Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 26, 2021


Episode 1387 Scott Adams： Persuasion Hits and Misses, Including Hamas, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Inflation, QANON and More


Episode Stats

Length

44 minutes

Words per Minute

149.73839

Word Count

6,668

Sentence Count

471

Misogynist Sentences

3

Hate Speech Sentences

18


Summary

The dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better, and a story about fake news in the news. Plus, a conspiracy theory about a vaccine that could be killing millions of people, and why you should be worried about it.


Transcript

00:00:00.440 And today will be one of the best days of the entire day, and you are here to enjoy it.
00:00:09.680 So, good work on that.
00:00:11.500 The first part of your day is going just the way you want it, and I think that's worth calling out.
00:00:18.040 But, but, would you like to take it up a level?
00:00:22.300 Yeah, yeah, you would.
00:00:24.000 And all you need is a cover, a mug, a glass, a tank, a gel, a style, a canteen, a junk, a flask, a vessel of any kind,
00:00:29.220 fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:30.500 I like coffee.
00:00:31.840 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better.
00:00:39.120 It's called the simultaneous sip.
00:00:41.260 And it happens now.
00:00:47.620 You know, every now and then I think, maybe this time it won't be as good as all the other times.
00:00:54.480 And then I'm wrong.
00:00:55.620 It is.
00:00:57.000 Sometimes it's even better.
00:00:58.300 It's amazing.
00:01:00.360 All right, well, let's talk about all the fake news in the news.
00:01:04.980 Starting at the top.
00:01:07.140 So, I did a search this morning for worse than Watergate guy, Carl Bernstein.
00:01:13.360 And I wondered what would happen if I just typed into my search engine the phrase, worse than Watergate guy.
00:01:20.160 No quote marks or anything.
00:01:21.760 And if I do that on DuckDuckGo, the front page mentions me a lot because I might have been the first person to mock Carl Bernstein for being the worse than Watergate guy.
00:01:35.680 I don't know if I was first or I was just among the first to make that point.
00:01:41.020 But on DuckDuckGo, it's, you know, Scott Adams, Scott Adams said, Scott Adams said.
00:01:46.100 And then I do exactly the same search, no quote marks, on Google.
00:01:50.320 And I'm not there.
00:01:54.440 You have to look for me.
00:01:56.280 You sort of have to dig down.
00:01:58.420 Now, I'm not going to claim that Google made some kind of a decision to take my name out of that story.
00:02:07.440 And not that it matters.
00:02:08.740 It doesn't, you know, nobody's any worse for it.
00:02:11.580 It doesn't make any difference.
00:02:12.460 But what happens if it's not intentional?
00:02:20.500 Is that better?
00:02:22.640 I mean, when you look at the difference in a search result, a pretty basic search result of something that's in the news literally too much,
00:02:31.840 and even that is wildly different in terms of even who was involved,
00:02:37.080 think about how gigantic this effect is.
00:02:40.940 And if you imagine the worst, you say, well, there are human beings making these decisions
00:02:47.220 and, you know, trying to cancel people and that sort of thing.
00:02:51.420 But what if it's not that?
00:02:53.680 What if there is no human being who is making any decisions?
00:02:57.620 It's just the algorithm.
00:02:59.480 And two algorithms give you completely different results.
00:03:03.920 These algorithms are becoming the brain of the world.
00:03:07.540 At what point does it become impractical to make any decision that would look dumb if you made a Google search or just a search, right?
00:03:19.440 We're pretty much training ourselves as humans to not make our own decisions.
00:03:27.880 You see that, right?
00:03:28.860 Because in the old days, without internet, if you said, Scott, what are you going to decide on, I don't know, taking a vaccination or not or anything?
00:03:39.940 And I would say something like, well, I don't have a time to go to the library and check out a book and research this topic.
00:03:47.740 So I guess I'll just make up my own mind and, I don't know, guess, use my bias or something.
00:03:55.480 I wouldn't have much information.
00:03:57.460 But what happens when the internet exists?
00:04:00.460 Well, if the internet exists, I'm going to go search for the answer.
00:04:04.880 Scott, what are you going to do about taking a vaccination?
00:04:08.720 I don't know.
00:04:09.340 I'll go search for the answer.
00:04:10.840 Should I take it?
00:04:11.840 Is it safe?
00:04:12.580 And then I'll probably do something that's informed by my searches.
00:04:18.060 So in a way, my human decision-making, totally flawed because I had less information, is being outsourced to an algorithm, not even to another human, to an algorithm.
00:04:32.020 And I don't know what's going to happen.
00:04:34.300 Who knows what's going to come back?
00:04:36.280 Today, for example, there's a news story.
00:04:38.480 It's a little bit early on this story, so we might find out a lot more about it.
00:04:43.080 But apparently, some Russia-linked PR agency contacted influencers, social media influencers, in France and Germany,
00:04:55.140 and tried to pay them to say that the Pfizer vaccine was killing people.
00:05:01.740 Now, I guess this got uncovered, so it's not going to happen.
00:05:05.360 But think about this.
00:05:06.360 Somebody was willing to pay influencers to say bad stuff about a vaccine that's probably saving millions of lives.
00:05:17.200 And, you know, of course, your mind goes to, well, this is a Russia disinformation thing trying to hurt France and Germany
00:05:26.040 or maybe trying to make their own vaccination look better or something.
00:05:29.900 Who knows?
00:05:30.800 Maybe it's just a play on the stock values.
00:05:33.200 But this is the sort of thing where, imagine that this had worked.
00:05:39.460 Imagine that these influencers had been able to do the influence that somebody tried to pay them to do.
00:05:46.620 When you did a Google search, would they come up?
00:05:49.700 Because they're influencers.
00:05:51.380 It might.
00:05:51.820 So, not only are we outsourcing our decision-making to algorithms,
00:05:59.280 but we don't know anything about what those algorithms are being influenced by.
00:06:05.480 Is it influenced by money?
00:06:07.500 Is there somebody behind there pushing a button?
00:06:10.240 Is it just artificial intelligence?
00:06:12.560 Is it random?
00:06:14.080 Is it nobody?
00:06:14.620 It's not anything.
00:06:15.660 It's just a bunch of forces coming together.
00:06:18.320 But we basically turned the process of thinking about stuff and making decisions
00:06:23.920 into a completely unknowable process where you just send it into the Internet
00:06:29.220 and who knows what kind of result you get or why you got it.
00:06:33.360 It certainly wouldn't be related to whether it's true.
00:06:36.360 That's the last thing that's likely to happen.
00:06:38.700 All right, speaking of influence, Rasmussen reports that they asked how many people had
00:06:50.000 – these are likely voters they usually talk to –
00:06:53.040 and they say, how many of you have a very favorable opinion of Dr. Fauci?
