Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1465 Scott Adams： Today I Put the Hypnosis Filter on the News So You Can Understand it For the First Time

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, it's time for Coffee with Scott Adams, the best part of the day.

00:00:07.280 I don't know if you've noticed this, but if you start your day off right, everything seems

00:00:11.820 a little bit better.

00:00:13.100 Well, I'm going to be relentlessly positive today.

00:00:17.000 It's all optimism and good news and golden age and all that stuff.

00:00:21.460 But I'm going to put the hypnosis filter on the news so you can see it the way a hypnotist

00:00:26.580 sees it.

00:00:27.120 But first, but first, how about the simultaneous sip and all you need is a cup or a mug or

00:00:32.860 a glass, a tank or a chalice or a canteen jug or a flask or a vessel of any kind.

00:00:37.020 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:39.060 I like coffee.

00:00:40.460 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that

00:00:45.620 makes everything better.

00:00:46.960 Yeah, it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now.

00:00:50.460 Go.

00:00:50.700 Go.

00:00:50.760 And if this wasn't enough, and I think it was, but if it wasn't, it'll be a whiteboard

00:01:02.880 later.

00:01:03.540 Yeah.

00:01:04.920 Yeah.

00:01:05.560 Talk about having it all.

00:01:08.000 They say you can't have it all, but we're going to challenge that today.

00:01:12.240 You're going to have it all.

00:01:13.320 Well, all right, some reason all of my show notes just disappeared.

00:01:21.760 Huh.

00:01:24.340 That's a first.

00:01:26.460 I had them actually open and was looking at them.

00:01:28.840 Well, let's look at trash. 0.69

00:01:32.900 Well, it's a tragedy, folks.

00:01:37.560 My show notes have just disappeared.

00:01:40.460 But as luck would have them, I posted them on the Locals platform.

00:01:44.940 This is going to sound like a clever commercial, but I swear I didn't plan this.

00:01:49.840 If you're a member of the Locals community, I've started posting my show notes before the

00:01:56.080 show.

00:01:56.360 And there they are.

00:02:01.400 Okay.

00:02:02.280 So I'll just read them off the Locals.

00:02:04.940 So I told you I was going to give you the hypnosis filter on the news.

00:02:08.100 So it's basically the persuasion filter.

00:02:10.520 I had a look at the irrational parts of the news.

00:02:13.480 We'll get to all that.

00:02:14.640 But today in California, at least where I live, is the first day of school.

00:02:20.180 First day of school with masks.

00:02:23.260 And that means that today is the first day of mass government-sponsored child abuse.

00:02:29.820 Well, at least according to a lot of us.

00:02:32.720 We'll talk about the statistics of it.

00:02:36.160 But I'm wondering if children wearing masks in school is one TikTok meme away from going

00:02:44.400 away.

00:02:45.540 And let me give you an analogy.

00:02:47.720 When I was in high school a million years ago, we had something called Senior Ditch Day.

00:02:55.920 And it was a day that the seniors would all collectively ditch classes and go to the lake

00:03:00.460 and drink beer illegally and basically just play hooky from school.

00:03:07.740 Now, if three or four of the seniors had decided to do that, they'd probably get in trouble.

00:03:13.740 Well, they'd be absent.

00:03:15.960 Somebody would punish them.

00:03:17.300 Maybe their parents would be mad.

00:03:19.440 But because they all do it, it's just a tradition.

00:03:24.320 So the school just says, ah, crap, what are you going to do?

00:03:27.980 And they just deal with it.

00:03:29.380 So the teachers just have a day off.

00:03:31.580 And the kids all go to the lake.

00:03:34.420 I recall vividly being thrown in that lake on a very cold day.

00:03:41.180 Very cold day.

00:03:43.000 So it wasn't a good day for me if you get thrown in a frozen lake.

00:03:48.580 But it was an accident, actually.

00:03:51.540 But I did end up in the frozen lake.

00:03:54.260 And it seems to me that all it would take is one TikTok meme to tell everybody to take

00:04:03.060 off their masks, I'm talking about students now, to take off their masks at the same time.

00:04:09.420 That is probably all you need.

00:04:11.340 Now, I'm not predicting that'll happen.

00:04:13.080 But I'd like to point out how thin the difference is between everybody wearing masks in school

00:04:21.180 and nobody wearing masks in school.

00:04:24.640 It's probably right on just a little bit it would take to completely change the situation.

00:04:30.480 All it would take is one meme that says do it at the same time.

00:04:36.120 And if the kids bought into it, that's all it would take.

00:04:39.540 So if Senior Ditch Day works, could it be scaled up?

00:04:44.100 Here's some indication of good news to come.

00:04:48.020 I've told you many times that we'll never be able to tax and spend our way to everybody

00:04:54.760 having everything they need.

00:04:55.960 We're going to have to lower the cost of a high-quality life.

00:05:01.100 You know, your housing, your food, etc.

00:05:03.500 And there's something happening here that's really exciting in that world.

00:05:08.320 Do you know what ADUs are?

00:05:09.940 It's probably a term that is local.

00:05:13.800 But it refers to, I forget what ADU stands for, something like, it's like an extra unit of

00:05:21.120 living space, basically a building that you can put into your backyard that would be a

00:05:25.940 stand-alone home for, you know, an in-law or somebody who just needed a little care.

00:05:32.380 And there's one called Boxable.

00:05:34.780 The company is called Boxable.

00:05:36.680 And it's a folding home.

00:05:39.320 They actually ship it, fold it up, and then on site the walls just fold out and the furniture

00:05:45.120 is already there, or at least the built-in stuff is already there.

00:05:47.860 They claim they can give you 375 square feet of buildings of space, which would be, you

00:05:56.220 know, a pretty tiny apartment, but it would have a kitchen, bathroom, bedroom, little living

00:06:00.620 area.

00:06:01.900 Now, if it starts at 50K, just for the unfolding box itself, and you figure that's the starting

00:06:08.220 price, so the one you want is going to be more than that, then you add your land, your

00:06:12.920 taxes, your permits, your plumbing, your sewer, and all that stuff.

00:06:16.080 So, I don't know, could you get the cost of a decent home down to $100,000, and then

00:06:25.080 everything changes?

00:06:26.820 I think you could, and I think we're heading in that way.

00:06:29.300 But it looks like the ADU industry is what's going to lead the way, because they're going

00:06:34.360 to do all the innovations for how to make the cheapest home, and I think that's just a

00:06:39.400 crossover of regular homes.

00:06:40.860 All right, here's a warning to you.

00:06:45.500 Beware of your own certainty.

00:06:47.980 Do you ever wonder, let's say you wanted to know, are you hallucinating your opinion,

00:06:54.820 or do you have a rational opinion?

00:06:57.860 Because wouldn't you like to know that?

00:07:00.040 You probably know that the only person who can't tell they're crazy is the crazy person,

00:07:05.820 right?

00:07:06.440 The person who doesn't know they're hallucinating is the one who's doing it, but everybody else

00:07:11.800 can see it.

00:07:12.660 You know, if you run into somebody who's hallucinating, you can tell.

00:07:16.200 It's easy, but they can't tell.

00:07:18.820 So, wouldn't you like a little rule that you could use, just an objective little rule, to

00:07:24.540 know if you're hallucinating?

00:07:27.000 All right?

00:07:27.900 Well, here's one.

00:07:28.780 Now, this is not one of those 100% rules.

