Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 01, 2021


Episode 1455 Scott Adams: I Dismantle My Haters While You Watch


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 13 minutes

Words per Minute

135.33968

Word Count

9,913

Sentence Count

857

Misogynist Sentences

3

Hate Speech Sentences

6


Summary

In this episode, I address some of my critics and try to explain why they think I have a bad take on vaccinations. I also try to prove that they are either hallucinating, or just not aware of what they're saying.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Well, people, today will either be the best or the worst coffee with Scott Adams of all
00:00:10.160 time.
00:00:10.900 Because what we're going to do is I'm going to address some of my critics.
00:00:16.340 Yeah.
00:00:17.360 I'm going to address my critics.
00:00:20.100 And I'm going to take some of their comments off of Twitter and address them in real time.
00:00:25.800 That's right.
00:00:26.260 So, listening from death row, Carl, are you really on death row?
00:00:33.200 Is that true?
00:00:34.800 I think I have somebody on death row watching this.
00:00:37.560 Well, good luck to you.
00:00:40.780 And if you would like to enjoy your last moments on Earth, whether you're on death row or not,
00:00:46.920 all you need is a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or chalice or stein, a canteen jug or a flask,
00:00:51.500 a vessel of any kind.
00:00:53.520 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:55.180 What do I like?
00:00:55.920 That's right.
00:00:56.660 Coffee.
00:00:58.300 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.
00:01:02.800 The dopamine hit of the day.
00:01:04.200 The thing that makes everything better.
00:01:06.200 It's called the simultaneous sip.
00:01:07.320 And it happens right now.
00:01:08.120 Go.
00:01:12.460 Oh, yeah.
00:01:14.880 Oh, yeah.
00:01:15.580 So, some of you may have seen a tweet by Jack Posobiec, who said something kind about my, let's see, work ethic, I guess.
00:01:28.080 And that caused a lot of people to jump in and say, well, they used to like me until my bad take on vaccinations.
00:01:37.400 My bad take.
00:01:39.580 That seems to be the phrase people are using.
00:01:41.600 I got a bad take.
00:01:43.080 So, I said to myself, oh, I better find out what my bad take is, because that's kind of generic.
00:01:51.400 There are people who were stopping from listening to me.
00:01:56.600 And in the comments, how many of you would say the same?
00:01:59.840 How many of you in the comments would say, oh, I liked him up until the bad take?
00:02:06.500 Oh, the bad take.
00:02:08.760 Looking?
00:02:09.440 Looking?
00:02:10.460 All right.
00:02:10.820 Well, I'm seeing lots of no's, but lots of yeses, right?
00:02:14.880 So, there are many of you here who believe I have a bad take.
00:02:20.340 And I'm going to read a few of them from my Twitter feed.
00:02:26.640 So, here's what I said.
00:02:27.520 I said a lot of people say I have bad takes, and I invited people to tell me what I got wrong.
00:02:33.700 So, these would be people who are going to tell me either what facts I got wrong or what logic I got wrong.
00:02:44.360 Okay?
00:02:45.120 Now, I contend that nearly all of them will be hallucinating.
00:02:51.180 Do you think that's possible?
00:02:53.320 Is it possible that nearly all of my critics will actually be hallucinating in a way that you can even plainly see?
00:03:01.240 Let's find out.
00:03:02.160 Now, of course, this will not be my normal snappy show.
00:03:10.140 Let's see.
00:03:12.080 Some people agreeing with me.
00:03:13.600 I'll skip those because they're so smart.
00:03:17.940 Here's one.
00:03:18.740 The Blonde King is disagreeing me by saying, taking the vaccine instead of ivermectin clearly is a bad take.
00:03:27.940 Why?
00:03:29.300 You left out the reason.
00:03:30.340 Will you notice that most of the people who disagree with me leave out the reason?
00:03:37.680 Let me give you some more.
00:03:38.900 I'd rather wait for a vaccine with less side effects and more efficacy.
00:03:45.460 What?
00:03:50.700 Okay.
00:03:51.420 You could wait, but we're in the pandemic now.
00:03:53.860 I'd rather have a vaccine with more efficacy and less side effects, but the next one that comes along, you're not going to have much more information.
00:04:03.960 So I don't know about that.
00:04:05.960 I don't know about that.
00:04:09.460 Let's see.
00:04:10.400 A lot of people who just went silent when I asked them to give me real evidence of where they disagree.
00:04:20.860 Oh, here's one.
00:04:21.640 Justavo says about me, you literally said I wanted vaccinations to be forced into U.S. citizens.
00:04:31.200 LOL.
00:04:32.420 But okay.
00:04:34.240 Does anybody think that I said that I think a vaccination should literally be forced into citizens?
00:04:41.920 No.
00:04:42.880 No.
00:04:43.700 No, this is a typical critic of mine.
00:04:46.180 I've said the opposite of that lots and lots of times, right?
00:04:50.260 So here's somebody who took the time to come in and criticize me, whose belief is that my belief is the opposite of what it is.
00:04:57.500 Now, so here's the first one who's clearly hallucinating or uninformed, right?
00:05:02.560 Let's see if anybody else who disagrees with me has a reason, or are they hallucinating?
00:05:12.360 Let's see.
00:05:13.380 Some people changing the topic.
00:05:15.180 That's usually a tell.
00:05:19.860 Okay.
00:05:20.580 Here's Cecil.
00:05:21.500 William says, the idea that any long-term effect studies could be considered hard science for a virus that has only been around for the last 18 months seems preposterous.
00:05:33.000 What's that have to do with me?
00:05:36.440 This has nothing to do with me, right?
00:05:39.120 So I don't know.
00:05:39.800 Is that a hallucination?
00:05:40.820 I don't know what that is.
00:05:42.140 Also, you have the same level of expertise as I do on this issue, regardless of your track record.
00:05:49.820 What's that mean?
00:05:51.720 If my track record is the best in the business, which I actually contend it is,
00:05:57.240 on medical decisions, I have the best track record in the pandemic.
00:06:02.900 Now, that's partly because there are lots of issues I haven't weighed in at at all.
00:06:08.120 I get to pick and choose the ones that I weigh in on.
00:06:10.420 But I have the best track record, medically, of the whole pandemic.
00:06:15.640 And I'm an idiot.
00:06:17.100 It's just a true fact.
00:06:19.340 Well, facts are usually true.
00:06:21.420 All right.
00:06:21.620 Let's see.
00:06:28.780 Here's somebody just saying some things.
00:06:31.160 These are not even criticisms.
00:06:33.020 You said everyone is responsible for managing their own risks.
00:06:38.060 Okay.
00:06:38.640 I did say that.
00:06:40.020 Is that a criticism?
00:06:42.000 What's the point?
00:06:44.220 Somebody that he said, the risks of COVID are not fully knowable, which I say all the time.
00:06:49.640 So far, we're in full agreement.
00:06:51.480 The risks of the vaccination are not fully knowable.
00:06:54.980 Of course, I agree.
00:06:56.840 I'm still looking for the disagreement.
00:06:58.380 You shared how you made the decision to get vaxxed and how that framework may help.
00:07:04.420 Oh, okay.
00:07:04.940 I'm sorry.
00:07:05.420 This is somebody who's actually agreed with me by being sarcastic.
00:07:08.560 Hard to tell.
00:07:09.580 Hard to tell.
00:07:14.560 A lot of people just didn't give me any reasons here.
00:07:18.400 All right.
00:07:20.220 Oh, please.
00:07:21.360 Why would someone follow you for or consider you for vaccine advice?
00:07:26.020 You draw cartoons.
00:07:27.100 Well, I'll tell you why.
00:07:30.380 Because I have the best track record of analyzing the situation of anybody in the pandemic.
00:07:37.480 That's why.
00:07:38.560 And that doesn't mean you should follow any advice I give.
00:07:41.200 I don't even know if I give advice, per se.
00:07:44.400 I just break things down and let you decide.
00:07:46.660 But okay.
00:07:47.640 So why should you follow me?
00:07:48.860 Because I have the best track record of the pandemic.
00:07:54.480 Isn't that a good reason?
00:07:55.500 Who would you want to follow?
00:07:57.180 Somebody who has the worst track record?
00:07:59.520 Why wouldn't you follow somebody with the best track record?
00:08:03.040 All right.
00:08:03.300 Somebody says, you took the vaccine and it was barely tested.
00:08:10.420 That's a horrible take.
00:08:12.340 That's not a reason.
00:08:13.860 Because you have to compare the risks and the rewards and the benefits and look at me individually.
00:08:18.000 And you'd have to know what's in my head.
00:08:20.440 It's not a horrible take to make a different decision than you did.
00:08:25.120 Because I get a different risk profile.
00:08:27.400 What do you know what's happening in my head?
