Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1226 Scott Adams： I Compare President Trump and Biden on Coronavirus Leadership. Who Wins？

00:00:00.000 Hey, everybody. Come on in. It's time. Time for Coffee with Scott Adams. It's the best time of the day.

00:00:11.540 Every single time. And what do you need? Yeah, if you'd like to take this up a level, all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass,

00:00:21.680 a tank or chalice or a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid I like, coffee.

00:00:32.300 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:36.040 It's called the Simpletonious Sip, and you're going to have it right now. Go.

00:00:43.900 Ah. Feel the connectedness.

00:00:48.760 You know, we're often separated by country type and ethnicity. We're separated by gender and age and all kinds of things.

00:01:00.780 But one thing that brings us all together, it's the Simultaneous Sip, and it's pretty awesome.

00:01:06.820 Speaking of awesome, although there's a tragedy involved,

00:01:11.760 United Airlines had a situation where a COVID passenger died in flight.

00:01:18.760 And as the COVID passenger was, I guess, stopped breathing,

00:01:25.380 there were actually multiple people

00:01:27.880 who volunteered to help

00:01:30.220 do CPR.

00:01:32.600 Just hold this in your head for a moment.

00:01:35.280 We're in the middle of a pandemic,

00:01:37.460 and somebody has symptoms that

00:01:39.960 certainly look like they could have been coronavirus,

00:01:42.500 coronavirus, you know, because it's a breathing problem.

00:01:45.300 And indeed,

00:01:47.100 it was confirmed it was real coronavirus.

00:01:49.960 And yet,

00:01:51.500 and yet,

00:01:52.520 there were multiple people

00:01:55.140 who volunteered without hesitation

00:01:58.040 to perform CPR.

00:02:00.480 Now, in this case, the CPR did not include mouth-to-mouth,

00:02:03.740 because they have oxygen masks.

00:02:05.880 So it's more about the compression.

00:02:07.180 But one of those people was

00:02:10.020 Tony Aldapa,

00:02:12.560 who was a young man who was,

00:02:14.420 I guess he was an emergency EMT type,

00:02:17.080 happened to be on the flight,

00:02:18.340 and he jumped in,

00:02:19.560 used his expertise with no hesitation,

00:02:22.560 performed CPR on the guy for a long time,

00:02:25.800 was,

00:02:26.480 by his own report,

00:02:27.800 by Tony's own report,

00:02:29.500 he was covered in the man's sweat and urine

00:02:32.320 by the time he was done.

00:02:35.000 And indeed,

00:02:36.540 Tony also,

00:02:37.580 it looks like,

00:02:38.280 got coronavirus.

00:02:39.540 So he did actually get the exact risk

00:02:42.380 that he knew was the risk

00:02:44.160 when he didn't hesitate.

00:02:46.360 And he says now,

00:02:47.660 he would do it again.

00:02:48.800 Now, of course,

00:02:49.460 he's a younger man,

00:02:50.580 so his risk of dying,

00:02:51.920 Tony's risk,

00:02:52.680 is lower than the patient.

00:02:55.400 So statistically,

00:02:56.480 the odds were in his side.

00:02:57.520 But how do you like living in a world

00:03:00.960 in which you can be in the middle of a pandemic

00:03:04.560 and you go down on an airplane

00:03:07.100 and there are like several people

00:03:10.220 come to your rescue?

00:03:12.580 Several.

00:03:14.320 It's pretty inspiring.

00:03:16.440 Another story,

00:03:17.540 Trump is actually mulling,

00:03:20.600 reportedly,

00:03:21.460 he's asking people about reprising The Apprentice.

00:03:24.720 Now,

00:03:26.840 I'm not a big TV watcher,

00:03:28.900 so I don't have an opinion

00:03:29.780 about whether that'd be good TV,

00:03:31.660 but it would be the top-rated show.

00:03:35.040 So if Trump wants to have

00:03:37.060 the top-rated TV show,

00:03:39.380 he can do it.

00:03:41.360 But it's sort of a weird career situation for Trump

00:03:45.360 because he could also have the top-rated anything,

00:03:49.060 basically.

00:03:50.420 Whatever business he starts

00:03:52.140 is probably going to do pretty well

00:03:53.560 if he chooses right.

00:03:54.720 So he's got a lot of options.

00:03:58.660 Steve Molloy tweeted

00:04:00.760 a cartoon from The Washington Post

00:04:04.320 that was depicting Trump supporters as rats.

00:04:10.860 Yeah.

00:04:11.700 Does that sound familiar?

00:04:13.860 So it's a cartoon depicting Trump supporters

00:04:17.360 as actual rats,

00:04:18.980 you know, physical rats.

00:04:20.040 And it might sound familiar to people of a certain age

00:04:24.380 because, as Steve pointed out in a side-by-side photo,

00:04:28.920 it's nearly identical to Nazi propaganda.

00:04:33.920 Now, very few people have mocked people

00:04:39.920 more than I have for using any kind of Holocaust analogy

00:04:44.200 or Nazi analogy.

00:04:46.140 And the reason I mocked people who do that

00:04:48.460 is that the whole reason that, you know,

00:04:52.040 the Holocaust is so big in our minds

00:04:54.940 is because it was a one-off.

00:04:58.160 Well, one-off is, unfortunately, that's too optimistic.

00:05:02.180 It's something that doesn't happen a lot,

00:05:04.480 let's just say.

00:05:05.700 Unfortunately, it wasn't unique

00:05:07.600 that there was a massacre.

00:05:10.340 But usually, I say to myself,

00:05:14.200 well, you know, calling an American politician Hitler,

00:05:18.100 that's not, you know, right.

00:05:21.800 That's just hyperbole.

00:05:23.120 It's stupid.

00:05:23.940 You're just not, you know,

00:05:25.000 a good part of the conversation.

00:05:26.940 But this is the first time I've ever seen an exact match.

00:05:32.040 The type of communication

00:05:34.740 that the Washington Post was using

00:05:36.500 with this cartoon of the Trump supporters as rats

00:05:40.240 is exactly the same as Nazi propaganda 0.52

00:05:43.900 showing the Jewish population as rats 1.00

00:05:47.140 before World War II.

00:05:49.300 It's exactly the same.

00:05:51.180 There's no difference.

00:05:54.680 That is so shocking

00:05:56.300 that I don't even know how the Washington Post

00:05:59.120 stays in business after that.

00:06:01.280 I mean, the whole company should have been shut down

00:06:03.640 after that.

00:06:05.240 Like, this is so bad,

00:06:06.740 you actually should have shut down the company.

00:06:08.940 But, you know, there's no law against it.

00:06:11.340 So there's no way you could actually

00:06:13.260 shut down a company over a comic.

00:06:15.720 But this is, in terms of how bad it is,

00:06:19.160 it's a close the company kind of bad.

00:06:22.160 This isn't, oh, sorry.

00:06:25.160 This isn't run a correction

00:06:26.780 or run an apology kind of thing.

00:06:29.560 This is close the whole company.

00:06:32.100 You don't deserve to be in business

00:06:35.040 because you are a menace to society.

00:06:37.440 If you're a news organization,

00:06:42.040 well, I've said enough on that.

00:06:46.460 Today, I don't know if you can take the excitement,

00:06:50.080 but it's a double whiteboard day.

00:06:53.360 But it's not just a two-sided whiteboard day,

00:06:57.400 but the two sides are two different topics.

00:07:00.140 How about that?

00:07:01.040 How about that?

00:07:01.620 It's not even the same topic.

00:07:02.640 So, topic number one,

00:07:05.680 the integrity of our computing systems

00:07:09.200 in the United States.

00:07:10.920 Whoops.

00:07:12.240 Don't want that side.

00:07:13.860 Don't look.

00:07:14.500 Don't look.

00:07:15.040 That's the wrong side.

00:07:16.600 No, don't look.

00:07:19.420 I hope you enjoy my super high-tech presentation,

00:07:23.380 which, if you're listening to this on audio,

00:07:25.860 is really annoying.

00:07:26.960 So, all right, topic one,

00:07:31.080 the integrity of our computing systems

00:07:33.660 in the United States.

00:07:34.600 We found that with the SolarWinds hack

00:07:37.440 that is probably Russia,

00:07:40.400 our experts say.

00:07:41.940 Trump says it might be China.

00:07:44.340 It might be.

00:07:45.520 But the Pompeo and the intelligence agencies

00:07:47.980 are saying it's probably Russia.

00:07:50.200 How much should you trust

00:07:52.800 our intelligence systems

00:07:55.300 who say it's probably Russia?

00:07:58.480 What level of credibility

00:08:01.080 would you put on all of our intelligence agencies

00:08:04.680 being quite certain?

00:08:06.860 Quite certain.

00:08:08.660 Yeah, zero.

00:08:09.580 Zero.

00:08:10.940 Zero is what the credibility I'd put on it.

00:08:13.140 I'd put zero on that.

00:08:14.500 Now, that doesn't mean they're wrong,

00:08:16.320 but in terms of whether you could believe them

00:08:18.840 or should believe them

00:08:20.080 based on recent history,

00:08:21.340 I'd say zero.

00:08:22.980 You know, they gave us Russia collusion,

00:08:24.620 so if they give you that,

00:08:26.100 they can give you anything.

00:08:27.320 But here's our situation.

00:08:30.060 We know that foreign hackers 1.00

00:08:31.620 have gotten into

00:08:33.440 pretty much

00:08:35.640 a lot of our critical systems.

00:08:39.040 But one element of this particular hack

00:08:41.980 is that you can't really tell

00:08:44.020 if you got hacked or not.

00:08:46.280 That's built into the nature of the hack

00:08:49.160 is that you wouldn't really know

00:08:51.260 you were hacked.

00:08:52.940 So I don't use the word hacked

00:08:55.480 for this graphic.

00:08:57.900 I use the word compromised.

00:09:00.160 So compromised,

00:09:01.320 just the way I'm going to be using it for this,

00:09:03.940 means that you don't know

00:09:05.840 if you're secure or not.

00:09:08.020 So that's different from knowing you're hacked.

00:09:10.560 Rather, you just don't know.

00:09:12.700 You might have some bad software in there.

00:09:14.840 You might not.

00:09:16.980 But I want to give you the good news.

00:09:19.520 I don't want to dwell on the bad.

00:09:21.720 So we know that whether

00:09:22.740 we have confirmed a hack

00:09:24.680 or we simply know that

00:09:26.520 it might have been

00:09:27.420 because it's compromised,

00:09:28.840 pretty much all of our major systems,

00:09:32.420 with one exception,

00:09:34.320 have been compromised.

00:09:36.200 And again, it doesn't mean hacked.

00:09:38.120 It just means we don't know if it's hacked,

00:09:40.380 so therefore it's compromised in that sense.

00:09:42.640 But the only one that isn't

00:09:44.220 is our election systems,

00:09:46.440 which is not one system,

00:09:47.660 but rather it's a constellation

00:09:49.360 of different systems.

00:09:51.080 But I'll just represent it

00:09:52.300 with one circle here.

00:09:54.200 So all of our other systems

00:09:56.280 in the United States

00:09:57.300 we know are compromised,

00:10:00.020 which doesn't mean hacked.

00:10:01.220 It just means it might have been.

00:10:03.760 Except for the election systems.

00:10:05.320 So we have a good, solid election system.

00:10:12.020 And I think you'd have to chalk it up to luck

00:10:15.500 because all of these systems

00:10:17.900 that are compromised

00:10:18.780 have just as good security

00:10:22.440 as this one system that wasn't.