00:07:32.380 It's just a really good indication that you're hallucinating, and it goes like this.

00:07:38.080 You have certainty about the uncertain.

00:07:42.080 That's it.

00:07:43.340 Do you have certainty about something that really can't be known?

00:07:47.320 For example, are you certain, just totally dead certain, that getting the vaccination is

00:07:53.840 better than not?

00:07:55.200 Or, the other way, are you dead certain that the reverse is true?

00:08:01.020 If you're dead certain about either of those things or anything else, you're probably hallucinating.

00:08:07.560 In other words, you could be reasonably sure that your opinion is not moored to any facts

00:08:13.780 or rational anything.

00:08:15.720 It could be right.

00:08:17.120 I'm not saying you're wrong.

00:08:18.180 I'm saying that you might have arrived at your decision through an irrational process.

00:08:22.600 And certainty is really a tell for that.

00:08:26.600 If you see somebody saying, well, you know, I'm like 80% sure that vaccinations are a good

00:08:32.760 idea.

00:08:33.520 Is that person hallucinating?

00:08:36.780 No.

00:08:37.620 No.

00:08:37.900 They could be right, and they could be wrong.

00:08:40.720 The 80% could be way off.

00:08:42.660 Or it could be right, and they made the wrong choice.

00:08:46.620 But they're at least not hallucinating.

00:08:48.180 If you're talking in terms of probability, you're probably looking at data and doing the

00:08:54.240 best you can with rational thought.

00:08:56.260 We're not good at it.

00:08:57.560 But at least you're trying.

00:08:59.000 If you have certainty, that's a tell.

00:09:02.840 It's a gigantic tell.

00:09:05.260 All right.

00:09:07.460 That's your first tip, how to know you're hallucinating.

00:09:09.840 Is it my imagination, or has Trump been a little bit too quiet recently?

00:09:17.000 Right?

00:09:19.060 Because he's fairly consistent about staying in the news.

00:09:23.020 But correct me if I'm wrong.

00:09:25.280 Hasn't Trump gone quiet?

00:09:28.140 And if he has, is something coming?

00:09:32.120 Is there something coming?

00:09:33.820 Maybe he's working on legal issues because of his taxes or whatever.

00:09:40.380 I don't know.

00:09:40.900 So he might be working on something.

00:09:44.000 But still, wouldn't he make sure that he issued some provocative statements to get in the news

00:09:50.140 again?

00:09:51.460 Well, no, I don't think it's a storm coming, as somebody just said.

00:09:55.340 But there's something coming, right?

00:10:00.040 You feel it, don't you?

00:10:01.940 Because he's too quiet.

00:10:04.260 So that's one of the things that I like to look at, is the dog that's not barking.

00:10:10.280 And at the moment, Trump is not barking.

00:10:12.320 And you've got to ask why.

00:10:14.260 Either something big is coming, or it's a mystery.

00:10:19.940 All right.

00:10:22.020 Here's some China persuasion. 1.00

00:10:26.600 Why is it that we still do business, we, the business community, in the United States

00:10:32.460 and other countries, why do we still do business with China when we know that there are clear 0.96

00:10:38.700 business risks and also horrible things going on?

00:10:43.640 Let's say the Uyghurs being put into camps. 1.00

00:10:46.900 Let's say the allegations that the Falun Gong people are being used for unwilling donations

00:10:56.660 of body parts, you know, transplants and stuff.

00:11:00.300 I mean, they're just horrible allegations against China.

00:11:05.220 And we still do business there.

00:11:07.720 We still do business.

00:11:08.980 Why is that?

00:11:09.840 All right.

00:11:10.040 Here's the hypnotist filter on it.

00:11:12.740 The reason is it doesn't affect us.

00:11:14.400 Have you once had your day affected by the Uyghurs being in camps? 1.00

00:11:22.780 Well, if you have any kind of an empathy for human beings, you certainly had some empathy

00:11:28.420 for it.

00:11:28.880 You felt bad.

00:11:29.520 You thought you should do something about it.

00:11:31.520 You know, maybe you doubled down on your intentions to not buy from China or something.

00:11:35.980 But mostly, mostly it didn't affect you, right?

00:11:39.880 Maybe a little bit in your head, but it didn't affect your day, right?

00:11:44.000 So it doesn't matter how good an argument is, how moral it is, how ethical it is, what's

00:11:53.060 right and what's wrong.

00:11:54.880 We kind of care what affects us today, right?

00:11:58.020 That just matters more.

00:11:59.460 Because we're not really all about the morality and the principle when it comes down to it.

00:12:05.140 It's not very predictive.

00:12:07.260 But I'll tell you what is predictive.

00:12:08.820 If China gets, let's say we find out that the Wuhan lab was absolutely the source of 0.99

00:12:18.360 a, in any way, engineered virus.

00:12:21.920 And that China is, let's say, held accountable for letting it happen and for maybe covering 0.96

00:12:28.240 it up.

00:12:29.120 So those things both seem reasonably likely to happen.

00:12:32.140 What happens then to China as a place to do business?

00:12:38.500 Because let's say you're Nike.

00:12:41.820 You're Nike and you say, gosh, I really want to keep making my sneakers there because I'm

00:12:46.660 getting good quality.

00:12:47.820 I'm getting the good price.

00:12:49.380 I don't want to have to make a change.

00:12:50.920 It would be really expensive.

00:12:52.340 We've got business relationships.

00:12:54.260 I really, really, really, really, really want to just keep making my sneakers in China.

00:12:58.440 Well, they can get away with that as long as their customers say some form of, you know,

00:13:06.300 I hate what China's doing, but it doesn't seem to affect me. 0.86

00:13:10.300 But what happens when it does?

00:13:12.300 What happens when the thing you think about China is the Wuhan lab causing the pandemic? 0.72

00:13:17.700 Because the pandemic affects you.

00:13:21.340 All right.

00:13:21.520 If you're wearing a mask anywhere, it's because of China. 0.97

00:13:25.760 Or it'll feel like that if the attribution goes to the Wuhan lab.

00:13:33.060 And I feel like this will be a turning point for China that it seems likely that we're going 1.00

00:13:38.360 to attribute the problem to the lab.

00:13:40.720 And it seems likely that the story, the narrative will include China covering it up.

00:13:46.760 The two worst things that you could compare.

00:13:49.020 At that point, it's personal.

00:13:52.980 You see the difference?

00:13:53.900 And so this is the hypnotist's filter on the news.

00:13:58.640 As long as what China is doing that's bad is just a concept, yeah, they stole some intellectual 0.88

00:14:04.640 property from somebody I don't know, the company I don't care about.

00:14:11.580 I don't know.

00:14:12.640 They locked up some people for their religious views, the Uyghurs. 0.95

00:14:16.760 Well, but I still went to work and my day was exactly the same.

00:14:24.360 Yeah.

00:14:24.600 Even fentanyl.

00:14:26.020 You know, I'm activated because fentanyl touched my family.

00:14:30.740 But what if it hadn't?

00:14:32.680 What if I never knew anybody who had a fentanyl overdose?

00:14:35.600 I wouldn't feel any personal connection to China whatsoever.

00:14:38.120 But it's personal for me, and I think that it's going to get personal for a lot of Americans

00:14:43.900 when China becomes the cause of the pandemic, more so than you already think. 0.96

00:14:51.220 You know, I think there's another level for that.

