Episode 1459 Scott Adams: News, Persuasion and Coffee
Episode Stats
Words per Minute
152.6893
Summary
In this episode, I talk about some of the weirdest things about me, and some of my favorite things about the Beatles, and what it means to be a Beatles fan, and why the Beatles are one of the most influential pop artists of all time.
Transcript
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Well everybody on YouTube and locals today I started the stream at the same
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time I had been trying to start the local stream a little early to give you
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a little extra but I find that it detracts from the let's say the
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crispness of the beginning of the show so it was started at the same time but
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for locals people I'll stay a little bit after and look at your comments and
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answer some questions but how about everybody else would you like to make
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this one of the best days ever because it's starting to shape up that way I
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mean already it's looking like one of the best days and all you need is a
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cup or mug or a glass a tank or gels or stein a canteen jug or flask a vessel of
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any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee join me now for the
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unparalleled pleasure the dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes
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everything better yeah you know what it is it's called the simultaneous sip and
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it happens now go oh that's some good stuff well here's the weirdest thing about
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me I know it's a long list but here's here's one of the weirdest things about
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me for all of my life I've seen glimpses of my future sometimes decades before
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that future happened for example I saw myself as a famous cartoonist I saw
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myself talking to lots of people in some context I didn't know I saw where I was
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gonna live I saw the house I was gonna live in I saw a lot of stuff that happened
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exactly like I imagined it but some of it you say to yourself well that's just
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because you worked hard at your goal and you know what you want wanted and you got
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it but some of them were really weird like one of them was that I would someday be
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invited to the White House to chat with the president right and then that
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happened I actually got invited to the White House to chat with the president now did
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you see that one coming I didn't but there was one there's one thing about my
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future that was this really clear vision it was ridiculous and it just happened just
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ridiculous and I realized that it already happened actually it happened some time
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ago but it's happening again right now and here's what it is keep in mind that I
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have no musical ability let's let's all agree with that I've been trying to teach
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myself to play drums and I have a I have a drum teacher now and I think my drum
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teacher would agree that I'm nowhere near being able to play a whole song or
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having any any real musical talent whatsoever none but despite that I've
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always had this vision in my head that I would be a song lyricist maybe not
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writing the melody and stuff but doesn't make any sense because I have no
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experience in the in the realm but turns out I'm already a song lyricist and I
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didn't do anything didn't take any work so Akira the Don some of you know him
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from Twitter creates music by taking people who do podcasts you know you're
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Jordan Peterson's people like me and then turning their their language that they use in
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their live streams or their podcast basically exactly what I'm doing now and he takes
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samples out and turns it into the the vocals that accompany the music and he just came out with a whole
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bunch of new ones they're not they're not released to you yet but I got to preview
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them and I'll be damned he's invented a whole new genre it's it's it's it's a
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legitimate entirely new genre and I feel like it's gonna get bigger because almost
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everybody I know has heard it likes it it's just really sort of good stuff so
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what he does is he tries to take and by the way this is the same technique the Beatles used I'm a big
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student of the Beatles yeah meaning way if this is where you find it I'm a big student of the Beatles
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because of their work process how is it that they got such consistently great results and other people
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didn't I'll tell you what the first trick was they didn't have any rules about what was in and what
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was out if something sounded good it was in that's it they a lot of the music wasn't even musical
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instruments it was distorted sounds and putting microphones in the wrong place in the piano and
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you know adjusting things so they didn't sound like they normally did using the feedback instead
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of the music so a lot of a lot of what the Beatles did was they'd come in and they say all right this is
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my Beatles accent all right do you have any ideas for a song and then one of them would say yeah I've got
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this a little bit it'll be you know several lines and and some music and they say that's all I got I
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got this a little bit and then somebody else would say well I've got this little bit and my bit has
