Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1445 Scott Adams： Biden Jokes, Long Haul and Vaccination Mysteries, Drafting Women, Genetics and COVID

00:00:00.000 Well, well, well, welcome to another amazing episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, absolutely

00:00:08.520 the best part of every day for every person in the universe and beyond.

00:00:13.460 And if you'd like to take it up a notch, and why wouldn't you, really, all you need is

00:00:19.580 a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or a gel, a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel

00:00:24.000 of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:27.060 I like coffee.

00:00:29.200 Join me now.

00:00:30.700 The unparalleled pleasure.

00:00:32.720 Unparalleled.

00:00:33.720 The dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better, it's called the simultaneous

00:00:37.500 sip.

00:00:38.720 Why is my video so bad on YouTube?

00:00:42.080 Something's up with that.

00:00:43.820 All right.

00:00:45.260 Go.

00:00:49.260 Ah.

00:00:51.600 There's some kind of a brightness problem going on here.

00:00:55.240 Maybe because my other screens are too bright.

00:00:58.480 Well, have you heard of all the news?

00:01:01.920 I'm going to start with the most important news of the day, and then we'll work down to

00:01:07.240 other stuff, okay?

00:01:08.200 Um, I see some people are having some international issues with YouTube.

00:01:15.600 Uh, today I've got the paywall down for just this video, uh, on locals.

00:01:21.640 So look at my tweet.

00:01:23.140 If you want to see this same show without the commercials, you want to see it live, uh, look

00:01:30.220 at my tweet.

00:01:30.740 It's got a link to go over to locals, and there you can see it without commercial breaks, and, uh,

00:01:37.460 get a little sample of what the, the subscription service is like without the subscription, just

00:01:42.920 for today.

00:01:43.360 Most important news of the day, this was from the Daily Mail, and I hope you didn't miss

00:01:49.300 this.

00:01:50.660 Very, very important.

00:01:51.860 Uh, there was a, according to the Daily Mail, there was a single Japanese man, age 51, who

00:01:59.220 almost masturbated himself to death after suffering a stroke moments before he ejaculated. 0.52

00:02:07.100 Now, here's the best part of the story.

00:02:09.800 In the Daily Mail, they'll, they'll give you the headline, but between the headline and the

00:02:14.500 detailed story, they'll put bullet points.

00:02:17.180 They give you the, you know, the, uh, summary of the story, and in the bullet point summary

00:02:24.940 of this, the single Japanese man almost masturbating himself to death,

00:02:30.500 the, the, the, the, the, the, the Daily Mail, I'll be laughing about this all day, the Daily

00:02:45.040 Mail describes the man as a, a right-handed man in Germany.

00:02:50.580 They, they had to tell you he's right-handed because, yeah, you know, good writing, one

00:03:10.480 of the, well, one of the elements of good writing is that, uh, you, you make the picture

00:03:20.520 of visual, and I guess they didn't want to, they didn't want to leave it to chance that

00:03:27.000 you would imagine the wrong hand, so they told you he was right-handed, but they should

00:03:32.200 have gone further because if you're right-handed, this is, this is something a girlfriend told

00:03:41.980 me when I was, I think, 19, it's, uh, she didn't make it up, but she said, use your left hand

00:03:50.520 and it'll feel like a stranger.

00:03:55.460 This is a right-handed man, almost jerks himself to death.

00:03:59.740 All right, so, uh, uh, uh, to the Daily Mail, whoever, whoever writes their summaries, that

00:04:12.900 was the funniest summary you'll ever see in your life, a right-handed man.

00:04:17.420 Oh, I have to hope the rest of this is as funny as that.

00:04:28.800 Uh, sorry, this was just about me amusing myself.

00:04:32.100 There'll be a portion of this later where I try to entertain you two, but it won't happen

00:04:38.100 right away.

00:04:41.600 All right, sorry.

00:04:42.500 So Victoria's Secret, uh, has announced that, uh, instead of their old business model, where

00:04:52.300 they would have the, the angels, you remember the angels were the attractive models who would

00:04:57.400 come out in scanty attire, but they're going to abandon that entire model maybe after this

00:05:03.160 year, and instead of having, uh, attractive women scantily clothed to sell their, uh, scant

00:05:11.620 clothing, uh, they're going to go with, uh, trailblazing women, trailblazing women, including, 1.00

00:05:18.120 uh, trans, uh, women, and at least one lesbian.

00:05:24.520 And they've sort of, uh, they've decided to drop the whole attractiveness angle.

00:05:29.140 And, uh, here's the thing.

00:05:38.640 I think we all understand if somebody is just totally sexist and says, hey, I'm going to

00:05:43.880 sell you some, sell you some, you know, lingerie or whatever, and we're just going to use sex 0.99

00:05:49.580 to do it, and it's all about, you know, sexy hetero people. 1.00

00:05:53.520 I guess they don't have to be hetero, but that part's optional.

00:05:57.760 But, um, just go for it.

00:06:00.700 Like, I think we would all understand that, right?

00:06:03.840 We'd say, okay, maybe that's not for me, or that doesn't address my community or something.

