Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1237 Scott Adams： Lizard People Take Over congress, and More News Like That

00:00:00.000 Oh, hey, I didn't see you there. Happy New Year. It's time. It's time for the final coffee with

00:00:16.860 Scott Adams of 2020, the worst year in the history of years. How about a little 2021?

00:00:23.120 As I saw on a humorous sign, you think 2020 was bad? Wait till 2020 becomes 2021 and I can drink.

00:00:33.820 Yeah, I didn't make that up, but it's funny. Oh, I'm a little bit late. Just a little bit.

00:00:40.940 Well, if you'd like to enjoy this episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, the thing you need the most

00:00:46.400 is a cup or mug or glass, a tank or gels or stein a cante jug or flask, a vessel of any kind,

00:00:52.420 fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the

00:00:58.780 dopamine hit of the day, a toast to the worst year of all years, 2020. Are we ready for this one to

00:01:07.800 be done? Yeah, we are. Let's drink to that. Go. Ah, well, New Year's Eve is a terrific,

00:01:20.320 terrific, terrific holiday for people who like alcohol and like gathering in large groups during

00:01:28.920 a pandemic. I don't like either of those things, so it won't be a big night for me. I'll probably

00:01:35.980 go to bed at 830. So you want to talk about the news? Okay. Let's talk about Elaria Baldwin,

00:01:46.440 Elaria Baldwin, Elaria Baldwin's wife. Now, I want to tell you, if you want to know what bad luck

00:01:53.900 looks like, bad luck is when you have a personal scandal, if you can call it a scandal, it's more

00:02:01.300 like a curiosity, during a slow news period. Oh my God, poor Baldwin's. The story itself,

00:02:12.080 if you know, is that Elaria Baldwin's wife, the yoga teacher, Elaria Baldwin, was actually born,

00:02:18.720 her name was Hillary, and apparently she'd been telling people that she was born, grew up in Spain

00:02:25.060 and she was Spanish, but it turns out that's not quite it. She was born in Massachusetts and grew

00:02:32.200 up there, but her parents have some travel and, you know, they have some connection to Spain.

00:02:37.280 And I think she's probably bilingual, so that counts. But here's the thing. In terms of how much

00:02:45.080 you and I should care about this story, the answer is zero, right? Zero. It doesn't have any effect on

00:02:53.260 you. Now, of course, Alec Baldwin was quite public in his political opinions about the president,

00:03:00.480 so it feels like it's fair to say things about Alec Baldwin, but it's not really fair to say things

00:03:08.380 about Alec Baldwin's wife, because, correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't remember her becoming a

00:03:15.940 political figure. I mean, she's a public figure, because she does some things on Instagram, etc.,

00:03:20.880 but she's not a political figure. I say leave her alone. That's my take. I'm no fan of Alec Baldwin's

00:03:28.640 political stuff, but I'm a huge fan of his work, you know, his actual talent as an actor,

00:03:34.860 especially a comedic actor. It's sort of unparalleled. He's a tremendous talent. But,

00:03:41.160 of course, he was obnoxious to many of us doing the political thing. I'm still sorry for him,

00:03:48.100 and I don't have any problem, really. I mean, it's not my problem, or it's not even a problem at all.

00:03:53.760 Well, if Hilaria wanted to reinvent herself, I don't really have a problem with that at all.

00:04:03.440 Now, I have a little history with that myself. I have, on occasion, maybe reinvented myself.

00:04:11.580 I'm not going to say that's never happened. And did it hurt me? No. Did it hurt anybody else

00:04:19.640 if I reinvented myself? No. Not really. Now, in my case, it was more of a minor case. I used to

00:04:28.120 work in a resort, a summer resort near where I lived. And so during the school year, I would be

00:04:36.260 one person, basically a nerd. So who I would be in terms of reputationally would be the guy who got

00:04:45.960 good grades. And so I'd be sort of a nerd, you know, that kind of a character. So that's who I

00:04:51.620 would be all during the school year. And then the summer would come, and I would go to work with a

00:04:56.120 bunch of people who didn't know me at all. It was a bunch of strangers from other towns who came in,

00:05:00.960 and we all worked at this resort. And so I would be a brand new person every summer. And in the summer,

00:05:08.180 I would be an athlete. So I would just be a different person. So I'd play four or five sports

00:05:15.400 a day, usually at the resort during breaks and lunch and after work. And nobody would be aware

00:05:22.760 that I had any academic qualifications, because I was not using them in any way. But they'd be very

00:05:29.280 aware that I was the one saying, hey, let's start a soccer game, or, you know, let's pick up size and

00:05:35.720 play some softball or something. So I would basically, and quite intentionally, reinvent myself

00:05:41.820 every summer as not being a nerd for a few months. And then I'd go back to being a nerd. And did I break

00:05:49.260 any laws? Not really. It's not exactly the same situation, of course. But I'm just saying that I don't

00:05:56.900 mind people reinventing themselves, even if they put a little artifice on it. You know, a little bit

00:06:03.440 of a shine, you know, just buff it up a little bit, remove the scratches. It's okay with me.

00:06:10.860 So she got caught. That's the problem. But that's the only problem. It doesn't bother us in any way.

00:06:16.140 So I wish them well, actually. I don't have any bad feelings about the Baldwin's. I hope that they

00:06:20.400 get through it. But what bad luck to have this happen during the slowest,

00:06:24.200 the slowest news cycle of the entire year? And then, ah, timing. There was a, I tweeted a

00:06:31.120 little piece about a 3D printed e-assist bike. Now, the big part of the story is not that you can

00:06:40.620 3D print an object. We know that. And it's not even that you could 3D print a bicycle,

00:06:48.360 which is actually kind of impressive. But at least what I could tell is that the 3D

00:06:54.120 printed a better bicycle than regular bicycles, because it was a solid frame and real super

00:07:01.240 light with some materials, etc. Then they put an e-assist in it. They put the batteries in the

00:07:06.660 frame of the bike, so you can, you get the assist of the battery. And I'll tell you, I keep saying

00:07:13.780 this, but if you haven't tried one, you need to try one. Because if you're thinking, hey, I don't want

00:07:21.420 an e-bike because I'm not going to get enough exercise. You just go further and you go up bigger

00:07:26.600 hills. It doesn't take away the effort. It just reduces it so it's more fun. So you can go up

00:07:32.280 bigger hills. You can go faster or go longer. You'll all have one eventually. So Antifa, according to

00:07:38.220 Andy Ngo reporting, Antifa held a soccer tournament. And in their signs, they said no cleats. So I'm glad

00:07:51.440 they're opposed to violence. No cleats. But when you see Antifa forming a soccer league,

00:07:57.640 right, right. So as soon as, as soon as Trump is out of office, Antifa goes from a revolutionary force

00:08:07.980 to, hey, did anybody bring a soccer ball? Kind of a sudden transition. Apparently, a bunch of them

00:08:16.840 checked into the same hotel. And then when they went to check out, they decided that all en masse,

00:08:24.120 they weren't going to pay. So they would just use the hotel's services, but not pay.

