Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1332 Scott Adams： FDA Approves Rapid Home Tests, Wokeness Emergencies, Hula Hoops, and Fresh Fake News

00:00:00.000 hey everybody come on in come on in yes we are exclusively on youtube this morning i will look

00:00:10.220 into alternatives to broaden my exposure but i've been busy i i got i got two or three jobs going

00:00:19.320 on here on any given day so i'll get to it but for the moment youtube it is and thank you for

00:00:25.320 joining me but if you'd like to make this extra good and i think you would all you need is a

00:00:33.100 cup or mug or a glass a tank or chalice or stein a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind

00:00:39.700 fill it with your favorite liquid no not coca-cola no no before this week yeah coca-cola could have

00:00:49.880 been a favorite liquid but not now look at the news all right join me now for the unparalleled

00:00:57.220 pleasure the dopamine here today the thing that makes everything better it's a simultaneous sip

00:01:01.340 and it's happening right now go

00:01:03.040 oh that that worked didn't it well i would like to start out by giving some kudos to the

00:01:18.380 biden administration uh i'll bet you hate that don't you you know the trouble with uh giving

00:01:27.120 presidents credit or blame for anything is that things always slop over right so you never really

00:01:35.420 know did was this something that started during the trump administration and then just slopped over

00:01:41.260 into the biden administration so the news is that the fda just uh authorized the first

00:01:49.040 covet 19 tests for repeated frequent use at home in other words cheap rapid tests

00:01:57.580 at home no prescription now how big a deal is that well the initial ones will be a little too expensive

00:02:08.060 so you know you're going to need rich people to to buy them to show a demand but i'm pretty sure

00:02:15.660 that the uh the market is going to get saturated and the price will come down so i wouldn't be surprised

00:02:22.400 if it comes down from i think it's eight dollars a test which is too expensive but people like me would

00:02:27.960 use it right people have some extra cash i would definitely use a home test that cost eight dollars

00:02:35.200 maybe wouldn't do it every day but i can imagine an eight dollar home test i could see me doing it

00:02:42.780 once a week or something like that uh or maybe more but here's the the big story here i don't know if

00:02:52.580 this started during the trump administration and it just took a long time you may remember that i've

00:02:58.060 been pushing very hard on the fda and saying in public a number of times that you had to presume

00:03:06.340 they were corrupt for not having done this sooner so i'd like to revise my assumption right so the

00:03:15.160 assumption was that these rapid home tests were such an obvious thing to be approved there's just it just

00:03:23.360 didn't seem like there was any argument against it that could be made once you understood it if you

00:03:28.740 didn't understand the issue you could make an argument but as soon as you understood it all the

00:03:32.860 arguments go away and i thought the only reason because of course the fda would understand it you

00:03:39.860 know not like the public they would actually understand it so for them not to approve it i said

00:03:46.800 it's somebody's got to be on the take there's got to be some corruption there's no other way to

00:03:52.520 explain it but now that it is approved we have to add a second hypothesis so you have to keep the

00:04:02.320 hypothesis that there might have been some corruption but i'm going to add to that the hypothesis that

00:04:07.880 maybe the bureaucracy is just the bureaucracy because we're all talking about how amazing project

00:04:14.300 warp speed was right we we wouldn't have vaccinations nearly so quickly except that trump

00:04:21.080 basically kicked asses and just said yes you will do this no you will do this no you will do this 0.92

00:04:27.760 until they did it but i don't think there was a project warp speed for these you know rapid tests

00:04:35.520 and just for some reason it didn't make that list so it could be that it's just the bureaucracy

00:04:41.460 maybe it just takes a year to do something that take it should take a day because this should have

00:04:46.700 taken a day but it took a year well closer to nine months i think it took something like that now

00:04:54.020 congratulations to michael amina uh you've seen me tweet him a number of times and i would say he was

00:05:00.980 the primary voice in the country for this option to do lots of cheap tests to try to get on top of the

00:05:09.140 the virus now um i can't say enough good things about what michael amina did for the country

00:05:18.380 one of the strange things about this uh pandemic strange in a good way is that you saw a number of

00:05:25.880 people um and i like to think i'm one of them who just said well what can i do right i can't do

00:05:33.280 everything but but what can i do so you watched me go through that process in public right i said well

00:05:41.400 what can i do to help and i tried to help by doing you know largely what i'm doing and calming people

00:05:47.580 down and making sure people understood the situation the risks and rewards and stuff so a lot of people

00:05:54.840 just sort of jumped into the breach just jumped in and said what can i do michael amina probably would

00:06:01.520 be the superstar among them in my opinion because he took personal risk personal time lots of effort

00:06:10.260 i mean he was doing media he was doing articles uh he was doing social media i mean he pushed as hard

00:06:19.240 as a as a private citizen could push anything and i think he got all the way to congress and was

00:06:24.460 influencing directly so if i had to guess and it's hard to tell but i think michael amina

00:06:31.260 made the difference i think i think he made the difference and i am uh proud to say that i helped

00:06:39.340 boost him in my small social media way as well as lots of other people and i feel like this is

00:06:46.020 to some extent this is a victory of social media as a form of government i told you before that our

00:06:54.200 form of government has transmogrified into a smart person in the public who wants to put enough energy

00:07:03.280 into it gets to be in charge and in a weird way michael amina was a smart citizen with good intentions

00:07:11.020 put the work into it it was almost like he was in charge in a practical sense because i do think he

00:07:19.040 pushed it over the i think he pushed it over the line i don't know how fast or even if it would have

