Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1457 Scott Adams： Sipping and Chatting About the Latest National Nonsense

00:00:00.380 Hello, everybody.

00:00:02.800 A little bit behind here.

00:00:06.360 God damn it, my technology is bad.

00:00:09.220 Sorry, didn't mean to swear, but...

00:00:12.200 Jesus!

00:00:13.560 I'll tell you, my new iPad situation?

00:00:17.360 It's a disaster so far.

00:00:21.820 And I'll be with you in a moment.

00:00:24.560 All right.

00:00:26.640 Everybody good?

00:00:30.000 All right.

00:00:32.780 Here we are.

00:00:34.820 And I'm pretty sure that the technology is working.

00:00:39.300 I'll tell you what problem I have.

00:00:40.340 I bought two identical iPads so that they're brand new

00:00:44.320 and they have the latest operating system and everything would be good.

00:00:47.620 Except one of the new ones doesn't work for YouTube or Twitter.

00:00:54.140 The apps just crashed.

00:00:55.480 They're all brand new, updated, brand new iPad,

00:00:58.780 latest operating system.

00:01:01.000 And they can't do YouTube and they can't do Twitter.

00:01:04.720 But it's identical because it does both of them fine.

00:01:08.840 I also can't reboot it.

00:01:10.700 Looks like they changed how you reboot the new ones.

00:01:14.100 If anybody knows how to reboot an iPad,

00:01:16.200 it doesn't involve holding down the power button.

00:01:18.520 I found this on the web.

00:01:19.640 Shut up! 1.00

00:01:21.160 Fucking thing.

00:01:22.280 If you're not going to work, don't talk to me.

00:01:24.380 Christ, just go over there and shut up. 1.00

00:01:26.700 All right.

00:01:28.960 How would you like to enjoy a little thing I call the simultaneous sip?

00:01:34.360 All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass,

00:01:36.860 a tank or gels or a stine, a cantina, a jug or a glass,

00:01:39.080 a vessel of any kind.

00:01:41.320 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:42.480 I like coffee.

00:01:44.740 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:01:47.460 The dopamine here of the day, the thing that makes everything better,

00:01:50.480 it's called the simultaneous sip and watch it go.

00:01:52.840 Now.

00:01:53.700 Go.

00:01:58.240 So I'm a little bit late this morning because I was compiling an amazing tweet.

00:02:05.000 And I was just done.

00:02:06.980 And I'll read it to you and then I'll hit send.

00:02:09.180 I said, as far as I know, no city, state, or country on the planet

00:02:14.100 has beaten COVID with ivermectin or hydroxychloroquine.

00:02:20.780 Lots of places have limited access to vaccines,

00:02:24.280 whereas ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine are widely available.

00:02:28.500 So how does your worldview explain that?

00:02:32.260 So I'm not saying it works or it doesn't work.

00:02:34.580 You get banned from social media if you take any kind of a positive take

00:02:39.540 on those things.

00:02:40.760 So here's the question.

00:02:42.960 Your worldview says that those two things,

00:02:46.400 let's see many of you, not all of you,

00:02:49.000 but for many of you, your worldview is that those things work.

00:02:54.440 Why have they not worked anywhere on Earth?

00:02:58.200 Do you ever think about that?

00:03:00.620 It doesn't work anywhere on Earth.

00:03:02.960 Not one place has made that work.

00:03:06.740 But according to the studies, those things work great, right?

00:03:11.740 So you'd think that the people who didn't have access to vaccines

00:03:14.500 would be sucking that stuff up

00:03:16.820 and would have cured their problems like crazy.

00:03:20.440 Or, or, is it possible?

00:03:26.420 Somebody in the comments says,

00:03:27.760 McAfee died and now we have a new virus.

00:03:30.900 Coincidence?

00:03:31.340 Maybe.

00:03:33.600 Maybe.

00:03:36.680 So, just check your worldview.

00:03:40.180 If you are a subscriber to Locals,

00:03:42.980 and many of them are watching me right now,

00:03:46.100 what you learned in the last few days,

00:03:48.720 where you learned my framework and technique for creativity,

00:03:53.960 which you couldn't learn any other way.

00:03:55.700 You'd have to be on the Locals platform.

00:03:57.020 And you also saw my explanation of my live streaming setup

00:04:03.200 that I've taken years to perfect.

00:04:06.480 And if my iPad worked, it would be in good shape.

00:04:10.060 So that's why you missed just this week,

00:04:11.780 and there'll be a lot more.

00:04:13.540 Here's a little interesting thing.

00:04:16.760 Apparently, the favorability of nuclear power

00:04:19.240 has reached an all-time high.

00:04:21.040 How do you like that?

00:04:25.060 Favorability of nuclear power,

00:04:28.200 an all-time high.

00:04:29.560 And that uptick in popularity

00:04:33.280 happened in the last four or five years,

00:04:36.740 and especially in the last couple.

00:04:38.260 It looks like the biggest change happened

00:04:41.320 after Trump left office.

00:04:43.940 Because I think there was just an automatic resistance

00:04:46.880 to nuclear power if it had a Republican connection.

00:04:51.300 But as soon as you get Biden in office,

00:04:54.720 I think the Democrats just said,

00:04:56.820 well, if we're serious about climate change,

00:04:58.880 I guess we'd better be serious about nuclear power.

00:05:01.460 Because it's the only way to...

00:05:02.860 probably the only way to get there.

00:05:04.260 Although there have been some good advances

00:05:06.360 in batteries and stuff,

00:05:08.360 but we haven't quite seen them actualized.

00:05:10.760 But here's my question.

00:05:12.740 I've told you before

00:05:14.220 that I have this weird track record

00:05:19.160 that when I'm trying to persuade

00:05:21.860 on any national topic,

00:05:25.040 if you looked at the graph of people's opinions,

00:05:27.300 you would find the point that I entered,

00:05:29.220 and then you would see a sharp change in the curve.

00:05:32.160 That happened, for example,

00:05:33.200 when I started persuading years ago

00:05:35.100 on the right to die.

00:05:37.300 You know, the ability to have a doctor-assisted death.

00:05:42.180 And if you look at the Gallup poll,

00:05:45.440 you see that that trend was like...

00:05:47.300 And then I wrote a viral piece in favor of that right.

00:05:52.280 And you can see that just at the time

00:05:53.720 I did that viral piece,

00:05:55.440 which went just about everywhere.

00:05:56.940 I mean, it really...

00:05:57.900 It actually made a big impact.

00:05:59.760 And you can see that the curve just went...

00:06:02.060 and changed.

00:06:03.840 Now, is that because I was persuading?

00:06:09.020 There's no reason to believe that,

00:06:10.700 because curves change, right?

00:06:12.020 Things change.

00:06:13.500 But there's this weird coincidence

00:06:15.700 that whenever I enter a fight,

00:06:17.880 persuasion-wise,

00:06:19.160 the curve just changes in my direction

00:06:22.120 pretty much every time.

00:06:24.180 I can't think of an exception.

00:06:25.840 But I think it's probably easier to explain it

00:06:28.260 in terms of me joining causes

00:06:30.980 that I know I'll win,

00:06:32.360 or that they were going to go in that direction anyway.

00:06:35.960 So I'm going to say

00:06:36.860 it's less about cause and effect

00:06:38.500 and more about knowing what things need to happen

00:06:42.700 and just sort of joining the parade

00:06:45.380 that's already moving.

00:06:46.120 I think that's a better explanation of what we're seeing.

00:06:49.520 All right.

00:06:50.040 But if you'd like to believe

00:06:51.500 that I caused those things to happen,

00:06:53.060 that's great, too.

00:06:54.060 It's just...

00:06:54.760 There's no evidence for that.

00:06:57.400 Bannon, on his war room,

00:06:59.120 had a...

00:06:59.820 He continues to be the most interesting content

00:07:02.280 on the Internet.

00:07:04.340 Am I wrong?

00:07:06.120 You know, whether it's true stuff or fake stuff,

00:07:09.140 or...

00:07:10.120 I never know what's true and what's not.

00:07:12.520 But Bannon's war room is...

00:07:14.120 He just has the most interesting stuff.

00:07:16.580 I just never know if it's true.

00:07:18.340 Right?

00:07:18.560 True in terms of whether the guests are credible or not.

00:07:22.480 But here's another one.

00:07:24.200 He had a gentleman on

00:07:27.120 who I guess has some experience in military intelligence.

00:07:30.160 And apparently this fellow can look at demographics

00:07:34.620 and registration,

00:07:37.440 so demographic trends and registration trends in the country,

00:07:40.540 and he can determine if your vote

00:07:44.420 looks like it was fraudulent or not.

00:07:48.540 So if there are more votes for a candidate,

00:07:51.620 then either the demographic change

00:07:53.620 in the four years since the last vote

00:07:55.460 or the number of registered voters

00:07:58.520 is out of whack,

00:08:00.680 there's just too many votes for the situation,

00:08:03.640 then he says that's a sign

00:08:05.780 that maybe, not always,

00:08:07.940 but maybe, might indicate fraud.

00:08:10.240 Now you say to yourself,

00:08:11.720 how likely is that model to work?

00:08:15.960 Do you think that that really can capture all that?

00:08:19.120 Because remember,

00:08:20.360 the Trump election is different than any other election

00:08:22.760 because he was a different character.

