ManoWhisper
Home
Shows
About
Search
Real Coffee with Scott Adams
- November 22, 2020
Episode 1195 Scott Adams: I Tell You Who is Being Most Gullible, Show You Some Nuclear Persuasion, and Predict
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 2 minutes
Words per Minute
141.00769
Word Count
8,826
Sentence Count
521
Misogynist Sentences
1
Hate Speech Sentences
13
Summary
Summaries are generated with
gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ
.
Transcript
Transcript is generated with
Whisper
(
turbo
).
Misogyny classification is done with
MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny
.
Hate speech classification is done with
facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target
.
00:00:00.000
Oh, hey! I didn't see you there. You snuck in here without me even noticing.
00:00:13.400
Good morning. Good morning.
00:00:16.460
It's time for Coffee with Scott Adams, the best time of the day.
00:00:20.960
Every single time, and all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or gels,
00:00:25.820
a cyanide, a canteen, a jug, a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:30.760
Fill it with your favorite liquid I like, coffee.
00:00:34.460
Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine at the end of the day,
00:00:39.580
the thing that makes everything better. You know it does.
00:00:43.680
It's called The Simultaneous Sip, and it happens now. Go.
00:00:46.180
Well, I feel as if even remdesivir works now.
00:01:00.020
It's because of the coffee.
00:01:01.880
If you add coffee to any therapeutic or vaccine, it's more effective.
00:01:09.200
A lot of people don't know that, but that's why I'm here, to educate you.
00:01:12.580
Speaking of educating you, I'm experimenting with a new form of education.
00:01:19.840
Have you ever noticed that if you take a class in anything, it's really boring?
00:01:26.880
Have you noticed that?
00:01:28.120
Have you noticed that education, just in general, boring as hell?
00:01:35.080
Does it need to be?
00:01:36.900
Probably not. Probably not.
00:01:39.680
Sometimes it's just because we say that a class has to be 45 minutes,
00:01:45.900
and then you just make it 45 minutes.
00:01:49.220
Why does every class have to be 45 minutes, or an hour, or whatever?
00:01:54.360
Don't you think that there are some types of content
00:01:57.020
that you should hit in 10 minutes and then let it rest for a day?
00:02:01.540
We have this structure set up that's completely wrong for learning.
00:02:05.860
So, I'm doing a little experiment over on the Locals platform,
00:02:11.240
where I have content for subscribers only.
00:02:15.080
And what I'm doing is I'm putting what I call micro-lessons there.
00:02:19.180
And a micro-lesson would be maybe a two- to three-minute lesson
00:02:22.680
on some really focused and immediately useful life skill.
00:02:29.760
And the idea here is if you've watched other YouTube videos on any topic,
00:02:38.520
let me give you my impression of looking up a YouTube video
00:02:45.480
that will explain how to do something that I want to do.
00:02:48.580
And let's say the thing is I want to learn how to, let's say, repaint my house.
00:02:55.400
And I'll go to the video on how to paint your house.
00:03:00.440
And I'll click it and I'll say, great, this is exactly what I need.
00:03:04.200
I want to paint my house.
00:03:05.620
I don't know how.
00:03:07.000
This video is going to tell me.
00:03:08.880
And then the guy will come in and he'll say,
00:03:10.820
so I've been doing videos for six months,
00:03:15.780
and some people said some things I should change.
00:03:19.940
And I'd be like, how about painting the house?
00:03:22.620
Can we get to the part where you tell me how to paint the frickin' house?
00:03:27.080
And it'll be five, ten minutes later before he starts talking.
00:03:31.260
And then he talks way too slowly, like I'm doing right now.
00:03:37.120
Because your patience and your attention span has been shrinking every year,
00:03:42.700
especially lately.
00:03:44.260
Because your smartphones and social media are just shrinking your attention span like crazy.
00:03:48.820
So if you can't get education down to tiny little nuggets,
00:03:54.700
it's probably more than you want to handle.
00:03:58.220
Because your life's pretty complicated and fast moving.
00:04:01.800
So if I can't put it into a little nugget for you, it's probably not going to work.
00:04:06.540
So here's some of the classes, micro classes.
00:04:09.820
So these are like two, three minute classes on locals.
00:04:13.500
So you've got locals.com if you wanted to be there.
00:04:16.020
I taught how to talk like a hypnotist.
00:04:20.640
Success strategies.
00:04:22.140
I went through some basic life success strategies.
00:04:24.940
Using imagination to fuel your success.
00:04:28.280
Programming yourself for bad habits.
00:04:29.960
For good habits, not bad habits.
00:04:32.200
How to ask for what you want.
00:04:35.160
These are basic life skills.
00:04:37.700
Do you know how many people
00:04:39.060
don't know how to simply ask for what they want?
00:04:43.460
Just really basic life skills.
00:04:47.140
Knowing when to trust experts and when not to.
00:04:50.300
Pretty useful.
00:04:51.980
And I'm working on one I haven't done yet.
00:04:54.700
And I had to know you have a good product or service.
00:04:58.360
So anyway, that's there.
00:04:59.820
The Rasmussen report says that 61% of people,
00:05:04.660
actually likely voters,
00:05:06.340
61% of likely voters think Trump should concede.
00:05:10.860
61%.
00:05:11.420
61%.
00:05:13.420
At the same time,
00:05:16.240
47%, nearly half,
00:05:19.700
say it's likely that Democrats stole the votes
00:05:22.340
or destroyed pro-Trump ballots in several states
00:05:25.500
to ensure his victory.
00:05:28.460
So think about the enormity of these two numbers.
00:05:32.740
61% of voters, likely voters,
00:05:36.380
think Trump should concede,
00:05:38.860
but half of voters think the election was stolen.
00:05:45.220
That means that there's a whole bunch of people
00:05:47.820
in this country who have the following thoughts.
00:05:52.160
The election was stolen.
00:05:54.560
Let's just go with it.
00:05:56.460
Let's just go with it.
00:05:57.560
And now, if you said to yourself,
00:06:02.160
would this work if the situation had been reversed?
00:06:08.040
Would you find that the Democrats,
00:06:12.060
if they believed,
00:06:13.220
let's say 50% of the country believed,
00:06:15.660
that Trump had won,
00:06:17.700
but it was a rigged election,
00:06:19.300
do you think the Democrats would say,
00:06:22.260
ah, darn it,
00:06:24.320
darn it,
00:06:25.520
I sure wish we hadn't had a rigged election,
00:06:28.420
but all right,
00:06:29.180
we'll just figure it out on the next election.
00:06:32.640
Do you think they would have just said that?
00:06:34.840
Because the Republicans kind of are.
00:06:39.440
That's kind of what they're saying.
00:06:41.460
They're kind of saying,
00:06:42.640
ah, we think it was stolen,
00:06:44.340
we're going to live with it anyway.
00:06:48.020
What would be behind that?
00:06:50.720
I have an opinion.
00:06:52.920
I would say it's a preliminary opinion.
00:06:54.880
I'll just put it out there
00:06:55.740
and you can decide if you like it.
00:06:58.560
I think conservatives slash Republicans
00:07:01.820
have this general philosophical sense
00:07:06.480
that if there was something that went wrong
00:07:09.160
that they could have fixed,
00:07:11.300
it's a little bit on them.
00:07:13.000
A little bit of a,
00:07:15.680
let's say a bias
00:07:16.780
for accepting responsibility
00:07:19.060
even if it wasn't your job,
00:07:21.420
if you could have done something about it.
00:07:24.420
Do you think there's something
00:07:25.720
that you personally
00:07:27.000
could have done more or better,
00:07:30.720
collectively, let's say,
00:07:32.080
you personally,
00:07:33.280
but also collectively,
00:07:34.900
to have gotten to a better place
00:07:37.260
in this election
00:07:38.320
where it was either more certain
00:07:39.920
or your candidate won?
00:07:41.740
And probably there are a lot of Republicans
00:07:45.480
and conservatives
00:07:46.360
who are saying some version of this.
00:07:49.460
You know,
00:07:50.560
maybe if I'd made more noise
00:07:54.600
about having a fair election
00:07:56.520
or I'd fought harder
00:07:58.800
to get rid of mail-in votes
00:08:00.720
or I'd complained differently
00:08:03.260
or I'd volunteered to be a watcher,
00:08:06.160
maybe there's something I could have done
00:08:07.880
so we wouldn't be in this situation.
00:08:11.920
I see one person agreeing with me.
00:08:14.280
I don't know if I'll get more.
00:08:15.720
But I do believe that Republicans
00:08:17.380
are biased.
00:08:20.620
And again,
00:08:21.300
anything I say about Republicans
00:08:22.960
or Democrats
00:08:23.680
never means every one of them.
00:08:27.040
Right?
00:08:27.500
So you're all smart enough
00:08:28.820
to know when I make generalities,
00:08:30.620
it doesn't mean every person.
00:08:31.840
It just means there's a tendency
00:08:33.640
or, you know,
00:08:34.640
a bias.
00:08:36.160
I think Republicans say,
00:08:37.800
well,
00:08:38.180
we had our shot.
00:08:40.120
It's our own damn fault.
00:08:42.500
We'll try to figure it out next time.
00:08:45.220
I don't know
00:08:46.140
if that's widespread,
00:08:47.820
but I feel that at least
00:08:48.740
some people feel that way.
00:08:50.580
Because I feel that way
00:08:52.060
a little bit myself.
00:08:53.100
I feel that
00:08:55.640
if I let the process run,
00:09:00.740
meaning that the legal process
00:09:02.820
does what the legal process does,
00:09:05.160
and then we get to the end of it
00:09:07.040
and the challenges
00:09:07.780
are somewhat extinguished,
00:09:10.360
even if I'm certain
00:09:13.200
that the election was stolen,
00:09:16.040
I'm actually going to be
00:09:17.300
completely okay with it.
00:09:18.940
Completely okay.
00:09:20.640
Like, 100% okay.
00:09:22.200
That doesn't mean
00:09:23.860
I don't still think
00:09:25.140
maybe the election was stolen.
00:09:27.860
But if the process goes forward
00:09:31.360
and the consensus of the country
00:09:34.200
is it's just time to move on,
00:09:36.480
you know,
00:09:37.360
you can't fix the past,
00:09:39.780
you can't fix history,
00:09:41.360
you can't have everything
00:09:42.460
the way you want it.
00:09:44.060
But you can maybe improve.
00:09:46.700
You can maybe fix it
00:09:48.140
for the next time
00:09:48.920
if you still have that option.
00:09:52.200
I hope we do.
00:09:53.800
So I've got a feeling
00:09:55.040
that there's a lot of,
00:09:56.860
what's the word,
00:09:58.940
capitulation,
00:10:00.520
as they say
00:10:01.480
in the financial markets.
00:10:03.220
There's a lot of
00:10:04.360
capitulation going.
00:10:06.000
People who believe
00:10:07.080
that the election was rigged
00:10:08.880
and are still,
00:10:10.260
still willing to say,
00:10:12.860
well,
00:10:14.060
all right,
00:10:14.760
we'll get them next time.
00:10:15.640
That's what it feels like.
00:10:18.180
That's the way it feels like
00:10:19.460
it's shaping up.
00:10:22.400
Interestingly,
00:10:23.280
when I look at the CNN homepage,
00:10:25.180
I see no stories
00:10:27.580
about alleged election fraud,
00:10:31.080
except stories saying
00:10:33.220
it didn't happen
00:10:33.960
and Trump is crazy
00:10:35.240
and any of his followers
00:10:37.360
who think any of that stuff happened,
00:10:39.880
they're crazy too.
00:10:40.720
And I thought to myself,
00:10:44.400
can you think of
00:10:45.160
other situations
00:10:46.360
where the accusation itself
00:10:49.220
wasn't enough
00:10:50.200
to make news?
00:10:52.580
And I'm curious
00:10:54.780
if you can think
00:10:56.600
of any other example
00:10:57.840
of that.
00:10:59.000
Because it seems to me
00:11:00.340
that the accusation
00:11:01.680
is pretty much
00:11:03.260
80% of the news,
00:11:04.560
isn't it?
00:11:05.820
Isn't 80% of all news
00:11:07.940
somebody is accusing
00:11:09.660
somebody of something
00:11:10.580
that typically ends up
00:11:12.760
not being true?
00:11:14.640
More often than not,
00:11:15.860
it's not true.
00:11:17.380
So,
00:11:17.920
why is this the one time
00:11:19.780
that an accusation
00:11:22.060
is not news?
00:11:24.300
Well,
00:11:24.640
the answer is this,
00:11:26.060
that news is also persuasion
00:11:28.200
and the left
00:11:30.040
does not want you
00:11:31.060
to think
00:11:31.520
that the irregularities
00:11:34.420
alleged and real
00:11:35.740
made a difference.
00:11:38.920
And if they even
00:11:39.960
reported the allegations,
00:11:41.940
there would be
00:11:42.460
so many of them,
00:11:43.420
I guess there are
00:11:43.960
220 sworn affidavits
00:11:46.700
or something like that.
00:11:47.840
Even if you'd say
00:11:48.780
half of them
00:11:49.440
are complete BS,
00:11:51.140
if they just talked
00:11:52.560
about all the allegations,
00:11:54.500
you would come away
00:11:55.420
thinking that the election
00:11:56.960
was rigged.
