Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 07, 2020


Episode 1179 Scott Adams: Election System Claims and Accusations. Are Any Credible?


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 6 minutes

Words per Minute

149.4222

Word Count

9,982

Sentence Count

641

Misogynist Sentences

4

Hate Speech Sentences

9


Summary

In this episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, host Scott Adams talks about why he thinks Joe Biden is going to be the next president, and why it s not surprising that he s running for president in 2020. He also talks about how Biden proved he can handle a full schedule, and what happens when he's in campaign mode.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Hey, everybody, come on in. It's time. It's time for Coffee with Scott Adams, the best
00:00:16.040 part of the day, every single time. Haven't been wrong yet. And if you'd like to enjoy
00:00:24.040 this broadcast to the maximum possible extent, well, you know what you need. You need a
00:00:30.160 cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or chalice or a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:36.400 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure,
00:00:43.100 the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better except vote counting.
00:00:49.100 It's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now.
00:00:54.040 Hmm. I feel the transparency on this election improving. We'll get to the whiteboard in a
00:01:03.820 moment. Don't read ahead. Don't read ahead. Okay. All right. I think you understand.
00:01:10.100 I would like to begin by bragging about my wife, Christina, who got her pilot's license yesterday
00:01:18.720 in record time. Apparently, uh, it's either rare or unheard of to be able to get all of your
00:01:27.280 requirements done that quickly. But even more impressively, she learned to fly on, uh, tailwheel
00:01:34.780 planes, the kind that do aerobatics often. And they're much harder to fly. In fact, people who have been
00:01:42.760 professional pilots their whole career, try to fly these, uh, tailwheel planes. It means it has a
00:01:50.540 little, little wheel at the tail, which is different than a regular plane like a Cessna.
00:01:55.460 They would have three wheels and it's much easier to land, which is the hard part.
00:02:01.900 And, uh, so Christina did her check ride yesterday and she's an official pilot. So just had to brag
00:02:08.840 about that a little bit. Um, is it just me or is there a little bit of a mixed, uh, a mixed feeling
00:02:19.100 about the, the idea that Trump might not become president for the second term? Now, on one hand,
00:02:28.460 he was my, uh, clear choice and preference, but you know, rarely are there things that are only good
00:02:35.500 or they're only bad. Most things are some kind of a mix of good and bad. And when things don't go my
00:02:43.100 way, I like to find the good. So if it turned out, and I'll tell you later that it's by no means
00:02:51.520 certain that, uh, Biden became president, I'm being completely honest. I know this will sound like I'm
00:02:58.900 joking, but I'm not joking. I will find great entertainment in watching him try to do the job.
00:03:06.620 And I don't know if I've ever thought that about another president. Generally, by the time somebody
00:03:11.060 gets elected president, even if you don't like their policies, you say to yourself, well, Bill Clinton
00:03:17.540 was very capable. President Obama, very capable. Um, but president Biden,
00:03:28.900 you know, the, one of the big points of having a campaign is that the campaign is so grueling and
00:03:38.560 really tests the, the, everything from the stamina to the, the mental strength, uh, and the mental
00:03:46.300 acuity of your candidates. Biden is the only candidate who proved he couldn't do it. And he
00:03:54.960 got elected anyway, if the vote count holds, and by the way, don't assume it will. We'll talk about
00:04:01.100 that in a minute. Um, and I think, have we ever had this situation where somebody proved he can't do
00:04:08.840 the job by the lids and the, the low, the low amount of effort he could, he could put into it. And when
00:04:15.860 he did, it looked a little shaky. So I don't know we've ever had this situation where somebody proved
00:04:22.720 they're not physically capable to do the job, because it's a grueling job. And somebody humorously asked
00:04:30.640 on Twitter, I forgot to write down their name, so I can't give you credit. Somebody said that everybody
00:04:36.260 knows that the presidency ages you quickly. And somebody said, I shouldn't laugh about this.
00:04:46.660 It's terrible. But somebody said, how much, uh, how much cushion does Biden have if the presidency
00:04:53.220 ages you quickly? He might be 15 minutes on out. Now, I don't think it's an exaggeration to say
00:05:01.940 that it might be dicey that he even makes it to January nomination. I mean, because he's that age,
00:05:10.740 and because, again, he proved to us in the campaign that he can't handle a full schedule.
00:05:16.360 What happens when he goes from campaign mode, which is, let me tell you how, how hard campaign mode is.
00:05:23.080 If you're Joe Biden, here's the thing somebody wrote for you. Here's you reading it exactly the same
00:05:29.660 every time. And close your eyes. Imagine him coming out of the fields, eyes bulging, veins popping.
00:05:39.540 And he's just reading it. It's just the same stuff he reads, you know, his stump speech.
00:05:43.780 Now, I said during the campaign that by the end of the campaign, Biden was really good
00:05:50.120 at delivering that stump speech. And the speech itself, although it was, you know, filled with lies,
00:05:56.560 as all political speeches are, it was persuasive. He actually was quite, quite good. And I'm being
00:06:04.360 serious about that. Because I think it's important that you do compliment the people on the other
00:06:10.500 team for things they do well, because it gives you credibility when later you insult them. And so I
00:06:17.980 think that it was only at the end that Biden got that little speech really tight. In the beginning,
00:06:23.300 it was a little shaky. But how in the world is he going to actually go do the job? I don't know.
00:06:32.500 I heard a story, I don't know, a few years ago, there was some city official who ended up getting,
00:06:40.520 I think he went to jail for this, or at least he got convicted of changing some votes. So after the
00:06:47.140 election, he got into the votes, and he had access to them, and he changed them, and he got caught.
00:06:52.880 And this raises an interesting question, doesn't it? Because I said to myself,
00:07:00.160 does every city have a guy, or a woman, let's just say guy for keeping it simple,
00:07:09.400 does every city have a guy who has access to the votes, and can just change them?
00:07:16.240 What is it on a spreadsheet or something? What did you just change the numbers? How the hell did
00:07:21.580 that happen? Now, and don't you ask the same question? If there is one city in which there
00:07:29.020 was one guy whose job it was to have access, it included having access to the votes, and he could
00:07:36.160 just go in and change the number. Does every city have one of those guys? And what was it that got him
00:07:43.180 caught? Because obviously he thought he wouldn't get caught, or he wouldn't have done it. So I don't know
00:07:48.640 if they caught him by a coincidence, or was it an accident? If there had, and again, I don't know the
00:07:55.920 details, but was it obvious he would get caught? Was there somebody whose job it was to audit things,
00:08:03.820 and then they saw this, they said, ah, obviously, we always check this. And sure enough, this number
00:08:09.780 doesn't match this number. So somebody changed the number. Did that happen? Because I'd like to know that
00:08:15.280 at least if there are just one or two people who have access to the votes in each city, I'd like to
00:08:21.340 know that there's somebody else who wanted some every time, you know, not once in a while.
