Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 03, 2021


Episode 1364 Scott Adams: Biden Becomes a Republican, Iranian Deal, Climate Mental Health, and Lots More


Episode Stats

Length

55 minutes

Words per Minute

145.68817

Word Count

8,099

Sentence Count

454

Misogynist Sentences

11

Hate Speech Sentences

24


Summary

A poll shows that 30% of the public thinks that Joe Biden didn t win the presidential election, and CNN is trying to figure out why. A piece of digital art sells for $21 million, and I talk about how to make it cheap.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Well, let's see if I've printed out my notes properly.
00:00:05.680 Oh, yes, I have. What a day, what a day.
00:00:09.740 Well, I'm hidden by YouTube more than normal today, you say.
00:00:14.940 Hmm. Is it my imagination, or have you noticed that
00:00:18.800 all the people that you talked with on Twitter,
00:00:24.380 let's say two years ago,
00:00:27.580 has decreased by about 90 percent?
00:00:30.860 There's something weird happening on Twitter lately,
00:00:34.120 and I don't know what it is.
00:00:35.480 Is it just that the weather got better?
00:00:37.720 People are outdoors?
00:00:39.180 Because this weekend, Twitter was just quiet politically.
00:00:43.920 Is it because Biden is so boring?
00:00:46.860 Is that why? I don't know.
00:00:49.040 But let's enjoy the simultaneous sip,
00:00:50.820 and all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass,
00:00:52.240 a tank or a chalice, a stein, a canteen, a jug, a flask,
00:00:54.040 a vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:56.600 I like coffee.
00:00:57.440 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure,
00:01:02.160 the dopamine hit of the day,
00:01:03.120 the thing that makes everything better.
00:01:05.980 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.
00:01:08.220 Go.
00:01:12.840 Somebody says in the comments,
00:01:14.500 I'm out.
00:01:15.040 Well, that didn't take you long.
00:01:19.220 Thanks for staying for all the good content.
00:01:22.460 Well, let's talk about all the things.
00:01:25.940 Apparently, there's a poll that says 30% of the public thinks Biden didn't win.
00:01:39.280 So CNN's Harry Enten thinks it's a crazy number,
00:01:43.160 and that it's just insane that 30% of the country thinks that Biden didn't win.
00:01:50.720 And CNN is quite puzzled as to why it is that so much of the public doesn't believe what they saw on the news.
00:02:03.020 Do you see any problem here?
00:02:06.480 So the news, once you start seeing this pattern, you can't unsee it.
00:02:11.260 The news creates the problem, and then they report on it, the problem that they totally caused,
00:02:19.020 and they report on it like they didn't cause it,
00:02:21.180 and then they assign blame to whoever they want to assign blame to.
00:02:24.180 It's obvious to me that if the news were a credible entity,
00:02:31.600 people would believe what they were told.
00:02:34.880 And if the news said this election is perfectly fine,
00:02:38.200 and the news were a credible source of information,
00:02:42.280 maybe a lot of people would believe.
00:02:45.540 But you can't make up the news for years in a row.
00:02:50.920 Just make up the news.
00:02:52.160 Just make up stuff.
00:02:53.240 Find people hoax, bleach hoax, overfeeding the fish hoax, Russia collusion hoax.
00:02:59.800 And then CNN is like, what is causing people to distrust the official news?
00:03:05.880 I wonder what causes that.
00:03:07.880 It's always the news.
00:03:09.560 The news is the cause of the problem.
00:03:12.540 They're not the people reporting on it.
00:03:15.100 They're the cause.
00:03:16.700 And when you see it, you cannot unsee it.
00:03:18.260 Interestingly, the Dilber NFT, that's a digital collectible that's connected to the blockchain,
00:03:27.140 so you know you can get an original, sold for $13,300 yesterday.
00:03:33.020 The naughty version did.
00:03:34.360 Clean version sold for $5,000.
00:03:36.000 But the naughty version is immediately relisted by whoever bought it for $21 million.
00:03:43.420 So if you have $21 million, you could own a piece of digital art.
00:03:52.300 Feels a little overpriced, but you never know.
00:03:56.240 You never know.
00:03:56.980 I was told today that the buyer who would like to remain anonymous is a fan of my books that
00:04:04.580 teach you how to put an anchor down so people expect the price to be high.
00:04:12.840 So he's got it there at $21 million.
00:04:15.640 If he lowers it someday to a million, is it going to look cheap?
00:04:19.260 If this works, I tell you, if this works, it will be the funniest thing that ever happened.
00:04:28.040 And I don't think it'll work, but, you know, so here's my tip on anchoring.
00:04:34.000 It's always a good technique to, you know, put out a big number when you're negotiating.
00:04:39.640 Because once people have heard the big number, they're biased toward it,
00:04:43.300 just because it's the first number they heard.
00:04:44.840 But if you'd make your first number so high that it doesn't seem real,
00:04:51.700 I'm not sure the anchoring works.
00:04:54.300 But it might.
00:04:55.340 I can't rule it out.
00:04:57.520 It actually might.
00:04:59.000 So it's entirely possible that listing this for $21 million
00:05:02.200 will someday cause somebody to spend a million dollars on it.
00:05:06.380 I mean, it's not impossible.
00:05:08.480 It's just unlikely.
00:05:09.360 So here's a thing which I didn't quite expect, but maybe I should have.
00:05:18.380 In where I live, and I guess everywhere,
00:05:21.900 it's legal to not wear a mask when you're outdoors.
00:05:26.800 In fact, it's not even recommended.
00:05:28.820 If you're outdoors by yourself, you're going on a run,
00:05:32.720 you're riding your bike, you're walking the dog,
00:05:35.320 no mask required.
00:05:36.800 That is the best medical advice.
00:05:39.480 What do you think they're doing in my town?
00:05:42.740 Wearing masks.
00:05:44.420 If you see somebody walking a dog by themselves,
00:05:48.700 just one person and a dog,
00:05:50.940 with no other human outside of a car that you can even see.
00:05:56.180 Like, literally, there's no other human beings
00:05:58.540 within your visual plane in any distance,
00:06:01.780 just one person walking a dog.
00:06:03.540 Look, in my town, that person will wear a mask.
00:06:06.640 Today.
00:06:08.080 Today.
00:06:09.960 Yesterday, I rode my e-bike into town
00:06:13.500 just to see that the town had been closed off for outdoor dining.
00:06:18.300 So the main street in my town is closed.
00:06:20.260 All the restaurants move their chairs out to the center of the streets,
00:06:23.480 and it's just a restaurant town now,
00:06:26.280 which is kind of cool.
00:06:27.120 It's actually an upgrade.
00:06:28.480 I like it a lot.
00:06:29.880 Eating outdoors is just better in California.
00:06:31.860 And so I'm looking around,
00:06:37.220 and I'm not wearing my mask because I'm on a bicycle.
00:06:41.820 But the number of people who were also on bicycles
00:06:45.620 and jogging by themselves, wearing masks, is crazy.
00:06:50.740 And I'm trying to figure out what's going on.
00:06:54.440 And I have two hypotheses.
00:06:58.380 Both of them might be true.
00:06:59.560 One is that people are just still frightened.
00:07:04.460 Well, maybe more than one hypothesis.
00:07:06.960 One is that people are signaling their political affiliation.
00:07:13.320 I guarantee you that the people I see walking with no mask
00:07:17.460 are Republicans or conservatives.
00:07:20.360 And I guarantee you that the people walking all by themselves
00:07:24.420 with just a dog or just by themselves,
00:07:27.300 I guarantee you they're Democrats.
00:07:29.680 Now, I'm not going to the next level where I'm saying,
00:07:33.820 oh, Democrats are dumb.
00:07:36.020 They don't believe the science.
00:07:37.120 I'm not saying that.
00:07:38.420 I feel as if we've reached a point
00:07:40.500 where people need to signal their allegiance
00:07:43.600 because they don't want to be misidentified.
00:07:45.700 Imagine if you were, let's say you lived in my neighborhood,
00:07:50.520 which is overwhelmingly, you know, blue Democrat.
00:07:53.520 You live in my neighborhood and you walk outside without a mask.
00:07:56.980 You're just walking your dog.
00:07:59.000 How many people would think you're a Republican?
00:08:03.200 Think about it.
00:08:04.140 In my town, if you just took a walk,
00:08:06.820 completely legal, recommended, with no mask,
00:08:11.160 everybody who drove by would think their neighbor was a Republican.
00:08:15.520 Right?
00:08:16.380 I feel as if people won't take the mask off yet
00:08:20.020 because they don't want to be ID'd by their neighbors as Republicans
00:08:23.420 because they're not, right?
00:08:25.900 The people who are Republicans just take their mask off, I think.
00:08:30.020 At least that's what it looks like.
00:08:34.140 And then the other thing is I think people are addicted to having masks on.
00:08:39.820 You know, except for the itchiness,
00:08:42.300 for some reason my mask itches like crazy.
00:08:44.640 That's my biggest problem.
00:08:46.120 But I've actually come to appreciate wearing the mask in public.
00:08:52.320 Has anybody had this experience yet?
00:08:54.980 If I get my own choice, I'm not going to wear masks, of course.
00:08:58.440 But that is not to say that they are completely without benefit
00:09:02.520 on top of whatever they may or may not do medically.
00:09:07.660 There is something comforting about wearing a mask in public.
00:09:12.840 Has anybody felt it?
00:09:14.620 That you're in a crowd
00:09:15.780 and you just get to hide a little bit better?
00:09:19.000 I've often thought that one of the main reasons that men grow beards
00:09:23.840 is it lets them hide.
00:09:26.340 One of the reasons that women wear makeup
