Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1187 Scott Adams： Let's Talk About Finding Election Fraud Without Actually Looking For it

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, come on in here. It's time, it's time again for the best part of your day.

00:00:16.100 Yeah, and every time I say it, it's true. And in order to enjoy the best part of the day in the

00:00:23.360 best possible way, all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or gels or a canteen jug or a

00:00:28.600 flask, a vessel of any kind. You fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:36.380 And join me now for the dopamine here today, the unparalleled pleasure. It's called the

00:00:42.300 Simultaneous Sip. And it happens now. Go.

00:00:50.140 Ooh, sip-tastic. Sip-alacious. Sip-credible. That's how good it was.

00:00:59.580 Well, here's a positive thought of the day. You ready? The positive thought of the day.

00:01:07.800 You know how whenever there's a war, nobody wants the war, but wars have a way of creating

00:01:15.280 innovation. So you get a lot of inventions that come out of the fact that you have wars.

00:01:20.800 And one of the things that I'm just going to put out one example. It's not that this particular one is

00:01:28.040 the one that's going to happen, but there are a few things that are probably being worked on

00:01:32.940 right now that could turn into something big. For example, you know that dogs apparently can be

00:01:42.460 trained to sniff out coronavirus. How many other viruses would dogs be able to sniff out?

00:01:50.540 Probably some other ones, right? Now, if a dog can sniff out coronavirus and other viruses, perhaps,

00:01:59.040 could you create a chip or a device, some kind of hardware, software situation that could be as

00:02:07.360 sensitive as the dog, which is hard. I realize that the dog's sense of smell is ridiculously good.

00:02:14.520 But do you think it's impossible that we could ever make an artificial nose that could smell at least

00:02:22.240 as well as the dog can smell to find a virus? Because we might be at a point where we just have

00:02:29.120 public sniffers and they find everything while it's new and we just don't have pandemics anymore

00:02:34.680 because we can just literally sniff them out. Now, all the attention, of course, is on the near-term

00:02:41.180 stuff like the therapeutics and the vaccines, but I'll bet you somebody somewhere in the world

00:02:47.880 is in the laboratory working on an artificial sniffing machine. If anybody's watching this who

00:02:54.500 knows anybody who's doing that, let me know because I would put a very large bet on somebody trying to

00:03:02.180 invent that right now. And I believe that there have been earlier versions of sniffing machines that

00:03:09.660 actually were good, but not as good as dogs. Maybe we can get there. Here's another one. What about

00:03:17.560 some kind of UV light that doesn't hurt humans, but it's bad for viruses, put in lots of public areas?

00:03:28.060 And I think that's being worked on too. So we could find, it would be easy for me to imagine

00:03:33.660 that this project Warp Speed, which caused all the vaccine-making companies to work at, you know,

00:03:43.280 super pace. They probably, in the process of working as fast as they can, they probably invented all new

00:03:51.840 processes. They probably figured out whole new ways to do things. So my guess is that our ability to

00:03:58.400 create vaccines in the future is going to be way better? Probably. Because didn't you think that

00:04:05.620 it was impossible to create a coronavirus vaccine? We heard that six months ago. Six months ago,

00:04:14.160 the top experts were saying nobody has ever made a coronavirus vaccine that works. And now we haven't.

00:04:21.920 That's probably a big deal. You know, have we come close to the point where we could pick off any

00:04:30.020 virus and do what we just did? Because we just, it looks like, I mean, we're on the border of, I'm

00:04:38.000 optimistic, of curing an incurable virus. What would that do to the world if we learn how to consistently

00:04:46.860 cure incurable viruses? I don't know that this is the one incurable virus that we'll ever be able to

00:04:53.940 get on top of. I've got a feeling we invented processes along the way that would allow us to

00:05:00.840 maybe take on other viruses that we couldn't take on before. So that's the good news. All right.

00:05:07.840 Here's a little update. Fact check. There's a lot of rumors going around, and I like to clear up the

00:05:14.900 rumors. And if you've fallen for any of the fake news, I like to clear it up. So here's a little

00:05:20.480 fact check. The Dominion voting systems did not kill Epstein. So if you're seeing anything,

00:05:29.840 anything else, it's fake news, right? So the voting software did not kill Epstein. That's fake news.

00:05:37.960 The president retweeted me again, I guess, last night. And I didn't realize it when I woke up this

00:05:46.840 morning. And I looked at one of my tweets, and I thought, well, I guess that was a pretty good tweet.

00:05:53.300 Look at the retweets on that baby. 15,000 retweets. Don't see that a lot, at least at my level. And I'm

00:06:02.820 feeling pretty good about my tweeting ability until somebody else tweeted that the president

00:06:07.900 had retweeted me. And then I thought, oh, well, that would be a reason why there'd be so many

00:06:12.760 retweets. Here is the tweet that the president retweeted. You may have seen those. And I said,

00:06:18.280 the most corrupt institutions and individuals in America have declared that the election was free

00:06:24.460 of fraud. And that's good enough for me. What's wrong with the rest of you? So the president

00:06:30.920 retweeted that. Now, the funny part about this is that he retweeted me, was it earlier this week?

