Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1354 Scott Adams： Is This a Golden Age？ Yes it is, But in Disguise. Let's Simultaneously Sip to That

00:00:00.000 um hello everybody what a great day this is unbelievable i'm coming to you unshaved

00:00:11.960 unshowered and dressed poorly it's just the way you like me yeah you do it's uh it's true the

00:00:20.540 more comfortable you are the happier you are and suppose just hypothetically you wanted to enjoy

00:00:27.960 this experience which is the doorway to the golden age which i'll be developing as a thesis in a

00:00:36.080 moment but to get ready to be absolutely ready all you need is a cup or mug or glass a tanker gel

00:00:44.620 stein a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee

00:00:48.380 join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the domo bean hit of the day the thing that makes

00:00:54.500 everything better it's the beginning of the golden age and it happens now it's called the

00:01:00.680 simultaneous sip ready go

00:01:03.260 oh yeah so here is the thesis i'm about to develop that we have entered the golden age or a golden

00:01:17.620 maybe we don't have just one but that the amazingness of our time is completely concealed

00:01:26.560 by what what you know fake news that's right the fake news if we did not have a fake news industry

00:01:37.440 assigning people opinions we'd be in really good shape right now and i'm going to walk through the

00:01:44.360 headlines and i'm going to give you a sense of how misleading things are right now things are way

00:01:51.080 better than ever i think i i would bet that this moment is the best moment in human history

00:01:58.760 i think so let's look at the headlines and find out what kind of horrible problems the news is reporting

00:02:06.080 that was weird um one of the big headlines that's trending is that uh apparently elon musk used

00:02:18.600 somebody's meme without permission yeah that's one of the big stories today just just try to hold that

00:02:27.540 in your head one of the biggest stories trending on twitter right now is that elon musk used

00:02:35.640 somebody's meme without giving them credit that's real that's one of our big problems today

00:02:44.020 all right other news three different agencies put together they're launching some astronauts into the

00:02:51.740 international space station other news a device just created oxygen on mars a little bit but it's a

00:03:01.880 start we just flew we we the civilization let's say just put a helicopter on mars that just happened

00:03:12.940 all right so there's some of the good news now you're worried about biden's climate plan

00:03:18.500 destroying the economy and taking away your hamburgers and you're worried about his tax plan

00:03:24.880 robbing your robbing your robbing your wallet but i don't know if either of those things are going

00:03:30.700 to happen and if some version of them does happen people are really good at adjusting you know i remember

00:03:39.760 when taxes were higher under uh who was it clinton the economy was great right now i don't like higher

00:03:47.620 taxes i'm not a fan but it is true that we're not terribly good at predicting what happens

00:03:53.360 when taxes go up and down we're just not good at it uh warren buffett famously said that he's never

00:04:01.680 made an investment decision because of the tax rates think about that the most successful investor

00:04:09.120 buys and sells companies uh he's never made a decision based on the tax rate it's either a good deal

00:04:16.240 or it's not and even the taxes doesn't seem to change things because he's looking for really

00:04:22.040 good deals so that you know taxes won't make the difference so you might not see a gigantic difference

00:04:28.360 uh right now the stock market's looking pretty strong looking pretty good uh actually uh warren buffett

00:04:36.380 does sell somebody says he doesn't sell he holds for the long term but he does sell companies that's a

00:04:41.900 real thing he does fairly frequently actually he reduces his stake and stuff um so i'm going to count

00:04:48.580 on the republicans in congress to do what they need to do to uh stop or modify biden's climate and tax

00:04:56.400 plans and if something happens in that realm we're not going to die we're not we're just not going to

00:05:03.280 die if any of those things happen we'll adjust we always do here's a little news from alternate

00:05:09.760 juror on the floyd case i didn't realize this but apparently the alternate jurors don't know their

00:05:16.700 alternates until you get right i guess really close to deliberation did you know that i don't know why

00:05:23.360 i didn't know that but it makes sense because if if you think you're an alternate the whole time

00:05:29.360 then you feel like you're wasting your time and maybe you don't pay attention so much so it's actually

00:05:35.820 kind of smart that they don't tell you who are the alternates until they're ready to deliberate

00:05:40.120 so one of the alternates who was released before deliberation um said the following and it needs to

00:05:47.920 be read in its exact quote so you can understand it and this woman said i had mixed feelings uh oh the 0.97

00:05:54.880 question was did you want to be a juror and this released alternate said i had mixed feelings

00:06:01.240 there was a question on the questionnaire about it and uh i put i did not know the reason at the

00:06:06.640 time was that i did not know what the outcome was going to be so i felt like either way you're going

00:06:13.140 to disappoint one group or the other i did not want to go through rioting and destruction again

00:06:20.360 and i was concerned about people coming to my house if they were not happy with the verdict

00:06:27.020 uh sounds like we don't really have a verdict here does it in the sense that is there any chance

00:06:39.520 this won't be reversed on appeal i think dershowitz says this is sort of a fairly obvious one that will

00:06:47.360 be reversed i don't know if you can predict those things that well but to me it looks obvious and i'm

00:06:55.340 not a lawyer so what's that mean it means nothing if it's obvious to me but do you believe this is

00:07:02.960 the one the one juror and how lucky we are that she was released and she was only an alternate

00:07:08.840 do you believe for a second that the rest of the jurors were completely free of this thinking

00:07:14.740 because if they were thinking what would happen to them based on the decision that is not a fair trial

00:07:23.580 but here's the weirdest thing about this whole uh george floyd thing uh as most of you have noted

00:07:31.300 it should have been the most and i think it will be actually in the long run uh should have been the

00:07:37.640 most healing and unifying thing that ever happened in this country tragedy of course we had no no