00:06:58.140 Now, this is just the top category, just the very favorables.
00:07:02.340 Liberals, 67% had a very favorable opinion of Dr. Fauci.
00:07:07.560 Conservatives, 17%.
00:07:11.560 Now, I think we're all accustomed to the fact that a political question
00:07:18.260 is always going to be divided by political lines.
00:07:23.680 But what exactly made the virus political?
00:07:29.400 I believe that this number, you know, this gigantic difference between 67% liberals
00:07:35.980 saying that Fauci had a very favorable opinion versus 17% for conservatives?
00:07:43.120 This is this gigantic difference.
00:07:46.480 And as far as I know, there is no political element whatsoever to a virus.
00:07:54.160 I mean, we overlay that stuff, but the virus itself doesn't have any politics.
00:07:59.760 The science doesn't have any politics, per se.
00:08:02.680 Nothing that would be associated with left or right or constitutional or wokeness or anything.
00:08:10.300 Can you give me any reason why these numbers should be so different?
00:08:14.580 Is it because conservatives like to flout the law?
00:08:22.480 No.
00:08:23.720 Even the way that each side acted in the pandemic was sort of opposite their normal behavior, in a way.
00:08:31.420 I mean, you would expect the liberals to say,
00:08:33.560 stop putting your laws on me, I won't wear a mask.
00:08:37.100 But instead, it was conservatives.
00:08:39.800 A little bit non-obvious to me.
00:08:41.900 You can make an argument that it was obvious.
00:08:44.220 But I just don't think that we're seeing anything but pure persuasion and team joining here.
00:08:52.700 I believe that the news networks tried as hard as they could to make it sort of a side versus side thing,
00:09:00.360 because they kind of need to, and they succeeded.
00:09:03.780 It looks like the news business turned this into a political question
00:09:08.400 when there's no political element to it whatsoever.
00:09:13.000 I mean, somebody has to be in charge, and they belong to a political party,
00:09:16.780 but still, they're just going to tell you what the science says,
00:09:19.780 and then you get to make up your mind.
00:09:21.360 It shouldn't be political at all.
00:09:23.820 But it did.
00:09:24.960 It became very political.
00:09:26.200 So I feel like in a normal political question, you don't see this effect so badly.
00:09:34.400 So if somebody says, hey, what do we do about abortion, and then you do a poll on it,
00:09:39.500 you know what it's going to look like, right?
00:09:42.000 You know, the conservatives will be largely against it.
00:09:45.860 The liberals will be largely in favor of abortion.
00:09:49.140 So if there is a political element, you know where the poll is going to come out.
00:09:54.940 But this is the weirdest thing, that we literally just sort of said,
00:09:59.320 okay, what side are you going to be on?
00:10:01.760 You guys will be, like, against the vaccine, and so we'll be more for it.
00:10:07.640 I swear to God, it just looks like it was a sport, and we just picked sides.
00:10:12.600 It was like a chess match where you sat down and said, okay, do you want to be white or black?
00:10:17.420 And then it didn't matter which we picked.
00:10:20.060 You know, the conservatives could have picked white or black,
00:10:22.760 and the other team would have just been the other team.
00:10:25.900 And I don't think I've ever seen it more clearly than in this number,
00:10:29.760 that this is a pure persuasion indicator.
00:10:34.940 And you can see that people are not making up their own decisions.
00:10:38.280 If you ever wanted to know that your opinions are assigned to you by the media, here it is.
00:10:44.300 These opinions were assigned to people by the media, very clearly.
00:10:49.140 More clearly than I've ever seen it.
00:10:54.360 Maple Bob says, once the censorship starts, it's in the realm of political.
00:10:59.020 Yes, but the censorship doesn't start until somebody's decided to make it political.
00:11:04.500 I mean, that's a decision.
00:11:05.820 It doesn't just happen.
00:11:06.820 Let's test our ability to predict.
00:11:14.880 So one of the weird things about the pandemic is that we didn't see it coming.
00:11:21.800 I mean, some experts did see it coming, of course.
00:11:24.580 But most of us didn't see it coming.
00:11:26.740 And then it was this completely new situation that most of us had not lived through in any meaningful way.
00:11:32.480 So because it was a fresh field, and not the old stuff we're always talking about,
00:11:39.100 we all got to make predictions.
00:11:42.280 And what's also interesting is that because the pandemic has sort of a limited time frame,
00:11:48.460 you actually get to see how your predictions come out.
00:11:52.240 And so this is the point where you should either be building humility or arrogance, I suppose.
00:11:59.300 Because you can see how you did.
00:12:01.240 All right.
00:12:02.360 I'm going to, you dismissed the lab theory.
00:12:07.120 Thank you.
00:12:08.320 I wanted somebody to come on here and misrepresent me, because I was going to get to that anyway.
00:12:13.520 And we see the first one.
00:12:15.800 So I'm being widely misrepresented by people who say,
00:12:20.280 you said that the lab theory is debunked.
00:12:25.820 Never happened.
00:12:27.580 Nope.
00:12:28.220 I'm hearing it a lot.
00:12:29.320 A lot of people are saying to me, well, Scott, you said it didn't come from the lab.
00:12:34.560 Nope.
00:12:35.540 Never happened.
00:12:36.620 And if you remember that that happened, you might be a narcissist.
00:12:40.940 You might be.
00:12:42.280 Here's what I did say.
00:12:44.520 I said there's no way that China intentionally released a virus.
00:12:50.780 No way intentionally.
00:12:52.360 If you lose the word intentionally, you're losing everything.
00:12:57.300 It's the intentionality that I said.
00:13:00.080 Did I ever say there's no way that the virus escaped from the lab accidentally?
00:13:05.660 Of course not.
00:13:06.880 Of course I never said that.
00:13:09.620 How could I possibly know that?
00:13:11.640 And it does seem like the most likely possibility.
00:13:14.880 What are the odds?
00:13:15.820 It started really near a lab that does that kind of stuff.
00:13:19.380 So no.
00:13:20.640 There will be lots of people who will tell me that, Scott, you said it wasn't the lab.
00:13:26.160 Nope.
00:13:27.140 Nope.
00:13:27.660 You are having a false memory.
00:13:30.040 And you might be a narcissist because one of the things I learned is that narcissists
00:13:36.480 have exactly that kind of false memory.
00:13:40.540 Sparky says the people who planned the pandemic saw it coming.
00:13:43.780 I don't think anybody planned the pandemic.
00:13:46.620 Sparky.
00:13:47.100 All right.
00:13:48.280 So here are the things that I thought from the beginning or in the early days.
00:13:52.620 These were my predictions and or interpretations.
00:13:55.740 Now, some of you are going to argue that we don't know the final answer on these.
00:13:59.860 I think we do.
00:14:01.560 So I'll accept that there's a difference of opinion about whether we do know the final
00:14:07.320 answer.
00:14:07.980 But here's my current view of things.
00:14:11.220 Number one, when the virus first was spotted in China, you can fact check me on this, but