00:08:28.580 That's a big question, Mark. Wouldn't you like to know that? And here's another question I have.
00:08:34.560 If it was your intention to send a signal that you are not rigging an election, and that's why you
00:08:42.080 wanted everybody to think, hey, everybody, I'm totally not rigging this election. Isn't there a
00:08:49.200 certain way that you would act that would be compatible with what you're saying, the words
00:08:55.560 coming out of your mouth? So if the words coming out of your mouth say, we definitely did not do any
00:09:03.520 rigging, and I certainly want you to believe it. There was no rigging. I want to do everything I can
00:09:10.460 to convince you there was no rigging. Would you act the way Democrats are acting? Because it doesn't
00:09:17.160 seem compatible with the notion that they would like you to know that the election was so secure
00:09:24.900 and so well done. You can look at it all. Transparency? Of course. Of course you could have
00:09:31.840 transparency. Why not? The election was perfectly legitimate. So it's not proof of mischief that
00:09:44.320 people won't let you look at the details. There could be other reasons. You could imagine other
00:09:49.060 reasons for each of their decisions. One of the reasons you can easily imagine is that the news is
00:09:56.000 fake. So for example, did you hear the story that Republicans were barred from being close to the
00:10:06.500 vote counting so that they were told to be behind some barrier that's too far away with binoculars and
00:10:12.980 they can't even use their binoculars? You saw that, right? It was on all the news, at least it was on
00:10:19.220 Fox News. So the news reported consistently. It was all over social media. So it's just a fact, right?
00:10:25.760 It's a fact. The Republicans were not allowed close to the voting so they couldn't watch it.
00:10:31.940 Except I just watched a report on Fox News where they, looks like they corrected their own reporting.
00:10:39.340 It was true that Republicans were prevented and they were too far away to actually watch.
00:10:45.920 But this was an incomplete story, apparently. The real story is that there were Republicans who were
00:10:56.220 allowed to stand shoulder to shoulder and they were there and they were watching. There were other
00:11:01.880 people who were not part of the core group who are shoulder to shoulder who were not allowed to watch
00:11:07.560 and that included both Democrats and Republicans. So there were two rings of watchers. The close watchers
00:11:14.860 who were close and could watch. And then there were the other people who were behind the line just so
00:11:20.940 they didn't get, probably just so they didn't interfere. Now, is that the story you heard?
00:11:26.320 Is that how it was first reported? Nope. So remember what I told you yesterday if you were here
00:11:33.700 for my live stream yesterday. A good rule of thumb in this fog of war situation where there's news coming
00:11:42.200 out all over the place and you don't know whether to trust it. It's a good general rule of thumb that 95%
00:11:50.920 of these stories, maybe 100, but at least 95% of the stories will be fake news. Do you know that? That
00:11:59.320 whether you heard there was a van full of ballots or you heard there was a Sharpie thing that the Sharpies
00:12:05.980 didn't work and only Republicans got them. If you heard that, yeah, there was somebody was throwing out
00:12:13.720 a bunch of ballots, you know, all these stories, the anecdotes, they're just flowing right now. If you
00:12:21.200 look at any one of those anecdotes, the odds of it being true, just that one thing, 95% chance it's not
00:12:29.640 true. And you should use that filter on every one of these things, right? Now, at the same time, I can
00:12:37.660 say easily and quite confidently that 95% of those individual stories is fake. I can say at the same
00:12:45.800 time, and there's no conflict between these two things, that there's 100% chance there's fraud in
00:12:51.940 the election. Those are different. The individual cases are just the things people notice, and it's
00:12:58.220 confirmation bias, and, you know, it gets reported because it's exciting. Those are almost certainly
00:13:03.680 fake. But I will dig into a little bit why I say that the election certainly has fraud. We just don't
00:13:12.780 know how much. And you probably won't see much of the real examples in these news and social media
00:13:20.140 reports and tweets. But let me, here's a funny factoid that, again, you should not put too much,
00:13:29.700 we'll talk about the hammer and scorecard in a minute, you shouldn't put too much weight on this
00:13:36.300 following fact. But it's a fun fact. So for entertainment, I'll tell you anyway. Apparently,
00:13:43.220 if you search on Google, to look for trends and searches, you'll find that around October,
00:13:50.140 in the swing states, the states where the elections were closest, there was a lot of searches,
00:13:58.220 and an unusual amount of searches, for finding out what the penalty is for election fraud.
00:14:05.980 So what's funny is, you could imagine there would be lots of reasons that people would be looking for
00:14:12.320 election fraud information, and it doesn't necessarily mean that they were trying to avoid getting caught.
00:14:20.140 But it suggests that. So there's, it suggests, but does not prove that there were people
00:14:28.500 thinking about doing a little election fraud and thought to themselves, before I do my election fraud,
00:14:35.640 maybe I should take 10 seconds to Google how much jail time I'll get for it.
00:14:40.600 So we don't know if that's why they're Googling it, but it's funny. Here's a little factoid that's
00:14:48.500 hard to get out of my head. So Biden allegedly is going to have a 4 million person popular vote
00:14:56.500 victory, if the numbers come out the way they're heading. And that would mean that he got more votes
00:15:03.760 substantially than even Obama. Do you believe that? Does it sound reasonable that there could be more
00:15:11.460 votes for Biden? The least interesting candidate of all time? Now, of course, people were voting
00:15:20.740 against Trump, and he creates a lot of energy. So it's not impossible. It's not impossible that
00:15:29.160 Biden would get more votes just because they're voting against Trump and has nothing to do with
00:15:34.280 Biden. But do you believe it? I mean, it feels, it feels improbable, doesn't it? But we did have
00:15:43.840 record turnout. So you can't rule it out. Now, no matter how many of these improbable things you see,
00:15:50.320 that doesn't mean that there's fraud. Because if you were to look at any big complicated situation,
00:15:58.100 you would find every time a whole bunch of seemingly too coincidental sorts of things happening.
