Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 05, 2021


Episode 1427 Scott Adams： I Tell you Why You Shouldn't Listen to Doctors Who Don't Understand Statistics. And More.


Episode Stats

Length

39 minutes

Words per Minute

137.55096

Word Count

5,466

Sentence Count

396

Misogynist Sentences

12

Hate Speech Sentences

9


Summary

On today's show, Scott Adams talks about the latest in the latest scandal surrounding the Trump family, Hunter Hunter's laptop, and why the 4th of July is a day of freedom only for white people. Plus, a new piece of technology that could change the world.


Transcript

00:00:00.660 It's time for Coffee with Scott Adams, the best time of the day.
00:00:06.420 Well, it's 4th of July, the 5th.
00:00:10.700 We're celebrating like demons here at the United States,
00:00:14.420 our Monday off, even though it's not really the holiday.
00:00:18.200 And I would like to kick this Monday off with, well,
00:00:23.160 really the best thing that's ever happened to you.
00:00:25.060 It's called the simultaneous sip, and all you need is a cup or mug or a glass,
00:00:27.840 a tanker, chelsea, stein, a canteen, junk, a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:33.340 Fill it with your favorite liquid, like coffee.
00:00:36.240 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day,
00:00:41.660 the thing that makes everything better.
00:00:44.660 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it's going to rock your world now.
00:00:48.320 Go.
00:00:48.500 Go.
00:00:48.560 Well, because it's normal, it looks like my locals' broadcast is not working.
00:01:05.940 I told you there's a problem whenever you have any one piece of extra technology.
00:01:14.560 This thing is not working.
00:01:20.220 And I'll show you why.
00:01:29.260 So there's a bad battery on one part of my hardware,
00:01:33.800 which is making this stream not working.
00:01:37.960 So we're going to end this.
00:01:38.880 All right, the locals is turned off.
00:01:45.220 Now, that was not a problem with the locals' platform.
00:01:48.820 I've been experimenting with my various different types of sound equipment,
00:01:56.840 and one of them has this fatal flaw that it takes a battery.
00:01:59.900 What are the odds that I would be organized enough to have a spare battery all the time?
00:02:09.200 To always have a spare battery and to be able to hot-swap it as soon as I'm ready.
00:02:14.760 So this is a problem with almost all of the audio solutions that I've tested so far.
00:02:22.160 They all have some kind of a fatal flaw.
00:02:25.860 Anyway, so let's continue with this.
00:02:28.440 Jonathan Trolley has interesting comments about Hunter's laptop.
00:02:35.140 Have you heard about Hunter's laptop?
00:02:39.300 Well, apparently there's more and more information that Hunter was acting as a conduit
00:02:47.160 for deals that would involve his father's influence when his father was vice president.
00:02:52.280 And there's yet another story about this coming out from an ex-FBI director, Louis Free.
00:02:59.540 And I guess he made some donations to some Biden charity and then asked for some business deals.
00:03:10.280 Now, if anything like this had happened to any of the Trump kids or that family,
00:03:18.400 this would be, of course, the biggest story in the news.
00:03:21.540 But this has every element to be a gigantic national story.
00:03:27.120 But it isn't.
00:03:28.740 It just isn't.
00:03:29.520 So the media has simply decided, as Jonathan Trolley is pointing out here,
00:03:34.100 they've simply decided this isn't a story.
00:03:37.040 And if you think that what makes a story is the elements of the story,
00:03:44.100 you know, the variables in the story, is it important to you?
00:03:47.640 Is it going to matter?
00:03:48.780 Blah, blah, blah.
00:03:49.100 Well, if you think that's what makes a story, nope, it is not.
00:03:55.200 That is not what makes a story.
00:04:00.680 And all right, just looking at your comments for a moment.
00:04:06.360 There's somebody here who desperately wants to get banned.
00:04:12.100 But keep it up.
00:04:13.420 Keep it up.
00:04:13.920 You'll get banned in a minute.
00:04:14.800 All right.
00:04:16.540 Cori Bush, who is a congresswoman, tweeted yesterday quite provocatively.
00:04:25.600 She tweeted,
00:04:26.900 When they say that the 4th of July is about American freedom, remember this.
00:04:31.760 The freedom they're referring to is for white people.
00:04:35.180 This land is stolen land, and black people still aren't free.
00:04:40.640 That came from a congresswoman.
00:04:44.340 She's black.
00:04:45.340 She's a woman, and she's in Congress.
00:04:50.400 But apparently something's holding her back.
00:04:53.360 Because what?
00:04:54.700 She's not president yet?
00:04:57.200 She's not the emperor of the universe?
00:05:00.100 What exactly is holding back Congresswoman Cori Bush?
00:05:05.280 She's crushing it.
00:05:06.540 Congresswoman Bush, you're in Congress.
00:05:13.600 You did okay.
00:05:15.360 You did okay.
00:05:17.900 So the weird thing is that I, of course, agree with the statement.
00:05:22.640 How many of you who are watching this who happen to be white or at least non-black, how many of you think this is unreasonable?
00:05:33.760 Is it unreasonable that black Americans would not want to necessarily celebrate a day of freedom when they didn't have any freedom?
00:05:41.820 I feel as though it's a perfectly valid point.
00:05:51.880 However, however, it also seems that everything should have a start.
00:05:59.260 Because, correct me if I'm wrong, but the original founders didn't let people like me vote either, did they?