00:14:19.080 I was probably one of the first one or two people, public people, in the country.
00:14:24.960 To vigorously call for a shutdown of travel.
00:14:28.600 Can anybody confirm or deny that?
00:14:31.000 You know, I'll put that up to public review.
00:14:34.340 But I think I was the first or among the first one or two.
00:14:38.520 I think Jack Posobiec was among the first as well.
00:14:42.660 To say we better close travel.
00:14:44.900 Now, I said it a week before Trump did.
00:14:47.460 And Trump got in trouble for saying it so early.
00:14:49.540 All right, so I'm going to claim a victory on that.
00:14:54.240 Number two, I did say this is not a regular flu.
00:14:58.140 This is a real virus that is really going to kill you.
00:15:01.180 Some of you still disagree with that.
00:15:08.700 Maryland says the Epoch Times revealed the extent of the virus in China.
00:15:12.780 If you're not following the Epoch Times, you really should.
00:15:16.080 Because they have the best view of China on things that there could be.
00:15:23.560 So, yeah, thumbs up to the Epoch Times for that.
00:15:30.100 I said, as soon as Dr. Fauci and the Surgeon General said,
00:15:35.400 you don't need masks for this virus,
00:15:38.900 I said, and I think I was the first public figure to say this.
00:15:43.540 And again, I put this up to public review.
00:15:46.540 If anybody said it before I did, let me know.
00:15:49.360 Because I'd be interested in that.
00:15:51.160 But I believe I was the first person to say publicly and vigorously,
00:15:55.240 they're lying.
00:15:57.040 They know that masks work.
00:15:59.260 And that they're probably trying to make us not have a run on masks.
00:16:04.720 That's probably the most accurate prediction I've ever made.
00:16:07.640 It turned out to be exactly right.
00:16:10.540 Now, some of you are going to argue,
00:16:11.860 but, Scott, masks do not work.
00:16:16.120 I hear you.
00:16:17.660 I hear you.
00:16:18.320 But at the moment,
00:16:21.180 every single industrial country
00:16:24.080 believes they work.
00:16:26.700 All of them.
00:16:27.740 There's no exception.
00:16:29.140 So all of the people who are professionals,
00:16:31.900 who can read the research better than I can,
00:16:34.860 better than you can in most cases,
00:16:36.680 all of the countries,
00:16:38.180 all of the experts,
00:16:39.340 all of them believe the masks worked,
00:16:41.760 just not in every case, every place, right?
00:16:44.220 Didn't work so much outdoors.
00:16:45.640 Didn't make much difference if you were six feet away
00:16:48.580 and didn't spend much time indoors, whatever.
00:16:51.400 But I'm going to claim victory on that.
00:16:54.280 I know that some of you will disagree.
00:16:55.920 But I would say I was completely right on masks.
00:17:00.660 And I said, in terms of the lab,
00:17:03.300 I said that it might be human-made.
00:17:07.460 Now, I did not say this in public so much.
00:17:10.700 But privately, I did talk to people who said,
00:17:13.800 yeah, it could be human-made
00:17:15.720 and we wouldn't know the difference.
00:17:17.940 So I didn't want to say that in public
00:17:19.780 because I thought that might cause trouble.
00:17:21.600 But I can confirm to you that privately,
00:17:24.320 I believed it could have been man-made.
00:17:27.700 Let's say human-made.
00:17:29.060 Let's make it less sexist.
00:17:30.240 I also told you last year at about this time
00:17:37.120 that the human ingenuity would be shockingly good.
00:17:43.480 Shockingly good.
00:17:45.000 So my prediction was,
00:17:46.500 although we had no good idea about therapeutics
00:17:49.260 and the experts were saying vaccines will take five years
00:17:52.780 or whatever they were saying,
00:17:54.200 I was saying that the experts were wrong
00:17:56.640 and I was agreeing with Trump.
00:17:59.860 I think I agreed with Trump
00:18:01.300 before Trump agreed with Trump
00:18:02.920 on the fact that we would be able to do this
00:18:05.780 at a very accelerated rate
00:18:07.540 and that when we were done,
00:18:10.000 the history would record we did something amazing.
00:18:15.080 How'd that go?
00:18:16.780 Right on, right?
00:18:18.140 Now, I thought it would be more about therapeutics.
00:18:20.560 I didn't think it would be necessarily vaccinations
00:18:23.060 that would be the amazing part.
00:18:24.540 But the vaccinations are literally amazing.
00:18:27.540 One of the greatest human accomplishments, I would say.
00:18:31.800 And so I'm going to claim being accurate on that.
00:18:35.040 I told you about this time last year
00:18:37.660 when it looked like we might lose our food sources
00:18:40.480 and the economy would crumble
00:18:42.500 and maybe there would be martial law and all that.
00:18:46.040 I told you that we wouldn't starve,
00:18:50.160 that we would figure it out,
00:18:52.560 we would get through it,
00:18:53.820 and the world would not end,
00:18:56.160 or at least it would not be anywhere near
00:18:57.960 the worst-case scenario.
00:18:59.480 And I feel I was right.
00:19:02.740 I feel I was right.
00:19:04.720 All right.
00:19:05.340 I also believed,
00:19:06.760 and again, I didn't make a big deal about this publicly
00:19:09.200 because it would not have been responsible to do that,
00:19:12.100 but I never once disinfected anything I ever bought.
00:19:15.500 I never once disinfected anything from a grocery store.
00:19:19.960 I think in about the, I don't know,
00:19:22.260 after a week of trying to wear gloves,
00:19:24.600 I just said, I'm not wearing gloves.
00:19:26.420 If people could get this from surfaces,
00:19:28.900 I reasoned, we'd just all be dead.
00:19:32.160 You know, or at least we'd all have it.
00:19:33.800 And it seemed to be sort of obvious early on
00:19:38.480 it couldn't be coming from surfaces
00:19:40.340 just because we'd all have it by then.
00:19:43.320 So I was right on that.
00:19:45.120 Surfaces don't seem to be a problem.
00:19:47.360 There was a lot of talk about hydroxychloroquine.
00:19:49.580 I was never on the side that it definitely works,
00:19:52.200 and I was never on the side that it definitely doesn't.
00:19:55.340 And we still don't know.
00:19:56.460 So I'm neither right nor wrong on that,
00:19:59.880 but at least I didn't commit to something
00:20:01.920 that could be wrong.
00:20:04.760 I believed, without being scientific about it,
00:20:08.200 I was fairly confident that all the worry
00:20:11.880 about the variants not being effective,
00:20:14.580 or that the vaccines wouldn't work against the variants,
00:20:17.940 I believe that was probably the news being a scaremongers,
00:20:22.540 meaning that the worry exceeded the actual risk.
00:20:27.300 And it looks like that's the case.
00:20:29.240 It looks like the vaccinations will work
00:20:32.080 against variants as well.
00:20:34.240 And I also thought that the vaccinations
00:20:36.320 would be safe enough.
00:20:38.820 Could there be some danger we find out later?
00:20:41.540 Yeah.
00:20:42.260 Could we find out that more people had problems
00:20:44.680 with the vaccinations, health problems?
00:20:47.720 Yeah, we could.
00:20:48.820 But I feel as though we already could say
00:20:53.700 that the vaccinations were a good idea.
00:20:57.420 Now, I got a vaccination,
00:20:59.120 so that tells you I thought that would be the case.