00:10:27.400 In fact, some people would argue

00:10:29.120 that it's kind of ironic

00:10:30.800 because the one system

00:10:32.660 that seems to be kind of weak on security,

00:10:35.920 if you were just sort of looking at it

00:10:37.480 from the outside,

00:10:38.980 I don't think the companies would say that.

00:10:41.180 I think the companies would say

00:10:42.280 they have good security.

00:10:43.520 But looking at it from the outside,

00:10:45.020 I say to myself,

00:10:45.920 it doesn't look so good to me,

00:10:49.280 but I'm not really a professional in that area.

00:10:52.340 So I'm going to say

00:10:53.260 the companies that manage these systems

00:10:56.340 are correct

00:10:57.320 and that their computer security

00:11:00.140 is the best.

00:11:02.900 Because just look at this.

00:11:04.380 Every one of these other systems

00:11:05.800 is either confirmed to be hacked

00:11:08.200 or might have been.

00:11:10.220 Might have been.

00:11:10.900 You don't really know.

00:11:12.220 But not the election systems.

00:11:13.980 And the reason I know this

00:11:15.040 is because this is what the news says.

00:11:17.820 And if you look on social media,

00:11:19.780 even if you were going to,

00:11:21.420 let's say you're crazy,

00:11:23.460 if you're just hypothetically,

00:11:24.860 let's say you were actually mentally insane

00:11:27.340 and you started thinking,

00:11:29.600 I think the election may have been hacked

00:11:32.560 and our software is not secure.

00:11:34.480 So if you were insane like that,

00:11:36.260 and obviously that would be clinically insane

00:11:38.360 if somebody said something like that,

00:11:40.480 you would be actually chastised on social media.

00:11:46.780 Because even to say

00:11:48.380 that this one is also compromised,

00:11:52.800 I mean,

00:11:55.040 how can you even think that?

00:11:56.540 That's a little woo-woo, you know?

00:11:59.720 Well, it's true that

00:12:00.820 all the other systems are compromised,

00:12:03.180 whether they've been hacked or not.

00:12:04.820 They're compromised.

00:12:05.700 But this one?

00:12:06.940 Wow.

00:12:10.120 First rate.

00:12:11.320 So that's the good news.

00:12:12.480 I like to focus on the good news.

00:12:14.180 You watch the news

00:12:15.460 and they'll be like,

00:12:16.900 oh, people died,

00:12:18.220 you know,

00:12:18.540 negative stuff,

00:12:19.880 pandemic.

00:12:20.320 But you come here for the optimism

00:12:22.800 and I'm here to tell you

00:12:25.480 it looks dire

00:12:27.320 with all these hacks

00:12:29.000 and these compromised systems,

00:12:30.660 but thank God

00:12:32.020 our election system

00:12:34.100 is not part of that mess.

00:12:37.120 Thank God.

00:12:38.620 And I'm going to take it further.

00:12:41.280 The people who manage

00:12:42.600 the election systems

00:12:43.920 are not just better than the rest

00:12:47.060 because they're the ones

00:12:48.400 who don't have compromised systems.

00:12:49.880 They're not just better,

00:12:51.660 but I think

00:12:52.160 they're patriots.

00:12:55.540 Really.

00:12:57.060 And

00:12:57.300 I've got a little tear

00:12:59.820 in my eye

00:13:00.300 because

00:13:00.660 you don't really see

00:13:02.280 this kind of patriotism

00:13:03.680 often,

00:13:04.380 especially from people

00:13:05.540 who

00:13:05.940 might

00:13:06.840 be citizens

00:13:08.160 of other countries.

00:13:09.480 So you don't see

00:13:10.680 as much

00:13:11.220 American patriotism

00:13:12.600 from citizens

00:13:13.340 of other countries,

00:13:14.360 but

00:13:14.660 for our election systems,

00:13:17.580 they're completely

00:13:18.360 American patriotic.

00:13:20.420 And

00:13:20.620 would you join me?

00:13:24.340 Just,

00:13:24.840 I think we should

00:13:25.640 give a little

00:13:26.420 applause

00:13:28.980 for our election systems.

00:13:31.720 Everybody else

00:13:32.700 failed us this year.

00:13:34.140 They all failed us.

00:13:35.340 but not

00:13:37.540 our election systems.

00:13:41.120 So,

00:13:42.140 looking on the bright side,

00:13:43.900 speaking of the bright side,

00:13:47.360 Congress has

00:13:48.240 finally,

00:13:48.960 it looks like

00:13:49.660 they're going to have

00:13:50.200 some kind of a

00:13:50.840 coronavirus stimulus deal.

00:13:53.720 And

00:13:54.160 isn't that good news?

00:13:57.080 I'm going to,

00:13:57.480 here's some more good news.

00:13:59.460 The coronavirus stimulus bill

00:14:01.320 that our Congress,

00:14:03.240 which gets a lot of,

00:14:04.620 Congress gets a lot of

00:14:05.880 criticism,

00:14:06.620 wouldn't you say?

00:14:08.840 Is that too

00:14:09.800 strong a statement?

00:14:10.940 That Congress gets

00:14:11.800 a lot of criticism?

00:14:12.840 It's true.

00:14:14.220 People are

00:14:14.780 criticizing Congress

00:14:15.700 all the time,

00:14:16.760 and unfairly,

00:14:17.560 I think.

00:14:18.300 Because,

00:14:18.900 just look at the

00:14:19.400 stimulus deal.

00:14:21.220 Here's a deal

00:14:22.280 that they all

00:14:23.120 pretty much agreed

00:14:24.180 on months ago,

00:14:27.020 and it only

00:14:27.920 took them,

00:14:28.820 what,

00:14:30.340 six months

00:14:31.540 or so

00:14:32.000 to do a bill

00:14:33.860 that they all

00:14:34.720 pretty much

00:14:35.160 agreed on

00:14:35.720 from the start?

00:14:37.500 So,

00:14:38.280 or at least

00:14:38.900 they knew

00:14:39.360 how it would

00:14:40.020 end from the start,

00:14:41.500 the smart people say.

00:14:42.860 So,

00:14:43.380 that's pretty good,

00:14:44.300 isn't it?

00:14:45.640 Like,

00:14:45.920 how long

00:14:46.660 is a bill

00:14:47.160 supposed to take?

00:14:48.440 I feel like

00:14:49.260 in the context

00:14:50.520 of an emergency

00:14:51.460 where people

00:14:52.100 are starving to death,

00:14:53.760 six months

00:14:54.340 is pretty fast.

00:14:56.740 I mean,

00:14:57.640 let's not

00:14:58.440 criticize them

00:14:59.300 for every little thing.

00:15:00.400 it's just

00:15:01.860 a pandemic,

00:15:03.180 it's only

00:15:04.080 people's entire lives

00:15:05.520 being destroyed,

00:15:07.080 it's just starvation,

00:15:08.780 but

00:15:09.120 six months

00:15:11.180 is pretty fast.

00:15:12.900 And,

00:15:13.500 I'm not talking

00:15:14.180 about

00:15:14.600 something that's

00:15:16.140 easy.

00:15:17.200 I mean,

00:15:17.480 this is practically

00:15:18.220 a warp speed,

00:15:19.880 moonshot

00:15:20.700 kind of a thing.

00:15:22.260 And I think

00:15:22.800 Congress,

00:15:24.140 well,

00:15:24.900 Congress,

00:15:25.620 today's just

00:15:29.440 all only

00:15:30.240 compliments today.

00:15:31.240 Congress,

00:15:31.940 for doing the work

00:15:33.280 of one day

00:15:34.880 in six months,

00:15:36.400 I salute you.

00:15:37.540 You're patriots.

00:15:38.760 Thank you,

00:15:39.440 thank you,

00:15:40.500 Congress,

00:15:41.400 for letting

00:15:42.160 all those people

00:15:43.100 suffer

00:15:43.580 for six months

00:15:45.620 for no reason

00:15:47.200 at all,

00:15:48.100 but

00:15:48.500 six months

00:15:49.940 is still pretty good,

00:15:51.300 pretty good.

00:15:53.180 In news of,

00:15:55.640 what would we call

00:15:56.660 this,

00:15:57.580 wokeness,

00:15:58.640 in wokeness news,

00:16:01.260 Ida Bay Wells,

00:16:02.600 you may know her

00:16:03.460 because she was,

00:16:04.900 I think she was

00:16:05.780 the principal

00:16:06.420 behind the 1619

00:16:07.840 project

00:16:08.480 in which

00:16:09.560 we are all

00:16:10.500 trying to learn

00:16:11.100 more

00:16:11.520 about the

00:16:13.060 founding

00:16:13.400 of our

00:16:13.900 country,

00:16:15.240 especially

00:16:15.620 the

00:16:16.220 slavery

00:16:17.500 part of

00:16:18.920 the founding

00:16:19.300 of the country.

00:16:20.720 And so,

00:16:21.140 Ida Bay Wells

00:16:23.380 was tweeting

00:16:24.300 and she said

00:16:25.740 this,

00:16:26.480 it was part

00:16:27.100 of a tweet

00:16:27.580 thread,

00:16:28.080 so it sounds

00:16:28.760 a little bit

00:16:29.180 out of context,

00:16:30.240 but she was 0.91

00:16:30.580 saying she

00:16:31.960 can't get over

00:16:32.580 how people

00:16:33.060 talk disdainfully

00:16:34.240 about 10

00:16:34.980 and 11

00:16:35.420 year old

00:16:35.760 children.

00:16:37.220 Well,

00:16:37.520 I didn't know

00:16:38.000 that people

00:16:39.140 speak disdainfully

00:16:40.660 about 10

00:16:42.980 and 11

00:16:43.360 year old

00:16:43.720 children.

00:16:44.640 Does that

00:16:45.000 happen a lot

00:16:45.580 at your house?

00:16:47.140 I don't,

00:16:48.220 I mean,

00:16:48.620 some people

00:16:49.000 talk about

00:16:49.440 their own

00:16:49.880 kids sometimes,

00:16:50.920 but do

00:16:52.120 people,

00:16:52.780 do you hear

00:16:53.060 a lot of

00:16:53.380 complaining

00:16:53.860 in public

00:16:54.620 on social

00:16:55.360 media?

00:16:55.820 It's like,

00:16:56.580 I tell you,

00:16:57.520 this country's

00:16:58.400 got some

00:16:58.800 problems,

00:17:00.020 but no

00:17:00.500 problems

00:17:00.960 quite as

00:17:01.500 big as

00:17:02.200 our 10

00:17:02.640 and 11

00:17:03.060 year olds.

00:17:04.080 Am I

00:17:04.400 right?

00:17:05.300 So,

00:17:05.860 apparently,

00:17:06.660 in Ida Bay

00:17:07.720 Wells'

00:17:08.360 world,

00:17:09.180 there's a

00:17:10.120 good deal

00:17:10.500 of complaining

00:17:11.080 about 10

00:17:11.600 and 11

00:17:11.960 year olds.

00:17:13.160 I must

00:17:13.860 live in a

00:17:14.300 bubble,

00:17:14.720 because I

00:17:15.160 don't hear

00:17:15.560 it,

00:17:15.820 but I'll

00:17:16.120 take it

00:17:16.460 on faith

00:17:17.140 that a lot

00:17:17.600 of people

00:17:17.880 are talking

00:17:18.640 about those

00:17:19.200 damn 10

00:17:20.920 and 11

00:17:21.340 year olds

00:17:21.880 disdainfully,

00:17:23.780 disdainfully.

00:17:25.440 Anyway,

00:17:25.920 she's talking

00:17:26.580 how it's

00:17:27.380 bad that

00:17:27.880 people would

00:17:28.400 imagine that

00:17:28.960 they lack

00:17:29.360 talent and

00:17:30.320 gifts,

00:17:31.220 because they're

00:17:32.800 being underserved.

