Episode 1238 Scott Adams： Looks Like Trump Won, Based on Latest News Out of Georgia. Will That Change？
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Summary
Jack Posavik talks about his plans for the new year and why he doesn't plan on using social media in 2021. Plus, a story about a man who thought he was going to propose to his girlfriend in Times Square and did it on camera.
Transcript
00:00:12.740
Let me tell you, you didn't like 2020, did you?
00:00:50.560
a tank or chalice or a stand, a canteen, jug or a flask
00:22:39.000
until they were interested, it was the perfect crime, right? Because you couldn't really detect
00:22:46.240
it with, you know, the, all of the allegations of this bunch of ballots did this, or these
00:22:52.580
ballots were destroyed, or these were fake ballots. All the ballot stuff always felt to me like,
00:23:00.340
probably not. Probably just somebody saw something and misinterpreted it, probably.
00:23:05.800
But once the nerd gets into the log file, and here's, there's something that happened here that's
00:23:14.000
way bigger than you quite realize, and I'm going to tell you what it is. And when you hear it for
00:23:19.920
the first time, if you haven't already realized this, it's gigantic. It's invisible, and it's
00:23:28.280
gigantic. And here's what it is. The reason that this alleged election fraud is so hard to get your
00:23:37.260
hands on, so hard to prove it happened or didn't happen, so hard to make a case, is because, why?
00:23:44.400
It's complicated. It's complicated. So that's reason number one. It's so complicated that
00:23:49.480
the news can't report it right. The public is confusing all the different cases. We're not sure
00:23:57.000
did the courts really hear evidence, or did they just get dismissed for other reasons? So there's
00:24:02.800
this giant fog of complexity and confusion, which allows the news to give you any narrative they want.
00:24:11.600
Because if the facts are unclear, all you have is the narrative. And the official narrative is,
00:24:18.880
yeah, look at all this fog, nothing to worry about. Nothing to worry about in all that fog. That's the
00:24:24.760
narrative, right? But then the nerds got interested. The nerds got interested. And do you know what nerds
00:24:34.260
can do? Well, they can do a lot of stuff. And by the way, if you're, again, if you're new to me,
00:24:39.400
I'm the author of the Dilbert comic strip. I love engineers. Like, literally, I freaking love
00:24:47.920
engineers. Because they have a certain way of thinking that I find totally appealing, generally
00:24:53.720
are honest to a fault, are incredibly skilled, driving the entire economic engine of the world,
00:25:03.620
most important profession, and when I say engineers, I mean technical people more widely,
00:25:08.440
most important people in the world who are not maybe medical people and scientists. And so I could
00:25:16.220
not love, I'm using the word nerds lovingly, I could not love nerds more. Because number one,
00:25:22.500
I identify with them. Number two, they're the most important people in the world. They just don't get
00:25:27.480
the attention that they should, because they don't ask for it, which is another thing that makes them
00:25:31.940
awesome. And here's what they did. And you haven't seen it yet. But when I describe it,
00:25:40.620
you're actually going to feel something physically. So get ready for this. You're going to feel this
00:25:46.460
physically. They simplified. They simplified. They brought it down to one question. Here's the
00:25:58.580
question. Is there ever a reason that the cumulative vote count could turn negative under normal,
00:26:08.640
non-hacked conditions? Because it did. So that's the part that I think they'll be able to show with
00:26:20.500
no doubt about it. That the, and indeed that's what part of the testimony was, they could show you the
00:26:26.260
cumulative count. And I believe they were looking at the logs. There must have been some logs for those.
00:26:31.080
And you can see that the total, the cumulative total, went negative for Trump. This is the claim,
00:26:39.100
by the way. So I'm not saying I saw it. This is the claim. At exactly the same amount, not approximately,
00:26:45.600
but exactly the same number that immediately went to Biden at the same time. And there's an explanation
00:26:51.180
about why it wouldn't be noticed unless you were looking for it the way that nerds looked for it.
