Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1191 Scott Adams： Show us the Kraken or Maybe we Stop Believing it is Coming

00:00:00.000 Bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum

00:00:07.000 Hey everybody! Come on in. It's time. Yeah, it's time for Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:14.120 Best time of the day and we'll be looking for the Kraken today.

00:00:17.980 Yes we will. But first I would like your opinion.

00:00:22.120 I've been trying to print my notes for today to my printer.

00:00:26.600 My printer has decided not to print my notes.

00:00:32.680 It doesn't give me an error message, doesn't tell me what to do, has plenty of paper and plenty of ink, but it just won't print.

00:00:40.560 And what I need for you is an opinion.

00:00:43.860 Should I rip it out of the wall and throw it off of my balcony so we can watch it crash in pieces on my sidewalk below?

00:00:52.260 Or should I just calm down and let it go?

00:00:57.860 So I'll leave it to you.

00:00:59.680 Should I destroy it on camera?

00:01:02.040 Or should I let it go?

00:01:04.140 But first, in order to enjoy this day to the maximum,

00:01:08.340 you're going to need a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or gel,

00:01:10.540 just not a canteen jug or a flask or vessel of any kind.

00:01:13.700 And fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:01:15.580 And join me now for the ultimate.

00:01:21.320 It's the dopamine hit of the day.

00:01:22.940 It's the thing that makes everything better, except the cracking.

00:01:26.920 And it happens now. It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:01:29.520 Go.

00:01:33.700 Ooh.

00:01:34.880 Yep.

00:01:36.400 That's pretty good.

00:01:37.400 All right. Well, let me look at my little notes on my tiny little phone,

00:01:42.460 because I can't print them out,

00:01:44.420 because my printer just isn't getting it done today.

00:01:51.240 Yes, I did restart it. That didn't work.

00:01:53.460 All right.

00:01:54.220 Have you noticed that the news is boring without Trump?

00:01:59.040 Is there anybody who's noticed that yet?

00:02:00.780 You know, all Trump has to do is dial back his own public efforts by, you know,

00:02:08.920 30 percent or whatever, and suddenly there's no news.

00:02:12.940 Because the news industry completely stopped, you know, looking for actual news,

00:02:18.740 and they just started reporting on whatever Trump said and then insulting him.

00:02:23.900 And that was it.

00:02:25.380 That was the whole thing.

00:02:26.480 So, all right, there are enough people telling me that I should recycle my printer,

00:02:35.900 that I'm going to do it, but only to show you that it doesn't work, okay?

00:02:39.980 Hold on. Hold on right there.

00:02:55.040 All right, I'm back.

00:02:56.480 So, I'm going to recycle my printer.

00:02:59.100 If that doesn't work, maybe we'll throw it off the balcony.

00:03:03.440 All right.

00:03:06.460 We'll let that reboot for a moment.

00:03:12.860 So, it looks like the United States is getting money from Mexico for the wall.

00:03:22.020 Not directly.

00:03:23.020 My printer is making noise now.

00:03:27.360 Not directly, but apparently we have some kind of deal with Mexico that if somebody tries to destroy the wall to get through it,

00:03:37.460 that they will be fined to pay for the repair, and Mexico will collect that fine and give it to the United States.

00:03:43.500 And apparently that's actually happening.

00:03:45.420 So, if a Mexican wannabe illegal migrant hurts the wall, we get paid to fix the wall.

00:03:57.600 That's not nothing.

00:03:58.440 Better than nothing.

00:04:00.260 But it's not Mexico paying for the wall, of course.

00:04:03.020 Another big story is the president wants to draw down forces in Afghanistan and maybe other places.

00:04:11.640 And somebody says, where did I go?

00:04:18.280 Oh, you saw me go off screen.

00:04:20.040 And here's a little story that is good context for deciding whether the president or the generals and the pundits are the ones who are right about troop levels.

00:04:33.700 And here's my story.

00:04:36.200 Years ago, I used to be a budget guy at a big bank and then the phone company.

00:04:41.860 And at the phone company, my job was to go to all the individual departments and say, how much budget do you need for next year?

00:04:51.060 And then I would sum up all of their detailed requests and take it to the big boss.

00:04:56.920 So, I summed up all the individual budget requests, took it to the boss, and it was too much.

00:05:03.240 The budget was higher than he could afford.

00:05:05.580 So, I thought that what would happen next is he would look at each of the individual department requests,

00:05:11.820 and then each one individually he would look at and say, okay, they're asking for a little bit too much,

00:05:18.140 or this one's a higher priority than this one, so we'll cut this one, but we'll fund this one.

00:05:24.580 None of that happened.

00:05:27.300 Instead, the big boss looked at me and he said, cut everybody's budget by 10%.

00:05:33.240 And I said, well, that doesn't make any sense.

00:05:36.580 That would be completely irrational because all of these managers have done detailed studies

00:05:41.400 to find out exactly what budget they need to do the job that you've told them they have to do.

00:05:46.200 So, you can't just cut it 10%, because some people probably padded it, maybe some people didn't ask for enough.

00:05:55.480 It's completely irrational to just cut it 10% across the board.

00:06:01.400 And so, I made my argument that that didn't make sense, and the big boss looked at me and he said,

00:06:07.780 just cut it all by 10%, just cut it all by 10%, and watch everybody make it work.

00:06:13.720 So, I did.

00:06:15.520 I cut everybody's budget by 10%, and what do you think happened?

00:06:21.200 They made it work.

00:06:23.340 Didn't make any difference.

00:06:24.600 So, 100% of the underlings complained bitterly because their detailed budget was just ignored.

00:06:34.600 And they just said, I just give them 10% less than last year.

00:06:38.120 That was it.

00:06:39.100 And it worked out fine.

00:06:42.380 There wasn't a single problem that happened because of that decision.

00:06:46.620 Now, when Trump says to his generals, you need to draw down these forces, what do the generals say?

00:06:54.280 No way.

00:06:55.580 We've done a detailed study, and we can't possibly operate without this many people.

00:07:02.480 We're at the bare minimum.

00:07:04.240 In fact, you should be adding people, not subtracting people in Afghanistan.

00:07:09.000 And what does a good, experienced, big boss say in that situation?

00:07:16.800 When all of the experts, all of them, every general, every person who's fought there,

00:07:22.900 every one of them says, no, you can't cut those forces.

00:07:27.280 Cut it anyway.

00:07:29.280 Cut it anyway.

00:07:31.680 Here, we'll take care of you so you don't have to suffer.

00:07:36.160 Problem solved.

00:07:37.000 So, if you've ever worked in a big company, you know that the president is the one who's

00:07:47.260 playing the smart game with Afghanistan.

00:07:50.700 Nobody knows how many people we need there.

00:07:54.240 But less, at least, is leadership, right?

00:07:58.540 At least if you say, my goal is to get rid of all of them, and I'm going to do it as fast

00:08:03.860 as I possibly can.

00:08:05.000 At least it's leadership.

00:08:07.000 And I feel like the generals, et cetera, will make it work.

00:08:12.760 So, apparently, he's going to draw down some forces, and they will make it work.

00:08:18.000 Amazon is going into the pharmacy business, which could be a gigantic deal.

00:08:25.540 Because I feel as if Amazon should be your doctor.

00:08:31.100 I took some blood tests and urine tests the other day.

00:08:37.360 So, I got a full panel of, you know, just generic blood tests.

00:08:43.040 Now, everything's fine.

00:08:44.560 So, that's the good news.

00:08:45.740 There was nothing to worry about.

00:08:47.160 But when I get the report, it's sent to me as the patient.

00:08:50.960 And it goes to my little online account.

00:08:53.680 And I take out my app, and I look at it.

00:08:55.620 And it's two pages of things that make no sense to me as a consumer.

00:09:01.340 Because I don't know what these little, you know, these various figures mean.

00:09:06.600 Now, it does tell you if you're within the field or not.

00:09:12.060 But it doesn't tell you if you had too much of this or too little of it, what would it mean?

00:09:17.700 Because some of the values are sort of, you know, toward the edge of the field.

00:09:22.260 Now, if they had made it friendly and simply said, look, here's your test.

00:09:27.920 And you can read it.

00:09:29.100 And if anything is confusing, just click on it.

00:09:32.220 And you can see a full description of what may be problems you might have if this indication is too high or whatever.

00:09:39.540 And it's completely useless the way it is.

00:09:43.940 Now, what is it that Amazon does amazingly well?

00:09:49.900 User interface, right?

00:09:51.840 The user interface for Amazon is just crazy.

00:09:55.840 It's so good.

00:09:56.900 And Apple does a good job of that stuff, too.

00:09:59.200 So if you see Amazon getting into the health business, the first thing you should say to yourself is,

00:10:06.280 are they going to make it simpler?

00:10:08.900 Shouldn't I be able to get a blood test anytime I want?

00:10:12.380 Because all they do is draw blood and send it off.

00:10:15.220 Shouldn't I be able to get that myself?

00:10:17.860 Pay $25 and just get one anytime I want.

00:10:21.840 And get results that I don't even need a doctor to look at.

00:10:25.840 That I can just read it and say, oh, this one says you should cut down on dessert and maybe exercise more because you're a little pre-diabetic.

00:10:33.900 I could completely understand that if they put it in English, but they put it in medical terms, so I can't.

00:10:40.380 Anyway, so if the only thing that Amazon did is start turning the medical field into something that has a good user interface that you could actually understand what you're looking at,

00:10:52.920 that would be gigantic and would certainly help the competitive situation.

00:10:59.160 So President Trump fired the homeland security cyber chief, Christopher Krebs, because Krebs had announced publicly that this was the most secure election ever.

00:11:13.360 And I guess if you're working for Trump at the moment and you say the election is the most secure one ever, you're going to get fired.

00:11:25.340 So he got fired.

00:11:28.100 And it's also being reported that the election officials in each state had been contacted, I think by the New York Times.

00:11:37.880 New York Times contacted all the election officials in each state and said, has there been any fraud or problems this year?

00:11:44.400 And every single state said, no problem.

00:11:50.940 So that's pretty good, right?

00:11:53.640 All the people who were in charge of the elections in each of these states have reported, and I think we can believe them,

00:12:01.500 that the people who were in charge of the elections did a great job, according to the people who were in charge of the elections.

00:12:09.820 And the New York Times asked the people who were in charge of the elections if the people in charge of the elections did a good job.

00:12:19.680 And the people in charge of the elections said, yes, the people in charge of the elections did a great job, maybe the best one ever.

00:12:27.840 It's possible that nobody's ever done a good job this good.

00:12:30.960 And the New York Times printed that like that was telling you something that you needed to know.

00:12:36.740 So here's a little experiment.

00:12:41.160 Go into any prison and ask the prisoners if they're guilty.

00:12:45.560 Some will say yes.

00:12:46.960 But you'll be amazed how many people in prison will tell you that they're innocent.

00:12:51.340 And they must be innocent, because you're asking the person who knows, right?

00:12:56.500 I mean, the person in prison, they have the most information,

00:13:01.080 the most credible information about whether they committed the crime.

00:13:04.440 Because they were a direct witness to whether they committed it or not.

00:13:08.880 So just ask them.

00:13:10.140 And if they say they're innocent, well, I think you have to free them.

00:13:13.980 Because that makes sense, right?

00:13:16.000 You ask the people who would be incriminating themselves if they answered one way.

00:13:22.000 You could trust that.

00:13:23.100 So when the guy who's in charge of making sure that our elections are fair

00:13:28.360 says that he did a terrific job, and it might be the best election fairness you've ever had,

00:13:34.340 fire that asshole.

00:13:37.260 You should fire that asshole.

00:13:40.780 Because he does not get to say,

00:13:44.320 the election is great because it was my job to make it great,

00:13:48.220 so trust me and give me a big promotion.

00:13:50.140 It just doesn't work that way.

00:13:53.520 If there wasn't somebody auditing him, you don't know, right?

00:13:59.660 Because the last person you should trust is that guy.

00:14:04.600 He's the one person in the whole country that you shouldn't believe.

00:14:09.880 Because if you go to any employee and say,

00:14:12.840 how'd you do?

00:14:14.380 Have you ever done an employee performance review?

00:14:17.280 Did you ever have your employee come in for an employee performance review?

00:14:22.000 You say, how'd you do?

00:14:24.020 And the employee says, you know, wasn't my best year.

00:14:27.900 I've had better years, honestly.

00:14:30.500 I feel like I didn't work very hard,

00:14:32.820 and everything I tried was a failure.

00:14:36.060 Has that ever happened?

00:14:38.460 No.

00:14:40.180 Nope.

00:14:40.700 And it never will happen.

00:14:43.280 Because if you ask people if they did a good job,

00:14:46.420 they're kind of going to say yes pretty much every time.

00:14:51.060 So we can't listen to any of the people who were in charge

00:14:54.560 to ask them if they did a good job.

00:14:57.440 The reason that you have a special,

00:15:00.320 what is it, a special counsel, Durham or whatever,

00:15:02.720 looking into the Department of Justice,

00:15:05.080 it's because you can't ask the Department of Justice

00:15:08.600 if they did a good job.

00:15:11.200 Because do you know what they'll say?

00:15:13.120 Yeah.

00:15:14.360 Yeah, we did great.

00:15:16.180 Best year ever.

00:15:19.440 So if you don't have a special counsel or an audit,

00:15:23.460 you don't have anything.

00:15:26.180 All right.

00:15:27.280 So that was a good firing.

00:15:29.080 Here's something that should have been in the news,

00:15:31.820 but instead it came to me in a DM on Twitter.

00:15:36.200 And so I need you to fact check me on this.

