Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1364 Scott Adams： Biden Becomes a Republican, Iranian Deal, Climate Mental Health, and Lots More

00:00:00.000 Well, let's see if I've printed out my notes properly.

00:00:05.680 Oh, yes, I have. What a day, what a day.

00:00:09.740 Well, I'm hidden by YouTube more than normal today, you say.

00:00:14.940 Hmm. Is it my imagination, or have you noticed that

00:00:18.800 all the people that you talked with on Twitter,

00:00:24.380 let's say two years ago,

00:00:27.580 has decreased by about 90 percent?

00:00:30.860 There's something weird happening on Twitter lately,

00:00:34.120 and I don't know what it is.

00:00:35.480 Is it just that the weather got better?

00:00:37.720 People are outdoors?

00:00:39.180 Because this weekend, Twitter was just quiet politically.

00:00:43.920 Is it because Biden is so boring?

00:00:46.860 Is that why? I don't know.

00:00:49.040 But let's enjoy the simultaneous sip,

00:00:50.820 and all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass,

00:00:52.240 a tank or a chalice, a stein, a canteen, a jug, a flask,

00:00:54.040 a vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:56.600 I like coffee.

00:00:57.440 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure,

00:01:02.160 the dopamine hit of the day,

00:01:03.120 the thing that makes everything better.

00:01:05.980 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

00:01:08.220 Go.

00:01:12.840 Somebody says in the comments,

00:01:14.500 I'm out.

00:01:15.040 Well, that didn't take you long.

00:01:19.220 Thanks for staying for all the good content.

00:01:22.460 Well, let's talk about all the things.

00:01:25.940 Apparently, there's a poll that says 30% of the public thinks Biden didn't win.

00:01:39.280 So CNN's Harry Enten thinks it's a crazy number,

00:01:43.160 and that it's just insane that 30% of the country thinks that Biden didn't win.

00:01:50.720 And CNN is quite puzzled as to why it is that so much of the public doesn't believe what they saw on the news.

00:02:03.020 Do you see any problem here?

00:02:06.480 So the news, once you start seeing this pattern, you can't unsee it.

00:02:11.260 The news creates the problem, and then they report on it, the problem that they totally caused,

00:02:19.020 and they report on it like they didn't cause it,

00:02:21.180 and then they assign blame to whoever they want to assign blame to.

00:02:24.180 It's obvious to me that if the news were a credible entity,

00:02:31.600 people would believe what they were told.

00:02:34.880 And if the news said this election is perfectly fine,

00:02:38.200 and the news were a credible source of information,

00:02:42.280 maybe a lot of people would believe.

00:02:45.540 But you can't make up the news for years in a row.

00:02:50.920 Just make up the news.

00:02:52.160 Just make up stuff.

00:02:53.240 Find people hoax, bleach hoax, overfeeding the fish hoax, Russia collusion hoax.

00:02:59.800 And then CNN is like, what is causing people to distrust the official news?

00:03:05.880 I wonder what causes that.

00:03:07.880 It's always the news.

00:03:09.560 The news is the cause of the problem.

00:03:12.540 They're not the people reporting on it.

00:03:15.100 They're the cause.

00:03:16.700 And when you see it, you cannot unsee it.

00:03:18.260 Interestingly, the Dilber NFT, that's a digital collectible that's connected to the blockchain,

00:03:27.140 so you know you can get an original, sold for $13,300 yesterday.

00:03:33.020 The naughty version did.

00:03:34.360 Clean version sold for $5,000.

00:03:36.000 But the naughty version is immediately relisted by whoever bought it for $21 million.

00:03:43.420 So if you have $21 million, you could own a piece of digital art.

00:03:52.300 Feels a little overpriced, but you never know.

00:03:56.240 You never know.

00:03:56.980 I was told today that the buyer who would like to remain anonymous is a fan of my books that

00:04:04.580 teach you how to put an anchor down so people expect the price to be high.

00:04:12.840 So he's got it there at $21 million.

00:04:15.640 If he lowers it someday to a million, is it going to look cheap?

00:04:19.260 If this works, I tell you, if this works, it will be the funniest thing that ever happened.

00:04:28.040 And I don't think it'll work, but, you know, so here's my tip on anchoring.

00:04:34.000 It's always a good technique to, you know, put out a big number when you're negotiating.

00:04:39.640 Because once people have heard the big number, they're biased toward it,

00:04:43.300 just because it's the first number they heard.

00:04:44.840 But if you'd make your first number so high that it doesn't seem real,

00:04:51.700 I'm not sure the anchoring works.

00:04:54.300 But it might.

00:04:55.340 I can't rule it out.

00:04:57.520 It actually might.

00:04:59.000 So it's entirely possible that listing this for $21 million

00:05:02.200 will someday cause somebody to spend a million dollars on it.

00:05:06.380 I mean, it's not impossible.

00:05:08.480 It's just unlikely.

00:05:09.360 So here's a thing which I didn't quite expect, but maybe I should have.

00:05:18.380 In where I live, and I guess everywhere,

00:05:21.900 it's legal to not wear a mask when you're outdoors.

00:05:26.800 In fact, it's not even recommended.

00:05:28.820 If you're outdoors by yourself, you're going on a run,

00:05:32.720 you're riding your bike, you're walking the dog,

00:05:35.320 no mask required.

00:05:36.800 That is the best medical advice.

00:05:39.480 What do you think they're doing in my town?

00:05:42.740 Wearing masks.

00:05:44.420 If you see somebody walking a dog by themselves,

00:05:48.700 just one person and a dog,

00:05:50.940 with no other human outside of a car that you can even see.

00:05:56.180 Like, literally, there's no other human beings

00:05:58.540 within your visual plane in any distance,

00:06:01.780 just one person walking a dog.

00:06:03.540 Look, in my town, that person will wear a mask.

00:06:06.640 Today.

00:06:08.080 Today.

00:06:09.960 Yesterday, I rode my e-bike into town

00:06:13.500 just to see that the town had been closed off for outdoor dining.

00:06:18.300 So the main street in my town is closed.

00:06:20.260 All the restaurants move their chairs out to the center of the streets,

00:06:23.480 and it's just a restaurant town now,

00:06:26.280 which is kind of cool.

00:06:27.120 It's actually an upgrade.

00:06:28.480 I like it a lot.

00:06:29.880 Eating outdoors is just better in California.

00:06:31.860 And so I'm looking around,

00:06:37.220 and I'm not wearing my mask because I'm on a bicycle.

00:06:41.820 But the number of people who were also on bicycles

00:06:45.620 and jogging by themselves, wearing masks, is crazy.

00:06:50.740 And I'm trying to figure out what's going on.

00:06:54.440 And I have two hypotheses.

00:06:58.380 Both of them might be true.

00:06:59.560 One is that people are just still frightened.

00:07:04.460 Well, maybe more than one hypothesis.

00:07:06.960 One is that people are signaling their political affiliation.

00:07:13.320 I guarantee you that the people I see walking with no mask

00:07:17.460 are Republicans or conservatives.

00:07:20.360 And I guarantee you that the people walking all by themselves

00:07:24.420 with just a dog or just by themselves,

00:07:27.300 I guarantee you they're Democrats.

00:07:29.680 Now, I'm not going to the next level where I'm saying,

00:07:33.820 oh, Democrats are dumb. 1.00

00:07:36.020 They don't believe the science.

00:07:37.120 I'm not saying that.

00:07:38.420 I feel as if we've reached a point

00:07:40.500 where people need to signal their allegiance

00:07:43.600 because they don't want to be misidentified.

00:07:45.700 Imagine if you were, let's say you lived in my neighborhood,

00:07:50.520 which is overwhelmingly, you know, blue Democrat.

00:07:53.520 You live in my neighborhood and you walk outside without a mask.

00:07:56.980 You're just walking your dog.

00:07:59.000 How many people would think you're a Republican?

00:08:03.200 Think about it.

00:08:04.140 In my town, if you just took a walk,

00:08:06.820 completely legal, recommended, with no mask,

00:08:11.160 everybody who drove by would think their neighbor was a Republican.

00:08:15.520 Right?

00:08:16.380 I feel as if people won't take the mask off yet

00:08:20.020 because they don't want to be ID'd by their neighbors as Republicans

00:08:23.420 because they're not, right?

00:08:25.900 The people who are Republicans just take their mask off, I think.

00:08:30.020 At least that's what it looks like.

00:08:34.140 And then the other thing is I think people are addicted to having masks on.

00:08:39.820 You know, except for the itchiness,

00:08:42.300 for some reason my mask itches like crazy.

00:08:44.640 That's my biggest problem.

00:08:46.120 But I've actually come to appreciate wearing the mask in public.

00:08:52.320 Has anybody had this experience yet?

00:08:54.980 If I get my own choice, I'm not going to wear masks, of course.

00:08:58.440 But that is not to say that they are completely without benefit

00:09:02.520 on top of whatever they may or may not do medically.

00:09:07.660 There is something comforting about wearing a mask in public.

00:09:12.840 Has anybody felt it?

00:09:14.620 That you're in a crowd

00:09:15.780 and you just get to hide a little bit better?

00:09:19.000 I've often thought that one of the main reasons that men grow beards

00:09:23.840 is it lets them hide.

00:09:26.340 One of the reasons that women wear makeup 1.00

00:09:28.560 is it hides their natural appearance, makes you look better.

00:09:34.740 So if you could take away the fact that it's extremely uncomfortable,

00:09:37.960 I kind of like it socially, weirdly.

00:09:42.160 You're not enough that I'd want to keep it.

00:09:44.180 But I feel like a lot of people are just preferring it.

00:09:47.300 They actually developed a preference for it.

00:09:50.280 All right.

00:09:51.980 I've been telling you that we're right on the cusp

00:09:54.980 of entering the golden age.

00:09:56.560 The pandemic has to get a little bit more under control

00:09:59.040 before that's real.

00:10:00.640 But one of the ways you could tell you're in the golden age

00:10:03.540 is if your biggest problems aren't real.

00:10:07.960 Right?

00:10:09.240 If you've got big problems that are real,

00:10:12.600 well, that's not the golden age.

00:10:14.240 But if your biggest problems, like number one and number two,

00:10:17.900 are not even especially real,

00:10:21.400 you're in pretty good shape.

00:10:23.660 So what's the case today?

00:10:25.680 What would, let's say, Democrats say are the biggest risks

00:10:29.520 or the biggest problems in the country?

00:10:32.100 Well, they'd say climate change.

00:10:34.900 And there is a big chunk of the country

00:10:36.820 that doesn't even know if it's a problem or not.

00:10:39.900 How would you like your biggest problem

00:10:41.880 to be one that people aren't even sure

00:10:44.740 they can even tell it's a problem?

00:10:47.720 You just look at it?

00:10:50.320 I don't know.

00:10:50.920 I feel about the same as I did yesterday,

00:10:53.460 even with climate change.

00:10:55.160 And now, of course, just for clarity,

00:11:02.240 because whenever you talk about this,

00:11:03.720 you have to tell people your own bias.

00:11:06.300 My bias at the moment is that climate change

00:11:10.260 is a real thing which we need to worry about,

00:11:13.040 but that economically and technologically

00:11:15.960 we'll take care of it.

00:11:17.840 It's a, I'd call it a challenge

00:11:21.020 that is well within the ability of humans to work out.

00:11:26.920 And probably the economic destruction is overstated.

00:11:31.140 So I'm not terribly worried about climate change,

00:11:33.400 even if everything that is said about it is real.

00:11:37.480 So if nothing that's said about it is real,

00:11:40.220 I'm not worried.