00:06:36.820 Or was it last week? A few days ago, he retweeted me. And the thing that that creates is it paints a

00:06:44.720 target on my back. If you get retweeted by the president, you end up in a lot of articles where

00:06:52.060 they'll show the retweet and they'll say, hey, crazy thing the president's thinking and crazy thing the

00:06:57.660 president's doing. And now he's being supported by other crazy people. So apparently my Twitter 0.86

00:07:03.400 followers have reached a level where if I tweet something, just the fact that I tweeted something

00:07:13.200 can become national news, which is the damnedest thing. It just sort of happened in the last

00:07:18.860 few months that that's especially true. So the president retweets me. And if it's exactly like the

00:07:26.380 last week, all these minor publications and other bloggers and stuff are going to start, you know,

00:07:33.960 shooting me in the back because I'm just in the story. That's all it takes. You just have to be in

00:07:38.700 the story and you're a target. So that'll start all up again. Can we confirm yet, do you feel that this

00:07:48.020 is fair for me to make this claim? That, uh, my prediction that the world's greatest dad joke

00:07:55.160 actually happened, meaning that there were tons of people who were lying to pollsters intentionally

00:08:02.560 and that that would be the big reason that the poll numbers were way off. So the, the existence of

00:08:11.440 quote, shy Trump supporters, I've seen it confirmed in two places, Breitbart and someplace else. Do you

00:08:20.380 think that that's confirmed? Do you think that the, the news has accepted that the reason the polls

00:08:28.420 were so off is because people intentionally were pranking them? Cause they don't say that, right?

00:08:34.440 You know, you've heard it from me, but you don't hear the actual legitimate, if you can call them

00:08:40.160 that news business, you don't say them saying, and the reason is people were pranking them.

00:08:47.300 They don't say that. But I feel like that is the reason because so many people said they were.

00:08:54.440 And then it turns out that the category that the pollsters most got wrong, according to Breitbart

00:09:00.440 is, uh, the thing they got wrong was they, they failed to detect Trump's support from quote,

00:09:08.360 educated whites. Who tells dad jokes? Okay. Who is it? Who is it? You know, you know,

00:09:20.080 who tells dad jokes? Educated white people. Now also uneducated white people and other people as well.

00:09:28.460 Well, it's not, we're not the, it's not the only group that tells dad jokes, but what is the biggest

00:09:34.180 group in America that tells dad jokes? I'm not bragging about it. I'm just saying, you know,

00:09:41.440 and I, you know, I don't have science to back me up, but don't you think, wouldn't you, wouldn't you

00:09:47.540 go with this, uh, gross stereotype that is educated older white guys that tell the dad jokes, right?

00:09:58.460 Would you agree with that or not? I'm not saying that there's, you know, no educated black guy who 0.59

00:10:03.660 ever told the dad joke. I'm just saying it's sort of concentrated in one demographic group.

00:10:09.700 Now, is it a coincidence that that's the same demographic group that was under polled?

00:10:15.000 What would be the other reason that pollsters can't find educated white people? What would be the other 0.54

00:10:24.200 reason? Are you saying that educated white people don't have cell phones or phones? What would be the

00:10:31.080 other reason? There's no other reason. Educated white people are probably pretty easy to reach. 1.00

00:10:37.280 They have phones, they answer them, you know, they have opinions. So I feel as if that prediction was

00:10:46.240 a hundred percent correct. And one of my, one of my greatest predictions, but, uh, not, not like I was

00:10:54.480 the only one who predicted or anything like that, but it was certainly one that lots of people doubted.

00:10:58.980 There were lots of people on the other side saying, I think those poll numbers are right,

00:11:04.740 but they were not. However, it was all overshadowed by the temporary situation that it looks like

00:11:12.940 Biden won. Emphasis on temporary. We'll talk about that. CNN, um, in one of their news stories on their

00:11:24.320 site said, uh, spoke about the claims of election fraud and they include this sentence, claims are

00:11:34.380 all false. Now, do you think CNN can report that as a fact that all of the election fraud claims are

00:11:44.980 false? Does that sound like a fact to you? Now, here's the thing. It could be a fact, right?

00:11:53.820 Has anybody, we have not conclusively ruled out that a hundred percent of the fraud claims turn

00:12:00.700 out to be false. Hasn't been ruled out, but you know what? It also hasn't been ruled in.

00:12:07.840 It's definitely not a fact. It is something that could be true. If anybody looked into it in any 1.00

00:12:13.860 depth, it's something that could be false. If somebody looked into it in any depth, but what

00:12:19.500 it surely isn't is a current fact that can be reported as a fact. Let me ask you this.

00:12:28.660 So it's also been, uh, reported by, so let's see, PolitiFact and lead stories and the AP and more

00:12:37.040 quote that there's no credible evidence that Dominion voting system software impacted any vote

00:12:44.000 tallies during the election, according to the Associated Press, New York Times, and PolitiFact.

00:12:50.560 Now, let me ask you this question. So speaking of the Associated Press, New York Times, and PolitiFact,

00:12:57.200 which one of those organizations got a court order to do a line-by-line code review of Dominion's

00:13:05.580 voting systems, along with an audit of all their processes and interviews with their employees?

00:13:11.960 Which one of them did that? Um, um, I don't hear anything. Yeah, none of them. How in the world

00:13:20.240 could anybody conclude that this vote software didn't impact anything? How the hell would they

00:13:26.280 know? The fact that they think you're so frickin' dumb that you would take their denial of any evidence 1.00

00:13:33.480 as proof of no evidence? They're really playing you for suckers here in a really big way. 0.99

00:13:40.860 Now, to be fair, so I'm going to be a little bit fair and balanced here if I can. If you were in 0.94

00:13:50.300 charge of the world, you would probably, you know, I'm speaking hypothetically, if you were in charge

00:13:57.100 of the world, there might be times you didn't want to give people the full technical truth

00:14:02.960 because it might be bad. In other words, people might take the truth and act in the wrong way,

00:14:11.400 misinterpret it, get too worried about it for no good reason, etc. And so I have some empathy

00:14:19.220 for major news organizations and the people in them who probably are feeling the weight of

00:14:26.980 responsibility of keeping the republic together. Because that's real. The news business could tear

00:14:33.280 apart the republic, or they could hold it together. It appears that the major media is trying very hard

00:14:40.460 to hold the republic together. I like that. All right? I want to dislike it because it feels like

00:14:48.700 it's working against what I think is true, which is that there was some fraud in the election. I think

00:14:53.940 we'll find that. But I also appreciate that there is a higher responsibility than the truth.