00:08:29.440 And they said the hotel should be paid by money that comes from defunding the police.

00:08:36.300 Now, they've obviously just turned into a complete joke from whatever they used to be,

00:08:43.560 which was part joke, part political movement. But if you just base it on these two stories,

00:08:49.220 they've devolved into a complete joke. And I think the problem is they don't have anything to push

00:08:53.740 against. Because protesting against Biden just won't look the same. It just won't look the same.

00:09:02.860 So we've got an organization, but we can't really do what we were meant to do, which is protest,

00:09:09.300 because it's Biden. How about soccer? Why not? This would be another example of why I say

00:09:19.700 you should not be sad if you replace one kind of president that you really liked with an entirely

00:09:27.960 different kind of person. For a while, right? We get to choose again later. But I feel as though

00:09:34.740 you can't get everything done with one president. There are some things that only a Trump can do,

00:09:41.240 but then there are other things that only a Trump can't do. And getting rid of Antifa might be one

00:09:48.200 of those things. Don't know for sure, but it feels like one of those things that Trump would be the

00:09:54.500 only person who couldn't make it go away, because it was really, in many ways, it was about him, or he

00:10:00.500 gave the energy to it, you might say. So sometimes you just need a Biden to, you know, sweep up,

00:10:06.720 clean up the broken glass from the previous administration and stuff, and then you go back

00:10:13.040 to a Trump, or something like it, or a different kind of president. But I believe you should get

00:10:18.540 rid of the myth that having your preferred president for, you know, 20 years in a row would be a good

00:10:25.080 thing. It never would be. It never would be good to have one president for a long time, no matter how

00:10:31.580 good they were. Because you just need that other personality to get some kinds of stuff done. All

00:10:37.900 right. I was asking about vitamin D, and whether people get their vitamin D levels checked when they

00:10:47.200 have a COVID diagnosis. Now, outside of the study, you know, doing a study, but just as a, is it, is it

00:10:54.940 routine to check your vitamin D levels if you have a positive coronavirus diagnosis? And the answer is

00:11:02.940 no. Apparently that doesn't happen. So does it seem weird to you? Now, it may be that it's just a

00:11:09.860 practical thing. It could be that you wouldn't do anything differently, because I'm getting mixed

00:11:16.720 messages about whether giving people vitamin D once they've been diagnosed with COVID works or it doesn't.

00:11:24.940 I've heard both things, that it works or it doesn't, it's standard procedure or it isn't. Can

00:11:30.700 anybody confirm that? Because I've heard confidently both things. Confidently that they always use it

00:11:37.280 because it works, and confidently that they don't use it because it doesn't work. Which one of those

00:11:42.340 is true? And why don't I know that now? I mean, it's a long time to be in this pandemic for me not to

00:11:50.800 know such a basic thing about it, and I don't know why that's not obvious to me. Somebody says post hoc

00:11:58.220 working, not really. Yeah, so here's the thing. It can be true that people who are low on vitamin D

00:12:06.060 have the worst outcomes, while it could also be true that if you check into the hospital with COVID

00:12:12.480 and they give you a bunch of vitamin D, it might not make that much difference. Now, that's the

00:12:17.080 question. Maybe it does, maybe it doesn't. I'm looking for a fact check. But it wouldn't be

00:12:21.540 inconsistent, necessarily, because it might be too late by that point, right? Just the timing doesn't

00:12:28.040 work. So that could be one thing. But I got a big question about that. Just because your vitamin D

00:12:33.960 levels are low, that doesn't mean vitamin D is the problem. It could be just an indicator of bad health

00:12:39.640 in general. It could be just a correlation. Yeah. So we got big questions on that. But the main thing

00:12:46.040 is that we don't check vitamin D automatically. Somebody named Kurt Eichenwald, who is a name

00:12:54.580 that I'm positive I should know who he is, but I don't. It's a name I've heard before, and I know that

00:13:01.800 I feel as though conservatives don't like him, but I don't know why. So I don't know who he is,

00:13:06.740 basically. He's a semi-famous person in the world of politics, but I have no information about him.

00:13:12.940 However, he did a tweet in which he was saying that I guess some members of his family have died

00:13:18.600 from COVID. And when he thinks about, I'm paraphrasing here, but when he thinks about people

00:13:23.440 having a New Year's Eve party, which he believes would put people at greater risk,

00:13:31.460 he says that he confesses that he has thoughts of wishing they died a horrible death from COVID,

00:13:41.660 the people who go to these parties with the assumption that they would be spreading it by

00:13:48.280 going to these parties. Now, there was a lot of pushback on him saying he's a terrible person,

00:13:53.620 and why can't people just live their lives? And if you're afraid of the coronavirus,

00:13:57.820 you can hide while everybody else lives their lives. And I've heard the argument,

00:14:03.200 and I don't disagree with it. So I'm seeing people on social media, imagine I have an opinion

00:14:10.100 I don't about lockdowns or no lockdowns or whatever. My opinion, just so you've heard it for the first

00:14:16.160 time, is that, of course, we should have tried it. If you're asking me, should we have tried lockdowns?

00:14:23.400 Yeah, yeah, because we didn't know. We thought it might save millions of people, maybe. So of course,

00:14:30.860 it was worth trying. Do we know now how well they work? Not exactly. But do you still think,

00:14:40.240 as of today, would you say that lockdowns wouldn't at least slow the number of people going into the

00:14:46.580 ICUs? I feel as if it would be hard to imagine that social distancing doesn't work

00:14:53.920 at some level, if all you're trying to do is keep the ICUs from being overwhelmed. So my opinion is,

00:15:02.240 common sense tells me it probably makes a big difference to the ICU levels, which is important.

00:15:09.200 But that's different from saying we should therefore necessarily throw people's rights to be human

00:15:17.200 beings living in the world away. So there's a balance. You've got to make some balance. So I think

00:15:23.540 people need to do what they can do, etc. But here's my take. If Kurt Eichenwald has had deaths in the

00:15:30.200 family, and he believes that other people acting in what would, to some people, look selfish,

00:15:36.740 and it might kill other people, I don't have any problem with Kurt Eichenwald using his other

00:15:43.540 freedom of speech. He has the freedom of speech. And so he has every right to say that he believes

00:15:51.460 that people who do this are worthy of a horrible death. I don't have any problem with that opinion.

00:15:59.380 Now, I'm not saying it's my opinion. I'm just saying it's a completely reasonable opinion

00:16:05.220 expressed through his freedom of speech. So I have no pushback on this at all. But I also

00:16:12.280 am not telling you how to live your life or lockdown or not lockdown. You'll figure that out. I'm more of

00:16:18.940 a fatalist about this. You could tell people to lockdown all day long. But at some point, it's just

00:16:25.560 not going to happen. And we're probably at that point, right? So does it matter to argue that people

00:16:32.680 should or should not cheat on the lockdown? It's a useless argument. People will cheat on the lockdown.