00:06:08.760 Did they?
00:06:09.480 Because, let's say my family were not landowners.
00:06:15.140 Actually, we weren't here during that period.
00:06:18.620 So my family wasn't here yet.
00:06:20.300 But suppose they had been and had not been landowners.
00:06:24.500 They couldn't vote, right?
00:06:26.340 And if you were a poor person working for a rich white person, did they treat you well?
00:06:32.760 Or maybe you got beaten if you were a poor white person too.
00:06:36.660 So things were definitely not great for everybody.
00:06:40.880 But I think the point is well taken that if you're black, maybe that is not your independence day.
00:06:47.380 I think that's a reasonable point.
00:06:49.500 I wouldn't disagree with that at all.
00:06:52.500 But it's too bad there's not a date that would give us more unity on stuff like this.
00:06:58.680 Speaking of race, which seems to be the only thing anybody cares about now, which is a really good sign.
00:07:04.620 If what you're complaining about is race in the United States in 2021, where race is the smallest problem that's ever been anywhere, it's still a problem.
00:07:17.240 You know, I'm not minimizing how big the problem remains.
00:07:21.180 But it is probably the lowest that specific problem has ever been anywhere at any time.
00:07:27.720 That's my guess.
00:07:28.520 That's probably an exaggeration, but, you know, things are heading in the right direction, at least.
00:07:33.340 So ESPN has this racial drama.
00:07:36.360 And what makes this story interesting is that it's a story about nobody doing anything wrong except the people who reported it.
00:07:46.020 It's a story about bad behavior except there isn't any bad behavior.
00:07:50.840 The only bad behavior is the people who reported it because it was based on a private phone call.
00:07:57.420 Whoever reports a private phone call without the permission of the people on the call, they are bad people.
00:08:05.120 Really bad people.
00:08:06.720 But let me tell you what this is about.
00:08:08.880 So I guess there are two women who work for ESPN, and they both would obviously like to succeed in their jobs.
00:08:21.140 I'm sure that's a fair statement.
00:08:23.580 And one of them is white, one of them is black.
00:08:25.520 And the black one got some kind of a job that the white one thought was guaranteed to her in her contract.
00:08:34.960 And that in a private conversation said that what's behind it might be ESPN's trying to correct for an abysmal history of diversity.
00:08:48.740 Now, this was a private conversation that somehow got published.
00:08:51.940 Which, who made a mistake here?
00:09:01.160 Was it bad behavior by the white, what are they, correspondents or what are they, hosts?
00:09:09.460 What would you call them?
00:09:12.140 Whatever they are, the people on TV, on ESPN.
00:09:14.520 Was it bad behavior that the white one would say in a private conversation that she believes that her employer was being influenced by the need to have a better diversity record?
00:09:28.820 There's nothing wrong with that.
00:09:31.060 There's nothing wrong with that at all.
00:09:33.420 This was somebody accusing their employer of good behavior.
00:09:37.500 Right?
00:09:38.020 Because isn't ESPN supposed to be trying to correct their history of bad diversity?
00:09:45.720 Now, I'm not saying that you agree with it.
00:09:48.000 Not you individually.
00:09:49.720 An analyst, thank you.
00:09:50.820 Analysts, we'll call them.
00:09:52.640 Yes, sports analysts.
00:09:54.100 Thank you.
00:09:55.400 And, but what's wrong with that?
00:09:57.840 What's wrong with a white analyst saying that her employer is concerned about diversity and acting upon it in a way that is good for diversity,
00:10:09.360 but bad for the people who don't get the jobs that maybe they would have if diversity had not been a main interest?
00:10:17.040 There's no bad behavior in this story.
00:10:20.440 Except whoever's the fucking asshole who decided to publish a private conversation.
00:10:25.820 That's the only bad behavior in the story.
00:10:29.400 And yet, we're so starved for race-related stories that we have to make this one.
00:10:36.880 Now, most of you know I have a little sensitivity to this because I lost two corporate careers for being white and male.
00:10:44.840 And I hasten to tell you that my bosses told me that directly.
00:10:48.600 We're not going to promote you because you're white and you're male, and we have a really bad track record of diversity in senior management,
00:10:57.360 so we can't make it any worse by promoting somebody like you.
00:11:01.020 Again, they told me directly.
00:11:03.640 I'm not interpreting something.
00:11:05.600 I'm not assuming anything.
00:11:07.000 They told me directly.
00:11:09.620 This is the normal.
00:11:10.600 This isn't normal.
00:11:13.180 Everything you hear about this ESPN story, where there's a white analyst who believes she lost a job because of her race,
00:11:20.900 this conversation is going on everywhere all over.
00:11:24.880 This is nothing about ESPN, really.
00:11:27.400 Just the most basic conversation happening in every big corporation right now.
00:11:31.540 So there's no bad behavior here, and nobody should be treated that way.
00:11:36.740 And I don't even think that it was an insult because some would take it as an insult to the black analyst
00:11:43.040 because the assumption is that she only got the job because of her ethnicity.
00:11:48.820 But that's not even in the story because in the very story,
00:11:53.620 the white analyst is complimenting her and saying that she's qualified.
