Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1435 Scott Adams： Enjoy Freedom and Coffee While Discussing Idiots in the News

00:00:00.640 Hey everybody, it's time for Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:04.980 Best time of the day? Let me check.

00:00:08.280 Researching, researching, yes. Yes, it's the best time of the day.

00:00:12.900 Confirmation, not confirmation bias.

00:00:16.640 And all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or chalice or steinette canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:23.020 Fill it with your favorite liquid, I like coffee.

00:00:24.660 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine here of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:33.800 It's called the Simultaneous Sip and it's going to happen right now. Go.

00:00:41.140 Ah, yeah, yeah, that's really good, really good.

00:00:46.860 Or as Joe Biden would say about his coffee, it's really good, it's really good.

00:00:53.260 Yeah, that's all you need to know.

00:00:56.420 So I saw a story that I'm not sure I want to believe yet, that there were some kind of Wuhan military games,

00:01:05.220 some kind of athletic event in Wuhan, a few months before Wuhan was known to have the virus,

00:01:12.120 and some of the athletes came down sick.

00:01:14.660 And they report that the city was sort of closed down.

00:01:17.760 Now, if any of that is true, it would suggest that China's government knew about the virus well before they let us know.

00:01:27.500 But I think this story is sort of a wait and see.

00:01:31.120 I don't know that I would necessarily believe this one.

00:01:35.520 Because it's a little bit too on the nose, you know what I mean?

00:01:40.740 It's a little bit too exactly what you want it to be.

00:01:43.480 Maybe. So maybe it's true. Maybe.

00:01:48.580 Where's Locals? Locals is up and running right now, so I'm live streaming on it.

00:01:53.840 And you want to go to scottadams.locals.com, and that'll take you to my feed.

00:02:00.680 So Rasmussen polled people on the door-to-door vaccination push that the Biden administration wants to do,

00:02:09.800 and asked people, is it a good idea?

00:02:12.220 Is it a good idea to knock on doors and ask people if they've been vaccinated?

00:02:16.420 Now, to be clear, they're not knocking on doors and forcing people to be vaccinated.

00:02:22.260 They're just making it available and informing them and stuff.

00:02:25.280 But they're also persuading, right?

00:02:28.380 So let me talk about that after I give you the details.

00:02:31.140 So Rasmussen said that 37% of the public said that's a good idea,

00:02:36.100 and 53% said that's a bad idea.

00:02:40.560 But what would make it a bad idea if it's not being forced on people?

00:02:45.940 You open the door, well, you're a little bit bothered, right?

00:02:49.320 But it is a national pandemic.

00:02:51.580 You know, well, it's a pandemic, so it's everywhere.

00:02:54.100 And certainly if somebody's going to knock on your door,

00:02:59.940 wouldn't you want it to be about something this important?

00:03:04.820 So I would say on the first part of it is an intrusion that's unreasonable.

00:03:11.460 I'd say no.

00:03:12.980 You know, given the stakes that are employed here,

00:03:16.240 people knocking on your door is not a big deal.

00:03:18.340 I'm seeing HIPAA concerns.

00:03:21.740 Somebody doesn't want their medical information known,

00:03:25.020 but it's still optional, right?

00:03:27.780 So since when is your government doing a bad thing

00:03:31.380 if they're simply giving you information

00:03:34.800 and they're giving you opportunity

00:03:37.240 to get the vaccination or not,

00:03:40.960 simply making resources available?

00:03:42.900 Is that bad?

00:03:45.720 Well, here you get into the weird hypnotist dilemma.

00:03:52.680 Now, is there anybody watching this

00:03:54.760 who doesn't know I'm a trained hypnotist by now?

00:03:56.880 I say it so much, it's just, like, disgusting every time I say it.

00:04:00.360 But it's important that you know that,

00:04:02.460 because when I make my next point,

00:04:04.240 you need some context.

00:04:05.880 And here's what I've said before in public,

00:04:10.020 that once you become a trained hypnotist

00:04:12.340 and you actually understand the power of it,

00:04:16.040 it's hard to use it,

00:04:17.840 because it becomes immediately unethical

00:04:20.540 when you're that good at it.

00:04:22.780 So likewise, if a professional boxer

00:04:25.240 gets into a bar fight and kills somebody,

00:04:29.980 that boxer's in trouble,

00:04:31.360 because their hands are lethal weapons,

00:04:33.700 whereas the average person, not so much.

00:04:36.860 So, like a boxer,

00:04:39.700 a hypnotist has to have some self-control,

00:04:44.160 some moral or ethical limits

00:04:47.160 to what you're willing to persuade other people into.

00:04:51.120 So, for example,

00:04:52.260 I would be hesitant to do anything in sales

00:04:56.340 because I'd be too good at it.

00:04:59.440 Do you know what I mean?

00:05:00.920 Does that make sense?

00:05:01.840 That if you're simply selling something

00:05:04.700 without any special kind of talent,

00:05:08.340 you're just a good salesperson, let's say.

00:05:10.620 That seems ethical.

00:05:12.520 You know, we've all agreed

00:05:13.440 we know what a salesperson is. 0.99

00:05:15.480 We know they're trying to persuade us.

00:05:17.520 It's all part of the system,

00:05:19.120 and, you know,

00:05:20.120 maybe we get talked into things

00:05:21.560 we don't like sometimes.

00:05:23.260 But we accept it within the ethical domain.

00:05:27.680 But what happens if you convince somebody

00:05:31.240 to take a medical procedure,

00:05:33.560 such as a vaccination?

00:05:35.900 And what if you're wrong?

00:05:38.200 And what if that person has a bad outcome?

00:05:40.680 Either way,

00:05:41.460 you've convinced them to take it or not take it.

00:05:44.500 But is that moral?

00:05:46.880 Is it ethical?

00:05:48.260 Because when the government knocks on your door,

00:05:51.240 don't you think that's pretty persuasive?

00:05:53.860 It's the government.

00:05:55.680 How many senior citizens

00:05:57.800 could say no to the government

00:05:59.600 knocking on their door?

00:06:02.520 Right?

00:06:03.380 Now, even if most people could,

00:06:05.240 let's say 80% could say,

00:06:06.880 oh, I'm not going to change my mind

00:06:08.600 just because you knocked on my door.

00:06:10.080 Get out of here.

00:06:10.620 But I'd say a solid 20%

00:06:14.060 of any large group in the public

00:06:16.560 will simply be persuaded by that setup.

00:06:20.300 It's the government.

00:06:21.320 The government knocked on your door.

00:06:24.840 Makes you feel important.

00:06:26.560 Offers you resources.

00:06:28.160 Makes their case.

00:06:29.340 There's nobody there

00:06:30.080 to make the opposite case, right?

00:06:32.300 What if I told you about

00:06:33.360 listening to one side's argument?

00:06:36.140 Worthless.

00:06:37.740 One side's argument about anything.

00:06:41.160 Worthless.

00:06:42.260 You should say,

00:06:43.580 tell yourself you've been misled.

00:06:45.800 Not informed.

00:06:47.040 If you hear both sides of an argument,

00:06:49.040 you might at least be approaching

00:06:51.020 being informed.

00:06:51.920 But if you only hear one,

00:06:54.580 it doesn't matter which side you hear.

00:06:57.260 That's just misinformation.

00:06:59.900 Or at least you should treat it that way,

00:07:01.540 even if by chance is right.

00:07:03.880 So I do have an ethical problem

00:07:07.400 with the government knocking on doors

00:07:09.340 and offering optional,

00:07:11.880 optional vaccinations.

00:07:14.900 Because a solid 20% of the country

00:07:17.140 won't understand it being optional.

00:07:19.680 They might hear the words

00:07:21.020 and they know what the words mean,

00:07:22.480 but it's going to feel coerced

00:07:24.480 a little bit, right?

00:07:26.220 To 20% of the public.

00:07:28.380 So I think people who are against that

00:07:30.980 have a pretty good argument

00:07:32.120 on an ethical level.

00:07:36.540 The Gateway Pundit reported today,

00:07:39.100 and I want to see how good you are

00:07:40.380 with reasoning and statistics.

00:07:43.260 Okay?

00:07:44.220 So put on your smart hat.

00:07:47.060 All right?

00:07:47.320 All of you go into rational mode.

00:07:50.220 I'm going to give you some statistics here

00:07:52.160 and see what you make of it.

00:07:53.940 So Gateway Pundit pointed out

00:07:55.660 that there were over 1,500 COVID deaths

00:08:01.900 in the United States last week.

00:08:04.500 All right?

00:08:04.700 So for the entire week last week,

00:08:06.900 a little over 1,500 COVID deaths.

00:08:10.120 But according to the VAERS website,

00:08:13.340 where adverse reactions to vaccinations

00:08:16.200 are reported,

00:08:17.760 not very accurate,

00:08:19.680 but it's the one place that,

00:08:21.400 you know, we know to look.

00:08:22.980 So we don't know if these numbers

00:08:24.780 are half as much

00:08:25.740 or ten times as much,

00:08:26.960 but it's the only place we have them.

00:08:28.880 And it says that 1,750 deaths

00:08:31.500 were due to the vaccinations themselves.

00:08:36.040 So last week,

00:08:38.160 there were more deaths from vaccinations,

00:08:40.960 according to the VAERS,

00:08:42.180 which, you know,

00:08:43.440 could be off by a bit.

00:08:44.920 But the main point

00:08:46.660 will still be sort of intact,

00:08:48.600 even if that number's off.

00:08:51.220 And that's more people dying

00:08:52.980 from the vaccination

00:08:53.940 than died from COVID itself.

00:08:58.700 Okay?

00:08:59.820 More people dying

00:09:00.840 from the vaccination,

00:09:02.760 allegedly,

00:09:03.940 allegedly, right,

00:09:05.720 than the disease itself.

00:09:09.340 So,

00:09:10.160 put your logical hat on.

00:09:12.040 What does that tell you?

00:09:14.200 What do you deduce from that?

00:09:16.520 Should you make a conclusion from that?

00:09:23.240 Did that tell you

00:09:25.000 that the vaccines

00:09:26.400 are more dangerous

00:09:27.400 than the COVID itself?

00:09:29.420 Because COVID killed fewer people

00:09:31.280 than the vaccination did.

00:09:34.020 All right,

00:09:34.720 here's how you should think of that.

00:09:36.980 Do you know why

00:09:37.860 there were only 1,500 deaths

00:09:40.220 from COVID last week?

00:09:42.980 Because the vaccinations work.

00:09:44.680 The reason the COVID deaths

00:09:48.440 are so low

00:09:49.100 is exactly because

00:09:50.280 the vaccinations are so good.

00:09:53.020 Did they also kill

00:09:54.440 1,700 people or so?

00:09:56.640 Don't know.

00:09:58.140 The VAERS database

00:09:59.120 really isn't good enough

00:10:00.480 to tell you that.

00:10:01.760 But probably,

00:10:03.060 probably some tens of people

00:10:06.940 or hundreds

00:10:07.500 or maybe even low thousands

00:10:08.900 may have actually died

00:10:10.680 from the vaccination.

00:10:12.120 Totally possible.

00:10:12.980 But what you should see here

00:10:16.240 is that comparing

00:10:17.020 these two numbers

00:10:17.880 means nothing.

00:10:19.940 That's what you should have concluded.

00:10:21.940 You should have concluded

00:10:23.000 that it means nothing.

00:10:25.740 Except that the vaccinations work

00:10:27.780 if that's what's happening.

00:10:30.540 All right.

00:10:31.180 All right.

00:10:32.140 So don't make anything

00:10:33.440 out of that comparison.

00:10:35.860 Here's some fake news.

00:10:37.360 There's reports

00:10:40.700 that the Biden-allied groups,

00:10:43.200 so this is not Biden himself,

00:10:45.040 but groups allied with him,

00:10:46.960 the Democratic National Committee,

00:10:48.840 for example,

00:10:49.460 are talking about

00:10:51.240 fact-checking more aggressively

00:10:53.560 the social media platforms,

00:10:56.200 including,

00:10:57.960 can somebody play

00:10:58.740 some ominous music?

00:11:00.620 Oh.

00:11:01.920 Is that ominous?

