Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 01, 2021


Episode 1423 Scott Adams： Brains Versus Cowardice Versus Studies Versus Doctors. Come Sip.


Episode Stats

Length

46 minutes

Words per Minute

147.24059

Word Count

6,830

Sentence Count

482

Misogynist Sentences

3

Hate Speech Sentences

6


Summary

The House of Representatives votes to create a committee to look into the January 6th Capitol attack. Bill Cosby is a free man. Britney Spears is still a prisoner of her conservatorship. And Bill Cosby doesn t feel bad about it.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 on the ball. Those of you who are early risers and, dare I say, assertive self-starters,
00:00:08.080 you're all here early because you know that if you miss the simultaneous sip live,
00:00:14.020 well, you're going to have to do it recorded. And the recorded simultaneous sip,
00:00:18.980 while one of the best things in the world, is not the best thing in the world, which would be the
00:00:23.920 live simultaneous sip, which is coming at you just about now. And all you need is a cup or a mug or a
00:00:31.180 glass, a tank or chalice or stein, a canteen jug or a flask of vessel of any kind. How's my audio
00:00:39.540 today? Pretty good, right? Fill your cup with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now
00:00:47.340 for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything except
00:00:53.860 my audio better. It's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now. Go.
00:01:02.200 Mmm, did you get the live one? Yeah, it's better, isn't it? No surprise.
00:01:09.320 Well, may I start with the news of the day? The big news of the day is like the big news of yesterday
00:01:17.980 and the news of the day before, because there's not much big news happening. So we need something
00:01:25.580 to be afraid of. Are you ready? Beware of the Delta variable. The Delta variable is coming for you.
00:01:38.000 Oh yeah, you thought you were out of the woods? No, that doesn't sell clicks. How can you sell
00:01:44.100 advertisement on news programs if you've solved a pandemic? You can't. What you need is the Delta
00:01:52.440 variant. Beware of the Delta variant, which is under your bed. It's under your bed. It's in your closet,
00:02:00.160 children. Put on your masks. Beware of the Delta variable or variant. Now, I don't know how afraid of
00:02:10.080 the Delta variant you should be. I know I'm not afraid of it because I got vaccinated.
00:02:19.060 And, you know, the funny thing about vaccinations, if there's anything funny about them, is that it's
00:02:26.560 caused this cattle versus sheep kind of thing. We humans so love to be on a team and hate the other
00:02:34.760 team that will make a team out of anything. And suddenly it's like, oh, you're on the Moderna
00:02:40.800 vaccination team or the Pfizer team? Like, what if I don't want to be on a team? What if I just want
00:02:47.560 to get vaccinated? I don't have to be on a team, do I? So here's the thing. My particular vaccination
00:02:55.960 apparently is effective against the Delta variant. Oh, I might have other risks getting vaccinated,
00:03:02.220 vaccinated, but not the Delta variant. So your mileage may differ. But we'll see if the Delta
00:03:09.060 variant gets us because you got to be afraid of something. So the House of Representatives voted
00:03:14.720 yesterday to approve a resolution to create a committee to look into the January 6th Capitol attack.
00:03:23.680 Can you think of anything that you would like your government to do less than that? If you were to make a
00:03:30.880 list of all the things you think are important, that your government should look into, where would
00:03:38.760 you put on your list of top priorities for the country, where would you put form a committee to
00:03:45.440 look into the January 6th Capitol attack? I don't have any questions left about that, do you?
00:03:52.460 Suppose we find out there were some bad actors in the group. I don't care. It's not like a few bad
00:04:00.660 actors caused it to happen. They might have been there. Well, what if you find out that all the
00:04:06.640 people there had different motives? We kind of know that. What if you find out that a large group of
00:04:13.080 Americans had some really bad actors in it? Is there any possibility there weren't? Are there any large
00:04:20.720 group of Americans that don't have any bad actors in them? What if we find out there were FBI assets
00:04:26.700 in the group? Of course there were. So? We already know that. Do you think the FBI informants or assets
00:04:37.520 caused the riots? Do you think they pushed them? Well, you don't need a committee to look into that,
00:04:43.240 do you? It seems like law enforcement would be looking into that. Or not. So I don't see any purpose in this
00:04:51.680 whatsoever except political, just to keep it as a story. I think, was it McCarthy who warned that you would
00:04:59.540 lose your committee assignments if you're a Republican and you join this committee? So I don't know that this
00:05:05.680 would go anywhere. Very political. Completely useless. Big story of the day? Well, Britney Spears is still a