00:08:24.680 I'm not sure people acted the same.

00:08:26.540 And then you had the pandemic,

00:08:27.960 you know, throws all the rules out.

00:08:30.360 But apparently he predicted correctly

00:08:32.720 all 50 states in 2016,

00:08:36.080 including Florida.

00:08:39.040 All 50. 0.97

00:08:40.600 That's right.

00:08:41.260 His model got all 50 states right, he claims.

00:08:45.940 It seems like that would be something you could check.

00:08:48.340 But if he really got all 50 states right,

00:08:50.620 and he's using the same model,

00:08:53.740 then the only thing that could be different

00:08:55.400 is the pandemic.

00:08:57.620 Because it was Trump both times, right?

00:09:00.220 You know, so you would think

00:09:02.000 that he'd have a handle on it.

00:09:04.160 But I think the pandemic did change enough

00:09:06.260 because the way people voted changed.

00:09:08.720 So I'm not sure the model works.

00:09:11.320 So I'm going to say that

00:09:12.640 I think that the pandemic

00:09:15.100 and then the legal changes to voting

00:09:18.000 and all the mail-in and stuff.

00:09:20.500 I don't know that any model still works

00:09:22.520 from 2016 to 2020.

00:09:26.000 But it's out there,

00:09:27.160 so that's some information.

00:09:28.880 So I did an unscientific poll,

00:09:30.920 and I asked,

00:09:31.700 what's a bigger problem for you at the moment?

00:09:34.680 Is the bigger problem for you personally

00:09:38.440 the virus

00:09:40.340 or the policies about the virus?

00:09:44.260 Well, it happened, of course.

00:09:47.760 As you might imagine,

00:09:49.600 something like 89% said

00:09:52.180 that the government's policies are the problems.

00:09:55.940 89%.

00:09:56.620 It's not even close.

00:09:58.560 Now, of course,

00:09:59.080 this is a deeply unscientific poll,

00:10:02.120 but do you think you would get

00:10:03.300 a different result anywhere else?

00:10:05.700 You know, if I...

00:10:07.300 I mean, obviously,

00:10:08.420 my audience leans conservative,

00:10:10.800 even though I'm not.

00:10:12.240 But I feel like it would be

00:10:15.420 a vast majority of people

00:10:17.400 would say that the government restrictions

00:10:19.060 are the problem for them personally.

00:10:22.020 You know, we've all been

00:10:23.080 sort of hypnotized into thinking

00:10:25.940 that what you do with the pandemic

00:10:28.220 is more about the collective.

00:10:30.800 It's not so much about your personal

00:10:33.100 what's good for you.

00:10:34.700 But if 90% of the country-ish,

00:10:37.940 or anything over 75%, I suppose,

00:10:40.680 thinks that the bigger problem

00:10:42.660 is the government than the virus,

00:10:45.480 I think that has to inform

00:10:46.840 your policymaking, right?

00:10:50.640 But I'm not sure it is.

00:10:53.500 So Rasmussen did a poll,

00:10:55.720 and they said,

00:10:56.200 did Joe Biden win fairly in 2020?

00:10:58.520 What do you think people said?

00:10:59.960 Well, 36% of the country still says no.

00:11:03.780 36% of the country

00:11:06.540 thinks we didn't have a fair election.

00:11:10.560 That's a lot.

00:11:12.700 How do you have a democracy

00:11:14.380 that stays intact

00:11:16.940 when 36% of the people

00:11:19.000 think that something happened?

00:11:21.780 But here's the good news,

00:11:24.180 or is it?

00:11:25.060 Depends on your point of view.

00:11:26.860 Apparently that number is lower

00:11:28.640 than it was just a few months ago,

00:11:31.180 or June, actually.

00:11:32.020 It was 41% in June,

00:11:35.020 but it's trended down a little bit.

00:11:37.000 Now that makes sense, right?

00:11:38.760 The longer you go

00:11:39.980 without proof of some massive fraud,

00:11:43.360 the less likely you're going to find it,

00:11:45.740 I would say.

00:11:46.880 Now, that doesn't mean it doesn't exist.

00:11:50.220 I'm just saying that

00:11:51.140 if the audits were going to produce something

00:11:53.860 that would change all our minds,

00:11:55.940 I know we'd know by now.

00:11:57.900 Even though they haven't released it officially,

00:11:59.900 we'd kind of know by now.

00:12:01.380 So, I'm not expecting that to happen.

00:12:04.260 But how do you live in a world

00:12:05.320 where so many people think

00:12:06.400 they don't even live in a system that's fair?

00:12:10.400 Maybe that's always been the case.

00:12:13.200 Yeah, maybe it's always been the case

00:12:14.840 that somebody's pointing out

00:12:16.900 you have to subtract out the 25% 1.00

00:12:19.120 who are wrong about everything.

00:12:21.740 No matter what the poll is,

00:12:23.680 25%-ish,

00:12:25.520 we'll just be wrong about everything.

00:12:26.700 And I'm not even sure

00:12:28.480 we should poll dumb people anymore. 0.79

00:12:30.860 There should be some

00:12:31.700 minimum level of paying attention

00:12:34.760 and intelligence

00:12:35.600 before you're even included in a poll.

00:12:38.220 Because do we need to know

00:12:39.620 what dumb people think?

00:12:40.900 I guess we do.

00:12:41.920 Because they make a lot of decisions.

00:12:44.380 All right.

00:12:46.560 Jack Posobiec got things

00:12:48.240 interesting on Twitter today

00:12:50.580 with this tweet.

00:12:52.060 He said,

00:12:52.460 literally every movie

00:12:53.880 is better than

00:12:54.620 The Last Jedi.

00:12:57.860 It's one of those

00:12:58.700 provocative kind of tweets.

00:13:00.100 He's good at doing.

00:13:01.180 You get a lot of comments.

00:13:02.920 But I'd like to add to that

00:13:04.640 Black Widow.

00:13:07.380 If you've tried to watch

00:13:08.780 the movie Black Widow

00:13:09.920 that just came out

00:13:10.700 on streaming,

00:13:11.900 oh my God,

00:13:12.660 it's terrible.

00:13:13.800 It's just,

00:13:14.380 it's just,

00:13:15.460 it just makes you feel bad.

00:13:17.940 I'm watching this thing

00:13:18.900 and I think,

00:13:19.600 wait a minute.

00:13:20.160 I thought I was signing up

00:13:22.000 for something

00:13:22.500 in the entertainment realm

00:13:25.100 as opposed to something

00:13:26.680 that's going to cause me

00:13:27.620 PTSD.

00:13:29.840 One of them

00:13:30.760 makes you happy.

00:13:32.500 It's called entertainment.

00:13:33.860 The other one

00:13:34.840 gives you mental illness. 0.73

00:13:37.100 Opposite of entertainment.

00:13:39.500 Black Widow,

00:13:41.100 if you've got any mental illness,

00:13:42.760 it's going to exacerbate that shit

00:13:44.180 because it's terrible.

00:13:45.920 It just makes you feel depressed

00:13:47.300 and dark and ugh.

00:13:48.640 Now,

00:13:50.620 here's the bigger point.

00:13:53.280 When was the last time

00:13:54.280 you saw a good movie?

00:13:56.980 It's like they don't exist.

00:13:58.660 Part of the problem is

00:13:59.400 our attention spans have shrunk.

00:14:02.500 And was it,

00:14:03.220 was it Mark Wahlberg?

00:14:05.200 No,

00:14:05.480 it was

00:14:05.680 Good Will Hunting,

00:14:08.840 what's the name of the

00:14:09.900 blonder guy? 0.59

00:14:11.300 Matt Damon.

00:14:11.880 Yeah,

00:14:12.100 Matt Damon was just saying publicly

00:14:13.780 that he doesn't think

00:14:15.280 his children will watch movies.

00:14:16.960 He doesn't think his children

00:14:20.120 will watch movies

00:14:22.100 like the industry

00:14:23.060 will just disappear.

00:14:24.720 Is he right?

00:14:26.420 Yeah,

00:14:26.880 I think he might be.

00:14:28.220 I don't think it'll disappear.

00:14:29.600 It'll be like radio,

00:14:30.740 you know,

00:14:31.000 when television came in.

00:14:32.020 It'll transform in some way.

00:14:33.860 So I think it'll be around.

00:14:35.380 But the idea of sitting there

00:14:37.020 for three hours

00:14:37.780 watching something

00:14:39.240 that gives you PTSD

00:14:40.400 just to make you

00:14:41.300 a little happier

00:14:41.860 at the end,

00:14:42.460 I just don't know

00:14:43.860 that anybody wants that anymore.

00:14:46.460 The whole idea

00:14:47.280 of anybody watching

00:14:48.140 anything at the same time

00:14:49.580 doesn't make sense.

00:14:51.720 Have you ever done this?

00:14:52.980 I think I've mentioned

00:14:53.740 this before.

00:14:54.700 So when I built my house

00:14:55.840 20,

00:14:58.000 let's say

00:14:58.500 2008 or so,

00:15:00.560 I was doing the planning.

00:15:02.260 And back then,

00:15:03.500 it was just a given

00:15:04.740 that if you were building

00:15:06.100 a high-end house,

00:15:08.100 you would put a theater

00:15:08.980 in there.

