Real Coffee with Scott Adams - February 26, 2021


Episode 1297 Scott Adams: Bombing Syria, The Obesity-Virus Pandemic, and How Not to "Log Off" on Zoom


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 4 minutes

Words per Minute

149.42278

Word Count

9,578

Sentence Count

5

Misogynist Sentences

6

Hate Speech Sentences

12


Summary

In this episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, host Scott Adams talks about the new president, Donald Trump, and what it means to be a modern president. Scott Adams is the CEO of the world's largest financial company, a venture capitalist, an investor, a speaker, a strategist, a writer, and a podcaster. He is also the host of the daily financial news show, "Scott Adams' Morning Coffee" and is a regular contributor to the Financial Times.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 hey everybody come on in it's time it's time for coffee with scott adams best time of the day and
00:00:11.760 it'll be one of the best ones ever yeah hey omar dr funk juice you too good morning everybody
00:00:20.200 and if you'd like to enjoy today to its maximum potential and i know you would all you need is
00:00:25.900 a cuppa mug or glass a tank of chalice at times canteen jogger flask vessel of any kind fill it
00:00:30.500 with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the in parallel pleasure dopamine hit
00:00:36.860 of the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and people all
00:00:42.880 over the world will be joining in right now go
00:00:47.120 yeah yep that's the stuff that's oh you can feel it just going down and making yourself healthier
00:00:57.260 as you as you digest really good stuff well you want to talk about all the interesting things in
00:01:03.560 the news i know you do i know you do but first a question for you what value do i uh do i produce
00:01:15.480 that would make you want to watch this in the era of being after trump now when trump was in office
00:01:23.740 a lot of people were watching me for my trump persuasion and other comments about him but why
00:01:29.900 would you watch now i'll tell you what i'm going to try to do and i'll look for some feedback on this
00:01:37.840 i'm going to try to make sure that anytime you watch me you're increasing your talent stack in other
00:01:44.460 words i'm going to try to talk about what's happening in the news but that won't be the main
00:01:49.880 thing the main thing will be to try to get you to understand it better by improving your talent stack
00:01:56.840 so i'm going to make you more effective in your life not just informed that will be
00:02:03.620 my my goal so if you're wondering why to watch this it will be because the people who do are getting
00:02:09.680 smarter and better every single day and by the way i think a lot of you will confirm that that's true
00:02:16.500 uh in the comments while i'm talking about other things for those of you who are newer tell me if
00:02:23.720 you think you've gotten anything valuable from watching me for however long you've watched me
00:02:29.360 and that'll tell the other people what's up all right uh biden decided to bomb some factions in
00:02:39.540 syria that are being funded and supported by iran in response to iranian proxies hurting uh at least
00:02:48.340 one contractor in an attack two weeks ago now i would like to say that this is a good move
00:02:55.500 by biden now if you're if you're tuning into me to watch me say bad things about democrats
00:03:01.980 and good things about republicans i'm not going to do that nothing like that will ever happen here
00:03:08.340 i'm just going to talk about what works and what doesn't and you can you can play the politics yourself
00:03:14.080 when when trump and pence won in 2016 i talked about the what i call the new ceo move
00:03:23.460 which is how you establish who you are when a new ceo is uh is hired they'll often do something
00:03:31.080 big and splashy right off the bat they'll uh maybe fire some executives who needed it they'll
00:03:37.140 reorganize some things but the idea is to establish who you are as the new leader right off the bat
00:03:44.840 because your first impression just has all this power forever whoever you are on day one it's going
00:03:51.440 to be hard to change that so you want to get it right in the beginning so pence and trump did that
00:03:57.320 when they started going talking to ford and carrier when when they first got elected before they'd even
00:04:03.260 been sworn in it was really really good first move uh ceo kind of play and then trump did it again
00:04:11.320 when he fired all of his cruise missiles into that airport in syria uh to give russia a little bit of a
00:04:19.120 tap on the shoulder now people watching it said wow that might even be sort of an overreaction or
00:04:26.460 wow trump sure went military quickly but it was a good positioning attack because it said
00:04:35.820 oh yeah and it was also the mother of all bombs in afghanistan and i believe that trump played that
00:04:41.840 exactly right by establishing right up front you don't know what i'm going to do which he would say
00:04:48.460 that directly you can't predict what i'm going to do but you did see me drop that mother of all bombs
00:04:54.600 and you did see me attack that airport so just be warned you don't know what i'm going to do but it
00:05:02.820 could definitely include lots of violence that is exactly the positioning you want now biden comes in
00:05:11.180 and of course our adversaries adversaries are going to be poking them they're going to find out hey do
00:05:16.040 we have a little more a little more freedom under this new president are we going to be able to get a
00:05:20.260 little get away with a little bit more and biden has now sent the following message no no you can't
00:05:29.680 now i know what you're thinking was biden even involved in the decision is he so mentally degraded that
00:05:36.680 it's his staff who's making the decisions i don't think it matters that much in this context because
00:05:44.780 whether it's biden calling all the shots or some biden cartel collectively making decisions it looks
00:05:53.440 the same the the message is the same which is if you mess with the united states there will be violence
00:06:00.220 there will be violence there will be a response now i heard somebody on twitter say uh why do you
00:06:07.180 wait so long two weeks that's also perfect waiting two weeks to do your attack perfect because it also
00:06:16.280 sends the following message you don't know when it's going to come we're not going to forget it
00:06:22.360 it's coming might be today might be in two weeks but the one thing you can be sure of
00:06:28.920 it's coming now of course you want to do it right so it might take a few weeks to pick the right target
00:06:34.400 and get the right assets in place and all that so i'm going to give biden an a plus for um for
00:06:42.800 handling this situation so far anybody disagree would it would anybody disagree with that grade now
00:06:51.520 there there's a secondary question and maybe it's not a secondary maybe it should be primary some would
00:06:57.080 argue the rand paul position that there's no authorization for this attack and the president
00:07:04.160 can't just start a war basically can't just attack another country and i think that that position needs
00:07:12.640 our full respect in fact uh rand paul's position is not unlike jen saki's uh position just a few years
00:07:22.960 ago when trump was doing it and where she criticized trump trump for attacking syria basically not
00:07:30.140 authorized all the rest now here's an interesting thing i don't really understand the whole situation
00:07:39.280 with executive orders do you do any of you understand what's going on with let's say the
00:07:45.780 whole body of executive orders over the last few years because i don't quite understand
00:07:50.800 how the president can just sort of
00:07:54.440 do stuff that you thought congress was supposed to do how does the president just decide to just do
00:08:03.120 it himself and then people obey it why do they obey it why does anybody obey an executive order now i
00:08:11.340 know that there's different kinds there's some executive orders that are just a clarification on an
00:08:16.880 existing law and that's perfectly fine everybody's okay with that somebody has to clarify the law
00:08:23.580 right it's fair fair game maybe the courts have to do it if people don't like how the president did it but
00:08:29.260 it's a good process but what happens when the president does something with an executive order that the
