Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 09, 2021


Episode 1463 Scott Adams： Viruses, Climate, and Other Scary Persuasion

Topics
masks in restaurants school choice unvaccinated people petition jail dehumanization locals platform crash sunspots and climate change
Hosted by
Scott Adams
Mentioned
Biden Trump Obama Michael Schellenberger Glenn Greenwald Tony Heller John Kerry Mark Dice Einstein Pfizer Hitler Dale
Episode 1462 Scott Adams： Things in the Headlines That Make me Laugh and Cry Episode 1464 Scott Adams： Get Ready For the Funniest Coffee With Scott Adams of All Time

Episode Stats


Length

35 minutes

Words per minute

145.24

Word count

5,089

Sentence count

482

Harmful content

Toxicity

25

sentences flagged

Hate speech

11

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Scott Adams is back with another blast from the past, this time about the coronavirus outbreak in the U.S. and the hypocrisy behind it, and a new drug being developed to fight it. Plus, a new kind of robot.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Topics generated with Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct.
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.000 Well, well, well, you have come to the right place.
00:00:05.760 This is the place for coffee with Scott Adams, the best time of the whole day.
00:00:11.540 Once again, it's going to be a good one.
00:00:13.880 A barn burner, they say.
00:00:15.560 And all you need is a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or jalous or a dine, a canteen, a jug
00:00:19.040 or a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:22.640 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:23.780 I like coffee.
00:00:25.420 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day.
00:00:30.000 The thing that makes everything better.
00:00:31.940 It's called the simultaneous sip.
00:00:33.680 It's going to happen now.
00:00:35.000 Go.
00:00:39.380 Oh, yeah.
00:00:40.600 Yeah, that was tremendous.
00:00:41.920 As good as you imagined it would be?
00:00:45.420 Probably.
00:00:46.340 Probably.
00:00:47.240 Oh, good drawing of a robot there in the comments.
00:00:49.720 Thank you.
00:00:52.160 Well, well, well, let me start with the funniest tweet of the day from Glenn Greenwald.
00:00:58.320 You all know about Obama having a big birthday party, his 60th birthday party, and he invited
00:01:05.020 a lot of what the New York Times call sophisticated vaccinated people.
00:01:10.580 So unlike your Sturgis, where there's a bunch of unsophisticated people, Obama's birthday had
00:01:19.600 sophisticated vaccinated people.
00:01:23.320 Much safer.
00:01:24.180 Well, Glenn Greenwald tweeted on this perfectly and said, there was a photo attached, and he
00:01:30.780 said, here's Biden's climate crisis czar, John Kerry, arriving on his private jet to attend
00:01:37.160 Obama's maskless party.
00:01:40.280 It's all there.
00:01:42.580 Everything you need to know about the world in one tweet.
00:01:45.880 The climate czar is on a private jet, and Obama's got a maskless mass gathering.
00:01:55.220 So, how about the rest of you?
00:01:58.680 How was your maskless mass gathering?
00:02:02.340 Was it as good as mine?
00:02:03.840 That's right, we didn't have one.
00:02:05.720 So everybody's mad about the hypocrisy, and I guess they should.
00:02:08.460 There's some CDC official, but not all of them, finally said this.
00:02:15.340 He said that we will all be exposed to the coronavirus by the end of the year, maybe next year.
00:02:22.420 Now, what does exposed mean?
00:02:25.800 Exposed.
00:02:26.440 We'll all be exposed to the virus.
00:02:28.940 Mostly the Delta variant, I think.
00:02:30.420 Does exposed mean that if you have a vaccination, and you are exposed to it, do you carry any
00:02:39.500 of the virus with you?
00:02:41.600 Still a little bit uncertain, because we know that vaccinated people do not only carry the
00:02:48.340 virus, but can have as much viral load as someone who's not vaccinated at all, at least
00:02:54.020 in some cases that we've determined.
00:02:55.760 But, does that mean that, let's say you're vaccinated and you don't have any symptoms,
00:03:03.820 but you've got some virus, are you going to put off as much?
00:03:09.200 I would think not, logically.
00:03:12.500 Because if you're not coughing, you're not spreading it as much.
00:03:16.580 And if you're not gasping for air, because your lungs are not working, maybe you're not