00:07:44.660 disrespect to the floyd family but it's because it's tragedy but sometimes tragedies can have a perverse

00:07:53.240 you know good impact if it causes you to fix something later and i think this was a perfect

00:07:58.420 example this was this is one example where white people and black people looked at the video

00:08:03.700 largely had the same opinion largely you know there's always somebody 25 of the public will disagree with

00:08:10.940 everything but largely white people black people people of color of all sorts looked at the video and

00:08:18.300 said that ain't right whatever that is that's not right

00:08:22.880 but because the fake news uh forces us to take sides it looked like it was more disagreement than it

00:08:31.800 really was but rasmussen has some uh polling numbers about how people feel about the verdict

00:08:37.260 and here you go democrats if you add together the agree and somewhat somewhat agree you could argue

00:08:45.360 whether it's fair to do that but i'm going to do it in this case so i'm adding together the people

00:08:50.160 who are leaning toward agreeing and agreeing and democrats 87 of them said they um they agree with

00:08:57.920 the verdict 87 pretty good now what typically happens when most of the democrats are on one side of

00:09:07.340 anything typically republicans are going to be on the other side but not this time 58 of republicans also

00:09:17.120 agreed or somewhat agreed with it and that's a pretty strong majority it's not 87 but it is two sides that

00:09:25.160 are both strongly on the same side when was the last time right really when was the last time

00:09:34.320 that both republicans and democrats were strongly on the same side now imagine if you had scrubbed out

00:09:41.700 the effect of the fake news it's probably just about the same if you took the fake news uh effect out

00:09:50.660 where it sort of drives people to a to a team instead of looking at the facts this is probably pretty

00:09:56.520 close pretty close to something everybody agrees on somebody in the comments is saying 9-11 was the last

00:10:02.440 time i don't know if that's true but might be uh let's look at some more uh will the question

00:10:10.580 rasmussen asked also is will the floyd verdict make race relations better 21 of everybody uh this is

00:10:19.520 likely voters not everybody in the world but likely american voters 21 said it would make race relations

00:10:25.660 better 31 thought it would be make things worse that feels like also a difference in what what news

00:10:35.100 you're consuming that doesn't feel like a real opinion does it it feels like an assigned opinion a

00:10:41.040 little bit but there's not much difference they're both way less than half they're both down in that

00:10:46.280 you know quarter third range um and here's another one how much did politics influence the outcome of

00:10:54.140 the uh chauvin floyd trial uh so i added together the people who said it politics influenced it a lot

00:11:01.460 and the people who said it influenced it somewhat so these are people you know sort of leading in a

00:11:07.420 direction or in that direction gop said this 71 percent with 71 percent of uh republicans or yeah

00:11:16.880 conservatives i don't know it's about the same i'm speaking in messy terms gop conservatives etc but

00:11:24.300 that world 71 percent of them said politics influenced the outcome and democrats also said 48 percent of them

00:11:33.320 said that so a little less than half of democrats but 71 percent of the uh conservatives republicans

00:11:42.000 said that uh in politics was in it so i would say in this case both sides are strongly 48 percent is a lot

00:11:51.240 of people so even the democrats are kind of strongly accepting that politics was a big part of it now

00:11:58.760 the people who said that politics was not part of the decision did they mean it this is the kind of

00:12:06.940 question where people kind of answer the way they want the poll to turn out i don't know if it's exactly

00:12:13.000 what they're feeling or if they want the public to think that politics did not influence the outcome

00:12:19.620 because i can't really believe you could get more than one in four people because the one in four will

00:12:26.200 say anything but i can't believe that three out of four people would disagree on the question of

00:12:33.300 whether politics had an influence i feel like anybody who acted like it wasn't the case was probably

00:12:39.760 acting that's just speculation all right so my point is that the country is fairly fairly unified

00:12:50.280 the george floyd floyd floyd thing did something to uh white minds that was invaluable i would say for

00:13:00.780 the benefit of the country certainly invaluable if you were a black uh american and you've been trying

00:13:07.580 to make this point and and the point is do you understand you know what it feels like what what the life

00:13:16.800 is like you know what daily life is like what kind of fear there is and how real this is do you

00:13:23.680 understand it white america and the answer before george floyd was not really not really i mean we could

00:13:31.420 hear it we could hear you talking about it but you know that's not really persuasive you can look at

00:13:37.860 some data and data isn't really persuasive but when you see it on the video and you see it over and

00:13:44.880 over again even though to and i know you're going to say this in the comments even though the video

00:13:50.840 might have been a little misleading might have been a lot misleading but it exists so i'm not going to

00:13:57.420 talk about the the factual element of it i'm going to talk about how it makes you feel and i think that

00:14:02.960 this was the best um if if george floyd and his family was let's say his family wants to feel that

00:14:12.660 his death had meaning it really did in a positive way you know you hate to celebrate somebody who

00:14:21.440 might have had a criminal past and was on drugs etc um i'm not condemning him for that stuff either

00:14:28.420 i'm just saying normally you don't want to celebrate somebody who's got a checkered past

00:14:32.400 but the truth is that his life for whatever reason became the the the most the most accurate

00:14:41.920 communication of how one group americans were feeling and the other group couldn't couldn't feel it

00:14:49.620 couldn't see it and then that gap was closed by this process is that good for the country i'd say yes

00:14:57.600 because anything that increases understanding at such a fundamental level and on something that's

00:15:03.700 so important to the the psychology and the experience of life that's a really big deal and i would say

00:15:10.640 that it supports the golden age hypothesis that um the the news won't let us believe this but this was

00:15:19.160 in fact probably the most unifying experience this country has ever had

00:15:26.100 doesn't feel like it doesn't because the news just wants it to be you know a constant uh fight

