Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1192 Scott Adams： Is the Kraken Still Lackin？ I Tell You What to Believe

00:00:00.000 Ba-dum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum. 1.00

00:00:02.600 Ba-dum-bum-bum-bum. 1.00

00:00:04.760 Ba-dum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum. 1.00

00:00:07.720 Hey, everybody.

00:00:09.360 Come on in. Come on in.

00:00:11.580 It's time.

00:00:13.320 It's time.

00:00:15.260 Yes.

00:00:16.360 For Coffee with Scott Adams and the simultaneous sip,

00:00:19.140 which some of you hate.

00:00:21.400 Some of you love.

00:00:22.620 Some of you need it.

00:00:24.480 And all you need is a

00:00:26.400 cupper, mugger, glass of tanker, chelzer,

00:00:28.020 stein, a canteen jug, or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:32.120 Fill it with your favorite

00:00:33.020 liquid.

00:00:34.720 I like coffee.

00:00:36.700 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure

00:00:38.620 of the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes

00:00:40.700 everything better except the Kraken.

00:00:43.040 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:44.720 It happens now. Go.

00:00:49.100 Mm-hmm. Mm-hmm.

00:00:51.820 I can feel

00:00:52.820 the Kraken getting stronger

00:00:54.420 every minute.

00:00:56.400 Well, we'll talk about the Kraken

00:00:57.980 but let's get to important things

00:00:59.400 first.

00:01:00.500 The most important thing

00:01:01.960 on my schedule,

00:01:04.220 December 16th,

00:01:06.520 the sci-fi show

00:01:07.840 The Expanse

00:01:08.880 comes out with its

00:01:10.000 next season.

00:01:11.760 Now,

00:01:12.480 if you're a nerd like I am,

00:01:14.640 that's pretty exciting.

00:01:16.180 Pretty exciting.

00:01:17.560 So look for

00:01:18.160 The Expanse.

00:01:18.860 If you haven't watched that,

00:01:19.760 there are several seasons already.

00:01:21.620 You can catch up.

00:01:23.400 Carly Fiorina

00:01:24.420 made some news

00:01:28.060 with this tweet.

00:01:30.400 She said,

00:01:31.540 inadequate men

00:01:32.440 in big jobs

00:01:33.440 are always dangerous.

00:01:36.100 President Trump

00:01:36.760 has cemented his legacy

00:01:38.260 as an inadequate man

00:01:40.080 who lacks the mental faculties

00:01:42.460 and strength of character

00:01:43.700 necessary for the job.

00:01:45.700 How many others

00:01:47.640 will prove

00:01:48.420 by saying

00:01:49.680 and doing nothing

00:01:50.560 that they too

00:01:52.240 are inadequate?

00:01:55.060 I feel as though,

00:01:57.500 Carly,

00:01:58.540 this is,

00:01:59.760 first of all,

00:02:00.440 a sexist comment

00:02:01.920 because it does seem

00:02:03.620 like you're focusing

00:02:04.600 on the man part of this

00:02:06.080 a little too much,

00:02:06.860 if you know what I mean.

00:02:07.980 Because it could have said

00:02:08.880 inadequate people

00:02:11.120 in big jobs

00:02:12.100 can do bad things.

00:02:14.340 wouldn't that be fair?

00:02:16.740 Somebody could say

00:02:17.680 inadequate people.

00:02:19.860 But if you say

00:02:20.920 inadequate men

00:02:22.960 in big jobs,

00:02:25.180 it feels like a comment

00:02:26.460 about men,

00:02:27.300 doesn't it?

00:02:28.540 Doesn't it feel

00:02:29.180 a little bit?

00:02:30.160 And you know

00:02:31.320 that you could not

00:02:32.160 have said this

00:02:32.920 with the genders reversed,

00:02:35.100 obviously.

00:02:36.100 You could not say

00:02:37.200 inadequate women 1.00

00:02:38.320 in big jobs.

00:02:40.720 Imagine tweeting that.

00:02:42.520 Imagine using the phrase

00:02:43.800 inadequate women 1.00

00:02:45.040 in big jobs.

00:02:47.000 It would be the end

00:02:47.780 of your career.

00:02:49.200 Would it not?

00:02:50.020 I mean,

00:02:50.400 quite legitimately,

00:02:51.460 that would be the end

00:02:52.200 of your professional career

00:02:54.120 if you ever tweeted

00:02:54.980 something like that.

00:02:56.540 But she can do that.

00:02:58.100 But she doesn't limit it

00:03:00.380 to the president

00:03:01.560 where you allow

00:03:03.020 that people are going

00:03:04.020 to be a little bit

00:03:04.700 more hyperbolic.

00:03:06.080 But rather,

00:03:06.760 she extends it

00:03:07.540 to how many others?

00:03:11.080 Others?

00:03:11.400 Who are the others

00:03:13.580 will prove

00:03:15.560 by saying and doing

00:03:16.460 nothing

00:03:16.820 that they too

00:03:17.700 are inadequate?

00:03:19.480 I feel as if

00:03:20.420 she's talking about me

00:03:21.700 because,

00:03:23.600 as a Trump supporter,

00:03:25.640 would I be in this

00:03:26.560 category of

00:03:27.560 men who are proving

00:03:29.580 themselves inadequate

00:03:30.660 by not doing enough?

00:03:32.700 Well,

00:03:35.440 Carly Fiorina,

00:03:37.260 I don't know

00:03:38.140 what is adequate

00:03:38.860 and what is enough,

00:03:40.740 but you are

00:03:42.980 a despicable cunt 0.96

00:03:44.640 and I think

00:03:47.300 you should disappear

00:03:48.180 forever

00:03:48.780 from the public.

00:03:51.300 Now,

00:03:51.820 I use that C word 0.95

00:03:53.220 cautiously.

00:03:55.440 She earned it.

00:03:56.740 Come on, women. 1.00

00:03:58.660 Admit it.

00:03:59.380 She earned it.

00:04:00.720 She earned it.

00:04:02.880 All right.

00:04:03.820 I wouldn't use that word

00:04:04.840 for anybody else,

00:04:05.680 but I think she just,

00:04:06.700 she moved herself

00:04:07.780 into a special category

00:04:09.400 where I think that word

00:04:11.400 just sort of fits

00:04:12.660 in this case.

00:04:13.280 She's a despicable 1.00

00:04:14.180 human being.

00:04:16.980 There's an important

00:04:17.780 news conference

00:04:18.360 coming up,

00:04:18.940 the president says

00:04:20.080 at 12 Eastern

00:04:22.620 in which the

00:04:24.760 RNC lawyers

00:04:26.580 will be

00:04:28.240 showing their

00:04:30.860 very clear

00:04:31.400 and viable path

00:04:32.180 to victory.

00:04:33.760 Very clear

00:04:34.600 and viable path

00:04:35.780 to victory.

00:04:37.980 What do you think?

00:04:39.380 Will it be

00:04:40.120 persuasive?

00:04:41.620 We will talk about

00:04:42.600 some of the things.

00:04:44.620 We'll get to that.

00:04:46.360 Jim Cramer

00:04:47.300 on CNBC

00:04:49.060 made some news

00:04:49.900 referring to

00:04:51.540 the two White Houses.

00:04:52.740 So,

00:04:54.720 as you know,

00:04:57.960 I made the most

00:04:58.840 unusual prediction

00:05:00.020 about this race.

00:05:01.900 Once we got closer

00:05:03.160 to the election itself,

00:05:04.860 I started saying,

00:05:06.200 it looks like

00:05:06.960 we're going to have

00:05:07.380 two presidents.

00:05:09.800 Jim Cramer

00:05:10.580 is making the same

00:05:11.400 observation now

00:05:12.320 that we'll have

00:05:13.140 two White Houses

00:05:14.040 in the conceptual sense.

00:05:18.360 But then he went

00:05:19.160 further and said

00:05:19.900 that he thinks

00:05:20.540 that if it comes to it,

00:05:21.780 and Trump

00:05:23.760 decides not to leave,

00:05:25.780 Jim Cramer

00:05:26.680 believes that

00:05:27.320 the U.S. Army

00:05:28.020 would take

00:05:28.480 Biden's side.

00:05:30.580 What do you think?

00:05:32.380 If the U.S. Army

00:05:33.580 got involved,

00:05:34.920 would they take

00:05:36.060 Biden's side?

00:05:38.260 Well,

00:05:38.920 I'm going to say

00:05:39.740 they won't get involved

00:05:40.860 at all.

00:05:42.480 I don't think

00:05:43.120 that they will get involved

00:05:44.560 at all.

00:05:48.580 Somebody says,

00:05:49.620 you love yourself,

00:05:50.940 good grief.

00:05:51.780 don't you?

00:05:55.340 I don't understand

00:05:56.440 the comment.

00:05:57.840 Should we

00:05:58.600 not be loving

00:05:59.320 ourselves?

00:06:02.060 Why don't you

00:06:02.860 love yourself?

00:06:04.100 Is there something

00:06:04.700 wrong with you

00:06:05.340 that you don't

00:06:06.260 love yourself?

00:06:09.600 All right.

00:06:10.960 Do you ever

00:06:11.280 wake up and you're

00:06:12.100 feeling a little

00:06:12.720 too aggressive

00:06:13.460 and you think

00:06:15.100 to yourself,

00:06:15.980 I better watch it

00:06:17.280 today.

00:06:17.600 because I feel

00:06:19.260 like I just

00:06:20.360 woke up

00:06:20.980 feeling aggressive

00:06:22.480 and

00:06:24.200 if I don't

00:06:25.380 take care of

00:06:25.940 that,

00:06:26.300 I have to

00:06:26.920 exercise or

00:06:27.640 something.

00:06:28.920 I've got to

00:06:29.480 take down

00:06:29.880 the temperature

00:06:32.060 a little bit.

00:06:33.320 But here's my

00:06:34.520 belief.

00:06:34.880 I don't think

00:06:35.240 there's any chance

00:06:35.960 the U.S. Army

00:06:36.760 military will be

00:06:38.540 involved in the

00:06:39.860 White House

00:06:40.580 decision.

00:06:42.280 I don't think

00:06:42.980 they will get

00:06:43.380 involved.

00:06:44.380 But if they

00:06:45.660 did, if you're

00:06:47.040 treating it as a

00:06:47.900 hypothetical, I

00:06:49.180 think they would

00:06:49.740 go with the

00:06:51.140 consensus, meaning

00:06:53.340 that if it

00:06:54.360 looked like the

00:06:55.900 process had

00:06:57.900 elected Biden,

00:06:58.720 they would

00:06:58.940 probably back

00:06:59.500 him.

00:06:59.820 But I don't

00:07:00.200 think they'll

00:07:00.500 get involved.

00:07:01.080 I don't think

00:07:01.380 you have to

00:07:01.660 worry about

00:07:01.980 that.

00:07:03.760 Let's talk

00:07:04.440 about some

00:07:05.220 of the pieces

00:07:06.180 of evidence.

00:07:07.360 Gateway Pundit

00:07:08.220 is talking about

00:07:10.200 something they

00:07:10.760 call the drop

00:07:11.420 and roll.

00:07:11.960 before I talk

00:07:13.580 about any

00:07:14.120 of these

00:07:14.660 alleged claims

00:07:17.560 about election

00:07:19.180 fraud, let me

00:07:21.640 remind you that

00:07:22.460 my general

00:07:23.240 framework for

00:07:24.760 this is that

00:07:26.080 there's a 95%

00:07:27.440 chance that any

00:07:29.340 individual claim

00:07:30.520 of fraud is

00:07:31.320 just BS.

00:07:33.500 So as I speak

00:07:35.380 to each of

00:07:35.880 these individual

00:07:36.600 claims, just

00:07:38.140 know that in

00:07:38.700 my head, I'm

00:07:40.320 saying, it's a

00:07:41.200 95% chance

00:07:42.320 that's not

00:07:42.780 true.

00:07:43.780 But I do

00:07:44.780 believe, and I'll

00:07:45.400 talk about this

00:07:45.900 later, that the

00:07:46.500 election had

00:07:47.280 some fraud.

00:07:48.000 We don't know

00:07:48.380 how much yet.

00:07:50.560 So the drop

00:07:51.440 and roll, as

00:07:52.320 the Gateway

00:07:52.680 Pundit is

00:07:53.580 calling it,

00:07:54.920 goes like

00:07:55.860 this.

00:07:56.860 They drop a

00:07:57.840 big bunch

00:07:58.400 of votes

00:08:00.360 that are

00:08:01.640 presumed

00:08:02.320 fraudulent,

00:08:03.080 and then once

00:08:04.720 it changes

00:08:05.280 who's ahead,

00:08:06.240 so it's the

00:08:06.680 big drop,

00:08:08.220 puts Biden

00:08:08.980 ahead, and

00:08:10.520 then all

00:08:11.000 of the

00:08:11.520 allegation

00:08:13.200 is that

00:08:13.700 that's the

00:08:14.360 drop, and

00:08:15.320 then the

00:08:15.700 roll part

00:08:16.420 is that all

00:08:17.140 the precincts

00:08:18.940 that haven't

00:08:19.360 yet reported

00:08:20.040 come in at

00:08:21.500 the same

00:08:21.840 ratio.

00:08:23.160 In other

00:08:23.420 words, the

00:08:24.560 coincidence that

00:08:26.960 a whole bunch

00:08:27.640 of different

00:08:29.600 precincts would 0.73

00:08:30.320 have exactly

00:08:30.900 the same

00:08:31.460 split is so

00:08:33.440 unlikely that it

00:08:34.320 couldn't happen

00:08:34.800 naturally.

00:08:35.660 Now the

00:08:35.940 counter to

00:08:36.620 that is that

00:08:38.320 the Gateway

00:08:38.700 Pundit is

00:08:39.320 looking at

00:08:39.740 the wrong

00:08:40.040 column, and

00:08:42.580 that the

00:08:42.900 column they're

00:08:43.400 looking at

00:08:43.980 is the

00:08:45.120 cumulative

00:08:46.460 percentages, and

00:08:49.960 after the big

00:08:50.840 drop, which

00:08:52.600 changes the

00:08:53.380 percentages, the

00:08:55.000 little precincts

00:08:55.940 that come in

00:08:56.480 afterwards, even

00:08:57.920 though they might

00:08:58.500 be a little bit

00:08:59.080 different, they're

00:09:00.560 not big enough

00:09:01.400 to change the

00:09:02.860 overall cumulative

00:09:03.980 percentage.

00:09:04.620 So if you're

00:09:05.660 looking at the

00:09:06.240 cumulative

00:09:06.680 percentage not

00:09:07.860 changing, you

00:09:11.040 could say, well,

00:09:11.700 that's the biggest

00:09:12.260 coincidence in the

00:09:13.240 world.

00:09:13.520 How could the

00:09:13.960 average not

00:09:14.560 change as you're

00:09:16.020 continually adding

00:09:17.000 data?

00:09:17.460 It would fluctuate,

00:09:18.460 wouldn't it?

00:09:19.500 I mean, you'd

00:09:20.080 think, but it

00:09:21.440 doesn't.

00:09:22.500 But the

00:09:22.920 counter argument is

00:09:24.080 that it's because

00:09:24.680 you're looking at the

00:09:25.460 cumulative, which

00:09:26.420 doesn't fluctuate that

00:09:27.580 much, if you're

00:09:28.680 only adding small

00:09:29.680 amounts to it.

00:09:30.500 Do you think

00:09:32.840 that the claim is

00:09:34.120 stronger than the

00:09:35.020 debunk?

00:09:36.840 This one I would

00:09:37.700 say I don't have an

00:09:38.760 opinion on, except

00:09:39.740 for my general

00:09:40.560 claim that 95% of

00:09:42.620 all things will

00:09:43.600 turn out to be

00:09:44.200 false about the

00:09:45.320 election.

00:09:46.600 So, but I

00:09:48.500 don't know.

00:09:48.960 Without knowing

00:09:49.680 the source of the

00:09:50.940 data, without

00:09:51.820 looking at the

00:09:53.120 individual changes

00:09:54.280 that are coming,

00:09:54.940 I don't have an

00:09:55.500 opinion about

00:09:56.680 whether this drop

00:09:57.640 and roll thing is

00:09:58.540 true or not, but

00:10:00.200 I'll throw it in

00:10:00.880 the bin with

00:10:02.500 the things that

00:10:03.120 are 95% likely

00:10:04.540 not to be true.

00:10:05.980 Could be.

00:10:07.080 Could be.

00:10:07.740 I'm not debunking

00:10:08.580 it.

00:10:09.240 I'm just saying

00:10:09.840 it's in that

00:10:10.280 category of

00:10:10.980 things that you

00:10:11.660 shouldn't

00:10:12.000 automatically trust.

00:10:15.600 In a big

00:10:16.320 news, Wayne

00:10:17.460 County, which

00:10:18.960 had at one

00:10:19.620 point said,

00:10:20.680 two Republicans

00:10:21.320 said, we're not

00:10:22.100 going to certify

00:10:22.780 the vote in

00:10:24.140 Wayne County,

00:10:25.060 which would

00:10:25.800 include Detroit,

00:10:26.780 which would be a

00:10:27.500 big, big deal

00:10:28.220 for Michigan's

00:10:29.200 overall vote.

00:10:30.900 But they were

00:10:32.520 threatened and

00:10:33.600 insulted and

00:10:34.520 browbeaten by

00:10:35.460 their peers

00:10:37.520 until, I guess

00:10:39.580 yesterday, they

00:10:40.300 had decided,

00:10:41.440 all right, all

00:10:41.920 right, all

00:10:42.260 right, we

00:10:43.460 will certify

00:10:44.840 it.

00:10:46.500 And then, after

00:10:47.660 there was much

00:10:48.280 public uproar,

00:10:49.640 and probably

00:10:50.300 because of it,

00:10:51.160 I would guess,

00:10:52.060 the two people

00:10:52.920 who had agreed

00:10:54.540 to certify

00:10:55.300 rescinded their

00:10:57.200 certification.

00:10:59.180 Now, it gets

00:11:00.160 more complicated

00:11:01.000 because I think

00:11:02.000 they rescinded

00:11:02.880 it after it

00:11:03.800 was submitted,

00:11:05.460 and I don't

00:11:06.240 even think that

00:11:07.980 their certification

00:11:08.900 matters.

00:11:10.280 It might not

00:11:10.900 matter.

