Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1434 Scott Adams： The Persuasion Filter on the Headlines, And Coffee Too

00:00:00.500 Ma-ma-ma-ma-ma-ma-ma-ma-ma-ma-ma-ma-ma. 0.99

00:00:04.000 Hey, everybody.

00:00:05.460 Good morning and welcome to the best.

00:00:09.360 Coffee with Scott Adams all day.

00:00:13.040 And I guarantee that if you watch another Coffee with Scott Adams today live,

00:00:20.020 it won't be as good as this one because it won't be me.

00:00:23.400 It'll be an imposter. 0.88

00:00:24.280 And if you'd like to enjoy this to its maximum extent, and I know you do,

00:00:30.000 all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or chalice or stein,

00:00:32.720 a canteen jug or flask or vessel of any kind.

00:00:35.680 Filled with your favorite liquid.

00:00:37.600 I like coffee.

00:00:39.380 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure,

00:00:42.940 the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:47.480 It's called...

00:00:49.600 The simultaneous sip, and it's going to happen now.

00:00:51.580 Go.

00:00:55.740 Ah.

00:00:58.600 Ah.

00:01:00.000 Well, if you were on the local's subscription service,

00:01:06.620 you would already be seeing a micro-lesson on varying your voice,

00:01:11.120 as I'm doing right now for presentations.

00:01:15.040 And it would be streaming without any commercials,

00:01:18.260 which you could also get on YouTube, by the way,

00:01:20.180 if you're a subscriber on either one.

00:01:22.940 Hey, Rasmussen did a poll

00:01:24.820 in which they found that because of all the athletes

00:01:29.160 who are likely to make political protests there,

00:01:32.040 you know they're going to try it.

00:01:33.520 34% of the people polled by Rasmussen said

00:01:37.860 they are less likely to watch the Olympics

00:01:41.100 because of the athlete protests.

00:01:42.780 34%, that's a lot.

00:01:46.400 15% said they're more likely.

00:01:49.160 So the protests would make them more likely to watch.

00:01:51.840 I feel like I'm in that category

00:01:55.720 because I can't think of any reason

00:01:59.060 to watch the Olympics

00:02:00.100 unless there's a political protest,

00:02:04.200 in which case, now you have my interest.

00:02:06.700 I'd like to see somebody raise a fist,

00:02:09.320 get down on a knee, 0.80

00:02:10.860 make everybody angry.

00:02:11.940 But the weird thing about the Olympics is

00:02:16.300 the Olympics is not like a regular sporting event.

00:02:20.080 You know, the whole point is to represent your country.

00:02:22.920 So if you get that part wrong,

00:02:25.740 the representing your country part,

00:02:28.160 what the hell are you at the Olympics for?

00:02:30.580 Or more to the point,

00:02:31.760 why do we even have Olympics?

00:02:33.880 Olympics are a ridiculous concept.

00:02:36.620 It's a bunch of ridiculous competitions

00:02:39.040 for a ridiculous concept

00:02:40.800 or a ridiculous event.

00:02:44.280 But I guess people like it.

00:02:46.220 So if people like it,

00:02:48.360 it's okay with me.

00:02:49.480 It's a free country.

00:02:51.860 Ish.

00:02:53.540 Hey, what's going on in Haiti

00:02:55.260 and Cuba?

00:02:58.540 Let me ask you this.

00:03:00.480 When you heard that the president of Haiti

00:03:03.880 had been assassinated by a team of mercenaries,

00:03:07.240 and then you heard

00:03:09.380 that the alleged ringleader

00:03:11.820 of the mercenaries

00:03:12.780 was a doctor

00:03:14.740 who spends a lot of time in Florida,

00:03:17.920 did you say to yourself,

00:03:20.320 well, that looks like a legitimate story,

00:03:23.000 and we know everything we need to know

00:03:24.860 about that story.

00:03:26.180 There's a doctor.

00:03:27.240 He got some mercenaries,

00:03:28.520 and they killed the president.

00:03:31.020 They were trying to kidnap him, I guess.

00:03:32.540 And the doctor was going to try

00:03:35.440 to take power in Haiti.

00:03:37.980 Because why not?

00:03:38.920 He's a doctor who can hire some mercenaries,

00:03:41.080 so I guess that's good enough

00:03:42.440 to be the president of Haiti.

00:03:44.180 Now, keep in mind

00:03:45.180 that the president of Haiti

00:03:46.760 apparently had turned into

00:03:48.720 a bit of a dictator,

00:03:50.520 and also that it's the only country,

00:03:53.260 I think, with zero vaccinations.

00:03:56.220 So there's some issues with Haiti, right?

00:03:58.860 But is there anybody who thinks

00:04:02.220 the CIA is not behind it?

00:04:05.340 Now, I get that this doctor

00:04:07.920 allegedly contacted

00:04:10.180 some Venezuelan mercenaries,

00:04:16.140 but how many doctors

00:04:17.440 can organize a coup

00:04:19.420 without a little bit of help?

00:04:21.700 Could you do that?

00:04:23.560 If you wanted to organize a coup,

00:04:26.420 could you put in the phone call

00:04:28.800 and do the meetings

00:04:30.620 and plan it up

00:04:31.840 and make sure you had

00:04:33.160 all the transportation

00:04:34.200 and the way to pay people

00:04:35.780 and you got the right people

00:04:37.780 and all that?

00:04:39.860 I feel that a doctor

00:04:43.440 probably couldn't pull that off.

00:04:46.800 Here's a little back story.

00:04:48.460 I used to work for a big bank,

00:04:55.200 and part of my job

00:04:56.140 for a little while

00:04:57.060 was approving business loans

00:04:59.660 to doctors specifically.

00:05:02.420 And what we learned

00:05:03.740 is that doctors

00:05:04.980 were really bad at business.

00:05:07.620 They often were great at doctoring,

00:05:09.400 but they weren't good

00:05:10.020 at paying off their loans

00:05:11.200 and they weren't good

00:05:11.880 at opening a business

00:05:12.900 and having a private practice.

00:05:15.140 It just was a different skill set.

00:05:16.880 So they were people

00:05:19.300 who should have been

00:05:20.100 good customers

00:05:20.860 because they make a lot of money,

00:05:22.380 so that's who you want

00:05:23.220 to give a loan to,

00:05:24.280 but they were unusually bad

00:05:26.100 at paying back loans.

00:05:27.600 That's why there was

00:05:28.260 a special department

00:05:29.200 to handle them.

00:05:30.800 Now, what are the odds

00:05:31.840 that this doctor

00:05:34.200 was able to pull off

00:05:37.200 a coup attempt?

00:05:38.640 Got pretty close.

00:05:40.180 You'd have to say

00:05:41.180 that got the mercenaries there,

00:05:43.920 got them all the way

00:05:44.900 in the presidential palace.

00:05:46.720 Didn't work out

00:05:47.360 the way he planned

00:05:48.140 in terms of keeping

00:05:50.320 the president alive, I guess.

00:05:52.640 But don't you think

00:05:53.980 he got a little help?

00:05:55.560 A little bit of help?

00:05:57.140 Is there any chance

00:05:58.220 that this wasn't

00:05:59.440 at least partly organized

00:06:00.920 by American assets?

00:06:04.320 Do you think?

00:06:05.960 Now, I have no evidence,

00:06:08.580 no information whatsoever

00:06:10.280 to suggest that

00:06:11.660 American intelligence agencies

00:06:13.860 were involved in this

00:06:14.800 in any way whatsoever.

00:06:16.480 There's no evidence of that.

00:06:19.660 But we do have a history.

00:06:22.020 We do have a history

00:06:23.460 of overthrowing dictators

00:06:25.000 in our part of the world.

00:06:27.760 Now, on social media,

00:06:30.500 it was asked,

00:06:31.500 why would we do that?

00:06:33.400 What would possibly be

00:06:34.960 the incentive

00:06:35.720 to overthrow a dictator

00:06:38.180 in our part of the world?

00:06:40.860 And I think

00:06:41.960 the simple answer is

00:06:43.520 we would do it

00:06:44.340 any time we could.

00:06:46.680 Historically,

00:06:47.640 whenever we could

00:06:48.480 get rid of a dictator

00:06:49.480 and put in somebody

00:06:51.160 who's maybe going to be

00:06:52.700 more friendly

00:06:53.480 to our interests,

00:06:54.440 we'd do it.

00:06:56.140 Unfortunately.

00:06:57.340 Unfortunately,

00:06:57.820 we'd do it.

00:06:58.660 Or fortunately,

00:06:59.400 depending on your point of view.

00:07:00.880 The other possibility

00:07:01.760 is that some other country

00:07:03.000 was getting a foothold.

00:07:04.640 A foothold in the sense of

00:07:07.900 could you imagine

00:07:09.220 that maybe China

00:07:11.320 was helping out

00:07:12.100 the president of Haiti?

00:07:13.760 I don't know that that's...

00:07:15.040 I have no evidence of that.

00:07:16.660 But you could imagine

00:07:17.500 some, you know,

00:07:19.000 adversary country

00:07:20.060 was getting a little bit

00:07:21.160 aggressive there.

00:07:22.780 Maybe.

00:07:24.380 I'm seeing in the comments

00:07:25.820 over on Locals

00:07:26.680 people saying

00:07:27.480 that they have

00:07:28.600 unexploited natural gas

00:07:31.020 and oil

00:07:32.260 or something like that.