00:05:16.820 prisoner of her conservatorship. I guess she was unsuccessful in getting that released. But Bill
00:05:24.060 Cosby is a free man. That's right. Britney Spears is still under a conservatorship, dancing away in her
00:05:32.940 bikini. But Bill Cosby, free man. Now, I don't want to cause anybody to feel bad about this story.
00:05:45.780 If you've been a victim of any kind of crime like this, or know anybody who has, or you're just a
00:05:50.380 good person, you're probably quite offended by this story of Bill Cosby going free. It turns out that he
00:05:57.480 is accused by approximately 60 women of a very similar crime. Six zero. 60 women. How does your lawyer
00:06:11.060 get you out of jail when 60 women have accused you of a similar horrible crime? What kind of a lawyer can
00:06:21.660 do that? Well, here's the basic idea. Most of these, or all of them, I think, were past the statute of
00:06:31.480 limitations. So there was only one that was the subject of his going to jail. And it turns out that
00:06:39.440 he had some kind of oral agreement. Everything sounds naughty when you're talking about Cosby now. He had an
00:06:46.520 oral agreement with a lawyer, not a lawyer, a prosecutor, that he wouldn't be prosecuted for
00:06:52.020 that one crime. If he was forthcoming on the civil case, I don't really understand the details of that.
00:07:00.420 But apparently, he got some kind of immunity for the one thing that he was being prosecuted for.
00:07:08.000 And it took them two years to sort that out. And a court finally decided, yeah, you're right,
00:07:13.500 you have the immunity. So you can't be prosecuted for the one that they could prosecute. And a 60.
00:07:21.360 So how often can a rich guy get out of jail with good lawyering, lawyer lawyering? It's kind of
00:07:32.280 impressive in a horrible way, isn't it? I mean, is it is it possible to say every normal criminal who's
00:07:40.840 not famous? Do they also have a get out of jail free card if they just lawyer well enough? Because
00:07:48.120 really, this was just the quality of the lawyering, right? That's the only thing that made them get
00:07:52.680 out of jail. I can't imagine that other people would have gotten out of jail, even in the same
00:07:57.240 circumstances. The funniest part of this story, and when I say funny, I mean, like you're going to
00:08:05.700 vomit funny. Harvey Weinstein's lawyer thinks that Harvey will be next. Oh, that's bad. My computer
00:08:16.540 just glitched. Let's see if I'm still on there. All right. And I love the fact, I love the fact that
00:08:25.280 Harvey Weinstein's lawyer is trying to make a comparison. Because first of all, Cosby is
00:08:32.140 apparently guilty as hell. Sixty women accused him. You know, it's hard to imagine he's not guilty.
00:08:41.500 But to therefore say that because he got off on that one technicality, that Harvey Weinstein is
00:08:47.200 just like him and was falsely accused, it takes a lot of lawyer balls to make that argument.
00:08:54.160 But Harvey Weinstein's lawyer is making that argument that because this completely unrelated
00:09:02.300 case where the guy is guilty as fuck got off on a technicality, therefore, his client, who has
00:09:10.420 nothing to do with Cosby whatsoever in a completely different situation, should also be suffering.
00:09:15.680 Totally logical. Not. All right. On school choice, we've been watching the change in attitudes here.
00:09:28.480 So listen to this. According to Corey DeAngelis in a tweet yesterday, a year ago-ish, 64% of the public
00:09:37.720 was in favor of funding the students instead of the school system, meaning that the student could take
00:09:43.680 their funding and go to any other school that would accept it and the money would just travel with the
00:09:49.500 student instead of going to a public school. So now it's going from 64% were in favor of the money
00:09:58.100 following the student up to 74% now. 74% of those surveyed want the funding schedule thing to change.
00:10:12.000 And in fact, a lot of states are looking into doing that. And somebody asked if Harvey Weinstein is
00:10:22.660 really guilty because he was just trading sex for fame. No, I don't think that was all he was doing.
00:10:29.760 He was masturbating into a plant at one point, and I don't think he traded anything for that.
00:10:35.780 I think he just assaulted a plant. So no, it is not fair to say that all he did was trade sex
00:10:44.080 for fame. He was actually a rapist, it seems. All right, but back to school choice. It's icky to put
00:10:53.120 these topics right next to each other, but I did it anyway. See if we can deal with it. So 74% of
00:10:59.680 those polled say that the funding should follow the student, what do I tell you about the 25% rule?
00:11:07.020 You see it over and over again. 25% of the public will answer the dumbest answer on any poll.
00:11:15.840 The poll could be, are you in favor of oxygen? 25% of the public would say, I don't think so.
00:11:23.340 I'm not trusting that oxygen, and I don't think oxygen is real. I think it's fake.
00:11:28.660 It doesn't matter what the question is. 25% of the public can be reliable idiots. And so on the
00:11:35.700 school choice thing, we've hit the idiot level. So I think I've told you before that we should