00:11:12.100 I think it's

00:11:12.740 the state that

00:11:13.560 certifies,

00:11:14.320 somebody said.

00:11:15.540 So there's

00:11:16.400 some lawyer

00:11:17.020 complication in

00:11:18.300 this.

00:11:19.120 So the fact

00:11:20.100 that they did

00:11:20.660 not certify or

00:11:21.860 that they reversed

00:11:22.720 their certification

00:11:23.700 doesn't really tell

00:11:25.480 you which way

00:11:26.060 it's going to

00:11:26.520 go, because

00:11:28.300 you need to

00:11:28.800 know the

00:11:30.180 details, maybe

00:11:31.180 it ends up in

00:11:31.900 court, who

00:11:33.160 knows.

00:11:34.180 But here's what

00:11:34.820 I like about

00:11:35.440 the story.

00:11:36.660 These two

00:11:37.240 Republicans who

00:11:38.100 were threatened,

00:11:39.600 they were

00:11:40.500 threatened in

00:11:41.140 public.

00:11:42.320 They decided

00:11:43.120 that they would

00:11:43.940 not live as

00:11:45.820 people who had

00:11:46.800 been cowed and

00:11:48.920 threatened in

00:11:49.860 public.

00:11:50.860 Good for them.

00:11:52.600 Good for them.

00:11:54.000 And indeed, I

00:11:54.800 think they should

00:11:55.460 have reversed

00:11:58.280 their certification

00:11:59.340 just on

00:11:59.860 principle.

00:12:01.160 Even if they

00:12:01.960 didn't think they

00:12:02.540 needed to, they

00:12:03.960 should have done

00:12:04.540 it on principle.

00:12:05.440 Because if you're

00:12:06.060 being forced to

00:12:08.620 agree at risk of

00:12:10.480 threat, that's

00:12:13.720 when you've got to

00:12:14.740 go hard in the

00:12:15.480 other direction.

00:12:16.980 You can't let

00:12:18.300 that stand.

00:12:19.280 So I think we're

00:12:19.800 happy that that

00:12:20.560 got reversed.

00:12:22.000 The actual

00:12:22.600 functional difference

00:12:24.800 is that it

00:12:25.120 makes, maybe

00:12:26.000 none, might

00:12:27.280 not make any

00:12:27.880 difference to

00:12:28.360 anything, but

00:12:29.280 maybe it does.

00:12:30.320 We'll see.

00:12:31.620 All right.

00:12:35.000 Can't you see

00:12:35.900 at this point

00:12:36.640 already that no

00:12:38.980 matter what

00:12:39.560 happens between

00:12:40.460 now and

00:12:41.420 forever, would

00:12:43.220 you say that

00:12:43.780 you can already

00:12:44.540 predict the

00:12:46.800 following will be

00:12:47.740 true?

00:12:48.180 Are you ready?

00:12:48.580 can you predict

00:12:50.360 that some large

00:12:52.500 number of

00:12:53.200 Republicans will

00:12:54.320 believe that the

00:12:55.180 election was

00:12:56.080 fraudulent no

00:12:58.160 matter what

00:12:58.940 happens from

00:13:00.620 today on?

00:13:02.440 Who's with me?

00:13:04.000 Would you agree

00:13:04.880 that Republicans

00:13:05.580 are just not

00:13:06.480 going to be

00:13:06.980 convinced?

00:13:08.120 Doesn't matter

00:13:08.780 how much

00:13:09.200 evidence is

00:13:10.740 presented to

00:13:11.720 debunk the

00:13:12.640 claims.

00:13:13.080 the Republicans

00:13:15.100 are going to

00:13:15.520 say, okay,

00:13:16.260 there were

00:13:16.640 25 claims

00:13:17.860 and you've

00:13:19.120 allegedly

00:13:19.760 debunked all

00:13:20.600 25, but I'll

00:13:22.380 bet there's

00:13:22.780 another 50

00:13:23.460 things you

00:13:23.900 didn't find.

00:13:25.580 Right?

00:13:26.200 No Republican

00:13:27.120 is going to

00:13:27.520 believe it was

00:13:28.100 a legitimate

00:13:28.620 election.

00:13:29.640 It just can't

00:13:30.220 happen.

00:13:31.160 There's no

00:13:31.920 way to get

00:13:34.460 there because

00:13:35.840 you can't

00:13:36.600 prove a

00:13:37.160 negative.

00:13:38.340 In other

00:13:38.740 words, nobody

00:13:39.340 can give you

00:13:40.280 a piece of

00:13:40.840 proof and

00:13:42.020 show it to

00:13:42.500 you can say,

00:13:42.920 there it is.

00:13:43.840 Look at

00:13:44.240 this.

00:13:45.180 There you go.

00:13:46.000 There's your

00:13:46.400 proof that

00:13:47.900 there was no

00:13:48.400 fraud.

00:13:49.380 Because you

00:13:49.860 can't prove it

00:13:50.580 doesn't exist.

00:13:52.380 You can only

00:13:53.600 know you

00:13:54.180 didn't find

00:13:54.920 it.

00:13:56.240 Right?

00:13:56.820 And in an

00:13:57.520 election with

00:13:58.180 so many

00:13:58.600 complications and

00:13:59.640 precincts and

00:14:00.460 different systems

00:14:01.980 involved and

00:14:02.720 different people,

00:14:03.840 you can never

00:14:04.700 know if you

00:14:05.340 found it.

00:14:06.420 You can never

00:14:07.400 know if you

00:14:08.640 looked hard

00:14:09.180 enough to

00:14:10.420 find it.

00:14:11.540 It's

00:14:11.820 unknowable.

00:14:12.860 So we

00:14:13.500 don't have a

00:14:14.300 way to

00:14:14.660 get past

00:14:15.140 this.

00:14:17.520 We will

00:14:18.180 have a

00:14:18.520 president.

00:14:19.460 We will

00:14:20.100 have one

00:14:20.560 president

00:14:20.960 eventually.

00:14:21.800 But we

00:14:22.380 don't have

00:14:22.820 any system

00:14:23.660 for this.

00:14:25.040 We'll figure

00:14:25.540 it out.

00:14:26.300 You know,

00:14:26.460 it's not

00:14:26.720 going to be

00:14:26.980 the end

00:14:27.260 of the

00:14:27.500 republic.

00:14:28.020 We'll

00:14:28.160 figure it

00:14:28.520 out.

00:14:29.360 But there's

00:14:30.640 no way we

00:14:31.320 can get to

00:14:31.800 the end

00:14:32.100 of this

00:14:32.440 without

00:14:32.700 people

00:14:33.120 thinking

00:14:33.560 that

00:14:33.960 Trump

00:14:35.060 was

00:14:35.280 really

00:14:35.540 elected

00:14:35.900 president.

00:14:36.680 It

00:14:36.920 just can't

00:14:37.320 be done

00:14:37.600 at this

00:14:37.900 point.

00:14:38.120 here's

00:14:45.780 another

00:14:46.040 rumor

00:14:46.560 that's

00:14:46.880 being

00:14:47.080 debunked.

00:14:47.800 I guess

00:14:48.200 officials in

00:14:50.040 our government

00:14:50.760 are debunking

00:14:51.660 the claim

00:14:52.880 that the

00:14:53.280 U.S.

00:14:53.720 Army seized

00:14:54.680 some

00:14:55.260 election-related

00:14:56.340 servers in

00:14:57.260 Germany.

00:14:58.320 You heard

00:14:58.700 that story?

00:15:00.040 Allegedly,

00:15:00.720 the CIA

00:15:01.300 and the

00:15:01.880 Army

00:15:02.180 seized

00:15:03.940 some

00:15:04.420 German

00:15:05.380 servers

00:15:06.000 that had

00:15:06.620 our

00:15:06.800 election

00:15:07.140 data on

00:15:07.680 it,

00:15:08.460 and that

00:15:08.880 is being

00:15:09.340 denied.

00:15:10.500 Now,

00:15:10.680 the fact

00:15:10.980 that it's

00:15:11.260 being denied,

00:15:12.680 does that

00:15:13.460 mean it

00:15:13.940 didn't

00:15:14.200 happen?

00:15:15.660 Nope.

00:15:16.740 It doesn't

00:15:17.480 mean that.

00:15:18.780 But we

00:15:19.280 do have

00:15:19.660 a debunk

00:15:20.340 from an

00:15:21.220 official

00:15:21.560 source.

00:15:22.560 If I

00:15:23.140 had to

00:15:23.400 bet on

00:15:23.820 it,

00:15:24.520 if you

00:15:24.820 said,

00:15:25.360 Scott,

00:15:25.760 we can't

00:15:26.200 know if

00:15:26.860 it's

00:15:27.040 true or

00:15:27.520 know if

00:15:28.580 it's

00:15:28.800 really

00:15:29.100 debunked,

00:15:30.200 but what

00:15:30.560 would you

00:15:30.840 bet on?

00:15:32.080 And I

00:15:32.400 would say,

00:15:32.940 I would

00:15:33.220 put a

00:15:33.540 pretty large

00:15:34.320 bet on

00:15:35.540 that not

00:15:36.060 being true,

00:15:37.100 that there

00:15:37.480 was no

00:15:37.820 server that

00:15:38.400 got captured

00:15:39.880 by the

00:15:40.460 U.S.

00:15:41.340 military.

00:15:43.860 That's

00:15:44.460 just my

00:15:45.460 feeling about

00:15:46.140 that.

00:15:47.780 What about

00:15:48.560 the hammer

00:15:49.560 and score

00:15:50.380 card?

00:15:51.220 software?

00:15:53.220 What's

00:15:53.600 your current

00:15:54.200 feeling about

00:15:55.040 whether those

00:15:55.760 claims are

00:15:56.360 true, that

00:15:57.460 there's software

00:15:58.200 built into

00:15:58.880 the Dominion

00:16:00.080 and maybe

00:16:00.500 other systems

00:16:01.260 which is

00:16:02.180 designed for

00:16:03.100 the purpose

00:16:03.880 of throwing

00:16:05.940 an election

00:16:06.480 and changing

00:16:07.580 the votes?

00:16:08.940 Do you

00:16:09.180 believe that's

00:16:09.640 true?

00:16:13.060 I'm going

00:16:13.900 to go with

00:16:14.740 my 95%

00:16:15.920 likelihood it's

00:16:17.600 not true.

00:16:18.220 95%

00:16:21.340 likelihood,

00:16:22.140 just because

00:16:22.600 it's still

00:16:23.100 in that

00:16:23.400 category of

00:16:25.140 all of

00:16:25.700 these claims,

00:16:26.880 95% of

00:16:27.980 them are

00:16:28.280 just not

00:16:28.680 going to

00:16:28.880 be true.

00:16:30.040 So this

00:16:30.480 is just

00:16:30.840 another one.

00:16:31.920 There's

00:16:32.220 no direct

00:16:33.340 proof of

00:16:34.000 it, meaning

00:16:34.800 that I

00:16:35.740 can't look

00:16:36.220 at it

00:16:36.480 myself.

00:16:38.040 I haven't

00:16:39.060 examined the

00:16:39.760 code.

00:16:40.100 but we

00:16:41.560 do have

00:16:42.020 individuals

00:16:42.740 who say

00:16:44.000 it's true.

00:16:45.540 So there

00:16:45.960 is some

00:16:47.320 witness

00:16:47.860 testimony,

00:16:49.380 but they

00:16:49.620 don't actually

00:16:50.360 show you

00:16:52.080 something.

00:16:53.220 They're just

00:16:53.880 talking.

00:16:55.020 Are they

00:16:55.740 credible?

00:16:56.940 Not really.

00:16:58.820 Not really.

00:17:00.080 Doesn't mean

00:17:00.660 they're lying,

00:17:01.640 but they're

00:17:02.580 not in that

00:17:03.320 category of

00:17:04.060 people you'd

00:17:04.540 say, oh

00:17:04.940 yeah, if

00:17:05.320 that person

00:17:05.760 says it.

00:17:06.640 If you

00:17:07.100 hear from

00:17:07.480 this person,

00:17:08.640 that's true.

00:17:10.100 We don't

00:17:10.680 have that

00:17:11.340 kind of

00:17:12.040 witness.

00:17:13.500 We have

00:17:14.040 the kind

00:17:14.600 of witness

00:17:15.060 you'd say

00:17:15.560 to yourself,

00:17:16.220 could be

00:17:18.980 true, but

00:17:19.880 I'm not

00:17:20.520 going to

00:17:20.740 believe it

00:17:21.100 just because

00:17:22.000 I'm hearing

00:17:22.420 it from

00:17:22.780 this one

00:17:23.260 or two

00:17:23.520 people.

00:17:25.120 So let

00:17:26.140 me separate

00:17:26.700 the question

00:17:27.420 of whether

00:17:28.860 a hammer

00:17:29.340 and scorecard

00:17:30.420 are real

00:17:31.060 from the

00:17:32.400 related but

00:17:33.260 different

00:17:33.720 question of

00:17:35.180 whether the

00:17:35.720 system could

00:17:36.380 have been

00:17:36.660 gamed or

00:17:37.300 hacked in

00:17:37.940 general.

00:17:38.400 My belief

00:17:40.260 is that the

00:17:40.880 odds of

00:17:41.340 the system

00:17:41.900 being gamed

00:17:42.800 or hacked

00:17:44.160 or somehow

00:17:46.100 fraudulently

00:17:46.920 manipulated in

00:17:48.500 general is

00:17:50.120 very high,

00:17:51.300 closer to

00:17:52.320 100%.

00:17:53.140 The odds

00:17:54.440 of these

00:17:54.820 specific claims

00:17:56.020 and those

00:17:56.740 specific pieces

00:17:58.200 of software

00:17:58.980 are probably

00:18:00.320 low.

00:18:02.240 Here's my

00:18:03.260 feeling.

00:18:03.760 If you

00:18:06.060 were smart

00:18:06.580 enough to

00:18:07.060 pull off

00:18:07.580 this kind

00:18:08.140 of fraud,

00:18:09.600 wouldn't

00:18:09.940 you do

00:18:10.260 it better?

00:18:12.040 Would it

00:18:12.480 be so

00:18:13.060 obvious?

00:18:15.060 It seems

00:18:16.080 to me that

00:18:16.640 since this

00:18:17.700 hammer and

00:18:18.260 scorecard thing

00:18:19.060 were already

00:18:19.580 out there

00:18:20.080 as a thing,

00:18:21.720 that you'd

00:18:22.200 find some

00:18:22.920 different,

00:18:23.720 more clever

00:18:24.200 way to do

00:18:24.780 it,

00:18:25.400 writing

00:18:25.780 different

00:18:26.160 software or

00:18:26.940 something,

00:18:27.720 because that's

00:18:28.440 what they

00:18:28.780 would be

00:18:29.020 looking for,

00:18:30.260 is the

00:18:30.680 hammer and

00:18:31.120 the scorecard.

00:18:31.700 So I

00:18:32.320 don't put

00:18:32.780 too much

00:18:33.580 trust in

00:18:35.100 those specific

00:18:35.940 claims,

00:18:36.760 but I do

00:18:37.160 believe that

00:18:38.060 the election

00:18:38.660 is fraudulent

00:18:40.800 to some

00:18:41.480 degree.

00:18:42.600 I don't

00:18:42.940 know if

00:18:43.180 it's enough

00:18:43.540 to change

00:18:43.980 the election

00:18:44.420 result,

00:18:45.520 but I

00:18:46.060 would say

00:18:46.460 with complete

00:18:47.300 certainty

00:18:47.800 there is

00:18:49.020 fraudulent

00:18:49.520 and fraud

00:18:50.460 in the

00:18:50.860 system

00:18:51.160 somewhere.

00:18:54.840 Russell

00:18:55.440 James,

00:18:56.520 I don't

00:18:57.240 know who

00:18:57.560 he is

00:18:57.820 exactly,

00:18:58.380 but he

00:18:58.760 seems to

00:18:59.400 be

00:19:00.520 technically

00:19:01.160 capable

00:19:02.400 and

00:19:03.200 has said

00:19:03.980 based on

00:19:04.920 his analysis

00:19:05.800 that at

00:19:06.960 least in

00:19:07.520 one portion

00:19:08.540 of the

00:19:08.920 reported

00:19:09.340 voting,

00:19:10.780 there were

00:19:11.040 more ballots

00:19:11.780 processed

00:19:12.660 within the

00:19:14.120 time frame

00:19:14.740 than the

00:19:15.540 equipment is

00:19:16.360 designed to

00:19:17.020 handle.

00:19:18.140 So he's

00:19:18.620 saying we

00:19:19.260 know these

00:19:19.760 are fraudulent

00:19:20.480 because you

00:19:21.640 couldn't even

00:19:22.140 process this

00:19:22.940 many votes

00:19:23.480 in this

00:19:23.880 short a

00:19:24.280 time.

00:19:25.160 Is that

00:19:25.960 generally

00:19:26.560 speaking

00:19:27.160 the kind

00:19:28.720 of claim,

00:19:29.580 the class

00:19:30.640 of things

00:19:31.340 that if

00:19:32.660 you were

00:19:32.900 to fast

00:19:33.660 forward into

00:19:34.300 the future

00:19:34.840 you would

00:19:35.720 find out

00:19:36.260 it had

00:19:36.680 been

00:19:36.900 debunked

00:19:37.980 or you

00:19:38.340 would find

00:19:38.820 out it

00:19:39.400 had been

00:19:39.800 true.

00:19:40.680 Not based

00:19:41.500 on the

00:19:41.880 specifics

00:19:42.340 of this,

00:19:43.420 but that

00:19:43.840 general

00:19:44.520 kind of

00:19:46.040 claim that

00:19:47.300 it was

00:19:47.600 physically

00:19:48.100 impossible

00:19:48.720 to do

00:19:49.280 something

00:19:49.660 technologically.

00:19:51.420 How reliable

00:19:52.560 is a claim

00:19:53.760 that something

00:19:54.840 was technologically

00:19:56.240 not possible

00:19:57.360 in terms

00:19:59.100 of timing,

00:20:00.660 specifically

00:20:01.240 in terms

00:20:01.800 of timing.

00:20:02.940 I would

00:20:03.640 say that

00:20:04.180 is a

00:20:04.480 very low

00:20:05.140 credibility.