00:08:35.680 constitution didn't quite foresee do we let that happen i feel as if and this is just speculation i need
00:08:45.840 somebody smart to tell me how wrong this is because it's probably pretty wrong but it feels like the country
00:08:51.880 has a great um let's say a great flexibility with how they treat the executive the president when congress
00:09:01.420 isn't effective because congress has such a low rating that we're happy when anything gets done you know you you see your
00:09:10.840 government make a decision and then implement it and it goes well uh it's hard to disagree with it
00:09:18.100 because the alternative would have been to take it to congress and nothing happens and it's a big fight
00:09:23.500 and nothing good happens so it feels as if um it feels as if
00:09:30.200 people are just sort of okay with executive orders because the alternative looks worse
00:09:37.300 which is to depend on congress for making decisions so are we sort of drifting toward a dictatorship
00:09:45.420 because people prefer it because the alternative is being incompetent having congress muddle around
00:09:52.640 yeah now the problem of course is that if you take it too far let's say for example this latest
00:10:00.640 bombing attack let's say that when trump did it and also when biden did it that let's say it was
00:10:06.000 extra constitutional meaning the constitution doesn't quite support this act but what if the country
00:10:13.780 does yeah the country might support it and by majority so i don't know it feels like it could be
00:10:23.160 dangerous but on the other hand i like it when it happens generally i like it when something happens
00:10:28.920 so i i think i do i do like our presidents including biden to have some executive order power
00:10:36.640 now the congress and rand paul and i think rand paul is a is a great asset to the country by pushing
00:10:44.320 back on it because you don't want the executive orders without the pushback right anytime this happens
00:10:51.200 even if you like the executive order don't you have to also like that rand paul is pushing against it
00:10:57.640 you could like both of those things because they're they work together pretty well it keeps the
00:11:03.620 executive orders maybe a little bit constrained because there's some pushback but you still get
00:11:08.520 to do them when they're important it's kind of perfect so thank you to rand paul for pushing back
00:11:15.300 but at the same time i kind of like this i like this action in terms of national security
00:11:21.560 i've told you before that uh it's handy to have a story of you here's the helpful part of my
00:11:29.980 broadcast you should always have a heroic story of you which is the the sort of the imaginary story
00:11:40.160 you have in your mind of who you are character wise or who you are capability wise or or who you are
00:11:48.100 basically just who you are and i've told you before that my story and i'm going to add to this in a bit
00:11:53.400 but the the personal story that i keep running as a little loop in my mind and always have is what i
00:12:01.100 call prisoner island and prisoner island imagines that there's some island where all the prisoners go
00:12:08.940 and there's no there's no law there they just are dropped on the island and there's no guards or
00:12:15.020 anything it's just a prisoner society so it's pretty rugged there so i get convicted of something
00:12:21.000 and i'm dropped by helicopter onto the prisoner island well australia is a little bigger so you
00:12:29.040 know that that doesn't work for my story but imagine it's a smallish smallish island and all the
00:12:33.460 prisoners know each other and stuff now on day one if you drop me in prisoner island how am i going to do
00:12:42.520 not so well right because i'm not physically large etc so the prisoners would beat me up and rape me
00:12:52.440 day one day two prisoners would beat me up and rape me again day three day four are going to look a lot
00:13:00.680 alike beaten up raped beaten up raped three or four months go by beaten up raped but here's here's the
00:13:10.380 the uh the prisoner island story it's a story i run in my head come back in a year come back in a year
00:13:19.760 in a year i'm going to run the island and everybody who touched me will be dead but you have to wait a
00:13:26.680 year day one won't go so well day two not so good come back in a year they'll all be dead and i'll be
00:13:35.620 running the island every fucking time now is that true no i just made it up right it's just a story
00:13:44.080 in my head is it also true that i would fight through you know adversity well i'm trying to make
00:13:53.740 it true right i like to think it's true but having a story of you is like a program that runs in your
00:14:01.600 head permanently and it can make it you it can it can turn you into that by being the story that
00:14:07.480 guides you all right now let me take that story into this next news item there was a man i guess
00:14:16.160 his last name was uh raja gopal i think it was india was india might have been pakistan i forget
00:14:22.300 but uh he's from the uh karna tacos hassan district so somebody can tell me where that is
00:14:29.300 but anyway he was riding his motorcycle and a uh a cheetah or a leopard it's not clear
00:14:35.500 uh attacked his family just like came from the bushes and attacked his and bit his son on the
00:14:42.220 leg and it starts attacking his son and wife this guy who's not some you know he's not some like
00:14:49.940 fighter or hero or anything he's just a guy gets off his motorcycle and kills the leopard with his
00:14:58.360 bare hands to save his family he actually grabbed the leopard and strangled it did he get hurt in the
00:15:08.720 process oh yeah he did yeah he got hurt but he also saved his family and strangled a leopard or
00:15:19.560 maybe a cheetah cheetah or leopard i don't know it's pretty bad either way now that's the prisoner
00:15:26.020 island story this is the prisoner island story now i don't know anything about the guy who did this
00:15:33.000 but it makes me wonder does he have the prisoner island story in his head some version of it has he
00:15:41.760 carried a model of himself through his life that when he came to this situation the model kicked in
00:15:49.840 and and there was no doubt who was going to win the fight and that he was going to fight
00:15:56.200 now it probably was just reflex of you know somebody saving his family so probably there
00:16:01.940 wasn't a lot of thinking going on it was just reflex but whether or not he had the prisoner island
00:16:09.020 story in his head he has it now he has it now the next time he gets in a situation that you and i
00:16:16.520 would be frightened to death of he knows he can get through it or has gotten through something
00:16:23.340 similarly dangerous so make yourself a prisoner's island story it doesn't have to be real it just
00:16:31.720 becomes the program that runs in your head could come in handy if you were attacked by a leopard
00:16:36.580 have you seen the videos of the the tom cruise deep fakes look on my timeline if you haven't seen
00:16:45.440 them yet um they're i don't even know what to think about them so there's some discussion about
00:16:53.660 whether they're real deep fakes they're actually so good that you can't tell if they're deep fakes
00:17:00.660 and some people are saying ah you got fooled it's really just a look-alike it's a look-alike
00:17:06.900 pretending to be a deep fake maybe maybe i can't tell i can't tell if it's a real person i also can't
00:17:17.060 tell if it's actually tom cruise who's playing a prank it doesn't quite look like tom cruise to me
00:17:23.840 so my personal opinion is it's not tom cruise i can't rule out a look-alike
00:17:30.880 but it did look a lot like him now uh somebody says too tall i don't know if you can tell from
00:17:40.200 the video his height but here's the thing that's how good a deep fake is right now that we can't
00:17:50.020 even tell if it was really a deep fake how good do you think the best ones are because this is just
00:17:56.260 something that ran on twitter right it's just something on social media how is the best one
00:18:03.820 don't you assume that there are government let's say government versions of this
00:18:09.560 you know where we're we're working on it for both offensive and defensive reasons because i have to
00:18:17.220 think these deep fakes have a military application that's through the roof what would happen and you
00:18:25.300 know we're working on this right like i i don't feel like i'm giving away a state secret because
00:18:30.700 it's kind of obvious don't you think that our government and probably other ones are putting
