Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1315 Scott Adams： The Newest HOAX From the Washington Post, CNN Turns on Biden, Shocking Poll

00:00:00.000 La la la la la. Hey everybody. Come on in. Yeah, it's time and you found the right place.

00:00:09.720 Congratulations. You're doing great today. And may I mention, because I don't know if

00:00:16.240 anybody's said it yet, but you look great today. Have you lost weight? I don't know.

00:00:23.040 You just look healthier, younger, sexier. And it could be because you've been enjoying

00:00:30.280 a little thing that's good for your health. You know what it is. It's called the simultaneous

00:00:35.080 hip. And it's going to happen now. But only, only if you have a cup or mug or a glass, a

00:00:42.080 tank or chalice or stein, a canteen jug or a glass, a vessel of any kind. And only if you

00:00:46.520 filled it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the dopamine hit

00:00:52.460 at the end of the day. The thing that makes everything better. Yeah. It's called the

00:00:57.620 simultaneous sip. Have you heard of it? It's big. It's all over the world. And it's happening

00:01:02.960 now. Go. Suddenly, I feel a psychic, if not a spiritual connection to every other simultaneous

00:01:19.320 sipper everywhere in the world. But what about the people who did not sip? They're dead to

00:01:26.740 me. It's like they don't even exist. But I'm sure they'll get with the program. Well, let's

00:01:32.820 talk about the most important thing of the day. I just tweeted a poll for Women Only. And

00:01:39.220 I'll ask the same thing here. So Women Only, answer me in the comments. 1.00

00:01:44.540 Is it ever okay for a man to wear a v-neck t-shirt? This looks v-neck because I'm wearing

00:01:54.920 a microphone, but it's not. So that's the question. Is it ever okay for a man, women only, only 0.85

00:02:03.300 women, only women? Is it ever okay for a man to wear a v-neck t-shirt? Answers are overwhelmingly 0.99

00:02:11.920 yes. Somebody's wife says no. Sure. Yes, yes, yes. No. I love them. Yes, yes, yes. Sure.

00:02:23.080 Prefer them not to work, somebody says. Well, I've heard it depends on the guy. So I've heard that

00:02:30.200 if your chest area and your arms are in reasonably good shape, you can pull it off. But if you're

00:02:36.820 kind of hairy and you haven't worked out, maybe you shouldn't. All right. Well, we settled that.

00:02:41.380 Let's talk about something else. I put a micro lesson on reframing, how to reframe your experience

00:02:49.880 on the Locals platform. It's a subscription platform for seven bucks a month. You get all of my wisdom

00:02:56.160 that you can't see anywhere else. And I was looking at the responses to it, and it looks

00:03:04.000 like it's life-changing. And I hoped it would be. But the idea of just looking at things differently

00:03:10.460 and then how that will change how you feel about things and how you act is a really powerful

00:03:16.100 thing. So a lot of people are saying it's just literally life-changing. But in other news,

00:03:22.820 Elton John has condemned the Pope for ruling that same-sex unions are sinful. And I thought to

00:03:30.800 myself, that's kind of a fair fight, isn't it? Elton John versus the Pope. In many ways, they're the

00:03:39.420 same person, aren't they? If you hold it, you had Elton John. Just do this exercise. Just imagine

00:03:47.060 Elton John. And then just think sort of generally about Elton John's vibe. You know, just feel him

00:03:55.800 just generally. Hold that in your head. Now think of the Pope. Same guy. It's the same guy. Wouldn't

00:04:03.640 you like to see them have a cage fight and the winner gets to decide who gets married? I'd like

00:04:09.360 that. I mean, it's two people who like flamboyant clothing and being in public. And I was trying to

00:04:17.140 imagine who could referee this fight. And obviously, God would be the best referee. And so I'm imagining

00:04:26.600 the Pope praying over this and praying to God. And unlike regular people, if you pray to God,

00:04:34.020 you don't feel him actually talking back usually. Maybe some of you do. It's more of a feeling,

00:04:41.800 right? But if you're the Pope, it's more like a phone call. And he's like, hey, God, you know,

00:04:47.080 I've got this situation. Elton John is mad at me because of this same-sex union thing. I came out

00:04:54.480 against it. And God would say, wait, who? Who's against you? Elton John. Elton John, I love Tiny

00:05:06.080 Dancer. And the Pope would be, okay, let's not get sidetracked. Just a question about these sinful 0.97

00:05:13.120 same-sex unions. Who's right, Elton John or me? And God says, have you heard Levon? It's amazing.

00:05:21.940 I play it all the time up here in heaven. And the Pope would be, can we stay on the topic?

00:05:27.640 So anyway, I think Elton John would probably get the nod if it came down to that.

00:05:32.480 Did you see the shocking video of a small plane in Florida crashing into a car

00:05:38.720 on the ground? Apparently, a few people died. Yeah, I guess a few died. It's a shocking-looking

00:05:46.980 thing. But you have to have really bad luck. I'm not making fun of this. I'm just saying,

00:05:52.680 you have to have really bad luck to die because a plane hit you while you were driving in your car.

00:06:00.280 Again, I'm not making fun of it. But that is really bad luck.

00:06:04.620 And one of the little insider things I happen to know from hanging around pilots is that the type

00:06:14.600 of plane that this was is called a Beechcraft Bonanza. And it has a nickname. It has a nickname

00:06:22.220 that the company who makes this airplane really doesn't want me to say. But I'm going to say it

00:06:27.600 anyway. Among pilots, they call this plane that crashed, it's nicknamed the doctor killer.