00:20:06.940 My guess

00:20:07.500 is that

00:20:08.860 this falls

00:20:10.460 into the

00:20:10.940 category of

00:20:11.600 things that

00:20:12.100 later you

00:20:12.600 find out,

00:20:13.200 oh, they

00:20:13.600 had upgraded

00:20:14.280 the system

00:20:15.060 or they

00:20:16.900 didn't really

00:20:17.400 process them

00:20:18.360 all in that

00:20:19.180 hour, they

00:20:19.820 only reported

00:20:20.620 some of the

00:20:21.420 things that

00:20:21.820 had been

00:20:22.040 processed

00:20:22.560 earlier,

00:20:23.840 or we

00:20:25.080 have more

00:20:25.440 processing

00:20:26.000 equipment

00:20:26.560 than was

00:20:27.380 reported,

00:20:28.640 or the

00:20:29.980 timing of

00:20:30.580 when it

00:20:30.940 was actually

00:20:31.800 done is

00:20:33.560 different,

00:20:34.520 or 10,000

00:20:36.260 different

00:20:36.740 explanations.

00:20:38.900 So if I

00:20:40.320 had to put

00:20:40.780 in odds

00:20:41.400 on this

00:20:41.760 one,

00:20:42.200 again,

00:20:43.680 without saying

00:20:45.040 it's necessarily

00:20:45.940 false, how

00:20:47.140 would I know?

00:20:48.260 I'm going to

00:20:48.820 say it's in

00:20:49.280 the category

00:20:49.940 of things

00:20:50.540 that are

00:20:50.920 95%

00:20:52.160 likely to

00:20:52.960 be

00:20:53.580 false.

00:20:54.920 false, okay?

00:20:56.980 Again,

00:20:58.120 there's

00:20:59.440 probably

00:20:59.840 fraud, but

00:21:01.340 the specific

00:21:02.080 claims,

00:21:03.960 probably not.

00:21:05.900 How about

00:21:06.480 the Minnesota

00:21:07.900 spike, the 0.96

00:21:09.320 4 a.m.

00:21:10.200 Minnesota

00:21:10.640 spike? 1.00

00:21:12.080 Is that

00:21:12.640 proof of

00:21:15.060 fraud, or

00:21:15.960 has it been

00:21:16.500 debunked?

00:21:18.060 Well, the

00:21:18.500 president tweeted

00:21:19.760 out that

00:21:20.340 claim, I

00:21:21.520 think yesterday,

00:21:22.900 and a lot of

00:21:23.980 credible people

00:21:24.880 are looking at

00:21:25.500 that and

00:21:25.800 saying,

00:21:26.140 how do

00:21:27.400 you get

00:21:27.680 this gigantic

00:21:29.160 dump of

00:21:30.660 votes, all

00:21:31.680 in four in

00:21:33.020 the morning,

00:21:34.040 and they're

00:21:34.440 mostly, very,

00:21:35.560 very much

00:21:36.180 mostly for

00:21:37.380 Biden?

00:21:38.320 Looks a

00:21:38.780 little suspicious,

00:21:39.740 doesn't it?

00:21:40.860 Well, USA

00:21:42.260 Today attempted

00:21:44.200 to debunk

00:21:45.060 that by

00:21:46.220 saying that

00:21:46.920 we expected

00:21:47.820 that spike,

00:21:49.360 and all it

00:21:50.020 was is they

00:21:50.740 counted the

00:21:51.320 votes in

00:21:51.980 a Biden

00:21:54.460 territory,

00:21:55.520 and once

00:21:57.200 you have

00:21:57.680 the votes

00:21:58.800 from the

00:21:59.220 biggest city

00:21:59.860 that you

00:22:00.880 know is

00:22:01.380 going to

00:22:01.600 go strongly

00:22:02.260 for Biden,

00:22:03.220 that's all

00:22:03.900 it was.

00:22:05.200 That's all

00:22:05.620 it was.

00:22:06.520 You were

00:22:06.980 waiting for

00:22:07.480 a big

00:22:07.840 population

00:22:08.440 center,

00:22:09.340 and then

00:22:10.000 it came

00:22:10.340 in.

00:22:11.320 And you

00:22:11.920 already knew

00:22:12.400 that that

00:22:12.760 big population

00:22:13.500 center would

00:22:14.240 vote quite

00:22:16.060 overwhelmingly

00:22:16.720 for Biden,

00:22:18.080 and they

00:22:18.560 did.

00:22:18.820 So where's

00:22:21.440 the fraud?

00:22:22.780 The bump

00:22:23.860 was just

00:22:24.440 what they

00:22:24.780 expected,

00:22:25.660 and the

00:22:26.240 outcome was

00:22:26.860 what they

00:22:27.160 expected,

00:22:27.760 too.

00:22:28.640 Where's

00:22:28.980 the fraud?

00:22:30.600 Well,

00:22:31.160 here's the

00:22:31.560 problem.

00:22:33.140 The claim

00:22:34.400 is not

00:22:34.880 demonstrated,

00:22:36.380 at least

00:22:36.860 not proven,

00:22:38.280 by the data

00:22:39.040 that we have

00:22:39.660 so far.

00:22:40.460 In other

00:22:40.740 words,

00:22:40.960 the fact

00:22:41.360 that there's

00:22:41.800 a big

00:22:42.160 bump at

00:22:43.280 4 a.m.

00:22:43.880 doesn't

00:22:44.260 prove anything.

00:22:45.420 Would you

00:22:45.780 agree?

00:22:46.660 Simply the

00:22:47.400 fact that

00:22:48.040 metropolitan

00:22:48.800 area got

00:22:50.340 counted and

00:22:51.200 reported at

00:22:51.960 4 in the

00:22:52.340 morning,

00:22:53.220 by itself,

00:22:54.720 doesn't mean

00:22:55.820 anything.

00:22:56.700 I think you'd

00:22:57.180 agree.

00:22:57.740 Also,

00:22:58.380 by itself,

00:22:59.660 the fact that

00:23:00.260 most of them

00:23:00.780 were Biden

00:23:01.280 votes,

00:23:02.440 that alone

00:23:03.160 also doesn't

00:23:03.920 prove anything,

00:23:05.080 because you

00:23:05.520 already knew

00:23:05.920 that city

00:23:06.360 was going

00:23:06.740 to go

00:23:06.960 Biden.

00:23:07.900 But here's

00:23:08.540 what you

00:23:08.880 don't know.

00:23:10.460 How many

00:23:11.140 were there

00:23:11.540 supposed to

00:23:12.080 be?

00:23:14.000 So there's

00:23:15.220 this,

00:23:15.580 you know,

00:23:15.740 if you see

00:23:16.080 it on a

00:23:16.420 chart,

00:23:16.720 you see

00:23:17.540 these little

00:23:18.260 bumps coming

00:23:19.600 in for the

00:23:20.340 smaller areas

00:23:21.100 reporting,

00:23:22.040 and then

00:23:22.400 there's this

00:23:22.920 gigantic

00:23:23.620 surge,

00:23:25.200 which is,

00:23:25.820 was it

00:23:26.220 Minneapolis?

00:23:26.480 I forget,

00:23:28.780 Milwaukee or

00:23:29.340 someplace.

00:23:31.580 But how

00:23:32.400 big was

00:23:32.940 that big

00:23:34.060 surge

00:23:34.600 supposed to

00:23:36.220 be?

00:23:37.380 Does anybody

00:23:38.240 know?

00:23:39.220 Was that

00:23:39.720 surge

00:23:40.320 20% bigger

00:23:42.800 than the

00:23:45.000 number of

00:23:45.420 voters?

00:23:46.280 How would

00:23:46.800 you know?

00:23:47.580 If I

00:23:48.200 were going

00:23:48.540 to fix

00:23:49.040 this

00:23:49.300 election,

00:23:50.460 I wouldn't

00:23:51.300 necessarily

00:23:52.000 do it by

00:23:53.080 faking a

00:23:54.040 gigantic

00:23:54.580 surge of

00:23:55.280 votes at

00:23:55.700 4 a.m.,

00:23:56.600 because that

00:23:57.240 would be a

00:23:57.600 little bit

00:23:57.960 obvious.

00:23:59.400 But suppose

00:24:00.000 I thought

00:24:00.600 to myself,

00:24:01.540 there's this

00:24:02.220 big batch

00:24:02.840 that's going

00:24:03.240 to come in

00:24:03.600 at 4 a.m.,

00:24:04.660 it's legitimate,

00:24:06.420 but if I

00:24:07.200 added 20%,

00:24:09.440 and the

00:24:10.780 same ratio

00:24:11.520 as the

00:24:11.960 rest,

00:24:13.160 would anybody

00:24:13.700 notice?

00:24:14.740 See,

00:24:15.120 here's what

00:24:15.460 you wouldn't

00:24:15.860 want to

00:24:16.120 do.

00:24:16.320 You wouldn't

00:24:16.640 want to

00:24:16.900 add so

00:24:17.320 many Biden

00:24:17.940 votes that

00:24:19.620 it's so far

00:24:20.700 different than

00:24:21.240 the poll numbers

00:24:22.100 that it's

00:24:22.440 obviously fake.

00:24:23.580 So you

00:24:24.000 wouldn't want

00:24:24.360 to have

00:24:24.580 99%

00:24:25.760 Biden votes,

00:24:27.360 right?

00:24:28.040 Too obvious.

00:24:29.400 Let's say the

00:24:30.040 votes that were

00:24:30.680 natural were

00:24:32.000 75-25.

00:24:33.980 I don't know

00:24:34.380 what they were,

00:24:34.880 but let's say

00:24:35.260 that,

00:24:35.880 75-25.

00:24:37.340 If you were

00:24:37.980 going to add

00:24:38.580 some fake

00:24:39.440 votes,

00:24:40.540 you would

00:24:40.960 just make

00:24:41.380 them also

00:24:42.120 75-25.

00:24:44.060 It would

00:24:44.560 be invisible

00:24:45.120 because nobody

00:24:46.540 knows how

00:24:47.080 many votes

00:24:47.580 there were

00:24:48.020 supposed to

00:24:48.700 be because

00:24:50.000 we did it

00:24:50.520 differently this

00:24:51.180 year.

00:24:51.420 There's no

00:24:51.720 baseline,

00:24:52.320 no history

00:24:52.780 to look at

00:24:53.400 because we

00:24:54.220 didn't do

00:24:54.520 this many

00:24:55.040 mail-in

00:24:55.920 votes before.

00:24:57.020 So the

00:24:57.360 perfect crime

00:24:58.680 is to go

00:24:59.660 for the

00:25:00.040 biggest batch

00:25:01.020 of votes

00:25:01.600 that were

00:25:02.400 already going

00:25:03.280 to go to

00:25:03.740 Biden and

00:25:04.900 just make

00:25:05.360 it bigger.

00:25:06.940 Right?

00:25:07.680 Now,

00:25:07.920 what evidence

00:25:11.320 do I have

00:25:12.020 that that's

00:25:12.600 what happened?

00:25:13.920 None.

00:25:15.140 None.

00:25:15.940 I don't have

00:25:16.620 any evidence

00:25:17.200 that that

00:25:17.660 happened.

00:25:18.120 I'm just

00:25:18.420 telling you,

00:25:19.080 if you were

00:25:19.760 going to do

00:25:20.420 a crime,

00:25:21.520 you would

00:25:21.940 do it the

00:25:22.320 smart way.

00:25:23.600 And it's

00:25:24.040 pretty obvious

00:25:24.820 what the

00:25:25.260 smart way

00:25:25.760 is.

00:25:26.560 Don't make

00:25:27.140 it 100%

00:25:27.860 Biden votes.

00:25:29.240 Go where

00:25:29.880 there's already

00:25:30.420 a lot of

00:25:30.840 votes and

00:25:31.260 you don't

00:25:31.600 know what

00:25:31.980 the number

00:25:32.400 is supposed

00:25:32.820 to be.

00:25:34.040 Add 20%.

00:25:35.080 That's how

00:25:36.480 I'd do it.

00:25:37.020 How would

00:25:37.940 you do

00:25:38.220 it?

00:25:39.360 Right?

00:25:40.600 Somebody says

00:25:41.320 it was obvious

00:25:41.940 and I don't

00:25:42.900 think you're

00:25:43.320 right on

00:25:43.680 that.

00:25:44.300 I don't

00:25:44.640 think it

00:25:44.980 was obvious.

00:25:46.740 I think

00:25:47.520 it feels

00:25:47.960 obvious.

00:25:49.420 But there

00:25:49.960 was going

00:25:50.280 to be a

00:25:50.660 big bunch

00:25:51.160 of Biden

00:25:51.580 votes as

00:25:53.120 soon as

00:25:53.480 those votes

00:25:53.900 came in.

00:25:54.340 It was

00:25:54.540 going to

00:25:54.800 happen.

00:25:55.780 You just

00:25:56.160 don't know

00:25:56.560 how big

00:25:56.880 it was

00:25:57.080 going to

00:25:57.280 be.

00:25:57.920 All

00:25:58.080 right.

00:25:59.120 Let's

00:25:59.520 talk about

00:26:00.440 Benford's

00:26:01.720 Law.

00:26:03.440 Some of

00:26:04.000 you know

00:26:04.280 about this.

00:26:05.740 Benford's

00:26:06.180 Law has

00:26:07.000 to do

00:26:07.340 with the

00:26:07.580 fact that

00:26:08.040 certain

00:26:08.440 digits will

00:26:09.760 naturally

00:26:10.360 occur more

00:26:11.180 often than

00:26:11.840 others.

00:26:12.720 For example,

00:26:13.340 the digit

00:26:13.760 1, if

00:26:15.100 you're looking

00:26:15.460 at lots

00:26:15.840 of random

00:26:16.360 numbers,

00:26:17.400 there should

00:26:17.820 be more

00:26:18.280 of the

00:26:18.560 digit 1

00:26:19.240 than there

00:26:20.480 would be

00:26:20.860 of other

00:26:21.440 digits.

00:26:23.020 Now, I

00:26:23.640 don't know

00:26:24.040 exactly why

00:26:26.540 that makes

00:26:26.940 sense, but

00:26:27.380 apparently

00:26:27.720 there's

00:26:28.600 something to

00:26:29.100 it.

00:26:29.780 So when

00:26:30.160 you do

00:26:30.400 the Benford

00:26:31.220 analysis on

00:26:33.240 votes, it

00:26:34.820 looks like

00:26:35.420 it violates

00:26:37.420 Benford's

00:26:37.960 Law.

00:26:38.680 So it

00:26:38.980 looks like

00:26:39.440 they're

00:26:39.700 unnatural,

00:26:40.900 which would

00:26:41.420 suggest that

00:26:42.140 somebody

00:26:42.960 rigged

00:26:43.840 them.

00:26:44.820 But experts

00:26:46.740 on data

00:26:48.560 analysis have

00:26:49.460 weighed in

00:26:49.920 and said,

00:26:50.400 that Benford

00:26:51.480 Law doesn't

00:26:53.140 work all

00:26:53.820 the time.

00:26:54.880 And one

00:26:55.480 of the

00:26:55.700 cases in

00:26:56.300 which it

00:26:56.640 wouldn't

00:26:56.920 work is

00:26:57.900 exactly this

00:26:58.640 one, where

00:26:59.980 you have a

00:27:00.480 cap on

00:27:01.100 the number

00:27:01.540 of votes

00:27:02.100 and they're

00:27:03.060 roughly evenly

00:27:03.880 divided between

00:27:04.760 two parties,

00:27:06.440 Democrats and

00:27:07.100 Republicans.

00:27:08.020 Under that

00:27:08.640 specific

00:27:09.240 situation, say

00:27:11.320 some number

00:27:12.280 of experts,

00:27:13.040 I don't know

00:27:13.380 if it's all

00:27:13.820 of them or

00:27:14.340 some of

00:27:15.100 them, say

00:27:16.320 some experts,

00:27:17.660 Benford's

00:27:18.140 Law does

00:27:18.680 not apply

00:27:19.320 because you

00:27:20.600 have this

00:27:20.900 artificial

00:27:21.280 situation with

00:27:22.400 a cap on

00:27:23.680 the number

00:27:24.040 of votes

00:27:24.540 and the

00:27:25.340 fact that

00:27:25.800 you already

00:27:26.220 know it's

00:27:26.560 about 50-50-ish.

00:27:28.640 I don't

00:27:29.560 know.

00:27:30.600 I'm no

00:27:31.220 expert in

00:27:31.780 this area,

00:27:32.560 so I will

00:27:33.340 just tell you

00:27:33.920 that there

00:27:34.300 is a

00:27:35.380 debunk being

00:27:36.740 offered.

00:27:37.720 This sounds

00:27:38.600 to me as

00:27:39.380 strong as

00:27:39.980 the original

00:27:40.520 claim.

00:27:42.080 I would

00:27:42.440 say, I

00:27:43.700 can't tell

00:27:44.160 if the

00:27:44.420 original

00:27:44.800 claim sounds

00:27:45.560 good, but

00:27:46.520 I also can't

00:27:47.180 tell if the

00:27:47.680 debunk sounds

00:27:48.600 good.

00:27:49.520 I call it

00:27:50.060 a tie, so

00:27:51.020 I wouldn't

00:27:51.300 put too

00:27:51.760 much weight

00:27:52.280 on that

00:27:52.720 Benford

00:27:53.100 thing.

00:27:57.780 Pfizer

00:27:58.340 says that

00:27:59.660 their

00:27:59.900 vaccination

00:28:00.500 is 95%

00:28:02.640 effective.

00:28:04.020 This comes

00:28:04.580 soon after

00:28:06.280 was it

00:28:07.500 Moderna

00:28:08.020 said that

00:28:08.760 their

00:28:09.100 vaccination

00:28:10.600 was 94.5%

00:28:12.440 effective,

00:28:13.900 and Pfizer

00:28:14.460 had before

00:28:15.620 said they

00:28:16.140 think it's

00:28:16.680 better than

00:28:17.080 90%.

00:28:17.920 And

00:28:19.020 coincidentally,

00:28:20.540 and this

00:28:21.540 is just a

00:28:22.000 wonderful

00:28:22.340 coincidence,

00:28:23.480 when Pfizer

00:28:24.380 looked a

00:28:24.860 little more

00:28:25.240 closely at

00:28:27.000 their claim

00:28:27.500 that their

00:28:27.840 vaccinations

00:28:28.480 were over

00:28:29.700 90%

00:28:30.320 effective,

00:28:31.380 what a

00:28:32.320 coincidence.

