Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1195 Scott Adams： I Tell You Who is Being Most Gullible, Show You Some Nuclear Persuasion, and Predict

00:00:00.000 Oh, hey! I didn't see you there. You snuck in here without me even noticing.

00:00:13.400 Good morning. Good morning.

00:00:16.460 It's time for Coffee with Scott Adams, the best time of the day.

00:00:20.960 Every single time, and all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or gels,

00:00:25.820 a cyanide, a canteen, a jug, a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:30.760 Fill it with your favorite liquid I like, coffee.

00:00:34.460 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine at the end of the day,

00:00:39.580 the thing that makes everything better. You know it does.

00:00:43.680 It's called The Simultaneous Sip, and it happens now. Go.

00:00:46.180 Well, I feel as if even remdesivir works now.

00:01:00.020 It's because of the coffee.

00:01:01.880 If you add coffee to any therapeutic or vaccine, it's more effective.

00:01:09.200 A lot of people don't know that, but that's why I'm here, to educate you.

00:01:12.580 Speaking of educating you, I'm experimenting with a new form of education.

00:01:19.840 Have you ever noticed that if you take a class in anything, it's really boring?

00:01:26.880 Have you noticed that?

00:01:28.120 Have you noticed that education, just in general, boring as hell?

00:01:35.080 Does it need to be?

00:01:36.900 Probably not. Probably not.

00:01:39.680 Sometimes it's just because we say that a class has to be 45 minutes,

00:01:45.900 and then you just make it 45 minutes.

00:01:49.220 Why does every class have to be 45 minutes, or an hour, or whatever?

00:01:54.360 Don't you think that there are some types of content

00:01:57.020 that you should hit in 10 minutes and then let it rest for a day?

00:02:01.540 We have this structure set up that's completely wrong for learning.

00:02:05.860 So, I'm doing a little experiment over on the Locals platform,

00:02:11.240 where I have content for subscribers only.

00:02:15.080 And what I'm doing is I'm putting what I call micro-lessons there.

00:02:19.180 And a micro-lesson would be maybe a two- to three-minute lesson

00:02:22.680 on some really focused and immediately useful life skill.

00:02:29.760 And the idea here is if you've watched other YouTube videos on any topic,

00:02:38.520 let me give you my impression of looking up a YouTube video

00:02:45.480 that will explain how to do something that I want to do.

00:02:48.580 And let's say the thing is I want to learn how to, let's say, repaint my house.

00:02:55.400 And I'll go to the video on how to paint your house.

00:03:00.440 And I'll click it and I'll say, great, this is exactly what I need.

00:03:04.200 I want to paint my house.

00:03:05.620 I don't know how.

00:03:07.000 This video is going to tell me.

00:03:08.880 And then the guy will come in and he'll say,

00:03:10.820 so I've been doing videos for six months,

00:03:15.780 and some people said some things I should change.

00:03:19.940 And I'd be like, how about painting the house?

00:03:22.620 Can we get to the part where you tell me how to paint the frickin' house?

00:03:27.080 And it'll be five, ten minutes later before he starts talking.

00:03:31.260 And then he talks way too slowly, like I'm doing right now.

00:03:37.120 Because your patience and your attention span has been shrinking every year,

00:03:42.700 especially lately.

00:03:44.260 Because your smartphones and social media are just shrinking your attention span like crazy.

00:03:48.820 So if you can't get education down to tiny little nuggets,

00:03:54.700 it's probably more than you want to handle.

00:03:58.220 Because your life's pretty complicated and fast moving.

00:04:01.800 So if I can't put it into a little nugget for you, it's probably not going to work.

00:04:06.540 So here's some of the classes, micro classes.

00:04:09.820 So these are like two, three minute classes on locals.

00:04:13.500 So you've got locals.com if you wanted to be there.

00:04:16.020 I taught how to talk like a hypnotist.

00:04:20.640 Success strategies.

00:04:22.140 I went through some basic life success strategies.

00:04:24.940 Using imagination to fuel your success.

00:04:28.280 Programming yourself for bad habits.

00:04:29.960 For good habits, not bad habits.

00:04:32.200 How to ask for what you want.

00:04:35.160 These are basic life skills.

00:04:37.700 Do you know how many people

00:04:39.060 don't know how to simply ask for what they want?

00:04:43.460 Just really basic life skills.

00:04:47.140 Knowing when to trust experts and when not to.

00:04:50.300 Pretty useful.

00:04:51.980 And I'm working on one I haven't done yet.

00:04:54.700 And I had to know you have a good product or service.

00:04:58.360 So anyway, that's there.

00:04:59.820 The Rasmussen report says that 61% of people,

00:05:04.660 actually likely voters,

00:05:06.340 61% of likely voters think Trump should concede.

00:05:10.860 61%.

00:05:11.420 61%.

00:05:13.420 At the same time,

00:05:16.240 47%, nearly half,

00:05:19.700 say it's likely that Democrats stole the votes

00:05:22.340 or destroyed pro-Trump ballots in several states

00:05:25.500 to ensure his victory.

00:05:28.460 So think about the enormity of these two numbers.

00:05:32.740 61% of voters, likely voters,

00:05:36.380 think Trump should concede,

00:05:38.860 but half of voters think the election was stolen.

00:05:45.220 That means that there's a whole bunch of people

00:05:47.820 in this country who have the following thoughts.

00:05:52.160 The election was stolen.

00:05:54.560 Let's just go with it.

00:05:56.460 Let's just go with it.

00:05:57.560 And now, if you said to yourself,

00:06:02.160 would this work if the situation had been reversed?

00:06:08.040 Would you find that the Democrats,

00:06:12.060 if they believed,

00:06:13.220 let's say 50% of the country believed,

00:06:15.660 that Trump had won,

00:06:17.700 but it was a rigged election,

00:06:19.300 do you think the Democrats would say,

00:06:22.260 ah, darn it,

00:06:24.320 darn it,

00:06:25.520 I sure wish we hadn't had a rigged election,

00:06:28.420 but all right,

00:06:29.180 we'll just figure it out on the next election.

00:06:32.640 Do you think they would have just said that?

00:06:34.840 Because the Republicans kind of are.

00:06:39.440 That's kind of what they're saying.

00:06:41.460 They're kind of saying,

00:06:42.640 ah, we think it was stolen,

00:06:44.340 we're going to live with it anyway.

00:06:48.020 What would be behind that?

00:06:50.720 I have an opinion.

00:06:52.920 I would say it's a preliminary opinion.

00:06:54.880 I'll just put it out there

00:06:55.740 and you can decide if you like it.

00:06:58.560 I think conservatives slash Republicans

00:07:01.820 have this general philosophical sense

00:07:06.480 that if there was something that went wrong

00:07:09.160 that they could have fixed,

00:07:11.300 it's a little bit on them.

00:07:13.000 A little bit of a,

00:07:15.680 let's say a bias

00:07:16.780 for accepting responsibility

00:07:19.060 even if it wasn't your job,

00:07:21.420 if you could have done something about it.

00:07:24.420 Do you think there's something

00:07:25.720 that you personally

00:07:27.000 could have done more or better,

00:07:30.720 collectively, let's say,

00:07:32.080 you personally,

00:07:33.280 but also collectively,

00:07:34.900 to have gotten to a better place

00:07:37.260 in this election

00:07:38.320 where it was either more certain

00:07:39.920 or your candidate won?

00:07:41.740 And probably there are a lot of Republicans

00:07:45.480 and conservatives

00:07:46.360 who are saying some version of this.

00:07:49.460 You know,

00:07:50.560 maybe if I'd made more noise

00:07:54.600 about having a fair election

00:07:56.520 or I'd fought harder

00:07:58.800 to get rid of mail-in votes

00:08:00.720 or I'd complained differently

00:08:03.260 or I'd volunteered to be a watcher,

00:08:06.160 maybe there's something I could have done

00:08:07.880 so we wouldn't be in this situation.

00:08:11.920 I see one person agreeing with me.

00:08:14.280 I don't know if I'll get more.

00:08:15.720 But I do believe that Republicans

00:08:17.380 are biased.

00:08:20.620 And again,

00:08:21.300 anything I say about Republicans

00:08:22.960 or Democrats

00:08:23.680 never means every one of them.

00:08:27.040 Right?

00:08:27.500 So you're all smart enough

00:08:28.820 to know when I make generalities,

00:08:30.620 it doesn't mean every person.

00:08:31.840 It just means there's a tendency

00:08:33.640 or, you know,

00:08:34.640 a bias.

00:08:36.160 I think Republicans say,

00:08:37.800 well,

00:08:38.180 we had our shot.

00:08:40.120 It's our own damn fault.

00:08:42.500 We'll try to figure it out next time.

00:08:45.220 I don't know

00:08:46.140 if that's widespread,

00:08:47.820 but I feel that at least

00:08:48.740 some people feel that way.

00:08:50.580 Because I feel that way

00:08:52.060 a little bit myself.

00:08:53.100 I feel that

00:08:55.640 if I let the process run,

00:09:00.740 meaning that the legal process

00:09:02.820 does what the legal process does,

00:09:05.160 and then we get to the end of it

00:09:07.040 and the challenges

00:09:07.780 are somewhat extinguished,

00:09:10.360 even if I'm certain

00:09:13.200 that the election was stolen,

00:09:16.040 I'm actually going to be

00:09:17.300 completely okay with it.

00:09:18.940 Completely okay.

00:09:20.640 Like, 100% okay.

00:09:22.200 That doesn't mean

00:09:23.860 I don't still think

00:09:25.140 maybe the election was stolen.

00:09:27.860 But if the process goes forward

00:09:31.360 and the consensus of the country

00:09:34.200 is it's just time to move on,

00:09:36.480 you know,

00:09:37.360 you can't fix the past,

00:09:39.780 you can't fix history,

00:09:41.360 you can't have everything

00:09:42.460 the way you want it.

00:09:44.060 But you can maybe improve.

00:09:46.700 You can maybe fix it

00:09:48.140 for the next time

00:09:48.920 if you still have that option.

00:09:52.200 I hope we do.

00:09:53.800 So I've got a feeling

00:09:55.040 that there's a lot of,

00:09:56.860 what's the word,

00:09:58.940 capitulation,

00:10:00.520 as they say

00:10:01.480 in the financial markets.

00:10:03.220 There's a lot of

00:10:04.360 capitulation going.

00:10:06.000 People who believe

00:10:07.080 that the election was rigged

00:10:08.880 and are still,

00:10:10.260 still willing to say,

00:10:12.860 well,

00:10:14.060 all right,

00:10:14.760 we'll get them next time.

00:10:15.640 That's what it feels like.

00:10:18.180 That's the way it feels like

00:10:19.460 it's shaping up.

00:10:22.400 Interestingly,

00:10:23.280 when I look at the CNN homepage,

00:10:25.180 I see no stories

00:10:27.580 about alleged election fraud,

00:10:31.080 except stories saying

00:10:33.220 it didn't happen

00:10:33.960 and Trump is crazy

00:10:35.240 and any of his followers

00:10:37.360 who think any of that stuff happened,

00:10:39.880 they're crazy too.

00:10:40.720 And I thought to myself,

00:10:44.400 can you think of

00:10:45.160 other situations

00:10:46.360 where the accusation itself

00:10:49.220 wasn't enough

00:10:50.200 to make news?

00:10:52.580 And I'm curious

00:10:54.780 if you can think

00:10:56.600 of any other example

00:10:57.840 of that.

00:10:59.000 Because it seems to me

00:11:00.340 that the accusation

00:11:01.680 is pretty much

00:11:03.260 80% of the news,

00:11:04.560 isn't it?

00:11:05.820 Isn't 80% of all news

00:11:07.940 somebody is accusing

00:11:09.660 somebody of something

00:11:10.580 that typically ends up

00:11:12.760 not being true?

00:11:14.640 More often than not,

00:11:15.860 it's not true.

00:11:17.380 So,

00:11:17.920 why is this the one time

00:11:19.780 that an accusation

00:11:22.060 is not news?

00:11:24.300 Well,

00:11:24.640 the answer is this,

00:11:26.060 that news is also persuasion

00:11:28.200 and the left

00:11:30.040 does not want you

00:11:31.060 to think

00:11:31.520 that the irregularities

00:11:34.420 alleged and real

00:11:35.740 made a difference.

00:11:38.920 And if they even

00:11:39.960 reported the allegations,

00:11:41.940 there would be

00:11:42.460 so many of them,

00:11:43.420 I guess there are

00:11:43.960 220 sworn affidavits

00:11:46.700 or something like that.

00:11:47.840 Even if you'd say

00:11:48.780 half of them

00:11:49.440 are complete BS,

00:11:51.140 if they just talked

00:11:52.560 about all the allegations,

00:11:54.500 you would come away

00:11:55.420 thinking that the election

00:11:56.960 was rigged.

00:11:58.980 So,

00:12:00.060 your brain,

00:12:01.020 not you personally,

00:12:02.420 but brains in general,

00:12:04.420 they work on

00:12:05.520 how often you see something,

00:12:08.920 whether your attention

00:12:10.040 is brought to it,

00:12:11.160 far more than

00:12:12.240 your logic

00:12:12.980 and your reason.

00:12:14.340 Those things are

00:12:15.080 largely illusions anyway.