00:21:02.380 I've also been telling you
00:21:03.600 that this is not part of the Great Reset,
00:21:06.360 that there's not some coordinated plan
00:21:09.760 to change the world based on this.
00:21:12.920 Now, of course, the liberals and Joe Biden
00:21:15.280 are going to try to do as many liberal things as they can,
00:21:19.100 but that's just a result of the election.
00:21:21.440 That's not because of the pandemic.
00:21:23.320 So I don't think there was ever a Great Reset
00:21:25.500 any more than I believed QAnon,
00:21:27.520 and I think that that's turned out to be true.
00:21:30.980 I also told you that it would be the public
00:21:33.180 that decides when masks and social distancing is done,
00:21:37.540 not the government.
00:21:39.400 And I think I'm right.
00:21:40.880 I believe the public is leading the government
00:21:43.000 on the de-masking, and should.
00:21:45.440 That's the right way to do that.
00:21:47.600 And I also told you
00:21:49.260 that we would get to the end of the pandemic.
00:21:56.000 Sparky says you believe the MSM,
00:21:58.720 the mainstream media, longer than you should have.
00:22:01.600 Sparky, you need to give me a real reason,
00:22:03.800 like an actual topic.
00:22:05.620 You know, what are you talking about?
00:22:07.400 Don't make global statements like that.
00:22:09.520 That's what narcissists do.
00:22:10.760 A narcissist makes a global statement like,
00:22:14.140 you didn't believe,
00:22:15.320 or you believe the mainstream media too long.
00:22:18.640 What's that mean?
00:22:19.900 Give me a specific, right?
00:22:22.160 That's just basically a complaint about me.
00:22:25.540 That's not even talking about a topic.
00:22:28.880 So, and by the way, that's probably projection.
00:22:32.140 So Sparky, that probably is an indication
00:22:34.220 that you believed the media too long.
00:22:36.720 Don't know that for sure,
00:22:38.720 but that's typically what that would predict.
00:22:42.480 And sure enough,
00:22:43.700 we cannot tell whose leadership decisions
00:22:46.340 made a difference.
00:22:47.520 If you think that you can tell
00:22:49.040 if DeSantis was better than some other state,
00:22:54.020 I don't know if he can.
00:22:56.140 I just don't know if he can.
00:22:58.100 And you're saying to yourself,
00:22:59.180 but Scott,
00:23:00.480 DeSantis got to the same end point,
00:23:03.680 not that many difference,
00:23:05.100 not that much difference in dying.
00:23:07.260 He got to the same end point,
00:23:09.200 but with much lower unemployment.
00:23:12.420 So you can't compare.
00:23:14.200 They both had roughly the same outcome of deaths,
00:23:17.620 but one of them had much better employment numbers,
00:23:20.880 so that's the one that wins, right?
00:23:23.180 No.
00:23:24.100 Because we don't have an employment problem.
00:23:27.540 There is no unemployment problem.
00:23:29.700 So if one state has high unemployment
00:23:31.740 and one has lower unemployment,
00:23:34.660 it actually tells you nothing.
00:23:36.940 Nothing.
00:23:38.200 Because everybody who wants a job can get one.
00:23:42.040 It's just that in one state,
00:23:43.280 they're not looking for them.
00:23:44.780 Because maybe they have benefits,
00:23:46.600 maybe they just don't need it for whatever reason.
00:23:48.560 But there are plenty of jobs.
00:23:50.660 Just walk down the street.
00:23:51.760 There's help wanted on every business in my town.
00:23:56.580 So, no, you cannot determine
00:23:58.720 that anybody's leadership did better.
00:24:01.740 It may be true.
00:24:03.620 It could be true that leadership made a difference.
00:24:07.520 My prediction was
00:24:08.860 you wouldn't be able to see it in the data.
00:24:10.540 You just wouldn't be able to sort it out.
00:24:12.380 And I think that's true.
00:24:14.340 All right, so those were my predictions
00:24:16.820 and how they turned out.
00:24:18.320 And I would, rather than comparing yours to mine,
00:24:22.800 which is not really the point here,
00:24:24.540 what you should do
00:24:25.600 is compare your predictions to yourself.
00:24:30.560 How'd you do?
00:24:31.760 And if you predicted everything wrong,
00:24:34.600 take that into consideration next time.
00:24:38.700 Firebelly says,
00:24:39.440 I read influence like you recommended.
00:24:42.060 Do you think mask usage and policy
00:24:43.580 could be explained in part by social proof?
00:24:47.220 Yes, of course.
00:24:48.660 Yeah, people are influenced by other people
00:24:51.280 and especially if they're experts.
00:24:53.460 So, yes, that's part of the influence.
00:24:57.780 Michael says,
00:24:58.960 funny, three weeks ago you didn't believe in narcissism.
00:25:01.760 Now we're all narcissists.
00:25:03.180 Well, Michael, you are misinterpreting me,
00:25:06.900 as most of you do.
00:25:09.820 And it goes like this.
00:25:12.440 The narcissism that I didn't believe in before
00:25:15.660 is the same narcissism I don't believe in now
00:25:19.120 that hasn't changed.
00:25:21.960 Specifically, the people who think they're better
00:25:25.140 than you think they are,
00:25:26.660 they think well of themselves.
00:25:29.080 That alone,
00:25:30.440 if that's what you wanted to call narcissism,
00:25:32.400 that's sort of commonly how we think of it,
00:25:34.980 it's just somebody who's arrogant
00:25:36.000 and thinks they're better than other people.
00:25:38.220 What I said was,
00:25:40.060 that isn't a mental problem
00:25:41.780 because it can be an advantage.
00:25:44.780 So it's not a mental problem
00:25:46.260 if it helps you.
00:25:47.820 It's a mental problem if it hurts you
00:25:49.240 or hurts other people, I suppose.
00:25:51.860 But,
00:25:52.980 when I did a deeper dive,
00:25:54.720 it turns out there are
00:25:56.360 this constellation of behaviors
00:25:58.520 that are attributed to narcissism
00:26:01.340 that I did not know
00:26:02.840 operated in a consistent
00:26:04.360 code-like manner
00:26:06.220 that if somebody is in that category,
00:26:08.660 they will act with all of those behaviors.
00:26:11.360 Now, that was like a whole new topic.
00:26:13.560 So, did I change my mind
00:26:15.400 that narcissism
00:26:16.640 is real?
00:26:18.580 No.
00:26:19.580 The way I defined it before,
00:26:21.560 it's still not real
00:26:22.500 and science agrees with me.
00:26:24.480 The way I learned
00:26:27.320 it should be defined,
00:26:28.980 it has always been real
00:26:30.200 and I didn't have an opinion on it
00:26:31.660 because I just didn't know about it.
00:26:33.580 So,
00:26:34.780 I am better informed,
00:26:36.820 but I'm not wrong
00:26:38.940 about what I said before.
00:26:40.660 I'm actually completely right about that
00:26:42.820 and you can confirm it.
00:26:44.640 Just look up what
00:26:45.760 experts say about
00:26:47.820 grandiose narcissism.
00:26:50.420 They will tell you
00:26:51.140 it's not necessarily a problem
00:26:52.580 for the person who has it.
00:26:54.000 It might make them
00:26:54.720 exceed their expectations.
00:26:58.680 Galen says,
00:26:59.520 if I am negatively affected
00:27:01.160 by social proof,
00:27:03.000 does that make me a narcissist?
00:27:04.860 Meaning if you do
00:27:05.740 the opposite of the crowd?
00:27:07.280 I don't think that makes you
00:27:08.240 a narcissist,