00:07:33.920 Could be.

00:07:35.460 That would certainly

00:07:36.560 get the interest

00:07:37.320 of our CIA.

00:07:40.120 We would want to make sure

00:07:41.280 the United States

00:07:42.020 has access

00:07:43.120 to as many resources

00:07:44.340 as possible.

00:07:45.980 Could have something

00:07:47.140 to do with vaccinations

00:07:48.300 being low.

00:07:50.080 Something like that.

00:07:51.600 Some of you are saying

00:07:52.600 it has to do

00:07:53.000 with the Clintons.

00:07:55.620 Can't rule out

00:07:56.420 on anything, can you?

00:07:57.420 But I don't have

00:07:58.200 any information

00:07:58.740 to think of that.

00:07:59.960 But my point is this.

00:08:02.160 Do we live in a world

00:08:03.120 in which you can't assume

00:08:04.400 this is...

00:08:05.400 that America

00:08:05.940 was behind this?

00:08:08.580 Now, what about Cuba?

00:08:12.560 I see a video

00:08:13.760 of the Cubans

00:08:14.960 chanting in English.

00:08:17.980 What?

00:08:19.060 And carrying an American flag

00:08:20.640 in at least one case.

00:08:22.460 They're chanting

00:08:23.480 English slogans

00:08:25.460 while they're marching

00:08:26.460 in Cuba?

00:08:27.700 Now, obviously,

00:08:28.720 it's for American

00:08:29.440 consumption.

00:08:30.780 How many people think

00:08:32.040 that the CIA

00:08:33.600 is not behind those,

00:08:35.400 the protests?

00:08:37.620 Don't you just assume

00:08:38.840 that they are?

00:08:40.420 Now, again,

00:08:41.420 I have zero evidence

00:08:42.940 of any kind of involvement

00:08:44.600 of the United States

00:08:45.860 in Cuba's

00:08:47.040 internal affairs.

00:08:49.500 But we have a history,

00:08:51.680 if you know what I mean.

00:08:52.940 it kind of seems to me

00:08:55.440 that this would be

00:08:56.180 exactly the time

00:08:57.400 that we might want

00:08:59.140 to give a little boost

00:09:00.360 to some local people

00:09:01.640 who want to

00:09:02.240 cause some trouble.

00:09:03.820 So I'm not going to

00:09:04.860 start any conspiracy theories

00:09:07.920 because these particular ones

00:09:09.820 are already out there.

00:09:11.100 Nor is there any evidence

00:09:12.780 that I'm aware of.

00:09:14.100 Right?

00:09:14.300 No evidence whatsoever.

00:09:15.300 But

00:09:16.340 don't you assume?

00:09:21.460 All right.

00:09:22.360 One of my favorite stories

00:09:23.700 in the news

00:09:24.260 is the ongoing battle

00:09:26.700 between CNN

00:09:27.800 and Fox News

00:09:28.840 and the various personalities,

00:09:30.900 and especially

00:09:31.780 Brian Stelter

00:09:32.700 versus Tucker Carlson.

00:09:34.820 So today on CNN's site,

00:09:38.560 Brian Stelter

00:09:39.220 and his,

00:09:40.340 what would you call him,

00:09:42.220 co-worker,

00:09:43.220 Oliver Darcy,

00:09:44.680 who also is a CNN personality,

00:09:48.400 they wrote an article

00:09:49.900 about what they allege

00:09:51.900 is that Tucker Carlson

00:09:53.440 is furious

00:09:54.080 with Fox News executives.

00:09:56.740 Allow me to read to you

00:09:58.080 what Brian Stelter

00:10:00.280 and Oliver Darcy

00:10:01.400 say about this.

00:10:02.180 They say in an article,

00:10:03.660 Tucker Carlson

00:10:05.360 is furious

00:10:06.160 with Fox News executives

00:10:08.040 for not vigorously

00:10:09.560 defending him

00:10:10.400 amid his

00:10:11.320 evidence-free claims.

00:10:12.760 What?

00:10:14.880 His evidence-free claims

00:10:16.900 that the National Security Agency

00:10:20.480 spied on him

00:10:21.260 in a conspiracy

00:10:22.040 to destroy his TV show,

00:10:24.420 according to people

00:10:25.220 familiar with the matter.

00:10:27.100 The whole point of it

00:10:28.140 is he had evidence.

00:10:30.700 CNN will just call

00:10:32.100 anything evidence-free

00:10:33.560 because they didn't

00:10:35.820 report on it.

00:10:37.660 But you could say

00:10:39.800 maybe the whistleblower

00:10:41.460 was lying.

00:10:42.940 You could say

00:10:44.060 maybe the whistleblower

00:10:46.340 doesn't exist

00:10:47.060 and he was just made up.

00:10:48.740 You could say

00:10:49.780 the whistleblower

00:10:51.200 was mistaken.

00:10:52.940 All possible.

00:10:54.660 But can you just

00:10:56.440 brush away the entire story

00:10:58.160 by saying it's evidence-free

00:10:59.720 when there's a host

00:11:01.820 of a major network

00:11:03.720 claiming that he has

00:11:05.460 the evidence?

00:11:05.920 evidence.

00:11:06.740 I don't believe

00:11:07.500 anybody's, you know,

00:11:09.560 been denied

00:11:10.380 looking at it,

00:11:11.380 have they?

00:11:13.280 Why do they call this

00:11:14.380 evidence-free?

00:11:15.820 All right.

00:11:18.480 One of the sources,

00:11:20.320 you know,

00:11:20.520 the anonymous sources,

00:11:22.300 those anonymous sources,

00:11:23.460 they've got some

00:11:24.260 really credible information,

00:11:25.940 those anonymous people.

00:11:27.380 But one of the sources

00:11:28.580 described Carlson

00:11:29.840 as, quote,

00:11:30.700 furious

00:11:31.300 with network executives,

00:11:33.440 especially the

00:11:34.180 public relations team,

00:11:36.220 quote,

00:11:36.940 for not backing him up.

00:11:39.100 Tensions are sky high,

00:11:40.560 the person said.

00:11:42.080 Another source

00:11:43.040 pointed out

00:11:43.520 that Carlson

00:11:44.080 has always had tension

00:11:45.800 with management,

00:11:47.100 but said right now

00:11:48.040 he's extra pissed.

00:11:50.060 So that's what CNN

00:11:51.100 is reporting

00:11:51.780 with their anonymous source.

00:11:54.160 By the way,

00:11:55.880 do you know what I call

00:11:56.880 an anonymous source?

00:11:59.320 No evidence whatsoever.

00:12:01.300 So here's CNN

00:12:03.000 shamelessly reporting

00:12:04.960 a story with

00:12:05.920 an anonymous source,

00:12:07.680 which is

00:12:08.280 no evidence whatsoever,

00:12:10.920 and complaining that

00:12:12.300 Tucker Carlson's

00:12:14.300 anonymous source,

00:12:15.720 the whistleblower,

00:12:17.120 is not evidence

00:12:18.180 while using

00:12:19.420 exactly the same standard

00:12:20.800 to present a news story.

00:12:23.360 Okay.

00:12:24.320 Okay.

00:12:27.900 Here,

00:12:29.100 but the best part

00:12:30.400 of the story is

00:12:31.120 and you have to read

00:12:31.760 a little bit further

00:12:32.480 to get to it,

00:12:33.820 is a response

00:12:35.300 from Tucker Carlson.

00:12:37.280 So in a text

00:12:38.300 to CNN reporter

00:12:39.300 Sunday night,

00:12:40.160 so this was not

00:12:40.940 a direct response

00:12:42.220 to Stelter,

00:12:43.140 but to another reporter,

00:12:44.820 I guess,

00:12:45.780 Carlson called the

00:12:46.680 allegation that he is

00:12:47.780 angry with Fox

00:12:48.820 executives,

00:12:49.860 quote,

00:12:50.280 absurd.

00:12:50.820 and Tucker

00:12:52.720 went on to say,

00:12:54.240 I'm not mad

00:12:54.900 at anyone

00:12:55.360 at Fox,

00:12:56.100 he said.

00:12:56.880 If I was,

00:12:57.980 I'd say so.

00:12:59.280 I'm mad at you

00:13:00.280 for lying relentlessly.

00:13:02.340 What a loathsome

00:13:03.260 person you are.

00:13:04.420 Please print that.

00:13:06.120 And then they did.

00:13:08.180 So they printed

00:13:09.280 the part

00:13:09.780 about the CNN

00:13:10.720 reporter

00:13:12.220 being a loathsome

00:13:13.400 person

00:13:13.840 for suggesting

00:13:14.620 this ridiculous story.

00:13:15.980 And what about

00:13:19.240 Tucker's denial?

00:13:21.440 Does it sound

00:13:22.140 credible?

00:13:23.920 Is it credible

00:13:25.020 that if Tucker Carlson

00:13:27.300 had a problem

00:13:27.960 with his executives

00:13:29.640 that,

00:13:31.080 like he says,

00:13:32.320 he would just

00:13:33.060 say so?

00:13:34.560 Do you believe

00:13:35.340 that?