00:06:36.620 Yeah, I can see it in the comments. Somebody already knew that. Yeah, pilots call that type

00:06:41.940 of plane a doctor killer. And the reason is that rich people, and doctors just being an example,

00:06:49.640 will often get this plane and not realize that it's a little bit hard to handle. It's a little

00:06:56.440 bit more powerful than an average plane in that class. If you were to compare this to, say, a Cessna,

00:07:03.880 this is just stuff I hear from pilots, that a Cessna wants to land. If you get a Cessna anywhere near

00:07:10.800 an airport and take your hands off the controls, the Cessna will just sort of land. Now, that's an

00:07:18.300 exaggeration. You really have to land it. But it lands really easily. Whereas the high performance

00:07:23.780 planes come in at a much higher speed, and they're built for performance, they're not built for the

00:07:29.000 subtleties of landing. And so they're kind of difficult to land. This one is in the slightly

00:07:34.660 difficult to land category. But I'll tell you what really struck me about it, no pun intended, is that

00:07:40.940 when you see the video, the plane comes in at an angle like this and actually hits nose first.

00:07:46.820 Now, I feel like it's almost impossible to hit nose first if you're still flying. So either he lost

00:07:55.740 flight control or the pilot was unconscious, because there's almost no way that even if you lost all

00:08:04.100 engine, you still wouldn't hit at that angle. There had to be a steering problem, I think. So when it

00:08:10.240 comes out, we'll find out. All right. This, I almost canceled everything I was going to say today,

00:08:20.260 just to go on a swearing, cursing streak about the next story. And this just happened. I guess

00:08:29.200 Joy Reid was interviewing Governor Newsom about who he's going to appoint to replace

00:08:35.260 if Senator Feinstein were to retire. And Joy Reid asked if he would appoint a black woman to the 0.98

00:08:45.840 U.S. Senate if Feinstein retires. And his answer was, I have multiple names in mind, and the answer

00:08:52.820 is yes. So the governor just said that if you're white, you're not in consideration for the job.

00:09:01.200 If you're Hispanic, Hispanic American, you're not in consideration to be a senator. If you're 1.00

00:09:10.800 Asian American, you are not considered to be a senator by the governor of New York who gets to make the

00:09:21.940 decision. Now, I'm trying really hard to not curse. But isn't this everything that the United States

00:09:34.640 isn't? This is everything we're not. You've probably noticed that I've been relatively, compared to a lot of

00:09:48.260 people, relatively not much of a critic of Governor Newsom. I think he's got some explaining to do,

00:09:55.100 right? There's some things he needs to explain. But I also generally thought, you know, he was sort of

00:09:59.600 a well-intentioned, and he's certainly smart, right? So he has some qualities. I'm not going to ignore

00:10:05.600 that. And I was forgiving about, you know, coronavirus decisions, because I've said everybody's guessing on

00:10:14.920 that. And even immigration is just a tough place to be, right? Because if anybody had like a great

00:10:24.140 solution for immigration, it would have been done by now. So I'm not even too hard on him on the things

00:10:30.740 that clearly he seems to be failing on. Everything from forest management to energy management, a lot

00:10:37.600 of failing. But I've been relatively okay. Well, not okay. But as a critic, I've been holding back a

00:10:45.980 little bit. I don't know if you've noticed it. Seems like almost everybody is harder on him than I am.

00:10:52.100 And then this happened. Alright, I'm not going to get through this without swearing. So here's your

00:11:00.620 official warning. If you've got kids in the room, probably want to put the earmuffs on them right

00:11:08.320 now. When you tell me, Mr. Mayor, I'm sorry, not Mayor, but Governor, that I'm not qualified for a job

00:11:19.960 because of my skin color. Well, at that point, let's just say, you've gone too far. Now, I would 0.96

00:11:33.340 act exactly the same way if he'd said, he didn't, but if he had said, I won't appoint a black person to

00:11:42.560 be senator. Imagine that. How would you feel about that? Well, I'd be pretty pissed, because that's not

00:11:48.920 the country I don't live in, right? Would you want to live in a country where your governor said, no, I'll

00:11:54.800 definitely not appoint a black person for this senator job. You won't get even considered if you're 0.99

00:12:01.980 black. Well, immediately, he would lose his job, of course. But you should be really, really mad. Like, if that 0.99

00:12:11.600 happened in your country, the whole point of the fucking country is that we don't do that. Let me say

00:12:19.840 it again. The whole fucking point of America, the whole fucking point is that we don't do that.

00:12:30.020 That's the thing we don't do. You can do every other fucking thing. Everything. You can murder

00:12:38.520 people. You can do all kinds of terrible, terrible mistakes. But in America, that's the one thing we

00:12:47.800 don't fucking do. If you get that wrong, the whole experiment, you might as well just throw it in the

00:12:56.580 fucking toilet. Like, the moment you can sit, the governor can go on television and say right to our

00:13:03.940 faces, that your ethnicity will disqualify you for one of the top jobs in California.