00:15:39.580 All right.

00:15:40.080 Because I should not be getting better information

00:15:42.500 from people on Twitter

00:15:45.020 than I should be from the professional news organizations.

00:15:49.140 I don't think what I'm going to read is correct.

00:15:52.880 So, you know, don't put too much faith in it

00:15:57.840 until you see some fact checking in the comments.

00:15:59.920 But, according to Kyle, who messaged me this morning,

00:16:07.020 he believes that he has seen in the news so far

00:16:09.720 four errors out of Georgia

00:16:11.620 because they're doing the recount there.

00:16:14.160 And in the following counties,

00:16:16.280 he says that the recount has had the following changes.

00:16:21.820 Floyd County, 800 more votes to Trump.

00:16:25.800 Fayette, 449 to Trump.

00:16:28.140 Walton, 176 to Trump.

00:16:31.860 And then DeKalb, if this is true,

00:16:34.640 9,626 to Trump.

00:16:38.200 Now, I need a fact check on that.

00:16:40.600 Is it true that there are four different counties

00:16:44.340 with problems in Georgia

00:16:45.880 and that the numbers I just read are...

00:16:50.940 Okay.

00:16:52.040 Let me pause.

00:16:53.060 I'll call it DeKalb, okay?

00:16:56.220 Instead of DeKalb, DeKalb, DeKalb.

00:17:00.240 Is that the correct pronunciation?

00:17:02.720 Do you think I care how they pronounce their county?

00:17:05.560 I don't.

00:17:07.320 If you put an extra letter in the spelling of your county,

00:17:13.020 I'm going to pronounce it any fucking way I want.

00:17:15.740 And I'm going to pronounce it with the L.

00:17:17.520 Get rid of the L.

00:17:18.340 If you don't want me to pronounce it the wrong way,

00:17:21.160 get the L out of there.

00:17:24.920 Anyway, so are there four counties?

00:17:28.420 And would the total of those four counties

00:17:30.880 be over 11,000 votes that have switched to Trump

00:17:35.380 and that Biden only won by 14,000?

00:17:39.540 Are my numbers right?

00:17:44.980 So that would give you only another 3,000

00:17:48.680 that you would have to find that switched

00:17:51.120 or that would be switched to Trump

00:17:54.560 to put him over the top in Georgia?

00:17:56.780 Are those numbers right?

00:17:57.740 Okay, I'm just looking at your answers.

00:18:08.440 So give me a fact check on that

00:18:10.660 because at the very least,

00:18:13.980 why did the news not give me a summary

00:18:16.580 of these changes in Georgia?

00:18:19.400 Why do I have to get it from a DM, right?

00:18:23.560 It's the craziest thing.

00:18:24.940 The news is so defective

00:18:26.920 that this little bit of summary,

00:18:29.860 which is the only thing

00:18:30.720 that puts any of it in context,

00:18:32.620 because you don't know if Georgia is going well

00:18:34.640 or poorly for the president,

00:18:36.240 unless you see the summary.

00:18:38.100 Why do I have to get it from individual on Twitter

00:18:41.660 and not the news?

00:18:42.820 I mean, it's just crazy.

00:18:48.460 Yeah, so the 9,600 were taken away from Biden

00:18:51.140 but not added to Trump.

00:18:54.940 Somebody says,

00:18:58.600 DeKalb votes were only switched in recount,

00:19:01.900 which means what?

00:19:05.400 Because I'm seeing something about

00:19:07.000 the numbers that will be reported

00:19:09.120 are not the recount numbers,

00:19:10.820 but the original.

00:19:12.020 And I don't even understand that story.

00:19:14.520 Why would you report the original numbers

00:19:16.280 if you're doing a recount?

00:19:17.940 That doesn't make sense.

00:19:18.760 Most of the news doesn't make

00:19:21.640 any damn sense, does it?

00:19:25.200 I swear that all the context

00:19:27.100 is left out of all the stories.

00:19:29.260 So you read the story

00:19:30.160 and you can kind of understand

00:19:31.400 what it's saying,

00:19:32.740 but it doesn't make any damn sense

00:19:34.820 because everything's missing.

00:19:37.600 So how in the world does it make sense?

00:19:39.700 Well,

00:19:40.860 change the topic.

00:19:43.120 All right.

00:19:46.260 About half of all Republicans,

00:19:48.440 according to a new poll,

00:19:49.900 Reuters,

00:19:52.400 Ipsos poll,

00:19:54.280 I don't know who Ipsos is,

00:19:56.960 but about half of all Republicans

00:19:58.500 believe that Trump

00:19:59.940 won the election,

00:20:02.360 rightfully,

00:20:03.320 in terms of votes,

00:20:05.360 and that voter fraud

00:20:07.360 is the only reason

00:20:08.380 that Joe Biden won.

00:20:10.440 Now, do you believe that?

00:20:11.360 Do you believe that half

00:20:12.600 of all Republicans

00:20:14.540 believe that the election

00:20:16.460 was fraudulent?

00:20:18.480 Half?

00:20:19.060 Does that sound right?

00:20:21.200 I don't know where they get half

00:20:22.860 because I don't know anybody

00:20:25.240 who thinks it was

00:20:26.020 a fair election.

00:20:27.660 Do you?

00:20:28.720 Have you met anybody

00:20:29.760 who thinks the election was fair?

00:20:31.880 I mean that literally.

00:20:34.120 I have not met anybody

00:20:35.280 who was a Trump supporter.

00:20:37.180 I've not met any

00:20:38.380 who think that the election

00:20:39.540 was credible and fair.

00:20:42.600 Have you?

00:20:43.920 Where do they come up

00:20:45.400 with 50% of people

00:20:46.620 who thought the election

00:20:47.380 was fair?

00:20:50.300 Now, it's possible

00:20:51.520 that it was.

00:20:52.900 I like to say this,

00:20:54.720 you know,

00:20:54.980 I like to drop that in

00:20:56.060 every now and then,

00:20:57.220 because if you don't

00:20:58.040 keep open the possibility

00:20:59.600 that all of the reports

00:21:02.060 are just BS,

00:21:03.400 that maybe it was just fine,

00:21:05.360 or maybe the problems

00:21:06.980 are there,

00:21:07.700 but they're small.

00:21:09.100 It's possible.

00:21:10.180 You can't rule out yet,

00:21:12.380 can't rule out

00:21:13.740 that either one of them won.

00:21:16.660 They're both possibilities

00:21:17.920 at this point.

00:21:19.580 All right.

00:21:21.920 I'm seeing a horrible trend,

00:21:24.740 which is the Democrats

00:21:26.840 are all talking about

00:21:27.980 prosecuting the Trump family,

00:21:30.620 and they don't even

00:21:32.260 talk about for what.

00:21:35.260 Think about that.

00:21:36.660 There are multiple stories

00:21:38.520 about Democrats saying,

00:21:42.320 yeah, when Trump's

00:21:43.080 out of office,

00:21:43.740 let's prosecute him

00:21:44.740 and prosecute the whole family.

00:21:46.560 And what they leave out

00:21:47.780 of all those stories

00:21:49.020 is for what?

00:21:52.200 Are you aware

00:21:54.580 of any crimes

00:21:55.520 that are even alleged

00:21:56.980 against anybody

00:21:58.780 in the Trump circle?

00:22:00.620 Now, I know

00:22:01.340 that there are

00:22:02.200 some kinds of

00:22:04.860 investigations going on,

00:22:07.100 but have we heard

00:22:08.040 anything about

00:22:08.940 any of those

00:22:09.720 that would tell you

00:22:10.820 that there's something

00:22:11.520 out there?

00:22:12.400 I've heard zero reports

00:22:14.380 of anything

00:22:15.920 that would look

00:22:16.640 like a crime

00:22:17.500 that any of the Trump

00:22:21.460 members were involved in.

00:22:23.200 Why are we talking

00:22:24.160 about it like it's a given

00:22:25.420 that there are

00:22:26.600 some crimes out there

00:22:27.720 and if he's not president

00:22:28.920 he'll be prosecuted?

00:22:30.620 What crimes?

00:22:32.200 Are you telling me

00:22:32.940 that four years

00:22:33.880 of looking for crimes

00:22:35.040 and you can't find any

00:22:36.620 but you're going to find

00:22:38.500 him the minute

00:22:39.000 he's out of office?

00:22:41.020 Maybe.

00:22:42.020 I don't know.

00:22:42.540 But it doesn't look

00:22:47.020 like people

00:22:47.780 trying to find

00:22:49.880 justice.

00:22:51.420 It doesn't have

00:22:52.400 that feel to it,

00:22:53.420 does it?

00:22:54.140 It feels like

00:22:55.160 hate

00:22:55.580 and revenge

00:22:57.280 and that's all.

00:23:00.140 It just feels like

00:23:01.180 hate and revenge.

00:23:02.280 So the same impulse

00:23:03.240 that makes people

00:23:04.620 want to hunt down

00:23:05.480 Trump supporters

00:23:06.380 and punish them

00:23:07.300 for their

00:23:08.520 political opinions,

00:23:09.540 opinions.

00:23:10.860 It's just more

00:23:12.020 of that

00:23:12.540 except directed

00:23:14.220 at the Trump family.

00:23:16.220 So this is the worst

00:23:17.540 of humanity here.

00:23:19.760 Apparently Biden himself

00:23:21.040 to his credit

00:23:22.100 is hesitant

00:23:23.720 to want

00:23:25.780 to prosecute

00:23:26.560 Trump

00:23:26.960 and he should be

00:23:27.640 because if you make

00:23:29.240 that your standard

00:23:30.120 it's coming

00:23:31.440 for you.

00:23:33.000 If you're the president

00:23:34.460 if you get elected

00:23:36.460 president

00:23:36.920 the worst

00:23:37.620 thing you can do

00:23:38.800 is go after

00:23:40.140 the person you beat.

00:23:42.180 Do not do that

00:23:43.660 because if you go

00:23:45.160 after the person

00:23:45.960 you beat

00:23:46.560 whoever replaces you

00:23:48.960 is going to do

00:23:50.160 the same thing.

00:23:51.520 The only thing

00:23:52.340 that protects

00:23:52.880 a president

00:23:53.400 after office

00:23:54.240 is that the president

00:23:55.720 in office

00:23:56.340 doesn't want to be

00:23:57.140 treated that way

00:23:57.920 and so you know

00:23:59.580 maybe takes a little

00:24:01.240 easy or pardons

00:24:02.300 or whatever

00:24:02.840 they have to do.

00:24:03.680 All right.

00:24:05.400 Did you see the video

00:24:06.620 of this guy

00:24:07.220 Ned Stabler?

00:24:08.440 He's a Democrat

00:24:09.240 and I think it's Michigan

00:24:10.280 and he was on a Zoom call

00:24:12.460 that got recorded

00:24:13.220 and he's threatening

00:24:14.740 two other county officials

00:24:16.720 Republicans I think

00:24:18.000 who didn't want

00:24:19.380 to certify the vote.

00:24:21.100 Now it turns out

00:24:21.720 that they got talked

00:24:22.960 into it

00:24:23.420 or threatened into it

00:24:24.480 so they did certify it

00:24:25.740 but when you listen

00:24:27.440 to this guy

00:24:27.960 Ned Stabler

00:24:28.800 and the hate

00:24:31.420 that he has

00:24:33.000 for his fellow humans

00:24:34.440 it's not about

00:24:35.640 policy at all.

00:24:39.080 It doesn't seem

00:24:40.120 to be about

00:24:40.660 differences of opinion.

00:24:42.520 It just seems

00:24:43.620 to be hate

00:24:44.280 and so I say again

00:24:46.540 we need to get

00:24:47.800 some hate crimes

00:24:49.100 on the books

00:24:49.800 for Trump supporters

00:24:51.760 meaning that

00:24:53.160 if you're targeted

00:24:53.900 for being a Trump supporter

00:24:55.360 and let's say

00:24:57.120 if you're being

00:24:57.880 if you're called

00:24:58.720 a racist

00:24:59.220 just for being

00:25:00.920 a Trump supporter

00:25:01.920 should you be fired

00:25:03.260 from your job

00:25:05.060 and or

00:25:06.720 prosecuted.

00:25:09.560 I don't know

00:25:10.400 if you could be

00:25:10.820 prosecuted for an insult

00:25:11.920 but let's say

00:25:13.200 could you be fired

00:25:15.560 from your job

00:25:16.480 for saying

00:25:17.920 that a Trump supporter

00:25:18.960 let's say

00:25:19.380 a co-worker

00:25:20.040 is a racist

00:25:21.560 because they're

00:25:22.920 a Trump supporter

00:25:23.660 with no other

00:25:24.460 evidence needed

00:25:26.480 to make the case.

00:25:27.660 I feel like

00:25:29.460 that's a hate crime

00:25:30.320 and that if

00:25:32.220 your co-worker

00:25:32.880 accused you

00:25:33.600 of being a racist

00:25:34.520 for supporting

00:25:36.060 Trump

00:25:36.860 you should be fired.

00:25:38.680 The person

00:25:39.240 making the accusation

00:25:40.260 should be fired

00:25:41.240 because how would

00:25:42.080 that be different

00:25:42.660 than a racist

00:25:43.780 accusation?

00:25:45.760 It's all based on

00:25:46.800 it's basically

00:25:48.460 just racism

00:25:49.420 that's all it is.

