Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1398 Scott Adams： Puppies and Rainbows Are the Decoy Topics For Today

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, it's time for poppies and rainbows.

00:00:09.720 Yeah, that's the decoy title for today.

00:00:13.480 We're trying to game the system with the algorithm

00:00:16.780 because the algorithm will demonetize me if I have any controversial topics in it.

00:00:23.140 I don't have any controversial content.

00:00:25.840 I mean, nothing that would get me booted off of social media,

00:00:30.120 but it's very controversial in its own modest way.

00:00:34.460 So before we do the simultaneous sip, and I know that's why many of you are here,

00:00:41.060 can we talk about Floyd Mayweather and Logan Paul getting ready to box?

00:00:48.220 What is happening with the world that Floyd Mayweather and Logan Paul even can be in the same ring?

00:00:56.440 Isn't one of them the best boxer in the world, and the other one is Logan Paul?

00:01:04.960 It's good entertainment, and I have to say that Logan Paul is a genius at getting publicity.

00:01:11.100 And I also have to say, I was looking at the video.

00:01:14.700 Man, he's doing a good job with his fitness.

00:01:17.820 But you know what the big story is?

00:01:20.020 So I guess they're doing a little publicity thing, the weigh-in or whatever it is,

00:01:25.780 where the two potential boxers are basically doing a visual thing.

00:01:32.260 And Logan Paul said, and I quote, talking about the boxing match, he said,

00:01:39.420 tomorrow I break the effing simulation and beat the greatest boxer in the history of the planet.

00:01:45.260 So even Logan Paul is describing the fact that he will be boxing the best boxer on the planet.

00:01:53.740 He says he must be living in a simulation.

00:01:57.660 What do you think of that?

00:01:58.760 So even Logan Paul is talking about living in the simulation.

00:02:02.900 Now, if you were him, and you had the life that Logan Paul has had so far,

00:02:09.680 wouldn't you believe you lived in a simulation?

00:02:11.680 Because I don't know a ton about Logan Paul,

00:02:16.140 but it looks like he just decides what he wants reality to be,

00:02:21.280 and then it becomes that.

00:02:24.440 Right?

00:02:25.500 Well, let's have the simultaneous sip to that.

00:02:29.060 You know, and if you'd like to enjoy it,

00:02:30.640 all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or chalice,

00:02:32.720 a stein, a canteen, a jug of flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:02:36.380 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:02:38.320 I like coffee.

00:02:39.040 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure,

00:02:42.820 the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better,

00:02:46.280 a little oxytocin sprinkled in.

00:02:49.660 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it's going to happen now.

00:02:52.000 Go.

00:02:56.180 Ah, that's right.

00:02:58.560 You made it in time.

00:03:00.600 Well, the big news.

00:03:02.740 Well, before we get to the big news,

00:03:04.960 I love political pranks,

00:03:07.020 especially if they're funny.

00:03:09.640 Now, you saw the story about AOC's grandmother down in Puerto Rico,

00:03:15.020 and AOC blamed President Trump for her grandmother

00:03:18.620 still having a suboptimal situation down there

00:03:22.540 after the disasters in Puerto Rico.

00:03:24.760 So after AOC complained about her grandmother's situation,

00:03:30.680 Matt Walsh,

00:03:32.540 the Daily Wire,

00:03:34.780 he did a GoFundMe to raise money for her grandmother.

00:03:38.380 So it's funny because Matt Walsh is a right-leaning critic of AOC.

00:03:45.280 So instead of complaining,

00:03:48.700 he just fixes her problem.

00:03:51.960 Now, the reason it's hilarious

00:03:53.960 is because the Republican brand

00:03:57.120 is more about fixing stuff,

00:03:59.900 and the Democrat brand

00:04:01.700 is more about complaining about stuff.

00:04:03.840 Now, this may be just my own impression, right?

00:04:05.980 But it feels like that.

00:04:07.640 It feels like one is about fixing stuff,

00:04:10.280 and one is about complaining about stuff.

00:04:12.000 So AOC complains about stuff,

00:04:14.460 and Matt Walsh fixes it.

00:04:16.580 He just fixes it.

00:04:18.420 Except there's a wrinkle in the plan,

00:04:20.780 which is apparently somebody in AOC's family

00:04:24.620 rejected the money,

00:04:26.560 so the GoFundMe people took it down

00:04:28.900 and took her money away.

00:04:30.560 So imagine being...

00:04:32.000 Imagine being AOC's grandmother,

00:04:37.320 and she's having a bad time,

00:04:39.560 and then AOC, who's doing great,

00:04:43.180 is complaining about her grandmother

00:04:44.560 having a bad time,

00:04:45.760 and her grandmother's probably thinking,

00:04:47.860 you know,

00:04:48.960 you could probably fix some of this.

00:04:52.360 I'm just saying.

00:04:54.320 You're an AOC.

00:04:56.480 I'm your grandmother.

00:04:58.520 You might be able to fix some of my problems

00:05:00.980 if you really applied yourself to it.

00:05:03.480 I feel like she was thinking that.

00:05:05.900 You know, I'm doing some mind reading now.

00:05:07.500 But then Matt Walsh comes along

00:05:10.620 and fixes her problem. 1.00

00:05:12.340 Here's $100,000.

00:05:13.760 It's already pledged.

00:05:15.680 Right?

00:05:15.940 People actually put their credit cards in there.

00:05:17.900 They pledged $100,000.

00:05:19.520 So Grandma's problems are fixed.

00:05:22.960 And then Grandma finds out, 0.64

00:05:25.340 and I don't know if this fact is true,

00:05:27.820 but then Grandma finds out

00:05:29.040 that somebody in her family

00:05:30.200 decided to turn it down on her behalf.

00:05:32.120 Well, there's your $100,000, Grandma,

00:05:36.100 right down the crapper.

00:05:38.540 So as political pranks go,

00:05:42.980 this was one of the best.

00:05:45.240 Because number one,

00:05:46.340 it didn't cost them anything,

00:05:47.820 because the GoFundMe ended up getting canceled.

00:05:50.460 The Democrats proved 0.56

00:05:51.800 that they would shoot themselves in the foot

00:05:54.320 rather than solve a problem.

00:05:57.280 They would rather shoot themselves in the foot

00:06:01.140 than solve a problem.

00:06:03.660 And you've never seen it more cleanly laid out.

00:06:06.700 Here's my problem.

00:06:08.040 Oh, okay.

00:06:09.140 Here's a total solution.

00:06:11.260 Completely done.

00:06:12.780 No ambiguity.

00:06:14.980 No, nothing's missing.

00:06:18.500 You needed some money.

00:06:20.200 Here you go.

00:06:22.120 And then they took it away.

00:06:24.840 I mean, you can't do a prank

00:06:27.300 that works out better than this.

00:06:29.140 Although it's kind of cruel for the grandmother.

00:06:31.720 And I wish she'd gotten her money.

00:06:33.940 I mean, the prank worked just as well

00:06:37.240 whether she got her money or not.

00:06:39.740 So can't she get her money? 1.00

00:06:43.280 I mean, it feels like Grandma

00:06:45.160 should get some money out of this.

00:06:47.380 She was part of the show.

00:06:51.120 All right.

00:06:51.840 So the Republicans had their convention last night.

00:06:55.840 And Trump was the, you know,

00:06:58.040 I guess the most interesting featured speaker.

00:07:02.640 And we're getting a sense now

00:07:04.200 what the Republicans will be pushing

00:07:05.980 in 2022 and beyond

00:07:07.820 for their main themes.

00:07:11.100 So I'm going to run by you

00:07:12.920 what I think will be their main themes

00:07:15.000 based on what they've said so far.

00:07:17.420 And let's judge them.

00:07:18.940 All right.

00:07:19.660 Put your persuasion head on.

00:07:22.100 Persuasion head on.

00:07:23.200 Are these good ideas

00:07:25.660 for Republican, you know, political interests?

00:07:31.300 And it looks like these are the major themes.

00:07:33.000 Number one,

00:07:34.180 Trump said that China is responsible for the virus

00:07:38.700 and should pay $10 trillion in reparations.

00:07:42.560 Now, when Trump says China should pay $10 trillion in reparations,

00:07:49.360 is that good persuasion or bad?

00:07:52.480 Judge his technique.

00:07:54.140 Have I taught you anything?

00:07:55.200 Well, I won't wait for your answer

00:07:58.120 because it's good.

00:07:59.800 It's really good persuasion.

00:08:02.840 Trump is just good at this.

00:08:05.360 You know, you don't realize what good looks like

00:08:07.800 persuasion-wise

00:08:08.900 until he comes back into the headlines.

00:08:11.940 The moment Trump enters the headlines,

00:08:15.420 it's good persuasion again.

00:08:17.740 It's like it's been missing the whole time.

00:08:20.040 And then he comes in and he goes,

00:08:21.160 well, let me show you how to do this again.

00:08:23.100 All right?

00:08:23.360 You don't say,

00:08:25.620 China, we think maybe you owe us something.

00:08:28.760 You don't say,

00:08:30.160 I don't know, maybe we should look into this.

00:08:32.520 You don't say,

00:08:34.080 I think there are great economic problems

00:08:37.780 caused by China hand-waving,

00:08:40.440 hand-waving, China, China.

00:08:43.220 That's bad persuasion.

00:08:45.040 Let me show you what good persuasion looks like.

00:08:48.460 China, you owe us $10 trillion. 0.98

00:08:53.360 That's good persuasion, right?

00:08:56.600 The fact that it's a big round number

00:08:58.980 is perfect.

00:09:01.680 It's perfect.

00:09:02.940 You can't forget $10 trillion.

00:09:04.760 How many of you will hear $10 trillion

00:09:07.000 and never forget it for the rest of your life?

00:09:12.060 You probably remember that number

00:09:14.100 for the rest of your life.

00:09:17.320 Imagine any other number

00:09:18.840 that you would remember for the rest of your life.

00:09:22.240 Good luck.

00:09:24.020 Good luck.

00:09:25.200 Come up with any number,

00:09:27.240 like a number,

00:09:28.980 that a politician says

00:09:30.340 that you would remember for the rest of your life.

00:09:34.860 I'll bet 9-1-1 somebody says.

00:09:38.020 Yeah, maybe nine justices of the Supreme Court.

00:09:43.480 But basically,

00:09:44.700 there's almost no such thing

00:09:46.840 as a number that you remember forever.

00:09:50.340 You know,

00:09:51.140 unless there's like a 9-11 event or something.

00:09:53.860 So Trump has this amazing ability

00:09:55.820 to just say $10 trillion,

00:09:57.780 sticks in your head,

00:09:59.200 it's an insanely big number,

00:10:01.520 feels like it could be in the neighborhood,

00:10:03.760 like your brain doesn't reject it.

00:10:05.800 Your brain does not say it's too big.

00:10:08.220 It really doesn't.

00:10:09.920 But it's so big.

00:10:11.140 So here's the magic of Trump's approach.

00:10:14.320 How do you come up with a number

00:10:17.280 that is insanely big

00:10:20.340 and your brain still says,

00:10:22.500 yeah, it's probably in the neighborhood.

00:10:24.340 It's pretty close.

00:10:26.300 He took two things that can't fit together

00:10:28.700 and he made them fit together

00:10:30.780 and then your brain can't release on it

00:10:33.000 because two things that don't fit together

00:10:34.660 just were made to fit together.

00:10:36.720 You don't forget that.

00:10:38.760 How do you do that?

00:10:40.600 Right?

00:10:40.900 He makes it look easy

00:10:41.920 because you're saying to yourself,

00:10:44.020 I think you're making too big a deal about this.

00:10:45.840 He just threw out a big number.

00:10:47.700 No.

00:10:49.140 No.

00:10:50.440 He's so consistent

00:10:51.700 with the way he does this right

00:10:53.540 that it's not an accident.

00:10:55.300 It's not just throwing out a big number.

00:10:57.240 This is designed.

00:10:58.400 It's designed to persuasion

00:11:01.760 and designed perfectly.

00:11:02.800 The other thing that the Republicans

00:11:07.220 are going after hard

00:11:08.320 is critical race theory.

00:11:10.400 Remember, Republicans like an enemy.

00:11:13.840 Everybody likes an enemy in politics, right?

00:11:16.320 But the Republicans,

00:11:17.800 their enemies are going to be China. 0.97

00:11:21.120 I give that an A plus for a technique.

00:11:25.180 Critical race theory,

00:11:26.720 that's going to get people to the polls.

00:11:30.160 Right?

00:11:30.280 That's going to get people out of their chairs. 0.98

00:11:33.880 So they know the things

00:11:34.960 that will get people to stand up.

00:11:37.140 And certainly within the Republican Party,

00:11:40.000 if you say your kids are going to be brainwashed

00:11:42.400 to think they're inferior,

00:11:45.600 that's going to get you to the polls.

00:11:48.680 All right.

00:11:49.600 The other enemy is Dr. Fauci.

00:11:52.620 Dr. Fauci is the face

00:11:55.560 that the Republicans,

00:11:56.840 and Trump in particular,

00:11:57.900 they're going to put Fauci's face

00:12:00.360 on the idea

00:12:01.140 that experts should be trusted

00:12:03.180 in all cases,

00:12:04.180 or that the experts are always right.

00:12:07.500 And he's also on the side of the,

00:12:11.120 let's say,

00:12:11.740 the overreaction,

00:12:13.940 or maybe overconservative,

00:12:15.680 say,

00:12:16.080 the Republicans'

00:12:17.540 approach to the pandemic.

00:12:20.720 What did he call?

00:12:22.000 Trump called Fauci

00:12:23.720 a radical masker.

00:12:25.280 A radical masker.

00:12:28.660 He wants multiple masks,

00:12:30.520 et cetera.

00:12:31.480 Now,

00:12:31.860 as soon as you heard that,

00:12:33.520 Trump said,

00:12:34.460 Fauci is a radical masker,

00:12:36.740 you knew that was a keeper,

00:12:39.080 right?

00:12:39.900 Once again,

00:12:41.100 Trump comes up with a phrase

00:12:42.580 that's just a headline.