00:06:09.120 But at least you'd understand it.

00:06:11.600 You know, just the way you would understand it.

00:06:14.020 If, uh, uh, if somebody said we have some other kind of theme.

00:06:18.520 But, uh, does it make sense that you're selling sexy clothing and you've abandoned the whole

00:06:25.580 sex appeal angle to just sort of go for a generic, uh, women are awesome and trailblazers? 1.00

00:06:33.620 I feel like they're going to have a messaging problem here.

00:06:39.020 A little bit of messaging problem.

00:06:41.180 Now, I'm not, I'm not saying I'm against it, because it's their business and they can do

00:06:45.240 what they want, of course.

00:06:46.200 And being more inclusive, perfectly good impulse.

00:06:51.040 So wouldn't you, wouldn't you like to see more people being, you know, open to all people?

00:06:55.740 So that, that part's good.

00:06:57.200 The thing is, do you take this concept which is good, you know, being, being nice to all

00:07:04.940 people and being as inclusive as you can be?

00:07:07.660 I love that part.

00:07:09.420 But does it have to be everywhere?

00:07:12.180 Literally everybody's got to do it?

00:07:14.680 I don't know.

00:07:15.180 I'll just leave that to your opinion.

00:07:19.020 Um, we have more information coming out that, uh, COVID has a genetic component.

00:07:26.660 There are boring studies which are barely, um, understandable to people with my background.

00:07:33.660 But it looks like some meta-analysis, uh, has determined that there are 13 genetic signatures

00:07:40.960 that will determine whether you get a bad outcome.

00:07:43.760 And then there was another study I saw on the same topic that seemed to show that, um,

00:07:49.440 different, uh, ethnic groups around the world have very different outcomes.

00:07:53.640 Now, a question I asked that I didn't see an answer to is, uh, if you saw my tweet on this

00:07:59.740 this morning, did the, did the study say that China would have the least problem with it

00:08:08.100 because of their genetic situation?

00:08:09.780 Can somebody give me a confirmation of that?

00:08:12.540 Because the, there's a gigantic problem with scientists trying to communicate.

00:08:19.240 For whatever reason, scientists need to communicate in the way that's hardest to understand.

00:08:24.520 Now, you can say to yourself, but Scott, that's just because you don't understand the, you know,

00:08:29.980 the terms of art and you're not in the industry, but if you were a scientist, you could certainly

00:08:35.480 read their writing and you would understand it because you'd know you'd have the technical

00:08:39.620 training to do that.

00:08:41.300 No, no, no, no, and no.

00:08:46.040 The reason I can't understand it has nothing to do, well, has something to do with my lack

00:08:51.200 of training in the field, but it's just bad writing.

00:08:56.080 It doesn't have to be the way it's, it's presented in these technical publications.

00:09:01.140 Clearly they're doing it to look confusing.

00:09:04.400 So it looks smarter, I guess.

00:09:05.860 But there, there is no, there's not even a hand wave to being comprehensible.

00:09:12.580 These are completely incomprehensible written things on top of the fact that you don't understand

00:09:18.200 the language.

00:09:19.220 It's just poor writing.

00:09:21.200 So the one thing I wonder, and if somebody could look at that, what I tweeted this morning

00:09:25.520 and give me an opinion, if you're better at discerning what they say, can you tell me if

00:09:32.120 that's telling me that this virus coincidentally does not affect Chinese ethnic people as much?

00:09:39.340 I think you said that, but you just can't tell the way it's so poorly written.

00:09:44.600 So let me know.

00:09:45.320 I saw a tweet by a gentleman named, well, I don't want to pronounce his first name incorrectly,

00:09:55.700 but it's spelled A-N-A-S.

00:09:58.120 Now, I'd like to be respectful about people's names, and a couple of ways I can think to

00:10:06.440 pronounce this.

00:10:08.200 His last name is Al-Haji, I think.

00:10:11.840 But let's say that you pronounce A-N-A-S as Anas.

00:10:16.320 Let's go with A-N-A-S, because A-N-A-S sounds wrong. 0.96

00:10:21.880 But we'll go with A-N-A-S, Al-Haji. 1.00

00:10:24.760 And he noted in a tweet that under Biden, the amount of coal we're exporting to China has

00:10:34.200 gone through the roof.

00:10:36.000 Now, I think it's probably not as high as it was under Obama, but it's way higher than

00:10:39.620 it was under Trump.

00:10:40.520 So this green Biden administration maybe is using less coal in the United States.

00:10:51.020 We're just shipping it to China.

00:10:53.520 And then China's just burning it, and it gets in the same atmosphere.

00:10:57.760 Either way.

00:10:59.380 So this is yet another case where this whole green or not green situation is hard to analyze,

00:11:08.580 because most of it is smoke and mirrors.

00:11:10.520 Here's a question for you.

00:11:15.820 I saw this in a Michael Schellenberger tweet.

00:11:21.380 Let me go down to that.

00:11:26.360 So as Michael Schellenberger was tweeting that the share of renewable power in Germany's

00:11:32.000 situation is, let's see, the renewable power is down 43% in the past year.

