Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1234 Scott Adams： Nashville, Psychology, Passion, China

00:00:00.100 Ba-dum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum. 0.97

00:00:10.360 Hey, everybody. Come on in. Come on in. It's time.

00:00:15.420 It's time for Coffee with Scott Adams, and there's going to be a little bit of a surprise today

00:00:20.580 if you happen to be watching me on the YouTube live feed.

00:00:24.700 and that surprise is that the power is going to go out

00:00:29.100 sometime in the middle of this broadcast.

00:00:33.020 So if you're on YouTube and the power goes out,

00:00:36.960 skip over to Periscope or catch it on the replay.

00:00:41.260 The reason is that these stupid iPads

00:00:44.780 have one hole that you use the microphone for,

00:00:48.860 which is plugged in.

00:00:50.360 It's the same hole they used to charge it.

00:00:52.720 So if I want to charge it while I'm using it,

00:00:56.840 which would be the most common thing you would do,

00:00:59.640 I can't do that because there's just one hole.

00:01:02.680 So YouTube, you're just going to disappear in a few minutes.

00:01:08.500 But if you'd like to enjoy this while it lasts,

00:01:11.580 all you need is a cup or mug or a glass,

00:01:13.420 a tank or a chalice or a stein,

00:01:14.940 a canteen jug or a glass, a vessel of any kind.

00:01:18.940 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:20.540 I like coffee.

00:01:23.180 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure

00:01:25.420 that dopamine to the day,

00:01:26.760 the thing that makes everything better.

00:01:29.140 It's called the Simultaneous Sip.

00:01:30.900 Go.

00:01:34.660 Ah.

00:01:36.080 I see in the comments that somebody says

00:01:38.320 there's an adapter that will help me with this.

00:01:41.420 I will look into that right after this.

00:01:43.880 I really will.

00:01:45.120 I'll look into it.

00:01:45.900 So, are you happy that I moved my books behind me?

00:01:50.780 It was the most frequent recommendation

00:01:52.900 is to move my books so my head wasn't in the way.

00:01:56.800 But it looks like my head's still in the way.

00:01:59.140 So maybe we'll work with that.

00:02:01.840 We'll do a little more A-B testing.

00:02:03.680 All right.

00:02:03.920 Let's talk about that Nashville bomber.

00:02:08.140 When I first heard that the Nashville bombing happened

00:02:12.820 and I heard that there was a camper

00:02:15.080 and it had a speaker on it with a warning to get away

00:02:19.140 and they blew up a phone company,

00:02:21.520 I did not have to be a highly trained FBI profiler

00:02:27.540 to make the following prediction.

00:02:29.560 It was going to be a 63-year-old white guy

00:02:33.580 with an IT background.

00:02:37.980 Was there anybody who didn't see that coming?

00:02:42.460 Everything about this crime screamed

00:02:45.840 63-year-old white guy with an IT background.

00:02:51.220 That was the first thing I thought.

00:02:52.860 The last thing I thought was foreign terrorism.

00:02:55.360 And as soon as you told me it's a camper,

00:03:00.480 it's got like a tricked out cool technology

00:03:05.500 for his explosion.

00:03:08.880 And it was a phone company.

00:03:11.480 The one thing that you knew for sure

00:03:12.980 is that he was a Dilbert fan.

00:03:15.420 And I thought,

00:03:16.180 oh, please don't call this the Dilbert bomber.

00:03:19.680 It's going to happen.

00:03:22.620 Somebody's going to call this guy the Dilbert bomber.

00:03:26.220 You know it's going to happen.

00:03:28.160 All right.

00:03:31.260 So I guess we're still waiting to figure out

00:03:33.840 what that's all about.

00:03:35.020 We don't know his motive.

00:03:36.000 But we certainly could have guessed who he was

00:03:40.440 before we found out.

00:03:43.760 Over in Nazi China, 0.87

00:03:47.600 have you ever heard the phrase

00:03:49.860 never again about the Holocaust?

00:03:51.500 That's sort of the slogan,

00:03:54.740 never again,

00:03:55.500 because never again will the world stand by

00:03:58.200 when some ethnic group is rounded up and slaughtered.

00:04:02.780 But indeed,

00:04:03.460 never again is happening right now

00:04:05.300 as China has rounded up the Uyghurs. 0.77

00:04:08.760 And although they're not being slaughtered yet,

00:04:12.660 somebody asked me,

00:04:14.360 Scott,

00:04:14.620 what do you think about people

00:04:16.340 who invest in Apple Computer

00:04:18.720 who allegedly their parts are made

00:04:21.280 by Uyghur slave labor?

00:04:24.140 To which I say,

00:04:25.540 what exactly was the alternative?

00:04:29.320 Would it be better

00:04:30.740 if the Uyghurs didn't have work? 1.00

00:04:33.900 Because I feel like

00:04:35.640 they would be sort of expendable,

00:04:37.640 if you know what I mean,

00:04:38.480 if they didn't have slave labor. 1.00

00:04:42.060 So while I'm not in favor of slave labor,

00:04:45.700 it might be better than the alternative

00:04:48.340 that China has planned for them.

00:04:50.220 If they could get some value out of them,

00:04:52.020 that's probably the only reason they're alive.

00:04:54.100 So both are horrible in the extreme,

00:04:57.240 but being dead is probably a little bit worse.

00:05:01.580 I don't know.

00:05:04.400 And then somebody,

00:05:05.500 when I tweeted this,

00:05:06.200 somebody said,

00:05:07.740 oh yeah,

00:05:08.280 you hypocrite?

00:05:09.060 I don't see you saying anything

00:05:11.120 about Israel

00:05:11.920 and the Palestinians.

00:05:14.560 To which I say,

00:05:15.840 I do not make decisions

00:05:17.140 based on bad analogies.

00:05:19.560 I would say that the Nazi analogy 0.96

00:05:21.880 is reasonably good

00:05:23.420 under the limited situation

00:05:25.320 that somebody is rounding up

00:05:27.560 an ethnic group

00:05:28.900 and putting them in concentration camps.

00:05:32.280 Now, if that exact thing is happening,

00:05:34.780 then I think a Nazi analogy

00:05:37.600 is reasonable, right?

00:05:39.740 If somebody invaded Poland,

00:05:42.600 I would say,

00:05:44.000 well, okay,

00:05:44.940 okay,

00:05:45.520 that's where a Nazi analogy,

00:05:48.360 that works pretty well.

00:05:50.540 Hitler invaded Poland.

00:05:52.520 But you can't use a Nazi analogy

00:05:54.580 for everything.

00:05:56.280 I mean,

00:05:57.000 on the internet we do.

00:05:58.760 But I like to keep it

00:06:00.060 for those things

00:06:00.760 that are right on the nose,

00:06:02.280 you know,

00:06:03.100 a concentration camp

00:06:04.480 for one ethnic group.

00:06:05.860 That's right on the nose.

00:06:08.020 I think that's a fair analogy.

00:06:10.360 Comparison,

00:06:10.900 whatever you want to call it.

00:06:12.360 But when you're talking

00:06:13.260 about Israel

00:06:14.020 and the Palestinians,

00:06:15.240 you've got all kinds

00:06:16.260 of other things going on.

00:06:18.260 But the most important difference

00:06:19.820 is that the Palestinians 0.74

00:06:21.120 have a clear ability

00:06:23.260 to affect their own fate.

00:06:25.180 The Palestinians,

00:06:27.400 if they wanted to,

00:06:29.240 could build a powerful region,

00:06:31.580 have self-control,

00:06:33.100 have nobody bother them,

00:06:34.580 be good neighbors,

00:06:35.640 make a fortune.

00:06:37.000 But they don't want that.

00:06:38.880 If they wanted it,

00:06:40.040 they could have it.

00:06:40.840 Everybody wants them to have it.

00:06:42.380 There's nobody

00:06:42.900 who doesn't want them

00:06:43.800 to have a good life.

00:06:45.440 So long as they,

00:06:46.780 you know,

00:06:47.460 don't bother other people.

00:06:50.260 So I think those are

00:06:51.400 the worst analogies

00:06:52.540 in the world.

00:06:53.240 And my general take

00:06:54.480 about the Middle East

00:06:56.160 is that the only thing

00:06:57.020 that matters is power.

00:06:58.860 And whoever has the power

00:07:00.340 uses it.

00:07:01.940 And you don't really need

00:07:03.740 to dig down

00:07:04.920 much deeper than that.

00:07:06.820 But it does matter

00:07:07.960 if you have at least

00:07:09.100 some amount of control

00:07:10.240 over your own fate.

00:07:13.520 Yesterday's poorly planned

00:07:16.340 live stream

00:07:17.460 that I did here,

00:07:19.300 I told you I overslept

00:07:21.020 and didn't have any content,

00:07:22.520 so I just put together

00:07:24.360 some stuff

00:07:25.660 that was on the top

00:07:26.340 of my mind

00:07:27.060 right before the live stream.

00:07:29.640 Turned out to be

00:07:30.560 one of my all-time

00:07:31.540 most popular live streams.

00:07:34.260 And so the moral

00:07:35.620 of the story is

00:07:36.600 there's no point

00:07:37.960 in working hard

00:07:38.680 and being prepared

00:07:39.480 because it doesn't seem

00:07:40.500 to have any impact

00:07:41.800 on your outcomes.

00:07:43.340 Well, that's not true.

00:07:44.880 But in this case,

00:07:46.100 weirdly,

00:07:47.020 the less work

00:07:47.820 I put into it,

00:07:48.620 the better result I got.

00:07:49.820 So the thing

00:07:51.260 that people

00:07:51.640 were commenting on

00:07:52.520 is I did a little

00:07:53.680 takedown of psychology.

00:07:56.040 Now, I'm not saying

00:07:56.880 all of psychology

00:07:57.860 is BS.

00:07:59.160 I wouldn't know.

00:08:00.460 I'm not an expert

00:08:01.660 in that field.

00:08:03.000 I'm not saying

00:08:03.840 mental illness

00:08:05.780 isn't real.

00:08:07.020 Some people

00:08:07.460 are interpreting

00:08:08.460 that way.

00:08:09.020 Of course it's real.

00:08:10.300 The symptoms are real.

00:08:12.040 If you actually

00:08:12.820 have symptoms,

00:08:14.460 that's as real

00:08:15.340 as anything could be.

00:08:16.920 What I was commenting on

00:08:18.800 is just the labels

00:08:19.920 that they give

00:08:20.480 something like

00:08:21.080 this is narcissism

00:08:22.520 and this is

00:08:23.380 this other thing.

00:08:24.360 When they all overlap

00:08:25.760 and the symptoms

00:08:26.380 are all over the place,

00:08:27.860 there isn't any reason

00:08:29.240 to label some of them

00:08:30.900 with a name

00:08:31.660 when that happens.