00:13:36.400 Do you believe

00:13:37.200 that Tucker Carlson

00:13:38.240 would say out loud

00:13:39.620 on his TV show

00:13:40.720 that the people

00:13:42.020 paying his salary

00:13:43.540 were making

00:13:45.460 a big mistake

00:13:46.280 if he believed

00:13:47.200 that were the case?

00:13:49.260 Yeah.

00:13:50.140 Yeah.

00:13:50.900 I totally believe that.

00:13:52.440 It's actually

00:13:52.920 a really good response

00:13:54.800 because one of the things

00:13:56.640 about Tucker Carlson

00:13:58.000 is that whether

00:13:59.480 he's,

00:14:00.180 you know,

00:14:00.520 right or wrong

00:14:01.360 on any given story,

00:14:02.660 and we know

00:14:03.180 everybody in that business

00:14:04.220 is going to have

00:14:04.800 some,

00:14:05.200 you know,

00:14:06.260 mishits.

00:14:06.920 That's just built

00:14:07.520 into the model,

00:14:08.220 right?

00:14:08.740 But whether he's

00:14:09.460 right or wrong

00:14:09.980 on any particular story,

00:14:12.640 don't you trust

00:14:13.940 that if the executives

00:14:15.880 of Fox News

00:14:16.880 were screwing him, 0.56

00:14:19.600 he'd tell you.

00:14:21.660 Don't you think?

00:14:23.100 Like,

00:14:23.520 I don't have any doubt

00:14:24.360 that he would tell us that,

00:14:25.880 even at the risk

00:14:26.820 of,

00:14:27.180 you know,

00:14:27.440 his paycheck.

00:14:29.780 I feel like he would.

00:14:31.960 And I feel like

00:14:33.040 you couldn't say that

00:14:33.900 about just about everybody,

00:14:35.420 right?

00:14:36.480 You know,

00:14:36.880 how many people

00:14:37.600 could you say that

00:14:38.440 you'd have some confidence

00:14:40.020 that they would throw

00:14:40.940 their own

00:14:41.580 paycheck-signing

00:14:43.320 boss under the bus

00:14:44.800 if it were

00:14:46.400 the right thing to do?

00:14:48.340 I think he could.

00:14:50.700 And,

00:14:51.240 you know,

00:14:51.860 he has also the luxury

00:14:53.380 that I don't think

00:14:54.280 he would be out of work,

00:14:55.420 right?

00:14:56.220 I mean,

00:14:56.540 he could always find

00:14:57.140 something,

00:14:57.660 even if it's not at Fox.

00:14:59.640 Well,

00:15:00.080 here's another example

00:15:00.900 of the dog not barking.

00:15:03.540 Every once in a while

00:15:04.480 there's a story

00:15:05.360 that confirms

00:15:06.700 all your worst

00:15:07.680 suspicions

00:15:08.700 about reality

00:15:09.620 and especially

00:15:10.980 about the government.

00:15:12.800 You know,

00:15:13.140 all those

00:15:13.620 conspiracy theories

00:15:15.060 and those suspicions

00:15:16.280 you have

00:15:16.660 about your government?

00:15:18.560 Well,

00:15:18.920 as Matt Taibbi

00:15:20.280 tweets,

00:15:22.400 imagine if the

00:15:23.600 Fuhrer,

00:15:24.080 imagine the Fuhrer

00:15:25.240 if Donald Trump Jr.

00:15:27.220 held an auction

00:15:28.100 where he sold

00:15:28.840 paintings for

00:15:29.760 between $75,000

00:15:31.260 and half a million

00:15:32.100 apiece

00:15:32.620 and the buyers

00:15:33.920 were allowed

00:15:34.540 to remain anonymous.

00:15:35.540 good point,

00:15:40.100 right?

00:15:40.800 Now,

00:15:41.080 remember,

00:15:41.460 Matt Taibbi

00:15:42.080 is not a

00:15:42.760 right-leaning

00:15:43.500 observer.

00:15:45.600 He is one of those

00:15:46.520 rare people

00:15:47.140 who can take a side

00:15:48.440 wherever it makes sense.

00:15:50.120 So,

00:15:50.240 you never know

00:15:51.680 which side

00:15:52.020 he's going to take

00:15:52.660 because he's just

00:15:53.660 following

00:15:54.100 what common sense

00:15:56.180 and data

00:15:56.740 should be

00:15:58.040 leading you,

00:15:59.260 where it should

00:15:59.760 be leading you.

00:16:00.320 But this is

00:16:01.780 the sort of

00:16:02.280 story

00:16:02.680 that

00:16:05.500 confirms

00:16:06.940 everything you

00:16:07.920 thought

00:16:08.400 about

00:16:09.700 the public

00:16:10.960 being

00:16:11.460 manipulated

00:16:12.480 and that

00:16:13.940 your news

00:16:14.420 is nothing

00:16:14.860 but propaganda

00:16:15.740 because

00:16:17.240 there is

00:16:18.040 no chance,

00:16:18.800 as Matt Taibbi

00:16:19.800 points out,

00:16:20.380 there's no chance

00:16:21.080 this wouldn't be

00:16:21.660 the biggest story

00:16:22.420 in the world

00:16:22.960 if Don Jr.

00:16:25.200 were doing

00:16:25.600 exactly what

00:16:26.400 Hunter Biden

00:16:26.900 were doing.

00:16:27.600 Does anybody

00:16:28.240 doubt that

00:16:28.940 that statement

00:16:30.280 is there

00:16:31.500 the slightest

00:16:32.120 chance

00:16:32.740 that if Don Jr.

00:16:34.460 were doing

00:16:34.780 this painting

00:16:35.960 situation

00:16:36.780 that it

00:16:38.240 that it

00:16:39.320 wouldn't be

00:16:39.660 gigantic?

00:16:41.360 And by the way,

00:16:43.660 if

00:16:44.020 if Don Jr.

00:16:48.120 decided to make

00:16:48.920 some really bad

00:16:49.760 paintings,

00:16:51.120 like paintings

00:16:52.040 that look like

00:16:52.620 a monkey did it, 1.00

00:16:53.660 you know,

00:16:53.920 a drunken monkey,

00:16:55.000 and then put them

00:16:55.920 up for sale

00:16:56.600 for half a million

00:16:57.920 dollars a piece,

00:16:58.940 and also

00:17:00.180 say that he

00:17:01.520 won't tell

00:17:01.920 the public

00:17:02.340 who bought

00:17:02.800 them?

00:17:06.300 Wouldn't that

00:17:06.900 be funny?

00:17:08.020 Now,

00:17:08.480 I assume

00:17:09.180 that Don Jr.

00:17:10.020 doesn't have

00:17:10.500 any artistic

00:17:11.320 ambitions,

00:17:12.600 but that's

00:17:13.140 what would

00:17:13.460 make it funny,

00:17:14.740 that he would

00:17:15.160 actually do

00:17:15.640 some paintings,

00:17:16.300 like literally,

00:17:17.180 you know,

00:17:17.440 take the brush

00:17:18.160 and the actual

00:17:18.740 painting,

00:17:19.700 and actually

00:17:20.120 make a painting,

00:17:21.340 but it would

00:17:21.960 look like hell,

00:17:23.240 because he's

00:17:24.020 not an artist.

00:17:24.740 I'm just guessing

00:17:25.400 he's not an artist.

00:17:26.280 Maybe he is,

00:17:26.780 who knows?

00:17:27.600 Maybe he has

00:17:28.180 that talent,

00:17:29.140 but let's say

00:17:29.800 he doesn't,

00:17:30.300 because it's

00:17:30.640 funnier,

00:17:31.520 and just do

00:17:32.040 a total mess

00:17:34.540 of a painting,

00:17:35.860 and just put

00:17:36.520 it up for sale

00:17:37.060 for half a million

00:17:37.800 dollars,

00:17:38.980 and say that

00:17:40.320 he won't reveal

00:17:41.000 who the buyer

00:17:41.500 is,

00:17:42.400 and just see

00:17:44.080 what happens,

00:17:45.260 just for fun,

00:17:46.980 right?

00:17:47.600 Now,

00:17:48.040 of course,

00:17:48.300 it doesn't mean

00:17:48.840 as much because

00:17:49.740 his father's

00:17:52.260 not in power

00:17:52.800 at the moment,

00:17:53.920 but he might

00:17:55.380 be,

00:17:56.460 right?

00:17:57.800 His father

00:17:58.500 has a lot

00:17:59.020 of power,

00:17:59.720 even if it's

00:18:01.100 persuasion,

00:18:02.420 so that would

00:18:03.540 be fun.

00:18:05.500 All right,

00:18:05.940 how many of you

00:18:07.460 watched Trump's

00:18:08.580 speech,

00:18:09.600 or saw any

00:18:10.800 clips at CPAC?

00:18:13.540 Did you have

00:18:14.340 the same impression

00:18:15.500 I did,

00:18:16.920 which,

00:18:17.540 the moment you

00:18:18.180 turned on Trump,

00:18:19.120 you were

00:18:21.580 interested again?

00:18:24.220 That guy

00:18:25.100 is so

00:18:26.240 freaking good

00:18:28.460 at making you

00:18:30.360 interested in

00:18:31.180 what he's saying,

00:18:32.280 it's just crazy,

00:18:33.880 and you can get

00:18:34.740 a little bit used

00:18:35.440 to it when he's

00:18:36.080 in power,

00:18:36.660 and you're seeing

00:18:37.080 him all the time.