00:25:51.940 So

00:25:52.000 so as we're

00:25:55.860 looking at

00:25:56.300 what mattered

00:25:56.980 in this election

00:25:58.080 it turns out

00:25:59.420 that calling

00:26:00.200 for defunding

00:26:01.700 the police

00:26:02.360 while the news

00:26:04.000 is showing

00:26:04.500 non-stop rioting

00:26:05.800 on television

00:26:06.480 doesn't

00:26:08.240 doesn't help

00:26:09.020 your candidates

00:26:10.480 on the down ticket.

00:26:13.180 So

00:26:13.820 no big surprise

00:26:15.740 that

00:26:16.920 most people

00:26:17.820 like police.

00:26:20.680 But I did

00:26:21.700 see a story

00:26:22.260 that said

00:26:22.640 the coronavirus

00:26:23.340 wasn't that

00:26:24.360 big of a decision.

00:26:25.520 Do you think

00:26:26.680 that's true?

00:26:28.040 Do you think

00:26:28.580 that people's

00:26:29.380 decision about

00:26:30.380 who they wanted

00:26:31.180 for president

00:26:31.940 didn't have

00:26:33.620 much to do

00:26:34.320 with

00:26:34.700 coronavirus?

00:26:36.420 Because I was

00:26:37.300 feeling

00:26:37.740 ahead of the

00:26:38.360 election

00:26:38.680 I was feeling

00:26:39.300 that might

00:26:39.780 be the case

00:26:40.500 and partly

00:26:41.900 because

00:26:42.600 the coronavirus

00:26:44.380 is going to

00:26:46.320 sort of

00:26:46.680 take care

00:26:47.140 of itself.

00:26:48.460 In other words

00:26:49.220 whether Trump's

00:26:50.000 in office

00:26:50.420 or Biden's

00:26:51.500 in office

00:26:52.020 you kind of

00:26:53.240 know where

00:26:53.680 it's going to

00:26:54.140 go at this

00:26:54.740 point,

00:26:55.120 right?

00:26:55.740 You know

00:26:56.140 we're going

00:26:56.440 to have

00:26:56.600 a really

00:26:56.980 ugly winter

00:26:57.800 and our

00:26:58.380 health care

00:26:59.060 workers will

00:27:00.340 be stretched

00:27:01.460 to the max.

00:27:03.060 Doesn't matter

00:27:03.600 if it's Biden,

00:27:04.300 doesn't matter

00:27:04.660 if it's Trump,

00:27:05.380 our hospitals

00:27:06.380 are going to

00:27:06.740 be full

00:27:07.200 this winter.

00:27:08.340 There's

00:27:08.580 basically no

00:27:09.640 way around

00:27:10.100 it.

00:27:11.000 And we

00:27:11.680 know that

00:27:12.060 the vaccine

00:27:12.880 is promising

00:27:15.100 and almost

00:27:15.800 certainly by

00:27:16.800 the end

00:27:18.180 of 2021

00:27:18.980 things should

00:27:20.260 be looking

00:27:20.660 good no

00:27:21.140 matter who

00:27:22.160 the president

00:27:22.720 is.

00:27:23.580 So I have

00:27:24.320 a feeling

00:27:24.700 that when

00:27:25.040 people voted

00:27:25.720 and this is

00:27:26.560 the way I

00:27:27.140 would have

00:27:27.460 processed it

00:27:28.200 I would have

00:27:29.120 said to myself

00:27:29.820 you're not

00:27:31.020 really voting

00:27:31.620 for the past

00:27:32.460 so even if

00:27:34.280 you think

00:27:34.820 Trump should

00:27:36.000 have handled

00:27:36.460 coronavirus

00:27:37.040 differently

00:27:37.880 it's the

00:27:39.280 past.

00:27:40.460 You can't

00:27:41.180 go back.

00:27:42.420 You can't

00:27:42.740 go fix it.

00:27:44.200 You know

00:27:44.480 Joe Biden

00:27:45.400 said that he

00:27:45.960 would have

00:27:46.240 handled the

00:27:46.780 crime bill

00:27:47.600 from the

00:27:48.380 90s.

00:27:49.180 He said he

00:27:49.840 would have

00:27:50.100 done that

00:27:50.500 differently.

00:27:50.920 But he

00:27:52.360 can't go

00:27:52.740 back.

00:27:54.060 Right?

00:27:54.340 He doesn't

00:27:54.720 have the

00:27:55.080 option of

00:27:55.520 going back.

00:27:56.740 So you've

00:27:57.260 got two

00:27:57.660 people who

00:27:58.280 both had

00:27:58.940 you know

00:27:59.540 a little

00:27:59.920 let's say

00:28:01.340 some baggage

00:28:02.140 according to

00:28:03.440 their critics

00:28:04.140 of something

00:28:05.340 that happened

00:28:05.880 before.

00:28:07.000 But if those

00:28:07.840 things are not

00:28:08.500 likely to come

00:28:09.280 up again

00:28:09.860 and they

00:28:11.300 don't seem

00:28:11.840 representative

00:28:12.580 of you know

00:28:13.380 who they are

00:28:13.900 as leaders

00:28:14.360 you can kind

00:28:15.500 of discount

00:28:15.960 them a little

00:28:16.520 bit.

00:28:17.420 You can kind

00:28:17.920 of say I

00:28:18.480 don't think

00:28:18.880 we're going

00:28:19.120 to have a

00:28:19.460 second pandemic

00:28:20.340 and if

00:28:21.480 we did

00:28:21.880 we'd be

00:28:22.340 fairly ready

00:28:23.360 for it

00:28:23.800 I think.

00:28:24.660 We had

00:28:25.020 some practice.

00:28:26.580 So probably

00:28:27.820 people are

00:28:28.320 saying some

00:28:28.980 version of

00:28:29.720 what do we

00:28:30.920 need the

00:28:31.280 president for

00:28:32.040 for the

00:28:32.460 next four

00:28:33.140 years not

00:28:33.780 the last

00:28:34.240 four years.

00:28:36.040 And on

00:28:36.920 that basis

00:28:37.460 you could

00:28:37.880 probably say

00:28:38.900 coronavirus

00:28:39.640 isn't your

00:28:41.320 number one

00:28:41.820 thing that

00:28:42.220 you're voting

00:28:42.640 on.

00:28:44.500 Whereas

00:28:45.020 defunding the

00:28:45.760 police definitely

00:28:46.780 is going to

00:28:47.280 affect you in

00:28:47.820 the next four

00:28:48.320 years if it

00:28:48.880 happens.

00:28:49.200 I saw a

00:28:51.580 couple of

00:28:51.920 studies about

00:28:52.740 masks.

00:28:54.120 So we

00:28:54.880 now have the

00:28:55.760 definitive word

00:28:57.160 on masks.

00:28:58.080 We've been

00:28:58.380 talking about

00:28:58.920 it for months

00:28:59.440 and months.

00:29:00.560 Do masks

00:29:01.320 work?

00:29:02.560 Do they not

00:29:03.320 work?

00:29:03.880 And now we

00:29:04.360 have two

00:29:04.840 studies and

00:29:06.080 finally we

00:29:06.980 can say with

00:29:07.900 certainty that

00:29:10.100 one of the

00:29:10.500 studies says

00:29:11.180 that masks

00:29:12.020 do work and

00:29:14.120 the other one

00:29:14.640 says they

00:29:15.100 don't.

00:29:15.520 so trust

00:29:18.780 science is

00:29:19.520 what I

00:29:19.860 say.

00:29:21.100 Trust

00:29:21.340 science.

00:29:22.520 And science

00:29:23.020 says unambiguously

00:29:25.180 that those

00:29:26.640 masks definitely

00:29:27.660 work and

00:29:28.940 also, also

00:29:30.680 true, they

00:29:32.040 definitely don't.

00:29:33.900 So science

00:29:34.580 is spoken and

00:29:36.440 I think unless

00:29:37.200 you are a

00:29:37.800 bunch of

00:29:38.200 unscientific

00:29:40.940 flat earthers,

00:29:41.720 you should

00:29:43.340 believe science

00:29:44.200 when it tells

00:29:45.100 you that

00:29:45.500 masks totally

00:29:46.980 work and

00:29:48.580 also, also

00:29:50.420 at the same

00:29:50.980 time, totally

00:29:52.120 don't.

00:29:53.680 So it's both

00:29:54.400 true.

00:29:55.460 Listen to

00:29:56.000 science.

00:29:57.700 So both of

00:29:58.340 those happened

00:29:58.800 today.

00:30:02.380 Even Jake

00:30:03.400 Tapper says

00:30:04.260 that the

00:30:05.100 speed with

00:30:06.400 which the

00:30:06.920 vaccines have

00:30:07.840 been created

00:30:08.440 is, quote,

00:30:09.640 this is an

00:30:10.960 unmitigated

00:30:11.800 success and

00:30:13.320 we should

00:30:13.680 acknowledge

00:30:14.080 that, said

00:30:15.160 Jake

00:30:15.400 Tapper, which

00:30:16.840 I agree and

00:30:20.080 appreciate.

00:30:21.220 I think, you

00:30:22.180 know, as we

00:30:24.980 move into the

00:30:25.760 future, I

00:30:27.040 think Trump's

00:30:28.220 warp speed

00:30:29.360 thing here is

00:30:30.100 going to start

00:30:30.760 looking a little

00:30:31.280 bit like a

00:30:31.820 moonshot.

00:30:33.380 And it might

00:30:34.080 become the

00:30:34.680 model that

00:30:35.280 people talk

00:30:35.900 about for

00:30:37.140 how federal

00:30:37.780 government can

00:30:38.580 make, you

00:30:39.260 know, make

00:30:39.620 the country do

00:30:40.380 something that

00:30:41.120 even the

00:30:42.240 country didn't

00:30:42.820 think it

00:30:43.200 could do.

00:30:44.620 So I have

00:30:45.640 a feeling that's

00:30:46.340 really going to

00:30:46.840 last the test

00:30:47.660 of time in

00:30:48.940 terms of good

00:30:49.740 leadership, even

00:30:51.100 if other things

00:30:52.080 that he did

00:30:53.240 do not.

00:30:55.120 Sweden is

00:30:56.140 throwing us a

00:30:56.840 curveball.

00:30:58.260 Of course,

00:30:58.860 little Sweden

00:30:59.440 was always fun

00:31:00.220 to talk about

00:31:00.960 because they

00:31:01.660 did everything

00:31:02.280 differently.

00:31:03.380 They didn't

00:31:03.900 do a severe

00:31:04.720 shutdown.

00:31:06.060 They took

00:31:06.800 their lumps,

00:31:07.560 had a high

00:31:08.260 death count,

00:31:09.040 but then the

00:31:09.960 death count

00:31:10.400 went down to

00:31:11.040 practically

00:31:11.460 nothing.

00:31:12.600 And people

00:31:12.960 said, whoa,

00:31:14.320 Sweden, smart

00:31:15.860 little Sweden,

00:31:16.580 you must have

00:31:17.040 done something

00:31:17.480 right.

00:31:18.540 You're non-shutdown,

00:31:21.000 non-lockdown.

00:31:23.500 Maybe you got

00:31:24.300 some kind of

00:31:24.880 herd immunity

00:31:26.180 going, we don't

00:31:26.960 know what, but it

00:31:27.940 worked, whatever

00:31:28.480 you did, so maybe

00:31:29.940 we should be using

00:31:30.680 this Sweden

00:31:31.280 model.

00:31:32.380 Oh, except

00:31:33.580 update.

00:31:36.000 Sweden decided

00:31:37.040 to lock

00:31:37.640 down.

00:31:39.340 So Sweden

00:31:40.300 is not going

00:31:41.600 to be as

00:31:42.300 locked down

00:31:43.080 as maybe

00:31:44.060 European countries

00:31:45.080 or even

00:31:45.560 us in a

00:31:47.020 few weeks,

00:31:47.940 I'm guessing.

00:31:49.260 But Sweden

00:31:50.420 is getting

00:31:50.940 tougher, so

00:31:51.740 they are

00:31:52.640 putting lots

00:31:53.320 of limits

00:31:53.840 on public

00:31:55.900 gatherings,

00:31:56.620 et cetera.

00:31:57.600 Now, I think

00:31:58.160 that they're

00:31:58.540 still a little

00:31:59.120 looser than

00:31:59.660 most places,

00:32:00.260 but apparently

00:32:02.400 Sweden decided

00:32:04.320 that they don't

00:32:05.060 want to be

00:32:05.440 like Sweden.

00:32:06.600 So let me

00:32:07.020 put it this

00:32:07.460 way.

00:32:08.580 If you were

00:32:09.440 in the United

00:32:10.040 States and

00:32:10.840 you were an

00:32:11.280 American and

00:32:12.020 you said to

00:32:12.500 yourself,

00:32:13.440 why can't

00:32:14.020 we be more

00:32:14.660 like Sweden?

00:32:17.100 Congratulations.

00:32:18.540 You're now

00:32:19.100 just like

00:32:19.640 Sweden.

00:32:21.260 Because they're

00:32:21.900 doing what

00:32:22.280 we're doing.

00:32:23.360 So if Sweden

00:32:24.240 was a big

00:32:25.400 success story,

00:32:26.880 which many

00:32:27.900 Americans were

00:32:28.580 saying,

00:32:28.940 can you

00:32:30.260 explain that

00:32:30.980 to Sweden?

00:32:32.180 Because

00:32:32.700 apparently

00:32:33.060 Sweden has

00:32:33.920 not noticed

00:32:34.680 that their

00:32:35.840 old plan

00:32:36.640 was so

00:32:37.100 successful

00:32:37.680 because they

00:32:38.540 decided to

00:32:39.360 shit-can their

00:32:40.200 old plan

00:32:40.760 and do what

00:32:41.620 everybody else

00:32:42.220 is doing,

00:32:43.400 which is

00:32:43.880 lock down

00:32:44.900 and put

00:32:45.240 restrictions

00:32:45.720 on,

00:32:46.200 et cetera.