00:07:24.340 happened otherwise um so um i'm going to say kudos to the biden administration for getting that done

00:07:33.760 uh but with the caveat that it may have already been in the works it maybe it just took a long time

00:07:40.460 so we don't know so we don't know how much of that was trump how much was biden but the person in

00:07:45.100 charge by our system the person who's in the office gets the credit and also gets the you know

00:07:52.160 gets the criticism so biden gets the credit he was in office um we know that here's another thing that

00:08:00.280 looks good actually that looks like the biden administration will include uh prominently

00:08:06.940 nuclear energy as part of their um recovery package etc future plans so the biden administration

00:08:16.000 is pro-nuclear it looks like and may may make even a more noise about it so again kudos to the biden

00:08:25.480 administration for being on the right side of nuclear energy i'm not sure that was easy

00:08:30.620 was was it easy for biden to be pro-nuclear in in a democrat party where a big part of the party

00:08:38.900 would be very anti-nuclear i think it takes some balls right i'm gonna give them that one right

00:08:45.340 there's plenty of criticism for the biden administration right but we're not going to be

00:08:50.840 we're not going to be nuts about it if some good things happen some good things happen let's call it out

00:08:56.360 and then i'll give a third thing but this is more with a little question mark on it remember i asked

00:09:03.100 you um do we know if this big 2.5 trillion dollar infrastructure package package will improve the

00:09:11.420 economy or will it just run up the debt and remember i said why don't we know that like why are we talking

00:09:19.740 about this and we don't even know if it's good or bad for the economy well you who's who's doing the

00:09:25.920 calculations well biden claims that it will be good for the economy and uh even lower the national

00:09:33.000 debt in the long run obviously raises it a lot in the short run do you believe that does your does

00:09:40.320 your gut feeling does it conform with the idea that this 2.5 trillion will end up producing more

00:09:49.980 good and and tax benefits than it will cost in the long run long run being you know 15 to 30 years

00:09:57.760 i suppose um what do you think what what does your gut feeling tell you more positive or more negative

00:10:05.220 now the the trick here is that you don't all have economics training right probably most of you don't

00:10:12.740 so um seeing lots of no's how would you know that though so i'm not i'm not saying you're wrong

00:10:20.240 all right so without giving you my opinion on this i don't know if it will or not to be honest but

00:10:29.040 why would you be sure what would cause you to be sure it's a bad idea because correct me if um i need

00:10:36.520 a fact check on this but i believe the it must have been the uh management budget office right

00:10:43.600 whoever does these scorings it must have been scored by a government entity and it must have

00:10:51.040 scored positively right because the government does their own calculation for their own plans

00:10:58.040 and then they tell the public this looks like it will be positive or negative right

00:11:01.880 so i believe real economists have said this is a good idea correct me if i'm wrong

00:11:09.260 can you fact check that have economists said this is a bad idea cbo i'm sorry uh the yeah the cbo

00:11:19.000 scores all the bills and i think they've scored it positively can you do a fact check on that

00:11:27.480 now here why are we talking about this without that being the number one thing

00:11:31.960 that sets the context for every story about this what story are you seeing so the story you're seeing

00:11:40.420 on the right is that it's not infrastructure it's like only a small part of it is roads and bridges

00:11:47.120 is that really a good point well it's a good point if you make a stupid assumption and this stupid 0.50

00:11:56.760 assumption would be that the only thing that's good is building roads and bridges that would be a stupid

00:12:03.240 assumption it's good but would there not be other things that are good now i'm with you on the points

00:12:11.800 about if they're using it for racial balancing and stuff those conversations we need to get into those in

00:12:19.240 a little detail because i'm not so sure that's well thought out but on purely an economic level forget

00:12:25.880 about the social justice part for a minute on purely an economic level my gut feeling is it might be

00:12:33.240 good my gut feeling is it might be positive now i have a background in economics i've got an mba

00:12:42.360 if you don't have that kind of background i would look to people who do and you should look to people

00:12:48.040 like me although i'm you know at the very bottom of people you should trust on a big economic question

00:12:53.960 but at least i have more experience than you do probably so i would ask you if you're on the

00:12:59.080 right and you're concerned about uh everything from inflation and you should be to national debt and you

00:13:06.200 should be these are all things to be rightly concerned about uh get some advice from an economist

00:13:12.840 which is not to say the economists are right i'm just saying they might have some perspective that would

00:13:18.120 make you feel more comfortable with this i have a feeling this is more positive than negative i just

00:13:23.880 don't know if there's a way to know it right and the and the social justice stuff i don't think you can

00:13:30.120 look at that as economics exactly all right so that's all the good news here's uh here's a question i asked

00:13:39.800 yesterday and have you ever noticed that no matter what point you make on social media somebody will

00:13:46.680 argue with it have you ever noticed that it's like a universal truth right you could make a bad point

00:13:53.640 on twitter and of course people will say hey that's a bad point and they'll point it out or you could make

00:13:59.960 a brilliant perfectly supported point on twitter and what will happen exactly the same amount of

00:14:08.120 criticism because people really just criticize based on what team they're on right they're just going to

00:14:13.240 look for something but every now and then and i can't say i can even think of another example but every now

00:14:21.320 and then somebody will say something that will just stop the conversation it'll just shut it down

00:14:30.280 like people won't even be able to talk about it and and i managed to do one of those tweets yesterday

00:14:38.440 and i want you to look at if you find the tweet that wouldn't be hard to find in my twitter feed

00:14:43.880 watch how the critics just disappeared and and here's what i did i simply took