00:08:37.680 So YouTube

00:08:38.520 just gave me

00:08:39.160 a low warning

00:08:40.980 so we'll probably lose,

00:08:42.440 I think we've probably

00:08:43.340 got 10 more minutes

00:08:44.420 on YouTube

00:08:45.180 before it goes dark.

00:08:48.800 But here's my take

00:08:50.760 on that.

00:08:51.820 First of all,

00:08:53.440 whenever I go after

00:08:54.820 a field

00:08:55.380 in which I am not

00:08:56.400 an expert,

00:08:57.360 everybody pours in

00:08:58.340 and says,

00:08:59.260 you cartoonist,

00:09:00.320 you're not an expert.

00:09:01.920 Why are you

00:09:02.540 criticizing this field?

00:09:04.320 But I would like

00:09:05.160 to lay claim

00:09:06.000 to the following.

00:09:07.660 I would like to say

00:09:08.720 that my personal expertise

00:09:10.360 and one which I've

00:09:12.240 pursued publicly

00:09:14.220 all my life,

00:09:15.840 the 30 years or so

00:09:17.380 of my public life anyway,

00:09:19.420 that my one expertise

00:09:21.380 is calling bullshit

00:09:24.500 on other people's expertise.

00:09:28.180 That is sort of

00:09:29.380 my expertise.

00:09:31.180 Now,

00:09:31.680 I don't get into

00:09:32.820 the details

00:09:33.580 of other fields

00:09:34.840 that I don't understand,

00:09:36.340 but generally

00:09:37.080 you don't need to.

00:09:38.500 It's pretty easy

00:09:39.480 to call bullshit

00:09:40.280 on things

00:09:41.520 that are just

00:09:42.040 sort of obvious.

00:09:43.260 I don't call bullshit

00:09:45.060 on, say,

00:09:46.540 Einstein's theory

00:09:48.060 of relativity.

00:09:49.980 Do you know why?

00:09:51.440 Well, how would I know

00:09:52.360 if it's right or wrong?

00:09:54.160 How could I possibly know?

00:09:56.320 Right?

00:09:56.780 I couldn't know.

00:09:58.180 So,

00:09:59.540 so instead,

00:10:03.000 I go after 0.80

00:10:03.760 the low-hanging fruit.

00:10:05.580 And I want to give you

00:10:06.320 some examples

00:10:07.400 of that

00:10:08.640 so that you can

00:10:09.480 get it in context.

00:10:11.560 I've told you

00:10:12.440 that the Dilbert

00:10:14.020 comic strip

00:10:15.220 basically took out

00:10:16.420 the whole field

00:10:17.220 of management consulting.

00:10:19.260 And I basically

00:10:20.220 called bullshit

00:10:20.920 on the entire field

00:10:22.320 of management consulting,

00:10:23.340 which was not my field.

00:10:25.560 Not exactly.

00:10:26.480 I mean,

00:10:26.680 I didn't do it

00:10:27.220 for a living or anything.

00:10:28.740 So that was my first case

00:10:30.160 where I called BS

00:10:31.160 on a field

00:10:31.940 that I was not part of.

00:10:33.540 Later,

00:10:34.200 when I,

00:10:34.540 and I told you this yesterday,

00:10:36.080 when I took on

00:10:36.980 the personal finance field,

00:10:39.320 again,

00:10:39.740 not an expert,

00:10:41.020 but it took about

00:10:41.720 five minutes of research

00:10:42.940 to find that

00:10:43.900 the personal finance

00:10:46.040 investment advice

00:10:48.580 industry

00:10:49.960 is just bullshit.

00:10:51.240 It's just people

00:10:51.960 making things complicated

00:10:54.280 so that they can tell you

00:10:55.460 they have a purpose

00:10:56.160 so they can take

00:10:56.820 a piece of your money.

00:10:58.820 So,

00:10:59.500 again,

00:11:00.720 two examples

00:11:01.460 of calling bullshit

00:11:02.600 on things

00:11:03.460 that are not

00:11:03.960 in my expertise.

00:11:04.840 do you remember

00:11:08.680 when the experts

00:11:09.960 said that

00:11:10.720 masks

00:11:11.780 don't work?

00:11:13.500 Now,

00:11:13.840 some of you still think

00:11:14.720 masks don't work,

00:11:15.700 but the general consensus

00:11:16.880 is now

00:11:17.800 that they do.

00:11:19.180 What did you see me do?

00:11:21.080 You saw me call bullshit

00:11:22.340 on a field

00:11:23.820 in which I have

00:11:24.500 no experience,

00:11:26.000 the medical field,

00:11:27.500 and,

00:11:28.200 at least at the moment,

00:11:30.220 the current thinking

00:11:31.100 is that they caught up

00:11:32.280 with me,

00:11:33.120 not the other way around.

00:11:34.680 Now,

00:11:35.000 if it turns out later

00:11:35.980 that masks are really bad,

00:11:38.760 you know,

00:11:39.100 we'll all revise

00:11:40.220 our opinion,

00:11:40.860 right?

00:11:41.480 But at the moment,

00:11:42.680 the strong consensus

00:11:44.000 of the experts

00:11:45.000 is that I'm right.

00:11:48.100 Right?

00:11:48.820 So,

00:11:49.440 I have quite a track record,

00:11:51.120 and I could bore you

00:11:52.400 with a bunch of other examples,

00:11:53.980 but I do have a long

00:11:55.140 track record

00:11:55.980 of seeing the low-hanging fruit

00:11:59.760 in other fields,

00:12:00.920 not all the details

00:12:02.880 of the field,

00:12:03.520 I can't tell if that's

00:12:04.360 right or wrong,

00:12:05.100 but just the obvious stuff.

00:12:07.760 And one of the other

00:12:09.000 obvious things

00:12:09.820 that I took on

00:12:10.940 was the idea

00:12:11.740 that you needed

00:12:13.100 passion

00:12:13.620 to be successful.

00:12:16.360 Do you remember that?

00:12:17.780 At first,

00:12:18.400 I first blogged about it,

00:12:19.840 and I don't remember

00:12:20.420 the exact year,

00:12:21.240 2011,

00:12:22.640 2012,

00:12:23.480 something like that,

00:12:24.380 and the blog post,

00:12:26.740 I think it was titled

00:12:27.520 Passion is Bullshit.

00:12:28.640 I can't find it now

00:12:29.660 because I've changed

00:12:30.220 my blog enough

00:12:31.000 that I couldn't find

00:12:32.040 the original post,

00:12:33.200 but it was so popular

00:12:34.400 that it became a chapter

00:12:35.740 in my book

00:12:36.660 published in 2013.

00:12:39.000 Now,

00:12:39.280 if the book is published

00:12:40.460 in 2013,

00:12:41.580 you can work backwards

00:12:42.620 to when it was written,

00:12:44.380 which was 2012-ish,

00:12:47.080 and then you can work

00:12:47.880 backwards from that

00:12:48.820 to when the original blog post

00:12:51.020 was written,

00:12:51.740 so it was either 2012

00:12:52.820 or 2011,

00:12:53.940 something like that.

00:12:54.440 So that's when I was saying

00:12:56.560 stuff such as

00:12:57.920 passion is bullshit,

00:12:59.520 and it's better

00:13:00.780 to do something

00:13:01.400 you're good at,

00:13:02.280 and then you'll get passion

00:13:03.340 if you make money

00:13:04.960 and it works out

00:13:05.740 and your life is good.

00:13:07.000 Now,

00:13:07.300 since then,

00:13:08.180 you've noticed

00:13:08.740 that that idea

00:13:09.540 has made its way

00:13:11.020 into a number

00:13:11.580 of different books,

00:13:13.080 and I was just watching

00:13:14.100 a video of Scott Galloway

00:13:16.700 who was repeating almost,

00:13:19.440 it sounded almost

00:13:20.200 word for word

00:13:20.940 from my book,

00:13:21.600 So in a video,

00:13:22.940 somebody asked him,

00:13:23.760 you know,

00:13:24.240 some secrets of success,

00:13:25.680 and he did the

00:13:26.400 passion is bullshit speech

00:13:28.460 pretty much exactly

00:13:29.560 as I laid it out

00:13:30.520 in my book.

00:13:32.020 Now,

00:13:32.840 he didn't credit me

00:13:34.940 for the idea,

00:13:36.740 which is fine,

00:13:37.960 because I don't think

00:13:38.720 ideas need to be credited.

00:13:41.360 I don't think

00:13:41.840 that's a thing.

00:13:42.880 I think if somebody

00:13:43.560 took your actual content,

00:13:45.440 you know,

00:13:45.640 like a copy

00:13:46.440 of a page of a book

00:13:47.600 or, you know,

00:13:48.480 a photo you took

00:13:49.700 or something like that,

00:13:50.800 that's no fair.

00:13:51.980 Because that's a copyright.

00:13:53.480 So it's not a copyright

00:13:54.560 unless it's the actual

00:13:55.700 material that you created

00:13:57.100 or part of it.

00:13:59.040 But if you just have

00:14:00.200 an idea

00:14:00.720 that is catchy

00:14:02.760 and people like it,

00:14:03.980 that's not copyrightable.

00:14:05.420 You can't copyright an idea.

00:14:06.860 So anybody who uses

00:14:07.940 an idea without

00:14:09.040 attribution,

00:14:10.900 I think that's fair.

00:14:11.940 I don't have a complaint

00:14:12.840 with that.

00:14:13.440 Because I use

00:14:14.340 other people's ideas

00:14:15.440 without attribution

00:14:16.660 all day long.

00:14:18.940 Usually because I don't

00:14:19.940 know where they came from.

00:14:20.660 Now, I'm seeing

00:14:22.060 in the comments

00:14:22.660 that it was

00:14:23.260 Mike Rowe

00:14:24.240 who said it first.

00:14:25.900 I believe Mike Rowe

00:14:27.280 said you should

00:14:28.120 take your passion

00:14:29.000 with you,

00:14:29.760 which is not

00:14:30.460 the same thing.

00:14:31.860 But if you can find

00:14:33.140 something that looks

00:14:34.160 more like what I said,

00:14:36.200 then that would be good.

00:14:38.180 There's also a Cal,

00:14:39.880 what's his name?

00:14:42.200 Cal, somebody,

00:14:43.400 who wrote a book

00:14:43.940 about that in

00:14:44.760 2012-ish.

00:14:49.360 But I think you would

00:14:50.340 find that my blog post

00:14:51.400 was the original

00:14:52.400 statement of that.

00:14:54.360 Not positive,

00:14:55.540 but it also doesn't

00:14:56.460 matter.

00:14:57.400 I know I didn't get it

00:14:58.460 from somebody else,

00:15:00.100 but it's possible

00:15:01.980 that other people

00:15:02.680 were saying the same

00:15:03.380 thing about the same time.