00:14:53.200 So I think China has got... 0.88

00:14:54.860 China has enormous problems, and I don't even know if they know how big they are. 1.00

00:14:59.420 Because if you're in China, can you really read the mood of the United States? 0.97

00:15:04.620 Because their fate sort of depends on our mood, doesn't it?

00:15:09.740 I mean, literally?

00:15:11.080 Literally, our mood in the United States will determine the future of China.

00:15:15.920 And our mood is on the border right now between,

00:15:20.840 eh, it's not my problem.

00:15:23.000 Yeah, I don't like China.

00:15:23.920 Not my problem.

00:15:24.900 And you did this to me, China. 0.97

00:15:27.820 That's a big difference.

00:15:29.800 China's in trouble.

00:15:31.380 Let me give you a little inspirational lesson here.

00:15:35.020 I'm going to plop this right in the middle of my news talk.

00:15:37.900 Three experiences on learning and motivation.

00:15:40.680 I'm going to give you three just quick little anecdotes,

00:15:44.320 and then tie them together.

00:15:46.880 Years ago, when I was first trying to get syndicated as a cartoonist,

00:15:51.540 which is the big break for a cartoonist,

00:15:53.240 I sent my samples to a number of cartoon syndication companies.

00:15:57.200 They're the ones who make a deal with a cartoonist, which is your big break,

00:16:01.520 and then they sell it to newspapers and license it and stuff if you're lucky.

00:16:05.040 So I submitted my stuff to the several syndicates that existed at the time.

00:16:10.720 Most of them just rejected me, you know, with just a form letter.

00:16:15.660 But one of them rejected me by telling me that my writing might have some merit,

00:16:20.280 but I should find somebody else to do the drawing for me.

00:16:26.340 Just what you want to hear when you're trying to become a professional cartoonist

00:16:30.200 is one of the most knowledgeable people in the industry,

00:16:33.660 an editor at a top syndication company,

00:16:36.660 telling you that maybe you should look into having somebody else do the hard part,

00:16:41.420 the drawing.

00:16:41.880 So that wasn't so good for my cartooning ego.

00:16:49.560 But I took all of my materials and I put them in a closet and I said to myself,

00:16:53.820 well, I tried.

00:16:55.260 And I felt good that I tried, but of course it was an abject failure.

00:17:00.100 A few months later I get a call from Sarah Gillespie, an editor at United Media,

00:17:04.020 the biggest, I think they were the biggest, cartoon syndication company.

00:17:07.880 And I thought I'd gotten all of my rejections,

00:17:11.360 but somehow I'd missed that I hadn't heard from them.

00:17:14.000 And she offered me a contract right over the phone to become a syndicated cartoonist,

00:17:19.820 which turned out to be my big break that made Dilbert successful.

00:17:24.560 And toward the end of the conversation, you know,

00:17:26.700 I'm still reeling from the fact that I got this offer at all.

00:17:30.220 I said to her, but I realized that my drawing style is not up to any professional level.

00:17:36.020 And I said, I'd be willing, you know, if you think this would make the product better,

00:17:40.540 I'd be willing to work with an artist to do the actual drawing for me

00:17:44.380 and maybe I could just do the writing.

00:17:46.780 And Sarah Gillespie said to me,

00:17:48.840 what's wrong with your art?

00:17:51.760 It's fine just the way it is.

00:17:55.100 So she wizard of Oz me.

00:17:58.000 She frickin wizard of Oz me.

00:17:59.980 Do you know what happened to my drawing quality within 24 hours of being told

00:18:06.280 that I was a professional cartoonist

00:18:08.260 and that my current drawing style was already professional class,

00:18:14.840 which I didn't believe to be even close to true.

00:18:18.820 The moment a professional at the top of the industry told me that my drawing was good enough,

00:18:25.440 the drawing style improved about 30% in a day and then kept improving.

00:18:34.520 So at this point, you know, I'm certainly not an artist with a capital A,

00:18:38.540 but certainly my comic is well drawn and executed, you know, just through practice.

00:18:44.960 So that's your first lesson,

00:18:47.160 that somebody literally changed my performance in one day by about 30%,

00:18:51.860 I would figure, simply by telling me that I was worthy.

00:18:56.440 That's it.

00:18:57.220 Now hold that story for a moment.

00:18:58.540 Here comes another one.

00:19:00.420 I took the Dale Carnegie course.

00:19:02.160 You've heard this story where you learn to do public speaking

00:19:05.240 and also interacting with strangers, you know, small talk and stuff.

00:19:08.680 And you learn a bunch of things about how to be comfortable

00:19:10.820 in these uncomfortable social situations, especially giving a speech.

00:19:15.600 And the technique that Dale Carnegie uses, I've told this story a bunch of times,

00:19:21.300 is they only give you compliments.

00:19:24.240 That's it.

00:19:25.360 That's the whole technique.

00:19:27.120 They don't tell you what you did wrong.

00:19:29.220 Imagine trying to learn a skill and nobody ever tells you what you're doing wrong.

00:19:34.360 Not once did they say, stop jingling the change in your pocket.

00:19:38.960 Not once did they say, make eye contact.

00:19:41.400 Not once did the instructor tell anybody that anything was imperfect.

00:19:48.180 Not once.

00:19:49.200 The whole class.

00:19:51.020 How many people in that class went from basket cases,

00:19:54.840 just couldn't talk in front of people, literally couldn't even make a word.

00:19:58.540 There were people who couldn't form words in front of a crowd.

00:20:03.640 Like they were just, ah, um, ah, just frozen.

00:20:08.680 And with no specific help, no specific criticism, and only encouragement,

00:20:16.700 telling you what you did right, even if it was a small thing,

00:20:20.540 how many of the, I don't know, there were probably 25 people in the class that I took,

00:20:24.860 how many of them do you think became really good speakers at the end of, I don't know,

00:20:29.840 10 weeks or something?

00:20:31.460 100%.

00:20:31.900 I've never seen anything like it.

00:20:35.080 100%.

00:20:35.600 Every single person there could stand up on a moment's notice and give a speech to a large crowd of people

00:20:43.300 without dropping a bead of sweat.

00:20:47.920 Third story.

00:20:50.320 Some of you know I've been trying to learn drums.

00:20:54.360 I started with an online teacher who was very good at a lot of getting me the basics.

00:20:59.700 But ultimately, it wasn't quite making progress, and I thought, oh, I'll try to be an autodidact,

00:21:07.180 self-teach myself, look at a lot of YouTube videos and see how far I can get.

00:21:12.200 Didn't work at all.

00:21:13.700 All right?

00:21:14.180 There are a lot of things that I can teach myself.

00:21:17.000 I'm mostly self-taught in most of the things I do.

00:21:20.140 But I couldn't get there.

00:21:21.840 The drumming was beyond my ability to self-teach.

00:21:24.960 So I now have a new drum teacher, and he's come over, I don't know, half a dozen times or more.

00:21:33.060 And we do half an hour, and my drumming is way better, just with a few lessons, just way better.

00:21:41.720 And I realized, I didn't realize this until yesterday, that I've had all these lessons with this instructor.

00:21:49.020 He's never once told me I was doing anything wrong.

00:21:54.100 Not once.

00:21:55.820 He never once told me I did anything wrong.

00:21:58.760 In all those lessons.

00:22:00.320 The only thing he does is he tells me I did great, and I must have been practicing during the week.

00:22:06.200 Which I wasn't.

00:22:08.300 He's actually complimenting me for things I didn't do.

00:22:11.640 Like practicing.