00:11:02.820 Sort of ominous.

00:11:07.700 Including your text messages.

00:11:11.780 What?

00:11:13.400 They're going to start

00:11:14.440 fact-checking

00:11:15.480 your private text messages?

00:11:21.080 What?

00:11:24.080 Are you okay with that?

00:11:27.200 All right.

00:11:28.120 I think this is fake news.

00:11:29.440 Because the way

00:11:31.500 it's being interpreted,

00:11:32.900 and I think Politico

00:11:33.980 reported on this first,

00:11:35.980 the way it's being reported

00:11:37.020 is as if

00:11:38.180 your private text messages

00:11:40.440 are going to be read

00:11:41.320 by people

00:11:42.080 and maybe even blocked

00:11:44.920 if they say the wrong thing.

00:11:47.240 I don't think

00:11:48.180 that's what's happening here.

00:11:50.100 My guess

00:11:50.800 is that at most,

00:11:53.500 maybe they would talk

00:11:55.340 the social media platforms

00:11:56.540 into looking for keywords,

00:11:59.440 maybe links to things

00:12:01.480 that they know

00:12:02.020 are bad links,

00:12:03.440 and simply sending a message

00:12:05.200 that says,

00:12:05.820 hey, here's the true story

00:12:07.280 on vaccinations

00:12:08.060 or whatever.

00:12:09.840 But I don't think

00:12:11.740 there's any way

00:12:12.880 that anybody

00:12:14.700 is seriously talking

00:12:15.700 about blocking

00:12:16.500 your text message

00:12:17.580 because it said

00:12:18.600 the wrong thing.

00:12:20.020 So I'm going to,

00:12:21.060 I'm going to die

00:12:21.980 on this hill

00:12:22.600 that says that

00:12:24.180 this is fake news.

00:12:26.000 And that the only thing

00:12:27.320 that would ever be

00:12:27.960 talked about

00:12:28.660 is algorithmically

00:12:31.540 having the computer

00:12:32.860 look for a keyword,

00:12:34.420 send you a little reminder

00:12:36.420 that maybe you should

00:12:37.340 look at this other source

00:12:38.400 before you say

00:12:39.260 stuff like this.

00:12:41.840 Now, separately,

00:12:42.780 you could ask,

00:12:43.360 is that a good idea?

00:12:45.220 Because what if

00:12:46.360 they do more of it?

00:12:48.140 Right?

00:12:49.180 If you tell me,

00:12:50.280 oh, we're going to do

00:12:50.840 this one thing

00:12:51.580 in the context

00:12:52.380 of a pandemic,

00:12:53.720 and that's the only time

00:12:54.560 it'll ever happen,

00:12:55.280 I'd say,

00:12:56.560 well, maybe.

00:12:57.800 You know,

00:12:58.060 maybe because it's

00:12:58.640 short-term.

00:12:59.600 I'm generally favorable

00:13:01.400 to anything that's

00:13:02.400 short-term.

00:13:04.020 You can,

00:13:04.700 you can sort of

00:13:05.700 measure how it's going

00:13:07.120 so you can stop

00:13:08.180 doing it any time.

00:13:10.220 I generally am okay

00:13:11.640 with testing things

00:13:12.880 and, you know,

00:13:13.420 let's see what happens.

00:13:14.980 But what happens

00:13:15.740 if it works?

00:13:17.220 They get the result

00:13:18.260 they want.

00:13:19.520 And then what happens

00:13:20.380 if they want to do

00:13:21.100 more of it next time?

00:13:22.160 What if there's

00:13:23.340 another topic?

00:13:25.380 Let's say

00:13:26.280 election integrity.

00:13:28.960 Suppose

00:13:29.520 the next thing

00:13:30.580 they want to say

00:13:31.200 is if anybody

00:13:31.980 texts you about

00:13:33.080 the election

00:13:33.640 being unfair,

00:13:35.160 that they start

00:13:35.840 putting in little

00:13:36.560 warnings to say

00:13:37.360 that's not true.

00:13:38.660 This election

00:13:39.240 was perfect.

00:13:40.620 What if you start

00:13:41.720 talking about

00:13:42.280 climate change

00:13:43.180 in a skeptical tone

00:13:44.480 privately

00:13:45.340 on a text message?

00:13:47.300 Will they say,

00:13:48.680 well,

00:13:49.080 climate change

00:13:49.840 is as important

00:13:51.080 as the pandemic

00:13:52.040 if not more?

00:13:53.600 So if we did

00:13:54.620 this text stuff

00:13:56.500 with the pandemic,

00:13:57.480 why wouldn't we

00:13:58.180 do it with climate change?

00:13:59.940 Why wouldn't we?

00:14:02.120 Right?

00:14:02.820 So I think you have

00:14:03.680 to look at this

00:14:04.320 as, you know,

00:14:06.020 I don't believe

00:14:06.440 in the slippery slope

00:14:07.640 per se,

00:14:09.020 but certainly

00:14:10.040 in the case

00:14:10.580 this clean,

00:14:11.640 where if it works

00:14:12.400 in one situation

00:14:13.380 that's an emergency,

00:14:14.720 the pandemic,

00:14:16.040 why wouldn't it

00:14:16.800 work in another one?

00:14:18.460 Such as wars

00:14:20.400 and climate change

00:14:22.520 and anything else.

00:14:23.940 So I'd worry

00:14:24.780 about that

00:14:25.220 quite a bit,

00:14:26.880 about that going,

00:14:28.300 but I'm not worried

00:14:29.060 that your message

00:14:29.860 will be blocked,

00:14:31.340 and I'm not terribly

00:14:32.740 worried that a human

00:14:33.800 will read it,

00:14:34.880 although that's

00:14:35.520 always a risk.

00:14:36.560 I feel like all

00:14:37.400 they want to do

00:14:37.980 is pick up the keywords

00:14:39.480 and make sure

00:14:40.320 that you know

00:14:40.680 what the other side

00:14:41.360 is saying.

00:14:43.180 I don't know.

00:14:43.680 Could be terrible,

00:14:44.480 could be good.

00:14:45.060 It has a lot

00:14:46.040 to do with implementations.

00:14:49.280 Well,

00:14:49.660 Jenna Ellis,

00:14:50.640 who had been

00:14:52.420 attorney to

00:14:53.300 President Trump,

00:14:55.260 she just quit 0.99

00:14:56.760 the GOP

00:14:57.500 because apparently

00:14:59.060 there was this

00:14:59.900 Republican National

00:15:01.000 Committee

00:15:01.520 chief counsel guy,

00:15:02.720 Justin Reamer,

00:15:04.280 who had,

00:15:05.100 some email

00:15:05.760 had been

00:15:06.320 surfaced

00:15:07.860 that he had

00:15:09.080 mocked

00:15:09.640 the legal team

00:15:10.780 for promoting

00:15:13.300 the election

00:15:14.500 lack of integrity

00:15:16.140 stuff.

00:15:17.720 And so Jenna Ellis

00:15:18.780 says,

00:15:19.360 no more of this.

00:15:21.540 No more of this,

00:15:23.520 the GOP,

00:15:24.400 the party,

00:15:25.640 essentially acting

00:15:27.820 in ways that

00:15:29.180 I imagine

00:15:29.660 she thinks

00:15:30.140 is against

00:15:30.580 the interest

00:15:31.100 of the members.

00:15:34.300 So she

00:15:35.300 made some

00:15:36.160 news by quitting.

00:15:38.880 Now,

00:15:39.160 I've got to say,

00:15:40.780 people who

00:15:41.680 spend time

00:15:42.340 around

00:15:42.860 ex-President

00:15:44.560 Trump,

00:15:45.620 they pick up

00:15:46.740 his tricks.

00:15:48.320 And this is

00:15:49.000 a really good

00:15:49.540 technique

00:15:50.080 because she

00:15:51.200 became the

00:15:51.840 number one

00:15:52.580 headline today

00:15:53.420 and it

00:15:55.020 shaped the

00:15:55.580 news

00:15:55.940 really well.

00:15:58.580 So from

00:15:59.080 a persuasion

00:16:00.080 perspective,

00:16:02.140 Jenna Ellis,

00:16:02.880 especially being

00:16:03.980 as close as

00:16:04.720 she has been

00:16:05.200 to Trump,

00:16:06.480 quitting the

00:16:07.020 Republican Party

00:16:07.920 highlights this

00:16:09.240 issue

00:16:09.580 and probably

00:16:12.280 helps Trump

00:16:13.620 because it's

00:16:16.300 furthering that

00:16:17.080 divide between

00:16:18.060 the anti-Trumpers

00:16:19.600 and the Trump

00:16:20.540 supporters.

00:16:21.700 And I think

00:16:22.000 the president

00:16:22.520 likes that right

00:16:23.380 now.

00:16:24.280 Get a little

00:16:25.040 energy going,

00:16:26.300 a little bit

00:16:26.720 of conflict.

00:16:27.740 And I think

00:16:28.440 he has to

00:16:28.980 defeat the GOP

00:16:29.980 before he defeats

00:16:30.840 anybody else.

00:16:31.600 So in terms

00:16:35.060 of persuasion,

00:16:36.820 Jenna Ellis

00:16:37.460 gets an A

00:16:38.000 plus for

00:16:39.320 this move.

00:16:45.360 All right.

00:16:46.980 So that

00:16:47.900 happened.

00:16:49.360 Meanwhile,

00:16:50.120 in the least

00:16:50.940 surprising news

00:16:52.100 you've ever

00:16:52.580 heard in your

00:16:53.000 life,

00:16:53.780 it turns out

00:16:54.420 that members

00:16:54.860 of the Haiti

00:16:55.760 hit squad

00:16:56.700 that executed

00:16:58.240 the president

00:16:59.300 assassinated

00:17:00.080 him.

00:17:03.320 Seems that

00:17:04.280 a number

00:17:05.020 of those

00:17:05.640 people had

00:17:06.360 DEA or

00:17:07.580 FBI

00:17:08.220 informant

00:17:09.740 connections.

00:17:13.320 Yeah.

00:17:14.080 So now

00:17:14.600 we have,

00:17:15.620 it looks like

00:17:16.620 confirmed.

00:17:17.440 I mean,

00:17:17.720 it's still

00:17:18.180 fog of war,

00:17:19.880 so maybe

00:17:20.260 that's not

00:17:20.720 true yet.

00:17:21.760 But it

00:17:22.380 looks like

00:17:22.940 the FBI

00:17:23.600 and the CIA

00:17:24.280 knew some

00:17:26.280 of the

00:17:26.500 people.

00:17:28.160 How well

00:17:28.840 did they

00:17:29.160 know them?

00:17:30.800 To be

00:17:31.460 determined.

00:17:32.480 Now the

00:17:32.800 fact that

00:17:33.120 they knew

00:17:33.440 them,

00:17:33.720 does that

00:17:33.980 mean that

00:17:34.280 they were

00:17:34.500 behind the

00:17:35.100 plot?

00:17:36.280 No.

00:17:37.140 Not

00:17:37.600 necessarily.

00:17:39.520 But it

00:17:41.040 makes it

00:17:41.340 a lot more

00:17:41.680 likely.

00:17:42.780 If you

00:17:43.320 had to

00:17:43.500 put odds

00:17:43.920 on it,

00:17:45.060 the odds

00:17:45.660 are increasing.

00:17:47.600 And what

00:17:48.000 about this

00:17:48.560 so-called

00:17:49.780 doctor who

00:17:50.960 was allegedly

00:17:51.840 the person

00:17:52.400 who would

00:17:52.700 be installed

00:17:53.340 as the

00:17:53.820 new president?

00:17:54.340 doesn't it

00:17:55.980 seem to

00:17:56.420 you that

00:17:56.940 that doctor

00:17:57.560 didn't quite

00:17:58.280 know what

00:17:58.800 was going

00:17:59.660 on?

