Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 30, 2021


Episode 1453 Scott Adams： Climate Models Have New Critics, Why Politicians are Bad During Pandemics, More


Episode Stats

Length

52 minutes

Words per Minute

144.10188

Word Count

7,525

Sentence Count

555

Misogynist Sentences

4

Hate Speech Sentences

9


Summary

On today's show, we discuss the recent events in the streets of New York and Washington, D.C., including the protests and counter-protester tactics used by the Republicans to try to delegitimize the actions of the protesters.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Yes, this little piece of paper is the one I read every time.
00:00:06.680 It's got the simultaneous sip language on it.
00:00:11.280 Yeah, yeah, I know, just about anybody in the world would have memorized this by now.
00:00:16.080 I say it every day.
00:00:17.700 But for some reason I can't.
00:00:19.980 I don't know, my brain doesn't work that way.
00:00:22.180 If it's written down, I won't memorize it.
00:00:25.120 And all you need to make your day better...
00:00:29.000 I can make that better. There you go.
00:00:31.680 Here's a cup of mug, a glass, a tanker, chelsea, stein, a canteen, jug, or flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:36.620 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:38.000 I like coffee.
00:00:39.600 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.
00:00:43.760 The dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better, it's called the simultaneous sip.
00:00:50.340 Go.
00:00:54.660 Ah, yes.
00:00:56.220 All right, so first of all, YouTubers, we got cut off yesterday, and I didn't know why.
00:01:03.340 The answer is my device.
00:01:05.900 So I had some kind of a Wi-Fi bug that knocked me off on my iPad.
00:01:11.100 But if it happens again, the problem is me, not YouTube.
00:01:16.400 I have new hardware for tomorrow, so you'll see a different look tomorrow.
00:01:20.340 If you don't want the ads, you can go over to the locals platform, which today I've unlocked, so that you could watch it without a subscription.
00:01:31.700 So just that part of the content, my other content, the provocative stuff, you would still need a subscription for that.
00:01:39.900 All right.
00:01:46.520 Oh, okay.
00:01:48.940 Thought I had a problem here, but I don't.
00:01:51.280 Life is good.
00:01:52.040 So, did you see that Mike Lindell pulled his MyPillow ads from Fox?
00:02:04.140 How does Fox even survive without the MyPillow ads?
00:02:09.100 That's a pretty big part.
00:02:10.540 And part of it is, and the reason he pulled his ads is he wanted to do something, I guess, about the election, and Fox News didn't want that one on there, and so Mike Lindell pulled it all.
00:02:24.680 And it should be noted that Mike Lindell stuck with Fox News when, let's say, Tucker Carlson was getting a lot of heat.
00:02:34.360 Mike Lindell stuck with him, but it didn't work the other way.
00:02:38.920 I'm not saying it should, I'm just noting that there was, the reciprocity was not complete, although the situations are different, to be fair.
00:02:48.840 There's no reason to assume there would be reciprocity.
00:02:51.620 But you can see why Mike Lindell might have said, you know, I was loyal to you, and you weren't loyal to me.
00:02:59.180 You may be thinking along those lines.
00:03:01.300 The other possibility is that the business isn't doing that well, because he's getting so much heat because of the election stuff.
00:03:08.080 I don't know how many pillows he's selling.
00:03:10.760 That had to have some kind of an effect.
00:03:14.320 So it could be that his advertising budget isn't as much as it used to be either.
00:03:18.560 But on the other hand, that's the only way he sells pillows, right?
00:03:21.640 Unless people just buy them off the shelf these days.
00:03:23.860 So that's something to watch, because as advertisers are affected by the news and the issues, I don't know, maybe the whole advertising model of news can't last.
00:03:40.080 It's going to be all pharmaceuticals all the time.
00:03:43.360 All right.
00:03:45.900 Representative Madeline Dean is very mad at the insurrection deniers.
00:03:51.920 So the Republicans, apparently the Republicans like to say things like, well, that thing you call an insurrection was just people walking around peacefully and taking pictures.
00:04:06.120 Now, that's such a lie.
00:04:09.540 Why would you say that?
00:04:11.520 Now, that's close to something that is true.
00:04:15.260 What's close to something that's true is that almost everybody there was nonviolent and they didn't really have heavy weaponry.
00:04:23.980 But obviously it was seriously violent in some places.
00:04:29.220 The fact that, you know, 98% of them had nothing to do with violence doesn't change the fact it was a violent day and all that was bad.
00:04:37.620 So here's a suggestion to the Republicans.
00:04:41.540 You look like idiots when you say it was peaceful.
00:04:44.560 You just look like idiots.
00:04:46.660 Because 100% of the world knows it wasn't peaceful.
00:04:50.380 Why would you say that?
00:04:52.280 It's such a bad way to persuade.
00:04:55.700 You have to tell people the thing that's obvious before you start.
00:04:59.620 It's obvious horrible things happened.
00:05:02.400 Let's stipulate that.
00:05:05.600 Horrible things happened.
00:05:07.160 And now make your point that 98% of them, blah, blah, blah, were peaceful.
00:05:12.300 Obviously it wasn't an insurrection because they didn't bring the kind of weapons or any kind of assets that would make that happen.
00:05:18.540 It was just a protest.
00:05:20.380 Now, you could definitely make the case it's just a protest and that, well, not just a protest, but that part of it got violent.
00:05:28.680 But why would you be so ridiculous to try to categorize the whole thing as peaceful?
00:05:37.700 I mean, that's just so dumb.
00:05:39.300 It's so dumb.
00:05:41.040 Don't do that.
00:05:43.180 All right, here's one of those goals versus systems situation.
00:05:48.460 And I feel like we're, the public, and that would include most of you,
00:05:54.460 I think we're stuck in a little weird trap with the pandemic.
00:05:59.640 And the trap is that we manage to what is measured.
00:06:05.180 This is one of the most important understandings of the world that you will ever have.
00:06:11.940 And it's something you don't get when you're a teenager.
00:06:14.580 It takes like a long time to figure out how the world really works.
00:06:18.240 And one of the ways that the world really works is that we manage to statistics.