00:12:16.660 You don't have a lot

00:12:17.320 of logic and reason,

00:12:18.540 but you think you do.

00:12:19.920 What you really have

00:12:21.100 is things you spend

00:12:22.980 time thinking about.

00:12:25.220 And if CNN

00:12:25.940 made you think

00:12:26.920 about allegations

00:12:28.000 of fraud,

00:12:29.360 even if their reporting

00:12:30.560 said none of these

00:12:31.460 are true,

00:12:31.880 your brain

00:12:33.340 would still record

00:12:34.400 there was a lot

00:12:35.800 of fraud.

00:12:37.960 So,

00:12:38.620 they have this

00:12:39.020 weird situation

00:12:39.920 where even if

00:12:41.340 they reported

00:12:42.060 all the allegations

00:12:43.200 and said

00:12:44.080 every one of them

00:12:44.860 is false,

00:12:46.420 you'd still come away

00:12:48.100 thinking there was

00:12:48.760 a lot of fraud.

00:12:49.880 So,

00:12:50.380 they can't even

00:12:50.980 cover the story

00:12:52.120 without influencing

00:12:54.180 you to think

00:12:55.100 there was

00:12:55.580 the opposite

00:12:56.380 of how they

00:12:57.000 covered the story.

00:12:57.740 So,

00:12:58.600 it's kind of

00:12:58.960 a tough spot

00:13:01.600 they're in.

00:13:04.660 Have you noticed

00:13:05.620 that the social

00:13:06.560 media platforms

00:13:07.620 have gotten

00:13:08.260 a total pass

00:13:09.400 on election

00:13:10.880 interference?

00:13:12.460 Before the election,

00:13:13.660 we were talking

00:13:14.520 about them a lot.

00:13:16.060 What we were

00:13:16.700 talking less about

00:13:17.940 was outright fraud.

00:13:20.700 But once the election

00:13:21.760 happens,

00:13:23.540 and you've got

00:13:24.200 something real

00:13:24.940 to talk about,

00:13:25.740 not hypothetical,

00:13:26.580 and there are

00:13:28.340 lots of reports

00:13:29.180 of fraud.

00:13:30.060 We'll find out

00:13:30.780 how many of them

00:13:31.400 are real.

00:13:32.740 But it seems

00:13:33.780 that fraud

00:13:34.740 is the shiny object

00:13:36.140 and that

00:13:37.840 if you were to,

00:13:39.940 perhaps if you were

00:13:40.920 to somehow,

00:13:42.000 and I imagine

00:13:43.000 it's impossible

00:13:43.740 to do this,

00:13:44.840 but if you could

00:13:45.460 measure how many

00:13:46.840 votes were

00:13:48.140 determined by fraud,

00:13:50.720 and let's say

00:13:51.320 you think that

00:13:51.940 there were a bunch

00:13:52.760 and might even

00:13:54.240 be millions.

00:13:55.680 Let's say

00:13:56.260 worst-case scenario,

00:13:57.480 I'll just pick 0.52

00:13:57.960 a number,

00:13:58.760 worst-case scenario,

00:13:59.920 you're very skeptical

00:14:00.920 of the election,

00:14:02.260 and you think,

00:14:03.020 God, I think that

00:14:03.780 election may have

00:14:04.580 moved fraudulently,

00:14:07.500 I don't know,

00:14:08.460 five, six million

00:14:09.720 votes,

00:14:11.120 something like that.

00:14:12.340 That'd be a lot.

00:14:14.280 That'd be a lot

00:14:15.860 of fraud.

00:14:17.080 How many votes

00:14:17.820 do you think

00:14:18.240 social media moved?

00:14:20.300 If you were to

00:14:21.360 imagine,

00:14:22.500 I'll even up that

00:14:23.540 a little bit.

00:14:23.940 I'll take it

00:14:24.640 to 10 million.

00:14:26.020 Let's take it

00:14:26.860 to 10 million,

00:14:28.280 the worst-case scenario

00:14:29.940 of the worst

00:14:31.320 accusation

00:14:32.200 of how many

00:14:33.420 fraudulent votes

00:14:34.400 there were.

00:14:35.480 I doubt there

00:14:36.160 were 10 million,

00:14:36.920 but let's just use

00:14:37.600 this as our

00:14:38.240 thought experiment

00:14:39.540 here.

00:14:40.740 How many votes

00:14:41.660 do you think

00:14:42.220 social media moved

00:14:43.440 by being

00:14:44.920 biased toward a

00:14:47.600 side?

00:14:48.620 Well, I would

00:14:49.560 think a lot more

00:14:50.300 than 10 million.

00:14:51.040 I don't know

00:14:52.720 how you would

00:14:53.120 measure such a

00:14:53.880 thing.

00:14:55.140 It's largely

00:14:56.000 impossible to

00:14:56.840 measure because

00:14:57.420 there's so many

00:14:58.000 variables.

00:14:59.140 I don't think

00:14:59.580 you could tease

00:15:00.360 out how much

00:15:01.120 was the social

00:15:01.780 media impact.

00:15:03.420 Maybe you could.

00:15:04.120 I can't imagine

00:15:05.100 it's doable.

00:15:06.780 But I feel

00:15:08.840 as if social

00:15:09.640 media is hiding

00:15:11.480 behind the

00:15:13.420 alleged direct

00:15:15.120 fraud accusations

00:15:16.800 because they're

00:15:17.980 just more

00:15:18.460 interesting at the

00:15:19.380 moment and

00:15:20.500 social media is

00:15:21.300 like, don't

00:15:21.880 look over

00:15:22.340 here.

00:15:23.480 Nothing

00:15:23.840 happened here.

00:15:25.000 No direct

00:15:25.660 evidence, right?

00:15:27.160 So I think

00:15:29.340 that was an

00:15:29.860 interesting

00:15:30.280 outcome.

00:15:34.140 I've noticed

00:15:35.140 that as

00:15:37.320 more and

00:15:38.060 more, let's

00:15:39.180 say, Trump

00:15:39.680 supporters start

00:15:41.440 to move

00:15:42.060 toward conceding

00:15:44.740 or suggesting

00:15:46.020 that the

00:15:46.460 president should

00:15:47.220 concede, that

00:15:48.680 the number

00:15:49.140 of his

00:15:50.320 remaining

00:15:51.120 supporters

00:15:51.940 shrinks.

00:15:54.180 And then

00:15:54.860 instead of

00:15:55.500 being lots

00:15:56.500 of targets,

00:15:57.980 there are

00:15:58.520 fewer and

00:15:59.260 fewer targets.

00:16:01.640 Now, my

00:16:02.340 message is

00:16:03.260 not like I

00:16:03.980 believe.

00:16:05.040 Can you

00:16:05.900 fact check

00:16:06.500 me on this?

00:16:07.540 I believe

00:16:08.340 that the

00:16:08.760 things I'm

00:16:09.480 saying about

00:16:10.080 the allegations

00:16:11.960 of fraud

00:16:12.640 are different

00:16:14.540 than what

00:16:15.960 other people

00:16:16.500 are saying.

00:16:16.940 would you

00:16:18.080 say that's

00:16:18.520 true?

00:16:19.220 Would you

00:16:19.580 say that

00:16:19.940 my take

00:16:20.580 on the

00:16:21.300 fraud

00:16:21.820 allegations

00:16:22.380 is different

00:16:23.120 than most

00:16:25.080 Trump

00:16:25.380 supporters?

00:16:27.600 For

00:16:28.200 example, I

00:16:29.000 don't think

00:16:29.460 that the

00:16:30.040 Venezuelan

00:16:31.460 whistleblower is

00:16:32.980 real.

00:16:34.040 But probably

00:16:34.840 I would bet

00:16:35.640 the majority

00:16:37.240 of Trump

00:16:37.700 supporters are

00:16:38.500 willing to

00:16:39.060 buy into

00:16:39.440 that story.

00:16:40.400 So I don't

00:16:40.940 think that my

00:16:42.040 version or

00:16:43.860 my opinion

00:16:44.420 really maps

00:16:45.160 too much

00:16:45.780 to anybody

00:16:46.860 else's at

00:16:47.460 the moment.

00:16:49.060 But one

00:16:50.500 of the ways

00:16:50.900 I'm noticing

00:16:51.360 my critics

00:16:52.060 are going

00:16:52.520 after me

00:16:53.220 is by

00:16:54.140 lumping me

00:16:54.900 with other

00:16:55.420 people who

00:16:55.940 have different

00:16:56.440 arguments.

00:16:57.980 Because it's

00:16:58.840 hard to go

00:16:59.300 after my

00:16:59.860 arguments because

00:17:00.760 they're so

00:17:01.940 darn reasonable.

00:17:03.600 It would be

00:17:04.260 one thing to

00:17:04.880 say, Adams

00:17:06.040 believes

00:17:06.640 everything that

00:17:08.500 is being

00:17:09.700 alleged.

00:17:11.100 Now, if I

00:17:11.780 believed

00:17:12.140 everything that

00:17:12.800 was being

00:17:13.160 alleged, I

00:17:14.840 would be a

00:17:15.500 laughable figure

00:17:16.400 and you

00:17:16.800 could lump

00:17:17.360 in with

00:17:17.860 anybody else

00:17:18.900 and that

00:17:19.440 would be

00:17:19.700 fair.

00:17:20.600 But you

00:17:21.240 can't really

00:17:21.620 do that.

00:17:22.960 I have a

00:17:23.900 fairly nuanced

00:17:24.920 opinion that

00:17:26.160 doesn't attract

00:17:27.060 anybody else's

00:17:27.940 and it's a

00:17:28.760 little bit

00:17:29.080 harder to

00:17:29.640 assail, in

00:17:31.500 part because I

00:17:32.220 don't pick

00:17:32.880 absolutes which

00:17:33.920 are impossible

00:17:34.520 to support.

00:17:37.140 So I think

00:17:38.060 that the only

00:17:38.620 way that you

00:17:39.260 can go after

00:17:39.860 me is to

00:17:41.280 say that I'm

00:17:42.340 really just

00:17:42.960 Rudy Giuliani

00:17:43.900 or I'm

00:17:44.560 really just

00:17:45.120 some other

00:17:45.720 troll on the

00:17:46.360 internet and

00:17:47.500 that I'm

00:17:48.440 just like

00:17:48.900 them.

00:17:49.140 I saw this

00:17:49.640 approach this

00:17:50.240 morning where

00:17:51.340 somebody pointed

00:17:52.200 to some

00:17:52.680 article that

00:17:53.340 had nothing

00:17:53.800 to do with

00:17:54.280 me, a

00:17:55.500 complete stranger

00:17:56.400 wrote an

00:17:56.900 article with

00:17:57.480 an opinion and

00:17:59.040 then somebody

00:17:59.620 tweets that

00:18:00.940 this guy is

00:18:02.140 just like me

00:18:02.920 and I look at

00:18:04.540 it and it's

00:18:04.680 like, well,

00:18:05.740 just like me

00:18:06.400 except we

00:18:07.300 don't share

00:18:07.780 any opinions

00:18:08.520 and I

00:18:10.500 get thrown

00:18:11.220 in with

00:18:11.660 a stranger

00:18:12.240 because they

00:18:13.700 can't attack

00:18:14.360 me directly

00:18:15.200 which is a

00:18:15.800 good place

00:18:16.180 to be, I

00:18:16.560 guess.

00:18:19.120 I asked

00:18:19.820 this question

00:18:20.480 on Twitter

00:18:21.380 and I think

00:18:22.320 it's a sort

00:18:22.920 of question

00:18:24.560 that people

00:18:25.260 will interpret

00:18:25.900 differently so I

00:18:26.860 don't know if

00:18:27.240 you can make

00:18:27.640 anything from

00:18:28.260 the answers but

00:18:29.340 I did a

00:18:29.680 little unscientific

00:18:31.140 Twitter poll and

00:18:32.940 I asked this

00:18:33.480 question.

00:18:34.700 If you

00:18:35.100 personally, and

00:18:36.620 personally is

00:18:37.220 important to

00:18:37.720 this, if you

00:18:38.580 personally have

00:18:39.360 no proof of

00:18:41.040 any election

00:18:41.660 fraud, and

00:18:42.440 wouldn't you

00:18:42.820 say that would

00:18:43.300 apply to most

00:18:43.900 of us, right?

00:18:45.280 There are

00:18:45.880 allegations and

00:18:47.700 there's evidence

00:18:48.740 but, meaning

00:18:51.520 there's people

00:18:52.280 making allegations,

00:18:53.340 that's the

00:18:53.720 evidence, but

00:18:54.560 that's not

00:18:54.920 proof.

00:18:56.360 That's well

00:18:57.460 short of proof.

00:18:59.120 So here's the

00:18:59.860 question.

00:19:00.280 If you

00:19:00.560 personally have

00:19:01.220 no proof of

00:19:02.880 election fraud,

00:19:04.360 which opinion

00:19:05.540 would be the

00:19:06.160 most reasonable

00:19:06.960 one to hold

00:19:07.740 in 2020, so

00:19:09.100 you have no

00:19:09.920 proof of

00:19:10.440 fraud, would

00:19:12.460 you believe

00:19:13.060 with no

00:19:13.720 proof, zero

00:19:15.160 proof, do

00:19:16.700 you believe that

00:19:17.320 the election was

00:19:18.080 probably fair or

00:19:20.360 probably rigged

00:19:21.640 with no

00:19:22.900 proof?