00:11:41.620 consider 75% being on the same side as unanimous, because that is all the smart people.
00:11:47.980 The other 25% are just the frickin' morons who would vote against oxygen and clean water and
00:11:56.440 anything. For whatever reason, a solid 25% are against everything. All right, so fire season is
00:12:04.700 starting in California. So that's the end of my happiness. If you might remember last year,
00:12:11.640 the pandemic was in place, but well, at least we could go outdoors. Not really. If you were in
00:12:17.920 California and it was summer, you couldn't even go outdoors. So you couldn't go anywhere indoors,
00:12:24.280 but you also couldn't go outdoors for many weeks in California. And that sucks. Let me tell you,
00:12:32.760 when you can't go indoors and you can't go outdoors, you've got a very small world,
00:12:37.080 and it's not cool. But I'm entering that phase now. So we had a good solid month where the coronavirus was
00:12:43.740 less and the mask wearing was released if you were vaccinated and the air was clear. And now that
00:12:52.260 appears to be ending. And I'm going into the long, dark period of California because California is so
00:12:57.940 poorly managed that we let a problem, which we know to be a problem, persist. It doesn't change anything.
00:13:05.060 Nope. We just keep on going with the same problems. So there was a study on masks and kids, a randomized
00:13:16.720 controlled trial. Those are the good kind, right? If it's randomized and it's controlled, it's a pretty
00:13:25.020 good trial. Now that doesn't mean it's right. I think we've all learned that you can't trust any
00:13:31.380 individual study. It's just not a thing you should trust. But this study said there was
00:13:36.280 a problem with carbon dioxide and kids and masks. So if kids wore masks for any length of time,
00:13:44.480 the quality of the air they were breathing went down. So less oxygen, more carbon dioxide. And
00:13:51.100 apparently that has some types of health risks. And so the suggestion is that maybe masks are bad for
00:13:59.900 kids. Did you need a study for that? I'm not sure you needed a study to decide not to put masks on kids,
00:14:08.120 but your mileage might differ. Maybe you're afraid of the Delta variant. Beware the Delta variant. Put
00:14:16.180 masks on the kids because the Delta variant is coming for you. So I wondered how long it would take
00:14:23.560 for somebody to debunk this study. It took Andres Backhouse about five minutes until he saw my tweet
00:14:31.180 and came in and said, you know, every time Andres or Anatoly Lubarsky, my two favorite critics,
00:14:43.000 anytime they criticize something, I just shake my head because it's usually something I should have
00:14:47.880 seen. You know, even with my limited analytical abilities, even I should have seen it, but I
00:14:52.840 didn't really look for it usually. Here's what Andres says about this study. He says in the JMA paper,
00:15:01.580 there's no difference when measuring only the inhaled air. They have to throw in inhaled and
00:15:07.320 exhaled air to find something. Now, I'm not sure I totally understand that, but it looks like on the
00:15:15.520 surface that the inhaled air was fine. But the exhaled air had too much carbon dioxide in it? How's
00:15:26.120 that even a thing? I don't even know how that could be a thing. But the suggestion is that maybe you
00:15:33.860 should ignore that paper, you know, or at least wait for more papers to confirm it. But put a little
00:15:41.300 asterisk next to that paper. That said, children in masks seems like a bad idea to me. So it's been a
00:15:50.600 few days now since Tucker Carlson talked about the NSA spying on him. And no news organizations seem to
00:15:57.980 be agreeing with him, including his own. And the NSA has denied it in a way that confirmed it. Now,
00:16:05.640 we talked about this yesterday, the NSA's overly specific denial is as clear a confirmation that
00:16:13.020 it happened as anything, just clearly confirming it. And we just moved on. How did that happen?
00:16:22.740 This should be one of the biggest stories in the country, if not the world, that the government
00:16:28.900 was spying on a political person, you know, somebody who talks on the news. And they basically
00:16:37.240 confirmed it by denying it in a way that really does confirm it. And we just let that go. I guess
00:16:44.520 there's just nothing you can do about it. You know, maybe there's some legal thing that Tucker's looking
00:16:48.620 into. But can you see how thoroughly the news business can just make a story go away? They just made this
00:16:58.260 thing go away. I don't know what would be bigger than this. I'm seeing Matt Gaetz is calling for an
00:17:06.560 investigation, as well he should, because you know Matt Gaetz is being invested, is being watched by
00:17:12.580 the NSA. Don't you? Don't you figure that Matt Gaetz is being spied on? One way or another. Now, it may
00:17:20.900 not be directly, they may have some, some case in which they're looking for somebody else's stuff,
00:17:26.380 but they just get his incidentally. But I would say that the odds that Matt Gaetz is not being spied