00:15:09.360 Because that would be

00:15:11.000 all your movie nights.

00:15:12.260 You know,

00:15:12.400 you'd have your friends over

00:15:13.460 and you'd have

00:15:14.660 a couple of martinis

00:15:15.540 and you'd sit down

00:15:16.400 and you'd watch

00:15:16.860 this great movie

00:15:17.700 and it'd be something

00:15:18.680 to build an evening around.

00:15:22.080 When was the last time

00:15:22.940 you tried to get anybody

00:15:23.900 to watch the same movie

00:15:25.020 at the same time?

00:15:27.440 It's really impossible now

00:15:29.240 because people have

00:15:30.520 either already seen it

00:15:31.580 as soon as it came out,

00:15:32.960 you know,

00:15:33.160 they streamed it or whatever,

00:15:34.980 or they don't want

00:15:36.160 to watch it

00:15:36.760 or they'll talk during it

00:15:38.580 because they said yes

00:15:39.640 but they're not

00:15:40.280 really interested in it.

00:15:42.360 Just the whole idea

00:15:43.600 of putting people

00:15:44.220 in a room

00:15:44.620 and watching a movie,

00:15:45.600 it just isn't

00:15:46.140 a thing anymore.

00:15:47.120 We're all watching

00:15:47.780 our own content

00:15:48.580 on our phones

00:15:49.300 and we're much happier

00:15:50.160 about it.

00:15:51.080 So I think movies

00:15:51.820 are going away.

00:15:52.640 Now here's

00:15:53.220 the interesting part.

00:15:55.180 You were probably

00:15:55.720 waiting for me

00:15:56.320 to get to the interesting part.

00:15:57.840 Is there an interesting

00:15:58.540 part about this?

00:16:00.040 Yes.

00:16:01.080 You might be aware

00:16:02.040 that the CIA

00:16:02.920 has used

00:16:05.340 the movie industry

00:16:06.300 for years

00:16:07.060 to brainwash

00:16:08.600 the public

00:16:09.140 to make you

00:16:10.580 more patriotic

00:16:11.420 for example

00:16:12.020 or to have

00:16:12.620 whatever traits

00:16:14.680 the government

00:16:15.360 thought you should have.

00:16:16.700 You know,

00:16:16.920 maybe more family-oriented

00:16:18.440 and blah, blah, blah.

00:16:21.020 But what happens

00:16:22.680 if movies go away?

00:16:24.560 Because movies

00:16:25.140 were the dominant way

00:16:26.420 in which,

00:16:27.280 and TV shows,

00:16:28.100 and I think the argument

00:16:29.100 is going to apply

00:16:29.980 to both of these domains,

00:16:31.300 but TV shows

00:16:33.300 and movies

00:16:33.920 were how

00:16:34.680 the government

00:16:36.140 created a culture.

00:16:38.120 They told you

00:16:39.040 what to act like

00:16:40.000 and then they showed you

00:16:41.500 in movies

00:16:41.960 and then you just

00:16:43.280 grew up thinking,

00:16:44.000 well, I guess

00:16:44.740 I act like that

00:16:45.620 because we,

00:16:46.980 you know,

00:16:47.320 we just imitate things.

00:16:49.080 What happens

00:16:49.660 when the programming

00:16:51.620 interface

00:16:52.340 for society

00:16:53.520 disappears?

00:16:55.380 What good

00:16:56.040 would your computer

00:16:56.780 be if there

00:16:57.840 was no interface?

00:16:59.220 The computer

00:16:59.840 would still exist

00:17:00.760 but there wouldn't

00:17:01.700 be any way

00:17:02.100 to program it.

00:17:03.780 That's happening.

00:17:05.720 The interface

00:17:06.780 for programming

00:17:07.480 the public

00:17:08.000 into one

00:17:08.800 coherent culture

00:17:10.760 is dissolving.

00:17:13.780 So what happens?

00:17:14.920 Who ends up

00:17:15.620 programming citizens?

00:17:18.580 School,

00:17:20.300 right?

00:17:21.400 School.

00:17:22.320 So in other words,

00:17:23.020 the teachers' unions

00:17:24.420 become the programmers

00:17:26.420 of society.

00:17:27.460 They get the young people.

00:17:29.140 But what about

00:17:29.740 the older people?

00:17:30.900 Well,

00:17:31.140 social media,

00:17:31.840 right,

00:17:32.260 in the comments.

00:17:33.400 Social media

00:17:34.020 is the new

00:17:34.720 programming entity.

00:17:36.700 But,

00:17:37.380 here's the question.

00:17:39.440 Is the CIA

00:17:40.860 manipulating

00:17:42.900 social media

00:17:43.820 for the same purpose

00:17:45.960 and in the same way

00:17:46.880 that they manipulated?

00:17:47.960 We know this now.

00:17:48.760 This is a matter of fact.

00:17:49.840 It's not speculation.

00:17:51.260 We know that they have

00:17:52.200 historically manipulated

00:17:53.300 movies

00:17:53.860 and probably TV shows.

00:17:56.260 I think that's confirmed.

00:17:57.460 Do you think that

00:17:59.160 they're consciously

00:18:00.080 trying to program

00:18:02.020 the public

00:18:02.840 through social media?

00:18:05.860 Now,

00:18:06.200 certainly,

00:18:06.840 they're involved

00:18:07.740 in specific questions.

00:18:09.720 You know,

00:18:09.880 maybe the vaccines

00:18:10.840 and maybe something

00:18:12.420 about a war

00:18:13.160 or something.

00:18:14.040 But do you think

00:18:14.580 just generally

00:18:15.400 they're programming you

00:18:16.400 to know what kind

00:18:17.780 of a life to lead?

00:18:18.820 Because it doesn't

00:18:21.560 look to me

00:18:22.440 like the CIA

00:18:24.640 is what's programming you.

00:18:26.840 Let me ask you this.

00:18:28.280 If the CIA

00:18:29.180 wanted to program you

00:18:30.860 to be a good citizen

00:18:32.000 and make the country

00:18:33.120 coherent

00:18:33.680 and, like,

00:18:35.020 feel like it had

00:18:35.600 one dominant culture,

00:18:38.220 would you see

00:18:39.180 what you see

00:18:39.700 on social media now?

00:18:42.200 No, right?

00:18:43.260 It's the opposite of that.

00:18:44.600 Social media

00:18:45.180 is ripping apart

00:18:46.340 the structure

00:18:47.740 of America

00:18:48.420 by emphasizing

00:18:49.900 our differences.

00:18:51.260 That's what it does best.

00:18:52.900 So,

00:18:53.640 although you can imagine

00:18:54.760 that the CIA

00:18:55.600 would move

00:18:56.700 its influence

00:18:57.520 and brainwashing 1.00

00:18:58.380 from movies and TV

00:18:59.560 that are collapsing

00:19:00.400 into social media

00:19:02.240 that's the dominant

00:19:03.120 media,

00:19:05.180 but it doesn't look

00:19:06.120 like it's happening

00:19:06.640 to me

00:19:07.160 because it would look

00:19:08.740 completely different.

00:19:09.580 In other words,

00:19:09.960 social media

00:19:10.440 would be telling you

00:19:11.500 to get a family

00:19:12.660 and, you know,

00:19:14.040 be a nuclear family

00:19:15.540 and pay your taxes

00:19:17.220 and, you know,

00:19:18.860 be open-minded

00:19:20.240 about stuff,

00:19:20.880 I guess.

00:19:21.840 But,

00:19:22.420 somebody says

00:19:24.820 AI is screwing us.

00:19:26.300 Yeah,

00:19:26.520 it could be

00:19:26.980 that the social media

00:19:27.880 platforms are driven

00:19:28.860 by AI,

00:19:30.260 the movies were driven

00:19:31.180 by human beings

00:19:32.240 behind the scenes.

00:19:34.000 So,

00:19:34.620 I believe that

00:19:35.140 we're being programmed

00:19:36.180 randomly

00:19:38.320 for the first time,

00:19:41.560 meaning that

00:19:42.100 there's not one

00:19:42.820 dominant program

00:19:44.020 or interface

00:19:44.980 that's programming us

00:19:46.000 as a culture.

00:19:47.300 We're just taking

00:19:48.220 inputs from everywhere.

00:19:49.740 Well,

00:19:49.940 what does that do?

00:19:51.340 Does that destroy

00:19:52.200 the country?

00:19:53.940 I feel like it might.

00:19:56.200 Like,

00:19:56.500 I don't feel like

00:19:57.380 it's cause and effect

00:19:59.280 and it's obvious

00:20:00.080 that that would destroy

00:20:01.100 the country,

00:20:01.580 but it might,

00:20:03.920 right?

00:20:05.340 Like,

00:20:05.700 I don't think

00:20:06.260 you can rule it out

00:20:07.220 because if the way

00:20:08.740 we think

00:20:09.480 as a country,

00:20:11.360 you know,

00:20:11.560 our dominant beliefs,

00:20:13.580 if those get out

00:20:15.060 of whack,

00:20:15.580 the whole country

00:20:16.060 falls apart.

00:20:17.120 There's nobody

00:20:17.600 who would doubt that,

00:20:18.360 right?

00:20:19.240 That if what you think

00:20:20.820 about the world,

00:20:22.400 your worldview,

00:20:23.420 if it gets all out

00:20:24.180 of whack,

00:20:24.760 the country falls apart.