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nothing to do with your bit musically let's put them together because then you'll have two bits that we
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like and then they would put together a whole song that was basically nonsense made up of just parts you
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like and then it sounded great and uh in in one way Akira the Don who does these meaning wave things
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is doing the same thing because he's taking the good bits and of what people are saying in podcasts
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you know both me and other people and putting them and putting them to music and should they I mean
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the the words were not written to be in the song but if it sounds good why not
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so I think he's sort of borrowing a system from the Beatles in the sense of if it sounds good
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it's music so there you go one of my lifelong uh I guess you'd say visions of something that would
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happen in my life the least likely thing that could ever happen in my life is happening
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it's happening in a big way it's just weird um meanwhile Ron DeSantis is doing the best impression
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I've ever seen of a g-rated Donald Trump imagine if if Trump uh didn't say you know things like
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bullshit and stuff in public and you imagine that he was just toned down to be the g-rated version
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well he'd be Ron DeSantis uh here's what Ron DeSantis said about Biden uh wanting I guess
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passports or whatever for vaccinations and DeSantis said uh I don't want to hear a blip
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about COVID from you until you do your job and secure the border that's right I don't want to
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hear a blip from you in fact if I could extend this thought Ron uh DeSantis Governor DeSantis
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I don't think you'll mind if I extend your thinking a little bit and say
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if uh if you don't secure the border you can take your bip and just shove it up your bip
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you can suck my bip and uh hope you stop and bip so go bip you bip everybody who looks like you
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and bip the horse you came in on bip all of you so that's the g-rated version of uh Trump
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and uh it makes me wonder do you think the g-rated version of Trump can get elected president
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because in a weird way it's what we all want right didn't you all say damn it if we could just get the
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good parts of Trump you know the parts you voted for without all the controversy wouldn't that be good
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well maybe not maybe not maybe maybe there's a it's a package for a reason it could be that all
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of that non-g-rated stuff all that provocation is part of the show but the show is part of the the work
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you got to put it on the show to get the work done sometimes and that's something that Trump
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knew better than anybody all right I would like some t-shirts uh don't send me these t-shirts this
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is just for fun um I would like one t-shirt that simply has this message written really big and I
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want a bunch of them so that I can wear them every day and it should say my face does not indicate my
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mood you've heard of something called resting bitch face where some people just look like they're
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unpleasant with their normal face well I have some some version of that apparently where uh no matter
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what relationship I'm in or where I am somebody's gonna ask me if I've got a big problem who died
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why am I so angry what made me so upset today and usually I say something like this what I'm in a good
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mood today just like yesterday and the day before I'm actually usually in a good mood but my face
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doesn't know it apparently there's some miscommunication with my face because from you know face down
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everything seems pretty good pretty pretty good um so I want that one I also want uh one shirt that
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has nothing but the message you are misinterpreting my opinion again that's it just you are misinterpreting
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my opinion again I'll just wear those every day I don't think I would wear anything else like I'll
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wear them to the store I'll wear them I'll wear them on live stream all right now there's probably
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nothing you want more than for me not to talk about anything involving the pandemic right
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um somebody says move your phone away from the speakers
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but I don't have any speakers on and I don't think that's um I don't think you mean that all right
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but there are some really interesting things that have happened recently that uh so here's the thing
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I'm not going to talk you into wearing masks or vaccinations I think I'm pretty much with my audience
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at this point so as of today but maybe for different reasons I think many of you who are watching this
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would say don't make us wear masks because masks don't work whereas I say don't make us wear masks
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although they probably work a little bit and in some cases you probably want them if you're around
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old people or something so we may disagree about whether masks have any effectiveness whatsoever
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but I don't think we disagree at this point that you know if you're vaccinated at least you're kind
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of done with it and if you're not vaccinated and you have the chance to get vaccinated I don't care if
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you wear a mask why do I care you know and and I also think that the sooner I get the virus the better
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because I'm vaccinated so I'm at my peak resistance right now and I feel like I'll probably get it
