Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1181 Scott Adams： Why President Trump Still Has the Advantage. Crazy, Right？ Maybe not.

00:00:00.000 Huh. That's weird.

00:00:09.980 Hold on a second. There's something missing. I found it.

00:00:15.180 We're good now. Come on in. It's time. It's time for Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:21.940 The best time of the day, and this one's going to be a burner.

00:00:25.920 Just like every time. They get better all the time, really.

00:00:29.340 And all you need to enjoy it to its fullest extent, I think you know.

00:00:34.340 It's a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or chalice or a stein, a canteen jug or flask.

00:00:38.080 A vessel of any kind.

00:00:41.480 Because you want to fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:45.780 And then you can join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day.

00:00:50.940 The thing that makes everything better except recounts.

00:00:55.300 It's called the simultaneous sip and it happens in alcohol.

00:00:59.340 How many of you have reduced this to habit so that it feels really good when you know it's going to happen

00:01:09.060 and then it feels good when it happens and you feel good all day?

00:01:14.680 Well, if you haven't, you should.

00:01:16.680 So Joe Biden gave a speech claiming victory and calling for unity.

00:01:25.320 Well, it's about time, isn't it?

00:01:27.920 It's about time somebody called for unity.

00:01:30.860 Because if Joe Biden had not called for unity, where would we be?

00:01:37.300 Thank goodness someone thought to say a bunch of words in public, because that should fix things, I think.

00:01:46.460 Now, never mind that Joe Biden did base his campaign on calling Trump supporters effectively Nazis.

00:01:54.720 Now, of course, the fine people hoax was the center of his campaign.

00:01:58.880 The second part of his campaign was the drinking bleach hoax.

00:02:06.040 But in any case, he has branded all Trump supporters as supporters of basically a Nazi.

00:02:16.720 So after that being your campaign, how exactly are we supposed to feel about this unity stuff?

00:02:29.200 It's a little hard to feel unified when someone has branded you a Nazi

00:02:33.980 and members of your party are literally forming lists,

00:02:40.500 lists, actually lists of Trump supporters so that they can be punished in the future.

00:02:46.720 For having political support of Trump.

00:02:51.340 Now, good luck, Joe Biden, getting all your unity.

00:02:56.200 I would say that would be a case of too little too late.

00:02:59.880 Too little too late.

00:03:01.800 A number of world leaders are congratulating Biden.

00:03:05.720 And although we could argue that it's not official, and I will in a little bit,

00:03:10.980 I feel as though you could forgive the leaders who feel this is just sort of the polite time to do it.

00:03:21.460 And I saw some pushback on Netanyahu because he finally congratulated Biden.

00:03:27.000 But I think it's fair to let the other countries just do sort of the standard, traditional thing you do

00:03:35.880 when it looks like an election is basically over, according to them.

00:03:41.440 So I don't think we should make too much of that.

00:03:44.280 They're just doing what they need to do to be polite.

00:03:47.040 I don't have a problem with that at all.

00:03:48.860 Did you see all the cities erupting in celebration?

00:03:54.900 I had weird mixed feelings about this, at least preliminary outcome.

00:04:02.340 I'll tell you later why I think it's going to change.

00:04:05.440 But I kind of liked seeing my fellow Americans be happy for the first time in four years.

00:04:14.060 It's hard to watch, you know, giant throngs of people being desperately unhappy and depressed,

00:04:21.380 and they think their world is ending, and they think Hitler is running the world and all that stuff.

00:04:27.140 And even though I was, you know, mostly on the other side from them politically,

00:04:32.100 I kind of enjoyed watching them be happy.

00:04:36.500 I have to admit, I had mixed feelings about that.

00:04:39.820 And all things being considered, if we could find some situation where most people are happier,

00:04:47.660 but maybe I don't get exactly what I want, I'd be okay with that.

00:04:52.000 Because I'd rather most people are happier.

00:04:54.720 That would be better than me getting, I don't know, a tax break or something like that.

00:04:59.460 But we'll see if that holds.

00:05:01.940 And of course, there are lots of other variables,

00:05:04.520 aside from being happy and running around in your pajamas in the streets.

00:05:09.820 So, let me ask you this.

00:05:15.300 If Biden, let's just say, hypothetically, and I know it's crazy,

00:05:22.120 what I'm going to say next, it's crazy.

00:05:25.180 So just think of this as a thought experiment,

00:05:27.960 not anything that you have to worry about in the real world.

00:05:31.900 Suppose the election got reversed by the courts.

00:05:35.580 Would Biden supporters say, oh, okay, well, you know, we were wrong.

00:05:43.540 I guess the vote didn't go our way.

00:05:45.680 And now that the vote has been reversed,

00:05:49.400 would they encourage Biden to give a concession speech?

00:05:55.420 Let's say that the count was unambiguously reversed,

00:05:59.340 and there was no doubt that Trump had actually won,

00:06:02.540 and it's a big surprise, just hypothetically.

00:06:06.360 Do you think they'd ask Biden to concede?

00:06:10.120 I don't think so.

00:06:12.520 I don't think so.

00:06:14.080 I don't think it would go that way.

00:06:15.860 But let's talk about, oh, one more thing first.

00:06:19.320 So I saw on Fox News site,

00:06:23.580 they're talking about how Biden is looking to reverse America first policy.

00:06:30.540 Now, the great thing about calling your policy American first, 0.95

00:06:34.140 America first, which is what Trump did,

00:06:36.380 is that if anybody tries to reverse it,

00:06:39.800 they're reversing the America first policy,

00:06:43.220 which there's nothing you can say about that that sounds good,

00:06:46.400 because you're thinking, uh, you're the president of the United States.

00:06:53.020 Why would you want to reverse the policy

00:06:55.240 that put the country you're the president of first?

00:06:59.760 So it has that little bit of Antifa quality.

00:07:04.000 You know, the brilliance of Antifa is that they're anti-fascist.

00:07:08.040 So if you're anti-anti-fascist,

00:07:11.520 by definition, you're a fascist.

00:07:14.600 That's how words work. 0.86

00:07:16.980 Well, Trump has one of those working for him.

00:07:19.500 America first.

00:07:20.880 I'd like to reverse that.

00:07:22.440 Oh, you would?

00:07:23.820 Well, that doesn't sound too good, does it?

00:07:26.540 So Trump, so Biden would have to deal with that

00:07:28.820 if he indeed becomes sworn in as our president.

00:07:32.980 But how likely is that?

00:07:36.180 Now, when last I updated the slaughter meter,

00:07:39.380 it was at 100% prior to the actual election.

00:07:43.080 I haven't updated it,

00:07:45.740 but I did say subsequent to that,

00:07:47.720 that, you know, it's closer to 60-40, 40-60.

00:07:52.220 I'm going to keep my odds of Trump

00:07:56.380 eventually becoming a second-term president in 2020

00:08:00.780 at 60%,

00:08:02.880 which is 50% better than Biden's chances.

00:08:08.120 And I will now make my argument

00:08:10.800 for why Trump actually has a 60% chance

00:08:16.220 of becoming president still,

00:08:19.180 still much better than Biden does.

00:08:23.400 You ready for this?

00:08:24.460 Now, keep in mind some context, right?

00:08:27.140 So some of the context is about me

00:08:29.420 as a public prognosticator, I guess.

00:08:35.460 So keep in mind that when I predicted Trump would win, 1.00

00:08:40.620 I was treated as an idiot for a full 18 months. 1.00

00:08:45.620 But then it came through. 0.99

00:08:47.740 Keep in mind that when I said Kamala Harris

00:08:49.720 would be the candidate,

00:08:51.540 even after she dropped out of the primaries,

00:08:55.240 I had to endure many months of people saying,

00:08:59.240 geez, Scott, can you just give it up?

00:09:02.600 And then, of course, she became the vice presidential pick. 0.98

00:09:07.340 And most people, including Democrats, would say

00:09:09.900 she is sort of the real president

00:09:12.120 or will be or something.

00:09:14.360 So I would say I stuck that one out against all odds.

00:09:19.120 Likewise, when the Vegas shooter

00:09:22.000 was thought to be ISIS before we knew who it was,

00:09:26.000 I said it's not ISIS.

00:09:27.900 And then ISIS took credit.

00:09:30.180 ISIS took credit for the Vegas shooting.

00:09:33.140 And still, after ISIS took credit,

00:09:37.420 I said it wasn't ISIS.

00:09:39.680 And then it wasn't.

00:09:41.200 So keep in mind that I have a track record 0.87

00:09:43.700 of three ridiculous public predictions. 0.99

00:09:48.340 Ridiculous. 0.99

00:09:50.320 And you could argue that all three came in. 0.94

00:09:52.540 The Kamala Harris one is more of a judgment call.

00:09:54.720 So, because I like, I kind of like when that happens,

00:10:01.260 I'm going to stay with it.

00:10:02.500 So I'm going to stay with my prediction

00:10:03.940 that despite losing the election,

00:10:08.420 Trump will more likely win the election in the end. 0.98

00:10:13.760 The most unlikely, ridiculous, 0.95

00:10:17.300 I would say almost reckless prediction, 0.97

00:10:22.460 wouldn't you say?

00:10:23.680 Really crazy.

00:10:25.700 That's where I like to be.

00:10:26.900 I like to be in crazy, in crazy place.

00:10:29.220 And here we see in the comments that I am delusional.

00:10:33.140 That's where I want to be.

00:10:35.460 So if you're thinking right now,

00:10:37.560 oh, you know, you got lucky a few times.

00:10:39.760 I'll give you that.

00:10:41.320 I'll give you that you did get lucky on some big ones. 0.99

00:10:43.940 But you're just really freaking crazy now. 1.00

00:10:48.640 You know, this time, Scott, you're crazy. 1.00

00:10:53.560 Could be. 0.98

00:10:55.160 Entirely possible.

00:10:56.960 I give that a full, a full possibility.

00:11:01.280 But here's my argument.

00:11:03.080 And when I'm done, see if it changes your mind.

00:11:06.540 Okay?

00:11:09.760 Here's what would have to be true

00:11:11.760 in order for the election to be overturned.

00:11:15.840 Are you ready?

00:11:16.960 So see which of these individual things that I talk about

00:11:20.100 you disagree with me.

00:11:22.180 Because if you don't disagree on any of the individual things,

00:11:26.220 you might want to agree with me

00:11:28.140 on the big picture that they create.

00:11:30.680 So individually,

00:11:32.220 would you say that Democrats had a motive

00:11:34.640 to cheat in the election?

00:11:39.080 Everybody?

00:11:40.240 Did they have a motive?

00:11:41.760 To cheat.

00:11:43.740 Yes.

00:11:44.560 Not only did they have the motive,

00:11:45.980 they had the motive of all motives.

00:11:48.800 Indeed,

00:11:49.620 has there ever been a motive

00:11:51.020 to do anything illegal

00:11:52.880 that was better

00:11:54.740 or stronger

00:11:56.340 than this motive?

00:11:58.520 Remember,

00:11:59.440 half of the country

00:12:00.260 was having mental illness

00:12:01.700 that was extreme 0.99

00:12:03.580 because of this president.

00:12:05.260 And they wanted to get out of that feeling.

00:12:08.140 Plus,

00:12:08.620 they had convinced the public

00:12:10.440 and themselves

00:12:11.200 that Trump was

00:12:12.600 basically Hitler.

00:12:15.360 And if you had a choice,

00:12:17.440 if you had a chance,

00:12:18.320 let's say,

00:12:19.060 to break a rule

00:12:20.600 or a law,

00:12:22.320 and you might even go to jail

00:12:23.680 if you got caught,

00:12:24.660 but if you break this law,

00:12:26.500 you could remove

00:12:27.480 Hitler from office 0.65

00:12:29.660 without any bloodshed.

00:12:32.720 Would you do it?

00:12:34.320 Would you be motivated

00:12:35.600 to break a law

00:12:37.040 if you thought the result

00:12:39.300 of breaking that law

00:12:40.220 was removing Hitler, 0.87

00:12:42.820 Hitler 0.78

00:12:43.320 from office?

00:12:45.280 Of course you would.

00:12:47.600 I would.

00:12:49.460 Let me say as clearly

00:12:50.700 as possible,

00:12:52.100 if I believed

00:12:53.080 what the Democrats believe,

00:12:54.700 that Trump is Hitler,

00:12:56.240 and I could 0.89

00:12:57.460 find a way

00:12:58.920 to

00:12:59.480 fudge the election

00:13:01.260 and break the law

00:13:02.420 to get rid of that guy,

00:13:04.400 I would do it.

00:13:06.240 Is there anybody here

00:13:07.180 who wouldn't do that?

00:13:08.740 Because let me say,

00:13:09.820 if you wouldn't do that, 1.00

00:13:12.600 you're kind of an asshole. 1.00

00:13:15.560 Because you would let 1.00

00:13:16.840 Hitler come to, 0.98

00:13:18.460 you know,

00:13:18.820 you wouldn't take

00:13:19.300 a little bit of chance

00:13:20.280 to get Hitler 0.98

00:13:21.680 out of office?

00:13:23.140 Really?

00:13:24.000 I think you would

00:13:24.780 take that chance.

00:13:25.780 Most of you would.

00:13:27.160 So,

00:13:27.760 on the question of

00:13:28.740 did they have a motive,

00:13:30.400 I think that's

00:13:31.160 100% yes.

00:13:32.940 We'd all be on the same page

00:13:34.200 on that, right?

00:13:34.800 I think even Democrats

00:13:35.920 would agree

00:13:37.260 that given the extent

00:13:39.120 of their feelings,

00:13:40.100 the motive part

00:13:41.060 is pretty solid.

00:13:42.980 But,

00:13:43.620 motive isn't enough,

00:13:44.860 right?

00:13:45.060 Just having a motive

00:13:45.960 doesn't prove anything.

00:13:47.720 You know,

00:13:47.940 we have all kinds

00:13:48.660 of motives

00:13:49.100 to do lots of things,

00:13:50.280 but we don't do them

00:13:51.160 because we don't want

00:13:52.440 to go to jail

00:13:53.040 or maybe it's not possible.

00:13:55.440 So,

00:13:56.000 motive,

00:13:56.560 I think,

00:13:56.980 yes.

00:13:57.820 And emphatically,

00:13:59.200 yes.

00:13:59.980 In fact,

00:14:00.480 more motive

00:14:01.060 than there's ever been

00:14:01.920 motive for anything

00:14:02.740 in the world of motives.

00:14:04.700 It's the number one

00:14:05.900 motive thing

00:14:07.020 other than,

00:14:08.480 I don't know what.

00:14:09.840 Could there be

00:14:10.440 a higher motive than this?

00:14:11.600 I can't think of one.

00:14:14.820 All right.

00:14:15.480 What about the opportunity?

00:14:18.720 Because they'd have to

00:14:19.720 be able to do it.

00:14:21.760 There would have to

00:14:22.340 physically be a way

00:14:23.500 to do it.

00:14:24.620 Do you believe

00:14:25.360 that there is

00:14:26.700 physically,

00:14:28.440 that it's actually

00:14:29.120 possible

00:14:29.900 that they could have

00:14:31.820 changed enough votes

00:14:33.380 to,

00:14:34.700 to rig the election

00:14:36.340 in their favor?

00:14:37.020 Now,

00:14:38.320 I would say

00:14:38.860 that there are

00:14:39.500 some things,

00:14:40.900 you know,

00:14:41.080 some specific

00:14:42.160 kinds of fraud

00:14:42.980 that you really

00:14:44.220 couldn't do

00:14:45.240 in gigantic numbers

00:14:47.340 because of the

00:14:48.020 nature of it.

00:14:49.500 It would just be

00:14:50.520 hard to scale

00:14:51.340 some sorts of

00:14:52.220 things up.

00:14:53.620 But,

00:14:54.540 is it

00:14:55.700 impossible

00:14:56.400 to

00:14:57.960 change the

00:14:59.780 programming

00:15:00.340 of whatever

00:15:01.020 is counting

00:15:01.520 the votes?

00:15:02.020 Is that

00:15:02.360 impossible?

00:15:03.480 If insiders

00:15:04.680 thought they were

00:15:05.400 getting rid of

00:15:06.040 a killer

00:15:06.280 and they had

00:15:07.600 the power

00:15:08.500 to change

00:15:09.240 the software

00:15:09.800 code,

00:15:11.060 would it be

00:15:11.580 impossible to

00:15:12.580 do it?

00:15:13.780 No.

00:15:14.520 No.

00:15:15.040 Nobody thinks

00:15:15.920 that software

00:15:16.480 is impossible

00:15:17.180 to hack.

00:15:18.600 Right?

00:15:19.340 Nobody thinks

00:15:20.240 that employees

00:15:20.980 are impossible

00:15:21.860 to bribe

00:15:22.760 or maybe

00:15:23.700 they don't

00:15:24.060 even need

00:15:24.440 a bribe

00:15:24.860 because they

00:15:25.360 want to get

00:15:25.740 rid of,

00:15:26.040 maybe they

00:15:26.520 want to get

00:15:26.880 rid of Trump

00:15:27.400 too.

00:15:28.560 So,

00:15:29.140 certainly you

00:15:29.920 could get

00:15:30.280 people who

00:15:31.600 are insiders

00:15:32.400 who have

00:15:33.000 access to

00:15:33.660 everything.

00:15:34.520 You could

00:15:34.900 certainly get

00:15:35.480 insiders

00:15:36.100 to do

00:15:36.820 what you

00:15:37.160 wanted them

00:15:37.620 to do

00:15:37.940 because they

00:15:38.260 probably

00:15:38.480 want to

00:15:38.740 do it

00:15:38.960 anyway.

00:15:39.600 If you

00:15:40.120 didn't

00:15:40.340 blackmail

00:15:40.840 them,

00:15:41.180 if you

00:15:41.400 didn't

00:15:42.060 bribe

00:15:42.480 them,

00:15:42.780 they just

00:15:43.120 want to

00:15:43.400 do it

00:15:43.580 anyway.

00:15:44.720 It's

00:15:44.960 easy.

00:15:46.100 The

00:15:46.460 programming

00:15:47.600 ability,

00:15:48.660 if you

00:15:49.220 had access

00:15:49.880 to it

00:15:50.520 and you

00:15:51.020 had the

00:15:51.440 intention

00:15:51.960 of doing

00:15:52.940 it,

00:15:53.120 it would

00:15:53.220 be easy.