00:18:00.980 Almost as

00:18:01.960 if the

00:18:02.300 doctor was

00:18:02.880 a pawn

00:18:03.460 and not

00:18:04.560 really intended

00:18:05.460 to be the

00:18:06.020 new leader,

00:18:07.320 but rather

00:18:07.920 maybe somebody

00:18:09.000 just wanted

00:18:09.440 to execute

00:18:10.040 the president

00:18:10.640 and convinced

00:18:12.220 this doctor

00:18:13.000 that he was

00:18:13.680 the leader

00:18:14.100 of the gang

00:18:15.040 and got the

00:18:16.140 doctor to

00:18:16.660 organize it

00:18:17.360 so that

00:18:18.000 whoever really

00:18:18.720 wanted to

00:18:19.280 kill the

00:18:19.840 president of

00:18:20.480 Haiti

00:18:20.720 is sort

00:18:22.960 of free.

00:18:24.340 So what

00:18:27.720 do you

00:18:27.920 believe about

00:18:28.560 this?

00:18:29.780 Do you

00:18:30.400 believe that

00:18:30.980 the United

00:18:31.640 States backed

00:18:32.720 these plotters

00:18:34.120 and that

00:18:35.100 they were just

00:18:35.840 trying to get

00:18:36.360 rid of the

00:18:36.720 president of

00:18:37.360 Haiti and

00:18:37.880 they did it

00:18:38.300 this way?

00:18:39.960 What odds

00:18:41.000 would you put

00:18:41.540 on that now?

00:18:42.840 Let's see in

00:18:43.480 the comments.

00:18:44.740 Show me the

00:18:45.520 odds that you

00:18:46.420 think it was

00:18:47.140 a CIA-backed

00:18:50.240 plot.

00:18:51.560 I'll just

00:18:52.220 read off.

00:18:52.700 I'm seeing

00:18:53.700 75, 95,

00:18:55.140 85, 74,

00:18:56.460 5%, 90,

00:18:58.240 30, 85,

00:18:59.340 50, 50,

00:19:00.020 60, 75%,

00:19:02.080 25%.

00:19:04.220 That's low.

00:19:04.940 0%

00:19:05.520 somebody says.

00:19:07.840 25%.

00:19:08.520 Yeah.

00:19:10.140 Okay.

00:19:10.500 You can

00:19:10.980 stop putting

00:19:11.500 this down.

00:19:14.360 Somebody says

00:19:15.260 the CIA

00:19:15.800 killed

00:19:16.420 Che Guevara.

00:19:18.260 I don't know.

00:19:18.980 Is that true?

00:19:20.220 I wouldn't

00:19:20.780 know about

00:19:21.180 any of

00:19:21.480 that.

00:19:22.820 Yeah.

00:19:23.120 And somebody

00:19:23.480 says it's

00:19:23.940 the Clinton

00:19:24.440 faction that

00:19:25.260 did it.

00:19:25.980 Okay.

00:19:29.200 We live in

00:19:30.040 a country in

00:19:31.180 which the

00:19:31.840 president of

00:19:32.600 a neighboring

00:19:33.060 country,

00:19:34.480 you know,

00:19:34.720 a nearby

00:19:35.220 country,

00:19:35.720 let's say,

00:19:36.520 can be

00:19:36.880 assassinated,

00:19:38.000 and our

00:19:38.660 own country

00:19:39.460 believes that

00:19:40.080 we're guilty

00:19:40.520 of it.

00:19:42.320 How would

00:19:42.900 you like to

00:19:43.340 be Biden

00:19:43.880 when,

00:19:45.600 you know,

00:19:46.360 you think

00:19:47.780 there's a

00:19:48.220 more than

00:19:48.640 50% chance

00:19:49.600 he just

00:19:49.920 murdered

00:19:50.500 the president

00:19:52.040 of another

00:19:52.560 country?

00:19:54.900 John McAfee

00:19:55.860 did it?

00:20:00.200 That would

00:20:00.820 be amazing

00:20:01.360 if John McAfee

00:20:02.440 did it,

00:20:02.920 but I don't

00:20:03.540 think so.

00:20:05.480 Robert Barnes

00:20:06.480 suggested that

00:20:07.280 Clinton is

00:20:07.880 involved.

00:20:09.520 You know,

00:20:10.720 I don't think

00:20:11.160 we have evidence

00:20:11.760 of that,

00:20:12.500 but maybe we

00:20:13.660 have something

00:20:14.100 that looks

00:20:14.460 like a

00:20:14.780 possible motive.

00:20:15.580 So that

00:20:17.460 story is

00:20:17.980 going just

00:20:18.500 the way

00:20:18.820 we imagined

00:20:19.400 it would

00:20:19.760 go.

00:20:20.660 Let's talk

00:20:21.040 about

00:20:21.260 Hunter's

00:20:21.860 emails,

00:20:22.820 because

00:20:23.520 we can't

00:20:24.080 get enough

00:20:24.440 of that.

00:20:26.340 So on

00:20:28.440 Hannity,

00:20:29.520 and then it

00:20:30.020 was reported

00:20:30.560 in Breitbart,

00:20:32.180 this fellow

00:20:33.100 named Peter

00:20:33.840 Schweizer,

00:20:35.280 who is the

00:20:35.740 president of

00:20:36.380 the Government

00:20:36.960 Accountability

00:20:37.800 Institute,

00:20:39.340 sounds

00:20:39.660 important,

00:20:40.720 the Government

00:20:41.340 Accountability

00:20:42.420 Institute,

00:20:43.740 said yesterday

00:20:44.620 that his

00:20:45.460 organization

00:20:46.060 had confirmed

00:20:47.420 that President

00:20:48.560 Joe Biden

00:20:49.140 was the

00:20:49.700 direct

00:20:50.000 beneficiary

00:20:50.720 of Hunter

00:20:51.200 Biden's

00:20:52.040 financial

00:20:52.640 deals

00:20:53.080 with foreign

00:20:53.600 interests.

00:20:54.760 Now,

00:20:54.940 apparently they

00:20:55.420 have access,

00:20:56.080 they say,

00:20:56.800 to all of the

00:20:57.560 emails on the

00:20:58.340 laptop,

00:20:58.840 which they

00:20:59.300 have confirmed

00:20:59.860 to be true

00:21:00.640 because the

00:21:01.780 emails match

00:21:02.400 up with

00:21:02.940 where Hunter

00:21:03.600 and his

00:21:04.380 security were

00:21:05.740 at any given

00:21:06.500 time.

00:21:07.740 Now,

00:21:08.400 how persuaded

00:21:10.640 are you

00:21:11.280 that Peter

00:21:13.100 Schweizer,

00:21:13.720 the president

00:21:14.180 of the

00:21:14.540 Government

00:21:14.900 Accountability

00:21:15.940 Institute,

00:21:16.940 says this

00:21:17.660 is confirmed.

00:21:19.720 So it's

00:21:20.500 confirmed,

00:21:21.060 right?

00:21:21.740 Because he's

00:21:22.380 the president

00:21:22.900 of the

00:21:23.220 Government

00:21:23.520 Accountability

00:21:24.200 Institute,

00:21:24.800 for God's

00:21:25.220 sakes.

00:21:26.380 What exactly

00:21:27.220 is the

00:21:27.620 Government

00:21:27.940 Accountability

00:21:28.800 Institute?

00:21:31.860 How about

00:21:32.780 you don't

00:21:33.860 know?

00:21:35.620 How about

00:21:36.260 I don't

00:21:37.000 know.

00:21:38.060 But do you

00:21:38.660 think it's

00:21:38.960 part of the

00:21:39.340 government?

00:21:40.800 I don't

00:21:41.220 think so.

00:21:41.680 I think it's

00:21:42.940 a private

00:21:43.560 group that

00:21:44.700 gave themselves

00:21:45.280 an important

00:21:46.860 sounding name.

00:21:48.560 So how

00:21:49.540 persuaded are

00:21:51.240 you that one

00:21:52.080 person who saw

00:21:52.780 the emails on

00:21:53.500 a laptop thinks

00:21:54.580 that there's a

00:21:55.740 certain conclusion?

00:21:57.380 I don't know.

00:21:57.740 Lots of people

00:21:58.240 saw those emails.

00:21:59.880 And I don't

00:22:00.400 think that they

00:22:00.900 have other

00:22:01.420 information that

00:22:02.380 we know about.

00:22:03.720 So I would

00:22:04.560 give that a

00:22:06.200 very low

00:22:07.120 credibility.

00:22:07.960 At the same

00:22:09.380 time I would

00:22:09.940 say it

00:22:11.940 does seem

00:22:12.560 likely that

00:22:14.620 Hunter Biden

00:22:15.440 was making

00:22:15.960 deals that

00:22:16.520 would benefit

00:22:16.940 the whole

00:22:17.280 family.

00:22:18.860 That seems

00:22:19.420 pretty likely.

00:22:21.340 But I

00:22:21.880 wouldn't take

00:22:22.240 this source

00:22:22.680 too seriously.

00:22:24.100 I saw Ben

00:22:24.960 Shapiro tweet

00:22:26.360 that now

00:22:28.080 that Cuba

00:22:28.580 has closed

00:22:29.260 the Internet

00:22:29.800 because there's

00:22:30.500 a lot of

00:22:31.000 revolting going

00:22:32.180 on there.

00:22:32.640 It's a

00:22:32.920 revolting

00:22:33.440 island.

00:22:34.060 that apparently

00:22:37.420 we have some

00:22:38.200 technology,

00:22:39.020 the United

00:22:39.360 States does,

00:22:40.440 that we could

00:22:41.000 provide Internet

00:22:41.840 to the

00:22:42.600 island.

00:22:43.980 I don't know

00:22:44.540 what that would

00:22:44.900 look like

00:22:45.340 exactly.

00:22:47.300 But is that

00:22:48.120 true, do you

00:22:48.520 think?

00:22:49.660 Do you believe

00:22:50.380 that we could

00:22:50.980 actually provide

00:22:52.180 Internet?

00:22:53.440 Let me ask

00:22:54.100 this question.

00:22:56.600 What is the

00:22:57.340 name of Elon

00:22:58.140 Musk's company?

00:22:59.500 Is it

00:22:59.700 Starlink?

00:23:01.220 Is it

00:23:01.860 Starlink that's

00:23:02.740 going to have

00:23:03.100 the satellites

00:23:04.520 everywhere?

00:23:06.120 So there

00:23:06.760 will be

00:23:07.000 low-Earth

00:23:07.580 satellites,

00:23:08.960 and that's

00:23:09.260 Elon Musk's

00:23:10.120 company,

00:23:10.620 right?

00:23:11.020 Starlink. 0.59

00:23:11.960 So you

00:23:12.480 could have

00:23:12.680 these tiny

00:23:13.300 satellites in

00:23:14.360 low-Earth

00:23:14.820 orbit basically

00:23:15.740 everywhere when

00:23:16.680 we get enough

00:23:17.580 of them.

00:23:17.960 They're launching

00:23:18.420 like crazy.

00:23:20.400 Once you have

00:23:21.240 them everywhere,

00:23:22.700 can any

00:23:23.340 government turn

00:23:24.060 them off?

00:23:25.720 Because I

00:23:26.180 don't see how.

00:23:27.600 Because won't

00:23:28.360 it be sending

00:23:28.960 the, is it

00:23:30.880 Wi-Fi?

00:23:31.740 I mean, what

00:23:32.140 kind of signal

00:23:32.720 is it

00:23:33.040 sending

00:23:33.300 exactly?

00:23:34.660 If it's

00:23:35.240 sending Wi-Fi,

00:23:37.080 and I don't

00:23:37.460 know if that's

00:23:37.920 the case,

00:23:38.400 but maybe it

00:23:38.940 is.

00:23:39.640 Is it Wi-Fi?

00:23:40.420 Can somebody

00:23:40.740 tell me is

00:23:41.260 that, would

00:23:42.660 Starlink be 1.00

00:23:43.720 sending Wi-Fi?

00:23:45.300 Or does it

00:23:46.060 send its own

00:23:46.700 kind of special

00:23:47.400 signal, like a

00:23:49.120 cell phone signal

00:23:49.920 or something?

00:23:51.360 Somebody says

00:23:52.280 it's not Wi-Fi.

00:23:54.080 It's radio,

00:23:54.960 not Wi-Fi.

00:23:56.520 But how will

00:23:57.180 your regular

00:23:58.440 phone be able

00:23:59.180 to pick it up?