00:06:25.660 So if something can be measured, that's what we're going to manage to.
00:06:30.080 Because there's going to be somebody elected or hired whose job it is to manage to that thing.
00:06:35.400 It's the only thing we're measuring.
00:06:37.420 So make sure this goes up and this goes down.
00:06:39.580 That's your job.
00:06:40.260 So how do you measure, in the context of the pandemic, if you're a politician,
00:06:48.780 how do you measure people being happier?
00:06:53.160 You don't do it.
00:06:54.600 I mean, there might be polls about people being happier, but no politician manages to that.
00:07:00.280 Right?
00:07:00.820 But what do you care about?
00:07:02.700 If I asked you, what do you care about?
00:07:04.420 You'd say, well, being happy, being free, like being able to make my own choices.
00:07:10.260 But where's the measurement for those things?
00:07:13.980 Where's your measurement of freedom?
00:07:17.300 It's not measured.
00:07:18.720 Where's your measurement of happiness?
00:07:20.920 It's not measured.
00:07:22.840 Right?
00:07:23.320 So the things you want don't have numbers associated with them because you couldn't.
00:07:28.700 But the things that the politicians will be judged on are the stuff you can measure.
00:07:35.840 Deaths during their term.
00:07:38.980 That's basically it.
00:07:41.520 Right?
00:07:42.020 I mean, infections too.
00:07:43.580 I mean, that's going to look bad if everything's spiking.
00:07:46.240 But mostly deaths.
00:07:48.900 And what is different between politicians and the public?
00:07:53.940 What is the public saying consistently pretty much all of us?
00:07:59.680 Pretty much all of the public is saying some version of, we know it's dangerous.
00:08:04.580 We know it.
00:08:06.120 We want to do it anyway.
00:08:09.260 You know, we've assessed the risks.
00:08:11.400 Thank you very much.
00:08:12.960 You know, the government is actually pretty good at at least trying to get you information.
00:08:17.300 You know, at least pushing the right buttons.
00:08:19.520 You don't get the right information all the time.
00:08:21.460 But at least they're trying.
00:08:23.520 And it's the right entity to do it.
00:08:26.160 So I think we have to look at the fact that our goal of getting past the pandemic doesn't look the same if you're a politician or you're the public.
00:08:37.800 And that's a big freaking problem because the politicians are in charge of fixing this thing or getting us past the pandemic.
00:08:46.340 They don't have the same incentives that we do.
00:08:51.000 That's the worst possible situation.
00:08:53.920 What could be worse than your leaders having a different motivation than the people they're leading?
00:08:59.840 That doesn't get worse.
00:09:01.040 That's the worst system you could devise is that the people and the leaders are on a different page.
00:09:06.360 And that's what we have.
00:09:07.120 And it's because some things are measurable and some things aren't.
00:09:15.280 Now, do you think we should build a pandemic policy around things that just coincidentally are things you can measure sort of and you're not even sure about that?
00:09:26.820 That's what we got.
00:09:28.760 Let me suggest a different system which is sort of self-organizing as we speak.
00:09:35.060 It has to do with, let's just take the one example of mask mandates coming back on.
00:09:41.220 Now, I think we all understand why the politicians want the mask mandates.
00:09:46.720 The Delta variant is super bad and it's infecting people, even vaccinated people, and then they can give it to other people, even if they don't have a big problem themselves.
00:09:56.840 They can spread it, blah, blah, blah.
00:09:59.720 So we all understand why.
00:10:01.840 But would you make the same choice the politicians are making?
00:10:06.600 No.
00:10:07.460 No, you wouldn't.
00:10:08.160 You would probably say, yeah, I get everything you're saying.
00:10:11.380 I hear everything you've told me.
00:10:13.260 I understand it.
00:10:14.160 And I think I still don't want to wear my mask because I want to take that chance.
00:10:19.320 I feel as though the system that's emerging is that, let me put a number on it.
00:10:26.680 I think that mask mandates work when 99% of the public or more complies just based on a sign, just a sign alone.
00:10:38.600 You walk up to a business, you see the sign, 99% of you put on your masks.
00:10:43.800 If that's not the case, and it's only, let's say, 90%, what happens if only 90% put on their mask to enter that store, even though the sign on the door says put on your mask?
00:10:58.740 What happens if it's only 90%?
00:11:02.080 Well, the store owners have a big problem, right?
00:11:05.700 They either have to spend all their time getting that 10% to put on their masks, or they ignore it.
00:11:12.080 What are they going to do?
00:11:15.680 You're at McDonald's.
00:11:17.220 I'll just pick a random business.
00:11:19.840 You go into McDonald's without your mask, even though the door says you've got to wear a mask.
00:11:26.140 The manager says, oh, could you please wear a mask?
00:11:29.740 You know, we require them.
00:11:31.180 You say, oh, okay, yeah, I thought I could eat here without a mask, but I'll eat somewhere else.
00:11:37.800 They don't care that much.
00:11:38.860 But then you say, oh, okay, or let's say, alternately say, oh, okay, I didn't realize that you would need a mask for fully vaccinated people, but I'm happy to comply.
00:11:51.040 So you put on your mask, you order your food, and then you take your mask off to eat it.
00:11:56.160 Right?
00:11:56.640 But you have caused their staff to do something that's not related to their main job.
00:12:03.680 How many people go through McDonald's every day?
00:12:07.160 If one in 10 comes in and causes a problem, the whole operation doesn't work.
00:12:13.640 You know, McDonald's is a well-oiled machine, but even that doesn't work.
00:12:17.480 If they have to tell every 10th person they have to have a conversation with them, the whole system shuts down.
00:12:24.500 So here's what I see emerging.
00:12:29.600 When things were less certain and people were less vaccinated, listening to your government about what to do medically to keep yourself safe, pretty rational.
00:12:41.500 I'd say that was rational.
00:12:42.500 But once you realize that your government's incentive has sort of veered away from your incentive or how you would like to live your life, the freedom, the risk you'd like to put into it, I think the public's in charge now.
