Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1416 Scott Adams： Freshly Brewed Coffee and Delicious Content. Mmm-mm.

00:00:00.000 You made it to the right place, and you're on time for Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:05.380 And I think you have to count that as an accomplishment.

00:00:08.260 Because think of all the, well, billions of people who couldn't get this right.

00:00:13.900 There are billions of people who are not here right now.

00:00:16.620 And that's a mistake on their part, but you got it right.

00:00:21.400 And all you need to make this a special, special day, more special than ever before,

00:00:25.800 is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice, a stein, a canteen, a jug, a flask, a vessel of any kind,

00:00:31.120 and fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:33.500 I like coffee.

00:00:35.180 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:41.960 It's called the Simultaneous Sip, and watch it happen right now.

00:00:46.060 Go! 0.95

00:00:50.600 Ah, does Scott know what's happened?

00:00:55.800 What?

00:00:56.980 Did something happen?

00:01:02.140 Tell me.

00:01:03.380 Did something just happen?

00:01:05.480 Had it broken the news?

00:01:08.340 Well, if there is, I'm sure you'll tell me.

00:01:11.720 Well, here's some good news.

00:01:13.400 I was just testing on the Locals platform for you subscribers.

00:01:19.600 I was testing the new live streaming function.

00:01:22.260 It's still in beta, so not everybody can use it yet.

00:01:25.240 It's not turned on for everybody.

00:01:27.540 But the initial test this morning was really good.

00:01:30.340 So I don't know exactly how I'm going to weave it into my process, but I'll be using it a lot.

00:01:37.340 So live stream is coming soon to the Locals platform.

00:01:41.180 Pretty exciting.

00:01:41.720 I just saw before I got here a study that came out.

00:01:47.540 It's a published study, but I don't know what quality it is, that once again seems to indicate

00:01:53.100 that giving sick COVID people vitamin D makes a huge difference.

00:01:58.560 I feel as if we're just going to get more and more confirmation of that.

00:02:03.820 It just feels as if the vitamin D connection is not quite as understood as it needs to be.

00:02:11.780 So, and for what it's worth, that was probably the first thing that I advised you to do at the beginning of the pandemic.

00:02:21.940 Now, other smart people said it too, doctors and whatnot.

00:02:25.440 But if you followed my advice and you got a lot of sun and maybe took some supplements, maybe your vitamin D was better than other people.

00:02:35.860 And I'll bet it made a difference in your life.

00:02:37.520 So Axios is reporting that we might see in the future hybrid weddings where some people are attending by Zoom and other people are attending in person.

00:02:50.740 I think this is definitely going to be a thing because you can invite far more people and you can just say, yeah, you're on Zoom.

00:02:58.180 Now, one of the concepts that is very useful for predicting the future is that if you have a product that works pretty well,

00:03:09.800 but you anticipate that that product will keep improving until it works really well, it's not just a better version of the product.

00:03:20.100 And Zoom would be a good example of this.

00:03:23.040 Early versions of what Zoom was or Zoom became were kind of clunky and it didn't work and the sound wasn't matched up with the video and the video would cut off.

00:03:36.640 So the bad version of video conferencing wasn't really very sticky because it was such a bad experience.

00:03:44.820 But at this point, a Zoom meeting more often than not goes off perfectly and everything is, you know, good picture, good sound.

00:03:52.160 And it just works better than in person in many cases.

00:03:56.060 So at this point, I think the Zoom video conferencing world, there's nothing that's going to stop it.

00:04:06.020 It's just going to be gigantic because we finally reached the point where the Internet is fast enough.

00:04:11.900 Your 4G on your phone, 5G pretty soon, is fast enough and it changes everything as soon as you're ready technologically.

00:04:22.160 Yeah, we'll talk about McAfee in a minute.

00:04:24.520 So here's a question for you.

00:04:28.320 If you'd like to get economists arguing with you, say anything about economics.

00:04:36.020 There's no group that disagrees more than economists.

00:04:40.060 And so I tweeted this morning, it was a little bit, just to see what would happen.

00:04:44.900 I said, maybe it's lucky we have shortages of workers and raw materials, which is a pretty big problem all over.

00:04:52.180 At the moment, because it keeps the economy from overheating.

00:04:56.380 And then I said, inflation is going to be a problem either way.

00:05:01.340 Right?

00:05:01.640 So it's not a big thought.

00:05:03.320 And I put in direct terms, inflation is going to be a problem either way.

00:05:08.720 But what did people say to me? 0.98

00:05:10.860 Damn it, Scott, you're forgetting inflation. 0.99

00:05:14.500 No, I'm not forgetting it. 1.00

00:05:18.060 It's the main point.

00:05:19.240 It's going to be the same either way.

00:05:21.060 But probably if we were, I mean, there's going to be a problem either way.

00:05:25.540 We don't know which way is worse.

00:05:26.520 But yes, I understand that inflation has more to do with money supply than demand.

00:05:32.780 But the effect on the consumer is that prices were going to go up.

00:05:38.900 So either the economy is functioning at full speed, and that creates a demand that's greater than supply, and then prices go up.

00:05:49.460 Or it's like now where you can't get materials.

00:05:52.660 So if you get any materials, you're going to pay more for them.

00:05:55.200 Wood, for example.

00:05:58.040 But in both cases, you're going to pay more for stuff.

00:06:01.740 And I'm wondering if it worked out well that we have shortages to keep things from growing too quickly.

00:06:08.420 It sort of spread the growth over two years instead of one.

00:06:11.260 It might work out for us.

00:06:12.580 It might be one of those unexpected benefits that you wouldn't have asked for, but you got.

00:06:19.020 All right, let's talk about John McAfee.

00:06:20.920 The story is that he committed suicide in a Spanish jail on the same day, apparently, that extradition was approved to move him back to the United States.

00:06:34.920 Now, here's the back story, if you don't know it already.

00:06:37.600 McAfee, of course, made his money by the McAfee antivirus stuff.

00:06:43.340 But he's not associated with that anymore.

00:06:45.120 He sold it a long time ago.

00:06:46.160 But he's been a fugitive from the law in the most entertaining way possible.

00:06:53.280 Not too long ago, a year or two ago, I tried to interview him.

00:06:59.240 And I made contact.

00:07:01.480 That wasn't hard.

00:07:02.700 We followed each other on Twitter.

00:07:05.180 Still do.

00:07:06.300 If he's alive, we'll talk about that.

00:07:08.900 But I couldn't get it done because he required only one way that he could communicate because he needed to keep his communication private.

00:07:20.280 So there was one way he could do it that was encrypted that I couldn't do because of my setup.

00:07:24.960 So I never got to interview him.

00:07:26.720 And I always felt bad about that because I deeply wanted to.

00:07:30.380 No matter what his faults are, and I'm pretty sure the list of his faults is pretty long, I'm not going to forgive or explain any of his faults away.

00:07:40.020 That's for him to do or his legacy.

00:07:44.000 But, my God, he was interesting.

00:07:48.660 He was so interesting.

00:07:50.200 Kat Timph had a tweet that was just great today.

00:07:55.360 And she mentioned meeting McAfee very briefly and spent, you know, 15 minutes talking to him or something like that.

00:08:02.180 And then concluded that everyone else in the world was boring after that.

00:08:06.600 I totally get that.

00:08:09.660 McAfee was unable to be boring.

00:08:12.260 So, apparently, he had been warning that people were trying to kill him and make it look like a suicide.

00:08:22.100 Of course, we're all reminded of Epstein.

00:08:25.240 You know, different situation, different accusations, of course.

00:08:29.000 But with Epstein, you think, wait, everybody knew he was going to die in prison, and then it happened.

00:08:33.800 So, definitely, they killed him.

00:08:36.080 Could be.

00:08:36.580 But, was McAfee trying to make his situation remind you of Epstein's suicide intentionally so that if he died by his own hand, you would think there was something nefarious that happened.

00:08:54.000 And it would make his legend go on and maybe even get in trouble, some people that he would like to get in trouble, whether they went to jail or not.