00:26:55.300
Now, here's the important part. They took the whole ball of allegations, complexity, fog,
00:27:04.120
most of it's bullshit. Most of the allegations of voter fraud, 95% are just bullshit. And all of this,
00:27:12.700
they took down to one verifiable question. They did that. That's your fucking kraken.
00:27:23.960
Your kraken isn't big. Your kraken is that simplification. Now, it comes with data, right?
00:27:34.600
Now, you have to know that the data is right. Now, what would you expect to happen after a claim like
00:27:42.460
that? What have you seen every time? Every time there's been a claim that is that damning,
00:27:47.780
what happened within 24 hours, 48? Now, we've got a holiday here, so maybe you take a little longer.
00:27:53.960
What always happens? What always happens is a major news source will write an article
00:28:03.620
debunking it, right? Every time. Every single time. It's the process. It's obvious. The Democrats
00:28:12.000
obviously reach out to their friendly pets in the media. It's obvious that this is happening. I don't
00:28:18.120
need direct evidence of this. This is so well-known as a process. So Democrats will reach out to some
00:28:24.320
writer that they know is friendly, and they'll say, this claim is out there. Can you write a major
00:28:28.880
article that everybody will tweet around and talk about in which you debunk it? Now, if it's debunkable,
00:28:36.120
that'll happen every time. And by the way, I'm glad it happens. You shouldn't be unhappy about that.
00:28:44.820
Because if the thing can be debunked, well, yeah, I want it to be debunked. I don't want to believe some,
00:28:51.100
you know, bullshit Republican thing just because I like Trump. I want to know what actually happened.
00:28:58.080
And so I do want to see the debunk. And I would say that almost every time I've read the debunk,
00:29:05.020
the debunk sounded better than the claim. Almost every time. In fact, I can't think of an exception,
00:29:11.200
but I'm sure there were some. But this one? This one's a little different, isn't it?
00:29:18.800
It's been how long now? Now I realize there's a holiday, so that you have to calculate that.
00:29:25.120
So you don't want to get too optimistic. By later this afternoon, there could easily be a major
00:29:31.380
article that debunks it. It could say something like, oh, yes, there's a normal way that the log
00:29:38.900
could show a decrease in votes for one and an increase in the other. And it would have nothing
00:29:43.700
to do with anything fraudulent. Let us explain why this can happen or alternately, why you think it
00:29:51.120
happened, but you were looking at the data wrong? How long would it take, let's say, Dominion,
00:29:58.000
to offer the counterclaim? Or was it Dominion? I forget. I don't want to. I don't want to. Let me
00:30:04.580
take back the Dominion part, because I don't know which systems he was in. So let me withdraw that
00:30:10.740
before I get sued by Dominion. I'm not making any claim about Dominion or any particular software.
00:30:15.840
I'm just saying there was an expert who made some claims. But now it's down to just one little
00:30:23.000
question. If it's true, and here's the fun part, if it's true that this claim holds up,
00:30:31.460
this simple, simple claim that there can be no way you can ever go backwards on the cumulative vote
00:30:38.120
count. And it did happen. That's the end of the election. You get that, right? If this claim
00:30:46.180
holds, and it's one of the weird kind of claims that you can actually just look at the log,
00:30:51.480
like you don't have to guess. You can just say, what did you look at, expert? Can you show it to us?
00:30:57.780
Of course. That's the whole point. I want to show it to you. Then you look at it, and you say, okay,
00:31:04.100
there's another explanation for this observation, or there's not. Now, history tells us that this
00:31:16.840
would be more likely one other thing that's a claim that's debunked, wouldn't you say? If you just went
00:31:22.840
by the trend, and the Democrats, of course, are looking at it this way, well, the trend is it doesn't
00:31:27.520
matter what gets put forward, it's going to be debunked. But what if this one isn't?