00:20:27.300 Some would say

00:20:28.300 that the best asset

00:20:29.840 the United States

00:20:30.800 has ever had

00:20:31.660 is its narrative.

00:20:34.020 The narrative.

00:20:35.220 Meaning that

00:20:35.780 the story

00:20:36.400 of the United States.

00:20:38.440 And if you're not

00:20:39.980 citizen of the United States,

00:20:41.640 you probably recognize

00:20:42.840 that too.

00:20:43.800 I think the United States

00:20:44.820 becomes sort of a,

00:20:46.460 you know,

00:20:46.700 at least one model

00:20:47.660 that people look at

00:20:48.560 to say,

00:20:49.620 you know,

00:20:49.800 do we want to be

00:20:50.380 like that or not?

00:20:52.200 So,

00:20:52.840 we have a weird situation

00:20:54.520 in which we are

00:20:55.900 being randomly programmed

00:20:57.900 for the first time.

00:21:00.720 What happens?

00:21:01.980 Will there be

00:21:02.560 a dominant force

00:21:03.640 that rises

00:21:05.100 to program people?

00:21:06.740 Because the network

00:21:07.520 TV seems to be

00:21:08.920 doing that,

00:21:09.480 but it's separating

00:21:10.860 the left from the right,

00:21:12.080 which is all bad news.

00:21:14.980 So,

00:21:15.640 I feel as if

00:21:17.200 probably

00:21:17.980 some solution

00:21:19.480 will

00:21:19.980 evolve

00:21:21.780 just because

00:21:23.040 we need it,

00:21:23.860 but I don't know

00:21:24.980 what that will be.

00:21:26.040 It's hard to say.

00:21:26.880 I don't know

00:21:27.320 that it will be

00:21:27.940 influencers

00:21:28.660 on the internet

00:21:29.500 who are especially good.

00:21:31.240 Could be.

00:21:32.060 It could be that

00:21:32.760 people who are seen

00:21:33.580 as independent,

00:21:34.960 there are a few of them,

00:21:36.300 might get a bigger audience

00:21:37.780 and more influence.

00:21:39.100 I see in the comments

00:21:44.140 that the USA soccer team

00:21:45.680 needs to be programmed

00:21:46.840 or brainwashed,

00:21:48.220 I guess,

00:21:48.940 with the American story.

00:21:50.900 And I think you're right.

00:21:52.280 You're right.

00:21:53.180 That's a perfect example.

00:21:54.860 Watching our Olympic athletes

00:21:56.480 essentially ruin

00:21:57.660 a tradition

00:21:58.500 by turning it

00:22:00.280 into something else.

00:22:01.660 So you say

00:22:06.320 I should reset

00:22:07.040 my network settings

00:22:08.220 on my iPad.

00:22:09.440 Well,

00:22:09.640 I would if I could figure out

00:22:10.620 even how to,

00:22:11.740 well,

00:22:11.980 I want to reboot it first.

00:22:13.460 Can anybody tell me

00:22:14.060 how to reboot an iPad,

00:22:15.340 a modern one?

00:22:16.700 Because it used to be

00:22:17.400 you just hold

00:22:17.840 the power button,

00:22:18.780 but that seems

00:22:19.480 to have changed.

00:22:22.080 All right.

00:22:23.860 Here's some more

00:22:24.480 stuff happening.

00:22:26.100 I saw a tweet

00:22:27.060 from Balaji Srinivasan,

00:22:29.220 who you should follow,

00:22:30.260 by the way.

00:22:30.740 Follow Balaji Srinivasan.

00:22:33.900 Just trust me.

00:22:35.360 When I give you

00:22:36.280 recommendations

00:22:36.900 of who to follow

00:22:37.820 on Twitter,

00:22:39.060 it's based on this,

00:22:40.740 that if you follow me,

00:22:42.520 you're almost certainly

00:22:43.600 going to like

00:22:44.380 who I recommend

00:22:45.100 because they're

00:22:46.080 feeding into my

00:22:47.140 worldview

00:22:47.860 in a strong way.

00:22:49.260 One of them

00:22:49.680 is Balaji.

00:22:50.780 So his first name

00:22:51.760 is spelled

00:22:52.100 B-A-L-A-J-I. 1.00

00:22:55.720 And just search

00:22:56.280 for Balaji Srinivasan

00:22:57.920 and you'll find him.

00:22:59.020 Anyway,

00:22:59.380 he tweeted today

00:23:00.020 that,

00:23:01.100 and by the way,

00:23:01.900 his tweets

00:23:02.400 would be on

00:23:02.840 a whole variety

00:23:04.060 of topics,

00:23:06.640 but if you just

00:23:07.480 want to see

00:23:07.860 what one of the

00:23:08.480 smartest people

00:23:09.100 on the planet

00:23:09.760 thinks about stuff,

00:23:12.600 it's worth doing.

00:23:15.260 Because trust me,

00:23:16.480 he's one of the

00:23:17.100 smartest people

00:23:17.800 like on the whole

00:23:18.580 freaking planet.

00:23:19.500 He knows more

00:23:20.180 about more things

00:23:21.160 than just about

00:23:22.480 anybody you know,

00:23:23.220 like more domains

00:23:24.180 than you've ever seen.

00:23:26.580 So just follow him.

00:23:27.300 He talks about today

00:23:28.300 in the tweet

00:23:28.800 that China 0.93

00:23:29.800 has made drone armies

00:23:32.440 ten times cheaper.

00:23:34.320 And it's a trend

00:23:34.920 to watch.

00:23:36.080 There's a company,

00:23:36.920 AVEX,

00:23:37.500 I guess it must be

00:23:38.440 a Chinese company,

00:23:39.540 where their

00:23:40.240 top-end drones

00:23:41.560 run for

00:23:42.440 one to two million

00:23:43.460 dollars a piece.

00:23:44.540 Now,

00:23:44.720 I'm not talking about,

00:23:45.540 you know,

00:23:45.780 the little handheld drones

00:23:46.960 that hobbyists have.

00:23:48.620 I'm talking about

00:23:49.180 the big flying ones

00:23:50.600 that look like

00:23:51.120 an airplane

00:23:51.540 and they have missiles

00:23:53.160 for one to two

00:23:55.440 million dollars.

00:23:57.560 In other words,

00:23:58.720 I could afford one.

00:24:02.140 Right?

00:24:02.880 You know,

00:24:03.360 I'm rich enough.

00:24:04.580 I mean,

00:24:04.880 I probably won't buy one.

00:24:06.140 But I could buy

00:24:07.520 a missile-armed

00:24:10.520 Chinese drone.

00:24:13.060 I can literally

00:24:13.840 personally afford it.

00:24:15.020 What the hell

00:24:17.680 is going to happen

00:24:18.680 when the rest of you

00:24:19.780 can afford it?

00:24:22.620 It's not going to be good.

00:24:24.720 I think the cost

00:24:25.820 of a deadly drone

00:24:27.780 is going to be

00:24:28.560 sub-$1,000.

00:24:30.820 Pretty sure.

00:24:32.340 Sub-$1,000.

00:24:33.940 Now,

00:24:34.260 I'm not talking about

00:24:35.000 the big military-looking

00:24:36.660 drones that are

00:24:37.480 the size of an airplane.

00:24:38.540 I'm talking about

00:24:39.060 the small ones.

00:24:40.400 And I wrote about this

00:24:41.460 a long time ago,

00:24:43.600 20 years ago.

00:24:44.220 And as soon as

00:24:46.560 you can get...

00:24:47.440 Could I rent it

00:24:48.340 from you?

00:24:49.400 That would be

00:24:49.940 a good business.

00:24:51.040 I'll buy one drone

00:24:52.000 and just rent it out

00:24:52.820 for $100,000 a pop.

00:24:54.880 It'll get a lot

00:24:55.600 of customers.

00:24:56.660 Want to kill your rival?

00:24:58.580 Borrow my drone.

00:25:01.120 $100,000

00:25:02.020 and you can take

00:25:03.300 out anybody anywhere.

00:25:07.160 All right.

00:25:08.020 So, yeah,

00:25:09.420 we're going to see

00:25:10.060 swarms of small drones

00:25:13.480 that explode

00:25:14.280 when they reach

00:25:15.200 a destination.

00:25:16.200 There's no way

00:25:16.780 that's not going

00:25:17.400 to happen.

00:25:19.200 Let me give you

00:25:19.940 some of my arguments

00:25:21.000 that my critics

00:25:21.800 are making about me.

00:25:23.160 I know you don't...

00:25:24.320 Let me be honest

00:25:26.580 with you a little bit.

00:25:28.140 The news is

00:25:29.040 freaking boring,

00:25:30.080 isn't it?

00:25:31.900 Now,

00:25:32.200 I know that a lot

00:25:32.860 of you have been

00:25:33.420 blaming me

00:25:34.160 for being

00:25:35.460 less interesting

00:25:36.480 lately.

00:25:38.020 I cop to that.

00:25:40.260 I'm totally

00:25:41.680 less interesting.

00:25:43.000 But it's because

00:25:43.520 most of my show

00:25:44.700 is based on the news

00:25:45.720 and the news

00:25:46.500 just without Trump.

00:25:48.720 Ugh.