00:08:28.960 If you don't know what's happening in my head, you don't know what my variables were to make the decision.
00:08:35.880 So you can't make that.
00:08:37.500 Because part of what's happening in my head is not just the thinking about it.
00:08:40.380 It's which one is more scary.
00:08:48.660 All right.
00:08:48.960 Somebody says, why not just save us all the time and actually clearly state your opinion first?
00:08:57.260 I don't know how much more clear I can get.
00:09:00.080 But I'll satisfy this.
00:09:03.240 For the vaccination, there are two types of risks.
00:09:07.020 There's the risk of dying right away from the vaccination or from the coronavirus.
00:09:11.900 And then there's the long-term risk, both from the coronavirus and from the vaccination.
00:09:18.880 Would you agree with the setup, first of all, that a reasonable way to look at it is immediate risk versus long-term risk?
00:09:27.080 And then if you've compared those, you kind of covered it all, right?
00:09:30.200 Now, what do we know about immediate risk?
00:09:32.720 The risk of dying or getting a serious illness within, let's say, a week of the vaccination.
00:09:39.620 We're well past the point where we have to wonder about that.
00:09:43.820 Because it's at least 10 to 1, 100 to 1 advantage, safety advantage overall, for getting the vaccination.
00:09:51.840 Is there anybody who would disagree with the statement that now that lots of people have been vaccinated for over a week,
00:09:59.340 that we know for sure that getting the vaccination is absolutely 10 times or maybe 100 times safer in general,
00:10:08.140 not for any one person, but in general, we know the vaccination is about 10 to 100 times safer than the virus itself for the first week or two.
00:10:20.300 Would anybody say that that's, anybody disagree with that?
00:10:23.780 Because if the vaccination were killing more than the virus, that would be so obvious we would know it.
00:10:33.220 Now, so we do know about the short-term risk, but that's not all of the risk, you'd all agree, right?
00:10:40.280 Somebody's disagreeing with that.
00:10:41.560 Donald, Donald, do you really think, do you really think that we have evidence that more people are dying from the vaccination,
00:10:51.320 of which the VARS database only has 12,000, and those are just suspected, so it might be a few thousand have died, maybe,
00:11:00.220 and we don't even know that from the vaccination, a few thousand.
00:11:03.480 That's it.
00:11:03.960 That's the whole reported maybe died.
00:11:05.720 The number of people who died from the virus is 275,000.
00:11:11.320 They're not even close.
00:11:13.780 They're not anywhere in the same neighborhood.
00:11:16.700 We're talking orders of magnitude difference.
00:11:19.620 So at this point, so let's back up in time a little bit.
00:11:23.840 If you go back to before the first vaccination was given,
00:11:27.920 would it be a rational thing to say,
00:11:29.820 hey, I'm worried about people dying in the first two weeks of getting the vaccination, so I'll wait.
00:11:35.720 I'll wait two weeks.
00:11:37.080 Who did that?
00:11:38.860 I did.
00:11:39.760 I did that.
00:11:41.340 I had heard from scientists that the biggest risk of any vaccination usually happens pretty quickly.
00:11:48.040 So I said to myself, I'll wait a couple months.
00:11:50.340 I won't be first.
00:11:51.960 Was that reasonable?
00:11:53.460 I waited a few months.
00:11:55.680 All right?
00:11:55.820 So the risk of dying right away, I believe that's gone now.
00:12:01.820 For all practical purposes, you don't have to worry about the short-term risk.
00:12:06.300 Because we know the short-term risk is way, way better to get vaccinated.
00:12:11.760 But what about the long-term risks?
00:12:13.960 Can't ignore that, right?
00:12:15.500 Well, here's what we know.
00:12:16.440 As of today, I tweeted around an article from April of this year.
00:12:21.320 So The Lancet, psychiatry.
00:12:25.240 Now, do we trust The Lancet as a publication?
00:12:28.840 No.
00:12:29.840 No, we don't.
00:12:30.980 Because we don't trust any publications.
00:12:34.180 Because half of the things that get published in scientific journals are bullshit.
00:12:40.040 Now, I'm not making up half.
00:12:42.080 Based on the study, half of the things that get peer-reviewed are just not true.
00:12:46.940 In the long run, you find that out.
00:12:49.020 Now, The Lancet psychiatry, I think, is different than The Lancet.
00:12:53.940 It looks like some kind of cousin publication.
00:12:58.200 But they found, let's see, they looked at 236,000 patients.
00:13:05.680 They found that 34% of them were diagnosed with a neurological or mental health disorder following their bout with coronavirus.
00:13:13.600 For nearly 13% of those patients, it was their first time receiving such a diagnosis.
00:13:20.220 Now, do you believe that?
00:13:23.520 Well, I don't think that's totally credible.
00:13:26.780 And first of all, if only 13% of them were getting that diagnosis for the first time,
00:13:34.060 isn't it more like 13% had a problem?
00:13:36.220 If all of the other people have had these same mental health diagnoses in the past,
00:13:44.240 well, are you surprised that they had it during a pandemic?
00:13:47.780 It should be the least surprising thing in the world, because everybody was mentally stressed.
00:13:52.840 So I'm not sure I believe 34%.
00:13:54.660 But there's clearly some indication of something to worry about.
00:13:59.640 So I would say, rather than believing it, I'd say that there are a whole bunch of scientists who think,
00:14:06.060 oh, my God, there's something to worry about.
00:14:09.200 Now, I told you that there's another study that says up to 25% of COVID recoverers have long-haul symptoms.
00:14:17.540 And it involves, you know, brain inflammation and organ inflammation and stuff that sounds pretty bad.
00:14:22.820 So what do we know about the long-haul risk of COVID versus the long-haul risk of the vaccination?
00:14:32.380 What we know about the vaccination long-haul risk is nothing,
00:14:36.120 except that the people involved with it think that the risk is low.
00:14:41.480 Don't know.
00:14:42.500 That's why you test things.
00:14:43.960 Don't know.
00:14:44.900 And it would be why we'd love to have five or ten years of experience,
00:14:48.160 but we don't have that option.
00:14:49.920 You have the option of you have to make a decision.
00:14:51.700 So the vaccination you don't know, maybe, maybe dangerous, maybe not,
00:14:57.380 but you have zero information about it.
00:15:00.240 The long-haul COVID, we're pretty sure, or science is, pretty sure that that's real.
00:15:07.500 The size of it is a little unknown, but, you know, less than half, more than 10% probably.
00:15:13.320 It's pretty big.
00:15:14.640 We don't know how bad that is.
00:15:16.340 So how do you make a decision there?
00:15:18.620 Let me ask just the first question.
00:15:21.700 How many of you would accept the first part of my statement that the short-term risk is now solved?
00:15:29.580 We don't have to wonder about it.
00:15:31.360 How many people think just the short-term part, forget about the long-term, we're still, that's separate,
00:15:37.300 but the short-term risk, would you say it's true beyond a doubt that the vaccination is better in the short-term
00:15:44.900 than the COVID itself?
00:15:48.640 I'm seeing people say no.
00:15:52.200 Mostly yeses, but I'm seeing some noes.
00:15:55.240 What would be a possible reason for the no?
00:15:59.060 Because it's really well studied at this point, and we have solid, solid data on this stuff.
00:16:05.180 I mean, we would know if 275,000 people died from the vaccination, don't you think?
00:16:12.600 How many people would have to die within a few weeks of the vaccination before it would be obvious to everybody?
00:16:20.140 1,000?
00:16:22.240 50,000?
00:16:23.160 If even 50,000 people had died from the vaccination, that's making that up.
00:16:29.780 There's nothing like that that's happened.
00:16:31.620 But even if 50,000 people had died within a week of the vaccination,
00:16:36.960 you still know it would be way safer than the virus, right?
00:16:40.540 Do you know that?
00:16:41.860 Now, of course, it would depend on age, and, you know, of course, you're factoring in that stuff in your head.
00:16:46.940 But if you didn't know that, that even if 50,000 people had died from the vaccination,
00:16:54.240 it would still be safer to get vaccinated?
00:16:57.540 It wouldn't be close.
00:17:01.360 Now, I suppose you have to adjust for time,
00:17:03.900 because the vaccinations haven't been out as long as the COVID has.
00:17:07.160 So you'd have to adjust those things.
00:17:08.560 But still, it'd still be safer.
00:17:12.200 All right.
00:17:12.500 But everybody who uses the Sweden example,
00:17:19.440 you should know that people laugh at you when you do that.
00:17:22.680 Because the Sweden example proves exactly nothing,
00:17:25.120 because we don't know why Sweden did what they did.
00:17:27.740 They did a lot more lockdowns and social distancing than, you know, we generally know.
00:17:33.520 Because a lot of it was voluntary.
00:17:35.200 They've got a whole different social distancing standard.
