Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1387 Scott Adams： Persuasion Hits and Misses, Including Hamas, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Inflation, QANON and More

00:00:00.440 And today will be one of the best days of the entire day, and you are here to enjoy it.

00:00:09.680 So, good work on that.

00:00:11.500 The first part of your day is going just the way you want it, and I think that's worth calling out.

00:00:18.040 But, but, would you like to take it up a level?

00:00:22.300 Yeah, yeah, you would.

00:00:24.000 And all you need is a cover, a mug, a glass, a tank, a gel, a style, a canteen, a junk, a flask, a vessel of any kind,

00:00:29.220 fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:30.500 I like coffee.

00:00:31.840 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:39.120 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:41.260 And it happens now.

00:00:47.620 You know, every now and then I think, maybe this time it won't be as good as all the other times.

00:00:54.480 And then I'm wrong.

00:00:55.620 It is.

00:00:57.000 Sometimes it's even better.

00:00:58.300 It's amazing.

00:01:00.360 All right, well, let's talk about all the fake news in the news.

00:01:04.980 Starting at the top.

00:01:07.140 So, I did a search this morning for worse than Watergate guy, Carl Bernstein.

00:01:13.360 And I wondered what would happen if I just typed into my search engine the phrase, worse than Watergate guy.

00:01:20.160 No quote marks or anything.

00:01:21.760 And if I do that on DuckDuckGo, the front page mentions me a lot because I might have been the first person to mock Carl Bernstein for being the worse than Watergate guy.

00:01:35.680 I don't know if I was first or I was just among the first to make that point.

00:01:41.020 But on DuckDuckGo, it's, you know, Scott Adams, Scott Adams said, Scott Adams said.

00:01:46.100 And then I do exactly the same search, no quote marks, on Google.

00:01:50.320 And I'm not there.

00:01:54.440 You have to look for me.

00:01:56.280 You sort of have to dig down.

00:01:58.420 Now, I'm not going to claim that Google made some kind of a decision to take my name out of that story.

00:02:07.440 And not that it matters.

00:02:08.740 It doesn't, you know, nobody's any worse for it.

00:02:11.580 It doesn't make any difference.

00:02:12.460 But what happens if it's not intentional?

00:02:20.500 Is that better?

00:02:22.640 I mean, when you look at the difference in a search result, a pretty basic search result of something that's in the news literally too much,

00:02:31.840 and even that is wildly different in terms of even who was involved,

00:02:37.080 think about how gigantic this effect is.

00:02:40.940 And if you imagine the worst, you say, well, there are human beings making these decisions

00:02:47.220 and, you know, trying to cancel people and that sort of thing.

00:02:51.420 But what if it's not that?

00:02:53.680 What if there is no human being who is making any decisions?

00:02:57.620 It's just the algorithm.

00:02:59.480 And two algorithms give you completely different results.

00:03:03.920 These algorithms are becoming the brain of the world.

00:03:07.540 At what point does it become impractical to make any decision that would look dumb if you made a Google search or just a search, right?

00:03:19.440 We're pretty much training ourselves as humans to not make our own decisions.

00:03:27.880 You see that, right?

00:03:28.860 Because in the old days, without internet, if you said, Scott, what are you going to decide on, I don't know, taking a vaccination or not or anything?

00:03:39.940 And I would say something like, well, I don't have a time to go to the library and check out a book and research this topic.

00:03:47.740 So I guess I'll just make up my own mind and, I don't know, guess, use my bias or something.

00:03:55.480 I wouldn't have much information.

00:03:57.460 But what happens when the internet exists?

00:04:00.460 Well, if the internet exists, I'm going to go search for the answer.

00:04:04.880 Scott, what are you going to do about taking a vaccination?

00:04:08.720 I don't know.

00:04:09.340 I'll go search for the answer.

00:04:10.840 Should I take it?

00:04:11.840 Is it safe?

00:04:12.580 And then I'll probably do something that's informed by my searches.

00:04:18.060 So in a way, my human decision-making, totally flawed because I had less information, is being outsourced to an algorithm, not even to another human, to an algorithm.

00:04:32.020 And I don't know what's going to happen.

00:04:34.300 Who knows what's going to come back?

00:04:36.280 Today, for example, there's a news story.

00:04:38.480 It's a little bit early on this story, so we might find out a lot more about it.

00:04:43.080 But apparently, some Russia-linked PR agency contacted influencers, social media influencers, in France and Germany,

00:04:55.140 and tried to pay them to say that the Pfizer vaccine was killing people.

00:05:01.740 Now, I guess this got uncovered, so it's not going to happen.

00:05:05.360 But think about this.

00:05:06.360 Somebody was willing to pay influencers to say bad stuff about a vaccine that's probably saving millions of lives.

00:05:17.200 And, you know, of course, your mind goes to, well, this is a Russia disinformation thing trying to hurt France and Germany

00:05:26.040 or maybe trying to make their own vaccination look better or something.

00:05:29.900 Who knows?

00:05:30.800 Maybe it's just a play on the stock values.

00:05:33.200 But this is the sort of thing where, imagine that this had worked.

00:05:39.460 Imagine that these influencers had been able to do the influence that somebody tried to pay them to do.

00:05:46.620 When you did a Google search, would they come up?

00:05:49.700 Because they're influencers.

00:05:51.380 It might.

00:05:51.820 So, not only are we outsourcing our decision-making to algorithms,

00:05:59.280 but we don't know anything about what those algorithms are being influenced by.

00:06:05.480 Is it influenced by money?

00:06:07.500 Is there somebody behind there pushing a button?

00:06:10.240 Is it just artificial intelligence?

00:06:12.560 Is it random?

00:06:14.080 Is it nobody?

00:06:14.620 It's not anything.

00:06:15.660 It's just a bunch of forces coming together.

00:06:18.320 But we basically turned the process of thinking about stuff and making decisions

00:06:23.920 into a completely unknowable process where you just send it into the Internet

00:06:29.220 and who knows what kind of result you get or why you got it.

00:06:33.360 It certainly wouldn't be related to whether it's true.

00:06:36.360 That's the last thing that's likely to happen.

00:06:38.700 All right, speaking of influence, Rasmussen reports that they asked how many people had

00:06:50.000 – these are likely voters they usually talk to –

00:06:53.040 and they say, how many of you have a very favorable opinion of Dr. Fauci?

00:06:58.140 Now, this is just the top category, just the very favorables.

00:07:02.340 Liberals, 67% had a very favorable opinion of Dr. Fauci.

00:07:07.560 Conservatives, 17%.

00:07:11.560 Now, I think we're all accustomed to the fact that a political question

00:07:18.260 is always going to be divided by political lines.

00:07:23.680 But what exactly made the virus political?

00:07:29.400 I believe that this number, you know, this gigantic difference between 67% liberals

00:07:35.980 saying that Fauci had a very favorable opinion versus 17% for conservatives?

00:07:43.120 This is this gigantic difference.

00:07:46.480 And as far as I know, there is no political element whatsoever to a virus.

00:07:54.160 I mean, we overlay that stuff, but the virus itself doesn't have any politics.

00:07:59.760 The science doesn't have any politics, per se.

00:08:02.680 Nothing that would be associated with left or right or constitutional or wokeness or anything.

00:08:10.300 Can you give me any reason why these numbers should be so different?

00:08:14.580 Is it because conservatives like to flout the law?

00:08:22.480 No.

00:08:23.720 Even the way that each side acted in the pandemic was sort of opposite their normal behavior, in a way.

00:08:31.420 I mean, you would expect the liberals to say,

00:08:33.560 stop putting your laws on me, I won't wear a mask.

00:08:37.100 But instead, it was conservatives.

00:08:39.800 A little bit non-obvious to me.

00:08:41.900 You can make an argument that it was obvious.

00:08:44.220 But I just don't think that we're seeing anything but pure persuasion and team joining here.

00:08:52.700 I believe that the news networks tried as hard as they could to make it sort of a side versus side thing,

00:09:00.360 because they kind of need to, and they succeeded.

00:09:03.780 It looks like the news business turned this into a political question

00:09:08.400 when there's no political element to it whatsoever.

00:09:13.000 I mean, somebody has to be in charge, and they belong to a political party,

00:09:16.780 but still, they're just going to tell you what the science says,

00:09:19.780 and then you get to make up your mind.