00:11:58.980
So,
00:12:00.060
your brain,
00:12:01.020
not you personally,
00:12:02.420
but brains in general,
00:12:04.420
they work on
00:12:05.520
how often you see something,
00:12:08.920
whether your attention
00:12:10.040
is brought to it,
00:12:11.160
far more than
00:12:12.240
your logic
00:12:12.980
and your reason.
00:12:14.340
Those things are
00:12:15.080
largely illusions anyway.
00:12:16.660
You don't have a lot
00:12:17.320
of logic and reason,
00:12:18.540
but you think you do.
00:12:19.920
What you really have
00:12:21.100
is things you spend
00:12:22.980
time thinking about.
00:12:25.220
And if CNN
00:12:25.940
made you think
00:12:26.920
about allegations
00:12:28.000
of fraud,
00:12:29.360
even if their reporting
00:12:30.560
said none of these
00:12:31.460
are true,
00:12:31.880
your brain
00:12:33.340
would still record
00:12:34.400
there was a lot
00:12:35.800
of fraud.
00:12:37.960
So,
00:12:38.620
they have this
00:12:39.020
weird situation
00:12:39.920
where even if
00:12:41.340
they reported
00:12:42.060
all the allegations
00:12:43.200
and said
00:12:44.080
every one of them
00:12:44.860
is false,
00:12:46.420
you'd still come away
00:12:48.100
thinking there was
00:12:48.760
a lot of fraud.
00:12:49.880
So,
00:12:50.380
they can't even
00:12:50.980
cover the story
00:12:52.120
without influencing
00:12:54.180
you to think
00:12:55.100
there was
00:12:55.580
the opposite
00:12:56.380
of how they
00:12:57.000
covered the story.
00:12:57.740
So,
00:12:58.600
it's kind of
00:12:58.960
a tough spot
00:13:01.600
they're in.
00:13:04.660
Have you noticed
00:13:05.620
that the social
00:13:06.560
media platforms
00:13:07.620
have gotten
00:13:08.260
a total pass
00:13:09.400
on election
00:13:10.880
interference?
00:13:12.460
Before the election,
00:13:13.660
we were talking
00:13:14.520
about them a lot.
00:13:16.060
What we were
00:13:16.700
talking less about
00:13:17.940
was outright fraud.
00:13:20.700
But once the election
00:13:21.760
happens,
00:13:23.540
and you've got
00:13:24.200
something real
00:13:24.940
to talk about,
00:13:25.740
not hypothetical,
00:13:26.580
and there are
00:13:28.340
lots of reports
00:13:29.180
of fraud.
00:13:30.060
We'll find out
00:13:30.780
how many of them
00:13:31.400
are real.
00:13:32.740
But it seems
00:13:33.780
that fraud
00:13:34.740
is the shiny object
00:13:36.140
and that
00:13:37.840
if you were to,
00:13:39.940
perhaps if you were
00:13:40.920
to somehow,
00:13:42.000
and I imagine
00:13:43.000
it's impossible
00:13:43.740
to do this,
00:13:44.840
but if you could
00:13:45.460
measure how many
00:13:46.840
votes were
00:13:48.140
determined by fraud,
00:13:50.720
and let's say
00:13:51.320
you think that
00:13:51.940
there were a bunch
00:13:52.760
and might even
00:13:54.240
be millions.
00:13:55.680
Let's say
00:13:56.260
worst-case scenario,
00:13:57.480
I'll just pick
00:13:57.960
a number,
00:13:58.760
worst-case scenario,
00:13:59.920
you're very skeptical
00:14:00.920
of the election,
00:14:02.260
and you think,
00:14:03.020
God, I think that
00:14:03.780
election may have
00:14:04.580
moved fraudulently,
00:14:07.500
I don't know,
00:14:08.460
five, six million
00:14:09.720
votes,
00:14:11.120
something like that.
00:14:12.340
That'd be a lot.
00:14:14.280
That'd be a lot
00:14:15.860
of fraud.
00:14:17.080
How many votes
00:14:17.820
do you think
00:14:18.240
social media moved?
00:14:20.300
If you were to
00:14:21.360
imagine,
00:14:22.500
I'll even up that
00:14:23.540
a little bit.
00:14:23.940
I'll take it
00:14:24.640
to 10 million.
00:14:26.020
Let's take it
00:14:26.860
to 10 million,
00:14:28.280
the worst-case scenario
00:14:29.940
of the worst
00:14:31.320
accusation
00:14:32.200
of how many
00:14:33.420
fraudulent votes
00:14:34.400
there were.
00:14:35.480
I doubt there
00:14:36.160
were 10 million,
00:14:36.920
but let's just use
00:14:37.600
this as our
00:14:38.240
thought experiment
00:14:39.540
here.
00:14:40.740
How many votes
00:14:41.660
do you think
00:14:42.220
social media moved
00:14:43.440
by being
00:14:44.920
biased toward a
00:14:47.600
side?
00:14:48.620
Well, I would
00:14:49.560
think a lot more
00:14:50.300
than 10 million.
00:14:51.040
I don't know
00:14:52.720
how you would
00:14:53.120
measure such a
00:14:53.880
thing.
00:14:55.140
It's largely
00:14:56.000
impossible to
00:14:56.840
measure because
00:14:57.420
there's so many
00:14:58.000
variables.
00:14:59.140
I don't think
00:14:59.580
you could tease
00:15:00.360
out how much
00:15:01.120
was the social
00:15:01.780
media impact.
00:15:03.420
Maybe you could.
00:15:04.120
I can't imagine
00:15:05.100
it's doable.
00:15:06.780
But I feel
00:15:08.840
as if social
00:15:09.640
media is hiding
00:15:11.480
behind the
00:15:13.420
alleged direct
00:15:15.120
fraud accusations
00:15:16.800
because they're
00:15:17.980
just more
00:15:18.460
interesting at the
00:15:19.380
moment and
00:15:20.500
social media is
00:15:21.300
like, don't
00:15:21.880
look over
00:15:22.340
here.
00:15:23.480
Nothing
00:15:23.840
happened here.
00:15:25.000
No direct
00:15:25.660
evidence, right?
00:15:27.160
So I think
00:15:29.340
that was an
00:15:29.860
interesting
00:15:30.280
outcome.
00:15:34.140
I've noticed
00:15:35.140
that as
00:15:37.320
more and
00:15:38.060
more, let's
00:15:39.180
say, Trump
00:15:39.680
supporters start
00:15:41.440
to move
00:15:42.060
toward conceding
00:15:44.740
or suggesting
00:15:46.020
that the
00:15:46.460
president should
00:15:47.220
concede, that
00:15:48.680
the number
00:15:49.140
of his
00:15:50.320
remaining
00:15:51.120
supporters
00:15:51.940
shrinks.
00:15:54.180
And then
00:15:54.860
instead of
00:15:55.500
being lots
00:15:56.500
of targets,
00:15:57.980
there are
00:15:58.520
fewer and
00:15:59.260
fewer targets.
00:16:01.640
Now, my
00:16:02.340
message is
00:16:03.260
not like I
00:16:03.980
believe.
00:16:05.040
Can you
00:16:05.900
fact check
00:16:06.500
me on this?
00:16:07.540
I believe
00:16:08.340
that the
00:16:08.760
things I'm
00:16:09.480
saying about
00:16:10.080
the allegations
00:16:11.960
of fraud
00:16:12.640
are different
00:16:14.540
than what
00:16:15.960
other people
00:16:16.500
are saying.
00:16:16.940
would you
00:16:18.080
say that's
00:16:18.520
true?
00:16:19.220
Would you
00:16:19.580
say that
00:16:19.940
my take
00:16:20.580
on the
00:16:21.300
fraud
00:16:21.820
allegations
00:16:22.380
is different
00:16:23.120
than most
00:16:25.080
Trump
00:16:25.380
supporters?
00:16:27.600
For
00:16:28.200
example, I
00:16:29.000
don't think
00:16:29.460
that the
00:16:30.040
Venezuelan
00:16:31.460
whistleblower is
00:16:32.980
real.
00:16:34.040
But probably
00:16:34.840
I would bet
00:16:35.640
the majority
00:16:37.240
of Trump
00:16:37.700
supporters are
00:16:38.500
willing to
00:16:39.060
buy into
00:16:39.440
that story.
00:16:40.400
So I don't
00:16:40.940
think that my
00:16:42.040
version or
00:16:43.860
my opinion
00:16:44.420
really maps
00:16:45.160
too much
00:16:45.780
to anybody
00:16:46.860
else's at
00:16:47.460
the moment.
00:16:49.060
But one
00:16:50.500
of the ways
00:16:50.900
I'm noticing
00:16:51.360
my critics
00:16:52.060
are going
00:16:52.520
after me
00:16:53.220
is by
00:16:54.140
lumping me
00:16:54.900
with other
00:16:55.420
people who
00:16:55.940
have different
00:16:56.440
arguments.
00:16:57.980
Because it's
00:16:58.840
hard to go
00:16:59.300
after my
00:16:59.860
arguments because
00:17:00.760
they're so
00:17:01.940
darn reasonable.
00:17:03.600
It would be
00:17:04.260
one thing to
00:17:04.880
say, Adams
00:17:06.040
believes
00:17:06.640
everything that
00:17:08.500
is being
00:17:09.700
alleged.
00:17:11.100
Now, if I
00:17:11.780
believed
00:17:12.140
everything that
00:17:12.800
was being
00:17:13.160
alleged, I
00:17:14.840
would be a
00:17:15.500
laughable figure
00:17:16.400
and you
00:17:16.800
could lump
00:17:17.360
in with
00:17:17.860
anybody else
00:17:18.900
and that
00:17:19.440
would be
00:17:19.700
fair.
00:17:20.600
But you
00:17:21.240
can't really
00:17:21.620
do that.
00:17:22.960
I have a
00:17:23.900
fairly nuanced
00:17:24.920
opinion that
00:17:26.160
doesn't attract
00:17:27.060
anybody else's
00:17:27.940
and it's a
00:17:28.760
little bit
00:17:29.080
harder to
00:17:29.640
assail, in
00:17:31.500
part because I
00:17:32.220
don't pick
00:17:32.880
absolutes which
00:17:33.920
are impossible
00:17:34.520
to support.
00:17:37.140
So I think
00:17:38.060
that the only
00:17:38.620
way that you
00:17:39.260
can go after
00:17:39.860
me is to
00:17:41.280
say that I'm
00:17:42.340
really just
00:17:42.960
Rudy Giuliani
00:17:43.900
or I'm
00:17:44.560
really just
00:17:45.120
some other
00:17:45.720
troll on the
00:17:46.360
internet and
00:17:47.500
that I'm
00:17:48.440
just like
00:17:48.900
them.
00:17:49.140
I saw this
00:17:49.640
approach this
00:17:50.240
morning where
00:17:51.340
somebody pointed
00:17:52.200
to some
00:17:52.680
article that
00:17:53.340
had nothing
00:17:53.800
to do with
00:17:54.280
me, a
00:17:55.500
complete stranger
00:17:56.400
wrote an
00:17:56.900
article with
00:17:57.480
an opinion and
00:17:59.040
then somebody
00:17:59.620
tweets that
00:18:00.940
this guy is
00:18:02.140
just like me
00:18:02.920
and I look at
00:18:04.540
it and it's
00:18:04.680
like, well,
00:18:05.740
just like me
00:18:06.400
except we
00:18:07.300
don't share
00:18:07.780
any opinions
00:18:08.520
and I
00:18:10.500
get thrown
00:18:11.220
in with
00:18:11.660
a stranger
00:18:12.240
because they
00:18:13.700
can't attack
00:18:14.360
me directly
00:18:15.200
which is a
00:18:15.800
good place
00:18:16.180
to be, I
00:18:16.560
guess.
00:18:19.120
I asked
00:18:19.820
this question
00:18:20.480
on Twitter
00:18:21.380
and I think
00:18:22.320
it's a sort
00:18:22.920
of question
00:18:24.560
that people
00:18:25.260
will interpret
00:18:25.900
differently so I
00:18:26.860
don't know if
00:18:27.240
you can make
00:18:27.640
anything from
00:18:28.260
the answers but
00:18:29.340
I did a
00:18:29.680
little unscientific
00:18:31.140
Twitter poll and
00:18:32.940
I asked this
00:18:33.480
question.
00:18:34.700
If you
00:18:35.100
personally, and
00:18:36.620
personally is
00:18:37.220
important to
00:18:37.720
this, if you
00:18:38.580
personally have
00:18:39.360
no proof of
00:18:41.040
any election
00:18:41.660
fraud, and
00:18:42.440
wouldn't you
00:18:42.820
say that would
00:18:43.300
apply to most
00:18:43.900
of us, right?
00:18:45.280
There are
00:18:45.880
allegations and
00:18:47.700
there's evidence
00:18:48.740
but, meaning
00:18:51.520
there's people
00:18:52.280
making allegations,
00:18:53.340
that's the
00:18:53.720
evidence, but
00:18:54.560
that's not
00:18:54.920
proof.
00:18:56.360
That's well
00:18:57.460
short of proof.
00:18:59.120
So here's the
00:18:59.860
question.