00:15:05.100 So the point is

00:15:06.000 that regardless

00:15:08.220 of where it came from,

00:15:09.860 this is part of my

00:15:11.040 history of calling

00:15:12.620 bullshit on things

00:15:13.580 and then the public

00:15:15.100 coming around,

00:15:15.820 Cal Thomas,

00:15:16.420 thank you,

00:15:17.180 Cal Thomas' book,

00:15:18.480 he talked about

00:15:19.140 passion being bullshit

00:15:20.300 in around 2012.

00:15:22.340 So I think it was

00:15:23.100 after my blog post

00:15:24.280 came out.

00:15:25.520 So here's the point.

00:15:29.580 Have I earned

00:15:30.900 the ability

00:15:31.580 to call BS

00:15:33.260 on a field

00:15:33.980 in which I'm not

00:15:34.980 an expert on?

00:15:36.700 I would like to

00:15:37.400 think I have.

00:15:38.680 And I'd like you

00:15:39.300 to do some,

00:15:40.200 I'm going to ask

00:15:40.980 you a favor.

00:15:41.420 I want to win

00:15:42.380 a bet with somebody.

00:15:43.660 It's just a private bet.

00:15:45.220 You know,

00:15:45.440 it's not a public thing.

00:15:47.400 But I made the claim

00:15:49.620 that when the

00:15:50.440 coronavirus pandemic

00:15:51.820 happened,

00:15:53.040 that I might have

00:15:54.060 been the first person

00:15:55.560 to say in public

00:15:57.360 anyway,

00:15:58.560 that the vitamin D

00:16:00.340 pattern

00:16:01.140 might be expressing

00:16:03.080 itself

00:16:03.680 in the different

00:16:05.160 outcomes

00:16:05.740 in different places.

00:16:07.420 Now,

00:16:08.540 before you jump

00:16:09.560 on me,

00:16:10.040 I know what you're

00:16:10.700 thinking,

00:16:11.720 you're saying,

00:16:12.520 uh,

00:16:12.960 Scott,

00:16:13.720 you did not invent

00:16:15.020 the idea that

00:16:15.780 vitamin D is good

00:16:16.840 for you,

00:16:17.560 and especially good

00:16:18.820 if you have,

00:16:19.700 you know,

00:16:19.980 maybe a virus

00:16:20.640 situation.

00:16:21.760 No,

00:16:22.780 I'm not claiming

00:16:23.560 that.

00:16:24.480 So I'm not claiming

00:16:25.980 that I'm the one

00:16:27.960 who told the world

00:16:28.720 that vitamin D

00:16:29.420 is good for you.

00:16:31.320 That's obviously

00:16:32.300 well-known forever.

00:16:33.900 I'm making a very

00:16:36.340 narrow claim

00:16:37.240 that the claim

00:16:39.020 that the different

00:16:40.800 outcomes in different

00:16:41.840 places may have

00:16:43.380 may have had as much

00:16:45.280 to do with the

00:16:45.940 vitamin D levels

00:16:46.920 as it did with

00:16:48.440 leadership or

00:16:49.380 technique or

00:16:50.300 mass or social

00:16:51.240 distancing.

00:16:51.680 And so the question

00:16:53.300 I ask you

00:16:53.960 is,

00:16:55.500 uh,

00:16:56.720 if anybody could

00:16:57.580 find the

00:16:58.260 Periscope,

00:16:59.820 the video and

00:17:00.840 or tweet

00:17:01.400 in March of

00:17:03.100 2020,

00:17:03.700 it has to be

00:17:04.100 March.

00:17:05.020 So here's the,

00:17:05.760 here's the task.

00:17:07.200 See if you can find

00:17:08.360 March only,

00:17:09.680 and it had to be

00:17:11.280 in the context of

00:17:12.220 not just saying

00:17:12.980 take vitamin D

00:17:13.980 because everybody

00:17:15.020 did that.

00:17:15.720 Joe Rogan did that.

00:17:17.560 Um,

00:17:18.400 a number of people

00:17:19.320 were saying that.

00:17:19.960 So that part is just

00:17:21.020 standard medical care.

00:17:23.180 Find me the part

00:17:24.380 where I said,

00:17:26.220 it looks like

00:17:27.420 Tehran has,

00:17:28.420 Tehran has a lot

00:17:29.260 of smog and

00:17:29.920 they also have a

00:17:30.500 problem.

00:17:31.500 Uh,

00:17:31.980 it looks like

00:17:32.680 Wuhan has a lot

00:17:33.580 of smog and

00:17:34.760 they have a problem.

00:17:35.880 And that was the

00:17:36.860 time I was saying,

00:17:37.620 hey,

00:17:38.620 where,

00:17:39.100 why is it a

00:17:39.680 coincidence that

00:17:40.440 wherever you can't

00:17:41.420 get vitamin D

00:17:42.380 easily,

00:17:42.960 they're also having

00:17:44.080 the worst outbreaks.

00:17:45.940 Now that was

00:17:46.840 generalized later

00:17:47.980 when I learned

00:17:49.560 that a lot of

00:17:51.100 diseases such as

00:17:52.500 diabetes,

00:17:53.820 you have low

00:17:54.660 vitamin D.

00:17:55.640 I didn't know that

00:17:56.360 when I was first

00:17:57.100 saying it.

00:17:58.160 But,

00:17:58.660 here's the thing

00:17:59.740 I want you to find.

00:18:01.140 The exact first

00:18:02.580 time I said,

00:18:04.320 this is the key,

00:18:05.660 the first time I said

00:18:06.680 there's a pattern,

00:18:08.060 not just that

00:18:09.200 vitamin D is good,

00:18:10.580 but there's a

00:18:11.200 pattern,

00:18:12.460 and that it

00:18:13.340 included black

00:18:14.400 people having

00:18:15.060 worse outcomes.

00:18:16.060 So if you can

00:18:17.160 find that for me,

00:18:17.980 the first time

00:18:18.740 has to be in

00:18:19.740 March,

00:18:21.480 could have been

00:18:22.080 February,

00:18:22.680 but I think it

00:18:23.080 was March.

00:18:23.840 The first time I

00:18:24.700 said it might be a

00:18:25.460 pattern,

00:18:25.900 especially noting

00:18:27.700 that skin tone

00:18:29.520 might have to do

00:18:30.380 with your vitamin D

00:18:31.380 uptake.

00:18:32.800 So if you find

00:18:33.440 something from

00:18:34.000 May,

00:18:34.580 that's too late,

00:18:35.940 only interested in

00:18:36.980 March.

00:18:37.880 All right,

00:18:38.280 sorry,

00:18:38.580 that was just for

00:18:39.100 me so I could

00:18:39.580 win a bet.

00:18:40.580 Now I know

00:18:40.940 Dr. Shiva was

00:18:41.800 talking about it,

00:18:42.960 but I believe he

00:18:43.660 was talking about it

00:18:44.460 therapeutically,

00:18:45.680 which is a

00:18:46.220 different context.

00:18:47.680 I was talking

00:18:48.280 about it as a

00:18:49.160 way to identify

00:18:49.920 why some

00:18:50.520 countries were

00:18:51.200 doing better

00:18:51.660 than other

00:18:52.040 countries.

00:18:53.380 So see if you

00:18:53.840 can find that

00:18:54.240 for me.

00:18:54.920 All right,

00:18:56.240 speaking of

00:18:57.340 patterns,

00:18:57.800 here's another

00:18:58.240 one.

00:18:59.100 Name,

00:18:59.860 watch this,

00:19:00.860 watch this test,

00:19:02.100 okay?

00:19:02.760 I'm going to

00:19:03.020 give you a

00:19:03.720 little test,

00:19:04.660 and I'm going

00:19:05.080 to see if I

00:19:05.700 can blow your 0.95

00:19:06.360 minds.

00:19:07.320 I've never done

00:19:08.020 this,

00:19:09.020 so I don't

00:19:09.580 actually know how

00:19:10.300 it's going to

00:19:10.660 turn out,

00:19:11.320 but I suspect

00:19:12.520 it's going to

00:19:14.020 blow your 0.91

00:19:14.420 minds.

00:19:15.320 In the comments,

00:19:16.840 I want you to

00:19:17.420 mention two

00:19:18.200 countries that

00:19:19.540 did unusually

00:19:20.620 well with the

00:19:22.380 coronavirus,

00:19:23.680 and then two

00:19:24.420 countries or

00:19:25.820 places,

00:19:26.420 could even be a

00:19:27.040 state if you

00:19:27.680 want, a state

00:19:28.200 in the United

00:19:28.540 States.

00:19:29.620 Pick two places

00:19:30.460 that had really

00:19:31.200 bad outcomes,

00:19:32.300 right?

00:19:33.120 So tell me,

00:19:33.900 but you have to

00:19:34.340 tell me which

00:19:34.800 one it is,

00:19:35.440 because I don't

00:19:35.800 know all the

00:19:36.120 states.

00:19:36.840 All right,

00:19:37.080 so Taiwan,

00:19:37.960 good outcome.

00:19:39.040 Sweden,

00:19:40.600 Norway,

00:19:41.120 Taiwan,

00:19:41.700 South Korea.

00:19:42.660 Okay,

00:19:43.140 now keep in

00:19:43.980 mind all the

00:19:44.460 ones you said

00:19:45.020 are good.

00:19:46.020 Japan,

00:19:46.760 Taiwan,

00:19:48.380 Sweden,

00:19:49.740 all right,

00:19:50.100 so New

00:19:50.900 Zealand,

00:19:51.500 right,

00:19:51.800 Vietnam.

00:19:52.660 Keep all

00:19:53.080 these in your

00:19:53.480 mind,

00:19:53.760 right?

00:19:54.140 Now do the

00:19:54.620 other one.

00:19:55.240 Now do the

00:19:55.820 countries that

00:19:57.100 had really bad

00:19:57.820 outcomes,

00:19:58.520 go,

00:19:59.140 or states.

00:19:59.940 You could do

00:20:00.280 a state in

00:20:00.800 the United

00:20:01.100 States.

00:20:02.180 Tell me who

00:20:02.680 had bad

00:20:03.120 outcomes.

00:20:04.920 USA,

00:20:05.400 I don't

00:20:09.180 know about

00:20:09.580 Australia exactly,

00:20:10.980 New York,

00:20:11.580 New York City,

00:20:12.580 all right,

00:20:12.900 Italy,

00:20:13.780 Italy.

00:20:14.500 So I'm

00:20:14.960 seeing Italy

00:20:15.500 and New

00:20:15.920 York City.

00:20:16.740 Do you see

00:20:17.100 the pattern?

00:20:18.160 Tell me the

00:20:18.840 pattern.

00:20:20.000 Bad outcomes,

00:20:20.980 now I'm just,

00:20:21.560 I'm not going to

00:20:22.020 do all the

00:20:22.640 countries in the

00:20:23.240 world,

00:20:23.560 I'm just going

00:20:23.980 to make the

00:20:24.920 case on the

00:20:25.580 ones that you

00:20:26.020 suggested,

00:20:26.760 right?