00:14:51.080 the rules as they're given to us and applied them all right so i'm not somebody who made up some rules

00:14:57.080 all i did was say okay what are the rules of society okay and i'll just apply it to a well-known

00:15:05.080 situation that's it now here's the situation uh vaccination passports and here's my here's my

00:15:15.560 tweet yesterday i said isn't it racist to require vaccination passports when so many black citizens

00:15:22.840 don't have government ids don't have government ids if you don't have an id how can you prove it was you

00:15:27.960 who got vaccinated don't we have a problem here if if requiring ids to vote is racist requiring ids to

00:15:41.000 prove you got vaccinated is not less racist it's exactly the same it's exactly as racist so i simply

00:15:51.720 took the rules applied it to this situation well what are the rules okay i'll just apply it and how

00:15:59.400 much pushback did i get i think none i think none i i mean maybe it's there but it was it would

00:16:13.000 probably be in the form of people just insulting me you know uh in general i don't think anybody

00:16:20.600 criticize the point i don't think so and so that's kind of the end of vaccinations isn't it the

00:16:31.320 conservatives would simply have to say it's racist and refuse to participate that's it it's over

00:16:41.000 everybody who's worried about the the passports changing your life and everything it's kind of

00:16:46.120 over you just say it's racist and walk away now i don't know if anybody will do that but if you want

00:16:52.680 it to be over it'd be as easy as that now i got criticized quite a bit on this uh vaccine vaccination

00:17:00.760 passport thing because i noted that it might help you open the economy faster and other people said scott

00:17:07.880 you idiot there's no evidence that it will help you open the economy faster to which i say hold on hold 0.96

00:17:16.200 you're confusing me with somebody who has certainty in uncertain situations that's not me i never i

00:17:22.600 would never enter a situation like this with certainty that would be the dumbest position wouldn't matter

00:17:28.840 what position you took if you entered it with certainty that's just dumb right so instead i always go

00:17:37.000 with the systems view and the systems view looks like this if there's something you can test

00:17:42.280 and then quickly abandon if it doesn't work it's worth testing that's it you've heard my whole opinion

00:17:51.160 so let's say that the government says uh we're going to require these uh vaccination passports

00:17:58.360 for a certain set type of business and then that business ends up failing because so many people resisted

00:18:07.160 it that it was worse than if they'd never implemented that idea at all

00:18:13.480 to which i say okay you tested it you quickly found out it ruined your business all you have to do is

00:18:19.800 stop doing it it's very easy to reverse if let's say you're a gym and you say all right we're we're a

00:18:27.240 gyms we're a little more close contact in here we're going to require vaccination passports

00:18:33.080 and the day you require it your gym goes out of business because everybody says well screw you i'm

00:18:39.640 just not going to participate i'll go to another gym and then what's the gym do they immediately changed

00:18:46.280 their policy because it was optional so to me if you can test something and then just with literally

00:18:54.200 with a snap of a finger reverse it you know it's like today we require it oh that didn't work

00:19:00.840 instead of opening the economy faster which was the whole point it actually opened it slower we tested

00:19:07.560 it we tried it for two weeks just made everything worse it's gone snap your fingers that's it the gym

00:19:16.040 just says i'll take down the sign on the front there's a sign on the door that says you have to have

00:19:21.080 a vaccination it would just take down the sign you've reversed the entire policy that's it now

00:19:27.480 you're talking about the the government a lot of people said the government when the government does

00:19:33.000 something they don't like to give up on it well that's definitely true if the government is taxing

00:19:40.360 right so if you're looking for a situation where the government wants taxed something i wouldn't expect

00:19:47.400 that to change you know historically once somebody's making money yeah it's hard to change that but

00:19:55.240 the vaccination passports don't look like a money maker for the government right there's no politician

00:20:01.320 who gets to build a bridge you know nobody gets a donation or anything it doesn't the government

00:20:06.760 doesn't care and the government would like fewer fewer restrictions on themselves you know you

00:20:14.360 don't think uh aoc wants to go to the gym of course she does right so i would look at each of these

00:20:22.600 situations individually those who have said quite reasonably that the government never does a

00:20:28.280 program or gains power and then gives it back to which i say they do it all the time it's the most

00:20:35.320 common thing our government does is remove our rights and then give them back when the emergency is

00:20:41.560 passed when uh let's say there's a curfew because there's been rioting in the city do you worry that

00:20:49.560 the curfew will become permanent has it ever has there ever been a permanent curfew i can't think of

00:20:57.400 one right how about uh when there's uh some kind of emergency declaration because there's a hurricane

00:21:04.840 the government says for now you can't do this or that when the when the emergency is over don't they

00:21:12.120 remove it routinely right now somebody says the patriot act the patriot act has a money element to it

00:21:22.280 doesn't it i believe the patriot act if you looked at it you would find a lot of companies uh sort of in the

00:21:29.240 business of making money on the patriot act and that makes it sticky so when you have a one so remember

00:21:36.120 the rule just see if you would agree with this rule whenever a lot of money is involved it's sticky

00:21:45.080 but a vaccine just a let's say legislation that says you need to show a card or or if a gym wants to

00:21:52.920 they can refuse service who's making money so if the government is not making money or if they're

00:22:00.600 not big industries that are making a ton of money because of it i think you're okay i think you're

00:22:06.120 okay let's take the fisa courts the problem with the fisa courts uh and i don't know the full details

00:22:13.560 here is that we didn't know what the problem was we suspected there would be lots of people said hey

00:22:21.160 there's going to be problems sure enough there were now once we discovered those problems we have