00:17:32.960 on by our government is low. It's probably low. I'm almost sure he is. In fact, I think the odds
00:17:40.360 that my digital communications are compromised are 100%. I mean, I don't know that there's any chance
00:17:49.620 they're not. I would say that if you have any public standing in terms of politics, and standing
00:17:56.760 in this case just means you talk about it, you have an audience. If you have an audience, and you might
00:18:02.520 be persuading people one way or another, I feel like your digital communications is all penetrated by now.
00:18:09.100 If not by my own country, then by, you know, foreign intelligence people. I would think that somebody
00:18:17.760 would want to blackmail me by now. Isn't it weird that I haven't, well, you wouldn't know. I guess I
00:18:23.320 wouldn't admit it if I had been. But I haven't been blackmailed by anybody, strangely enough. And again,
00:18:30.780 if I had been, I suppose I'd lie about it. All right. Damn it, my laptop keeps dying here.
00:18:38.800 And that makes me think that... Over on Locals, can you tell me if my feed just went dark when my
00:18:45.760 computer timed out? And I don't think my computer should be timing out when I've got a live stream
00:18:50.760 going. So Locals, make the... See what you can do to make sure my screen doesn't go to screensaver.
00:18:59.700 All right. As Adam Dopamine said today on Twitter, now, Adam is a medical doctor. He's an MD.
00:19:12.080 And he tweets this. When you see 97% of doctors agreeing on whatever, that is meaningless. It's
00:19:19.400 a lie of consensus. Now, on some level, you knew that, right? You knew that just because everybody
00:19:24.680 agreed, that doesn't necessarily make it true. But let's take that to a deeper level.
00:19:29.700 He says, as an MD, I can attest that the vast maturity of doctors outside of universities
00:19:35.800 do zero primary research. We know what we read in journals, learn at conferences, or hear
00:19:42.820 on the lay news. So in other words, the doctors are basically getting their information the same
00:19:49.800 way you are. And they don't have any special expertise to know if it's true.
00:19:54.520 So if there's one study, and then the doctors read it, all the doctors will agree, and you'll
00:20:03.060 say to yourself, well, all those doctors agree. But it doesn't mean anything. Because the doctors
00:20:08.320 are just looking at the same thing you're looking at. Oh, there's a study. You looked at it,
00:20:12.780 and it said X works. The doctor looked at it and said X works. And you came to the same conclusion.
00:20:17.940 The doctor added nothing. Now, and if you don't know that, that all the doctors agree literally
00:20:26.220 means nothing. Let me take you back to, and I think Adam pointed this out, that do you remember
00:20:35.280 when we were told that 17 intelligence agencies agreed on, what was it, on Russia collusion or
00:20:42.280 something? Do you remember that? There were 17 intelligence agencies agreed. Who was, and this
00:20:50.540 will be a test of your memory, anybody who's been following me for a while, who was the only person
00:20:55.540 in the country, I think, the only person, public person, who was the only public person in the country
00:21:02.820 who said, as soon as I saw the 17 intelligence agencies, that really means one. Who else immediately
00:21:11.200 said no? 17 agencies means one. The other 16 didn't reproduce the work. They just looked at the
00:21:19.540 one. Something's happening. There's some noise happening here. Right. So if you worked in a large
00:21:32.180 organization, as I did, and you happen to be the author of the Dilbert comic, if you're the author of
00:21:38.740 Dilbert comic, you know how bureaucracies work, that the agreement is just people agreeing with
00:21:47.160 other people, right? So, and I see some other names in the comments, but I think I might have been the
00:21:55.040 first to say it out loud. Yeah, a lot of people who were maybe not in the public eye were saying it
00:22:01.800 privately. So I don't claim that nobody else thought of it, but I don't think anybody was dumb enough to
00:22:06.620 say it out loud as soon as I did. So whenever you see that, just keep in mind that you're not talking
00:22:13.820 about experts looking at the experts. You're talking about people just like you looking at
00:22:18.200 experts. Now, Andres Backhouse weighed in on this, and he said in a tweet, I was recently reminded by a
00:22:25.500 German MD, that medicine as a study program doesn't aim at qualifying for scientific medical research.
00:22:36.220 Meaning that if you study to be a doctor, you have not learned how to do medical research,
00:22:42.100 and therefore, you haven't learned how to read it either. So you can get through the program,
00:22:48.160 says Andres, without having read a single paper, or having analyzed data. You can become a doctor
00:22:55.260 without ever looking at a published study and learning how to read it correctly, or analyze it,
00:23:00.360 or be critical. So those are the people who are telling you what to believe. People you believe are
00:23:07.460 qualified, but have never even taken the courses. Who would you trust? Somebody like Andres,