00:16:09.440 So the fact that this election has a whole bunch of things that make your eyebrow go up
00:16:13.960 doesn't mean it's fraud because of that. It just means that any complicated situation
00:16:21.100 will be filled with confirmation bias. All right? So again, I'll get to the actual
00:16:28.580 fraud allegations in a minute. But I'm just saying in general, no matter how many of these individual
00:16:35.380 pieces of, well, that's suspicious, they don't all add up to anything. They just don't. And that
00:16:43.260 doesn't mean there's no fraud. And it doesn't mean there is fraud. I'm just saying as a general
00:16:48.700 statement that has nothing to do with the election. Specifically, it doesn't matter how many pieces of
00:16:54.840 evidence you see. It should not persuade you even a little bit. There will always be lots of that,
00:17:02.240 just because it's a big, rich, complicated situation with lots of people involved.
00:17:07.140 So if you see 20 examples of weird coincidences,
00:17:12.880 it means nothing. It really doesn't. It doesn't mean anything.
00:17:17.100 It could. It doesn't mean it means nothing. But you shouldn't make a certain
00:17:22.100 conclusion from it.
00:17:26.140 Let me tell you what I see that you don't see.
00:17:28.900 And I'm going to tell you this to make you feel better if you're a Trump supporter.
00:17:35.460 And there's something I observe, because I just have a different window into some things.
00:17:42.900 You know, everybody has different access to information. Because I do this now, I have more
00:17:48.660 access to stuff that's happening before it gets in the news than many of you do. Now, not more than,
00:17:55.660 let's say, other blue check people on Twitter, I don't have any super secret extra access. But I
00:18:01.840 have more than most of you. And it just is sort of a natural result of lots of people knowing that I
00:18:07.580 do this for a living, or at least it's part of what I do. And here's how I see the world.
00:18:14.400 Much like a movie that I've talked about before called Underworld. Now, Underworld is one of my
00:18:21.200 favorite movies, and not because the acting or the writing are so great. Although I liked it all.
00:18:29.060 What I like about Underworld is the concept. And the concept is that although the humans don't know
00:18:34.620 it, there's been this centuries-long pitched war between the lichens, the werewolves, werewolves,
00:18:43.320 and the vampires. And that they do their fighting literally underground in abandoned subway places and
00:18:52.420 tunnels and stuff. And I got to tell you, and I guess Harry Potter has the same kind of setup,
00:19:00.720 where there are wizards having these wizard battles, but the muggles, you know, the human beings don't
00:19:05.600 even know what's happening. So it's all sort of invisible to their perception. And there's something
00:19:11.780 like that happening right now with this election. So the vampires and the werewolves are really
00:19:20.240 fighting it out. And I've been watching the fight. And what I mean by that is that the result not going
00:19:29.120 Trump's way activated an army of autists. Now, I say this, I might be the only person who could use
00:19:40.060 autism as a compliment. All right. Now, of course, the spectrum is gigantic. And there are people,
00:19:46.900 you know, of all types all over it. But probably, there are more people on the spectrum who are
00:19:53.300 Dilbert fans, because Dilbert's an engineer. And, you know, you can imagine he might be on the spectrum,
00:19:59.400 too. So I probably have more, I've probably had more contact with people on the spectrum than anybody
00:20:06.340 on earth, because they kind of rally around me. They think I'm on the spectrum, too. And maybe I am.
00:20:15.860 So when I talk about autism, if anybody sees me tweet about it, just assume that my take on it is
00:20:24.740 affection, meaning that I have a great affection for this part of the population, because it's sort of a
00:20:31.760 mutual affection situation. But some of the folks who could be, let's say, considered to be on that
00:20:39.180 spectrum are the high functioning math data analysis types, and they've been activated.
00:20:47.060 So right now, some of the smartest people on the planet earth have banded together
00:20:53.900 and are working through the data on this election. Now, we don't have good, available,
00:21:01.820 accurate data on everything we'd want. But there's quite a bit. So you could look at the people who
00:21:07.140 have, you know, died and compare that to the people who voted. You can do all kinds of clever analyses to
00:21:14.640 see if the data is normal for what you would expect to be random. So there's a whole bunch of stuff you
00:21:21.560 can do with the, either public or at least you can get it, data. And so while you're watching nothing
00:21:30.500 happening except politicians talking to each other, I got to tell you that there's a deep, let's say,
00:21:37.520 external audit happening. Meaning that if there's anything in the data that's going to suggest
00:21:44.700 something happened, they're going to find it. Because below the ground, there's a battle going on
00:21:53.920 that is awesome. All right? It's awesome. It's literally the smartest people in the world
00:22:00.180 for this kind of stuff. You know, everybody's got a different kind of smartness, right? Smartness could
00:22:06.860 be talent, it could be musical. But for this kind of stuff, you have people who are not ordinary.
00:22:14.700 Trust me. These are not ordinary people looking into this. These are people who have never been
00:22:21.680 activated or motivated like this before. Yeah, somebody's talking about, was it Benham's Law?
00:22:30.860 There's a number of schemes for finding data that's not normal, to find data that's been tampered with.
00:22:37.660 So, the thing that you can rely on is if there's anything in the data anywhere that's Benford's,
00:22:49.100 Benford's Law, I guess it's called. If there's anything in the data, they're going to find it.
00:22:56.280 They're going to find it. And I don't know if anybody's tried that before. I don't know if anybody has ever
00:23:03.280 weaponized the public intelligence and aimed it at this thing. And not only are they working on it,
00:23:11.800 but they have found each other. So, they're actually organized at this point, semi-organized,
00:23:17.920 if you will. So, here's what could happen. What could happen is this army of geniuses will find
00:23:28.540 enough problems in the vote that they can take it to the Supreme Court and say,
00:23:33.700 hey, Supreme Court, it looks like our vote is not credible because we found these anomalies that
00:23:41.140 can't be explained by a fair vote. And then what's the Supreme Court going to do? Are they going to
00:23:48.140 look into the data? Well, they don't really have that capability. They would have to listen to experts,
00:23:54.720 et cetera. And would the experts agree? Nope. They never do. So, if it went to the Supreme Court,
00:24:02.460 you'd have two sets of experts. See if everything I'm saying so far sounds like it makes sense.
00:24:11.680 If it gets to the Supreme Court, the Supreme Court, not being technical experts themselves,
00:24:16.720 would have to have witnesses. If they do that, I guess they would. And the witnesses would be an expert,
00:24:23.380 let's say, on each side, at least one. And they would listen to the experts, and one expert would
00:24:29.060 say, yeah, this analysis shows there's definitely a problem. We don't know it's a problem, because
00:24:36.180 you'd have to really dig into it. But there's enough here to show that the credibility of the election
00:24:41.600 cannot be trusted. Then the other expert would say, they're completely wrong. They're looking in the
00:24:47.540 wrong place. They made the wrong assumptions. You can't really draw this conclusion. So, we say
00:24:53.920 everything's fine, and their analysis that there's a problem is flawed. Now, you're the Supreme Court.