00:11:41.480 But also, if everything that's said by the experts

00:11:44.140 about climate change is real,

00:11:45.700 I'm also not worried.

00:11:48.120 Because by their own estimates,

00:11:49.800 they've shown that the economic impact

00:11:51.740 is kind of trivial.

00:11:53.380 You won't even notice.

00:11:54.680 Now, the way it's reported is

00:11:55.960 that there's a giant disaster

00:11:57.500 and we can predict it in the future.

00:11:59.780 But the actual thing they did predict

00:12:01.740 is an amount of economic damage

00:12:04.260 that you wouldn't even notice 50 years from now.

00:12:06.940 It'd be so small.

00:12:08.560 So that's our big problem,

00:12:11.260 and I'm not even sure I have to worry about it.

00:12:13.840 But the other one is that,

00:12:16.840 our big problem is that

00:12:18.000 white supremacist terrorism in this country.

00:12:21.160 Is that real?

00:12:23.100 Is there real white supremacist terrorism?

00:12:27.980 Probably.

00:12:29.300 I mean, everybody gets to define it their own way.

00:12:32.800 But let's say yes.

00:12:34.620 How big is it?

00:12:36.820 How big is that problem?

00:12:38.400 It feels like it's really, really small.

00:12:42.820 Doesn't it?

00:12:44.060 Like, you could have a number of individual tragedies,

00:12:48.340 which I wouldn't take away from the horrificness of them.

00:12:52.180 But if you added them all up at the end of the year,

00:12:56.640 it's still going to be our smallest problem.

00:13:00.060 As horrible as it is,

00:13:02.000 like mentally,

00:13:03.740 as horrible as the idea of it is,

00:13:07.180 if you add it all together,

00:13:08.780 it's kind of nothing.

00:13:11.220 How about war?

00:13:13.820 Are we going to go to war with Iran anytime soon?

00:13:16.760 Doesn't look like it.

00:13:18.060 North Korea? 0.67

00:13:19.380 Nope.

00:13:20.220 Russia? 0.61

00:13:21.020 Nope.

00:13:21.740 China? 0.73

00:13:22.600 Crazy.

00:13:23.320 Nope.

00:13:24.260 We don't even have a war.

00:13:27.280 Apparently, we're going to leave Afghanistan

00:13:29.000 and give it back to the terrorists or whatever.

00:13:31.940 But I'm not sure we care.

00:13:35.280 Do we?

00:13:36.240 Do we care?

00:13:37.200 If Afghanistan goes back to the hellhole it was 1.00

00:13:40.240 from the hellhole it is,

00:13:42.640 it's just a different kind of hellhole.

00:13:44.680 I'm not sure it matters.

00:13:45.800 Then somebody's saying,

00:13:49.500 what about all the shootings and murders

00:13:51.540 and the uprise and crime in the inner cities?

00:13:55.940 Well, let me ask you this.

00:13:57.380 Is it a problem if you wanted it to happen?

00:14:01.940 Because the cities seem to have made a choice.

00:14:06.180 The people who have stayed in the cities

00:14:07.560 have made a choice that they're living in a world

00:14:10.160 that's closer to the way they want it to be.

00:14:13.660 Fewer police activities,

00:14:17.180 maybe fewer police accidental killings,

00:14:20.280 but the price is a lot more murder.

00:14:24.180 That's sort of what people wanted.

00:14:26.000 If you say you want to defund the police

00:14:28.060 and you're a Democrat,

00:14:30.840 you're kind of getting what you want.

00:14:33.020 So for me to say that's a big problem,

00:14:35.980 that you're getting what you wanted,

00:14:38.120 I don't know how you define that as a problem,

00:14:40.820 getting what you wanted.

00:14:43.540 You know, of course, it's a problem

00:14:44.780 if you're the one who gets killed.

00:14:46.020 Here's a question for you.

00:14:49.560 You know, this Arizona audit is happening

00:14:51.440 and there have been lots of criticisms

00:14:54.640 that the people auditing it are not experienced

00:14:57.660 and it's going to be sloppy and haphazard

00:15:01.240 and all other criticisms.

00:15:03.300 But if it's true that it's a sloppy, scrappy,

00:15:08.220 inexperienced, amateurish operation,

00:15:12.100 what is one thing that would have happened by now

00:15:15.340 if they had found irregularities in the early stage

00:15:22.320 and they would have, right?

00:15:24.720 If they're going to find enough irregularities

00:15:27.140 in the whole audit,

00:15:28.760 and we don't know that to be true,

00:15:30.780 but if that's going to happen,

00:15:33.160 don't you think that already

00:15:34.720 you would know that it's heading in that direction?

00:15:38.720 As in, we've already found enough

00:15:41.120 that if this ratio holds for the rest of them,

00:15:44.500 you've got big problems, right?

00:15:47.780 Do you think that this haphazard,

00:15:51.000 according to the critics,

00:15:52.320 I don't know how haphazard it is,

00:15:54.340 this amateurish job,

00:15:56.180 do you think all the people involved with that,

00:15:59.100 you don't think that they know

00:16:00.520 if they've found something yet?

00:16:03.300 Of course they know.

00:16:04.320 Of course the people working on it

00:16:06.680 know if they've found anything,

00:16:08.280 and they know if they've found enough

00:16:10.240 that if this ratio held,

00:16:13.280 it would look bad at the end.

00:16:15.140 How come you haven't heard anything?

00:16:18.380 Every day that goes by

00:16:20.040 when you don't hear that the Arizona audit

00:16:23.540 found problems,

00:16:25.700 the odds that there are problems

00:16:27.800 shrinks.

00:16:29.700 I would say on day one,

00:16:31.400 you could say to yourself,

00:16:32.380 before anybody's looked at anything

00:16:34.060 in the audit,

00:16:35.200 you'd say to yourself,

00:16:36.080 okay, what are the odds

00:16:37.000 that they're going to find something?

00:16:39.100 And let's say just,

00:16:40.340 you didn't know,

00:16:41.160 so you just said,

00:16:41.820 ah, 50-50.

00:16:43.280 Let's say that was your starting point.

00:16:44.940 I don't know,

00:16:46.080 but I'm going to say

00:16:46.880 the world we live in,

00:16:48.200 there's a 50% chance.

00:16:50.280 That's day one.

00:16:51.700 Every day that they continue

00:16:53.320 auditing toward the end,

00:16:55.600 and you don't hear about

00:16:56.760 any big problems

00:16:57.620 that they've already found,

00:16:59.880 now I get that they would try

00:17:01.940 to save it all for the end.

00:17:03.760 I get that it would be

00:17:05.060 their intention

00:17:05.900 to not leak anything

00:17:07.880 until the end,

00:17:08.780 but there's no way

00:17:09.900 that happens

00:17:10.540 in the real world, right?

00:17:12.100 If the organizers

00:17:13.320 had already found things,

00:17:15.760 knowing that the criticism

00:17:17.160 is coming in,

00:17:18.580 what would the organizers

00:17:19.680 say in public

00:17:20.980 if they knew

00:17:22.420 that they had the goods?

00:17:24.880 Now, they might not want

00:17:26.000 to tell you what the outcome is,

00:17:27.340 but the organizers

00:17:28.860 would say something

00:17:30.120 like this.

00:17:31.660 We've found some things

00:17:33.180 that are surprising,

00:17:34.620 and we think you'll be shocked

00:17:37.040 when you see the outcome.

00:17:39.280 Right?

00:17:40.420 They wouldn't have to give you

00:17:41.700 the final answer,

00:17:42.900 but they would definitely

00:17:44.260 be hinting

00:17:45.080 that they're finding stuff.

00:17:47.560 This dog is really loudly

00:17:49.700 not barking,

00:17:51.140 which if you had to make

00:17:52.360 a bet right now,

00:17:53.560 you should bet against

00:17:54.720 them finding anything

00:17:56.380 that would reverse

00:17:57.220 the election result.

00:17:59.300 Somebody says

00:17:59.940 there are NDA agreements.

00:18:01.940 Would anybody like

00:18:02.780 to explain to whoever said

00:18:04.420 there are NDA agreements,

00:18:06.240 non-disclosure agreements,

00:18:07.780 would anybody like

00:18:08.620 to explain

00:18:09.420 how the real world works?

00:18:11.760 And NDAs don't have

00:18:12.940 any real power.

00:18:15.280 And certainly,

00:18:16.180 people will still

00:18:17.180 tell their spouse,

00:18:18.260 they're still going

00:18:18.760 to tell their friends,

00:18:20.100 friends are going to talk.

00:18:21.960 Even the leader

00:18:22.900 would want to tell the story

00:18:24.040 if they're seeing

00:18:24.680 something early.

00:18:26.180 So now,

00:18:26.720 I think that the odds

00:18:27.740 of Arizona

00:18:28.500 doing anything,

00:18:30.020 coming up with anything

00:18:30.860 credible that reverses

00:18:32.140 the outcome,

00:18:33.220 probably started

00:18:34.340 around 50% chance,

00:18:36.520 in people's minds anyway,

00:18:37.820 if not reality.

00:18:39.320 And it's probably down

00:18:41.140 to closer to 10% now.

00:18:44.420 Not impossible.

00:18:45.900 But I would say

00:18:46.520 the odds that Arizona

00:18:47.560 will be this big shocking thing

00:18:49.080 that changes our mind

00:18:50.100 about the world,

00:18:51.680 10%.

00:18:52.480 That's my guess.

00:18:54.040 But maybe.

00:18:55.320 And by the way,

00:18:56.500 somebody says,

00:18:57.960 will you eat your hat?

00:18:59.780 Well, keep in mind

00:19:00.720 that my prediction

00:19:02.140 about elections in general,

00:19:04.220 not about this election

00:19:05.360 in particular,

00:19:06.500 but about any system

00:19:07.900 which can be corrupted,

00:19:09.860 is that there's

00:19:10.620 a 100% chance

00:19:11.720 that it will be,

00:19:12.620 if there's a big payoff

00:19:13.600 for doing it,

00:19:14.300 and there is.

00:19:15.720 The only thing you don't know

00:19:17.060 is if it's happened yet.

00:19:18.280 There's no question

00:19:20.600 that it does happen

00:19:21.660 sometime over the life cycle

00:19:24.480 of this opportunity

00:19:25.560 for mischief.

00:19:27.100 It'll happen definitely. 0.60

00:19:28.840 You just don't know

00:19:29.940 if it's happened yet.

00:19:31.240 That's the only thing

00:19:32.040 that's in question.

00:19:33.780 So, no,

00:19:34.320 I don't have an assumption

00:19:35.540 about whether Arizona

00:19:36.980 will turn up

00:19:37.740 any kind of irregularities,

00:19:40.220 but I think maybe

00:19:41.780 it's like 10% chance

00:19:43.140 at this point.

00:19:47.540 Ian Martizis,

00:19:49.260 I hope I,

00:19:50.020 I always,

00:19:51.440 Ian,

00:19:51.720 I don't know

00:19:52.060 if I ever pronounce

00:19:52.940 your name correctly,

00:19:53.840 but let's say that's close.

00:19:55.620 Ian Martizis

00:19:56.520 did a study

00:19:57.500 in which he

00:19:59.740 checked the

00:20:00.920 neutralizing antibodies

00:20:02.800 for people

00:20:04.300 who had the following conditions.

00:20:05.860 They either got

00:20:07.060 one of the

00:20:08.260 major vaccines,

00:20:10.660 Pfizer,

00:20:11.140 Moderna,

00:20:11.820 Johnson,

00:20:12.180 Johnson,

00:20:12.700 or,

00:20:13.900 or instead

00:20:14.780 they had actually

00:20:15.640 been infected

00:20:16.480 and now they have

00:20:18.220 antibodies from that.