00:23:15.160 somebody with an economics background who has studied, you know, at least can look at data and
00:23:20.080 studies and know if at least the math is done right. Who are you going to study? Who are you
00:23:25.440 going to believe? Somebody who's not a doctor, but knows how to look at a study, or somebody who is a
00:23:31.020 doctor who doesn't know how to look at a study. So those are your choices. I would like to nominate
00:23:39.960 myself for the Nobel Prize in either science or medicine. And I'm open to whichever one they'd
00:23:46.780 like to give me, maybe both. So I'm going to present to you now, to you now, my proposal for
00:23:53.700 why I should receive a Nobel Prize in science or medicine, either one, both would be fine. And I'm
00:24:02.480 going to give you my scientific theory that will change everything. Are you ready? This is based
00:24:09.440 not on my medical understanding, of course. This is based not on my scientific understanding,
00:24:16.380 of course. This is based on pattern recognition and being pretty good at hearing a dog that doesn't
00:24:23.080 bark. And it goes like this. And I'm going to lay out my argument. There is a mystery about viruses,
00:24:30.960 which is why they go away. Why do they ever go away? Now, if I said to you, why is it that viruses
00:24:38.160 go away in the summer? I know from experience, every one of you who are not doctors and not
00:24:44.000 virologists will be quite sure you know the answer. And you'll say to me, well, Scott, it's obvious.
00:24:49.860 It's warmer and viruses don't like that. People go outdoors. They don't have the indoor air
00:24:55.040 conditioning, circulating things. They get more vitamin D, so they're healthier. The virus has
00:25:00.940 mutated by then. Scott, don't you know that people have reached herd immunity by then, right? You
00:25:07.740 would have lots of reasons why viruses go away. But did you know that the experts don't believe
00:25:15.840 any of them? Meaning that everything you can think of for why any virus goes away, forget about
00:25:22.300 coronavirus, just any virus, Spanish flu, any virus, any seasonal virus, why does it ever go away?
00:25:31.100 The experts don't know. The experts don't know. So when you say it's obvious it's vitamin D,
00:25:39.180 the experts thought of that, right? You're not the one who thought of it. The experts looked into
00:25:45.580 vitamin D. They looked into everything and they can't find it. They can't find the reason
00:25:52.460 that a virus goes away. Did you know that? It's a fascinating fact. Now, it could be the combination
00:25:59.420 of things. But here's the problem. Every time you say the reason the virus goes away is that it has
00:26:06.620 something to do with seasonality. Here's the problem. It's always winter somewhere.
00:26:13.580 And these viruses are global. The virus should always be able to hide wherever the conditions
00:26:19.980 are still good. And then because people are traveling around the world routinely,
00:26:24.460 that the virus would just go wherever it can live the best and might... Hello?
00:26:37.740 All right. And it would just go wherever it needs to live. So in theory, any virus that has not reached
00:26:45.580 herd immunity, and that appears to be everything, because even the Spanish flu, I don't think ever
00:26:52.460 came close. I don't believe it ever came close to herd immunity. So things are going away for
00:26:57.980 reasons we don't know. Here is why I'll get the Nobel Prize, because I'm going to tell you what the
00:27:03.660 secret is. You ready? Here are things we know. Number one, we know that the amount of viral load you
00:27:12.620 get initially determines how sick you get. Everybody agree with that? The amount you initially get
00:27:18.380 is very highly correlated with how sick you get. I think everybody agrees with that. Therefore,
00:27:26.700 if you got just a small exposure to it, while you are otherwise healthy, would you get immunity
00:27:35.420 that didn't show up when you were being tested for immunity? So here's my hypothesis,
00:27:42.620 why I'll get the Nobel Prize for science, or possibly medicine, or possibly both.
00:27:48.700 I believe that what's unique about the summer is that people get exposed to micro doses of the virus,
00:27:56.380 and that they develop something like a pre-immunity, meaning that if you check them for antibodies,
00:28:03.020 maybe you wouldn't find them the way you're expecting to find them, but that your body has been
00:28:09.900 warned, essentially. Basically, it's been prepped by tiny little exposures, but not enough to make you
00:28:16.700 sick, because you're out in the sun, and you're outdoors, and maybe you get a little whiff of it
00:28:20.940 from passing somebody. So my hypothesis is herd immunity, but not measurable, meaning that if you
00:28:31.660 measured antibodies in the normal way, you just wouldn't find it, but that there's something about the
00:28:38.300 micro exposure that preps some bodies, in a way that maybe is hard to detect, to just be a little
00:28:45.020 bit more alert for this specific problem, and it just gets on it faster, because that could be it.
