Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 22, 2020


Episode 1195 Scott Adams: I Tell You Who is Being Most Gullible, Show You Some Nuclear Persuasion, and Predict


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 2 minutes

Words per Minute

141.00769

Word Count

8,826

Sentence Count

521

Misogynist Sentences

1

Hate Speech Sentences

13


Summary


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Oh, hey! I didn't see you there. You snuck in here without me even noticing.
00:00:13.400 Good morning. Good morning.
00:00:16.460 It's time for Coffee with Scott Adams, the best time of the day.
00:00:20.960 Every single time, and all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or gels,
00:00:25.820 a cyanide, a canteen, a jug, a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:30.760 Fill it with your favorite liquid I like, coffee.
00:00:34.460 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine at the end of the day,
00:00:39.580 the thing that makes everything better. You know it does.
00:00:43.680 It's called The Simultaneous Sip, and it happens now. Go.
00:00:46.180 Well, I feel as if even remdesivir works now.
00:01:00.020 It's because of the coffee.
00:01:01.880 If you add coffee to any therapeutic or vaccine, it's more effective.
00:01:09.200 A lot of people don't know that, but that's why I'm here, to educate you.
00:01:12.580 Speaking of educating you, I'm experimenting with a new form of education.
00:01:19.840 Have you ever noticed that if you take a class in anything, it's really boring?
00:01:26.880 Have you noticed that?
00:01:28.120 Have you noticed that education, just in general, boring as hell?
00:01:35.080 Does it need to be?
00:01:36.900 Probably not. Probably not.
00:01:39.680 Sometimes it's just because we say that a class has to be 45 minutes,
00:01:45.900 and then you just make it 45 minutes.
00:01:49.220 Why does every class have to be 45 minutes, or an hour, or whatever?
00:01:54.360 Don't you think that there are some types of content
00:01:57.020 that you should hit in 10 minutes and then let it rest for a day?
00:02:01.540 We have this structure set up that's completely wrong for learning.
00:02:05.860 So, I'm doing a little experiment over on the Locals platform,
00:02:11.240 where I have content for subscribers only.
00:02:15.080 And what I'm doing is I'm putting what I call micro-lessons there.
00:02:19.180 And a micro-lesson would be maybe a two- to three-minute lesson
00:02:22.680 on some really focused and immediately useful life skill.
00:02:29.760 And the idea here is if you've watched other YouTube videos on any topic,
00:02:38.520 let me give you my impression of looking up a YouTube video
00:02:45.480 that will explain how to do something that I want to do.
00:02:48.580 And let's say the thing is I want to learn how to, let's say, repaint my house.
00:02:55.400 And I'll go to the video on how to paint your house.
00:03:00.440 And I'll click it and I'll say, great, this is exactly what I need.
00:03:04.200 I want to paint my house.
00:03:05.620 I don't know how.
00:03:07.000 This video is going to tell me.
00:03:08.880 And then the guy will come in and he'll say,
00:03:10.820 so I've been doing videos for six months,
00:03:15.780 and some people said some things I should change.
00:03:19.940 And I'd be like, how about painting the house?
00:03:22.620 Can we get to the part where you tell me how to paint the frickin' house?
00:03:27.080 And it'll be five, ten minutes later before he starts talking.
00:03:31.260 And then he talks way too slowly, like I'm doing right now.
00:03:37.120 Because your patience and your attention span has been shrinking every year,
00:03:42.700 especially lately.
00:03:44.260 Because your smartphones and social media are just shrinking your attention span like crazy.
00:03:48.820 So if you can't get education down to tiny little nuggets,
00:03:54.700 it's probably more than you want to handle.
00:03:58.220 Because your life's pretty complicated and fast moving.
00:04:01.800 So if I can't put it into a little nugget for you, it's probably not going to work.
00:04:06.540 So here's some of the classes, micro classes.
00:04:09.820 So these are like two, three minute classes on locals.
00:04:13.500 So you've got locals.com if you wanted to be there.
00:04:16.020 I taught how to talk like a hypnotist.
00:04:20.640 Success strategies.
00:04:22.140 I went through some basic life success strategies.
00:04:24.940 Using imagination to fuel your success.
00:04:28.280 Programming yourself for bad habits.
00:04:29.960 For good habits, not bad habits.
00:04:32.200 How to ask for what you want.
00:04:35.160 These are basic life skills.
00:04:37.700 Do you know how many people
00:04:39.060 don't know how to simply ask for what they want?
00:04:43.460 Just really basic life skills.
00:04:47.140 Knowing when to trust experts and when not to.
00:04:50.300 Pretty useful.
00:04:51.980 And I'm working on one I haven't done yet.
00:04:54.700 And I had to know you have a good product or service.
00:04:58.360 So anyway, that's there.
00:04:59.820 The Rasmussen report says that 61% of people,
00:05:04.660 actually likely voters,
00:05:06.340 61% of likely voters think Trump should concede.
00:05:10.860 61%.
00:05:11.420 61%.
00:05:13.420 At the same time,
00:05:16.240 47%, nearly half,
00:05:19.700 say it's likely that Democrats stole the votes
00:05:22.340 or destroyed pro-Trump ballots in several states
00:05:25.500 to ensure his victory.
00:05:28.460 So think about the enormity of these two numbers.
00:05:32.740 61% of voters, likely voters,
00:05:36.380 think Trump should concede,
00:05:38.860 but half of voters think the election was stolen.
00:05:45.220 That means that there's a whole bunch of people
00:05:47.820 in this country who have the following thoughts.
00:05:52.160 The election was stolen.
00:05:54.560 Let's just go with it.
00:05:56.460 Let's just go with it.
00:05:57.560 And now, if you said to yourself,
00:06:02.160 would this work if the situation had been reversed?
00:06:08.040 Would you find that the Democrats,
00:06:12.060 if they believed,
00:06:13.220 let's say 50% of the country believed,
00:06:15.660 that Trump had won,
00:06:17.700 but it was a rigged election,
00:06:19.300 do you think the Democrats would say,
00:06:22.260 ah, darn it,
00:06:24.320 darn it,
00:06:25.520 I sure wish we hadn't had a rigged election,
00:06:28.420 but all right,
00:06:29.180 we'll just figure it out on the next election.
00:06:32.640 Do you think they would have just said that?
00:06:34.840 Because the Republicans kind of are.
00:06:39.440 That's kind of what they're saying.
00:06:41.460 They're kind of saying,
00:06:42.640 ah, we think it was stolen,
00:06:44.340 we're going to live with it anyway.
00:06:48.020 What would be behind that?
00:06:50.720 I have an opinion.
00:06:52.920 I would say it's a preliminary opinion.
00:06:54.880 I'll just put it out there
00:06:55.740 and you can decide if you like it.
00:06:58.560 I think conservatives slash Republicans
00:07:01.820 have this general philosophical sense
00:07:06.480 that if there was something that went wrong
00:07:09.160 that they could have fixed,
00:07:11.300 it's a little bit on them.
00:07:13.000 A little bit of a,
00:07:15.680 let's say a bias
00:07:16.780 for accepting responsibility
00:07:19.060 even if it wasn't your job,
00:07:21.420 if you could have done something about it.
00:07:24.420 Do you think there's something
00:07:25.720 that you personally
00:07:27.000 could have done more or better,
00:07:30.720 collectively, let's say,
00:07:32.080 you personally,
00:07:33.280 but also collectively,
00:07:34.900 to have gotten to a better place
00:07:37.260 in this election
00:07:38.320 where it was either more certain
00:07:39.920 or your candidate won?
00:07:41.740 And probably there are a lot of Republicans
00:07:45.480 and conservatives
00:07:46.360 who are saying some version of this.
00:07:49.460 You know,
00:07:50.560 maybe if I'd made more noise
00:07:54.600 about having a fair election
00:07:56.520 or I'd fought harder
00:07:58.800 to get rid of mail-in votes
00:08:00.720 or I'd complained differently
00:08:03.260 or I'd volunteered to be a watcher,
00:08:06.160 maybe there's something I could have done
00:08:07.880 so we wouldn't be in this situation.
00:08:11.920 I see one person agreeing with me.
00:08:14.280 I don't know if I'll get more.
00:08:15.720 But I do believe that Republicans
00:08:17.380 are biased.
00:08:20.620 And again,
00:08:21.300 anything I say about Republicans
00:08:22.960 or Democrats
00:08:23.680 never means every one of them.
00:08:27.040 Right?
00:08:27.500 So you're all smart enough
00:08:28.820 to know when I make generalities,
00:08:30.620 it doesn't mean every person.
00:08:31.840 It just means there's a tendency
00:08:33.640 or, you know,
00:08:34.640 a bias.
00:08:36.160 I think Republicans say,
00:08:37.800 well,
00:08:38.180 we had our shot.
00:08:40.120 It's our own damn fault.
00:08:42.500 We'll try to figure it out next time.
00:08:45.220 I don't know
00:08:46.140 if that's widespread,
00:08:47.820 but I feel that at least
00:08:48.740 some people feel that way.
00:08:50.580 Because I feel that way
00:08:52.060 a little bit myself.
00:08:53.100 I feel that
00:08:55.640 if I let the process run,
00:09:00.740 meaning that the legal process
00:09:02.820 does what the legal process does,
00:09:05.160 and then we get to the end of it
00:09:07.040 and the challenges
00:09:07.780 are somewhat extinguished,
00:09:10.360 even if I'm certain
00:09:13.200 that the election was stolen,
00:09:16.040 I'm actually going to be
00:09:17.300 completely okay with it.
00:09:18.940 Completely okay.
00:09:20.640 Like, 100% okay.
00:09:22.200 That doesn't mean
00:09:23.860 I don't still think
00:09:25.140 maybe the election was stolen.
00:09:27.860 But if the process goes forward
00:09:31.360 and the consensus of the country
00:09:34.200 is it's just time to move on,
00:09:36.480 you know,
00:09:37.360 you can't fix the past,
00:09:39.780 you can't fix history,
00:09:41.360 you can't have everything
00:09:42.460 the way you want it.
00:09:44.060 But you can maybe improve.
00:09:46.700 You can maybe fix it
00:09:48.140 for the next time
00:09:48.920 if you still have that option.
00:09:52.200 I hope we do.
00:09:53.800 So I've got a feeling
00:09:55.040 that there's a lot of,
00:09:56.860 what's the word,
00:09:58.940 capitulation,
00:10:00.520 as they say
00:10:01.480 in the financial markets.
00:10:03.220 There's a lot of
00:10:04.360 capitulation going.
00:10:06.000 People who believe
00:10:07.080 that the election was rigged
00:10:08.880 and are still,
00:10:10.260 still willing to say,
00:10:12.860 well,
00:10:14.060 all right,
00:10:14.760 we'll get them next time.
00:10:15.640 That's what it feels like.
00:10:18.180 That's the way it feels like
00:10:19.460 it's shaping up.
00:10:22.400 Interestingly,
00:10:23.280 when I look at the CNN homepage,
00:10:25.180 I see no stories
00:10:27.580 about alleged election fraud,
00:10:31.080 except stories saying
00:10:33.220 it didn't happen
00:10:33.960 and Trump is crazy
00:10:35.240 and any of his followers
00:10:37.360 who think any of that stuff happened,
00:10:39.880 they're crazy too.
00:10:40.720 And I thought to myself,
00:10:44.400 can you think of
00:10:45.160 other situations
00:10:46.360 where the accusation itself
00:10:49.220 wasn't enough
00:10:50.200 to make news?
00:10:52.580 And I'm curious
00:10:54.780 if you can think
00:10:56.600 of any other example
00:10:57.840 of that.
00:10:59.000 Because it seems to me
00:11:00.340 that the accusation
00:11:01.680 is pretty much
00:11:03.260 80% of the news,
00:11:04.560 isn't it?
00:11:05.820 Isn't 80% of all news
00:11:07.940 somebody is accusing
00:11:09.660 somebody of something
00:11:10.580 that typically ends up
00:11:12.760 not being true?
00:11:14.640 More often than not,
00:11:15.860 it's not true.
00:11:17.380 So,
00:11:17.920 why is this the one time
00:11:19.780 that an accusation
00:11:22.060 is not news?
00:11:24.300 Well,
00:11:24.640 the answer is this,
00:11:26.060 that news is also persuasion
00:11:28.200 and the left
00:11:30.040 does not want you
00:11:31.060 to think
00:11:31.520 that the irregularities
00:11:34.420 alleged and real
00:11:35.740 made a difference.
00:11:38.920 And if they even
00:11:39.960 reported the allegations,
00:11:41.940 there would be
00:11:42.460 so many of them,
00:11:43.420 I guess there are
00:11:43.960 220 sworn affidavits
00:11:46.700 or something like that.
00:11:47.840 Even if you'd say
00:11:48.780 half of them
00:11:49.440 are complete BS,
00:11:51.140 if they just talked
00:11:52.560 about all the allegations,
00:11:54.500 you would come away
00:11:55.420 thinking that the election
00:11:56.960 was rigged.
00:11:58.980 So,
00:12:00.060 your brain,
00:12:01.020 not you personally,
00:12:02.420 but brains in general,
00:12:04.420 they work on
00:12:05.520 how often you see something,
00:12:08.920 whether your attention
00:12:10.040 is brought to it,
00:12:11.160 far more than
00:12:12.240 your logic
00:12:12.980 and your reason.
