Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1238 Scott Adams： Looks Like Trump Won, Based on Latest News Out of Georgia. Will That Change？

00:00:00.000 Hey, happy 2021.

00:00:12.740 Let me tell you, you didn't like 2020, did you?

00:00:18.540 Not so much, right?

00:00:20.760 But 2021, so far, it's early, but so far,

00:00:27.340 2021 is freaking fantastic

00:00:31.400 call me an optimist

00:00:35.160 but boy did we start strong

00:00:37.420 let me get into that

00:00:38.820 happy new year Jack Posavik

00:00:41.460 thanks for joining

00:00:43.240 you know what you need to do now

00:00:45.800 don't you?

00:00:46.620 yeah you do, you know

00:00:48.160 all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass

00:00:50.560 a tank or chalice or a stand, a canteen, jug or a flask

00:00:52.760 a vessel of any kind

00:00:54.620 fill it with your favorite liquid

00:00:57.160 I like coffee

00:00:59.140 join me now for the unparalleled pleasure

00:01:02.440 the boost that will take you

00:01:04.740 all the way into 2021

00:01:06.320 the best year that you've had

00:01:08.920 in the last two years

00:01:10.460 I guarantee it

00:01:11.580 and man it's starting off right

00:01:13.800 go

00:01:14.780 so far

00:01:21.000 I can honestly say

00:01:23.060 I haven't had a problem this year

00:01:25.140 no

00:01:26.260 not a single problem in 2021

00:01:28.920 so far

00:01:29.780 yeah

00:01:30.420 well let's talk about

00:01:32.080 how awesome it is

00:01:33.420 first of all

00:01:36.260 have you noticed that

00:01:37.720 Facebook is a

00:01:39.200 festering cesspool 1.00

00:01:41.040 of evil and bile

00:01:42.520 well I have

00:01:44.420 and I was trying to figure out

00:01:47.440 why

00:01:47.740 Facebook

00:01:49.040 seems so horrible

00:01:51.380 and Twitter

00:01:52.340 with all of its

00:01:53.420 you know

00:01:53.920 rough edges

00:01:54.600 doesn't feel that way

00:01:56.800 and I finally figured it out

00:01:59.460 you know

00:01:59.780 with a little pattern recognition

00:02:01.100 I was looking at

00:02:01.880 I have a Facebook account

00:02:03.580 but

00:02:03.920 I don't

00:02:04.600 I don't use it too much

00:02:05.760 and

00:02:07.020 I was looking at the comments

00:02:09.220 there to me

00:02:09.880 and the comments on Facebook

00:02:11.140 are to me personally 1.00

00:02:13.040 telling me what a piece of crap 1.00

00:02:15.420 I am 1.00

00:02:15.820 now

00:02:17.500 of course

00:02:18.620 I get criticized

00:02:19.640 as you know

00:02:20.900 as much or more

00:02:21.720 than most humans

00:02:23.060 who have ever lived

00:02:23.920 so I'm not bothered

00:02:25.160 by the criticism

00:02:25.940 but what I notice

00:02:27.280 is it's different

00:02:28.220 if you go over to Twitter

00:02:30.320 people will say

00:02:31.980 some version of your idea

00:02:33.800 is terrible

00:02:34.460 you're

00:02:34.980 you're backing

00:02:35.880 the wrong person

00:02:36.900 your policies are bad

00:02:38.380 and

00:02:38.880 in my case

00:02:39.780 they almost always

00:02:40.920 misinterpret my opinion

00:02:42.320 before criticizing

00:02:43.400 but over on Facebook

00:02:45.240 it's just about me

00:02:46.380 it's not about my opinions

00:02:48.640 it's about me 1.00

00:02:50.280 being a horrible piece of crap 1.00

00:02:52.200 and I'm thinking 1.00

00:02:53.280 is there something about Facebook

00:02:54.620 that attracts the worst people in the world

00:02:58.180 I mean I thought Twitter was

00:02:59.680 was pretty rugged

00:03:01.900 but man

00:03:02.960 Facebook is awful

00:03:04.360 so my plan for 2021

00:03:06.640 is to

00:03:08.320 you know

00:03:09.800 I'll probably keep my account open

00:03:11.800 just in case I want to check

00:03:13.320 something

00:03:13.680 but I'm not going to use

00:03:15.100 Facebook in 2021

00:03:17.180 if I can avoid it

00:03:18.620 I tweeted this morning

00:03:21.080 a lovely

00:03:21.760 a lovely video

00:03:24.340 of

00:03:25.080 there were some camera crews

00:03:27.200 a lot of reporters

00:03:28.020 in Times Square last night

00:03:29.240 as you might imagine

00:03:30.020 and one of the crews

00:03:31.660 came up

00:03:32.320 and interviewed

00:03:33.240 randomly

00:03:33.900 a couple

00:03:34.720 who were in

00:03:35.740 Times Square

00:03:36.580 as luck would have it

00:03:38.500 the random couple

00:03:40.420 that they picked

00:03:41.100 to interview

00:03:41.560 just to say

00:03:42.260 you know

00:03:42.560 how's your 2021

00:03:43.480 or whatever

00:03:44.240 the man was planning

00:03:47.000 to

00:03:47.440 to propose

00:03:49.620 to his girlfriend

00:03:50.720 he was with

00:03:51.540 that night

00:03:52.780 and he gets on camera

00:03:54.420 and they start doing

00:03:55.120 the interviews

00:03:55.640 and this

00:03:56.960 magnificent 1.00

00:03:58.160 bastard 1.00

00:03:58.900 realizes 0.99

00:04:00.540 he realizes

00:04:02.560 that

00:04:03.140 he can propose

00:04:04.740 on camera

00:04:05.380 and he just

00:04:06.760 does it

00:04:07.280 he just pulls out

00:04:08.120 his ring

00:04:08.540 proposes on camera

00:04:10.180 and I said to myself

00:04:11.280 I don't know this guy

00:04:13.340 I don't know this guy

00:04:15.340 but there's a man

00:04:17.140 who recognizes

00:04:18.580 a moment

00:04:19.340 and didn't run

00:04:20.840 from it

00:04:21.380 he's

00:04:22.500 he's sort of

00:04:23.200 what makes America

00:04:24.100 great

00:04:24.640 in a way

00:04:25.320 right

00:04:25.600 he wasn't planning it

00:04:27.560 this moment

00:04:28.820 happened

00:04:29.360 and in one of the most

00:04:31.060 you could say

00:04:32.120 probably

00:04:32.560 tension

00:04:33.780 kind of situations

00:04:35.480 you're on live TV

00:04:36.540 there's a

00:04:37.180 there's a camera

00:04:38.120 crew on you

00:04:38.820 you've already

00:04:39.700 planned to do

00:04:40.400 the most

00:04:40.780 nerve-wracking

00:04:41.640 thing

00:04:42.060 which is

00:04:42.540 to propose

00:04:44.000 to your girlfriend 0.92

00:04:44.900 all the pressure

00:04:46.540 in the world 0.93

00:04:47.180 this freaking guy 0.77

00:04:48.680 was so cool 0.86

00:04:49.600 he's like

00:04:50.680 camera on

00:04:51.640 cool

00:04:52.380 just took it up

00:04:53.600 a notch

00:04:54.000 boom

00:04:54.620 takes out the ring

00:04:55.580 proposes

00:04:56.660 love that guy

00:04:58.240 love that guy

00:04:59.740 all right

00:05:01.120 there was a story

00:05:06.960 in the Washington Post

00:05:08.080 that I tweeted around

00:05:10.040 and I'm part of the story

00:05:11.840 so part of the story

00:05:13.580 is there's some

00:05:14.500 I don't know

00:05:14.920 scientist or researcher

00:05:16.260 named Rasmussen

00:05:17.160 not to be confused

00:05:18.500 with the Rasmussen poll

00:05:19.640 just the same last name

00:05:20.660 and it was a story

00:05:22.520 about her

00:05:23.040 and her

00:05:23.840 climb to prominence

00:05:26.160 because she has some

00:05:27.240 expertise in the pandemic

00:05:28.460 and then there was a part

00:05:30.060 about how people

00:05:31.340 on Twitter

00:05:31.940 were giving her

00:05:33.520 a hard time

00:05:34.240 and one of the ones

00:05:36.020 I mentioned

00:05:36.440 was Elon Musk

00:05:37.860 doubted some stuff

00:05:39.420 had an exchange

00:05:40.460 with her

00:05:40.760 and then they throw me

00:05:42.160 into the story

00:05:42.900 you know

00:05:44.080 the Dilbert creator

00:05:45.340 got into it

00:05:46.600 with a testy exchange

00:05:47.920 with her

00:05:48.380 and I'm thinking

00:05:49.820 wait a minute

00:05:51.100 why is that news

00:05:51.980 a Twitter exchange

00:05:55.100 and here's the funny part

00:05:57.500 apparently it was

00:05:59.100 important enough

00:06:00.160 to be in a paper

00:06:01.020 of record

00:06:01.620 you know

00:06:02.060 that's a fancy name

00:06:03.520 for the most important

00:06:04.600 newspaper platforms

00:06:07.520 and the Washington Post

00:06:09.060 like the New York Times

00:06:10.360 has at least traditionally

00:06:11.680 historically been

00:06:12.620 a paper of record

00:06:13.680 and

00:06:14.940 it's like

00:06:16.360 it's like national news

00:06:17.720 and it's about me

00:06:19.780 like I'm part of the news

00:06:21.660 I swear to God

00:06:23.380 I don't remember it happening

00:06:24.600 it's national news

00:06:27.140 somehow

00:06:27.540 I have no idea

00:06:29.860 who this woman is 1.00

00:06:30.920 I have no memory

00:06:32.420 of this exchange

00:06:33.540 but the funny part is

00:06:35.220 they didn't show

00:06:36.660 what point

00:06:37.220 I was making

00:06:37.980 why is that?

00:06:40.380 because they said

00:06:41.200 something about

00:06:41.900 what Elon Musk said

00:06:43.260 that she disagreed with

00:06:44.640 because

00:06:45.340 it would make

00:06:46.480 Elon Musk

00:06:47.180 look bad

00:06:48.100 in that particular

00:06:49.040 you know

00:06:49.500 limited exchange

00:06:50.300 but they mention me

00:06:53.060 but they don't say

00:06:55.100 what I said

00:06:56.020 or objected to

00:06:57.140 or tweeted

00:06:57.740 why is that?

00:07:00.080 why do you think

00:07:00.920 they left that out?

00:07:02.600 well I have a

00:07:03.760 speculation

00:07:05.520 no way to know

00:07:07.240 but

00:07:08.520 I do

00:07:09.600 sometimes

00:07:10.860 make fun of experts

00:07:12.340 and

00:07:13.700 sometimes

00:07:14.580 I'm right

00:07:16.700 now that's just a fact

00:07:19.180 that I make fun of

00:07:21.040 scientists

00:07:21.980 and experts

00:07:22.720 in public

00:07:23.340 you would agree

00:07:24.620 with that fact

00:07:25.400 right?

