Episode 1383 Scott Adams: Hamas and Israel Both Claim Victory So I'm Happy For Them, Antisemitism, Gaetz and More
Episode Stats
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Summary
In this episode of the podcast, Andrew takes a sip from a bottle of water and talks about the dangers of wearing masks in public without protection. Plus, a story about a conspiracy theory about Epstein's death, and why vaccines might not be as bad as we think they are.
Transcript
00:00:03.420
First live stream died, so you missed the simultaneous sip if you were waiting for that.
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So I'll wait for a few seconds for people to pour in, because I know you want to.
00:00:19.180
I was just saying that I ate out for the first time without a mask yesterday at any part of the process.
00:00:27.020
So I saw a story that says the guards in the Epstein jail, where Epstein died, they have admitted falsifying records.
00:00:38.180
But I don't recall ever seeing what they falsified.
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Did anybody see that? And did it make any difference?
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And does it have anything to do with who killed them?
00:00:48.180
So that's a weird story, because it feels like it should be important, but maybe it isn't.
00:00:57.020
So I guess Fauci has, Dr. Fauci has said that by July 4th, 70% of Americans should be vaccinated.
00:01:09.520
And if they are, we're going to be in pretty, pretty good shape.
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Now, July 4th, as I told you, probably the day that Americans just say,
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well, we're going to, we're going to make, thank you, Andrew, we're just going to make up our own decision about masks.
00:01:25.660
And I'm going to skip ahead. I was going to talk about this later, but there's a great, great article in The Atlantic.
00:01:36.600
Have I ever said there was a great article in The Atlantic?
00:01:39.160
So The Atlantic is not really a credible publication.
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But Derek Thompson, who turns out to be a really good writer, so if you want to just see good writing,
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just somebody who can put together good sentences and make a point, Derek Thompson is really good.
00:01:58.020
And he wrote an article talking about the mask mandate changes in Texas in particular, but then extended the point.
00:02:08.580
So apparently, when the governor removed the mask mandate in Texas, people were predicting,
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oh, no, it's going to be doom because we'll all get infected without masks.
00:02:23.840
And the infections and deaths continued to go down.
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What is the reason that when Texas got rid of the mask mandate, keyword mandate,
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And the answer is two possibilities, as Derek points out.
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But as Derek points out by pointing to a number of studies, the experts are still pretty unanimous.
00:03:15.440
They don't make much difference if you're vaccinated or a kid.
00:03:21.680
So the science still strongly suggests that masks work.
00:03:26.680
So what would be the other possibility that getting rid of mask mandates would cause infections not to go up?
00:03:33.940
Well, in the comments, you want to take a guess before I give you the answer?
00:03:45.100
But let's say the scientists say they do, just for argument.
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I never know what to do when I'm talking to a wall of skeptics.
00:04:02.380
Well, somebody just tipped me $5 to take a sip.
00:04:05.600
Because apparently if you missed the first part of the live stream where I had to restart,
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you missed your simultaneous sip, and I know you need it.
00:04:27.420
But here's the second reason that maybe the mask mandate changes had no impact on results.
00:04:42.320
When you look at states who had mask mandates and then they removed them,
00:04:55.320
The people who were not wearing masks and were bending the rules kept bending them.
00:05:01.220
The businesses, for the most part, that were going to require them.
00:05:06.620
The ones that didn't probably were the ones that were smart.
00:05:12.380
So basically, what we learned is that the government didn't have much to do with it.
00:05:19.620
And do you recall the most, I would say one of my most counterintuitive predictions from last year.
00:05:29.600
And I knew this one was looking good, but I didn't think anybody would agree with me.
00:05:36.180
And my prediction was that we would never be able to untangle whether leadership in one place, one state, or one country was good or bad.
00:05:46.780
But that we actually wouldn't be able to tell if the decisions made by the government even made a difference.
00:05:54.560
And that there are so many variables that government leadership, which you would think would be the biggest one, might not even be discoverable in the data.
00:06:09.580
So a year later, after I said that leadership wouldn't even show up in the data, leadership isn't showing up in the data.
00:06:21.940
So I'm still open to the possibility that masks work so little or in such special cases that maybe it didn't make that much difference to the overall pandemic.
00:06:36.680
But I do think the science is quite unified in saying that they do work if you use them in the right situation.
00:06:45.220
So Tom Cotton made an interesting remark, Senator Cotton.
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And he was talking about critical race theory being taught in the military.
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If I were in a foreign intelligence service, I can think of a few things that would be more destructive to morale and unit cohesion in the United States military than critical race theory.
00:07:09.580
The idea that we are somehow simply representatives of our race, as opposed to American patriots who are wearing the flag of our country in defense of common ideals.
00:07:18.080
Now, that's a lot of words to say what he's saying.
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I think I might have paired a few of those words off of there.
