Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1314 Scott Adams： Biden to Raise Taxes to Pay for the Destruction of America, Science Versus Guessing, China is Doomed, More

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody. Come on in. Yeah, yeah, you made it. Good for you. So far your day is

00:00:09.680 going great. But I got news for you. It's going to get better. Yeah, because you made

00:00:16.060 it to Coffee with Scott Adams. A lot of people didn't make it. There are people who are working

00:00:21.260 instead of watching this. Do you feel sorry for them? Well, you should. Because the people

00:00:27.580 here are going to have a great time. And all they need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a

00:00:31.040 tank or a chalice, a stein, a canteen, a jug, a flask, a vessel of any kind, and fill it

00:00:34.420 with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure

00:00:39.040 of the dopamine to the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous

00:00:42.920 sip. And it happens all over the world. At the same time, it doesn't matter your time

00:00:48.140 zone. Really amazing how that works. And it's happening right now. Go.

00:00:57.580 Now my day can start perfectly. Deep breath. Exhale. All right. You ready for some fun?

00:01:12.520 Well, I did a comic in February, I think it was, that was based on a real-life suggestion.

00:01:20.300 And the suggestion was that Zoom calls should have closing credits. And the reason that somebody

00:01:27.220 suggested they should have closing credits is so you know when they're done. Because

00:01:32.000 people don't know how to end a Zoom call. It's like, well, okay. So there's no polite

00:01:39.220 way to do it. So somebody said, why don't you just run the closing credits? And everybody

00:01:44.160 will just say, oh, I guess it's over. Well, it turns out somebody actually added closing

00:01:49.220 credits. So that's a real thing now. I mean, it's still just a joke thing. But sure enough,

00:01:55.700 there's a video of somebody who added funny closing credits to a Zoom call. So that's

00:02:00.220 art imitating life, and then life imitating art, and then I'll make a comic about it again,

00:02:07.300 and then art will imitate life again.

00:02:09.000 So here's a little coincidence for you. Economists at Goldman Sachs, they have multiple Sachs.

00:02:20.260 I said Goldman Sachs, but that would just be one Sach. But there are multiple Sachs over

00:02:25.420 there. At Goldman Sachs, they raised their GDP growth expectations for the U.S. economy to

00:02:31.180 8% for 2021. Now, if you don't follow economics, that's a shockingly big number. That's such

00:02:42.860 a big number that I'm not sure I believe it. I think it's, you know, other economists are

00:02:49.800 down like, you know, under 5%. So to think that we would have an 8% GDP when, you know,

00:02:56.960 two or three is pretty good. Three is pretty good. Coming off the pandemic, though, you've got a

00:03:03.620 little bit more of a natural bump. So here's the first part of the news. Goldman Sachs is saying

00:03:12.700 that the economy is going to be great under Biden. Okay? So that's the first unrelated fact. It's just

00:03:21.620 floating out there. It's not connected to any other news. Okay? It's just by itself, just floating.

00:03:30.460 Now, unrelated to this in every way, completely separate from this story,

00:03:36.560 we hear leaks today that Biden is planning to raise taxes quite a bit. But that's a separate story,

00:03:45.340 floating all by itself, not connected in any way, to this coincidentally timed story from Goldman

00:03:56.120 Sachs, who some people might say is in the Democrats' pocket or vice versa. And so if you were a

00:04:06.960 skeptical kind of a person, and you were looking at the media, would you say to yourself,

00:04:12.060 huh, that's a pretty big coincidence that this highly respected firm, Goldman Sachs, multiple

00:04:20.200 Sachs, would be giving cover for the Biden tax increase? What are the odds that those two things

00:04:29.880 happened at the same time by accident? Do you think that happened by accident?

00:04:34.080 Because if you say to somebody like me, and I'm actually a good example for this, if you're a poor

00:04:44.140 person, and your government says we're going to raise taxes on rich people, what do you say? Oh, good.

00:04:52.260 Raise taxes on the rich people. Maybe there'll be more money for me from that. If you're a rich person,

00:04:57.960 what do you say to the prospect of higher taxes? Well, here it gets tricky. It depends. It depends.

00:05:07.660 Because if you're the kind of rich person who has enormous wealth already, and the economy is better

00:05:15.340 than usual, that enormous pile will grow in value faster than maybe anything that would happen with

00:05:22.180 your annual income. So if you have a giant amount of wealth compared to how much you make every year,

00:05:28.480 and they raise the taxes on that smaller part, the part you make every year, but let's say the

00:05:32.840 bigger part can just grow with the economy, you still come out ahead. But if you're the kind of rich

00:05:39.260 person who hasn't accumulated much wealth, but your annual income is really high at the moment,

00:05:45.720 but let's say you're young, you haven't accumulated that much yet, well then you're just never going to

00:05:50.100 accumulate as much. Because they'll get it as soon as it's made. So there are two kinds of rich people.

00:05:56.720 One kind of rich person is better off. If you have both higher taxes, so long as this Goldman Sachs

00:06:04.060 kind of optimistic look at the economy is anywhere near good, then the rich people actually do the best

00:06:12.180 in any kind of a good economy, so they could pay a little more taxes and wouldn't know the difference.

00:06:16.460 But the other kind of rich person who is mostly income is not going to like it. Not going to like

00:06:25.600 it. All right. You knew this was going to happen. There's a Pennsylvania woman who created a deep

00:06:33.980 fake video to embarrass the rivals of her daughter's cheerleading team. And I guess the deep fakes of the

00:06:42.300 teenage cheerleader girls were showing them in embarrassing situations. I think there was some 1.00

00:06:51.260 nudity or drugs or something like that. But somebody actually created a real deep fake

00:06:56.820 to basically perpetuate a crime of sorts. I don't know if it's technically illegal, but there you go.