00:03:22.160 breathing as much.
00:03:23.700 But you'd still be putting off plenty.
00:03:25.080 I mean, if you had the same full viral load, just breathing would be a problem, I would
00:03:30.660 think.
00:03:31.940 So, I tend to agree with the CDC guy who says we'll all be exposed, because I don't see
00:03:37.780 anything in the works that would change it, do you?
00:03:41.620 Is there anything happening that would change the fact we'll all be exposed?
00:03:47.380 Because it doesn't look like we're even close to something that would look like shutting
00:03:52.380 it down.
00:03:52.800 And you'd have to shut it down sort of everywhere all over the world for it to make a difference
00:03:57.880 in any country, assuming borders open up again.
00:04:01.820 So, I just don't think we can get there.
00:04:04.640 And I feel that we should be a little more honest about that.
00:04:08.340 So, the reason to get the vaccination is not to stop the virus, but to stop it from progressing
00:04:14.240 in your own body.
00:04:15.320 I guess Israel has a new drug for targeting the coronavirus.
00:04:22.900 It looks pretty promising, because the way it works, and they've tested it in a small
00:04:27.360 test, so we don't have any randomized controlled trials yet.
00:04:30.620 But in a small test, a whole bunch of people who were very sick left the hospital in five
00:04:37.160 days or less.
00:04:38.800 And I guess 93% of 90 coronaviruses that were serious in several Greek hospitals, they had
00:04:47.700 to test...
00:04:48.420 The Israelis had to test their COVID vaccine, their COVID drug in Greece, because there wasn't 0.83
00:04:55.280 enough COVID in Israel.
00:04:57.560 Israel did such a good job that they couldn't do a test of it there.
00:05:00.780 So, they tested it there, and it was hugely successful.
00:05:05.000 What it does is it targets the cytokine, cytokine, whatever that is, storm that happens.
00:05:13.220 The thing that makes you so sick is that your own immune response goes nuts.
00:05:17.940 So, apparently, this drug just calms down your immune response, presumably just from the
00:05:25.260 virus.
00:05:25.980 I don't know.
00:05:27.180 But gigantic potential.
00:05:30.780 But how long does it take?
00:05:33.700 I don't think this is going to get some kind of emergency authorization, so maybe it doesn't
00:05:37.720 matter.
00:05:38.120 It might take too long.
00:05:41.420 I'd like to give you an update on my personal quest to make masks impractical, at least in
00:05:49.920 certain places.
00:05:51.760 So, was it yesterday?
00:05:53.820 Yeah, yesterday I went to a restaurant and did not wear a mask.
00:06:01.520 Now, a mask was required, and if they had asked me to put it on, I would have.
00:06:06.260 But as soon as you sit down, I think it's probably the same everywhere.
00:06:10.140 As soon as you sit down at the table, and they bring you a glass of water, or even before
00:06:14.640 they do, you take your mask off.
00:06:16.520 So, the only reason for the mask is to stand at the hostess stand for five seconds, and
00:06:22.960 then walk 12 feet to where you're going to take your mask off in the same space the whole
00:06:27.320 time. 0.98
00:06:28.640 Kind of ridiculous. 0.63
00:06:30.080 So, I tried to see what would happen if I just didn't wear a mask, and the host had to 0.81
00:06:38.760 see me without a mask.
00:06:39.780 What would the host do?
00:06:41.280 And the answer is, the host ignored my maskless state and seated me.
00:06:47.460 Also ignored the entire party in front of me that checked in just before me, all maskless.
00:06:55.020 The restaurant just has already given up.
00:06:58.140 They've given up.
00:06:59.660 Here's a sign you should put on your gym.
00:07:02.240 You ready for this?
00:07:02.980 Here's a sign I want on your gym.
00:07:06.820 It says, masks are mandated by the state.
00:07:11.600 If you don't wear a mask, we'll ask you to put one on.
00:07:16.680 And that's all we'll do.
00:07:19.400 That's the sign.
00:07:21.560 Masks are mandated.
00:07:22.840 If you're not wearing one, we will ask you to put one on.
00:07:26.520 And that's all we'll do.
00:07:30.140 Message received, right?
00:07:31.320 And then you just go to the gym without your mask, and they'll say, hey, put your mask
00:07:36.660 on.
00:07:37.760 And then you say, thanks for reminding me.
00:07:41.640 And then you just go on with your business.
00:07:44.460 Wouldn't that work?