00:20:27.260 So you suggested

00:20:28.360 New York and

00:20:29.220 Italy,

00:20:30.420 New Jersey too,

00:20:31.280 I think.

00:20:32.040 So New York,

00:20:32.840 New Jersey,

00:20:33.360 and Italy on

00:20:34.160 bad outcomes.

00:20:35.400 There are lots

00:20:36.020 of other

00:20:36.340 ones,

00:20:36.580 but let's

00:20:36.900 use those

00:20:37.300 as examples.

00:20:38.520 What do

00:20:39.080 they have

00:20:39.640 in common?

00:20:41.160 And now

00:20:41.680 what do

00:20:42.360 the ones

00:20:42.940 that have

00:20:43.280 good outcomes

00:20:44.140 have in

00:20:44.600 common?

00:20:45.320 Now remember,

00:20:45.840 the good

00:20:46.100 outcomes are

00:20:46.620 not all

00:20:47.000 Asian,

00:20:47.440 because you

00:20:47.780 got your

00:20:48.120 Swedes in 0.95

00:20:48.720 there,

00:20:49.440 et cetera.

00:20:49.900 Some say,

00:20:50.500 some would

00:20:50.960 say they

00:20:51.260 don't have

00:20:51.600 good outcomes.

00:20:52.860 What do

00:20:54.000 you notice

00:20:54.460 about them?

00:20:55.440 Now let

00:20:55.800 me give

00:20:56.060 you a little

00:20:56.400 more hints.

00:20:58.040 All right,

00:20:58.440 here's some

00:20:58.900 extra hints.

00:21:00.300 We have

00:21:00.640 learned that

00:21:01.160 the coronavirus

00:21:01.680 doesn't seem

00:21:02.960 to spread

00:21:03.820 on surfaces

00:21:04.820 very easily.

00:21:06.640 Right?

00:21:07.140 We didn't

00:21:07.600 know that

00:21:07.920 before,

00:21:08.440 but now

00:21:08.720 we know

00:21:09.060 that.

00:21:09.340 It doesn't

00:21:09.580 spread on

00:21:10.020 surfaces.

00:21:10.980 So we

00:21:11.280 know it's

00:21:11.560 airborne.

00:21:12.820 Here's the

00:21:13.220 other thing

00:21:13.640 we know

00:21:14.460 about it.

00:21:15.260 if you

00:21:17.140 were in

00:21:17.540 a chorus

00:21:19.440 and people

00:21:20.600 were singing,

00:21:22.340 they would

00:21:22.560 be exhaling

00:21:23.300 more stuff

00:21:24.960 out of

00:21:25.360 their bodies

00:21:26.480 and that

00:21:27.640 stuff coming

00:21:28.240 out of

00:21:28.440 their bodies,

00:21:28.940 the air,

00:21:29.920 would be

00:21:30.520 more likely

00:21:31.220 infected because

00:21:32.080 they're exhaling

00:21:33.400 when they

00:21:34.400 sing.

00:21:35.640 Do you

00:21:36.160 see it

00:21:36.420 yet?

00:21:39.240 I'm

00:21:39.760 surprised you

00:21:40.200 haven't seen

00:21:40.560 it yet.

00:21:40.880 I'm giving

00:21:41.200 you every

00:21:41.620 hint in the

00:21:42.140 world.

00:21:42.380 Oh, you

00:21:44.820 haven't seen

00:21:45.320 it yet.

00:21:45.580 I'm really

00:21:46.340 surprised.

00:21:48.280 What do

00:21:48.640 New Yorkers

00:21:49.580 and Italians

00:21:50.520 have in

00:21:51.160 common that

00:21:52.900 Japanese do

00:21:54.180 not?

00:21:56.840 It has

00:21:57.680 nothing to do

00:21:58.220 with age.

00:21:58.980 Now, I think

00:21:59.380 density and

00:22:00.140 age and all

00:22:01.460 those things

00:22:01.960 do have

00:22:02.560 got it.

00:22:05.560 Somebody got

00:22:06.120 it.

00:22:06.920 Loud talkers.

00:22:07.840 Where are

00:22:09.220 the loudest

00:22:10.020 talkers in

00:22:12.280 the world?

00:22:13.560 New York?

00:22:15.340 New Jersey?

00:22:17.540 Italy?

00:22:18.600 Where are

00:22:19.680 the softest

00:22:20.680 talkers in

00:22:22.800 the world?

00:22:25.000 Japan?

00:22:27.200 Taiwan?

00:22:28.580 Do you

00:22:29.520 see it?

00:22:30.580 It's really

00:22:31.500 kind of clear,

00:22:32.300 isn't it?

00:22:32.640 Now, you'd

00:22:33.420 also have to

00:22:33.960 factor in age

00:22:35.140 and probably

00:22:36.900 something about

00:22:37.640 what they

00:22:38.000 did and

00:22:38.460 how they

00:22:38.760 treated.

00:22:39.500 It's not

00:22:40.040 the only

00:22:41.900 factor.

00:22:44.120 Now, I

00:22:44.780 would also

00:22:45.100 say that

00:22:45.580 when you're

00:22:45.940 looking at

00:22:46.280 the island

00:22:46.840 countries,

00:22:48.080 you probably

00:22:48.680 have to take

00:22:49.220 them out of

00:22:49.720 the mix.

00:22:51.000 So, I

00:22:51.460 would take

00:22:51.800 Taiwan out.

00:22:52.800 I would

00:22:52.960 take

00:22:53.120 New Zealand

00:22:58.700 out.

00:22:59.080 South Korea

00:23:01.060 out, because

00:23:02.620 it's

00:23:02.860 effectively an

00:23:03.720 island because

00:23:04.380 of the

00:23:05.300 DMC.

00:23:06.780 So, here's

00:23:08.420 my question.

00:23:10.060 Number one,

00:23:10.780 what is the

00:23:11.260 average weight

00:23:12.240 of an

00:23:13.180 Asian man?

00:23:15.160 The average

00:23:15.700 weight of

00:23:17.000 an Asian

00:23:17.380 man?

00:23:18.040 Now, I'm

00:23:18.340 not talking

00:23:18.780 about your

00:23:20.600 high body

00:23:21.360 fat makes

00:23:22.100 you die. 0.98

00:23:23.060 I'm talking

00:23:23.500 about how

00:23:23.820 much air

00:23:24.420 you put

00:23:24.860 out when

00:23:25.360 you talk.

00:23:25.920 do you

00:23:26.880 think that

00:23:27.260 the average

00:23:27.940 110-pound

00:23:29.420 Vietnamese

00:23:30.820 man puts

00:23:32.700 out as

00:23:33.160 much air

00:23:33.920 as a

00:23:35.120 250-pound

00:23:36.640 Texan

00:23:37.680 man?

00:23:39.400 Probably

00:23:40.040 not even

00:23:40.500 close, right?

00:23:42.000 If you

00:23:42.520 could measure

00:23:43.520 just the

00:23:44.100 amount of

00:23:44.460 air coming

00:23:45.160 out of

00:23:45.400 the lungs

00:23:45.920 of a

00:23:46.880 sumo

00:23:47.360 wrestler

00:23:47.780 versus

00:23:48.300 a 110-pound

00:23:49.640 office worker,

00:23:51.240 I don't think

00:23:51.680 it would be

00:23:51.900 even close,

00:23:53.000 would it?

00:23:54.100 So,

00:23:54.680 maybe

00:23:56.200 that's one

00:23:57.560 of the

00:23:57.760 biggest

00:23:58.020 patterns.

00:23:59.040 Maybe the

00:23:59.480 biggest

00:23:59.900 pattern is

00:24:01.040 how much

00:24:01.400 air comes

00:24:02.040 out of

00:24:02.380 your lungs

00:24:02.920 and it's

00:24:03.420 a factor

00:24:03.880 of are

00:24:04.660 you loud

00:24:05.200 talkers and

00:24:05.920 just how

00:24:06.220 big are

00:24:06.560 you?

00:24:07.380 Are you

00:24:07.660 a big

00:24:07.960 person or

00:24:08.520 not a

00:24:08.780 big person?

00:24:10.620 And then

00:24:11.180 how close

00:24:11.740 are you

00:24:12.320 when you

00:24:12.600 talk to

00:24:12.980 people and

00:24:13.540 density and

00:24:14.120 all that?

00:24:14.480 That matters

00:24:14.900 too.

00:24:15.880 All right,

00:24:16.320 here's the

00:24:18.800 worst

00:24:20.060 take of

00:24:22.620 2020 on

00:24:23.700 the virus.

00:24:25.380 This was

00:24:25.780 a tweet

00:24:26.180 today.

00:24:27.200 Somebody

00:24:27.400 said,

00:24:27.780 yet the

00:24:28.080 survival

00:24:28.540 rate for

00:24:29.040 COVID is

00:24:29.620 99.9

00:24:30.800 and we

00:24:31.500 are told

00:24:31.820 to stay

00:24:32.160 home and

00:24:32.520 wear masks.

00:24:33.780 How about

00:24:34.100 they all

00:24:34.500 F off and

00:24:35.120 let people

00:24:35.520 make their

00:24:35.940 own decisions?

00:24:37.520 I would

00:24:38.060 call that

00:24:38.400 the worst

00:24:39.160 take on

00:24:41.560 the pandemic.

00:24:43.000 It's the

00:24:43.540 worst opinion.

00:24:44.800 And here's

00:24:45.280 why.

00:24:46.200 First of all,

00:24:47.000 it's not

00:24:47.320 99.9.

00:24:48.500 It depends

00:24:49.160 on your

00:24:49.700 age and

00:24:50.160 your comorbidity.

00:24:51.060 If there

00:24:51.800 were a

00:24:52.820 4%

00:24:53.460 chance of

00:24:54.420 dying,

00:24:54.860 let's say

00:24:55.160 you were

00:24:55.360 older and

00:24:55.800 you had

00:24:55.960 a comorbidity,

00:24:57.540 would you

00:24:57.960 take a

00:24:58.320 4% chance

00:24:59.280 of dying

00:24:59.760 versus

00:25:01.140 YouTube's

00:25:04.860 going to

00:25:05.100 crap out

00:25:05.520 in a minute

00:25:05.840 here?

00:25:06.200 Would you

00:25:06.520 take a

00:25:06.820 4% chance

00:25:07.880 of dying?

00:25:08.700 That's

00:25:08.960 pretty high.

00:25:09.700 But here's

00:25:10.100 the thing

00:25:10.440 that's wrong

00:25:10.980 with that.

00:25:12.400 If the

00:25:13.720 hospitals were 0.89

00:25:14.660 not impacted,

00:25:16.480 if the

00:25:17.240 hospitals were 0.89

00:25:17.820 not impacted,

00:25:18.600 I'd say,

00:25:19.000 good point.