00:25:49.900 I mean,

00:25:50.540 I suppose Obama

00:25:51.580 would be more interesting.

00:25:53.280 But Biden just...

00:25:54.980 There's nothing

00:25:55.580 to talk about.

00:25:57.160 So,

00:25:58.060 I apologize.

00:26:00.460 I expect

00:26:01.500 that things

00:26:01.980 will heat up

00:26:02.620 especially as we

00:26:03.480 get into the

00:26:04.280 midterm elections

00:26:06.660 and stuff.

00:26:07.000 so there will be

00:26:07.620 fun things ahead.

00:26:09.280 But

00:26:09.440 my

00:26:11.340 subscribers

00:26:12.220 on Locals

00:26:12.940 have started

00:26:13.440 bailing out

00:26:14.360 because anytime

00:26:15.220 I mention

00:26:15.820 vaccines and stuff

00:26:17.740 you're like,

00:26:18.080 ah,

00:26:18.360 stop talking about it.

00:26:19.760 But it's kind of

00:26:20.420 the only news.

00:26:21.860 It's the only thing

00:26:22.760 happening.

00:26:24.080 And so I'm going

00:26:24.900 to mention it

00:26:25.300 a little bit

00:26:25.820 but I'll try

00:26:27.500 to keep it

00:26:28.040 tight

00:26:29.240 and hit some

00:26:30.840 topics you

00:26:32.020 haven't seen before.

00:26:33.100 All right.

00:26:34.360 One of my critics

00:26:35.440 or a lot of my critics

00:26:36.640 say,

00:26:37.000 one of my problems

00:26:38.200 is that I never

00:26:38.940 question the motives

00:26:39.940 of government.

00:26:41.460 That I assume

00:26:42.620 too often

00:26:43.120 that people

00:26:43.540 have good

00:26:44.160 motivations

00:26:44.900 and that they're

00:26:46.180 not trying to

00:26:46.800 put one over

00:26:47.440 on you.

00:26:48.500 Does that sound

00:26:49.100 accurate?

00:26:50.060 Those of you

00:26:50.760 who watch me

00:26:51.280 the most,

00:26:52.320 would you say

00:26:52.860 it is an

00:26:53.360 accurate

00:26:53.980 criticism

00:26:56.380 that I'm

00:26:58.040 too trusting

00:26:58.760 of authority?

00:27:01.540 I'm seeing

00:27:02.180 people say

00:27:02.640 it's accurate.

00:27:03.980 But most people

00:27:04.760 say it's no.

00:27:05.320 Now let me

00:27:07.080 give you some

00:27:07.540 background.

00:27:08.660 Who was the

00:27:09.200 first public

00:27:10.100 figure to tell

00:27:11.180 you that the

00:27:12.320 CDC who

00:27:13.680 and the

00:27:14.460 Surgeon General

00:27:15.100 were lying to

00:27:15.980 you about masks

00:27:17.040 and the real

00:27:17.900 reason was to

00:27:18.660 keep you from

00:27:19.220 hoarding them?

00:27:20.360 Who was the

00:27:20.920 first public

00:27:21.760 figure that I'm

00:27:23.580 aware of in the

00:27:24.240 world to say

00:27:24.840 that?

00:27:25.480 It was me.

00:27:26.460 It was me.

00:27:27.200 The very first

00:27:27.900 thing I said

00:27:28.360 about the

00:27:28.720 pandemic is all

00:27:29.680 of your

00:27:29.960 authorities are

00:27:30.580 lying to you.

00:27:31.120 And what

00:27:33.120 do we know

00:27:33.500 now?

00:27:34.180 Completely

00:27:34.580 right.

00:27:36.060 Completely

00:27:36.500 right.

00:27:36.980 All of our

00:27:37.400 authorities were

00:27:38.020 lying to us

00:27:39.140 and for exactly

00:27:40.020 the reason I

00:27:40.580 told you.

00:27:41.680 That I

00:27:42.000 suspected they

00:27:42.720 had another

00:27:43.200 motive.

00:27:43.960 And sure

00:27:44.200 enough.

00:27:45.420 All right.

00:27:45.700 Who was one

00:27:46.760 of, there

00:27:47.500 were a few

00:27:47.820 of us, but

00:27:48.480 who was one

00:27:49.040 of the first

00:27:49.600 people who

00:27:50.700 told you that

00:27:51.320 our authorities

00:27:51.880 were fucking 0.91

00:27:52.620 up by not

00:27:53.880 closing travel to

00:27:56.100 China sooner? 0.93

00:27:58.080 Who told you

00:27:58.920 that they were

00:27:59.460 making their

00:28:00.020 decisions for

00:28:00.800 apparently political

00:28:02.000 reasons instead

00:28:03.200 of medical

00:28:03.640 reasons?

00:28:04.860 Me.

00:28:06.040 Right.

00:28:06.380 A week before

00:28:07.020 Trump said it,

00:28:08.400 I said it very

00:28:09.600 loudly, screaming

00:28:11.060 into the live

00:28:11.820 stream that I

00:28:13.600 didn't trust our

00:28:14.820 authorities because

00:28:16.960 they were making

00:28:17.380 decisions for

00:28:18.080 apparently the

00:28:18.600 wrong reasons.

00:28:19.900 Some kind of

00:28:21.560 political

00:28:22.560 considerations.

00:28:24.620 Right.

00:28:25.280 So, and I

00:28:27.240 don't think that

00:28:27.780 there's been any

00:28:28.520 time when I've

00:28:29.360 ever trusted

00:28:30.120 either the

00:28:31.200 science or

00:28:32.960 the government.

00:28:34.240 So anybody

00:28:34.840 who thinks

00:28:35.260 that's a valid

00:28:36.080 criticism of

00:28:36.980 the most

00:28:37.460 famous skeptic

00:28:39.620 of management,

00:28:41.640 literally 30

00:28:42.820 years of

00:28:43.540 experience telling

00:28:45.120 you that

00:28:45.540 management is

00:28:46.180 lying to you.

00:28:46.840 That's what

00:28:47.160 the Dilbert

00:28:47.540 comic is.

00:28:48.800 It's telling

00:28:49.500 you that you

00:28:49.980 can't trust

00:28:50.440 authority.

00:28:51.240 It's my

00:28:51.780 brand.

00:28:53.280 And my

00:28:53.620 critics are

00:28:54.100 saying,

00:28:54.360 well, you're

00:28:55.160 a little too

00:28:55.560 trusting of

00:28:56.120 authority, Scott.

00:28:58.080 Deep insight

00:28:58.940 there.

00:29:00.100 How about

00:29:00.560 I've been

00:29:02.020 promoting

00:29:02.460 vaccinations.

00:29:04.420 How many

00:29:05.000 times do I

00:29:05.480 have to tell

00:29:05.880 you, I

00:29:06.140 don't care if

00:29:06.580 you get

00:29:06.840 vaccinated.

00:29:08.180 It's a

00:29:08.720 personal decision.

00:29:09.820 Your risk

00:29:10.480 profile is not

00:29:11.260 the same as

00:29:11.720 mine.

00:29:12.440 That's the

00:29:12.720 other thing

00:29:13.060 people say.

00:29:14.000 Scott, you

00:29:14.620 never mention

00:29:15.240 that people

00:29:15.640 have different

00:29:16.160 risk profiles.

00:29:17.020 No, I

00:29:17.260 mention it

00:29:17.680 every fucking

00:29:18.180 day.

00:29:18.460 All right.

00:29:19.520 one is that

00:29:24.300 I fail to

00:29:25.760 recognize the

00:29:27.460 things we

00:29:28.400 learned by

00:29:28.840 the Sweden

00:29:29.360 model.

00:29:30.860 And so

00:29:31.060 somehow I

00:29:31.820 alone am

00:29:33.220 the one

00:29:33.540 person who

00:29:34.020 doesn't

00:29:34.320 understand that

00:29:35.020 Sweden has

00:29:35.580 taught us

00:29:35.920 something.

00:29:36.960 Let me

00:29:37.280 teach you

00:29:37.640 something.

00:29:38.860 None of

00:29:39.360 the countries

00:29:39.800 tell us

00:29:40.260 anything.

00:29:41.420 None of

00:29:41.780 them.

00:29:42.260 There's no

00:29:42.720 country you

00:29:43.240 can look at

00:29:43.820 and say,

00:29:44.480 oh, look at

00:29:45.040 their experience.

00:29:46.620 So now we

00:29:47.300 know what to

00:29:47.700 do, what

00:29:48.120 works and what

00:29:48.640 doesn't.

00:29:48.940 That doesn't

00:29:49.340 exist.

00:29:50.520 Not Sweden. 0.85

00:29:52.000 Not anywhere.

00:29:53.380 We really

00:29:53.940 don't know why

00:29:54.540 any country is

00:29:55.260 doing anything.

00:29:56.280 We see them

00:29:56.900 going up and

00:29:57.500 down independent

00:29:58.560 of policy.

00:30:01.080 We don't know

00:30:01.580 why anything is

00:30:02.260 happening.

00:30:03.540 So Sweden is

00:30:04.460 just one of the

00:30:05.440 countries that

00:30:06.580 we don't

00:30:06.940 understand why

00:30:07.560 anything is

00:30:07.900 happening.

00:30:09.000 That's it.