00:15:03.900 I hate to say it, but there is a higher responsibility than the truth. The higher

00:15:09.180 responsibility is to take care of your, you know, fellow human beings. And if a little bit of a lie,

00:15:16.100 a little bit of a shading of the truth gets that done, I'm not really going to be the one who says,

00:15:22.740 well, that was unethical or immoral or impractical or illegal or anything. If the intention is to

00:15:30.660 protect the republic, I can't hate that, even if I wouldn't have played it the same way. All right?

00:15:39.380 But I feel as if it is a direct lie to say that nothing's been proven in the context of nothing

00:15:47.960 being searched for. And the complexity is such that you couldn't possibly know if anything happened

00:15:53.900 or didn't happen. It is unknowable by its nature until you do a deep dive. And short of doing that

00:16:00.980 deep dive to declare that it didn't happen, when all of the requirements for it to happen are in

00:16:09.020 place. So the place that you would look for a crime is where there are 100% of all the variables

00:16:16.780 that would suggest, oh, there definitely was a crime. We haven't looked into it, but we're pretty

00:16:23.100 sure. Let me give you an example. If you took a high-end automobile and parked it in a dangerous,

00:16:30.040 crime-filled neighborhood and left it unlocked with the keys in the ignition, and then you wait.

00:16:39.380 Let's say you wait a year. Do you need to go back and check to find out if the car was stolen?

00:16:47.720 You don't really have to check. If you leave it there for a year and it's unlocked in a bad

00:16:54.320 neighborhood, a high-end car with the keys clearly in the ignition, it's stolen. All right? Do you need

00:17:01.800 to do a deep dive? You don't even have to go back and look. That car is gone. Likewise, if you have an

00:17:08.820 election system that is deeply complicated and you waited long enough, somebody will find a way to take

00:17:16.020 advantage of that complication. Not once in a while. Not we're worried that it will happen.

00:17:24.320 Not it happens often. Not there's a bias in that direction. No, that's not what I'm saying. I'm saying

00:17:32.600 just like the high-end car parked in the dangerous neighborhood with high crime, it's definitely going

00:17:39.460 to be corrupted. Not a little bit, not sometimes, not once in a while. Every single time. You just have

00:17:46.660 to wait long enough. Now, have we waited long enough? Meaning, have there been enough elections and

00:17:52.660 enough years have gone by that anybody who could find weaknesses to exploit would have by now found

00:18:00.460 those weaknesses and exploited them? Of course. Somebody says this is interesting but disingenuous.

00:18:09.200 What the fuck do you know about my inner thoughts? Seriously. What do you know, whoever said that, 0.99

00:18:17.280 what do you know about my inner thoughts? And why would I even lie about this? What would even be my

00:18:23.560 motivation for being disingenuous on this topic right now? Can you think of one? Did I run for

00:18:31.420 fucking election? Nope. Would I, I don't know, make money somehow? Nope. My traffic is higher today 1.00

00:18:42.020 after Trump has allegedly lost than it's ever been. I don't have anything to gain. The only thing that I

00:18:49.120 have a benefit for is telling you the closest thing to a useful filter on reality that I can.

00:18:57.520 I don't have an incentive that's outside of any ethical bounds because everything that I want and need

00:19:05.420 is well within those bounds. I either have to do a good, credible job at doing this or nobody watches.

00:19:13.860 What, what fucking reason would I have to lie to you? Really? Seriously, what fucking reason would I 0.99

00:19:18.820 have to lie to you? Think about that. Because people need a reason. You need a fucking reason. 0.99

00:19:24.140 All right. And if you think it's because I would be, let's say, embarrassed if I predicted Trump and 0.99

00:19:32.980 he didn't win, then you really don't know me because I don't get embarrassed by mistakes. I wrote a whole

00:19:38.920 fucking book about it, about how I don't get embarrassed by mistakes. It's right over my shoulder 0.98

00:19:43.440 right there. So I wouldn't care about getting embarrassed. I wouldn't care about failing. I

00:19:48.040 wouldn't care about being wrong. None of it would have much effect on me at all. And what reason would

00:19:52.780 I have to lie to you? Really? Can you think of one? Because I can't think of one. All right.

00:20:03.060 Triggered. Here's another fake news from CNN. Their headline says, Trump threatens to deny New York

00:20:12.400 a vaccine. Did you see Trump's press event there? And did you see him threaten to

00:20:22.740 deny New York the vaccine? Nope. Nope. That didn't happen at all. Do you know what did happen?

00:20:29.620 The opposite of this headline. That's what actually happened. So CNN says Trump threatens to deny New

00:20:37.300 York a vaccine. Here's what really happened. Trump said, I sure wish we could get you that vaccine,

00:20:43.120 but New York won't take it because they're going to do their own testing, et cetera. But I would sure

00:20:48.280 like to give it to you. Can you let me give it to you? Is there anything I can do to please let me

00:20:53.740 give you this vaccine? Because I would like to give you this vaccine if you'll let me. That's what

00:20:59.760 happened. That's what happened. And then CNN reversed it and makes a headline, Trump threatens to deny

00:21:08.180 New York a vaccine. It didn't happen. All right. Here is the most interesting persuasion thing that

00:21:20.500 happened that is being reported incorrectly, of course. And it goes like this. You probably saw this

00:21:28.240 story that I need to give you Trump's quote because the way he chose his words is the story. And it goes

00:21:36.220 like this. Trump said, I will not, this administration will not be doing a lockdown, Trump said,

00:21:43.720 speaking for the first time and blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. Then he went on and

00:21:47.960 said, hopefully, whatever happens in the future, who knows which administration it will be. I guess time

00:21:55.080 will tell. But I can tell you this administration will not go to a lockdown. Now, the way it was reported is

00:22:03.420 that the president has doubts about his own claims that there is fraud and that the election

00:22:10.260 went his way. And so it's been reported as that even he doesn't think he won necessarily.