00:07:46.360 I don't know.
00:07:48.120 We'll find out, I think.
00:07:49.620 Well, the IPCC has a new report on climate.
00:07:53.820 Let me guess.
00:07:55.620 Huh.
00:07:56.020 Do you think the IPCC will say, we're doing a great job on climate, and everything's getting
00:08:02.860 better?
00:08:04.540 Do you think that's what they came up with?
00:08:06.400 Or, do you think they waited several years for a new report and said, you know, it looks
00:08:12.540 exactly the same as the last time we reported on it?
00:08:15.320 Do you think that's going to happen in our world?
00:08:20.160 Or, just maybe, just maybe, will the report look like, can I bring a special guest in?
00:08:30.780 I believe some of you know him.
00:08:32.380 His name is Dale.
00:08:34.200 Dale, can you give us the highlight summary of the new IPCC report on the climate?
00:08:40.980 Ah!
00:08:43.260 Ah!
00:08:44.680 Ah!
00:08:46.700 Ah!
00:08:47.220 Ah!
00:08:48.820 Ah!
00:08:49.700 Ah! 0.76
00:08:50.800 We're all going to die. 0.98
00:08:52.780 We're all going to die. 1.00
00:08:54.580 Die in a giant fireball. 1.00
00:08:57.620 We're all dead. 0.98
00:09:01.180 See?
00:09:02.980 Yeah, that's pretty much what the report said.
00:09:05.240 We're all, we're all dead.
00:09:08.260 Well, Michael Schellenberger has a, uh, a different opinion on that, in terms of the
00:09:14.840 risk, uh, who, he agrees, of course, that, uh, humans are, uh, a factor in climate change,
00:09:22.620 and he agrees that things are getting warmer, and he agrees that there will be, you know,
00:09:28.620 weather disruptions, um, maybe as much as predicted.
00:09:33.500 But, here's what's different.
00:09:35.560 Do you know how many people have died from the heat in, let's say, the last hundred years?
00:09:42.780 Well, I don't know the number, but I know the number used to be really big, and now it's
00:09:47.300 really, really small, because we have air conditioning.
00:09:51.440 As soon as you invent air conditioning, it can get pretty warm outside.
00:09:56.140 People live in the desert.
00:09:58.480 It's really warm out there.
00:10:01.520 But they use air conditioning.
00:10:03.620 Seems to be enough.
00:10:04.500 Um, likewise, for almost everything that, you know, would be a real-world problem from
00:10:11.940 climate change, we're really good at mitigating things.
00:10:15.840 We're good at predicting.
00:10:17.340 We're good at moving things.
00:10:18.680 We're good at communicating, transporting, you know, planning, managing.
00:10:25.220 We're good at stuff now.
00:10:26.720 Not like the old days.
00:10:27.980 So, indeed, while the planet might, indeed, get way, way worse, and certainly we should
00:10:35.720 be addressing it, um, it's very unlikely it's going to make any difference that you notice.
00:10:42.500 But, you need to scare people, or they'll all be dead.
00:10:46.460 If you don't scare people, they won't do much about it, and presumably we just slide into some bad
00:10:54.460 situation where maybe we are all doomed.
00:10:56.380 But, if you scare the pants off of enough people, they'll do something about it, and then you'll
00:11:04.220 probably be fine.
00:11:05.800 So, I'm very much in favor of scaring other people, but I'm not sure how scared you need
00:11:11.500 to be.
00:11:12.820 You and I don't need to be that scared.
00:11:15.340 But the scientists, let's scare the scientists, because they'll work harder.
00:11:19.640 Try to do something about it.
00:11:20.740 So, here's my question.
00:11:26.160 What happens to mass suicides and depression when your IPCC report comes out and every news
00:11:33.940 station reports that we're doomed to die in a fireball?
00:11:37.960 Now, I'm exaggerating a little bit, but it sounds pretty bad, right?
00:11:42.240 If you just read the report, it sounds like our future is non-existent.
00:11:46.800 So, what does that do to depressions and suicides?
00:11:52.080 Well, I'll tell you what I felt like.
00:11:54.680 I felt like taking my own life.
00:11:58.600 Like, actually, literally.
00:12:00.680 When I read the report, I was like, okay, well, there's no point.
00:12:05.280 There's no point in even trying. 0.99
00:12:07.340 Might as well just go out and take your life. 0.55
00:12:09.580 And it wasn't until I saw Michael Schellenberger's tweet thread that I retweeted, so you can find 0.67
00:12:16.000 it in my Twitter feed as well, that I started thinking, oh, okay, they're just doing this
00:12:21.420 to me again.