00:19:00.280
If you
00:19:00.560
personally have
00:19:01.220
no proof of
00:19:02.880
election fraud,
00:19:04.360
which opinion
00:19:05.540
would be the
00:19:06.160
most reasonable
00:19:06.960
one to hold
00:19:07.740
in 2020, so
00:19:09.100
you have no
00:19:09.920
proof of
00:19:10.440
fraud, would
00:19:12.460
you believe
00:19:13.060
with no
00:19:13.720
proof, zero
00:19:15.160
proof, do
00:19:16.700
you believe that
00:19:17.320
the election was
00:19:18.080
probably fair or
00:19:20.360
probably rigged
00:19:21.640
with no
00:19:22.900
proof?
00:19:24.280
What do you
00:19:24.980
think the
00:19:25.680
responses were?
00:19:29.020
Well, last I
00:19:29.660
checked, 88%
00:19:30.800
said it was
00:19:31.400
probably rigged
00:19:32.460
and say that
00:19:34.160
even if there
00:19:36.200
was no proof.
00:19:38.960
Is it
00:19:39.600
reasonable to
00:19:41.260
have a belief
00:19:42.120
that something
00:19:42.980
was rigged
00:19:43.840
with no
00:19:45.360
proof?
00:19:47.320
Now, if there
00:19:47.960
was a little
00:19:48.360
bit of proof,
00:19:49.480
I think we'd
00:19:50.520
all agree it's
00:19:51.760
reasonable to
00:19:53.160
have an opinion.
00:19:53.860
You got a little
00:19:54.320
bit of proof.
00:19:55.520
Might not hold
00:19:56.480
up, but you got a
00:19:57.260
little bit of it.
00:19:57.900
But hypothetically,
00:19:59.940
if you had
00:20:00.840
none, would
00:20:03.300
you still believe
00:20:03.940
it was rigged
00:20:04.560
with no
00:20:05.800
proof?
00:20:08.000
I would.
00:20:10.640
And I would
00:20:11.500
argue that it
00:20:12.120
was completely
00:20:12.860
reasonable.
00:20:14.180
Why?
00:20:15.220
Because you
00:20:15.800
don't need proof
00:20:16.680
of the obvious.
00:20:18.340
Let me give you
00:20:19.140
some more
00:20:19.540
questions and
00:20:20.640
see if you can
00:20:21.300
answer the
00:20:21.920
following questions
00:20:22.840
with no
00:20:24.200
proof.
00:20:25.980
Is there
00:20:26.800
oxygen,
00:20:27.900
oxygen in
00:20:29.080
China?
00:20:31.520
Can you
00:20:32.100
prove it?
00:20:33.340
Show me a
00:20:33.920
study.
00:20:34.760
Show me a
00:20:35.500
study that
00:20:36.080
says that
00:20:37.360
there's oxygen
00:20:38.180
in China
00:20:38.940
today.
00:20:40.040
Oh, yeah,
00:20:40.440
you have
00:20:40.760
studies that
00:20:42.080
there used
00:20:42.560
to be oxygen
00:20:43.440
in China.
00:20:45.340
Y'all agree
00:20:45.900
with you on
00:20:46.340
that.
00:20:47.040
But show me
00:20:47.560
your study that
00:20:48.900
says there's
00:20:49.460
oxygen in
00:20:50.300
China today.
00:20:52.260
You don't
00:20:52.940
have any.
00:20:54.220
So you're
00:20:55.080
going to claim
00:20:55.480
there's oxygen
00:20:56.160
in China with
00:20:57.500
no proof.
00:20:59.180
Zero proof.
00:21:00.740
And yet,
00:21:01.600
and yet,
00:21:02.300
you're willing
00:21:02.720
to go out
00:21:03.140
there and
00:21:03.400
say,
00:21:04.040
oh, I
00:21:04.260
think there's
00:21:04.680
oxygen in
00:21:05.380
China with
00:21:06.200
no proof.
00:21:07.580
No proof.
00:21:09.460
There are
00:21:10.220
some things
00:21:10.960
which by
00:21:11.720
their nature
00:21:12.520
do not
00:21:13.900
require proof.
00:21:16.180
It's just
00:21:17.260
obvious.
00:21:17.720
and when
00:21:19.640
you have
00:21:20.020
a big
00:21:20.600
complicated
00:21:21.320
system that
00:21:22.660
has software
00:21:23.980
all over
00:21:24.800
it, and
00:21:26.320
you have
00:21:26.620
the greatest
00:21:27.140
incentive in
00:21:28.160
the world
00:21:28.680
for intelligence
00:21:30.240
agencies as
00:21:31.300
well as
00:21:31.820
partisans on
00:21:32.780
both sides,
00:21:33.820
at least the
00:21:34.360
evil elements
00:21:35.600
of them,
00:21:36.520
to attempt
00:21:38.560
mischief,
00:21:39.620
you are
00:21:40.420
going to get
00:21:40.960
it every
00:21:41.360
time.
00:21:42.600
It's like
00:21:43.320
oxygen in
00:21:44.120
China.
00:21:44.980
There's no
00:21:45.760
scenario in
00:21:46.640
which it
00:21:47.040
can't happen.
00:21:49.180
It's impossible
00:21:50.200
for it not
00:21:51.140
to be true
00:21:51.800
based on
00:21:52.820
everything else
00:21:53.480
you know
00:21:53.820
about the
00:21:54.220
world and
00:21:54.900
physics and
00:21:56.240
the fact that
00:21:57.100
air doesn't
00:21:57.740
stay in one
00:21:58.300
place.
00:21:59.760
It has to
00:22:00.580
be true.
00:22:01.760
So if you
00:22:02.460
ask me,
00:22:03.200
is there
00:22:03.740
massive fraud
00:22:04.880
in American
00:22:05.660
elections,
00:22:06.360
I would say,
00:22:07.360
how could
00:22:07.800
there not
00:22:08.260
be?
00:22:09.320
I mean,
00:22:09.680
really,
00:22:10.780
how could
00:22:11.220
there not
00:22:11.600
be?
00:22:12.600
But if
00:22:14.000
you're not
00:22:14.400
going to
00:22:14.580
be stupid,
00:22:16.180
you have
00:22:16.580
to take
00:22:16.960
it to the
00:22:17.300
next level,
00:22:18.960
which is
00:22:19.360
probably both
00:22:21.180
sides,
00:22:23.240
probably both
00:22:24.360
sides.
00:22:24.740
If you're not
00:22:25.200
willing to
00:22:25.600
say probably
00:22:26.860
both sides,
00:22:28.800
and in varying
00:22:29.820
degrees, it
00:22:30.740
doesn't mean
00:22:31.160
both sides
00:22:31.820
do the same
00:22:32.600
amount the
00:22:33.740
same way
00:22:34.400
every election
00:22:35.260
or anything
00:22:35.640
like that,
00:22:36.380
but if you
00:22:36.860
can't admit
00:22:37.560
that there
00:22:38.820
are probably
00:22:39.880
cheaters on
00:22:40.560
both sides,
00:22:42.060
you're not
00:22:42.600
really a
00:22:43.600
legitimate
00:22:44.080
person in
00:22:47.260
this conversation,
00:22:48.280
you're really
00:22:48.640
not legitimate.
00:22:49.960
Of course
00:22:50.940
it would be
00:22:51.520
both sides.
00:22:52.900
Might be
00:22:53.540
different amounts,
00:22:55.320
but it would
00:22:56.080
certainly be
00:22:56.560
both sides.
00:22:57.860
Now what we
00:22:58.380
don't know
00:22:58.900
is if the
00:22:59.520
cheating would
00:22:59.980
be sufficient
00:23:00.680
to change
00:23:01.900
a result.
00:23:03.780
I would say
00:23:04.420
that nobody
00:23:04.860
knows that,
00:23:06.520
but you
00:23:06.980
can't say
00:23:07.380
that the
00:23:08.620
election was
00:23:09.260
not at
00:23:09.660
least attempted
00:23:10.200
to be
00:23:10.540
rigged.
00:23:10.880
So the
00:23:13.520
legal challenges
00:23:14.420
are falling
00:23:15.260
like flies,
00:23:17.060
but let
00:23:19.200
me make
00:23:19.740
an observation
00:23:20.420
about the
00:23:21.040
legal challenges
00:23:21.840
which have
00:23:22.360
been thrown
00:23:22.800
in a court
00:23:23.380
for being
00:23:23.960
apparently
00:23:24.820
laughably
00:23:25.560
weak in
00:23:26.140
some cases.
00:23:28.480
Would you
00:23:28.960
say that
00:23:30.580
in, let's
00:23:31.340
say, the
00:23:31.740
financial market,
00:23:32.920
would you
00:23:33.320
say in the
00:23:33.740
financial market
00:23:34.440
that past
00:23:35.160
performance
00:23:35.880
can predict
00:23:37.520
future
00:23:38.060
performance?
00:23:38.640
performance?
00:23:40.020
Well, if
00:23:40.820
you believe
00:23:41.240
that, you're
00:23:41.800
going to be
00:23:42.180
poor because
00:23:43.740
it doesn't
00:23:44.700
work.
00:23:45.200
Everybody who
00:23:46.000
has ever
00:23:46.380
tried to
00:23:47.040
invest in
00:23:47.820
the stock
00:23:48.280
market and
00:23:49.440
said, well,
00:23:50.120
I'll just
00:23:50.540
look at what
00:23:51.100
happened in
00:23:51.600
the past and
00:23:52.860
assume that
00:23:53.360
keeps happening
00:23:54.000
with an
00:23:54.420
individual stock.
00:23:55.620
The one
00:23:56.160
assumption you
00:23:56.760
can make is
00:23:57.420
that the
00:23:58.060
general market
00:23:59.620
will go up
00:24:00.240
over time.
00:24:01.280
But for an
00:24:02.020
individual stock,
00:24:03.680
its history
00:24:04.500
doesn't tell you
00:24:06.040
anything.
00:24:07.100
It really
00:24:07.480
doesn't.
00:24:07.820
And as soon
00:24:09.200
as you think
00:24:09.660
that the
00:24:10.080
history of
00:24:10.600
that one
00:24:11.020
stock tells
00:24:11.680
you something,
00:24:12.520
you're on
00:24:13.060
your way to
00:24:13.460
losing all
00:24:13.900
your money
00:24:14.300
because it
00:24:15.040
just doesn't
00:24:15.820
predict.
00:24:17.680
And likewise,
00:24:19.500
no matter
00:24:20.940
how many
00:24:21.480
lawsuits get
00:24:22.380
thrown out
00:24:23.180
for being
00:24:24.100
laughably
00:24:24.860
weak, it
00:24:26.340
does not
00:24:26.980
predict how
00:24:28.740
strong the
00:24:29.340
next one
00:24:29.840
is.
00:24:31.000
You get
00:24:31.740
that, right?
00:24:33.660
I'd like to
00:24:34.620
think that
00:24:35.000
everybody watching
00:24:35.760
this Periscope
00:24:36.700
understands
00:24:37.780
that the
00:24:39.280
last lawsuit
00:24:41.320
does not
00:24:42.280
predict what
00:24:42.900
the next
00:24:43.280
one looks
00:24:43.680
like.
00:24:44.440
It doesn't
00:24:44.900
work that
00:24:45.320
way.
00:24:46.060
So all
00:24:46.360
the people
00:24:46.720
saying there
00:24:47.780
will be no
00:24:48.420
good lawsuit
00:24:49.660
coming because
00:24:51.160
other ones
00:24:52.060
have been
00:24:52.420
rejected,
00:24:53.620
there's no
00:24:54.320
logical thread
00:24:55.880
to that.
00:24:57.020
Now, of
00:24:57.340
course, you
00:24:57.620
could say it's
00:24:58.080
the same people
00:24:58.800
involved, but
00:24:59.900
even that's
00:25:00.380
not true because
00:25:01.560
the lawsuits are
00:25:02.360
coming from
00:25:02.980
individuals,
00:25:04.160
are coming
00:25:04.440
from probably
00:25:05.160
different members
00:25:06.660
of the legal
00:25:07.280
team, etc.
00:25:08.960
And I also
00:25:09.940
think that the
00:25:10.680
early lawsuits
00:25:11.840
were about
00:25:13.160
keeping the
00:25:13.780
argument alive.
00:25:15.460
I think the
00:25:16.060
early lawsuits
00:25:16.780
were just to
00:25:17.700
make sure that
00:25:19.420
the public
00:25:19.920
knew there
00:25:21.120
were big
00:25:21.500
questions.
00:25:23.040
Let the
00:25:23.540
public know
00:25:24.240
that the
00:25:24.840
questions were
00:25:25.540
not just one
00:25:26.360
thing but
00:25:27.340
might involve
00:25:28.200
a variety of
00:25:29.080
things and
00:25:30.200
that lots of
00:25:31.000
people are
00:25:31.580
involved questioning
00:25:32.700
it.
00:25:33.000
So if the
00:25:34.820
only thing the
00:25:35.460
legal team
00:25:36.120
did was
00:25:37.600
send the
00:25:38.300
public the
00:25:38.960
message,
00:25:39.880
hey, there's
00:25:41.000
not only
00:25:41.560
questions here,
00:25:42.580
but there are
00:25:42.980
so many
00:25:43.500
questions that
00:25:44.620
you could have
00:25:45.000
lots of
00:25:45.460
different lawsuits
00:25:46.200
because there
00:25:47.100
are so many
00:25:47.520
questions.