00:13:15.220 That's not the country you want to live in. And it has nothing to do with the fact that which

00:13:20.940 ethnicity he decided to prefer for this. It has nothing to do with which one he picked. Exactly the

00:13:27.440 same, no matter what he said, as long as he was saying some people can't be senator. Now, I get

00:13:33.360 that diversity is important. And if you gave me a choice of having more diversity or less, I would

00:13:43.060 take more. Certainly in a representative government, I think that's just healthy. So I want more, but not

00:13:50.040 like this. Not this way. Is this the way you get it? Oh, my God. And the fact, the shocking thing is

00:13:58.780 that he could say this proudly. He didn't say it like, well, you know, sheepishly, I might have to

00:14:07.920 go this way. No, he said it like everybody should be patting him on the back and giving him a raise and

00:14:14.200 reelected him. Yeah, I'm going to discriminate by race. It's amazing. And so I would say that this 1.00

00:14:24.280 turned me from being, well, if Governor Newsom, you know, survives the recall, you know, so be it.

00:14:33.540 That's what the people wanted in the state. But now I feel like I have to end him politically.

00:14:38.940 Now I feel like I can't ignore him anymore. Like he went from, it's hard to ignore, but I can do it

00:14:46.680 to I can't ignore this. I can't ignore this. It's way over the line. CNN held a focus group of

00:14:56.240 Republicans who are hesitant about getting the vaccinations. And they wanted to sort of see what

00:15:02.340 was in their heads. Like, why is it you'd be hesitant? And Anderson Cooper, who was talking

00:15:08.940 about the segment, acted very surprised that the Republicans on the panel were being persuaded by

00:15:18.120 science as opposed to politics. That's right. Anderson Cooper was actually surprised that the

00:15:28.380 Republicans sounded rational. And when they said when the vaccinations, you know, first were

00:15:34.520 announced, we were more skeptical, because we wanted more science. As more science comes in, and you know,

00:15:40.980 we can watch the experience and get more and more information. We're more persuaded to take it,

00:15:46.840 because we have more scientific information. And Anderson Cooper acts like he's fucking surprised

00:15:54.000 that Republicans would be persuaded by information and science. Now, here's the thing. Are you surprised?

00:16:08.760 I wasn't surprised, because I don't think there's anybody who isn't who isn't persuaded by additional

00:16:16.980 information and science over time. Right? And I think he thought that it was Trump or just

00:16:24.820 republicanism or something that was causing these people to be skeptical, as opposed to being completely

00:16:30.960 smart, and simply being cautious, and wanting to have as much information as they could. So it's

00:16:37.760 amazing that he's amazed, I guess. There's a story today, because the press is just so bored without

00:16:45.960 Trump. They have to reach into the past and try to pull something back to the present to make a story

00:16:52.840 of it. So I guess when Kushner, his last trip to the Middle East, or Israel, talking about the Abraham

00:16:59.420 Accords, and he ran up a hotel bill of over $25,000 for room and board. And that's a big story. Do you know

00:17:08.980 why that's a big story? Because the public doesn't know what first class hotel accommodations cost.

00:17:17.860 It's about that much. Something like that. So, you know, could he have traveled more cheaply? Yeah,

00:17:26.460 probably. Probably. Did I mention that Jared Kushner has been nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize

00:17:32.760 for the good work he was for the good work he got done on these trips? You could argue that he could have

00:17:39.120 traveled cheaper, but you can't argue that he didn't do something worth it. In fact, I would argue he's the

00:17:47.500 only person who, you know, he and Avi Berkowitz might be the only people in the government who deserve the

00:17:55.320 amount of travel accommodations that they received. They got nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize.

00:18:02.920 It's amazing. So I certainly don't care about his hotel bill. David Boxenhorn on Twitter tweeted an

00:18:12.060 article from the Times of Israel saying that they got their R factor down to 0.78. I don't think anybody

00:18:18.960 could really measure that. Do you think any country can really measure their R factor accurately?

00:18:25.480 But maybe they can get in the range. So if you were not up on what the R factor is, if your R is one or

00:18:33.980 greater, it means that each person, you know, might be spreading it to enough people that it will

00:18:40.480 spread. That's the worst explanation ever. Let me try it again. If your R is over one, it means the virus

00:18:47.980 can spread. If it's under one, it will probably die out naturally by not having enough people to spread

00:18:53.420 two. And we're not being, you know what I'm talking about. I don't have to do better than that. But Israel's

00:19:01.020 already under one, reportedly. I don't know how reliable that is. I wouldn't say that's the most reliable

00:19:07.400 kind of thing. But it's not way over one. And if you're looking for any positive signs, this one's a

00:19:16.420 good one. Because Israel's doing well on the vaccinations, and they're getting the outcome 1.00

00:19:21.920 that is predicted. So anytime your science says, if you do this, you'll get this outcome. And then you

00:19:28.560 do this, and you get that outcome. That's pretty good news. All right. In the George Floyd case,

00:19:36.400 Jack Posobiec reports that juror number 51 admits she cannot be impartial after hearing that the city

00:19:45.820 awarded George Floyd's family a record 27 million dollars. Now, shouldn't they all say that? Is there

00:19:55.600 a juror? Now, presumably all of the jurors know about this 27 million because one juror talked about

00:20:02.820 it in front of the other jurors. So if they didn't see it in the news, they heard about it in the courtroom.