00:19:24.280 What do you

00:19:24.980 think the

00:19:25.680 responses were?

00:19:29.020 Well, last I

00:19:29.660 checked, 88%

00:19:30.800 said it was

00:19:31.400 probably rigged

00:19:32.460 and say that

00:19:34.160 even if there

00:19:36.200 was no proof.

00:19:38.960 Is it

00:19:39.600 reasonable to

00:19:41.260 have a belief

00:19:42.120 that something

00:19:42.980 was rigged

00:19:43.840 with no

00:19:45.360 proof?

00:19:47.320 Now, if there

00:19:47.960 was a little

00:19:48.360 bit of proof,

00:19:49.480 I think we'd

00:19:50.520 all agree it's

00:19:51.760 reasonable to

00:19:53.160 have an opinion.

00:19:53.860 You got a little

00:19:54.320 bit of proof.

00:19:55.520 Might not hold

00:19:56.480 up, but you got a

00:19:57.260 little bit of it.

00:19:57.900 But hypothetically,

00:19:59.940 if you had

00:20:00.840 none, would

00:20:03.300 you still believe

00:20:03.940 it was rigged

00:20:04.560 with no

00:20:05.800 proof?

00:20:08.000 I would.

00:20:10.640 And I would

00:20:11.500 argue that it

00:20:12.120 was completely

00:20:12.860 reasonable.

00:20:14.180 Why?

00:20:15.220 Because you

00:20:15.800 don't need proof

00:20:16.680 of the obvious.

00:20:18.340 Let me give you

00:20:19.140 some more

00:20:19.540 questions and

00:20:20.640 see if you can

00:20:21.300 answer the

00:20:21.920 following questions

00:20:22.840 with no

00:20:24.200 proof.

00:20:25.980 Is there

00:20:26.800 oxygen,

00:20:27.900 oxygen in

00:20:29.080 China? 0.73

00:20:31.520 Can you

00:20:32.100 prove it?

00:20:33.340 Show me a

00:20:33.920 study.

00:20:34.760 Show me a

00:20:35.500 study that

00:20:36.080 says that

00:20:37.360 there's oxygen

00:20:38.180 in China

00:20:38.940 today.

00:20:40.040 Oh, yeah,

00:20:40.440 you have

00:20:40.760 studies that

00:20:42.080 there used

00:20:42.560 to be oxygen

00:20:43.440 in China.

00:20:45.340 Y'all agree

00:20:45.900 with you on

00:20:46.340 that.

00:20:47.040 But show me

00:20:47.560 your study that

00:20:48.900 says there's

00:20:49.460 oxygen in

00:20:50.300 China today.

00:20:52.260 You don't

00:20:52.940 have any.

00:20:54.220 So you're

00:20:55.080 going to claim

00:20:55.480 there's oxygen

00:20:56.160 in China with

00:20:57.500 no proof.

00:20:59.180 Zero proof.

00:21:00.740 And yet,

00:21:01.600 and yet,

00:21:02.300 you're willing

00:21:02.720 to go out

00:21:03.140 there and

00:21:03.400 say,

00:21:04.040 oh, I

00:21:04.260 think there's

00:21:04.680 oxygen in

00:21:05.380 China with 0.93

00:21:06.200 no proof.

00:21:07.580 No proof.

00:21:09.460 There are

00:21:10.220 some things

00:21:10.960 which by

00:21:11.720 their nature

00:21:12.520 do not

00:21:13.900 require proof.

00:21:16.180 It's just

00:21:17.260 obvious.

00:21:17.720 and when

00:21:19.640 you have

00:21:20.020 a big

00:21:20.600 complicated

00:21:21.320 system that

00:21:22.660 has software

00:21:23.980 all over

00:21:24.800 it, and

00:21:26.320 you have

00:21:26.620 the greatest

00:21:27.140 incentive in

00:21:28.160 the world

00:21:28.680 for intelligence

00:21:30.240 agencies as

00:21:31.300 well as

00:21:31.820 partisans on

00:21:32.780 both sides,

00:21:33.820 at least the

00:21:34.360 evil elements

00:21:35.600 of them,

00:21:36.520 to attempt

00:21:38.560 mischief,

00:21:39.620 you are

00:21:40.420 going to get

00:21:40.960 it every

00:21:41.360 time.

00:21:42.600 It's like

00:21:43.320 oxygen in

00:21:44.120 China.

00:21:44.980 There's no

00:21:45.760 scenario in

00:21:46.640 which it

00:21:47.040 can't happen.

00:21:49.180 It's impossible

00:21:50.200 for it not

00:21:51.140 to be true

00:21:51.800 based on

00:21:52.820 everything else

00:21:53.480 you know

00:21:53.820 about the

00:21:54.220 world and

00:21:54.900 physics and

00:21:56.240 the fact that

00:21:57.100 air doesn't

00:21:57.740 stay in one

00:21:58.300 place.

00:21:59.760 It has to

00:22:00.580 be true.

00:22:01.760 So if you

00:22:02.460 ask me,

00:22:03.200 is there

00:22:03.740 massive fraud

00:22:04.880 in American

00:22:05.660 elections,

00:22:06.360 I would say,

00:22:07.360 how could

00:22:07.800 there not

00:22:08.260 be?

00:22:09.320 I mean,

00:22:09.680 really,

00:22:10.780 how could

00:22:11.220 there not

00:22:11.600 be?

00:22:12.600 But if

00:22:14.000 you're not

00:22:14.400 going to

00:22:14.580 be stupid, 0.97

00:22:16.180 you have

00:22:16.580 to take

00:22:16.960 it to the

00:22:17.300 next level,

00:22:18.960 which is

00:22:19.360 probably both

00:22:21.180 sides,

00:22:23.240 probably both

00:22:24.360 sides.

00:22:24.740 If you're not

00:22:25.200 willing to

00:22:25.600 say probably

00:22:26.860 both sides,

00:22:28.800 and in varying

00:22:29.820 degrees, it

00:22:30.740 doesn't mean

00:22:31.160 both sides

00:22:31.820 do the same

00:22:32.600 amount the

00:22:33.740 same way

00:22:34.400 every election

00:22:35.260 or anything

00:22:35.640 like that,

00:22:36.380 but if you

00:22:36.860 can't admit

00:22:37.560 that there

00:22:38.820 are probably

00:22:39.880 cheaters on

00:22:40.560 both sides,

00:22:42.060 you're not

00:22:42.600 really a

00:22:43.600 legitimate

00:22:44.080 person in

00:22:47.260 this conversation,

00:22:48.280 you're really

00:22:48.640 not legitimate.

00:22:49.960 Of course

00:22:50.940 it would be

00:22:51.520 both sides.

00:22:52.900 Might be

00:22:53.540 different amounts,

00:22:55.320 but it would

00:22:56.080 certainly be

00:22:56.560 both sides.

00:22:57.860 Now what we

00:22:58.380 don't know

00:22:58.900 is if the

00:22:59.520 cheating would

00:22:59.980 be sufficient

00:23:00.680 to change

00:23:01.900 a result.

00:23:03.780 I would say

00:23:04.420 that nobody

00:23:04.860 knows that,

00:23:06.520 but you

00:23:06.980 can't say

00:23:07.380 that the

00:23:08.620 election was

00:23:09.260 not at

00:23:09.660 least attempted

00:23:10.200 to be

00:23:10.540 rigged.

00:23:10.880 So the

00:23:13.520 legal challenges

00:23:14.420 are falling

00:23:15.260 like flies,

00:23:17.060 but let

00:23:19.200 me make

00:23:19.740 an observation

00:23:20.420 about the

00:23:21.040 legal challenges

00:23:21.840 which have

00:23:22.360 been thrown

00:23:22.800 in a court

00:23:23.380 for being

00:23:23.960 apparently

00:23:24.820 laughably

00:23:25.560 weak in

00:23:26.140 some cases.

00:23:28.480 Would you

00:23:28.960 say that

00:23:30.580 in, let's

00:23:31.340 say, the

00:23:31.740 financial market,

00:23:32.920 would you

00:23:33.320 say in the

00:23:33.740 financial market

00:23:34.440 that past

00:23:35.160 performance

00:23:35.880 can predict

00:23:37.520 future

00:23:38.060 performance?

00:23:38.640 performance?

00:23:40.020 Well, if

00:23:40.820 you believe

00:23:41.240 that, you're

00:23:41.800 going to be

00:23:42.180 poor because

00:23:43.740 it doesn't

00:23:44.700 work.

00:23:45.200 Everybody who

00:23:46.000 has ever

00:23:46.380 tried to

00:23:47.040 invest in

00:23:47.820 the stock

00:23:48.280 market and

00:23:49.440 said, well,

00:23:50.120 I'll just

00:23:50.540 look at what

00:23:51.100 happened in

00:23:51.600 the past and

00:23:52.860 assume that

00:23:53.360 keeps happening

00:23:54.000 with an

00:23:54.420 individual stock.

00:23:55.620 The one

00:23:56.160 assumption you

00:23:56.760 can make is

00:23:57.420 that the

00:23:58.060 general market

00:23:59.620 will go up

00:24:00.240 over time.

00:24:01.280 But for an

00:24:02.020 individual stock,

00:24:03.680 its history

00:24:04.500 doesn't tell you

00:24:06.040 anything.

00:24:07.100 It really

00:24:07.480 doesn't.

00:24:07.820 And as soon

00:24:09.200 as you think

00:24:09.660 that the

00:24:10.080 history of

00:24:10.600 that one

00:24:11.020 stock tells

00:24:11.680 you something,

00:24:12.520 you're on

00:24:13.060 your way to

00:24:13.460 losing all

00:24:13.900 your money

00:24:14.300 because it

00:24:15.040 just doesn't

00:24:15.820 predict.

00:24:17.680 And likewise,

00:24:19.500 no matter

00:24:20.940 how many

00:24:21.480 lawsuits get

00:24:22.380 thrown out

00:24:23.180 for being

00:24:24.100 laughably

00:24:24.860 weak, it

00:24:26.340 does not

00:24:26.980 predict how

00:24:28.740 strong the

00:24:29.340 next one

00:24:29.840 is.

00:24:31.000 You get

00:24:31.740 that, right?

00:24:33.660 I'd like to

00:24:34.620 think that

00:24:35.000 everybody watching

00:24:35.760 this Periscope

00:24:36.700 understands

00:24:37.780 that the

00:24:39.280 last lawsuit

00:24:41.320 does not

00:24:42.280 predict what

00:24:42.900 the next

00:24:43.280 one looks

00:24:43.680 like.

00:24:44.440 It doesn't

00:24:44.900 work that

00:24:45.320 way.

00:24:46.060 So all

00:24:46.360 the people

00:24:46.720 saying there

00:24:47.780 will be no

00:24:48.420 good lawsuit

00:24:49.660 coming because

00:24:51.160 other ones

00:24:52.060 have been

00:24:52.420 rejected,

00:24:53.620 there's no

00:24:54.320 logical thread

00:24:55.880 to that.

00:24:57.020 Now, of

00:24:57.340 course, you

00:24:57.620 could say it's

00:24:58.080 the same people

00:24:58.800 involved, but

00:24:59.900 even that's

00:25:00.380 not true because

00:25:01.560 the lawsuits are

00:25:02.360 coming from

00:25:02.980 individuals,

00:25:04.160 are coming

00:25:04.440 from probably

00:25:05.160 different members

00:25:06.660 of the legal

00:25:07.280 team, etc.

00:25:08.960 And I also

00:25:09.940 think that the

00:25:10.680 early lawsuits

00:25:11.840 were about

00:25:13.160 keeping the

00:25:13.780 argument alive.

00:25:15.460 I think the

00:25:16.060 early lawsuits

00:25:16.780 were just to

00:25:17.700 make sure that

00:25:19.420 the public

00:25:19.920 knew there

00:25:21.120 were big

00:25:21.500 questions.

00:25:23.040 Let the

00:25:23.540 public know

00:25:24.240 that the

00:25:24.840 questions were

00:25:25.540 not just one

00:25:26.360 thing but

00:25:27.340 might involve

00:25:28.200 a variety of

00:25:29.080 things and

00:25:30.200 that lots of

00:25:31.000 people are

00:25:31.580 involved questioning

00:25:32.700 it.

00:25:33.000 So if the

00:25:34.820 only thing the

00:25:35.460 legal team

00:25:36.120 did was

00:25:37.600 send the

00:25:38.300 public the

00:25:38.960 message,

00:25:39.880 hey, there's

00:25:41.000 not only

00:25:41.560 questions here,

00:25:42.580 but there are

00:25:42.980 so many

00:25:43.500 questions that

00:25:44.620 you could have

00:25:45.000 lots of

00:25:45.460 different lawsuits

00:25:46.200 because there

00:25:47.100 are so many

00:25:47.520 questions.

00:25:49.240 Even if they

00:25:50.140 lose them all

00:25:51.040 was a good

00:25:52.020 strategy to

00:25:54.400 flood the

00:25:55.080 zone with

00:25:55.800 weak lawsuits.