00:22:26.360 an opportunity to change them right so the problem with the fisa if you look at the fisa thing what

00:22:33.240 was the problem a lack of transparency so here's a second variable to look at to know why each situation

00:22:41.640 is unique would the fisa court have ever changed if if we had not accidentally gotten visibility

00:22:48.440 through this russia collusion stuff if you have visibility and nobody's making money in the

00:22:55.320 government or indirectly or directly you have a good chance of reversing it if you don't know

00:23:02.200 anything's wrong because you don't have visibility why would you reverse it you don't know if anything's

00:23:08.040 wrong and and if there's money involved it's sticky so here's my thing don't use bad analogies to

00:23:15.960 figure out what will happen um now also keep in mind that there are some things which both left and

00:23:23.560 right does not like and vaccination passports is in that category what do you think the black public

00:23:32.120 in the united states thinks about vaccination passports about the same as the conservative public

00:23:39.960 right if you put republicans and black citizens in this country on the same side of an issue 0.54

00:23:48.760 i don't think you have to worry about it well that's as close as you can get to guaranteeing

00:23:54.520 that something's going to go the way you want it to go you put blacks and republicans on the same team 0.65

00:24:00.360 it's pretty strong all right so there's always a risk and i think you are uh completely i think

00:24:08.120 you're completely reasonable in worrying about things being permanent that's a reasonable risk

00:24:14.440 and i don't deny that it's a risk i just think you have to put it in context a little bit better

00:24:19.400 um so there's that i i guess we have to talk about this matt gates story some more you know

00:24:29.640 nobody misses trump more than uh anybody who gets in the news lately because you hope that the next

00:24:37.400 story will knock you off the headlines but this matt gates thing is just going to sit there until

00:24:42.440 there's some new news and apparently we're not making any new news lately because trump isn't in it

00:24:48.040 so here are the things we know and there's so much there's so much like creepy about this story

00:24:57.480 and i don't mean from you know matt gates in particular i mean everything about it is creepy

00:25:03.560 but there are some interesting questions which have arisen number one it seems that uh gates is

00:25:11.560 certainly being hurt by association so there's this guy named greenberg who has far more uh specific

00:25:19.720 and damning allegations so the allegations against this greenberg guy who matt gates does know well

00:25:26.520 enough he spent some time with him um the greenberg allegations look really really bad no doubt about

00:25:33.880 that the gates allegations are different and it also would completely explained why gates would be

00:25:43.400 uh let's say a subject as opposed to a target because the evidence we have suggests that matt gates would

00:25:50.120 have information that would be useful to the greenberg question so uh and i do understand that some

00:25:58.680 some sometimes and not not rarely somebody who's a subject can become a target if they find out enough

00:26:06.840 but that doesn't have to go that way so at the moment we don't even know if anybody has any bad

00:26:15.160 you know verified information about matt gates so we in the public don't know that but that's a little

00:26:20.920 hidden by the fact that they're doing this guilt by association

00:26:24.840 and you know maybe this and maybe that and it's alleged this and reported that and there's so

00:26:31.080 much smoke that you can easily imagine that something specific about matt gates has been said that's

00:26:37.640 illegal i don't know that's the case and here's why i don't know and it's because there's some things

00:26:44.280 about the law that i find confusing um here here well let me deal with this hula hoop thing first so

00:26:57.000 there's a story that matt gates showed somebody a picture of some naked women and one of them had a

00:27:01.960 hula hoop now that is the most dickish thing i've ever seen cnn report imagine you're one of the women 1.00

00:27:11.480 who had spent some time with matt gates and you heard that he'd shown some pictures

00:27:17.000 of naked women to somebody and you say to yourself uh oh i hope that wasn't me 0.96

00:27:24.360 but at least you can assume maybe it wasn't which would be at least some comfort you'd say well i'm

00:27:30.440 sure i'm not the only one who allowed him to take a naked picture so it might have been somebody else

00:27:36.280 but as soon as cnn throws this hula hoop thing in there there is somebody in the world who knows

00:27:42.600 that's them now what was the news value of including this the hula hoop detail what was the news value

00:27:52.280 of that i get the news value of the larger story but when you're talking about this poor woman who not 0.98

00:28:01.160 only there's a naked picture of her so that's bad enough but they have to mention the freaking hula 1.00

00:28:07.560 hoop so that she can know for sure that somebody was looking at her naked pictures that is messed up 1.00

00:28:16.600 right when you talk about cnn being the enemy of the people it would be hard to find a better better

00:28:22.600 example than that there is no news value to including the hula hoop none it just

00:28:29.800 fucks up this woman's life a little bit extra and she wasn't the one we were mad at right she's not the 1.00

00:28:37.080 one who got elected this is fucked up cnn fucked up you just took a normal citizen and just 0.99

00:28:46.520 just just ruined her fucking year right real good job cnn i mean this is disgusting 0.98

00:28:57.080 everything that we've heard about matt gates and you could you could have your own opinions about

00:29:02.040 that i'm not gonna i'm not gonna argue with you how you what opinion you would like to have about

00:29:06.840 this story please you're welcome to it i'm not going to talk you out of it but if you're telling

00:29:12.600 me that what he did even if it's all true even if it's all true it wasn't as bad as what cnn just

00:29:19.160 did right in front of you and we don't even have to wonder if that's true because cnn just did it in

00:29:25.080 front of you they just threw this woman under a bus for fucking nothing just so you would have 1.00

00:29:32.280 that little extra thing in your head to feel bad about matt gates that's disgusting that is disgusting 0.94