00:09:28.560 is it hides their natural appearance, makes you look better.
00:09:34.740 So if you could take away the fact that it's extremely uncomfortable,
00:09:37.960 I kind of like it socially, weirdly.
00:09:42.160 You're not enough that I'd want to keep it.
00:09:44.180 But I feel like a lot of people are just preferring it.
00:09:47.300 They actually developed a preference for it.
00:09:50.280 All right.
00:09:51.980 I've been telling you that we're right on the cusp
00:09:54.980 of entering the golden age.
00:09:56.560 The pandemic has to get a little bit more under control
00:09:59.040 before that's real.
00:10:00.640 But one of the ways you could tell you're in the golden age
00:10:03.540 is if your biggest problems aren't real.
00:10:07.960 Right?
00:10:09.240 If you've got big problems that are real,
00:10:12.600 well, that's not the golden age.
00:10:14.240 But if your biggest problems, like number one and number two,
00:10:17.900 are not even especially real,
00:10:21.400 you're in pretty good shape.
00:10:23.660 So what's the case today?
00:10:25.680 What would, let's say, Democrats say are the biggest risks
00:10:29.520 or the biggest problems in the country?
00:10:32.100 Well, they'd say climate change.
00:10:34.900 And there is a big chunk of the country
00:10:36.820 that doesn't even know if it's a problem or not.
00:10:39.900 How would you like your biggest problem
00:10:41.880 to be one that people aren't even sure
00:10:44.740 they can even tell it's a problem?
00:10:47.720 You just look at it?
00:10:50.320 I don't know.
00:10:50.920 I feel about the same as I did yesterday,
00:10:53.460 even with climate change.
00:10:55.160 And now, of course, just for clarity,
00:11:02.240 because whenever you talk about this,
00:11:03.720 you have to tell people your own bias.
00:11:06.300 My bias at the moment is that climate change
00:11:10.260 is a real thing which we need to worry about,
00:11:13.040 but that economically and technologically
00:11:15.960 we'll take care of it.
00:11:17.840 It's a, I'd call it a challenge
00:11:21.020 that is well within the ability of humans to work out.
00:11:26.920 And probably the economic destruction is overstated.
00:11:31.140 So I'm not terribly worried about climate change,
00:11:33.400 even if everything that is said about it is real.
00:11:37.480 So if nothing that's said about it is real,
00:11:40.220 I'm not worried.
00:11:41.480 But also, if everything that's said by the experts
00:11:44.140 about climate change is real,
00:11:45.700 I'm also not worried.
00:11:48.120 Because by their own estimates,
00:11:49.800 they've shown that the economic impact
00:11:51.740 is kind of trivial.
00:11:53.380 You won't even notice.
00:11:54.680 Now, the way it's reported is
00:11:55.960 that there's a giant disaster
00:11:57.500 and we can predict it in the future.
00:11:59.780 But the actual thing they did predict
00:12:01.740 is an amount of economic damage
00:12:04.260 that you wouldn't even notice 50 years from now.
00:12:06.940 It'd be so small.
00:12:08.560 So that's our big problem,
00:12:11.260 and I'm not even sure I have to worry about it.
00:12:13.840 But the other one is that,
00:12:16.840 our big problem is that
00:12:18.000 white supremacist terrorism in this country.
00:12:21.160 Is that real?
00:12:23.100 Is there real white supremacist terrorism?
00:12:27.980 Probably.
00:12:29.300 I mean, everybody gets to define it their own way.
00:12:32.800 But let's say yes.
00:12:34.620 How big is it?
00:12:36.820 How big is that problem?
00:12:38.400 It feels like it's really, really small.
00:12:42.820 Doesn't it?
00:12:44.060 Like, you could have a number of individual tragedies,
00:12:48.340 which I wouldn't take away from the horrificness of them.
00:12:52.180 But if you added them all up at the end of the year,
00:12:56.640 it's still going to be our smallest problem.
00:13:00.060 As horrible as it is,
00:13:02.000 like mentally,
00:13:03.740 as horrible as the idea of it is,
00:13:07.180 if you add it all together,
00:13:08.780 it's kind of nothing.
00:13:11.220 How about war?
00:13:13.820 Are we going to go to war with Iran anytime soon?
00:13:16.760 Doesn't look like it.
00:13:18.060 North Korea?
00:13:19.380 Nope.
00:13:20.220 Russia?
00:13:21.020 Nope.
00:13:21.740 China?
00:13:22.600 Crazy.
00:13:23.320 Nope.
00:13:24.260 We don't even have a war.
00:13:27.280 Apparently, we're going to leave Afghanistan
00:13:29.000 and give it back to the terrorists or whatever.
00:13:31.940 But I'm not sure we care.
00:13:35.280 Do we?
00:13:36.240 Do we care?
00:13:37.200 If Afghanistan goes back to the hellhole it was
00:13:40.240 from the hellhole it is,
00:13:42.640 it's just a different kind of hellhole.
00:13:44.680 I'm not sure it matters.
00:13:45.800 Then somebody's saying,
00:13:49.500 what about all the shootings and murders
00:13:51.540 and the uprise and crime in the inner cities?
00:13:55.940 Well, let me ask you this.
00:13:57.380 Is it a problem if you wanted it to happen?
00:14:01.940 Because the cities seem to have made a choice.
00:14:06.180 The people who have stayed in the cities
00:14:07.560 have made a choice that they're living in a world
00:14:10.160 that's closer to the way they want it to be.
00:14:13.660 Fewer police activities,
00:14:17.180 maybe fewer police accidental killings,
00:14:20.280 but the price is a lot more murder.
00:14:24.180 That's sort of what people wanted.
00:14:26.000 If you say you want to defund the police
00:14:28.060 and you're a Democrat,
00:14:30.840 you're kind of getting what you want.
00:14:33.020 So for me to say that's a big problem,
00:14:35.980 that you're getting what you wanted,
00:14:38.120 I don't know how you define that as a problem,
00:14:40.820 getting what you wanted.
00:14:43.540 You know, of course, it's a problem
00:14:44.780 if you're the one who gets killed.
00:14:46.020 Here's a question for you.
00:14:49.560 You know, this Arizona audit is happening
00:14:51.440 and there have been lots of criticisms
00:14:54.640 that the people auditing it are not experienced
00:14:57.660 and it's going to be sloppy and haphazard
00:15:01.240 and all other criticisms.
00:15:03.300 But if it's true that it's a sloppy, scrappy,
00:15:08.220 inexperienced, amateurish operation,
00:15:12.100 what is one thing that would have happened by now
00:15:15.340 if they had found irregularities in the early stage
00:15:22.320 and they would have, right?
00:15:24.720 If they're going to find enough irregularities
00:15:27.140 in the whole audit,
00:15:28.760 and we don't know that to be true,
00:15:30.780 but if that's going to happen,
00:15:33.160 don't you think that already
00:15:34.720 you would know that it's heading in that direction?
00:15:38.720 As in, we've already found enough
00:15:41.120 that if this ratio holds for the rest of them,
00:15:44.500 you've got big problems, right?
00:15:47.780 Do you think that this haphazard,
00:15:51.000 according to the critics,
00:15:52.320 I don't know how haphazard it is,
00:15:54.340 this amateurish job,
00:15:56.180 do you think all the people involved with that,
00:15:59.100 you don't think that they know
00:16:00.520 if they've found something yet?
00:16:03.300 Of course they know.
00:16:04.320 Of course the people working on it
00:16:06.680 know if they've found anything,
00:16:08.280 and they know if they've found enough
00:16:10.240 that if this ratio held,
00:16:13.280 it would look bad at the end.
00:16:15.140 How come you haven't heard anything?
00:16:18.380 Every day that goes by
00:16:20.040 when you don't hear that the Arizona audit
00:16:23.540 found problems,
00:16:25.700 the odds that there are problems
00:16:27.800 shrinks.
00:16:29.700 I would say on day one,
00:16:31.400 you could say to yourself,
00:16:32.380 before anybody's looked at anything
00:16:34.060 in the audit,
00:16:35.200 you'd say to yourself,
00:16:36.080 okay, what are the odds
00:16:37.000 that they're going to find something?
00:16:39.100 And let's say just,
00:16:40.340 you didn't know,
00:16:41.160 so you just said,
00:16:41.820 ah, 50-50.
00:16:43.280 Let's say that was your starting point.
00:16:44.940 I don't know,
00:16:46.080 but I'm going to say
00:16:46.880 the world we live in,
00:16:48.200 there's a 50% chance.
00:16:50.280 That's day one.
00:16:51.700 Every day that they continue
00:16:53.320 auditing toward the end,
00:16:55.600 and you don't hear about
00:16:56.760 any big problems
00:16:57.620 that they've already found,
00:16:59.880 now I get that they would try
00:17:01.940 to save it all for the end.
00:17:03.760 I get that it would be
00:17:05.060 their intention
00:17:05.900 to not leak anything
00:17:07.880 until the end,
00:17:08.780 but there's no way
00:17:09.900 that happens
00:17:10.540 in the real world, right?
00:17:12.100 If the organizers
00:17:13.320 had already found things,
00:17:15.760 knowing that the criticism
00:17:17.160 is coming in,
00:17:18.580 what would the organizers
00:17:19.680 say in public
00:17:20.980 if they knew
00:17:22.420 that they had the goods?
00:17:24.880 Now, they might not want
00:17:26.000 to tell you what the outcome is,
00:17:27.340 but the organizers
00:17:28.860 would say something
00:17:30.120 like this.
00:17:31.660 We've found some things
00:17:33.180 that are surprising,
00:17:34.620 and we think you'll be shocked
00:17:37.040 when you see the outcome.
00:17:39.280 Right?
00:17:40.420 They wouldn't have to give you
00:17:41.700 the final answer,
00:17:42.900 but they would definitely
00:17:44.260 be hinting
00:17:45.080 that they're finding stuff.
00:17:47.560 This dog is really loudly
00:17:49.700 not barking,
00:17:51.140 which if you had to make
00:17:52.360 a bet right now,
00:17:53.560 you should bet against
00:17:54.720 them finding anything
00:17:56.380 that would reverse
00:17:57.220 the election result.
00:17:59.300 Somebody says
00:17:59.940 there are NDA agreements.