00:22:13.500 You know, I mean, I practice a little bit, not enough to make a difference.

00:22:15.860 But how much better is my drumming with nothing but positive reinforcement?

00:22:22.820 Way better.

00:22:24.340 Way better.

00:22:25.620 It's like, you know, suddenly, it just, you know, the curve just went straight up.

00:22:32.220 And it has nothing to do with anything except the fact that he told me I was good, and I didn't believe it.

00:22:38.720 Because I'm not.

00:22:40.220 But the fact that he tells me that makes me interested.

00:22:43.640 And then I'm excited.

00:22:44.440 And then I can learn it.

00:22:46.320 So suddenly the ability to learn just sort of turns on.

00:22:50.660 Now, this particular drum instructor also is a personal trainer.

00:22:56.280 You know, piano instructor.

00:22:58.100 He instructs Christina in piano as well.

00:23:01.380 And his technique is basically to make people successful.

00:23:05.760 Here's the fourth story.

00:23:06.700 I had a neighbor who was a tennis pro.

00:23:09.780 And I would ask him, how do you teach little kids to play tennis when every time they swing the racket, they're not going to hit the ball back?

00:23:18.700 So how do you go from, I never hit a ball back, to being a tennis player?

00:23:24.180 Like, how could you get past the mental part of, well, it failed a billion times in a row.

00:23:29.480 This is fun.

00:23:30.080 And he told me that you only teach them success.

00:23:33.840 So if he has a little kid who basically can barely hold a tennis racket, he has them walk right up to the net, and then he tosses a ball to them from two feet away and has them go, whoop, and just swing the racket in the general direction.

00:23:48.780 He hits some part of the racket and ends up on his side of the court, and then he praises them.

00:23:55.580 And that's all he does.

00:23:56.800 He'll stand there for an hour, just going, whoop, you know, a two foot, and the kid swings, and it goes on, it hits the ground, and the kid's happy.

00:24:04.820 All he teaches is success.

00:24:07.340 And then they get interested.

00:24:08.960 And as they get older, their ability to hold a racket improves, and they just get into it entirely through being interested.

00:24:17.180 So that's your micro lesson of the day.

00:24:21.260 It's sort of similar to the things I put on the Locals platform.

00:24:24.840 I've got a number of them queued up that I'm going to be adding there soon, if you like that kind of stuff.

00:24:31.440 Rasmussen has a poll asking people, has Biden kept his campaign promises?

00:24:37.040 More, less, or about the same as most presidents?

00:24:40.620 30% said he's done better than most presidents.

00:24:44.320 41% said he's done less well in terms of keeping his promises.

00:24:50.560 25% about the same.

00:24:53.460 25%.

00:24:54.100 But here's the interesting part.

00:25:01.940 In every poll, every political poll, and even a lot of scientific-related polls,

00:25:08.700 we expect this gigantic difference between conservatives and liberals.

00:25:13.060 And sure enough, 63% of conservatives think Biden has done less well than other presidents at keeping his promises.

00:25:22.700 But yet, a fairly similar amount of liberals think he has.

00:25:28.000 So the people who like Biden the least, the conservatives, think he's not keeping his promises.

00:25:35.860 Isn't that good?

00:25:39.140 Wait a minute.

00:25:40.220 If the people who don't like Biden believe he's not keeping his promises, then they should be kind of happy.

00:25:47.080 But wait, 58% of liberals think he is keeping his promises better than usual.

00:25:52.420 So they're happy too.

00:25:53.700 How weird is it that both the conservatives and the liberals got what they wanted, as far as they can tell?

00:26:02.180 The conservatives think they got what they wanted because he's not doing his promises.

00:26:06.820 And the liberals think they did get what they wanted because he's keeping his promises.

00:26:12.480 They're both happy.

00:26:13.480 You know, something like 60%-ish of both groups kind of getting what they want.

00:26:21.340 I mean, indirectly, not completely.

00:26:24.640 So there's some good news.

00:26:27.700 See, I told you I was going to put the optimistic filter on everything.

00:26:31.860 That's what that was.

00:26:33.580 Yes, we're going to talk about Governor Cuomo resigning.

00:26:36.820 Why do you think Cuomo had to resign with these allegations, but Trump did not and went on to win the presidency?

00:26:45.780 In the comments, let's put the hypnosis filter on it yourself.

00:26:51.040 Tell me what was different.

00:26:53.140 Why did Trump survive allegations and Cuomo did not?

00:27:00.300 I see somebody saying the brand.

00:27:03.060 Close.

00:27:04.160 And maybe that's correct.

00:27:06.820 In office when it happened?

00:27:09.600 Okay.

00:27:10.740 I don't know if that makes a difference.

00:27:13.720 Damn it.

00:27:14.380 I just lost my local's feed.

00:27:16.020 28-minute cutoff.

00:27:18.160 But they're used to it now.

00:27:20.520 So nursing home deaths?

00:27:22.640 Oh, that's...

00:27:23.240 Yeah.

00:27:24.060 The nursing home deaths might have been the real reason, huh?

00:27:26.880 And people just used whatever they could.

00:27:29.320 So it could be that it's a fake because, right?

00:27:36.820 Hello, locals.

00:27:37.680 You're back.

00:27:40.740 So, yeah, I'll give you the answer.

00:27:42.460 You didn't miss the answer.

00:27:45.080 Here's the answer.

00:27:46.660 Trump inoculated you.

00:27:49.240 He inoculated you.

00:27:51.840 Trump...

00:27:52.600 Trump gave you the vaccination, oddly enough.

00:27:56.980 You were vaccinated against accusations about Trump.

00:28:01.320 Because what did Trump tell you directly?

00:28:04.440 My favorite thing that Trump has ever said,

00:28:07.760 at any time, president or pre-president or ex-president,

00:28:11.040 my favorite thing he ever said was,

00:28:13.460 in public,

00:28:14.980 I'm no angel.

00:28:18.040 His actual words, right?

00:28:20.360 I'm no angel.

00:28:21.040 And was there anybody who,

00:28:24.200 when he entered,

00:28:25.140 when he entered the race,

00:28:26.480 is there anybody who thought there wouldn't be

00:28:28.400 allegations of sexual something?

00:28:32.080 Nobody thought that.

00:28:33.780 Everybody who lives in the real world said,

00:28:35.840 well, wait for these stories.

00:28:37.580 We're going to see some good stories here.

00:28:39.760 And sure enough,

00:28:41.000 the stories were just as good as we thought they would be.

00:28:44.020 You got your porn star?

00:28:46.060 Check.

00:28:46.920 You got your Playboy Playmate of the Year?

00:28:49.900 Check.

00:28:50.340 You got your allegations of something horrible

00:28:54.140 happening in a dressing room?

00:28:56.200 Well, I didn't see that one coming exactly,

00:28:57.900 but something like that was going to come.

00:29:00.280 Check.

00:29:01.280 You got it all.

00:29:03.380 Now, you could argue that,

00:29:06.080 and I think I would argue this,

00:29:08.120 that the allegations against Trump

00:29:10.040 felt less credible.

00:29:13.940 All right?

00:29:14.400 Now, I'm not going to say that none of it's true,

00:29:16.520 because I wasn't there.

00:29:17.360 And I do agree with the kind of general statement

00:29:21.260 that you should take people seriously

00:29:22.980 when they make allegations.

00:29:24.640 But they didn't feel as true

00:29:27.140 as the Cuomo ones.