00:28:33.140 They found

00:28:33.520 out that it

00:28:33.960 was just a

00:28:34.500 little bit

00:28:35.140 better than

00:28:36.540 their competition.

00:28:38.360 So you

00:28:39.280 can trust

00:28:39.760 that,

00:28:41.280 can't you?

00:28:43.720 Speaking of

00:28:44.700 coincidental

00:28:46.000 numbers,

00:28:48.200 let's be

00:28:49.380 positive and

00:28:50.360 say that

00:28:50.660 that's probably

00:28:51.180 true-ish.

00:28:52.160 It's in that

00:28:52.520 category.

00:28:53.940 And now

00:28:54.620 that it

00:28:57.120 looks like

00:28:57.780 Biden has

00:28:58.500 more votes,

00:29:00.380 you see the

00:29:01.920 news is

00:29:02.380 willing to

00:29:02.840 say that

00:29:04.140 if you've

00:29:04.620 had the

00:29:05.160 virus once,

00:29:06.240 you probably

00:29:07.220 do have

00:29:07.880 long-term

00:29:08.440 immunity.

00:29:10.460 So now

00:29:11.280 that people

00:29:12.980 think that

00:29:13.680 Trump will

00:29:14.400 not be

00:29:14.960 re-elected,

00:29:16.260 now they're

00:29:16.980 willing to

00:29:17.480 say,

00:29:17.840 yeah,

00:29:18.200 you were

00:29:18.620 probably

00:29:18.920 right about

00:29:19.500 that,

00:29:19.900 that long-term

00:29:20.660 immunity.

00:29:23.960 Don Lemon

00:29:24.720 is up to

00:29:25.180 his old

00:29:25.560 tricks of

00:29:27.160 mind-reading

00:29:28.000 the president.

00:29:29.520 I watched

00:29:30.120 a clip of

00:29:30.600 him saying

00:29:31.000 that Trump

00:29:31.580 quote,

00:29:32.600 knows he

00:29:33.320 lost.

00:29:35.060 Does

00:29:35.560 Don Lemon

00:29:36.360 know,

00:29:38.760 does he

00:29:39.500 know,

00:29:41.180 that Trump

00:29:41.820 knows he

00:29:42.820 lost?

00:29:43.940 Because I

00:29:44.680 don't think

00:29:45.060 he knows

00:29:45.460 he lost.

00:29:46.580 Now,

00:29:46.840 I also

00:29:47.320 can't read

00:29:47.940 his mind,

00:29:49.100 but I

00:29:49.660 would say

00:29:49.960 that the

00:29:50.320 claim that

00:29:50.840 he knows

00:29:51.280 he lost

00:29:51.880 is just

00:29:53.240 crazy talk.

00:29:55.100 It's crazy

00:29:55.980 talk.

00:29:57.020 He's certainly

00:29:57.660 not acting

00:29:58.260 like he

00:29:58.660 lost,

00:29:59.580 and there

00:30:00.140 are certainly

00:30:00.620 tons of

00:30:01.520 claims.

00:30:02.700 If you

00:30:03.120 had to

00:30:03.460 say,

00:30:04.020 based on

00:30:04.460 what you

00:30:04.800 know of

00:30:05.280 this president,

00:30:06.320 does he

00:30:06.840 believe he

00:30:07.360 lost?

00:30:08.420 I think

00:30:09.000 he believes

00:30:09.440 it's possible,

00:30:10.800 but there's

00:30:11.680 so many

00:30:12.040 claims of

00:30:12.580 fraud,

00:30:13.060 I think

00:30:13.520 he believes

00:30:14.060 he won

00:30:14.560 if I had

00:30:15.860 to put

00:30:16.100 money on

00:30:16.560 it.

00:30:17.020 But again,

00:30:17.640 since I'm

00:30:18.140 not insane,

00:30:18.860 I'm not

00:30:20.220 going to

00:30:20.420 try to

00:30:20.820 imagine

00:30:21.340 what

00:30:21.640 somebody

00:30:22.500 thinks.

00:30:26.820 CNN is

00:30:27.740 doing this

00:30:28.260 clever trick.

00:30:29.960 So Nick

00:30:30.340 Robertson

00:30:30.860 had a

00:30:31.760 piece on

00:30:32.300 CNN.com,

00:30:33.640 and this

00:30:34.160 is a

00:30:34.500 sentence

00:30:34.740 from his

00:30:35.240 piece.

00:30:35.600 He says,

00:30:36.480 while Trump

00:30:37.020 wages a

00:30:37.680 legal fight

00:30:38.360 at home

00:30:38.820 over what

00:30:39.480 he falsely

00:30:40.260 alleges

00:30:40.940 is election

00:30:41.680 fraud,

00:30:43.760 blah,

00:30:44.240 blah,

00:30:44.380 blah,

00:30:44.700 blah,

00:30:44.720 blah.

00:30:45.800 Now,

00:30:46.820 this is

00:30:47.300 a news

00:30:47.740 site.

00:30:48.980 It's a

00:30:49.620 news site,

00:30:50.340 so they

00:30:50.580 deal in

00:30:50.920 facts.

00:30:51.740 Now,

00:30:52.220 even though

00:30:52.540 it's an

00:30:52.880 opinion

00:30:53.180 piece,

00:30:54.540 if you

00:30:55.140 run an

00:30:55.600 opinion

00:30:55.900 piece on

00:30:56.520 a news

00:30:56.920 site,

00:30:57.980 the news

00:30:58.760 editors

00:30:59.280 are probably

00:31:00.740 going to

00:31:01.060 weigh in

00:31:01.600 if you

00:31:01.980 say something

00:31:02.480 that's just

00:31:02.940 not true.

00:31:04.700 So you

00:31:05.500 can be

00:31:05.840 opinion-y,

00:31:06.580 but it's

00:31:07.340 a news

00:31:07.660 site.

00:31:08.140 They don't

00:31:08.400 want you

00:31:08.660 putting

00:31:08.880 stuff in

00:31:09.400 there that's

00:31:09.760 not real.

00:31:12.200 And Nick

00:31:12.600 Robertson was

00:31:13.380 allowed to

00:31:14.840 publish a

00:31:15.580 statement

00:31:15.880 that says

00:31:16.540 that the

00:31:18.480 president is

00:31:19.140 falsely

00:31:19.840 alleging

00:31:20.460 election

00:31:21.280 fraud.

00:31:22.700 How does

00:31:23.340 anybody know

00:31:23.920 that?

00:31:25.160 How does

00:31:25.780 anybody know

00:31:26.300 it's false?

00:31:27.880 Nobody knows

00:31:28.640 that.

00:31:30.280 You could

00:31:30.920 have an

00:31:31.280 opinion.

00:31:32.620 You could

00:31:32.900 think,

00:31:33.280 I think

00:31:33.640 when it's

00:31:33.980 all done,

00:31:35.140 there won't

00:31:35.580 be that

00:31:35.940 much fraud

00:31:36.440 to change

00:31:36.880 the election.

00:31:37.480 That would

00:31:37.720 be reasonable.

00:31:38.940 Might be

00:31:39.460 right,

00:31:39.820 might be

00:31:40.100 wrong,

00:31:40.380 but it's

00:31:40.600 reasonable.

00:31:42.660 But let

00:31:44.500 me tell

00:31:44.780 you what

00:31:45.160 is just

00:31:45.820 flat-out

00:31:47.260 not reasonable

00:31:47.940 to say

00:31:49.720 that the

00:31:50.680 president's

00:31:51.280 claims of

00:31:52.160 fraud are

00:31:53.080 false.

00:31:55.120 You can't

00:31:55.920 say that.

00:31:57.080 You could

00:31:57.420 say it

00:31:57.700 might turn

00:31:58.120 out that

00:31:58.480 way,

00:31:59.380 right?

00:32:00.660 But how

00:32:01.380 in the

00:32:01.640 hell does

00:32:02.140 Nick

00:32:02.420 Robertson

00:32:03.000 know what

00:32:04.380 the election

00:32:05.680 software says?

00:32:07.220 Has Nick

00:32:07.720 Robertson done

00:32:08.440 a line-by-line

00:32:09.560 code check

00:32:10.740 to find out

00:32:11.860 there's nothing

00:32:12.280 in that

00:32:12.680 software?

00:32:13.480 Has he

00:32:14.000 counted the

00:32:14.500 ballots

00:32:14.800 himself?

00:32:15.840 How in

00:32:16.500 the world

00:32:16.760 does he

00:32:17.060 come to

00:32:17.340 this

00:32:17.580 conclusion

00:32:18.100 that it's

00:32:20.720 false?

00:32:22.760 Here's what

00:32:23.380 would have

00:32:23.720 been fair.

00:32:25.320 It would

00:32:25.920 have been

00:32:26.140 fair to

00:32:26.620 say he

00:32:29.380 makes these

00:32:29.900 allegations,

00:32:31.280 the legal

00:32:31.880 system is

00:32:32.500 looking into

00:32:33.080 it,

00:32:34.480 CNN cannot

00:32:35.680 confirm any

00:32:36.440 of these

00:32:36.700 allegations to

00:32:37.480 be true.

00:32:39.120 That would

00:32:39.840 be fair,

00:32:41.180 right?

00:32:41.460 But to

00:32:41.920 just flat

00:32:42.400 out say

00:32:42.740 they're

00:32:42.960 false while

00:32:44.040 the process

00:32:45.100 is ongoing

00:32:45.920 and nobody

00:32:46.940 really knows

00:32:47.600 the answer

00:32:48.080 of whether

00:32:48.640 it's false

00:32:49.100 is really

00:32:50.060 irresponsible

00:32:50.740 for a

00:32:51.940 news

00:32:52.140 organization.

00:32:52.940 Even as

00:32:53.340 an opinion

00:32:53.780 it's

00:32:54.100 irresponsible.

00:32:55.900 All right,

00:32:56.180 here's the

00:32:56.500 best brainwashing

00:32:57.520 trick the

00:32:58.080 Democrats are

00:32:58.780 using on

00:32:59.520 you right

00:33:00.840 now.

00:33:01.620 And it's

00:33:02.160 basically that.

00:33:03.940 So the

00:33:04.500 best brainwashing

00:33:05.440 trick is

00:33:07.020 that because

00:33:08.200 the courts

00:33:08.920 have not

00:33:09.460 confirmed any

00:33:11.300 fraud in

00:33:11.940 the election

00:33:12.460 it is

00:33:13.560 therefore

00:33:13.940 proven not

00:33:14.960 to exist.

00:33:17.020 That's what

00:33:17.740 they're trying

00:33:18.160 to convince

00:33:18.700 you.

00:33:19.560 That while

00:33:20.340 the process

00:33:20.880 is ongoing

00:33:21.700 and we

00:33:22.740 don't know

00:33:23.120 how it's

00:33:23.500 going to

00:33:23.720 end,

00:33:24.860 because the

00:33:25.540 court has

00:33:26.060 not yet

00:33:26.620 ruled that

00:33:28.000 there's

00:33:28.240 definitely

00:33:28.600 fraud,

00:33:29.840 that's

00:33:30.680 proof it's

00:33:31.200 not there.

00:33:32.760 Now that

00:33:33.360 is,

00:33:33.840 that's some

00:33:34.840 pretty devious

00:33:35.460 brainwashing.

00:33:36.480 Because it's

00:33:36.920 not rational.

00:33:37.980 They can only

00:33:38.540 prove they

00:33:38.980 haven't found

00:33:39.540 it, but

00:33:40.560 they also

00:33:41.020 aren't

00:33:41.320 looking for

00:33:41.920 it, are

00:33:42.180 they?

00:33:43.240 Is CNN

00:33:43.960 doing a

00:33:44.520 code review

00:33:45.160 of the

00:33:45.780 software?

00:33:47.380 Don't

00:33:47.660 think so.

00:33:48.980 Where would

00:33:49.480 you hide

00:33:49.960 any mischief

00:33:50.760 if you

00:33:51.780 were going

00:33:52.160 to rig

00:33:52.660 an election?

00:33:53.240 Where would

00:33:53.520 it be?

00:33:54.420 Where would

00:33:55.080 you hide

00:33:55.400 the signs

00:33:55.920 of that?

00:33:57.500 In the

00:33:58.120 code?

00:33:58.800 It'd be in

00:33:59.200 the software.

00:34:00.060 That'd be

00:34:00.360 one of the

00:34:00.780 places.

00:34:01.460 You could

00:34:01.780 also do it

00:34:02.240 with paper

00:34:02.620 ballots.

00:34:04.000 So if

00:34:05.180 CNN isn't

00:34:06.780 looking into

00:34:07.360 it, and

00:34:08.760 there's

00:34:09.020 nobody

00:34:09.340 else looking

00:34:09.860 at the

00:34:10.200 code as

00:34:10.880 far as

00:34:11.240 I know,

00:34:12.160 right?

00:34:12.720 Can anybody

00:34:13.340 do a

00:34:13.700 fact check

00:34:14.180 on me?

00:34:14.900 Is there

00:34:15.260 anybody doing

00:34:16.000 a line-by-line

00:34:17.160 software review

00:34:18.660 of all the

00:34:19.940 software that

00:34:20.520 was involved

00:34:21.140 in this

00:34:21.980 election?

00:34:23.080 No.

00:34:24.120 I don't

00:34:24.780 think so.

00:34:25.920 I feel like

00:34:26.460 we'd know

00:34:26.820 about that.

00:34:27.820 So nobody's

00:34:28.380 looking for

00:34:29.060 it.

00:34:30.260 So to

00:34:30.700 say that

00:34:31.160 we haven't

00:34:31.740 looked for

00:34:32.260 it and

00:34:32.540 we didn't

00:34:32.940 find it,

00:34:33.500 therefore it

00:34:33.940 doesn't exist,

00:34:35.240 they're actually

00:34:35.900 selling you

00:34:36.540 that, and

00:34:37.680 people are

00:34:38.080 buying it.

00:34:39.460 A lot of

00:34:39.960 people are

00:34:40.320 buying it,

00:34:41.860 amazingly.

00:34:46.420 And they're

00:34:47.120 also pretending

00:34:47.920 with this

00:34:48.900 word widespread,

00:34:50.080 we've talked

00:34:50.500 about this

00:34:50.960 before, they're

00:34:52.140 trying to

00:34:52.580 make the

00:34:52.940 claim that

00:34:54.380 there's no

00:34:54.840 widespread fraud,

00:34:56.300 meaning it's

00:34:57.080 not under

00:34:57.640 every rock

00:34:58.300 and everywhere.

00:34:59.540 But nobody's

00:35:00.440 making that

00:35:01.020 claim.

00:35:01.860 The claim

00:35:02.360 is it's in

00:35:03.220 strategically

00:35:04.640 selected

00:35:05.400 cities,

00:35:06.540 because that's

00:35:07.440 where you

00:35:07.760 can make

00:35:08.060 the

00:35:08.240 difference.

00:35:08.680 There's

00:35:08.760 only a few

00:35:09.160 places you

00:35:09.720 can make

00:35:10.040 a difference.

00:35:11.100 So the

00:35:11.360 claim is

00:35:11.780 that's the

00:35:12.120 place it's

00:35:12.520 happening.

00:35:13.860 The claim

00:35:14.300 is not

00:35:14.640 widespread.

00:35:16.080 Nobody

00:35:16.300 makes that

00:35:16.760 claim.

00:35:17.960 So they're

00:35:18.700 debunking a

00:35:19.480 non-claim.

00:35:21.380 So here's

00:35:21.820 my opinion.

00:35:22.400 For a

00:35:22.800 normal crime,

00:35:23.740 say a

00:35:24.220 burglary or

00:35:25.160 a murder,

00:35:26.500 if you saw

00:35:27.720 nothing missing

00:35:28.520 from your

00:35:29.120 house,

00:35:30.820 you would

00:35:31.720 probably

00:35:32.260 eventually

00:35:32.760 conclude you

00:35:33.480 had not

00:35:33.760 been robbed.

00:35:34.360 If you

00:35:36.000 did not

00:35:36.480 find any

00:35:37.080 dead bodies

00:35:37.860 or any

00:35:38.500 signs that

00:35:39.080 anybody is

00:35:39.660 missing,

00:35:40.640 could you

00:35:41.240 conclude that

00:35:41.860 a murder

00:35:42.200 had not

00:35:42.640 been committed?

00:35:44.420 Well, you

00:35:44.940 can't be 100%

00:35:45.940 sure, but

00:35:46.440 you can be

00:35:47.220 pretty sure

00:35:47.740 there's no

00:35:48.580 body, and

00:35:49.720 there's not

00:35:50.060 even a claim

00:35:50.680 of a body.

00:35:52.140 So a lack

00:35:53.300 of evidence

00:35:53.880 in those

00:35:54.320 cases would

00:35:54.980 be not

00:35:55.940 proof, but

00:35:57.460 pretty good

00:35:58.260 sense of

00:35:58.860 certainty that

00:35:59.700 there's no

00:36:00.160 actual crime.

00:36:01.980 But those

00:36:02.460 different, those

00:36:03.320 crimes,

00:36:03.760 burglary, and

00:36:04.580 murder are

00:36:05.380 very different

00:36:06.280 from this

00:36:07.520 big, complicated

00:36:08.560 election

00:36:09.280 situation.

00:36:10.560 For the

00:36:11.100 election

00:36:11.400 situation, I

00:36:12.300 think you

00:36:12.560 have to look

00:36:12.960 at the

00:36:13.260 situation.

00:36:15.020 And if the

00:36:15.480 situation is

00:36:16.360 one in which

00:36:17.540 it will always

00:36:18.240 go in one

00:36:18.800 direction, because

00:36:19.880 that's the

00:36:20.460 situation, then

00:36:21.960 you don't have

00:36:22.480 to find proof

00:36:23.480 that it went

00:36:24.660 in that

00:36:25.020 direction, because

00:36:26.380 there's only one

00:36:27.000 way it could

00:36:27.500 go.

00:36:27.880 Let me give

00:36:28.280 you an 0.64

00:36:28.500 example.

00:36:29.520 If you live

00:36:30.440 in a bad

00:36:30.980 part of town

00:36:31.680 where there's

00:36:32.320 a lot of

00:36:32.680 crime, and

00:36:33.740 you leave

00:36:34.140 your front

00:36:34.600 door open, and

00:36:36.240 then you go

00:36:37.020 on vacation

00:36:37.620 for two

00:36:38.200 weeks, do

00:36:40.080 you have to

00:36:40.560 check to

00:36:41.480 find out if

00:36:42.180 a crime

00:36:42.600 happened and

00:36:43.700 your apartment

00:36:44.260 was robbed?