00:15:54.300 So there

00:15:54.760 wouldn't

00:15:54.920 be any

00:15:55.400 hard technical

00:15:57.120 problem

00:15:57.600 involved.

00:15:59.020 Right?

00:15:59.660 Now,

00:16:00.120 suppose you

00:16:00.540 wanted to

00:16:00.860 do it

00:16:01.200 in a

00:16:02.800 more

00:16:03.160 grotesque

00:16:04.600 way,

00:16:05.280 not an

00:16:06.020 elegant,

00:16:06.800 graceful

00:16:07.220 way.

00:16:08.060 Suppose you

00:16:08.580 just wanted

00:16:08.980 to show

00:16:09.480 up with

00:16:09.880 a bunch

00:16:10.200 of,

00:16:10.820 this has

00:16:11.260 been reported

00:16:12.060 on social

00:16:12.860 media,

00:16:14.020 and we

00:16:14.780 don't know

00:16:15.040 how true

00:16:15.360 it is,

00:16:16.340 but it's

00:16:16.660 just been

00:16:16.960 reported on

00:16:17.640 social media,

00:16:18.220 so I'll just

00:16:19.140 put it out

00:16:19.600 there in a

00:16:20.060 what if.

00:16:21.480 Is it

00:16:22.120 possible,

00:16:23.340 I'm not

00:16:23.720 saying it

00:16:24.120 happened,

00:16:24.720 we're just

00:16:25.120 talking whether

00:16:25.660 it could be

00:16:26.300 done,

00:16:27.140 to arrive in

00:16:28.760 the middle

00:16:29.040 of the night

00:16:29.540 with trucks

00:16:30.560 full of

00:16:31.460 ballots

00:16:32.880 that have

00:16:34.420 been filled

00:16:34.840 out for

00:16:35.240 one candidate

00:16:35.960 for not

00:16:36.460 the other?

00:16:37.540 Is it

00:16:37.920 physically

00:16:38.500 possible

00:16:39.100 that they

00:16:40.260 would show

00:16:40.760 up and

00:16:42.740 do some

00:16:43.900 massively

00:16:44.820 obvious thing

00:16:45.920 like have

00:16:47.280 all the

00:16:47.660 ballots in

00:16:48.140 the truck

00:16:48.480 be for

00:16:48.920 one candidate?

00:16:50.260 Could you

00:16:50.620 do it?

00:16:51.780 Well,

00:16:52.080 you could

00:16:52.360 do it.

00:16:54.020 The risk

00:16:54.860 is getting

00:16:55.240 caught,

00:16:55.740 right?

00:16:56.560 That's the

00:16:57.020 risk,

00:16:57.980 but could

00:16:58.660 you do

00:16:58.980 it?

00:17:00.140 I feel

00:17:00.900 like you

00:17:01.260 could.

00:17:02.380 Now,

00:17:02.800 maybe later

00:17:03.480 they would

00:17:03.880 be reversed

00:17:04.600 or something,

00:17:05.640 maybe you'd

00:17:06.320 get caught,

00:17:07.140 but it's

00:17:07.720 certainly

00:17:07.980 physically

00:17:08.580 possible.

00:17:09.440 Would you

00:17:09.680 all agree

00:17:10.200 that if

00:17:11.360 you don't

00:17:12.400 look at,

00:17:13.820 we'll look

00:17:14.240 at this

00:17:14.520 separately,

00:17:15.300 but if

00:17:15.680 you don't

00:17:15.980 look at

00:17:16.280 the risk

00:17:16.720 of getting

00:17:17.100 caught,

00:17:18.560 you could

00:17:19.080 hack it,

00:17:19.760 you could

00:17:20.120 have an

00:17:20.460 insider,

00:17:21.520 you could

00:17:22.000 deliver

00:17:22.520 fake

00:17:23.200 ballots,

00:17:24.400 you could

00:17:25.340 rig the

00:17:25.820 counting

00:17:26.140 machines,

00:17:27.920 right?

00:17:28.560 Physically,

00:17:29.040 it's

00:17:29.280 possible.

00:17:30.380 We also

00:17:31.000 have lots

00:17:31.600 of evidence

00:17:32.280 of individual

00:17:33.280 local races

00:17:34.440 that have

00:17:35.480 been rigged

00:17:36.040 in the

00:17:36.420 past,

00:17:37.760 right?

00:17:38.440 We also

00:17:39.140 have

00:17:39.640 Blagovich,

00:17:42.260 do you

00:17:42.520 remember

00:17:42.720 Blagovich?

00:17:43.200 He was,

00:17:44.100 if I have

00:17:44.720 this story

00:17:45.120 right,

00:17:45.440 he was the

00:17:45.820 governor of

00:17:46.440 Illinois,

00:17:47.380 went to

00:17:48.140 jail because

00:17:49.400 he tried to

00:17:50.980 sell a

00:17:51.640 senate seat.

00:17:52.280 now that's

00:17:54.680 a guy who

00:17:55.160 knows

00:17:55.540 government

00:17:56.500 corruption.

00:17:57.720 He was 0.97

00:17:58.180 corrupt. 1.00

00:17:59.140 He went

00:17:59.400 to jail

00:17:59.740 for it.

00:18:00.720 He tried

00:18:01.100 to sell

00:18:01.800 a senate

00:18:03.140 seat because

00:18:03.860 as governor

00:18:04.580 he was

00:18:05.360 able to,

00:18:07.040 I think

00:18:07.860 he had

00:18:08.160 the right

00:18:08.940 to fill

00:18:09.920 a senate

00:18:10.300 seat with

00:18:11.460 a Republican

00:18:12.040 or Democrat

00:18:12.980 or whatever

00:18:13.360 he was.

00:18:14.260 Democrat?

00:18:14.840 Yeah,

00:18:15.020 I guess

00:18:15.220 Democrat.

00:18:16.020 So he

00:18:16.320 had a

00:18:16.660 choice of

00:18:17.280 doing that

00:18:17.820 and he

00:18:19.240 offered it

00:18:20.560 up for

00:18:20.860 sale.

00:18:21.800 Now his

00:18:22.260 opinion,

00:18:22.760 and he

00:18:22.980 just offered

00:18:23.500 this yesterday

00:18:24.440 I think,

00:18:25.340 is that

00:18:25.900 the Democratic

00:18:27.000 cities have

00:18:27.980 been faking

00:18:29.740 elections for

00:18:31.240 decades and

00:18:32.980 that it's not

00:18:33.620 something that

00:18:34.260 happens once

00:18:34.960 in a while,

00:18:35.860 it's the

00:18:36.680 normal baseline.

00:18:39.040 Right,

00:18:39.540 so now do

00:18:40.220 you believe

00:18:40.820 Blagovich,

00:18:42.420 who went

00:18:43.200 to jail

00:18:43.860 for,

00:18:45.100 you know,

00:18:45.580 state

00:18:46.000 corruption,

00:18:46.520 he went

00:18:48.140 to jail

00:18:48.520 for it.

00:18:49.500 So you

00:18:50.120 gotta feel

00:18:50.800 that he

00:18:51.160 might have

00:18:51.500 known some

00:18:52.040 other people

00:18:52.640 who might

00:18:53.140 be sort

00:18:53.980 of in

00:18:54.240 that mindset

00:18:55.480 or doing

00:18:56.340 those kinds

00:18:56.900 of things.

00:18:58.180 So he

00:18:59.000 says,

00:18:59.840 oh yeah,

00:19:00.140 there's no

00:19:00.460 doubt about

00:19:00.960 it,

00:19:01.480 it's basically

00:19:02.260 every major

00:19:03.160 Democrat city,

00:19:04.340 it's every

00:19:05.060 time,

00:19:05.600 and they've

00:19:05.960 been doing

00:19:06.300 it forever.

00:19:07.840 That's a

00:19:08.880 pretty big

00:19:09.620 claim,

00:19:11.860 isn't it?

00:19:12.480 By a

00:19:12.980 person who

00:19:13.700 you would

00:19:14.820 imagine would

00:19:15.680 be close

00:19:16.240 enough to

00:19:16.780 things to

00:19:17.600 know that

00:19:18.920 that's true

00:19:19.440 or false.

00:19:20.640 Now,

00:19:21.100 Trump did,

00:19:21.980 I don't

00:19:22.740 know if he

00:19:23.100 commuted his

00:19:23.740 sentence or

00:19:24.360 pardoned him

00:19:24.880 or whatever

00:19:25.200 the word

00:19:25.580 is,

00:19:26.380 but Trump

00:19:27.040 did get

00:19:27.520 him out

00:19:27.880 of jail

00:19:28.200 before his

00:19:28.740 term was

00:19:29.180 over,

00:19:29.920 so,

00:19:30.220 you know,

00:19:30.520 Blagovich has

00:19:31.260 maybe some

00:19:32.520 reason to

00:19:33.180 be nice

00:19:35.200 to Trump

00:19:35.800 in return,

00:19:37.160 but I

00:19:37.540 don't know

00:19:37.860 if he

00:19:38.140 would make

00:19:38.500 a claim

00:19:38.940 like that.

00:19:40.680 That's

00:19:41.060 such a

00:19:41.900 big claim

00:19:42.700 that all

00:19:44.300 the major

00:19:44.860 democratic

00:19:45.440 cities are

00:19:46.240 rigged

00:19:46.800 elections.

00:19:47.900 That's a

00:19:48.540 really big

00:19:49.000 claim.

00:19:49.900 I don't

00:19:50.500 know that he

00:19:50.960 would do

00:19:51.320 that just

00:19:52.020 as to

00:19:52.560 return a

00:19:53.060 favor.

00:19:54.000 It's just

00:19:54.560 such a

00:19:54.940 big claim.

00:19:56.460 So,

00:19:56.920 we have

00:19:58.500 opportunity,

00:20:00.160 we have

00:20:00.480 motive,

00:20:01.920 so the

00:20:03.000 only thing

00:20:03.480 that's sort

00:20:03.880 of missing

00:20:04.300 is,

00:20:06.860 do you

00:20:07.060 think they

00:20:07.420 could get

00:20:07.760 away with

00:20:08.200 it?

00:20:10.280 So,

00:20:10.960 if you

00:20:11.580 believe they

00:20:12.020 have motive,

00:20:12.740 you believe

00:20:13.220 they had the

00:20:13.720 opportunity,

00:20:15.060 then the

00:20:15.440 only thing

00:20:16.040 that would

00:20:16.320 stop them

00:20:17.020 is thinking

00:20:18.300 that they

00:20:18.780 would get

00:20:19.160 caught.

00:20:20.980 Or,

00:20:22.540 you might

00:20:23.060 think that

00:20:23.900 they will

00:20:24.260 get caught

00:20:24.820 and it

00:20:25.220 just hasn't

00:20:25.860 happened yet.

00:20:28.080 Do you

00:20:28.800 think that

00:20:29.520 Democrats

00:20:30.060 who,

00:20:30.720 let's say

00:20:31.220 Blagovich is

00:20:32.040 right,

00:20:32.800 let's say

00:20:33.220 they've been

00:20:33.660 cheating in

00:20:34.340 every major

00:20:35.000 city,

00:20:36.680 every election,

00:20:38.380 for decades,

00:20:39.960 would they

00:20:40.420 be worried

00:20:40.980 about getting

00:20:41.460 caught?

00:20:43.720 I wouldn't

00:20:44.340 be worried

00:20:44.780 about getting

00:20:45.700 caught if

00:20:46.720 it's the

00:20:47.060 same crime

00:20:47.620 I've been

00:20:47.980 doing for

00:20:48.420 40 years.

00:20:49.940 I don't

00:20:50.460 worry about

00:20:50.840 that at

00:20:51.160 all.

00:20:52.040 I'd be

00:20:52.380 like,

00:20:52.700 well,

00:20:52.980 they didn't

00:20:53.240 catch me

00:20:53.600 last year,

00:20:54.280 they didn't

00:20:54.560 catch me

00:20:54.900 the year

00:20:55.220 before,

00:20:56.000 and they

00:20:56.360 didn't

00:20:56.600 catch me

00:20:57.000 the 39

00:20:57.700 times before

00:20:58.520 that,

00:20:59.540 I think

00:20:59.980 I'll take

00:21:00.300 another go

00:21:00.880 at it,

00:21:01.680 right?

00:21:03.120 So,

00:21:04.320 somebody's

00:21:05.060 reminding me

00:21:05.660 that Blagovich

00:21:06.280 was backfilling

00:21:07.820 Obama's

00:21:10.820 Senate seat

00:21:11.600 that he

00:21:12.040 left for

00:21:13.360 the

00:21:13.500 presidency,

00:21:14.860 just for

00:21:15.640 the full

00:21:15.860 picture there.

00:21:17.440 So,

00:21:19.260 I believe

00:21:22.000 that even

00:21:22.580 if you

00:21:23.060 were to

00:21:23.320 take 100

00:21:23.980 Democrats

00:21:24.440 and say,

00:21:25.220 okay,

00:21:25.520 all you

00:21:25.940 100

00:21:26.180 Democrats,

00:21:26.940 you have

00:21:27.280 the motive,

00:21:28.360 it's

00:21:28.680 physically

00:21:29.160 possible,

00:21:30.460 would you

00:21:30.860 do it?

00:21:32.500 Most of

00:21:33.240 those Democrats

00:21:33.960 would say,

00:21:34.480 I know I

00:21:35.900 have the

00:21:36.280 motive,

00:21:37.120 and I

00:21:37.440 know I

00:21:37.760 could do

00:21:38.300 it,

00:21:38.960 but I'm

00:21:39.720 not really

00:21:40.160 the law

00:21:40.660 breaker type,

00:21:41.600 I'd rather

00:21:42.740 not go to

00:21:43.300 jail,

00:21:44.040 you know,

00:21:44.400 my family

00:21:45.040 doesn't want

00:21:45.520 me in

00:21:45.780 jail,

00:21:46.060 so I

00:21:46.540 wouldn't

00:21:46.820 personally

00:21:47.280 do it.

00:21:48.640 So,

00:21:49.100 if you

00:21:49.220 take 100

00:21:49.700 Democrats,

00:21:50.320 I think

00:21:50.680 most of

00:21:51.260 them,

00:21:52.440 95%

00:21:53.660 or whatever,

00:21:54.720 could easily

00:21:55.780 come down

00:21:56.260 on the

00:21:56.600 side of,

00:21:57.080 I'm not

00:21:57.320 going to

00:21:57.500 break the

00:21:57.880 law,

00:21:59.080 you know,

00:21:59.260 that's not

00:21:59.600 what I

00:21:59.900 do,

00:22:00.560 but you

00:22:01.340 don't need

00:22:01.720 95%

00:22:02.600 of them,

00:22:03.880 you only

00:22:04.280 need 5%,

00:22:05.280 you only

00:22:06.540 need 5%

00:22:07.400 of the

00:22:08.660 people who

00:22:09.160 could do

00:22:09.760 the crime

00:22:10.320 to say,

00:22:11.780 I'll do

00:22:12.100 it,

00:22:12.680 right?

00:22:13.700 You don't

00:22:14.200 need the

00:22:14.520 other 95%,

00:22:15.740 you just

00:22:16.440 need 5%.

00:22:17.480 What are

00:22:17.980 the odds

00:22:18.360 that,

00:22:19.160 I'll just

00:22:20.400 pick a number

00:22:20.980 for a

00:22:21.320 conversation

00:22:21.700 here,

00:22:22.460 what are

00:22:22.700 the odds

00:22:23.040 that 5% 0.98

00:22:24.100 of 100

00:22:25.180 Democrats

00:22:26.460 would be

00:22:27.060 completely

00:22:27.540 willing to

00:22:28.660 do the

00:22:29.020 crime,

00:22:29.820 they'd have

00:22:30.300 the motive,

00:22:30.960 and they'd

00:22:31.480 have the

00:22:31.780 opportunity,

00:22:32.960 and they

00:22:33.380 would know

00:22:33.640 exactly how

00:22:34.340 to do it

00:22:34.760 because they've

00:22:35.420 been doing

00:22:35.740 it for decades

00:22:36.480 at a smaller

00:22:37.140 scale?

00:22:37.580 I would

00:22:39.520 say the

00:22:39.940 odds of

00:22:40.700 a crime

00:22:41.260 happening

00:22:41.740 under the

00:22:42.320 conditions

00:22:42.820 that I

00:22:43.280 just

00:22:43.540 described,

00:22:45.540 100%

00:22:46.380 strongest

00:22:46.900 motive

00:22:47.380 anybody

00:22:47.820 ever had

00:22:48.400 for a

00:22:48.700 crime,

00:22:49.380 to get

00:22:49.740 rid of

00:22:50.020 Hiller

00:22:50.280 in their

00:22:50.920 minds.

00:22:52.540 Opportunity?

00:22:53.140 Of course,

00:22:54.160 of course.

00:22:55.220 Who would

00:22:55.900 doubt that

00:22:56.340 there's

00:22:56.540 opportunity?

00:22:58.400 Thinking

00:22:58.920 they can

00:22:59.360 get away

00:22:59.800 with it?

00:23:01.180 Don't

00:23:01.700 you think

00:23:02.020 they've

00:23:02.240 been getting

00:23:02.580 away with

00:23:03.040 it for

00:23:03.300 decades?

00:23:03.740 Do you

00:23:04.800 think

00:23:05.000 Blagovitch 1.00

00:23:05.580 is wrong?

00:23:06.500 Because you

00:23:07.060 would have

00:23:07.480 to think

00:23:08.000 there's

00:23:08.820 something

00:23:09.120 about what

00:23:09.680 I just

00:23:10.020 said is

00:23:10.380 wrong

00:23:10.840 for you

00:23:12.540 to think

00:23:12.880 that there

00:23:13.260 wasn't

00:23:13.620 a lot

00:23:14.400 of fraud.

00:23:15.660 Now,

00:23:15.940 was there

00:23:16.300 enough?

00:23:17.140 If you

00:23:17.720 added it

00:23:18.140 all together,

00:23:18.700 would it

00:23:18.940 change the

00:23:19.440 result?

00:23:20.380 Well,

00:23:20.780 let's

00:23:21.100 dig down

00:23:22.300 a little

00:23:22.560 bit.

00:23:27.720 Let me

00:23:28.280 give you

00:23:28.560 some things

00:23:29.400 that people

00:23:29.980 are seeing.