00:17:38.800 Basically, everything from Sweden is useless for understanding the rest of the world.
00:17:46.360 But if you still think it is, you're a little bit behind.
00:17:49.880 It might be someday, but we don't know why anything is different from anything else at this point.
00:17:54.480 For example, we don't know why Africa is not doing poorly.
00:17:58.100 We don't know why some people are doing good.
00:18:00.220 We don't know why the spike went up and went down.
00:18:02.460 We don't know any of that.
00:18:03.300 So if you're saying, look at Sweden, you're just looking at one of the other things we don't know anything about.
00:18:09.420 It's just one of the things we don't know why anything did what it did.
00:18:13.180 We don't know anything about Sweden.
00:18:15.260 Nothing.
00:18:19.280 All right.
00:18:21.220 All right.
00:18:21.460 Here's a criticism of me.
00:18:22.840 Do you wonder why many nurses who work bedside are not getting the vaccine?
00:18:27.180 Well, that's not a criticism of me, is it?
00:18:29.960 Right?
00:18:30.140 It's because we, oh, I guess it's a nurse, have seen who this virus is affecting and who the vaccine is affecting.
00:18:40.540 So this is an anecdotal report.
00:18:44.740 So here's a nurse, a person of science, who believes that anecdotal observations should override the data that we have on this.
00:18:54.460 Everybody who has, thinks that anecdotal data should rule, that's not a good take.
00:19:05.480 Let's see what some more critics are saying.
00:19:12.500 Somebody says, you took the vaccine, N-word, this person is calling me.
00:19:18.560 That's a bad take.
00:19:20.640 Okay.
00:19:20.940 That's not a reason.
00:19:21.900 A guy learns a phrase, cognitive dissonance, and all of a sudden he thinks he is smart.
00:19:30.880 Now he feels he's attained that position he's always tried to achieve, being above everyone else.
00:19:36.780 His arrogance goes so far to tell everyone he is also going to see the future.
00:19:41.600 What a tool.
00:19:43.440 Where was the disagreement with me on fact or opinion?
00:19:48.340 See, this is the sort of thing you get.
00:19:50.080 If you've ever studied narcissists, and the person writing this is obviously one, this is a case of projection.
00:19:58.680 And when found wrong, getting angry at the messenger.
00:20:04.040 These are two tells for narcissism in this tweet.
00:20:08.020 You just keep saying they are safe and no reason not to take them.
00:20:22.980 This is from Todd, my critic, saying to me, you just keep saying they are safe and no reason not to take them.
00:20:30.480 I've literally said nothing like that.
00:20:33.420 I've never said that they are safe.
00:20:37.900 I've never said that.
00:20:40.300 Have I ever said vaccines are safe?
00:20:44.680 I've never said that.
00:20:46.240 I've said we don't know what the risk is, but you have to compare it to the other risks.
00:20:50.860 I think you have two unsafe things.
00:20:54.160 Getting the virus is unsafe.
00:20:56.980 Getting any kind of medical treatment is unsafe.
00:21:00.540 So again, this is a hallucination of my opinion.
00:21:06.140 Or how about this one?
00:21:07.940 I think you're the one suffering from cognitive dissonance as the narrative you favor is falling apart.
00:21:13.360 Give me a fact I got wrong or an argument that doesn't make sense.
00:21:20.240 Anything.
00:21:21.300 These are my best critics.
00:21:24.980 Do you think the timing of these mandates on the Olympics...
00:21:28.200 Okay, that's not really on point.
00:21:32.560 I don't take...
00:21:33.800 Here's a critic.
00:21:34.740 Says, I don't take medical advice outside of the medical field.
00:21:38.500 Good thinking.
00:21:39.360 But also, I'm objective enough to not take an experimental vaccine over a virus with a 98% survival rate.
00:21:49.800 What is the logical flaw with this person?
00:21:53.900 Who says he's objective enough to not take an experimental vaccine over a virus with a 98% survival rate.
00:22:01.560 What's wrong with the analysis?
00:22:03.700 The long term, right?
00:22:05.320 Pretty much, there's a very strong correlation that the people who disagree with me are unaware that the long term risks are pretty well established at this point.
00:22:17.900 Just unaware.
00:22:19.040 So this is a case of somebody who thinks I have a bad take who has never heard of long haul risk.
00:22:26.520 Okay?
00:22:27.220 If you've never heard of long haul risk, you shouldn't be disagreeing with anybody.
00:22:32.800 You shouldn't be even in the conversation.
00:22:36.640 All right.
00:22:36.920 And how about the virus with a 98% survivability rate?
00:22:40.480 Yeah.
00:22:40.820 Forgetting the long haul.
00:22:42.620 Blah, blah, blah.
00:22:46.340 All right.
00:22:49.680 And looking for some more critics.
00:22:54.360 Remember, all these critics, and nobody's come up with anything except a lack of understanding that there's long haul risks.
00:23:01.240 That's it.
00:23:02.800 Or a hallucination.
00:23:08.960 All right.
00:23:09.540 Here is Patrick says, I have this suspicion that suggesting that the vaccines do more good than harm will prove to be misguided.
00:23:16.840 I didn't do that.
00:23:19.480 Did I do that?
00:23:20.840 Again, it's a hallucination.
00:23:22.060 Or Stephen Pollay says, it's been a great few years following you, and I really appreciate all I've gained, but it's at this juncture in history where we must part ways.
00:23:37.600 I wish you the best of luck.
00:23:39.800 Really?
00:23:40.100 You can't even tell me what I did wrong?
00:23:44.200 Something about vaccinations?
00:23:46.840 All right.
00:23:48.400 Let's see.
00:23:53.860 My takes are all over the map.
00:23:58.260 So I claim to have no bad takes because my takes are all over the map.
00:24:03.120 Could you give me an example?
00:24:04.340 This is just a hallucination.
00:24:07.820 Pure hallucination.
00:24:09.000 My doctor said, no, don't take it.
00:24:15.160 Not enough information.
00:24:16.340 And it's experimental.
00:24:18.700 Is it experimental?
00:24:20.460 Is that the word that you think works?
00:24:22.300 I would call the vaccination something that is extensively tested for the short run and something for which the experts think the long run should not be a big risk, but we don't know.
00:24:35.820 What part of that is wrong?
00:24:38.400 Extensively tested for the short run, not tested for the long run, but the people who know the most about this field are not too concerned about the long run.
00:24:48.540 It looks like that's a small risk.
00:24:50.360 What part of that did I get wrong?
00:24:54.300 None.
00:24:58.680 Let's see.
00:25:01.100 There's a lot of people who said to me, Dr. Robert Malone's talk about how the vaccinations could be making things worse.
00:25:11.000 Now, I've talked about that.
00:25:12.980 I fully explained him on this show.
00:25:16.300 So he has a take that is worthy of research, and I agree with him.
00:25:23.560 I agree with his take that there's just enough of a hint that there might be a big problem, like a really big problem, that you should do the blood testing and find out.
00:25:32.460 Now, if we got new information, would I change my – oh, so you're using – somebody's using the experimental word in some technical use.
00:25:46.500 So it doesn't have any meaning for an argument.
00:25:48.500 It's just a technical description.
00:25:50.520 So you're not arguing it's experimental.
00:25:53.320 That's just the name they put on it.
00:25:58.500 Let's see.
00:26:01.040 More importantly, dude, get a new game.
00:26:05.680 It has gotten stale.
00:26:06.520 Somebody here cures cancer.
00:26:10.680 It's one of my critics.
00:26:16.860 I stopped listening to your propaganda on vaccines and skip over it.
00:26:21.380 What exactly was my propaganda?
00:26:25.380 So the people who think that I'm pushing the vaccines are having a certain reaction.
00:26:30.340 And the reaction is that they can't figure out what's wrong with my opinion.
00:26:39.020 They just know that they don't like it, and it would make them feel dumb for disagreeing.
00:26:44.640 And so they have to stop watching.
00:26:46.960 I think that's all that's happening.
00:26:49.020 I think that people who can't reconcile that my opinion disagrees with theirs – by the way, this is the only topic today.
00:26:58.320 So for those of you who say, I hate this vaccination topic, I'm not really talking about the vaccination so much as the logic of it.
00:27:09.820 And I remind you again, I don't care if you take a vaccination.
00:27:13.940 I don't care.
00:27:16.300 Seriously, don't get it if you don't want it.
00:27:18.540 And I don't care if you spread it to other people.
00:27:21.000 As long as everybody has the access to the vaccination, we're done.
00:27:24.980 There's nothing else to talk about.
00:27:26.380 Now, the hospitals are going to get crushed, you know, more so than they would.
00:27:30.780 I think they'll be fine in the long run.
00:27:35.600 Can you please change the topic to the price?