00:11:57.600 So, you know, it's not like somebody's saying one of them is unqualified.
00:12:02.640 That's not even in the story.
00:12:04.960 All right.
00:12:06.100 We'll make anything a racial story, even if it isn't.
00:12:09.460 Did you see the clip of Biden and his declining cognitive abilities
00:12:16.180 trying to buy something at a store and also talk to people at the same time?
00:12:21.620 It didn't go well.
00:12:23.140 It didn't go well at all.
00:12:24.460 And so is it Rodney Jackson, Trump's ex-doctor at the White House,
00:12:33.400 is claiming or asserting once again that Biden needs to take a cognitive test.
00:12:38.620 Now, here's the interesting thing.
00:12:39.840 Apparently, there is a scheduled medical checkup before the end of the year.
00:12:45.420 So we know the White House is going to do that on Biden before the end of the year.
00:12:48.900 Don't you think they need to include a cognitive test?
00:12:54.880 It would be one thing if somebody showed no symptoms whatsoever of cognitive decline.
00:13:01.920 If people were asking for a cognitive test in the context of nobody noticing anything wrong,
00:13:09.020 well, could you argue, well, maybe we don't need that, right?
00:13:12.740 But that's not the context.
00:13:16.580 The context is that literally everybody can see there's something wrong with Biden.
00:13:22.260 He is clearly slowing down.
00:13:24.860 Under that context, how do you even argue that a cognitive test is necessary?
00:13:30.560 And I've got a feeling that the only thing keeping it from happening is that Kamala Harris is too weak
00:13:36.820 and they don't want her to be the president.
00:13:39.920 I feel as if they realize that she would be a nightmare as a president.
00:13:47.280 So I think the Democrats are in a bad place.
00:13:49.960 They can't test Biden's cognitive ability
00:13:54.300 because I don't think they're going to get the answer they want.
00:13:57.700 And they can't not do it.
00:14:01.200 So what are you going to do?
00:14:02.080 Just keep limping along and pretending Biden's still in charge?
00:14:06.400 I guess so.
00:14:08.720 So I'm trying to figure out what kills more people.
00:14:13.300 Fake news or vaccinations.
00:14:15.740 All right, so here's a startling statistic.
00:14:19.420 86% of Democrats, and this is from CNN, Brian Stelter's show.
00:14:26.340 So I'm sure the facts are all correct.
00:14:28.520 86% of Democrats have one shot, but only 45% of Republicans.
00:14:34.500 Did you know the difference was that big?
00:14:39.340 86% of Democrats have at least one shot and only 45% of Republicans.
00:14:44.760 Now, Brian Stelter blames Facebook and Fox for scaring people about the shots
00:14:52.040 and points out that generally conservatives tend to be more afraid of change
00:14:57.580 and more afraid of things, but that doesn't seem to be the problem here.
00:15:01.600 The problem seems to be that conservatives, or Republicans, let's say,
00:15:06.440 don't trust science.
00:15:09.240 They don't trust science, and they don't trust the news.
00:15:11.980 So when it's proposed, hey, get this shot, the conservatives say,
00:15:18.540 I don't trust you and don't get it.
00:15:20.760 Now, I was looking at some of the comments for why some Republicans are not getting it.
00:15:27.420 The most common comment from people who don't want the vaccination is
00:15:31.760 it has a 99.9% survival rate, at least for people with good health.
00:15:39.780 Now, the anti-vaxxers say, why are you making me take an experimental, they would say,
00:15:46.160 let's say a not 100% tested vaccine when I already have a 99.9% whatever survival rate.
00:15:56.200 Why would I take that chance?
00:15:57.520 What's wrong with that analysis?
00:16:00.020 Go.
00:16:01.220 Tell me what is wrong with the analysis that there's a 99.9% survival rate.
00:16:11.060 Can you tell me what's wrong with that analysis?
00:16:13.820 Well, somebody says it's selfish, but that's true.
00:16:17.620 You could define it that way.
00:16:19.080 But let's just say you're making the decision for yourself.
00:16:21.640 You're allowed to be selfish.
00:16:22.700 When it comes to your own health decisions, you could be selfish.
00:16:26.760 That's not immoral.
00:16:29.260 All right.
00:16:30.840 Yes, I'm going to say long haul.
00:16:32.960 That's right.
00:16:34.000 If you're ignoring the long haul risk, you have not made a decision based on statistics.
00:16:40.460 So don't act as though you are.
00:16:43.000 Right?
00:16:43.460 Now, if you said, well, I've considered the long haul risk, and very few people die from it,
00:16:48.820 and, you know, worst case, I feel bad for six months, I'll still take that chance.
00:16:53.020 Well, then at least you've made some kind of a reasonable decision.
00:16:57.760 You might be right, might be wrong, but it's reasonable.
00:17:01.100 But if you've ignored the long haul risk, you're not making a statistical decision.
00:17:07.720 What are you doing?
00:17:08.600 You're making some kind of emotional decision.
00:17:11.680 Here's what I would like to see.
00:17:13.720 I would like to see an online calculator that shows, you know, the various risks for various
00:17:19.960 situations so that you could put in your own long haul risk.
00:17:24.720 Can you tell, just off the top of your head, can you tell that your risk from the vaccination
00:17:30.880 would be worse than your risk from not getting vaccinated?
00:17:35.360 How would you decide that?
00:17:37.240 Let me tell you about a doctor you should not listen to.