00:11:43.200 So Germany was big on renewable green energy, but they got way less of it this year.

00:11:49.620 And the reason is unfavorable wind conditions and fewer sunshine hours.

00:11:54.740 Now, here's my question.

00:11:59.040 If you know that the climate is changing, and if the climate is changing, couldn't you assume

00:12:06.400 that that would affect wind patterns?

00:12:09.240 So that, for example, you had a place that was excellent for windmills, but what if the

00:12:14.820 climate changes?

00:12:16.540 Is the place that you put all the windmills suddenly no good for windmills?

00:12:21.240 Because you can't put a windmill anywhere.

00:12:22.660 You have to find the right, you know, wind situation.

00:12:26.500 So could it be that climate change will make green technology less effective?

00:12:34.420 So that wherever you put the windmills, they just stop being good places for windmills,

00:12:38.640 and then other places become good places for windmills, but there are no windmills there.

00:12:43.840 Is that a thing?

00:12:44.620 Because it seems to me every bit of logic about any of this stuff says nuclear energy

00:12:51.760 is the only solution.

00:12:53.920 So I just ask that question.

00:12:55.600 Did Germany get bitten by climate change by putting in the technology that's right for 0.88

00:13:01.220 climate change, green technology, but then the climate change made the green technology

00:13:06.120 not work?

00:13:07.400 Did that just happen?

00:13:10.100 I'm just speculating here.

00:13:11.540 That's not a claim, but it looks like it might have happened.

00:13:16.440 Maybe.

00:13:18.860 All right.

00:13:20.540 Let's talk about long-haul COVID.

00:13:23.700 So Adam Dopamine on Twitter asked a good question, which is, if, as the experts say, something

00:13:31.360 like a quarter of all people who get COVID have some kind of long-haul symptoms, shouldn't

00:13:37.980 you and I know some people with long-haul symptoms by now?

00:13:41.540 That's a pretty good question.

00:13:43.100 Because one of the bullshit filters I teach you is that if science is telling you one

00:13:48.220 thing, but your observation, your direct observation is telling you another thing, you need to figure

00:13:55.080 out which of those is true.

00:13:56.760 And it's at least a flag that you should maybe be a little skeptical about the science.

00:14:01.840 Now, the science could be right.

00:14:04.120 Science could be right, and your direct observation could be what's the illusion.

00:14:08.360 But if those are in conflict, then you need to ask some more questions.

00:14:13.620 And that's a fair question.

00:14:14.660 So I put down a little unscientific Twitter poll.

00:14:19.920 And I think something like, last I checked, I think 17% of the respondents said they did

00:14:25.360 know somebody with long COVID.

00:14:27.900 Now, given the tens of millions of Americans who have had COVID, 30 million, I forget the

00:14:34.420 number, but it's tens of millions who've had it.

00:14:36.120 The question was, wouldn't you know somebody who's had long COVID by now?

00:14:41.320 Because you'd almost certainly know somebody who had COVID, and then a quarter of them would

00:14:45.900 have long COVID, theoretically.

00:14:48.500 So wouldn't you know some?

00:14:50.580 But does it make sense to you that 17% of the respondents do know long COVID?

00:14:57.880 Yeah, Dr. Drew had long COVID, as you're saying in the comments.

00:15:01.700 So I know, I think I know three or more people who have had long COVID.

00:15:09.860 But here's another interesting question, which came to me from a doctor, who shall remain

00:15:15.620 nameless unless he wants to be named later.

00:15:18.420 But how do we, how do we get statistics for long COVID?

00:15:24.820 How do you know you had long COVID?

00:15:26.660 Is it because you had some problems after you got the COVID?

00:15:32.280 Because if all you're doing is looking at what happened to you after you got COVID, you

00:15:37.740 can say that 100% of people who've had COVID will die, eventually, it might be 40 years.

00:15:44.260 But a lot of coincidences are going to happen after any event.

00:15:49.260 How many people got really sick after the Super Bowl, and continue to be sick for months?

00:15:54.480 Lots, probably hundreds of thousands, just by coincidence.

00:15:58.220 So how do you actually know if somebody has long COVID?

00:16:03.940 I believe there are no biomarkers.

00:16:07.260 In other words, you can't do a test on somebody and say, oh, yep, there you go.

00:16:11.080 We see that long COVID in you.

00:16:13.240 We've got that on our slide in our microscope.

00:16:16.800 I'm looking at some long COVID there.

00:16:18.480 There's nothing there.

00:16:19.160 All you have is people reporting that they have symptoms.

00:16:24.100 So do you think that people imagining symptoms could inflate that number of people who have long COVID all the way up to 25% when really, maybe it's a lot less?

00:16:36.660 Maybe?

00:16:36.920 Maybe, that would be a reasonable skepticism.

00:16:42.600 Now, speaking of that, there was a British study, which I think I wrote down, showing that the number of long COVID people, oh, here it is.

00:16:54.160 In Great Britain, they did a study of long COVID.

