Episode 1445 Scott Adams: Biden Jokes, Long Haul and Vaccination Mysteries, Drafting Women, Genetics and COVID
Episode Stats
Words per Minute
143.71072
Summary
A Japanese man almost died of a stroke moments before he ejaculated. Victoria Secret is going to go all-in on scantily clothed in their new business model, and I'm not sure if that's a good or bad thing.
Transcript
00:00:00.000
Well, well, well, welcome to another amazing episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, absolutely
00:00:08.520
the best part of every day for every person in the universe and beyond.
00:00:13.460
And if you'd like to take it up a notch, and why wouldn't you, really, all you need is
00:00:19.580
a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or a gel, a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel
00:00:24.000
of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:33.720
The dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better, it's called the simultaneous
00:00:51.600
There's some kind of a brightness problem going on here.
00:01:01.920
I'm going to start with the most important news of the day, and then we'll work down to
00:01:08.200
Um, I see some people are having some international issues with YouTube.
00:01:15.600
Uh, today I've got the paywall down for just this video, uh, on locals.
00:01:23.140
If you want to see this same show without the commercials, you want to see it live, uh, look
00:01:30.740
It's got a link to go over to locals, and there you can see it without commercial breaks, and, uh,
00:01:37.460
get a little sample of what the, the subscription service is like without the subscription, just
00:01:43.360
Most important news of the day, this was from the Daily Mail, and I hope you didn't miss
00:01:51.860
Uh, there was a, according to the Daily Mail, there was a single Japanese man, age 51, who
00:01:59.220
almost masturbated himself to death after suffering a stroke moments before he ejaculated.
00:02:09.800
In the Daily Mail, they'll, they'll give you the headline, but between the headline and the
00:02:17.180
They give you the, you know, the, uh, summary of the story, and in the bullet point summary
00:02:24.940
of this, the single Japanese man almost masturbating himself to death,
00:02:30.500
the, the, the, the, the, the, the Daily Mail, I'll be laughing about this all day, the Daily
00:02:45.040
Mail describes the man as a, a right-handed man in Germany.
00:02:50.580
They, they had to tell you he's right-handed because, yeah, you know, good writing, one
00:03:10.480
of the, well, one of the elements of good writing is that, uh, you, you make the picture
00:03:20.520
of visual, and I guess they didn't want to, they didn't want to leave it to chance that
00:03:27.000
you would imagine the wrong hand, so they told you he was right-handed, but they should
00:03:32.200
have gone further because if you're right-handed, this is, this is something a girlfriend told
00:03:41.980
me when I was, I think, 19, it's, uh, she didn't make it up, but she said, use your left hand
00:03:55.460
This is a right-handed man, almost jerks himself to death.
00:03:59.740
All right, so, uh, uh, uh, to the Daily Mail, whoever, whoever writes their summaries, that
00:04:12.900
was the funniest summary you'll ever see in your life, a right-handed man.
00:04:17.420
Oh, I have to hope the rest of this is as funny as that.
00:04:28.800
Uh, sorry, this was just about me amusing myself.
00:04:32.100
There'll be a portion of this later where I try to entertain you two, but it won't happen
00:04:42.500
So Victoria's Secret, uh, has announced that, uh, instead of their old business model, where
00:04:52.300
they would have the, the angels, you remember the angels were the attractive models who would
00:04:57.400
come out in scanty attire, but they're going to abandon that entire model maybe after this
00:05:03.160
year, and instead of having, uh, attractive women scantily clothed to sell their, uh, scant
00:05:11.620
clothing, uh, they're going to go with, uh, trailblazing women, trailblazing women, including,
00:05:18.120
uh, trans, uh, women, and at least one lesbian.
00:05:24.520
And they've sort of, uh, they've decided to drop the whole attractiveness angle.
00:05:38.640
I think we all understand if somebody is just totally sexist and says, hey, I'm going to
00:05:43.880
sell you some, sell you some, you know, lingerie or whatever, and we're just going to use sex
00:05:49.580
to do it, and it's all about, you know, sexy hetero people.
