Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1297 Scott Adams： Bombing Syria, The Obesity-Virus Pandemic, and How Not to ＂Log Off＂ on Zoom

00:00:00.000 hey everybody come on in it's time it's time for coffee with scott adams best time of the day and

00:00:11.760 it'll be one of the best ones ever yeah hey omar dr funk juice you too good morning everybody

00:00:20.200 and if you'd like to enjoy today to its maximum potential and i know you would all you need is

00:00:25.900 a cuppa mug or glass a tank of chalice at times canteen jogger flask vessel of any kind fill it

00:00:30.500 with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the in parallel pleasure dopamine hit

00:00:36.860 of the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and people all

00:00:42.880 over the world will be joining in right now go

00:00:47.120 yeah yep that's the stuff that's oh you can feel it just going down and making yourself healthier

00:00:57.260 as you as you digest really good stuff well you want to talk about all the interesting things in

00:01:03.560 the news i know you do i know you do but first a question for you what value do i uh do i produce

00:01:15.480 that would make you want to watch this in the era of being after trump now when trump was in office

00:01:23.740 a lot of people were watching me for my trump persuasion and other comments about him but why

00:01:29.900 would you watch now i'll tell you what i'm going to try to do and i'll look for some feedback on this

00:01:37.840 i'm going to try to make sure that anytime you watch me you're increasing your talent stack in other

00:01:44.460 words i'm going to try to talk about what's happening in the news but that won't be the main

00:01:49.880 thing the main thing will be to try to get you to understand it better by improving your talent stack

00:01:56.840 so i'm going to make you more effective in your life not just informed that will be

00:02:03.620 my my goal so if you're wondering why to watch this it will be because the people who do are getting

00:02:09.680 smarter and better every single day and by the way i think a lot of you will confirm that that's true

00:02:16.500 uh in the comments while i'm talking about other things for those of you who are newer tell me if

00:02:23.720 you think you've gotten anything valuable from watching me for however long you've watched me

00:02:29.360 and that'll tell the other people what's up all right uh biden decided to bomb some factions in

00:02:39.540 syria that are being funded and supported by iran in response to iranian proxies hurting uh at least

00:02:48.340 one contractor in an attack two weeks ago now i would like to say that this is a good move

00:02:55.500 by biden now if you're if you're tuning into me to watch me say bad things about democrats

00:03:01.980 and good things about republicans i'm not going to do that nothing like that will ever happen here

00:03:08.340 i'm just going to talk about what works and what doesn't and you can you can play the politics yourself

00:03:14.080 when when trump and pence won in 2016 i talked about the what i call the new ceo move

00:03:23.460 which is how you establish who you are when a new ceo is uh is hired they'll often do something

00:03:31.080 big and splashy right off the bat they'll uh maybe fire some executives who needed it they'll

00:03:37.140 reorganize some things but the idea is to establish who you are as the new leader right off the bat

00:03:44.840 because your first impression just has all this power forever whoever you are on day one it's going

00:03:51.440 to be hard to change that so you want to get it right in the beginning so pence and trump did that

00:03:57.320 when they started going talking to ford and carrier when when they first got elected before they'd even

00:04:03.260 been sworn in it was really really good first move uh ceo kind of play and then trump did it again

00:04:11.320 when he fired all of his cruise missiles into that airport in syria uh to give russia a little bit of a

00:04:19.120 tap on the shoulder now people watching it said wow that might even be sort of an overreaction or

00:04:26.460 wow trump sure went military quickly but it was a good positioning attack because it said

00:04:35.820 oh yeah and it was also the mother of all bombs in afghanistan and i believe that trump played that

00:04:41.840 exactly right by establishing right up front you don't know what i'm going to do which he would say

00:04:48.460 that directly you can't predict what i'm going to do but you did see me drop that mother of all bombs

00:04:54.600 and you did see me attack that airport so just be warned you don't know what i'm going to do but it

00:05:02.820 could definitely include lots of violence that is exactly the positioning you want now biden comes in

00:05:11.180 and of course our adversaries adversaries are going to be poking them they're going to find out hey do

00:05:16.040 we have a little more a little more freedom under this new president are we going to be able to get a

00:05:20.260 little get away with a little bit more and biden has now sent the following message no no you can't

00:05:29.680 now i know what you're thinking was biden even involved in the decision is he so mentally degraded that

00:05:36.680 it's his staff who's making the decisions i don't think it matters that much in this context because

00:05:44.780 whether it's biden calling all the shots or some biden cartel collectively making decisions it looks

00:05:53.440 the same the the message is the same which is if you mess with the united states there will be violence

00:06:00.220 there will be violence there will be a response now i heard somebody on twitter say uh why do you

00:06:07.180 wait so long two weeks that's also perfect waiting two weeks to do your attack perfect because it also

00:06:16.280 sends the following message you don't know when it's going to come we're not going to forget it

00:06:22.360 it's coming might be today might be in two weeks but the one thing you can be sure of

00:06:28.920 it's coming now of course you want to do it right so it might take a few weeks to pick the right target

00:06:34.400 and get the right assets in place and all that so i'm going to give biden an a plus for um for

00:06:42.800 handling this situation so far anybody disagree would it would anybody disagree with that grade now

00:06:51.520 there there's a secondary question and maybe it's not a secondary maybe it should be primary some would

00:06:57.080 argue the rand paul position that there's no authorization for this attack and the president

00:07:04.160 can't just start a war basically can't just attack another country and i think that that position needs

00:07:12.640 our full respect in fact uh rand paul's position is not unlike jen saki's uh position just a few years

00:07:22.960 ago when trump was doing it and where she criticized trump trump for attacking syria basically not

00:07:30.140 authorized all the rest now here's an interesting thing i don't really understand the whole situation

00:07:39.280 with executive orders do you do any of you understand what's going on with let's say the

00:07:45.780 whole body of executive orders over the last few years because i don't quite understand

00:07:50.800 how the president can just sort of

00:07:54.440 do stuff that you thought congress was supposed to do how does the president just decide to just do

00:08:03.120 it himself and then people obey it why do they obey it why does anybody obey an executive order now i

00:08:11.340 know that there's different kinds there's some executive orders that are just a clarification on an

00:08:16.880 existing law and that's perfectly fine everybody's okay with that somebody has to clarify the law

00:08:23.580 right it's fair fair game maybe the courts have to do it if people don't like how the president did it but

00:08:29.260 it's a good process but what happens when the president does something with an executive order that the

00:08:35.680 constitution didn't quite foresee do we let that happen i feel as if and this is just speculation i need

00:08:45.840 somebody smart to tell me how wrong this is because it's probably pretty wrong but it feels like the country

00:08:51.880 has a great um let's say a great flexibility with how they treat the executive the president when congress

00:09:01.420 isn't effective because congress has such a low rating that we're happy when anything gets done you know you you see your

00:09:10.840 government make a decision and then implement it and it goes well uh it's hard to disagree with it

00:09:18.100 because the alternative would have been to take it to congress and nothing happens and it's a big fight

00:09:23.500 and nothing good happens so it feels as if um it feels as if

00:09:30.200 people are just sort of okay with executive orders because the alternative looks worse

00:09:37.300 which is to depend on congress for making decisions so are we sort of drifting toward a dictatorship

00:09:45.420 because people prefer it because the alternative is being incompetent having congress muddle around

00:09:52.640 yeah now the problem of course is that if you take it too far let's say for example this latest

00:10:00.640 bombing attack let's say that when trump did it and also when biden did it that let's say it was

00:10:06.000 extra constitutional meaning the constitution doesn't quite support this act but what if the country

00:10:13.780 does yeah the country might support it and by majority so i don't know it feels like it could be

00:10:23.160 dangerous but on the other hand i like it when it happens generally i like it when something happens

00:10:28.920 so i i think i do i do like our presidents including biden to have some executive order power

00:10:36.640 now the congress and rand paul and i think rand paul is a is a great asset to the country by pushing

00:10:44.320 back on it because you don't want the executive orders without the pushback right anytime this happens

00:10:51.200 even if you like the executive order don't you have to also like that rand paul is pushing against it

00:10:57.640 you could like both of those things because they're they work together pretty well it keeps the

00:11:03.620 executive orders maybe a little bit constrained because there's some pushback but you still get

00:11:08.520 to do them when they're important it's kind of perfect so thank you to rand paul for pushing back

00:11:15.300 but at the same time i kind of like this i like this action in terms of national security

00:11:21.560 i've told you before that uh it's handy to have a story of you here's the helpful part of my

00:11:29.980 broadcast you should always have a heroic story of you which is the the sort of the imaginary story

00:11:40.160 you have in your mind of who you are character wise or who you are capability wise or or who you are