00:17:35.840 So her point

00:17:36.940 is that

00:17:37.660 kids,

00:17:39.060 especially in

00:17:39.540 minority places,

00:17:41.220 you don't want

00:17:42.760 their whole life

00:17:43.540 determined by

00:17:44.320 their bad

00:17:44.900 school.

00:17:45.420 So by

00:17:46.080 the age

00:17:47.140 of 11,

00:17:48.460 bad school

00:17:49.300 may have

00:17:49.820 sort of

00:17:50.420 set their

00:17:50.800 fate.

00:17:52.000 Of course,

00:17:52.600 somebody went

00:17:53.080 into the

00:17:53.420 comments and

00:17:54.160 quickly noted

00:17:55.180 school choice

00:17:56.380 should help

00:17:57.220 fix that.

00:17:59.400 So we

00:18:00.240 have a

00:18:00.580 problem,

00:18:01.360 which is

00:18:01.880 kids,

00:18:02.900 especially

00:18:03.280 minority

00:18:03.740 kids,

00:18:04.140 getting under,

00:18:06.140 let's say,

00:18:06.660 a low-quality

00:18:07.300 education,

00:18:08.580 but there's

00:18:09.700 a fix,

00:18:10.680 which is

00:18:11.120 school choice,

00:18:11.860 because competition

00:18:12.700 eventually tends

00:18:14.640 to improve just

00:18:15.400 about everything.

00:18:16.740 And here's

00:18:17.220 what Ida

00:18:18.460 Bay-Wells

00:18:19.100 said to

00:18:20.460 the comment

00:18:21.120 that school

00:18:21.880 choice would

00:18:22.720 help fix

00:18:23.220 that.

00:18:23.520 She said,

00:18:24.700 school choice

00:18:25.460 literally came

00:18:26.520 about to

00:18:27.160 stymie

00:18:27.640 integration,

00:18:28.780 but nice

00:18:29.160 try.

00:18:31.820 So her

00:18:33.700 argument against

00:18:34.780 school choice

00:18:35.820 in 2020 is

00:18:37.960 that the

00:18:38.280 reason school

00:18:38.980 choice first

00:18:39.900 was introduced

00:18:40.760 was a

00:18:42.020 scheme to

00:18:43.180 stymie

00:18:43.700 integration.

00:18:44.380 Now,

00:18:45.760 is that

00:18:46.200 true or

00:18:48.020 is it

00:18:48.440 false?

00:18:50.380 Why do

00:18:51.140 I care?

00:18:52.200 What's the

00:18:52.940 difference if

00:18:53.460 it's true?

00:18:54.600 What's the

00:18:55.080 difference if

00:18:55.560 it's false?

00:18:57.120 It's the

00:18:58.380 past.

00:18:59.840 It's the

00:19:00.200 past.

00:19:01.580 What if you

00:19:02.720 found that

00:19:03.360 the country

00:19:05.620 called the

00:19:06.200 United States

00:19:07.040 was founded

00:19:09.360 around,

00:19:10.720 unfortunately,

00:19:11.300 in many

00:19:13.000 states,

00:19:14.540 slavery?

00:19:16.360 Would you

00:19:17.000 say that the

00:19:17.480 United States

00:19:18.260 maybe is a

00:19:19.660 bad system

00:19:20.380 because it

00:19:21.920 was founded

00:19:22.520 on a pretty

00:19:23.560 bad principle?

00:19:25.220 You know,

00:19:25.480 women couldn't 1.00

00:19:26.140 vote,

00:19:27.400 slaves weren't

00:19:28.200 considered people,

00:19:29.620 so is the

00:19:30.320 entire United

00:19:30.980 States bad

00:19:31.580 because of the

00:19:32.100 way it was

00:19:32.520 founded?

00:19:33.160 or,

00:19:35.200 or,

00:19:36.000 just going to

00:19:36.500 put this out

00:19:37.340 there,

00:19:38.260 do you allow

00:19:39.100 that pretty

00:19:40.380 much everything

00:19:41.000 in the past

00:19:41.560 was shitty

00:19:42.120 and it may

00:19:43.320 have evolved

00:19:44.120 into something

00:19:44.740 that we like

00:19:45.460 today?

00:19:46.040 because don't

00:19:49.080 conservatives say

00:19:49.940 this about,

00:19:51.520 well,

00:19:52.240 there's a lot

00:19:53.300 of talk about

00:19:53.860 how things

00:19:54.300 were founded,

00:19:54.900 everything from

00:19:55.600 Democrats were

00:19:57.040 really the

00:19:57.640 KKK and,

00:19:59.520 you know,

00:20:00.900 Planned

00:20:01.460 Parenthood was 0.94

00:20:02.360 really about,

00:20:03.160 you know,

00:20:03.620 exterminating the

00:20:04.680 black population.

00:20:07.040 There are a lot

00:20:07.660 of things that

00:20:08.120 were founded

00:20:08.780 for a purpose

00:20:11.120 that over time

00:20:12.360 became some

00:20:13.300 other purpose.

00:20:13.960 so if your

00:20:15.920 strategy for

00:20:17.560 improving your

00:20:18.380 situation is

00:20:19.320 based on what

00:20:20.020 something was

00:20:20.680 founded as,

00:20:22.220 you've got a

00:20:22.940 really bad

00:20:23.500 strategy.

00:20:24.480 And I've been

00:20:25.000 saying forever

00:20:25.520 that the biggest

00:20:26.200 problem in the

00:20:26.760 black community

00:20:27.360 is their

00:20:27.880 strategy,

00:20:29.320 meaning that

00:20:30.020 if you look,

00:20:30.920 for example,

00:20:32.800 let's take the

00:20:33.660 LGBTQ arc

00:20:35.880 of freedom,

00:20:37.840 if you want to

00:20:38.240 say,

00:20:38.940 if you look at

00:20:39.840 how LGBTQ

00:20:40.900 folks have

00:20:42.200 handled their

00:20:42.820 own,

00:20:43.440 let's say,

00:20:43.820 their own

00:20:44.420 struggle to

00:20:46.180 get equal

00:20:47.400 rights in

00:20:47.800 this country,

00:20:48.940 would you

00:20:49.360 say that

00:20:49.740 their strategy

00:20:50.400 was good

00:20:51.060 or bad?

00:20:52.700 I would say

00:20:53.460 it was really

00:20:53.860 good.

00:20:54.680 I would say

00:20:55.160 if you were

00:20:55.600 to look at

00:20:56.200 the strategy

00:20:57.000 that especially

00:20:57.980 the gay

00:20:58.400 community has

00:20:59.600 used for,

00:21:00.520 what,

00:21:00.700 20 or 30

00:21:01.280 years to

00:21:02.520 improve their

00:21:03.200 situation,

00:21:04.380 excellent.

00:21:05.760 A plus.

00:21:06.860 I would say

00:21:07.460 just on a

00:21:08.080 strategy level

00:21:08.900 really,

00:21:09.460 really,

00:21:09.820 really,

00:21:10.140 really,

00:21:10.560 really good

00:21:11.200 in every way.

00:21:12.640 I can't

00:21:13.520 even find

00:21:13.940 anything

00:21:14.360 that's wrong

00:21:14.820 with their

00:21:15.120 strategy.

00:21:16.900 But in

00:21:18.060 the case

00:21:18.980 of the

00:21:19.600 black

00:21:19.820 population

00:21:20.360 trying to

00:21:20.860 improve

00:21:21.180 their

00:21:21.400 situation,

00:21:22.480 their

00:21:22.620 strategy

00:21:23.140 is so

00:21:23.780 obviously

00:21:24.460 bad.

00:21:26.280 And do

00:21:27.200 you know

00:21:27.440 why I

00:21:27.860 can't

00:21:28.140 help?

00:21:30.360 I don't

00:21:31.060 know either.

00:21:32.120 Why can't

00:21:32.800 I help?

00:21:33.580 I want to

00:21:34.280 help.

00:21:35.080 I would like

00:21:35.580 to say,

00:21:36.120 I think you're

00:21:37.560 getting your

00:21:37.940 strategy from

00:21:38.660 a journalist.

00:21:40.560 You know,

00:21:40.840 a journalist

00:21:41.320 is telling

00:21:41.840 you that

00:21:42.380 school choice

00:21:43.720 is a bad

00:21:44.340 idea,

00:21:44.860 essentially,

00:21:45.780 because of

00:21:46.340 the reason

00:21:47.020 it was

00:21:47.380 founded,

00:21:48.260 which doesn't

00:21:49.060 have much

00:21:49.480 correlation at

00:21:50.280 all with

00:21:50.900 why people

00:21:51.620 do it

00:21:51.940 today.

00:21:53.000 Today they

00:21:53.500 do it

00:21:53.820 because they're

00:21:54.120 trying to

00:21:54.440 improve

00:21:54.700 education.

00:21:55.420 That's

00:21:55.740 sort of

00:21:56.160 the point

00:21:56.500 of it.

00:21:57.640 So if

00:21:58.480 you're

00:21:58.680 getting your

00:21:59.180 strategy

00:21:59.800 from a

00:22:01.520 journalist,

00:22:02.620 have you

00:22:03.000 gotten it

00:22:03.380 from the

00:22:03.680 right place?

00:22:04.660 Now,

00:22:04.940 I don't

00:22:05.160 like to

00:22:05.540 be the

00:22:05.800 one who

00:22:06.080 says,

00:22:06.500 stay in

00:22:06.740 your lane.

00:22:07.200 I believe

00:22:08.520 a journalist

00:22:09.060 could have

00:22:09.500 the best

00:22:09.860 strategy in

00:22:10.480 the world.

00:22:12.120 But not

00:22:12.800 in this

00:22:13.060 case.

00:22:14.280 Who would

00:22:14.940 you rather

00:22:15.300 listen to?

00:22:16.480 Kanye,

00:22:17.240 who says

00:22:17.680 don't get

00:22:18.120 lost in

00:22:18.660 the past,

00:22:20.140 and used

00:22:21.320 his own

00:22:21.720 strategy to

00:22:22.500 build a

00:22:23.040 multi-billion

00:22:24.380 dollar empire?

00:22:25.840 Do you

00:22:26.380 want to

00:22:26.620 listen to

00:22:27.000 the person

00:22:27.400 who built

00:22:27.880 a multi-billion

00:22:29.000 dollar empire

00:22:29.780 about what

00:22:31.280 a good

00:22:31.580 strategy looks

00:22:32.400 like?

00:22:33.020 Or do you

00:22:33.440 want to

00:22:33.620 look at

00:22:33.880 somebody

00:22:34.300 who's a

00:22:35.080 journalist?

00:22:37.200 There's a

00:22:38.140 big difference.

00:22:39.460 Now,

00:22:39.640 you could

00:22:39.860 say,

00:22:40.200 well,

00:22:40.400 but wait

00:22:41.000 a minute,

00:22:41.360 Kanye is

00:22:41.880 basically an

00:22:42.580 artist.

00:22:43.060 Don't you

00:22:43.400 mock artists?

00:22:44.500 Yeah,

00:22:44.860 I do

00:22:45.160 mock artists.

00:22:46.820 I don't

00:22:47.300 mock an

00:22:48.760 artist who

00:22:50.020 built

00:22:50.360 multi-billion

00:22:51.340 dollar

00:22:51.700 industries.

00:22:53.120 There's

00:22:53.640 obviously

00:22:54.160 something else

00:22:55.240 going on

00:22:55.740 with Kanye.

00:22:56.360 He's got

00:22:56.720 other talents.

00:22:57.680 It's pretty

00:22:57.980 obvious.