00:12:58.340 I believe that authority is being transferred accidentally from leaders, elected leaders, to the public.
00:13:07.840 And I believe that with this second round of mask mandates, I don't think the leaders are in charge.
00:13:16.760 Or should be.
00:13:18.740 Or should be.
00:13:20.320 Right?
00:13:20.920 I believe this decision will be the public's.
00:13:24.120 The public last time, 99 point whatever percent of us, said, all right, all right, we hate masks.
00:13:30.500 But it looks temporary, it looks well-considered, and we think that the people who are recommending it are on our side.
00:13:39.660 That was all true, don't you think?
00:13:41.840 The people recommending it were, for the most part, on your side, doing the best they could, looked temporary, perfectly reasonable, even if you hated it.
00:13:52.300 It was reasonable, I thought, right?
00:13:56.700 Reasonable enough so you'd comply, even if you didn't think it was reasonable, it was close enough, right?
00:14:03.980 But I don't know about this second wave.
00:14:06.740 If mask mandates come back, I feel as if you're going to get at least 10% who just say, well, let's see what happens every time I go into a store without one.
00:14:16.680 Just see what happens.
00:14:19.020 And let them take you out.
00:14:21.540 Be polite about it, because the people working at the store, they didn't cause you any problem.
00:14:26.980 Like, they're just citizens.
00:14:28.620 They're just trying to get through the day.
00:14:31.120 So don't, you know, don't be an asshole to whoever works or owns the store or the place you're going to.
00:14:36.800 I mean, please, we don't need that, right?
00:14:40.060 But you can certainly assert your preference and politely put on your mask or leave when asked.
00:14:47.980 It would probably stop the whole system.
00:14:51.060 So I think you're going to see the public take control of this decision.
00:14:59.240 I think that's what's going to happen.
00:15:01.660 All right.
00:15:02.000 But suppose you wanted to change the system so that the leaders could do what you wanted them to do.
00:15:11.540 How about the leaders just said, all right, the only thing we're going to measure is hospital capacity.
00:15:19.740 As long as the hospital capacity is fine, you can all make up your own decisions.
00:15:26.500 Would that politician get reelected?
00:15:28.560 Probably not, because then the other side would say, well, you don't care about deaths and look at how many people you killed by being irresponsible.
00:15:38.060 It would actually have a number for how many people you killed.
00:15:40.740 So you need some kind of a system that recognizes that in this case, the public needs to sort of make the decision.
00:15:49.180 So maybe you make it based on polls.
00:15:50.800 How about you say, you know, if you were a politician, suppose you said, look, if 75% of the public wants no masks, I'll support that.
00:16:04.300 If 75% of the public says no masks on, let's say, whatever poll you think is credible, that you'll agree.
00:16:13.540 Would you support a politician who said, look, if you go your way with no masks, more people will die?
00:16:22.180 I believe more people will die.
00:16:24.180 But you will all live free and you all know your risk.
00:16:29.260 So I'm going to go with you.
00:16:30.660 I'll go with the public.
00:16:32.580 What would you say about that?
00:16:34.460 And suppose your politician said, look, I'm going to work with the medical people and the mental health people and the experts I can.
00:16:42.440 And we're going to pick a number.
00:16:44.660 And when 75% of the public, just to pick a random number, when 75% of the public says no masks and that you prefer that risk, you prefer that risk, I'll agree with you.
00:16:58.120 So, and I would just throw it back to the public and say, and by the way, this is something Trump could do and nobody else could do.
00:17:09.040 Name one person who could do this.
00:17:10.720 Trump could stand in front of the world and say, look, you know, we've got the medical considerations.
00:17:17.320 We've got the freedom, the psychological considerations.
00:17:20.640 The public, you know, the president doesn't need to tell you what to do all the time.
00:17:25.740 Sometimes you tell me what to do.
00:17:28.020 So public, we're going to start polling the shit out of you.
00:17:31.520 When you get to 75%, no masks.
00:17:34.660 That's it.
00:17:35.900 That's it.
00:17:36.480 That'll be the decision.
00:17:37.720 You make the decision this time.
00:17:39.160 We made the decision last time because that made sense.
00:17:43.600 But it doesn't make sense this time.
00:17:46.740 I feel like the public has enough of a sense of the risk that we can handle this.
00:17:55.880 Somebody says polls don't work.
00:17:58.160 Well, you know, nothing works perfectly.
00:18:00.000 But you have a choice of things that don't work perfectly.
00:18:02.620 I mean, you can't get away from that.
00:18:06.940 Manufacturing consensus.
00:18:08.600 Yeah, it would be somewhat manufactured because you'd have the different entities deciding, you know, the public debate.
00:18:16.820 And the influential people would have more influence.
00:18:20.480 The persuasive people would have a bigger impact.
00:18:22.700 But I still think it's a better system because the public would say, okay, you know, we listen to the medical experts.
00:18:30.260 We made our decision.
00:18:32.760 Democracy.
00:18:34.040 Sometimes it works.
00:18:35.920 Rasmussen did a poll on asking people to rate Congress.
00:18:39.860 Now, as you know, Congress does not have a high rating for good job.
00:18:46.240 But I didn't know it was this bad.
00:18:49.860 How many think, how many people in the poll, the Rasmussen poll, said that Congress is doing an excellent job?
00:18:57.920 Excellent.
00:18:59.460 5%.
00:19:00.220 5% thought they were excellent.
00:19:03.340 How many thought they were at least, well, good.
00:19:05.880 You're good.
00:19:06.540 12%.
00:19:07.540 12%.
00:19:07.980 So 17% thought good or excellent.
00:19:15.460 And I think there were, I didn't write this one down, but it was something like 4% or something, didn't have an opinion.
00:19:24.140 Who doesn't have an opinion on Congress?
00:19:26.540 I guess there's somebody.
00:19:27.600 But if you add together the 17% and, say, the 4% who just don't have an opinion, you get about 21% who answered this poll who are just fucking idiots.
00:19:41.100 Consistent, right?
00:19:42.660 Around 20% of the public are fucking idiots on any question.
