01:00:57.340 And then

01:00:57.800 they just sort

01:00:58.360 of ignore

01:00:59.200 Hispanic,

01:01:00.600 you know,

01:01:01.000 Latinx,

01:01:02.300 Latino,

01:01:02.880 Asian communities

01:01:03.920 like they

01:01:05.420 don't need

01:01:05.780 any help

01:01:06.140 or something.

01:01:07.420 And do

01:01:09.520 you feel

01:01:09.840 that?

01:01:11.260 Is that

01:01:11.820 just my

01:01:12.440 filter on

01:01:13.340 things?

01:01:13.620 Or do

01:01:13.860 you feel

01:01:14.240 that the

01:01:14.600 Democrats

01:01:15.140 fairly explicitly,

01:01:17.220 I'm talking

01:01:17.520 about younger

01:01:18.100 ones, mostly,

01:01:19.100 mostly young

01:01:19.800 Democrats,

01:01:20.900 or at least

01:01:21.640 young Antifa

01:01:22.400 and Black

01:01:22.880 Lives Matter,

01:01:23.720 they do seem

01:01:24.300 to have a

01:01:24.660 hierarchy of

01:01:26.320 demographic value

01:01:28.460 that doesn't

01:01:29.100 seem to be

01:01:29.620 present on

01:01:30.920 the Republican

01:01:32.180 side.

01:01:32.920 So even a

01:01:33.840 Republican who

01:01:34.820 is literally

01:01:35.940 a racist,

01:01:37.320 they don't

01:01:37.720 rank people

01:01:38.320 like this.

01:01:40.140 They still

01:01:40.900 look at the

01:01:41.380 Constitution and

01:01:42.700 still say,

01:01:43.880 well, you know,

01:01:44.360 legally we're

01:01:44.880 all the same.

01:01:50.660 All right,

01:01:51.460 I'm looking at

01:01:52.000 all your comments

01:01:52.820 here because I've

01:01:53.660 come to the end

01:01:54.420 of what I wanted

01:01:55.400 to say.

01:01:56.740 So let me

01:01:58.200 give you some

01:01:58.740 odds on Trump

01:01:59.980 winning the

01:02:00.700 election.

01:02:03.100 He has a

01:02:03.900 really good

01:02:04.300 shot.

01:02:06.420 He has a

01:02:07.060 really good

01:02:07.460 shot.

01:02:08.220 I'm seeing it

01:02:08.740 in the comments.

01:02:09.420 Do not use

01:02:10.200 Latinx.

01:02:11.660 Now, is that

01:02:12.080 because I used

01:02:12.860 it incorrectly

01:02:13.680 or because you,

01:02:16.120 oh, somebody

01:02:16.540 says that Latinos

01:02:17.500 don't prefer that

01:02:18.560 term at all.

01:02:19.860 I would guess

01:02:20.620 that it would

01:02:21.000 matter, I would

01:02:22.300 guess that there

01:02:22.780 would be some

01:02:23.160 difference there.

01:02:24.240 Probably some

01:02:24.820 like it,

01:02:25.240 some don't.

01:02:30.360 I'm hearing

01:02:31.040 that Latinx is

01:02:32.160 hated by

01:02:32.720 Hispanics

01:02:33.400 everywhere.

01:02:34.520 Well, I doubt

01:02:35.520 that's true.

01:02:36.320 I doubt it's

01:02:36.840 true universally.

01:02:38.740 But, you

01:02:40.600 know, I have

01:02:42.360 more empathy

01:02:43.720 than most of

01:02:44.520 you do because

01:02:45.740 I know you're

01:02:46.340 Trump supporters

01:02:47.180 and I know a

01:02:48.020 little bit about

01:02:48.540 you.

01:02:49.020 I have more

01:02:49.680 empathy for the

01:02:51.020 idea of using

01:02:52.040 the words to

01:02:53.020 describe people

01:02:53.920 that are the

01:02:54.940 words they

01:02:55.440 would want

01:02:55.900 you to use.