00:12:14.340 Those things are
00:12:15.080 largely illusions anyway.
00:12:16.660 You don't have a lot
00:12:17.320 of logic and reason,
00:12:18.540 but you think you do.
00:12:19.920 What you really have
00:12:21.100 is things you spend
00:12:22.980 time thinking about.
00:12:25.220 And if CNN
00:12:25.940 made you think
00:12:26.920 about allegations
00:12:28.000 of fraud,
00:12:29.360 even if their reporting
00:12:30.560 said none of these
00:12:31.460 are true,
00:12:31.880 your brain
00:12:33.340 would still record
00:12:34.400 there was a lot
00:12:35.800 of fraud.
00:12:37.960 So,
00:12:38.620 they have this
00:12:39.020 weird situation
00:12:39.920 where even if
00:12:41.340 they reported
00:12:42.060 all the allegations
00:12:43.200 and said
00:12:44.080 every one of them
00:12:44.860 is false,
00:12:46.420 you'd still come away
00:12:48.100 thinking there was
00:12:48.760 a lot of fraud.
00:12:49.880 So,
00:12:50.380 they can't even
00:12:50.980 cover the story
00:12:52.120 without influencing
00:12:54.180 you to think
00:12:55.100 there was
00:12:55.580 the opposite
00:12:56.380 of how they
00:12:57.000 covered the story.
00:12:57.740 So,
00:12:58.600 it's kind of
00:12:58.960 a tough spot
00:13:01.600 they're in.
00:13:04.660 Have you noticed
00:13:05.620 that the social
00:13:06.560 media platforms
00:13:07.620 have gotten
00:13:08.260 a total pass
00:13:09.400 on election
00:13:10.880 interference?
00:13:12.460 Before the election,
00:13:13.660 we were talking
00:13:14.520 about them a lot.
00:13:16.060 What we were
00:13:16.700 talking less about
00:13:17.940 was outright fraud.
00:13:20.700 But once the election
00:13:21.760 happens,
00:13:23.540 and you've got
00:13:24.200 something real
00:13:24.940 to talk about,
00:13:25.740 not hypothetical,
00:13:26.580 and there are
00:13:28.340 lots of reports
00:13:29.180 of fraud.
00:13:30.060 We'll find out
00:13:30.780 how many of them
00:13:31.400 are real.
00:13:32.740 But it seems
00:13:33.780 that fraud
00:13:34.740 is the shiny object
00:13:36.140 and that
00:13:37.840 if you were to,
00:13:39.940 perhaps if you were
00:13:40.920 to somehow,
00:13:42.000 and I imagine
00:13:43.000 it's impossible
00:13:43.740 to do this,
00:13:44.840 but if you could
00:13:45.460 measure how many
00:13:46.840 votes were
00:13:48.140 determined by fraud,
00:13:50.720 and let's say
00:13:51.320 you think that
00:13:51.940 there were a bunch
00:13:52.760 and might even
00:13:54.240 be millions.
00:13:55.680 Let's say
00:13:56.260 worst-case scenario,
00:13:57.480 I'll just pick
00:13:57.960 a number,
00:13:58.760 worst-case scenario,
00:13:59.920 you're very skeptical
00:14:00.920 of the election,
00:14:02.260 and you think,
00:14:03.020 God, I think that
00:14:03.780 election may have
00:14:04.580 moved fraudulently,
00:14:07.500 I don't know,
00:14:08.460 five, six million
00:14:09.720 votes,
00:14:11.120 something like that.
00:14:12.340 That'd be a lot.
00:14:14.280 That'd be a lot
00:14:15.860 of fraud.
00:14:17.080 How many votes
00:14:17.820 do you think
00:14:18.240 social media moved?
00:14:20.300 If you were to
00:14:21.360 imagine,
00:14:22.500 I'll even up that
00:14:23.540 a little bit.
00:14:23.940 I'll take it
00:14:24.640 to 10 million.
00:14:26.020 Let's take it
00:14:26.860 to 10 million,
00:14:28.280 the worst-case scenario
00:14:29.940 of the worst
00:14:31.320 accusation
00:14:32.200 of how many
00:14:33.420 fraudulent votes
00:14:34.400 there were.
00:14:35.480 I doubt there
00:14:36.160 were 10 million,
00:14:36.920 but let's just use
00:14:37.600 this as our
00:14:38.240 thought experiment
00:14:39.540 here.
00:14:40.740 How many votes
00:14:41.660 do you think
00:14:42.220 social media moved
00:14:43.440 by being
00:14:44.920 biased toward a
00:14:47.600 side?
00:14:48.620 Well, I would
00:14:49.560 think a lot more
00:14:50.300 than 10 million.
00:14:51.040 I don't know
00:14:52.720 how you would
00:14:53.120 measure such a
00:14:53.880 thing.
00:14:55.140 It's largely
00:14:56.000 impossible to
00:14:56.840 measure because
00:14:57.420 there's so many
00:14:58.000 variables.
00:14:59.140 I don't think
00:14:59.580 you could tease
00:15:00.360 out how much
00:15:01.120 was the social
00:15:01.780 media impact.
00:15:03.420 Maybe you could.
00:15:04.120 I can't imagine
00:15:05.100 it's doable.
00:15:06.780 But I feel
00:15:08.840 as if social
00:15:09.640 media is hiding
00:15:11.480 behind the
00:15:13.420 alleged direct
00:15:15.120 fraud accusations
00:15:16.800 because they're
00:15:17.980 just more
00:15:18.460 interesting at the
00:15:19.380 moment and
00:15:20.500 social media is
00:15:21.300 like, don't
00:15:21.880 look over
00:15:22.340 here.
00:15:23.480 Nothing
00:15:23.840 happened here.
00:15:25.000 No direct
00:15:25.660 evidence, right?
00:15:27.160 So I think
00:15:29.340 that was an
00:15:29.860 interesting
00:15:30.280 outcome.
00:15:34.140 I've noticed
00:15:35.140 that as
00:15:37.320 more and
00:15:38.060 more, let's
00:15:39.180 say, Trump
00:15:39.680 supporters start
00:15:41.440 to move
00:15:42.060 toward conceding
00:15:44.740 or suggesting
00:15:46.020 that the
00:15:46.460 president should
00:15:47.220 concede, that
00:15:48.680 the number
00:15:49.140 of his
00:15:50.320 remaining
00:15:51.120 supporters
00:15:51.940 shrinks.
00:15:54.180 And then
00:15:54.860 instead of
00:15:55.500 being lots
00:15:56.500 of targets,
00:15:57.980 there are
00:15:58.520 fewer and
00:15:59.260 fewer targets.
00:16:01.640 Now, my
00:16:02.340 message is
00:16:03.260 not like I
00:16:03.980 believe.
00:16:05.040 Can you
00:16:05.900 fact check
00:16:06.500 me on this?
00:16:07.540 I believe
00:16:08.340 that the
00:16:08.760 things I'm
00:16:09.480 saying about
00:16:10.080 the allegations
00:16:11.960 of fraud
00:16:12.640 are different
00:16:14.540 than what
00:16:15.960 other people
00:16:16.500 are saying.
00:16:16.940 would you
00:16:18.080 say that's
00:16:18.520 true?
00:16:19.220 Would you
00:16:19.580 say that
00:16:19.940 my take
00:16:20.580 on the
00:16:21.300 fraud
00:16:21.820 allegations
00:16:22.380 is different
00:16:23.120 than most
00:16:25.080 Trump
00:16:25.380 supporters?
00:16:27.600 For
00:16:28.200 example, I
00:16:29.000 don't think
00:16:29.460 that the
00:16:30.040 Venezuelan
00:16:31.460 whistleblower is
00:16:32.980 real.
00:16:34.040 But probably
00:16:34.840 I would bet
00:16:35.640 the majority
00:16:37.240 of Trump
00:16:37.700 supporters are
00:16:38.500 willing to
00:16:39.060 buy into
00:16:39.440 that story.
00:16:40.400 So I don't
00:16:40.940 think that my
00:16:42.040 version or
00:16:43.860 my opinion
00:16:44.420 really maps
00:16:45.160 too much
00:16:45.780 to anybody
00:16:46.860 else's at
00:16:47.460 the moment.
00:16:49.060 But one
00:16:50.500 of the ways
00:16:50.900 I'm noticing
00:16:51.360 my critics
00:16:52.060 are going
00:16:52.520 after me
00:16:53.220 is by
00:16:54.140 lumping me
00:16:54.900 with other
00:16:55.420 people who
00:16:55.940 have different
00:16:56.440 arguments.
00:16:57.980 Because it's
00:16:58.840 hard to go
00:16:59.300 after my
00:16:59.860 arguments because
00:17:00.760 they're so
00:17:01.940 darn reasonable.
00:17:03.600 It would be
00:17:04.260 one thing to
00:17:04.880 say, Adams
00:17:06.040 believes
00:17:06.640 everything that
00:17:08.500 is being
00:17:09.700 alleged.
00:17:11.100 Now, if I
00:17:11.780 believed
00:17:12.140 everything that
00:17:12.800 was being
00:17:13.160 alleged, I
00:17:14.840 would be a
00:17:15.500 laughable figure
00:17:16.400 and you
00:17:16.800 could lump
00:17:17.360 in with
00:17:17.860 anybody else
00:17:18.900 and that
00:17:19.440 would be
00:17:19.700 fair.
00:17:20.600 But you
00:17:21.240 can't really
00:17:21.620 do that.
00:17:22.960 I have a
00:17:23.900 fairly nuanced
00:17:24.920 opinion that
00:17:26.160 doesn't attract
00:17:27.060 anybody else's
00:17:27.940 and it's a
00:17:28.760 little bit
00:17:29.080 harder to
00:17:29.640 assail, in
00:17:31.500 part because I
00:17:32.220 don't pick
00:17:32.880 absolutes which
00:17:33.920 are impossible
00:17:34.520 to support.
00:17:37.140 So I think
00:17:38.060 that the only
00:17:38.620 way that you
00:17:39.260 can go after
00:17:39.860 me is to
00:17:41.280 say that I'm
00:17:42.340 really just
00:17:42.960 Rudy Giuliani
00:17:43.900 or I'm
00:17:44.560 really just
00:17:45.120 some other
00:17:45.720 troll on the
00:17:46.360 internet and
00:17:47.500 that I'm
00:17:48.440 just like
00:17:48.900 them.
00:17:49.140 I saw this
00:17:49.640 approach this
00:17:50.240 morning where
00:17:51.340 somebody pointed
00:17:52.200 to some
00:17:52.680 article that
00:17:53.340 had nothing
00:17:53.800 to do with
00:17:54.280 me, a
00:17:55.500 complete stranger
00:17:56.400 wrote an
00:17:56.900 article with
00:17:57.480 an opinion and
00:17:59.040 then somebody
00:17:59.620 tweets that
00:18:00.940 this guy is
00:18:02.140 just like me
00:18:02.920 and I look at
00:18:04.540 it and it's
00:18:04.680 like, well,
00:18:05.740 just like me
00:18:06.400 except we
00:18:07.300 don't share
00:18:07.780 any opinions
00:18:08.520 and I
00:18:10.500 get thrown
00:18:11.220 in with
00:18:11.660 a stranger
00:18:12.240 because they
00:18:13.700 can't attack
00:18:14.360 me directly
00:18:15.200 which is a
00:18:15.800 good place
00:18:16.180 to be, I
00:18:16.560 guess.
00:18:19.120 I asked
00:18:19.820 this question
00:18:20.480 on Twitter
00:18:21.380 and I think
00:18:22.320 it's a sort
00:18:22.920 of question
00:18:24.560 that people
00:18:25.260 will interpret
00:18:25.900 differently so I
00:18:26.860 don't know if
00:18:27.240 you can make
00:18:27.640 anything from
00:18:28.260 the answers but
00:18:29.340 I did a
00:18:29.680 little unscientific
00:18:31.140 Twitter poll and
00:18:32.940 I asked this
00:18:33.480 question.
00:18:34.700 If you
00:18:35.100 personally, and
00:18:36.620 personally is
00:18:37.220 important to
00:18:37.720 this, if you
00:18:38.580 personally have
00:18:39.360 no proof of
00:18:41.040 any election
00:18:41.660 fraud, and
00:18:42.440 wouldn't you
00:18:42.820 say that would
00:18:43.300 apply to most
00:18:43.900 of us, right?
00:18:45.280 There are
00:18:45.880 allegations and
00:18:47.700 there's evidence
00:18:48.740 but, meaning
00:18:51.520 there's people
00:18:52.280 making allegations,
00:18:53.340 that's the
00:18:53.720 evidence, but
00:18:54.560 that's not
00:18:54.920 proof.
00:18:56.360 That's well
00:18:57.460 short of proof.
00:18:59.120 So here's the
00:18:59.860 question.
