Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1441 Scott Adams： Persuasion Tips Based on the Headlines, and Lots More

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody.

00:00:05.060 All of you YouTubers, I've already been talking to the people on Locals, and man, are you 0.77

00:00:12.320 in for a good coffee with Scott Adams today.

00:00:16.360 One of the very best, I dare say, and I haven't even done it yet, that's how confident I am

00:00:21.480 that this will be terrific.

00:00:23.600 And the only thing that could make it better, really the only thing I can think of, nothing

00:00:29.500 else could make this better, except a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chelsea, a

00:00:34.120 canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind, which you would probably fill with your favorite

00:00:39.980 liquid, if you're thinking ahead.

00:00:43.220 I like coffee.

00:00:44.940 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that

00:00:49.940 makes everything better.

00:00:50.640 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it's going to happen now.

00:00:54.280 Go.

00:00:54.500 Oh, so good.

00:01:06.820 Now, let's talk about some of the news.

00:01:11.360 Rasmussen did a poll and asked likely voters, asked the likely voters, who deserves more credit

00:01:22.160 for the COVID-19 vaccinations?

00:01:25.540 Surprisingly, it did not go the way that you would think it would go.

00:01:31.400 Because wouldn't you expect that that question would go purely along political lines?

00:01:36.760 Who did better on the COVID vaccination, Trump or Biden?

00:01:40.960 You'd expect that to be on straight party lines, wouldn't you?

00:01:44.140 You know, any Biden versus Trump question.

00:01:46.080 But no, Trump got 51%, as should get more credit, and Biden only 41%, which is pretty substantial.

00:01:56.640 Pretty substantial.

00:01:58.500 But here's the interesting part about this.

00:02:01.680 In the age group of 40 to 64, and what makes the age group of 40 to 64 interesting?

00:02:09.140 What's interesting about them is that they're the experienced workers.

00:02:16.560 People who have experience in life are between 40 and 64, and they've just got a little bit

00:02:22.020 more vision about what, you know, how things work.

00:02:26.220 And I think that that group had 58% said Trump.

00:02:29.820 So the people who have the most experience in life, you know, before they become senior citizens, 0.53

00:02:37.320 58% of them gave more credit to Trump.

00:02:41.020 Now, here's why.

00:02:43.200 Compare these two tasks.

00:02:46.220 Rolling out vaccinations so that everybody gets it and everybody is informed, and it's paid for.

00:02:52.740 So that's a big logistics issue, right?

00:02:56.100 How do you get all these vaccinations to different places, et cetera?

00:03:00.460 So that's what Biden is mostly doing.

00:03:03.320 Then compare that to getting government institutions to operate four years faster than normal.

00:03:12.460 Right?

00:03:13.660 These are not equal tasks.

00:03:16.200 The task of actually getting the vaccinations out to everybody probably was just a budget question,

00:03:22.380 because I don't think the president was personally coordinating the trucks.

00:03:26.800 You've got to get storage.

00:03:28.420 Do you have enough storage for these trucks?

00:03:30.960 No.

00:03:31.800 No.

00:03:32.140 All that stuff, the states were coordinating it.

00:03:34.860 You know, it was driven down to the lowest, presumably driven down to the lowest operators.

00:03:40.620 You know, the people who knew where the trucks were.

00:03:42.840 Where is my refrigeration?

00:03:45.040 You know, how do I get it there?

00:03:45.880 So I think the Biden stuff would have looked the same under every president.

00:03:50.720 Would you agree with that?

00:03:53.420 That the Biden's contribution to the vaccination rollout, which is impressive.

00:03:59.980 You know, I give him an A, rolling it out.

00:04:05.120 But I think any president would have gotten an A, because the president doesn't even do the work.

00:04:10.160 They just say, roll it out, and then stuff happens.

00:04:13.160 But how hard was it for Trump to get all of these institutions to operate faster?

00:04:18.860 That was bordering on magic.

00:04:22.740 And I'm surprised that there are so many people in the public who notice it.

00:04:27.080 But the real tell is that the working age people, the people with the most experience,

00:04:33.860 they recognize that what Trump did is far more of an accomplishment than what Biden did.

00:04:38.780 Even though what Biden will do is more energy, because, you know, the rollout is a bigger deal

00:04:43.320 than anything, but, yeah, I think Trump properly gets more credit for that.

00:04:52.000 I saw a tweet, which I agree with, from Ian Martisis, who says, and I quote,

00:05:00.140 due to the relatively rapid emergence of COVID variants, I'm just summarizing here.

00:05:09.580 So because there's so many variants popping up, all people will eventually be infected by the virus.

00:05:15.040 Do you agree with that?

00:05:16.620 Now that we know that being vaccinated won't stop you from getting the virus,

00:05:22.420 it just reduces the symptoms,

00:05:24.260 would you say it's true, given that we're now in our second season and this virus is not burning out?

00:05:32.240 It's actually getting stronger.

00:05:35.280 I hate to say it, but it's getting stronger.

00:05:39.320 Remember even the Spanish flu burned out in a year?

00:05:42.620 Or did it take two?

00:05:43.900 I can't remember the Spanish flu.

00:05:45.880 But I don't feel like this thing's burning out.

00:05:48.700 Now, it feels permanent, which also suggests it's engineered, of course.

00:05:54.640 But it feels like it's here to stay.

00:05:57.720 So when you make your decisions about how to handle your life from here on in,

00:06:04.340 do you assume you'll get it or assume that you won't?

00:06:08.820 Because I agree with this.

00:06:10.280 I think basically almost everybody's going to get it.

00:06:13.140 Maybe 85%, something like that.

00:06:15.140 So let's say you're going to make your decisions.

00:06:21.860 Here is your persuasion tip if you're the government.

00:06:27.980 You ready for this?

00:06:29.740 You're going to like this one.

00:06:32.720 There's somebody who says that they turn off the live stream

00:06:35.540 when I tease you about how good something's going to be before I say it.

00:06:41.360 But I do it anyway.

00:06:45.140 If I were going to advise the government how to get people vaccinated,

00:06:50.320 I would say this.

00:06:52.520 Probably if you have comorbidities, you've already gotten vaccinated.

00:06:58.020 Probably, right?

00:06:59.280 The people with comorbidities are far more vaccinated

00:07:01.820 because it just makes sense.

00:07:03.800 Their risk is different than everybody else's.

00:07:05.900 But how do you get somebody vaccinated who's under 40 and healthy? 0.96

00:07:12.980 That's the problem, right?

00:07:16.060 Because if you say to somebody who's under 40 and healthy,

00:07:20.120 hey, you get vaccinated, they'll usually say,

00:07:22.780 well, tell me what's the risk of the vaccination itself,

00:07:25.900 which is non-zero.

00:07:27.260 There's a risk.

00:07:28.680 And what's the risk of dying from COVID?

00:07:32.660 And they're going to say, I don't know,

00:07:35.020 but the risk of COVID is vanishingly small,

00:07:37.680 but I don't know enough about this vaccination.

00:07:39.700 So, you know, everybody's guessing

00:07:43.420 because you don't really know the odds of anything.

00:07:46.960 But a reasonable person could say, I'll wait it out.

00:07:52.200 Would you agree?

00:07:54.000 Would all of you agree that a reasonable, healthy young person

00:07:58.280 could make a reasonable decision

00:08:01.480 if the only thing they're looking at is the risk of death,

00:08:05.920 it would be reasonable not to take the vaccination?

00:08:08.200 Do I get banned for saying that?

00:08:11.160 But hold on, don't ban me yet.

00:08:13.160 There's a punchline coming.

00:08:14.820 Don't ban me.

00:08:16.140 Don't ban me.

00:08:17.000 I'm going to say something state approved in a moment here

00:08:19.560 and redeem myself.

00:08:21.820 It goes like this.

00:08:23.400 Suppose they change the branding for what the vaccine is.

00:08:27.900 Because right now, you think of it as a thing

00:08:29.900 that keeps you alive, right?

00:08:32.120 Right?

00:08:32.540 If the only thing the virus did was make you pretty sick,

00:08:37.640 we wouldn't be that worried about it.

00:08:39.920 You'd get plenty sick.

00:08:41.240 You'd get over it.

00:08:42.060 It would be just like when I was a kid.

00:08:43.740 We would just get chicken pox and just get over it.

00:08:47.720 But suppose you change the branding for people under 40

00:08:52.020 and you called the vaccination, wait for it, wait for it,

00:08:57.220 the treatment for, or the prevention for long-haul COVID.

00:09:03.380 And you don't even talk about the risk of death.

00:09:06.640 You know why?

00:09:07.940 Because if you're under 40, you think your risk of death

00:09:10.320 is so small that you don't even put it in your decision.

00:09:14.180 But if you're trying to persuade people to get vaccinated,

00:09:17.540 if they're healthy and, say, under 40, just to pick a number,

00:09:20.340 I would say, hey, would you like the vaccination

00:09:25.080 to prevent long-haul COVID?