00:32:47.280 So if

00:32:48.240 Sweden

00:32:48.680 doesn't think

00:32:49.420 Sweden

00:32:49.800 was doing

00:32:51.320 it right,

00:32:53.040 should you?

00:32:55.320 Really?

00:32:56.220 I mean,

00:32:57.180 wouldn't you

00:32:57.720 expect that if

00:32:58.480 anybody were

00:32:59.360 going to

00:32:59.740 take credit

00:33:00.300 and say,

00:33:00.740 yeah,

00:33:00.960 we did

00:33:01.300 it right,

00:33:02.220 it would

00:33:02.660 be Sweden.

00:33:04.500 And Sweden

00:33:05.020 doesn't think

00:33:05.660 they did it

00:33:06.140 right or

00:33:06.600 they wouldn't

00:33:07.040 have completely

00:33:08.540 changed their

00:33:09.240 strategy.

00:33:12.480 There was

00:33:13.080 an article in

00:33:13.660 Time by

00:33:14.260 Michael Mina,

00:33:15.180 I think he

00:33:15.900 wrote it,

00:33:16.420 and he's the

00:33:16.840 one who

00:33:17.160 always talks

00:33:17.780 about we

00:33:18.800 could get

00:33:19.400 on top of

00:33:19.920 this pandemic

00:33:21.460 if we had

00:33:22.200 rapid testing

00:33:23.100 that was cheap

00:33:23.980 and people

00:33:24.700 could do it

00:33:25.120 at home

00:33:25.460 as much as

00:33:26.460 they wanted.

00:33:27.760 We do

00:33:28.300 have an

00:33:28.640 approval for

00:33:29.460 a relatively

00:33:31.620 inexpensive

00:33:32.320 at-home

00:33:33.360 test that

00:33:34.820 you don't

00:33:35.100 have to

00:33:35.460 mail it

00:33:35.820 anywhere,

00:33:36.200 you can

00:33:36.440 get a

00:33:36.700 result pretty

00:33:37.320 quickly,

00:33:37.960 but you

00:33:38.600 need a

00:33:38.920 prescription

00:33:39.400 for it.

00:33:41.660 It's like

00:33:42.260 we can't

00:33:42.700 do anything

00:33:43.280 completely

00:33:43.900 right.

00:33:45.260 The whole

00:33:45.920 point of

00:33:47.000 these at-home

00:33:47.620 tests is

00:33:48.960 that you

00:33:49.220 want to be

00:33:49.620 able to do

00:33:50.020 them like

00:33:50.820 popping a

00:33:51.740 breath mint.

00:33:52.420 You want to

00:33:52.740 be able to

00:33:53.060 take them

00:33:53.460 any time,

00:33:54.660 anybody,

00:33:55.360 any time,

00:33:56.740 just make

00:33:57.400 it as

00:33:57.680 available as

00:33:58.400 a pack of

00:33:58.960 gum.

00:33:59.800 Then it

00:34:01.580 doesn't matter

00:34:02.100 that they're

00:34:02.600 a little bit

00:34:03.440 less accurate

00:34:04.520 than other

00:34:04.980 tests because

00:34:06.280 you'd be doing

00:34:06.760 so much

00:34:07.160 testing you'd

00:34:07.860 get everything

00:34:08.480 pretty quickly.

00:34:10.740 We could be

00:34:11.320 done with

00:34:11.760 this by

00:34:12.160 Christmas if

00:34:13.800 we had

00:34:14.320 these cheap

00:34:15.100 tests.

00:34:16.060 The math

00:34:16.560 certainly

00:34:18.380 indicates that.

00:34:19.620 Here's my

00:34:20.160 problem with

00:34:20.940 the Biden

00:34:22.380 administration,

00:34:23.740 future

00:34:24.160 potential

00:34:24.780 administration,

00:34:25.700 we don't

00:34:26.000 know yet,

00:34:27.260 and also

00:34:29.080 the Trump

00:34:29.660 administration

00:34:30.280 on coronavirus.

00:34:31.800 I've said

00:34:32.480 before that

00:34:33.660 there might

00:34:34.220 be an

00:34:34.620 argument against

00:34:35.760 this method.

00:34:37.440 There might

00:34:37.860 be some

00:34:38.380 argument that

00:34:39.020 says,

00:34:39.380 no,

00:34:40.020 this idea

00:34:40.600 of using

00:34:41.020 these super

00:34:41.580 cheap tests

00:34:42.780 at home

00:34:43.440 won't get

00:34:44.700 you what

00:34:45.020 you think

00:34:45.380 it will

00:34:45.640 get you.

00:34:46.620 But I

00:34:47.220 haven't heard

00:34:47.660 it.

00:34:48.800 I've not

00:34:49.260 heard anybody

00:34:49.840 make the

00:34:50.240 argument.

00:34:50.940 In fact,

00:34:51.420 100% of

00:34:52.160 the people

00:34:52.480 I've heard

00:34:53.080 talk about

00:34:54.440 this idea

00:34:55.240 fall into

00:34:56.780 one of

00:34:57.580 two categories.

00:34:58.960 Either they

00:34:59.480 don't understand

00:35:00.300 it, or

00:35:02.320 they think

00:35:02.760 it's terrific.

00:35:04.380 There's

00:35:04.940 nobody who

00:35:05.540 understands

00:35:06.300 it and

00:35:07.980 also thinks

00:35:08.600 it's a bad

00:35:09.120 idea that

00:35:09.840 I've seen.

00:35:11.160 Surely such

00:35:11.940 people exist,

00:35:12.760 but I haven't

00:35:13.100 seen any.

00:35:14.220 So here's

00:35:15.240 my problem

00:35:15.720 with both

00:35:16.180 Trump

00:35:16.500 administration

00:35:17.040 and whatever

00:35:18.040 Biden's

00:35:19.080 planning.

00:35:19.420 why aren't

00:35:21.420 we hearing

00:35:21.860 about this?

00:35:23.440 We should

00:35:24.120 at least

00:35:24.640 be hearing

00:35:25.180 why they

00:35:25.600 don't want

00:35:26.120 to do

00:35:26.380 it, or

00:35:27.420 we should

00:35:27.800 be hearing

00:35:28.280 how soon

00:35:29.000 they can

00:35:29.500 do it,

00:35:30.480 or we

00:35:31.720 should be

00:35:32.080 hearing a

00:35:32.600 lot of

00:35:32.960 conversation

00:35:33.600 about it.

00:35:35.420 But we're

00:35:36.080 not.

00:35:37.020 It's like

00:35:37.400 Michael

00:35:37.720 Meena writes

00:35:38.280 an article

00:35:38.700 or tweets,

00:35:39.560 you know,

00:35:39.780 we boost

00:35:40.560 it, I

00:35:40.960 boost it,

00:35:41.980 and then it

00:35:42.520 just sort

00:35:43.160 of doesn't

00:35:44.580 go anywhere.

00:35:45.160 Now I

00:35:46.100 know that

00:35:46.520 his concept

00:35:47.980 of the

00:35:48.420 cheap

00:35:48.840 testing,

00:35:50.020 which is

00:35:50.860 different than

00:35:51.380 just cheap

00:35:51.940 testing,

00:35:52.480 right?

00:35:52.720 It's a

00:35:53.220 specific kind

00:35:54.020 of cheap

00:35:54.360 testing.

00:35:56.000 His idea

00:35:56.680 I know has

00:35:57.260 gotten to

00:35:57.840 the task

00:35:59.440 force,

00:36:00.480 so I know

00:36:01.200 that they've

00:36:01.740 looked at it,

00:36:02.380 I know that

00:36:02.820 they have

00:36:04.120 seen it,

00:36:05.300 I can say

00:36:06.220 that for sure

00:36:06.920 just personally.

00:36:09.180 Where is

00:36:09.900 their comment

00:36:10.580 on it?

00:36:11.240 Where is

00:36:11.640 their timeline,

00:36:12.680 their response,

00:36:13.600 something?

00:36:16.320 And the

00:36:17.220 lack of

00:36:17.700 that,

00:36:18.680 I don't

00:36:19.080 know,

00:36:19.500 I can't

00:36:20.180 see it as

00:36:20.620 competence.

00:36:22.420 So to

00:36:23.940 me it

00:36:24.220 looks like

00:36:24.680 the task

00:36:27.220 force is

00:36:27.800 dropping the

00:36:28.400 ball really

00:36:29.660 big on the

00:36:30.540 rapid testing.

00:36:31.960 Like really

00:36:32.500 big.

00:36:33.740 Like really,

00:36:34.580 really big.

00:36:35.860 I would

00:36:36.420 say that

00:36:37.040 even if

00:36:38.820 you give

00:36:39.220 Trump full

00:36:39.880 credit for

00:36:40.540 the vaccines,

00:36:41.760 and of course

00:36:42.200 we probably

00:36:42.760 should,

00:36:43.600 falling down

00:36:47.400 on this

00:36:47.900 testing stuff,

00:36:50.320 I don't

00:36:51.020 know how

00:36:51.900 you explain

00:36:52.360 that.

00:36:53.740 Like can

00:36:54.720 you give

00:36:55.080 me any

00:36:55.560 explanation

00:36:56.240 that doesn't

00:36:57.660 make it look

00:36:58.240 like criminal

00:36:59.180 incompetence?

00:37:00.400 Because it

00:37:01.040 looks like

00:37:01.440 criminal

00:37:01.820 incompetence

00:37:02.540 to me,

00:37:03.320 even if

00:37:04.500 it's not

00:37:05.580 a good

00:37:05.840 idea.

00:37:06.380 You should

00:37:06.600 at least

00:37:06.860 tell us

00:37:07.300 why it's

00:37:07.620 not a

00:37:07.920 good idea.

00:37:09.920 All

00:37:10.080 right.

00:37:10.260 shall we

00:37:13.340 talk about

00:37:13.760 the election?

00:37:15.560 I believe

00:37:16.360 you want

00:37:16.700 to.

00:37:17.800 So,

00:37:18.460 where's

00:37:19.820 the

00:37:19.980 kraken?

00:37:22.640 In the

00:37:23.320 comments,

00:37:24.260 somebody says

00:37:24.940 the kraken

00:37:25.940 was lacking.

00:37:27.600 Yeah,

00:37:27.960 I think the

00:37:28.380 cracking is

00:37:29.000 lacking.

00:37:30.060 So I told

00:37:30.640 you that

00:37:31.160 you would

00:37:32.220 see some

00:37:33.140 of the

00:37:33.400 good stuff

00:37:34.140 probably this

00:37:36.120 week.

00:37:37.100 I did

00:37:37.720 give myself

00:37:38.260 a little

00:37:38.660 bit of

00:37:38.980 a fudge

00:37:39.460 and I

00:37:39.660 said,

00:37:39.900 well,

00:37:40.060 it's

00:37:40.180 probably

00:37:40.400 this

00:37:40.620 week,

00:37:40.920 might be

00:37:41.260 next

00:37:41.500 week,

00:37:42.420 but I'm

00:37:42.680 thinking it

00:37:43.060 was this

00:37:43.340 week.

00:37:44.420 Have you

00:37:44.820 seen

00:37:45.280 anything

00:37:45.800 that you

00:37:46.640 would

00:37:46.820 consider

00:37:47.300 the

00:37:47.700 good

00:37:47.940 stuff?

00:37:49.720 I have

00:37:50.340 not,

00:37:50.800 not in

00:37:51.200 the public.

00:37:52.460 So I've

00:37:53.180 got some

00:37:53.540 questions

00:37:54.000 whether such

00:37:55.040 good stuff

00:37:55.700 exists,

00:37:57.120 and I feel

00:37:57.720 as if I

00:37:58.400 would give

00:37:58.700 you this

00:37:59.000 guideline.

00:37:59.960 It's the

00:38:00.220 same kind

00:38:01.620 of thinking

00:38:02.080 I would

00:38:02.440 use for

00:38:03.060 hydroxychloroquine.

00:38:05.020 Remember I

00:38:05.440 told you that

00:38:05.960 when we

00:38:06.300 first heard

00:38:06.960 good news

00:38:07.540 about

00:38:07.880 hydroxychloroquine

00:38:09.040 working,

00:38:10.440 I said,

00:38:11.060 well,

00:38:11.500 so many

00:38:12.120 people say

00:38:12.660 it works

00:38:13.200 even without

00:38:14.400 a good

00:38:14.980 controlled

00:38:16.140 randomized

00:38:16.620 study.

00:38:17.940 It seems

00:38:18.700 there's so

00:38:19.260 much anecdotal

00:38:20.200 that it just

00:38:21.140 makes sense

00:38:21.660 to try it

00:38:22.500 because the

00:38:23.140 downside is

00:38:23.920 small risk.

00:38:25.980 And then I

00:38:27.240 told you

00:38:27.700 that as we

00:38:29.160 got into

00:38:29.600 the spring

00:38:30.280 and then

00:38:30.940 through the

00:38:31.380 summer,

00:38:32.220 that every

00:38:32.700 day that

00:38:33.220 went by

00:38:33.880 that you

00:38:34.800 didn't get

00:38:35.300 a confirmation

00:38:36.100 that hydroxychloroquine

00:38:37.420 works,

00:38:38.320 you should

00:38:38.980 reduce your

00:38:40.060 confidence

00:38:40.780 that it

00:38:41.620 does.