00:29:29.640 Now, maybe that's my bias.

00:29:31.420 I don't know.

00:29:32.000 Maybe you'd have a different view.

00:29:33.300 Maybe Democrats and Republicans

00:29:36.620 have different views on that.

00:29:37.900 But it didn't seem as credible.

00:29:40.720 They felt a little manufactured,

00:29:43.020 even if they were true.

00:29:44.260 They didn't feel as true.

00:29:46.400 So I would say that the biggest thing

00:29:49.300 that Trump did right is he inoculated you,

00:29:51.900 and you knew that his brand was consistent

00:29:54.580 with being kind of that guy,

00:29:57.480 like it or not.

00:29:58.480 Whereas Cuomo was sort of the lefty,

00:30:03.880 support all women,

00:30:05.700 he shouldn't have been that guy.

00:30:07.480 So they had to get rid of their own guy

00:30:09.600 for being too much like Trump.

00:30:15.120 All right, so here are the things

00:30:17.540 that won't get you fired at CNN.

00:30:19.280 Of course, the big story that we want to talk about

00:30:22.100 is Chris Cuomo interviewing his brother

00:30:25.380 and, you know, being basically a cheerleader

00:30:28.480 instead of asking him hard questions

00:30:30.680 and, you know, it's inappropriate

00:30:32.980 and, you know, Chris Cuomo was advising his brother

00:30:37.100 so it's extra creepy, blah, blah, blah.

00:30:40.060 Here's my take on that.

00:30:42.280 I don't care.

00:30:44.640 Why do you care about that?

00:30:47.060 Why do you care that Chris Cuomo

00:30:49.720 is the brother of Andrew Cuomo

00:30:52.200 and that Chris Cuomo treated him extra, extra nice on TV?

00:30:57.740 Why do you care about that?

00:30:59.600 Was there anybody there who thought

00:31:01.320 that a brother was not going to talk to his brother

00:31:06.540 or give advice?

00:31:08.580 Nobody.

00:31:10.060 Nobody.

00:31:10.800 There's not one person in the world

00:31:12.100 who thought that was reasonable,

00:31:14.000 that a brother doesn't talk to another brother

00:31:15.820 under any conditions.

00:31:18.060 I don't care who it is.

00:31:19.460 I don't care if it's part of the legal system.

00:31:23.320 You know, I don't care if they've got conflict of interest.

00:31:26.920 Under no circumstance

00:31:28.780 do you tell me that there's something wrong

00:31:32.340 with a brother talking to a brother.

00:31:34.220 I'm sorry.

00:31:35.420 That's an absolute.

00:31:37.220 There's some things that are just absolutes.

00:31:40.280 That's a fucking absolute.

00:31:41.900 Sorry.

00:31:42.840 I'm trying to curse last.

00:31:44.240 That's just an absolute.

00:31:45.320 So if you're getting worked up about a brother

00:31:49.040 talking to a brother,

00:31:50.820 I mean, check your thinking there.

00:31:53.800 It's not a standard you want.

00:31:55.860 I mean, you don't want that applied to you.

00:31:57.920 So I can't get mad about that.

00:32:00.180 Nor can I get mad that, you know,

00:32:03.600 it was, you know,

00:32:05.300 such nice treatment of his brother.

00:32:07.700 Because what do you expect?

00:32:09.660 Secondly, I found it entertaining.

00:32:11.600 CNN is an entertainment network

00:32:15.920 as much as a news network.

00:32:17.540 Maybe more entertainment, you could argue.

00:32:19.680 I personally enjoyed watching the brothers talk

00:32:23.380 because it was like an extra layer

00:32:25.000 of something interesting.

00:32:26.340 But as long as you know it's an opinion program,

00:32:29.540 who cares?

00:32:32.220 If it were the news segment,

00:32:38.040 I would say that's a big problem.

00:32:39.240 But if something is clearly an opinion show

00:32:42.420 and somebody in an opinion show

00:32:44.500 is talking to their brother,

00:32:47.380 is there anybody who doesn't understand

00:32:49.280 that that's supposed to be biased?

00:32:52.140 I don't know.

00:32:52.700 I just don't have any problem

00:32:53.940 with Chris Cuomo on any of this.

00:32:57.720 So, I mean, it'd be fun if I did, right?

00:33:00.660 You'd probably enjoy it more.

00:33:02.020 It'd be more entertaining.

00:33:02.980 But really?

00:33:04.300 Now, let me ask you this.

00:33:05.600 In brainwashing news.

00:33:11.660 Brainwashing news.

00:33:14.880 How is it that we have been convinced

00:33:17.240 that some of the most important news in the country

00:33:19.780 has to do with what Tucker Carlson says or does

00:33:23.320 and Chris Cuomo says or does,

00:33:26.340 who are basically competitors, right?

00:33:28.740 The two competing networks.

00:33:30.420 Is the time slots the same?

00:33:32.700 Somebody give me a fact check.

00:33:34.100 Is Chris Cuomo's show the same

00:33:37.320 as Tucker Carlson's time slot?

00:33:39.660 I think it is, right?

00:33:41.720 Somebody tell me for sure.

00:33:48.020 Looks like I got some crackling audio over on...

00:33:53.100 over on Locals.

00:33:56.740 Play with my cables a little bit

00:33:58.280 and see if anything changes.

00:34:01.340 You'll tell me.

00:34:02.160 All right.

00:34:04.720 So, if you think that it's natural

00:34:07.040 that we're all talking about Chris Cuomo

00:34:09.320 and Tucker Carlson

00:34:10.500 when they are the two opinion people

00:34:13.360 on the two, I would say,

00:34:14.540 the most news-making entities right now.

00:34:17.600 If Fox or CNN says something's news,

00:34:20.440 then it's news, I guess.

00:34:23.140 You've been brainwashed.

00:34:26.240 You've been brainwashed.

00:34:27.440 Because these are not important things.

00:34:31.960 What Chris Cuomo says about his brother,

00:34:34.460 totally unimportant.

00:34:35.780 What Tucker Carlson says is very entertaining

00:34:38.380 and often, you know,

00:34:39.860 some of the bravest stuff that's on TV.

00:34:43.000 But I don't know that you should treat that

00:34:45.940 as one of your top priorities,

00:34:47.740 but it feels like it

00:34:48.860 because they're in the news.

00:34:50.400 So, just consider that

00:34:51.960 what you consider to be important

00:34:53.920 and worthy of your brain cycles

00:34:56.760 has been assigned to you.

00:34:59.540 The thought that Tucker Carlson

00:35:02.740 and Chris Cuomo,

00:35:04.420 you know, that they're the story,

00:35:06.480 as awesome as they both are,

00:35:07.840 I think they're both great at their jobs individually,

00:35:12.240 you've been brainwashed. 0.61

00:35:14.120 They're not important,

00:35:15.500 but great.

00:35:16.180 They're great at their jobs.

00:35:17.060 I'd like to give you my impression

00:35:22.140 of talking about the infrastructure bill,

00:35:25.520 which has gone through

00:35:26.560 some of the first procedural hurdles.

00:35:29.720 I'm going to try to do this

00:35:31.160 while staying awake

00:35:32.360 to the end of the sentence.

00:35:34.720 All right?

00:35:35.000 So, I haven't tried this before in public,

00:35:37.520 so this could be embarrassing,

00:35:39.500 but I'm going to read a sentence

00:35:40.980 about the infrastructure bill.