00:20:08.360 Who would be dumb enough to say that they would not be influenced by that? Because of course

00:20:16.960 everybody would be influenced by that. Wouldn't you worry if somebody said they weren't influenced by

00:20:21.920 that? Because it means they already decided. If anybody tells you that they would not be biased

00:20:27.340 by this $27 million award, it's only because they've already made up their mind. That's not the person

00:20:35.040 you want on the jury. And so I ask you this. Why are we bothering to have this trial? Because I don't

00:20:42.660 see any way that the trial outcome could be considered credible or that it wouldn't get overturned by some

00:20:50.100 higher court for saying your trial was ridiculous. There's no chance in hell that Chauvin got a fair

00:20:58.420 trial. So I don't know the, I don't know how this works legally, but shouldn't the judge just cancel

00:21:06.900 the trial and try to find a venue that maybe is, you know, less likely to be this biased? I feel as

00:21:16.200 if they have to, you know, I feel as if they have to end the trial at this point. I don't know if they

00:21:22.120 will, but they have to. Um, so there's a Rasmussen poll result coming this morning. I don't know if

00:21:31.140 it's published yet, but you'll see it. And they asked the question of whether people believe that

00:21:37.000 Joe Biden was actually making the decisions of the presidency or somebody else was making those

00:21:44.340 decisions for him. What percentage of the United States, I don't know if this was likely voters or

00:21:50.860 not, because lots of times they limit things to likely voters, but I don't know if this one was,

00:21:56.220 but what percentage do you think the poll said are people who believe that Biden is not actually in

00:22:02.060 charge? If you guessed 47%, you would be right. It's funny. I'm seeing estimates of like 70% and 60%.

00:22:13.040 Here's what I think. I think those are closer to true. I believe that, uh, Republicans all said

00:22:21.400 Biden is not in charge and the Democrats probably mostly said he is in charge. And, and that, uh,

00:22:29.900 if you actually, if you were to talk to a Democrat privately and nobody would ever hear what you ever

00:22:37.980 said, the two of you, and you get, you get your Democrat, your Biden voter in a, in a closet,

00:22:42.800 you say, look, nobody will ever hear this. Just tell me the truth. Do you think Biden's in charge?

00:22:50.940 How many people in the closet when nobody would ever know what they really said,

00:22:56.440 how many of them would say that Biden's really in charge? Right? I'm not so sure that the Democrats

00:23:05.600 think Biden's in charge. I think they don't care. I think that they think that, oh, maybe it's Obama's

00:23:12.620 behind the curtain or Hillary Clinton, or, you know, it's just the, uh, the technocrats or the money

00:23:18.780 people or whatever, but maybe they're just okay with it. So that's interesting. Uh, there's an, a brand new

00:23:29.940 hoax has been revealed, and this one's a big one. The Washington Post, uh, back in January 9th had

00:23:36.720 reported that Trump had a phone call with the Georgia state elections, uh, with, uh, I guess the

00:23:43.100 Georgia state, whatever, election official. And he reportedly said, but it turns out he didn't,

00:23:50.800 but it was reported that he said, find the fraud. Now find the fraud was interpreted as, even if it's

00:23:59.760 not there, go find it or give me a result that says there's fraud. I don't care if it's really

00:24:05.900 there or not. So that's how it was interpreted. But it turns out he never even said it because an

00:24:11.620 audio of the call was just released, never said it. And it was one of the key pieces of, uh,

00:24:18.860 evidence for the impeachment trial. Think about that. A key piece of the impeachment trial

00:24:25.860 was based on a hoax. Now that's not true. Did I just tell you that a key part of this big public

00:24:34.480 impeachment process was a hoax? Because that's not true. Two hoaxes. Two hoaxes were key pieces of

00:24:47.140 evidence presented. One of them was the fine people hoax, which the Republicans debunked in

00:24:53.420 public. And the other one was this one, which wasn't debunked at the time because we didn't

00:24:58.160 have the audio. But now we have the audio and you know that the president never said find the fraud

00:25:03.920 and the actual things he said were not offensive at all. He was telling them to, you know, look into

00:25:09.140 it and they might find some dishonesty there. Nothing like find the fraud. So, uh, then I have,

00:25:19.020 I said, shouldn't the senators who, uh, perpetrated these two frauds, uh, for impeachment, shouldn't

00:25:26.120 they be impeached? Should it not be impeachable to use hoaxes to try to change the government of the

00:25:33.900 United States? Now, somebody else, uh, on Twitter saw that and said, oh, whoa, there's a difference

00:25:41.720 because those senators who use these hoaxes, they did not know that there were hoaxes when they used

00:25:48.620 them. Do you accept that, uh, explanation? Let's say it's true. Let's say that the, uh, the senators who

00:25:56.980 used both of those hoaxes, let's say they thought they were both true. Is it okay? No, no, it's not

00:26:06.100 okay. Because we don't judge them by what they were thinking, do we? We judge them by what they do.

00:26:13.300 We don't judge them by what they're thinking. Because that's what they were trying to do with

00:26:19.460 Trump. They were trying to say that, well, let me say that differently. When Trump was giving his

00:26:25.820 speech in which he said, go, uh, protest peacefully, people said, yeah, he said peacefully,

00:26:33.820 but he intended to cause more of a riot or an assault. And so the president, they were trying

00:26:41.840 to impeach him based entirely upon what they believe he thought. Um, right. It was based on

00:26:51.780 what he thought, but ultimately it was more about what he did, wasn't it? So regardless

00:26:58.040 of what Trump thought, he would also be criticized by simply doing it, you know, simply getting

00:27:06.140 people stirred up, no matter what anybody thought it resulted in maybe more, more activity or

00:27:12.320 rioting than would have happened. We don't know, but that's a reasonable assumption. And

00:27:17.840 so why should the senators who allegedly did not know these were hoaxes, why should they

00:27:25.840 get a pass just because they didn't know? I think we should judge them on what they did,

00:27:33.720 not on what they knew. Take the, uh, the coronavirus performance. President Trump, uh, allegedly

00:27:42.140 was lost the election because of coronavirus performance. If, did anybody know the right

00:27:50.660 answer? Do you think that the, that the president knew that his actions would have a suboptimal

00:27:58.740 outcome? No. So if the president allegedly made a mistake, but he didn't know he was making

00:28:07.600 a mistake. Does he, does he get a pass? Cause he didn't know he was making a mistake. No,

00:28:13.600 we don't judge people that way. We judge them what they actually did. And what these senators

00:28:18.480 actually did was trying to change the government of the United States on the back of two hoaxes.