00:19:00.280 If you
00:19:00.560 personally have
00:19:01.220 no proof of
00:19:02.880 election fraud,
00:19:04.360 which opinion
00:19:05.540 would be the
00:19:06.160 most reasonable
00:19:06.960 one to hold
00:19:07.740 in 2020, so
00:19:09.100 you have no
00:19:09.920 proof of
00:19:10.440 fraud, would
00:19:12.460 you believe
00:19:13.060 with no
00:19:13.720 proof, zero
00:19:15.160 proof, do
00:19:16.700 you believe that
00:19:17.320 the election was
00:19:18.080 probably fair or
00:19:20.360 probably rigged
00:19:21.640 with no
00:19:22.900 proof?
00:19:24.280 What do you
00:19:24.980 think the
00:19:25.680 responses were?
00:19:29.020 Well, last I
00:19:29.660 checked, 88%
00:19:30.800 said it was
00:19:31.400 probably rigged
00:19:32.460 and say that
00:19:34.160 even if there
00:19:36.200 was no proof.
00:19:38.960 Is it
00:19:39.600 reasonable to
00:19:41.260 have a belief
00:19:42.120 that something
00:19:42.980 was rigged
00:19:43.840 with no
00:19:45.360 proof?
00:19:47.320 Now, if there
00:19:47.960 was a little
00:19:48.360 bit of proof,
00:19:49.480 I think we'd
00:19:50.520 all agree it's
00:19:51.760 reasonable to
00:19:53.160 have an opinion.
00:19:53.860 You got a little
00:19:54.320 bit of proof.
00:19:55.520 Might not hold
00:19:56.480 up, but you got a
00:19:57.260 little bit of it.
00:19:57.900 But hypothetically,
00:19:59.940 if you had
00:20:00.840 none, would
00:20:03.300 you still believe
00:20:03.940 it was rigged
00:20:04.560 with no
00:20:05.800 proof?
00:20:08.000 I would.
00:20:10.640 And I would
00:20:11.500 argue that it
00:20:12.120 was completely
00:20:12.860 reasonable.
00:20:14.180 Why?
00:20:15.220 Because you
00:20:15.800 don't need proof
00:20:16.680 of the obvious.
00:20:18.340 Let me give you
00:20:19.140 some more
00:20:19.540 questions and
00:20:20.640 see if you can
00:20:21.300 answer the
00:20:21.920 following questions
00:20:22.840 with no
00:20:24.200 proof.
00:20:25.980 Is there
00:20:26.800 oxygen,
00:20:27.900 oxygen in
00:20:29.080 China?
00:20:31.520 Can you
00:20:32.100 prove it?
00:20:33.340 Show me a
00:20:33.920 study.
00:20:34.760 Show me a
00:20:35.500 study that
00:20:36.080 says that
00:20:37.360 there's oxygen
00:20:38.180 in China
00:20:38.940 today.
00:20:40.040 Oh, yeah,
00:20:40.440 you have
00:20:40.760 studies that
00:20:42.080 there used
00:20:42.560 to be oxygen
00:20:43.440 in China.
00:20:45.340 Y'all agree
00:20:45.900 with you on
00:20:46.340 that.
00:20:47.040 But show me
00:20:47.560 your study that
00:20:48.900 says there's
00:20:49.460 oxygen in
00:20:50.300 China today.
00:20:52.260 You don't
00:20:52.940 have any.
00:20:54.220 So you're
00:20:55.080 going to claim
00:20:55.480 there's oxygen
00:20:56.160 in China with
00:20:57.500 no proof.
00:20:59.180 Zero proof.
00:21:00.740 And yet,
00:21:01.600 and yet,
00:21:02.300 you're willing
00:21:02.720 to go out
00:21:03.140 there and
00:21:03.400 say,
00:21:04.040 oh, I
00:21:04.260 think there's
00:21:04.680 oxygen in
00:21:05.380 China with
00:21:06.200 no proof.
00:21:07.580 No proof.
00:21:09.460 There are
00:21:10.220 some things
00:21:10.960 which by
00:21:11.720 their nature
00:21:12.520 do not
00:21:13.900 require proof.
00:21:16.180 It's just
00:21:17.260 obvious.
00:21:17.720 and when
00:21:19.640 you have
00:21:20.020 a big
00:21:20.600 complicated
00:21:21.320 system that
00:21:22.660 has software
00:21:23.980 all over
00:21:24.800 it, and
00:21:26.320 you have
00:21:26.620 the greatest
00:21:27.140 incentive in
00:21:28.160 the world
00:21:28.680 for intelligence
00:21:30.240 agencies as
00:21:31.300 well as
00:21:31.820 partisans on
00:21:32.780 both sides,
00:21:33.820 at least the
00:21:34.360 evil elements
00:21:35.600 of them,
00:21:36.520 to attempt
00:21:38.560 mischief,
00:21:39.620 you are
00:21:40.420 going to get
00:21:40.960 it every
00:21:41.360 time.
00:21:42.600 It's like
00:21:43.320 oxygen in
00:21:44.120 China.
00:21:44.980 There's no
00:21:45.760 scenario in
00:21:46.640 which it
00:21:47.040 can't happen.
00:21:49.180 It's impossible
00:21:50.200 for it not
00:21:51.140 to be true
00:21:51.800 based on
00:21:52.820 everything else
00:21:53.480 you know
00:21:53.820 about the
00:21:54.220 world and
00:21:54.900 physics and
00:21:56.240 the fact that
00:21:57.100 air doesn't
00:21:57.740 stay in one
00:21:58.300 place.
00:21:59.760 It has to
00:22:00.580 be true.
00:22:01.760 So if you
00:22:02.460 ask me,
00:22:03.200 is there
00:22:03.740 massive fraud
00:22:04.880 in American
00:22:05.660 elections,
00:22:06.360 I would say,
00:22:07.360 how could
00:22:07.800 there not
00:22:08.260 be?
00:22:09.320 I mean,
00:22:09.680 really,
00:22:10.780 how could
00:22:11.220 there not
00:22:11.600 be?
00:22:12.600 But if
00:22:14.000 you're not
00:22:14.400 going to
00:22:14.580 be stupid,
00:22:16.180 you have
00:22:16.580 to take
00:22:16.960 it to the
00:22:17.300 next level,
00:22:18.960 which is
00:22:19.360 probably both
00:22:21.180 sides,
00:22:23.240 probably both
00:22:24.360 sides.
00:22:24.740 If you're not
00:22:25.200 willing to
00:22:25.600 say probably
00:22:26.860 both sides,
00:22:28.800 and in varying
00:22:29.820 degrees, it
00:22:30.740 doesn't mean
00:22:31.160 both sides
00:22:31.820 do the same
00:22:32.600 amount the
00:22:33.740 same way
00:22:34.400 every election
00:22:35.260 or anything
00:22:35.640 like that,
00:22:36.380 but if you
00:22:36.860 can't admit
00:22:37.560 that there
00:22:38.820 are probably
00:22:39.880 cheaters on
00:22:40.560 both sides,
00:22:42.060 you're not
00:22:42.600 really a
00:22:43.600 legitimate
00:22:44.080 person in
00:22:47.260 this conversation,
00:22:48.280 you're really
00:22:48.640 not legitimate.
00:22:49.960 Of course
00:22:50.940 it would be
00:22:51.520 both sides.
00:22:52.900 Might be
00:22:53.540 different amounts,
00:22:55.320 but it would
00:22:56.080 certainly be
00:22:56.560 both sides.
00:22:57.860 Now what we
00:22:58.380 don't know
00:22:58.900 is if the
00:22:59.520 cheating would
00:22:59.980 be sufficient
00:23:00.680 to change
00:23:01.900 a result.
00:23:03.780 I would say
00:23:04.420 that nobody
00:23:04.860 knows that,
00:23:06.520 but you
00:23:06.980 can't say
00:23:07.380 that the
00:23:08.620 election was
00:23:09.260 not at
00:23:09.660 least attempted
00:23:10.200 to be
00:23:10.540 rigged.
00:23:10.880 So the
00:23:13.520 legal challenges
00:23:14.420 are falling
00:23:15.260 like flies,
00:23:17.060 but let
00:23:19.200 me make
00:23:19.740 an observation
00:23:20.420 about the
00:23:21.040 legal challenges
00:23:21.840 which have
00:23:22.360 been thrown
00:23:22.800 in a court
00:23:23.380 for being
00:23:23.960 apparently
00:23:24.820 laughably
00:23:25.560 weak in
00:23:26.140 some cases.
00:23:28.480 Would you
00:23:28.960 say that
00:23:30.580 in, let's
00:23:31.340 say, the
00:23:31.740 financial market,
00:23:32.920 would you
00:23:33.320 say in the
00:23:33.740 financial market
00:23:34.440 that past
00:23:35.160 performance
00:23:35.880 can predict
00:23:37.520 future
00:23:38.060 performance?
00:23:38.640 performance?
00:23:40.020 Well, if
00:23:40.820 you believe
00:23:41.240 that, you're
00:23:41.800 going to be
00:23:42.180 poor because
00:23:43.740 it doesn't
00:23:44.700 work.
00:23:45.200 Everybody who
00:23:46.000 has ever
00:23:46.380 tried to
00:23:47.040 invest in
00:23:47.820 the stock
00:23:48.280 market and
00:23:49.440 said, well,
00:23:50.120 I'll just
00:23:50.540 look at what
00:23:51.100 happened in
00:23:51.600 the past and
00:23:52.860 assume that
00:23:53.360 keeps happening
00:23:54.000 with an
00:23:54.420 individual stock.
00:23:55.620 The one
00:23:56.160 assumption you
00:23:56.760 can make is
00:23:57.420 that the
00:23:58.060 general market
00:23:59.620 will go up
00:24:00.240 over time.
00:24:01.280 But for an
00:24:02.020 individual stock,
00:24:03.680 its history
00:24:04.500 doesn't tell you
00:24:06.040 anything.
00:24:07.100 It really
00:24:07.480 doesn't.
00:24:07.820 And as soon
00:24:09.200 as you think
00:24:09.660 that the
00:24:10.080 history of
00:24:10.600 that one
00:24:11.020 stock tells
00:24:11.680 you something,
00:24:12.520 you're on
00:24:13.060 your way to
00:24:13.460 losing all
00:24:13.900 your money
00:24:14.300 because it
00:24:15.040 just doesn't
00:24:15.820 predict.
00:24:17.680 And likewise,
00:24:19.500 no matter
00:24:20.940 how many
00:24:21.480 lawsuits get
00:24:22.380 thrown out
00:24:23.180 for being
00:24:24.100 laughably
00:24:24.860 weak, it
00:24:26.340 does not
00:24:26.980 predict how
00:24:28.740 strong the
00:24:29.340 next one
00:24:29.840 is.
00:24:31.000 You get
00:24:31.740 that, right?
00:24:33.660 I'd like to
00:24:34.620 think that
00:24:35.000 everybody watching
00:24:35.760 this Periscope
00:24:36.700 understands
00:24:37.780 that the
00:24:39.280 last lawsuit
00:24:41.320 does not
00:24:42.280 predict what
00:24:42.900 the next
00:24:43.280 one looks
00:24:43.680 like.
00:24:44.440 It doesn't
00:24:44.900 work that
00:24:45.320 way.
00:24:46.060 So all
00:24:46.360 the people
00:24:46.720 saying there
00:24:47.780 will be no
00:24:48.420 good lawsuit
00:24:49.660 coming because
00:24:51.160 other ones
00:24:52.060 have been
00:24:52.420 rejected,
00:24:53.620 there's no
00:24:54.320 logical thread
00:24:55.880 to that.
00:24:57.020 Now, of
00:24:57.340 course, you
00:24:57.620 could say it's
00:24:58.080 the same people
00:24:58.800 involved, but
00:24:59.900 even that's
00:25:00.380 not true because
00:25:01.560 the lawsuits are
00:25:02.360 coming from
00:25:02.980 individuals,
00:25:04.160 are coming
00:25:04.440 from probably
00:25:05.160 different members
00:25:06.660 of the legal
00:25:07.280 team, etc.
00:25:08.960 And I also
00:25:09.940 think that the
00:25:10.680 early lawsuits
00:25:11.840 were about
00:25:13.160 keeping the
00:25:13.780 argument alive.
00:25:15.460 I think the
00:25:16.060 early lawsuits
00:25:16.780 were just to
00:25:17.700 make sure that
00:25:19.420 the public
00:25:19.920 knew there
00:25:21.120 were big
00:25:21.500 questions.
00:25:23.040 Let the
00:25:23.540 public know
00:25:24.240 that the
00:25:24.840 questions were
00:25:25.540 not just one
00:25:26.360 thing but
00:25:27.340 might involve
00:25:28.200 a variety of
00:25:29.080 things and
00:25:30.200 that lots of
00:25:31.000 people are
00:25:31.580 involved questioning
00:25:32.700 it.
00:25:33.000 So if the
00:25:34.820 only thing the
00:25:35.460 legal team
00:25:36.120 did was
00:25:37.600 send the
00:25:38.300 public the
00:25:38.960 message,
00:25:39.880 hey, there's
00:25:41.000 not only
00:25:41.560 questions here,
00:25:42.580 but there are
00:25:42.980 so many
00:25:43.500 questions that
00:25:44.620 you could have
00:25:45.000 lots of
00:25:45.460 different lawsuits
00:25:46.200 because there
00:25:47.100 are so many
00:25:47.520 questions.