00:16:41.400 People will. It's 100% guaranteed. Now, you've also not seen me doing the old simple story about

00:16:49.860 Governor Newsom said we should stay home. But then he went to the French Laundry, an expensive

00:16:56.640 restaurant. Do you know why I don't make fun of politicians for being hypocrites? Because we all 0.98

00:17:04.940 are. They're just being exactly like you and me. If the French Laundry was open, then not only did

00:17:14.900 Governor Newsom have every right to go there, but so did everybody else who could afford it anyway.

00:17:20.260 Pretty expensive. But Newsom was just doing what everybody was doing. Talking good in public,

00:17:29.820 privately cheating like crazy. Right? So when you say that the politicians are all hypocrites,

00:17:36.820 it's true. It's also not saying anything. Because it's just saying they're people. 0.98

00:17:42.020 Did we have an option of electing a non-person? No. No. Now, if Gavin Newsom had forced a restaurant to

00:17:52.180 open during the coronavirus so he could go to a restaurant, I'd say, whoa, whoa, you're not playing

00:17:58.680 by the same rules. But if he literally played by the same rules, a restaurant is open, you can go to it.

00:18:07.140 You know why you can go to it? Because it's open. The government said you could.

00:18:11.000 So if the government said he could go to that restaurant, and he went to that restaurant,

00:18:16.120 I don't care that he told other people to stay home, because it's what everybody's doing. 0.92

00:18:20.740 They're all cheating like crazy. I don't know anybody who's not cheating. Honestly, I don't.

00:18:26.300 So I'm not going to go hard on those guys for having an opinion and doing what everybody's doing.

00:18:33.520 Here's some brainwashing. 1.00

00:18:34.800 I was listening to somebody on Twitter saying that Trump didn't get reelected because of his bad

00:18:42.640 handling of the coronavirus. And then I asked for examples. What would be an example of Trump's bad

00:18:49.760 handling of the coronavirus? Now, what the interesting thing here is that most people who believe

00:18:55.540 somebody says restaurants were open to others. Are you telling me that the French laundry was

00:19:02.920 illegally opened? I don't think that was that was not the case. Nobody's saying the French laundry was

00:19:09.660 illegally opened. Here's a brainwashing. Name one thing that Trump did wrong on the coronavirus,

00:19:18.620 because the the fake news has gotten away with a great brainwashing framing. They basically framed it

00:19:27.020 in a way that you're believing, which is that the problem was Trump, not the way they reported on

00:19:33.040 Trump. For example, did the public trust Trump after the news inaccurately said he had thought about

00:19:42.020 drinking bleach for the coronavirus? Now, that never happened. It was fake news. But what did the

00:19:48.540 public think of Trump and his scientific opinions after that? Okay, how about Trump wanted to open the

00:19:56.120 schools earlier than a lot of the experts? Was he right or wrong? I think time has shown that he was

00:20:03.100 right. The one so so the times that Trump disagreed with the experts are on opening schools. And he was

00:20:10.780 right, because the experts have now come to his opinion. He wanted to close the the borders to travel

00:20:17.600 from China. Now you could argue that he didn't close enough or fast enough, whatever. But it's true that 1.00

00:20:23.600 the experts were still saying don't do that. So the two times we know, he disagreed with the experts.

00:20:30.340 The question was, has Trump ever corrected his statement on the bleach? No, he said he was joking

00:20:40.900 because he just wanted it to go away, which was the wrong way to play it. It was a big mistake on this

00:20:46.600 part. I would say that was a huge mistake, persuasion wise and every other wise.

00:20:50.460 But now, so what is it? What is it that Trump did a specific thing that his experts told him not to do

00:21:01.820 that caused a problem? Now, some say he underplayed the virus. But what did you do differently because

00:21:12.700 of that? What happened differently? Because he underplayed the virus? Can you think of anything?

00:21:20.260 Was there somebody who would have worn a mask and didn't? I doubt it. Probably not. Do you believe

00:21:27.420 that if Obama had been president, we'll just pick him for as a as a Democrat? Do you believe if Obama

00:21:33.600 had told them had told Republicans to give up some of their freedom and wear a mask, because it's good

00:21:41.180 for the collective? Do you think the Republicans would have said, Oh, okay, yeah, that Democrat

00:21:47.300 President Obama wants to take our rights away and make us wear masks. So yeah, I'm okay with that.

00:21:54.880 If you think about it, Trump probably got more cooperation from conservatives, simply by being

00:22:03.220 closer to their starting point of view, which is a little skepticism, right? So by being closer to the

00:22:10.080 point of view of the people who needed to be persuaded, he probably did the best job anybody

00:22:14.440 could have done of persuading Republicans to at least wear masks in public. Right? Now, you could

00:22:22.140 argue whether the masks work or not, I take it still as a risk management decision, which is there's

00:22:28.440 good enough reason to think it might, that you still ought to put a lot of effort into it. All right.

00:22:34.000 So give me one example that's not a problem that the press created, that was something Trump did,

00:22:42.500 and it has to have this quality, has to be disagreed with the experts, and also was wrong. Because we

00:22:50.000 have two situations where he disagreed with the experts, and he was right, and the experts were

00:22:55.620 wrong. Give me one example where Trump disagreed with the experts and then was wrong. I don't know of

00:23:02.640 any. Do you? And yet, half of the country, maybe more, maybe 60% of the country, 70% of the country,

00:23:10.680 maybe more, has been convinced by the press that Trump not only did a bad job, but it was a total

00:23:16.780 disaster. Somebody's saying masks, but there's no mask inconsistency with Trump. Because Trump has

00:23:25.480 always said, when the experts said no masks, he agreed with them, and you can't fault him for agreeing

00:23:32.760 with the experts, right? Even if he's wrong, agreeing with the experts isn't a mistake.

00:23:38.880 Then, when the experts changed and said, yeah, those masks are actually important, wear some masks,

00:23:47.120 Trump, what did Trump say? He said, yeah, listen to the experts. Wear your masks when they tell you

00:23:54.960 to wear a mask. I don't feel like he caused anybody to not wear a mask at all. Now, I see in the comments

00:24:00.980 I'm being prompted for the rapid testing thing. I personally have a gigantic, gigantic criticism

00:24:08.960 with the Trump administration's handling of testing. Not talking about the contact

00:24:16.340 testing, tracing. I think that got away from us too fast. Once it becomes too big, you can't do the

00:24:21.920 contact tracing. So I don't have enough knowledge to criticize about whether we could have done that.