00:05:53.520
I guess they don't have to be hetero, but that part's optional.
00:06:00.700
Like, I think we would all understand that, right?
00:06:03.840
We'd say, okay, maybe that's not for me, or that doesn't address my community or something.
00:06:11.600
You know, just the way you would understand it.
00:06:14.020
If, uh, uh, if somebody said we have some other kind of theme.
00:06:18.520
But, uh, does it make sense that you're selling sexy clothing and you've abandoned the whole
00:06:25.580
sex appeal angle to just sort of go for a generic, uh, women are awesome and trailblazers?
00:06:33.620
I feel like they're going to have a messaging problem here.
00:06:41.180
Now, I'm not, I'm not saying I'm against it, because it's their business and they can do
00:06:46.200
And being more inclusive, perfectly good impulse.
00:06:51.040
So wouldn't you, wouldn't you like to see more people being, you know, open to all people?
00:06:57.200
The thing is, do you take this concept which is good, you know, being, being nice to all
00:07:19.020
Um, we have more information coming out that, uh, COVID has a genetic component.
00:07:26.660
There are boring studies which are barely, um, understandable to people with my background.
00:07:33.660
But it looks like some meta-analysis, uh, has determined that there are 13 genetic signatures
00:07:40.960
that will determine whether you get a bad outcome.
00:07:43.760
And then there was another study I saw on the same topic that seemed to show that, um,
00:07:49.440
different, uh, ethnic groups around the world have very different outcomes.
00:07:53.640
Now, a question I asked that I didn't see an answer to is, uh, if you saw my tweet on this
00:07:59.740
this morning, did the, did the study say that China would have the least problem with it
00:08:12.540
Because the, there's a gigantic problem with scientists trying to communicate.
00:08:19.240
For whatever reason, scientists need to communicate in the way that's hardest to understand.
00:08:24.520
Now, you can say to yourself, but Scott, that's just because you don't understand the, you know,
00:08:29.980
the terms of art and you're not in the industry, but if you were a scientist, you could certainly
00:08:35.480
read their writing and you would understand it because you'd know you'd have the technical
00:08:46.040
The reason I can't understand it has nothing to do, well, has something to do with my lack
00:08:51.200
of training in the field, but it's just bad writing.
00:08:56.080
It doesn't have to be the way it's, it's presented in these technical publications.
00:09:05.860
But there, there is no, there's not even a hand wave to being comprehensible.
00:09:12.580
These are completely incomprehensible written things on top of the fact that you don't understand
00:09:21.200
So the one thing I wonder, and if somebody could look at that, what I tweeted this morning
00:09:25.520
and give me an opinion, if you're better at discerning what they say, can you tell me if
00:09:32.120
that's telling me that this virus coincidentally does not affect Chinese ethnic people as much?
00:09:39.340
I think you said that, but you just can't tell the way it's so poorly written.
00:09:45.320
I saw a tweet by a gentleman named, well, I don't want to pronounce his first name incorrectly,
00:09:58.120
Now, I'd like to be respectful about people's names, and a couple of ways I can think to
00:10:11.840
But let's say that you pronounce A-N-A-S as Anas.
00:10:16.320
Let's go with A-N-A-S, because A-N-A-S sounds wrong.
00:10:24.760
And he noted in a tweet that under Biden, the amount of coal we're exporting to China has
00:10:36.000
Now, I think it's probably not as high as it was under Obama, but it's way higher than
00:10:40.520
So this green Biden administration maybe is using less coal in the United States.
00:10:53.520
And then China's just burning it, and it gets in the same atmosphere.
00:10:59.380
So this is yet another case where this whole green or not green situation is hard to analyze,
00:11:26.360
So as Michael Schellenberger was tweeting that the share of renewable power in Germany's
00:11:32.000
situation is, let's see, the renewable power is down 43% in the past year.
00:11:43.200
So Germany was big on renewable green energy, but they got way less of it this year.
00:11:49.620
And the reason is unfavorable wind conditions and fewer sunshine hours.