00:12:22.200 Again.
00:12:23.520 Scaring me again.
00:12:24.500 Making it look like life is not worth living.
00:12:27.740 So, thanks for that.
00:12:28.840 Apparently, Pfizer is maybe a few weeks away from FDA approval for the vaccine.
00:12:38.640 And remember, I asked people if they'd be more likely to take it in a little Twitter poll,
00:12:43.100 unscientific one, and a lot of people said yes, that if it was FDA approved, they would
00:12:47.620 take it.
00:12:49.520 You know they have all the data already, right?
00:12:52.920 Did you know that?
00:12:53.820 They have all the data for FDA approval.
00:13:00.280 And they're telling you that it's a few weeks away from approval.
00:13:04.180 Nobody is telling you, nobody, that it might not get approved.
00:13:10.140 Right?
00:13:10.960 Zero people have told you, well, we're not sure if it'll get approved because of the data.
00:13:15.820 In fact, the data very clearly says, apparently, or I'm assuming it would be reported if this
00:13:23.540 were not the case, apparently the data says, yeah, it's good.
00:13:26.920 It's good for approval.
00:13:28.360 So, it's probably just the paperwork and the lawyering and stuff that's going to take weeks.
00:13:33.160 But if you knew that it was FDA approved effectively, even before it's officially approved, does that
00:13:40.160 change your willingness to get it?
00:13:42.140 FDA approved in all the important ways, because the data looks good.
00:13:51.700 All right.
00:13:51.920 Well, a lot of you were not holding off only for that reason, but I do think this will make
00:13:56.660 a pretty big dent in the number of people who get vaccinated, I would imagine.
00:14:01.040 Here's an, this is more of the school of unintended consequences, all right?
00:14:11.140 The school of unintended consequences.
00:14:14.000 Mask mandates appear to be leading toward school choice, because a number of, you know, state
00:14:23.320 school people are putting together plans to say, if masks are required, then students should
00:14:33.700 be able to go take their, take their funding and go to another place if they don't want to
00:14:39.980 be in a masked situation.
00:14:42.460 Now, who saw that coming?
00:14:44.480 Not me.
00:14:45.080 If you had told me that masks will accelerate school choice, I would have said, well, I don't
00:14:52.320 see how exactly, but it looks like it's going to happen.
00:14:55.940 Looks like that made a difference.
00:14:58.380 Well, Biden's approval is down a little bit.
00:15:02.020 So he was averaging, you know, in the low 50% approval for his first six months.
00:15:07.640 But now, according to Quinnipiac, he's down to 46%.
00:15:12.220 And in some, he's 43%, blah, blah, blah.
00:15:16.800 So he's down in approval, and it appears to be that the coronavirus performance is the
00:15:23.000 reason.
00:15:24.080 Now, is Biden responsible for the Delta variant and where we are now?
00:15:31.980 Not really.
00:15:33.020 I mean, I don't know that he could have done something much better.
00:15:35.860 However, if Biden, if Trump had been president, what do you think we would be looking at right
00:15:42.500 now?
00:15:42.920 Better or worse?
00:15:44.700 Probably about the same.
00:15:46.620 Probably about the same.
00:15:48.460 But here's the weird thing.
00:15:50.260 I do think Trump lost because of the virus.
00:15:54.540 A lot of smart people say that, and it feels right, because the virus caused a lot of rule
00:15:58.700 changes, and it was the rule changes that allowed the kind of turnout we got.
00:16:03.440 So really, I would say the virus determined who the president is.
00:16:07.780 It's really the first president ever elected by a virus.
00:16:11.760 Well, as far as I know.
00:16:14.100 So not only did the virus elect Biden, but now the virus is going to make sure that Biden,
00:16:19.800 or probably his successor, doesn't get re-elected or doesn't get elected.
00:16:25.140 So do we have a system in which people get informed and then vote and choose politicians?
00:16:36.120 Or do we have a system in which a virus determines who's the president?
00:16:41.140 Because that's what's happening.
00:16:43.580 The virus is deciding.
00:16:45.300 It's not even us.
00:16:46.160 And I would like to point out that the war against this virus is going about as well
00:16:53.220 as the war on drugs and the war in Afghanistan.
00:16:58.560 It's been a while since we won a war.
00:17:01.980 Has anybody noticed that?