00:09:28.120 Now, they might say, come on, how likely is it

00:09:32.260 that I'll get long-haul COVID?

00:09:34.720 Well, what are the chances?

00:09:36.560 So I looked that up before I got on here.

00:09:38.700 There's at least one study that says you have a 25% chance

00:09:42.160 of long-haul COVID.

00:09:44.980 Now, go back to the prior tweet.

00:09:47.780 Remember Ian Martisis?

00:09:50.340 He's telling us, in his view, this is just an opinion,

00:09:54.440 kind of speculative, that we'll all get infected.

00:09:58.900 Suppose that's true.

00:10:01.140 I think it's reasonable.

00:10:02.880 I don't know what the odds are that everybody will get infected,

00:10:05.340 but it looks like it.

00:10:07.100 I mean, if I had to guess,

00:10:08.200 I'd say 85% will be infected eventually.

00:10:11.320 But I don't know that for sure.

00:10:13.280 However, it's reasonable.

00:10:14.180 Now, suppose you had nearly 100% chance,

00:10:17.840 or 85% chance, let's say,

00:10:19.540 of getting infected

00:10:21.080 and a 25% chance of long-haul problems.

00:10:27.680 Would you take a vaccine

00:10:29.300 that was only to prevent the long-haul problems?

00:10:33.460 And that's all they sold it to you for.

00:10:35.480 It's like, hey, if you're over 40,

00:10:36.880 we've got a vaccination that will keep you from dying.

00:10:39.180 Because that's what you care about.

00:10:42.220 If you're under 40 and you're healthy,

00:10:44.080 no comorbidities,

00:10:45.920 we've got this vaccine

00:10:47.460 that will prevent you from getting long-haul COVID.

00:10:51.280 It's different, right?

00:10:53.220 Because every time I argue,

00:10:55.240 if not argue,

00:10:56.120 but any time I talk with somebody who's anti-vaccine,

00:10:59.400 they only talk about the risk of death.

00:11:01.380 So don't talk about that.

00:11:05.360 Talk about long-haul.

00:11:07.140 Do you want the long-haul vaccine or not?

00:11:10.420 That's what it is.

00:11:11.860 Because honestly,

00:11:12.720 the risk of death

00:11:13.440 from either the vaccination itself

00:11:15.300 or from COVID

00:11:16.980 is so low,

00:11:19.700 stop talking about it.

00:11:21.420 It just doesn't matter anymore

00:11:23.120 to decision-making.

00:11:24.880 It definitely matters if you die.

00:11:27.300 You know,

00:11:27.520 if your family member happens to be

00:11:29.020 one of the few people who die,

00:11:30.540 yeah, that matters, of course.

00:11:32.220 That's tragic.

00:11:33.360 But it doesn't matter to you and I

00:11:34.940 for our decision-making.

00:11:36.160 The risk is too small.

00:11:37.620 You don't make a decision

00:11:38.560 when you go to get bread

00:11:39.700 that you're going to die. 0.94

00:11:42.000 But you might, right?

00:11:44.220 You go to buy a loaf of bread,

00:11:46.000 you might die.

00:11:47.420 But you don't put it in your decision-making

00:11:49.720 because it's too small.

00:11:52.200 Now, here's another percentage

00:11:53.700 that I don't know the answer to.

00:11:56.060 Let's say it's true 0.99

00:11:57.040 that 25% of people

00:11:58.880 who get COVID

00:12:00.260 get some long-haul symptoms.

00:12:03.080 They seem to be

00:12:04.320 along the lines of inflammation,

00:12:06.560 don't they?

00:12:08.280 Is everything that

00:12:09.680 COVID long-haul does to you,

00:12:12.140 is it all under the umbrella

00:12:13.600 of inflammation?

00:12:15.200 Like inflamed organs

00:12:16.540 and inflamed brain? 1.00

00:12:19.400 And here's my question.

00:12:21.280 What do we know about the permanent,

00:12:23.820 the risk of permanent danger?

00:12:25.260 could we say that maybe

00:12:28.100 4%?

00:12:30.460 I'm just making this number up, right?

00:12:32.780 Could you say that 4%

00:12:34.280 of all the people

00:12:35.140 who get long-haul,

00:12:36.940 or maybe just 4%

00:12:39.020 of the people

00:12:39.600 who get COVID,

00:12:41.640 could get some kind of

00:12:42.600 permanent

00:12:43.140 restructuring of their organs

00:12:46.420 that might not be optimal?

00:12:49.720 I don't know.

00:12:51.300 I don't know.

00:12:52.160 But I'll tell you,

00:12:53.060 if it is that high,

00:12:54.900 I don't want to know about it.

00:12:56.240 All right,

00:12:56.540 changing the topic.

00:12:59.160 The founder of the 1619

00:13:00.800 project,

00:13:01.880 you probably all know her,

00:13:03.780 Nicole Hannah-Jones.

00:13:05.560 So she's getting criticized

00:13:06.840 because at some point

00:13:08.000 she had been asked

00:13:09.220 in an interview

00:13:09.800 what was the most,

00:13:11.580 I guess,

00:13:12.740 equal country.

00:13:14.260 A country where

00:13:14.980 there was the least racism,

00:13:16.420 I believe,

00:13:16.800 was the context.

00:13:18.620 And she answered

00:13:20.120 that it might be Cuba.

00:13:22.580 And noted that Cuba

00:13:23.680 does very well

00:13:24.840 in having a variety

00:13:26.340 of black and brown

00:13:27.660 and white people

00:13:28.380 and seems to handle

00:13:30.340 that diversity

00:13:31.680 better than other countries.

00:13:33.760 Now,

00:13:34.340 as you might expect,

00:13:36.540 people said,

00:13:37.320 you know,

00:13:37.700 that comes with

00:13:38.320 a big dose of socialism,

00:13:40.020 that comes with

00:13:40.880 a big dose

00:13:41.480 of you don't have

00:13:42.100 any food.

00:13:44.500 So there's a downside.

00:13:47.180 But are they related?

00:13:49.920 Are they related?

00:13:51.660 Is it the socialism

00:13:52.840 that's somehow

00:13:55.840 causing them

00:13:57.600 to have a good result?

00:14:00.420 Why would socialism

00:14:01.620 cause you to have

00:14:02.560 a better result

00:14:03.340 integrating people?

00:14:05.260 Is it because

00:14:06.200 there would be

00:14:06.580 no rich people?

00:14:08.580 Yeah,

00:14:08.860 everybody's equal

00:14:09.560 because we're in poverty,

00:14:10.640 right?

00:14:11.780 I feel like

00:14:12.540 that's what's going on.

00:14:15.100 That the way

00:14:15.900 you get equality

00:14:17.080 is by destroying

00:14:18.640 the economy

00:14:19.320 so that you don't

00:14:20.140 have rich people.

00:14:22.660 Yeah,

00:14:23.120 so she's getting

00:14:24.140 criticized for that,

00:14:26.600 maybe quite reasonably.

00:14:29.320 But here's my question.

00:14:31.280 Hold in your mind

00:14:32.460 an image

00:14:33.320 of Nicole Hannah-Jones,

00:14:36.100 the founder

00:14:36.660 of the 1619 Project.

00:14:38.320 And if there's

00:14:39.880 somebody on Locals

00:14:40.700 who wants to

00:14:41.260 paste in a photo

00:14:42.560 for the rest of you,

00:14:43.540 that would help.

00:14:44.740 Now,

00:14:45.020 I'm not going to

00:14:45.500 show it to you here

00:14:46.300 because then it gets

00:14:48.040 taken out of context

00:14:49.060 and blah, blah, blah.

00:14:51.040 And I don't believe

00:14:52.940 in making fun

00:14:54.620 of people's appearances

00:14:55.760 as a general rule.

00:14:57.680 But if somebody

00:15:00.340 makes a fashion choice,

00:15:03.060 I think you can

00:15:03.920 comment on that,

00:15:05.460 right?

00:15:06.340 So if somebody

00:15:06.980 just is not attractive,

00:15:08.460 I don't think that's,

00:15:09.740 you know,

00:15:10.240 that's not reasonable

00:15:11.680 to bring up in public.

00:15:13.240 No reason for it.

00:15:14.960 But suppose

00:15:15.480 somebody consciously

00:15:16.900 chooses a look

00:15:18.040 to present

00:15:19.520 something.

00:15:21.280 Let's say

00:15:21.920 Hillary Clinton

00:15:23.820 would wear her

00:15:24.740 pantsuits,

00:15:25.400 which I think

00:15:27.240 was actually

00:15:27.660 a pretty good choice

00:15:28.500 to make her look

00:15:29.420 professional, etc.

00:15:31.080 Could I comment

00:15:32.160 on Hillary Clinton's

00:15:34.900 pantsuit?

00:15:35.820 I think yes.

00:15:37.200 I think yes.

00:15:38.540 Could I comment

00:15:39.360 on Donald Trump's

00:15:40.880 haircut?