00:18:36.780 together deep fakes of other leaders and deep fakes of terrorists don't you think if we had a good
00:18:47.360 deep fake of osama bin laden we could have gotten we could have made some videos and put them into the
00:18:54.180 system and cause people to act differently because they thought bin laden was giving them guidance
00:18:59.940 but we could and i'm not sure we didn't how would we know right we wouldn't know if we'd done that
00:19:08.620 nobody would tell you so the the uh opportunity for um weaponizing these deep fakes is really scary
00:19:18.840 because imagine you get into a shooting war and we take the the deep fake of the leader of the other side
00:19:26.340 put him on a video and he says hey everybody lay down your weapons we're surrendering
00:19:31.880 his own military would probably think it was true
00:19:35.680 right because everybody would even in the military they have the phones right or do they
00:19:41.220 if you're on operation maybe not because you could track the phone but uh when they got back to base
00:19:49.100 people would have phones and stuff right so even even if you're a terrorist you would see the video
00:19:55.600 it wouldn't have to be on tv it would just be circulating and it would be your leader your
00:20:00.040 terrorist leader saying uh lay down your weapons you know we got everything we wanted or whatever
00:20:05.260 so that's common um twitter is talking about having some kind of pay model where you could
00:20:13.340 optionally charge people for extra content maybe even newsletters so the world is moving toward this
00:20:20.200 subscription base but twitter has a really big obstacle to overcome a psychological obstacle
00:20:27.400 and the psychological obstacle is you're used to twitter being free once you get used to it being free
00:20:34.760 people are going to complain if there's any anything that looks like it's extra and it's on twitter but
00:20:42.820 you have to pay for it it's really going to make people angry let me tell you how are you going to
00:20:48.980 feel um well this is how i feel now i'll read a story on let's say twitter or cnn or whatever and i'll
00:20:56.840 click to see the original story and it's behind a paywall or you have to go and figure out how to turn
00:21:03.520 off your ads and your ad blocker which is too much of a bother i would say i skip almost everything
00:21:11.080 that's asking me for money or a password or or my email address or to turn off ad blockers and every
00:21:18.160 time i go to one of those links i get angry now twitter users are going to have that experience they could
00:21:25.220 be like hey that looks interesting click oh i'd have to pay for that i'm angry oh here's a good one
00:21:33.100 oh i'd have to pay for that what would happen if everything that's useful on twitter turns into a
00:21:39.620 paywall because that's the only thing that'll be behind the paywall right good stuff you're not going
00:21:45.340 to put your worthless stuff behind the paywall so twitter has a really big challenge how to handle the
00:21:52.480 the customer's psychology now as you know i have a full subscription account was separately on the
00:22:00.380 locals platform but the locals platform was built for just that its only purpose is to be a
00:22:08.680 subscription platform so there's no psychological barrier there nobody would sign up for it unless
00:22:15.440 they knew exactly what they were getting so they're all happy but if you're used to it being free
00:22:22.080 people don't like you adding any kind of friction to that even if it's the extra stuff because they're
00:22:29.080 going to think we used to get the extra for free didn't we but i do think subscription is the way
00:22:34.580 things have to go so twitter is making the right move it's just gonna be hard hard to implement in
00:22:39.560 their case i think they'll be successful successful at some level all right but if you don't want to be
00:22:46.240 banned etc something like locals would be better now i keep hearing about a new platform called clubhouse
00:22:55.140 which as i understand it is uh some kind of open audio conversations with some set of rules
00:23:02.220 and i have i've i've received a number of uh invitations to it i guess it's still invitation
00:23:08.840 um and i've uh i've declined them all so far now the reason that someone someone says clubhouse is
00:23:19.340 chinese that's not true is it i don't think that's true um so don't believe that unless you see some
00:23:28.440 confirmation i don't think that's true but uh you got my interest if it is true i definitely want to
00:23:36.660 know it somebody says it's not a u.s company i was sure it was a u.s company no the api they use is
00:23:46.200 chinese somebody says all right so there may be some connection let's put that as an open question
00:23:51.360 but that's not what i was going for today what i was going for is i don't understand it
00:23:55.880 so this is the interesting thing clubhouse everybody's talking about it and signing up
00:24:01.060 and everything so there must be something to it but i keep waiting to hear something about it
00:24:06.200 that makes me want to do it and i haven't and i don't know what other people are hearing that makes
00:24:13.140 them want to do it because lots of smart connected forward-thinking people are already on it and
00:24:19.240 telling me i should be on it but i don't know why does anybody know why because i don't think you
00:24:26.920 can monetize it right and if there's no video isn't it less good
00:24:33.200 all right somebody says think live podcasts well um i suppose if they did a good job on the
00:24:42.800 interface it would be interesting i'll probably check it out eventually but my only point is not
00:24:47.440 that it is or is not valuable but why have i heard so much about it and yet nobody has told me
00:24:54.740 what its value proposition is isn't that weird
00:24:58.760 what you would think that almost any business or product that you hear about people would tell
00:25:06.240 you why to use it like what its extra advantages but i haven't heard that about clubhouse and i don't
00:25:11.780 know why does that mean there isn't any extra advantage i don't know i guess i'll keep that as an
00:25:19.500 open question um here there's a big news about the minimum wage 15 dollar thing that the democrats
00:25:26.960 want to want to make a national law and i guess the uh there's a rules person who decides the
00:25:35.060 parliamentary and rules person in the senate uh has decided that they can't include that minimum
00:25:41.920 wage thing with this big omnibus bill there's some kind of rule that says you can't include things that
00:25:47.520 are trivially related to the main purpose and this is too trivially related to the main purpose i guess
00:25:54.940 so number one i don't agree with this parliamentary decision it might be correct in terms of interpreting
00:26:05.200 the rules but why does congress uh put a rule on itself what what's the point of that why would why
00:26:17.240 would congress limit its own its own uh flexibility yeah somebody says it's a rule it's a rule but why
00:26:28.240 why is it a rule why in the world can't the congress say you know we all think we all think this should
00:26:36.620 be in this bill why can't we just put it in there would that bother you as a citizen if you were a
00:26:45.220 citizen would it bother you that there was some weird rule that they collectively decided to just
00:26:53.460 ignore because there wasn't any purpose for the rule i can't see the purpose for it now i get that you
00:27:01.100 don't want to have big you know messed up group things and you want to maintain the ability to do a
00:27:09.220 filibuster and you know it's like complicated etc but none of this stuff serves the public i don't
00:27:17.200 think uh somebody says in all capitals you don't understand the senate and house rules i'm gonna block
00:27:25.380 you for telling me what i don't understand goodbye in all caps probably could have gotten away with that
00:27:32.580 if you hadn't used all caps don't criticize me in all caps if you want to come back at the very least
00:27:41.160 use upper and lower case then you've got a chance of surviving but you're not going to survive with
00:27:47.500 all caps and no reasons just some some kind of weird insult because i'm telling you i don't know the
00:27:55.080 rules so you don't need to yell at me that i don't know the rules when it's literally what i'm
00:28:01.340 fucking saying to you i don't know the rules okay um i'm swearing at a guy who can't hear me