00:25:57.500 Well, I'm

00:25:58.200 no legal

00:25:58.680 expert, but

00:26:00.440 it might be

00:26:01.400 because remember

00:26:02.500 you're fighting

00:26:03.400 on two

00:26:03.820 fronts.

00:26:05.040 Trump is

00:26:05.500 fighting on

00:26:06.080 the public

00:26:06.720 opinion front

00:26:07.600 which could

00:26:08.300 affect, let's

00:26:09.120 say, the

00:26:09.780 legislatures and

00:26:10.960 whether there's

00:26:13.620 a credibility

00:26:14.220 for the

00:26:14.800 outcome in

00:26:15.520 general, and

00:26:16.860 then there's

00:26:17.220 the legal

00:26:17.600 cases.

00:26:18.480 So I would

00:26:18.780 say that

00:26:19.120 Trump was

00:26:19.720 winning the

00:26:20.680 public opinion

00:26:23.800 contest by

00:26:25.800 flooding the

00:26:26.960 zone with

00:26:27.580 weak, weak

00:26:29.500 lawsuits.

00:26:32.100 Because remember

00:26:32.920 I talked about

00:26:33.600 CNN not even

00:26:34.540 talking about

00:26:35.180 the fraud

00:26:35.620 accusations?

00:26:36.720 Because even

00:26:37.220 if you just

00:26:37.720 talk about

00:26:38.280 them, people

00:26:39.380 will think

00:26:39.760 they're real,

00:26:40.740 even if the

00:26:41.440 thing you're

00:26:41.760 talking about

00:26:42.240 is that they're

00:26:42.700 not real.

00:26:44.160 Likewise,

00:26:45.360 Trump using

00:26:46.180 the same

00:26:46.700 strategy,

00:26:47.400 the same

00:26:48.320 concept, by

00:26:50.520 flooding the

00:26:51.260 zone with

00:26:51.760 lots of

00:26:52.380 lawsuits, if

00:26:53.800 100% of

00:26:54.800 them get

00:26:55.200 thrown out

00:26:55.880 eventually, but

00:26:57.340 while you're

00:26:57.880 thinking about

00:26:58.480 it, there's

00:26:58.820 more in the

00:26:59.240 pipeline, as

00:27:01.540 long as

00:27:01.860 there's more

00:27:02.180 in the

00:27:02.400 pipeline, you're

00:27:03.100 going to say

00:27:03.340 to yourself,

00:27:04.420 well, there

00:27:06.000 must be

00:27:06.600 something to

00:27:07.660 it, because

00:27:08.920 there are so

00:27:09.400 many lawsuits.

00:27:11.020 How could

00:27:11.700 there be so

00:27:12.620 many lawsuits

00:27:13.400 if there's

00:27:14.200 nothing to

00:27:14.740 it?

00:27:15.480 So the

00:27:16.260 legal team

00:27:16.880 is 100%

00:27:17.920 winning the

00:27:18.780 public opinion

00:27:19.620 battle with

00:27:20.820 weak lawsuits,

00:27:22.740 because it

00:27:23.740 just makes

00:27:24.120 you think

00:27:24.460 something's

00:27:24.820 happening.

00:27:26.200 So everybody

00:27:27.100 who says

00:27:27.640 your lawsuit

00:27:28.760 record on

00:27:30.020 the initial

00:27:30.460 ones is

00:27:31.160 terrible, is

00:27:33.340 correct, but

00:27:34.760 that wasn't

00:27:35.400 really the

00:27:35.860 play, was

00:27:36.340 it?

00:27:37.120 I think the

00:27:37.660 play was more

00:27:38.280 about the

00:27:38.700 public opinion

00:27:39.440 and they're

00:27:41.760 winning, because

00:27:43.120 as you saw,

00:27:44.220 half of the

00:27:44.860 country thinks

00:27:45.620 the election

00:27:46.860 was thrown.

00:27:48.380 That's winning,

00:27:49.960 you know, in

00:27:50.440 terms of public

00:27:51.080 opinion.

00:27:53.140 I've got a

00:27:53.960 prediction about

00:27:54.660 the Venezuelan

00:27:55.720 whistleblower.

00:27:56.940 Are you ready

00:27:57.380 for this?

00:27:59.240 I think you're

00:28:00.160 going to laugh

00:28:00.560 at this, because

00:28:01.840 this will be one

00:28:03.060 of those cases

00:28:03.800 that I teach

00:28:04.960 that there are

00:28:06.100 six dimensions

00:28:06.760 of humor, and

00:28:08.940 if you get at

00:28:09.440 least two of

00:28:09.940 them into your

00:28:10.600 joke, it's

00:28:11.660 funny.

00:28:12.460 One of the

00:28:12.940 dimensions is

00:28:13.720 recognition,

00:28:14.760 meaning you

00:28:15.400 recognize it in

00:28:16.240 your own life.

00:28:17.520 So I'm going

00:28:18.500 for that element

00:28:19.320 of humor, and

00:28:21.280 then some

00:28:22.880 cleverness, and

00:28:24.440 it goes like

00:28:24.900 this.

00:28:27.020 If this

00:28:27.760 Venezuelan

00:28:28.560 whistleblower

00:28:29.260 is real, what

00:28:32.320 would be the

00:28:33.120 things you would

00:28:33.840 already be

00:28:34.520 seeing?

00:28:37.520 Would you be

00:28:38.360 seeing a

00:28:40.000 photograph of

00:28:42.000 the whistleblower?

00:28:43.780 Because I think

00:28:44.920 the whole point

00:28:45.500 of it is he's

00:28:46.200 willing to be

00:28:46.820 public, right?

00:28:48.280 I haven't seen a

00:28:49.260 picture of him,

00:28:49.980 and I'm

00:28:51.480 wondering why

00:28:52.020 not.

00:28:53.220 What about,

00:28:54.300 would you see

00:28:54.980 him appearing

00:28:55.720 on Hannity?

00:28:58.260 Would you see

00:28:59.200 the whistleblower

00:29:00.100 appearing on

00:29:00.860 Tucker Carlson's

00:29:01.920 show?

00:29:03.040 If he were

00:29:03.840 real?

00:29:06.400 Yeah.

00:29:08.040 Yeah.

00:29:09.220 By now?

00:29:10.400 Now, maybe you

00:29:11.040 wouldn't have

00:29:11.420 appeared by now,

00:29:12.620 but you would

00:29:13.140 at least be

00:29:14.820 hearing Hannity

00:29:16.220 or Tucker

00:29:16.900 or somebody

00:29:17.580 saying, we've

00:29:18.780 booked him,

00:29:19.280 he's going to

00:29:19.620 be on next

00:29:20.180 week.

00:29:21.400 Have you

00:29:21.720 heard that

00:29:22.040 yet?

00:29:24.740 Nope.

00:29:25.780 Haven't heard

00:29:26.380 that.

00:29:27.260 Here's what I

00:29:28.240 believe is

00:29:28.960 happening.

00:29:31.000 As I've said

00:29:31.820 before, if

00:29:32.940 you're an

00:29:34.220 attorney working

00:29:35.180 for a client,

00:29:36.340 you have a

00:29:37.040 responsibility to

00:29:38.080 the client to

00:29:39.940 make the best

00:29:40.600 case, even if

00:29:41.960 in your own

00:29:42.480 mind you're

00:29:43.040 thinking some

00:29:44.520 of it may not

00:29:45.240 hold up, you

00:29:45.940 still have a

00:29:46.380 responsibility to

00:29:47.300 your client.

00:29:47.720 So as

00:29:48.620 long as

00:29:49.100 this whistle

00:29:50.520 blower is

00:29:51.060 making the

00:29:51.700 claim, I

00:29:53.880 think Sidney

00:29:54.500 Powell is

00:29:55.400 within her

00:29:57.520 ethical and

00:29:58.860 appropriate

00:30:00.520 zone to

00:30:02.160 put it

00:30:02.460 forward, even

00:30:04.380 if she

00:30:05.160 doesn't

00:30:05.500 personally have

00:30:06.980 confidence in

00:30:07.840 it.

00:30:08.780 If she

00:30:09.520 doesn't have

00:30:09.980 reason to

00:30:10.540 debunk it,

00:30:12.060 well, it's

00:30:12.940 out there.

00:30:13.740 It's evidence.

00:30:14.180 And she

00:30:15.480 might also

00:30:16.060 think that

00:30:16.600 the software

00:30:17.140 has some

00:30:17.640 issues, which

00:30:19.240 are not

00:30:19.620 necessarily being

00:30:20.580 whistleblown by

00:30:21.360 this whistleblower,

00:30:23.200 but maybe it

00:30:24.340 gets you closer

00:30:25.040 to some kind

00:30:26.320 of a deeper

00:30:26.800 audit into the

00:30:27.720 code.

00:30:28.820 Maybe it just

00:30:29.860 moves you

00:30:30.340 forward, even

00:30:31.240 if this isn't

00:30:32.560 exactly accurate.

00:30:34.580 So here's what

00:30:35.520 I think is

00:30:36.100 happening.

00:30:36.600 Here's what I

00:30:37.040 think is the

00:30:37.520 funny part.

00:30:39.540 I'll bet he's

00:30:40.400 not returning

00:30:41.060 calls.

00:30:41.600 I'm just

00:30:45.520 going to

00:30:45.820 guess, but

00:30:47.000 I'll bet at

00:30:47.440 this point

00:30:48.000 Sidney Powell

00:30:49.440 and her team

00:30:50.380 are putting in

00:30:52.040 phone calls to

00:30:52.860 the whistleblower

00:30:53.480 and saying,

00:30:53.900 hey, maybe

00:30:54.980 could we talk

00:30:55.640 to you again,

00:30:56.400 get some

00:30:57.300 follow-up

00:30:57.900 questions,

00:30:59.160 we've got some

00:30:59.660 interview requests,

00:31:00.860 we'd like to see

00:31:01.440 if you'd do

00:31:01.900 them, and they

00:31:03.060 put in the

00:31:03.520 message, I'll

00:31:05.520 bet he's not

00:31:06.040 calling back.

00:31:07.740 Or they email

00:31:08.700 him and say,

00:31:09.260 hey, would you

00:31:09.720 do this?

00:31:10.340 And you get

00:31:11.180 sort of a

00:31:11.740 non-committal

00:31:12.520 answer back,

00:31:13.620 or I've

00:31:15.600 got to go

00:31:15.980 get some

00:31:16.480 work done,

00:31:17.320 I'm going

00:31:17.540 to do some

00:31:18.000 traveling.

00:31:19.260 Maybe when

00:31:19.860 I'm done

00:31:20.220 traveling, we

00:31:21.700 could talk

00:31:22.140 about these

00:31:22.660 interviews.

00:31:23.980 I'll bet

00:31:24.660 you, I'll

00:31:26.440 bet a large

00:31:27.360 amount of

00:31:27.820 money on

00:31:28.180 this, that

00:31:29.820 Sidney Powell

00:31:30.500 is getting

00:31:31.260 the stall

00:31:32.080 and the

00:31:33.220 runaround.

00:31:34.520 If that's

00:31:35.420 true, then

00:31:36.000 obviously he's

00:31:36.840 not a real

00:31:37.500 whistleblower.

00:31:39.000 Now, of

00:31:39.700 course, the

00:31:40.100 whistleblower

00:31:40.600 could, you

00:31:42.280 know, you

00:31:42.580 can't rule

00:31:43.000 this out,

00:31:44.040 maybe afraid

00:31:45.120 for his

00:31:45.560 safety or

00:31:46.260 something like

00:31:46.660 that, but I

00:31:47.680 doubt he

00:31:48.180 would have

00:31:48.460 come forward

00:31:49.060 in the first

00:31:49.640 place if he

00:31:51.560 were not

00:31:52.100 willing to

00:31:52.620 eventually be

00:31:53.440 public.

00:31:54.360 Why would

00:31:54.980 you do

00:31:55.220 that?

00:31:56.000 I mean, you

00:31:56.320 wouldn't come

00:31:57.100 forward if you

00:31:57.760 weren't willing

00:31:58.160 to be public

00:31:58.780 because they're

00:32:00.400 going to find

00:32:00.820 you, right?

00:32:01.220 So, I'm

00:32:08.660 looking at

00:32:09.200 angry, all

00:32:10.280 caps, yelling

00:32:11.200 guy on the

00:32:12.620 comments.

00:32:15.640 Yeah, and

00:32:16.680 maybe it

00:32:17.320 panics the 0.82

00:32:17.960 conspirators,

00:32:18.900 somebody says.

00:32:20.200 So, that's

00:32:21.300 my guess, is

00:32:22.060 that the

00:32:22.440 Venezuelan

00:32:23.140 whistleblower is

00:32:23.960 going to be,

00:32:24.900 quote, hard to

00:32:26.120 get a hold

00:32:26.580 of.

00:32:26.880 I think he's

00:32:28.520 going to be a

00:32:28.980 little hard to

00:32:29.560 get a hold

00:32:30.000 of.

00:32:30.920 Just saying.

00:32:32.440 And by the

00:32:33.060 way, if you

00:32:34.500 turn on TV,

00:32:35.760 let's say

00:32:36.080 tomorrow night,

00:32:36.960 and that

00:32:37.360 whistleblower is

00:32:38.360 a guest on

00:32:39.000 Hannity,

00:32:40.080 everything I

00:32:40.880 think is

00:32:41.980 wrong about

00:32:43.800 the whistleblower.