00:17:42.660 So in Texas, there was some medical doctors were testifying before the state senate,
00:17:50.400 and they were opposed to mandatory COVID shots, but they were talking about the risks in general.
00:17:56.340 And I want to point out a type of doctor you don't want to pay attention to, okay?
00:18:01.300 So these are some things that this doctor said in testifying.
00:18:07.680 I think it was Dr. Edwards, but it doesn't matter who said it.
00:18:12.060 It's a doctor who said this.
00:18:14.400 He said,
00:18:14.900 That's a doctor you don't want to go to.
00:18:27.920 If the only thing you knew about this doctor was that one sentence,
00:18:32.400 don't go to that doctor.
00:18:35.200 Really, that's a problem.
00:18:36.400 Because this doctor has told you that he started with his belief in God
00:18:42.800 and then worked backwards to his medical opinion.
00:18:48.380 I don't see any other way to interpret this.
00:18:51.460 Started with a religious belief and then worked backwards to his medical opinion.
00:18:58.040 I think he's saying that directly.
00:18:59.860 Now, he also believes that his medical opinion is compatible with God.
00:19:06.000 But if you hear somebody start with their religion,
00:19:09.460 as that's my starting place,
00:19:10.860 and then I'm going to tell you why my religion is right,
00:19:13.000 just run away.
00:19:14.480 And I'm pro-religion, by the way.
00:19:16.380 I'm not a believer, personally.
00:19:18.060 But I'm very pro-religion.
00:19:19.700 I think it has all kinds of benefits for people that are unambiguous.
00:19:24.160 What else did Dr. Edwards say?
00:19:31.760 He said that Dr. Edwards stated that he has received,
00:19:34.620 quote, numerous reports within hours of receiving COVID vaccines
00:19:39.840 that people have suffered strokes, heart attacks,
00:19:42.620 pulmonary embolisms, blood clots, and sudden death.
00:19:46.640 If your doctor talks like that, you need a new doctor.
00:19:50.900 If you ever hear your doctor say anything like this, run away.
00:19:57.100 This is a doctor who is making a decision,
00:20:00.100 number one, based on his religion.
00:20:02.240 He said that directly.
00:20:03.680 And number two, based on anecdotal reports
00:20:06.840 in a context where incorrect anecdotal reports are guaranteed.
00:20:12.460 Meaning that so many people are getting the shot,
00:20:15.860 it's guaranteed that some people have health problems
00:20:18.360 soon after getting a shot.
00:20:19.960 Guaranteed.
00:20:22.000 It doesn't mean that they're all getting these problems
00:20:24.440 because of the shot.
00:20:25.720 It's just guaranteed statistically that, you know,
00:20:28.220 X number of people will get the shot
00:20:30.920 and then have a health problem.
00:20:32.580 So if he doesn't have a study to back up these numbers,
00:20:38.200 what the hell?
00:20:41.040 You know, at the very least,
00:20:42.560 he should be able to back up his anecdotal stuff with a study.
00:20:47.060 He also pointed out that a Harvard study
00:20:52.820 has previously estimated that only about 1%
00:20:58.440 of all adverse reactions to vaccines
00:21:00.920 are ever reported to the VAERS database.
00:21:04.320 So there's this database that people report any adverse reactions,
00:21:07.820 and only 1% of them get reported.
00:21:10.300 But don't you think they report all the bad ones?
00:21:15.360 If only 1% of the side effects are reported,
00:21:20.900 but don't you think all of the deaths are reported
00:21:23.560 or heart attacks and stuff?
00:21:25.940 So I would think it's probably pretty close
00:21:27.840 to getting all the bad stuff.
00:21:29.840 The stuff that wouldn't be reported would be a headache, right?
00:21:32.400 So I'm not sure that that matters as much as they say.
00:21:36.260 So that's a big hole in this.
00:21:38.140 We don't quite know how important that is.
00:21:41.020 And so here's another thing this doctor says.
00:21:43.940 He cited the fact that the CDC
00:21:45.560 is now reporting over 4,000 deaths
00:21:48.820 in this VAERS database,
00:21:51.400 while for the previous 20 years combined,
00:21:55.180 there were only that many deaths.
00:21:56.980 So if your doctor says this,
00:22:00.900 run away from the doctor,
00:22:03.200 not from the vaccination.
00:22:05.440 Listen to this.
00:22:06.400 This is what a doctor said in public,
00:22:09.160 that you should be essentially saying
00:22:12.320 that this should matter to you,
00:22:13.720 that the total deaths so far
00:22:15.840 from these coronavirus vaccinations
00:22:19.080 is more than 20 years
00:22:21.360 of all the deaths ever reported
00:22:23.020 from all the other vaccines put together.
00:22:24.880 If your doctor says that,
00:22:28.360 your doctor's a moron.
00:22:31.040 Why?
00:22:32.340 Go.
00:22:33.680 Yeah, let's see.
00:22:35.920 Yeah, you're seeing some people in the comments
00:22:37.700 can tell that this is a moron talking, right?
00:22:40.680 What's wrong with that statement?
00:22:43.560 He's compared the wrong things.
00:22:46.620 You don't compare this vaccination
00:22:48.720 to all the other vaccinations.
00:22:51.420 That's the wrong comparison.
00:22:54.880 This is an idiot comparison.
00:22:58.700 This is an idiot comparison.
00:23:00.480 This is someone who doesn't know
00:23:01.420 the slightest thing
00:23:02.680 about how to compare things.
00:23:04.900 Here's what he should have compared it to.
00:23:07.540 Should have compared it to
00:23:08.780 the deaths from the coronavirus.
00:23:11.360 The vaccine for the coronavirus
00:23:13.480 is an offset to
00:23:15.600 the deaths from the coronavirus.
00:23:18.260 The vaccine for the coronavirus