01:02:56.920 Now, you

01:02:57.400 can't really

01:02:58.000 achieve that

01:02:59.680 standard completely

01:03:00.700 because you

01:03:01.200 don't know what

01:03:01.640 people want

01:03:02.560 you to use

01:03:03.180 and people

01:03:03.580 have different

01:03:04.060 opinions and

01:03:04.680 you don't know

01:03:05.140 what, you

01:03:05.880 can't read

01:03:06.240 their minds.

01:03:07.240 But I do

01:03:07.840 think there

01:03:08.900 is value in

01:03:09.880 attempting it.

01:03:10.720 So if you

01:03:12.180 put in a

01:03:12.940 legitimate

01:03:13.560 attempt to

01:03:14.960 use the

01:03:15.480 words that

01:03:16.080 people would

01:03:16.560 like to

01:03:16.940 hear you use

01:03:18.960 about them,

01:03:20.060 I think that's

01:03:21.100 a better

01:03:22.500 world.

01:03:24.480 You know, I

01:03:25.140 don't think it

01:03:25.560 should be the

01:03:26.000 law.

01:03:26.980 I don't think

01:03:27.480 you should

01:03:27.920 lose your job

01:03:29.780 if you use

01:03:30.320 the wrong

01:03:30.720 term.

01:03:31.620 I don't think

01:03:32.100 that.

01:03:32.700 But I think

01:03:33.140 as a general

01:03:34.440 social standard,

01:03:37.240 I would like

01:03:37.780 people to use

01:03:38.460 the words

01:03:38.920 about me

01:03:39.620 that are

01:03:40.200 the words

01:03:40.700 that are

01:03:41.220 friendly to

01:03:42.640 me.

01:03:42.940 I would like

01:03:43.380 that.

01:03:44.500 So I don't

01:03:45.780 have a problem

01:03:46.200 with that.

01:03:46.560 Somebody says

01:03:47.140 where is Bill

01:03:47.740 Barr?

01:03:48.820 Good question.

01:03:50.720 Yeah.

01:03:51.240 What would

01:03:51.680 happen

01:03:52.020 hypothetically

01:03:52.800 if Trump

01:03:54.940 did not win

01:03:56.300 the election

01:03:56.800 but he still

01:03:57.460 has a few

01:03:58.180 more months

01:03:58.720 of presidency?

01:04:01.320 Would they

01:04:02.060 push up the

01:04:02.820 Bill Barr

01:04:03.440 business and

01:04:05.220 go after

01:04:05.940 the

01:04:06.320 I'm seeing

01:04:09.840 Sparky is

01:04:10.520 saying that

01:04:11.020 Latinx is

01:04:12.300 condescending

01:04:13.200 social justice

01:04:14.760 warrior Karen

01:04:15.660 talk.

01:04:16.720 Shall we

01:04:17.400 just not

01:04:18.220 use that

01:04:18.640 anymore?

01:04:20.280 The only

01:04:21.040 problem I

01:04:22.280 have is

01:04:22.680 unless I

01:04:24.500 say Hispanic

01:04:25.320 maybe I

01:04:28.140 just use

01:04:28.500 that.

01:04:29.040 But if I

01:04:29.400 say Latino

01:04:30.560 then I've

01:04:31.460 got to add

01:04:32.000 Latina,

01:04:32.780 right?

01:04:33.840 So it's

01:04:34.460 just too

01:04:35.200 many words.

01:04:36.320 people like

01:04:40.540 being called

01:04:40.980 people,

01:04:41.900 as somebody

01:04:42.520 says.

01:04:44.180 All right.

01:04:45.600 That's all I

01:04:46.320 got for today

01:04:46.940 and I will

01:04:47.740 talk to all

01:04:48.480 of you

01:04:48.900 later.

01:04:50.300 there.

01:05:07.980 so

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 05, 2020

Episode 1177 Scott Adams： Want Some Election Optimism？ I Have it. Come Get it.

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