00:15:34.620 but this was the most unifying thing i've ever experienced you know you could say landing on the moon

00:15:42.340 in 1969 it was unifying but not in the political sense let's talk about lebron james

00:15:49.700 um you know a lot of conservatives are beating up on lebron especially since he uh made uh i think he

00:15:58.220 would admit it's a mistake he tweeted when the uh the young lady was shot recently by police when she

00:16:06.040 was in the act of trying to stab another young woman um and lebron was incensed by that and tweeted

00:16:12.380 that that that that police officer who did the shooting was next as if you know he's going to be

00:16:18.440 targeted but when people looked at the video they said uh that looks like he just did a good job and

00:16:24.480 saved somebody's life that doesn't look exactly like anything like the floyd thing it looked like good

00:16:31.360 police work not bad police work so lebron deleted his tweet i think you probably realized you know it

00:16:37.760 was a little bit too much of a claim on that one but here's my here's my take on lebron

00:16:45.080 when you're a sports superstar you're kind of pushed to be a leader and that's not necessarily what you

00:16:56.420 signed up for i mean you know it comes with a job but i don't know that he equipped himself or has the

00:17:04.000 right talent stack shall we say for political conversation now does he have the right talent

00:17:10.180 stack for basketball oh yeah i mean ridiculous he has every talent you could ever have you know

00:17:17.720 psychologically mentally mental strength uh you know physicality training dedication i mean he has 0.85

00:17:25.080 he has the whole freaking package but what do we know about what he has learned or what education

00:17:31.500 he's had in communicating leading understanding the world it feels like it's a little short

00:17:38.560 doesn't it now not being unkind this should not be seen as a criticism because i have great

00:17:46.360 appreciation for lebron not only that he's um i think he's genuine meaning i don't think he's trying

00:17:54.460 to fool anybody right he's completely transparent there's no clever trick or anything to it he's

00:18:02.980 telling you exactly what he feels you can disagree with it you could think he's you know maybe not

00:18:09.520 quite as sophisticated in his opinion as it could or should be but i don't think you should doubt his

00:18:15.640 intentions have you ever seen anything from him that would suggest his intentions are bad

00:18:21.120 and i feel like that has to matter right i just don't think you can judge people who may do things

00:18:28.500 differently than you would do them if they have the same intention you have which is to make things 0.62

00:18:34.280 better right now okay i'm seeing people criticizing lebron for being dumb blah blah blah blah but let me ask

00:18:43.500 you this is he so much different and i'm going to make an argument here he has the same problem that 0.86

00:18:51.040 trump had and i use that analogy knowingly provocatively what was the biggest problem

00:18:59.700 that trump had as president it was the fake news wasn't it if if the fake news didn't exist what would

00:19:06.320 trump's uh term have looked like completely differently you know you would interpret everything

00:19:11.640 you did in a different light if fake news didn't exist but fake news does exist and it's affecting all

00:19:19.440 of us it's not just affecting you know ex-presidents lebron is a victim he's a victim i mean it seems weird

00:19:28.220 because he's you know a zillionaire famous athlete top of his game but on this specific thing i believe

00:19:35.440 that the fake news created in him a set of feelings and emotions and beliefs that made it easy for him to

00:19:46.020 misinterpret this next event the shooting of the young woman i i think his filter was just off a little

00:19:53.560 bit and he knows it i mean he knows it now but his filter was a little off but was that his fault

00:19:59.760 was it is that lebron's fault that the entire news industry is feeding fake news and he believed

00:20:09.220 or he sort of bought into the emotional package is that really his fault

00:20:16.500 i don't know i don't know i feel as though um i think we should give him a break in this he's got

00:20:26.020 skin in the game he's trying to help he pulled back his tweet when people complained he's being

00:20:32.520 responsive he's fully transparent i say give lebron a break i feel he's one of the good ones

00:20:39.200 even if you would have played it differently now i i see some complaints about him supporting china

00:20:45.840 blah blah blah that's a different story and i feel like you can treat them separately you know we'll

00:20:51.660 talk about that someday but um you know that that's a tough one all right but it's a different story

00:20:57.660 let me ask you this uh if we're trying to figure out if this is the golden age and by the way

00:21:05.760 keep in mind that my larger theme for today is that we have achieved the we're in the golden age

00:21:11.840 but we just can't see it clearly because of the fake news this lebron story is all positive

00:21:19.640 but somehow it turned negative because of the way we like to argue about stuff having a famous sports star

00:21:27.440 who is very concerned about an issue of great concern is not a problem the fact that he didn't

00:21:35.040 play it the way you would have played it maybe he made a mistake in public looks like he's doing

00:21:40.120 what he can to correct it that's not bad this is the sort of conflict you want you don't want no

00:21:47.440 conflict you want productive conflict and this is it all right um can both of these statements be true

00:21:54.900 here is me screwing people's uh psychology up to try to in a productive way i'm trying to

00:22:02.180 i'm trying to shake up people's thinking and i asked these this question on twitter and man you should

00:22:09.200 look at the comments talk about uh yeah somebody says that lebron should apologize to the officer

00:22:17.260 or he should wait until there's an official ruling right um yeah i think an apology would be

00:22:24.600 called for but um that's a small problem at this point all right so can both of these statements be

00:22:33.400 true number one systemic and direct racism are serious problems in america now i'm not saying

00:22:39.920 that you believe that necessarily some of you don't i happen to believe it's true um as i define it

00:22:47.200 right everybody defines these things a little differently but as i would define these terms definitely true

00:22:53.580 um that there's systemic and direct racism and it's a serious problem in america number two can this

00:23:00.300 also be true at the same time that being black in america in 2021 which is important to the point