00:32:45.160 I don't think

00:32:46.200 you're going to

00:32:46.620 see the

00:32:46.960 whistleblower on

00:32:48.760 TV.

00:32:50.260 What do you

00:32:50.960 think?

00:32:51.500 Do you think

00:32:51.880 you'll ever

00:32:52.200 see him?

00:32:54.020 Because I

00:32:54.640 think he's a

00:32:55.160 disinformation

00:32:56.080 play.

00:32:56.880 All right.

00:32:58.220 Here are some

00:32:59.020 things that we've

00:32:59.740 learned recently

00:33:01.020 about the

00:33:01.420 coronavirus that

00:33:02.160 we didn't know

00:33:02.700 before.

00:33:05.120 There's a

00:33:06.020 thought now that

00:33:06.840 asymptomatic

00:33:07.760 carriers are

00:33:09.800 not carriers.

00:33:10.640 If you're

00:33:10.880 asymptomatic,

00:33:11.900 you're probably

00:33:12.280 not spreading

00:33:12.940 the disease.

00:33:14.180 And if you

00:33:14.600 are, it's so

00:33:15.500 rare that you

00:33:16.520 could almost

00:33:17.200 forget about

00:33:17.840 it.

00:33:18.580 So, we

00:33:19.360 don't worry

00:33:19.840 too much about

00:33:20.520 asymptomatic.

00:33:21.800 We know that

00:33:22.800 outdoors is

00:33:23.640 safer than

00:33:24.220 indoors.

00:33:25.180 We know

00:33:25.820 from studies

00:33:26.700 that opening

00:33:28.440 schools doesn't

00:33:29.580 seem to

00:33:30.040 spread it,

00:33:30.680 even though

00:33:31.140 some places

00:33:32.000 are closing

00:33:32.500 schools anyway.

00:33:33.980 We know

00:33:34.720 that wearing

00:33:36.500 gloves didn't

00:33:37.580 seem to make

00:33:38.120 a difference.

00:33:39.600 For example,

00:33:40.300 when I get

00:33:40.780 gas, the

00:33:42.960 first month of

00:33:44.880 the pandemic,

00:33:45.780 when I would

00:33:46.160 go to get

00:33:46.540 gas, I would

00:33:47.200 wear gloves.

00:33:49.600 But now I

00:33:50.440 don't.

00:33:51.040 And I don't

00:33:51.420 see anybody

00:33:51.880 wearing gloves.

00:33:52.920 So I don't

00:33:53.280 think anybody's

00:33:53.800 worried about

00:33:54.220 surfaces, especially

00:33:55.520 if they're

00:33:55.880 around doors.

00:33:57.400 So we're not

00:33:58.020 too worried

00:33:58.360 about surfaces.

00:34:01.280 But here's

00:34:02.060 the question.

00:34:02.720 What's the

00:34:03.040 data on

00:34:03.460 restaurant-related

00:34:04.460 virus transmission?

00:34:06.580 So we're

00:34:07.060 putting basically

00:34:08.480 every restaurant

00:34:10.000 and a business

00:34:10.700 in the United

00:34:11.420 States.

00:34:11.980 and I

00:34:16.060 don't think

00:34:16.480 we have

00:34:16.760 data to

00:34:18.360 back that

00:34:18.840 up, do

00:34:19.220 we?

00:34:20.480 Because all

00:34:21.240 the other

00:34:21.620 things that

00:34:22.060 we thought

00:34:22.380 were kind

00:34:22.800 of obvious

00:34:23.480 to do,

00:34:24.260 turned out

00:34:24.740 that the

00:34:25.800 obvious thing

00:34:26.580 didn't really

00:34:27.540 act the way

00:34:28.740 you thought

00:34:29.120 it would.

00:34:29.900 Because wouldn't

00:34:30.560 you think it

00:34:31.060 was sort of

00:34:31.520 obvious that

00:34:33.460 an asymptomatic

00:34:34.460 carrier could

00:34:35.300 maybe spread 0.80

00:34:35.960 it?

00:34:37.020 Because you

00:34:38.320 could have

00:34:38.780 it and the

00:34:39.280 symptoms could

00:34:39.880 be low,

00:34:40.440 but if you're

00:34:40.860 coughing, you're

00:34:41.540 coughing, I

00:34:42.080 suppose.

00:34:42.960 No, I guess

00:34:43.440 that would be

00:34:43.760 a symptom.

00:34:46.200 So I've got

00:34:47.460 a feeling that

00:34:48.080 restaurant-related

00:34:49.320 transmission,

00:34:51.020 you know, so

00:34:51.760 long as they're

00:34:52.480 spreading the

00:34:53.060 tables out and

00:34:53.900 doing their

00:34:54.540 basic stuff,

00:34:55.740 I'll bet there's

00:34:56.340 not much

00:34:56.700 transmission from

00:34:57.560 that.

00:34:57.880 And we're

00:34:58.140 going to put

00:34:58.380 the whole

00:34:58.640 business, the

00:34:59.880 whole industry

00:35:00.800 on a business.

00:35:05.200 I think

00:35:06.040 that's, there's

00:35:07.440 probably some

00:35:08.000 lawsuits that

00:35:09.460 have to be

00:35:10.000 filed over

00:35:10.480 that.

00:35:10.860 I don't know

00:35:11.600 if you can

00:35:12.400 sue the

00:35:12.880 government for

00:35:13.440 anything, but

00:35:14.800 I don't feel

00:35:16.560 the government

00:35:17.060 is doing

00:35:18.060 right by the

00:35:19.600 restaurant business.

00:35:21.140 Do you feel

00:35:21.560 the same?

00:35:23.840 Yeah, it

00:35:24.180 feels like

00:35:25.100 the restaurant

00:35:26.860 should get a

00:35:27.300 break.

00:35:28.420 I wanted to

00:35:29.200 share with you

00:35:29.840 one of the

00:35:30.440 best persuasive

00:35:31.880 tweets I've

00:35:32.660 seen in a long

00:35:33.400 time from

00:35:34.620 Mike Schellenberger,

00:35:36.200 and the topic

00:35:37.320 is nuclear

00:35:38.800 waste.

00:35:39.400 And I'm

00:35:40.460 going to

00:35:40.620 show you

00:35:40.920 the technique

00:35:41.760 in this

00:35:42.680 tweet.

00:35:43.880 Now, if

00:35:45.360 once you

00:35:46.160 notice that

00:35:46.660 the technique

00:35:47.120 is very

00:35:47.560 good, I

00:35:48.020 will tell

00:35:48.360 you that

00:35:48.820 Mike

00:35:49.980 Schellenberger

00:35:50.580 does continue

00:35:52.780 to build his

00:35:53.640 talent stack,

00:35:54.860 as it were.

00:35:55.280 So it

00:35:56.000 includes

00:35:56.500 environmental

00:35:57.500 stuff and

00:35:58.360 nuclear energy,

00:35:59.860 and I

00:36:00.700 know that

00:36:01.100 he has

00:36:01.480 intentionally

00:36:02.200 learned

00:36:02.960 persuasion.

00:36:04.920 I'm pretty

00:36:05.680 sure he's

00:36:06.060 read one

00:36:06.780 or more

00:36:07.060 of my

00:36:07.320 books.

00:36:08.380 So let's

00:36:09.080 see how

00:36:09.600 well he

00:36:10.000 has incorporated

00:36:10.760 persuasion

00:36:12.060 into this

00:36:12.880 tweet.

00:36:13.580 I'll read

00:36:14.140 you the

00:36:14.440 full tweet,

00:36:15.400 and I'll

00:36:15.720 go back and

00:36:16.240 tell you the

00:36:17.400 persuasion

00:36:18.280 parts.

00:36:19.020 Okay?

00:36:19.820 So here's

00:36:20.380 the tweet.

00:36:21.220 Nuclear

00:36:21.660 waste is the

00:36:22.580 best kind

00:36:23.140 of waste.

00:36:24.740 All of it

00:36:25.980 ever produced

00:36:27.060 can fit on

00:36:28.200 a single

00:36:28.780 football field.

00:36:30.460 It never

00:36:30.740 hurts anyone

00:36:32.380 and never

00:36:32.920 will.

00:36:33.860 It will be

00:36:34.500 recycled in

00:36:35.360 future reactors.

00:36:37.480 And then he

00:36:37.960 says, nice to

00:36:38.640 see stridently

00:36:39.440 anti-nuclear

00:36:40.280 Senator Reid

00:36:42.140 acknowledge that

00:36:43.320 it is safe

00:36:43.980 where it is.

00:36:45.180 And then he

00:36:45.620 includes, he

00:36:46.360 pastes a

00:36:47.460 quote from

00:36:48.040 Senator Reid,

00:36:49.520 and a

00:36:50.740 question was

00:36:51.280 asked of

00:36:51.720 Senator Reid,

00:36:52.360 based on

00:36:52.860 your experience

00:36:53.440 of Yucca

00:36:54.780 or Yucca

00:36:55.360 Mountain in

00:36:56.400 Nevada, what

00:36:57.340 do you see as

00:36:57.820 the future of

00:36:58.420 nuclear waste

00:36:59.360 disposal in

00:37:00.500 this country?

00:37:01.800 And Senator

00:37:02.360 Reid said, I

00:37:03.580 think that what

00:37:04.320 we've learned

00:37:04.820 over the

00:37:05.220 years is that

00:37:06.400 the best thing

00:37:07.040 to do with

00:37:07.580 nuclear waste

00:37:08.400 is to place

00:37:09.480 it where it

00:37:09.960 is.

00:37:10.840 Don't

00:37:11.180 transport it.

00:37:12.440 Put it in

00:37:12.940 dry cask

00:37:13.800 storage containers.

00:37:15.160 You can

00:37:15.460 bury it in

00:37:16.020 the ground

00:37:16.500 or leave it

00:37:17.480 above the

00:37:17.880 ground because

00:37:18.820 the dry

00:37:19.320 cask storage

00:37:20.580 containers that

00:37:21.320 we've

00:37:21.580 developed are

00:37:22.340 extremely safe.

00:37:25.460 So there's

00:37:27.460 a senator

00:37:28.220 acknowledging,

00:37:29.420 he's a

00:37:30.320 Democrat,

00:37:30.740 right?

00:37:31.220 Democrat

00:37:31.660 senator

00:37:32.140 acknowledging

00:37:32.700 that nuclear

00:37:33.360 waste basically

00:37:35.040 isn't a

00:37:35.540 problem.

00:37:36.940 Because it

00:37:37.880 used to be,

00:37:39.220 but now we've

00:37:40.020 learned, just

00:37:40.880 as we've

00:37:41.420 learned with

00:37:41.920 the coronavirus

00:37:42.460 by experience,

00:37:43.920 we've learned

00:37:44.460 that transporting

00:37:45.420 it kind of

00:37:47.160 doesn't make

00:37:47.580 sense.

00:37:47.980 because if

00:37:49.760 the nuclear

00:37:50.380 facility

00:37:50.940 itself

00:37:51.700 already has

00:37:53.580 a stay

00:37:55.280 away written

00:37:55.900 all over

00:37:56.360 it,

00:37:56.840 right?

00:37:57.560 Because you

00:37:58.120 would stay

00:37:58.520 away from,

00:37:59.160 you're not

00:37:59.400 going to

00:37:59.560 build a

00:37:59.820 house,

00:38:00.980 you don't

00:38:01.520 want to,

00:38:02.100 build a

00:38:02.600 house right

00:38:03.040 next to a

00:38:03.600 nuclear reactor,

00:38:05.100 so just keep

00:38:06.240 the waste

00:38:06.600 there.

00:38:07.580 It's the

00:38:08.060 same problem.

00:38:09.360 You don't

00:38:09.980 want to be

00:38:10.380 near it,

00:38:11.020 so just put

00:38:11.760 it in all

00:38:12.280 the places

00:38:12.680 that you

00:38:13.060 didn't want

00:38:13.360 to be near

00:38:13.740 anyway.

00:38:14.060 And on

00:38:15.040 top of

00:38:15.380 that,

00:38:15.700 they've

00:38:15.900 developed

00:38:16.320 these dry

00:38:17.220 storage

00:38:17.740 techniques,

00:38:19.000 which are

00:38:19.460 seen to be

00:38:20.520 quite safe.

00:38:21.220 But let me

00:38:21.500 tell you what

00:38:21.940 is good

00:38:22.740 about this

00:38:23.180 tweet.

00:38:23.540 Number one,

00:38:24.800 tweets that

00:38:25.460 have an

00:38:28.700 attachment or

00:38:29.560 a photo get

00:38:30.520 much more

00:38:31.020 engagement.

00:38:32.060 So this is

00:38:32.440 trick number

00:38:32.980 one, an

00:38:34.060 attachment or

00:38:34.900 a photo gets

00:38:35.680 more engagement.