00:09:01.320 So, I can't get past the fact that he was a practical joker.

00:09:08.760 And it would have been a great practical joke if he was planning to end his own life to make it look like an Epstein situation. 0.64

00:09:18.960 I don't know what your sense of humor is like, but I consider that funny.

00:09:24.420 I'm sorry.

00:09:25.220 Very inconvenient for people who are left behind, and tragedy for his loved ones especially, if he's actually dead.

00:09:34.020 And I thought, well, my God, talk about orchestrating a big send-off for yourself from jail.

00:09:44.380 Pretty impressive.

00:09:46.460 But, yeah, I see your comments.

00:09:49.380 The first thing I thought to myself was the following, and I'll bet you had this thought, too.

00:09:57.980 If there was one person in the entire planet who would have the capability and the inclination to do it,

00:10:06.720 to fake his own death as part of a scheme to bribe his way in a jail,

00:10:13.000 with, let's say, Bitcoin as the bribing mechanism, would be the obvious one,

00:10:16.880 who would be more suited to that than John McAfee?

00:10:22.400 Nobody.

00:10:23.280 Nobody.

00:10:24.240 Everything about his recent years that we know about suggests that if anybody could fake their death

00:10:31.940 while bribing their way out of prison, it would be him.

00:10:36.920 Do you think he didn't think of it?

00:10:40.040 No.

00:10:41.160 Don't even think that.

00:10:42.260 Of course he thought of it.

00:10:43.820 That doesn't mean he did it.

00:10:45.040 But there's a 100% chance that at some point John McAfee said to himself,

00:10:51.320 you know, if I could get enough Bitcoin to the right people in this prison,

00:10:56.900 I'll bet they would pretend I had killed myself.

00:11:01.200 Now, some would suggest that maybe Epstein did that, and he's not really dead either.

00:11:06.420 He was just taken out in a body bag with a, I don't know, breathing tube in there or something,

00:11:11.180 and he's living a good life somewhere.

00:11:13.260 Or maybe.

00:11:15.100 But here's what I wonder.

00:11:18.040 Are we going to see a photograph of John McAfee's whatever it was that killed him, allegedly?

00:11:26.360 Are we going to see that?

00:11:27.480 And if we did, would that convince you?

00:11:30.600 Because photographs could be faked.

00:11:32.560 All you have to do is put some ketchup on you and lay on the ground

00:11:35.480 and put a little makeup around your neck if it was something like that.

00:11:41.600 Suppose the story comes out that it was a drug overdose.

00:11:45.380 He somehow got enough lethal drugs.

00:11:48.500 It would just be a guy laying on the ground.

00:11:51.480 How hard would it be to fake a picture of a person laying on the ground with their eyes closed?

00:11:58.040 Pretty easy.

00:11:58.700 How hard would it be to find somebody in a prison you could bribe who had the ability to get you out?

00:12:07.020 Probably pretty easy, right?

00:12:09.840 Seems like it would be pretty easy.

00:12:11.960 I don't know how many people you'd have to bribe or how much it would cost,

00:12:15.220 but he had the money and he had the wherewithal.

00:12:18.060 So as long as he could talk to somebody on the outside,

00:12:21.460 all he'd have to do is say,

00:12:23.080 look, I found somebody on the inside.

00:12:25.500 I memorized their key.

00:12:29.880 Go send them some money and prove that you can do it.

00:12:33.840 And then I'll make a deal with them for the larger amount.

00:12:39.000 How hard would that be?

00:12:40.860 He could do that.

00:12:42.180 So here's my take on this.

00:12:43.860 I don't know what it would take to convince me that he's dead.

00:12:50.400 I'd have to see maybe live video of his DNA being tested on his alleged corpse or something.

00:12:58.400 But it's going to take a lot to convince me he's really dead,

00:13:02.340 given who he was and his abilities.

00:13:05.680 So I want to mourn him because I had brief contact with him on Twitter,

00:13:12.340 so it just feels a little more personal.

00:13:15.800 But, yeah, it does smell a little weird.

00:13:21.520 Yeah, even if it's video, it could be faked.

00:13:23.360 You're right.

00:13:25.520 All right.

00:13:28.300 So apparently what's happening with this whole critical race theory debate

00:13:32.400 is that when people on the right say,

00:13:35.460 hey, you're teaching critical race theory,

00:13:38.100 the people on the left say, no, we're not.

00:13:40.540 We're totally not.

00:13:42.860 But you are.

00:13:44.340 We've seen it.

00:13:45.320 We've looked at the lessons.

00:13:46.700 We've talked to the people who went through it.

00:13:48.520 You're totally teaching critical race theory.

00:13:52.180 No, we're not.

00:13:53.300 Nope.

00:13:54.180 Nothing like that.

00:13:56.060 And I guess this is my interpretation at the moment,

00:13:59.620 is that the reason that they're saying that

00:14:01.520 is that they're not teaching something that's branded that way.

00:14:04.700 They're teaching the components of it under different names,

00:14:09.280 just saying, well, we're learning this,

00:14:11.160 and, yeah, we do teach this,

00:14:13.920 and this component or this philosophy or this history is being taught,

00:14:20.440 but it's not critical race theory.

00:14:23.880 No, no, no, no.

00:14:26.260 It's something else.

00:14:27.800 That would be like a baseball player saying,

00:14:29.880 no, I'm not playing baseball.

00:14:32.360 Are you kidding me?

00:14:33.740 No, I'm getting up to bat,

00:14:36.320 but batting is not baseball, right?

00:14:39.920 I mean, that's batting.

00:14:41.380 There's no game there.

00:14:42.400 It's just batting.

00:14:43.780 Are you fielding?

00:14:45.080 Oh, yeah, I'm fielding.

00:14:46.420 Yeah, I'm playing defense.

00:14:48.040 I'm fielding.

00:14:49.140 But fielding is not baseball.

00:14:52.040 Having a catch with your friends, that's not baseball.

00:14:54.940 But are you doing it in the context of the game?

00:14:57.420 Oh, yeah, I'm doing it in the context of the game.

00:14:59.760 I'm playing a position and playing defense,

00:15:02.220 but that's not baseball.

00:15:03.800 That's just playing defense.

00:15:05.880 But you also bat.

00:15:08.000 Yeah, of course I bat.

00:15:09.480 There's nothing wrong with batting.

00:15:11.440 Nothing wrong with playing defense.

00:15:13.640 But what I'm not doing is playing baseball.

00:15:16.960 Do you show up wearing a baseball team uniform

00:15:19.600 at the beginning of the game,

00:15:22.480 bat in rotation with the other people,

00:15:24.720 all nine of them,

00:15:25.760 and go onto the field after you have three outs?

00:15:29.580 Well, yeah, I do that stuff individually.

00:15:32.920 But I don't think you can call that playing baseball

00:15:35.240 because batting is not baseball.

00:15:38.160 It's just batting.

00:15:39.520 So it looks like that's the defense,

00:15:42.400 that they're going to teach the toxic parts,

00:15:45.760 but they'll just call it something else.

00:15:49.860 And, you know, we see the same thing with voter suppression, right?

00:15:55.400 Voter suppression is not voter suppression.

00:15:57.640 It's, well, we just made this change,

00:16:00.840 and we have reasons,

00:16:01.800 and this change,

00:16:02.580 and we have reasons.

00:16:04.300 So one person's protecting the vote

00:16:07.980 is another person's voter suppression.

00:16:10.980 And who's right?

00:16:12.040 Eh, I'm going to say neither.

00:16:16.320 On the question of whether the Republicans

00:16:18.920 are trying to do voter suppression,

00:16:21.440 or are they just trying to make the election secure

00:16:25.300 so you know that real people voted,

00:16:27.660 which is it?

00:16:29.040 Eh, it's a little of both.

00:16:30.560 Like, if you're taking a strong side on that question,

00:16:35.200 you're probably just a team player.

00:16:37.640 Yeah, you're just a team player.