00:38:42.380 So I

00:38:42.780 started out

00:38:43.340 with,

00:38:43.640 I don't

00:38:43.800 know,

00:38:44.020 it looks

00:38:44.220 like 75%

00:38:45.640 chance you've

00:38:46.260 got something

00:38:46.720 here.

00:38:47.420 But then

00:38:48.040 time would

00:38:48.580 go by

00:38:49.060 and it

00:38:49.560 wouldn't

00:38:49.900 be validated.

00:38:52.000 Couldn't

00:38:52.520 quite see

00:38:53.820 it clearly

00:38:54.540 happening in

00:38:55.280 the real

00:38:55.600 world.

00:38:56.060 I'm like,

00:38:56.300 ah,

00:38:57.000 50-50,

00:38:57.860 30,

00:39:01.660 maybe 20%,

00:39:03.420 I would

00:39:03.920 put it

00:39:04.180 down to

00:39:04.460 maybe 10%

00:39:05.260 now.

00:39:06.160 Every day

00:39:06.700 that goes

00:39:07.080 by,

00:39:08.020 if they

00:39:08.800 can't show

00:39:09.320 it works,

00:39:10.100 it's probably

00:39:10.960 because it

00:39:11.600 doesn't.

00:39:13.000 Probably.

00:39:14.560 Likewise,

00:39:15.400 as you're

00:39:15.820 watching all

00:39:16.340 of the

00:39:16.660 claims come

00:39:17.440 out about

00:39:18.060 the election,

00:39:19.540 on day

00:39:20.020 one,

00:39:20.700 you know,

00:39:21.060 there's a

00:39:21.340 bunch of

00:39:21.620 claims,

00:39:22.220 and you

00:39:22.420 don't know.

00:39:23.200 They could

00:39:23.560 be good,

00:39:24.180 they could

00:39:24.460 be bad.

00:39:25.480 What

00:39:25.680 estimate did

00:39:26.480 I give

00:39:26.900 you ahead

00:39:27.840 of time?

00:39:28.920 You may

00:39:29.320 remember that

00:39:31.020 I said to

00:39:31.960 beware of

00:39:32.580 all the

00:39:32.880 individual

00:39:33.440 anecdotal

00:39:34.240 claims of

00:39:34.900 fraud because

00:39:35.520 95% of

00:39:36.560 them will

00:39:36.860 not be

00:39:37.300 true.

00:39:38.760 At least

00:39:39.580 95% of

00:39:40.960 them are

00:39:41.320 not true.

00:39:42.600 Can you

00:39:43.000 agree that

00:39:44.400 my original

00:39:45.040 estimate,

00:39:46.460 that 95%

00:39:47.460 of the

00:39:47.760 claims would

00:39:48.520 eventually be

00:39:49.180 debunked?

00:39:51.000 Doesn't it

00:39:51.680 look like

00:39:52.020 that's exactly

00:39:52.660 what's

00:39:52.920 happening?

00:39:53.860 Wouldn't

00:39:54.140 you say?

00:39:55.380 Because I

00:39:55.800 would say

00:39:56.240 closer to

00:39:57.240 maybe 100%.

00:39:58.280 Now,

00:39:59.500 there are

00:39:59.800 some things

00:40:00.300 that are

00:40:00.680 real that

00:40:01.980 are smaller

00:40:02.720 than what

00:40:03.580 it would

00:40:03.820 take to

00:40:04.200 overthrow

00:40:04.600 the election.

00:40:05.780 So there

00:40:06.160 are a bunch

00:40:06.500 of real

00:40:06.900 things.

00:40:07.620 I'm not

00:40:07.920 saying there's

00:40:08.340 no real

00:40:08.860 stuff.

00:40:09.740 It's just

00:40:10.240 we have

00:40:10.960 not found

00:40:11.500 real stuff

00:40:12.160 big enough

00:40:12.720 to change

00:40:13.280 the election

00:40:14.040 outcome.

00:40:15.500 Have you

00:40:15.900 seen any?

00:40:16.620 I haven't

00:40:17.020 seen any

00:40:17.440 in the

00:40:18.480 public.

00:40:19.560 So today

00:40:20.480 is sort

00:40:20.980 of the

00:40:21.220 day where

00:40:22.500 you start

00:40:23.140 with whatever

00:40:23.800 your percentage

00:40:24.680 number was.

00:40:26.240 I think

00:40:26.460 there's

00:40:26.840 I would

00:40:28.280 say I

00:40:28.580 would start

00:40:28.960 with a

00:40:29.420 95%

00:40:31.720 chance

00:40:32.400 personal

00:40:33.440 opinion

00:40:33.920 that the

00:40:35.040 election

00:40:35.400 was

00:40:36.020 stolen.

00:40:39.100 By the

00:40:40.000 end of

00:40:40.360 today,

00:40:41.520 if I

00:40:41.980 have not

00:40:42.360 seen

00:40:42.860 the goods

00:40:44.080 from either

00:40:44.860 Sidney Powell

00:40:45.620 or Giuliani

00:40:47.160 or something,

00:40:48.020 my 95%

00:40:49.280 certainty

00:40:49.780 is going to

00:40:50.860 start to

00:40:51.360 reduce.

00:40:51.840 so it'll

00:40:53.080 be lower

00:40:54.200 tomorrow

00:40:54.800 and then

00:40:56.140 if we

00:40:56.420 go yet

00:40:56.820 another

00:40:57.140 day

00:40:57.480 and I

00:40:57.800 haven't

00:40:58.020 seen

00:40:58.260 any

00:40:58.480 good

00:40:58.720 evidence,

00:40:59.640 I'm going

00:40:59.880 to lower

00:41:00.180 it again.

00:41:01.820 That's a

00:41:02.460 good model

00:41:03.220 for you to

00:41:03.700 keep in

00:41:04.060 mind,

00:41:04.460 right?

00:41:05.400 At about

00:41:06.020 today,

00:41:07.220 if you're

00:41:08.660 not seeing

00:41:09.160 some good

00:41:09.660 stuff,

00:41:11.120 you have

00:41:12.240 to wonder

00:41:12.620 if it's

00:41:13.020 going to

00:41:13.260 come,

00:41:13.920 right?

00:41:16.180 You can

00:41:17.060 certainly

00:41:17.400 say,

00:41:18.000 you know,

00:41:18.360 give the

00:41:18.980 people who

00:41:19.420 are looking

00:41:19.780 into it a

00:41:20.320 few weeks

00:41:20.800 to do

00:41:21.620 the data.

00:41:22.160 They need

00:41:22.440 some time.

00:41:24.060 So the

00:41:24.340 first week

00:41:24.980 or so

00:41:25.500 that people

00:41:25.900 are looking

00:41:26.280 into it

00:41:26.680 doesn't mean

00:41:27.080 anything.

00:41:28.280 Second week,

00:41:29.320 maybe that

00:41:29.940 doesn't mean

00:41:30.400 anything either.

00:41:32.420 But we're

00:41:33.180 now at the

00:41:34.040 point where

00:41:35.940 if we go

00:41:36.460 too much

00:41:37.080 further with

00:41:37.860 just claims

00:41:38.880 without a

00:41:40.680 photograph or

00:41:41.740 the witness

00:41:42.660 who signed

00:41:43.500 an affidavit

00:41:44.300 or something,

00:41:45.280 I would just

00:41:46.980 dismiss all

00:41:47.740 of it.

00:41:49.100 Pretty much

00:41:49.540 all of it.

00:41:50.320 All right.

00:41:57.880 And the

00:41:59.040 Dominion

00:41:59.460 software thing

00:42:00.260 looks a

00:42:00.860 lot messier

00:42:02.560 than you

00:42:02.960 thought because

00:42:03.960 now there are

00:42:04.620 denials about

00:42:05.760 whether the

00:42:07.360 Smartmatic

00:42:08.080 software was

00:42:09.240 ever used

00:42:10.140 with Dominion.

00:42:12.740 There's just

00:42:13.640 there's now

00:42:15.000 some credible

00:42:16.020 doubt about

00:42:17.500 every part of

00:42:18.380 the story

00:42:18.800 from top to

00:42:19.520 bottom.

00:42:20.320 Here's one

00:42:20.940 thing that I

00:42:21.500 feel I can

00:42:22.580 say with

00:42:23.020 certainty.

00:42:24.700 The election

00:42:25.820 was not

00:42:27.100 secure.

00:42:29.680 Do you think

00:42:30.620 we can say

00:42:31.160 that with

00:42:31.520 certainty?

00:42:32.880 Now you

00:42:33.460 can certainly

00:42:34.280 say it's

00:42:35.320 not proven

00:42:36.060 that the

00:42:36.560 election was

00:42:37.120 stolen.

00:42:37.880 But can't

00:42:38.740 we say with

00:42:39.500 certainty

00:42:39.920 that it

00:42:41.000 wasn't secure?

00:42:41.760 right?

00:42:43.320 Does that

00:42:44.920 seem fair?

00:42:45.940 That even

00:42:46.760 if you

00:42:47.100 believe it

00:42:47.580 wasn't

00:42:47.980 stolen,

00:42:48.940 it definitely

00:42:49.680 wasn't

00:42:50.080 secure.

00:42:51.580 Because just

00:42:52.620 take one

00:42:53.060 example,

00:42:53.640 the thumb

00:42:54.920 drives that

00:42:55.640 were found

00:42:56.080 that weren't

00:42:56.560 uploaded.

00:42:58.020 What kind

00:42:58.620 of a crappy

00:42:59.260 system would

00:43:01.060 allow you to

00:43:01.900 get to this

00:43:02.460 point in the

00:43:03.040 process without

00:43:04.400 knowing that

00:43:05.220 all of the

00:43:05.980 precincts had

00:43:07.440 even reported?

00:43:10.840 Really?

00:43:11.620 Seriously?

00:43:12.140 How do you

00:43:12.440 get this far

00:43:13.140 without knowing

00:43:14.560 if you've even

00:43:15.180 collected the

00:43:15.880 information?

00:43:16.400 if there are

00:43:19.020 gaps in the

00:43:20.180 information you've

00:43:20.920 collected?

00:43:21.660 How do you

00:43:22.260 get this far?

00:43:23.840 Now obviously

00:43:24.700 if there had

00:43:25.780 not been a

00:43:26.240 recount and

00:43:27.040 all this stuff,

00:43:27.920 we wouldn't

00:43:28.420 have even

00:43:28.840 noticed that

00:43:30.060 a whole bunch

00:43:30.620 of people

00:43:31.000 voted, it

00:43:32.120 was put on

00:43:32.700 a flash drive

00:43:33.520 and then

00:43:33.820 somebody stuck

00:43:34.560 it in a

00:43:34.940 desk drawer

00:43:35.380 somewhere or

00:43:35.980 wherever the

00:43:36.300 hell it was.

00:43:37.480 So all those

00:43:38.120 people voted

00:43:38.780 and their vote

00:43:39.400 was just

00:43:39.880 completely wasted

00:43:41.740 because it

00:43:42.760 just got put

00:43:43.300 on a disk

00:43:43.780 drive and

00:43:44.240 didn't go

00:43:44.680 anywhere.

00:43:44.920 So the

00:43:50.980 disk drive

00:43:51.660 stories alone

00:43:52.720 tell you that

00:43:53.940 whoever put

00:43:54.660 the system

00:43:55.240 together didn't

00:43:56.640 have basic

00:43:57.780 controls.

00:43:59.260 Because the

00:43:59.720 most basic

00:44:00.360 control is to

00:44:02.200 find out that

00:44:03.100 the number of

00:44:03.780 people who

00:44:04.220 voted ended

00:44:05.880 up in the

00:44:06.660 total.

00:44:08.540 That's pretty

00:44:09.380 basic, even

00:44:10.620 if the votes

00:44:11.720 got changed

00:44:12.340 or something.

00:44:14.920 I always

00:44:23.460 get blamed

00:44:24.000 for pacing

00:44:24.720 and leading.

00:44:25.780 You know,

00:44:26.300 it looks like

00:44:26.880 pacing and

00:44:27.460 leading if you

00:44:28.300 just give a

00:44:28.940 balanced

00:44:29.460 presentation.

00:44:31.980 So if you

00:44:32.760 allow that the

00:44:34.260 other side has

00:44:35.040 an argument and

00:44:36.000 you simply

00:44:36.480 express it at

00:44:37.840 the same time

00:44:38.440 you show the

00:44:38.900 other argument

00:44:39.440 and make a

00:44:39.980 decision, it

00:44:40.820 looks like you're

00:44:41.420 pacing, but

00:44:42.600 sometimes it's

00:44:43.220 just telling the

00:44:43.820 whole story.

00:44:46.560 Now I'm

00:44:47.240 seeing people

00:44:47.860 accuse Rudy

00:44:49.120 Giuliani of

00:44:50.600 making a

00:44:51.900 tremendous amount

00:44:52.780 of money from

00:44:54.580 working on the

00:44:55.480 campaign's legal

00:44:56.960 stuff.

00:44:58.300 And some people

00:44:59.220 are thinking that

00:44:59.820 he's just making

00:45:00.540 up stuff and

00:45:01.300 throwing spaghetti

00:45:02.160 against the wall.

00:45:03.020 That's the phrase

00:45:03.800 that the Democrats

00:45:04.480 are using.

00:45:06.440 But do you

00:45:07.140 think that you

00:45:07.740 could get Rudy

00:45:08.900 Giuliani,

00:45:12.080 Lynn Wood,

00:45:13.720 and Sidney

00:45:15.020 Powell, all

00:45:15.920 top famous

00:45:18.560 lawyers, do

00:45:19.700 you think that

00:45:20.160 they would all

00:45:20.840 be willing to

00:45:21.580 just completely

00:45:23.020 lie and make

00:45:24.380 stuff up?