00:18:01.940 Would anybody like
00:18:02.780 to explain to whoever said
00:18:04.420 there are NDA agreements,
00:18:06.240 non-disclosure agreements,
00:18:07.780 would anybody like
00:18:08.620 to explain
00:18:09.420 how the real world works?
00:18:11.760 And NDAs don't have
00:18:12.940 any real power.
00:18:15.280 And certainly,
00:18:16.180 people will still
00:18:17.180 tell their spouse,
00:18:18.260 they're still going
00:18:18.760 to tell their friends,
00:18:20.100 friends are going to talk.
00:18:21.960 Even the leader
00:18:22.900 would want to tell the story
00:18:24.040 if they're seeing
00:18:24.680 something early.
00:18:26.180 So now,
00:18:26.720 I think that the odds
00:18:27.740 of Arizona
00:18:28.500 doing anything,
00:18:30.020 coming up with anything
00:18:30.860 credible that reverses
00:18:32.140 the outcome,
00:18:33.220 probably started
00:18:34.340 around 50% chance,
00:18:36.520 in people's minds anyway,
00:18:37.820 if not reality.
00:18:39.320 And it's probably down
00:18:41.140 to closer to 10% now.
00:18:44.420 Not impossible.
00:18:45.900 But I would say
00:18:46.520 the odds that Arizona
00:18:47.560 will be this big shocking thing
00:18:49.080 that changes our mind
00:18:50.100 about the world,
00:18:51.680 10%.
00:18:52.480 That's my guess.
00:18:54.040 But maybe.
00:18:55.320 And by the way,
00:18:56.500 somebody says,
00:18:57.960 will you eat your hat?
00:18:59.780 Well, keep in mind
00:19:00.720 that my prediction
00:19:02.140 about elections in general,
00:19:04.220 not about this election
00:19:05.360 in particular,
00:19:06.500 but about any system
00:19:07.900 which can be corrupted,
00:19:09.860 is that there's
00:19:10.620 a 100% chance
00:19:11.720 that it will be,
00:19:12.620 if there's a big payoff
00:19:13.600 for doing it,
00:19:14.300 and there is.
00:19:15.720 The only thing you don't know
00:19:17.060 is if it's happened yet.
00:19:18.280 There's no question
00:19:20.600 that it does happen
00:19:21.660 sometime over the life cycle
00:19:24.480 of this opportunity
00:19:25.560 for mischief.
00:19:27.100 It'll happen definitely.
00:19:28.840 You just don't know
00:19:29.940 if it's happened yet.
00:19:31.240 That's the only thing
00:19:32.040 that's in question.
00:19:33.780 So, no,
00:19:34.320 I don't have an assumption
00:19:35.540 about whether Arizona
00:19:36.980 will turn up
00:19:37.740 any kind of irregularities,
00:19:40.220 but I think maybe
00:19:41.780 it's like 10% chance
00:19:43.140 at this point.
00:19:47.540 Ian Martizis,
00:19:49.260 I hope I,
00:19:50.020 I always,
00:19:51.440 Ian,
00:19:51.720 I don't know
00:19:52.060 if I ever pronounce
00:19:52.940 your name correctly,
00:19:53.840 but let's say that's close.
00:19:55.620 Ian Martizis
00:19:56.520 did a study
00:19:57.500 in which he
00:19:59.740 checked the
00:20:00.920 neutralizing antibodies
00:20:02.800 for people
00:20:04.300 who had the following conditions.
00:20:05.860 They either got
00:20:07.060 one of the
00:20:08.260 major vaccines,
00:20:10.660 Pfizer,
00:20:11.140 Moderna,
00:20:11.820 Johnson,
00:20:12.180 Johnson,
00:20:12.700 or,
00:20:13.900 or instead
00:20:14.780 they had actually
00:20:15.640 been infected
00:20:16.480 and now they have
00:20:18.220 antibodies from that.
00:20:19.720 And what did you think
00:20:20.820 it came out?
00:20:22.200 Now, of course,
00:20:22.900 any study like this
00:20:23.780 would have to be repeated
00:20:24.960 and, you know,
00:20:26.360 peer reviewed
00:20:27.120 to get,
00:20:28.040 you know,
00:20:28.460 and ideally
00:20:29.100 you'd want it randomized
00:20:30.600 and controlled
00:20:31.620 and everything.
00:20:32.560 So,
00:20:33.160 we're not,
00:20:33.920 we're not kidding
00:20:34.660 ourselves
00:20:35.240 that this kind
00:20:37.280 of a trial
00:20:38.200 would be a final
00:20:39.300 answer to anything,
00:20:40.560 but it's real
00:20:41.440 provocative.
00:20:43.000 You know,
00:20:43.200 if this were
00:20:44.160 if this were
00:20:45.580 duplicated
00:20:46.180 and these results
00:20:47.140 did hold,
00:20:48.460 it would find
00:20:49.260 that,
00:20:49.960 and again,
00:20:50.600 this is the big if,
00:20:51.920 it would find
00:20:52.520 that the
00:20:53.660 two-shot vaccines,
00:20:56.240 Moderna
00:20:57.020 and Pfizer,
00:20:58.360 give you
00:20:58.900 like really high
00:20:59.940 protection
00:21:01.260 and it stays
00:21:02.020 a long time.
00:21:02.880 It's like the best
00:21:03.500 you can do.
00:21:04.900 Way below that
00:21:06.120 is natural
00:21:06.840 immunity.
00:21:08.140 Way below it.
00:21:10.420 Let me say
00:21:10.860 that again.
00:21:11.920 Natural immunity
00:21:12.860 doesn't come
00:21:13.760 close
00:21:14.300 to the immunity
00:21:16.640 you get
00:21:17.300 from
00:21:17.920 the two-shot
00:21:19.280 regimen,
00:21:20.300 but
00:21:20.560 natural immunity
00:21:21.740 does come
00:21:22.360 kind of close
00:21:23.060 to the one-shot
00:21:24.260 Johnson & Johnson.
00:21:25.800 Now,
00:21:26.460 the problem,
00:21:27.160 of course,
00:21:27.900 is that it might
00:21:28.880 be that every
00:21:29.560 one of these
00:21:30.120 conditions
00:21:30.740 lowers your
00:21:31.560 risk of dying
00:21:32.300 to effectively
00:21:33.060 zero,
00:21:33.900 right?
00:21:35.060 I haven't heard
00:21:35.920 of people
00:21:36.400 getting the
00:21:37.660 coronavirus
00:21:38.080 for a second
00:21:39.100 time
00:21:39.720 and then dying
00:21:41.440 after the second
00:21:42.420 infection.
00:21:43.680 Do we have
00:21:44.440 even one
00:21:45.340 example of that?
00:21:46.820 Because I think
00:21:47.580 even the Johnson &
00:21:48.400 Johnson reduces
00:21:49.160 the risk of dying
00:21:50.420 to effectively
00:21:51.240 zero,
00:21:51.760 right?
00:21:52.840 Am I right on that?
00:21:53.940 Do me a fact check
00:21:54.780 on that.
00:21:56.000 So if you're
00:21:56.800 talking about dying,
00:21:57.800 they're probably
00:21:58.140 all just about
00:21:58.840 equally good
00:22:00.180 in terms of
00:22:01.120 they reduce
00:22:01.640 your risk
00:22:02.740 of dying
00:22:03.120 to something
00:22:04.240 closer to
00:22:04.880 zero.
00:22:06.100 Yeah,
00:22:06.480 I know
00:22:06.740 the cytocone
00:22:08.260 storm and
00:22:09.940 all that,
00:22:10.440 but it seems
00:22:10.900 to me that
00:22:11.420 if you've
00:22:11.860 recovered from
00:22:12.680 one infection,
00:22:14.580 your odds
00:22:15.260 of dying
00:22:15.860 from a second
00:22:16.640 one,
00:22:17.880 unless something
00:22:18.920 happened in
00:22:19.480 the meantime
00:22:20.000 to give you
00:22:20.780 another comorbidity,
00:22:22.480 feels like it's
00:22:23.420 vanishingly small.
00:22:25.080 Because first of
00:22:25.880 all,
00:22:26.020 you've proven
00:22:26.500 that you can
00:22:27.180 recover from
00:22:27.840 this exact
00:22:28.520 virus.
00:22:30.080 So why would
00:22:30.840 you not
00:22:31.140 recover the
00:22:31.580 second time?
00:22:33.460 Unless something
00:22:34.200 had happened.
00:22:35.260 All right,
00:22:35.500 so I think
00:22:36.000 this is not
00:22:36.940 only really,
00:22:37.960 really useful
00:22:38.940 information,
00:22:40.380 but Ian
00:22:41.740 is an
00:22:43.220 incredible
00:22:43.700 data visualizer
00:22:45.700 guy in
00:22:46.340 addition to
00:22:46.880 his other
00:22:47.280 talents and
00:22:47.900 his talent
00:22:48.280 stack.
00:22:49.040 So you're
00:22:49.480 going to see
00:22:49.680 one of the
00:22:50.040 best graphs
00:22:51.060 you've ever
00:22:52.320 seen.
00:22:52.820 And I hate
00:22:53.200 to get excited
00:22:53.820 about a graph.
00:22:55.660 You know,
00:22:56.040 it's the
00:22:56.500 wonkiest thing
00:22:57.140 you could ever
00:22:57.580 do.
00:22:57.780 But when
00:22:58.480 you see
00:22:58.860 a data
00:22:59.440 visualization
00:23:00.140 that's this
00:23:02.020 good,
00:23:03.480 you know,
00:23:03.660 just the way
00:23:04.120 it's presented
00:23:04.640 visually,
00:23:05.820 it's freaking
00:23:06.440 thrilling.
00:23:07.320 It really is
00:23:08.040 to see something
00:23:09.720 done so well.
00:23:10.640 So just look at
00:23:11.220 the graph,
00:23:11.780 if nothing else,
00:23:12.660 to see how well
00:23:13.600 you can explain
00:23:14.560 something visually
00:23:15.360 if you really
00:23:16.380 know how to do
00:23:16.960 this stuff.
00:23:17.820 The difference
00:23:18.500 between the
00:23:19.000 people who
00:23:19.400 are the best
00:23:19.900 in the world
00:23:20.420 at it,
00:23:21.340 and Ian
00:23:21.940 would be one
00:23:22.480 of those,
00:23:23.520 and people
00:23:24.220 who are just
00:23:24.660 kind of good
00:23:25.300 at it.
00:23:25.780 It's like
00:23:26.680 Michael Jordan
00:23:27.560 versus a high
00:23:29.560 school basketball
00:23:30.340 player.
00:23:30.920 They both
00:23:31.360 play basketball,
00:23:32.320 but not
00:23:33.120 really.
00:23:34.400 You know
00:23:34.680 what I mean?
00:23:36.500 So I guess
00:23:37.260 Joe Biden
00:23:37.780 is saying
00:23:38.500 that he's
00:23:39.340 not yet
00:23:39.720 committed
00:23:40.000 to K-12
00:23:41.820 schools
00:23:42.240 reopening
00:23:42.720 full-time
00:23:43.300 because the
00:23:44.400 coronavirus
00:23:44.740 remains
00:23:45.460 unpredictable,
00:23:46.480 say his
00:23:46.940 staff.
00:23:48.620 But as
00:23:49.440 Mark Hemingway
00:23:50.480 just pointed
00:23:51.060 out on Twitter,
00:23:51.920 we have lots
00:23:52.440 of data
00:23:52.820 from private
00:23:53.480 schools.
00:23:53.920 So there
00:23:55.120 have been
00:23:55.400 enough
00:23:55.720 private
00:23:56.060 schools
00:23:56.440 open the
00:23:56.960 whole time
00:23:57.540 that we
00:23:59.520 should know
00:23:59.920 exactly what
00:24:00.560 the risk
00:24:00.920 is by now.
00:24:03.180 And the
00:24:03.780 risk doesn't
00:24:04.200 look very
00:24:04.700 high.
00:24:05.720 So the
00:24:06.860 assumption
00:24:07.260 is that
00:24:07.780 maybe