00:24:00.520 Oh, it's

00:24:00.880 just cell

00:24:01.260 service.

00:24:02.400 Somebody's

00:24:02.860 saying it's

00:24:03.200 just going to

00:24:03.540 be like a 0.54

00:24:04.000 regular cell

00:24:04.580 phone radio

00:24:05.280 signal.

00:24:06.340 That would

00:24:06.700 make sense.

00:24:07.680 And then it

00:24:08.160 would be linked

00:24:08.760 to other

00:24:09.280 cell services

00:24:10.140 so that it's

00:24:11.220 basically just a

00:24:12.020 big phone

00:24:13.740 network in the

00:24:14.380 sky.

00:24:16.720 Well, now

00:24:17.360 somebody else

00:24:17.860 says it's

00:24:18.260 Wi-Fi.

00:24:20.660 Maybe it

00:24:21.260 comes down as

00:24:21.860 cell signal and

00:24:22.620 then you can

00:24:23.120 hotspot it and

00:24:23.920 turn it into

00:24:24.420 Wi-Fi or

00:24:24.980 something.

00:24:25.440 I don't know.

00:24:26.260 But here's the

00:24:26.980 thing.

00:24:28.080 How can any

00:24:28.780 country turn off

00:24:29.640 its internet in

00:24:30.260 the future?

00:24:32.420 Doesn't seem

00:24:33.080 like that's, oh,

00:24:34.040 you need a small

00:24:34.660 dish, somebody 0.64

00:24:35.380 says.

00:24:36.780 I don't know.

00:24:37.760 But the point

00:24:38.380 is, I don't

00:24:40.360 think you could

00:24:40.880 jam all of it

00:24:41.800 because you'd

00:24:42.880 have to jam the

00:24:43.500 whole country.

00:24:45.020 And I think

00:24:46.400 this is a big

00:24:47.040 game changer,

00:24:47.720 right?

00:24:48.480 Because countries

00:24:49.360 need to be able

00:24:50.020 to control their

00:24:50.860 own communication

00:24:51.660 to have a

00:24:53.540 dictator situation.

00:24:54.980 What happens

00:24:56.080 when everybody

00:24:56.980 in China can

00:24:57.760 get all the

00:24:58.360 information they

00:24:59.000 need?

00:25:00.580 So I think

00:25:01.260 we may, if we

00:25:03.000 don't have the

00:25:03.540 technology right

00:25:04.300 now, we're

00:25:05.580 probably pretty

00:25:06.140 close, maybe a

00:25:07.380 few years away.

00:25:08.900 And what do you

00:25:09.520 think of the

00:25:09.920 idea of turning

00:25:10.560 on the internet

00:25:11.160 for the Cubans?

00:25:13.460 I assume that

00:25:14.560 our CIA is all

00:25:15.740 over this, right?

00:25:16.860 We'd like some

00:25:17.760 kind of a good

00:25:18.380 outcome in Cuba.

00:25:20.700 But I don't

00:25:23.180 know.

00:25:23.620 It feels like an

00:25:24.300 act of war,

00:25:25.060 doesn't it?

00:25:26.460 Would you say

00:25:27.240 it's an act of

00:25:27.940 war to provide

00:25:28.800 internet to a

00:25:29.940 country that's

00:25:30.520 trying to prevent

00:25:31.340 its people from

00:25:33.280 seeing the

00:25:33.660 internet?

00:25:35.560 Would you call

00:25:36.360 that an act of

00:25:37.080 war?

00:25:38.440 Because somebody

00:25:39.240 might.

00:25:39.860 I mean, you're

00:25:40.980 giving them free

00:25:41.640 stuff, but it's

00:25:43.860 going to feel like

00:25:44.340 an act of war.

00:25:45.760 Similarly, if

00:25:46.720 China gave us 0.99

00:25:47.860 lots of free

00:25:49.360 fentanyl, it

00:25:51.000 would feel like

00:25:51.540 an act of war,

00:25:52.600 because I've

00:25:53.000 called it that.

00:25:55.160 All right.

00:25:55.880 Remember I said

00:25:56.520 that Republicans

00:25:57.320 would be hunted?

00:25:59.720 I'd like to ask

00:26:00.660 once again, how

00:26:01.460 many Republicans

00:26:02.540 are in jail right

00:26:04.500 now because of the

00:26:05.360 Capitol protests?

00:26:06.940 I just like to

00:26:07.560 bring that up

00:26:08.060 every day.

00:26:09.440 Are there

00:26:09.860 hundreds in

00:26:11.500 jail for being

00:26:13.980 part of a

00:26:14.440 protest?

00:26:15.840 Is that real?

00:26:17.280 I'm like, I don't

00:26:17.720 even know if that's

00:26:18.320 real, because

00:26:19.460 that sounds like

00:26:20.160 not the United

00:26:21.160 States.

00:26:22.580 That sounds like

00:26:23.280 some other

00:26:23.720 country that

00:26:24.300 would do

00:26:24.600 something like

00:26:25.140 that.

00:26:26.140 Are they not

00:26:26.880 at least down

00:26:27.540 on bail?

00:26:29.260 So I'm going

00:26:31.400 to say that

00:26:32.020 Republicans are

00:26:34.340 hunted as long

00:26:36.040 as those folks

00:26:37.240 are in jail.

00:26:38.160 I'm going to

00:26:38.660 say that that's

00:26:39.240 just the case.

00:26:40.360 You live in a

00:26:40.960 country where you

00:26:41.520 can be jailed for

00:26:42.280 being Republican.

00:26:42.920 Here's some

00:26:45.380 interesting statistics.

00:26:46.980 David Blake, PhD,

00:26:48.780 says on Twitter,

00:26:50.300 and I haven't

00:26:50.780 confirmed this,

00:26:51.520 but maybe you

00:26:52.020 can, that

00:26:53.400 reported yesterday

00:26:55.520 that there were

00:26:56.540 258 COVID deaths

00:26:58.120 in the United

00:26:58.700 States, and

00:27:00.500 over 99% of

00:27:02.100 them were

00:27:02.480 unvaccinated.

00:27:04.660 In other words,

00:27:06.180 basically two

00:27:07.140 people died

00:27:07.860 yesterday of

00:27:08.480 COVID in the

00:27:09.180 United States

00:27:09.900 who were not

00:27:11.920 vaccinated.

00:27:13.780 Two.

00:27:15.540 Now, do you

00:27:16.640 take from that,

00:27:18.120 whoa, those

00:27:18.720 vaccinations are

00:27:19.580 working really

00:27:20.160 well?

00:27:21.280 Well, a few

00:27:22.600 caveats.

00:27:23.660 Number one,

00:27:24.340 yesterday was

00:27:24.820 Monday, and I

00:27:25.720 think the reports

00:27:26.480 lag because of

00:27:27.500 the weekend.

00:27:29.360 So when we say

00:27:30.880 how many people

00:27:31.500 were reported

00:27:32.340 dead yesterday,

00:27:33.640 that doesn't

00:27:34.260 mean how many

00:27:34.680 died yesterday.

00:27:35.720 That just means

00:27:36.500 how many were

00:27:37.120 reported, and

00:27:38.320 maybe the weekend

00:27:39.080 is a lagging

00:27:40.080 report, so maybe

00:27:41.180 that's behind a

00:27:41.940 little bit.

00:27:42.300 So we'll see

00:27:42.940 if that changes

00:27:43.560 because of the

00:27:44.160 weekend.

00:27:45.200 But would you

00:27:48.180 be willing to

00:27:48.840 say, at this

00:27:50.380 point, that

00:27:51.820 although infections

00:27:52.800 are going up,

00:27:54.980 all right, let's

00:27:55.580 take two data

00:27:56.540 points.

00:27:57.680 Infections are

00:27:58.400 going up

00:27:58.900 everywhere that

00:28:01.140 they've loosened

00:28:02.520 restrictions and

00:28:03.860 masking.

00:28:05.440 Would you say

00:28:06.300 that the first

00:28:07.200 thing is correct,

00:28:08.100 fact, and that

00:28:09.020 that's happening

00:28:09.760 at the same

00:28:10.860 time that it's

00:28:11.820 summer, so this

00:28:13.240 is the natural

00:28:13.920 low point for

00:28:14.700 the virus.

00:28:16.580 Would everybody

00:28:17.820 agree with those

00:28:18.600 two statements?

00:28:19.940 That the virus has

00:28:21.480 a natural low

00:28:22.380 point in the

00:28:22.900 summer, but we

00:28:24.680 can see quite

00:28:25.600 clearly the effect

00:28:26.640 of getting rid

00:28:27.780 of masks and

00:28:28.720 loosening up on

00:28:29.560 travel and stuff

00:28:30.420 like that, because

00:28:31.480 the number of

00:28:32.000 infections is

00:28:32.880 starting to spike

00:28:33.740 exactly like you'd

00:28:34.880 expect, even in

00:28:36.860 the summer.

00:28:38.420 So the summer

00:28:39.220 should be the

00:28:39.780 lowest, but we're

00:28:40.520 still getting a

00:28:41.100 spike.

00:28:41.840 Does that tell

00:28:42.540 you that the

00:28:44.340 social distancing

00:28:46.080 and the masks

00:28:47.560 did make a

00:28:48.800 difference, and

00:28:49.880 the moment we

00:28:50.560 took them off,

00:28:51.680 you saw exactly

00:28:52.620 the spike in

00:28:53.480 infections that

00:28:54.200 you would expect?

00:28:56.940 So does

00:28:57.800 anybody have a

00:28:58.400 counter to that?

00:29:00.080 How would you

00:29:00.640 counter the fact

00:29:01.620 that while

00:29:03.920 infections should

00:29:04.800 be going down

00:29:05.560 for all the

00:29:06.140 natural summer

00:29:07.180 reasons, they're

00:29:08.840 going up anyway?

00:29:10.220 And the only

00:29:10.680 thing that's

00:29:11.100 changed is the

00:29:13.600 Delta variant, I

00:29:14.540 guess, so that

00:29:16.060 has to be in the

00:29:16.680 mix.

00:29:18.560 Maybe it's just

00:29:19.300 the Delta variant.

00:29:21.340 Yeah, that would

00:29:21.820 be a good answer.

00:29:22.780 You might be, I

00:29:23.600 think that would be

00:29:24.380 a good answer.

00:29:24.960 You could say, no,

00:29:25.780 no, all you're

00:29:26.320 seeing is the

00:29:26.880 Delta variant is

00:29:27.820 picking up, and

00:29:29.240 you're not seeing

00:29:30.040 any difference about

00:29:30.960 masks or anything

00:29:31.800 else.

00:29:33.080 That would be a

00:29:33.780 good argument.

00:29:34.180 I would accept

00:29:35.100 that as a

00:29:35.780 reasonable

00:29:36.600 counter-argument.

00:29:39.620 And how

00:29:39.880 about

00:29:40.260 vaccinations?

00:29:44.340 If the only

00:29:44.900 thing you knew

00:29:45.600 is that only

00:29:47.360 1% of the

00:29:48.260 people who

00:29:48.940 were vaccinated

00:29:50.540 actually died

00:29:52.320 from it

00:29:52.800 yesterday, if

00:29:54.580 that were true,

00:29:56.000 would that

00:29:56.460 convince you that

00:29:57.140 vaccinations work?

00:29:59.120 You still might

00:29:59.920 have issues about

00:30:01.000 long-term problems,

00:30:02.260 right?

00:30:02.860 But would it

00:30:03.380 tell you that

00:30:03.840 vaccinations work?

00:30:05.360 I'm seeing a 0.98

00:30:05.840 no.

00:30:06.620 Explain why

00:30:07.280 not.

00:30:09.220 Give me your

00:30:09.920 reasoning.

00:30:11.000 I'll accept a

00:30:11.700 yes or a no,

00:30:12.340 because I asked a

00:30:13.260 yes-no question.

00:30:14.440 But I'd like to

00:30:15.200 see your

00:30:15.600 reasoning,

00:30:16.780 if anybody has

00:30:19.380 any.

00:30:23.920 I'm seeing

00:30:24.540 yeses and

00:30:25.120 nos, but give

00:30:25.980 me a reason.