00:29:43.320 anyway so enough about that here are some questions i have about this whole situation you're probably

00:29:49.480 aware that the legal age um for consent varies by state did you know that what matt gates did

00:30:00.040 allegedly so we don't know if any of this is true but if he allegedly was with a 17 year old

00:30:05.960 what percentage of states would that be legal

00:30:13.880 how many how many states as a percentage of all the states

00:30:18.680 in how many states would that be perfectly legal just guess i think it's about 80 percent

00:30:26.280 yeah it's most about 80 percent of the states don't even have a law against it

00:30:31.720 not even any law now there's a separate question about payment and a separate question about state

00:30:38.280 lines and we'll talk about that but the first thing you need to know is that he's blamed for something

00:30:44.440 that 80 percent of the states don't even think should be illegal that's important

00:30:53.400 but i have more questions part of the allegations is that um there was money involved and we'll talk

00:31:00.040 about that separately but money involved to cross a state line to have for the purpose of having sex

00:31:10.760 what year is this i thought this was 2021

00:31:15.960 now i get that the federal government needs to be involved if something crosses state lines so that

00:31:20.600 that part's clear right because the state can't handle it if it's a multi-state thing

00:31:24.760 the feds have to do it but why is this illegal let me ask you this let's say you were in one of

00:31:34.120 the 20 of the states ish where uh where being with a 17 year old if you're an adult male let's say

00:31:42.440 actually it doesn't matter the genders you can reverse the genders it's the same legal question

00:31:47.800 and let's say that you said hey 17 year old it would be totally illegal to do what we

00:31:54.520 would both like to do willingly in this state so here's what we're going to do uh i'll meet you

00:32:01.480 in florida where it's legal and uh since you don't have money i'll pay for your trip

00:32:11.480 so it would it not and again this is a question it's not a statement would it be illegal for someone

00:32:18.280 to say doing this activity is illegal in my state so why don't we spend a little money

00:32:24.520 and go uh 10 miles to the east and we'll be in a different state where it's completely legal

00:32:30.920 and then we'll do completely legal things and then we'll drive home i think you go to jail for that

00:32:38.920 right because that would be paying somebody to cross state lines for the purpose of sex 1.00

00:32:45.640 yeah so i'm seeing in the comments somebody says uh it would be illegal to go to a state to do a legal

00:32:55.720 thing to do something that's legal would be illegal do you get that it would be illegal to go do something

00:33:07.960 legal because you crossed the state line to do it now do you think that was the point of the law

00:33:14.040 law do you think that the people wrote the law said well we'll get these people who who think they're

00:33:20.120 going to be clever and go do something legal so that's my first question is how does that work secondly

00:33:32.920 there's the part of the story is that there there was one allegedly 17 year old

00:33:40.760 that matt gates allegedly had some contact with that would be illegal here's my question the second

00:33:47.480 part of the story is that this greenberg guy was the one who found her and that he found her on a

00:33:53.640 website where women advertise you know that they will do things for for money now do you think that that 1.00

00:34:01.800 website that she was on where she was originally found in which the whole point of the website is

00:34:09.560 money for sex that's the whole point of it do you think that website let an underage person sign up

00:34:15.320 intentionally do you think that they did no no at some point if this person exists we don't know that yet

00:34:25.800 but if there's a real 17 year old she had to lie about her age to be on the site in the first place

00:34:36.840 right so if she lied about her age to the to the website which seems almost guaranteed that that 0.92

00:34:44.200 had to happen because they wouldn't let her on otherwise what would that say about um both greenberg and

00:34:53.400 matt gates is it illegal if you don't know and is it illegal if all the indications are that there's

00:35:01.480 no law broken now i get that i do understand that uh ignorance of the law is no excuse but that's not

00:35:09.960 what this is this would not be ignorance of the law this would be ignorance of a fact because somebody

00:35:17.720 lied to you somebody lied to him if that's what happened we don't know that that's the case so

00:35:26.360 um the only thing we've heard about matt gates is that there's one 17 year old which would be legal in

00:35:33.400 every state the act the paying the money for it here's what's interesting about that

00:35:41.560 am i wrong that the left is pro-sex worker right it seems to me that the left is very pro-sex work

00:35:50.920 so it i would think that the left would be defending matt gates of course not in the real world but in

00:35:56.520 terms of being consistent they should say hey yeah we get that it's illegal but maybe it shouldn't be

00:36:04.040 now the the part about this being 17 would of course be illegal right so that the part about

00:36:09.720 the 17 that's you know that's automatically a problem okay by the way is there anybody uh i'd

00:36:17.880 like to see if there are any that i'm gonna have a swearing alert i should have warned you before but

00:36:23.880 is there anybody so dumb that they think i'm defending matt gates now in the comments let me see uh all the

00:36:30.840 dumb people will you will you uh confess how many think i'm defending matt gates in the comments just 0.54

00:36:38.600 go ahead and say it because i want to see how many dumb people are here kind of one dumb person

00:36:45.400 um let's see any more dumb people

00:36:48.120 um nope nope so a lot of smart people okay um somebody says florida is 18 yeah the the point of

00:36:58.280 course is just states are different um no no no are you kidding no no okay good see i think that my

00:37:07.880 audience is um and i say this honestly i think my audience is like five times smarter than the average

00:37:14.600 public right so you can talk about things without defending them you can say there's something good

00:37:24.200 about this and there's something bad about it without being an apologist right i'm glad that

00:37:29.000 you're most of you are smart enough to understand that a lot of the world does not all right so we