00:19:50.080 And, you know, it's between 20 and 30.
00:19:51.760 But I use 25 as my anchor point there.
00:19:55.300 So 25% said they're doing a fair job and 54% said poor.
00:20:02.940 Can you think of any other job you can keep when 54% of the public think you're doing a bad job?
00:20:11.620 Can you?
00:20:13.140 Is there anything else?
00:20:14.440 And, again, it's a system problem, isn't it?
00:20:16.580 The system problem is that everybody likes their own representative, but they hate yours.
00:20:24.640 And we all get to vote on everybody else's representative.
00:20:28.040 So you have a system which guarantees a low rating because you're ranking the other person's representative, not your own.
00:20:36.260 Let's talk about climate models.
00:20:41.440 Michael Schellenberger was tweeting this this morning that apparently there's a new group of critics for the climate models.
00:20:51.480 So there are the people who make the models that are involved in that kind of work.
00:20:55.620 So they make the models.
00:20:57.620 And in the past, there were a lot of critics of the models.
00:21:01.380 For example, a lot of people on the right.
00:21:03.660 Mostly.
00:21:04.340 Mostly people on the right.
00:21:05.780 And people like me.
00:21:07.460 I don't align with the right.
00:21:09.800 I'm my own thing.
00:21:11.780 But I've been a big critic of the models.
00:21:15.820 But now there is a new group of critics of the models.
00:21:18.780 And that includes the people who make the models.
00:21:22.820 So the people who make the models are having trouble agreeing on what assumptions should go into the models.
00:21:29.600 So much so that it would wildly change the outcome.
00:21:35.320 Now, aren't you confused?
00:21:39.060 Because is science dull?
00:21:43.620 And if it's science, how could there be disagreement?
00:21:47.740 And climate science is all settled and dull, dull?
00:21:52.760 Well, as 100% of people who have ever worked with any kind of models that are iterative over time,
00:22:01.300 where any small change in the assumptions wildly changes the outcome in year 10 and certainly in year 80,
00:22:09.020 anybody who's ever done that work, and I have, I've done a lot of that work of modeling,
00:22:15.380 you know it's bullshit.
00:22:16.540 Everybody who's done modeling knows models are bullshit.
00:22:21.300 Unfortunately.
00:22:22.260 I mean, I had a job for years that was more bullshit than useful.
00:22:27.560 So that wasn't awesome.
00:22:29.080 But at least I learned something.
00:22:30.460 I learned that models are basically based on the assumption.
00:22:34.880 So now we know that there's a little bit more disagreement on the models.
00:22:38.580 But before you get all happy, because you're, let's say you're a climate change denier type,
00:22:47.520 before you get all happy, all of the models still say we've got a big problem.
00:22:53.240 All right?
00:22:53.440 So when I say that the people who make the models are arguing against the models too,
00:23:00.080 keep in mind that all of the models say things are bad, or that the earth is warming because of human involvement.
00:23:07.300 So there's nobody who says, oh, everything's fine, at least within the, you know, the main credible model-making world.
00:23:14.220 Now, does that mean that they're all right?
00:23:16.920 I don't know.
00:23:18.320 I mean, my personal belief is that the people who say that adding a certain chemical to the atmosphere should cause a certain effect are probably right.
00:23:31.180 But the estimating exactly how that goes, and then especially estimating how humans respond to it, totally unpredictable.
00:23:42.420 So Dave Rubin's Twitter account got limited by Twitter.
00:23:48.900 So here's why his account got limited.
00:23:51.480 I guess that just means he can't tweet for a while, or I think that's what it means.
00:23:58.240 So he's not kicked off.
00:23:59.920 He's just limited for a while.
00:24:01.180 And here's what he got limited for, saying that the vaccinations are not working as promised,
00:24:10.900 so maybe we should take a step back and look at our strategy.
00:24:15.920 And he got limited on Twitter for that.
00:24:21.100 What?
00:24:23.160 What?
00:24:25.960 What he just, what he said, and what I paraphrased,
00:24:30.140 is what all of science believes.
00:24:34.560 He agreed with science.
00:24:37.200 He agreed with everybody.
00:24:39.580 Is there anybody who disagrees with the statement that the vaccinations did not work the way, you know, you could say promised or expected?
00:24:49.400 Does anybody believe they worked the way they were expected?
00:24:52.760 Who was it who thought that you would need more booster shots?
00:24:57.860 I don't remember anybody talking about that.
00:25:00.160 I mean, it was always in the wind, but it wasn't really a topic.
00:25:02.860 How many people knew that you could get vaccinated and still many, many people could get the actual infection and also spread it?
00:25:15.500 You'd have a high viral load.
00:25:17.320 How many people knew that?
00:25:19.920 I mean, I suppose experts probably thought, somebody says I knew.
00:25:24.780 Okay, you knew.
00:25:26.420 Somebody on YouTube was like, I knew.
00:25:27.900 You didn't know anything.
00:25:30.760 You may have suspected, but you didn't know anything.
00:25:35.120 But I like your confidence.
00:25:38.700 So, wouldn't the entire medical community and the scientific community say, yes, we thought the vaccinations would pretty much prevent you from getting it
00:25:50.480 and would probably not need a booster.
00:25:54.480 I think those are important and safe, accurate things.
00:26:00.940 And so Dave Rubin says that, given that you didn't get what you thought you were getting, should you pause and consider your entire strategy?
00:26:09.400 Essentially the same thing I said earlier in this live stream, which is, you know, maybe the experts and the strategy are out of alignment.
00:26:22.900 How do you get it?
00:26:24.460 How does anybody look at that and tell him that that wasn't a legitimate thing to say?
00:26:30.780 Now, yeah, you could disagree with it.
00:26:32.480 That's what opinions are, right?
00:26:34.340 But he didn't say anything that's inaccurate.
00:26:36.960 It was just the most, not only is it accurate, it is the least provocative thing you could possibly say.
00:26:48.220 Because everybody agrees with this statement.
00:26:50.960 Everybody.
00:26:52.460 Everybody agrees that if there's new data, you should maybe reconsider your strategy.
00:26:58.580 Everybody.