00:25:00.680 You've heard experts that you don't understand arguing things that you can't possibly confirm,
00:25:07.940 and the elections on the line. If they decide, we'll side with this group, it might put Trump in office.
00:25:19.060 If we side with the other group, Biden's the president. Does the Supreme Court want to pick
00:25:25.680 your president? No, they do not. They do not. There's nothing the Supreme Court wants less
00:25:33.680 than to be blamed for picking your president. They're going to need at least a little bit of
00:25:40.780 distance from the decision, so they can maintain their credibility. So, what would they do?
00:25:46.980 Faced with this situation, the balance of the republic is on the line. Their experts have weighed in,
00:25:53.700 and they can't tell who's right, because they're judges. They're not technical experts. They just know
00:26:00.360 there's a dispute, and they can't tell who's right. What would they do? Well, I'm no legal expert,
00:26:07.460 but I'll give you the sort of the common sense direction it would go. If I were the Supreme Court,
00:26:14.920 I would rule to kick it back to the states, and kick it back to the state legislatures,
00:26:23.140 who pick the electors, who become the electoral college voters, and I would say we, the Supreme
00:26:31.020 Court, have determined that the claim of fraud is at least credible enough that you should not just
00:26:40.020 have the election, you know, just count the votes and proceed. You should kick it back to your state
00:26:46.680 legislatures, because that's how it was designed. The reason that we have an electoral college,
00:26:53.840 I don't know if it's the only reason, but among them, is this. This is based on what I read. I'm not
00:27:00.960 some, you know, constitutional scholar, so you should fact check anything I say about the constitution,
00:27:06.520 for sure. But my understanding is that the reason there is an electoral college is because you couldn't
00:27:12.560 trust the popular vote in every case. So the electoral college people, they're somewhat
00:27:20.540 morally bound to go with the voters and vote the way the vote actually went, but they are not legally
00:27:28.340 required. They're not legally required. Now, if somebody says that the Supreme Court could ask for a
00:27:35.500 do-over or a revote. True. But could that be, could that be completed before January, before whatever
00:27:44.680 legal, I think there's a legal time when you have to have a decision. So it might not be practical to
00:27:52.060 do a second vote. And if you did a second vote, what would make the second one more credible than the
00:27:57.840 first, depending on what issues they found. So I think there's a non-zero chance that the following
00:28:04.280 will happen. There will be enough doubt about the outcome in just these few states that matter.
00:28:11.980 There'll be enough doubt that the Supreme Court can't tell the difference if the vote was fair or
00:28:17.640 not. They will kick it to the states. The state legislatures are Republican, and they will say under
00:28:24.440 this unique situation, we would never do this in normal times, but under this unique situation,
00:28:31.140 the Constitution has given us a tool, and we're going to use it because that's why it was created.
00:28:38.740 The tool was for this, when you don't trust the result. So I don't think it would be a good thing for
00:28:49.440 the health of the country if the election does not go the way the vote goes. That's a pretty unstable
00:28:56.300 thing. But it could happen. So if you're thinking that this vote is over because Biden will have more
00:29:02.800 votes counted, I would say that the Trump legal path is way better than you think it is.
00:29:12.880 We don't have visibility on it. So it's possible that all the analysis in the world comes up with
00:29:19.920 nothing, right? Isn't that possible? So that's possible. We'll see. You know, one big advantage
00:29:28.400 that Biden had in the election and in the campaign is that a lot of dead voters really related to him.
00:29:37.540 So I think that's why he got all the dead votes. All right, I'm just kidding. Now, when you see on
00:29:43.420 social media that a whole bunch of dead people voted, probably not true. It's probably true. Well,
00:29:52.660 I'll say definitely. It's definitely true that somewhere in the United States, a dead person
00:29:57.700 voted. Do we all agree that it happened at least once? You know, now probably it did not happen enough
00:30:06.160 to change the votes. But it looks like some places where it looks like dead people voted,
00:30:13.800 what really happened, and we have one anecdote that's probably, it could be representative of the
00:30:19.240 rest. And the one anecdote is that in some cases where a voter, they did not have that person's
00:30:27.640 birthday in their database, the database would default to 1901, I think. And so it looked like a whole
00:30:35.400 bunch of old people had registered and voted, who would be actually so old that they're probably
00:30:40.020 not even alive. But it was just a database irregularity, and it didn't change anything.
00:30:47.600 They were real people who really voted. But they looked like they were 110 years old, because the
00:30:52.740 data was wrong. So I think that a lot of the dead people voting, at least in terms of the large
00:30:58.820 numbers of them, probably not true. The odds that some dead people voted, probably 100%.
00:31:04.960 But were there enough dead people voting to change an election? Well, we don't know.
00:31:13.500 Let's go to the whiteboard. Yes, we're going to the whiteboard.
00:31:19.320 Yeah, let's change my camera view a little bit. Sorry.
00:31:24.280 Okay. So I don't think my graph is necessarily accurate. So think of it more as a conceptual
00:31:32.800 way to approach things. So let's say if you were going to do some election fraud,
00:31:39.280 and each of the things that you considered had a different risk of getting caught. But also each
00:31:45.620 thing you considered had a limit to how many votes you could influence. So let's say if you had something
00:31:52.240 that was like fake ballots, and you were going to deliver a van full of fake ballots, and that's
00:31:58.600 how you were going to cheat. Well, how many fake ballots can you introduce into a system
00:32:04.660 before somebody notices? It's kind of hard to get away with that one, isn't it? If you were going to
00:32:10.980 put, let's say, a handful of ballots, I've got a little handful of ballots. I'm going to sneak them
00:32:18.180 in the pile. Nobody will be the wiser. What are the odds you could get away with that? A little
00:32:24.540 handful of ballots that were faked? Well, I think, you know, there's a number of ways that the mail-in
00:32:30.540 ballots are checked, you know, the signatures are checked, etc. But let's say you could get away with
00:32:35.080 it. You probably couldn't change many votes that way. Because if you do it big, you're going to get
00:32:42.380 caught. It would just be too obvious. If you do it small, it doesn't change enough votes. So it's
00:32:48.800 barely worth doing. Although you should assume somebody's trying to do it somewhere. But how about
00:32:53.740 the dead voter thing? Your risk of detection, if you had too many dead voters, is close to 100%.