00:28:51.660 It could be nothing more than some bodies are responding faster. Now, I suppose the other
00:28:58.140 possibility is that some people have natural immunity to anything, and that herd immunity doesn't really
00:29:02.940 have to be 70%, maybe it needs to be 35%, and we've never been right about herd immunity. That's the
00:29:08.620 other possibility.
00:29:13.020 Somebody says, nope, no Nobel for you. All right, well, that's, I'm going to stick with that hypothesis,
00:29:18.460 that it has to be something about your, some bodies prepping, but not in a way that we can detect.
00:29:23.980 All right. It'll probably take 10 or 20 years for me to get that Nobel Prize, but I'm patient. I can
00:29:30.380 wait. I would like my critics to make up their minds. My critics call me a coward. Sometimes they
00:29:39.580 call me a coward for saying that face masks work in some situations, and that I'm a coward for taking
00:29:48.620 that position. But at the same time, the fact that I got a vaccination with this so-called risky
00:29:55.420 experimental vaccine makes me foolhardy. So I am simultaneously a coward about masks. At the
00:30:04.700 same time, I should be much more afraid, but I'm not, about vaccines. So could my critics make up their
00:30:12.060 mind? Am I a coward or am I foolhardy? Because I can't be both. And if you're going to criticize me,
00:30:20.860 at least be consistent. Will you? Am I foolhardy or am I a coward? Please make up your mind.
00:30:28.700 Well, I would like to add this. If you would like to find who the dumbest people in the world,
00:30:33.100 they're the ones who call anybody a coward for a risk management decision.
00:30:37.500 All of us are making risk management decisions. All of us are trying to make the decision that
00:30:46.540 lowers our risk. If you're trying to make decisions that lower your risk based on, you know, incomplete
00:30:54.140 data and the best you can do about making your guess, are you a coward or are you like every
00:31:00.140 fucking person in the world with every fucking decision for every fucking year, every fucking
00:31:06.460 minute of the whole fucking civilization? All of your decisions, yours, mine, everybody's decisions,
00:31:18.140 are comparing risks. That's everybody all the time with every decision. If your best analysis is that
00:31:27.900 somebody was a coward, you're a fucking idiot. And I hate to be the first to tell you,
00:31:34.220 you don't know how to analyze anything. You're just a fucking idiot. If, if, if that's your filter
00:31:42.220 on life, it's like, Oh, this one's a coward. He got a vaccine. He's so afraid. He's so afraid of the
00:31:49.660 coronavirus or he's wearing a mask because it's law. He must be a coward. What kind of a coward is he?
00:31:57.980 Please, if, if your best analytical approach is calling somebody a coward because they made a different
00:32:08.860 risk management decision than you did, don't talk in public. Please don't ever talk in public. You do not have
00:32:17.180 the brains to say things out loud, right? At the very least talk in terms of risk management. Perhaps you have a
00:32:25.180 different opinion of the risk. Let's say you're one of these people like, uh, sticks and hex and hammer, six, six, six,
00:32:34.540 six, who, uh, apparently has decided that the risk of getting the vaccine is higher than the risk of getting the
00:32:43.180 coronavirus. Is he right? What do you think? Is, uh, sticks and hex and hammer, six, six, six, six on Twitter. A lot of you
00:32:53.180 know, very reasonable guy, right? If you've watched his show, you know, he's very reason based, very rational. Is that the
00:33:00.860 right decision? How the fuck would you know? How the fuck would you know? If, if the risk of getting the vaccination is higher,
00:33:12.180 higher in the long run than not getting it, you don't know that. Now I made a decision, but is it because I
00:33:20.660 know that my, my risk management is right? No, no. Am I going to tell you that the sticks and hex and hammer,
00:33:28.020 six, six, six, six got it wrong? No, no. How the fuck would I know? Do you know how much the risk of the,
00:33:38.180 I don't know, the, the, the variants that are caused by the vaccination, the long-term effects
00:33:43.460 of the vaccination? Somebody says he's right. Paul, you don't know if he's right. You couldn't know that.
00:33:53.380 Nobody, Einstein couldn't know that. All the smartest people in the world can't know that. It's
00:33:59.260 unknowable. 100 fucking percent unknowable. But you still have to make a decision, right? So I made a
00:34:08.880 decision based on a number of variables. And one of the variables was that it would free me up to,
00:34:15.180 you know, travel and not have to wear a mask and stuff. Now, did I make the correct decision
00:34:20.660 to get the vaccination? How the fuck would I know? It's impossible to know. Nobody has enough
00:34:29.820 information about the future to know which way is right. I'll tell you what, what I was influenced
00:34:36.340 by. I was influenced by, um, the fact that, uh, apparently most side effects happen early.
00:34:43.780 So I had waited a number of months and I'd saw how many, you know, side effects there seemed to be