00:25:49.240
Even if they
00:25:50.140
lose them all
00:25:51.040
was a good
00:25:52.020
strategy to
00:25:54.400
flood the
00:25:55.080
zone with
00:25:55.800
weak lawsuits.
00:25:57.500
Well, I'm
00:25:58.200
no legal
00:25:58.680
expert, but
00:26:00.440
it might be
00:26:01.400
because remember
00:26:02.500
you're fighting
00:26:03.400
on two
00:26:03.820
fronts.
00:26:05.040
Trump is
00:26:05.500
fighting on
00:26:06.080
the public
00:26:06.720
opinion front
00:26:07.600
which could
00:26:08.300
affect, let's
00:26:09.120
say, the
00:26:09.780
legislatures and
00:26:10.960
whether there's
00:26:13.620
a credibility
00:26:14.220
for the
00:26:14.800
outcome in
00:26:15.520
general, and
00:26:16.860
then there's
00:26:17.220
the legal
00:26:17.600
cases.
00:26:18.480
So I would
00:26:18.780
say that
00:26:19.120
Trump was
00:26:19.720
winning the
00:26:20.680
public opinion
00:26:23.800
contest by
00:26:25.800
flooding the
00:26:26.960
zone with
00:26:27.580
weak, weak
00:26:29.500
lawsuits.
00:26:32.100
Because remember
00:26:32.920
I talked about
00:26:33.600
CNN not even
00:26:34.540
talking about
00:26:35.180
the fraud
00:26:35.620
accusations?
00:26:36.720
Because even
00:26:37.220
if you just
00:26:37.720
talk about
00:26:38.280
them, people
00:26:39.380
will think
00:26:39.760
they're real,
00:26:40.740
even if the
00:26:41.440
thing you're
00:26:41.760
talking about
00:26:42.240
is that they're
00:26:42.700
not real.
00:26:44.160
Likewise,
00:26:45.360
Trump using
00:26:46.180
the same
00:26:46.700
strategy,
00:26:47.400
the same
00:26:48.320
concept, by
00:26:50.520
flooding the
00:26:51.260
zone with
00:26:51.760
lots of
00:26:52.380
lawsuits, if
00:26:53.800
100% of
00:26:54.800
them get
00:26:55.200
thrown out
00:26:55.880
eventually, but
00:26:57.340
while you're
00:26:57.880
thinking about
00:26:58.480
it, there's
00:26:58.820
more in the
00:26:59.240
pipeline, as
00:27:01.540
long as
00:27:01.860
there's more
00:27:02.180
in the
00:27:02.400
pipeline, you're
00:27:03.100
going to say
00:27:03.340
to yourself,
00:27:04.420
well, there
00:27:06.000
must be
00:27:06.600
something to
00:27:07.660
it, because
00:27:08.920
there are so
00:27:09.400
many lawsuits.
00:27:11.020
How could
00:27:11.700
there be so
00:27:12.620
many lawsuits
00:27:13.400
if there's
00:27:14.200
nothing to
00:27:14.740
it?
00:27:15.480
So the
00:27:16.260
legal team
00:27:16.880
is 100%
00:27:17.920
winning the
00:27:18.780
public opinion
00:27:19.620
battle with
00:27:20.820
weak lawsuits,
00:27:22.740
because it
00:27:23.740
just makes
00:27:24.120
you think
00:27:24.460
something's
00:27:24.820
happening.
00:27:26.200
So everybody
00:27:27.100
who says
00:27:27.640
your lawsuit
00:27:28.760
record on
00:27:30.020
the initial
00:27:30.460
ones is
00:27:31.160
terrible, is
00:27:33.340
correct, but
00:27:34.760
that wasn't
00:27:35.400
really the
00:27:35.860
play, was
00:27:36.340
it?
00:27:37.120
I think the
00:27:37.660
play was more
00:27:38.280
about the
00:27:38.700
public opinion
00:27:39.440
and they're
00:27:41.760
winning, because
00:27:43.120
as you saw,
00:27:44.220
half of the
00:27:44.860
country thinks
00:27:45.620
the election
00:27:46.860
was thrown.
00:27:48.380
That's winning,
00:27:49.960
you know, in
00:27:50.440
terms of public
00:27:51.080
opinion.
00:27:53.140
I've got a
00:27:53.960
prediction about
00:27:54.660
the Venezuelan
00:27:55.720
whistleblower.
00:27:56.940
Are you ready
00:27:57.380
for this?
00:27:59.240
I think you're
00:28:00.160
going to laugh
00:28:00.560
at this, because
00:28:01.840
this will be one
00:28:03.060
of those cases
00:28:03.800
that I teach
00:28:04.960
that there are
00:28:06.100
six dimensions
00:28:06.760
of humor, and
00:28:08.940
if you get at
00:28:09.440
least two of
00:28:09.940
them into your
00:28:10.600
joke, it's
00:28:11.660
funny.
00:28:12.460
One of the
00:28:12.940
dimensions is
00:28:13.720
recognition,
00:28:14.760
meaning you
00:28:15.400
recognize it in
00:28:16.240
your own life.
00:28:17.520
So I'm going
00:28:18.500
for that element
00:28:19.320
of humor, and
00:28:21.280
then some
00:28:22.880
cleverness, and
00:28:24.440
it goes like
00:28:24.900
this.
00:28:27.020
If this
00:28:27.760
Venezuelan
00:28:28.560
whistleblower
00:28:29.260
is real, what
00:28:32.320
would be the
00:28:33.120
things you would
00:28:33.840
already be
00:28:34.520
seeing?
00:28:37.520
Would you be
00:28:38.360
seeing a
00:28:40.000
photograph of
00:28:42.000
the whistleblower?
00:28:43.780
Because I think
00:28:44.920
the whole point
00:28:45.500
of it is he's
00:28:46.200
willing to be
00:28:46.820
public, right?
00:28:48.280
I haven't seen a
00:28:49.260
picture of him,
00:28:49.980
and I'm
00:28:51.480
wondering why
00:28:52.020
not.
00:28:53.220
What about,
00:28:54.300
would you see
00:28:54.980
him appearing
00:28:55.720
on Hannity?
00:28:58.260
Would you see
00:28:59.200
the whistleblower
00:29:00.100
appearing on
00:29:00.860
Tucker Carlson's
00:29:01.920
show?
00:29:03.040
If he were
00:29:03.840
real?
00:29:06.400
Yeah.
00:29:08.040
Yeah.
00:29:09.220
By now?
00:29:10.400
Now, maybe you
00:29:11.040
wouldn't have
00:29:11.420
appeared by now,
00:29:12.620
but you would
00:29:13.140
at least be
00:29:14.820
hearing Hannity
00:29:16.220
or Tucker
00:29:16.900
or somebody
00:29:17.580
saying, we've
00:29:18.780
booked him,
00:29:19.280
he's going to
00:29:19.620
be on next
00:29:20.180
week.
00:29:21.400
Have you
00:29:21.720
heard that
00:29:22.040
yet?
00:29:24.740
Nope.
00:29:25.780
Haven't heard
00:29:26.380
that.
00:29:27.260
Here's what I
00:29:28.240
believe is
00:29:28.960
happening.
00:29:31.000
As I've said
00:29:31.820
before, if
00:29:32.940
you're an
00:29:34.220
attorney working
00:29:35.180
for a client,
00:29:36.340
you have a
00:29:37.040
responsibility to
00:29:38.080
the client to
00:29:39.940
make the best
00:29:40.600
case, even if
00:29:41.960
in your own
00:29:42.480
mind you're
00:29:43.040
thinking some
00:29:44.520
of it may not
00:29:45.240
hold up, you
00:29:45.940
still have a
00:29:46.380
responsibility to
00:29:47.300
your client.
00:29:47.720
So as
00:29:48.620
long as
00:29:49.100
this whistle
00:29:50.520
blower is
00:29:51.060
making the
00:29:51.700
claim, I
00:29:53.880
think Sidney
00:29:54.500
Powell is
00:29:55.400
within her
00:29:57.520
ethical and
00:29:58.860
appropriate
00:30:00.520
zone to
00:30:02.160
put it
00:30:02.460
forward, even
00:30:04.380
if she
00:30:05.160
doesn't
00:30:05.500
personally have
00:30:06.980
confidence in
00:30:07.840
it.
00:30:08.780
If she
00:30:09.520
doesn't have
00:30:09.980
reason to
00:30:10.540
debunk it,
00:30:12.060
well, it's
00:30:12.940
out there.
00:30:13.740
It's evidence.
00:30:14.180
And she
00:30:15.480
might also
00:30:16.060
think that
00:30:16.600
the software
00:30:17.140
has some
00:30:17.640
issues, which
00:30:19.240
are not
00:30:19.620
necessarily being
00:30:20.580
whistleblown by
00:30:21.360
this whistleblower,
00:30:23.200
but maybe it
00:30:24.340
gets you closer
00:30:25.040
to some kind
00:30:26.320
of a deeper
00:30:26.800
audit into the
00:30:27.720
code.
00:30:28.820
Maybe it just
00:30:29.860
moves you
00:30:30.340
forward, even
00:30:31.240
if this isn't
00:30:32.560
exactly accurate.
00:30:34.580
So here's what
00:30:35.520
I think is
00:30:36.100
happening.
00:30:36.600
Here's what I
00:30:37.040
think is the
00:30:37.520
funny part.
00:30:39.540
I'll bet he's
00:30:40.400
not returning
00:30:41.060
calls.
00:30:41.600
I'm just
00:30:45.520
going to
00:30:45.820
guess, but
00:30:47.000
I'll bet at
00:30:47.440
this point
00:30:48.000
Sidney Powell
00:30:49.440
and her team
00:30:50.380
are putting in
00:30:52.040
phone calls to
00:30:52.860
the whistleblower
00:30:53.480
and saying,
00:30:53.900
hey, maybe
00:30:54.980
could we talk
00:30:55.640
to you again,
00:30:56.400
get some
00:30:57.300
follow-up
00:30:57.900
questions,
00:30:59.160
we've got some
00:30:59.660
interview requests,
00:31:00.860
we'd like to see
00:31:01.440
if you'd do
00:31:01.900
them, and they
00:31:03.060
put in the
00:31:03.520
message, I'll
00:31:05.520
bet he's not
00:31:06.040
calling back.
00:31:07.740
Or they email
00:31:08.700
him and say,
00:31:09.260
hey, would you
00:31:09.720
do this?
00:31:10.340
And you get
00:31:11.180
sort of a
00:31:11.740
non-committal
00:31:12.520
answer back,
00:31:13.620
or I've
00:31:15.600
got to go
00:31:15.980
get some
00:31:16.480
work done,
00:31:17.320
I'm going
00:31:17.540
to do some
00:31:18.000
traveling.
00:31:19.260
Maybe when
00:31:19.860
I'm done
00:31:20.220
traveling, we
00:31:21.700
could talk
00:31:22.140
about these
00:31:22.660
interviews.
00:31:23.980
I'll bet
00:31:24.660
you, I'll
00:31:26.440
bet a large
00:31:27.360
amount of
00:31:27.820
money on
00:31:28.180
this, that
00:31:29.820
Sidney Powell
00:31:30.500
is getting
00:31:31.260
the stall
00:31:32.080
and the
00:31:33.220
runaround.
00:31:34.520
If that's
00:31:35.420
true, then
00:31:36.000
obviously he's
00:31:36.840
not a real
00:31:37.500
whistleblower.
00:31:39.000
Now, of
00:31:39.700
course, the
00:31:40.100
whistleblower
00:31:40.600
could, you
00:31:42.280
know, you
00:31:42.580
can't rule
00:31:43.000
this out,
00:31:44.040
maybe afraid
00:31:45.120
for his
00:31:45.560
safety or
00:31:46.260
something like
00:31:46.660
that, but I
00:31:47.680
doubt he
00:31:48.180
would have
00:31:48.460
come forward
00:31:49.060
in the first
00:31:49.640
place if he
00:31:51.560
were not
00:31:52.100
willing to
00:31:52.620
eventually be
00:31:53.440
public.
00:31:54.360
Why would
00:31:54.980
you do
00:31:55.220
that?
00:31:56.000
I mean, you
00:31:56.320
wouldn't come
00:31:57.100
forward if you
00:31:57.760
weren't willing
00:31:58.160
to be public
00:31:58.780
because they're
00:32:00.400
going to find
00:32:00.820
you, right?
00:32:01.220
So, I'm
00:32:08.660
looking at
00:32:09.200
angry, all
00:32:10.280
caps, yelling
00:32:11.200
guy on the
00:32:12.620
comments.
00:32:15.640
Yeah, and
00:32:16.680
maybe it
00:32:17.320
panics the
00:32:17.960
conspirators,
00:32:18.900
somebody says.
00:32:20.200
So, that's
00:32:21.300
my guess, is
00:32:22.060
that the
00:32:22.440
Venezuelan
00:32:23.140
whistleblower is
00:32:23.960
going to be,
00:32:24.900
quote, hard to
00:32:26.120
get a hold
00:32:26.580
of.
00:32:26.880
I think he's
00:32:28.520
going to be a
00:32:28.980
little hard to
00:32:29.560
get a hold
00:32:30.000
of.
00:32:30.920
Just saying.