00:11:59.040
If you know that the climate is changing, and if the climate is changing, couldn't you assume
00:12:09.240
So that, for example, you had a place that was excellent for windmills, but what if the
00:12:16.540
Is the place that you put all the windmills suddenly no good for windmills?
00:12:22.660
You have to find the right, you know, wind situation.
00:12:26.500
So could it be that climate change will make green technology less effective?
00:12:34.420
So that wherever you put the windmills, they just stop being good places for windmills,
00:12:38.640
and then other places become good places for windmills, but there are no windmills there.
00:12:44.620
Because it seems to me every bit of logic about any of this stuff says nuclear energy
00:12:55.600
Did Germany get bitten by climate change by putting in the technology that's right for
00:13:01.220
climate change, green technology, but then the climate change made the green technology
00:13:11.540
That's not a claim, but it looks like it might have happened.
00:13:23.700
So Adam Dopamine on Twitter asked a good question, which is, if, as the experts say, something
00:13:31.360
like a quarter of all people who get COVID have some kind of long-haul symptoms, shouldn't
00:13:37.980
you and I know some people with long-haul symptoms by now?
00:13:43.100
Because one of the bullshit filters I teach you is that if science is telling you one
00:13:48.220
thing, but your observation, your direct observation is telling you another thing, you need to figure
00:13:56.760
And it's at least a flag that you should maybe be a little skeptical about the science.
00:14:04.120
Science could be right, and your direct observation could be what's the illusion.
00:14:08.360
But if those are in conflict, then you need to ask some more questions.
00:14:14.660
So I put down a little unscientific Twitter poll.
00:14:19.920
And I think something like, last I checked, I think 17% of the respondents said they did
00:14:27.900
Now, given the tens of millions of Americans who have had COVID, 30 million, I forget the
00:14:34.420
number, but it's tens of millions who've had it.
00:14:36.120
The question was, wouldn't you know somebody who's had long COVID by now?
00:14:41.320
Because you'd almost certainly know somebody who had COVID, and then a quarter of them would
00:14:50.580
But does it make sense to you that 17% of the respondents do know long COVID?
00:14:57.880
Yeah, Dr. Drew had long COVID, as you're saying in the comments.
00:15:01.700
So I know, I think I know three or more people who have had long COVID.
00:15:09.860
But here's another interesting question, which came to me from a doctor, who shall remain
00:15:18.420
But how do we, how do we get statistics for long COVID?
00:15:26.660
Is it because you had some problems after you got the COVID?
00:15:32.280
Because if all you're doing is looking at what happened to you after you got COVID, you
00:15:37.740
can say that 100% of people who've had COVID will die, eventually, it might be 40 years.
00:15:44.260
But a lot of coincidences are going to happen after any event.
00:15:49.260
How many people got really sick after the Super Bowl, and continue to be sick for months?
00:15:54.480
Lots, probably hundreds of thousands, just by coincidence.
00:15:58.220
So how do you actually know if somebody has long COVID?
00:16:07.260
In other words, you can't do a test on somebody and say, oh, yep, there you go.
00:16:19.160
All you have is people reporting that they have symptoms.
00:16:24.100
So do you think that people imagining symptoms could inflate that number of people who have long COVID all the way up to 25% when really, maybe it's a lot less?
00:16:42.600
Now, speaking of that, there was a British study, which I think I wrote down, showing that the number of long COVID people, oh, here it is.
00:16:54.160
In Great Britain, they did a study of long COVID.
00:16:56.460
They found that 6.2% of adults may have experienced long COVID since the start of the pandemic.
00:17:04.380
And that includes, you know, like 40% of them are only people who are unsure.
00:17:11.340
So of the 6%, a large chunk of the 6% weren't even positive.
00:17:16.980
They're just like, well, I think maybe I had long COVID, or maybe I just had some problems that came after the COVID.
00:17:27.600
Do you think it's 25%, which would be, oh, God?
00:17:31.800
Or is it 6% or really not even 6% because some of them are unsure?
00:17:39.560
Which sounds more true to you based on your observation, just living in the world and knowing people who've had COVID, et cetera?