00:07:26.160 and it's also

00:07:27.160 objectively true

00:07:28.820 that

00:07:30.340 in a number

00:07:31.340 of those cases

00:07:32.180 not every time

00:07:33.040 but in a number

00:07:34.300 of those cases

00:07:35.000 I ended up being

00:07:36.380 the one who was right

00:07:37.200 because I have

00:07:38.100 a special skill set

00:07:39.160 which is identifying 0.99

00:07:40.200 bullshit 0.99

00:07:41.320 basically 0.99

00:07:41.860 and

00:07:43.100 if you have

00:07:44.140 that skill set

00:07:45.100 you can apply it

00:07:45.960 to a bunch of fields

00:07:47.020 that you are not

00:07:48.360 an expert in

00:07:49.280 and you will be

00:07:50.220 surprisingly accurate

00:07:51.960 if you're just good

00:07:53.940 at identifying 0.99

00:07:54.580 bullshit 0.99

00:07:55.060 you don't need 1.00

00:07:55.780 to have the expertise

00:07:56.600 to see the easy stuff

00:07:58.140 you know

00:07:58.980 I'm not going to

00:07:59.980 wade into some

00:08:01.080 you know

00:08:02.100 physics discussion

00:08:03.180 with formulas

00:08:04.020 I'm just

00:08:04.860 you know

00:08:05.580 the low hanging fruit

00:08:07.120 the obvious stuff 1.00

00:08:07.940 that's obvious bullshit 0.99

00:08:08.780 I can identify that 1.00

00:08:11.960 all right

00:08:12.980 there was a doctor

00:08:16.700 on Twitter

00:08:17.200 who was having

00:08:18.100 the exchange

00:08:18.680 with me this morning

00:08:19.500 and sent me

00:08:21.300 some scientific paper

00:08:22.820 to make a point

00:08:23.700 and asked me

00:08:24.360 what I thought

00:08:24.880 of the scientific

00:08:26.380 wasn't necessarily

00:08:28.440 a scientific paper

00:08:29.380 but a document

00:08:30.900 by a bunch of scientists

00:08:32.060 which I had no interest

00:08:34.140 in reading

00:08:34.580 because as I said

00:08:36.100 to him

00:08:36.400 I don't trust

00:08:37.520 anything that scientists

00:08:38.500 say

00:08:38.920 and this was about

00:08:40.080 the pandemic

00:08:40.800 so I said

00:08:42.360 didn't really trust

00:08:43.440 anything that the experts

00:08:44.420 and the scientists

00:08:45.000 say about the pandemic

00:08:46.100 is that a reasonable

00:08:48.880 statement

00:08:49.300 in 2021

00:08:51.060 that I don't trust

00:08:52.760 anything that the experts

00:08:53.840 say

00:08:54.120 now I'm not saying

00:08:55.300 the experts are

00:08:56.140 wrong on everything

00:08:57.640 I'm not even saying

00:08:59.540 the experts are wrong

00:09:00.660 on most things

00:09:02.140 because in fact

00:09:03.180 my own opinions

00:09:04.560 do agree with

00:09:05.420 most experts

00:09:06.140 on most things

00:09:07.540 so it's not about

00:09:09.160 all experts

00:09:10.060 I simply made

00:09:10.800 the statement

00:09:11.220 that I don't

00:09:12.020 trust them

00:09:12.800 on this topic

00:09:14.380 now not trusting

00:09:16.240 means

00:09:16.720 I don't know

00:09:17.900 what the odds

00:09:18.560 of them being

00:09:19.060 wrong are

00:09:19.680 is it 20%

00:09:21.040 is it 50%

00:09:22.880 is it 80%

00:09:24.620 what are the odds

00:09:26.040 that they're accurate

00:09:26.740 I don't know

00:09:27.940 if I knew

00:09:29.120 that the odds

00:09:29.720 of them being

00:09:30.200 right were

00:09:30.900 you know

00:09:31.300 95%

00:09:32.400 I'd say

00:09:33.720 that's pretty good odds

00:09:34.800 I'm going to go

00:09:35.860 with the 95% likelihood

00:09:37.660 but I can't put

00:09:39.320 odds on this

00:09:40.100 could you possibly

00:09:41.720 put the odds

00:09:42.700 on whether

00:09:43.640 a specific

00:09:44.440 paper

00:09:45.600 authored by

00:09:47.240 scientists

00:09:47.820 is accurate

00:09:49.680 or BS

00:09:50.560 could you

00:09:51.100 could you put

00:09:52.240 any odds

00:09:52.740 on that

00:09:53.120 how would you

00:09:53.800 so why would

00:09:55.100 I trust

00:09:55.580 something

00:09:56.020 that I don't

00:09:57.400 know if it's

00:09:57.960 20% likely

00:09:58.960 to be true

00:09:59.660 or 95%

00:10:01.620 I can't tell

00:10:02.440 why would

00:10:03.740 I as a

00:10:04.360 non-scientist

00:10:05.000 have any

00:10:05.520 opinion on

00:10:06.120 any of it

00:10:06.620 all I know

00:10:07.600 is it's not

00:10:08.200 credible

00:10:08.660 nor could

00:10:09.880 it be

00:10:10.480 credible

00:10:11.520 meaning

00:10:12.100 you don't

00:10:12.780 know

00:10:13.000 you could

00:10:13.380 trust it

00:10:13.920 being not

00:10:15.000 credible

00:10:15.400 if anybody's

00:10:16.080 new to

00:10:16.380 these

00:10:16.660 live streams

00:10:17.880 when I say

00:10:18.840 something's

00:10:19.260 not credible

00:10:19.880 I'm not

00:10:20.320 saying it's

00:10:20.740 true or

00:10:21.100 false

00:10:21.420 I'm saying

00:10:22.860 I don't

00:10:23.140 know

00:10:23.460 so it's

00:10:24.800 not credible

00:10:25.520 because it

00:10:26.460 didn't convince

00:10:27.140 me one way

00:10:27.720 or the other

00:10:28.140 credible

00:10:28.660 stuff

00:10:29.040 would

00:10:29.360 so he

00:10:32.300 took it as

00:10:32.740 a personal

00:10:33.180 insult that

00:10:33.820 I said I

00:10:34.260 don't trust

00:10:35.220 experts

00:10:35.780 is it a

00:10:36.660 personal

00:10:37.020 insult to

00:10:37.740 any one

00:10:38.320 expert

00:10:38.740 that I

00:10:40.020 don't trust

00:10:40.600 experts in

00:10:41.440 general

00:10:41.820 on a

00:10:42.920 particular

00:10:43.320 topic

00:10:43.800 I don't

00:10:45.280 think so

00:10:45.780 I don't

00:10:47.140 think so

00:10:47.580 it's not

00:10:48.080 really a

00:10:48.400 personal

00:10:48.660 insult

00:10:49.060 because it

00:10:50.740 certainly

00:10:51.000 doesn't say

00:10:51.540 all scientists

00:10:52.880 are wrong

00:10:53.640 or all

00:10:53.960 experts are

00:10:54.500 wrong

00:10:54.880 or all

00:10:55.660 scientists 1.00

00:10:56.080 are dumb 1.00

00:10:56.700 or bad 1.00

00:10:57.420 or evil

00:10:57.820 nothing like

00:10:58.440 that

00:10:58.700 it's just

00:10:59.500 a comment

00:11:00.020 about the

00:11:00.480 general

00:11:00.780 situation

00:11:01.380 if you

00:11:02.320 replaced

00:11:02.800 every

00:11:03.120 scientist

00:11:03.560 in this

00:11:04.160 situation

00:11:04.760 with all

00:11:06.200 new

00:11:06.440 scientists

00:11:07.040 it wouldn't

00:11:08.120 change the

00:11:08.580 credibility

00:11:09.060 because I

00:11:11.120 can't determine

00:11:11.680 credibility

00:11:12.280 so my

00:11:13.140 subjective

00:11:13.720 version of

00:11:14.460 credibility

00:11:14.860 I mean

00:11:15.220 all right