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If you were a foreign adversary and you wanted to destroy the U.S. military cohesiveness,
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what could you think of that would be better than critical race theory?
00:07:40.620
It would be hard to think of something if you were intentionally trying to damage the military.
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I don't know if you could think of a better idea than that, which makes me wonder, did they?
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Is critical race theory actually being promoted by our adversaries and we don't know it?
00:08:02.560
And if they're not promoting it, why wouldn't they?
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It would be the most obvious thing you could do to promote the idea that you would cause inner turmoil in the United States.
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I can't think of anything that would be better for China.
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I can't think of anything that would be better for Russia to have the United States fighting with itself about who's the racist.
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So, there was a time, maybe five years ago, I would say, in my evolution of understanding of the world.
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Five years ago, I would have said, yeah, I get the point.
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You know, I get that if a foreign adversary was so clever that they thought they could do this,
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But in 2021, when we know how easily a foreign adversary can move the algorithm, can decide what we see, can decide what trends, etc.
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I don't see any chance that China is not using its behind-the-scenes trolls or whatever else they have.
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I can't see that they wouldn't push critical race theory.
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It's just obvious that it's bad for the country.
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From their perspective, it's probably even more obvious.
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I mean, it would be hard to think for a reason it's not happening.
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So, I told you that July 4th was going to be Independence Day, no matter whether the government told us we were done or not.
00:09:48.160
Now, I'll use the Texas story about the leadership didn't seem to change what anybody did.
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When people are done with masks, we'll tell our government.
00:10:10.260
You know, we're happy to have the government take over, especially in an emergency.
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And in this country, there's a good chance that they always will be.
00:10:24.500
So, I've got a feeling that July 4th will be Independence Day, and it won't matter what the government says.
00:10:32.980
Just as the mask mandate being removed didn't make people wear fewer masks.
00:10:38.800
We're just going to make up our own mind at this point, and I don't think there's anything wrong with that.
00:10:45.020
I'd like to give a shout-out to Monica Lewinsky for winning the Internet yesterday with a tweet.
00:10:53.700
So, an account called Uberfax asked this question.
00:10:57.820
What's the most high-risk, low-reward thing you've ever done?
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And Monica Lewinsky retweeted that with the emoji of two eyeballs just looking to the side like,
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What is the most high-risk, low-reward I've ever done?
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And it was sort of, rarely do you see a perfect tweet.
00:11:29.960
You could put a team of scientists together and say,
00:11:35.540
You know, to this, at least on a retweet at this point.
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But Monica Lewinsky reached into the void of infinite possibilities and pulled out the one of infinity that was the perfect tweet.
00:12:12.880
And I don't think it could have worked out any better because Hamas is claiming victory.
00:12:25.980
When I saw that there was fighting and people dying and stuff and missiles and all that, tunnels, I said to myself,
00:12:36.260
You know, maybe both sides will come out worse.
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Or because it's a war, maybe one side will win.
00:12:42.980
But then you've got a losing side, and that's not good.
00:12:55.540
But I don't really understand why they stopped.
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Because this is such a good thing for both of them.
00:13:09.320
I don't think we could have a better situation than a war in which both sides won.
00:13:24.340
It was good for the Hamas leadership, because they showed they're tough.
00:13:32.960
He's got other problems, and this made him look strong and capable, and pretty good.
00:13:38.860
Now, I've heard some people say that Israel should try to give some peace over there instead of fighting.
00:13:54.060
Because you just take it for granted that peace is better than war, right?
00:14:06.740
So if you're winning, winning is better than doing nothing.
00:14:13.180
So I would say that in some cases, war is better than peace.
00:14:18.680
Now, what would happen if Israel decided, and Hamas decided, it won't happen,
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That peace would be the worst thing for Israel?
00:14:43.060
Because at the moment, Israel is gobbling up land, right?
00:14:50.340
You know, sort of like picking apart, oh, these water rights, we'll take these.
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If your country is growing, like physically growing, it's expanding,
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you don't want peace, because peace stops the growth.
00:15:08.680
This is a period in which, for the low amount of deaths that Israel is experiencing,
00:15:17.980
You know, per death, per square mile, it's a good deal.
00:15:25.100
But if you're looking at the bigger picture of long-term Israel security,
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You know, more buffer zone, spread out your populations,
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So peace would be a huge strategic mistake for Israel.
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And for the Hamas leadership, peace would get them killed.
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If you're Hamas leadership, and you said, you know, I got an idea.
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They would be instantly killed by their own people,
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because they've been convinced they need to conquer Israel or whatever.
00:16:10.640
Israel got stronger, tested out a bunch of equipment,
00:16:14.800
degraded Hamas, and continues to have the moral,
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a little bit of moral cover as they gobble up land.
00:16:41.480
So your sympathy can be with the victims, of course.
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But these are two leaderships that wanted to fight
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or shake in the box to get Hamas to want peace?