00:26:59.940 Like, I don't know how to say that stronger.
00:27:02.120 Everybody says that's right.
00:27:03.340 And everybody agrees that the vaccinations weren't quite what we thought.
00:27:08.040 And everybody agrees that when the information changes, the most rational thing anybody can do is take a step back and say, all right, did that change what our strategy is?
00:27:19.400 How the hell do you get suspended for that?
00:27:22.800 Good Lord.
00:27:23.520 Now, let me be a little bit charitable to Twitter.
00:27:30.380 I assume that the people who are monitoring activity and making decisions like this, you know, they're not your high-end executives, right?
00:27:39.800 It's people who are getting paid a certain amount of money dealing with a large volume of stuff.
00:27:45.060 But when you see somebody who's a high-visibility account, like Dave Rubin, I feel like that one should have gotten kicked upstairs, don't you think?
00:27:56.240 I don't think that any decision about his account, I mean, if you're a blue check, you've got a certain visibility in the world, I feel like that just has to go through management.
00:28:05.700 Like, so, to Twitter, let me suggest that for the larger accounts, if you don't have this system in place already, I would recommend that you have a system of, just for the larger accounts, give them a second look.
00:28:21.900 You know, get a supervisor involved.
00:28:24.820 Because I don't know that you could get two people to ban this account or to limit it.
00:28:29.640 I just don't know that two people sitting there and looking at it carefully would have the same outcome.
00:28:33.520 It looks like one person made a bad decision.
00:28:36.780 So consider your systems, Twitter, there might be a hiccup in the system.
00:28:43.140 All right, so, you know, I told you that if mask compliance goes down to 90%, just picking a random number there, probably that will be such a problem for the system that mask mandates just won't work.
00:28:55.820 Well, we're going to see a little leadership happening in the House of Representatives.
00:28:59.920 Because dozens of House Republicans and staffers, they took off their masks, or didn't have them in the first place, and marched to the Senate floor to protest the mask mandates.
00:29:11.460 So it looks like some Republicans are going to go first.
00:29:16.300 Now, would it be easier for the public to ignore mask mandates if they saw their elected representatives doing it?
00:29:27.160 It might.
00:29:27.740 So this is the weird thing about leadership.
00:29:31.880 When you hear the word leadership, don't automatically think it's good, right?
00:29:37.900 Leadership doesn't mean good.
00:29:40.740 It just means leadership.
00:29:42.480 Because you could lead somebody to, you know, the Holocaust, or you could lead them to peace.
00:29:48.040 I mean, you could lead somebody anywhere.
00:29:49.740 So leadership is not good or bad.
00:29:52.660 Usually it's evil, in my opinion.
00:29:54.820 But it doesn't have to be.
00:29:56.000 And here's an example.
00:29:58.980 Is it right or is it wrong for the House Republicans to encourage people to not wear masks if they're vaccinated?
00:30:08.900 Is that good or bad?
00:30:11.160 I don't know.
00:30:12.780 I don't know.
00:30:14.380 I mean, you know, it's one of those things that could turn out either way.
00:30:17.140 And you could evaluate it either way.
00:30:19.080 Maybe extra people will die.
00:30:20.860 Well, that's bad.
00:30:21.480 Maybe they give us our freedom back at the risk of some, you know, risk of death.
00:30:26.980 Well, maybe that's good.
00:30:28.540 I'd like a little more freedom, even at the risk of death.
00:30:32.320 So I don't think you need to have an opinion on whether it's good or bad to still applaud them.
00:30:38.100 This is actual leadership.
00:30:40.240 You know, you elect these people to express the will of the people most of the time.
00:30:48.980 But sometimes they have to lead.
00:30:50.740 That's an expectation.
00:30:51.620 And so I would say to the Republicans who staged this protest, good leadership, even if it's the wrong thing.
00:31:01.260 In the end, we're sort of guessing and we have different priorities perhaps, but good leadership.
00:31:07.140 I would say whoever was involved in that, give yourself a pat on the back for not being a sheep, even if you're wrong.
00:31:15.160 Even if you're wrong.
00:31:15.940 So here's my take on things.
00:31:22.520 And I wonder if anybody will ever say this in public in terms of politicians.
00:31:27.920 Will they ever say this in public?
00:31:31.600 Hasn't our path out of the pandemic, it's different now, right?
00:31:38.200 I believe we had a path out of the pandemic or thought we did, mistakenly.
00:31:42.320 We thought we did earlier on, in which it was you were going to get herd immunity and then you'd be done.
00:31:50.520 And the herd immunity would be some combination of infected people plus vaccinations.
00:31:56.620 But that's not possible now, right?
00:31:59.520 Wouldn't you say that the Delta variant, along with the fact that vaccinated people can still carry it quite easily, it seems,
00:32:07.400 doesn't that change the strategy from trying to get to herd immunity and then being done?
00:32:15.400 I don't think we can.
00:32:17.700 Isn't it a foregone conclusion given current information, not a year ago, but current information,
00:32:25.760 isn't it a foregone conclusion that we're basically all going to get the virus?
00:32:30.400 And that the only thing that matters is how sick you got or if you died?
00:32:36.300 So it seems to me that we need a leader who can tell us the truth.
00:32:41.960 I think the truth is that we all have to get the virus or else it's perpetual.
00:32:50.600 We either live like this forever, and that's unsustainable,
00:32:53.860 or we get as many people as possible, both vaccinated and also infected.
00:33:04.020 Because if you're vaccinated first and then infected, you're almost certainly not going to die.
00:33:09.740 So, and then, you know, enough to keep our hospitals running.
00:33:15.100 The reason for both is that until the vaccinated people also get infected,
00:33:23.140 they're almost certainly going to be spreaders.
00:33:26.340 So correct me if I'm wrong, but a vaccinated person can spread very easily.
00:33:32.500 A person who's recovered will, it'll never take hold in a way, or rarely,
00:33:38.520 will take hold in a way that you could be a spreader.
00:33:41.460 So there are two things you're trying to stop.