00:11:16.260 I made

00:11:18.740 the claim

00:11:19.140 on the

00:11:19.780 live stream

00:11:20.220 that Trump's

00:11:21.200 leadership

00:11:21.940 on the

00:11:22.600 coronavirus

00:11:23.120 didn't make

00:11:23.920 any difference

00:11:24.640 in terms of

00:11:25.480 negative

00:11:26.040 outcomes

00:11:26.600 and what I

00:11:28.120 said was

00:11:28.620 that there's

00:11:29.380 nothing that

00:11:29.900 Trump did

00:11:30.640 that hurt

00:11:32.540 anything

00:11:33.020 in terms of

00:11:34.340 the coronavirus

00:11:34.840 and I was

00:11:36.220 met with a

00:11:36.880 long string

00:11:38.040 of counter

00:11:39.180 claims

00:11:39.680 along the

00:11:40.760 lines of

00:11:41.220 things he

00:11:41.720 said that

00:11:42.240 did not

00:11:42.600 agree with

00:11:43.100 the experts

00:11:43.700 of which

00:11:44.680 there's a

00:11:45.080 fairly long

00:11:45.800 list of

00:11:46.240 things he

00:11:46.620 said that

00:11:47.060 experts

00:11:47.500 disagreed

00:11:48.080 with

00:11:48.280 but I

00:11:50.000 never made

00:11:51.080 the claim

00:11:51.460 that everything

00:11:51.880 he said

00:11:52.180 was accurate

00:11:52.720 I'm only

00:11:53.960 making the

00:11:54.500 claim that

00:11:55.340 he didn't do

00:11:55.920 anything that

00:11:56.380 hurt anything

00:11:56.880 and the

00:11:57.920 things he

00:11:58.300 did that

00:11:58.680 were helpful

00:11:59.240 were helpful

00:12:00.720 such as

00:12:01.960 warp speed

00:12:02.740 such as

00:12:03.340 closing traffic

00:12:04.180 from China

00:12:05.360 which could

00:12:05.880 have been

00:12:06.640 sooner or

00:12:07.300 more

00:12:07.560 but it was

00:12:08.340 still the

00:12:08.640 right decision

00:12:09.220 compared to

00:12:10.120 the experts

00:12:12.220 so it does

00:12:14.240 not impress

00:12:14.980 me no matter

00:12:16.200 how many

00:12:16.720 things Trump

00:12:17.320 said that

00:12:18.040 the experts

00:12:18.600 say is

00:12:19.180 technically

00:12:19.720 inaccurate

00:12:20.420 my claim

00:12:21.600 is that

00:12:22.100 he was

00:12:23.780 weak on

00:12:24.380 the things

00:12:24.740 that don't

00:12:25.180 matter

00:12:25.520 like that

00:12:26.560 stuff

00:12:26.920 and he

00:12:27.820 was super

00:12:28.360 strong

00:12:28.900 on the

00:12:29.300 stuff that

00:12:29.680 matters a

00:12:30.180 lot

00:12:30.480 travel

00:12:32.260 vaccinations

00:12:34.320 etc

00:12:34.980 that's the

00:12:35.960 claim

00:12:36.220 I'm open

00:12:37.700 to an

00:12:38.000 argument

00:12:38.280 on that

00:12:38.940 let's see

00:12:43.200 here's some

00:12:44.200 funny fake

00:12:45.380 news

00:12:45.800 so you

00:12:47.420 remember the

00:12:47.880 claim that

00:12:48.560 the Russians

00:12:49.660 were paying

00:12:50.960 a bounty

00:12:51.460 to the

00:12:52.640 Taliban 1.00

00:12:52.920 to kill 1.00

00:12:53.500 Americans 1.00

00:12:53.980 that was

00:12:54.800 a big

00:12:55.500 anti-Trump

00:12:56.280 story

00:12:56.740 and then

00:12:57.460 the story

00:12:57.840 was why

00:12:58.480 doesn't

00:12:58.860 Trump do

00:12:59.380 more about

00:13:00.140 it to

00:13:01.120 punish

00:13:01.460 Russia

00:13:01.840 but the

00:13:03.820 other part

00:13:05.020 of the

00:13:05.220 story is

00:13:05.740 it wasn't

00:13:06.340 credible

00:13:06.840 again

00:13:08.000 now why

00:13:09.140 wasn't it

00:13:09.640 credible

00:13:09.960 because it

00:13:11.140 comes from

00:13:11.680 American

00:13:12.280 intelligence

00:13:12.840 sources

00:13:13.460 anything you

00:13:14.920 hear from

00:13:15.260 an American

00:13:15.780 intelligence

00:13:16.360 source is

00:13:17.020 not credible

00:13:17.680 it could

00:13:19.420 be true

00:13:19.920 it could

00:13:21.220 be true

00:13:21.680 it could

00:13:22.480 be not

00:13:22.820 true

00:13:23.060 but anything

00:13:24.540 you hear from

00:13:25.180 an intelligence

00:13:26.060 agency whether

00:13:27.680 it's American

00:13:28.380 or any other

00:13:29.240 it's not

00:13:30.140 credible

00:13:30.540 you shouldn't

00:13:31.360 automatically

00:13:31.860 believe it

00:13:32.700 haven't you

00:13:33.820 seen plenty

00:13:34.480 of evidence

00:13:35.180 of them

00:13:36.300 not being

00:13:37.820 credible

00:13:38.220 these so

00:13:39.060 called 17

00:13:39.900 intelligence

00:13:40.480 agencies that

00:13:41.460 you know

00:13:42.200 were pretty

00:13:42.900 sure there

00:13:43.320 was some

00:13:43.700 Russian

00:13:44.260 collusion or

00:13:44.960 whatever it

00:13:45.380 was

00:13:45.600 so no

00:13:46.780 you can't

00:13:47.180 trust any

00:13:47.660 intelligence

00:13:48.240 agencies

00:13:48.940 that's not

00:13:49.480 even a

00:13:49.820 thing

00:13:50.020 so what's

00:13:50.980 funny about

00:13:51.480 this is

00:13:52.300 that there's

00:13:52.680 a new

00:13:53.120 also not

00:13:54.580 credible

00:13:55.020 report from

00:13:56.880 the intelligence

00:13:57.560 agencies that

00:13:59.060 China was 0.98

00:14:00.900 paying the

00:14:02.140 Taliban to 1.00

00:14:02.820 kill American 1.00

00:14:03.420 citizens 1.00

00:14:04.000 now do you

00:14:06.080 believe a

00:14:07.260 that Russia 0.72

00:14:08.480 was paying a

00:14:09.180 bounty to 1.00

00:14:10.260 kill American 1.00

00:14:10.840 citizens 1.00

00:14:11.460 American soldiers

00:14:12.860 in Afghanistan

00:14:14.020 do you believe

00:14:14.640 that and

00:14:15.860 number two

00:14:16.440 do you believe

00:14:17.420 that China was 0.73

00:14:18.160 doing it

00:14:18.680 I don't

00:14:21.160 know the

00:14:21.620 answer to

00:14:22.120 either question

00:14:22.780 because I

00:14:23.460 can't know

00:14:23.940 right and

00:14:24.500 even if I

00:14:24.980 saw a

00:14:25.320 report I

00:14:25.920 wouldn't

00:14:26.140 believe it

00:14:26.660 but my

00:14:28.840 personal

00:14:29.440 opinion if

00:14:30.500 I had to

00:14:30.820 put a bet

00:14:31.340 on it

00:14:31.680 without without

00:14:32.420 having much

00:14:33.340 knowledge about

00:14:33.980 it I just

00:14:34.340 had to place

00:14:34.820 a bet

00:14:35.180 Scott we're

00:14:36.660 not going to

00:14:37.000 give you any

00:14:37.440 more information

00:14:38.240 but you have

00:14:39.700 to place a

00:14:40.220 bet gun to 1.00

00:14:40.800 your head 1.00

00:14:41.100 right I

00:14:42.380 would bet

00:14:42.880 that neither

00:14:43.500 of them are

00:14:44.020 true and

00:14:45.400 the reason I

00:14:46.000 would bet that

00:14:46.540 neither of them

00:14:47.220 are true is

00:14:48.240 why would

00:14:49.620 they do