00:27:09.200 but it might make you a
00:27:10.340 whatever is contrarian,
00:27:13.980 I guess.
00:27:15.220 All right.
00:27:16.780 Have you noticed
00:27:17.580 that the stories in the press
00:27:19.240 about inflation
00:27:20.240 are all confusing
00:27:22.120 and contradictory
00:27:23.000 and terrible?
00:27:24.860 Because
00:27:25.300 inflation is one
00:27:27.400 of those things
00:27:27.980 that I think
00:27:29.400 even economists
00:27:30.200 don't fully understand.
00:27:32.580 So,
00:27:32.800 by the time a journalist
00:27:33.760 tries to write about it,
00:27:36.760 by the time a journalist
00:27:40.800 tries to write about inflation,
00:27:42.500 they're misinterpreting
00:27:43.500 somebody who's
00:27:44.100 misinterpreting something
00:27:45.100 and it's just garbage
00:27:46.080 by the time you're done.
00:27:46.900 So,
00:27:47.760 what we're seeing
00:27:48.280 in the headlines
00:27:48.920 is lots of scare stories
00:27:51.020 about inflation,
00:27:52.580 which when you dig down
00:27:53.700 just a little bit,
00:27:54.960 and actually it could be
00:27:55.840 in the story itself.
00:27:56.920 So,
00:27:57.100 the headline can be
00:27:57.920 a scare you
00:27:59.200 about inflation
00:27:59.920 and then you dig down
00:28:01.420 and you find out
00:28:02.060 it's just supply disruptions.
00:28:04.620 Most of it is because
00:28:05.640 of the bounce back
00:28:06.460 of the economy.
00:28:07.940 So,
00:28:08.420 the economy is bouncing back
00:28:09.740 at the same time
00:28:10.520 that some of the supply chains
00:28:11.840 were impacted
00:28:12.680 by the pandemic.
00:28:14.160 so there's just
00:28:15.420 a temporary price increase
00:28:16.880 because there's a supply
00:28:17.960 and demand problem.
00:28:19.540 So,
00:28:20.100 that looks like
00:28:20.980 inflation.
00:28:22.740 Our energy costs
00:28:23.880 are going high
00:28:24.760 because the pipeline
00:28:25.640 got stopped
00:28:26.520 and some other
00:28:27.420 green concerns,
00:28:29.640 but that has nothing
00:28:30.600 to do with inflation
00:28:31.800 per se.
00:28:32.900 Those are special cases
00:28:34.160 and usually temporary.
00:28:36.520 So,
00:28:37.420 is there a baseline
00:28:39.260 inflation?
00:28:41.240 We actually don't
00:28:42.460 really know yet.
00:28:43.300 There should be.
00:28:44.780 I mean,
00:28:45.000 all of the forces
00:28:45.820 are in play
00:28:46.460 that we should see inflation.
00:28:48.880 I don't know
00:28:49.340 how we could not.
00:28:50.700 But,
00:28:51.160 we're not seeing it yet.
00:28:52.620 We're seeing
00:28:53.120 mostly special cases.
00:28:55.500 So,
00:28:56.000 just be aware
00:28:57.360 that the headlines
00:28:58.280 are sort of
00:28:58.940 scaremongering
00:28:59.900 about inflation
00:29:00.980 at the moment,
00:29:02.580 but that doesn't mean
00:29:03.520 they're wrong.
00:29:04.480 You know,
00:29:04.680 it could be that
00:29:05.420 it's going to emerge.
00:29:06.700 We just haven't seen it
00:29:07.620 exactly yet,
00:29:09.300 but it's being reported
00:29:10.460 as if we are.
00:29:11.220 here's a related
00:29:15.960 scary story.
00:29:17.400 Have you noticed
00:29:18.000 that QAnon stuff
00:29:19.760 is just missing
00:29:20.800 from the internet now?
00:29:22.500 Remember all those
00:29:23.320 Twitter accounts
00:29:24.160 you'd see
00:29:24.760 and all the
00:29:25.420 QAnon people?
00:29:27.520 And you'd see them
00:29:28.100 all the time,
00:29:29.040 even if you were
00:29:29.800 not one of them,
00:29:31.040 at least if you
00:29:31.940 tweet to the people
00:29:33.540 I tweet to.
00:29:34.080 and the news
00:29:36.520 on Axios
00:29:37.340 is that
00:29:38.060 researchers
00:29:39.120 from the Atlantic
00:29:39.960 Council's
00:29:40.640 Digital Forensic Lab
00:29:41.960 found that the volume
00:29:43.720 of QAnon content
00:29:44.700 available online
00:29:45.480 plummeted
00:29:46.200 following the
00:29:48.080 moderation changes
00:29:49.200 at Google,
00:29:49.920 Facebook,
00:29:50.360 and Twitter.
00:29:51.280 So,
00:29:51.520 in other words,
00:29:52.260 Google,
00:29:52.620 Facebook,
00:29:53.000 and Twitter
00:29:53.360 started looking
00:29:54.940 for content
00:29:55.660 that would have
00:29:56.360 classic QAnon
00:29:58.060 references in it
00:29:58.980 and just got rid
00:30:00.080 of it.
00:30:00.360 Now,
00:30:02.040 they succeeded.
00:30:04.740 Now,
00:30:05.260 I'm not,
00:30:05.740 I don't think
00:30:06.340 that the world
00:30:06.840 is worse off
00:30:07.740 because Q
00:30:09.060 went away.
00:30:09.900 And by the way,
00:30:10.940 do you know
00:30:11.320 that Q
00:30:11.740 stopped posting?
00:30:13.780 So,
00:30:14.580 if you believed
00:30:15.260 in Q,
00:30:17.240 do you still?
00:30:18.880 Really?
00:30:19.640 Because Q
00:30:20.460 kind of went away.
00:30:22.000 Q's gone.
00:30:23.720 So,
00:30:24.500 the internet
00:30:25.220 and the big
00:30:26.580 platforms
00:30:27.280 made an entire
00:30:28.660 category of thing
00:30:29.960 just go away.
00:30:31.720 In this case,
00:30:32.800 was it a good idea
00:30:33.720 or a bad idea?
00:30:34.600 Well,
00:30:34.900 it probably
00:30:35.220 didn't hurt anybody.
00:30:36.680 I don't think
00:30:37.120 anybody got hurt
00:30:37.880 by this.
00:30:38.960 But,
00:30:39.520 what happens
00:30:40.080 the next time
00:30:40.660 they want to
00:30:41.000 make something
00:30:41.420 go away?
00:30:43.140 Look how
00:30:43.920 easily
00:30:44.540 they made
00:30:45.860 this go away.
00:30:47.660 They just
00:30:48.520 made it go away.
00:30:51.200 They can do
00:30:52.100 this with any
00:30:52.780 story.
00:30:54.000 They don't
00:30:54.440 just do it
00:30:55.260 on stories
00:30:56.020 that probably
00:30:57.500 were better off
00:30:58.340 without,
00:30:59.220 like QAnon.
00:30:59.960 they could
00:31:00.940 do this
00:31:01.320 with anything.
00:31:03.460 And,
00:31:03.800 I don't know
00:31:04.780 what could be
00:31:05.220 scarier than
00:31:05.960 watching them
00:31:06.580 disappear
00:31:07.120 in an entire
00:31:07.700 category of
00:31:08.520 people
00:31:09.340 from the
00:31:09.940 internet.
00:31:11.460 So,
00:31:12.060 that should
00:31:12.360 alarm you.
00:31:13.940 Let's talk
00:31:14.360 about the
00:31:14.740 worst persuasion
00:31:16.220 I've ever
00:31:17.220 seen.
00:31:18.520 Honestly.
00:31:19.540 Good luck
00:31:20.340 finding a
00:31:21.080 worse example.
00:31:21.840 rebel asked
00:31:28.380 me how much
00:31:28.920 I prepare
00:31:29.580 for this.
00:31:31.580 Well,
00:31:31.780 I'll show
00:31:32.040 you.
00:31:33.060 So,
00:31:33.520 what I do
00:31:34.000 is I
00:31:34.760 copy and
00:31:35.780 paste from
00:31:36.580 articles and
00:31:37.320 tweets,
00:31:38.400 and then I
00:31:40.200 just have
00:31:40.980 notes.
00:31:42.100 So,
00:31:42.580 I don't have
00:31:43.080 too many
00:31:43.440 notes about
00:31:43.900 what I'm
00:31:44.160 going to
00:31:44.360 talk about
00:31:44.940 because I
00:31:45.360 usually know
00:31:45.860 what my
00:31:46.220 opinion is,
00:31:47.200 and I just
00:31:47.800 remind myself
00:31:48.500 what the
00:31:48.840 topic is.
00:31:49.380 and I
00:31:50.640 might put
00:31:50.980 a note
00:31:51.440 or two
00:31:51.740 about just
00:31:52.420 to remind
00:31:52.760 myself what
00:31:53.360 points to
00:31:53.820 make.
00:31:55.440 But,
00:31:56.000 interesting