00:30:26.680 Somebody just

00:30:27.200 give me a

00:30:27.560 reason.

00:30:27.780 No, we're

00:30:31.220 not talking

00:30:31.640 about long-term

00:30:32.260 effects.

00:30:32.880 That's

00:30:33.120 important, but

00:30:33.880 a separate

00:30:34.240 question.

00:30:37.580 Linked to

00:30:38.200 a study.

00:30:40.460 Death rate

00:30:41.140 was less

00:30:41.740 than 1%

00:30:42.360 before

00:30:42.780 vaccinations.

00:30:46.140 Wait, are

00:30:48.920 we looking at

00:30:49.420 the same

00:30:49.740 thing?

00:30:50.880 If of the

00:30:52.060 people who

00:30:52.480 died, only

00:30:53.060 1% of

00:30:53.880 them were

00:30:54.420 unvaccinated,

00:30:56.180 no, you're

00:30:57.760 not comparing

00:30:58.440 the right

00:30:58.740 number here.

00:31:00.780 What do you

00:31:01.420 mean when you

00:31:01.860 say the

00:31:02.140 vaccine works?

00:31:03.280 What I mean

00:31:03.800 in this case,

00:31:04.580 working would

00:31:05.320 be that the

00:31:06.760 only people who

00:31:07.500 died are people

00:31:08.220 who didn't get

00:31:08.640 the vaccination,

00:31:09.500 for all

00:31:09.860 practical purposes.

00:31:11.100 If two people

00:31:12.060 got vaccinated

00:31:12.700 and died,

00:31:14.280 maybe they

00:31:15.340 didn't die

00:31:15.780 of the

00:31:16.420 coronavirus,

00:31:17.400 right?

00:31:18.100 Maybe there

00:31:18.800 was a lot of

00:31:19.280 comorbidity

00:31:19.960 going on there,

00:31:20.860 and maybe

00:31:21.360 nobody died.

00:31:22.700 All right,

00:31:25.880 well, I

00:31:26.100 just put that

00:31:26.560 out there

00:31:26.980 to wrestle

00:31:28.980 with, and

00:31:30.400 let's compare

00:31:32.040 that to

00:31:34.020 what Alex

00:31:34.960 Berenson is

00:31:35.900 saying.

00:31:36.740 So I was

00:31:37.080 just reading

00:31:37.460 his substack.

00:31:39.180 Now, you

00:31:39.520 might know

00:31:39.840 Alex Berenson

00:31:40.480 as maybe

00:31:41.840 the most

00:31:42.360 notable,

00:31:43.340 let's say,

00:31:45.040 critic of

00:31:45.720 science and

00:31:47.160 government,

00:31:49.260 specifically in

00:31:50.300 the coronavirus

00:31:50.840 situation.

00:31:52.700 Now, a lot

00:31:53.160 of what

00:31:53.500 Alex Berenson

00:31:54.540 said is

00:31:55.240 worth looking

00:31:56.120 at, and

00:31:56.760 I like the

00:31:59.700 fact that

00:32:00.060 there are

00:32:00.380 critics.

00:32:01.380 You need

00:32:01.860 some critics

00:32:02.960 all the time

00:32:03.660 to keep

00:32:04.800 everybody sharp.

00:32:06.320 But here are

00:32:06.820 some things

00:32:07.240 he said,

00:32:07.820 and this is

00:32:08.240 a current

00:32:08.900 writing,

00:32:09.940 so this is

00:32:10.340 as of right

00:32:11.320 now.

00:32:12.020 I believe

00:32:12.400 this would

00:32:12.740 be Alex

00:32:13.320 Berenson's

00:32:13.820 opinion.

00:32:14.600 He wrote,

00:32:15.200 and I quote,

00:32:16.120 no serious

00:32:16.920 person thinks

00:32:17.920 masks protect

00:32:19.100 their wearers,

00:32:20.320 for example,

00:32:21.480 but we

00:32:21.940 mandated those

00:32:22.680 for more

00:32:23.160 than a year.

00:32:24.300 So as

00:32:24.820 of today,

00:32:26.920 Alex Berenson

00:32:27.680 says no

00:32:28.440 serious person

00:32:29.340 thinks masks

00:32:30.200 protect their

00:32:31.000 wearers.

00:32:32.660 Would you

00:32:33.040 agree with

00:32:33.440 that statement?

00:32:34.380 Now, you're

00:32:35.300 not agreeing

00:32:36.400 with the

00:32:36.720 statement about

00:32:37.320 whether masks

00:32:38.040 work or not.

00:32:39.580 We're only

00:32:40.320 agreeing with

00:32:40.800 the statement

00:32:41.200 that no

00:32:41.680 serious person

00:32:42.700 thinks it

00:32:44.020 protects the

00:32:44.660 wearer, as

00:32:45.900 opposed to

00:32:46.400 protecting other

00:32:47.060 people.

00:32:47.340 Let me look

00:32:49.040 at your

00:32:49.440 comments.

00:32:49.900 I see you

00:32:50.440 agreeing with

00:32:50.920 them, saying

00:32:52.600 yes, yes,

00:32:53.900 true, true,

00:32:55.500 yes.

00:32:57.520 I don't

00:32:58.360 know what

00:32:58.700 to do about

00:32:59.280 this, people.

00:33:00.880 People.

00:33:02.560 There are

00:33:03.500 serious people

00:33:04.380 who say masks

00:33:05.300 protect the

00:33:06.060 wearer.

00:33:07.300 Do you know

00:33:07.680 who those

00:33:08.060 serious people

00:33:08.700 are?

00:33:10.120 All of the

00:33:11.040 top medical

00:33:12.100 people,

00:33:13.560 everywhere.

00:33:14.940 That's who

00:33:15.540 says it.

00:33:15.980 All of

00:33:17.960 the top

00:33:18.480 experts

00:33:19.660 everywhere

00:33:21.040 say that

00:33:22.440 masks do

00:33:23.300 protect the

00:33:23.920 wearer.

00:33:25.000 This is

00:33:25.380 fairly new.

00:33:26.400 This is

00:33:26.960 really only

00:33:27.440 in the last

00:33:27.900 month or

00:33:28.300 so, I

00:33:28.560 think.

00:33:29.100 Because it

00:33:29.560 used to be

00:33:30.000 that the

00:33:30.440 smart people

00:33:31.020 said, no,

00:33:31.560 it's only

00:33:31.840 for the

00:33:32.120 benefit of

00:33:32.680 the other

00:33:33.600 people.

00:33:34.420 But as

00:33:35.020 of today,

00:33:37.140 I'm pretty

00:33:37.740 sure that

00:33:39.080 almost all

00:33:40.000 of the

00:33:40.300 major experts

00:33:41.440 would say

00:33:42.140 it also

00:33:42.600 protects a

00:33:43.300 little bit

00:33:43.760 the wearer.

00:33:45.980 Not in

00:33:46.420 every case.

00:33:47.260 Not if

00:33:47.880 you're

00:33:48.480 marinating

00:33:49.160 in it.

00:33:50.500 But, again,

00:33:51.900 I'm not

00:33:52.340 saying they

00:33:52.720 work and

00:33:53.100 I'm not

00:33:53.380 saying they

00:33:53.680 don't work.

00:33:54.400 That's a

00:33:54.740 separate

00:33:54.960 question.

00:33:55.840 I'm saying

00:33:56.340 who says

00:33:56.920 it works?

00:33:58.380 Pretty

00:33:58.900 much every

00:33:59.720 expert

00:34:00.200 everywhere.

00:34:01.620 But Alex

00:34:02.080 Berenson

00:34:02.420 writes, no

00:34:03.160 serious person

00:34:04.080 thinks masks

00:34:05.080 protect their

00:34:06.100 wearers.

00:34:07.200 What do you

00:34:07.560 call a

00:34:07.880 serious person?

00:34:09.980 Now, again,

00:34:11.220 I'm not saying

00:34:12.020 that Alex

00:34:12.520 Berenson is

00:34:13.240 right or wrong

00:34:14.100 about masks.

00:34:15.000 Only the

00:34:15.860 question about

00:34:16.440 whether serious

00:34:17.160 people disagree

00:34:17.880 with him.

00:34:19.200 I don't know

00:34:19.820 how you could

00:34:20.140 write that

00:34:20.500 sentence.

00:34:22.540 Anyway,

00:34:24.080 here's something

00:34:25.340 else that Alex

00:34:25.960 says.

00:34:28.760 He has

00:34:29.740 debunked the

00:34:30.900 following statement.

00:34:32.860 So he says,

00:34:33.820 what he says

00:34:34.500 about the

00:34:34.860 statement I'm

00:34:35.320 going to read

00:34:35.860 is that it

00:34:36.740 now appears

00:34:37.540 provably

00:34:38.400 incorrect.

00:34:39.520 So provably,

00:34:40.880 very high

00:34:41.500 standard,

00:34:41.980 right?

00:34:42.160 So this

00:34:42.980 is not

00:34:43.320 maybe

00:34:43.620 incorrect.

00:34:44.540 According to

00:34:45.000 Alex,

00:34:45.300 this is

00:34:45.640 provably

00:34:46.180 incorrect,

00:34:47.020 the following

00:34:47.580 statement.

00:34:48.680 Vaccines

00:34:49.240 do not

00:34:49.820 eliminate

00:34:50.420 all cases,

00:34:51.520 but they

00:34:52.120 work very

00:34:52.680 well,

00:34:53.260 especially

00:34:53.700 against

00:34:54.180 severe

00:34:54.820 disease

00:34:55.340 or death.

00:34:57.540 Do you

00:34:58.300 think that

00:34:59.020 you can

00:34:59.400 say it's

00:35:00.020 provably

00:35:00.700 wrong that

00:35:02.860 vaccines

00:35:03.500 protect

00:35:04.460 against

00:35:04.860 severe

00:35:05.240 disease

00:35:05.740 and

00:35:05.940 death?

00:35:06.220 Do you

00:35:07.700 know who

00:35:08.000 disagrees

00:35:08.480 with that

00:35:08.860 statement?

00:35:10.580 Every

00:35:11.060 expert

00:35:11.600 in every

00:35:13.180 country.

00:35:15.340 But Alex

00:35:16.280 Berenson

00:35:16.660 writes this

00:35:17.360 like it's

00:35:18.720 just a

00:35:19.080 fact,

00:35:19.600 like it's

00:35:20.080 provably

00:35:20.560 correct,

00:35:21.740 but he

00:35:22.760 disagrees

00:35:23.260 with every

00:35:23.880 expert

00:35:24.260 in every

00:35:25.420 country.

00:35:27.100 And yet

00:35:27.380 when you

00:35:27.660 read this,

00:35:28.280 if you

00:35:28.560 haven't

00:35:28.780 heard the

00:35:29.100 counterpoints,

00:35:29.820 you'd say,

00:35:30.240 well,

00:35:30.560 it looks

00:35:30.940 pretty good

00:35:31.300 to me.

00:35:32.240 So this

00:35:32.680 is the

00:35:33.600 problem of

00:35:34.440 the one

00:35:35.660 expert

00:35:36.020 problem.

00:35:37.220 And it

00:35:37.620 has nothing

00:35:38.020 to do

00:35:38.320 with Alex

00:35:38.860 Berenson.

00:35:39.680 It has

00:35:40.180 to do

00:35:40.460 with if

00:35:40.860 you listen

00:35:41.280 to just

00:35:42.620 Tony Heller,

00:35:43.840 you will

00:35:44.500 believe that

00:35:44.920 climate change

00:35:45.560 isn't real.

00:35:46.680 If you

00:35:47.340 listen to

00:35:47.920 just Al

00:35:49.180 Gore,

00:35:50.000 you'll

00:35:50.540 believe it's

00:35:50.960 real and

00:35:51.960 the end of

00:35:52.660 the world

00:35:52.920 is coming

00:35:53.340 pretty fast.

00:35:54.860 Never

00:35:55.200 listen to

00:35:55.660 one person.

00:35:57.500 And Alex

00:35:58.720 Berenson has

00:35:59.360 that issue,

00:36:01.300 which is he's

00:36:02.060 one person.

