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Real Coffee with Scott Adams
- March 17, 2021
Episode 1316 Scott Adams: Biden's Brain, Immigration and Other Fun With Beverages
Episode Stats
Length
59 minutes
Words per Minute
146.69218
Word Count
8,763
Sentence Count
650
Misogynist Sentences
6
Hate Speech Sentences
9
Summary
Summaries are generated with
gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ
.
Transcript
Transcript is generated with
Whisper
(
turbo
).
Misogyny classification is done with
MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny
.
Hate speech classification is done with
facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target
.
00:00:00.000
Hey everybody, this is the place to be, the place where all the simultaneous sipping originated.
00:00:14.080
Yeah, it's a big phenomenon around the world. I know you're hearing about it everywhere,
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but this is where it started, and it's the best thing that ever happened in the history
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of civilization. It's called the Simultaneous Sip. What do you need to contribute? Not a lot.
00:00:32.440
All you need is a cup or a mug, a glass of tank, a canteen, a jug of glass, a vessel of any kind.
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Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure,
00:00:42.500
the dopamine hither the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the Simultaneous Sip,
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and it's happening now. Go.
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Oh. Somebody says my racing stripes make me look fast. I think that's true. I think it also makes
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me look like, if I cover up the bottom parts, it looks like I'm some kind of military general.
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All right, that doesn't work. Let's talk about all of the news.
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Mike Lindell of MyPillow fame is counter-suing Dominion election software company. Now, as you
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know, Dominion is suing Mike Lindell for claiming that their machines had any issues in the election.
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Mike Lindell is suing them back. Now, and it says here in the report I saw that
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Alan Dershowitz has joined the legal team. So, Alan Dershowitz is on Mike Lindell's legal
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team. How would you like to be Dominion software, or Dominion, whatever the name is called? How
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would you like to be Dominion and find out that the guy you're counter-suing is, the guy you're
00:02:00.860
counter-suing is counter-suing, and he just got Alan Dershowitz on his team. How do you feel about
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that? I don't think that, I don't think anybody ever had worse news. Dominion, we've got some bad
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news and some worse news. What's the bad news? Well, you're probably going to lose billions in revenue
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because Mike Lindell, the pillow guy, is going to tear you apart in public. That's bad. That's
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really bad. What's the worst news? When he counter-sues you, he's going to have Alan Dershowitz
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on his team. It's a little worse. It's a little worse. Now, of course, people are assuming that
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the real play here, because Mike Lindell said it directly, is that if he gets sued, then he can,
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he has the right to dig into some of their details, their operation. So he has the right
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of discovery. He can ask questions and they have to answer them. And the thinking is that if they do
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have anything to hide, or anything that they might just not want anybody to know, it doesn't have to
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be a crime, just something they don't want people to know, that they'll probably back down.
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So if you have to predict where this goes, my guess is that Lindell will ask for information
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that Dominion doesn't want to give them. And that will be the end of it. Because if they don't provide
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it, they're either going to have to drop the lawsuit or provide it. Those are the two choices.
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And I don't see how they could possibly provide everything that Dershowitz and Lindell and the team
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are going to ask for. Because you know that Dershowitz and his lawyers are going to be smart
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enough to know to ask for things that they won't give them. And that's the end of it. Am I wrong?
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Let me tell you a story about a lawsuit I was involved with some years ago, in which
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I can't give you the details because the part of the court, the court settlement is you agree not to
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talk about the details. So I'll say there's a very large entity, a really large company
00:04:18.160
that once sued me. And I said quite reasonably, oh, well, if you have a claim that something bad
00:04:27.460
happened because it was one of my businesses, my restaurant, if you have a claim that's based on
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my restaurant, just show us what the evidence is. And just show us the evidence and we'll take that
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under consideration. And they wouldn't. They said, no, our contract states that we don't have to
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show you evidence. We can just claim that you did something bad and then start draining your bank
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account. And I thought, well, there's no way my contract says that. But it did. The contract
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actually said they could drain your bank account just because they said they had a reason. They
00:05:07.040
don't have to show you the evidence. So they sued me. And I decided to take it to court. It would
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have been easy to settle. I could have just paid the, I don't know, $90,000 or whatever it was that
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they were trying to get from me. So I could have settled, but it kind of made me mad because there
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was no evidence of any, anything. Their claim just, they didn't show us any evidence. And I correctly
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estimated that if I took it to court, which I did, or at least I took it to negotiations that didn't
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actually make it to court. I correctly assumed that if I said, yeah, let's go to court and you're
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going to have to show me the evidence that shows what the problem is here, that they would, they
00:05:55.860
would drop it. And they did. So the moment I threatened, I'll show you mine. If you show me
00:06:02.860
yours, it was over. That was it. And I correctly estimated that that would be the, you know, the
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outcome. Now I'm no lawyer, but I live in the real world. And I do know that real people like to hide
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their secrets. And if those are in play, they're going to change their mind. So there's that. We'll
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watch that. There's also a related story, sort of related, see if I can find this, about, is it
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Michigan, where the courts have decided that Michigan did not handle the election correctly,
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and that there are changes to the voter, the mail-in votes. We're illegal. We're illegal.
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Now that won't change any of the outcome, right? Because Biden's a president. That's not going to
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change. But every day that goes by, we're going to find out a little bit more about what happened in
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the past. And I'm going to say something that will probably get me kicked off of all social media.
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I don't know. But I'm going to try it out. So here will be an edge case.
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I predict. Now let me say it as clearly as possible. So I want to say this in a way that
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there's no falsehoods, but I'll probably also get kicked off of social media. So I'm not going to
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say anything that is false, okay? First true statement, Biden is president. The system elected
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him. He's been certified. He's president. That's it. Biden won the presidency in 2020.
