Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1322 Scott Adams： Let's Talk About the Bad Arguments in the News About the Second Amendment, Vaccine Safety

00:00:00.000 Bum, bum, bum, bum.

00:00:02.020 Bum, bum, bum.

00:00:04.880 Hey, everybody.

00:00:06.200 Come on in.

00:00:06.960 Come on in.

00:00:08.020 Now, if I were to ask you

00:00:10.160 what would be the best moment of your entire life,

00:00:16.960 well, it'd be hard to come up with that answer, maybe.

00:00:19.940 You'd be thinking about the birth of your children,

00:00:22.320 maybe a big promotion you got,

00:00:24.720 maybe the day you got married.

00:00:26.640 But no, the best day of your life

00:00:29.640 is right now.

00:00:32.800 And if you'd like to make this even better,

00:00:36.500 I know it's hard to believe,

00:00:38.660 but you can, just a little bit better.

00:00:40.920 All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass,

00:00:43.200 a tank or a cellist stand,

00:00:44.320 a canteen drink of flask,

00:00:45.480 a vessel of any kind.

00:00:48.000 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:49.560 I like coffee.

00:00:51.580 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure,

00:00:54.840 the dopamine hit of the day,

00:00:57.020 the thing that makes everything.

00:00:59.640 everything better.

00:01:01.460 It's called the simultaneous sip,

00:01:02.780 and you're about to experience it,

00:01:05.140 and you're lucky if you are.

00:01:07.500 And it happens now.

00:01:08.640 Go! 0.95

00:01:08.840 Oh, yeah.

00:01:14.740 Oh, yeah.

00:01:15.820 Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha.

00:01:19.400 Well, Trump is back in the news,

00:01:22.280 so everything's looking a little brighter now.

00:01:25.960 I guess he had some long interview yesterday

00:01:28.780 with Fox News,

00:01:30.480 and he was on Newsmax,

00:01:31.980 and blada, blada.

00:01:33.620 So it looks like we'll have a steady diet of Trump.

00:01:38.780 And so far, he's not making a lot of news.

00:01:41.800 He's just complaining about Biden,

00:01:44.040 which makes a little bit of news.

00:01:47.540 But apparently the scoop is

00:01:52.080 that Trump will be returning

00:01:53.960 with some kind of a platform,

00:01:56.260 some kind of a social media,

00:01:58.400 or maybe it's a news platform.

00:02:00.380 We don't know what kind of platform it is,

00:02:02.840 but he's going to be coming at us

00:02:04.380 with a platform.

00:02:06.520 If I were him,

00:02:07.840 this is how I would have done it.

00:02:09.360 I would have tried to get investors

00:02:12.660 to do a roll-up,

00:02:14.880 which is combining,

00:02:16.160 let's say,

00:02:17.680 Rumble and Parler

00:02:19.840 and some of the other properties

00:02:23.040 that try to compete with the major brands.

00:02:27.180 And I'd make it an alternative internet, basically.

00:02:30.520 But we'll see what he does.

00:02:33.640 Here is the coolest thing ever.

00:02:37.280 All right, I may have oversold this a little bit.

00:02:41.600 Back it up, back it up.

00:02:42.980 It's a cool thing.

00:02:44.900 You heard about how scientists say

00:02:47.500 that if you consume too much news from one source,

00:02:52.080 either all on the left or all leading right,

00:02:55.800 that it will cause brain damage.

00:02:58.940 Brain damage.

00:03:01.120 And they don't use that word lightly.

00:03:03.700 If you only follow the left

00:03:05.580 or you only follow the right,

00:03:06.960 you actually get brain damage.

00:03:08.940 Now, wouldn't you like to know

00:03:10.200 how much brain damage you're getting?

00:03:14.020 Because nobody is perfect, right?

00:03:17.200 Nobody is perfectly balanced.

00:03:19.500 Wouldn't you like to know?

00:03:20.920 Well, it turns out that there's a brand new tool

00:03:23.360 that I just tweeted.

00:03:25.260 So you can just go to my Twitter account.

00:03:27.160 It's right at the top at the moment.

00:03:28.560 And you've heard of ground news.

00:03:33.180 Ground news.

00:03:34.760 They tell you how much of...

00:03:37.380 They tell you which news sites,

00:03:39.720 left or right, are covering which stories.

00:03:42.740 So they'll often hilariously post something

00:03:45.400 that says everybody on the left is talking about it

00:03:48.560 and literally no one on the right.

00:03:50.620 Or vice versa.

00:03:51.760 So that's very illuminating.

00:03:54.580 But they came out with a new little tool,

00:03:56.360 a new app,

00:03:57.280 in which you can put in the name of any Twitter user,

00:04:01.380 including yourself,

00:04:02.740 and it will tell you,

00:04:05.040 based on your Twitter activity

00:04:06.440 and who you're following and tweeting, I guess,

00:04:09.300 how biased your followings are.

00:04:14.380 So if you're interacting primarily with the left

00:04:17.680 or primarily with the right,

00:04:19.720 science says brain damage.

00:04:23.300 Brain damage.

00:04:25.280 And so you can find out how much brain damage

00:04:27.120 you're giving yourself with this app.

00:04:31.040 Is that about the coolest thing

00:04:32.660 you've ever heard in your life?

00:04:34.960 So ground news, congratulations.

00:04:37.620 So I just ran my own through it.

00:04:40.900 And I came out relatively balanced.

00:04:44.740 I definitely lean a little bit more right.

00:04:47.600 The people I interact with

00:04:49.060 are more likely to be on the right.

00:04:51.180 But the bottom line for me

00:04:53.600 is that I follow enough news on the left

00:04:56.220 and enough people

00:04:57.100 and I interact with them enough

00:04:59.080 that I am not giving myself brain damage.

00:05:04.340 How about that?

00:05:05.580 Yay for me.

00:05:06.980 Some of you may get a different result.

00:05:09.940 And it'll be even more interesting

00:05:11.160 if you put other people in there.

00:05:12.640 So let's say somebody's arguing with you on Twitter

00:05:15.980 and they're just being a moron. 0.77

00:05:18.880 Stick them into the app

00:05:20.180 and find out if they have brain damage.

00:05:25.440 Do you see why I'm so excited about this?

00:05:30.340 Yeah, look in my...

00:05:31.540 Somebody's asking for the link.

00:05:33.200 So I just tweeted it

00:05:34.420 just a moment before I came on.

00:05:35.960 So you could go to...

00:05:37.820 Just search for ground news.

00:05:41.040 Ground like the ground you're standing on.

00:05:43.600 And you can follow them.

00:05:45.520 And you should.

00:05:46.300 Or you can go to my Twitter account

00:05:47.820 and it's the one I just tweeted this morning.

00:05:50.240 So you'll see it right at the top.

00:05:52.380 So you can actually have a Twitter debate with somebody

00:05:54.600 and send to them the result

00:05:58.000 of how brain damaged they are.

00:05:59.940 Could anything be better?

00:06:03.100 Is there anything you've waited for

00:06:06.080 that would make you happier than this?

00:06:09.060 Seriously.

00:06:10.040 If it looks like I'm just like dancing in my seat,

00:06:13.600 it's because nothing could make me happier

00:06:15.700 than being able to prove to somebody...

00:06:19.100 I mean, I don't know how much science you want to say this is,

00:06:22.080 but certainly it would be entertaining,

00:06:25.900 even if not strictly scientific,

00:06:29.200 to say, you know, according to this app,

00:06:32.700 the things you follow and the things you interact with

00:06:35.660 strongly suggest according to science.

00:06:39.780 And you do follow science, right?

00:06:41.940 Do you love science?

00:06:43.480 Do you?

00:06:44.360 Do you love it?

00:06:46.040 Because I love it.

00:06:48.620 If you love science,

00:06:50.000 here's the evidence that you've got brain damage.

00:06:53.500 All right.

00:06:55.340 Of course, there's yet another mass shooting.

00:06:59.000 Apparently there have been seven mass shootings

00:07:01.260 in the last seven days.

00:07:04.000 I'm seeing a pattern develop here.

00:07:07.640 Now, some of the mass shootings

00:07:09.280 are more like inner city situations

00:07:12.540 where things got out of control, I think,

00:07:15.460 as opposed to the kind where somebody gets a gun

00:07:17.740 and plans it and, you know,

00:07:19.240 goes somewhere just to shoot people.

00:07:22.680 But seven of them in seven days?

00:07:26.100 You know, even if you're pro-Second Amendment,

00:07:28.940 as I am,

00:07:30.040 I'm very pro-Second Amendment,

00:07:32.420 you've got to worry about seven shootings

00:07:34.260 in seven days,

00:07:35.140 seven mass shootings.

00:07:37.640 We learned today that the Denver shooting,

00:07:40.740 in which ten people tragically died,

00:07:42.760 including a police officer,

00:07:44.180 were told that the suspect is male.

00:07:48.780 Well, I didn't see that coming.

00:07:51.380 Is anybody else as surprised as I am

00:07:53.380 that this mass shooter was male?

00:07:57.940 What are the odds of that?

00:08:02.500 But interestingly,

00:08:04.420 the ethnicity of the shooter

00:08:06.220 has not been released, has it?

00:08:10.100 Yeah.

00:08:10.780 If I'm going to take a guess,

00:08:13.320 probably a youngish white guy.

00:08:18.080 Just going to put it out there.

00:08:20.440 Because if you're young and white,

00:08:22.840 there's a pretty good chance

00:08:24.500 you're in the same category

00:08:25.620 with a lot of mass shooters.

00:08:27.380 Now, obviously,

00:08:28.080 there's a lot of, you know,

00:08:28.940 urban shootings that are,

00:08:30.820 they have a different character to them

00:08:32.420 than more, you know,

00:08:33.640 crime-related or gang-related

00:08:35.220 or, you know,

00:08:36.580 a party got out of control.

00:08:37.720 But when somebody actually plans it,

00:08:41.020 the odds of them being a white male

00:08:43.240 with an AR-15,

00:08:45.020 pretty, pretty high.

00:08:47.080 Pretty high.

00:08:50.340 Why is it the AR-15s are used

00:08:53.520 in so many of these mass shootings?

00:08:56.180 I just saw a list this morning

00:08:57.500 of how often they're used.

00:08:59.400 Pretty often.

00:09:00.940 Pretty often.

00:09:01.900 So why is it that the AR-15

00:09:03.880 is the most used weapon,

00:09:06.760 handguns being second?

00:09:09.260 Now, you say to yourself,

00:09:11.560 well, the reason it's being used

00:09:13.600 is because it's the best weapon

00:09:16.500 that's easily available.

00:09:18.220 Best in terms of killing power.

00:09:20.960 But that's not exactly true.

00:09:22.300 So, I think most gun,

00:09:25.220 you know, gun experts

00:09:26.620 or gun hobbyists will tell you

00:09:28.500 that if you went into

00:09:30.360 exactly those same situations

00:09:32.500 with the right, you know,

00:09:35.000 automatic handguns,

00:09:36.880 you would do the same amount of damage.

00:09:40.020 Right?

00:09:40.880 Because if it's a crowded space,

00:09:43.060 the handgun is going to do

00:09:44.500 just as much damage.

00:09:45.400 So, you're not really getting

00:09:48.040 that much extra killing power

00:09:50.600 from the AR-15.

00:09:53.160 And by the way,

00:09:54.280 if there's some gun,

00:09:55.740 I know there's lots of gun enthusiasts

00:09:58.120 watching this.

00:09:59.840 So, check my math on that, right?

00:10:01.960 Now, here's the first thing we learned.

00:10:04.660 None of those mass shootings

00:10:06.220 involved a fully automatic weapon.

00:10:08.400 None of them involved

00:10:12.520 a fully automatic weapon.

00:10:16.640 Why is that?

00:10:18.580 Yeah, I meant semi-automatic, sorry.

00:10:20.880 Gun people are correcting me as we go. 0.92

00:10:23.220 So, I often use the wrong gun terms

00:10:25.520 because guns are not exactly my hobby.

00:10:28.940 I'm pro-Second Amendment,

00:10:30.380 but, you know,

00:10:31.000 I don't make a hobby of it.

00:10:32.960 So, yeah,

00:10:35.180 why is it that fully automatics

00:10:37.380 were not used?

00:10:38.400 Because they're illegal.

00:10:41.480 Well, not illegal.

00:10:42.660 You can own a fully automatic,

00:10:44.140 but it's harder.

00:10:45.300 It's just more difficult.

00:10:47.140 Yeah.

00:10:47.900 So,

00:10:49.440 doesn't this give you

00:10:51.780 a lot of evidence,

00:10:53.180 you know,

00:10:53.400 short of a scientific proof,

00:10:55.100 but doesn't this strongly suggest

00:10:57.200 that banning fully automatic weapons

00:11:00.600 may have worked?

00:11:04.940 In the sense that

00:11:06.120 nobody used an automatic weapon.

00:11:08.360 But, like I said earlier,

00:11:10.140 maybe the total number of people killed

00:11:11.920 ends up being about the same.

00:11:13.300 because a person with the handguns

00:11:15.580 in a public place

00:11:17.420 is going to do just as much damage

00:11:19.240 no matter what kind of weapon you have.

00:11:21.660 You know,

00:11:21.780 maybe there's a little faster firing

00:11:23.240 with the...

00:11:24.280 Because my understanding is that

00:11:25.700 even if you had an automatic weapon,

00:11:28.380 unless you were shooting

00:11:29.660 into a crowd at close range,

00:11:31.760 you'd still rather take a shot at a time.

00:11:33.980 gun people,

00:11:36.720 confirm this for me,

00:11:38.800 that if your goal was to kill a bunch of people,

00:11:42.900 and unless they were clustered all together,

00:11:45.500 you know,

00:11:45.780 as long as there's a little separation,

00:11:47.940 your best technique

00:11:49.620 for getting the most people dead

00:11:52.160 would be one shot at a time.

00:11:54.980 Can anybody confirm that?

00:11:58.800 Now,

00:11:59.440 somebody's saying

00:11:59.900 there are fewer rounds in a handgun,

00:12:01.580 but, of course,

00:12:02.080 you would bring extra rounds with you.

00:12:04.380 You know,

00:12:04.700 you'd be slapping a clip in there,

00:12:06.120 I guess,

00:12:07.180 pretty quickly.

00:12:09.100 But the gun experts

00:12:10.680 have schooled me,

00:12:12.160 you know,

00:12:12.360 people with actual military experience,

00:12:14.500 et cetera,

00:12:14.820 and saying that

00:12:16.240 a shot at a time,

00:12:18.200 you know,

00:12:18.580 well-aimed,

00:12:19.880 is going to get you more kills 0.84

00:12:21.480 than...

00:12:21.980 And one of the reasons

00:12:24.400 is that automatic weapons

00:12:26.000 will ride up.

00:12:27.420 Have you heard of this?

00:12:29.320 If you're...

00:12:30.120 Here,

00:12:30.300 let me do the example for you

00:12:31.680 using my back scratcher.

00:12:33.820 So,

00:12:35.140 apparently,

00:12:35.900 if you're...

00:12:36.720 if you have an automatic weapon

00:12:37.960 and you put it on automatic

00:12:39.580 and it starts shooting,

00:12:40.780 it will go like this,

00:12:41.960 and your gun will rise.

00:12:44.820 So you actually end up

00:12:47.100 being very inaccurate

00:12:48.300 if you keep it

00:12:49.640 on the fully automatic mode.

00:12:51.780 So the point being

00:12:52.980 that a non...

00:12:54.580 non-fully automatic

00:12:56.600 and even non-semi-automatic,

00:12:59.480 you know,

00:12:59.740 a revolver

00:13:00.460 is going to kill a lot of people,

00:13:02.240 even if it doesn't shoot as quickly

00:13:03.780 and doesn't carry as many rounds.

00:13:05.920 So,

00:13:06.340 there's your

00:13:06.960 mass shooter education for today.

00:13:11.000 How long will it be

00:13:12.240 before we find out

00:13:13.060 the ethnicity of the killer?

00:13:14.820 And why would they

00:13:17.220 keep that from us?

00:13:22.040 Makes you curious,

00:13:23.240 doesn't it?

00:13:24.140 Makes you curious.

00:13:26.060 All right.

00:13:27.580 How about some good news?

00:13:30.100 In Appalachia,

00:13:31.920 the place in the United States

00:13:33.400 most famous for poverty,

00:13:36.620 they've...

00:13:36.820 somebody built a greenhouse

00:13:38.460 that is the size

00:13:39.540 of 58 football fields.

00:13:43.180 What?

00:13:44.360 It's an indoor greenhouse

00:13:45.820 for growing all kinds of stuff,

00:13:47.460 and it's the size

00:13:48.320 of 58 football fields.

00:13:51.380 One of the largest

00:13:52.260 in the world.

00:13:53.100 Now,

00:13:53.420 here are the benefits

00:13:54.460 of growing indoors.

00:13:56.720 Saves on water,

00:13:58.480 like,

00:13:58.840 a lot,

00:13:59.780 right?

00:14:00.040 And agricultural use

00:14:01.800 of water,

00:14:02.440 one of the biggest

00:14:02.960 problems in the world.

00:14:04.980 So,

00:14:05.480 that's good.

00:14:06.540 Number two,

00:14:07.320 saves on shipping.

00:14:09.360 Because,

00:14:10.140 in theory,

00:14:10.740 you could locate

00:14:11.680 your indoor

00:14:12.480 growing

00:14:14.640 closer to the market,

00:14:17.320 so you don't have to

00:14:18.220 ship it from another country,

00:14:19.500 et cetera.

00:14:21.720 So,

00:14:22.240 you save on water,

00:14:23.180 you save on shipping.

00:14:24.680 I'm assuming

00:14:25.360 you save on pesticides

00:14:26.600 because it's a

00:14:27.660 controlled environment.

00:14:29.400 So,

00:14:29.660 in theory,

00:14:30.160 you wouldn't need any,

00:14:30.880 right?

00:14:31.520 So,

00:14:31.880 they would be...

00:14:32.800 I don't know if this is true.

00:14:34.320 I'd have to get an opinion

00:14:36.180 on this.

00:14:37.020 But,

00:14:37.400 that might make them organic

00:14:38.700 just because you don't

00:14:40.940 have to control for pests.

00:14:43.120 I think that might be true,

00:14:44.240 although you would still

00:14:44.960 fertilize them,

00:14:45.700 so maybe that's not organic.

00:14:48.080 And then,

00:14:48.720 the third thing

00:14:49.280 is that

00:14:49.920 our food supply

00:14:51.220 would be safer

00:14:52.080 from climate change.