00:28:25.620 It doesn't matter that they didn't know they were real. It doesn't matter. They should be removed

00:28:32.500 from office because they did the thing. They did the thing. That's it. Um, all right. The, uh, here's,

00:28:45.300 I love this story. If you don't mind, I'm going to be a little self-indulgent. I'll tell you about

00:28:53.640 the news here. It's a big story, but I'm going to be a little self-indulgent. Just warning you.

00:28:59.380 Um, there's a big article that you should read in New York magazine by David Wallace-Wells in

00:29:06.080 which he goes through all the various countries of the world and how they dealt with the pandemic.

00:29:10.960 And he's trying to figure out why some did better than others. You know, the big mystery that we all

00:29:15.880 have. Now the bottom line in a very large and article, that's really good. You should read it.

00:29:21.860 I think it does one of the best jobs I've seen of really putting things in context of who did what

00:29:27.540 worked and what worked and what didn't. But here was the bottom line. Nobody knows what worked.

00:29:34.220 That's the bottom line. When you compare countries and one had a good result, one had a bad result,

00:29:40.920 there's no pattern. There's no pattern. You just can't tell that what people did made that much

00:29:48.720 difference. Now there does, there does seem to be a big difference between the Asian countries'

00:29:54.300 performance, which was generally good, and the European, Western, United States, South American

00:30:01.700 countries, which was generally mediocre or bad. But we don't know exactly why. Because even within

00:30:10.980 the Asian countries, Japan did not do aggressive mitigation, but had a great result.

00:30:18.700 So you're tempted to say, well, all the Asian countries did everything right. The other 1.00

00:30:25.400 countries did everything wrong. Duh. Of course the result is different. Except that doesn't hold

00:30:32.020 up. You just look at Japan and you say, they didn't do everything right, and they got a great result. 0.61

00:30:37.760 And then you look at New Zealand, and you say, well, maybe it's more because of being an island.

00:30:43.060 Maybe the island thing makes a difference. So it looked like that the bottom line was that

00:30:49.520 it might be just chance. Just chance. Yeah, there's a big factor of obesity and age. So I think youth

00:30:59.300 and lack of obesity explains Africa. Basically, I think Africa can be completely explained by lack of 0.88

00:31:08.900 obesity and youth, in my opinion. Now genetics, we haven't determined yet how big a factor that is,

00:31:16.160 but surely that's a factor. Surely it is. But I don't know if it's an ethnic factor or a factor

00:31:21.800 within ethnicities. I would say that's an open question. So do you remember that early on in the

00:31:31.860 crisis, I made a prediction that I believe nobody else in the world made? And that prediction was

00:31:40.000 that the leadership decisions would not be determinant of the outcome. Did you hear anyone else in the

00:31:47.920 entire world ever say that? Just me, right? And this article kind of makes that case as well,

00:31:56.200 that now that we kind of know how things turned down, mostly, mostly we know, there is not a

00:32:03.140 correlation between how people acted and how the outcomes were. And we don't know why. The experts

00:32:10.100 are actually baffled. Now, they do know a whole bunch of things that make a difference. We know the

00:32:16.320 vitamin D makes a difference, the weight, probably the genetics. There's a big difference maybe in just

00:32:24.140 where you are located, what kind of travel patterns you have, are you a travel destination,

00:32:29.840 when did it hit your shores, how close were you to Italy. It turns out that proximity to Italy

00:32:36.960 is probably one of the biggest factors. Because Italy, well, you know, was sort of the second hot

00:32:44.080 spot after Wuhan. But there was something else in this article that caught my attention,

00:32:50.700 and I would like to read it to you. Okay? And you'll see why I'm reading it to you. It'll be

00:32:56.980 obvious in a minute. So this is from the New York Magazine, David Wallace Wells writes,

00:33:02.920 By American standards, Cuomo, talking about Governor Cuomo, did move quickly, putting his state in

00:33:08.620 lockdown just 20 days after the first confirmed case, three times faster than Washington State or

00:33:13.880 California. But he waited for cases to arrive on his doorstep to act. And even then, his first

00:33:22.980 instinct was to reassure rather than disrupt. In that, he was far from an outlier. Through the winter,

00:33:31.320 getting to the good part here, through the winter, the guidance from America's public health

00:33:35.560 establishment was clear. Beamed to the public through columns and op-eds, like those in the New York

00:33:40.900 Times, warning, quote, beware the pandemic panic. And in the Washington Post, arguing, quote, we should

00:33:48.260 be wary of an aggressive government response to coronavirus. Other headlines from the time, quote,

00:33:54.940 we should de-escalate the war on the coronavirus. That was from Wired. Coronavirus is scary, but the flu

00:34:01.400 is deadlier, more widespread from U.S. today. The flu is far bigger threat to most people in the U.S. than

00:34:08.300 the Wuhan coronavirus. That's from Business Insider. And before flu comparisons became a talking point

00:34:16.500 of the pandemic denier right, they were the reassuring focus of the establishment left. So the first point