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Now here's my prediction. Now the prediction is not based on any false claims, right? So there'll be
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no allegation of any claims. It's just a prediction that we will someday learn that Trump won the
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election, at least in terms of the votes. Or somewhat similarly, that the election was
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that the election was not what we thought it was, which ends up being the same. You don't know who
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won. So I'm sure I would get kicked off of social media if I said, I know this to be true. But I
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don't. I'm simply sticking with my prediction that if you wait long enough, and it could be 10 years,
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right? Could be 10 years, that somebody will come forward sometime in the next 10 years and say,
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you know, here's something you didn't know. So when I was talking about the accuracy of my
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predictions, I was noting that how accurate my predictions are depends how long you wait.
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If you don't wait very long, they don't look so good. But if you keep waiting, they might look
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better. So here's the question. Can I say something that's a pure opinion while also saying it's not
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backed by a specific fact, but it is the accumulated, let's say accumulated instinct. That's the wrong word,
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but getting close to it. It's sort of the accumulated instinct of life. Meaning that sometimes you can
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smell things before you can see them. And I think a lot of people have the same, same feeling that I smell
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something with this election, but I can't see it. So we'll see. Take, for example, just the Michigan story. I'm not
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sure I have all the facts of that right. But if it turned out that just the Michigan story stands,
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and the Michigan story is that there was something illegal happened in the state. Now, again, it doesn't
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matter to the outcome. The outcome is done, right? Biden is president. Nothing's going to change that,
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except his health, I suppose. But won't history record that the vote in Michigan was not the way it
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should have gone if everything had been done legally? That's just a true statement, right?
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Is there any doubt about the statement I just made? The history will record, based on what we know now,
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because the court has actually ruled, that what was done there was not legally copacetic. So we now
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have Michigan that's put into the unknown category. Unknown what would have happened if they had handled
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everything the way the courts say they should have. That's one. Now, what will happen in Georgia
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if we continue waiting and the chain of custody information never comes forward? Because that's
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the situation now. So there are these documents that show where the ballots were and who controlled
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them, so you have this chain of custody. So that's been asked for, but they're not providing it. Now
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it's been a few weeks. What if it's never provided? How will history judge the Georgia outcome if they
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don't provide the most basic visibility that you would have, which is the chain of custody?
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Well, I think that takes Georgia and moves it into the maybe box. Again, the election's over.
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Biden's president. Nothing's going to change it. But I think Michigan and Georgia just got moved
00:12:00.180
into the maybe category. Now we've got this Mike Lindell thing. What's going to happen when Mike
00:12:07.060
Lindell asks for discovery and transparency and probably even the source code? Don't you think
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Mike Lindell will be able to ask for the source code? How the hell are they going to give him the source
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code? I mean, really? No company gives you the source code. You have to assume it's proprietary at some
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level, right? So I think we're going to move into a point where we went from those voting machines
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were absolutely, definitely fine, according to the official statement about it. No evidence of any
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fraud. I don't believe that... Here's my prediction. I don't believe Mike Lindell will produce any evidence
00:12:55.400
of fraud by dominion. Right? Here that is clearly as possible. I predict he won't find any evidence of
00:13:04.700
fraud from dominion because the discovery will not go that far. There's no way that they can open
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their kimono and show him everything that he's going to ask for. They have to settle. They have to.
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And I think this is probably why Dershowitz is on the case. This is just a guess, right? I shouldn't
00:13:27.960
speculate about what Dershowitz would do because he's operating at a different level than I am.
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But I feel as though he probably sees what I see and lots more, of course. I think he sees what I
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see, that there's no way that dominion can actually press this case because they can't open the kimono.
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They can't show you the source code. And if they don't, if they don't, what are you going to do
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with dominion? You're going to move it into the maybe category. So in mere months, it looks like
00:14:06.260
Michigan, maybe Georgia, and maybe the dominion system will have been moved from the, these are
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definitely okay, to the, we got big questions and one of them definitely would have been different,
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Michigan. We don't know different in what way, but different. And two of the other ones are in the
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maybe category. So that's going to happen within a year. So within a year, we're going to go from
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definitely we had an election we can trust to, well, there's no way to know. What happens in 10 years?
00:14:39.580
All right. I'm going to keep my prediction. In 10 years, history will, by consensus, agree that Trump
00:14:49.260
won the election in 2020. Now, if you never see me again on social media, because I think that's the
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rule now, right? Simply saying what I just said should get me kicked off of social media, shouldn't it?
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Those are the rules. But I haven't said anything fraudulent. And you need people like me to press
00:15:09.460
the boundary here, right? So every time somebody gets taken down for their anti-wokeness,
00:15:16.560
everything's just going to keep going that way until somebody pushes back. So in some ways,
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in some ways, I'm giving you an edge case intentionally. I'm pushing the boundary beyond
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where I know the boundary wants to be. And I'm just pushing it back a little bit. That's all.
00:15:38.300
So may never see you again. There's a story about some tragedy in, I guess, a couple of Atlanta
00:15:44.720
massage parlors. Some guy with a gun came in and shot a bunch of people, two different massage
00:15:50.720
parlors. And of course, it's being reported as anti-Asian American violence. But where in the
00:16:00.500
story is evidence to support the claim that this might have to do with a racial motive?
00:16:09.200
Right? There's no evidence of a racial motive. And yet that's the lead story. Why would you put
00:16:18.000
a racial story into a story that doesn't have any indication? Now, it might end up that that's
00:16:23.680
exactly what it was, in which case, you know, that adds a horror on top of a horror.