00:14:54.620 So,

00:14:55.260 if you believe

00:14:56.600 that climate change

00:14:57.480 is going to make it

00:14:58.220 worse for growing

00:14:59.460 in some way

00:15:01.280 because it disrupts

00:15:02.360 the weather pattern,

00:15:03.600 and I know

00:15:03.980 you're already typing,

00:15:05.960 Scott,

00:15:06.360 don't you know

00:15:06.880 that more CO2

00:15:07.780 is good for plant life?

00:15:09.640 And there is more

00:15:10.360 vegetation in the world

00:15:11.480 now than there has been

00:15:12.580 in years

00:15:13.040 because of all that CO2.

00:15:15.400 So,

00:15:15.780 climate change

00:15:16.320 is really good for crops,

00:15:17.540 Scott.

00:15:17.880 Don't you know that?

00:15:19.160 Scott,

00:15:19.620 Scott,

00:15:19.980 Scott.

00:15:20.960 Well,

00:15:21.360 I do know that.

00:15:22.380 But,

00:15:22.860 if climate change,

00:15:24.000 I'll put an if there

00:15:24.960 because I know

00:15:25.540 some of you are skeptics,

00:15:26.980 but if climate change

00:15:28.260 causes massive

00:15:29.440 weather disruptions,

00:15:31.900 those disruptions

00:15:33.080 and floods

00:15:33.660 and whatever

00:15:34.200 could be a larger

00:15:36.080 impact than the CO2.

00:15:38.220 So,

00:15:38.460 there is some risk.

00:15:39.280 We just don't know

00:15:39.940 which way that goes.

00:15:41.680 Could end up,

00:15:42.400 climate change

00:15:43.400 could end up

00:15:44.000 be the greatest thing

00:15:45.080 that ever happened

00:15:45.800 to farms.

00:15:48.000 But,

00:15:48.480 it could also

00:15:49.380 make farms

00:15:50.180 in some places

00:15:51.380 non-viable

00:15:52.960 while making

00:15:54.300 farms in other places

00:15:55.620 the best year

00:15:56.540 they've ever had.

00:15:57.940 So,

00:15:58.500 it's nice to have

00:15:59.060 some greenhouse

00:16:00.000 options here.

00:16:01.800 To me,

00:16:02.340 this is one of the

00:16:02.920 best stories ever.

00:16:03.920 It just doesn't

00:16:04.480 seem interesting.

00:16:06.300 Right?

00:16:06.700 But the fact that

00:16:07.640 you can make

00:16:08.220 greenhouses this big

00:16:09.400 and apparently

00:16:09.920 they figured out

00:16:10.560 how to make it

00:16:11.040 profitable,

00:16:12.040 it's a big deal,

00:16:13.340 I think.

00:16:13.660 If I were to

00:16:15.100 design a city,

00:16:17.160 and I do plan

00:16:18.120 to do this

00:16:18.660 before I die

00:16:19.360 sometime,

00:16:20.540 I would put

00:16:21.460 a massive

00:16:22.200 greenhouse

00:16:23.020 right there.

00:16:25.280 So,

00:16:25.700 I would make

00:16:26.120 sure that

00:16:26.780 you paired

00:16:27.640 maybe a

00:16:29.160 nuclear power

00:16:30.320 facility,

00:16:31.260 possibly a

00:16:32.000 Gen 4,

00:16:32.940 you know,

00:16:33.160 smaller,

00:16:33.660 safer kind of

00:16:34.300 thing.

00:16:35.000 Then I would

00:16:35.700 put a

00:16:36.340 massive

00:16:37.520 indoor farm

00:16:38.720 and then I

00:16:40.820 would make

00:16:41.140 sure that,

00:16:41.660 you know,

00:16:41.920 your water

00:16:42.600 situation was

00:16:43.460 taken care

00:16:44.020 of,

00:16:44.640 you were

00:16:45.000 close enough

00:16:45.700 to a major

00:16:46.320 airport,

00:16:48.340 boom,

00:16:49.540 perfect city.

00:16:51.260 More to

00:16:51.640 that later.

00:16:53.700 There's a

00:16:54.320 statistic that

00:16:55.080 says 42%

00:16:56.360 of Americans

00:16:57.080 report undesired

00:16:59.460 weight gain

00:17:00.060 during the

00:17:00.920 pandemic.

00:17:02.580 And the

00:17:03.000 average weight

00:17:03.460 gain is 29

00:17:04.540 pounds.

00:17:06.180 And 41

00:17:07.320 pounds for

00:17:07.960 millennials.

00:17:10.960 Do you

00:17:11.740 believe any

00:17:12.240 of that?

00:17:13.460 aren't we

00:17:16.500 at a point

00:17:17.020 where you

00:17:18.240 just don't

00:17:18.660 believe any

00:17:19.200 statistics?

00:17:21.140 All right.

00:17:22.060 No,

00:17:22.420 seriously,

00:17:23.020 do you

00:17:23.320 believe that

00:17:24.000 the millennials

00:17:25.280 were gaining

00:17:26.000 41 pounds

00:17:27.060 on average?

00:17:29.520 41 pounds?

00:17:31.760 I don't

00:17:32.540 believe that

00:17:33.000 anyone gained

00:17:33.620 41 pounds

00:17:34.520 this year.

00:17:36.180 I don't even

00:17:36.860 know if you

00:17:37.200 could gain

00:17:37.720 41 pounds

00:17:38.540 in a year.

00:17:39.420 Could you?

00:17:40.040 If you

00:17:40.960 tried really

00:17:41.860 hard,

00:17:42.260 could you

00:17:42.520 gain 41

00:17:43.200 pounds?

00:17:43.920 I mean,

00:17:44.160 you'd have

00:17:44.420 to start

00:17:44.920 at 300

00:17:45.560 to gain

00:17:47.520 that.

00:17:48.360 So the

00:17:48.880 first thing

00:17:49.340 you need

00:17:49.600 to know

00:17:49.980 is that

00:17:50.920 this is

00:17:51.280 very unlikely

00:17:51.940 to be

00:17:52.340 true.

00:17:53.200 That's

00:17:53.460 very unlikely.

00:17:55.080 And secondly,

00:17:56.660 how many

00:17:57.620 people got

00:17:58.760 healthier?

00:18:00.480 In the

00:18:01.140 comments.

00:18:02.300 All right,

00:18:02.760 are you ready?

00:18:03.820 In the

00:18:04.260 comments,

00:18:05.100 you're already

00:18:05.780 starting it,

00:18:06.360 but I want

00:18:06.640 the rest of

00:18:07.040 you to do

00:18:07.340 it.

00:18:08.060 Tell me

00:18:08.500 your weight

00:18:09.320 gain or

00:18:10.780 loss.

00:18:11.540 All right?

00:18:12.720 So tell me

00:18:13.320 your weight

00:18:13.680 gain or

00:18:14.180 loss.

00:18:14.560 I want

00:18:14.820 everybody to

00:18:15.460 participate.

00:18:16.920 Either the

00:18:17.360 same,

00:18:18.500 plus 10,

00:18:19.800 minus 10,

00:18:20.540 give me your

00:18:21.260 number.

00:18:22.880 I'll tell

00:18:23.500 you mine.

00:18:24.120 I think

00:18:24.460 I'm plus

00:18:25.180 five,

00:18:26.560 but

00:18:26.880 intentionally.

00:18:28.480 So I

00:18:29.200 intentionally

00:18:29.720 gained five

00:18:30.440 pounds for

00:18:31.120 cosmetic reasons.

00:18:32.840 Christina likes

00:18:33.520 me,

00:18:34.440 you know,

00:18:34.760 five pounds

00:18:35.300 heavier.

00:18:35.540 I like

00:18:36.840 myself

00:18:37.320 five pounds

00:18:37.900 lighter because

00:18:38.560 when I look

00:18:39.000 in the mirror,

00:18:39.720 my stomach

00:18:40.180 is tighter

00:18:41.500 and I can

00:18:41.940 see my

00:18:42.280 abs.

00:18:43.420 Christina

00:18:43.840 likes me a

00:18:44.380 little beefier

00:18:45.000 because my

00:18:45.420 face looks a

00:18:46.800 little more

00:18:47.120 filled out.

00:18:47.680 I look

00:18:47.900 younger that

00:18:48.340 way.

00:18:49.420 So I

00:18:50.620 gained five,

00:18:51.360 but it was

00:18:51.640 under control.

00:18:53.240 All right,

00:18:53.400 I'm going to

00:18:54.200 read off your

00:18:54.620 numbers.

00:18:55.480 Negative 10,

00:18:56.220 negative 20,

00:18:57.140 plus 20,

00:18:57.840 plus 10.

00:18:59.340 Wow,

00:18:59.940 minus 4,

00:19:00.620 plus 40.

00:19:01.740 Jeez,

00:19:02.140 sorry about

00:19:02.580 that.

00:19:02.860 Plus 7,

00:19:06.260 plus 15,

00:19:07.200 these will

00:19:07.540 all be

00:19:07.880 pluses.

00:19:08.960 12,

00:19:09.600 even,

00:19:10.100 same,

00:19:11.020 20 pounds

00:19:11.640 lost,

00:19:12.280 congratulations,

00:19:13.280 minus 18,

00:19:14.320 good work.

00:19:15.700 Lost 18,

00:19:16.640 and again,

00:19:17.100 good work.

00:19:18.020 Plus 10,

00:19:18.700 minus 7,

00:19:19.560 good work.

00:19:22.280 I feel as

00:19:23.440 if this

00:19:23.920 pandemic

00:19:24.420 really,

00:19:25.620 really told

00:19:26.220 you who

00:19:26.600 you were,

00:19:27.740 didn't it?

00:19:28.600 about 5,

00:19:31.360 minus 1,

00:19:32.620 plus 10,

00:19:33.680 plus 4,

00:19:34.940 minus 5,

00:19:36.660 plus 10,

00:19:37.200 plus 2,

00:19:37.720 plus 5.

00:19:40.560 Whoa,

00:19:41.100 hold on,

00:19:41.580 hold on.

00:19:42.320 Did I really

00:19:42.720 see that?

00:19:46.500 Jungle,

00:19:47.260 well,

00:19:47.500 I'm not going

00:19:47.840 to read your

00:19:48.220 name because

00:19:48.780 it's offensive,

00:19:49.600 but did you

00:19:50.340 really lose

00:19:50.820 64 pounds

00:19:51.720 this year?

00:19:53.780 Could be.

00:19:54.460 lost 10,

00:19:59.040 lost 10,

00:19:59.520 all right,

00:20:00.720 somebody lost,

00:20:01.600 somebody says

00:20:02.280 they lost 41,

00:20:03.360 I don't know

00:20:03.720 about that.

00:20:04.740 Minus 25,

00:20:05.840 good job,

00:20:06.540 lost 15,

00:20:07.600 good job.

00:20:08.600 All right,

00:20:08.840 here's,

00:20:09.260 here's a,

00:20:10.500 what I think

00:20:11.420 happened here.

00:20:13.140 When you have

00:20:13.960 something like

00:20:14.500 a pandemic

00:20:15.100 and suddenly

00:20:16.320 you don't know

00:20:17.420 what to do

00:20:18.080 because you

00:20:18.620 haven't been

00:20:19.200 in a pandemic

00:20:19.820 before,

00:20:20.840 and you have

00:20:21.500 to make

00:20:21.760 your own

00:20:22.240 decisions,

00:20:22.780 most of

00:20:25.100 the time

00:20:25.500 you're put

00:20:25.940 into a

00:20:26.340 situation

00:20:26.800 where the

00:20:27.360 decisions

00:20:27.760 are kind

00:20:28.200 of made

00:20:28.480 for you,

00:20:29.660 right,

00:20:30.000 you kind

00:20:30.660 of know

00:20:30.920 you've got

00:20:31.240 to get

00:20:31.480 a job

00:20:31.980 and you

00:20:32.200 have to

00:20:32.400 wear clothes

00:20:33.120 and,

00:20:34.160 you know,

00:20:34.300 if you

00:20:34.480 want to

00:20:34.680 go somewhere

00:20:35.260 there's a

00:20:35.740 certain way

00:20:36.120 to do it,

00:20:36.940 et cetera,

00:20:37.420 but you

00:20:37.740 hit the

00:20:38.000 pandemic

00:20:38.400 and suddenly

00:20:39.920 all the

00:20:40.700 rules are

00:20:41.200 wrong and

00:20:41.840 nothing's

00:20:42.580 the same

00:20:42.980 and now

00:20:43.240 you have

00:20:43.520 to figure

00:20:44.740 out what

00:20:45.100 to do.

00:20:46.820 I think

00:20:47.520 this really

00:20:47.980 told you

00:20:48.400 who you

00:20:48.720 were.

00:20:51.640 There are

00:20:52.260 people who

00:20:52.940 see crises

00:20:54.400 and say,

00:20:56.620 oh wow,

00:20:57.540 this crisis

00:20:58.360 is going to

00:20:59.400 give me an

00:20:59.800 opportunity to

00:21:00.580 do something

00:21:01.000 I never

00:21:01.460 could have

00:21:01.800 done without

00:21:02.480 the crisis.

00:21:03.800 And one

00:21:04.080 of the things

00:21:04.520 that I

00:21:04.900 wanted to

00:21:05.320 do was

00:21:05.920 take a

00:21:07.420 year to

00:21:07.740 work on

00:21:08.060 my fitness

00:21:08.580 more than

00:21:09.180 normal.

00:21:10.640 And so

00:21:11.040 I did

00:21:11.540 that.

00:21:12.380 And so

00:21:12.620 at least

00:21:14.080 my muscle

00:21:14.840 definition

00:21:15.360 is probably

00:21:16.220 better than

00:21:16.640 ever.

00:21:16.820 and I

00:21:20.340 said to

00:21:20.720 myself,

00:21:21.220 I'm not

00:21:21.480 going to

00:21:21.720 waste this

00:21:22.380 crisis.

00:21:23.840 I started

00:21:24.680 a new

00:21:25.660 line of

00:21:26.080 business.

00:21:27.180 I got

00:21:27.780 healthier,

00:21:29.200 got a lot

00:21:29.900 of stuff

00:21:30.200 in order,

00:21:31.000 and so

00:21:31.640 I came

00:21:32.120 out ahead.

00:21:33.380 And I

00:21:33.940 knew I

00:21:34.260 would because

00:21:35.100 it was my

00:21:35.680 plan and

00:21:36.580 there was

00:21:36.840 nothing to

00:21:37.360 stop it.

00:21:37.920 There was

00:21:38.120 no friction.

00:21:39.180 I had every

00:21:40.060 opportunity in

00:21:40.780 the world to

00:21:41.240 come out

00:21:41.540 ahead.

00:21:41.880 I had more

00:21:42.260 time to

00:21:42.620 work on

00:21:43.000 stuff so

00:21:44.280 I could do

00:21:44.660 things that

00:21:45.140 I've been

00:21:45.400 putting off.

00:21:46.000 And I

00:21:47.060 could work

00:21:48.440 on my

00:21:48.740 fitness because

00:21:49.440 I don't

00:21:49.760 have a

00:21:50.000 social life

00:21:50.520 like most

00:21:51.780 of them.

00:21:52.900 And I

00:21:53.720 tried on

00:21:54.180 day one,

00:21:55.180 I tried to

00:21:57.440 get you a

00:21:59.060 little bit

00:21:59.360 pregnant with

00:21:59.980 that philosophy

00:22:00.700 that you

00:22:01.420 should be

00:22:01.720 looking at

00:22:02.100 this as

00:22:02.440 an opportunity,

00:22:03.300 not just

00:22:03.880 a problem.

00:22:04.720 It's a

00:22:05.000 big problem,

00:22:05.920 but it

00:22:06.500 comes with

00:22:06.880 an opportunity.

00:22:08.500 Now,

00:22:10.180 here's

00:22:13.780 the payoff

00:22:14.760 for this

00:22:15.540 topic.

00:22:16.000 Number

00:22:18.020 one,

00:22:18.760 ask yourself,

00:22:19.720 look at

00:22:20.180 the people

00:22:20.520 who lost

00:22:20.980 weight.

00:22:22.060 If you

00:22:22.580 look at

00:22:22.880 all the

00:22:23.140 people in

00:22:23.520 the comments

00:22:23.980 who said

00:22:24.360 they lost

00:22:24.840 weight,

00:22:25.440 I don't

00:22:25.860 think it

00:22:26.140 was a

00:22:26.380 majority,

00:22:27.120 maybe 25%

00:22:28.620 of you,

00:22:29.440 perhaps,

00:22:30.480 said you

00:22:30.860 lost weight.

00:22:32.580 That could 0.68

00:22:33.260 have been

00:22:33.500 you.

00:22:34.760 That could 0.68

00:22:35.140 have been

00:22:35.360 you.

00:22:36.280 Right?

00:22:36.700 Because

00:22:37.060 nothing stops

00:22:37.700 you from

00:22:38.000 taking a

00:22:38.480 walk,

00:22:39.540 and nothing

00:22:39.980 stops you

00:22:40.500 from eating

00:22:40.960 more healthily.

00:22:42.060 If you

00:22:42.460 need some

00:22:43.440 help in

00:22:44.100 losing weight,

00:22:44.800 see my

00:22:46.380 book behind

00:22:46.920 me,

00:22:47.260 How to

00:22:47.480 Fail of

00:22:47.780 Almost

00:22:47.980 Everything and

00:22:48.540 Still Win

00:22:48.980 Big?

00:22:49.740 Two of the

00:22:50.520 chapters in

00:22:51.080 there are

00:22:51.600 about fitness

00:22:53.060 and diet

00:22:53.920 systems.

00:22:55.520 Now,

00:22:55.940 when I talk

00:22:56.300 about a

00:22:56.680 system,

00:22:57.580 it's as

00:22:58.020 opposed to

00:22:58.400 having a

00:22:58.800 goal of

00:22:59.360 losing weight.

00:23:00.300 If you have

00:23:00.940 a goal,

00:23:01.680 usually you're

00:23:02.300 just going to

00:23:02.640 work harder.

00:23:03.700 I'm going to

00:23:04.260 try harder to

00:23:04.960 not eat,

00:23:05.580 and then that's

00:23:06.240 just something

00:23:07.380 that most

00:23:07.780 people can't 0.97

00:23:08.340 do.

00:23:08.500 But if

00:23:09.880 you have

00:23:10.100 a system

00:23:10.700 that makes

00:23:11.900 it easy

00:23:12.520 to lose

00:23:13.040 weight,

00:23:13.980 or easy

00:23:14.660 to exercise,

00:23:16.120 well,

00:23:16.360 then most

00:23:16.680 people can

00:23:17.180 succeed.