00:11:48.100 basically just who you are and i've told you before that my story and i'm going to add to this in a bit

00:11:53.400 but the the personal story that i keep running as a little loop in my mind and always have is what i

00:12:01.100 call prisoner island and prisoner island imagines that there's some island where all the prisoners go

00:12:08.940 and there's no there's no law there they just are dropped on the island and there's no guards or

00:12:15.020 anything it's just a prisoner society so it's pretty rugged there so i get convicted of something

00:12:21.000 and i'm dropped by helicopter onto the prisoner island well australia is a little bigger so you

00:12:29.040 know that that doesn't work for my story but imagine it's a smallish smallish island and all the

00:12:33.460 prisoners know each other and stuff now on day one if you drop me in prisoner island how am i going to do

00:12:42.520 not so well right because i'm not physically large etc so the prisoners would beat me up and rape me 0.71

00:12:52.440 day one day two prisoners would beat me up and rape me again day three day four are going to look a lot 0.97

00:13:00.680 alike beaten up raped beaten up raped three or four months go by beaten up raped but here's here's the 0.98

00:13:10.380 the uh the prisoner island story it's a story i run in my head come back in a year come back in a year 0.99

00:13:19.760 in a year i'm going to run the island and everybody who touched me will be dead but you have to wait a

00:13:26.680 year day one won't go so well day two not so good come back in a year they'll all be dead and i'll be 0.98

00:13:35.620 running the island every fucking time now is that true no i just made it up right it's just a story 0.93

00:13:44.080 in my head is it also true that i would fight through you know adversity well i'm trying to make 0.91

00:13:53.740 it true right i like to think it's true but having a story of you is like a program that runs in your

00:14:01.600 head permanently and it can make it you it can it can turn you into that by being the story that

00:14:07.480 guides you all right now let me take that story into this next news item there was a man i guess

00:14:16.160 his last name was uh raja gopal i think it was india was india might have been pakistan i forget

00:14:22.300 but uh he's from the uh karna tacos hassan district so somebody can tell me where that is

00:14:29.300 but anyway he was riding his motorcycle and a uh a cheetah or a leopard it's not clear

00:14:35.500 uh attacked his family just like came from the bushes and attacked his and bit his son on the

00:14:42.220 leg and it starts attacking his son and wife this guy who's not some you know he's not some like

00:14:49.940 fighter or hero or anything he's just a guy gets off his motorcycle and kills the leopard with his

00:14:58.360 bare hands to save his family he actually grabbed the leopard and strangled it did he get hurt in the

00:15:08.720 process oh yeah he did yeah he got hurt but he also saved his family and strangled a leopard or

00:15:19.560 maybe a cheetah cheetah or leopard i don't know it's pretty bad either way now that's the prisoner

00:15:26.020 island story this is the prisoner island story now i don't know anything about the guy who did this

00:15:33.000 but it makes me wonder does he have the prisoner island story in his head some version of it has he

00:15:41.760 carried a model of himself through his life that when he came to this situation the model kicked in

00:15:49.840 and and there was no doubt who was going to win the fight and that he was going to fight

00:15:56.200 now it probably was just reflex of you know somebody saving his family so probably there

00:16:01.940 wasn't a lot of thinking going on it was just reflex but whether or not he had the prisoner island

00:16:09.020 story in his head he has it now he has it now the next time he gets in a situation that you and i

00:16:16.520 would be frightened to death of he knows he can get through it or has gotten through something

00:16:23.340 similarly dangerous so make yourself a prisoner's island story it doesn't have to be real it just

00:16:31.720 becomes the program that runs in your head could come in handy if you were attacked by a leopard

00:16:36.580 have you seen the videos of the the tom cruise deep fakes look on my timeline if you haven't seen

00:16:45.440 them yet um they're i don't even know what to think about them so there's some discussion about

00:16:53.660 whether they're real deep fakes they're actually so good that you can't tell if they're deep fakes

00:17:00.660 and some people are saying ah you got fooled it's really just a look-alike it's a look-alike

00:17:06.900 pretending to be a deep fake maybe maybe i can't tell i can't tell if it's a real person i also can't

00:17:17.060 tell if it's actually tom cruise who's playing a prank it doesn't quite look like tom cruise to me

00:17:23.840 so my personal opinion is it's not tom cruise i can't rule out a look-alike

00:17:30.880 but it did look a lot like him now uh somebody says too tall i don't know if you can tell from

00:17:40.200 the video his height but here's the thing that's how good a deep fake is right now that we can't

00:17:50.020 even tell if it was really a deep fake how good do you think the best ones are because this is just

00:17:56.260 something that ran on twitter right it's just something on social media how is the best one

00:18:03.820 don't you assume that there are government let's say government versions of this

00:18:09.560 you know where we're we're working on it for both offensive and defensive reasons because i have to

00:18:17.220 think these deep fakes have a military application that's through the roof what would happen and you

00:18:25.300 know we're working on this right like i i don't feel like i'm giving away a state secret because

00:18:30.700 it's kind of obvious don't you think that our government and probably other ones are putting

00:18:36.780 together deep fakes of other leaders and deep fakes of terrorists don't you think if we had a good

00:18:47.360 deep fake of osama bin laden we could have gotten we could have made some videos and put them into the

00:18:54.180 system and cause people to act differently because they thought bin laden was giving them guidance

00:18:59.940 but we could and i'm not sure we didn't how would we know right we wouldn't know if we'd done that

00:19:08.620 nobody would tell you so the the uh opportunity for um weaponizing these deep fakes is really scary

00:19:18.840 because imagine you get into a shooting war and we take the the deep fake of the leader of the other side

00:19:26.340 put him on a video and he says hey everybody lay down your weapons we're surrendering

00:19:31.880 his own military would probably think it was true

00:19:35.680 right because everybody would even in the military they have the phones right or do they

00:19:41.220 if you're on operation maybe not because you could track the phone but uh when they got back to base

00:19:49.100 people would have phones and stuff right so even even if you're a terrorist you would see the video

00:19:55.600 it wouldn't have to be on tv it would just be circulating and it would be your leader your

00:20:00.040 terrorist leader saying uh lay down your weapons you know we got everything we wanted or whatever

00:20:05.260 so that's common um twitter is talking about having some kind of pay model where you could

00:20:13.340 optionally charge people for extra content maybe even newsletters so the world is moving toward this

00:20:20.200 subscription base but twitter has a really big obstacle to overcome a psychological obstacle

00:20:27.400 and the psychological obstacle is you're used to twitter being free once you get used to it being free

00:20:34.760 people are going to complain if there's any anything that looks like it's extra and it's on twitter but

00:20:42.820 you have to pay for it it's really going to make people angry let me tell you how are you going to

00:20:48.980 feel um well this is how i feel now i'll read a story on let's say twitter or cnn or whatever and i'll

00:20:56.840 click to see the original story and it's behind a paywall or you have to go and figure out how to turn

00:21:03.520 off your ads and your ad blocker which is too much of a bother i would say i skip almost everything

00:21:11.080 that's asking me for money or a password or or my email address or to turn off ad blockers and every

00:21:18.160 time i go to one of those links i get angry now twitter users are going to have that experience they could

00:21:25.220 be like hey that looks interesting click oh i'd have to pay for that i'm angry oh here's a good one

00:21:33.100 oh i'd have to pay for that what would happen if everything that's useful on twitter turns into a

00:21:39.620 paywall because that's the only thing that'll be behind the paywall right good stuff you're not going

00:21:45.340 to put your worthless stuff behind the paywall so twitter has a really big challenge how to handle the

00:21:52.480 the customer's psychology now as you know i have a full subscription account was separately on the

00:22:00.380 locals platform but the locals platform was built for just that its only purpose is to be a

00:22:08.680 subscription platform so there's no psychological barrier there nobody would sign up for it unless

00:22:15.440 they knew exactly what they were getting so they're all happy but if you're used to it being free

00:22:22.080 people don't like you adding any kind of friction to that even if it's the extra stuff because they're

00:22:29.080 going to think we used to get the extra for free didn't we but i do think subscription is the way

00:22:34.580 things have to go so twitter is making the right move it's just gonna be hard hard to implement in

00:22:39.560 their case i think they'll be successful successful at some level all right but if you don't want to be

00:22:46.240 banned etc something like locals would be better now i keep hearing about a new platform called clubhouse

00:22:55.140 which as i understand it is uh some kind of open audio conversations with some set of rules

00:23:02.220 and i have i've i've received a number of uh invitations to it i guess it's still invitation

00:23:08.840 um and i've uh i've declined them all so far now the reason that someone someone says clubhouse is