00:25:19.700 Doesn't seem

00:25:20.960 to have

00:25:21.220 much impact.

00:25:22.100 We have

00:25:22.540 other things

00:25:23.120 that kill

00:25:23.520 us.

00:25:24.460 Not much

00:25:24.880 point.

00:25:25.740 But the

00:25:26.200 hospitals are

00:25:26.780 impacted.

00:25:27.860 So that

00:25:28.240 matters.

00:25:29.260 The other

00:25:29.600 thing is that

00:25:30.280 it's temporary

00:25:30.900 by its

00:25:33.700 nature.

00:25:34.860 People are

00:25:35.340 saying,

00:25:35.780 but this

00:25:36.700 many people

00:25:37.260 die of

00:25:37.740 cancer every

00:25:38.360 year,

00:25:38.840 or this

00:25:39.140 many die

00:25:39.560 of tuberculosis.

00:25:40.980 But here's

00:25:41.440 the thing.

00:25:42.660 If we

00:25:43.640 knew that

00:25:44.200 2 billion

00:25:45.280 people might

00:25:45.940 die of

00:25:46.440 cancer in

00:25:47.860 the coming

00:25:48.260 year,

00:25:48.660 who would

00:25:49.480 not have

00:25:50.000 died

00:25:50.260 otherwise,

00:25:51.140 they wouldn't

00:25:51.560 have died

00:25:51.860 of cancer,

00:25:52.420 but let's

00:25:53.140 say there's

00:25:53.480 some

00:25:53.660 environmental

00:25:54.120 problem,

00:25:55.480 and you

00:25:55.920 could avoid

00:25:57.260 2 million

00:25:58.780 cancer deaths

00:25:59.900 if you

00:26:01.160 shut down

00:26:01.760 for 6

00:26:02.240 months to

00:26:02.760 take care

00:26:03.140 of the

00:26:03.380 environmental

00:26:03.820 problem that's

00:26:04.660 causing it.

00:26:06.020 We might

00:26:06.600 do that.

00:26:07.720 So everybody

00:26:08.240 was saying

00:26:08.660 we don't

00:26:09.040 do it for

00:26:09.460 other diseases,

00:26:11.000 it's because

00:26:11.420 the other

00:26:11.780 diseases have

00:26:12.440 a different

00:26:12.780 character.

00:26:14.620 If you

00:26:15.300 gave it the

00:26:16.160 same character,

00:26:17.000 we probably

00:26:17.560 would treat it

00:26:18.220 similarly.

00:26:19.040 If you

00:26:19.620 said,

00:26:20.280 yeah,

00:26:20.720 we just

00:26:21.100 have to

00:26:21.520 lock down

00:26:22.500 for a few

00:26:23.020 months,

00:26:23.840 we don't

00:26:24.140 know how

00:26:24.440 long,

00:26:24.800 but you

00:26:25.020 could save

00:26:25.360 maybe 2

00:26:25.940 million people

00:26:26.480 from cancer,

00:26:28.200 we might do

00:26:28.780 that if it

00:26:29.360 were temporary,

00:26:30.280 and there was

00:26:30.900 a specific

00:26:31.500 thing to be

00:26:32.100 solved in

00:26:32.660 that year.

00:26:33.880 And the

00:26:34.140 other thing

00:26:34.520 is statistics.

00:26:36.120 It's like

00:26:36.480 saying there's

00:26:37.540 only 10

00:26:38.880 people who

00:26:39.340 have AIDS,

00:26:40.780 so I guess

00:26:41.660 we don't need

00:26:42.080 to worry about

00:26:42.560 AIDS.

00:26:43.240 Only 10

00:26:43.680 people have

00:26:44.220 it.

00:26:45.500 Why would

00:26:45.940 you worry

00:26:46.280 about something

00:26:46.760 that only 10

00:26:47.400 people have?

00:26:48.740 Well,

00:26:49.300 you worry

00:26:49.840 about it

00:26:50.240 because more

00:26:50.940 people are

00:26:51.420 going to have

00:26:51.820 it, right?

00:26:52.580 That's how

00:26:53.140 it works.

00:26:55.100 And also

00:26:55.800 because vaccinations

00:26:56.800 are on the

00:26:57.460 way,

00:26:58.400 there's a time

00:26:59.540 limit,

00:26:59.940 obviously.

00:27:00.760 And then

00:27:01.160 also there

00:27:01.760 are lots of

00:27:02.220 long-term

00:27:02.700 illnesses,

00:27:03.820 it appears.

00:27:04.320 years.

00:27:04.800 So even

00:27:05.420 if you do

00:27:06.220 survive,

00:27:06.920 you're 99.9,

00:27:08.440 you might

00:27:09.100 have something

00:27:09.660 like a 20%

00:27:10.720 chance of a

00:27:11.720 permanent

00:27:12.140 long-term

00:27:12.940 problem.

00:27:14.540 Does that

00:27:15.180 feel like a

00:27:15.700 good odds

00:27:16.140 to you?

00:27:16.880 20% chance

00:27:18.060 that if you

00:27:18.420 go outside

00:27:19.160 and you

00:27:20.020 ignore social

00:27:20.760 distancing,

00:27:22.120 20% chance

00:27:23.040 you'll have a

00:27:23.440 long-term

00:27:23.980 permanent

00:27:24.380 health problem?

00:27:25.620 Are you okay

00:27:26.040 with that?

00:27:27.280 Well,

00:27:27.660 how about the

00:27:28.100 fact that if

00:27:29.000 the young

00:27:29.460 went out,

00:27:29.940 the people

00:27:30.360 who really

00:27:30.740 do have

00:27:31.400 not much

00:27:31.920 of a risk,

00:27:33.040 that if they

00:27:34.600 got infected

00:27:35.140 they could

00:27:35.600 bring it

00:27:35.960 back?

00:27:37.020 Now,

00:27:37.540 the news

00:27:38.280 is saying

00:27:38.740 that there's

00:27:39.200 very little

00:27:39.660 chance if

00:27:40.240 you're

00:27:40.880 asymptomatic

00:27:42.120 that you're

00:27:42.820 a carrier,

00:27:43.780 but I'm not

00:27:44.540 sure that

00:27:44.920 means as

00:27:45.380 much as

00:27:45.760 you think

00:27:46.140 it does.

00:27:47.320 Because I

00:27:47.780 think the

00:27:48.160 reason that

00:27:48.700 we make

00:27:49.420 people who

00:27:49.980 are asymptomatic

00:27:51.080 wear masks

00:27:51.980 is,

00:27:53.200 tell me the

00:27:54.080 reason we

00:27:54.600 make asymptomatic

00:27:55.880 people wear

00:27:56.620 masks if the

00:27:58.040 whole idea is

00:27:58.760 that you're

00:27:59.380 trying to

00:27:59.720 stop the

00:28:00.120 germs coming

00:28:00.640 out of

00:28:01.200 their mouth.

00:28:02.220 The mask

00:28:02.640 is not

00:28:03.040 trying to

00:28:03.460 stop the

00:28:03.840 virus from

00:28:06.340 coming in.

00:28:07.520 So what

00:28:07.820 would be the

00:28:08.320 purpose of

00:28:09.040 wearing masks

00:28:10.020 if we could

00:28:11.600 prove that

00:28:13.180 asymptomatic

00:28:14.040 people are

00:28:14.560 at zero

00:28:15.020 risk?

00:28:16.200 And it

00:28:16.400 looks like

00:28:17.540 that might

00:28:17.960 be actually

00:28:18.620 kind of

00:28:19.620 close to

00:28:20.100 reality.

00:28:21.440 But let's

00:28:22.060 say something

00:28:23.540 like that

00:28:24.100 happens.

00:28:24.820 I don't

00:28:25.340 think it's

00:28:25.720 quite confirmed,

00:28:26.780 but we're

00:28:27.040 heading in

00:28:27.360 that direction.

00:28:28.380 Let's say

00:28:28.760 that asymptomatic

00:28:29.700 spreading just

00:28:31.700 doesn't exist.

00:28:33.640 Would you

00:28:34.400 tell people

00:28:35.400 who are

00:28:35.660 asymptomatic

00:28:36.460 to wear

00:28:36.980 masks?

00:28:38.620 Some people

00:28:39.420 are saying

00:28:39.780 it's virtue

00:28:40.320 signaling.

00:28:42.500 Nope.

00:28:43.620 It's not

00:28:44.440 virtue signaling.

00:28:46.700 If you

00:28:47.540 did not

00:28:49.700 make the

00:28:50.180 asymptomatic

00:28:51.200 people wear

00:28:51.900 masks,

00:28:53.320 nobody would

00:28:54.160 wear a

00:28:54.580 mask.

00:28:54.940 mask.

00:28:55.620 Now,

00:28:56.020 when I

00:28:56.240 say nobody,

00:28:57.060 I don't

00:28:57.320 mean literally

00:28:58.080 nobody.

00:28:58.880 Somebody would.

00:29:00.220 But the

00:29:00.600 only reason

00:29:01.580 that symptomatic

00:29:03.440 people wear

00:29:04.120 masks is

00:29:05.680 that they

00:29:06.020 would stand

00:29:06.580 out if

00:29:07.140 they didn't.

00:29:08.540 That's it.

00:29:09.640 The other

00:29:10.300 masks,

00:29:11.020 if it turns

00:29:11.600 out that they

00:29:12.220 don't make

00:29:12.580 any difference

00:29:13.060 if you're

00:29:13.400 asymptomatic,

00:29:14.360 the other

00:29:14.860 masks are

00:29:15.580 purely to

00:29:16.500 identify

00:29:17.120 anybody who's

00:29:18.640 not wearing

00:29:19.100 a mask.

00:29:20.420 So,

00:29:21.020 I don't

00:29:21.240 think it

00:29:21.420 has anything

00:29:21.800 to do with

00:29:22.240 the virtue

00:29:22.620 signaling.

00:29:23.420 I mean,

00:29:23.640 that may

00:29:23.940 be part

00:29:24.620 of why

00:29:25.000 people do

00:29:25.500 it in

00:29:25.720 their own

00:29:26.000 minds,

00:29:26.560 but I

00:29:26.860 don't think

00:29:27.100 that has

00:29:27.340 anything to

00:29:27.780 do with

00:29:28.060 why it's

00:29:28.620 a guideline.

00:29:31.600 It's a

00:29:32.200 guideline because

00:29:33.840 it's the only

00:29:34.540 one that would

00:29:35.100 work.

00:29:36.060 The moment

00:29:36.620 you said,

00:29:37.320 no,

00:29:37.920 if you think

00:29:38.760 you're coughing,

00:29:40.160 if you think

00:29:40.940 you're coughing

00:29:41.480 is from a

00:29:42.200 cold,

00:29:43.460 well,

00:29:43.780 that's not

00:29:44.160 really asymptomatic,

00:29:45.100 is it?