00:18:03.460
I saw Karl Rove take down the Texas Democrats who left town so that they would remove the quorum
00:18:10.820
and there couldn't be a vote about the election reforms that Texas was hoping to do, which the Democrats call voter suppression.
00:18:19.640
And so Karl Rove challenged the Democrats, he appeared on Fox News, and he sort of challenged him on a point-by-point of the new proposed Texas law to explain to him and the world why they are voter suppression.
00:18:36.340
And I watched Karl Rove just go through each of the Texas law proposed changes, and none of them look like voter suppression to me.
00:18:45.940
In fact, they all look like voter protection or voter increase.
00:18:49.740
And I thought to myself, why is it that Karl Rove has to come on Fox with his little whiteboard, and he's just a pundit, right?
00:19:05.480
Karl Rove is somebody the news invites on to talk.
00:19:08.640
So why does Karl Rove have to be the person to tell us what the law says and to show us that there's no correlation with voter suppression?
00:19:21.220
If the only thing you've seen is one pundit giving you their argument, which seems pretty airtight, should you say, well, I'm done, I know everything I know now, because Karl Rove just explained it to me?
00:19:34.580
Now, I do think that Karl Rove is probably more credible than most pundits, right?
00:19:42.200
I think he would be toward the top of people who, if they say something on TV, it's probably true, right?
00:19:49.320
So even though he has high credibility, in my opinion, you should never, ever believe one person giving one point of view.
00:20:07.480
I mean, I haven't heard any complaints, so it's a question on YouTube.
00:20:13.540
So where is the show in which you have a Karl Rove-type person saying, here are the details of the law, and you can see clearly that they do not cause any voter suppression?
00:20:25.720
Where is the other person sitting next to him, a Democrat, let's say, who says, no, no, no, Karl Rove, I see what you're saying, but you're misinterpreting this one, or you're leaving one out, or you're not seeing the real reason behind this one.
00:20:48.180
It's only people talking, and that's not news, because there's no context.
00:20:57.680
So I will give a big standing ovation to Karl Rove for being the first person I've seen to even attempt to explain what the frickin' law says,
00:21:07.320
so that we can make up our own mind if the Democrats are being reasonable.
00:21:12.340
But someday, somebody's going to make that show, and probably it's going to be on the Internet and not on a network,
00:21:19.520
because I don't think the networks can give you any kind of balanced anything.
00:21:23.440
But if I had a little bit better technology than I have now, because what I'd want to do is live stream it and have multiple guests,
00:21:32.380
and right now I'm not aware of any technology that's quite good enough to do that.
00:21:37.500
There's technology to do it, but it's not good enough.
00:21:44.720
As soon as we get to the point where I could just easily call people up and say,
00:21:48.240
all right, you're a guest on this side, you're a guest on the other side, I'll be your referee, then I'll do that.
00:21:56.120
Somebody says, just ask Viva and Barnes how they do it.
00:22:04.260
So I would need to see a model with at least two guests.
00:22:11.660
Apparently, we learn now that the FBI had 4,500 tips about Brett Kavanaugh and his alleged sexual improprieties for which there is no evidence whatsoever.
00:22:28.920
And Democrats, of course, are using this as evidence that the investigation into him was not complete or even valid.
00:22:38.520
But how many tips do you think would be the right amount you would expect of fake tips?
00:22:45.760
Given the size of the Kavanaugh story and its importance, how many tips would you expect to get?
00:22:55.240
I would expect to get about 5,000 tips that were just bullshit.
00:23:00.400
So do you think the FBI is good at knowing what kind of tips look reasonable and which ones do not?
00:23:06.260
Well, they're better than us, probably better than you and I could do.
00:23:09.740
But I don't think the FBI looks into tips, do they?
00:23:14.080
Do you know how many tips law enforcement gets about everything?
00:23:19.520
What percentage of tips can any law enforcement look into?
00:23:27.000
I don't know that anybody really looks into tips except in strange situations.
00:23:38.980
How unusual is it that thousands of tips would be ignored by the FBI?