00:20:19.720 And what did you think

00:20:20.820 it came out?

00:20:22.200 Now, of course,

00:20:22.900 any study like this

00:20:23.780 would have to be repeated

00:20:24.960 and, you know,

00:20:26.360 peer reviewed

00:20:27.120 to get,

00:20:28.040 you know,

00:20:28.460 and ideally

00:20:29.100 you'd want it randomized

00:20:30.600 and controlled

00:20:31.620 and everything.

00:20:32.560 So,

00:20:33.160 we're not,

00:20:33.920 we're not kidding

00:20:34.660 ourselves

00:20:35.240 that this kind

00:20:37.280 of a trial

00:20:38.200 would be a final

00:20:39.300 answer to anything,

00:20:40.560 but it's real

00:20:41.440 provocative.

00:20:43.000 You know,

00:20:43.200 if this were

00:20:44.160 if this were

00:20:45.580 duplicated

00:20:46.180 and these results

00:20:47.140 did hold,

00:20:48.460 it would find

00:20:49.260 that,

00:20:49.960 and again,

00:20:50.600 this is the big if,

00:20:51.920 it would find

00:20:52.520 that the

00:20:53.660 two-shot vaccines,

00:20:56.240 Moderna

00:20:57.020 and Pfizer,

00:20:58.360 give you

00:20:58.900 like really high

00:20:59.940 protection

00:21:01.260 and it stays

00:21:02.020 a long time.

00:21:02.880 It's like the best

00:21:03.500 you can do.

00:21:04.900 Way below that

00:21:06.120 is natural

00:21:06.840 immunity.

00:21:08.140 Way below it.

00:21:10.420 Let me say

00:21:10.860 that again.

00:21:11.920 Natural immunity

00:21:12.860 doesn't come

00:21:13.760 close

00:21:14.300 to the immunity

00:21:16.640 you get

00:21:17.300 from

00:21:17.920 the two-shot

00:21:19.280 regimen,

00:21:20.300 but

00:21:20.560 natural immunity

00:21:21.740 does come

00:21:22.360 kind of close

00:21:23.060 to the one-shot

00:21:24.260 Johnson & Johnson.

00:21:25.800 Now,

00:21:26.460 the problem,

00:21:27.160 of course,

00:21:27.900 is that it might

00:21:28.880 be that every

00:21:29.560 one of these

00:21:30.120 conditions

00:21:30.740 lowers your

00:21:31.560 risk of dying

00:21:32.300 to effectively

00:21:33.060 zero,

00:21:33.900 right?

00:21:35.060 I haven't heard

00:21:35.920 of people

00:21:36.400 getting the

00:21:37.660 coronavirus

00:21:38.080 for a second

00:21:39.100 time

00:21:39.720 and then dying

00:21:41.440 after the second

00:21:42.420 infection.

00:21:43.680 Do we have

00:21:44.440 even one

00:21:45.340 example of that?

00:21:46.820 Because I think

00:21:47.580 even the Johnson &

00:21:48.400 Johnson reduces

00:21:49.160 the risk of dying

00:21:50.420 to effectively

00:21:51.240 zero,

00:21:51.760 right?

00:21:52.840 Am I right on that?

00:21:53.940 Do me a fact check

00:21:54.780 on that.

00:21:56.000 So if you're

00:21:56.800 talking about dying,

00:21:57.800 they're probably

00:21:58.140 all just about

00:21:58.840 equally good

00:22:00.180 in terms of

00:22:01.120 they reduce

00:22:01.640 your risk

00:22:02.740 of dying

00:22:03.120 to something

00:22:04.240 closer to

00:22:04.880 zero.

00:22:06.100 Yeah,

00:22:06.480 I know

00:22:06.740 the cytocone

00:22:08.260 storm and 0.58

00:22:09.940 all that,

00:22:10.440 but it seems

00:22:10.900 to me that

00:22:11.420 if you've

00:22:11.860 recovered from

00:22:12.680 one infection,

00:22:14.580 your odds

00:22:15.260 of dying

00:22:15.860 from a second

00:22:16.640 one,

00:22:17.880 unless something

00:22:18.920 happened in

00:22:19.480 the meantime

00:22:20.000 to give you

00:22:20.780 another comorbidity,

00:22:22.480 feels like it's

00:22:23.420 vanishingly small.

00:22:25.080 Because first of

00:22:25.880 all,

00:22:26.020 you've proven

00:22:26.500 that you can

00:22:27.180 recover from

00:22:27.840 this exact

00:22:28.520 virus.

00:22:30.080 So why would

00:22:30.840 you not

00:22:31.140 recover the

00:22:31.580 second time?

00:22:33.460 Unless something

00:22:34.200 had happened.

00:22:35.260 All right,

00:22:35.500 so I think

00:22:36.000 this is not

00:22:36.940 only really,

00:22:37.960 really useful

00:22:38.940 information,

00:22:40.380 but Ian

00:22:41.740 is an

00:22:43.220 incredible

00:22:43.700 data visualizer

00:22:45.700 guy in

00:22:46.340 addition to

00:22:46.880 his other

00:22:47.280 talents and

00:22:47.900 his talent

00:22:48.280 stack.

00:22:49.040 So you're

00:22:49.480 going to see

00:22:49.680 one of the

00:22:50.040 best graphs

00:22:51.060 you've ever

00:22:52.320 seen.

00:22:52.820 And I hate

00:22:53.200 to get excited

00:22:53.820 about a graph.

00:22:55.660 You know,

00:22:56.040 it's the

00:22:56.500 wonkiest thing

00:22:57.140 you could ever

00:22:57.580 do.

00:22:57.780 But when

00:22:58.480 you see

00:22:58.860 a data

00:22:59.440 visualization

00:23:00.140 that's this

00:23:02.020 good,

00:23:03.480 you know,

00:23:03.660 just the way

00:23:04.120 it's presented

00:23:04.640 visually,

00:23:05.820 it's freaking

00:23:06.440 thrilling.

00:23:07.320 It really is

00:23:08.040 to see something

00:23:09.720 done so well.

00:23:10.640 So just look at

00:23:11.220 the graph,

00:23:11.780 if nothing else,

00:23:12.660 to see how well

00:23:13.600 you can explain

00:23:14.560 something visually

00:23:15.360 if you really

00:23:16.380 know how to do

00:23:16.960 this stuff.

00:23:17.820 The difference

00:23:18.500 between the

00:23:19.000 people who

00:23:19.400 are the best

00:23:19.900 in the world

00:23:20.420 at it,

00:23:21.340 and Ian

00:23:21.940 would be one

00:23:22.480 of those,

00:23:23.520 and people

00:23:24.220 who are just

00:23:24.660 kind of good

00:23:25.300 at it.

00:23:25.780 It's like

00:23:26.680 Michael Jordan

00:23:27.560 versus a high

00:23:29.560 school basketball

00:23:30.340 player.

00:23:30.920 They both

00:23:31.360 play basketball,

00:23:32.320 but not

00:23:33.120 really.

00:23:34.400 You know

00:23:34.680 what I mean?

00:23:36.500 So I guess

00:23:37.260 Joe Biden

00:23:37.780 is saying

00:23:38.500 that he's

00:23:39.340 not yet

00:23:39.720 committed

00:23:40.000 to K-12

00:23:41.820 schools

00:23:42.240 reopening

00:23:42.720 full-time

00:23:43.300 because the

00:23:44.400 coronavirus

00:23:44.740 remains

00:23:45.460 unpredictable,

00:23:46.480 say his

00:23:46.940 staff.

00:23:48.620 But as

00:23:49.440 Mark Hemingway

00:23:50.480 just pointed

00:23:51.060 out on Twitter,

00:23:51.920 we have lots

00:23:52.440 of data

00:23:52.820 from private

00:23:53.480 schools.

00:23:53.920 So there

00:23:55.120 have been

00:23:55.400 enough

00:23:55.720 private

00:23:56.060 schools

00:23:56.440 open the

00:23:56.960 whole time

00:23:57.540 that we

00:23:59.520 should know

00:23:59.920 exactly what

00:24:00.560 the risk

00:24:00.920 is by now.

00:24:03.180 And the

00:24:03.780 risk doesn't

00:24:04.200 look very

00:24:04.700 high.

00:24:05.720 So the

00:24:06.860 assumption

00:24:07.260 is that

00:24:07.780 maybe

00:24:08.000 teachers' 0.80

00:24:08.640 unions are

00:24:09.320 influencing

00:24:09.880 Biden.

00:24:11.580 And just

00:24:12.360 think about

00:24:13.580 how bad

00:24:14.000 that is,

00:24:14.840 that teachers'

00:24:15.640 unions are

00:24:16.900 influencing

00:24:17.440 Biden.

00:24:18.340 And this

00:24:18.940 point is

00:24:19.640 going to

00:24:19.860 come back

00:24:21.240 on another

00:24:21.980 topic when I

00:24:22.680 get to it.

00:24:23.140 But just

00:24:24.140 think about

00:24:24.540 that.

00:24:25.920 That Biden

00:24:26.460 is keeping

00:24:26.920 people out

00:24:27.460 of schools,

00:24:28.740 probably the

00:24:29.560 data doesn't

00:24:30.160 support it,

00:24:30.820 but it's

00:24:31.060 because of

00:24:31.380 the teachers'

00:24:31.920 unions,

00:24:32.540 who, as

00:24:33.120 you know,

00:24:33.520 are the

00:24:33.820 source of

00:24:35.100 all, well,

00:24:36.400 most of

00:24:36.920 systemic

00:24:37.620 racism in

00:24:38.780 this country.

00:24:42.160 There's

00:24:42.640 another, you

00:24:44.880 know, I've

00:24:45.080 been predicting

00:24:45.620 this forever,

00:24:46.460 and I know

00:24:46.800 you think it's

00:24:47.400 the worst

00:24:48.560 prediction I've

00:24:49.500 ever made,

00:24:50.380 and I know

00:24:51.000 you're going

00:24:51.320 to say,

00:24:51.700 well, okay,

00:24:52.820 you got

00:24:53.100 lucky on a

00:24:53.620 few things,

00:24:54.320 but there's

00:24:54.960 no way you're

00:24:55.500 right about

00:24:55.880 this one.

00:24:57.180 But I

00:24:58.040 swear to

00:24:58.580 God, I

00:24:58.940 think I'm

00:24:59.420 right about

00:24:59.860 this.

00:25:01.000 I think

00:25:01.560 black

00:25:02.100 Americans are

00:25:02.940 going to

00:25:03.220 turn Republican.

00:25:05.660 And the

00:25:06.540 reason is

00:25:07.000 just, it's

00:25:08.100 obvious.

00:25:09.800 Look at, for

00:25:10.500 example, the

00:25:11.220 trust of

00:25:11.900 vaccines.

00:25:13.580 Do you

00:25:13.840 know that the

00:25:14.460 black Americans

00:25:15.420 are almost the

00:25:16.520 same as

00:25:17.180 Republicans when

00:25:18.700 it comes to

00:25:19.240 whether or not

00:25:19.700 they're going to

00:25:20.020 get the

00:25:20.320 vaccination?

00:25:20.700 very similar

00:25:22.440 thinking.

00:25:23.460 How about

00:25:23.980 religion?

00:25:25.500 Very similar,

00:25:26.680 right?

00:25:26.960 Very religious,

00:25:28.180 Republicans.

00:25:30.440 And although

00:25:31.820 you don't see

00:25:32.400 enough of this

00:25:33.020 in the news,

00:25:33.940 pro-law and

00:25:34.600 order.