00:38:36.740 So what he

00:38:37.180 did here was

00:38:37.840 he attached

00:38:38.440 the text from

00:38:40.760 Senator Reid as

00:38:41.780 a photo,

00:38:42.880 basically an

00:38:43.580 attachment,

00:38:44.060 Now, because

00:38:45.220 the attachment

00:38:45.920 looks different

00:38:46.580 from the

00:38:47.060 regular text,

00:38:48.380 even though

00:38:48.920 it's all

00:38:49.300 text, it

00:38:50.540 breaks it

00:38:51.080 up, and

00:38:52.240 I think that

00:38:52.860 counts toward

00:38:53.600 the same kind

00:38:54.820 of attention

00:38:55.320 getting as a

00:38:56.120 photograph would,

00:38:57.080 because it's

00:38:57.520 broken up, it's

00:38:58.240 not just

00:38:58.660 straight text.

00:39:00.680 So that's the

00:39:01.480 first thing.

00:39:02.160 Second thing is

00:39:02.860 that the topic

00:39:03.520 is sort of a

00:39:04.680 hot, current

00:39:05.480 one.

00:39:06.000 We're talking

00:39:06.400 about the

00:39:06.960 Green New

00:39:07.880 Deal, because

00:39:08.740 Biden's the

00:39:09.460 president, nuclear

00:39:10.600 waste is always

00:39:11.540 hot.

00:39:12.180 So he's got

00:39:12.620 the right topic,

00:39:13.540 that's naturally

00:39:14.680 viral, you

00:39:15.780 know, anything

00:39:16.420 about this

00:39:17.460 topic is going

00:39:18.200 to get people's

00:39:18.780 attention.

00:39:19.780 He's got the

00:39:21.400 right, you

00:39:22.740 know, visual

00:39:24.520 look, because

00:39:25.480 it's not just

00:39:26.060 text, and then

00:39:27.240 the size of the

00:39:28.160 tweet hits the

00:39:30.100 sweet spot as

00:39:31.020 well.

00:39:31.960 A brilliant

00:39:32.900 tweet that's

00:39:33.600 only one

00:39:34.220 sentence still

00:39:35.600 won't be that

00:39:36.300 viral, because

00:39:37.680 people will look

00:39:38.380 at it and say,

00:39:38.880 well, it's

00:39:39.100 brilliant, but it's

00:39:40.420 just one sentence.

00:39:41.220 So people are

00:39:42.440 less likely to

00:39:43.520 retweet one

00:39:45.040 good sentence.

00:39:46.100 But they will

00:39:46.860 retweet a good

00:39:47.860 argument, especially

00:39:49.460 if it's got like a

00:39:50.240 picture or something

00:39:50.900 with it.

00:39:51.780 So he's got all

00:39:52.880 of that working

00:39:53.440 for him before

00:39:54.260 he's even started

00:39:55.560 his tweet.

00:39:56.920 The first sentence,

00:39:59.140 he says, nuclear

00:40:00.000 waste is the best

00:40:01.080 kind of waste.

00:40:02.800 Now, I've taught

00:40:03.740 you that the first

00:40:04.540 sentence is the

00:40:05.300 important one, because

00:40:06.740 it's the one that

00:40:07.360 makes you curious

00:40:08.200 or not.

00:40:09.820 Does this make

00:40:10.520 you curious to

00:40:11.320 read the rest of

00:40:11.920 the tweet?

00:40:12.960 Nuclear waste is

00:40:14.020 the best kind of

00:40:14.760 waste?

00:40:15.980 Yeah.

00:40:17.080 Yeah.

00:40:17.560 You have to read

00:40:18.480 the next sentence,

00:40:19.640 because who is

00:40:20.600 telling you that

00:40:21.240 nuclear waste is

00:40:22.220 the best kind of

00:40:22.940 waste?

00:40:23.700 It's like opposite

00:40:24.720 of what you

00:40:25.200 thought.

00:40:26.280 Can he make that

00:40:27.200 case?

00:40:28.300 Do you think

00:40:28.680 anybody can make

00:40:29.400 a case that

00:40:30.060 nuclear waste is

00:40:31.080 the best kind of

00:40:32.140 waste?

00:40:33.240 And then he does.

00:40:35.280 Then he makes

00:40:36.080 the case.

00:40:36.480 So it's surprising,

00:40:38.660 provocative, shocking,

00:40:40.400 invokes curiosity.

00:40:42.740 In the first

00:40:43.720 sentence, in the

00:40:45.780 first sentence, he

00:40:46.680 got all that in

00:40:47.360 there.

00:40:48.640 And then he goes,

00:40:49.960 all of it ever

00:40:51.060 produced can fit in

00:40:52.240 a single football

00:40:53.100 field.

00:40:54.600 What have I told

00:40:55.440 you about visual

00:40:56.680 persuasion?

00:40:58.300 It would be one

00:40:59.220 thing to say, all

00:41:01.380 of that waste is

00:41:02.420 safely stored.

00:41:05.000 Just a concept.

00:41:06.480 But if I say to

00:41:07.880 you, all of the

00:41:09.200 waste ever produced

00:41:10.500 could be put on a

00:41:11.500 football field, now

00:41:13.640 you've imagined the

00:41:14.600 entire size of the

00:41:15.640 planet Earth, and

00:41:17.340 then you've imagined

00:41:18.140 what one football

00:41:19.240 field would look like

00:41:20.300 on the entire

00:41:20.940 planet Earth, and

00:41:23.400 now it doesn't

00:41:24.700 seem so scary,

00:41:25.560 does it?

00:41:26.320 So it's visual in

00:41:27.740 the second sentence,

00:41:28.860 which is A plus

00:41:29.840 persuasion.

00:41:30.920 Keep it visual.

00:41:32.380 Then he says, it

00:41:33.620 never hurts anyone,

00:41:35.540 and never will.

00:41:37.160 Now that's a

00:41:37.740 provocative claim.

00:41:39.660 How do you know it

00:41:40.540 never will?

00:41:42.060 Well, he can't know

00:41:42.960 that, of course.

00:41:44.180 But by making it so

00:41:46.040 extreme, you can't

00:41:47.960 look away.

00:41:49.360 And that's good

00:41:50.000 persuasion.

00:41:51.120 He went a little

00:41:52.100 too far by making

00:41:54.200 it an absolute.

00:41:55.800 In this context, the

00:41:57.580 absolute works because

00:41:59.480 it's wrong.

00:42:00.940 And a little bit of

00:42:02.480 wrongness will tie

00:42:04.340 you to a point in

00:42:05.420 the way that being

00:42:06.120 all right won't.

00:42:08.680 Here's what it

00:42:09.460 should have said if

00:42:11.240 you wanted to be

00:42:12.220 accurate, as

00:42:14.160 opposed to

00:42:14.700 persuasive.

00:42:15.980 Accurate, instead

00:42:16.740 of saying it never

00:42:17.640 hurts anyone and

00:42:18.640 never will, a more

00:42:20.180 accurate statement

00:42:21.080 that I think you

00:42:21.720 would find more

00:42:22.300 fair would be, it

00:42:23.700 has never hurt

00:42:24.560 anyone, and it is

00:42:26.520 extraordinarily

00:42:27.320 unlikely that it

00:42:28.900 never will.

00:42:30.580 Now, that would be

00:42:31.400 fair to say.

00:42:33.180 You could disagree

00:42:34.120 or agree, but it

00:42:34.920 sounds like a fair

00:42:35.520 statement.

00:42:36.220 But to say never

00:42:37.740 will?

00:42:39.080 Well, you can't

00:42:39.800 really say something

00:42:40.480 never will, right?

00:42:42.400 Somebody could fall

00:42:43.300 out of a helicopter

00:42:44.180 and land on a, I

00:42:45.540 don't know.

00:42:45.840 But there must be

00:42:46.820 some way to hurt

00:42:48.760 at least one person

00:42:49.860 in the future of

00:42:50.900 the entire civilization.

00:42:53.180 But turning it into

00:42:54.560 an absolute, which

00:42:55.860 your brain recognizes

00:42:57.100 as wrong,

00:42:58.900 still binds you to

00:43:01.220 it, and you say

00:43:01.820 to yourself, but

00:43:02.560 how wrong is it?

00:43:03.940 Now you've got to

00:43:04.760 deal with it, right?

00:43:06.320 It's wrong.

00:43:07.440 I'm sure it's wrong

00:43:08.360 that you could say

00:43:10.420 with certainty,

00:43:11.380 nobody could ever

00:43:12.400 get hurt, but how

00:43:14.180 wrong is it?

00:43:15.760 Is it 100% wrong?

00:43:17.420 Is it completely

00:43:18.100 wrong?

00:43:18.600 Is it left field?

00:43:20.040 Is it in the wrong

00:43:20.680 zip code?

00:43:21.840 No, it's not.

00:43:23.460 It's pretty close to

00:43:24.480 reality.

00:43:25.540 And that's the point.

00:43:26.780 If he can make you

00:43:27.940 argue that you can't

00:43:29.760 know that it could

00:43:30.460 never hurt anybody,

00:43:32.000 he's probably already

00:43:33.420 getting you to the

00:43:34.240 point where you're

00:43:35.400 willing to accept

00:43:36.220 it's very low risk.

00:43:38.600 It's very clever

00:43:39.800 persuasion.

00:43:41.440 And that he says

00:43:42.600 it will be recycled

00:43:43.640 in future reactors.

00:43:44.940 And that is sort of

00:43:46.780 like the drop the mic

00:43:48.360 moment of this tweet.

00:43:50.660 Because you and I

00:43:52.000 probably knew that

00:43:53.620 nuclear waste can be

00:43:55.040 used in the newer

00:43:55.940 types of reactors for

00:43:57.560 their fuel.

00:43:58.860 That's a newer

00:43:59.940 emerging industry, but

00:44:01.540 it seems quite obvious

00:44:02.800 that that will be the

00:44:03.760 future.

00:44:05.320 For people who didn't

00:44:06.820 know that, that's like

00:44:09.260 a big, big piece of

00:44:10.940 information that they

00:44:12.600 just learned.

00:44:13.900 Imagine if you didn't

00:44:14.920 know that, and it's the

00:44:15.680 first time you'd read

00:44:16.440 this sentence, it will

00:44:17.780 be recycled in future

00:44:19.180 reactors.

00:44:21.000 What?

00:44:22.200 If you didn't know

00:44:23.180 that was a thing, that

00:44:24.660 would be pretty

00:44:25.500 impactful, I think.

00:44:26.940 And you might even

00:44:27.660 look, you might even

00:44:28.620 have to research it to

00:44:30.220 find out if that's

00:44:30.940 real, and it is.

00:44:32.380 It is real.

00:44:34.900 So anyway, that is a

00:44:36.520 whole lot of things to

00:44:37.840 get right.

00:44:38.300 And then he shows the

00:44:40.080 Senator Reid thing so

00:44:42.100 that you can get, you

00:44:44.180 can feel that people on

00:44:45.300 both sides of the

00:44:46.340 politics agree with

00:44:47.960 him.

00:44:48.740 It's a social proof.

00:44:50.840 So, I mean, look at

00:44:51.500 all the things.

00:44:52.000 He's got curiosity, he's

00:44:53.880 got a little bit

00:44:54.640 intentionally wrong, he's

00:44:56.500 got visual persuasion,

00:44:58.240 it's the right size, it's

00:45:00.380 provocative, social proof.

00:45:04.440 He got all of that into

00:45:07.880 a tweet.

00:45:09.840 When I saw this thing, my

00:45:11.360 jaw just dropped.

00:45:12.340 I was like, God, this is

00:45:14.520 some good work here.

00:45:16.160 All right.

00:45:18.180 I wonder if the pandemic

00:45:19.920 ruining all of our leisure

00:45:21.620 activities is going to

00:45:24.340 give us some insight about

00:45:27.040 how valuable those things

00:45:28.660 were in the first place.

00:45:30.500 For example, prior to the

00:45:32.840 pandemic, one of my

00:45:34.000 favorite things in the

00:45:35.020 entire world was going

00:45:36.380 to a restaurant and

00:45:38.160 having somebody bring me

00:45:39.380 food and, you know,

00:45:40.400 have a good time.

00:45:41.780 But now after six months

00:45:44.260 of really not enjoying

00:45:46.260 that, I have gone to

00:45:47.360 restaurants, but, you

00:45:48.400 know, it's a masky

00:45:49.560 situation, it's a

00:45:50.500 different situation.

00:45:51.960 I asked myself, if I

00:45:54.600 never could go to a

00:45:55.760 restaurant again, and

00:45:57.480 let's say restaurants

00:45:58.600 just stopped existing,

00:46:01.320 would I be less happy?

00:46:04.000 And I don't know.

00:46:05.080 I don't know if I would.

00:46:06.260 So there are a lot of

00:46:07.880 assumptions you made

00:46:10.340 about your life that the

00:46:12.060 pandemic destroyed, where

00:46:14.440 you have to go back and

00:46:16.080 reassess your own

00:46:17.060 assumptions.

00:46:18.020 Like, do I really need

00:46:19.360 this to be happy?

00:46:20.780 Let me tell you another

00:46:21.800 assumption.

00:46:22.840 I've never had less human

00:46:25.240 contact at any time in my

00:46:27.860 life.

00:46:28.200 I'm at my maximum

00:46:29.920 smallest amount of human

00:46:32.160 contact.

00:46:34.140 And it's fine.

00:46:36.340 It's not that bad.

00:46:37.940 So there are a whole

00:46:38.640 bunch of things that I

00:46:39.660 wouldn't have imagined

00:46:40.380 could be true that I'm

00:46:41.680 learning.