00:16:56.460 They found that 6.2% of adults may have experienced long COVID since the start of the pandemic.

00:17:04.380 And that includes, you know, like 40% of them are only people who are unsure.

00:17:11.340 So of the 6%, a large chunk of the 6% weren't even positive.

00:17:16.980 They're just like, well, I think maybe I had long COVID, or maybe I just had some problems that came after the COVID.

00:17:22.800 So does that number sound more real?

00:17:27.600 Do you think it's 25%, which would be, oh, God?

00:17:31.800 Or is it 6% or really not even 6% because some of them are unsure?

00:17:36.980 Maybe 4%, something like that?

00:17:39.560 Which sounds more true to you based on your observation, just living in the world and knowing people who've had COVID, et cetera?

00:17:48.320 I don't know.

00:17:48.700 It doesn't seem like 25%, does it?

00:17:50.700 But 6% seems low.

00:17:54.520 I feel like it's somewhere in between.

00:17:56.960 But there's some question on that.

00:17:58.940 That's all you need to know.

00:18:00.460 All right.

00:18:03.460 I saw Karl Rove take down the Texas Democrats who left town so that they would remove the quorum

00:18:10.820 and there couldn't be a vote about the election reforms that Texas was hoping to do, which the Democrats call voter suppression.

00:18:19.640 And so Karl Rove challenged the Democrats, he appeared on Fox News, and he sort of challenged him on a point-by-point of the new proposed Texas law to explain to him and the world why they are voter suppression.

00:18:36.340 And I watched Karl Rove just go through each of the Texas law proposed changes, and none of them look like voter suppression to me.

00:18:45.940 In fact, they all look like voter protection or voter increase.

00:18:49.740 And I thought to myself, why is it that Karl Rove has to come on Fox with his little whiteboard, and he's just a pundit, right?

00:19:02.500 Karl Rove is not the news.

00:19:05.480 Karl Rove is somebody the news invites on to talk.

00:19:08.640 So why does Karl Rove have to be the person to tell us what the law says and to show us that there's no correlation with voter suppression?

00:19:19.260 And do you believe it?

00:19:21.220 If the only thing you've seen is one pundit giving you their argument, which seems pretty airtight, should you say, well, I'm done, I know everything I know now, because Karl Rove just explained it to me?

00:19:34.100 Nope.

00:19:34.580 Now, I do think that Karl Rove is probably more credible than most pundits, right?

00:19:42.200 I think he would be toward the top of people who, if they say something on TV, it's probably true, right?

00:19:49.320 So even though he has high credibility, in my opinion, you should never, ever believe one person giving one point of view.

00:20:00.780 Do the notifications work on locals?

00:20:05.900 As far as I know, they do.

00:20:07.480 I mean, I haven't heard any complaints, so it's a question on YouTube.

00:20:13.540 So where is the show in which you have a Karl Rove-type person saying, here are the details of the law, and you can see clearly that they do not cause any voter suppression?

00:20:25.720 Where is the other person sitting next to him, a Democrat, let's say, who says, no, no, no, Karl Rove, I see what you're saying, but you're misinterpreting this one, or you're leaving one out, or you're not seeing the real reason behind this one.

00:20:41.400 Where is that?

00:20:43.160 There's no news today.

00:20:44.620 There's no news today, right?

00:20:48.180 It's only people talking, and that's not news, because there's no context.

00:20:52.680 You can't figure out, even if it matters.

00:20:57.680 So I will give a big standing ovation to Karl Rove for being the first person I've seen to even attempt to explain what the frickin' law says,

00:21:07.320 so that we can make up our own mind if the Democrats are being reasonable.

00:21:11.400 We need that.

00:21:12.340 But someday, somebody's going to make that show, and probably it's going to be on the Internet and not on a network,

00:21:19.520 because I don't think the networks can give you any kind of balanced anything.

00:21:23.440 But if I had a little bit better technology than I have now, because what I'd want to do is live stream it and have multiple guests,

00:21:32.380 and right now I'm not aware of any technology that's quite good enough to do that.

00:21:37.500 There's technology to do it, but it's not good enough.

00:21:40.200 There are issues that I don't want to go into.

00:21:43.340 But we're close.

00:21:44.720 As soon as we get to the point where I could just easily call people up and say,

00:21:48.240 all right, you're a guest on this side, you're a guest on the other side, I'll be your referee, then I'll do that.

00:21:56.120 Somebody says, just ask Viva and Barnes how they do it.

00:21:59.060 They do not have three people on.

00:22:02.940 They have two.

00:22:04.260 So I would need to see a model with at least two guests. 0.59

00:22:08.060 But I think those are all recorded.

00:22:09.860 They're not live, and I'd want to do it live.

00:22:11.660 Apparently, we learn now that the FBI had 4,500 tips about Brett Kavanaugh and his alleged sexual improprieties for which there is no evidence whatsoever.

00:22:27.120 But there are 4,500 tips.

00:22:28.920 And Democrats, of course, are using this as evidence that the investigation into him was not complete or even valid.

00:22:38.520 But how many tips do you think would be the right amount you would expect of fake tips?