00:09:21.360 It shouldn't be political at all.

00:09:23.820 But it did.

00:09:24.960 It became very political.

00:09:26.200 So I feel like in a normal political question, you don't see this effect so badly.

00:09:34.400 So if somebody says, hey, what do we do about abortion, and then you do a poll on it,

00:09:39.500 you know what it's going to look like, right?

00:09:42.000 You know, the conservatives will be largely against it.

00:09:45.860 The liberals will be largely in favor of abortion.

00:09:49.140 So if there is a political element, you know where the poll is going to come out.

00:09:54.940 But this is the weirdest thing, that we literally just sort of said,

00:09:59.320 okay, what side are you going to be on?

00:10:01.760 You guys will be, like, against the vaccine, and so we'll be more for it.

00:10:07.640 I swear to God, it just looks like it was a sport, and we just picked sides.

00:10:12.600 It was like a chess match where you sat down and said, okay, do you want to be white or black? 0.67

00:10:17.420 And then it didn't matter which we picked.

00:10:20.060 You know, the conservatives could have picked white or black,

00:10:22.760 and the other team would have just been the other team.

00:10:25.900 And I don't think I've ever seen it more clearly than in this number,

00:10:29.760 that this is a pure persuasion indicator.

00:10:34.940 And you can see that people are not making up their own decisions.

00:10:38.280 If you ever wanted to know that your opinions are assigned to you by the media, here it is.

00:10:44.300 These opinions were assigned to people by the media, very clearly.

00:10:49.140 More clearly than I've ever seen it.

00:10:54.360 Maple Bob says, once the censorship starts, it's in the realm of political.

00:10:59.020 Yes, but the censorship doesn't start until somebody's decided to make it political.

00:11:04.500 I mean, that's a decision.

00:11:05.820 It doesn't just happen.

00:11:06.820 Let's test our ability to predict.

00:11:14.880 So one of the weird things about the pandemic is that we didn't see it coming.

00:11:21.800 I mean, some experts did see it coming, of course.

00:11:24.580 But most of us didn't see it coming.

00:11:26.740 And then it was this completely new situation that most of us had not lived through in any meaningful way.

00:11:32.480 So because it was a fresh field, and not the old stuff we're always talking about,

00:11:39.100 we all got to make predictions.

00:11:42.280 And what's also interesting is that because the pandemic has sort of a limited time frame,

00:11:48.460 you actually get to see how your predictions come out.

00:11:52.240 And so this is the point where you should either be building humility or arrogance, I suppose.

00:11:59.300 Because you can see how you did.

00:12:01.240 All right.

00:12:02.360 I'm going to, you dismissed the lab theory.

00:12:07.120 Thank you.

00:12:08.320 I wanted somebody to come on here and misrepresent me, because I was going to get to that anyway.

00:12:13.520 And we see the first one.

00:12:15.800 So I'm being widely misrepresented by people who say,

00:12:20.280 you said that the lab theory is debunked.

00:12:25.820 Never happened.

00:12:27.580 Nope.

00:12:28.220 I'm hearing it a lot.

00:12:29.320 A lot of people are saying to me, well, Scott, you said it didn't come from the lab.

00:12:34.560 Nope.

00:12:35.540 Never happened.

00:12:36.620 And if you remember that that happened, you might be a narcissist.

00:12:40.940 You might be.

00:12:42.280 Here's what I did say.

00:12:44.520 I said there's no way that China intentionally released a virus.

00:12:50.780 No way intentionally.

00:12:52.360 If you lose the word intentionally, you're losing everything.

00:12:57.300 It's the intentionality that I said.

00:13:00.080 Did I ever say there's no way that the virus escaped from the lab accidentally?

00:13:05.660 Of course not.

00:13:06.880 Of course I never said that.

00:13:09.620 How could I possibly know that?

00:13:11.640 And it does seem like the most likely possibility.

00:13:14.880 What are the odds?

00:13:15.820 It started really near a lab that does that kind of stuff.

00:13:19.380 So no.

00:13:20.640 There will be lots of people who will tell me that, Scott, you said it wasn't the lab.

00:13:26.160 Nope.

00:13:27.140 Nope.

00:13:27.660 You are having a false memory.

00:13:30.040 And you might be a narcissist because one of the things I learned is that narcissists

00:13:36.480 have exactly that kind of false memory.

00:13:40.540 Sparky says the people who planned the pandemic saw it coming.

00:13:43.780 I don't think anybody planned the pandemic.

00:13:46.620 Sparky.

00:13:47.100 All right.

00:13:48.280 So here are the things that I thought from the beginning or in the early days.

00:13:52.620 These were my predictions and or interpretations.

00:13:55.740 Now, some of you are going to argue that we don't know the final answer on these.

00:13:59.860 I think we do.

00:14:01.560 So I'll accept that there's a difference of opinion about whether we do know the final

00:14:07.320 answer.

00:14:07.980 But here's my current view of things.

00:14:11.220 Number one, when the virus first was spotted in China, you can fact check me on this, but

00:14:19.080 I was probably one of the first one or two people, public people, in the country.

00:14:24.960 To vigorously call for a shutdown of travel.

00:14:28.600 Can anybody confirm or deny that?

00:14:31.000 You know, I'll put that up to public review.

00:14:34.340 But I think I was the first or among the first one or two.

00:14:38.520 I think Jack Posobiec was among the first as well.

00:14:42.660 To say we better close travel.

00:14:44.900 Now, I said it a week before Trump did.

00:14:47.460 And Trump got in trouble for saying it so early.

00:14:49.540 All right, so I'm going to claim a victory on that.

00:14:54.240 Number two, I did say this is not a regular flu.

00:14:58.140 This is a real virus that is really going to kill you.

00:15:01.180 Some of you still disagree with that.

00:15:08.700 Maryland says the Epoch Times revealed the extent of the virus in China.

00:15:12.780 If you're not following the Epoch Times, you really should.

00:15:16.080 Because they have the best view of China on things that there could be.

00:15:23.560 So, yeah, thumbs up to the Epoch Times for that.

00:15:30.100 I said, as soon as Dr. Fauci and the Surgeon General said,

00:15:35.400 you don't need masks for this virus,

00:15:38.900 I said, and I think I was the first public figure to say this.

00:15:43.540 And again, I put this up to public review.

00:15:46.540 If anybody said it before I did, let me know.

00:15:49.360 Because I'd be interested in that.

00:15:51.160 But I believe I was the first person to say publicly and vigorously,

00:15:55.240 they're lying.

00:15:57.040 They know that masks work.

00:15:59.260 And that they're probably trying to make us not have a run on masks.

00:16:04.720 That's probably the most accurate prediction I've ever made.

00:16:07.640 It turned out to be exactly right.

00:16:10.540 Now, some of you are going to argue,

00:16:11.860 but, Scott, masks do not work.

00:16:16.120 I hear you.

00:16:17.660 I hear you.

00:16:18.320 But at the moment,

00:16:21.180 every single industrial country

00:16:24.080 believes they work.

00:16:26.700 All of them.

00:16:27.740 There's no exception.

00:16:29.140 So all of the people who are professionals,

00:16:31.900 who can read the research better than I can,

00:16:34.860 better than you can in most cases,

00:16:36.680 all of the countries,

00:16:38.180 all of the experts,

00:16:39.340 all of them believe the masks worked,

00:16:41.760 just not in every case, every place, right?

00:16:44.220 Didn't work so much outdoors.

00:16:45.640 Didn't make much difference if you were six feet away

00:16:48.580 and didn't spend much time indoors, whatever.

00:16:51.400 But I'm going to claim victory on that.

00:16:54.280 I know that some of you will disagree.

00:16:55.920 But I would say I was completely right on masks.

00:17:00.660 And I said, in terms of the lab,

00:17:03.300 I said that it might be human-made.

00:17:07.460 Now, I did not say this in public so much.

00:17:10.700 But privately, I did talk to people who said,

00:17:13.800 yeah, it could be human-made

00:17:15.720 and we wouldn't know the difference.

00:17:17.940 So I didn't want to say that in public

00:17:19.780 because I thought that might cause trouble.

00:17:21.600 But I can confirm to you that privately,

00:17:24.320 I believed it could have been man-made.

00:17:27.700 Let's say human-made.