00:14:49.960 that what

00:14:52.320 would be their 0.94

00:14:52.900 national interest

00:14:53.900 in getting a

00:14:55.080 few extra 0.89

00:14:55.860 soldiers killed

00:14:57.400 in a war that

00:14:58.300 Trump desperately

00:14:59.060 wanted to get

00:14:59.800 out of and

00:15:00.940 I don't see us

00:15:01.640 escalating in

00:15:02.360 Afghanistan so 1.00

00:15:03.900 obviously our

00:15:04.920 role there was

00:15:06.160 going to you

00:15:07.000 know reduce

00:15:07.760 over time

00:15:08.340 anyway can

00:15:09.840 you imagine

00:15:10.400 that Russia or

00:15:11.440 China would 0.99

00:15:11.960 want to take a

00:15:12.620 chance on

00:15:13.140 getting caught

00:15:13.940 doing that

00:15:15.480 basically it

00:15:16.960 would be the

00:15:17.400 worst thing

00:15:17.940 you could get

00:15:18.460 caught doing

00:15:19.220 or one of

00:15:20.320 the worst

00:15:20.700 with the

00:15:22.340 smallest benefit

00:15:23.200 so would

00:15:25.020 they take the

00:15:25.600 biggest risk

00:15:26.300 you could

00:15:26.640 possibly take

00:15:27.680 for you know

00:15:28.920 foreign

00:15:29.300 interference

00:15:29.860 kinds of

00:15:30.440 stuff the

00:15:31.400 biggest risk

00:15:32.240 with the

00:15:33.300 smallest payoff

00:15:34.140 it just

00:15:36.560 doesn't make

00:15:36.940 sense to me

00:15:37.520 now maybe

00:15:38.100 you know

00:15:38.580 again given

00:15:39.600 that my

00:15:40.200 level of

00:15:40.740 knowledge on

00:15:41.240 this topic

00:15:41.720 is microscopic

00:15:42.720 somebody could

00:15:43.920 easily change

00:15:44.640 my mind and

00:15:45.280 say Scott

00:15:45.840 you don't

00:15:46.720 understand the

00:15:47.480 greater strategic

00:15:48.340 value of a

00:15:49.200 few thousand

00:15:49.700 troops in

00:15:50.300 Afghanistan for

00:15:51.220 a few extra

00:15:51.740 years to

00:15:52.960 which I would

00:15:53.400 say yeah I

00:15:54.080 don't I

00:15:55.040 really don't

00:15:55.580 understand the

00:15:56.300 strategic value

00:15:57.120 of that I

00:15:57.700 don't have any

00:15:58.260 idea what

00:15:59.440 strategic value

00:16:00.280 that would

00:16:00.660 have for a

00:16:02.660 situation that's

00:16:03.360 going to change

00:16:03.820 on its own

00:16:04.400 you don't have

00:16:05.500 to kill

00:16:05.880 something that's 0.98

00:16:06.560 already dying

00:16:07.200 and I think

00:16:08.600 China and

00:16:09.160 Russia would 0.98

00:16:09.560 have understood

00:16:10.000 that so

00:16:11.280 here's the

00:16:11.820 funny part

00:16:12.360 this probably

00:16:14.980 fake news

00:16:15.880 could be

00:16:16.700 true but

00:16:17.660 probably fake

00:16:18.440 about Russia

00:16:19.300 handicapped

00:16:21.100 Trump and

00:16:21.720 was a huge

00:16:22.560 burden to

00:16:23.140 him because

00:16:24.000 it reinforced

00:16:24.640 the story

00:16:25.320 that he was

00:16:25.860 being you

00:16:27.340 know Putin's

00:16:27.940 puppet so

00:16:29.600 Trump has

00:16:30.780 humorously

00:16:32.980 returned the

00:16:33.780 favor and

00:16:35.280 that's that's

00:16:35.900 the only way

00:16:36.340 I see this

00:16:36.840 because he

00:16:37.140 didn't really

00:16:37.720 need to release

00:16:38.680 this intelligence

00:16:39.460 right I

00:16:40.720 feel that he

00:16:41.440 released this

00:16:42.140 just as a

00:16:42.720 big F you

00:16:43.320 I think it

00:16:45.040 was just

00:16:45.660 funny and

00:16:47.140 if you can't

00:16:47.780 appreciate that

00:16:48.660 this is funny

00:16:49.440 well you don't

00:16:51.020 understand Trump

00:16:52.060 now it probably

00:16:54.040 has some

00:16:54.420 usefulness because

00:16:55.620 it's bad for the

00:16:56.360 other team

00:16:56.880 right and

00:16:57.460 it's it paints

00:16:58.820 him in a

00:16:59.180 corner but

00:17:00.320 you can't

00:17:01.200 overlook the

00:17:01.840 fact that this

00:17:02.420 is pretty funny

00:17:03.180 because it

00:17:04.740 puts Biden

00:17:05.400 in a position

00:17:06.220 that Trump

00:17:07.080 was in

00:17:07.560 also victimized

00:17:10.000 by probably

00:17:11.100 fake news

00:17:12.020 but using

00:17:13.040 the same

00:17:13.580 dynamic that

00:17:14.540 you you have

00:17:15.340 to believe the

00:17:15.800 intelligence

00:17:16.220 community if

00:17:17.560 you're the

00:17:17.820 president because

00:17:19.040 remember Biden's

00:17:20.040 the one who

00:17:20.380 says believe the

00:17:21.020 experts right

00:17:21.860 Biden is the

00:17:22.920 one who says

00:17:23.380 believe the

00:17:23.900 intelligence

00:17:24.300 reports so

00:17:25.840 now Biden's

00:17:26.620 in a trap

00:17:27.180 all of his

00:17:29.580 consistent

00:17:30.320 statements require

00:17:32.280 him to go

00:17:32.900 hard at China

00:17:33.680 and he

00:17:35.240 can't he

00:17:37.180 can't because

00:17:38.800 he's soft

00:17:39.920 on China is

00:17:40.740 almost his

00:17:41.600 brand and

00:17:42.360 then there's

00:17:42.760 the hunter

00:17:43.160 problem so

00:17:44.240 this story

00:17:44.740 feeds into

00:17:45.400 the the

00:17:45.900 hunter Biden

00:17:46.620 allegations so

00:17:47.800 perfectly that

00:17:49.220 I I have this

00:17:50.740 vision in my

00:17:51.380 head of Trump

00:17:52.220 hearing this

00:17:52.860 news for the

00:17:53.520 first time we

00:17:54.800 have these

00:17:55.140 unconfirmed

00:17:55.860 reports we

00:17:56.700 can't say for

00:17:57.420 sure but

00:17:58.480 unconfirmed

00:17:59.180 reports are

00:17:59.820 telling us that

00:18:00.520 China is paying 0.95

00:18:01.120 the Taliban to 1.00

00:18:01.860 kill kill 1.00

00:18:02.980 US troops 1.00

00:18:03.660 can you

00:18:04.560 imagine what

00:18:05.460 Trump thought

00:18:06.180 at that

00:18:06.660 moment wait

00:18:09.260 say that

00:18:10.460 again we've

00:18:11.780 got unconfirmed

00:18:12.400 reports that

00:18:12.960 China is paying 0.95

00:18:13.640 Taliban to 1.00

00:18:14.580 kill US 0.99

00:18:14.940 troops is 1.00

00:18:17.680 this my best

00:18:18.520 day ever I

00:18:20.620 feel like I

00:18:21.580 feel like it's

00:18:22.060 the best day

00:18:22.600 ever let's

00:18:24.340 put that out

00:18:24.960 there let's

00:18:26.520 let's just

00:18:27.860 sort of put

00:18:28.380 that out

00:18:28.860 there see

00:18:30.060 what happens

00:18:30.580 I've got a

00:18:33.040 feeling that

00:18:33.520 Trump laughed

00:18:34.360 out loud at

00:18:36.140 least privately

00:18:36.880 when he saw

00:18:37.780 this story and

00:18:38.580 he realized what