00:31:56.300 question.
00:31:57.460 Yeah,
00:31:57.680 and a lot
00:31:58.000 of this is
00:31:58.480 practice.
00:32:00.060 So,
00:32:00.420 if to do
00:32:01.980 what I do
00:32:02.500 now,
00:32:03.500 I've been
00:32:03.900 doing it
00:32:04.380 four or
00:32:05.200 five years
00:32:05.700 now,
00:32:06.280 something like
00:32:06.800 that,
00:32:07.840 practice
00:32:09.580 makes a
00:32:10.000 big difference.
00:32:11.200 Big
00:32:11.520 difference.
00:32:13.360 All right.
00:32:14.140 So,
00:32:14.340 yeah,
00:32:14.560 bullet points
00:32:15.120 are the only
00:32:15.500 way to go
00:32:15.920 here.
00:32:16.880 So,
00:32:17.240 Hamas,
00:32:18.240 the leader
00:32:19.240 whose name
00:32:20.420 is maybe
00:32:22.600 Yahya
00:32:24.000 Sinwar.
00:32:25.660 Are you
00:32:26.060 serious?
00:32:26.740 I just
00:32:27.080 noticed his
00:32:27.680 last name
00:32:28.300 is Sinwar.
00:32:31.320 S-I-N-W-A-R.
00:32:36.560 They put
00:32:37.420 together
00:32:37.760 sin and
00:32:39.300 war and
00:32:40.640 made the
00:32:40.960 last name
00:32:41.500 of the
00:32:41.780 guy who
00:32:42.080 was the
00:32:42.280 head of
00:32:42.540 Hamas.
00:32:44.040 And his
00:32:44.660 first name
00:32:45.080 is Yahya.
00:32:46.280 Yahya,
00:32:47.100 sin,
00:32:47.800 war.
00:32:49.240 If this
00:32:50.940 is not
00:32:51.280 the
00:32:51.600 simulation
00:32:52.320 talking to
00:32:52.980 us,
00:32:53.360 I don't
00:32:54.060 know what
00:32:54.360 is.
00:32:54.860 I mean,
00:32:55.180 really.
00:32:56.200 Anyway,
00:32:56.920 so this
00:32:57.300 asshole who's
00:32:58.060 been hiding
00:32:58.540 from the
00:32:59.120 Israeli bombs,
00:33:00.460 he decided
00:33:01.140 to come out
00:33:01.740 in public
00:33:02.100 so people
00:33:02.660 could see
00:33:03.040 he's real.
00:33:03.900 And what
00:33:04.280 does he
00:33:04.560 decide to
00:33:05.060 do?
00:33:05.660 He decides
00:33:06.200 to hold
00:33:06.700 up for
00:33:07.000 the camera
00:33:07.420 a young
00:33:08.400 child and
00:33:09.720 to make
00:33:10.080 sure that
00:33:10.440 the young
00:33:11.240 child is
00:33:11.820 holding the
00:33:12.960 assault rifle
00:33:13.740 just right
00:33:14.420 and is
00:33:15.220 wearing
00:33:15.500 camouflage.
00:33:16.080 So he's
00:33:17.120 basically
00:33:17.500 holding up
00:33:18.040 a child,
00:33:19.580 like just
00:33:19.920 a little
00:33:20.300 child,
00:33:21.320 with an
00:33:22.220 army military
00:33:23.180 gun to
00:33:24.700 show that
00:33:25.100 even the
00:33:25.520 children are
00:33:26.200 willing to
00:33:26.700 die for
00:33:27.440 Hamas,
00:33:28.760 I guess.
00:33:29.980 And I
00:33:31.420 thought to
00:33:31.780 myself,
00:33:32.540 what is the
00:33:33.700 one thing
00:33:34.360 that Hamas
00:33:35.080 has going
00:33:35.640 for it?
00:33:36.580 Just one
00:33:37.080 thing.
00:33:38.080 They have
00:33:38.840 one thing
00:33:39.520 going for
00:33:40.020 them,
00:33:40.780 which is
00:33:41.900 their human
00:33:42.440 shields,
00:33:43.660 their children
00:33:44.360 in particular.
00:33:45.120 We care
00:33:46.140 more about
00:33:46.560 the children
00:33:47.080 just because
00:33:47.780 we do.
00:33:49.720 So they
00:33:50.480 had one
00:33:51.180 thing to
00:33:51.740 protect,
00:33:52.980 one thing
00:33:53.980 to get
00:33:54.360 right.
00:33:55.200 Hey,
00:33:55.620 Israel,
00:33:56.480 you're
00:33:57.020 killing our
00:33:57.520 children.
00:33:58.080 It's all
00:33:58.380 they had.
00:33:59.560 They had
00:34:00.060 one thing.
00:34:01.220 And this
00:34:01.720 fucking
00:34:02.280 asshole
00:34:02.780 takes a
00:34:04.660 Palestinian
00:34:05.240 child and
00:34:07.180 does the
00:34:07.800 only thing
00:34:08.420 you could
00:34:08.780 do with
00:34:09.140 a child
00:34:09.660 to make
00:34:10.460 people want
00:34:11.000 to kill
00:34:11.320 it.
00:34:13.080 The only
00:34:13.800 thing.
00:34:14.080 the only
00:34:15.040 thing you
00:34:15.480 could do
00:34:15.920 to make
00:34:16.740 an ordinary
00:34:17.360 person
00:34:17.960 want to
00:34:19.060 want to
00:34:20.480 kill a
00:34:21.320 child is
00:34:22.460 to do
00:34:22.700 what he
00:34:22.960 did.
00:34:23.680 Dress
00:34:23.940 him up
00:34:24.240 as a
00:34:24.520 terrorist
00:34:24.900 and show
00:34:25.360 that that
00:34:25.720 child will
00:34:26.240 kill you.
00:34:27.600 And then
00:34:27.840 I say,
00:34:28.240 fuck it,
00:34:28.560 I'll kill
00:34:28.840 that child.
00:34:30.600 I'm probably
00:34:31.120 going to get
00:34:31.520 kicked off
00:34:31.980 of YouTube
00:34:32.260 for this.
00:34:33.600 But how
00:34:34.680 did you
00:34:34.980 feel when
00:34:36.400 you saw
00:34:36.700 the kid?
00:34:37.820 Now,
00:34:38.200 I don't
00:34:38.420 know how
00:34:38.800 it felt
00:34:39.360 internally.
00:34:40.920 Did all
00:34:41.800 of the
00:34:42.140 Hamas
00:34:42.680 people say,
00:34:43.860 well,
00:34:44.040 that's
00:34:44.300 great,
00:34:44.780 yeah,
00:34:45.240 children,
00:34:46.140 let's send
00:34:46.560 our children
00:34:46.980 to die,
00:34:47.640 yes,
00:34:48.280 yes.
00:34:49.040 Is that
00:34:49.400 what they
00:34:49.680 said?
00:34:50.600 Because maybe,
00:34:51.460 I mean,
00:34:51.720 I don't know
00:34:52.140 the culture
00:34:52.620 well enough,
00:34:53.840 maybe it
00:34:54.480 worked for
00:34:55.820 internally.
00:34:57.520 But he's
00:34:58.300 not just
00:34:59.060 persuading
00:34:59.720 internally,
00:35:00.900 he's persuading
00:35:02.100 the world.
00:35:03.180 And he took
00:35:03.620 his only
00:35:04.220 asset,
00:35:05.200 the only
00:35:05.800 asset,
00:35:06.680 is that we
00:35:07.160 cared about
00:35:07.720 them.
00:35:08.760 And we
00:35:09.200 cared about
00:35:09.560 the children
00:35:10.060 in particular.
00:35:11.240 It's all
00:35:11.620 they had.
00:35:12.820 And they
00:35:13.220 made me
00:35:13.800 not care
00:35:14.380 about their
00:35:14.820 children.
00:35:16.180 All right,
00:35:16.400 now I'm
00:35:16.680 exaggerating,
00:35:17.360 right?
00:35:17.920 But persuasion
00:35:19.200 wise,
00:35:20.040 they persuaded
00:35:20.820 toward making
00:35:21.840 us care less
00:35:22.860 about killing
00:35:24.220 their children.
00:35:26.980 Do you see
00:35:27.840 how bad
00:35:28.300 that is?
00:35:29.960 I've never
00:35:30.720 even seen
00:35:31.740 leadership
00:35:32.820 this bad.
00:35:34.240 I didn't
00:35:34.740 know it
00:35:35.140 could be
00:35:35.640 this bad.
00:35:36.960 I didn't
00:35:37.300 know you
00:35:37.720 could even,
00:35:38.600 if you tried
00:35:39.260 as hard as
00:35:39.860 you could
00:35:40.280 to come
00:35:40.600 up with
00:35:40.960 what's the
00:35:41.680 worst thing
00:35:42.220 we can do
00:35:42.720 to our
00:35:43.040 own people,
00:35:44.780 you'd have
00:35:45.340 to look
00:35:45.680 pretty hard
00:35:46.200 to come
00:35:46.500 up with
00:35:46.760 something
00:35:47.000 this bad.
00:35:48.520 Now compare
00:35:49.060 that to
00:35:49.900 Israel,
00:35:51.060 who immediately
00:35:52.080 took this
00:35:52.720 and tweeted
00:35:53.820 it around
00:35:54.360 and said,
00:35:55.040 look at
00:35:55.300 this,
00:35:56.620 Israel,
00:35:57.460 A plus,
00:35:58.940 persuasion.
00:36:00.340 Hamas,
00:36:01.980 F,
00:36:02.880 you can't
00:36:03.980 fail harder
00:36:04.560 than this.
00:36:05.880 This is the
00:36:06.680 worst persuasion
00:36:07.620 I've ever