00:23:18.060 Because you

00:23:18.520 took something

00:23:19.060 hard and you

00:23:19.720 just made

00:23:20.140 it easy.

00:23:21.160 Let me

00:23:21.480 give you an

00:23:21.820 example.

00:23:23.020 I remove

00:23:23.700 from my

00:23:24.460 home food

00:23:26.120 that's bad

00:23:26.680 for me.

00:23:28.080 That's the

00:23:28.700 system.

00:23:29.800 How hard

00:23:30.580 is it for

00:23:31.100 me to

00:23:31.420 simply not

00:23:32.220 buy food

00:23:33.620 that's bad

00:23:34.100 for me?

00:23:34.920 It's not

00:23:35.280 hard.

00:23:36.460 Because as

00:23:37.440 long as I'm

00:23:37.920 not hungry

00:23:38.420 when I'm

00:23:38.820 shopping,

00:23:39.740 which is

00:23:40.140 also a

00:23:40.680 system,

00:23:41.100 right?

00:23:41.280 Make sure

00:23:41.680 you're not

00:23:41.980 hungry when

00:23:42.460 you're

00:23:42.620 shopping.

00:23:43.280 I just

00:23:43.780 don't have

00:23:44.160 anything in

00:23:44.600 the house

00:23:45.020 that's bad

00:23:45.880 for me.

00:23:47.060 So when

00:23:47.780 I'm hungry,

00:23:49.360 I eat

00:23:49.860 what's in

00:23:50.280 the house

00:23:50.700 because it's

00:23:51.460 easy.

00:23:52.060 So I've

00:23:52.460 created a

00:23:53.000 system in

00:23:53.940 which eating

00:23:54.520 bad food

00:23:55.200 is sort

00:23:55.740 of impractical

00:23:56.520 because I

00:23:57.500 made it

00:23:57.800 that way.

00:23:59.140 Now,

00:23:59.780 there's a

00:24:00.200 whole bunch

00:24:00.580 of other

00:24:01.100 system

00:24:02.380 tweaks,

00:24:03.120 such as

00:24:03.900 a system

00:24:04.560 of continuously

00:24:06.100 learning how

00:24:07.380 to prepare

00:24:08.060 food that's

00:24:08.720 good for

00:24:09.140 you in

00:24:10.040 a way

00:24:10.280 that you

00:24:10.600 enjoy eating.

00:24:12.220 So I

00:24:13.560 never stop

00:24:14.300 experimenting

00:24:14.920 on how to

00:24:15.760 make a

00:24:16.380 yam

00:24:17.700 taste good.

00:24:19.800 And by the

00:24:20.380 way,

00:24:20.540 I have a

00:24:20.840 really good

00:24:21.200 way to

00:24:21.520 eat a

00:24:21.880 yam that

00:24:22.280 makes it

00:24:22.560 taste great.

00:24:23.540 Soy sauce

00:24:24.060 and pepper,

00:24:24.760 it's good

00:24:25.460 stuff.

00:24:26.140 But if

00:24:27.580 you're not

00:24:27.880 experimenting

00:24:28.500 continuously how

00:24:29.860 to make the

00:24:30.580 food that's

00:24:31.260 good for you

00:24:31.820 taste good

00:24:32.380 also,

00:24:33.740 the difference

00:24:34.420 between how

00:24:35.260 good your

00:24:35.740 bad food

00:24:36.340 tastes and

00:24:37.340 how good

00:24:37.700 the stuff

00:24:38.080 that's good

00:24:38.620 for you

00:24:38.940 tastes is

00:24:39.360 going to

00:24:39.500 be gigantic.

00:24:40.720 But you

00:24:41.200 can learn

00:24:41.640 to close

00:24:42.140 that gap

00:24:42.880 by learning

00:24:43.960 to prepare

00:24:44.520 it just

00:24:44.900 the way

00:24:45.180 you like

00:24:45.580 and figuring

00:24:46.060 out what

00:24:46.480 works and

00:24:46.940 what doesn't.

00:24:47.540 Anyway,

00:24:48.020 that's the

00:24:48.520 short version.

00:24:49.260 If you want

00:24:49.480 to see the

00:24:49.760 longer version,

00:24:51.000 it's in my

00:24:51.380 book.

00:24:51.780 People who

00:24:52.140 have read

00:24:52.360 that book

00:24:52.820 report losing

00:24:53.840 massive amounts

00:24:54.680 of weight,

00:24:55.380 gaining muscle,

00:24:56.680 and none of

00:24:57.080 the book is

00:24:58.120 about really

00:24:58.880 weight or diet.

00:25:00.360 It's only

00:25:00.740 about systems.

00:25:02.180 So you would

00:25:02.740 design your

00:25:03.240 own systems.

00:25:04.100 I give you

00:25:04.400 some examples.

00:25:05.640 But it's

00:25:05.920 about coming

00:25:07.260 up with a

00:25:07.740 system that's

00:25:08.440 designed for

00:25:09.100 you, not

00:25:09.820 one that I

00:25:10.260 give you.

00:25:11.760 But here's

00:25:12.420 the payoff

00:25:13.260 for this

00:25:13.980 bullshit

00:25:15.740 statistic.

00:25:17.140 About 42%

00:25:18.160 of Americans

00:25:19.100 report undesired

00:25:20.940 weight gain.

00:25:21.600 And this

00:25:21.820 comes from

00:25:22.300 Nate Silver,

00:25:23.360 who you

00:25:24.040 should be

00:25:24.440 following on

00:25:25.140 Twitter.

00:25:26.020 Nate Silver,

00:25:26.880 even if you

00:25:27.500 disagree with

00:25:28.300 him on

00:25:28.640 everything,

00:25:30.100 he can do

00:25:30.660 math.

00:25:31.820 He can do

00:25:32.640 math.

00:25:33.820 Better than

00:25:34.320 you can.

00:25:35.340 Probably.

00:25:35.980 At least

00:25:36.260 statistics,

00:25:37.020 anyway.

00:25:38.140 So here's

00:25:39.140 what he

00:25:39.460 says.

00:25:40.200 This really

00:25:40.860 calls out

00:25:41.360 for a

00:25:41.680 control,

00:25:42.940 meaning a

00:25:43.480 controlled

00:25:43.920 part of

00:25:44.320 the

00:25:44.420 experiment.

00:25:45.540 How many

00:25:45.860 Americans

00:25:46.260 have undesired

00:25:47.120 weight gain

00:25:47.660 in a typical

00:25:48.260 year?

00:25:50.300 Did any

00:25:51.040 of you think

00:25:51.660 of that

00:25:51.980 question?

00:25:53.300 If this

00:25:54.120 year 42%

00:25:55.180 of Americans

00:25:56.020 gained weight

00:25:56.640 they didn't

00:25:57.060 want,

00:25:58.260 what's a

00:25:59.060 normal year

00:25:59.640 look like?

00:26:00.180 I'll bet

00:26:01.900 it's pretty

00:26:02.300 close to

00:26:02.800 42% of

00:26:03.720 Americans

00:26:04.180 gained weight

00:26:04.680 they didn't

00:26:05.040 want,

00:26:05.880 right?

00:26:06.760 It's probably

00:26:07.460 exactly the

00:26:08.140 same.

00:26:09.400 But you

00:26:10.040 don't know

00:26:10.400 that because

00:26:11.580 they don't

00:26:11.900 tell you

00:26:12.240 that.

00:26:12.560 And it

00:26:13.240 takes somebody

00:26:15.740 who lives

00:26:16.360 and breathes

00:26:16.960 statistics to

00:26:18.620 flag this

00:26:19.440 obviously

00:26:20.200 missing part

00:26:21.360 of the

00:26:21.580 analysis,

00:26:22.700 which could

00:26:23.680 be that

00:26:24.440 there's nothing

00:26:24.960 to see here.

00:26:26.020 This might

00:26:26.740 be just like

00:26:27.400 every other

00:26:27.860 year.

00:26:28.700 In fact,

00:26:30.040 the thing

00:26:30.480 that can't

00:26:30.960 be ruled

00:26:31.380 out is

00:26:32.380 that people

00:26:32.780 gained less

00:26:34.060 weight this

00:26:35.640 year than

00:26:36.060 before.

00:26:36.540 I don't

00:26:36.760 think that's

00:26:37.160 true, by

00:26:37.500 the way.

00:26:38.000 But you

00:26:38.280 can't rule

00:26:38.660 it down

00:26:39.060 based on

00:26:39.660 what we

00:26:39.980 know.

00:26:41.040 So that's

00:26:41.640 why Nate

00:26:42.000 Silver is

00:26:42.780 sort of

00:26:43.480 a national

00:26:44.000 treasure,

00:26:44.960 because Americans

00:26:46.060 are statistically

00:26:47.300 ignorant,

00:26:48.540 and I would

00:26:49.260 include myself

00:26:50.000 in this

00:26:50.380 category.

00:26:51.920 My skill

00:26:52.940 stack has

00:26:54.560 some statistics

00:26:55.540 in it,

00:26:56.380 but not

00:26:56.940 enough that I

00:26:57.460 would consider

00:26:57.920 myself capable

00:26:59.600 to be a good

00:27:00.580 analyst in that

00:27:01.420 area.

00:27:05.020 So,

00:27:06.140 Sidney

00:27:08.080 Powell,

00:27:09.120 you all

00:27:09.880 know Sidney

00:27:10.380 Powell.

00:27:10.900 She made

00:27:11.220 lots of

00:27:11.660 claims about

00:27:12.320 Dominion

00:27:12.780 Software,

00:27:13.740 and Dominion

00:27:14.520 Software is

00:27:15.200 suing her

00:27:16.280 for saying

00:27:17.880 these things

00:27:18.460 they say

00:27:18.940 are untrue.

00:27:20.420 Guess what

00:27:20.820 her defense 0.96

00:27:21.420 is?

00:27:22.720 You don't

00:27:23.360 have to

00:27:23.660 guess,

00:27:23.980 I'm just

00:27:24.260 going to

00:27:24.480 tell you.

00:27:25.540 Her defense 0.96

00:27:26.120 is,

00:27:27.060 she's arguing

00:27:28.040 in new

00:27:28.500 court filings,

00:27:29.820 that no

00:27:30.200 reasonable

00:27:30.760 people would

00:27:32.220 believe what

00:27:32.940 she said.

00:27:37.080 That's right.

00:27:37.800 her defense 0.96

00:27:39.200 is that no

00:27:40.900 reasonable

00:27:41.400 person would

00:27:42.300 have believed

00:27:42.860 anything she

00:27:43.420 said about

00:27:44.980 Dominion.

00:27:46.160 What do you

00:27:46.900 think of that?

00:27:48.540 Legally

00:27:49.220 speaking, is

00:27:49.860 that a good

00:27:50.280 defense?

00:27:50.740 so when she

00:27:52.700 was saying

00:27:53.300 things such

00:27:54.580 as the

00:27:56.180 Dominion

00:27:57.280 software had

00:27:58.020 some

00:27:58.320 Venezuelan

00:27:59.420 dictator

00:28:00.060 connection,

00:28:02.780 and that it

00:28:03.760 was, you

00:28:04.520 know, her

00:28:04.840 claim is that

00:28:05.600 it was rigged,

00:28:06.260 et cetera,

00:28:07.400 did you,

00:28:10.360 as a

00:28:11.140 reasonable

00:28:11.520 person,

00:28:12.760 as a

00:28:13.500 reasonable

00:28:13.900 person,

00:28:14.400 did you say

00:28:15.020 to yourself,

00:28:16.340 well, I

00:28:17.600 don't think I

00:28:18.260 could believe

00:28:18.660 that, just

00:28:19.300 because she's

00:28:19.700 saying it.

00:28:21.000 Now, there's

00:28:21.840 a little bit

00:28:22.240 more to the

00:28:22.720 argument, which

00:28:23.520 is that a

00:28:24.760 reasonable

00:28:25.180 person should

00:28:26.020 know that

00:28:27.580 just because

00:28:28.380 Sidney Powell

00:28:29.040 says something

00:28:29.840 is true,

00:28:31.500 that you

00:28:32.460 would still

00:28:32.860 need to

00:28:33.280 check,

00:28:34.920 you know,

00:28:35.280 legally, you'd

00:28:35.920 have to do

00:28:36.300 audits or

00:28:36.760 whatever, you

00:28:37.580 would still

00:28:37.880 have to

00:28:38.160 check to

00:28:38.700 know if

00:28:39.080 it were

00:28:39.360 true.

00:28:40.700 So the

00:28:41.340 point is,

00:28:42.820 even if you

00:28:43.560 agreed with

00:28:44.400 her,

00:28:45.540 like your

00:28:46.080 instinct,

00:28:47.140 et cetera,

00:28:47.440 was the

00:28:48.000 same as

00:28:48.360 hers,

00:28:48.960 so even

00:28:49.680 if you

00:28:50.040 did believe

00:28:50.620 there was

00:28:50.940 some gigantic

00:28:51.680 irregularity

00:28:52.780 here,

00:28:54.060 you would

00:28:55.000 also be

00:28:55.560 smart enough

00:28:56.140 to know

00:28:56.620 that you

00:28:58.180 wouldn't

00:28:58.460 take it

00:28:58.860 based on

00:28:59.320 just

00:28:59.580 Sidney

00:29:00.180 Powell

00:29:00.420 said so,

00:29:01.760 right?

00:29:03.420 No matter

00:29:04.220 how much

00:29:04.720 you think

00:29:05.260 she's right,

00:29:07.080 isn't it

00:29:07.640 also true

00:29:08.680 that you,

00:29:10.500 as a

00:29:10.720 reasonable

00:29:11.060 person,

00:29:12.220 would still

00:29:12.820 say,

00:29:13.480 but you

00:29:13.740 still have

00:29:14.060 to check,

00:29:15.540 I mean,

00:29:16.540 it's not

00:29:16.780 just because

00:29:17.380 a lawyer

00:29:17.780 is pretty

00:29:18.260 sure it

00:29:18.660 happened,

00:29:19.380 because she

00:29:20.060 didn't say,

00:29:20.780 here's my

00:29:21.220 source code,

00:29:22.160 look,

00:29:22.440 you can see

00:29:22.860 it yourself.

00:29:24.160 She did

00:29:24.880 not say,

00:29:25.820 here's the

00:29:26.540 proof,

00:29:27.500 you can see

00:29:28.320 it yourself,

00:29:29.000 although she

00:29:29.540 did, I

00:29:29.900 guess she

00:29:30.200 showed some

00:29:30.620 evidence,

00:29:31.380 but I

00:29:31.640 think it

00:29:31.940 should have

00:29:32.260 been obvious

00:29:33.100 to anybody

00:29:34.600 who is a

00:29:35.520 reasonable

00:29:36.460 person,

00:29:37.960 how do you

00:29:38.440 define a

00:29:38.880 reasonable

00:29:39.140 person in

00:29:39.940 2021,

00:29:41.060 when literally

00:29:41.780 nobody is a

00:29:42.520 reasonable

00:29:42.800 person?

00:29:43.240 it's just

00:29:44.160 not even

00:29:44.540 a thing.

00:29:45.600 But here's

00:29:46.040 the thing,

00:29:47.040 I consider

00:29:48.080 myself a

00:29:49.620 reasonable

00:29:50.040 person.

00:29:51.600 The evidence

00:29:52.580 is in the

00:29:53.700 ground news

00:29:54.760 app,

00:29:55.740 which suggests

00:29:56.760 that I

00:29:57.220 follow enough

00:29:58.200 news on the

00:29:59.040 left and the

00:29:59.680 right to be

00:30:01.140 relatively

00:30:01.760 non-brain

00:30:03.120 damaged.

00:30:04.700 That's right.

00:30:05.900 So now I

00:30:06.460 have an app

00:30:07.160 which has

00:30:08.180 looked at my

00:30:08.880 body of

00:30:10.160 tweeting and

00:30:10.840 commentary,

00:30:11.300 and decided

00:30:12.700 that unlike

00:30:13.260 many of

00:30:13.840 you, I

00:30:15.920 don't have

00:30:16.340 brain damage

00:30:17.000 from politics.

00:30:19.260 Now what

00:30:19.740 if you ran

00:30:20.780 your Twitter

00:30:23.860 account through

00:30:25.220 the ground

00:30:25.840 news app and

00:30:27.080 it came out

00:30:27.580 showing that

00:30:28.100 you're only

00:30:28.560 following news

00:30:29.560 on the

00:30:30.020 right?

00:30:31.740 Well that

00:30:32.260 would say

00:30:32.600 that you

00:30:32.860 have brain

00:30:33.220 damage,

00:30:34.560 scientifically

00:30:35.100 speaking.

00:30:36.640 Or the

00:30:37.260 same as if

00:30:37.820 you are only

00:30:38.420 following news

00:30:38.980 on the

00:30:39.260 left, it

00:30:39.640 doesn't matter

00:30:40.040 if it's

00:30:40.280 left or

00:30:40.660 right.

00:30:41.300 If you're

00:30:41.620 only following

00:30:42.180 one side,

00:30:43.940 science says

00:30:45.000 you've got

00:30:45.560 brain damage

00:30:46.180 and you're

00:30:46.560 giving it

00:30:46.900 to yourself.

00:30:48.440 Now would

00:30:49.120 you say

00:30:49.440 that a

00:30:49.700 person who

00:30:50.060 has brain

00:30:50.480 damage

00:30:50.940 would be

00:30:52.620 a reasonable

00:30:54.000 person?

00:30:55.640 No, that's

00:30:56.480 the opposite,

00:30:57.040 right?

00:30:57.720 A reasonable

00:30:58.360 person, by

00:31:00.020 definition,

00:31:00.820 wouldn't you

00:31:01.140 say is

00:31:01.540 somebody without

00:31:02.220 brain damage?

00:31:04.040 Right?

00:31:05.240 That would

00:31:05.760 be pretty

00:31:06.720 much understood

00:31:07.800 to be in

00:31:08.240 the definition.

00:31:08.780 So I'm

00:31:10.480 a reasonable

00:31:11.080 person, I

00:31:12.100 can demonstrate

00:31:12.820 with this

00:31:13.360 app that I

00:31:14.180 don't seem

00:31:14.600 to have an

00:31:15.000 indication of

00:31:15.700 brain damage,

00:31:16.640 and when

00:31:17.280 Sidney Powell

00:31:17.940 was making

00:31:18.700 her claims

00:31:19.240 about

00:31:19.540 Dominion,

00:31:20.100 do you

00:31:20.540 know what

00:31:20.920 I said

00:31:21.520 out loud

00:31:22.920 many times

00:31:24.720 in public?