00:15:42.420 I say yes

00:15:43.220 because that's a choice.

00:15:45.000 He wasn't born

00:15:45.980 with a haircut.

00:15:47.480 It's a choice.

00:15:48.160 Likewise,

00:15:50.920 Project 1619 founder

00:15:53.040 Nicole Hannah-Jones

00:15:54.120 has made a fashion

00:15:55.960 choice to have,

00:15:57.540 okay,

00:15:58.160 on Locals

00:15:58.760 we're seeing

00:15:59.120 a picture of her,

00:16:00.800 to have red hair,

00:16:02.800 dyed red hair,

00:16:04.000 that sort of

00:16:05.740 tufts out

00:16:06.340 in two directions.

00:16:07.900 So rather than

00:16:08.620 being,

00:16:09.140 let's say,

00:16:09.600 fully rounded

00:16:10.320 like, say,

00:16:11.160 the head of a mushroom,

00:16:12.660 it's more

00:16:13.740 distributed

00:16:15.000 toward two directions.

00:16:16.780 Is it just me

00:16:19.200 or do you see

00:16:21.220 Bozo the Clown?

00:16:23.360 Now,

00:16:23.920 find a picture

00:16:24.600 of Bozo the Clown

00:16:25.580 and again,

00:16:27.680 I'm not trying

00:16:28.580 to be unkind.

00:16:29.880 We're talking

00:16:30.240 about persuasion.

00:16:31.860 I'm talking about

00:16:32.480 somebody who's

00:16:33.280 a public figure

00:16:34.080 who makes

00:16:35.220 conscious decisions

00:16:36.380 about her appearance

00:16:37.500 who has decided

00:16:39.260 to go with

00:16:40.880 a look

00:16:41.300 which,

00:16:42.720 to my mind,

00:16:44.600 suggests

00:16:45.240 Bozo the Clown.

00:16:47.360 Like,

00:16:47.620 that's the first

00:16:48.160 thing I think

00:16:48.660 of.

00:16:49.440 And I'm not

00:16:49.960 trying to be

00:16:50.960 unkind.

00:16:51.840 We're talking

00:16:52.340 about the

00:16:53.180 topic of

00:16:54.180 persuasion.

00:16:55.540 Right?

00:16:55.940 If you're trying

00:16:56.760 to persuade

00:16:57.500 somebody on a

00:16:58.620 deadly serious

00:17:00.000 topic,

00:17:01.500 racism,

00:17:02.900 right,

00:17:03.200 slavery,

00:17:04.480 like deadly,

00:17:05.400 literally deadly

00:17:06.220 serious topics,

00:17:07.920 do you want

00:17:08.960 to pick a look

00:17:09.720 that reminds

00:17:11.120 people of

00:17:11.820 Bozo the Clown?

00:17:13.680 No.

00:17:14.860 No,

00:17:15.360 don't do

00:17:15.740 that.

00:17:16.940 So that

00:17:17.480 would be

00:17:17.800 a persuasion

00:17:18.620 fail.

00:17:19.700 If anybody

00:17:20.800 looks at

00:17:21.240 your look

00:17:21.660 and says

00:17:22.140 to themselves,

00:17:23.440 I think

00:17:24.040 I'm being

00:17:24.400 reminded of

00:17:25.120 something,

00:17:25.620 it's either

00:17:26.160 Bozo the Clown

00:17:28.200 or a rat.

00:17:37.840 I hear a

00:17:38.620 piano being

00:17:39.160 played at

00:17:43.020 7.17 in the

00:17:44.180 morning.

00:17:44.540 That's weird.

00:17:45.720 Okay,

00:17:46.120 I don't know

00:17:46.460 what that's

00:17:46.780 all about.

00:17:49.360 One of the

00:17:49.960 things about

00:17:50.360 being me is

00:17:50.900 I never know

00:17:51.360 who's living

00:17:51.820 in my house

00:17:52.400 at any

00:17:52.740 moment,

00:17:53.380 but apparently

00:17:53.900 there's more

00:17:54.400 than one

00:17:54.700 piano player.

00:17:58.900 So here's

00:17:59.740 my other

00:18:00.120 comment about

00:18:01.040 Hannah

00:18:01.980 Nicole

00:18:02.440 Jones.

00:18:04.460 No,

00:18:04.680 Nicole

00:18:04.980 Hannah

00:18:05.280 Jones.

00:18:06.280 She's got

00:18:06.880 one of those

00:18:07.200 names that

00:18:07.580 you can put

00:18:07.920 in any

00:18:08.260 order.

00:18:09.260 Let's call

00:18:09.640 her

00:18:09.880 Nicole

00:18:10.320 Hannah

00:18:10.560 Jones.

00:18:11.820 And

00:18:12.080 if you

00:18:14.840 have a look

00:18:15.360 that looks

00:18:15.800 like Bozo

00:18:16.320 the Clown,

00:18:17.420 it makes

00:18:17.920 it seem

00:18:18.440 as though

00:18:18.920 you don't

00:18:20.600 have any

00:18:21.020 friends who

00:18:21.620 can be

00:18:21.940 honest with

00:18:22.540 you.

00:18:22.720 doesn't

00:18:24.680 it feel

00:18:25.020 like that's

00:18:25.480 true?

00:18:27.220 Somebody

00:18:27.620 in the

00:18:28.500 comments says

00:18:29.060 you're like

00:18:29.520 Larry David.

00:18:30.900 True.

00:18:32.080 So for

00:18:32.560 quite a number

00:18:33.280 of years

00:18:33.680 people have

00:18:34.200 said to me

00:18:34.640 you remind

00:18:35.560 me of

00:18:35.920 somebody.

00:18:37.280 It's often

00:18:37.940 Larry David.

00:18:39.240 So I

00:18:39.700 accept that.

00:18:40.980 I accept

00:18:41.440 that.

00:18:42.100 Now there's

00:18:42.300 not much

00:18:42.600 I can do

00:18:43.000 about it.

00:18:43.720 I don't

00:18:44.300 have much

00:18:44.660 to work

00:18:45.020 with here.

00:18:46.180 But it

00:18:46.880 certainly

00:18:47.160 would be

00:18:47.540 worth noting

00:18:48.240 if it

00:18:48.940 was some

00:18:49.260 choice I

00:18:49.740 made.

00:18:50.520 All

00:18:50.600 right.

00:18:50.720 here's

00:18:52.760 something I

00:18:53.200 learned about

00:18:54.120 Epstein's

00:18:55.380 death in

00:18:56.400 jail.

00:18:57.700 I guess

00:18:58.240 there's a

00:18:58.560 new book

00:18:58.900 coming out

00:18:59.500 by

00:19:00.340 investigative

00:19:01.860 reporter

00:19:02.500 Julie

00:19:02.860 Brown 0.70

00:19:03.280 called

00:19:03.640 The

00:19:03.820 Jeffrey

00:19:04.080 Epstein

00:19:04.400 Story.

00:19:05.740 Perversion

00:19:06.260 of

00:19:06.460 Justice

00:19:06.860 the

00:19:07.220 Jeffrey

00:19:07.700 Epstein

00:19:08.000 story

00:19:08.380 is

00:19:08.540 called.

00:19:09.660 And

00:19:09.880 here's

00:19:10.160 what she

00:19:10.500 says

00:19:10.880 that I

00:19:11.360 did

00:19:11.540 not

00:19:11.740 know.

00:19:12.960 Here's

00:19:13.220 a little

00:19:13.460 bit

00:19:13.620 more

00:19:13.880 about

00:19:14.340 Epstein's

00:19:15.200 cellmate.

00:19:16.840 Do you

00:19:17.440 know

00:19:17.580 anything

00:19:17.820 about

00:19:18.080 Epstein's

00:19:18.700 cellmate?

00:19:20.720 Well,

00:19:21.920 his name

00:19:22.380 was

00:19:22.620 Nicholas

00:19:23.160 Tartaglione.

00:19:26.320 Tartaglione.

00:19:28.040 Okay.

00:19:28.980 He's

00:19:29.480 described as

00:19:30.380 a hulking

00:19:30.940 ex-cop

00:19:31.880 facing the

00:19:33.380 death penalty

00:19:34.200 on federal

00:19:36.680 murder and

00:19:37.300 drug charges.

00:19:38.000 I think he

00:19:38.360 killed four

00:19:38.940 people.

00:19:40.600 And he

00:19:40.960 was Epstein's

00:19:41.660 cellmate.

00:19:43.480 Now,

00:19:43.840 Epstein

00:19:44.200 was not

00:19:45.720 dangerous in

00:19:46.700 that normal

00:19:47.260 way,

00:19:47.760 you know,

00:19:47.980 the violence

00:19:48.700 way.

00:19:49.260 He was

00:19:49.560 obviously

00:19:50.160 plenty

00:19:50.620 physically

00:19:51.600 dangerous

00:19:52.160 in his

00:19:52.640 way.

00:19:53.880 But

00:19:54.240 is that

00:19:54.820 normal?