00:25:49.240 Even if they
00:25:50.140 lose them all
00:25:51.040 was a good
00:25:52.020 strategy to
00:25:54.400 flood the
00:25:55.080 zone with
00:25:55.800 weak lawsuits.
00:25:57.500 Well, I'm
00:25:58.200 no legal
00:25:58.680 expert, but
00:26:00.440 it might be
00:26:01.400 because remember
00:26:02.500 you're fighting
00:26:03.400 on two
00:26:03.820 fronts.
00:26:05.040 Trump is
00:26:05.500 fighting on
00:26:06.080 the public
00:26:06.720 opinion front
00:26:07.600 which could
00:26:08.300 affect, let's
00:26:09.120 say, the
00:26:09.780 legislatures and
00:26:10.960 whether there's
00:26:13.620 a credibility
00:26:14.220 for the
00:26:14.800 outcome in
00:26:15.520 general, and
00:26:16.860 then there's
00:26:17.220 the legal
00:26:17.600 cases.
00:26:18.480 So I would
00:26:18.780 say that
00:26:19.120 Trump was
00:26:19.720 winning the
00:26:20.680 public opinion
00:26:23.800 contest by
00:26:25.800 flooding the
00:26:26.960 zone with
00:26:27.580 weak, weak
00:26:29.500 lawsuits.
00:26:32.100 Because remember
00:26:32.920 I talked about
00:26:33.600 CNN not even
00:26:34.540 talking about
00:26:35.180 the fraud
00:26:35.620 accusations?
00:26:36.720 Because even
00:26:37.220 if you just
00:26:37.720 talk about
00:26:38.280 them, people
00:26:39.380 will think
00:26:39.760 they're real,
00:26:40.740 even if the
00:26:41.440 thing you're
00:26:41.760 talking about
00:26:42.240 is that they're
00:26:42.700 not real.
00:26:44.160 Likewise,
00:26:45.360 Trump using
00:26:46.180 the same
00:26:46.700 strategy,
00:26:47.400 the same
00:26:48.320 concept, by
00:26:50.520 flooding the
00:26:51.260 zone with
00:26:51.760 lots of
00:26:52.380 lawsuits, if
00:26:53.800 100% of
00:26:54.800 them get
00:26:55.200 thrown out
00:26:55.880 eventually, but
00:26:57.340 while you're
00:26:57.880 thinking about
00:26:58.480 it, there's
00:26:58.820 more in the
00:26:59.240 pipeline, as
00:27:01.540 long as
00:27:01.860 there's more
00:27:02.180 in the
00:27:02.400 pipeline, you're
00:27:03.100 going to say
00:27:03.340 to yourself,
00:27:04.420 well, there
00:27:06.000 must be
00:27:06.600 something to
00:27:07.660 it, because
00:27:08.920 there are so
00:27:09.400 many lawsuits.
00:27:11.020 How could
00:27:11.700 there be so
00:27:12.620 many lawsuits
00:27:13.400 if there's
00:27:14.200 nothing to
00:27:14.740 it?
00:27:15.480 So the
00:27:16.260 legal team
00:27:16.880 is 100%
00:27:17.920 winning the
00:27:18.780 public opinion
00:27:19.620 battle with
00:27:20.820 weak lawsuits,
00:27:22.740 because it
00:27:23.740 just makes
00:27:24.120 you think
00:27:24.460 something's
00:27:24.820 happening.
00:27:26.200 So everybody
00:27:27.100 who says
00:27:27.640 your lawsuit
00:27:28.760 record on
00:27:30.020 the initial
00:27:30.460 ones is
00:27:31.160 terrible, is
00:27:33.340 correct, but
00:27:34.760 that wasn't
00:27:35.400 really the
00:27:35.860 play, was
00:27:36.340 it?
00:27:37.120 I think the
00:27:37.660 play was more
00:27:38.280 about the
00:27:38.700 public opinion
00:27:39.440 and they're
00:27:41.760 winning, because
00:27:43.120 as you saw,
00:27:44.220 half of the
00:27:44.860 country thinks
00:27:45.620 the election
00:27:46.860 was thrown.
00:27:48.380 That's winning,
00:27:49.960 you know, in
00:27:50.440 terms of public
00:27:51.080 opinion.
00:27:53.140 I've got a
00:27:53.960 prediction about
00:27:54.660 the Venezuelan
00:27:55.720 whistleblower.
00:27:56.940 Are you ready
00:27:57.380 for this?
00:27:59.240 I think you're
00:28:00.160 going to laugh
00:28:00.560 at this, because
00:28:01.840 this will be one
00:28:03.060 of those cases
00:28:03.800 that I teach
00:28:04.960 that there are
00:28:06.100 six dimensions
00:28:06.760 of humor, and
00:28:08.940 if you get at
00:28:09.440 least two of
00:28:09.940 them into your
00:28:10.600 joke, it's
00:28:11.660 funny.
00:28:12.460 One of the
00:28:12.940 dimensions is
00:28:13.720 recognition,
00:28:14.760 meaning you
00:28:15.400 recognize it in
00:28:16.240 your own life.
00:28:17.520 So I'm going
00:28:18.500 for that element
00:28:19.320 of humor, and
00:28:21.280 then some
00:28:22.880 cleverness, and
00:28:24.440 it goes like
00:28:24.900 this.
00:28:27.020 If this
00:28:27.760 Venezuelan
00:28:28.560 whistleblower
00:28:29.260 is real, what
00:28:32.320 would be the
00:28:33.120 things you would
00:28:33.840 already be
00:28:34.520 seeing?
00:28:37.520 Would you be
00:28:38.360 seeing a
00:28:40.000 photograph of
00:28:42.000 the whistleblower?
00:28:43.780 Because I think
00:28:44.920 the whole point
00:28:45.500 of it is he's
00:28:46.200 willing to be
00:28:46.820 public, right?
00:28:48.280 I haven't seen a
00:28:49.260 picture of him,
00:28:49.980 and I'm
00:28:51.480 wondering why
00:28:52.020 not.
00:28:53.220 What about,
00:28:54.300 would you see
00:28:54.980 him appearing
00:28:55.720 on Hannity?
00:28:58.260 Would you see
00:28:59.200 the whistleblower
00:29:00.100 appearing on
00:29:00.860 Tucker Carlson's
00:29:01.920 show?
00:29:03.040 If he were
00:29:03.840 real?
00:29:06.400 Yeah.
00:29:08.040 Yeah.
00:29:09.220 By now?
00:29:10.400 Now, maybe you
00:29:11.040 wouldn't have
00:29:11.420 appeared by now,
00:29:12.620 but you would
00:29:13.140 at least be
00:29:14.820 hearing Hannity
00:29:16.220 or Tucker
00:29:16.900 or somebody
00:29:17.580 saying, we've
00:29:18.780 booked him,
00:29:19.280 he's going to
00:29:19.620 be on next
00:29:20.180 week.
00:29:21.400 Have you
00:29:21.720 heard that
00:29:22.040 yet?
00:29:24.740 Nope.
00:29:25.780 Haven't heard
00:29:26.380 that.
00:29:27.260 Here's what I
00:29:28.240 believe is
00:29:28.960 happening.
00:29:31.000 As I've said
00:29:31.820 before, if
00:29:32.940 you're an
00:29:34.220 attorney working
00:29:35.180 for a client,
00:29:36.340 you have a
00:29:37.040 responsibility to
00:29:38.080 the client to
00:29:39.940 make the best
00:29:40.600 case, even if
00:29:41.960 in your own
00:29:42.480 mind you're
00:29:43.040 thinking some
00:29:44.520 of it may not
00:29:45.240 hold up, you
00:29:45.940 still have a
00:29:46.380 responsibility to
00:29:47.300 your client.
00:29:47.720 So as
00:29:48.620 long as
00:29:49.100 this whistle
00:29:50.520 blower is
00:29:51.060 making the
00:29:51.700 claim, I
00:29:53.880 think Sidney
00:29:54.500 Powell is
00:29:55.400 within her
00:29:57.520 ethical and
00:29:58.860 appropriate
00:30:00.520 zone to
00:30:02.160 put it
00:30:02.460 forward, even
00:30:04.380 if she
00:30:05.160 doesn't
00:30:05.500 personally have
00:30:06.980 confidence in
00:30:07.840 it.
00:30:08.780 If she
00:30:09.520 doesn't have
00:30:09.980 reason to
00:30:10.540 debunk it,
00:30:12.060 well, it's
00:30:12.940 out there.
00:30:13.740 It's evidence.
00:30:14.180 And she
00:30:15.480 might also
00:30:16.060 think that
00:30:16.600 the software
00:30:17.140 has some
00:30:17.640 issues, which
00:30:19.240 are not
00:30:19.620 necessarily being
00:30:20.580 whistleblown by
00:30:21.360 this whistleblower,
00:30:23.200 but maybe it
00:30:24.340 gets you closer
00:30:25.040 to some kind
00:30:26.320 of a deeper
00:30:26.800 audit into the
00:30:27.720 code.
00:30:28.820 Maybe it just
00:30:29.860 moves you
00:30:30.340 forward, even
00:30:31.240 if this isn't
00:30:32.560 exactly accurate.
00:30:34.580 So here's what
00:30:35.520 I think is
00:30:36.100 happening.
00:30:36.600 Here's what I
00:30:37.040 think is the
00:30:37.520 funny part.
00:30:39.540 I'll bet he's
00:30:40.400 not returning
00:30:41.060 calls.
00:30:41.600 I'm just
00:30:45.520 going to
00:30:45.820 guess, but
00:30:47.000 I'll bet at
00:30:47.440 this point
00:30:48.000 Sidney Powell
00:30:49.440 and her team
00:30:50.380 are putting in
00:30:52.040 phone calls to
00:30:52.860 the whistleblower
00:30:53.480 and saying,
00:30:53.900 hey, maybe
00:30:54.980 could we talk
00:30:55.640 to you again,
00:30:56.400 get some
00:30:57.300 follow-up
00:30:57.900 questions,
00:30:59.160 we've got some
00:30:59.660 interview requests,
00:31:00.860 we'd like to see
00:31:01.440 if you'd do
00:31:01.900 them, and they
00:31:03.060 put in the
00:31:03.520 message, I'll
00:31:05.520 bet he's not
00:31:06.040 calling back.
00:31:07.740 Or they email
00:31:08.700 him and say,
00:31:09.260 hey, would you
00:31:09.720 do this?
00:31:10.340 And you get
00:31:11.180 sort of a
00:31:11.740 non-committal
00:31:12.520 answer back,
00:31:13.620 or I've
00:31:15.600 got to go
00:31:15.980 get some
00:31:16.480 work done,
00:31:17.320 I'm going
00:31:17.540 to do some
00:31:18.000 traveling.
00:31:19.260 Maybe when
00:31:19.860 I'm done
00:31:20.220 traveling, we
00:31:21.700 could talk
00:31:22.140 about these
00:31:22.660 interviews.
00:31:23.980 I'll bet
00:31:24.660 you, I'll
00:31:26.440 bet a large
00:31:27.360 amount of
00:31:27.820 money on
00:31:28.180 this, that
00:31:29.820 Sidney Powell
00:31:30.500 is getting
00:31:31.260 the stall
00:31:32.080 and the
00:31:33.220 runaround.
00:31:34.520 If that's
00:31:35.420 true, then
00:31:36.000 obviously he's
00:31:36.840 not a real
00:31:37.500 whistleblower.
00:31:39.000 Now, of
00:31:39.700 course, the
00:31:40.100 whistleblower
00:31:40.600 could, you
00:31:42.280 know, you
00:31:42.580 can't rule
00:31:43.000 this out,
00:31:44.040 maybe afraid
00:31:45.120 for his
00:31:45.560 safety or
00:31:46.260 something like
00:31:46.660 that, but I
00:31:47.680 doubt he
00:31:48.180 would have
00:31:48.460 come forward
00:31:49.060 in the first
00:31:49.640 place if he
00:31:51.560 were not
00:31:52.100 willing to
00:31:52.620 eventually be
00:31:53.440 public.
00:31:54.360 Why would
00:31:54.980 you do
00:31:55.220 that?
00:31:56.000 I mean, you
00:31:56.320 wouldn't come
00:31:57.100 forward if you
00:31:57.760 weren't willing
00:31:58.160 to be public
00:31:58.780 because they're
00:32:00.400 going to find
00:32:00.820 you, right?
00:32:01.220 So, I'm
00:32:08.660 looking at
00:32:09.200 angry, all
00:32:10.280 caps, yelling
00:32:11.200 guy on the
00:32:12.620 comments.
00:32:15.640 Yeah, and
00:32:16.680 maybe it
00:32:17.320 panics the
00:32:17.960 conspirators,
00:32:18.900 somebody says.
00:32:20.200 So, that's
00:32:21.300 my guess, is
00:32:22.060 that the
00:32:22.440 Venezuelan
00:32:23.140 whistleblower is
00:32:23.960 going to be,
00:32:24.900 quote, hard to
00:32:26.120 get a hold
00:32:26.580 of.
00:32:26.880 I think he's
00:32:28.520 going to be a
00:32:28.980 little hard to
00:32:29.560 get a hold
00:32:30.000 of.
00:32:30.920 Just saying.