00:22:45.760 Given the size of the Kavanaugh story and its importance, how many tips would you expect to get?

00:22:55.240 I would expect to get about 5,000 tips that were just bullshit.

00:23:00.400 So do you think the FBI is good at knowing what kind of tips look reasonable and which ones do not?

00:23:06.260 Well, they're better than us, probably better than you and I could do.

00:23:09.740 But I don't think the FBI looks into tips, do they?

00:23:14.080 Do you know how many tips law enforcement gets about everything?

00:23:19.520 What percentage of tips can any law enforcement look into?

00:23:23.220 A few?

00:23:24.840 I mean, none?

00:23:27.000 I don't know that anybody really looks into tips except in strange situations.

00:23:34.120 Yeah, how many tips came in on Biden exactly?

00:23:37.140 So put some context on this.

00:23:38.980 How unusual is it that thousands of tips would be ignored by the FBI?

00:23:42.900 I feel like it's normal because they would just look at him and say, no, I don't think so.

00:23:49.660 Probably not.

00:23:51.540 All right.

00:23:53.320 I guess the Biden administration is looking at including having women sign up for the draft or register for the draft.

00:24:02.960 Now, we don't have a draft, but the registering is just in case.

00:24:06.440 And I guess men ages 18 through 24 have to register for the draft.

00:24:12.340 And here's my question to you.

00:24:14.880 How many of you men registered for the draft?

00:24:20.540 I'd really be interested in that.

00:24:23.140 So I know a lot of you watching this are older, and I think at some age, many of you did.

00:24:29.180 But maybe I should ask it the other way.

00:24:32.720 How many of you did not register for the draft, but should have legally?

00:24:38.000 I feel like I asked the question wrong.

00:24:40.480 I should have just asked how many did not, because those are the ones that are interesting.

00:24:44.940 It's illegal not to register.

00:24:51.100 It's illegal, but I think the penalty is something like you can't get student loans or something like that.

00:24:56.240 It's not a big penalty.

00:24:58.780 Oh, most states auto-register when you get a driver's license.

00:25:02.500 Oh, okay.

00:25:03.800 Didn't know about that.

00:25:05.900 Can you get a security clearance?

00:25:07.880 Good question.

00:25:08.820 Probably not.

00:25:09.400 Well, I know people who did not register for the draft and had no consequences whatsoever, but I won't name names.

00:25:27.700 So Biden was asked on a viral video that's going around today, somebody asked him,

00:25:34.500 are there Democrats who want to defund the police?

00:25:39.400 Now, is that a good question?

00:25:42.040 Is that a reasonable question to ask Joe Biden?

00:25:44.620 Are there any Democrats who want to defund the police?

00:25:48.360 No.

00:25:49.400 That is a dumbfuck question.

00:25:51.260 Because every large organization, be they Democrats or be they Republicans, have some of everything.

00:25:59.860 Don't you think there are some Republicans who want to defund the police?

00:26:02.660 I mean, I've never met one, but probably.

00:26:05.800 Probably.

00:26:06.720 Because there's somebody everywhere.

00:26:08.200 Do you think there are any murderers, rapists, or racists who are Democrats?

00:26:12.860 Of course.

00:26:14.300 Are there any of those people who are Republicans?

00:26:16.480 Of course.

00:26:17.500 Of course.

00:26:18.440 Are there any people who are, you know, pedophiles and, you know, ex-convicts who are Democrats?

00:26:27.480 Of course.

00:26:29.000 Are there any Republicans who are?

00:26:30.340 Yeah.

00:26:30.940 Of course.

00:26:31.980 Every group has everything.

00:26:33.140 So asking Biden if there are any Democrats who want to defund the police is just a dumb question.

00:26:38.820 So Biden's answer was, and I'm paraphrasing, are there Republicans who think Democrats want to drink the blood of children?

00:26:47.260 Now, I saw a number of people tweeting this around like he was just sort of random and crazy, as if it were a, you know, a brain-dead response.

00:26:58.480 It wasn't brain-dead at all.

00:26:59.980 I'm going to try to be objective about Biden, as I was as best I could about Trump.

00:27:06.660 He's harder to be objective about.

00:27:08.720 But objectively speaking, this was a great answer.

00:27:12.020 It's just that for some reason Republicans didn't see it that way, and, you know, subjectivity is pretty strong.

00:27:17.740 It was a good answer because he was brushing it away as ridiculous and essentially said what I did, which is you can find somebody in every group.

00:27:30.020 Are there any Democrats who want to defund the police?

00:27:32.160 Of course there are.

00:27:34.060 Do you need the president to tell you that?

00:27:36.540 You can observe it directly.

00:27:38.680 What good would it be to have Biden answer that question?

00:27:41.900 Because you already know the answer.

00:27:43.060 But he makes it ridiculous and wipes it away by saying, are there any Republicans who think Democrats want to drink the blood of children?

00:27:51.820 Well, there are.

00:27:53.080 There are.

00:27:54.500 Not many of them.

00:27:56.020 But they exist.