00:24:08.000 teachers'
00:24:08.640 unions are
00:24:09.320 influencing
00:24:09.880 Biden.
00:24:11.580 And just
00:24:12.360 think about
00:24:13.580 how bad
00:24:14.000 that is,
00:24:14.840 that teachers'
00:24:15.640 unions are
00:24:16.900 influencing
00:24:17.440 Biden.
00:24:18.340 And this
00:24:18.940 point is
00:24:19.640 going to
00:24:19.860 come back
00:24:21.240 on another
00:24:21.980 topic when I
00:24:22.680 get to it.
00:24:23.140 But just
00:24:24.140 think about
00:24:24.540 that.
00:24:25.920 That Biden
00:24:26.460 is keeping
00:24:26.920 people out
00:24:27.460 of schools,
00:24:28.740 probably the
00:24:29.560 data doesn't
00:24:30.160 support it,
00:24:30.820 but it's
00:24:31.060 because of
00:24:31.380 the teachers'
00:24:31.920 unions,
00:24:32.540 who, as
00:24:33.120 you know,
00:24:33.520 are the
00:24:33.820 source of
00:24:35.100 all, well,
00:24:36.400 most of
00:24:36.920 systemic
00:24:37.620 racism in
00:24:38.780 this country.
00:24:42.160 There's
00:24:42.640 another, you
00:24:44.880 know, I've
00:24:45.080 been predicting
00:24:45.620 this forever,
00:24:46.460 and I know
00:24:46.800 you think it's
00:24:47.400 the worst
00:24:48.560 prediction I've
00:24:49.500 ever made,
00:24:50.380 and I know
00:24:51.000 you're going
00:24:51.320 to say,
00:24:51.700 well, okay,
00:24:52.820 you got
00:24:53.100 lucky on a
00:24:53.620 few things,
00:24:54.320 but there's
00:24:54.960 no way you're
00:24:55.500 right about
00:24:55.880 this one.
00:24:57.180 But I
00:24:58.040 swear to
00:24:58.580 God, I
00:24:58.940 think I'm
00:24:59.420 right about
00:24:59.860 this.
00:25:01.000 I think
00:25:01.560 black
00:25:02.100 Americans are
00:25:02.940 going to
00:25:03.220 turn Republican.
00:25:05.660 And the
00:25:06.540 reason is
00:25:07.000 just, it's
00:25:08.100 obvious.
00:25:09.800 Look at, for
00:25:10.500 example, the
00:25:11.220 trust of
00:25:11.900 vaccines.
00:25:13.580 Do you
00:25:13.840 know that the
00:25:14.460 black Americans
00:25:15.420 are almost the
00:25:16.520 same as
00:25:17.180 Republicans when
00:25:18.700 it comes to
00:25:19.240 whether or not
00:25:19.700 they're going to
00:25:20.020 get the
00:25:20.320 vaccination?
00:25:20.700 very similar
00:25:22.440 thinking.
00:25:23.460 How about
00:25:23.980 religion?
00:25:25.500 Very similar,
00:25:26.680 right?
00:25:26.960 Very religious,
00:25:28.180 Republicans.
00:25:30.440 And although
00:25:31.820 you don't see
00:25:32.400 enough of this
00:25:33.020 in the news,
00:25:33.940 pro-law and
00:25:34.600 order.
00:25:35.720 The black
00:25:36.260 population and
00:25:37.080 the Republican
00:25:37.600 population,
00:25:38.940 fairly pro-law
00:25:40.020 and order,
00:25:40.780 and I haven't
00:25:42.500 seen data on
00:25:43.100 this, but
00:25:43.420 probably pro-
00:25:44.600 Second Amendment.
00:25:46.080 There's just a
00:25:46.900 lot they have in
00:25:47.680 common, you know?
00:25:48.820 And they just
00:25:50.280 have to figure
00:25:50.820 it out.
00:25:51.680 Because
00:25:51.880 certainly,
00:25:53.960 let me ask
00:25:56.780 you this.
00:25:57.940 If you could
00:25:58.640 imagine a
00:25:59.480 random group
00:26:00.400 of black
00:26:01.400 Americans
00:26:01.960 sorted into
00:26:03.100 Democrats and
00:26:04.140 Republicans.
00:26:05.360 So one group
00:26:06.380 is just
00:26:06.860 black American
00:26:08.300 Republicans,
00:26:09.980 and the other
00:26:10.420 is black
00:26:11.100 American Democrats.
00:26:12.840 Which ones
00:26:13.680 are making
00:26:14.040 more money?
00:26:14.660 which ones
00:26:17.180 have found
00:26:17.680 ways to
00:26:18.280 overcome what
00:26:19.220 is inevitably
00:26:20.000 racism that
00:26:20.900 always exists?
00:26:22.140 But which ones
00:26:22.780 have just
00:26:23.180 completely overcome
00:26:24.040 it?
00:26:24.780 You know,
00:26:25.040 in terms of
00:26:25.620 a practical
00:26:26.360 sense.
00:26:27.340 It's still
00:26:27.780 always there,
00:26:28.500 but overcome
00:26:29.280 it.
00:26:29.800 Yeah,
00:26:30.520 Republicans every
00:26:31.280 time.
00:26:31.960 It's because
00:26:32.400 the Republican
00:26:33.140 way of
00:26:35.120 approaching
00:26:35.520 things doesn't
00:26:37.640 just work,
00:26:39.140 but it works
00:26:40.100 for the people
00:26:40.640 around you,
00:26:42.100 which is the
00:26:42.680 big deal,
00:26:43.140 right?
00:26:43.320 It doesn't
00:26:44.040 just work
00:26:44.460 for the
00:26:44.700 person doing
00:26:45.280 it.
00:26:45.880 Stay in
00:26:46.380 school,
00:26:47.040 stay off
00:26:47.400 drugs,
00:26:48.760 have a
00:26:49.340 religion.
00:26:49.920 It's helpful
00:26:50.420 in a lot
00:26:50.860 of ways.
00:26:51.520 I'm not
00:26:51.960 religious,
00:26:52.440 but it
00:26:52.620 helps in
00:26:52.940 a lot
00:26:53.080 of ways.
00:26:55.140 There's
00:26:55.620 like a
00:26:55.920 little
00:26:56.080 Republican
00:26:56.620 formula
00:26:57.280 that if
00:26:58.340 you're
00:26:58.560 black and
00:26:59.480 you follow
00:26:59.860 that formula,
00:27:00.640 your odds
00:27:01.060 of success
00:27:01.700 are really
00:27:03.120 close to
00:27:03.560 100%.
00:27:04.300 And I
00:27:04.880 don't think
00:27:05.160 that would
00:27:05.420 be true
00:27:05.740 for anybody
00:27:06.220 else,
00:27:06.800 any other
00:27:07.180 group.
00:27:08.440 So I
00:27:09.320 think the
00:27:10.140 logic of
00:27:10.780 it,
00:27:11.220 if the
00:27:12.060 media were
00:27:12.700 not
00:27:12.980 brainwashing
00:27:13.720 people so
00:27:14.360 effectively,
00:27:15.320 I think this
00:27:16.160 would just
00:27:16.560 happen on
00:27:17.100 its own
00:27:17.480 because there's
00:27:18.500 a commonality
00:27:19.360 there that
00:27:19.980 is pretty
00:27:21.860 strong.
00:27:22.980 All right.
00:27:25.700 The best,
00:27:27.260 coolest news
00:27:28.280 today,
00:27:29.540 and finally
00:27:30.380 something I can
00:27:31.180 sink my teeth
00:27:31.880 into and get a
00:27:32.660 little interested
00:27:33.320 in,
00:27:34.320 Joel Pollack
00:27:35.160 reported on
00:27:35.840 this in
00:27:36.340 Breitbart,
00:27:36.780 report,
00:27:37.260 and I
00:27:38.100 had missed
00:27:38.520 it,
00:27:38.820 but it's
00:27:39.040 kind of
00:27:39.300 a big
00:27:39.580 deal.
00:27:40.120 So when
00:27:40.440 Tim Scott
00:27:41.320 said in
00:27:42.720 his response
00:27:43.860 to the
00:27:44.180 State of
00:27:44.440 the Union,
00:27:45.340 he said
00:27:45.820 that America
00:27:46.540 is not a
00:27:47.220 racist country.
00:27:48.400 Well,
00:27:48.900 you can
00:27:49.180 imagine how
00:27:49.740 that went
00:27:50.140 over,
00:27:50.520 right?
00:27:51.180 Because on
00:27:51.920 social media
00:27:52.580 and all
00:27:52.980 the pundits
00:27:53.520 said,
00:27:54.040 what are
00:27:54.660 you talking
00:27:55.000 about?
00:27:55.620 Of course
00:27:56.260 it's a
00:27:56.620 racist
00:27:56.900 country,
00:27:57.580 we got
00:27:57.860 racists
00:27:59.480 here,
00:28:00.160 you know,
00:28:00.480 we're not
00:28:00.720 talking about
00:28:01.120 every person
00:28:01.960 being racist,
00:28:02.720 of course,
00:28:03.280 nobody said
00:28:03.780 that,
00:28:04.060 but there
00:28:04.780 are lots
00:28:05.180 of racists,
00:28:06.220 lots of
00:28:06.540 racism,
00:28:07.580 and there's
00:28:07.920 lots of
00:28:08.300 systemic
00:28:08.920 racism,
00:28:09.940 and it's
00:28:10.120 all over
00:28:10.600 the place,
00:28:11.700 and how
00:28:11.960 could Tim
00:28:12.360 Scott say
00:28:12.940 we're not
00:28:13.400 a racist
00:28:13.760 country when
00:28:14.420 all the
00:28:14.840 evidence says
00:28:15.520 yes?
00:28:16.580 But,
00:28:17.360 here's the
00:28:18.460 fun part.
00:28:19.980 How many
00:28:20.600 times have I
00:28:21.160 told you how
00:28:21.660 clever it was
00:28:22.620 that Black
00:28:23.780 Lives Matter
00:28:24.540 came up with
00:28:25.460 that slogan,
00:28:26.280 Black Lives
00:28:26.840 Matter?
00:28:27.760 Because if
00:28:28.520 you tried to
00:28:29.440 expand it
00:28:31.180 to All Lives
00:28:32.400 Matter,
00:28:32.900 you became
00:28:33.460 branded
00:28:33.920 a racist.
00:28:35.340 And so
00:28:35.640 it became
00:28:36.000 this really
00:28:36.440 powerful
00:28:36.940 linguistic
00:28:37.540 little package
00:28:38.520 that punched
00:28:40.760 much higher
00:28:41.700 than its
00:28:42.220 weight class.
00:28:44.020 So,
00:28:44.480 persuasion-wise,
00:28:45.380 the phrase
00:28:45.680 Black Lives
00:28:46.180 Matter,
00:28:46.820 A+,
00:28:47.820 genius,
00:28:49.040 did what
00:28:49.660 it was
00:28:49.900 supposed to
00:28:50.340 do,
00:28:50.720 maybe better
00:28:51.280 than even
00:28:51.660 the people
00:28:52.000 who came
00:28:52.300 up with
00:28:52.600 it thought
00:28:52.960 it would
00:28:53.200 do.
00:28:54.400 But,
00:28:54.920 when Tim
00:28:55.780 Scott said
00:28:56.600 America
00:28:57.760 is not
00:28:58.260 a racist,
00:28:59.620 he created,
00:29:00.660 and I don't
00:29:01.040 know how
00:29:01.340 much was
00:29:01.700 intentional,
00:29:02.700 but he
00:29:03.060 created the
00:29:03.720 same kind
00:29:04.540 of trap.
00:29:06.000 Because what
00:29:06.680 happened next?
00:29:08.700 Kamala Harris
00:29:09.540 and Joe
00:29:10.020 Biden will
00:29:10.620 be asked
00:29:11.160 the question,
00:29:12.600 is America
00:29:13.280 a racist
00:29:14.120 country?
00:29:15.660 Do you see
00:29:16.220 the beauty
00:29:16.640 of this yet?
00:29:18.280 What can
00:29:18.980 they say?
00:29:20.940 So you put
00:29:21.500 the president,
00:29:22.020 let's just take
00:29:22.580 Biden as my
00:29:23.200 example,
00:29:23.820 you put the
00:29:24.360 president of the
00:29:24.920 United States
00:29:25.600 in this awkward
00:29:26.680 little box
00:29:27.500 where he has
00:29:28.600 to either
00:29:29.060 insult his
00:29:30.900 own country
00:29:31.800 for being
00:29:33.040 racist,
00:29:33.720 which you
00:29:34.400 can't say