00:22:59.300 So,

00:23:00.220 I think

00:23:01.480 the black

00:23:02.220 population

00:23:02.860 really has

00:23:05.720 a strategy

00:23:06.420 problem

00:23:06.940 that's

00:23:07.440 just,

00:23:08.780 it's worse

00:23:10.380 than the

00:23:10.720 pandemic.

00:23:11.420 Like,

00:23:11.620 literally.

00:23:12.120 It's literally

00:23:12.760 worse than

00:23:13.360 the pandemic.

00:23:14.500 And it's

00:23:15.260 just strategy.

00:23:16.760 It really

00:23:17.200 is.

00:23:17.640 It's come

00:23:18.040 down to

00:23:18.420 just shitty

00:23:19.040 strategy.

00:23:19.900 Because

00:23:20.260 everything else

00:23:21.000 that they

00:23:21.360 want,

00:23:22.520 it's available.

00:23:23.980 I mean,

00:23:24.180 it's not

00:23:24.420 available

00:23:24.780 immediately.

00:23:25.700 You'd have

00:23:25.980 to employ

00:23:26.440 a strategy

00:23:27.040 and keep

00:23:28.040 on it.

00:23:28.640 And,

00:23:28.720 you know,

00:23:29.020 it's going

00:23:29.360 to take

00:23:29.600 years to

00:23:30.320 show

00:23:31.780 improvement,

00:23:32.440 et cetera.

00:23:33.620 But it's

00:23:34.220 available.

00:23:35.240 It's not

00:23:35.600 like it's

00:23:35.920 not available.

00:23:37.140 You just

00:23:37.540 use a

00:23:37.860 better

00:23:38.020 strategy.

00:23:39.880 All right.

00:23:41.040 The question

00:23:41.780 of asymptomatic

00:23:42.700 spread.

00:23:43.560 I was talking

00:23:43.920 about it

00:23:44.160 yesterday.

00:23:45.120 There were

00:23:45.380 some studies

00:23:45.940 that at

00:23:46.320 least suggested

00:23:47.060 that almost

00:23:48.600 none of the

00:23:49.260 spread comes

00:23:49.840 from asymptomatic

00:23:51.040 people.

00:23:52.160 And,

00:23:52.400 therefore,

00:23:53.640 the smart

00:23:54.120 people say,

00:23:54.920 well,

00:23:55.080 wait a minute.

00:23:56.280 If very

00:23:57.160 little of the

00:23:57.880 spread can be

00:23:58.640 tied to

00:23:59.280 asymptomatic

00:24:00.080 spreading,

00:24:01.460 why are

00:24:02.080 asymptomatic

00:24:02.880 people

00:24:03.240 wearing

00:24:03.580 masks?

00:24:05.560 Right?

00:24:06.340 Why are

00:24:06.760 they,

00:24:07.300 why do

00:24:08.320 they have

00:24:08.640 to lock

00:24:09.040 down?

00:24:10.540 Because

00:24:10.980 if you

00:24:11.880 have to

00:24:12.160 have

00:24:12.300 symptoms

00:24:12.900 to spread

00:24:14.900 it,

00:24:15.160 at least

00:24:15.440 in any

00:24:15.840 meaningful

00:24:16.220 way to

00:24:16.660 spread it,

00:24:17.600 wouldn't

00:24:17.920 it be

00:24:18.220 easy to

00:24:18.840 say,

00:24:19.260 well,

00:24:19.460 you've

00:24:19.700 got

00:24:19.820 symptoms,

00:24:20.940 so you

00:24:21.340 do your

00:24:21.720 thing,

00:24:22.120 because you

00:24:22.420 got symptoms,

00:24:23.120 stay away

00:24:23.520 from people,

00:24:24.080 whatever you

00:24:24.400 have to

00:24:24.620 do.

00:24:25.140 I don't

00:24:25.780 have

00:24:25.980 symptoms,

00:24:26.840 so I'll

00:24:27.660 just live

00:24:28.040 like a

00:24:28.400 normal person

00:24:29.020 and take

00:24:29.440 my less

00:24:29.980 than 1%

00:24:30.560 chance that

00:24:31.180 I'll run

00:24:31.500 into somebody

00:24:32.060 who can

00:24:33.160 be an

00:24:33.440 asymptomatic

00:24:34.040 spreader.

00:24:34.720 That sounds

00:24:35.160 logical,

00:24:35.860 right?

00:24:36.980 Is what I

00:24:37.880 just said

00:24:38.400 completely

00:24:39.560 rational to

00:24:40.660 you?

00:24:41.300 I think my

00:24:42.120 audience,

00:24:43.120 maybe not the

00:24:43.820 whole country,

00:24:44.540 but my

00:24:44.900 audience is

00:24:45.420 probably

00:24:45.680 compatible with

00:24:46.500 that.

00:24:47.120 Yeah,

00:24:48.000 if we know

00:24:48.900 asymptomatic

00:24:49.740 spreading is

00:24:50.540 trivial,

00:24:52.440 why don't

00:24:53.040 the people

00:24:53.480 who have

00:24:53.880 no symptoms

00:24:54.480 just live

00:24:55.420 life?

00:24:55.880 and the

00:24:57.200 people who

00:24:57.600 do have

00:24:57.960 symptoms

00:24:58.420 go to

00:24:59.580 a little

00:25:00.080 more extreme

00:25:00.760 and they're

00:25:01.300 quarantining

00:25:02.160 and we're

00:25:03.580 done here,

00:25:04.080 right?

00:25:05.300 Wouldn't

00:25:05.600 we be

00:25:05.940 done?

00:25:07.120 I mean,

00:25:07.440 literally,

00:25:08.060 if you only

00:25:08.980 made that

00:25:09.660 change,

00:25:11.060 aren't we

00:25:11.760 done?

00:25:13.500 Is that

00:25:14.000 what you

00:25:14.220 think?

00:25:16.320 I don't

00:25:16.960 think so.

00:25:18.040 And let me

00:25:18.400 tell you why.

00:25:19.540 You may

00:25:20.300 have had the

00:25:20.920 following

00:25:21.280 experience,

00:25:22.720 which I

00:25:23.220 did,

00:25:23.540 and it

00:25:23.840 goes like

00:25:24.320 this.

00:25:24.680 Someone in

00:25:26.100 your family

00:25:26.660 gets

00:25:28.120 symptoms,

00:25:29.500 but you

00:25:31.360 also have

00:25:32.220 something you

00:25:32.780 need to

00:25:33.120 do.

00:25:34.820 Got to

00:25:35.460 travel,

00:25:38.040 you know,

00:25:38.580 you got

00:25:39.360 things you

00:25:39.800 need to

00:25:40.100 do,

00:25:41.100 but somebody

00:25:42.540 in the

00:25:42.780 family has

00:25:43.300 symptoms.

00:25:43.940 Let's say

00:25:44.220 they haven't

00:25:44.720 been confirmed

00:25:45.600 yet,

00:25:46.440 so the

00:25:47.060 test isn't

00:25:47.700 coming back

00:25:48.240 because it

00:25:48.520 takes a

00:25:48.840 week to

00:25:49.140 get the

00:25:49.420 test.

00:25:49.960 By the

00:25:50.280 way,

00:25:50.520 where I

00:25:50.860 live,

00:25:51.960 my health

00:25:52.680 care provider

00:25:53.400 will take

00:25:54.160 longer

00:25:54.560 than one

00:25:55.140 week so

00:25:55.900 far to

00:25:57.160 give you

00:25:57.600 your test

00:25:58.460 result.

00:25:59.200 Longer

00:25:59.620 than a

00:25:59.880 week.

00:26:01.060 So if

00:26:01.600 you've got

00:26:01.880 a symptom

00:26:02.320 and you

00:26:04.000 don't have

00:26:04.360 your test

00:26:04.740 result back,

00:26:06.200 but you

00:26:06.540 know that

00:26:06.880 the symptom

00:26:07.340 could be

00:26:07.760 one of,

00:26:08.360 you know,

00:26:08.560 a variety

00:26:09.000 of different

00:26:09.400 things,

00:26:10.200 and you've

00:26:10.960 got stuff

00:26:11.900 to do,

00:26:13.480 let me ask

00:26:14.100 you this.

00:26:15.660 Do you

00:26:16.120 quarantine

00:26:16.600 with extreme

00:26:17.880 rigorousness?

00:26:20.420 You'd like

00:26:21.140 to think you

00:26:21.880 would,

00:26:22.440 right?

00:26:22.820 If you're

00:26:24.260 not in

00:26:24.660 this situation,

00:26:25.520 you say

00:26:25.800 to yourself,

00:26:26.400 of course

00:26:27.200 I would.

00:26:28.280 If somebody

00:26:28.860 in my

00:26:29.160 family had

00:26:29.700 symptoms,

00:26:30.840 yeah,

00:26:31.820 I'm going

00:26:32.360 to lock

00:26:32.700 that person

00:26:33.460 up in

00:26:33.840 a closet,

00:26:34.680 or whatever.

00:26:35.680 I'm going

00:26:36.060 to stay

00:26:36.400 away,

00:26:37.020 I'm going

00:26:37.220 to move

00:26:38.520 out to a

00:26:39.080 hotel for

00:26:39.700 a week.

00:26:40.700 That's what

00:26:41.180 you say.

00:26:42.660 Let me

00:26:43.020 tell you

00:26:43.340 what you

00:26:43.660 do.

00:26:44.720 It's a

00:26:45.060 little thing

00:26:45.640 called

00:26:46.620 cognitive

00:26:47.360 dissonance.

00:26:48.400 That's right.

00:26:48.920 If you

00:26:49.900 find yourself

00:26:50.640 in this

00:26:51.240 situation,

00:26:52.640 you will

00:26:53.300 invent

00:26:54.500 rationalizations

00:26:55.840 why it

00:26:56.880 doesn't

00:26:57.300 apply to

00:26:58.060 you.

00:26:59.660 You

00:27:00.240 think you

00:27:00.680 won't,

00:27:01.840 but you

00:27:02.360 will.

00:27:03.360 You

00:27:04.160 will.

00:27:05.060 And you

00:27:05.760 will do

00:27:06.100 that reliably

00:27:07.020 and predictably.

00:27:09.580 Every

00:27:10.380 psychologist

00:27:11.100 who

00:27:12.140 understands

00:27:12.820 the field

00:27:13.320 would be

00:27:14.100 able to

00:27:14.520 predict

00:27:14.820 this with

00:27:15.400 complete

00:27:16.000 certainty.

00:27:16.460 that once

00:27:17.700 you're in

00:27:18.240 the

00:27:18.440 situation,

00:27:19.840 you're

00:27:20.660 going to

00:27:20.920 say,

00:27:22.180 yeah,

00:27:23.380 but we'll

00:27:24.980 just have

00:27:25.660 little Johnny

00:27:26.460 sit in the

00:27:27.440 back seat

00:27:27.980 and tell

00:27:28.700 him to

00:27:29.100 breathe

00:27:29.620 sideways.

00:27:31.080 Yeah,

00:27:31.480 we'll just

00:27:31.820 tell Johnny

00:27:33.040 to wear a

00:27:33.580 mask and

00:27:34.260 we'll bundle

00:27:35.220 the other

00:27:35.620 kids into

00:27:36.100 the little

00:27:36.460 car and

00:27:37.240 stay there

00:27:38.080 for three

00:27:38.520 hours while

00:27:39.080 we're driving

00:27:39.620 in this

00:27:39.980 little confined

00:27:40.640 space with

00:27:41.700 somebody who

00:27:42.200 probably has

00:27:43.400 COVID,

00:27:43.960 but we

00:27:45.120 don't have

00:27:45.440 the test

00:27:45.820 results.