00:18:38.340 You know,

00:18:38.600 you become accustomed

00:18:39.900 to how good he is

00:18:41.100 at what I call

00:18:42.540 the show,

00:18:43.620 you know,

00:18:43.920 the part where

00:18:44.680 you make everybody

00:18:45.620 pay attention to you.

00:18:47.240 He is crazy good,

00:18:49.120 and you forget,

00:18:51.360 because he was

00:18:52.260 out of the limelight

00:18:53.080 for a little bit,

00:18:54.120 but as soon as

00:18:55.020 you see him again,

00:18:55.880 wow,

00:18:56.640 and there's nobody

00:18:57.880 in the public realm

00:18:58.900 who's even close,

00:19:00.220 wouldn't you say?

00:19:01.600 In terms of being

00:19:02.640 able to hold

00:19:03.200 the attention

00:19:03.720 of an audience,

00:19:05.220 being provocative,

00:19:06.840 being memorable,

00:19:07.980 being quotable,

00:19:09.500 you know,

00:19:09.700 people want to

00:19:10.320 pass the clips around,

00:19:12.400 who would be,

00:19:13.720 name the second

00:19:14.660 best person

00:19:15.340 in the world,

00:19:16.700 or let's say

00:19:17.320 just United States

00:19:18.340 politics,

00:19:19.120 so limit it

00:19:20.000 to United States

00:19:20.700 politics.

00:19:21.820 Name the second

00:19:22.620 best person

00:19:23.540 who is a politician.

00:19:26.640 Yeah,

00:19:26.880 I'm seeing you

00:19:27.440 talk about media

00:19:28.180 people,

00:19:28.760 Candace Owens,

00:19:29.680 et cetera,

00:19:30.720 but name a politician

00:19:33.060 who can even

00:19:33.760 come close to that.

00:19:35.940 DeSantis,

00:19:36.660 now,

00:19:37.580 DeSantis is really

00:19:38.760 competent,

00:19:41.000 and a president,

00:19:42.260 DeSantis,

00:19:42.840 is not a bad idea

00:19:43.800 at all,

00:19:44.180 but he's closer

00:19:46.680 to Biden

00:19:47.200 in terms of his

00:19:48.140 holding your

00:19:49.740 attention.

00:19:50.920 Rand Paul

00:19:51.560 is good,

00:19:52.640 but no,

00:19:53.120 he's not in

00:19:53.700 Trump's category.

00:19:56.480 Trey Gowdy

00:19:57.340 is great,

00:19:58.600 but he's not

00:19:59.980 really running

00:20:00.520 for anything.

00:20:02.260 Senator Kennedy,

00:20:03.200 he is really

00:20:04.140 fun to watch,

00:20:04.920 that's true,

00:20:05.380 he's very

00:20:06.700 quotable,

00:20:08.060 but not going

00:20:09.060 to run for

00:20:09.420 president.

00:20:09.780 Matt Gaetz,

00:20:11.280 somebody's saying.

00:20:13.140 Matt Gaetz

00:20:13.860 definitely has

00:20:16.860 a lot of

00:20:17.260 those talents.

00:20:18.560 Yeah,

00:20:18.900 he's not

00:20:19.440 Trump level,

00:20:22.020 but that's

00:20:23.060 about as close

00:20:24.680 as you can get,

00:20:25.380 I guess.

00:20:25.800 Maxine Waters,

00:20:28.160 yeah,

00:20:28.540 that's not a bad,

00:20:30.880 yeah,

00:20:31.140 maybe AOC,

00:20:32.220 I don't know,

00:20:34.560 but we miss him

00:20:35.500 in terms of

00:20:36.780 the excitement

00:20:37.560 he brings.

00:20:38.860 There's an article

00:20:39.620 in the New York

00:20:40.100 Times by Michael

00:20:40.980 Scheer talking

00:20:41.580 about how

00:20:42.300 boring Biden

00:20:43.820 is,

00:20:44.260 and he even

00:20:44.640 admits he's

00:20:45.200 boring,

00:20:45.940 and even the

00:20:48.140 New York Times

00:20:48.740 I think is

00:20:49.380 going to start

00:20:49.840 to miss the

00:20:51.160 excitement a

00:20:52.040 little bit,

00:20:52.520 I think they

00:20:52.980 already are,

00:20:54.280 and I wanted

00:20:55.540 to point out

00:20:56.080 the one thing

00:20:56.720 that Biden

00:20:57.580 did well,

00:20:59.060 or almost

00:21:00.420 well,

00:21:01.520 because,

00:21:02.620 you know,

00:21:03.000 when I talked

00:21:03.680 about Trump,

00:21:04.320 I like to talk

00:21:04.900 about his

00:21:05.360 persuasion ability

00:21:06.520 separate from

00:21:07.280 whether his

00:21:07.860 policies were

00:21:08.680 ones you

00:21:09.240 like.

00:21:10.220 I'm going

00:21:10.600 to do the

00:21:10.940 same thing

00:21:11.400 with Biden.

00:21:12.660 Independent

00:21:13.020 of his

00:21:13.700 policies or

00:21:14.540 his competence

00:21:15.160 or whether

00:21:16.100 you want

00:21:16.500 him to be

00:21:16.900 president,

00:21:18.260 everybody made

00:21:19.200 fun of when

00:21:19.860 he went down

00:21:20.340 to the

00:21:20.640 whisper.

00:21:22.000 Remember

00:21:22.440 when he

00:21:22.800 was giving

00:21:23.160 the speech?

00:21:24.340 And when

00:21:24.580 it came

00:21:24.900 to an

00:21:25.180 important

00:21:25.480 part,

00:21:26.300 he whispered.

00:21:27.780 And everybody's

00:21:28.580 attention went

00:21:29.180 to the whisper,

00:21:29.940 and then people

00:21:30.380 said, oh,

00:21:30.900 that's kind

00:21:31.320 of creepy

00:21:31.760 and weird,

00:21:32.540 and it

00:21:33.200 became the

00:21:33.680 clip everybody

00:21:34.340 played,

00:21:34.840 right?

00:21:35.020 But from

00:21:36.820 a persuasion

00:21:37.980 point of

00:21:38.580 view,

00:21:39.820 it was

00:21:40.200 really good.

00:21:41.380 The problem

00:21:41.860 was I don't

00:21:42.620 think he

00:21:42.960 picked a

00:21:43.360 topic to

00:21:43.920 whisper about

00:21:44.680 that was

00:21:45.140 of much

00:21:45.520 interest.

00:21:46.700 If he had

00:21:47.460 used that

00:21:47.960 whisper on

00:21:48.560 something that

00:21:49.020 actually did

00:21:49.660 matter,

00:21:50.620 you know,

00:21:50.840 and really

00:21:51.420 could become

00:21:51.920 the clip

00:21:52.400 that everybody

00:21:52.900 listened to,

00:21:53.680 and he

00:21:54.360 didn't whisper

00:21:54.960 too long,

00:21:56.380 because I

00:21:56.720 think he

00:21:57.000 made that

00:21:57.360 mistake too.

00:21:58.540 But in

00:21:58.940 terms of

00:21:59.720 voice modulation,

00:22:01.120 I've got

00:22:02.500 a micro

00:22:03.720 lesson I

00:22:04.180 just put on

00:22:04.700 the locals

00:22:05.320 platform about

00:22:07.540 how to vary

00:22:08.480 your voice much

00:22:10.800 like Biden

00:22:11.280 did, and to

00:22:12.340 do it for

00:22:13.100 good effect

00:22:13.900 persuasion-wise.

00:22:15.780 Hey, here's

00:22:16.180 a cool thing

00:22:18.180 about the

00:22:18.620 future and

00:22:19.380 the golden

00:22:19.800 age, which

00:22:20.600 I think is

00:22:21.080 here.

00:22:24.360 Mashable,

00:22:24.980 which is a

00:22:25.400 good follow,

00:22:25.980 you should

00:22:26.260 follow Mashable

00:22:27.060 on Twitter.

00:22:28.840 They talk

00:22:29.460 about there's

00:22:30.280 water taxis,

00:22:32.380 there's a

00:22:32.700 company going

00:22:33.240 to do a

00:22:34.120 bunch of

00:22:34.520 water taxis

00:22:35.360 that will

00:22:35.680 operate like

00:22:36.420 Uber, but

00:22:37.960 on the

00:22:38.280 water.

00:22:39.200 So if you

00:22:39.660 live in a

00:22:40.200 coastal town,

00:22:41.400 there are

00:22:41.660 about 50

00:22:42.320 cities they

00:22:42.940 have targeted,

00:22:43.900 you'll be

00:22:44.280 able to use

00:22:44.660 your app and

00:22:45.560 call this

00:22:45.980 little electric

00:22:47.060 hydrofoil that

00:22:49.020 looks like a

00:22:49.500 little car on

00:22:50.200 the water, but

00:22:50.960 it's a hydrofoil,

00:22:52.300 meaning it lifts

00:22:53.060 up when it's

00:22:53.620 going so that

00:22:54.360 the only thing

00:22:54.840 in the water

00:22:55.320 is a smaller

00:22:56.720 foil, so it

00:22:57.980 has minimum

00:22:58.600 drag, and 0.99

00:23:02.360 it's already

00:23:03.060 being tested

00:23:05.240 and it's

00:23:05.760 being rolled

00:23:06.220 out, and

00:23:07.600 this is the

00:23:09.020 perfect place

00:23:10.040 for self-driving

00:23:10.800 cars, because

00:23:13.660 the water is

00:23:14.720 going to be a

00:23:15.200 lot easier to

00:23:16.280 have rules and

00:23:18.100 watch out for

00:23:18.800 traffic and

00:23:19.440 stuff, I

00:23:19.980 think.