00:23:31.060 I tweeted

00:23:31.780 a few

00:23:32.380 long threads

00:23:33.540 where the

00:23:34.680 data nerds

00:23:36.440 are digging

00:23:37.260 into this.

00:23:38.340 If you

00:23:38.780 dig into

00:23:39.180 the data,

00:23:39.920 it turns

00:23:40.300 out that

00:23:40.880 the data

00:23:41.380 is suggesting,

00:23:42.440 and this

00:23:42.680 is just

00:23:43.000 publicly

00:23:43.860 available

00:23:44.400 data,

00:23:45.560 or stuff

00:23:46.680 that you

00:23:46.920 can buy

00:23:47.340 from a

00:23:47.720 database,

00:23:48.280 I guess,

00:23:49.000 but it's

00:23:49.580 stuff that

00:23:50.060 just the

00:23:50.620 public has

00:23:51.160 access to,

00:23:52.600 and if

00:23:53.200 you look

00:23:53.520 at it,

00:23:54.880 are there

00:23:55.580 any

00:23:55.900 anomalies

00:23:56.660 that stick

00:23:57.360 out that

00:23:58.880 would suggest

00:23:59.660 that there

00:24:01.680 was something

00:24:02.160 massively wrong?

00:24:03.540 And the

00:24:03.920 answer is

00:24:04.500 yeah.

00:24:06.200 Yeah.

00:24:06.700 So you

00:24:07.240 can look

00:24:07.480 at the

00:24:07.700 threads,

00:24:08.280 and you'll

00:24:08.540 see a

00:24:09.000 bunch of

00:24:09.340 examples

00:24:09.780 where,

00:24:10.920 in some

00:24:11.220 cases,

00:24:12.060 200%

00:24:13.580 of the

00:24:13.960 registered

00:24:14.400 voters

00:24:14.960 voted.

00:24:16.580 You'll

00:24:16.860 see cases

00:24:17.700 where,

00:24:18.160 one of the

00:24:18.760 strongest cases

00:24:19.880 goes like

00:24:20.400 this.

00:24:21.440 We know

00:24:22.060 that Trump

00:24:22.580 was ahead

00:24:23.180 in some

00:24:23.740 states,

00:24:24.620 and then

00:24:25.040 late at

00:24:25.500 night,

00:24:26.000 things

00:24:26.480 reversed.

00:24:27.100 reversed.

00:24:28.380 Now,

00:24:29.060 the details

00:24:30.380 of why

00:24:30.960 it reversed,

00:24:32.500 that's a

00:24:33.000 separate story,

00:24:34.480 but we

00:24:35.260 can look

00:24:35.600 at just

00:24:36.040 the data

00:24:36.620 and say,

00:24:37.680 does that

00:24:38.020 data look

00:24:38.600 like it

00:24:38.980 could have

00:24:39.340 happened

00:24:39.680 naturally?

00:24:41.220 And here's

00:24:42.300 the story

00:24:42.780 that we're

00:24:43.660 being told.

00:24:45.120 The official

00:24:46.140 story is

00:24:47.060 that the

00:24:47.480 early count

00:24:48.180 was a

00:24:48.660 certain kind

00:24:49.440 of voter,

00:24:50.540 and that

00:24:51.320 when you

00:24:51.820 counted all

00:24:52.420 those certain

00:24:53.000 kinds of

00:24:53.540 voters,

00:24:54.020 whether they

00:24:54.480 be people

00:24:55.540 who voted

00:24:55.980 in person,

00:24:57.560 people who

00:24:58.060 vote early,

00:24:59.060 people who

00:24:59.400 vote late,

00:24:59.840 that there's

00:25:00.180 a correlation

00:25:00.880 between those

00:25:02.680 kinds of

00:25:03.780 voting and

00:25:04.720 whether you're

00:25:05.280 a Democrat

00:25:05.700 or Republican.

00:25:07.240 And so,

00:25:08.380 there might

00:25:08.760 be a natural

00:25:09.560 and anticipated

00:25:10.860 reason why

00:25:12.240 the vote

00:25:12.620 could be

00:25:13.200 biased in

00:25:13.800 one direction

00:25:14.440 early when

00:25:15.200 you're counting

00:25:15.760 a certain

00:25:16.240 kind of vote,

00:25:17.360 but then

00:25:17.920 maybe you

00:25:18.420 get votes

00:25:19.300 from a

00:25:19.700 different part

00:25:20.340 of the

00:25:20.800 state,

00:25:21.780 or it's

00:25:22.200 people who

00:25:22.720 voted in

00:25:23.180 a different

00:25:23.580 way,

00:25:24.480 and they

00:25:24.840 skew maybe

00:25:25.560 the other

00:25:25.940 party.

00:25:27.160 So that's

00:25:27.620 the official

00:25:28.100 explanation.

00:25:29.260 It's just

00:25:29.720 that you

00:25:30.040 were counting

00:25:30.500 different

00:25:31.160 baskets of

00:25:32.460 votes,

00:25:33.140 and they

00:25:33.880 skewed in

00:25:34.580 different ways,

00:25:35.260 and that's

00:25:35.600 just the

00:25:35.940 way it

00:25:36.160 worked out.

00:25:37.420 Maybe.

00:25:38.600 But the

00:25:39.720 data geeks

00:25:40.380 said,

00:25:41.080 well, if

00:25:41.420 that were

00:25:41.820 true,

00:25:42.860 let's look

00:25:43.440 at something

00:25:43.960 else that

00:25:45.220 would probably

00:25:45.980 be true at

00:25:46.760 the same

00:25:47.240 time if

00:25:48.340 that official

00:25:49.020 explanation

00:25:49.700 is true.

00:25:51.360 And so

00:25:51.720 they looked

00:25:52.140 at the

00:25:52.440 returns from

00:25:53.300 the same

00:25:53.840 wards.

00:25:55.120 So the

00:25:55.700 same

00:25:56.160 geographical

00:25:56.760 place,

00:25:57.900 and the

00:25:58.240 people who

00:25:58.660 voted in

00:25:59.260 the same

00:25:59.700 way,

00:26:00.680 the same

00:26:01.440 way physically,

00:26:02.480 like a

00:26:03.320 ballot versus

00:26:04.120 in person.

00:26:05.200 And if you

00:26:05.620 look at

00:26:06.080 people who

00:26:07.300 voted with

00:26:07.800 the same

00:26:08.120 mechanism,

00:26:08.680 and from

00:26:10.260 the same

00:26:10.660 place,

00:26:11.580 you find out

00:26:12.540 that before

00:26:13.500 midnight,

00:26:14.700 they were

00:26:15.240 pro-Trump,

00:26:16.300 but after

00:26:16.880 midnight,

00:26:17.860 the same

00:26:18.360 place,

00:26:19.200 with the

00:26:19.480 same voting

00:26:20.040 technique,

00:26:20.600 became

00:26:21.440 strongly

00:26:21.940 pro-Biden.

00:26:23.360 Huh.

00:26:24.660 Huh.

00:26:25.700 Do you

00:26:26.100 think that

00:26:26.420 happened by

00:26:26.880 accident?

00:26:28.440 Is it a

00:26:29.080 coincidence that

00:26:30.520 the same

00:26:31.040 location,

00:26:31.940 the same

00:26:32.260 basket of

00:26:32.960 people,

00:26:34.000 voting the

00:26:34.680 same way,

00:26:35.980 suddenly turned

00:26:36.960 after midnight?

00:26:41.440 Anything's

00:26:42.080 possible.

00:26:43.580 But

00:26:44.180 statistically,

00:26:44.880 you can sort

00:26:45.920 of dig in

00:26:46.500 and say,

00:26:46.880 all right,

00:26:47.120 it's possible,

00:26:48.120 but the

00:26:48.420 odds of

00:26:49.080 it happening

00:26:50.520 in ward

00:26:51.440 after ward

00:26:52.140 after ward

00:26:52.940 is basically

00:26:55.660 zero.

00:26:57.040 Basically

00:26:57.580 zero.

00:26:58.480 Now,

00:26:58.800 that's just

00:26:59.180 one of a

00:27:00.140 whole bunch

00:27:00.560 of statistical

00:27:01.520 observations,

00:27:03.680 which if you

00:27:04.520 looked at any

00:27:05.100 one of them

00:27:05.580 individually,

00:27:06.540 you would

00:27:06.900 say,

00:27:07.300 ah,

00:27:08.200 impossible.

00:27:09.860 So there

00:27:10.340 are things

00:27:10.780 such as

00:27:11.520 the nature

00:27:12.340 of the

00:27:12.860 totals

00:27:13.280 themselves,

00:27:14.220 there's a

00:27:14.800 natural

00:27:15.140 distribution

00:27:15.920 of digits

00:27:17.060 if things

00:27:17.940 are natural,

00:27:18.880 and the

00:27:19.320 Biden votes

00:27:20.020 don't conform

00:27:21.020 to the

00:27:21.460 natural arc,

00:27:23.060 whereas every

00:27:23.940 other vote,

00:27:25.180 whether it

00:27:25.620 was for

00:27:25.980 Trump or

00:27:27.180 for

00:27:27.560 independents

00:27:28.600 or down

00:27:29.080 ballots or

00:27:30.220 anybody else,

00:27:31.420 every other

00:27:32.060 vote followed

00:27:33.720 this curve

00:27:34.480 that you

00:27:34.900 expect if

00:27:35.660 it's natural

00:27:36.640 voting,

00:27:37.560 and the

00:27:38.220 Biden votes

00:27:38.840 violated the

00:27:39.800 curve

00:27:40.120 violently.

00:27:42.800 So that

00:27:44.120 would also

00:27:44.680 be statistically

00:27:45.660 extraordinarily

00:27:47.320 strong evidence

00:27:48.580 of major

00:27:49.740 fraud.

00:27:51.860 Could we

00:27:52.600 be wrong

00:27:53.100 about any

00:27:53.620 of this?

00:27:54.080 Of course.

00:27:55.140 Of course

00:27:55.780 we can.

00:27:56.960 Somebody's

00:27:57.480 asking me

00:27:57.880 for the

00:27:58.160 sources.

00:27:58.880 See my

00:27:59.540 recent

00:28:00.300 post today,

00:28:02.700 and I

00:28:03.120 think that

00:28:03.500 lists most

00:28:04.040 of the

00:28:04.260 sources.

00:28:05.340 Yeah,

00:28:05.600 so Benford's

00:28:07.680 Law is

00:28:08.360 what we're

00:28:08.660 talking about,

00:28:09.420 which has

00:28:09.860 to do with

00:28:10.280 the natural

00:28:10.980 distribution

00:28:12.240 of digits

00:28:12.960 if numbers

00:28:14.260 had occurred

00:28:14.840 randomly

00:28:15.360 or naturally

00:28:16.960 versus being

00:28:19.140 rigged.

00:28:20.860 So those

00:28:21.380 are a few

00:28:22.080 of the

00:28:22.340 things that

00:28:23.000 we have.

00:28:24.540 I think

00:28:25.380 you should

00:28:25.740 expect

00:28:26.260 more.

00:28:29.160 So here's

00:28:30.120 the big

00:28:31.980 point.

00:28:34.040 I think

00:28:34.780 the odds

00:28:35.460 that Democrats

00:28:36.340 would try

00:28:37.100 to rig

00:28:37.540 things are

00:28:38.160 basically 100%.

00:28:39.500 odds that

00:28:40.320 they could

00:28:40.940 and they

00:28:41.760 have the

00:28:42.040 ability,

00:28:42.720 one way

00:28:43.180 or the

00:28:43.440 other,

00:28:43.760 the ability,

00:28:44.780 100%.

00:28:45.580 The odds

00:28:47.200 of them

00:28:47.500 thinking they

00:28:48.120 could get

00:28:48.500 away with

00:28:48.980 it,

00:28:50.300 well you

00:28:50.640 don't need

00:28:51.120 everybody

00:28:51.700 to think

00:28:52.280 that.

00:28:53.180 Remember,

00:28:53.760 you only

00:28:54.020 needed a

00:28:54.600 few people

00:28:55.240 to do

00:28:56.680 the deed

00:28:58.020 who thought

00:28:59.040 it was

00:28:59.300 worth it.

00:29:00.120 And of

00:29:00.420 course,

00:29:00.940 there's a

00:29:01.240 100%

00:29:01.780 chance you

00:29:03.020 could find

00:29:03.420 a few

00:29:03.800 people who

00:29:05.160 have the

00:29:05.560 ability and

00:29:06.240 the motive

00:29:06.620 and want

00:29:07.020 to do it.

00:29:08.000 So there's

00:29:08.620 100%

00:29:09.200 chance they

00:29:09.780 have the

00:29:10.040 motive,

00:29:10.460 100%

00:29:10.960 chance they

00:29:11.460 have the

00:29:11.760 opportunity,

00:29:12.940 and 100%

00:29:13.760 chance people

00:29:15.260 would actually

00:29:16.680 take the

00:29:17.140 chance.

00:29:18.920 Now here's

00:29:19.760 the next

00:29:20.200 interesting

00:29:20.860 part.

00:29:21.940 If that

00:29:22.540 happened,

00:29:23.280 it would

00:29:23.640 have happened

00:29:24.120 at a

00:29:24.620 large enough

00:29:25.160 scale that

00:29:26.960 the data

00:29:27.500 geeks will 0.75

00:29:28.480 find it

00:29:29.040 for sure.

00:29:31.900 For sure.

00:29:34.680 And I'm

00:29:37.120 going to

00:29:37.320 tell you

00:29:37.800 that if

00:29:39.620 the people

00:29:40.380 who are

00:29:40.720 looking into

00:29:41.280 this don't

00:29:42.560 find it,

00:29:43.780 I'm going

00:29:44.400 to be

00:29:44.660 really amazed.

00:29:46.360 Like it

00:29:46.920 would be the

00:29:47.420 most unexpected

00:29:48.500 thing that

00:29:49.060 happened to

00:29:49.540 me all year

00:29:50.340 is if the

00:29:51.520 people who

00:29:51.960 are looking

00:29:52.300 into this,

00:29:53.740 and these

00:29:54.180 are the

00:29:54.460 right people,

00:29:55.760 trust me

00:29:56.280 when I

00:29:56.580 tell you

00:29:57.040 that the

00:29:58.520 A-team

00:29:59.100 is looking

00:29:59.660 into this

00:30:00.180 data,

00:30:00.840 and not

00:30:01.320 just a few

00:30:01.920 of them,

00:30:02.740 a lot

00:30:03.300 of them.

00:30:03.600 And the

00:30:04.800 A-team,

00:30:05.580 meaning the

00:30:06.260 smartest people

00:30:06.960 in the

00:30:07.740 country,

00:30:08.160 basically,

00:30:09.100 for this

00:30:09.900 kind of

00:30:10.240 stuff,

00:30:10.680 for data

00:30:11.040 stuff,

00:30:12.220 they're

00:30:12.680 picking it

00:30:13.120 apart,

00:30:14.120 and they're

00:30:14.900 not finding

00:30:15.680 nothing.

00:30:17.100 They're not

00:30:17.960 finding nothing.

00:30:19.300 They're finding

00:30:19.960 something.

00:30:21.420 And here are a

00:30:24.500 few other

00:30:24.820 things that are

00:30:25.420 wild cards.

00:30:26.020 there's an

00:30:27.920 article in

00:30:29.080 American

00:30:29.660 Thinker by

00:30:32.220 Jay Valentine.

00:30:33.700 Now, you

00:30:34.620 need to fact

00:30:35.220 check anything

00:30:35.800 I say on

00:30:36.340 these topics,

00:30:37.020 but let me

00:30:37.440 give you some

00:30:38.080 of the things

00:30:38.580 that are

00:30:38.860 brewing.

00:30:42.340 So I

00:30:42.860 guess Judge

00:30:43.420 Alito from

00:30:45.540 the Supreme

00:30:45.980 Court ruled

00:30:46.920 that the

00:30:48.280 votes that

00:30:48.840 came in,

00:30:49.480 and fact

00:30:49.980 check me on

00:30:50.500 this, I

00:30:50.900 think it's

00:30:51.220 the votes

00:30:51.640 that came

00:30:52.000 in after

00:30:52.460 midnight have

00:30:53.940 to be

00:30:54.320 separated for

00:30:55.280 counting.

00:30:56.020 Now, separated

00:30:57.260 means that

00:30:58.460 they're leaving

00:30:59.280 open the

00:30:59.880 possibility that

00:31:01.320 they will be

00:31:01.880 disallowed because

00:31:03.060 they came after

00:31:03.900 the deadline.

00:31:05.240 My understanding

00:31:06.040 is that

00:31:06.760 Pennsylvania law

00:31:07.900 is so clear

00:31:09.420 that if the

00:31:11.760 Supreme Court

00:31:12.340 had to rule

00:31:12.980 on it,

00:31:14.220 they would

00:31:14.740 likely rule

00:31:15.720 that the law

00:31:16.900 had been

00:31:17.400 violated if

00:31:18.760 any of those

00:31:19.280 votes are

00:31:19.680 counted because

00:31:20.800 the law is

00:31:21.420 so clear.

00:31:22.560 Don't count

00:31:23.220 any votes.

00:31:24.500 Somebody's

00:31:24.920 saying after

00:31:25.360 8 p.m.

00:31:26.020 So do

00:31:28.040 my fact

00:31:28.560 check about

00:31:29.160 what time

00:31:29.820 it is that

00:31:30.760 is the

00:31:31.220 before and

00:31:31.700 after.

00:31:32.540 So I've

00:31:32.820 heard midnight

00:31:33.340 but I've

00:31:33.760 also heard

00:31:34.220 8 p.m.

00:31:34.740 I don't

00:31:34.960 know which

00:31:35.200 one is

00:31:35.460 right.

00:31:36.380 Then I've

00:31:36.760 also heard

00:31:37.320 that those

00:31:38.520 separated

00:31:39.760 votes were

00:31:40.460 not counted.

00:31:42.180 So fact

00:31:42.640 check me on

00:31:43.140 that because

00:31:43.840 the article

00:31:44.860 assumes they

00:31:45.600 were counted.

00:31:46.900 Somebody on

00:31:47.540 Twitter, just

00:31:48.100 random person

00:31:48.800 says, no,

00:31:49.380 no, no,

00:31:49.620 that's wrong.

00:31:50.720 Those were

00:31:51.160 not counted,

00:31:51.920 but I don't

00:31:52.260 believe that.