00:18:39.200 he could do

00:18:39.620 with it I

00:18:41.660 love that

00:18:42.320 all right

00:18:42.920 here's the

00:18:43.240 favorite

00:18:43.580 favorite story

00:18:46.060 of the day and

00:18:46.580 the reason you

00:18:47.060 signed on to

00:18:47.600 this this live

00:18:49.280 stream and you're

00:18:49.840 saying what's

00:18:50.300 taking you so

00:18:50.900 long to get to

00:18:51.600 this story so

00:18:52.340 Rudy Giuliani

00:18:53.140 tweets this he

00:18:54.700 says in a

00:18:55.300 country with a

00:18:55.960 free press you

00:18:57.360 would know

00:18:57.960 number one

00:18:58.780 the Georgia

00:18:59.700 Senate Judiciary

00:19:00.760 Committee issued

00:19:01.620 a report

00:19:02.100 demonstrating the

00:19:03.080 vote was stolen

00:19:04.080 from Trump

00:19:05.280 number two

00:19:06.600 the vote was

00:19:07.820 unanimous and

00:19:09.460 bipartisan

00:19:10.140 Democrats and

00:19:12.400 Republicans to

00:19:13.960 audit Fulton

00:19:14.840 County's absentee

00:19:15.880 ballots and

00:19:17.620 number three to

00:19:18.980 decertify Biden's

00:19:20.400 win now Rudy is

00:19:23.460 making this claim

00:19:24.240 that if we had a

00:19:24.920 free press I would

00:19:25.860 have already known

00:19:26.480 that guess what

00:19:28.440 I did not already

00:19:30.420 know that I did

00:19:32.080 not know that and

00:19:33.540 I watched a lot of

00:19:34.900 news so I said to

00:19:36.500 myself well surely

00:19:37.820 Rudy if anything

00:19:39.720 like this were true

00:19:40.960 that's going to be

00:19:42.320 on CNN I mean the

00:19:45.540 big news network

00:19:46.420 CNN you've heard of

00:19:47.520 them they're in every

00:19:48.240 airport they're going

00:19:49.620 to cover the story

00:19:50.380 because this would be

00:19:51.060 big this would be a

00:19:52.600 big deal so I went

00:19:54.440 to CNN nothing

00:19:57.340 nothing this

00:20:00.280 actually is happening

00:20:01.320 right in front of

00:20:02.980 you one of the

00:20:04.480 biggest stories of

00:20:06.080 all time of all

00:20:07.920 time if it's true by

00:20:09.120 the way we'll talk

00:20:10.040 about whether it's

00:20:10.660 true but the

00:20:11.600 allegation no

00:20:13.380 actually I take that

00:20:14.440 back that what 0.88

00:20:15.760 Rudy is saying is

00:20:16.840 just true because

00:20:18.420 there was a Senate

00:20:19.380 Judiciary Committee

00:20:20.380 that did this and

00:20:22.060 they did you know

00:20:23.460 they did want to

00:20:25.620 decertify Biden

00:20:26.540 but remember this

00:20:27.420 is only the

00:20:27.940 committee so it's

00:20:28.840 not there's no

00:20:29.680 official decertifying

00:20:30.840 going on it's just

00:20:31.500 a committee but that

00:20:32.880 part's true the

00:20:34.640 committee did that

00:20:35.500 and it is bipartisan

00:20:36.680 and they did ask

00:20:37.600 for an audit now we

00:20:38.760 don't know if the

00:20:39.260 audit will find

00:20:40.220 anything because the

00:20:41.120 way they audit may

00:20:42.000 not be the way that

00:20:42.840 you need to find

00:20:43.480 things but we'll see

00:20:45.280 so over at Fox

00:20:46.960 News it is mentioned

00:20:48.260 so Fox News did

00:20:50.820 mention it so if

00:20:52.080 you're on the right

00:20:52.920 you saw the news

00:20:55.200 if you're on the

00:20:55.820 left nothing

00:20:57.840 total blackout

00:20:59.680 but let's talk

00:21:00.740 about the claim

00:21:01.440 and let me say

00:21:05.680 this before I talk

00:21:07.180 about the details

00:21:07.880 you all saw there

00:21:08.880 was a computer

00:21:10.480 expert who gave

00:21:11.740 some testimony that

00:21:12.640 was pretty credible

00:21:14.840 and convincing we

00:21:16.480 haven't heard the

00:21:17.040 other side and you

00:21:17.960 have to before you

00:21:18.920 make a decision but

00:21:20.500 on its own it was

00:21:21.820 pretty darn convincing

00:21:22.680 I'll talk about it

00:21:23.360 in a moment but

00:21:24.340 here's the thing that

00:21:25.320 was making me laugh

00:21:26.200 this morning if the

00:21:29.020 and I tweeted this

00:21:29.920 if the alleged

00:21:30.720 election fraudsters

00:21:32.320 who the the the

00:21:35.560 news has told us

00:21:36.420 totally don't exist

00:21:37.580 right so if there

00:21:40.520 are no election

00:21:41.700 fraudsters we've been

00:21:42.960 told that by the

00:21:43.760 news so that must be

00:21:45.360 true because the

00:21:46.040 news said so so but

00:21:47.920 the alleged ones

00:21:48.800 the allegations

00:21:50.220 exist so we'll talk

00:21:51.220 about the allegations

00:21:51.960 if they exist these

00:21:54.660 election fraudsters it

00:21:56.820 feels like they made

00:21:58.600 one mistake one

00:22:02.500 little mistake you

00:22:04.720 know what the mistake

00:22:05.440 was they got nerds

00:22:08.760 interested never get

00:22:12.660 nerds interested because

00:22:15.000 because if the nerds get

00:22:16.060 interested they're

00:22:17.720 gonna find 0.99

00:22:18.140 your shit it might 1.00

00:22:20.140 take them a week it 1.00

00:22:21.780 might take them a

00:22:22.440 month it might take

00:22:23.900 them six months it

00:22:25.340 might take them ayear

00:22:26.320 might take them five

00:22:27.880 years but the nerds 0.66

00:22:30.300 they're gonna find your 1.00

00:22:31.500 shit they're gonna find 1.00

00:22:33.520 your shit because your 1.00

00:22:35.560 big mistake was making 1.00

00:22:37.500 them interested until

00:22:39.000 until they were interested, it was the perfect crime, right? Because you couldn't really detect

00:22:46.240 it with, you know, the, all of the allegations of this bunch of ballots did this, or these

00:22:52.580 ballots were destroyed, or these were fake ballots. All the ballot stuff always felt to me like,

00:23:00.340 probably not. Probably just somebody saw something and misinterpreted it, probably.

00:23:05.800 But once the nerd gets into the log file, and here's, there's something that happened here that's

00:23:14.000 way bigger than you quite realize, and I'm going to tell you what it is. And when you hear it for

00:23:19.920 the first time, if you haven't already realized this, it's gigantic. It's invisible, and it's

00:23:28.280 gigantic. And here's what it is. The reason that this alleged election fraud is so hard to get your

00:23:37.260 hands on, so hard to prove it happened or didn't happen, so hard to make a case, is because, why?

00:23:44.400 It's complicated. It's complicated. So that's reason number one. It's so complicated that