00:45:25.960 It doesn't feel

00:45:26.960 like that.

00:45:28.220 You know, you

00:45:28.800 can imagine any

00:45:29.620 one person doing

00:45:30.720 that, no matter

00:45:32.400 who it is.

00:45:33.000 You can imagine

00:45:33.520 anybody lying.

00:45:34.820 But that's a lot

00:45:35.620 of liars.

00:45:37.200 How do you get

00:45:37.720 that many people

00:45:38.460 willing to tell

00:45:39.400 whoppers of

00:45:41.500 that size?

00:45:42.980 I mean, how would

00:45:43.420 you ever live that

00:45:44.160 down?

00:45:45.160 If you were

00:45:46.020 Sidney Powell,

00:45:47.560 let's say Sidney

00:45:48.380 Powell doesn't

00:45:49.880 deliver anything.

00:45:51.680 And let's say we

00:45:52.580 never find any

00:45:53.440 problem with the

00:45:54.180 software or

00:45:55.280 whatever in the

00:45:56.380 long run.

00:45:56.780 what does that

00:45:58.520 do to her

00:45:59.220 credibility?

00:46:01.320 You know, her

00:46:01.740 future ability to

00:46:04.700 get work.

00:46:05.260 It's kind of a

00:46:05.940 big hit.

00:46:07.260 I don't feel like

00:46:08.440 you would make a

00:46:09.160 claim like that

00:46:10.240 unless you were

00:46:11.920 pretty, pretty

00:46:13.220 confident that you

00:46:14.480 had the goods.

00:46:16.220 So I feel like

00:46:17.540 they think there's

00:46:18.440 something there.

00:46:20.560 When do we get

00:46:21.500 to see it?

00:46:21.960 All right.

00:46:26.420 Oh, Sidney just

00:46:27.220 tweeted a link to

00:46:28.440 exhibits of

00:46:29.360 evidence.

00:46:31.300 Well, let's look

00:46:32.640 at that right now.

00:46:34.340 Let's look at that

00:46:35.320 link.

00:46:35.840 I'll bet, without

00:46:36.700 looking at it, I'm

00:46:37.980 just going to make

00:46:38.580 a guess that it

00:46:40.980 will be something

00:46:41.780 that I can't tell

00:46:43.060 is real or not.

00:46:46.320 What do you want

00:46:47.400 to bet?

00:46:48.360 That I'll look at

00:46:49.080 the evidence and

00:46:50.100 I'll say, I don't

00:46:51.200 know.

00:46:52.580 Could be real.

00:46:53.580 I can't tell by

00:46:54.520 looking at it.

00:46:55.740 It's probably just

00:46:56.260 going to, all right,

00:46:56.960 so here it is.

00:47:00.820 No, that's a

00:47:01.680 freedom of speech

00:47:02.480 thing.

00:47:04.200 So it looks like

00:47:05.080 what she retweeted

00:47:06.140 was evidence of

00:47:07.600 the big, no,

00:47:11.280 she did not

00:47:12.820 retweet evidence

00:47:13.840 of fraud.

00:47:15.380 Yeah, I would like

00:47:20.960 to see the

00:47:21.680 signature

00:47:22.600 verification

00:47:23.480 story.

00:47:26.480 Do you think

00:47:27.400 the software can

00:47:28.480 check signatures?

00:47:31.400 Because I think

00:47:32.240 that's what they're

00:47:32.880 claiming, right?

00:47:33.800 The software is

00:47:35.080 checking the

00:47:35.660 signatures or

00:47:36.380 can.

00:47:37.560 Do you think

00:47:38.180 it can?

00:47:38.620 I don't know.

00:47:41.400 I feel as if I

00:47:42.420 don't sign my

00:47:43.120 name enough the

00:47:44.240 same way that

00:47:45.080 somebody could,

00:47:46.740 the software could

00:47:47.580 necessarily tell if

00:47:48.620 I signed it.

00:47:49.200 So Michael

00:47:54.820 Yahn is talking

00:47:55.620 about a civil

00:47:56.220 war coming.

00:47:57.120 I don't think

00:47:57.760 you have to worry

00:47:58.240 about a civil

00:47:58.760 war.

00:47:59.740 I just don't see

00:48:00.720 that happening.

00:48:01.740 I think that in

00:48:03.680 order to have a

00:48:04.280 civil war, you

00:48:06.460 have to have a

00:48:07.040 lot of people

00:48:07.560 who want one.

00:48:08.920 And we don't

00:48:09.420 have that.

00:48:11.160 The main

00:48:12.520 requirement for a

00:48:13.600 civil war is

00:48:14.420 missing.

00:48:15.500 The main

00:48:16.080 requirement,

00:48:17.640 somebody has to

00:48:18.360 want one.

00:48:19.760 Right?

00:48:20.620 Have you met

00:48:21.400 anybody who

00:48:22.060 actually wants a

00:48:23.260 civil war?

00:48:25.240 Not really.

00:48:26.780 Right?

00:48:27.560 If you talk to

00:48:28.640 people on the

00:48:29.240 left and you

00:48:29.940 said, all right,

00:48:31.120 you know, you

00:48:31.780 Antifa people,

00:48:33.100 what if you

00:48:34.260 could get your

00:48:34.800 wish?

00:48:35.900 Full-out civil

00:48:37.020 war.

00:48:37.740 Are you down?

00:48:39.160 How many people

00:48:39.960 even in Antifa

00:48:41.140 would want a

00:48:42.020 real civil war?

00:48:43.620 Because they're

00:48:44.280 not going to

00:48:44.760 win.

00:48:46.260 That's the first

00:48:47.020 problem.

00:48:47.820 So I got a

00:48:48.400 feeling that the

00:48:49.000 left doesn't

00:48:50.340 really want a

00:48:52.100 civil war, and

00:48:54.580 I know the

00:48:55.100 right doesn't

00:48:55.620 want it.

00:48:56.280 I've heard

00:48:56.860 exactly zero

00:48:57.860 people talking

00:48:58.800 in any kind

00:48:59.740 of a, you

00:49:01.060 know, a

00:49:01.620 positive way

00:49:02.480 that a civil

00:49:03.200 war will fix

00:49:04.060 everything.

00:49:05.100 You have to

00:49:06.360 have somebody

00:49:07.420 who's in

00:49:08.680 favor of it.

00:49:09.740 It just can't

00:49:10.640 happen without

00:49:11.180 that.

00:49:12.200 Right?

00:49:12.600 We don't have

00:49:13.400 leaders who are

00:49:14.240 in favor of it.

00:49:15.700 Do we?

00:49:16.380 Can you name

00:49:17.580 one leader on

00:49:18.980 the left or

00:49:19.500 the right who

00:49:20.600 is in favor

00:49:21.300 of a civil

00:49:22.740 war?

00:49:23.340 None.

00:49:24.240 None.

00:49:25.040 Can you think

00:49:25.880 of anybody,

00:49:27.080 even at the

00:49:28.540 marching level,

00:49:30.720 who will say

00:49:31.720 out loud,

00:49:32.900 yes, civil

00:49:34.080 war?

00:49:35.220 No.

00:49:36.140 No.

00:49:37.220 Now, you

00:49:37.560 might get

00:49:37.900 these, like,

00:49:38.600 nonviolent

00:49:39.520 color revolution

00:49:41.440 things that feel

00:49:42.380 like a slow

00:49:43.080 motion civil

00:49:44.420 war all the

00:49:45.120 time, but

00:49:46.180 a shooting

00:49:46.700 war?

00:49:48.300 No chance.

00:49:49.500 There's just

00:49:49.900 no chance.

00:49:50.700 You have to

00:49:51.200 have at least

00:49:51.740 one person

00:49:52.620 who wants

00:49:53.840 a civil

00:49:54.240 war.

00:49:54.680 We don't

00:49:54.940 have that.

00:49:56.580 Do we?

00:49:57.680 Think about

00:49:58.200 it.

00:49:58.740 Think about

00:49:59.260 the fact that

00:49:59.860 you've been

00:50:00.280 convinced that

00:50:01.700 there might

00:50:02.060 be a civil

00:50:02.640 war and

00:50:04.140 nobody wants

00:50:04.860 one.

00:50:06.120 There's not

00:50:06.780 going to be

00:50:07.060 a civil war.

00:50:08.440 There just

00:50:08.860 won't be.

00:50:09.500 Not even

00:50:09.920 close.

00:50:11.000 It's not

00:50:11.400 going to be

00:50:11.760 a near miss.

00:50:13.040 It's not

00:50:14.220 going to be

00:50:14.520 a close

00:50:14.980 call.

00:50:16.360 There's

00:50:16.820 going to

00:50:16.960 be nothing.

00:50:18.320 Just the

00:50:19.000 way I

00:50:19.340 predicted that

00:50:20.160 even if

00:50:21.240 Trump lost

00:50:22.080 the election,

00:50:23.540 and certainly

00:50:24.280 that's the

00:50:24.680 way it's

00:50:24.920 being reported

00:50:25.560 by the

00:50:26.180 news,

00:50:28.660 didn't you

00:50:29.220 think, or

00:50:30.040 not you,

00:50:30.860 but didn't

00:50:31.420 people say,

00:50:32.140 it's going

00:50:32.320 to be a

00:50:32.600 civil war,

00:50:34.420 no matter

00:50:35.560 what?

00:50:37.360 Zero

00:50:37.880 conservatives

00:50:39.260 showed any

00:50:40.680 interest in

00:50:41.240 the civil

00:50:41.600 war.

00:50:41.900 did you

00:50:42.840 see any

00:50:43.280 of the

00:50:43.540 militias

00:50:44.140 activate?

00:50:45.920 Did any

00:50:46.960 conservative

00:50:47.760 militia

00:50:48.540 activate?

00:50:51.240 Not that

00:50:51.840 I know

00:50:52.160 of.

00:50:53.240 I don't

00:50:53.800 think so.

00:50:55.740 So I

00:51:00.340 wouldn't

00:51:00.480 worry about

00:51:00.820 the civil

00:51:01.140 war.

00:51:03.360 All right.

00:51:03.840 I'm just

00:51:10.320 looking at

00:51:10.820 the article

00:51:11.560 that just

00:51:12.000 got sent

00:51:12.400 to me.

00:51:15.780 All right.

00:51:18.280 I don't

00:51:18.900 think I have

00:51:19.380 much else.

00:51:20.580 And the

00:51:22.020 proud boys,

00:51:23.140 you know,

00:51:23.780 the proud

00:51:24.400 boys are

00:51:25.800 hard to

00:51:26.280 talk about

00:51:27.040 because you

00:51:28.260 want to

00:51:28.660 pigeonhole

00:51:29.780 them and put

00:51:30.440 them in a

00:51:30.820 category.

00:51:31.260 category,

00:51:31.740 but they

00:51:32.380 just sort

00:51:32.980 of defy

00:51:33.720 categories.

00:51:35.200 Because you

00:51:35.780 want to say,

00:51:36.300 ah, it's a

00:51:36.720 bunch of

00:51:36.960 racists, but

00:51:38.180 then you

00:51:38.460 find out it's

00:51:39.320 a multi-ethnic

00:51:40.180 group.

00:51:41.120 You're like,

00:51:41.820 oh, okay,

00:51:42.560 that didn't

00:51:43.000 quite explain

00:51:44.420 who they

00:51:44.800 are.

00:51:45.620 And then you

00:51:46.140 say it's,

00:51:47.540 they like to

00:51:48.840 fight.

00:51:51.000 I think that's

00:51:51.900 probably true.

00:51:52.640 They probably

00:51:53.020 like to fight.

00:51:54.160 That might be

00:51:54.780 the only thing

00:51:55.340 that defines

00:51:56.960 them.

00:52:02.840 Yeah, I've

00:52:03.520 been having

00:52:03.840 quite a bit

00:52:04.920 of trouble

00:52:05.380 breathing in

00:52:06.400 public with

00:52:07.240 a mask on.

00:52:09.920 Like, does

00:52:10.560 anybody get

00:52:11.100 mask breathing

00:52:12.380 panic?

00:52:13.500 Does that

00:52:14.020 happen to

00:52:14.380 any of you?

00:52:15.200 Where you

00:52:15.900 feel like a

00:52:16.680 little twinge

00:52:18.680 of panic,

00:52:20.260 basically, that

00:52:20.980 you can't

00:52:21.380 breathe just

00:52:22.480 because you're

00:52:22.800 wearing a

00:52:23.160 mask?

00:52:23.440 I get

00:52:25.440 that every

00:52:25.920 time I put

00:52:26.380 a mask on.

00:52:28.100 Usually I

00:52:28.740 can fight

00:52:29.220 through it,

00:52:29.800 but it's

00:52:30.760 not pleasant.

00:52:33.260 Yeah, I'm

00:52:33.660 seeing some

00:52:34.080 others say

00:52:34.480 yes.

00:52:36.720 What did

00:52:37.320 you hear

00:52:37.620 about the

00:52:38.080 kraken

00:52:38.540 privately?

00:52:39.980 Well, I

00:52:41.200 can't tell you

00:52:41.740 what I've

00:52:42.080 seen privately,

00:52:43.060 but I will

00:52:43.400 tell you that

00:52:44.200 there's a

00:52:45.540 data argument

00:52:46.440 that I

00:52:47.980 haven't seen

00:52:48.460 made yet.