00:23:20.720 Maybe it's

00:23:21.220 harder, but

00:23:22.060 it seems like

00:23:22.580 it would be

00:23:23.200 easier than

00:23:23.740 getting self-driving

00:23:24.580 cars on the

00:23:25.500 roads.

00:23:25.900 So, this

00:23:27.100 is a cool

00:23:27.480 thing to

00:23:27.800 watch for,

00:23:28.260 the water

00:23:28.660 taxis, a

00:23:29.820 real thing.

00:23:31.080 Meanwhile, over

00:23:32.480 in Tibet, they

00:23:33.660 just opened up a

00:23:34.640 new bullet train,

00:23:36.680 and I guess it's

00:23:38.120 from the town or

00:23:39.220 region of F-U-X-I-N-G,

00:23:45.300 Fuxing?

00:23:47.300 I think that's

00:23:48.260 how you pronounce

00:23:48.820 it.

00:23:49.060 So, it's called

00:23:49.500 the Fuxing 0.91

00:23:51.240 bullet train.

00:23:53.080 Now, I saw

00:23:54.360 some video of

00:23:55.040 the Fuxing 0.91

00:23:55.520 train, and

00:23:57.020 I'll tell you,

00:23:57.520 that's one

00:23:58.280 beautiful Fuxing 0.94

00:23:59.320 train.

00:24:02.260 Oh, you

00:24:02.940 think it's

00:24:03.340 pronounced Fuxing?

00:24:04.720 Well, that's

00:24:05.540 not funny.

00:24:07.420 I know you

00:24:08.280 think it's

00:24:08.680 pronounced Fuxing,

00:24:10.080 but how funny

00:24:10.840 would that be?

00:24:12.920 I guess this

00:24:13.820 joke works

00:24:14.340 better in

00:24:14.820 writing.

00:24:16.300 Well, that's

00:24:16.780 the Fuxing 0.91

00:24:17.460 bullet train

00:24:18.320 part of my

00:24:20.700 presentation.

00:24:21.860 Did you all

00:24:22.420 see Richard

00:24:23.140 Branson in

00:24:23.800 space?

00:24:25.040 I started

00:24:26.320 to complain

00:24:27.000 about him

00:24:27.600 because once

00:24:29.180 he was up

00:24:29.640 there, it

00:24:29.900 was pretty

00:24:30.220 inspiring,

00:24:30.940 actually, and

00:24:31.660 it was a lot

00:24:32.240 of fun, and

00:24:32.920 you know, Branson

00:24:33.460 always brings

00:24:34.040 the show, too.

00:24:35.880 He's a ballsy

00:24:37.380 entrepreneur.

00:24:38.720 He had an

00:24:40.720 aim of being

00:24:41.440 the first one

00:24:42.100 up there of

00:24:42.700 the billionaires.

00:24:43.880 He got it

00:24:44.620 done.

00:24:45.640 His technology

00:24:46.500 worked.

00:24:48.620 Congratulations,

00:24:49.680 Richard Branson.

00:24:50.280 So, again,

00:24:52.480 Branson is one

00:24:53.220 of the just

00:24:55.020 greatest assets

00:24:56.080 on the planet,

00:24:57.140 really.

00:24:58.260 Likewise, Bezos

00:24:59.400 and Elon Musk

00:25:00.780 and the rest

00:25:01.980 of them.

00:25:02.940 But he did

00:25:05.140 a little message

00:25:06.120 from space

00:25:06.860 once he was

00:25:07.460 up there,

00:25:08.060 and they were

00:25:09.340 all running

00:25:11.140 around inside

00:25:12.420 the aircraft

00:25:13.640 wait list,

00:25:15.020 which looked

00:25:15.560 pretty fun.

00:25:16.600 But he

00:25:17.560 started out

00:25:18.100 by saying

00:25:18.600 that when

00:25:19.020 he was a

00:25:19.360 little kid,

00:25:20.340 he had a

00:25:20.900 dream to

00:25:22.240 go to space,

00:25:23.160 and then here

00:25:23.980 he was, he

00:25:24.500 made it.

00:25:25.320 And I

00:25:25.600 thought to

00:25:25.900 myself, I

00:25:27.820 feel like that

00:25:28.420 was a rare

00:25:29.200 mistake from

00:25:31.320 Branson.

00:25:32.600 Now, I did

00:25:33.740 enjoy his

00:25:35.500 adventurous

00:25:37.000 nature.

00:25:38.820 I do enjoy

00:25:39.620 that he loved

00:25:40.160 it, and I

00:25:41.280 could feel his

00:25:43.280 enjoyment, and I

00:25:44.140 could feel his

00:25:44.720 success and

00:25:45.280 everything.

00:25:45.520 But here's

00:25:46.580 the thing.

00:25:48.360 Space isn't

00:25:49.280 about the

00:25:49.740 billionaires,

00:25:51.440 right?

00:25:52.600 I mean, they're

00:25:53.360 fun to talk

00:25:53.940 about, and

00:25:54.520 they're the

00:25:54.840 ones making

00:25:55.320 it happen, so

00:25:56.060 you've got to

00:25:56.360 give them tons

00:25:57.000 of credit.

00:25:58.260 But it's

00:25:59.660 space.

00:26:01.360 Space is

00:26:01.980 sort of for

00:26:02.400 everybody,

00:26:03.180 right?

00:26:03.800 And this

00:26:04.620 accomplishment,

00:26:05.560 although is

00:26:06.180 tremendous, I

00:26:07.600 don't feel like

00:26:08.460 the right

00:26:09.580 branding or

00:26:11.660 persuasion is

00:26:13.220 for Branson to

00:26:14.600 tell us about

00:26:15.340 his personal

00:26:16.700 dreams since

00:26:17.780 he was a

00:26:18.160 kid.

00:26:18.680 It's a good

00:26:19.140 story, and I

00:26:19.860 like knowing

00:26:20.320 it.

00:26:21.360 But I feel

00:26:21.820 like it should

00:26:23.300 have been

00:26:23.560 closer to

00:26:24.460 one small

00:26:26.020 step for

00:26:26.580 man, one

00:26:27.880 giant leap

00:26:28.580 for mankind.

00:26:30.480 There's some

00:26:30.980 acknowledgement

00:26:31.680 that Branson's

00:26:34.060 accomplishment,

00:26:34.920 which is

00:26:35.180 tremendous, and

00:26:36.680 Branson gets

00:26:37.400 the credit,

00:26:39.360 right?

00:26:39.880 You can't take

00:26:40.380 anything away

00:26:40.960 from what he

00:26:41.860 did.

00:26:42.060 It's an

00:26:42.400 amazing

00:26:42.700 accomplishment.

00:26:44.540 But it was

00:26:45.280 sort of for

00:26:46.020 everybody.

00:26:47.620 And at least

00:26:48.280 that's the way I

00:26:48.800 feel about it.

00:26:49.780 Because the

00:26:50.420 billionaires only

00:26:51.340 exist because we

00:26:52.800 let them, right?

00:26:55.260 Now, they made

00:26:56.040 their money.

00:26:56.980 They forced the 0.79

00:26:59.360 universe to cough

00:27:00.960 up a bunch of

00:27:01.580 money for them, so

00:27:02.380 they get all the

00:27:02.940 credit for that.

00:27:04.000 But they only get

00:27:05.080 to do it because we

00:27:06.040 let them, honestly.

00:27:08.200 I mean, it's not

00:27:08.960 like we took a vote.

00:27:09.880 But if society

00:27:11.200 just said, we

00:27:11.880 don't like

00:27:12.260 billionaires anymore,

00:27:13.300 they just can't

00:27:14.160 exist, well, they

00:27:15.060 wouldn't.

00:27:16.020 And they wouldn't

00:27:16.480 be able to do

00:27:17.040 cool stuff like

00:27:17.840 this that should

00:27:18.720 benefit everybody.

00:27:20.240 So I guess I

00:27:20.940 would just say to

00:27:21.740 the other

00:27:22.480 billionaires, and

00:27:24.260 I think Elon

00:27:25.760 Musk gets this

00:27:26.800 right, by the

00:27:27.520 way.

00:27:28.400 When Musk talks

00:27:29.680 about going to

00:27:30.800 Mars and stuff, he

00:27:32.060 doesn't say, I

00:27:33.740 have a dream,

00:27:35.080 although I'm sure

00:27:35.740 he said that as

00:27:36.540 well.

00:27:37.300 But he tends to

00:27:38.120 talk more about

00:27:39.040 how humanity

00:27:40.740 has to go to

00:27:41.460 Mars.

00:27:43.000 And he says

00:27:44.340 we, yeah.