00:29:34.960 in front
00:29:35.300 of China,
00:29:36.400 can you?
00:29:37.720 Can Joe
00:29:38.480 Biden say
00:29:39.100 the United
00:29:39.480 States is
00:29:40.100 a racist
00:29:40.480 country
00:29:41.000 while China
00:29:42.560 is listening?
00:29:44.180 He can't.
00:29:45.560 He can believe
00:29:46.500 it,
00:29:47.440 he can say
00:29:47.980 it privately,
00:29:49.180 but if you're
00:29:49.920 the president
00:29:50.400 of the United
00:29:50.800 States,
00:29:51.440 you can't
00:29:52.300 brand your
00:29:52.960 own country
00:29:53.720 racist
00:29:54.360 when China
00:29:55.640 is putting
00:29:56.080 Uyghurs
00:29:56.620 in these
00:29:58.400 training
00:29:58.880 facilities,
00:29:59.480 right?
00:30:00.200 Because our
00:30:01.220 statements
00:30:02.820 about other
00:30:03.780 countries only
00:30:04.520 carry weight
00:30:05.200 if we're
00:30:05.560 not like
00:30:06.060 them.
00:30:06.760 The moment
00:30:07.520 he admitted,
00:30:08.500 oh yeah,
00:30:08.840 we're a racist
00:30:09.340 country,
00:30:10.300 and he says,
00:30:11.420 hey China,
00:30:12.100 stop putting
00:30:12.720 Uyghurs in
00:30:13.380 these camps,
00:30:15.040 what does
00:30:15.380 China say?
00:30:18.600 China obviously
00:30:19.920 is going to
00:30:20.740 say,
00:30:22.840 no one
00:30:23.260 wonders,
00:30:23.720 why my
00:30:27.280 front door
00:30:29.040 would be
00:30:29.560 ringing here.
00:30:30.720 If you don't
00:30:31.100 mind,
00:30:31.520 I'm going to
00:30:31.800 look at my
00:30:32.340 security camera
00:30:33.220 for a second.
00:30:38.860 It's like
00:30:39.580 somebody's
00:30:40.220 delivering
00:30:40.620 something.
00:30:43.220 Don't know
00:30:43.920 what.
00:30:44.520 Okay.
00:30:48.220 Sorry about
00:30:48.980 that.
00:30:49.940 It's too
00:30:50.320 far away.
00:30:51.020 I can't do
00:30:51.480 that now.
00:30:53.000 So,
00:30:53.720 so Joe
00:30:55.020 Biden had
00:30:55.540 to say,
00:30:56.500 in response
00:30:57.540 to is
00:30:58.160 America a
00:30:58.920 racist
00:30:59.100 country,
00:30:59.660 he had to
00:31:00.020 give an
00:31:00.260 answer.
00:31:00.640 And here's
00:31:00.900 the answer
00:31:01.240 he gave
00:31:01.640 on the
00:31:02.260 NBC
00:31:02.820 Today show.
00:31:04.900 He said,
00:31:05.500 quote,
00:31:05.780 no,
00:31:06.080 I don't
00:31:06.380 think
00:31:06.620 American
00:31:07.080 people are
00:31:07.900 racist.
00:31:10.100 What?
00:31:11.100 I thought
00:31:11.780 there was
00:31:12.040 a big
00:31:12.300 problem
00:31:12.600 with white
00:31:13.020 supremacy.
00:31:14.840 But he
00:31:15.440 says the
00:31:15.840 American
00:31:16.080 people,
00:31:16.920 he doesn't
00:31:17.400 believe they're
00:31:17.780 racist.
00:31:18.780 But he
00:31:19.340 says,
00:31:19.620 but I
00:31:19.820 think after
00:31:20.260 400 years,
00:31:21.220 African
00:31:21.500 Americans have
00:31:22.180 been left
00:31:22.560 in a position
00:31:23.220 where they're
00:31:24.300 so far
00:31:24.740 behind the
00:31:25.320 eight ball
00:31:25.640 in terms of
00:31:26.200 education,
00:31:26.720 health,
00:31:26.980 in terms of
00:31:27.420 opportunity,
00:31:28.740 I don't
00:31:29.480 think America
00:31:30.360 is racist.
00:31:31.260 Now he's
00:31:31.700 changed a
00:31:32.180 little bit.
00:31:33.180 So he
00:31:33.420 started with
00:31:34.900 the American
00:31:35.460 people are
00:31:36.240 not racist,
00:31:37.220 and then he
00:31:37.820 went further
00:31:38.300 and said,
00:31:38.760 I don't
00:31:39.000 think America
00:31:39.900 as a country
00:31:40.700 is racist.
00:31:42.700 But he
00:31:43.220 said,
00:31:43.460 but I think
00:31:43.760 the overhang
00:31:44.380 from all the
00:31:44.860 Jim Crow
00:31:45.360 and before
00:31:45.800 that slavery
00:31:46.560 had a cost
00:31:48.240 and we have
00:31:48.680 to deal
00:31:48.980 with it.
00:31:50.500 Well,
00:31:52.000 that kind
00:31:52.460 of just
00:31:52.780 destroys the
00:31:53.780 entire
00:31:54.180 Democrat
00:31:54.980 philosophy,
00:31:57.320 doesn't it?
00:31:58.800 Did Joe
00:31:59.940 Biden not
00:32:00.660 just become
00:32:01.400 a Republican?
00:32:03.340 Because isn't
00:32:04.520 the Republican
00:32:06.140 opinion that
00:32:08.140 we're not a
00:32:08.680 racist country,
00:32:09.960 as Tim
00:32:11.380 Scott said,
00:32:12.880 but that
00:32:13.660 yes,
00:32:14.020 everybody
00:32:14.420 understands
00:32:15.120 that black
00:32:16.100 Americans have
00:32:16.940 not made
00:32:19.700 the same
00:32:20.060 progress as
00:32:20.720 other people,
00:32:22.740 and they
00:32:24.100 would be
00:32:24.320 good if
00:32:24.620 they did.
00:32:26.640 It's
00:32:27.120 starting to
00:32:28.680 look really
00:32:29.340 Republican,
00:32:30.980 isn't it?
00:32:32.640 And I'm
00:32:33.380 thinking to
00:32:33.760 myself,
00:32:34.600 is this
00:32:35.180 going to
00:32:35.420 become like
00:32:35.900 the new
00:32:36.300 thing?
00:32:37.100 You always
00:32:37.560 wonder what's
00:32:38.020 going to be
00:32:38.260 the thing
00:32:38.700 that the
00:32:39.040 news latches
00:32:39.700 onto.
00:32:40.580 But making
00:32:41.720 Joe Biden
00:32:42.280 answer this
00:32:42.960 question over
00:32:43.740 and over
00:32:44.080 again about
00:32:44.740 are we
00:32:45.160 really racist,
00:32:46.120 it's going
00:32:46.680 to be
00:32:46.880 hard for
00:32:47.280 him to
00:32:47.580 explain why
00:32:48.940 he ran
00:32:49.500 for office
00:32:50.280 because he
00:32:51.700 believed the
00:32:52.340 fine people
00:32:52.960 hoax.
00:32:54.540 If you
00:32:55.160 believed the
00:32:55.920 fine people
00:32:56.540 hoax that
00:32:57.840 the president
00:32:58.420 had called
00:32:58.980 the racist
00:33:00.880 fine people,
00:33:02.380 then maybe
00:33:03.760 you do think
00:33:04.380 it's a racist
00:33:04.920 country and
00:33:05.520 there's a much
00:33:05.980 bigger problem
00:33:06.660 here.
00:33:07.920 But he's
00:33:08.440 got some
00:33:08.780 explaining to
00:33:09.400 do.
00:33:09.580 I think he
00:33:10.080 just threw
00:33:11.000 the entire
00:33:11.480 Democratic
00:33:12.080 idea that
00:33:13.460 everything is
00:33:14.000 victimhood and
00:33:15.180 we've got to
00:33:15.600 fix it under
00:33:16.200 the bus.
00:33:17.160 But I
00:33:17.540 also wonder
00:33:18.100 what obligation
00:33:19.360 does the
00:33:19.920 country have
00:33:20.780 to fix a
00:33:22.580 problem where
00:33:23.240 there's a
00:33:23.900 group of
00:33:24.340 people who
00:33:24.960 are starting
00:33:26.600 from behind?
00:33:29.020 What is the
00:33:30.200 philosophical,
00:33:32.800 what is the
00:33:34.320 backing for
00:33:35.300 helping people
00:33:36.220 because they
00:33:37.580 started from
00:33:38.260 behind?
00:33:38.920 Now I guess
00:33:39.380 in this theory
00:33:39.960 that the
00:33:40.940 starting from
00:33:41.500 behind was
00:33:42.240 caused by
00:33:43.280 the white
00:33:45.740 people who
00:33:46.240 were the
00:33:46.460 slavers.
00:33:47.320 But again,
00:33:48.000 you have the
00:33:48.420 comparison
00:33:48.840 problem,
00:33:49.540 don't you?
00:33:50.740 Because
00:33:51.220 even the
00:33:53.540 slavers,
00:33:54.760 it's not
00:33:55.540 like they
00:33:55.900 took wealth
00:33:56.680 away from
00:33:57.480 the slaves
00:33:58.960 because the
00:33:59.780 slaves didn't
00:34:00.200 have any
00:34:00.580 wealth,
00:34:01.420 even before
00:34:02.220 they were
00:34:02.520 slaves.
00:34:03.500 And it's
00:34:04.620 not like they
00:34:05.260 denied them
00:34:06.100 the education
00:34:06.760 that they
00:34:07.160 were getting
00:34:07.580 before.
00:34:08.100 so the
00:34:10.020 proper
00:34:10.480 comparison
00:34:11.360 would be
00:34:12.760 the
00:34:14.240 descendants
00:34:14.700 of black
00:34:15.300 people in
00:34:15.740 this country
00:34:16.240 and how
00:34:16.640 are they
00:34:16.900 doing on
00:34:17.600 average
00:34:18.000 economically
00:34:18.680 compared to
00:34:20.000 the descendants
00:34:20.700 of the people
00:34:21.460 who were left
00:34:22.020 behind in
00:34:22.840 Africa and
00:34:24.220 how are they
00:34:25.020 doing economically.
00:34:26.680 That's the
00:34:27.160 comparison.
00:34:28.560 So if the
00:34:28.940 people who were
00:34:29.500 left behind in
00:34:30.220 Africa are
00:34:30.800 doing far
00:34:31.380 worse,
00:34:32.060 and I
00:34:32.260 actually don't
00:34:32.980 know how
00:34:33.340 that would
00:34:33.640 come out,
00:34:34.640 but if they
00:34:35.360 are,
00:34:36.580 then you
00:34:37.200 could say
00:34:37.600 that the
00:34:38.360 descendants of
00:34:39.620 slaveries came
00:34:40.400 out ahead.
00:34:41.580 They just
00:34:42.180 didn't come
00:34:42.660 out nearly
00:34:43.280 as ahead
00:34:43.940 as other
00:34:44.760 people.
00:34:46.060 But is
00:34:47.480 that a
00:34:47.780 cause for
00:34:48.540 fixing it?
00:34:51.420 Because you
00:34:52.180 could argue
00:34:52.640 that no
00:34:53.240 matter how
00:34:53.660 bad the
00:34:54.180 actions were,
00:34:54.940 and of course
00:34:55.360 slavery is
00:34:57.020 sort of the
00:34:57.940 ultimate sin,
00:34:58.700 right?
00:34:59.700 No matter
00:35:00.400 how bad
00:35:00.800 that is,
00:35:01.520 let's call
00:35:02.000 it the
00:35:02.260 ultimate sin,
00:35:03.780 it's just
00:35:04.280 sort of a
00:35:04.760 truth that
00:35:05.860 even bad
00:35:06.720 things,
00:35:07.600 can produce
00:35:08.380 some good
00:35:08.940 outcomes.
00:35:09.960 Even
00:35:10.300 horrible
00:35:10.780 things can
00:35:12.080 accidentally
00:35:12.640 produce some
00:35:13.280 good outcomes,
00:35:14.080 and one of
00:35:14.520 those good
00:35:14.840 outcomes is,
00:35:15.520 I'm guessing,
00:35:16.600 that the
00:35:16.980 average black
00:35:18.240 American is
00:35:19.120 way better
00:35:19.580 off than if
00:35:20.920 their ancestors
00:35:21.720 had never been
00:35:22.540 an American in
00:35:23.220 the first place
00:35:23.760 under any