00:31:36.080
What if it isn't? That's the end of the election. Because would you be satisfied with, oh, it looks
00:31:45.220
like there was this one county, one county where there was a hack? Nope. If the hack happened
00:31:54.140
in one place once, but these machines were used more widely, well, that's the end. You don't need
00:32:02.700
to show that the other machines were hacked. That's the end. So here's how 2021 started.
00:32:11.500
Trump won. As of the most current information in the news, Trump won the election. Now, of course,
00:32:20.220
that's different from actually taking office, because there's a process that's bigger than this
00:32:25.520
all. But as of 2021, January 1st, according to the news, Trump won. Now, that might change.
00:32:38.240
But as of today, a reasonable observer would say, based on current information, which easily could
00:32:45.820
change, right? I don't want you to lose sight of the fact that even while I'm talking, it could be
00:32:53.840
getting debunked. You all get that, right? Because later when you come to mock me for saying, you said
00:32:59.240
this was true, but it got debunked five minutes later, you hear me saying that I think that's likely,
00:33:04.340
right? Or at least possible, right? So I'm not going to be, you know, you can't debunk me by saying,
00:33:10.920
oh, it got debunked. I know that's possible. If you don't know that's possible, you should
00:33:16.640
catch up, right? But somebody says it was a drag and drop mistake. Apparently, part of the
00:33:26.220
presentation showed that the place that the vote change happened was in a place in which there's
00:33:32.600
no human intervention. So in other words, you can trace, this is the claim, not my observation,
00:33:38.380
but the claim is that you can trace the data into the system and then with no human interaction,
00:33:44.540
you can see it change and then it goes on. So any claims that there was a human error have been
00:33:52.360
erased by the nature of the claim because it couldn't be in that, within that enclosed space
00:33:58.700
there were no humans. So how do you like starting 2021 with the balance of the news saying Trump won
00:34:08.020
the election? That's an interesting way to start the year, isn't it? Now, like I said, if new
00:34:14.880
information comes in, I will modify my opinion so fast, it'll make your head spin. But at the moment,
00:34:23.620
at the moment, our current best information is that Trump won. Because like I said, even if you only
00:34:32.800
knew this problem happened in one machine, that's the end of the election, it doesn't matter. You don't
00:34:39.300
even need to look at the other ones. If you can confirm it on one, you're done. The election is
00:34:45.240
thrown out. And if it were held again, I feel like it might be a landslide for Trump. So that's fun.
00:34:52.760
There's also some news about some of the ballots that they wanted to audit or being shredded. Have you
00:35:00.980
heard that news? That Georgia is shredding some of the ballots that were part of the potential
00:35:08.440
recount. Everything I hear about physical ballots, I disbelieve. Doesn't mean it's untrue. But in terms of
00:35:17.760
how credible things are, give me the nerd every time. Give me the nerd that looked at the log.
00:35:25.040
Give me the nerd that looked at the data log and said, you want to look at it? Here, here you go.
00:35:31.860
I just looked at it. Would you like to look at it? Here you go. Now that guy is credible. Could be wrong.
00:35:38.540
Could be wrong. Doesn't mean he's right. But it's very credible. I'll tell you what is never credible.
00:35:45.440
Eyewitness report says, saw something with some ballots. Boom, I'm out. As soon as you hear
00:35:52.640
eyewitness report, it means you can't look at it, right? The nerd said, here you go. Here you go.
00:36:00.160
You can look at this every way it can be looked at. Every direction. It's all the same. But eyewitness
00:36:06.200
report? No. Don't believe anything in the eyewitness reports. Some of them will be true, but you shouldn't
00:36:12.120
believe them. Then the other thing that I'm hearing reported, I don't know what weight to put on this,
00:36:20.000
but the report is that the only place that Georgia did audit was, and this is a funny claim,
00:36:28.140
but people in Georgia are telling me this, right? So this is not my opinion. They're saying that they
00:36:33.160
audited the only honest county, and that everybody knows that's the only honest county.