00:22:19.780 Here's the story that they missed. Are you ready? What is Trump's biggest risk or the claim against him

00:22:30.700 at the moment? There are lots of claims against the president all the time. But the biggest one, the hottest

00:22:35.260 one at the moment, is that he's going to try to become a dictator and not leave the office, even if the

00:22:42.420 election is certified to be Biden's. That's his biggest problem, right? People think he might literally

00:22:49.420 just try to cling to the office. In his statement, where he talks about, I guess time will tell, and who knows

00:22:58.160 which administration it will be, he is signaling as clearly as you could possibly signal that he's not

00:23:05.280 going to keep the office no matter what. Right? Did you see anybody report what I just said? The biggest

00:23:13.000 story, completely ignored, that the president has pretty much confirmed that in his own opinion, he's not

00:23:21.400 going to be fighting to cling to the office, if it goes against him. I feel like that's as clearly as you could say

00:23:27.940 that, completely ignored. And then they they turned that into, I guess he thinks he didn't really win the vote.

00:23:35.480 That's not exactly what I'm seeing. I mean, that's also true. But I feel like what we're really seeing is him

00:23:42.240 giving no seriousness whatsoever to the ridiculous thought that he's going to turn dictator and try to 0.80

00:23:49.300 cling to office. There's no indication of that. Now, did you see there was some kind of weird statement 0.74

00:23:55.460 that General, is it Milley, the Joint Chief of Staffs made, and it was reported that it was a sort of a

00:24:03.480 broadside to the president and that really he was sending a message to the president that the military

00:24:09.540 is, you know, is not going to get involved in the transition or whatever. And I thought this General

00:24:18.720 Milley guy, I don't have much confidence in him, frankly, from just the little bit I've seen is only

00:24:25.200 about his gaffes. So I'm sure he's done great things or he wouldn't be in that job. But what the public

00:24:31.840 sees is not terribly encouraging. And here's what I think that the the head of the Joint Chiefs

00:24:39.400 should have done. So the way he played it was like it was really serious. And there was some real

00:24:45.800 risk that the president would try to get the military involved. That was really the wrong way

00:24:51.360 to play it. Really the wrong way to play it. Here's how he should have played it. Let's say I'm the

00:24:58.860 I'm General Milley. I'm the Joint Chiefs of Staff. And the press says, will you get involved if the you

00:25:06.560 know, if there's some dispute about who the real president is? Here's how you answer that. You

00:25:12.960 laugh at it. You say, that's not the job of the military. Ha ha. No, we wouldn't get involved in

00:25:20.840 that in any way. Civilians need to work that out. But if you need if you need somebody killed,

00:25:28.200 you know, come see us. But we don't get involved in this stuff. And just treat it like it's not even

00:25:35.760 serious. Because that's the way I want to think about it. As a citizen, I don't want to hear that

00:25:42.340 the military is mulling it. Do you want to hear that the military treated the question like it was even

00:25:49.620 serious? I don't even want to go that far. I don't even want to hear the Joint Chiefs of Staff

00:25:55.420 deny that they would get involved. I want them to think that is such a stupid freaking question 1.00

00:26:01.900 that they're not even going to answer it. It's like, oh, come on. That's not what we do. 1.00

00:26:07.620 Ridiculous? No. It's funny that you would even ask that question. Do you know the military? No,

00:26:13.700 we don't do that. That's just not what we do. And everybody who thought this was going to happen,

00:26:22.240 and I guess they could still say, well, it still might happen. But anybody who had this thought,

00:26:27.300 and really, really thought that the president would try to cling to power with a military intervention,

00:26:35.300 that is really crazy. I mean, that's different from just having a wrong opinion. That's a little bit

00:26:41.400 crazy, I think. The press continues to do their trick of debunking the weakest claims. So if you're

00:26:55.220 a low information voter, you think they debunked all of the claims. Because what they're saying is

00:27:00.860 there are no credible claims. Now, what they usually mean is that the courts have not seen

00:27:07.900 credible claims of fraud yet. That might be true. I don't know what the courts have or have not seen.

00:27:14.740 I'm not sure anybody knows, do we? Have we all seen the claims? But whether or not the ones that have

00:27:20.960 been submitted as claims are valid or supported by the courts or not, I would see them as a stalling

00:27:27.680 action. In other words, you want to get the public a little bit pregnant with the idea

00:27:33.280 that you're looking for fraud and it might be there. So you want to get that idea in the public's

00:27:39.020 head. So this first flurry of lawsuits probably were just a stalling action to keep that idea in

00:27:45.880 the public's head and say we're working on it actively, which would sound way better than we

00:27:51.040 think there's fraud, we're not doing anything about it. Right? Imagine if the Trump administration

00:27:57.440 had said, we think there's massive fraud and then people would say, all right, what lawsuits are you

00:28:02.760 filing? And they'd say, uh, well, we're, you know, we're thinking about getting some together at some

00:28:07.920 point. Don't have all the data. What would that look like? It would look like there's nothing there.