00:35:24.440 situation.
00:35:25.460 I'm guessing.
00:35:26.420 But if we
00:35:27.000 don't know the
00:35:27.420 answer to that,
00:35:28.220 it's hard to
00:35:28.580 figure out how
00:35:29.780 to fix it.
00:35:31.340 All right,
00:35:31.840 you heard on
00:35:32.880 Project Veritas,
00:35:33.940 when they had the
00:35:34.380 undercover video,
00:35:35.280 that climate
00:35:37.940 was going to
00:35:38.420 be the next
00:35:38.860 topic that
00:35:39.680 CNN was
00:35:40.780 going to
00:35:41.200 start pushing,
00:35:42.340 because they
00:35:42.800 need something
00:35:43.300 big and
00:35:43.780 scary.
00:35:45.220 So again,
00:35:46.940 of course,
00:35:47.460 just like
00:35:47.940 Project Veritas
00:35:49.060 told us
00:35:50.220 it was coming,
00:35:51.280 CNN's got a
00:35:52.120 story today
00:35:52.720 about the
00:35:53.160 glaciers are
00:35:53.860 melting faster
00:35:54.680 than predicted.
00:35:56.760 So on
00:35:57.800 one hand,
00:35:58.380 you've got
00:35:58.820 CNN pushing
00:36:00.520 climate fear.
00:36:04.540 At the
00:36:05.260 same time,
00:36:06.080 we've learned
00:36:07.840 that climate
00:36:08.920 change and
00:36:09.800 the fear of
00:36:10.400 it is
00:36:11.740 causing a
00:36:12.460 lot of
00:36:12.740 mental health
00:36:13.300 problems,
00:36:14.020 especially for
00:36:14.700 young people,
00:36:15.840 like a lot
00:36:16.700 of them,
00:36:17.840 like seriously
00:36:18.800 a lot of
00:36:19.780 really bad
00:36:20.560 mental health
00:36:21.860 problems.
00:36:22.660 And it's
00:36:22.980 because young
00:36:23.560 people don't
00:36:24.260 know that the
00:36:25.040 media is
00:36:25.660 illegitimate.
00:36:27.500 If you're my
00:36:28.500 age, you know
00:36:29.220 that them
00:36:30.160 saying that
00:36:30.680 there's a
00:36:31.280 bad thing
00:36:32.140 coming means
00:36:33.320 there might
00:36:33.720 be, but
00:36:35.420 probably not
00:36:36.160 because the
00:36:37.260 news is just
00:36:37.840 not legitimate.
00:36:39.520 And if you're
00:36:40.120 young, imagine
00:36:40.720 how scary it
00:36:41.460 would be being
00:36:42.620 told that
00:36:43.280 you're going to
00:36:45.040 burn up and
00:36:46.060 the planet will
00:36:46.700 be uninhabitable
00:36:47.720 sometime in your
00:36:48.520 middle ages.
00:36:49.780 Now, when I
00:36:50.240 was a kid,
00:36:51.080 we believed
00:36:52.140 that the odds
00:36:53.720 of a nuclear
00:36:54.500 war with the
00:36:55.860 Soviet Union
00:36:56.560 was closer
00:36:58.660 to probable
00:36:59.660 than improbable.
00:37:01.980 So I grew
00:37:03.080 up sort
00:37:04.260 of with
00:37:05.100 PTSD that
00:37:06.300 a nuclear
00:37:07.300 weapon was
00:37:08.020 going to
00:37:08.300 detonate any
00:37:08.920 moment and
00:37:09.480 I would be
00:37:10.060 killed or
00:37:11.000 maimed by it.
00:37:13.140 And I
00:37:15.220 don't know
00:37:15.520 if that had
00:37:16.000 a toll on
00:37:16.620 me, but I
00:37:17.940 feel like it
00:37:18.420 did.
00:37:19.600 I feel like
00:37:20.420 worrying about
00:37:21.200 blowing up in
00:37:22.100 a nuclear
00:37:22.580 blast probably
00:37:24.740 affected my
00:37:25.640 childhood somehow,
00:37:27.660 don't you
00:37:28.040 think?
00:37:28.860 And I
00:37:30.140 would definitely
00:37:30.700 believe that
00:37:31.800 climate change
00:37:32.700 panic is
00:37:34.380 causing a lot
00:37:35.140 of mental
00:37:35.520 illness.
00:37:36.800 So, remember
00:37:38.060 I told you
00:37:38.580 that CNN
00:37:39.080 creates the
00:37:40.280 problem and
00:37:42.200 then reports
00:37:42.940 on it.
00:37:44.140 Here's another
00:37:45.120 one.
00:37:46.040 The more of
00:37:46.620 these you see,
00:37:47.820 the more obvious
00:37:48.640 it becomes because
00:37:49.500 it's invisible
00:37:50.160 until you see
00:37:51.520 examples.
00:37:53.160 CNN scared
00:37:54.700 the crap out
00:37:55.720 of the public
00:37:56.320 and people
00:37:57.380 in their
00:37:57.740 business,
00:37:58.560 scared the
00:37:59.240 crap out
00:37:59.660 of the
00:37:59.820 public,
00:38:00.960 probably
00:38:01.540 scared them
00:38:02.320 beyond what
00:38:03.120 is reasonable.
00:38:04.500 Now, they
00:38:04.880 may have had
00:38:05.280 good intentions
00:38:06.080 to get
00:38:07.180 something going,
00:38:08.680 but the
00:38:09.320 effect of it
00:38:09.900 is that the
00:38:11.080 news business
00:38:11.860 caused this
00:38:13.220 massive mental
00:38:14.180 illness and
00:38:15.340 then they
00:38:15.680 turned it
00:38:16.100 into a story
00:38:16.900 about how
00:38:18.040 climate change
00:38:19.280 is causing
00:38:20.680 the mental
00:38:21.200 illness.
00:38:22.580 But is that
00:38:23.160 what happened?
00:38:23.780 No.
00:38:26.200 Climate change
00:38:27.040 didn't cause
00:38:27.660 anybody's mental
00:38:28.840 illness.
00:38:30.080 The news is
00:38:31.140 reporting on it
00:38:32.340 and the way
00:38:32.920 they frame it
00:38:33.800 caused the
00:38:35.020 mental illness.
00:38:36.400 Not the
00:38:37.020 warming,
00:38:37.840 because you
00:38:38.200 walk outside
00:38:38.840 and it's kind
00:38:39.340 of the same
00:38:39.720 as yesterday.
00:38:40.720 There's literally
00:38:41.620 nobody who
00:38:43.360 is actually
00:38:44.040 mentally affected
00:38:44.940 by actual
00:38:46.680 climate change.
00:38:48.120 None.
00:38:49.280 Because we
00:38:50.020 don't feel it.
00:38:51.380 Right?
00:38:51.480 Even today's
00:38:53.040 scary story
00:38:53.900 about the
00:38:54.260 glaciers melting
00:38:55.100 faster says
00:38:56.520 they've added
00:38:56.980 a quarter inch
00:38:57.760 to the sea
00:38:58.260 level.
00:39:00.220 Could you tell
00:39:01.220 the difference?
00:39:02.820 No.
00:39:03.620 Right?
00:39:04.160 So this is a
00:39:05.860 fake story in
00:39:07.080 the sense that
00:39:07.800 I'm not saying
00:39:08.380 that climate
00:39:08.800 change is fake.
00:39:09.600 I'm saying that
00:39:10.180 the fear of it
00:39:11.700 is caused by
00:39:12.560 the media and
00:39:13.360 then the media
00:39:13.880 blames it on
00:39:14.440 climate change.
00:39:16.080 It was never
00:39:16.620 climate change.
00:39:17.260 It was the
00:39:17.540 media.
00:39:18.220 They're the
00:39:18.600 ones who
00:39:18.900 caused the
00:39:19.580 mental health
00:39:20.080 problem.
00:39:20.840 That's it.
00:39:21.480 That's the
00:39:21.720 whole story.
00:39:23.220 Now, climate
00:39:24.560 change itself
00:39:25.380 might be bad,
00:39:26.920 but that's
00:39:27.420 separate.
00:39:28.940 There's a
00:39:29.740 story here
00:39:30.860 about a
00:39:31.920 new way to
00:39:32.500 weed your
00:39:35.100 crops with
00:39:36.560 lasers.
00:39:38.120 How much
00:39:38.560 do you love
00:39:39.000 that?
00:39:40.000 How much
00:39:40.340 do you love
00:39:40.760 that now
00:39:41.100 there's a
00:39:41.580 big truck
00:39:42.200 that drives
00:39:43.340 over your
00:39:43.800 crops and
00:39:45.000 uses some
00:39:46.000 kind of
00:39:46.380 plant recognition
00:39:47.520 to know the
00:39:48.540 difference between
00:39:49.240 a plant and
00:39:50.020 a weed,
00:39:50.480 and as
00:39:51.340 it's driving
00:39:51.800 off over
00:39:52.800 the weeds
00:39:53.300 and plants,
00:39:53.880 it fires
00:39:54.760 lasers into
00:39:55.660 the weeds.
00:39:57.100 Only the
00:39:57.700 weeds.
00:40:00.360 How cool is
00:40:01.580 that?
00:40:02.240 Because apparently
00:40:02.920 it removes the
00:40:03.760 need for a lot
00:40:04.940 of chemicals and
00:40:05.820 pesticides and
00:40:06.680 stuff.
00:40:07.740 That's pretty
00:40:08.260 cool, isn't
00:40:09.100 it?
00:40:09.260 you may have
00:40:14.540 known this
00:40:15.400 technology was
00:40:16.420 coming because
00:40:17.640 you can go to
00:40:18.300 your local
00:40:18.800 pharmacy and
00:40:23.460 you can buy a
00:40:24.100 little device that
00:40:25.000 does exactly the
00:40:25.900 same thing for
00:40:26.600 the hair on
00:40:27.160 your body.
00:40:28.220 Have you seen
00:40:28.680 those?
00:40:29.760 So it's a little
00:40:30.300 device.
00:40:31.340 Let's say you've
00:40:31.900 got a little
00:40:32.200 back hair.
00:40:32.900 You're a guy.
00:40:33.380 You want to get
00:40:33.740 rid of some
00:40:34.080 back hair.
00:40:34.480 You just run
00:40:35.520 this over your
00:40:36.100 back and it
00:40:37.920 senses the
00:40:38.600 difference between
00:40:39.260 a hair and
00:40:40.880 just back.
00:40:42.380 It actually
00:40:42.960 shoots a little
00:40:43.880 laser into the
00:40:44.820 hair.
00:40:45.840 Now, I have
00:40:46.480 used this
00:40:47.020 product and
00:40:48.580 it feels like a
00:40:50.660 little snap of a
00:40:52.220 rubber band or
00:40:52.920 something.
00:40:56.480 So you can
00:40:57.820 remove your
00:40:58.360 hair with one
00:40:58.900 of these cheap
00:40:59.440 devices.
00:40:59.880 So putting the
00:41:00.880 same technology
00:41:01.700 into farming just
00:41:04.680 made sense.
00:41:05.400 If you knew
00:41:05.740 about that other
00:41:06.320 device, you
00:41:07.680 would have seen
00:41:08.020 that coming.
00:41:09.060 There's news
00:41:09.540 today that I
00:41:10.400 think is fake
00:41:10.900 news about an
00:41:11.720 Iranian prison
00:41:12.600 swap in which
00:41:14.000 allegedly the
00:41:15.060 U.S. and Iran
00:41:16.200 would swap some
00:41:17.000 prisoners and
00:41:18.280 then allegedly,
00:41:19.320 and I think this
00:41:19.880 is the fake
00:41:20.400 part, there would
00:41:21.480 be some large
00:41:23.120 amount of money
00:41:23.700 that we would
00:41:24.300 give to Iran as
00:41:25.180 part of this
00:41:25.620 deal.
00:41:26.500 Now, the
00:41:27.680 administration is
00:41:28.720 denying it.
00:41:30.720 But not denying
00:41:32.280 that they're having
00:41:32.900 conversations about
00:41:33.900 prisoners, which
00:41:34.980 apparently is not
00:41:36.460 that big a deal.
00:41:39.300 Colin says,
00:41:40.260 counterpoint, here
00:41:40.960 in Alaska we get