00:36:38.260
So, oh, thanks for the audit. You audited the only place that people who live in Georgia would say,
00:36:44.540
uh, why are you looking in our honest county? Why don't you look at one of these? These counties
00:36:50.060
are a mess. So I don't know. I would put small weight on that, but it's a fun claim.
00:36:56.800
Um, so specifically they're saying that Cobb County was the honest county, and it's right next to Fulton
00:37:04.840
County, uh, but maybe Fulton County doesn't have quite the reputation. Now, I don't believe any of
00:37:12.260
this story. It's just a fun story, and the reason I don't believe it is that I don't believe that there's
00:37:17.380
a state that has different reputations for different counties. Is that even a thing? You know, I've lived
00:37:25.620
in two different states, and I can't think that I ever knew that one county was the bad one.
00:37:31.420
So I'm not sure I'd put any weight on that story, but it's fun. Here's another story. Uh, Antifa rioted
00:37:37.520
in Portland. It's almost like a, a rerun story. There were about a hundred rioters, and, uh, wasn't
00:37:44.660
covered on CNN. So CNN is making the, uh, the protest disappear by not covering them. So it's
00:37:51.620
going to look like, uh, Biden was, uh, you fixed all that. Fox, Fox did cover it. So here are two
00:37:58.700
stories that Fox covered, both of national interest, both important, both true, true in terms of,
00:38:07.200
you know, they reported what happened, not an interpretation of it. And it wasn't even covered
00:38:11.820
on CNN that I could, at least on their page. I don't know if they mentioned it on air.
00:38:17.420
All right, here's the weirdest idea. Do you want a really good conspiracy theory to start off 2021?
00:38:23.640
I get a good one. This is maybe the best conspiracy theory I've heard. So it's a good one to start the
00:38:31.820
year. Let me tell you that I don't believe what I'm going to say. And you probably,
00:38:37.200
shouldn't either. This falls into the category of fun conspiracy theories that are almost certainly
00:38:43.340
not true. If I had to put a weight on it, I'd say 2%. 2% likelihood of being true. Here it is.
00:38:52.760
There is a component of green tea. And this is just something from the internet, right? So nothing,
00:38:58.540
nothing too credible. There's a component in green tea that there is some science that shows
00:39:03.720
that it might protect against coronavirus. Do you see it? Yeah. So the conspiracy theory,
00:39:13.560
again, I don't believe any of this, but it's a fun one, that China designed a virus that would work
00:39:21.140
on people who don't drink green tea. Now, if you didn't know, pretty much everybody in China drinks
00:39:29.380
green tea pretty much all the time. It would be like doing it, the United States doing it for a
00:39:36.480
coffee, right? You know, you would get 90% of the people in the United States drink a caffeinated
00:39:42.820
beverage of some sort. Now, if China built a super weapon that would kill you unless you drank green
00:39:54.400
tea, it would be, yeah, somebody saying it's a EGCG is the chemical within the green tea that
00:40:01.820
is supposedly active. Now, if they did that, that would be the most evil thing I'd ever seen in my
00:40:08.520
life. But suppose they had created this virus not to release it now, but to release it in case of,
00:40:17.580
let's say, a worst case scenario for China. Let's say that China was, I don't know, under attack by
00:40:24.080
other countries. I can't imagine it because they're a nuclear power. But imagine that, you know, China is
00:40:29.040
really under attack and it's the last thing that they can do. And they release this virus
00:40:36.240
that affects everybody except green tea drinkers. And of course, they don't want to tell the Chinese
00:40:41.840
public that it's the green tea that's protecting them. Because then everybody would drink the green
00:40:48.000
tea. And then if everybody drinks it, then it doesn't work. So you'd have to not tell your own
00:40:53.840
public, just say, hey, you had your green tea lately? You sure like that green tea? Now, of course,
00:41:01.000
by any measure, that would kill 100 million people in China, too. You know, I'm just picking a number.