00:31:52.860 it seems

00:31:54.540 far more

00:31:55.080 likely that

00:31:56.540 everything was

00:31:57.260 counted unless

00:31:58.540 they have

00:31:58.920 already, if

00:32:00.680 Pennsylvania has

00:32:01.540 not already

00:32:02.300 disallowed them,

00:32:04.020 they're counted,

00:32:05.320 right?

00:32:06.500 Because you

00:32:07.980 have to count

00:32:08.720 everything that's

00:32:10.280 not disallowed.

00:32:11.320 I don't see

00:32:12.940 there's any

00:32:13.320 wiggle room

00:32:13.860 with that.

00:32:14.980 It's either

00:32:15.380 disallowed or

00:32:17.180 counted.

00:32:18.020 There's not

00:32:18.540 like a middle

00:32:19.080 ground there.

00:32:20.360 So they're

00:32:20.800 not disallowed

00:32:21.860 as far as I

00:32:23.240 know.

00:32:23.820 That was the

00:32:24.220 whole point

00:32:24.940 of the ruling

00:32:25.480 is to create

00:32:26.800 a situation

00:32:27.400 where you

00:32:27.840 could later

00:32:28.540 disallow them

00:32:29.220 if you decide

00:32:29.860 to.

00:32:30.780 Apparently

00:32:31.220 there are

00:32:31.600 enough of

00:32:32.140 them that

00:32:33.300 if they were

00:32:33.800 disallowed,

00:32:34.560 Pennsylvania

00:32:34.900 would go to

00:32:35.620 Trump.

00:32:37.240 And then

00:32:37.700 you become

00:32:39.900 so close to

00:32:40.780 that 270

00:32:41.480 number that

00:32:43.040 you need one

00:32:43.740 other thing to

00:32:44.420 go your way

00:32:45.120 if you're

00:32:45.680 Trump.

00:32:47.000 Do you

00:32:47.500 think one

00:32:47.980 other state

00:32:48.740 could go

00:32:49.940 Trump's way?

00:32:51.260 Let's say

00:32:51.640 hypothetically

00:32:53.260 Pennsylvania goes

00:32:54.480 the way the

00:32:55.040 law requires.

00:32:56.860 That's all it

00:32:57.600 would take.

00:32:58.660 All it would

00:32:59.460 take is for

00:33:01.020 Pennsylvania to

00:33:01.920 be settled the

00:33:03.320 way Pennsylvania's

00:33:04.420 own law very

00:33:06.220 clearly says it

00:33:07.200 should be

00:33:07.580 settled, which

00:33:08.380 is not counting

00:33:09.160 anything that

00:33:09.680 came in late.

00:33:11.340 Then Trump

00:33:11.840 has Pennsylvania.

00:33:13.360 Are you

00:33:14.020 worried yet

00:33:14.660 if you're

00:33:15.040 a Democrat?

00:33:16.160 If Trump

00:33:16.740 gets Pennsylvania,

00:33:19.000 would you

00:33:19.600 still feel

00:33:20.180 confident that

00:33:21.000 no other

00:33:21.500 state could

00:33:22.080 have a

00:33:22.520 change in

00:33:23.540 result?

00:33:24.660 Well, here's

00:33:25.520 another one

00:33:25.980 that Jay

00:33:26.680 Valentine

00:33:27.180 mentions in

00:33:28.060 American

00:33:28.400 Thinker.

00:33:29.400 And look

00:33:29.860 on my

00:33:30.220 Twitter feed

00:33:30.700 if you want

00:33:31.080 to see any

00:33:31.420 of these

00:33:31.640 articles.

00:33:33.780 Now, again,

00:33:35.260 I'm not the

00:33:36.020 one who can

00:33:36.460 fact-check

00:33:36.960 this.

00:33:37.800 I'll just

00:33:38.200 put it out

00:33:38.880 there that

00:33:39.340 it has

00:33:39.580 been

00:33:39.780 asserted

00:33:40.460 that the

00:33:40.940 following is

00:33:41.540 true.

00:33:43.040 Nevada

00:33:43.500 has a

00:33:44.940 whole bunch

00:33:45.380 of

00:33:45.720 California

00:33:46.600 residents

00:33:47.080 who also

00:33:48.320 have a

00:33:48.740 place in

00:33:49.160 Nevada.

00:33:50.500 Many people

00:33:51.420 in California

00:33:52.060 may have

00:33:52.560 gone to

00:33:53.060 their second

00:33:53.540 house in

00:33:54.080 Nevada

00:33:54.420 because

00:33:55.560 California

00:33:56.260 was closed

00:33:56.920 down for

00:33:57.400 COVID and

00:33:58.720 maybe Nevada

00:33:59.440 had a little

00:33:59.980 more freedom

00:34:00.600 or maybe

00:34:01.760 they were

00:34:02.100 just there

00:34:02.880 anyway and

00:34:04.360 they received

00:34:04.940 a ballot.

00:34:05.380 is it

00:34:06.780 possible

00:34:07.200 that some

00:34:08.760 tens of

00:34:09.500 thousands

00:34:09.860 of

00:34:10.480 Californians

00:34:12.000 received

00:34:12.700 ballots in

00:34:13.400 both

00:34:13.640 California

00:34:14.220 and

00:34:14.960 Nevada?

00:34:16.760 And could

00:34:18.080 it be

00:34:18.320 possible that

00:34:19.140 there were

00:34:19.540 tens of

00:34:19.980 thousands of

00:34:20.560 Democrats

00:34:20.900 who received

00:34:22.040 these ballots

00:34:22.600 in Nevada

00:34:23.200 and said,

00:34:25.120 you know,

00:34:26.740 California is

00:34:27.600 already taken

00:34:28.320 care of.

00:34:28.960 I've got

00:34:30.940 a ballot

00:34:31.340 for

00:34:31.600 California

00:34:32.140 but that

00:34:32.640 one doesn't

00:34:33.100 really make

00:34:33.520 any difference

00:34:34.120 because we

00:34:34.880 know how

00:34:35.260 California is

00:34:35.960 going to

00:34:36.180 go.

00:34:36.780 That's going

00:34:37.160 to go

00:34:37.380 for Biden

00:34:37.900 but I'm

00:34:38.940 not so

00:34:39.320 sure about

00:34:39.860 Nevada.

00:34:41.660 Nevada

00:34:42.140 could be

00:34:42.620 close.

00:34:43.820 So I've

00:34:44.380 got a

00:34:44.680 choice.

00:34:45.160 I've got

00:34:45.440 two ballots

00:34:46.400 here because

00:34:47.760 I've got

00:34:48.120 these two

00:34:48.560 homes.

00:34:50.700 Which one

00:34:51.380 am I going

00:34:51.780 to fill

00:34:52.080 out?

00:34:53.340 I might

00:34:54.040 fill out

00:34:54.480 the Nevada

00:34:55.020 ballot even

00:34:56.180 though I'm

00:34:56.680 a resident

00:34:57.260 of California

00:34:58.300 which would

00:34:59.240 be disallowed.

00:35:01.160 Now,

00:35:01.860 whether or

00:35:02.540 not that's

00:35:02.940 called illegal

00:35:03.700 or not,

00:35:04.300 I don't think

00:35:04.720 anybody would

00:35:05.180 go to jail

00:35:05.700 for it if

00:35:06.160 you have

00:35:06.360 two homes

00:35:06.980 and you

00:35:07.820 fill down

00:35:08.220 a ballot

00:35:08.540 for your

00:35:08.900 other home.

00:35:09.740 I doubt

00:35:10.260 that's a

00:35:10.720 jailable

00:35:11.160 offense and

00:35:12.320 I don't

00:35:12.580 think anybody

00:35:13.060 would be

00:35:13.440 thinking of

00:35:14.080 it as

00:35:14.500 too big

00:35:15.080 of a

00:35:15.380 risk.

00:35:16.280 After

00:35:16.560 all,

00:35:17.240 the state

00:35:17.620 sent them

00:35:18.100 the ballot.

00:35:19.480 If you're

00:35:19.900 in Nevada

00:35:20.380 and Nevada

00:35:20.880 sends you

00:35:21.380 a ballot

00:35:21.760 and your

00:35:22.060 name is

00:35:22.440 on it,

00:35:23.880 does that

00:35:24.440 seem like

00:35:24.800 a big

00:35:25.060 risk?

00:35:26.340 Even if

00:35:26.980 you knew

00:35:27.280 you shouldn't

00:35:27.780 fill it

00:35:28.120 out,

00:35:28.700 it doesn't

00:35:29.460 feel like

00:35:29.940 you'd go

00:35:30.280 to jail

00:35:30.640 for that.

00:35:31.860 At least,

00:35:32.300 it wouldn't

00:35:32.560 feel like

00:35:32.940 it to me.

00:35:34.220 And some

00:35:34.600 people might

00:35:35.100 say,

00:35:35.440 I don't

00:35:35.640 even know

00:35:36.020 what's

00:35:36.900 legal.

00:35:37.640 If they

00:35:38.120 send me

00:35:38.420 a ballot,

00:35:38.820 I'll just

00:35:39.100 fill it

00:35:39.380 out.

00:35:39.660 I'm not

00:35:39.880 going to

00:35:40.060 think about

00:35:40.440 it too

00:35:40.680 much.

00:35:41.920 So,

00:35:42.440 there is

00:35:42.940 one theory

00:35:43.480 that says

00:35:44.040 that once

00:35:44.640 they do

00:35:44.960 a recount

00:35:45.500 and they

00:35:46.100 subtract out

00:35:46.840 the people

00:35:47.540 who are

00:35:48.400 not actually

00:35:49.160 allowed to

00:35:49.980 vote in

00:35:50.320 Nevada,

00:35:50.700 Trump wins

00:35:52.720 Nevada.

00:35:54.680 If Trump

00:35:55.440 gets Pennsylvania

00:35:56.260 and Nevada,

00:35:57.040 he's the

00:35:57.940 president for

00:35:58.920 a second

00:35:59.300 term.

00:36:01.040 How unlikely

00:36:02.180 does it

00:36:02.700 seem to

00:36:03.060 you that

00:36:04.200 those two

00:36:04.740 things could

00:36:05.300 happen?

00:36:06.220 Does it

00:36:06.640 seem unlikely

00:36:07.380 to you that

00:36:08.180 the Supreme

00:36:09.120 Court would

00:36:09.780 rule to

00:36:10.320 disqualify

00:36:11.200 ballots that

00:36:12.420 came in

00:36:12.820 after the

00:36:13.400 deadline?

00:36:15.540 And

00:36:16.120 Pennsylvania

00:36:16.560 seems like

00:36:17.860 there's a

00:36:18.320 pretty good

00:36:18.980 chance that's

00:36:19.600 going to

00:36:19.840 happen.

00:36:21.100 I don't

00:36:21.460 know,

00:36:21.620 it's not

00:36:21.880 100%,

00:36:22.580 but there's

00:36:23.500 a pretty

00:36:23.860 good chance.

00:36:25.220 How about

00:36:25.680 the Nevada

00:36:26.860 thing?

00:36:27.380 I wouldn't

00:36:27.740 put as

00:36:28.480 high of

00:36:28.920 odds on

00:36:29.580 that,

00:36:30.120 because we

00:36:30.480 don't know

00:36:30.800 how many

00:36:31.200 people there

00:36:31.680 are.

00:36:32.280 So maybe

00:36:32.700 they find

00:36:33.220 them all

00:36:33.620 and there's

00:36:34.000 not enough

00:36:34.580 to change

00:36:35.360 the result.

00:36:35.820 That's

00:36:36.000 possible.

00:36:36.980 But what

00:36:37.280 about

00:36:37.840 Wisconsin?

00:36:40.720 What about

00:36:41.480 Wisconsin?

00:36:42.900 It turns

00:36:43.580 out that

00:36:43.960 those people

00:36:44.440 studying the

00:36:45.080 data are

00:36:46.180 finding quite

00:36:46.980 a few

00:36:47.240 problems in

00:36:48.220 Wisconsin.

00:36:48.980 It would

00:36:50.080 seem that

00:36:50.600 Wisconsin

00:36:51.180 either has

00:36:53.080 the biggest

00:36:53.700 set of

00:36:54.240 coincidences

00:36:55.100 ever seen

00:36:55.880 in an

00:36:56.260 election and

00:36:57.700 anomalous

00:36:58.560 outcomes,

00:37:00.260 or,

00:37:01.780 given that

00:37:02.760 every one

00:37:03.340 of those

00:37:03.700 anomalous

00:37:04.180 outcomes

00:37:04.700 went for

00:37:05.440 Biden,

00:37:06.980 or,

00:37:08.560 it's

00:37:08.900 obvious

00:37:09.540 massive

00:37:10.380 fraud,

00:37:11.580 which would

00:37:12.240 also reverse

00:37:13.020 the count

00:37:13.560 and give

00:37:14.260 Trump the

00:37:14.960 win.

00:37:16.420 Or,

00:37:17.100 what about

00:37:18.400 Michigan?

00:37:19.640 Similar

00:37:20.160 situation.

00:37:21.660 The data

00:37:22.080 geeks are 0.90

00:37:22.840 pouring over

00:37:23.700 Michigan and

00:37:24.580 saying,

00:37:25.560 ah, we

00:37:26.900 got questions.

00:37:28.880 And we

00:37:29.660 got big

00:37:30.180 questions.

00:37:31.380 Not little

00:37:31.980 questions,

00:37:33.220 really, really

00:37:33.980 big ones.

00:37:35.440 As in, big

00:37:36.500 enough that

00:37:37.280 they would

00:37:37.560 change the

00:37:38.140 outcome of

00:37:38.780 the election.

00:37:39.720 I'm not

00:37:40.260 talking about

00:37:41.120 a postal

00:37:42.860 employee who

00:37:43.920 threw away

00:37:44.520 some ballots.

00:37:45.140 ballots.

00:37:46.120 I'm not

00:37:46.600 talking about

00:37:47.600 grandma

00:37:48.840 fill down

00:37:49.700 a ballot

00:37:50.140 that she

00:37:50.660 shouldn't

00:37:51.080 have.

00:37:52.000 I'm not

00:37:52.520 talking about

00:37:53.380 a little

00:37:54.060 extra ballot

00:37:55.260 harvesting,

00:37:56.800 necessarily.

00:37:57.320 I'm talking

00:37:59.520 about

00:37:59.920 something big.

00:38:01.940 So, you

00:38:02.880 might see

00:38:03.300 something big

00:38:03.920 coming out

00:38:04.380 of Wisconsin

00:38:05.540 and or

00:38:06.180 Michigan and

00:38:07.600 or Nevada

00:38:08.700 and or

00:38:09.520 Pennsylvania.

00:38:10.480 So, oh,

00:38:16.720 thank you

00:38:17.160 from Israel.

00:38:18.580 I love

00:38:19.040 you, too.

00:38:20.340 Now, here's

00:38:21.680 what you would

00:38:22.120 need to

00:38:22.560 believe in

00:38:23.120 order to

00:38:23.540 believe that

00:38:24.200 Biden will

00:38:24.960 be sworn

00:38:26.860 in in

00:38:27.400 January.

00:38:28.100 Are you

00:38:28.280 ready?

00:38:28.880 All right, so

00:38:29.360 this will be

00:38:29.900 a summary list

00:38:30.900 of things you

00:38:31.500 would have to

00:38:32.080 believe to

00:38:33.460 believe that

00:38:34.860 Biden will

00:38:35.560 be sworn

00:38:36.800 in.

00:38:37.340 He's

00:38:37.620 obviously

00:38:38.060 been elected

00:38:39.640 so far.

00:38:42.820 And I do

00:38:43.800 believe, and I

00:38:44.560 agree with

00:38:45.140 Netanyahu and

00:38:46.920 the other

00:38:47.540 countries who

00:38:48.680 have congratulated

00:38:49.580 Biden, that

00:38:50.940 according to

00:38:51.580 our customs

00:38:52.500 and our

00:38:53.160 system, it

00:38:54.820 is appropriate

00:38:55.980 to congratulate

00:38:57.180 Biden and

00:38:58.960 Harris.

00:39:00.000 And, as

00:39:01.340 an American,

00:39:02.680 I do it

00:39:03.460 sincerely,

00:39:04.700 which is

00:39:05.880 separate from

00:39:06.420 the question

00:39:06.940 of is the

00:39:07.740 outcome likely

00:39:08.520 to be

00:39:08.960 reversed?

00:39:09.640 Because I

00:39:10.700 think the

00:39:11.140 odds are

00:39:11.740 favoring that

00:39:12.440 right now.

00:39:13.860 But, I

00:39:15.320 still am an

00:39:15.920 American.

00:39:17.300 I'm still a

00:39:17.840 patriot.

00:39:18.760 I still

00:39:19.360 respect the

00:39:20.220 system, and

00:39:21.420 I respect

00:39:22.000 the voters.

00:39:23.640 The system

00:39:24.600 has told us

00:39:25.260 that the

00:39:25.760 voters have

00:39:26.300 spoken, and

00:39:27.040 this is our

00:39:27.620 result.

00:39:28.560 I will

00:39:29.120 respect that

00:39:30.020 fully, but

00:39:32.500 I don't lose

00:39:33.420 my right to

00:39:35.520 have a legal

00:39:36.500 challenge.

00:39:36.980 let's say

00:39:37.540 the campaign

00:39:39.480 doesn't lose

00:39:40.080 its right.

00:39:41.040 So, you

00:39:41.360 can congratulate

00:39:42.200 Biden and

00:39:42.840 Harris.

00:39:43.160 You can be

00:39:43.560 completely

00:39:44.040 sincere.

00:39:45.140 It's the

00:39:45.460 most American

00:39:46.120 thing you

00:39:46.580 could do,

00:39:47.080 which is,

00:39:47.540 again, like

00:39:48.080 everybody says,

00:39:49.400 a peaceful

00:39:51.260 transfer of

00:39:52.040 power.

00:39:52.760 It's one of

00:39:53.340 the most

00:39:53.700 respected

00:39:54.340 things in

00:39:56.600 the world,

00:39:57.540 maybe.

00:39:58.320 What is

00:39:58.820 more respected

00:39:59.600 than the

00:40:01.080 American tradition

00:40:02.660 of peaceful

00:40:04.040 transfer of

00:40:05.060 power?