00:12:44.240 He's a radical masker.

00:12:45.940 Now,

00:12:46.260 everybody else has been talking about Fauci.

00:12:48.200 Why did it take Trump

00:12:49.300 to come up with a nickname

00:12:51.140 that's certainly going to be

00:12:53.420 the headline today

00:12:54.260 if it doesn't stick?

00:12:56.420 He's got that gift.

00:12:58.280 And then,

00:12:58.600 of course,

00:12:59.080 the Republicans will be going hard

00:13:00.820 against what they would call

00:13:02.260 election fraud.

00:13:04.660 So,

00:13:05.180 that looks to be

00:13:06.560 their four big ones.

00:13:08.080 China,

00:13:08.640 critical race theory,

00:13:10.200 Fauci,

00:13:10.800 as a stand-in

00:13:11.660 for all bad experts,

00:13:13.580 and then election fraud.

00:13:15.120 apparently there was some booing 0.93

00:13:18.820 when the Georgia governor,

00:13:20.440 Brian Kemp,

00:13:21.680 got up there,

00:13:22.500 and I think the Secretary of State,

00:13:24.520 Rafsenberger,

00:13:25.760 got some booing too.

00:13:27.780 And,

00:13:28.400 that is shown as a,

00:13:31.020 it's being reported as

00:13:32.520 evidence that Trump has control

00:13:35.040 of the Republican Party.

00:13:36.460 What do you think?

00:13:37.660 Does Trump still have control

00:13:39.480 of the Republican Party?

00:13:42.080 Feels like it.

00:13:43.060 Because he has control

00:13:44.560 of the public.

00:13:45.920 He has control

00:13:46.800 of so much of the public

00:13:47.920 that the Republican Party

00:13:49.340 pretty much is going to have

00:13:50.520 to give him what he wants

00:13:51.460 unless something changes.

00:13:56.680 So,

00:13:57.800 you know,

00:13:58.740 all the news

00:13:59.680 was about Trump

00:14:01.580 this morning.

00:14:02.300 If you looked at

00:14:03.260 CNN,

00:14:04.980 the entire

00:14:05.840 top part of the news

00:14:07.860 where all the important stuff is,

00:14:09.800 I think it was

00:14:10.520 all Trump stories.

00:14:11.740 and CNN

00:14:13.980 was having a total

00:14:15.020 Trump-gasm

00:14:16.440 this morning.

00:14:17.620 They're like,

00:14:18.220 Trump said what?

00:14:19.200 Oh! 0.60

00:14:20.780 Trump

00:14:21.300 gave somebody

00:14:22.340 a nickname?

00:14:22.940 Oh! 0.60

00:14:24.540 Trump

00:14:25.100 accused China

00:14:26.400 of 10 trillion?

00:14:27.580 Oh! 0.60

00:14:28.740 So,

00:14:29.400 they're just having

00:14:30.100 this massive

00:14:30.860 serial orgasms

00:14:33.120 over the fact

00:14:33.760 that Trump's

00:14:34.280 in the news again.

00:14:35.480 One of the big stories

00:14:36.300 was Trump

00:14:37.220 wearing his pants

00:14:37.940 backwards.

00:14:40.080 What?

00:14:40.600 On Twitter,

00:14:43.720 there are all these

00:14:44.220 pictures

00:14:44.660 of what appear

00:14:46.180 to be

00:14:46.680 Trump

00:14:47.460 wearing his pants

00:14:48.440 backwards.

00:14:50.000 Now,

00:14:50.560 I don't believe

00:14:51.340 he wore his pants

00:14:52.140 backwards.

00:14:53.100 Let me just say that.

00:14:54.440 But,

00:14:54.880 there is a photograph

00:14:55.960 where his pants

00:14:57.680 don't have a zipper.

00:14:59.520 It looks like

00:15:00.200 it was,

00:15:00.500 it looks

00:15:00.840 photoshopped.

00:15:02.160 It looks like

00:15:02.600 somebody just

00:15:03.040 photoshopped

00:15:03.580 the zipper out.

00:15:04.560 And the story

00:15:05.280 was about

00:15:05.660 the wrinkles

00:15:06.160 in his pants

00:15:06.860 and blah,

00:15:08.460 blah,

00:15:08.540 blah.

00:15:09.320 But,

00:15:10.200 I think

00:15:11.560 it's photoshopped

00:15:12.540 because I don't

00:15:13.300 think he was

00:15:13.880 wearing pants

00:15:14.540 that have no zipper.

00:15:16.120 But that's

00:15:16.500 what the photograph

00:15:17.080 looked like.

00:15:20.900 Here's a

00:15:21.680 hypothesis

00:15:22.560 that I would

00:15:24.000 need a fact

00:15:24.560 check on.

00:15:25.400 So,

00:15:26.160 Twitter user

00:15:26.840 Adam

00:15:27.400 tweeted this

00:15:28.420 at me

00:15:28.680 this morning

00:15:29.200 and I thought

00:15:29.940 it's worth

00:15:31.320 mentioning.

00:15:32.120 Can somebody

00:15:32.480 give me

00:15:32.740 a fact check

00:15:33.300 on this?

00:15:33.760 And it's

00:15:34.680 an innocent

00:15:35.640 explanation

00:15:36.240 for why

00:15:37.800 Sunday morning

00:15:38.560 voting might 0.59

00:15:39.260 have been

00:15:39.500 limited.

00:15:40.440 Remember when

00:15:40.960 you heard

00:15:41.340 that the

00:15:42.020 Republicans

00:15:42.780 want to

00:15:43.320 limit the

00:15:44.840 voting on

00:15:45.420 Sundays

00:15:45.860 to certain

00:15:47.180 hours?

00:15:48.000 And you

00:15:48.280 said to

00:15:48.560 yourself,

00:15:49.200 voter suppression,

00:15:50.800 they're trying

00:15:51.200 to keep the

00:15:51.760 churches from

00:15:52.400 voting or

00:15:54.000 moving their

00:15:54.720 people to

00:15:55.140 vote directly

00:15:55.700 after church.

00:15:56.540 It's a trick

00:15:57.120 to stop the

00:15:57.780 black voters

00:15:58.340 from being

00:15:58.900 effective.

00:15:59.880 Well,

00:16:01.340 one of the

00:16:01.900 other explanations

00:16:02.780 is,

00:16:03.860 and when you

00:16:04.640 hear this,

00:16:05.500 it's going to

00:16:05.980 make you mad

00:16:06.840 that nobody

00:16:08.580 told you this

00:16:09.180 before.

00:16:10.620 Now,

00:16:10.940 I think this

00:16:11.440 is true,

00:16:12.440 but do me a

00:16:13.300 fact check

00:16:13.740 because I

00:16:14.020 can't say I'm

00:16:14.520 positive.

00:16:15.480 And it goes

00:16:15.860 like this,

00:16:17.060 that in some

00:16:17.740 places,

00:16:18.880 churches are

00:16:20.620 also the

00:16:21.220 polling place.

00:16:23.080 Did you see

00:16:23.880 that coming?

00:16:24.940 The church

00:16:25.860 is also

00:16:27.660 the polling

00:16:29.220 place.

00:16:29.880 So you

00:16:30.660 can't have

00:16:31.240 the church

00:16:32.140 being a

00:16:32.620 church at

00:16:33.740 exactly the

00:16:34.480 same time

00:16:35.100 and day

00:16:35.640 that the

00:16:36.640 church is

00:16:37.060 a polling

00:16:37.440 place.

00:16:38.880 So it

00:16:39.480 turns out

00:16:40.060 that this

00:16:40.940 change might

00:16:41.500 have at

00:16:41.980 least had

00:16:42.460 something to

00:16:43.080 do with

00:16:43.600 the fact

00:16:44.640 that they

00:16:44.960 don't want

00:16:45.460 to make

00:16:46.760 it hard

00:16:47.120 to go to

00:16:47.560 church.

00:16:50.700 Give me

00:16:51.300 a fact check

00:16:52.000 on that.

00:16:53.080 Is that

00:16:53.480 true?

00:16:54.260 That the

00:16:54.900 real reason

00:16:55.520 for the

00:16:55.960 law was

00:16:57.140 to make

00:16:57.460 sure that

00:16:57.800 you had

00:16:58.020 time to

00:16:58.400 go to

00:16:58.660 church?

00:16:59.880 And that

00:17:00.360 they didn't

00:17:00.740 use it

00:17:01.080 as a

00:17:01.380 polling

00:17:01.620 place on

00:17:02.780 Sunday

00:17:03.200 morning when

00:17:04.660 you wanted

00:17:05.120 to use

00:17:05.580 the church

00:17:06.240 for a

00:17:07.380 church?

00:17:08.500 Is that

00:17:09.260 all this

00:17:09.800 was?

00:17:11.000 Now, I

00:17:11.680 never believe

00:17:12.340 anything is

00:17:13.180 all it was,

00:17:14.100 right?

00:17:14.520 So even if

00:17:15.320 there was a

00:17:15.720 perfectly good

00:17:16.420 reason, it

00:17:17.460 might also

00:17:18.200 have an

00:17:18.560 effect on

00:17:19.300 suppressing

00:17:20.800 some votes.

00:17:21.460 falsehoods.

00:17:22.720 So I

00:17:23.100 don't think

00:17:24.480 okay, I'm

00:17:27.180 seeing people

00:17:27.700 confirm it.

00:17:29.420 Oh, John

00:17:30.480 says yes, my

00:17:31.280 polling place

00:17:31.920 is a

00:17:32.240 church.

00:17:33.180 So doesn't

00:17:34.120 it make

00:17:34.440 sense that

00:17:35.020 you should

00:17:35.440 not make

00:17:36.020 it legal

00:17:36.520 to do

00:17:37.160 polling

00:17:38.080 before 11

00:17:38.940 a.m.

00:17:40.200 because that's

00:17:40.800 when you're

00:17:41.180 churching?

00:17:42.840 Is that

00:17:43.500 the whole

00:17:43.880 story?

00:17:45.260 I mean, is

00:17:45.980 that actually

00:17:46.720 the whole

00:17:47.860 story?

00:17:48.860 Because I

00:17:49.460 don't know.

00:17:50.680 It doesn't

00:17:51.360 feel like it

00:17:52.000 could be the

00:17:52.380 whole story.

00:17:52.980 It just feels

00:17:53.680 a little too

00:17:54.120 simple.

00:17:55.640 But did we

00:17:56.520 go this far

00:17:57.340 without that

00:17:57.880 being a

00:17:58.260 headline?

00:17:59.560 Did nobody

00:18:00.140 brought that

00:18:01.600 up until I

00:18:02.260 saw it from

00:18:02.800 a user on

00:18:03.640 Twitter?

00:18:04.480 That wasn't

00:18:05.020 on CNN?

00:18:06.440 Nobody on

00:18:07.080 Fox News

00:18:07.760 thought to

00:18:08.200 mention that?

00:18:09.440 Has anybody

00:18:10.020 even heard

00:18:10.440 this before?

00:18:12.100 How do we

00:18:12.820 get this far

00:18:13.620 in a topic

00:18:15.860 that I've

00:18:16.300 talked about

00:18:16.800 in public

00:18:17.680 I've talked

00:18:19.180 about this

00:18:19.620 topic in

00:18:20.340 public and

00:18:22.260 yet I heard

00:18:22.800 this fact

00:18:24.280 or I guess

00:18:25.700 it's a fact

00:18:26.260 this morning.

00:18:29.040 How in the

00:18:30.140 world I

00:18:31.480 would consider

00:18:32.000 myself,

00:18:33.160 maybe you

00:18:34.120 can judge

00:18:34.540 me too.

00:18:36.420 If you

00:18:37.060 were to

00:18:37.340 judge all

00:18:37.880 the people

00:18:38.240 in this

00:18:38.560 country in

00:18:39.080 terms of

00:18:39.480 how well

00:18:39.940 informed

00:18:40.500 they are

00:18:41.120 on political

00:18:42.320 stuff,

00:18:43.160 where would

00:18:43.580 you put

00:18:43.900 me?

00:18:44.880 If you've

00:18:45.380 watched me

00:18:45.800 long enough,

00:18:47.000 would you

00:18:47.440 say it's

00:18:48.480 safe to

00:18:48.960 say I'm

00:18:49.380 in the

00:18:49.640 top 10%

00:18:50.460 of citizens

00:18:52.660 who are

00:18:53.180 well informed

00:18:54.040 about politics?

00:18:55.380 Would you

00:18:55.720 give me that

00:18:56.180 top 10%?

00:18:58.760 Because I

00:18:59.320 feel like if

00:18:59.960 you just pay

00:19:00.580 attention to

00:19:01.180 it and it's

00:19:01.640 part of your

00:19:02.000 job and you

00:19:02.760 do it every

00:19:03.140 day, you're

00:19:03.820 probably in

00:19:04.180 the top 10%.

00:19:05.140 Right?

00:19:06.700 Now it might

00:19:07.100 be higher,

00:19:07.860 but for the

00:19:08.220 purposes of

00:19:08.900 my point,

00:19:10.280 if I'm in

00:19:10.820 the top 10%

00:19:11.760 and I didn't

00:19:13.280 know about

00:19:13.700 this Sunday

00:19:14.280 churches as

00:19:15.320 polling place

00:19:16.000 thing until

00:19:16.680 today, how

00:19:19.040 uninformed are

00:19:20.620 we?

00:19:21.480 I mean,

00:19:22.340 seriously,

00:19:23.020 people, I

00:19:24.100 should be in

00:19:25.580 the upper

00:19:26.100 realm of

00:19:27.000 well informed

00:19:27.700 people and

00:19:28.740 I'm not even

00:19:29.320 close.

00:19:30.780 If I were to

00:19:31.620 judge how

00:19:32.100 well informed

00:19:32.700 I am, and

00:19:34.440 let's say

00:19:34.780 well informed

00:19:35.480 means that

00:19:36.600 you know

00:19:36.920 enough about

00:19:37.460 the context

00:19:38.120 of things to

00:19:38.800 make good

00:19:39.200 decisions, I'm

00:19:40.340 not even

00:19:40.680 close.