00:37:35.240 don't know what matt gates did or did not that's his business it's not for me to defend him he's on his

00:37:39.880 own on that and he is he's on his own but i just have these questions about why you know what makes

00:37:47.560 it illegal if you didn't know he was doing it i feel as if you'd have to know you were committing

00:37:53.240 the crime to be punished for it all right um

00:38:01.640 so that's that um on the vaccine passport stuff i'm seeing some people online saying that

00:38:09.080 they believe my opinion was based on my own fear of mortality and that some people think i was

00:38:16.840 more favorable in concept to vaccine passports because the real problem is i'm afraid of dying because

00:38:23.480 i'm old let me say this as clearly as possible i've had a good run i don't fear death at all

00:38:32.360 not at all i i spend zero time worrying about death i really do not from the coronavirus not

00:38:41.000 from crime not from disease i don't spend any time thinking about it you know it's gonna come we all

00:38:47.880 get our chance right we're all gonna die but um i really don't think about it and i certainly am

00:38:54.760 not worrying about the coronavirus killing me at the moment you know yet so he says they don't believe

00:39:00.360 me now i suppose i suppose uh but you do get that my risk of death is so small

00:39:11.400 that being concerned about that particular risk of all the things i could die of in the next you

00:39:17.560 know years what what are the odds that i would die of coronavirus you know that i know the odds of that

00:39:24.120 are vanishingly small you know i'll probably get my vaccination within a few days my my risk

00:39:33.640 it's just almost nothing i only care about the economy opening up in a good way because that's good

00:39:39.800 for everybody so now i'm not worried about my personal death it's literally the last thing i'm worried about

00:39:46.280 um let's talk about the floyd trial you know i didn't think there would be lots of twists and

00:39:54.040 turns in this thing but it's you know you're always surprised when lawyers get involved it's like

00:40:00.120 reality just starts changing right in front of you you know you hear the defense and reality changes

00:40:06.200 you hear the prosecution that changes again and i didn't think there would be twists and turns but here's

00:40:12.840 one it turns out that when uh george floyd was calling out for his mama which is not funny like

00:40:20.840 if don't think i'm making fun of this this is all serious uh that he was calling for his mama as he was

00:40:26.920 taking his last breaths of life apparently that we found out that that's the the nickname he uses for

00:40:33.480 his girlfriend and while that's not important to the crime it might be important to how people

00:40:42.120 processed it the the amount of energy that in emotion that they put into it somebody crying for their

00:40:49.240 mother is different from somebody crying for their girlfriend right now that doesn't mean he wasn't

00:40:55.560 crying for his mother because it does seem it seems sort of more likely that that would happen right

00:41:03.400 maybe he just likes this word mama he calls everybody mama i don't know but we didn't expect that

00:41:09.160 not that this should change i don't think that'll change the verdict in any way um

00:41:15.640 now here's the thing we talked about what makes something murder and i would say that there's no chance

00:41:21.640 that derek shaven was intending to murder him and in fact the charges don't even don't even

00:41:29.320 include premeditated but rather the charges assume that a person in that situation would know

00:41:35.960 they were putting somebody in a they're putting someone else in a situation where the risk of

00:41:41.480 death was high enough that they shouldn't have done it like they should have known not to put

00:41:46.440 somebody in that situation so that's what makes it murder okay you didn't try to kill him you just

00:41:52.600 put him in a situation you knew could result in that and you didn't care so you're sort of a murderer if

00:41:59.560 you did that now let's say we accept that as a standard i'm not arguing for it or against it i'm

00:42:06.520 just going to ask ask you this how would you not apply that to the person who sold him fentanyl

00:42:13.400 because here's my point a drug dealer generally knows that they're selling fentanyl

00:42:19.160 but the person who buys it might not now i'm going to correct something i said uh on a tweet

00:42:27.000 i may have said it out loud too i said that and this is this is what i'm going to correct but i

00:42:31.800 first said no one knowingly takes fentanyl dealers put it in pills they sell as xanax or or bars as they

00:42:38.680 call them and in other drugs dealers know they're selling it but buyers don't know they're buying it

00:42:44.680 they think they're getting some other drug that's safer and now under that condition would that be

00:42:50.440 murder if the dealer knows they're putting a buyer in a situation where the odds of death

00:42:56.920 are pretty high and they don't tell them have they not murdered them should they die of an overdose

00:43:04.360 i say yes i say that's murder because they willingly put them in a situation that is likely to die

00:43:11.800 and the person in that situation didn't choose it they did not choose to be in the unlikely to die from

00:43:17.880 fentanyl situation so why does law enforcement not uh arrest the dealer under exactly the same terms

00:43:29.240 and wouldn't it be interesting if there were two murder trials one for the police officer just as we see

00:43:36.520 and a separate one for the the fentanyl dealer under exactly the same terms now i heard somebody say

00:43:45.640 scott scott scott you don't you don't prosecute the dealer because there's so many other things

00:43:52.600 involved you know the person willingly took the drug but which i say they didn't willingly take the drug

00:43:58.600 they willingly took what they thought was some other drug right um and by the way the the part i'm

00:44:05.880 going to correct is when i said that the um the buyer never knows they're getting fentanyl i did hear

00:44:13.080 from somebody who knows more than i do saying no sometimes the buyer does know they're getting fentanyl

00:44:18.440 sometimes they do know um i think that is more typical when it's not a pill if you're buying a pill

00:44:26.680 it's usually uh counterfeited to look like something else like a xanax for example

00:44:31.960 so in those cases i don't think that people know they're buying fentanyl that's probably what killed