00:25:35.720 The black 0.94

00:25:36.260 population and

00:25:37.080 the Republican

00:25:37.600 population,

00:25:38.940 fairly pro-law

00:25:40.020 and order,

00:25:40.780 and I haven't

00:25:42.500 seen data on

00:25:43.100 this, but

00:25:43.420 probably pro-

00:25:44.600 Second Amendment.

00:25:46.080 There's just a

00:25:46.900 lot they have in

00:25:47.680 common, you know?

00:25:48.820 And they just

00:25:50.280 have to figure

00:25:50.820 it out.

00:25:51.680 Because

00:25:51.880 certainly,

00:25:53.960 let me ask

00:25:56.780 you this.

00:25:57.940 If you could

00:25:58.640 imagine a

00:25:59.480 random group

00:26:00.400 of black

00:26:01.400 Americans

00:26:01.960 sorted into

00:26:03.100 Democrats and

00:26:04.140 Republicans.

00:26:05.360 So one group

00:26:06.380 is just

00:26:06.860 black American

00:26:08.300 Republicans,

00:26:09.980 and the other

00:26:10.420 is black

00:26:11.100 American Democrats.

00:26:12.840 Which ones

00:26:13.680 are making

00:26:14.040 more money?

00:26:14.660 which ones

00:26:17.180 have found

00:26:17.680 ways to

00:26:18.280 overcome what

00:26:19.220 is inevitably

00:26:20.000 racism that

00:26:20.900 always exists?

00:26:22.140 But which ones

00:26:22.780 have just

00:26:23.180 completely overcome

00:26:24.040 it?

00:26:24.780 You know,

00:26:25.040 in terms of

00:26:25.620 a practical

00:26:26.360 sense.

00:26:27.340 It's still

00:26:27.780 always there,

00:26:28.500 but overcome

00:26:29.280 it.

00:26:29.800 Yeah,

00:26:30.520 Republicans every 0.60

00:26:31.280 time.

00:26:31.960 It's because

00:26:32.400 the Republican

00:26:33.140 way of

00:26:35.120 approaching

00:26:35.520 things doesn't

00:26:37.640 just work,

00:26:39.140 but it works

00:26:40.100 for the people

00:26:40.640 around you,

00:26:42.100 which is the

00:26:42.680 big deal,

00:26:43.140 right?

00:26:43.320 It doesn't

00:26:44.040 just work

00:26:44.460 for the

00:26:44.700 person doing

00:26:45.280 it.

00:26:45.880 Stay in

00:26:46.380 school,

00:26:47.040 stay off

00:26:47.400 drugs,

00:26:48.760 have a

00:26:49.340 religion.

00:26:49.920 It's helpful

00:26:50.420 in a lot

00:26:50.860 of ways.

00:26:51.520 I'm not

00:26:51.960 religious,

00:26:52.440 but it

00:26:52.620 helps in

00:26:52.940 a lot

00:26:53.080 of ways.

00:26:55.140 There's

00:26:55.620 like a

00:26:55.920 little

00:26:56.080 Republican

00:26:56.620 formula

00:26:57.280 that if

00:26:58.340 you're

00:26:58.560 black and

00:26:59.480 you follow

00:26:59.860 that formula,

00:27:00.640 your odds

00:27:01.060 of success

00:27:01.700 are really

00:27:03.120 close to

00:27:03.560 100%.

00:27:04.300 And I

00:27:04.880 don't think

00:27:05.160 that would

00:27:05.420 be true

00:27:05.740 for anybody

00:27:06.220 else,

00:27:06.800 any other

00:27:07.180 group.

00:27:08.440 So I

00:27:09.320 think the

00:27:10.140 logic of

00:27:10.780 it,

00:27:11.220 if the

00:27:12.060 media were

00:27:12.700 not

00:27:12.980 brainwashing

00:27:13.720 people so

00:27:14.360 effectively,

00:27:15.320 I think this

00:27:16.160 would just

00:27:16.560 happen on

00:27:17.100 its own

00:27:17.480 because there's

00:27:18.500 a commonality

00:27:19.360 there that

00:27:19.980 is pretty

00:27:21.860 strong.

00:27:22.980 All right.

00:27:25.700 The best,

00:27:27.260 coolest news

00:27:28.280 today,

00:27:29.540 and finally

00:27:30.380 something I can

00:27:31.180 sink my teeth

00:27:31.880 into and get a

00:27:32.660 little interested

00:27:33.320 in,

00:27:34.320 Joel Pollack

00:27:35.160 reported on

00:27:35.840 this in

00:27:36.340 Breitbart,

00:27:36.780 report,

00:27:37.260 and I

00:27:38.100 had missed

00:27:38.520 it,

00:27:38.820 but it's

00:27:39.040 kind of

00:27:39.300 a big

00:27:39.580 deal.

00:27:40.120 So when

00:27:40.440 Tim Scott

00:27:41.320 said in

00:27:42.720 his response

00:27:43.860 to the

00:27:44.180 State of

00:27:44.440 the Union,

00:27:45.340 he said

00:27:45.820 that America

00:27:46.540 is not a

00:27:47.220 racist country.

00:27:48.400 Well,

00:27:48.900 you can

00:27:49.180 imagine how

00:27:49.740 that went

00:27:50.140 over,

00:27:50.520 right?

00:27:51.180 Because on

00:27:51.920 social media

00:27:52.580 and all

00:27:52.980 the pundits

00:27:53.520 said,

00:27:54.040 what are

00:27:54.660 you talking

00:27:55.000 about?

00:27:55.620 Of course

00:27:56.260 it's a

00:27:56.620 racist

00:27:56.900 country,

00:27:57.580 we got

00:27:57.860 racists

00:27:59.480 here,

00:28:00.160 you know,

00:28:00.480 we're not

00:28:00.720 talking about

00:28:01.120 every person

00:28:01.960 being racist, 0.51

00:28:02.720 of course,

00:28:03.280 nobody said

00:28:03.780 that,

00:28:04.060 but there

00:28:04.780 are lots

00:28:05.180 of racists,

00:28:06.220 lots of

00:28:06.540 racism,

00:28:07.580 and there's

00:28:07.920 lots of

00:28:08.300 systemic

00:28:08.920 racism,

00:28:09.940 and it's

00:28:10.120 all over

00:28:10.600 the place,

00:28:11.700 and how

00:28:11.960 could Tim

00:28:12.360 Scott say

00:28:12.940 we're not

00:28:13.400 a racist

00:28:13.760 country when

00:28:14.420 all the

00:28:14.840 evidence says

00:28:15.520 yes?

00:28:16.580 But,

00:28:17.360 here's the

00:28:18.460 fun part.

00:28:19.980 How many

00:28:20.600 times have I

00:28:21.160 told you how

00:28:21.660 clever it was

00:28:22.620 that Black 1.00

00:28:23.780 Lives Matter

00:28:24.540 came up with

00:28:25.460 that slogan,

00:28:26.280 Black Lives

00:28:26.840 Matter?

00:28:27.760 Because if

00:28:28.520 you tried to

00:28:29.440 expand it

00:28:31.180 to All Lives

00:28:32.400 Matter,

00:28:32.900 you became

00:28:33.460 branded

00:28:33.920 a racist.

00:28:35.340 And so

00:28:35.640 it became

00:28:36.000 this really

00:28:36.440 powerful

00:28:36.940 linguistic

00:28:37.540 little package

00:28:38.520 that punched

00:28:40.760 much higher

00:28:41.700 than its

00:28:42.220 weight class.

00:28:44.020 So,

00:28:44.480 persuasion-wise,

00:28:45.380 the phrase

00:28:45.680 Black Lives

00:28:46.180 Matter,

00:28:46.820 A+,

00:28:47.820 genius,

00:28:49.040 did what

00:28:49.660 it was

00:28:49.900 supposed to

00:28:50.340 do,

00:28:50.720 maybe better

00:28:51.280 than even

00:28:51.660 the people

00:28:52.000 who came

00:28:52.300 up with

00:28:52.600 it thought

00:28:52.960 it would

00:28:53.200 do.

00:28:54.400 But,

00:28:54.920 when Tim

00:28:55.780 Scott said

00:28:56.600 America

00:28:57.760 is not

00:28:58.260 a racist,

00:28:59.620 he created,

00:29:00.660 and I don't

00:29:01.040 know how

00:29:01.340 much was

00:29:01.700 intentional,

00:29:02.700 but he

00:29:03.060 created the

00:29:03.720 same kind

00:29:04.540 of trap.

00:29:06.000 Because what

00:29:06.680 happened next?

00:29:08.700 Kamala Harris

00:29:09.540 and Joe

00:29:10.020 Biden will

00:29:10.620 be asked

00:29:11.160 the question,

00:29:12.600 is America

00:29:13.280 a racist

00:29:14.120 country?

00:29:15.660 Do you see

00:29:16.220 the beauty

00:29:16.640 of this yet?

00:29:18.280 What can

00:29:18.980 they say?

00:29:20.940 So you put

00:29:21.500 the president,

00:29:22.020 let's just take

00:29:22.580 Biden as my

00:29:23.200 example,

00:29:23.820 you put the

00:29:24.360 president of the

00:29:24.920 United States

00:29:25.600 in this awkward

00:29:26.680 little box

00:29:27.500 where he has

00:29:28.600 to either

00:29:29.060 insult his

00:29:30.900 own country

00:29:31.800 for being

00:29:33.040 racist, 0.77

00:29:33.720 which you

00:29:34.400 can't say

00:29:34.960 in front

00:29:35.300 of China,

00:29:36.400 can you?

00:29:37.720 Can Joe

00:29:38.480 Biden say

00:29:39.100 the United

00:29:39.480 States is

00:29:40.100 a racist

00:29:40.480 country

00:29:41.000 while China

00:29:42.560 is listening?

00:29:44.180 He can't.

00:29:45.560 He can believe

00:29:46.500 it,

00:29:47.440 he can say

00:29:47.980 it privately,

00:29:49.180 but if you're

00:29:49.920 the president

00:29:50.400 of the United

00:29:50.800 States,

00:29:51.440 you can't

00:29:52.300 brand your

00:29:52.960 own country

00:29:53.720 racist

00:29:54.360 when China

00:29:55.640 is putting

00:29:56.080 Uyghurs 1.00

00:29:56.620 in these

00:29:58.400 training

00:29:58.880 facilities,

00:29:59.480 right?

00:30:00.200 Because our

00:30:01.220 statements

00:30:02.820 about other

00:30:03.780 countries only

00:30:04.520 carry weight

00:30:05.200 if we're

00:30:05.560 not like

00:30:06.060 them.

00:30:06.760 The moment

00:30:07.520 he admitted,

00:30:08.500 oh yeah,

00:30:08.840 we're a racist

00:30:09.340 country,

00:30:10.300 and he says,

00:30:11.420 hey China,

00:30:12.100 stop putting

00:30:12.720 Uyghurs in 1.00

00:30:13.380 these camps,

00:30:15.040 what does

00:30:15.380 China say?

00:30:18.600 China obviously

00:30:19.920 is going to

00:30:20.740 say,

00:30:22.840 no one

00:30:23.260 wonders,

00:30:23.720 why my

00:30:27.280 front door

00:30:29.040 would be

00:30:29.560 ringing here.

00:30:30.720 If you don't

00:30:31.100 mind,

00:30:31.520 I'm going to

00:30:31.800 look at my

00:30:32.340 security camera

00:30:33.220 for a second.

00:30:38.860 It's like

00:30:39.580 somebody's

00:30:40.220 delivering

00:30:40.620 something.

00:30:43.220 Don't know

00:30:43.920 what.

00:30:44.520 Okay.

00:30:48.220 Sorry about

00:30:48.980 that.