00:30:09.900 And that's your

00:30:10.340 criticism.

00:30:11.200 Your criticism is

00:30:12.140 that you don't

00:30:12.620 understand that

00:30:14.360 one country's

00:30:15.140 experience doesn't

00:30:15.940 mean anything.

00:30:17.100 We can't tell

00:30:17.700 anything from

00:30:18.620 it.

00:30:19.300 We think we

00:30:19.820 can.

00:30:20.020 It's just an

00:30:20.480 illusion.

00:30:22.940 And then this

00:30:23.860 one.

00:30:24.400 Somebody said on

00:30:25.340 YouTube yesterday,

00:30:27.240 Scott spends

00:30:28.260 nearly half of

00:30:28.940 every podcast

00:30:30.180 directing attention

00:30:31.520 to vaccines.

00:30:32.460 Well, I mean,

00:30:33.260 that's everybody

00:30:34.040 in the news.

00:30:35.360 He doesn't try to

00:30:36.300 persuade against

00:30:36.960 lockdowns or

00:30:37.800 mask mandates.

00:30:39.200 Is that true?

00:30:39.700 Would you say

00:30:41.340 that I don't

00:30:42.000 try to persuade

00:30:43.540 against lockdowns,

00:30:45.460 the new ones,

00:30:45.960 and I don't

00:30:47.160 try to persuade

00:30:48.240 against mask

00:30:50.200 mandates,

00:30:51.340 the mandate

00:30:51.740 part.

00:30:52.820 Is that true?

00:30:55.080 Well, it may be

00:30:56.280 that it's true in

00:30:57.480 terms of what I

00:30:58.000 talk about the

00:30:58.600 most, but that

00:30:59.400 has more to do

00:30:59.980 with what's more

00:31:00.500 interesting.

00:31:01.240 It's not what I'm

00:31:02.140 trying to, it's not

00:31:03.020 my worldview, it's

00:31:04.000 just what's more

00:31:04.540 interesting at the

00:31:05.220 moment.

00:31:05.420 So let me say

00:31:06.620 it directly.

00:31:08.600 Lockdowns look like

00:31:09.400 a bad idea to

00:31:10.260 me.

00:31:11.420 Is that clear

00:31:12.160 enough?

00:31:13.980 Lockdowns now,

00:31:15.680 and especially

00:31:16.540 anything stopping

00:31:17.960 kids from going

00:31:18.640 to school, it

00:31:20.180 looks like a bad

00:31:20.920 idea to me.

00:31:23.920 Is there any

00:31:24.740 ambiguity in that?

00:31:26.420 To me, it looks

00:31:27.780 like a really bad

00:31:28.620 idea.

00:31:29.420 And the reason

00:31:29.940 is that when you

00:31:31.460 get to the point

00:31:31.940 where everybody

00:31:32.460 can have a vaccine

00:31:33.280 if they want it,

00:31:34.100 it's just freedom.

00:31:36.900 It's just a

00:31:37.420 freedom question.

00:31:38.520 Let me put it in

00:31:39.160 context.

00:31:41.040 We lose 480,000

00:31:43.620 people a year to

00:31:44.580 cigarette smoking.

00:31:46.360 That's how many

00:31:46.920 people die in the

00:31:47.680 United States in

00:31:49.200 one year from

00:31:50.760 cigarettes.

00:31:52.980 480,000.

00:31:54.460 Has anybody ever

00:31:55.300 complained about

00:31:56.240 cigarette smokers

00:31:57.720 hurting the

00:31:59.080 capacity of

00:31:59.880 emergency rooms?

00:32:01.800 No.

00:32:02.760 Because it's just

00:32:03.280 built in.

00:32:04.100 We just assume

00:32:05.040 there'll be X

00:32:05.580 number of deaths

00:32:06.200 per year, so you

00:32:07.760 build the capacity

00:32:08.500 that handles it.

00:32:09.980 Maybe, and it's

00:32:11.400 looking like this

00:32:12.100 is the case, we're

00:32:13.200 in a permanent

00:32:13.820 pandemic, meaning

00:32:15.660 that people don't

00:32:16.460 want to get

00:32:16.800 vaccinated, and

00:32:17.520 even people who

00:32:18.180 do, it's just

00:32:19.580 going to be here

00:32:20.040 forever, or the

00:32:20.980 variant will, or

00:32:21.940 the next one will

00:32:22.920 get out of the

00:32:23.440 lab.

00:32:24.120 We're just sort

00:32:24.880 of in a permanent

00:32:25.660 pandemic world.

00:32:28.360 So wouldn't it

00:32:29.060 make more sense to

00:32:30.040 expand our hospital

00:32:31.160 resources so that we

00:32:32.860 can handle the next

00:32:33.800 pandemic, if not

00:32:34.760 this one, better?

00:32:37.580 Maybe we have some

00:32:38.280 way to quickly

00:32:39.060 expand and

00:32:39.880 contract.

00:32:41.280 So I think

00:32:41.700 hospitals are going 0.69

00:32:42.380 to have to evolve

00:32:43.100 until it's just

00:32:44.360 routine.

00:32:45.480 I mean, it might

00:32:46.020 be a routine

00:32:46.640 surge, like they

00:32:48.360 know how to surge

00:32:49.400 quickly for capacity.

00:32:50.780 That might be the

00:32:51.620 only routine part,

00:32:52.800 but it's fine.

00:32:54.020 That would work.

00:32:55.360 Right?

00:32:55.480 So my opinion is

00:32:59.040 open everything, try

00:33:01.260 to adjust the

00:33:01.860 hospitals as well

00:33:03.080 as you can.

00:33:04.220 You've got freedom,

00:33:05.280 you've got people

00:33:05.840 dying, but it was

00:33:06.820 their choices.

00:33:07.820 It was their

00:33:08.200 choices.

00:33:09.020 So if you think I'm

00:33:10.300 in favor of

00:33:11.060 lockdowns, you're

00:33:11.920 very wrong.

00:33:13.260 I was in favor of

00:33:14.700 lockdowns for two

00:33:15.600 weeks.

00:33:16.780 The first time we

00:33:17.680 tried it, it was

00:33:18.280 just an experiment.

00:33:19.600 And I thought that

00:33:20.360 the cost benefit of

00:33:22.560 at least finding

00:33:23.300 out if it made a

00:33:24.160 difference was, you

00:33:25.720 know, pretty

00:33:26.180 favorable.

00:33:26.880 But then we found

00:33:27.740 that it didn't make

00:33:28.400 a difference.

00:33:29.820 So now we have

00:33:30.440 new information.

00:33:32.380 As far as mask

00:33:33.480 mandates, again,

00:33:35.180 same problem.

00:33:36.860 I don't think

00:33:37.580 vaccinated people

00:33:38.420 should have masks.

00:33:40.160 And because I'm

00:33:41.040 vaccinated, I don't 0.98

00:33:41.880 care if you wear a

00:33:42.560 mask, whether you're

00:33:43.780 vaccinated or not.

00:33:45.640 So could I be more

00:33:47.180 clear that mask

00:33:48.300 mandates, not only do

00:33:49.960 I resist, but I

00:33:51.520 actively recommend

00:33:52.620 you resist them.

00:33:54.420 That my plan is to

00:33:57.980 go into places that

00:33:58.960 require masks,

00:34:00.000 assuming that that

00:34:00.820 gets implemented

00:34:01.600 where I live.

00:34:02.420 It hasn't happened

00:34:02.920 yet.

00:34:03.620 Looks like it's

00:34:04.140 close.

00:34:05.020 But my plan is to

00:34:05.980 not wear a mask in

00:34:07.900 any place that says

00:34:08.860 you need a mask.

00:34:10.460 And then I'm going

00:34:11.220 to have them ask me

00:34:12.120 to leave or ask me

00:34:13.920 to put on a mask.

00:34:15.320 And then I'm going

00:34:15.980 to be polite.

00:34:17.280 And I'm going to do

00:34:17.920 as asked.

00:34:18.680 Either leave or put

00:34:19.540 on a mask.

00:34:20.320 And I'm not going

00:34:20.840 to make a hard time

00:34:21.500 for the employee,

00:34:22.540 because it's not

00:34:23.020 the employee's fault.

00:34:24.220 I'm just going to

00:34:24.920 make it a little bit

00:34:26.060 more friction to do

00:34:28.140 ordinary business.

00:34:29.420 That's all.

00:34:30.320 Just a little friction.

00:34:31.500 And if other people

00:34:32.360 do the same, then I

00:34:34.440 think the mask mandate

00:34:35.380 just falls apart.

00:34:37.280 And it wouldn't take

00:34:37.880 many of us.

00:34:38.680 Maybe 10% of us

00:34:39.720 would be all it would

00:34:40.340 take.

00:34:40.800 Because the employees

00:34:41.620 would be spending all

00:34:42.600 their time managing

00:34:44.700 mask mandates and

00:34:46.580 they don't want to do

00:34:47.160 that.

00:34:47.560 They don't have any

00:34:48.080 authority.

00:34:48.680 They're either going

00:34:49.140 to get in fights

00:34:49.900 and they're not

00:34:50.940 going to sell

00:34:51.340 those mods.

00:34:51.960 I mean, nothing

00:34:52.420 good about it.