00:16:39.500 Clearly, unambiguously,

00:16:42.920 anybody who wants to change the voting system

00:16:45.740 wants to change it so it favors their team.

00:16:49.140 There's never going to be an exception to that.

00:16:51.740 Nobody's going to push through

00:16:53.040 or promote legislation that's bad for their side,

00:16:57.160 even if they say it's good for the country.

00:16:59.500 It's just not going to happen.

00:17:01.380 So don't believe anybody who says

00:17:03.560 there's no intent for voter suppression,

00:17:06.820 because of course there is.

00:17:08.320 Of course there is.

00:17:09.300 But also don't believe anybody who says

00:17:11.180 the only reason is voter suppression,

00:17:14.280 because it also matters that you know who's voting.

00:17:17.960 That's real.

00:17:18.760 That's important.

00:17:20.020 So it's a little of both on that one.

00:17:23.800 Are you following the Britney Spears

00:17:27.100 conservatorship story

00:17:28.640 that is way scary

00:17:30.920 and certainly challenges us

00:17:33.540 to maybe better understand

00:17:38.260 what it means to be able to

00:17:40.300 have a conservatorship over somebody?

00:17:42.560 How crazy or irresponsible do you need to be

00:17:46.560 before you lose the right 0.98

00:17:48.880 to control your own body?

00:17:51.120 Apparently Britney Spears is not allowed 0.96

00:17:53.740 to remove her birth control. 0.99

00:17:56.940 She has an IUD or something.

00:17:58.740 And she's not allowed to do that. 0.99

00:18:00.440 She can't make that decision herself.

00:18:02.740 The conservatorship decides that.

00:18:05.400 Have you ever heard anything as scary as that?

00:18:09.760 That would be like sterilizing people 0.95

00:18:11.920 because you thought they were mentally incompetent, 0.95

00:18:15.800 which used to happen.

00:18:17.960 Now, what about the fact that

00:18:20.060 she couldn't decide on the color

00:18:22.860 of her own kitchen cabinets?

00:18:26.160 Somebody else got to decide that.

00:18:28.200 She didn't have the power 0.65

00:18:29.300 to decide the paint color in her own house.

00:18:32.500 Now, was she going to pick a paint color

00:18:35.260 that was really a bad idea?

00:18:37.640 Maybe.

00:18:39.940 We all make bad decisions.

00:18:42.000 But it's really kind of a question

00:18:43.200 of who gets to decide, isn't it?

00:18:45.860 And apparently she was forced to work. 1.00

00:18:48.920 I don't know how you force somebody to work,

00:18:50.820 but apparently that's the allegation.

00:18:53.380 And, you know, I have mixed feelings.

00:18:56.440 One is,

00:18:57.500 I'm pretty sure she needs some kind of help.

00:19:00.280 She'd probably say that herself. 0.74

00:19:03.000 It looks like she does need a little help

00:19:05.740 and that she has some emotional

00:19:08.440 or mental issues that are important.

00:19:10.420 But you know who else has

00:19:11.620 mental and emotional issues? 0.76

00:19:14.540 Everybody.

00:19:15.800 Do you know anybody

00:19:16.900 who doesn't have mental and emotional issues?

00:19:20.000 I don't.

00:19:21.640 I don't know anybody.

00:19:23.760 So, just the fact that she has,

00:19:26.140 you know, allegedly,

00:19:27.580 mental and emotional problems,

00:19:29.220 do you take her rights away?

00:19:31.520 Because that would just be everyone.

00:19:34.300 Everybody makes bad decisions.

00:19:36.100 And you can tell when they're making them.

00:19:38.260 People make bad decisions

00:19:39.560 and the rest of us look at it

00:19:41.600 and say, well, that's a bad decision.

00:19:43.480 Clearly a bad decision.

00:19:46.060 But you don't get to make

00:19:47.140 other people's decisions.

00:19:49.180 And as was pointed out by others,

00:19:52.520 she earned like a gazillion dollars

00:19:54.680 in the last several years

00:19:55.980 by performing.

00:19:56.860 That's a pretty high level

00:19:59.520 of functioning

00:20:01.440 if you can do that,

00:20:03.240 even with help.

00:20:06.100 So I'm firmly on the side

00:20:08.000 that says free Britney Spears

00:20:10.460 and if she's going to make

00:20:13.180 bad decisions,

00:20:15.100 maybe that's going to happen.

00:20:16.300 And I wouldn't say

00:20:18.040 it's a bad idea

00:20:18.960 for somebody to have

00:20:20.440 a little extra control

00:20:21.920 of her big spending decisions.

00:20:24.320 That probably would help her too.

00:20:26.400 As long as it's reasonable.

00:20:28.440 You know,

00:20:28.680 she could spend as much

00:20:29.540 as she wants of her own money, 0.76

00:20:31.280 I suppose,

00:20:32.000 if she had good reasons

00:20:33.340 and it didn't look crazy.

00:20:34.880 I don't think her conservatorship

00:20:36.480 would stop that.

00:20:38.560 So I hope that things work out.

00:20:40.240 But it's chilling

00:20:41.020 and you wouldn't want

00:20:42.180 any of that to happen

00:20:42.920 to you or anybody

00:20:43.840 in your family,

00:20:44.400 I don't think.

00:20:45.820 So there's a story on CNN

00:20:46.940 that there might be

00:20:48.800 some kind of

00:20:49.240 infrastructure compromise deal

00:20:51.640 with the Republicans

00:20:52.400 and the Democrats.

00:20:53.860 And here's how they reported

00:20:57.480 on Biden's complete

00:20:59.500 lack of showing up.

00:21:01.400 All right.

00:21:02.060 So Biden basically did nothing,

00:21:04.000 but it looks like

00:21:05.160 there might be

00:21:05.800 at least a potential deal.

00:21:08.700 And so CNN reported it this way,

00:21:11.320 that Biden's patience paid off.

00:21:14.400 What?

00:21:15.560 That's the best way

00:21:16.640 to say somebody did nothing

00:21:17.920 and it might work out okay?

00:21:19.780 His patience paid off.

00:21:21.800 They're literally complimenting him

00:21:23.640 for not doing anything.

00:21:25.380 He just waited.

00:21:26.920 He didn't do anything.

00:21:28.440 And he got complimented for it.

00:21:30.100 Well,

00:21:31.240 that was a pretty good

00:21:33.500 strategic decision

00:21:34.640 to do nothing there

00:21:35.760 because you're doing nothing.

00:21:37.860 Turned out to be perfect.

00:21:40.080 It was exactly

00:21:40.720 what the situation called for.

00:21:42.020 A lot of people

00:21:43.180 would have made the mistake

00:21:44.200 as being a leader

00:21:46.340 of the country.

00:21:47.300 They might have tried

00:21:48.280 some leadership.

00:21:49.800 Big mistake.

00:21:51.340 Big mistake.

00:21:52.040 Joe Biden knows better.

00:21:53.300 You don't need leadership

00:21:54.280 in a situation like this.

00:21:56.280 You just need this

00:21:57.340 strategic doing nothing.

00:22:00.620 So thanks to Biden's

00:22:02.060 strategic genius

00:22:03.920 of doing nothing,

00:22:06.220 the reporting says

00:22:07.740 they might have

00:22:08.240 an infrastructure deal

00:22:09.180 that he could sign.

00:22:09.980 Do you believe that?

00:22:13.460 I don't.

00:22:14.860 I don't feel like

00:22:16.140 we're in a situation,

00:22:18.040 you know,

00:22:18.320 the Congress

00:22:19.560 I'm talking about,

00:22:20.740 I don't think

00:22:21.380 we have a situation

00:22:22.180 where they can get

00:22:22.900 any deal signed

00:22:23.740 with a big compromise

00:22:25.800 because they were

00:22:26.860 so far apart,

00:22:28.580 both sides

00:22:29.380 would have to

00:22:29.920 accept something

00:22:30.840 pretty ugly

00:22:32.800 from their perspective.

00:22:34.760 So I'm going to say

00:22:36.380 I don't believe

00:22:37.220 this reporting.