00:19:42.140 And if you

00:19:42.940 think you're

00:19:43.440 close, maybe

00:19:44.480 you should

00:19:44.720 examine that.

00:19:46.000 Because I

00:19:46.600 do this

00:19:47.300 literally, I

00:19:48.380 guess you

00:19:48.860 could say I

00:19:49.280 do it for a

00:19:49.780 living, at

00:19:50.960 least part of

00:19:51.540 what I do, and

00:19:52.820 I didn't know

00:19:53.300 that.

00:19:54.040 It's like the

00:19:54.560 most basic

00:19:55.280 part of the

00:19:56.040 story, I

00:19:56.800 think, or

00:19:58.180 it's not

00:19:58.980 true.

00:20:00.120 All right?

00:20:01.200 That's possible.

00:20:02.140 Maybe it's not

00:20:02.620 true, and I

00:20:03.020 still don't

00:20:03.440 know.

00:20:04.200 How did we

00:20:04.760 get this far

00:20:05.800 into the

00:20:07.140 biggest story

00:20:07.780 in the

00:20:08.020 country, which

00:20:08.620 is, you

00:20:09.240 know, are

00:20:09.660 people gaming

00:20:10.320 the elections?

00:20:11.640 And I

00:20:11.940 don't know

00:20:12.240 that, that

00:20:13.520 basic fact about

00:20:14.980 the Sunday

00:20:15.620 morning voting?

00:20:16.320 How do I

00:20:17.500 not know that

00:20:18.500 by now?

00:20:20.260 I mean,

00:20:20.660 seriously.

00:20:24.460 All right.

00:20:27.800 Twitter is

00:20:29.320 having a little

00:20:29.840 fight over there

00:20:30.680 in Nigeria.

00:20:31.800 So what

00:20:32.100 happened was,

00:20:33.260 it looks like

00:20:33.660 the president

00:20:34.140 of Nigeria

00:20:35.020 was blocked

00:20:37.260 on Twitter

00:20:37.900 because he

00:20:39.660 said some

00:20:40.220 things that

00:20:40.920 violated Twitter's

00:20:42.660 rules, and

00:20:44.100 he said, I

00:20:44.720 don't know,

00:20:45.100 some part of

00:20:46.500 his population

00:20:47.140 would be

00:20:47.560 punished for

00:20:48.300 bad behavior.

00:20:49.740 So Twitter

00:20:50.140 blocks the

00:20:50.700 president, and

00:20:51.780 then the

00:20:52.060 president bans

00:20:53.800 Twitter in

00:20:54.500 all of

00:20:54.820 Nigeria.

00:20:56.740 And then

00:20:57.180 Twitter complained

00:20:58.280 in a tweet,

00:20:59.760 of course.

00:21:00.660 So Twitter

00:21:01.060 policy tweet

00:21:02.160 said this,

00:21:03.500 we are deeply

00:21:04.100 concerned by the

00:21:05.060 blocking of

00:21:05.640 Twitter in

00:21:06.260 Nigeria.

00:21:07.580 Access to

00:21:08.320 the free and

00:21:09.220 hashtag open

00:21:10.420 internet is an

00:21:11.740 essential human

00:21:12.640 right in

00:21:13.140 modern society.

00:21:14.620 We will work

00:21:15.540 to restore

00:21:16.100 access for all

00:21:16.980 those in

00:21:17.560 Nigeria who 0.93

00:21:18.600 rely on

00:21:19.240 Twitter to

00:21:19.760 communicate and

00:21:20.680 connect with

00:21:22.040 the world.

00:21:22.580 Hashtag keep

00:21:23.620 it on.

00:21:25.560 Do you see

00:21:27.100 any, I

00:21:29.800 don't know,

00:21:30.920 inconsistency?

00:21:33.120 Is there any

00:21:34.100 inconsistency that

00:21:35.440 is highlighted by

00:21:36.500 this story?

00:21:38.480 Well, let me

00:21:39.320 point it out for

00:21:39.960 you.

00:21:42.180 Twitter bans

00:21:44.020 people for

00:21:45.400 speech that

00:21:47.120 they consider

00:21:47.700 over the line

00:21:48.860 of their

00:21:49.340 terms of

00:21:51.500 use.

00:21:52.720 And they

00:21:53.920 consider that

00:21:54.600 entirely

00:21:55.080 appropriate that

00:21:57.080 Twitter makes

00:21:57.760 the decision of

00:21:58.620 what is allowed

00:21:59.240 and what is

00:21:59.700 not allowed.

00:22:02.420 Nigeria has 0.97

00:22:04.480 adopted Twitter's

00:22:05.620 theory that

00:22:08.420 somebody can

00:22:09.140 make decisions

00:22:09.860 about what

00:22:10.640 is allowed

00:22:11.160 and what

00:22:11.480 is not

00:22:11.780 allowed.

00:22:13.220 Because if

00:22:13.980 Twitter can

00:22:14.540 make decisions

00:22:15.200 about what

00:22:16.020 is okay for

00:22:16.780 the public

00:22:17.240 and not

00:22:17.680 okay, why

00:22:19.500 can't others?

00:22:20.960 Was there a

00:22:22.920 constitution or

00:22:24.640 was there some

00:22:26.180 kind of law

00:22:27.080 or natural

00:22:28.140 law that

00:22:29.300 says that

00:22:29.720 Twitter is

00:22:30.360 the only

00:22:31.000 group that

00:22:32.200 gets to

00:22:32.640 decide what

00:22:33.460 is okay and

00:22:34.220 what is not

00:22:34.700 okay for

00:22:35.300 speech?

00:22:36.680 No.

00:22:37.660 No, Nigeria 1.00

00:22:38.280 can do it

00:22:38.900 too.

00:22:39.780 So if

00:22:40.100 Twitter can

00:22:40.600 make those

00:22:41.080 decisions and

00:22:42.300 Facebook can

00:22:43.020 make those

00:22:43.460 decisions,

00:22:45.420 Nigeria can

00:22:46.800 make those

00:22:47.220 decisions,

00:22:48.400 right?

00:22:49.680 And when

00:22:50.220 Nigeria does 0.99

00:22:51.040 it, you say,

00:22:51.560 whoa, wait a

00:22:52.420 minute, because

00:22:53.640 your decision

00:22:55.100 about what to

00:22:55.800 allow and what

00:22:56.400 not to allow

00:22:57.000 is a bad

00:22:57.800 decision.

00:23:00.040 That's not

00:23:00.720 the issue.

00:23:02.080 The issue is

00:23:02.980 not whether it's

00:23:03.660 a bad

00:23:04.120 decision, the

00:23:06.020 issue is who

00:23:06.520 gets to make

00:23:07.120 it, right?

00:23:08.880 The decision is

00:23:09.900 not whether

00:23:10.320 Twitter always

00:23:11.180 makes the

00:23:11.760 right decision

00:23:12.580 about who's

00:23:14.520 on and who's

00:23:15.100 out.

00:23:15.820 The question

00:23:16.560 is who gets

00:23:17.080 to make it?

00:23:18.820 Who gets to

00:23:19.400 make it?

00:23:20.420 Nigeria says

00:23:21.200 we get to

00:23:21.660 make it.

00:23:22.840 Do they?

00:23:24.020 Yeah, I

00:23:24.800 guess they do.

00:23:26.120 Twitter says

00:23:26.800 we get to

00:23:27.280 make it.

00:23:27.720 Do they?

00:23:28.260 Yeah, I

00:23:28.580 guess they

00:23:28.880 do.

00:23:29.840 Unless somebody

00:23:30.480 else makes it

00:23:31.060 for them, like

00:23:32.340 in Nigeria.

00:23:33.660 Now, of

00:23:34.200 course, I

00:23:34.860 would be in

00:23:35.560 favor of

00:23:36.260 Twitter winning

00:23:37.400 this battle

00:23:38.040 and getting

00:23:39.480 access back

00:23:40.140 to Nigeria.

00:23:41.180 So I'm

00:23:41.760 definitely backing

00:23:42.400 Twitter over

00:23:43.180 Nigeria on 0.83

00:23:44.080 this topic, but

00:23:45.460 I love how

00:23:46.480 it highlights

00:23:48.060 the problem

00:23:50.200 with the

00:23:50.620 philosophy, which

00:23:52.360 is if some

00:23:53.540 people can decide

00:23:54.440 what you can

00:23:55.000 see, and

00:23:56.300 it's up to

00:23:56.740 them, and

00:23:57.920 it's subjective,

00:23:59.320 then other

00:24:00.060 people can do

00:24:00.660 it too,

00:24:01.440 right?

00:24:02.120 It's either all

00:24:02.840 or none on

00:24:03.400 that subjective

00:24:04.260 censoring.

00:24:07.080 So I want to

00:24:08.000 say this again

00:24:08.680 because I don't

00:24:10.220 understand why

00:24:11.020 it's not the

00:24:11.560 way it's framed

00:24:12.460 nationally.

00:24:14.620 So apparently

00:24:15.660 the U.S., the

00:24:17.180 Biden administration

00:24:18.100 and the U.S.

00:24:19.240 Department of

00:24:19.680 Justice, they've

00:24:20.760 elevated this

00:24:21.480 ransomware business

00:24:22.680 to similar

00:24:24.540 priority as

00:24:25.220 terrorism.

00:24:26.320 Now, what they're

00:24:27.100 doing is making

00:24:27.740 sure that all

00:24:28.620 ransomware reports

00:24:29.840 are reported

00:24:30.420 centrally, and

00:24:31.800 they'll have

00:24:32.100 some kind of

00:24:32.640 a group that

00:24:33.520 will look at

00:24:34.120 it more

00:24:34.480 holistically to

00:24:35.980 get a better

00:24:36.440 idea of who's

00:24:37.400 doing it and

00:24:38.140 how to stop it

00:24:39.000 and all that

00:24:39.380 stuff.

00:24:40.160 Now, compliments.

00:24:42.300 I'll give my

00:24:42.920 compliments to

00:24:43.660 the Biden

00:24:44.040 administration because

00:24:45.300 I'm not a

00:24:46.560 partisan in all

00:24:49.620 things.

00:24:50.960 I'm partisan in

00:24:51.920 some things, I

00:24:52.520 guess.

00:24:52.800 Everybody is.

00:24:53.720 But I try not

00:24:54.600 to be partisan

00:24:55.180 on certainly

00:24:56.500 any kind of

00:24:58.700 national defense

00:24:59.620 things, and if

00:25:01.540 Trump had done

00:25:02.280 this, I would

00:25:02.860 have said it's

00:25:03.300 the right

00:25:03.620 decision, and

00:25:04.620 Biden's doing

00:25:05.240 it.

00:25:05.480 I'll also say

00:25:06.100 it's the right

00:25:06.500 decision to

00:25:07.940 just make this

00:25:09.460 terrorism.

00:25:10.820 I will go a

00:25:11.720 little bit further

00:25:12.440 than Biden's

00:25:13.680 administration and

00:25:14.540 say that if we

00:25:16.280 determined that we

00:25:17.660 could find these

00:25:18.380 people, and let's

00:25:20.120 say Russia wasn't 0.61

00:25:21.000 willing to pick

00:25:23.700 them up, we

00:25:24.620 should drone them. 0.98

00:25:25.380 So if we can

00:25:27.000 find the bad

00:25:27.800 guys, the

00:25:28.800 hackers, and

00:25:29.520 they happen to

00:25:30.000 be in Russian

00:25:30.580 territory, we

00:25:31.840 should kill them

00:25:32.540 where they

00:25:32.880 stand, and we

00:25:34.720 should send copies

00:25:36.480 of the mission

00:25:37.840 to Putin, show

00:25:40.640 them all the

00:25:40.980 video, tell them

00:25:42.440 everything we did

00:25:43.240 completely

00:25:44.200 transparently after

00:25:45.280 the fact, after we

00:25:46.880 killed them.

00:25:47.740 So we should

00:25:48.280 kill them, and 0.98

00:25:49.700 then we should

00:25:50.320 bill Putin.

00:25:52.460 We should send 1.00

00:25:53.600 them the bill,

00:25:54.240 for killing his

00:25:56.460 citizens.

00:25:58.120 Now that's

00:25:58.920 persuasion.

00:26:00.800 Bad persuasion

00:26:01.960 would be just to

00:26:03.260 kill them on

00:26:04.280 Russian territory,

00:26:05.860 because that would

00:26:07.340 be an act of

00:26:09.020 war, right?

00:26:10.060 It's an act of

00:26:11.000 war to kill a

00:26:11.640 Russian citizen on

00:26:12.720 Russian territory,

00:26:14.060 I would think.

00:26:15.780 So instead of

00:26:16.800 making it look like

00:26:17.640 an act of war,

00:26:18.380 send them the 0.90

00:26:19.020 fucking bill.

00:26:20.960 Send them

00:26:21.600 literally, and

00:26:22.780 itemize the

00:26:23.700 fucking bill.

00:26:25.380 Say, Putin, this

00:26:26.820 is what you

00:26:27.320 should have done.

00:26:28.720 Right?

00:26:29.020 These are your

00:26:29.500 guys, you

00:26:30.460 didn't do it.

00:26:31.300 We're going to

00:26:31.760 kill your 0.85

00:26:32.120 fucking people, and 0.97

00:26:33.380 we're going to

00:26:33.720 give you the

00:26:34.220 fucking bill, and 0.97

00:26:35.500 if you don't pay

00:26:36.120 it, we're shutting

00:26:36.720 down all trade.

00:26:38.480 Pay the

00:26:38.940 fucking bill.

00:26:40.480 Now, if your

00:26:41.440 story, Putin, is

00:26:42.920 that these guys

00:26:43.680 don't work for

00:26:44.380 you, then let's

00:26:45.700 keep that story.

00:26:47.360 We'll take care of

00:26:48.380 it for you, we'll

00:26:49.380 send you the

00:26:49.920 bill, you better

00:26:50.920 fucking pay it.

00:26:51.760 All right?

00:26:53.440 That's how I'd

00:26:53.940 do it.