00:23:49.480 the news can't report it right. The public is confusing all the different cases. We're not sure

00:23:57.000 did the courts really hear evidence, or did they just get dismissed for other reasons? So there's

00:24:02.800 this giant fog of complexity and confusion, which allows the news to give you any narrative they want.

00:24:11.600 Because if the facts are unclear, all you have is the narrative. And the official narrative is,

00:24:18.880 yeah, look at all this fog, nothing to worry about. Nothing to worry about in all that fog. That's the

00:24:24.760 narrative, right? But then the nerds got interested. The nerds got interested. And do you know what nerds

00:24:34.260 can do? Well, they can do a lot of stuff. And by the way, if you're, again, if you're new to me,

00:24:39.400 I'm the author of the Dilbert comic strip. I love engineers. Like, literally, I freaking love

00:24:47.920 engineers. Because they have a certain way of thinking that I find totally appealing, generally

00:24:53.720 are honest to a fault, are incredibly skilled, driving the entire economic engine of the world,

00:25:03.620 most important profession, and when I say engineers, I mean technical people more widely,

00:25:08.440 most important people in the world who are not maybe medical people and scientists. And so I could

00:25:16.220 not love, I'm using the word nerds lovingly, I could not love nerds more. Because number one,

00:25:22.500 I identify with them. Number two, they're the most important people in the world. They just don't get

00:25:27.480 the attention that they should, because they don't ask for it, which is another thing that makes them

00:25:31.940 awesome. And here's what they did. And you haven't seen it yet. But when I describe it,

00:25:40.620 you're actually going to feel something physically. So get ready for this. You're going to feel this

00:25:46.460 physically. They simplified. They simplified. They brought it down to one question. Here's the

00:25:58.580 question. Is there ever a reason that the cumulative vote count could turn negative under normal,

00:26:08.640 non-hacked conditions? Because it did. So that's the part that I think they'll be able to show with

00:26:20.500 no doubt about it. That the, and indeed that's what part of the testimony was, they could show you the

00:26:26.260 cumulative count. And I believe they were looking at the logs. There must have been some logs for those.

00:26:31.080 And you can see that the total, the cumulative total, went negative for Trump. This is the claim,

00:26:39.100 by the way. So I'm not saying I saw it. This is the claim. At exactly the same amount, not approximately,

00:26:45.600 but exactly the same number that immediately went to Biden at the same time. And there's an explanation

00:26:51.180 about why it wouldn't be noticed unless you were looking for it the way that nerds looked for it.

00:26:55.300 Now, here's the important part. They took the whole ball of allegations, complexity, fog,

00:27:04.120 most of it's bullshit. Most of the allegations of voter fraud, 95% are just bullshit. And all of this, 1.00

00:27:12.700 they took down to one verifiable question. They did that. That's your fucking kraken. 0.92

00:27:23.960 Your kraken isn't big. Your kraken is that simplification. Now, it comes with data, right? 1.00

00:27:34.600 Now, you have to know that the data is right. Now, what would you expect to happen after a claim like

00:27:42.460 that? What have you seen every time? Every time there's been a claim that is that damning,

00:27:47.780 what happened within 24 hours, 48? Now, we've got a holiday here, so maybe you take a little longer.

00:27:53.960 What always happens? What always happens is a major news source will write an article

00:28:03.620 debunking it, right? Every time. Every single time. It's the process. It's obvious. The Democrats

00:28:12.000 obviously reach out to their friendly pets in the media. It's obvious that this is happening. I don't

00:28:18.120 need direct evidence of this. This is so well-known as a process. So Democrats will reach out to some

00:28:24.320 writer that they know is friendly, and they'll say, this claim is out there. Can you write a major

00:28:28.880 article that everybody will tweet around and talk about in which you debunk it? Now, if it's debunkable,

00:28:36.120 that'll happen every time. And by the way, I'm glad it happens. You shouldn't be unhappy about that.

00:28:44.820 Because if the thing can be debunked, well, yeah, I want it to be debunked. I don't want to believe some,

00:28:51.100 you know, bullshit Republican thing just because I like Trump. I want to know what actually happened. 0.98

00:28:58.080 And so I do want to see the debunk. And I would say that almost every time I've read the debunk,

00:29:05.020 the debunk sounded better than the claim. Almost every time. In fact, I can't think of an exception,

00:29:11.200 but I'm sure there were some. But this one? This one's a little different, isn't it?

00:29:18.800 It's been how long now? Now I realize there's a holiday, so that you have to calculate that.

00:29:25.120 So you don't want to get too optimistic. By later this afternoon, there could easily be a major

00:29:31.380 article that debunks it. It could say something like, oh, yes, there's a normal way that the log

00:29:38.900 could show a decrease in votes for one and an increase in the other. And it would have nothing

00:29:43.700 to do with anything fraudulent. Let us explain why this can happen or alternately, why you think it

00:29:51.120 happened, but you were looking at the data wrong? How long would it take, let's say, Dominion,

00:29:58.000 to offer the counterclaim? Or was it Dominion? I forget. I don't want to. I don't want to. Let me

00:30:04.580 take back the Dominion part, because I don't know which systems he was in. So let me withdraw that

00:30:10.740 before I get sued by Dominion. I'm not making any claim about Dominion or any particular software.

00:30:15.840 I'm just saying there was an expert who made some claims. But now it's down to just one little

00:30:23.000 question. If it's true, and here's the fun part, if it's true that this claim holds up,

00:30:31.460 this simple, simple claim that there can be no way you can ever go backwards on the cumulative vote

00:30:38.120 count. And it did happen. That's the end of the election. You get that, right? If this claim

00:30:46.180 holds, and it's one of the weird kind of claims that you can actually just look at the log,

00:30:51.480 like you don't have to guess. You can just say, what did you look at, expert? Can you show it to us?