00:19:55.140 You put

00:19:56.600 somebody on

00:19:57.120 death row

00:19:57.680 in with

00:19:58.160 an Epstein?

00:19:59.360 Is that

00:20:00.080 normal

00:20:00.420 procedure?

00:20:02.040 Don't

00:20:02.300 know.

00:20:03.580 But

00:20:03.840 apparently

00:20:05.280 here's the

00:20:05.860 part that

00:20:06.260 blew me

00:20:06.660 away.

00:20:07.780 Tartaglione

00:20:08.260 had an

00:20:08.980 illegal

00:20:09.420 cell phone.

00:20:12.920 Epstein's

00:20:13.520 cellmate

00:20:14.460 had a

00:20:15.800 cell phone.

00:20:18.200 He had

00:20:19.060 it.

00:20:19.560 He had

00:20:20.080 a cell

00:20:20.480 phone.

00:20:24.020 Here's

00:20:24.460 my

00:20:24.660 question.

00:20:25.880 How many

00:20:26.440 prisoners

00:20:26.940 have an

00:20:27.560 illegal

00:20:27.900 cell phone?

00:20:28.740 Like,

00:20:28.940 as a

00:20:29.160 percentage?

00:20:30.580 Is it

00:20:30.880 a lot?

00:20:31.960 I mean,

00:20:32.180 maybe it's

00:20:32.580 a lot.

00:20:33.340 How the

00:20:33.680 hell do

00:20:33.940 you smuggle

00:20:34.360 in a

00:20:34.660 cell phone?

00:20:35.100 It has

00:20:35.300 to be

00:20:35.520 through the

00:20:35.960 staff,

00:20:36.400 right?

00:20:37.280 Can

00:20:37.600 you get

00:20:38.000 a cell

00:20:38.480 phone to

00:20:38.940 a prisoner

00:20:39.380 in any

00:20:40.820 way except

00:20:41.640 through the

00:20:42.140 staff,

00:20:43.560 the guards,

00:20:45.400 right?

00:20:46.680 You'd

00:20:47.120 have to

00:20:47.540 have an

00:20:47.840 insider

00:20:48.360 being in

00:20:49.620 on that,

00:20:50.020 wouldn't

00:20:50.260 you?

00:20:51.640 I mean,

00:20:52.020 especially

00:20:52.780 because I

00:20:55.060 believe

00:20:55.500 Epstein's

00:20:56.700 cell had a

00:20:57.440 camera in

00:20:57.920 it.

00:20:58.880 So the

00:20:59.620 cellmate

00:21:00.400 apparently had

00:21:02.060 an illegal

00:21:02.580 phone in

00:21:03.940 a cell that

00:21:04.540 was being

00:21:04.940 monitored by

00:21:05.620 cameras.

00:21:06.100 how do

00:21:08.780 you get

00:21:08.960 away with

00:21:09.300 that?

00:21:11.360 How does

00:21:12.020 the jail

00:21:12.560 not have

00:21:13.600 some way

00:21:14.000 to detect

00:21:14.700 a cell

00:21:15.300 phone by

00:21:15.720 now?

00:21:16.720 Can't you

00:21:17.120 detect a

00:21:17.760 cell phone?

00:21:18.480 Is there

00:21:18.960 no device

00:21:19.720 that will

00:21:20.520 tell you

00:21:20.860 that a

00:21:21.240 cell phone

00:21:21.660 signal is

00:21:22.200 being given

00:21:22.680 off nearby?

00:21:25.400 How do

00:21:26.040 you have a

00:21:26.460 cell phone

00:21:26.880 in jail

00:21:27.360 in 2021

00:21:28.220 unless

00:21:28.760 they're not

00:21:29.180 trying very

00:21:29.700 hard to

00:21:30.060 prevent it?

00:21:31.620 So I

00:21:32.020 would say

00:21:32.320 that's

00:21:32.620 pretty damning.

00:21:33.400 And then

00:21:36.240 cell officials

00:21:36.880 say that

00:21:37.420 the contents

00:21:38.020 of this

00:21:38.560 illegal phone

00:21:39.280 was quote

00:21:39.860 inadvertently

00:21:41.400 destroyed.

00:21:42.760 The contents

00:21:43.760 of his

00:21:44.140 phone was

00:21:45.700 inadvertently

00:21:46.420 destroyed

00:21:47.040 because that

00:21:49.160 happens.

00:21:50.280 Right.

00:21:50.780 Most important

00:21:51.620 investigation of

00:21:53.620 the last

00:21:54.580 10 years

00:21:55.060 probably and

00:21:56.500 some evidence

00:21:57.180 just inadvertently

00:21:58.320 because nobody

00:21:59.440 thought to save

00:22:00.180 any evidence.

00:22:01.140 It was like

00:22:01.300 well most

00:22:01.820 important

00:22:02.340 alleged

00:22:03.840 suicide

00:22:04.280 ever but

00:22:05.180 you know

00:22:05.800 better not

00:22:06.880 save any

00:22:07.480 evidence.

00:22:09.080 So that's

00:22:09.940 all looking

00:22:10.380 pretty

00:22:11.060 unusual.

00:22:17.060 God I

00:22:17.760 wish I

00:22:18.060 could tell

00:22:18.400 you some

00:22:18.740 of the

00:22:18.900 things I

00:22:19.240 know.

00:22:20.140 One of

00:22:20.700 the hard

00:22:21.600 things about

00:22:22.140 being me

00:22:22.660 is that

00:22:24.180 I do

00:22:24.600 hear news

00:22:25.840 like long

00:22:26.700 before you

00:22:27.260 do.

00:22:28.240 Sometimes

00:22:28.620 months

00:22:29.360 if not

00:22:30.520 years

00:22:31.000 before you

00:22:32.260 hear it

00:22:32.740 and there's

00:22:33.720 stuff I

00:22:34.160 hear that

00:22:34.560 I just

00:22:34.820 can't tell

00:22:35.280 you and

00:22:36.380 it's

00:22:36.820 well I

00:22:39.480 know it's

00:22:40.400 annoying when

00:22:40.880 I say

00:22:41.140 that.

00:22:41.840 So let's

00:22:42.120 talk about

00:22:42.500 the Tokyo

00:22:43.220 Olympics.

00:22:45.140 Reportedly

00:22:45.620 and I don't

00:22:46.180 really believe

00:22:46.720 this story

00:22:47.260 but we're

00:22:49.000 going to go

00:22:49.400 with this

00:22:49.860 because I

00:22:50.400 think this

00:22:50.760 is fake

00:22:51.160 news but

00:22:51.740 it's fun.

00:22:52.980 It's fun

00:22:53.480 fake news.

00:22:55.760 Allegedly the

00:22:56.920 beds for the

00:22:58.000 athletes are

00:22:59.200 made out of

00:22:59.820 cardboard and

00:23:00.840 they're designed

00:23:01.520 so that they

00:23:02.760 will collapse

00:23:03.760 under the

00:23:04.360 weight of

00:23:04.820 fornication.

00:23:07.560 That's right.

00:23:09.100 You can

00:23:09.500 sleep on

00:23:09.980 them fine

00:23:10.520 but if you

00:23:12.680 get all

00:23:13.060 busy on

00:23:13.620 them and

00:23:14.540 you become

00:23:15.080 an Olympic

00:23:16.640 fornicator

00:23:17.400 these beds

00:23:19.360 are designed

00:23:19.920 to collapse.

00:23:20.900 Now let me

00:23:21.560 stop and say

00:23:22.180 I don't believe

00:23:22.800 anything about

00:23:23.400 this story.

00:23:24.500 I do not

00:23:25.040 believe that

00:23:26.020 beds were

00:23:26.480 designed

00:23:27.060 intentionally

00:23:28.100 to prevent

00:23:29.540 fornication

00:23:30.420 at the

00:23:31.040 Olympics.

00:23:31.960 But it

00:23:32.360 is a story.

00:23:33.940 Right?

00:23:34.440 So I'm

00:23:34.780 going to

00:23:35.040 talk about

00:23:35.560 it because

00:23:36.480 it's a

00:23:36.820 story but

00:23:37.340 I don't

00:23:37.600 believe it's

00:23:37.980 true.

00:23:38.580 However it

00:23:39.260 raises some

00:23:39.920 interesting

00:23:40.420 questions.

00:23:41.880 If you're

00:23:42.580 a young

00:23:43.100 single person

00:23:43.800 at the

00:23:44.160 Olympics and

00:23:44.700 you're

00:23:44.900 competing

00:23:45.300 which of

00:23:46.920 the other

00:23:47.320 athletes

00:23:47.940 looks the

00:23:49.180 sexiest

00:23:49.680 to you?

00:23:51.420 I'm

00:23:51.700 wondering do

00:23:52.400 they have

00:23:52.760 a lot of

00:23:53.340 private

00:23:53.620 conversations

00:23:54.240 over lunch

00:23:54.960 like

00:23:55.360 I've

00:23:56.980 got to

00:23:57.160 get me

00:23:57.420 a gymnast.