00:36:45.100 Remember, you're

00:36:45.760 in a high-crown

00:36:46.360 neighborhood, you

00:36:47.540 left your door

00:36:48.160 open all day

00:36:49.160 and all night, and

00:36:50.400 nobody was

00:36:50.900 home.

00:36:52.880 Do you have

00:36:53.660 to check to

00:36:55.140 find out if

00:36:55.760 you were

00:36:56.060 robbed?

00:36:57.440 No.

00:36:57.920 No, you don't

00:36:59.720 have to check.

00:37:00.880 You were

00:37:01.580 robbed.

00:37:02.540 Because the

00:37:03.280 situation is

00:37:05.200 one in which

00:37:05.900 it can only

00:37:06.420 go one way.

00:37:08.000 There's only

00:37:08.840 one way that

00:37:09.520 can go.

00:37:10.900 Right?

00:37:11.300 Now, nothing's

00:37:12.060 impossible, so

00:37:13.080 maybe you could

00:37:14.200 imagine there's

00:37:14.920 some chance it

00:37:15.480 didn't happen.

00:37:16.320 But you should

00:37:16.960 assume it

00:37:17.600 happened.

00:37:19.300 Now, the

00:37:20.360 election has a

00:37:22.900 huge upside

00:37:23.860 potential if you

00:37:25.000 can rig it and

00:37:25.880 get away with it.

00:37:26.620 So it's like

00:37:27.680 the biggest gain

00:37:29.720 you could make

00:37:30.480 would be fixing

00:37:31.200 an election.

00:37:32.100 So it's a big

00:37:32.780 payoff.

00:37:33.860 That's one

00:37:34.600 requirement.

00:37:35.660 Secondly, it's

00:37:38.240 feasible.

00:37:39.560 We've heard how

00:37:40.420 many, like 15

00:37:41.440 different ways to

00:37:42.340 rig an election.

00:37:43.400 It's certainly

00:37:43.820 feasible.

00:37:44.800 At the very

00:37:45.340 least, you

00:37:45.920 could get an

00:37:46.520 insider working

00:37:47.580 at one of

00:37:47.980 these election

00:37:49.260 software companies.

00:37:51.000 You could bribe

00:37:51.680 them or threaten

00:37:52.920 them until they

00:37:53.660 put in some

00:37:54.240 code.

00:37:54.640 So it's

00:37:55.800 feasible.

00:37:57.120 We just

00:37:57.920 haven't seen it

00:37:58.980 in a way that's

00:37:59.600 court proven.

00:38:01.440 But definitely

00:38:02.340 feasible, huge

00:38:03.840 upside gain, lots

00:38:05.740 of complication, and

00:38:06.980 lots of people

00:38:07.640 involved.

00:38:08.800 And when you

00:38:09.520 have lots of

00:38:10.060 people involved,

00:38:11.340 that's the part

00:38:12.020 that guarantees

00:38:12.900 you can find

00:38:14.220 somebody willing

00:38:14.860 to take a

00:38:15.380 chance.

00:38:16.240 Because if you

00:38:16.920 have enough

00:38:17.280 people, you

00:38:18.740 can get somebody

00:38:19.840 who's willing to

00:38:21.160 do absolutely

00:38:22.040 anything.

00:38:22.940 You just need

00:38:23.680 enough people.

00:38:24.640 And the

00:38:25.040 election system

00:38:25.700 has lots

00:38:26.340 of people.

00:38:27.220 So you're

00:38:27.680 going to have

00:38:28.060 crooks, because

00:38:29.360 you've got lots

00:38:29.860 of people.

00:38:30.880 You've got

00:38:31.420 opportunity to

00:38:32.240 fix it, and

00:38:32.740 it's the biggest

00:38:33.300 gain you could

00:38:34.080 ever imagine,

00:38:35.740 fixing an

00:38:36.540 election.

00:38:37.380 So in my

00:38:38.180 view, it

00:38:39.120 had to

00:38:39.440 happen.

00:38:40.680 Whether or

00:38:41.320 not you can

00:38:41.780 find this

00:38:42.380 specific proof

00:38:43.380 is somewhat

00:38:44.660 immaterial.

00:38:46.380 It had to

00:38:47.140 happen.

00:38:48.440 And when you

00:38:48.920 add to the

00:38:50.280 fact that half

00:38:51.800 the country

00:38:52.260 thought they

00:38:52.840 were looking

00:38:53.900 at a second

00:38:54.680 term of

00:38:55.200 Hitler, of 1.00

00:38:56.500 course it

00:38:57.180 happened.

00:38:58.000 It couldn't

00:38:58.980 not happen.

00:39:00.320 We just

00:39:00.940 don't know how

00:39:01.660 much.

00:39:02.520 That's the

00:39:02.920 only question.

00:39:04.220 The only

00:39:04.620 question is,

00:39:05.780 was it

00:39:06.280 enough?

00:39:08.360 All right.

00:39:11.800 I did a

00:39:12.680 little mask

00:39:13.320 survey on

00:39:14.540 my Twitter

00:39:15.620 account, so

00:39:16.400 this is very

00:39:16.960 unscientific, and

00:39:17.880 I asked people

00:39:18.440 if they think

00:39:19.660 masks work.

00:39:21.240 I was

00:39:21.500 interested in

00:39:22.120 what the

00:39:22.540 net effect of

00:39:23.700 all the

00:39:24.160 conflicting news

00:39:25.120 is.

00:39:25.800 Here's what

00:39:26.320 you said,

00:39:26.860 keeping in

00:39:27.380 mind that

00:39:27.860 most of my

00:39:28.340 Twitter followers

00:39:29.000 are Trump

00:39:30.380 supporting people,

00:39:32.000 but 63%

00:39:33.300 said masks

00:39:35.120 do not work.

00:39:36.320 Now this is

00:39:36.720 just people,

00:39:37.440 not science,

00:39:38.340 right?

00:39:38.560 Just people.

00:39:40.120 15% say

00:39:42.280 they do,

00:39:42.800 and 22%

00:39:45.540 said some

00:39:46.400 form of

00:39:47.000 maybe.

00:39:48.120 Maybe they

00:39:48.640 do.

00:39:49.400 I'm in the

00:39:50.100 maybe category,

00:39:51.620 meaning that

00:39:52.380 I can't

00:39:52.960 know, but

00:39:54.520 maybe.

00:39:55.600 Maybe.

00:39:56.920 So here's

00:39:58.100 my question.

00:39:59.440 We've seen

00:40:00.340 lots of

00:40:01.240 studies about

00:40:02.600 masks, right?

00:40:03.860 Or at least

00:40:04.320 you know they

00:40:04.840 exist, if you

00:40:06.000 haven't read

00:40:06.440 them.

00:40:07.100 There are

00:40:07.660 studies that

00:40:08.300 say masks

00:40:08.980 might work.

00:40:09.880 There are

00:40:10.100 studies that

00:40:10.560 say masks

00:40:11.220 don't work.

00:40:12.800 So let's

00:40:13.440 say you

00:40:13.780 want to be

00:40:14.280 a pro-science

00:40:15.380 person, and

00:40:16.560 you want to

00:40:17.020 follow the

00:40:17.540 science.

00:40:19.520 What do

00:40:20.080 you do?

00:40:21.460 What do

00:40:22.000 you do?

00:40:22.720 Because there's

00:40:23.440 science that

00:40:23.980 says they

00:40:24.360 work, and

00:40:25.600 there's science

00:40:26.100 that says

00:40:26.440 they don't

00:40:26.840 work.

00:40:27.780 So how do

00:40:28.120 you follow

00:40:28.420 the science?

00:40:29.700 What's that

00:40:30.080 even mean?

00:40:31.760 So the

00:40:33.520 Democrats who

00:40:34.520 like to say

00:40:35.080 follow the

00:40:35.720 science, and

00:40:36.240 Joe Biden

00:40:36.640 says that,

00:40:37.620 is some of

00:40:38.100 the dumbest

00:40:38.680 things anybody

00:40:39.660 could ever

00:40:40.180 say.

00:40:41.580 Follow the

00:40:42.340 science, assumes

00:40:44.640 first of all

00:40:45.300 you can

00:40:45.680 determine which

00:40:46.640 science to

00:40:47.380 follow, and

00:40:48.840 you can't, you're

00:40:49.980 just sort of

00:40:50.700 guessing, and

00:40:52.040 secondly it

00:40:52.880 assumes that

00:40:53.780 the scientists

00:40:55.200 and the people

00:40:56.280 putting together

00:40:56.960 the studies are

00:40:58.540 credible and do

00:40:59.880 not have a dog

00:41:00.840 in the fight.

00:41:02.340 But they

00:41:03.020 usually do.

00:41:04.760 Half of

00:41:05.300 studies end up

00:41:06.120 not being

00:41:06.700 valid.

00:41:07.420 So anybody

00:41:08.700 who says

00:41:09.140 follow the

00:41:09.740 science, they're

00:41:11.060 either very

00:41:11.640 young or

00:41:12.840 stupid. 0.90

00:41:14.160 Because that

00:41:15.620 mantra, follow

00:41:16.560 the science, feels

00:41:17.640 like really bad

00:41:18.580 advice.

00:41:19.820 Like really bad

00:41:20.700 advice.

00:41:21.640 What you should

00:41:22.320 do is be

00:41:23.520 really, really

00:41:24.300 careful about

00:41:25.840 following the

00:41:26.600 science.

00:41:27.560 Wouldn't that be

00:41:28.080 better?

00:41:29.000 Instead of

00:41:29.660 follow the

00:41:30.540 science, follow

00:41:31.700 the science, follow

00:41:32.620 the science.

00:41:33.660 They don't

00:41:34.060 follow the

00:41:34.560 science.

00:41:34.840 We follow

00:41:35.620 the science.

00:41:36.520 They don't

00:41:36.900 follow the

00:41:37.360 science.

00:41:38.180 That's all

00:41:38.540 we're getting

00:41:38.860 now.

00:41:39.420 And it's

00:41:39.660 just flat

00:41:40.280 down stupid. 0.94

00:41:42.320 Smarter is

00:41:43.360 be very

00:41:44.420 careful.

00:41:45.640 Be very

00:41:46.280 careful about

00:41:48.280 following the

00:41:48.960 science.

00:41:50.140 You want to

00:41:50.820 look at it.

00:41:51.900 You definitely

00:41:52.360 want to look

00:41:52.820 at it.

00:41:53.240 And you

00:41:53.360 want to

00:41:53.560 keep working

00:41:54.920 toward refining

00:41:56.400 it and getting

00:41:57.120 it as credible

00:41:58.400 as it can be.

00:42:00.160 But follow

00:42:01.200 science is for

00:42:02.420 suckers and 0.97

00:42:03.080 idiots.

00:42:03.520 it really

00:42:04.580 is.

00:42:06.060 Consider it

00:42:06.780 important to

00:42:07.540 look at and

00:42:08.140 make sure you

00:42:08.640 understand it

00:42:09.460 and all that.

00:42:10.900 Very important.

00:42:12.580 But follow it

00:42:13.660 blindly.

00:42:14.660 That would be

00:42:15.400 for stupid

00:42:15.920 people.

00:42:17.480 Not you.

00:42:19.700 You're all

00:42:20.320 smart.

00:42:22.520 There's a

00:42:22.920 New York

00:42:23.200 Times op-ed

00:42:24.060 by

00:42:24.600 Crystal.

00:42:27.360 What's his

00:42:27.960 first name?

00:42:29.900 Christoph.

00:42:30.860 Not

00:42:31.340 Crystal.

00:42:31.860 Christoph.

00:42:32.360 I don't

00:42:33.720 think he's

00:42:34.140 been a big

00:42:34.520 Trump supporter

00:42:35.080 in the past,

00:42:35.740 but he

00:42:36.100 says this.

00:42:38.100 Quote,

00:42:38.860 Some things

00:42:39.520 are true

00:42:39.900 even though

00:42:40.440 President Trump

00:42:41.180 says them.

00:42:42.500 Great way to

00:42:43.280 start an

00:42:43.620 article.

00:42:45.200 Quote,

00:42:46.380 Nicholas

00:42:47.580 Christoph,

00:42:48.280 I think is his

00:42:48.820 first name.

00:42:49.800 Quote,

00:42:50.300 Trump has been

00:42:51.080 demanding for

00:42:51.800 months that

00:42:52.420 schools reopen.

00:42:54.180 And on that,

00:42:55.140 he seems to

00:42:55.920 have been

00:42:56.400 largely right.

00:42:57.860 schools,

00:42:59.900 especially

00:43:00.320 elementary,

00:43:00.980 blah,

00:43:01.120 blah,

00:43:01.220 do not

00:43:01.600 appear to

00:43:01.960 have been

00:43:02.180 major sources

00:43:02.920 of transmission.

00:43:04.540 And remote

00:43:05.040 learning has

00:43:05.560 been a

00:43:05.820 catastrophe.

00:43:06.760 I'm

00:43:07.060 summarizing the

00:43:07.880 rest of the

00:43:08.280 statement.

00:43:09.660 Now,

00:43:10.200 how big a

00:43:11.420 deal is

00:43:11.860 that?

00:43:13.200 It's a

00:43:13.800 pretty big

00:43:14.200 deal.

00:43:15.020 Because if

00:43:15.780 you're going to

00:43:16.640 blame Trump

00:43:18.100 for the

00:43:19.040 United States

00:43:19.660 having a

00:43:20.160 high

00:43:20.580 coronavirus

00:43:22.160 infection

00:43:23.060 rate,

00:43:23.920 and people

00:43:24.660 do,

00:43:25.000 you're

00:43:26.100 going to

00:43:26.400 have to

00:43:26.820 also give

00:43:27.520 him credit

00:43:28.120 for getting

00:43:29.460 this thing

00:43:30.140 right when,

00:43:32.400 remind me,

00:43:33.260 hold on,

00:43:33.900 remind me,

00:43:35.300 the people

00:43:35.840 who said to

00:43:36.660 close the

00:43:37.300 schools,

00:43:38.380 were they

00:43:39.080 following the

00:43:40.220 science?

00:43:41.760 Yeah,

00:43:42.400 they were.

00:43:43.080 They were.

00:43:44.240 They thought

00:43:44.840 they were.

00:43:45.660 That's the

00:43:46.100 problem.

00:43:46.920 They thought

00:43:47.520 they were

00:43:47.880 following the

00:43:48.500 science.

00:43:49.800 But were

00:43:50.580 they?

00:43:51.660 No.

00:43:52.920 There was a

00:43:53.460 little bit of

00:43:54.000 science,

00:43:54.660 and then

00:43:54.900 people used

00:43:55.560 their subjective

00:43:56.400 opinion,

00:43:57.580 and they

00:43:58.260 followed their

00:43:59.340 subjective opinion.

00:44:02.020 That's what

00:44:02.500 they followed.

00:44:03.520 They never

00:44:04.120 followed the

00:44:04.740 science,

00:44:05.880 because apparently

00:44:06.780 the science was

00:44:07.580 pointing in the

00:44:08.140 other direction.

00:44:09.540 So what science

00:44:10.340 they were following

00:44:11.040 was either wrong

00:44:11.980 or incomplete

00:44:12.600 or not credible

00:44:14.200 or out of

00:44:15.360 context or

00:44:16.200 something.

00:44:17.580 So here's a

00:44:18.860 perfect example.

00:44:20.160 Joe Biden

00:44:20.620 followed the

00:44:21.420 science,

00:44:22.460 and he would

00:44:23.520 have said,

00:44:24.100 keep the

00:44:24.560 schools closed,

00:44:26.260 follow the

00:44:26.820 science.

00:44:27.780 Who would

00:44:28.260 have been

00:44:28.480 right?

00:44:29.820 Trump or

00:44:31.260 Biden?

00:44:32.740 Trump would

00:44:33.580 have been

00:44:33.920 right because

00:44:36.340 the science

00:44:36.940 caught up to

00:44:37.540 Trump.

00:44:38.600 That's what

00:44:39.140 Christoph is

00:44:39.840 saying.

00:44:40.580 The science

00:44:41.360 caught up with

00:44:42.800 Trump.

00:44:43.980 Now,

00:44:44.280 Trump, of course,

00:44:44.940 was not making

00:44:45.560 a, per se,

00:44:47.220 a scientific

00:44:47.940 claim.

00:44:49.440 He was saying

00:44:50.160 that kids

00:44:50.720 don't have

00:44:51.960 symptoms as

00:44:52.720 much, but

00:44:54.160 he was making

00:44:54.680 the larger

00:44:55.180 claim that

00:44:55.860 on balance

00:44:56.680 it's better

00:44:58.280 to take

00:44:58.680 this risk.

00:45:00.560 And science

00:45:01.220 caught up to

00:45:01.740 him.

00:45:02.640 So I feel

00:45:03.680 as though if

00:45:04.440 you're going to

00:45:04.800 give him the

00:45:05.340 blame for the 0.59

00:45:05.980 death count,

00:45:06.860 you also have

00:45:08.100 to give

00:45:08.640 science the

00:45:10.560 blame for

00:45:11.140 destroying a

00:45:12.060 year of our

00:45:12.680 children's lives.

00:45:14.480 Right?

00:45:15.700 That's not on

00:45:16.640 Trump.

00:45:17.420 That's on

00:45:17.960 science.

00:45:18.500 So if

00:45:19.520 you're keeping

00:45:19.920 score, science

00:45:22.760 is a tie on

00:45:23.780 masks, because

00:45:25.000 at first they

00:45:25.580 said no, then

00:45:26.960 they said yes,

00:45:27.900 and now we're

00:45:28.380 seeing studies

00:45:29.620 coming out to

00:45:30.300 say no and

00:45:31.040 yes.

00:45:32.240 So on masks,

00:45:33.240 I would say

00:45:33.720 science versus

00:45:35.120 Trump, it's

00:45:36.540 kind of a tie,

00:45:38.420 because I, you

00:45:39.800 know, I think

00:45:40.620 it's a maybe, so

00:45:41.620 I'd say still

00:45:42.400 wear them, but

00:45:43.480 Trump said that

00:45:44.160 too.