00:31:27.140 Well, there's

00:31:27.920 no way that's

00:31:28.560 true.

00:31:30.620 That's what I

00:31:31.460 said.

00:31:32.300 And I'm a

00:31:33.100 reasonable

00:31:33.440 person and I

00:31:34.340 can prove it

00:31:34.900 with this

00:31:35.260 ground news

00:31:35.820 app.

00:31:37.620 So how

00:31:38.620 good is

00:31:38.980 her defense?

00:31:40.580 I'm a

00:31:41.300 reasonable

00:31:41.660 person and

00:31:43.160 to me, her

00:31:44.880 defense is

00:31:45.620 100% solid.

00:31:47.880 Because there

00:31:48.980 was no way

00:31:49.780 that me, you

00:31:52.100 know, I as

00:31:52.780 a reasonable

00:31:53.320 person, believed

00:31:54.280 any of her

00:31:54.760 claims.

00:31:55.840 I did

00:31:56.560 believe it

00:31:58.420 was worth

00:31:58.860 looking into.

00:32:00.280 I did

00:32:01.060 believe that

00:32:02.120 if you

00:32:02.520 looked into

00:32:03.040 it, you

00:32:04.060 might be

00:32:04.480 able to

00:32:04.780 determine if

00:32:05.540 her instinct

00:32:07.200 was correct

00:32:07.960 or if her

00:32:09.200 instinct was

00:32:09.780 off, right?

00:32:12.400 You'd be able

00:32:13.160 to figure that

00:32:14.440 out.

00:32:16.540 I think she

00:32:17.380 has an

00:32:17.680 airtight

00:32:18.080 defense.

00:32:19.360 I honestly

00:32:19.880 do.

00:32:21.060 Because I

00:32:22.780 would defend

00:32:23.240 it just the

00:32:23.660 way I said.

00:32:24.840 Show me

00:32:25.480 some reasonable

00:32:26.840 people who

00:32:28.080 according to

00:32:28.740 the app

00:32:29.520 Ground News

00:32:30.440 do not have

00:32:31.180 brain damage.

00:32:31.980 I'll show

00:32:32.320 you a few.

00:32:33.680 Here's one.

00:32:34.320 his name

00:32:34.900 is Scott

00:32:35.680 Adams.

00:32:36.900 Check for

00:32:37.380 yourself.

00:32:38.560 Look at

00:32:38.980 his body

00:32:39.400 of work.

00:32:40.720 Check his

00:32:41.220 Ground News

00:32:42.080 app and

00:32:43.260 find out if

00:32:43.860 he has

00:32:44.060 brain damage.

00:32:45.220 There's a

00:32:45.780 reasonable

00:32:46.060 person.

00:32:46.620 Scott, you're

00:32:47.680 reasonable.

00:32:48.280 Did you believe

00:32:48.920 everything I

00:32:49.480 said or did

00:32:50.120 you think,

00:32:51.100 like a

00:32:51.420 reasonable

00:32:51.720 person would,

00:32:52.920 that you

00:32:53.240 would have

00:32:53.480 to validate

00:32:54.020 it by

00:32:54.540 really looking

00:32:55.680 into it?

00:32:58.260 I think she

00:32:59.080 wins.

00:33:00.280 I think she

00:33:00.760 does.

00:33:01.000 Now, correct

00:33:02.800 me if I'm

00:33:03.240 wrong, when I

00:33:04.220 get into the

00:33:04.720 legal stuff, I'm

00:33:05.620 way over my

00:33:06.340 head, but I

00:33:07.960 think this type

00:33:08.860 of case, it's

00:33:10.520 not a reasonable

00:33:11.120 doubt case,

00:33:11.820 right?

00:33:12.160 It's one of

00:33:12.660 those civil

00:33:13.540 things where

00:33:14.300 the jury just

00:33:17.000 has to be

00:33:17.520 weighted in one

00:33:18.520 direction.

00:33:19.200 They don't have

00:33:19.900 to have 100%

00:33:20.700 agreement.

00:33:21.860 So she does

00:33:22.520 have some risk,

00:33:23.540 but her defense

00:33:24.160 is solid, I

00:33:24.980 would say.

00:33:25.300 So I

00:33:32.400 guess there's

00:33:32.920 a lot of

00:33:34.520 movement in

00:33:36.780 I guess King

00:33:38.240 County, a

00:33:40.440 county that

00:33:40.820 includes Seattle,

00:33:41.900 Washington, will

00:33:42.940 spend $5 million

00:33:43.880 of their COVID

00:33:44.720 relief that

00:33:46.500 they're getting

00:33:46.800 from the

00:33:47.100 government to

00:33:49.740 fight what

00:33:50.540 they call

00:33:50.860 anti-Asian

00:33:51.580 bias in

00:33:53.060 response to

00:33:53.720 recent shootings

00:33:54.480 in Atlanta

00:33:54.980 Georgia, etc.

00:33:56.580 Now, I

00:33:58.680 think that

00:33:59.220 anything that

00:33:59.900 reduces bias

00:34:00.900 is good, and

00:34:01.680 anything that

00:34:02.260 reduces violence

00:34:03.220 is good, and

00:34:04.560 anything that

00:34:05.240 reduces anti-Asian

00:34:06.640 violence is

00:34:07.320 good, but I

00:34:09.680 didn't even need

00:34:10.280 to throw in the

00:34:11.620 anti-Asian part,

00:34:12.620 right?

00:34:13.020 Because anything

00:34:13.660 that reduces

00:34:14.220 violence is good. 1.00

00:34:17.180 But here's the

00:34:18.260 question.

00:34:19.960 How do you

00:34:20.780 do that?

00:34:22.700 What would

00:34:23.400 be the way

00:34:24.160 to reduce

00:34:25.760 anti-Asian

00:34:26.880 bias?

00:34:28.620 Because what's

00:34:29.440 it based

00:34:29.820 on?

00:34:32.540 If you

00:34:33.340 knew what

00:34:33.660 the anti-Asian

00:34:35.620 bias was

00:34:36.500 based on,

00:34:37.940 then you

00:34:38.960 could work

00:34:39.380 on the

00:34:40.720 base

00:34:41.240 assumptions

00:34:41.740 to make

00:34:42.640 sure people

00:34:43.040 are on the

00:34:43.420 same page.

00:34:43.940 change, but

00:34:45.180 I have a,

00:34:48.080 let's say,

00:34:50.760 a hypothesis

00:34:51.620 that the

00:34:53.180 anti-Asian

00:34:54.100 bias has to 0.90

00:34:55.000 do with

00:34:55.300 their success.

00:34:57.700 Maybe not

00:34:58.560 100%, but

00:35:00.600 don't you

00:35:00.900 think the

00:35:01.300 biggest part

00:35:02.200 of why

00:35:03.060 Asians are

00:35:03.820 being targeted

00:35:05.200 has more to

00:35:06.240 do with the

00:35:06.620 fact that

00:35:07.120 they're doing

00:35:07.560 great?

00:35:08.540 Like, in

00:35:09.280 American society,

00:35:10.180 they're doing

00:35:10.860 better than

00:35:11.380 almost any

00:35:12.000 other group.

00:35:13.540 And do

00:35:15.940 you really

00:35:16.420 think that

00:35:17.840 a Chinese

00:35:19.140 American

00:35:19.820 citizen is

00:35:21.020 being targeted

00:35:21.740 because the

00:35:22.740 Chinese Communist 0.72

00:35:24.300 Party, which

00:35:26.100 is, you

00:35:26.820 know, X

00:35:27.320 number of

00:35:27.760 people, it's

00:35:28.180 not China,

00:35:29.120 and it's

00:35:29.460 certainly not

00:35:30.020 all Chinese

00:35:30.680 people.

00:35:32.120 Is there

00:35:32.620 anybody who

00:35:33.780 is targeting

00:35:34.300 Asian Americans

00:35:35.460 because of

00:35:37.200 what the

00:35:37.520 Chinese Communist 0.72

00:35:38.360 Party is doing?

00:35:39.880 Like, we're

00:35:40.340 being told

00:35:40.820 that that's

00:35:41.220 a thing, but

00:35:42.840 is it?

00:35:44.040 And did the

00:35:45.100 violence suddenly

00:35:46.120 spike, or are 1.00

00:35:46.960 we just more

00:35:47.440 aware of it?

00:35:49.700 You know, it

00:35:50.380 only takes a

00:35:51.460 few high-profile

00:35:52.460 incidents.

00:35:53.540 And if you

00:35:54.000 look at the

00:35:54.420 Atlanta one,

00:35:55.140 that looked

00:35:55.580 like a

00:35:55.960 coincidence.

00:35:57.220 The fact that

00:35:57.920 the people who

00:35:58.700 were killed

00:35:59.080 were mostly

00:35:59.960 Asian was

00:36:01.720 because it

00:36:02.280 was a

00:36:02.560 massage parlor.

00:36:03.560 It was the

00:36:03.980 massage parlor

00:36:04.640 that was the

00:36:05.180 problem, according

00:36:06.380 to the shooter.

00:36:07.620 It wasn't the

00:36:08.760 ethnicity at

00:36:09.400 all.

00:36:10.780 So, first

00:36:11.980 of all, I

00:36:13.180 assume anti-Asian

00:36:15.000 bias and

00:36:15.740 violence are

00:36:16.340 real things,

00:36:17.180 of course, and

00:36:18.500 that there

00:36:19.200 should be

00:36:19.740 lessened.

00:36:21.860 But I don't

00:36:22.620 know if you

00:36:23.060 can do it if

00:36:24.580 the real

00:36:25.020 problem is that

00:36:26.020 Asian Americans

00:36:26.900 are too

00:36:27.420 successful.

00:36:28.800 Because I

00:36:29.420 feel like that's

00:36:30.120 the problem.

00:36:31.640 Let me ask

00:36:32.340 you, who is

00:36:32.860 the most hated

00:36:34.340 group in

00:36:35.240 America right

00:36:37.220 now?

00:36:37.500 who is the

00:36:38.780 most hated

00:36:39.460 group?

00:36:40.500 I would say

00:36:41.460 white, rich

00:36:43.440 people.

00:36:45.720 You know, the

00:36:46.500 elites, the

00:36:47.180 people in

00:36:47.540 power.

00:36:48.740 They're the

00:36:49.220 most, probably

00:36:50.160 the most hated.

00:36:51.780 Why is it

00:36:52.540 that the

00:36:54.140 most hated

00:36:54.720 people are

00:36:55.560 elite, rich,

00:36:58.280 white people?

00:37:00.360 Isn't it

00:37:01.020 because they're

00:37:01.720 successful?

00:37:02.240 successful?

00:37:04.380 You know, it's

00:37:04.880 also because the

00:37:06.140 people who are

00:37:07.120 in charge, or

00:37:08.800 the people you

00:37:09.300 think are in

00:37:09.740 charge, create

00:37:10.920 all the rules,

00:37:11.780 and if the

00:37:12.160 rules seem bad,

00:37:13.280 then who are

00:37:14.040 you going to

00:37:14.300 blame?

00:37:14.960 But don't you

00:37:15.420 have a problem

00:37:15.980 that the people

00:37:17.900 who are the

00:37:18.360 most successful

00:37:19.400 are always

00:37:20.900 hated?

00:37:22.180 Is there any

00:37:22.940 exception to

00:37:23.520 that?

00:37:24.320 Can you think

00:37:24.940 of any exception

00:37:25.700 where the

00:37:26.160 people who have

00:37:26.760 the power don't

00:37:28.500 also have a

00:37:29.840 third of the

00:37:30.440 public or more

00:37:31.080 just hating

00:37:31.580 them?

00:37:32.440 It's sort of

00:37:32.980 automatic, isn't

00:37:33.800 it?

00:37:34.360 So I have a

00:37:35.160 real question of

00:37:35.840 whether anti-Asian

00:37:36.900 bias can be

00:37:38.000 addressed in

00:37:39.120 like a

00:37:39.480 substantial way,

00:37:40.720 as long as

00:37:41.860 they continue to

00:37:42.620 be successful.

00:37:44.260 It feels like

00:37:45.180 that's the

00:37:45.620 problem.

00:37:47.660 So I did a

00:37:48.520 little very

00:37:49.540 unscientific poll

00:37:50.800 on Twitter.

00:37:51.900 They're all

00:37:52.520 unscientific, but

00:37:53.540 this is the

00:37:54.120 most unscientific

00:37:55.340 of them all.

00:37:56.880 The least

00:37:57.700 credible poll

00:37:58.620 ever taken.

00:38:00.360 I asked this

00:38:00.960 question, in

00:38:01.640 your opinion,

00:38:02.200 which ethnic

00:38:02.980 slash racial 0.77

00:38:04.280 bias is the 0.90

00:38:05.700 biggest problem

00:38:06.380 in the United

00:38:06.980 States in

00:38:07.600 2021?

00:38:09.100 So forget

00:38:09.700 about the

00:38:10.120 past, we're

00:38:11.260 just talking

00:38:11.600 about 2021.

00:38:13.040 Which ethnic

00:38:13.900 racial group

00:38:14.660 is subject

00:38:16.260 to the

00:38:16.680 most bias?

00:38:19.100 Now, my

00:38:19.820 audience is

00:38:21.420 probably 87%

00:38:23.140 white, and

00:38:25.620 surprisingly,

00:38:27.560 or not,

00:38:29.180 the results

00:38:30.520 were that

00:38:31.440 87% of the

00:38:32.680 respondents said

00:38:33.360 that white 0.95

00:38:33.860 people are

00:38:34.980 subject to

00:38:35.720 the biggest

00:38:36.180 ethnic bias.

00:38:38.960 Surprise!

00:38:40.640 If 87% of

00:38:42.480 my audience

00:38:43.080 had been

00:38:43.520 Asian-Americans,

00:38:45.300 I think 87%

00:38:46.780 would have said

00:38:47.360 Asian-Americans

00:38:47.980 are the biggest

00:38:48.700 bias victims.

00:38:52.820 Likewise,

00:38:53.660 black,

00:38:54.360 likewise,

00:38:54.980 Hispanic.

00:38:55.340 But, just

00:38:56.480 for fun,

00:38:57.360 knowing that

00:38:58.460 my audience

00:38:59.080 is overwhelmingly

00:39:00.060 white and

00:39:02.940 male,

00:39:04.680 right?

00:39:05.080 So it's as

00:39:05.860 non-scientific

00:39:06.880 a group as

00:39:07.580 you could ever

00:39:08.020 come up with.

00:39:09.360 But they

00:39:10.000 say, that 0.63

00:39:11.360 group says,

00:39:12.180 that the

00:39:12.520 biggest bias

00:39:13.180 is against

00:39:13.800 white people

00:39:14.380 by 87%

00:39:15.480 say that.

00:39:16.620 7% say the

00:39:17.900 biggest problem

00:39:18.560 is with

00:39:19.360 black Americans,

00:39:20.760 5% say

00:39:22.520 Asian-Americans

00:39:23.220 or Asians,

00:39:24.140 I guess,

00:39:24.820 because not

00:39:25.660 all are

00:39:26.400 citizens,

00:39:27.480 and 2%

00:39:29.120 said Hispanic.

00:39:31.520 Now, to me,

00:39:32.560 that's the

00:39:32.980 most interesting

00:39:33.700 one, isn't

00:39:34.320 it?

00:39:35.960 How could

00:39:36.820 it be that

00:39:38.120 we have

00:39:38.460 hordes of

00:39:39.300 migrants

00:39:39.960 trying to

00:39:40.660 come across

00:39:41.180 the border?

00:39:42.480 One of the

00:39:43.000 biggest political

00:39:43.860 questions is

00:39:45.240 the number of

00:39:45.960 Hispanic migrants

00:39:47.120 coming into

00:39:48.160 the country.

00:39:48.700 it's, you

00:39:50.360 know, one

00:39:50.820 of the main

00:39:51.300 things we

00:39:51.820 talk about.

00:39:53.760 And yet,

00:39:56.540 my audience,

00:39:57.720 again, deeply

00:39:58.680 unscientific poll,

00:40:00.280 my audience

00:40:00.840 says that only

00:40:01.720 2% think that

00:40:03.240 Hispanics are 0.97

00:40:04.540 suffering the

00:40:05.060 biggest ethnic

00:40:05.920 and racial

00:40:06.440 bias.

00:40:08.160 Why is that?

00:40:10.860 I have a

00:40:12.540 hypothesis.

00:40:14.580 They don't

00:40:15.020 complain as

00:40:15.600 much.

00:40:17.100 Isn't that the

00:40:17.980 whole story?

00:40:19.700 Hispanics just 1.00

00:40:20.440 don't complain

00:40:21.000 as much.

00:40:22.720 Especially the

00:40:24.340 immigrants, right?

00:40:26.280 Because if you

00:40:27.700 willingly came

00:40:28.800 here and took

00:40:29.720 a big risk to

00:40:30.520 get here, at

00:40:31.500 the very least,

00:40:32.580 cognitive dissonance

00:40:33.660 would make you

00:40:34.220 think you were

00:40:34.820 in the country

00:40:35.340 you wanted to

00:40:35.900 be in.

00:40:37.100 So, number

00:40:37.800 one, one of

00:40:40.300 my biggest

00:40:41.120 problems with

00:40:42.360 trying to be

00:40:43.220 tough on

00:40:44.020 border security,

00:40:46.080 because I think

00:40:46.680 rationally you

00:40:47.520 have to have a

00:40:48.480 good border

00:40:48.940 security.

00:40:49.760 I just think

00:40:50.200 you have to.

00:40:50.980 Now, how much

00:40:51.520 you open it is

00:40:52.420 a separate

00:40:52.800 question, but

00:40:53.840 you have to

00:40:54.260 control it

00:40:54.900 first.

00:40:55.600 That's my

00:40:56.100 view.

00:40:58.060 And anybody

00:40:58.880 who's willing

00:41:00.260 to take the

00:41:01.200 risks and

00:41:02.060 they're ambitious

00:41:02.900 enough and

00:41:04.040 they want to

00:41:04.660 live in this

00:41:05.160 country with

00:41:05.900 me, it's

00:41:07.380 hard to not

00:41:08.080 like them.

00:41:09.060 It really is.

00:41:10.520 If somebody

00:41:11.120 says, just

00:41:12.220 walks up to you

00:41:12.820 and says, you

00:41:13.140 know, I really

00:41:13.620 like you.

00:41:14.120 I really

00:41:15.020 like you.