00:23:58.700 Why?

00:23:59.080 Because you

00:23:59.440 think they're

00:23:59.840 sexy?

00:24:00.860 No because

00:24:01.620 I have a

00:24:02.120 cardboard bed

00:24:03.080 and I need

00:24:03.640 the smallest

00:24:04.260 amount of

00:24:04.840 weight and

00:24:07.040 I'm thinking

00:24:07.480 gymnast. 0.87

00:24:09.140 98 pounds.

00:24:10.700 You know?

00:24:11.440 I could

00:24:11.740 probably make

00:24:12.280 that work.

00:24:13.680 Or is it

00:24:14.580 the javelin

00:24:15.240 throwers?

00:24:16.700 Is it just

00:24:17.560 something about

00:24:18.460 the javelin?

00:24:19.300 You know

00:24:19.540 what I mean?

00:24:20.080 You know

00:24:20.280 what I mean?

00:24:20.840 Wink wink

00:24:21.280 wink.

00:24:21.780 Javelin

00:24:22.220 thrower?

00:24:23.200 Yeah?

00:24:24.020 Do the

00:24:24.500 ladies like 1.00

00:24:24.980 the javelin

00:24:25.520 thrower?

00:24:25.880 You know

00:24:26.040 what I

00:24:26.220 mean?

00:24:26.500 You know

00:24:26.700 what I

00:24:26.900 mean?

00:24:27.700 Okay.

00:24:28.940 Or is it

00:24:29.480 the weight

00:24:29.740 lifters?

00:24:30.700 Is it

00:24:30.980 the big

00:24:31.240 bulky

00:24:31.560 guys?

00:24:32.140 Is it

00:24:32.400 or do

00:24:33.680 they like

00:24:34.060 the freaks?

00:24:35.560 They like

00:24:36.220 the ones

00:24:37.080 who can

00:24:37.440 ski and

00:24:38.400 shoot?

00:24:39.680 Yeah.

00:24:40.780 You get

00:24:41.460 a lover

00:24:42.940 who can

00:24:43.460 ski and

00:24:44.220 shoot and

00:24:44.940 you've got

00:24:45.140 to ask

00:24:45.460 yourself

00:24:45.840 what else

00:24:47.180 can they

00:24:47.540 do?

00:24:48.620 Yeah.

00:24:49.360 Can they

00:24:49.740 tickle your

00:24:50.220 balls? 0.91

00:24:50.760 Well never

00:24:51.300 mind.

00:24:52.120 Never

00:24:52.380 mind.

00:24:52.640 I'm just

00:24:53.240 saying that

00:24:53.640 some athletes

00:24:54.260 can multitask.

00:24:56.060 They're better

00:24:56.440 at two

00:24:58.180 things.

00:24:58.960 Some people

00:24:59.340 can only do

00:24:59.800 one thing.

00:25:00.840 Some people

00:25:01.240 can only

00:25:01.600 shoot.

00:25:02.560 Some people

00:25:03.060 can only

00:25:03.520 ski.

00:25:04.640 But some

00:25:05.100 people can

00:25:06.340 shoot and

00:25:06.860 ski.

00:25:08.360 And I'm

00:25:09.100 saying that

00:25:09.680 could be a

00:25:10.320 tell for a

00:25:10.820 good lover.

00:25:11.980 Not every

00:25:12.520 time but I

00:25:13.240 feel like the

00:25:13.940 odds are in

00:25:14.420 your favor.

00:25:14.800 Yeah.

00:25:17.580 Anyway these

00:25:18.320 are the

00:25:18.540 questions I

00:25:19.040 think of.

00:25:19.580 Which Olympic

00:25:20.260 athletes would

00:25:20.940 be the best

00:25:21.380 lovers?

00:25:21.660 I said

00:25:24.080 the other

00:25:24.340 day there

00:25:24.680 should be

00:25:24.960 a fleet

00:25:25.660 of drones.

00:25:28.020 How is

00:25:29.120 the word

00:25:29.420 drone exactly

00:25:30.440 appearing on

00:25:32.140 my screen

00:25:32.720 in the

00:25:33.020 comments?

00:25:34.460 Exactly as

00:25:35.440 I said

00:25:35.940 the story

00:25:37.120 about drones.

00:25:37.820 That's weird.

00:25:39.400 Anyway I

00:25:40.940 asked I said

00:25:41.780 there should

00:25:42.060 be drones

00:25:42.560 for forest

00:25:43.180 fires.

00:25:44.620 In other

00:25:45.060 words drones

00:25:45.820 that are

00:25:46.100 looking for

00:25:46.640 forest fires

00:25:47.400 and spotting

00:25:48.100 them but

00:25:49.100 also an

00:25:50.000 army of

00:25:50.600 drones to

00:25:51.260 bring water

00:25:51.880 and try

00:25:52.620 to get to

00:25:53.900 the fire

00:25:54.200 as quickly

00:25:54.620 as possible.

00:25:55.960 Now the

00:25:56.440 drones that

00:25:57.260 could bring

00:25:57.620 water are

00:25:58.320 probably a

00:25:58.780 pretty big

00:25:59.180 problem because

00:25:59.840 how do you

00:26:00.180 load them up

00:26:00.700 with water

00:26:01.260 without a

00:26:02.360 pilot?

00:26:03.020 I suppose

00:26:03.300 that's pretty

00:26:03.720 hard.

00:26:04.900 But could be

00:26:05.460 done.

00:26:06.340 It's certainly

00:26:06.900 well within the

00:26:07.760 ability of

00:26:08.640 technology someday

00:26:09.780 if we spend

00:26:10.540 enough money

00:26:11.040 to have drones

00:26:12.340 that would fly

00:26:13.160 down and grab 0.77

00:26:13.860 water.

00:26:17.140 Hey Carpe,

00:26:18.200 good to see you

00:26:19.280 and all the

00:26:19.780 Olympic

00:26:20.080 fornicators.

00:26:22.400 But it

00:26:22.920 turns out that

00:26:23.580 California does

00:26:24.400 have a fleet

00:26:25.640 of drones.

00:26:26.880 Did not know

00:26:27.480 that.

00:26:28.220 So we do

00:26:28.600 have a fleet

00:26:29.060 of drones

00:26:29.560 that I think

00:26:30.420 are just

00:26:30.740 looking for

00:26:31.360 fires.

00:26:31.880 They're not

00:26:32.180 treating them.

00:26:34.760 And maybe

00:26:35.280 small volume

00:26:36.860 of chemical

00:26:37.440 foam.

00:26:38.200 Exactly.

00:26:39.080 So if you

00:26:39.780 cut the fire

00:26:40.420 fast enough

00:26:41.460 maybe 100

00:26:44.740 drones with

00:26:45.740 chemical

00:26:46.440 retardant 1.00

00:26:47.120 because it's

00:26:47.640 not as heavy

00:26:48.200 I'm guessing

00:26:48.800 as water.

00:26:50.780 Maybe.

00:26:52.000 Maybe that

00:26:52.680 gets it done.

00:26:54.560 But if I

00:26:55.440 were the

00:26:56.220 California

00:26:56.680 governor here

00:26:57.420 is my

00:26:57.880 persuasion

00:26:58.700 tip.

00:27:00.360 Persuasion

00:27:00.880 tip.

00:27:02.060 I would be

00:27:02.960 talking more

00:27:03.600 about this

00:27:04.120 stuff.

00:27:05.140 Because the

00:27:05.880 news is all

00:27:06.460 about stuff

00:27:06.960 burning up.

00:27:08.060 It's just

00:27:08.380 non-stop bad

00:27:09.300 news and what

00:27:09.940 are you doing

00:27:10.300 about it.

00:27:11.060 And if you're

00:27:11.520 a citizen it

00:27:12.120 looks like the

00:27:12.580 governor is

00:27:13.020 doing basically

00:27:13.900 nothing.

00:27:15.200 Now what are

00:27:16.400 the odds that

00:27:17.380 the governor

00:27:17.920 and the

00:27:18.580 state of

00:27:18.920 California are

00:27:19.760 actually doing

00:27:21.120 nothing.

00:27:22.540 Nothing more

00:27:24.080 than they did

00:27:24.600 last year.

00:27:25.800 Is that

00:27:26.140 possible?

00:27:27.320 Are they

00:27:27.680 really just

00:27:28.220 doing nothing

00:27:29.080 more than they

00:27:29.720 did last year

00:27:30.360 when the whole

00:27:30.740 damn state

00:27:31.300 seemed like it

00:27:31.840 was on fire?

00:27:32.420 No.

00:27:33.480 They're probably

00:27:33.900 doing stuff.

00:27:35.320 And it probably

00:27:35.860 matters.

00:27:36.580 And it's probably

00:27:37.060 pretty good stuff.

00:27:38.480 So why aren't

00:27:39.180 we hearing about it?