00:17:29.060 Let's make it less sexist.

00:17:30.240 I also told you last year at about this time

00:17:37.120 that the human ingenuity would be shockingly good.

00:17:43.480 Shockingly good.

00:17:45.000 So my prediction was,

00:17:46.500 although we had no good idea about therapeutics

00:17:49.260 and the experts were saying vaccines will take five years

00:17:52.780 or whatever they were saying,

00:17:54.200 I was saying that the experts were wrong

00:17:56.640 and I was agreeing with Trump.

00:17:59.860 I think I agreed with Trump

00:18:01.300 before Trump agreed with Trump

00:18:02.920 on the fact that we would be able to do this

00:18:05.780 at a very accelerated rate

00:18:07.540 and that when we were done,

00:18:10.000 the history would record we did something amazing.

00:18:15.080 How'd that go?

00:18:16.780 Right on, right?

00:18:18.140 Now, I thought it would be more about therapeutics.

00:18:20.560 I didn't think it would be necessarily vaccinations

00:18:23.060 that would be the amazing part.

00:18:24.540 But the vaccinations are literally amazing.

00:18:27.540 One of the greatest human accomplishments, I would say.

00:18:31.800 And so I'm going to claim being accurate on that.

00:18:35.040 I told you about this time last year

00:18:37.660 when it looked like we might lose our food sources

00:18:40.480 and the economy would crumble

00:18:42.500 and maybe there would be martial law and all that.

00:18:46.040 I told you that we wouldn't starve,

00:18:50.160 that we would figure it out,

00:18:52.560 we would get through it,

00:18:53.820 and the world would not end,

00:18:56.160 or at least it would not be anywhere near

00:18:57.960 the worst-case scenario.

00:18:59.480 And I feel I was right.

00:19:02.740 I feel I was right.

00:19:04.720 All right.

00:19:05.340 I also believed,

00:19:06.760 and again, I didn't make a big deal about this publicly

00:19:09.200 because it would not have been responsible to do that,

00:19:12.100 but I never once disinfected anything I ever bought.

00:19:15.500 I never once disinfected anything from a grocery store.

00:19:19.960 I think in about the, I don't know,

00:19:22.260 after a week of trying to wear gloves,

00:19:24.600 I just said, I'm not wearing gloves.

00:19:26.420 If people could get this from surfaces,

00:19:28.900 I reasoned, we'd just all be dead.

00:19:32.160 You know, or at least we'd all have it.

00:19:33.800 And it seemed to be sort of obvious early on

00:19:38.480 it couldn't be coming from surfaces

00:19:40.340 just because we'd all have it by then.

00:19:43.320 So I was right on that.

00:19:45.120 Surfaces don't seem to be a problem.

00:19:47.360 There was a lot of talk about hydroxychloroquine.

00:19:49.580 I was never on the side that it definitely works,

00:19:52.200 and I was never on the side that it definitely doesn't.

00:19:55.340 And we still don't know.

00:19:56.460 So I'm neither right nor wrong on that,

00:19:59.880 but at least I didn't commit to something

00:20:01.920 that could be wrong.

00:20:04.760 I believed, without being scientific about it,

00:20:08.200 I was fairly confident that all the worry

00:20:11.880 about the variants not being effective,

00:20:14.580 or that the vaccines wouldn't work against the variants,

00:20:17.940 I believe that was probably the news being a scaremongers,

00:20:22.540 meaning that the worry exceeded the actual risk.

00:20:27.300 And it looks like that's the case.

00:20:29.240 It looks like the vaccinations will work

00:20:32.080 against variants as well.

00:20:34.240 And I also thought that the vaccinations

00:20:36.320 would be safe enough.

00:20:38.820 Could there be some danger we find out later?

00:20:41.540 Yeah.

00:20:42.260 Could we find out that more people had problems

00:20:44.680 with the vaccinations, health problems?

00:20:47.720 Yeah, we could.

00:20:48.820 But I feel as though we already could say

00:20:53.700 that the vaccinations were a good idea.

00:20:57.420 Now, I got a vaccination,

00:20:59.120 so that tells you I thought that would be the case.

00:21:02.380 I've also been telling you

00:21:03.600 that this is not part of the Great Reset,

00:21:06.360 that there's not some coordinated plan

00:21:09.760 to change the world based on this.

00:21:12.920 Now, of course, the liberals and Joe Biden

00:21:15.280 are going to try to do as many liberal things as they can,

00:21:19.100 but that's just a result of the election.

00:21:21.440 That's not because of the pandemic.

00:21:23.320 So I don't think there was ever a Great Reset

00:21:25.500 any more than I believed QAnon,

00:21:27.520 and I think that that's turned out to be true.

00:21:30.980 I also told you that it would be the public

00:21:33.180 that decides when masks and social distancing is done,

00:21:37.540 not the government.

00:21:39.400 And I think I'm right.

00:21:40.880 I believe the public is leading the government

00:21:43.000 on the de-masking, and should.

00:21:45.440 That's the right way to do that.

00:21:47.600 And I also told you

00:21:49.260 that we would get to the end of the pandemic.

00:21:56.000 Sparky says you believe the MSM,

00:21:58.720 the mainstream media, longer than you should have.

00:22:01.600 Sparky, you need to give me a real reason,

00:22:03.800 like an actual topic.

00:22:05.620 You know, what are you talking about?

00:22:07.400 Don't make global statements like that.

00:22:09.520 That's what narcissists do. 1.00

00:22:10.760 A narcissist makes a global statement like,

00:22:14.140 you didn't believe,

00:22:15.320 or you believe the mainstream media too long.

00:22:18.640 What's that mean?

00:22:19.900 Give me a specific, right?

00:22:22.160 That's just basically a complaint about me.

00:22:25.540 That's not even talking about a topic.

00:22:28.880 So, and by the way, that's probably projection.

00:22:32.140 So Sparky, that probably is an indication

00:22:34.220 that you believed the media too long.

00:22:36.720 Don't know that for sure,

00:22:38.720 but that's typically what that would predict.

00:22:42.480 And sure enough,

00:22:43.700 we cannot tell whose leadership decisions

00:22:46.340 made a difference.

00:22:47.520 If you think that you can tell

00:22:49.040 if DeSantis was better than some other state,

00:22:54.020 I don't know if he can.

00:22:56.140 I just don't know if he can.

00:22:58.100 And you're saying to yourself,

00:22:59.180 but Scott,

00:23:00.480 DeSantis got to the same end point,

00:23:03.680 not that many difference,

00:23:05.100 not that much difference in dying.

00:23:07.260 He got to the same end point,

00:23:09.200 but with much lower unemployment.

00:23:12.420 So you can't compare.

00:23:14.200 They both had roughly the same outcome of deaths,

00:23:17.620 but one of them had much better employment numbers,

00:23:20.880 so that's the one that wins, right?

00:23:23.180 No.

00:23:24.100 Because we don't have an employment problem.

00:23:27.540 There is no unemployment problem.

00:23:29.700 So if one state has high unemployment

00:23:31.740 and one has lower unemployment,

00:23:34.660 it actually tells you nothing.

00:23:36.940 Nothing.

00:23:38.200 Because everybody who wants a job can get one.

00:23:42.040 It's just that in one state,

00:23:43.280 they're not looking for them.

00:23:44.780 Because maybe they have benefits,

00:23:46.600 maybe they just don't need it for whatever reason.

00:23:48.560 But there are plenty of jobs.

00:23:50.660 Just walk down the street.

00:23:51.760 There's help wanted on every business in my town.

00:23:56.580 So, no, you cannot determine

00:23:58.720 that anybody's leadership did better.

00:24:01.740 It may be true.

00:24:03.620 It could be true that leadership made a difference.

00:24:07.520 My prediction was

00:24:08.860 you wouldn't be able to see it in the data.

00:24:10.540 You just wouldn't be able to sort it out.

00:24:12.380 And I think that's true.

00:24:14.340 All right, so those were my predictions

00:24:16.820 and how they turned out.

00:24:18.320 And I would, rather than comparing yours to mine,

00:24:22.800 which is not really the point here,

00:24:24.540 what you should do

00:24:25.600 is compare your predictions to yourself.

00:24:30.560 How'd you do?

00:24:31.760 And if you predicted everything wrong,

00:24:34.600 take that into consideration next time.