00:33:43.840 One is the spreading, which the vaccinations don't do enough of, stopping the spread.
00:33:49.760 But being infected does, I think.
00:33:52.480 Now, give me a fact check on that, but I think that's the case.
00:33:55.680 So, and by the way, I also think, based on freedom and free will and choice and all that,
00:34:04.640 that if there's some people who don't want to get vaccinated
00:34:06.840 and they're fully aware of their options and their choices, it's fine.
00:34:11.940 But at least your strategy would be the same.
00:34:15.160 Your strategy would be to get as many people both vaccinated and infected.
00:34:19.960 The people who don't get vaccinated will just get infected.
00:34:23.080 So that's a strategy, too.
00:34:25.560 So, am I wrong?
00:34:28.840 Let me look in the comments.
00:34:30.380 Am I analyzing this incorrectly?
00:34:33.960 Check my assumptions.
00:34:35.080 Assumption number one, since the vaccinations do not stop infections
00:34:40.840 and the Delta variant is just crazy, we're all going to get it.
00:34:46.300 This year, next year, five years from now, right?
00:34:50.200 You see somebody saying, you are wrong.
00:34:52.280 Well, just tell me which assumption I'm wrong on or if the logic is wrong.
00:34:57.560 So I've got some assumptions and I've got some logic.
00:35:00.000 Tell me if either of those look wrong to you.
00:35:06.300 We need therapeutics in every situation, yes.
00:35:13.000 Herd immunity doesn't resolve individuals.
00:35:16.380 I don't know what that means.
00:35:19.000 Are a replication leading to new variants?
00:35:20.660 Oh, so let's make an assumption about new variants.
00:35:25.240 New variants are coming no matter what.
00:35:26.960 Is there anybody who thinks that the variants won't happen no matter what?
00:35:34.580 So I don't know if the vaccinations make more variants,
00:35:38.420 but I don't see any other way to get there.
00:35:41.940 Yeah.
00:35:43.240 There's no way to tell.
00:35:44.720 Well, yeah, that's true.
00:35:45.880 Is the Spanish flu still around?
00:35:48.160 The Spanish flu burned itself out in two seasons, I think.
00:35:54.200 But I don't think that this one has the same characteristics as the Spanish flu,
00:35:59.840 so I'd be careful about comparing them.
00:36:03.620 Yeah, and then there's the idea that the vaccinations by their nature might create variants.
00:36:10.640 But I think we're already past that.
00:36:13.440 In other words, there are so many people vaccinated already
00:36:16.200 that if what you're worrying about is that the vaccinated create variants,
00:36:21.260 we're already there.
00:36:22.680 Spanish flu didn't have the Internet.
00:36:29.260 Yeah, that's true.
00:36:32.240 Somebody says getting vaccinated during a pandemic creates the variants.
00:36:38.060 Well, do we know if the Delta variant came from a vaccinated person or an unvaccinated?
00:36:43.260 Do we even know that the Delta variant is a variant that came from the natural spread,
00:36:51.220 or was it just a different virus?
00:36:54.500 Can anybody tell me that we know for sure that something is a variant
00:36:59.200 versus something that was a variant in the lab?
00:37:03.020 Are you telling me that there couldn't have been a second coronavirus escape?
00:37:11.020 I mean, I don't think they would have escaped at the same time
00:37:13.880 because the Delta variant would have been the dominant one from the start.
00:37:17.640 But I don't see anything that would stop a second leak later,
00:37:23.180 especially if it was intentional, which I'm not alleging.
00:37:29.280 I'm just saying you have to consider all possibilities.
00:37:33.240 So somebody says Delta is a variant from the original,
00:37:36.360 but that could be in a lab as well.
00:37:38.520 You could make the variant in a lab.
00:37:41.920 It doesn't have to happen in nature, does it?
00:37:51.320 Somebody says if you discussed the election audits this deeply,
00:37:55.280 you would have a different position.
00:37:57.500 That could be true.
00:37:59.460 But let me reiterate my belief on the audits,
00:38:05.320 which is if they found the goods, you would already know it.
00:38:09.880 Let's take Arizona as my example.
00:38:12.640 And I'm going to stick by that
00:38:13.980 because I find that kind of prediction to be really accurate,
00:38:20.140 meaning that making a prediction based on
00:38:23.680 you would have had a leak by now, it really works.
00:38:29.560 So even though your maybe common sense is telling you,
00:38:33.800 no, Scott, there's so much smoke.
00:38:36.460 I mean, there's smoke all over the place.
00:38:38.200 We've heard so many things that suggest that there's a problem.
00:38:42.160 There's so many, so many, and from credible people too, right?
00:38:47.440 But you haven't heard anything, like, from the actual audit
00:38:51.900 that, you know, was official enough that got leaked.
00:38:56.900 And I'm positive you would have heard that by now.
00:38:59.860 I'm positive.
00:39:00.480 I think where it's going to end up is two movies.
00:39:04.460 Easiest prediction in the world is that when the audit results come out,
00:39:09.460 there'll be some ambiguity about maybe a chain of custody or whatever.
00:39:13.920 And people who believe there was a problem will say,
00:39:16.240 well, it's been proven by the audit.
00:39:18.540 And the people who don't think there's a problem will say,
00:39:20.640 well, look, all they found was some ambiguous thing.
00:39:22.860 They didn't actually find the problem.
00:39:25.400 It's going to be two screens.
00:39:27.740 I don't think the odds of an audit producing a kill shot,
00:39:34.160 you know, that just says, whoa,
00:39:35.420 the whole election definitely was fraudulent,
00:39:38.720 I will put the odds of that at, I don't know, 5% maybe.
00:39:45.160 And that assumes that there's fraud.
00:39:48.420 Like, you know, that makes a big assumption
00:39:50.660 that I don't think is necessarily supported by the data.
00:39:55.680 So why were you blocking it?
00:40:00.400 I don't know what you're talking about.
00:40:07.760 So what are you going to do
00:40:10.200 if the FDA approves the vaccinations through the normal process?
00:40:15.960 I see a ton of people saying that
00:40:19.340 one of the reasons they don't want to take the vaccinations
00:40:22.560 is that they didn't go through the normal FDA process.
00:40:25.680 What if they do?
00:40:27.960 What if a month from now, or whatever,
00:40:33.600 you fucking asshole.
00:40:40.140 I'm just looking at a comment here.
00:40:42.020 You know, a lot of people are just terrible people, aren't they?