00:22:38.080 So I don't think

00:22:40.160 that we're close

00:22:41.080 to having an

00:22:41.560 infrastructure deal

00:22:42.480 because I don't think

00:22:43.600 that compromise

00:22:44.320 is a real thing.

00:22:45.660 I think it's

00:22:46.180 fake news.

00:22:47.680 But I hope I'm wrong.

00:22:49.720 I've told you before

00:22:50.440 that an understanding

00:22:51.420 of economics

00:22:52.460 allows you

00:22:53.520 to predict

00:22:54.200 the future.

00:22:55.500 Here's a good example

00:22:56.320 of that.

00:22:57.480 Amazon is dropping

00:22:59.140 its requirement

00:22:59.900 that their employees

00:23:01.840 get tested

00:23:02.460 for weed.

00:23:03.060 Now,

00:23:05.660 if you knew

00:23:06.560 economics,

00:23:07.900 could you have

00:23:08.520 predicted

00:23:08.940 that Amazon

00:23:11.280 would drop

00:23:12.080 its requirements

00:23:14.440 that you be tested

00:23:15.520 and have no weed

00:23:16.420 in you?

00:23:17.260 Yes.

00:23:18.140 Because we can see

00:23:19.180 that especially

00:23:19.940 companies like Amazon

00:23:20.940 are having trouble

00:23:21.660 hiring.

00:23:23.080 And as long as

00:23:23.820 there's difficulty

00:23:25.380 in hiring,

00:23:27.100 they're going to

00:23:27.720 have to figure out

00:23:28.600 how to get enough

00:23:29.200 people.

00:23:29.540 And one of the

00:23:30.900 obvious ways

00:23:31.680 is to drop

00:23:33.120 a requirement

00:23:33.740 that wasn't

00:23:34.340 really helping

00:23:34.840 much,

00:23:35.640 if at all.

00:23:36.620 Probably was

00:23:37.100 more bad than good.

00:23:38.640 So if you

00:23:39.460 understood economics,

00:23:40.580 you would know

00:23:41.160 that it was

00:23:42.160 pretty much

00:23:42.800 guaranteed

00:23:43.540 that employers

00:23:44.680 would start

00:23:46.200 to drop

00:23:46.720 that requirement

00:23:47.460 because you

00:23:48.700 couldn't compete

00:23:49.580 with companies

00:23:51.280 that had dropped

00:23:52.000 it because they

00:23:52.640 could get employees

00:23:53.360 and you just

00:23:53.860 couldn't.

00:23:55.060 So that was

00:23:56.100 predictable.

00:23:56.780 The timing of it

00:23:57.480 was not,

00:23:58.620 but it was

00:23:59.100 predictable

00:23:59.540 would happen.

00:24:01.040 Here's a prediction

00:24:01.940 for you.

00:24:03.580 Air travel

00:24:04.220 apparently is

00:24:04.960 surging.

00:24:06.720 A lot of pent-up

00:24:07.600 demand,

00:24:08.200 people who didn't

00:24:08.840 take their vacations

00:24:09.700 and weddings

00:24:10.360 and whatnot.

00:24:11.620 And so we're

00:24:12.160 seeing a lot

00:24:12.500 of demand.

00:24:13.020 But you would

00:24:14.340 not be surprised

00:24:15.160 that business

00:24:16.280 travel is way

00:24:17.540 down.

00:24:18.600 So despite the

00:24:19.340 fact that business

00:24:20.060 travel is such

00:24:20.840 a big component

00:24:21.520 of travel,

00:24:22.760 travel is up

00:24:23.580 even though

00:24:24.580 business is down.

00:24:25.680 That's how big

00:24:26.380 the demand is.

00:24:27.200 But you want

00:24:28.800 to hear a

00:24:29.300 prediction?

00:24:30.620 Now,

00:24:31.640 don't make any

00:24:33.020 financial decisions

00:24:34.240 because of anything

00:24:35.700 I tell you.

00:24:36.760 Right?

00:24:37.080 So this is not

00:24:38.020 financial advice.

00:24:39.640 It's a prediction.

00:24:41.380 And it's one of

00:24:43.020 the predictions

00:24:43.460 that allows you

00:24:44.260 to test my theory

00:24:45.360 that an understanding

00:24:46.840 of economics

00:24:47.840 allows you to

00:24:49.840 predict the future.

00:24:51.020 Right?

00:24:51.200 So don't buy

00:24:52.300 stock based

00:24:53.160 on this.

00:24:54.040 Don't invest

00:24:54.680 based on it.

00:24:56.120 But let's track

00:24:57.120 the prediction.

00:24:57.860 It goes like this.

00:24:59.480 More people are

00:25:00.160 working at home.

00:25:01.740 Right?

00:25:02.580 So, so far

00:25:03.360 we all agree.

00:25:04.340 I think it's

00:25:04.940 permanent.

00:25:06.180 At some level,

00:25:07.720 way more people

00:25:08.480 will be working

00:25:09.200 at home every day

00:25:10.240 and not commuting.

00:25:11.780 What will that

00:25:12.540 do to your

00:25:14.500 desire to travel?

00:25:17.060 Imagine if,

00:25:18.000 before,

00:25:18.880 you would leave

00:25:19.500 your house,

00:25:20.100 you would drive

00:25:20.820 a distance,

00:25:21.900 you would go

00:25:22.300 to a new place,

00:25:23.320 maybe you'd go

00:25:23.780 out to lunch

00:25:24.280 at that new place

00:25:25.100 around your workplace,

00:25:26.860 you'd drive home

00:25:27.840 and you'd get back

00:25:28.380 to your home.

00:25:29.220 So you'd be

00:25:29.580 spending time

00:25:30.200 in a home,

00:25:31.380 spending time

00:25:32.180 five days a week

00:25:33.200 or more

00:25:33.660 at a other location

00:25:35.420 with lots of travel

00:25:36.400 in between.

00:25:37.440 Now take that

00:25:38.140 all away.

00:25:39.440 Every day you wake

00:25:40.520 up in your bedroom,

00:25:41.940 you walk down

00:25:42.600 to your kitchen table

00:25:43.580 and you put

00:25:44.040 your laptop down

00:25:45.080 and that's all

00:25:45.860 you see all day.

00:25:47.300 You're just

00:25:47.900 home.

00:25:49.500 How much

00:25:51.000 does that person

00:25:52.160 want to travel

00:25:52.940 for a vacation?

00:25:55.060 A lot.

00:25:56.500 A lot.

00:25:57.720 So I think

00:25:58.860 the move

00:26:00.060 toward more

00:26:01.060 people working

00:26:02.580 from home

00:26:03.340 guarantees

00:26:05.220 that first of all

00:26:06.240 they'll save a bunch

00:26:06.980 of money

00:26:07.340 in commuting

00:26:08.020 so they'll have

00:26:09.240 a little extra money

00:26:10.100 but I think

00:26:11.940 that they're just

00:26:12.620 going to have

00:26:13.140 to travel.

00:26:14.460 So if I had

00:26:15.060 to predict

00:26:15.540 I don't know

00:26:16.200 what will happen

00:26:16.740 with business travel,

00:26:17.900 probably stay low

00:26:18.660 but overall

00:26:19.680 I would say

00:26:20.240 that the people

00:26:21.660 who work

00:26:22.080 for a business,

00:26:23.220 the employees,

00:26:24.220 it's going to be

00:26:24.940 through the roof

00:26:25.620 and it's going

00:26:26.240 to stay that way

00:26:26.860 because you just

00:26:27.740 can't spend

00:26:29.220 that much time

00:26:29.860 in one environment.

00:26:31.040 You have to

00:26:31.560 change your environment

00:26:32.420 and that's going

00:26:34.960 to be big.

00:26:35.840 Oh by the way,

00:26:36.320 I just rejoined

00:26:37.300 my gym.

00:26:39.180 So yesterday

00:26:39.720 I went

00:26:40.380 and the mask

00:26:42.180 mandate is off

00:26:43.200 and check things out.