00:24:38.700 Firebelly says,

00:24:39.440 I read influence like you recommended.

00:24:42.060 Do you think mask usage and policy

00:24:43.580 could be explained in part by social proof?

00:24:47.220 Yes, of course.

00:24:48.660 Yeah, people are influenced by other people

00:24:51.280 and especially if they're experts.

00:24:53.460 So, yes, that's part of the influence.

00:24:57.780 Michael says,

00:24:58.960 funny, three weeks ago you didn't believe in narcissism.

00:25:01.760 Now we're all narcissists.

00:25:03.180 Well, Michael, you are misinterpreting me,

00:25:06.900 as most of you do.

00:25:09.820 And it goes like this.

00:25:12.440 The narcissism that I didn't believe in before

00:25:15.660 is the same narcissism I don't believe in now

00:25:19.120 that hasn't changed.

00:25:21.960 Specifically, the people who think they're better

00:25:25.140 than you think they are,

00:25:26.660 they think well of themselves.

00:25:29.080 That alone,

00:25:30.440 if that's what you wanted to call narcissism,

00:25:32.400 that's sort of commonly how we think of it,

00:25:34.980 it's just somebody who's arrogant

00:25:36.000 and thinks they're better than other people.

00:25:38.220 What I said was,

00:25:40.060 that isn't a mental problem

00:25:41.780 because it can be an advantage.

00:25:44.780 So it's not a mental problem

00:25:46.260 if it helps you.

00:25:47.820 It's a mental problem if it hurts you

00:25:49.240 or hurts other people, I suppose.

00:25:51.860 But,

00:25:52.980 when I did a deeper dive,

00:25:54.720 it turns out there are

00:25:56.360 this constellation of behaviors

00:25:58.520 that are attributed to narcissism

00:26:01.340 that I did not know

00:26:02.840 operated in a consistent

00:26:04.360 code-like manner

00:26:06.220 that if somebody is in that category,

00:26:08.660 they will act with all of those behaviors.

00:26:11.360 Now, that was like a whole new topic.

00:26:13.560 So, did I change my mind

00:26:15.400 that narcissism

00:26:16.640 is real?

00:26:18.580 No.

00:26:19.580 The way I defined it before,

00:26:21.560 it's still not real

00:26:22.500 and science agrees with me.

00:26:24.480 The way I learned

00:26:27.320 it should be defined,

00:26:28.980 it has always been real

00:26:30.200 and I didn't have an opinion on it

00:26:31.660 because I just didn't know about it.

00:26:33.580 So,

00:26:34.780 I am better informed,

00:26:36.820 but I'm not wrong

00:26:38.940 about what I said before.

00:26:40.660 I'm actually completely right about that

00:26:42.820 and you can confirm it.

00:26:44.640 Just look up what

00:26:45.760 experts say about

00:26:47.820 grandiose narcissism.

00:26:50.420 They will tell you

00:26:51.140 it's not necessarily a problem

00:26:52.580 for the person who has it.

00:26:54.000 It might make them

00:26:54.720 exceed their expectations.

00:26:58.680 Galen says,

00:26:59.520 if I am negatively affected

00:27:01.160 by social proof,

00:27:03.000 does that make me a narcissist?

00:27:04.860 Meaning if you do

00:27:05.740 the opposite of the crowd?

00:27:07.280 I don't think that makes you

00:27:08.240 a narcissist,

00:27:09.200 but it might make you a

00:27:10.340 whatever is contrarian,

00:27:13.980 I guess.

00:27:15.220 All right.

00:27:16.780 Have you noticed

00:27:17.580 that the stories in the press

00:27:19.240 about inflation

00:27:20.240 are all confusing

00:27:22.120 and contradictory

00:27:23.000 and terrible?

00:27:24.860 Because

00:27:25.300 inflation is one

00:27:27.400 of those things

00:27:27.980 that I think

00:27:29.400 even economists

00:27:30.200 don't fully understand.

00:27:32.580 So,

00:27:32.800 by the time a journalist

00:27:33.760 tries to write about it,

00:27:36.760 by the time a journalist

00:27:40.800 tries to write about inflation,

00:27:42.500 they're misinterpreting

00:27:43.500 somebody who's

00:27:44.100 misinterpreting something

00:27:45.100 and it's just garbage

00:27:46.080 by the time you're done.

00:27:46.900 So,

00:27:47.760 what we're seeing

00:27:48.280 in the headlines

00:27:48.920 is lots of scare stories

00:27:51.020 about inflation,

00:27:52.580 which when you dig down

00:27:53.700 just a little bit,

00:27:54.960 and actually it could be

00:27:55.840 in the story itself.

00:27:56.920 So,

00:27:57.100 the headline can be

00:27:57.920 a scare you

00:27:59.200 about inflation

00:27:59.920 and then you dig down

00:28:01.420 and you find out

00:28:02.060 it's just supply disruptions.

00:28:04.620 Most of it is because

00:28:05.640 of the bounce back

00:28:06.460 of the economy.

00:28:07.940 So,

00:28:08.420 the economy is bouncing back

00:28:09.740 at the same time

00:28:10.520 that some of the supply chains

00:28:11.840 were impacted

00:28:12.680 by the pandemic.

00:28:14.160 so there's just

00:28:15.420 a temporary price increase

00:28:16.880 because there's a supply

00:28:17.960 and demand problem.

00:28:19.540 So,

00:28:20.100 that looks like

00:28:20.980 inflation.

00:28:22.740 Our energy costs

00:28:23.880 are going high

00:28:24.760 because the pipeline

00:28:25.640 got stopped

00:28:26.520 and some other

00:28:27.420 green concerns,

00:28:29.640 but that has nothing

00:28:30.600 to do with inflation

00:28:31.800 per se.

00:28:32.900 Those are special cases

00:28:34.160 and usually temporary.

00:28:36.520 So,

00:28:37.420 is there a baseline

00:28:39.260 inflation?

00:28:41.240 We actually don't

00:28:42.460 really know yet.

00:28:43.300 There should be.

00:28:44.780 I mean,

00:28:45.000 all of the forces

00:28:45.820 are in play

00:28:46.460 that we should see inflation.

00:28:48.880 I don't know

00:28:49.340 how we could not.

00:28:50.700 But,

00:28:51.160 we're not seeing it yet.

00:28:52.620 We're seeing

00:28:53.120 mostly special cases.

00:28:55.500 So,

00:28:56.000 just be aware

00:28:57.360 that the headlines

00:28:58.280 are sort of

00:28:58.940 scaremongering

00:28:59.900 about inflation

00:29:00.980 at the moment,

00:29:02.580 but that doesn't mean

00:29:03.520 they're wrong.

00:29:04.480 You know,

00:29:04.680 it could be that

00:29:05.420 it's going to emerge.

00:29:06.700 We just haven't seen it

00:29:07.620 exactly yet,

00:29:09.300 but it's being reported

00:29:10.460 as if we are.

00:29:11.220 here's a related

00:29:15.960 scary story.

00:29:17.400 Have you noticed

00:29:18.000 that QAnon stuff

00:29:19.760 is just missing

00:29:20.800 from the internet now?

00:29:22.500 Remember all those

00:29:23.320 Twitter accounts

00:29:24.160 you'd see

00:29:24.760 and all the

00:29:25.420 QAnon people?

00:29:27.520 And you'd see them

00:29:28.100 all the time,

00:29:29.040 even if you were

00:29:29.800 not one of them,

00:29:31.040 at least if you

00:29:31.940 tweet to the people

00:29:33.540 I tweet to.

00:29:34.080 and the news

00:29:36.520 on Axios

00:29:37.340 is that

00:29:38.060 researchers

00:29:39.120 from the Atlantic

00:29:39.960 Council's

00:29:40.640 Digital Forensic Lab

00:29:41.960 found that the volume

00:29:43.720 of QAnon content

00:29:44.700 available online

00:29:45.480 plummeted

00:29:46.200 following the

00:29:48.080 moderation changes

00:29:49.200 at Google,

00:29:49.920 Facebook,

00:29:50.360 and Twitter.

00:29:51.280 So,

00:29:51.520 in other words,

00:29:52.260 Google,

00:29:52.620 Facebook,

00:29:53.000 and Twitter

00:29:53.360 started looking

00:29:54.940 for content

00:29:55.660 that would have

00:29:56.360 classic QAnon

00:29:58.060 references in it

00:29:58.980 and just got rid

00:30:00.080 of it.