00:17:03.760 The United States is warring, not doing so good lately.
00:17:08.460 Yeah, maybe we did a good job in Syria or something, but we're not really so good at winning wars conclusively, are we?
00:17:20.000 Yeah, there's no money in winning a war, somebody says.
00:17:23.340 It's a problem.
00:17:25.640 Yeah, calling everything a war is probably...
00:17:28.660 Somebody says, Gulf won, you know, the first Gulf War we won.
00:17:34.060 But did we?
00:17:34.900 If it just led to problems later?
00:17:39.660 Did we?
00:17:45.980 All right.
00:17:47.420 So let me go back to that message.
00:17:50.460 All right.
00:17:50.780 So Mark Dice did a video, which you just have to see.
00:17:55.540 I tweeted it.
00:17:56.980 And it's on YouTube, in which he stopped people and asked them to sign a petition
00:18:01.560 to put unvaccinated people in jail.
00:18:04.900 To put unvaccinated people in jail. 0.88
00:18:12.220 How many people signed the petition without a second thought?
00:18:18.860 Yeah, just what you thought.
00:18:21.340 You don't even have to watch the video, do you?
00:18:24.620 A lot of people signed that petition without a thought.
00:18:27.700 They didn't do it without asking questions.
00:18:33.160 They did it without showing any second thoughts.
00:18:37.580 All they did was say, well, it's good for me.
00:18:39.720 Go to jail. 0.51
00:18:41.600 It's good for me, so why don't you go to jail?
00:18:44.120 That's it.
00:18:45.400 That's it.
00:18:45.860 So are you worried that we will slide into prison camps for the unvaccinated? 1.00
00:18:57.920 Are you worried?
00:18:58.820 I'm not worried about that, really.
00:19:02.200 But it is true that you can get some portion of the public, around 25%, if you know what
00:19:09.580 I mean, to do just about anything without anything that looks like thought.
00:19:14.420 I mean, they actually look like automatons. 1.00
00:19:16.920 Would you like to sign this petition to kill everybody in your family? 1.00
00:19:20.440 Why not? 1.00
00:19:21.600 I don't see why not.
00:19:24.980 It is really scary.
00:19:28.400 Oh, the video is blinking?
00:19:29.840 I don't know if it's blinking on anybody else's screen.
00:19:33.520 Yeah.
00:19:35.060 Female camps coming. 0.81
00:19:36.180 Yeah, now you understand why people accepted Hitler. 0.95
00:19:41.040 You can accept almost anything if it's gradual.
00:19:45.900 And gradual doesn't have to be that gradual, right?
00:19:48.660 It just starts as, well, you know, this group of people certainly is a problem.
00:19:54.080 Then you can talk about that group of people in a bad way and get away with it.
00:19:58.040 And next thing you know, you're putting little restrictions on that kind of people.
00:20:02.240 The next thing you know, it's the Holocaust. 0.88
00:20:03.980 You can slide into anything.
00:20:06.060 You just get used to it after a while.
00:20:08.980 Yeah, it's the boiling frog situation, exactly, and dehumanization.
00:20:13.900 Well, that's about the scariest thing you'll ever see.
00:20:15.700 But in terms of entertainment, it's really good.
00:20:19.540 It's very entertaining.
00:20:21.900 So let's see what we got here.
00:20:23.860 That is just about all the news there is.
00:20:28.380 And I didn't want to be all gloomy today, because it's been pointed out to me that I've been less than my optimistic self.
00:20:36.840 By the way, has anybody noticed that?
00:20:38.320 Does anybody think I've been less than my optimistic self lately?
00:20:46.940 Yeah.
00:20:48.480 And, oh, interesting.
00:20:50.520 There does seem to be a mixture of opinions about whether I've been less optimistic lately.
00:20:55.500 You know, I think that the Trump administration was an optimism-based administration.
00:21:05.680 And it was easy to be, you know, get swept up in that, and I think I was.
00:21:08.760 Now, I still say the golden age is coming.
00:21:13.880 And I do think things are better than ever and will continue to be better than ever.
00:21:18.260 I mean, look at the fact that airlines will become electric.
00:21:22.000 I mean, that's happening.
00:21:22.780 So a lot of the things you're worried about for climate change, I'm not so sure that that makes a difference.
00:21:32.600 I think that we will invent our way out of climate change, and we will mitigate our way around it, and we'll be fine.
00:21:39.280 But I'm glad that all the scientists and engineers are worried.
00:21:43.860 That way they'll do the work.