00:27:45.300 I think Elon

00:27:46.240 Musk gets this

00:27:46.920 right, that it's

00:27:47.860 not about him,

00:27:48.740 even though it is

00:27:49.420 about him, right?

00:27:50.460 He knows to make

00:27:51.580 it about humanity.

00:27:53.620 And I guess

00:27:54.360 Branson, I feel

00:27:56.060 like Branson just

00:27:56.860 slightly missed his

00:27:58.780 usual impeccable

00:28:00.340 persuasion and

00:28:01.680 branding, which are

00:28:03.080 among the best

00:28:04.520 there's ever been,

00:28:05.260 I would say.

00:28:07.120 Just a very

00:28:07.940 small, small

00:28:08.920 quibble on a

00:28:11.540 great accomplishment.

00:28:13.260 So congratulations.

00:28:16.380 Here's a little

00:28:17.140 update, just to

00:28:18.140 make you angry,

00:28:19.200 because I know

00:28:19.700 it does.

00:28:21.440 You've heard of

00:28:22.240 Nature, the

00:28:22.920 publication?

00:28:24.400 So Nature is

00:28:25.560 one of, if not

00:28:26.800 the most respected

00:28:27.980 scientific journals

00:28:29.200 on the planet.

00:28:31.620 Does everybody

00:28:32.460 agree with that

00:28:33.300 statement, first of

00:28:34.260 all, that the

00:28:34.860 publication Nature

00:28:36.100 is sort of at the

00:28:38.160 top tier of

00:28:39.880 respectable

00:28:40.460 publications?

00:28:41.980 I'm seeing in the

00:28:42.920 comments a bunch of

00:28:43.860 people saying no.

00:28:45.860 So let's do a fact

00:28:47.000 check on that.

00:28:48.620 A lot of people

00:28:49.100 say no.

00:28:50.040 Now, I'm, I think

00:28:52.100 there are two ways

00:28:52.900 to answer this

00:28:53.600 question.

00:28:54.720 There's the

00:28:55.300 historical truth,

00:28:56.480 which would be

00:28:57.100 yes, and then

00:28:59.040 there's maybe,

00:28:59.740 there's a cynical

00:29:00.580 current truth that

00:29:02.620 you can't trust

00:29:03.260 anything.

00:29:04.420 You can't trust

00:29:05.420 anything in a

00:29:05.940 publication.

00:29:06.860 It doesn't matter

00:29:07.580 how respectable

00:29:08.800 they are.

00:29:09.440 You just can't

00:29:09.920 trust them.

00:29:10.780 So let's hold

00:29:11.640 both of those

00:29:12.340 views, all right?

00:29:13.660 Just hold both of

00:29:14.420 those views for a

00:29:15.120 moment.

00:29:15.980 But I would say

00:29:17.480 that whether you

00:29:18.240 trust them or not,

00:29:19.160 they do, they do

00:29:20.400 represent some of

00:29:23.040 the finest in

00:29:24.640 science, right?

00:29:25.720 Publication-wise.

00:29:26.760 Whether it's good

00:29:27.800 or not, it's some

00:29:28.500 of the finest.

00:29:30.180 And they're

00:29:31.840 finding on, don't

00:29:33.940 turn this off yet,

00:29:35.880 don't stop this

00:29:36.700 live stream, their

00:29:38.440 finding is that

00:29:39.380 science and the

00:29:40.320 consensus is clearly

00:29:42.220 that masks work.

00:29:44.760 I'm only putting

00:29:45.800 this out there

00:29:46.620 because a lot of

00:29:47.360 you who say masks

00:29:48.260 don't work will

00:29:49.860 say it's because

00:29:50.720 I've looked at all

00:29:51.440 the evidence.

00:29:52.880 Well, here's

00:29:53.400 Nature in an

00:29:55.180 article that says

00:29:56.140 we looked at all

00:29:56.940 the evidence and

00:29:58.480 it looks like

00:29:59.040 scientists say it

00:29:59.900 works, that masks

00:30:01.000 work.

00:30:01.340 On top of that,

00:30:02.680 they talk about a

00:30:03.400 test they did with

00:30:04.180 some animals.

00:30:05.600 So unlike testing

00:30:06.700 with humans, you

00:30:07.920 can, you know, you

00:30:09.460 could argue how

00:30:10.180 ethical it is, but

00:30:11.700 it's legal to test

00:30:13.300 with animals and

00:30:14.380 they just put

00:30:14.900 animals between a

00:30:17.040 barrier that was

00:30:19.300 the same material as

00:30:20.320 the masks.

00:30:21.620 And they had some

00:30:22.140 infected, I don't

00:30:23.220 know if they were

00:30:23.580 hamsters or whatever

00:30:24.440 the hell they were,

00:30:25.540 and they were on

00:30:26.380 one side.

00:30:27.180 And then on the

00:30:27.660 other side, in

00:30:28.400 close proximity,

00:30:29.460 separated by mask

00:30:31.800 material, they would

00:30:33.800 just see if the

00:30:34.560 other one would get 0.95

00:30:35.360 the COVID, because

00:30:37.440 animals can get

00:30:38.260 COVID.

00:30:39.300 And what they found

00:30:40.080 was that when there

00:30:41.200 was a mask barrier

00:30:42.440 there, the rate of

00:30:44.100 infections went way

00:30:45.080 down.

00:30:45.400 So those of you who

00:30:50.080 said, hey, this mask

00:30:52.040 material, and I think

00:30:53.300 they were using even

00:30:54.040 standard masks, not

00:30:55.200 just N95s. 0.75

00:30:56.740 So those of you who

00:30:58.160 say, hey, the virus is

00:31:00.960 smaller than the mask,

00:31:02.680 so therefore the virus

00:31:04.280 will pass through that

00:31:05.200 material just like it

00:31:06.300 isn't even there.

00:31:07.700 That is disproved.

00:31:09.980 I would say that's

00:31:11.140 disproved.

00:31:11.900 So if your argument

00:31:14.060 was the virus is

00:31:15.920 small, and if you

00:31:17.420 put a barrier there,

00:31:18.860 it'll act like it's

00:31:19.820 not even there, it'll

00:31:20.680 just go right through

00:31:21.380 it, the animal study

00:31:23.260 pretty much proved

00:31:24.960 that's not the case.

00:31:26.620 Now, that's not the

00:31:27.720 whole argument.

00:31:28.900 Some of the argument

00:31:29.600 is that so much air is

00:31:31.700 getting out from around

00:31:32.820 the edges that, you

00:31:35.300 know, you're not making

00:31:36.220 much difference.

00:31:37.580 But I don't think

00:31:39.040 anybody doubts that a

00:31:40.560 lot of the air is going

00:31:42.180 into the mask, and

00:31:43.200 presumably the air that

00:31:45.100 does go through the

00:31:45.800 mask has some kind of

00:31:47.100 a filtering effect,

00:31:48.820 because it worked with

00:31:49.580 the animals.

00:31:50.560 Now, again, can we

00:31:53.520 all be deeply

00:31:54.240 skeptical here?

00:31:55.980 Let's be deeply

00:31:56.920 skeptical.

00:31:58.480 Does it tell you

00:31:59.460 anything that there's

00:32:00.320 an animal study on

00:32:01.360 masks?

00:32:02.680 Is that conclusive?

00:32:04.480 No.

00:32:05.720 No.

00:32:06.580 It's not even close.

00:32:08.160 So none of this is

00:32:09.160 conclusive.

00:32:09.620 The fact that it's in

00:32:10.880 a most respected

00:32:12.420 publication doesn't

00:32:14.040 mean you should trust

00:32:14.860 it.

00:32:16.400 I think we're all on

00:32:17.260 the same page there.

00:32:18.280 It doesn't automatically

00:32:19.320 mean you should trust

00:32:20.220 it.

00:32:22.640 But if you'd like to

00:32:24.480 know what science

00:32:25.720 thinks collectively as

00:32:27.240 a consensus, this is

00:32:28.640 a pretty good place to

00:32:29.420 find out.

00:32:30.740 And I think it's

00:32:31.860 telling you that masks

00:32:32.760 work.

00:32:33.580 Now, do you believe

00:32:34.320 that?

00:32:35.540 Stay skeptical.

00:32:37.080 I'm just reporting

00:32:37.880 what the newest is.

00:32:38.740 Likewise,

00:32:40.240 ivermectin.

00:32:41.120 You know the story

00:32:41.720 on ivermectin,

00:32:43.540 which, oh, I can't

00:32:45.220 even say this on

00:32:45.960 YouTube, can I?

00:32:49.800 I just realized I'm

00:32:52.280 not talking only to

00:32:53.380 the locals, people,

00:32:54.660 where I can say

00:32:55.160 anything I want about

00:32:56.080 this topic.

00:32:57.700 So I have to modify

00:32:59.380 my presentation to

00:33:00.820 not be booted off.

00:33:02.140 Oh, actually, I'm in

00:33:04.620 good shape, because

00:33:05.820 what I'm going to say

00:33:06.560 is that there's a

00:33:07.340 study that says

00:33:08.000 ivermectin doesn't

00:33:08.960 work.

00:33:10.980 Now, if there's one

00:33:12.740 study, let's say

00:33:14.440 there's one new

00:33:15.180 study, because there

00:33:15.940 are lots of studies

00:33:16.700 already, but if there's

00:33:18.020 one new study that

00:33:19.940 says ivermectin

00:33:20.880 doesn't work, how

00:33:22.840 much credibility

00:33:23.760 should you put in

00:33:24.640 that?