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But this whole anti-Asian American violence thing is a little dicey, isn't it? Now, I'm not saying
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that there isn't, because I'm sure there is. I'm sure the statistics are right. And that's a cause for
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great concern. So I'm not minimizing the problem. Right? So hear me, hear me clearly. I'm not minimizing
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the problem. I'm just saying, I don't feel like the way we're reporting this has any connection to
00:17:00.920
reality. So we'll see. I've never before said I had a favorite public feud, you know, when celebrities
00:17:12.080
get after each other, and famous people are carping at each other. They're usually fun for a while. But
00:17:18.460
you know, I wouldn't say that I had one that I could pick out that's just the best one. Until today.
00:17:25.960
My new favorite public feud is Cardi B and Candace Owens. Now, if you're not up to date on this,
00:17:33.820
that the two of them have had some words on social media. And Candace Owens has ripped into Cardi B for
00:17:41.680
her, you know, allegedly lewd performances. And then Cardi B at one point tweeted a horribly untrue
00:17:51.780
rumor about Candace and her family. I won't even repeat it. But just whatever you think on a scale of
00:17:59.260
one to 10, whatever's the worst false rumor you might hear, it was a 10. All right. And it wasn't
00:18:07.220
really a rumor that sounded like it could have been that true. I mean, it just sounded like it was fake
00:18:11.780
on the surface. And it was. So then, so Candace goes back at her and blah, blah. So Cardi B's last
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rejoinder, if you will, was one of the best things I've ever seen in terms of persuasion.
00:18:32.720
All right. So you got these two, two celebrity type people and they're, they're going at it in
00:18:37.440
public. And you figure that when one escalates, the other is going to match it or escalate a bit
00:18:42.840
more and it's just going to get worse and worse. But instead, Cardi B giving, giving Scott a little
00:18:50.940
lesson on why she's famous. Because let me, I've told you before, I'm not really a music guy.
00:18:57.820
I don't really follow music. So I don't even know a lot about the most popular entertainers.
00:19:03.640
So I didn't know much about Cardi B. I couldn't, except for WAP, I couldn't even name a title of a
00:19:10.520
song. And I don't know even what it sounds like. So her most famous song I've never heard that I know
00:19:15.600
of. But, and so I was thinking to myself, does she really have all this talent? Because I was
00:19:24.000
wondering where, where's all this talent? Because I wasn't seeing it, you know, in little clips and
00:19:29.960
stuff I saw of Cardi B. It wasn't jumping out at me. What is it that makes her famous? Like I
00:19:36.560
couldn't figure out why is she famous? It just, it just wasn't clicking with me. And then I saw her
00:19:42.380
latest tweet to Candace. And this was the moment I said, Oh, I get it now. I totally get it now.
00:19:50.900
So here's what she did. She showed a video of, I guess, Cardi B doing a big old tongue kiss on some
00:20:00.080
black woman who was not Candace. But Cardi B tweets this to Candace. She says, me, you on a beach while
00:20:10.480
debating about Trump and Biden. Think about it. Republicans go watch Up, I guess that's her music
00:20:15.980
video, to see what this is about. So, so Cardi B tweets a picture of her making out with a black
00:20:24.820
woman and sends it to Candace saying, me and you on a beach. Now, come on. In the history of all
00:20:35.520
public feuds, is this not the best response you've ever seen? Yeah, I get it. It's gross. And, you know,
00:20:44.240
there's some of you who are turned off by the, you know, the, the sexual part of it. I get that. I get
00:20:49.080
that. You, you could have that opinion. But the fact that she took this thing that was a feud and turned
00:20:56.160
it perfectly into a promotion for her music video and just took the argument into this whole weird
00:21:05.400
place. It's just one of the most awesome things I've ever seen. Yeah, it's, it's comedy. It's
00:21:12.340
persuasion. It's promotion. So, so in this, this one, this one little anecdote of this, this one tweet,
00:21:21.860
suddenly you could see everything that makes Cardi B who she is. Because let me say it this way.
00:21:31.340
You couldn't have written this tweet. The average person can't do this. So whatever there is about
00:21:40.520
her, you know, whatever it is that made her famous, she has something. There's something there. There's,
00:21:46.840
there's a type of intelligence that comes out with this that probably, you know, pervaded all of our
00:21:53.200
other work. And I think that's what people see. There's like a, she's a, she's weirdly intelligent.
00:22:00.780
I feel like that's, that's what I'm seeing here. Am I wrong? Yeah. And I'm seeing in the comments,
00:22:08.020
everybody wants to judge her by her, you know, she was a stripper and she's, and she's raunchy and stuff.
00:22:14.700
So you want to judge her by all that stuff. But she is in a industry where all that stuff works,
00:22:20.600
right? And I don't know. She's not dumb. That's for sure. Over a bright bar. Oh, here's a Pierce
00:22:29.260
Morgan. So you all know the Pierce Morgan story. He walked off of Good Morning Britain, his popular
00:22:36.260
show. He just walked off when, um, his opinions about, uh, Meghan Markle were, uh, not agreed with by
00:22:45.940
his staff. And since then, uh, Good Morning Britain has lost a third of its viewers.
00:22:53.780
How do you win harder than that? Because all, all Pierce Morgan asked is that he would be allowed
00:23:01.540
to present his television, his opinion on an opinion show? That's all he asked. Pierce Morgan
00:23:09.420
only asked that he be allowed to present his honest opinion on an opinion show of which he is the host.