00:27:42.760 I don't know what that means.
00:27:45.360 Let's see.
00:27:46.000 Let's see.
00:27:46.040 You strongly implied the unvaccinated are dumb.
00:27:59.200 I don't know if I applied that, but I'm sure it's true.
00:28:05.040 What do you think of this statement?
00:28:07.240 If you were to do IQ tests of the vaccinated versus the unvaccinated, what would you find?
00:28:14.780 What do you think you would find?
00:28:17.220 Seriously, what do you think you would find?
00:28:19.060 Do you think...
00:28:19.720 Tell me in the comments.
00:28:21.560 If you were to do an IQ test...
00:28:23.560 And by the way, that doesn't mean that the people with high IQs are right.
00:28:27.140 I'm not making the claim that people with high IQs are right.
00:28:30.840 We'll find out.
00:28:31.700 But what do you think would happen?
00:28:33.760 Do you think it's the high IQ people getting vaccinated or the low IQ people?
00:28:40.720 Yeah, let's all agree IQ is overrated.
00:28:43.820 But I'm asking a specific question.
00:28:46.660 Somebody says I've implied that the smart people are getting vaccinated.
00:28:51.720 Have I?
00:28:53.960 And is it true?
00:28:56.760 It's true.
00:28:57.480 Let me tell you something that I feel I can say with some confidence.
00:29:03.960 The high IQ people are getting vaccinated.
00:29:07.580 I'm sorry.
00:29:09.440 But I would bet 100% of all the wealth I've acquired in my life, I'd bet all of it, that if you did a study, the high IQ people would be the ones getting more vaccinated.
00:29:22.140 I don't think there's any doubt about it, is there?
00:29:24.220 Does anybody doubt that?
00:29:25.320 Now, of course, there are exceptions, blah, blah, blah.
00:29:29.680 You know, maybe Elon Musk, who knows?
00:29:31.960 And he'll probably, well, I don't want to talk about individuals.
00:29:35.720 But statistically, it's not even close, is it?
00:29:41.700 Yeah.
00:29:42.540 Now, I'm not saying that there aren't lots of exceptions.
00:29:46.420 Yeah, now, keep in mind that if you're arguing exceptions, you're not making an argument.
00:29:55.020 I mean, that's the standard that you should probably take.
00:29:58.860 That if you're arguing from anecdote, I knew this one guy, or I saw this one person had this experience.
00:30:08.460 That's not an argument.
00:30:09.560 You might as well just not even say it.
00:30:10.820 All right.
00:30:14.380 My doctor's not vaccinated, but I agree with you.
00:30:17.260 Now, again, let me be very clear.
00:30:20.280 I'm not saying that the high IQ people get the right answer all the time.
00:30:24.680 And I'm not saying that the high IQ people have this answer right.
00:30:29.020 We'll find out maybe in the long term.
00:30:31.680 But I'm just making an observation that the smart people are the ones getting vaccinated.
00:30:35.760 It's not my fault.
00:30:39.560 I'm just observing.
00:30:41.400 And I think that you can say that with high certainty.
00:30:44.860 But again, it doesn't mean they're right.
00:30:46.520 They could be the most hypnotized of the group, easily.
00:30:49.840 All right.
00:30:51.840 How about...
00:30:56.880 So somebody said they didn't know that the vaccination reduced symptoms.
00:31:03.000 What?
00:31:03.440 How could you not know that the vaccination reduces symptoms?
00:31:09.840 Isn't earned income the best circuit for intelligence?
00:31:13.220 I don't know if it's the best, but it correlates.
00:31:16.660 Right?
00:31:21.100 All right.
00:31:21.740 Let's see.
00:31:23.460 I've now given you three bad takes that did not represent you.
00:31:28.080 Okay.
00:31:28.400 Let's see where they are.
00:31:30.440 Tweets and replies.
00:31:31.140 Here's somebody who has given me three bad takes.
00:31:40.120 Early on...
00:31:40.920 Early on...
00:31:41.280 Let's see if I can even find them.
00:31:45.660 I wasn't suggesting you thought they were all real, the VAERS.
00:31:48.700 My point was you thought that the actual number was less than the VAERS number.
00:31:53.680 In reality, whatever percent of reports are real, they're only a fraction of actual.
00:31:59.460 Well, what I've said is that they're highly inaccurate and that they're not meant as data.
00:32:05.460 They're meant as warnings, which means that they could be much higher or they could be much lower,
00:32:11.340 but it wouldn't be so much higher that it would change my opinion.
00:32:14.060 So, here is a...
00:32:17.440 I would say this is a minor point that doesn't really change the conclusion,
00:32:21.920 but this is a good correction.
00:32:25.140 I would say, yes, the odds of the VAERS thing being bigger than what is reported is a certain possibility.
00:32:33.540 The odds of it being lower than what is reported is also a possibility.
00:32:44.920 Let's see.
00:32:48.000 You don't need to...
00:32:50.240 All right.
00:32:50.820 I'm looking for his other...
00:32:54.120 You should include...
00:32:55.380 All right.
00:32:59.600 So, you're just talking about VAERS.
00:33:01.140 So, my take on VAERS is that if the VAERS number was actually anywhere near as big,
00:33:07.640 or let's say if the number of people who had been injured by the vaccination
00:33:12.560 was anywhere near as big as the number had been saved,
00:33:16.700 that you wouldn't even need a VAERS database.
00:33:18.900 It would just be obvious.
00:33:20.260 Like, every doctor would see it.
00:33:21.880 I mean, it would just be obvious.
00:33:22.740 So, yes, I said that the VAERS database is wildly inaccurate,
00:33:32.460 and, heck, big criticism is that I only thought it might be inaccurate in one direction,
00:33:38.000 which I never said, which I never said.
00:33:42.720 But it wildly inaccurate does, of course, include it could be bigger or smaller.
00:33:46.720 But being bigger wouldn't change anything about the analysis.
00:33:57.120 Somebody saying that the fact that with 175-plus million adults vaccinated,
00:34:03.580 it's a failure of the FDA to not issue a full approval already.
00:34:07.420 I don't know how that's how...
00:34:10.640 I don't think that's how it works, is it?
00:34:13.020 I think the FDA probably needs to wait a while, right?
00:34:18.680 If their standard is they wait a while to see if any problems come up,
00:34:22.340 don't they just need to wait a while?
00:34:24.700 And what you do in an emergency is different than what the FDA would do in normal days?
00:34:29.960 I just don't know that that's important.
00:34:31.400 I don't know that they can say that they've...
00:34:36.740 that it's approved before they wait a little while.
00:34:40.980 All right.
00:34:44.800 Flu has about...
00:34:46.740 Okay.
00:34:51.540 Let's see some more complaints about me.
00:34:54.700 How about...
00:34:55.380 Let's take some haters in the comments here.
00:35:00.520 Here's one.
00:35:02.400 Here's a big bird brain.
00:35:04.280 It says, Scott's having a mental breakdown.
00:35:07.520 Is that what a mental breakdown looks like?
00:35:10.260 You fucking idiot.
00:35:13.660 You know, there's some trolls that are worse than others.
00:35:18.560 I think Seinfeld had an episode on this,
00:35:21.820 where Seinfeld had this agent who used to say,
00:35:24.700 Jerry, stop freaking out.
00:35:26.580 And he would never be freaking out.
00:35:28.840 You know, so I'm making this up from memory,
00:35:31.120 but it was stuff like, you know, your flight might be 10 minutes late.
00:35:35.500 And Jerry would be, all right, 10 minutes late.
00:35:37.740 Stop freaking out, Jerry.
00:35:39.240 I'm not freaking out.
00:35:40.740 No, stop freaking out.
00:35:42.400 I get that all the time.
00:35:44.380 Stop freaking out.
00:35:45.740 You're having a mental breakdown.
00:35:46.840 I'm not doing anything different than I always do.
00:35:50.260 Can you imagine what a mental breakdown would actually look like?
00:35:54.960 I don't even have a problem today.
00:35:57.380 I'm literally sitting here with no problems.
00:36:00.260 Somebody here thinks I'm having a mental breakdown.
00:36:02.280 You know, your IQ correlation might have ended my marriage.
00:36:15.240 Tell your spouse that it doesn't apply to individuals.
00:36:20.000 And there's no reason to believe that high IQ is correlated with the right answer in this case.
00:36:25.740 Why do you trust the China COVID data?
00:36:33.460 Who the fuck thinks I trust China's COVID data?
00:36:37.280 I mean, these are all hallucinations.
00:36:40.160 Come up with a criticism about something I've actually said or done.
00:36:47.420 Picking and choosing what data to trust.
00:36:49.840 I don't trust any data.
00:36:50.900 Why only pick stupid comments?
00:36:55.080 Because that's the only kind there are.
00:36:57.940 If there were smart comments, I would tell you.