00:33:01.460 Right? And indeed, we know that because we've found a bunch of dead voters on the polls. So depending on
00:33:10.700 how many people you're trying to get away with, your risk of detection goes way up. Let's say more
00:33:16.540 people voted than there are people living in the district. Well, too many dead voters. It'd be
00:33:23.620 obvious. So if you're looking for fraud, this is just a general statement about it. If you're looking
00:33:30.500 for fraud, the only place you really need to look is someplace where you have the lowest risk of
00:33:37.300 detection, with the highest possible number of votes changed. And the only thing I can think of,
00:33:45.480 and again, that doesn't mean it's the only thing, because it's the only thing my imagination can come
00:33:50.120 up with, is software, a hack. Now, how could you hack a bunch of different states? That'd be pretty hard,
00:34:00.140 right? It's got to be hard to hack even one state. How would you hack a bunch of states?
00:34:05.280 And it'd be pretty hard, right? Unless, unless there was one common piece of software that was part of the
00:34:16.200 voting election process in those states, that was all the same. And it was used by all the states. Now, if that
00:34:25.040 were the case, then that means there would be one place that you could make a change, and it would ripple
00:34:30.780 through the whole system, and that would definitely get you enough, so that satisfies you could get
00:34:36.980 enough to change an election, especially because software could be smart enough to only change votes
00:34:43.240 where it's needed. In other words, it wouldn't change all the votes in the country. It would change them
00:34:48.700 only in those states where you knew in advance it was going to be close, and it mattered. That's it.
00:34:54.440 And it would pick a couple votes from this precinct, and a couple votes from this, and just bump them up
00:35:00.340 a little bit. So you wouldn't see anything on a whack. It would just look like you had a really good
00:35:06.340 vote. A lot of people came out to vote. That's all it would look like. So what are the odds?
00:35:14.420 Somebody says, are you making this up? Yeah, everything I'm saying now is only descriptive of
00:35:19.900 what's possible. Nothing I'm talking about in terms of the hacking is a report of something
00:35:25.680 happening, as far as I know. I'm not aware of anything that's, you know, been definitive like
00:35:31.440 that. But let me go to the, let me go to the, and just because I'm seeing it in the comments so
00:35:38.640 often, I want you to know that I do know that the software is called Dominion. That's the name of the
00:35:45.380 software that all of the swing states, the ones that are problematic, they all use the same
00:35:51.300 software. So it's a, it's an outside company, a private company, or it might be public, but it's
00:35:57.580 an outside company that makes this software called Dominion, or it's the company or the software,
00:36:03.480 I don't know. I think it's the company named Dominion. But, so Dominion makes the software that
00:36:09.800 goes into all of these states. Hypothetically, and again, this isn't an allegation, I'm just saying
00:36:16.080 hypothetically, if somebody changed just the Dominion software, or I assume it goes into some
00:36:22.920 databases somewhere, there's probably at least two places that you could capture the vote and change
00:36:28.420 it. If that happened, would anybody know? Now, you say to yourself, Scott, Scott, Scott,
00:36:35.920 if these governments are using software for the election, the most important, vital thing,
00:36:44.460 and a third party, an outside company is providing the software, the minimum you can be sure happened
00:36:50.800 is that the states have access to the code, and they can look at the software, and they can make sure
00:36:58.020 that there's no weird stuff in the software, right? That's what you're, if you've lived in the world
00:37:05.220 at all, you know that that's an obvious thing that's going to happen. Obviously, the states are
00:37:10.940 going to have access to the software, they're going to look at every line of code, and they're going to
00:37:15.340 make sure that there's nothing sketchy in that code, right? It's obvious, right? Of course they're going
00:37:23.520 to do that. Except, except the company says their code is proprietary, which means they can't. It's
00:37:35.640 proprietary. They don't want their secret code to get out because the states looked at it. So now this
00:37:43.200 company, somebody's telling me Dominion is a private company out of Canada. I think that's right. Fact
00:37:50.240 checked that for me. So now we have a company that makes the software that because it's proprietary,
00:37:58.000 nobody in our government knows what's in it. Now I ask you a further question. How many people within
00:38:08.300 the company, Dominion, I don't know how many employees they have, but how many of the people
00:38:12.820 who work for the company do you think have access to their own software and understand it and have access
00:38:21.880 to all of it? How many total people in that company would you guess can see all the software and understand
00:38:30.220 it? Here's my guess based on my experience in the world and being around software development a lot,
00:38:37.520 et cetera. Maybe two. Maximum. Maybe two. Again, I'll ask for a fact check on that. But I've never
00:38:49.240 seen a big complicated software program where there were more than two people who knew everything about
00:38:55.660 it. Do you think that the algorithms used by the big tech platforms, Twitter, Facebook, Google,
00:39:03.520 do you think there's, do you think there's even one employee who can have access to the entire
00:39:09.660 algorithm and understands how each of the pieces work? No, no, that person doesn't exist because the
00:39:18.620 algorithm is too complicated. There are people who know parts of it and there are people who have
00:39:23.900 access to it, but there is nobody. And I say this without being close to it, but just logically,
00:39:30.120 I don't think anybody who knows this space would disagree with me. Maybe. I'll take a fact check
00:39:37.020 if you have it. But here's the thing. It comes down to maybe one or two people on the planet Earth
00:39:47.400 who had access to the software that's deciding who is the president of the United States.
00:39:53.520 If you want to fact check something, fact check that. That there are only maybe two people,
00:39:59.460 maximum. There might not even be two. At this company, Dominion, who would be the only ones in
00:40:06.100 the world, and they might be Canadians, we don't know, who would have access to the whole code and
00:40:11.700 know if it has anything in there that's bad. Now, the rumor, of course, that you've heard from
00:40:16.800 Sidney Powell, attorney for General Flynn, and from lots of other people you've heard say,
00:40:25.840 that there are these software programs called Scorecard and Hammer. I don't know if it's two
00:40:32.400 softwares or one is the project name and one is the software, but they work together. And allegedly,
00:40:39.660 our intelligence services has used it successfully to change the votes in other countries.
00:40:46.800 Which is a hell of a thing to know, but I guess that's, you know, it seems likely.
00:40:52.560 You know, if we're not trying to hack the voting systems of other countries, what the hell is our CIA
00:40:58.880 doing? That's sort of their job. We should be trying to hack them just like they're trying to hack us.
00:41:05.220 That's sort of what they do. So do we think, just with what we know of the world, do we think that
00:41:13.660 our intelligence agencies have ever developed software which has had the intention of changing
00:41:21.340 the vote in other countries? Well, I don't know. But wouldn't you assume that they did? And if they
00:41:27.920 didn't, what the hell is wrong with them? They should all be fired if they didn't do it, because
00:41:32.780 it's the most obvious thing that they should be doing. Of course, our intelligence people should be
00:41:38.240 looking to build software that could change elections in other countries. Why the hell wouldn't
00:41:43.140 we? All right. Now, once it's built, can you keep software in a bottle? Is it the only way it can be
00:41:52.420 built is by intelligence professionals for the government? No. If they can build it, it can be built.