00:35:43.220 I'm going to try to remain awake

00:35:46.060 awake and conscious

00:35:47.320 from the beginning of the sentence

00:35:49.580 to the end of the sentence,

00:35:50.800 and I'm going to see if I can do that.

00:35:57.060 Ready.

00:35:58.820 All right.

00:36:00.260 A 15-hour votarama,

00:36:02.960 which is a procedural move,

00:36:05.100 to pass the framework

00:36:07.900 of the reconciliation

00:36:09.800 package

00:36:14.680 for the infrastructure...

00:36:18.100 were we talking about

00:36:29.340 the infrastructure bill

00:36:30.320 or something?

00:36:31.940 Something about money or something?

00:36:33.700 I don't know.

00:36:34.560 I don't even remember

00:36:35.560 what we were talking about.

00:36:37.440 So, that's what I have to say

00:36:38.920 about the infrastructure bill.

00:36:39.960 Now, I would put myself

00:36:44.140 in perhaps the top...

00:36:48.600 Let's do a fact check on this.

00:36:50.340 Let's see if you agree

00:36:51.340 or disagree with this

00:36:52.300 following assumption.

00:36:53.880 I think I'm in the top 5%

00:36:56.020 of people who follow the news.

00:36:59.560 I'm not sure that's the same

00:37:00.860 as being well-informed,

00:37:02.080 but let's say I'm in the top 5%

00:37:03.620 of people who follow

00:37:04.780 most of the big news stories.

00:37:06.640 I have no idea

00:37:08.640 what's in the infrastructure bill.

00:37:10.860 Do you?

00:37:12.200 I mean, I know the headline stuff.

00:37:14.780 Oh, a bunch of socialism stuff

00:37:16.620 got in there,

00:37:17.460 and why are we calling

00:37:18.780 this infrastructure?

00:37:22.020 And there's some stuff

00:37:23.300 that's in there,

00:37:24.020 but then it's taken out,

00:37:25.140 and then the Republicans

00:37:26.240 took it out,

00:37:27.040 but then Nancy Pelosi

00:37:29.540 might put it in

00:37:30.440 with reconciliation,

00:37:31.660 and what the hell

00:37:32.220 is reconciliation anyway?

00:37:33.500 Does anybody understand

00:37:37.260 what's in the infrastructure bill?

00:37:39.380 Do you know why

00:37:40.260 the public should oppose

00:37:41.700 the infrastructure bill?

00:37:43.740 Because they can't

00:37:44.580 explain it to us.

00:37:47.500 Basically, you should oppose

00:37:48.660 anything that nobody

00:37:49.620 will explain to you

00:37:50.480 in a way that you can

00:37:51.740 understand it

00:37:52.560 in some easy way.

00:37:54.000 Now, I have seen,

00:37:54.760 I think, the New York Times.

00:37:56.680 I've seen some graphs

00:37:57.740 that show what's in

00:37:58.520 and what's out,

00:37:59.100 and I've looked at those graphs,

00:38:00.300 and I didn't really understand them.

00:38:01.420 Somehow, they made it

00:38:03.200 too complicated.

00:38:04.660 I feel as if there's

00:38:06.020 some way to tell this story

00:38:07.620 that you'd understand,

00:38:10.160 but it hasn't happened.

00:38:11.920 Yeah, it's like Obamacare.

00:38:13.340 Once something reaches

00:38:14.380 a level of complication,

00:38:17.100 and the public is essentially

00:38:18.960 taken out of the process,

00:38:21.620 because we just don't know

00:38:22.540 what's in there,

00:38:23.220 what should be in there,

00:38:24.140 how the process works,

00:38:25.240 anything.

00:38:27.060 So I think the public

00:38:28.040 can't help on this one.

00:38:28.840 That's part of the reason

00:38:31.140 that I think it's

00:38:32.220 whatever optimism you have

00:38:34.280 about this getting passed,

00:38:36.380 I don't know.

00:38:37.740 I don't know.

00:38:38.740 We'll see.

00:38:42.840 So here's something

00:38:44.760 that really makes you question

00:38:46.680 the simulation

00:38:47.440 or reality itself.

00:38:49.360 Why is it that the idea

00:38:51.920 that you follow the money

00:38:53.260 to understand

00:38:54.500 what's really happening

00:38:55.420 in the world,

00:38:56.420 why does it keep working?

00:38:58.840 Especially for prediction.

00:39:00.920 Even when it doesn't look like

00:39:02.720 it should be the reason

00:39:03.640 for anything,

00:39:04.780 it keeps working.

00:39:06.560 So this is what I told you

00:39:07.600 about prediction.

00:39:09.020 Even if you think

00:39:09.940 the main reasons

00:39:11.420 for why something will

00:39:12.660 or will not happen

00:39:13.620 in the future

00:39:14.160 have nothing to do

00:39:15.540 with money,

00:39:17.020 watch how often

00:39:18.060 the money

00:39:19.580 coincidentally

00:39:20.720 also predicts.

00:39:24.140 Let me give you

00:39:24.940 some examples.

00:39:25.520 what were the odds

00:39:29.220 that we would need

00:39:30.480 booster shots

00:39:31.400 for the vaccinations,

00:39:33.140 which would be

00:39:34.620 wildly profitable

00:39:35.860 for the people

00:39:37.460 who make booster shots

00:39:39.020 and the vaccinations.

00:39:41.600 Now,

00:39:42.220 I don't think

00:39:43.000 the reason

00:39:43.720 that we need

00:39:45.000 booster shots

00:39:45.760 is because

00:39:46.700 it was all

00:39:47.240 a plan

00:39:47.960 to make them

00:39:48.600 ineffective

00:39:49.140 so they could

00:39:49.700 make more money

00:39:50.300 with booster shots.

00:39:51.260 I don't think

00:39:51.820 that's the reason.

00:39:52.420 but why is it

00:39:54.480 that if you predicted

00:39:55.660 using money

00:39:56.740 you would have

00:39:57.840 gotten the right answer?

00:40:00.140 Right?

00:40:01.700 Let's take another one,

00:40:02.840 the therapeutics.

00:40:04.400 We know that

00:40:05.420 if the therapeutics

00:40:06.520 were excellent

00:40:07.400 and they all worked,

00:40:09.420 that the vaccination makers

00:40:11.260 would probably

00:40:11.840 make less money

00:40:12.580 and the pharma

00:40:14.940 in general

00:40:15.400 would probably

00:40:15.800 make less money

00:40:16.560 if it turned out

00:40:18.700 that any of the

00:40:19.780 cheap generics

00:40:20.840 or whatever worked.

00:40:22.420 So it turns out

00:40:23.500 that we're told

00:40:24.640 that the therapeutics

00:40:25.620 don't work well enough

00:40:26.840 to make vaccinations

00:40:28.760 unnecessary.

00:40:30.540 Now,

00:40:31.620 is the reason

00:40:32.720 they told us that

00:40:33.660 because of money?

00:40:36.140 I don't think so.

00:40:38.260 I think the reason

00:40:39.100 is that the therapeutics

00:40:40.640 didn't pass

00:40:41.420 enough scientific

00:40:43.260 rigor,

00:40:44.980 I think.

00:40:46.660 But

00:40:47.220 why did money

00:40:48.760 predict exactly

00:40:49.760 what would happen?

00:40:51.180 Again,

00:40:52.420 is it a coincidence?