00:41:15.840 In fact, I'd

00:41:16.480 like to spend

00:41:16.940 more time around

00:41:17.780 you and

00:41:19.020 people like

00:41:19.680 you.

00:41:20.860 That's how

00:41:21.480 much I like

00:41:22.080 you and

00:41:22.540 people like

00:41:23.080 you.

00:41:24.120 How do you

00:41:24.880 dislike that

00:41:25.580 person?

00:41:27.360 And to a

00:41:28.380 large extent,

00:41:29.180 that's what

00:41:29.800 immigrants tell 0.88

00:41:30.640 us without

00:41:31.280 saying it.

00:41:32.620 They're saying

00:41:33.160 they're voting

00:41:33.920 with their feet

00:41:34.660 and their

00:41:35.040 lives.

00:41:36.060 They're risking

00:41:36.700 their lives,

00:41:38.400 risking their

00:41:39.760 lives to be

00:41:41.960 more like

00:41:42.420 me and

00:41:44.040 to be

00:41:44.320 closer to

00:41:44.880 me.

00:41:45.840 That's not

00:41:46.460 the purpose,

00:41:47.660 of course,

00:41:48.220 but it works

00:41:48.900 out that way.

00:41:51.420 From an

00:41:52.800 economic

00:41:53.260 perspective and

00:41:54.360 safety and

00:41:55.280 all that,

00:41:56.060 you have to

00:41:56.600 control

00:41:56.940 immigration.

00:41:58.740 But I

00:41:59.540 can't feel

00:42:00.120 bad about

00:42:00.760 it.

00:42:01.640 I can't

00:42:03.260 feel bad

00:42:03.780 about Hispanics

00:42:04.720 wanting to

00:42:05.280 be part of

00:42:06.020 what I'm

00:42:06.960 part of.

00:42:09.720 So I

00:42:10.200 think that

00:42:10.500 makes sense.

00:42:11.020 And that

00:42:13.240 population

00:42:13.820 seems mostly

00:42:14.900 interested in

00:42:15.660 work.

00:42:17.920 They're less

00:42:18.840 interested in

00:42:19.600 complaining and

00:42:21.000 they're more

00:42:21.500 interested in

00:42:22.180 work.

00:42:23.920 I can't

00:42:26.260 feel bad

00:42:26.640 about that.

00:42:29.820 So there

00:42:31.000 we go.

00:42:31.360 I think

00:42:31.800 everybody thinks

00:42:32.540 that their

00:42:32.900 group is the

00:42:33.560 one that has

00:42:34.080 the most

00:42:34.380 bias, so 1.00

00:42:35.100 that just

00:42:35.400 makes sense.

00:42:37.340 All right.

00:42:39.280 So Biden's

00:42:40.280 coming up

00:42:40.680 with this

00:42:41.060 new $3

00:42:41.780 trillion

00:42:42.180 infrastructure

00:42:43.080 proposal on

00:42:44.420 top of all

00:42:45.040 the trillions

00:42:45.620 we've spent

00:42:46.200 already.

00:42:47.640 And here's

00:42:49.440 the thing.

00:42:52.400 Do we

00:42:53.100 understand

00:42:53.600 anything about

00:42:54.540 national debt?

00:42:56.500 Like anything?

00:42:59.160 You know,

00:43:00.600 I've been on

00:43:02.080 the side who

00:43:02.640 said that

00:43:03.580 during the

00:43:03.960 pandemic you 0.92

00:43:04.700 should just

00:43:05.040 pick the

00:43:05.380 biggest number

00:43:06.020 and just get

00:43:07.040 that money out

00:43:07.660 there because

00:43:08.420 the risk of

00:43:09.200 the whole

00:43:09.660 system falling

00:43:10.660 over is

00:43:11.840 much bigger

00:43:12.400 than the

00:43:13.020 risk of

00:43:13.500 we added

00:43:14.180 20% of

00:43:16.180 the debt

00:43:16.520 or whatever

00:43:16.900 we're going

00:43:17.220 to add.

00:43:18.320 And so

00:43:18.760 it made

00:43:19.820 sense during

00:43:20.320 the pandemic.

00:43:21.360 But once

00:43:21.760 you get to

00:43:22.540 spending outside

00:43:24.180 the focus of

00:43:25.300 the pandemic

00:43:25.880 to just

00:43:26.860 stuff we

00:43:27.800 need,

00:43:28.340 infrastructure,

00:43:29.240 clean energy,

00:43:30.040 et cetera,

00:43:32.400 shouldn't there

00:43:33.060 be some kind

00:43:33.820 of limit

00:43:34.360 on that?

00:43:37.680 Shouldn't

00:43:38.120 there be

00:43:38.360 some kind

00:43:38.760 of limit

00:43:39.140 on how

00:43:40.320 much we

00:43:40.700 spend?

00:43:41.440 Or at

00:43:41.920 the very

00:43:42.240 least,

00:43:43.620 shouldn't

00:43:43.940 our leadership

00:43:44.860 say,

00:43:45.320 look,

00:43:45.620 here's the

00:43:46.000 deal.

00:43:46.960 We're going

00:43:47.540 to spend

00:43:47.920 trillions of

00:43:48.720 dollars on

00:43:49.960 stuff that we

00:43:50.540 think we

00:43:50.900 need and

00:43:52.060 there'll be

00:43:52.620 good investments,

00:43:53.520 et cetera,

00:43:54.200 but here's

00:43:56.060 how we're

00:43:56.360 going to pay

00:43:56.780 back the

00:43:57.320 debt.

00:43:59.180 I feel as

00:44:00.100 if they need

00:44:00.560 to tell us

00:44:01.140 that,

00:44:01.480 that they

00:44:03.020 can or

00:44:03.880 how much

00:44:04.560 risk there

00:44:05.020 is or

00:44:05.360 whatever.

00:44:05.980 Because I'm

00:44:06.560 not saying

00:44:06.980 that we

00:44:07.320 shouldn't

00:44:07.840 spend this

00:44:08.380 money.

00:44:09.260 I'm just

00:44:09.880 saying it's

00:44:10.340 an incomplete

00:44:10.920 plan.

00:44:11.900 It's a

00:44:12.260 half a

00:44:12.580 plan.

00:44:13.500 A half

00:44:14.200 plan says

00:44:14.960 we're going

00:44:15.260 to spend

00:44:15.520 this much

00:44:15.920 money.

00:44:16.860 The other

00:44:17.280 part of the

00:44:17.680 plan is

00:44:18.240 and we're

00:44:20.500 going to

00:44:20.740 pay it

00:44:21.040 back?

00:44:22.760 And if

00:44:24.000 we didn't

00:44:24.780 pay it

00:44:25.080 back,

00:44:25.820 what does

00:44:26.600 that do?

00:44:27.740 What happens

00:44:28.220 to inflation?

00:44:29.300 What happens

00:44:29.760 to taxes?

00:44:31.480 So I

00:44:33.660 believe that

00:44:34.220 we will

00:44:34.580 be presented,

00:44:35.440 the country

00:44:35.920 will,

00:44:36.700 with this

00:44:37.240 ginormous

00:44:38.180 $3 trillion

00:44:39.220 jobs and

00:44:40.380 infrastructure

00:44:40.900 proposal and

00:44:42.340 that our

00:44:43.900 news industry

00:44:45.100 will not

00:44:45.740 insist for

00:44:47.260 a complete

00:44:47.760 picture.

00:44:48.680 A complete

00:44:49.220 picture that

00:44:49.820 explains how

00:44:51.120 much debt

00:44:51.800 can the

00:44:52.120 United States

00:44:52.720 take on?

00:44:53.580 How are we

00:44:54.000 going to pay

00:44:54.820 it back?

00:44:55.900 Now again,

00:44:56.580 during a

00:44:57.060 pandemic,

00:44:58.220 you don't

00:44:58.620 have the

00:44:58.980 luxury of

00:44:59.480 asking those

00:45:00.040 questions.

00:45:00.460 But we

00:45:01.300 certainly

00:45:01.660 have the

00:45:02.080 luxury now.

00:45:03.400 I mean,

00:45:03.880 it's the

00:45:04.220 end of the

00:45:04.520 pandemic-ish.

00:45:05.800 But we

00:45:06.360 should be

00:45:06.640 asking that.

00:45:07.860 But that

00:45:08.300 won't happen.

00:45:09.360 And that

00:45:09.820 is a

00:45:10.340 gigantic

00:45:10.760 failure of

00:45:11.860 the press.

00:45:12.960 And you

00:45:13.260 can predict

00:45:13.780 it.

00:45:14.520 You don't

00:45:14.980 even have

00:45:15.320 to wonder

00:45:15.720 if that

00:45:16.060 will happen.

00:45:17.080 There's

00:45:17.340 no way

00:45:17.780 in hell

00:45:18.200 we will

00:45:19.360 ever get

00:45:19.780 any good

00:45:20.300 information

00:45:20.780 on this

00:45:21.340 question of

00:45:22.060 do we

00:45:22.860 even need

00:45:23.200 to pay

00:45:23.440 back this

00:45:23.900 debt?

00:45:24.720 Because

00:45:25.120 national debt

00:45:25.760 is different

00:45:26.160 than personal

00:45:26.720 debt.

00:45:27.040 you can

00:45:28.140 keep

00:45:28.360 national

00:45:28.760 debt

00:45:28.980 forever.

00:45:30.380 Personal

00:45:30.880 debt you

00:45:31.340 kind of

00:45:31.560 have to

00:45:31.800 pay off

00:45:32.260 or you're

00:45:32.740 in trouble.

00:45:34.240 All right.

00:45:35.580 I was

00:45:36.220 asked on

00:45:37.200 Twitter what

00:45:37.900 I thought

00:45:38.280 about this

00:45:38.920 effort to

00:45:39.760 study the

00:45:40.260 origins of

00:45:40.880 the virus.

00:45:42.140 And apparently

00:45:42.540 there's some

00:45:43.100 science that

00:45:43.760 you can apply

00:45:44.460 to if you

00:45:45.080 have enough

00:45:45.900 samples from

00:45:46.720 the right

00:45:47.000 places.

00:45:47.820 You can

00:45:48.480 apply your

00:45:48.960 science and

00:45:50.920 maybe you

00:45:51.420 could find

00:45:51.900 out the

00:45:52.260 origin of

00:45:52.820 the virus.

00:45:53.340 to which

00:45:54.500 I say

00:45:55.000 that sounds

00:45:55.920 like a

00:45:56.320 complete

00:45:56.720 waste of

00:45:57.220 time.

00:45:58.660 Here's

00:45:59.180 why.

00:46:01.000 What is

00:46:01.680 the most

00:46:02.000 predictable

00:46:02.600 thing that

00:46:04.140 you could

00:46:04.500 say if

00:46:05.500 there's a

00:46:06.100 team of

00:46:06.580 scientists

00:46:07.100 studying the

00:46:08.360 origin of

00:46:09.000 the virus?

00:46:10.120 The most

00:46:10.800 predictable

00:46:11.440 outcome,

00:46:12.800 I would

00:46:13.140 say 100%

00:46:13.960 certainty,

00:46:15.020 is that if

00:46:16.100 they were to

00:46:16.500 come up with

00:46:17.020 a decision

00:46:17.660 and say,

00:46:18.100 okay,

00:46:18.360 it started

00:46:18.800 in Wuhan

00:46:19.560 or started

00:46:20.200 somewhere else,

00:46:21.020 no matter

00:46:21.520 what they

00:46:22.220 said,

00:46:23.340 and no

00:46:24.140 matter how

00:46:24.780 much they

00:46:25.580 showed you

00:46:26.060 their data

00:46:26.540 and how

00:46:26.960 they got

00:46:27.280 there,

00:46:28.320 there would

00:46:28.880 be other

00:46:29.440 scientists who

00:46:30.540 say they

00:46:31.820 studied it

00:46:32.520 wrong.

00:46:34.540 100%

00:46:35.460 chance.

00:46:37.220 So what

00:46:38.820 would you

00:46:39.200 do as a

00:46:40.000 citizen or

00:46:41.340 as a leader

00:46:41.940 if you knew

00:46:43.180 that one

00:46:43.740 group of

00:46:44.160 scientists said,

00:46:44.860 yeah, we

00:46:45.120 studied it and

00:46:45.880 it came from

00:46:46.700 a banana in

00:46:48.480 Switzerland,

00:46:49.720 and another

00:46:50.700 group of

00:46:51.140 scientists said,

00:46:52.520 we just

00:46:52.820 looked at

00:46:53.180 your data

00:46:53.540 and it

00:46:53.820 doesn't

00:46:54.060 look right,

00:46:54.840 here's

00:46:55.100 why.

00:46:56.660 Now it's

00:46:57.220 your job

00:46:57.620 to follow

00:46:58.160 the science.

00:46:59.880 What do

00:47:00.380 you do?

00:47:01.980 What do

00:47:02.460 you do?

00:47:03.420 Do you

00:47:03.940 look at

00:47:04.300 the work

00:47:04.760 and say,

00:47:05.340 all right,

00:47:05.620 let me dig

00:47:06.080 into this

00:47:06.500 a little bit.

00:47:07.360 Let me

00:47:07.680 look into

00:47:08.060 the work

00:47:08.480 of how

00:47:08.760 these

00:47:09.000 scientists

00:47:09.500 came up

00:47:10.620 with this

00:47:11.100 idea of

00:47:12.800 where it

00:47:13.080 came from.

00:47:13.760 I'll look

00:47:14.180 at their

00:47:14.480 statistics

00:47:15.020 that I

00:47:15.540 don't

00:47:15.760 understand,

00:47:16.760 I'll look

00:47:17.360 at the

00:47:17.640 genetics

00:47:18.120 that I

00:47:19.080 don't

00:47:19.320 understand,

00:47:20.440 and then

00:47:20.820 what?

00:47:21.100 Am I

00:47:22.220 going to

00:47:22.460 decide

00:47:22.780 who's

00:47:23.020 right?

00:47:24.180 No.

00:47:24.980 This is

00:47:25.620 the problem

00:47:26.260 with the

00:47:27.980 dumbest thing

00:47:28.640 anybody's

00:47:29.180 ever said,

00:47:29.820 which is

00:47:30.120 trust

00:47:30.420 science.

00:47:31.940 Trust

00:47:32.500 science is

00:47:33.860 one of the

00:47:34.540 dumbest

00:47:35.040 pieces of

00:47:36.320 advice.

00:47:36.820 After

00:47:37.080 be yourself,

00:47:38.460 maybe the

00:47:38.940 worst advice

00:47:39.540 in the world

00:47:39.940 is be

00:47:40.280 yourself.

00:47:41.460 You should

00:47:41.980 try to be

00:47:42.400 better than

00:47:42.820 yourself.

00:47:44.260 You should

00:47:44.820 try to raise

00:47:45.380 your game.

00:47:46.580 Being yourself

00:47:47.140 as the

00:47:47.480 worst

00:47:47.740 advice.

00:47:51.720 But

00:47:52.200 follow the

00:47:52.760 science

00:47:53.120 doesn't

00:47:53.880 work

00:47:54.320 because we

00:47:55.520 don't know

00:47:55.820 what the

00:47:56.100 science is.

00:47:57.680 We don't

00:47:58.340 see it.

00:47:59.680 It would

00:47:59.920 be like

00:48:00.340 you could

00:48:01.200 replace

00:48:01.680 the sentence

00:48:03.380 of follow

00:48:03.960 the science

00:48:04.640 with follow

00:48:06.120 the magic

00:48:06.860 leprechaun.

00:48:09.200 Whatever

00:48:09.800 the magic

00:48:10.580 leprechaun

00:48:11.200 tells you

00:48:11.680 to say,

00:48:12.600 do that.

00:48:14.240 Now,

00:48:14.780 that wouldn't

00:48:15.380 be easy,

00:48:15.880 would it?

00:48:16.200 Because you

00:48:18.200 don't know

00:48:18.600 where to

00:48:18.880 find a

00:48:19.240 magic

00:48:19.560 leprechaun.

00:48:21.240 And if

00:48:21.860 you did,

00:48:22.440 you wouldn't

00:48:23.020 believe him

00:48:23.560 because it's

00:48:24.560 a magic

00:48:25.140 leprechaun.

00:48:26.160 Not very

00:48:26.860 credible.

00:48:28.440 So,

00:48:29.460 you could

00:48:30.340 tell us

00:48:30.740 to follow

00:48:31.160 the science

00:48:31.720 all day

00:48:32.120 long,

00:48:32.480 but we

00:48:32.760 can't.

00:48:33.900 That's

00:48:34.220 not a

00:48:34.580 thing.

00:48:35.620 All we

00:48:36.320 can do

00:48:36.740 is hear

00:48:37.180 what people

00:48:37.640 say.

00:48:39.820 Noise

00:48:40.340 is not

00:48:41.660 science.

00:48:43.440 What you

00:48:44.100 hear when

00:48:44.620 the experts

00:48:45.140 are talking,

00:48:45.660 the scientists,

00:48:46.440 is noise.

00:48:48.100 Noise is

00:48:48.880 not science.

00:48:50.480 Then your

00:48:50.820 brain does

00:48:51.640 this thing

00:48:52.040 where the

00:48:52.400 noise is

00:48:53.020 translated into

00:48:53.840 thoughts,

00:48:54.840 the thoughts

00:48:55.420 are formed

00:48:55.960 into opinions,

00:48:56.960 and then you

00:48:57.320 say to

00:48:57.580 yourself,

00:48:58.040 oh yeah,

00:48:59.240 I guess I

00:48:59.800 just heard

00:49:00.180 some science.

00:49:01.740 I guess I'll

00:49:02.480 follow the

00:49:03.080 science.

00:49:04.700 You never

00:49:05.840 came close

00:49:06.640 to science.

00:49:08.360 What happened

00:49:08.980 to you

00:49:09.440 was that

00:49:10.320 some noise,

00:49:11.220 some vibration

00:49:12.040 of air

00:49:12.640 entered your

00:49:14.060 ear,

00:49:15.060 and then

00:49:15.400 your brain

00:49:15.840 did something

00:49:16.380 with it.

00:49:17.260 You are

00:49:17.800 so far

00:49:18.620 from science.

00:49:21.840 It's like

00:49:22.600 science is

00:49:23.240 in a sealed

00:49:24.120 lead container

00:49:25.100 on the

00:49:25.580 other side

00:49:26.080 of the

00:49:26.360 universe.

00:49:27.520 It might

00:49:28.260 be in

00:49:28.640 there,

00:49:29.260 but you

00:49:30.180 can't get

00:49:30.760 to it,

00:49:31.860 and you

00:49:32.800 can't see

00:49:33.360 it,

00:49:33.820 and nobody

00:49:34.920 can tell

00:49:35.360 you what's

00:49:35.700 in there

00:49:36.060 who is

00:49:36.680 credible.