00:24:27.680 I just think not. I think the United States was going to get infected no matter what. Probably

00:24:32.200 wouldn't have mattered. But when it comes to the rapid testing and getting them approved faster,

00:24:38.000 I feel as if that problem is almost entirely in the FDA. But since the boss is the boss,

00:24:46.200 Trump has to take that criticism if it turns out that the reason we didn't get those rapid tests

00:24:53.600 are what it looks like. It looks like incompetence by the somebody. Incompetence or somebody who's

00:24:59.860 bought off in the government. So if you're asking me my criticism, it would be mostly about that

00:25:05.820 with the caveat that my criticism could completely go away if the government had ever simply addressed

00:25:13.420 it. They just had to talk about it in public. If even once President Trump had shown an understanding

00:25:20.720 of the rapid testing concept, which is different than testing, if you think it's like testing,

00:25:25.980 but fast, you don't understand what it is. It's about cheap little tests that aren't as accurate,

00:25:32.180 but if you do enough of them, you get a better result. So if Trump had ever said, look, there's this

00:25:37.560 concept of rapid testing. We are looking into it, but there's a reason we can't do it. And here's the

00:25:43.720 reason. I might agree, might disagree, might understand it, might not understand it,

00:25:47.960 but I wouldn't feel like it was a mistake per se. But the fact it wasn't addressed and it was such a

00:25:55.640 big issue in the public, at least on social media, that was a mistake. That was a clear mistake. But

00:26:00.860 here's my point. If you ask a Democrat to list Trump's mistakes, they'll say, wow, there's so many

00:26:08.440 of them. But that one won't be on the list. The only one that I would consider a very reasonable

00:26:15.320 criticism won't even be on the Democrats' radar. Because why? Because the news didn't cover the

00:26:22.480 issue. The issue, I think, ended up being in conservative Twitter and kind of just died there.

00:26:30.080 Right? So I don't even think they've ever heard of that issue. So they are brainwashed to believe

00:26:36.460 that Trump did a bad job. And the one thing he actually might have done a bad job, and even

00:26:40.740 that's a question mark, they don't even know about it. So there's your situation. It looks like there'll

00:26:48.820 be 30, there was 3,740 COVID fatalities yesterday. We'll probably hit the 5,000 mark in a few weeks,

00:26:59.880 I would guess, 5,000 per day. And even today, somebody said it's an ordinary illness, and we

00:27:09.200 should not be concerned about it. Does that, is there anybody in the comments, are any of you still

00:27:15.080 saying that COVID is just like the flu? Anybody? Does anybody still think that? Let me just see in

00:27:24.260 the comments. So yeah, so I'm seeing lots of people who are saying it's an ordinary illness.

00:27:38.600 It's amazing. You know, there was a time when I think that was a reasonable skepticism.

00:27:45.080 It's not one I ever bought into. So I've never been on the, on the side that, hey, it's just a

00:27:50.620 regular flu. But there was a time when a reasonable person could have thought that.

00:27:58.000 This is not that time. We are so far past that time. It is so unambiguously obvious that this is

00:28:07.740 way bigger than a normal illness. And it's, what's different about it is it looks like you could do

00:28:14.320 something about it that, you know, that would be, keep it to a short-term situation.

00:28:21.040 And people will make bad analogies. They'll say, but Scott, people drive, people die from driving cars.

00:28:28.380 Right? Now, the difference is that there are situations that can't be fixed in any way that

00:28:34.460 we know about it, at least not fully fixed. So driving cars is just dangerous. We don't know

00:28:43.340 how to fix that and still have a civilization. So anything that's sort of a permanent situation,

00:28:50.400 you can't compare to something that we hoped we could, you know, knock it out in six months,

00:28:56.080 it might take a year. But you can't compare any permanent situation to a temporary situation.

00:29:01.180 You should not treat them the same. All right.

00:29:09.160 So on CNN, they said election officials from both parties have said that the 2020 election was one of

00:29:15.100 the most secure ever. That's CNN. CNN is reporting that the 2020 election was one of the most secure

00:29:25.380 ever. Do you accept that? Does that sound like a fact to you? I think so. I actually accept that fact.

00:29:36.660 I believe that this, that the 2020 election was one of the most secure elections we've ever had.

00:29:42.800 Any pushback on that? Does anybody disagree that 2020 was, as far as we can tell, one of the most

00:29:53.420 secure elections we've ever had? I just want to see how badly you're reacting to that.

00:30:02.820 Well, here's the trick. I assume that they've all been corrupt. Why wouldn't they be? It's entirely,

00:30:10.280 there's no conflict. There's no conflict at all in saying it was the most secure election we've ever

00:30:16.500 had. And also, it was nearly completely unsecure. Both could be true. The most secure election we've

00:30:26.100 ever had might be 10% secure. Maybe it was, you know, maybe that's the best we've ever done.

00:30:32.100 But it wasn't secure. It was just no worse than we've ever done. I don't see any reason to believe

00:30:40.340 that it hasn't always been this way. You know, maybe there's a little extra cheating,

00:30:44.720 but there wasn't any extra lack of security.

00:30:47.080 Let's see this. Here's somebody, I just saw a random tweet. Somebody went to a specific hospital

00:30:55.780 last night to see how busy it was, and it was empty. Again, the hospital was empty. I personally

00:31:03.300 know somebody locally who works in a hospital that is not busy in Northern California. So,

00:31:11.660 is it a big old fraud that coronavirus is impacting the hospitals? Because I told you there was this

00:31:21.100 one guy who went to one hospital that one time, right? So that's pretty conclusive proof. And what

00:31:27.820 about that other guy who went to another hospital that one time and it wasn't busy? Well, there's some

00:31:32.420 solid evidence for you. And then I personally know, I personally know somebody who works at a hospital

00:31:38.040 and says it's not busy. In fact, it's extremely not busy. So it's all a big lie about hospitals being

00:31:45.740 impacted, right? No, that's not how it works. It doesn't work that way. Nobody is saying all the

00:31:56.520 hospitals are all busy. Nobody's saying that. People are saying specifically that in hotspots,

00:32:03.020 the ICUs and the places that are, you know, equipped to handle COVID patients, that those are over

00:32:09.380 capacity. Nobody's saying that in the town where the COVID infections are not that bad, that those

00:32:17.060 hospitals are impacted. My area has, you know, it's sort of bad-ish at the moment, but it's not the

00:32:24.920 worst part of California. So if you're a regular hospital, people do fewer elective surgeries, of course

00:32:31.140 it's not busy. It's supposed to look like that. And don't, wouldn't you assume by now also that the

00:32:37.900 COVID patients are treated in specific places at this point, you know, and that those would have the

00:32:44.000 capacity problem? So I've heard that Southern California, at least some counties, is at zero ICU

00:32:51.760 excess capacity. They're already at full capacity. So that's the problem. The problem is not that there

00:32:58.400 a few, maybe there are even more hospitals that are empty. Now you might say to yourself, but why

00:33:04.500 can't you use those empty hospitals and increase your capacity? Well, it's ICUs that matter. And that's

00:33:10.760 not so easy. All right. Random Twitter user Justin Bradshaw was tweeting about Trump's narcissism and gave

00:33:22.340 these examples. He said in a tweet, yeah, remember Trump getting upset about not winning the Nobel

00:33:28.280 Prize or getting on the cover of Time or more recently Melania not getting on the cover of fashion

00:33:34.440 magazines? All evidence of that exact narcissistic trait. Is it? Is it? Is this it? Would you say that

00:33:46.340 Trump creating peace of the Middle East and then not getting, not winning the Nobel Prize? Do you think

00:33:54.040 that's unfair? I feel as though the real issue here is how Trump is treated by the fake press and by the

00:34:02.580 fake award companies and everything else? Isn't the issue more about how he's treated? Because I'm not Trump.