00:28:09.140 all right uh so here's my take on the minimum wage so forget about the the rules the rule part
00:28:15.840 this is you know you wish there could be some something like an executive order from
00:28:21.440 mitch mcconnell who could just say yeah there's a rule but we're just going to ignore it
00:28:25.540 because it doesn't serve us so what is your opinion on the 15 minimum wage in the comments
00:28:34.640 can i get get a feel of the crowd yes no on the minimum wage going to 15 it doesn't look like
00:28:43.220 it's going to be an option right away but what do you think i'm interested in my specific audience
00:28:49.560 uh so take a second for the uh for the answers to come in i'll tell you my opinion it goes like this
00:28:56.620 and i base this on the fact i have a degree in economics i have an mba from a high-end college
00:29:05.620 you know uh university berkeley and here's my opinion about the 15 minimum wage i don't know
00:29:15.420 i don't know every one of you who says yes or no what are you basing that on
00:29:22.920 because i'm telling you i've got a degree in this i don't know i don't know if it's good
00:29:29.820 how do you know where the hell do you get your opinion from seriously where the hell did you get
00:29:36.840 these opinions because i don't think economists agree do they wouldn't you like to see two
00:29:45.560 economists uh one on each side just get on the show and give you 15 minutes you don't need more
00:29:52.260 but you don't need less just 15 minutes of two economists on either side saying here's why it's
00:29:58.560 a good idea and then the other one says this is why it's a bad idea and then maybe then i could make
00:30:03.600 a decision but have you ever seen that i haven't seen that i've seen complaints about people saying
00:30:09.740 it should be different in different areas because not every area is the same it might hurt some places
00:30:15.760 it might help some places and that feels like a good argument i don't know how accurate it is but it
00:30:20.980 feels at least like it makes sense so here's my advice to you if you have a really strong feeling
00:30:29.660 about this 15 minimum wage and you're not a small business owner yourself in other words it's not
00:30:36.360 going to directly affect you immediately maybe you shouldn't maybe you shouldn't have that opinion
00:30:43.820 because i don't think economists agree you know i don't i don't think all economists are on the same
00:30:50.580 side do you do you do you think if you surveyed economists they'd all be like 95 of them would say
00:30:57.000 either yes or no now i get the milton friedman argument of course that the free market you know
00:31:03.180 is bad it is the best mechanism but we don't really have a free market we don't really have a free market
00:31:10.760 we we have a very uh let's say we we do have a free market we don't have an efficient market that's
00:31:19.460 what i should have said it is free but it's not efficient in order for this minimum wage to find its
00:31:26.060 right level based on competition and the economy and everything else you need less friction you need
00:31:34.380 the ability for things to adjust you know in real time fairly quickly and all that i don't believe
00:31:40.160 that happens because people don't have that much mobility i they're just too much friction i think
00:31:47.100 so i have no idea whether this is a good idea i have no idea now what do you do when you have no
00:31:53.220 idea if something is a good idea anybody anybody what do you do if you're not sure it's a good idea
00:32:02.920 you test it which one of the uh which one of the sides the democrats or the republicans
00:32:10.740 are saying you know we can't tell if this is good or bad why don't we run it for a year and let's say
00:32:16.740 one state or maybe some selected counties we'll just test it for one year and then we'll know
00:32:23.380 right are the republicans saying that where are the republicans saying you know we think it's a bad
00:32:30.480 idea but we don't hate testing things where's that guy or or woman right where's that person
00:32:39.840 or any gender you like um the only thing we need we don't fucking have am i wrong is there some story
00:32:50.640 i'm missing here tell me i'm wrong nobody knows the right answer it would be trivially easy to test
00:32:59.160 relative to big national things it's easy you just say this county that's the rule for a year let's see
00:33:05.940 how it goes right i don't understand why we as a population are putting up with this
00:33:14.660 this is pure incompetence because the the people making the decision they don't know if 15 an hour
00:33:23.860 is a good idea do you think there's anybody in congress who knows more than i do and i don't know
00:33:30.620 much that's the whole point i don't know much about whether a 15 minimum wage is a good idea
00:33:36.160 i don't think so and when i say good idea i mean good overall in the long run right all things
00:33:43.000 considered it's obviously good for the people get the raise most of them if they keep their job
00:33:47.960 so i don't think we can be happy with any opinion on this and i would tell you that if you have a firm
00:33:55.060 opinion either yes or no on the minimum wage you shouldn't if you have a firm opinion on this
00:34:01.140 you shouldn't because smart people don't know like really well-informed smart people don't really know
00:34:09.260 they might lean one direction but without a test nobody knows all right um i've come to a
00:34:17.480 potential decision about what's the biggest factor or factors in covid infections and it goes like
00:34:25.040 this i feel as if there are two things and some of this is just speculation and a little bit of
00:34:31.920 what i'm reading but here are some things we've learned about the covid infections we think number
00:34:38.740 one in the uk surprisingly they say there's no real difference in minority outcomes for coronavirus
00:34:46.480 except that they get infected more often but haven't we all been under the impression
00:34:53.480 that your uh genetic makeup would probably make a difference in your outcomes but it might be that
00:35:01.460 that's true but that genetic difference is not necessarily uh ethnically related in other words
00:35:09.600 if you read between the lines here the uk outcome if let's say the data holds you know any
00:35:16.340 preliminary study like this you can't you can't assume it's right but let's say it is
00:35:21.440 it would be saying that genetically there wouldn't be much difference across ethnicities but there
00:35:27.860 might be a big difference in terms of lifestyle and economic situation and that might be what's
00:35:32.900 driving more infections for example at the lower economic end of things there might be more people
00:35:38.840 living per house it could it could be that it could be they have less health care resources
00:35:45.360 could be that so this this uh this may be really important information if it's true i'd still wait to
00:35:56.720 get a confirmation of this all right so that's the first new piece of information there might not be
00:36:03.520 that much difference ethnically even though the outcomes are very different might be lifestyle not
00:36:08.980 genetics although there could still be and probably is a gigantic genetic difference across individuals
00:36:16.000 but not necessarily across ethnicities um which seems unlikely to me frankly but
00:36:23.680 doesn't it seem unlikely to you that there's no difference in ethnicity feels unlikely but that's
00:36:31.680 that's what we have here all right um then we also have an hse university research study that says
00:36:39.880 that uh oh i'm sorry that was that was the genetic difference study but there's a additional study
00:36:46.820 that says that uh 63 percent of u.s hospitalizations for covid could have been prevented if we were not so
00:36:56.000 darn fat so obesity according to this one study is responsible for 30 percent of the excess hospitalizations
00:37:05.660 um and the same sentence it says 63 percent so it's it's written very poorly so i don't know uh
00:37:15.120 exactly which of those numbers to look at because it looks like it's two different numbers saying the same
00:37:19.000 thing but there's a gigantic difference in obesity now we all knew that right we all knew that
00:37:25.420 but there's some kind of word that i didn't write down that says that uh sometimes it's the
00:37:32.100 combination of two things you know you need the you need the comorbidity plus the virus one by itself
00:37:38.060 doesn't doesn't kill you now how do why do we call this a simply a virus pandemic when it's clearly