00:36:08.060 seen.
00:36:08.340 Now,
00:36:09.460 I'm giving
00:36:11.360 it the
00:36:11.800 Dilbert
00:36:12.660 bad leadership,
00:36:14.980 bad management
00:36:15.940 label,
00:36:16.920 which in
00:36:17.680 America might
00:36:18.320 mean something,
00:36:19.000 but I don't
00:36:19.740 think it'll
00:36:20.140 change Hamas.
00:36:22.100 But it
00:36:22.920 should be
00:36:23.260 worth noting
00:36:23.860 that
00:36:24.640 perhaps one
00:36:27.380 of the
00:36:27.580 most public
00:36:29.600 critics of
00:36:30.740 management
00:36:31.240 has just
00:36:32.600 labeled Hamas
00:36:33.420 poorly managed.
00:36:34.320 So on
00:36:34.900 top of
00:36:35.300 whatever the
00:36:35.760 politics are,
00:36:37.240 even divorcing
00:36:38.560 from the
00:36:39.020 politics of
00:36:39.700 it all,
00:36:40.260 which is
00:36:40.560 hard,
00:36:41.420 but you
00:36:41.760 can do
00:36:42.100 it.
00:36:42.680 If you
00:36:42.940 just look
00:36:43.320 at the
00:36:43.600 talent,
00:36:44.680 just look
00:36:45.100 at the
00:36:45.360 skill,
00:36:46.680 none.
00:36:47.940 None.
00:36:49.520 Hamas,
00:36:50.040 you just
00:36:50.400 need to
00:36:50.800 get some
00:36:51.340 leadership
00:36:51.680 there.
00:36:53.000 Fix
00:36:53.320 that.
00:36:53.880 Jeez.
00:36:55.020 All right,
00:36:55.420 speaking of
00:36:55.940 persuasion,
00:36:57.520 and speaking
00:36:58.140 of epic
00:36:58.820 times,
00:37:00.040 Adrian Norman,
00:37:00.760 who is
00:37:01.780 author and
00:37:02.280 writer and
00:37:03.560 contributes to
00:37:04.480 the epic
00:37:04.820 times,
00:37:06.140 tweeted this.
00:37:06.800 He said
00:37:07.200 that books
00:37:08.840 by Scott
00:37:09.540 Adams,
00:37:10.300 that's me,
00:37:11.780 should be
00:37:12.300 required reading
00:37:13.180 for black
00:37:13.780 conservative
00:37:14.420 pundits and
00:37:15.180 influencers.
00:37:16.540 Many of
00:37:17.020 us,
00:37:17.560 he's black
00:37:19.040 so he can
00:37:19.600 say this,
00:37:20.080 many of us
00:37:20.660 lack real
00:37:21.780 persuasion
00:37:22.260 skills,
00:37:22.780 thus alienating
00:37:23.620 the very
00:37:24.100 audience we
00:37:24.840 claim to
00:37:25.360 want to
00:37:25.780 reach before
00:37:27.080 that audience
00:37:27.720 even hears
00:37:28.320 the good
00:37:28.700 news of
00:37:29.220 conservatism.
00:37:30.760 And I
00:37:32.620 would,
00:37:34.320 let's say
00:37:35.880 arrogantly,
00:37:37.860 I will
00:37:39.460 narcissistically
00:37:40.920 agree with
00:37:41.780 this statement
00:37:42.280 that it
00:37:43.620 doesn't have
00:37:44.040 to be me,
00:37:44.820 I mean it
00:37:45.100 doesn't have
00:37:45.400 to be my
00:37:45.900 books that
00:37:46.340 you're reading,
00:37:47.200 but black
00:37:47.860 America just
00:37:49.320 needs to
00:37:50.000 improve their
00:37:51.540 persuasion
00:37:52.060 skills.
00:37:53.120 Because if
00:37:54.100 you want
00:37:54.580 black America
00:37:55.540 to thrive,
00:37:56.940 and I do,
00:37:58.580 you've got to
00:37:59.220 get the
00:37:59.540 persuasion
00:38:00.060 right.
00:38:00.760 You've got
00:38:01.240 to get
00:38:01.460 that right.
00:38:02.500 And they
00:38:03.000 don't have
00:38:03.260 it even
00:38:03.520 close to
00:38:04.000 being right,
00:38:04.700 and it
00:38:05.160 looks like
00:38:05.580 maybe they're
00:38:06.060 not studying
00:38:07.200 it in the
00:38:07.680 right way.
00:38:08.960 So certainly
00:38:11.960 as Adrian
00:38:13.320 points out,
00:38:14.620 Adrian Norman
00:38:15.240 points out that
00:38:16.180 black conservatives
00:38:17.140 such as
00:38:18.000 himself are
00:38:19.320 finding value
00:38:20.100 in learning
00:38:20.560 to persuade.
00:38:21.980 So I
00:38:22.500 would,
00:38:22.800 I amplify
00:38:23.980 that point.
00:38:24.720 You don't
00:38:24.900 have to read
00:38:25.320 my books,
00:38:25.900 you could
00:38:26.140 read Cialdini,
00:38:28.860 Influence is a
00:38:30.000 great book,
00:38:30.520 that's a
00:38:30.860 good place
00:38:31.200 to start.
00:38:33.580 Trump has
00:38:34.260 legal problems
00:38:34.980 with the
00:38:35.440 state of
00:38:35.800 New York.
00:38:37.220 And I
00:38:38.000 was amused
00:38:38.760 to watch a
00:38:39.380 legal analyst
00:38:40.280 on CNN,
00:38:42.140 he said he
00:38:42.680 wanted to
00:38:43.180 warn the
00:38:43.780 audience.
00:38:46.340 And it's
00:38:47.080 funny that he
00:38:47.620 would have to
00:38:48.040 put it that
00:38:48.480 way.
00:38:49.200 I'd like to
00:38:49.980 caution the
00:38:50.580 audience that
00:38:52.500 it doesn't
00:38:53.220 mean Trump's
00:38:53.920 going to get
00:38:54.540 convicted of
00:38:56.160 anything,
00:38:56.480 or even
00:38:56.920 indicted.
00:38:58.260 And here
00:38:59.460 are the
00:38:59.720 points made
00:39:00.720 why Trump
00:39:01.560 may not
00:39:02.220 be in as
00:39:03.280 big a
00:39:03.660 danger as
00:39:04.420 you think.
00:39:05.340 And these
00:39:05.680 are interesting
00:39:06.140 points.
00:39:07.320 Number one,
00:39:08.500 Trump doesn't
00:39:09.200 use email.
00:39:11.140 Looks pretty
00:39:12.000 smart now,
00:39:12.760 doesn't it?
00:39:14.300 Trump doesn't
00:39:15.280 use email.
00:39:16.380 So in order
00:39:17.120 for Trump
00:39:17.600 himself to
00:39:18.260 be in
00:39:18.520 trouble,
00:39:19.140 as opposed
00:39:19.680 to the
00:39:20.040 organization,
00:39:20.920 which would
00:39:21.240 be less
00:39:22.060 of a jail
00:39:23.660 threat to
00:39:24.560 Trump,
00:39:24.880 in order
00:39:26.400 to show
00:39:26.780 that Trump
00:39:27.180 personally was
00:39:28.440 aware of
00:39:28.920 anything that
00:39:29.460 may or may
00:39:29.860 not have
00:39:30.200 happened,
00:39:31.120 you're going
00:39:31.540 to need
00:39:31.920 either,
00:39:33.600 you either
00:39:34.020 need him
00:39:34.540 to admit
00:39:34.980 it,
00:39:36.120 that's not
00:39:36.860 going to
00:39:37.040 happen,
00:39:37.740 you need
00:39:38.240 a record
00:39:39.500 that he
00:39:40.320 wrote,
00:39:40.880 ideally,
00:39:41.400 not somebody
00:39:41.940 talking about
00:39:42.640 him,
00:39:43.360 but something
00:39:43.800 that he
00:39:44.180 wrote,
00:39:44.660 ideally.
00:39:45.380 Could be
00:39:45.780 contemporaneous
00:39:46.520 notes,
00:39:47.020 but I don't
00:39:47.380 know that we
00:39:47.740 have any.
00:39:48.840 And he
00:39:50.300 doesn't use
00:39:50.720 email,
00:39:51.440 so there's
00:39:51.800 probably nothing
00:39:52.360 in writing.
00:39:53.900 And then if
00:39:54.520 you don't
00:39:54.780 have that,
00:39:55.460 you usually
00:39:55.980 depend on
00:39:56.680 an insider
00:39:57.520 who flips.
00:39:59.760 Most of
00:40:00.380 the insiders,
00:40:01.220 it's a very
00:40:01.600 small number
00:40:02.220 of people
00:40:02.620 who have
00:40:02.940 worked there
00:40:03.440 for a long
00:40:03.940 time.
00:40:04.920 Do you
00:40:05.200 think they're
00:40:05.580 going to
00:40:05.780 flip?
00:40:08.620 Probably
00:40:09.060 not.
00:40:10.400 Probably
00:40:10.700 not.
00:40:11.640 And then
00:40:12.080 beyond that,
00:40:13.040 I think
00:40:13.440 there's going
00:40:13.860 to be an
00:40:14.220 opinion and
00:40:14.980 a judgment
00:40:15.500 question.
00:40:17.000 So here's
00:40:17.840 what I don't
00:40:18.420 think it is.
00:40:19.320 I don't
00:40:19.760 think you're
00:40:20.200 going to
00:40:20.320 find like
00:40:20.860 a falsified