00:49:37.000 that's

00:49:37.760 it.

00:49:39.180 Now,

00:49:39.500 science,

00:49:40.100 of course,

00:49:40.560 is better

00:49:41.740 than anything

00:49:42.240 else we

00:49:42.680 have,

00:49:43.440 but the

00:49:44.500 whole fetish

00:49:45.640 of trusting

00:49:47.220 science is

00:49:48.020 for stupid

00:49:48.560 people,

00:49:49.720 if I can

00:49:50.200 say it

00:49:50.640 as plainly

00:49:53.040 as that.

00:49:54.740 Follow the

00:49:55.560 science is

00:49:56.300 for stupid

00:49:56.920 people,

00:49:57.820 just like

00:49:58.940 be yourself.

00:50:01.320 It's advice 0.96

00:50:01.920 for stupid

00:50:02.460 people.

00:50:02.900 It's just

00:50:03.160 the worst

00:50:03.480 advice.

00:50:04.900 All right.

00:50:07.000 there was

00:50:09.140 a nursing

00:50:09.560 home in

00:50:10.060 New York

00:50:10.600 State that

00:50:11.740 burned up

00:50:12.400 and some

00:50:12.860 people were

00:50:13.320 trapped inside.

00:50:14.200 I didn't

00:50:14.420 see the

00:50:15.100 injury and

00:50:15.940 death count.

00:50:17.260 Well,

00:50:17.520 let me tell

00:50:17.940 you,

00:50:18.320 if there's

00:50:19.180 one place

00:50:19.740 you don't

00:50:20.180 want to

00:50:20.500 be on

00:50:20.920 this whole

00:50:21.420 earth,

00:50:22.620 it would

00:50:22.920 be a

00:50:23.280 nursing

00:50:23.580 home in

00:50:24.460 New York

00:50:24.960 because

00:50:26.520 nothing good

00:50:27.460 happens in

00:50:27.940 those places,

00:50:28.640 apparently.

00:50:30.640 Rasmussen,

00:50:31.640 the polling

00:50:32.340 people,

00:50:32.860 say that

00:50:33.240 58%

00:50:34.240 say that

00:50:35.900 masks

00:50:36.400 should be

00:50:37.240 required

00:50:37.860 until

00:50:38.920 everyone

00:50:39.360 is

00:50:39.600 vaccinated.

00:50:42.060 58%.

00:50:42.700 So a

00:50:44.300 nice,

00:50:44.860 fairly solid

00:50:45.700 majority

00:50:46.220 say wear

00:50:47.960 masks until

00:50:49.140 everyone is

00:50:49.700 vaccinated.

00:50:50.400 What do you

00:50:50.640 think of

00:50:50.860 that?

00:50:55.700 Of course,

00:50:56.640 it breaks

00:50:56.960 down by

00:50:57.520 political

00:50:57.900 lines.

00:50:58.760 76% of

00:50:59.920 Democrats

00:51:00.380 say you

00:51:01.060 should wear

00:51:01.340 your masks

00:51:01.800 until

00:51:02.080 everybody's

00:51:02.560 vaccinated,

00:51:03.540 but nearly

00:51:04.140 half of

00:51:04.700 Republicans,

00:51:05.620 46%.

00:51:06.740 So nearly

00:51:08.180 half of

00:51:08.680 Republicans

00:51:09.140 say the

00:51:09.560 same thing.

00:51:11.600 I know

00:51:12.380 my audience

00:51:13.080 is more

00:51:13.560 anti-mask,

00:51:14.860 but here's

00:51:17.380 my take

00:51:17.900 on this.

00:51:21.120 As much

00:51:22.000 as I

00:51:22.360 think masks

00:51:23.420 were a

00:51:23.900 good risk

00:51:24.580 management

00:51:25.120 decision,

00:51:26.660 we now

00:51:27.880 have enough

00:51:28.460 data to

00:51:29.240 see that

00:51:29.640 it doesn't

00:51:30.240 seem to

00:51:30.800 move the

00:51:31.240 curve.

00:51:32.880 And if it

00:51:33.460 doesn't move

00:51:33.900 the curve,

00:51:34.460 it doesn't

00:51:34.840 mean they

00:51:35.100 don't work.

00:51:36.440 It just

00:51:37.040 means that

00:51:37.500 maybe you

00:51:38.080 can't see

00:51:38.500 the effect

00:51:39.120 because the

00:51:39.740 other variables

00:51:40.400 are just

00:51:40.760 bigger.

00:51:43.660 And I

00:51:44.300 think at

00:51:44.660 some point

00:51:45.400 the death

00:51:47.400 rate is

00:51:48.060 low enough

00:51:48.600 that even

00:51:49.520 if masks

00:51:50.400 work,

00:51:52.380 you shouldn't

00:51:53.240 wear it

00:51:53.740 because it

00:51:55.800 does lower

00:51:56.320 your quality

00:51:56.880 of life

00:51:57.260 quite a bit.

00:51:57.840 So I

00:51:58.560 think you

00:51:59.760 should drop

00:52:00.420 the masks

00:52:01.180 before it's

00:52:04.480 safe.

00:52:05.920 You know

00:52:06.100 what I

00:52:06.280 mean?

00:52:07.240 So even

00:52:07.980 if masks

00:52:08.620 help, you

00:52:09.900 should probably

00:52:10.320 drop them

00:52:10.900 sooner than

00:52:11.600 later just

00:52:12.840 because it's

00:52:14.500 not that big

00:52:15.260 of an effect

00:52:16.020 and the

00:52:17.520 citizens want

00:52:18.280 some freedom.

00:52:19.640 We'd like

00:52:20.140 some freedom.

00:52:22.000 All right,

00:52:23.540 Oakland is

00:52:24.220 going to do

00:52:24.580 a big UBI

00:52:25.300 test, the

00:52:26.060 universal basic

00:52:26.960 income.

00:52:27.720 So basically

00:52:28.240 some group

00:52:29.100 of people

00:52:29.440 in Oakland,

00:52:29.980 not all of

00:52:30.460 them, but

00:52:31.160 some group

00:52:31.660 will be

00:52:32.200 selected to

00:52:33.760 get free

00:52:34.780 money and

00:52:36.540 then they

00:52:37.040 can do

00:52:37.440 whatever they

00:52:37.840 want.

00:52:38.700 They just

00:52:39.060 give free

00:52:39.420 money.

00:52:40.660 What do

00:52:41.180 you think

00:52:41.380 of that?

00:52:42.540 Well, I

00:52:43.440 love an

00:52:44.400 experiment.

00:52:45.980 I think I've

00:52:46.600 told you this

00:52:47.040 before.

00:52:47.720 So I am

00:52:48.440 100% in

00:52:49.600 favor of

00:52:50.500 this experiment.

00:52:52.100 It's

00:52:52.380 Oakland's

00:52:52.840 money.

00:52:53.240 They want

00:52:53.540 to spend

00:52:53.860 it on

00:52:54.160 this.

00:52:55.120 Okay.

00:52:56.960 But I've

00:53:00.400 often said

00:53:00.980 that the

00:53:01.260 difference

00:53:01.520 between the

00:53:02.000 Democrats

00:53:02.320 and Republicans

00:53:02.960 is that

00:53:03.420 Republicans

00:53:03.920 consistently

00:53:04.880 understand

00:53:05.700 human

00:53:06.200 motivation,

00:53:07.640 whereas

00:53:08.000 Democrats

00:53:08.680 consistently

00:53:09.500 act like

00:53:10.120 it's not

00:53:10.480 even a

00:53:10.840 thing.

00:53:11.780 That if

00:53:12.320 you reward

00:53:14.420 people for

00:53:15.180 stuff, they

00:53:15.660 won't do

00:53:16.060 more of

00:53:16.520 it.

00:53:18.340 Weird.

00:53:19.260 Or that if

00:53:19.880 you penalize

00:53:20.540 somebody for

00:53:21.140 something, they

00:53:21.660 won't do

00:53:22.020 less of it.

00:53:23.500 Whereas

00:53:23.940 Republicans

00:53:25.060 think, no,

00:53:27.000 if you

00:53:27.240 reward people,

00:53:28.000 they'll do

00:53:28.260 more of it.

00:53:28.760 If you

00:53:29.020 punish them,

00:53:29.500 they'll do

00:53:29.740 less of it.

00:53:30.240 It's never

00:53:30.740 different.

00:53:32.080 Friction

00:53:32.520 works every

00:53:33.680 time.

00:53:34.540 Not 100%,

00:53:35.520 but it

00:53:36.500 works at

00:53:37.180 least a

00:53:37.580 little every

00:53:38.040 time.

00:53:40.200 So

00:53:40.460 testing this

00:53:42.660 UBI makes

00:53:43.300 sense, but

00:53:43.900 what would

00:53:44.300 you expect

00:53:44.940 to come

00:53:45.440 out of

00:53:45.680 the test?

00:53:46.260 Here's

00:53:46.480 what I

00:53:46.780 expect.

00:53:49.240 People who

00:53:50.020 are intrinsically

00:53:51.920 motivated will

00:53:54.420 very quickly

00:53:55.200 not need

00:53:55.800 it, because

00:53:56.440 they'll go

00:53:57.400 get their

00:53:57.820 own work,

00:53:58.460 etc.

00:53:58.940 And people

00:53:59.620 who are not

00:54:00.260 intrinsically

00:54:00.940 motivated will

00:54:01.720 just spend

00:54:02.480 the money and

00:54:02.920 it won't

00:54:03.120 make any

00:54:03.500 difference.

00:54:04.740 And I

00:54:04.980 feel as

00:54:05.420 though that

00:54:06.980 the real

00:54:07.840 way we

00:54:08.900 should be

00:54:09.240 thinking of

00:54:09.760 this is

00:54:11.220 that modern

00:54:12.960 society has

00:54:13.780 evolved to

00:54:14.560 the point

00:54:15.000 where it's

00:54:15.840 so complicated

00:54:16.720 and hard

00:54:17.240 just to

00:54:17.720 live and

00:54:18.240 navigate our

00:54:18.920 complicated

00:54:19.420 world that

00:54:21.060 a huge

00:54:22.200 percentage of

00:54:22.820 the population

00:54:23.420 will never

00:54:24.000 be able to

00:54:24.600 work, never

00:54:26.520 be able to

00:54:27.000 thrive in

00:54:28.800 civilization as

00:54:30.180 it has

00:54:30.540 evolved.

00:54:31.720 So there's

00:54:32.520 going to be

00:54:32.740 some percentage,

00:54:33.960 maybe 20%,

00:54:35.440 who are going

00:54:36.500 to do great

00:54:37.340 because they

00:54:38.520 can handle

00:54:39.020 complexity, they

00:54:40.140 can find all

00:54:40.780 the advantages

00:54:41.940 and strategic

00:54:43.460 things and put

00:54:44.560 it together.

00:54:45.480 And if you're

00:54:45.880 unusually smart

00:54:47.120 and capable

00:54:47.680 and ambitious,

00:54:48.620 this is a

00:54:49.080 really good time

00:54:49.720 to be alive.

00:54:51.060 But if you

00:54:52.020 happen to be

00:54:52.520 just a person

00:54:53.280 who wants

00:54:53.700 to kind of

00:54:55.160 get by in

00:54:55.760 life, you

00:54:57.100 are in the

00:54:57.540 wrong civilization

00:54:58.820 because you

00:55:01.000 have to work

00:55:01.760 to get by

00:55:03.360 and if you're

00:55:04.360 just not a

00:55:05.060 worker, it's

00:55:05.720 going to be

00:55:06.040 tough.

00:55:06.820 So I would

00:55:07.700 expect that the

00:55:08.460 universal basic

00:55:09.460 income would

00:55:10.740 keep people who

00:55:11.860 are not

00:55:12.240 ambitious, they

00:55:14.120 would continue

00:55:14.640 to not be that

00:55:15.400 way, whereas

00:55:16.580 they might have

00:55:17.140 been forced to

00:55:17.960 do something

00:55:18.540 productive otherwise.

00:55:19.760 But here's

00:55:22.620 a, so I'm

00:55:23.920 going to say

00:55:24.220 two things

00:55:25.400 about this.

00:55:25.840 One is that

00:55:26.960 we need a

00:55:27.440 second path

00:55:28.340 for human

00:55:29.300 beings.

00:55:30.320 One path is

00:55:31.580 the common

00:55:32.540 one that we

00:55:33.020 see now, which

00:55:33.780 is if you go

00:55:34.940 to school and

00:55:35.820 you're smart

00:55:36.280 enough and

00:55:36.780 you're not

00:55:37.140 addicted to

00:55:37.700 too many

00:55:38.060 things, you

00:55:39.100 can probably

00:55:39.500 make a nice

00:55:40.060 life for

00:55:40.760 yourself.

00:55:43.300 But I feel

00:55:44.160 as if we

00:55:44.640 need to create

00:55:45.340 a path for

00:55:47.220 people who

00:55:47.800 will never be

00:55:48.560 competitive or

00:55:49.440 successful in

00:55:51.300 such a

00:55:53.260 complicated

00:55:54.880 civilization.

00:55:56.840 That's going

00:55:57.320 to be a lot

00:55:57.720 of people.

00:55:58.740 It could be

00:55:59.460 a third of

00:56:00.860 the public

00:56:01.360 just won't

00:56:02.700 be able to

00:56:03.320 work or

00:56:04.020 succeed when

00:56:05.500 drugs are

00:56:06.140 freely available

00:56:07.000 and temptations

00:56:09.920 are all over

00:56:10.440 the place.

00:56:11.260 So I think

00:56:11.760 we need this

00:56:12.300 second path,

00:56:13.700 which would

00:56:14.480 require a

00:56:15.160 lower cost

00:56:16.100 of living.

00:56:16.520 maybe you're

00:56:17.780 building new

00:56:18.360 communities from

00:56:19.400 green fields,

00:56:20.500 but basically

00:56:21.080 a tribal

00:56:22.120 living situation

00:56:25.300 where everybody

00:56:26.760 can do a

00:56:27.420 little bit

00:56:27.940 to contribute.

00:56:29.940 They can chip

00:56:30.900 in a little

00:56:31.280 bit, but they

00:56:32.240 don't have to

00:56:32.600 be a real

00:56:33.300 go-getter and

00:56:34.360 they don't

00:56:34.600 have to be

00:56:34.980 able to

00:56:35.300 thrive in

00:56:36.040 the complicated

00:56:36.580 world as

00:56:37.660 long as they

00:56:38.160 can do

00:56:38.780 well and

00:56:39.920 help out in

00:56:40.660 a sort of

00:56:41.280 a tribal,

00:56:42.080 more cooperative

00:56:43.840 environment.

00:56:44.600 So when

00:56:46.560 you hear

00:56:46.800 stuff like

00:56:47.240 that, you

00:56:47.560 say to

00:56:47.840 yourself,

00:56:48.220 my God,

00:56:48.800 Scott, that's

00:56:49.420 communism, keep

00:56:50.460 that away from

00:56:51.060 me, to which

00:56:52.100 I say, maybe

00:56:53.420 people are

00:56:53.940 different.

00:56:55.580 Personally, I

00:56:56.340 would not want

00:56:56.920 to be anywhere

00:56:57.580 near communism

00:56:58.500 because I feel

00:57:00.260 I can thrive

00:57:01.120 better if I

00:57:02.080 compete and I

00:57:03.940 feel I have

00:57:04.640 some competitive

00:57:05.300 advantages so

00:57:06.280 I'd be better

00:57:06.820 just competing.

00:57:08.060 But there are

00:57:08.640 a lot of

00:57:09.120 people who

00:57:09.520 can't compete

00:57:10.120 and we just

00:57:11.520 have to face

00:57:12.100 that because

00:57:13.220 it's just real.

00:57:14.600 A lot of

00:57:15.120 people just

00:57:15.500 can't compete

00:57:16.220 in the modern

00:57:16.800 world.

00:57:17.680 They need a

00:57:18.160 path where

00:57:19.340 they can have

00:57:19.800 a reasonable

00:57:20.340 life, it

00:57:21.160 just costs

00:57:21.600 less, so

00:57:22.580 they don't

00:57:22.900 have as

00:57:23.220 many, maybe

00:57:24.420 they don't

00:57:24.680 have cars

00:57:25.440 because you

00:57:26.560 build a

00:57:26.880 community where

00:57:27.420 you just

00:57:27.680 don't need

00:57:28.020 one, so

00:57:28.800 they don't

00:57:29.000 have to

00:57:29.280 pay for

00:57:29.560 the car.

00:57:30.820 All right,

00:57:31.120 so anyway,

00:57:31.960 lowering the

00:57:32.720 cost of living

00:57:35.320 for the second

00:57:36.920 path, it has

00:57:38.540 to happen.

00:57:39.440 It has to

00:57:39.840 happen.

00:57:41.400 And then the

00:57:42.060 other thing, if

00:57:42.720 you want to get

00:57:43.200 really controversial,

00:57:44.600 shouldn't we

00:57:46.600 only be comparing

00:57:47.520 ethnicities by

00:57:50.100 happiness?

00:57:52.240 Suppose you

00:57:54.300 were to do

00:57:55.300 a poll and

00:57:55.860 you found out

00:57:56.440 that black 1.00

00:57:57.360 Americans were

00:57:58.260 just as happy

00:57:59.320 as Asian

00:58:01.960 Americans or 0.79

00:58:02.760 anybody else,

00:58:04.080 white Americans.

00:58:04.600 do you need to

00:58:07.900 fix that?

00:58:09.520 So let's say

00:58:10.280 one group has

00:58:10.940 more money and

00:58:11.760 more advantages

00:58:12.380 and that

00:58:13.660 difference is

00:58:14.560 real and it's

00:58:15.380 caused by bias,

00:58:16.860 it's caused by

00:58:17.420 racism.

00:58:18.560 Let's say that's

00:58:19.200 real, but what if

00:58:21.220 both sides are just

00:58:22.060 as happy?

00:58:23.740 Isn't happiness

00:58:24.640 the point?

00:58:26.600 Why would you,

00:58:27.740 why would, if you

00:58:28.480 had two groups that

00:58:29.120 are happy, and let's

00:58:29.840 say one person has a

00:58:31.080 million dollars and

00:58:32.700 the other person has

00:58:33.540 a hundred thousand

00:58:34.240 dollars, a very

00:58:36.580 artificial example, but

00:58:38.220 they're just as

00:58:38.780 happy, what would be

00:58:40.900 the argument for

00:58:41.720 taking the money from

00:58:42.640 the rich person and

00:58:44.300 giving some amount of

00:58:45.660 it to the less rich

00:58:47.640 person?