00:30:00.360 Now,

00:30:02.040 they succeeded.

00:30:04.740 Now,

00:30:05.260 I'm not,

00:30:05.740 I don't think

00:30:06.340 that the world

00:30:06.840 is worse off

00:30:07.740 because Q

00:30:09.060 went away.

00:30:09.900 And by the way,

00:30:10.940 do you know

00:30:11.320 that Q 0.98

00:30:11.740 stopped posting?

00:30:13.780 So,

00:30:14.580 if you believed

00:30:15.260 in Q,

00:30:17.240 do you still?

00:30:18.880 Really?

00:30:19.640 Because Q 0.96

00:30:20.460 kind of went away.

00:30:22.000 Q's gone. 0.63

00:30:23.720 So,

00:30:24.500 the internet

00:30:25.220 and the big

00:30:26.580 platforms

00:30:27.280 made an entire

00:30:28.660 category of thing

00:30:29.960 just go away. 0.98

00:30:31.720 In this case,

00:30:32.800 was it a good idea

00:30:33.720 or a bad idea?

00:30:34.600 Well,

00:30:34.900 it probably

00:30:35.220 didn't hurt anybody.

00:30:36.680 I don't think

00:30:37.120 anybody got hurt

00:30:37.880 by this.

00:30:38.960 But,

00:30:39.520 what happens

00:30:40.080 the next time

00:30:40.660 they want to

00:30:41.000 make something

00:30:41.420 go away?

00:30:43.140 Look how

00:30:43.920 easily

00:30:44.540 they made

00:30:45.860 this go away.

00:30:47.660 They just

00:30:48.520 made it go away.

00:30:51.200 They can do

00:30:52.100 this with any

00:30:52.780 story.

00:30:54.000 They don't

00:30:54.440 just do it

00:30:55.260 on stories

00:30:56.020 that probably

00:30:57.500 were better off

00:30:58.340 without,

00:30:59.220 like QAnon.

00:30:59.960 they could

00:31:00.940 do this

00:31:01.320 with anything.

00:31:03.460 And,

00:31:03.800 I don't know

00:31:04.780 what could be

00:31:05.220 scarier than

00:31:05.960 watching them

00:31:06.580 disappear

00:31:07.120 in an entire

00:31:07.700 category of

00:31:08.520 people

00:31:09.340 from the

00:31:09.940 internet.

00:31:11.460 So,

00:31:12.060 that should

00:31:12.360 alarm you.

00:31:13.940 Let's talk

00:31:14.360 about the

00:31:14.740 worst persuasion

00:31:16.220 I've ever

00:31:17.220 seen.

00:31:18.520 Honestly.

00:31:19.540 Good luck

00:31:20.340 finding a

00:31:21.080 worse example.

00:31:21.840 rebel asked

00:31:28.380 me how much

00:31:28.920 I prepare

00:31:29.580 for this.

00:31:31.580 Well,

00:31:31.780 I'll show

00:31:32.040 you.

00:31:33.060 So,

00:31:33.520 what I do

00:31:34.000 is I

00:31:34.760 copy and

00:31:35.780 paste from

00:31:36.580 articles and

00:31:37.320 tweets,

00:31:38.400 and then I

00:31:40.200 just have

00:31:40.980 notes.

00:31:42.100 So,

00:31:42.580 I don't have

00:31:43.080 too many

00:31:43.440 notes about

00:31:43.900 what I'm

00:31:44.160 going to

00:31:44.360 talk about

00:31:44.940 because I

00:31:45.360 usually know

00:31:45.860 what my

00:31:46.220 opinion is,

00:31:47.200 and I just

00:31:47.800 remind myself

00:31:48.500 what the

00:31:48.840 topic is.

00:31:49.380 and I

00:31:50.640 might put

00:31:50.980 a note

00:31:51.440 or two

00:31:51.740 about just

00:31:52.420 to remind

00:31:52.760 myself what

00:31:53.360 points to

00:31:53.820 make.

00:31:55.440 But,

00:31:56.000 interesting

00:31:56.300 question.

00:31:57.460 Yeah,

00:31:57.680 and a lot

00:31:58.000 of this is

00:31:58.480 practice.

00:32:00.060 So,

00:32:00.420 if to do

00:32:01.980 what I do

00:32:02.500 now,

00:32:03.500 I've been

00:32:03.900 doing it

00:32:04.380 four or

00:32:05.200 five years

00:32:05.700 now,

00:32:06.280 something like

00:32:06.800 that,

00:32:07.840 practice

00:32:09.580 makes a

00:32:10.000 big difference.

00:32:11.200 Big

00:32:11.520 difference.

00:32:13.360 All right.

00:32:14.140 So,

00:32:14.340 yeah,

00:32:14.560 bullet points

00:32:15.120 are the only

00:32:15.500 way to go

00:32:15.920 here.

00:32:16.880 So,

00:32:17.240 Hamas,

00:32:18.240 the leader

00:32:19.240 whose name

00:32:20.420 is maybe

00:32:22.600 Yahya

00:32:24.000 Sinwar. 0.63

00:32:25.660 Are you

00:32:26.060 serious?

00:32:26.740 I just

00:32:27.080 noticed his

00:32:27.680 last name

00:32:28.300 is Sinwar. 0.53

00:32:31.320 S-I-N-W-A-R. 1.00

00:32:36.560 They put

00:32:37.420 together

00:32:37.760 sin and

00:32:39.300 war and

00:32:40.640 made the

00:32:40.960 last name

00:32:41.500 of the

00:32:41.780 guy who

00:32:42.080 was the

00:32:42.280 head of

00:32:42.540 Hamas. 0.73

00:32:44.040 And his

00:32:44.660 first name

00:32:45.080 is Yahya.

00:32:46.280 Yahya,

00:32:47.100 sin,

00:32:47.800 war.

00:32:49.240 If this

00:32:50.940 is not

00:32:51.280 the

00:32:51.600 simulation

00:32:52.320 talking to

00:32:52.980 us,

00:32:53.360 I don't

00:32:54.060 know what

00:32:54.360 is.

00:32:54.860 I mean,

00:32:55.180 really.

00:32:56.200 Anyway,

00:32:56.920 so this

00:32:57.300 asshole who's 0.92

00:32:58.060 been hiding

00:32:58.540 from the

00:32:59.120 Israeli bombs,

00:33:00.460 he decided

00:33:01.140 to come out

00:33:01.740 in public

00:33:02.100 so people

00:33:02.660 could see

00:33:03.040 he's real.

00:33:03.900 And what

00:33:04.280 does he

00:33:04.560 decide to

00:33:05.060 do?

00:33:05.660 He decides

00:33:06.200 to hold

00:33:06.700 up for

00:33:07.000 the camera

00:33:07.420 a young

00:33:08.400 child and

00:33:09.720 to make

00:33:10.080 sure that

00:33:10.440 the young

00:33:11.240 child is

00:33:11.820 holding the

00:33:12.960 assault rifle

00:33:13.740 just right

00:33:14.420 and is

00:33:15.220 wearing

00:33:15.500 camouflage.

00:33:16.080 So he's

00:33:17.120 basically

00:33:17.500 holding up

00:33:18.040 a child,

00:33:19.580 like just

00:33:19.920 a little

00:33:20.300 child,

00:33:21.320 with an

00:33:22.220 army military

00:33:23.180 gun to

00:33:24.700 show that

00:33:25.100 even the

00:33:25.520 children are

00:33:26.200 willing to

00:33:26.700 die for

00:33:27.440 Hamas,

00:33:28.760 I guess.

00:33:29.980 And I

00:33:31.420 thought to

00:33:31.780 myself,

00:33:32.540 what is the

00:33:33.700 one thing

00:33:34.360 that Hamas 0.99

00:33:35.080 has going

00:33:35.640 for it?

00:33:36.580 Just one

00:33:37.080 thing.

00:33:38.080 They have

00:33:38.840 one thing

00:33:39.520 going for

00:33:40.020 them,

00:33:40.780 which is

00:33:41.900 their human

00:33:42.440 shields,

00:33:43.660 their children

00:33:44.360 in particular.