00:40:45.700 Like, you see some comments going by,
00:40:47.820 and you say to yourself,
00:40:49.260 my God, I'm glad I don't know that person in the real world.
00:40:52.500 I mean, just horrible people.
00:40:56.640 I mean, I see some of the comments.
00:40:59.920 I don't think I can respect you less,
00:41:02.760 based on most of you, of course, I love.
00:41:06.240 But I'll tell you the comment that triggered me.
00:41:10.480 Somebody saying that,
00:41:11.560 I said I left the house twice during the pandemic,
00:41:14.580 and therefore I'm not a hermit.
00:41:16.140 What I said was,
00:41:19.080 I traveled more miles during the pandemic
00:41:22.060 than any other year of my life.
00:41:24.680 Does that sound the same?
00:41:26.520 Does that sound the same as left the house twice?
00:41:29.240 No.
00:41:29.600 I traveled more outside my house
00:41:32.080 than any time in my life.
00:41:35.860 And so this guy wants to call me out on that.
00:41:39.520 Oh, I think I'm triggered by people
00:41:48.220 who misstate things about me in public
00:41:50.920 and then present their opinion
00:41:53.080 based on their misstatement.
00:41:55.320 It's just really annoying if you're a public figure.
00:41:59.260 Because if you think about it,
00:42:02.200 aren't there legitimate things to criticize me for?
00:42:04.980 If you look at all the things I've said and done,
00:42:09.060 even today,
00:42:10.780 seriously, you can't find a real thing
00:42:12.880 to criticize me for?
00:42:14.420 Even I could criticize me.
00:42:17.040 Like, I like me,
00:42:18.560 and I agree with all of my opinions.
00:42:20.760 And even I could find things to criticize
00:42:22.940 about me.
00:42:24.740 Real things.
00:42:26.000 Like real, objectively obvious real things.
00:42:30.580 Why do you have to make shit up?
00:42:32.160 If you want to criticize me, go wild.
00:42:35.760 I'm okay with that.
00:42:37.220 But criticize something that's a little bit real.
00:42:40.280 Just a little bit.
00:42:42.620 Why the fuck do you have to make shit up?
00:42:45.600 All right.
00:42:48.700 Giving Cuomo a pass for mass murder
00:42:51.240 is something I criticize you for.
00:42:54.320 Fair.
00:42:55.760 How fair is that?
00:42:57.840 Good example.
00:42:58.580 Now, there's a person
00:43:00.180 who is not an asshole.
00:43:03.360 That's just a completely legitimate criticism
00:43:05.960 that I said in the beginning of the pandemic
00:43:09.120 that people are going to make big mistakes.
00:43:12.300 It is because it's fog of war
00:43:14.140 and mostly people are guessing.
00:43:15.860 And that we should be somewhat generous
00:43:17.700 after the fact
00:43:19.440 because we're asking our leaders
00:43:20.800 basically to go into the machine gun nest.
00:43:24.080 And when you ask somebody
00:43:25.040 to go into the machine gun nest,
00:43:26.620 I feel like you've got to be
00:43:28.520 a little bit more forgiving
00:43:29.860 about how they do it, you know?
00:43:33.300 So, yes, it was a gigantic mistake.
00:43:37.720 Yes, it was a gigantic tragedy.
00:43:39.660 Yes, it should never have happened.
00:43:41.720 But I'm going to be consistent.
00:43:45.720 If Trump had done it,
00:43:47.520 I'd be saying the same thing.
00:43:49.580 The fact that Cuomo did it
00:43:51.340 and he's an enemy of Trump
00:43:52.580 doesn't change the fact.
00:43:53.800 I would say the same damn thing
00:43:55.680 if it had been Trump.
00:43:57.340 So, at least I'm consistent.
00:43:59.300 But, those of you who are criticizing it,
00:44:02.900 totally fair.
00:44:04.040 Because you're looking at the same facts.
00:44:06.080 You're not making anything up.
00:44:07.760 It's just an opinion.
00:44:08.940 And that's fair.
00:44:14.140 Are you paid to soft-sell vaccines?
00:44:17.840 That's a good question.
00:44:20.300 Wouldn't you say?
00:44:21.100 So, first of all,
00:44:24.320 am I soft-selling vaccines?
00:44:28.660 I would say that that observation is correct.
00:44:32.580 It's correct.
00:44:33.820 What's not true
00:44:34.860 is that it's my intention.
00:44:37.540 Now, that part you can't check, right?
00:44:39.220 Because that's something happening in my head.
00:44:40.800 You also couldn't know
00:44:42.140 if somebody had secretly paid me to influence.
00:44:45.240 I definitely would not take money
00:44:48.240 from a pharmaceutical
00:44:49.340 to influence anybody.
00:44:52.540 That would be...
00:44:54.020 I mean, I almost can't think of anything
00:44:55.660 less ethical than that.
00:44:57.660 I mean, that would be so deeply immoral
00:45:00.400 that, let me say it directly,
00:45:04.200 no, I don't take money from pharmaceuticals.
00:45:07.000 I don't take actually any...
00:45:09.060 Let me make sure that I'm not lying.
00:45:11.200 But in terms of the live stream,
00:45:13.300 I don't take any advertising
00:45:14.440 from anybody directly.
00:45:16.300 It's all just stuff that goes through the system.
00:45:18.840 You know, YouTube decides what ads are on there.
00:45:21.820 So I don't take any money for that,
00:45:23.800 for live streaming,
00:45:25.140 or let me be less specific.
00:45:26.580 I don't take any money
00:45:27.280 from any pharmaceuticals for anything, period.
00:45:30.560 And neither has the government
00:45:32.080 asked me to persuade.
00:45:33.440 Now, if this had been
00:45:37.180 the Trump administration,
00:45:40.120 I guarantee
00:45:41.340 that somebody in the administration
00:45:44.400 would have reached out
00:45:45.600 and asked me to persuade.
00:45:47.820 I guarantee it.
00:45:49.520 But, under the Biden administration,
00:45:51.940 now nobody's reached out to me.
00:45:53.900 Nobody's asked for that.
00:45:56.040 So, I give you...
00:45:57.900 I tell you my experience,
00:45:59.380 and I tell you what I think is true and not true,
00:46:01.640 as best I can determine it.
00:46:03.440 And I help you think about it.
00:46:05.960 Now, because this is the real world,
00:46:11.420 talking honestly and usefully
00:46:15.040 about any topic
00:46:16.300 is likely to cause you to be influenced.
00:46:20.200 Because things do have a natural...
00:46:22.600 a more natural right and wrong
00:46:24.480 lots of times, right?
00:46:26.100 Sometimes things are, you know,
00:46:27.500 just a toss-up.
00:46:28.400 But I feel like the vaccination thing
00:46:31.100 leans towards vaccination.
00:46:34.020 Just an opinion.
00:46:35.800 Now, if talking about it objectively
00:46:38.420 gets you to that same opinion,
00:46:40.540 which, by the way,
00:46:42.180 remember the recording
00:46:43.940 that I like to run in my head?