00:32:32.440
And by the
00:32:33.060
way, if you
00:32:34.500
turn on TV,
00:32:35.760
let's say
00:32:36.080
tomorrow night,
00:32:36.960
and that
00:32:37.360
whistleblower is
00:32:38.360
a guest on
00:32:39.000
Hannity,
00:32:40.080
everything I
00:32:40.880
think is
00:32:41.980
wrong about
00:32:43.800
the whistleblower.
00:32:45.160
I don't think
00:32:46.200
you're going to
00:32:46.620
see the
00:32:46.960
whistleblower on
00:32:48.760
TV.
00:32:50.260
What do you
00:32:50.960
think?
00:32:51.500
Do you think
00:32:51.880
you'll ever
00:32:52.200
see him?
00:32:54.020
Because I
00:32:54.640
think he's a
00:32:55.160
disinformation
00:32:56.080
play.
00:32:56.880
All right.
00:32:58.220
Here are some
00:32:59.020
things that we've
00:32:59.740
learned recently
00:33:01.020
about the
00:33:01.420
coronavirus that
00:33:02.160
we didn't know
00:33:02.700
before.
00:33:05.120
There's a
00:33:06.020
thought now that
00:33:06.840
asymptomatic
00:33:07.760
carriers are
00:33:09.800
not carriers.
00:33:10.640
If you're
00:33:10.880
asymptomatic,
00:33:11.900
you're probably
00:33:12.280
not spreading
00:33:12.940
the disease.
00:33:14.180
And if you
00:33:14.600
are, it's so
00:33:15.500
rare that you
00:33:16.520
could almost
00:33:17.200
forget about
00:33:17.840
it.
00:33:18.580
So, we
00:33:19.360
don't worry
00:33:19.840
too much about
00:33:20.520
asymptomatic.
00:33:21.800
We know that
00:33:22.800
outdoors is
00:33:23.640
safer than
00:33:24.220
indoors.
00:33:25.180
We know
00:33:25.820
from studies
00:33:26.700
that opening
00:33:28.440
schools doesn't
00:33:29.580
seem to
00:33:30.040
spread it,
00:33:30.680
even though
00:33:31.140
some places
00:33:32.000
are closing
00:33:32.500
schools anyway.
00:33:33.980
We know
00:33:34.720
that wearing
00:33:36.500
gloves didn't
00:33:37.580
seem to make
00:33:38.120
a difference.
00:33:39.600
For example,
00:33:40.300
when I get
00:33:40.780
gas, the
00:33:42.960
first month of
00:33:44.880
the pandemic,
00:33:45.780
when I would
00:33:46.160
go to get
00:33:46.540
gas, I would
00:33:47.200
wear gloves.
00:33:49.600
But now I
00:33:50.440
don't.
00:33:51.040
And I don't
00:33:51.420
see anybody
00:33:51.880
wearing gloves.
00:33:52.920
So I don't
00:33:53.280
think anybody's
00:33:53.800
worried about
00:33:54.220
surfaces, especially
00:33:55.520
if they're
00:33:55.880
around doors.
00:33:57.400
So we're not
00:33:58.020
too worried
00:33:58.360
about surfaces.
00:34:01.280
But here's
00:34:02.060
the question.
00:34:02.720
What's the
00:34:03.040
data on
00:34:03.460
restaurant-related
00:34:04.460
virus transmission?
00:34:06.580
So we're
00:34:07.060
putting basically
00:34:08.480
every restaurant
00:34:10.000
and a business
00:34:10.700
in the United
00:34:11.420
States.
00:34:11.980
and I
00:34:16.060
don't think
00:34:16.480
we have
00:34:16.760
data to
00:34:18.360
back that
00:34:18.840
up, do
00:34:19.220
we?
00:34:20.480
Because all
00:34:21.240
the other
00:34:21.620
things that
00:34:22.060
we thought
00:34:22.380
were kind
00:34:22.800
of obvious
00:34:23.480
to do,
00:34:24.260
turned out
00:34:24.740
that the
00:34:25.800
obvious thing
00:34:26.580
didn't really
00:34:27.540
act the way
00:34:28.740
you thought
00:34:29.120
it would.
00:34:29.900
Because wouldn't
00:34:30.560
you think it
00:34:31.060
was sort of
00:34:31.520
obvious that
00:34:33.460
an asymptomatic
00:34:34.460
carrier could
00:34:35.300
maybe spread
00:34:35.960
it?
00:34:37.020
Because you
00:34:38.320
could have
00:34:38.780
it and the
00:34:39.280
symptoms could
00:34:39.880
be low,
00:34:40.440
but if you're
00:34:40.860
coughing, you're
00:34:41.540
coughing, I
00:34:42.080
suppose.
00:34:42.960
No, I guess
00:34:43.440
that would be
00:34:43.760
a symptom.
00:34:46.200
So I've got
00:34:47.460
a feeling that
00:34:48.080
restaurant-related
00:34:49.320
transmission,
00:34:51.020
you know, so
00:34:51.760
long as they're
00:34:52.480
spreading the
00:34:53.060
tables out and
00:34:53.900
doing their
00:34:54.540
basic stuff,
00:34:55.740
I'll bet there's
00:34:56.340
not much
00:34:56.700
transmission from
00:34:57.560
that.
00:34:57.880
And we're
00:34:58.140
going to put
00:34:58.380
the whole
00:34:58.640
business, the
00:34:59.880
whole industry
00:35:00.800
on a business.
00:35:05.200
I think
00:35:06.040
that's, there's
00:35:07.440
probably some
00:35:08.000
lawsuits that
00:35:09.460
have to be
00:35:10.000
filed over
00:35:10.480
that.
00:35:10.860
I don't know
00:35:11.600
if you can
00:35:12.400
sue the
00:35:12.880
government for
00:35:13.440
anything, but
00:35:14.800
I don't feel
00:35:16.560
the government
00:35:17.060
is doing
00:35:18.060
right by the
00:35:19.600
restaurant business.
00:35:21.140
Do you feel
00:35:21.560
the same?
00:35:23.840
Yeah, it
00:35:24.180
feels like
00:35:25.100
the restaurant
00:35:26.860
should get a
00:35:27.300
break.
00:35:28.420
I wanted to
00:35:29.200
share with you
00:35:29.840
one of the
00:35:30.440
best persuasive
00:35:31.880
tweets I've
00:35:32.660
seen in a long
00:35:33.400
time from
00:35:34.620
Mike Schellenberger,
00:35:36.200
and the topic
00:35:37.320
is nuclear
00:35:38.800
waste.
00:35:39.400
And I'm
00:35:40.460
going to
00:35:40.620
show you
00:35:40.920
the technique
00:35:41.760
in this
00:35:42.680
tweet.
00:35:43.880
Now, if
00:35:45.360
once you
00:35:46.160
notice that
00:35:46.660
the technique
00:35:47.120
is very
00:35:47.560
good, I
00:35:48.020
will tell
00:35:48.360
you that
00:35:48.820
Mike
00:35:49.980
Schellenberger
00:35:50.580
does continue
00:35:52.780
to build his
00:35:53.640
talent stack,
00:35:54.860
as it were.
00:35:55.280
So it
00:35:56.000
includes
00:35:56.500
environmental
00:35:57.500
stuff and
00:35:58.360
nuclear energy,
00:35:59.860
and I
00:36:00.700
know that
00:36:01.100
he has
00:36:01.480
intentionally
00:36:02.200
learned
00:36:02.960
persuasion.
00:36:04.920
I'm pretty
00:36:05.680
sure he's
00:36:06.060
read one
00:36:06.780
or more
00:36:07.060
of my
00:36:07.320
books.
00:36:08.380
So let's
00:36:09.080
see how
00:36:09.600
well he
00:36:10.000
has incorporated
00:36:10.760
persuasion
00:36:12.060
into this
00:36:12.880
tweet.
00:36:13.580
I'll read
00:36:14.140
you the
00:36:14.440
full tweet,
00:36:15.400
and I'll
00:36:15.720
go back and
00:36:16.240
tell you the
00:36:17.400
persuasion
00:36:18.280
parts.
00:36:19.020
Okay?
00:36:19.820
So here's
00:36:20.380
the tweet.
00:36:21.220
Nuclear
00:36:21.660
waste is the
00:36:22.580
best kind
00:36:23.140
of waste.
00:36:24.740
All of it
00:36:25.980
ever produced
00:36:27.060
can fit on
00:36:28.200
a single
00:36:28.780
football field.
00:36:30.460
It never
00:36:30.740
hurts anyone
00:36:32.380
and never
00:36:32.920
will.
00:36:33.860
It will be
00:36:34.500
recycled in
00:36:35.360
future reactors.
00:36:37.480
And then he
00:36:37.960
says, nice to
00:36:38.640
see stridently
00:36:39.440
anti-nuclear
00:36:40.280
Senator Reid
00:36:42.140
acknowledge that
00:36:43.320
it is safe
00:36:43.980
where it is.
00:36:45.180
And then he
00:36:45.620
includes, he
00:36:46.360
pastes a
00:36:47.460
quote from
00:36:48.040
Senator Reid,
00:36:49.520
and a
00:36:50.740
question was
00:36:51.280
asked of
00:36:51.720
Senator Reid,
00:36:52.360
based on
00:36:52.860
your experience
00:36:53.440
of Yucca
00:36:54.780
or Yucca
00:36:55.360
Mountain in
00:36:56.400
Nevada, what
00:36:57.340
do you see as
00:36:57.820
the future of
00:36:58.420
nuclear waste
00:36:59.360
disposal in
00:37:00.500
this country?
00:37:01.800
And Senator
00:37:02.360
Reid said, I
00:37:03.580
think that what
00:37:04.320
we've learned
00:37:04.820
over the
00:37:05.220
years is that
00:37:06.400
the best thing
00:37:07.040
to do with
00:37:07.580
nuclear waste
00:37:08.400
is to place
00:37:09.480
it where it
00:37:09.960
is.
00:37:10.840
Don't
00:37:11.180
transport it.
00:37:12.440
Put it in
00:37:12.940
dry cask
00:37:13.800
storage containers.
00:37:15.160
You can
00:37:15.460
bury it in
00:37:16.020
the ground
00:37:16.500
or leave it
00:37:17.480
above the
00:37:17.880
ground because
00:37:18.820
the dry
00:37:19.320
cask storage
00:37:20.580
containers that
00:37:21.320
we've
00:37:21.580
developed are
00:37:22.340
extremely safe.
00:37:25.460
So there's
00:37:27.460
a senator
00:37:28.220
acknowledging,
00:37:29.420
he's a
00:37:30.320
Democrat,
00:37:30.740
right?
00:37:31.220
Democrat
00:37:31.660
senator
00:37:32.140
acknowledging
00:37:32.700
that nuclear
00:37:33.360
waste basically
00:37:35.040
isn't a
00:37:35.540
problem.
00:37:36.940
Because it
00:37:37.880
used to be,
00:37:39.220
but now we've
00:37:40.020
learned, just
00:37:40.880
as we've
00:37:41.420
learned with
00:37:41.920
the coronavirus
00:37:42.460
by experience,
00:37:43.920
we've learned
00:37:44.460
that transporting
00:37:45.420
it kind of
00:37:47.160
doesn't make
00:37:47.580
sense.
00:37:47.980
because if
00:37:49.760
the nuclear
00:37:50.380
facility
00:37:50.940
itself
00:37:51.700
already has
00:37:53.580
a stay
00:37:55.280
away written
00:37:55.900
all over
00:37:56.360
it,
00:37:56.840
right?
00:37:57.560
Because you
00:37:58.120
would stay
00:37:58.520
away from,
00:37:59.160
you're not
00:37:59.400
going to
00:37:59.560
build a
00:37:59.820
house,
00:38:00.980
you don't
00:38:01.520
want to,
00:38:02.100
build a
00:38:02.600
house right
00:38:03.040
next to a
00:38:03.600
nuclear reactor,
00:38:05.100
so just keep
00:38:06.240
the waste
00:38:06.600
there.
00:38:07.580
It's the
00:38:08.060
same problem.
00:38:09.360
You don't
00:38:09.980
want to be
00:38:10.380
near it,
00:38:11.020
so just put
00:38:11.760
it in all
00:38:12.280
the places
00:38:12.680
that you
00:38:13.060
didn't want
00:38:13.360
to be near
00:38:13.740
anyway.
00:38:14.060
And on
00:38:15.040
top of
00:38:15.380
that,
00:38:15.700
they've
00:38:15.900
developed
00:38:16.320
these dry
00:38:17.220
storage
00:38:17.740
techniques,
00:38:19.000
which are
00:38:19.460
seen to be
00:38:20.520
quite safe.
00:38:21.220
But let me
00:38:21.500
tell you what
00:38:21.940
is good
00:38:22.740
about this
00:38:23.180
tweet.
00:38:23.540
Number one,
00:38:24.800
tweets that
00:38:25.460
have an
00:38:28.700
attachment or
00:38:29.560
a photo get
00:38:30.520
much more
00:38:31.020
engagement.
00:38:32.060
So this is
00:38:32.440
trick number
00:38:32.980
one, an
00:38:34.060
attachment or
00:38:34.900
a photo gets
00:38:35.680
more engagement.