00:33:45.120 We care

00:33:46.140 more about

00:33:46.560 the children

00:33:47.080 just because

00:33:47.780 we do.

00:33:49.720 So they

00:33:50.480 had one

00:33:51.180 thing to

00:33:51.740 protect,

00:33:52.980 one thing

00:33:53.980 to get

00:33:54.360 right.

00:33:55.200 Hey,

00:33:55.620 Israel,

00:33:56.480 you're

00:33:57.020 killing our

00:33:57.520 children.

00:33:58.080 It's all

00:33:58.380 they had.

00:33:59.560 They had

00:34:00.060 one thing.

00:34:01.220 And this

00:34:01.720 fucking

00:34:02.280 asshole

00:34:02.780 takes a

00:34:04.660 Palestinian

00:34:05.240 child and

00:34:07.180 does the

00:34:07.800 only thing

00:34:08.420 you could

00:34:08.780 do with

00:34:09.140 a child

00:34:09.660 to make

00:34:10.460 people want

00:34:11.000 to kill

00:34:11.320 it.

00:34:13.080 The only

00:34:13.800 thing.

00:34:14.080 the only

00:34:15.040 thing you

00:34:15.480 could do

00:34:15.920 to make

00:34:16.740 an ordinary

00:34:17.360 person

00:34:17.960 want to

00:34:19.060 want to

00:34:20.480 kill a 0.78

00:34:21.320 child is

00:34:22.460 to do

00:34:22.700 what he

00:34:22.960 did.

00:34:23.680 Dress

00:34:23.940 him up

00:34:24.240 as a

00:34:24.520 terrorist

00:34:24.900 and show

00:34:25.360 that that

00:34:25.720 child will

00:34:26.240 kill you. 0.99

00:34:27.600 And then

00:34:27.840 I say,

00:34:28.240 fuck it, 0.57

00:34:28.560 I'll kill

00:34:28.840 that child.

00:34:30.600 I'm probably

00:34:31.120 going to get

00:34:31.520 kicked off

00:34:31.980 of YouTube

00:34:32.260 for this.

00:34:33.600 But how

00:34:34.680 did you

00:34:34.980 feel when

00:34:36.400 you saw

00:34:36.700 the kid?

00:34:37.820 Now,

00:34:38.200 I don't

00:34:38.420 know how

00:34:38.800 it felt

00:34:39.360 internally.

00:34:40.920 Did all

00:34:41.800 of the

00:34:42.140 Hamas 0.96

00:34:42.680 people say,

00:34:43.860 well,

00:34:44.040 that's

00:34:44.300 great,

00:34:44.780 yeah,

00:34:45.240 children,

00:34:46.140 let's send

00:34:46.560 our children

00:34:46.980 to die, 0.52

00:34:47.640 yes,

00:34:48.280 yes.

00:34:49.040 Is that

00:34:49.400 what they

00:34:49.680 said?

00:34:50.600 Because maybe,

00:34:51.460 I mean,

00:34:51.720 I don't know

00:34:52.140 the culture

00:34:52.620 well enough,

00:34:53.840 maybe it

00:34:54.480 worked for

00:34:55.820 internally.

00:34:57.520 But he's

00:34:58.300 not just

00:34:59.060 persuading

00:34:59.720 internally,

00:35:00.900 he's persuading

00:35:02.100 the world.

00:35:03.180 And he took

00:35:03.620 his only

00:35:04.220 asset,

00:35:05.200 the only

00:35:05.800 asset,

00:35:06.680 is that we

00:35:07.160 cared about

00:35:07.720 them.

00:35:08.760 And we

00:35:09.200 cared about

00:35:09.560 the children

00:35:10.060 in particular.

00:35:11.240 It's all

00:35:11.620 they had.

00:35:12.820 And they

00:35:13.220 made me

00:35:13.800 not care

00:35:14.380 about their

00:35:14.820 children.

00:35:16.180 All right,

00:35:16.400 now I'm

00:35:16.680 exaggerating,

00:35:17.360 right?

00:35:17.920 But persuasion

00:35:19.200 wise,

00:35:20.040 they persuaded

00:35:20.820 toward making

00:35:21.840 us care less

00:35:22.860 about killing

00:35:24.220 their children.

00:35:26.980 Do you see

00:35:27.840 how bad

00:35:28.300 that is?

00:35:29.960 I've never

00:35:30.720 even seen

00:35:31.740 leadership

00:35:32.820 this bad.

00:35:34.240 I didn't

00:35:34.740 know it

00:35:35.140 could be

00:35:35.640 this bad.

00:35:36.960 I didn't

00:35:37.300 know you

00:35:37.720 could even,

00:35:38.600 if you tried

00:35:39.260 as hard as

00:35:39.860 you could

00:35:40.280 to come

00:35:40.600 up with

00:35:40.960 what's the

00:35:41.680 worst thing

00:35:42.220 we can do

00:35:42.720 to our

00:35:43.040 own people,

00:35:44.780 you'd have

00:35:45.340 to look

00:35:45.680 pretty hard

00:35:46.200 to come

00:35:46.500 up with

00:35:46.760 something

00:35:47.000 this bad.

00:35:48.520 Now compare

00:35:49.060 that to

00:35:49.900 Israel,

00:35:51.060 who immediately

00:35:52.080 took this

00:35:52.720 and tweeted

00:35:53.820 it around

00:35:54.360 and said,

00:35:55.040 look at

00:35:55.300 this,

00:35:56.620 Israel,

00:35:57.460 A plus,

00:35:58.940 persuasion.

00:36:00.340 Hamas,

00:36:01.980 F,

00:36:02.880 you can't

00:36:03.980 fail harder

00:36:04.560 than this.

00:36:05.880 This is the

00:36:06.680 worst persuasion

00:36:07.620 I've ever

00:36:08.060 seen.

00:36:08.340 Now,

00:36:09.460 I'm giving

00:36:11.360 it the

00:36:11.800 Dilbert

00:36:12.660 bad leadership,

00:36:14.980 bad management

00:36:15.940 label,

00:36:16.920 which in

00:36:17.680 America might

00:36:18.320 mean something,

00:36:19.000 but I don't

00:36:19.740 think it'll

00:36:20.140 change Hamas. 0.60

00:36:22.100 But it

00:36:22.920 should be

00:36:23.260 worth noting

00:36:23.860 that

00:36:24.640 perhaps one

00:36:27.380 of the

00:36:27.580 most public

00:36:29.600 critics of

00:36:30.740 management

00:36:31.240 has just

00:36:32.600 labeled Hamas

00:36:33.420 poorly managed.

00:36:34.320 So on

00:36:34.900 top of

00:36:35.300 whatever the

00:36:35.760 politics are,

00:36:37.240 even divorcing

00:36:38.560 from the

00:36:39.020 politics of

00:36:39.700 it all,

00:36:40.260 which is

00:36:40.560 hard,

00:36:41.420 but you

00:36:41.760 can do

00:36:42.100 it.

00:36:42.680 If you

00:36:42.940 just look

00:36:43.320 at the

00:36:43.600 talent,

00:36:44.680 just look

00:36:45.100 at the

00:36:45.360 skill,

00:36:46.680 none.

00:36:47.940 None.

00:36:49.520 Hamas,

00:36:50.040 you just

00:36:50.400 need to

00:36:50.800 get some

00:36:51.340 leadership

00:36:51.680 there.

00:36:53.000 Fix

00:36:53.320 that.

00:36:53.880 Jeez.

00:36:55.020 All right,

00:36:55.420 speaking of

00:36:55.940 persuasion,

00:36:57.520 and speaking

00:36:58.140 of epic

00:36:58.820 times,

00:37:00.040 Adrian Norman,

00:37:00.760 who is

00:37:01.780 author and

00:37:02.280 writer and

00:37:03.560 contributes to

00:37:04.480 the epic

00:37:04.820 times,

00:37:06.140 tweeted this.

00:37:06.800 He said

00:37:07.200 that books

00:37:08.840 by Scott

00:37:09.540 Adams,

00:37:10.300 that's me,

00:37:11.780 should be

00:37:12.300 required reading

00:37:13.180 for black

00:37:13.780 conservative

00:37:14.420 pundits and

00:37:15.180 influencers.