00:23:21.500
Come on. Is that the most reasonable thing that anybody ever asked? I'd like to put my honest
00:23:27.920
opinion on this honest opinion show. Most reasonable thing anybody ever asked. And apparently that was
00:23:32.920
a problem. So he walks off and it costs them a third of their business, which probably puts them
00:23:38.600
under water. I don't know if you could lose a third of your audience and stay profitable in today's
00:23:44.360
world. No. Um, Biden had an interview with, uh, Stephanopoulos on ABC because apparently that's a safe
00:23:52.400
space. Uh, so Biden, I guess knows that Stephanopoulos will ask the right questions and they'll edit out
00:23:59.600
anything that looks too bad. So it's a little safe space. Uh, but here's some of the dumb things that
00:24:05.900
Biden said. Biden denied that he should have anticipated the surge in migrants based on his
00:24:15.400
softening of, uh, softening of, uh, the rules. Really? I hope that was a lie. I've never hoped a
00:24:24.740
politician was lying more than I hope it now. You didn't anticipate that the part where you said
00:24:32.580
we'll make it really easy to come across the border and you didn't anticipate that that would cause some
00:24:38.780
additional people to come across the border. I hope he's lying because if he's a liar, well, then he's
00:24:47.620
just a politician. But if he really didn't anticipate it, we've got a big problem. We've got a big problem
00:24:55.220
because you know who did anticipate it? Everyone else in the world, all seven point whatever billion of
00:25:04.560
us, every one of us anticipated this, but Joe Biden didn't. He's the only one. All right.
00:25:15.340
Uh, then he said, uh, he was defending the idea that people were coming here because of his policies.
00:25:20.080
And he goes, the idea that Joe Biden said, come because I heard the other day that they're coming
00:25:26.240
because they know I'm a nice guy. Biden said, here's the deal. They're not. And I thought to myself,
00:25:33.540
that if that works as a defense, I'm going to use it for everything. You know, somebody comes upon me
00:25:41.220
and, uh, there's, there's somebody who's been murdered and I'm covered with blood and I've got
00:25:46.360
the murder weapon in my hand and they play the video back after I get arrested. And they say, well,
00:25:51.380
there you are on video. We can watch you murdering this person. There's blood all over you, their DNA.
00:25:57.240
You've got the murder weapon in your hand. What do you say? Here's what I'd say.
00:26:05.040
I'd say, come on, man, here's the deal. It didn't happen. And then the police would say, oh, oh,
00:26:15.780
oh, I'm sorry. We saw all this blood all over you. And then you had the murder weapon and we've got
00:26:20.940
the video of you committing the crime. So we just leapt to this conclusion that you were guilty.
00:26:28.200
But then when you offered your defense, here's the deal. I didn't do it.
00:26:33.840
Well, we're persuaded. Here's the deal. Never happened.
00:26:37.860
Meanwhile, Biden's job approval stays high. I think Rasmussen is going to give you some numbers
00:26:47.900
that'll make your head fall off that Biden's approval is so good. Now, it's not an accident
00:26:55.160
that keeping him out of the headlines makes him more popular, is it? We all agree with that, right?
00:27:01.800
There's nobody who would disagree with the statement that the more you keep Biden out of the news,
00:27:08.680
the more he's popular, right? Because the news is about your flaws. The news is rarely about the
00:27:16.180
good thing you did. It's about your flaws. So the less news there is, and it might be that Biden has
00:27:21.800
discovered something that all future presidents will use. Because you don't have to be Biden
00:27:27.560
to be more popular by not being on TV. I feel the more that you show yourself, the less popular you
00:27:36.020
are. And I'm wondering, what will happen if Biden goes into a coma? I feel as if his popularity would
00:27:44.840
reach levels that we've never seen before. Like if he actually went into an actual coma. I'm not hoping
00:27:50.540
that happens, of course. But if he did, I think he would hit like 80% approval ratings. And if he
00:27:58.680
were to actually die in office, which again, we hope that doesn't happen. Nobody wants anything bad
00:28:04.760
to happen to anybody. But I think that would be his highest popularity. He could reach 100%.
00:28:09.760
Because if he actually were dead, I think Republicans would be in favor of him at that point.
00:28:15.240
And then Democrats would. He could actually reach 100% approval just before his final breath. So
00:28:23.920
there's that. Biden also said in the Stepanopoulos interview that Putin would pay a price. He told
00:28:33.620
Stepanopoulos because, quote, we had a long talk, he and I, meaning Putin and Biden. I know him
00:28:40.740
relatively well. And the conversation started off. I said, I know you and you know me. If I establish
00:28:46.580
this occurred, then be prepared. This occurred, meaning interference in the election. When pushed on
00:28:52.160
what the consequences would be, the president said, the price he's going to pay, well, you'll see shortly.
00:29:00.460
So take that, Putin. Putin, if you've done this, I'm going to do something to you, and I'm not going
00:29:08.740
to tell you what. So be afraid. At the same time he was making these comments, like literally just
00:29:17.840
about the same time, his own, Biden's own director of national intelligence was saying that they've
00:29:23.900
looked into it and there's no evidence that Russia targeted the election this year. No evidence of it.
00:29:31.700
Do you believe that? Do you believe that Russia targeted our election in every prior election,
00:29:38.320
which probably they did? But not this one. Not this one. When Biden wins, there was no Putin in there
00:29:45.920
at all. Suppose Trump had won. Do you think they'd still be saying there's no Putin interference?
00:29:54.560
Doesn't seem like it. All right. But apparently, our intelligence agency is saying that Russia did
00:30:01.420
authorize a persistent effort in just influence. So Russia is doing an influence campaign,
00:30:12.640
but not specifically on the election, I guess. So wouldn't that be like every country? Isn't every
00:30:18.760
country doing an influence campaign on every other country? The big ones, anyway.