00:40:54.900 Watch how many times

00:40:56.200 you're sure

00:40:56.840 that the reason

00:40:57.480 is something else

00:40:58.480 and you're really

00:40:59.800 sure of it.

00:41:01.500 But yet,

00:41:02.280 money predicted it.

00:41:04.800 Coincidence?

00:41:07.820 I don't know.

00:41:08.620 It's something to watch.

00:41:10.700 How about

00:41:11.100 Afghanistan?

00:41:14.180 Given what we were

00:41:15.080 spending there

00:41:15.840 and given that

00:41:17.100 we weren't really,

00:41:18.640 didn't seem like

00:41:19.220 we were making

00:41:19.720 any major progress

00:41:21.060 in a permanent solution,

00:41:23.040 could you have

00:41:23.660 predicted that we

00:41:24.460 would eventually

00:41:25.000 move out of Afghanistan 1.00

00:41:26.200 because it just

00:41:26.920 cost too much?

00:41:28.820 Yes.

00:41:29.680 Yes,

00:41:30.000 money would predict

00:41:31.020 that you couldn't

00:41:32.300 stay there forever.

00:41:33.040 And

00:41:34.680 what about

00:41:35.780 the future

00:41:36.480 of China?

00:41:39.060 Well,

00:41:39.680 I think that

00:41:40.220 given the

00:41:40.660 reputational problem

00:41:41.740 and the likely,

00:41:42.960 you know,

00:41:43.280 the Wuhan lab

00:41:44.100 connection

00:41:44.600 that's likely

00:41:45.200 to be

00:41:45.760 demonstrated

00:41:46.600 with some

00:41:48.300 greater level

00:41:49.580 of certainty

00:41:50.040 in the future,

00:41:51.360 I feel like

00:41:52.320 China is doomed.

00:41:53.960 If you were

00:41:54.660 to follow

00:41:55.060 the money,

00:41:56.160 the money says

00:41:57.080 it's going to

00:41:57.520 flow out of China

00:41:58.560 because

00:41:59.660 they'll just

00:42:00.660 be too toxic.

00:42:01.420 So I'm going

00:42:02.720 to predict,

00:42:03.480 as I have,

00:42:04.440 that China's 0.96

00:42:04.960 got some

00:42:05.320 big problems,

00:42:06.720 like so big

00:42:07.540 they don't really

00:42:08.500 have any sense

00:42:09.640 of how big

00:42:10.080 these problems

00:42:10.620 are going to be.

00:42:11.800 That's what

00:42:12.280 the money says.

00:42:13.980 All right,

00:42:14.300 here's some good news.

00:42:15.260 I just saw

00:42:15.800 a video on

00:42:16.820 Mashable,

00:42:17.580 which is a good

00:42:18.280 thing to follow

00:42:18.880 on Twitter,

00:42:19.860 Mashable.

00:42:21.500 There's a

00:42:22.140 pepper harvesting

00:42:22.840 robot.

00:42:23.800 Pepper is being

00:42:24.440 the plant

00:42:25.800 that makes

00:42:26.260 a big pepper.

00:42:27.540 And they showed

00:42:28.040 the robot,

00:42:28.680 it could identify

00:42:29.400 a pepper

00:42:29.860 and it would

00:42:31.180 know it was

00:42:31.660 ripe and

00:42:32.060 would pick

00:42:32.420 it off the

00:42:32.800 vine.

00:42:33.960 So here's

00:42:34.700 what's coming.

00:42:37.120 Farming is

00:42:37.800 pretty expensive.

00:42:39.400 And there are

00:42:39.980 a bunch of

00:42:40.400 risks and

00:42:41.900 expensive,

00:42:42.740 especially if

00:42:43.760 you're doing

00:42:44.020 it outdoors.

00:42:45.160 So if you're

00:42:45.600 doing it

00:42:46.420 outdoors,

00:42:46.960 you've got to

00:42:47.200 worry about

00:42:47.560 weeds,

00:42:48.300 bug sprays,

00:42:49.600 weather damage,

00:42:50.640 flooding and

00:42:51.420 hurricanes and

00:42:52.140 every other

00:42:52.980 thing,

00:42:54.380 lack of water.

00:42:56.380 You've got to

00:42:56.780 worry about

00:42:57.140 labor costs,

00:42:58.060 and then you've

00:42:58.340 got to ship

00:42:59.740 it from your

00:43:00.400 land to

00:43:01.100 wherever the

00:43:01.760 city is.

00:43:02.900 So you've got

00:43:03.240 all these

00:43:03.600 costs.

00:43:05.200 Most of them

00:43:05.900 could go away

00:43:06.720 if indoor

00:43:07.980 farming became

00:43:09.060 more modular.

00:43:10.660 By modular,

00:43:11.600 I mean that

00:43:12.080 somebody makes,

00:43:14.060 like the

00:43:15.020 boxable example,

00:43:16.860 a little indoor

00:43:17.640 farm that can

00:43:19.240 connect side to

00:43:21.220 side with as

00:43:21.940 many other

00:43:22.420 little indoor

00:43:23.020 farms as you

00:43:23.680 want.

00:43:23.980 You can make

00:43:24.360 as long as

00:43:25.340 you want.

00:43:25.700 and once

00:43:28.180 they get

00:43:28.520 the making

00:43:29.560 of the

00:43:29.940 actual farm,

00:43:31.480 which is

00:43:31.880 basically just

00:43:32.580 a glass

00:43:33.200 container with

00:43:34.100 some utilities,

00:43:36.980 once you

00:43:38.500 could make

00:43:38.860 those cheaply

00:43:39.680 and in

00:43:40.080 mass units,

00:43:41.240 and then

00:43:41.460 once you've

00:43:41.940 got...

00:43:43.700 Oh,

00:43:46.220 shit.

00:43:47.680 All right.

00:43:48.820 Problem here.

00:43:50.640 I've got to

00:43:51.480 take care of

00:43:52.180 in a minute.

00:43:52.480 All right.

00:43:57.340 So I think

00:43:58.340 the cost of

00:43:59.320 farming may

00:44:00.040 go way down

00:44:00.840 with...

00:44:05.480 Okay.

00:44:07.700 Somebody needs

00:44:08.560 to know that

00:44:09.140 I'm live

00:44:09.560 streaming right

00:44:10.920 now.

00:44:17.520 Sorry.

00:44:18.980 See, my

00:44:19.360 personal life

00:44:19.980 intrudes

00:44:20.880 sometimes into

00:44:21.560 my professional

00:44:22.200 until...

00:44:26.200 Okay.

00:44:27.920 Looks like

00:44:28.660 we'll be

00:44:29.020 wrapping up

00:44:29.500 here pretty

00:44:29.840 quickly.

00:44:30.660 All right.

00:44:30.900 Let's just

00:44:31.760 finish a few

00:44:32.280 things.

00:44:34.320 In

00:44:34.800 brainwashing

00:44:35.420 news,

00:44:36.000 we're hearing

00:44:36.760 that the

00:44:37.140 Florida

00:44:37.420 health care

00:44:37.820 workers are

00:44:38.340 exhausted

00:44:38.760 and angry.

00:44:40.380 And here's

00:44:42.620 the thing.

00:44:43.500 Is that

00:44:43.900 good persuasion?

00:44:45.220 The people

00:44:45.660 who want you

00:44:46.120 to get

00:44:46.400 vaccinated

00:44:46.880 are doing

00:44:47.300 stories about

00:44:48.140 health care

00:44:49.220 workers who

00:44:49.840 are exhausted

00:44:50.340 and angry.