00:07:07.380 There's the first one. Now, of course, the people who do this first are going to get caught

00:07:12.060 because the deep fakes are not that good. And the people in them are going to say,

00:07:16.520 ah, that wasn't me. So it's not exactly a perfect crime, but you can see where this is all heading

00:07:22.080 pretty quickly. Here's another story that makes me miss, let's say, the energy and the

00:07:30.280 entertainment of President Trump. You've heard everything that can be said about Meghan Markle

00:07:38.140 and Harry, right? Is there anything else anybody could say that would feel fresh or new or interesting

00:07:48.900 at this point? Right? Because everything's just been said. What else is there to say?

00:07:54.200 And then we hear that President Trump had weighed in on this question privately. I guess this is being

00:08:01.680 reported by Jason Miller or somebody who said that he talked to him. And this is what Miller says the

00:08:08.400 president said about Meghan Markle. And I'm going to quote it. She's no good. I said it and now everybody

00:08:18.460 is seeing it. Now, just think of this first three words. She's no good. As soon as I read that, I just 0.74

00:08:29.760 laughed. Because you don't realize how, I don't even know the right word for it, you don't realize how

00:08:39.060 crisp Trump's communication is until he's gone for a while and then you see it again. And then you're not

00:08:46.620 used to it after a while and you go, oh, that's the thing he does. I don't know why, but if you sat down

00:08:55.520 and thought for a year about what would be three words to say about Meghan Markle, that would sort of

00:09:03.800 sum it up and be quotable and would stick in your head and would make you laugh after everybody said

00:09:10.840 so much already. And then you just, you picture Trump saying it, right? Because when it's a Trump

00:09:16.600 quote, you see the picture of him and you just see him saying, she's no good. And you say to

00:09:22.400 yourself, I think we're done here. What else is there to say? She's no good. Now, I'm not saying I

00:09:31.420 agree with that statement. I'm just saying that the president's communication style really is

00:09:37.500 inimitable. Like, I don't know why he can find just the right words that just does something to

00:09:45.060 your brain. I don't know how he does it exactly, but it's consistent. So in California here, some

00:09:52.120 children, at least in my area, are going back to school in the hybrid learning environment.

00:09:58.160 You know what that is, right? So I guess here they have a choice. If they want, they can just stay home

00:10:03.860 and continue learning from Zoom as they have. Or they can go two days a week, I guess locally,

00:10:10.780 and do, you know, severe social distancing. Few kids showing up in the classroom with their own

00:10:18.180 little stations and distance and masks all day long and stuff. What do you think the local kids say

00:10:26.400 about that? What do you think is the opinion of the local kids now that the school has opened up at

00:10:31.840 least a little bit? Screw that. Now, I can't say that I've done a poll, but I have overheard,

00:10:42.080 I've overheard a variety of kids talking about it. And they're saying, we might as well just Zoom until

00:10:50.900 the end of the year, because we're not going to be able to see our friends. You know, you're going to

00:10:54.920 be six feet away from them. You have to wear a mask all day. And it's duplicative of what you're

00:11:00.900 doing on the computer. And so the kids just said, uh, thank you, but no thanks. It's just not even

00:11:10.060 worth it. And when you hear that they have to wear a mask all day and can't even get within six feet

00:11:15.940 of their friends, it doesn't look worth it to me. It doesn't look worth it to me at all.

00:11:22.080 So we need to get to the next level.

00:11:28.080 China is experiencing or did experience this gigantic sandstorm in Beijing. Did you see the

00:11:34.900 pictures of that? Did you know that Beijing has gigantic annual sandstorms? How many people knew

00:11:42.580 that was even a thing? So apparently between deforestation and their proximity to the Gobi

00:11:48.040 desert, when the conditions get just right, this enormous storm of sand piles up. Now, do you know

00:11:58.820 what the normal pollution level is in Beijing? Okay, the normal pollution level is unhealthy.

00:12:06.200 So they added on top of the normal pollution, a sandstorm. And between the two of them,

00:12:13.740 basically it was an unlivable city for a while. I mean, people did, but it was essentially unlivable.

00:12:22.980 Now, when people talk about China is going to eat our lunch and their, you know, their economy is

00:12:28.880 zooming and they're going to take over the world and all that stuff, it does seem inevitable just because 1.00

00:12:34.200 of the population. And they're doing, they're moving in that direction. So if you were to just

00:12:39.080 straight line, okay, if everything just keeps going the way it's been going, China dominates the world 1.00

00:12:44.860 eventually. And I would just add this, straight line projections, projections, they never work,

00:12:54.740 ever. In fact, the only thing you can be sure won't happen in the future is whatever the trend is

00:13:01.480 today. If you just straight line any trend and you take it long enough, you know, the short run trends

00:13:07.800 will continue. But if you take it long enough, they never do. It's just, it's almost impossible.