00:36:03.200 One person

00:36:03.860 can't be

00:36:04.260 more than

00:36:04.560 one person.

00:36:05.360 So you

00:36:05.700 hear his

00:36:06.020 opinion.

00:36:06.800 He's very

00:36:07.600 persuasive.

00:36:09.060 Is he

00:36:09.760 persuasive?

00:36:11.140 Yeah,

00:36:11.680 yeah,

00:36:11.960 he's really

00:36:12.320 persuasive.

00:36:13.700 But if

00:36:15.440 you believe

00:36:16.000 him because

00:36:17.060 he's

00:36:17.640 persuasive,

00:36:18.640 you're making

00:36:19.280 a big

00:36:19.600 mistake.

00:36:20.820 And it

00:36:21.280 wouldn't

00:36:21.440 matter if

00:36:21.880 it's Alex

00:36:22.280 Berenson or

00:36:22.860 anybody else.

00:36:23.940 If you

00:36:24.280 believe one

00:36:24.900 person because

00:36:26.360 they're really

00:36:26.860 persuasive,

00:36:28.220 you've made

00:36:29.000 an analytical

00:36:30.160 mistake.

00:36:30.980 so given

00:36:34.860 that only

00:36:35.760 1% of

00:36:37.660 the people

00:36:38.000 who had

00:36:39.320 COVID,

00:36:41.520 yeah,

00:36:41.940 only 1%

00:36:42.620 of the

00:36:42.860 people who

00:36:43.160 died of

00:36:43.540 COVID were

00:36:44.540 unvaccinated,

00:36:45.900 I feel like

00:36:46.880 that's pretty

00:36:47.480 good evidence

00:36:48.160 that the

00:36:48.520 vaccinations

00:36:49.040 work.

00:36:50.080 The

00:36:50.360 counterpoint

00:36:51.080 is that I

00:36:52.240 guess Great

00:36:52.760 Britain and

00:36:53.540 Israel,

00:36:54.400 who are

00:36:54.800 quite well

00:36:55.420 vaccinated,

00:36:56.720 they're sort

00:36:57.200 of case

00:36:57.620 studies on

00:36:58.160 how to get

00:36:58.520 everybody

00:36:58.880 vaccinated

00:36:59.420 quickly,

00:37:00.180 they're also

00:37:00.760 having an

00:37:01.320 increase in

00:37:02.240 infections.

00:37:04.680 So,

00:37:05.300 does that

00:37:06.100 mean that the

00:37:06.580 vaccinations

00:37:07.060 don't work

00:37:07.760 or don't

00:37:08.160 work well

00:37:08.620 enough?

00:37:09.360 Well,

00:37:09.700 it probably

00:37:10.120 just means

00:37:10.700 that everybody

00:37:12.140 opened up a

00:37:12.880 little bit,

00:37:13.740 we know you

00:37:14.280 can get the

00:37:14.720 infection even

00:37:15.360 if you're

00:37:15.660 vaccinated,

00:37:16.560 we've got the

00:37:17.240 Delta variant

00:37:17.920 which is more

00:37:18.660 spready.

00:37:20.460 I feel like

00:37:21.500 what we're

00:37:21.900 seeing in

00:37:22.300 Israel and

00:37:23.080 Great Britain

00:37:23.600 are completely

00:37:24.480 explained.

00:37:26.020 It's explained

00:37:26.860 by opening

00:37:27.660 up,

00:37:28.520 it's explained

00:37:29.120 by the

00:37:29.500 Delta variant,

00:37:30.560 that's why

00:37:30.980 you got the

00:37:31.460 spike even 1.00

00:37:32.080 in the

00:37:32.420 summer,

00:37:33.760 and yet the

00:37:34.560 death rate

00:37:35.040 is super

00:37:35.600 low because

00:37:36.900 the vaccinations

00:37:37.660 work and

00:37:39.420 the therapeutics

00:37:40.320 work.

00:37:42.060 I mean,

00:37:42.360 I would say

00:37:42.840 everything we

00:37:43.580 see is

00:37:44.180 explained by

00:37:44.940 the official

00:37:46.120 explanations at

00:37:47.240 this point.

00:37:47.920 It doesn't

00:37:48.280 mean they're

00:37:48.580 right,

00:37:49.640 right?

00:37:50.500 It could

00:37:50.800 still be

00:37:51.220 completely

00:37:51.580 wrong.

00:37:54.720 Ever see

00:37:55.460 anyone with

00:37:56.120 Gillian bars? 0.68

00:37:57.200 So yes,

00:37:58.380 there's a

00:37:59.200 rare-ish

00:38:00.080 disease called,

00:38:01.880 is it

00:38:02.160 Gillian or

00:38:02.760 Gillian bar?

00:38:04.440 But some

00:38:05.240 number of

00:38:05.640 people who

00:38:06.020 are getting

00:38:06.380 the vaccination,

00:38:07.420 and I

00:38:07.620 believe it

00:38:08.000 was the

00:38:08.540 J&J one,

00:38:10.720 yeah.

00:38:11.600 So out of

00:38:12.440 12.8 million

00:38:13.580 people vaccinated,

00:38:15.480 about 100

00:38:16.260 people got

00:38:16.920 this rare

00:38:18.040 neurological

00:38:19.120 condition which

00:38:20.100 is largely

00:38:20.840 recoverable.

00:38:21.600 I don't

00:38:22.800 know if

00:38:23.080 largely

00:38:23.500 recoverable

00:38:24.240 means most

00:38:25.780 people get

00:38:26.400 over most

00:38:27.080 of it,

00:38:27.920 but it still

00:38:28.580 lingers forever,

00:38:29.560 or if most

00:38:31.400 people get

00:38:31.880 over it

00:38:32.220 completely,

00:38:32.860 which is a

00:38:33.340 pretty big

00:38:33.660 difference.

00:38:34.860 But this

00:38:35.460 sounds pretty

00:38:35.920 nasty, but

00:38:37.380 what do you

00:38:37.700 make of 100

00:38:39.320 out of 12.8

00:38:40.380 million?

00:38:41.960 If you knew

00:38:42.940 that that was

00:38:43.460 your risk,

00:38:45.180 the risk is

00:38:46.280 100 people

00:38:47.460 out of 12.8

00:38:48.500 million,

00:38:48.820 would you

00:38:50.080 incorporate that

00:38:51.040 risk in your

00:38:51.720 decision?

00:38:53.940 Let me ask

00:38:55.120 this just

00:38:55.840 very limited

00:38:56.580 question.

00:38:57.700 If you knew

00:38:58.420 that your

00:38:58.880 only risk,

00:38:59.600 let's say

00:38:59.920 there were

00:39:00.160 no other

00:39:00.600 risks,

00:39:01.080 of course

00:39:01.420 there are

00:39:01.760 other risks,

00:39:02.620 but I'm

00:39:02.920 just going

00:39:03.200 to keep

00:39:03.440 it simple.

00:39:04.200 If the

00:39:04.600 only risk

00:39:05.380 were 100

00:39:07.540 people out

00:39:08.460 of 12.8

00:39:09.260 million getting

00:39:09.900 this largely

00:39:11.320 recoverable

00:39:12.100 neurological

00:39:12.740 condition,

00:39:14.040 would you

00:39:14.520 include it

00:39:15.220 in your

00:39:15.680 decision?

00:39:16.820 Go.

00:39:17.740 Would you

00:39:18.380 include it

00:39:19.160 in your

00:39:19.580 decision at

00:39:20.720 all?

00:39:23.040 I see a

00:39:23.680 yes.

00:39:24.460 I see

00:39:24.820 somebody saying

00:39:25.400 unnecessary

00:39:25.920 risk, so

00:39:27.140 that would

00:39:27.380 be a

00:39:27.640 yes.

00:39:29.980 I'm seeing

00:39:30.660 lots of

00:39:31.020 yeses.

00:39:33.180 All right?

00:39:34.140 Here's, for

00:39:35.100 those, anybody

00:39:35.700 who said

00:39:36.100 yes, do

00:39:37.700 you include

00:39:38.440 the risk of

00:39:39.320 dying in a

00:39:40.020 car accident

00:39:40.700 when you go

00:39:42.000 to the store?

00:39:43.680 When you

00:39:44.260 decide to

00:39:45.980 go to the

00:39:46.440 store for

00:39:46.820 something,

00:39:47.200 maybe you

00:39:47.540 don't need

00:39:48.060 as a

00:39:48.660 necessity.

00:39:50.160 You'd like

00:39:50.820 a loaf of

00:39:51.320 bread, but

00:39:52.040 you're not

00:39:52.380 going to

00:39:52.580 starve without

00:39:53.080 it.

00:39:53.800 Do you

00:39:54.120 include the

00:39:54.640 risk of

00:39:55.060 dying in

00:39:55.520 a car

00:39:55.840 accident before

00:39:57.320 you decide

00:39:57.880 to go get

00:39:58.380 that loaf

00:39:58.800 of bread?

00:40:00.300 Probably

00:40:00.760 not, right?

00:40:01.740 And I

00:40:02.240 think that

00:40:02.900 the way to

00:40:03.680 approach

00:40:04.040 these is

00:40:04.600 if the

00:40:05.000 risk rounds

00:40:06.080 to zero,

00:40:07.720 just ignore

00:40:08.300 it.

00:40:09.480 It doesn't

00:40:10.160 make it go

00:40:10.560 away, but

00:40:11.960 all of your

00:40:12.560 life is

00:40:13.200 filled with

00:40:13.700 that kind

00:40:14.140 of a risk,

00:40:15.200 and the

00:40:15.640 only way you

00:40:16.100 can navigate

00:40:16.660 life with

00:40:17.860 these tiny,

00:40:18.620 tiny risks,

00:40:19.380 but everywhere.

00:40:20.800 You're just

00:40:21.360 surrounded by

00:40:22.200 tiny risks.

00:40:24.080 You've got to

00:40:24.560 kind of ignore

00:40:25.100 them.

00:40:25.980 That's really

00:40:26.460 the only way to

00:40:26.980 make the

00:40:27.240 decision.

00:40:28.180 So forget

00:40:28.720 about what

00:40:29.300 is true or

00:40:29.920 false about

00:40:30.400 vaccinations.

00:40:31.200 I'm only

00:40:31.460 talking about

00:40:31.920 decision-making.

00:40:33.140 When it

00:40:33.560 comes to

00:40:33.940 decision-making,

00:40:35.400 when the

00:40:35.760 risk is that

00:40:36.280 small, just

00:40:37.560 ignore it.

00:40:39.260 All right.

00:40:39.920 Now, of course,

00:40:40.700 if you're the

00:40:41.060 one who gets

00:40:41.540 it, it makes

00:40:43.680 it sound like

00:40:44.180 you made

00:40:44.440 a mistake,

00:40:45.140 but you

00:40:45.540 didn't.

00:40:46.740 All right.

00:40:47.840 What's

00:40:48.320 really...

00:40:49.960 Oh, let's

00:40:50.420 talk some

00:40:50.880 more about

00:40:51.280 this.

00:40:52.060 So in

00:40:52.640 California, we

00:40:54.420 know that the

00:40:54.980 CDC said that

00:40:56.240 kids don't need

00:40:57.180 masks to go

00:40:57.940 back to school,

00:40:58.740 but California

00:40:59.420 required them.

00:41:01.320 So as of

00:41:02.320 now, California

00:41:03.300 says, yes,

00:41:04.140 masks.

00:41:04.980 What do you

00:41:05.640 think is going

00:41:06.220 to happen?

00:41:07.480 So you've got

00:41:08.000 a governor who's

00:41:08.840 going into a

00:41:09.520 recall election,

00:41:11.100 Governor Newsom.

00:41:12.160 So the

00:41:12.740 governor needs

00:41:13.380 to stay

00:41:14.440 on the

00:41:14.740 right side

00:41:15.280 of the

00:41:15.960 people,

00:41:16.420 right?

00:41:18.320 Do you

00:41:18.960 think Governor

00:41:19.480 Newsom is

00:41:20.260 going to

00:41:21.320 continue to

00:41:22.420 go against

00:41:23.320 the CDC

00:41:24.060 and require

00:41:26.540 masks when

00:41:28.460 almost every

00:41:29.300 parent in

00:41:30.000 California would

00:41:31.300 like to kill

00:41:31.940 him for it?