00:34:11.400 And I think he deserves the Nobel Peace Prize. Can I be a narcissist on his behalf? It would be one

00:34:19.700 thing if Trump were the only person in the world who thought he should get a Nobel Peace Prize.

00:34:26.240 That you could argue would be kind of narcissistic if nobody else thought he deserved a Nobel Peace

00:34:32.440 Prize. But there are probably somewhere in the neighborhood of a billion or so people, if you count

00:34:39.700 other countries, maybe a billion people think Trump should have won the Nobel Peace Prize. Let me say

00:34:45.860 that again. Maybe a billion. A billion. I don't think that's probably an exaggeration, right? In this

00:34:54.360 country, which is probably half the country, thinks he deserved a Nobel Peace Prize. So if you just take

00:34:59.480 that into other populations who are aware enough of American politics, you might find a billion people

00:35:05.780 who agreed with him. Now, if a billion people agree with you, and you know, you could soften that to,

00:35:11.840 oh, it's only a hundred million, whatever it is. But if they agree with you, I don't know that that's a

00:35:17.860 mental problem. Because I see it too. It's not, he's not imagining it. I see it. Then the other example

00:35:27.380 was, he wasn't, didn't get the cover of time. Basically, it's exactly the same issue. And the other thing

00:35:33.320 that people don't quite realize about Trump is that before he was president, he was a branding

00:35:38.920 genius. The Trump brand became what it is, not because he's rich. There are tons of billionaires

00:35:47.040 you've never heard of. His brand became what it is because he's a brand managing expert. Part of

00:35:54.420 managing his brand is stuff such as getting on magazine covers, winning awards, etc. It's just part

00:36:01.280 of managing his brand. Of course, he thinks he should have been on the magazine, most important

00:36:07.280 person on Time magazine. How many other people think that too? Millions, millions and millions

00:36:14.820 of people think he should have been Time person of the year. Millions. So I don't know how that can be

00:36:20.960 a mental problem on Trump when so many millions of people are looking at the same stuff and have the

00:36:26.680 same opinion about him. All right. Minneapolis Police Department shot a man tonight during a traffic 0.91

00:36:38.080 stop. So he's alleged that he opened fire first and then the Minnesota police killed him. So that's

00:36:46.400 the story. They shot a man. Quote, he was a man. That's all you need to know. Is there anything else

00:36:54.600 you need to know about the man? Is there anything relevant to the story and relevant to the national

00:37:04.000 conversation that you'd sort of expect out of a story about a place that still stinging from a George

00:37:16.860 Floyd situation? I feel as if there's one extra piece of data that we would need to know.

00:37:24.600 I can't think of it. Yeah, his eye color. Exactly. How do we know his eye color?

00:37:32.600 Moving on. So the greatest failure of government in my lifetime, we just saw this week with the

00:37:40.840 COVID stimulus bill. And I'm not even going to get into the awkward, stupid details of what Congress did 0.99

00:37:49.640 and who was on what side and, you know, who used what trick to stop this or postpone that vote or 0.99

00:37:57.360 whatever. None of it matters too much. I've never seen more incredible incompetence than Congress this

00:38:06.300 year. I've never seen anything like it. I was trying to think, lots of times people have made mistakes,

00:38:12.300 but I've never seen incompetence like this. I mean, this is some serious incompetence. And,

00:38:20.300 you know, I tweeted,

00:38:22.300 I tweeted that watching them work is, watching Congress work is like watching a bunch of,

00:38:32.180 uh, no, I won't even say it on the live stream. You can read the tweet. It's X-rated. Um, and

00:38:40.400 when I look at this, I have, I have just hatred for them. But here's a little, uh, thing that'll ruin

00:38:50.000 you forever. Have you ever noticed that, uh, I don't know, maybe this is only me, but have you ever

00:38:57.040 known somebody for a while and then suddenly one day you saw their animal? Now, here's what I mean by

00:39:04.360 that. I once dated a woman thousand years ago who I once saw just a fleeting moment. I looked at her 0.96

00:39:16.400 face and I saw another animal. Now, I don't mean that she looked like that animal. I mean, it reminded

00:39:24.200 me in a way that I could never unsee. And from that moment on, she looked more like that animal

00:39:32.220 than like a person to me once it was in my head. So once you see the animal, you can't unsee it.

00:39:40.360 And the Democrats have two politicians that strike me as lizards. Schumer is one. Somebody needs to tell

00:39:50.380 Schumer to stop doing this with his glasses. Can somebody please talk to him and maybe not talk

00:39:57.160 exactly like a lizard? Because when I see him talk, this is what I see. Eh, President Trump.

00:40:08.140 He's a bad person. 0.98

00:40:09.460 That's all I see. I just see a lizard person. And it's even worse. There's another Senator, 0.99

00:40:17.880 Ron Wyden. Have you ever seen Ron Wyden? He's quite an anti-Trumper. When he talks, I only see a giant

00:40:25.760 lizard. It's almost like he's replaced with a lizard. Yeah, President Trump.

00:40:34.600 Right? You can see it. As soon as I mention it, you can't see it any other way, right?

00:40:43.520 So in my mind, Congress has just devolved into not even a human kind of a thing. They just look like

00:40:52.360 monsters at this point. They don't look human. Because you'd expect a human to give you a hand,

00:40:57.960 right? Hey, hey, I'm starving to death. The coronavirus has destroyed everything I have.

00:41:05.200 Please, please send me a check. Help me. And what did the lizard people say? 1.00

00:41:19.080 That's it. That's it.

00:41:21.220 So thanks a lot, Congress, for being the most worthless group of people I've ever seen in my 0.98

00:41:28.200 life. There's a video going around, I think Jack Posobiec was tweeting it, of Jake Tapper talking

00:41:37.460 about the president after one of the debates, and saying that the president was just lying to the

00:41:43.700 people about a vaccine coming before the end of the year. And Jake was quite disturbed.