00:52:49.660 And I

00:52:50.000 don't know

00:52:50.360 if that's

00:52:50.760 because the

00:52:51.240 people who

00:52:51.760 are preparing

00:52:52.320 it have

00:52:53.300 given it

00:52:53.780 to the

00:52:54.060 lawyers and

00:52:54.540 we haven't

00:52:54.860 seen it,

00:52:55.680 or maybe

00:52:56.300 they found

00:52:56.760 out it

00:52:57.080 wasn't as

00:52:57.500 strong as

00:52:58.060 it could

00:52:58.580 have been.

00:52:59.020 I don't

00:52:59.260 know the

00:52:59.620 details of

00:53:00.280 that.

00:53:01.040 But I

00:53:01.320 will tell

00:53:01.660 you that

00:53:02.000 there is

00:53:02.580 a strong

00:53:03.200 argument that

00:53:04.000 exists that

00:53:06.120 the public

00:53:06.600 has not

00:53:07.000 seen.

00:53:07.880 And every

00:53:08.560 day that

00:53:09.040 you don't

00:53:09.460 see that,

00:53:10.940 you have

00:53:11.480 to reduce

00:53:12.580 your certainty

00:53:13.320 that it

00:53:13.760 even exists.

00:53:15.220 In other

00:53:15.540 words, I

00:53:16.060 think I've

00:53:16.480 seen it.

00:53:17.600 I believe

00:53:18.080 I've seen

00:53:18.480 it with my

00:53:18.860 own eyes,

00:53:19.520 but you can't

00:53:20.420 really look at

00:53:20.860 a bunch of

00:53:21.220 data and know

00:53:21.880 that it's

00:53:22.340 accurate, you

00:53:23.320 can't know

00:53:23.720 that the

00:53:24.100 context is

00:53:24.820 right, you

00:53:25.700 can't really

00:53:26.100 know what

00:53:26.460 you saw.

00:53:27.820 So it's

00:53:28.560 possible that

00:53:29.460 the things

00:53:30.020 I've seen

00:53:30.580 are not

00:53:31.700 as persuasive

00:53:33.940 as they

00:53:34.440 should be.

00:53:35.100 all right.

00:53:40.180 Yeah, and

00:53:40.820 the other

00:53:41.040 thing I

00:53:41.700 would say

00:53:42.120 about our

00:53:44.600 experience with

00:53:45.740 this election

00:53:46.320 is there

00:53:48.420 are so

00:53:49.020 many opportunities

00:53:50.040 for mischief

00:53:51.420 in an

00:53:52.000 election, I

00:53:52.680 had no

00:53:53.100 idea how

00:53:54.220 many different

00:53:54.820 ways that

00:53:55.540 cheating could

00:53:56.180 happen.

00:53:57.100 So if it

00:53:57.560 didn't happen,

00:53:58.260 it would be

00:53:58.680 pretty amazing.

00:53:59.560 somebody says

00:54:03.120 yes.

00:54:04.480 Oh yeah, a

00:54:05.080 lot of

00:54:05.280 people have

00:54:05.640 that mask

00:54:06.480 panic.

00:54:08.180 Now, I

00:54:08.700 have asthma,

00:54:10.320 so anything

00:54:11.460 that reminds

00:54:13.980 me of

00:54:14.480 breathing

00:54:14.920 difficulty

00:54:15.680 gets right

00:54:17.000 into my

00:54:17.500 lizard brain

00:54:18.240 right away.

00:54:19.100 So I

00:54:19.740 can't process

00:54:20.420 that rationally

00:54:22.680 because an

00:54:24.720 inability to

00:54:25.480 breathe goes

00:54:26.140 right to

00:54:26.520 your survival

00:54:27.620 mechanism.

00:54:28.480 So it's

00:54:29.300 tough to be

00:54:29.760 rational about

00:54:30.480 that.

00:54:34.120 All right, so

00:54:34.920 there's a

00:54:35.420 claim that

00:54:36.000 there are

00:54:36.320 places with

00:54:37.180 more votes

00:54:38.160 than

00:54:38.600 registered

00:54:39.240 voters.

00:54:41.320 I feel

00:54:42.240 that that

00:54:42.720 claim will

00:54:45.060 be debunked

00:54:45.980 if it

00:54:46.280 hasn't been

00:54:46.880 because

00:54:47.740 wouldn't that

00:54:48.440 be the

00:54:48.800 end of the

00:54:49.240 story?

00:54:50.640 You know,

00:54:50.880 if you had

00:54:51.360 seen data

00:54:51.900 that there

00:54:52.720 are more

00:54:53.400 votes than

00:54:54.920 registered

00:54:55.540 voters,

00:54:56.820 and it

00:54:57.120 was more

00:54:57.560 than, let's

00:54:58.100 say, you

00:54:58.640 know, one

00:54:59.020 county or

00:54:59.600 something that

00:55:00.040 might have

00:55:00.300 been a

00:55:00.540 mistake,

00:55:01.320 that would

00:55:02.080 tell you a

00:55:02.460 lot.

00:55:02.720 Wouldn't

00:55:02.900 that be

00:55:03.260 sort of the

00:55:03.760 end of

00:55:04.040 the game

00:55:04.420 if you

00:55:05.420 knew that

00:55:05.760 that were

00:55:06.060 the case?

00:55:06.920 And I've

00:55:07.420 heard those

00:55:07.800 stories, but

00:55:09.260 yet I'm

00:55:10.940 not seeing

00:55:11.420 credible

00:55:12.000 information on

00:55:12.880 that, that

00:55:14.020 that's a

00:55:14.820 widespread

00:55:15.240 thing.

00:55:15.800 It could

00:55:16.060 be.

00:55:20.660 They may

00:55:21.380 not advance

00:55:22.080 a data

00:55:22.420 argument for

00:55:23.160 the sake

00:55:23.640 of the

00:55:23.940 country.

00:55:24.800 No, the

00:55:26.460 one thing I

00:55:27.000 can tell you

00:55:27.620 is that the

00:55:28.160 people doing

00:55:28.960 the data

00:55:29.460 arguments will

00:55:30.700 advance them.

00:55:32.160 So there's

00:55:32.960 nobody on the

00:55:33.880 data side who's

00:55:35.600 going to sit on

00:55:36.380 anything for the

00:55:37.140 good of the

00:55:37.560 country, because

00:55:38.920 I don't think

00:55:39.300 they think that

00:55:39.880 that's necessarily

00:55:41.200 the good of

00:55:42.020 the country.

00:55:43.140 Yeah, somebody

00:55:43.640 said that

00:55:44.240 CodeMonkeyZ is

00:55:46.060 going to release

00:55:46.760 some evidence

00:55:48.820 today.

00:55:49.340 So I think

00:55:50.240 today's the

00:55:50.840 day, all

00:55:52.240 right?

00:55:52.720 If you don't

00:55:53.460 see some good

00:55:54.200 stuff today, I'd

00:55:57.280 start worrying.

00:55:58.200 I'd start worrying

00:55:59.040 after today,

00:56:00.600 certainly after

00:56:01.260 tomorrow.

00:56:01.860 If we get to

00:56:02.520 the end of the

00:56:03.000 week and you

00:56:03.460 haven't seen

00:56:03.900 anything, I

00:56:05.340 would reduce my

00:56:06.500 odds that you

00:56:07.180 will ever see

00:56:07.940 something to

00:56:08.840 50%.

00:56:10.540 So I'm at

00:56:12.500 95% that the

00:56:14.800 election was

00:56:15.420 stolen and we

00:56:16.340 can prove it.

00:56:17.320 if it's the

00:56:18.860 end of the

00:56:19.240 week and I

00:56:19.820 still haven't

00:56:20.900 seen it, at

00:56:22.000 least in public

00:56:22.600 I haven't seen

00:56:23.140 it, I'm going

00:56:24.240 to lower that

00:56:24.680 to 50%.

00:56:25.600 But we've got

00:56:27.600 a few days,

00:56:28.220 we'll see.

00:56:36.120 Did Scott

00:56:37.160 strike out?

00:56:38.900 Strike out on

00:56:39.680 what?

00:56:41.980 The link to

00:56:42.760 the initial

00:56:43.200 evidence is on

00:56:44.140 Len Wood's

00:56:44.860 timeline.

00:56:45.760 All right, I'll

00:56:47.340 take a look at

00:56:47.860 that.

00:56:48.220 So somebody says

00:56:48.880 Len Wood has

00:56:49.980 a link to

00:56:51.800 it.

00:56:53.760 Do you have

00:56:54.400 to be registered

00:56:55.100 to vote?

00:56:57.120 I don't know.

00:56:58.620 I mean, I know

00:56:59.260 there were some

00:56:59.700 places that let

00:57:00.480 you register and

00:57:01.620 then vote, so

00:57:03.520 you could do

00:57:04.000 same-day

00:57:04.480 registration in

00:57:05.360 some places.

00:57:08.900 So I don't

00:57:09.560 know.

00:57:09.880 I don't know if

00:57:10.760 you were not a

00:57:12.160 citizen.

00:57:13.740 Could you vote

00:57:14.400 in some places?

00:57:15.060 I just don't

00:57:15.620 know.

00:57:17.140 The story about

00:57:18.040 the German

00:57:18.600 server is, I

00:57:19.980 would say, highly

00:57:20.940 unlikely to be

00:57:22.400 true.

00:57:23.480 If you were to

00:57:24.400 rank all of the

00:57:25.360 stories we're

00:57:25.960 hearing in

00:57:27.120 terms of, well,

00:57:28.860 on first look,

00:57:32.740 how likely are

00:57:33.660 they to be

00:57:34.120 true?

00:57:34.560 I would put at

00:57:35.180 the top of my

00:57:35.980 list of fake

00:57:37.560 news, the

00:57:38.260 German server.

00:57:39.900 That would be

00:57:40.620 number one as

00:57:42.720 the least likely

00:57:43.740 thing to be

00:57:44.360 true.

00:57:46.080 The most

00:57:47.120 likely thing to

00:57:48.060 be true is

00:57:49.140 any small

00:57:49.900 story where

00:57:51.600 one person

00:57:52.500 voted and

00:57:53.320 their vote

00:57:53.760 didn't get

00:57:54.260 counted or

00:57:55.620 they find one

00:57:56.720 flash drive that

00:57:58.140 wasn't loaded.

00:57:58.940 So the small

00:58:00.500 ones at least

00:58:01.080 have a good

00:58:01.520 chance of being

00:58:02.140 true.

00:58:02.940 The big one,

00:58:03.840 like the German

00:58:04.680 server, I

00:58:07.480 don't know.

00:58:09.200 I think that

00:58:09.980 one's pretty

00:58:10.400 unlikely.

00:58:10.820 somebody says

00:58:13.540 they bet the

00:58:14.140 German server

00:58:15.100 story is true.

00:58:15.980 I would take

00:58:16.400 that bet.

00:58:19.640 Am I being

00:58:20.540 hunted yet?

00:58:21.720 Well, I have

00:58:22.380 been threatened

00:58:23.220 at my home,

00:58:24.980 you know, by

00:58:27.580 some stranger.

00:58:29.860 And, you

00:58:32.080 know, I'm

00:58:32.580 continually

00:58:33.160 bullied online

00:58:36.680 by people

00:58:37.440 saying I will

00:58:38.300 pay and

00:58:39.020 karma is going

00:58:39.620 to get me

00:58:40.200 and, you

00:58:41.220 know, it'll

00:58:41.900 all come

00:58:42.280 back to

00:58:42.620 me, etc.

00:58:44.180 So not

00:58:45.100 directly as

00:58:46.680 in I would

00:58:47.580 have to act

00:58:48.140 on it.

00:58:54.320 Somebody

00:58:54.800 says no

00:58:55.400 because they

00:58:55.920 are not

00:58:56.220 checking this

00:58:56.960 year.

00:58:57.280 Checking

00:58:57.580 what?

00:58:57.940 Registration?

00:59:01.060 Somebody

00:59:01.580 says Google

00:59:02.360 Proud Boys

00:59:03.200 and Iran.

00:59:04.480 If I

00:59:05.200 Google the

00:59:05.740 Proud Boys

00:59:06.340 and Iran,

00:59:07.700 will I find

00:59:08.520 out that Iran

00:59:09.380 is funding

00:59:09.900 the Proud

00:59:10.360 Boys?

00:59:10.980 That doesn't

00:59:12.080 seem likely

00:59:12.680 to me.

00:59:14.440 Because the

00:59:15.280 Proud Boys

00:59:15.740 are primarily

00:59:17.800 patriots.

00:59:20.200 So whatever

00:59:21.080 that Iran

00:59:21.760 connection is

00:59:22.580 that is alleged

00:59:23.380 there, that

00:59:24.560 doesn't sound

00:59:25.100 real to me.

00:59:27.220 Somebody

00:59:27.760 says Scott

00:59:28.380 failed bigly on

00:59:29.480 election predictions.

00:59:31.060 Did I?

00:59:32.460 Did I?

00:59:33.060 The weird

00:59:35.580 thing about

00:59:36.060 this election

00:59:36.740 is that you

00:59:38.440 could guess

00:59:39.240 or predict

00:59:40.240 who got

00:59:41.320 elected

00:59:42.060 incorrectly

00:59:43.580 and still

00:59:44.200 be the best

00:59:44.840 predictor.

00:59:47.040 You know

00:59:47.680 how that's

00:59:48.040 possible,

00:59:48.480 right?

00:59:49.160 So in my

00:59:50.240 case, I

00:59:51.040 predicted that

00:59:51.760 the professional

00:59:53.160 polls, the

00:59:54.800 ones that

00:59:55.400 showed a big

00:59:55.980 difference,

00:59:56.500 were all

00:59:57.240 fake.