00:13:16.300 So we don't know what will happen, but I remember, I'm old enough to remember when we thought the same

00:13:21.860 thing about Japan. So when I was younger, you youngsters won't be aware of this, but everybody who's in my

00:13:29.920 age group will now be nodding their heads at home and saying, oh yeah, we thought Japan was going to

00:13:36.600 run the world because their manufacturing was so dominant for a while that it just looked like they

00:13:43.080 would suck up all the business from the United States and it was just going to be, the future was going

00:13:48.040 to be Japan. Well, what happened? It turns out that Japan's system couldn't grow. So they had a little bit

00:13:56.700 too much, maybe social or cultural friction. I'm no expert, but maybe some of it might have been

00:14:05.060 cultural. Some of it might have been the way their systems and their banking and everything is set up,

00:14:10.440 that there's just a little bit too much bloat, maybe a little corruption. I don't know exactly

00:14:15.300 what's going on over there, but it didn't straight line. They sort of hit a wall and then, you know,

00:14:21.180 things were sort of stagnant for years. China has this gigantic demographic problem, but on top of

00:14:28.420 it, the only way they can survive is by destroying their own environment. So if they want energy,

00:14:35.620 they have to put in coal plants, right? If they want to build as many homes as they need, they might

00:14:42.580 need to cut down their trees. So there's a whole bunch of ways in which China is essentially destroying 0.98

00:14:49.780 itself to grow. And the Chinese system doesn't strike me as flexible. They do have some advantages

00:14:58.320 because it's a dictatorship. So if the whole country needs to do something like clamp down on the

00:15:03.840 coronavirus, they have some advantages there. But they don't really have flexibility within the system.

00:15:09.640 They have flexibility at the top, you know, so that the bosses can make you do anything they want.

00:15:14.320 But they don't have flexibility within the entrepreneurial system, right, is what I'm

00:15:19.500 imagining is the problem. And I compare that to the general statement that's always been true,

00:15:29.580 that every empire fails, right? Through history, we don't have any example of an empire that lasted

00:15:38.260 forever, right? The Roman Empire was great for a long time, but there it goes, you know, the

00:15:45.400 Genghis Khan and the Moguls, Mongols, you know, they took over, I don't know, a quarter of the earth or 1.00

00:15:55.560 whatever it was, but then they disappeared. So every time there's some major power, Great Britain,

00:16:01.260 for example, you know, colonizing all over the world, but then every year since then sort of

00:16:06.640 shrinking in territory at least. So the thinking is that the United States can't possibly dominate

00:16:13.520 forever, because nothing ever does. Every system, every system collapses under its own weight. It's

00:16:21.000 just the way everything works. But I would like to add one bit of optimism. I believe, and I don't know

00:16:29.460 that this is confirmed, but I believe that the geniuses who built our system, you know, capitalism

00:16:37.600 plus the Constitution, etc., I feel like they built a self-renewing system, meaning that what our system

00:16:47.720 is today won't be exactly what it looks like or how it operates tomorrow, because it can self-correct.

00:16:54.140 And there's just a whole bunch of self-correcting stuff in our system that doesn't seem to be the case

00:17:02.620 everywhere else. And so I would put this optimistic thought out there, which is the United States might be

00:17:13.080 the first system that could last forever. And the way it would do it is that it's never the same system.

00:17:21.100 In other words, it's evolving with events. So as long as the system is evolving with events,

00:17:29.020 I think it can renew itself, it can cannibalize itself, you know, it can basically just reinvent

00:17:35.720 itself as it goes. Whereas I don't know if the Chinese system can do that. It might be a little bit 0.99

00:17:41.780 too much ossification there. So I think that the United States, because of our system, maybe even a little

00:17:48.480 bit because of the culture, I'm not sure. But does have some kind of enduring advantage. We'll see

00:17:53.860 if that is enough, because China has some big advantages too. So Tom Cotton continues to be one

00:18:04.500 of the only interesting people saying things in the news. And, you know, we're talking about immigration

00:18:10.680 being whether it's a tremendous challenge, or it's a crisis. Now, of course, the Republicans want the

00:18:18.260 Democrats to use that word, use the word, say crisis, say crisis, damn it, don't keep saying 0.98

00:18:24.600 it's a challenge, it's a crisis. So then once it's a crisis, you know, they can make more political 0.98

00:18:30.440 hay about it. So Tom Cotton notes this, he says, and now the Biden administration is sending FEMA to

00:18:37.660 the border. They are, by their own declaration, admitting it's a disaster. That's what it is when

00:18:44.340 you deploy FEMA, a disaster. And I thought, how come he's the first person to point this out? It's

00:18:53.200 like one of those things where you hear it and you say, oh, yeah, that should be the end of the

00:18:58.480 conversation. Once you've deployed FEMA, you can't argue it's not a disaster, right? Because FEMA is

00:19:07.420 literally the group you send to fix a disaster. That's what they are. It's pretty hard to argue

00:19:16.000 you're sending FEMA at the same time you're saying it's not a disaster. So of course, this is word

00:19:21.340 thinking, because what you call it doesn't change its, you know, change its nature. It's a bad situation,

00:19:27.180 no matter what you call it. But I thought that was an interesting observation.

00:19:33.160 There's an article in the New York Times, Alan Feuer, F-E-U-E-R. How would you pronounce F-E-U-E-R?

00:19:45.000 Feuer? Feuer? Maybe? Okay, we'll go with that. He's asking and trying to answer the question

00:19:52.860 of why the Proud Boys, despite their long history of promoting and committing violence,

00:19:59.200 according to Alan, how were they able to skirt law enforcement scrutiny prior to the storming of

00:20:07.780 the Capitol? So what is it about the Proud Boys that law enforcement would be completely aware of

00:20:14.580 them, right? They're not hiding. So law enforcement knows who they are. They know their whole deal.

00:20:19.840 But yet they were not really leaned on before the storming of the Capitol. I guess they were

00:20:27.920 visited. So law enforcement did visit some of the leaders and talk to them. But there wasn't any

00:20:34.160 strong enforcement or suppression or anything like that. And the question is asked, why did they get a

00:20:40.160 pass? Why is it that the Proud Boys were given sort of a, you know, a pat on the back and, you know,

00:20:48.480 okay, you know, go ahead? And here's my answer to that. The Proud Boys don't have a larger ambition.