00:46:45.960 The recording I run in my head
00:46:47.520 in situations like this
00:46:48.660 where you can't really know
00:46:50.160 how things are going to turn out,
00:46:51.420 but the recording is,
00:46:53.980 but I could be wrong.
00:46:55.680 And easily.
00:46:57.660 Like, if you ask me,
00:46:58.580 what is your level of confidence
00:47:00.680 that getting the vaccine
00:47:03.100 was the right decision?
00:47:04.180 I'd say more than 50%,
00:47:08.300 but not 99%.
00:47:10.760 You know, definitely not 99%.
00:47:14.340 But you have to make a decision, right?
00:47:17.480 Not getting a vaccine is a decision
00:47:19.760 with a whole bunch of unknowns.
00:47:21.960 Getting a vaccination is a decision
00:47:23.960 with a whole bunch of unknowns.
00:47:25.680 And you don't know
00:47:26.740 which of those unknowns is bigger
00:47:28.120 for you.
00:47:30.040 I mean, you could know statistically,
00:47:32.260 but it doesn't apply to you.
00:47:33.780 You're not a statistic.
00:47:35.580 So, given that you can't know
00:47:37.320 what's the right decision for you,
00:47:40.020 I don't think I should influence you.
00:47:43.820 Should I?
00:47:45.160 But you also can't turn it off.
00:47:47.940 If you're, let's say,
00:47:50.020 you're a character in the real world
00:47:53.040 and you're living in the real world
00:47:54.780 and you're saying real things
00:47:55.760 about real things,
00:47:57.100 it's going to influence somebody.
00:47:58.840 That's the kind of influence
00:47:59.980 that I think is ethical
00:48:01.240 because it's just you
00:48:02.980 speaking your opinion
00:48:04.320 and not intending to persuade.
00:48:10.020 Adam says that I make you feel
00:48:13.280 like you're talking to a friend
00:48:14.500 in the living room.
00:48:16.040 So, I don't know if you know this,
00:48:18.060 but that's exactly what I'm trying to do.
00:48:20.620 So, I try to do this live stream
00:48:23.340 so it's not a production.
00:48:25.540 It just feels like you're talking
00:48:26.720 to somebody familiar
00:48:27.740 on topics you're interested in, ideally.
00:48:33.600 Scott, do you purposely avoid...
00:48:35.780 Oh, here's a good question.
00:48:37.220 Avoid drilling too deeply on a topic
00:48:38.940 if it would reverse the point
00:48:40.340 you're trying to persuade.
00:48:43.560 No, and fuck you.
00:48:45.400 I thought that was going to be
00:48:46.500 a good question,
00:48:47.620 but it was just an accusation, basically.
00:48:51.180 No, I don't avoid looking
00:48:53.180 into the details
00:48:54.200 because I'm worried
00:48:55.560 it will change my opinion.
00:48:59.540 I like having my opinion changed.
00:49:01.440 You know, my sort of unique place
00:49:06.400 that I fill in the media landscape,
00:49:08.920 I have an advantage
00:49:10.380 that other people don't,
00:49:12.320 which is that I can be spectacularly wrong
00:49:15.160 and just turn it into entertainment.
00:49:17.960 I don't have to turn it into votes.
00:49:20.760 So, what would be more entertaining
00:49:22.360 than finding out something
00:49:24.240 I was dead certain about is wrong?
00:49:27.220 I would be entertained by that.
00:49:28.900 I would be totally entertained by that.
00:49:31.380 And I would definitely hope
00:49:32.520 that you would too.
00:49:34.060 Because since my major theme
00:49:36.120 is the, let's say,
00:49:37.900 the vulnerability of psychology,
00:49:41.600 the fact that you could be a smart,
00:49:43.680 well-informed person
00:49:44.700 and totally bamboozled
00:49:46.960 by, you know, fake impressions
00:49:49.780 and fake news
00:49:50.780 and bad analysis and all that,
00:49:52.740 it's part of my core philosophy
00:49:55.020 that I can be completely wrong
00:49:57.600 about things
00:49:58.960 I'm really, really sure about.
00:50:01.020 And that, to me,
00:50:02.060 is the basic nature of reality,
00:50:04.300 is that people being wrong
00:50:05.300 about things they're sure about.
00:50:06.840 So, in my specific case,
00:50:10.040 being spectacularly wrong
00:50:11.660 about something doesn't hurt me.
00:50:13.500 And I'd argue it helps me.
00:50:15.480 Because it's on brand.
00:50:17.240 It would be exactly
00:50:17.980 what I tell you is true.
00:50:19.660 That even people like me
00:50:20.940 who look into stuff,
00:50:23.820 you know,
00:50:24.020 at least more than most people,
00:50:25.300 I would say.
00:50:26.060 The average.
00:50:27.740 And I figure I'm educated
00:50:29.520 and reasonably smart.
00:50:31.140 How wrong can I be
00:50:32.320 about obvious stuff
00:50:33.660 that I think I'm really right about?
00:50:35.280 Really wrong.
00:50:36.560 Really wrong.
00:50:37.800 But I would want you to see that.
00:50:39.400 I wouldn't want to hide it from you.
00:50:41.260 Do you think engaging more
00:50:49.200 with YouTube comments
00:50:50.280 versus locals
00:50:52.060 is bad persuasion
00:50:53.080 for gaining local subscribers?
00:50:55.800 Well, I like that you're competitive.
00:50:57.580 So I've got two live streams going here.
00:50:59.580 YouTube and then subscription service.
00:51:02.440 And I get comments on both.
00:51:06.500 But I do spend more time
00:51:08.020 on the local stuff
00:51:08.920 before and after.
00:51:11.260 All right.
00:51:13.780 But I also noticed
00:51:14.960 that the locals people
00:51:16.200 are a little more likely
00:51:17.260 to agree with me,
00:51:18.680 you know,
00:51:19.220 which is no surprise.
00:51:20.240 They're subscribers.
00:51:22.000 And the YouTube people
00:51:22.900 are more provocative.
00:51:24.300 They're more idiots on YouTube.
00:51:26.180 Sorry, YouTube.
00:51:27.340 But it's true.
00:51:29.440 There's a pretty high percentage
00:51:31.720 of idiots
00:51:32.240 in the comments on YouTube
00:51:33.300 compared to locals.
00:51:35.100 Locals tend to be more civilized.
00:51:38.240 That has to do with the fact
00:51:39.540 that people are paying
00:51:41.260 paying to be there.
00:51:43.040 All right.
00:51:45.420 And that
00:51:46.160 is all we've got today.
00:51:48.980 Now I'll talk to you.
00:51:51.720 Oh, wait.
00:51:52.140 I want to see this comment
00:51:53.000 before I go.
00:51:54.120 It's not about your opinion.
00:51:55.540 It's about the point
00:51:56.400 you're trying to persuade others.
00:51:59.340 I don't know what that means.
00:52:00.960 Okay.
00:52:01.740 See you later.
00:52:03.220 Oh, man.
00:52:06.420 Oh, man.
00:52:07.320 Oh, man.
00:52:07.940 This Minaj.
00:52:08.300 Oh, man.
00:52:09.140 Oh, my God.
00:52:09.980 Yeah.
00:52:10.420 Oh, man.
00:52:12.980 Thanks to me.