00:27:46.260 It's back

00:27:46.780 and I'm

00:27:47.460 feeling maybe

00:27:48.120 it was

00:27:48.400 probably a

00:27:48.960 cold and

00:27:49.940 you know,

00:27:51.020 I don't

00:27:51.380 believe in

00:27:51.880 you know,

00:27:53.320 right?

00:27:54.360 People will

00:27:55.200 justify any

00:27:56.760 risk away

00:27:57.680 to do what

00:27:58.860 they want

00:27:59.180 to do.

00:27:59.940 It's the

00:28:00.580 most basic

00:28:01.460 part of our

00:28:02.780 operating system

00:28:03.740 is we don't

00:28:04.720 care about

00:28:05.200 reasons.

00:28:06.320 Now,

00:28:06.760 let me take

00:28:07.140 that back.

00:28:07.820 We don't

00:28:08.220 care about

00:28:08.620 facts and

00:28:10.060 we also

00:28:10.460 don't care

00:28:10.980 about what

00:28:11.440 we said

00:28:11.800 we would

00:28:12.180 do.

00:28:12.860 We don't

00:28:13.380 care about

00:28:13.780 any of

00:28:14.100 that.

00:28:14.880 We kind

00:28:15.600 of want

00:28:15.860 to do

00:28:16.080 what we

00:28:16.400 want

00:28:16.620 to do

00:28:17.020 and if

00:28:17.840 there's

00:28:18.000 something

00:28:18.300 stopping us

00:28:18.920 from doing

00:28:19.340 it,

00:28:20.000 we will

00:28:20.520 imagine it

00:28:21.720 doesn't matter

00:28:22.440 because of

00:28:23.400 reasons that

00:28:24.200 we make up

00:28:24.760 that only

00:28:25.140 sound good

00:28:25.740 to us,

00:28:26.480 but anybody

00:28:26.940 looking on

00:28:27.540 would say

00:28:27.920 that doesn't

00:28:28.440 sound like a

00:28:28.940 good reason

00:28:29.380 until they're

00:28:30.340 in it.

00:28:31.320 And then

00:28:31.580 that very

00:28:32.160 person who

00:28:32.680 criticized you,

00:28:33.840 they get in

00:28:34.720 the same

00:28:35.100 situation,

00:28:36.360 they do the

00:28:36.880 same freaking

00:28:37.480 thing.

00:28:38.440 Cognitive

00:28:38.880 dissonance is

00:28:39.560 very,

00:28:40.400 very predictable.

00:28:41.800 And those

00:28:42.240 people would

00:28:42.640 say,

00:28:42.900 you know,

00:28:43.300 it's not

00:28:44.620 that big

00:28:45.240 a deal

00:28:45.560 if my

00:28:46.420 family takes

00:28:47.400 a little

00:28:47.960 bit of

00:28:48.380 risk.

00:28:49.500 How much

00:28:50.020 difference

00:28:50.440 could that

00:28:50.920 make to

00:28:51.360 the whole?

00:28:52.080 I mean,

00:28:52.320 I'm just

00:28:52.680 one family

00:28:53.520 and, you

00:28:54.720 know,

00:28:54.900 so that's

00:28:55.300 what would

00:28:55.540 happen.

00:28:56.120 So the

00:28:56.380 point is,

00:28:56.980 if you

00:28:57.360 were to

00:28:57.660 make a

00:28:58.040 rule that

00:28:58.500 said you

00:28:59.280 only need

00:28:59.940 a mask

00:29:00.500 if you

00:29:01.000 have

00:29:01.440 symptoms,

00:29:02.220 what would

00:29:02.720 happen?

00:29:04.100 People

00:29:04.500 with symptoms

00:29:05.400 would find

00:29:06.840 a reason

00:29:07.340 not to wear

00:29:08.180 a mask.

00:29:08.780 and they

00:29:09.480 would say

00:29:09.800 to themselves,

00:29:10.460 yeah,

00:29:10.660 I do

00:29:10.920 have

00:29:11.100 symptoms.

00:29:11.780 I'm

00:29:11.920 coughing.

00:29:12.760 I got

00:29:13.020 a dry

00:29:13.320 cough.

00:29:14.720 I can't

00:29:15.360 smell

00:29:15.600 anything,

00:29:16.620 but I

00:29:16.900 feel like

00:29:17.260 it's

00:29:17.420 the

00:29:17.600 flu.

00:29:19.320 I'm

00:29:19.720 sorry,

00:29:19.960 I feel

00:29:20.200 like it's

00:29:20.520 allergies.

00:29:21.740 How many

00:29:22.140 people who

00:29:22.660 had

00:29:22.960 coronavirus

00:29:24.140 symptoms

00:29:24.980 would tell

00:29:26.000 themselves

00:29:26.600 it was

00:29:27.400 just

00:29:28.200 allergies

00:29:28.780 so they

00:29:29.660 didn't

00:29:29.920 have to

00:29:30.280 wear the

00:29:30.660 mask

00:29:31.080 to the

00:29:31.560 mall?

00:29:33.140 Most

00:29:33.640 of them.

00:29:35.700 Probably

00:29:36.220 more than

00:29:36.740 half

00:29:37.180 would not

00:29:38.480 wear a

00:29:38.960 mask

00:29:39.300 with

00:29:39.820 symptoms

00:29:40.360 and

00:29:41.320 they'd

00:29:41.580 still

00:29:41.880 go to

00:29:42.180 the

00:29:42.300 mall

00:29:42.520 if

00:29:43.440 we

00:29:44.060 got

00:29:44.240 to

00:29:44.360 the

00:29:44.460 point

00:29:44.640 where

00:29:44.860 only

00:29:45.260 people

00:29:46.900 with

00:29:47.100 symptoms

00:29:47.360 were

00:29:47.680 supposed

00:29:47.940 to

00:29:48.100 wear

00:29:48.240 masks.

00:29:49.320 So

00:29:49.480 there's

00:29:49.760 no

00:29:50.060 way

00:29:50.480 that

00:29:52.220 managing

00:29:53.100 the

00:29:53.400 asymptomatic

00:29:54.160 versus

00:29:54.480 symptomatic

00:29:55.040 thing

00:29:55.340 can work

00:29:56.120 in the

00:29:56.360 real

00:29:56.540 world.

00:29:57.620 If

00:29:58.200 people

00:29:58.560 could

00:29:58.780 actually

00:29:59.220 comply,

00:30:01.020 then it

00:30:01.260 would be

00:30:01.360 a great

00:30:01.680 idea,

00:30:02.320 but people

00:30:02.720 would not

00:30:03.180 comply,

00:30:03.660 they would

00:30:03.860 not even

00:30:04.140 come

00:30:04.360 close.

00:30:05.520 I'd

00:30:06.120 like to

00:30:06.360 point

00:30:06.540 out that

00:30:06.980 most of

00:30:07.420 the

00:30:07.540 fake

00:30:07.760 news

00:30:08.200 that

00:30:08.900 well,

00:30:09.800 I don't

00:30:09.980 know,

00:30:10.280 I think

00:30:10.480 it's

00:30:10.600 competitive,

00:30:11.640 but the

00:30:12.340 news on

00:30:12.740 the right

00:30:13.200 is just

00:30:13.900 filled with

00:30:14.580 fake news

00:30:15.180 on

00:30:15.640 coronavirus

00:30:16.380 stuff and

00:30:17.200 election

00:30:17.560 stuff.

00:30:18.540 News on

00:30:18.960 the left

00:30:19.540 is filled

00:30:20.120 with fake

00:30:20.600 news,

00:30:21.160 usually

00:30:21.460 Trump

00:30:22.160 related

00:30:22.560 fake

00:30:22.880 news,

00:30:23.680 but

00:30:23.980 probably

00:30:25.000 we're

00:30:25.540 reaching

00:30:26.460 peak

00:30:27.040 fake

00:30:27.480 news

00:30:28.280 because

00:30:29.340 we're

00:30:29.720 having,

00:30:30.380 at least

00:30:30.780 potentially,

00:30:31.800 we're having

00:30:32.220 a change

00:30:32.700 of leadership.

00:30:33.680 Remember

00:30:33.960 I told

00:30:34.360 you that

00:30:34.740 whoever

00:30:36.100 is not

00:30:38.320 in power,

00:30:39.600 meaning if

00:30:40.160 Biden's in

00:30:40.780 power,

00:30:41.260 Fox News

00:30:41.920 is sort

00:30:42.460 of out of

00:30:42.840 power,

00:30:43.260 if you know

00:30:43.520 what I

00:30:43.680 mean,

00:30:44.760 whoever is

00:30:45.420 not in

00:30:45.820 power creates

00:30:46.460 the most

00:30:46.780 fake news.

00:30:47.420 But during

00:30:48.120 the transition,

00:30:49.580 you might have

00:30:50.160 this weird

00:30:50.580 situation where

00:30:51.380 both the

00:30:51.820 left and

00:30:52.240 the right

00:30:52.580 are cranking

00:30:53.300 out fake

00:30:53.760 news full

00:30:54.380 time,

00:30:55.180 until there's

00:30:56.420 unambiguously

00:30:57.440 one leader,

00:30:59.060 and then the

00:30:59.740 fake news

00:31:00.280 will start to

00:31:01.140 be biased just

00:31:01.900 toward the

00:31:02.400 opposition side.

00:31:03.520 But at the

00:31:04.320 moment,

00:31:05.200 because you've

00:31:05.740 got this,

00:31:06.560 I'm not

00:31:07.000 entirely sure

00:31:07.680 who's the

00:31:08.140 president,

00:31:08.720 at least

00:31:09.040 according to

00:31:09.760 a lot of

00:31:10.300 the country,

00:31:11.320 you have

00:31:13.340 double fake

00:31:14.220 news.

00:31:14.940 So you're

00:31:15.360 getting bombarded

00:31:16.280 on both

00:31:16.740 sides.

00:31:17.560 I would advise

00:31:18.580 you that

00:31:19.640 whatever

00:31:20.100 credibility you

00:31:21.200 put on your

00:31:21.800 own news

00:31:22.760 sources,

00:31:24.260 drop it to

00:31:24.920 zero.

00:31:27.120 Trust me.

00:31:28.600 Whatever you

00:31:29.440 thought was the

00:31:30.280 credibility of

00:31:31.100 your own

00:31:31.780 news sources,

00:31:32.860 the ones you

00:31:33.300 thought have

00:31:33.600 been pretty

00:31:33.980 good for the

00:31:34.440 last several

00:31:34.840 years,

00:31:35.400 just for the

00:31:36.300 moment,

00:31:36.980 for about a

00:31:37.620 month,

00:31:38.660 drop it to

00:31:39.380 zero.

00:31:40.460 There's no

00:31:41.040 credibility on

00:31:41.880 the left or

00:31:42.400 the right at

00:31:43.020 the moment.

00:31:44.480 I would see

00:31:45.280 that we might

00:31:46.820 creep back to

00:31:47.580 a little more

00:31:48.020 credibility,

00:31:48.760 but right now

00:31:49.240 none.

00:31:51.800 Would you like

00:31:52.540 to compare the

00:31:53.420 leadership of

00:31:54.340 Joe Biden,

00:31:55.440 hypothetically,

00:31:56.600 and President

00:31:58.120 Trump,

00:31:58.780 reality?

00:31:59.320 If you'd

00:32:01.980 like to be

00:32:02.360 good at

00:32:02.680 comparing

00:32:03.060 things,

00:32:03.720 you came

00:32:04.040 to the

00:32:04.300 right place.