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anyway so you know my my chance I think my lowest odds of having long COVID are if I get it now so
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that's where I'm at so I think I'm I agree with most of my audience at this point but for different
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reasons right we just got here a different way but here are some things that are new um did you know
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what's the difference between an FDA approved vaccine and an emergency use vaccine anybody anybody
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how many of you knew the difference because one of the big complaints and it's a good one is that
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the vaccinations are not FDA approved that means something right doesn't that mean something so what's
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the difference between FDA approved and what we've had so far well Dr Sanjay Gupta answered that question
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on CNN um and if I can be uh if I can be objective for 15 seconds this is really good so CNN did good
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work here via Sanjay Gupta who often does good work and so I'd like to give him a shout out this is the
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first time I've seen this so this is like news that I wanted to see I was actively asking this exact
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question and he answered it it goes like this so the difference between emergency use and FDA approval
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is two months of data for the emergency use versus full approval would be six months now don't you want
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to see six months you do right but let me ask you this um if you had six months of data would you feel
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comfortable with that because I guess the FDA is okay with six months would that be enough because the
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six months tell you that the long-term risks are uh are fine do you let me uh block a few people here
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anybody who's talking about moderate audio is going to get blocked by that user
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give me give me a moment just gonna hide some more users okay
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um so I think that the FDA approval is uh useful because six months is probably a lot better than
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two months but how much difference do you think there would be between the two month data and the
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six month there we go there's another one hide this user yeah everybody who's using the word crackling
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and the audio we're just blocking you all and I know it's true I'm not arguing whether it's happening or
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not I'm just blocking you for saying it anyway because it's ruining the show
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so any more anybody else want to get blocked I'm just blocking people on YouTube now anybody else
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so here's the other stuff apparently there's a whole bunch of paperwork and lawyer stuff
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and then there's review of manufacturing facilities which I imagine would be easy because they're already
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manufacturing um discussions about how it'll be marketing etc so a lot of it is paperwork and
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lawyers but there's also the six month thing now we've already had six months right don't you think
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that we have um don't you think that we have enough information that the FDA should at least have all the data
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data right do you think that if the FDA had seen six months of data which they've certainly seen by
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now don't you think from from the real world um if they saw a problem we'd know about it right
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they wouldn't wait for the full cycle to go through they'd say wait a minute wait a minute our six month
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data shows a problem I need a confirmation on that but let me just put out the thought
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that we already know if the thing is safe for six months so can somebody fact check me on that send me
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a tweet or something do we have six months already because the vaccines have been out and would the FDA
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have already told us if that data showed problems I feel like we're already there so the question the
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the part where people say hey we need FDA approval you're waiting for lawyers I need a fact check on
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that right please but just fact check this if you're waiting for FDA approval the only thing you're waiting
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for is lawyers has nothing to do with safety anymore give me a fact check on that I think that's true
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that you you think you're waiting for the FDA to approve it but you're actually just waiting for lawyers
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has nothing to do with safety at this point so if that put that factor into your variables um
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i tweeted this because i feel as though the united states is on a a strategy that can only end in disaster
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and knows it but doesn't know how to get out of it and it looks like this there um so i said there
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are two things the best way to beat the virus and the variants is a rapid pace of vaccination
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so if you could imagine that you could snap your fingers boop and everybody was vaccinated but it's
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impossible of course but if you could would that stop the virus and all the variants and the answer is yes
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yes yes if everybody got vaccinated by magic all at once the variants of the virus would be stopped
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but the best way to destroy civilization might be a sluggish vaccination pace in other words vaccinating
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slowly might be the very worst thing or too slow if you vaccinate too slow there's some thought
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and there's also some disagreement on this but that that alone would would spark evolution of variants
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so correct me if i'm wrong the ideal is that the government wants to vaccinate fast which might work
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the reality is that they're vaccinating too slow because there's resistance to vaccinations so are we