00:58:48.620 What would be the

00:58:49.420 argument for that?

00:58:50.700 Like why does that

00:58:51.820 need to be balanced

00:58:52.620 when the point of life

00:58:54.220 is happiness and

00:58:56.200 they're both just as

00:58:56.860 happy?

00:58:57.100 So, I would say

00:59:00.680 that looking at

00:59:01.380 economics and

00:59:02.420 trying to balance

00:59:03.500 it, we're just

00:59:05.120 looking at the

00:59:05.680 wrong things.

00:59:07.180 I do like, you

00:59:08.360 know, economic

00:59:09.300 equality, I'm all

00:59:10.580 for it, but I'm not

00:59:12.080 sure that's the

00:59:12.640 point of life.

00:59:15.040 Elon Musk said

00:59:16.260 something provocative.

00:59:19.920 He tweeted a

00:59:20.880 little meme that

00:59:21.540 said the strongest

00:59:22.220 argument for, well,

00:59:25.380 what he tweeted was,

00:59:26.340 he said the strongest

00:59:27.040 argument against

00:59:28.520 aliens, meaning

00:59:29.640 against the idea

00:59:30.900 that aliens are

00:59:31.720 visiting in their

00:59:32.460 spaceships, and he

00:59:33.820 showed two graphs.

00:59:34.760 One showed the

00:59:35.360 camera resolution

00:59:36.740 improves, you know,

00:59:38.460 has been improving

00:59:39.260 like greatly in

00:59:40.400 recent years,

00:59:41.100 especially recently,

00:59:42.120 but the photographs

00:59:44.400 of UFOs are still

00:59:46.000 low definition,

00:59:48.280 which is kind of

00:59:49.900 funny.

00:59:50.900 How much further

00:59:52.080 into the future

00:59:52.960 can we go where

00:59:54.880 every photograph is

00:59:56.100 really, really

00:59:56.680 clear, you know,

00:59:58.020 and everybody's got

00:59:58.740 a camera, at the

01:00:00.280 same time that

01:00:01.000 every photograph of

01:00:02.120 an alien spaceship

01:00:03.100 is a grainy

01:00:04.380 smudge.

01:00:06.620 You know, at the

01:00:07.360 moment, you can say

01:00:09.560 to yourself, okay,

01:00:11.040 it's because the

01:00:11.540 spaceship is moving

01:00:12.480 fast, and it's,

01:00:14.140 yeah, maybe it's up

01:00:14.740 in the clouds, and

01:00:16.040 maybe it's got some

01:00:17.120 alien technology that

01:00:18.520 keeps it from being

01:00:19.240 photographed or

01:00:19.940 something, I don't

01:00:20.540 know, but the

01:00:22.780 longer you go, the

01:00:25.120 more it becomes a

01:00:25.980 little obvious that

01:00:26.900 somebody would have

01:00:27.920 gotten at least one

01:00:28.880 good picture, at

01:00:30.340 least one.

01:00:31.860 So that was Elon

01:00:33.280 Musk's provocative

01:00:34.540 tweet today, or

01:00:36.960 yesterday.

01:00:39.580 The AstraZeneca

01:00:40.920 vaccine everybody's

01:00:42.660 talking about, the

01:00:44.580 company itself says

01:00:45.600 they did some more

01:00:46.320 studies and found

01:00:47.060 down to a 79%

01:00:48.380 overall efficacy, and

01:00:50.880 100% success in

01:00:54.220 keeping people from 1.00

01:00:55.340 severe hospitalization.

01:00:58.200 100%.

01:00:58.800 Do you believe

01:01:00.340 that?

01:01:01.020 Do you believe that

01:01:02.180 there's a vaccination

01:01:03.060 that is 100%

01:01:04.940 effective at

01:01:05.820 preventing

01:01:06.880 hospitalizations and

01:01:08.540 severe disease?

01:01:10.660 No.

01:01:11.780 No.

01:01:13.560 No, you should not

01:01:14.700 believe that.

01:01:15.260 It could be close

01:01:17.180 to 100%, which

01:01:17.960 would be cool.

01:01:21.080 But of course, I

01:01:22.580 tweeted this because

01:01:23.600 it looked like good

01:01:24.360 news.

01:01:24.840 It took me 10

01:01:25.520 seconds for somebody

01:01:27.160 else to say, but

01:01:28.080 what about all these

01:01:28.960 other stories?

01:01:31.420 For example, the

01:01:32.520 Wall Street Journal is

01:01:34.100 reporting that U.S.

01:01:35.500 officials said they

01:01:36.280 were told that

01:01:36.860 AstraZeneca may have

01:01:38.560 released outdated

01:01:39.780 information.

01:01:41.220 What?

01:01:41.820 In its disclosure of

01:01:43.020 trial results.

01:01:44.560 What?

01:01:45.260 And they may have

01:01:47.480 provided an incomplete

01:01:49.320 view of the efficacy

01:01:50.980 data.

01:01:52.320 What?

01:01:53.880 Now, do you see the

01:01:54.780 problem with following

01:01:55.680 the science?

01:01:57.480 Which science?

01:01:59.280 You've got two

01:02:00.260 sciences here.

01:02:01.460 One science says,

01:02:02.860 yeah, this stuff's good

01:02:04.320 and it works.

01:02:05.360 And the other science

01:02:06.360 says, we don't know

01:02:08.040 if it works.

01:02:09.260 And then there's yet

01:02:10.180 other science that

01:02:11.000 says it causes

01:02:11.580 blood clots.

01:02:12.660 But then there's

01:02:14.180 yet other science

01:02:15.020 that says it

01:02:15.680 doesn't.

01:02:17.280 So trust the

01:02:18.220 science.

01:02:18.640 It's on both

01:02:19.100 sides.

01:02:20.380 It works and it

01:02:21.100 doesn't work,

01:02:21.960 according to

01:02:22.460 science.

01:02:24.500 So I don't have

01:02:27.360 an opinion on

01:02:28.040 whether this is a

01:02:29.600 good vaccine or

01:02:30.600 not, but I'd

01:02:32.320 probably take it.

01:02:33.600 I'd probably take

01:02:34.300 it.

01:02:34.540 breaking news

01:02:37.600 that senior

01:02:38.440 citizens are

01:02:39.340 dying, and

01:02:40.720 they're dying

01:02:41.740 within days

01:02:42.540 of doing,

01:02:44.900 it turns out,

01:02:45.400 anything.

01:02:46.540 Anything.

01:02:47.240 So senior

01:02:47.720 citizens are

01:02:49.000 dropping dead

01:02:49.760 all over the

01:02:50.400 world within

01:02:51.940 just a few

01:02:52.660 days of

01:02:54.720 having done,

01:02:56.060 well,

01:02:56.620 anything.

01:02:58.020 Watching TV,

01:03:00.580 eating an

01:03:01.080 apple,

01:03:02.240 getting a

01:03:02.620 vaccination.

01:03:03.120 Yeah,

01:03:04.760 pretty much

01:03:05.240 senior

01:03:05.960 citizens are

01:03:06.780 dying after

01:03:07.600 everything.

01:03:10.420 And so

01:03:10.860 the EU is

01:03:13.840 considering a

01:03:14.640 ban on all

01:03:16.080 human activity.

01:03:17.940 Because if

01:03:19.020 people are

01:03:19.520 dying within

01:03:20.300 days after

01:03:21.300 every human

01:03:22.220 activity, I

01:03:24.160 don't think we

01:03:24.920 can continue

01:03:25.680 having human

01:03:26.440 activities.

01:03:28.000 People are

01:03:28.780 dying within

01:03:29.520 days all

01:03:31.100 over the

01:03:31.540 world, and

01:03:32.080 it's not

01:03:32.460 stopping.

01:03:33.120 do you

01:03:36.740 know why

01:03:37.200 that there

01:03:38.260 are senior

01:03:38.620 citizens

01:03:39.140 dying after

01:03:41.700 human

01:03:42.160 activities?

01:03:43.580 There is a

01:03:44.360 cause.

01:03:45.720 It turns out,

01:03:46.740 and this is

01:03:47.120 science too,

01:03:48.240 I looked into

01:03:49.020 this, did some

01:03:49.520 research, it

01:03:50.480 turns out that

01:03:50.960 the number of

01:03:51.480 people who

01:03:51.820 die after

01:03:53.700 they've already

01:03:54.360 died, zero.

01:03:57.860 Or at least I

01:03:58.660 couldn't find

01:03:59.100 any.

01:03:59.580 I mean, maybe a

01:04:00.440 zombie here or

01:04:01.020 there.

01:04:01.160 But it

01:04:01.800 turns out

01:04:02.180 that only

01:04:03.440 people who

01:04:04.040 are already

01:04:04.680 alive are

01:04:06.820 dying at

01:04:07.380 all.

01:04:08.480 People who

01:04:09.180 are already

01:04:09.740 dead, the

01:04:11.240 death rate for

01:04:11.940 them, the

01:04:12.420 additional death

01:04:13.120 rate of being

01:04:14.420 dead and then

01:04:15.080 being more

01:04:15.660 dead, zero.

01:04:17.160 So exactly

01:04:20.160 zero dead

01:04:21.060 people have

01:04:21.640 died after

01:04:23.320 getting this

01:04:23.840 vaccination.

01:04:24.460 vaccination.

01:04:25.900 It's good to

01:04:26.780 know.

01:04:28.180 But a lot of

01:04:29.100 people who

01:04:30.340 are alive have

01:04:31.820 died after

01:04:32.640 literally

01:04:33.840 everything.

01:04:35.020 Riding a

01:04:35.620 bike, taking

01:04:37.180 a shower,

01:04:39.020 died within

01:04:39.600 two weeks.

01:04:40.740 Tragic.

01:04:45.520 All right,

01:04:46.580 so that is

01:04:50.100 my show for

01:04:50.720 today.

01:04:51.080 Ainsley

01:04:57.360 says,

01:04:57.860 careful, you're

01:04:59.000 prescribing

01:04:59.520 genocide to

01:05:01.400 cure death.

01:05:04.760 That explains

01:05:05.660 why Biden

01:05:06.240 isn't doing

01:05:06.860 anything.

01:05:08.600 Oh, yeah, so

01:05:09.520 there's a story

01:05:10.140 that says Biden

01:05:10.920 and Harris are

01:05:11.720 traveling together.

01:05:12.560 here's what I

01:05:16.920 think is

01:05:17.500 happening.

01:05:18.660 Now, the

01:05:19.100 thinking is that

01:05:19.920 the reason for

01:05:20.880 that is that

01:05:21.500 she's learning

01:05:22.480 on the job and

01:05:23.420 she's going to

01:05:23.860 take over any

01:05:24.500 minute.

01:05:25.060 I think that

01:05:25.820 that is part

01:05:26.440 of it.

01:05:27.000 I do think

01:05:27.560 that they're

01:05:27.960 giving her

01:05:28.560 more presidential

01:05:31.180 exposure because

01:05:32.500 they think she's 1.00

01:05:33.680 likely to take

01:05:34.540 over before his

01:05:35.300 turn is over.

01:05:36.260 I feel like

01:05:36.880 everybody believes

01:05:37.640 that, right?

01:05:38.560 But I think

01:05:39.220 there might be a

01:05:39.940 second explanation

01:05:40.960 and I'm going

01:05:42.260 to use the

01:05:42.960 science of body

01:05:44.060 language for

01:05:45.900 this hypothesis.

01:05:47.600 And when I say

01:05:48.660 the science of

01:05:49.440 body language,

01:05:50.220 I mean a lot

01:05:51.240 of it's guessing.

01:05:52.660 But if you saw

01:05:53.920 there's a video

01:05:54.460 I was watching

01:05:54.940 this morning of

01:05:56.220 Biden and

01:05:56.900 Harris, they were

01:05:57.500 traveling together

01:05:58.260 and they got off

01:05:59.200 or they were

01:05:59.580 getting on or

01:06:00.160 off a helicopter

01:06:00.960 or something and

01:06:01.940 they were chatting

01:06:02.400 with some other

01:06:03.140 official looking

01:06:03.820 people.

01:06:05.080 And on a

01:06:06.240 number of

01:06:06.620 occasions you saw

01:06:08.200 Kamala Harris

01:06:09.760 put her hands 0.98

01:06:10.700 on Biden.

01:06:12.800 Have you seen

01:06:13.260 that video?

01:06:14.240 So she'll just

01:06:14.760 sort of, you

01:06:15.420 know, she'll be

01:06:16.260 talking and then

01:06:17.020 she'll pat him

01:06:17.520 on the shoulder

01:06:18.100 or she'll just 0.85

01:06:19.400 lightly touch his

01:06:20.480 back while she's

01:06:21.220 talking to him.

01:06:22.900 Watch how often

01:06:23.820 she touches him.

01:06:26.220 What's that mean?

01:06:28.140 Well, if it were

01:06:29.020 the other way

01:06:29.760 around it would

01:06:30.440 be sexually 0.51

01:06:31.920 inappropriate.

01:06:33.380 But when a

01:06:33.980 woman in a

01:06:36.000 business setting

01:06:36.940 touches a man,

01:06:39.520 it's fine.

01:06:40.000 because, well,

01:06:41.160 the man doesn't

01:06:41.740 care, so he

01:06:42.520 actually is fine.

01:06:44.000 And, but watch

01:06:45.340 how often she

01:06:46.040 touches him. 0.53

01:06:47.420 Here's what I

01:06:48.080 think is going

01:06:48.620 on, just a

01:06:49.720 hypothesis.

01:06:50.960 I believe that

01:06:52.020 Joe's mental

01:06:54.120 state is

01:06:54.660 deteriorating.

01:06:56.540 And I believe

01:06:57.480 that he needs

01:06:58.460 people that he

01:06:59.460 has a certain

01:07:01.000 level of trust

01:07:02.400 in to keep

01:07:05.220 him on the

01:07:05.700 right track.

01:07:06.340 And I believe

01:07:07.720 that Kamala

01:07:08.220 Harris's real

01:07:09.100 job is a

01:07:10.180 little bit like

01:07:10.780 a nurse.

01:07:11.880 And I mean

01:07:12.620 that literally.

01:07:13.720 Meaning that I

01:07:14.660 believe she's

01:07:15.320 there to tell

01:07:17.200 him things that

01:07:18.020 other people can't

01:07:18.900 tell him.

01:07:20.060 Because he's not

01:07:20.900 quite, he's not

01:07:22.380 quite mentally

01:07:23.100 capable.

01:07:24.120 So I think a lot

01:07:24.840 of people are

01:07:25.240 saying, Kamala,

01:07:26.640 could you tell

01:07:27.560 him he needs

01:07:28.080 to do this?

01:07:29.400 And then maybe

01:07:29.980 she's the only

01:07:30.560 one he trusts.

01:07:31.920 Because he's got a,

01:07:32.720 he's got a history

01:07:33.420 with her and she

01:07:34.320 had a relationship

01:07:34.960 with, you know,

01:07:36.000 Bo, et cetera.

01:07:37.400 So, yeah, I'm

01:07:39.400 not sure a

01:07:39.940 handler is exactly

01:07:41.160 the right word.

01:07:42.020 Although there

01:07:42.520 might be a little

01:07:43.020 of that.

01:07:43.660 I believe that

01:07:44.440 she's there as

01:07:45.260 an emotional,

01:07:46.440 mental, let's

01:07:48.400 say, support.

01:07:50.240 And I believe

01:07:51.080 she's there to

01:07:51.700 like maybe step

01:07:52.500 in if things,

01:07:53.540 things look a

01:07:54.740 little weird.

01:07:55.740 That's my

01:07:56.360 guess.

01:08:02.300 Yeah, and

01:08:03.020 his wife serves

01:08:05.120 a similar role.

01:08:06.460 I would say

01:08:06.860 that, yes.

01:08:09.940 Somebody's

01:08:10.380 saying she

01:08:11.020 prompts him

01:08:11.740 and helps him

01:08:12.620 finish sentences.

01:08:13.880 Maybe.

01:08:14.380 I haven't seen

01:08:15.000 that, but it

01:08:15.900 wouldn't surprise

01:08:16.420 me.

01:08:18.200 And then I

01:08:18.620 guess there's

01:08:19.020 a story of

01:08:19.640 Kamala Harris

01:08:20.400 was asked about

01:08:21.100 the crisis on

01:08:22.020 the border and

01:08:23.160 she, was she

01:08:25.200 going to go

01:08:25.620 there and she

01:08:26.340 laughed and

01:08:27.120 said, not

01:08:27.520 today.

01:08:28.560 And people

01:08:28.980 said, it's

01:08:31.060 not funny.

01:08:31.760 why are you

01:08:33.440 laughing?

01:08:34.520 But of course

01:08:35.360 the laugh was

01:08:36.500 about not

01:08:37.640 today.

01:08:38.660 It wasn't

01:08:38.980 about the

01:08:39.720 situation, etc.

01:08:40.960 But it turns

01:08:41.560 into a news

01:08:42.100 story that

01:08:43.040 makes her 0.95

01:08:43.460 look bad.

01:08:47.480 So, yeah,

01:08:49.180 Kamala Harris

01:08:49.640 does have a

01:08:50.240 problem that

01:08:50.760 she can't

01:08:51.340 stop laughing

01:08:52.840 when she's

01:08:53.380 talking about

01:08:53.840 a tragedy.

01:08:54.880 I don't feel

01:08:55.800 bad about that

01:08:56.460 because I've

01:08:56.840 got the same

01:08:57.360 problems.

01:08:58.680 Sometimes I

01:08:59.440 laugh at

01:08:59.900 tragedies.

01:09:00.560 I know I

01:09:01.840 shouldn't, but

01:09:03.020 I do.

01:09:08.880 Oh, do we

01:09:09.500 know the

01:09:09.920 name of the

01:09:10.400 shooter?

01:09:11.460 I'm not going

01:09:12.080 to say that

01:09:12.520 name out loud,

01:09:13.880 but somebody

01:09:14.420 in the comments

01:09:15.040 says that we

01:09:15.980 know the name

01:09:16.700 of the

01:09:16.940 shooter.

01:09:18.540 But I don't

01:09:19.240 want to say

01:09:19.620 the name because

01:09:20.300 that would be

01:09:20.980 let's just say

01:09:23.300 there would be

01:09:23.660 some racial

01:09:24.160 bias if you

01:09:24.920 heard the

01:09:25.200 name.