00:26:44.960 Looks like

00:26:45.280 they're back

00:26:45.600 to operation.

00:26:46.740 Not many people

00:26:47.440 there yet.

00:26:49.620 But I rejoined

00:26:50.840 my gym

00:26:51.360 which is gigantic.

00:26:53.980 Just a gigantic

00:26:55.060 improvement

00:26:56.460 in life.

00:26:58.640 Gigantic.

00:27:00.480 All right.

00:27:03.940 Rasmussen

00:27:04.420 has a few polls here.

00:27:06.220 I think you'll see

00:27:06.900 them in a few hours.

00:27:09.080 But listen to this.

00:27:10.940 So here are some

00:27:12.100 really kind of

00:27:13.120 shocking stuff.

00:27:15.240 49% of likely

00:27:17.000 U.S. voters

00:27:17.860 say last year's

00:27:21.140 protests against

00:27:21.900 the police

00:27:22.440 hurt public safety.

00:27:24.840 So basically

00:27:25.600 half of the country

00:27:26.700 thinks that

00:27:28.220 the protests

00:27:29.100 that were trying

00:27:30.000 to improve

00:27:30.740 public safety

00:27:31.680 by having people

00:27:33.640 not killed

00:27:34.200 by police,

00:27:35.740 defund the police,

00:27:36.780 etc.

00:27:37.980 Half of the country

00:27:39.000 said it made

00:27:39.460 things worse.

00:27:40.940 Only 22%

00:27:42.220 said it made

00:27:43.200 things better

00:27:43.900 for public safety.

00:27:45.920 And 21%

00:27:47.040 said it didn't

00:27:47.580 make much

00:27:47.960 difference.

00:27:49.660 So,

00:27:51.000 you know,

00:27:53.020 when you hear

00:27:54.320 people like me

00:27:55.240 complain about

00:27:58.420 Black Lives Matter

00:27:59.260 and about the

00:27:59.860 protests,

00:28:00.960 your immediate

00:28:01.980 instinct is,

00:28:02.880 oh,

00:28:03.220 he doesn't want

00:28:04.040 good things 0.93

00:28:05.420 for black people,

00:28:06.200 I suppose, 0.72

00:28:06.880 right?

00:28:07.140 because if

00:28:08.300 you're pro

00:28:08.780 Black Lives

00:28:09.340 Matter,

00:28:09.720 you think

00:28:10.040 it's a good

00:28:10.480 idea.

00:28:11.500 And if

00:28:11.720 somebody's

00:28:12.120 against it,

00:28:12.680 you'd say,

00:28:13.020 well,

00:28:13.240 you must be

00:28:13.960 opposed to 1.00

00:28:15.280 black people 0.78

00:28:15.960 mattering or 0.89

00:28:16.860 opposed to

00:28:17.840 any kind of

00:28:19.220 improvement in

00:28:20.180 black America.

00:28:21.780 That could not

00:28:22.700 be further from

00:28:23.440 the truth,

00:28:24.120 because how does

00:28:25.560 that help me?

00:28:26.960 I'm only helped

00:28:27.980 by a strong

00:28:28.980 economy where

00:28:29.760 everybody's doing

00:28:30.420 well.

00:28:31.200 That's what

00:28:31.800 helps me.

00:28:33.200 I'm way better 0.99

00:28:34.000 off if black 1.00

00:28:34.960 America is

00:28:35.780 thriving,

00:28:36.860 because they'll

00:28:37.780 buy things I

00:28:38.940 produce,

00:28:40.420 you know,

00:28:40.760 just in a million

00:28:41.480 ways,

00:28:41.980 we're all better.

00:28:43.140 But what about

00:28:44.380 strategy?

00:28:45.720 I'll say this a

00:28:46.800 million times.

00:28:47.620 It was obvious

00:28:48.580 from the start

00:28:49.440 that the Black

00:28:50.740 Lives Movement,

00:28:51.620 the way they did

00:28:53.060 it,

00:28:53.580 was great at

00:28:54.460 getting attention

00:28:55.120 and certainly

00:28:56.280 great at getting

00:28:57.320 some grievance

00:28:58.120 related things,

00:28:59.320 but overall it

00:29:00.380 was a terrible

00:29:00.940 strategy.

00:29:02.320 Because it was

00:29:02.680 just so bad

00:29:03.960 for the brand,

00:29:05.100 if you will,

00:29:05.840 and it wasn't

00:29:06.340 strategic at all.

00:29:07.920 Strategic would

00:29:08.560 have been,

00:29:08.860 for example,

00:29:09.900 going after

00:29:10.440 teachers' unions,

00:29:11.800 you know,

00:29:12.500 joining forces

00:29:13.500 with the

00:29:13.920 Republicans who

00:29:14.640 also wanted

00:29:15.240 teachers' unions

00:29:16.000 to have less

00:29:16.520 power,

00:29:17.380 getting more

00:29:17.860 school choice,

00:29:19.040 you could get

00:29:19.440 all the funding

00:29:19.980 you wanted in

00:29:20.540 the world,

00:29:21.440 and you would

00:29:22.740 fix the biggest

00:29:23.380 problem in the

00:29:25.080 world,

00:29:25.460 which is the

00:29:26.280 schools aren't

00:29:27.000 educating people.

00:29:29.240 So,

00:29:30.680 um,

00:29:31.060 think about

00:29:32.860 that.

00:29:33.420 Think about

00:29:33.740 strategy versus,

00:29:35.080 um,

00:29:36.620 the BLM

00:29:37.220 protests.

00:29:38.100 All right.

00:29:40.320 Um,

00:29:41.280 49% of

00:29:42.260 voters,

00:29:42.840 likely voters,

00:29:43.640 have a favorable

00:29:44.300 impression of

00:29:45.080 Black Lives Matter,

00:29:46.280 including, uh,

00:29:47.700 27% who have a

00:29:49.140 very favorable

00:29:49.900 opinion.

00:29:51.040 Remember I told

00:29:51.660 you that,

00:29:52.280 uh,

00:29:53.300 you could get

00:29:53.820 about a quarter

00:29:54.520 of the public

00:29:55.480 in any poll

00:29:56.980 to have a 0.99

00:29:58.240 ridiculous 1.00

00:29:58.680 response. 0.99

00:30:00.400 Just always.

00:30:02.200 It's about a 0.56

00:30:02.880 quarter of the

00:30:03.520 public just as

00:30:05.280 whack on any

00:30:06.320 question.

00:30:07.260 And here,

00:30:08.020 27% of the

00:30:09.220 public have a

00:30:10.300 very favorable

00:30:11.120 opinion of

00:30:12.280 Black Lives Matter,

00:30:13.420 the movement.

00:30:14.800 Now,

00:30:15.420 I feel like it

00:30:16.440 has more to do

00:30:17.320 with how people

00:30:18.180 interpret the

00:30:18.920 question.

00:30:20.060 Because if you

00:30:20.820 interpreted the

00:30:21.420 question as the

00:30:22.320 concept,

00:30:24.120 well,

00:30:24.380 yeah,

00:30:25.520 the concept is

00:30:26.320 great.

00:30:27.580 You know,

00:30:27.780 everybody

00:30:28.140 battering.

00:30:29.120 I would say

00:30:29.880 they could do

00:30:30.320 better.

00:30:31.100 That's a low

00:30:31.920 bar to say

00:30:32.500 you matter.

00:30:33.440 Should be

00:30:33.860 thrive.

00:30:34.740 But that's

00:30:35.460 a minor

00:30:36.460 quibble.

00:30:38.280 So maybe the

00:30:39.200 way people are

00:30:39.800 answering this

00:30:40.360 is they like

00:30:40.860 the concept as

00:30:41.680 opposed to the

00:30:42.320 actual organization

00:30:43.280 and how it

00:30:43.860 implements stuff.

00:30:45.520 All right,

00:30:45.900 here's another

00:30:46.280 one from,

00:30:48.600 also for

00:30:49.300 Rasmussen.