00:33:26.160 None.

00:33:26.580 Right?

00:33:27.960 Basically zero.

00:33:29.680 So I think everybody

00:33:30.920 who's smart realizes

00:33:31.920 you're going to have

00:33:32.500 to look at all the

00:33:33.240 studies to figure out

00:33:34.680 if there's anything

00:33:35.360 there.

00:33:36.120 So one study really

00:33:37.360 doesn't tell you

00:33:38.140 really anything.

00:33:40.160 But remember that

00:33:42.340 the argument in

00:33:44.080 favor of ivermectin

00:33:45.440 was based on the

00:33:46.880 fact, and correct me

00:33:48.440 if I'm wrong, and

00:33:49.900 I think a lot of

00:33:52.980 people will do that,

00:33:53.780 but the argument

00:33:56.320 is that the people

00:33:58.000 who think that it

00:33:59.160 works are saying

00:34:00.740 that the signal and

00:34:01.980 the evidence is so

00:34:03.360 strong that you can

00:34:05.280 see it in almost any

00:34:06.420 kind of test.

00:34:09.080 So you don't need

00:34:10.220 the best kind of test

00:34:12.300 in the world, so say

00:34:14.860 the proponents,

00:34:16.240 because almost any

00:34:17.280 kind of test shows it

00:34:18.260 works.

00:34:19.360 You could do almost

00:34:20.140 anything, and it's

00:34:21.780 just such a strong

00:34:22.640 effect.

00:34:23.780 There it is.

00:34:24.900 Well, if you believe

00:34:25.840 that was the case,

00:34:28.460 we know, thanks to

00:34:29.800 Anatoly Lubarsky, who

00:34:31.120 found this and

00:34:32.020 tweeted it, we know

00:34:33.520 that there is one new

00:34:34.560 study, the newest one,

00:34:36.900 that says it doesn't

00:34:37.900 work.

00:34:38.820 Now, did they use the

00:34:40.380 right protocol?

00:34:42.120 Did they have the

00:34:43.760 right amount of

00:34:44.540 ivermectin that would

00:34:46.160 be the right amount

00:34:46.860 to test?

00:34:47.800 Did they test it in

00:34:48.960 the right people in

00:34:50.040 the right timing of

00:34:51.360 when they had

00:34:51.800 symptoms?

00:34:52.180 I don't know.

00:34:54.200 Probably there's some

00:34:55.020 problems with it, like

00:34:55.980 every other study.

00:34:57.520 So how much should you

00:34:58.980 take away from the

00:34:59.760 fact that there's one

00:35:00.640 study that says it

00:35:01.660 doesn't work?

00:35:03.460 Nothing.

00:35:04.900 Nothing.

00:35:05.840 Unfortunately, we live

00:35:06.800 in a world where it

00:35:07.480 doesn't mean anything.

00:35:09.320 It's still going to be

00:35:10.580 persuasive to some of

00:35:11.960 us, because you can't

00:35:13.300 not hear it.

00:35:15.020 You know, everything

00:35:15.640 becomes part of your

00:35:16.660 thinking.

00:35:17.000 But rationally, you

00:35:18.940 shouldn't pay attention

00:35:19.840 to it.

00:35:21.260 All right.

00:35:23.280 Remember when I

00:35:24.360 famously predicted and

00:35:26.040 was mocked by all of

00:35:27.440 the media, both a year

00:35:28.680 ago and more recently,

00:35:29.920 because the year had

00:35:30.600 passed, and I said

00:35:32.140 that if Biden got

00:35:33.700 elected, that Republicans

00:35:35.360 would be hunted.

00:35:37.760 Well, did the

00:35:40.800 simulation serve up a

00:35:44.200 son of the president

00:35:45.980 whose name was

00:35:46.780 Hunter?

00:35:48.000 So first of all,

00:35:48.980 that's weird that the

00:35:50.820 president's son is

00:35:51.800 literally named Hunter.

00:35:54.200 But that's coincidence.

00:35:57.260 However, what do we

00:35:58.820 know about the January

00:35:59.940 6th protesters who are

00:36:03.340 still in jail?

00:36:04.900 How much transparency do

00:36:06.740 we have on that?

00:36:07.980 And could it be said

00:36:09.120 that those Republicans

00:36:11.380 were hunted and

00:36:13.520 jailed?

00:36:15.980 And I feel like that's

00:36:17.620 exactly what happened.

00:36:19.480 Now, of course, we know

00:36:20.680 that some number of them

00:36:21.820 did bad things, and the

00:36:23.860 legal system needs to do

00:36:25.140 what the legal system

00:36:26.020 does.

00:36:27.160 But we also know, and

00:36:29.140 without any doubt

00:36:30.140 whatsoever, that the

00:36:31.520 vast majority of them did

00:36:33.220 not do anything violent.

00:36:37.260 They certainly did

00:36:38.340 something illegal because

00:36:39.660 they were trespassing.

00:36:40.540 But does it seem to you

00:36:44.440 that the Republicans who

00:36:47.020 did not do the violent

00:36:48.500 stuff were hunted and

00:36:50.580 jailed, and that they're

00:36:51.700 still in jail?

00:36:53.080 Because that's what it

00:36:53.940 looks like to me.

00:36:55.480 To me, it looks like

00:36:56.560 exactly my prediction

00:36:58.060 that Republicans were

00:37:00.000 hunted.

00:37:00.700 Now, do you know what the

00:37:01.540 critics say, if I bring

00:37:03.380 this up?

00:37:04.760 They say, but Scott,

00:37:06.880 you're not in jail.

00:37:08.320 Well, you weren't hunted.

00:37:10.440 Well, first of all, I'm

00:37:11.120 not a Republican.

00:37:12.660 But second of all, does

00:37:15.200 that matter?

00:37:16.540 Did somebody think that I

00:37:18.240 meant all of them?

00:37:19.340 Like every single

00:37:20.460 Republican would be 0.86

00:37:21.460 jailed?

00:37:22.360 All 80 million of them,

00:37:24.160 or however many there

00:37:25.000 are?

00:37:25.600 No.

00:37:26.000 I think that a decent

00:37:28.320 respect to reading

00:37:30.060 comprehension would tell

00:37:32.160 you that it just means

00:37:33.500 that it would happen

00:37:34.440 too much.

00:37:35.580 It doesn't mean every

00:37:36.380 single Republican is going

00:37:38.000 to be murdered or

00:37:39.500 jailed or something.

00:37:41.200 And I feel like I can

00:37:43.200 claim victory on that

00:37:45.020 prediction.

00:37:48.260 How many Republicans

00:37:49.340 have hidden their

00:37:50.780 affiliation for career

00:37:53.380 reasons?

00:37:55.500 Right?

00:37:56.400 If people are hiding

00:37:57.660 their Republican values

00:37:59.420 for career reasons,

00:38:00.960 yeah, in the comments

00:38:01.900 people are saying,

00:38:02.720 me, me, me.

00:38:03.740 If you're hiding your

00:38:05.040 affiliation, isn't that

00:38:06.960 because you're afraid

00:38:07.860 of being hunted?

00:38:10.360 Or at least being

00:38:11.420 revealed?

00:38:13.460 Yeah.

00:38:14.420 I don't think I'm too

00:38:15.660 far off on that

00:38:17.380 prediction.

00:38:18.500 Now, there's something

00:38:20.460 that I notice in social

00:38:22.020 media and all political

00:38:23.800 commentary that I'm

00:38:25.860 going to give a name.

00:38:26.600 I call it binary theater.

00:38:29.120 Here's what binary theater

00:38:30.800 is.

00:38:31.220 So it's just a name I'm

00:38:32.680 putting on it.

00:38:35.040 Suppose you're talking to

00:38:36.160 somebody about the

00:38:36.960 January 6th event and

00:38:39.160 they call it an

00:38:40.120 insurrection.

00:38:41.500 And they say it's an

00:38:42.300 insurrection because there

00:38:43.540 were violent people there

00:38:44.740 and therefore all the

00:38:46.600 people who are jailed are

00:38:48.420 violent.

00:38:49.740 They're acting as though

00:38:50.880 there's only two

00:38:52.860 possibilities.

00:38:54.400 That everybody there was a

00:38:56.180 violent insurrectionist

00:38:57.440 and then they're going

00:38:58.900 to be talking to

00:38:59.560 somebody who's trying to

00:39:00.620 make the opposite case

00:39:01.680 that there really wasn't

00:39:03.040 violence and that it was

00:39:04.200 just a protest.

00:39:06.060 Now, both people in this

00:39:08.460 kind of a debate would

00:39:10.640 both know they're lying.

00:39:12.440 And they would also know

00:39:13.620 that each other knows the

00:39:15.280 other one is lying.

00:39:16.680 Now, if you're going to lie

00:39:18.140 and act like it's all

00:39:20.140 violent on January 6th or

00:39:22.720 that it's all nonviolent,

00:39:24.340 what is the point of that?

00:39:27.020 It's just theater, right?

00:39:28.500 Because you're not

00:39:28.960 persuading anybody.

00:39:30.260 You're not adding any

00:39:31.140 new information.