00:23:42.900
I feel like it's normal because they would just look at him and say, no, I don't think so.
00:23:53.320
I guess the Biden administration is looking at including having women sign up for the draft or register for the draft.
00:24:02.960
Now, we don't have a draft, but the registering is just in case.
00:24:06.440
And I guess men ages 18 through 24 have to register for the draft.
00:24:23.140
So I know a lot of you watching this are older, and I think at some age, many of you did.
00:24:32.720
How many of you did not register for the draft, but should have legally?
00:24:40.480
I should have just asked how many did not, because those are the ones that are interesting.
00:24:51.100
It's illegal, but I think the penalty is something like you can't get student loans or something like that.
00:24:58.780
Oh, most states auto-register when you get a driver's license.
00:25:09.400
Well, I know people who did not register for the draft and had no consequences whatsoever, but I won't name names.
00:25:27.700
So Biden was asked on a viral video that's going around today, somebody asked him,
00:25:34.500
are there Democrats who want to defund the police?
00:25:42.040
Is that a reasonable question to ask Joe Biden?
00:25:44.620
Are there any Democrats who want to defund the police?
00:25:51.260
Because every large organization, be they Democrats or be they Republicans, have some of everything.
00:25:59.860
Don't you think there are some Republicans who want to defund the police?
00:26:08.200
Do you think there are any murderers, rapists, or racists who are Democrats?
00:26:14.300
Are there any of those people who are Republicans?
00:26:18.440
Are there any people who are, you know, pedophiles and, you know, ex-convicts who are Democrats?
00:26:33.140
So asking Biden if there are any Democrats who want to defund the police is just a dumb question.
00:26:38.820
So Biden's answer was, and I'm paraphrasing, are there Republicans who think Democrats want to drink the blood of children?
00:26:47.260
Now, I saw a number of people tweeting this around like he was just sort of random and crazy, as if it were a, you know, a brain-dead response.
00:26:59.980
I'm going to try to be objective about Biden, as I was as best I could about Trump.
00:27:08.720
But objectively speaking, this was a great answer.
00:27:12.020
It's just that for some reason Republicans didn't see it that way, and, you know, subjectivity is pretty strong.
00:27:17.740
It was a good answer because he was brushing it away as ridiculous and essentially said what I did, which is you can find somebody in every group.
00:27:30.020
Are there any Democrats who want to defund the police?
00:27:38.680
What good would it be to have Biden answer that question?
00:27:43.060
But he makes it ridiculous and wipes it away by saying, are there any Republicans who think Democrats want to drink the blood of children?
00:27:57.620
So I'm going to say that the call on that that, you know, it shows that Biden has some brain damage or something, I say it's the opposite.
00:28:05.280
I say this was a very quick and clever response.
00:28:08.920
And it became viral, so he gets points for that, too.
00:28:13.060
So I'm going to go against the grain there and say that was a good Biden response.
00:28:25.020
So more and more we're hearing that people who are vaccinated can get the virus.
00:28:30.500
And there's some thought that maybe in Israel, I think, maybe in Great Britain, I'm not sure, that we're already seeing a reduction in the effectiveness of, I think, mostly the Pfizer shot.
00:28:45.900
Once you've accepted that people who have the vaccination can still quite easily get the virus, you know, they have lower symptoms, of course.
00:29:00.580
Once you've accepted that, is that a vaccination?
00:29:09.480
Because if there's a chemical you put in your body that reduces the symptoms of something but doesn't prevent you from getting it the way a normal vaccination prevents you from getting smallpox, it doesn't treat it.
00:29:29.540
Well, I take you back, and I saw in the comments somebody got ahead of me a little bit.
00:29:33.660
You remember that one of my predictions that I considered as semi-right and maybe a little bit more wrong than right was I said that we would develop therapeutics faster than anybody imagined.
00:29:46.620
And I thought that vaccinations might be years off.
00:29:53.100
So, I considered that a bad prediction because the vaccinations were not years off.
00:30:02.720
And then the therapeutics seemed to take a while before they kicked in.