00:37:01.000 For example, the person who said you should have mentioned that the VARS database
00:37:05.000 could have been wrong on the high side as well as the low side.
00:37:09.580 That's a good comment.
00:37:11.360 Totally good comment.
00:37:12.720 It doesn't change the argument, but it's worthy of correction.
00:37:20.900 Richard, do right-wing shills push vaccines?
00:37:25.180 I don't know.
00:37:25.640 Am I...
00:37:26.240 So a lot of people told me I'm a shill for the pharmacies or for the vaccination people.
00:37:32.560 Why would I do that?
00:37:35.140 Is there anybody here who thinks I'm getting paid by anybody?
00:37:38.300 Or even have been approached by anybody to influence?
00:37:41.420 I haven't been.
00:37:43.100 I haven't been.
00:37:43.860 And by the way, that would end my career if I told you I hadn't been
00:37:49.740 and somehow you found out I had been.
00:37:51.760 Wouldn't you agree?
00:37:53.260 My career should be totally over if I said in public, as clearly as I'm saying now,
00:37:59.600 nobody has...
00:38:00.640 Nobody's asked me to persuade.
00:38:03.840 Nobody's paid me to persuade.
00:38:05.320 Not directly, not indirectly.
00:38:07.160 I don't have...
00:38:08.620 Except in index funds, I don't have stock in any pharmaceuticals.
00:38:11.860 Do I?
00:38:14.020 I don't think so.
00:38:18.260 So, I mean, who would take the risk?
00:38:21.320 I mean, it would be a dumb risk for me to shill for vaccinations.
00:38:29.820 Every death counted as COVID.
00:38:31.720 My guess on the COVID deaths is that it might be somewhere between 50% and 20% wrong.
00:38:43.080 That's my guess.
00:38:44.480 Overcounted.
00:38:45.260 Because of the number of people who may have died coincidentally and had the virus at the same time.
00:38:51.480 But nothing would change in your strategy if it's off by 50%.
00:38:55.500 I don't think it would.
00:38:57.600 So nobody here wants to take me on.
00:39:05.420 I'm telling you, this isn't the regular show.
00:39:09.480 I'm just waiting for somebody to have an argument that's based on something I've actually said.
00:39:19.140 Regarding risk management, what about the incentives?
00:39:22.460 Farmers' incentives are for the virus to escape the vaccine.
00:39:27.320 That's right.
00:39:28.340 So they can make another one.
00:39:29.620 That's right.
00:39:32.220 But what about that?
00:39:34.080 Is that something that disagrees with me?
00:39:37.820 Since you know so much...
00:39:41.460 Scott, you underestimate the big pharma government corruption.
00:39:45.040 No, I don't.
00:39:45.640 How do you know what's in my head?
00:39:49.740 Have I ever said that I trust big government and big pharma to make good decisions?
00:39:58.480 I don't.
00:39:59.820 I trust data, you know, because there are independent people looking at stuff.
00:40:04.880 You know, we've clearly seen that the vaccines have worked so far.
00:40:09.920 The spike protein in the vaccine traveling to the ovaries sounds like something we should look into.
00:40:18.200 What part do I disagree with?
00:40:22.420 The problem is that this is about me being right, and so it's not interesting.
00:40:28.100 Well, let me invite you not to watch if this content is not to your liking.
00:40:34.420 I am genuinely curious, because I do this in public, I'm genuinely curious if there's somebody out there who has a good argument.
00:40:44.180 Because all the people who say, Scott, I had to stop listening because you have a bad take on vaccines,
00:40:52.080 shouldn't I know what that is?
00:40:53.960 If it's affecting, it's probably affected my audience by a third.
00:40:57.560 If a third of my audience leaves for a specific reason and they don't say the reason, it's worth finding out.
00:41:04.420 Let's see, you can repeat yourself until you're blue in the face, and the idiots still won't get it.
00:41:14.780 Well, there's that.
00:41:20.840 All right, it's cognitive dissonance, Scott, yeah.
00:41:26.880 Efficacy, what about it?
00:41:29.240 Your actions say it all, you jabbed yourself, right.
00:41:32.160 All right, got it.
00:41:33.880 Is there a criticism?
00:41:36.080 Yeah, I got the vaccination.
00:41:38.300 That's not a criticism.
00:41:40.160 You got something better?
00:41:44.340 Experts are trustworthy in this case?
00:41:46.400 No.
00:41:47.700 When did I tell you I trusted experts?
00:41:50.120 Nothing like that ever happened.
00:41:54.100 A scale, here's a question.
00:41:55.260 A scale of 1 to 10, where was that question?
00:41:59.880 These are going by so fast.
00:42:02.400 How can there be long-term data on mRNA?
00:42:05.160 There isn't.
00:42:05.620 That's part of your decision-making.
00:42:12.940 We're sick and tired of listening to you rationalize your decisions to get the vaccine.
00:42:17.540 If you fully trusted it, you wouldn't talk about it incessantly.
00:42:20.520 That's a hallucination.
00:42:24.660 I don't trust the vaccination fully, and that what I talk about is the risk and the psychology of it.
00:42:33.720 I would, of course, talk about it incessantly, whether I trust it or not, because that's my main topic, is the psychology of things.
00:42:42.380 Do guys with trophy wives tend to get vaccinated?
00:42:50.480 By the way, there's no news today.
00:42:52.620 If there were any kind of news today, I'd be talking about it.
00:42:55.200 But you're not missing anything.
00:42:56.280 There's literally no news.
00:42:57.880 We're still talking about whether somebody in the Olympics can quit because they have a mental condition.
00:43:05.420 That's sort of a nothing.
00:43:06.420 A scale of one to mind, how much weigh the fact that vaccine critics are censored?
00:43:16.100 Oh, the critics who are censored are usually the ones who are pushing incorrect information.
00:43:24.500 But, as some of you know, Dave Rubin got, at least temporarily, limited on Twitter for saying something that the scientists were saying.
00:43:33.260 Basically, exactly the same thing science said.
00:43:36.440 But the way he wrote it looked a little anti-vax-y just by its tone, and it got taken off.
00:43:42.840 But then Twitter said it was a mistake and put it back.
00:43:45.620 So, can you give me an example of somebody who's saying something that we should hear who's being censored?
00:43:53.620 Is that Dr. Malone one?
00:43:55.160 It's because the problem with him is that what he's saying is we should look into something, and it's being interpreted as we have looked into it, and we know it's a problem.
00:44:06.060 So, the problem with Malone is that he's being misinterpreted.
00:44:11.740 Brett Weinstein and Ivermectin.
00:44:14.540 Well, but we're talking about vaccinations.
00:44:18.600 If Trump wasn't president, do you think it would be so political to get the vaccinations?
00:44:24.980 Well, that's a good question.
00:44:26.760 You know, I think you could make a good argument that because Trump was there at the beginning, it just became political.
00:44:33.840 But it doesn't make sense how political it became.
00:44:37.460 Because it's the Trump supporters who are the least likely to get the Trump shot.
00:44:42.040 You know, the very thing that Trump will claim as one of his greatest accomplishments, and there's a good chance it will be one of the greatest accomplishments of any president to get the vaccines out, if it all works.
00:44:54.220 If it doesn't work out, it'll look terrible.
00:44:57.020 But Trump, he was the vaccine guy.
00:45:01.780 So, I don't know.
00:45:04.000 I don't know how Republicans became anti-vax.
00:45:06.880 Somebody says, wrong, it's blacks, not Trump supporters.
00:45:12.640 No, it's both.
00:45:14.540 Trump supporters are a little higher on the list of unvaccinated than the black adult public.
00:45:20.860 But they're both way up there.
00:45:23.960 My concern is censoring the critics.
00:45:26.040 Yeah, the censorship is a problem.
00:45:31.660 Yes, after Trump left office, he did go radio silent on vaccines.
00:45:36.300 A little bit.
00:45:37.000 I mean, he still says consider them, but he's not pushing them because of freedom.
00:45:42.940 Were you or your mom influenced by Napoleon Hill?
00:45:45.180 I was early on.
00:45:51.160 What are your thoughts on mandatory vaccinations?
00:45:53.880 I oppose them.
00:45:55.880 I oppose mandatory vaccinations because the people who got vaccinated don't have a pandemic anymore.
00:46:01.340 Do you believe in data over common sense?
00:46:08.460 I don't believe in either one.
00:46:10.980 I don't believe in either one.
00:46:12.540 Because data is often wrong, and common sense is almost always wrong.
00:46:16.440 So, you've got two unreliable standards there.
00:46:23.420 Conservatives, by nature, are more skeptical things.
00:46:26.040 Yeah, I think that explains most of it.
00:46:27.500 Why do you trust China's COVID data?
00:46:31.480 Why does somebody keep asking me why I trust China's COVID data?