00:23:19.340 chinese that's not true is it i don't think that's true um so don't believe that unless you see some 1.00

00:23:28.440 confirmation i don't think that's true but uh you got my interest if it is true i definitely want to

00:23:36.660 know it somebody says it's not a u.s company i was sure it was a u.s company no the api they use is

00:23:46.200 chinese somebody says all right so there may be some connection let's put that as an open question

00:23:51.360 but that's not what i was going for today what i was going for is i don't understand it

00:23:55.880 so this is the interesting thing clubhouse everybody's talking about it and signing up

00:24:01.060 and everything so there must be something to it but i keep waiting to hear something about it

00:24:06.200 that makes me want to do it and i haven't and i don't know what other people are hearing that makes

00:24:13.140 them want to do it because lots of smart connected forward-thinking people are already on it and

00:24:19.240 telling me i should be on it but i don't know why does anybody know why because i don't think you

00:24:26.920 can monetize it right and if there's no video isn't it less good

00:24:33.200 all right somebody says think live podcasts well um i suppose if they did a good job on the

00:24:42.800 interface it would be interesting i'll probably check it out eventually but my only point is not

00:24:47.440 that it is or is not valuable but why have i heard so much about it and yet nobody has told me

00:24:54.740 what its value proposition is isn't that weird

00:24:58.760 what you would think that almost any business or product that you hear about people would tell

00:25:06.240 you why to use it like what its extra advantages but i haven't heard that about clubhouse and i don't

00:25:11.780 know why does that mean there isn't any extra advantage i don't know i guess i'll keep that as an

00:25:19.500 open question um here there's a big news about the minimum wage 15 dollar thing that the democrats

00:25:26.960 want to want to make a national law and i guess the uh there's a rules person who decides the

00:25:35.060 parliamentary and rules person in the senate uh has decided that they can't include that minimum

00:25:41.920 wage thing with this big omnibus bill there's some kind of rule that says you can't include things that

00:25:47.520 are trivially related to the main purpose and this is too trivially related to the main purpose i guess

00:25:54.940 so number one i don't agree with this parliamentary decision it might be correct in terms of interpreting

00:26:05.200 the rules but why does congress uh put a rule on itself what what's the point of that why would why

00:26:17.240 would congress limit its own its own uh flexibility yeah somebody says it's a rule it's a rule but why

00:26:28.240 why is it a rule why in the world can't the congress say you know we all think we all think this should

00:26:36.620 be in this bill why can't we just put it in there would that bother you as a citizen if you were a

00:26:45.220 citizen would it bother you that there was some weird rule that they collectively decided to just

00:26:53.460 ignore because there wasn't any purpose for the rule i can't see the purpose for it now i get that you

00:27:01.100 don't want to have big you know messed up group things and you want to maintain the ability to do a

00:27:09.220 filibuster and you know it's like complicated etc but none of this stuff serves the public i don't

00:27:17.200 think uh somebody says in all capitals you don't understand the senate and house rules i'm gonna block

00:27:25.380 you for telling me what i don't understand goodbye in all caps probably could have gotten away with that

00:27:32.580 if you hadn't used all caps don't criticize me in all caps if you want to come back at the very least

00:27:41.160 use upper and lower case then you've got a chance of surviving but you're not going to survive with

00:27:47.500 all caps and no reasons just some some kind of weird insult because i'm telling you i don't know the

00:27:55.080 rules so you don't need to yell at me that i don't know the rules when it's literally what i'm 0.96

00:28:01.340 fucking saying to you i don't know the rules okay um i'm swearing at a guy who can't hear me 0.99

00:28:09.140 all right uh so here's my take on the minimum wage so forget about the the rules the rule part 1.00

00:28:15.840 this is you know you wish there could be some something like an executive order from

00:28:21.440 mitch mcconnell who could just say yeah there's a rule but we're just going to ignore it

00:28:25.540 because it doesn't serve us so what is your opinion on the 15 minimum wage in the comments

00:28:34.640 can i get get a feel of the crowd yes no on the minimum wage going to 15 it doesn't look like

00:28:43.220 it's going to be an option right away but what do you think i'm interested in my specific audience

00:28:49.560 uh so take a second for the uh for the answers to come in i'll tell you my opinion it goes like this

00:28:56.620 and i base this on the fact i have a degree in economics i have an mba from a high-end college

00:29:05.620 you know uh university berkeley and here's my opinion about the 15 minimum wage i don't know

00:29:15.420 i don't know every one of you who says yes or no what are you basing that on

00:29:22.920 because i'm telling you i've got a degree in this i don't know i don't know if it's good 0.64

00:29:29.820 how do you know where the hell do you get your opinion from seriously where the hell did you get

00:29:36.840 these opinions because i don't think economists agree do they wouldn't you like to see two

00:29:45.560 economists uh one on each side just get on the show and give you 15 minutes you don't need more

00:29:52.260 but you don't need less just 15 minutes of two economists on either side saying here's why it's

00:29:58.560 a good idea and then the other one says this is why it's a bad idea and then maybe then i could make

00:30:03.600 a decision but have you ever seen that i haven't seen that i've seen complaints about people saying

00:30:09.740 it should be different in different areas because not every area is the same it might hurt some places

00:30:15.760 it might help some places and that feels like a good argument i don't know how accurate it is but it

00:30:20.980 feels at least like it makes sense so here's my advice to you if you have a really strong feeling

00:30:29.660 about this 15 minimum wage and you're not a small business owner yourself in other words it's not

00:30:36.360 going to directly affect you immediately maybe you shouldn't maybe you shouldn't have that opinion

00:30:43.820 because i don't think economists agree you know i don't i don't think all economists are on the same

00:30:50.580 side do you do you do you think if you surveyed economists they'd all be like 95 of them would say

00:30:57.000 either yes or no now i get the milton friedman argument of course that the free market you know

00:31:03.180 is bad it is the best mechanism but we don't really have a free market we don't really have a free market

00:31:10.760 we we have a very uh let's say we we do have a free market we don't have an efficient market that's

00:31:19.460 what i should have said it is free but it's not efficient in order for this minimum wage to find its

00:31:26.060 right level based on competition and the economy and everything else you need less friction you need

00:31:34.380 the ability for things to adjust you know in real time fairly quickly and all that i don't believe

00:31:40.160 that happens because people don't have that much mobility i they're just too much friction i think

00:31:47.100 so i have no idea whether this is a good idea i have no idea now what do you do when you have no

00:31:53.220 idea if something is a good idea anybody anybody what do you do if you're not sure it's a good idea

00:32:02.920 you test it which one of the uh which one of the sides the democrats or the republicans

00:32:10.740 are saying you know we can't tell if this is good or bad why don't we run it for a year and let's say

00:32:16.740 one state or maybe some selected counties we'll just test it for one year and then we'll know

00:32:23.380 right are the republicans saying that where are the republicans saying you know we think it's a bad

00:32:30.480 idea but we don't hate testing things where's that guy or or woman right where's that person

00:32:39.840 or any gender you like um the only thing we need we don't fucking have am i wrong is there some story 0.97

00:32:50.640 i'm missing here tell me i'm wrong nobody knows the right answer it would be trivially easy to test 0.87

00:32:59.160 relative to big national things it's easy you just say this county that's the rule for a year let's see

00:33:05.940 how it goes right i don't understand why we as a population are putting up with this

00:33:14.660 this is pure incompetence because the the people making the decision they don't know if 15 an hour

00:33:23.860 is a good idea do you think there's anybody in congress who knows more than i do and i don't know

00:33:30.620 much that's the whole point i don't know much about whether a 15 minimum wage is a good idea

00:33:36.160 i don't think so and when i say good idea i mean good overall in the long run right all things

00:33:43.000 considered it's obviously good for the people get the raise most of them if they keep their job

00:33:47.960 so i don't think we can be happy with any opinion on this and i would tell you that if you have a firm

00:33:55.060 opinion either yes or no on the minimum wage you shouldn't if you have a firm opinion on this

00:34:01.140 you shouldn't because smart people don't know like really well-informed smart people don't really know

00:34:09.260 they might lean one direction but without a test nobody knows all right um i've come to a

00:34:17.480 potential decision about what's the biggest factor or factors in covid infections and it goes like

00:34:25.040 this i feel as if there are two things and some of this is just speculation and a little bit of

00:34:31.920 what i'm reading but here are some things we've learned about the covid infections we think number

00:34:38.740 one in the uk surprisingly they say there's no real difference in minority outcomes for coronavirus

00:34:46.480 except that they get infected more often but haven't we all been under the impression

00:34:53.480 that your uh genetic makeup would probably make a difference in your outcomes but it might be that