00:21:52.780 All right.
00:21:53.940 The most depressing thing is the illegal immigration. 0.92
00:21:56.820 Is it?
00:21:57.800 Is it?
00:21:59.160 Because if you don't really have a plan to not get the virus, and our hospitals are not overrun yet,
00:22:06.640 I mean, there's some places that they've got real problems, apparently in the South.
00:22:10.660 But I don't know.
00:22:12.920 You know, if you see lots of...
00:22:14.520 Whatever you see pictures of and talk about will seem like your biggest problem.
00:22:18.760 What are the odds?
00:22:20.540 So here's an experiment for you.
00:22:22.040 Think about your own life, right?
00:22:26.200 Now, just think about yourself personally, okay?
00:22:29.280 Think about yourself, just your life, the things that will affect you personally.
00:22:33.800 What are the odds that you, personally, as a resident of the United States, if you are,
00:22:41.740 what are the odds that you will be affected in a negative way by immigration?
00:22:45.240 It can happen, right?
00:22:49.480 But right now, you could probably get a job just about anywhere, because there's more job openings than jobs.
00:22:56.660 So it doesn't affect your employment at the moment.
00:22:59.520 It does affect that you can get services and goods from people willing to provide them that are maybe here illegally.
00:23:06.360 But what are the odds that you will have a worse life, like personally?
00:23:13.160 It's not really that high.
00:23:14.720 No, I see crime, right?
00:23:16.380 But what are the odds that you, personally, will be a victim of a crime from an illegal immigrant? 1.00
00:23:22.060 Just personally.
00:23:23.580 Now, I'm not saying that you should...
00:23:25.020 I'm in favor of a tight border, just to be clear.
00:23:28.660 I'm in favor of tight borders, for all the obvious reasons.
00:23:32.520 But the odds that you, personally, will be victimized by an immigrant, and in some direct way, 1.00
00:23:40.260 I'm seeing people say 100%.
00:23:41.940 I guess, depending on where you live, that could be true.
00:23:46.580 If you lived on the border, there's a 100% chance you would be affected in some way, probably negatively.
00:23:51.760 But if you're not living right on the border, it probably won't affect you at all.
00:23:58.560 Probably won't.
00:23:59.680 Maybe a little inflation.
00:24:01.480 I don't know.
00:24:02.240 Maybe your health care goes up or down.
00:24:04.200 I don't know.
00:24:06.300 But the truth is, you'll probably not even notice.
00:24:09.380 So very much like climate change.
00:24:12.220 Climate change might be the biggest problem in the world.
00:24:15.200 It might be.
00:24:16.940 But it probably won't affect you.
00:24:19.200 You probably won't know the difference.
00:24:21.200 You could probably go through your life just doing what you do, and live your whole life,
00:24:26.180 and scientists, and engineers, and the government will take care of the climate change,
00:24:31.760 and you'll just buy products that are more energy efficient, and that's all you'll do.
00:24:37.060 So who speaks for the Earth?
00:24:45.020 Well, yeah, the Earth has some issues.
00:24:49.160 So my biggest problem is taxes.
00:24:52.760 Debt is a problem, but we don't know how much.
00:24:56.980 So I think that we'll figure our way through this.
00:24:59.500 Have you noticed that under the Biden administration, are you worse off?
00:25:07.380 Probably you could do some statistical stuff to find out that you are.
00:25:12.980 Gas is more expensive.
00:25:15.360 Yeah.
00:25:15.740 Gas is more expensive.
00:25:17.140 But how about your specific life?
00:25:19.180 Do you think it's worse off than if you've been under Trump?
00:25:23.180 Well, I don't know.
00:25:25.160 I mean, you could make a good argument for it.
00:25:27.440 And the partisans will say, yeah, Trump would be better.
00:25:30.560 Might be right.
00:25:31.980 But it's probably not that much.
00:25:34.520 Right?
00:25:34.800 Because every day I wake up, I do this, you know, I eat, I sleep, I exercise.
00:25:43.080 It feels a lot the same.
00:25:46.620 I don't know.
00:25:48.140 I can't think of anything that's different besides the fact that I'm bored.
00:25:52.200 I mean, I'm bored by Biden. 0.96
00:25:53.600 He just bores the crap out of me. 0.87
00:25:55.260 But besides that, I don't know.
00:25:57.660 My life looks pretty much the same.
00:25:59.240 The pandemic probably would have been the same under Trump.
00:26:04.800 Oh, ammunition prices?