00:27:57.620 So I'm going to say that the call on that that, you know, it shows that Biden has some brain damage or something, I say it's the opposite.

00:28:05.280 I say this was a very quick and clever response.

00:28:08.920 And it became viral, so he gets points for that, too.

00:28:13.060 So I'm going to go against the grain there and say that was a good Biden response.

00:28:20.020 All right.

00:28:20.740 What else is happening these days?

00:28:23.400 Here's a question for you.

00:28:25.020 So more and more we're hearing that people who are vaccinated can get the virus.

00:28:30.500 And there's some thought that maybe in Israel, I think, maybe in Great Britain, I'm not sure, that we're already seeing a reduction in the effectiveness of, I think, mostly the Pfizer shot.

00:28:42.020 I'm not sure about that either.

00:28:43.220 And here's my question.

00:28:45.900 Once you've accepted that people who have the vaccination can still quite easily get the virus, you know, they have lower symptoms, of course.

00:28:57.380 But they can get the virus and also spread it.

00:29:00.580 Once you've accepted that, is that a vaccination?

00:29:03.540 Is it?

00:29:06.220 Or wouldn't you call it a therapeutic?

00:29:09.480 Because if there's a chemical you put in your body that reduces the symptoms of something but doesn't prevent you from getting it the way a normal vaccination prevents you from getting smallpox, it doesn't treat it.

00:29:22.540 It prevents you from getting it.

00:29:24.040 So, is this a vaccination?

00:29:29.540 Well, I take you back, and I saw in the comments somebody got ahead of me a little bit.

00:29:33.660 You remember that one of my predictions that I considered as semi-right and maybe a little bit more wrong than right was I said that we would develop therapeutics faster than anybody imagined.

00:29:46.620 And I thought that vaccinations might be years off.

00:29:51.640 Does anybody remember me saying that?

00:29:53.100 So, I considered that a bad prediction because the vaccinations were not years off.

00:30:01.060 They came pretty quickly.

00:30:02.720 And then the therapeutics seemed to take a while before they kicked in.

00:30:07.680 A little slower than I thought, but still faster than maybe we would have expected.

00:30:12.640 It seems to me that the vaccination is just a therapeutic.

00:30:16.880 And that we did, in fact, develop an ass-kicking therapeutic.

00:30:21.540 If you looked at the vaccinations as a therapeutic, they're great.

00:30:27.420 If you look at it as a vaccination, I'm not even sure they qualify as a vaccination to do that.

00:30:32.000 So, we may have to develop a new category or a new word for something that's not quite a vaccination,

00:30:41.680 but you wouldn't quite call it a therapeutic because you take it prophylactically.

00:30:47.260 So, what is it?

00:30:48.400 It's a vax-a-putic.

00:30:52.020 Let's call it a vax-a-putic.

00:30:53.240 There you go.

00:30:56.240 Are you just word-thinking?

00:30:58.100 Yes.

00:30:59.340 But it gets to the question of whether a vaccine was, in fact, developed for COVID.

00:31:05.820 I don't think we made a vaccine.

00:31:07.860 I think we made a therapeutic that's just really, really good.

00:31:10.400 And whoever said that's word-thinking, your comment is accepted because I don't think it matters.

00:31:20.060 It is what it is, so you can call it whatever you want.

00:31:23.280 All right.

00:31:25.000 That is pretty much what I wanted to say today.

00:31:32.760 And did I leave out any important topics?

00:31:35.260 It's a leaky vaccine, somebody says.

00:31:41.100 It's a TheraVax.

00:31:42.260 Yeah.

00:31:43.500 TheraVax.

00:31:44.480 What would happen if we just...

00:31:48.860 What happens if we all just started calling it a therapy

00:31:53.600 and calling it a therapeutic for long COVID?

00:31:59.460 What if you called it that?

00:32:01.780 Would more people get it if you said,

00:32:03.760 well, it's not really a vaccine, per se,

00:32:07.120 more of a therapeutic.

00:32:08.720 And it's preventing long-haul,

00:32:10.480 which maybe you have a between 6% and 25% chance of getting.

00:32:14.260 Would that make more people take it?

00:32:16.540 And do you care?

00:32:19.020 You know, when I see the numbers of people dying who are vaccinated

00:32:21.840 being, like, so small that you can ignore them,

00:32:25.460 I mean, unless it's your family, then you can't.

00:32:28.820 I don't feel like I'm in a pandemic.

00:32:30.600 I feel like other people are in a pandemic, but I'm not.

00:32:35.100 And what's going to happen when the people who are vaccinated

00:32:37.340 realize that society got closed down again

00:32:41.040 because of the people who are not?

00:32:43.420 Do we have a problem coming?

00:32:46.060 Or is it going to be like sheep and cattle,

00:32:48.540 where the vaccinated and the unvaccinated have to fight to the death?

00:32:51.780 Because if you're unvaccinated and it feels like you're the cause 1.00

00:32:56.940 of me having to wear a mask in public

00:32:58.880 or not being able to shop, I suppose,

00:33:01.400 I don't know.

00:33:03.720 Does that give me an attitude about you?