00:23:21.640 is not trying to compensate
00:23:23.220 for something about other vaccines.
00:23:26.740 These are just different conversations.
00:23:29.480 For this doctor to put in that comparison
00:23:31.560 to scare you,
00:23:33.080 this is a bullshit doctor.
00:23:34.920 These are terrible.
00:23:36.340 Terrible.
00:23:38.080 Terrible way to look at it.
00:23:39.560 So I would say that this doctor
00:23:41.180 is statistically incompetent.
00:23:45.100 There is, however,
00:23:48.040 a better argument
00:23:48.600 that the therapeutics
00:23:51.900 are so good now
00:23:52.820 that you basically
00:23:55.300 don't need vaccines.
00:23:57.540 So one of the therapeutics,
00:23:59.200 a buddhinoid or something,
00:24:02.380 it's an existing one for asthma.
00:24:05.140 Apparently, if you get this
00:24:06.940 within the seven days of symptoms,
00:24:08.640 it reduces your hospitalization rate
00:24:11.200 by 90%.
00:24:12.100 What?
00:24:14.520 A common over-the-counter,
00:24:16.380 not over-the-counter,
00:24:17.260 but you can get a prescription easily.
00:24:19.380 A common medicine
00:24:20.880 that's available
00:24:21.660 in every hospital easily
00:24:22.940 can reduce your risk
00:24:25.200 of hospitalization 90%.
00:24:26.880 Well,
00:24:30.160 that's pretty impressive.
00:24:33.220 So we got a bunch of therapeutics
00:24:35.500 that probably do all the work
00:24:37.000 or a lot of the work
00:24:38.260 that the vaccinations would.
00:24:39.460 And you also have to worry
00:24:41.360 about the fact
00:24:42.320 that the people pushing
00:24:43.320 the mandatory vaccinations
00:24:44.760 are older people.
00:24:47.200 Do you have any kind of
00:24:48.600 immoral or ethical problem
00:24:50.340 with the fact that
00:24:52.960 the people who are talking
00:24:54.760 about making your vaccinations
00:24:56.280 mandatory
00:24:56.880 are all the older people?
00:25:01.220 Does that bother you a little bit?
00:25:03.640 Doesn't necessarily seem like you're...
00:25:06.460 Yeah.
00:25:06.880 I'm not going to talk about ivermectin.
00:25:08.520 I know you want to talk about it.
00:25:12.300 There's just nothing else
00:25:13.200 to say about it.
00:25:14.440 Some people think it works.
00:25:15.860 Some people don't.
00:25:17.340 That's the whole story right now.
00:25:19.720 All right.
00:25:21.780 If I were 30 years younger,
00:25:24.100 would I get the vaccination?
00:25:25.820 Let me answer that question
00:25:26.920 with a question.
00:25:28.760 Where is my online calculator
00:25:31.320 to calculate my odds?
00:25:33.000 Why can't I go online
00:25:35.420 and just say,
00:25:36.420 OK, I have these situations
00:25:37.700 going on with my health.
00:25:40.020 What are my personal odds
00:25:41.680 of having a complication
00:25:43.060 from the vaccine?
00:25:45.140 And maybe there's a range there,
00:25:46.620 so we don't know the exact situation,
00:25:49.280 but a range.
00:25:50.460 And then what is my risk
00:25:52.920 of long-haul risk
00:25:54.380 that I would definitely not want?
00:25:56.460 Or death
00:25:57.820 from COVID itself.
00:26:01.640 You know,
00:26:02.180 comparing the vaccine
00:26:03.500 versus the COVID.
00:26:05.300 So I'd like an online calculator
00:26:07.260 where I could just go in there
00:26:09.040 and it would include
00:26:10.680 long-haul risk.
00:26:12.240 And I just put in my numbers
00:26:13.660 and punch out a number.
00:26:15.540 Somebody says it does exist.
00:26:20.940 Scott has cognitive dissonance.
00:26:23.220 Well, you're going to have
00:26:23.820 to do better than that.
00:26:25.840 Give me an example
00:26:26.720 and tell me what the trigger is.
00:26:31.060 Why do you need a calculator
00:26:32.360 for your life?
00:26:33.300 That's just weird, man.
00:26:36.440 This is where you can see
00:26:39.660 all the rational people
00:26:41.060 versus the artists, I guess.
00:26:44.040 The rational people
00:26:46.260 would be happy
00:26:46.980 to know their odds.
00:26:48.980 The artists are sure
00:26:50.140 that they already
00:26:51.040 can make a decision
00:26:51.920 without knowing
00:26:52.660 the odds of stuff.
00:26:55.820 All right.
00:26:59.600 Weirdly,
00:27:00.280 in the Trump legal situation
00:27:02.280 about whether the taxes
00:27:04.120 were paid on fringe benefits,
00:27:06.140 it looks like President Trump
00:27:07.560 has pretty much admitted
00:27:09.840 they did all that stuff.
00:27:11.540 At least the fringe benefit part.
00:27:13.380 So in his speech,
00:27:14.440 he's talking about
00:27:15.020 how companies don't get
00:27:16.120 dinged for this,
00:27:16.900 typically, and he's right.
00:27:18.400 But they are getting
00:27:19.460 dinged for it.
00:27:20.580 But here's the thing.
00:27:21.380 The New York State
00:27:22.860 Attorney General
00:27:23.660 who's bringing these charges,
00:27:25.960 Letitia James,
00:27:27.320 she campaigned on promises
00:27:28.820 to investigate Trump
00:27:30.180 and his business dealings.
00:27:32.440 She campaigned on taking Trump down
00:27:35.120 if she became the Attorney General
00:27:37.040 without evidence.
00:27:38.840 That's right.
00:27:40.580 The person who's in charge
00:27:41.700 of prosecuting the Trump company
00:27:43.980 promised to do it
00:27:46.420 before having evidence
00:27:48.220 of any crime.
00:27:50.060 That is almost certainly racist.
00:27:53.660 She's black.
00:27:54.540 Trump is white.
00:27:55.400 He's assumed to be racist
00:27:56.680 because he's white,
00:27:57.900 blah, blah,
00:27:58.360 and other things.
00:27:59.000 So this looks like
00:28:01.980 a racial case.
00:28:05.060 And I wonder