00:35:01.460 that's true but that genetic difference is not necessarily uh ethnically related in other words

00:35:09.600 if you read between the lines here the uk outcome if let's say the data holds you know any

00:35:16.340 preliminary study like this you can't you can't assume it's right but let's say it is

00:35:21.440 it would be saying that genetically there wouldn't be much difference across ethnicities but there

00:35:27.860 might be a big difference in terms of lifestyle and economic situation and that might be what's

00:35:32.900 driving more infections for example at the lower economic end of things there might be more people

00:35:38.840 living per house it could it could be that it could be they have less health care resources

00:35:45.360 could be that so this this uh this may be really important information if it's true i'd still wait to

00:35:56.720 get a confirmation of this all right so that's the first new piece of information there might not be

00:36:03.520 that much difference ethnically even though the outcomes are very different might be lifestyle not

00:36:08.980 genetics although there could still be and probably is a gigantic genetic difference across individuals

00:36:16.000 but not necessarily across ethnicities um which seems unlikely to me frankly but

00:36:23.680 doesn't it seem unlikely to you that there's no difference in ethnicity feels unlikely but that's

00:36:31.680 that's what we have here all right um then we also have an hse university research study that says

00:36:39.880 that uh oh i'm sorry that was that was the genetic difference study but there's a additional study

00:36:46.820 that says that uh 63 percent of u.s hospitalizations for covid could have been prevented if we were not so

00:36:56.000 darn fat so obesity according to this one study is responsible for 30 percent of the excess hospitalizations

00:37:05.660 um and the same sentence it says 63 percent so it's it's written very poorly so i don't know uh 0.97

00:37:15.120 exactly which of those numbers to look at because it looks like it's two different numbers saying the same

00:37:19.000 thing but there's a gigantic difference in obesity now we all knew that right we all knew that

00:37:25.420 but there's some kind of word that i didn't write down that says that uh sometimes it's the

00:37:32.100 combination of two things you know you need the you need the comorbidity plus the virus one by itself

00:37:38.060 doesn't doesn't kill you now how do why do we call this a simply a virus pandemic when it's clearly

00:37:49.560 an obesity pandemic at the same time it's two pandemics if you call obesity a pandemic

00:37:56.460 but we sort of ignore one of them and pay all of our attention to the other one when they're clearly

00:38:04.480 both gigantic variables now i agree the virus itself is a bigger variable than obesity but the obesity

00:38:13.180 thing is so big it's like you should talk about them in the same sentence every time we've got a big

00:38:19.860 problem with the virus killing our fat people right now i don't do fat shaming so i'm just using fat

00:38:27.020 in a casual way not to mean an insult uh you know i myself have been uh a few pounds overweight at various

00:38:38.600 times in my life and so i don't do fat shaming but it's just simply a fact that americans are

00:38:45.420 overweight so i feel as if the fact that we don't talk about that more is for what social reasons

00:38:54.120 wokeness is there some reason we can't talk about people's health because they'll feel bad it'll be

00:39:00.620 racist somehow sure um here's the most predictable thing what was the most predictable thing that

00:39:11.400 would come out of the tiger woods uh thing and by by the way i don't mean to make fun of anything that

00:39:16.640 happens to tiger woods we we all hope that he recovers and it is a tragedy so i'm not going to

00:39:23.000 take anything away from how bad this is but the most predictable thing and i wish i'd said it in public

00:39:29.580 because it was so predictable today we learn that woods does tiger woods does not remember the crash

00:39:38.420 was that predictable as soon as i heard that he was awake when they found him and he was coherent

00:39:48.860 and all that but that the actual cause of the crash was uh unknown as soon as i heard that i said to

00:39:57.080 myself he's going to say he doesn't remember the crash he's going to say he doesn't remember what

00:40:04.920 happened what would you do in that situation

00:40:08.800 what would you do in that situation if that were me i would say i didn't remember the crash

00:40:20.500 because he might have been texting i'm not saying he was he might have had something in his system

00:40:30.700 uh the apparently he was not tested for any drugs now i i don't know if the rules are different in

00:40:37.860 the uk but because there were there were no overt signs of drug use or inebriation in other words

00:40:45.000 or there was nothing in his car that suggested he had taken something uh and nobody had no

00:40:51.280 eyewitnesses that said ah we saw him put something in his mouth or anything like that so if you don't

00:40:55.580 have any cause it's just an accident i guess they can't check so tiger woods can just say i don't

00:41:02.540 remember they won't ever check his uh blood to find out if he was inebriated

00:41:09.060 and it looks like he can just go with that story that he doesn't remember and he'll be fine from any

00:41:16.060 kind of repercussions so i don't think anything was more predictable than he would say he doesn't

00:41:21.760 remember do you believe it do you believe he doesn't remember i'm going to go on record as saying

00:41:27.840 no i don't believe it it's not impossible it's traumatic very traumatic could be that the cause of

00:41:34.580 the accident was that he blacked out so then of course he wouldn't remember it it certainly looks 0.98

00:41:39.880 like he blacked down doesn't it wouldn't you say that the odds are based on how far the car went etc

00:41:46.380 you'd have to think he wasn't conscious wouldn't you and so to me the the texting or the cell phone

00:41:55.920 or even if an animal ran in the road i don't feel like i don't feel like they completely

00:42:02.560 would describe what happened it feels like he was unconscious but that's just speculation

00:42:07.660 no no all right um 0.91

00:42:11.320 amy do you know who amy siskind is or siskind but she's one of the more ridiculous characters 1.00

00:42:19.980 on twitter i think she's blocked me and vice versa eventually but she was like a crazy anti-trump 0.57

00:42:26.740 person and she tweeted after biden bombed syria she's tweeted so different having military action

00:42:35.600 under biden no middle school level threats on twitter trust biden and his team's competence

00:42:41.840 a tear is coming to my eye because biden he knows how to bomb syria in a responsible way 0.97

00:42:50.380 not the way trump did it with his irresponsible taunts no trump bombed syria the wrong way

00:42:58.980 whereas biden he's bombing syria in a responsible way so big difference there according to amy

00:43:09.340 um so china apparently uh did some covid tests on some u.s diplomats 0.97

00:43:17.960 and decided to go with the anal test test instead of the cheek swab

00:43:22.800 that's right instead of the nasal swab or the cheek swab uh china decided to shove something up our 0.99

00:43:30.700 diplomats asses uh they complained the diplomats complained about uh china shoving things up their 0.95

00:43:37.940 asses and china said oh it was an error it was a mistake sorry didn't mean it sorry and what will the 0.99

00:43:50.280 united states do will we turn the other cheek

00:43:55.760 will we note that although america went to mars china went to uranus

00:44:06.200 i would like to give this opportunity for all of you to add your own jokes 0.97

00:44:13.540 about china shoving a covid test up the ass of our diplomats what would what would trump have done 0.99

00:44:23.840 if china shoved things up the ass of our diplomats and then said whoops whoops sorry 0.99

00:44:34.240 what would trump have done 0.99

00:44:37.680 would he do what biden is likely to do complain

00:44:43.480 i don't know what he would have done 0.99

00:44:47.620 but he should have closed the embassies should just close the fucking embassies 0.99

00:44:53.220 like i don't know how you protect your diplomats 0.98

00:44:56.580 but do you want to be a diplomat that was not protected the way these guys were not protected

00:45:04.240 these guys and and women and genders of all types they were not protected

00:45:09.640 now i think they probably had a choice of saying no but then they probably couldn't travel

00:45:15.560 or i don't know there's probably some repercussion

00:45:17.460 so i don't feel this can go unaddressed do you this should not be unaddressed i think trump would

00:45:26.180 have addressed it i don't know if biden will

00:45:28.260 there's a new story of a uh a classroom assistant who didn't know his zoom was still on and uh he may

00:45:38.940 have uh he may have done a tubing he may have been he may have been doing a

00:45:45.340 little tubing uh when the camera was still on

00:45:48.400 uh-huh so uh

00:45:51.760 and uh here's the funniest part is that the young man the 21 year old uh employee

00:46:00.800 he he right he also has a side company when he's not being an assistant in schools he also runs pirate magic

00:46:08.680 uh business and throws pirate parties for youngsters

00:46:12.140 while he portrays a character named captain silly bones

00:46:18.700 let me give you this advice

00:46:30.700 here's some good advice for you and you can take this to the bank 0.97

00:46:36.040 if there's any chance at all that you're going to get caught masturbating on zoom 0.96