00:30:22.400
So here's the other news. Biden was asked to tell the migrants or the immigrants to don't come. And
00:30:31.100
here's what he said. He said, don't come. He said it directly. So that's good, right? Because Biden looked
00:30:38.460
right into the camera, talking to the potential migrants who might come across the border. And he said
00:30:44.300
in direct words, don't come. And then he added, stay in your towns. Pretty good. That's what you wanted
00:30:55.460
of him, right? Don't come and stay in your towns. It's very clear. Very clear. Well, there's a second
00:31:02.240
part of it where he talks about how that the government, our government is setting up more
00:31:08.100
facilities to handle things when you come. Oh, wait, that's different. He's saying don't come
00:31:15.440
until we have enough facilities to handle you efficiently. I didn't see anybody report that.
00:31:23.600
Did you? I was looking at the news today, and I was looking at Biden's comments, and I thought,
00:31:29.200
well, this will be the big headline that he just said, just wait, you migrants, just wait until we can
00:31:35.960
handle the volume and then come on in. That's what I read. Was I reading between the lines? I mean,
00:31:43.880
he didn't say that directly. Well, no, he did say that directly. It looked pretty direct to me.
00:31:49.140
He said, don't come yet, because we don't have our operation efficient. But as soon as we're efficient,
00:31:58.140
come on and come on in. Oh, Tucker reported it last night. Somebody saying, I didn't see Tucker last
00:32:05.060
night. But I didn't see it on the, I don't think I saw it on Fox News page this morning or on CNN.
00:32:13.520
How is that not the biggest news in the country? The biggest news in the country should be that the
00:32:18.780
president just invited Mexico into the United States and said, the only thing stopping you is,
00:32:25.120
you know, we're not efficient enough to process you, but we're working on it.
00:32:28.340
What would be bigger news than that? Like what? It's the damnedest thing. I've told you this many
00:32:36.020
times, but every time you see an example of it, it shakes you, which is the things that we're told
00:32:42.620
are the news are not the things that are important necessarily. They're the things that the news
00:32:48.840
business has decided they want to report on. It's something they're going to, you know, have a theme
00:32:54.940
that goes through the season. You know, it's, it's like a, like a story with an arc and everything.
00:32:59.580
But then you see other stories that are like gigantically important. I mean, enormously important
00:33:05.660
story. But if the news business just decides to de-emphasize it, it's like it never existed.
00:33:13.340
All right. What else we got? So CNN, this was weird. On CNN, Jeff Zeleny, who's a senior Washington
00:33:29.600
correspondent, wrote an article in which I almost can't believe this happened. He was basically giving
00:33:36.760
Republican Governor DeSantis credit for being right on how he handled the coronavirus. This is weird.
00:33:49.300
You don't expect it, right? So CNN actually has an opinion piece where they say they're calling out
00:33:54.260
a Republican governor for getting it right. Here's my problem with this.
00:34:00.540
I think we're putting, we're, we're ascribing intelligence to luck. Here's what I think happened
00:34:13.940
in Florida. I think Florida made its decisions on, let's say, political philosophical grounds,
00:34:22.480
which is favoring freedom over, you know, safety a little bit. And that somebody was going to get
00:34:29.860
lucky. Because one of the things we've learned is that we can't tell, we can't tell if leadership
00:34:35.840
decisions are making much difference across the world, you know, country to country, etc. We can't
00:34:41.840
even figure out what works. Because there are places where the same thing that seems to work in one
00:34:46.660
country didn't work at all in another. There are places like Japan, where they basically hardly did
00:34:52.340
anything about the pandemic, and it didn't affect them much. We don't know why. And so here was
00:34:59.860
what was going to happen. There are 50 states. It is a guarantee that somebody was going to do well
00:35:08.960
out of the 50 states compared to the other states, right? Just somebody has to be in the top half
00:35:15.380
of performance. And the people making these decisions were not making these decisions based
00:35:22.880
on their superior data or their superior judgment. They were making the decisions along political
00:35:30.080
lines. Somebody was going to get lucky. His name is DeSantis. He got lucky. Because if you tell me that
00:35:41.780
Ron DeSantis knew, that he knew this was the right path for Florida, that's crazy. He didn't know.
00:35:50.980
He guessed. And all the other states that had good performance and bad performance,
00:35:57.740
do you know what they did? They guessed. They guessed. That's it. There were 50 states. Somebody
00:36:04.500
was going to guess right. I mean, righter than the others, because they were doing different stuff.
00:36:09.120
And they were going to get different results for reasons that may or may not have anything to do
00:36:13.040
with the governor. So while the way our system works is that DeSantis does get credit, I agree
00:36:19.960
with that, by the way. So I agree that our system works best if we give credit to people who are in
00:36:26.040
charge. And even if they didn't do something that was their fault, if they're in charge when it happens,
00:36:32.040
they got to pay for it. That's just the way the system has to be. So I do think it's reasonable to
00:36:38.540
give DeSantis and other governors who did well credit. But realistically, realistically,
00:36:45.460
they were the ones who got lucky. And if you don't see it as luck, I feel like you're not analyzing
00:36:51.220
this right. Jake Tapper went pretty hard at Governor Newsom. And he asked them, basically,
00:37:02.600
what were you thinking about going to the French Laundry? And here's the thing. Apparently,
00:37:07.860
the recall effort went from 50,000-some signatures to close to 2 million. And the big spike happened
00:37:15.660
after the story about the governor going to the French Laundry to eat when other people he was
00:37:23.740
asking to be, you know, well, anyway, he had a table with no masks and lots of people had it. So he got
00:37:29.780
in trouble. Now, here's my take on that. So it turns out that that was like the pivotal moment that may
00:37:38.000
have taken him out. He may still win re-election. But it was a pivotal moment. It was also the least
00:37:46.400
important thing he did. It was the least important thing Newsom did. I would say he should be held to
00:37:55.160
account for the forest fires, the energy problems, immigration, COVID, the economy, homeless people,
00:38:04.060
drugs, mental health problems. Those are all big. And he should be held to account for all of that
00:38:12.020
stuff. Do you know why he should not be held to account for? Eating at a restaurant that was open.