00:26:09.500 Yeah, I guess that's going up.
00:26:11.480 But, Scott, you do not reflect the population.
00:26:15.840 You are correct.
00:26:17.680 You are correct.
00:26:18.880 But it is true that people who want jobs can get them.
00:26:23.580 And that your odds of dying from some new crisis,
00:26:26.880 whether it's the coronavirus or climate change, is very small for any one person.
00:26:33.580 Very, very small.
00:26:35.800 And, yeah, inflation is definitely a problem.
00:26:41.400 Definitely a problem.
00:26:43.620 All right.
00:26:45.180 Yeah, inflation is probably the biggest problem that has a direct effect on people.
00:26:48.780 I'll give you that.
00:26:50.300 Inflation is the biggest problem.
00:26:51.700 And I do think that Trump would have been maybe better on that,
00:26:55.800 but we still had to spend our way out of the pandemic.
00:26:59.300 So I think there was going to be inflation no matter what.
00:27:08.400 All right.
00:27:09.600 Can't get a job if I won't take the vaccine.
00:27:13.940 Yeah.
00:27:14.520 Well, that's your free market working for you there.
00:27:16.840 Oh, you're now deemed a racist, so yes.
00:27:22.820 Yeah, I guess that's worse if you've been deemed a racist.
00:27:25.560 But you would have been anyway.
00:27:26.460 Why is oil not going up?
00:27:32.340 Maybe it already did.
00:27:35.440 All right.
00:27:36.060 So I'm seeing a lot of comments here about sunspots.
00:27:42.180 If, let me tell you, oh, God, I just said, the locals platform just crashed.
00:27:50.600 Somebody said it's doing it every 28 minutes.
00:27:53.280 Oh, yeah, that's right.
00:27:54.000 It did it exactly in 28 minutes.
00:27:57.280 That is correct.
00:27:59.040 Interesting.
00:27:59.440 So it's a 28-minute timer, it looks like, on the locals platform, but it comes right back on.
00:28:07.260 All right.
00:28:07.640 So it does look like there's a 28-minute timer on the locals platform, and it times out.
00:28:15.140 Anyway, sunspots.
00:28:16.760 If you think those sunspots are the thing controlling climate change, you're probably not operating at a high level of understanding or knowledge.
00:28:29.660 That's the sort of problem you have if you do your own research.
00:28:33.180 You know, I always make fun of people doing their own research because we're not qualified.
00:28:39.340 You know, I've got two college degrees and spent a lot of time doing a lot of data analytics and stuff.
00:28:44.860 I'm not qualified.
00:28:45.640 You know, you're not either, to do your own research.
00:28:49.440 But I'll tell you one thing that is the least likely thing to be true.
00:28:53.800 The least likely thing to be true is that sunspots are the hidden cause of climate change.
00:29:00.540 That is the least likely thing of anything about climate change.
00:29:05.040 It's the least likely to be true.
00:29:06.880 I suppose anything could be true.
00:29:08.340 You know, you could be wrong, or I could be wrong about anything.
00:29:11.020 And the reason is because it's so obvious as a thing to check.
00:29:16.520 It has been checked extensively.
00:29:19.360 And the people who are, you know, the consensus of experts say there's absolutely nothing there.
00:29:24.360 But you can find all over the Internet less credible people saying, oh, it's the sunspots, and here's my data, and here's my chart. 0.99
00:29:33.300 And they're all just bullshit. 0.91
00:29:35.420 So, yes, you have seen lots of data and charts telling you sunspots are the real cause. 0.99
00:29:41.260 I will bet, let's see, I don't know if there's a real way to bet on this, because maybe we'll never know the real answer in a way that people will agree.
00:29:52.380 But I was, just think of the setup.
00:29:55.380 All of the scientists have heard this theory about sunspots.
00:29:59.140 All of them.
00:30:00.380 They've all heard it.
00:30:01.900 Now, you're saying to yourself, Scott, if somebody proves climate change is not real, they would lose their job and all that.
00:30:08.840 Now, if somebody proved that sunspots were the cause of climate change, and actually proved it, they would be the most lauded and famous scientists of all time.
00:30:21.040 They would be like the Wright Brothers.
00:30:22.420 They would be like Einstein.
00:30:23.860 Their name would be famous forever.
00:30:25.820 They would write best-selling books.
00:30:27.580 They would be invited to talk.
00:30:29.180 You couldn't get richer than proving sunspots were the cause of climate change.