00:46:36.640 Stop hallucinating.
00:46:39.000 Whoever thinks I trust China's data on anything, just stop hallucinating.
00:46:44.720 I'm the number one China fuck you person on the planet.
00:46:48.420 I don't trust China for anything.
00:46:52.800 Stop saying that, please.
00:46:56.880 All right.
00:46:58.040 So, have we seen any, even one criticism of my vaccination hypothesis or opinion that's backed by a fact?
00:47:08.440 None.
00:47:08.960 Not a single one.
00:47:10.960 You have said China is not having a resurge.
00:47:15.000 No, I didn't.
00:47:16.160 No, they're having flare-ups, but they don't have much of a problem.
00:47:25.120 All right.
00:47:26.060 Relative to other countries.
00:47:31.920 When you use, what is this?
00:47:34.320 I didn't hallucinate when you used the China-speak incorrect data.
00:47:40.240 What?
00:47:40.680 Like, your comments don't even make any fucking sense.
00:47:46.400 All right.
00:47:52.560 You know, for certain arguments, or Scott, it's like wrestling with a pig.
00:47:58.500 All right.
00:47:58.700 So, there's more, like, insults about me.
00:48:01.640 Bad data.
00:48:13.360 Vaccine is the mark of the beast.
00:48:15.100 I don't think so.
00:48:16.660 Can you call in?
00:48:17.820 No.
00:48:21.280 It stopped raining there.
00:48:22.560 How did I do that?
00:48:23.280 Well, it's just one of those things.
00:48:24.300 You keep asking why China is doing so well.
00:48:29.440 I am.
00:48:30.340 Because they're doing so well.
00:48:33.380 Well, what?
00:48:34.940 Can you at least...
00:48:36.780 I mean, your criticisms are just, like, literally insane hallucinations.
00:48:42.860 China has some flare-ups.
00:48:44.960 But overall, they're doing great.
00:48:46.940 You can reword that a hundred times to make it look like I didn't say that.
00:48:50.600 But everybody has the same opinion of China.
00:48:52.540 They did great.
00:48:54.500 We don't know why.
00:48:56.460 They have some flare-ups now that are a problem.
00:49:00.640 All right.
00:49:03.300 I swear to God, I have to stay until I see at least one person who disagrees with me with an actual fact or an argument.
00:49:10.500 Because here's what I think happened.
00:49:13.060 So, here's my hypothesis that I'm chasing down.
00:49:15.780 And it goes like this.
00:49:16.560 And I had to see if there were any real arguments that I missed.
00:49:19.220 And evidently not.
00:49:20.320 So, I think this is what happened.
00:49:22.900 I think there are a number of people, mostly conservatives, who are at least interacting with me, who have a, let's say, an irrational, meaning that we don't have any data.
00:49:33.500 So, whatever decision you make about the vaccination, you could argue it's irrational no matter which way you go, because we don't have enough data.
00:49:42.580 But I believe that people disagreed with my take on vaccinations.
00:49:47.960 But they couldn't find a reason.
00:49:50.480 And so, they turned that, the disagreement against me.
00:49:55.480 So, I believe that when you disagree with somebody and they don't know why, they can't figure out what's wrong with your opinion, but they don't want to change their opinion, that it pretty much makes them think you had an opinion you didn't have.
00:50:08.420 So, I think that cognitive dissonance is causing people to hallucinate, literally, that I had a whole bunch of opinions that I've never had.
00:50:18.500 And in fact, I've had the opposite of those opinions in most cases.
00:50:21.280 But it's because you can't change your opinion based on data or argument, which is everybody, really.
00:50:27.500 People don't really change their opinion based on data and argument.
00:50:30.680 And when you hit that argument and better argument, and you don't want to change anyway, then you have to assume that the person saying it is broken.
00:50:42.120 It's your only defense.
00:50:43.780 So, I think that's all that's going on.
00:50:45.060 And that's what I wanted to, sophistry.
00:50:55.720 Usually, the people who claim sophistry are the ones who don't understand what I'm saying.
00:51:04.320 Do you think the vaccine nanobots are making me say this?
00:51:09.960 Maybe so.
00:51:10.740 Yeah, sophistry is just an attack on the speaker.
00:51:16.140 It's not any kind of an argument.
00:51:20.860 All right.
00:51:23.500 How did the bad takes on YouTube compare it to locals?
00:51:28.140 Well, the commenters on YouTube tend to be more jerks.
00:51:35.260 The comments on locals are people who tend to be more respectful, but will disagree.
00:51:40.740 So, generally, there's a big difference in just respectful behavior.
00:51:47.080 Locals is more respectful because people pay to be there.
00:51:50.100 Makes sense.
00:51:56.980 Scott, I think you tend to underestimate vax risk for young people.
00:52:02.020 What would make you say that?
00:52:03.380 What makes you think that I have underestimated the risk of vaccines for young people?
00:52:10.300 Nothing I've said would suggest that.
00:52:13.240 Nothing.
00:52:14.500 Nothing.
00:52:15.960 That's pure imagination.
00:52:17.440 And I think your point is that if somebody has a very low risk of COVID and a non-zero risk from the vaccination,
00:52:29.720 that maybe there are some situations where the balance of risk and reward is different.
00:52:34.660 Of course I agree with that.
00:52:36.820 Of course.
00:52:37.500 Every person has their own individual risk and they have to take that into account.
00:52:41.140 Of course.
00:52:41.540 Can anything persuade you to go all in on promoting therapeutics?
00:52:52.980 Which ones?
00:52:54.360 See, the trouble is that the therapeutics don't have data supporting them that the medical community agrees with.
00:53:02.760 Now, if you think that I can look at an argument between Brett Weinstein and the scientific community
00:53:11.780 and do my own research and come to a decision about which one of them is right,
00:53:18.220 that would be crazy.
00:53:20.080 That would be crazy.
00:53:21.180 Do you think I could keep up with Brett Weinstein on an analysis of a study?
00:53:29.400 No.
00:53:30.360 Not even close.
00:53:31.480 Do you think I could keep up with a scientist who might or might not agree with Brett Weinstein?
00:53:38.060 No.
00:53:38.960 No.
00:53:39.440 I can't keep up with either one of them.
00:53:41.200 I just know that there are two entities telling me something and no way to know what's right.
00:53:45.800 That's all I know.
00:53:46.980 So why would I go all in on that?
00:53:50.180 Sophistry again.
00:53:51.080 All right.
00:53:51.400 Goodbye, asshole.
00:53:56.140 Goodbye.
00:53:57.000 You're gone from the channel.
00:53:59.680 Sophistry again.
00:54:00.440 I've got to do that with the Dale impression.
00:54:04.160 I can't find my Dale beard.
00:54:09.540 So no, nothing could convince me to go all in unless science backed it.
00:54:14.740 So I like therapeutics, of course, but I also see the vaccine as a therapeutic.
00:54:27.600 I don't think you'll see me go all in on any medical stuff because that would be unethical.
00:54:35.160 Am I getting a divorce?
00:54:37.700 No.
00:54:38.380 Thanks for asking.
00:54:47.220 Why do they dismiss natural immunity?
00:54:50.920 Nobody does that.
00:54:52.300 Why do people dismiss natural immunity?
00:54:57.720 Nobody does.
00:54:58.840 Literally nobody.
00:55:03.020 We are ignoring the biggest issue.
00:55:06.020 Vaccine hesitancy is pushed back to government overreach.
00:55:10.460 It's not at all about science.
00:55:15.880 I think those are separate.
00:55:18.480 I think those are separate.
00:55:19.800 I think you could certainly have a government overreach opinion that's completely different
00:55:24.600 from whether a vaccination works.
00:55:27.580 It's just separate.
00:55:28.180 Some people think the trolls on here could be Chinese trolls.
00:55:36.000 Maybe, but they don't all look like it.
00:55:41.060 Science hasn't solved the common cold.
00:55:43.800 You know what's funny about that?
00:55:45.320 All right, so one of the comments was science hasn't solved the common cold.
00:55:49.360 The mRNA platform might actually do that.
00:55:53.480 That's one of the things it might do.
00:55:55.160 It might cure cancer.
00:55:56.820 It might cure the common cold.
00:55:58.740 So, yeah, we haven't cured the common cold, but we might have gotten a lot closer just
00:56:04.460 by having an emergency use of the mRNA platform.
00:56:10.180 All right, I need to ask particular people questions, but I'm asking for any kind of sense
00:56:15.500 of something that people are disagreeing with.
00:56:20.900 What's that?
00:56:24.700 Okay.
00:56:25.180 China doesn't ship fentanyl.
00:56:31.740 Well, I guess I know where you're from.
00:56:33.460 Scott, my only criticism, you forgot to count the deaths as long-term side effects.