00:26:54.640 I don't think

00:26:55.100 Biden will do

00:26:55.640 that, but, you

00:26:56.800 know, I do not, I

00:26:57.780 would not rule out

00:26:59.680 the fact that

00:27:00.320 Biden's a badass

00:27:01.100 on this stuff.

00:27:02.540 I don't know if

00:27:03.320 he's going to be a

00:27:03.940 badass on China.

00:27:05.060 He's got a little

00:27:05.540 China problem.

00:27:06.880 But I do think

00:27:08.240 Biden has at

00:27:09.460 least a chance.

00:27:10.140 We'll give him a

00:27:10.560 chance.

00:27:11.160 We'll see what

00:27:11.740 happens.

00:27:12.540 I think Biden

00:27:13.220 might push pretty

00:27:13.900 hard on Russia.

00:27:14.500 We'll see.

00:27:16.580 El Salvador

00:27:17.440 made a big move

00:27:19.000 today.

00:27:19.400 So El Salvador's 0.96

00:27:22.020 president, he's

00:27:23.320 going to send a

00:27:23.860 bill to his

00:27:24.620 Congress to make

00:27:26.040 Bitcoin legal

00:27:27.120 tender in their

00:27:29.140 country.

00:27:30.500 So El Salvador

00:27:31.480 will make it

00:27:33.140 legal to accept

00:27:36.320 Bitcoin.

00:27:37.040 And I think part

00:27:37.740 of the reason for

00:27:38.300 that is that people

00:27:39.520 living abroad can

00:27:40.600 send remittances

00:27:41.680 back home more

00:27:42.820 easily by Bitcoin.

00:27:44.020 Now, I don't

00:27:46.340 know how many

00:27:47.520 countries it will

00:27:49.840 take or businesses

00:27:51.120 to accept Bitcoin

00:27:52.260 before it makes a

00:27:53.960 big difference to

00:27:54.540 the price, but this

00:27:55.860 feels like a big

00:27:56.600 deal.

00:27:57.300 It did not,

00:27:58.140 however, change the

00:28:00.480 price of Bitcoin.

00:28:02.100 So I thought that

00:28:02.940 Bitcoin might get a

00:28:03.760 little pop on this

00:28:04.620 news, but it

00:28:05.320 actually wouldn't.

00:28:06.420 Last I checked, it

00:28:07.240 was down 1%.

00:28:08.100 We'll see if it

00:28:09.060 makes a difference.

00:28:09.560 Do you know what

00:28:12.480 our system of

00:28:13.220 government has

00:28:13.960 evolved into?

00:28:16.200 You know, I feel

00:28:17.720 sorry for the

00:28:18.560 founders, and it's

00:28:20.420 a good thing that

00:28:20.980 they stay dead, you

00:28:22.540 know, the founders

00:28:23.120 of this country,

00:28:23.920 because when they

00:28:24.640 came up with the

00:28:25.240 Constitution and

00:28:26.500 they designed our

00:28:27.840 system, I'm not so

00:28:29.920 sure.

00:28:32.560 Somebody says,

00:28:33.460 treat China the 1.00

00:28:34.140 same with fentanyl.

00:28:35.160 Yeah, maybe so.

00:28:36.500 Put a drone attack

00:28:38.680 on their fentanyl.

00:28:39.560 Fentanyl dealers and

00:28:40.600 send them the bill.

00:28:41.900 That's not a bad

00:28:42.500 idea.

00:28:43.280 By the way, the

00:28:44.140 sending the bill part

00:28:45.100 is the persuasion,

00:28:46.620 because when you send

00:28:47.960 the bill, that's all

00:28:49.220 anybody's going to

00:28:49.820 talk about.

00:28:51.000 If you bill them,

00:28:52.960 there's going to be a

00:28:53.800 physical bill, and

00:28:55.760 people are going to

00:28:56.280 look at it, and

00:28:57.420 they're going to look

00:28:57.840 at the itemization.

00:28:59.640 So billing Putin for

00:29:01.540 killing his hackers,

00:29:03.320 or billing President

00:29:05.120 Xi for killing their

00:29:06.580 fentanyl dealers,

00:29:07.880 changes the frame.

00:29:09.560 It changes it from

00:29:10.600 we attacked your

00:29:11.360 country to we

00:29:12.180 just did you a

00:29:12.820 favor, you owe

00:29:14.120 us.

00:29:15.340 And it's a big

00:29:16.020 deal.

00:29:17.300 I think, you

00:29:17.780 know, we'll never

00:29:19.140 do anything like

00:29:19.800 that, but that's

00:29:20.480 the idea of it.

00:29:22.700 So we have a

00:29:24.120 system in which

00:29:24.840 whoever, the

00:29:26.320 leader of our

00:29:26.940 country is always

00:29:27.660 selected at this

00:29:28.600 point.

00:29:29.800 The leader, well,

00:29:31.340 even Congress, I

00:29:32.100 would say, they're

00:29:33.940 all selected based

00:29:36.100 on who can game the

00:29:37.420 election system the

00:29:38.460 best.

00:29:40.080 There's plenty of

00:29:41.080 documentation that

00:29:42.040 shows that Biden

00:29:43.400 probably won because

00:29:45.700 the Democrats just did

00:29:46.880 a better job using the

00:29:48.340 legal system to get a 0.96

00:29:49.600 set of rules that

00:29:51.200 favored their outcome.

00:29:53.160 So it didn't really

00:29:54.520 probably have much to

00:29:55.600 do with the voters'

00:29:56.620 preferences.

00:29:57.580 It probably had a lot

00:29:58.520 to do with who

00:29:59.040 gamed the system

00:29:59.760 better.

00:30:00.560 Now, the complaints

00:30:01.240 from the Democrats are

00:30:02.400 that the Republicans are

00:30:04.420 catching up, and

00:30:06.460 they're regaming, and

00:30:07.940 they're changing the

00:30:09.560 system so it might

00:30:10.600 favor them.

00:30:12.120 But you do all this

00:30:13.120 work to create a

00:30:14.400 democracy and have

00:30:15.400 these elections, and

00:30:16.680 basically the outcome is

00:30:17.900 determined by the

00:30:18.860 people who make the

00:30:20.300 rules.

00:30:21.260 So the rule makers are

00:30:22.760 the ones who decide who

00:30:23.640 got elected.

00:30:25.960 But on top of that,

00:30:27.840 when it's all said and

00:30:29.080 done, and you've

00:30:30.300 elected your leaders,

00:30:31.240 then the next phase is

00:30:34.520 ignoring the leaders

00:30:35.600 because the only person

00:30:36.820 that matters is Joe

00:30:37.660 Manchin.

00:30:39.040 Because as long as

00:30:40.080 things stay really

00:30:40.800 close, you know, if

00:30:42.300 Congress is really

00:30:43.340 close to even,

00:30:44.840 Republicans and

00:30:45.600 Democrats, then the

00:30:47.280 only person who has

00:30:48.000 any power is a

00:30:49.900 person who's willing

00:30:50.660 to sometimes vote on

00:30:52.420 the other side, and

00:30:53.820 that's Joe Manchin.

00:30:55.620 So Joe Manchin is the

00:30:56.820 only smart person in

00:30:58.020 Congress because he's

00:30:59.720 openly told the world

00:31:00.920 I could vote this

00:31:02.440 way, but I could

00:31:04.000 also vote that way.

00:31:05.880 That's all you have

00:31:06.960 to do when you run

00:31:07.720 the country.

00:31:09.120 That's it.

00:31:10.720 Somebody says

00:31:11.460 Kyrsten Sinema, maybe

00:31:12.720 another one, yeah.

00:31:14.560 So I don't know

00:31:17.760 what's wrong with

00:31:18.460 everybody else in

00:31:19.360 Congress.

00:31:20.400 All they have to do

00:31:21.780 is sometimes vote

00:31:24.920 for the other team,

00:31:25.940 and then you're in

00:31:27.120 charge of the country.

00:31:28.280 But I suppose you

00:31:29.260 need to be more

00:31:30.140 loyal to your party

00:31:31.120 these days.

00:31:32.180 So Manchin is

00:31:32.860 probably paying the

00:31:33.960 price from his own

00:31:35.300 party.

00:31:36.580 But it's a clever

00:31:37.580 move.

00:31:37.920 I would have done

00:31:38.420 the same thing.

00:31:39.200 If I were in

00:31:40.060 Congress and I saw

00:31:40.980 this opening the way

00:31:42.840 Manchin does, I would

00:31:44.740 have said to myself,

00:31:45.900 wait a minute,

00:31:46.420 wait a minute.

00:31:48.640 Can I understand

00:31:49.580 this correctly?

00:31:50.900 All I have to do is

00:31:52.860 sometimes vote for

00:31:53.880 the other team and I

00:31:55.100 can actually be running

00:31:56.060 the country?

00:31:56.560 I would take that

00:31:58.460 in a heartbeat.

00:32:00.120 I would be all

00:32:00.900 over that.

00:32:02.760 I would run this

00:32:03.840 country if they

00:32:06.080 give it to me.

00:32:07.220 I mean, basically,

00:32:08.120 it would be the

00:32:08.580 whole country just

00:32:09.340 handing you the

00:32:09.960 keys and say,

00:32:11.920 can you decide for

00:32:13.720 us?

00:32:14.400 Because we can't

00:32:15.100 really decide.

00:32:16.660 Joe Manchin, can you

00:32:18.020 just make up the

00:32:18.740 decision for us?

00:32:20.140 We don't like all

00:32:20.880 this representative

00:32:21.600 democracy.

00:32:22.460 We'll just let you

00:32:23.100 do it, Joe Manchin.

00:32:27.080 So I did a little

00:32:28.040 reading up on the

00:32:29.420 problem with

00:32:30.120 meta-analyses.

00:32:32.600 So I've mentioned

00:32:33.360 that you know the

00:32:35.220 story about

00:32:35.720 ivermectin, the

00:32:36.920 proposed potential

00:32:38.880 therapeutic for

00:32:40.560 COVID, that there

00:32:42.440 is some suggestion

00:32:43.760 that if you do a

00:32:44.580 meta-analysis,

00:32:45.660 which is you sort

00:32:46.940 of sum up all of

00:32:48.080 the imperfect

00:32:49.620 studies, that the

00:32:51.620 imperfections can be

00:32:52.940 sort of smoothed

00:32:54.780 down, if you will,

00:32:55.860 speaking very

00:32:56.640 approximately here,

00:32:58.620 if you add them

00:32:59.660 all together and

00:33:00.380 treat them as one

00:33:01.160 big study, even

00:33:02.180 though they were

00:33:02.640 individually imperfect

00:33:04.480 studies.

00:33:06.280 And Andres

00:33:08.280 Beckhaus, who

00:33:09.300 knows more about

00:33:10.160 this stuff than I

00:33:10.820 do, had mentioned

00:33:11.840 there's some

00:33:12.280 problems with

00:33:13.100 meta-analysis.

00:33:15.480 And I didn't know

00:33:16.300 exactly what they

00:33:17.100 were, but here's

00:33:18.400 the, let's see,

00:33:20.020 the idios

00:33:20.580 version.

00:33:20.980 The idios

00:33:22.700 version is that

00:33:23.740 if you were to

00:33:24.240 do an analysis

00:33:25.500 of studies, so

00:33:27.380 you're looking at

00:33:27.900 a whole bunch of

00:33:28.520 studies, and you're

00:33:30.180 deciding how to

00:33:31.500 add them all

00:33:32.180 together into one

00:33:33.080 big ball, you

00:33:35.340 have a lot of

00:33:35.860 decisions that you

00:33:36.700 make.

00:33:37.060 Oh, I see your

00:33:43.060 comments are

00:33:44.380 proudly, and I

00:33:45.640 don't understand

00:33:46.260 all that context,

00:33:47.680 but maybe I

00:33:48.160 should.

00:33:49.480 So the question

00:33:50.300 on the meta-

00:33:51.220 analyses is that

00:33:52.180 if you're looking

00:33:52.820 at which studies

00:33:53.640 to include in

00:33:54.600 your meta-

00:33:55.020 analysis, then

00:33:56.500 it's automatically

00:33:57.360 subjective.

00:33:58.800 So apparently

00:33:59.460 one of the things

00:34:00.240 you might do is

00:34:01.120 you say, we're

00:34:01.640 going to do a

00:34:02.140 meta-analysis of

00:34:03.140 all the studies,

00:34:03.800 but of course

00:34:05.180 we're going to

00:34:06.200 leave out any

00:34:07.640 of the pre-print

00:34:08.420 stuff.

00:34:09.560 So the pre-print

00:34:10.260 stuff is the

00:34:11.020 stuff that hasn't

00:34:11.640 been published in

00:34:13.300 a major publication

00:34:14.300 and peer-reviewed

00:34:15.920 and all that.

00:34:16.460 It's like before

00:34:17.140 that stuff happens.

00:34:18.960 So, do you

00:34:20.160 include that?

00:34:21.640 Should you

00:34:22.220 include stuff

00:34:23.120 that's not quite

00:34:24.160 far enough along

00:34:26.200 in the pipeline?

00:34:27.300 Because if you

00:34:28.160 decide not to

00:34:29.020 include it, you

00:34:30.160 might get a

00:34:30.600 different result

00:34:31.280 than if you

00:34:32.060 included it.

00:34:32.780 There might be

00:34:34.400 other criteria

00:34:35.220 where you say,

00:34:36.000 well, I'm not

00:34:37.020 going to include

00:34:37.500 a study unless

00:34:38.280 it's at least

00:34:38.820 a certain size.

00:34:40.300 It has to have

00:34:40.740 a certain number

00:34:41.240 of people.

00:34:41.880 Or it's done

00:34:42.680 in a certain

00:34:43.200 place.

00:34:44.320 Or they looked

00:34:45.180 at it in a

00:34:45.900 certain way,

00:34:46.760 maybe in the

00:34:47.240 beginning versus

00:34:48.100 later on.

00:34:49.520 So my point is

00:34:50.640 that the outcome

00:34:51.760 of the meta-analysis

00:34:53.980 is determined by

00:34:55.640 the person who

00:34:56.560 decides what to

00:34:57.900 look at.