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not only not on a path that largely guarantees the destruction of civilization itself if things went
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the way it looks like they're going is that really a strategy and is the only hope of beating this
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persuading more people to get the vaccination like really really fast is that is our only hope persuasion
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for you know at least in terms of the strategy now let me let me ask you a question let me ask you a moral and ethical
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question and i'm going to use your opinions to guide my actions are you ready for this i don't believe that good
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persuaders have worked on the question of vaccinations i think it's mostly scientists and and politicians and stuff
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doing the best they can to persuade people but i don't believe anybody good has worked on it you know
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somebody who really has deep skills at this but i have some skills if we got to the point where we
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knew for sure this was true that fast vaccinations would end the pandemic but slow vaccinations the path
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we're on would destroy civilization i'm exaggerating a little bit but it would just be the worst case scenario
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um i'm not exaggerating a little bit i'm exaggerating a lot but just say it's the worst case scenario
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is there a point is there a point where people like me who could be more persuasive especially with a
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platform when does it become my responsibility and obligation to talk you into it does that ever happen
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that's a serious question because it's a question that i'm gonna have to deal with
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and it's life and death right it's literally life and death
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okay karen karen you will be deleted from the channel um
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um your name was actually karen that's funny um so so here we go we've got we've got this situation
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where um i've got an ethical dilemma because you know this is spider-man problem with the more influence
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you have the more responsibility you have so i i'm sort of accidentally in a responsible position that i
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didn't want because i don't want to be responsible for your health not even a little bit do not want
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to be responsible for your decisions or your health that's the last thing i want but if we're on a path
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to destruction and the only thing that looks like you could stop it is talking other people into getting
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the vaccinations really fast what the hell am i going to do it's really a problem yeah and and i'm
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certainly sensitive to the article to the argument that under no circumstance is it persuasive but
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here's the counter-argument are you ready for the counter-argument if we accept and i think everybody
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does that talking somebody into getting a medical procedure is kind of unethical they need to make
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their own decisions you don't want to influence that too much if you're not a doctor but at the same
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time here's the counter-argument you're all being persuaded all the time you're not really making
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up your own decision it just feels like that your your decision is the product of the forces that are
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influencing you and a little bit about your brain architecture and experience but mostly it's about
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your influences i would say at this point maybe 80 is influences so you're being persuaded
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so if i persuade you you're still being persuaded if i don't persuade you you're still being persuaded
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so it could be that the unethical thing happens no matter what you do
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because you're not really making up your own decisions the news is persuading you social media
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your friends you're basically being talked into it you just don't know it
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so if i persuaded you you'd know it and then it would be my fault right so i i would have to live
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out my days knowing that i've killed people because you know nothing is so safe that somebody isn't
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going to die from it somebody's going to be telling me that you know their daughter or son died because
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of some damn thing that i talked them into all right so that's just a dilemma i'm dealing with right
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now let me ask you this question i asked this on twitter if you are currently unvaccinated so this
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is only a question for unvaccinated people would you agree to get vaccinated if biden agreed to secure
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the border as part of the deal now uh you could answer this question in the comments as well
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but the way it was answered uh by just my twitter followers so very unscientific and biased poll
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um 28 when i checked last said yes 28 said yes do you believe that now of course it's again
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it's very unscientific it's my followers etc but that was way more than i expected did you think
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it would be that high that's close to 25 okay you're funny you're funny but you maybe you're not
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wrong we'll see um here's how i take this one of the big lessons about persuasion and one of the things
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i try to do in these live live streams is always teach you something about persuasion because if you if
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you're picking that up just sort of by watching this content you're going to be way ahead in life so
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here's a lesson on persuasion um it takes a different approach for every person
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right people don't get persuaded by the same approach all the time if you want to if you want