00:28:14.220 Right? But by filing a bunch of lawsuits on things, which may be just the first things they could think

00:28:20.140 of or the first indications that there might be a problem. They just get the, they get the, uh,

00:28:26.160 the system going. They get something that looks like momentum. Momentum is everything. I'm going

00:28:31.960 to be talking about that later as well. If you get the momentum looking like there's something your

00:28:36.480 team is doing that's moving forward, then everybody's minds can get in that mode. It's like,

00:28:41.460 oh, okay, there might be something coming and then you can, you can be ready for it. So I think that's

00:28:47.680 all that's happened. The good stuff, uh, is still to come on the, the evidence, but you'll see the

00:28:53.700 debunking going after the weak stuff. And here's the easiest one to debunk. Uh, so easy that I wouldn't

00:29:00.420 even make this claim, even if you thought it was true. Here's a claim that even if you think it's true,

00:29:06.700 it's the worst one that dead people voted. Now, do you think any dead people voted in this election?

00:29:16.300 I do. Yeah. In the whole United States, you're telling me that there wasn't one ballot filled

00:29:23.820 out by a relative, you know, for their dead, dead grandfather or something. Oh yeah. There's a

00:29:30.220 hundred percent chance somewhere in America, a dead person voted at least once, right? Now, how does the

00:29:40.780 media debunk it? What they do is they'll go to find one person who is on a list that is claimed to be

00:29:47.280 dead people voting. And then they'll find that that person is actually alive. And they'll say,

00:29:52.560 look, ha ha ha. These idiots, they're claiming that all these dead people voted, but we picked this one 1.00

00:29:58.740 name off the list. We found him. He's live. Here's a video of us talking to him. Ha ha ha. Dead people 1.00

00:30:04.540 don't vote. But of course, that's the selective debunk. It's easy to find people who were mistakenly

00:30:12.060 on the list of dead voters. It doesn't mean that it didn't happen. Now, if I had to bet, I would think

00:30:19.140 that the total number of dead people voting will not rise to the level that that would change the

00:30:24.960 election result. But certainly not the only claim, is it? Did you see Matt Gaetz tweet? I retweeted it.

00:30:33.960 So he retweeted a graph that shows that historically, you can tell how many people in each age group

00:30:40.700 have registered to vote. And you can see, you know, this year, the graph shows this many registered

00:30:48.620 in the following election, this many. And then you get to 2020. And in 2020, the number of people over

00:30:57.800 the age of 90 who registered to vote just went off the charts. Went off the charts. Now, could it be a

00:31:08.620 coincidence? Or, not coincidence, but could it be the result of really good Democrat get out the vote?

00:31:17.500 Do you think the Democrats were so good at getting out the vote, but it mostly worked for people over

00:31:24.740 90? Because the data suggests that even if the Democrats were excellent in their get out the

00:31:31.240 vote, that it really only worked for people over 90. That's interesting, isn't it? Why wouldn't their

00:31:38.340 get out the vote work for everybody? Why would it work really, really well for people over 90, 0.99

00:31:45.580 but it works about the same as it worked in prior elections? Maybe a little bit better,

00:31:50.820 but about the same as prior elections for everybody else. What could it be?

00:31:57.160 Now, could there be any legal explanation for this? I think so. I think so. There could be,

00:32:05.700 right? I can't think of one. But that doesn't mean it doesn't exist, right? So you never want to

00:32:11.780 think that your own inability to imagine alternative explanations means they don't exist. It might be.

00:32:19.520 Maybe there's some reason for this. Maybe they did a, maybe, you know, let me give you an example.

00:32:24.520 Let's say that the get out the vote was sort of separated in different teams, and the teams that

00:32:33.000 worked on young people didn't have much luck, but the teams that worked on the older people were just

00:32:38.140 really good at what they did. That could be possible, couldn't it? But is it likely? Probably

00:32:45.440 not. So that's the sort of thing in the data that's going to make a lot of eyebrows go up.

00:32:54.920 All right. Correct me if I'm wrong. I tweeted this this morning. Correct me if I'm wrong. But 100%

00:33:03.420 of the press and pundits who have not personally analyzed the voting data say there's no fraud,

00:33:09.920 right? So everybody who didn't look into it did not personally research everything from counting the

00:33:18.300 ballots themselves to auditing every line of code and every part of the system for the voting system

00:33:27.260 private companies. All the people who did none of that say there's no fraud there. Does that pass the

00:33:35.780 fact check? That all the people who are saying there's no fraud have also not looked into it

00:33:41.560 personally, right? Now, how many people have looked into it personally and really dug into the data

00:33:49.520 and concluded after looking at all the voting data in the relevant places, how many people who know how

00:33:58.060 to do that and have dug into the data have concluded, hey, folks, I looked at all the data and it looks

00:34:04.440 good to me. I don't see any problems. How many of them are there? Still zero? I think zero, right? How many

00:34:14.200 people looked into the data and then concluded there was a problem or at least your eyebrows are going

00:34:21.820 crazy because it sure looks like there's a problem? How many people like that? Quite a few. Quite a few.

00:34:29.580 So again, I'm open to a fact check, but I believe all the people who haven't looked into anything

00:34:35.880 say that they haven't found anything. No surprise, because when you don't look for things,

00:34:41.700 it's easy to not find them. All the people who could have looked into it and found that there

00:34:49.100 were no problems, it seems like I've heard no reports of that. But all of the people who have

00:34:55.300 looked into it and really dug into it have found problems or alleged problems or the appearance of

00:35:00.940 problems. Fact check me. Are all those statements true? Does it mean anything? Well, it might. We'll find

00:35:10.560 out. Here's my current best guess of where this is going. There are deadlines in terms of when you have

00:35:23.060 to put in your claims of election misconduct. Do you think that we'll get past those deadlines

00:35:29.960 before any good information comes out about that, at least that proves there's some problem with the

00:35:37.040 vote? Very likely. Very likely that we will learn more and more as time goes by. We'll learn more and

00:35:45.660 more and we might find more and more fraud. So here is my belief about the world. My belief about the

00:35:52.200 world is this. In any complicated system, you end up with fraud. Whether it's the stock market or the

00:36:00.960 voting system, they're all complicated systems. And over time, they all become subject to fraud. No

00:36:07.620 exceptions. So given that it's just a big complicated system, the voting system, the odds of it being full of

00:36:15.260 fraud are really 100%. It's not even any chance. There's no chance of no fraud. The question is how

00:36:23.440 much, right? I think we're all on the same page, even Democrats, that yeah, there's always a little

00:36:30.480 fraud, always a little bit, but not necessarily enough to change an election with a 5 million vote

00:36:38.200 difference. So that's the first thing I think we agree on, that there's got to be a little bit. Now,

00:36:44.320 if there's a little bit of fraud, a baseline fraud, that also tells you that fraud is possible.