00:28:06.140 if the Supreme Court
00:28:07.100 would just throw it out
00:28:08.100 because she's tipped her hand
00:28:10.100 that she's basically in it
00:28:14.140 because she hates this guy.
00:28:15.240 And it looks overtly racist to me.
00:28:18.700 It looks like a hate crime.
00:28:20.060 Yeah.
00:28:20.560 It looks like the Attorney General
00:28:22.160 is perpetrating a hate crime.
00:28:23.740 That's exactly what it looks like.
00:28:26.840 So I don't think this is acceptable.
00:28:30.280 Independent of what
00:28:31.800 the Trump organization
00:28:33.040 did or did not do,
00:28:35.440 having this particular person
00:28:37.600 in charge of the prosecution,
00:28:41.580 totally unacceptable.
00:28:43.640 Totally unacceptable.
00:28:47.220 All right.
00:28:47.900 Suppose
00:28:52.560 a whole bunch of people
00:28:55.160 don't get vaccinations
00:28:56.160 and then they die
00:28:57.320 and we can calculate
00:28:58.640 how many extra people died
00:29:00.940 because they didn't get vaccinated.
00:29:02.940 First of all,
00:29:03.560 do you think we'll ever
00:29:04.240 be able to do that?
00:29:05.520 In the United States,
00:29:06.820 do you think we'll come up
00:29:07.780 with an estimate
00:29:08.460 that says
00:29:09.440 this many extra people died
00:29:11.160 because we didn't get
00:29:13.080 the vaccination?
00:29:15.400 Let me tell you again,
00:29:16.640 I'm not going to be talking
00:29:17.640 about ivermectin
00:29:18.680 just because
00:29:19.800 there's nothing to say
00:29:20.980 about it, right?
00:29:22.420 Some people think it works,
00:29:23.740 some people doesn't.
00:29:24.620 That's the end of the story.
00:29:28.280 But
00:29:28.760 wouldn't we be able
00:29:31.200 to actually calculate
00:29:32.520 how many people died
00:29:34.040 from fake news?
00:29:36.940 Now, fake news
00:29:37.820 would be anything
00:29:38.720 that misled you
00:29:39.600 on the statistics too
00:29:40.900 or scared you
00:29:42.800 when you shouldn't
00:29:43.640 have been scared.
00:29:44.320 I would call that fake news.
00:29:45.720 Will we be able
00:29:46.520 to calculate
00:29:47.180 how many people
00:29:48.680 were killed
00:29:49.060 by fake news?
00:29:49.860 And then here's
00:29:50.240 the complicated part.
00:29:52.000 Would it be
00:29:52.680 Fox News
00:29:53.680 that you would blame?
00:29:55.580 Maybe because
00:29:56.260 they're discouraging
00:29:57.100 people from getting
00:29:57.920 vaccinations
00:29:58.580 according to
00:29:59.560 Brian Stelter.
00:30:00.980 Would you say
00:30:02.000 X number of people
00:30:04.560 got killed
00:30:05.060 by Fox News
00:30:06.800 saying
00:30:07.480 there were risks
00:30:08.900 with the vaccination?
00:30:09.680 or
00:30:11.500 could you say
00:30:14.280 that the real problem
00:30:15.100 is that the fake news,
00:30:16.880 the CNNs,
00:30:18.300 and the scientific community
00:30:20.500 itself
00:30:20.960 have discredited
00:30:22.440 themselves so much
00:30:24.060 that the people
00:30:25.560 you should trust
00:30:26.380 to tell you
00:30:27.100 to get a vaccination
00:30:28.020 you can't trust.
00:30:29.960 You legitimately
00:30:30.840 can't trust them.
00:30:32.720 Whose fault
00:30:33.420 would it be
00:30:33.960 if say
00:30:35.060 100,000 people
00:30:36.060 die who didn't
00:30:36.820 need to die?
00:30:38.100 Would it be
00:30:38.740 Fox News
00:30:39.600 for scaring you
00:30:40.600 about vaccinations?
00:30:42.280 Which I think
00:30:42.900 you could fairly say
00:30:44.120 happened.
00:30:45.080 Or would it be
00:30:45.980 CNN and the
00:30:47.140 scientific community
00:30:48.280 and the Dr. Fauci's,
00:30:50.740 et cetera,
00:30:51.220 who had so destroyed
00:30:53.020 their own credibility
00:30:54.140 that you couldn't
00:30:55.420 trust them
00:30:55.880 about anything?
00:30:57.720 I feel like
00:30:58.700 it's only the above,
00:30:59.780 yeah,
00:31:00.220 as you're saying
00:31:01.160 in the comments.
00:31:02.360 So,
00:31:02.900 does fake news
00:31:03.980 kill people?
00:31:05.460 Yes.
00:31:05.920 In fact,
00:31:07.920 we've reached a point
00:31:08.840 where the biggest
00:31:09.680 threat to the country
00:31:10.740 is the fake news.
00:31:13.040 Right?
00:31:13.520 Because the fake news
00:31:14.600 is telling you
00:31:15.160 to go to war
00:31:15.780 with Iraq.
00:31:16.780 The fake news
00:31:17.460 is telling you
00:31:18.020 what to do
00:31:18.500 or not do
00:31:19.160 about climate change.
00:31:20.660 The fake news
00:31:21.540 is telling you
00:31:21.960 what to do
00:31:22.360 or not do
00:31:23.120 about nuclear energy.
00:31:25.560 The fake news
00:31:26.120 is telling you
00:31:26.540 what to do
00:31:26.960 or not do
00:31:27.660 about Iran.
00:31:28.980 Right?
00:31:29.360 It's all the fake news.
00:31:30.900 We have one problem.
00:31:33.500 Fake news.
00:31:34.180 Everything else
00:31:36.200 sort of just
00:31:38.160 falls down
00:31:38.700 from that.
00:31:39.600 The fact that
00:31:40.100 we can't trust
00:31:40.760 our institutions
00:31:41.540 or our news.
00:31:43.820 All right.
00:31:45.760 CNN reports
00:31:46.720 that 17 states
00:31:47.920 have enacted
00:31:48.540 28 new laws
00:31:52.220 that make it
00:31:52.660 harder to vote.
00:31:54.420 So,
00:31:54.960 that's CNN's
00:31:55.660 take on these
00:31:56.400 voting law changes.
00:31:58.460 Harder to vote.
00:31:59.980 That's it.
00:32:00.520 That's the whole story.
00:32:01.460 It's just making it
00:32:02.020 harder to vote
00:32:02.740 for obviously
00:32:03.700 racist political reasons.
00:32:07.000 Well,
00:32:07.600 here's another report
00:32:09.260 from CNN.