00:35:00.460 All right,

00:35:01.160 Luz, I see you

00:35:02.340 saying I'm

00:35:02.840 lost.

00:35:03.420 Let me see if

00:35:03.860 I can do

00:35:04.240 this one more

00:35:04.820 time clearly.

00:35:06.440 If you're going

00:35:07.160 to look at a

00:35:08.620 bunch of

00:35:08.900 individual small

00:35:09.900 studies to

00:35:11.520 kind of take

00:35:12.460 their average

00:35:13.640 direction, if

00:35:14.500 you will, you

00:35:15.880 still get to

00:35:16.500 choose what's

00:35:17.160 in the average.

00:35:18.960 And what you

00:35:19.500 decide to put

00:35:20.260 in there will

00:35:21.060 determine what

00:35:21.640 the average is.

00:35:22.820 So you can say

00:35:23.620 to yourself, I'm

00:35:24.220 not going to

00:35:24.600 include this kind

00:35:25.420 of study because

00:35:26.160 it's not the

00:35:26.720 kind that looks

00:35:27.760 good enough.

00:35:28.620 Or you can say,

00:35:29.960 let's include

00:35:30.800 everything because

00:35:32.020 the whole point

00:35:32.540 of it is to

00:35:33.200 average out.

00:35:34.700 So the point

00:35:35.660 is that you

00:35:36.540 think you're

00:35:37.140 doing an

00:35:37.600 analysis, but

00:35:38.660 you're not.

00:35:40.080 It's an

00:35:41.240 illusion of

00:35:42.500 analysis because

00:35:44.080 the illusion is

00:35:45.000 that there's some

00:35:45.940 kind of objective

00:35:47.380 process going on

00:35:48.580 when nothing like

00:35:49.280 that happened.

00:35:50.340 In fact, it was

00:35:51.260 subjective because

00:35:52.320 you chose what

00:35:53.200 you were going

00:35:53.500 to look at and

00:35:54.500 it was the

00:35:54.880 choosing what

00:35:55.400 you look at

00:35:55.860 that probably

00:35:56.260 determined the

00:35:56.960 result.

00:35:57.240 Now, here's

00:35:59.740 the counter to

00:36:00.520 the counter.

00:36:02.640 If every one

00:36:04.200 of the studies

00:36:05.020 shows a strong

00:36:07.380 effect in the

00:36:08.640 same direction,

00:36:10.420 probably none of

00:36:11.340 this matters,

00:36:12.140 right?

00:36:12.940 So if 100% of

00:36:14.440 the studies showed

00:36:15.220 that, let's take

00:36:16.500 an example, I

00:36:17.600 don't think this

00:36:18.140 is true, but if

00:36:19.380 100% of the

00:36:20.140 studies showed

00:36:20.720 that ivermectin

00:36:21.520 worked really,

00:36:22.360 really well,

00:36:23.400 well, it

00:36:23.780 wouldn't matter

00:36:24.160 which one you

00:36:24.680 picked because

00:36:26.220 they'd all be the

00:36:26.740 same.

00:36:28.120 But, if that

00:36:29.640 were also true,

00:36:31.160 you wouldn't

00:36:31.600 need a meta

00:36:32.080 analysis.

00:36:34.020 So here's what

00:36:34.940 one expert said.

00:36:38.080 The situation

00:36:39.040 where you don't

00:36:39.800 need a meta

00:36:40.380 analysis is

00:36:41.480 where it's so

00:36:42.040 obvious without

00:36:42.740 one that you

00:36:43.400 don't need to

00:36:43.900 do it.

00:36:44.940 But the moment

00:36:45.840 it's not obvious,

00:36:48.220 the meta

00:36:48.740 analysis also

00:36:49.740 doesn't work

00:36:50.700 because that's

00:36:51.620 when you put

00:36:52.280 the subjectivity

00:36:53.120 into it.

00:36:54.320 So the

00:36:55.000 meta analysis

00:36:55.620 actually is

00:36:56.320 logically,

00:36:57.240 illogical,

00:36:58.840 meaning that

00:36:59.780 you either

00:37:00.220 don't need

00:37:00.780 it or

00:37:01.840 it doesn't

00:37:02.300 work.

00:37:03.120 Those are

00:37:03.500 the only

00:37:03.780 two possibilities.

00:37:05.160 You don't

00:37:05.620 need it because

00:37:06.260 it's so clear

00:37:06.900 without it,

00:37:07.860 or if it's

00:37:09.100 murky, it's

00:37:10.540 really subjective

00:37:11.340 and it doesn't

00:37:11.980 work.

00:37:13.800 Now, what's

00:37:15.520 the counter to

00:37:16.100 that?

00:37:17.380 And I think

00:37:18.040 in the ivermectin

00:37:18.920 study, I believe

00:37:19.800 the counter is

00:37:20.720 that they're all

00:37:21.440 in the same

00:37:21.820 direction, that

00:37:23.180 the entire

00:37:23.640 point of it is

00:37:25.240 that there's

00:37:25.580 nothing in

00:37:26.040 the other

00:37:26.300 direction.

00:37:27.340 So in that

00:37:27.980 case, a

00:37:28.400 meta analysis,

00:37:29.380 I think, actually

00:37:30.540 makes sense.

00:37:31.920 But you can't

00:37:32.760 trust it because

00:37:34.000 of its subjectivity.

00:37:35.040 Or let me say

00:37:35.780 this, maybe you

00:37:36.980 didn't need the

00:37:37.600 meta analysis so

00:37:39.660 it fits that

00:37:40.260 model.

00:37:40.600 You didn't need

00:37:41.060 it because they're

00:37:41.580 all in the same

00:37:42.040 direction.

00:37:43.060 Now, fact check me

00:37:44.240 on that, I don't

00:37:44.860 know if they're all

00:37:45.420 in the same

00:37:45.740 direction, but I

00:37:46.980 feel as if that

00:37:47.780 was the main

00:37:48.360 point, is that

00:37:49.640 they were in

00:37:50.160 fact all in

00:37:50.900 the same

00:37:51.120 direction.

00:37:55.720 And that was

00:37:58.760 some of the few

00:37:59.460 things that I

00:38:00.300 needed to talk

00:38:00.920 about today.

00:38:03.120 I feel as

00:38:04.140 though we're

00:38:05.460 entering the

00:38:06.100 summer where

00:38:07.360 things are going

00:38:07.880 to slow down a

00:38:08.720 little bit, and

00:38:09.620 I would like to

00:38:10.100 ask this question

00:38:11.320 of you.

00:38:12.420 I told you

00:38:13.120 yesterday that

00:38:14.400 in my town

00:38:15.200 there's some

00:38:16.400 kind of a golden

00:38:17.080 age situation

00:38:18.180 going on.

00:38:18.900 My main street

00:38:19.540 turned into a

00:38:20.140 like a festival

00:38:21.800 every weekend,

00:38:23.180 you know, where

00:38:23.540 the street is

00:38:24.360 closed to traffic

00:38:25.260 and it's outdoor

00:38:26.100 dining, people

00:38:27.360 have their masks

00:38:28.120 off, people are

00:38:29.400 so happy they

00:38:30.020 can't stand it.

00:38:32.260 Oh, thank you,

00:38:33.220 Ron.

00:38:33.800 I'm going to

00:38:34.160 mention that in

00:38:34.700 a moment.

00:38:35.880 And is anybody

00:38:38.700 else having the

00:38:39.380 experience that

00:38:40.660 their town is

00:38:41.660 just insanely

00:38:42.900 happy right

00:38:44.700 now?

00:38:47.860 Gun control 0.71

00:38:48.780 is racist, 0.85

00:38:49.520 says Marussia,

00:38:52.060 that the

00:38:52.900 Republicans

00:38:53.340 should say

00:38:53.900 that.

00:38:56.620 Yeah.

00:38:58.000 I'm not sure

00:38:58.820 Republicans feel

00:38:59.740 as comfortable

00:39:00.660 as you might

00:39:01.740 imagine saying

00:39:02.780 that gun

00:39:04.480 control is

00:39:05.160 racist, but I

00:39:07.640 see your point.

00:39:08.740 Yeah, I can see

00:39:09.320 your point.

00:39:10.160 It's just, that'd

00:39:10.840 be a hard message

00:39:11.500 for the Republicans

00:39:12.880 to take.

00:39:13.360 All right, back to

00:39:14.360 your town.

00:39:14.920 Somebody says

00:39:16.760 yes in Texas,

00:39:19.220 no in Santa

00:39:20.000 Cruz.

00:39:20.520 My town is

00:39:21.100 happy.

00:39:22.220 Portland isn't

00:39:22.840 very happy.

00:39:24.200 New Jersey, not

00:39:24.960 so good.

00:39:25.720 I see a yes

00:39:26.420 from Karina.

00:39:29.080 No, I'm in

00:39:30.060 Canada.

00:39:30.540 I'm sorry.

00:39:31.720 Not in Canada.

00:39:32.740 Canada is sad.

00:39:34.820 All the Canadians

00:39:35.900 are complaining

00:39:36.520 here.

00:39:36.820 I'm going to,

00:39:37.980 Canada's not 0.94

00:39:38.900 too happy.

00:39:39.380 Yes, Yan says

00:39:43.180 a lot more

00:39:43.660 people around

00:39:44.240 walking.

00:39:44.920 That's definitely

00:39:45.420 true.

00:39:46.840 Where is Jack

00:39:47.480 Ma?

00:39:47.940 Yeah, that's a

00:39:48.380 good question.

00:39:49.660 Montana is

00:39:50.340 great.

00:39:50.920 New York City

00:39:51.400 sucks.

00:39:52.220 Connecticut,

00:39:52.960 good.

00:39:53.480 Atlanta,

00:39:54.020 definitely.

00:39:55.160 New York City

00:39:55.700 is back, baby.

00:39:58.920 Wichita has 0.96

00:39:59.720 been great for

00:40:00.280 a while.

00:40:01.700 Philadelphia is

00:40:02.440 the pits.

00:40:03.040 Sorry.

00:40:03.520 Missouri, yes.

00:40:05.280 All right, well,

00:40:06.020 it looks like we're

00:40:06.720 coming back, folks.

00:40:08.340 We're coming back.

00:40:09.760 How about taking

00:40:10.520 a moment, take a

00:40:12.720 moment for me to

00:40:14.280 go back in time.

00:40:16.760 Do you remember

00:40:17.660 about this time

00:40:19.320 last year, people

00:40:21.800 were afraid that

00:40:22.560 the entire economy

00:40:23.680 was going to

00:40:25.080 fall apart?

00:40:26.260 All right.

00:40:27.360 And it

00:40:28.280 didn't.

00:40:29.620 It didn't.

00:40:30.900 And we did

00:40:32.460 rally, and we

00:40:34.180 beat this damn

00:40:34.960 thing.

00:40:35.600 I mean, I think

00:40:36.140 it's beaten even

00:40:36.840 if it lasts

00:40:37.400 forever.

00:40:38.440 I mean, we're

00:40:38.940 back to nearly

00:40:40.040 normal at this

00:40:40.780 point, and

00:40:41.360 we're looking

00:40:41.960 good.

00:40:42.860 So I feel

00:40:44.620 like we all

00:40:45.620 lived through

00:40:46.100 something amazing,

00:40:47.720 and I think

00:40:49.240 we'll all be

00:40:49.660 changed because

00:40:50.660 of it, and

00:40:51.200 changed in lots

00:40:51.980 of ways.

00:40:53.060 But I think

00:40:54.800 the golden age

00:40:55.840 is just going

00:40:57.380 to impress

00:40:58.340 itself upon us,

00:40:59.380 whether we like

00:41:00.040 it or not.

00:41:01.080 And I so feel

00:41:02.880 that the pandemic

00:41:03.700 was some sort

00:41:04.580 of system

00:41:05.820 reboot.

00:41:07.600 The pandemic

00:41:08.220 did more than

00:41:09.180 anything in my

00:41:10.400 life to just

00:41:11.480 change everything.

00:41:13.000 About the way

00:41:13.600 you think about

00:41:14.220 people, you

00:41:15.720 had to re-engineer

00:41:16.800 your entire life

00:41:17.720 from scratch.

00:41:20.620 And I would

00:41:21.520 like to ask you

00:41:22.140 this question.

00:41:23.320 How many of

00:41:24.020 you are having

00:41:25.780 trouble rebuilding

00:41:26.960 your friend

00:41:28.340 network and

00:41:29.500 social network?

00:41:30.520 Is there anybody

00:41:31.160 who lost their

00:41:32.940 social network

00:41:33.820 during this

00:41:34.600 pandemic who

00:41:35.540 needs to

00:41:36.460 rebuild it?

00:41:37.400 And you're

00:41:37.680 saying,

00:41:38.060 where are all

00:41:38.320 my friends?

00:41:38.880 I need some

00:41:39.300 friends now.

00:41:40.680 I just want to

00:41:41.120 see in the

00:41:41.420 comments if

00:41:42.200 that's a

00:41:42.560 common problem

00:41:43.360 or not.

00:41:45.200 Kevin says,

00:41:46.140 oh, we're

00:41:46.460 getting a lot

00:41:46.840 of yeses to

00:41:47.420 that.

00:41:47.900 Yep, yep,

00:41:48.900 yep.

00:41:50.180 All right, so

00:41:50.980 I was going to

00:41:51.620 do a micro

00:41:52.280 lesson on that.

00:41:53.060 Oh, there's a

00:41:53.420 lot of yeses.

00:41:54.360 Wow.

00:41:55.060 I'm sorry about

00:41:55.620 that.

00:41:56.320 So I feel the

00:41:57.340 same situation.

00:41:58.320 I feel like I

00:41:58.960 have to

00:42:00.040 intentionally

00:42:01.080 rebuild

00:42:02.040 rebuild my

00:42:03.160 social network

00:42:03.880 because it

00:42:04.280 just completely

00:42:05.320 shrunk to

00:42:05.960 the family.

00:42:09.680 Let me tell

00:42:10.420 you a system

00:42:11.900 for doing

00:42:12.300 this.