00:36:52.500 Right? Fraud is possible because it happens. And I tweeted some stories about specific ballot stuffing,

00:37:00.680 prosecutions, etc., where we know it's possible and we know it's done. So then the question is,

00:37:07.480 what is the extent of it? And again, this gets back to the press creating an image, at least in

00:37:16.500 Democrats, that Trump was actually literally Hiller. Now, if you know how to cheat, and it's possible,

00:37:24.900 and you could do it to stop who you believe you've been brainwashed to believe is Hiller,

00:37:30.300 how much fraud would you get in that year compared to all the past years when the only thing you were

00:37:38.580 trying to do was win the election versus stop the end of the world? Well, every bit of your common

00:37:45.300 sense and logic and reason says that whatever amount of fraud there had been in the past would

00:37:51.800 not even be close to what you should expect in this election. Again, I'm not saying I personally saw

00:37:58.940 it. I said that this setup of thinking that Hitler is running and having, you know, decades of knowing 0.85

00:38:05.940 that fraud is possible, it pretty much guarantees massive fraud. So if you ask me, Scott, what would

00:38:13.240 you bet that massive fraud, massive being more than ever before? I'll just, let me just define it as

00:38:21.560 more than ever before, as opposed to enough to change the election. What are the odds that we've

00:38:27.160 had more than ever before, and that it's widespread fraud this time? 100%. There isn't any chance that

00:38:34.320 didn't happen. There really isn't. Now, the second question still matters a lot. Was it enough?

00:38:43.240 That's what you will learn in the coming days. So far, I don't think, even in my own opinion,

00:38:51.380 I don't think I've seen enough in the public to say, oh yeah, that's it right there. But the time

00:38:59.220 that you would see the stuff that's good is sort of next week. All right? So we don't have to argue

00:39:07.620 about who will be right. We could just wait. Just get back to me next week. And if nothing happens

00:39:14.400 next week, maybe it's the week after. But in two weeks, you don't have to wonder if there are going

00:39:20.260 to be strong claims. Let me put that out there. I've seen a little bit more than you've seen.

00:39:27.240 And I think they're going to be strong claims. So, but here's how I think this is going to go.

00:39:33.840 It's based on the fact that the media has proven they can disappear entire stories and create

00:39:40.280 narratives that are just not true and make that the truth that the public sees. Now, they've

00:39:46.820 demonstrated that in the past several years. And I don't have to give you all the examples of

00:39:51.100 things they've disappeared and things they've created out of nothing. So they do have the power

00:39:55.840 now that even if Trump and his legal team can prove that the election was stolen and that reversing the

00:40:03.800 fraudulent votes would be enough to give him the re-election, even under those conditions where the

00:40:10.100 court can see it, the public can see it, the data is right in front of you, even in all of that proof,

00:40:15.940 I don't think it's enough. Because reality is not based on votes. Reality is a collective agreement

00:40:25.560 of what is real. And I believe that the news media is so strong now they can create a big enough

00:40:33.120 consensus that Biden won anyway, that Trump won't be able to keep the office, even with proof that he won.

00:40:43.280 Now, is that the most out-of-the-box prediction you've ever heard? Probably. But I actually don't

00:40:52.260 see how it could go any other way. Let me give you the other possibilities. So one possibility is that

00:40:58.800 Trump proves he won, and then it's just reversed. And then the court says, yeah, okay, you made your

00:41:06.760 case, you proved you won. We threw out a bunch of fraudulent votes. And so it's President Trump

00:41:13.240 re-elect. What would happen? Do you think that Joe Biden would just say, oh, okay. All right, good.

00:41:21.080 Well, I guess that's the way it goes. Well, I guess I'm not president. And then his supporters would say,

00:41:27.020 oh, darn. Darn it. Darn it all to pieces. We sure wish we won. But I guess we didn't. So better luck 1.00

00:41:38.580 next time. Guess we'll try harder next time. No, nothing like that would happen. So the path in

00:41:45.600 which Biden just says, okay, the data was not what we thought. I changed my mind. We'll get rid of our

00:41:51.580 transition team. Forget about those cabinet appointments. And I'll just go back to my

00:41:56.780 basement. I don't think it can happen. I think we've passed the point where reality can be adjusted

00:42:06.420 that much. In other words, the people who think Biden won are so firm in that belief that I don't

00:42:14.560 think there's any amount of counter evidence that will change it. And I think that President

00:42:21.400 Trump is going to be faced with this decision, the George Washington decision, which is sort of

00:42:27.920 perfect. And the George Washington decision is this. I could take power, because he probably could.

00:42:37.560 But would it be best for the country? And I think he would have to think seriously about his lifelong

00:42:45.160 instinct to win. This would put that all into focus. The most competitive personality we've ever seen in

00:42:57.220 the public domain. The person who wins, wins, wins, never quits. Wins, wins, wins, never quits.