00:34:50.380 compared to how many people got the vaccination. And it looked like if most side effects happen early,
00:34:56.420 there weren't that many compared to what I saw as the risk of the coronavirus. Am I right?
00:35:03.200 Is that, is that a, uh, uh, let's say accurate or useful analysis? How the fuck would I know?
00:35:10.600 It's unknowable, right? I do know it made me feel better, right? So whoever says, John, you're dead
00:35:21.100 wrong. Everybody who has certainty about the risks of vaccination versus the risks of not vaccination,
00:35:28.860 all the people with certainty are, are you're idiots. You're just idiots. I'm sorry. And you should
00:35:35.480 not watch this live stream anymore. You're not smart enough to watch this live stream.
00:35:39.680 You could be, uh, you could be, uh, confident that you made the right decision for yourself.
00:35:48.160 That would be fair. You could be confident that there are certain type of risks you're not
00:35:52.700 comfortable with, but maybe other kinds that you are. Oh, that would be fair. That would be a
00:35:57.600 reasonable decision. But if you say to yourself, you're dead wrong to get the vaccination,
00:36:03.280 or you're dead wrong not to get the vaccination, you're an idiot. There's no way around that.
00:36:12.080 That's like brain that doesn't work. You can't fucking know what was the right decision. You just
00:36:18.380 have to take your best shot at it. If I'm wrong, and let's say I get a horrible disease from the
00:36:25.400 vaccination. I'm not expecting that. Well, let's say I do. Would you then say, well, Scott, I told
00:36:31.380 you. Well, if you do, you're a fucking idiot because you didn't know you got lucky. Somebody's
00:36:38.840 going to be right, right? Somebody in the long run will look more right than somebody else. It's not
00:36:44.340 because you're fucking new. You don't fucking know. You're guessing. All right. So get over yourself.
00:36:51.160 If you're confident that you're positive about vaccinations, you're a fucking idiot because
00:36:56.780 nobody should be confident about this at all. At all. All right. Maybe I've taken that too far.
00:37:07.580 Here's what Queen of the Universe Elect says on Twitter to my points about this. She said about
00:37:14.760 masks and about vaccination. She says, both are evidence of your cowardice. You were so afraid
00:37:21.140 of the pandemic, the pandemic, that you got the risky vaccine. It wasn't out of foolhardiness.
00:37:27.940 It was out of cowardice. This fear is so deep that you believe we should all be forcibly vaccinated
00:37:33.600 to protect you. It's very sad. No, I don't believe you should all be forcibly vaccinated to protect
00:37:43.360 me. Do you know why? I got the vaccination. I don't need you to be vaccinated.
00:37:50.500 So opposite, opposite of that. I'm unafraid because I'm vaccinated.
00:37:57.880 Was I ever afraid of masks? No, I just didn't like them. You know, for a variety of obvious reasons.
00:38:04.940 Yeah. So it's a mind reading and it's someone who is sure that my bravery and my cowardice are exactly the
00:38:11.860 same. Thinking. This is, this is people who imagine they can think, but they really can't.
00:38:19.940 These are really, really dumb people who have certainty about this. Okay. So don't be the
00:38:25.600 certain person. You could be for vaccinations or against them. That's fine. I think you could make
00:38:30.260 an argument either way, but don't be certain. Don't be that person. All right.
00:38:39.260 Let's see. There's a study that says that the COVID can destroy your penis. So there's a study that
00:38:47.140 found that people had recovered, still had COVID in their penis. And at least a few cases, not enough
00:38:56.420 to be statistically relevant yet, but anecdotally, there's some people who seem to have become
00:39:02.360 impotent after getting the coronavirus and it's still in their penis. Now the doctors haven't been
00:39:12.360 specific about this, but I think this is an obvious case like breast exams. You should, you should examine
00:39:19.520 your penis on a regular basis. Um, I think that's what Jeffrey Toobin was doing. A lot of people think
00:39:25.940 he was pleasuring himself, but that was really a self-examination. He was wondering if he'd been
00:39:30.600 infected with the COVID, uh, the COVID virus. And he was just finding out, uh, it was just an examination
00:39:35.880 to see if his junk was still working. And apparently he was so good for you. All right. Now, how much,
00:39:43.220 uh, how much should you put in your belief that coronavirus will make you impotent?
00:39:52.580 Probably not a lot, probably not a ton, but you've got the long haul problem with COVID,
00:40:01.000 but allegedly people have had, uh, problems with the vaccination, which one is bigger. So for all of
00:40:08.740 you who are just positive, you are just positive in your opinion for all of you, tell me the risk
00:40:15.480 of having a vaccination out bad outcome versus the risk of having a long-term coronavirus problem.
00:40:24.720 Remember that's even if you live having a long, long haul problem. So what are the risks? So many