00:30:36.120 And it hasn't happened.
00:30:37.380 There is enormous financial incentive to show that sunspots, or anything else, causes climate change.
00:30:46.500 Now, I know what you're saying.
00:30:47.600 Oh, these scientists don't want to buck the mainstream.
00:30:53.180 But bucking the mainstream in terms of questioning all their data would be really dangerous.
00:30:59.540 But showing your own data that doesn't question anybody else's, it's just your own data.
00:31:04.800 Hey, look, I found out that the sunspots are causing all this.
00:31:09.360 You would be the most famous scientist in the country.
00:31:12.780 It would be a ticket to wealth.
00:31:14.900 And I think anybody would know that.
00:31:17.140 There are types of things you can't disagree with.
00:31:19.640 Let's say evolution.
00:31:21.020 If you came out with a scientific theory that said evolution was bunk, you'd be dead.
00:31:26.420 You know, your career would be.
00:31:27.440 If you came out and said we've measured, yeah, take the Tony Heller example. 0.55
00:31:33.160 If you came out and said we've measured it wrong, you're dead.
00:31:36.860 You can't, you'll never get away with that. 1.00
00:31:39.080 If you said all our ice core samples are wrong, you're dead. 0.98
00:31:43.980 If you say that the sea level rise, we measured it wrong and the models are wrong, so it's not really going to happen, you're dead.
00:31:54.600 But if you said that I did a study all by myself and I found that sunspots are causing all the problems, you'd be rich.
00:32:03.280 You'd be famous.
00:32:05.120 But your study would have to hold up, right?
00:32:07.600 It'd have to be reproducible, of course.
00:32:09.500 But yeah, no, you, if you dealt with somebody else's data, your career is over.
00:32:18.060 But if you come up with your own new thing that just can stand alone and explain everything else, yeah, somebody do that.
00:32:25.520 So I don't think there's any chance that scientists haven't looked at it thoroughly and they're the right people to look at it and they just haven't found no correlation. 0.96
00:32:33.880 So anything you see on the internet that says there is a correlation is bullshit. 0.75
00:32:37.900 I would bet, well, you can't really bet on it because nobody will ever agree on the conclusion ever, anytime. 0.97
00:32:48.860 All right.
00:32:54.380 So let me ask you this.
00:32:57.260 If sunspots are the cause, then they should be able to predict.
00:33:02.260 Isn't that right?
00:33:03.700 Because can't we predict sunspots?
00:33:05.880 Or am I wrong about that?
00:33:06.920 So you should be able to make a sunspot-related prediction about what the climate will be doing in five years that would be more accurate than the IPCC.
00:33:19.440 And if you could do that, then maybe you'd have something.
00:33:22.360 But I wouldn't worry that that's likely.
00:33:27.420 I would say the least likely of all the possibilities is that sunspots are doing it and science hadn't noticed.
00:33:33.760 It's the least likely possibility.
00:33:36.560 But maybe, you know, anything's possible.
00:33:43.260 The mini ice age, the maunder minimum, yeah, none of that's real.
00:33:47.180 All of that stuff's been studied and debunked thoroughly.
00:33:50.140 There's no money tied to sunspots, but there is.
00:33:58.840 I just told you there is.
00:34:00.560 If an individual scientist or a team of them could prove that the sunspots were the real cause of climate change, they would be rich.
00:34:09.260 If you doubt that, you don't understand anything about anything.
00:34:15.300 But this study would have to hold up.
00:34:17.540 I mean, that's the catch, right?
00:34:19.120 If they just say it's true and it isn't, you don't have much there.
00:34:22.560 Yeah, the worst phrase ever is the science that says.
00:34:30.100 Because science doesn't say anything.
00:34:32.300 People say stuff.
00:34:33.680 And the news tells you stuff.
00:34:35.660 But science actually is silent.
00:34:41.140 Yeah, I know.
00:34:43.220 Somebody says there's no money in fixing it if it doesn't exist.
00:34:46.220 But that doesn't change the fact that the scientist would still have a huge financial incentive to find that sunspots were the real reason, if they were.
00:34:54.980 So you should assume they're not.
00:34:56.520 All right, that's all I have to do today.
00:34:59.140 And I will talk to you tomorrow, YouTubers. 0.99
00:35:01.780 See you then.