00:43:03.100 Could he say, you know, I've proven I got more votes, and I'm going to step down? Could he? If he did,

00:43:13.920 it's George Washington time. Because he would do it for the love of the country. It would certainly not

00:43:19.660 be a personal preference. You know it wouldn't be a personal preference. You could be sure that he

00:43:26.520 doesn't personally want to step down. I feel confident about that. But if he did, it would be

00:43:33.540 a completely selfless act. Except that you would get Joe Biden as the president, which would be a

00:43:39.240 problem. Now he might negotiate something for that. But imagine if he did, and then started his own media

00:43:46.900 company. Here is the beauty of this play. If Trump stepped down, even after winning the technical vote,

00:43:57.720 the Electoral College, because just the country's mood just couldn't handle him, he would know that

00:44:05.320 the real power in this country is not the elected people. That would prove that the real power in this

00:44:13.140 country is the press, and who can create the narrative. And he might create his own press.

00:44:21.360 So imagine a President Trump being essentially driven out of office by a news, press, fake news bubble,

00:44:31.000 and then saying, oh, it looks like the real power is not politics. It looks like the real power is to

00:44:37.580 own a media platform, and then having him start one. Would you watch it? You know you would. Of course

00:44:46.800 you'd watch it. So I think the most likely path is that President Trump will show he won, and still not

00:44:54.640 be able to take the office for re-election. And he'll start a media platform, because that's where

00:45:00.720 real power is. Real power is in the media. It's not in the government anymore. What were the odds that

00:45:09.560 the Republicans would pick up a bunch of House seats, but lose the presidency by five million votes?

00:45:17.260 Do you think that that happened? Do you think that Republicans picked up substantial seats in the

00:45:24.620 House, while the President and the same party lost by five million votes? I don't feel like that

00:45:30.840 happened. Could happen, right? Can't rule down. It's not impossible. But I just don't feel like that

00:45:38.200 happened. I also don't feel like Joe Biden got more votes than anybody's ever gotten. There's just a lot

00:45:43.840 of stuff here that just doesn't look quite right. Now, our new hobby for the next several days will be

00:45:52.520 picking out social distancing hypocrites, because instead of Thanksgiving, I guess this year will be 0.91

00:45:59.580 Zoomsgiving. And Zoomgiving, as a holiday, is the most empty holiday of all time. At least Thanksgiving 0.90

00:46:09.240 has some real meaning. But Zoomsgiving is just an annoying call with your relatives. And so far, the

00:46:17.100 following social distancing hypocrites alleged Nancy Pelosi, she just had to cancel a thing. 1.00

00:46:24.160 Governor Newsom was apologizing for going to a dinner party. The Chicago mayor was partying with 0.80

00:46:30.800 the celebrants over the election. And then Chris Cuomo caught on camera at some someplace without his

00:46:37.340 mask. So I don't care about any of that stuff, really. None of it is, I don't know, it just doesn't

00:46:44.080 have any weight. But you'll see a lot of it. It's sort of a fun hobby, finding all the people who

00:46:50.060 are cheating. All right. There isn't much new news now. And part of it is because the president has

00:46:58.160 decided to starve the news media. I don't know what his thinking is on this. He might just not want to

00:47:07.360 be in public because the vote didn't go his way so far. And maybe he just doesn't want to be in

00:47:13.280 public for a while and he can be forgiven for that. But I feel as though the president staying away from

00:47:19.260 the press is punishing the press. Isn't it? It feels like he's punishing them on the bottom line by taking

00:47:28.420 away their clickbait, by taking away all their footage and everything that gets them clicks and

00:47:36.980 revenue. So he's really handicapping them by just staying out of the news. Now, I also think that if

00:47:44.720 he believes he can win, and it's pretty clear that he has that belief at this point, if he believes he

00:47:50.580 can win in these challenges, the best way he could play it would be to stay low. Would you agree?

00:48:00.340 Now, it doesn't seem in character. You expect him to be out front, you know, in front of the army,

00:48:06.160 fighting hard all the time. It's just his personality. But the best strategy, if that's what's happening,

00:48:12.760 and I don't know that that's what's happening, but the best strategy would be to quiet down all of the

00:48:19.340 fire that he normally brings to every situation. And it looked to me like at that little press

00:48:25.840 conference he gave, which was just on the topic of coronavirus, it looked to me like he was really

00:48:31.240 trying to tamp down the, you know, the fire and the gasoline. And if he does that enough, and a little

00:48:40.060 time goes by, maybe the public will start to get these little indications that there was something

00:48:47.160 wrong with the election. But Trump himself, maybe just some tweets about it, but not too much

00:48:53.300 to flame things up. His best play is to let it play out. Because if the process plays out, and then the

00:49:03.660 process says, you're the president, then maybe, just maybe he can avoid huge riots. There'll always be a little

00:49:13.420 bit of a rioting. But if he goes in like a, like the 500 pound gorilla, he says, I'm going to change

00:49:21.420 the, this election. You know, I'm telling you that it's wrong. I'm going to do this. I'm going to make

00:49:27.080 this result overturned. That would not be a good look. Because then that looks, that plays into the

00:49:34.660 dictator thing, and he can't accept the election, and all that stuff. But if he just steps back,

00:49:39.840 and starves the media, so that they don't have any good stories to get your blood boiling,

00:49:46.760 what would happen? I think you just, your, your tensions go down, the election starts to feel like

00:49:54.020 old news, because things move so fast, and you can get used to anything. So the best strategy might be to,

00:50:01.560 to dribble out, you know, these numbers look a little, little sketchy. You know, it's not just

00:50:10.620 these few numbers. We found some other numbers that look a little sketchy, too. We'll let the press

00:50:16.640 deal with that, and maybe some of the senators will weigh in, and we'll see how it plays out.