00:30:57.780 Of course. That's the whole point. I want to show it to you. Then you look at it, and you say, okay,

00:31:04.100 there's another explanation for this observation, or there's not. Now, history tells us that this

00:31:16.840 would be more likely one other thing that's a claim that's debunked, wouldn't you say? If you just went

00:31:22.840 by the trend, and the Democrats, of course, are looking at it this way, well, the trend is it doesn't

00:31:27.520 matter what gets put forward, it's going to be debunked. But what if this one isn't?

00:31:36.080 What if it isn't? That's the end of the election. Because would you be satisfied with, oh, it looks

00:31:45.220 like there was this one county, one county where there was a hack? Nope. If the hack happened

00:31:54.140 in one place once, but these machines were used more widely, well, that's the end. You don't need

00:32:02.700 to show that the other machines were hacked. That's the end. So here's how 2021 started.

00:32:11.500 Trump won. As of the most current information in the news, Trump won the election. Now, of course,

00:32:20.220 that's different from actually taking office, because there's a process that's bigger than this

00:32:25.520 all. But as of 2021, January 1st, according to the news, Trump won. Now, that might change.

00:32:38.240 But as of today, a reasonable observer would say, based on current information, which easily could

00:32:45.820 change, right? I don't want you to lose sight of the fact that even while I'm talking, it could be

00:32:53.840 getting debunked. You all get that, right? Because later when you come to mock me for saying, you said

00:32:59.240 this was true, but it got debunked five minutes later, you hear me saying that I think that's likely,

00:33:04.340 right? Or at least possible, right? So I'm not going to be, you know, you can't debunk me by saying,

00:33:10.920 oh, it got debunked. I know that's possible. If you don't know that's possible, you should

00:33:16.640 catch up, right? But somebody says it was a drag and drop mistake. Apparently, part of the

00:33:26.220 presentation showed that the place that the vote change happened was in a place in which there's

00:33:32.600 no human intervention. So in other words, you can trace, this is the claim, not my observation,

00:33:38.380 but the claim is that you can trace the data into the system and then with no human interaction,

00:33:44.540 you can see it change and then it goes on. So any claims that there was a human error have been

00:33:52.360 erased by the nature of the claim because it couldn't be in that, within that enclosed space

00:33:58.700 there were no humans. So how do you like starting 2021 with the balance of the news saying Trump won

00:34:08.020 the election? That's an interesting way to start the year, isn't it? Now, like I said, if new

00:34:14.880 information comes in, I will modify my opinion so fast, it'll make your head spin. But at the moment,

00:34:23.620 at the moment, our current best information is that Trump won. Because like I said, even if you only

00:34:32.800 knew this problem happened in one machine, that's the end of the election, it doesn't matter. You don't

00:34:39.300 even need to look at the other ones. If you can confirm it on one, you're done. The election is

00:34:45.240 thrown out. And if it were held again, I feel like it might be a landslide for Trump. So that's fun.

00:34:52.760 There's also some news about some of the ballots that they wanted to audit or being shredded. Have you

00:35:00.980 heard that news? That Georgia is shredding some of the ballots that were part of the potential

00:35:08.440 recount. Everything I hear about physical ballots, I disbelieve. Doesn't mean it's untrue. But in terms of

00:35:17.760 how credible things are, give me the nerd every time. Give me the nerd that looked at the log.

00:35:25.040 Give me the nerd that looked at the data log and said, you want to look at it? Here, here you go.

00:35:31.860 I just looked at it. Would you like to look at it? Here you go. Now that guy is credible. Could be wrong.

00:35:38.540 Could be wrong. Doesn't mean he's right. But it's very credible. I'll tell you what is never credible.

00:35:45.440 Eyewitness report says, saw something with some ballots. Boom, I'm out. As soon as you hear

00:35:52.640 eyewitness report, it means you can't look at it, right? The nerd said, here you go. Here you go.

00:36:00.160 You can look at this every way it can be looked at. Every direction. It's all the same. But eyewitness

00:36:06.200 report? No. Don't believe anything in the eyewitness reports. Some of them will be true, but you shouldn't

00:36:12.120 believe them. Then the other thing that I'm hearing reported, I don't know what weight to put on this,

00:36:20.000 but the report is that the only place that Georgia did audit was, and this is a funny claim,

00:36:28.140 but people in Georgia are telling me this, right? So this is not my opinion. They're saying that they

00:36:33.160 audited the only honest county, and that everybody knows that's the only honest county.

00:36:38.260 So, oh, thanks for the audit. You audited the only place that people who live in Georgia would say,

00:36:44.540 uh, why are you looking in our honest county? Why don't you look at one of these? These counties

00:36:50.060 are a mess. So I don't know. I would put small weight on that, but it's a fun claim.

00:36:56.800 Um, so specifically they're saying that Cobb County was the honest county, and it's right next to Fulton

00:37:04.840 County, uh, but maybe Fulton County doesn't have quite the reputation. Now, I don't believe any of

00:37:12.260 this story. It's just a fun story, and the reason I don't believe it is that I don't believe that there's

00:37:17.380 a state that has different reputations for different counties. Is that even a thing? You know, I've lived

00:37:25.620 in two different states, and I can't think that I ever knew that one county was the bad one.

00:37:31.420 So I'm not sure I'd put any weight on that story, but it's fun. Here's another story. Uh, Antifa rioted

00:37:37.520 in Portland. It's almost like a, a rerun story. There were about a hundred rioters, and, uh, wasn't

00:37:44.660 covered on CNN. So CNN is making the, uh, the protest disappear by not covering them. So it's

00:37:51.620 going to look like, uh, Biden was, uh, you fixed all that. Fox, Fox did cover it. So here are two

00:37:58.700 stories that Fox covered, both of national interest, both important, both true, true in terms of,

00:38:07.200 you know, they reported what happened, not an interpretation of it. And it wasn't even covered

00:38:11.820 on CNN that I could, at least on their page. I don't know if they mentioned it on air.

00:38:17.420 All right, here's the weirdest idea. Do you want a really good conspiracy theory to start off 2021?

00:38:23.640 I get a good one. This is maybe the best conspiracy theory I've heard. So it's a good one to start the

00:38:31.820 year. Let me tell you that I don't believe what I'm going to say. And you probably,

00:38:37.200 shouldn't either. This falls into the category of fun conspiracy theories that are almost certainly

00:38:43.340 not true. If I had to put a weight on it, I'd say 2%. 2% likelihood of being true. Here it is.

00:38:52.760 There is a component of green tea. And this is just something from the internet, right? So nothing,

00:38:58.540 nothing too credible. There's a component in green tea that there is some science that shows

00:39:03.720 that it might protect against coronavirus. Do you see it? Yeah. So the conspiracy theory,

00:39:13.560 again, I don't believe any of this, but it's a fun one, that China designed a virus that would work 0.97

00:39:21.140 on people who don't drink green tea. Now, if you didn't know, pretty much everybody in China drinks

00:39:29.380 green tea pretty much all the time. It would be like doing it, the United States doing it for a

00:39:36.480 coffee, right? You know, you would get 90% of the people in the United States drink a caffeinated

00:39:42.820 beverage of some sort. Now, if China built a super weapon that would kill you unless you drank green

00:39:54.400 tea, it would be, yeah, somebody saying it's a EGCG is the chemical within the green tea that

00:40:01.820 is supposedly active. Now, if they did that, that would be the most evil thing I'd ever seen in my

00:40:08.520 life. But suppose they had created this virus not to release it now, but to release it in case of,

00:40:17.580 let's say, a worst case scenario for China. Let's say that China was, I don't know, under attack by

00:40:24.080 other countries. I can't imagine it because they're a nuclear power. But imagine that, you know, China is

00:40:29.040 really under attack and it's the last thing that they can do. And they release this virus

00:40:36.240 that affects everybody except green tea drinkers. And of course, they don't want to tell the Chinese 1.00

00:40:41.840 public that it's the green tea that's protecting them. Because then everybody would drink the green

00:40:48.000 tea. And then if everybody drinks it, then it doesn't work. So you'd have to not tell your own

00:40:53.840 public, just say, hey, you had your green tea lately? You sure like that green tea? Now, of course,

00:41:01.000 by any measure, that would kill 100 million people in China, too. You know, I'm just picking a number.