00:23:07.220 is an economic advantage if and if is important here if you approach it strategically

00:23:14.580 can both of those statements be true that there is lots of racism in a serious problem but being

00:23:24.240 black in america is an economic advantage if you approach it strategically now what that means i'll

00:23:31.820 just give you one example a strategic way to approach it would be uh to become try to become let's say you

00:23:39.340 got a background in communication and i don't know uh political theory or something uh what would be the

00:23:47.540 most strategic thing you could do if you were black in america in 2021 and you wanted to find uh your

00:23:54.920 advantage become a republican right have you noticed it's hard to notice that a hundred percent of black

00:24:06.640 republicans are doing well has anybody noticed that i mean obviously i'm lying when i say a hundred percent

00:24:14.660 because nothing's a hundred percent but whenever whenever i see anybody who has a republican point of

00:24:21.880 view and is also black how well are they accepted by republicans a hundred percent tim scott is you know

00:24:33.260 going to give some big speech uh if he ran for president could tim scott a black republican could 0.96

00:24:40.540 he become elected president in this party of all these racist republicans of course he could totally 0.99

00:24:48.640 he just has to have the philosophy republicans don't give a rat's ass about anything but are you 0.99

00:24:56.000 following the same set of rules do you like our constitution are you going to take it seriously 0.95

00:25:00.960 we're done you know a little religion on top bonus bonus didn't need it wasn't necessary i don't bring

00:25:11.160 you any religious beliefs and you accept me most of you are conservative or republicans if i know my

00:25:17.020 audience so it's really easy to be you know not a hundred percent compatible with the republican thought

00:25:25.800 but if you buy into the constitution part and the you know self-determination and some of the just

00:25:32.120 basics of of you know taking responsibility republicans love you there's no problem at all

00:25:40.020 and it's just the fake news that would make you think this would ever be a problem now let's say that

00:25:45.600 you're black in america but you don't want to become a republican you know there's some issues there

00:25:50.840 what would be another strategic thing you could do get your education as best you can our school

00:25:58.300 system is terrible but as best you can and then find out that corporate america prefers you

00:26:04.200 every time because corporate america is under diversified they know they have to fix it

00:26:10.760 qualified black candidate walks in the door gets a job every time it is first in line for promotion 0.99

00:26:18.320 all right now that doesn't change the fact that maybe there are infinite small businesses that 0.98

00:26:25.100 would discriminate and you know if you go into the i'll just pick one random example if a black man

00:26:30.860 walks into a korean uh grocery store in an urban area can the black guy get a job in the korean grocery

00:26:38.840 store sometimes yes but there might be a little extra racism involved in the hiring i don't so nobody would

00:26:46.460 doubt that but then just use your strategy and go where it's the opposite where you would be picked

00:26:53.040 first strategic advantage so i put this out here because it's the fake news that wants to hide this

00:27:00.360 important point which i believe is a good indicator of the golden age somebody says that's why you didn't

00:27:09.620 get promoted scott yeah if you're white in america and you're in a corporation you do have a disadvantage

00:27:16.500 that's just a fact it's a disadvantage um but if you were anywhere outside of the corporate world

00:27:24.220 maybe it's an advantage because maybe racism works in your favor somehow it's not obvious how but i could

00:27:30.820 imagine there's an argument there um so there's that all right what would happen just just put out

00:27:41.180 this idea what would happen if the people who don't believe in hoaxes in in both the left and the right

00:27:47.520 got together now it's not going to happen because the fake news will keep us apart but

00:27:54.780 both parties are trying to paint uh the moderates in the party as belonging to the extremists who are

00:28:04.800 crazy and believe in hoaxes all right so there there's some crazy hoaxes on the right there are some 0.71

00:28:10.140 crazy hoaxes on the left and both sides would like you to believe that their opponent is all the

00:28:16.500 believers of hoaxes when in fact it's probably just some now what would happen if the people who don't

00:28:23.020 believe in any hoaxes left or right decided to get together could they move the needle now i don't

00:28:32.400 know if it'll ever happen but uh we are seeing as i'm seeing this in the comments too we're seeing that

00:28:38.900 the fake news business is losing a lot of its power because people like me people like tim pool glenn

00:28:47.060 greenwald you know anybody who would be more independent is becoming a growing force and as

00:28:54.480 those into point independent voices get bigger the power of the fake news will just it will start to

00:29:00.380 look increasingly ridiculous i mean it looks pretty ridiculous now yeah bill maher a free thinker so i

00:29:08.220 think the free thinkers are maybe starting to organize you know i have to tell you there's this thing 0.55

00:29:15.680 going on under the hood you know the thing that you don't see in which the independent thinkers are

00:29:22.740 self-organizing meaning that people like me are being introduced to other people like me and there's

00:29:32.820 a sort of network forming an informal network of people who just know other people who are not hoax

00:29:38.600 believers and it's a thing now how powerful that becomes i don't know but i can tell you that if i see

00:29:46.900 another independent voice whether it's a matt taibbi uh whoever it is that i will amplify it you know if

00:29:57.240 it's a good point and it's an independent voice i'll amplify it likewise a lot of those people will

00:30:03.380 amplify me and so you're seeing you're seeing a growth of the reasonable middle that you don't

00:30:09.320 notice yet because what you can't see is how networked we are and as that networking increases

00:30:17.660 it's all under the hood you can't see any of it because it's just one-to-one you know some person

00:30:22.680 introducing somebody etc somebody follows somebody on twitter you don't see it forming but there is a big

00:30:30.020 reasonable uh non-hoax believing center i don't want to say intellectual that's too smarmy sounding

00:30:38.420 but there's something forming and it's a good thing all right uh bonsai sharma uh in his tweet he's a