00:32:32.440 And by the
00:32:33.060 way, if you
00:32:34.500 turn on TV,
00:32:35.760 let's say
00:32:36.080 tomorrow night,
00:32:36.960 and that
00:32:37.360 whistleblower is
00:32:38.360 a guest on
00:32:39.000 Hannity,
00:32:40.080 everything I
00:32:40.880 think is
00:32:41.980 wrong about
00:32:43.800 the whistleblower.
00:32:45.160 I don't think
00:32:46.200 you're going to
00:32:46.620 see the
00:32:46.960 whistleblower on
00:32:48.760 TV.
00:32:50.260 What do you
00:32:50.960 think?
00:32:51.500 Do you think
00:32:51.880 you'll ever
00:32:52.200 see him?
00:32:54.020 Because I
00:32:54.640 think he's a
00:32:55.160 disinformation
00:32:56.080 play.
00:32:56.880 All right.
00:32:58.220 Here are some
00:32:59.020 things that we've
00:32:59.740 learned recently
00:33:01.020 about the
00:33:01.420 coronavirus that
00:33:02.160 we didn't know
00:33:02.700 before.
00:33:05.120 There's a
00:33:06.020 thought now that
00:33:06.840 asymptomatic
00:33:07.760 carriers are
00:33:09.800 not carriers.
00:33:10.640 If you're
00:33:10.880 asymptomatic,
00:33:11.900 you're probably
00:33:12.280 not spreading
00:33:12.940 the disease.
00:33:14.180 And if you
00:33:14.600 are, it's so
00:33:15.500 rare that you
00:33:16.520 could almost
00:33:17.200 forget about
00:33:17.840 it.
00:33:18.580 So, we
00:33:19.360 don't worry
00:33:19.840 too much about
00:33:20.520 asymptomatic.
00:33:21.800 We know that
00:33:22.800 outdoors is
00:33:23.640 safer than
00:33:24.220 indoors.
00:33:25.180 We know
00:33:25.820 from studies
00:33:26.700 that opening
00:33:28.440 schools doesn't
00:33:29.580 seem to
00:33:30.040 spread it,
00:33:30.680 even though
00:33:31.140 some places
00:33:32.000 are closing
00:33:32.500 schools anyway.
00:33:33.980 We know
00:33:34.720 that wearing
00:33:36.500 gloves didn't
00:33:37.580 seem to make
00:33:38.120 a difference.
00:33:39.600 For example,
00:33:40.300 when I get
00:33:40.780 gas, the
00:33:42.960 first month of
00:33:44.880 the pandemic,
00:33:45.780 when I would
00:33:46.160 go to get
00:33:46.540 gas, I would
00:33:47.200 wear gloves.
00:33:49.600 But now I
00:33:50.440 don't.
00:33:51.040 And I don't
00:33:51.420 see anybody
00:33:51.880 wearing gloves.
00:33:52.920 So I don't
00:33:53.280 think anybody's
00:33:53.800 worried about
00:33:54.220 surfaces, especially
00:33:55.520 if they're
00:33:55.880 around doors.
00:33:57.400 So we're not
00:33:58.020 too worried
00:33:58.360 about surfaces.
00:34:01.280 But here's
00:34:02.060 the question.
00:34:02.720 What's the
00:34:03.040 data on
00:34:03.460 restaurant-related
00:34:04.460 virus transmission?
00:34:06.580 So we're
00:34:07.060 putting basically
00:34:08.480 every restaurant
00:34:10.000 and a business
00:34:10.700 in the United
00:34:11.420 States.
00:34:11.980 and I
00:34:16.060 don't think
00:34:16.480 we have
00:34:16.760 data to
00:34:18.360 back that
00:34:18.840 up, do
00:34:19.220 we?
00:34:20.480 Because all
00:34:21.240 the other
00:34:21.620 things that
00:34:22.060 we thought
00:34:22.380 were kind
00:34:22.800 of obvious
00:34:23.480 to do,
00:34:24.260 turned out
00:34:24.740 that the
00:34:25.800 obvious thing
00:34:26.580 didn't really
00:34:27.540 act the way
00:34:28.740 you thought
00:34:29.120 it would.
00:34:29.900 Because wouldn't
00:34:30.560 you think it
00:34:31.060 was sort of
00:34:31.520 obvious that
00:34:33.460 an asymptomatic
00:34:34.460 carrier could
00:34:35.300 maybe spread
00:34:35.960 it?
00:34:37.020 Because you
00:34:38.320 could have
00:34:38.780 it and the
00:34:39.280 symptoms could
00:34:39.880 be low,
00:34:40.440 but if you're
00:34:40.860 coughing, you're
00:34:41.540 coughing, I
00:34:42.080 suppose.
00:34:42.960 No, I guess
00:34:43.440 that would be
00:34:43.760 a symptom.
00:34:46.200 So I've got
00:34:47.460 a feeling that
00:34:48.080 restaurant-related
00:34:49.320 transmission,
00:34:51.020 you know, so
00:34:51.760 long as they're
00:34:52.480 spreading the
00:34:53.060 tables out and
00:34:53.900 doing their
00:34:54.540 basic stuff,
00:34:55.740 I'll bet there's
00:34:56.340 not much
00:34:56.700 transmission from
00:34:57.560 that.
00:34:57.880 And we're
00:34:58.140 going to put
00:34:58.380 the whole
00:34:58.640 business, the
00:34:59.880 whole industry
00:35:00.800 on a business.
00:35:05.200 I think
00:35:06.040 that's, there's
00:35:07.440 probably some
00:35:08.000 lawsuits that
00:35:09.460 have to be
00:35:10.000 filed over
00:35:10.480 that.
00:35:10.860 I don't know
00:35:11.600 if you can
00:35:12.400 sue the
00:35:12.880 government for
00:35:13.440 anything, but
00:35:14.800 I don't feel
00:35:16.560 the government
00:35:17.060 is doing
00:35:18.060 right by the
00:35:19.600 restaurant business.
00:35:21.140 Do you feel
00:35:21.560 the same?
00:35:23.840 Yeah, it
00:35:24.180 feels like
00:35:25.100 the restaurant
00:35:26.860 should get a
00:35:27.300 break.
00:35:28.420 I wanted to
00:35:29.200 share with you
00:35:29.840 one of the
00:35:30.440 best persuasive
00:35:31.880 tweets I've
00:35:32.660 seen in a long
00:35:33.400 time from
00:35:34.620 Mike Schellenberger,
00:35:36.200 and the topic
00:35:37.320 is nuclear
00:35:38.800 waste.
00:35:39.400 And I'm
00:35:40.460 going to
00:35:40.620 show you
00:35:40.920 the technique
00:35:41.760 in this
00:35:42.680 tweet.
00:35:43.880 Now, if
00:35:45.360 once you
00:35:46.160 notice that
00:35:46.660 the technique
00:35:47.120 is very
00:35:47.560 good, I
00:35:48.020 will tell
00:35:48.360 you that
00:35:48.820 Mike
00:35:49.980 Schellenberger
00:35:50.580 does continue
00:35:52.780 to build his
00:35:53.640 talent stack,
00:35:54.860 as it were.
00:35:55.280 So it
00:35:56.000 includes
00:35:56.500 environmental
00:35:57.500 stuff and
00:35:58.360 nuclear energy,
00:35:59.860 and I
00:36:00.700 know that
00:36:01.100 he has
00:36:01.480 intentionally
00:36:02.200 learned
00:36:02.960 persuasion.
00:36:04.920 I'm pretty
00:36:05.680 sure he's
00:36:06.060 read one
00:36:06.780 or more
00:36:07.060 of my
00:36:07.320 books.
00:36:08.380 So let's
00:36:09.080 see how
00:36:09.600 well he
00:36:10.000 has incorporated
00:36:10.760 persuasion
00:36:12.060 into this
00:36:12.880 tweet.
00:36:13.580 I'll read
00:36:14.140 you the
00:36:14.440 full tweet,
00:36:15.400 and I'll
00:36:15.720 go back and
00:36:16.240 tell you the
00:36:17.400 persuasion
00:36:18.280 parts.
00:36:19.020 Okay?
00:36:19.820 So here's
00:36:20.380 the tweet.
00:36:21.220 Nuclear
00:36:21.660 waste is the
00:36:22.580 best kind
00:36:23.140 of waste.
00:36:24.740 All of it
00:36:25.980 ever produced
00:36:27.060 can fit on
00:36:28.200 a single
00:36:28.780 football field.
00:36:30.460 It never
00:36:30.740 hurts anyone
00:36:32.380 and never
00:36:32.920 will.
00:36:33.860 It will be
00:36:34.500 recycled in
00:36:35.360 future reactors.
00:36:37.480 And then he
00:36:37.960 says, nice to
00:36:38.640 see stridently
00:36:39.440 anti-nuclear
00:36:40.280 Senator Reid
00:36:42.140 acknowledge that
00:36:43.320 it is safe
00:36:43.980 where it is.
00:36:45.180 And then he
00:36:45.620 includes, he
00:36:46.360 pastes a
00:36:47.460 quote from
00:36:48.040 Senator Reid,
00:36:49.520 and a
00:36:50.740 question was
00:36:51.280 asked of
00:36:51.720 Senator Reid,
00:36:52.360 based on
00:36:52.860 your experience
00:36:53.440 of Yucca
00:36:54.780 or Yucca
00:36:55.360 Mountain in
00:36:56.400 Nevada, what
00:36:57.340 do you see as
00:36:57.820 the future of
00:36:58.420 nuclear waste
00:36:59.360 disposal in
00:37:00.500 this country?
00:37:01.800 And Senator
00:37:02.360 Reid said, I
00:37:03.580 think that what
00:37:04.320 we've learned
00:37:04.820 over the
00:37:05.220 years is that
00:37:06.400 the best thing
00:37:07.040 to do with
00:37:07.580 nuclear waste
00:37:08.400 is to place
00:37:09.480 it where it
00:37:09.960 is.
00:37:10.840 Don't
00:37:11.180 transport it.
00:37:12.440 Put it in
00:37:12.940 dry cask
00:37:13.800 storage containers.
00:37:15.160 You can
00:37:15.460 bury it in
00:37:16.020 the ground
00:37:16.500 or leave it
00:37:17.480 above the
00:37:17.880 ground because
00:37:18.820 the dry
00:37:19.320 cask storage
00:37:20.580 containers that
00:37:21.320 we've
00:37:21.580 developed are
00:37:22.340 extremely safe.
00:37:25.460 So there's
00:37:27.460 a senator
00:37:28.220 acknowledging,
00:37:29.420 he's a
00:37:30.320 Democrat,
00:37:30.740 right?
00:37:31.220 Democrat
00:37:31.660 senator
00:37:32.140 acknowledging
00:37:32.700 that nuclear
00:37:33.360 waste basically
00:37:35.040 isn't a
00:37:35.540 problem.
00:37:36.940 Because it
00:37:37.880 used to be,
00:37:39.220 but now we've
00:37:40.020 learned, just
00:37:40.880 as we've
00:37:41.420 learned with
00:37:41.920 the coronavirus
00:37:42.460 by experience,
00:37:43.920 we've learned
00:37:44.460 that transporting
00:37:45.420 it kind of
00:37:47.160 doesn't make
00:37:47.580 sense.
00:37:47.980 because if
00:37:49.760 the nuclear
00:37:50.380 facility
00:37:50.940 itself
00:37:51.700 already has
00:37:53.580 a stay
00:37:55.280 away written
00:37:55.900 all over
00:37:56.360 it,
00:37:56.840 right?
00:37:57.560 Because you
00:37:58.120 would stay
00:37:58.520 away from,
00:37:59.160 you're not
00:37:59.400 going to
00:37:59.560 build a
00:37:59.820 house,
00:38:00.980 you don't
00:38:01.520 want to,
00:38:02.100 build a
00:38:02.600 house right
00:38:03.040 next to a
00:38:03.600 nuclear reactor,
00:38:05.100 so just keep
00:38:06.240 the waste
00:38:06.600 there.
00:38:07.580 It's the
00:38:08.060 same problem.
00:38:09.360 You don't
00:38:09.980 want to be
00:38:10.380 near it,
00:38:11.020 so just put
00:38:11.760 it in all
00:38:12.280 the places
00:38:12.680 that you
00:38:13.060 didn't want
00:38:13.360 to be near
00:38:13.740 anyway.
00:38:14.060 And on
00:38:15.040 top of
00:38:15.380 that,
00:38:15.700 they've
00:38:15.900 developed
00:38:16.320 these dry
00:38:17.220 storage
00:38:17.740 techniques,
00:38:19.000 which are
00:38:19.460 seen to be
00:38:20.520 quite safe.
00:38:21.220 But let me
00:38:21.500 tell you what
00:38:21.940 is good
00:38:22.740 about this
00:38:23.180 tweet.
00:38:23.540 Number one,
00:38:24.800 tweets that
00:38:25.460 have an
00:38:28.700 attachment or
00:38:29.560 a photo get
00:38:30.520 much more
00:38:31.020 engagement.
00:38:32.060 So this is
00:38:32.440 trick number
00:38:32.980 one, an
00:38:34.060 attachment or
00:38:34.900 a photo gets
00:38:35.680 more engagement.