00:46:44.920 don't have a side business 0.58

00:46:48.040 don't have a side business called

00:46:52.500 uh called pirate parties 0.94

00:46:56.640 and don't call yourself captain silly bones 0.91

00:47:01.240 don't do them at the same time that's like a comorbidity 0.85

00:47:04.960 one of those things

00:47:07.240 just by itself

00:47:09.800 let's say that the pirate parties

00:47:11.780 one of those things by itself

00:47:14.120 that's fine

00:47:15.000 pleasuring yourself in private

00:47:17.940 far as i know still totally legal

00:47:20.860 totally legal

00:47:22.500 it's only a problem when you combine the two things on a zoom call

00:47:26.480 right

00:47:27.360 you know what 0.99

00:47:28.720 captain silly bones 0.99

00:47:32.320 i don't think he's going to get booked for another party 0.99

00:47:35.220 let me give you some advice

00:47:40.060 that you

00:47:40.580 that you will find

00:47:43.480 very useful

00:47:44.620 let me tell you what i do the moment i'm done

00:47:48.420 i'm done with these periscopes

00:47:50.640 the moment i'm done with them

00:47:52.400 i've got i've got two screens here two ipads

00:47:54.680 that are facing me where i would sit at my office desk

00:47:57.520 the first thing i do after i turn these off

00:48:00.120 is i turn them this way

00:48:02.540 so you're looking at each other now

00:48:04.540 the first thing i do when i'm done with any kind of a zoom call

00:48:10.460 on my laptop

00:48:11.920 first thing i do

00:48:14.080 close the laptop

00:48:15.600 so let me suggest to you

00:48:19.360 that you never assume

00:48:21.960 never assume

00:48:24.140 that you're not on live stream

00:48:26.220 because that's how you lose your pirate parties

00:48:29.760 if you know what i mean

00:48:30.660 never assume it

00:48:32.540 so as a habit

00:48:34.520 you should physically move your camera

00:48:37.880 out of a viewing district

00:48:39.560 when you're done

00:48:40.740 every time

00:48:41.700 and just do it every time

00:48:43.400 as a habit

00:48:45.400 i'll tell you one wake-up call

00:48:47.540 was when

00:48:48.040 somebody discovered that

00:48:49.880 i guess

00:48:50.360 mark zuckerberg

00:48:51.760 puts tape over the camera

00:48:54.080 on his own laptop

00:48:55.340 now do you think

00:48:57.140 mark zuckerberg

00:48:58.180 understands the world of

00:48:59.960 security

00:49:00.740 and what

00:49:01.600 is or is not a risk

00:49:03.120 oh he does

00:49:04.500 and if he's covering up the camera

00:49:07.160 on his laptop

00:49:08.120 maybe you should too

00:49:10.900 now he's more of a target than you are

00:49:12.860 but you're all targets

00:49:13.760 yeah

00:49:16.360 and the same with the hot mic

00:49:17.460 just assume you're always being listened to

00:49:19.420 now i've got a number of digital products here

00:49:22.300 everything from my phone

00:49:23.700 to my

00:49:24.300 amazon digital assistant

00:49:26.440 so i just assume that i'm being recorded all the time

00:49:29.920 i just assume it

00:49:31.960 i just assume there's nothing i say

00:49:34.080 even in the privacy of my own home

00:49:36.000 even in the bathroom

00:49:37.360 i just assume that somebody's listening

00:49:39.780 or could

00:49:40.360 doesn't mean they are listening

00:49:42.020 they just could

00:49:42.720 technologically they could

00:49:44.820 all right

00:49:47.160 so being boring is how i protect myself

00:49:49.580 cnbc had this story

00:49:52.180 and i think it's important that it's cnbc

00:49:54.340 because it's a major

00:49:55.400 major network right

00:49:57.180 bill gates

00:49:58.760 was asked about nuclear power

00:50:01.140 and he said it absolutely will be politically acceptable again

00:50:05.280 which is an interesting

00:50:06.920 way to make the prediction

00:50:09.000 i think he was asked that specific question

00:50:11.180 but according to bill gates

00:50:13.120 who most of you would associate with the left

00:50:15.880 wouldn't you

00:50:16.360 now i don't think he associates himself that way

00:50:19.520 i doubt

00:50:20.460 i mean maybe he's a democrat

00:50:22.160 i don't know

00:50:22.760 but he seems more like a problem solver

00:50:24.980 than a political animal

00:50:26.820 and

00:50:27.940 he's saying as clearly as possible

00:50:30.300 nuclear power will absolutely be politically acceptable again

00:50:33.960 and he said

00:50:35.500 he points out that it's safer than oil

00:50:37.300 coal and natural gas

00:50:38.660 the reason it will be acceptable

00:50:40.660 is that it's safer

00:50:41.700 and then he goes on to talk about

00:50:43.720 one of the companies he's invested in

00:50:45.400 Terra Power

00:50:46.000 it's a

00:50:47.240 the generation four nuclear power

00:50:49.640 that can't

00:50:50.400 can't melt down

00:50:51.400 and it's smaller

00:50:52.320 more economical

00:50:53.180 it's

00:50:54.500 more off-the-shelf pieces

00:50:56.080 you can transport it easily

00:50:57.840 etc

00:50:58.360 so that

00:50:59.520 we may be years away from making that

00:51:01.960 commercial

00:51:02.600 but it really does matter

00:51:05.260 that bill gates said this

00:51:06.460 because he's

00:51:07.340 he has credibility

00:51:08.760 with the left

00:51:10.380 you know

00:51:11.560 he thinks climate change is a big problem

00:51:13.960 so he's got credibility

00:51:14.920 here's the other

00:51:21.420 the other observation

00:51:23.940 I was going to make about COVID

00:51:25.620 I feel like

00:51:27.000 besides obesity

00:51:28.180 the other biggest factor

00:51:29.340 is how many strangers

00:51:30.680 you let in your house

00:51:31.880 and by strangers

00:51:33.420 I mean anybody who doesn't

00:51:34.740 live there normally

00:51:35.920 so

00:51:37.680 I feel as if

00:51:41.880 if we controlled

00:51:42.900 one variable

00:51:44.100 we would get through

00:51:45.400 the pandemic

00:51:46.000 quickly

00:51:47.140 now maybe the vaccinations

00:51:48.780 will get us there

00:51:50.000 on time anyway

00:51:50.600 but if in the beginning

00:51:52.100 we had only done

00:51:53.800 one

00:51:54.320 one restriction

00:51:55.600 I think we'd already be done

00:51:58.280 and that one restriction

00:51:59.920 would be

00:52:00.500 don't let anybody

00:52:02.260 inside your residence

00:52:03.560 who is not a resident

00:52:05.280 unless

00:52:07.380 you know

00:52:07.800 it could be the plumber

00:52:08.880 with a mask

00:52:09.660 right

00:52:09.920 but nobody to visit

00:52:11.120 not even your

00:52:12.640 out-of-town family members

00:52:14.080 I feel as though

00:52:15.960 that one restriction

00:52:18.100 of nobody in your residence

00:52:20.000 except the residents

00:52:21.260 for a month

00:52:23.220 we'd be

00:52:24.840 we'd be

00:52:26.040 pretty well done

00:52:27.180 I feel like

00:52:28.040 now you wouldn't get rid

00:52:29.420 of the infection

00:52:29.960 but you might get it down

00:52:30.980 to a low level

00:52:31.720 now

00:52:32.680 does anybody disagree with that

00:52:35.100 because it's something like

00:52:35.920 over 50% of infections

00:52:38.620 it's worse in the winter

00:52:40.480 when you're indoors

00:52:41.520 somebody says