00:42:12.560 I was going

00:42:12.840 to do a

00:42:13.160 micro lesson

00:42:13.740 on my

00:42:14.440 local subscription

00:42:16.120 service on

00:42:17.760 how to make

00:42:18.480 friends.

00:42:19.280 Would you

00:42:19.600 like that?

00:42:20.760 I'm going to

00:42:21.060 give you a

00:42:21.380 quick little

00:42:21.780 lesson on

00:42:22.380 how to make

00:42:23.100 friends.

00:42:25.680 And I

00:42:27.440 actually wrote

00:42:27.920 it on my

00:42:28.280 whiteboard over

00:42:28.900 here, which

00:42:29.320 you can

00:42:31.320 almost see.

00:42:33.960 I shouldn't

00:42:34.580 have showed

00:42:34.860 you that

00:42:35.180 other one,

00:42:35.580 I guess.

00:42:36.760 And here's

00:42:37.400 the technique.

00:42:38.880 Number one,

00:42:39.940 making friends.

00:42:41.080 Don't think of

00:42:41.780 it as a

00:42:42.280 goal.

00:42:42.860 Think of it

00:42:43.320 as a

00:42:43.700 system.

00:42:44.340 It's the

00:42:44.660 same process

00:42:45.300 I use for

00:42:45.820 everything.

00:42:46.800 A goal

00:42:47.400 approach would

00:42:49.480 be, I

00:42:50.920 think I'm

00:42:51.300 going to

00:42:51.500 identify

00:42:51.940 somebody I

00:42:52.560 want as

00:42:52.900 a friend,

00:42:53.840 and I'm

00:42:54.100 going to

00:42:54.240 try to

00:42:54.480 make that

00:42:54.780 person my

00:42:55.220 friend.

00:42:56.280 That doesn't

00:42:56.980 really work.

00:42:58.300 It's hard to

00:42:58.860 just say,

00:42:59.440 well, I

00:43:00.020 think you'll

00:43:00.880 be my

00:43:01.240 friend.

00:43:01.760 I'm going

00:43:02.200 to make

00:43:02.420 you a 0.57

00:43:02.660 friend.

00:43:04.380 I don't

00:43:05.000 ever see

00:43:05.440 that work.

00:43:06.840 So that

00:43:07.080 would be a

00:43:07.500 goal approach

00:43:08.340 and it

00:43:08.640 just doesn't

00:43:09.420 work.

00:43:09.720 Here's a

00:43:10.060 system approach.

00:43:11.500 It goes

00:43:11.880 like this.

00:43:13.280 Number one,

00:43:13.960 have defined

00:43:14.900 interests.

00:43:16.720 Become the

00:43:17.540 person who

00:43:18.260 cares about

00:43:19.040 X.

00:43:19.820 Now, X

00:43:20.300 is up to

00:43:20.840 you.

00:43:21.600 Could be

00:43:22.020 politics,

00:43:22.900 could be

00:43:23.540 a sport,

00:43:24.360 could be a

00:43:24.780 hobby,

00:43:25.340 could be an

00:43:25.980 interest,

00:43:26.420 could be a

00:43:26.920 cause.

00:43:28.140 Find

00:43:28.580 something to

00:43:30.220 define you

00:43:31.080 so that when

00:43:31.640 your friends

00:43:32.160 describe you,

00:43:33.080 they say,

00:43:33.800 oh, if you

00:43:34.260 met Scott,

00:43:34.920 he talks about

00:43:35.920 politics,

00:43:36.480 he plays

00:43:36.840 tennis.

00:43:38.460 Become a

00:43:39.380 stereotype.

00:43:40.760 Here's why.

00:43:42.240 As soon as

00:43:43.080 you become

00:43:43.520 known as the

00:43:44.360 person who

00:43:44.940 does X,

00:43:46.040 whatever X

00:43:46.620 is, then

00:43:47.640 all of the

00:43:48.260 other people

00:43:48.760 who like X

00:43:49.600 are drawn to

00:43:50.280 you and

00:43:51.240 they have a

00:43:51.620 reason to

00:43:52.020 talk to you

00:43:52.560 and you have

00:43:53.580 a reason to

00:43:54.040 talk to them

00:43:54.660 and your

00:43:55.400 friend will

00:43:55.800 say, hey,

00:43:56.600 I know

00:43:57.080 you're

00:43:57.320 interested in

00:43:57.780 X, you

00:43:58.240 should meet

00:43:59.120 my sibling

00:44:00.280 who also

00:44:00.820 likes X

00:44:01.480 or my

00:44:01.880 ex who

00:44:02.240 likes X.

00:44:03.680 So, be

00:44:04.760 the moth,

00:44:06.060 be the flame

00:44:07.480 that attracts

00:44:08.300 the moth.

00:44:09.620 Don't be

00:44:10.220 the moth,

00:44:11.480 be the flame.

00:44:12.780 Be the

00:44:13.120 person who

00:44:13.580 says, here

00:44:14.360 is what I

00:44:14.860 am and

00:44:15.500 now I'm

00:44:15.780 going to

00:44:15.980 attract

00:44:16.280 stuff.

00:44:17.460 So, first

00:44:17.960 of all,

00:44:18.400 have a

00:44:18.700 defined

00:44:19.280 interest that

00:44:20.540 other people

00:44:21.040 recognize and

00:44:22.360 that will

00:44:22.920 attract people

00:44:23.780 of like

00:44:24.180 interest.

00:44:24.960 So, that's

00:44:25.280 the first

00:44:25.540 part of

00:44:25.780 the system.

00:44:26.740 Next, be

00:44:27.640 valuable.

00:44:29.380 Be valuable.

00:44:31.100 You would

00:44:31.640 like to

00:44:32.460 live in a

00:44:32.840 world in

00:44:33.440 which friendship

00:44:34.180 is based

00:44:35.500 on some,

00:44:36.600 let's say,

00:44:38.400 conceptual

00:44:39.620 value that

00:44:41.220 you'll just

00:44:41.600 say, you

00:44:41.960 know, I

00:44:43.040 like people.

00:44:44.620 People are

00:44:45.220 good.

00:44:45.840 I like

00:44:46.360 Bob.

00:44:47.260 Bob's a

00:44:47.800 good person.

00:44:48.900 Bob's my

00:44:49.420 friend.

00:44:50.740 I'll tell

00:44:51.240 you how a

00:44:51.620 goal is

00:44:51.960 different from

00:44:52.460 affirmations in

00:44:53.260 a minute.

00:44:53.780 Friendship is

00:44:58.020 a transactional

00:44:59.900 situation.

00:45:01.540 Your family

00:45:02.440 might not

00:45:03.020 be.

00:45:03.480 In your

00:45:03.880 family, you

00:45:04.380 might have

00:45:04.680 something close

00:45:05.320 to, you

00:45:06.860 know, complete

00:45:07.460 love without

00:45:08.200 any restrictions.

00:45:09.760 But friends

00:45:10.520 are transactions.

00:45:12.240 Now, you

00:45:12.520 don't want to

00:45:13.020 think of it

00:45:13.420 that way, but

00:45:14.000 I'm sorry, it's

00:45:14.660 just true.

00:45:15.560 It's always

00:45:16.160 true.

00:45:17.240 Your friends

00:45:17.780 are people for

00:45:18.520 whom you

00:45:19.160 provide a

00:45:19.820 value, and

00:45:21.000 they provide a

00:45:21.800 value back.

00:45:22.580 If that's

00:45:23.660 not happening,

00:45:24.940 get rid of

00:45:25.460 your friend.

00:45:26.780 Unless, I

00:45:27.400 suppose, they're

00:45:28.620 giving you

00:45:28.980 value and

00:45:29.420 you're giving

00:45:29.740 them nothing,

00:45:30.260 that would

00:45:30.420 be okay for

00:45:30.880 you.

00:45:31.820 But it's

00:45:33.140 only a

00:45:33.560 friendship if

00:45:34.920 you both know

00:45:35.540 what you're

00:45:35.940 getting and

00:45:36.640 you're both

00:45:37.020 delivering it.

00:45:38.280 For example,

00:45:39.500 you might be

00:45:40.220 valuable because

00:45:41.160 you're funny.

00:45:42.640 And people

00:45:43.120 say, I love

00:45:43.700 being around a

00:45:44.240 funny person.

00:45:45.180 You might be

00:45:45.900 valuable because

00:45:46.680 you're an

00:45:47.880 empath.

00:45:48.240 And people

00:45:49.220 say, man, when

00:45:50.100 I have a

00:45:50.480 problem, I

00:45:51.520 sure like

00:45:51.980 talking to

00:45:52.540 X.

00:45:53.240 You might be

00:45:53.800 valuable because

00:45:54.600 your home is

00:45:56.380 a good one for

00:45:57.400 getting together.

00:45:58.580 You might be

00:45:59.320 valuable because

00:46:00.400 you're an

00:46:01.180 organizer.

00:46:02.140 You're the

00:46:02.520 person who

00:46:02.940 brings everybody

00:46:03.540 together.

00:46:04.260 You might be

00:46:04.820 valuable because

00:46:05.480 you have lots

00:46:06.040 of friends, and

00:46:07.240 people want to

00:46:07.700 be your friend to

00:46:09.000 have access to

00:46:09.720 your network of

00:46:10.380 friends.

00:46:11.060 But make sure

00:46:11.920 you have a

00:46:12.360 value.

00:46:13.220 If you're not

00:46:13.980 offering a thing

00:46:15.040 of value, why

00:46:16.540 would anybody be

00:46:17.300 your friend?

00:46:18.600 Seriously, why

00:46:19.900 would they be

00:46:20.320 your friend?

00:46:21.720 It's not because

00:46:22.700 your inner you,

00:46:25.860 your soul, is

00:46:26.900 so good.

00:46:28.080 Forget about

00:46:28.700 that.

00:46:29.200 Nobody can see

00:46:29.840 your soul.

00:46:31.240 Nobody can see

00:46:31.880 your inner

00:46:32.300 thoughts.

00:46:33.540 People can see

00:46:34.140 what you do.

00:46:35.720 So do something

00:46:36.760 valuable for the

00:46:38.680 people you would

00:46:39.340 like to be friends

00:46:40.060 with.

00:46:40.600 If you can't do

00:46:41.520 something for

00:46:42.120 other people,

00:46:43.360 don't complain

00:46:44.060 you don't have

00:46:44.560 friends.

00:46:45.800 They need you to

00:46:46.560 do something for

00:46:47.280 them.

00:46:47.440 That's how it

00:46:47.860 works.

00:46:48.580 So get over

00:46:49.180 your romantic

00:46:50.880 notions that

00:46:51.820 friendship is

00:46:52.580 based on some

00:46:53.400 connection in

00:46:54.540 your soul.

00:46:55.820 It's not that

00:46:56.460 at all.

00:46:57.300 It's just people

00:46:57.860 have stuff in

00:46:58.500 common who

00:46:59.080 have an interest

00:46:59.940 and a value

00:47:01.040 that is exchanged.

00:47:02.220 That's all.

00:47:02.660 It's transactional.

00:47:04.120 But there's

00:47:04.880 nothing wrong

00:47:05.360 with that.

00:47:06.420 The world is

00:47:07.280 going on forever

00:47:08.140 exactly with

00:47:09.800 this system.

00:47:10.880 You don't have

00:47:11.480 to be the one

00:47:11.980 who bucks it.

00:47:13.400 Use the

00:47:13.840 system.

00:47:15.160 Don't fight

00:47:16.240 the system.

00:47:17.460 Use it.

00:47:18.200 It's been

00:47:18.500 tested for

00:47:19.260 hundreds of

00:47:20.400 thousands of

00:47:20.820 years.

00:47:23.060 You should

00:47:23.740 also either

00:47:24.360 join groups

00:47:25.140 or organize

00:47:25.740 them.

00:47:27.060 So find a

00:47:27.920 group of

00:47:28.300 people who

00:47:28.740 are doing

00:47:29.060 the thing

00:47:29.560 that you're

00:47:30.520 interested in

00:47:31.200 and join

00:47:31.680 that group.

00:47:32.500 The best

00:47:33.020 way to make

00:47:33.460 friends is

00:47:34.120 simply by doing

00:47:34.780 the same

00:47:35.200 stuff with

00:47:35.800 people that

00:47:36.300 you didn't

00:47:36.620 know that

00:47:37.000 well and

00:47:37.860 then you

00:47:38.180 get to know

00:47:38.700 them.

00:47:39.120 You got

00:47:39.360 something to

00:47:39.840 talk about.

00:47:40.640 Oh, you do

00:47:41.460 X, I do

00:47:42.060 X.

00:47:42.360 Let's talk

00:47:42.800 about X.

00:47:43.740 And then

00:47:44.160 you're on

00:47:44.440 your way.

00:47:45.460 So if you

00:47:45.940 can't join

00:47:46.600 a group

00:47:47.060 that is

00:47:48.640 of interest

00:47:49.260 to you,

00:47:50.340 be the

00:47:50.860 organizer.

00:47:52.400 Are you

00:47:53.020 worried that

00:47:53.500 if you're

00:47:53.780 the organizer

00:47:54.380 people will

00:47:55.100 say no

00:47:55.520 to you?

00:47:56.340 Here's the

00:47:56.820 trick.

00:47:57.920 Don't say

00:47:58.520 to one

00:47:58.920 person,

00:47:59.560 would you

00:48:00.020 like to

00:48:00.440 do X

00:48:00.940 with me?

00:48:02.160 Because if

00:48:02.560 you get

00:48:02.820 turned down

00:48:03.320 for that,

00:48:04.020 that feels

00:48:04.440 kind of

00:48:04.780 personal,

00:48:05.240 doesn't it?

00:48:06.120 Would you

00:48:06.600 like to go

00:48:07.160 to a movie

00:48:07.640 with me?

00:48:09.700 That's tough

00:48:10.420 for some

00:48:10.720 people to ask.

00:48:11.960 Nobody likes

00:48:12.440 to be

00:48:12.700 rejected.

00:48:13.540 So don't

00:48:13.840 do that.