00:37:49.560 an obesity pandemic at the same time it's two pandemics if you call obesity a pandemic
00:37:56.460 but we sort of ignore one of them and pay all of our attention to the other one when they're clearly
00:38:04.480 both gigantic variables now i agree the virus itself is a bigger variable than obesity but the obesity
00:38:13.180 thing is so big it's like you should talk about them in the same sentence every time we've got a big
00:38:19.860 problem with the virus killing our fat people right now i don't do fat shaming so i'm just using fat
00:38:27.020 in a casual way not to mean an insult uh you know i myself have been uh a few pounds overweight at various
00:38:38.600 times in my life and so i don't do fat shaming but it's just simply a fact that americans are
00:38:45.420 overweight so i feel as if the fact that we don't talk about that more is for what social reasons
00:38:54.120 wokeness is there some reason we can't talk about people's health because they'll feel bad it'll be
00:39:00.620 racist somehow sure um here's the most predictable thing what was the most predictable thing that
00:39:11.400 would come out of the tiger woods uh thing and by by the way i don't mean to make fun of anything that
00:39:16.640 happens to tiger woods we we all hope that he recovers and it is a tragedy so i'm not going to
00:39:23.000 take anything away from how bad this is but the most predictable thing and i wish i'd said it in public
00:39:29.580 because it was so predictable today we learn that woods does tiger woods does not remember the crash
00:39:38.420 was that predictable as soon as i heard that he was awake when they found him and he was coherent
00:39:48.860 and all that but that the actual cause of the crash was uh unknown as soon as i heard that i said to
00:39:57.080 myself he's going to say he doesn't remember the crash he's going to say he doesn't remember what
00:40:04.920 happened what would you do in that situation
00:40:08.800 what would you do in that situation if that were me i would say i didn't remember the crash
00:40:20.500 because he might have been texting i'm not saying he was he might have had something in his system
00:40:30.700 uh the apparently he was not tested for any drugs now i i don't know if the rules are different in
00:40:37.860 the uk but because there were there were no overt signs of drug use or inebriation in other words
00:40:45.000 or there was nothing in his car that suggested he had taken something uh and nobody had no
00:40:51.280 eyewitnesses that said ah we saw him put something in his mouth or anything like that so if you don't
00:40:55.580 have any cause it's just an accident i guess they can't check so tiger woods can just say i don't
00:41:02.540 remember they won't ever check his uh blood to find out if he was inebriated
00:41:09.060 and it looks like he can just go with that story that he doesn't remember and he'll be fine from any
00:41:16.060 kind of repercussions so i don't think anything was more predictable than he would say he doesn't
00:41:21.760 remember do you believe it do you believe he doesn't remember i'm going to go on record as saying
00:41:27.840 no i don't believe it it's not impossible it's traumatic very traumatic could be that the cause of
00:41:34.580 the accident was that he blacked out so then of course he wouldn't remember it it certainly looks
00:41:39.880 like he blacked down doesn't it wouldn't you say that the odds are based on how far the car went etc
00:41:46.380 you'd have to think he wasn't conscious wouldn't you and so to me the the texting or the cell phone
00:41:55.920 or even if an animal ran in the road i don't feel like i don't feel like they completely
00:42:02.560 would describe what happened it feels like he was unconscious but that's just speculation
00:42:07.660 no no all right um
00:42:11.320 amy do you know who amy siskind is or siskind but she's one of the more ridiculous characters
00:42:19.980 on twitter i think she's blocked me and vice versa eventually but she was like a crazy anti-trump
00:42:26.740 person and she tweeted after biden bombed syria she's tweeted so different having military action
00:42:35.600 under biden no middle school level threats on twitter trust biden and his team's competence
00:42:41.840 a tear is coming to my eye because biden he knows how to bomb syria in a responsible way
00:42:50.380 not the way trump did it with his irresponsible taunts no trump bombed syria the wrong way
00:42:58.980 whereas biden he's bombing syria in a responsible way so big difference there according to amy
00:43:09.340 um so china apparently uh did some covid tests on some u.s diplomats
00:43:17.960 and decided to go with the anal test test instead of the cheek swab
00:43:22.800 that's right instead of the nasal swab or the cheek swab uh china decided to shove something up our
00:43:30.700 diplomats asses uh they complained the diplomats complained about uh china shoving things up their
00:43:37.940 asses and china said oh it was an error it was a mistake sorry didn't mean it sorry and what will the
00:43:50.280 united states do will we turn the other cheek
00:43:55.760 will we note that although america went to mars china went to uranus
00:44:06.200 i would like to give this opportunity for all of you to add your own jokes
00:44:13.540 about china shoving a covid test up the ass of our diplomats what would what would trump have done
00:44:23.840 if china shoved things up the ass of our diplomats and then said whoops whoops sorry
00:44:34.240 what would trump have done
00:44:37.680 would he do what biden is likely to do complain
00:44:43.480 i don't know what he would have done
00:44:47.620 but he should have closed the embassies should just close the fucking embassies
00:44:53.220 like i don't know how you protect your diplomats
00:44:56.580 but do you want to be a diplomat that was not protected the way these guys were not protected
00:45:04.240 these guys and and women and genders of all types they were not protected
00:45:09.640 now i think they probably had a choice of saying no but then they probably couldn't travel
00:45:15.560 or i don't know there's probably some repercussion
00:45:17.460 so i don't feel this can go unaddressed do you this should not be unaddressed i think trump would
00:45:26.180 have addressed it i don't know if biden will
00:45:28.260 there's a new story of a uh a classroom assistant who didn't know his zoom was still on and uh he may
00:45:38.940 have uh he may have done a tubing he may have been he may have been doing a
00:45:45.340 little tubing uh when the camera was still on
00:45:48.400 uh-huh so uh
00:45:51.760 and uh here's the funniest part is that the young man the 21 year old uh employee
00:46:00.800 he he right he also has a side company when he's not being an assistant in schools he also runs pirate magic
00:46:08.680 uh business and throws pirate parties for youngsters
00:46:12.140 while he portrays a character named captain silly bones
00:46:18.700 let me give you this advice
00:46:30.700 here's some good advice for you and you can take this to the bank
00:46:36.040 if there's any chance at all that you're going to get caught masturbating on zoom
00:46:44.920 don't have a side business
00:46:48.040 don't have a side business called
00:46:52.500 uh called pirate parties
00:46:56.640 and don't call yourself captain silly bones
00:47:01.240 don't do them at the same time that's like a comorbidity
00:47:04.960 one of those things
00:47:07.240 just by itself
00:47:09.800 let's say that the pirate parties
00:47:11.780 one of those things by itself
00:47:14.120 that's fine
00:47:15.000 pleasuring yourself in private
00:47:17.940 far as i know still totally legal
00:47:20.860 totally legal
00:47:22.500 it's only a problem when you combine the two things on a zoom call
00:47:26.480 right
00:47:27.360 you know what
00:47:28.720 captain silly bones
00:47:32.320 i don't think he's going to get booked for another party
00:47:35.220 let me give you some advice
00:47:40.060 that you
00:47:40.580 that you will find
00:47:43.480 very useful
00:47:44.620 let me tell you what i do the moment i'm done
00:47:48.420 i'm done with these periscopes
00:47:50.640 the moment i'm done with them
00:47:52.400 i've got i've got two screens here two ipads
00:47:54.680 that are facing me where i would sit at my office desk
00:47:57.520 the first thing i do after i turn these off
00:48:00.120 is i turn them this way
00:48:02.540 so you're looking at each other now
00:48:04.540 the first thing i do when i'm done with any kind of a zoom call
00:48:10.460 on my laptop
00:48:11.920 first thing i do
00:48:14.080 close the laptop
00:48:15.600 so let me suggest to you
00:48:19.360 that you never assume