00:29:45.740 So,

00:29:46.160 why don't

00:29:46.380 you use

00:29:46.920 your judgment

00:29:47.700 about whether

00:29:48.720 to use a

00:29:49.280 mask?

00:29:50.300 And then

00:29:50.620 old

00:29:50.980 coughing

00:29:51.460 coronavirus

00:29:52.600 goes out

00:29:53.380 in public,

00:29:54.500 coughs up

00:29:55.040 the entire

00:29:55.700 subway,

00:29:57.200 and says,

00:29:58.340 I didn't

00:29:58.760 know I

00:29:59.060 had a,

00:29:59.460 I thought

00:30:00.240 I had a

00:30:00.600 cold.

00:30:02.140 I thought

00:30:02.600 it was,

00:30:03.020 I thought

00:30:03.600 it was,

00:30:04.120 pretty sure

00:30:05.520 I just

00:30:05.880 had an

00:30:06.840 allergy.

00:30:08.020 I had a

00:30:08.440 little dryness,

00:30:09.400 a little dryness

00:30:10.980 in my throat,

00:30:11.920 but definitely

00:30:12.560 I didn't have

00:30:13.040 any symptoms.

00:30:15.160 Yeah,

00:30:15.680 I'm a little

00:30:16.020 hot,

00:30:16.880 a little bit

00:30:17.600 of fever,

00:30:18.720 sure,

00:30:19.400 yeah,

00:30:19.720 I can't

00:30:20.160 smell things,

00:30:21.380 but I

00:30:21.920 feel like

00:30:22.340 that's

00:30:22.580 from my

00:30:22.980 allergies.

00:30:24.200 Sure,

00:30:24.500 I can't

00:30:24.980 smell

00:30:25.360 anything,

00:30:26.340 but sometimes

00:30:27.040 that happens

00:30:27.580 when I

00:30:27.900 get a

00:30:28.200 cold.

00:30:28.940 You see

00:30:29.160 where I'm

00:30:29.400 going?

00:30:30.060 There's

00:30:30.420 no practical

00:30:31.280 way you

00:30:32.720 could have

00:30:33.240 any kind

00:30:33.940 of an

00:30:34.500 effect

00:30:34.880 telling only

00:30:36.220 people with

00:30:36.740 symptoms to

00:30:37.280 wear masks.

00:30:37.820 It just

00:30:38.100 couldn't work.

00:30:39.260 So I would

00:30:39.660 say it's a

00:30:40.060 persuasion

00:30:40.520 thing.

00:30:42.800 Jake Tapper

00:30:43.280 says you

00:30:43.740 won't have

00:30:44.120 Kaylee

00:30:44.460 McEnany on

00:30:45.660 his show

00:30:46.200 because she's

00:30:47.180 a liar. 0.91

00:30:48.720 To which

00:30:49.600 they say,

00:30:50.360 is there

00:30:50.900 anybody on

00:30:51.540 CNN who's

00:30:52.400 not a

00:30:52.780 liar?

00:30:53.660 I didn't

00:30:54.240 even know

00:30:54.600 they booked

00:30:54.960 people who

00:30:55.480 weren't

00:30:55.640 liars.

00:30:57.080 Really?

00:30:58.400 I mean,

00:30:59.120 the whole

00:31:00.140 show is

00:31:00.600 lies.

00:31:02.160 So it's

00:31:02.600 just funny.

00:31:03.820 There's a

00:31:04.420 writer named

00:31:05.440 Arwa

00:31:05.940 Mardawi,

00:31:07.060 I think for

00:31:07.620 The Guardian

00:31:08.080 or something,

00:31:09.100 and somebody

00:31:09.780 called her out

00:31:10.760 for two of

00:31:11.500 her statements,

00:31:12.600 both of them

00:31:13.080 in writing.

00:31:13.560 one of

00:31:14.480 them,

00:31:14.940 she said,

00:31:15.780 men are

00:31:16.140 less likely

00:31:16.740 to wear

00:31:17.120 masks,

00:31:18.140 another sign

00:31:18.860 that toxic

00:31:19.520 masculinity

00:31:20.160 kills.

00:31:22.400 But not

00:31:23.140 long after

00:31:23.640 that,

00:31:23.920 she said,

00:31:24.480 if women 0.99

00:31:24.980 are hesitant

00:31:25.500 about the

00:31:26.080 vaccine,

00:31:26.980 it's because

00:31:27.480 the health

00:31:27.880 industry hasn't

00:31:28.620 earned their

00:31:29.020 trust.

00:31:30.120 That's right.

00:31:31.400 If men

00:31:32.160 ignore science,

00:31:34.080 there's something

00:31:34.840 wrong with

00:31:35.420 men.

00:31:36.340 But if

00:31:37.040 women ignore 1.00

00:31:38.180 science,

00:31:39.480 there's something

00:31:40.080 wrong with

00:31:40.560 science.

00:31:41.020 this is an

00:31:43.160 actual opinion

00:31:44.180 of a real

00:31:45.440 living human.

00:31:47.600 Now,

00:31:47.980 do you see

00:31:48.380 the observer

00:31:49.040 problem?

00:31:50.520 It's a phrase

00:31:51.180 you're going

00:31:51.440 to hear a lot.

00:31:52.660 The observer

00:31:53.280 problem is,

00:31:54.660 maybe it's

00:31:55.340 the observer

00:31:55.980 who's the

00:31:56.580 problem,

00:31:57.380 if you know

00:31:57.900 what I mean.

00:32:00.240 And,

00:32:01.540 so,

00:32:04.200 let me ask

00:32:04.660 you this.

00:32:05.520 If narcissism

00:32:07.300 is a mental

00:32:08.340 illness,

00:32:08.960 as we've

00:32:09.520 all been told,

00:32:10.140 why is

00:32:11.220 wokeness

00:32:12.100 not?

00:32:13.500 Because,

00:32:14.480 if you have,

00:32:15.280 let's say,

00:32:15.860 there are two

00:32:16.240 kinds of

00:32:16.940 narcissism I've

00:32:18.300 learned recently.

00:32:19.680 The grandiose

00:32:20.740 narcissism is the

00:32:21.720 one we always

00:32:22.220 talk about,

00:32:22.840 where you think

00:32:23.320 you're better

00:32:24.060 than other

00:32:24.440 people,

00:32:24.900 etc.

00:32:25.340 Now,

00:32:25.840 I don't think

00:32:26.160 it exists,

00:32:26.740 it's not a

00:32:27.180 real thing,

00:32:27.760 in my opinion,

00:32:28.560 there's a

00:32:28.860 longer description

00:32:29.600 of that,

00:32:30.740 but,

00:32:31.500 here's the

00:32:32.520 thing,

00:32:33.160 I learned

00:32:33.760 yesterday also

00:32:34.600 that the

00:32:35.000 people who

00:32:35.320 have that

00:32:35.700 narcissism

00:32:36.380 are more

00:32:37.260 successful and

00:32:38.220 happier than

00:32:38.860 other people.

00:32:40.140 Is it really

00:32:41.020 a mental

00:32:41.520 illness if

00:32:42.500 you're more

00:32:42.900 successful and

00:32:43.640 happier?

00:32:44.580 Because I

00:32:45.220 thought the

00:32:46.260 whole mental

00:32:46.740 illness idea

00:32:47.500 was that you're

00:32:48.220 less happy and

00:32:49.820 or less

00:32:50.280 successful.

00:32:51.480 Isn't that

00:32:52.200 kind of built

00:32:52.840 into mental

00:32:53.480 illness?

00:32:54.440 So you see

00:32:55.080 the observer

00:32:55.760 problem.

00:32:56.900 Let me give it

00:32:57.460 to you this

00:32:57.940 way.

00:32:58.620 Let's say

00:32:59.320 you're chewing

00:33:00.420 your food and

00:33:01.560 you're near

00:33:01.960 somebody who

00:33:02.620 doesn't mind

00:33:03.240 hearing you

00:33:03.820 chew food,

00:33:04.500 because you

00:33:04.800 can always hear

00:33:05.300 it a little

00:33:05.640 bit,

00:33:05.860 but other

00:33:06.940 people are

00:33:08.020 really,

00:33:08.620 really bothered

00:33:09.260 by you

00:33:09.740 chewing food.

00:33:11.680 Who has

00:33:12.160 the mental

00:33:12.620 illness?

00:33:14.040 The person

00:33:15.100 who is

00:33:15.440 chewing,

00:33:16.260 just eating,

00:33:17.260 normally,

00:33:17.840 they're not

00:33:18.220 chewing loudly,

00:33:19.080 they're just

00:33:19.360 eating,

00:33:19.940 do they have

00:33:20.500 a mental

00:33:20.880 illness?

00:33:22.160 Or does

00:33:22.740 the person

00:33:23.160 who's bothered

00:33:23.960 by it to

00:33:24.500 the point where

00:33:24.980 they can't

00:33:25.340 even be in

00:33:25.720 the room

00:33:26.120 have the

00:33:27.000 mental illness?

00:33:27.680 Well,

00:33:27.860 you'd say

00:33:28.200 it's the

00:33:28.540 person who's

00:33:28.960 bothered by it,

00:33:29.560 right?

00:33:30.360 But why is

00:33:31.080 it with

00:33:31.380 narcissism

00:33:32.240 that the

00:33:33.920 person who's

00:33:34.520 perfectly happy,

00:33:35.540 just like the

00:33:36.020 person who's

00:33:36.460 eating and

00:33:36.900 chewing,

00:33:37.860 minding nobody's

00:33:38.880 business,

00:33:39.740 perfectly happy,

00:33:41.160 why do they

00:33:41.880 have the

00:33:43.220 mental problem,

00:33:44.640 but the

00:33:44.900 person whose

00:33:45.460 life is being

00:33:46.240 ruined by it,

00:33:47.580 because they

00:33:48.180 can't stand

00:33:48.700 this person,

00:33:49.320 they can't

00:33:49.680 work with

00:33:50.040 them,

00:33:50.440 they can't

00:33:50.900 be around

00:33:51.340 it,

00:33:51.600 just like

00:33:51.960 the chewing?

00:33:52.980 Why is

00:33:53.660 it that the

00:33:54.140 person observing

00:33:55.000 it isn't

00:33:55.680 the one with

00:33:56.240 the mental

00:33:56.600 illness?

00:33:57.260 Because they

00:33:57.860 have all

00:33:58.240 the problems.

00:33:59.880 See where

00:34:00.280 I'm going

00:34:00.600 on this?

00:34:01.280 You can't

00:34:01.920 separate the

00:34:02.860 observer from

00:34:04.860 the observed.

00:34:06.200 The observer

00:34:06.820 is the sick

00:34:07.420 one,

00:34:08.380 all right?