00:42:00.080 So it doesn't mean that that very same code was used against our own voting machines, but it does
00:42:07.820 suggest that such a program can be built and it would be undetectable. Are you with me so far? That
00:42:15.880 it could be done and it would be undetectable, and certainly we've at least tried to do it to influence
00:42:22.680 other countries. It's almost a guarantee. Now, given that there's only one place I can think of
00:42:31.500 where you can move enough votes and still be completely undetected, it would be in software,
00:42:37.420 and it would be a hack, and we have no visibility of it. Let's say you go to the Supreme Court and you
00:42:43.860 say the following. I can demonstrate that there is such software as Scorecard and Hammer. I'm guessing
00:42:51.840 we can prove that exists, even if it only exists in a special place and has only been used once or
00:42:58.800 something, but demonstrating that such a thing exists, I feel like that could be done. If you
00:43:05.520 demonstrate that it exists and you demonstrate that all of the software for these key states that
00:43:11.520 were close is run by a company who doesn't give you access to their code, and you take that to the
00:43:18.220 Supreme Court and you say to them, the only thing we know for sure is that we can't depend on this
00:43:23.260 software. And so we have a vote which many people question for a variety of reasons. It could be
00:43:29.800 confirmation bias, but the question is out there, so it matters. And we can't check it because it's
00:43:36.680 proprietary software and it's already done, right? They could always change the software after the fact
00:43:41.800 anyway. So would the Supreme Court say, well, you're right. We actually can't tell if we have a good
00:43:49.340 election here. So let's kick it over to the state legislators and let them pick electoral college
00:43:58.800 candidates who will do what they think is right given this horrible situation. I don't know that that
00:44:05.580 will happen, but it could. Now the Supreme Court is in a weird situation where they have two objectives,
00:44:12.720 I would say, that are compete. One is they want to be compatible with the Constitution. But the other
00:44:20.820 thing is they need to keep the Republic coherent, right? So if you have a case where being true to the
00:44:30.380 Constitution would coincidentally destroy the country, just because of some weird situation,
00:44:36.940 then I think they would choose to not be true to the Constitution because their higher objective is
00:44:42.400 to keep the country credible and keep our systems working and stuff like that. So I don't know if
00:44:48.820 the Supreme Court would ever want to change a result, even if they could and even if they thought they
00:44:54.820 ought to. They might still just not do it because they'd rather have a... It might be better to have
00:45:00.320 a fake vote result than to destroy the credibility of the system. It just might be a better choice.
00:45:09.060 Legitimately, it might be a better choice. All right, let me finish up about the hacking of the
00:45:15.000 systems. I'm going to make, let's call it Adam's Rule. I'll just name it after myself because I haven't
00:45:22.040 heard anybody else say it, but it goes like this. Any software system that has the capability of
00:45:28.860 changing an election will eventually be compromised by the intelligence services of at least one country?
00:45:38.600 It could be your own country, right? So it could be the CIA compromising it, you know, for reasons that
00:45:45.560 they hope are good for the country. Or it could be a foreign country compromising it. Because all they
00:45:52.040 need to do is compromise the one or two people who have access to the code. How hard would it be for the
00:45:58.080 intelligence services of any country to compromise one or two people? It's what they do. It's literally
00:46:09.840 their job. Compromising ordinary citizens is... That's just a Tuesday. So don't think that that's even hard.
00:46:19.600 It's easy. All they have to do is find out enough about these people until they find something that
00:46:26.160 they've done that's blackmailable or something that they need that they can't get any other way.
00:46:32.460 And you can always find that. Or you can just bribe them. All right? Bribery works almost every time.
00:46:39.960 So here's the Adam's Rule. That in a situation where you've got something that can be compromised,
00:46:46.260 it's physically possible. Because you just need to get to the programmers and corrupt them. If it's
00:46:52.580 possible, the security or the intelligence agencies from every major country that has an interest
00:47:01.840 will be attempting to do it. Now, will they succeed? You would have to think on any individual attempt,
00:47:10.020 they would fail. They would fail this time. They might fail at the next election. They might fail at the
00:47:15.880 one after. But here's Adam's Rule. Eventually, they will succeed. 100% of the time. You just have to,
00:47:25.880 just as a question of how long it takes, it might take 10 years of trying with no success. It could
00:47:32.320 take 25 years of trying with no success. But there's 100% chance that if enough intelligence agencies,
00:47:41.340 keep in mind that also political parties might be trying to get into it, and various billionaires who
00:47:47.660 have interests. So there could be a lot of people who are trying to corrupt this thing. And they're
00:47:52.280 going to keep trying year after year. Maybe those two programmers who are the ones that everybody's
00:47:57.460 trying to corrupt, maybe they're changed down eventually. And then new intelligence agencies
00:48:01.840 start working on these new couple of programmers. But over time, 100% of the time,
00:48:09.140 an intelligence agency is going to break through. So it's very much like,
00:48:16.880 well, I don't need to give you a bad example. I'll just tell you that they have such a big interest,
00:48:22.680 and they have the capability, and they have no reason to ever stop trying, that they will just keep
00:48:27.980 trying until they get lucky. Somebody is going to break through. Somebody is going to get that blackmail
00:48:33.900 going. Somebody is going to get a bribe together that works. It's going to happen. You just don't know if it
00:48:40.500 happened yet. So let me say this about the voting system that we have. I do not have evidence, me
00:48:48.420 personally. I have not seen convincing evidence that our election system is compromised. Can I say that as
00:48:57.400 clearly as possible? Because on social media, I'm being criticized because people imagine I'm saying
00:49:04.520 the opposite. I've seen a whole bunch of stories and reports and anecdotal reports of things which look
00:49:11.620 like election fraud. So far, I believe zero of them. So that's my take. My take so far is that none of
00:49:23.080 them are true and also big. Lots of them could be true but small and they didn't change anything.
00:49:29.860 But none of them that I'm aware of, just personally, are big enough that it would change the election
00:49:35.400 and also look true, as far as I know. That doesn't mean there's nothing out there. It just means I
00:49:42.120 haven't seen it in any way that would be credible to me. But there's a hundred percent chance it either
00:49:48.560 has happened or will happen in your lifetime. A hundred percent. There's no way you can keep
00:49:55.840 this sort of thing safe from all the people who want to get at it. It just can't happen in the real
00:50:01.520 world. That's not even a thing. So the fact that we don't have transparency on that code,
00:50:07.920 it's a big problem and one that really needs to get fixed.