00:41:07.340
But I can't imagine that the green tea protection wouldn't kill 100 million Chinese people if they
00:41:13.800
just ignored the virus and didn't try to mitigate. So I don't think there's much of any chance that
00:41:20.260
there's any reality to that. But damn, would that be clever if it were true? You may have heard that
00:41:26.180
Dr. Drew has been diagnosed with the coronavirus. The irony of that is he was ready to get the
00:41:36.640
vaccination. So he got the coronavirus right before he was up for the vaccination. And, you know, he's a
00:41:45.280
doctor. So, yeah, they get stuff first. And that should be a cautionary tale, shouldn't it? Because I'm
00:41:55.040
most worried about lingering side effects from the coronavirus. I'm way less, I'm not really afraid that
00:42:01.160
it will kill me. You know, I'm going to act as though it could. I'm going to be a responsible
00:42:07.040
adult in every way I can, you know, in all the usual ways. But I'm not, I don't wake up worrying
00:42:12.940
about being dead from the coronavirus, even at my age and with, you know, some asthma and stuff. I don't
00:42:18.120
really worry about it. But I do worry about lasting effects. I think that could be a big deal. I don't
00:42:23.840
know, but I worry about it. And so when you see somebody who is that close to getting the
00:42:29.940
vaccination, but they got the virus instead, maybe that should tell you that you should be a little
00:42:40.000
more cautious for a little bit longer, at least until you get the vaccination. So that would be,
00:42:46.980
I'm not sure I'll follow my own advice there, but it's a cautionary tale. Now, the other thing I heard
00:42:51.820
about this story is that Dr. Drew was given or took a monoclonal antibody called
00:42:59.000
I think I pronounced that correctly. Let me see that again. It's called
00:43:06.540
Did you hear that? You could probably spell it just from the way I said it. Yeah, that's probably
00:43:15.260
not very close to the actual pronunciation, but it's not my fault. They come up with a name that you
00:43:19.480
can't pronounce. That's not my fault at all. Now, this was only approved, this drug in November.
00:43:25.980
And I hadn't really heard of it. The first time I saw that name of it was in relationship to the Dr.
00:43:31.700
Drew story. And it's a monoclonal antibody, and apparently it's indicated. And apparently it's a
00:43:41.500
good thing. Now, let me ask you this. If we've only been, only have the emergency authorization for this
00:43:49.780
BAM limit, but for a month, do we really know what our survival rates and death rates are? Because if
00:43:59.520
it works, it works well enough to be an emergency authorization. It must do something. Does it cut the
00:44:07.500
death rate in any appreciable way? I mean, could we see the death rate cut in half? I'm just tossing
00:44:13.920
out some ideas here. Just because in November we started using some new meds? I don't know, maybe.
00:44:22.360
Here's a question for you. How many of you know why Hong Kong belonged to Great Britain in the first
00:44:28.440
place? In the comments, how many of you have watched the slow but inevitable takeover of Hong Kong by
00:44:36.700
China and getting control over it? How many of you watched that story without knowing the backstory
00:44:42.860
of why it was that Great Britain ever owned Hong Kong in the first place?
00:44:49.100
Yeah, so some of you know it was a result of the opium wars. So I don't know a lot about history,
00:44:55.360
so I'll tell you just the high level what I know. So there was this point in, I don't know,
00:45:02.500
however many hundreds years ago it was, that the British wanted to sell opium in China, and apparently
00:45:10.320
there was a big market for it, and it was very profitable. The Chinese government said, hey,
00:45:16.760
we don't want you selling your opium here because it's destroying our whole country. Seems pretty fair,
00:45:23.980
doesn't it? So what Great Britain did was send its warships in, because I guess China grabbed a bunch
00:45:30.860
of their opium and destroyed it, sent their warships in, killed a bunch of Chinese people,
00:45:35.500
effectively conquered China, or at least, you know, the part that they cared about. And in their
00:45:43.060
negotiations, now remember, Great Britain is totally the aggressor here. They brought the opium in,
00:45:49.740
and then when China said, don't sell your opium here, and tried to stop it, they attacked China.