00:34:09.480 So that's

00:34:12.140 my main

00:34:12.980 thing about

00:34:13.720 narcissism.

00:34:15.060 Apparently

00:34:15.340 there's another

00:34:15.860 kind of

00:34:16.220 narcissism where

00:34:17.000 you don't

00:34:17.300 think you're

00:34:17.720 wonderful,

00:34:18.900 that you

00:34:20.040 have more

00:34:22.360 of a victim

00:34:22.940 mentality,

00:34:24.140 but that's

00:34:24.460 a different

00:34:24.820 kind that

00:34:25.740 surely exists,

00:34:27.320 at least in

00:34:27.760 terms of the

00:34:28.320 symptoms are

00:34:29.420 real.

00:34:30.420 All right,

00:34:30.820 there's part

00:34:32.160 of me that's

00:34:32.640 wondering if

00:34:33.400 all mental

00:34:34.760 illness,

00:34:35.420 and here's

00:34:35.880 where I'll

00:34:36.160 really get

00:34:36.560 in trouble,

00:34:37.460 there's part

00:34:37.840 of me that

00:34:38.120 wonders if

00:34:38.620 all mental

00:34:39.560 illness is

00:34:41.120 about whether

00:34:41.760 you think

00:34:42.260 you can

00:34:42.640 control your

00:34:43.400 reality or

00:34:44.260 not.

00:34:46.040 Whether you

00:34:46.780 think you

00:34:47.280 can control

00:34:47.880 your reality

00:34:48.540 or not.

00:34:49.800 Now,

00:34:50.520 I've only

00:34:51.440 thought about

00:34:51.960 this for a

00:34:52.480 few minutes,

00:34:53.100 so I'm

00:34:53.620 not trying

00:34:54.040 to debunk

00:34:54.820 any mental

00:34:56.360 health people,

00:34:57.540 so I'm not

00:34:57.980 disagreeing

00:34:59.820 with anybody,

00:35:00.340 I'm just

00:35:00.600 sort of

00:35:00.860 putting it

00:35:01.220 out there.

00:35:02.260 I notice

00:35:02.720 a commonality

00:35:03.940 among,

00:35:06.040 and I'm not

00:35:06.600 going to say

00:35:06.900 all mental

00:35:07.420 illness,

00:35:07.840 that would

00:35:08.020 be crazy,

00:35:08.740 but I'm

00:35:09.060 wondering if

00:35:09.500 a lot of

00:35:10.060 it, a lot

00:35:11.900 of mental

00:35:12.300 illness,

00:35:12.640 comes down

00:35:13.060 to whether

00:35:13.420 you think

00:35:13.880 the world

00:35:14.920 is controlling

00:35:16.060 you or

00:35:17.740 you control

00:35:18.420 the world.

00:35:19.420 Now, I'm

00:35:19.720 not saying

00:35:20.100 that either

00:35:20.440 one of them

00:35:20.840 is true.

00:35:22.060 It is not

00:35:22.600 true that the

00:35:23.140 world controls

00:35:23.840 you and it's

00:35:24.440 not true that

00:35:25.200 you control

00:35:25.780 the world,

00:35:26.280 that there's

00:35:26.760 an interplay

00:35:27.320 there, but

00:35:28.720 I wake up

00:35:29.520 every day

00:35:29.960 believing I

00:35:30.580 control the

00:35:31.140 world, and

00:35:32.880 I feel as

00:35:33.440 though I

00:35:33.820 have tremendous

00:35:34.520 mental health,

00:35:36.660 because every

00:35:37.400 day I wake

00:35:38.020 up and say,

00:35:38.640 well, if

00:35:38.920 that's a

00:35:39.300 problem, I

00:35:39.900 can change

00:35:40.400 that, if

00:35:40.980 I made

00:35:41.940 that mistake,

00:35:42.660 I can change

00:35:43.280 that, if

00:35:43.820 I'm not good

00:35:44.420 enough, I

00:35:44.900 can get

00:35:45.260 better.

00:35:45.920 I have a

00:35:46.600 complete sense

00:35:47.560 that I can

00:35:49.020 control the

00:35:49.620 world.

00:35:50.580 Now, imagine

00:35:51.260 if you thought

00:35:52.260 that people

00:35:53.620 were after

00:35:54.160 you and

00:35:54.820 they could

00:35:55.480 hurt you 0.59

00:35:56.100 and people

00:35:57.220 have said

00:35:57.540 bad things

00:35:58.160 about you

00:35:58.800 and you

00:35:59.700 can't handle

00:36:00.520 your...

00:36:01.680 I feel like

00:36:02.680 obviously there's

00:36:03.820 an organic

00:36:04.660 part to

00:36:05.540 mental illness,

00:36:06.500 you're not

00:36:07.920 just thinking

00:36:08.540 your way into

00:36:09.180 it, but I

00:36:10.800 got a feeling

00:36:12.620 that a lot

00:36:13.200 of it would

00:36:13.560 go into

00:36:13.920 that category

00:36:15.000 of whether

00:36:15.640 or not you

00:36:16.020 can control,

00:36:17.400 you feel you

00:36:18.320 can control

00:36:18.840 your life,

00:36:19.340 whether it's

00:36:19.680 true or

00:36:19.980 not.

00:36:20.180 people of

00:36:24.420 faith believe

00:36:25.040 God is

00:36:25.620 the

00:36:25.860 controller.

00:36:26.560 That is

00:36:27.040 an excellent

00:36:27.560 point.

00:36:28.120 Thank you,

00:36:28.780 commenter

00:36:29.300 Carol.

00:36:31.940 I do

00:36:32.660 think that

00:36:33.120 it's useful

00:36:33.680 to put

00:36:34.720 your sense

00:36:36.000 of control

00:36:36.640 in a third

00:36:37.360 party, and

00:36:38.420 I think that

00:36:38.860 that's one of

00:36:39.360 the things

00:36:39.580 that religion

00:36:40.120 does really

00:36:40.780 well.

00:36:41.540 Independent

00:36:41.940 of what's

00:36:42.660 real and

00:36:43.120 what's not

00:36:43.520 real in

00:36:43.960 your religious

00:36:44.500 belief,

00:36:45.240 it's just

00:36:45.820 a good

00:36:46.140 technique to

00:36:47.940 imagine that

00:36:48.800 control is

00:36:49.780 with this

00:36:50.220 friendly character

00:36:51.160 who's got

00:36:51.680 your best

00:36:52.120 interest in

00:36:53.120 mind.

00:36:54.020 I think

00:36:54.380 that's good

00:36:54.780 for good

00:36:55.540 mental health

00:36:56.060 too.

00:36:56.980 I think

00:36:57.280 religion is 0.76

00:36:57.920 an excellent

00:36:58.640 technique,

00:37:00.120 no matter

00:37:00.540 what you

00:37:00.800 think about

00:37:01.180 the reality

00:37:01.820 of it.

00:37:07.120 Anyway,

00:37:07.800 let's talk

00:37:08.260 about wokeness

00:37:08.880 again.

00:37:09.180 Here's the

00:37:09.580 definition of

00:37:10.320 mental illness.

00:37:12.040 Significant

00:37:12.480 changes in

00:37:13.200 your thinking,

00:37:13.880 emotion,

00:37:14.380 and or

00:37:14.600 behavior.

00:37:15.540 Would you

00:37:15.880 say that the

00:37:16.360 people who

00:37:16.780 became woke

00:37:17.540 had significant

00:37:18.380 changes in

00:37:19.140 their thinking

00:37:19.580 and emotions?

00:37:20.640 I think

00:37:21.000 so.

00:37:21.840 Would you

00:37:22.260 say that

00:37:22.840 the wokeness

00:37:23.940 people are

00:37:24.980 distressed or

00:37:25.940 they have a

00:37:26.340 problem functioning

00:37:27.320 in society

00:37:28.280 because of

00:37:29.580 their wokeness

00:37:30.640 philosophy?

00:37:31.860 I would say

00:37:32.720 so.

00:37:33.880 So,

00:37:35.060 if wokeness

00:37:36.120 has all the

00:37:37.200 characteristics of

00:37:38.180 mental health,

00:37:38.840 meaning it's

00:37:39.300 bad for you,

00:37:40.940 why is that

00:37:41.600 not a mental

00:37:42.380 illness?

00:37:43.300 But narcissism,

00:37:44.520 the grandiose

00:37:45.120 type,

00:37:45.920 is literally

00:37:46.660 good for you

00:37:47.520 and makes

00:37:48.300 you happy

00:37:48.780 and more

00:37:49.160 successful,

00:37:50.360 and that's

00:37:50.960 considered a

00:37:51.460 mental illness.

00:37:52.980 Now you can

00:37:53.540 see it,

00:37:53.920 right?

00:37:54.400 It's the

00:37:55.040 observer problem.

00:37:56.320 It's the

00:37:56.740 observer who

00:37:57.500 has the

00:37:57.940 problem,

00:37:59.080 not the

00:37:59.560 observed.

00:38:01.620 All right.

00:38:02.820 That is what

00:38:03.800 I wanted to

00:38:04.260 say today,

00:38:05.040 and I think

00:38:05.420 I'll end it

00:38:05.800 early so that

00:38:06.440 YouTube does

00:38:07.020 not crap out

00:38:07.680 on me,

00:38:08.220 which is going

00:38:08.720 to be probably

00:38:09.640 in the next

00:38:10.080 minute,

00:38:10.780 I think.

00:38:11.460 So I'm going

00:38:11.920 to shut you

00:38:12.340 down on YouTube

00:38:12.960 and say thanks

00:38:14.500 for watching

00:38:14.900 and we'll

00:38:15.500 do more

00:38:15.860 tomorrow.

00:38:17.740 And you

00:38:18.220 periscopers 0.78

00:38:18.880 still here

00:38:19.620 because you

00:38:20.040 still have

00:38:20.480 some

00:38:21.440 electricity.

00:38:25.280 Who defines

00:38:26.440 wokeness?

00:38:27.840 Well, I would

00:38:28.460 say that

00:38:28.820 wokeness is a 0.99

00:38:30.240 victim mindset,

00:38:32.280 right?

00:38:32.820 So as I

00:38:34.420 understand it,

00:38:35.240 the one form

00:38:36.660 of narcissism

00:38:37.520 where you

00:38:37.880 have a victim

00:38:38.500 mindset sounds

00:38:39.420 a lot like

00:38:39.900 that.

00:38:40.580 So I'm not

00:38:41.140 sure that

00:38:41.600 wokeness would

00:38:43.960 be considered

00:38:45.640 much different

00:38:47.240 from what is

00:38:49.960 the other

00:38:50.200 kind of

00:38:50.520 narcissism?

00:38:52.080 There's another

00:38:52.880 vulnerable

00:38:53.500 narcissism,

00:38:54.360 I think.

00:39:01.000 Why is it

00:39:01.740 crapping out?