00:48:21.960 never assume
00:48:24.140 that you're not on live stream
00:48:26.220 because that's how you lose your pirate parties
00:48:29.760 if you know what i mean
00:48:30.660 never assume it
00:48:32.540 so as a habit
00:48:34.520 you should physically move your camera
00:48:37.880 out of a viewing district
00:48:39.560 when you're done
00:48:40.740 every time
00:48:41.700 and just do it every time
00:48:43.400 as a habit
00:48:45.400 i'll tell you one wake-up call
00:48:47.540 was when
00:48:48.040 somebody discovered that
00:48:49.880 i guess
00:48:50.360 mark zuckerberg
00:48:51.760 puts tape over the camera
00:48:54.080 on his own laptop
00:48:55.340 now do you think
00:48:57.140 mark zuckerberg
00:48:58.180 understands the world of
00:48:59.960 security
00:49:00.740 and what
00:49:01.600 is or is not a risk
00:49:03.120 oh he does
00:49:04.500 and if he's covering up the camera
00:49:07.160 on his laptop
00:49:08.120 maybe you should too
00:49:10.900 now he's more of a target than you are
00:49:12.860 but you're all targets
00:49:13.760 yeah
00:49:16.360 and the same with the hot mic
00:49:17.460 just assume you're always being listened to
00:49:19.420 now i've got a number of digital products here
00:49:22.300 everything from my phone
00:49:23.700 to my
00:49:24.300 amazon digital assistant
00:49:26.440 so i just assume that i'm being recorded all the time
00:49:29.920 i just assume it
00:49:31.960 i just assume there's nothing i say
00:49:34.080 even in the privacy of my own home
00:49:36.000 even in the bathroom
00:49:37.360 i just assume that somebody's listening
00:49:39.780 or could
00:49:40.360 doesn't mean they are listening
00:49:42.020 they just could
00:49:42.720 technologically they could
00:49:44.820 all right
00:49:47.160 so being boring is how i protect myself
00:49:49.580 cnbc had this story
00:49:52.180 and i think it's important that it's cnbc
00:49:54.340 because it's a major
00:49:55.400 major network right
00:49:57.180 bill gates
00:49:58.760 was asked about nuclear power
00:50:01.140 and he said it absolutely will be politically acceptable again
00:50:05.280 which is an interesting
00:50:06.920 way to make the prediction
00:50:09.000 i think he was asked that specific question
00:50:11.180 but according to bill gates
00:50:13.120 who most of you would associate with the left
00:50:15.880 wouldn't you
00:50:16.360 now i don't think he associates himself that way
00:50:19.520 i doubt
00:50:20.460 i mean maybe he's a democrat
00:50:22.160 i don't know
00:50:22.760 but he seems more like a problem solver
00:50:24.980 than a political animal
00:50:26.820 and
00:50:27.940 he's saying as clearly as possible
00:50:30.300 nuclear power will absolutely be politically acceptable again
00:50:33.960 and he said
00:50:35.500 he points out that it's safer than oil
00:50:37.300 coal and natural gas
00:50:38.660 the reason it will be acceptable
00:50:40.660 is that it's safer
00:50:41.700 and then he goes on to talk about
00:50:43.720 one of the companies he's invested in
00:50:45.400 Terra Power
00:50:46.000 it's a
00:50:47.240 the generation four nuclear power
00:50:49.640 that can't
00:50:50.400 can't melt down
00:50:51.400 and it's smaller
00:50:52.320 more economical
00:50:53.180 it's
00:50:54.500 more off-the-shelf pieces
00:50:56.080 you can transport it easily
00:50:57.840 etc
00:50:58.360 so that
00:50:59.520 we may be years away from making that
00:51:01.960 commercial
00:51:02.600 but it really does matter
00:51:05.260 that bill gates said this
00:51:06.460 because he's
00:51:07.340 he has credibility
00:51:08.760 with the left
00:51:10.380 you know
00:51:11.560 he thinks climate change is a big problem
00:51:13.960 so he's got credibility
00:51:14.920 here's the other
00:51:21.420 the other observation
00:51:23.940 I was going to make about COVID
00:51:25.620 I feel like
00:51:27.000 besides obesity
00:51:28.180 the other biggest factor
00:51:29.340 is how many strangers
00:51:30.680 you let in your house
00:51:31.880 and by strangers
00:51:33.420 I mean anybody who doesn't
00:51:34.740 live there normally
00:51:35.920 so
00:51:37.680 I feel as if
00:51:41.880 if we controlled
00:51:42.900 one variable
00:51:44.100 we would get through
00:51:45.400 the pandemic
00:51:46.000 quickly
00:51:47.140 now maybe the vaccinations
00:51:48.780 will get us there
00:51:50.000 on time anyway
00:51:50.600 but if in the beginning
00:51:52.100 we had only done
00:51:53.800 one
00:51:54.320 one restriction
00:51:55.600 I think we'd already be done
00:51:58.280 and that one restriction
00:51:59.920 would be
00:52:00.500 don't let anybody
00:52:02.260 inside your residence
00:52:03.560 who is not a resident
00:52:05.280 unless
00:52:07.380 you know
00:52:07.800 it could be the plumber
00:52:08.880 with a mask
00:52:09.660 right
00:52:09.920 but nobody to visit
00:52:11.120 not even your
00:52:12.640 out-of-town family members
00:52:14.080 I feel as though
00:52:15.960 that one restriction
00:52:18.100 of nobody in your residence
00:52:20.000 except the residents
00:52:21.260 for a month
00:52:23.220 we'd be
00:52:24.840 we'd be
00:52:26.040 pretty well done
00:52:27.180 I feel like
00:52:28.040 now you wouldn't get rid
00:52:29.420 of the infection
00:52:29.960 but you might get it down
00:52:30.980 to a low level
00:52:31.720 now
00:52:32.680 does anybody disagree with that
00:52:35.100 because it's something like
00:52:35.920 over 50% of infections
00:52:38.620 it's worse in the winter
00:52:40.480 when you're indoors
00:52:41.520 somebody says
00:52:44.100 I thought we did that
00:52:45.040 no we didn't really do that
00:52:46.640 we
00:52:48.120 we said
00:52:49.420 don't
00:52:49.960 you know
00:52:50.600 you don't want to
00:52:51.400 socially mingle
00:52:52.980 but I don't think
00:52:54.340 anybody took it seriously
00:52:55.560 inside their own house
00:52:57.160 I think
00:52:58.260 everybody lets
00:52:59.120 their other family members
00:53:00.560 I think everybody
00:53:02.000 lets the boyfriend
00:53:02.920 or the girlfriend
00:53:03.560 come over
00:53:04.260 I feel like
00:53:06.220 inside the house
00:53:07.200 there are no rules
00:53:08.120 and that probably
00:53:09.040 that was the main problem
00:53:10.560 probably the main problem
00:53:12.820 and I would also think
00:53:14.160 that you could solve that
00:53:15.700 with statistics
00:53:16.700 and publicity
00:53:18.200 if you
00:53:19.600 if you stop somebody
00:53:20.620 on the street
00:53:21.160 and said to them
00:53:21.960 what's the main place
00:53:23.580 you get infected
00:53:24.260 what would the average person say
00:53:26.800 think about it
00:53:29.100 you're probably
00:53:30.540 way more informed
00:53:31.740 than the average consumer
00:53:33.180 just the fact
00:53:34.180 you're watching
00:53:35.100 a live stream
00:53:36.640 about the world
00:53:37.760 and politics
00:53:38.380 the average person
00:53:39.940 isn't really paying attention
00:53:41.080 to too much news
00:53:42.360 on average
00:53:43.460 so stop the average person
00:53:45.560 in the street
00:53:46.060 and say to them
00:53:46.840 where do you think
00:53:48.020 most infections happen
00:53:49.600 what would they say
00:53:51.160 I'll bet they wouldn't
00:53:52.640 say home
00:53:53.160 I'll bet most people
00:53:55.060 would say
00:53:55.400 well
00:53:55.720 they closed the restaurants
00:53:57.500 and gyms
00:53:58.140 it's probably restaurants
00:53:59.380 and gyms
00:53:59.900 or they might say
00:54:01.640 must be the workplace
00:54:02.900 because why else
00:54:04.520 would they do the lockdown
00:54:05.400 but I'll bet it's not
00:54:07.640 I'll bet if you
00:54:09.200 simply produced
00:54:10.200 enough statistics
00:54:11.140 to say
00:54:12.340 look
00:54:12.740 most of it
00:54:15.080 is because
00:54:16.240 you're letting somebody
00:54:17.160 in your little
00:54:18.140 un-air circulated
00:54:20.740 space
00:54:21.460 who doesn't live there
00:54:22.980 that's
00:54:23.260 that's most of it
00:54:24.400 I think if we just
00:54:26.880 just hammered out
00:54:28.600 hammered people with
00:54:29.780 I don't know
00:54:31.040 what the real number is
00:54:31.800 was like 56%
00:54:33.280 is in the home
00:54:34.920 and just keep telling people that
00:54:37.100 say
00:54:37.980 it's because
00:54:39.860 the
00:54:40.360 you know
00:54:41.480 you use your
00:54:42.620 your app
00:54:44.180 on Tinder
00:54:45.560 right
00:54:46.580 or whatever it is
00:54:47.360 so
00:54:48.520 that's all I have to say
00:54:51.260 about that
00:54:51.720 now
00:54:52.000 Rasmussen has an interesting poll
00:54:54.380 in which
00:54:54.760 they were asking
00:54:55.540 about people's opinion
00:54:56.500 of some
00:54:57.140 national leaders