00:40:22.560 document.
00:40:23.140 We would
00:40:24.480 already know
00:40:24.940 about that,
00:40:25.480 I think.
00:40:26.100 So I don't
00:40:26.560 think you'll
00:40:26.900 find a
00:40:27.240 document that
00:40:28.000 somebody just
00:40:28.540 changed a
00:40:29.500 number on,
00:40:30.360 you know,
00:40:30.520 something like
00:40:31.080 really obvious
00:40:32.200 like that.
00:40:32.660 It won't
00:40:32.780 be that.
00:40:34.500 I'm guessing,
00:40:35.680 and this is
00:40:36.180 just speculation
00:40:37.080 at this point,
00:40:38.240 that there's
00:40:38.880 going to be a
00:40:39.340 real judgment
00:40:40.200 involved here.
00:40:41.940 In other
00:40:42.340 words,
00:40:42.580 it will be
00:40:42.840 this point
00:40:43.320 where somebody
00:40:43.860 says,
00:40:44.440 the value
00:40:45.240 of this
00:40:45.640 building that
00:40:46.300 you said
00:40:46.740 for getting
00:40:47.200 a loan
00:40:47.740 was X,
00:40:49.220 but when
00:40:49.800 you valued
00:40:50.380 the business
00:40:51.200 for paying
00:40:52.200 property tax,
00:40:53.200 you said it
00:40:53.660 was a lower
00:40:54.220 value.
00:40:55.120 They can't
00:40:55.620 both be
00:40:56.100 true,
00:40:56.600 can they?
00:40:57.840 But here's
00:40:58.320 the thing,
00:40:59.600 they can be,
00:41:00.820 they can both
00:41:01.460 be true,
00:41:02.240 they can be
00:41:02.780 different numbers
00:41:03.440 and both be
00:41:04.000 true.
00:41:04.720 Because one
00:41:05.480 is a lending
00:41:07.160 context,
00:41:08.100 one is a
00:41:08.620 property tax
00:41:09.360 context,
00:41:10.360 and you do
00:41:11.340 have the option
00:41:12.180 of treating
00:41:13.020 them differently.
00:41:14.340 In fact,
00:41:14.740 it's not even
00:41:15.240 uncommon.
00:41:16.580 So I think
00:41:17.300 it's going to
00:41:17.680 come down to
00:41:18.200 some kind
00:41:18.620 of a judgment
00:41:19.160 call,
00:41:19.600 and I
00:41:20.520 don't know
00:41:20.840 if anybody
00:41:21.260 gets convicted
00:41:22.540 for that.
00:41:23.640 It looks
00:41:24.180 political.
00:41:25.620 And I
00:41:27.300 tried to
00:41:28.160 speak very,
00:41:29.240 very carefully.
00:41:32.580 Oh,
00:41:33.140 I'm going to
00:41:33.400 have to sign
00:41:34.120 off here real
00:41:34.660 soon.
00:41:35.540 I tried to
00:41:36.120 speak very
00:41:37.060 carefully on
00:41:38.560 this topic,
00:41:39.500 which is,
00:41:41.160 I feel,
00:41:42.280 when I see
00:41:43.000 Trump being
00:41:43.880 chased legally,
00:41:45.880 and I don't
00:41:46.680 see strong
00:41:47.520 charges,
00:41:48.060 so we're
00:41:49.500 not aware
00:41:49.960 of any
00:41:50.320 charges that
00:41:50.940 look good
00:41:52.680 at this
00:41:53.040 point,
00:41:53.300 right?
00:41:55.460 I take
00:41:56.200 it personally.
00:41:57.420 I feel
00:41:57.880 like Trump
00:41:58.520 is sort
00:41:59.900 of the
00:42:00.160 canary in
00:42:00.720 the coal
00:42:01.040 mine that
00:42:01.720 protects the
00:42:02.460 rest of us
00:42:03.080 who have
00:42:03.340 ever said
00:42:03.800 anything
00:42:04.120 positive
00:42:04.620 about we
00:42:05.080 have more
00:42:05.440 politics or
00:42:06.280 conservatism
00:42:07.540 or any
00:42:07.880 of that.
00:42:08.580 I feel
00:42:09.060 like if
00:42:10.300 Trump goes
00:42:10.960 down for
00:42:11.540 charges that
00:42:12.280 I personally
00:42:13.100 feel are
00:42:13.780 bullshit,
00:42:14.840 I'm going
00:42:15.920 to take it
00:42:16.340 personally.
00:42:16.780 Let me
00:42:17.880 say that
00:42:18.240 again.
00:42:19.120 If Trump
00:42:19.940 does go
00:42:20.660 down, or
00:42:21.320 even if
00:42:21.660 they try
00:42:22.020 to take
00:42:22.380 him down,
00:42:23.400 on charges
00:42:24.200 that the
00:42:24.880 rest of us
00:42:25.440 look at and
00:42:25.980 say, that's
00:42:26.460 just bullshit,
00:42:27.800 I'm taking it
00:42:28.680 personally.
00:42:30.040 Like, this
00:42:30.660 isn't politics
00:42:31.380 anymore.
00:42:32.360 This is
00:42:32.840 personal.
00:42:34.040 And let me
00:42:34.420 say as
00:42:35.180 clearly as I
00:42:35.840 can, no
00:42:36.440 violence,
00:42:37.020 right?
00:42:37.620 Nobody, I'm
00:42:38.520 not suggesting
00:42:39.040 any violence,
00:42:40.160 it doesn't
00:42:40.620 help anybody.
00:42:41.700 Won't get you
00:42:42.320 what you want,
00:42:43.180 won't get you
00:42:43.720 anything, don't
00:42:44.540 do any violence.
00:42:45.220 But, would
00:42:47.220 I act
00:42:47.780 differently if
00:42:48.480 I take it
00:42:48.960 personally?
00:42:49.460 Yeah, I
00:42:49.740 would.
00:42:50.400 Yeah, I'm
00:42:50.780 going to act
00:42:51.300 differently, I'm
00:42:52.080 not going to
00:42:52.340 do anything
00:42:52.660 violent, but
00:42:53.900 I'm definitely
00:42:54.660 acting differently
00:42:55.480 if I take
00:42:56.840 this personally.
00:43:00.160 And I
00:43:00.820 would like to
00:43:01.320 call out
00:43:01.820 Marjorie Taylor
00:43:02.800 Green for
00:43:03.920 one of the
00:43:04.400 greatest services
00:43:05.560 to humankind,
00:43:07.200 certainly in
00:43:07.740 America, that
00:43:08.920 I have ever
00:43:09.420 seen.
00:43:10.320 I'd like you
00:43:11.020 all to join
00:43:11.680 me in a
00:43:12.540 standing ovation.
00:43:13.480 Let me tell
00:43:13.980 you why
00:43:14.340 first.
00:43:15.480 Don't
00:43:15.600 stand, don't
00:43:16.200 clap yet.
00:43:17.720 Marjorie Taylor
00:43:18.480 Green, for
00:43:20.080 all of her
00:43:20.740 faults, you
00:43:21.520 may have some
00:43:23.000 criticisms
00:43:23.500 yourself, but
00:43:24.840 for all of
00:43:25.380 her faults, she
00:43:26.780 is doing one
00:43:27.400 of the greatest
00:43:27.920 things I've
00:43:28.700 ever seen any
00:43:29.540 American patriot
00:43:30.340 ever do.
00:43:31.620 She has made
00:43:32.340 the left argue
00:43:34.140 that you
00:43:34.940 shouldn't make
00:43:35.620 Hitler analogies.
00:43:38.480 Join me now
00:43:39.560 in a standing
00:43:41.000 ovation for
00:43:43.000 Marjorie Taylor
00:43:43.720 Green, successfully
00:43:45.340 making the
00:43:46.000 left argue in
00:43:47.000 public and
00:43:47.560 consistently that
00:43:48.900 it's ridiculous
00:43:49.540 to make Hitler
00:43:50.920 and Holocaust
00:43:52.160 analogies.
00:43:53.200 Thank you,
00:43:53.860 thank you,
00:43:54.500 thank you.
00:43:55.200 And if we
00:43:55.840 could just put
00:43:56.380 her on Mount
00:43:58.560 Rushmore, just
00:43:59.880 for that.
00:44:01.060 I mean, she
00:44:01.700 may do some
00:44:02.260 more good
00:44:02.680 things in the
00:44:03.200 future, but
00:44:04.300 just for that.
00:44:05.860 That's it.
00:44:06.560 Just that.
00:44:07.940 Just start
00:44:08.520 carving.
00:44:09.740 Just, you
00:44:10.260 know, just
00:44:10.680 start carving.
00:44:12.300 Putting it
00:44:12.660 right up there
00:44:13.180 because nobody's
00:44:13.880 done anything
00:44:14.260 better than that
00:44:14.880 all year.
00:44:16.100 And that is
00:44:17.400 the end of
00:44:18.480 today's version
00:44:19.800 of Coffee
00:44:21.200 with Scott
00:44:21.560 Adams.
00:44:21.960 I think it's
00:44:22.400 the best one
00:44:22.820 you've ever
00:44:23.200 seen.
00:44:23.900 Until tomorrow.
00:44:25.340 And, yes,
00:44:28.340 Sparky, two-tier
00:44:29.140 justices.
00:44:30.080 And we will see
00:44:30.980 you tomorrow.
00:44:31.740 Thank you.