01:09:26.000 At least the

01:09:26.440 one that was

01:09:26.800 in the comments.

01:09:27.480 I don't know

01:09:27.740 if that's the

01:09:28.180 real name.

01:09:29.500 All right,

01:09:29.800 that's all I

01:09:30.180 got, and I

01:09:30.960 will talk to

01:09:31.420 you tomorrow.

01:09:36.460 Well, if I

01:09:37.180 can turn this

01:09:37.680 off, I

01:09:38.000 will.

01:09:40.340 All right,

01:09:40.980 YouTubers. 0.92

01:09:47.580 I'm just

01:09:48.120 looking at your

01:09:48.740 comments.

01:09:49.720 So it does

01:09:50.320 look like there's

01:09:50.840 some news about

01:09:51.560 the shooter that

01:09:52.420 we're hearing.

01:09:52.920 I guess there's a

01:09:53.940 name out there

01:09:54.500 now.

01:09:56.320 Do we suffer

01:09:57.140 brain damage

01:09:57.860 getting our

01:09:58.320 news from you?

01:09:59.000 no, your

01:10:00.100 brain is

01:10:00.600 healthier because

01:10:01.300 you got your

01:10:01.780 news from me

01:10:02.460 because I'm

01:10:03.460 not partisan.

01:10:05.600 It might seem

01:10:06.160 like it, but

01:10:07.320 I'm not.

01:10:11.680 BitClout.

01:10:12.980 I haven't

01:10:13.780 checked my

01:10:14.500 value on

01:10:17.340 BitClout.

01:10:19.160 I need to

01:10:19.880 check that.

01:10:20.800 So yeah, you

01:10:21.280 can buy an

01:10:22.220 NFT of me,

01:10:24.640 I guess, on

01:10:25.660 something called

01:10:26.280 BitClout.

01:10:27.540 All right,

01:10:39.200 my coin is in

01:10:40.060 the top ten,

01:10:41.300 Christian says.

01:10:42.800 Yeah, I'll go

01:10:43.200 check that.

01:10:47.400 I have not

01:10:48.220 read that book

01:10:48.900 by Rod

01:10:49.600 I'm reading

01:10:58.100 your comments.

01:10:58.660 If you're

01:10:58.900 listening to

01:10:59.320 this on a

01:10:59.760 podcast, I'm

01:11:00.580 sorry that you

01:11:02.120 can't see the

01:11:02.680 comments.

01:11:03.700 By the way, do

01:11:04.460 you know that if

01:11:05.000 you have a

01:11:05.580 digital device,

01:11:07.600 the one made

01:11:08.260 by Amazon or

01:11:09.380 the one that's

01:11:10.720 built into your

01:11:11.580 Apple phone, I

01:11:13.080 don't want to say

01:11:13.580 their names because

01:11:14.540 I don't want to

01:11:15.000 activate your

01:11:15.520 device, but you

01:11:16.660 can say to

01:11:17.260 them, device

01:11:18.820 name, which

01:11:20.260 you know, and

01:11:21.440 then say, play

01:11:23.420 coffee with Scott

01:11:24.640 Adams, and my

01:11:27.860 podcast will just

01:11:28.840 pop right up.

01:11:31.500 Have I heard of

01:11:32.380 Decentral Land?

01:11:33.520 No, but I like

01:11:34.320 it.

01:11:35.200 Just based on the

01:11:36.020 name, I think I

01:11:36.720 would like that.

01:11:38.840 Have we been

01:11:39.600 hypnotized into

01:11:40.500 watching you every

01:11:41.240 day?

01:11:41.600 Yes, you have.

01:11:43.080 That's what the

01:11:43.760 simultaneous SIP

01:11:44.520 does.

01:11:46.660 Glad to hear

01:11:51.900 you've come to

01:11:52.380 your senses on

01:11:53.120 masks probably

01:11:53.980 having no, well

01:11:55.380 you were wrong.

01:11:56.520 You're wrong.

01:11:57.780 So the thing

01:11:58.880 that I'll have to

01:11:59.600 explain for the

01:12:00.320 rest of my life

01:12:01.220 is risk

01:12:02.760 management.

01:12:04.340 When the

01:12:05.020 decision of

01:12:05.740 hydroxychloroquine

01:12:06.840 came up early

01:12:07.680 on, I said,

01:12:09.640 the science does

01:12:10.360 not prove it

01:12:11.060 works, but as a

01:12:12.060 risk management

01:12:12.920 decision, you

01:12:14.500 might want to

01:12:15.000 try it.

01:12:15.520 because the

01:12:16.800 downside is

01:12:17.940 low.

01:12:19.000 Certainly try it

01:12:19.920 in one state or

01:12:20.980 one country or

01:12:21.760 something to see

01:12:22.280 if it makes a

01:12:22.740 difference.

01:12:23.780 That doesn't

01:12:24.600 mean that I am

01:12:25.760 right or wrong

01:12:26.800 about whether that

01:12:28.080 drug works.

01:12:30.280 And at least

01:12:31.640 75% of the

01:12:33.040 population can't

01:12:33.860 understand that

01:12:34.500 point.

01:12:35.380 When you make a

01:12:36.240 risk management

01:12:37.240 decision, the

01:12:38.680 decision can be

01:12:39.720 right even when

01:12:42.180 the outcome is

01:12:42.860 wrong.

01:12:43.820 Do you get

01:12:44.260 that?

01:12:45.180 So as it is

01:12:46.220 with masks,

01:12:47.520 since the

01:12:48.060 science was

01:12:48.880 undependable,

01:12:50.800 and we didn't

01:12:51.360 know how it

01:12:52.560 applied to this

01:12:53.260 new situation,

01:12:54.500 we wouldn't

01:12:55.260 know.

01:12:56.540 We wouldn't

01:12:57.040 know.

01:12:57.760 And we

01:12:58.400 wouldn't trust

01:12:58.940 the data that

01:12:59.680 said it worked

01:13:00.240 or that it

01:13:00.740 didn't work,

01:13:01.540 because nothing

01:13:02.060 is dependable

01:13:02.740 data-wise.

01:13:04.840 But common

01:13:05.920 sense says that

01:13:07.540 if the amount

01:13:08.120 of the viral

01:13:08.840 shedding matters,

01:13:10.600 if you get

01:13:11.860 more viral

01:13:12.760 exposure, you

01:13:13.880 get more

01:13:14.380 sick, that

01:13:15.660 the masks, if

01:13:16.580 they reduce

01:13:17.760 moisture coming

01:13:18.580 out of your

01:13:18.900 mouth, and

01:13:19.400 they do, and

01:13:20.640 moisture is what

01:13:21.440 carries the

01:13:21.960 virus and it

01:13:22.580 does, that it

01:13:23.900 makes sense that

01:13:24.620 you'd spread less

01:13:25.740 of it.

01:13:27.100 But it is

01:13:28.340 true that we're

01:13:30.220 not seeing it in

01:13:31.040 the data.

01:13:32.640 I've not seen

01:13:33.580 any data that

01:13:34.280 would suggest

01:13:34.860 that mask

01:13:36.060 wearing by

01:13:37.740 itself makes

01:13:39.240 any difference

01:13:39.800 at all.

01:13:40.580 I still think

01:13:41.260 it probably

01:13:41.820 does, but I

01:13:44.060 would admit that

01:13:45.340 we don't see it

01:13:45.980 in the data.

01:13:47.500 That does seem

01:13:48.200 to be the

01:13:49.100 fact.

01:13:50.060 Now, years

01:13:51.120 from now, will

01:13:51.780 we know for

01:13:52.320 sure if masks

01:13:53.840 worked?

01:13:54.960 Maybe.

01:13:55.780 Might find a

01:13:56.380 way to test it

01:13:57.160 better or

01:13:57.660 something.

01:13:58.600 But I'm

01:13:59.640 going to guess

01:14:00.240 that it works

01:14:01.580 a little.

01:14:02.880 It might not

01:14:03.640 work enough that

01:14:04.640 we would be

01:14:05.440 happy to use

01:14:06.640 them in the

01:14:07.080 next pandemic.

01:14:08.100 I don't know.

01:14:09.240 So for those

01:14:11.880 of you who

01:14:12.320 are mistakenly

01:14:13.260 imagining that

01:14:14.080 my opinion

01:14:14.600 went from

01:14:15.360 masks work

01:14:16.380 to masks

01:14:17.900 don't work

01:14:19.060 or probably

01:14:19.600 don't work,

01:14:20.220 you're

01:14:20.500 misinterpreting

01:14:21.220 completely.

01:14:22.540 Your risk

01:14:23.380 management

01:14:23.820 decision might

01:14:24.520 change, but

01:14:25.740 in both cases

01:14:26.500 you're not

01:14:26.900 saying definitely

01:14:27.560 yes or

01:14:27.980 definitely no.

01:14:29.240 You're just

01:14:29.560 saying, I

01:14:29.920 don't know,

01:14:30.140 it looks like

01:14:30.500 the odds

01:14:31.040 are in

01:14:31.920 favor of

01:14:32.360 this.

01:14:33.560 And I

01:14:34.080 would say

01:14:34.440 that even

01:14:35.520 still, I

01:14:36.520 don't mind

01:14:36.900 putting on

01:14:37.340 my mask

01:14:37.880 because I

01:14:38.260 think there's

01:14:39.600 a good

01:14:39.800 chance there's

01:14:40.400 some little

01:14:41.640 improvement.

01:14:43.020 I'll take

01:14:43.500 the extra

01:14:43.920 edge.

01:14:50.620 Yeah, they

01:14:51.460 might help,

01:14:52.060 so why not?

01:14:52.840 Yeah, the

01:14:53.120 why not is

01:14:53.820 whether or not

01:14:54.620 it makes you

01:14:55.980 crazy.

01:14:57.400 Because it's

01:14:58.180 definitely not

01:14:58.740 free to wear

01:14:59.720 a mask.

01:15:00.400 It does make

01:15:00.940 you a little

01:15:01.200 crazy.

01:15:01.620 somebody says

01:15:07.140 the risk

01:15:07.480 level is

01:15:07.940 how much

01:15:08.200 time you

01:15:08.580 spend with

01:15:09.040 a confined

01:15:09.540 person.

01:15:10.080 Yeah, I

01:15:10.360 agree with

01:15:10.760 that.

01:15:12.600 But also

01:15:13.620 common sense

01:15:14.340 tells me

01:15:14.880 that maybe

01:15:16.160 without a

01:15:16.940 mask you

01:15:18.040 could be

01:15:18.400 totally

01:15:18.740 infected in

01:15:19.660 five minutes,

01:15:21.380 but maybe

01:15:21.840 with a

01:15:22.360 mask you

01:15:23.800 wouldn't be

01:15:24.220 totally

01:15:24.520 infected for

01:15:25.540 seven minutes,

01:15:28.040 right?

01:15:28.460 Something like

01:15:29.080 that.

01:15:29.340 So you

01:15:30.880 might not

01:15:31.260 ever see

01:15:31.640 that difference

01:15:32.180 in the

01:15:32.640 statistics,

01:15:33.800 but there

01:15:34.540 must be a

01:15:35.080 lot of

01:15:35.420 interactions

01:15:36.000 where the

01:15:38.020 length of

01:15:38.760 the interaction

01:15:39.360 is changed

01:15:40.300 by wearing

01:15:40.820 the mask,

01:15:41.660 whether you

01:15:42.200 could get

01:15:42.520 it from

01:15:42.720 that.

01:15:43.120 It seems

01:15:43.440 logical.

01:15:47.060 Are

01:15:47.580 lockdowns

01:15:48.460 poor risk

01:15:49.440 management?

01:15:50.460 In retrospect,

01:15:51.420 yes.

01:15:52.660 When we

01:15:53.300 were first

01:15:53.840 doing the

01:15:54.220 lockdowns and

01:15:55.380 we were

01:15:55.600 talking about

01:15:56.120 two weeks,

01:15:57.480 that was a

01:15:58.020 good decision.

01:15:59.340 Because maybe

01:16:00.500 it would

01:16:00.820 have worked.

01:16:01.860 In retrospect,

01:16:02.860 it didn't

01:16:03.180 work, but

01:16:03.840 it could

01:16:04.180 have.

01:16:04.800 It wasn't

01:16:05.940 unreasonable to

01:16:06.860 close down for

01:16:07.600 a few weeks.

01:16:08.700 That was

01:16:09.060 actually a

01:16:09.640 good leadership

01:16:10.900 decision.

01:16:11.820 It didn't

01:16:12.100 work, but

01:16:13.440 that doesn't

01:16:13.860 make it a

01:16:14.200 bad decision

01:16:14.760 because it

01:16:15.620 was a risk

01:16:16.200 management

01:16:16.700 decision.

01:16:20.100 Somebody

01:16:20.580 says,

01:16:20.960 anger is

01:16:21.580 killing me.

01:16:22.880 You know,

01:16:23.420 I felt a

01:16:23.940 little of that

01:16:24.360 lately.

01:16:27.400 Keeping the

01:16:28.080 mask on is

01:16:28.740 unhealthy.

01:16:30.340 We might

01:16:31.060 know more

01:16:31.460 about that

01:16:31.900 in the

01:16:32.100 future.

01:16:33.340 Now,

01:16:33.660 it's easier

01:16:34.920 for me to

01:16:35.400 be pro-mask 0.68

01:16:36.220 because I

01:16:36.900 have that

01:16:37.280 elite situation

01:16:38.300 where I

01:16:40.580 don't really

01:16:41.020 need to put

01:16:41.600 on a mask

01:16:42.180 unless I

01:16:42.660 leave the

01:16:42.980 house and

01:16:43.500 I don't

01:16:43.720 have to

01:16:44.140 leave the

01:16:44.440 house if

01:16:44.780 I don't

01:16:44.960 want to.

01:16:46.200 And if

01:16:46.620 I do

01:16:46.880 leave the

01:16:47.200 house and

01:16:47.520 I'm

01:16:47.660 outdoors,

01:16:48.240 I don't

01:16:48.440 wear a

01:16:48.780 mask.

01:16:49.980 So masks

01:16:51.420 are not the

01:16:52.000 biggest problem

01:16:52.980 in my life,

01:16:53.820 but imagine

01:16:54.320 if I had a

01:16:54.840 job where I

01:16:55.380 had to wear

01:16:55.740 one for

01:16:56.240 eight hours

01:16:57.420 a day.

01:16:57.740 I'd be

01:16:58.900 pretty

01:16:59.260 anti-mask

01:17:00.020 then,

01:17:00.420 especially

01:17:00.780 if I

01:17:01.080 were younger.

01:17:04.000 The camera

01:17:04.660 looks great,

01:17:05.220 somebody says,

01:17:05.760 no, it's

01:17:06.100 the same

01:17:06.560 camera.

01:17:07.360 Yeah, it's

01:17:11.740 a luxury

01:17:12.660 opinion.

01:17:14.680 I tweeted

01:17:15.700 around an

01:17:16.100 article by

01:17:16.580 Rob Henderson

01:17:17.200 who's a

01:17:17.520 few years

01:17:17.900 old, talking

01:17:18.940 about how

01:17:19.440 elites such

01:17:20.760 as myself

01:17:21.360 can have

01:17:23.000 these luxury

01:17:23.740 opinions,

01:17:24.960 where I'll

01:17:25.720 say an

01:17:26.040 opinion that's

01:17:26.620 bad for

01:17:27.040 poor white

01:17:27.680 people, but

01:17:28.240 not me,

01:17:28.960 because it'll

01:17:30.380 make me sound

01:17:30.920 good.

01:17:31.880 Yeah, open

01:17:33.040 those borders

01:17:33.640 and let

01:17:34.760 everybody come

01:17:35.440 in, because

01:17:36.820 they're not

01:17:37.820 going to be

01:17:38.160 competing for

01:17:38.700 my job,

01:17:39.660 they're going

01:17:40.000 to be

01:17:40.240 competing for

01:17:40.920 somebody else's

01:17:41.660 job.

01:17:42.620 So isn't it

01:17:43.260 great that I

01:17:43.840 could have

01:17:44.140 such a

01:17:45.060 liberal,

01:17:46.280 open-minded

01:17:46.800 opinion about

01:17:47.600 immigration?

01:17:48.580 Because it's

01:17:49.160 only bad for

01:17:49.700 you.

01:17:50.600 It's not bad

01:17:51.140 for me.

01:17:51.720 For me, I

01:17:52.160 just get

01:17:52.600 cheaper

01:17:53.660 gardener.

01:17:54.720 That's it.

01:17:57.760 Thoughts on

01:17:58.380 crypto.

01:17:59.140 So I'm not a

01:18:00.120 crypto guy,

01:18:01.420 meaning that I'm

01:18:02.600 involved with

01:18:03.180 crypto, but I'm

01:18:03.920 not any

01:18:04.640 expert on

01:18:05.240 it.

01:18:06.140 And here's

01:18:08.120 my take.

01:18:09.480 If I were

01:18:10.340 young or I

01:18:12.260 had a big

01:18:12.680 enough portfolio

01:18:13.420 where I could

01:18:14.880 diversify, I

01:18:16.460 would definitely

01:18:16.920 own Bitcoin

01:18:17.600 at this point.

01:18:19.460 So there was a

01:18:20.220 time when you

01:18:20.820 could say,

01:18:21.220 ah, I don't

01:18:21.760 know if

01:18:22.020 Bitcoin's going

01:18:22.680 to stay

01:18:22.940 around, but I

01:18:23.460 think we're

01:18:23.760 past that

01:18:24.280 time.

01:18:24.860 It does

01:18:25.340 seem like

01:18:25.780 it's going

01:18:26.700 to be here.

01:18:27.800 So any

01:18:28.680 young person's

01:18:30.100 portfolio should

01:18:30.920 have some

01:18:31.260 Bitcoin.

01:18:32.140 Every old 0.98

01:18:32.920 person who

01:18:33.360 has a big

01:18:33.860 enough

01:18:34.140 portfolio,

01:18:34.640 should put

01:18:35.680 a little

01:18:35.980 bit in

01:18:36.320 there.

01:18:39.040 But any

01:18:40.000 other kind

01:18:41.240 of coin I

01:18:42.020 think is

01:18:42.540 riskier.

01:18:44.720 That's

01:18:45.000 basically the

01:18:45.560 whole story.

01:18:47.320 All right.

01:18:48.140 That's all for

01:18:48.680 now.

01:18:49.140 I'll talk to

01:18:49.580 you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 23, 2021

Episode 1322 Scott Adams： Let's Talk About the Bad Arguments in the News About the Second Amendment, Vaccine Safety

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Transcript