00:50:11.920 So it turns out some of the Democrats, believing that Biden has won, are talking about what lists
00:50:21.220 they're going to put together of people who supported Trump and so that those people who
00:50:26.920 supported him can be punished in a variety of ways to keep them from ever getting jobs again,
00:50:33.680 for example. So AOC wants such a list. And, uh, Jennifer Rubin said, uh, any Republicans now promoting
00:50:43.760 rejection of an election or calling to not follow the will of voters, um, baseless allegations,
00:50:51.840 blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, uh, should never be able to find a, uh, to never serve in an office,
00:50:58.580 join a corporate board, find a faculty position, or be accepted into polite society.
00:51:03.660 Then she says, we have a list. So now they're, I don't know if it's the same list or two different
00:51:09.760 lists of bad Trump supporters. So in both cases, I immediately tweeted at them that, uh, I would
00:51:17.260 like to be added to the list. Somebody says, you're not looking. Somebody says, you're totally wrong.
00:51:28.020 Somebody says, loads of ballot dumps all for Biden. Here's what, here, let me make a prediction.
00:51:33.660 So some of you believe that in the middle of the night, uh, thousands of Biden only ballots
00:51:41.340 have been dumped at these places. I'm going to bet that never happened.
00:51:48.380 Anybody want to take the bet? And the bet will be, have nothing to do with the specific reports
00:51:54.480 or even how credible the people are who saw it and say their witnesses, et cetera. I'm going to bet
00:52:01.700 the 95% that it doesn't matter what you saw or what source it was from or how absolutely believable
00:52:10.540 it looked. 95% of all of those things are not true. You just don't know which ones are in the 5%.
00:52:19.120 So if you're saying I'm totally wrong because there's such good evidence, the vans full of
00:52:26.860 Biden only votes showed up in the middle of the night, I would bet against that. Not 100%,
00:52:33.820 but 95%. If you think the opposite, you're not dealing with the odds. You could be right because
00:52:42.140 sometimes the 5% happens. That's how odds work. 95% chance that they're fake doesn't mean they are
00:52:49.480 fake. Just means you ought to look into it. Now, am I saying we shouldn't look into that? No,
00:52:55.580 no. You should look into that as hard as you can look into something. So let me be clear. The
00:53:03.920 question of whether there's enough there to look into it, 100%. 100%. We've got to look into those
00:53:11.700 stories. There's no wiggle room whatsoever. We've got to get to the bottom of those stories. But my
00:53:18.640 guess is there'll be nothing there. And part of it is because it would be hard to do that crime
00:53:22.740 without detection. The hacking is something you could do without detection. And you could get
00:53:28.240 enough votes for sure that way. So it's a whole different level of risk there. All right. So I want
00:53:34.620 to be on all these lists of bad Trump behavior people. So you should volunteer too. I'm wondering if
00:53:45.180 one of the big stories coming out of this election that once things settle down, we'll talk about
00:53:50.420 is I wonder if black people made themselves politically irrelevant. It seems like that,
00:53:57.300 right? Did black voters become politically irrelevant? Because Democrats didn't do a damn
00:54:04.180 thing for them, and they still elected Biden. I feel like they proved that you don't need to do
00:54:12.900 anything for them. Now, I'm not saying that's how things should go. I'm saying that strategically,
00:54:19.740 and, you know, in terms of whether they're getting what they want, I think they took a really big step
00:54:26.140 in the wrong direction. Because what the hell would Democrats do for the black population?
00:54:32.320 They have no reason. They just don't have a reason.
00:54:35.000 And so Trump did a lot. You know, you don't, I don't have to go through the list of everything
00:54:42.960 from prison reform to funding historically black colleges and opportunity zones and the platinum
00:54:48.880 plan and all that. So Trump did a lot and lost anyway. Why would the next Republican do anything
00:54:57.660 for the black population? Because Trump proved it doesn't make a difference. I mean, he did get,
00:55:04.440 you know, a higher percentage than any Republicans gotten in a long time, but it wasn't enough.
00:55:10.420 So it didn't, it didn't, you know, make the difference. So I think both Republicans and Democrats
00:55:16.580 got a lesson out of this election that is a really bad one if you happen to be black,
00:55:22.300 because it kind of made the black voters politically irrelevant. But at the same time,
00:55:31.140 the Hispanic voters who came out for Trump in big numbers, I feel like they became much more
00:55:38.580 politically relevant, right? Because if you're a Republican, what did you learn from this election?
00:55:45.480 You just learned that with a little bit of help, if you're just a little bit good to the Hispanic
00:55:52.520 voters, they're going to turn out. Because they turned out without much really going for them,
00:56:00.640 right? I mean, the Republicans didn't try to target them. They just said, hey, we like law and order.
00:56:06.260 And it turns out, surprise, surprise, other people like law and order too. So the Hispanics
00:56:12.000 came out big for that and probably liked some of his international policies as well.
00:56:18.840 I believe that if you were to look at, you know, what are the reasons that the election came out the
00:56:24.640 way it's coming out, assuming it finishes with a Biden victory, which is possible. It's going to be
00:56:32.560 because of the fine people hoax and the bleach hoax. I believe that if you were to change just those
00:56:40.100 two things, Trump would be reelected easily. And everybody's going to have their own list of one
00:56:48.880 or two things that caused the election. None of them are really sensible, because for an election to
00:56:54.320 go the way it went, everything had to happen the way it happened. So if you say, well, the reason Biden
00:57:00.580 won was this one variable, that's just nonsense. Sure, if you changed one variable, maybe he would
00:57:08.380 have lost. But there were probably lots of those variables that if you changed it just a little bit,
00:57:14.940 he would have lost. So all the articles that you will definitely see, where all these pundits will say,
00:57:20.240 the reason it went this way is because of this one thing. They're all ridiculous. But I do think
00:57:27.440 that one of those variables that had to go the way it went was the fake news. And then if you
00:57:34.000 change that one thing, which is the fake news, I think Trump would have been elected. And
00:57:40.780 I also have another theory that the closer the election is with the regular natural votes,
00:57:48.580 the less the public matters to the outcome. So if you have an election that's so close,
00:57:54.860 like in some of the states we're going to see, as soon as the election is close,
00:58:00.320 the will of the people becomes irrelevant. Because the people couldn't decide they were
00:58:05.260 close to 50-50. So instead, since the people's will is irrelevant, it was a tie, effectively,
00:58:14.140 it ends up being lawyers and political operatives and judges and dirty tricksters and pranksters.