00:56:40.280 I don't know how that matters to any of my arguments.
00:56:46.560 I'm pretty sure we all know that death has a long-term consequence.
00:56:50.460 So you'd have to say more about that, because I don't understand how that has anything to do with anything I've said.
00:56:55.900 Do I think Trump might get in real trouble?
00:57:00.460 Yeah, of course.
00:57:01.320 There's always a risk.
00:57:03.820 There won't be any different topic today, because there's no news today.
00:57:08.220 There's nothing to talk about today, frankly.
00:57:10.140 If you injected, yeah, people with a placebo, a lot of people would die.
00:57:17.060 That's true.
00:57:21.240 Let's see.
00:57:22.820 I disagreed with you before, and I gave you...
00:57:25.140 You made it your own.
00:57:27.960 So we're good.
00:57:30.980 Recommending vaccines for those with natural immunity is a crock.
00:57:35.560 Well, have I ever said otherwise?
00:57:36.680 Chance of the Norm Macdonald novel review?
00:57:42.700 I can't remember the last time I read a novel, honestly.
00:57:46.040 So if it's fiction, there's no real chance that's going to happen.
00:57:51.620 All right.
00:57:54.820 MRA is into non-reproducing people.
00:57:58.280 What is the big deal?
00:57:59.200 Why did it only take six months to find a vaccine for COVID,
00:58:09.840 but it's been 40 years and no cure for HIV?
00:58:12.740 You know, I think HIV is one of the things that's on the list for mRNA.
00:58:17.300 So I think it has more to do with mRNA technology reaching its maturity
00:58:22.700 at exactly when we needed it.
00:58:24.460 So had it reached its maturity during the AIDS, you know,
00:58:29.580 the biggest part of the AIDS pandemic,
00:58:32.120 then I think it probably would have been first.
00:58:41.640 What's your opinion on banning unvaccinated people from public spaces?
00:58:47.180 I don't care where anybody goes.
00:58:49.680 You know, if you want to be unvaccinated, that's fine.
00:58:51.860 Like, you know, it's your risk, not mine.
00:58:56.460 I mean, in a sense, I suppose I do have a greater risk, too,
00:58:59.540 because the unvaccinated could give it to me,
00:59:01.580 even though I'm vaccinated.
00:59:03.420 But I'd get, you know, I'd get a sniffle for a week,
00:59:05.560 and then I'd be happy that I had natural immunity
00:59:07.540 on top of my vaccination.
00:59:10.140 So, I don't know.
00:59:11.300 I don't think...
00:59:13.060 I don't care what anybody does in the public space.
00:59:15.600 Scott, why is there no Chinese variant of the virus?
00:59:26.420 Good question.
00:59:28.820 Maybe there is.
00:59:31.660 I'm imagining that there are lots of variants,
00:59:34.020 but they aren't all a big problem.
00:59:38.720 How do you feel knowing they lied about the vaccine?
00:59:41.380 Can you give me anything else, really?
00:59:46.280 You see, that's the kind of comments that are useless.
00:59:48.900 How do you know...
00:59:49.680 How do you feel about knowing they lied about the vaccine?
00:59:53.160 Who lied, and what was the lie?
00:59:55.600 I can't do anything with that comment.
00:59:57.700 I have no idea what you're talking about.
01:00:01.660 Between the three vaccines, which do you trust the most?
01:00:06.120 Well, that would just be a guess.
01:00:07.840 It seems like we've heard the least problem stuff from the Moderna,
01:00:12.580 but that doesn't mean...
01:00:13.720 That doesn't mean much.
01:00:14.920 We have so little data.
01:00:17.840 Oh, they lied, saying that if you get the vaccination,
01:00:20.600 you won't need to wear a mask.
01:00:22.940 Well, I think the mask thing is persuasion
01:00:26.060 to make you get the vaccination.
01:00:28.440 So I don't think that the mask thing is based on science.
01:00:31.720 I think it's based on persuasion.
01:00:33.920 It's a way to guilt the unvaccinated into getting vaccinated.
01:00:38.200 That's what it feels like to me.
01:00:39.300 It doesn't feel science-based.
01:00:43.560 Meaning that it does have a science-based...
01:00:46.640 In other words, the things which they say about it are true enough,
01:00:49.940 but the risk-reward doesn't make sense.
01:00:52.220 Yeah, I don't think we would have had a golden age without a pandemic
01:00:56.900 because it shook everything up in a way that needed to be.
01:01:03.100 Scott changing his tone quickly about masks.
01:01:06.360 So, Roger, I'm going to block you from the channel
01:01:08.460 because this is the most annoying comment I get,
01:01:11.360 is people telling me that I've changed my stance
01:01:13.440 when I've never changed my stance.
01:01:15.100 I'm a little hide user on this channel.
01:01:19.360 So, and I guess that's the biggest problem I have,
01:01:24.820 is people literally imagining my...
01:01:29.100 No, it's not fragile.
01:01:31.360 You can say anything you want about me if it's just, like, insults.
01:01:35.160 I don't care about that.
01:01:36.120 You can call me, you know, short, bald, old, anything you want.
01:01:39.560 But the blocking is...
01:01:43.560 And it's just the comments that got blocked.
01:01:45.660 You can still watch.
01:01:47.360 The blocking is when somebody say in public what my opinion is
01:01:51.080 and it's not right, and then they criticize it.
01:01:54.300 That's meltdown.
01:01:56.180 You can get rid of all the assholes.
01:01:58.980 All right, meltdown guy, you're gone.
01:02:01.540 Anybody else?
01:02:04.840 Israel data shows no reduced hospitalization
01:02:07.700 from the vaccinated who are infected.
01:02:10.460 What are your sources?
01:02:12.340 Well, every source I've seen says exactly the opposite of that.
01:02:15.880 So show me a source that says what you said.
01:02:19.060 Oh, actually, I'm sorry.
01:02:21.080 In Israel, most of the hospitalized should be vaccinated.
01:02:27.100 Does anybody not know why that's true?
01:02:29.420 It's because they're all vaccinated.
01:02:31.000 The only people who can go to the hospital in Israel
01:02:33.480 are people vaccinated, because they all got vaccinated.
01:02:36.260 I'm exaggerating, not all of them, of course.
01:02:39.220 So if you have a country where 100% of the people have vaccinations,
01:02:44.100 the only people who will die from it are vaccinated people.
01:02:47.260 It would be 100%, right?
01:02:50.120 There just wouldn't be many of them.
01:02:52.260 So Israel's in good shape,
01:02:54.120 but yeah, your statistic is misleading.
01:02:57.100 But if the percent of vaccinated is not the percent of infected,
01:03:07.380 what does that mean?
01:03:09.180 I don't understand the question.
01:03:15.740 All right.
01:03:18.400 Troops in Australia.
01:03:19.720 Yeah, Australia is getting pretty badass about this.
01:03:23.180 You know, the one thing about having lots of countries
01:03:25.100 doing lots of different things
01:03:26.420 is that we're going to figure out what worked.
01:03:29.180 Now, nobody wants the military in the streets
01:03:31.800 to guarantee people are socially distancing.
01:03:34.780 In this country, we certainly don't want it.
01:03:37.680 But we also would like to know what works.
01:03:40.680 What happens if it works?
01:03:42.520 What happens if Australia ends up getting the best result?
01:03:45.100 Then things get complicated.
01:03:48.920 I think in this country, we'd still rather take the deaths
01:03:51.260 than having the military in the street.
01:03:54.280 And we're pretty well armed here,
01:03:55.720 so I think things would go differently.
01:03:59.340 90% of those in hospitals, they are vaxxed.
01:04:02.680 And they should be.
01:04:03.600 That makes sense, because most people are vaxxed.
01:04:06.080 So, you know, in this country,
01:04:11.020 100% of the people who die have polio vaccinations.
01:04:17.320 It doesn't mean the polio vaccination killed them.
01:04:20.240 It just means everybody has one.
01:04:24.760 What's your stance on kids getting vaccinated?
01:04:27.220 That, of course, it's a tough one,
01:04:35.540 because we would be vaccinating the children
01:04:39.000 to save other people.
01:04:41.000 That's really what that's about.
01:04:42.960 I would have to say that it seems unethical.
01:04:45.780 But the part we don't know, and I don't know, I guess,
01:04:49.640 is if there are any long-haul risks to kids.
01:04:52.580 I'm guessing not much.
01:04:53.800 But vaccinating a kid to save a senior
01:04:58.740 feels purely unethical.
01:05:01.840 Does anybody disagree with that?
01:05:03.500 Because a senior only has maybe a few good years of life.
01:05:07.120 A child has, you know, the whole life ahead of them.
01:05:10.420 Why would you put some risk on the child
01:05:13.480 to reduce some from the person who's 80?
01:05:16.480 That doesn't make sense.