00:20:58.480 The Proud Boys sort of like their club and they like being in it. They like drinking. That's actually

00:21:06.340 literally a big part of their philosophy is they like to get together and drink. And they like

00:21:11.340 provoking fights so that they could have fights. And they don't, they try not to start them in the

00:21:19.720 sense of punching first. But they like being in the situation where maybe they could get somebody to

00:21:25.360 take a punch at them first. And then they can finish it. And I think to myself, there's nothing about

00:21:33.020 that, that looks like a coup attempt. There's nothing about it that looks like a national

00:21:40.580 movement. You know, they don't seem to be organizing to change the world. They don't seem to be trying

00:21:47.340 to elect officials. They're not donating money to a candidate. It just seems like a, a, a club of

00:21:57.520 knuckleheads. And I say that lovingly, you know, a bunch of knuckleheads who like using their knuckles,

00:22:04.480 right? They like punching stuff. They like drinking. And they have something like a philosophy. So in my 0.91

00:22:11.860 view, law enforcement not coming down hard on them is because it's not, it's not Antifa. Antifa actually

00:22:22.120 wants to destroy the country. That's different, you know? Um, so you could, uh, this will sound

00:22:30.960 like a defense of the proud boys. And then somebody's going to say, why are you a proud boy

00:22:35.080 apologist? I'm not an apologist for anything, right? You can say that things have good parts and bad

00:22:41.180 parts, and that's just talking about it. That's not being an apologist. Almost everything has some good

00:22:48.160 parts and some bad parts. So if you can be an adult, we can talk about that. All right. So I don't see

00:22:56.640 the proud boys as any kind of a existential threat to the country. Not the way Antifa would be, or even

00:23:05.000 neo-Nazis, I suppose. So the Vatican, uh, causing trouble, uh, by being completely consistent to

00:23:16.320 everything they've said before. So I don't know why it's news, but it is. Uh, so the Vatican

00:23:22.840 decreed Monday that the Catholic church cannot bless same-sex unions since God, quote, cannot bless

00:23:32.140 sin. What? Let's go on. The Vatican's orthodoxy office, the congregation for blah, blah, blah. Um,

00:23:43.040 they said that they were asked about whether they can bless gay unions. Now they do, they do go on 1.00

00:23:48.960 and say that they want full respect of everything for, uh, the LGBTQ population. So they're saying,

00:23:57.300 no, no, no, we're not saying anything bad about, uh, gay people. They're saying, we're only talking

00:24:02.800 about the institution of marriage. And they go on, um, let's see. And they said they distinguish

00:24:10.720 between the church's welcoming and blessing of gay people, which it upheld, but not their unions,

00:24:16.880 since, since any such sacramental recognition could be confused with marriage. So I guess they're

00:24:23.640 opposed to, you know, any kind of a union that could be somewhat similar to marriage. And it says,

00:24:32.840 the Vatican holds that gay people must be treated with dignity and respect.

00:24:36.280 respect. And then they, and then they go ahead and don't treat them with dignity and respect.

00:24:42.620 But I guess, I suppose that's subjective. Uh, but they say that gay sex is, and here's the, 0.98

00:24:48.660 the money quote here, intrinsically disordered, intrinsically disordered. How long did they have 1.00

00:24:57.480 to think before they came up with those two words? That gay sex is intrinsically disordered. 1.00

00:25:04.000 Like you'd have to work pretty hard for that, wouldn't you? To come up with those two words 1.00

00:25:08.940 that nobody, uh, maybe nobody's ever used before about this topic. Um, and it says Catholic teaching

00:25:17.000 holds that marriage is a lifelong union between a man and a woman. It's part of God's plan as an intended

00:25:22.480 for, here's, here's the important part, is intended for the sake of creating new life.

00:25:28.600 Oh, interesting. So if you take their, uh, argument, uh, I'll do a better job than they do of their own

00:25:40.440 argument. Okay. So here's how the Catholic church could have done maybe a better job on this. So I'm

00:25:47.880 not going to be backing their opinion. I'm just going to say they could have, they could have made a better

00:25:52.420 argument. It would have gone like this, that, uh, that God is all about creation and God is apparently

00:26:02.880 concerned or loves people and wants them to reproduce. And so God is more about blessing.

00:26:09.960 Again, this is not me saying this. I'm just making an argument that would be a better argument.

00:26:13.820 Um, so God would be, um, so God would be sort of more pro anything that was conforming to the mating

00:26:20.660 process. And, uh, he would maybe think it's a sin to do something that works against, uh, let's say

00:26:30.220 the procreation and the, um, the growth of humanity. So for example, God would be against murder

00:26:37.900 because murder reduces the number of people who he loves, but God would be in favor of reproduction

00:26:46.140 because reproduction keeps more people. Now I'd never heard this philosophy before where the,

00:26:53.900 the God view was being married philosophically to the mating instinct. Had you ever heard that before?

00:27:00.960 And yeah, I'm seeing somebody in the comments saying that, you know, life is sacred being part of the,

00:27:05.700 the Catholic, uh, the Catholic, uh, belief system. So, so yeah, the, the life is sacred. Um, it's about

00:27:13.160 mating. It's about reproduction. It's about, you know, the biology of the species. So here's, here's the

00:27:19.440 part that, uh, I'd never heard before. I'd never heard anybody marry the philosophy of Catholicism

00:27:27.420 with the biology of the mating process. Is that common? Have you heard that framing before?

00:27:35.700 Because I thought it was actually a productive framing, except the, yeah, abortion being another

00:27:42.660 example. Yeah. So the, the Catholic church would be in favor of everything that promotes

00:27:47.560 making more people and keeping more people alive.