00:45:56.540
So that's two horrible flaws on Great Britain. Horrible flaws. Shouldn't have been selling the
00:46:04.560
opium. Shouldn't attack the country that tried to stop it. And the reason that they gave for
00:46:11.620
their defense of their selling the opium is free markets. That was their argument. Hey,
00:46:19.380
free markets are good. We should have free markets. That's why we should sell poison into your country
00:46:24.000
in large volume. China wasn't having it. So China got into war. But anyway, so Great Britain kicks their
00:46:32.000
ass, because they had more military technology at the time. So Great Britain kicks China's ass.
00:46:36.660
And in their negotiated settlement, I guess they negotiated to keep selling some opium,
00:46:43.380
which is so evil, I can't even contemplate it. But it gets worse. Not only did Great Britain bully
00:46:52.300
China to keep selling poison into their country, after killing them for trying to stop it, they said,
00:47:00.200
oh, also, you have to give us Hong Kong. What? Hong Kong had nothing to do with anything.
00:47:09.580
Hong Kong was just a valuable island. And Great Britain, those bastards, just forced China to give
00:47:20.200
them Hong Kong? Now, replay what you've been hearing in the news about China wresting control of Hong Kong.
00:47:29.080
Now, of course, we feel bad for the citizens of Hong Kong, because they were just born into a
00:47:34.540
situation, they thought they had a certain amount of freedoms, and they're being ripped away from
00:47:38.060
them. But can you blame China? Really? Can you blame China? For wanting Hong Kong back and getting
00:47:49.320
it? Now, of course, the way they did it, you can you can criticize them, of course. But Great Britain has
00:47:56.820
some questions to answer. Number one, I'm talking to you, China, because I know you're listening.
00:48:03.480
China, do you understand that it wasn't wasn't too different in timing? The time that China hated Great
00:48:14.380
Britain and wanted it to stop doing what it was doing was roughly the same time, I mean, in long
00:48:21.140
historical context, that the United States was fighting an American Revolution, because Great
00:48:27.140
Britain is a bunch of bastards. China, do you not know, we hated their guts as much as you did,
00:48:34.660
when that was happening? Because if China, you're getting back at the United States,
00:48:41.100
because we what we look like people from Great Britain, in many cases? Is that why? If if that's
00:48:49.700
why you're shipping us fentanyl, it's a revenge for the opium wars, you're shipping it to the wrong
00:48:55.100
country. So let me just suggest this. If you're looking for revenge, you should you should ship
00:49:00.620
every bit of that to Great Britain, every bit of it. All right, if you're looking for some historical
00:49:06.500
revenge. I don't believe that that's the case. I think that China just does whatever looks like
00:49:11.920
it's going to work. I don't think it's historical revenge. It's just things work or they don't work,
00:49:17.760
and they're going to do what works. That's what I think. I don't know what this means. But in the
00:49:25.040
comments, somebody said, send it to Scotland, it won't make a dent there. I don't even know what
00:49:29.860
that means. But it's funny. Send your fentanyl to Scotland, it won't make a dent. No idea what that
00:49:35.740
means. It's still funny. All right. So it's good to have a little historical context on that.
00:49:44.360
And that is my show for the day. One of the best, I think. Would you say it's my best live stream of
00:49:52.920
the entire year so far? Yeah, I think so. And I think it's not too late to do more dad jokes about
00:49:59.740
the new year. Oh, I got a few more. I'll be trotting them out later today. So let me say this.
00:50:08.660
Oh, train spotting. Okay, I got the reference now. Got it. I think the reference to Scotland is that
00:50:16.340
they're so drugged out and drunk that they wouldn't know the difference, which is hilarious.
00:50:22.600
I'm not making that claim. It's just a funny claim. So I'm part Scottish, so I can say that.
00:50:29.480
All right, that's all for now. I will talk to you tomorrow.