00:37:16.540 Many of

00:37:17.020 us,

00:37:17.560 he's black

00:37:19.040 so he can

00:37:19.600 say this,

00:37:20.080 many of us

00:37:20.660 lack real

00:37:21.780 persuasion

00:37:22.260 skills,

00:37:22.780 thus alienating

00:37:23.620 the very

00:37:24.100 audience we

00:37:24.840 claim to

00:37:25.360 want to

00:37:25.780 reach before

00:37:27.080 that audience

00:37:27.720 even hears

00:37:28.320 the good

00:37:28.700 news of

00:37:29.220 conservatism.

00:37:30.760 And I

00:37:32.620 would,

00:37:34.320 let's say

00:37:35.880 arrogantly,

00:37:37.860 I will

00:37:39.460 narcissistically

00:37:40.920 agree with

00:37:41.780 this statement

00:37:42.280 that it

00:37:43.620 doesn't have

00:37:44.040 to be me,

00:37:44.820 I mean it

00:37:45.100 doesn't have

00:37:45.400 to be my

00:37:45.900 books that

00:37:46.340 you're reading,

00:37:47.200 but black

00:37:47.860 America just

00:37:49.320 needs to

00:37:50.000 improve their

00:37:51.540 persuasion

00:37:52.060 skills.

00:37:53.120 Because if

00:37:54.100 you want

00:37:54.580 black America

00:37:55.540 to thrive,

00:37:56.940 and I do,

00:37:58.580 you've got to

00:37:59.220 get the

00:37:59.540 persuasion

00:38:00.060 right.

00:38:00.760 You've got

00:38:01.240 to get

00:38:01.460 that right.

00:38:02.500 And they

00:38:03.000 don't have

00:38:03.260 it even

00:38:03.520 close to

00:38:04.000 being right,

00:38:04.700 and it

00:38:05.160 looks like

00:38:05.580 maybe they're

00:38:06.060 not studying

00:38:07.200 it in the

00:38:07.680 right way.

00:38:08.960 So certainly

00:38:11.960 as Adrian

00:38:13.320 points out,

00:38:14.620 Adrian Norman

00:38:15.240 points out that

00:38:16.180 black conservatives

00:38:17.140 such as

00:38:18.000 himself are

00:38:19.320 finding value

00:38:20.100 in learning

00:38:20.560 to persuade.

00:38:21.980 So I

00:38:22.500 would,

00:38:22.800 I amplify

00:38:23.980 that point.

00:38:24.720 You don't

00:38:24.900 have to read

00:38:25.320 my books,

00:38:25.900 you could

00:38:26.140 read Cialdini,

00:38:28.860 Influence is a

00:38:30.000 great book,

00:38:30.520 that's a

00:38:30.860 good place

00:38:31.200 to start.

00:38:33.580 Trump has

00:38:34.260 legal problems

00:38:34.980 with the

00:38:35.440 state of

00:38:35.800 New York.

00:38:37.220 And I

00:38:38.000 was amused

00:38:38.760 to watch a

00:38:39.380 legal analyst

00:38:40.280 on CNN,

00:38:42.140 he said he

00:38:42.680 wanted to

00:38:43.180 warn the

00:38:43.780 audience.

00:38:46.340 And it's

00:38:47.080 funny that he

00:38:47.620 would have to

00:38:48.040 put it that

00:38:48.480 way.

00:38:49.200 I'd like to

00:38:49.980 caution the

00:38:50.580 audience that

00:38:52.500 it doesn't

00:38:53.220 mean Trump's

00:38:53.920 going to get

00:38:54.540 convicted of

00:38:56.160 anything,

00:38:56.480 or even

00:38:56.920 indicted.

00:38:58.260 And here

00:38:59.460 are the

00:38:59.720 points made

00:39:00.720 why Trump

00:39:01.560 may not

00:39:02.220 be in as

00:39:03.280 big a

00:39:03.660 danger as

00:39:04.420 you think.

00:39:05.340 And these

00:39:05.680 are interesting

00:39:06.140 points.

00:39:07.320 Number one,

00:39:08.500 Trump doesn't

00:39:09.200 use email.

00:39:11.140 Looks pretty

00:39:12.000 smart now,

00:39:12.760 doesn't it?

00:39:14.300 Trump doesn't

00:39:15.280 use email.

00:39:16.380 So in order

00:39:17.120 for Trump

00:39:17.600 himself to

00:39:18.260 be in

00:39:18.520 trouble,

00:39:19.140 as opposed

00:39:19.680 to the

00:39:20.040 organization,

00:39:20.920 which would

00:39:21.240 be less

00:39:22.060 of a jail

00:39:23.660 threat to

00:39:24.560 Trump,

00:39:24.880 in order

00:39:26.400 to show

00:39:26.780 that Trump

00:39:27.180 personally was

00:39:28.440 aware of

00:39:28.920 anything that

00:39:29.460 may or may

00:39:29.860 not have

00:39:30.200 happened,

00:39:31.120 you're going

00:39:31.540 to need

00:39:31.920 either,

00:39:33.600 you either

00:39:34.020 need him

00:39:34.540 to admit

00:39:34.980 it,

00:39:36.120 that's not

00:39:36.860 going to

00:39:37.040 happen,

00:39:37.740 you need

00:39:38.240 a record

00:39:39.500 that he

00:39:40.320 wrote,

00:39:40.880 ideally,

00:39:41.400 not somebody

00:39:41.940 talking about

00:39:42.640 him,

00:39:43.360 but something

00:39:43.800 that he

00:39:44.180 wrote,

00:39:44.660 ideally.

00:39:45.380 Could be

00:39:45.780 contemporaneous

00:39:46.520 notes,

00:39:47.020 but I don't

00:39:47.380 know that we

00:39:47.740 have any.

00:39:48.840 And he

00:39:50.300 doesn't use

00:39:50.720 email,

00:39:51.440 so there's

00:39:51.800 probably nothing

00:39:52.360 in writing.

00:39:53.900 And then if

00:39:54.520 you don't

00:39:54.780 have that,

00:39:55.460 you usually

00:39:55.980 depend on

00:39:56.680 an insider

00:39:57.520 who flips.

00:39:59.760 Most of

00:40:00.380 the insiders,

00:40:01.220 it's a very

00:40:01.600 small number

00:40:02.220 of people

00:40:02.620 who have

00:40:02.940 worked there

00:40:03.440 for a long

00:40:03.940 time.

00:40:04.920 Do you

00:40:05.200 think they're

00:40:05.580 going to

00:40:05.780 flip?

00:40:08.620 Probably

00:40:09.060 not.

00:40:10.400 Probably

00:40:10.700 not.

00:40:11.640 And then

00:40:12.080 beyond that,

00:40:13.040 I think

00:40:13.440 there's going

00:40:13.860 to be an

00:40:14.220 opinion and

00:40:14.980 a judgment

00:40:15.500 question.

00:40:17.000 So here's

00:40:17.840 what I don't

00:40:18.420 think it is.

00:40:19.320 I don't

00:40:19.760 think you're

00:40:20.200 going to

00:40:20.320 find like

00:40:20.860 a falsified

00:40:22.560 document.

00:40:23.140 We would

00:40:24.480 already know

00:40:24.940 about that,

00:40:25.480 I think.

00:40:26.100 So I don't

00:40:26.560 think you'll

00:40:26.900 find a

00:40:27.240 document that

00:40:28.000 somebody just

00:40:28.540 changed a

00:40:29.500 number on,

00:40:30.360 you know,

00:40:30.520 something like

00:40:31.080 really obvious

00:40:32.200 like that.

00:40:32.660 It won't

00:40:32.780 be that.

00:40:34.500 I'm guessing,

00:40:35.680 and this is

00:40:36.180 just speculation

00:40:37.080 at this point,

00:40:38.240 that there's

00:40:38.880 going to be a

00:40:39.340 real judgment

00:40:40.200 involved here.

00:40:41.940 In other

00:40:42.340 words,

00:40:42.580 it will be

00:40:42.840 this point

00:40:43.320 where somebody

00:40:43.860 says,

00:40:44.440 the value

00:40:45.240 of this

00:40:45.640 building that

00:40:46.300 you said

00:40:46.740 for getting

00:40:47.200 a loan

00:40:47.740 was X,

00:40:49.220 but when

00:40:49.800 you valued

00:40:50.380 the business

00:40:51.200 for paying

00:40:52.200 property tax,

00:40:53.200 you said it

00:40:53.660 was a lower

00:40:54.220 value.