00:33:05.960 Or do I just say, well, you made your choice, I made mine.

00:33:09.360 We'll both live out our choice.

00:33:11.480 Because I feel like your choice is affecting my choice.

00:33:15.200 Right?

00:33:15.600 Now, my current opinion is that it's not up to me

00:33:19.600 whether you get vaccinated,

00:33:21.080 and I don't give a fuck whether you do or not. 0.85

00:33:23.320 Beyond that, I also don't care if you die.

00:33:25.880 Now, I mean, I have normal empathy for humans and tragedies, etc.

00:33:30.800 But in terms of decision-making,

00:33:33.620 it's not part of my decision-making

00:33:35.320 whether you take the vaccine or not.

00:33:39.500 Because your risk and your life are for you to manage,

00:33:43.880 not for me to manage.

00:33:44.580 But what happens when your choice starts managing my life?

00:33:50.020 Because that's what's going to happen, right?

00:33:52.240 Here I am with no real risk that doesn't round to zero,

00:33:57.600 and my life will be completely determined in the next year

00:34:01.640 by what you do.

00:34:04.200 Am I wrong about that?

00:34:05.780 That my life will be completely determined

00:34:09.100 by what other people do.

00:34:12.060 That's true, wouldn't you say?

00:34:13.540 Now, to take the leap, I'm not taking the leap.

00:34:18.720 I'm not taking the leap that says,

00:34:20.140 and therefore you need to get vaccinated like me.

00:34:22.760 That's too far.

00:34:24.100 That would be unethical for me to make that claim.

00:34:26.760 But it is nonetheless true

00:34:28.680 that your choices, you unvaccinated people, 0.74

00:34:32.760 will completely determine my life.

00:34:34.780 However, my choice of getting vaccinated will have no impact on you,

00:34:41.380 except good.

00:34:42.680 It will reduce the odds of, you know, lockdowns and whatever.

00:34:46.840 But I want to see a counter to that.

00:34:51.120 So one crudder says wrong,

00:34:53.240 and that you're a sheep. 0.79

00:34:56.740 Am I a sheep?

00:34:58.020 Or are you a fucking asshole?

00:35:00.700 Because one of those are probably true.

00:35:02.980 Now, I would say that if you look at the cost-benefit of something,

00:35:06.920 and you make a personal decision about your cost-benefit,

00:35:10.620 that calling that person a sheep

00:35:12.280 would make you just a fucking asshole. 0.93

00:35:15.160 Because people do make cost-benefit analyses and make decisions.

00:35:21.400 You're a sheep.

00:35:23.300 All the people who are so fucking dumb to think that.

00:35:28.560 Anybody else want to take a run at it

00:35:30.460 and show us how stupid you are? 0.90

00:35:32.040 Because there are some things that are just opinions,

00:35:35.240 and I don't get down on people for their opinions,

00:35:38.380 even if they disagree.

00:35:40.040 But if you think that making a cost-benefit decision in a pandemic

00:35:44.320 and it happens to be the same as the medical community,

00:35:48.240 if you think that makes you a sheep

00:35:50.400 as opposed to somebody who analyzed something

00:35:53.360 and made a decision,

00:35:54.800 you're a fucking asshole, right? 0.88

00:35:57.100 Don't think that's an opinion.

00:35:59.340 That's a comment about yourself, right?

00:36:02.500 That's how you scream to the world,

00:36:04.120 I'm a fucking asshole

00:36:05.380 because I think that people who make different decisions

00:36:08.540 are small, wool-covered animals.

00:36:12.020 No.

00:36:12.260 We're just people who made a different decision than you did.

00:36:15.560 Maybe our risk is different.

00:36:17.280 Maybe our concerns are different.

00:36:19.060 But if you think that makes you a sheep,

00:36:20.720 you're a fucking asshole. 1.00

00:36:22.700 All right?

00:36:23.500 So just live with that.

00:36:29.560 Somebody says,

00:36:30.420 maybe it will be the other way around,

00:36:31.820 and the vaccinated will decide the lives of the rest.

00:36:35.220 If there were enough vaccinations, that would be true.

00:36:37.600 Because then the vaccinated people would cause us to open up. 1.00

00:36:42.280 What about natural immunity?

00:36:44.100 What about it?

00:36:47.020 Why would a vaccinated person need to wear a mask?

00:36:50.060 Because they can still...

00:36:52.480 Seriously, why are you still asking that question?

00:36:54.740 Sometimes I'm just amazed

00:37:00.140 at how the information about the pandemic is not universal.

00:37:09.200 You might be required to wear a mask when you're vaccinated

00:37:12.460 because vaccinated people do catch and do spread the virus.

00:37:19.040 Did you not know that?

00:37:20.180 Is there somebody here who didn't know that by now?

00:37:24.400 Now, I'm not saying you should wear a mask.

00:37:26.140 I think you shouldn't

00:37:26.940 because your risks are so low if you're vaccinated.

00:37:30.380 And also your risk of spreading it, I think, are low.

00:37:33.100 But we'll find out more about that.

00:37:36.680 So no.