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to persuade 100 people you might need 10 different techniques you know you're lucky if you can get 10
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people with a technique so if you were trying to convince people to get vaccinated it looks like
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there's a substantial pool of them who would respond to a deal they take a deal because you've got this
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weird situation where you're asking people to take a personal risk like so here's the framing where it all
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makes sense um wait there's somebody else to block here all right hide that user all right and your mic is
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not shirt yeah my mic is on my shirt we'll get rid of you hide user all right
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so here's here's how i would frame this uh in the context of the pandemic the government is asking
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you to sacrifice for the collective am i right so the argument is not just it's good for you
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but that it's good for society that's why you should get vaccinated even if you're not worried
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about yourself it's good for society what argument does that sound like
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the audio is breaking up we'll hide you oh let me get my sign out sorry hold on
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so i know that i know the audio is not fine for some of you but i'm not going to do anything about
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it i'm not going to do anything about it because whatever it is it's not something i control um
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so here is the the lesson i keep getting interrupted by every
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fucking asshole and wants to talk about the audio i know you're trying to help me please
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do you know some problems yeah i'm starting to heat up because there's some problems that
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uh are not big problems but they are so persistent that the little problem you know just gets you know
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just gets out of control so oh that's a good that's a good idea somebody says just turn off youtube
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that would solve my problem all right so the point is that you're being asked to get your vaccination for
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society not necessarily for yourself that is socialism socialism am i right do you think that there it's
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a coincidence that a lot of republicans don't want the shot some of it is they don't trust the government
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don't trust whatever that's fine but don't you think that on some level getting shots for the benefit of
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other people is socialism doesn't it feel like that and you're seeing all the democrats it seems like
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tell you you should do it because they like their socialism doing things for the collective and the
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republicans just have sort of a just a natural aversion to not taking care of yourself first
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which by the way is a way better system take care of yourself first and that that's usually the best
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thing for other people this might be an exception it might be but here's why i think making a deal
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for closing the borders in in return for vaccinations could could actually convince maybe 20 or 30 percent
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of republicans why because it's a deal it's no longer uh it's no longer just socialism it's a deal
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and how many republicans really really really want the border to be closed
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and does it seem fair that you should be sacrificing for the collective while the borders open how can you
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ask me to sacrifice for the collective when you're not i need you to sacrifice for the collective a little
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bit then talk to me right if your government isn't doing the most basic hygiene for the country
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don't ask me to sacrifice for the country if you're not even trying you know we need to be in this
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together so that's why the idea of a deal where biden just says all right all right if the only way
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we're going to get past the pandemic and get enough people vaccinated is for me to close the border
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tight i hate doing it it's against everything i believe but i gotta do it would you get vaccinated then
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a lot of people said yes that's never going to happen but it's an interesting
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persuasion lesson i think all right here's something that pisses me off a lot
00:29:29.420
yeah so i'm hearing that there's static on youtube but it's clear on locals
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looks like something on my end but it's probably not all right
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i know if if you have my phone number and you want to text me in the middle of the live stream
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it does help me and it really pisses me off at the same time so thank you for helping me you really
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pissed me off at the same time but thank you i mean i appreciate it um rapid testing
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so a year ago the smart people were saying that if we had rapid testing even if it was less
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accurate it would squash the virus because we could just be testing the hell out of it and um
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and then we could uh you know even if it wasn't accurate as as accurate as other tests
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we'd still get on top of it now it's a year later and the vaccinations don't seem to be enough
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where is my rapid test i know somebody who has covid symptoms who has to wait three days for a result
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three days hey youtube um we're done with you too many people complaining about the sound if you want
00:30:52.060
to go over to uh the locals platform for the rest of this uh go to scottadams.locals.com
00:30:59.580
or see my tweet where there's a where there's a link and you can go over to locals normally it's
00:31:05.180
a subscription service but i opened it just for this video so you can see that with no without any
00:31:10.860