00:48:14.920 Instead,

00:48:15.940 be an

00:48:16.300 organizer and

00:48:17.180 say,

00:48:17.820 I'm thinking

00:48:18.360 of going

00:48:18.840 to movie

00:48:19.340 X,

00:48:20.020 put out

00:48:20.340 a message

00:48:20.800 to your

00:48:21.240 network,

00:48:22.220 does anybody

00:48:22.780 want to

00:48:23.120 go with

00:48:23.400 me?

00:48:24.680 That's it.

00:48:26.160 I'm going

00:48:26.800 to do

00:48:27.160 something on

00:48:27.700 this day,

00:48:28.280 who would

00:48:28.940 like to

00:48:29.280 join me?

00:48:30.360 Then,

00:48:30.920 you don't

00:48:31.320 know who

00:48:31.640 turned you

00:48:32.020 down.

00:48:33.440 Nobody

00:48:33.680 has to

00:48:34.040 answer.

00:48:35.140 It's just

00:48:35.520 the people

00:48:35.840 who want

00:48:36.240 to join

00:48:36.620 you,

00:48:36.880 say yes.

00:48:37.300 If you

00:48:38.200 get nobody

00:48:39.720 joining you,

00:48:41.020 nobody even

00:48:41.680 knows.

00:48:43.060 Nobody's going

00:48:43.620 to know if

00:48:43.960 you went to

00:48:44.300 the movie.

00:48:45.240 They just

00:48:45.640 know you

00:48:45.960 put it

00:48:46.260 out there.

00:48:47.460 That's all.

00:48:48.520 If they

00:48:48.880 didn't go,

00:48:49.480 they didn't

00:48:49.740 answer,

00:48:50.080 that's all

00:48:50.460 they know.

00:48:51.320 So there's

00:48:51.760 nobody turning

00:48:52.380 you down,

00:48:53.880 and there's

00:48:54.240 nobody saying

00:48:54.740 yes.

00:48:55.340 Well, I mean,

00:48:55.900 somebody might

00:48:56.480 say yes.

00:48:58.040 So don't

00:48:59.380 ask one-on-one.

00:49:01.280 Organize a

00:49:01.880 group.

00:49:02.180 Put in

00:49:02.800 an offer.

00:49:03.920 Offer to

00:49:04.700 host.

00:49:05.400 Offer to

00:49:06.000 create an

00:49:07.320 event around

00:49:07.860 something.

00:49:09.020 Be the

00:49:09.540 organizer.

00:49:11.000 And next

00:49:11.480 thing is

00:49:12.060 diversify and

00:49:13.300 prune.

00:49:14.780 Don't think

00:49:15.700 that your

00:49:16.160 process of

00:49:16.840 making friends

00:49:17.520 is to get

00:49:18.120 some friends

00:49:18.640 and then

00:49:19.000 you're done.

00:49:20.720 No good.

00:49:22.320 Your process

00:49:23.020 of making

00:49:23.420 friends should

00:49:24.160 be a

00:49:24.780 continuous

00:49:25.260 process where

00:49:26.600 you're adding

00:49:27.140 new friends

00:49:27.660 all the time

00:49:28.280 and you're

00:49:29.080 diversifying so

00:49:30.460 that if you

00:49:30.800 lose a

00:49:31.240 friend,

00:49:31.580 eh,

00:49:32.560 you got

00:49:32.880 ten more.

00:49:33.960 You lose

00:49:34.380 another

00:49:34.680 friend,

00:49:35.260 eh,

00:49:36.000 you still

00:49:36.400 got ten

00:49:36.840 more because

00:49:37.340 you added

00:49:37.760 a new

00:49:38.100 friend.

00:49:39.180 What you

00:49:39.800 don't want

00:49:40.520 is to have

00:49:41.880 two friends

00:49:42.760 and then one

00:49:44.000 of them gets

00:49:44.480 pissed off at

00:49:45.260 you and you

00:49:46.200 lost 50% of

00:49:47.680 your social

00:49:48.140 network because

00:49:49.520 you made one

00:49:50.060 person mad.

00:49:51.500 Right?

00:49:52.540 Diversify.

00:49:53.820 Ten friends,

00:49:54.840 twenty friends,

00:49:55.660 thirty friends,

00:49:56.300 that's what you're

00:49:56.800 going for.

00:49:57.580 And if you get

00:49:58.220 to ten and

00:49:59.480 you say to

00:49:59.840 yourself,

00:50:00.180 well,

00:50:00.300 that's enough

00:50:00.720 friends,

00:50:01.580 no,

00:50:02.420 because you

00:50:02.720 need to

00:50:03.040 prune friends

00:50:03.920 too.

00:50:05.200 How many

00:50:05.800 of your

00:50:06.100 friends are

00:50:06.760 just users?

00:50:08.560 They're just

00:50:09.140 toxic.

00:50:10.520 Are you

00:50:11.060 getting rid

00:50:11.500 of the

00:50:11.760 toxic ones?

00:50:12.720 Because they're

00:50:13.240 taking your

00:50:13.700 time.

00:50:14.940 You've got to

00:50:15.360 get rid of the

00:50:15.880 toxic ones.

00:50:16.840 And people can

00:50:17.760 become toxic even

00:50:18.880 if they didn't

00:50:19.380 start that way.

00:50:20.560 So you've got to

00:50:21.240 get rid of the

00:50:21.700 toxic ones.

00:50:22.560 And the only

00:50:22.880 way you can get

00:50:23.520 rid of toxic

00:50:24.280 friends is to

00:50:25.900 have diversified

00:50:26.960 your friend

00:50:27.580 portfolio so

00:50:29.180 that you can

00:50:29.600 grab one and

00:50:30.280 say,

00:50:30.400 ah,

00:50:30.740 toxic,

00:50:31.200 get rid of

00:50:31.700 it.

00:50:31.900 And it

00:50:32.080 doesn't even

00:50:32.440 change the

00:50:32.860 average.

00:50:33.660 You don't

00:50:33.960 even notice it.

00:50:34.820 It's just

00:50:35.140 better.

00:50:36.180 So diversify,

00:50:38.480 grow your

00:50:39.240 friends,

00:50:40.140 and prune

00:50:41.060 viciously.

00:50:43.240 Prune,

00:50:43.960 prune,

00:50:44.640 viciously.

00:50:45.360 And the

00:50:48.700 other tip is

00:50:49.620 there are

00:50:50.260 people who

00:50:50.820 are good

00:50:51.280 organizers and

00:50:52.300 connectors.

00:50:53.360 You probably

00:50:54.020 know some.

00:50:54.900 If you know

00:50:55.600 20 people,

00:50:56.980 probably maybe

00:50:57.780 only one of

00:50:58.860 them, or even

00:50:59.620 fewer, could be

00:51:00.580 zero, maybe one

00:51:02.160 of them would

00:51:03.360 be the person

00:51:04.020 who knows lots

00:51:04.660 of people and

00:51:05.420 has parties and

00:51:06.500 introduces you to

00:51:07.380 people.

00:51:08.140 If you're going

00:51:08.980 to put any

00:51:09.660 interest into a

00:51:10.980 person, find one

00:51:12.640 of those.

00:51:14.540 Find one of

00:51:15.320 those, the

00:51:16.480 organizer, the

00:51:17.360 person who has

00:51:17.820 lots of friends,

00:51:18.660 and then how do

00:51:19.100 you make that

00:51:19.500 person your

00:51:19.920 friend?

00:51:21.160 Do you call

00:51:21.920 them and say,

00:51:22.380 hey, be my

00:51:22.880 friend?

00:51:23.740 Nope.

00:51:25.020 That doesn't

00:51:25.680 work.

00:51:26.100 And plus, they

00:51:26.540 might say, no,

00:51:27.500 you don't want

00:51:28.100 to do that.

00:51:28.960 Offer them

00:51:29.360 something.

00:51:30.940 If there's

00:51:31.600 somebody who's a

00:51:32.240 good organizer,

00:51:33.560 have a party

00:51:34.420 and invite them.

00:51:36.180 If you invite

00:51:37.300 an organizer to

00:51:38.820 three parties at

00:51:40.300 your place,

00:51:41.340 there's a

00:51:42.540 100% chance,

00:51:43.680 and let's

00:51:43.980 say the

00:51:44.240 organizer goes

00:51:45.080 three times to

00:51:45.880 your place,

00:51:46.660 there's a

00:51:47.080 100% chance

00:51:48.160 that you will

00:51:49.080 get invited to

00:51:50.400 their next

00:51:50.940 party.

00:51:51.800 And that's the

00:51:52.220 one that's the

00:51:52.720 good one.

00:51:53.440 That's where all

00:51:53.960 the people are

00:51:54.560 because that's

00:51:55.140 the organizer.

00:51:57.040 That's how you

00:51:57.980 do it.

00:52:00.400 You find the

00:52:01.600 people who are

00:52:02.180 the highest value

00:52:03.200 connectors.

00:52:04.300 You make sure

00:52:04.800 you put more

00:52:05.420 attention toward

00:52:06.240 them than other

00:52:06.980 people because

00:52:07.940 they're the high

00:52:08.400 value.

00:52:10.760 Somebody says,

00:52:11.700 I'm the

00:52:11.960 toxic one.

00:52:13.520 Then the

00:52:13.840 other thing

00:52:14.260 you want to

00:52:14.620 work on,

00:52:15.180 because that's

00:52:15.560 a good comment,

00:52:16.860 is don't bother

00:52:17.780 to make friends

00:52:18.600 if you're an

00:52:19.300 asshole.

00:52:20.620 Okay?

00:52:22.060 Work on that.

00:52:23.680 If you know

00:52:24.460 you're an

00:52:24.840 asshole, or you 0.97

00:52:26.080 know you're not

00:52:27.260 very, let's say,

00:52:28.320 generous to your

00:52:28.980 friends, your

00:52:30.260 problem is not

00:52:31.080 ability to make

00:52:31.900 friends.

00:52:33.120 The problem is,

00:52:34.360 if you made

00:52:34.920 friends accidentally,

00:52:36.440 you know, your

00:52:36.780 work friends or the

00:52:37.880 people that you

00:52:38.420 just met casually,

00:52:39.520 it doesn't

00:52:41.080 matter.

00:52:41.740 If you're going

00:52:42.160 to be an

00:52:42.440 asshole, there's

00:52:43.200 no point.

00:52:47.180 All right.

00:52:48.080 So that is your

00:52:49.240 goal for today.

00:52:51.440 Now, the reason

00:52:52.440 that systems are

00:52:53.440 better than goals

00:52:54.300 is because a

00:52:56.020 system is something

00:52:56.720 you can do every

00:52:57.520 day.

00:52:58.620 So what I just

00:52:59.520 described is stuff

00:53:01.000 you can be working

00:53:01.660 on every day.

00:53:02.920 Right?

00:53:03.300 Join a group,

00:53:04.260 organize a group,

00:53:05.820 send a text to

00:53:07.380 that organizer

00:53:08.040 person, just

00:53:08.800 remind them who

00:53:10.300 you are, that

00:53:11.360 sort of thing.

00:53:12.820 And whereas a

00:53:13.520 goal, you know,

00:53:14.540 you might do

00:53:15.680 nothing that day

00:53:16.640 on your goal and

00:53:17.600 you just feel

00:53:18.320 depressed.

00:53:18.840 But a system, you

00:53:19.460 can just work

00:53:19.920 every day.

00:53:21.000 Join a gym,

00:53:22.360 right?

00:53:22.980 There's something

00:53:23.300 you can do

00:53:23.640 every day.

00:53:24.700 Join a gym,

00:53:25.740 people with

00:53:26.280 common interests,

00:53:27.000 you'll probably

00:53:27.360 run into some.

00:53:30.320 And then all

00:53:31.080 your friends ask

00:53:31.680 to borrow money.

00:53:32.800 Well, that is a

00:53:33.500 very negative

00:53:34.100 comment.

00:53:34.520 Any friends in

00:53:40.600 any mafia

00:53:41.240 organization?

00:53:42.160 That is a

00:53:42.680 weird question.

00:53:45.320 Now, the

00:53:46.000 question was

00:53:46.440 asked, what's

00:53:46.920 the difference

00:53:47.340 between an

00:53:48.040 affirmation and

00:53:49.000 a goal?

00:53:49.900 It's an

00:53:50.240 excellent question.

00:53:51.540 And I like to

00:53:52.200 put it this way.

00:53:53.560 A goal would

00:53:54.660 be, I'm going

00:53:55.460 to get that

00:53:56.020 promotion at

00:53:56.780 work.

00:53:57.480 Very specific,

00:53:58.520 right?

00:53:59.240 I'm going to

00:53:59.660 get the

00:53:59.980 promotion that

00:54:00.700 just opened up

00:54:01.360 at work.

00:54:03.240 An affirmation

00:54:04.120 would be, I

00:54:05.920 will become

00:54:06.420 wealthy.

00:54:08.040 The affirmation

00:54:09.260 allows you to

00:54:10.040 be wealthy in

00:54:10.880 any way.

00:54:12.500 It's not

00:54:13.100 restrictive.

00:54:14.140 So that's

00:54:14.480 what's good

00:54:14.880 about it.

00:54:15.960 A goal would

00:54:17.160 be, I want

00:54:18.200 to get that

00:54:18.780 promotion at

00:54:19.880 work.

00:54:20.160 You only have

00:54:20.520 one thing.

00:54:21.820 What are the

00:54:22.300 odds that

00:54:22.720 everybody gets

00:54:23.300 that one

00:54:23.820 thing they

00:54:24.280 want?

00:54:25.120 Well, not

00:54:25.580 nearly as

00:54:26.180 good as the

00:54:27.440 odds of

00:54:27.940 something good

00:54:28.900 happening.

00:54:30.080 Something better.

00:54:31.800 So your

00:54:32.360 affirmation should

00:54:33.260 be in the

00:54:33.920 direction, but

00:54:35.300 not too

00:54:35.800 specific.

00:54:36.920 So let's

00:54:37.340 say you

00:54:37.860 want to be

00:54:38.740 in love.

00:54:39.940 A goal

00:54:40.480 would be, I

00:54:41.220 will be in

00:54:41.700 love with

00:54:42.180 that person.