00:32:05.240 A lot of

00:32:05.700 what we

00:32:06.060 think is

00:32:06.520 political

00:32:07.020 disagreement

00:32:07.680 is just

00:32:08.340 people who

00:32:08.960 don't know

00:32:09.300 how to

00:32:09.560 compare

00:32:09.860 things well

00:32:10.560 arguing with

00:32:12.000 people who

00:32:12.500 do,

00:32:13.380 and the

00:32:13.700 people who

00:32:14.100 don't know

00:32:14.500 how to

00:32:14.760 compare

00:32:14.980 things right

00:32:15.720 don't know

00:32:16.420 that they

00:32:16.760 don't know

00:32:17.080 how to

00:32:17.300 do it.

00:32:18.140 Here's an

00:32:18.580 example.

00:32:19.460 Let's say

00:32:19.860 you were to

00:32:20.180 compare who

00:32:21.380 would be

00:32:21.700 better in

00:32:22.260 the pandemic

00:32:22.860 leadership,

00:32:23.740 and I

00:32:24.340 just took

00:32:25.180 some of

00:32:26.300 the main

00:32:26.620 things that

00:32:27.400 are involved

00:32:28.020 in leadership.

00:32:29.140 Notice that

00:32:29.760 I left out

00:32:30.460 from the

00:32:30.860 list the

00:32:31.740 idea of

00:32:32.420 rapid testing,

00:32:33.560 which is

00:32:33.920 different from

00:32:34.600 testing really

00:32:35.880 fast.

00:32:36.980 So the

00:32:37.300 first thing

00:32:37.700 you need to

00:32:38.140 know is

00:32:39.220 that when I

00:32:39.700 use the

00:32:40.140 phrase rapid

00:32:41.040 testing for

00:32:41.800 coronavirus,

00:32:42.980 that has

00:32:43.660 nothing in

00:32:44.200 common with

00:32:45.860 testing really

00:32:46.640 fast.

00:32:48.080 Testing

00:32:48.500 really fast

00:32:49.120 would be

00:32:49.460 great,

00:32:50.160 but we

00:32:50.860 don't have

00:32:51.280 any products

00:32:52.180 that can do

00:32:52.720 that and be

00:32:53.380 the highest

00:32:53.800 level of

00:32:54.280 accuracy.

00:32:55.300 The rapid

00:32:55.720 testing is

00:32:57.120 a little

00:32:57.900 less sensitive

00:32:58.660 test, but

00:32:59.640 they're so

00:33:00.000 cheap that

00:33:00.460 you can test

00:33:00.980 a lot, and

00:33:01.880 the testing

00:33:02.360 a lot

00:33:02.880 compensates for

00:33:04.200 the fact that

00:33:04.700 they're a

00:33:04.980 little less

00:33:05.320 accurate.

00:33:06.260 If they're

00:33:06.660 cheap, everybody

00:33:07.260 has them, and

00:33:07.840 then the

00:33:08.080 pandemic's

00:33:08.620 over.

00:33:09.860 Trump has

00:33:10.520 never pushed

00:33:11.100 it, but

00:33:11.600 neither has

00:33:12.220 Biden.

00:33:13.180 So I would

00:33:13.660 say on one

00:33:14.540 of the biggest

00:33:15.100 issues of

00:33:16.080 coronavirus

00:33:17.080 leadership, both

00:33:18.640 Biden and

00:33:19.400 Trump failed

00:33:20.260 100% on

00:33:21.500 just that

00:33:21.860 issue.

00:33:22.120 Now, I

00:33:23.480 say failed

00:33:24.140 because neither

00:33:25.200 of them have

00:33:25.800 even said we

00:33:26.700 considered it

00:33:27.480 and here's the

00:33:28.100 reason that we

00:33:28.860 don't want to

00:33:29.440 go harder at

00:33:30.240 it.

00:33:31.400 Had they done

00:33:32.040 that, I would

00:33:32.620 say, well, I

00:33:33.800 don't know if

00:33:34.160 they failed or

00:33:34.740 not, but they've

00:33:35.620 at least got a

00:33:36.220 point of view.

00:33:37.280 Neither Biden

00:33:37.900 nor Trump have

00:33:38.760 expressed a

00:33:39.420 public point of

00:33:40.340 view on the

00:33:41.000 concept of rapid

00:33:41.960 testing, which

00:33:43.180 has nothing in

00:33:43.880 common with

00:33:44.580 testing really

00:33:45.720 fast.

00:33:47.160 Testing really

00:33:47.740 fast is sort

00:33:49.120 of stuff we're

00:33:49.740 trying to do.

00:33:51.580 Rapid testing is

00:33:52.380 a whole different

00:33:52.780 thing.

00:33:53.300 Neither of

00:33:53.660 them.

00:33:53.920 They both

00:33:54.220 ignored it.

00:33:55.800 Who would

00:33:56.080 have closed

00:33:56.660 travel early

00:33:57.560 and how

00:33:57.940 important it

00:33:58.540 is?

00:33:59.040 This is the

00:33:59.620 column that

00:34:00.120 is teaching

00:34:00.600 you how to

00:34:01.160 think if you

00:34:02.020 didn't already

00:34:02.660 do this.

00:34:04.440 Issues are

00:34:05.200 not of equal

00:34:06.180 importance.

00:34:08.100 Closing the

00:34:09.100 travel early

00:34:10.000 probably made a

00:34:10.760 big difference.

00:34:11.600 We can tell

00:34:12.180 from the way

00:34:12.820 both Biden

00:34:13.880 and Trump

00:34:14.440 talked about

00:34:15.280 it during the

00:34:15.940 time when it

00:34:16.480 mattered.

00:34:16.780 Biden was

00:34:18.260 not in

00:34:18.880 favor of

00:34:19.340 closing as

00:34:19.880 early as

00:34:20.340 Trump.

00:34:21.360 I would say

00:34:21.780 the importance

00:34:22.560 of closing

00:34:23.060 the border was

00:34:23.700 I'm just going

00:34:24.740 to put a

00:34:25.060 number on

00:34:25.560 it.

00:34:26.320 Think of

00:34:26.760 this in

00:34:27.100 terms of

00:34:27.800 a way of

00:34:29.160 thinking.

00:34:30.060 If you

00:34:30.280 wanted to

00:34:30.660 put different

00:34:31.120 percentages here

00:34:32.020 you might get

00:34:32.480 a different

00:34:32.780 outcome.

00:34:33.860 But in

00:34:34.320 terms of the

00:34:34.820 way to

00:34:35.380 approach it

00:34:36.020 that's what

00:34:37.040 you want to

00:34:37.460 learn here.

00:34:37.900 Just the

00:34:38.240 approach.

00:34:39.520 So I'm

00:34:39.820 going to say

00:34:40.140 20%

00:34:40.760 importance.

00:34:41.780 Seems

00:34:42.080 about right.

00:34:43.020 And I

00:34:43.200 would say I

00:34:43.640 would give

00:34:43.880 that to

00:34:44.180 Trump.

00:34:45.720 Trump did

00:34:46.360 something

00:34:46.860 right.

00:34:47.980 More

00:34:48.500 right than

00:34:49.040 Biden.

00:34:50.000 And we're

00:34:50.660 being fair

00:34:51.200 here.

00:34:51.560 Right?

00:34:51.880 This is the

00:34:53.100 live stream

00:34:54.260 where I'm

00:34:54.680 not being

00:34:55.200 just overtly

00:34:56.300 political.

00:34:57.400 Did Trump

00:34:57.920 close travel

00:34:59.600 sufficiently

00:35:00.440 early enough

00:35:01.680 and aggressively

00:35:03.040 enough especially

00:35:04.160 in Europe

00:35:04.760 especially closing

00:35:06.420 all the travel

00:35:07.240 as opposed to

00:35:07.960 making exceptions?

00:35:09.060 I'd say no.

00:35:10.560 No.

00:35:11.180 I think Trump

00:35:12.080 did not close

00:35:14.320 early enough

00:35:15.040 or tight enough.

00:35:16.860 But we

00:35:17.780 do know

00:35:18.180 for sure

00:35:18.740 that Biden

00:35:19.920 would have

00:35:20.340 been even

00:35:20.760 worse.

00:35:21.640 Because what

00:35:22.620 he said he

00:35:23.120 would do

00:35:23.460 is obvious

00:35:24.400 now in

00:35:24.940 retrospect.

00:35:26.160 It's obvious

00:35:26.800 Biden would

00:35:27.480 have been

00:35:27.700 worse on

00:35:28.280 this one.

00:35:28.960 And it's

00:35:29.300 20% of the

00:35:30.240 whole thing

00:35:30.920 in my view

00:35:32.980 of things.

00:35:34.660 How about

00:35:35.260 being a role

00:35:35.940 model for

00:35:36.580 wearing masks?

00:35:37.980 I would say

00:35:38.500 Biden is

00:35:39.740 much more

00:35:40.220 consistent and

00:35:41.420 his messaging

00:35:42.060 is much more

00:35:43.060 compatible with

00:35:44.440 the experts

00:35:45.100 so therefore

00:35:46.580 Biden's

00:35:47.400 better.

00:35:48.600 Would you

00:35:48.980 say Biden

00:35:49.480 is better

00:35:50.000 unmasked?

00:35:50.900 Because he's

00:35:51.800 closer to

00:35:52.740 the experts,

00:35:53.860 he's more

00:35:54.360 consistent,

00:35:55.400 and he models

00:35:56.560 it consistently

00:35:57.560 in public.

00:35:59.040 Better than

00:35:59.800 Trump, right?

00:36:01.220 Well, here's

00:36:02.160 the thing.

00:36:03.380 You have to

00:36:04.380 imagine that

00:36:05.360 if Biden

00:36:05.900 had been

00:36:06.460 president,

00:36:07.720 the conservatives

00:36:08.560 would listen

00:36:09.320 to him.

00:36:09.700 that's sort

00:36:11.720 of crazy,

00:36:12.940 right?

00:36:13.960 It's not

00:36:14.580 like Biden

00:36:15.900 would have

00:36:16.540 the better

00:36:17.000 messaging and

00:36:17.900 therefore he

00:36:18.540 would get

00:36:18.840 the better

00:36:19.360 outcome.

00:36:21.460 I would

00:36:22.200 agree completely

00:36:23.220 that Biden's

00:36:24.860 messaging on

00:36:25.640 masks was

00:36:27.000 far superior

00:36:28.100 than Trump's

00:36:29.740 messaging on

00:36:30.660 masks.

00:36:31.620 But here's

00:36:32.240 the thing.

00:36:33.620 It didn't

00:36:33.980 matter.

00:36:35.060 It didn't

00:36:35.580 matter at all.

00:36:36.520 Because if

00:36:37.140 Biden had been

00:36:37.760 president, do

00:36:38.400 you think

00:36:38.640 conservatives are

00:36:39.460 going to

00:36:39.640 listen to

00:36:40.040 Biden and

00:36:41.220 say, oh,

00:36:42.220 you know, I

00:36:43.780 had my own

00:36:44.340 information from

00:36:45.340 Fox News and

00:36:46.700 my own research,

00:36:48.220 but now that

00:36:48.980 you tell me

00:36:49.620 that my

00:36:50.440 arch enemy

00:36:51.340 Biden says

00:36:52.800 I should wear

00:36:53.400 a mask and

00:36:54.080 reduce my

00:36:54.680 freedom, well,

00:36:55.760 why didn't you

00:36:56.220 tell me,

00:36:56.660 Democrats?

00:36:57.480 I was just

00:36:58.260 waiting for a

00:36:58.820 Democrat to

00:36:59.460 tell me to

00:36:59.940 reduce my

00:37:00.560 freedom, and

00:37:01.680 now I'm all

00:37:02.280 on board.

00:37:03.820 Does anybody

00:37:04.300 think that

00:37:04.780 would have

00:37:05.040 happened?