00:27:53.060 And so far, it sounds pretty good, right? Even, even if you disagree with some of the policies that

00:28:01.020 come out of that, it's hard to argue against the general idea that Catholicism wants to keep

00:28:06.920 everybody alive and have more of us. Like just, that sounds good on the surface. But

00:28:13.080 that, unfortunately, the side effect of that is that it, um, I think unintentionally demonizes 0.92

00:28:21.200 gay unions. To which I say, what does the Catholic church think about people who can't have children?

00:28:30.300 Like, you know, physically, biologically, they just can't have children. Are they defective?

00:28:36.600 Are they sinning? Or are they in some condition of, it's not their fault, but are they in some kind of

00:28:43.020 perpetual sin situation because they're outside of the mating process? Through no fault of their own.

00:28:50.760 How about people who have aged out of the mating process? You're a certain age, you can't have

00:28:55.520 children anymore. Well, you're a woman, let's say. If that woman who can't have children, but has never 1.00

00:29:01.000 been married, gets married, what does the Catholic church say about that? Because that woman is getting 1.00

00:29:07.520 married in an institution which is designed for the reproduction of people, but she would not in any 0.96

00:29:14.780 way be part of the reproduction because she's already aged down. Let's say she's 60, not, not 40, 0.99

00:29:21.860 just to keep it easy. Right? So how does the Catholic church reconcile that some people can get married

00:29:30.480 and it's just fine, and even though they have nothing to do with reproduction and nothing to do with

00:29:35.180 mating, because they can't. But there's other group of people, according to the Catholic church,

00:29:42.280 they're gay, and they also want to have, you know, something, some kind of marriage situation,

00:29:47.580 which has nothing to do with reproduction, except that they can adopt. Right? So I'm just pushing the 0.73

00:29:56.920 question, right? So far, I've not given you an opinion. So if you're looking for my opinion, it's not here

00:30:02.160 yet. Right? So suppose the Catholic church is looking at the following two situations. Number

00:30:09.680 one, a gay couple get married, and now they're in a better, let's just say they're a better situation

00:30:16.400 economically and stability-wise to adopt, or to artificially inseminate and have a child.

00:30:24.100 Now compare the gay couple who can find a way to either support a child who already is here or to 1.00

00:30:31.280 create a new one with science. Aren't they part of the mating process? Doesn't that put the gay couple 1.00

00:30:37.580 right in the middle of the whole reproduction thing, except they may be taking care of a kid who's

00:30:43.260 already born? That seems very Catholic to me. Compare that, again, to the two 70-year-olds who get 0.87

00:30:52.500 married. The Catholic church says, oh, this is fine, but don't plan to adopt because they're 70, and they

00:31:00.020 don't plan to have children because they're 70. Why is that okay? Why is one a sin when the gay couple, 1.00

00:31:09.220 hypothetically, is, you know, taking care of children, maybe creating children with a little science 0.95

00:31:14.760 involved, and the others are doing nothing for reproduction, but yet the gay people are the ones who are 1.00

00:31:21.020 outside of the mating process? It feels there's an inconsistency here. Now, again, I'm not Catholic, so is it

00:31:30.580 up to me what the Catholic dogma is? No, no. So Catholicism shouldn't listen to me. My opinion should have

00:31:39.000 no weight, and I would hope it would have no weight. But I simply point that out. I feel like the Catholic

00:31:45.420 Church needs a little bit more work, needs to do the work, as they like to say. All right, I guess Dr. Fauci

00:31:56.340 is now open to the idea. There's some new studies showing that, at least for schools, maybe three feet

00:32:03.160 of distance is enough. So six feet might be too much, and Fauci says he's open to that, and they're still

00:32:10.520 collecting data. But preliminarily, it looks like the six foot thing is less important, and maybe three

00:32:17.240 feet would be enough, maybe just in schools, don't know yet. But here's my thing. How in the world could

00:32:24.900 three feet be good? If you're just breathing, and I'm just sort of using my non-scientific brain here,

00:32:34.800 doesn't it seem like if you're talking to somebody who's three feet away, can't they actually feel

00:32:41.780 your breath? Like if you're only three feet away, let's see, three feet, three feet like this, if you're this

00:32:49.360 far, you can feel somebody's spittle. Like they could actually, you can feel like the spray hitting you in the

00:32:56.080 face. Whereas six feet away, you can't. And I'm thinking to myself, if the data confirms that three

00:33:04.420 feet is good enough, I've got questions. Because if three feet is good enough, there's something that

00:33:14.060 we've been told that doesn't quite track, if you know what I mean. Right? So I'll tell you, if this three

00:33:22.120 feet holds, I want it to hold, of course, because that would be better than six feet. But if it does

00:33:26.880 hold, and the data supports it, there's something else that we don't understand about how this thing

00:33:33.020 gets spread. All right. I asked on Twitter yesterday, if there were a private company

00:33:38.780 that could offer to deprogram your child from whatever occult programming they're getting in

00:33:46.240 school, would you pay for it if it were reasonably priced? And overwhelmingly, people said yes.

00:33:52.120 Now, of course, that reflects my audience as much as anything. But I feel as if this is like a

00:33:57.780 legitimate market opportunity for somebody to be something like a tutor, but to be a tutor on how to

00:34:05.660 avoid cult wokeness. And I don't think it would take forever. Like I think you could hire that tutor

00:34:14.100 to come in, you know, twice a year, and just give your kids a little tune up. Say, hey, kids,

00:34:20.840 it's just 45 minutes, I'd like you to listen to Mr. Johnson, twice a year, and he's going to just go

00:34:29.200 over what you've been told. And then he's going to give you another view of it. So you can see the

00:34:34.000 filter to look through. And you can tell what's real and what's not. Twice a year, just a little

00:34:39.980 bit of a tune up. Really useful, I think. The other thing I've been promoting forever is teaching

00:34:45.740 strategy to kids. Life strategy. The sort of things you can get from my book, How to Failed

00:34:51.300 Almost Everything and Still Win Big. There are others. But schools don't really teach strategy.