00:27:40.140 So here's my

00:27:40.740 persuasion tip for

00:27:41.860 the governor.

00:27:42.900 If you're doing

00:27:43.480 something about

00:27:44.140 these forest fires

00:27:45.040 then maybe

00:27:50.060 goodbye user.

00:27:55.760 If you're

00:27:56.320 anyway.

00:28:00.220 Skipping

00:28:00.660 topics.

00:28:02.340 Have you seen

00:28:03.080 the photo?

00:28:03.960 I'll bet all of

00:28:04.560 you have by now.

00:28:05.280 If you follow the

00:28:05.880 news you've seen

00:28:06.480 the photo of the

00:28:08.060 Texas state

00:28:09.340 Democrats who

00:28:11.120 got on a plane

00:28:12.040 or a bus or

00:28:12.920 something and they

00:28:13.480 ran away and

00:28:18.680 they took a

00:28:21.800 selfie of how

00:28:22.780 happy they were

00:28:23.600 and pleased with

00:28:24.360 themselves and

00:28:25.240 smug on that

00:28:26.560 bus.

00:28:27.560 Here's my

00:28:28.300 persuasion tip.

00:28:32.480 Don't release a

00:28:33.660 photo that your

00:28:35.920 enemies are going

00:28:36.880 to be really

00:28:37.420 happy to publish

00:28:38.400 over and over

00:28:39.520 and over again.

00:28:40.300 Now look at

00:28:42.740 the face of the

00:28:43.640 woman who's 1.00

00:28:44.160 closest to the

00:28:45.420 camera.

00:28:46.000 She was probably

00:28:46.460 the one who was

00:28:46.980 holding the

00:28:47.440 camera.

00:28:48.040 Yeah I'm seeing

00:28:48.640 on locals

00:28:49.560 somebody's posting

00:28:50.500 it.

00:28:51.280 There's a woman

00:28:51.860 there with a

00:28:52.740 creepy big smile.

00:28:55.140 I'm going to

00:28:55.360 try to do it.

00:28:58.140 Like this.

00:28:59.000 I think I nailed

00:28:59.620 it actually.

00:29:00.240 This is her look. 0.84

00:29:02.760 And the problem

00:29:03.680 is that she's

00:29:05.180 too pleased with

00:29:06.280 herself.

00:29:07.820 Am I right?

00:29:08.640 She doesn't look

00:29:10.320 like somebody who's

00:29:11.540 doing something for

00:29:12.440 the good of the

00:29:13.080 country or you

00:29:14.760 know she's found

00:29:15.540 the only thing you

00:29:16.320 could do to try to

00:29:17.460 solve a problem.

00:29:18.820 She doesn't have

00:29:19.600 that problem solver

00:29:21.440 look if you know

00:29:23.240 what I mean.

00:29:24.400 She has the

00:29:25.200 crazed Karen look. 1.00

00:29:28.120 Right?

00:29:28.540 Karen.

00:29:31.640 And she took the

00:29:33.380 picture and she was 1.00

00:29:34.280 probably dumb enough

00:29:35.000 to be the one who

00:29:35.740 published it.

00:29:36.540 but really anybody

00:29:39.500 else would have

00:29:41.920 known.

00:29:43.400 Like the people who

00:29:44.520 did not take the

00:29:45.420 picture probably

00:29:46.000 looked at it and

00:29:46.620 said well there's

00:29:48.260 my brand.

00:29:53.320 Come on you love

00:29:54.300 it when I make that

00:29:55.020 face.

00:29:55.700 If you're listening

00:29:56.300 to this on the

00:29:56.960 podcast and you

00:29:58.320 can't see the

00:29:58.880 visual of the best

00:30:00.380 physical impression

00:30:01.840 anybody's ever done

00:30:03.140 of the Karen on the

00:30:04.860 bus well you've

00:30:06.400 missed something

00:30:06.900 good.

00:30:07.280 I'm going to do

00:30:07.700 it again.

00:30:08.180 You're going to

00:30:08.480 miss it again.

00:30:11.060 Pretty good wasn't

00:30:11.720 it?

00:30:12.660 I think that was my

00:30:13.400 best work.

00:30:16.340 Well here's some

00:30:17.160 fake news that you 0.65

00:30:18.220 didn't think was

00:30:18.800 fake news.

00:30:20.000 Have you been

00:30:20.460 hearing that the

00:30:21.420 Arizona audit the

00:30:23.040 election audit found

00:30:24.820 74,000 ish ballots

00:30:27.980 that don't have a

00:30:31.040 record of being

00:30:32.160 mailed in.

00:30:34.020 What?

00:30:35.820 Have you heard

00:30:36.520 that?

00:30:37.240 It's all over the

00:30:38.020 news all over social

00:30:39.160 media that they

00:30:40.240 found 74,000 ballots

00:30:42.140 that don't seem to

00:30:42.900 have a record of

00:30:44.740 having been valid

00:30:46.820 mail-in ballots.

00:30:48.900 So have you heard

00:30:49.420 that story?

00:30:50.940 Do you know it's

00:30:51.800 fake news?

00:30:53.800 How many of you

00:30:54.640 know it's fake news?

00:30:55.560 Here's the real

00:30:57.740 story.

00:30:59.400 That 74,000 includes

00:31:01.560 early voting.

00:31:03.780 People who did not

00:31:05.200 mail in a ballot

00:31:06.220 they just voted

00:31:07.300 early.

00:31:08.960 And it includes

00:31:09.900 things that came in

00:31:10.960 after some date

00:31:11.740 where they came up

00:31:12.520 with their numbers.

00:31:14.140 So between the two

00:31:15.000 things the fact

00:31:16.900 that it also

00:31:17.440 includes a whole

00:31:18.120 different category

00:31:18.840 of voters which

00:31:20.820 should not be linked

00:31:21.860 to online voting

00:31:22.820 so of course they're

00:31:23.600 not in the records

00:31:24.240 as online voters

00:31:25.360 because they

00:31:26.340 weren't.

00:31:27.420 They were never

00:31:27.880 online voters.

00:31:28.700 They just showed

00:31:29.160 up early and

00:31:29.640 voted in person.

00:31:31.260 So the whole

00:31:32.560 74,000 thing

00:31:33.880 looks like fake

00:31:35.180 news based on

00:31:36.140 the auditors not

00:31:37.380 knowing how the

00:31:38.000 system works.

00:31:39.920 That's awkward.

00:31:41.700 Now I could be

00:31:43.200 wrong because I'm

00:31:44.660 using a CNN

00:31:46.600 fact check on

00:31:47.660 this.

00:31:48.260 So it could be

00:31:49.000 bullshit.

00:31:50.240 But I feel as if

00:31:52.160 the bias here is in

00:31:53.400 favor of the fact

00:31:54.280 checkers.

00:31:55.360 I feel as if the

00:31:56.560 fact checkers

00:31:57.200 probably got this

00:31:58.800 one right.

00:32:00.380 Probably.

00:32:01.500 So ask yourself.

00:32:03.380 If you watched a

00:32:05.180 news source or

00:32:06.420 somebody tweeted

00:32:07.180 that number around

00:32:08.060 like it was a

00:32:09.460 fact and you

00:32:10.940 accepted it as a

00:32:12.100 fact, check where

00:32:14.680 you got it from.

00:32:16.160 Just take a look

00:32:17.160 at where you got

00:32:17.680 it from and see

00:32:19.340 if you want to

00:32:19.860 trust that source

00:32:20.620 going forward.

00:32:21.260 Now remember what

00:32:22.720 I told you early

00:32:23.500 on when the

00:32:24.660 election was being

00:32:25.560 questioned and

00:32:26.440 audits were

00:32:27.020 happening and all

00:32:27.980 that?

00:32:28.700 I told you from

00:32:29.580 the very start

00:32:30.460 that no matter

00:32:31.860 whether there was

00:32:32.780 any impropriety or

00:32:33.920 not, irregardless of

00:32:36.080 how much there was

00:32:36.940 or regardless of

00:32:38.460 how much there was,

00:32:39.800 that 95% of the

00:32:42.900 claims would be

00:32:44.060 bullshit.

00:32:44.420 Even if someday we

00:32:47.080 find that 5% are

00:32:48.320 true, which we

00:32:49.760 haven't found,

00:32:50.640 nobody's done that,

00:32:52.160 but even if we did,

00:32:53.800 still 95% of the

00:32:55.220 claims would be

00:32:55.820 utter bullshit and 0.93

00:32:56.740 apparently this is

00:32:57.440 one of them.

00:32:58.860 All right, the

00:32:59.220 Guardian is doing

00:33:01.880 an investigative piece

00:33:03.260 that looks like it

00:33:04.160 could be important on

00:33:05.680 some kind of spyware

00:33:06.920 program called

00:33:07.740 Pegasus.

00:33:09.320 So there's a

00:33:10.120 company, the NSO

00:33:11.600 group, who sells

00:33:12.500 this surveillance

00:33:13.420 software that

00:33:15.220 allows you to

00:33:15.860 surveil people on

00:33:17.740 their cell phone.