00:54:58.340 you know
00:54:58.620 I've been telling you
00:54:59.480 why is there not
00:55:00.860 like a new
00:55:01.480 national leader
00:55:02.420 and
00:55:03.580 and I've said
00:55:04.140 AOC
00:55:04.600 may fill that spot
00:55:06.080 but here are some names
00:55:07.400 I'm going to tell you
00:55:08.060 the names that they polled
00:55:09.120 and let me see
00:55:10.040 if you can guess
00:55:11.060 who has the highest
00:55:12.720 favorability
00:55:13.580 at the moment
00:55:14.420 with the public
00:55:15.160 so this is
00:55:15.960 this is the entire public
00:55:17.220 the names they tested
00:55:18.920 were
00:55:19.340 this is Rasmussen
00:55:20.220 Kevin McCarthy
00:55:22.120 Mitch McConnell
00:55:23.740 Nancy Pelosi
00:55:24.940 Chuck Schumer
00:55:26.120 and AOC
00:55:27.820 now
00:55:29.040 add together
00:55:29.820 there are two
00:55:30.620 favorable categories
00:55:31.800 the highly favorable
00:55:32.860 and the normal favorable
00:55:34.500 and who
00:55:35.720 who among those
00:55:36.660 do you believe
00:55:37.460 had the highest
00:55:38.460 favorability
00:55:39.320 take a guess
00:55:40.720 I want to see
00:55:42.360 in the comments
00:55:42.980 how
00:55:43.640 plugged in
00:55:45.120 you are
00:55:45.720 to the
00:55:46.340 national
00:55:46.960 consciousness
00:55:47.720 most people
00:55:49.380 are guessing
00:55:49.860 AOC
00:55:50.380 but I think
00:55:50.960 I think
00:55:51.980 you're guessing
00:55:52.420 that because
00:55:52.940 you think
00:55:53.420 that's going
00:55:53.880 to be the answer
00:55:54.380 because why
00:55:54.960 would I bring
00:55:55.420 it up
00:55:55.820 I always talk
00:55:56.940 about AOC's
00:55:57.920 persuasion
00:55:58.520 so you
00:55:58.900 I feel like
00:56:00.160 I've biased
00:56:01.220 the survey
00:56:01.900 I think I biased
00:56:03.880 the survey
00:56:04.320 too much
00:56:04.780 you're trying
00:56:05.640 to guess
00:56:06.000 what it's going
00:56:06.500 to be
00:56:06.780 here's the answer
00:56:08.240 Kevin McCarthy
00:56:10.200 Kevin McCarthy
00:56:13.020 he has the highest
00:56:14.160 favorability
00:56:14.840 of this group
00:56:15.440 what
00:56:17.720 what
00:56:20.000 how the hell
00:56:21.740 did that happen
00:56:22.380 did you see
00:56:23.920 that coming
00:56:24.380 now
00:56:25.860 I don't think
00:56:27.180 that necessarily
00:56:27.820 means as much
00:56:29.020 as you might
00:56:29.680 think it would
00:56:30.180 mean
00:56:30.360 it could mean
00:56:31.360 that he's just
00:56:32.800 less controversial
00:56:34.160 so the others
00:56:35.780 have some
00:56:36.300 specific reasons
00:56:37.460 you're mad at
00:56:38.080 them
00:56:38.260 but I can't
00:56:39.360 think of a
00:56:39.860 specific reason
00:56:40.900 to be mad
00:56:41.540 at Kevin McCarthy
00:56:42.380 can you
00:56:42.800 I can't think
00:56:44.320 of a
00:56:44.720 like a scandal
00:56:46.040 or
00:56:46.880 was he on
00:56:48.240 the wrong
00:56:48.700 side of
00:56:49.340 something
00:56:49.840 or
00:56:50.520 I don't know
00:56:52.240 it could be
00:56:52.880 that he just
00:56:53.300 hasn't caused
00:56:53.800 any trouble
00:56:54.420 and that people
00:56:55.880 respond to
00:56:56.640 a specific
00:56:57.280 story they
00:56:58.000 remember
00:56:58.400 more than
00:56:59.060 they respond
00:57:00.140 to the average
00:57:00.860 so here
00:57:02.700 are the numbers
00:57:03.440 so Kevin McCarthy
00:57:04.780 if you add
00:57:05.740 his two
00:57:06.080 favorable
00:57:06.460 categories
00:57:06.980 together
00:57:07.300 43%
00:57:08.380 compare that
00:57:10.340 to McConnell
00:57:10.940 at 29
00:57:11.680 it's a big
00:57:12.660 difference
00:57:13.200 compared to
00:57:15.380 Pelosi
00:57:16.340 at 37
00:57:17.280 surprisingly
00:57:18.540 good
00:57:19.100 Schumer
00:57:21.180 at 32
00:57:21.780 and AOC
00:57:22.680 at 34
00:57:23.720 so if you
00:57:25.940 were to look
00:57:26.220 at this
00:57:26.500 would you
00:57:26.800 say to yourself
00:57:27.360 my goodness
00:57:27.960 Kevin McCarthy
00:57:28.880 should run
00:57:29.360 for president
00:57:29.940 because he
00:57:30.860 has
00:57:31.100 substantially
00:57:32.960 like a
00:57:33.580 30%
00:57:34.340 higher
00:57:34.640 favorability
00:57:35.300 than AOC
00:57:35.940 but it
00:57:38.580 doesn't work
00:57:39.040 that way
00:57:39.460 because our
00:57:40.540 primary system
00:57:41.580 does like
00:57:43.400 the exciting
00:57:44.700 people
00:57:45.160 so I
00:57:47.320 would say
00:57:47.620 that AOC
00:57:48.120 already has
00:57:49.080 enough support
00:57:49.840 to win a
00:57:50.780 primary
00:57:51.140 I think she
00:57:53.200 already has
00:57:53.780 enough support
00:57:54.380 to win a
00:57:54.880 primary
00:57:55.220 for president
00:57:55.900 someday
00:57:56.520 if it doesn't
00:57:57.800 change
00:57:58.140 but it
00:58:00.840 certainly raises
00:58:01.420 a question
00:58:01.880 about Kevin
00:58:02.400 McCarthy
00:58:02.780 if he has
00:58:03.400 bigger ambitions
00:58:04.160 to run
00:58:04.860 for president
00:58:05.500 that would
00:58:08.520 be interesting
00:58:09.060 so I'll
00:58:11.040 just put
00:58:11.340 that name
00:58:11.740 out there
00:58:12.100 we're all
00:58:12.560 looking for
00:58:13.080 our next
00:58:13.560 leader
00:58:13.940 and
00:58:15.200 it's very
00:58:17.480 interesting
00:58:17.880 that he
00:58:18.220 doesn't have
00:58:18.800 obvious
00:58:19.380 negatives
00:58:19.880 yeah it
00:58:22.880 could be
00:58:23.160 that he
00:58:23.400 just has
00:58:23.720 the lowest
00:58:24.340 profile
00:58:25.920 meaning
00:58:26.340 as somebody
00:58:27.040 says in
00:58:27.500 the comments
00:58:27.900 that just
00:58:28.700 people don't
00:58:29.160 know as
00:58:29.580 much about
00:58:30.060 him
00:58:30.200 so they
00:58:30.520 don't
00:58:30.700 have a
00:58:31.500 negative
00:58:31.860 feeling
00:58:32.320 so they
00:58:32.740 say
00:58:32.940 he's
00:58:33.440 okay
00:58:33.680 it could
00:58:34.580 be just
00:58:34.880 that
00:58:35.120 so you
00:58:35.960 have to
00:58:36.180 be careful
00:58:36.640 about
00:58:37.020 averages
00:58:37.580 if I've
00:58:38.560 taught you
00:58:38.900 anything
00:58:39.280 and I'll
00:58:42.020 remind you
00:58:42.580 this is
00:58:43.260 what I
00:58:43.740 call the
00:58:44.100 Hollywood
00:58:44.840 way of
00:58:46.200 looking at
00:58:47.120 favorability
00:58:47.840 and I
00:58:48.820 learned this
00:58:49.260 when I was
00:58:49.840 doing a
00:58:50.380 Dilbert TV
00:58:50.980 show
00:58:51.420 which never
00:58:52.280 made it
00:58:52.740 to the air
00:58:53.140 we tried
00:58:53.740 to do a
00:58:54.120 live action
00:58:54.660 one with
00:58:55.140 real actors
00:58:55.820 the animated
00:58:56.940 one did
00:58:57.420 eventually
00:58:57.900 get on
00:58:58.220 TV
00:58:58.440 but when I
00:58:59.700 was testing
00:59:00.160 that we
00:59:00.700 made a
00:59:01.660 pilot
00:59:01.920 we brought
00:59:02.420 people into
00:59:02.880 a room
00:59:03.220 and they
00:59:04.040 have their
00:59:04.300 little
00:59:04.520 buttons
00:59:05.680 that they
00:59:06.020 push
00:59:06.320 when there's
00:59:06.840 something
00:59:07.060 they like
00:59:07.760 that's
00:59:08.900 happening
00:59:09.160 on the
00:59:09.400 screen
00:59:09.640 and I
00:59:10.540 asked the
00:59:10.920 executive
00:59:11.300 what are
00:59:12.660 we looking
00:59:13.000 for
00:59:13.440 what average
00:59:14.740 approval
00:59:15.620 of the
00:59:16.060 TV show
00:59:16.740 would suggest
00:59:18.220 it would
00:59:18.500 be a hit
00:59:18.980 and the
00:59:20.000 executive
00:59:20.380 said we
00:59:20.820 don't look
00:59:21.160 at the
00:59:21.420 average
00:59:21.900 because that's
00:59:22.920 useless
00:59:23.380 which is
00:59:24.940 really interesting
00:59:25.740 to know
00:59:26.180 we look at
00:59:27.620 how excited
00:59:28.520 some people
00:59:29.480 are
00:59:29.780 what you
00:59:31.000 want
00:59:31.400 is that
00:59:31.960 a few
00:59:32.600 people
00:59:32.980 maybe
00:59:33.860 10%
00:59:34.640 of the
00:59:34.880 audience
00:59:35.220 just thinks
00:59:36.320 it's the
00:59:36.620 best thing
00:59:37.000 they've
00:59:37.220 ever seen
00:59:37.820 you don't
00:59:39.080 even care
00:59:39.500 about the
00:59:39.820 other 90%
00:59:40.520 because most
00:59:42.380 shows are
00:59:43.040 not watched
00:59:43.820 by 90%
00:59:45.320 of the
00:59:45.520 public
00:59:45.820 a huge
00:59:47.600 hit
00:59:48.060 whether it's
00:59:49.120 a song
00:59:49.640 movie
00:59:50.040 a TV
00:59:50.420 show
00:59:50.720 is because
00:59:51.820 10%
00:59:52.480 of the
00:59:52.720 public
00:59:53.000 loves it
00:59:53.880 that's what
00:59:54.960 makes it
00:59:55.260 it
00:59:55.460 same with
00:59:56.060 Dilbert