00:30:51.580 The opinions

00:30:52.480 of Black Lives

00:30:53.140 Matter have 1.00

00:30:53.620 turned more

00:30:54.120 negative since

00:30:54.980 June 2020.

00:30:56.320 All right,

00:30:57.100 so think

00:30:57.480 back one

00:30:57.980 year ago.

00:30:59.560 62% of

00:31:00.800 voters had a

00:31:01.500 favorable view

00:31:02.340 of the movement.

00:31:03.900 That's pretty

00:31:04.560 dominant,

00:31:05.320 62%,

00:31:06.320 and now it's

00:31:07.740 down to half,

00:31:09.320 a little less

00:31:09.980 than half.

00:31:10.860 That's a big

00:31:11.340 change in one

00:31:12.060 year.

00:31:13.140 So Black Lives 0.95

00:31:13.820 Matter is

00:31:14.640 failing in

00:31:17.060 their primary

00:31:17.860 job of

00:31:20.440 influencing the

00:31:21.240 public.

00:31:22.260 That's the

00:31:22.960 whole point,

00:31:23.500 right?

00:31:24.140 The whole point

00:31:24.760 of Black Lives

00:31:25.380 Matter is to 0.57

00:31:25.940 influence the

00:31:26.500 public to a

00:31:28.180 certain set of

00:31:28.740 outcomes, and

00:31:30.100 their influence

00:31:30.900 has dropped

00:31:31.780 dramatically in

00:31:32.700 the last year.

00:31:33.680 So they are

00:31:34.740 unambiguously

00:31:35.620 failing.

00:31:38.820 Now, will

00:31:39.560 their unambiguous

00:31:40.440 failure, as

00:31:42.280 shown in these

00:31:42.980 statistics, will

00:31:45.320 that cause their

00:31:46.420 total collapse?

00:31:47.900 Because things

00:31:48.500 either move

00:31:49.000 forward or

00:31:49.560 backwards.

00:31:50.980 There's a good

00:31:51.600 general rule of

00:31:52.540 understanding things.

00:31:53.860 Nothing stays the

00:31:54.700 same that's

00:31:55.740 important.

00:31:56.960 Things are either

00:31:57.520 moving forward and

00:31:58.400 improving, or

00:31:58.960 they're getting

00:31:59.260 worse.

00:32:00.300 And Black Lives 0.53

00:32:01.040 Matter, over the

00:32:01.760 last movement, or

00:32:03.560 an organization,

00:32:04.360 let's say, over the

00:32:05.640 past year has

00:32:06.320 gotten substantially

00:32:07.480 worse.

00:32:09.000 There was problems

00:32:09.980 with one of the

00:32:10.640 leaders, buying

00:32:11.680 some homes.

00:32:12.860 I didn't have a

00:32:13.460 problem with that,

00:32:14.020 but she was 0.91

00:32:14.400 criticized for that.

00:32:15.260 And it looks

00:32:18.260 like the momentum

00:32:19.020 is really toward

00:32:20.020 collapse.

00:32:22.200 So we'll see.

00:32:24.740 All right, here's

00:32:25.200 another one from

00:32:25.720 Rasmussen.

00:32:26.840 Do most members

00:32:27.520 of Congress care

00:32:28.620 what their

00:32:29.040 constituents think?

00:32:31.120 What do you

00:32:31.980 think people said

00:32:33.680 to that?

00:32:34.700 Do most members

00:32:35.520 of Congress care

00:32:36.620 what their

00:32:37.040 constituents think?

00:32:40.200 62% of likely

00:32:41.960 voters, and about

00:32:43.840 the same amount

00:32:44.580 of moderates,

00:32:45.260 who are the

00:32:45.520 ones I look

00:32:46.020 at the most,

00:32:47.320 61% of

00:32:48.980 moderates say

00:32:50.020 no, that

00:32:51.440 Congress doesn't

00:32:52.520 care about the

00:32:53.300 voters.

00:32:54.400 Our entire

00:32:55.200 system is based

00:32:57.380 on Congress

00:32:58.040 caring about the

00:32:59.000 voters.

00:33:01.200 If you don't

00:33:02.080 have that, what

00:33:04.220 the hell is your 0.90

00:33:04.860 system?

00:33:05.840 And 62% of

00:33:07.400 likely voters,

00:33:08.880 presumably people

00:33:09.740 are paying

00:33:10.160 attention because

00:33:11.300 they're likely

00:33:11.800 voters, right?

00:33:12.700 They're paying

00:33:13.060 attention more than

00:33:13.840 non-likely voters.

00:33:15.260 And they

00:33:16.280 think that

00:33:16.940 Congress doesn't

00:33:18.360 even care what

00:33:19.240 they think.

00:33:20.100 The most basic

00:33:21.300 element of our

00:33:22.160 system, that your

00:33:23.740 representatives are

00:33:24.900 representing you,

00:33:27.740 almost two-thirds

00:33:29.200 of the public

00:33:29.700 doesn't think that's

00:33:30.480 even happening.

00:33:31.700 That is pretty

00:33:32.800 shocking.

00:33:34.480 It gets worse.

00:33:36.520 You ready?

00:33:37.200 Again, this is from

00:33:38.080 Rasmussen.

00:33:38.620 Here's the next

00:33:41.880 question.

00:33:42.580 What matters more

00:33:43.380 to the average

00:33:44.020 member of Congress?

00:33:45.340 What voters think

00:33:46.380 or what the media

00:33:47.580 thinks?

00:33:49.540 How do you think

00:33:50.060 that went, of

00:33:50.920 likely voters?

00:33:52.620 29% think the

00:33:54.800 voters are the

00:33:55.440 most important

00:33:56.040 thing to members

00:33:57.040 of Congress.

00:33:58.460 59% of likely

00:34:00.640 voters said that

00:34:02.200 the media and

00:34:03.600 the media's

00:34:04.240 opinion is more

00:34:05.860 important to the

00:34:07.240 politicians.

00:34:08.940 What do you

00:34:09.720 think?

00:34:10.920 Do you think

00:34:11.640 Congress, in your

00:34:13.360 comments, let's

00:34:14.080 see, do you

00:34:14.960 think Congress

00:34:15.740 cares more about

00:34:16.660 the media's

00:34:17.800 impression of

00:34:19.420 them or the

00:34:20.640 voters?

00:34:21.540 Which one gets

00:34:22.440 them re-elected?

00:34:25.460 The media.

00:34:27.200 The media is who

00:34:28.320 gets them re-elected.

00:34:29.660 So of course they

00:34:30.520 care more about

00:34:31.180 that.

00:34:31.480 Now, if the

00:34:33.560 media likes

00:34:34.380 them, they're

00:34:35.040 also going to

00:34:35.620 convince the

00:34:36.180 voters eventually.

00:34:37.500 But if you had a

00:34:38.460 choice, you could

00:34:39.800 only have one or

00:34:40.500 the other, and

00:34:42.120 you could affect

00:34:43.260 the public, but

00:34:44.760 you didn't have

00:34:45.220 much effect on

00:34:46.020 the media, what's

00:34:47.680 going to happen

00:34:48.060 in the long run?

00:34:49.560 Well, in the long

00:34:50.220 run, if you don't

00:34:50.800 have the media on

00:34:51.540 your side, you're

00:34:53.840 going to lose

00:34:54.180 support.

00:34:55.340 But if you've

00:34:56.300 got the media on

00:34:57.080 your side, but

00:34:58.060 not the public,

00:34:59.780 eventually the

00:35:00.560 public's going to

00:35:01.100 be on your

00:35:01.520 side too, because

00:35:02.560 the media just

00:35:03.280 assigns opinions

00:35:04.080 to them until

00:35:05.540 they're on your

00:35:06.000 side.

00:35:06.980 So does it

00:35:07.560 make sense that

00:35:08.320 Congress would

00:35:08.900 care more about

00:35:09.680 what the media

00:35:10.260 says?

00:35:11.200 Completely.