00:33:19.240 But they say

00:33:20.300 they're selling it

00:33:21.020 to only intelligence

00:33:23.520 agencies and, you

00:33:24.660 know, the good

00:33:25.380 guys.

00:33:26.380 Do you believe

00:33:27.160 that?

00:33:28.780 Well, you're safe

00:33:29.920 because this

00:33:31.260 technology to look

00:33:32.560 into anybody's

00:33:33.460 phone is only

00:33:35.640 being given to

00:33:36.340 the good guys.

00:33:38.020 So it's

00:33:39.640 Project Pegasus,

00:33:40.740 yes, thank

00:33:41.220 you.

00:33:43.420 So,

00:33:45.220 so, yeah,

00:33:49.500 your phone can

00:33:50.400 be spied on by

00:33:51.940 anybody who has

00:33:52.620 this software and

00:33:54.520 that means any

00:33:55.320 intelligence agency

00:33:56.360 basically can get

00:33:57.320 into your phone.

00:33:58.420 Now, the scary

00:33:59.280 part is that there

00:34:00.180 was some kind of

00:34:00.840 hack where the

00:34:01.700 Guardian got a

00:34:02.560 hold of a list of

00:34:04.460 people that are

00:34:05.340 being spied on by

00:34:06.560 this software,

00:34:08.180 journalists.

00:34:08.660 journalists, right?

00:34:12.880 Now, I'm going to

00:34:14.960 have to check that

00:34:15.820 list to see if I'm

00:34:17.180 fucking on it, right?

00:34:19.780 Now, I don't know if

00:34:20.760 I would be called a

00:34:21.520 journalist, but I'm, I

00:34:23.480 work in that domain,

00:34:24.540 right?

00:34:24.920 I'm, I'm an opinion

00:34:25.940 maker in the political

00:34:27.300 sense, so I would

00:34:29.540 think I would be

00:34:30.440 exactly in the

00:34:31.480 crosshairs of what

00:34:34.760 somebody would want

00:34:35.540 to spy on because I

00:34:37.900 have an influence and

00:34:39.160 I talk about the

00:34:39.880 topic that people

00:34:40.660 spy on.

00:34:42.220 So, when the list

00:34:43.460 comes out, I have to

00:34:46.220 check the fucking

00:34:46.880 list to see if I'm

00:34:49.000 on it.

00:34:49.880 Like, really, I have

00:34:50.960 to check the list.

00:34:52.240 Now, I bet I'm not.

00:34:53.840 You know, if I had to

00:34:54.460 take a guess, the odds

00:34:55.420 are low.

00:34:56.120 But I have to

00:34:57.480 check.

00:34:59.280 Now, I suppose

00:34:59.840 somebody might have

00:35:00.420 told me by now.

00:35:01.720 I probably would have

00:35:02.800 been informed by now

00:35:03.740 if I were on it.

00:35:05.620 Anyway.

00:35:08.000 We also have news

00:35:09.720 that China has

00:35:10.900 apparently been doing

00:35:11.840 the Russia trick of 0.86

00:35:13.640 hiring criminal

00:35:14.760 contract hackers.

00:35:16.840 So, things can't be

00:35:17.860 tied as easily back to

00:35:19.020 the government.

00:35:19.980 They just hire 0.99

00:35:20.740 criminals to do the

00:35:21.800 hacking and apparently

00:35:22.820 they've been hacking

00:35:23.560 and blackmailing

00:35:24.520 American companies.

00:35:26.120 And I don't know

00:35:30.800 what to say about

00:35:31.560 China anymore.

00:35:33.400 China's brand is

00:35:35.660 fentanyl mass

00:35:36.600 murder, cyber

00:35:37.380 crimes, ethnic

00:35:38.260 genocide, IP

00:35:39.320 theft, climate

00:35:40.300 destruction, illegal

00:35:41.480 trade practices,

00:35:43.220 selling the organs

00:35:44.320 of living dissidents,

00:35:46.720 and unleashing the

00:35:48.320 coronavirus on the

00:35:49.300 world.

00:35:50.860 That's their brand.

00:35:53.020 Like, when you

00:35:53.560 think about them,

00:35:54.920 you think of

00:35:55.620 just all that

00:35:56.800 shit?

00:35:58.760 And apparently

00:36:00.340 they can just

00:36:00.940 hack on us too

00:36:01.800 because there's

00:36:03.000 no penalty.

00:36:06.240 I think we have

00:36:07.260 to expel all of

00:36:08.280 their diplomats,

00:36:09.660 don't you?

00:36:10.800 I feel as if the

00:36:12.280 fentanyl issue

00:36:13.280 alone should cause

00:36:15.120 us to just expel

00:36:16.180 all of their

00:36:16.720 diplomats and

00:36:18.180 treat them as if

00:36:19.060 they're a pariah

00:36:19.740 country until they

00:36:20.680 at least fix that.

00:36:22.580 I mean, with the

00:36:23.100 cyber stuff, I could

00:36:24.120 sort of imagine

00:36:24.900 that maybe we're

00:36:25.620 doing it back to

00:36:26.360 them.

00:36:27.440 So maybe we're a

00:36:28.280 bunch of hypocrites

00:36:29.120 and I would

00:36:30.780 imagine the United

00:36:31.580 States is hacking

00:36:32.340 China.

00:36:33.320 I doubt we're

00:36:34.000 blackmailing them

00:36:34.840 and doing ransomware.

00:36:36.640 I doubt we're

00:36:37.060 doing that.

00:36:38.180 Maybe.

00:36:39.020 Who knows?

00:36:40.580 But fentanyl, I

00:36:42.560 don't think we're

00:36:43.020 sending them

00:36:43.500 fentanyl.

00:36:44.440 So we should just

00:36:45.100 say, look, we're

00:36:47.160 closing business with

00:36:48.180 you guys.

00:36:49.240 Trade with anybody

00:36:49.960 you want, but not

00:36:50.880 us, because you've

00:36:52.180 got to stop the

00:36:52.720 fentanyl.

00:36:53.220 That's the ticket to

00:36:54.860 get into the

00:36:55.360 conversation.

00:36:57.100 You don't negotiate

00:36:58.260 fentanyl.

00:37:01.020 That's what Trump

00:37:01.900 did wrong.

00:37:03.160 Trump negotiated

00:37:04.580 fentanyl.

00:37:06.620 You don't negotiate

00:37:07.880 with a mass

00:37:08.600 murderer who's

00:37:09.340 literally murdering

00:37:10.500 you, because

00:37:11.620 whatever reason

00:37:12.320 they're doing it,

00:37:12.920 they wanted to

00:37:13.440 keep doing it.

00:37:14.100 You don't

00:37:14.360 negotiate that.

00:37:16.020 You just tell

00:37:16.600 them what the

00:37:17.040 penalty is, and

00:37:18.080 then you apply

00:37:18.660 it.

00:37:19.740 That's it.

00:37:20.420 You don't

00:37:20.640 negotiate fucking 0.95

00:37:21.880 fentanyl.

00:37:23.560 So, yeah, Trump

00:37:24.360 got that completely

00:37:25.260 wrong.

00:37:26.360 At least he tried.

00:37:29.720 Here's some more

00:37:30.480 semi-fake news.

00:37:33.780 So there's, I

00:37:34.800 saw an article, and

00:37:36.140 I made the mistake

00:37:36.780 of tweeting it

00:37:37.460 myself, so I

00:37:38.480 added to the

00:37:39.180 fake newsness,

00:37:40.380 which is that

00:37:41.360 there is a

00:37:41.920 Northern California

00:37:42.720 county, I think

00:37:45.240 it might be my

00:37:45.880 county or the

00:37:46.640 one next to me,

00:37:47.280 I'm not sure

00:37:47.680 which one,

00:37:48.660 but that

00:37:50.780 changed the

00:37:52.420 way it counts

00:37:53.000 coronavirus deaths

00:37:54.360 and decreased

00:37:55.120 their number of

00:37:56.040 fatalities by

00:37:56.840 25%.

00:37:57.780 What?

00:37:59.660 They decreased

00:38:00.820 the number of

00:38:02.060 past fatalities

00:38:03.260 by 25%, and

00:38:05.280 here's what they

00:38:05.840 did.

00:38:06.780 They stopped

00:38:07.420 counting people

00:38:08.320 who died in,

00:38:09.340 for example,

00:38:10.480 car crashes

00:38:11.280 who might have

00:38:12.700 also had

00:38:13.260 COVID.

00:38:14.940 Wait, what?

00:38:15.760 they were

00:38:17.220 counting people

00:38:17.980 who died in

00:38:18.860 violent car

00:38:19.640 crashes as

00:38:21.040 COVID deaths

00:38:21.820 if they had

00:38:23.920 COVID too.

00:38:25.600 First question,

00:38:26.800 why did they

00:38:27.300 even test them?