00:39:02.340 Oh, I just

00:39:03.100 forgot to

00:39:03.600 charge my

00:39:04.060 other iPad,

00:39:04.920 so my

00:39:05.460 YouTube

00:39:05.920 electricity

00:39:07.080 will run

00:39:07.900 out in a

00:39:08.240 minute.

00:39:09.500 Somebody says

00:39:10.260 depression is

00:39:11.100 inability to

00:39:11.940 take action.

00:39:13.860 You know,

00:39:14.060 one of the

00:39:14.760 questions I

00:39:15.820 have about

00:39:16.340 depression is,

00:39:18.780 again,

00:39:19.560 there are all

00:39:20.000 types of

00:39:20.900 it and

00:39:21.320 there's the

00:39:21.800 real kind

00:39:23.100 that is

00:39:23.460 different from

00:39:24.180 just having

00:39:24.720 a bad day.

00:39:26.000 But I

00:39:26.920 wonder to

00:39:27.680 what extent

00:39:28.260 depression

00:39:28.820 could be

00:39:29.780 fixed by

00:39:31.620 having more

00:39:32.160 energy.

00:39:33.420 Because if

00:39:33.960 you've ever

00:39:34.220 been in a

00:39:34.840 bad mood

00:39:36.040 when your

00:39:36.440 energy was

00:39:36.980 high,

00:39:38.500 I feel like

00:39:39.340 if you could

00:39:39.840 fix everybody's

00:39:40.740 energy level,

00:39:42.640 that it

00:39:43.120 wouldn't fix

00:39:43.600 all mental

00:39:44.100 illness,

00:39:44.580 obviously.

00:39:45.240 But I think

00:39:45.740 everybody would

00:39:46.280 be better,

00:39:47.200 you know,

00:39:47.700 better off.

00:39:48.280 all right.

00:39:54.120 Now, the

00:39:54.860 other thing

00:39:55.240 is, I

00:39:55.960 get called

00:39:56.440 a narcissist

00:39:57.320 literally every

00:39:58.700 day, which

00:39:59.620 is a weird

00:40:00.200 part of my

00:40:00.660 life.

00:40:01.440 And I'm

00:40:02.320 always confused

00:40:02.980 by it,

00:40:03.760 because if

00:40:05.480 you said to

00:40:06.100 describe yourself,

00:40:07.240 I would say,

00:40:07.760 well, I'm a

00:40:08.280 person who is

00:40:09.420 really good at

00:40:10.220 this small set

00:40:11.080 of things,

00:40:11.960 and I can

00:40:12.620 demonstrate that

00:40:13.440 I'm really good

00:40:14.000 at them with

00:40:15.400 numbers, such

00:40:16.820 as, you

00:40:17.640 know, I'm

00:40:18.400 good at

00:40:18.700 writing a

00:40:19.140 book, because

00:40:19.780 I have

00:40:20.100 best-selling

00:40:20.640 books.

00:40:21.440 Is that

00:40:22.000 narcissistic?

00:40:23.280 Or is that

00:40:23.920 just the data

00:40:25.020 says, I must

00:40:26.060 be good at

00:40:26.460 this, because

00:40:26.860 I sell a

00:40:27.300 lot of

00:40:27.460 books?

00:40:28.260 So there's

00:40:28.960 a small set

00:40:29.540 of things

00:40:29.900 that I know

00:40:30.540 I am good

00:40:31.140 at, and I

00:40:31.900 can objectively

00:40:32.700 observe it,

00:40:33.580 you know, with

00:40:34.040 objective data.

00:40:35.600 And then

00:40:36.100 there's this

00:40:36.520 gigantic list

00:40:37.780 of things I'm

00:40:39.040 terrible at,

00:40:39.780 even simple

00:40:40.420 things, putting

00:40:41.480 things on

00:40:42.000 calendars,

00:40:42.980 remembering my

00:40:43.760 schedule,

00:40:44.960 directions,

00:40:45.740 I'm terrible

00:40:47.280 with geography,

00:40:48.260 even in the

00:40:48.800 town I live

00:40:49.360 in, just

00:40:50.060 finding my

00:40:51.060 way across

00:40:51.580 town, terrible

00:40:52.160 at it.

00:40:53.000 And I can

00:40:53.620 make a really

00:40:54.300 long list of

00:40:55.220 the things that

00:40:55.880 I'm not good

00:40:56.640 at, and even

00:40:57.740 if I tried

00:40:58.460 hard, probably

00:40:59.860 still wouldn't

00:41:00.420 be good at

00:41:00.980 it, right?

00:41:02.080 You know, a lot

00:41:02.740 of sports that I

00:41:03.800 wouldn't be good

00:41:04.300 at, no matter

00:41:04.800 what I did.

00:41:05.760 So, what does

00:41:07.380 it mean to be a

00:41:08.160 narcissist?

00:41:09.420 If you believe

00:41:10.360 you're good at

00:41:11.000 some things which

00:41:11.780 you can objectively

00:41:12.580 prove you're good

00:41:13.480 at, and you're

00:41:14.480 bad at a far

00:41:15.440 larger list of

00:41:16.360 things, even

00:41:17.460 with important

00:41:18.180 things on that

00:41:18.880 list, how is

00:41:20.400 that narcissistic?

00:41:22.100 Do you see that

00:41:22.740 this is the

00:41:23.280 observer problem

00:41:24.160 again?

00:41:25.320 It's the

00:41:25.780 observer who

00:41:26.660 doesn't hear me

00:41:27.580 say I'm bad at

00:41:28.400 this long list

00:41:29.240 of things, who

00:41:30.820 only hears me

00:41:31.600 talk about one

00:41:32.380 thing.

00:41:33.940 And yesterday

00:41:34.980 there was

00:41:35.780 somebody who

00:41:36.240 was quite angry

00:41:37.040 because I

00:41:38.020 referred to

00:41:38.640 myself in

00:41:39.280 video yesterday

00:41:40.360 as a famous

00:41:41.740 cartoonist, I

00:41:42.620 think more than

00:41:43.080 once.

00:41:43.420 Now, in

00:41:45.060 the context

00:41:45.600 of what I

00:41:45.980 was talking

00:41:46.340 about yesterday

00:41:46.940 it was

00:41:47.760 necessary for

00:41:49.160 context, if

00:41:50.700 anybody didn't

00:41:51.340 know my day

00:41:51.960 job, that I'm

00:41:52.900 a famous

00:41:53.300 cartoonist.

00:41:54.060 It was just

00:41:54.440 part of the

00:41:54.800 story.

00:41:55.680 And somebody

00:41:56.380 was really,

00:41:57.120 really turned

00:41:58.360 off by that,

00:41:59.700 like really had

00:42:00.200 a bad reaction

00:42:01.200 to that.

00:42:02.520 But, is

00:42:04.240 there anybody

00:42:04.600 who doubts

00:42:05.240 the objective

00:42:06.700 fact that I'm

00:42:08.420 a famous

00:42:09.000 cartoonist?

00:42:09.700 How is

00:42:11.720 that my

00:42:13.360 problem?

00:42:14.540 Because she

00:42:15.200 thought I was

00:42:15.700 a narcissist

00:42:16.180 specifically.

00:42:17.680 Why is it my

00:42:18.520 problem that I

00:42:19.460 simply told you

00:42:20.340 what my job

00:42:21.160 is and you

00:42:22.480 can observe

00:42:23.160 that I'm

00:42:23.720 famous?

00:42:25.260 You could

00:42:26.000 Google it.

00:42:27.540 You would

00:42:28.100 find quite a

00:42:28.700 bit about me.

00:42:30.020 But, so this

00:42:31.240 woman was having 1.00

00:42:32.000 a mental

00:42:33.220 distress because

00:42:35.340 my actions of

00:42:37.080 just saying what

00:42:37.720 my job was,

00:42:39.240 caused her

00:42:39.800 mental distress

00:42:40.540 to the point

00:42:41.000 where she

00:42:41.320 needed to

00:42:41.740 leave me a

00:42:42.260 comment and

00:42:43.640 then tell me

00:42:44.300 she didn't

00:42:44.780 want to watch

00:42:45.400 me anymore

00:42:46.100 or whatever

00:42:46.440 she said.

00:42:47.520 Wasn't that a

00:42:48.240 mental problem

00:42:48.800 on her part?

00:42:50.220 And she was

00:42:50.960 pretty sure the

00:42:51.660 mental problem

00:42:52.240 was on my

00:42:52.860 part.

00:42:53.760 Again, it's

00:42:55.360 the observer

00:42:55.880 problem.

00:42:57.020 The observer

00:42:57.740 is the one

00:42:58.760 with the

00:42:59.100 mental illness.

00:43:00.320 I was sitting

00:43:00.920 here quite

00:43:01.380 happy.

00:43:02.580 While she

00:43:03.260 was criticizing

00:43:04.000 me, having

00:43:05.760 a good day.

00:43:06.360 How is it

00:43:07.760 my mental

00:43:08.340 problem that

00:43:08.960 I'm having

00:43:09.380 a good

00:43:09.780 day, gaining

00:43:12.080 an audience,

00:43:13.060 making money?

00:43:15.560 See what I

00:43:16.020 mean?

00:43:16.760 All right.

00:43:17.580 So ask

00:43:18.340 yourself, is it

00:43:19.160 really the other

00:43:19.860 person who is

00:43:20.800 the problem?

00:43:22.080 That, that is

00:43:25.200 your lesson for

00:43:26.280 the day.

00:43:27.340 And you

00:43:28.220 should also

00:43:28.680 know that

00:43:29.340 narcissism can

00:43:30.400 be a tool in

00:43:31.820 the sense that

00:43:32.540 overconfidence can

00:43:34.660 be useful.

00:43:35.200 I intentionally

00:43:37.560 try to be

00:43:38.240 overconfident on

00:43:39.900 things that I

00:43:40.560 know I can do

00:43:41.300 pretty well at,

00:43:42.840 but I'd like to

00:43:43.580 do really well,

00:43:44.740 like I'd like to

00:43:45.380 perform well.

00:43:46.740 So building up my

00:43:47.700 confidence, even

00:43:49.400 artificially, beyond

00:43:50.740 what makes sense,

00:43:52.780 is just technique.

00:43:54.440 It's just technique.

00:43:55.860 And if somebody

00:43:56.480 witnesses me using

00:43:58.160 my technique, and

00:44:00.420 they think I'm a

00:44:01.120 narcissist, again,

00:44:02.900 it's the observer

00:44:03.620 problem.

00:44:04.060 That's all.

00:44:05.480 And that's all for

00:44:06.200 today.

00:44:06.620 I'll talk to you

00:44:07.140 tomorrow.

00:44:07.380 I'll talk to you

00:44:08.200 tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 28, 2020

Episode 1234 Scott Adams： Nashville, Psychology, Passion, China

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