00:30:49.940 It's too

00:30:50.320 far away.

00:30:51.020 I can't do

00:30:51.480 that now.

00:30:53.000 So,

00:30:53.720 so Joe

00:30:55.020 Biden had

00:30:55.540 to say,

00:30:56.500 in response

00:30:57.540 to is

00:30:58.160 America a

00:30:58.920 racist

00:30:59.100 country,

00:30:59.660 he had to

00:31:00.020 give an

00:31:00.260 answer.

00:31:00.640 And here's

00:31:00.900 the answer

00:31:01.240 he gave

00:31:01.640 on the

00:31:02.260 NBC

00:31:02.820 Today show.

00:31:04.900 He said,

00:31:05.500 quote,

00:31:05.780 no,

00:31:06.080 I don't

00:31:06.380 think

00:31:06.620 American

00:31:07.080 people are

00:31:07.900 racist.

00:31:10.100 What?

00:31:11.100 I thought

00:31:11.780 there was

00:31:12.040 a big

00:31:12.300 problem

00:31:12.600 with white

00:31:13.020 supremacy.

00:31:14.840 But he

00:31:15.440 says the

00:31:15.840 American

00:31:16.080 people,

00:31:16.920 he doesn't

00:31:17.400 believe they're

00:31:17.780 racist.

00:31:18.780 But he

00:31:19.340 says,

00:31:19.620 but I

00:31:19.820 think after

00:31:20.260 400 years,

00:31:21.220 African

00:31:21.500 Americans have 0.78

00:31:22.180 been left

00:31:22.560 in a position

00:31:23.220 where they're

00:31:24.300 so far

00:31:24.740 behind the

00:31:25.320 eight ball

00:31:25.640 in terms of

00:31:26.200 education,

00:31:26.720 health,

00:31:26.980 in terms of

00:31:27.420 opportunity,

00:31:28.740 I don't

00:31:29.480 think America

00:31:30.360 is racist. 0.81

00:31:31.260 Now he's

00:31:31.700 changed a

00:31:32.180 little bit.

00:31:33.180 So he

00:31:33.420 started with

00:31:34.900 the American

00:31:35.460 people are

00:31:36.240 not racist,

00:31:37.220 and then he

00:31:37.820 went further

00:31:38.300 and said,

00:31:38.760 I don't

00:31:39.000 think America

00:31:39.900 as a country

00:31:40.700 is racist. 0.81

00:31:42.700 But he

00:31:43.220 said,

00:31:43.460 but I think

00:31:43.760 the overhang

00:31:44.380 from all the

00:31:44.860 Jim Crow 0.56

00:31:45.360 and before

00:31:45.800 that slavery

00:31:46.560 had a cost

00:31:48.240 and we have

00:31:48.680 to deal

00:31:48.980 with it.

00:31:50.500 Well,

00:31:52.000 that kind

00:31:52.460 of just

00:31:52.780 destroys the

00:31:53.780 entire

00:31:54.180 Democrat

00:31:54.980 philosophy,

00:31:57.320 doesn't it?

00:31:58.800 Did Joe

00:31:59.940 Biden not

00:32:00.660 just become

00:32:01.400 a Republican?

00:32:03.340 Because isn't

00:32:04.520 the Republican

00:32:06.140 opinion that

00:32:08.140 we're not a

00:32:08.680 racist country,

00:32:09.960 as Tim

00:32:11.380 Scott said,

00:32:12.880 but that

00:32:13.660 yes,

00:32:14.020 everybody

00:32:14.420 understands

00:32:15.120 that black 1.00

00:32:16.100 Americans have 0.78

00:32:16.940 not made

00:32:19.700 the same

00:32:20.060 progress as

00:32:20.720 other people,

00:32:22.740 and they

00:32:24.100 would be

00:32:24.320 good if

00:32:24.620 they did.

00:32:26.640 It's

00:32:27.120 starting to

00:32:28.680 look really

00:32:29.340 Republican,

00:32:30.980 isn't it?

00:32:32.640 And I'm

00:32:33.380 thinking to

00:32:33.760 myself,

00:32:34.600 is this

00:32:35.180 going to

00:32:35.420 become like

00:32:35.900 the new

00:32:36.300 thing?

00:32:37.100 You always

00:32:37.560 wonder what's

00:32:38.020 going to be

00:32:38.260 the thing

00:32:38.700 that the

00:32:39.040 news latches 0.58

00:32:39.700 onto.

00:32:40.580 But making

00:32:41.720 Joe Biden

00:32:42.280 answer this

00:32:42.960 question over

00:32:43.740 and over

00:32:44.080 again about

00:32:44.740 are we

00:32:45.160 really racist,

00:32:46.120 it's going

00:32:46.680 to be

00:32:46.880 hard for

00:32:47.280 him to

00:32:47.580 explain why

00:32:48.940 he ran

00:32:49.500 for office

00:32:50.280 because he

00:32:51.700 believed the

00:32:52.340 fine people

00:32:52.960 hoax.

00:32:54.540 If you

00:32:55.160 believed the

00:32:55.920 fine people

00:32:56.540 hoax that

00:32:57.840 the president

00:32:58.420 had called

00:32:58.980 the racist

00:33:00.880 fine people,

00:33:02.380 then maybe

00:33:03.760 you do think

00:33:04.380 it's a racist

00:33:04.920 country and

00:33:05.520 there's a much

00:33:05.980 bigger problem

00:33:06.660 here.

00:33:07.920 But he's

00:33:08.440 got some

00:33:08.780 explaining to

00:33:09.400 do.

00:33:09.580 I think he

00:33:10.080 just threw

00:33:11.000 the entire

00:33:11.480 Democratic

00:33:12.080 idea that

00:33:13.460 everything is

00:33:14.000 victimhood and

00:33:15.180 we've got to

00:33:15.600 fix it under

00:33:16.200 the bus.

00:33:17.160 But I

00:33:17.540 also wonder

00:33:18.100 what obligation

00:33:19.360 does the

00:33:19.920 country have

00:33:20.780 to fix a

00:33:22.580 problem where

00:33:23.240 there's a

00:33:23.900 group of

00:33:24.340 people who

00:33:24.960 are starting

00:33:26.600 from behind?

00:33:29.020 What is the

00:33:30.200 philosophical,

00:33:32.800 what is the

00:33:34.320 backing for

00:33:35.300 helping people

00:33:36.220 because they

00:33:37.580 started from

00:33:38.260 behind?

00:33:38.920 Now I guess

00:33:39.380 in this theory

00:33:39.960 that the

00:33:40.940 starting from

00:33:41.500 behind was

00:33:42.240 caused by

00:33:43.280 the white

00:33:45.740 people who

00:33:46.240 were the

00:33:46.460 slavers.

00:33:47.320 But again,

00:33:48.000 you have the

00:33:48.420 comparison

00:33:48.840 problem,

00:33:49.540 don't you?

00:33:50.740 Because

00:33:51.220 even the

00:33:53.540 slavers,

00:33:54.760 it's not

00:33:55.540 like they

00:33:55.900 took wealth

00:33:56.680 away from

00:33:57.480 the slaves

00:33:58.960 because the

00:33:59.780 slaves didn't 0.99

00:34:00.200 have any

00:34:00.580 wealth,

00:34:01.420 even before

00:34:02.220 they were

00:34:02.520 slaves.

00:34:03.500 And it's

00:34:04.620 not like they

00:34:05.260 denied them

00:34:06.100 the education

00:34:06.760 that they

00:34:07.160 were getting

00:34:07.580 before.

00:34:08.100 so the

00:34:10.020 proper

00:34:10.480 comparison

00:34:11.360 would be

00:34:12.760 the

00:34:14.240 descendants

00:34:14.700 of black

00:34:15.300 people in

00:34:15.740 this country

00:34:16.240 and how

00:34:16.640 are they

00:34:16.900 doing on

00:34:17.600 average

00:34:18.000 economically

00:34:18.680 compared to

00:34:20.000 the descendants

00:34:20.700 of the people

00:34:21.460 who were left

00:34:22.020 behind in

00:34:22.840 Africa and

00:34:24.220 how are they

00:34:25.020 doing economically.

00:34:26.680 That's the

00:34:27.160 comparison.

00:34:28.560 So if the

00:34:28.940 people who were

00:34:29.500 left behind in

00:34:30.220 Africa are

00:34:30.800 doing far

00:34:31.380 worse,

00:34:32.060 and I

00:34:32.260 actually don't

00:34:32.980 know how

00:34:33.340 that would

00:34:33.640 come out,

00:34:34.640 but if they

00:34:35.360 are,

00:34:36.580 then you

00:34:37.200 could say

00:34:37.600 that the

00:34:38.360 descendants of

00:34:39.620 slaveries came

00:34:40.400 out ahead.

00:34:41.580 They just

00:34:42.180 didn't come

00:34:42.660 out nearly

00:34:43.280 as ahead

00:34:43.940 as other

00:34:44.760 people.

00:34:46.060 But is

00:34:47.480 that a

00:34:47.780 cause for

00:34:48.540 fixing it?

00:34:51.420 Because you

00:34:52.180 could argue

00:34:52.640 that no

00:34:53.240 matter how

00:34:53.660 bad the

00:34:54.180 actions were,

00:34:54.940 and of course

00:34:55.360 slavery is

00:34:57.020 sort of the

00:34:57.940 ultimate sin,

00:34:58.700 right?

00:34:59.700 No matter

00:35:00.400 how bad

00:35:00.800 that is,

00:35:01.520 let's call

00:35:02.000 it the

00:35:02.260 ultimate sin,

00:35:03.780 it's just

00:35:04.280 sort of a

00:35:04.760 truth that

00:35:05.860 even bad

00:35:06.720 things,

00:35:07.600 can produce

00:35:08.380 some good

00:35:08.940 outcomes.

00:35:09.960 Even

00:35:10.300 horrible

00:35:10.780 things can

00:35:12.080 accidentally

00:35:12.640 produce some

00:35:13.280 good outcomes,

00:35:14.080 and one of

00:35:14.520 those good

00:35:14.840 outcomes is,

00:35:15.520 I'm guessing,

00:35:16.600 that the

00:35:16.980 average black

00:35:18.240 American is

00:35:19.120 way better

00:35:19.580 off than if

00:35:20.920 their ancestors

00:35:21.720 had never been

00:35:22.540 an American in

00:35:23.220 the first place

00:35:23.760 under any

00:35:24.440 situation.

00:35:25.460 I'm guessing.

00:35:26.420 But if we

00:35:27.000 don't know the

00:35:27.420 answer to that,

00:35:28.220 it's hard to

00:35:28.580 figure out how

00:35:29.780 to fix it.

00:35:31.340 All right,

00:35:31.840 you heard on

00:35:32.880 Project Veritas,

00:35:33.940 when they had the

00:35:34.380 undercover video,

00:35:35.280 that climate

00:35:37.940 was going to

00:35:38.420 be the next

00:35:38.860 topic that

00:35:39.680 CNN was

00:35:40.780 going to

00:35:41.200 start pushing,

00:35:42.340 because they

00:35:42.800 need something

00:35:43.300 big and

00:35:43.780 scary.

00:35:45.220 So again,

00:35:46.940 of course,

00:35:47.460 just like

00:35:47.940 Project Veritas

00:35:49.060 told us

00:35:50.220 it was coming,

00:35:51.280 CNN's got a

00:35:52.120 story today

00:35:52.720 about the

00:35:53.160 glaciers are

00:35:53.860 melting faster

00:35:54.680 than predicted.

00:35:56.760 So on

00:35:57.800 one hand,

00:35:58.380 you've got

00:35:58.820 CNN pushing

00:36:00.520 climate fear.