00:38:36.740 So what he
00:38:37.180 did here was
00:38:37.840 he attached
00:38:38.440 the text from
00:38:40.760 Senator Reid as
00:38:41.780 a photo,
00:38:42.880 basically an
00:38:43.580 attachment,
00:38:44.060 Now, because
00:38:45.220 the attachment
00:38:45.920 looks different
00:38:46.580 from the
00:38:47.060 regular text,
00:38:48.380 even though
00:38:48.920 it's all
00:38:49.300 text, it
00:38:50.540 breaks it
00:38:51.080 up, and
00:38:52.240 I think that
00:38:52.860 counts toward
00:38:53.600 the same kind
00:38:54.820 of attention
00:38:55.320 getting as a
00:38:56.120 photograph would,
00:38:57.080 because it's
00:38:57.520 broken up, it's
00:38:58.240 not just
00:38:58.660 straight text.
00:39:00.680 So that's the
00:39:01.480 first thing.
00:39:02.160 Second thing is
00:39:02.860 that the topic
00:39:03.520 is sort of a
00:39:04.680 hot, current
00:39:05.480 one.
00:39:06.000 We're talking
00:39:06.400 about the
00:39:06.960 Green New
00:39:07.880 Deal, because
00:39:08.740 Biden's the
00:39:09.460 president, nuclear
00:39:10.600 waste is always
00:39:11.540 hot.
00:39:12.180 So he's got
00:39:12.620 the right topic,
00:39:13.540 that's naturally
00:39:14.680 viral, you
00:39:15.780 know, anything
00:39:16.420 about this
00:39:17.460 topic is going
00:39:18.200 to get people's
00:39:18.780 attention.
00:39:19.780 He's got the
00:39:21.400 right, you
00:39:22.740 know, visual
00:39:24.520 look, because
00:39:25.480 it's not just
00:39:26.060 text, and then
00:39:27.240 the size of the
00:39:28.160 tweet hits the
00:39:30.100 sweet spot as
00:39:31.020 well.
00:39:31.960 A brilliant
00:39:32.900 tweet that's
00:39:33.600 only one
00:39:34.220 sentence still
00:39:35.600 won't be that
00:39:36.300 viral, because
00:39:37.680 people will look
00:39:38.380 at it and say,
00:39:38.880 well, it's
00:39:39.100 brilliant, but it's
00:39:40.420 just one sentence.
00:39:41.220 So people are
00:39:42.440 less likely to
00:39:43.520 retweet one
00:39:45.040 good sentence.
00:39:46.100 But they will
00:39:46.860 retweet a good
00:39:47.860 argument, especially
00:39:49.460 if it's got like a
00:39:50.240 picture or something
00:39:50.900 with it.
00:39:51.780 So he's got all
00:39:52.880 of that working
00:39:53.440 for him before
00:39:54.260 he's even started
00:39:55.560 his tweet.
00:39:56.920 The first sentence,
00:39:59.140 he says, nuclear
00:40:00.000 waste is the best
00:40:01.080 kind of waste.
00:40:02.800 Now, I've taught
00:40:03.740 you that the first
00:40:04.540 sentence is the
00:40:05.300 important one, because
00:40:06.740 it's the one that
00:40:07.360 makes you curious
00:40:08.200 or not.
00:40:09.820 Does this make
00:40:10.520 you curious to
00:40:11.320 read the rest of
00:40:11.920 the tweet?
00:40:12.960 Nuclear waste is
00:40:14.020 the best kind of
00:40:14.760 waste?
00:40:15.980 Yeah.
00:40:17.080 Yeah.
00:40:17.560 You have to read
00:40:18.480 the next sentence,
00:40:19.640 because who is
00:40:20.600 telling you that
00:40:21.240 nuclear waste is
00:40:22.220 the best kind of
00:40:22.940 waste?
00:40:23.700 It's like opposite
00:40:24.720 of what you
00:40:25.200 thought.
00:40:26.280 Can he make that
00:40:27.200 case?
00:40:28.300 Do you think
00:40:28.680 anybody can make
00:40:29.400 a case that
00:40:30.060 nuclear waste is
00:40:31.080 the best kind of
00:40:32.140 waste?
00:40:33.240 And then he does.
00:40:35.280 Then he makes
00:40:36.080 the case.
00:40:36.480 So it's surprising,
00:40:38.660 provocative, shocking,
00:40:40.400 invokes curiosity.
00:40:42.740 In the first
00:40:43.720 sentence, in the
00:40:45.780 first sentence, he
00:40:46.680 got all that in
00:40:47.360 there.
00:40:48.640 And then he goes,
00:40:49.960 all of it ever
00:40:51.060 produced can fit in
00:40:52.240 a single football
00:40:53.100 field.
00:40:54.600 What have I told
00:40:55.440 you about visual
00:40:56.680 persuasion?
00:40:58.300 It would be one
00:40:59.220 thing to say, all
00:41:01.380 of that waste is
00:41:02.420 safely stored.
00:41:05.000 Just a concept.
00:41:06.480 But if I say to
00:41:07.880 you, all of the
00:41:09.200 waste ever produced
00:41:10.500 could be put on a
00:41:11.500 football field, now
00:41:13.640 you've imagined the
00:41:14.600 entire size of the
00:41:15.640 planet Earth, and
00:41:17.340 then you've imagined
00:41:18.140 what one football
00:41:19.240 field would look like
00:41:20.300 on the entire
00:41:20.940 planet Earth, and
00:41:23.400 now it doesn't
00:41:24.700 seem so scary,
00:41:25.560 does it?
00:41:26.320 So it's visual in
00:41:27.740 the second sentence,
00:41:28.860 which is A plus
00:41:29.840 persuasion.
00:41:30.920 Keep it visual.
00:41:32.380 Then he says, it
00:41:33.620 never hurts anyone,
00:41:35.540 and never will.
00:41:37.160 Now that's a
00:41:37.740 provocative claim.
00:41:39.660 How do you know it
00:41:40.540 never will?
00:41:42.060 Well, he can't know
00:41:42.960 that, of course.
00:41:44.180 But by making it so
00:41:46.040 extreme, you can't
00:41:47.960 look away.
00:41:49.360 And that's good
00:41:50.000 persuasion.
00:41:51.120 He went a little
00:41:52.100 too far by making
00:41:54.200 it an absolute.
00:41:55.800 In this context, the
00:41:57.580 absolute works because
00:41:59.480 it's wrong.
00:42:00.940 And a little bit of
00:42:02.480 wrongness will tie
00:42:04.340 you to a point in
00:42:05.420 the way that being
00:42:06.120 all right won't.
00:42:08.680 Here's what it
00:42:09.460 should have said if
00:42:11.240 you wanted to be
00:42:12.220 accurate, as
00:42:14.160 opposed to
00:42:14.700 persuasive.
00:42:15.980 Accurate, instead
00:42:16.740 of saying it never
00:42:17.640 hurts anyone and
00:42:18.640 never will, a more
00:42:20.180 accurate statement
00:42:21.080 that I think you
00:42:21.720 would find more
00:42:22.300 fair would be, it
00:42:23.700 has never hurt
00:42:24.560 anyone, and it is
00:42:26.520 extraordinarily
00:42:27.320 unlikely that it
00:42:28.900 never will.
00:42:30.580 Now, that would be
00:42:31.400 fair to say.
00:42:33.180 You could disagree
00:42:34.120 or agree, but it
00:42:34.920 sounds like a fair
00:42:35.520 statement.
00:42:36.220 But to say never
00:42:37.740 will?
00:42:39.080 Well, you can't
00:42:39.800 really say something
00:42:40.480 never will, right?
00:42:42.400 Somebody could fall
00:42:43.300 out of a helicopter
00:42:44.180 and land on a, I
00:42:45.540 don't know.
00:42:45.840 But there must be
00:42:46.820 some way to hurt
00:42:48.760 at least one person
00:42:49.860 in the future of
00:42:50.900 the entire civilization.
00:42:53.180 But turning it into
00:42:54.560 an absolute, which
00:42:55.860 your brain recognizes
00:42:57.100 as wrong,
00:42:58.900 still binds you to
00:43:01.220 it, and you say
00:43:01.820 to yourself, but
00:43:02.560 how wrong is it?
00:43:03.940 Now you've got to
00:43:04.760 deal with it, right?
00:43:06.320 It's wrong.
00:43:07.440 I'm sure it's wrong
00:43:08.360 that you could say
00:43:10.420 with certainty,
00:43:11.380 nobody could ever
00:43:12.400 get hurt, but how
00:43:14.180 wrong is it?
00:43:15.760 Is it 100% wrong?
00:43:17.420 Is it completely
00:43:18.100 wrong?
00:43:18.600 Is it left field?
00:43:20.040 Is it in the wrong
00:43:20.680 zip code?
00:43:21.840 No, it's not.
00:43:23.460 It's pretty close to
00:43:24.480 reality.
00:43:25.540 And that's the point.
00:43:26.780 If he can make you
00:43:27.940 argue that you can't
00:43:29.760 know that it could
00:43:30.460 never hurt anybody,
00:43:32.000 he's probably already
00:43:33.420 getting you to the
00:43:34.240 point where you're
00:43:35.400 willing to accept
00:43:36.220 it's very low risk.
00:43:38.600 It's very clever
00:43:39.800 persuasion.
00:43:41.440 And that he says
00:43:42.600 it will be recycled
00:43:43.640 in future reactors.
00:43:44.940 And that is sort of
00:43:46.780 like the drop the mic
00:43:48.360 moment of this tweet.
00:43:50.660 Because you and I
00:43:52.000 probably knew that
00:43:53.620 nuclear waste can be
00:43:55.040 used in the newer
00:43:55.940 types of reactors for
00:43:57.560 their fuel.
00:43:58.860 That's a newer
00:43:59.940 emerging industry, but
00:44:01.540 it seems quite obvious
00:44:02.800 that that will be the
00:44:03.760 future.
00:44:05.320 For people who didn't
00:44:06.820 know that, that's like
00:44:09.260 a big, big piece of
00:44:10.940 information that they
00:44:12.600 just learned.
00:44:13.900 Imagine if you didn't
00:44:14.920 know that, and it's the
00:44:15.680 first time you'd read
00:44:16.440 this sentence, it will
00:44:17.780 be recycled in future
00:44:19.180 reactors.
00:44:21.000 What?
00:44:22.200 If you didn't know
00:44:23.180 that was a thing, that
00:44:24.660 would be pretty
00:44:25.500 impactful, I think.
00:44:26.940 And you might even
00:44:27.660 look, you might even
00:44:28.620 have to research it to
00:44:30.220 find out if that's
00:44:30.940 real, and it is.
00:44:32.380 It is real.
00:44:34.900 So anyway, that is a
00:44:36.520 whole lot of things to
00:44:37.840 get right.
00:44:38.300 And then he shows the
00:44:40.080 Senator Reid thing so
00:44:42.100 that you can get, you
00:44:44.180 can feel that people on
00:44:45.300 both sides of the
00:44:46.340 politics agree with
00:44:47.960 him.
00:44:48.740 It's a social proof.
00:44:50.840 So, I mean, look at
00:44:51.500 all the things.
00:44:52.000 He's got curiosity, he's
00:44:53.880 got a little bit
00:44:54.640 intentionally wrong, he's
00:44:56.500 got visual persuasion,
00:44:58.240 it's the right size, it's
00:45:00.380 provocative, social proof.
00:45:04.440 He got all of that into
00:45:07.880 a tweet.
00:45:09.840 When I saw this thing, my
00:45:11.360 jaw just dropped.
00:45:12.340 I was like, God, this is
00:45:14.520 some good work here.
00:45:16.160 All right.
00:45:18.180 I wonder if the pandemic
00:45:19.920 ruining all of our leisure
00:45:21.620 activities is going to
00:45:24.340 give us some insight about
00:45:27.040 how valuable those things
00:45:28.660 were in the first place.
00:45:30.500 For example, prior to the
00:45:32.840 pandemic, one of my
00:45:34.000 favorite things in the
00:45:35.020 entire world was going
00:45:36.380 to a restaurant and
00:45:38.160 having somebody bring me
00:45:39.380 food and, you know,
00:45:40.400 have a good time.
00:45:41.780 But now after six months
00:45:44.260 of really not enjoying
00:45:46.260 that, I have gone to
00:45:47.360 restaurants, but, you
00:45:48.400 know, it's a masky
00:45:49.560 situation, it's a
00:45:50.500 different situation.
00:45:51.960 I asked myself, if I
00:45:54.600 never could go to a
00:45:55.760 restaurant again, and
00:45:57.480 let's say restaurants
00:45:58.600 just stopped existing,
00:46:01.320 would I be less happy?
00:46:04.000 And I don't know.
00:46:05.080 I don't know if I would.
00:46:06.260 So there are a lot of
00:46:07.880 assumptions you made
00:46:10.340 about your life that the
00:46:12.060 pandemic destroyed, where
00:46:14.440 you have to go back and
00:46:16.080 reassess your own
00:46:17.060 assumptions.
00:46:18.020 Like, do I really need
00:46:19.360 this to be happy?
00:46:20.780 Let me tell you another
00:46:21.800 assumption.
00:46:22.840 I've never had less human
00:46:25.240 contact at any time in my
00:46:27.860 life.
00:46:28.200 I'm at my maximum
00:46:29.920 smallest amount of human
00:46:32.160 contact.