00:30:50.360 that's twitter name is bonsai sharma uh talks about a new pew research in which the

00:30:59.000 bonsai says this this survey tells you a lot about how democrats think now i would add to that

00:31:06.440 because of the opinions that have been assigned to them by the media um and bonsai goes on says they

00:31:14.080 are terribly concerned about gun violence so the the survey shows that gun violence is at the top

00:31:21.040 of uh concerns for democrats so they're very concerned about gun violence but they're not much

00:31:28.040 concerned about violent crime so this is a the democrats came out in the poll right at the top

00:31:35.740 gun violence yet the the issue of violent crime very low and a bunch of stuff in between that they

00:31:44.740 care about more now is this not an obvious case where you can see that these opinions are manufactured

00:31:52.940 by the fake news because the fake news has told them to care about guns but it didn't tell them to

00:31:58.800 care about violent crime if it had those two things would be at the top but because of the way the coverage

00:32:06.540 works these two things which really should have been they should have moved exactly together

00:32:11.820 they got separated one's at the top and one's at the bottom it's actually laughably absurd

00:32:18.460 to imagine that democrats are forming their own opinions on these topics it's obvious they're not

00:32:24.100 the the the the press coverage completely you know made two things which are the same the top and the

00:32:32.040 bottom of the survey and you can see it as clearly as day so i feel as if the people on the left

00:32:40.100 can't ignore forever that this is happening and you know the people on the right it's happening too but

00:32:46.860 you know since i don't have an example to show you today um actually i will show you an example later

00:32:51.720 believe it or not i do have one so jake tapper tweeted today uh that it was a year ago

00:32:57.460 uh that he and then he showed the video that is rupard rupard meaning that is edited to reverse

00:33:05.180 or change its meaning and the rupard video uh seemed to show president trump suggesting you know drinking or

00:33:13.440 ingesting disinfectants for covet that of course never happened what happened was that trump knew

00:33:21.120 about a new experimental technology involving uvc light in which it would be injected by trachea

00:33:28.300 into your um into your trachea by a ventilator like device and there was talk about maybe you could

00:33:36.120 extend it into the lungs but that wasn't what was being worked on at the moment so trump actually knew

00:33:41.400 more than dr burks about this new experimental thing that's just a fact because he talked about

00:33:49.160 it very specifically you know could he use a type of light injected into the body it was in the news

00:33:55.980 that month i tweeted it i know it was in the news because i discussed it on periscope and i tweeted it a few

00:34:03.900 times so it was a real thing trump knew about it dr burks did not and so the news treated it as though 0.97

00:34:12.120 burks who did not know about it was the smart one and the trump who actually knew about it was the dumb 0.55

00:34:19.500 one they totally rupard it they reversed the meaning and the way that they did that is they edit out the 0.95

00:34:27.480 beginning of what trump said where he clarifies he's talking about light says it directly and then he

00:34:33.040 makes a bunch of comments blah blah blah and then at the end he bookends it by making sure you knew he

00:34:38.880 was talking about light if you take off the end and the beginning where he clarified he was talking

00:34:45.060 about light all you have is the middle in which he uses the word disinfectant and then that became the

00:34:51.180 fake news all right if you didn't know that um so here's what gets interesting so i of course tweeted

00:35:02.100 this to correct it and i included the article showing that researchers at cedars-sinai

00:35:06.960 uh were actually testing it it has a name it's called heal light platform they were inserting it into

00:35:14.780 the trachea exactly as i said and but here's the just mind-boggling amazing thing when i went to look

00:35:22.080 for a link to include in this story because it was a twitter exchange um i found the usa today fact

00:35:29.160 check on it and i'm still shaking my head because it's like this is amazing all right here's how usa today

00:35:39.760 no friend of the president president trump i mean um here's how they handled this do you think that

00:35:47.500 they said oh president trump was completely right there is a technology that exists do you think they did

00:35:55.540 that let me tell you how they handled the fact check and if this doesn't make your head explode

00:36:03.180 i don't know what will all right you ready for this this is mind-boggling all right um so here's the

00:36:12.040 claim so usa today sets it up this way the claim that researchers are exploring a medical device that

00:36:18.980 would use uv-a as a potential tool for treatment treatment in covet 19 patients is true according to

00:36:28.060 uh statements from cedars-sinai medical center so they start by saying that it's true that this

00:36:35.280 technology exists the one that president trump was referring to uh but the presentation of that news

00:36:43.400 includes includes a false headline uh because it's premature to say at this point that the technology

00:36:51.400 is quote to be used um as a treatment so apparently there was a hollywood la news headline that said the

00:37:02.340 that it was to be used as a treatment but it was only being tested so they fact checked it as false

00:37:10.340 because some headlines which had nothing to do with what trump said just somebody wrote a headline

00:37:17.220 somewhere so the headline had the wrong use of words for a true story which president trump was right

00:37:27.500 about in the context of his own advisors and the entire news industry being completely wrong about

00:37:34.580 here's how that fact check should have run the president made a claim about some technology or

00:37:42.460 asked some questions about it it exists here it is interestingly his advisors the experts were unaware

00:37:50.960 of this thing that trump knew about accurately that's what that's what the fact check should have said

00:37:58.640 but they found some way to turn it false and the way they did was launder it through an obscure

00:38:06.620 publication called the hollywood la news never heard of it to say that their headline was slightly wrong

00:38:13.240 and therefore the fact checking says it was a false claim

00:38:19.140 what it was the most true claim ever and they found some weird way

00:38:27.320 to make some element of it that had nothing to do with trump

00:38:31.140 untrue when you see how much torture they have to do to themselves

00:38:36.560 to make trump look bad uh i'll tell you history will not be kind

00:38:41.580 to the fake news all right here's another one uh there's a this this is another rupar