00:36:04.540 At the

00:36:05.260 same time,

00:36:06.080 we've learned

00:36:07.840 that climate

00:36:08.920 change and

00:36:09.800 the fear of

00:36:10.400 it is

00:36:11.740 causing a

00:36:12.460 lot of

00:36:12.740 mental health

00:36:13.300 problems,

00:36:14.020 especially for

00:36:14.700 young people,

00:36:15.840 like a lot

00:36:16.700 of them,

00:36:17.840 like seriously

00:36:18.800 a lot of

00:36:19.780 really bad

00:36:20.560 mental health

00:36:21.860 problems.

00:36:22.660 And it's

00:36:22.980 because young

00:36:23.560 people don't

00:36:24.260 know that the

00:36:25.040 media is

00:36:25.660 illegitimate.

00:36:27.500 If you're my

00:36:28.500 age, you know

00:36:29.220 that them

00:36:30.160 saying that

00:36:30.680 there's a

00:36:31.280 bad thing

00:36:32.140 coming means

00:36:33.320 there might

00:36:33.720 be, but

00:36:35.420 probably not

00:36:36.160 because the

00:36:37.260 news is just

00:36:37.840 not legitimate.

00:36:39.520 And if you're

00:36:40.120 young, imagine

00:36:40.720 how scary it

00:36:41.460 would be being

00:36:42.620 told that

00:36:43.280 you're going to

00:36:45.040 burn up and

00:36:46.060 the planet will

00:36:46.700 be uninhabitable

00:36:47.720 sometime in your

00:36:48.520 middle ages.

00:36:49.780 Now, when I

00:36:50.240 was a kid,

00:36:51.080 we believed

00:36:52.140 that the odds

00:36:53.720 of a nuclear

00:36:54.500 war with the

00:36:55.860 Soviet Union

00:36:56.560 was closer

00:36:58.660 to probable

00:36:59.660 than improbable.

00:37:01.980 So I grew

00:37:03.080 up sort

00:37:04.260 of with

00:37:05.100 PTSD that

00:37:06.300 a nuclear

00:37:07.300 weapon was

00:37:08.020 going to

00:37:08.300 detonate any

00:37:08.920 moment and

00:37:09.480 I would be

00:37:10.060 killed or

00:37:11.000 maimed by it.

00:37:13.140 And I

00:37:15.220 don't know

00:37:15.520 if that had

00:37:16.000 a toll on

00:37:16.620 me, but I

00:37:17.940 feel like it

00:37:18.420 did.

00:37:19.600 I feel like

00:37:20.420 worrying about

00:37:21.200 blowing up in

00:37:22.100 a nuclear

00:37:22.580 blast probably

00:37:24.740 affected my

00:37:25.640 childhood somehow,

00:37:27.660 don't you

00:37:28.040 think?

00:37:28.860 And I

00:37:30.140 would definitely

00:37:30.700 believe that

00:37:31.800 climate change

00:37:32.700 panic is

00:37:34.380 causing a lot

00:37:35.140 of mental

00:37:35.520 illness.

00:37:36.800 So, remember

00:37:38.060 I told you

00:37:38.580 that CNN

00:37:39.080 creates the

00:37:40.280 problem and

00:37:42.200 then reports

00:37:42.940 on it.

00:37:44.140 Here's another

00:37:45.120 one.

00:37:46.040 The more of

00:37:46.620 these you see,

00:37:47.820 the more obvious

00:37:48.640 it becomes because

00:37:49.500 it's invisible

00:37:50.160 until you see

00:37:51.520 examples.

00:37:53.160 CNN scared

00:37:54.700 the crap out

00:37:55.720 of the public

00:37:56.320 and people

00:37:57.380 in their

00:37:57.740 business,

00:37:58.560 scared the

00:37:59.240 crap out

00:37:59.660 of the

00:37:59.820 public,

00:38:00.960 probably

00:38:01.540 scared them

00:38:02.320 beyond what

00:38:03.120 is reasonable.

00:38:04.500 Now, they

00:38:04.880 may have had

00:38:05.280 good intentions

00:38:06.080 to get

00:38:07.180 something going,

00:38:08.680 but the

00:38:09.320 effect of it

00:38:09.900 is that the

00:38:11.080 news business

00:38:11.860 caused this

00:38:13.220 massive mental

00:38:14.180 illness and

00:38:15.340 then they

00:38:15.680 turned it

00:38:16.100 into a story

00:38:16.900 about how

00:38:18.040 climate change

00:38:19.280 is causing

00:38:20.680 the mental

00:38:21.200 illness.

00:38:22.580 But is that

00:38:23.160 what happened?

00:38:23.780 No.

00:38:26.200 Climate change

00:38:27.040 didn't cause

00:38:27.660 anybody's mental

00:38:28.840 illness.

00:38:30.080 The news is

00:38:31.140 reporting on it

00:38:32.340 and the way

00:38:32.920 they frame it

00:38:33.800 caused the

00:38:35.020 mental illness.

00:38:36.400 Not the

00:38:37.020 warming,

00:38:37.840 because you

00:38:38.200 walk outside

00:38:38.840 and it's kind

00:38:39.340 of the same

00:38:39.720 as yesterday.

00:38:40.720 There's literally

00:38:41.620 nobody who

00:38:43.360 is actually

00:38:44.040 mentally affected

00:38:44.940 by actual

00:38:46.680 climate change.

00:38:48.120 None.

00:38:49.280 Because we

00:38:50.020 don't feel it.

00:38:51.380 Right?

00:38:51.480 Even today's

00:38:53.040 scary story

00:38:53.900 about the

00:38:54.260 glaciers melting

00:38:55.100 faster says

00:38:56.520 they've added

00:38:56.980 a quarter inch

00:38:57.760 to the sea

00:38:58.260 level.

00:39:00.220 Could you tell

00:39:01.220 the difference?

00:39:02.820 No.

00:39:03.620 Right?

00:39:04.160 So this is a

00:39:05.860 fake story in

00:39:07.080 the sense that

00:39:07.800 I'm not saying

00:39:08.380 that climate

00:39:08.800 change is fake.

00:39:09.600 I'm saying that

00:39:10.180 the fear of it

00:39:11.700 is caused by

00:39:12.560 the media and

00:39:13.360 then the media

00:39:13.880 blames it on

00:39:14.440 climate change.

00:39:16.080 It was never

00:39:16.620 climate change.

00:39:17.260 It was the

00:39:17.540 media.

00:39:18.220 They're the

00:39:18.600 ones who

00:39:18.900 caused the

00:39:19.580 mental health

00:39:20.080 problem.

00:39:20.840 That's it.

00:39:21.480 That's the

00:39:21.720 whole story.

00:39:23.220 Now, climate

00:39:24.560 change itself

00:39:25.380 might be bad,

00:39:26.920 but that's

00:39:27.420 separate.

00:39:28.940 There's a

00:39:29.740 story here

00:39:30.860 about a

00:39:31.920 new way to

00:39:32.500 weed your

00:39:35.100 crops with

00:39:36.560 lasers.

00:39:38.120 How much

00:39:38.560 do you love

00:39:39.000 that?

00:39:40.000 How much

00:39:40.340 do you love

00:39:40.760 that now

00:39:41.100 there's a

00:39:41.580 big truck

00:39:42.200 that drives

00:39:43.340 over your

00:39:43.800 crops and

00:39:45.000 uses some

00:39:46.000 kind of

00:39:46.380 plant recognition

00:39:47.520 to know the

00:39:48.540 difference between

00:39:49.240 a plant and

00:39:50.020 a weed,

00:39:50.480 and as

00:39:51.340 it's driving

00:39:51.800 off over

00:39:52.800 the weeds

00:39:53.300 and plants,

00:39:53.880 it fires

00:39:54.760 lasers into

00:39:55.660 the weeds.

00:39:57.100 Only the

00:39:57.700 weeds.

00:40:00.360 How cool is

00:40:01.580 that?

00:40:02.240 Because apparently

00:40:02.920 it removes the

00:40:03.760 need for a lot

00:40:04.940 of chemicals and

00:40:05.820 pesticides and

00:40:06.680 stuff.

00:40:07.740 That's pretty

00:40:08.260 cool, isn't

00:40:09.100 it?

00:40:09.260 you may have

00:40:14.540 known this

00:40:15.400 technology was

00:40:16.420 coming because

00:40:17.640 you can go to

00:40:18.300 your local

00:40:18.800 pharmacy and

00:40:23.460 you can buy a

00:40:24.100 little device that

00:40:25.000 does exactly the

00:40:25.900 same thing for

00:40:26.600 the hair on

00:40:27.160 your body.

00:40:28.220 Have you seen

00:40:28.680 those?

00:40:29.760 So it's a little

00:40:30.300 device.

00:40:31.340 Let's say you've

00:40:31.900 got a little

00:40:32.200 back hair.

00:40:32.900 You're a guy.

00:40:33.380 You want to get

00:40:33.740 rid of some

00:40:34.080 back hair.

00:40:34.480 You just run

00:40:35.520 this over your

00:40:36.100 back and it

00:40:37.920 senses the

00:40:38.600 difference between

00:40:39.260 a hair and

00:40:40.880 just back.

00:40:42.380 It actually

00:40:42.960 shoots a little

00:40:43.880 laser into the

00:40:44.820 hair.

00:40:45.840 Now, I have

00:40:46.480 used this

00:40:47.020 product and

00:40:48.580 it feels like a

00:40:50.660 little snap of a

00:40:52.220 rubber band or

00:40:52.920 something.

00:40:56.480 So you can

00:40:57.820 remove your

00:40:58.360 hair with one

00:40:58.900 of these cheap

00:40:59.440 devices.

00:40:59.880 So putting the

00:41:00.880 same technology

00:41:01.700 into farming just

00:41:04.680 made sense.

00:41:05.400 If you knew

00:41:05.740 about that other

00:41:06.320 device, you

00:41:07.680 would have seen

00:41:08.020 that coming.

00:41:09.060 There's news

00:41:09.540 today that I

00:41:10.400 think is fake

00:41:10.900 news about an

00:41:11.720 Iranian prison

00:41:12.600 swap in which

00:41:14.000 allegedly the

00:41:15.060 U.S. and Iran

00:41:16.200 would swap some

00:41:17.000 prisoners and

00:41:18.280 then allegedly,

00:41:19.320 and I think this

00:41:19.880 is the fake

00:41:20.400 part, there would

00:41:21.480 be some large

00:41:23.120 amount of money

00:41:23.700 that we would

00:41:24.300 give to Iran as 0.94

00:41:25.180 part of this

00:41:25.620 deal.

00:41:26.500 Now, the

00:41:27.680 administration is

00:41:28.720 denying it.

00:41:30.720 But not denying

00:41:32.280 that they're having

00:41:32.900 conversations about

00:41:33.900 prisoners, which

00:41:34.980 apparently is not

00:41:36.460 that big a deal.

00:41:39.300 Colin says,

00:41:40.260 counterpoint, here

00:41:40.960 in Alaska we get

00:41:41.860 far less snow in

00:41:42.660 our ski resorts as

00:41:43.740 a result of an

00:41:44.940 increase of

00:41:45.560 temperature of a

00:41:46.300 couple of

00:41:46.620 degrees.

00:41:47.800 Well, I'm just

00:41:50.520 saying that you

00:41:52.700 probably don't have

00:41:54.100 a mental health

00:41:55.000 problem because

00:41:56.460 your ski slope

00:41:57.180 doesn't have enough

00:41:57.860 snow.

00:41:58.140 I mean, unless

00:42:00.000 you work there, I

00:42:00.780 suppose.