00:37:06.280 So what the

00:37:07.220 fake news has

00:37:08.460 sold you on,

00:37:09.460 is this

00:37:10.380 ridiculous idea

00:37:11.840 that because

00:37:13.140 Biden's messaging

00:37:14.440 on masks was

00:37:15.820 better, which

00:37:17.200 it was, 100%

00:37:19.300 better, not

00:37:19.860 even close,

00:37:21.180 Biden's messaging

00:37:22.300 on masks killed

00:37:24.500 Trump's messaging

00:37:25.940 on masks, but

00:37:27.480 here's what Trump

00:37:28.320 gets right.

00:37:29.900 He knows what

00:37:30.720 matters.

00:37:32.140 He does a

00:37:32.840 terrible job,

00:37:33.600 Trump does, on

00:37:34.360 things that don't

00:37:35.160 matter very much.

00:37:36.760 Biden did a

00:37:37.640 terrific job,

00:37:38.720 terrific job, on

00:37:40.480 something that

00:37:41.000 didn't matter.

00:37:42.360 Now, the reason I

00:37:42.920 gave it a 5%

00:37:43.780 importance is not,

00:37:45.160 and this is

00:37:45.620 important, not

00:37:47.380 because I think

00:37:48.020 masks don't

00:37:48.900 work, but because

00:37:50.620 as a function of

00:37:51.960 leadership, it

00:37:53.400 wasn't going to

00:37:53.940 make that much

00:37:54.500 difference.

00:37:55.520 So I'm only

00:37:56.440 giving it a low

00:37:57.320 percent, not in

00:37:58.340 terms of

00:37:58.740 effectiveness of

00:38:00.160 stopping anything,

00:38:00.940 but only in

00:38:02.180 terms of could a

00:38:03.000 leader make any

00:38:03.620 difference.

00:38:04.960 If, you know,

00:38:05.980 would Biden's

00:38:06.900 messaging really

00:38:08.280 move the needle?

00:38:10.120 No.

00:38:11.140 There's very little

00:38:11.900 chance it would

00:38:12.580 have made things

00:38:13.120 better.

00:38:14.020 It might have

00:38:14.600 made things worse.

00:38:15.940 If you're a 0.88

00:38:16.680 conservative and

00:38:17.460 you're a Trump

00:38:17.900 supporter and you

00:38:19.080 see Trump say,

00:38:20.400 you know, I think

00:38:21.680 the experts probably

00:38:23.420 are right, yeah,

00:38:24.460 maybe you should

00:38:25.180 wear a mask, use

00:38:26.100 your judgment, and

00:38:27.160 sort of not strong

00:38:28.240 enough, but at

00:38:30.100 least he's Trump.

00:38:31.480 At least he's the

00:38:32.440 guy that many of

00:38:33.300 you voted for.

00:38:34.240 If you assume that

00:38:35.180 the Democrats are

00:38:36.080 masking up better

00:38:37.160 than the

00:38:37.700 conservatives, who

00:38:39.140 is better to

00:38:40.300 convince a

00:38:41.600 conservative to

00:38:42.460 wear a mask?

00:38:44.120 Would a

00:38:44.760 conservative be

00:38:45.700 more convinced to

00:38:46.760 wear a mask

00:38:47.340 because a

00:38:48.940 leftist told

00:38:50.380 him to, or

00:38:51.820 because one of

00:38:53.160 their own told

00:38:54.140 them to, but he

00:38:55.660 didn't tell him

00:38:56.200 as strongly and

00:38:57.140 as effectively?

00:38:58.840 Which one would

00:38:59.760 get you a better

00:39:00.480 mask result?

00:39:01.240 I don't think

00:39:02.880 that's clear, but

00:39:05.340 it's not a big

00:39:07.060 lever.

00:39:09.840 Vaccination

00:39:10.400 speed, even

00:39:11.360 Trump's critics

00:39:12.280 give him an 0.52

00:39:13.760 A+.

00:39:14.460 Biden said,

00:39:16.800 follow the

00:39:17.340 science.

00:39:17.980 If you followed

00:39:18.700 the science, would

00:39:19.740 Project Warp

00:39:20.700 Speed have

00:39:21.320 worked?

00:39:22.320 Nope.

00:39:23.660 If you followed

00:39:24.880 the science, you

00:39:25.760 would have taken

00:39:26.200 the recommendation

00:39:26.860 of the scientists,

00:39:28.260 don't push us, it's

00:39:29.520 going to take

00:39:29.920 five years.

00:39:31.300 Trump did not

00:39:32.320 take the

00:39:33.000 recommendation of

00:39:33.860 the scientists in

00:39:34.760 this one sense, in

00:39:36.700 which he said, no, I'm

00:39:37.660 going to push you, you're

00:39:38.440 going to do it in six

00:39:39.120 months, and they

00:39:40.260 freaking did it.

00:39:41.940 They actually did it.

00:39:43.580 I would say that the

00:39:44.860 vaccination will be at

00:39:46.200 least 70% of the

00:39:48.400 solution, at least.

00:39:50.040 I mean, you could put

00:39:50.840 this higher, but I

00:39:52.560 wanted to leave a few

00:39:53.400 percentages for the

00:39:54.340 other stuff.

00:39:54.900 I mean, maybe it's

00:39:56.420 even higher than 70.

00:39:59.180 How about lockdown

00:40:00.400 persuasion?

00:40:02.220 Just the ability of the

00:40:03.500 president to get the

00:40:04.680 states to do what he

00:40:06.080 wanted to do, and

00:40:07.440 specifically to lock

00:40:08.740 down.

00:40:09.700 Would Biden be better

00:40:11.100 at getting states to

00:40:12.520 be a little more

00:40:13.240 rigorous about locking

00:40:14.320 down?

00:40:16.360 Well, he might have

00:40:18.180 better messaging, just

00:40:20.080 like he might have

00:40:20.760 better messaging on

00:40:21.740 masks.

00:40:22.880 But would it make a

00:40:23.560 difference?

00:40:23.920 Do you think Florida

00:40:25.480 would lock down, if

00:40:28.000 it were still up to

00:40:28.920 Florida, Republican

00:40:30.500 governor, right?

00:40:31.860 Do you think a

00:40:32.500 Republican state like

00:40:33.580 Texas or Florida

00:40:35.780 would say, oh, you

00:40:37.320 know, now that

00:40:37.800 Biden's president, this

00:40:40.660 Democrat, we

00:40:42.120 Republicans who

00:40:43.100 disagree with him

00:40:44.060 completely, yeah, we'll

00:40:46.060 do more lockdowns,

00:40:47.640 because now a

00:40:48.580 Democrat is telling

00:40:49.360 us to lock down our

00:40:50.760 Republican state.

00:40:51.900 So, yeah, we're more

00:40:52.860 likely to lock down.

00:40:54.520 No, no, no, that's

00:40:58.440 not going to happen.

00:40:59.800 So, again, you could

00:41:01.520 say that the lockdown

00:41:02.400 is, you know, the

00:41:03.980 biggest, most important

00:41:05.000 thing we do, but what

00:41:07.080 you can't argue, if you're

00:41:09.020 being rational, is that

00:41:10.520 one leader would have

00:41:11.580 gotten you much of a

00:41:12.560 difference compared to

00:41:13.920 the other.

00:41:14.300 I don't believe Biden

00:41:16.680 would have gotten much of

00:41:17.900 a difference in terms of

00:41:19.140 lockdown, given that the

00:41:20.820 states really are the

00:41:22.080 prime movers of, you

00:41:23.540 know, of what's

00:41:24.340 happening there.

00:41:25.620 Then on school

00:41:26.380 closures, I would say

00:41:27.540 that at this point we

00:41:28.760 just say Trump is

00:41:29.540 right.

00:41:30.500 On one of the biggest

00:41:31.460 issues that has more to

00:41:32.620 do with protecting the,

00:41:33.920 you know, the mental

00:41:34.580 health of our kids,

00:41:35.560 Trump was just, just

00:41:37.660 right, right?

00:41:39.800 People disagree to

00:41:40.900 them, but here we are,

00:41:42.400 and now people say, yeah,

00:41:43.680 we probably should open

00:41:44.780 the schools.

00:41:45.920 He was right.

00:41:46.380 Now, when I look at

00:41:48.160 this, if you were to say,

00:41:50.460 if you were to say to

00:41:51.300 yourself incorrectly, the

00:41:53.400 two most important things

00:41:54.620 might be mask wearing and

00:41:56.760 lockdowns, and I say

00:41:58.120 incorrectly not based on

00:41:59.600 science of, you know,

00:42:00.960 whether these things stop

00:42:01.940 things, but I'm just

00:42:03.080 saying that if you believe

00:42:04.100 these are the two big

00:42:04.960 things, you tell yourself

00:42:06.980 but Biden's better on the

00:42:08.400 two big things, so that's

00:42:11.980 pretty good, right?

00:42:12.920 But what you're not doing

00:42:14.220 is understanding that the

00:42:15.680 two big things don't have

00:42:17.540 really any sensitivity to

00:42:19.880 leadership.

00:42:21.500 Leadership, probably not

00:42:23.900 the biggest variable,

00:42:25.580 except for this, and maybe

00:42:28.180 for the school closure

00:42:29.100 things.

00:42:29.980 And I would say, this is my

00:42:32.540 honest opinion with no

00:42:33.720 hyperbole, if you were to

00:42:35.440 compare Trump's leadership

00:42:37.100 to Biden's, it's not even

00:42:39.860 close.

00:42:41.120 It's not even close.

00:42:42.740 Trump killed it.

00:42:45.680 on this.

00:42:46.540 He killed it.

00:42:48.220 I think historians will

00:42:49.580 judge that, you know, once

00:42:51.980 they properly understand that

00:42:53.620 Biden couldn't have done

00:42:54.660 much about masks or about

00:42:56.180 lockdowns either, which I

00:42:57.680 think everybody would agree

00:42:58.580 with if they thought about

00:42:59.820 it.

00:43:00.720 Once you realize that, this

00:43:04.100 was one of the best examples

00:43:06.980 of leadership in all of

00:43:09.620 history.

00:43:10.540 And actually, I think the

00:43:11.820 historians will someday regard it

00:43:13.380 as one of the best, especially

00:43:15.260 the Operation Warp Speed.

00:43:16.840 I think people will see it as

00:43:17.840 one of the best acts of

00:43:18.980 leadership of all time in the

00:43:21.020 end.

00:43:22.700 And trust me, if you're new to

00:43:24.860 this, I know already the

00:43:27.520 criticisms I'll get is that,

00:43:31.340 you know, I'm just in the bag

00:43:33.540 for Trump and whatever, blah,

00:43:35.260 blah, blah.

00:43:35.600 I'm just going to support Trump.

00:43:37.060 But you've all heard me

00:43:37.980 criticizing, including on the

00:43:39.520 rapid testing, which is a

00:43:40.940 giant mistake.

00:43:41.740 It just happens to be a

00:43:42.620 mistake that Biden is making

00:43:43.740 at the same time.

00:43:46.380 Here's my Christmas

00:43:47.480 provocation related to this.

00:43:50.160 And I'll remind you I said

00:43:51.200 this.

00:43:51.520 If Trump had been president

00:43:52.740 of South Korea instead of

00:43:55.520 being president of the United

00:43:56.540 States, would his result in

00:43:58.760 South Korea be just as good 0.75

00:44:01.160 against the coronavirus as

00:44:04.040 South Korea got, which is

00:44:06.200 considered a success?

00:44:07.220 I say yes.

00:44:11.120 If Trump had been president

00:44:12.460 of South Korea, he would have

00:44:14.520 done just as well as the South

00:44:16.300 Korean president did. 0.58

00:44:17.640 Why?