00:38:47.460 so there's a video in which bill gates is talking about

00:38:51.060 the economic uh profit from vaccinations whoa that's trouble right because bill gates is pro

00:39:01.140 vaccinations and he's talking about the 20 to 1 economic profit oh this is bad right because this

00:39:11.100 indicates that he's in it for the money and so then safety is not important that's what it says

00:39:17.500 right so that's what somebody sent to me and said well scott you keep defending bill gates in effect

00:39:23.420 uh but here he is in his own words saying he's in it for the money

00:39:27.960 no

00:39:30.260 no he didn't this is a rupar the video in which he's talking about the 20 to 1 economic benefit

00:39:40.000 is for society not for bill gates he's saying that there's a 20 to 1 economic advantage for any

00:39:48.200 country or society that vaccinates it's obvious that's the context you don't even have to go

00:39:55.020 research it anybody should know that's the obvious well not anybody here's where it helps to have a

00:40:01.540 background in economics he couldn't have been talking about himself it's just ridiculous to

00:40:08.420 imagine that that was the context so i don't even have to research it to know the context was society 0.91

00:40:13.260 um and i tweeted it if you want to look for yourself so here's somebody who got totally rupard

00:40:18.940 they saw a video and a context and believed bill gates was saying in his own words he was in this

00:40:24.660 vaccine thing for the money let me say something as clearly as i can if you think bill gates is in

00:40:31.460 any of this anything anything anything he's doing right now if you think any of it is for his own

00:40:39.200 personal profit you're really misled i mean you're seriously you're on the wrong planet because he

00:40:48.600 doesn't need money that's the one thing he doesn't need he's trying to give it away he's giving away 90

00:40:57.340 percent of his wealth and he's talking other rich people into doing the same thing nothing could be

00:41:02.960 more opposite than bill gates is in it for the money there is no more false claim that has ever been

00:41:09.580 made in the history of the world than bill gates is in it for the money in 2021 obviously when he made

00:41:17.300 his money he was in it for the money here we see uh uh craig hell no he's a eugenicist

00:41:25.900 there is no evidence of that and if you think that he's a eugenicist

00:41:32.300 in in light of zero evidence of that and lots of evidence that he's sort of left leading and wants

00:41:41.460 everybody to do great it's amazing that you could have that opinion just amazing and i would say that

00:41:48.960 you're not in the group of reasonable people who don't believe hoaxes if you believe q anon is true 0.92

00:41:55.440 if you believe that uh bill gates is in it for the money and he's a eugenicist um and i'm seeing people

00:42:03.560 yelling in all caps open your eyes look at my track record of calling out hoaxes and then look at your

00:42:13.660 own compare all right if i'm wrong about this and this one's easy this one's not hard bill gates is

00:42:24.360 not in it because he's a eugenicist he might like birth control that's pretty far from being a eugenicist

00:42:32.740 right a lot of people think birth control is a good thing and they don't believe they're eugenicists

00:42:40.300 somebody says abortion is eugenics well you can disagree all you want with abortion uh but you're

00:42:47.900 making crazy arguments about bill gates anyway so bill gates is helping the world but half half of

00:42:54.540 republicans think he's got some evil plan uh here's some more good news david boxenhorn is

00:43:02.600 reporting on this a lot on twitter that mrna vaccination the the platform the and the the

00:43:09.540 technology looks like uh there's a new vaccination that looks promising 77 effective against malaria

00:43:18.060 wow so one of the things that's going to come out of this um pandemic is that this mrna 0.89

00:43:26.660 technology might cure a bunch of other stuff and malaria is right at the top so malaria kills 400

00:43:34.960 000 people a year so if you take a 77 bite out of that that's a pretty good deal um 0.61

00:43:41.660 let's see the other thing that's good is i believe the public is finally coming around to understanding

00:43:49.000 the news is not real and that's a big deal because if we keep believing the news is even intended to be

00:43:56.880 real um as an accurate and unbiased you're going to be real confused in life you have to you have to

00:44:05.400 achieve that level of understanding that the news is not even intended to be real

00:44:10.180 before you can make any progress really i mean you'll just be locked in your in a weird little fake

00:44:17.320 world if you think that's the case but uh technologies or services like substack where

00:44:23.120 independents can say what they want locals uh i'm an investor in that locals is another

00:44:29.300 subscription service where i can say what i want you wouldn't believe the things i can say on locals

00:44:34.380 that have never gotten into the wild i was complimenting the people who follow me on locals the

00:44:39.840 other day because i've i've said and done some pretty provocative things that you just couldn't do on

00:44:45.800 twitter without getting canceled but that group has not released any of that to the wild

00:44:51.980 somehow they've they've been and there are thousands of them right those 64 6500 followers on locals and

00:45:01.720 none of them have copied my content from there and put it in twitter where i would get canceled

00:45:08.280 now i don't know how that's gone so long without that happening it feels like

00:45:12.340 you know some bad apple will get in there somehow just to do that but so far it's completely worked

00:45:19.740 and i'm surprised um so the economy is doing great we were worried about uh the deficit but i just don't

00:45:30.560 know how much to worry about that we've got doctors on video now we didn't have that a year ago

00:45:35.420 so you know medical advice at least is is going to be more universal uh we've got remote work

00:45:42.240 i don't think people are going back i think remote work is a thing it's going to have a good effect on

00:45:48.000 traffic i think that the school choice thing just hit a it's starting to come into its own you know

00:45:55.480 cory deangelis especially doing a great job persuading on that i do what i can but it does look like both

00:46:02.540 the left and the right are saying uh we need more school options or better schools schools a mess

00:46:09.320 there's even an lgbtq uh activists who say that the current public schools are are no good because