00:40:05.860 I don't

00:40:06.180 think there's

00:40:06.560 anything that's

00:40:07.220 as, maybe

00:40:08.100 nothing's as

00:40:08.900 important as

00:40:09.460 that.

00:40:10.240 It's sort

00:40:11.100 of the prime

00:40:12.420 thing that

00:40:12.860 holds everything

00:40:13.420 together.

00:40:14.540 So, I

00:40:15.080 respect that,

00:40:16.300 and if it

00:40:17.780 changes, it

00:40:18.340 changes, but

00:40:18.900 at the moment,

00:40:19.700 congratulations.

00:40:20.860 That is

00:40:21.300 sincere.

00:40:22.220 All right, so

00:40:22.660 here's what you'd

00:40:23.160 have to believe

00:40:23.680 to think that

00:40:24.580 we can go from

00:40:25.880 congratulations,

00:40:27.000 you won,

00:40:28.040 all the way to

00:40:28.940 January

00:40:29.660 sworn in.

00:40:32.660 You'd have to

00:40:33.220 believe that

00:40:33.800 despite being

00:40:34.640 brainwashed,

00:40:35.480 this is 0.81

00:40:35.900 Democrats, 0.99

00:40:36.900 being brainwashed 0.95

00:40:37.820 that Trump 0.99

00:40:38.300 is Hitler, 0.81

00:40:39.500 Democrats did 0.64

00:40:40.540 not attempt

00:40:41.240 to stop

00:40:42.280 Hitler. 0.57

00:40:43.780 Does that

00:40:44.120 seem likely?

00:40:45.880 Based on the

00:40:46.860 reactions you've

00:40:47.680 seen and the

00:40:48.440 dancing in the

00:40:49.120 street when they

00:40:49.720 think that

00:40:50.080 Biden won,

00:40:51.220 all the rhetoric,

00:40:52.220 everything you've

00:40:52.780 seen on social

00:40:53.600 media, do you

00:40:54.620 think that the

00:40:55.420 Democrats did 0.64

00:40:56.220 not believe

00:40:56.940 that Trump

00:40:58.500 was a threat

00:41:00.880 to our very

00:41:01.960 survival?

00:41:03.360 Of course

00:41:03.800 they did.

00:41:04.680 Is there

00:41:04.980 anybody who

00:41:05.480 believes that

00:41:06.100 Democrats were

00:41:08.440 just playing

00:41:09.100 politics and

00:41:09.940 oh yeah, we

00:41:10.960 said he was

00:41:11.640 Hitler and we

00:41:12.960 said he would

00:41:13.620 destroy the

00:41:14.180 world, but we

00:41:15.500 didn't mean it.

00:41:16.880 That's just sort

00:41:17.460 of a political

00:41:17.960 thing we say.

00:41:19.580 Do you believe

00:41:20.080 that?

00:41:21.000 Or do you

00:41:21.360 believe they

00:41:21.720 believed it?

00:41:23.620 Because I

00:41:24.060 believe they

00:41:24.460 believed it.

00:41:25.640 They acted

00:41:26.280 exactly like

00:41:27.280 they believed

00:41:27.760 it and they

00:41:28.680 did not act in

00:41:29.840 that sort of

00:41:30.460 weird hypocritical 0.85

00:41:31.480 way where 0.98

00:41:32.440 you say

00:41:32.780 things but

00:41:33.300 then you

00:41:33.560 act the

00:41:33.940 other way?

00:41:34.840 No.

00:41:35.500 They said

00:41:36.120 they believed

00:41:37.520 he was

00:41:37.880 Hitler-ish and 0.88

00:41:39.760 they acted

00:41:40.540 that way

00:41:41.160 completely

00:41:42.240 consistently for

00:41:43.280 four years.

00:41:44.500 Would you

00:41:45.060 agree?

00:41:45.860 They acted

00:41:46.680 consistently with

00:41:47.760 the belief that

00:41:48.460 he was Hitler. 0.85

00:41:48.860 so I don't

00:41:52.020 think you

00:41:52.360 could believe

00:41:52.840 that Democrats

00:41:53.600 thought there

00:41:54.020 was no risk

00:41:54.760 of a second

00:41:55.520 Trump term.

00:41:58.560 So do you

00:41:58.940 believe that

00:41:59.500 Democrats would 0.89

00:42:01.400 not act on

00:42:03.440 this belief?

00:42:05.200 Do you

00:42:05.760 believe that?

00:42:07.240 All these

00:42:07.900 people who

00:42:08.500 have rigged

00:42:09.760 elections in

00:42:10.500 the past,

00:42:11.080 they know how

00:42:11.580 to do it,

00:42:12.580 all they'd have

00:42:13.180 to do is just

00:42:13.840 do it again.

00:42:15.300 Just do it

00:42:15.820 again.

00:42:16.180 Maybe crank it

00:42:17.200 up a little bit

00:42:17.840 but just do it

00:42:18.480 again.

00:42:19.580 And they

00:42:19.960 could get rid

00:42:20.420 of Hitler 0.92

00:42:20.720 and they

00:42:21.180 wouldn't do

00:42:21.560 it?

00:42:22.440 That's a

00:42:22.940 hard thing

00:42:23.240 to believe.

00:42:26.320 And do you

00:42:27.500 believe there

00:42:27.840 was no

00:42:28.160 practical way

00:42:28.960 to do it?

00:42:30.100 There was no

00:42:30.580 physical way

00:42:31.380 to change

00:42:31.820 a vote?

00:42:32.880 You don't

00:42:33.260 believe that,

00:42:33.820 do you?

00:42:34.240 Because you've

00:42:34.740 seen it done

00:42:35.280 on small

00:42:35.980 scale,

00:42:37.060 so all you'd

00:42:37.620 have to do

00:42:38.040 is more

00:42:39.500 of it.

00:42:40.320 You've seen

00:42:40.960 computer software

00:42:42.160 be hacked.

00:42:43.960 Hacking

00:42:44.300 software is the

00:42:45.020 most common

00:42:45.520 thing in the

00:42:46.620 news,

00:42:47.260 it seems

00:42:47.700 like.

00:42:48.880 So you

00:42:49.660 know that's

00:42:50.080 possible.

00:42:51.000 So you

00:42:51.340 know there's

00:42:51.660 motive,

00:42:52.220 you know

00:42:52.480 there's people

00:42:53.960 who would do

00:42:54.520 it, you

00:42:55.020 know that it's

00:42:55.680 possible.

00:42:57.060 And let

00:42:59.040 me put it

00:42:59.780 this way.

00:43:02.200 If by the

00:43:03.040 end of

00:43:03.440 December,

00:43:04.960 if by the

00:43:05.900 end of

00:43:06.240 December,

00:43:07.380 we have

00:43:08.180 not learned

00:43:08.960 that there

00:43:09.720 was massive

00:43:10.780 targeted

00:43:12.620 fraud,

00:43:13.660 and I'm

00:43:13.920 going to use

00:43:14.240 the word

00:43:14.500 targeted because

00:43:15.260 this is really

00:43:15.840 important,

00:43:16.260 not

00:43:17.300 widespread,

00:43:18.140 that's what

00:43:18.580 the news

00:43:19.040 is trying

00:43:19.440 to fool

00:43:19.880 you with,

00:43:20.660 they're trying

00:43:21.040 to brainwash

00:43:21.800 you with the

00:43:22.320 word widespread

00:43:23.220 because widespread

00:43:24.600 says it happens

00:43:25.500 in your town

00:43:26.100 too,

00:43:26.900 and it

00:43:27.640 probably didn't.

00:43:29.060 I would be

00:43:29.640 willing to bet

00:43:30.360 that my little

00:43:31.380 suburban town

00:43:32.340 probably didn't

00:43:34.020 have any

00:43:34.560 voter for it.

00:43:36.060 You know,

00:43:36.460 I live in the

00:43:37.340 kind of town

00:43:38.020 where it's

00:43:39.020 entirely possible

00:43:40.040 there wasn't

00:43:41.180 a single

00:43:41.940 instance of a

00:43:43.580 vote that

00:43:44.100 was illegitimate.

00:43:46.000 You know,

00:43:46.280 I just live

00:43:46.740 in one of

00:43:47.100 those sort

00:43:47.920 of golden

00:43:48.440 towns that

00:43:49.260 doesn't have

00:43:50.080 much crime

00:43:50.640 or problems.

00:43:51.980 So,

00:43:52.580 I'm sure

00:43:53.820 it's not

00:43:54.220 widespread in

00:43:54.980 my town,

00:43:56.160 so that's

00:43:56.620 not my

00:43:57.060 claim.

00:43:57.500 My claim

00:43:57.860 is not

00:43:58.220 every town

00:43:58.880 did a little

00:43:59.320 bit of fraud.

00:44:00.520 My claim

00:44:01.100 is it would

00:44:01.680 only have to

00:44:02.180 be in a

00:44:02.520 few cities.

00:44:03.780 You know,

00:44:03.960 you get your

00:44:04.440 Philadelphias

00:44:05.200 and your

00:44:05.600 Detroit's right

00:44:06.400 and you're

00:44:06.700 in pretty

00:44:07.040 good shape.

00:44:08.120 So you'd

00:44:08.740 only have to

00:44:09.180 do it in

00:44:09.520 a few

00:44:09.840 places,

00:44:11.220 and it

00:44:11.540 can be done,

00:44:12.300 has been

00:44:12.700 done in the

00:44:13.120 past.

00:44:14.780 Motivation to

00:44:15.380 do it is

00:44:15.900 through the

00:44:16.220 roof.

00:44:16.980 So I'll

00:44:17.380 tell you

00:44:17.920 this,

00:44:18.320 if by the

00:44:18.860 end of

00:44:19.120 December we

00:44:19.700 have not

00:44:20.220 determined,

00:44:21.600 with really,

00:44:22.600 really solid

00:44:23.200 proof,

00:44:24.580 that there

00:44:25.000 was massive

00:44:25.740 fraud in

00:44:26.540 those key

00:44:27.540 states,

00:44:28.800 then everything

00:44:29.540 I know about

00:44:30.260 the world

00:44:30.820 is wrong.

00:44:35.360 Everything I

00:44:36.160 know about

00:44:36.500 the world

00:44:36.820 is wrong.

00:44:37.860 Because in

00:44:39.000 my filter

00:44:40.360 of the

00:44:41.340 reality I

00:44:42.260 live in,

00:44:43.120 that fraud

00:44:44.300 had to

00:44:44.780 happen.

00:44:46.100 Because it

00:44:46.660 had all

00:44:46.940 the

00:44:47.080 requirements.

00:44:48.140 And when

00:44:48.340 it has all

00:44:48.720 the requirements,

00:44:49.400 it happens

00:44:49.760 every time.

00:44:51.240 So if it

00:44:52.080 didn't happen

00:44:52.740 this time,

00:44:54.280 when not

00:44:54.860 only did it

00:44:55.440 have all

00:44:55.900 the requirements,

00:44:56.640 but they

00:44:56.920 were through

00:44:57.320 the roof,

00:44:58.720 it wasn't

00:44:59.260 just met

00:45:00.540 the minimum

00:45:02.000 requirement for

00:45:04.000 some fraud,

00:45:05.160 this was a

00:45:05.960 10 out of

00:45:06.460 10 on

00:45:07.040 everything that

00:45:07.800 would have

00:45:08.180 that be

00:45:08.560 true for

00:45:10.100 fraud to

00:45:10.640 occur.

00:45:11.600 It's

00:45:11.840 possible the

00:45:12.640 motive is

00:45:13.160 through the

00:45:13.600 roof and

00:45:15.220 they've

00:45:15.420 gotten away

00:45:15.840 with it in

00:45:16.300 the past and

00:45:17.780 there's somebody

00:45:18.340 willing to

00:45:18.820 do it.

00:45:20.160 10 out of

00:45:20.960 10 on

00:45:21.460 every one

00:45:21.940 of those.

00:45:23.140 So that's

00:45:23.800 what you

00:45:24.040 should expect.

00:45:24.900 Expect some

00:45:25.940 really interesting

00:45:27.740 news in the

00:45:29.000 next few weeks.

00:45:30.780 Now,

00:45:31.520 let's do a

00:45:32.820 little mental

00:45:33.460 process here.

00:45:35.960 And I

00:45:38.360 know that

00:45:38.820 sometimes I

00:45:39.580 like to give

00:45:40.100 you more

00:45:40.580 optimism than

00:45:41.620 maybe is

00:45:42.340 called for,

00:45:43.240 but you

00:45:43.500 don't mind

00:45:43.860 that,

00:45:44.160 do you?

00:45:44.980 Does anybody

00:45:45.580 mind?

00:45:46.540 Because it's

00:45:47.100 one thing if

00:45:47.680 you put too

00:45:48.140 much optimism

00:45:48.780 in a medical

00:45:49.620 question like

00:45:50.380 coronavirus,

00:45:51.620 maybe that's a

00:45:52.260 little dangerous,

00:45:52.900 especially if

00:45:53.480 you're the

00:45:53.720 president,

00:45:54.440 but you don't

00:45:55.140 mind a little

00:45:55.640 extra optimism

00:45:56.600 even if it's

00:45:58.720 not 100%

00:45:59.520 accurate,

00:46:00.040 right?

00:46:00.800 So I'm

00:46:01.260 going to give

00:46:01.580 it to you.

00:46:01.940 we might be

00:46:04.220 entering your

00:46:05.780 best case

00:46:06.520 scenario for

00:46:08.480 Trump.

00:46:09.060 For those of

00:46:09.860 you who are

00:46:10.280 Trump supporters,

00:46:12.340 there's a

00:46:12.780 non-zero chance,

00:46:14.300 I don't know

00:46:14.820 how I could put

00:46:15.480 odds on this

00:46:16.080 exactly,

00:46:16.840 but there's a

00:46:17.540 non-zero chance

00:46:18.460 and it's a

00:46:18.880 pretty healthy

00:46:19.580 chance that

00:46:21.060 you're entering

00:46:21.560 the best case

00:46:22.660 scenario and

00:46:23.460 it looks like

00:46:24.040 this.

00:46:24.960 The worst

00:46:25.800 case scenario

00:46:26.580 would be a

00:46:27.960 narrow,

00:46:28.640 illegitimate

00:46:29.440 looking,

00:46:30.700 looking,

00:46:31.280 victory for

00:46:33.760 Trump.

00:46:34.960 What would

00:46:35.500 be happening

00:46:36.000 in the

00:46:36.400 country right

00:46:37.020 now if

00:46:37.640 Trump had

00:46:38.100 won in a

00:46:38.780 narrow victory

00:46:39.520 that the

00:46:40.320 other side

00:46:40.900 thought looked

00:46:41.420 a little

00:46:41.860 iffy?

00:46:44.900 Riots,

00:46:45.940 right?

00:46:46.300 We would

00:46:46.720 have massive

00:46:47.440 social unrest

00:46:48.820 if it had

00:46:49.900 gone the

00:46:50.300 other way,

00:46:51.300 but it

00:46:52.100 didn't.

00:46:53.000 So now

00:46:53.480 we're here.

00:46:54.460 Now you

00:46:55.060 see all the

00:46:55.540 Democrats

00:46:55.960 celebrating in

00:46:56.820 the streets,

00:46:58.080 legitimately

00:46:58.500 happy that

00:46:59.700 they got what

00:47:00.200 they want,

00:47:00.740 although the

00:47:01.220 vote seems

00:47:01.860 weirdly high.

00:47:03.560 It does

00:47:03.880 seem weird

00:47:04.540 that Biden

00:47:05.060 would get

00:47:05.520 so many

00:47:06.040 more votes

00:47:06.680 than even

00:47:07.560 Obama,

00:47:08.340 but you

00:47:08.880 can rationalize

00:47:09.800 it.

00:47:10.000 You can say

00:47:10.240 maybe because

00:47:11.360 they hated

00:47:11.800 Trump that

00:47:12.420 much,

00:47:13.480 they were

00:47:13.800 really good

00:47:14.300 at getting

00:47:14.640 out the

00:47:14.960 vote,

00:47:16.100 better than

00:47:16.920 the Obama

00:47:17.600 era.

00:47:18.420 Okay,

00:47:19.100 maybe,

00:47:19.900 possible.

00:47:21.120 Suppose

00:47:21.560 anything's

00:47:22.060 possible even

00:47:22.760 though they

00:47:23.100 didn't go to

00:47:23.580 Biden's rallies

00:47:24.700 that they

00:47:25.120 voted.

00:47:26.180 You know,

00:47:26.620 it's a

00:47:27.220 strange world.

00:47:28.300 Could happen.

00:47:28.800 But here's

00:47:30.160 what's the

00:47:31.320 setup.

00:47:33.060 If the

00:47:34.000 Democrats are

00:47:34.880 celebrating and

00:47:35.780 saying we got

00:47:36.360 rid of the

00:47:36.860 evil Hitler, 0.92

00:47:38.300 we're the

00:47:38.780 good people,

00:47:39.720 we finally got

00:47:40.620 rid of bad

00:47:41.160 people.

00:47:42.040 Yay,

00:47:42.660 we Democrats,

00:47:43.660 we're the

00:47:44.100 good people.

00:47:45.320 Look at our

00:47:46.140 pure souls.

00:47:48.160 Look at how

00:47:48.780 good we are.

00:47:50.460 Those deplorals,

00:47:51.760 they are in the

00:47:52.580 dustbin of

00:47:53.300 history.

00:47:53.680 And then

00:47:57.660 suppose,

00:47:58.740 again,

00:47:59.220 just a

00:47:59.700 mental

00:48:00.320 experiment

00:48:01.200 here,

00:48:02.860 suppose in

00:48:03.540 a few

00:48:03.820 weeks,

00:48:04.720 Democrats

00:48:05.420 would be

00:48:06.300 presented

00:48:07.320 with

00:48:07.920 irrefutable

00:48:08.900 proof that

00:48:10.280 they stole

00:48:10.900 the election.

00:48:12.420 Just

00:48:12.720 hypothetically.

00:48:13.940 Suppose it

00:48:14.600 could be

00:48:14.920 proven in

00:48:16.180 such a

00:48:16.860 clear way

00:48:18.040 that even

00:48:19.360 the Democrats

00:48:20.100 would say,

00:48:21.060 no,

00:48:21.400 we didn't,

00:48:21.960 oh,

00:48:23.380 I guess we

00:48:24.000 did.

00:48:25.520 What would

00:48:26.220 happen?