00:44:18.400 Well, apparently there's a

00:44:19.480 private company in South Korea

00:44:20.860 who, as soon as the virus was

00:44:23.300 identified, started working

00:44:25.160 hard on test kits.

00:44:26.880 And so South Korea, for a

00:44:29.020 number of reasons, they had

00:44:30.140 sort of an island situation

00:44:31.960 because the DMZ doesn't let

00:44:34.460 anybody through.

00:44:35.260 So effectively, they were kind of

00:44:36.660 an island.

00:44:37.440 So that's a big advantage.

00:44:38.980 And then they had the

00:44:39.960 coincidental advantage of

00:44:41.780 having a company that

00:44:43.560 independently stepped up and

00:44:45.480 gave them enough testing for

00:44:46.840 their little island country.

00:44:48.760 So that was different.

00:44:50.080 If Trump had been president of

00:44:51.640 South Korea, still, that

00:44:54.100 independent private company

00:44:55.580 would have still did what it

00:44:57.020 did.

00:44:57.480 It noticed the virus.

00:44:59.020 It made the test kits.

00:45:00.620 And so South Korea had a way to

00:45:02.660 test their way to tamping it

00:45:05.500 down that just wasn't

00:45:06.520 available in the United

00:45:07.320 States.

00:45:08.120 So you take the president of

00:45:09.520 South Korea and you move him 0.87

00:45:10.780 to the United States.

00:45:11.940 He wants to be the same leader

00:45:13.480 and he's like, hey, let's test

00:45:15.700 really fast.

00:45:16.740 And then he finds out he can't.

00:45:18.660 Because in the United States,

00:45:19.900 there was not a company that

00:45:22.100 independently created a bunch of

00:45:23.800 really good tests really fast.

00:45:26.240 It didn't happen here.

00:45:27.780 And it wasn't because South Korea

00:45:29.420 was so well managed.

00:45:30.940 It was because there was an

00:45:31.840 independent company that got

00:45:34.620 ahead of the curve.

00:45:35.800 That's it.

00:45:36.880 And the fact that they're an

00:45:38.100 island nation.

00:45:39.060 Then on top of that, you had the

00:45:40.400 culture.

00:45:41.460 If you assume that masks work,

00:45:43.980 would you get better compliance

00:45:45.900 in South Korea, no matter who is

00:45:48.260 the president?

00:45:49.280 Would you get better mask

00:45:50.620 compliance and social distancing

00:45:53.020 in South Korea?

00:45:54.760 Yes.

00:45:55.860 Yeah, there's a cultural difference.

00:45:57.340 If you move the president of South

00:45:59.240 Korea over to the United States 0.99

00:46:01.300 and that president said, hey,

00:46:03.320 everybody, wear masks and do

00:46:05.300 social distancing, would he get

00:46:07.760 more compliance than Trump did?

00:46:10.420 I don't think so.

00:46:12.500 Would Biden get more compliance

00:46:14.460 than either Trump would or the

00:46:17.220 president of South Korea if he had

00:46:19.020 been the president of the United

00:46:19.960 States?

00:46:20.680 I don't think so.

00:46:21.940 There's no evidence he would have

00:46:22.980 gotten more compliance.

00:46:24.620 They would have basically been doing

00:46:25.960 the same thing and gotten the same

00:46:27.320 result.

00:46:28.400 So my argument is this.

00:46:31.180 The country makes the leader as

00:46:32.940 much as the leader makes the

00:46:34.380 country.

00:46:35.140 And we put too much belief in the

00:46:37.680 leader's work as the main mechanism

00:46:41.080 of change.

00:46:42.080 And they are obviously very important.

00:46:44.800 But really, the office makes the

00:46:47.700 president.

00:46:48.340 The country makes the president.

00:46:50.240 The reason we have a President Trump

00:46:52.120 is because there's something about

00:46:54.100 America.

00:46:55.580 Right?

00:46:55.760 You don't get President Trump unless

00:46:59.300 there's something about America.

00:47:02.220 And you don't get maybe a President

00:47:05.680 Trump elected in South Korea because

00:47:08.400 whatever it is about South Korea, it's

00:47:11.040 different.

00:47:11.320 So thinking that the leader is changing

00:47:15.140 the country is a little bit of wrong

00:47:17.580 think.

00:47:17.960 It's actually that the nature of the

00:47:21.080 country, so long as they have a democratic

00:47:24.540 process, is giving you the leader that the

00:47:27.980 country wanted.

00:47:30.100 So keep that in mind.

00:47:32.700 All right.

00:47:39.120 Here's the reason that the fake news can't

00:47:41.540 criticize Trump for what I consider his

00:47:44.660 biggest mistake in the pandemic, which is

00:47:46.860 not pursuing the rapid testing idea, which

00:47:50.640 is completely different from testing really

00:47:53.340 fast.

00:47:54.800 I'll recover that.

00:47:55.680 Because if the fake news criticized Trump for not

00:48:00.340 doing it, what would happen?

00:48:04.140 What would happen if the fake news criticized Trump for

00:48:08.460 not doing the rapid testing technique?

00:48:11.360 If they criticized him for it, it would educate

00:48:17.100 people what it was, and then it would happen.

00:48:22.100 So if the fake news criticized Trump for not

00:48:25.180 doing rapid testing, there would already be rapid

00:48:28.620 testing.

00:48:29.780 So they would actually solve the pandemic by

00:48:32.900 criticizing Trump.

00:48:34.740 Somebody says they did.

00:48:35.980 I know there have been an article or two about

00:48:38.260 it, but basically it's not really a story on CNN or

00:48:41.140 MSNBC.

00:48:42.300 It's not a headline story that they pound all the

00:48:45.200 time.

00:48:45.820 It's just something they mentioned and then they

00:48:47.980 dropped it and left.

00:48:49.580 All right.

00:48:51.260 That.

00:48:53.380 So watch this in the comments, how many people

00:48:55.920 don't understand what rapid testing is.

00:48:57.980 So you see in the comments, oh, there's this

00:49:00.280 place in the United States that is doing rapid

00:49:02.340 testing.

00:49:03.100 Oh, there was a rapid test recently approved.

00:49:06.960 None of them are rapid testing.

00:49:08.400 So if you believe that we're close to it or working

00:49:13.700 toward it or the things that have been recently

00:49:16.020 approved are in this category of called rapid

00:49:20.060 testing, you don't know what rapid testing is.

00:49:23.300 What you're talking about is tests that are kind of

00:49:27.340 fast.

00:49:28.640 That's not rapid testing because you have to add the

00:49:31.820 cheap and super rapid part of it or else it's a whole

00:49:35.540 different concept.

00:49:38.620 Somebody's saying how accurate are rapid tests?

00:49:40.840 That is a misunderstanding of what a rapid test is.

00:49:44.300 So to ask the question, if you're asking the question how

00:49:47.960 accurate the rapid tests are, then you don't understand the

00:49:51.520 concept of a rapid test.

00:49:53.000 The concept is that a lower, lower accurate test will get you a

00:50:01.220 better result if you do enough of them, because if the first test

00:50:05.520 doesn't work, the second one does, et cetera.

00:50:10.940 Somebody says low accuracy testing is not as useful as you think it

00:50:15.000 is.

00:50:16.160 How do you know?

00:50:17.580 Where was it tested?

00:50:18.640 I think that the logic of it is so strong that while I accept the

00:50:25.440 possibility that it might not be the kill shot, I think, the fact that

00:50:29.420 it's not being at least tested somewhere, you know, maybe tested in

00:50:33.260 this state or something, the fact that it's not being tested is

00:50:35.880 complete failure, right?

00:50:38.000 Even if, once you tested it, it wasn't as good as you thought, but the

00:50:42.220 fact that you're not testing it, and it so obviously looks like it's a

00:50:46.000 good idea, even if you're wrong, giant mistake.

00:50:49.760 Now, I say the same thing about hydroxychloroquine.

00:50:52.460 If it turns out that hydroxychloroquine has no impact on the coronavirus, it

00:50:58.460 would still be unambiguously a mistake that we didn't try it before we, you

00:51:04.680 know, could have certainty, because the risk-reward was right, even if the

00:51:09.100 drug was no good.

00:51:11.080 All right, that's all we get.

00:51:16.900 So, all right, that's all for now, and I'll talk to you tomorrow.

00:51:24.400 All right, looking at you, YouTube.

00:51:28.300 Periscope is off.

00:51:30.500 Somebody says it wasn't a mistake.

00:51:33.080 Paul says it was intentional.

00:51:34.360 Intentional.

00:51:36.640 Maybe.

00:51:37.400 I mean, I don't know what intentional means in this case, but maybe.

00:51:42.940 Somebody says, thank God the liquor stores stayed open.

00:51:45.480 Well, you know what?

00:51:46.800 If you watch conservative news, part of the fake news on conservative news was

00:51:52.360 this keeping open the liquor stores.

00:51:56.220 When you heard that liquor stores were going to stay open, but, you know, other

00:51:59.840 businesses were not, didn't you say to yourself, ah, how does that make sense?

00:52:05.340 Liquor's optional.

00:52:06.860 And the answer is alcoholics.

00:52:09.560 If you have a pandemic and alcoholics don't have access to legally buy alcohol,

00:52:16.020 they're still going to get it.

00:52:17.880 Just, they would do it illegally, or they would have major medical problems for

00:52:23.180 having to suddenly stop drinking, which is not the best way to stop drinking in many

00:52:29.240 cases.

00:52:31.460 So, the question on liquor stores, if you saw a story that the liquor stores were

00:52:35.920 staying open, and they did not mention the next fact that addiction specialists or

00:52:42.300 experts actually recommended it.

00:52:44.740 So, addiction experts recommended, for health reasons, to keep liquor stores open.

00:52:52.580 Because the people who are addicted to liquor, if they stop cold turkey, it's a

00:52:58.220 problem.

00:52:59.220 They need to stop professionally, and with a system, and, you know, maybe they need to

00:53:05.940 be in treatment in order to make the stopping be a good idea.

00:53:12.220 So, are the experts right?

00:53:15.060 You know, are the addiction experts right, who said, you know, maybe if it's short term,

00:53:19.900 just leave the liquor stores open?

00:53:21.540 Are they right?

00:53:22.460 What?

00:53:23.460 I don't know.

00:53:24.460 I don't know.

00:53:25.460 I don't know.

00:53:26.460 But they had a reason.

00:53:27.460 And that reason is generally not reported on conservative news.

00:53:30.460 So, if the experts have a reason, and your news didn't show you the reason, whether or

00:53:35.460 not you agreed with it is different.

00:53:37.460 But they didn't even show you the reason.

00:53:40.460 That's fake news.

00:53:41.460 All right.

00:53:42.460 That's all for now.

00:53:43.460 I'll see you then.

00:53:44.460 Bye.

00:53:45.460 Bye.

00:53:46.460 Bye.

00:53:47.460 Bye.

00:53:48.460 Bye.

00:53:49.460 Bye.

00:53:50.460 Bye.

00:53:51.460 Bye.

00:53:52.460 Bye.

00:53:53.460 Bye.

00:53:54.460 Bye.

00:53:55.460 Bye.

00:53:56.460 Bye.

00:53:57.460 Bye.

00:53:58.460 Bye.

00:53:59.460 Bye.

00:54:00.460 Bye.

00:54:01.460 Bye.

00:54:02.460 Bye.

00:54:03.460 Bye.

00:54:04.460 Bye.

00:54:05.460 Bye.

00:54:06.460 Bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 21, 2020

Episode 1226 Scott Adams： I Compare President Trump and Biden on Coronavirus Leadership. Who Wins？

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