00:46:16.680 they get bullied etc i agree with all of that i think the lgbtq community as well as conservatives

00:46:23.920 as well as lots of people need more options they need more options now i'm not saying that you want

00:46:30.900 separate schools for lgbtq that seems like a very bad idea but wouldn't it be a good idea for some

00:46:37.880 people to have the option right and um there does seem to be some movement on this um the teachers

00:46:47.760 unions so we'll see a lot of work to be done um there don't seem to be any wars on the horizon

00:46:55.360 am i wrong about that you know the news is is sort of working hard to find to find us a war

00:47:02.220 but they're failing they they can't they can't get us into war in afghanistan we're done with it

00:47:08.360 the middle east it's a flare-up now and then but even iran it looks like that's going to be israel's

00:47:15.020 problem maybe and it'll be it'll be a short process if they decide to to take out their nuclear

00:47:20.980 facilities i feel as if we have never been safer um i think that russia and ukraine will not turn

00:47:29.700 into a world war i think that china and the south pacific sea will not turn into a world war

00:47:35.780 because the the superpowers with nukes just don't want to fight each other i just don't see it's going

00:47:42.400 to happen so yeah you know israel drop some bombs on some syrian uh missile batteries that that'll

00:47:50.060 happen forever but um yeah even if you look at the the hottest of the hot spots you know taiwan

00:47:57.200 ukraine none of them look like they're going to become a world war and none of them look like 0.60

00:48:03.500 they're necessarily going to bring drag america into it we'll see i mean anything could happen right

00:48:10.280 but i feel as if we're in the most peaceful time maybe of my life let's hope it holds um

00:48:19.620 you know you've got the abraham accords in the middle east we're probably one ayatollah away from

00:48:24.720 a better situation with iran the ayatollah isn't going to live forever now whoever replaces them might

00:48:30.800 be just as bad or worse but at least that's an opening something might happen and i would argue that

00:48:37.400 uh people are starting to understand the subjective nature of reality do you remember five years ago

00:48:44.080 the first time you heard of the idea of the simulation it seemed ridiculous and it's already

00:48:50.080 entering the mainstream of thought do you remember when you first heard that the news is fake

00:48:55.560 you probably didn't believe it but now you know it's true um how many times have you thought something

00:49:03.640 was true and then had your mind completely changed you know a day or a week later a bunch of times and i

00:49:10.060 would i would argue that our understanding of our reality as being subjective is more so than it's

00:49:18.340 ever been which is a good thing nextly not a word but let's say it is nextly um i'm going to claim

00:49:27.740 that the idea of systems versus goals is really big and it has changed america does anybody want to argue

00:49:37.540 with that i want to see some pushback on that it's a big claim so i'm saying that my book had failed

00:49:43.080 almost everything and still win big has changed so much in america that it's a major force that it

00:49:53.280 actually is something that you can talk about as being a big deal and a trend i think if you saw how

00:50:00.140 many books it influenced and how many people talk this way now that didn't used to five years ago if

00:50:07.900 you said passion was the most important thing for success what would people say they'd say yeah that's 0.62

00:50:13.800 true you need your passion what do they say now now they say passion is bullshit right if anybody talks

00:50:20.560 about it at all there's about a 50 chance they're going to talk about it negatively five years ago

00:50:25.920 it would have only been positive it's a big big change now i'm only part of that but i am part of it

00:50:32.460 part of the passion being overrated what about the fact that persuasion is more important than facts

00:50:39.020 what was the most important five years ago you everything was uh uh facts don't care about your

00:50:47.100 feelings right let's get the facts the facts are important five years ago how do people feel today

00:50:53.720 today pretty much everyone knows that the facts don't matter when we talked about the george floyd

00:51:00.320 case the chauvin case didn't everybody agree that the facts would not be the determinant of the outcome

00:51:07.160 when have you ever seen that before the left the right everybody we all agreed that people would

00:51:14.840 ignore the facts even though this was one of those case with cases with more facts than just about

00:51:20.480 anything yeah micro also talks about uh passion being bs etc right yeah so i would say the you know

00:51:29.620 not taking you know some kind of universal credit for any of this i'm saying that i'm part of

00:51:35.440 a larger trend of systems being more important than goals habits being more important than objective

00:51:42.700 um subjectivity of our experience passion being bullshit these are all things that really weren't

00:51:51.300 big five years ago but they're big now and i think i'm uh one of the larger reasons for that

00:51:59.180 um let me see what you said the fact that he didn't die of an overdose got a chauvin convicted

00:52:08.700 good well i don't understand that comment all right sorry about that

00:52:14.340 uh okay my devices are all talking to me today all right so that's what's going on and i would say

00:52:24.200 that we are entering the golden age we're putting stuff on the moon we don't have a war happening

00:52:30.760 um my my stocks are higher than they've ever been and i would say that our understanding of the world

00:52:38.740 is better than it's ever been and i believe that our uh our our racism level in this country is the

00:52:47.720 lowest it's ever been and going lower i would say it's trending lower now you could argue but no

00:52:53.880 they've just replaced it with racism against white people that's true that's true there's way more

00:53:01.060 racism against white people but we can handle it right we can handle it it's not it's not the worst

00:53:07.640 problem in the world it's it's annoying it's inconvenient and probably some people are going

00:53:13.600 to go to jail that didn't need to so you know but it's not the biggest thing that's that's happening

00:53:19.160 all right uh somebody say it's the golden age until i love this comment uh brian says it's the

00:53:29.500 golden age until franz ferdinand gets assassinated you are totally right things can change in a moment

00:53:37.500 just like that but um i believe that the pandemic was absolutely necessary to get us here what did the