00:41:33.580 Right?

00:41:34.260 I mean,

00:41:35.420 when your

00:41:36.960 government does

00:41:37.800 some things,

00:41:39.300 you know,

00:41:39.540 it makes you

00:41:39.840 really mad,

00:41:41.120 but if your

00:41:42.920 government is

00:41:43.560 making your

00:41:44.020 kid wear a

00:41:44.620 mask in

00:41:45.140 school,

00:41:46.500 you just

00:41:47.160 want to

00:41:47.440 kill that

00:41:47.860 person.

00:41:48.400 Not literally,

00:41:49.220 right?

00:41:49.680 But your

00:41:50.840 hatred for

00:41:52.820 somebody doing

00:41:53.480 that to your

00:41:54.020 kid is pretty

00:41:55.660 high, right?

00:41:57.360 And I think

00:41:58.480 you're going to

00:41:58.840 see the March

00:41:59.560 of the Karens.

00:42:01.240 You're going to

00:42:01.920 see the white,

00:42:04.040 mostly,

00:42:06.060 the white

00:42:06.860 moms just 0.99

00:42:08.860 rip the fuck

00:42:09.920 out of

00:42:10.480 Governor

00:42:11.760 Newsom,

00:42:13.340 especially

00:42:13.860 right around

00:42:14.600 school time.

00:42:16.860 Now,

00:42:17.100 already we

00:42:17.620 saw a

00:42:18.000 softening

00:42:18.460 because

00:42:19.820 hours after

00:42:22.500 California

00:42:23.080 public health

00:42:23.680 officials posted

00:42:24.560 the new

00:42:25.000 school guidelines,

00:42:26.020 meaning the

00:42:26.480 mask requirement,

00:42:28.500 they indicated

00:42:31.440 they might

00:42:31.840 change the

00:42:32.300 rules.

00:42:33.320 So as

00:42:33.960 soon as the

00:42:34.540 rule came

00:42:34.980 out,

00:42:36.160 there was so

00:42:36.700 much blowback

00:42:37.500 that they're

00:42:37.860 like,

00:42:38.260 well,

00:42:38.560 here's the

00:42:40.340 rule,

00:42:40.860 but we're

00:42:42.100 going to

00:42:42.320 reconsider it

00:42:42.900 a little bit.

00:42:45.020 Here's my

00:42:45.720 prediction.

00:42:48.280 Compare the

00:42:49.120 attitude,

00:42:49.800 just read the

00:42:50.420 room,

00:42:51.000 right?

00:42:51.320 Just read the

00:42:51.980 room.

00:42:52.760 All of the

00:42:53.380 parents of

00:42:54.660 all those

00:42:55.040 kids who

00:42:56.700 are going to

00:42:57.020 go back to

00:42:57.520 school,

00:42:58.460 how do they

00:42:58.940 feel?

00:43:01.660 Pretty

00:43:02.140 raw,

00:43:03.520 you know,

00:43:03.860 the way they

00:43:04.220 feel is pretty

00:43:04.740 raw, isn't

00:43:05.360 it?

00:43:05.920 And pretty

00:43:06.360 strong.

00:43:07.720 Now compare

00:43:08.400 whatever

00:43:10.100 small political

00:43:11.740 advantage,

00:43:12.700 if any,

00:43:13.220 I don't think

00:43:13.600 there's any,

00:43:14.480 that Newsom

00:43:15.000 might get by

00:43:16.340 pushing for

00:43:16.840 the masks.

00:43:19.260 I think you

00:43:20.220 have to predict

00:43:20.800 that the mask

00:43:21.460 requirement will

00:43:22.260 be dropped.

00:43:23.740 I don't know

00:43:24.540 if you'll get

00:43:24.980 enough parents

00:43:25.520 to send their

00:43:26.060 kids to

00:43:26.480 school.

00:43:27.780 I've already

00:43:28.520 heard parents

00:43:29.840 say, well,

00:43:30.580 then I won't

00:43:30.960 send my kids

00:43:31.520 to school if

00:43:32.080 they have to

00:43:32.380 wear masks.

00:43:33.460 We'll just

00:43:33.860 keep doing

00:43:34.420 remote learning.

00:43:36.240 How many

00:43:37.520 kids would

00:43:37.940 have to

00:43:38.240 stay home

00:43:38.900 and say,

00:43:40.020 we'll just

00:43:40.580 do remote

00:43:41.140 learning,

00:43:41.600 thank you,

00:43:42.060 we'll just

00:43:42.380 keep doing

00:43:42.780 what we're

00:43:43.180 doing?

00:43:44.060 How many

00:43:44.500 would have

00:43:44.780 to do

00:43:45.040 that before

00:43:45.500 the schools

00:43:46.180 would have

00:43:46.480 to say,

00:43:46.840 ah,

00:43:47.200 damn it,

00:43:47.860 we'll get

00:43:48.220 rid of the

00:43:48.540 masks?

00:43:49.880 So I

00:43:50.900 predict that

00:43:51.420 the mask

00:43:51.800 requirement will

00:43:52.560 be dropped,

00:43:53.260 if not,

00:43:53.880 before school

00:43:54.500 starts in

00:43:55.100 California,

00:43:55.560 which is

00:43:55.840 only days

00:43:57.120 away,

00:43:58.160 but certainly

00:43:59.900 soon after.

00:44:01.300 I think it'll

00:44:01.820 have to happen.

00:44:03.100 Now here's a

00:44:03.620 question I

00:44:04.040 asked.

00:44:05.180 For a

00:44:05.860 school-age

00:44:06.640 kid only,

00:44:07.740 let's say

00:44:08.100 under 18,

00:44:10.320 is getting

00:44:11.160 COVID infection

00:44:12.060 the same

00:44:12.520 as getting

00:44:12.940 a vaccination

00:44:13.960 effectively?

00:44:17.140 Why do we

00:44:17.980 call it

00:44:18.460 getting COVID

00:44:20.100 if you're

00:44:21.260 under 18?

00:44:23.900 Do we

00:44:24.480 call it that

00:44:24.980 because that's

00:44:25.580 what we call

00:44:26.120 it when

00:44:27.040 somebody older

00:44:27.800 gets it?

00:44:28.740 If I get

00:44:29.540 COVID,

00:44:30.600 I got a

00:44:31.180 disease,

00:44:32.880 right?

00:44:33.620 If a

00:44:34.600 12-year-old

00:44:35.180 gets COVID,

00:44:36.960 they got

00:44:38.740 vaccinated.

00:44:40.840 Let me say

00:44:41.540 that again.

00:44:42.440 If I get

00:44:43.180 COVID,

00:44:43.920 let's say I

00:44:44.440 hadn't been

00:44:44.840 vaccinated,

00:44:45.480 if I get

00:44:45.940 it,

00:44:46.320 I've got a

00:44:46.840 fucking

00:44:47.060 disease.

00:44:48.720 If a

00:44:49.320 12-year-old

00:44:49.920 gets COVID,

00:44:51.700 they just

00:44:52.100 got vaccinated.

00:44:54.040 Am I

00:44:54.640 wrong?

00:44:55.720 Why do we

00:44:56.200 use the

00:44:57.800 word,

00:44:58.760 you know,

00:44:59.020 they got a

00:44:59.440 disease,

00:45:00.140 if they're

00:45:00.520 12?

00:45:00.940 They didn't

00:45:01.240 get a

00:45:01.500 fucking

00:45:01.700 disease.

00:45:02.180 They just

00:45:03.180 got vaccinated.

00:45:04.420 They just

00:45:04.780 got vaccinated

00:45:05.600 by nature.

00:45:07.280 The fact

00:45:08.000 that we're

00:45:08.300 even using

00:45:08.920 the same

00:45:09.340 fucking

00:45:09.780 word for

00:45:11.400 kids is

00:45:12.880 why we're

00:45:13.360 not doing

00:45:13.800 well.

00:45:15.140 Here's a

00:45:15.720 little lesson

00:45:16.620 on how the

00:45:17.140 brain works,

00:45:18.720 that until

00:45:19.460 you hear it

00:45:20.000 the first

00:45:20.340 time,

00:45:21.780 well,

00:45:23.480 this could

00:45:24.360 blow some

00:45:24.840 minds.

00:45:26.460 You think

00:45:27.420 that the way

00:45:28.240 you come to

00:45:28.880 your decisions

00:45:29.480 is some

00:45:30.140 kind of

00:45:30.500 logical process

00:45:31.600 happening in

00:45:32.200 your brain,

00:45:32.760 right?

00:45:34.420 You think

00:45:35.060 you look at

00:45:35.480 the facts,

00:45:36.160 and then you

00:45:36.440 imply your

00:45:36.980 rational brain,

00:45:37.820 and that's

00:45:38.560 how you make

00:45:38.980 your decisions.

00:45:40.460 Well,

00:45:41.580 not really.

00:45:43.140 Not really.

00:45:44.280 Because most

00:45:44.820 of our decisions

00:45:45.480 are irrational,

00:45:46.960 and then we

00:45:47.600 layer a

00:45:48.720 rational

00:45:49.160 explanation

00:45:50.060 after the

00:45:50.900 fact.

00:45:51.760 So your

00:45:52.220 decisions are

00:45:52.940 pretty much

00:45:53.800 all irrational,

00:45:55.520 whenever there's

00:45:56.380 any emotion

00:45:56.880 involved,

00:45:57.380 anyway.

00:45:58.300 Fear,

00:45:59.320 and of course

00:45:59.760 the COVID

00:46:00.900 stuff is

00:46:01.340 all full

00:46:01.760 of fear

00:46:02.180 and emotion,

00:46:03.240 so those

00:46:03.760 are not

00:46:04.120 rational decisions.

00:46:05.600 But here's

00:46:06.120 a little thing

00:46:06.740 you might

00:46:07.160 not have

00:46:07.500 known.

00:46:08.580 That thing

00:46:09.500 that you

00:46:09.860 think is

00:46:10.940 your rational

00:46:11.780 mind is

00:46:13.780 just language.

00:46:16.500 It's just

00:46:17.260 words.

00:46:18.580 If you put

00:46:19.480 words together

00:46:20.800 in a way

00:46:21.600 that forms

00:46:22.180 sentences that

00:46:23.460 humans understand,

00:46:25.120 they feel as

00:46:26.400 if there's

00:46:26.800 a reason.

00:46:29.200 Grammar

00:46:29.880 looks like

00:46:31.360 logic

00:46:31.960 to most

00:46:33.400 people.

00:46:35.340 Think about

00:46:36.180 that.

00:46:37.280 Simple

00:46:37.720 grammar,

00:46:38.320 just putting

00:46:38.720 words in

00:46:39.420 a way that

00:46:40.080 they make

00:46:40.720 sense in

00:46:41.140 a sentence,

00:46:42.460 looks to

00:46:43.420 many people,

00:46:44.560 and maybe

00:46:44.900 most,

00:46:45.760 maybe all,

00:46:47.760 it looks

00:46:48.220 like logic.

00:46:49.960 So,

00:46:50.980 your choice

00:46:51.780 of words

00:46:52.480 becomes the

00:46:54.120 pseudo-logic

00:46:55.100 that people

00:46:55.660 use to

00:46:56.400 make decisions.

00:46:57.600 Let me

00:46:57.920 give you

00:46:58.160 an example.

00:46:59.700 Hey,

00:47:00.240 Bob,

00:47:00.880 I'd like

00:47:01.800 you to

00:47:02.060 drink some

00:47:02.480 poison.

00:47:04.100 Here you

00:47:04.660 go.

00:47:05.600 Drink some

00:47:06.040 poison.

00:47:07.380 Would you

00:47:07.960 do it?

00:47:09.560 No.

00:47:10.700 You don't

00:47:11.300 drink poison.

00:47:12.700 But what if

00:47:13.440 that was just

00:47:13.920 the word I

00:47:14.460 used?

00:47:15.420 What if

00:47:15.820 what I gave

00:47:16.320 you was a

00:47:17.100 delicious

00:47:17.940 glass of

00:47:18.860 fresh water?