00:35:12.220 It completely

00:35:13.200 makes sense.

00:35:14.520 If you're looking

00:35:15.680 at a self-interest,

00:35:16.820 if you're looking

00:35:17.220 at it as an

00:35:18.060 economics question,

00:35:19.780 with or without

00:35:20.580 the money, it's

00:35:21.260 still sort of an

00:35:21.840 economics question.

00:35:23.980 Yeah, it's

00:35:24.780 completely rational

00:35:25.640 behavior that they

00:35:26.480 don't care about

00:35:27.080 voters, unfortunately.

00:35:31.100 So, speaking of

00:35:33.400 this critical race

00:35:34.220 theory, did you

00:35:35.100 see the clip of

00:35:35.940 Matt Gaetz quizzing

00:35:37.400 the Secretary of

00:35:38.120 Defense, Secretary

00:35:39.220 Austin, and then

00:35:41.840 separately General

00:35:42.740 Milley, the Joint

00:35:44.500 Chiefs of Staff?

00:35:46.200 And when Matt Gaetz

00:35:48.400 asked Secretary

00:35:50.700 Austin about critical

00:35:52.440 race theory being

00:35:53.360 taught in the

00:35:54.760 military, Secretary

00:35:56.700 Austin said, he had a

00:35:58.100 really good answer for

00:35:58.900 this, by the way, he

00:35:59.840 said, we don't teach

00:36:00.680 it, and we don't

00:36:03.780 embrace it.

00:36:05.480 That's a good

00:36:06.340 answer.

00:36:08.040 If you're looking

00:36:08.820 to somebody who's

00:36:09.720 just good at

00:36:10.620 answering a tough

00:36:11.860 question, this is

00:36:13.700 the way to answer

00:36:14.260 a question.

00:36:15.160 Say it's not being

00:36:15.980 taught, and it isn't

00:36:17.460 being embraced, and

00:36:19.240 we care about

00:36:19.840 behaviors, not your 0.75

00:36:20.960 thoughts.

00:36:22.500 And I thought, that

00:36:23.140 was like the best

00:36:24.140 military answer I've

00:36:26.880 ever heard, but is

00:36:30.220 it true?

00:36:31.580 Do you believe

00:36:32.360 it?

00:36:35.320 No.

00:36:36.460 No, we don't

00:36:37.480 believe it.

00:36:38.480 We do believe that

00:36:39.620 the elements of

00:36:40.600 critical race theory

00:36:41.540 are almost certainly

00:36:42.560 being taught in the

00:36:43.300 military.

00:36:44.620 I would need a

00:36:45.720 fact check on

00:36:46.380 that, but Matt

00:36:48.360 Gaetz seemed to

00:36:49.220 have had enough

00:36:50.280 anecdotal reports

00:36:51.580 to suggest something

00:36:53.400 like that's happening

00:36:54.320 under a different

00:36:55.060 name.

00:36:56.040 So after the

00:36:56.780 Secretary of

00:36:58.140 Defense said, no,

00:36:59.500 it's not being

00:37:00.100 taught, and we

00:37:00.640 don't embrace it,

00:37:02.320 General Milley

00:37:03.160 got to speak and

00:37:05.640 said, it's really

00:37:07.140 important, and he

00:37:08.540 embraces it.

00:37:10.180 Not in those

00:37:10.960 words.

00:37:12.400 So I want you to

00:37:14.620 watch the clip and

00:37:15.480 see if you came

00:37:16.060 away with the same

00:37:16.740 interpretation, because

00:37:18.200 I'm feeling like

00:37:20.520 here's what it felt

00:37:22.240 like, which is

00:37:23.720 slightly different

00:37:24.360 from what happened.

00:37:25.880 But what it felt

00:37:26.800 like is that the

00:37:28.940 Secretary of Defense

00:37:29.880 said, no, we're not

00:37:30.960 embracing it, not

00:37:31.780 doing it, and that

00:37:33.160 General Milley said,

00:37:34.600 yeah, it's important,

00:37:35.660 and we're sort of

00:37:36.900 doing it in our own

00:37:38.400 way.

00:37:41.000 I don't think they

00:37:42.020 can both be right,

00:37:43.720 right?

00:37:44.680 So maybe those guys

00:37:46.000 need to work that

00:37:46.900 out.

00:37:47.700 Maybe they need to

00:37:48.600 talk.

00:37:49.400 They should have a

00:37:50.000 coffee after that,

00:37:51.700 figure out whether

00:37:52.460 they love it or

00:37:53.320 don't.

00:37:54.940 All right, here's my

00:37:55.720 favorite story of the

00:37:56.520 day, and I've got a

00:37:58.160 few more minutes.

00:37:59.160 Favorite story of the

00:37:59.880 day.

00:38:01.080 What happens if you've

00:38:03.020 got a friend who

00:38:03.960 believes in an end of

00:38:06.160 the world, let's say a

00:38:07.180 cult, and your friend

00:38:08.880 gives away all their 0.77

00:38:09.680 possessions because they

00:38:10.840 believe that the world

00:38:13.160 will be destroyed on

00:38:14.320 Tuesday, and then

00:38:16.160 Tuesday comes, and it's

00:38:18.920 not destroyed.

00:38:19.640 It's awkward, isn't

00:38:21.620 it?

00:38:22.460 It's awkward to have a

00:38:23.900 worldview that gets

00:38:25.060 destroyed instead of

00:38:27.380 the world being

00:38:27.880 destroyed.

00:38:29.060 And I was anticipating

00:38:30.840 this with CNN, who has

00:38:32.620 been claiming that the

00:38:34.740 insurrection, they call

00:38:36.120 it, at the Capitol on

00:38:37.300 January 6th was genuinely

00:38:39.260 an attempt to overthrow

00:38:41.500 the government.

00:38:42.680 They've been calling it an

00:38:44.060 insurrection and saying

00:38:46.480 that the intention of it,

00:38:48.380 of the people who

00:38:49.500 attended, was to

00:38:50.660 overthrow the

00:38:51.280 government.

00:38:52.340 Now, what problem do

00:38:54.200 you see for CNN?

00:38:56.920 They've been reporting

00:38:58.060 nonstop it was an

00:38:59.620 insurrection.

00:39:01.580 But, you've got hundreds

00:39:03.440 of people who've been

00:39:04.300 arrested, and you've got

00:39:06.620 a law called sedition, in

00:39:10.680 which, if in fact it had

00:39:12.380 been an insurrection, and

00:39:14.380 if, when law enforcement

00:39:15.960 looked into the details of

00:39:17.660 each of these people's

00:39:18.680 participation, if they

00:39:20.560 were to find that their

00:39:22.120 intention, or even their

00:39:23.400 preparation, had been to

00:39:25.280 overthrow the government,

00:39:28.020 wouldn't you expect some

00:39:29.140 charges that said sedition?

00:39:32.480 So now CNN is already

00:39:34.200 backpedaling today, and

00:39:36.040 they're trying to explain

00:39:37.160 to you why there totally

00:39:39.220 was sedition going on, but

00:39:42.200 the Justice Department, which

00:39:44.720 is also Democrats, at least

00:39:46.920 the top guy, are not

00:39:48.780 planning to charge anybody

00:39:50.220 with the crime, the CNN

00:39:52.740 has told you, clearly,

00:39:54.740 clearly occurred, hundreds

00:39:56.660 of people right in front of

00:39:58.600 you, right on video, with all

00:40:01.640 the evidence in the world.

00:40:02.940 We know the people, we've

00:40:04.060 talked to them by now, we've

00:40:05.720 got every video, probably

00:40:07.380 have the electronic

00:40:08.300 communications, everything you

00:40:10.400 would need to prove that CNN's

00:40:12.360 reporting was true, and there

00:40:14.720 was an insurrection, not a

00:40:16.080 protest, but an insurrection

00:40:18.160 to overthrow the country.

00:40:20.560 Now they've got a problem,

00:40:22.100 because the justice system on

00:40:24.100 their team, Democrats, is not

00:40:27.680 going to charge anybody with

00:40:28.660 sedition.