00:38:28.140 Is it a standard

00:38:28.880 now?

00:38:29.320 If anybody is in

00:38:30.300 the hospital,

00:38:30.760 do they all get

00:38:31.220 tested?

00:38:32.040 Which would make

00:38:32.720 sense, I suppose.

00:38:34.260 But,

00:38:34.880 really?

00:38:35.960 Now, do you

00:38:39.940 believe this

00:38:40.380 news?

00:38:41.840 Okay, how many

00:38:42.660 believe the

00:38:43.140 news?

00:38:44.080 This is reported

00:38:45.180 by a local

00:38:46.280 news entity.

00:38:48.160 I tweeted it

00:38:49.240 around.

00:38:50.240 It says,

00:38:50.920 my county has

00:38:51.980 changed their

00:38:52.580 methodology and

00:38:53.460 increased the

00:38:54.100 deaths by 25%.

00:38:55.220 real news or

00:38:56.620 fake news?

00:38:58.320 Real news or

00:38:59.280 fake news?

00:39:00.840 The answer is

00:39:02.000 semi-fake.

00:39:04.380 Because the

00:39:05.140 state didn't

00:39:06.920 count it this

00:39:07.560 way.

00:39:08.500 So when you

00:39:08.900 were looking at

00:39:09.440 the state's

00:39:10.160 results, they

00:39:11.160 were always

00:39:11.520 accurate.

00:39:12.480 So the state

00:39:13.260 was not

00:39:13.880 including somebody

00:39:15.180 who died in a

00:39:15.920 car accident who

00:39:17.180 also had COVID.

00:39:18.660 The county

00:39:19.320 was, but when

00:39:20.840 they reported

00:39:21.300 it to the

00:39:21.660 state, the

00:39:22.140 state would

00:39:22.500 subtract those

00:39:23.140 out, I

00:39:23.480 guess.

00:39:23.720 So, apparently

00:39:26.200 the state

00:39:26.820 number was not

00:39:27.940 distorted in

00:39:28.880 this way, but

00:39:30.500 the county was.

00:39:31.520 Does that matter?

00:39:32.820 Because that means

00:39:33.560 that our overall

00:39:34.940 numbers are still

00:39:35.720 correct.

00:39:36.780 So I'm going to

00:39:37.240 call this semi-fake

00:39:39.060 news, but very

00:39:40.560 persuasive.

00:39:41.680 And here's the

00:39:42.360 persuasion tip.

00:39:43.740 The thing that

00:39:44.300 made this fake

00:39:45.020 news sell is

00:39:46.440 that the part

00:39:47.020 about the state

00:39:48.600 correcting for

00:39:49.500 this was way

00:39:52.820 toward the end

00:39:53.380 of the article.

00:39:54.660 And if I've

00:39:55.160 taught you

00:39:55.500 anything, we

00:39:56.920 pay attention

00:39:57.560 to things that

00:39:58.300 happen first.

00:39:59.860 That's it.

00:40:01.180 That's a really

00:40:01.960 important rule.

00:40:03.200 Whatever gets

00:40:04.060 our attention

00:40:04.560 first sticks

00:40:05.680 in our minds

00:40:06.340 and everything

00:40:06.740 after that is

00:40:07.380 lessened.

00:40:08.100 That's why

00:40:08.360 first impressions

00:40:09.140 are so important.

00:40:10.440 So if you

00:40:10.920 write an article

00:40:11.560 that says,

00:40:12.640 hey, past

00:40:14.440 deaths are

00:40:14.920 reduced 25%

00:40:16.020 because we

00:40:16.600 changed how

00:40:17.060 we do it in

00:40:17.520 the county,

00:40:18.760 most people,

00:40:20.540 including me

00:40:21.360 the first time

00:40:21.980 I read it

00:40:22.520 quickly,

00:40:23.700 completely

00:40:24.120 missed the

00:40:24.620 fact that

00:40:25.440 the state

00:40:25.860 doesn't make

00:40:26.380 that mistake.

00:40:28.460 So there

00:40:29.220 you go.

00:40:30.640 Semi-fake

00:40:31.720 news.

00:40:35.300 That is

00:40:36.900 your live

00:40:37.320 stream for

00:40:37.800 today.

00:40:38.480 Was it one

00:40:39.020 of the best

00:40:39.420 you've ever

00:40:39.800 seen?

00:40:40.320 Well, I

00:40:40.820 don't know.

00:40:41.480 I don't

00:40:41.720 know.

00:40:42.560 But it's

00:40:43.100 up there.

00:40:44.740 And I

00:40:46.920 have a

00:40:47.360 question and

00:40:48.220 a request.

00:40:48.720 The YouTube

00:40:50.520 traffic for

00:40:51.700 this live

00:40:52.120 stream is

00:40:52.540 down about

00:40:53.180 one-third

00:40:53.920 since I

00:40:55.660 started live

00:40:56.440 streaming on

00:40:57.220 locals.

00:40:58.160 Is that

00:40:58.740 because a

00:40:59.240 third of

00:40:59.580 you went

00:40:59.900 to locals?

00:41:01.400 Because you

00:41:02.160 preferred something

00:41:03.920 about it?

00:41:04.380 Maybe there's

00:41:04.740 no commercials.

00:41:05.580 That's why

00:41:05.860 you like it.

00:41:06.840 But anyway,

00:41:07.620 if you're

00:41:08.420 going to stay

00:41:08.760 on YouTube,

00:41:09.900 could you do

00:41:10.440 me a big

00:41:10.860 favor and hit

00:41:11.900 the subscribe

00:41:12.500 button that

00:41:13.420 is, let's

00:41:14.020 see, to my

00:41:15.680 side?

00:41:16.140 It would

00:41:16.420 be here.

00:41:19.240 Is it down

00:41:19.920 here or is

00:41:20.640 it down over

00:41:21.060 there?

00:41:22.080 It's on one

00:41:22.420 of those

00:41:22.660 sides.

00:41:23.440 But anyway,

00:41:24.020 if you subscribe

00:41:25.540 to things

00:41:26.120 anyway, hitting

00:41:27.380 that button 0.94

00:41:27.880 will give you

00:41:28.620 a notice that

00:41:29.300 I'm going

00:41:29.820 live.

00:41:31.340 So do that

00:41:32.280 if you feel

00:41:33.620 inclined.

00:41:34.380 Otherwise, go

00:41:35.180 to locals.

00:41:35.760 It's a

00:41:36.120 subscription

00:41:36.620 service and

00:41:38.060 you won't

00:41:38.480 get commercials

00:41:39.120 there.

00:41:43.460 It says,

00:41:44.260 you lied.

00:41:44.840 still have

00:41:46.300 ads when

00:41:46.960 subscribed.

00:41:48.540 No, the

00:41:49.400 subscription is

00:41:50.200 not what, let

00:41:52.680 me clarify,

00:41:53.380 that wasn't a

00:41:53.820 lie, but it

00:41:54.560 was a good

00:41:54.860 question.

00:41:55.680 Somebody's

00:41:56.140 saying that if

00:41:56.680 you subscribe to

00:41:57.480 the YouTube

00:41:57.860 channel that I

00:41:58.820 said you won't

00:41:59.400 see commercials.

00:42:01.260 If I said that,

00:42:02.060 then I misspoke.

00:42:03.280 What I meant

00:42:03.780 was, if you

00:42:05.120 subscribe to

00:42:06.100 YouTube, which

00:42:07.980 is paying a

00:42:08.880 fee, to

00:42:10.160 YouTube in

00:42:10.800 general, then

00:42:12.360 you don't get

00:42:12.880 ads for any

00:42:14.140 content you

00:42:14.800 watch.

00:42:15.720 So I

00:42:16.340 probably messed

00:42:17.260 up the

00:42:17.600 description of

00:42:18.200 that.

00:42:18.380 That might

00:42:18.660 be on me.

00:42:19.740 But what I

00:42:20.220 meant to

00:42:20.520 say is the

00:42:21.240 subscription does

00:42:22.340 nothing but give

00:42:23.000 you a notice,

00:42:24.000 I think, it

00:42:24.860 does nothing but

00:42:25.460 give you a

00:42:25.880 notice that the

00:42:28.940 content is

00:42:29.520 there.

00:42:30.160 But to not

00:42:31.060 see the

00:42:31.460 commercials, you

00:42:33.280 would have to

00:42:33.740 subscribe not by

00:42:35.020 pushing the

00:42:35.480 button but by

00:42:36.140 paying a fee

00:42:36.740 every month to

00:42:37.480 YouTube.

00:42:38.240 So if I said

00:42:38.860 that wrong, I

00:42:39.520 apologize.

00:42:40.560 I think I said

00:42:41.240 it right now.

00:42:42.320 All right, that's

00:42:42.860 all for today.

00:42:43.380 And I'll talk

00:42:43.900 to you on

00:42:44.280 YouTube tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 19, 2021

Episode 1441 Scott Adams： Persuasion Tips Based on the Headlines, and Lots More

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