00:44:37.640 my stepson he had fentanyl in him he would never in fact he told me a week earlier and he would never

00:44:45.880 touch something that had fentanyl in it he knew that he knew it he knew a cold and a week later

00:44:51.240 he was dead from it because he didn't know what was in it i guess i don't know that for sure but

00:44:56.520 that's the the fair assumption but there are people who are addicts who do know what they're getting

00:45:01.880 but they also tend to be operating at a higher level and they're going to be a little more careful

00:45:06.760 with it because they know they have something deadly now i don't know what the stats are but my guess

00:45:12.200 is that the people who know they're buying something deadly probably treat it like it's

00:45:17.720 deadly and may not have as many ods as someone who didn't even know they had it because they're not

00:45:24.040 trying to they're not trying to protect themselves i'll give you a specific example uh i was told once

00:45:30.920 that um what kills fentanyl people uh if they overdose and pass out is their head goes down

00:45:37.800 and they cut off their own air supply without waking up because their head drips drops down

00:45:43.640 and so i under my understanding is if you're an experienced addict and you know you have fentanyl

00:45:49.240 you make sure that you're sitting in a chair with your head back when you fall asleep

00:45:53.400 the odds of dying in that position are way less this is what i've been told and i'm not 100 confident

00:46:00.680 about this and that uh there might be there might be some stats that show that if you know you have

00:46:07.480 fentanyl you're much less likely to die from it don't know that's true but you know i would look for

00:46:13.400 that stat anyway i would say this um we don't we don't prosecute the gun manufacturer if somebody buys

00:46:24.760 a gun and shoots somebody because we say those are different things it's legal to make a gun it's not

00:46:30.520 legal to shoot somebody so it's the shooter that matters in this fentanyl case the the fentanyl

00:46:36.600 dealer was the last person in the chain it's like firing the gun the fentanyl dealer is more like the

00:46:43.800 person who pulled the trigger because there's the there's the last person that gave you the bullet

00:46:48.680 and the bullet being the fentanyl all right um here's another question that i have

00:46:55.880 um can you if you're on two knees let's say one knee is on the ground and one knee is on somebody's

00:47:05.720 neck can you transfer your weight such that your knee that's on the ground is absorbing most of the

00:47:14.040 weight and your knee that's on the suspect is less you know just enough to make sure he doesn't jump up

00:47:20.840 but you know far less than would take than it would be to kill him and i was looking at the the most

00:47:29.240 famous photo of shaven on the back of the on on floyd take a look at all the photos and i don't know

00:47:38.120 if this will be in the defense so it's just a question if you look at the photos you'll see that

00:47:43.880 shaven is not directly upright on his knees you'll see that he's cheating to one side he's actually

00:47:51.080 leaning now is the leaning something that would cause the weight to be non-distributed in the right

00:48:00.440 way does the leaning show that he's putting most of his weight on floyd which would be the the worst

00:48:06.120 thing or does the way he leans suggest that maybe he's intentionally you know not putting maximum force

00:48:12.920 there you can't tell exactly but here's the test i would do if i were the defense i would take a

00:48:21.480 weighing device some kind of a scale that that you put weight on and it measures i would and the scale

00:48:29.080 let's say the scale is about this tall that's similar to a neck and i would say um client

00:48:36.920 derek shaven uh put one knee in the ground in front of the jury and put one knee on the scale

00:48:43.640 now push down on the scale and you know it would show you know 100 100 pounds of weight or whatever

00:48:49.800 he weighs half of it and uh it wouldn't be 100 pounds right and then they would say okay

00:48:57.560 now put most of your weight on the floor and let's see what the the scale says and then then derek would

00:49:04.680 just you know do this you'd you basically wouldn't be able to tell and you would see that the scale goes

00:49:11.480 from you know five pounds of pressure to nothing or whatever so i feel as if if you're arguing

00:49:20.200 reasonable doubt

00:49:21.240 chauvin weighs about somebody says maybe 150 or so yeah he looks at i would think that if you're

00:49:30.760 arguing reasonable doubt you would have to know how much pressure each knee was putting down

00:49:36.200 and that there's no way to know if the uh if the coroner didn't find any damage to the neck

00:49:45.720 and visually you can't tell because remember the defense has to has to defend against the videos

00:49:53.000 and the photos so people think they're seeing something that they know what they're seeing on

00:49:57.640 the video and the photos all you have to do is say here's look look at my client he's right in front of

00:50:03.960 you can you tell what pressure he's putting on the scale just by looking at him no you can't tell

00:50:11.960 and once you can't tell it in live live in person you would understand that you also couldn't tell when

00:50:17.800 you saw the video so if the defense proves that the fentanyl was enough that it could have killed him

00:50:25.160 i just don't see how anybody's going to get convicted for murder might be some other lesser charge i guess

00:50:33.160 um

00:50:36.040 all right is there anything else happening

00:50:42.680 i'm going to look at your comments for a moment

00:50:50.680 floyd's face was ground into the pavement somebody says

00:50:55.160 uh but i don't know that uh you know i i would imagine that abrasions are fairly common

00:51:03.880 in in arrests where there's some resistance i don't know that that's the big problem

00:51:10.360 somebody saying that floyd had three times the amount it would take to overdose here's my question

00:51:15.480 there there was some suggestion or allegation that uh floyd may have taken some pills when he got

00:51:23.160 stopped so that they wouldn't be discovered that's that's the assumption now i don't think that's

00:51:28.360 been demonstrated right um somebody can tell me has the trial has the trial presented any evidence that