00:48:28.020 Suppose they

00:48:29.900 went from

00:48:30.620 severe

00:48:31.580 celebration

00:48:32.300 to learning

00:48:33.860 that their

00:48:34.560 team,

00:48:35.560 the Democrats,

00:48:36.720 just hypothetically,

00:48:38.140 had absolutely,

00:48:39.340 with no question

00:48:40.200 about it,

00:48:41.220 stolen the

00:48:41.940 election.

00:48:44.300 Takes a

00:48:45.120 little bit of

00:48:45.500 the fight

00:48:45.900 out of it,

00:48:46.340 doesn't it?

00:48:47.360 You see where

00:48:48.180 I'm going with

00:48:48.720 this?

00:48:49.520 It could be

00:48:50.300 the most

00:48:50.860 peaceful way

00:48:52.160 that Trump

00:48:53.380 could do

00:48:54.420 a second

00:48:54.840 term.

00:48:56.280 The thing

00:48:57.120 that would

00:48:57.340 take the

00:48:57.760 energy out

00:48:58.600 of what

00:48:59.560 would be

00:48:59.920 an obvious

00:49:00.600 violent

00:49:01.600 protest if

00:49:02.840 Trump just

00:49:03.340 won outright,

00:49:05.200 they would

00:49:05.780 understand,

00:49:07.520 and this

00:49:08.000 all depends

00:49:08.620 on them

00:49:09.000 believing that

00:49:09.900 the election

00:49:10.360 was stolen

00:49:10.960 because the

00:49:12.000 evidence just

00:49:12.800 is irrefutable.

00:49:14.660 So that

00:49:15.140 irrefutable

00:49:15.700 part is

00:49:16.280 really,

00:49:16.840 really important

00:49:17.220 to the

00:49:17.520 story.

00:49:17.800 So I

00:49:20.540 think that

00:49:20.960 they would

00:49:21.260 have to

00:49:21.600 say,

00:49:22.080 at least

00:49:22.520 the moderate

00:49:23.880 wing,

00:49:24.740 of which

00:49:25.080 there are

00:49:25.360 many,

00:49:25.740 because Biden

00:49:26.180 got elected

00:49:26.740 allegedly,

00:49:28.800 I think the

00:49:29.700 moderates would

00:49:30.220 say,

00:49:30.720 oh,

00:49:31.660 I guess we

00:49:32.400 sort of do

00:49:32.940 have to

00:49:33.340 re-vote on

00:49:34.060 this one.

00:49:35.100 It's more

00:49:35.480 likely that

00:49:36.040 would go to

00:49:36.420 a re-vote.

00:49:37.500 And what

00:49:37.800 would happen

00:49:38.180 if they

00:49:38.500 re-voted

00:49:38.960 and they

00:49:40.080 got rid

00:49:40.440 of the

00:49:40.660 fraud?

00:49:41.140 Well,

00:49:41.380 if it was

00:49:41.800 the fraud

00:49:42.260 that caused 0.77

00:49:43.000 Biden to

00:49:44.360 win and

00:49:45.020 they got

00:49:45.380 rid of it,

00:49:45.900 it would

00:49:47.300 look like

00:49:47.800 a valid

00:49:48.480 election in

00:49:49.820 which Trump

00:49:50.440 won.

00:49:51.240 And it

00:49:51.720 would look

00:49:52.080 as though

00:49:52.600 the Democrats

00:49:54.020 were the

00:49:54.460 bad ones

00:49:55.000 all along

00:49:55.780 if they

00:49:56.380 had actually

00:49:57.060 stolen the

00:49:57.680 vote,

00:49:58.260 hypothetically,

00:49:59.920 allegedly.

00:50:02.400 Now,

00:50:03.480 what if

00:50:04.340 during the

00:50:05.500 time that

00:50:06.300 Biden is

00:50:07.480 the presumptive

00:50:08.540 president-elect,

00:50:10.520 what if

00:50:10.960 coronavirus

00:50:11.500 gets solved?

00:50:13.760 And what

00:50:14.700 I mean by

00:50:15.140 solved is

00:50:15.780 solved in

00:50:16.280 the media.

00:50:17.500 And you're

00:50:18.100 already seeing

00:50:18.600 little hints

00:50:19.160 of it.

00:50:19.620 People are

00:50:20.040 forwarding

00:50:20.700 tweets to

00:50:21.400 me about

00:50:22.240 the media

00:50:22.680 saying,

00:50:23.540 hey,

00:50:23.700 we just

00:50:24.080 found out

00:50:24.640 that you

00:50:25.480 can have

00:50:25.880 outdoor

00:50:26.260 concerts

00:50:26.840 safely if

00:50:27.580 you follow

00:50:28.520 these

00:50:28.820 procedures.

00:50:29.880 Do you

00:50:30.360 think you

00:50:30.660 would have

00:50:30.920 seen that

00:50:31.260 story a

00:50:32.220 week before

00:50:32.780 the election?

00:50:34.080 Do you

00:50:34.320 think the

00:50:34.640 mainstream

00:50:34.980 media would

00:50:36.160 have written

00:50:36.560 a story

00:50:37.000 saying,

00:50:37.400 yeah,

00:50:37.540 I think

00:50:37.820 we can

00:50:38.160 go back

00:50:38.580 to mass

00:50:39.200 outdoor

00:50:39.660 events

00:50:40.200 right away

00:50:41.400 because we've

00:50:43.460 done some

00:50:43.800 research and

00:50:44.360 if you just

00:50:44.760 wear your

00:50:45.160 mask and

00:50:45.760 do some

00:50:46.100 basic stuff,

00:50:46.760 you're fine.

00:50:48.040 Do you

00:50:48.300 think you

00:50:48.600 would have

00:50:48.800 seen that

00:50:49.120 a week

00:50:49.400 ago?

00:50:50.420 What if

00:50:50.880 in the

00:50:51.180 next several

00:50:51.780 weeks the

00:50:53.320 media is

00:50:54.060 so over,

00:50:56.760 let's say

00:50:57.520 they're a

00:50:57.840 little too

00:50:58.180 on the nose

00:50:58.860 and they

00:50:59.240 just tell

00:51:00.260 you the

00:51:00.580 coronavirus

00:51:00.980 isn't such

00:51:01.800 a big

00:51:02.060 problem after

00:51:02.760 all,

00:51:03.480 and then

00:51:04.080 Trump becomes

00:51:04.640 president again.

00:51:06.940 They could

00:51:07.980 solve his

00:51:08.560 biggest problem

00:51:09.340 just by

00:51:10.620 changing the

00:51:11.260 narrative that,

00:51:12.100 oh yeah,

00:51:12.700 a lot of

00:51:13.340 people are

00:51:13.640 dying and

00:51:14.600 that tragedy

00:51:15.220 is exactly

00:51:15.900 the same

00:51:16.360 tragedy it

00:51:16.940 was before.

00:51:18.100 It didn't

00:51:18.420 get better

00:51:18.880 if a thousand

00:51:19.840 people a day

00:51:20.440 are dying,

00:51:21.240 but maybe

00:51:22.360 we've normalized

00:51:23.060 it.

00:51:24.100 Maybe it's a

00:51:24.800 risk we're

00:51:25.340 willing to

00:51:25.800 take.

00:51:26.340 Maybe we

00:51:26.760 just try

00:51:27.320 harder and

00:51:27.980 get on

00:51:28.560 with life.

00:51:29.760 So it's

00:51:30.440 possible you

00:51:31.480 could take

00:51:31.860 the steam

00:51:32.480 out of the

00:51:32.940 revolution,

00:51:34.380 get your

00:51:35.000 Trump

00:51:35.440 re-election,

00:51:37.560 coronavirus,

00:51:38.680 at least in

00:51:39.260 our minds

00:51:39.900 and the way

00:51:40.320 society is

00:51:41.180 treating it,

00:51:41.700 could be

00:51:42.900 way less

00:51:43.480 of a

00:51:43.760 problem

00:51:44.100 just because

00:51:44.680 they over

00:51:45.580 compensated

00:51:46.320 by trying

00:51:46.980 to make

00:51:47.300 it seem

00:51:47.660 not a

00:51:47.980 problem

00:51:48.220 for Biden

00:51:49.300 and we

00:51:52.480 may end

00:51:53.000 up with

00:51:53.380 a president

00:51:53.860 Trump.

00:51:55.480 It's

00:51:56.080 entirely

00:51:56.480 possible.

00:51:57.860 Now the

00:51:58.100 other

00:51:58.280 possibility

00:51:58.780 is that

00:51:59.600 we end

00:52:00.520 up with

00:52:01.040 two

00:52:02.160 presidents.

00:52:03.840 Now I

00:52:04.360 had predicted

00:52:04.900 that this

00:52:05.600 was the

00:52:06.060 likely outcome,

00:52:07.520 that no

00:52:07.920 matter who

00:52:08.420 won

00:52:08.780 officially

00:52:09.420 or unofficially

00:52:10.380 that we

00:52:12.160 would reach

00:52:12.600 a point,

00:52:13.120 and I

00:52:13.440 don't think

00:52:13.800 we're there

00:52:14.180 yet,

00:52:14.680 so it's

00:52:15.060 still a

00:52:15.400 prediction,

00:52:16.400 that we'll

00:52:16.740 reach a

00:52:17.140 point where

00:52:18.200 CNN will

00:52:18.940 declare that

00:52:19.680 Biden is

00:52:20.320 the president

00:52:20.900 or president

00:52:21.680 elect and

00:52:22.840 that Fox

00:52:23.340 News will

00:52:24.060 be reporting

00:52:24.760 that President

00:52:25.860 Trump won

00:52:26.680 re-election.

00:52:28.160 So that's

00:52:29.440 a pretty

00:52:29.720 bold prediction

00:52:31.180 given that

00:52:32.400 I'm making

00:52:32.800 it today

00:52:33.400 when Biden's

00:52:34.340 already been

00:52:34.780 declared

00:52:35.120 president by

00:52:35.900 most of

00:52:37.220 the people

00:52:37.520 who do

00:52:37.800 these things.

00:52:38.300 So that

00:52:39.680 is my

00:52:40.020 continued

00:52:40.440 prediction,

00:52:41.640 that we

00:52:42.280 still have

00:52:42.980 in front

00:52:43.460 of us

00:52:43.900 a point

00:52:44.700 where there

00:52:45.220 are two

00:52:45.700 presidents,

00:52:46.640 or two

00:52:46.940 realities,

00:52:47.700 if you

00:52:47.920 will,

00:52:48.660 in which

00:52:49.100 CNN says

00:52:49.920 that Biden

00:52:50.400 is the

00:52:50.860 president and

00:52:51.640 Fox News

00:52:52.260 says that

00:52:53.460 Trump is

00:52:54.200 re-elected.

00:52:59.120 All right.

00:53:00.960 Do you

00:53:01.300 think we

00:53:01.660 could fix

00:53:02.140 elections in

00:53:02.900 the future?

00:53:03.600 I put out

00:53:04.060 some ideas,

00:53:05.380 and this

00:53:05.760 is yet

00:53:06.360 another area

00:53:07.900 in which

00:53:08.340 I don't

00:53:08.720 have any

00:53:09.100 expertise,

00:53:09.860 but it

00:53:10.040 doesn't

00:53:10.240 stop me

00:53:10.640 from talking

00:53:11.060 about it.

00:53:12.120 So if I

00:53:12.840 were going

00:53:13.200 to build

00:53:13.700 a replacement

00:53:14.420 for our

00:53:14.960 voting system,

00:53:16.360 here is what

00:53:17.480 I would have

00:53:18.260 in it.

00:53:18.740 Number one,

00:53:19.720 you'd have to

00:53:20.240 have a way

00:53:20.920 to keep

00:53:21.460 your vote

00:53:22.220 private,

00:53:23.520 right?

00:53:24.740 You'd want

00:53:25.540 to know that

00:53:26.200 if you use

00:53:26.700 an app,

00:53:27.280 let's say,

00:53:29.040 that that

00:53:29.740 data would

00:53:30.280 be sent

00:53:31.640 to the

00:53:31.920 database,

00:53:32.740 and it

00:53:33.020 would somehow

00:53:33.380 be separated

00:53:34.080 from you

00:53:34.740 or encrypted

00:53:36.480 in a way

00:53:37.060 that it would

00:53:37.560 be hard to

00:53:38.000 tell what

00:53:38.400 you voted

00:53:38.800 for.

00:53:39.160 So you

00:53:39.360 need some

00:53:39.680 kind of

00:53:39.960 privacy,

00:53:41.700 which I

00:53:42.440 guess would

00:53:42.780 just be

00:53:43.200 encrypting.

00:53:44.400 Let's say

00:53:44.840 your vote

00:53:45.300 got encrypted,

00:53:46.820 and it got

00:53:47.460 encrypted with

00:53:48.760 your identification,

00:53:50.740 but the only

00:53:51.540 person who had

00:53:52.160 the key to

00:53:53.020 unencrypt it

00:53:53.780 was you.

00:53:55.300 So let's

00:53:55.920 say that

00:53:56.500 after you

00:53:57.840 had voted,

00:53:59.000 you could

00:53:59.660 go in,

00:54:00.420 and you're

00:54:00.740 the only one

00:54:01.340 because nobody

00:54:01.880 else has

00:54:02.280 this key,

00:54:03.480 and so you

00:54:03.780 can go in

00:54:04.260 and you

00:54:04.520 could check

00:54:04.880 that your

00:54:05.180 vote got

00:54:07.260 registered all

00:54:08.320 the way to

00:54:08.720 the end

00:54:09.080 point with

00:54:09.800 your name.

00:54:10.760 But nobody

00:54:11.380 knows it's

00:54:11.820 your name,

00:54:12.320 you're the

00:54:12.620 only one

00:54:12.940 who can

00:54:13.220 unlock

00:54:13.600 that.

00:54:14.200 So the

00:54:14.520 first thing

00:54:14.840 you'd have

00:54:15.240 is to keep

00:54:15.760 it private.

00:54:17.060 Second thing,

00:54:17.840 you'd have to

00:54:18.240 have a way

00:54:18.880 that the

00:54:19.880 individual

00:54:20.660 could check

00:54:21.420 the path

00:54:22.320 of their

00:54:22.680 own vote

00:54:23.260 all the

00:54:23.660 way to

00:54:24.060 confirmation

00:54:24.560 at the

00:54:25.020 end.

00:54:27.660 Then you'd

00:54:28.300 also want

00:54:28.780 a way to

00:54:29.300 identify people

00:54:30.280 with the

00:54:31.040 app.

00:54:32.200 And I'm

00:54:32.780 seeing in

00:54:33.180 the comments.

00:54:34.160 We have

00:54:34.620 a lot of

00:54:35.060 good ways

00:54:35.400 to do

00:54:35.680 that.

00:54:36.420 Now,

00:54:36.700 the old

00:54:37.040 iPads had

00:54:37.680 the fingerprint

00:54:38.320 reader,

00:54:39.040 that's one

00:54:39.400 way.

00:54:40.340 There are

00:54:40.880 retinal scans,

00:54:42.180 you've seen

00:54:42.540 those clear,

00:54:45.340 what do you

00:54:46.480 call them,

00:54:46.960 the devices

00:54:48.380 in the

00:54:48.760 airports where

00:54:49.440 they look at

00:54:49.880 your retina,

00:54:50.580 and that's

00:54:50.840 your identification.

00:54:51.920 I signed

00:54:52.400 up for that

00:54:52.900 just to see

00:54:53.460 what it was

00:54:53.820 all about,

00:54:54.720 and it

00:54:55.140 works.

00:54:56.280 So I go

00:54:56.840 to the

00:54:57.100 airport,

00:54:58.020 I just

00:54:58.380 walk up to

00:54:58.920 the machine,

00:54:59.520 it looks at

00:54:59.920 my retina,

00:55:00.720 I don't have

00:55:01.280 to show

00:55:01.560 my

00:55:01.900 identification.

00:55:02.560 I don't have

00:55:04.220 to take

00:55:04.540 out my

00:55:04.900 identification

00:55:05.440 to fly.

00:55:06.940 Did you

00:55:07.540 think that

00:55:07.920 would ever

00:55:08.240 happen?

00:55:09.320 Did you

00:55:09.680 ever think

00:55:10.080 that you

00:55:10.340 could get

00:55:10.700 on an

00:55:11.040 airplane

00:55:11.400 after 9-11

00:55:12.540 without showing

00:55:13.780 any identification,

00:55:15.540 just your eye?

00:55:17.000 Well,

00:55:17.260 that's the

00:55:17.980 current situation.

00:55:19.560 So you

00:55:19.860 could certainly

00:55:20.260 build that

00:55:20.800 into,

00:55:21.180 I assume,

00:55:22.220 you could

00:55:22.560 build that

00:55:22.940 into your

00:55:24.380 phone.

00:55:25.360 So you

00:55:25.780 could have

00:55:26.080 facial

00:55:26.440 recognition,

00:55:28.000 retinal scan,

00:55:28.820 which is

00:55:29.260 different from

00:55:29.780 facial

00:55:30.040 recognition.

00:55:31.080 You could

00:55:31.360 have

00:55:31.540 fingerprints

00:55:32.000 if you

00:55:32.620 had that

00:55:33.100 kind of

00:55:33.500 device

00:55:33.880 reader.

00:55:35.280 And I

00:55:35.660 would also

00:55:36.140 add that

00:55:37.520 you should

00:55:37.820 do a

00:55:38.120 five-second

00:55:38.780 video in

00:55:40.300 which in

00:55:41.180 the five

00:55:41.580 seconds you

00:55:42.200 say your

00:55:42.620 name and

00:55:43.800 you hold

00:55:44.240 up,

00:55:44.620 maybe you

00:55:45.140 hold up

00:55:45.500 your ID.

00:55:47.120 So it's

00:55:47.700 just the

00:55:48.000 five seconds

00:55:48.600 after you

00:55:49.160 vote,

00:55:49.560 your vote

00:55:49.940 doesn't count

00:55:50.720 until you

00:55:51.740 do a five-second

00:55:52.600 video selfie

00:55:53.440 and you say,

00:55:54.840 I'm Scott Adams,

00:55:55.600 I just

00:55:55.980 voted,

00:55:56.960 here's my

00:55:57.460 driver's

00:55:57.940 license.

00:55:59.040 And it

00:55:59.540 just gets

00:55:59.920 paired and

00:56:01.300 encrypted with

00:56:02.180 your vote.