00:46:42.920 All right.

00:46:44.860 One of the benefits of

00:46:46.140 the pandemic is that

00:46:47.160 movies will stream sooner.

00:46:49.260 So you don't have to wait

00:46:50.580 for them to get out of the

00:46:51.680 theater and get to your

00:46:53.720 TV.

00:46:54.880 And I guess there's

00:46:57.240 some deals now about

00:46:58.360 movie streaming where

00:46:59.380 it will only be three

00:47:00.180 weeks of exclusivity in

00:47:02.120 the theater.

00:47:03.480 So the movies are only

00:47:04.580 going to be in the

00:47:05.000 theater for three weeks

00:47:06.020 before you get them on

00:47:07.020 streaming.

00:47:12.500 Here's a, somebody

00:47:14.380 challenged one of my

00:47:16.440 assertions.

00:47:17.520 And the challenge is

00:47:18.700 good enough that I would

00:47:19.800 like to bring it to you

00:47:20.660 and see what you say.

00:47:21.700 I've said that the

00:47:22.700 election is obviously

00:47:24.060 illegitimate because

00:47:27.020 I couldn't believe that

00:47:28.700 Biden would get so many

00:47:29.780 more votes than Obama

00:47:30.820 got in 2008.

00:47:32.200 But the counter to that

00:47:33.920 argument is there are

00:47:35.640 25 million extra

00:47:37.260 voters since

00:47:39.240 then.

00:47:40.500 If there are 25

00:47:41.740 million extra voters,

00:47:43.600 would you now accept

00:47:45.600 that Biden got as many

00:47:47.900 votes as he did?

00:47:49.360 25 million.

00:47:50.760 Well, let's say young

00:47:51.960 people probably skew

00:47:53.740 Democrat.

00:47:55.200 So let's say another

00:47:55.820 25 million, maybe 15

00:47:58.180 million would be at

00:48:01.060 least leaning Democrat.

00:48:04.040 How many of young

00:48:05.780 people vote?

00:48:07.320 They're potential voters,

00:48:08.640 but are they voters?

00:48:11.280 I don't know.

00:48:12.040 I'm a little unclear if

00:48:13.140 those are people who did

00:48:14.260 vote or if they're just

00:48:15.620 potential voters, of

00:48:17.160 which only half of them

00:48:18.120 would kind of vote.

00:48:22.560 But here's the problem.

00:48:25.940 Are there enough people

00:48:27.400 in the country who are

00:48:29.120 voters to give Joe

00:48:31.380 Biden that number of

00:48:32.540 votes?

00:48:32.780 And the answer is yes.

00:48:34.200 There are enough people.

00:48:36.520 There are definitely

00:48:37.380 enough people.

00:48:38.320 And there are enough of

00:48:39.200 those people who could

00:48:40.080 potentially vote Democrat

00:48:41.300 to give him the number

00:48:42.980 that is reported right now.

00:48:44.860 Here's the part that

00:48:45.680 doesn't square.

00:48:47.180 I cannot square the

00:48:49.860 complete lack of

00:48:51.580 enthusiasm with the

00:48:54.060 vote count.

00:48:55.460 If you could get that

00:48:56.920 much of a vote count

00:48:58.000 just by hating Trump,

00:49:00.680 maybe.

00:49:02.520 I'm not going to say

00:49:03.680 that's impossible,

00:49:05.680 but it doesn't

00:49:08.340 pass my sniff test.

00:49:10.280 So I'm going to stick

00:49:12.900 with, is it

00:49:14.100 mathematically possible

00:49:15.480 that a great

00:49:18.000 candidate could get

00:49:19.620 as many votes as

00:49:20.620 Joe Biden?

00:49:21.340 No.

00:49:22.160 I mean, yes, it's

00:49:22.980 possible.

00:49:23.760 It's completely

00:49:24.480 possible that a great

00:49:25.740 candidate could get

00:49:27.040 as many votes as

00:49:27.940 Joe Biden does.

00:49:28.980 But is it possible

00:49:30.000 that he did, like a

00:49:32.280 terrible candidate,

00:49:33.700 with no enthusiasm

00:49:34.780 that is observable

00:49:36.580 whatsoever for the

00:49:37.560 entire campaign?

00:49:38.460 No enthusiasm.

00:49:41.300 And yet it showed up

00:49:42.340 on election day?

00:49:43.860 It is possible.

00:49:46.160 It's just, when you

00:49:47.580 say, is there anything

00:49:48.480 that would suggest

00:49:49.340 there's fraud?

00:49:50.480 Well, that's at least

00:49:53.080 where I'd be sniffing.

00:49:55.140 But, again, it's not

00:49:56.520 proof.

00:49:57.340 All right.

00:49:58.800 So it looks like

00:49:59.820 Regeneron works and is

00:50:01.780 getting approved for

00:50:02.640 emergency use, whereas

00:50:04.300 remdesivir doesn't work.

00:50:05.900 So that's our current

00:50:07.040 information.

00:50:08.740 Remdesivir doesn't

00:50:10.380 work.

00:50:11.360 And what about

00:50:11.840 hydroxychloroquine?

00:50:13.500 It's like masks.

00:50:15.640 You know, every week

00:50:17.200 there's a new study

00:50:18.440 that says hydroxychloroquine

00:50:20.020 doesn't work, followed

00:50:21.820 by one that says it

00:50:22.940 totally works.

00:50:24.380 Then it doesn't work.

00:50:25.560 It totally works.

00:50:26.540 Just like masks.

00:50:28.180 Believe the experts

00:50:29.220 who are telling you

00:50:31.160 conflicting things.

00:50:32.240 And I'll say this

00:50:34.900 again.

00:50:35.240 I don't remember if I

00:50:35.940 said this yesterday.

00:50:37.340 But is China still

00:50:38.720 reporting that the

00:50:39.960 coronavirus is basically

00:50:41.380 solved in China?

00:50:43.240 That's true, right?

00:50:44.420 Give me a fact check on

00:50:45.400 that.

00:50:46.080 China still says they've

00:50:47.280 eradicated it for all

00:50:48.800 practical purposes,

00:50:49.840 right?

00:50:50.720 Is that possible?

00:50:52.600 I mean, really?

00:50:54.460 Really?

00:50:55.480 Is that possible?

00:50:57.140 Now, there are two

00:50:58.380 possibilities that I

00:50:59.460 can see.

00:51:00.780 Number one, maybe

00:51:02.520 three possibilities.

00:51:04.080 Number one, China is 0.96

00:51:05.860 just lying and they

00:51:07.940 haven't controlled it

00:51:08.900 at all.

00:51:10.120 Now, if that were the

00:51:11.040 case, wouldn't we

00:51:12.700 know that by now?

00:51:14.400 If, you know, millions

00:51:15.840 of people were dying in

00:51:17.020 China and there was,

00:51:18.780 you know, wild,

00:51:19.760 rampant virus there,

00:51:22.220 we would know that,

00:51:23.240 right?

00:51:23.480 Even if they claimed it

00:51:24.800 wasn't happening, we

00:51:26.460 have enough observable

00:51:28.760 people around, we

00:51:30.320 would know that.

00:51:31.660 So I think the thing

00:51:32.820 we can rule out is

00:51:34.860 that they have a

00:51:35.680 massive pandemic over

00:51:37.020 there that they're

00:51:38.140 hiding.

00:51:39.140 I don't think they're

00:51:40.160 hiding it.

00:51:41.540 Now, the other

00:51:42.240 possibility is that

00:51:43.140 they found some way

00:51:44.420 to treat it that

00:51:46.660 they're not sharing

00:51:48.260 with us or they have

00:51:49.980 shared and we're not

00:51:50.920 doing it right.

00:51:52.220 Do you believe that

00:51:53.360 their better adherence

00:51:54.600 to masks is the

00:51:56.820 difference?

00:51:57.980 No, nobody believes

00:51:59.000 that.

00:51:59.340 Even people who are 0.99

00:52:00.220 pro-mask don't

00:52:01.900 believe that the

00:52:02.680 difference between

00:52:03.500 China and the 0.91

00:52:04.140 United States is

00:52:05.480 masks.

00:52:06.980 Nor does anybody

00:52:08.040 believe that it's

00:52:08.900 social distancing,

00:52:10.020 I believe, right?

00:52:11.540 Because while those

00:52:12.260 things, a lot of

00:52:13.400 experts say work and

00:52:14.760 are important, and

00:52:15.920 obviously social

00:52:16.840 distancing has to

00:52:17.820 work, I don't think

00:52:19.880 that's enough because

00:52:21.880 you can see in our

00:52:22.820 own experience that

00:52:23.720 even when we do it

00:52:24.680 well, it doesn't

00:52:26.000 really stop the

00:52:27.300 pandemic.

00:52:28.840 So, how about

00:52:30.700 medicines?

00:52:32.920 Don't you think by

00:52:33.800 now that there's

00:52:34.660 enough sharing of

00:52:36.000 information that if

00:52:37.780 the people in China

00:52:38.680 were getting some

00:52:39.420 kind of secret

00:52:40.080 medicine, what do

00:52:42.000 we know about that?

00:52:43.560 You know,

00:52:44.000 hypothetically, if

00:52:45.100 they were all getting

00:52:45.840 hydroxychloroquine and

00:52:47.560 it turns out that it

00:52:48.500 really did work, and

00:52:49.960 that's the big

00:52:50.580 difference?

00:52:53.580 I'm not actually

00:52:54.580 high.

00:52:54.920 there's always

00:52:56.120 somebody who asks

00:52:56.740 me if I'm high at

00:52:57.620 eight in the

00:52:58.040 morning.

00:52:59.400 Not so much.

00:53:00.780 No.

00:53:01.200 This is actually my

00:53:02.260 actual personality.

00:53:04.280 Shocking, I know.

00:53:06.940 So, the other

00:53:07.680 possibility is that

00:53:08.480 they have some

00:53:09.620 medicine or

00:53:10.700 therapeutic or

00:53:11.700 cure that we

00:53:13.060 don't have.

00:53:14.200 But how would we

00:53:15.020 not know that by

00:53:15.960 now?

00:53:16.420 Because it would

00:53:16.840 have to be somewhat

00:53:17.660 massively produced

00:53:20.140 and massively

00:53:21.060 distributed.

00:53:22.540 We'd know that,

00:53:23.460 right?

00:53:24.460 I mean, there's

00:53:25.080 some things we

00:53:25.680 can't know about

00:53:26.340 China, but you'd

00:53:27.780 know if there was a

00:53:28.600 massive pandemic, and

00:53:30.360 you would know if

00:53:31.220 they were using some

00:53:32.080 massive kind of

00:53:33.100 different vaccine or

00:53:34.660 therapeutic.

00:53:35.720 So, can we

00:53:36.820 eliminate those 1.00

00:53:37.760 things as

00:53:38.960 possibilities?

00:53:40.680 Probably.

00:53:41.960 There is another

00:53:42.940 possibility, which is

00:53:44.680 the worst case

00:53:45.720 scenario, which is

00:53:47.500 that they always

00:53:49.060 knew there was a

00:53:49.940 genetic, let's

00:53:52.120 say, advantage.

00:53:53.520 That maybe they

00:53:54.260 just don't get it

00:53:56.440 as badly, or

00:53:57.680 maybe the 5% who

00:53:59.740 were susceptible

00:54:00.860 already got it.

00:54:02.860 Could there be that

00:54:04.160 much of a genetic

00:54:05.240 difference?

00:54:06.640 And could that be

00:54:07.420 part of the reason?

00:54:08.460 Now, that, of

00:54:09.040 course, would

00:54:09.820 suggest that maybe

00:54:10.960 it was a

00:54:11.480 weaponized virus,

00:54:13.140 which is a

00:54:13.920 separate question.

00:54:15.520 But, we have a

00:54:17.640 mystery here.

00:54:19.360 Would you, the

00:54:20.140 only thing I want

00:54:20.920 you to agree on is,

00:54:22.500 would you agree that

00:54:23.460 we don't know why

00:54:24.720 they're having a

00:54:25.820 good result?

00:54:26.900 Can you fact check

00:54:27.780 me on this?

00:54:28.740 Is there anybody

00:54:29.320 here, is there

00:54:31.980 anybody here who

00:54:32.760 believes that we

00:54:33.980 understand in the

00:54:35.240 United States why

00:54:37.620 China's experience is

00:54:39.060 what it is?

00:54:41.100 Is there anybody

00:54:41.940 who thinks we

00:54:42.520 understand it?

00:54:43.240 Because if we

00:54:45.220 don't understand

00:54:46.000 it, we should

00:54:47.800 break relations

00:54:48.740 with China.

00:54:50.140 Just send every

00:54:51.140 one of their

00:54:51.560 fucking diplomats

00:54:52.540 home, and say,

00:54:53.680 look, we will

00:54:55.100 continue having

00:54:56.040 relationships with

00:54:57.240 you, you know,

00:54:57.840 meaning diplomatic

00:54:58.520 relations, after you

00:55:00.240 tell us what you

00:55:00.980 did.

00:55:02.080 Because whatever

00:55:02.820 you're doing,

00:55:04.380 seems to be

00:55:05.860 working, and

00:55:07.340 you're not telling

00:55:08.080 us what it is.