00:46:34.140 And it's fine.
00:46:36.340 It's not that bad.
00:46:37.940 So there are a whole
00:46:38.640 bunch of things that I
00:46:39.660 wouldn't have imagined
00:46:40.380 could be true that I'm
00:46:41.680 learning.
00:46:42.920 All right.
00:46:44.860 One of the benefits of
00:46:46.140 the pandemic is that
00:46:47.160 movies will stream sooner.
00:46:49.260 So you don't have to wait
00:46:50.580 for them to get out of the
00:46:51.680 theater and get to your
00:46:53.720 TV.
00:46:54.880 And I guess there's
00:46:57.240 some deals now about
00:46:58.360 movie streaming where
00:46:59.380 it will only be three
00:47:00.180 weeks of exclusivity in
00:47:02.120 the theater.
00:47:03.480 So the movies are only
00:47:04.580 going to be in the
00:47:05.000 theater for three weeks
00:47:06.020 before you get them on
00:47:07.020 streaming.
00:47:12.500 Here's a, somebody
00:47:14.380 challenged one of my
00:47:16.440 assertions.
00:47:17.520 And the challenge is
00:47:18.700 good enough that I would
00:47:19.800 like to bring it to you
00:47:20.660 and see what you say.
00:47:21.700 I've said that the
00:47:22.700 election is obviously
00:47:24.060 illegitimate because
00:47:27.020 I couldn't believe that
00:47:28.700 Biden would get so many
00:47:29.780 more votes than Obama
00:47:30.820 got in 2008.
00:47:32.200 But the counter to that
00:47:33.920 argument is there are
00:47:35.640 25 million extra
00:47:37.260 voters since
00:47:39.240 then.
00:47:40.500 If there are 25
00:47:41.740 million extra voters,
00:47:43.600 would you now accept
00:47:45.600 that Biden got as many
00:47:47.900 votes as he did?
00:47:49.360 25 million.
00:47:50.760 Well, let's say young
00:47:51.960 people probably skew
00:47:53.740 Democrat.
00:47:55.200 So let's say another
00:47:55.820 25 million, maybe 15
00:47:58.180 million would be at
00:48:01.060 least leaning Democrat.
00:48:04.040 How many of young
00:48:05.780 people vote?
00:48:07.320 They're potential voters,
00:48:08.640 but are they voters?
00:48:11.280 I don't know.
00:48:12.040 I'm a little unclear if
00:48:13.140 those are people who did
00:48:14.260 vote or if they're just
00:48:15.620 potential voters, of
00:48:17.160 which only half of them
00:48:18.120 would kind of vote.
00:48:22.560 But here's the problem.
00:48:25.940 Are there enough people
00:48:27.400 in the country who are
00:48:29.120 voters to give Joe
00:48:31.380 Biden that number of
00:48:32.540 votes?
00:48:32.780 And the answer is yes.
00:48:34.200 There are enough people.
00:48:36.520 There are definitely
00:48:37.380 enough people.
00:48:38.320 And there are enough of
00:48:39.200 those people who could
00:48:40.080 potentially vote Democrat
00:48:41.300 to give him the number
00:48:42.980 that is reported right now.
00:48:44.860 Here's the part that
00:48:45.680 doesn't square.
00:48:47.180 I cannot square the
00:48:49.860 complete lack of
00:48:51.580 enthusiasm with the
00:48:54.060 vote count.
00:48:55.460 If you could get that
00:48:56.920 much of a vote count
00:48:58.000 just by hating Trump,
00:49:00.680 maybe.
00:49:02.520 I'm not going to say
00:49:03.680 that's impossible,
00:49:05.680 but it doesn't
00:49:08.340 pass my sniff test.
00:49:10.280 So I'm going to stick
00:49:12.900 with, is it
00:49:14.100 mathematically possible
00:49:15.480 that a great
00:49:18.000 candidate could get
00:49:19.620 as many votes as
00:49:20.620 Joe Biden?
00:49:21.340 No.
00:49:22.160 I mean, yes, it's
00:49:22.980 possible.
00:49:23.760 It's completely
00:49:24.480 possible that a great
00:49:25.740 candidate could get
00:49:27.040 as many votes as
00:49:27.940 Joe Biden does.
00:49:28.980 But is it possible
00:49:30.000 that he did, like a
00:49:32.280 terrible candidate,
00:49:33.700 with no enthusiasm
00:49:34.780 that is observable
00:49:36.580 whatsoever for the
00:49:37.560 entire campaign?
00:49:38.460 No enthusiasm.
00:49:41.300 And yet it showed up
00:49:42.340 on election day?
00:49:43.860 It is possible.
00:49:46.160 It's just, when you
00:49:47.580 say, is there anything
00:49:48.480 that would suggest
00:49:49.340 there's fraud?
00:49:50.480 Well, that's at least
00:49:53.080 where I'd be sniffing.
00:49:55.140 But, again, it's not
00:49:56.520 proof.
00:49:57.340 All right.
00:49:58.800 So it looks like
00:49:59.820 Regeneron works and is
00:50:01.780 getting approved for
00:50:02.640 emergency use, whereas
00:50:04.300 remdesivir doesn't work.
00:50:05.900 So that's our current
00:50:07.040 information.
00:50:08.740 Remdesivir doesn't
00:50:10.380 work.
00:50:11.360 And what about
00:50:11.840 hydroxychloroquine?
00:50:13.500 It's like masks.
00:50:15.640 You know, every week
00:50:17.200 there's a new study
00:50:18.440 that says hydroxychloroquine
00:50:20.020 doesn't work, followed
00:50:21.820 by one that says it
00:50:22.940 totally works.
00:50:24.380 Then it doesn't work.
00:50:25.560 It totally works.
00:50:26.540 Just like masks.
00:50:28.180 Believe the experts
00:50:29.220 who are telling you
00:50:31.160 conflicting things.
00:50:32.240 And I'll say this
00:50:34.900 again.
00:50:35.240 I don't remember if I
00:50:35.940 said this yesterday.
00:50:37.340 But is China still
00:50:38.720 reporting that the
00:50:39.960 coronavirus is basically
00:50:41.380 solved in China?
00:50:43.240 That's true, right?
00:50:44.420 Give me a fact check on
00:50:45.400 that.
00:50:46.080 China still says they've
00:50:47.280 eradicated it for all
00:50:48.800 practical purposes,
00:50:49.840 right?
00:50:50.720 Is that possible?
00:50:52.600 I mean, really?
00:50:54.460 Really?
00:50:55.480 Is that possible?
00:50:57.140 Now, there are two
00:50:58.380 possibilities that I
00:50:59.460 can see.
00:51:00.780 Number one, maybe
00:51:02.520 three possibilities.
00:51:04.080 Number one, China is
00:51:05.860 just lying and they
00:51:07.940 haven't controlled it
00:51:08.900 at all.
00:51:10.120 Now, if that were the
00:51:11.040 case, wouldn't we
00:51:12.700 know that by now?
00:51:14.400 If, you know, millions
00:51:15.840 of people were dying in
00:51:17.020 China and there was,
00:51:18.780 you know, wild,
00:51:19.760 rampant virus there,
00:51:22.220 we would know that,
00:51:23.240 right?
00:51:23.480 Even if they claimed it
00:51:24.800 wasn't happening, we
00:51:26.460 have enough observable
00:51:28.760 people around, we
00:51:30.320 would know that.
00:51:31.660 So I think the thing
00:51:32.820 we can rule out is
00:51:34.860 that they have a
00:51:35.680 massive pandemic over
00:51:37.020 there that they're
00:51:38.140 hiding.
00:51:39.140 I don't think they're
00:51:40.160 hiding it.
00:51:41.540 Now, the other
00:51:42.240 possibility is that
00:51:43.140 they found some way
00:51:44.420 to treat it that
00:51:46.660 they're not sharing
00:51:48.260 with us or they have
00:51:49.980 shared and we're not
00:51:50.920 doing it right.
00:51:52.220 Do you believe that
00:51:53.360 their better adherence
00:51:54.600 to masks is the
00:51:56.820 difference?
00:51:57.980 No, nobody believes
00:51:59.000 that.
00:51:59.340 Even people who are
00:52:00.220 pro-mask don't
00:52:01.900 believe that the
00:52:02.680 difference between
00:52:03.500 China and the
00:52:04.140 United States is
00:52:05.480 masks.
00:52:06.980 Nor does anybody
00:52:08.040 believe that it's
00:52:08.900 social distancing,
00:52:10.020 I believe, right?
00:52:11.540 Because while those
00:52:12.260 things, a lot of
00:52:13.400 experts say work and
00:52:14.760 are important, and
00:52:15.920 obviously social
00:52:16.840 distancing has to
00:52:17.820 work, I don't think
00:52:19.880 that's enough because
00:52:21.880 you can see in our
00:52:22.820 own experience that
00:52:23.720 even when we do it
00:52:24.680 well, it doesn't
00:52:26.000 really stop the
00:52:27.300 pandemic.
00:52:28.840 So, how about
00:52:30.700 medicines?
00:52:32.920 Don't you think by
00:52:33.800 now that there's
00:52:34.660 enough sharing of
00:52:36.000 information that if
00:52:37.780 the people in China
00:52:38.680 were getting some
00:52:39.420 kind of secret
00:52:40.080 medicine, what do
00:52:42.000 we know about that?
00:52:43.560 You know,
00:52:44.000 hypothetically, if
00:52:45.100 they were all getting
00:52:45.840 hydroxychloroquine and
00:52:47.560 it turns out that it
00:52:48.500 really did work, and
00:52:49.960 that's the big
00:52:50.580 difference?
00:52:53.580 I'm not actually
00:52:54.580 high.
00:52:54.920 there's always
00:52:56.120 somebody who asks
00:52:56.740 me if I'm high at
00:52:57.620 eight in the
00:52:58.040 morning.
00:52:59.400 Not so much.
00:53:00.780 No.
00:53:01.200 This is actually my
00:53:02.260 actual personality.
00:53:04.280 Shocking, I know.
00:53:06.940 So, the other
00:53:07.680 possibility is that
00:53:08.480 they have some
00:53:09.620 medicine or
00:53:10.700 therapeutic or
00:53:11.700 cure that we
00:53:13.060 don't have.
00:53:14.200 But how would we
00:53:15.020 not know that by
00:53:15.960 now?
00:53:16.420 Because it would
00:53:16.840 have to be somewhat
00:53:17.660 massively produced
00:53:20.140 and massively
00:53:21.060 distributed.
00:53:22.540 We'd know that,
00:53:23.460 right?
00:53:24.460 I mean, there's
00:53:25.080 some things we
00:53:25.680 can't know about
00:53:26.340 China, but you'd
00:53:27.780 know if there was a
00:53:28.600 massive pandemic, and
00:53:30.360 you would know if
00:53:31.220 they were using some
00:53:32.080 massive kind of
00:53:33.100 different vaccine or
00:53:34.660 therapeutic.
00:53:35.720 So, can we
00:53:36.820 eliminate those
00:53:37.760 things as
00:53:38.960 possibilities?
00:53:40.680 Probably.
00:53:41.960 There is another
00:53:42.940 possibility, which is
00:53:44.680 the worst case
00:53:45.720 scenario, which is
00:53:47.500 that they always
00:53:49.060 knew there was a
00:53:49.940 genetic, let's
00:53:52.120 say, advantage.
00:53:53.520 That maybe they
00:53:54.260 just don't get it
00:53:56.440 as badly, or
00:53:57.680 maybe the 5% who
00:53:59.740 were susceptible
00:54:00.860 already got it.
00:54:02.860 Could there be that
00:54:04.160 much of a genetic
00:54:05.240 difference?
00:54:06.640 And could that be
00:54:07.420 part of the reason?
00:54:08.460 Now, that, of
00:54:09.040 course, would
00:54:09.820 suggest that maybe
00:54:10.960 it was a
00:54:11.480 weaponized virus,
00:54:13.140 which is a
00:54:13.920 separate question.
00:54:15.520 But, we have a
00:54:17.640 mystery here.
00:54:19.360 Would you, the
00:54:20.140 only thing I want
00:54:20.920 you to agree on is,
00:54:22.500 would you agree that
00:54:23.460 we don't know why
00:54:24.720 they're having a
00:54:25.820 good result?
00:54:26.900 Can you fact check
00:54:27.780 me on this?
00:54:28.740 Is there anybody
00:54:29.320 here, is there
00:54:31.980 anybody here who
00:54:32.760 believes that we
00:54:33.980 understand in the
00:54:35.240 United States why
00:54:37.620 China's experience is
00:54:39.060 what it is?
00:54:41.100 Is there anybody
00:54:41.940 who thinks we
00:54:42.520 understand it?
00:54:43.240 Because if we
00:54:45.220 don't understand
00:54:46.000 it, we should
00:54:47.800 break relations
00:54:48.740 with China.
00:54:50.140 Just send every
00:54:51.140 one of their
00:54:51.560 fucking diplomats
00:54:52.540 home, and say,
00:54:53.680 look, we will
00:54:55.100 continue having
00:54:56.040 relationships with
00:54:57.240 you, you know,
00:54:57.840 meaning diplomatic
00:54:58.520 relations, after you
00:55:00.240 tell us what you
00:55:00.980 did.