00:56:03.260 So if ever

00:56:04.280 there's a

00:56:04.740 question about

00:56:06.140 who actually

00:56:06.900 had the

00:56:07.300 phone in

00:56:07.760 their hand

00:56:08.320 and was

00:56:09.120 pushing those

00:56:09.740 buttons,

00:56:10.640 you can just

00:56:11.100 play the

00:56:11.420 video and

00:56:12.620 it's

00:56:12.820 time-stamped

00:56:13.500 and you

00:56:14.060 know that

00:56:14.440 at the

00:56:14.760 very least

00:56:15.440 you know

00:56:16.360 the person

00:56:16.800 who was

00:56:17.120 supposed to

00:56:17.700 be voting

00:56:18.180 had the

00:56:19.320 voting app

00:56:20.040 in their

00:56:20.300 hand at

00:56:20.780 the time

00:56:21.180 that the

00:56:21.560 vote was

00:56:21.900 registered.

00:56:22.800 It doesn't

00:56:23.160 mean somebody

00:56:23.640 else didn't

00:56:24.100 push the

00:56:24.460 button,

00:56:24.820 but that'd

00:56:25.260 be pretty

00:56:25.540 close.

00:56:26.900 Then I

00:56:27.980 had suggested

00:56:29.420 the following

00:56:30.400 idea and

00:56:31.360 somebody had

00:56:31.860 said blockchain

00:56:32.560 would be a

00:56:33.260 better solution.

00:56:34.560 I'm not

00:56:35.320 convinced that's

00:56:36.880 true.

00:56:38.200 Jason Chaffetz,

00:56:40.740 you know him

00:56:41.520 from Fox

00:56:42.080 News,

00:56:42.660 ex-representative.

00:56:45.200 So Jason

00:56:45.620 Chaffetz weighed 1.00

00:56:47.000 in on my

00:56:47.880 tweet about

00:56:48.740 this and

00:56:49.440 suggested that

00:56:50.340 blockchain was

00:56:52.420 the way to

00:56:52.900 get the

00:56:53.500 the most

00:56:54.680 secure and

00:56:55.640 yet checkable

00:56:56.700 auditable

00:56:57.360 voting system.

00:57:00.720 So if you

00:57:01.580 don't know

00:57:01.840 what blockchain

00:57:02.280 is, the

00:57:03.120 simple

00:57:03.560 explanation is

00:57:04.780 this.

00:57:05.460 It's a

00:57:06.000 special kind

00:57:06.640 of database

00:57:07.320 in which

00:57:08.380 things are

00:57:08.920 added to

00:57:09.860 it continuously

00:57:10.840 and those

00:57:12.140 things usually

00:57:12.840 transactions or

00:57:14.200 you know

00:57:14.860 information data

00:57:15.900 is added to

00:57:16.520 it.

00:57:17.360 And what

00:57:18.320 makes it

00:57:18.720 special is

00:57:19.440 that the

00:57:19.760 database is

00:57:20.420 distributed

00:57:21.020 across the

00:57:21.720 internet in

00:57:22.260 different

00:57:22.680 physical

00:57:24.100 locations and

00:57:25.720 there's a

00:57:26.140 way to

00:57:26.680 audit it.

00:57:27.740 So if

00:57:28.000 anybody tried

00:57:28.620 to change

00:57:29.240 it after

00:57:29.740 the fact,

00:57:30.700 it would

00:57:31.260 be immediately

00:57:32.140 discoverable.

00:57:33.360 So you

00:57:33.800 can't change

00:57:34.580 the record

00:57:35.280 after it's

00:57:35.940 there.

00:57:36.200 It's

00:57:36.260 permanent.

00:57:37.260 And that's

00:57:37.580 what makes

00:57:37.980 it special.

00:57:38.880 It's not

00:57:39.360 like a

00:57:39.760 regular

00:57:40.100 database where

00:57:41.500 you could

00:57:41.860 put the

00:57:42.320 votes in

00:57:42.740 the database

00:57:43.200 and some

00:57:43.880 hacker

00:57:44.240 could come

00:57:44.720 in and

00:57:45.420 just switch

00:57:45.900 a bit and

00:57:47.100 then you'd

00:57:47.380 be like,

00:57:47.760 well, I

00:57:47.980 guess that's

00:57:48.380 the total.

00:57:48.840 So the

00:57:50.040 blockchain,

00:57:50.960 think of it

00:57:51.500 as a

00:57:51.880 special

00:57:52.300 database that

00:57:54.020 nobody can

00:57:54.560 change without

00:57:55.400 being immediately

00:57:56.220 identified.

00:57:58.940 And in

00:58:00.280 other words,

00:58:00.640 it has an

00:58:01.020 audit trail

00:58:01.740 that is

00:58:03.180 just rock

00:58:04.660 solid.

00:58:05.780 Now, if

00:58:07.520 you get to

00:58:08.160 a deeper

00:58:08.660 level of

00:58:09.340 understanding

00:58:09.920 of blockchain,

00:58:12.180 is everything

00:58:12.980 I just said

00:58:13.760 still true?

00:58:15.480 Probably not.

00:58:16.620 because I

00:58:18.380 think with

00:58:18.760 blockchain,

00:58:19.800 there's the

00:58:20.400 simpleton's

00:58:21.500 understanding of

00:58:22.320 what it does,

00:58:23.080 which is the

00:58:23.600 version I just

00:58:24.600 gave you,

00:58:25.440 and then there's

00:58:26.280 the people who

00:58:26.960 really, really

00:58:27.520 know what

00:58:27.940 they're talking

00:58:28.360 about version,

00:58:29.680 in which they

00:58:30.220 start giving

00:58:31.220 you some

00:58:31.660 doubt.

00:58:32.640 It's like,

00:58:32.960 well, you

00:58:33.760 know,

00:58:33.960 somebody could

00:58:35.400 do something

00:58:37.000 or somebody

00:58:37.720 could do

00:58:38.400 some mischief

00:58:39.080 if they really

00:58:39.880 knew how.

00:58:41.040 So that's

00:58:42.280 the part that

00:58:42.900 I, since I

00:58:43.760 don't have that

00:58:44.460 deeper understanding

00:58:45.540 of blockchain.

00:58:46.460 I don't know

00:58:47.100 if it's the

00:58:47.660 solution, but

00:58:48.880 it's where I'd

00:58:49.380 be looking for

00:58:49.920 one.

00:58:50.380 It's the first

00:58:50.900 place I'd

00:58:51.360 look.

00:58:52.300 But here's the

00:58:53.020 other idea I

00:58:53.900 suggested that

00:58:54.760 would not

00:58:55.280 require blockchain

00:58:56.220 or blockchain

00:58:58.240 could be part

00:58:59.040 of this idea

00:58:59.680 as well.

00:59:00.360 And it goes

00:59:00.720 like this.

00:59:01.500 So you could

00:59:02.080 have both,

00:59:02.680 blockchain plus

00:59:04.500 this, if you

00:59:05.420 really want it

00:59:06.100 to be secure.

00:59:06.780 And it goes

00:59:07.040 like this.

00:59:07.940 Suppose your

00:59:08.560 app takes

00:59:10.000 your data and

00:59:10.760 then sends it

00:59:11.380 to three

00:59:12.060 separate,

00:59:13.360 private,

00:59:15.920 blind

00:59:16.840 companies

00:59:18.360 for processing

00:59:19.500 and storing.

00:59:20.720 So every

00:59:21.380 vote, imagine,

00:59:23.260 goes to three

00:59:24.140 different paths

00:59:25.000 to three

00:59:26.220 different companies

00:59:27.000 who don't know

00:59:27.640 who the other

00:59:28.160 companies are.

00:59:29.400 So each of the

00:59:30.160 three has no

00:59:30.860 idea who the

00:59:31.540 other two are

00:59:32.220 and neither

00:59:33.300 does anybody

00:59:33.880 else except

00:59:34.960 somebody in the

00:59:35.760 government who

00:59:36.280 set it up in

00:59:36.840 the first place.

00:59:38.260 And those

00:59:39.300 three companies

00:59:40.060 don't report

00:59:41.580 any data until

00:59:42.520 it's all done.

00:59:43.920 And when it's

00:59:44.340 done, they all

00:59:45.300 report their

00:59:45.880 totals and they

00:59:47.120 have to be the

00:59:47.600 same.

00:59:48.240 Because if anything

00:59:49.080 got altered in

00:59:50.100 the process, the

00:59:51.540 other two companies

00:59:52.540 wouldn't know that

00:59:53.340 one of them was

00:59:54.020 cheating.

00:59:54.820 So they wouldn't

00:59:55.600 know how to

00:59:56.660 match their

00:59:57.140 total to the

00:59:57.800 other total.

00:59:58.980 Now, could

01:00:00.020 that be, you

01:00:00.960 know, could you

01:00:01.400 get an insider

01:00:02.120 in all three

01:00:03.160 places to cheat

01:00:04.760 across the

01:00:05.580 three?

01:00:06.420 Yes.

01:00:07.320 So you do

01:00:07.980 what banks do.

01:00:09.340 You don't let

01:00:09.980 the same staff

01:00:11.080 stay in the

01:00:12.100 same jobs long

01:00:13.380 enough to be

01:00:13.980 corrupted.

01:00:15.140 So banks

01:00:15.680 famously don't

01:00:17.120 like to have

01:00:17.680 four-day holidays

01:00:19.020 because there are

01:00:20.140 some kinds of

01:00:20.840 corruption that you

01:00:22.080 need to be on the

01:00:22.840 job as a bank

01:00:23.700 employee to cover

01:00:24.660 yourself up every

01:00:25.480 few days.

01:00:26.660 So banks just

01:00:27.820 say, all right,

01:00:28.620 you're going to

01:00:29.060 take four days

01:00:30.660 off and you

01:00:31.200 can't come to

01:00:31.760 work even if you

01:00:32.420 want to.

01:00:33.820 And during that

01:00:34.400 four days, they

01:00:35.100 find all the

01:00:35.760 little white-collar

01:00:38.120 crimes because they

01:00:39.500 surface when people

01:00:40.480 aren't there to

01:00:41.000 keep covering them

01:00:41.700 up.

01:00:42.460 So you could have

01:00:43.320 a situation where

01:00:44.160 the three different

01:00:45.120 companies are

01:00:45.800 rotated every year.

01:00:47.460 So even if you

01:00:48.360 knew what they

01:00:48.760 were last year,

01:00:49.600 you wouldn't know

01:00:50.120 what they are

01:00:50.540 this year.

01:00:51.440 Let's say the

01:00:52.060 person who's

01:00:52.840 managing the

01:00:54.560 process can

01:00:55.400 never do it for

01:00:56.160 more than one

01:00:56.720 year in a row.

01:00:58.260 So there's a

01:00:59.200 bunch of little

01:00:59.720 things you could

01:01:00.260 do to make it

01:01:00.880 really hard to

01:01:01.400 have fraud.

01:01:02.100 Now I may have

01:01:02.720 forgotten some

01:01:03.300 things, but it

01:01:04.460 seems to me that

01:01:05.340 this system, even

01:01:06.480 if you imagine a

01:01:07.500 bunch of things

01:01:08.100 that could go

01:01:08.640 wrong, it feels

01:01:10.440 better than

01:01:10.900 the current

01:01:11.300 system, doesn't

01:01:12.880 it?

01:01:17.020 So I put that

01:01:18.200 out there so

01:01:18.900 the smarter

01:01:19.420 people can tell

01:01:20.260 me whether a

01:01:21.500 voting app that

01:01:23.160 has facial

01:01:24.580 recognition, a

01:01:25.940 way for you to

01:01:26.620 audit it, keeps

01:01:27.780 your vote private,

01:01:29.240 and has

01:01:30.140 blockchain or

01:01:31.120 blind companies

01:01:31.960 or something to

01:01:32.660 make sure that

01:01:33.160 you got the

01:01:33.520 vote rate total,

01:01:34.520 would that work?

01:01:36.100 Is there anybody

01:01:36.700 smart enough out

01:01:37.680 there to say,

01:01:38.720 oh yeah, that

01:01:39.160 would totally

01:01:39.540 work or not?

01:01:41.460 All right.

01:01:46.600 We did see

01:01:47.560 that a lot of

01:01:48.360 the celebrants

01:01:49.520 for Biden

01:01:51.460 have filled

01:01:52.120 the streets,

01:01:53.600 and we will

01:01:55.380 be watching

01:01:55.960 to see if

01:01:57.720 there's a big

01:01:58.620 super spreader

01:01:59.540 situation and

01:02:00.640 the infections

01:02:03.380 take off.

01:02:04.680 Because if the

01:02:05.500 infections take

01:02:06.260 off now,

01:02:07.820 Trump can

01:02:08.340 always claim

01:02:09.040 it was the

01:02:09.520 Biden

01:02:09.760 celebrations,

01:02:11.000 which I'm

01:02:12.260 sure would

01:02:12.620 happen.

01:02:19.100 All right,

01:02:19.640 just looking at

01:02:20.160 some of your

01:02:20.500 comments.

01:02:24.400 Somebody says

01:02:25.160 they used to

01:02:25.660 work in IT

01:02:26.300 and you get

01:02:27.240 audited while

01:02:27.980 you're on

01:02:28.280 vacation.

01:02:29.080 Yeah, exactly.

01:02:30.160 They want to

01:02:30.700 audit you when

01:02:31.800 you're not there

01:02:32.600 so that you

01:02:33.240 can't keep

01:02:33.820 covering your

01:02:34.380 tracks.

01:02:38.900 A billion

01:02:39.760 dollar

01:02:40.120 Bitcoin wallet

01:02:41.040 was confiscated

01:02:42.060 by the

01:02:42.480 feds on

01:02:42.980 election night.

01:02:44.660 Well, we

01:02:45.500 want to know

01:02:45.880 more about

01:02:46.280 that if

01:02:46.680 that's true.

01:02:50.360 Joe Biden

01:02:51.200 is at church

01:02:51.980 while Trump

01:02:52.560 golfs.

01:02:53.700 Does anybody

01:02:54.240 have a problem

01:02:55.020 with Trump

01:02:55.680 golfing after

01:02:57.380 the work

01:02:57.940 that he put

01:02:58.460 in for the

01:02:58.960 election?

01:02:59.720 If there's

01:03:00.340 anybody who

01:03:00.900 earned themselves

01:03:01.820 a round of

01:03:02.620 golf, it

01:03:04.040 was Trump.

01:03:05.920 I don't know

01:03:06.680 if Biden

01:03:07.160 earned himself

01:03:08.000 a round of

01:03:08.580 golf the way

01:03:09.260 he campaigned.

01:03:10.220 He didn't

01:03:10.460 work that hard.

01:03:11.900 But Trump

01:03:12.600 earned a

01:03:13.140 little golf.

01:03:14.760 All right?

01:03:15.560 I think we

01:03:16.400 should be happy

01:03:17.000 about that.

01:03:17.600 So I would

01:03:21.480 expect that

01:03:22.520 most Republicans

01:03:24.160 and Trump

01:03:25.540 supporters are

01:03:26.860 going to be

01:03:27.220 cooling their

01:03:28.040 enthusiasm because

01:03:29.360 they don't know

01:03:30.340 what's going to

01:03:30.840 happen with the

01:03:31.440 legal challenges.

01:03:32.760 And I think

01:03:33.100 most people who

01:03:33.900 have not delved

01:03:35.860 into the, let's

01:03:37.180 say, the data

01:03:37.720 part of it, I

01:03:39.020 think a lot of

01:03:39.760 normies, the

01:03:40.980 people who are

01:03:41.400 not that into

01:03:42.000 the details, will

01:03:43.400 assume the

01:03:43.860 election's done

01:03:45.140 and it's not

01:03:46.420 going to change.

01:03:47.040 And I think

01:03:47.380 that they'll

01:03:47.820 just, I

01:03:51.840 think that

01:03:52.240 they'll just

01:03:52.940 adjust.

01:03:55.200 Now, one

01:03:56.620 of the

01:03:56.820 questions you

01:03:57.340 might have,

01:03:59.000 or maybe you

01:03:59.600 don't, why

01:04:01.000 would I assume

01:04:02.160 you would have

01:04:02.620 this question?

01:04:05.740 I'm having the

01:04:06.720 weirdest experience

01:04:07.820 in the aftermath

01:04:08.940 of this election

01:04:10.240 and I want to

01:04:10.840 know if anybody's

01:04:11.560 having the same

01:04:12.180 one.

01:04:13.380 And what it

01:04:13.760 is, is a

01:04:14.640 weird mixed 1.00

01:04:15.780 feeling.

01:04:17.380 So, I'm

01:04:21.260 seeing lots of

01:04:21.820 answers about

01:04:22.380 the golfing, but

01:04:23.160 as soon as

01:04:23.540 those answers

01:04:24.080 scroll by, I

01:04:26.740 want to ask

01:04:27.460 you this.

01:04:27.840 If you were a

01:04:28.400 Trump supporter

01:04:29.080 and you

01:04:31.320 believe that he

01:04:32.080 lost the

01:04:32.580 election, let's 0.99

01:04:33.180 say, what

01:04:35.320 was your

01:04:36.040 baseline happiness

01:04:37.820 change?

01:04:39.560 Did you find

01:04:40.320 yourself going

01:04:41.160 into a

01:04:41.580 depression that

01:04:42.420 you think will

01:04:42.980 last?

01:04:43.500 Because that's

01:04:44.020 what happened

01:04:44.440 with the

01:04:44.760 Democrats.

01:04:45.900 A lot of

01:04:46.660 them went

01:04:46.940 into a

01:04:47.500 literal,

01:04:48.320 physical,

01:04:49.280 mental decline.

01:04:51.660 Have any

01:04:52.060 of you

01:04:52.320 experienced that?

01:04:53.660 Because I

01:04:54.300 experienced the

01:04:55.060 opposite and I

01:04:57.300 didn't expect it.

01:04:58.940 So, here's what

01:04:59.580 I experienced.

01:05:00.760 What I

01:05:01.200 experienced was

01:05:01.920 like, oh, you

01:05:02.840 know, I wanted

01:05:03.420 it to go the

01:05:04.000 other way.

01:05:05.880 But then, so

01:05:07.040 that was my

01:05:07.560 brain.