00:38:36.740
So what he
00:38:37.180
did here was
00:38:37.840
he attached
00:38:38.440
the text from
00:38:40.760
Senator Reid as
00:38:41.780
a photo,
00:38:42.880
basically an
00:38:43.580
attachment,
00:38:44.060
Now, because
00:38:45.220
the attachment
00:38:45.920
looks different
00:38:46.580
from the
00:38:47.060
regular text,
00:38:48.380
even though
00:38:48.920
it's all
00:38:49.300
text, it
00:38:50.540
breaks it
00:38:51.080
up, and
00:38:52.240
I think that
00:38:52.860
counts toward
00:38:53.600
the same kind
00:38:54.820
of attention
00:38:55.320
getting as a
00:38:56.120
photograph would,
00:38:57.080
because it's
00:38:57.520
broken up, it's
00:38:58.240
not just
00:38:58.660
straight text.
00:39:00.680
So that's the
00:39:01.480
first thing.
00:39:02.160
Second thing is
00:39:02.860
that the topic
00:39:03.520
is sort of a
00:39:04.680
hot, current
00:39:05.480
one.
00:39:06.000
We're talking
00:39:06.400
about the
00:39:06.960
Green New
00:39:07.880
Deal, because
00:39:08.740
Biden's the
00:39:09.460
president, nuclear
00:39:10.600
waste is always
00:39:11.540
hot.
00:39:12.180
So he's got
00:39:12.620
the right topic,
00:39:13.540
that's naturally
00:39:14.680
viral, you
00:39:15.780
know, anything
00:39:16.420
about this
00:39:17.460
topic is going
00:39:18.200
to get people's
00:39:18.780
attention.
00:39:19.780
He's got the
00:39:21.400
right, you
00:39:22.740
know, visual
00:39:24.520
look, because
00:39:25.480
it's not just
00:39:26.060
text, and then
00:39:27.240
the size of the
00:39:28.160
tweet hits the
00:39:30.100
sweet spot as
00:39:31.020
well.
00:39:31.960
A brilliant
00:39:32.900
tweet that's
00:39:33.600
only one
00:39:34.220
sentence still
00:39:35.600
won't be that
00:39:36.300
viral, because
00:39:37.680
people will look
00:39:38.380
at it and say,
00:39:38.880
well, it's
00:39:39.100
brilliant, but it's
00:39:40.420
just one sentence.
00:39:41.220
So people are
00:39:42.440
less likely to
00:39:43.520
retweet one
00:39:45.040
good sentence.
00:39:46.100
But they will
00:39:46.860
retweet a good
00:39:47.860
argument, especially
00:39:49.460
if it's got like a
00:39:50.240
picture or something
00:39:50.900
with it.
00:39:51.780
So he's got all
00:39:52.880
of that working
00:39:53.440
for him before
00:39:54.260
he's even started
00:39:55.560
his tweet.
00:39:56.920
The first sentence,
00:39:59.140
he says, nuclear
00:40:00.000
waste is the best
00:40:01.080
kind of waste.
00:40:02.800
Now, I've taught
00:40:03.740
you that the first
00:40:04.540
sentence is the
00:40:05.300
important one, because
00:40:06.740
it's the one that
00:40:07.360
makes you curious
00:40:08.200
or not.
00:40:09.820
Does this make
00:40:10.520
you curious to
00:40:11.320
read the rest of
00:40:11.920
the tweet?
00:40:12.960
Nuclear waste is
00:40:14.020
the best kind of
00:40:14.760
waste?
00:40:15.980
Yeah.
00:40:17.080
Yeah.
00:40:17.560
You have to read
00:40:18.480
the next sentence,
00:40:19.640
because who is
00:40:20.600
telling you that
00:40:21.240
nuclear waste is
00:40:22.220
the best kind of
00:40:22.940
waste?
00:40:23.700
It's like opposite
00:40:24.720
of what you
00:40:25.200
thought.
00:40:26.280
Can he make that
00:40:27.200
case?
00:40:28.300
Do you think
00:40:28.680
anybody can make
00:40:29.400
a case that
00:40:30.060
nuclear waste is
00:40:31.080
the best kind of
00:40:32.140
waste?
00:40:33.240
And then he does.
00:40:35.280
Then he makes
00:40:36.080
the case.
00:40:36.480
So it's surprising,
00:40:38.660
provocative, shocking,
00:40:40.400
invokes curiosity.
00:40:42.740
In the first
00:40:43.720
sentence, in the
00:40:45.780
first sentence, he
00:40:46.680
got all that in
00:40:47.360
there.
00:40:48.640
And then he goes,
00:40:49.960
all of it ever
00:40:51.060
produced can fit in
00:40:52.240
a single football
00:40:53.100
field.
00:40:54.600
What have I told
00:40:55.440
you about visual
00:40:56.680
persuasion?
00:40:58.300
It would be one
00:40:59.220
thing to say, all
00:41:01.380
of that waste is
00:41:02.420
safely stored.
00:41:05.000
Just a concept.
00:41:06.480
But if I say to
00:41:07.880
you, all of the
00:41:09.200
waste ever produced
00:41:10.500
could be put on a
00:41:11.500
football field, now
00:41:13.640
you've imagined the
00:41:14.600
entire size of the
00:41:15.640
planet Earth, and
00:41:17.340
then you've imagined
00:41:18.140
what one football
00:41:19.240
field would look like
00:41:20.300
on the entire
00:41:20.940
planet Earth, and
00:41:23.400
now it doesn't
00:41:24.700
seem so scary,
00:41:25.560
does it?
00:41:26.320
So it's visual in
00:41:27.740
the second sentence,
00:41:28.860
which is A plus
00:41:29.840
persuasion.
00:41:30.920
Keep it visual.
00:41:32.380
Then he says, it
00:41:33.620
never hurts anyone,
00:41:35.540
and never will.
00:41:37.160
Now that's a
00:41:37.740
provocative claim.
00:41:39.660
How do you know it
00:41:40.540
never will?
00:41:42.060
Well, he can't know
00:41:42.960
that, of course.
00:41:44.180
But by making it so
00:41:46.040
extreme, you can't
00:41:47.960
look away.
00:41:49.360
And that's good
00:41:50.000
persuasion.
00:41:51.120
He went a little
00:41:52.100
too far by making
00:41:54.200
it an absolute.
00:41:55.800
In this context, the
00:41:57.580
absolute works because
00:41:59.480
it's wrong.
00:42:00.940
And a little bit of
00:42:02.480
wrongness will tie
00:42:04.340
you to a point in
00:42:05.420
the way that being
00:42:06.120
all right won't.
00:42:08.680
Here's what it
00:42:09.460
should have said if
00:42:11.240
you wanted to be
00:42:12.220
accurate, as
00:42:14.160
opposed to
00:42:14.700
persuasive.
00:42:15.980
Accurate, instead
00:42:16.740
of saying it never
00:42:17.640
hurts anyone and
00:42:18.640
never will, a more
00:42:20.180
accurate statement
00:42:21.080
that I think you
00:42:21.720
would find more
00:42:22.300
fair would be, it
00:42:23.700
has never hurt
00:42:24.560
anyone, and it is
00:42:26.520
extraordinarily
00:42:27.320
unlikely that it
00:42:28.900
never will.
00:42:30.580
Now, that would be
00:42:31.400
fair to say.
00:42:33.180
You could disagree
00:42:34.120
or agree, but it
00:42:34.920
sounds like a fair
00:42:35.520
statement.
00:42:36.220
But to say never
00:42:37.740
will?
00:42:39.080
Well, you can't
00:42:39.800
really say something
00:42:40.480
never will, right?
00:42:42.400
Somebody could fall
00:42:43.300
out of a helicopter
00:42:44.180
and land on a, I
00:42:45.540
don't know.
00:42:45.840
But there must be
00:42:46.820
some way to hurt
00:42:48.760
at least one person
00:42:49.860
in the future of
00:42:50.900
the entire civilization.
00:42:53.180
But turning it into
00:42:54.560
an absolute, which
00:42:55.860
your brain recognizes
00:42:57.100
as wrong,
00:42:58.900
still binds you to
00:43:01.220
it, and you say
00:43:01.820
to yourself, but
00:43:02.560
how wrong is it?
00:43:03.940
Now you've got to
00:43:04.760
deal with it, right?
00:43:06.320
It's wrong.
00:43:07.440
I'm sure it's wrong
00:43:08.360
that you could say
00:43:10.420
with certainty,
00:43:11.380
nobody could ever
00:43:12.400
get hurt, but how
00:43:14.180
wrong is it?
00:43:15.760
Is it 100% wrong?
00:43:17.420
Is it completely
00:43:18.100
wrong?
00:43:18.600
Is it left field?
00:43:20.040
Is it in the wrong
00:43:20.680
zip code?
00:43:21.840
No, it's not.
00:43:23.460
It's pretty close to
00:43:24.480
reality.
00:43:25.540
And that's the point.
00:43:26.780
If he can make you
00:43:27.940
argue that you can't
00:43:29.760
know that it could
00:43:30.460
never hurt anybody,
00:43:32.000
he's probably already
00:43:33.420
getting you to the
00:43:34.240
point where you're
00:43:35.400
willing to accept
00:43:36.220
it's very low risk.
00:43:38.600
It's very clever
00:43:39.800
persuasion.
00:43:41.440
And that he says
00:43:42.600
it will be recycled
00:43:43.640
in future reactors.
00:43:44.940
And that is sort of
00:43:46.780
like the drop the mic
00:43:48.360
moment of this tweet.
00:43:50.660
Because you and I
00:43:52.000
probably knew that
00:43:53.620
nuclear waste can be
00:43:55.040
used in the newer
00:43:55.940
types of reactors for
00:43:57.560
their fuel.
00:43:58.860
That's a newer
00:43:59.940
emerging industry, but
00:44:01.540
it seems quite obvious
00:44:02.800
that that will be the
00:44:03.760
future.
00:44:05.320
For people who didn't
00:44:06.820
know that, that's like
00:44:09.260
a big, big piece of
00:44:10.940
information that they
00:44:12.600
just learned.
00:44:13.900
Imagine if you didn't
00:44:14.920
know that, and it's the
00:44:15.680
first time you'd read
00:44:16.440
this sentence, it will
00:44:17.780
be recycled in future
00:44:19.180
reactors.
00:44:21.000
What?
00:44:22.200
If you didn't know
00:44:23.180
that was a thing, that
00:44:24.660
would be pretty
00:44:25.500
impactful, I think.
00:44:26.940
And you might even
00:44:27.660
look, you might even
00:44:28.620
have to research it to
00:44:30.220
find out if that's
00:44:30.940
real, and it is.
00:44:32.380
It is real.
00:44:34.900
So anyway, that is a
00:44:36.520
whole lot of things to
00:44:37.840
get right.
00:44:38.300
And then he shows the
00:44:40.080
Senator Reid thing so
00:44:42.100
that you can get, you
00:44:44.180
can feel that people on
00:44:45.300
both sides of the
00:44:46.340
politics agree with
00:44:47.960
him.
00:44:48.740
It's a social proof.
00:44:50.840
So, I mean, look at
00:44:51.500
all the things.
00:44:52.000
He's got curiosity, he's
00:44:53.880
got a little bit
00:44:54.640
intentionally wrong, he's
00:44:56.500
got visual persuasion,
00:44:58.240
it's the right size, it's
00:45:00.380
provocative, social proof.
00:45:04.440
He got all of that into
00:45:07.880
a tweet.
00:45:09.840
When I saw this thing, my
00:45:11.360
jaw just dropped.
00:45:12.340
I was like, God, this is
00:45:14.520
some good work here.
00:45:16.160
All right.
00:45:18.180
I wonder if the pandemic
00:45:19.920
ruining all of our leisure
00:45:21.620
activities is going to
00:45:24.340
give us some insight about
00:45:27.040
how valuable those things
00:45:28.660
were in the first place.
00:45:30.500
For example, prior to the
00:45:32.840
pandemic, one of my
00:45:34.000
favorite things in the
00:45:35.020
entire world was going
00:45:36.380
to a restaurant and
00:45:38.160
having somebody bring me
00:45:39.380
food and, you know,
00:45:40.400
have a good time.
00:45:41.780
But now after six months
00:45:44.260
of really not enjoying
00:45:46.260
that, I have gone to
00:45:47.360
restaurants, but, you
00:45:48.400
know, it's a masky
00:45:49.560
situation, it's a
00:45:50.500
different situation.
00:45:51.960
I asked myself, if I
00:45:54.600
never could go to a
00:45:55.760
restaurant again, and
00:45:57.480
let's say restaurants
00:45:58.600
just stopped existing,
00:46:01.320
would I be less happy?
00:46:04.000
And I don't know.
00:46:05.080
I don't know if I would.
00:46:06.260
So there are a lot of
00:46:07.880
assumptions you made
00:46:10.340
about your life that the
00:46:12.060
pandemic destroyed, where
00:46:14.440
you have to go back and
00:46:16.080
reassess your own
00:46:17.060
assumptions.
00:46:18.020
Like, do I really need
00:46:19.360
this to be happy?
00:46:20.780
Let me tell you another
00:46:21.800
assumption.
00:46:22.840
I've never had less human
00:46:25.240
contact at any time in my
00:46:27.860
life.
00:46:28.200
I'm at my maximum
00:46:29.920
smallest amount of human
00:46:32.160
contact.