00:32:12.560 Seatbelts
00:32:13.040 make it harder
00:32:13.740 to drive.
00:32:15.920 Well,
00:32:16.140 it's true,
00:32:16.520 isn't it?
00:32:17.680 Don't seatbelts
00:32:18.460 make it harder
00:32:19.100 to drive?
00:32:20.180 Because you've got
00:32:20.900 that extra time
00:32:22.340 you have to do
00:32:22.960 to put on your seatbelt
00:32:24.060 and then your passenger
00:32:25.580 doesn't have the seatbelt on
00:32:27.080 and the little noise
00:32:28.460 comes on
00:32:29.300 and you're,
00:32:30.080 hey,
00:32:30.640 put your seatbelt on.
00:32:31.720 wouldn't you say
00:32:33.220 that CNN
00:32:34.560 should report
00:32:35.380 the seatbelts
00:32:36.500 are making it
00:32:37.020 harder to drive?
00:32:40.960 I'm sure it's true
00:32:42.280 that these laws
00:32:43.580 make it harder
00:32:44.180 to vote
00:32:44.660 but that's not
00:32:45.260 the point,
00:32:46.060 is it?
00:32:47.120 Isn't the point
00:32:48.180 to make the election
00:32:50.100 secure?
00:32:51.900 The intention
00:32:52.800 should matter.
00:32:54.120 The trouble is
00:32:54.640 that you can get both.
00:32:56.240 You can make it
00:32:57.460 more secure
00:32:58.560 and also
00:32:59.720 more likely
00:33:00.520 to suppress
00:33:01.220 a vote
00:33:01.580 at the same time.
00:33:03.660 So,
00:33:04.140 intentions are
00:33:04.920 a little mixed up here.
00:33:08.060 Yeah.
00:33:12.000 Very good analogy.
00:33:13.480 Thank you.
00:33:16.540 All right.
00:33:17.340 So,
00:33:17.680 apparently,
00:33:18.060 U.S. and Iran
00:33:18.700 are not making
00:33:19.220 any progress
00:33:19.760 toward a nuclear deal.
00:33:20.860 Are you surprised?
00:33:25.860 Oh,
00:33:26.400 somebody says
00:33:26.860 fireworks are racist
00:33:27.940 because black people
00:33:30.200 hear noise pollution.
00:33:32.700 Okay.
00:33:33.320 I don't know
00:33:33.680 about that.
00:33:34.860 So,
00:33:35.380 U.S.-Iran
00:33:35.860 making no progress
00:33:36.820 toward a nuclear deal.
00:33:37.980 Big surprise.
00:33:39.460 Are we back
00:33:40.260 to Trump's
00:33:41.860 approach
00:33:42.660 with Iran?
00:33:43.240 because
00:33:44.640 Biden
00:33:45.540 somewhat
00:33:46.500 simplistically
00:33:47.320 thought that
00:33:48.400 he would just
00:33:48.860 get back
00:33:49.280 into this
00:33:49.840 Iranian nuclear deal
00:33:50.920 but that
00:33:51.860 they would also
00:33:52.440 improve it.
00:33:54.300 So,
00:33:54.780 it's not good enough
00:33:55.600 even for the Democrats.
00:33:57.080 Even the Democrats
00:33:57.820 don't like the nuclear deal
00:33:59.140 with Iran.
00:34:00.060 I didn't know that before.
00:34:01.440 Apparently,
00:34:01.940 Chuck Schumer
00:34:02.500 was adamantly opposed
00:34:04.060 to the nuclear deal.
00:34:05.880 So,
00:34:06.520 to his credit.
00:34:08.960 And so,
00:34:09.640 when you thought
00:34:10.800 Biden was just
00:34:11.600 going to get back
00:34:12.280 into the deal,
00:34:13.240 even the Democrats
00:34:14.760 don't want to do that.
00:34:15.960 So,
00:34:16.240 there's no deal
00:34:16.740 to get back into.
00:34:18.220 So,
00:34:18.820 in effect,
00:34:20.080 the Biden approach
00:34:21.140 to Iran
00:34:21.820 is
00:34:22.720 pretty much
00:34:24.280 the Trump approach
00:34:25.480 because when it comes
00:34:26.720 right down to it,
00:34:28.220 what options
00:34:29.320 did they have?
00:34:30.220 If you're trying
00:34:30.780 to keep Iran
00:34:31.460 from getting
00:34:31.900 a nuclear weapon
00:34:32.700 and Biden says he is,
00:34:34.600 Trump said he was too,
00:34:37.300 you got to keep
00:34:38.280 the sanctions on
00:34:39.240 and you can't
00:34:39.980 make a deal.
00:34:41.000 So,
00:34:41.420 it's going to look
00:34:41.880 exactly like Trump.
00:34:43.240 You know,
00:34:43.820 give or take
00:34:44.440 killing Soleimani.
00:34:47.040 So,
00:34:47.720 once again,
00:34:48.860 the Trumpification
00:34:49.740 of politics
00:34:50.700 is happening.
00:34:54.220 How many of you
00:34:55.240 think that
00:34:55.920 we're experiencing
00:34:58.020 a heat wave
00:34:58.940 that's caused
00:35:00.320 by climate change?
00:35:01.300 I feel like our
00:35:04.260 reporting is
00:35:05.100 letting us down
00:35:05.820 a little bit.
00:35:06.800 I remember
00:35:07.240 it wasn't too long
00:35:08.140 ago when there
00:35:08.860 would be a big
00:35:09.340 hurricane season
00:35:10.160 and the experts
00:35:11.600 would come out
00:35:12.100 and say,
00:35:12.460 it's because of
00:35:13.080 climate change.
00:35:14.200 But then a bunch
00:35:14.940 of other experts
00:35:15.720 would come out
00:35:16.220 and say,
00:35:16.600 no,
00:35:17.380 it could be
00:35:18.380 because of
00:35:18.900 climate change,
00:35:19.920 but we don't see
00:35:20.880 it in the data yet.
00:35:22.880 The data does not
00:35:24.040 tell us that our
00:35:24.880 storms are getting
00:35:25.620 worse.
00:35:26.060 Is that what's
00:35:28.200 happening now?
00:35:29.480 Because I keep
00:35:30.340 seeing references
00:35:31.060 to climate change
00:35:32.360 as the reason
00:35:33.060 that it's so hot,
00:35:34.620 but is there
00:35:35.140 a counterpoint
00:35:36.320 anymore?
00:35:37.440 Is there anybody
00:35:38.140 saying,
00:35:39.240 well,
00:35:39.560 I see what you're
00:35:40.100 saying about
00:35:40.560 all this heat,
00:35:41.780 but it's not
00:35:42.420 in the data yet?
00:35:43.420 We don't see it yet?
00:35:46.280 Or have the critics
00:35:49.300 as well as the
00:35:50.940 proponents of
00:35:51.740 climate change
00:35:52.460 as being a
00:35:53.100 coming disaster,
00:35:54.340 have they all
00:35:55.660 agreed that this
00:35:56.540 is really