00:34:54.060 So is there anybody

00:34:56.020 else who's telling

00:34:56.860 you to resist and

00:34:58.380 actually violate the

00:34:59.660 guidelines?

00:35:00.760 I'm telling you to

00:35:01.700 violate the guidelines

00:35:02.640 directly, in public.

00:35:04.780 So could that be

00:35:06.120 more clear?

00:35:07.240 Does anybody have

00:35:07.980 any questions?

00:35:09.040 I'm telling you to

00:35:09.680 violate the guidelines.

00:35:12.520 I can't be more

00:35:13.620 clear than that.

00:35:14.200 All right.

00:35:17.480 Apparently, there's

00:35:18.100 more pessimism on

00:35:19.260 solving COVID.

00:35:20.980 It used to be, it

00:35:21.800 wasn't long ago, in

00:35:22.560 June, I guess, 89% of

00:35:25.180 people said the

00:35:26.040 pandemic was going in

00:35:27.900 the right direction.

00:35:28.700 We were getting out

00:35:29.240 of it.

00:35:29.920 But now only 45% say

00:35:31.680 that.

00:35:32.860 And I think that's the

00:35:33.820 right thing.

00:35:34.900 Meaning that it makes

00:35:36.100 sense that the public

00:35:37.040 doesn't think this is

00:35:38.060 going to end.

00:35:39.040 Because at the moment,

00:35:40.500 it doesn't look like

00:35:41.360 it's ever going to end,

00:35:42.220 does it?

00:35:42.560 It looks like we're

00:35:43.820 in a permademic,

00:35:46.220 permanent pandemic.

00:35:47.960 Because if it's not

00:35:48.760 this one, it's the

00:35:49.700 next variant.

00:35:51.160 If it's not the next

00:35:51.940 variant, it's the

00:35:52.840 next virus.

00:35:54.260 Because this isn't the

00:35:55.260 last fucking thing

00:35:56.060 that's getting out of

00:35:56.700 a lab, right?

00:35:58.960 Does anybody think,

00:36:00.020 well, I'm glad we

00:36:01.320 fixed that problem of

00:36:02.500 viruses getting out of

00:36:03.520 labs?

00:36:04.640 No.

00:36:05.380 No.

00:36:05.720 It's going to happen

00:36:06.180 again.

00:36:06.780 We'll have another,

00:36:07.580 probably lots of them.

00:36:09.300 So, unfortunately,

00:36:10.720 we're going to have to

00:36:11.100 learn how to live with

00:36:12.040 that.

00:36:12.200 So it makes sense

00:36:13.060 that people are less

00:36:13.800 optimistic.

00:36:15.040 But here's a question

00:36:15.980 I have.

00:36:17.260 And this is a serious

00:36:18.140 question.

00:36:19.920 Given that we know,

00:36:21.060 here are the things

00:36:21.600 we know.

00:36:22.180 That the vaccinations

00:36:23.160 apparently lose

00:36:24.200 effectiveness a lot

00:36:25.280 faster than we

00:36:26.020 thought.

00:36:26.900 That's new information.

00:36:28.680 And we know that it

00:36:30.040 seems that the most

00:36:31.880 lasting protection

00:36:33.080 would be actual

00:36:34.000 infection.

00:36:35.140 But you don't want

00:36:36.100 to get an actual

00:36:36.800 infection because you

00:36:37.680 might get long COVID

00:36:38.660 and it might kill you.

00:36:40.340 Right?

00:36:40.500 I mean, it might kill

00:36:41.320 you or you might get

00:36:42.120 long COVID or both.

00:36:44.400 So you don't want an 0.98

00:36:45.760 infection under normal

00:36:46.820 circumstances.

00:36:47.480 But what if you know

00:36:49.360 you're going to get an

00:36:50.260 infection?

00:36:51.400 And I feel like that's

00:36:52.540 where we're at, but

00:36:53.480 nobody's saying it

00:36:54.220 directly from the

00:36:55.120 government.

00:36:55.880 I feel as if we're all

00:36:58.080 going to get COVID.

00:36:59.000 I don't see any way

00:37:00.000 around it, given the

00:37:01.400 current state of

00:37:02.120 information.

00:37:02.940 Because we don't have a

00:37:04.000 vaccine that would stop

00:37:05.060 it.

00:37:05.280 And we don't have a

00:37:07.740 way to really run a

00:37:09.020 world without us getting

00:37:10.620 together enough and

00:37:11.540 traveling enough that

00:37:12.360 we'll all get it.

00:37:13.900 Just all of us.

00:37:15.340 And so if you're all

00:37:16.040 going to get it, here's

00:37:17.480 my question.

00:37:18.780 Shouldn't we have a

00:37:19.640 strategy that recognizes

00:37:21.620 the obvious, that we're

00:37:23.280 all going to get it?

00:37:24.700 Or something has to be

00:37:26.100 invented to stop it, which

00:37:28.900 I'm not aware of anything

00:37:30.180 like that.

00:37:30.800 That's coming close.

00:37:32.780 Rapid tests would only

00:37:33.960 slow it down.

00:37:35.500 They do a good job of

00:37:36.600 slowing it down, but the

00:37:38.140 moment you stop doing

00:37:39.520 your rapid tests, you'd be

00:37:41.320 right back where you

00:37:42.000 were.

00:37:42.760 It looks like.

00:37:43.820 I mean, nobody can

00:37:44.700 predict that with

00:37:45.560 certainty, but I think

00:37:46.860 the rapid tests would get

00:37:48.140 you to just a slower

00:37:50.900 infections.

00:37:52.840 Now, do you want slower

00:37:54.120 infections or faster

00:37:55.300 infections?

00:37:56.420 It seems to me that my

00:37:57.720 best personal strategy,

00:37:59.280 which is different from a

00:38:00.180 national strategy, right?

00:38:02.340 What you do for yourself,

00:38:03.960 doesn't have to be exactly

00:38:05.540 the same as what you

00:38:06.740 might want for the

00:38:07.560 country or other people

00:38:08.560 to do.

00:38:09.480 My personal best thing I

00:38:11.720 could do, I think, and

00:38:13.100 I'm going to ask for a

00:38:14.220 medical fact check on this

00:38:15.420 because I'm not a doctor,

00:38:16.920 so don't listen to me on

00:38:17.960 medical stuff.

00:38:19.380 But given that I was

00:38:21.180 recently vaccinated, given

00:38:23.360 my age and comorbidities,

00:38:25.520 and given the fact that I'm

00:38:27.260 at the peak of my vaccine's

00:38:30.220 effectiveness right now,

00:38:32.640 shouldn't I get infected

00:38:33.840 intentionally?

00:38:36.000 Because that's the safest

00:38:37.860 way for me to get the

00:38:39.700 virus that I'm going to get

00:38:41.980 one way or the other.

00:38:43.220 If you only have two choices,

00:38:46.000 get the virus when you're the

00:38:48.200 safest or get it when you're

00:38:49.520 the least safe, why wouldn't

00:38:51.800 you get it when you're the

00:38:52.580 safest?

00:38:52.820 Now, that's a question

00:38:56.120 because obviously if you give

00:38:57.500 yourself, you know, access to

00:38:59.200 the virus, even with the

00:39:00.520 vaccine, could you get long

00:39:02.360 COVID?

00:39:02.940 Could you get some long-term

00:39:03.900 problem?

00:39:04.780 I don't know.

00:39:05.820 Maybe.

00:39:06.320 It's part of the risk.

00:39:07.440 Could the vaccination itself

00:39:08.740 kill you?

00:39:09.260 Yeah.

00:39:09.780 Sure.

00:39:10.720 I mean, maybe.

00:39:11.900 Not likely.

00:39:12.880 But it could happen.

00:39:16.140 So I guess what I don't

00:39:18.960 understand is that the

00:39:19.960 country doesn't have a

00:39:21.380 strategy that's coherent.

00:39:24.480 If we had a plan to get

00:39:26.140 rid of COVID, that'd be

00:39:28.060 great.

00:39:28.760 But we don't, do we?

00:39:29.820 Because we don't have a

00:39:30.560 vaccine that'll do it.

00:39:31.620 We don't have one on the

00:39:32.600 way that will do it.

00:39:34.860 Therapeutics won't do it.

00:39:37.480 We don't have a plan for

00:39:39.220 just avoiding it.

00:39:40.940 So if the only plan is that

00:39:42.460 we're going to get it,

00:39:44.340 shouldn't they be telling

00:39:45.260 us to load up on

00:39:46.380 therapeutics if any of them

00:39:47.860 work and to get your

00:39:49.760 vaccine, vaccination

00:39:51.340 and get infected as soon

00:39:52.720 as possible?

00:39:54.020 Yeah.

00:39:54.500 Your government can't

00:39:55.360 tell you to do that,

00:39:56.160 right?

00:39:56.900 I've been telling you from

00:39:57.860 the beginning that the

00:39:58.660 government is great at

00:40:00.400 some stuff, but one of

00:40:02.380 the things they can't do

00:40:03.680 is tell you to do

00:40:05.260 something that could kill

00:40:06.200 you, unless it's, you

00:40:07.800 know, war.

00:40:08.860 If it's a war, they can

00:40:09.840 tell you to go to war and 0.95

00:40:10.840 some of you die.

00:40:12.060 But for lifestyle stuff,

00:40:15.240 the government just has to

00:40:16.240 avoid killing people.