00:58:21.860 So those are the people who will determine the election. So we built, you know, the founders
00:58:27.760 built a system that depends entirely upon, you know, good people using their judgment and voting and,
00:58:33.920 you know, participating and all that. And that sounded good on paper. But the only time it doesn't work
00:58:41.580 is when the population is naturally split. As soon as you have a population that likes to vote
00:58:48.180 close to 50-50 on their presidential elections. And you know that in advance, right? Four years from
00:58:54.520 now, do you want to predict the election outcome four years from now? I can. It's going to be close
00:59:00.260 to 50-50, just like always, recently. Now, under those conditions, we don't have a democracy.
00:59:09.040 Because the closer the election is, the less it matters what the people care about.
00:59:13.260 It only cares what the operatives care about after that point. Because they're going to be battling
00:59:18.500 about, you know, the fraud and the elections and the constitution and the rules. And you and I don't
00:59:24.500 get a vote. How much are you doing? How much are you doing on the legality of ballots? Nothing.
00:59:33.820 Nothing. Maybe you voted, but your vote just got thrown away. Every vote in any of those cities that's
00:59:41.040 really, really close. Flush them down the toilet. Republican votes, Democrat votes,
00:59:48.160 independents, whatever. Flush them all down the toilet. The voter's will is no longer part of the
00:59:55.520 process. And that's only a unique situation where the vote is naturally close. It just takes the public
01:00:01.580 out of it. So that's an absurd situation that we seem to have accepted as if it's normal.
01:00:07.820 So allegedly, and of course, all news is fake. So I don't know if this is true, but it was in the
01:00:15.360 news. The Republicans rejected several election reform bills from the Democrats. So apparently,
01:00:25.500 Republicans have been the problem for reforming the election. There was some rumor that it was
01:00:33.280 because they didn't want Trump's election to be questioned. Because if you questioned how good the
01:00:40.200 election process was by trying to reform it, it would bring into question Trump's election. So there's
01:00:46.840 some thought that that's the reason. But if Republicans failed to reform the election process,
01:00:54.360 and then Democrats said, let me get this straight. We're asking you to get rid of all the ways that
01:01:01.800 people could cheat in the election. And you're saying that you don't want to do that. That's
01:01:07.020 right. That's what we're saying. Okay, you know what's going to happen next, right? Because if you
01:01:14.300 don't fix those holes that we're clearly telling you you need to get fixed, we're going to use those
01:01:20.500 holes. And we're going to get our president because you failed to fix the election process. And we're just
01:01:28.300 going to walk through this big hole that we told you we'd like to close. But you assholes said you
01:01:33.880 don't want to close it. So watch this. We're just going to walk right through it. And I think maybe
01:01:40.560 they did. I feel like that's what happened. I feel like the Republicans took a run at reforming
01:01:47.860 the election process. Republicans said no for political reasons. And Democrats said, fine, fine, we'll just
01:01:57.220 walk right through this hole and get our president. And maybe they did. Can't rule it out. But I don't know.
01:02:06.180 All right, those are the things that I wanted to talk about. Somebody says, I don't buy this. Which part?
01:02:12.720 Which part don't you buy? All right, I'm just going to take a look at some of your
01:02:21.760 comments. So somebody's saying dark times ahead. I don't think so. I don't think so. You know,
01:02:30.140 I use this word a lot, the zeitgeist, which is just the feel in the room or the general mood that the
01:02:38.480 country has. And correct me if I'm wrong. I see just no interest in a revolution. I see no interest
01:02:49.620 in a civil war. If you gave most Americans, 95% of them, a chance to say, okay, even if, you know,
01:02:59.280 you don't like things, would you rather just let it go? Let it go for four years and, you know,
01:03:04.560 take another run at it. I think almost all Americans are on the same page, which is we can
01:03:10.780 hate the outcome. That's not the end of the world. Yeah, we'll just go four years and take another run
01:03:17.040 at it. So I don't see the slightest chance that it's going to be a bloody civil war. And I just don't
01:03:27.240 see any chance of that at all. And it doesn't matter who won, really. Whichever way it goes,
01:03:34.040 I think we're going to have a peaceful transition, because people want it. Look at the stock market.
01:03:39.300 Stock market was fine. They didn't care. Apparently, the stock market didn't care if it was Trump or
01:03:43.980 Biden. They just chugging along. Somebody in the comments is asking me if I'm in Mensa.
01:03:53.940 The answer is no, but I used to be. So you're not in Mensa unless you pay the dues. And I didn't see
01:04:02.500 any reason to pay the dues. But I was in Mensa for a year or two. Somebody says, I experienced very
01:04:14.120 dark times during Obama. I can't tell if you're making a bad joke or not. Somebody says, if Biden
01:04:25.320 goes hard for the guns, war will break out. Well, of course it would. Yeah, if they tried to take away
01:04:30.460 your guns at your home, war would break out. But I don't think the odds of that are very high. I don't
01:04:36.000 see Biden trying to take your guns away. You know, that sounds like something he'd talk about,
01:04:41.480 but wouldn't do. Stage three of acceptance. No, I don't think we're at acceptance yet.
01:04:48.880 You know, like I said, the army of vampires and werewolves are fighting it out. And we don't know
01:04:56.540 which way that's going to go yet. But I'd bet on the vampires. Will Trump prevail? My last estimate
01:05:05.400 was 60-40 yes. And I don't think any of this is predictable. Probably I would reverse that right
01:05:15.620 now. And I would say 60-40 that Biden will take the job. But there is a solid 40%. That's a pretty big
01:05:25.600 percentage. A solid 40% that the vampires and the werewolves who are fighting it out will find
01:05:35.580 enough problems with the data. Possibly a hack. I don't know if you could put odds on that, but
01:05:43.080 possibly. And that that'll be enough to throw it back to the electoral college and then anything
01:05:49.360 could happen. So somebody says to look into what somebody on Twitter is calling out as a problem.
01:05:59.620 So if you missed that first part, let me reiterate. If you see somebody on Twitter calling out a specific
01:06:06.020 fraud situation, and it looks really, really convincing, it's a 95% chance it's false.
01:06:14.260 And it doesn't even matter what it is. Just in general, no matter how convincing it looks,
01:06:20.580 if it's an individual situation, 95% chance you're not seeing the whole story. But still 100% chance
01:06:28.300 that somebody's doing fraudulent stuff somewhere. We just don't know where.
01:06:31.900 All right. I think we've done what we need to do. And that's all for now. And I will talk to you tomorrow.