00:34:57.740 Like, you know, should you have a system versus a goal? How to build a skill stack, etc. And I feel

00:35:04.300 like that's a consulting business too. Imagine if you could, again, just twice a year,

00:35:11.060 have a tutor come in, put your kids in front of them. It could be different ages, because it

00:35:16.360 wouldn't matter that much. And just have them teach you, all right, here's the stuff you learn

00:35:20.620 in school. Here's the stuff they don't tell you. But if you use these strategies, you're really going

00:35:26.000 to do well. Priceless. It would be priceless. All right. Have you noticed how often the Democrats

00:35:37.700 get the same thing, I'm going to say wrong, but you might say different, than Republicans?

00:35:46.040 And it's so consistent. And I don't hear people talk about it, even though this would be the way

00:35:51.220 to describe everything that's happening, is that Democrats don't understand or don't appreciate

00:35:57.140 or don't recognize human motivation as being a necessary, maybe the most necessary part of any

00:36:04.780 system. And Republicans consistently get that right. It's the biggest difference. It's like

00:36:12.040 there's a blind spot. Now, the Democrats think the blind spot is that Republicans have no heart

00:36:17.260 or they're racist or something. Whereas the Republicans say, you're ignoring the biggest

00:36:22.900 variable every time. It doesn't even matter what topic you're looking at. Every time you get the same

00:36:28.280 thing wrong, which is human motivation. You act like it doesn't, it's not a thing. Like it doesn't

00:36:34.120 even exist. Let me give you some examples. Immigration. Trump got the human motivation right

00:36:41.840 because he made it difficult and unpleasant to come across the border. And so fewer people did.

00:36:48.940 The Democrats say, hey, we want to be kind. So we're going to let anybody, any kids come in. And of

00:36:54.880 course, the human motivation was too many kids and the system is, looks like it's already broken.

00:37:01.180 It's collapsing. So how about socialism? Socialism is, again, getting the human motivation part wrong

00:37:08.380 because if you let people make more money and be greedy, they will build amazing businesses. And if you

00:37:15.160 give them no reward whatsoever for doing extra hard work, they won't do it. Again, Democrats get that

00:37:23.660 wrong. The teachers' unions. The motivation is for them to protect the union. And that means that the

00:37:33.060 children, who are our most valuable asset, even if you don't love children, economically, they're the

00:37:39.460 most valuable asset for the future, unambiguously. But the Democrats create a situation where there's

00:37:46.960 no competition in schools because of the teachers' unions. So they squash the competition.

00:37:52.480 And as soon as you don't have competition, what is the human motivation of the people working there?

00:37:58.540 To not do a good job because the pay is the same if you do a good job or a bad job. There's no

00:38:04.760 competition, so you're not going to lose out that way. What about the minimum wage? Same thing.

00:38:11.360 The minimum wage, the Republicans say, hold on. If you make this change, you can predict very easily

00:38:18.600 what people will do. Companies will hire fewer people. You know, just the human motivation will

00:38:24.480 work through it and it'll be a problem. Now, I don't agree with the Republican position on this,

00:38:29.500 just to be clear. I'm just describing them. I do think that the country could handle a higher

00:38:35.500 minimum wage if you do it smart and you do it differently in different places, etc. But I think

00:38:42.460 we could probably handle it. Anyway, so in every case, even foreign affairs, you know, even trusting

00:38:52.220 Iran to do the right thing. Okay, Iran will do the right thing. So you will too, right? Again,

00:39:00.240 they get the human motivation wrong because Iran says, you're going to let us do whatever we want

00:39:04.920 and not check. We'll do some bad stuff. I feel as if this label between Republican and Democrat

00:39:14.560 could be scrapped and there are just some people who believe human motivation is real.

00:39:20.700 And that could describe everything. Instead of saying, are you Democrat or are you Republican,

00:39:25.760 just say, hey, do you believe that human motivation should be a big factor when you design a system

00:39:32.160 for society? And if somebody says no, they're a Democrat. I guess Bill Burr was one of the hosts

00:39:44.200 for the Grammys, did part of the presentation, and a bunch of people are complaining. And when I say

00:39:49.940 a bunch of people, I mean artists. Artists are consistently the humorless group. Now, if you hire Bill Burr,

00:40:02.160 to be part of your program, and then Bill Burr mocks something about your program, which I guess

00:40:10.500 he did, because he wasn't turned on by the piano music section, that's sort of on you, right?

00:40:20.640 If you hire Bill Burr and he says something that offends somebody, you can't say you didn't see it

00:40:25.860 coming. Well, I didn't see that coming. By the way, there's nothing funnier than watching people

00:40:33.540 call Bill Burr racist, because he does, everything he does is a little edgy. So it's like right on the

00:40:40.280 edge of being, you know, sexist, but not quite. And he's like right on the edge of you think it's

00:40:46.140 going to be a little racist, but it's not quite, which is where he gets all of his energy by walking

00:40:52.180 right up to the line. But I love this fact about him, which is he's married to a black woman. 0.92

00:40:58.520 And so he's got this situation where just, he just silently does his thing. And everybody

00:41:04.300 complains about, you know, hey, are you being a racist? And he just sits there, married to a black 1.00

00:41:10.760 woman. And that's it. That's, that's the defense. Now, I don't think he ever has ever said that 0.99

00:41:19.760 directly, like, hey, I can't be racist, because I'm married to a black woman, which is not even

00:41:25.000 the thing. Because of course, you could be the biggest racist in the world and be married to a 1.00

00:41:29.320 to a black woman, that there's nothing that would stop that. But as an argument, it's like the most 0.99

00:41:35.660 elegant argument you could make. Because you don't even have to say anything. Here's my argument.