00:52:44.100 I thought we did that

00:52:45.040 no we didn't really do that

00:52:46.640 we

00:52:48.120 we said

00:52:49.420 don't

00:52:49.960 you know

00:52:50.600 you don't want to

00:52:51.400 socially mingle

00:52:52.980 but I don't think

00:52:54.340 anybody took it seriously

00:52:55.560 inside their own house

00:52:57.160 I think

00:52:58.260 everybody lets

00:52:59.120 their other family members

00:53:00.560 I think everybody

00:53:02.000 lets the boyfriend

00:53:02.920 or the girlfriend

00:53:03.560 come over

00:53:04.260 I feel like

00:53:06.220 inside the house

00:53:07.200 there are no rules

00:53:08.120 and that probably

00:53:09.040 that was the main problem

00:53:10.560 probably the main problem

00:53:12.820 and I would also think

00:53:14.160 that you could solve that

00:53:15.700 with statistics

00:53:16.700 and publicity

00:53:18.200 if you

00:53:19.600 if you stop somebody

00:53:20.620 on the street

00:53:21.160 and said to them

00:53:21.960 what's the main place

00:53:23.580 you get infected

00:53:24.260 what would the average person say

00:53:26.800 think about it

00:53:29.100 you're probably

00:53:30.540 way more informed

00:53:31.740 than the average consumer

00:53:33.180 just the fact

00:53:34.180 you're watching

00:53:35.100 a live stream

00:53:36.640 about the world

00:53:37.760 and politics

00:53:38.380 the average person

00:53:39.940 isn't really paying attention

00:53:41.080 to too much news

00:53:42.360 on average

00:53:43.460 so stop the average person

00:53:45.560 in the street

00:53:46.060 and say to them

00:53:46.840 where do you think

00:53:48.020 most infections happen

00:53:49.600 what would they say

00:53:51.160 I'll bet they wouldn't

00:53:52.640 say home

00:53:53.160 I'll bet most people

00:53:55.060 would say

00:53:55.400 well

00:53:55.720 they closed the restaurants

00:53:57.500 and gyms

00:53:58.140 it's probably restaurants

00:53:59.380 and gyms

00:53:59.900 or they might say

00:54:01.640 must be the workplace

00:54:02.900 because why else

00:54:04.520 would they do the lockdown

00:54:05.400 but I'll bet it's not

00:54:07.640 I'll bet if you

00:54:09.200 simply produced

00:54:10.200 enough statistics

00:54:11.140 to say

00:54:12.340 look

00:54:12.740 most of it

00:54:15.080 is because

00:54:16.240 you're letting somebody

00:54:17.160 in your little

00:54:18.140 un-air circulated

00:54:20.740 space

00:54:21.460 who doesn't live there

00:54:22.980 that's

00:54:23.260 that's most of it

00:54:24.400 I think if we just

00:54:26.880 just hammered out

00:54:28.600 hammered people with 0.74

00:54:29.780 I don't know

00:54:31.040 what the real number is

00:54:31.800 was like 56%

00:54:33.280 is in the home

00:54:34.920 and just keep telling people that

00:54:37.100 say

00:54:37.980 it's because

00:54:39.860 the

00:54:40.360 you know

00:54:41.480 you use your

00:54:42.620 your app

00:54:44.180 on Tinder

00:54:45.560 right

00:54:46.580 or whatever it is

00:54:47.360 so

00:54:48.520 that's all I have to say

00:54:51.260 about that

00:54:51.720 now

00:54:52.000 Rasmussen has an interesting poll

00:54:54.380 in which

00:54:54.760 they were asking

00:54:55.540 about people's opinion

00:54:56.500 of some

00:54:57.140 national leaders

00:54:58.340 you know

00:54:58.620 I've been telling you

00:54:59.480 why is there not

00:55:00.860 like a new

00:55:01.480 national leader

00:55:02.420 and

00:55:03.580 and I've said

00:55:04.140 AOC

00:55:04.600 may fill that spot

00:55:06.080 but here are some names

00:55:07.400 I'm going to tell you

00:55:08.060 the names that they polled

00:55:09.120 and let me see

00:55:10.040 if you can guess

00:55:11.060 who has the highest

00:55:12.720 favorability

00:55:13.580 at the moment

00:55:14.420 with the public

00:55:15.160 so this is

00:55:15.960 this is the entire public

00:55:17.220 the names they tested

00:55:18.920 were

00:55:19.340 this is Rasmussen

00:55:20.220 Kevin McCarthy

00:55:22.120 Mitch McConnell

00:55:23.740 Nancy Pelosi

00:55:24.940 Chuck Schumer

00:55:26.120 and AOC

00:55:27.820 now

00:55:29.040 add together

00:55:29.820 there are two

00:55:30.620 favorable categories

00:55:31.800 the highly favorable

00:55:32.860 and the normal favorable

00:55:34.500 and who

00:55:35.720 who among those

00:55:36.660 do you believe

00:55:37.460 had the highest

00:55:38.460 favorability

00:55:39.320 take a guess

00:55:40.720 I want to see

00:55:42.360 in the comments

00:55:42.980 how

00:55:43.640 plugged in

00:55:45.120 you are

00:55:45.720 to the

00:55:46.340 national

00:55:46.960 consciousness

00:55:47.720 most people

00:55:49.380 are guessing

00:55:49.860 AOC

00:55:50.380 but I think

00:55:50.960 I think

00:55:51.980 you're guessing

00:55:52.420 that because

00:55:52.940 you think

00:55:53.420 that's going

00:55:53.880 to be the answer

00:55:54.380 because why

00:55:54.960 would I bring

00:55:55.420 it up

00:55:55.820 I always talk

00:55:56.940 about AOC's

00:55:57.920 persuasion

00:55:58.520 so you

00:55:58.900 I feel like

00:56:00.160 I've biased

00:56:01.220 the survey

00:56:01.900 I think I biased

00:56:03.880 the survey

00:56:04.320 too much

00:56:04.780 you're trying

00:56:05.640 to guess

00:56:06.000 what it's going

00:56:06.500 to be

00:56:06.780 here's the answer

00:56:08.240 Kevin McCarthy

00:56:10.200 Kevin McCarthy

00:56:13.020 he has the highest

00:56:14.160 favorability

00:56:14.840 of this group

00:56:15.440 what

00:56:17.720 what

00:56:20.000 how the hell

00:56:21.740 did that happen

00:56:22.380 did you see

00:56:23.920 that coming

00:56:24.380 now

00:56:25.860 I don't think

00:56:27.180 that necessarily

00:56:27.820 means as much

00:56:29.020 as you might

00:56:29.680 think it would

00:56:30.180 mean

00:56:30.360 it could mean

00:56:31.360 that he's just

00:56:32.800 less controversial

00:56:34.160 so the others

00:56:35.780 have some

00:56:36.300 specific reasons

00:56:37.460 you're mad at

00:56:38.080 them

00:56:38.260 but I can't

00:56:39.360 think of a

00:56:39.860 specific reason

00:56:40.900 to be mad

00:56:41.540 at Kevin McCarthy

00:56:42.380 can you

00:56:42.800 I can't think

00:56:44.320 of a

00:56:44.720 like a scandal

00:56:46.040 or

00:56:46.880 was he on

00:56:48.240 the wrong

00:56:48.700 side of

00:56:49.340 something

00:56:49.840 or

00:56:50.520 I don't know

00:56:52.240 it could be

00:56:52.880 that he just

00:56:53.300 hasn't caused

00:56:53.800 any trouble

00:56:54.420 and that people

00:56:55.880 respond to

00:56:56.640 a specific

00:56:57.280 story they

00:56:58.000 remember

00:56:58.400 more than

00:56:59.060 they respond

00:57:00.140 to the average

00:57:00.860 so here

00:57:02.700 are the numbers

00:57:03.440 so Kevin McCarthy

00:57:04.780 if you add

00:57:05.740 his two

00:57:06.080 favorable

00:57:06.460 categories

00:57:06.980 together

00:57:07.300 43%

00:57:08.380 compare that

00:57:10.340 to McConnell

00:57:10.940 at 29

00:57:11.680 it's a big

00:57:12.660 difference

00:57:13.200 compared to

00:57:15.380 Pelosi

00:57:16.340 at 37

00:57:17.280 surprisingly

00:57:18.540 good

00:57:19.100 Schumer

00:57:21.180 at 32