00:30:07.680
A little slower than I thought, but still faster than maybe we would have expected.
00:30:12.640
It seems to me that the vaccination is just a therapeutic.
00:30:16.880
And that we did, in fact, develop an ass-kicking therapeutic.
00:30:21.540
If you looked at the vaccinations as a therapeutic, they're great.
00:30:27.420
If you look at it as a vaccination, I'm not even sure they qualify as a vaccination to do that.
00:30:32.000
So, we may have to develop a new category or a new word for something that's not quite a vaccination,
00:30:41.680
but you wouldn't quite call it a therapeutic because you take it prophylactically.
00:30:59.340
But it gets to the question of whether a vaccine was, in fact, developed for COVID.
00:31:07.860
I think we made a therapeutic that's just really, really good.
00:31:10.400
And whoever said that's word-thinking, your comment is accepted because I don't think it matters.
00:31:20.060
It is what it is, so you can call it whatever you want.
00:31:25.000
That is pretty much what I wanted to say today.
00:31:48.860
What happens if we all just started calling it a therapy
00:32:10.480
which maybe you have a between 6% and 25% chance of getting.
00:32:19.020
You know, when I see the numbers of people dying who are vaccinated
00:32:21.840
being, like, so small that you can ignore them,
00:32:25.460
I mean, unless it's your family, then you can't.
00:32:30.600
I feel like other people are in a pandemic, but I'm not.
00:32:35.100
And what's going to happen when the people who are vaccinated
00:32:48.540
where the vaccinated and the unvaccinated have to fight to the death?
00:32:51.780
Because if you're unvaccinated and it feels like you're the cause
00:33:05.960
Or do I just say, well, you made your choice, I made mine.
00:33:11.480
Because I feel like your choice is affecting my choice.
00:33:15.600
Now, my current opinion is that it's not up to me
00:33:25.880
Now, I mean, I have normal empathy for humans and tragedies, etc.
00:33:39.500
Because your risk and your life are for you to manage,
00:33:44.580
But what happens when your choice starts managing my life?
00:33:52.240
Here I am with no real risk that doesn't round to zero,
00:33:57.600
and my life will be completely determined in the next year
00:34:13.540
Now, to take the leap, I'm not taking the leap.
00:34:20.140
and therefore you need to get vaccinated like me.
00:34:24.100
That would be unethical for me to make that claim.
00:34:34.780
However, my choice of getting vaccinated will have no impact on you,
00:34:42.680
It will reduce the odds of, you know, lockdowns and whatever.
00:35:02.980
Now, I would say that if you look at the cost-benefit of something,
00:35:06.920
and you make a personal decision about your cost-benefit,
00:35:15.160
Because people do make cost-benefit analyses and make decisions.
00:35:23.300
All the people who are so fucking dumb to think that.
00:35:32.040
Because there are some things that are just opinions,
00:35:35.240
and I don't get down on people for their opinions,
00:35:40.040
But if you think that making a cost-benefit decision in a pandemic
00:35:44.320
and it happens to be the same as the medical community,
00:36:05.380
because I think that people who make different decisions
00:36:12.260
We're just people who made a different decision than you did.
00:36:31.820
and the vaccinated will decide the lives of the rest.
00:36:35.220
If there were enough vaccinations, that would be true.
00:36:37.600
Because then the vaccinated people would cause us to open up.
00:36:47.020
Why would a vaccinated person need to wear a mask?
00:36:52.480
Seriously, why are you still asking that question?
00:37:00.140
at how the information about the pandemic is not universal.
00:37:09.200
You might be required to wear a mask when you're vaccinated
00:37:12.460
because vaccinated people do catch and do spread the virus.
00:37:20.180
Is there somebody here who didn't know that by now?
00:37:26.940
because your risks are so low if you're vaccinated.
00:37:30.380
And also your risk of spreading it, I think, are low.
00:37:45.920
You just have to decide how big that reason is.
00:38:08.520
Is there any therapeutic that you take once and you're done?
00:38:14.040
You probably have to take a pill every now and then