00:41:51.220 By the president just lying to the people. You should have seen Jake's face. He was upset about

00:41:58.920 this disgusting, despicable lie that a vaccine could be available by the end of the year. 0.99

00:42:07.660 Disgusting. Now, I wonder what would happen if Kennedy had been doing his moonshot speech 0.92

00:42:15.620 during the fake news era? And let's say Kennedy had been a Republican. How would Jake Tapper handle

00:42:24.260 that news? When Kennedy said he was going to put a man on the moon, would Jake Tapper say,

00:42:31.040 he's just lying to the people? He's just straight out lying. There's not going to be any man on the moon.

00:42:43.280 How did the people put up with this lying? Disgusting. All right. Josh Hawley, Senator Hawley, 0.99

00:42:57.920 he's going to join with Representative Mo Brooks, and they're going to force a debate

00:43:04.140 on the electoral college electors from at least one state. So will that change the result of the

00:43:12.960 election? The smart people are saying, no, it won't change the election, because it'll just be

00:43:18.880 a delay and a debate, and then they'll just go back to doing what they were going to do.

00:43:22.480 And some people have said that Josh Hawley is just positioning himself to run for president,

00:43:31.080 to which I say, it's a pretty good job. If he's positioning himself to run for president,

00:43:38.400 and he's the only one who picked up the free money, this is free money. Do you think that Josh

00:43:44.980 Hawley will pay any political price for objecting to the vote? And he's objecting,

00:43:52.480 based on constitutional grounds, Pennsylvania ignored their own constitution when they changed

00:44:01.000 the rules. And so he's at least using something that's not in dispute. It's not in dispute that

00:44:06.840 they did what they did. And it would be fair to say that that shouldn't have happened.

00:44:12.400 So at least he's sticking with observable, straight news. He's not going into the fraud allegations

00:44:19.860 where it would be a little dicier. So he gets, for free, he gets all the support of the Trump-loving

00:44:27.340 people who say, finally, finally, we've got a, you know, a senator who will back us. Now, by the way,

00:44:34.020 he's not the only politician. You've got, you know, your Matt Gaetz, you know, some other notable people

00:44:39.280 are on the same side. And I'm saying that they're all doing the same smart thing.

00:44:42.720 So if you want to run for president, and you want Trump supporters to transfer their support to you,

00:44:50.200 this would be the time to do it. So politically, I would say, completely smart.

00:44:58.540 Will it make any difference? Probably not. But here's the question I have. When they go and debate,

00:45:03.500 do they get to see evidence? Will the public get to see anything like evidence presented and then

00:45:11.380 that evidence challenged? Or does it happen behind closed doors and there's no evidence? They just,

00:45:18.060 they just talk to each other for two hours and come back and vote? Is that all? So I'm not sure

00:45:25.620 we're really going to see something like an unofficial trial in public for the evidence. I don't think

00:45:32.000 that's going to happen, is it? Because they only have two hours. What can you do in two hours anyway?

00:45:37.400 It's not enough to really air out the evidence. So I would say that Hawley, I forget how to pronounce

00:45:46.580 his name, he made a good move, as did Matt Gaetz. And anybody who wants to run for president,

00:45:52.360 they'd be smart to do this as well, as a Republican.

00:45:54.760 So I also saw on CNN that Trump and his team have lost, or actually this is from the New York Times,

00:46:07.660 they've lost 59 of the 60 election cases they have brought. How many of the 59, or how many of the 60

00:46:17.280 election cases they brought got evaluated by a court based on the evidence?

00:46:24.760 Is it still zero? It's zero, right? Imagine if this news had been reported,

00:46:31.040 oh, let's say, I don't know, let's pick a word, accurately. Let's say it had been reported

00:46:36.980 accurately. What would it sound like? Here's the same news reported accurately.

00:46:43.560 The courts have not heard a single case in which the evidence for fraud has been presented.

00:46:49.380 Isn't that true? Now, if it's not true, it's only, I blame the media for not informing me,

00:46:57.660 because I watch a lot of news, and I don't know, I've never heard of it. So is it true to say that

00:47:04.460 they've lost 60 cases, or would it be true to say that no case has been heard? No case has been heard

00:47:11.620 on the evidence. So that's your fake news story of the day. I had this amusing thought about Joe

00:47:19.020 Biden, who apparently is lagging a little bit in picking an attorney general. And I thought to

00:47:24.660 myself, how does that conversation go? If you're a candidate for attorney general in a Biden

00:47:31.060 administration, you probably have to meet with him, I assume. He's not going to pick an attorney

00:47:36.740 general without actually talking to the person first. How does that conversation go? Because

00:47:42.200 you know, the only thing that matters to Biden is that Hunter gets off, right? Because although he's

00:47:48.220 the president of the United States, he's also a human being and a father. And I do not fault him

00:47:54.580 the slightest, if he puts his family above me, right? Only because it's natural, and it's biological,

00:48:02.980 and you know, you don't want it to happen, but you understand it, right? People put their family

00:48:08.980 first. You don't want to live in a country where that doesn't happen, do you? Do you want to live

00:48:14.880 in a country where people don't put their family first? Not so much, right? That wouldn't be a good

00:48:20.580 place to live. So I think Biden can be forgiven under the understanding that a father has to act like a

00:48:29.520 father can't turn it off, right? But what does that do to the conversation when a candidate comes

00:48:36.000 into his office, and they're sitting in the Oval Office, and I'm imagining Biden trying to ask the

00:48:41.060 question without asking the question, because it's the only thing he cares about, is what are you going

00:48:45.900 to do about Hunter? And I imagine how he would ask that. It's like, so let me give you a hypothetical.

00:48:52.960 Suppose there was a crime, or lots of them, and it was your job to, let's say you were in charge of

00:49:03.780 prosecuting that crime. But let's say, and I'm just spitballing here, just a hypothetical.

00:49:11.340 Let's say if in the process of pursuing that crime, it caused other problems.

00:49:17.000 We don't need to be specific, but other related problems, and maybe that they were bigger than

00:49:25.820 whatever you were trying to solve by this, let's say, illegality that you're going after.

00:49:32.040 How would you handle that? If doing your job caused a really big problem in an unspecified other way,

00:49:41.120 what would you do about that? Biden almost has to figure out a way to ask the question without

00:49:50.280 asking the question. But maybe it's just understood, and if his aides talk to the person,

00:49:56.880 maybe he doesn't have to say anything himself. All right. I told you yesterday there was a study

00:50:05.320 that said that the leadership variable didn't make much difference in the coronavirus outcome.

00:50:12.480 The study seemed to indicate, and here I'm going to tell you in a moment, it might not be that

00:50:18.700 credible, seemed to indicate that it didn't matter what you did, that your results were going to be

00:50:23.940 some mix of other factors, and that the lockdown, no lockdown, how fast you did it, that sort of

00:50:31.460 thing. Maybe they were not the big variables. But it took about two minutes for Andres Beckhaus,

00:50:37.200 who I always go to as my go-to for looking at data statistics things, and he sort of dismissed it

00:50:45.800 out of hand as being amateurishly, this is my words, not his, but apparently they missed some big

00:50:54.260 concepts in statistics. So you shouldn't make too much out of that. But I asked the reverse question.