00:57:21.780 and AOC

00:57:22.680 at 34

00:57:23.720 so if you

00:57:25.940 were to look

00:57:26.220 at this

00:57:26.500 would you

00:57:26.800 say to yourself

00:57:27.360 my goodness

00:57:27.960 Kevin McCarthy

00:57:28.880 should run

00:57:29.360 for president

00:57:29.940 because he

00:57:30.860 has

00:57:31.100 substantially

00:57:32.960 like a

00:57:33.580 30%

00:57:34.340 higher

00:57:34.640 favorability

00:57:35.300 than AOC

00:57:35.940 but it

00:57:38.580 doesn't work

00:57:39.040 that way

00:57:39.460 because our

00:57:40.540 primary system

00:57:41.580 does like

00:57:43.400 the exciting

00:57:44.700 people

00:57:45.160 so I

00:57:47.320 would say

00:57:47.620 that AOC

00:57:48.120 already has

00:57:49.080 enough support

00:57:49.840 to win a

00:57:50.780 primary

00:57:51.140 I think she

00:57:53.200 already has

00:57:53.780 enough support

00:57:54.380 to win a

00:57:54.880 primary

00:57:55.220 for president

00:57:55.900 someday

00:57:56.520 if it doesn't

00:57:57.800 change

00:57:58.140 but it

00:58:00.840 certainly raises

00:58:01.420 a question

00:58:01.880 about Kevin

00:58:02.400 McCarthy

00:58:02.780 if he has

00:58:03.400 bigger ambitions

00:58:04.160 to run

00:58:04.860 for president

00:58:05.500 that would

00:58:08.520 be interesting

00:58:09.060 so I'll

00:58:11.040 just put

00:58:11.340 that name

00:58:11.740 out there

00:58:12.100 we're all

00:58:12.560 looking for

00:58:13.080 our next

00:58:13.560 leader

00:58:13.940 and

00:58:15.200 it's very

00:58:17.480 interesting

00:58:17.880 that he

00:58:18.220 doesn't have

00:58:18.800 obvious

00:58:19.380 negatives

00:58:19.880 yeah it

00:58:22.880 could be

00:58:23.160 that he

00:58:23.400 just has

00:58:23.720 the lowest

00:58:24.340 profile

00:58:25.920 meaning

00:58:26.340 as somebody

00:58:27.040 says in

00:58:27.500 the comments

00:58:27.900 that just

00:58:28.700 people don't

00:58:29.160 know as

00:58:29.580 much about

00:58:30.060 him

00:58:30.200 so they

00:58:30.520 don't

00:58:30.700 have a

00:58:31.500 negative

00:58:31.860 feeling

00:58:32.320 so they

00:58:32.740 say

00:58:32.940 he's

00:58:33.440 okay

00:58:33.680 it could

00:58:34.580 be just

00:58:34.880 that

00:58:35.120 so you

00:58:35.960 have to

00:58:36.180 be careful

00:58:36.640 about

00:58:37.020 averages

00:58:37.580 if I've

00:58:38.560 taught you

00:58:38.900 anything

00:58:39.280 and I'll

00:58:42.020 remind you

00:58:42.580 this is

00:58:43.260 what I

00:58:43.740 call the

00:58:44.100 Hollywood

00:58:44.840 way of

00:58:46.200 looking at

00:58:47.120 favorability

00:58:47.840 and I

00:58:48.820 learned this

00:58:49.260 when I was

00:58:49.840 doing a

00:58:50.380 Dilbert TV

00:58:50.980 show

00:58:51.420 which never

00:58:52.280 made it

00:58:52.740 to the air

00:58:53.140 we tried

00:58:53.740 to do a

00:58:54.120 live action

00:58:54.660 one with

00:58:55.140 real actors

00:58:55.820 the animated

00:58:56.940 one did

00:58:57.420 eventually

00:58:57.900 get on

00:58:58.220 TV

00:58:58.440 but when I

00:58:59.700 was testing

00:59:00.160 that we

00:59:00.700 made a

00:59:01.660 pilot

00:59:01.920 we brought

00:59:02.420 people into

00:59:02.880 a room

00:59:03.220 and they

00:59:04.040 have their

00:59:04.300 little

00:59:04.520 buttons

00:59:05.680 that they

00:59:06.020 push 0.64

00:59:06.320 when there's

00:59:06.840 something

00:59:07.060 they like

00:59:07.760 that's

00:59:08.900 happening

00:59:09.160 on the

00:59:09.400 screen

00:59:09.640 and I

00:59:10.540 asked the

00:59:10.920 executive

00:59:11.300 what are

00:59:12.660 we looking

00:59:13.000 for

00:59:13.440 what average

00:59:14.740 approval

00:59:15.620 of the

00:59:16.060 TV show

00:59:16.740 would suggest

00:59:18.220 it would

00:59:18.500 be a hit

00:59:18.980 and the

00:59:20.000 executive

00:59:20.380 said we

00:59:20.820 don't look

00:59:21.160 at the

00:59:21.420 average

00:59:21.900 because that's

00:59:22.920 useless 0.54

00:59:23.380 which is 0.96

00:59:24.940 really interesting

00:59:25.740 to know

00:59:26.180 we look at

00:59:27.620 how excited

00:59:28.520 some people

00:59:29.480 are

00:59:29.780 what you

00:59:31.000 want

00:59:31.400 is that

00:59:31.960 a few

00:59:32.600 people

00:59:32.980 maybe

00:59:33.860 10%

00:59:34.640 of the

00:59:34.880 audience

00:59:35.220 just thinks

00:59:36.320 it's the

00:59:36.620 best thing

00:59:37.000 they've

00:59:37.220 ever seen

00:59:37.820 you don't

00:59:39.080 even care

00:59:39.500 about the

00:59:39.820 other 90%

00:59:40.520 because most

00:59:42.380 shows are

00:59:43.040 not watched

00:59:43.820 by 90%

00:59:45.320 of the

00:59:45.520 public

00:59:45.820 a huge

00:59:47.600 hit

00:59:48.060 whether it's

00:59:49.120 a song

00:59:49.640 movie

00:59:50.040 a TV

00:59:50.420 show

00:59:50.720 is because

00:59:51.820 10%

00:59:52.480 of the

00:59:52.720 public

00:59:53.000 loves it

00:59:53.880 that's what

00:59:54.960 makes it

00:59:55.260 it

00:59:55.460 same with

00:59:56.060 Dilbert

00:59:56.320 if you

00:59:57.380 ask the

00:59:57.820 average

00:59:58.300 person

00:59:58.740 hey

00:59:59.060 how about

00:59:59.480 this

00:59:59.720 Dilbert

01:00:00.080 comic

01:00:00.440 the

01:00:01.440 average

01:00:01.920 person

01:00:02.300 would

01:00:02.440 say

01:00:02.600 not

01:00:03.640 for

01:00:03.860 me

01:00:04.080 but

01:00:05.340 something

01:00:06.120 like

01:00:06.460 10 or

01:00:07.040 20%

01:00:07.620 of the

01:00:07.900 public

01:00:08.160 who has

01:00:08.620 a job

01:00:09.160 and relates

01:00:09.740 to the

01:00:10.080 situations

01:00:10.600 etc

01:00:10.960 will cut

01:00:12.000 it out

01:00:12.300 buy the

01:00:12.680 book

01:00:12.900 get the

01:00:13.280 calendar

01:00:13.640 and that's

01:00:14.740 enough

01:00:15.060 to make

01:00:15.580 Dilbert

01:00:16.100 wildly

01:00:16.740 successful

01:00:17.300 so

01:00:18.460 be careful

01:00:19.540 when you're

01:00:19.960 looking at

01:00:20.360 average

01:00:20.980 favorability

01:00:21.740 because it

01:00:22.340 doesn't

01:00:22.660 predict

01:00:23.100 what does

01:00:24.280 predict

01:00:24.680 is if

01:00:25.440 you're

01:00:25.660 wildly

01:00:26.280 hating

01:00:27.320 or loving

01:00:27.980 an

01:00:28.280 individual

01:00:28.760 such as

01:00:29.320 a Trump

01:00:29.700 or an

01:00:30.000 AOC

01:00:30.300 so

01:00:31.160 Kevin

01:00:31.500 McCarthy

01:00:31.860 doesn't

01:00:32.220 have the

01:00:32.560 wild

01:00:32.900 hate

01:00:33.280 or the

01:00:33.780 wild

01:00:34.080 love

01:00:34.680 and that

01:00:35.860 usually

01:00:36.200 does not

01:00:36.900 predict

01:00:37.400 national

01:00:39.000 success

01:00:39.580 at least

01:00:41.300 running for

01:00:41.880 president

01:00:42.220 success

01:00:42.740 but

01:00:43.440 how hard

01:00:44.800 would it

01:00:45.080 be

01:00:45.440 for him

01:00:46.900 to learn

01:00:47.400 that

01:00:47.780 or to

01:00:48.280 let's

01:00:49.480 say

01:00:49.680 to adopt

01:00:51.580 a persona

01:00:52.320 that could 0.68

01:00:52.960 get him

01:00:53.280 elected

01:00:53.580 probably