00:40:32.060 of you are very, very certain of the risks. So for all of you who are so certain, please compare with
00:40:38.540 compared to me in the comments, give me the risk of a vaccine vaccination bad outcome versus the risk
00:40:46.120 of a coronavirus long haul problem. What, what you don't know, but you were so certain just minutes
00:40:55.420 ago. What, where are all my, where are all my convinced people who are so sure that one of those
00:41:02.520 choices is cowardice? Well, obviously you would know the risks because you couldn't compare the
00:41:08.400 risks to know which one is the cowardice one. Unless you knew the risk. Is it 1%? All right.
00:41:23.040 You know, and let me say, somebody said, I'm changing minds about getting the vaccination.
00:41:28.320 That's not my intention. I'm quite adamant about the fact that you shouldn't get your medical advice
00:41:34.920 from cartoonists. All right. That's not, I don't say that just as a bumper sticker. Really,
00:41:41.180 seriously, don't get your medical advice from cartoonists. But if I can help you think about
00:41:45.980 it a different way and you can talk to your medical experts more productively, maybe that's good.
00:41:52.020 But don't, don't get your decisions from the cartoonists. Don't do that. All right.
00:41:57.360 And I think I just lost the feed here because my laptop keeps dying. So sorry about the screensaver
00:42:07.900 going out on locals. All right. Just look, I'm looking at some of your comments. We're all good
00:42:18.380 over there. Good. Thank you. It's back. All right. Yeah. So the screensaver was knocking my live feed
00:42:25.300 off on my laptop. It doesn't happen on here. So I'll have to, so I've told you every time I add a
00:42:30.480 complication to the live streaming, it does go bad. The complication here is that using the laptop as a,
00:42:37.320 the screensaver that I need to deactivate. So that's one more thing I have to remember to do.
00:42:46.380 Still working on the microphones. By the way, I'm going to try to get my Rodecaster working.
00:42:51.320 I figured out how to give phantom power to some microphones on it, which was not obvious at
00:42:57.480 first, but I figured out my phantom power problem. And now I got to figure out how to get
00:43:02.220 sound out of the Rodecaster. So this is how far I got. I've got a mixing board where I can get the
00:43:09.200 sound into it now with all of my microphones. I just can't get any sound out of it. I've got to figure
00:43:14.820 that out. Here's a question. I might never get the virus. Why risk taking the vaccination?
00:43:25.940 Donnie, I just don't know what to say to that. I just don't know what to say to that.
00:43:34.860 If, if you don't know the risk of the vaccination, and you also don't know the risk of getting the
00:43:41.340 virus, you don't know which one's bigger. And nobody can tell you. Nobody else knows either.
00:43:49.980 Nobody knows that stuff. You're going to have to make the decision without knowing
00:43:53.620 which one is the bigger risk. Now, I happen to feel that given that the fact that most vaccinations
00:44:02.320 are going to show you a bad impact fairly quickly, that gives me some comfort, along with the fact that
00:44:08.760 we know that it does create antibodies and it does work. So we know it works. And we know that the
00:44:14.600 period where you would see the most problems doesn't seem to be a big risk. Of course, some people will
00:44:21.240 always have problems with a mass rollout of any kind of new medicine. All right. Somebody says,
00:44:33.620 Moderna gave you a vertigo. Well, keep in mind, if you're like most people, you get at least one
00:44:39.000 mystery illness per week. Is there anybody who doesn't get a mystery illness every week? Like
00:44:45.540 I'll wake up and like, ow, my earlobe. Ow, why does my earlobe hurt? And it'll hurt all day and
00:44:52.760 it'll just go away. The next day you wake up, it's like, ah, my sinus, my sinus. Pretty much every
00:45:00.260 week, right? Have you, have you ever gone a week where you didn't have at least one mystery illness?
00:45:05.740 My ankle. Ah, ah, I can barely walk on this one ankle. Well, okay. It's, it's okay by tomorrow.
00:45:13.080 How could it be possible that people, people, you know, tens of millions of people getting the
00:45:18.940 vaccination? Of course, there should be millions of stories of people who got the vaccination.
00:45:25.520 And then, ow, my eye, my eye. Of course, it has to happen. It can't not happen. You know,
00:45:33.060 just the, the, the way numbers work. All right. I think I have, uh, angered everybody. Those people
00:45:43.640 who have a certainty about their risk management decisions have all gone away because I've either
00:45:50.900 shamed you or you've, you'll never watch me again. Uh, one of those two things is happening
00:45:56.960 right now. Uh, somebody says a coworker got vertigo badly. Um, I, I don't know that vertigo
00:46:05.880 is necessarily a vaccination problem, but I'm open to it. Could be. All right. Um,
00:46:13.680 that's all for now. I'm going to turn off, uh, YouTube. I'm going to talk to my locals people
00:46:20.020 here for another minute and I will see you tomorrow.