00:46:34.140
And it's fine.
00:46:36.340
It's not that bad.
00:46:37.940
So there are a whole
00:46:38.640
bunch of things that I
00:46:39.660
wouldn't have imagined
00:46:40.380
could be true that I'm
00:46:41.680
learning.
00:46:42.920
All right.
00:46:44.860
One of the benefits of
00:46:46.140
the pandemic is that
00:46:47.160
movies will stream sooner.
00:46:49.260
So you don't have to wait
00:46:50.580
for them to get out of the
00:46:51.680
theater and get to your
00:46:53.720
TV.
00:46:54.880
And I guess there's
00:46:57.240
some deals now about
00:46:58.360
movie streaming where
00:46:59.380
it will only be three
00:47:00.180
weeks of exclusivity in
00:47:02.120
the theater.
00:47:03.480
So the movies are only
00:47:04.580
going to be in the
00:47:05.000
theater for three weeks
00:47:06.020
before you get them on
00:47:07.020
streaming.
00:47:12.500
Here's a, somebody
00:47:14.380
challenged one of my
00:47:16.440
assertions.
00:47:17.520
And the challenge is
00:47:18.700
good enough that I would
00:47:19.800
like to bring it to you
00:47:20.660
and see what you say.
00:47:21.700
I've said that the
00:47:22.700
election is obviously
00:47:24.060
illegitimate because
00:47:27.020
I couldn't believe that
00:47:28.700
Biden would get so many
00:47:29.780
more votes than Obama
00:47:30.820
got in 2008.
00:47:32.200
But the counter to that
00:47:33.920
argument is there are
00:47:35.640
25 million extra
00:47:37.260
voters since
00:47:39.240
then.
00:47:40.500
If there are 25
00:47:41.740
million extra voters,
00:47:43.600
would you now accept
00:47:45.600
that Biden got as many
00:47:47.900
votes as he did?
00:47:49.360
25 million.
00:47:50.760
Well, let's say young
00:47:51.960
people probably skew
00:47:53.740
Democrat.
00:47:55.200
So let's say another
00:47:55.820
25 million, maybe 15
00:47:58.180
million would be at
00:48:01.060
least leaning Democrat.
00:48:04.040
How many of young
00:48:05.780
people vote?
00:48:07.320
They're potential voters,
00:48:08.640
but are they voters?
00:48:11.280
I don't know.
00:48:12.040
I'm a little unclear if
00:48:13.140
those are people who did
00:48:14.260
vote or if they're just
00:48:15.620
potential voters, of
00:48:17.160
which only half of them
00:48:18.120
would kind of vote.
00:48:22.560
But here's the problem.
00:48:25.940
Are there enough people
00:48:27.400
in the country who are
00:48:29.120
voters to give Joe
00:48:31.380
Biden that number of
00:48:32.540
votes?
00:48:32.780
And the answer is yes.
00:48:34.200
There are enough people.
00:48:36.520
There are definitely
00:48:37.380
enough people.
00:48:38.320
And there are enough of
00:48:39.200
those people who could
00:48:40.080
potentially vote Democrat
00:48:41.300
to give him the number
00:48:42.980
that is reported right now.
00:48:44.860
Here's the part that
00:48:45.680
doesn't square.
00:48:47.180
I cannot square the
00:48:49.860
complete lack of
00:48:51.580
enthusiasm with the
00:48:54.060
vote count.
00:48:55.460
If you could get that
00:48:56.920
much of a vote count
00:48:58.000
just by hating Trump,
00:49:00.680
maybe.
00:49:02.520
I'm not going to say
00:49:03.680
that's impossible,
00:49:05.680
but it doesn't
00:49:08.340
pass my sniff test.
00:49:10.280
So I'm going to stick
00:49:12.900
with, is it
00:49:14.100
mathematically possible
00:49:15.480
that a great
00:49:18.000
candidate could get
00:49:19.620
as many votes as
00:49:20.620
Joe Biden?
00:49:21.340
No.
00:49:22.160
I mean, yes, it's
00:49:22.980
possible.
00:49:23.760
It's completely
00:49:24.480
possible that a great
00:49:25.740
candidate could get
00:49:27.040
as many votes as
00:49:27.940
Joe Biden does.
00:49:28.980
But is it possible
00:49:30.000
that he did, like a
00:49:32.280
terrible candidate,
00:49:33.700
with no enthusiasm
00:49:34.780
that is observable
00:49:36.580
whatsoever for the
00:49:37.560
entire campaign?
00:49:38.460
No enthusiasm.
00:49:41.300
And yet it showed up
00:49:42.340
on election day?
00:49:43.860
It is possible.
00:49:46.160
It's just, when you
00:49:47.580
say, is there anything
00:49:48.480
that would suggest
00:49:49.340
there's fraud?
00:49:50.480
Well, that's at least
00:49:53.080
where I'd be sniffing.
00:49:55.140
But, again, it's not
00:49:56.520
proof.
00:49:57.340
All right.
00:49:58.800
So it looks like
00:49:59.820
Regeneron works and is
00:50:01.780
getting approved for
00:50:02.640
emergency use, whereas
00:50:04.300
remdesivir doesn't work.
00:50:05.900
So that's our current
00:50:07.040
information.
00:50:08.740
Remdesivir doesn't
00:50:10.380
work.
00:50:11.360
And what about
00:50:11.840
hydroxychloroquine?
00:50:13.500
It's like masks.
00:50:15.640
You know, every week
00:50:17.200
there's a new study
00:50:18.440
that says hydroxychloroquine
00:50:20.020
doesn't work, followed
00:50:21.820
by one that says it
00:50:22.940
totally works.
00:50:24.380
Then it doesn't work.
00:50:25.560
It totally works.
00:50:26.540
Just like masks.
00:50:28.180
Believe the experts
00:50:29.220
who are telling you
00:50:31.160
conflicting things.
00:50:32.240
And I'll say this
00:50:34.900
again.
00:50:35.240
I don't remember if I
00:50:35.940
said this yesterday.
00:50:37.340
But is China still
00:50:38.720
reporting that the
00:50:39.960
coronavirus is basically
00:50:41.380
solved in China?
00:50:43.240
That's true, right?
00:50:44.420
Give me a fact check on
00:50:45.400
that.
00:50:46.080
China still says they've
00:50:47.280
eradicated it for all
00:50:48.800
practical purposes,
00:50:49.840
right?
00:50:50.720
Is that possible?
00:50:52.600
I mean, really?
00:50:54.460
Really?
00:50:55.480
Is that possible?
00:50:57.140
Now, there are two
00:50:58.380
possibilities that I
00:50:59.460
can see.
00:51:00.780
Number one, maybe
00:51:02.520
three possibilities.
00:51:04.080
Number one, China is
00:51:05.860
just lying and they
00:51:07.940
haven't controlled it
00:51:08.900
at all.
00:51:10.120
Now, if that were the
00:51:11.040
case, wouldn't we
00:51:12.700
know that by now?
00:51:14.400
If, you know, millions
00:51:15.840
of people were dying in
00:51:17.020
China and there was,
00:51:18.780
you know, wild,
00:51:19.760
rampant virus there,
00:51:22.220
we would know that,
00:51:23.240
right?
00:51:23.480
Even if they claimed it
00:51:24.800
wasn't happening, we
00:51:26.460
have enough observable
00:51:28.760
people around, we
00:51:30.320
would know that.
00:51:31.660
So I think the thing
00:51:32.820
we can rule out is
00:51:34.860
that they have a
00:51:35.680
massive pandemic over
00:51:37.020
there that they're
00:51:38.140
hiding.
00:51:39.140
I don't think they're
00:51:40.160
hiding it.
00:51:41.540
Now, the other
00:51:42.240
possibility is that
00:51:43.140
they found some way
00:51:44.420
to treat it that
00:51:46.660
they're not sharing
00:51:48.260
with us or they have
00:51:49.980
shared and we're not
00:51:50.920
doing it right.
00:51:52.220
Do you believe that
00:51:53.360
their better adherence
00:51:54.600
to masks is the
00:51:56.820
difference?
00:51:57.980
No, nobody believes
00:51:59.000
that.
00:51:59.340
Even people who are
00:52:00.220
pro-mask don't
00:52:01.900
believe that the
00:52:02.680
difference between
00:52:03.500
China and the
00:52:04.140
United States is
00:52:05.480
masks.
00:52:06.980
Nor does anybody
00:52:08.040
believe that it's
00:52:08.900
social distancing,
00:52:10.020
I believe, right?
00:52:11.540
Because while those
00:52:12.260
things, a lot of
00:52:13.400
experts say work and
00:52:14.760
are important, and
00:52:15.920
obviously social
00:52:16.840
distancing has to
00:52:17.820
work, I don't think
00:52:19.880
that's enough because
00:52:21.880
you can see in our
00:52:22.820
own experience that
00:52:23.720
even when we do it
00:52:24.680
well, it doesn't
00:52:26.000
really stop the
00:52:27.300
pandemic.
00:52:28.840
So, how about
00:52:30.700
medicines?
00:52:32.920
Don't you think by
00:52:33.800
now that there's
00:52:34.660
enough sharing of
00:52:36.000
information that if
00:52:37.780
the people in China
00:52:38.680
were getting some
00:52:39.420
kind of secret
00:52:40.080
medicine, what do
00:52:42.000
we know about that?
00:52:43.560
You know,
00:52:44.000
hypothetically, if
00:52:45.100
they were all getting
00:52:45.840
hydroxychloroquine and
00:52:47.560
it turns out that it
00:52:48.500
really did work, and
00:52:49.960
that's the big
00:52:50.580
difference?
00:52:53.580
I'm not actually
00:52:54.580
high.
00:52:54.920
there's always
00:52:56.120
somebody who asks
00:52:56.740
me if I'm high at
00:52:57.620
eight in the
00:52:58.040
morning.
00:52:59.400
Not so much.
00:53:00.780
No.
00:53:01.200
This is actually my
00:53:02.260
actual personality.
00:53:04.280
Shocking, I know.
00:53:06.940
So, the other
00:53:07.680
possibility is that
00:53:08.480
they have some
00:53:09.620
medicine or
00:53:10.700
therapeutic or
00:53:11.700
cure that we
00:53:13.060
don't have.
00:53:14.200
But how would we
00:53:15.020
not know that by
00:53:15.960
now?
00:53:16.420
Because it would
00:53:16.840
have to be somewhat
00:53:17.660
massively produced
00:53:20.140
and massively
00:53:21.060
distributed.
00:53:22.540
We'd know that,
00:53:23.460
right?
00:53:24.460
I mean, there's
00:53:25.080
some things we
00:53:25.680
can't know about
00:53:26.340
China, but you'd
00:53:27.780
know if there was a
00:53:28.600
massive pandemic, and
00:53:30.360
you would know if
00:53:31.220
they were using some
00:53:32.080
massive kind of
00:53:33.100
different vaccine or
00:53:34.660
therapeutic.
00:53:35.720
So, can we
00:53:36.820
eliminate those
00:53:37.760
things as
00:53:38.960
possibilities?
00:53:40.680
Probably.
00:53:41.960
There is another
00:53:42.940
possibility, which is
00:53:44.680
the worst case
00:53:45.720
scenario, which is
00:53:47.500
that they always
00:53:49.060
knew there was a
00:53:49.940
genetic, let's
00:53:52.120
say, advantage.
00:53:53.520
That maybe they
00:53:54.260
just don't get it
00:53:56.440
as badly, or
00:53:57.680
maybe the 5% who
00:53:59.740
were susceptible
00:54:00.860
already got it.
00:54:02.860
Could there be that
00:54:04.160
much of a genetic
00:54:05.240
difference?
00:54:06.640
And could that be
00:54:07.420
part of the reason?
00:54:08.460
Now, that, of
00:54:09.040
course, would
00:54:09.820
suggest that maybe
00:54:10.960
it was a
00:54:11.480
weaponized virus,
00:54:13.140
which is a
00:54:13.920
separate question.
00:54:15.520
But, we have a
00:54:17.640
mystery here.
00:54:19.360
Would you, the
00:54:20.140
only thing I want
00:54:20.920
you to agree on is,
00:54:22.500
would you agree that
00:54:23.460
we don't know why
00:54:24.720
they're having a
00:54:25.820
good result?
00:54:26.900
Can you fact check
00:54:27.780
me on this?
00:54:28.740
Is there anybody
00:54:29.320
here, is there
00:54:31.980
anybody here who
00:54:32.760
believes that we
00:54:33.980
understand in the
00:54:35.240
United States why
00:54:37.620
China's experience is
00:54:39.060
what it is?
00:54:41.100
Is there anybody
00:54:41.940
who thinks we
00:54:42.520
understand it?
00:54:43.240
Because if we
00:54:45.220
don't understand
00:54:46.000
it, we should
00:54:47.800
break relations
00:54:48.740
with China.
00:54:50.140
Just send every
00:54:51.140
one of their
00:54:51.560
fucking diplomats
00:54:52.540
home, and say,
00:54:53.680
look, we will
00:54:55.100
continue having
00:54:56.040
relationships with
00:54:57.240
you, you know,
00:54:57.840
meaning diplomatic
00:54:58.520
relations, after you
00:55:00.240
tell us what you
00:55:00.980
did.