01:00:54.000 could do

01:00:54.340 it

01:00:54.680 probably

01:00:55.200 could do

01:00:55.500 it

01:00:55.640 I would

01:00:56.200 guess

01:00:56.440 he has

01:00:56.740 the

01:00:56.920 capability

01:00:57.460 to raise

01:00:58.680 his game

01:00:59.220 but we'll

01:01:00.360 see

01:01:00.580 all right

01:01:01.280 that's all

01:01:02.220 I got

01:01:02.420 for now

01:01:02.880 yeah I

01:01:05.080 know about

01:01:05.480 the brains

01:01:05.940 behind AOC

01:01:06.720 there's

01:01:07.440 you know

01:01:08.180 she was

01:01:08.560 sort of

01:01:08.920 selected

01:01:09.640 and groomed

01:01:10.580 and there

01:01:11.180 was a

01:01:11.520 you know

01:01:12.260 a mentor

01:01:12.840 who probably

01:01:13.880 made a big

01:01:14.320 difference

01:01:14.680 but here's

01:01:15.640 the thing

01:01:16.000 everybody

01:01:16.920 who thinks

01:01:17.500 she's not

01:01:18.020 smart

01:01:18.520 you're

01:01:19.660 all wrong

01:01:20.440 say what

01:01:22.920 you will

01:01:23.340 about her

01:01:23.800 politics

01:01:24.380 she's

01:01:25.520 really

01:01:25.840 smart 0.96

01:01:26.380 I hate

01:01:27.460 to tell

01:01:27.800 you

01:01:27.980 but it's

01:01:29.000 obvious

01:01:29.440 if you're

01:01:30.400 still judging

01:01:31.000 her as 0.54

01:01:31.440 like the

01:01:31.820 bartender

01:01:32.340 you are

01:01:33.260 so missing

01:01:34.120 what's going

01:01:34.640 on

01:01:34.980 she's

01:01:35.920 smart

01:01:36.320 most of

01:01:37.820 our members

01:01:38.260 of Congress

01:01:38.780 are

01:01:39.200 most of

01:01:40.520 them

01:01:40.680 it's not

01:01:41.460 even

01:01:41.620 unusual

01:01:42.040 that's how

01:01:42.720 they get

01:01:43.000 elected

01:01:43.320 somebody

01:01:48.240 somebody

01:01:48.260 says

01:01:48.520 she's

01:01:48.800 misinformed

01:01:49.360 my

01:01:49.800 point

01:01:50.060 was

01:01:50.420 that

01:01:51.300 her

01:01:52.500 mentor

01:01:52.840 may

01:01:53.180 have

01:01:53.380 taught

01:01:53.620 her

01:01:53.760 a lot

01:01:54.220 but

01:01:55.060 if

01:01:55.300 you

01:01:55.460 factor

01:01:55.880 in

01:01:56.100 how

01:01:56.280 quickly

01:01:56.640 she

01:01:56.960 would

01:01:57.160 pick

01:01:57.420 up

01:01:57.640 what

01:01:57.840 she

01:01:58.000 learned

01:01:58.400 the

01:01:59.180 mentor

01:01:59.520 may

01:01:59.780 have

01:02:00.060 you know

01:02:01.040 already

01:02:01.420 given

01:02:02.400 all he

01:02:02.820 could

01:02:02.980 give

01:02:03.240 there

01:02:03.400 may

01:02:03.560 not

01:02:03.740 be

01:02:03.900 more

01:02:04.160 more

01:02:04.520 to

01:02:04.700 give

01:02:04.880 there

01:02:05.100 all

01:02:08.480 right

01:02:08.760 when

01:02:13.920 has

01:02:14.180 AOC

01:02:14.560 ever

01:02:14.940 faced

01:02:15.320 a

01:02:15.560 tough

01:02:15.840 interview

01:02:16.400 you

01:02:16.800 say

01:02:17.120 I

01:02:18.620 wouldn't

01:02:18.920 worry

01:02:19.140 about

01:02:19.380 that

01:02:19.600 at

01:02:19.760 all

01:02:20.040 I'm

01:02:21.000 pretty

01:02:21.280 sure

01:02:21.520 she

01:02:21.700 could

01:02:21.860 handle

01:02:22.080 a

01:02:22.260 tough

01:02:22.440 interview

01:02:22.740 and

01:02:23.780 she

01:02:24.340 does

01:02:24.580 what

01:02:24.900 what

01:02:26.100 Trump

01:02:26.380 does

01:02:26.700 which

01:02:26.980 is

01:02:27.280 she'll

01:02:28.260 do

01:02:28.560 the

01:02:28.780 big

01:02:29.120 ask

01:02:29.700 that

01:02:30.020 you

01:02:30.140 think

01:02:30.380 is 0.98

01:02:30.540 ridiculous 0.97

01:02:31.000 but 0.99

01:02:31.720 then

01:02:32.080 it

01:02:32.260 ends

01:02:32.440 up

01:02:32.620 well

01:02:32.820 because

01:02:33.040 she

01:02:33.140 negotiates

01:02:33.780 toward

01:02:33.980 the

01:02:34.140 middle

01:02:34.320 all

01:02:35.460 right

01:02:35.640 that's

01:02:37.440 all

01:02:37.580 we

01:02:37.700 got

01:02:37.840 for

01:02:37.980 now

01:02:38.240 and

01:02:38.560 I

01:02:38.760 will

01:02:38.920 talk

01:02:39.220 to

01:02:39.360 you

01:02:39.640 later

01:02:40.660 all

01:02:44.300 right

01:02:44.440 YouTubers 0.97

01:02:44.860 somebody

01:02:48.060 says

01:02:48.320 she

01:02:48.540 even

01:02:48.740 flubs

01:02:49.160 the

01:02:49.400 softball

01:02:49.880 I'd

01:02:50.080 have

01:02:50.200 to

01:02:50.320 see

01:02:50.480 some

01:02:50.820 examples

01:02:51.380 of

01:02:51.560 that

01:02:51.780 her

01:02:53.180 public

01:02:54.580 speaking

01:02:55.040 is so

01:02:55.520 good

01:02:55.800 that

01:02:56.000 I

01:02:56.140 can't

01:02:56.520 imagine

01:02:57.020 that

01:02:58.060 she

01:02:58.200 would

01:02:58.360 be

01:02:58.500 bad

01:02:58.820 in

01:02:59.000 a

01:02:59.160 tough

01:02:59.400 interview

01:02:59.800 who's

01:03:02.300 going

01:03:02.480 to jail

01:03:02.880 for

01:03:03.080 the

01:03:03.220 fraud

01:03:03.600 which

01:03:03.880 fraud

01:03:04.220 let's

01:03:10.720 see

01:03:10.860 just

01:03:11.080 looking

01:03:11.280 at

01:03:11.420 some

01:03:11.580 of

01:03:11.660 your

01:03:11.740 questions

01:03:12.300 she's

01:03:17.720 one

01:03:17.900 generation

01:03:18.420 removed

01:03:19.220 from

01:03:19.500 all

01:03:20.440 right

01:03:20.660 well

01:03:21.320 there's

01:03:21.540 a lot

01:03:21.800 of

01:03:22.020 Margaret

01:03:26.360 Huber

01:03:26.840 not

01:03:27.240 good

01:03:27.820 how do

01:03:29.040 you

01:03:29.180 bruise

01:03:29.560 your

01:03:29.740 arm

01:03:30.180 is my

01:03:31.780 arm

01:03:31.980 bruised

01:03:32.400 it's

01:03:38.660 weird

01:03:38.900 I

01:03:41.620 didn't

01:03:41.760 know

01:03:41.900 I

01:03:42.000 had

01:03:42.120 a

01:03:42.220 bruise

01:03:42.540 you

01:03:43.460 know

01:03:43.580 it's

01:03:43.700 weird

01:03:43.960 I

01:03:44.940 can't

01:03:45.240 see

01:03:45.380 it

01:03:45.640 I'm

01:03:47.400 looking

01:03:47.560 at

01:03:47.720 my

01:03:47.840 arm

01:03:48.080 and

01:03:48.200 I

01:03:48.380 can't

01:03:49.060 see

01:03:49.200 it

01:03:49.300 but

01:03:49.400 I

01:03:49.500 can

01:03:49.620 see

01:03:49.800 it

01:03:49.900 on

01:03:50.040 camera

01:03:50.340 just

01:03:51.260 the

01:03:51.420 lighting

01:03:51.660 is

01:03:51.840 different

01:03:52.120 actually

01:03:52.820 I

01:03:52.920 have

01:03:53.040 no

01:03:53.200 idea

01:03:53.500 I

01:03:54.720 must

01:03:54.900 have

01:03:55.000 banked

01:03:55.280 it

01:03:55.360 on

01:03:55.480 something

01:03:55.740 it's

01:03:58.380 not

01:03:58.560 it's

01:03:59.120 not

01:03:59.280 a

01:03:59.400 burn

01:03:59.660 it's

01:04:01.560 a

01:04:01.680 bruise

01:04:02.040 I

01:04:02.260 just

01:04:02.440 don't

01:04:02.620 know

01:04:02.760 how

01:04:02.900 I

01:04:03.020 got

01:04:03.160 it

01:04:03.600 all

01:04:04.000 right

01:04:04.080 that's

01:04:04.260 all

01:04:04.380 for

01:04:04.500 now

01:04:04.760 and

01:04:04.960 I'll

01:04:05.080 talk

01:04:05.260 to

01:04:05.360 you

01:04:05.560 later

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - February 26, 2021

Episode 1297 Scott Adams： Bombing Syria, The Obesity-Virus Pandemic, and How Not to ＂Log Off＂ on Zoom

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