00:51:03.880 Has there been any study that showed that leadership did matter? So we don't have a study that shows

00:51:12.200 leadership was irrelevant. So that we have a study, but it may not be that credible, so don't take it

00:51:18.660 too seriously. But what we don't have is a credible study that says, oh yeah, the leadership decisions

00:51:24.920 really made the difference. It's kind of missing, isn't it? Don't you think by now, by now, wouldn't

00:51:33.700 you have, seems kind of obvious, wouldn't there be studies that say, yeah, we've looked at all the

00:51:39.680 variables, and there are a lot of variables, that's the problem, too many variables. We've looked at all

00:51:43.620 the variables, and yeah, we can isolate that 40% of your outcome was because of leadership decisions.

00:51:50.880 Don't you think we should have that by now? Because we have enough data. All the data in the world

00:51:57.000 exists. I don't know how you could not determine that by now. So the fact that it doesn't exist

00:52:02.960 is making me think that my idea that you won't find a correlation stronger and stronger. Because you

00:52:11.880 see a really strong correlation with the islands, right? So you've got your Hawaii's doing better

00:52:17.460 than a lot of the states. You've got New Zealand's doing better than, you know, places with similar

00:52:22.100 cultures. You've got South Korea doing better effectively in Ireland because of the DMZ, etc.

00:52:28.140 Now, I don't know if that correlation will really hold. It's just one that, you know, the human mind

00:52:33.100 sees that pattern, whether it's real or not. And, oh, somebody says, but the UK is not.

00:52:39.720 Would the UK count as an island? I don't know. Because the UK is so connected to Great Britain,

00:52:54.040 maybe more so. The island analogy probably has more to do with the consistency of international

00:53:02.540 travel. And Great Britain is sort of a hub of international travel. So have they shut down

00:53:10.060 travel faster? Maybe. So here's what I would say. When you have an outlier, we probably don't know

00:53:21.260 why it's like it is. And if we did, we would be surprised, I think. So don't assume that leadership

00:53:28.660 is the thing, but we also can't rule it out as being the thing. And that

00:53:34.660 is what I wanted to... Trump should posthumously pardon John McCain. That would be a good troll.

00:53:46.500 All right, I'm just looking at your comments for a moment. Are you all going to celebrate New Year's

00:53:57.100 Eve today? Great Britain is calling. Now, Great Britain, you would have to say that that might be

00:54:08.800 one case where, yeah, I would say, let me say this. You probably could distinguish between the people

00:54:16.340 who said, let's go for herd immunity, as Great Britain famously did, versus those who said, let's

00:54:22.740 not run toward herd immunity. So that might be one that you could distinguish. But short of that,

00:54:30.580 I don't know that the details about masks and lockdowns and stuff are going to be the big difference.

00:54:35.140 You'll be celebrating Dominion. Oh, yes. So yesterday, there was a video of some expert

00:54:48.360 who was testifying about the security of the Dominion voting machines, and said that while he

00:54:55.080 was talking, they were already in them. That was the greatest, that was the greatest subtle

00:55:01.680 thing I've ever heard. It's like, yes, not only are these machines, or at least some of them

00:55:09.260 connected to the internet, and then from there, they're connected to the other machines. So not

00:55:13.760 only is it possible to hack these machines, but while I'm talking, we're in them. Now, I know you

00:55:22.920 didn't quite say it exactly like that, but that's what it sounded like, right? It sounded like you don't

00:55:28.140 have to ask if it's possible. I'm in it right now. Now, if that's what he said, because that's sort of

00:55:34.720 how I heard it, but I feel like I could have misinterpreted that. But if that is what he

00:55:38.440 meant and what he said, that is so awesome. That's like a moment for a nerd. No nerd ever had a better

00:55:48.540 moment than, I'd like to tell you that not only is it possible to get into them, I'm in them right now.

00:55:54.720 I mean, that's just so cool. In a bad way, I suppose. He's in them. Now, do we live in a world

00:56:02.080 in which an expert can say, not only can I get in them, but I am in them, and I would have the power

00:56:08.600 to change votes with the access I already have? And he's an expert. Do you think that that story

00:56:15.100 then becomes a national story, which changes everything? Nope. Nope. Because I don't know if

00:56:24.440 this story is true, right? You have to assume that any story like this, you got to put your

00:56:31.440 skeptical hat on and say, all right, two days from now, is this still going to be true? It looked

00:56:38.160 pretty credible when he said it. You know, if you saw it, it looked real. But that doesn't mean it's

00:56:42.920 real. Covington kids will teach you that. Just because you saw it, just because he said it,

00:56:48.440 just because he's an expert doesn't make any of it true. You have to hear the other side before

00:56:54.120 you know anything. But suppose it's true. Let's just speculate what would happen. Suppose it was

00:57:01.200 just true. How would the news handle it? They will ignore it. You know, Fox News will run a couple

00:57:11.200 stories, and then they'll ignore it too. And then the mainstream media will just say, look over here.

00:57:17.740 And it won't make any difference. So we're way past the point where discovering a crime makes much

00:57:25.540 difference. Because the gatekeepers of our reality, which is, you know, the news and the politicians,

00:57:32.040 will just act like it didn't happen. And they can simply act like it didn't happen and just make that

00:57:38.900 fact disappear. That's the reality we're in right now, that they have that power and know they have

00:57:45.020 the power. They know they can make any story disappear. So that one, if it's true, and I wouldn't

00:57:53.360 give it more than a 50-50 for being true. But if it's true, it won't matter at all. We'll just make it

00:57:59.280 disappear. All right. Is it worth voting? Well, if you don't vote, then the cheating competition, which

00:58:11.460 is really the basis of our system, it's who can cheat the best, then it will make it easier for the

00:58:18.520 other side to cheat and win. So if you want to make it harder to cheat, voting makes a difference,

00:58:23.900 yes. So you have to get it at least close so that your side can cheat enough to get over the edge,

00:58:30.780 because the other side is trying to cheat enough to get over the edge.

00:58:37.480 You'll never know. It's true.

00:58:39.060 Will you unblock Tim Poole on Twitter? He's not blocked on Twitter. I don't block him.

00:58:49.000 You don't vote, Scott. Okay, what's your point?

00:58:54.280 Not worth voting. Did you see Pitton? No, I did not. I don't know what that is. Pitton?

00:58:59.900 Is that something I should see? But you don't vote. Why does that matter?

00:59:05.140 I often see a lot of people just say a fact. But a fact isn't an argument. That's just a fact.