00:37:38.220 I don't think I'm going to be wearing masks

00:37:41.480 if I can avoid it at all.

00:37:44.000 But there's a reason.

00:37:45.920 You just have to decide how big that reason is.

00:37:50.180 Why don't we need polio booster shots?

00:37:53.260 Because the ones we have work.

00:37:55.680 Obviously, we don't have a vaccination.

00:37:58.400 We have a therapeutic.

00:38:00.360 So if you're asking me,

00:38:01.460 why do you need more than one shot?

00:38:04.200 It might be the same reason

00:38:05.400 you need more than one of every therapeutic.

00:38:08.520 Is there any therapeutic that you take once and you're done?

00:38:12.520 Probably not, right?

00:38:14.040 You probably have to take a pill every now and then

00:38:16.160 or get more than one IV.

00:38:18.400 Maybe the IVs are just once.

00:38:20.660 I don't know.

00:38:25.900 Let's see.

00:38:26.960 Last week, you were ridiculing...

00:38:29.460 Hold on, let's see this.

00:38:30.880 I think people call these a therapeutic

00:38:32.760 and not a vaccine.

00:38:35.380 What happened to change your mind?

00:38:36.640 Well, that never happened.

00:38:38.440 So whatever you hallucinated I was doing

00:38:40.520 didn't happen.

00:38:42.460 I was not ridiculing anybody

00:38:44.240 who called it a therapeutic.

00:38:45.680 That simply never happened.

00:38:50.320 Have I ever told you that almost

00:38:51.980 all of the things I get in trouble with,

00:38:54.240 and indeed almost every problem in my life,

00:38:57.100 both personal and professional,

00:38:59.940 is based on people believing I did something

00:39:02.400 or said something that never happened?

00:39:05.120 Is that unique to me,

00:39:06.640 because I'm a public figure?

00:39:08.060 Because even in my private life,

00:39:10.220 most of my problems

00:39:12.100 are somebody who believes I said

00:39:13.940 or did something that never happened.

00:39:18.540 In my marriage, for example,

00:39:21.240 nearly all of my problems

00:39:23.020 are based on things that didn't happen.

00:39:27.720 All right.

00:39:28.780 Somebody says my late wife 0.94

00:39:30.320 did that to me all the time.

00:39:35.000 Told us more than a few times.

00:39:36.780 I don't know what you're talking about.

00:39:41.560 Wow, someone with the same problem.

00:39:43.080 Yeah, I guess I have told you that.

00:39:44.360 That's right.

00:39:45.480 You're right.

00:39:45.920 I have told you more than a few times.

00:39:48.080 All right.

00:39:51.980 Government determined

00:39:53.000 not a HIPAA violation

00:39:54.120 to ask vaccine questions.

00:39:56.520 Yeah, I don't see how

00:39:57.400 that's not a HIPAA violation.

00:40:00.020 But in the pandemic,

00:40:01.300 I guess all rules are off.

00:40:02.300 Your definition of the jab

00:40:06.400 has already changed

00:40:07.520 because the data changed.

00:40:11.960 What do you do?

00:40:13.920 You don't change your mind

00:40:15.160 when the data changes?

00:40:17.860 Like, how do you play it?

00:40:20.340 When I get new information,

00:40:21.760 I sometimes revise my opinion.

00:40:27.620 It's not a violation to ask

00:40:29.180 because you don't have to answer.

00:40:30.620 Okay, technically.

00:40:32.900 I guess that's true.

00:40:40.220 What's that about the Locals app?

00:40:44.940 Oh, predictions about kneeling teams 0.85

00:40:47.440 now that the Olympics begin.

00:40:49.240 Well, I've always said

00:40:50.160 that teams that kneel

00:40:51.460 should perform worse

00:40:53.180 than teams that don't.

00:40:55.060 Don't we have enough data on that?

00:40:56.540 Because there should be

00:40:57.120 enough professional games

00:40:58.480 that we would have

00:41:00.120 a pretty good look at that.

00:41:01.860 But I don't know

00:41:02.580 if you would know

00:41:03.300 exactly how a team

00:41:04.300 should have performed.

00:41:05.580 Is there a way

00:41:06.040 to tease that out?

00:41:07.580 Because maybe

00:41:08.060 only bad teams did it.

00:41:10.140 I mean, that's possible.

00:41:15.680 Wouldn't our energy

00:41:16.520 be better served

00:41:17.200 figuring out

00:41:17.620 where this came from

00:41:18.480 and punishing the bad actors?

00:41:20.080 I don't think there's any way

00:41:21.160 to punish the bad actors.

00:41:22.340 I don't.

00:41:25.060 All right.

00:41:26.120 That's all for now

00:41:27.000 and I will talk to you

00:41:28.060 on YouTube tomorrow.

00:41:29.840 All right.

00:41:31.060 All right.

00:41:31.220 All right.

00:41:31.780 We'll talk to you

00:41:56.740 tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 23, 2021

Episode 1445 Scott Adams： Biden Jokes, Long Haul and Vaccination Mysteries, Drafting Women, Genetics and COVID

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