00:41:41.660 Nothing. How about my counter argument is nothing. I'm not even going to counter argument. I'll just

00:41:49.960 be me. And that's my argument. Have you noticed that all of the stories turn out to be continuation

00:41:58.640 stories? Remember when Trump would create new news? You'd wake up and he's like, oh, what do you do now?

00:42:05.480 It'd be like this whole new story about a new thing. But today, all of the stories are just

00:42:12.280 more. So we have Biden continues not to give press conferences, 54 days. We continue to talk about his

00:42:22.820 declining mental state. There's no news per se, but there is more of it. Immigration is just getting 1.00

00:42:33.120 worse. Cuomo gets a new accuser every few days. And more people have been asked about commenting

00:42:41.920 on it. But it's the same story. There's just more of it. How about the vaccination rollout? It's not really

00:42:51.960 new. There's just more of it. How about the comedians say something offensive? Well, is that new? Not really.

00:43:01.160 There's just another one. So the Biden administration has turned into a no news.

00:43:11.160 Isn't that weird? That the idea of news just stopped.

00:43:17.200 Sharon Osbourne got in trouble for, I guess, supporting Piers Morgan and his comments about 0.85

00:43:24.920 Meghan Markle. And that turned into, you must be a racist and blah, blah, blah, blah. 0.96

00:43:29.220 And then she had to, of course, do her statement in which she said, so here's Sharon Osbourne. 0.99

00:43:36.900 There are very few things that hurt my heart more than racism. So to feel associated with that spun me

00:43:43.200 fast. I am not perfect. I am still learning like the rest of us and will continue to learn,

00:43:49.380 listen and do better. And I was comparing that to Chris Harrison's public statement of apology.

00:43:56.600 And I thought to myself, I'm going to need to write one of these. Sooner or later, I'm going to be doing

00:44:04.580 one of these public apologies. I don't know for what, but it feels likely, right? Oh, by the way,

00:44:10.440 YouTube just took down two of my videos. They were both from January, but they took them off. And the

00:44:16.540 reason giving is that the videos they say promoted false election claims. Now, if you've been watching

00:44:25.700 me, do you think that I made any false election claims? You've been watching me for a while, right?

00:44:34.800 And you know how carefully I word everything. Do you believe that there were any false claims about the

00:44:42.560 election in those videos? Two of them, and they were taken down. No, they weren't. No. Because I don't make those

00:44:49.140 claims, nor do I think anybody should. Indeed, I could not agree with YouTube anymore. I don't think people

00:45:00.240 should be promoting false claims of elections. And so, I've never done it. You'd agree. You've all watched it.

00:45:08.860 You've never seen me even promote anything that was even sketchy, right? In fact, I do the opposite

00:45:14.300 more than anything. I tell you that the claims are bullshit. Pretty much exclusively, I tell you that 1.00

00:45:19.920 the claims don't have substance. I've probably mentioned that the statistics need to be explained,

00:45:27.020 but that there's no direct evidence of fraud. So, and what YouTube said in a statement, oh, let me

00:45:33.660 read it to you. I'll tell you how YouTube described this to me, and I'll tie it back to Sharon

00:45:37.900 Osborne in a moment. So, here's their actual statement. It says, hi, Scott Adams. We want to

00:45:48.200 let you know that our team reviewed your content, and we think it violates our spam deceptive practices

00:45:54.240 and scams policy. We know you may not have realized this was a violation of our policies. Here's the

00:46:01.880 important part. We know you may not have realized it. Now, that's true. And the reason I did not

00:46:08.560 realize it is because it didn't happen. In no reality did this happen, in any reality. Now, do

00:46:15.120 they point to the thing I said so that I could know next time, oh, don't say that, because whatever it

00:46:22.740 was that I said, that's the thing they're keying on, so I'd like to avoid. They don't tell me what it is.

00:46:26.820 It's just somewhere in a video that had lots of different topics. Okay? And they said, we've,

00:46:36.280 it says, so we're not applying a strike to your channel. So, they're not going to put it on my

00:46:43.020 permanent record because they think I might not have realized that I had violated their policy.

00:46:50.380 That seems pretty good, right? If they admit they don't know I did it intentionally, so they're not

00:46:57.060 putting a strike on my record. They're just getting rid of the videos. Does that seem reasonable?

00:47:01.500 Pretty fair, right? If this were the only thing in the world, even I would say, oh, I would disagree

00:47:08.060 with that opinion, but that's reasonable. I'm not getting any kind of a permanent strike. They're just

00:47:12.940 doing a little editing. Eh, no big deal. And they're older videos anyway. But here's the question.

00:47:18.920 If I got these taken down, and even they know I couldn't tell that I had violated the policy,

00:47:26.780 what happens when I do it again? Right? Because now I've been warned. Have I not been warned?

00:47:36.400 This is exactly what this is. It's a warning. And they're saying, we're not going to give you a

00:47:41.460 strike because you probably didn't know you did anything wrong. But what happens the next time?

00:47:46.460 The next time, can they not say, we warned you? I feel like they could. Because they did warn me,

00:47:54.200 but they didn't tell me what it was that I did. So I don't have the option of avoiding it,

00:47:59.600 because I don't know what it was. Now, do you see what's happening? Now, add this to the fact that

00:48:07.740 the algorithm has obviously tightened up on me as well, so that, you know, the monetization and

00:48:13.080 everything from the channel just plunged. So doesn't that look like a setup to you?