01:05:17.660 So, just vaccinate the seniors, yeah.
01:05:25.120 I mean, that won't protect all of them, but it gets there.
01:05:32.280 Somebody's got a Tony Heller question.
01:05:34.380 Using temperatures recorded from the 30s,
01:05:36.420 higher than now, lends credibility.
01:05:38.660 Here's the problem with Tony Heller's
01:05:40.400 criticisms of climate change.
01:05:42.940 Sometimes, I think he's right.
01:05:47.120 Meaning that some specific criticisms
01:05:49.360 of a way something was measured might be right.
01:05:53.420 But climate change is a vast body of science right now.
01:05:57.520 And I don't think there are any vast bodies of science.
01:06:00.460 Let's take evolution as a good example.
01:06:02.600 Where you wouldn't find somebody who can find some problems
01:06:04.880 with the way things were studied.
01:06:07.180 That would be everywhere.
01:06:08.380 So, Tony Heller can find a dozen different problems
01:06:13.080 and doesn't really have much to do with whether climate change
01:06:16.140 is real or a problem or anything else.
01:06:18.240 Those are unrelated.
01:06:21.460 You could always find a bunch of problems.
01:06:29.760 Did you say you think evolution is false
01:06:32.260 and will be disproved?
01:06:34.120 Yes, and already has been.
01:06:35.480 So, my prediction about evolution back in the 90s,
01:06:41.220 I predicted that evolution would be debunked by science,
01:06:45.920 not by religious people,
01:06:47.920 but that it would be debunked by science in my lifetime.
01:06:52.200 And that's already happened.
01:06:53.520 Because the simulation argument debunks evolution.
01:06:58.040 And the simulation argument might be false,
01:07:01.380 but there's about a trillion to one chance it's true.
01:07:03.440 You know, statistically, evolution has been debunked
01:07:09.500 in favor of the simulation theory.
01:07:18.660 How do we know vaccinated people suffer less?
01:07:21.720 Well, that seems to be a universal experience
01:07:25.560 in every country and every hospital
01:07:27.180 that people with vaccinations are getting less symptoms.
01:07:30.220 So, the evidence is everything, everywhere,
01:07:33.760 everywhere, anybody's looked,
01:07:35.360 every time, every single time.
01:07:37.360 That's the evidence.
01:07:40.640 Evolution could be a feature of the simulation?
01:07:42.760 Yes, but it would only be written on demand.
01:07:45.480 So, in other words, if we're a simulation,
01:07:47.520 history is written when you need it.
01:07:49.440 It's not already there.
01:07:50.980 It's just, it's designed as needed
01:07:52.900 if we were a simulation.
01:07:54.100 Because that's how we would reserve resources
01:07:58.460 in the simulation.
01:08:05.920 It's hard to see all these comments going by so quickly.
01:08:09.240 I'm doing my best.
01:08:13.640 Could you give a persuasion grade
01:08:15.380 on starting movement to end child abuse
01:08:18.160 in two generations?
01:08:21.180 Probably not.
01:08:22.100 I don't know that that one is
01:08:24.240 too subject to persuasion.
01:08:31.360 Oh.
01:08:32.720 On a scale of one to ten,
01:08:34.300 how much does VAC's censorship
01:08:36.340 affect your trust in the data?
01:08:38.840 Well, I don't have any trust in the data.
01:08:41.540 So, probably not much.
01:08:44.760 So, I went from very low credibility
01:08:47.140 given to anybody
01:08:48.700 to more low credibility
01:08:51.740 given to anybody.
01:08:55.420 All right.
01:08:56.060 Here, the ethical skeptic is saying
01:08:57.860 that it's clear
01:08:59.820 that something hit the world in 2018-19
01:09:01.760 and caused an exceptional rate
01:09:02.920 of growth in deaths
01:09:04.080 sometime in that year.
01:09:06.700 Okay.
01:09:07.220 Well, I don't trust that data either.
01:09:10.740 Am I saying that simulation theory
01:09:12.500 and time travel are the same?
01:09:13.860 No.
01:09:14.880 I'm definitely not saying that.
01:09:16.160 I'm saying that the history doesn't exist
01:09:18.880 if you're a computer program.
01:09:21.620 History doesn't exist
01:09:22.620 unless you need it.
01:09:23.860 So, you write it as you need it.
01:09:26.740 Is there free will
01:09:27.660 for choosing the vaccine?
01:09:28.940 Not in a scientific sense.
01:09:35.440 The death rate didn't change.
01:09:37.820 Scott, sorry.
01:09:38.940 Ha, ha, ha, ha.
01:09:40.740 What death rate?
01:09:42.360 Give me a little bit of a hint
01:09:43.920 what you're talking about.
01:09:46.180 Just a little bit of a hint
01:09:48.000 what topic you're on.
01:09:56.980 Who is going to be the next president?
01:10:00.300 Hard to say,
01:10:01.700 but Ron DeSantis
01:10:03.740 probably has the inside track
01:10:05.580 if Trump doesn't run.
01:10:07.720 If Trump does run,
01:10:08.860 all bets are off.
01:10:10.100 Who knows?
01:10:10.540 All right.
01:10:18.400 Who will be the governor of California?
01:10:21.440 Don't know.
01:10:28.300 Scott, watch the war room pandemic
01:10:30.240 and you'd be as smart as us.
01:10:32.580 Again, a criticism with no criticism.
01:10:34.720 Do you think there exists
01:10:40.460 a great designer?
01:10:41.740 Well, there might be a game designer
01:10:43.160 but not somebody
01:10:44.140 who designed the specifics.
01:10:52.080 All right.
01:10:53.080 I think we've done
01:10:54.340 what we need to do.
01:10:55.260 I've driven away
01:10:56.200 pretty much all of my viewers now.
01:11:00.180 So, I think I'm going to have
01:11:02.080 more viewers on locals
01:11:03.120 here in a minute.
01:11:03.640 All right.
01:11:04.720 Zero chance
01:11:10.400 we'll go to paper ballots.
01:11:11.640 Yeah, I think so.
01:11:14.260 How long does Biden last?
01:11:16.500 I think Biden does
01:11:17.620 one full year at least.
01:11:20.160 So, I don't believe
01:11:21.380 there's any scenario
01:11:22.260 if they can keep Biden
01:11:24.180 on any kind of life support.
01:11:26.460 You've got to give the guy
01:11:27.500 one year.
01:11:29.080 Because then he can say
01:11:30.120 he did his job, right?
01:11:31.160 If Biden gets one solid year,
01:11:35.020 he can say,
01:11:35.540 I did my job,
01:11:36.500 I kept Trump out of office,
01:11:38.640 handed it off to another
01:11:39.800 Democrat, presumably.
01:11:43.140 So, I think one year
01:11:44.460 because just psychologically
01:11:45.560 that feels like he needs
01:11:46.840 to do that.
01:11:52.220 Yeah, the eviction moratorium
01:11:53.840 is going to get interesting.
01:11:54.900 We've all ignored that
01:11:56.280 until now.
01:12:01.780 If free will,
01:12:03.280 how does free will
01:12:04.040 fit into the simulation theory?
01:12:08.600 How doesn't it?
01:12:09.980 Either way,
01:12:10.580 we're programmed.
01:12:11.920 You're programmed
01:12:12.640 one way or the other.
01:12:13.600 Oh, my God.
01:12:18.260 You don't believe
01:12:18.940 the Chai comms,
01:12:20.440 Chinese communists,
01:12:21.560 but you believe
01:12:22.140 they are doing well
01:12:23.040 in terms of COVID.
01:12:24.660 I believe that we would know
01:12:26.180 if China had
01:12:28.040 like a huge wave of death.
01:12:31.780 So, yes.
01:12:32.600 I don't believe their data.
01:12:34.620 I believe we would know
01:12:35.980 and, you know,
01:12:37.040 there would be enough information
01:12:38.100 coming out of even China
01:12:39.280 that we would know
01:12:40.000 if it was a big problem.
01:12:40.780 All right.
01:12:48.340 All right,
01:12:48.860 that's all I've got for now.
01:12:50.380 Sorry,
01:12:50.800 today was not my usual program,
01:12:54.140 but I did want to see
01:12:55.300 if there were actual real,
01:12:57.300 real criticisms
01:12:59.140 to my opinions
01:13:00.020 or if they were all hallucinated.
01:13:01.920 I think we proved
01:13:02.680 they're all hallucinated, right?
01:13:05.380 It doesn't make any difference
01:13:06.500 to anybody's decision-making,
01:13:07.920 but that's all
01:13:10.760 for now
01:13:11.080 and I'll talk to you tomorrow
01:13:12.100 and tomorrow
01:13:12.780 it'll be a regular show
01:13:13.800 so I won't do this.
01:13:14.600 Thank you.