00:41:41.860 far less snow in
00:41:42.660 our ski resorts as
00:41:43.740 a result of an
00:41:44.940 increase of
00:41:45.560 temperature of a
00:41:46.300 couple of
00:41:46.620 degrees.
00:41:47.800 Well, I'm just
00:41:50.520 saying that you
00:41:52.700 probably don't have
00:41:54.100 a mental health
00:41:55.000 problem because
00:41:56.460 your ski slope
00:41:57.180 doesn't have enough
00:41:57.860 snow.
00:41:58.140 I mean, unless
00:42:00.000 you work there, I
00:42:00.780 suppose.
00:42:01.660 But I'm not
00:42:03.100 saying that climate
00:42:03.960 change isn't
00:42:04.560 happening.
00:42:05.240 I'm just saying
00:42:05.720 that for most of
00:42:07.200 us, we wake up, we
00:42:08.440 go through our day,
00:42:09.500 and it's not really
00:42:10.160 affecting us.
00:42:11.060 And I don't think
00:42:11.920 you can know for
00:42:12.580 sure that climate
00:42:13.160 change is changing
00:42:14.160 what's happening at
00:42:14.960 your ski slope.
00:42:16.200 But maybe.
00:42:17.140 I don't rule it
00:42:17.840 down either.
00:42:18.920 All right.
00:42:20.480 So I don't think
00:42:21.480 this Iranian prison
00:42:22.440 swap story is real
00:42:24.240 in terms of the
00:42:25.580 money part.
00:42:26.200 And the reason
00:42:26.600 is, I don't
00:42:27.740 believe Biden
00:42:28.460 would be so
00:42:29.260 dumb as to do
00:42:32.060 the same thing
00:42:32.860 that caused
00:42:33.520 conservatives to
00:42:35.400 talk about the
00:42:36.200 pallets of cash
00:42:37.180 forever.
00:42:38.580 You know,
00:42:39.140 everybody knows
00:42:39.840 the story, Obama
00:42:40.740 giving Iran pallets
00:42:41.980 of cash to make
00:42:43.640 the nuclear deal,
00:42:45.380 and then things
00:42:47.880 didn't go well.
00:42:49.120 So I'm going to
00:42:51.120 call it fake news
00:42:51.780 on that.
00:42:52.260 I don't think
00:42:52.640 there will be a
00:42:53.160 dollar amount
00:42:53.900 considered.
00:42:54.980 Here's some more
00:42:55.820 fake news and my
00:42:57.120 opinion, but this
00:42:58.700 is sort of marginal
00:42:59.520 fake news.
00:43:00.440 You've all heard
00:43:00.960 the story that
00:43:01.520 Warren Buffett,
00:43:02.400 who's worth over
00:43:03.420 $100 billion,
00:43:04.700 has lived in his
00:43:06.740 same house in
00:43:07.520 Omaha since
00:43:08.700 1958.
00:43:11.160 And if you
00:43:12.140 Google it,
00:43:13.260 you'll find all
00:43:13.980 kinds of stories
00:43:14.680 confirming it.
00:43:16.060 And when I
00:43:17.620 mentioned some
00:43:19.000 skepticism about
00:43:20.220 it, people who
00:43:21.980 live in Omaha
00:43:22.740 said, oh yeah,
00:43:24.420 he's, you know,
00:43:25.540 he's sighted in
00:43:26.720 Omaha on a
00:43:28.040 regular basis,
00:43:29.160 going to just
00:43:29.940 local eateries.
00:43:31.660 And so, yes,
00:43:33.060 Warren Buffett
00:43:33.760 does in fact live
00:43:34.860 in the same
00:43:35.940 little house he
00:43:36.680 bought in 1958.
00:43:38.500 Well, does he?
00:43:40.760 Does he?
00:43:41.960 Let me add this
00:43:43.040 skepticism.
00:43:45.700 Number one,
00:43:46.280 you always see
00:43:47.460 the picture of
00:43:48.000 the house and
00:43:48.500 it looks kind
00:43:49.020 of modest.
00:43:50.680 You know, it's
00:43:51.060 a sizable house,
00:43:53.420 but it looks
00:43:54.180 modest for a
00:43:55.120 billionaire.
00:43:56.040 But then you
00:43:56.700 see it from the
00:43:57.840 air.
00:43:58.900 It turns out that
00:43:59.740 modest part is
00:44:01.380 just what you
00:44:01.900 can see from
00:44:02.420 the street.
00:44:03.760 It turns out
00:44:04.620 it's not nearly
00:44:05.800 as modest as
00:44:06.720 it used to be
00:44:07.520 because there
00:44:08.560 are extra
00:44:09.300 construction that
00:44:10.100 you can't see.
00:44:11.380 So it's bigger
00:44:12.160 than it looks.
00:44:13.880 And we don't
00:44:14.500 know what was
00:44:15.020 added.
00:44:15.620 So it's
00:44:15.980 certainly not
00:44:16.540 the same
00:44:17.120 house he
00:44:17.540 bought in
00:44:17.880 1958.
00:44:19.300 So let's
00:44:20.020 remove the
00:44:21.500 idea that
00:44:22.240 it's the
00:44:22.620 same house.
00:44:23.940 It might be
00:44:24.500 the same
00:44:24.920 land, and
00:44:26.400 it might look
00:44:26.940 the same
00:44:27.460 from the
00:44:27.860 street, but
00:44:28.920 there's a lot
00:44:29.420 of extra
00:44:29.820 stuff going
00:44:30.480 on back
00:44:30.940 there that
00:44:31.620 we don't
00:44:31.980 have any
00:44:32.300 details about.
00:44:33.500 But beyond
00:44:34.160 that, do
00:44:35.700 you think he
00:44:36.120 lives in that
00:44:36.640 house in
00:44:37.020 Omaha?
00:44:38.300 Really?
00:44:39.220 Here's what I
00:44:39.940 think, and I'm
00:44:40.780 just going to
00:44:41.180 guess.
00:44:41.840 If he really
00:44:42.740 lived in that
00:44:43.380 house, we
00:44:44.140 probably would
00:44:44.840 have heard
00:44:45.340 something like
00:44:46.280 this.
00:44:47.480 He spends
00:44:48.340 at least 200
00:44:49.500 nights a year
00:44:50.640 in his
00:44:51.580 house, but
00:44:52.600 he travels a
00:44:53.200 lot too.
00:44:54.360 Or something
00:44:57.120 along those
00:44:57.640 lines.
00:44:57.980 and so I
00:45:07.560 think he
00:45:08.020 probably travels
00:45:09.140 and stays at
00:45:10.360 luxury places
00:45:11.540 as he travels,
00:45:12.740 but when he
00:45:13.480 does his
00:45:14.020 Omaha thing
00:45:15.320 where he does
00:45:16.060 his annual
00:45:16.480 meeting, he
00:45:17.380 probably does
00:45:17.980 stay at the
00:45:18.420 house.
00:45:18.860 It probably
00:45:19.200 is his
00:45:19.760 official residence.
00:45:21.280 He probably
00:45:21.780 does visit
00:45:22.380 there often,
00:45:23.160 but I don't
00:45:25.320 think he
00:45:25.780 lives there.
00:45:28.780 If I had
00:45:29.540 to guess, do
00:45:31.220 you think he
00:45:31.640 spends more
00:45:32.400 time sleeping
00:45:33.780 not in that
00:45:35.620 house than he
00:45:37.180 spends in the
00:45:37.720 house?
00:45:38.000 What do you
00:45:38.300 think?
00:45:39.000 I'm going to
00:45:39.600 guess that while
00:45:41.360 he probably does
00:45:42.100 use it as a
00:45:42.720 home base, that
00:45:44.520 where he actually
00:45:45.420 spends his time
00:45:46.460 probably in more
00:45:48.080 of a luxurious
00:45:49.000 setting that's
00:45:50.820 temporary or
00:45:52.020 rented or his
00:45:53.340 private plane or
00:45:54.440 whatever.
00:45:55.780 I see a lot
00:45:58.440 of you disagreeing
00:45:59.220 because you
00:45:59.500 want to believe
00:46:00.320 that he really
00:46:01.200 just has a
00:46:01.820 modest little
00:46:02.340 house, but I'm
00:46:03.640 going to say
00:46:04.100 without knowing
00:46:05.160 any of the
00:46:05.520 facts, I think
00:46:06.780 that he does
00:46:07.360 not sleep there
00:46:08.260 most of the
00:46:08.960 time.
00:46:10.040 But if I'm
00:46:10.840 wrong about
00:46:11.260 that, I'd be
00:46:14.400 amazed, but I
00:46:16.920 could be wrong.
00:46:18.800 There's a weird
00:46:19.580 thing happening
00:46:20.220 in fashion and
00:46:22.260 celebrity news,
00:46:24.100 which is, and
00:46:27.520 I'm trying to
00:46:28.180 figure out how
00:46:28.680 to say this
00:46:29.220 without getting
00:46:29.760 canceled, because
00:46:31.180 I'm going to
00:46:31.540 talk about it
00:46:32.060 like it's
00:46:32.380 interesting.
00:46:33.520 I'm trying not
00:46:34.100 to insult
00:46:34.640 anybody, right?
00:46:35.700 So the concept
00:46:37.260 which I'm going
00:46:38.180 to talk about
00:46:38.760 is not intended
00:46:39.960 as anybody's
00:46:41.100 insult.
00:46:42.540 But it wasn't
00:46:43.920 that long ago
00:46:44.760 when the
00:46:46.020 celebrity news
00:46:46.920 would show
00:46:47.580 impossibly beautiful
00:46:48.980 people, usually
00:46:50.300 female, and we,
00:46:53.280 the normal
00:46:53.980 unwashed masses
00:46:55.180 would look at
00:46:55.760 them and we'd
00:46:56.280 say, my God,
00:46:57.820 like, how can
00:46:59.280 anybody be that
00:47:00.340 fit and beautiful
00:47:02.020 and it looks
00:47:03.420 like you can't
00:47:04.080 even, the
00:47:04.800 dimensions, it
00:47:06.080 looks like a
00:47:06.540 Barbie, you
00:47:08.180 know, is it
00:47:08.640 just some kind
00:47:10.040 of, is it all
00:47:11.400 plastic surgery?
00:47:12.400 Like, how is it
00:47:12.920 even possible?
00:47:14.980 But I don't
00:47:16.640 know if it's
00:47:17.260 culture or the
00:47:18.220 pandemic that
00:47:18.920 changed it, but
00:47:20.360 that reporting has
00:47:21.460 changed to the
00:47:23.860 same, literally
00:47:25.220 in some cases
00:47:25.980 the same people
00:47:26.900 who were
00:47:27.780 photographed by
00:47:28.520 the paparazzis
00:47:29.300 like looking
00:47:29.860 beautiful and
00:47:30.780 here's somebody
00:47:31.700 caught in a
00:47:32.220 bikini and
00:47:33.040 don't they look
00:47:33.580 incredible?
00:47:34.600 It's kind of
00:47:35.600 turned into
00:47:36.480 frumpy people
00:47:38.740 dressed casually
00:47:41.100 who definitely
00:47:42.680 have a few
00:47:43.300 extra pounds
00:47:44.160 but are still
00:47:45.520 celebrities.
00:47:46.800 And here's the
00:47:47.740 funny part.
00:47:49.340 The text that
00:47:50.540 talks about the
00:47:51.460 celebrities hasn't
00:47:53.000 changed, but the
00:47:55.260 celebrities definitely
00:47:56.180 changed.
00:47:57.800 They don't look the
00:47:58.620 same as they did a
00:47:59.380 year ago.
00:48:00.700 So it used to be
00:48:03.060 there'd be like an
00:48:03.780 impossibly attractive
00:48:05.260 looking person and
00:48:06.700 then the text would
00:48:07.500 be blah blah blah
00:48:08.940 is showing off their
00:48:09.960 fit and toned body,
00:48:11.900 you know, making
00:48:12.500 everybody jealous at
00:48:13.460 the beach or
00:48:14.060 something like that.
00:48:15.260 Right?
00:48:15.700 So the text and the