00:44:51.020 Will that

00:44:51.400 convince you

00:44:54.260 that you

00:44:55.560 better get

00:44:55.980 vaccinated

00:44:56.500 because the

00:44:57.080 health care

00:44:57.480 workers are

00:44:58.040 overworked?

00:44:59.460 Nope.

00:45:00.360 Nope.

00:45:01.160 Do you know

00:45:01.580 what doesn't

00:45:02.380 matter to

00:45:03.120 anybody?

00:45:04.400 That your

00:45:05.100 job is hard.

00:45:07.620 There's nothing

00:45:08.500 that matters

00:45:09.060 less to other

00:45:10.760 people than

00:45:12.280 your job is

00:45:13.080 really hard.

00:45:13.700 You worked

00:45:14.060 hard today.

00:45:15.000 You have

00:45:15.500 stress.

00:45:16.640 You might have

00:45:17.280 to quit.

00:45:18.340 Very, very

00:45:18.900 hard, long

00:45:20.540 hours.

00:45:21.760 Nobody cares.

00:45:23.260 Because you

00:45:23.700 know who

00:45:24.200 else has a

00:45:24.700 hard job?

00:45:26.020 You do.

00:45:28.480 Everybody

00:45:29.000 thinks a

00:45:29.480 job is hard.

00:45:30.740 So the

00:45:31.060 persuasion

00:45:31.580 we're seeing,

00:45:32.440 which is

00:45:32.820 mostly limited

00:45:33.780 to the

00:45:34.240 health care,

00:45:35.720 nobody cares.

00:45:37.080 You do care

00:45:37.720 if you don't

00:45:38.160 get to go

00:45:38.640 in.

00:45:39.220 So here's

00:45:39.580 what they

00:45:39.880 should do.

00:45:40.820 Just like

00:45:41.440 the Vietnam

00:45:42.040 War was 0.91

00:45:42.700 ended, I

00:45:43.300 think, because

00:45:44.200 of all the

00:45:44.680 news coverage,

00:45:45.700 they gave

00:45:45.960 you lots of

00:45:46.400 video and

00:45:46.960 scary stuff

00:45:47.640 and blood.

00:45:48.760 I think

00:45:49.280 the news

00:45:49.840 people need

00:45:50.660 to park

00:45:51.140 outside the

00:45:52.020 emergency

00:45:53.100 rooms and

00:45:54.440 show the

00:45:54.900 ambulances

00:45:55.500 backed up

00:45:56.200 and every

00:45:57.000 day just

00:45:57.580 say, well,

00:45:58.140 here's your

00:45:58.520 local hospital.

00:45:59.920 Ten ambulances

00:46:00.700 backed up.

00:46:01.480 If you came

00:46:02.000 here, you'd

00:46:02.720 have to wait

00:46:03.140 five hours.

00:46:04.620 And you'd

00:46:05.120 probably be

00:46:05.500 transferred

00:46:05.820 somewhere else.

00:46:07.320 That would

00:46:07.960 get your

00:46:08.280 attention, right?

00:46:09.880 Because you

00:46:10.300 would put

00:46:10.600 yourself in

00:46:11.120 the ambulance.

00:46:12.880 You'd say,

00:46:13.300 oh, shoot,

00:46:14.940 if I need

00:46:15.460 to go there,

00:46:16.220 that's my

00:46:16.680 hospital.

00:46:17.640 So I

00:46:18.100 think that

00:46:18.440 would convince

00:46:18.900 you.

00:46:19.200 But you

00:46:19.440 don't care

00:46:19.800 that the

00:46:20.160 doctors are

00:46:20.960 overworked.

00:46:22.880 We do

00:46:23.300 care.

00:46:23.860 I mean, we

00:46:25.020 have empathy

00:46:25.560 for human

00:46:26.140 beings and

00:46:26.760 stuff.

00:46:27.460 But there's

00:46:28.240 nothing less

00:46:28.820 persuasive than

00:46:29.620 that somebody

00:46:30.020 else's job is

00:46:30.740 hard.

00:46:31.320 So stop

00:46:31.780 that.

00:46:33.700 All right.

00:46:37.400 We do have

00:46:38.220 a tale of two

00:46:38.920 pandemics here.

00:46:40.020 People think

00:46:40.560 that there's

00:46:41.160 one happening.

00:46:42.080 And I

00:46:43.600 thought the

00:46:43.940 most interesting

00:46:44.540 thing is I

00:46:45.140 asked them

00:46:45.540 on scientific

00:46:46.260 polls.

00:46:47.540 And 18%

00:46:48.300 of the people

00:46:48.740 who follow

00:46:49.220 me and

00:46:49.720 answered the

00:46:50.180 poll, so

00:46:50.840 it's very

00:46:51.180 unscientific,

00:46:52.420 said that

00:46:53.060 they knew

00:46:53.900 people who

00:46:54.340 had died

00:46:54.680 personally of

00:46:56.380 COVID.

00:46:57.300 18% of the

00:46:58.400 people who

00:46:58.760 follow me

00:46:59.460 know people

00:47:00.940 who died

00:47:01.560 of COVID.

00:47:03.800 That's a lot.

00:47:05.540 All right.

00:47:05.700 But here's

00:47:07.360 the interesting

00:47:07.800 part.

00:47:08.280 I asked the

00:47:08.740 people, another

00:47:09.620 poll, just the

00:47:10.960 people who are

00:47:11.740 not vaccinated.

00:47:13.900 How many

00:47:14.300 people who are

00:47:14.880 not vaccinated

00:47:15.880 know somebody

00:47:16.840 personally who

00:47:17.560 has died?

00:47:18.820 Half as many.

00:47:20.900 Closer to

00:47:21.600 9%, 10%.

00:47:22.460 So there seems

00:47:24.200 to be, and

00:47:24.700 this is deeply

00:47:25.360 unscientific

00:47:26.140 polling, but

00:47:26.960 my curiosity

00:47:28.360 starts with

00:47:29.020 this.

00:47:29.900 Is it that

00:47:30.920 knowing somebody

00:47:31.800 who died of

00:47:32.520 COVID makes

00:47:33.120 it real to

00:47:33.620 you?

00:47:34.740 Because that's

00:47:35.240 persuasion.

00:47:36.620 So the

00:47:36.980 hypnotist says

00:47:37.880 you need to

00:47:38.980 know somebody

00:47:39.520 who died or

00:47:41.300 it's not

00:47:42.600 going to

00:47:42.760 work.

00:47:43.400 You could

00:47:43.880 digitally age

00:47:44.880 somebody and

00:47:45.380 put them in

00:47:45.700 the hospital and

00:47:46.480 that would

00:47:46.740 convince them

00:47:47.260 to.

00:47:47.980 Take

00:47:48.260 somebody's

00:47:48.640 actual photo

00:47:49.220 and say,

00:47:49.560 well, here's

00:47:50.040 you in the

00:47:50.360 hospital gasping

00:47:51.540 for air.

00:47:54.780 Looks like

00:47:55.540 I'm going to

00:47:55.900 need to go

00:47:56.360 and go

00:47:58.600 in right

00:47:59.940 here.

00:48:01.520 First day of

00:48:02.260 school, you

00:48:02.920 can imagine.

00:48:03.680 Got to go.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 11, 2021

Episode 1465 Scott Adams： Today I Put the Hypnosis Filter on the News So You Can Understand it For the First Time

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