00:55:02.080 Because whatever
00:55:02.820 you're doing,
00:55:04.380 seems to be
00:55:05.860 working, and
00:55:07.340 you're not telling
00:55:08.080 us what it is.
00:55:09.040 and given that
00:55:11.480 the virus came
00:55:12.800 from you, and
00:55:14.860 you seem to have
00:55:15.620 gotten over it, and
00:55:16.520 we haven't, and
00:55:17.320 you're not telling
00:55:18.020 us how, I feel
00:55:20.400 like we're at war.
00:55:22.420 And at the very
00:55:23.340 least, we're going
00:55:24.380 to send your
00:55:24.880 fucking diplomats
00:55:25.920 home until you
00:55:27.280 tell us something
00:55:27.960 that sounds even a
00:55:29.340 little bit like it
00:55:31.160 could be true.
00:55:32.980 Just a little bit
00:55:34.140 like it could be
00:55:34.880 true.
00:55:35.700 Send the fucking
00:55:36.720 diplomats home.
00:55:37.700 China has some
00:55:39.700 explaining.
00:55:40.720 Now, could it be
00:55:41.440 that they have a
00:55:42.400 perfectly good
00:55:43.380 explanation, and
00:55:44.920 once we heard it,
00:55:45.900 we would say, oh,
00:55:46.700 okay, I guess you're
00:55:47.920 doing a good job
00:55:48.580 over there.
00:55:48.960 We should be more
00:55:50.020 like that.
00:55:51.100 Yeah, could be.
00:55:52.700 You can't rule out
00:55:53.540 the possibility that
00:55:54.460 it's just something
00:55:54.980 we don't know, and
00:55:56.060 once you found
00:55:57.120 out, you'd be
00:55:59.860 satisfied.
00:56:03.880 So, I think we
00:56:05.960 need to get a
00:56:06.520 little tougher on
00:56:07.520 China about that.
00:56:08.640 Now, in a
00:56:09.420 related story, there's
00:56:11.620 a startup, which
00:56:12.620 I'll talk about
00:56:13.220 later, but not
00:56:14.580 ready to do it
00:56:15.220 yet.
00:56:15.420 There's a startup
00:56:16.040 that will test
00:56:16.900 your DNA to see
00:56:19.200 if you have a
00:56:20.200 high propensity
00:56:21.760 to have a bad
00:56:22.800 experience with
00:56:24.340 COVID.
00:56:25.080 I actually tested
00:56:26.680 my DNA, which I
00:56:28.560 can download from
00:56:29.460 23andMe, because
00:56:30.660 I'd used 23andMe
00:56:31.980 once.
00:56:33.000 And once you've
00:56:33.640 used it, you can
00:56:34.400 download your DNA,
00:56:35.700 because it's your
00:56:37.000 DNA, so you
00:56:37.800 can own it.
00:56:39.180 And then I
00:56:39.700 sent it off to
00:56:40.440 the startup, and
00:56:41.420 I'll tell you about
00:56:42.240 the startup in a
00:56:44.040 separate periscope.
00:56:45.540 And they tested it,
00:56:46.840 and they said that
00:56:47.840 I'm somewhere in the
00:56:49.440 average range.
00:56:50.840 So, in other words,
00:56:51.480 I'm not in the
00:56:53.060 population, which
00:56:54.880 by my DNA, I
00:56:56.380 would have an
00:56:57.260 unusually bad
00:56:58.320 situation, but
00:57:00.060 neither am I in
00:57:01.440 some category where
00:57:02.940 I'm unusually
00:57:04.080 exempt from it.
00:57:06.040 So I'm sort of in
00:57:06.960 the average range
00:57:09.220 there, I think.
00:57:12.280 So, if it's
00:57:13.680 true that this
00:57:14.620 startup can tell
00:57:16.020 by your DNA, if
00:57:17.580 you are likely to
00:57:18.540 have a bad
00:57:19.040 experience with it,
00:57:20.280 is it possible
00:57:21.140 that China made
00:57:23.980 a virus that
00:57:26.840 they were not
00:57:27.540 expecting to
00:57:28.400 release, perhaps,
00:57:29.520 to see if they
00:57:31.580 could make a
00:57:32.060 virus that would
00:57:32.720 affect non-Chinese
00:57:34.080 people?
00:57:35.580 You know, I'd
00:57:36.700 love to think
00:57:37.400 that that's not
00:57:39.080 a thing, and no
00:57:39.980 country would ever
00:57:40.900 work on something
00:57:41.680 like that.
00:57:43.240 But, in terms of
00:57:45.640 military stuff,
00:57:48.380 I've got a feeling
00:57:49.160 that the military
00:57:49.860 works on all
00:57:50.660 kinds of stuff,
00:57:52.080 both ours and
00:57:53.040 other countries,
00:57:54.100 that if you heard
00:57:55.080 about it, you
00:57:55.520 would be horrified.
00:57:57.140 But maybe it's
00:57:57.820 just because they
00:57:58.500 need to know how
00:57:59.080 this stuff works
00:57:59.800 in case the
00:58:00.360 enemy uses it.
00:58:03.900 All right, so
00:58:04.320 that's all I got
00:58:05.580 for now.
00:58:06.080 I'm not accusing
00:58:06.740 China of anything
00:58:08.200 except not being
00:58:09.540 forthcoming, and
00:58:11.260 that's enough to
00:58:12.120 send their
00:58:12.480 diplomats home,
00:58:13.440 in my opinion.
00:58:14.460 That's all for
00:58:15.100 now, and I'll
00:58:16.140 talk to you
00:58:16.700 later.
00:58:19.820 All right, you
00:58:20.700 YouTubers,
00:58:21.760 Periscope is
00:58:22.580 offline.
00:58:23.320 people are still
00:58:29.140 blaming Fauci for
00:58:30.400 sending the virus
00:58:31.860 to Wuhan.
00:58:32.820 I don't buy any
00:58:33.620 of the Fauci is in
00:58:34.860 on it stories.
00:58:36.920 the longer it
00:58:43.520 goes on, the
00:58:44.240 longer you
00:58:44.680 believe China
00:58:45.420 had something
00:58:45.860 to do with
00:58:46.380 it, somebody
00:58:46.800 says.
00:58:48.560 China needs
00:58:49.280 to pay.
00:58:52.860 What about
00:58:53.440 the Canadian
00:58:54.020 researcher getting
00:58:54.900 arrested?
00:58:55.420 I don't know
00:58:55.740 about that.
00:58:57.120 Should the
00:58:57.500 vaccine be
00:58:58.260 compulsory?
00:58:59.220 No, no, it
00:59:00.200 should not be
00:59:00.780 compulsory.
00:59:01.700 I don't think
00:59:02.200 it'll need to
00:59:02.680 be.
00:59:02.840 Can we
00:59:05.340 make merchandise
00:59:06.040 for you?
00:59:06.620 I'd rather you
00:59:07.180 did not, but
00:59:08.680 thank you.
00:59:12.480 Reparations?
00:59:13.240 Oh, reparations
00:59:14.120 for the virus?
00:59:16.100 Yeah, I don't
00:59:16.760 see China paying
00:59:18.080 us any reparations.
00:59:19.380 That doesn't
00:59:19.760 seem like that
00:59:20.600 is ever going
00:59:21.060 to happen.
00:59:23.860 Aren't you
00:59:24.520 using analogies
00:59:25.620 to describe the
00:59:26.580 chances of
00:59:27.140 fraud?
00:59:27.500 Yes, and that
00:59:28.300 is the correct
00:59:29.160 way to use
00:59:29.980 an analogy.
00:59:31.520 I will
00:59:31.920 explain this
00:59:32.560 for the
00:59:32.960 billionth
00:59:33.560 time.
00:59:34.980 Analogies
00:59:35.460 are not
00:59:35.960 persuasive
00:59:36.840 as arguments.
00:59:38.640 They are
00:59:38.980 very useful
00:59:39.720 for describing
00:59:40.720 a concept
00:59:41.360 for the
00:59:42.120 first time.
00:59:43.260 But it
00:59:43.660 is not
00:59:44.020 true that
00:59:44.600 if something
00:59:45.080 reminds you
00:59:45.900 of something
00:59:46.360 else, that
00:59:47.660 something else
00:59:48.360 is going to
00:59:48.800 act the same
00:59:49.580 in the future
00:59:50.160 as the thing
00:59:51.220 that reminded
00:59:51.760 you of it.
00:59:52.300 So it's not
00:59:52.780 a persuasion,
00:59:53.780 it's just
00:59:54.500 describing something
00:59:55.540 for the first
00:59:56.120 time.
00:59:56.480 It's useful
00:59:56.880 for that.
00:59:58.280 All right.
00:59:58.580 you redefined
01:00:04.480 the slaughter
01:00:05.040 meter.
01:00:05.660 Yes.
01:00:06.800 So I
01:00:08.000 know there's
01:00:08.460 going to be
01:00:08.780 an entire
01:00:09.420 cottage industry
01:00:10.880 of people who
01:00:11.840 want to tell
01:00:12.460 me, Scott,
01:00:13.700 you're wrong
01:00:14.740 and you can't
01:00:15.680 admit it and
01:00:16.720 you move the
01:00:17.760 goalposts.
01:00:19.120 But here's
01:00:20.700 the situation.
01:00:22.240 I have
01:00:23.000 already
01:00:23.540 congratulated
01:00:24.560 Biden for
01:00:25.220 winning.
01:00:26.700 I'm done.
01:00:28.800 If Biden
01:00:29.700 is put in
01:00:30.380 office, I'm
01:00:31.860 the guy who
01:00:32.380 congratulated him
01:00:33.460 the day the
01:00:34.040 networks called
01:00:34.820 it for him.
01:00:35.680 That's it.
01:00:36.500 But it is also
01:00:37.440 true that Trump
01:00:38.340 has these legal
01:00:39.160 challenges and
01:00:39.900 he's allowed to
01:00:40.580 do them and
01:00:41.060 we can talk
01:00:41.560 about them.
01:00:42.480 But I can
01:00:43.260 still congratulate
01:00:44.020 him for winning
01:00:45.140 in a surface
01:00:48.040 way and I
01:00:49.480 would expect
01:00:50.360 the same would
01:00:51.020 be true if
01:00:51.620 it had gone
01:00:52.020 the other
01:00:52.320 way.
01:00:54.560 So, and
01:00:56.720 because I've
01:00:57.380 already accepted
01:00:58.180 that Biden
01:00:59.260 is likely to
01:01:00.400 take the
01:01:00.800 office, then
01:01:03.380 I have also
01:01:03.900 modified what
01:01:04.740 it means to
01:01:05.360 talk about the
01:01:05.940 slaughter meter.
01:01:07.220 But I'm doing
01:01:07.840 it in front of
01:01:09.300 you.
01:01:10.120 I'm not trying
01:01:10.760 to be tricky.
01:01:12.620 I already
01:01:13.220 said I
01:01:14.480 predicted Trump
01:01:15.400 would win on
01:01:15.940 votes.
01:01:16.880 Didn't happen.
01:01:17.740 There may be an
01:01:18.320 explanation.
01:01:19.100 We may never
01:01:19.660 know.
01:01:20.740 But, you
01:01:22.840 know, it is
01:01:23.260 what it is.
01:01:24.120 All right.
01:01:24.560 All right.
01:01:25.600 So here's
01:01:26.340 what he says
01:01:26.760 backpedal time.
01:01:28.380 All right.
01:01:28.640 So I'm going
01:01:29.200 to block you,
01:01:30.500 Sammy, because
01:01:32.380 the whole point
01:01:33.360 is that I've
01:01:35.200 said what I'm
01:01:35.820 doing and when
01:01:37.000 I adjust my
01:01:38.540 prediction, I
01:01:39.800 acknowledge that
01:01:40.720 I'm adjusting it
01:01:41.620 because it doesn't
01:01:42.360 work anymore.
01:01:43.640 So I'm
01:01:44.440 accepting that
01:01:47.400 my, you know,
01:01:48.620 that it didn't
01:01:49.440 happen.
01:01:50.100 Right.
01:01:50.300 So I am
01:01:51.640 allowed to
01:01:52.540 re, to
01:01:53.980 re-predict.
01:01:56.180 Re-predicting
01:01:57.140 and saying that
01:01:58.380 your old
01:01:58.720 prediction didn't
01:01:59.440 work is not
01:02:00.580 moving the
01:02:01.280 goal line because
01:02:02.480 you're doing it
01:02:03.120 explicitly.
01:02:03.940 Right.
01:02:04.880 You can change
01:02:05.780 your prediction.
01:02:06.280 So I'm
01:02:08.160 going to, I'm
01:02:08.980 going to delete
01:02:09.740 you.
01:02:14.160 Hide user on
01:02:15.440 this channel.
01:02:16.180 Okay.
01:02:16.460 You're hidden.
01:02:19.680 No, you can't,
01:02:20.800 Scott.
01:02:22.880 All right.
01:02:23.680 That's all for now
01:02:24.580 and I'll talk to
01:02:25.380 you.
01:02:27.600 Silence leads to
01:02:28.680 violence, Dave
01:02:30.040 says, and thank
01:02:31.020 you.
01:02:31.200 I appreciate
01:02:32.940 that.
01:02:34.720 Bye for now.