00:45:45.380 Trump also

00:45:46.220 said, you

00:45:47.460 know, we

00:45:47.860 don't know.

00:45:48.500 I'm pro-mask, 0.98

00:45:49.780 go ahead and

00:45:50.120 wear them.

00:45:51.340 I think Trump

00:45:52.040 was as

00:45:53.200 right as

00:45:53.740 science was

00:45:54.500 on masks.

00:45:56.880 I think on

00:45:57.960 lockdowns of

00:46:00.060 the economy,

00:46:00.980 we're also

00:46:01.780 seeing studies

00:46:02.640 that say

00:46:03.140 those don't

00:46:03.780 work.

00:46:04.740 Are those

00:46:05.220 studies credible?

00:46:06.620 No, because

00:46:07.740 100% of the

00:46:08.700 studies you see

00:46:09.380 about coronavirus

00:46:10.040 are not

00:46:10.720 credible.

00:46:12.020 None of

00:46:12.800 them.

00:46:13.620 You know, I

00:46:13.920 hope the

00:46:14.340 vaccines are

00:46:15.000 credible.

00:46:15.320 At least with

00:46:16.880 the vaccines,

00:46:17.440 they set it

00:46:18.120 up so they

00:46:18.580 can measure

00:46:19.120 something that's

00:46:19.940 measurable, so

00:46:21.280 that's probably

00:46:21.980 credible.

00:46:23.420 But pretty much

00:46:24.120 all of these

00:46:24.600 studies about

00:46:25.220 masks and

00:46:25.900 lockdowns and

00:46:26.960 kids in

00:46:27.880 schools and

00:46:28.700 pretty much all

00:46:30.680 of that is not

00:46:31.460 credible, and

00:46:32.520 there will be

00:46:33.040 studies on both

00:46:34.180 sides.

00:46:36.280 All right.

00:46:37.040 So Trump was

00:46:38.080 right on something

00:46:38.860 pretty, pretty

00:46:39.760 big, the school

00:46:40.880 stuff, according

00:46:42.140 to Christophe, and

00:46:43.380 I think he's right

00:46:45.180 in it.

00:46:51.100 I'm seeing

00:46:51.880 people tweeting

00:46:52.900 that they're

00:46:53.860 worried about

00:46:54.900 how to

00:46:55.340 unbrainwash

00:46:56.440 Trump supporters

00:46:57.820 after Trump

00:46:58.800 is out of

00:46:59.220 office.

00:47:03.140 Somebody says,

00:47:04.280 Scott, don't

00:47:04.740 let the

00:47:05.200 COVID-19 hype

00:47:06.500 panic you.

00:47:08.960 I wouldn't

00:47:09.540 say I'm

00:47:09.960 panicked or

00:47:11.580 frightened in

00:47:12.520 any strange

00:47:14.160 way.

00:47:14.760 If you were

00:47:15.280 to compare

00:47:15.840 how much

00:47:16.420 I'm afraid,

00:47:18.380 if I could

00:47:18.760 use that

00:47:19.140 word, afraid

00:47:19.900 to capture

00:47:20.600 nervous or

00:47:22.080 concerned, all

00:47:22.860 those things,

00:47:23.960 if you said

00:47:24.740 how afraid am

00:47:25.520 I of the

00:47:26.040 coronavirus

00:47:26.420 today versus

00:47:29.140 let's say

00:47:29.980 March or

00:47:32.260 April of

00:47:32.840 this year,

00:47:33.600 I would say

00:47:34.840 in March or

00:47:36.580 April it was

00:47:37.560 kind of like a

00:47:38.500 nine out of

00:47:39.440 ten for my

00:47:41.340 personal safety.

00:47:42.560 Like I was

00:47:43.060 really worried

00:47:43.740 I don't

00:47:44.600 want to get

00:47:45.000 this because

00:47:45.500 I could

00:47:45.820 die.

00:47:46.340 I've got

00:47:46.800 a certain

00:47:47.620 age, etc.

00:47:49.660 Today, I

00:47:51.500 almost have

00:47:52.280 no fear of

00:47:53.760 it.

00:47:54.320 Now that's

00:47:54.680 not because I

00:47:55.420 shouldn't have

00:47:56.060 fear, and

00:47:57.160 I'll still use

00:47:58.060 my common

00:47:58.780 sense to

00:47:59.560 take all the

00:48:00.880 right precautions

00:48:01.620 that make sense

00:48:02.760 in my opinion,

00:48:04.660 but I've

00:48:05.540 lost

00:48:06.020 basically all

00:48:09.180 of my fear.

00:48:09.940 fear.

00:48:10.920 Is anybody

00:48:11.400 else having

00:48:11.840 the same

00:48:12.360 reaction?

00:48:14.880 It's not

00:48:15.520 that the

00:48:15.900 science changed

00:48:16.760 that much.

00:48:17.440 I would say

00:48:17.860 that my risk

00:48:18.500 of getting it

00:48:19.140 is roughly

00:48:19.960 what it was

00:48:20.500 before.

00:48:22.140 My risk of

00:48:22.980 dying is

00:48:23.580 roughly exactly

00:48:24.720 what I thought

00:48:25.400 it was back

00:48:27.160 in the earlier

00:48:27.640 months.

00:48:29.360 I'm looking at

00:48:31.020 the comments,

00:48:31.740 and I'm seeing

00:48:32.080 a lot of people

00:48:32.640 agreeing.

00:48:33.760 Remember I

00:48:34.380 told you,

00:48:34.920 and I tell you

00:48:35.640 this too

00:48:36.040 much.

00:48:37.880 You can get

00:48:38.720 used to

00:48:39.140 anything if

00:48:40.360 you do it

00:48:40.720 long enough.

00:48:41.600 You can get

00:48:42.380 used to bad

00:48:43.100 things if you

00:48:44.160 do it long

00:48:44.620 enough.

00:48:45.520 You can get

00:48:46.180 used to good

00:48:46.740 things, of

00:48:47.240 course, fairly

00:48:48.420 easily.

00:48:49.580 So I feel as

00:48:50.920 though what

00:48:51.320 happened is we

00:48:52.080 just lived

00:48:53.180 with the virus

00:48:53.980 long enough

00:48:54.680 that it

00:48:55.780 started to

00:48:56.400 take more

00:48:57.000 of a

00:48:57.760 perspective,

00:48:59.340 and we

00:49:00.340 can see it

00:49:00.860 better in

00:49:01.280 context with

00:49:02.200 all of our

00:49:02.700 other risks.

00:49:04.340 And I

00:49:04.980 would say

00:49:05.480 my fear,

00:49:07.780 the irrational

00:49:08.680 fear, I

00:49:09.720 still have a

00:49:10.500 mental fear,

00:49:11.860 meaning that

00:49:12.440 my brain knows

00:49:13.460 to stay away

00:49:14.400 from COVID.

00:49:15.980 It's not like

00:49:16.780 I don't know

00:49:17.600 that there's a

00:49:18.660 danger, but

00:49:20.200 my physical

00:49:21.300 part where

00:49:22.080 you're irrationally

00:49:23.020 shaking, I

00:49:24.480 never got to

00:49:25.000 that point,

00:49:25.640 but the part

00:49:26.780 where you can't

00:49:27.420 control the

00:49:28.940 subjective,

00:49:29.640 the irrational

00:49:30.240 part, it's

00:49:31.760 kind of gone.

00:49:33.600 It's gone.

00:49:34.340 Well, now

00:49:35.400 part of it

00:49:35.960 is this.

00:49:38.780 Years ago

00:49:39.520 when I had

00:49:39.900 a surgery

00:49:40.480 to correct

00:49:41.120 my vocal

00:49:41.940 problems,

00:49:43.380 the surgery

00:49:43.860 had an

00:49:44.300 85% chance

00:49:45.240 of working,

00:49:45.820 15% chance

00:49:46.880 of making

00:49:47.460 me permanently

00:49:48.300 unable to

00:49:49.180 talk.

00:49:50.260 But that

00:49:51.320 choice was

00:49:51.980 easy to take

00:49:52.960 with no fear

00:49:53.720 whatsoever,

00:49:54.760 because the

00:49:55.160 alternative was

00:49:55.960 worse.

00:49:57.120 So as long

00:49:57.720 as the

00:49:58.000 alternative is

00:49:58.760 worse,

00:49:59.800 it's pretty

00:50:00.520 easy to make

00:50:01.160 a decision to

00:50:01.940 do the right

00:50:02.440 thing.

00:50:03.780 And with

00:50:04.380 the coronavirus,

00:50:05.900 living as

00:50:07.640 a prisoner

00:50:08.180 is worse

00:50:09.940 than the

00:50:11.300 risk of

00:50:11.720 getting the

00:50:12.120 disease and

00:50:12.800 maybe having

00:50:13.760 a bad

00:50:14.080 outcome.

00:50:15.000 So once

00:50:15.700 you get to

00:50:16.060 the point

00:50:16.340 where you

00:50:16.600 just say,

00:50:17.000 you know,

00:50:17.900 it might

00:50:18.380 kill me,

00:50:19.420 and I'm

00:50:19.820 still willing

00:50:20.400 to go to

00:50:20.760 the store.

00:50:22.080 It might

00:50:22.680 kill me,

00:50:23.560 and I'd

00:50:23.920 still rather

00:50:24.720 be a free

00:50:25.520 human being

00:50:26.160 who can go

00:50:26.760 to the store.

00:50:28.220 So the

00:50:28.940 fear just

00:50:29.360 goes away.

00:50:30.000 Once you

00:50:30.320 realize it's

00:50:31.160 just,

00:50:31.380 that's your

00:50:33.040 life.

00:50:33.360 You've got to

00:50:33.560 live with it.

00:50:33.960 All right,

00:50:34.180 so I was

00:50:34.400 talking about

00:50:34.780 the un-brainwashing

00:50:36.260 of the Trump

00:50:37.360 supporters,

00:50:38.400 and here's

00:50:40.620 what would

00:50:41.040 really help

00:50:41.740 if you

00:50:42.660 wanted,

00:50:44.060 let's imagine

00:50:45.160 that they're

00:50:45.580 being sincere,

00:50:46.500 the Democrats,

00:50:47.500 when they

00:50:47.960 say they

00:50:48.280 want to

00:50:48.900 brainwash

00:50:49.900 or un-brainwash

00:50:51.000 Trump supporters.

00:50:53.000 What would

00:50:53.480 be a good

00:50:53.940 way to start?

00:50:56.020 How about

00:50:56.640 not lying

00:50:57.640 about 100%

00:50:58.960 of the things

00:50:59.420 you talk about?

00:51:00.020 I mean,

00:51:01.360 that would

00:51:01.600 be a start.

00:51:03.000 If you

00:51:03.600 want Trump

00:51:04.640 supporters to

00:51:05.480 trust Democrats

00:51:06.740 or trust their

00:51:07.860 message or

00:51:08.580 their ideas

00:51:09.380 or anything,

00:51:10.420 the place

00:51:11.520 to start

00:51:12.020 would be to

00:51:12.540 stop lying

00:51:13.200 about everything,

00:51:15.860 just everything.

00:51:17.700 If you

00:51:18.280 don't start

00:51:18.820 there,

00:51:21.000 don't bother.

00:51:23.800 Don't bother.

00:51:25.500 Don't try

00:51:26.320 to convince

00:51:26.980 Trump supporters

00:51:27.940 that they

00:51:28.460 need to be

00:51:29.040 fixed.

00:51:30.120 Because you

00:51:30.700 know who

00:51:31.060 needs to

00:51:31.680 be fixed?

00:51:33.400 Carly

00:51:33.900 Fiorina

00:51:34.520 needs to

00:51:35.080 be fixed.

00:51:36.600 She needs

00:51:37.220 to be fixed

00:51:37.780 really bad.

00:51:38.480 Don Lemon?

00:51:39.600 Don Lemon

00:51:40.300 needs some

00:51:40.800 help.

00:51:41.800 He needs

00:51:42.100 to be

00:51:42.420 fixed.

00:51:43.740 But Trump

00:51:44.320 supporters?

00:51:45.940 Do they

00:51:46.940 need to be

00:51:48.120 un-brainwashed?

00:51:49.580 I don't think

00:51:50.420 so.

00:51:51.160 Were they

00:51:51.700 causing a lot

00:51:52.440 of violence?

00:51:53.980 Were Trump

00:51:54.520 supporters hurting

00:51:56.080 people and

00:51:57.040 rioting?

00:51:57.620 Nope.

00:51:58.940 Nope.

00:52:00.060 Do you

00:52:00.600 know who

00:52:00.900 needs to

00:52:01.360 be un-brainwashed?

00:52:03.220 The people

00:52:04.000 who were

00:52:04.560 looting and

00:52:05.660 burning black 0.99

00:52:06.600 owned businesses

00:52:07.500 to support

00:52:08.820 less racism.

00:52:11.120 There's a lot

00:52:11.880 of people who

00:52:12.320 need to be

00:52:12.720 fixed and

00:52:14.220 un-brainwashed.

00:52:16.060 And really,

00:52:17.440 you could argue

00:52:18.540 everybody could

00:52:19.340 benefit from that.

00:52:20.480 We're all a little

00:52:21.400 brainwashed,

00:52:22.120 right?

00:52:22.760 You don't have

00:52:23.580 the option of

00:52:24.140 being the one

00:52:24.640 person who

00:52:25.100 didn't get a

00:52:25.520 little bit

00:52:25.820 brainwashed

00:52:26.360 by life.

00:52:27.360 So we're

00:52:27.680 all a little

00:52:28.060 brainwashed.

00:52:28.640 We could all

00:52:29.060 use a little

00:52:29.560 less brainwashing.

00:52:30.980 Might be good

00:52:31.720 for all of us.

00:52:33.440 But you

00:52:35.080 would have to

00:52:35.480 be a little

00:52:36.280 bit credible

00:52:37.020 to be part

00:52:39.040 of that process.

00:52:40.680 And Democrats

00:52:41.260 have not

00:52:41.820 earned that

00:52:42.340 credibility.

00:52:44.320 All right.

00:52:46.360 Here's the

00:52:47.120 most fun

00:52:48.700 thing of the

00:52:50.940 day that I

00:52:52.960 thought I wrote

00:52:53.640 down, but

00:52:54.480 maybe I

00:52:55.120 didn't, but

00:52:55.720 luckily I

00:52:56.220 remember it.

00:52:58.640 Rasmussen has

00:52:59.480 some numbers

00:53:00.040 coming out.

00:53:00.840 I don't think

00:53:01.440 that they're

00:53:01.900 public yet, but

00:53:02.720 I got a

00:53:03.100 little sneak

00:53:04.260 peek.

00:53:05.680 What percentage

00:53:06.280 of Democrats

00:53:07.380 do you believe

00:53:09.080 think that it

00:53:10.420 is very likely

00:53:11.260 or at least

00:53:12.000 a little bit

00:53:13.120 likely, somewhat

00:53:13.820 likely, what

00:53:15.140 percentage of

00:53:15.780 Democrats think

00:53:16.740 it's somewhat

00:53:17.240 or very likely

00:53:18.220 that the

00:53:19.420 election was

00:53:20.820 fraudulent?

00:53:21.700 give me

00:53:22.980 your guesses

00:53:24.060 in the

00:53:25.820 comments.

00:53:26.680 All right.

00:53:26.940 So your

00:53:27.280 guesses in

00:53:27.840 the comments

00:53:28.320 and look at

00:53:28.760 each other's

00:53:29.740 guesses.

00:53:30.700 How many

00:53:31.400 Democrats

00:53:32.320 think the

00:53:33.720 election was

00:53:34.400 stolen?

00:53:35.740 I'm going to

00:53:36.340 read down some

00:53:36.900 of your

00:53:37.100 comments.

00:53:37.760 I'm seeing

00:53:38.100 45%, 1%,

00:53:40.360 0, 0,

00:53:42.040 15, 30,

00:53:43.580 5, 10,

00:53:44.860 5.

00:53:46.380 The answer

00:53:47.060 is 30%.

00:53:48.220 Just let

00:53:50.740 that hang

00:53:51.220 there for

00:53:51.540 a little

00:53:51.760 while.

00:53:53.160 Democrats,

00:53:54.920 Democrats,

00:53:56.480 30% of

00:53:58.400 them think

00:53:59.860 the election

00:54:00.380 was fraudulent.

00:54:02.420 30% of

00:54:03.420 them.

00:54:06.280 What's that

00:54:06.940 tell you?

00:54:07.980 You can't

00:54:08.740 even convince

00:54:09.440 Democrats

00:54:10.260 that this was

00:54:12.460 a fair

00:54:12.820 election?

00:54:14.180 I mean,

00:54:15.200 work with me

00:54:16.060 here, right?

00:54:16.480 Democrats are

00:54:18.120 spring-loaded

00:54:19.300 to say,

00:54:20.560 oh yeah,

00:54:20.820 that was

00:54:21.040 fair.

00:54:21.820 That was a

00:54:22.360 fair election

00:54:22.920 right there.

00:54:23.840 Got just

00:54:24.380 what we

00:54:24.760 wanted.

00:54:25.700 And 30%

00:54:26.620 of them

00:54:27.080 can't get

00:54:28.320 there.

00:54:29.640 Even 30%

00:54:30.900 of Democrats

00:54:31.740 know there's

00:54:33.040 something fishy

00:54:33.700 going on.

00:54:34.600 Now, I don't

00:54:34.940 know if it

00:54:35.360 was, now,

00:54:37.160 it's not

00:54:37.680 specific enough

00:54:38.740 that they

00:54:39.900 would necessarily

00:54:40.660 believe it

00:54:41.400 would change

00:54:41.880 the election

00:54:42.400 outcome.

00:54:43.440 All right,

00:54:43.620 so that part

00:54:44.200 is not in

00:54:44.840 the question.

00:54:45.260 But 30%

00:54:46.720 of them

00:54:47.080 think there's

00:54:47.660 at least

00:54:48.000 opportunity

00:54:48.620 and motive

00:54:49.220 for that.

00:54:51.260 Now, should

00:54:52.360 you be

00:54:52.680 surprised?

00:54:53.660 Remember,

00:54:54.840 this is a

00:54:55.600 category of

00:54:56.260 people,

00:54:56.740 Democrats,

00:54:57.740 in which

00:54:58.300 probably 80%

00:54:59.820 of them

00:55:00.320 believe that

00:55:01.740 Trump is

00:55:02.480 an existential

00:55:03.200 threat and

00:55:04.700 would destroy

00:55:05.400 the planet

00:55:05.920 Earth.