00:59:56.320 if you
00:59:57.380 ask the
00:59:57.820 average
00:59:58.300 person
00:59:58.740 hey
00:59:59.060 how about
00:59:59.480 this
00:59:59.720 Dilbert
01:00:00.080 comic
01:00:00.440 the
01:00:01.440 average
01:00:01.920 person
01:00:02.300 would
01:00:02.440 say
01:00:02.600 not
01:00:03.640 for
01:00:03.860 me
01:00:04.080 but
01:00:05.340 something
01:00:06.120 like
01:00:06.460 10 or
01:00:07.040 20%
01:00:07.620 of the
01:00:07.900 public
01:00:08.160 who has
01:00:08.620 a job
01:00:09.160 and relates
01:00:09.740 to the
01:00:10.080 situations
01:00:10.600 etc
01:00:10.960 will cut
01:00:12.000 it out
01:00:12.300 buy the
01:00:12.680 book
01:00:12.900 get the
01:00:13.280 calendar
01:00:13.640 and that's
01:00:14.740 enough
01:00:15.060 to make
01:00:15.580 Dilbert
01:00:16.100 wildly
01:00:16.740 successful
01:00:17.300 so
01:00:18.460 be careful
01:00:19.540 when you're
01:00:19.960 looking at
01:00:20.360 average
01:00:20.980 favorability
01:00:21.740 because it
01:00:22.340 doesn't
01:00:22.660 predict
01:00:23.100 what does
01:00:24.280 predict
01:00:24.680 is if
01:00:25.440 you're
01:00:25.660 wildly
01:00:26.280 hating
01:00:27.320 or loving
01:00:27.980 an
01:00:28.280 individual
01:00:28.760 such as
01:00:29.320 a Trump
01:00:29.700 or an
01:00:30.000 AOC
01:00:30.300 so
01:00:31.160 Kevin
01:00:31.500 McCarthy
01:00:31.860 doesn't
01:00:32.220 have the
01:00:32.560 wild
01:00:32.900 hate
01:00:33.280 or the
01:00:33.780 wild
01:00:34.080 love
01:00:34.680 and that
01:00:35.860 usually
01:00:36.200 does not
01:00:36.900 predict
01:00:37.400 national
01:00:39.000 success
01:00:39.580 at least
01:00:41.300 running for
01:00:41.880 president
01:00:42.220 success
01:00:42.740 but
01:00:43.440 how hard
01:00:44.800 would it
01:00:45.080 be
01:00:45.440 for him
01:00:46.900 to learn
01:00:47.400 that
01:00:47.780 or to
01:00:48.280 let's
01:00:49.480 say
01:00:49.680 to adopt
01:00:51.580 a persona
01:00:52.320 that could
01:00:52.960 get him
01:00:53.280 elected
01:00:53.580 probably
01:00:54.000 could do
01:00:54.340 it
01:00:54.680 probably
01:00:55.200 could do
01:00:55.500 it
01:00:55.640 I would
01:00:56.200 guess
01:00:56.440 he has
01:00:56.740 the
01:00:56.920 capability
01:00:57.460 to raise
01:00:58.680 his game
01:00:59.220 but we'll
01:01:00.360 see
01:01:00.580 all right
01:01:01.280 that's all
01:01:02.220 I got
01:01:02.420 for now
01:01:02.880 yeah I
01:01:05.080 know about
01:01:05.480 the brains
01:01:05.940 behind AOC
01:01:06.720 there's
01:01:07.440 you know
01:01:08.180 she was
01:01:08.560 sort of
01:01:08.920 selected
01:01:09.640 and groomed
01:01:10.580 and there
01:01:11.180 was a
01:01:11.520 you know
01:01:12.260 a mentor
01:01:12.840 who probably
01:01:13.880 made a big
01:01:14.320 difference
01:01:14.680 but here's
01:01:15.640 the thing
01:01:16.000 everybody
01:01:16.920 who thinks
01:01:17.500 she's not
01:01:18.020 smart
01:01:18.520 you're
01:01:19.660 all wrong
01:01:20.440 say what
01:01:22.920 you will
01:01:23.340 about her
01:01:23.800 politics
01:01:24.380 she's
01:01:25.520 really
01:01:25.840 smart
01:01:26.380 I hate
01:01:27.460 to tell
01:01:27.800 you
01:01:27.980 but it's
01:01:29.000 obvious
01:01:29.440 if you're
01:01:30.400 still judging
01:01:31.000 her as
01:01:31.440 like the
01:01:31.820 bartender
01:01:32.340 you are
01:01:33.260 so missing
01:01:34.120 what's going
01:01:34.640 on
01:01:34.980 she's
01:01:35.920 smart
01:01:36.320 most of
01:01:37.820 our members
01:01:38.260 of Congress
01:01:38.780 are
01:01:39.200 most of
01:01:40.520 them
01:01:40.680 it's not
01:01:41.460 even
01:01:41.620 unusual
01:01:42.040 that's how
01:01:42.720 they get
01:01:43.000 elected
01:01:43.320 somebody
01:01:48.240 somebody
01:01:48.260 says
01:01:48.520 she's
01:01:48.800 misinformed
01:01:49.360 my
01:01:49.800 point
01:01:50.060 was
01:01:50.420 that
01:01:51.300 her
01:01:52.500 mentor
01:01:52.840 may
01:01:53.180 have
01:01:53.380 taught
01:01:53.620 her
01:01:53.760 a lot
01:01:54.220 but
01:01:55.060 if
01:01:55.300 you
01:01:55.460 factor
01:01:55.880 in
01:01:56.100 how
01:01:56.280 quickly
01:01:56.640 she
01:01:56.960 would
01:01:57.160 pick
01:01:57.420 up
01:01:57.640 what
01:01:57.840 she
01:01:58.000 learned
01:01:58.400 the
01:01:59.180 mentor
01:01:59.520 may
01:01:59.780 have
01:02:00.060 you know
01:02:01.040 already
01:02:01.420 given
01:02:02.400 all he
01:02:02.820 could
01:02:02.980 give
01:02:03.240 there
01:02:03.400 may
01:02:03.560 not
01:02:03.740 be
01:02:03.900 more
01:02:04.160 more
01:02:04.520 to
01:02:04.700 give
01:02:04.880 there
01:02:05.100 all
01:02:08.480 right
01:02:08.760 when
01:02:13.920 has
01:02:14.180 AOC
01:02:14.560 ever
01:02:14.940 faced
01:02:15.320 a
01:02:15.560 tough
01:02:15.840 interview
01:02:16.400 you
01:02:16.800 say
01:02:17.120 I
01:02:18.620 wouldn't
01:02:18.920 worry
01:02:19.140 about
01:02:19.380 that
01:02:19.600 at
01:02:19.760 all
01:02:20.040 I'm
01:02:21.000 pretty
01:02:21.280 sure
01:02:21.520 she
01:02:21.700 could
01:02:21.860 handle
01:02:22.080 a
01:02:22.260 tough
01:02:22.440 interview
01:02:22.740 and
01:02:23.780 she
01:02:24.340 does
01:02:24.580 what
01:02:24.900 what
01:02:26.100 Trump
01:02:26.380 does
01:02:26.700 which
01:02:26.980 is
01:02:27.280 she'll
01:02:28.260 do
01:02:28.560 the
01:02:28.780 big
01:02:29.120 ask
01:02:29.700 that
01:02:30.020 you
01:02:30.140 think
01:02:30.380 is
01:02:30.540 ridiculous
01:02:31.000 but
01:02:31.720 then
01:02:32.080 it
01:02:32.260 ends
01:02:32.440 up
01:02:32.620 well
01:02:32.820 because
01:02:33.040 she
01:02:33.140 negotiates
01:02:33.780 toward
01:02:33.980 the
01:02:34.140 middle
01:02:34.320 all
01:02:35.460 right
01:02:35.640 that's
01:02:37.440 all
01:02:37.580 we
01:02:37.700 got
01:02:37.840 for
01:02:37.980 now
01:02:38.240 and
01:02:38.560 I
01:02:38.760 will
01:02:38.920 talk
01:02:39.220 to
01:02:39.360 you
01:02:39.640 later
01:02:40.660 all
01:02:44.300 right
01:02:44.440 YouTubers
01:02:44.860 somebody
01:02:48.060 says
01:02:48.320 she
01:02:48.540 even
01:02:48.740 flubs
01:02:49.160 the
01:02:49.400 softball
01:02:49.880 I'd
01:02:50.080 have
01:02:50.200 to
01:02:50.320 see
01:02:50.480 some
01:02:50.820 examples
01:02:51.380 of
01:02:51.560 that
01:02:51.780 her
01:02:53.180 public
01:02:54.580 speaking
01:02:55.040 is so
01:02:55.520 good
01:02:55.800 that
01:02:56.000 I
01:02:56.140 can't
01:02:56.520 imagine
01:02:57.020 that
01:02:58.060 she
01:02:58.200 would
01:02:58.360 be
01:02:58.500 bad
01:02:58.820 in
01:02:59.000 a
01:02:59.160 tough
01:02:59.400 interview
01:02:59.800 who's
01:03:02.300 going
01:03:02.480 to jail
01:03:02.880 for
01:03:03.080 the
01:03:03.220 fraud
01:03:03.600 which
01:03:03.880 fraud
01:03:04.220 let's
01:03:10.720 see
01:03:10.860 just
01:03:11.080 looking
01:03:11.280 at
01:03:11.420 some
01:03:11.580 of
01:03:11.660 your
01:03:11.740 questions
01:03:12.300 she's
01:03:17.720 one
01:03:17.900 generation
01:03:18.420 removed
01:03:19.220 from
01:03:19.500 all
01:03:20.440 right
01:03:20.660 well
01:03:21.320 there's
01:03:21.540 a lot
01:03:21.800 of
01:03:22.020 Margaret
01:03:26.360 Huber
01:03:26.840 not
01:03:27.240 good
01:03:27.820 how do
01:03:29.040 you
01:03:29.180 bruise
01:03:29.560 your
01:03:29.740 arm
01:03:30.180 is my
01:03:31.780 arm
01:03:31.980 bruised
01:03:32.400 it's
01:03:38.660 weird
01:03:38.900 I
01:03:41.620 didn't
01:03:41.760 know
01:03:41.900 I
01:03:42.000 had
01:03:42.120 a
01:03:42.220 bruise
01:03:42.540 you
01:03:43.460 know
01:03:43.580 it's
01:03:43.700 weird
01:03:43.960 I
01:03:44.940 can't
01:03:45.240 see
01:03:45.380 it
01:03:45.640 I'm
01:03:47.400 looking
01:03:47.560 at
01:03:47.720 my
01:03:47.840 arm
01:03:48.080 and
01:03:48.200 I
01:03:48.380 can't
01:03:49.060 see
01:03:49.200 it
01:03:49.300 but
01:03:49.400 I
01:03:49.500 can
01:03:49.620 see
01:03:49.800 it
01:03:49.900 on
01:03:50.040 camera
01:03:50.340 just
01:03:51.260 the
01:03:51.420 lighting
01:03:51.660 is
01:03:51.840 different
01:03:52.120 actually
01:03:52.820 I
01:03:52.920 have
01:03:53.040 no
01:03:53.200 idea
01:03:53.500 I
01:03:54.720 must
01:03:54.900 have
01:03:55.000 banked
01:03:55.280 it
01:03:55.360 on
01:03:55.480 something
01:03:55.740 it's
01:03:58.380 not
01:03:58.560 it's
01:03:59.120 not
01:03:59.280 a
01:03:59.400 burn
01:03:59.660 it's
01:04:01.560 a
01:04:01.680 bruise
01:04:02.040 I
01:04:02.260 just
01:04:02.440 don't
01:04:02.620 know
01:04:02.760 how
01:04:02.900 I
01:04:03.020 got
01:04:03.160 it
01:04:03.600 all
01:04:04.000 right
01:04:04.080 that's
01:04:04.260 all
01:04:04.380 for
01:04:04.500 now
01:04:04.760 and
01:04:04.960 I'll
01:04:05.080 talk
01:04:05.260 to
01:04:05.360 you
01:04:05.560 later