00:34:25.820 is that the left-leaning people in the establishment were all telling you that the pandemic should not be

00:34:32.520 worried about. Keep that in mind. All right. And here's the money paragraph. Perhaps the

00:34:42.240 short-sighted and self-interested president, meaning Trump, would never have moved more quickly or more

00:34:48.480 emphatically in response to a different kind of warning. But governors might have, and mayors,

00:34:54.700 and the public at large. Instead, the cause of the alarm was picked up not by those in positions of

00:35:02.040 social authority or with the power to enact preparatory measures, but by a rogues' gallery

00:35:09.760 of outsiders and contrarians. Peter Navarro, Trump's personal China hawk, Scott Adams, the Dilber guy,

00:35:19.860 Balaji Srinivasan, a cryptocurrency evangelist from Silicon Valley, Eric Feigl Ding, a nutrition-focused

00:35:29.400 epidemiologist, then affiliated with Harvard, who got a bit out over his skis in a series of panic-inducing

00:35:38.040 tweets, then came in for a professional drubbing by his colleagues. Now, I could not enjoy this more.

00:35:49.860 Because in this long article about all these world leaders getting everything wrong,

00:35:57.720 I got called out by name as one of the few people in the country who got something right.

00:36:05.540 Now, I would like to make a few comments in the Murray-Gell-Man way. You know the Murray-Gell-Man

00:36:14.640 amnesia theory that you can always tell what's wrong with an article if it's about you or about

00:36:20.560 something you're an expert on. Now, in this case, I have a little insight. So let me tell you what the

00:36:26.300 news may have gotten not wrong, but maybe could have put a little more context on here. Listen to the

00:36:33.560 descriptions of these people. Number one, Peter Navarro, Trump's personal China hawk.

00:36:39.480 Is that how you would describe Peter Navarro as a China hawk? If you were just going to do

00:36:46.240 one description, China hawk? How about economist? How about famous economist?

00:36:55.040 All right. So that's what they left out about Peter Navarro. Then they talked about Scott Adams,

00:37:00.740 the Dilber guy. What'd they leave out? They left out my degree in economics, my MBA, right? I'm just

00:37:12.220 the cartoonist now. I'm the Dilber guy. So the first two people that are listed in the rogues gallery

00:37:18.400 to make us look like we're fringe nuts, they left out that we're both trained economists.

00:37:26.840 This matters because this was a math question, basically. The spread of the virus and how to do

00:37:36.680 risk management, it's kind of closer to an economics question than a medical question.

00:37:42.560 And if you leave out the qualifications of the two people who got it right, you know, being alarmed at

00:37:50.960 the right level of alarm at the right time, they both had the same education. That's not an accident.

00:37:58.300 If you leave that out of the story, it makes it look like we're like lucky, crazy people or something

00:38:04.660 instead of people who had exactly the right training to know what to do in this situation

00:38:11.320 and got it right. Isn't that a big difference in how you see this story? Because it seems presented

00:38:18.280 like, oh, there were some crazy outliers who guessed right or something. And then the next one is even

00:38:24.940 funnier. Balaji Srinivasan, he's described as a cryptocurrency evangelist from Silicon Valley.

00:38:34.060 Now, is that true? Yes, that's a true statement. You would probably embrace it himself. I think

00:38:43.020 Balaji would agree that he is a crypto evangelist and he's from Silicon Valley.

00:38:48.280 True enough. Here's what they left out. Calling Balaji a crypto evangelist is like calling Einstein

00:39:00.100 Jewish. Well, actually, I don't know if he's officially called himself Jewish, but it would 0.99

00:39:07.840 just be like picking one little thing out of somebody's life that might be the least important

00:39:14.460 thing about Balaji. Now, I won't get too much into Balaji's qualifications. But let's just say that if

00:39:23.440 you added up all of the brains of the people watching this, and all of your skills and all of

00:39:28.780 your talents, and you could somehow sum together all of our skills and intelligence, it would roughly

00:39:36.160 equal one equal one Balaji. Right? He's not normal. Like when you just refer to Balaji as a crypto guy,

00:39:46.100 you're missing the story. He's not a crypto guy. He's a guy who knows more than you know about more

00:39:55.860 things than you know even exist. He's not normal smart. He's like the kind of smart where it's,

00:40:03.940 you know, I'm the dog talking to a person. Like if you talk to Balaji for five minutes, 1.00

00:40:10.020 the recording that starts playing in your head is, I don't think I'm the same species.

00:40:15.060 I can't be the same species. Because I'm not that smart. And so they leave that out. Literally,

00:40:24.260 Balaji is literally famous in Silicon Valley as being one of the smartest people on the planet.

00:40:29.700 Right? And they just call him a crypto guy. Somebody said spell his name. So I will. First name is

00:40:38.720 Balaji. B-A-L-A-J-I. And Srinivasan is S-R-I-N-I-V-A-S-A-N. Yeah, you should follow him on Twitter.

00:40:54.040 Sure. So, God, I want to make some news here, but I'm not sure if I should.

00:41:05.700 Yeah, what the hell? What the hell? Do you want to hear some news? I don't know if this will get

00:41:12.900 outside of my little atmosphere here. So here's something that you've never heard reported.

00:41:19.480 I probably shouldn't even tell you this. Let me think about it.

00:41:29.840 No, I'm not going to tell you. I can't tell you. All right. Sorry about that. I apologize for that.

00:41:37.500 All right. There's a story about North Korean leader Kim Jong-un's sister.