00:55:07.000 So if you

00:55:07.600 were in a

00:55:08.580 group who

00:55:10.900 believed that

00:55:12.380 there was a

00:55:12.900 chance Trump

00:55:13.960 would destroy

00:55:14.720 life on

00:55:15.940 Earth, and

00:55:17.880 you knew

00:55:18.200 your other

00:55:18.640 Democrats and

00:55:19.360 how they

00:55:19.680 felt about

00:55:20.280 it, yeah,

00:55:21.780 you would

00:55:22.100 think that

00:55:22.460 they would

00:55:22.760 cheat.

00:55:23.940 You would

00:55:24.620 expect your

00:55:25.900 fellow Democrats

00:55:26.820 to cheat.

00:55:28.280 And indeed,

00:55:29.300 if they had

00:55:30.820 to take the

00:55:31.280 day off and

00:55:31.920 you were to

00:55:32.340 fill in for

00:55:33.000 them at the

00:55:34.000 election vote

00:55:36.060 counting place

00:55:36.820 or whatever,

00:55:38.100 you'd probably

00:55:38.740 cheat too,

00:55:39.640 if you think

00:55:40.820 you're saving

00:55:41.260 the world.

00:55:41.660 people, so

00:55:43.260 yeah, even

00:55:44.600 the Democrats

00:55:45.280 feel that

00:55:46.180 something was

00:55:46.760 going on

00:55:47.200 here.

00:55:48.140 I think

00:55:48.720 that's all

00:55:49.060 you need to

00:55:49.520 know, isn't

00:55:50.180 it?

00:55:50.560 I feel like

00:55:51.220 that one

00:55:51.820 data point

00:55:53.540 summed up

00:55:55.100 the entire

00:55:55.820 everything.

00:55:56.940 Because, you

00:55:57.600 know, we're

00:55:57.840 going to argue

00:55:58.320 forever about

00:55:59.160 this allegation,

00:56:00.420 that allegation,

00:56:01.180 this allegation,

00:56:01.880 that allegation.

00:56:03.200 But when 30%

00:56:04.820 of Democrats

00:56:05.480 even don't

00:56:06.040 believe the

00:56:06.580 vote,

00:56:07.200 you don't

00:56:10.040 need to talk

00:56:10.540 about the

00:56:10.880 details so

00:56:11.520 much.

00:56:12.460 Now, let

00:56:13.760 me give you

00:56:14.620 my Kraken

00:56:15.860 update.

00:56:17.920 So I've

00:56:18.620 seen the

00:56:21.280 details of

00:56:22.160 the Nevada

00:56:23.180 Legal Challenge,

00:56:24.960 which is just

00:56:25.780 updated, I

00:56:26.400 guess.

00:56:27.260 And the

00:56:28.020 Nevada Challenge

00:56:28.880 has a lot of

00:56:30.100 claims on it.

00:56:31.680 A lot of

00:56:32.280 claims.

00:56:33.020 And each of

00:56:33.580 those claims

00:56:34.100 is backed

00:56:34.680 up with a

00:56:36.220 witness or

00:56:36.940 some data

00:56:37.980 or some

00:56:38.680 direct observation

00:56:40.040 or video or

00:56:41.020 whatever.

00:56:41.600 So they have

00:56:42.280 evidence and

00:56:43.980 they've got a

00:56:44.360 lot of claims.

00:56:45.940 Here's the

00:56:46.660 problem with

00:56:47.320 the claims,

00:56:47.940 though.

00:56:48.840 When I read

00:56:49.880 the legal

00:56:50.880 description of

00:56:51.760 the claims,

00:56:52.480 it's written

00:56:53.020 for a legal

00:56:53.900 process.

00:56:55.120 The legal

00:56:55.880 process has

00:56:56.660 its own

00:56:57.060 requirements of

00:56:57.940 how you do

00:56:58.340 things.

00:56:59.200 So when I

00:56:59.680 read through

00:57:00.100 it, it

00:57:00.860 looked well

00:57:02.460 written and

00:57:03.720 very clear in

00:57:05.040 terms of what

00:57:05.720 it was trying

00:57:06.220 to allege.

00:57:08.360 But in

00:57:09.720 terms of

00:57:10.280 persuasion

00:57:11.120 outside of

00:57:12.340 the legal

00:57:12.760 system, it

00:57:13.840 wasn't that

00:57:14.500 kind of a

00:57:15.060 document.

00:57:16.000 So it left

00:57:16.820 me thinking,

00:57:17.700 I don't know

00:57:18.980 what to think

00:57:19.400 about this.

00:57:20.440 Because the

00:57:20.980 claims look

00:57:21.720 credible.

00:57:23.400 Some of them

00:57:24.020 look pretty

00:57:24.520 big, like they

00:57:25.520 would be big

00:57:26.000 enough to

00:57:26.360 change the

00:57:26.820 result.

00:57:27.680 But what

00:57:28.160 they didn't

00:57:28.760 do is the

00:57:30.260 part that I

00:57:32.320 needed.

00:57:32.700 because I'm

00:57:33.920 not a

00:57:34.280 lawyer and

00:57:34.780 I'm not

00:57:35.040 a judge.

00:57:35.840 I'm just

00:57:36.200 a guy.

00:57:38.420 And what I

00:57:39.380 needed was to

00:57:40.500 see the

00:57:41.360 bullet points

00:57:42.700 of the

00:57:43.140 claims with

00:57:44.700 the number

00:57:45.160 of votes

00:57:45.760 that it

00:57:46.440 could have

00:57:46.960 affected and

00:57:48.440 a total at

00:57:49.140 the bottom,

00:57:49.800 like a

00:57:50.140 summary.

00:57:51.200 So it

00:57:51.460 would say,

00:57:51.820 all right,

00:57:52.100 claim one

00:57:52.760 could affect

00:57:54.160 up to 500

00:57:55.140 votes.

00:57:55.740 Let's say a 0.62

00:57:56.420 claim that

00:57:56.920 dead people

00:57:57.440 voted.

00:57:58.480 Not, you

00:57:59.920 know, it's

00:58:00.120 not enough to

00:58:01.060 change the

00:58:01.480 election, but

00:58:02.680 it does tell

00:58:03.360 you that

00:58:04.340 there was

00:58:04.720 intention to

00:58:05.840 cheat, right?

00:58:07.320 So if you

00:58:07.920 found that

00:58:08.380 500 dead

00:58:09.220 people voted

00:58:09.860 in Nevada

00:58:10.500 wouldn't

00:58:11.500 change any

00:58:12.080 of the

00:58:12.320 election

00:58:12.660 outcomes, but

00:58:14.520 it would

00:58:14.800 tell you

00:58:15.160 something.

00:58:16.180 It would

00:58:16.600 tell you

00:58:16.940 that there

00:58:17.300 was an

00:58:17.640 intention to

00:58:19.040 cheat, and

00:58:20.420 that when

00:58:20.780 they found

00:58:21.220 a way to

00:58:21.700 do it,

00:58:22.880 they took

00:58:23.340 it.

00:58:24.600 That tells

00:58:25.340 you something,

00:58:25.900 right?

00:58:26.580 So if you

00:58:28.360 see, you

00:58:28.900 know, I

00:58:29.300 don't know how

00:58:29.580 many claims

00:58:30.080 there were,

00:58:31.060 six to ten

00:58:32.240 claims somewhere

00:58:33.300 in that

00:58:33.580 neighborhood, and

00:58:34.780 if you see

00:58:35.140 them all, and

00:58:35.780 then you see

00:58:36.140 the number of

00:58:36.720 votes, that

00:58:37.320 could be very

00:58:38.140 compelling, because

00:58:40.060 I need to see

00:58:40.660 that subtotal, but

00:58:41.620 if you see it in

00:58:42.320 a long-form text

00:58:44.300 of this claim is

00:58:46.020 this, and

00:58:46.540 here's why, and

00:58:47.400 then we go on

00:58:48.220 to the next

00:58:48.660 one, my head

00:58:49.760 can't put them

00:58:50.460 all together.

00:58:51.700 So here's the

00:58:52.820 takeaway from the

00:58:53.820 legal document.

00:58:55.380 My takeaway

00:58:56.200 was I saw

00:58:58.360 big claims that

00:59:00.400 would be big

00:59:00.920 enough to

00:59:01.280 change the

00:59:01.800 election, but

00:59:03.420 I did not

00:59:04.040 see, this is

00:59:05.200 just me

00:59:05.520 personally, I

00:59:06.760 did not see

00:59:07.500 all the

00:59:08.400 evidence to

00:59:09.600 back up those

00:59:10.220 claims.

00:59:11.560 So I can't

00:59:12.520 say that I've

00:59:13.040 seen the

00:59:13.380 Kraken, because 0.54

00:59:14.920 I've seen big

00:59:15.500 claims, but I

00:59:16.780 haven't, you

00:59:17.460 know, personally

00:59:18.200 seen the

00:59:19.520 evidence.

00:59:20.480 And then there

00:59:21.420 are a number of

00:59:22.000 smaller claims that

00:59:23.520 also look pretty

00:59:24.480 credible, pretty

00:59:25.800 credible, but you

00:59:27.440 haven't heard the

00:59:28.000 other side.

00:59:28.600 remember, in a

00:59:30.060 legal context,

00:59:31.840 every claim sounds

00:59:32.880 credible at first.

00:59:34.800 They really do.

00:59:35.640 It doesn't matter

00:59:36.080 who's saying what

00:59:36.780 about whom, first

00:59:38.400 claims, they kind

00:59:40.060 of always sound

00:59:40.620 credible.

00:59:41.620 You've got to

00:59:42.060 wait for the

00:59:42.580 other side to

00:59:43.220 talk.

00:59:43.900 And so if you're

00:59:44.540 just looking at

00:59:45.200 what the Trump

00:59:46.260 people are

00:59:46.800 alleging, yes, it

00:59:48.040 looks very

00:59:48.560 credible.

00:59:50.100 Yes, it looks

00:59:51.260 credible.

00:59:52.180 I don't know what

00:59:53.340 number of votes

00:59:54.280 would be influenced.

00:59:56.040 That's the part that

00:59:57.420 needs a little more

00:59:58.080 connecting material.

00:59:59.580 But again, you

01:00:00.180 probably don't need

01:00:00.900 that for the

01:00:02.460 legal process.

01:00:03.780 You do need it for

01:00:04.580 the persuasion game

01:00:05.600 and the political

01:00:06.120 game.

01:00:06.580 So I hope we see

01:00:07.340 that at some

01:00:07.820 point.

01:00:09.220 Here's my take on

01:00:10.360 this.

01:00:10.620 If we're not

01:00:12.020 learning something

01:00:12.860 new today, I'm

01:00:16.340 going to lower my

01:00:17.620 slaughter meter.

01:00:19.840 So by the end of

01:00:20.720 today, I've got it

01:00:21.840 set at 97, 97%

01:00:24.140 chance that we'll

01:00:26.080 at least find that

01:00:27.160 the election was

01:00:28.440 fraudulent.

01:00:31.840 Won't necessarily

01:00:32.960 mean that Trump

01:00:33.820 takes a second

01:00:34.920 term, but 97%

01:00:37.060 chance we'll find

01:00:37.820 the election

01:00:38.240 fraudulent.

01:00:39.980 I will lower that

01:00:41.280 to 75% at the

01:00:44.480 end of today if

01:00:46.480 there's no new

01:00:47.180 news that changes

01:00:49.500 that.

01:00:50.660 And by Friday,

01:00:52.120 I'll lower it

01:00:53.620 again to 50%.

01:00:55.940 Again, if I

01:00:57.840 haven't heard new

01:00:58.520 information that

01:00:59.340 would raise it.

01:01:00.960 You should be

01:01:01.720 doing the same

01:01:02.380 thing in your

01:01:02.980 minds.

01:01:04.500 Because you don't

01:01:05.300 want to be caught

01:01:06.120 thinking there was

01:01:07.540 a 100% chance

01:01:08.700 that this is going

01:01:09.540 to be proven and

01:01:10.880 then a month from

01:01:11.560 now you've got

01:01:12.080 nothing.

01:01:13.800 You want to give

01:01:15.180 yourself a little

01:01:15.840 bit of the cats

01:01:16.640 on the roof.

01:01:18.000 You want to talk

01:01:18.940 yourself out of

01:01:19.920 your belief

01:01:20.620 gently.

01:01:23.120 Because nobody

01:01:23.700 else is going to

01:01:24.280 be able to talk

01:01:24.840 you out of it.

01:01:25.780 So you need to be

01:01:26.500 able to talk

01:01:27.040 yourself out of it

01:01:28.180 if the evidence is

01:01:29.780 not going your way

01:01:31.300 eventually.

01:01:32.600 There's a time and

01:01:33.560 a place and we're

01:01:34.440 not there yet.

01:01:35.580 At the moment,

01:01:36.940 I'm perfectly willing

01:01:38.180 to say the reason

01:01:39.540 you haven't seen the

01:01:40.760 good stuff is because

01:01:42.400 it takes a while.

01:01:43.040 If this were a

01:01:46.520 normal process,

01:01:47.800 they would take

01:01:48.340 months to research

01:01:49.420 this.

01:01:50.700 They've got a few

01:01:51.600 weeks.

01:01:52.900 So I wouldn't

01:01:53.780 put too much

01:01:55.920 weight on the

01:01:58.760 fact that you

01:01:59.340 haven't seen

01:02:00.060 conclusive proof

01:02:01.280 yet.

01:02:02.760 It just hasn't

01:02:03.440 been enough time.

01:02:04.740 But if you're not

01:02:05.460 seeing it by Friday-ish,

01:02:08.220 I'm going to feel

01:02:09.320 that that tells you

01:02:11.600 something.

01:02:11.940 And I'll lower

01:02:13.740 it to 50% on

01:02:14.780 Friday.

01:02:15.720 Now, if next

01:02:16.580 week I'm down

01:02:17.220 to 20%, which

01:02:19.020 is entirely

01:02:19.500 possible, and

01:02:20.900 then it turned

01:02:21.400 out that the

01:02:22.160 election didn't

01:02:23.540 find any major

01:02:24.380 fraud and

01:02:25.840 Biden just

01:02:27.240 took office,

01:02:28.240 at least I

01:02:29.140 would not be

01:02:29.820 in cognitive

01:02:30.480 dissonance.

01:02:31.980 I would still

01:02:32.820 think that there

01:02:33.400 was fraud in

01:02:34.100 the election

01:02:34.540 because there

01:02:35.320 always has to

01:02:36.020 be in this

01:02:36.680 setup, but I

01:02:38.300 wouldn't know

01:02:38.740 that it changed

01:02:39.440 the result and

01:02:40.660 I wouldn't

01:02:41.000 necessarily

01:02:41.560 make that

01:02:43.100 claim.

01:02:44.380 So I'm in

01:02:45.920 the process

01:02:46.580 of talking

01:02:47.920 myself off

01:02:48.760 the roof

01:02:49.320 just in

01:02:50.180 case.

01:02:51.080 Because I

01:02:51.680 want to be

01:02:52.020 in a position

01:02:52.640 where if the

01:02:54.400 data doesn't

01:02:55.240 go in my

01:02:55.720 way, the

01:02:56.740 way I think

01:02:57.240 it should

01:02:58.080 go, that

01:02:59.400 I'm not out

01:03:00.420 there like a

01:03:01.020 crazy person

01:03:01.640 saying, it

01:03:02.080 was 100%,

01:03:03.060 100%.

01:03:04.340 don't be

01:03:06.300 the 100%

01:03:06.920 person, be

01:03:08.200 the 95% 0.75

01:03:09.100 person.

01:03:10.600 All right.

01:03:12.700 I do think

01:03:13.680 there's a very

01:03:14.240 good chance

01:03:14.920 that the

01:03:15.620 legal process

01:03:16.740 will force

01:03:18.420 more audits.

01:03:21.160 I think the

01:03:21.900 odds of that

01:03:22.360 are pretty

01:03:22.660 good.

01:03:23.360 And I think

01:03:24.020 that's all

01:03:24.380 they need.

01:03:24.920 because if

01:03:26.020 they can

01:03:26.320 buy time,

01:03:27.300 force an

01:03:27.680 audit,

01:03:28.160 force a

01:03:28.680 digger,

01:03:29.460 digger,

01:03:31.400 a deeper

01:03:31.940 dig,

01:03:33.580 they'll find

01:03:35.240 something.

01:03:36.880 All right.

01:03:37.860 Somebody says,

01:03:38.740 of course it

01:03:39.260 changed the

01:03:39.720 result, that's

01:03:40.500 why they did

01:03:41.040 it.

01:03:41.200 Well, they

01:03:43.060 couldn't have

01:03:43.640 known in

01:03:44.260 advance how

01:03:45.400 much to

01:03:46.180 cheat.

01:03:47.980 So you

01:03:49.300 can be sure

01:03:50.040 that people

01:03:50.720 tried.

01:03:51.740 You can't

01:03:52.440 be sure they

01:03:53.020 succeeded.

01:03:57.560 Question is,

01:03:58.640 with what

01:03:59.060 you've seen,

01:03:59.880 do you think

01:04:00.460 it is enough?

01:04:02.700 With what

01:04:03.540 I've seen,

01:04:04.320 I've not seen

01:04:05.080 proof.

01:04:06.920 So I've

01:04:07.800 seen allegations

01:04:08.680 of things that

01:04:10.260 look really

01:04:10.980 very credible

01:04:11.820 that would

01:04:13.360 be smallish.

01:04:15.020 In other

01:04:15.300 words, if you

01:04:15.740 added them

01:04:17.400 together, they

01:04:17.960 probably wouldn't

01:04:18.520 change the

01:04:19.000 outcome.

01:04:20.020 And I've

01:04:20.600 seen big

01:04:21.100 claims that

01:04:21.900 would change

01:04:22.460 the outcome,

01:04:23.380 but I

01:04:23.700 haven't

01:04:24.060 personally

01:04:24.740 seen

01:04:25.440 something that

01:04:27.400 puts me on

01:04:28.180 that team.