00:55:09.040 and given that

00:55:11.480 the virus came

00:55:12.800 from you, and

00:55:14.860 you seem to have

00:55:15.620 gotten over it, and

00:55:16.520 we haven't, and

00:55:17.320 you're not telling

00:55:18.020 us how, I feel

00:55:20.400 like we're at war.

00:55:22.420 And at the very

00:55:23.340 least, we're going

00:55:24.380 to send your

00:55:24.880 fucking diplomats

00:55:25.920 home until you

00:55:27.280 tell us something

00:55:27.960 that sounds even a

00:55:29.340 little bit like it

00:55:31.160 could be true.

00:55:32.980 Just a little bit

00:55:34.140 like it could be

00:55:34.880 true.

00:55:35.700 Send the fucking

00:55:36.720 diplomats home.

00:55:37.700 China has some

00:55:39.700 explaining.

00:55:40.720 Now, could it be

00:55:41.440 that they have a

00:55:42.400 perfectly good

00:55:43.380 explanation, and

00:55:44.920 once we heard it,

00:55:45.900 we would say, oh,

00:55:46.700 okay, I guess you're

00:55:47.920 doing a good job

00:55:48.580 over there.

00:55:48.960 We should be more

00:55:50.020 like that.

00:55:51.100 Yeah, could be.

00:55:52.700 You can't rule out

00:55:53.540 the possibility that

00:55:54.460 it's just something

00:55:54.980 we don't know, and

00:55:56.060 once you found

00:55:57.120 out, you'd be

00:55:59.860 satisfied.

00:56:03.880 So, I think we

00:56:05.960 need to get a

00:56:06.520 little tougher on

00:56:07.520 China about that.

00:56:08.640 Now, in a

00:56:09.420 related story, there's

00:56:11.620 a startup, which

00:56:12.620 I'll talk about

00:56:13.220 later, but not

00:56:14.580 ready to do it

00:56:15.220 yet.

00:56:15.420 There's a startup

00:56:16.040 that will test

00:56:16.900 your DNA to see

00:56:19.200 if you have a

00:56:20.200 high propensity

00:56:21.760 to have a bad

00:56:22.800 experience with

00:56:24.340 COVID.

00:56:25.080 I actually tested

00:56:26.680 my DNA, which I

00:56:28.560 can download from

00:56:29.460 23andMe, because

00:56:30.660 I'd used 23andMe

00:56:31.980 once.

00:56:33.000 And once you've

00:56:33.640 used it, you can

00:56:34.400 download your DNA,

00:56:35.700 because it's your

00:56:37.000 DNA, so you

00:56:37.800 can own it.

00:56:39.180 And then I

00:56:39.700 sent it off to

00:56:40.440 the startup, and

00:56:41.420 I'll tell you about

00:56:42.240 the startup in a

00:56:44.040 separate periscope.

00:56:45.540 And they tested it,

00:56:46.840 and they said that

00:56:47.840 I'm somewhere in the

00:56:49.440 average range.

00:56:50.840 So, in other words,

00:56:51.480 I'm not in the

00:56:53.060 population, which

00:56:54.880 by my DNA, I

00:56:56.380 would have an

00:56:57.260 unusually bad

00:56:58.320 situation, but

00:57:00.060 neither am I in

00:57:01.440 some category where

00:57:02.940 I'm unusually

00:57:04.080 exempt from it.

00:57:06.040 So I'm sort of in

00:57:06.960 the average range

00:57:09.220 there, I think.

00:57:12.280 So, if it's

00:57:13.680 true that this

00:57:14.620 startup can tell

00:57:16.020 by your DNA, if

00:57:17.580 you are likely to

00:57:18.540 have a bad

00:57:19.040 experience with it,

00:57:20.280 is it possible

00:57:21.140 that China made 0.98

00:57:23.980 a virus that

00:57:26.840 they were not

00:57:27.540 expecting to

00:57:28.400 release, perhaps,

00:57:29.520 to see if they

00:57:31.580 could make a

00:57:32.060 virus that would

00:57:32.720 affect non-Chinese

00:57:34.080 people?

00:57:35.580 You know, I'd

00:57:36.700 love to think

00:57:37.400 that that's not

00:57:39.080 a thing, and no

00:57:39.980 country would ever

00:57:40.900 work on something

00:57:41.680 like that.

00:57:43.240 But, in terms of

00:57:45.640 military stuff,

00:57:48.380 I've got a feeling

00:57:49.160 that the military

00:57:49.860 works on all

00:57:50.660 kinds of stuff,

00:57:52.080 both ours and

00:57:53.040 other countries,

00:57:54.100 that if you heard

00:57:55.080 about it, you

00:57:55.520 would be horrified.

00:57:57.140 But maybe it's

00:57:57.820 just because they

00:57:58.500 need to know how

00:57:59.080 this stuff works

00:57:59.800 in case the

00:58:00.360 enemy uses it.

00:58:03.900 All right, so

00:58:04.320 that's all I got

00:58:05.580 for now.

00:58:06.080 I'm not accusing

00:58:06.740 China of anything 0.72

00:58:08.200 except not being

00:58:09.540 forthcoming, and

00:58:11.260 that's enough to

00:58:12.120 send their

00:58:12.480 diplomats home,

00:58:13.440 in my opinion.

00:58:14.460 That's all for

00:58:15.100 now, and I'll

00:58:16.140 talk to you

00:58:16.700 later.

00:58:19.820 All right, you

00:58:20.700 YouTubers,

00:58:21.760 Periscope is

00:58:22.580 offline.

00:58:23.320 people are still

00:58:29.140 blaming Fauci for

00:58:30.400 sending the virus

00:58:31.860 to Wuhan.

00:58:32.820 I don't buy any

00:58:33.620 of the Fauci is in

00:58:34.860 on it stories.

00:58:36.920 the longer it

00:58:43.520 goes on, the

00:58:44.240 longer you

00:58:44.680 believe China 0.87

00:58:45.420 had something

00:58:45.860 to do with

00:58:46.380 it, somebody

00:58:46.800 says.

00:58:48.560 China needs 0.75

00:58:49.280 to pay.

00:58:52.860 What about

00:58:53.440 the Canadian

00:58:54.020 researcher getting

00:58:54.900 arrested?

00:58:55.420 I don't know

00:58:55.740 about that.

00:58:57.120 Should the

00:58:57.500 vaccine be

00:58:58.260 compulsory?

00:58:59.220 No, no, it

00:59:00.200 should not be

00:59:00.780 compulsory.

00:59:01.700 I don't think

00:59:02.200 it'll need to

00:59:02.680 be.

00:59:02.840 Can we

00:59:05.340 make merchandise

00:59:06.040 for you?

00:59:06.620 I'd rather you

00:59:07.180 did not, but

00:59:08.680 thank you.

00:59:12.480 Reparations?

00:59:13.240 Oh, reparations

00:59:14.120 for the virus?

00:59:16.100 Yeah, I don't

00:59:16.760 see China paying

00:59:18.080 us any reparations.

00:59:19.380 That doesn't

00:59:19.760 seem like that

00:59:20.600 is ever going

00:59:21.060 to happen.

00:59:23.860 Aren't you

00:59:24.520 using analogies

00:59:25.620 to describe the

00:59:26.580 chances of

00:59:27.140 fraud?

00:59:27.500 Yes, and that

00:59:28.300 is the correct

00:59:29.160 way to use

00:59:29.980 an analogy.

00:59:31.520 I will

00:59:31.920 explain this

00:59:32.560 for the

00:59:32.960 billionth

00:59:33.560 time.

00:59:34.980 Analogies

00:59:35.460 are not

00:59:35.960 persuasive

00:59:36.840 as arguments.

00:59:38.640 They are

00:59:38.980 very useful

00:59:39.720 for describing

00:59:40.720 a concept

00:59:41.360 for the

00:59:42.120 first time.

00:59:43.260 But it

00:59:43.660 is not

00:59:44.020 true that

00:59:44.600 if something

00:59:45.080 reminds you

00:59:45.900 of something

00:59:46.360 else, that

00:59:47.660 something else

00:59:48.360 is going to

00:59:48.800 act the same

00:59:49.580 in the future

00:59:50.160 as the thing

00:59:51.220 that reminded

00:59:51.760 you of it.

00:59:52.300 So it's not

00:59:52.780 a persuasion,

00:59:53.780 it's just

00:59:54.500 describing something

00:59:55.540 for the first

00:59:56.120 time.

00:59:56.480 It's useful

00:59:56.880 for that.

00:59:58.280 All right.

00:59:58.580 you redefined

01:00:04.480 the slaughter

01:00:05.040 meter.

01:00:05.660 Yes.

01:00:06.800 So I

01:00:08.000 know there's

01:00:08.460 going to be

01:00:08.780 an entire

01:00:09.420 cottage industry

01:00:10.880 of people who

01:00:11.840 want to tell

01:00:12.460 me, Scott,

01:00:13.700 you're wrong

01:00:14.740 and you can't

01:00:15.680 admit it and

01:00:16.720 you move the

01:00:17.760 goalposts.

01:00:19.120 But here's

01:00:20.700 the situation.

01:00:22.240 I have

01:00:23.000 already

01:00:23.540 congratulated

01:00:24.560 Biden for

01:00:25.220 winning.

01:00:26.700 I'm done.

01:00:28.800 If Biden

01:00:29.700 is put in

01:00:30.380 office, I'm

01:00:31.860 the guy who

01:00:32.380 congratulated him

01:00:33.460 the day the

01:00:34.040 networks called

01:00:34.820 it for him.

01:00:35.680 That's it.

01:00:36.500 But it is also

01:00:37.440 true that Trump

01:00:38.340 has these legal

01:00:39.160 challenges and

01:00:39.900 he's allowed to

01:00:40.580 do them and

01:00:41.060 we can talk

01:00:41.560 about them.

01:00:42.480 But I can

01:00:43.260 still congratulate

01:00:44.020 him for winning

01:00:45.140 in a surface

01:00:48.040 way and I

01:00:49.480 would expect

01:00:50.360 the same would

01:00:51.020 be true if

01:00:51.620 it had gone

01:00:52.020 the other

01:00:52.320 way.

01:00:54.560 So, and

01:00:56.720 because I've

01:00:57.380 already accepted

01:00:58.180 that Biden

01:00:59.260 is likely to

01:01:00.400 take the

01:01:00.800 office, then

01:01:03.380 I have also

01:01:03.900 modified what

01:01:04.740 it means to

01:01:05.360 talk about the

01:01:05.940 slaughter meter.

01:01:07.220 But I'm doing

01:01:07.840 it in front of

01:01:09.300 you.

01:01:10.120 I'm not trying

01:01:10.760 to be tricky.

01:01:12.620 I already

01:01:13.220 said I

01:01:14.480 predicted Trump

01:01:15.400 would win on

01:01:15.940 votes.

01:01:16.880 Didn't happen.

01:01:17.740 There may be an

01:01:18.320 explanation.

01:01:19.100 We may never

01:01:19.660 know.

01:01:20.740 But, you

01:01:22.840 know, it is

01:01:23.260 what it is.

01:01:24.120 All right.

01:01:24.560 All right.

01:01:25.600 So here's

01:01:26.340 what he says

01:01:26.760 backpedal time.

01:01:28.380 All right.

01:01:28.640 So I'm going

01:01:29.200 to block you,

01:01:30.500 Sammy, because

01:01:32.380 the whole point

01:01:33.360 is that I've

01:01:35.200 said what I'm

01:01:35.820 doing and when

01:01:37.000 I adjust my

01:01:38.540 prediction, I

01:01:39.800 acknowledge that

01:01:40.720 I'm adjusting it

01:01:41.620 because it doesn't

01:01:42.360 work anymore.

01:01:43.640 So I'm

01:01:44.440 accepting that

01:01:47.400 my, you know,

01:01:48.620 that it didn't

01:01:49.440 happen.

01:01:50.100 Right.

01:01:50.300 So I am

01:01:51.640 allowed to

01:01:52.540 re, to

01:01:53.980 re-predict.

01:01:56.180 Re-predicting

01:01:57.140 and saying that

01:01:58.380 your old

01:01:58.720 prediction didn't

01:01:59.440 work is not

01:02:00.580 moving the

01:02:01.280 goal line because

01:02:02.480 you're doing it

01:02:03.120 explicitly.

01:02:03.940 Right.

01:02:04.880 You can change

01:02:05.780 your prediction.

01:02:06.280 So I'm

01:02:08.160 going to, I'm

01:02:08.980 going to delete

01:02:09.740 you.

01:02:14.160 Hide user on

01:02:15.440 this channel.

01:02:16.180 Okay.

01:02:16.460 You're hidden.

01:02:19.680 No, you can't,

01:02:20.800 Scott.

01:02:22.880 All right.

01:02:23.680 That's all for now

01:02:24.580 and I'll talk to

01:02:25.380 you.

01:02:27.600 Silence leads to

01:02:28.680 violence, Dave

01:02:30.040 says, and thank

01:02:31.020 you.

01:02:31.200 I appreciate

01:02:32.940 that.

01:02:34.720 Bye for now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 22, 2020

Episode 1195 Scott Adams： I Tell You Who is Being Most Gullible, Show You Some Nuclear Persuasion, and Predict

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