00:47:21.040 Your logic

00:47:22.060 should have

00:47:23.140 said it

00:47:23.500 doesn't matter

00:47:23.940 what word

00:47:24.480 you use,

00:47:25.100 this is a

00:47:25.900 delicious

00:47:26.260 glass of

00:47:26.840 water.

00:47:27.160 I've just

00:47:27.460 tested it

00:47:27.980 myself.

00:47:28.980 Yum.

00:47:30.220 But as

00:47:30.840 soon as

00:47:31.060 you call

00:47:31.340 it poison,

00:47:32.860 a certain

00:47:33.640 part of

00:47:34.000 the population

00:47:34.860 will never

00:47:35.320 touch it.

00:47:36.700 They'll say,

00:47:37.120 well, you

00:47:37.420 wouldn't call

00:47:37.800 it poison

00:47:38.280 unless,

00:47:38.900 you know,

00:47:39.160 some reason.

00:47:40.960 So,

00:47:41.480 putting the

00:47:42.580 wrong word

00:47:43.400 on stuff

00:47:44.080 becomes a

00:47:45.760 logic.

00:47:46.720 It's not a

00:47:47.500 real logic.

00:47:48.180 It's the

00:47:48.640 crazy,

00:47:49.560 irrational

00:47:49.960 logic that

00:47:50.640 our brains

00:47:51.240 do.

00:47:52.300 So,

00:47:52.660 when we

00:47:54.080 say that

00:47:54.540 a kid

00:47:55.020 who's 12

00:47:55.660 years old

00:47:56.260 gets the

00:47:58.460 COVID-19

00:47:59.260 and we

00:48:00.180 say that

00:48:00.680 kid has

00:48:01.600 a disease,

00:48:02.780 we have

00:48:03.700 substituted

00:48:04.660 words for

00:48:06.440 thinking.

00:48:07.940 Because that

00:48:08.680 kid didn't

00:48:09.120 have a

00:48:09.440 disease.

00:48:10.400 That kid

00:48:10.800 got vaccinated.

00:48:11.500 If we had

00:48:13.180 used the

00:48:13.680 word vaccinated

00:48:14.800 as just a

00:48:16.380 standard for

00:48:17.060 anybody who

00:48:17.740 came in

00:48:18.360 contact with

00:48:19.020 the virus

00:48:20.080 under the

00:48:20.960 age of

00:48:21.280 18,

00:48:22.460 would we

00:48:22.980 be deciding

00:48:23.680 what to

00:48:24.320 do about

00:48:24.900 school?

00:48:26.700 Nope.

00:48:28.480 Because you

00:48:29.120 would say

00:48:29.400 to yourself,

00:48:30.480 wait a minute,

00:48:32.080 my 12-year-old

00:48:32.900 can get a

00:48:33.380 free vaccination

00:48:34.080 by just going

00:48:34.940 to school

00:48:35.380 and hanging

00:48:35.820 around with

00:48:36.340 infected

00:48:36.740 people?

00:48:37.980 Sign me

00:48:38.480 up.

00:48:39.540 Let's get

00:48:39.980 that kid

00:48:40.320 vaccinated.

00:48:41.700 Get this

00:48:42.100 over with.

00:48:43.980 Right?

00:48:44.700 Now,

00:48:45.160 you're saying

00:48:45.480 to me,

00:48:45.880 but Scott,

00:48:46.420 Scott,

00:48:46.700 Scott,

00:48:46.960 the

00:48:48.100 vaccination

00:48:48.680 could give

00:48:49.400 you a 0.57

00:48:49.680 side effect

00:48:50.200 and kill 0.83

00:48:50.600 you.

00:48:51.840 You've

00:48:52.280 got to

00:48:52.500 include

00:48:52.780 that,

00:48:53.600 right?

00:48:54.760 Nope.

00:48:55.640 Because the

00:48:56.260 risk of it

00:48:56.700 is too

00:48:57.000 small.

00:48:57.880 The risk

00:48:58.460 is so

00:48:58.800 small that

00:48:59.360 you should

00:48:59.600 just round

00:49:00.020 it to

00:49:00.320 zero and

00:49:00.800 act like

00:49:01.140 it's not

00:49:01.480 there.

00:49:02.580 But how

00:49:02.900 about the

00:49:03.180 risk of

00:49:03.500 dying from

00:49:03.920 COVID

00:49:04.280 itself,

00:49:04.960 Scott?

00:49:05.620 Kids are

00:49:06.180 not immune

00:49:06.780 from getting

00:49:07.280 COVID and

00:49:07.780 dying,

00:49:09.080 right?

00:49:10.300 Should you

00:49:10.780 consider that

00:49:11.440 risk if

00:49:11.960 they're not

00:49:12.280 vaccinated?

00:49:13.780 No.

00:49:14.720 No,

00:49:15.140 you shouldn't

00:49:15.620 because it's

00:49:16.280 too small.

00:49:17.480 All of

00:49:18.140 the risks

00:49:18.540 that are

00:49:18.840 too small,

00:49:19.680 you just

00:49:19.920 treat them

00:49:20.200 like they're

00:49:20.520 zero.

00:49:21.420 You can't

00:49:21.900 compare them.

00:49:23.080 I've heard

00:49:23.620 people say,

00:49:24.740 well,

00:49:25.600 the risk of

00:49:26.500 getting the

00:49:26.900 vaccination is

00:49:27.700 unknown,

00:49:28.580 so it's

00:49:29.280 bigger because

00:49:30.620 it's unknown.

00:49:32.440 No,

00:49:33.060 it's not.

00:49:33.880 It's just

00:49:34.440 unknown.

00:49:35.640 Might be

00:49:36.240 smaller,

00:49:37.080 might be

00:49:37.500 bigger,

00:49:38.500 just don't

00:49:39.380 know.

00:49:39.600 so that's

00:49:45.260 my statement

00:49:45.940 on that.

00:49:46.440 If we

00:49:46.680 started talking

00:49:47.320 about these

00:49:47.760 kids as

00:49:48.280 getting

00:49:48.580 nature's

00:49:49.300 vaccination,

00:49:50.560 suddenly we

00:49:51.320 would just

00:49:51.600 feel different

00:49:52.080 about it,

00:49:52.860 and all the

00:49:53.560 facts would

00:49:53.920 be the

00:49:54.160 same.

00:49:55.440 All right.

00:49:57.000 Lastly, I

00:49:57.760 love this

00:49:58.140 story about

00:49:58.780 the

00:50:00.980 Democrat

00:50:02.640 lawmakers in

00:50:04.120 Texas

00:50:04.440 decided they

00:50:05.900 don't want

00:50:06.320 to be part

00:50:06.840 of the

00:50:07.340 vote for

00:50:08.700 what the

00:50:10.680 governor of

00:50:11.220 Texas,

00:50:11.680 Abbott,

00:50:12.480 believes would

00:50:13.140 make the

00:50:13.500 election safer

00:50:15.760 and more

00:50:16.160 secure,

00:50:17.020 but the

00:50:17.640 critics say

00:50:18.340 it's really

00:50:18.980 voter suppression

00:50:20.140 in disguise.

00:50:22.300 And so the

00:50:22.840 Democrats,

00:50:23.760 because they're

00:50:24.240 in the minority

00:50:24.840 and they would

00:50:25.440 lose the vote,

00:50:26.760 a bunch of

00:50:27.420 them got on

00:50:27.840 a bus and

00:50:28.340 decided to

00:50:28.900 go to

00:50:29.220 Washington,

00:50:29.820 D.C.

00:50:30.640 because there

00:50:31.380 would not be

00:50:31.940 enough lawmakers

00:50:32.960 in the

00:50:34.120 Texas to

00:50:35.560 pass anything.

00:50:36.780 There just

00:50:37.060 wouldn't be a

00:50:37.580 quorum.

00:50:39.140 But here's the

00:50:40.120 great part.

00:50:41.120 Apparently they

00:50:41.780 can be arrested

00:50:42.480 when they come

00:50:43.060 back to Texas.

00:50:46.320 I don't know

00:50:47.120 exactly what the

00:50:47.820 law is that

00:50:48.800 allows them to

00:50:49.340 be arrested,

00:50:50.260 but I saw

00:50:51.640 this reported

00:50:52.280 without any

00:50:52.900 pushback,

00:50:53.800 so maybe it's

00:50:54.620 a real thing.

00:50:55.960 Can the

00:50:56.340 governor have

00:50:56.900 these lawmakers

00:50:57.860 arrested when

00:50:58.840 they get back

00:50:59.320 to Texas?

00:51:00.300 It would have

00:51:00.840 to be in

00:51:01.220 Texas,

00:51:02.220 apparently,

00:51:02.800 but what

00:51:03.680 exactly are

00:51:04.340 they being

00:51:04.640 arrested for?

00:51:07.120 What's the

00:51:07.640 name of that

00:51:08.100 crime?

00:51:09.140 Taking a

00:51:09.620 bus to

00:51:10.020 Washington,

00:51:10.680 D.C.

00:51:11.020 when you're

00:51:11.360 supposed to

00:51:11.720 be working?

00:51:12.560 Is that a

00:51:13.120 crime?

00:51:15.260 I hear it

00:51:15.920 being called

00:51:16.240 an insurrection.

00:51:17.600 I like that.

00:51:18.620 I like where

00:51:19.100 you're going

00:51:19.500 on that.

00:51:20.320 Yes,

00:51:20.800 the Democrats

00:51:21.340 are literally

00:51:24.100 involved in

00:51:25.780 an insurrection

00:51:26.500 against the

00:51:27.140 government of

00:51:28.120 Texas.

00:51:29.060 I feel like

00:51:30.740 insurrection is

00:51:31.420 the right

00:51:31.700 word,

00:51:32.060 right?

00:51:33.520 Is there

00:51:34.100 anybody who

00:51:34.560 would quibble

00:51:35.020 with the

00:51:35.320 use of

00:51:35.760 insurrection

00:51:36.480 if the

00:51:37.440 lawmakers

00:51:37.840 refuse to

00:51:38.740 do their

00:51:39.040 job and

00:51:39.540 leave?

00:51:42.600 There's a

00:51:43.160 precedent for

00:51:43.880 it,

00:51:44.060 I hear.

00:51:47.360 Huh.

00:51:48.600 Interesting.

00:51:49.440 Some kind

00:51:49.960 of precedent

00:51:50.400 for arresting

00:51:51.400 them for

00:51:51.700 leaving,

00:51:52.100 but I still

00:51:52.580 don't know

00:51:53.200 what the

00:51:53.420 crime is.

00:51:54.040 interfering with

00:51:59.020 the political

00:51:59.480 process?

00:52:00.900 Could that

00:52:01.400 be the

00:52:01.680 crime?

00:52:03.340 I can see

00:52:04.100 that.

00:52:04.960 I can see

00:52:05.920 that being

00:52:06.700 exactly what

00:52:07.400 they're doing

00:52:07.720 because they're

00:52:09.180 transparently

00:52:09.780 doing that.

00:52:11.300 I don't think

00:52:11.900 that they're

00:52:12.460 trying to

00:52:13.140 fool anybody.

00:52:13.940 They're

00:52:14.660 transparently

00:52:16.820 interfering with

00:52:18.360 the lawmaking.

00:52:20.320 All right.

00:52:21.180 That is all

00:52:22.400 I have today

00:52:23.140 for this

00:52:24.260 fantastic

00:52:25.120 episode of

00:52:26.980 Coffee with

00:52:27.460 Scott Adams.

00:52:28.860 One of the

00:52:29.460 best things

00:52:29.980 you'll have

00:52:30.600 experienced

00:52:31.760 all day.

00:52:33.360 All right.

00:52:33.960 I'm going to

00:52:34.600 say goodbye

00:52:34.980 to YouTube

00:52:36.620 and I'll

00:52:37.460 talk to my

00:52:38.280 local people

00:52:39.280 here in a

00:52:39.880 moment.

00:52:40.040 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 13, 2021

Episode 1435 Scott Adams： Enjoy Freedom and Coffee While Discussing Idiots in the News

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