00:51:35.560 he took any pills when he got stopped um because even if he did i don't know that they would work that

00:51:43.000 quickly that i don't think they would kill him in nine minutes would they even if even if it was too much

00:51:47.640 fentanyl would happen that quickly all right i don't know um

00:51:55.960 yeah the dealer is the real killer exactly i think the dealer should be tried for murder

00:52:02.120 in fact i think every fentanyl dealer should be tried for murder

00:52:05.960 uh drug tolerance varies considerably yeah that's fair

00:52:15.240 um

00:52:20.280 he was yeah we know he was high before the stop we just don't know if he added to it during the stop

00:52:27.240 or if the enough time had gone by that it made any difference

00:52:31.000 all right lots of comments today

00:52:37.640 um

00:52:41.640 okay that's all i got for now um i will talk to you

00:52:46.120 tomorrow um i added some more um micro lessons to the locals platform if anybody would like to

00:52:53.720 subscribe there uh yesterday's lesson was how to tell a good story

00:52:57.240 now by the way what i'm doing on the locals platform is sort of a uh in a way it's a lot of

00:53:04.120 things but one of the things it is is a test of how to educate using video as a tool and i'm trying

00:53:11.080 things while educating my followers in a bunch of micro lessons that are designed to be specifically

00:53:18.920 very useful in your life right so very practical stuff and well i'm going to give you a preview of how

00:53:26.040 that's going number one keeping them really short seems to be really important it also makes them

00:53:31.880 easily searchable and then you can go back etc the other thing is um what online uh teaching usually

00:53:40.840 gets wrong is they just take a regular teacher and say okay do what you were doing before but just do

00:53:46.360 it in front of a camera bad idea uh and even if you take say an ivy league instructor and say well

00:53:53.320 this person's teaching at stanford or harvard they must be one of the best people there is

00:53:58.680 not necessarily they could be good at publishing right because that's how you keep your job publish a lot of

00:54:05.000 papers so uh i'm going to say something deeply immodest and i do it for the point of making the point right if

00:54:14.360 i don't if i don't if i don't do that i can't make the point and the point is this i'm unusually good at

00:54:21.080 explaining things probably world class i would guess it has a lot to do with the fact that's what i do for

00:54:28.680 my job right i simplify to make a comic i simplify for books i explain things in public so i'm kind of a

00:54:37.320 a 30-year experienced explainer people like me are kind of rare but you only need a few per topic and

00:54:47.800 you've got all the topics right so if you found somebody who is one of the best explainers and put

00:54:54.200 them on video you're not going to get the same outcome as somebody who just got a good job at a

00:55:00.280 good university being an instructor big difference big difference between the best explainer and

00:55:09.000 somebody who just has a job in that field it would be like you play basketball and michael michael jordan

00:55:16.600 played basketball but you're not really the same even though you both play basketball you can't say

00:55:23.560 there's anything in common right so the difference the the thing that online training has as the

00:55:30.280 greatest long-term potential is that the the very best explainers eventually will gravitate toward it

00:55:38.680 but not until there's an economic incentive and i think these micro lessons will become a standard for

00:55:46.520 education in general i think that a class will be a series of micro lessons you know

00:55:53.400 a 45 minute class will turn into three or four micro lessons plus you know some gabbing about them

00:55:59.640 and then when you go to study you just look at the two minute clip oh got it two minutes got it

00:56:05.320 so i think that's where everything's going

00:56:10.440 um and uh the experiment i would say has been a huge success if you looked at the comments from the

00:56:17.560 people who are looking at the micro lessons they don't get bored because they're short

00:56:23.240 it's on point with something that's useful and oh i i guess here's the takeaway and uh i would say

00:56:31.080 the pioneer in this was the ted talks how many of you have watched a ted talk and thought to yourself

00:56:38.520 that the reason you're watching it is just entertainment probably quite a few of you right but a ted talk is

00:56:44.840 information it's it's uh education it's a knowledge transfer but you go to school and it's also education

00:56:53.720 and facts and knowledge transfer and it's deadly boring what did ted what did the ted talks do

00:56:59.960 to change education into entertainment it's pretty obvious what they did they kept it short and they

00:57:10.280 didn't get somebody who's just pretty good at explaining things they got the best person in the world

00:57:16.760 ish for each topic so when you're watching a ted talk you're watching the best explainer

00:57:24.680 for that topic you might ever see and they keep it in 15 minutes 15 minutes is too long

00:57:33.640 you know 15 minutes did seem short when ted started because we all had longer attention spans

00:57:39.400 right ted is 20 years old 25 years old back then we we could watch three-hour things so when they

00:57:49.560 said hey it's only going to be 15 minutes people said what how are we going to jam it all in 15 minutes

00:57:56.200 and then it was easy they all can do it why because you're not asking bad explainers to do it you're

00:58:03.400 asking the best explainers in the world to get it into 15 minutes they can do it they can also get it

00:58:11.080 into five if you watch a ted talk by

00:58:14.200 2021 standards

00:58:22.200 it looks sort of like too long somebody says 18 minutes i don't know if it is i thought it used to

00:58:29.000 be 15. so that's where everything's going the ted talk started it i'm just extending it it makes a huge

00:58:36.360 difference and uh i think that's going to be great for uh for education in the future

00:58:45.400 all right that's all for now i'll talk to you tomorrow

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 02, 2021

Episode 1332 Scott Adams： FDA Approves Rapid Home Tests, Wokeness Emergencies, Hula Hoops, and Fresh Fake News

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