00:59:58.220 That's a

00:59:58.960 pretty big

00:59:59.920 prediction,

01:00:02.240 isn't it?

01:00:02.760 That's a

01:00:03.080 pretty bold

01:00:03.580 prediction,

01:00:04.760 that the

01:00:05.380 main polls

01:00:07.140 are just

01:00:07.660 fake, that

01:00:08.920 they're not

01:00:09.200 even close.

01:00:10.200 Was I

01:00:10.680 right that

01:00:12.100 the polling

01:00:12.620 was atrocious?

01:00:14.460 Yeah.

01:00:15.460 And that was a

01:00:16.200 pretty bold

01:00:16.700 prediction.

01:00:17.820 Now, that

01:00:19.160 did get the

01:00:19.700 election at

01:00:20.380 least, you

01:00:20.860 know, close.

01:00:22.260 So the

01:00:23.580 people who

01:00:24.020 thought that

01:00:24.460 Biden would

01:00:25.060 walk away

01:00:25.660 from it,

01:00:26.320 even in the

01:00:27.320 battlefield

01:00:28.860 states, they

01:00:30.500 were very

01:00:31.020 wrong.

01:00:32.020 So the

01:00:32.420 people who

01:00:32.880 said that

01:00:33.360 Biden would

01:00:34.060 win, but

01:00:35.320 he would

01:00:35.720 win by

01:00:36.140 this much,

01:00:37.920 were wrong

01:00:38.760 by this

01:00:40.060 much.

01:00:41.020 If you're

01:00:41.460 listening to

01:00:41.980 this on

01:00:42.360 audio, I'm

01:00:43.500 holding my

01:00:44.020 hands at a

01:00:44.600 certain

01:00:44.840 distance.

01:00:46.400 Now, I

01:00:47.900 guessed the

01:00:48.460 president wrong,

01:00:50.000 but in

01:00:50.660 terms of how

01:00:51.400 wrong I

01:00:51.960 was, I

01:00:52.900 was only

01:00:53.380 wrong this

01:00:53.980 much, because

01:00:55.360 the vote

01:00:56.080 was close.

01:00:57.660 So even

01:00:57.980 though I

01:00:58.460 guessed the

01:01:00.340 wrong winner

01:01:01.120 in terms of

01:01:01.700 the first

01:01:02.180 draft of

01:01:02.840 the count,

01:01:04.060 even though I

01:01:04.660 got that

01:01:05.020 wrong, I

01:01:06.760 was pretty

01:01:07.320 close.

01:01:08.640 The people

01:01:09.120 who got the

01:01:09.660 right president

01:01:10.440 were off by

01:01:11.620 a mile,

01:01:12.300 because they

01:01:12.640 thought the

01:01:13.040 polls were

01:01:13.520 right.

01:01:14.340 In other

01:01:14.620 words, Van

01:01:16.160 Jones correctly

01:01:17.320 thought that

01:01:18.040 Biden would

01:01:18.600 win, but

01:01:19.960 he missed

01:01:20.620 how much he

01:01:21.500 would win

01:01:21.820 by a mile.

01:01:23.460 I thought

01:01:24.000 Trump would

01:01:24.540 win, but

01:01:26.980 it was kind

01:01:28.160 of close

01:01:28.640 election, so

01:01:29.760 I was actually

01:01:30.240 closer while

01:01:32.100 being wrong,

01:01:33.300 which is very

01:01:34.080 similar to

01:01:34.880 what Nate

01:01:36.460 Silver would

01:01:37.040 say of

01:01:37.400 2016, which

01:01:38.760 is in the

01:01:39.180 end the

01:01:39.600 polls were

01:01:40.020 actually kind

01:01:40.540 of close.

01:01:41.600 So you can

01:01:42.140 always make an

01:01:42.700 argument with

01:01:43.280 the data that

01:01:43.900 you weren't as

01:01:44.540 bad as you

01:01:45.840 looked.

01:01:46.420 Now, I would

01:01:46.920 also say that

01:01:47.680 it is my

01:01:48.320 personal belief

01:01:49.680 as of

01:01:50.300 Wednesday that

01:01:51.880 the election

01:01:52.340 was stolen.

01:01:53.700 So if you

01:01:54.220 say that I

01:01:55.600 was wrong in

01:01:56.340 my prediction,

01:01:57.780 I don't know

01:01:58.820 that I was

01:01:59.200 wrong.

01:02:00.540 Now, my

01:02:01.220 more current

01:02:01.880 prediction,

01:02:03.620 the most

01:02:04.740 recent one,

01:02:05.900 was that in

01:02:06.920 this coin flip

01:02:07.860 the answer

01:02:09.260 would be

01:02:09.760 edge.

01:02:11.140 I did a

01:02:11.820 comic about

01:02:12.420 this a long

01:02:13.040 time ago.

01:02:14.000 I think it

01:02:14.320 was Dogbert,

01:02:15.000 or Dilbert,

01:02:16.200 I can't

01:02:16.420 remember.

01:02:16.980 They did a

01:02:17.460 coin flip and

01:02:18.060 one of them

01:02:18.520 guessed it

01:02:19.000 would land

01:02:19.380 on its

01:02:19.740 edge, and

01:02:21.220 he guessed

01:02:21.800 correctly.

01:02:22.860 I guessed

01:02:23.640 that this

01:02:24.220 election would

01:02:25.460 turn into

01:02:25.940 nobody won,

01:02:27.140 or both of

01:02:27.800 them won.

01:02:28.300 In other

01:02:28.580 words, they

01:02:28.900 would both

01:02:29.300 be claimed

01:02:29.780 as the

01:02:30.120 president.

01:02:31.480 That was

01:02:32.160 a pretty

01:02:32.480 bold prediction.

01:02:34.680 Has anybody

01:02:35.480 ever predicted

01:02:36.520 that the

01:02:37.600 winner of the

01:02:38.160 presidential election

01:02:39.240 would be

01:02:39.720 both?

01:02:41.260 Nobody ever

01:02:41.980 predicted that

01:02:42.600 before, but

01:02:44.020 I did.

01:02:45.000 And I think

01:02:45.960 we're there.

01:02:47.100 To me, it

01:02:47.860 looks like we

01:02:48.340 have two

01:02:48.700 presidents who

01:02:49.540 both have a

01:02:50.180 claim, and

01:02:51.400 they're both

01:02:52.360 pretty good.

01:02:54.360 Biden's claim,

01:02:55.320 of course, is

01:02:55.820 strong, but I

01:02:57.600 think Trump's

01:02:58.180 claim is pretty

01:02:59.520 darn strong and

01:03:00.620 might get

01:03:00.980 stronger.

01:03:02.120 So I'm still

01:03:03.760 going to go

01:03:04.240 with history

01:03:05.580 will record that

01:03:06.660 Trump won on

01:03:07.860 votes, but it

01:03:09.680 might record that

01:03:10.680 Biden took the

01:03:11.740 job because

01:03:13.320 the media

01:03:15.800 can just make

01:03:16.480 whatever reality

01:03:17.260 it wants, and

01:03:17.960 it looks like

01:03:18.440 that's the

01:03:18.800 reality they

01:03:19.300 want.

01:03:20.280 All right,

01:03:20.540 that's all I

01:03:20.880 got for now.

01:03:21.580 Somebody said,

01:03:23.500 how did Trump

01:03:24.120 win again if

01:03:26.240 the election was

01:03:26.920 stolen?

01:03:28.200 Simple.

01:03:29.420 And I will

01:03:29.860 talk to you

01:03:30.460 tomorrow.

01:03:33.840 All right,

01:03:34.580 Periscope is

01:03:35.300 gone.

01:03:36.160 Any of you

01:03:36.760 YouTubers have

01:03:37.500 any questions

01:03:38.140 for me?

01:03:43.640 Yeah, so

01:03:44.560 Laurie is

01:03:45.080 agreeing with

01:03:45.620 me that

01:03:46.040 history will

01:03:46.980 record that

01:03:47.660 they both

01:03:48.140 won.

01:03:53.020 What did

01:03:53.720 you hear about

01:03:54.220 the Kraken

01:03:54.800 privately?

01:03:55.820 Well, the

01:03:56.280 things that I've

01:03:57.220 heard privately

01:03:58.220 are data

01:03:59.320 arguments.

01:04:00.580 So in other

01:04:00.980 words, there

01:04:02.580 are alleged

01:04:04.400 a number of

01:04:05.400 irregularities that

01:04:06.660 really couldn't

01:04:07.500 be explained

01:04:08.180 by anything

01:04:08.720 but fraud.

01:04:09.860 There just

01:04:10.400 isn't any

01:04:10.920 second explanation

01:04:12.960 for it.

01:04:17.400 Why am I

01:04:18.240 giving YouTubers

01:04:19.020 special treatment?

01:04:20.920 Don't you

01:04:21.560 deserve it?

01:04:24.060 Trump's chance

01:04:25.160 of a shadow

01:04:25.820 presidency.

01:04:27.780 Well, the

01:04:28.900 scariest Trump

01:04:30.100 would be

01:04:30.640 Trump in

01:04:31.380 charge of a

01:04:32.020 media entity.

01:04:35.100 Now, think

01:04:36.400 about the

01:04:36.820 fact that

01:04:37.300 CNN is

01:04:38.200 for sale

01:04:38.740 and Trump

01:04:41.600 might be

01:04:42.060 looking to

01:04:42.860 own some

01:04:43.840 media entity.

01:04:45.660 Trump could

01:04:46.380 literally buy

01:04:47.780 CNN with

01:04:49.720 investors,

01:04:50.940 et cetera,

01:04:51.560 and he could

01:04:52.660 fire all the

01:04:53.440 CNN people

01:04:54.200 he doesn't

01:04:54.660 like and

01:04:55.640 just use the

01:04:56.220 network for

01:04:56.720 his own

01:04:57.020 network and

01:04:58.360 just turn it

01:04:58.960 into a

01:04:59.560 conservative

01:05:00.460 network.

01:05:01.740 That would be

01:05:03.260 the ultimate

01:05:03.880 revenge,

01:05:05.240 buying CNN

01:05:05.960 and firing

01:05:06.900 everybody that

01:05:07.560 didn't like

01:05:08.040 him.

01:05:10.180 I don't

01:05:10.720 think that's

01:05:11.880 going to

01:05:12.080 happen, by

01:05:12.480 the way.

01:05:13.020 It would

01:05:13.340 make more

01:05:13.700 sense for

01:05:14.100 him to

01:05:14.320 just start

01:05:14.760 his own

01:05:15.040 thing.

01:05:20.480 Give you

01:05:20.980 an example

01:05:21.500 of the good

01:05:22.060 stuff?

01:05:23.480 Well, I

01:05:25.340 don't want to

01:05:25.740 do that

01:05:26.140 because I

01:05:27.760 don't want to

01:05:28.220 tell you more

01:05:29.140 than I should,

01:05:29.700 but it's a

01:05:31.000 data argument.

01:05:31.960 Let's put it

01:05:32.320 that way.

01:05:35.440 What if

01:05:36.040 Biden tries to

01:05:36.880 take guns?

01:05:37.900 Civil war

01:05:38.700 then?

01:05:39.660 It just

01:05:40.340 won't happen

01:05:41.140 because there

01:05:42.820 is not going

01:05:44.120 to be a

01:05:44.520 situation where

01:05:45.260 somebody knocks

01:05:45.980 on your door

01:05:46.520 to take your

01:05:47.080 gun.

01:05:47.800 It's just not

01:05:48.380 going to

01:05:48.560 happen.

01:05:49.680 It would be

01:05:50.320 too dangerous.

01:05:51.340 I could see

01:05:51.840 a situation

01:05:52.420 where he would

01:05:52.960 say you

01:05:53.380 can't buy

01:05:53.960 one.

01:05:56.600 That might

01:05:57.020 happen, but

01:05:58.120 it would also

01:05:58.680 guarantee that

01:06:00.280 Republicans

01:06:01.340 take the

01:06:02.240 Congress in

01:06:02.820 2022.

01:06:06.680 So I

01:06:07.260 think that

01:06:07.560 whatever Biden

01:06:08.200 does might

01:06:08.800 be a short

01:06:09.460 term situation

01:06:10.980 because I

01:06:12.380 feel as

01:06:12.920 though the

01:06:14.200 writing is on

01:06:15.100 the wall at

01:06:15.600 this point.

01:06:16.240 The Republicans

01:06:16.960 will take over

01:06:17.780 the Congress

01:06:18.300 in 2022 or

01:06:20.260 2024.

01:06:20.980 Yes, Cindy,

01:06:30.160 you're right.

01:06:30.680 There will

01:06:30.960 not be.

01:06:32.220 Somebody says

01:06:32.900 you live in a

01:06:33.560 gated community.

01:06:34.420 I don't,

01:06:34.960 actually.

01:06:35.380 I do not

01:06:35.920 live in a

01:06:36.380 gated community.

01:06:37.040 I have a

01:06:37.560 choice to

01:06:38.320 live in a

01:06:38.680 gated community,

01:06:39.400 but I don't

01:06:41.040 like it because

01:06:42.960 the gate is

01:06:43.620 such a gigantic

01:06:44.580 pain in the

01:06:45.920 butt.

01:06:46.980 So I'm

01:06:47.740 pretty secure

01:06:48.440 here, so I

01:06:49.840 don't need a

01:06:50.280 gate.

01:06:51.080 All right,

01:06:51.540 that's all I

01:06:52.480 got for today

01:06:53.180 and I will

01:06:53.600 talk to you

01:06:54.180 tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 18, 2020

Episode 1191 Scott Adams： Show us the Kraken or Maybe we Stop Believing it is Coming

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