00:50:21.800 So I don't know if it is strategy or not for him to stay out of the, out of the public. He might just

00:50:30.980 not feel like it, and that would be perfectly appropriate, right? If you, if you have this

00:50:36.680 election outcome, you are entitled to a little bit of gulf, right? I mean, nobody would begrudge him or

00:50:44.860 Biden taking some time off. And by the way, the fact that Biden took some, he's taking a few days

00:50:50.760 off to recover from his campaign. I swear to God, it would almost be more fun to have a President Biden

00:51:00.600 just to see him struggle to do the job, and I'm not proud of that, but it would be interesting to see.

00:51:06.300 All right. Yeah, so there's some, I'm seeing in the comments that Elon Musk took four coronavirus

00:51:14.340 tests with the same tests and the same nurse. Two of them said he had coronavirus and two of them said

00:51:20.040 he did not. And he's asking the question, are these tests even real? I'm paraphrasing. And I guess

00:51:30.520 there's some, some question about the sensitivity of the tests. If they do, I don't know, 35 cycles,

00:51:38.260 whatever that means, they're good. If they do less than that, they're not. So there's some question

00:51:43.120 about whether the tests that we're using are even tests, or is it just a coin flip? I don't know.

00:51:49.780 Yeah, it's a coin flip test. All right, that's all I got for now. I will talk to you tomorrow.

00:51:53.980 All right, Periscope is off and YouTube's still on. He took the antigen test. You know, I keep

00:52:04.720 getting confused by the whole antigen versus finding the virus test. Somebody says, Scott is not MAGA

00:52:15.520 because he operates according to the media rules. I don't know what that means.

00:52:23.240 Get a grip. Okay. How's your health? Never better. My health is great, by the way.

00:52:31.880 Maybe the best it's ever been in my life, weirdly enough.

00:52:38.980 Wow, your questions are going by so quickly, it's hard to even see them.

00:52:42.300 Your thoughts on online hypnosis training. I don't think it works.

00:52:47.260 My experience is that if you don't do it in person, it probably doesn't work. I can't

00:52:54.280 guarantee it doesn't work, but I wouldn't bother trying it. Slaughter meter, I'm going to bump

00:53:00.920 it up to 96%. 96%.

00:53:05.440 What about Biden's anti-fraud organization? Well, haven't heard from them.

00:53:17.760 How to find a good hypnotist? People ask me all the time, how could you find a good

00:53:23.080 hypnosis instructor or a good hypnotist? And it's really hard to answer that question because usually

00:53:28.860 the only way you can do it is from reviews or personal recommendations. But if somebody is a good

00:53:35.460 hypnotist, they can certainly get somebody to give them a good recommendation. So hypnosis is the one

00:53:42.620 service where you should really not trust the reviews on reviews because it wouldn't be hard to get

00:53:50.940 people to give you good reviews, even if you didn't help them. Do you really think he'll do a George

00:53:57.760 Washington? I don't know that I could predict he will do that. Here's what I do predict. I do predict

00:54:05.540 that we will know there was massive fraud in the election and that we'll know that before inauguration.

00:54:11.560 I don't know if we will agree that it was massive enough that he should be the president. And if

00:54:18.860 there's any gray area, I think he won't become the president. But I think historians may very well

00:54:26.060 say, you know, he was the president, but he just didn't take the office.

00:54:31.140 It says, Scott, they are deleting evidence. Well, I don't know who they are or what evidence.

00:54:42.840 Somebody says, Dan Bongino owns Parler. I think he was, wasn't he an investor or something? I don't

00:54:49.940 know that he owns it. He will have to stay to preserve integrity. I don't know about that. Maybe.

00:55:01.140 Oh, yeah. It does look like Trump let his hair go gray. I don't know. Was that a coronavirus

00:55:07.700 thing? Did he do what everybody else did and, you know, he couldn't do as much hair care?

00:55:16.220 Ann Coulter thinks that Trumpism trumps Trump. Well, Trumpism was sort of a reflection of the

00:55:23.300 voters. So in that sense, yes.

00:55:25.140 Get Kraken. There was some kind of tweet about release the Kraken that was deleted before I

00:55:36.860 could see it. So I don't know what that Kraken is all about, but it's on Twitter. Seidel is the name

00:55:42.780 of the company that all the votes go to, and apparently they have offices in Germany. Why do

00:55:51.280 any of our votes go overseas? Don't you think that if we could do one thing to protect our votes of

00:55:57.600 this country, the one thing would be to make sure that the data on the voting never left the country?

00:56:04.180 I feel like that would be basic. Now, it's not that you can't hack it remotely, but if you put the

00:56:09.580 server in another country, I feel like that's just asking for trouble.

00:56:16.040 Why is the stock market going up, people are saying. I think people are optimistic about the

00:56:21.880 vaccine, and that's mostly it. What if they delete the Dominion evidence? How would they delete it?

00:56:31.200 If Dominion deleted their records and their logs, they would never work again. So if they were to

00:56:38.520 delete that, they would also be out of business. I don't think that'll happen. Could happen, but that

00:56:44.160 would also be an admission of guilt. Somebody says voting is not transparent. You are correct. It's not.

00:56:55.620 What if they delete the Dominion evidence? Well, so I've answered that. If they delete it,

00:57:00.280 it would be an admission of guilt. Thoughts on rallies today versus Antifa? So is there going to

00:57:08.480 be a big mix-up with Trump supporters and Antifa today? I don't know if Antifa wants to fight

00:57:14.900 because they think they got Joe Biden, right? And do they want Joe Biden? I don't even know if Antifa

00:57:21.560 wants a real president or they just want the end of society. I don't even know what they want.

00:57:27.800 All right, that's all I got for now, and I will talk to you tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 14, 2020

Episode 1187 Scott Adams： Let's Talk About Finding Election Fraud Without Actually Looking For it

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