00:41:42.040 And apparently she's responding to the Biden administration. And she said about the Biden

00:41:49.780 administration, if it wants to sleep in peace for the next four years, it must refrain from

00:41:54.520 causing a stink as its first step. And I thought, I wonder if this is just how North Korea opens up a 0.91

00:42:01.540 dialogue. It looks like I made everybody mad. I'm looking at the comments.

00:42:12.040 All right. I'll tell you. You want me to tell you? All right.

00:42:23.380 When the news first came out that the coronavirus had broken out in Wuhan, and we started to see the

00:42:33.260 video of what the Chinese were doing, as you might imagine, the White House was trying to decide what

00:42:41.700 to do. No surprise, right? There was also, you might not be surprised, this would not be news,

00:42:50.040 that there were two sides. There were factions within the White House who were arguing we should

00:42:55.880 close travel with China. And there were factions who said, no, no, no, that's, you know, it will kill

00:43:01.680 the economy, etc. Travel especially. And here's the part you don't know.

00:43:10.660 Somebody at the White House, who shall remain nameless, contacted me and said, we're having

00:43:16.560 this discussion in the White House. And a lot of people in the White House watch your show.

00:43:21.260 How can you make your argument, basically? So the White House did ask me to weigh in to try to

00:43:30.220 influence the internal debate by having somebody external to the White House lay it out in a way

00:43:37.560 that, you know, is outside of the system. So that it's no, it's, you know, it wasn't Don Jr.

00:43:43.680 And so I did. And some of you probably watched live the day that I came on, I just came unhooked

00:43:54.020 on closing travel from China. And it was soon after that that the president, just a few days after

00:44:00.420 that, the president actually closed travel from China. Now, when you first heard me talking about

00:44:06.540 it on live stream, did you say to yourself, that's never going to happen? Because the first time you

00:44:14.200 heard somebody say, we should close all travel to China, you might have heard it from me. You know,

00:44:18.980 if you were watching this, I probably was the first person to, to talk about it. And even when I was

00:44:26.700 saying, I was saying we absolutely have to close travel from China and have to do it right now.

00:44:31.640 But even as I said it, I didn't think it could happen. Honestly, I just didn't think it could

00:44:37.320 happen. But I knew it had to, like it was important. I'm seeing in the comments, people are

00:44:44.140 guessing, you know, famous names that you know who work there. It's not one of the famous, you won't be

00:44:50.040 able to guess it based on somebody who's in the headlines. I'll just tell you that. Okay. So it turns out

00:44:57.720 that a number of the people in the White House follow, follow this live stream, or they did in

00:45:03.140 that administration. And occasionally, and by the way, this is not that unusual. It wouldn't be

00:45:10.200 terribly unusual for factions within any administration to reach out to somebody, you know, in the public

00:45:18.100 to get an assist. Pretty normal stuff. So it was fun to see that this article in the New York

00:45:27.400 magazine sort of called me out on that. But they don't know the real backstory. So there you have it.

00:45:35.560 Was that news?

00:45:41.240 Yeah, they do it all the time. It is a normal process. And I don't know who else was part of that.

00:45:47.300 But yeah, there's, there's more of that story. All right. CNN looks like they're doing this slow

00:45:58.000 turn on Biden, because they have to have some bad stuff to say about him so they can produce news.

00:46:04.300 And Stephen Collinson, who's the designated Trump hit person who does, you know, frequent articles that

00:46:12.160 are all anti-Trump forever. This is what he said about Biden's handling of the child migrant surge.

00:46:20.040 So this is CNN coming down hard on Biden for basically kids in cages, but without the cages.

00:46:29.180 And this is an exact quote from CNN. But it's hard to argue that the Biden administration's

00:46:34.320 handling of the politics of the child migrant surge has been adept. That's pretty, pretty biting. 0.89

00:46:42.160 Compare that to things he said about Trump. Now let me read it again. If this isn't the weakest

00:46:51.300 criticism you've ever seen, I don't know. All right. But it is hard to argue. Why do you have to,

00:46:59.660 why do you have to soften the first part of the sentence? It's hard to argue that the Biden

00:47:05.140 administration's handling of the politics of the child migrant surge? Oh, oh, it's not a problem with

00:47:14.400 the surge itself that Biden caused. It's not a problem with all the children who are being,

00:47:21.700 you know, in this bad situation, which I thought was the whole point, that it's bad for children.

00:47:26.820 No, no, no, no. It's hard to argue that the Biden administration's handling of the politics of the

00:47:34.980 child migrant surge has been adept. It's hard to argue that it's been adept. Biting, biting commentary. 1.00

00:47:45.580 I don't know how the Biden administration will be able to sleep at night after this takedown by CNN.

00:47:50.600 So it looks like there's reports that Senator Rick Scott is preparing some kind of a DACA amnesty deal

00:48:02.360 that would, if we can build the rest of the wall, a bunch of people could be given citizenship.

00:48:11.980 That doesn't have any chance, does it? Is there any chance for a bipartisan anything in this country?

00:48:18.340 I don't think so. It feels like immigration can't be solved, but with a bipartisan anything,

00:48:24.280 because no, just nobody will do it. So I'm not saying it's a bad play. I think Senator Scott

00:48:32.220 is making exactly, exactly the right move, because you want to see that your senators are at least

00:48:40.060 trying. And, you know, I never, I'm never bothered by somebody putting on a deal offer. You know,

00:48:47.700 you do this, we'll do this. Even if I hate part of that deal, that's what a deal is. So kudos to

00:48:55.960 Senator Scott for trying to be productive. I don't know that this is going to succeed,

00:49:03.280 but at least it's adult behavior. You know, I don't mind people failing, doing the right stuff,

00:49:10.300 and at least bringing up the topic, getting people to talk about it, see what can and cannot be done.