01:05:08.160 So, my brain

01:05:08.780 was like, oh, 0.99

01:05:09.700 darn it. 0.99

01:05:10.940 You know, I'm 0.99

01:05:11.860 a little

01:05:12.300 surprised.

01:05:13.220 I expected it

01:05:13.840 to go the

01:05:14.240 other way.

01:05:15.140 I feel like it

01:05:16.000 would have been

01:05:16.360 better if it

01:05:16.960 went the other

01:05:17.400 way.

01:05:17.840 So, that was

01:05:18.140 my brain

01:05:18.680 talking.

01:05:19.860 And then my

01:05:20.440 body weighed

01:05:21.040 in.

01:05:22.320 And my body

01:05:22.920 had the

01:05:23.220 opposite opinion.

01:05:24.860 My body

01:05:25.420 actually felt

01:05:26.140 better.

01:05:29.420 My baseline

01:05:30.340 happiness is

01:05:32.240 really, really

01:05:32.840 high right now.

01:05:34.620 And it's not

01:05:35.160 because, just

01:05:35.960 because I think

01:05:36.660 there's a high

01:05:37.320 likelihood the

01:05:38.060 result will be

01:05:39.060 overturned.

01:05:40.120 I'm not even

01:05:41.120 looking forward

01:05:41.840 to that.

01:05:42.960 Because I think

01:05:43.540 that could be a

01:05:44.080 lot of trouble.

01:05:45.000 It could be a

01:05:45.520 destabilizing thing.

01:05:49.600 But you

01:05:50.540 realize that

01:05:51.540 even being a

01:05:52.340 Trump supporter

01:05:53.220 and even when

01:05:54.500 things are going

01:05:55.140 your way,

01:05:55.860 there's a certain

01:05:56.760 level of stress

01:05:58.020 that comes with

01:05:59.500 that.

01:06:00.520 I walked

01:06:01.320 outside for the

01:06:02.300 last few days

01:06:03.140 feeling that

01:06:04.500 people didn't

01:06:05.160 want to kill

01:06:05.680 me. 1.00

01:06:05.940 And I

01:06:08.640 mean that

01:06:09.200 literally.

01:06:11.620 I mean that

01:06:12.500 if Trump is

01:06:13.700 out of office,

01:06:15.180 then whatever

01:06:15.860 severe,

01:06:17.320 irrational

01:06:17.860 hatred

01:06:18.340 people had

01:06:19.520 for me,

01:06:20.400 as a

01:06:21.260 presumed

01:06:21.740 supporter of

01:06:22.340 the president,

01:06:23.680 that they

01:06:24.180 would lose

01:06:24.580 the fire

01:06:25.160 of hatred,

01:06:26.460 that they'll

01:06:27.200 never forgive

01:06:27.940 me.

01:06:28.620 But there's a

01:06:29.180 difference between

01:06:30.100 you did

01:06:31.480 something that

01:06:32.400 year and we

01:06:33.000 didn't like it

01:06:33.680 but we've

01:06:34.220 sort of

01:06:34.640 forgotten it

01:06:35.360 versus I 0.99

01:06:36.840 want to kill 1.00

01:06:37.380 you right now 1.00

01:06:38.160 because I'm

01:06:38.840 in mental

01:06:39.280 distress over 0.55

01:06:40.100 your president,

01:06:41.280 you support

01:06:41.960 him, I 1.00

01:06:42.820 freaking hate 1.00

01:06:43.680 your guts. 0.99

01:06:45.000 And I feel

01:06:45.840 like I was

01:06:46.340 living in a

01:06:46.980 world where

01:06:48.400 I was severely

01:06:49.200 hated just for

01:06:50.600 existing.

01:06:52.080 It was like

01:06:52.760 I'm pausing

01:06:56.820 to decide if I

01:06:57.980 want to really

01:06:58.800 offend some

01:06:59.520 people.

01:07:00.960 Why not?

01:07:03.740 You'd be

01:07:04.480 disappointed if

01:07:05.340 I didn't,

01:07:05.860 right?

01:07:06.660 And I would

01:07:07.040 like to say

01:07:07.520 that there's a

01:07:08.060 difference between

01:07:08.800 being racist

01:07:10.020 and being

01:07:11.300 offensive.

01:07:12.940 Being offensive

01:07:14.040 means you're

01:07:15.660 an offensive

01:07:16.160 person.

01:07:17.780 Being racist

01:07:18.580 could also

01:07:20.320 be offensive,

01:07:22.400 you know,

01:07:22.740 obviously it'd

01:07:23.340 be offensive,

01:07:24.180 but it's

01:07:25.080 different.

01:07:26.080 You could

01:07:26.440 just be

01:07:26.780 offensive,

01:07:28.320 just be sort 1.00

01:07:29.000 of a jerk, 1.00

01:07:29.520 without being 1.00

01:07:30.560 a racist.

01:07:32.280 So I'm 0.97

01:07:33.240 going to

01:07:33.440 split that,

01:07:34.460 I'm going to

01:07:34.780 split the

01:07:35.160 difference here.

01:07:36.060 I'm going to

01:07:36.440 say something

01:07:36.940 that's offensive,

01:07:38.660 but it'd be

01:07:40.460 crazy to say

01:07:41.100 it's a racist. 0.54

01:07:42.980 For a little

01:07:44.160 while, being a

01:07:45.420 Trump supporter

01:07:46.100 felt like being 0.97

01:07:47.040 black. 0.90

01:07:48.400 Pretty offensive, 1.00

01:07:49.640 isn't it?

01:07:50.760 Pretty offensive.

01:07:51.920 offensive.

01:07:52.740 Now, I don't

01:07:53.400 mean that I

01:07:53.980 could ever

01:07:54.400 understand what

01:07:55.540 it means to

01:07:56.120 be anybody

01:07:56.760 else.

01:07:57.540 I don't

01:07:57.960 understand what

01:07:58.680 it's like to

01:07:59.180 be a woman.

01:08:00.020 I don't

01:08:00.500 understand what

01:08:01.140 it's like to

01:08:01.540 be gay. 0.91

01:08:02.260 I don't 0.95

01:08:02.720 understand what

01:08:03.340 it's like to

01:08:03.780 be black, 0.99

01:08:04.340 and would 0.99

01:08:04.660 never make

01:08:05.240 those claims.

01:08:06.880 Nobody can

01:08:07.700 understand other

01:08:08.520 people at that

01:08:09.140 kind of a

01:08:09.600 level.

01:08:10.480 But, just on,

01:08:11.960 let's say,

01:08:12.340 the intellectual

01:08:12.960 level, of

01:08:14.420 walking into a

01:08:15.420 crowd and being

01:08:17.200 worried that

01:08:18.320 people would

01:08:18.880 know who I

01:08:20.000 am, and

01:08:22.580 being worried

01:08:23.480 that somebody

01:08:24.880 would think

01:08:25.400 less of me,

01:08:26.660 or would

01:08:27.340 treat me

01:08:27.940 poorly, or

01:08:29.020 would be

01:08:30.700 whispering behind

01:08:31.700 my back,

01:08:33.180 having a

01:08:33.960 horrible thought

01:08:34.780 about me,

01:08:35.760 just because I

01:08:36.660 was in public.

01:08:38.640 Have any of

01:08:39.360 you felt that?

01:08:40.400 That just being

01:08:41.080 in public, if

01:08:41.880 you had been

01:08:42.300 identified as a

01:08:43.280 Trump supporter,

01:08:45.080 it's a little

01:08:45.880 uncomfortable.

01:08:48.080 You know, you

01:08:48.420 hear the

01:08:48.680 stories about

01:08:49.400 black people

01:08:52.000 who go into 0.99

01:08:52.540 a store, and

01:08:54.240 then they feel

01:08:54.820 that everybody's

01:08:55.360 watching them,

01:08:56.560 because, you

01:08:57.020 know, there's

01:08:57.380 this, the

01:08:58.480 bias that there

01:08:59.300 might be some

01:08:59.900 shoplifting going

01:09:00.880 on, and

01:09:02.260 imagine that,

01:09:03.080 that would be

01:09:03.360 just horrible.

01:09:05.220 Imagine going

01:09:05.960 into a store

01:09:07.020 and thinking

01:09:07.600 that you're

01:09:07.980 being watched

01:09:08.560 for shoplifting.

01:09:10.300 Well, I don't

01:09:10.900 have to imagine

01:09:11.700 that, because

01:09:12.580 it's the way I

01:09:13.140 feel every time

01:09:13.700 I go into a

01:09:14.340 store.

01:09:15.800 I don't have 0.83

01:09:16.560 to be black. 0.72

01:09:17.180 I already 0.79

01:09:18.360 think I'm

01:09:19.640 being watched

01:09:20.160 as a shoplifter

01:09:21.340 all the time.

01:09:22.940 And, you

01:09:23.380 know, I make

01:09:24.940 sure if I pick

01:09:25.720 up an item

01:09:26.300 that I hold

01:09:27.420 it, you

01:09:27.820 know, where

01:09:28.120 it can be

01:09:28.520 seen before

01:09:29.360 I pay for

01:09:30.060 it, I'm

01:09:30.680 always worried

01:09:31.280 that I'll be

01:09:32.240 seen as a

01:09:32.800 shoplifter in

01:09:33.440 a store, and

01:09:34.260 I don't

01:09:34.480 shoplift.

01:09:35.660 So, I guess I

01:09:36.920 can feel that a

01:09:37.620 little bit, although

01:09:38.280 obviously I don't

01:09:39.160 feel there's a

01:09:39.840 racial component

01:09:40.560 to it.

01:09:40.940 So, that's

01:09:43.960 my bottom

01:09:44.360 line.

01:09:46.560 Intellectually, I

01:09:47.600 would prefer that

01:09:48.500 Trump had won.

01:09:50.340 Physically, and

01:09:51.480 how my day-to-day

01:09:53.020 life goes, it's

01:09:56.120 a little more

01:09:56.660 comfortable than

01:09:58.060 it was.

01:09:58.500 It's a little

01:09:59.120 more comfortable

01:10:00.000 than it was.

01:10:00.800 And I feel it

01:10:01.580 quite a bit.

01:10:03.380 And that's not

01:10:04.100 nothing, by the

01:10:05.300 way.

01:10:05.600 That's not

01:10:06.100 nothing.

01:10:07.340 Somebody says,

01:10:08.260 man up, Scott.

01:10:10.320 Man up for

01:10:11.080 what?

01:10:13.420 What exactly am

01:10:14.680 I not manning

01:10:15.400 up for?

01:10:17.340 That's a weird

01:10:18.080 comment.

01:10:19.800 Aside from my

01:10:20.600 new taxes.

01:10:21.320 Yeah, let's talk

01:10:21.860 about taxes.

01:10:23.540 If you believe

01:10:24.500 your taxes are

01:10:25.380 going to go up

01:10:26.100 to the Biden

01:10:27.260 promised levels,

01:10:28.980 you would have

01:10:29.600 to believe that

01:10:30.340 the mainstream

01:10:31.000 media and the

01:10:32.680 Democrat

01:10:33.200 politicians would 0.56

01:10:35.200 want to

01:10:35.980 substantially raise

01:10:37.500 their own

01:10:38.140 taxes.

01:10:39.160 Because remember,

01:10:40.440 Jake Tapper is

01:10:41.200 rich by, you

01:10:42.700 know, normal

01:10:43.160 standards.

01:10:44.480 Don Lemon is

01:10:46.320 rich by normal

01:10:48.380 standards.

01:10:49.220 These are the

01:10:49.940 same people who

01:10:50.940 would get

01:10:51.480 absolutely just

01:10:53.560 molested on

01:10:56.880 their taxes.

01:10:58.160 Do you think

01:10:58.760 that the same

01:11:00.080 media that

01:11:00.740 desperately wanted

01:11:01.580 Trump to leave

01:11:02.380 office, do you

01:11:03.740 think they want

01:11:04.320 their own taxes?

01:11:05.300 taxes to

01:11:06.240 dramatically rise?

01:11:09.940 I don't know.

01:11:11.680 Maybe.

01:11:12.680 But I've got a

01:11:13.360 feeling that if we

01:11:14.180 get a Republican

01:11:15.120 Senate and then

01:11:17.560 we don't get a lot

01:11:18.500 of fire from the

01:11:19.860 left-wing pundits

01:11:22.480 asking for a tax

01:11:24.000 raise on

01:11:24.940 themselves, and

01:11:26.780 people don't get

01:11:27.480 too excited about

01:11:28.940 raising their own

01:11:29.940 taxes.

01:11:31.180 You know, it's

01:11:32.220 kind of rare.

01:11:33.820 So I don't

01:11:35.120 know about the

01:11:35.900 odds of those

01:11:36.660 taxes going up the

01:11:37.740 way it's promised.

01:11:39.020 The odds of them

01:11:39.860 going up a little

01:11:40.640 bit, probably

01:11:41.760 pretty high.

01:11:43.320 The odds of

01:11:44.120 taxes going up,

01:11:45.240 I'd say, are

01:11:45.920 high.

01:11:46.760 But the odds of

01:11:47.760 them going up as

01:11:48.720 much as has been

01:11:50.640 promised, lower.

01:11:53.600 All right.

01:11:53.920 Somebody says

01:11:55.720 Black Lives Matter

01:11:56.460 is still lurking.

01:11:57.560 Don't kid yourself.

01:11:58.520 Well, I believe

01:11:58.980 that they were

01:11:59.640 protesting last

01:12:02.140 night, were they

01:12:03.200 not?

01:12:04.120 So yes, there

01:12:04.940 will be some more

01:12:05.620 Black Lives Matter

01:12:06.480 protests.

01:12:07.420 That's all I got

01:12:07.920 for now, and I

01:12:09.100 will talk to you

01:12:09.920 later.

01:12:13.560 All right, all

01:12:14.340 you YouTube

01:12:14.900 people, I have

01:12:15.920 signed off on

01:12:16.860 Periscope, and you

01:12:17.880 have my full

01:12:18.940 attention.

01:12:19.320 Oh, I like it

01:12:22.720 when you say good

01:12:23.340 things about me, so

01:12:24.160 you can say more

01:12:24.780 of those.

01:12:25.600 Thank you.

01:12:27.560 Last time we

01:12:28.440 fired a one-term

01:12:29.180 president, we

01:12:30.040 elected his son.

01:12:32.240 Yeah.

01:12:32.860 Oh, that's

01:12:33.520 interesting.

01:12:34.640 Right.

01:12:35.000 When Bush Sr., he

01:12:36.380 was a one-term

01:12:37.080 president, and

01:12:38.540 then his son got

01:12:40.520 elected.

01:12:41.660 So maybe Don

01:12:42.660 Jr.

01:12:43.680 Could be.

01:12:46.020 And of course

01:12:46.920 people remember

01:12:47.660 that Al Gore was

01:12:48.840 the president-elect

01:12:50.480 for 37 days until

01:12:51.880 he wasn't.

01:12:53.060 So we do have

01:12:54.020 precedent that

01:12:55.220 Biden could be

01:12:56.580 president-elect

01:12:57.820 until he isn't.

01:13:03.260 Is Trump

01:13:04.220 playing it right?

01:13:05.520 Well, he's

01:13:07.300 probably yes.

01:13:09.380 Probably yes.

01:13:10.680 So Trump is on

01:13:11.520 record as saying

01:13:12.200 there's massive

01:13:13.220 fraud.

01:13:14.080 I think he will

01:13:15.000 be proven correct.

01:13:16.620 So I think the

01:13:17.120 evidence will

01:13:17.780 eventually back

01:13:18.820 him.

01:13:19.580 We haven't seen

01:13:20.460 it yet.

01:13:21.320 So if you're

01:13:22.440 saying, but

01:13:23.000 Scott, I haven't

01:13:23.740 seen any evidence

01:13:24.520 of that, I

01:13:24.980 would agree.

01:13:25.960 You've seen

01:13:26.640 suggestions of

01:13:27.700 it.

01:13:28.720 But I would

01:13:29.420 bet that you're

01:13:31.980 going to see

01:13:32.340 some good

01:13:32.840 evidence eventually

01:13:33.740 and not too

01:13:35.060 long from now.

01:13:36.960 Yeah, you know,

01:13:37.880 I don't think you

01:13:39.520 can say enough

01:13:40.180 about the fact

01:13:41.020 that if there

01:13:42.220 had not been

01:13:42.760 coronavirus and

01:13:43.800 therefore there

01:13:44.380 had not been

01:13:44.860 the change of

01:13:45.660 how voting had

01:13:46.400 been done,

01:13:46.840 that maybe

01:13:47.760 we wouldn't

01:13:48.260 have this

01:13:48.640 result.

01:13:50.120 So did

01:13:51.180 the voters

01:13:52.080 select Trump

01:13:54.660 or was it

01:13:55.460 the change in

01:13:56.140 the voting

01:13:56.520 process that

01:13:57.540 selected Trump?

01:13:58.980 Because to

01:13:59.680 me, it

01:14:01.300 looks like if

01:14:02.240 we had used

01:14:02.920 the same

01:14:03.320 process we

01:14:03.960 always use

01:14:04.500 despite the

01:14:05.220 coronavirus risk,

01:14:06.700 probably you

01:14:07.420 would have

01:14:07.600 been elected.

01:14:08.020 All right,

01:14:15.000 somebody says

01:14:15.580 China selected

01:14:16.400 Trump.

01:14:16.880 Well, I don't

01:14:17.420 know about that.

01:14:18.540 All right,

01:14:18.840 that's all I

01:14:19.220 got for now.

01:14:19.940 I will talk

01:14:20.520 to you tomorrow.

01:14:21.880 That's all I

01:14:24.560 know about that.

01:14:29.180 I do

01:14:33.940 on here,

01:14:35.480 I'll

01:14:35.680 talk

01:14:36.360 about that.

01:14:39.140 You

01:14:39.620 know what

01:14:40.540 I

01:14:41.420 face

01:14:42.280 a

01:14:43.340 face

01:14:43.980 to

01:14:44.540 let

01:14:44.960 ask

01:14:45.100 it

01:14:45.340 to

01:14:45.380 hear

01:14:45.440 it

01:14:45.860 more

01:14:46.680 than

01:14:48.160 more

01:14:48.400 universe

01:14:49.720 what

01:14:50.320 do

01:14:50.740 give

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 08, 2020

Episode 1181 Scott Adams： Why President Trump Still Has the Advantage. Crazy, Right？ Maybe not.

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