00:42:01.660 But I'm not

00:42:03.100 saying that climate

00:42:03.960 change isn't

00:42:04.560 happening.

00:42:05.240 I'm just saying

00:42:05.720 that for most of

00:42:07.200 us, we wake up, we

00:42:08.440 go through our day,

00:42:09.500 and it's not really

00:42:10.160 affecting us.

00:42:11.060 And I don't think

00:42:11.920 you can know for

00:42:12.580 sure that climate

00:42:13.160 change is changing

00:42:14.160 what's happening at

00:42:14.960 your ski slope.

00:42:16.200 But maybe.

00:42:17.140 I don't rule it

00:42:17.840 down either.

00:42:18.920 All right.

00:42:20.480 So I don't think

00:42:21.480 this Iranian prison

00:42:22.440 swap story is real

00:42:24.240 in terms of the

00:42:25.580 money part.

00:42:26.200 And the reason

00:42:26.600 is, I don't

00:42:27.740 believe Biden

00:42:28.460 would be so

00:42:29.260 dumb as to do

00:42:32.060 the same thing

00:42:32.860 that caused 0.77

00:42:33.520 conservatives to

00:42:35.400 talk about the

00:42:36.200 pallets of cash

00:42:37.180 forever.

00:42:38.580 You know,

00:42:39.140 everybody knows

00:42:39.840 the story, Obama

00:42:40.740 giving Iran pallets 0.95

00:42:41.980 of cash to make

00:42:43.640 the nuclear deal,

00:42:45.380 and then things

00:42:47.880 didn't go well.

00:42:49.120 So I'm going to

00:42:51.120 call it fake news

00:42:51.780 on that.

00:42:52.260 I don't think

00:42:52.640 there will be a

00:42:53.160 dollar amount

00:42:53.900 considered.

00:42:54.980 Here's some more

00:42:55.820 fake news and my

00:42:57.120 opinion, but this

00:42:58.700 is sort of marginal

00:42:59.520 fake news.

00:43:00.440 You've all heard

00:43:00.960 the story that

00:43:01.520 Warren Buffett,

00:43:02.400 who's worth over

00:43:03.420 $100 billion,

00:43:04.700 has lived in his

00:43:06.740 same house in

00:43:07.520 Omaha since

00:43:08.700 1958.

00:43:11.160 And if you

00:43:12.140 Google it,

00:43:13.260 you'll find all

00:43:13.980 kinds of stories

00:43:14.680 confirming it.

00:43:16.060 And when I

00:43:17.620 mentioned some

00:43:19.000 skepticism about

00:43:20.220 it, people who

00:43:21.980 live in Omaha

00:43:22.740 said, oh yeah,

00:43:24.420 he's, you know,

00:43:25.540 he's sighted in

00:43:26.720 Omaha on a 0.87

00:43:28.040 regular basis,

00:43:29.160 going to just

00:43:29.940 local eateries.

00:43:31.660 And so, yes,

00:43:33.060 Warren Buffett

00:43:33.760 does in fact live

00:43:34.860 in the same

00:43:35.940 little house he

00:43:36.680 bought in 1958.

00:43:38.500 Well, does he?

00:43:40.760 Does he?

00:43:41.960 Let me add this

00:43:43.040 skepticism.

00:43:45.700 Number one,

00:43:46.280 you always see

00:43:47.460 the picture of

00:43:48.000 the house and

00:43:48.500 it looks kind

00:43:49.020 of modest.

00:43:50.680 You know, it's

00:43:51.060 a sizable house,

00:43:53.420 but it looks

00:43:54.180 modest for a

00:43:55.120 billionaire.

00:43:56.040 But then you

00:43:56.700 see it from the

00:43:57.840 air.

00:43:58.900 It turns out that

00:43:59.740 modest part is

00:44:01.380 just what you

00:44:01.900 can see from

00:44:02.420 the street.

00:44:03.760 It turns out

00:44:04.620 it's not nearly

00:44:05.800 as modest as

00:44:06.720 it used to be

00:44:07.520 because there

00:44:08.560 are extra

00:44:09.300 construction that

00:44:10.100 you can't see.

00:44:11.380 So it's bigger

00:44:12.160 than it looks.

00:44:13.880 And we don't

00:44:14.500 know what was

00:44:15.020 added.

00:44:15.620 So it's

00:44:15.980 certainly not

00:44:16.540 the same

00:44:17.120 house he

00:44:17.540 bought in

00:44:17.880 1958.

00:44:19.300 So let's

00:44:20.020 remove the

00:44:21.500 idea that

00:44:22.240 it's the

00:44:22.620 same house.

00:44:23.940 It might be

00:44:24.500 the same

00:44:24.920 land, and

00:44:26.400 it might look

00:44:26.940 the same

00:44:27.460 from the

00:44:27.860 street, but

00:44:28.920 there's a lot

00:44:29.420 of extra

00:44:29.820 stuff going

00:44:30.480 on back

00:44:30.940 there that

00:44:31.620 we don't

00:44:31.980 have any

00:44:32.300 details about.

00:44:33.500 But beyond

00:44:34.160 that, do

00:44:35.700 you think he

00:44:36.120 lives in that

00:44:36.640 house in

00:44:37.020 Omaha?

00:44:38.300 Really?

00:44:39.220 Here's what I

00:44:39.940 think, and I'm

00:44:40.780 just going to

00:44:41.180 guess.

00:44:41.840 If he really

00:44:42.740 lived in that

00:44:43.380 house, we

00:44:44.140 probably would

00:44:44.840 have heard

00:44:45.340 something like

00:44:46.280 this.

00:44:47.480 He spends

00:44:48.340 at least 200

00:44:49.500 nights a year

00:44:50.640 in his

00:44:51.580 house, but

00:44:52.600 he travels a

00:44:53.200 lot too.

00:44:54.360 Or something

00:44:57.120 along those

00:44:57.640 lines.

00:44:57.980 and so I

00:45:07.560 think he

00:45:08.020 probably travels

00:45:09.140 and stays at

00:45:10.360 luxury places

00:45:11.540 as he travels,

00:45:12.740 but when he

00:45:13.480 does his

00:45:14.020 Omaha thing

00:45:15.320 where he does

00:45:16.060 his annual

00:45:16.480 meeting, he

00:45:17.380 probably does

00:45:17.980 stay at the

00:45:18.420 house.

00:45:18.860 It probably

00:45:19.200 is his

00:45:19.760 official residence.

00:45:21.280 He probably

00:45:21.780 does visit

00:45:22.380 there often,

00:45:23.160 but I don't

00:45:25.320 think he

00:45:25.780 lives there.

00:45:28.780 If I had

00:45:29.540 to guess, do

00:45:31.220 you think he

00:45:31.640 spends more

00:45:32.400 time sleeping

00:45:33.780 not in that

00:45:35.620 house than he

00:45:37.180 spends in the

00:45:37.720 house?

00:45:38.000 What do you

00:45:38.300 think?

00:45:39.000 I'm going to

00:45:39.600 guess that while

00:45:41.360 he probably does

00:45:42.100 use it as a

00:45:42.720 home base, that

00:45:44.520 where he actually

00:45:45.420 spends his time

00:45:46.460 probably in more

00:45:48.080 of a luxurious

00:45:49.000 setting that's

00:45:50.820 temporary or

00:45:52.020 rented or his

00:45:53.340 private plane or

00:45:54.440 whatever.

00:45:55.780 I see a lot

00:45:58.440 of you disagreeing

00:45:59.220 because you

00:45:59.500 want to believe

00:46:00.320 that he really

00:46:01.200 just has a

00:46:01.820 modest little

00:46:02.340 house, but I'm

00:46:03.640 going to say

00:46:04.100 without knowing

00:46:05.160 any of the

00:46:05.520 facts, I think

00:46:06.780 that he does

00:46:07.360 not sleep there

00:46:08.260 most of the

00:46:08.960 time.

00:46:10.040 But if I'm

00:46:10.840 wrong about

00:46:11.260 that, I'd be

00:46:14.400 amazed, but I

00:46:16.920 could be wrong.

00:46:18.800 There's a weird

00:46:19.580 thing happening

00:46:20.220 in fashion and

00:46:22.260 celebrity news,

00:46:24.100 which is, and

00:46:27.520 I'm trying to

00:46:28.180 figure out how

00:46:28.680 to say this

00:46:29.220 without getting

00:46:29.760 canceled, because

00:46:31.180 I'm going to

00:46:31.540 talk about it

00:46:32.060 like it's

00:46:32.380 interesting.

00:46:33.520 I'm trying not

00:46:34.100 to insult

00:46:34.640 anybody, right?

00:46:35.700 So the concept

00:46:37.260 which I'm going

00:46:38.180 to talk about

00:46:38.760 is not intended

00:46:39.960 as anybody's

00:46:41.100 insult.

00:46:42.540 But it wasn't

00:46:43.920 that long ago

00:46:44.760 when the

00:46:46.020 celebrity news

00:46:46.920 would show

00:46:47.580 impossibly beautiful

00:46:48.980 people, usually

00:46:50.300 female, and we, 0.97

00:46:53.280 the normal

00:46:53.980 unwashed masses

00:46:55.180 would look at

00:46:55.760 them and we'd

00:46:56.280 say, my God,

00:46:57.820 like, how can

00:46:59.280 anybody be that

00:47:00.340 fit and beautiful

00:47:02.020 and it looks

00:47:03.420 like you can't

00:47:04.080 even, the

00:47:04.800 dimensions, it

00:47:06.080 looks like a

00:47:06.540 Barbie, you 1.00

00:47:08.180 know, is it

00:47:08.640 just some kind

00:47:10.040 of, is it all

00:47:11.400 plastic surgery?

00:47:12.400 Like, how is it

00:47:12.920 even possible?

00:47:14.980 But I don't

00:47:16.640 know if it's

00:47:17.260 culture or the

00:47:18.220 pandemic that

00:47:18.920 changed it, but

00:47:20.360 that reporting has

00:47:21.460 changed to the

00:47:23.860 same, literally

00:47:25.220 in some cases

00:47:25.980 the same people

00:47:26.900 who were

00:47:27.780 photographed by

00:47:28.520 the paparazzis

00:47:29.300 like looking

00:47:29.860 beautiful and

00:47:30.780 here's somebody

00:47:31.700 caught in a

00:47:32.220 bikini and

00:47:33.040 don't they look

00:47:33.580 incredible?

00:47:34.600 It's kind of

00:47:35.600 turned into

00:47:36.480 frumpy people

00:47:38.740 dressed casually

00:47:41.100 who definitely

00:47:42.680 have a few

00:47:43.300 extra pounds

00:47:44.160 but are still

00:47:45.520 celebrities.

00:47:46.800 And here's the

00:47:47.740 funny part.

00:47:49.340 The text that

00:47:50.540 talks about the

00:47:51.460 celebrities hasn't

00:47:53.000 changed, but the

00:47:55.260 celebrities definitely

00:47:56.180 changed.

00:47:57.800 They don't look the

00:47:58.620 same as they did a

00:47:59.380 year ago.

00:48:00.700 So it used to be

00:48:03.060 there'd be like an

00:48:03.780 impossibly attractive

00:48:05.260 looking person and

00:48:06.700 then the text would

00:48:07.500 be blah blah blah

00:48:08.940 is showing off their

00:48:09.960 fit and toned body,

00:48:11.900 you know, making

00:48:12.500 everybody jealous at

00:48:13.460 the beach or

00:48:14.060 something like that.

00:48:15.260 Right?

00:48:15.700 So the text and the

00:48:16.760 picture totally

00:48:17.480 match.