00:38:21.520
Because everybody else that day who ate at a restaurant that was open did not break any laws.
00:38:30.800
Neither did he. Now, he does take responsibility for sitting at a table with too many people without
00:38:36.580
masks from different houses. And that was just a mistake. It was a human mistake. Right? Because
00:38:45.260
let's face it, no matter how much all of us, you know, try to follow the rules, even if you're trying,
00:38:51.740
you're trying to wear your mask, you're trying to do everything right. Can you say you haven't broken
00:38:56.540
any of those rules? Of course you have. A hundred percent of the public bends the rules on this
00:39:04.140
coronavirus restriction stuff. Do I care if my governor bent a little rule on this? Not even a
00:39:11.860
little bit. So it looks like he might get taken out by the only thing that wasn't a big deal.
00:39:19.020
All these other things are really big deals. This was the only thing that was trivial. And it'll be
00:39:25.660
the thing that takes him out. Because the news made a big thing about it. And there were pictures.
00:39:30.200
So whenever there's a picture, it's worse. And it makes it look like he's the elite because it's
00:39:34.140
an expensive restaurant, etc. And there was a lobbyist in there. It was all that stuff.
00:39:39.200
But man, in terms of content, it was the least important thing he did.
00:39:42.840
So there's some new news in the George Floyd trial. And I swear they should just cancel this
00:39:52.600
trial. And I mean that literally. We have enough information now to know that this trial should
00:39:59.120
not be held. And one of the new things that we've learned is that apparently George Floyd was arrested
00:40:04.860
in an identical fashion, identical in some elements, to the event in which he died. Including he was
00:40:14.640
under the influence. And including he was calling for his mother. Including he said he couldn't breathe.
00:40:22.600
Including he was resisting arrest a little bit. So I don't know. When you see that,
00:40:31.540
and apparently this will be allowed, I think the judge is going to allow the evidence of his past
00:40:36.740
behavior. Because once you see that he called for his mother before,
00:40:42.760
that's the end of it, isn't it? Because, you know, just like the Governor Newsom story,
00:40:51.000
all of these other things were the important things. But we get focused on the French laundry
00:40:55.540
thing because it's the shiny object. With the George Floyd thing, the shiny object,
00:41:01.540
that people tend to focus on is that he called for his mother moments before he died. Now, if you're a
00:41:08.940
human being, you can't hear that without feeling it, right? I mean, you just feel that. But the moment
00:41:16.060
you learn that that's just a thing he does when he gets arrested, it means a completely different
00:41:21.440
thing now. It just means it's the thing he says when he gets arrested. I don't know how this trial
00:41:29.320
could have any kind of a murder conviction. Cliff Simms was noting on Twitter, Cliff Simms was
00:41:37.420
noting that Axios had had this line in a story. So this is a quote from a story in Axios. Trump and
00:41:45.080
other conservatives have frequently warned, sometimes inaccurately, about foreign terrorists
00:41:50.300
entering the United States via the southern border. So that's a sentence in a story by Axios.
00:41:55.500
And as Cliff Simms points out, imagine writing this line in a story that literally proves the
00:42:02.460
warnings were in fact accurate. Because the story was about actual people on the terrorist watch list
00:42:09.760
who came across the border. Like, it was a story about real terrorists coming, or at least on the
00:42:15.960
watch list, coming across the border. And then they have to insert a line about Trump and other
00:42:21.600
conservatives frequently being inaccurate about foreign terrorists entering via the southern border.
00:42:29.240
I mean, that's trying really hard to make your news friendly to Biden, isn't it? All right.
00:42:38.900
Here's the best summary of the pandemic I've heard so far. It's a big complicated thing, right?
00:42:44.260
But Melissa Slusher on Twitter summed it up with one tweet. And she tweeted,
00:42:53.580
I used to cough to cover up a fart. Now I fart to cover up a cough.
00:43:00.740
We're done here. I think we're done here. That's the entire pandemic in one sentence.
00:43:05.480
I have a question for you on transgender stuff. Let me begin this by saying,
00:43:14.440
the trans community, I hope they know that I'm your greatest ally, much to the chagrin of my audience.
00:43:22.860
Number two, everything I'm going to say about this topic is with respect and good intentions.
00:43:31.080
So if you feel that I say something next that sounds disrespectful, just know that that's not my
00:43:38.620
intention. Okay. But I was watching the story of Elliot Page, who used to be known as Ellen Page. And
00:43:51.200
when she was defining herself as female, she's a well-known, successful actress, but is now Elliot Page
00:43:59.460
and has transitioned. And here's the question I ask. And I say this again. I'm asking this question
00:44:09.420
with genuine, respectful curiosity. Okay? So let's keep it at that level. This is respectful
00:44:19.060
curiosity. And I think it's a fair question. And it goes like this. I don't know the point of
00:44:26.620
transitioning. Do you? Can somebody explain it to me? Like, why would you do it? Now, I understand
00:44:34.860
that people think they identify with a different gender in their mind. I get that. But why would
00:44:42.120
you go through the process? Because here, and let me drill down on that a little bit. So the picture
00:44:48.600
of Elliot Page on Time Magazine shows Elliot dressed in, of course, you know, boy or man attire.
00:44:58.480
She looks about, or I'm sorry, see, there I did it. So that's accidental. So I accidentally used the
00:45:05.860
wrong pronoun. But because you know that I'm not doing anything disrespectfully, just a mistake. Okay?