00:40:30.920 Now here's how CNN describes

00:40:33.640 it, trying to describe it

00:40:36.020 away.

00:40:37.020 They say, well, there are other

00:40:38.940 charges that have just as high

00:40:40.740 a penalty, like obstruction,

00:40:42.980 blah, blah, blah.

00:40:44.320 Now one of the claims, or one

00:40:46.800 of the ways that sedition

00:40:49.120 could be a relevant charge, is

00:40:52.760 if not only were the

00:40:54.340 protesters trying to overthrow

00:40:57.140 the government, that would be

00:40:58.460 one part of sedition, but also

00:41:00.380 to stop the government from

00:41:01.920 functioning, from doing its

00:41:04.160 rightful job as a government.

00:41:06.260 So if the intention of the

00:41:09.360 protesters had been simply to

00:41:11.860 stop a government from

00:41:13.140 working, that would be the same

00:41:16.000 as an insurrection, in terms of

00:41:17.660 how bad it was, and whether it's

00:41:19.440 sedition.

00:41:21.560 But imagine somebody being on

00:41:24.100 trial for trying to stop the

00:41:27.660 proper functioning of the

00:41:29.200 government.

00:41:30.440 Allow me to be that person.

00:41:32.840 Scott, why did you go to the

00:41:35.760 Capitol?

00:41:36.180 Well, I wanted this or that.

00:41:37.960 I wanted my voice to be heard,

00:41:39.340 and I wanted Pence to do this

00:41:41.340 and not to do that.

00:41:43.120 And then they say, aha, gotcha.

00:41:46.080 You basically just admitted that

00:41:48.640 you wanted to block the

00:41:50.360 government from functioning, which

00:41:52.560 is sedition.

00:41:54.080 Gotcha.

00:41:55.320 To which I say, is that what you

00:41:57.640 heard?

00:41:58.660 Because what I was telling you is

00:42:00.500 I want the government to work the

00:42:03.440 way it's designed.

00:42:05.620 I wanted my government to work

00:42:07.900 exactly the way it's supposed to

00:42:09.940 work, because it wasn't.

00:42:12.360 I wanted it to listen to me, and I

00:42:14.800 wanted it to make sure that the

00:42:16.040 election was the fair and just

00:42:18.460 election that we all expect.

00:42:21.740 Indeed, Mr. Prosecutor, I accuse you

00:42:24.980 of obstruction if you're trying to

00:42:27.180 stop me from helping my government

00:42:29.540 work exactly the way it was defined

00:42:31.880 in the Constitution, and the people

00:42:34.480 in it doing their job as we expect

00:42:36.620 them and we pay them to do.

00:42:38.540 No, sir.

00:42:39.460 I was not trying to block the

00:42:41.400 government from doing its job.

00:42:43.180 I was trying to encourage and force

00:42:46.400 the government to do its job.

00:42:49.400 That's the opposite of sedition.

00:42:51.720 Sedition would be somebody who wanted

00:42:53.580 to stop the government.

00:42:55.160 I wanted to improve it explicitly.

00:42:57.680 I wanted it to be better.

00:43:00.820 The same form of government, same

00:43:03.600 people.

00:43:04.380 I did not suggest changing a rule.

00:43:07.520 I did not suggest changing the

00:43:09.580 system.

00:43:10.400 I did not suggest specific people

00:43:13.200 don't be in those jobs.

00:43:15.360 I wanted it to work the way it was

00:43:18.160 designed, and I observed that it was

00:43:20.640 not.

00:43:21.480 And so, our system allows that when

00:43:24.100 our system is not working well, we

00:43:26.320 have this freedom of speech, the

00:43:27.780 freedom to assemble, the freedom to

00:43:29.420 protest.

00:43:30.300 Did it go too far?

00:43:31.880 I'd have to say yes.

00:43:33.660 It did go too far, and I disavow any

00:43:36.420 violence that happened.

00:43:38.000 Absolutely inappropriate.

00:43:40.440 And I must say, I've looked at my own

00:43:42.200 actions, and I would recant them, and I

00:43:45.200 would have acted differently.

00:43:46.160 But, sir, do never, never challenge my

00:43:50.880 intentions.

00:43:52.140 I didn't want an insurrection.

00:43:53.980 I wanted to stop one.

00:43:57.820 Now, you're on the jury, and you just

00:44:00.880 heard me say that.

00:44:02.940 Do you have any benefit, you know, do you

00:44:04.780 have any reasonable doubt about whether I

00:44:07.420 was trying to overthrow the government or

00:44:10.260 simply make the government do exactly what

00:44:12.740 the government was designed to do?

00:44:14.120 Make sure the election was done correctly.

00:44:17.520 Right?

00:44:18.620 I don't see anybody could get, in any

00:44:21.700 world, I can't see anybody being convicted

00:44:24.440 of sedition unless, you know, they had some

00:44:27.080 actual planning that we don't know about.

00:44:30.220 Right?

00:44:31.060 So, CNN is trying to sort of weasel out of

00:44:36.700 their use of insurrection because the

00:44:40.900 Justice Department is not going to back it.

00:44:43.940 And they've got to find a way that the

00:44:46.140 Justice Department really agrees with them,

00:44:48.660 sort of, but they're just going to, well, for

00:44:51.300 pragmatic reasons, and, you know, did we

00:44:54.200 tell you that the penalty for this other

00:44:56.400 crime is actually about the same?

00:45:00.800 You know, so it's just, it's more of a

00:45:03.040 practical thing.

00:45:04.420 We're not saying that the Justice Department

00:45:06.320 has completely debunked our fake news for

00:45:08.520 the past year.

00:45:09.360 No, no, not that.

00:45:10.820 It's, it's just they were acting in a sort

00:45:12.960 of a pragmatic way.

00:45:14.700 And yeah, we, we get that.

00:45:16.120 But clearly, everybody can see it's, it was

00:45:18.500 insurrection, sedition.

00:45:20.880 So, there's CNN with their propaganda, 0.99

00:45:25.400 getting their, getting their balls caught in 0.97

00:45:28.240 the, the ball washer, if you know what I mean. 0.97

00:45:29.920 All right.

00:45:34.180 And arguably, arguably, Congress was

00:45:38.060 obstructing justice by not listening to the

00:45:41.880 people.

00:45:43.160 So, you can certainly make that argument that

00:45:45.040 it's not I who was obstructing justice, it was

00:45:48.760 you.

00:45:49.780 That is my, is my live stream for today.

00:45:56.040 And, um, I'll just give you an update.

00:46:00.260 I've got some hardware coming to try to improve

00:46:04.140 my sound quality.

00:46:05.420 Uh, I'm learning a lot about phantom power and

00:46:08.580 boosting signals and iPads and laptops and stuff.

00:46:12.600 It turns out what you think would be the simplest

00:46:15.000 thing in the world.

00:46:16.300 Hey, I've got a good microphone and I've got a

00:46:19.000 laptop.

00:46:19.980 Why don't I put this microphone into this

00:46:24.080 laptop or into this iPad and then I'll have

00:46:26.980 a good sound.

00:46:27.840 It turns out it's the hardest thing in the

00:46:29.440 world.

00:46:30.320 And then if you ask a hundred people how to

00:46:31.940 do it, they'll give you a hundred different

00:46:33.560 suggestions and you'll be like, uh, I don't

00:46:36.700 know.

00:46:38.260 All right.

00:46:38.980 Yes.

00:46:39.520 High fidelity audio is a journey.

00:46:41.560 That is correct.

00:46:42.620 I've been on this journey for several years now and

00:46:45.320 not found anything better than what I'm doing

00:46:47.000 right now, but I'm close to it and I will

00:46:49.260 have something for you in the coming week.

00:46:51.820 And that is all I want to talk about.

00:46:54.080 And I will see you tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 24, 2021

Episode 1416 Scott Adams： Freshly Brewed Coffee and Delicious Content. Mmm-mm.

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