00:48:18.360 Now the picture will

00:48:20.220 be somebody who's

00:48:21.020 40 pounds overweight

00:48:22.180 and the text will

00:48:24.140 say, so-and-so is

00:48:25.760 showing off their

00:48:26.440 toned abs.

00:48:27.560 And I'm thinking,

00:48:28.680 no.

00:48:32.180 Again, I'm not

00:48:33.380 fat shaming.

00:48:35.100 That's not the

00:48:35.620 point of this.

00:48:36.480 The point is that

00:48:37.420 now the text is

00:48:39.000 completely out of

00:48:40.200 touch with the

00:48:40.880 picture.

00:48:41.380 They just don't

00:48:41.960 match anymore.

00:48:42.560 And they've

00:48:43.640 started to do

00:48:44.280 lots of sexy

00:48:46.900 pictures of senior

00:48:48.020 citizens.

00:48:49.300 Have you seen

00:48:49.720 that?

00:48:50.860 So Sharon Stone, 0.99

00:48:52.120 who was in her

00:48:53.140 60s, whatever, has

00:48:54.960 been appearing in

00:48:56.060 all these semi-sexy

00:48:58.040 pictures of, here's

00:48:59.600 Sharon Stone in her

00:49:00.560 60s showing off her

00:49:01.760 bikini body, or not

00:49:04.180 bikini, but, you

00:49:05.620 know, showing off her

00:49:06.480 legs and stuff.

00:49:07.160 So the celebrity

00:49:09.160 photography business

00:49:10.860 has just took a

00:49:12.360 really weird turn.

00:49:13.660 And then the

00:49:14.020 ultimate was, do

00:49:16.380 you all know

00:49:16.880 Billie Eilish?

00:49:18.460 So Billie Eilish, a

00:49:19.760 woman who, a very

00:49:21.600 successful singer,

00:49:23.620 and most famous for

00:49:25.860 dressing the least

00:49:28.060 like a beautiful

00:49:29.020 person that you

00:49:29.820 possibly could.

00:49:31.380 Like, she went as

00:49:32.460 far as you could in

00:49:34.040 the looking like she

00:49:34.980 wasn't trying, you

00:49:36.120 know, to, you

00:49:37.160 just wearing, you

00:49:38.200 know, frumpy stuff

00:49:39.080 and whatever.

00:49:40.260 And apparently she 0.60

00:49:41.000 got talked into, or

00:49:42.280 decided to, or

00:49:43.460 whatever, to show a

00:49:45.500 more revealing look

00:49:46.620 of herself on the

00:49:47.600 cover of British

00:49:48.360 Vogue.

00:49:51.180 And I don't want to

00:49:53.600 be unkind, but she

00:49:56.520 didn't quite pull it

00:49:57.400 off, if you know

00:49:58.260 what I mean.

00:50:00.100 And again, I'm not

00:50:01.380 trying to be unkind,

00:50:02.540 and that's not the

00:50:03.500 point.

00:50:04.020 The point is not

00:50:04.780 about the person.

00:50:05.920 So this is nothing

00:50:06.700 about the person.

00:50:08.060 You know, if she

00:50:08.760 wants to get more

00:50:10.000 healthy and whatever,

00:50:11.720 I'm all for it.

00:50:12.720 It has nothing to do

00:50:13.720 with the person.

00:50:15.000 But the way the media

00:50:16.000 is treating this is

00:50:17.160 just weird.

00:50:18.620 They're just showing

00:50:19.460 people not attractive

00:50:20.660 and talking about

00:50:21.980 them as if they're

00:50:22.940 just the way they

00:50:24.320 used to look.

00:50:25.240 And it's, when you

00:50:26.900 see it, it's crazy.

00:50:28.580 The British publication

00:50:31.040 Daily Mail is the one

00:50:32.840 that's the most

00:50:33.360 hilarious.

00:50:33.720 The whole right

00:50:35.180 side is all these

00:50:35.880 pictures of

00:50:36.500 celebrities, and

00:50:38.180 most of them are

00:50:38.940 like somebody

00:50:39.600 looking great.

00:50:40.980 Somebody showed

00:50:41.660 off their body,

00:50:42.440 and you click on

00:50:42.980 them, you're like,

00:50:43.660 they look kind of

00:50:46.080 normal to me.

00:50:46.980 They don't look

00:50:47.660 like superhuman

00:50:49.440 like they used to.

00:50:53.020 So that's different.

00:50:54.520 And I think that is

00:51:01.060 all I wanted to

00:51:01.720 say.

00:51:04.320 Ta-da! 1.00

00:51:06.580 So, are any of

00:51:09.400 you feeling anxious

00:51:11.260 or depressed about

00:51:12.480 climate change?

00:51:14.140 Go.

00:51:15.220 How many of you

00:51:16.200 feel that you lose

00:51:17.660 sleep or that you're

00:51:19.020 super worried about

00:51:20.220 the future because of

00:51:21.440 climate change?

00:51:22.560 And I'll bet you

00:51:24.960 almost nobody,

00:51:28.140 because knowing my

00:51:29.360 audience, most of

00:51:30.520 you lean conservative

00:51:31.820 even though I

00:51:32.920 don't, and I'm

00:51:35.760 sort of all over the

00:51:36.520 map.

00:51:37.520 But, yeah,

00:51:39.000 conservatives just

00:51:39.680 aren't worried.

00:51:41.080 Now, don't you

00:51:41.620 think that's an

00:51:42.180 advantage of not

00:51:43.180 being susceptible to

00:51:44.340 fake news?

00:51:45.980 I think that's an

00:51:47.020 advantage.

00:51:48.380 Being conservative

00:51:49.300 makes you more

00:51:50.440 mentally fit.

00:51:51.160 So now we have

00:51:52.700 two points,

00:51:55.280 three really.

00:51:58.320 I would say we

00:51:58.980 have at least three

00:52:00.140 data points that

00:52:01.120 show that being a

00:52:02.380 liberal gives you

00:52:03.160 brain damage.

00:52:04.660 So the first one

00:52:05.740 was the show that

00:52:07.000 we learned that

00:52:07.660 looking at only one

00:52:08.880 kind of the news,

00:52:10.180 either only CNN

00:52:11.340 or only Fox

00:52:13.040 News, if you only

00:52:14.240 looked at one, you

00:52:15.300 would get brain

00:52:15.780 damage because you'd

00:52:16.640 start to believe that

00:52:17.400 one narrative was

00:52:18.360 true and it would

00:52:19.900 distort your ability

00:52:20.860 to sort out

00:52:21.760 reality.

00:52:22.920 So since we know

00:52:23.740 that conservatives

00:52:24.380 are always exposed

00:52:25.540 to the news on

00:52:26.540 the left, but then

00:52:27.860 they also watch

00:52:28.520 their own conservative

00:52:29.660 news, they don't

00:52:31.080 have this problem,

00:52:32.040 presumably, because

00:52:33.000 they're seeing the

00:52:33.560 whole picture, they're

00:52:34.540 just preferring some

00:52:35.380 news.

00:52:36.020 The other people are

00:52:37.080 only seeing selected

00:52:38.120 news, so they're

00:52:39.540 actually technically

00:52:40.440 brain damaged,

00:52:41.240 according to science.

00:52:42.000 Now we see this

00:52:43.520 climate change is

00:52:44.840 causing massive

00:52:45.920 mental illness that,

00:52:48.300 as you can see in

00:52:48.940 the comments, doesn't

00:52:50.400 affect conservatives

00:52:51.380 because they're just

00:52:52.640 not that worried.

00:52:54.100 So now you have two

00:52:55.440 fairly well-confirmed,

00:52:57.360 I would say, credible

00:52:58.620 statements that being

00:53:00.060 liberal causes brain

00:53:01.120 damage.

00:53:01.820 Then I would add to

00:53:02.920 that the fear of the

00:53:04.500 police, for example,

00:53:06.520 the fear of being

00:53:07.440 killed by the police.

00:53:09.020 Let's say if you're

00:53:09.660 African-American, how

00:53:11.640 afraid should you be

00:53:13.220 of actually being

00:53:14.460 killed by the

00:53:16.020 police?

00:53:16.880 Well, if you looked

00:53:17.800 at the news, you'd

00:53:18.620 be plenty scared, and

00:53:20.760 probably your own

00:53:21.700 experience would be

00:53:22.620 negative as well.

00:53:23.780 But if you looked at

00:53:24.640 it statistically,

00:53:26.580 statistically, what

00:53:27.960 are your odds?

00:53:29.620 What are the odds of

00:53:30.900 being killed by the

00:53:31.600 police if you're not

00:53:33.060 resisting arrest or

00:53:34.060 you're unarmed?

00:53:35.060 That's pretty small.

00:53:36.400 But I'm pretty sure

00:53:37.500 that there are a lot

00:53:38.040 of people who literally

00:53:39.600 have some form of

00:53:40.880 PTSD because they're

00:53:43.320 afraid of the

00:53:43.880 police, afraid of

00:53:45.040 getting killed by the

00:53:45.800 police.

00:53:46.760 So I think we have

00:53:48.180 at least three fairly

00:53:50.240 obvious situations in

00:53:52.360 which the predicted

00:53:53.480 outcome is that people

00:53:55.400 on the left would have

00:53:56.400 something like,

00:53:57.560 literally, brain

00:53:59.020 damage.

00:54:00.120 Again, not an

00:54:00.900 insult, just a

00:54:01.720 description of, you

00:54:03.140 know, these forces

00:54:03.940 cause these things to

00:54:05.140 happen, and those

00:54:06.580 forces are not

00:54:07.460 operating on Republicans.

00:54:09.600 But the forces are

00:54:11.100 definitely operating on

00:54:13.120 other people.

00:54:14.120 Suppose you're a woman

00:54:15.620 and you believe that

00:54:18.500 women got paid 72 cents 1.00

00:54:21.440 on the dollar, which is

00:54:22.860 what Democrats largely

00:54:24.460 believe.

00:54:25.380 How would you feel about

00:54:27.920 going to work?

00:54:29.320 How would you feel about

00:54:30.480 living in the world where

00:54:32.260 you believe you get paid

00:54:33.880 72 cents on the dollar for

00:54:35.340 the same work?

00:54:36.760 Probably pretty bad.

00:54:38.760 I would think that would

00:54:39.620 have an effect on your

00:54:40.500 mental health.

00:54:41.940 But conservatives know

00:54:43.980 that the statistic isn't

00:54:45.420 real.

00:54:46.280 So they don't worry about

00:54:47.540 it because it's fake.

00:54:50.840 Conservatives weren't

00:54:51.640 worried about the, so

00:54:53.800 much, about the

00:54:54.840 Charlottesville fine people

00:54:56.260 thing because they didn't

00:54:57.500 think it was real.

00:54:58.480 We weren't worried about

00:54:59.620 Russiagate and Russia

00:55:02.420 collusion.

00:55:02.920 didn't think it was real.

00:55:05.440 It wasn't.

00:55:06.500 So I've got a feeling that

00:55:07.840 conservatives are where

00:55:09.060 all the good mental health

00:55:10.140 is happening.

00:55:13.780 And that is my show for

00:55:15.880 the day.

00:55:16.600 And I will talk to you

00:55:17.580 tomorrow.

00:55:18.840 Happy birthday.

00:55:21.180 Thank you.

00:55:21.400 Bye-bye.

00:55:23.860 Dad.

00:55:32.540 Bye-bye.

00:55:33.760 Hi-bye.

00:55:33.820 Bye-bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 03, 2021

Episode 1364 Scott Adams： Biden Becomes a Republican, Iranian Deal, Climate Mental Health, and Lots More

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