00:48:16.760 picture totally
00:48:17.480 match.
00:48:18.360 Now the picture will
00:48:20.220 be somebody who's
00:48:21.020 40 pounds overweight
00:48:22.180 and the text will
00:48:24.140 say, so-and-so is
00:48:25.760 showing off their
00:48:26.440 toned abs.
00:48:27.560 And I'm thinking,
00:48:28.680 no.
00:48:32.180 Again, I'm not
00:48:33.380 fat shaming.
00:48:35.100 That's not the
00:48:35.620 point of this.
00:48:36.480 The point is that
00:48:37.420 now the text is
00:48:39.000 completely out of
00:48:40.200 touch with the
00:48:40.880 picture.
00:48:41.380 They just don't
00:48:41.960 match anymore.
00:48:42.560 And they've
00:48:43.640 started to do
00:48:44.280 lots of sexy
00:48:46.900 pictures of senior
00:48:48.020 citizens.
00:48:49.300 Have you seen
00:48:49.720 that?
00:48:50.860 So Sharon Stone,
00:48:52.120 who was in her
00:48:53.140 60s, whatever, has
00:48:54.960 been appearing in
00:48:56.060 all these semi-sexy
00:48:58.040 pictures of, here's
00:48:59.600 Sharon Stone in her
00:49:00.560 60s showing off her
00:49:01.760 bikini body, or not
00:49:04.180 bikini, but, you
00:49:05.620 know, showing off her
00:49:06.480 legs and stuff.
00:49:07.160 So the celebrity
00:49:09.160 photography business
00:49:10.860 has just took a
00:49:12.360 really weird turn.
00:49:13.660 And then the
00:49:14.020 ultimate was, do
00:49:16.380 you all know
00:49:16.880 Billie Eilish?
00:49:18.460 So Billie Eilish, a
00:49:19.760 woman who, a very
00:49:21.600 successful singer,
00:49:23.620 and most famous for
00:49:25.860 dressing the least
00:49:28.060 like a beautiful
00:49:29.020 person that you
00:49:29.820 possibly could.
00:49:31.380 Like, she went as
00:49:32.460 far as you could in
00:49:34.040 the looking like she
00:49:34.980 wasn't trying, you
00:49:36.120 know, to, you
00:49:37.160 just wearing, you
00:49:38.200 know, frumpy stuff
00:49:39.080 and whatever.
00:49:40.260 And apparently she
00:49:41.000 got talked into, or
00:49:42.280 decided to, or
00:49:43.460 whatever, to show a
00:49:45.500 more revealing look
00:49:46.620 of herself on the
00:49:47.600 cover of British
00:49:48.360 Vogue.
00:49:51.180 And I don't want to
00:49:53.600 be unkind, but she
00:49:56.520 didn't quite pull it
00:49:57.400 off, if you know
00:49:58.260 what I mean.
00:50:00.100 And again, I'm not
00:50:01.380 trying to be unkind,
00:50:02.540 and that's not the
00:50:03.500 point.
00:50:04.020 The point is not
00:50:04.780 about the person.
00:50:05.920 So this is nothing
00:50:06.700 about the person.
00:50:08.060 You know, if she
00:50:08.760 wants to get more
00:50:10.000 healthy and whatever,
00:50:11.720 I'm all for it.
00:50:12.720 It has nothing to do
00:50:13.720 with the person.
00:50:15.000 But the way the media
00:50:16.000 is treating this is
00:50:17.160 just weird.
00:50:18.620 They're just showing
00:50:19.460 people not attractive
00:50:20.660 and talking about
00:50:21.980 them as if they're
00:50:22.940 just the way they
00:50:24.320 used to look.
00:50:25.240 And it's, when you
00:50:26.900 see it, it's crazy.
00:50:28.580 The British publication
00:50:31.040 Daily Mail is the one
00:50:32.840 that's the most
00:50:33.360 hilarious.
00:50:33.720 The whole right
00:50:35.180 side is all these
00:50:35.880 pictures of
00:50:36.500 celebrities, and
00:50:38.180 most of them are
00:50:38.940 like somebody
00:50:39.600 looking great.
00:50:40.980 Somebody showed
00:50:41.660 off their body,
00:50:42.440 and you click on
00:50:42.980 them, you're like,
00:50:43.660 they look kind of
00:50:46.080 normal to me.
00:50:46.980 They don't look
00:50:47.660 like superhuman
00:50:49.440 like they used to.
00:50:53.020 So that's different.
00:50:54.520 And I think that is
00:51:01.060 all I wanted to
00:51:01.720 say.
00:51:04.320 Ta-da!
00:51:06.580 So, are any of
00:51:09.400 you feeling anxious
00:51:11.260 or depressed about
00:51:12.480 climate change?
00:51:14.140 Go.
00:51:15.220 How many of you
00:51:16.200 feel that you lose
00:51:17.660 sleep or that you're
00:51:19.020 super worried about
00:51:20.220 the future because of
00:51:21.440 climate change?
00:51:22.560 And I'll bet you
00:51:24.960 almost nobody,
00:51:28.140 because knowing my
00:51:29.360 audience, most of
00:51:30.520 you lean conservative
00:51:31.820 even though I
00:51:32.920 don't, and I'm
00:51:35.760 sort of all over the
00:51:36.520 map.
00:51:37.520 But, yeah,
00:51:39.000 conservatives just
00:51:39.680 aren't worried.
00:51:41.080 Now, don't you
00:51:41.620 think that's an
00:51:42.180 advantage of not
00:51:43.180 being susceptible to
00:51:44.340 fake news?
00:51:45.980 I think that's an
00:51:47.020 advantage.
00:51:48.380 Being conservative
00:51:49.300 makes you more
00:51:50.440 mentally fit.
00:51:51.160 So now we have
00:51:52.700 two points,
00:51:55.280 three really.
00:51:58.320 I would say we
00:51:58.980 have at least three
00:52:00.140 data points that
00:52:01.120 show that being a
00:52:02.380 liberal gives you
00:52:03.160 brain damage.
00:52:04.660 So the first one
00:52:05.740 was the show that
00:52:07.000 we learned that
00:52:07.660 looking at only one
00:52:08.880 kind of the news,
00:52:10.180 either only CNN
00:52:11.340 or only Fox
00:52:13.040 News, if you only
00:52:14.240 looked at one, you
00:52:15.300 would get brain
00:52:15.780 damage because you'd
00:52:16.640 start to believe that
00:52:17.400 one narrative was
00:52:18.360 true and it would
00:52:19.900 distort your ability
00:52:20.860 to sort out
00:52:21.760 reality.
00:52:22.920 So since we know
00:52:23.740 that conservatives
00:52:24.380 are always exposed
00:52:25.540 to the news on
00:52:26.540 the left, but then
00:52:27.860 they also watch
00:52:28.520 their own conservative
00:52:29.660 news, they don't
00:52:31.080 have this problem,
00:52:32.040 presumably, because
00:52:33.000 they're seeing the
00:52:33.560 whole picture, they're
00:52:34.540 just preferring some
00:52:35.380 news.
00:52:36.020 The other people are
00:52:37.080 only seeing selected
00:52:38.120 news, so they're
00:52:39.540 actually technically
00:52:40.440 brain damaged,
00:52:41.240 according to science.
00:52:42.000 Now we see this
00:52:43.520 climate change is
00:52:44.840 causing massive
00:52:45.920 mental illness that,
00:52:48.300 as you can see in
00:52:48.940 the comments, doesn't
00:52:50.400 affect conservatives
00:52:51.380 because they're just
00:52:52.640 not that worried.
00:52:54.100 So now you have two
00:52:55.440 fairly well-confirmed,
00:52:57.360 I would say, credible
00:52:58.620 statements that being
00:53:00.060 liberal causes brain
00:53:01.120 damage.
00:53:01.820 Then I would add to
00:53:02.920 that the fear of the
00:53:04.500 police, for example,
00:53:06.520 the fear of being
00:53:07.440 killed by the police.
00:53:09.020 Let's say if you're
00:53:09.660 African-American, how
00:53:11.640 afraid should you be
00:53:13.220 of actually being
00:53:14.460 killed by the
00:53:16.020 police?
00:53:16.880 Well, if you looked
00:53:17.800 at the news, you'd
00:53:18.620 be plenty scared, and
00:53:20.760 probably your own
00:53:21.700 experience would be
00:53:22.620 negative as well.
00:53:23.780 But if you looked at
00:53:24.640 it statistically,
00:53:26.580 statistically, what
00:53:27.960 are your odds?
00:53:29.620 What are the odds of
00:53:30.900 being killed by the
00:53:31.600 police if you're not
00:53:33.060 resisting arrest or
00:53:34.060 you're unarmed?
00:53:35.060 That's pretty small.
00:53:36.400 But I'm pretty sure
00:53:37.500 that there are a lot
00:53:38.040 of people who literally
00:53:39.600 have some form of
00:53:40.880 PTSD because they're
00:53:43.320 afraid of the
00:53:43.880 police, afraid of
00:53:45.040 getting killed by the
00:53:45.800 police.
00:53:46.760 So I think we have
00:53:48.180 at least three fairly
00:53:50.240 obvious situations in
00:53:52.360 which the predicted
00:53:53.480 outcome is that people
00:53:55.400 on the left would have
00:53:56.400 something like,
00:53:57.560 literally, brain
00:53:59.020 damage.
00:54:00.120 Again, not an
00:54:00.900 insult, just a
00:54:01.720 description of, you
00:54:03.140 know, these forces
00:54:03.940 cause these things to
00:54:05.140 happen, and those
00:54:06.580 forces are not
00:54:07.460 operating on Republicans.
00:54:09.600 But the forces are
00:54:11.100 definitely operating on
00:54:13.120 other people.
00:54:14.120 Suppose you're a woman
00:54:15.620 and you believe that
00:54:18.500 women got paid 72 cents
00:54:21.440 on the dollar, which is
00:54:22.860 what Democrats largely
00:54:24.460 believe.
00:54:25.380 How would you feel about
00:54:27.920 going to work?
00:54:29.320 How would you feel about
00:54:30.480 living in the world where
00:54:32.260 you believe you get paid
00:54:33.880 72 cents on the dollar for
00:54:35.340 the same work?
00:54:36.760 Probably pretty bad.
00:54:38.760 I would think that would
00:54:39.620 have an effect on your
00:54:40.500 mental health.
00:54:41.940 But conservatives know
00:54:43.980 that the statistic isn't
00:54:45.420 real.
00:54:46.280 So they don't worry about
00:54:47.540 it because it's fake.
00:54:50.840 Conservatives weren't
00:54:51.640 worried about the, so
00:54:53.800 much, about the
00:54:54.840 Charlottesville fine people
00:54:56.260 thing because they didn't
00:54:57.500 think it was real.
00:54:58.480 We weren't worried about
00:54:59.620 Russiagate and Russia
00:55:02.420 collusion.
00:55:02.920 didn't think it was real.
00:55:05.440 It wasn't.
00:55:06.500 So I've got a feeling that
00:55:07.840 conservatives are where
00:55:09.060 all the good mental health
00:55:10.140 is happening.
00:55:13.780 And that is my show for
00:55:15.880 the day.
00:55:16.600 And I will talk to you
00:55:17.580 tomorrow.
00:55:18.840 Happy birthday.
00:55:21.180 Thank you.
00:55:21.400 Bye-bye.
00:55:23.860 Dad.
00:55:32.540 Bye-bye.
00:55:33.760 Hi-bye.
00:55:33.820 Bye-bye.