00:41:07.340 But I can't imagine that the green tea protection wouldn't kill 100 million Chinese people if they 1.00

00:41:13.800 just ignored the virus and didn't try to mitigate. So I don't think there's much of any chance that

00:41:20.260 there's any reality to that. But damn, would that be clever if it were true? You may have heard that 0.97

00:41:26.180 Dr. Drew has been diagnosed with the coronavirus. The irony of that is he was ready to get the

00:41:36.640 vaccination. So he got the coronavirus right before he was up for the vaccination. And, you know, he's a

00:41:45.280 doctor. So, yeah, they get stuff first. And that should be a cautionary tale, shouldn't it? Because I'm

00:41:55.040 most worried about lingering side effects from the coronavirus. I'm way less, I'm not really afraid that

00:42:01.160 it will kill me. You know, I'm going to act as though it could. I'm going to be a responsible

00:42:07.040 adult in every way I can, you know, in all the usual ways. But I'm not, I don't wake up worrying

00:42:12.940 about being dead from the coronavirus, even at my age and with, you know, some asthma and stuff. I don't

00:42:18.120 really worry about it. But I do worry about lasting effects. I think that could be a big deal. I don't

00:42:23.840 know, but I worry about it. And so when you see somebody who is that close to getting the

00:42:29.940 vaccination, but they got the virus instead, maybe that should tell you that you should be a little

00:42:40.000 more cautious for a little bit longer, at least until you get the vaccination. So that would be,

00:42:46.980 I'm not sure I'll follow my own advice there, but it's a cautionary tale. Now, the other thing I heard

00:42:51.820 about this story is that Dr. Drew was given or took a monoclonal antibody called

00:42:59.000 I think I pronounced that correctly. Let me see that again. It's called

00:43:06.540 Did you hear that? You could probably spell it just from the way I said it. Yeah, that's probably

00:43:15.260 not very close to the actual pronunciation, but it's not my fault. They come up with a name that you

00:43:19.480 can't pronounce. That's not my fault at all. Now, this was only approved, this drug in November.

00:43:25.980 And I hadn't really heard of it. The first time I saw that name of it was in relationship to the Dr.

00:43:31.700 Drew story. And it's a monoclonal antibody, and apparently it's indicated. And apparently it's a

00:43:41.500 good thing. Now, let me ask you this. If we've only been, only have the emergency authorization for this

00:43:49.780 BAM limit, but for a month, do we really know what our survival rates and death rates are? Because if

00:43:59.520 it works, it works well enough to be an emergency authorization. It must do something. Does it cut the

00:44:07.500 death rate in any appreciable way? I mean, could we see the death rate cut in half? I'm just tossing

00:44:13.920 out some ideas here. Just because in November we started using some new meds? I don't know, maybe.

00:44:22.360 Here's a question for you. How many of you know why Hong Kong belonged to Great Britain in the first

00:44:28.440 place? In the comments, how many of you have watched the slow but inevitable takeover of Hong Kong by

00:44:36.700 China and getting control over it? How many of you watched that story without knowing the backstory

00:44:42.860 of why it was that Great Britain ever owned Hong Kong in the first place?

00:44:49.100 Yeah, so some of you know it was a result of the opium wars. So I don't know a lot about history,

00:44:55.360 so I'll tell you just the high level what I know. So there was this point in, I don't know,

00:45:02.500 however many hundreds years ago it was, that the British wanted to sell opium in China, and apparently

00:45:10.320 there was a big market for it, and it was very profitable. The Chinese government said, hey,

00:45:16.760 we don't want you selling your opium here because it's destroying our whole country. Seems pretty fair,

00:45:23.980 doesn't it? So what Great Britain did was send its warships in, because I guess China grabbed a bunch 0.88

00:45:30.860 of their opium and destroyed it, sent their warships in, killed a bunch of Chinese people, 0.99

00:45:35.500 effectively conquered China, or at least, you know, the part that they cared about. And in their 0.96

00:45:43.060 negotiations, now remember, Great Britain is totally the aggressor here. They brought the opium in, 0.99

00:45:49.740 and then when China said, don't sell your opium here, and tried to stop it, they attacked China.

00:45:56.540 So that's two horrible flaws on Great Britain. Horrible flaws. Shouldn't have been selling the

00:46:04.560 opium. Shouldn't attack the country that tried to stop it. And the reason that they gave for 0.98

00:46:11.620 their defense of their selling the opium is free markets. That was their argument. Hey,

00:46:19.380 free markets are good. We should have free markets. That's why we should sell poison into your country 0.97

00:46:24.000 in large volume. China wasn't having it. So China got into war. But anyway, so Great Britain kicks their

00:46:32.000 ass, because they had more military technology at the time. So Great Britain kicks China's ass. 1.00

00:46:36.660 And in their negotiated settlement, I guess they negotiated to keep selling some opium, 1.00

00:46:43.380 which is so evil, I can't even contemplate it. But it gets worse. Not only did Great Britain bully

00:46:52.300 China to keep selling poison into their country, after killing them for trying to stop it, they said,

00:47:00.200 oh, also, you have to give us Hong Kong. What? Hong Kong had nothing to do with anything.

00:47:09.580 Hong Kong was just a valuable island. And Great Britain, those bastards, just forced China to give 1.00

00:47:20.200 them Hong Kong? Now, replay what you've been hearing in the news about China wresting control of Hong Kong. 1.00

00:47:29.080 Now, of course, we feel bad for the citizens of Hong Kong, because they were just born into a 1.00

00:47:34.540 situation, they thought they had a certain amount of freedoms, and they're being ripped away from

00:47:38.060 them. But can you blame China? Really? Can you blame China? For wanting Hong Kong back and getting

00:47:49.320 it? Now, of course, the way they did it, you can you can criticize them, of course. But Great Britain has

00:47:56.820 some questions to answer. Number one, I'm talking to you, China, because I know you're listening.

00:48:03.480 China, do you understand that it wasn't wasn't too different in timing? The time that China hated Great

00:48:14.380 Britain and wanted it to stop doing what it was doing was roughly the same time, I mean, in long

00:48:21.140 historical context, that the United States was fighting an American Revolution, because Great 1.00

00:48:27.140 Britain is a bunch of bastards. China, do you not know, we hated their guts as much as you did, 1.00

00:48:34.660 when that was happening? Because if China, you're getting back at the United States, 0.95

00:48:41.100 because we what we look like people from Great Britain, in many cases? Is that why? If if that's

00:48:49.700 why you're shipping us fentanyl, it's a revenge for the opium wars, you're shipping it to the wrong

00:48:55.100 country. So let me just suggest this. If you're looking for revenge, you should you should ship

00:49:00.620 every bit of that to Great Britain, every bit of it. All right, if you're looking for some historical

00:49:06.500 revenge. I don't believe that that's the case. I think that China just does whatever looks like 0.96

00:49:11.920 it's going to work. I don't think it's historical revenge. It's just things work or they don't work,

00:49:17.760 and they're going to do what works. That's what I think. I don't know what this means. But in the

00:49:25.040 comments, somebody said, send it to Scotland, it won't make a dent there. I don't even know what

00:49:29.860 that means. But it's funny. Send your fentanyl to Scotland, it won't make a dent. No idea what that

00:49:35.740 means. It's still funny. All right. So it's good to have a little historical context on that.

00:49:44.360 And that is my show for the day. One of the best, I think. Would you say it's my best live stream of

00:49:52.920 the entire year so far? Yeah, I think so. And I think it's not too late to do more dad jokes about

00:49:59.740 the new year. Oh, I got a few more. I'll be trotting them out later today. So let me say this.

00:50:08.660 Oh, train spotting. Okay, I got the reference now. Got it. I think the reference to Scotland is that

00:50:16.340 they're so drugged out and drunk that they wouldn't know the difference, which is hilarious.

00:50:22.600 I'm not making that claim. It's just a funny claim. So I'm part Scottish, so I can say that.

00:50:29.480 All right, that's all for now. I will talk to you tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 01, 2021

Episode 1238 Scott Adams： Looks Like Trump Won, Based on Latest News Out of Georgia. Will That Change？

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