commercial content and apparently with uh without whatever audio problems you're having so goodbye to
00:31:17.500
youtube all right youtube's gone um so uh somebody needs to go to jail
00:31:29.580
let me say that again as clearly as possible somebody needs to go to jail for the fact that
00:31:36.140
we don't have rapid testing because maybe there is something completely legal that happened that's
00:31:43.980
keeping this from being widely available but i don't think so it almost has to be something illegal
00:31:50.780
to have stopped something so obviously useful from happening it's doable it's useful it would stop
00:31:57.100
the biggest problem in the world we know how to do it it's straightforward there's no real argument
00:32:02.940
about the math of it and we don't have it tell me one reason that doesn't have to do with the
00:32:09.740
illegality bribes pharmaceuticals preventing it whatever tell me one reason that we don't have that
00:32:16.060
it's not because of crime it's got to be crime somebody needs to be in the fucking jail
00:32:21.900
and i'm talking about like serious jail i'm talking about you know 30 years because somebody is doing
00:32:29.100
something that is killing hundreds of thousands of us and crushing the economy and it's got to be
00:32:34.700
somebody doing it for money because nobody's going to do it for any other reason right even incompetence
00:32:40.860
can't get you there it can't be explained by incompetence politics can't be explained by science
00:32:46.860
can't be explained by money it's got to be crime and why is there not even a story about it you know
00:32:54.300
where where is the press doing the story about how we would be past the problem already or at least
00:33:00.140
we'd be handling it much better if we had rapid testing and we don't where's the news why am i asking
00:33:07.660
this question all right here's the maybe good news uh monoclonal antibodies we now know that a
00:33:15.580
subcutaneous shot which would be a really tiny needle so it just gets it in your skin it doesn't
00:33:21.820
have to go too deep into your arm or anything so unlike the regular shots it would just be a tiny little
00:33:27.900
little prick let's say uh and i guess the results are just amazing it just really it just knocks out the
00:33:36.460
the covet if you already have symptoms it just whacks it out and your odds of being hospitalized
00:33:41.420
if you get that in time within 10 days i guess your odds of being hospitalized just drop to
00:33:46.860
practically nothing now here's my question for those of you who are afraid of getting the vaccine
00:33:58.940
would you be afraid of getting the monoclonal antibodies
00:34:02.380
and why would one be different is it because it's different technology is it because the
00:34:08.700
monoclonal antibodies have been around longer and used in different context
00:34:13.340
because my understanding is it would be a cocktail it would be at least two of them i think maybe two of
00:34:18.060
them mixed together or something like that and isn't that something that's never been used for this
00:34:25.820
so i need to look into it first yeah so my question is how many people who would not want to get a
00:34:34.140
vaccination are going to end up infected and then when the doctor says well you're infected our best
00:34:40.220
treatment is these monoclonal antibodies are you going to say to them whoa i didn't get the vaccination
00:34:46.700
because i wasn't so sure about them you better not give me the monoclonal antibodies either
00:34:51.580
i'll bet zero people will say that i'll bet zero people will say that i'll bet almost every person
00:35:00.060
who said no to the vaccination will just sort of routinely say yes to what the doctor says you got
00:35:06.620
to do now if you're actually sitting in the doctor's office with covid that's been tested and the doctor
00:35:14.300
says if i put this in your arm your risk goes to zero if i don't you're going to have a really hard
00:35:20.540
time and maybe you might die are you going to have him put the uh the monoclonal antibody in you
00:35:28.860
yeah you are yeah you are every fear you had about the the vaccination will just go away and then
00:35:38.300
they'll give you this other thing that also hasn't been approved by the fda for this you know it's been
00:35:43.580
around long enough that i wouldn't worry about it but it's kind of the same question if you've got
00:35:49.420
six months of data on the vaccinations which we do because it's been used for that long it would
00:35:56.140
have been great if we had six months before we started to use them at all but we have six months
00:36:00.140
now and if the fda isn't stopping it with the data they've already seen i would say that the
00:36:07.020
vaccinations and the monoclonal antibodies would be roughly similar risk you say they're both things
00:36:14.300
that have been around long enough that if there were problems we'd know it and they're still kind
00:36:20.860
of newish for this application seems like a fairly similar risk to me all right california recall
00:36:29.340
election for the governor is going to have mail-in ballots can we have an election without covid please
00:36:39.340
please can we have an election without any pandemic just once please well um i don't know what that's
00:36:49.820
going to do to the california election but let me make a guess if gavin newson wins which i think most
00:36:58.380
people expect he will will the republicans feel that the election was held fairly huh let me predict the
00:37:07.740
future no they think it's unfair so we're basically creating just recreating the the big lie situation
00:37:20.060
as the democrats like to call it all right that's all i've got for today um i will uh figure out what
00:37:31.740
the hell is wrong with my audio situation um i will tell you that i have two separate systems
00:37:41.580
yeah somebody's saying it's the splitter it's really the only common system but do you really
00:37:45.980
think the splitter is the problem do you somebody says it sounds like rf interference you know one thing
00:37:52.780
it could be oh you know let me test it you test it on you right so i've got my phone here um let me tell
00:38:00.860
you see if i put it somewhere if i can create the problem all right so i'm going to put my phone
00:38:10.220
right next to possibly low battery no i don't have a low battery on anything everything's plugged in
00:38:16.140
except my phone and that's fully charged so you don't hear anything if i get near you with the phone
00:38:22.620
turn the phone off somebody says well the sound is good right now
00:38:25.500
um the reason i'm using my phone is because my none of my printers in the house work too loud
00:38:37.100
um next time it happens turn off the phone i can't because i don't have any printers in the house
00:38:42.780
they all stopped working and it's the only way i can see my notes so impedance matching is not good
00:38:50.300
with a splitter well i'm um my impedance is the same it goes to the same equipment
00:38:59.180
yeah the most obvious thing to do is i'll just use two microphones and if that's a problem i'd be
00:39:07.180
surprised i don't think i have a loose connection because i've got these high-end high-end connections
00:39:11.820
i've checked them all um i might throw my printer off the balcony
00:39:21.740
so the crack was only on youtube swap the mics well there's one mic going to both systems but
00:39:29.020
i'll do two mics tomorrow um i wonder if it has to do with which system turned on first that could be it
00:39:48.620
well it's got to be something that's common to both systems all right that's all for today