00:39:32.700 You're engaging in this

00:39:34.040 weird theater where you

00:39:35.740 both know you're lying

00:39:36.940 about the description of

00:39:38.660 what happened and yet you

00:39:40.780 act like you're not.

00:39:42.920 That's not a debate.

00:39:45.640 What is that?

00:39:46.760 It's just theater, isn't

00:39:47.860 it?

00:39:48.440 Two people lying while the

00:39:49.940 other one knows they're

00:39:51.100 lying.

00:39:52.340 That's like a stage

00:39:53.460 production.

00:39:54.340 And you see it and you

00:39:56.480 go, what happened to us?

00:39:58.920 What happened to humans

00:40:01.120 that they act like things

00:40:04.340 that are clearly not

00:40:05.240 binary, are binary, just

00:40:07.420 so they could have this

00:40:08.300 weird theatrical

00:40:10.120 disagreement over something

00:40:13.860 that nobody disagrees over?

00:40:17.240 Yes, it's a pro-wrestling

00:40:19.660 model taken to politics.

00:40:23.360 Maybe Trump has something to

00:40:24.980 do with that because he did

00:40:26.920 take the wrestling model to

00:40:29.200 politics.

00:40:33.620 Well, I hope there's nobody in

00:40:35.480 the comments who's arguing it

00:40:36.820 was nonviolent because it looked

00:40:38.440 like somebody was starting to do

00:40:39.900 that.

00:40:40.740 You know, I get that, you know,

00:40:42.460 somebody died of a heart attack,

00:40:44.100 et cetera, but it was a violent

00:40:45.500 situation.

00:40:46.900 I don't think that's

00:40:48.540 something we should debate.

00:40:55.940 It was an incursion,

00:40:57.480 somebody says.

00:40:58.540 No guns, though.

00:41:00.540 Well,

00:41:01.420 that is kind of remarkable.

00:41:05.220 The number of guns there is,

00:41:08.160 the number of guns that weren't

00:41:09.500 there is remarkable.

00:41:10.640 Now, is there any Black Lives 1.00

00:41:15.860 Matter protest being planned?

00:41:18.860 And if not, why not?

00:41:22.280 And are there, have there been

00:41:24.000 no major police shootings of

00:41:27.360 black motorists, people who have

00:41:30.640 been stopped by the police?

00:41:32.720 Have nobody, has nobody died since

00:41:34.980 Biden's been in charge?

00:41:36.020 Or is it just that we don't

00:41:39.460 report it now?

00:41:44.100 The woke have been up for four

00:41:45.960 years.

00:41:46.620 I don't know what that means.

00:41:50.860 All right.

00:41:53.780 It was a protest and a riot.

00:41:56.500 Blah, blah, blah.

00:41:58.060 The CIA told Black Lives Matter to 1.00

00:42:00.380 stand down.

00:42:01.320 Well, I don't know that we could make

00:42:03.240 that assumption.

00:42:03.980 Yeah, it looks like Black Lives 1.00

00:42:06.680 Matter just did what?

00:42:09.540 Got everything they wanted?

00:42:12.300 Do you think they got everything

00:42:13.780 and they're done?

00:42:17.200 An assertive, self-directed tour of

00:42:19.780 the government building.

00:42:21.180 I like that.

00:42:23.400 And how about Antifa?

00:42:25.920 Antifa didn't even have demands

00:42:27.640 that, I mean, other than getting

00:42:29.620 rid of the system itself.

00:42:31.440 Did Antifa just decide there's

00:42:35.060 nothing to protest over?

00:42:37.620 You realize, right, that we can say

00:42:40.920 with a fair degree of certainty at

00:42:43.680 this point that neither Antifa nor

00:42:46.160 BLM were natural protests? 1.00

00:42:51.340 Can we say that at this point with

00:42:53.040 certainty?

00:42:53.760 Or would you still say that's

00:42:55.660 speculative?

00:42:56.020 Because if they were real,

00:42:59.260 nothing changed to satisfy their

00:43:01.620 demands.

00:43:02.960 Nothing changed.

00:43:04.580 So if they were ever real, they

00:43:06.540 should be, you know, as big as

00:43:08.500 possible right now.

00:43:09.640 I mean, they should be firing up.

00:43:11.400 Summer should be lit, right?

00:43:13.080 Literally lit.

00:43:15.980 So could we say at this point that

00:43:18.100 the Hunter Biden, the way that that

00:43:20.460 story is being handled, let's say his

00:43:22.720 artwork with the anonymous buyers,

00:43:25.760 that's proof that the intelligence

00:43:28.300 agencies and the government and the

00:43:31.600 media are colluding against the

00:43:33.680 people, isn't it?

00:43:36.140 Can't you say that with certainty,

00:43:37.880 without any extra information, that

00:43:40.260 the way the Hunter story is being

00:43:42.540 treated proves a nexus of the

00:43:46.420 intelligence agencies, the government,

00:43:48.120 government, and the media?

00:43:51.020 Now, likewise, can we say the same

00:43:54.760 thing about the lack of protests from

00:43:56.620 BLM and Antifa?

00:43:58.560 Can we say that the reason they're not

00:44:01.780 happening is that the intelligence

00:44:03.380 agencies decided that they wouldn't,

00:44:06.400 and that the media probably wouldn't

00:44:09.200 have covered it the same way anyway?

00:44:11.640 So it feels like we have confirmation of

00:44:14.600 everything bad we ever imagined with the

00:44:18.060 exception of, you know, any election

00:44:21.160 irregularities.

00:44:23.580 I would say that there's no proof of

00:44:25.800 that.

00:44:27.000 But could there be?

00:44:29.980 Is it possible?

00:44:32.420 I was looking at a letter to the

00:44:34.300 editor that was saying they should

00:44:37.160 take Dilbert out of the newspaper.

00:44:39.840 And the argument was that I am spreading

00:44:43.800 the, quote, big lie, and therefore

00:44:46.380 Dilbert should be taken out of the

00:44:47.700 newspapers.

00:44:48.900 Have you ever seen me spread the big

00:44:50.580 lie?

00:44:53.060 I'll reiterate my position, which is

00:44:55.980 that we don't have evidence, or at least

00:44:59.620 I don't.

00:45:00.400 I don't have any evidence that I would

00:45:02.120 consider conclusive that the election

00:45:04.760 was rigged.

00:45:06.120 So I don't have that evidence.

00:45:07.600 But I have said that you can guarantee that

00:45:11.860 because of the nature of the system, you

00:45:14.300 know, it has vulnerabilities, and the

00:45:17.460 intelligence agencies of all the major

00:45:19.440 countries have a great incentive to either

00:45:22.380 manage their own country's elections or even

00:45:24.700 other countries' elections, that you could

00:45:26.640 say with certainty that the American election

00:45:30.120 process will be corrupted.

00:45:31.740 We just don't know if it's already

00:45:34.040 happened.

00:45:34.960 So it's either in our future, guaranteed, or

00:45:38.440 it already happened.

00:45:39.700 Those are the only two possibilities.

00:45:41.580 If you're saying to yourself, no, I don't think an

00:45:44.540 intelligence agency is going to get control of the

00:45:47.520 elections, I would say, you know they have the

00:45:50.300 tools to do that, right?

00:45:52.160 They have all the tools.

00:45:54.180 They can do that.

00:45:55.980 They would simply have to want to.

00:45:58.780 And do you think that the intelligence agencies are

00:46:01.340 really somebody at the top who makes a directive and

00:46:05.200 writes it down and sends out a memo, and then

00:46:07.920 everybody does, you know, what the memo says?

00:46:11.200 No.

00:46:12.060 I don't think intelligence agencies work that way.

00:46:15.280 There are simply people who know what would be good for

00:46:17.800 the intelligence agencies or their view of what would

00:46:20.500 be good for the world.

00:46:21.280 And they have the tools to make it happen, and they

00:46:25.520 can put pressure on private citizens to do the

00:46:27.980 actual work, so there's no fingerprint from an

00:46:31.620 intelligence agency.

00:46:33.220 So you have to look at the intelligence agencies two

00:46:37.000 ways.

00:46:37.660 One is that something comes from the top, but the

00:46:41.780 other is just a lot of people independently knowing

00:46:44.540 what, in their opinion, would make the world a better

00:46:48.260 place, and maybe they don't want a paper trail.

00:46:50.540 Maybe they just make it happen by influencing private

00:46:54.480 citizens mostly.

00:46:58.900 All right.

00:47:02.700 Michael Harms, you've done 250 push-ups since the start of

00:47:06.680 this podcast.

00:47:08.460 Well, congratulations.

00:47:10.820 I've often said that exercise is literally the best thing you

00:47:14.020 could be doing while listening to this, partly because I do

00:47:16.900 this the same time every day, and it's a guaranteed time, and

00:47:21.840 roughly a guaranteed amount, around 45 minutes or more.

00:47:25.340 It's a perfect workout.

00:47:27.120 It'll keep your mind engaged at the same time as you're working

00:47:33.000 out.

00:47:33.720 All right.

00:47:34.420 That is all I've got for today.

00:47:36.940 I'll see you YouTubers later.

00:47:38.780 Thanks for joining me.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 12, 2021

Episode 1434 Scott Adams： The Persuasion Filter on the Headlines, And Coffee Too

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