01:04:29.460 I think

01:04:30.080 there's a

01:04:30.800 100% chance

01:04:31.780 that the

01:04:32.340 voting

01:04:32.740 software

01:04:33.940 system has

01:04:35.160 been at

01:04:36.600 least attempted

01:04:37.360 by somebody,

01:04:39.600 foreign

01:04:39.800 powers,

01:04:40.520 Democrats,

01:04:40.980 bad actors,

01:04:41.900 whoever.

01:04:42.540 But somebody

01:04:43.280 has, of

01:04:43.680 course,

01:04:44.780 tried to

01:04:45.360 compromise the

01:04:46.100 voting system.

01:04:46.880 There's no

01:04:47.180 doubt about

01:04:47.560 that.

01:04:48.720 Over years

01:04:49.720 and years

01:04:50.000 and years

01:04:50.440 and all

01:04:50.820 the bad

01:04:51.180 actors in

01:04:51.680 the world

01:04:52.040 and all

01:04:52.440 the opportunities

01:04:53.100 they would

01:04:53.520 have,

01:04:54.220 and the

01:04:54.540 fact that

01:04:54.900 it's software

01:04:55.440 at all

01:04:55.960 guarantees that

01:04:57.360 somebody's

01:04:57.840 going to

01:04:58.040 take a run

01:04:58.480 at it.

01:04:59.120 What we

01:04:59.560 don't know

01:05:00.080 is if

01:05:02.240 they've

01:05:02.580 already

01:05:03.060 succeeded.

01:05:04.220 If you

01:05:04.820 wait long

01:05:05.400 enough,

01:05:06.140 the bad

01:05:06.560 actors will

01:05:07.200 get control

01:05:07.860 of the

01:05:08.180 election

01:05:08.480 process.

01:05:09.880 They will.

01:05:11.120 It's kind

01:05:11.960 of unavoidable

01:05:12.760 because they

01:05:14.060 can keep

01:05:14.480 trying and

01:05:15.080 failing forever.

01:05:16.820 They only

01:05:17.480 have to

01:05:17.880 succeed once

01:05:18.840 and then

01:05:20.200 they own

01:05:20.520 it.

01:05:21.420 Right?

01:05:22.060 So,

01:05:23.240 oh,

01:05:23.820 let me talk

01:05:24.600 about the

01:05:24.940 big reset.

01:05:25.960 I think the

01:05:26.520 big reset

01:05:26.980 is just a

01:05:27.540 bunch of

01:05:27.840 bullshit

01:05:28.080 and you

01:05:28.960 should just

01:05:29.400 ignore all

01:05:29.940 of it.

01:05:30.520 That's what

01:05:30.800 I'm doing.

01:05:31.820 The big

01:05:32.500 reset,

01:05:33.540 here's my

01:05:34.080 problem with

01:05:34.600 it.

01:05:35.120 It is

01:05:35.980 true that

01:05:36.900 people are

01:05:37.380 saying out

01:05:37.900 loud,

01:05:38.300 people in

01:05:38.700 power are

01:05:39.340 saying out

01:05:39.820 loud that

01:05:40.820 the coronavirus

01:05:41.360 gives us an

01:05:42.980 opportunity to

01:05:43.760 sort of reboot

01:05:44.540 society and

01:05:45.560 rethink how we

01:05:46.900 do everything.

01:05:48.080 But that's

01:05:48.740 just true.

01:05:50.220 That's not a

01:05:51.080 plan.

01:05:52.540 That's just

01:05:53.460 an observation.

01:05:55.420 It's the first

01:05:56.100 thing that I

01:05:56.980 and lots of

01:05:57.500 people said

01:05:57.980 when the

01:05:58.700 pandemic

01:05:59.200 started.

01:06:00.920 You know,

01:06:01.200 I'm not part

01:06:02.060 of some big

01:06:02.700 reset

01:06:03.780 plan to

01:06:05.380 take over

01:06:05.780 the world,

01:06:06.740 but it was

01:06:07.420 obvious to

01:06:07.960 me that a

01:06:08.440 whole bunch

01:06:08.820 of things

01:06:09.180 would be

01:06:09.540 different and

01:06:10.800 that we

01:06:11.100 should take

01:06:11.440 the opportunity

01:06:12.080 to say,

01:06:12.720 hey, if

01:06:13.580 everything's up

01:06:14.220 in the air

01:06:14.640 for a few

01:06:15.060 months, let's

01:06:16.740 redesign some

01:06:18.220 stuff.

01:06:18.780 Let's see what

01:06:19.260 else we can

01:06:19.760 do.

01:06:20.520 So if you're

01:06:21.320 worried about

01:06:21.700 the great

01:06:22.140 reset is how

01:06:23.600 the socialists

01:06:24.520 take over,

01:06:25.480 I think

01:06:25.960 everybody looks

01:06:26.840 to take

01:06:27.540 advantage of

01:06:28.340 a crisis,

01:06:29.720 but I don't

01:06:30.280 know that

01:06:30.660 there's a

01:06:31.640 meeting somewhere

01:06:32.420 where they're

01:06:32.900 having

01:06:33.180 big reset

01:06:34.520 strategy

01:06:35.600 meetings.

01:06:36.860 I wouldn't

01:06:37.640 say, Scott,

01:06:40.400 you're missing

01:06:40.880 on this

01:06:41.380 point,

01:06:42.580 Klaus Schwab.

01:06:44.320 Is Klaus Schwab

01:06:45.480 somebody I

01:06:46.000 can look at?

01:06:47.100 I'm sure that

01:06:47.900 if I look at

01:06:48.540 it, I'll find

01:06:49.140 that there's

01:06:49.580 somebody who

01:06:50.200 says it's

01:06:50.800 my plan to

01:06:51.720 do the

01:06:52.020 great reset

01:06:52.580 and change

01:06:54.480 the world.

01:06:55.520 But because

01:06:56.120 it was

01:06:56.440 somebody's

01:06:56.980 plan, it

01:06:58.280 doesn't mean

01:06:58.740 much because

01:06:59.920 the pandemic

01:07:00.500 was going to

01:07:01.180 happen and

01:07:03.040 it was

01:07:03.320 going to

01:07:03.560 change

01:07:03.900 things,

01:07:05.400 it was

01:07:06.360 just going

01:07:06.700 to happen.

01:07:07.640 I wouldn't

01:07:08.180 worry about

01:07:08.560 it too much.

01:07:09.360 All right,

01:07:09.700 that's enough

01:07:10.100 for now and

01:07:10.840 I will talk

01:07:11.360 to you

01:07:11.820 tomorrow.

01:07:15.520 You

01:07:16.000 YouTubers 0.97

01:07:16.480 are still

01:07:17.020 here.

01:07:17.820 Periscope

01:07:18.320 is turned

01:07:19.520 off.

01:07:21.920 You know,

01:07:22.580 one of the

01:07:22.860 things I've

01:07:23.280 noticed when I

01:07:23.960 look at the

01:07:24.400 comments,

01:07:25.260 there's a real

01:07:26.640 difference between

01:07:28.080 the YouTube

01:07:28.620 comments and

01:07:30.360 the Periscope

01:07:32.180 comments.

01:07:32.640 The Periscope

01:07:33.140 comments are

01:07:33.620 mostly people

01:07:34.200 who follow me

01:07:34.720 on Twitter and

01:07:36.000 so they tend

01:07:36.500 to be friendlier.

01:07:38.060 The YouTube

01:07:39.660 comments are

01:07:40.880 far more

01:07:42.420 trolls and

01:07:44.020 the trolls

01:07:44.780 that are the

01:07:45.320 dumbest are

01:07:46.580 the ones who

01:07:47.160 imagine they

01:07:48.660 know what I'm

01:07:49.180 thinking or

01:07:50.520 they imagine

01:07:51.140 they know

01:07:51.620 what I know

01:07:53.400 and those are

01:07:55.140 just always

01:07:55.540 ridiculous.

01:07:56.400 You don't

01:07:56.720 know what I'm

01:07:57.140 thinking.

01:07:58.040 You don't

01:07:58.520 know what I

01:07:58.980 know or

01:08:00.660 what I don't

01:08:01.140 know.

01:08:03.320 Yeah,

01:08:04.140 people are

01:08:04.800 more crass

01:08:05.380 here.

01:08:05.580 I think just

01:08:06.000 YouTube is a

01:08:06.660 bigger platform

01:08:07.300 so it brings

01:08:07.820 in more

01:08:09.240 people.

01:08:16.000 Alright,

01:08:16.600 just looking at

01:08:17.120 some of my

01:08:17.800 printer update.

01:08:18.900 I could not

01:08:19.700 get my printer

01:08:20.380 to work this

01:08:21.040 morning.

01:08:21.520 I have to

01:08:21.860 use a

01:08:22.320 different printer

01:08:23.160 and I'm

01:08:24.240 going to

01:08:24.420 probably try

01:08:25.560 once to

01:08:26.380 upgrade the

01:08:28.240 drivers but

01:08:29.180 after that I'm

01:08:29.740 going to

01:08:29.880 throw it

01:08:30.220 out of the

01:08:31.860 window.

01:08:38.540 People who

01:08:39.280 stuff ballots

01:08:39.860 broke the

01:08:40.340 law and

01:08:40.960 should be

01:08:41.320 charged.

01:08:42.240 Of course

01:08:42.560 they should.

01:08:47.180 Where's the

01:08:47.820 right place to

01:08:48.620 look for

01:08:49.020 fraud?

01:08:49.960 Well,

01:08:50.340 the right

01:08:51.320 place is with

01:08:52.040 the paper

01:08:52.460 ballots and

01:08:53.440 then the

01:08:53.860 second right

01:08:54.420 place is with

01:08:55.040 the software.

01:08:58.400 That's a

01:08:58.940 big statement.

01:08:59.760 You have to

01:09:00.080 look at the

01:09:00.520 paper ballots.

01:09:01.700 But things

01:09:02.100 you should

01:09:02.480 look for,

01:09:03.080 for example,

01:09:04.660 how many

01:09:05.200 ballots do

01:09:05.880 you think

01:09:06.220 should have

01:09:06.560 been sent

01:09:07.000 to the

01:09:07.280 same address?

01:09:08.620 If there's

01:09:09.280 somebody who

01:09:09.740 got 50

01:09:10.480 ballots at

01:09:11.060 the same

01:09:11.420 address,

01:09:13.160 I'd look

01:09:13.600 into that.

01:09:15.660 And there's

01:09:16.640 some claims

01:09:17.220 of that sort

01:09:18.080 of thing.

01:09:19.880 Klaus

01:09:20.260 Schwab

01:09:20.940 runs

01:09:21.460 Davos,

01:09:22.740 somebody

01:09:23.120 say.

01:09:24.860 I'll

01:09:25.180 Google him.

01:09:29.640 But I'm

01:09:30.580 pretty sure

01:09:31.180 it's not

01:09:31.520 going to

01:09:31.740 change my

01:09:32.180 opinion that

01:09:32.840 the Great

01:09:33.260 Reset is

01:09:35.020 just wishful

01:09:36.720 thinking.

01:09:42.340 All right.

01:09:44.280 Yeah,

01:09:44.800 Trump's thing

01:09:45.660 is going to

01:09:46.040 be in an

01:09:46.380 hour, so

01:09:46.820 let's make

01:09:47.200 sure we're

01:09:47.560 ready for

01:09:47.880 that.

01:09:48.140 some are

01:09:51.740 saying that

01:09:52.180 the Build

01:09:52.620 Back Better

01:09:53.160 is the

01:09:54.480 Great

01:09:54.780 Reset

01:09:55.380 language.

01:09:56.740 No, I

01:09:57.160 would say,

01:09:58.200 so I have

01:09:58.880 some special

01:09:59.560 insight on

01:10:01.000 that Build

01:10:01.540 Back Better

01:10:02.700 thing.

01:10:03.560 It goes

01:10:03.940 like this.

01:10:05.520 As a

01:10:06.300 professional

01:10:06.940 creative person,

01:10:08.400 I write jokes

01:10:09.400 for a living,

01:10:10.560 and you would

01:10:11.220 be amazed

01:10:11.680 how many

01:10:12.060 times I

01:10:12.700 will write

01:10:13.120 a joke

01:10:13.640 and I'm

01:10:14.620 positive

01:10:15.060 I'm the

01:10:16.340 only person

01:10:16.880 who could

01:10:17.320 have thought

01:10:17.880 of that

01:10:18.160 joke,

01:10:18.960 and I'll

01:10:19.300 see somebody

01:10:19.960 saying the

01:10:20.940 same joke

01:10:21.540 in an

01:10:22.900 hour.

01:10:23.840 It happens

01:10:24.540 all the

01:10:25.280 time.

01:10:26.060 So there

01:10:26.340 are things

01:10:26.720 that you

01:10:27.020 think,

01:10:27.460 there's no

01:10:27.980 way two

01:10:28.560 people

01:10:28.940 independently

01:10:29.720 thought of

01:10:30.260 this.

01:10:31.080 It happens

01:10:31.480 all the

01:10:31.780 time.

01:10:32.520 And then

01:10:32.780 if somebody

01:10:33.380 puts it

01:10:34.720 out there,

01:10:35.900 other people

01:10:36.480 see it,

01:10:37.120 maybe they

01:10:37.540 don't remember

01:10:38.260 they saw

01:10:38.820 it, but

01:10:39.660 it sticks

01:10:40.060 in their

01:10:40.340 head,

01:10:40.840 then they're

01:10:41.260 coming up

01:10:41.680 with their

01:10:41.940 own ideas,

01:10:42.960 and they

01:10:43.560 use it,

01:10:44.120 but they

01:10:44.340 don't remember

01:10:44.840 they saw

01:10:45.320 it.

01:10:45.680 Let me

01:10:45.900 give you

01:10:46.080 an example.

01:10:46.660 Years ago,

01:10:47.200 I did

01:10:48.200 a comic

01:10:48.620 about a

01:10:49.480 fake

01:10:50.960 opera singer.

01:10:53.560 And in

01:10:53.900 my comic,

01:10:54.600 this was

01:10:54.920 a Dilbert

01:10:55.320 comic from

01:10:56.140 25 years

01:10:57.180 ago,

01:10:57.940 I said

01:10:58.480 that the

01:10:59.680 name of

01:11:00.520 the fake

01:11:01.060 opera singer

01:11:01.920 was Placebo

01:11:03.860 Domingo.

01:11:05.420 Now,

01:11:05.760 his real

01:11:06.180 name was

01:11:06.620 Placido

01:11:07.420 Domingo,

01:11:08.660 but the

01:11:09.060 joke was

01:11:09.720 that he

01:11:10.200 was a

01:11:10.500 fake opera

01:11:11.080 singer named

01:11:11.740 Placebo

01:11:12.540 Domingo.

01:11:13.160 Now,

01:11:14.300 I wrote

01:11:14.740 that comic

01:11:15.280 and finished

01:11:17.120 it and

01:11:17.540 was ready

01:11:18.000 to submit

01:11:18.600 it.

01:11:19.760 And before

01:11:20.140 I had

01:11:20.480 submitted

01:11:20.760 it,

01:11:21.120 I picked

01:11:21.420 up the

01:11:21.740 newspaper,

01:11:22.480 and there

01:11:22.660 was a

01:11:22.940 comic strip

01:11:23.600 called

01:11:24.000 Travels

01:11:24.640 with Farley

01:11:25.260 in it.

01:11:26.480 And I

01:11:26.920 look at

01:11:27.220 the newspaper,

01:11:28.120 and that

01:11:28.480 day,

01:11:30.100 in the

01:11:30.500 newspaper,

01:11:31.420 for that

01:11:31.960 day,

01:11:33.060 was a

01:11:34.120 comic in

01:11:34.700 which he

01:11:34.980 talked about

01:11:35.520 a fake

01:11:36.240 opera singer

01:11:37.560 named

01:11:38.140 Placebo

01:11:39.080 Domingo.

01:11:39.740 that day,

01:11:42.040 while my

01:11:42.560 comic was

01:11:43.140 sitting next

01:11:43.700 to me,

01:11:45.060 that day's

01:11:45.840 newspaper had

01:11:46.640 my joke,

01:11:48.020 Placebo

01:11:48.720 Domingo,

01:11:49.600 and by the

01:11:50.060 way,

01:11:50.900 it was not

01:11:51.520 suggested by

01:11:53.100 anything that

01:11:53.800 was happening

01:11:54.340 in current

01:11:55.080 events.

01:11:56.140 It was

01:11:56.400 literally,

01:11:57.560 my mother

01:11:58.160 used to

01:11:58.640 listen to

01:11:59.200 him,

01:11:59.900 Placido

01:12:00.320 Domingo,

01:12:01.360 and so it

01:12:01.940 was a name

01:12:02.320 in my head.

01:12:03.100 It was

01:12:03.360 nothing that

01:12:04.160 triggered both

01:12:05.200 of us to

01:12:05.700 think of it

01:12:06.140 at the same

01:12:06.620 time.

01:12:07.660 What I'm

01:12:08.000 telling you is

01:12:08.780 that coincidence

01:12:09.560 that look like

01:12:10.540 they couldn't

01:12:11.060 possibly be a

01:12:12.060 coincidence

01:12:12.460 happen all

01:12:14.180 the time in

01:12:14.840 my work.

01:12:16.280 The number

01:12:16.600 of times I'll

01:12:17.100 do a comic

01:12:17.640 and then see

01:12:18.180 somebody make

01:12:18.880 exactly the

01:12:19.620 same comic,

01:12:20.860 it's a lot.

01:12:22.840 It's a lot.

01:12:23.840 So my

01:12:24.500 comic, I did

01:12:25.500 not submit.

01:12:26.200 I threw it

01:12:26.580 away.

01:12:27.540 I trashed

01:12:28.940 mine,

01:12:29.760 because I

01:12:31.200 knew that if

01:12:31.700 I printed it,

01:12:32.620 everybody would

01:12:33.160 say, well,

01:12:33.460 you just

01:12:33.760 copied his

01:12:34.340 comic,

01:12:34.900 so I

01:12:35.240 couldn't do

01:12:35.560 it.

01:12:37.760 All right,

01:12:38.280 that's all

01:12:38.580 for now,

01:12:39.000 and I'll

01:12:39.280 talk to you

01:12:39.840 tomorrow.

01:12:40.360 I'll talk to

01:12:41.700 you tomorrow.

01:12:42.520 and I'll cover

01:12:43.000 tomorrow.

01:12:43.520 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 19, 2020

Episode 1192 Scott Adams： Is the Kraken Still Lackin？ I Tell You What to Believe

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