00:48:20.820 Like an obvious setup? I feel as if they're pushing me in a situation where I will accidentally

00:48:27.780 cancel myself and I'll never know I did it. I'll just be canceled. And then they'll say,

00:48:33.000 well, this is your third strike. To which I'll say, about what? You didn't even tell me what the

00:48:39.760 other strikes were about. I mean, you gave me a category, but you didn't tell me what I said

00:48:44.960 that violated that category. I have no idea. And honestly, I don't even have a guess.

00:48:51.740 I have no guess why I got censored. Think about that. Think about being censored,

00:48:57.580 and you don't even know why, except for a category. I just don't know what I said about it.

00:49:05.400 Yeah, and they went back two months to find it. What's that tell you?

00:49:10.280 So every time one of my videos goes up, it gets a down vote the moment it comes on,

00:49:16.640 meaning that there are people who spend their full time just trying to demonetize my channel.

00:49:23.280 Now, I don't know that they're anybody except trolls, but there's somebody whose job it is trying to

00:49:30.000 make my voice less. They're spending like time every single day working on decreasing my voice.

00:49:37.580 Think about that. So I would say the odds of me eventually getting canceled from YouTube are 100%

00:49:45.300 unless I stop saying the kinds of stuff I say, which I don't plan to do. So we'll see. If I get

00:49:51.680 canceled, I'll be on the Locals platform, subscription platform, where I am now with

00:49:56.880 the stuff you don't get to see. And by the way, I keep saying I'm going to do a thing on Locals

00:50:02.100 about reframing. It's going to be the best thing I've ever done. And I think that's actually true,

00:50:08.700 because I've just been sort of working on the outline for it. And when I looked at it together,

00:50:14.360 it's really going to be life-changing. Not some, probably a lot of people who watch that content,

00:50:22.200 it's just going to completely change your life. It's actually that powerful.

00:50:27.120 Anyway, back to Sharon Osborne. So she did her little statement of contrition and how she's 0.93

00:50:31.720 going to listen and do better. I thought, I better write mine in advance. So I wrote up a little first

00:50:37.060 draft. So I'd like to read to you my statement. I will be reading when I get canceled, because that

00:50:42.860 seems inevitable. I don't know for what. So please help me on the first draft. Okay? So this is when

00:50:50.980 I get caught or canceled for whatever bad thing I'm sure I'll do in the future. I will say the

00:50:57.880 following. It doesn't matter what it is. Here's my statement. I'm a deeply flawed human. Really,

00:51:05.300 just a pile of organic crap that is barely sentient. I must learn to listen and do better. 0.99

00:51:12.860 I am committed to doing the hard work of examining all of my flaws as described by my critics. And I

00:51:19.740 will force myself to be unhappy until my brain is free of all bias. And I can clearly see myself

00:51:26.860 as broken and unworthy of life itself. I beg my critics who are already operating at a higher level

00:51:35.140 of moral standards to pity me for my wretchedness and evil and to help me improve by spitting on me

00:51:42.280 in public whenever they see me. I am committed to a path of self-improvement that will, with lots of

00:51:49.100 hard work, make me barely acceptable to proper thinking people. I dedicate my entire life to the

00:51:55.940 mission of pleasing my critics, who are justifiably uncomfortable with my very existence. 0.95

00:52:03.280 In summary, I am a shitty person and I will spend my days thinking of nothing else but my unworthiness, 0.94

00:52:09.980 which I now understand, extends to the molecular level of my being. 0.94

00:52:14.780 Please adjust your opinion of me to be as low as my opinion of myself. I plan to issue public

00:52:21.540 statements of apology for being me until the end of my days, which I think we all agree should come

00:52:28.020 sooner than later. Now, this is just the first draft. I need to tighten it up a little bit.

00:52:35.620 I don't feel that I insulted myself enough. I need to add a little bit more begging.

00:52:43.520 Right? Got to add a little more begging. So, but that's the start. And I would suggest that all of

00:52:49.140 you start working on your statements of contrition and apology because it's coming for you. You don't

00:52:56.860 want to be caught off guard. In fact, when I get cancelled, I think I'll just have this in my back

00:53:03.360 pocket. And I'll be like, uh, Mr. Adams, you've said some terrible things. Uh, do you have any

00:53:13.460 comments? Do I? Yeah. Here I do. Thank God I did all this work and I'm glad. Uh, yeah, I have a

00:53:21.960 statement for that. Uh, statement begins, uh, uh, uh, uh, uh, I'm a deeply flawed human and I'll just read

00:53:30.380 my statement. And then people say, whoa, you carry that with you carry with me. Yes. I memorize this

00:53:38.660 every day. I, I read, I chant it. I actually go outside and I chant my apology. That's how serious

00:53:46.540 I am to doing the work. A lot of you, you're not serious about doing the work. I do the work.

00:53:54.560 And that's why I'm a better person than all of you because I hate myself more. Now you understand

00:54:02.380 that, right? I hate myself more than you hate yourself, which makes me a better person.

00:54:11.260 And if you add to that that I'm white and male and of a certain age, that self-hatred is really the

00:54:20.440 key to moral acceptability. So if you can find a way to deeply, deeply despise yourself,

00:54:27.800 um, that will give you some moral clarity. All right. That is my show for today. I think you'll

00:54:37.600 agree. It's the best one ever until tomorrow. And I'm glad you liked that. Some people are laughing.

00:54:47.020 Can I get a copy? So he wants a copy. Yeah, maybe I'll post that. I may post that. All right. That's

00:55:01.280 all for now. And I will talk to you a little bit later. All right, YouTubers. Good first draft.

00:55:10.020 Thank you. I'll keep working on that. And I will see you tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 15, 2021

Episode 1314 Scott Adams： Biden to Raise Taxes to Pay for the Destruction of America, Science Versus Guessing, China is Doomed, More

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