00:49:18.100 I imagine it will fail, but it's, it's adult. And so I appreciate that. As I keep saying that we only

00:49:26.080 have a handful of senators who do anything. Am I wrong about that? Every time you hear somebody doing

00:49:31.840 something, it's the same handful of people. It's going to be, you know, it's, it's Tom Cotton,

00:49:37.060 it's Rand Paul, Senator Scott. It's, it's just like five, six people doing everything.

00:49:43.480 Everybody else is just watching as far as I can tell.

00:49:45.840 All right. All right. Just looking at your comments. And I would like to suggest a following

00:50:03.540 psychological phenomenon. It goes like this. I've told you that we're seeing not much reporting on the,

00:50:13.520 uh, the discomfort of getting your vaccination. Now it was reported by even the people who make

00:50:20.380 the vaccinations that there would be some discomfort, but aren't you surprised that the

00:50:25.600 news business, both left and right, are just not really reporting on that? Really not at all. And

00:50:33.600 that feels like a, um, a decision to make sure that people don't get talked out of doing it.

00:50:40.420 Right. But here's an interesting thing. Even though a lot of people know that they know it

00:50:47.080 hurts. And I've talked to people, uh, personally. So I've had personal conversations with people who

00:50:53.620 just got the shit kicked out of them with the second dose. So I guess the first dose gives you

00:50:58.140 like a sore arm, but by the second dose, you're going to miss work. You know, you're going to miss

00:51:05.240 24 hours recovering. But here's the thing. I'll bet if you talk to anybody who had a really tough

00:51:12.620 time, they're not complaining. And that, that's the psychological part. And you say to me, Scott,

00:51:20.680 you're going to get this shot and, you know, I hate to break it to you, but you're going to have a bad

00:51:26.400 day. The next 24 hours for you are going to be pretty bad. What do I say in reaction to that?

00:51:34.680 Give me the shot. What do I say when I'm writhing in whatever discomfort it is? Not writhing. It's not

00:51:41.460 that bad. But you know, when I'm all, let's say shaky and I don't know, sore or whatever it is the

00:51:47.120 next day, how do I feel psychologically when my body is having all these reactions and I'm not

00:51:53.720 having a good day? How do I feel? Terrific. It's the weirdest thing. But if you could, if you could

00:52:01.360 say right now, I'll give you that second shot, you're going to be writhing in pain. I would only

00:52:07.020 be happy. There's not one part of that that would make me unhappy. Number one, I would know that the

00:52:13.060 pain would be done in a day. And that always helps, right? If you know, there's a, an end date to your

00:52:18.240 discomfort. That, that makes it easier. But the fact that I would feel free or, or soon to be free

00:52:26.120 from the, the risk of the pandemic, that psychological comfort is so much bigger than

00:52:34.580 missing a day at work that people aren't even complaining about it. You know, think about it. In the

00:52:41.480 United States, we'll complain about anything. There's nothing we don't complain about. Zero people

00:52:48.040 I've heard complain about the vaccination taking them out for a day. I've heard nobody complain.

00:52:55.080 I've heard people say it was bad, but even when they describe it, it's not really a complaint.

00:53:02.360 It's interesting. I've never seen anything like this where people can be physically,

00:53:06.480 you know, sickened by something temporarily. And they won't complain. Because we feel so good

00:53:15.060 about getting to this point we've all been waiting for. It's like, give me the shot.

00:53:19.120 It's interesting. Well, I still don't know where I can get the shot. I found out that I'm eligible.

00:53:26.220 Yay for me. I didn't realize that hypertension can get you, can get you there, especially if you're

00:53:32.760 close to the, you know, the age anyway. So I'm bumping up against the age. But I also have

00:53:38.520 hypertension. So I guess that got me in. But I can't get it. As far as I know, there's no availability

00:53:45.200 of this shot whatsoever. For me personally, my health provider doesn't have it doesn't seem to be

00:53:53.120 available anywhere else. So I told you before that people being, let's say concerned about getting

00:54:01.240 the shot would never be the problem. That the problem will only be supply. Because there will

00:54:08.020 always be enough people to use up all the supply. And then those laggards will watch everybody else 0.89

00:54:13.740 get the get the shot and they'll start to convert. And you're not going to have it in the end,

00:54:18.720 I predict you won't have a problem getting enough people vaccinated. Maybe 80%. I don't think we'll get

00:54:26.320 to 100%. Oh, actually, we could get to 90. But we'll never get to 100. All right. Somebody says

00:54:37.920 Mississippi gives it to anyone above 18. But they probably don't have it. It doesn't matter that they 0.90

00:54:44.440 say they will. Yeah, the Alameda Fairgrounds, you need to that's where I would get it. It's the closest

00:54:50.620 to me. But you can't get an appointment. All right, that's it for now. And I will talk to you

00:54:57.160 tomorrow. All right, YouTubers. Walgreens. Yeah, I know that the I know all the places that do give

00:55:08.020 the shots, but they just don't have appointments. All right, that's all for now. I'll talk to you tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 16, 2021

Episode 1315 Scott Adams： The Newest HOAX From the Washington Post, CNN Turns on Biden, Shocking Poll

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