00:55:02.080
Because whatever
00:55:02.820
you're doing,
00:55:04.380
seems to be
00:55:05.860
working, and
00:55:07.340
you're not telling
00:55:08.080
us what it is.
00:55:09.040
and given that
00:55:11.480
the virus came
00:55:12.800
from you, and
00:55:14.860
you seem to have
00:55:15.620
gotten over it, and
00:55:16.520
we haven't, and
00:55:17.320
you're not telling
00:55:18.020
us how, I feel
00:55:20.400
like we're at war.
00:55:22.420
And at the very
00:55:23.340
least, we're going
00:55:24.380
to send your
00:55:24.880
fucking diplomats
00:55:25.920
home until you
00:55:27.280
tell us something
00:55:27.960
that sounds even a
00:55:29.340
little bit like it
00:55:31.160
could be true.
00:55:32.980
Just a little bit
00:55:34.140
like it could be
00:55:34.880
true.
00:55:35.700
Send the fucking
00:55:36.720
diplomats home.
00:55:37.700
China has some
00:55:39.700
explaining.
00:55:40.720
Now, could it be
00:55:41.440
that they have a
00:55:42.400
perfectly good
00:55:43.380
explanation, and
00:55:44.920
once we heard it,
00:55:45.900
we would say, oh,
00:55:46.700
okay, I guess you're
00:55:47.920
doing a good job
00:55:48.580
over there.
00:55:48.960
We should be more
00:55:50.020
like that.
00:55:51.100
Yeah, could be.
00:55:52.700
You can't rule out
00:55:53.540
the possibility that
00:55:54.460
it's just something
00:55:54.980
we don't know, and
00:55:56.060
once you found
00:55:57.120
out, you'd be
00:55:59.860
satisfied.
00:56:03.880
So, I think we
00:56:05.960
need to get a
00:56:06.520
little tougher on
00:56:07.520
China about that.
00:56:08.640
Now, in a
00:56:09.420
related story, there's
00:56:11.620
a startup, which
00:56:12.620
I'll talk about
00:56:13.220
later, but not
00:56:14.580
ready to do it
00:56:15.220
yet.
00:56:15.420
There's a startup
00:56:16.040
that will test
00:56:16.900
your DNA to see
00:56:19.200
if you have a
00:56:20.200
high propensity
00:56:21.760
to have a bad
00:56:22.800
experience with
00:56:24.340
COVID.
00:56:25.080
I actually tested
00:56:26.680
my DNA, which I
00:56:28.560
can download from
00:56:29.460
23andMe, because
00:56:30.660
I'd used 23andMe
00:56:31.980
once.
00:56:33.000
And once you've
00:56:33.640
used it, you can
00:56:34.400
download your DNA,
00:56:35.700
because it's your
00:56:37.000
DNA, so you
00:56:37.800
can own it.
00:56:39.180
And then I
00:56:39.700
sent it off to
00:56:40.440
the startup, and
00:56:41.420
I'll tell you about
00:56:42.240
the startup in a
00:56:44.040
separate periscope.
00:56:45.540
And they tested it,
00:56:46.840
and they said that
00:56:47.840
I'm somewhere in the
00:56:49.440
average range.
00:56:50.840
So, in other words,
00:56:51.480
I'm not in the
00:56:53.060
population, which
00:56:54.880
by my DNA, I
00:56:56.380
would have an
00:56:57.260
unusually bad
00:56:58.320
situation, but
00:57:00.060
neither am I in
00:57:01.440
some category where
00:57:02.940
I'm unusually
00:57:04.080
exempt from it.
00:57:06.040
So I'm sort of in
00:57:06.960
the average range
00:57:09.220
there, I think.
00:57:12.280
So, if it's
00:57:13.680
true that this
00:57:14.620
startup can tell
00:57:16.020
by your DNA, if
00:57:17.580
you are likely to
00:57:18.540
have a bad
00:57:19.040
experience with it,
00:57:20.280
is it possible
00:57:21.140
that China made
00:57:23.980
a virus that
00:57:26.840
they were not
00:57:27.540
expecting to
00:57:28.400
release, perhaps,
00:57:29.520
to see if they
00:57:31.580
could make a
00:57:32.060
virus that would
00:57:32.720
affect non-Chinese
00:57:34.080
people?
00:57:35.580
You know, I'd
00:57:36.700
love to think
00:57:37.400
that that's not
00:57:39.080
a thing, and no
00:57:39.980
country would ever
00:57:40.900
work on something
00:57:41.680
like that.
00:57:43.240
But, in terms of
00:57:45.640
military stuff,
00:57:48.380
I've got a feeling
00:57:49.160
that the military
00:57:49.860
works on all
00:57:50.660
kinds of stuff,
00:57:52.080
both ours and
00:57:53.040
other countries,
00:57:54.100
that if you heard
00:57:55.080
about it, you
00:57:55.520
would be horrified.
00:57:57.140
But maybe it's
00:57:57.820
just because they
00:57:58.500
need to know how
00:57:59.080
this stuff works
00:57:59.800
in case the
00:58:00.360
enemy uses it.
00:58:03.900
All right, so
00:58:04.320
that's all I got
00:58:05.580
for now.
00:58:06.080
I'm not accusing
00:58:06.740
China of anything
00:58:08.200
except not being
00:58:09.540
forthcoming, and
00:58:11.260
that's enough to
00:58:12.120
send their
00:58:12.480
diplomats home,
00:58:13.440
in my opinion.
00:58:14.460
That's all for
00:58:15.100
now, and I'll
00:58:16.140
talk to you
00:58:16.700
later.
00:58:19.820
All right, you
00:58:20.700
YouTubers,
00:58:21.760
Periscope is
00:58:22.580
offline.
00:58:23.320
people are still
00:58:29.140
blaming Fauci for
00:58:30.400
sending the virus
00:58:31.860
to Wuhan.
00:58:32.820
I don't buy any
00:58:33.620
of the Fauci is in
00:58:34.860
on it stories.
00:58:36.920
the longer it
00:58:43.520
goes on, the
00:58:44.240
longer you
00:58:44.680
believe China
00:58:45.420
had something
00:58:45.860
to do with
00:58:46.380
it, somebody
00:58:46.800
says.
00:58:48.560
China needs
00:58:49.280
to pay.
00:58:52.860
What about
00:58:53.440
the Canadian
00:58:54.020
researcher getting
00:58:54.900
arrested?
00:58:55.420
I don't know
00:58:55.740
about that.
00:58:57.120
Should the
00:58:57.500
vaccine be
00:58:58.260
compulsory?
00:58:59.220
No, no, it
00:59:00.200
should not be
00:59:00.780
compulsory.
00:59:01.700
I don't think
00:59:02.200
it'll need to
00:59:02.680
be.
00:59:02.840
Can we
00:59:05.340
make merchandise
00:59:06.040
for you?
00:59:06.620
I'd rather you
00:59:07.180
did not, but
00:59:08.680
thank you.
00:59:12.480
Reparations?
00:59:13.240
Oh, reparations
00:59:14.120
for the virus?
00:59:16.100
Yeah, I don't
00:59:16.760
see China paying
00:59:18.080
us any reparations.
00:59:19.380
That doesn't
00:59:19.760
seem like that
00:59:20.600
is ever going
00:59:21.060
to happen.
00:59:23.860
Aren't you
00:59:24.520
using analogies
00:59:25.620
to describe the
00:59:26.580
chances of
00:59:27.140
fraud?
00:59:27.500
Yes, and that
00:59:28.300
is the correct
00:59:29.160
way to use
00:59:29.980
an analogy.
00:59:31.520
I will
00:59:31.920
explain this
00:59:32.560
for the
00:59:32.960
billionth
00:59:33.560
time.
00:59:34.980
Analogies
00:59:35.460
are not
00:59:35.960
persuasive
00:59:36.840
as arguments.
00:59:38.640
They are
00:59:38.980
very useful
00:59:39.720
for describing
00:59:40.720
a concept
00:59:41.360
for the
00:59:42.120
first time.
00:59:43.260
But it
00:59:43.660
is not
00:59:44.020
true that
00:59:44.600
if something
00:59:45.080
reminds you
00:59:45.900
of something
00:59:46.360
else, that
00:59:47.660
something else
00:59:48.360
is going to
00:59:48.800
act the same
00:59:49.580
in the future
00:59:50.160
as the thing
00:59:51.220
that reminded
00:59:51.760
you of it.
00:59:52.300
So it's not
00:59:52.780
a persuasion,
00:59:53.780
it's just
00:59:54.500
describing something
00:59:55.540
for the first
00:59:56.120
time.
00:59:56.480
It's useful
00:59:56.880
for that.
00:59:58.280
All right.
00:59:58.580
you redefined
01:00:04.480
the slaughter
01:00:05.040
meter.
01:00:05.660
Yes.
01:00:06.800
So I
01:00:08.000
know there's
01:00:08.460
going to be
01:00:08.780
an entire
01:00:09.420
cottage industry
01:00:10.880
of people who
01:00:11.840
want to tell
01:00:12.460
me, Scott,
01:00:13.700
you're wrong
01:00:14.740
and you can't
01:00:15.680
admit it and
01:00:16.720
you move the
01:00:17.760
goalposts.
01:00:19.120
But here's
01:00:20.700
the situation.
01:00:22.240
I have
01:00:23.000
already
01:00:23.540
congratulated
01:00:24.560
Biden for
01:00:25.220
winning.
01:00:26.700
I'm done.
01:00:28.800
If Biden
01:00:29.700
is put in
01:00:30.380
office, I'm
01:00:31.860
the guy who
01:00:32.380
congratulated him
01:00:33.460
the day the
01:00:34.040
networks called
01:00:34.820
it for him.
01:00:35.680
That's it.
01:00:36.500
But it is also
01:00:37.440
true that Trump
01:00:38.340
has these legal
01:00:39.160
challenges and
01:00:39.900
he's allowed to
01:00:40.580
do them and
01:00:41.060
we can talk
01:00:41.560
about them.
01:00:42.480
But I can
01:00:43.260
still congratulate
01:00:44.020
him for winning
01:00:45.140
in a surface
01:00:48.040
way and I
01:00:49.480
would expect
01:00:50.360
the same would
01:00:51.020
be true if
01:00:51.620
it had gone
01:00:52.020
the other
01:00:52.320
way.
01:00:54.560
So, and
01:00:56.720
because I've
01:00:57.380
already accepted
01:00:58.180
that Biden
01:00:59.260
is likely to
01:01:00.400
take the
01:01:00.800
office, then
01:01:03.380
I have also
01:01:03.900
modified what
01:01:04.740
it means to
01:01:05.360
talk about the
01:01:05.940
slaughter meter.
01:01:07.220
But I'm doing
01:01:07.840
it in front of
01:01:09.300
you.
01:01:10.120
I'm not trying
01:01:10.760
to be tricky.
01:01:12.620
I already
01:01:13.220
said I
01:01:14.480
predicted Trump
01:01:15.400
would win on
01:01:15.940
votes.
01:01:16.880
Didn't happen.
01:01:17.740
There may be an
01:01:18.320
explanation.
01:01:19.100
We may never
01:01:19.660
know.
01:01:20.740
But, you
01:01:22.840
know, it is
01:01:23.260
what it is.
01:01:24.120
All right.
01:01:24.560
All right.
01:01:25.600
So here's
01:01:26.340
what he says
01:01:26.760
backpedal time.
01:01:28.380
All right.
01:01:28.640
So I'm going
01:01:29.200
to block you,
01:01:30.500
Sammy, because
01:01:32.380
the whole point
01:01:33.360
is that I've
01:01:35.200
said what I'm
01:01:35.820
doing and when
01:01:37.000
I adjust my
01:01:38.540
prediction, I
01:01:39.800
acknowledge that
01:01:40.720
I'm adjusting it
01:01:41.620
because it doesn't
01:01:42.360
work anymore.
01:01:43.640
So I'm
01:01:44.440
accepting that
01:01:47.400
my, you know,
01:01:48.620
that it didn't
01:01:49.440
happen.
01:01:50.100
Right.
01:01:50.300
So I am
01:01:51.640
allowed to
01:01:52.540
re, to
01:01:53.980
re-predict.
01:01:56.180
Re-predicting
01:01:57.140
and saying that
01:01:58.380
your old
01:01:58.720
prediction didn't
01:01:59.440
work is not
01:02:00.580
moving the
01:02:01.280
goal line because
01:02:02.480
you're doing it
01:02:03.120
explicitly.
01:02:03.940
Right.
01:02:04.880
You can change
01:02:05.780
your prediction.
01:02:06.280
So I'm
01:02:08.160
going to, I'm
01:02:08.980
going to delete
01:02:09.740
you.
01:02:14.160
Hide user on
01:02:15.440
this channel.
01:02:16.180
Okay.
01:02:16.460
You're hidden.
01:02:19.680
No, you can't,
01:02:20.800
Scott.
01:02:22.880
All right.
01:02:23.680
That's all for now
01:02:24.580
and I'll talk to
01:02:25.380
you.
01:02:27.600
Silence leads to
01:02:28.680
violence, Dave
01:02:30.040
says, and thank
01:02:31.020
you.
01:02:31.200
I appreciate
01:02:32.940
that.
01:02:34.720
Bye for now.
Link copied!