00:40:17.540 That's it.

00:40:18.820 They don't care about your

00:40:19.720 freedom, because they're

00:40:21.000 not going to be measured

00:40:21.980 on that.

00:40:22.960 They're going to be

00:40:23.420 measured on how many

00:40:24.160 people die.

00:40:25.200 So the government doesn't

00:40:26.380 have the right incentive

00:40:27.420 relative to what the

00:40:29.580 people want to be in

00:40:31.200 charge.

00:40:32.100 I've told you this before.

00:40:33.600 The citizens are going to

00:40:35.480 have to take control of the

00:40:37.480 pandemic with the help of

00:40:39.800 the government and science

00:40:40.900 and all the information we

00:40:42.060 can get.

00:40:42.400 But you have to have the

00:40:43.940 right people making the

00:40:44.860 decision.

00:40:46.560 And at the moment, the

00:40:47.380 right people to make the

00:40:48.340 decision are not the

00:40:49.380 government.

00:40:50.420 And I think that's rare.

00:40:51.820 It's hard to think of other

00:40:52.880 examples where the

00:40:53.740 government should not make

00:40:54.720 your decision.

00:40:55.780 They are, after all,

00:40:56.760 elected representatives-ish.

00:41:00.380 That's another topic.

00:41:01.880 They're elected, sort of.

00:41:06.020 But I think we just have to

00:41:07.440 acknowledge the obvious.

00:41:08.980 Let's acknowledge the

00:41:09.840 obvious.

00:41:10.100 The citizens should be in

00:41:11.640 charge of this decision.

00:41:12.660 And if Joe Biden just took a

00:41:15.160 poll and said, look, the

00:41:17.640 government doesn't quite have

00:41:18.960 the right structure for this

00:41:20.900 decision, I'm just going to

00:41:21.920 look at the polls.

00:41:23.320 If you guys and people and

00:41:26.440 all of you they's, if you want

00:41:28.680 to go back to work, if you want

00:41:30.240 to take the risk because you at

00:41:31.780 least have the option of the

00:41:33.300 vaccine, I'll support that.

00:41:36.200 And just let the public decide.

00:41:38.500 Have we ever done that before?

00:41:39.780 Has the government of the

00:41:41.360 United States ever said, look,

00:41:43.220 it really sort of depends what

00:41:44.660 the public wants.

00:41:45.980 That's going to be the biggest

00:41:46.940 variable.

00:41:47.440 So just tell me what you want.

00:41:49.160 And on this question, I'm going

00:41:50.680 to follow the polls.

00:41:51.940 I'll follow the science also.

00:41:54.920 But if the public knows the

00:41:57.020 science as well as I do, and

00:41:59.180 knows the risks and the reward,

00:42:01.460 maybe just, you know, let the

00:42:02.840 people decide.

00:42:04.460 All right.

00:42:06.200 I think there's something called

00:42:07.460 a Trump curse because Kathy 0.72

00:42:09.240 Griffin tragically got lung

00:42:10.980 cancer and she doesn't even 0.73

00:42:12.440 smoke.

00:42:13.480 I guess she was addicted to

00:42:15.060 pills after the Trump

00:42:16.580 beheading scandal and I guess

00:42:19.760 she attempted suicide.

00:42:23.900 That's telling me I need to

00:42:25.020 leave in a minute.

00:42:26.640 It seems to me that everybody

00:42:28.000 who's a Trump critic and even

00:42:30.460 people who are the biggest

00:42:31.380 supporters have some horrible

00:42:33.420 thing happen to them.

00:42:35.420 Like a lot.

00:42:36.660 So I'm just following that and

00:42:39.620 that's tragic and I hope she

00:42:40.880 does well.

00:42:44.900 How about this?

00:42:45.780 How about we put a warning on

00:42:47.540 unvaccinated status the way you 0.99

00:42:50.760 would put a warning on

00:42:51.800 cigarettes?

00:42:53.200 If cigarettes are illegal and

00:42:54.520 they kill half a million people

00:42:55.580 a year, why don't we do the

00:42:57.620 same with COVID if it's here to

00:42:59.040 stay?

00:42:59.800 And just say this.

00:43:00.780 All right.

00:43:01.000 Here's an example.

00:43:02.480 Now this is a persuasion

00:43:04.760 example.

00:43:06.120 I'm not telling you to take the

00:43:07.420 vaccination.

00:43:08.140 That's up to you.

00:43:08.900 But if you wanted to persuade

00:43:10.040 people, you could put a

00:43:12.400 cigarette warning on it that

00:43:13.840 says something like not getting

00:43:15.720 vaccinated substantially

00:43:16.980 increases the risk of dying a

00:43:18.640 gruesome death gasping for air

00:43:20.880 with a ventilator stuck down

00:43:22.260 your trachea.

00:43:25.300 How about just put a warning on

00:43:26.540 it and say, look, we're going to

00:43:27.980 open.

00:43:28.300 I'm going to open everything.

00:43:29.860 No masks.

00:43:31.260 No lockdown.

00:43:33.000 But look, public, I want you to

00:43:35.540 know how clearly I'm going to

00:43:37.720 tell you the risk.

00:43:38.900 Let's say this is the

00:43:39.860 government.

00:43:40.620 Let's say Joe Biden did this.

00:43:42.440 I'm going to get rid of all the

00:43:43.720 restrictions at a national level

00:43:45.300 and I'm going to put this

00:43:47.400 warning label on it.

00:43:48.520 If you don't get the

00:43:49.460 vaccination, there's a really

00:43:51.380 good chance.

00:43:52.460 I mean, put some odds on it.

00:43:54.300 There's a chance of dying a

00:43:56.980 gruesome death gasping for air

00:43:58.820 with a ventilator stuck down

00:44:00.900 your throat.

00:44:02.760 Isn't that fair?

00:44:04.160 Would anybody say that that

00:44:05.520 warning is not accurate?

00:44:08.040 I mean, you don't say everybody.

00:44:09.360 It doesn't happen to everybody.

00:44:10.800 But it's a risk and it's real.

00:44:12.940 Now, you might also say getting

00:44:14.200 the vaccination has a risk.

00:44:16.580 Right?

00:44:17.420 But say that too.

00:44:18.760 Let the government inform us and

00:44:20.140 we'll make our own decisions.

00:44:21.440 How about that?

00:44:23.200 Here's your fake news of the day.

00:44:25.040 Clay Travis tweeted this.

00:44:26.280 He said, Joe Biden's top COVID

00:44:28.000 advisor just went on CNN and

00:44:30.420 admitted that masks people are

00:44:31.960 wearing don't work against

00:44:33.340 COVID.

00:44:34.440 So that was the tweet from Clay

00:44:36.840 Travis.

00:44:37.800 But that's not true.

00:44:39.680 The video he showed was Biden's

00:44:43.200 advisor, COVID advisor, saying

00:44:45.520 that the masks don't work as well

00:44:47.380 as other masks.

00:44:49.540 So not working as well as other

00:44:51.360 masks is completely different from

00:44:53.900 don't work.

00:44:54.460 So that would be fake news.

00:44:56.840 All right.

00:44:57.540 That is all I had to say today,

00:45:00.520 except that the it'd be funny to

00:45:02.960 see if the IQ in America changes

00:45:05.020 after the pandemic.

00:45:07.140 Because I think you would agree

00:45:09.100 with this statement.

00:45:10.400 It's either true that the smart

00:45:12.100 people are getting vaccinated or

00:45:14.740 it's true that the smart people are

00:45:16.780 not getting vaccinated.

00:45:18.400 Would you agree that one of those two

00:45:20.520 things is probably true?

00:45:21.640 Right now, you all you all think, you

00:45:24.100 know, which way it's going to go.

00:45:25.280 But let's just for this conversation

00:45:27.080 say could go either way.

00:45:29.560 Wouldn't you like to know if the

00:45:32.140 average IQ goes up or down the way

00:45:34.740 average lifespan did because of

00:45:36.600 pandemic?

00:45:37.440 Because if the smartest people are

00:45:40.920 making the right decisions, they

00:45:42.980 should be the IQ should go up because

00:45:45.900 there are more smart people surviving

00:45:47.280 and dumb people are dying.

00:45:48.960 But what if it's the other way

00:45:51.680 around?

00:45:53.040 What if the IQ goes down because the

00:45:57.600 smart people took the vaccination and

00:45:59.980 all died?

00:46:01.160 I don't think that's going to happen,

00:46:02.360 by the way.

00:46:03.200 But it could, right?

00:46:04.540 Anything's possible.

00:46:06.020 So what would happen if all the smart

00:46:07.840 people made the wrong decision on this

00:46:09.360 one?

00:46:09.500 What are the odds?

00:46:12.040 Pretty good.

00:46:13.400 The odds that all the smartest people

00:46:15.100 made the wrong decision are pretty

00:46:17.480 good.

00:46:18.100 I'm not saying they did.

00:46:19.320 I'm just saying the odds are pretty

00:46:20.360 good.

00:46:21.200 All right.

00:46:21.680 That's all I got for now.

00:46:22.540 I've got to run.

00:46:23.460 I'll talk to you later.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 03, 2021

Episode 1457 Scott Adams： Sipping and Chatting About the Latest National Nonsense

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