00:59:20.080 All right. No Georgia prediction? Yeah, I'll make a Georgia prediction. The Democrats will steal that

00:59:28.220 election. That will be my prediction. Now, if I had to put odds on it, I wouldn't put it at 100%.

00:59:35.120 I'd say, let's say, 70% chance Democrats will still steal it. And, you know, 70% chance that if it were not

00:59:48.940 stolen, the Republicans would win. But 70% chance they will steal it and get away with it. And get away

00:59:57.960 with it. 70%.

01:00:00.960 January 6th prediction? I don't know that fate will be changed on January 6th. I do have a big question,

01:00:12.060 as I said earlier, about whether the actual fraud evidence will be presented in any form to the

01:00:17.240 American public. And by the way, why doesn't Trump just set up some kind of a media event where the

01:00:24.160 strongest fraud evidence is brought in? And in a non-court setting, just present it all. Now, ideally,

01:00:32.160 you would want people representing the opposite side to be there too, and just have like a little

01:00:37.560 court-like debate situation in which you can see both sides. I'd like to see it.

01:00:44.520 You really are a bitter man, says this person who will never have to see me again. I now solved your

01:00:55.260 problem. Boom. I'm like a doctor. I'm like a doctor.

01:01:00.420 Georgia prediction? Yeah. Wrong, wrong, wrong.

01:01:13.620 December 23rd, White House staff were told to stop packing up to leave. I doubt that. That sounds

01:01:19.220 like fake news. Is Linwood trustworthy? Is he a lawyer? He's a lawyer. Lawyers are advocates.

01:01:27.620 Advocates. Advocates are not intended to be credible. Advocates are meant to get their side.

01:01:37.160 You know, they want their client to win. They want to have victory. No, you shouldn't.

01:01:43.280 If the Democrats steal the election, they'll have enough power to avoid consequences. That's right.

01:01:48.080 So if the Democrats do steal the election, they can get away with it, because then they'll have all

01:01:53.380 the power. There would be no counter to it at that point. So if you use my theory that you always have

01:02:01.620 corruption under these circumstances, which is that the upside potential is really high,

01:02:08.720 you're pretty sure you can get away with it, and you've got a lot of people involved,

01:02:12.900 so there's always somebody willing to take that risk. That all exists. Beyond that,

01:02:18.760 it's the biggest stakes that have ever existed, because it would be full control of one party.

01:02:26.060 Now, if that were to happen, they would be invulnerable from any kind of prosecution. They

01:02:32.820 would just have too much power. So they should, under this condition, they should do everything they

01:02:40.200 can to steal this election. All of the setup is such that it would almost be irrational not to steal it.

01:02:47.580 Wouldn't you say? What would be the reasoning not to steal it? Okay, let's say you're in charge

01:02:55.420 in some way, and you're some Democratic operative who's in charge. And your minions, let's say

01:03:02.740 hypothetically, have brought to you a proposal of how they can steal the election. And they say,

01:03:08.820 look, we know we can win this thing. We'll do fraud A, fraud B, fraud C. It'll be packetized,

01:03:16.080 so even if they catch one of it, it won't be enough. So here's our plan. We can definitely

01:03:21.480 steal it. The odds of getting caught and going to jail are, I hate to say it, but as high as maybe

01:03:28.480 25%. What does the Democratic operative say to that proposition? Here's what he says.

01:03:36.760 Clarify for me. Who is it who goes to jail in this scenario? And the person says, oh, I didn't mean

01:03:43.100 you. You wouldn't go to jail, because nobody knows we had this conversation, and you're not going to do

01:03:48.880 any of the fraud. You're just sort of approving it. And, you know, you'll deny it, so there's no evidence

01:03:54.220 there. The only person who would go to jail is the actual person doing the fraud, the person double

01:04:00.140 counting votes or something like that. And then the top Democratic operative says, I don't even know

01:04:06.100 those people. Are you telling me that I could have total power, probably 75% chance, and I don't

01:04:15.960 personally have any risk, because I'm not going to go to jail. And I'll just say, I didn't know these

01:04:20.880 guys were frauding. So I have no risk, but I could have total power if this works out. 25% chance it won't.

01:04:30.140 What do I say? Go. I say go, because those are good odds. Now, what about the person who's actually

01:04:38.680 doing the crime? Would you do a crime where you had a 25% chance of getting caught? How many of you

01:04:46.960 would do a crime where the beneficiary is mostly other people? Because you're not president. You're

01:04:53.620 just the person messing with some ballots. Maybe you get paid, right? But you're just a person messing

01:04:59.080 with ballots. You don't have a giant upside to your life. You've got a 25% chance of getting caught and

01:05:05.260 going to jail. Do you do the crime? Well, it doesn't matter how many of you say no. It only matters

01:05:13.920 there's one person who says yes for each individual fraud thing that could happen, right? You only need

01:05:21.500 some people to say yes. You don't think you could get people to do crime when they have a 75% chance of

01:05:27.960 getting away with it. Yeah. A 75% chance of getting away with crime? You would get massive numbers of

01:05:34.740 people who would agree to that. You wouldn't. I wouldn't. Probably almost nobody on this periscope

01:05:42.640 would. But there are a lot of them. Oh, yeah. It wouldn't be hard at all. And part of it is they

01:05:47.880 just would think, well, that's 25% chance, but not my specific situation. My specific situation,

01:05:56.540 I'm pretty sure I'll get away with this. So, yeah, people would think they could get away with it.

01:06:02.860 The incentive is sky high. How could there not be massive attempt at fraud? It doesn't even seem

01:06:10.300 possible that it could be an honest election. I don't see any possibility. Do you? With that set up,

01:06:18.300 it just can't happen. So that's my prediction. It will be massive fraud. It has to be, really.

01:06:27.460 Somebody said bomber pilots had a 25% loss rate but went anyway. All right. There you go.

01:06:34.260 You can get people to do things at those odds and it's not that hard. Would you tell us if you made

01:06:41.640 a political deal? I love that question. I don't know exactly what that means, but do you mean a

01:06:48.100 political deal as in somebody in politics would pay me to say something? Is that what you're talking

01:06:54.880 about? Or are you talking about somebody else making a political deal? But to answer your question,

01:07:02.420 if I made a secret political deal, I wouldn't tell you because it would be a secret, but I wouldn't

01:07:08.780 make a political deal like that because I don't need to. There's no upside for me. If I were to double

01:07:14.340 my net worth, it just wouldn't make much difference. Yeah, I'd still be sitting here at this time of day,

01:07:22.060 still be doing this, still be wearing this crappy t-shirt to bed, still be doing this in my pajamas.

01:07:27.400 It wouldn't make much difference. So they could try to bribe me, but I don't know why I would take

01:07:32.900 that. It wouldn't feel right. All right. That's all I got. And I will talk to you tomorrow.

01:07:42.480 Bye for now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 31, 2020

Episode 1237 Scott Adams： Lizard People Take Over congress, and More News Like That

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