00:35:57.040 climate change?
00:35:58.440 There's no
00:35:58.960 pushback this
00:35:59.600 time?
00:36:01.200 Yeah,
00:36:01.540 I don't have
00:36:01.880 an opinion on
00:36:02.520 it.
00:36:02.840 I just don't
00:36:03.780 know that there's
00:36:04.520 any data out
00:36:05.220 there,
00:36:05.600 but we're all
00:36:06.220 acting like we
00:36:07.420 know what's
00:36:07.820 going on.
00:36:12.600 Yeah,
00:36:13.180 all right.
00:36:13.920 So that's just
00:36:14.340 an open question.
00:36:17.180 I would say
00:36:18.160 that I think
00:36:19.080 we should adopt
00:36:19.900 a new concept.
00:36:22.360 And the concept
00:36:22.820 goes like this.
00:36:23.520 In the old
00:36:24.360 days,
00:36:24.860 we thought of
00:36:26.040 herd immunity
00:36:26.880 as when
00:36:28.000 X number of
00:36:28.820 people have
00:36:29.400 been infected
00:36:30.220 or vaccinated.
00:36:31.840 And if you
00:36:32.400 got to that
00:36:32.840 60 or 70%
00:36:34.040 of your public
00:36:34.680 either already
00:36:36.240 infected and
00:36:37.000 having antibodies
00:36:37.760 or vaccinated,
00:36:39.360 well,
00:36:39.680 that was enough
00:36:40.160 to stop a
00:36:40.800 virus from
00:36:41.320 spreading because
00:36:42.180 there wouldn't
00:36:42.480 be enough
00:36:42.840 people that
00:36:43.380 it could jump
00:36:43.880 onto.
00:36:45.020 But I feel
00:36:46.620 like we have
00:36:47.300 to modify
00:36:48.980 that today.
00:36:50.500 And really,
00:36:51.200 we should look
00:36:51.800 at herd
00:36:52.400 immunity
00:36:53.080 differently.
00:36:55.340 And I think
00:36:55.780 herd immunity
00:36:56.320 should be
00:36:56.860 when everybody
00:36:58.840 who wants
00:37:00.460 a vaccination
00:37:00.980 has one.
00:37:02.320 That's it.
00:37:03.440 That should be
00:37:03.960 herd immunity.
00:37:05.060 If everybody
00:37:05.660 who wants
00:37:06.340 a vaccination
00:37:06.860 has one,
00:37:08.640 then the other
00:37:09.840 people are just
00:37:10.460 taking a normal
00:37:11.660 human risk
00:37:12.380 and they get
00:37:13.460 to do that.
00:37:14.020 So why
00:37:15.840 can't we just
00:37:16.440 say we're
00:37:16.820 done when
00:37:17.980 everybody who
00:37:18.560 wants one
00:37:19.120 can get one
00:37:19.680 and just go
00:37:20.740 back to work
00:37:21.340 and people
00:37:22.560 will die.
00:37:24.120 We can be
00:37:24.840 sure of that.
00:37:25.820 But they
00:37:26.260 would die in
00:37:26.920 the context
00:37:27.480 of knowing
00:37:27.960 what the
00:37:28.320 risks were
00:37:29.020 and taking
00:37:30.640 a normal
00:37:31.380 human risk
00:37:32.480 reward decision
00:37:34.180 and deciding
00:37:35.040 to go on
00:37:35.540 with their
00:37:35.820 life or not.
00:37:36.700 So it
00:37:40.080 feels like
00:37:40.900 everything we're
00:37:41.900 doing is to
00:37:43.000 maybe sort of
00:37:44.580 a little bit
00:37:45.160 protect a small
00:37:46.220 percentage of
00:37:46.840 the population
00:37:47.460 who got
00:37:50.340 vaccinated but
00:37:51.280 still could die
00:37:52.040 from the virus,
00:37:53.120 I suppose.
00:37:55.400 And the
00:37:56.120 children.
00:37:56.920 Yeah, and what
00:37:57.420 we're doing to
00:37:57.940 the children is
00:37:58.760 the most
00:38:00.600 alarming part
00:38:01.380 of it.
00:38:05.780 All right.
00:38:07.560 So the only
00:38:09.020 thing I'm adding
00:38:09.560 to this is the
00:38:10.480 thought that the
00:38:11.160 words herd
00:38:12.500 immunity, we
00:38:14.820 should just
00:38:15.220 change it for
00:38:15.740 this one
00:38:16.160 situation and
00:38:16.940 say once
00:38:17.560 everybody who
00:38:18.120 wants the
00:38:18.440 vaccination has
00:38:19.220 it, we're
00:38:20.880 good to go.
00:38:21.900 That's all you
00:38:22.440 can do.
00:38:24.460 But we are
00:38:25.240 seeing more
00:38:25.720 corporations
00:38:26.700 forcing their
00:38:27.740 employees to
00:38:28.300 get vaccinated.
00:38:30.040 I have mixed
00:38:31.040 feelings about
00:38:31.660 that.
00:38:32.780 On one
00:38:33.280 hand, you
00:38:34.960 certainly don't
00:38:35.640 want a forced
00:38:36.360 vaccinations for
00:38:38.300 all the obvious
00:38:39.020 reasons.
00:38:39.820 On the other
00:38:40.180 hand, or at
00:38:41.360 least if you
00:38:41.920 can avoid it,
00:38:42.540 you don't want
00:38:42.940 it.
00:38:44.100 On the other
00:38:44.740 hand, what are
00:38:47.940 you going to do?
00:38:48.640 Some people are
00:38:49.280 going to die if
00:38:49.860 you don't do
00:38:50.260 it.
00:38:50.440 Yes, now we're
00:38:53.800 all getting
00:38:54.380 excited about the
00:38:55.260 delta variant.
00:38:58.540 I don't know
00:38:59.260 if the
00:38:59.560 variant scares
00:39:00.520 you.
00:39:01.480 If the
00:39:01.900 normal one
00:39:04.720 didn't scare
00:39:05.280 you, I don't
00:39:05.720 know how the
00:39:06.260 delta variant is
00:39:07.560 going to scare
00:39:08.240 you extra.
00:39:09.480 I don't imagine
00:39:10.300 it.
00:39:13.320 All right.
00:39:13.980 that is all I
00:39:19.420 had to talk
00:39:19.840 about today.
00:39:21.020 I'll look into
00:39:22.320 what my issues
00:39:23.160 are with my
00:39:23.760 sound, and
00:39:24.460 then I'll get
00:39:24.900 the...
00:39:26.800 I already know
00:39:28.260 what I need to
00:39:28.800 do.
00:39:29.380 Every time I
00:39:30.040 test this, which
00:39:31.500 is I add one
00:39:32.380 variable, just
00:39:33.420 one variable to
00:39:35.200 making the sound
00:39:35.960 work, 30% failure
00:39:38.260 rate.
00:39:38.720 It's just
00:39:39.140 guaranteed.
00:39:39.480 And I will
00:39:42.360 talk to you
00:39:43.040 tomorrow.