00:54:44.040 Is that

00:54:44.400 always a good

00:54:44.900 idea?

00:54:45.680 Or would it

00:54:46.260 be better to

00:54:46.840 say, I

00:54:47.260 will find

00:54:47.720 love?

00:54:48.780 Or I

00:54:49.440 am loved?

00:54:50.300 Or I

00:54:51.500 will have a

00:54:52.060 robust social

00:54:53.140 life?

00:54:54.160 Anything like

00:54:54.780 that?

00:54:56.380 Let me

00:54:57.000 tell you a

00:54:58.060 real-life

00:54:58.760 situation that

00:54:59.460 happened that

00:55:00.360 makes me wonder

00:55:01.220 about the

00:55:02.020 simulation.

00:55:03.780 Without

00:55:04.300 getting into

00:55:04.980 details, the

00:55:05.760 other day I

00:55:06.440 went into

00:55:07.540 town, and

00:55:08.820 one of the

00:55:09.220 people with

00:55:09.900 me was

00:55:10.780 talking about

00:55:11.620 a certain

00:55:12.180 other individual

00:55:13.220 in her life.

00:55:15.640 And there

00:55:16.720 had been

00:55:16.960 some situation

00:55:19.280 there.

00:55:20.560 And as she

00:55:21.340 was talking

00:55:21.760 about this

00:55:22.280 one person

00:55:22.980 in her life

00:55:23.860 who was a

00:55:25.080 problem,

00:55:26.180 that one

00:55:27.400 person walked

00:55:28.640 directly past

00:55:29.620 us.

00:55:30.700 There was

00:55:31.280 only one

00:55:31.820 person we

00:55:32.320 were talking

00:55:32.740 about, one

00:55:33.440 person who

00:55:33.900 was a

00:55:34.140 problem to

00:55:34.720 this one

00:55:35.120 person.

00:55:35.800 I live in

00:55:36.600 a pretty

00:55:36.940 populated place,

00:55:38.180 right?

00:55:38.400 There are

00:55:38.680 millions of

00:55:39.240 people who

00:55:39.620 live around

00:55:39.980 here.

00:55:40.660 But as

00:55:41.340 she was

00:55:41.680 talking about

00:55:42.280 that one

00:55:42.720 person, and

00:55:44.020 was walking

00:55:44.820 in a part

00:55:45.540 of town in

00:55:46.140 which neither

00:55:47.360 of them would

00:55:47.900 normally be,

00:55:49.840 that one

00:55:50.520 person that

00:55:52.020 she was

00:55:52.400 talking about

00:55:53.080 walked directly

00:55:54.400 past us.

00:55:56.420 Now, how

00:55:57.580 often does

00:55:58.020 that happen?

00:55:59.120 It happens

00:55:59.520 a lot, right?

00:56:00.820 Do you notice

00:56:01.580 that things

00:56:02.000 like that

00:56:02.360 happen a lot?

00:56:03.160 Now, you're

00:56:03.720 saying it's a

00:56:04.220 small town, but

00:56:04.960 it really

00:56:05.260 isn't.

00:56:06.380 Because the

00:56:07.920 entire time

00:56:08.640 we were

00:56:08.900 walking, we

00:56:09.440 saw nobody

00:56:10.120 else we

00:56:10.560 knew.

00:56:11.640 Nobody.

00:56:12.700 Saw

00:56:13.140 hundreds and

00:56:13.740 hundreds, if

00:56:14.380 not thousands

00:56:14.980 of people, and

00:56:16.100 saw nobody

00:56:17.160 else that we

00:56:18.640 knew except

00:56:20.000 the one person

00:56:20.680 we were

00:56:20.900 talking about.

00:56:23.620 And you

00:56:24.720 see people

00:56:25.160 say, yeah,

00:56:25.580 that happens

00:56:26.020 to me.

00:56:26.560 It's one of

00:56:26.920 those things

00:56:27.260 that just makes

00:56:27.740 you wonder

00:56:28.140 about the

00:56:28.540 nature of

00:56:28.940 the world,

00:56:29.340 doesn't it?

00:56:30.640 It happens

00:56:31.360 a little too

00:56:31.900 often.

00:56:33.040 Now, when

00:56:33.800 Jake Paul,

00:56:35.720 I'm sorry,

00:56:36.400 Logan Paul,

00:56:37.600 when Logan

00:56:38.240 Paul was

00:56:38.900 talking about

00:56:39.740 his upcoming

00:56:40.460 fight with

00:56:41.100 Floyd Mayweather,

00:56:43.020 and I guess

00:56:44.600 that's coming

00:56:45.180 tomorrow,

00:56:46.880 and Logan

00:56:47.620 Paul says,

00:56:48.480 I'm going to

00:56:49.120 break the

00:56:49.700 effing

00:56:50.060 simulation,

00:56:50.840 do you

00:56:52.340 think that

00:56:52.760 Logan Paul

00:56:53.320 has noticed

00:56:54.040 that his

00:56:54.980 own life

00:56:55.700 doesn't

00:56:56.680 seem to

00:56:57.100 correspond to

00:56:58.480 anything that

00:56:59.120 statistics would

00:57:00.260 suggest?

00:57:02.160 Because how

00:57:03.580 in the world

00:57:04.260 do you become

00:57:05.940 Logan Paul in

00:57:06.820 the first place?

00:57:08.280 I mean, that's

00:57:08.820 not easy.

00:57:09.540 But once you

00:57:10.380 become him,

00:57:11.820 how in the

00:57:12.560 world do you

00:57:14.080 get a boxing

00:57:14.700 match with the

00:57:15.680 best boxer in

00:57:16.460 the world?

00:57:17.340 Like, how in

00:57:17.960 the world?

00:57:18.380 Oh, it's

00:57:18.720 tonight.

00:57:19.240 People are

00:57:19.620 telling me that

00:57:20.140 the boxing

00:57:21.660 match is

00:57:22.140 tonight.

00:57:22.820 Now, I get

00:57:23.600 that it's an

00:57:24.200 exhibition, and

00:57:25.740 I get that

00:57:26.380 people would

00:57:26.860 expect Mayweather

00:57:28.200 to win, but

00:57:29.640 how in the

00:57:30.200 world does

00:57:30.680 any of this

00:57:31.140 happen?

00:57:31.740 I mean,

00:57:32.100 really?

00:57:34.820 What's my

00:57:35.500 null hypothesis

00:57:36.460 for the

00:57:36.920 simulation?

00:57:37.880 Ask that a

00:57:38.620 different way.

00:57:43.300 Yeah, is it

00:57:44.520 a cage match

00:57:45.200 or a boxing

00:57:46.320 match?

00:57:47.800 I'm not sure

00:57:48.840 which.

00:57:49.800 But I've got

00:57:51.120 to say, the

00:57:54.000 reason that

00:57:54.480 people like

00:57:55.280 Logan Paul

00:57:57.260 and Elon

00:57:58.380 Musk and

00:58:00.060 even me, I

00:58:01.860 think the

00:58:02.240 reason that we

00:58:02.780 believe in the

00:58:03.340 simulation is

00:58:04.120 that our lives

00:58:04.880 don't make

00:58:05.300 sense.

00:58:06.900 Does my

00:58:07.580 life make

00:58:08.140 sense?

00:58:09.500 Those of you

00:58:10.180 who have been

00:58:10.480 watching me long

00:58:11.300 enough, let me

00:58:12.080 just ask this

00:58:12.660 question.

00:58:14.080 Does my

00:58:14.540 life make

00:58:15.060 sense?

00:58:15.460 Based on

00:58:16.980 just what

00:58:17.360 you've

00:58:17.580 observed, you

00:58:18.940 don't even

00:58:19.500 have to know

00:58:19.860 my inner

00:58:20.340 life.

00:58:21.100 Just look at

00:58:21.780 what I've

00:58:22.140 done, what

00:58:24.120 I've been

00:58:24.420 involved in, the

00:58:25.280 things I've

00:58:25.740 touched.

00:58:26.780 Does any of

00:58:27.280 that make

00:58:27.620 sense?

00:58:28.800 It kind of

00:58:29.520 doesn't, does

00:58:30.160 it?

00:58:30.380 I see

00:58:32.320 yeses and

00:58:32.880 nos, but

00:58:33.660 in my

00:58:34.000 mind, it's

00:58:35.640 too

00:58:36.040 coincidental.

00:58:37.520 Like, it

00:58:38.000 doesn't make

00:58:38.540 sense, unless

00:58:40.360 we live in

00:58:41.060 the simulation.

00:58:47.280 Do I have a

00:58:48.180 null hypothesis

00:58:48.980 for the

00:58:49.640 simulation?

00:58:51.060 Can you

00:58:51.620 explain what

00:58:52.180 you mean by

00:58:52.660 that?

00:58:53.440 So, tell me

00:58:54.080 what you mean

00:58:54.500 by a null

00:58:55.220 hypothesis for

00:58:56.840 the simulation.

00:58:57.720 You mean an

00:58:58.820 alternative to

00:59:00.700 it?

00:59:05.000 All right, so

00:59:05.940 I'm asking you

00:59:06.820 to ask the

00:59:07.380 question in

00:59:08.080 English as

00:59:08.880 opposed to

00:59:09.540 science wonky

00:59:10.780 talk.

00:59:13.180 Will I be your

00:59:14.100 friend?

00:59:14.460 Absolutely.

00:59:15.880 I might not

00:59:16.940 contact you

00:59:17.600 often, but I'm

00:59:18.200 totally your

00:59:18.660 friend.

00:59:19.800 Oh, prove it's

00:59:20.520 not true.

00:59:21.360 Well, why didn't

00:59:21.780 you just say

00:59:22.240 that?

00:59:22.540 Yeah, how

00:59:25.100 could you

00:59:26.180 disprove the

00:59:27.340 simulation?

00:59:28.000 In other

00:59:28.240 words, is

00:59:28.660 there something

00:59:29.100 that, if

00:59:31.440 true, would

00:59:32.980 prove that

00:59:33.500 the simulation

00:59:34.120 is not

00:59:35.220 true?

00:59:35.760 And I think

00:59:36.280 the answer

00:59:36.660 is that

00:59:36.980 can't happen,

00:59:38.260 because if

00:59:38.880 we're a

00:59:39.260 simulation, then

00:59:40.960 the simulation

00:59:41.600 would prevent

00:59:42.560 it from

00:59:43.420 being disproved.

00:59:45.960 I mean, it

00:59:46.220 would be built

00:59:46.720 into the

00:59:47.180 simulation that

00:59:48.400 you can't

00:59:48.780 disprove it.

00:59:49.880 So I don't

00:59:50.380 think that the

00:59:51.680 normal rules

00:59:52.480 of disproving

00:59:53.220 things could

00:59:53.880 be applied to

00:59:55.580 the rule of

00:59:56.260 rules.

00:59:57.280 It would be

00:59:57.680 the only time

00:59:58.320 that you would

00:59:58.880 not expect it

00:59:59.620 to work, I

01:00:00.100 would think.

01:00:04.680 Well, somebody

01:00:05.780 says, can you

01:00:06.420 prove something

01:00:07.040 doesn't exist?

01:00:08.280 You could prove

01:00:08.920 something's not

01:00:09.540 true.

01:00:11.500 That could be

01:00:12.240 done.

01:00:14.840 But you can't

01:00:15.820 always prove it

01:00:16.540 doesn't exist.

01:00:17.940 For example, I

01:00:18.920 could prove, you

01:00:20.500 know, that I

01:00:20.940 don't have

01:00:21.420 something in

01:00:21.880 my hands

01:00:22.620 right now, but

01:00:24.940 I can't prove

01:00:25.880 that I won't

01:00:26.680 be hit on the

01:00:28.040 head with a

01:00:28.500 rock next

01:00:29.120 week.

01:00:30.360 So that's

01:00:31.360 the worst

01:00:31.680 example you

01:00:32.200 ever heard.

01:00:32.620 Just forget

01:00:33.040 I was

01:00:33.900 talking.

01:00:35.500 All right.

01:00:38.800 Is truth

01:00:39.760 singular?

01:00:40.700 I don't

01:00:41.060 think so.

01:00:44.140 You can't

01:00:44.900 prove reality.

01:00:45.820 Yeah.

01:00:46.560 I mean, by

01:00:47.080 its nature, you

01:00:47.740 can't really.

01:00:49.480 All right.

01:00:50.000 Yeah, bad

01:00:50.420 analogies.

01:00:51.080 Forget all

01:00:51.500 of my, forget

01:00:52.560 all of, yeah, I

01:00:53.320 had air in my

01:00:53.900 hands.

01:00:54.280 Damn it.

01:00:57.040 You can't

01:00:57.820 prove there

01:00:58.260 isn't an

01:00:58.820 invisible pink

01:00:59.740 unicorn in the

01:01:01.200 room with you.

01:01:02.520 Yes.

01:01:03.840 All right.

01:01:04.460 That's all for

01:01:04.940 now, and I

01:01:05.500 will talk to

01:01:05.980 you tomorrow.

01:01:07.360 Bye.

01:01:07.480 Bye.

01:01:07.560 Bye.

01:01:07.620 Bye.

01:01:07.680 Bye.

01:01:07.700 Bye.

01:01:07.740 Bye.

01:01:07.760 Bye.

01:01:07.780 Bye.

01:01:07.800 Bye.

01:01:07.840 Bye.

01:01:08.300 Bye.

01:01:08.320 Bye.

01:01:08.340 Bye.

01:01:08.740 Bye.

01:01:08.840 Bye.

01:01:09.380 Bye.

01:01:09.480 Bye.

01:01:09.800 Bye.

01:01:09.840 Bye.

01:01:10.300 Bye.

01:01:10.380 Bye.

01:01:10.400 Bye.

01:01:10.800 Bye.

01:01:10.840 Bye.

01:01:10.880 Bye.

01:01:11.380 Bye.

01:01:12.380 Bye.

01:01:12.440 Bye.

01:01:12.840 Bye.

01:01:14.380 Bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 06, 2021

Episode 1398 Scott Adams： Puppies and Rainbows Are the Decoy Topics For Today

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