00:53:47.640 pandemic give us a whole bunch of new technologies for handling pandemics that's pretty big a whole

00:53:55.320 bunch of new technology for vaccinations from malaria to god knows aids what's next that's gigantic

00:54:03.140 remote work as now a standard as opposed to an exception that's really big that is so so big i mean

00:54:13.540 i've been writing about cubicles for 30 years a lot of people got out of their cubicle recently that's

00:54:20.180 big and like i said the floyd trial put people on the same side it's the first time white people

00:54:25.780 really really got to to feel the emotional part of the argument you know not just statistics

00:54:35.300 um yeah and the economy is doing well and i think we've never been better school choice would we have

00:54:45.380 would we have as much school choice if the pandemic hadn't messed up the school habit no if you and would

00:54:55.720 we have uh would we have doctors available by video across state lines nope these are all things that

00:55:04.900 happened in the last year because of the pandemic the pandemic is a crisis which created amazing

00:55:14.660 opportunities which are permanent this is the best time we've ever been in

00:55:19.700 now unfortunately like everything it is not distributed evenly it is not distributed evenly

00:55:28.340 tj says wow delusional talk what part is wrong tj see i would argue that anybody who thinks things are bad

00:55:41.300 is being hypnotized by their new source the news only exists by telling you bad news the news could not

00:55:49.700 make money telling you good news and i have also a hypothesis that every time a new video camera is added to

00:55:56.740 the world you think the world is worse because what is the video camera going to show you good news

00:56:03.860 never video shows you bad news that's what's interesting good news isn't as interesting oh

00:56:11.700 sure we see some puppies and stuff but mostly bad news so every time uh there's a new camera that

00:56:18.340 enters the world there's a new possibility that people will see more bad news so your impression of the

00:56:24.420 the world might be at the all-time worst the world itself is at an all-time best so those of you are

00:56:33.220 saying my god this guy's crazy everything's falling apart can't he see it no i can't i can't see it because

00:56:42.020 it's not there the world is by far better than it's ever been not even close and this year the one we're

00:56:51.540 entering we hate the masks we you know we honor the the dead if you will the the people who did not

00:56:58.660 make it through the pandemic but the fact is this this shook the box it exactly the way the box needed

00:57:06.340 to be shaken and we've never been in a better situation all right yeah if you're not looking for the golden

00:57:16.420 age you won't see it if if you're believing the the news you'll never see it um where the where china

00:57:24.980 has the most power on earth this is your paradise well tj did you say that about japan in the 60s

00:57:33.380 i did was it the 60s 70s 80s whatever it was when when it was obvious that japan was going to be the

00:57:40.980 world power because they were they were growing fast and you know you could just look at the

00:57:45.380 curves and say uh-oh japan's going to eat our lunch they'll have all of our technology 1.00

00:57:50.500 what happened didn't happen did it didn't happen at all why is china doing so well

00:57:58.420 stealing our technology they're doing so well because we're letting them what happens if we stop

00:58:04.260 letting them meaning stop letting them steal our technology stop import exporting our jobs stop

00:58:10.660 buying their cheap stuff stop letting them abuse our industries what happens if we stop because

00:58:18.020 even biden's you know going to be cautious about china yeah if you straight line any problem oh china's 1.00

00:58:27.060 getting bigger if nothing ever changed pretty big problem but something always changes so don't worry

00:58:36.100 about a straight line trend it always changes um and i would argue uh that if you're worried about one

00:58:46.900 of those problems you're probably consuming too much news from one side although the china thing is real

00:58:52.500 uh it's it's it's easily handleable in my opinion uh japan does not want to kill us and somebody says

00:59:02.660 that china does not true china doesn't want to kill anybody where did where did you even get that china 0.97

00:59:10.660 wants to dominate and china wants to control its own fate but do you think china wants to own denmark 0.96

00:59:18.660 i don't think so i don't think china wants to own denmark i i think their ambitions are really about

00:59:28.340 their area just like everybody else's is um

00:59:35.060 bobo says oh is this a racist comment let me read it first what is your opinion on hypothetical oh this is

00:59:42.340 so provocative free therapy for black people sounds a little racist hold on

00:59:48.420 as a form of reparations 0.86

00:59:55.380 well you're making a big assumption there you're making a big assumption that uh a that somehow black

01:00:03.300 people will be extra benefited from therapy i don't know that that's the case i would guess that everybody

01:00:10.100 needs therapy lately but i don't think therapy is the right word or the right way to frame it

01:00:16.500 uh could could black americans be happier if their situation were presented to them in a strategic 0.72

01:00:25.140 framework which gives them all the opportunity in the world it's just there's a bunch of things that

01:00:30.180 that are still bad or a victim framework in which everybody's doomed so we should certainly go from victim to strategy

01:00:39.460 but i don't think therapy is the right approach that's just insulting and and uh racist feeling even if you didn't mean it that way

01:00:50.900 somebody says so fentanyl is not a problem

01:00:56.340 well fentanyl is a big problem yeah so the country is not free of problems

01:01:02.420 uh but

01:01:03.620 you know i think we'll we'll figure a way around all of it

01:01:09.140 do you believe china is trying to kill us with fentanyl oh that's true 1.00

01:01:13.860 yes but i would say that that has more to do with uh harming us economically

01:01:18.500 i don't think china wants us dead i think they don't care 1.00

01:01:22.980 but they want us less powerful and fentanyl is part of that

01:01:26.100 so yes they they are they are the cause of death in america that's true

01:01:32.580 and it has to be dealt with all right that's all i got for now and i will talk to you tomorrow

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 23, 2021

Episode 1354 Scott Adams： Is This a Golden Age？ Yes it is, But in Disguise. Let's Simultaneously Sip to That

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