00:45:12.060
Okay? Here's my question. In a world in which you can fall in love with and marry anybody you want,
00:45:22.220
men can marry men, women can marry women, anybody can do anything. In a world in which you can wear
00:45:30.400
any clothing you want, right? You can put on any clothes you want. Why do you have to do anything else?
00:45:42.060
And this is genuine curiosity. And I feel like there's some big part of this whole
00:45:47.640
topic that I don't understand. So if there's somebody in the transgender community who can
00:45:52.600
explain to me, what is the extra gain you get by the physical operations? So let's say Elliot Page,
00:46:01.580
I don't know what Elliot Page's sexual preference is, because that gets all confusing, right?
00:46:06.280
Right? So let's say that Elliot Page liked women. I don't know if that's true, but let's just say
00:46:14.960
that's true. Why wouldn't Elliot Page be able to date that same woman without having done any of the
00:46:23.560
transition? You know, assuming that that woman wants to be dated, right? So if you can date anybody you
00:46:30.680
want, you can wear anything you want, what is the point? I actually don't understand the point.
00:46:44.420
And I'm just going to look at your messages to see if any of you know the point.
00:46:50.700
Yeah, so somebody's saying you feel trapped in the wrong body.
00:46:53.580
But does the operation help that?
00:47:00.760
I don't know. Does it? And what does it mean to be trapped in the wrong body?
00:47:07.800
What makes it wrong? Let me drill down on that a little bit. And again, if you're just joining this,
00:47:13.160
we're trying to be respectful. And the intention is just to learn something here that I really,
00:47:18.960
genuinely am confused about. Because I think if you understand any group better,
00:47:22.760
your ability to accept them and not to be biased, it's just easier. So just understanding is a big
00:47:29.620
deal. Somebody says there's a psych-physical alignment problem. But here's my problem.
00:47:37.020
If we agree there's no one right way to look, how could you be mismatched with your look and your brain?
00:47:45.160
I guess let me say that again. If we've accepted the point, and I do, I accept this point,
00:47:53.600
that you can look any way you want. It doesn't matter what your gender is or your preference. You can
00:47:58.300
look any way you want. Get any haircut you want. Wear any clothing you want.
00:48:02.360
But you actually have to... Is there a mental... I'll just say the situation. I don't want to put a
00:48:14.440
judgment on it. Is there a mental situation where there's someone who was born biologically female,
00:48:20.600
where they really need to have a penis? Other than it would be a defining characteristic of being a
00:48:27.600
male gender. But does the penis specifically, like you feel... Is this what it is? Do you feel like it
00:48:35.240
should be there and it's not there? You look down and there's no penis? And then you need to fix that
00:48:41.040
to feel like you're all whole? Is that what it is? Yeah, so I don't really understand it. I don't
00:48:47.480
understand it on a logical level, but I want to. I would actually like to understand it. All right,
00:48:53.180
we'll get off of that. Did you see that video of the Biden and the microphones? It looks like
00:49:00.220
there's some weird illusion where it looks like his hand goes past the microphone or through it
00:49:05.160
or something. You have to see that video. It's kind of freaky, but I think it's just the way the
00:49:10.200
cameras are set up. There's nothing to it except that the microphones were on long sticks, so that
00:49:16.840
the reporters were actually pretty far away from Biden, but you couldn't tell because you just saw the
00:49:21.420
tops of the microphones. You didn't know they were on long sticks. And then when Biden's talking,
00:49:27.180
at one point his hand goes past the microphone, which you think would be impossible if the reporter
00:49:33.460
were holding it. So that's how the illusion happens. But since you don't know they're on sticks,
00:49:39.300
Biden just walked up to the microphones and at one point his hand went past them. I think that's all
00:49:43.760
it was. All right. So there was a claim that Columbia University was holding separate student
00:49:53.660
graduation ceremonies by income and sexual orientation. That turned out to be fake news,
00:50:00.480
partially fake news, because everybody goes to the same graduation at Columbia University,
00:50:06.560
but voluntarily they can have their own separate in addition to graduations voluntarily of a group by
00:50:15.060
ethnicity or income or whatever. And I'm thinking to myself, how is that good? How does, let's say
00:50:25.100
you're a black graduate or anything else. I suppose there's probably an Asian American group, etc.
00:50:31.340
And you've graduated, you've graduated with everybody, and then you want to hold your own
00:50:36.960
separate graduation with people who have your ethnic similarity. How does that help you, really?
00:50:44.480
Now, I can see if you had a party. If you had a party with the people who were like you, even then
00:50:51.400
that would be a little sketchy. But at least, you know, it doesn't sound as bad as having a graduation
00:50:57.640
ceremony with just people who look like you. Well, yeah, it just doesn't seem like there's anything
00:51:01.920
good that could come out of that. But a party, you know, party's a party. Rasmussen is reporting
00:51:10.420
that 75% of, I think, likely voters, I always forget to ask which group they're looking at, but I think
00:51:18.580
75% of people polled were supportive of voter ID laws, as you might suspect. That's 89% of them
00:51:27.120
Republicans. But even 60% of Democrats and 77% of unidentified want voter ID laws. Now, at the same
00:51:38.640
time that 75% of the public want voter ID laws, and even a solid majority of Democrats, the Senate's
00:51:47.420
working on this H.R.1 bill that if it passes, would, quote, force states to allow anyone to vote
00:51:55.060
who simply signs a form saying they are who they claim they are. And I'm thinking to myself,
00:52:03.200
is there ever been a cleaner example of the government not being on your side?