00:40:55.120 They can't

00:40:55.620 both be

00:40:56.100 true,

00:40:56.600 can they?

00:40:57.840 But here's

00:40:58.320 the thing,

00:40:59.600 they can be,

00:41:00.820 they can both

00:41:01.460 be true,

00:41:02.240 they can be

00:41:02.780 different numbers

00:41:03.440 and both be

00:41:04.000 true.

00:41:04.720 Because one

00:41:05.480 is a lending

00:41:07.160 context,

00:41:08.100 one is a

00:41:08.620 property tax

00:41:09.360 context,

00:41:10.360 and you do

00:41:11.340 have the option

00:41:12.180 of treating

00:41:13.020 them differently.

00:41:14.340 In fact,

00:41:14.740 it's not even

00:41:15.240 uncommon.

00:41:16.580 So I think

00:41:17.300 it's going to

00:41:17.680 come down to

00:41:18.200 some kind

00:41:18.620 of a judgment

00:41:19.160 call,

00:41:19.600 and I

00:41:20.520 don't know

00:41:20.840 if anybody

00:41:21.260 gets convicted

00:41:22.540 for that.

00:41:23.640 It looks

00:41:24.180 political.

00:41:25.620 And I

00:41:27.300 tried to

00:41:28.160 speak very,

00:41:29.240 very carefully.

00:41:32.580 Oh,

00:41:33.140 I'm going to

00:41:33.400 have to sign

00:41:34.120 off here real

00:41:34.660 soon.

00:41:35.540 I tried to

00:41:36.120 speak very

00:41:37.060 carefully on

00:41:38.560 this topic,

00:41:39.500 which is,

00:41:41.160 I feel,

00:41:42.280 when I see

00:41:43.000 Trump being

00:41:43.880 chased legally,

00:41:45.880 and I don't

00:41:46.680 see strong

00:41:47.520 charges,

00:41:48.060 so we're

00:41:49.500 not aware

00:41:49.960 of any

00:41:50.320 charges that

00:41:50.940 look good

00:41:52.680 at this

00:41:53.040 point,

00:41:53.300 right?

00:41:55.460 I take

00:41:56.200 it personally.

00:41:57.420 I feel

00:41:57.880 like Trump

00:41:58.520 is sort

00:41:59.900 of the

00:42:00.160 canary in

00:42:00.720 the coal

00:42:01.040 mine that

00:42:01.720 protects the

00:42:02.460 rest of us

00:42:03.080 who have

00:42:03.340 ever said

00:42:03.800 anything

00:42:04.120 positive

00:42:04.620 about we

00:42:05.080 have more

00:42:05.440 politics or

00:42:06.280 conservatism

00:42:07.540 or any

00:42:07.880 of that.

00:42:08.580 I feel

00:42:09.060 like if

00:42:10.300 Trump goes

00:42:10.960 down for

00:42:11.540 charges that

00:42:12.280 I personally

00:42:13.100 feel are

00:42:13.780 bullshit,

00:42:14.840 I'm going

00:42:15.920 to take it

00:42:16.340 personally.

00:42:16.780 Let me

00:42:17.880 say that

00:42:18.240 again.

00:42:19.120 If Trump

00:42:19.940 does go

00:42:20.660 down, or

00:42:21.320 even if

00:42:21.660 they try

00:42:22.020 to take

00:42:22.380 him down,

00:42:23.400 on charges

00:42:24.200 that the

00:42:24.880 rest of us

00:42:25.440 look at and

00:42:25.980 say, that's

00:42:26.460 just bullshit,

00:42:27.800 I'm taking it

00:42:28.680 personally.

00:42:30.040 Like, this

00:42:30.660 isn't politics

00:42:31.380 anymore.

00:42:32.360 This is

00:42:32.840 personal.

00:42:34.040 And let me

00:42:34.420 say as

00:42:35.180 clearly as I

00:42:35.840 can, no

00:42:36.440 violence,

00:42:37.020 right?

00:42:37.620 Nobody, I'm

00:42:38.520 not suggesting

00:42:39.040 any violence,

00:42:40.160 it doesn't

00:42:40.620 help anybody.

00:42:41.700 Won't get you

00:42:42.320 what you want,

00:42:43.180 won't get you

00:42:43.720 anything, don't

00:42:44.540 do any violence.

00:42:45.220 But, would

00:42:47.220 I act

00:42:47.780 differently if

00:42:48.480 I take it

00:42:48.960 personally?

00:42:49.460 Yeah, I

00:42:49.740 would.

00:42:50.400 Yeah, I'm

00:42:50.780 going to act

00:42:51.300 differently, I'm

00:42:52.080 not going to

00:42:52.340 do anything

00:42:52.660 violent, but

00:42:53.900 I'm definitely

00:42:54.660 acting differently

00:42:55.480 if I take

00:42:56.840 this personally.

00:43:00.160 And I

00:43:00.820 would like to

00:43:01.320 call out

00:43:01.820 Marjorie Taylor

00:43:02.800 Green for

00:43:03.920 one of the

00:43:04.400 greatest services

00:43:05.560 to humankind,

00:43:07.200 certainly in

00:43:07.740 America, that

00:43:08.920 I have ever

00:43:09.420 seen.

00:43:10.320 I'd like you

00:43:11.020 all to join

00:43:11.680 me in a

00:43:12.540 standing ovation.

00:43:13.480 Let me tell

00:43:13.980 you why

00:43:14.340 first.

00:43:15.480 Don't

00:43:15.600 stand, don't

00:43:16.200 clap yet.

00:43:17.720 Marjorie Taylor

00:43:18.480 Green, for

00:43:20.080 all of her

00:43:20.740 faults, you 0.58

00:43:21.520 may have some

00:43:23.000 criticisms

00:43:23.500 yourself, but

00:43:24.840 for all of

00:43:25.380 her faults, she

00:43:26.780 is doing one

00:43:27.400 of the greatest

00:43:27.920 things I've

00:43:28.700 ever seen any

00:43:29.540 American patriot

00:43:30.340 ever do.

00:43:31.620 She has made

00:43:32.340 the left argue

00:43:34.140 that you

00:43:34.940 shouldn't make

00:43:35.620 Hitler analogies.

00:43:38.480 Join me now

00:43:39.560 in a standing

00:43:41.000 ovation for

00:43:43.000 Marjorie Taylor

00:43:43.720 Green, successfully

00:43:45.340 making the

00:43:46.000 left argue in

00:43:47.000 public and

00:43:47.560 consistently that

00:43:48.900 it's ridiculous

00:43:49.540 to make Hitler 0.92

00:43:50.920 and Holocaust

00:43:52.160 analogies.

00:43:53.200 Thank you,

00:43:53.860 thank you,

00:43:54.500 thank you.

00:43:55.200 And if we

00:43:55.840 could just put

00:43:56.380 her on Mount

00:43:58.560 Rushmore, just

00:43:59.880 for that.

00:44:01.060 I mean, she

00:44:01.700 may do some

00:44:02.260 more good

00:44:02.680 things in the

00:44:03.200 future, but

00:44:04.300 just for that.

00:44:05.860 That's it.

00:44:06.560 Just that.

00:44:07.940 Just start

00:44:08.520 carving.

00:44:09.740 Just, you

00:44:10.260 know, just

00:44:10.680 start carving.

00:44:12.300 Putting it

00:44:12.660 right up there

00:44:13.180 because nobody's

00:44:13.880 done anything

00:44:14.260 better than that

00:44:14.880 all year.

00:44:16.100 And that is

00:44:17.400 the end of

00:44:18.480 today's version

00:44:19.800 of Coffee

00:44:21.200 with Scott

00:44:21.560 Adams.

00:44:21.960 I think it's

00:44:22.400 the best one

00:44:22.820 you've ever

00:44:23.200 seen.

00:44:23.900 Until tomorrow.

00:44:25.340 And, yes,

00:44:28.340 Sparky, two-tier

00:44:29.140 justices.

00:44:30.080 And we will see

00:44:30.980 you tomorrow.

00:44:31.740 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 26, 2021

Episode 1387 Scott Adams： Persuasion Hits and Misses, Including Hamas, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Inflation, QANON and More

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