00:52:08.840
Now, I do approve of a government doing things that the public does not like, right? But the case to do
00:52:17.960
that is when the government has more information or is smarter than the public. In those cases, yeah,
00:52:26.140
I'm glad we have a republic. So then the elected people make our smart decisions, so dumb people
00:52:31.500
like us don't have to. But in the case of voter ID laws, I feel confident that every citizen understands
00:52:38.780
the entire topic. There's nothing complicated about should you show your ID to vote? Like,
00:52:45.620
everybody gets that. There's no context missing. We all get that. And if 75% of the public who gets
00:52:55.320
that completely understands the topic and doesn't want it to happen, and yet your government is doing
00:53:02.820
it to you right in front of you, they have left the station. At this point, they're not even
00:53:11.500
pretending to be on your side. Like, usually they at least have an argument. Well, you know,
00:53:17.240
we're definitely on your side. It's good for my re-election. But mostly it's good for you. Yeah,
00:53:22.480
it's coincidentally good for me as a politician. But in this case, they're not even pretending.
00:53:29.520
Not even pretending. If I were president, let me tell you how I would handle this.
00:53:34.840
If I ever saw a topic that had 75% support, I would support it, assuming that the public understood
00:53:43.560
the topic as easily as they do this. And even if I disagreed, if I were in the 25%, I would say,
00:53:52.000
oh, I'm the president of the United States. 75% of the people understand this topic and want it this
00:53:57.080
way. I'm going to support them hard. 75% is not even close, right? A lot of our issues are sort of
00:54:04.300
close to 50-50. But this isn't close. When you get to 75% and both parties are dominantly in favor of
00:54:15.940
it, this is not a close call. And we just allow this. I mean, this could just happen because we
00:54:25.100
don't care about it, right? So to the extent that the news doesn't make this a big issue, it's just
00:54:30.580
sort of a little highlight at one point. We'll just let this go through. This is actually going
00:54:37.520
to happen right in front of us. Well, 75% of the public doesn't want it to happen. Amazing. And
00:54:44.560
it's only good for the politicians, the Democrats, apparently. So that is my show for the day. If you
00:54:51.860
didn't see, yesterday I did a special live stream on YouTube in which I was showing you the entire
00:54:58.820
writing process of writing a joke for a comic strip. And I think that even if you're not interested
00:55:05.200
in writing comic strips, you would be very interested, if you have any interest in writing,
00:55:11.080
just writing in general, I think you'd be interested in seeing the thought process from beginning to end.
00:55:15.820
So go check that out. It's on YouTube. All right. It looks like there's some reporting about the
00:55:30.100
Atlanta massage parlor things. And it says the alleged perp had a sexual addiction. And so I guess
00:55:41.960
those massage parlors probably were giving happy endings. And so he was just a crazy guy with a
00:55:46.660
sex addiction. It doesn't seem to be racial. So the fact that there was no evidence whatsoever that
00:55:53.820
it was racially motivated, turns out it was not racially motivated, exactly like we assumed.
00:56:00.260
All right. And if you haven't seen my lesson on locals, the subscription platform, my tour through
00:56:11.260
the way to reframe your experience and get better results by reframing the way you think was very
00:56:17.380
well received. Very well received. I'm working on a reframe now. And I'm closing in on it, but I don't
00:56:24.900
have it yet. And the reframe is to fix the problem that so many people have, which is you care about
00:56:31.900
criticism. And if you think somebody is thinking poorly of you in any sense, it really, really affects
00:56:38.680
you. Now that is a, I would call that a, maybe a, I'm not sure it's a flaw because it's built into all
00:56:48.400
of us. It's more natural, but there, but you could find a hack to reduce it. So I'm working on a few
00:56:55.820
ways to reframe how you think about yourself in the world to deal with the fact that you're, you're
00:57:02.140
being affected by criticism more than you want to be. And, uh, I'm close to that and I'll give a,
00:57:08.080
I'll give a micro lesson on that when I have it. All right, that's all for now. And I will talk to you
00:57:12.200
later. Um, hack your imposter syndrome. You know, the, the imposter syndrome is where, uh, you think
00:57:26.560
you're bluffing because, and everybody else is smart, but you're just faking it. And I'll tell you
00:57:31.260
how, um, how I dealt with that. The way to deal with your imposter syndrome is to know that everybody
00:57:39.680
is faking it. And once I learned that everyone is faking it all the time and the people that you
00:57:46.680
think are in control and they're confident and they really know what they're doing, they don't,
00:57:51.980
they're just better at faking, or they may have faked, they may have convinced themselves or something.
00:57:56.820
But once you realize everybody's faking, pretty much everybody's faking all the time. You don't have
00:58:04.460
imposter syndrome. You have human being syndrome. You're just a human. We're all faking all the
00:58:12.760
time. Some are just better at it. All right. Um, what happens when you believe your own BS?
00:58:20.300
That's everybody. Everybody believes their own BS. That's why we live in subjective realities.
00:58:25.440
Um, what would we do to stop the inevitable trial riots? Well, probably nothing. I feel as if the
00:58:39.740
riots are just baked in because the people who do the riots don't really need a reason. So they're
00:58:47.000
going to be looking for a reason. So I don't think you could remove the reason because they're looking
00:58:51.220
for it. They're going to find it no matter what you do. Um, but you might be able to minimize it
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a little bit. You could take some off the top perhaps. If you took 20% of the energy out of it,
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that could be a big difference. Um, so, and here's the way I think that could happen.
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If there's enough reporting about the George Floyd situation and there are enough experts who say,
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yeah, it was the fentanyl that got him. And it can be demonstrated that the knee hold is
00:59:20.980
unlikely to have been much of a difference. Maybe some of the energy can be taken out of it,
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but I don't think so. Um,
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you by dang, we'll rest up. I don't know what that's about. All right. Just looking at your
00:59:41.060
comments and I think we're done here and I will talk to you tomorrow.
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